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2006-07 Primeira Liga Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Porto

69 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sporting Clube de Portugal

12.93 points above expected

68 points · 55.07 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Maritimo

9.07 points below expected

32 points · 41.07 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Porto 30 22 3 5 69 65 20 +45 60.1 +8.85
2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 30 20 8 2 68 54 15 +39 55.1 +12.93
3 Benfica 30 20 7 3 67 55 20 +35 55.1 +11.91
4 Braga 30 14 8 8 50 35 30 +5 47.8 +2.23
5 Os Belenenses (1st) 30 15 4 11 49 36 29 +7 39.6 +9.35
6 Pacos de Ferreira 30 10 12 8 42 31 36 -5 38.1 +3.92
7 Uniao Leiria 30 10 11 9 41 25 27 -2 41.2 -0.17
8 Nacional 30 11 6 13 39 41 38 +3 44.6 -5.64
9 Boavista 30 8 11 11 35 32 34 -2 41.3 -6.28
10 Estrela da Amadora (1st) 30 9 8 13 35 23 36 -13 33.5 +1.51
11 Naval 1 de Maio 30 7 11 12 32 28 37 -9 36.5 -4.54
12 Maritimo 30 8 8 14 32 30 44 -14 41.1 -9.07
13 Academica de Coimbra 30 6 8 16 26 28 46 -18 33.8 -7.82
14 Vitoria Setubal 30 5 9 16 24 21 45 -24 32.6 -8.61
15 Beira-Mar 30 4 11 15 23 28 55 -27 30.5 -7.52
16 Aves 30 5 7 18 22 22 42 -20 25.6 -3.62

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Porto 1979 69 60.15 +8.85 90.0% 44 47 54 61 65 72 76
Sporting Clube de Portugal 1975 68 55.07 +12.93 98.0% 40 43 50 55 60 67 69
Benfica 1956 67 55.09 +11.91 97.0% 39 42 51 56 59 66 74
Braga 1834 50 47.77 +2.23 61.0% 31 36 43 48 53 59 63
Os Belenenses (1st) 1811 49 39.65 +9.35 97.0% 24 28 36 39 44 49 57
Nacional 1793 39 44.64 -5.64 26.0% 28 32 39 44 50 55 63
Uniao Leiria 1775 41 41.17 -0.17 53.0% 26 30 35 41 46 53 63
Boavista 1771 35 41.28 -6.28 18.0% 25 30 36 41 44 54 58
Pacos de Ferreira 1748 42 38.08 +3.92 73.0% 20 25 34 39 43 48 54
Maritimo 1732 32 41.07 -9.07 9.0% 24 30 37 41 46 51 56
Estrela da Amadora (1st) 1708 35 33.49 +1.51 65.0% 19 24 29 33 37 46 52
Naval 1 de Maio 1705 32 36.54 -4.54 29.0% 24 27 32 36 41 46 53
Academica de Coimbra 1681 26 33.82 -7.82 12.0% 19 22 29 33 38 44 52
Vitoria Setubal 1675 24 32.61 -8.61 10.0% 15 23 28 32 38 42 46
Beira-Mar 1660 23 30.52 -7.52 16.0% 16 20 26 31 35 41 44
Aves 1635 22 25.62 -3.62 26.0% 10 13 21 25 29 36 46

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ADC AVE BEI BEN BOA BRA EDA( MAR NAC N1DM OB( PDF POR SCDP UL VS
Academica de Coimbra —
1-1-0
3.25
2-0-0
2.85
0-0-2
1.33
0-1-1
2.28
0-0-2
1.90
1-1-0
2.79
0-1-1
2.22
0-0-2
2.24
1-0-1
2.64
1-1-0
2.36
0-1-1
2.39
0-0-2
1.19
0-0-2
1.29
0-1-1
2.24
0-1-1
2.85
Aves
0-1-1
2.17
 —
0-2-0
2.27
0-0-2
1.21
1-0-1
1.69
0-0-2
1.52
0-0-2
2.25
0-2-0
1.72
2-0-0
1.48
2-0-0
2.02
0-0-2
1.70
0-0-2
1.96
0-0-2
0.83
0-1-1
1.19
0-0-2
1.81
0-1-1
2.15
Beira-Mar
0-0-2
2.53
0-2-0
3.14
 —
0-1-1
1.32
1-0-1
1.99
0-1-1
1.81
1-1-0
2.69
0-1-1
2.04
0-1-1
1.83
0-0-2
2.50
0-0-2
2.03
0-1-1
2.12
0-0-2
1.29
0-1-1
1.33
1-1-0
2.11
1-1-0
2.54
Benfica
2-0-0
4.32
2-0-0
4.48
1-1-0
4.33
 —
0-1-1
3.49
0-1-1
3.38
2-0-0
4.21
2-0-0
3.66
2-0-0
3.35
1-1-0
4.18
2-0-0
3.64
1-1-0
3.69
0-1-1
2.38
1-1-0
2.51
2-0-0
3.52
2-0-0
4.42
Boavista
1-1-0
3.12
1-0-1
3.82
1-0-1
3.44
1-1-0
1.98
 —
0-1-1
2.27
0-1-1
3.35
1-1-0
2.73
0-0-2
2.66
0-1-1
3.20
1-1-0
2.85
1-0-1
2.93
1-0-1
1.42
0-1-1
1.89
0-2-0
2.69
0-1-1
3.34
Braga
2-0-0
3.55
2-0-0
4.05
1-1-0
3.68
1-1-0
2.08
1-1-0
3.12
 —
1-1-0
3.61
1-0-1
3.12
0-2-0
2.92
1-1-0
3.44
1-0-1
3.04
1-0-1
3.37
1-0-1
1.84
0-0-2
2.05
0-0-2
3.12
1-1-0
3.68
Estrela da Amadora (1st)
0-1-1
2.61
2-0-0
3.15
0-1-1
2.71
0-0-2
1.40
1-1-0
2.07
0-1-1
1.85
 —
1-0-1
2.11
1-0-1
1.87
0-1-1
2.55
1-0-1
2.02
1-1-0
2.28
1-0-1
1.33
0-0-2
1.43
0-2-0
2.18
1-0-1
2.60
Maritimo
1-1-0
3.17
0-2-0
3.79
1-1-0
3.38
0-0-2
1.81
0-1-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.28
1-0-1
3.31
 —
1-0-1
2.58
1-1-0
3.07
0-0-2
2.61
0-1-1
3.05
0-0-2
1.58
0-0-2
1.80
1-0-1
2.70
1-1-0
3.30
Nacional
2-0-0
3.17
0-0-2
4.11
1-1-0
3.64
0-0-2
2.06
2-0-0
2.71
0-2-0
2.47
1-0-1
3.58
1-0-1
2.80
 —
0-2-0
3.31
1-0-1
2.96
1-0-1
3.22
0-0-2
1.62
0-0-2
2.02
1-0-1
2.95
1-1-0
3.29
Naval 1 de Maio
1-0-1
2.76
0-0-2
3.41
2-0-0
2.86
0-1-1
1.43
1-1-0
2.21
0-1-1
1.99
1-1-0
2.80
0-1-1
2.32
0-2-0
2.11
 —
0-1-1
2.37
0-2-0
2.60
0-0-2
1.45
0-0-2
1.46
1-1-0
2.22
1-0-1
2.99
Os Belenenses (1st)
0-1-1
3.03
2-0-0
3.82
2-0-0
3.44
0-0-2
1.83
0-1-1
2.52
1-0-1
2.32
1-0-1
3.42
2-0-0
2.82
1-0-1
2.42
1-1-0
3.01
 —
2-0-0
2.78
0-0-2
1.53
0-1-1
1.73
1-0-1
2.78
2-0-0
3.09
Pacos de Ferreira
1-1-0
2.99
2-0-0
3.48
1-1-0
3.28
0-1-1
1.82
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.06
0-1-1
3.10
1-1-0
2.33
1-0-1
2.19
0-2-0
2.76
0-0-2
2.59
 —
0-1-1
1.31
1-1-0
1.63
0-2-0
2.52
1-1-0
2.99
Porto
2-0-0
4.51
2-0-0
5.00
2-0-0
4.38
1-1-0
3.02
1-0-1
4.18
1-0-1
3.65
1-0-1
4.32
2-0-0
3.96
2-0-0
3.93
2-0-0
4.16
2-0-0
4.03
1-1-0
4.34
 —
0-1-1
3.05
1-0-1
3.91
2-0-0
4.44
Sporting Clube de Portugal
2-0-0
4.37
1-1-0
4.51
1-1-0
4.32
0-1-1
2.88
1-1-0
3.56
2-0-0
3.37
2-0-0
4.18
2-0-0
3.71
2-0-0
3.41
2-0-0
4.14
1-1-0
3.77
0-1-1
3.90
1-1-0
2.34
 —
1-1-0
3.61
2-0-0
4.39
Uniao Leiria
1-1-0
3.14
2-0-0
3.66
0-1-1
3.28
0-0-2
1.96
0-2-0
2.70
2-0-0
2.28
0-2-0
3.22
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
2.44
0-1-1
3.18
1-0-1
2.58
0-2-0
2.86
1-0-1
1.62
0-1-1
1.85
 —
1-1-0
3.11
Vitoria Setubal
1-1-0
2.55
1-1-0
3.24
0-1-1
2.83
0-0-2
1.26
1-1-0
2.09
0-1-1
1.81
1-0-1
2.75
0-1-1
2.12
0-1-1
2.11
1-0-1
2.40
0-0-2
2.28
0-1-1
2.42
0-0-2
1.24
0-0-2
1.28
0-1-1
2.32
 —

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.17%11.04%7.08%3.12%1.88%0.21%32.50%
111.04%13.75%7.29%2.71%0.83%0.62%36.25%
27.08%7.29%3.75%1.04%0.21%—19.38%
33.12%2.71%1.04%0.83%0.21%—7.92%
41.88%0.83%0.21%0.21%——3.12%
5+0.21%0.62%————0.83%
Total32.50%36.25%19.38%7.92%3.12%0.83%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.15
Mean allowed1.15
StdDev scored1.11
StdDev allowed1.11
Mean total goals/game2.31
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.128
Sample size (games)240
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%10.00%20.00%—3.33%—40.00%
16.67%10.00%13.33%3.33%——33.33%
26.67%3.33%6.67%—3.33%—20.00%
3—3.33%—3.33%——6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total20.00%26.67%40.00%6.67%6.67%—100%

Academica de Coimbra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.93
Mean allowed1.53
StdDev scored0.94
StdDev allowed1.11
Mean total goals/game2.47
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.035
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%30.00%13.33%———53.33%
16.67%6.67%6.67%3.33%6.67%—30.00%
23.33%—6.67%———10.00%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4———3.33%——3.33%
5+———————
Total20.00%40.00%26.67%6.67%6.67%—100%

Aves — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.73
Mean allowed1.40
StdDev scored1.01
StdDev allowed1.10
Mean total goals/game2.13
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.284
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%6.67%16.67%—3.33%40.00%
16.67%10.00%10.00%6.67%——33.33%
23.33%—16.67%———20.00%
3—3.33%—3.33%——6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%20.00%33.33%26.67%—3.33%100%

Beira-Mar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.93
Mean allowed1.83
StdDev scored0.94
StdDev allowed1.21
Mean total goals/game2.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.131
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%——3.33%——13.33%
113.33%10.00%—3.33%——26.67%
216.67%10.00%3.33%3.33%——33.33%
310.00%6.67%————16.67%
46.67%3.33%————10.00%
5+———————
Total56.67%30.00%3.33%10.00%——100%

Benfica — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.83
Mean allowed0.67
StdDev scored1.18
StdDev allowed0.96
Mean total goals/game2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.143
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%16.67%10.00%—3.33%—40.00%
1—20.00%3.33%———23.33%
26.67%10.00%6.67%3.33%——26.67%
36.67%3.33%————10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.33%50.00%20.00%3.33%3.33%—100%

Boavista — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.07
Mean allowed1.13
StdDev scored1.05
StdDev allowed0.94
Mean total goals/game2.20
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.185
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%13.33%3.33%3.33%——36.67%
113.33%6.67%——3.33%—23.33%
2—23.33%3.33%3.33%——30.00%
33.33%3.33%————6.67%
4——3.33%———3.33%
5+———————
Total33.33%46.67%10.00%6.67%3.33%—100%

Braga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.17
Mean allowed1.00
StdDev scored1.12
StdDev allowed1.02
Mean total goals/game2.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.182
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.00%13.33%6.67%——40.00%
123.33%10.00%6.67%6.67%——46.67%
23.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
3———3.33%——3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.67%23.33%23.33%16.67%——100%

Estrela da Amadora (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.77
Mean allowed1.20
StdDev scored0.77
StdDev allowed1.13
Mean total goals/game1.97
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.016
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%10.00%3.33%6.67%3.33%—30.00%
110.00%16.67%16.67%—3.33%—46.67%
2—13.33%3.33%3.33%——20.00%
3———————
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total16.67%43.33%23.33%10.00%6.67%—100%

Maritimo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.00
Mean allowed1.47
StdDev scored0.91
StdDev allowed1.11
Mean total goals/game2.47
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.103
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%13.33%13.33%———33.33%
16.67%13.33%6.67%3.33%—3.33%33.33%
23.33%6.67%————10.00%
33.33%3.33%3.33%—3.33%—13.33%
46.67%—————6.67%
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total26.67%40.00%23.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%100%

Nacional — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.37
Mean allowed1.27
StdDev scored1.43
StdDev allowed1.20
Mean total goals/game2.63
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.119
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%13.33%6.67%—6.67%—40.00%
13.33%20.00%10.00%———33.33%
23.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%——20.00%
33.33%3.33%————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.33%46.67%20.00%3.33%6.67%—100%

Naval 1 de Maio — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.93
Mean allowed1.23
StdDev scored0.94
StdDev allowed1.07
Mean total goals/game2.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.120
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.00%3.33%—6.67%—30.00%
113.33%3.33%13.33%3.33%——33.33%
223.33%3.33%————26.67%
33.33%—3.33%———6.67%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total50.00%20.00%20.00%3.33%6.67%—100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.20
Mean allowed0.97
StdDev scored1.06
StdDev allowed1.22
Mean total goals/game2.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.288
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%3.33%6.67%—3.33%—20.00%
113.33%33.33%3.33%6.67%—3.33%60.00%
210.00%6.67%————16.67%
3——3.33%———3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.00%43.33%13.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%100%

Pacos de Ferreira — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.03
Mean allowed1.20
StdDev scored0.72
StdDev allowed1.24
Mean total goals/game2.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.162
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—10.00%————10.00%
16.67%10.00%6.67%———23.33%
213.33%16.67%————30.00%
313.33%3.33%3.33%———20.00%
46.67%3.33%————10.00%
5+3.33%3.33%————6.67%
Total43.33%46.67%10.00%———100%

Porto — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.17
Mean allowed0.67
StdDev scored1.37
StdDev allowed0.66
Mean total goals/game2.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.318
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%3.33%3.33%———16.67%
123.33%13.33%————36.67%
213.33%—————13.33%
36.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%——20.00%
410.00%—————10.00%
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total63.33%26.67%6.67%3.33%——100%

Sporting Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.80
Mean allowed0.50
StdDev scored1.40
StdDev allowed0.78
Mean total goals/game2.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.095
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%6.67%6.67%—3.33%—36.67%
123.33%10.00%13.33%———46.67%
23.33%3.33%6.67%———13.33%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total46.67%23.33%26.67%—3.33%—100%

Uniao Leiria — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.83
Mean allowed0.90
StdDev scored0.79
StdDev allowed1.03
Mean total goals/game1.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.064
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%20.00%3.33%13.33%——40.00%
16.67%26.67%6.67%6.67%—3.33%50.00%
23.33%6.67%————10.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total13.33%53.33%10.00%20.00%—3.33%100%

Vitoria Setubal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.70
Mean allowed1.50
StdDev scored0.65
StdDev allowed1.17
Mean total goals/game2.20
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.204
Games played30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sporting Clube de Portugal 68 55.1 +12.93
2 Benfica 67 55.1 +11.91
3 Os Belenenses (1st) 49 39.6 +9.35
4 Porto 69 60.1 +8.85
5 Pacos de Ferreira 42 38.1 +3.92

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Maritimo 32 41.1 -9.07
2 Vitoria Setubal 24 32.6 -8.61
3 Academica de Coimbra 26 33.8 -7.82
4 Beira-Mar 23 30.5 -7.52
5 Boavista 35 41.3 -6.28

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Os Belenenses (1st) 5 Mar 10 – Apr 14 1 in 77
2 Porto 8 Oct 28 – Jan 14 1 in 52
3 Nacional 4 Sep 24 – Oct 21 1 in 50
4 Sporting Clube de Portugal 6 Mar 10 – Apr 22 1 in 40
5 Maritimo 3 Oct 22 – Nov 5 1 in 27

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Academica de Coimbra 5 Dec 3 – Jan 28 1 in 61
2 Boavista 3 Oct 16 – Oct 30 1 in 49
3 Porto 2 Jan 26 – Feb 3 1 in 41
4 Aves 6 Sep 23 – Nov 4 1 in 40
5 Vitoria Setubal 5 Nov 27 – Jan 14 1 in 39

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Estrela da Amadora (1st) 9 Nov 20 – Feb 18 1 in 289
2 Benfica 21 Nov 25 – May 20 1 in 145
3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 18 Dec 9 – May 20 1 in 81
4 Boavista 9 Dec 9 – Mar 9 1 in 66
5 Naval 1 de Maio 5 Sep 23 – Oct 29 1 in 21

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Maritimo 11 Mar 4 – May 19 1 in 98
2 Beira-Mar 13 Sep 22 – Jan 28 1 in 46
3 Naval 1 de Maio 10 Mar 9 – May 20 1 in 41
4 Sporting Clube de Portugal 3 Feb 17 – Mar 4 1 in 21
5 Vitoria Setubal 9 Oct 22 – Jan 14 1 in 18

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Porto54.00%17.00%16.00%8.00%4.00%1.00%——————————
Sporting Clube de Portugal22.00%29.00%17.00%13.00%7.00%6.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%———————
Benfica18.00%32.00%29.00%8.00%6.00%2.00%3.00%—1.00%1.00%——————
Braga2.00%10.00%14.00%27.00%9.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%6.00%5.00%2.00%—1.00%———
Os Belenenses (1st)——1.00%7.00%11.00%5.00%7.00%17.00%14.00%14.00%6.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%
Pacos de Ferreira—1.00%1.00%1.00%4.00%15.00%10.00%16.00%6.00%8.00%10.00%5.00%7.00%6.00%6.00%4.00%
Uniao Leiria1.00%2.00%2.00%4.00%18.00%13.00%7.00%11.00%8.00%7.00%8.00%2.00%13.00%3.00%1.00%—
Nacional1.00%7.00%9.00%14.00%9.00%19.00%10.00%5.00%4.00%5.00%6.00%8.00%2.00%—1.00%—
Boavista2.00%—5.00%7.00%5.00%11.00%20.00%7.00%10.00%12.00%5.00%11.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%—
Estrela da Amadora (1st)———3.00%3.00%1.00%5.00%1.00%5.00%11.00%13.00%11.00%14.00%14.00%12.00%7.00%
Naval 1 de Maio——1.00%1.00%4.00%5.00%7.00%14.00%10.00%4.00%11.00%18.00%9.00%7.00%8.00%1.00%
Maritimo—2.00%4.00%7.00%17.00%6.00%7.00%9.00%13.00%13.00%8.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%
Academica de Coimbra——1.00%—2.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%10.00%7.00%10.00%10.00%9.00%19.00%11.00%9.00%
Vitoria Setubal————1.00%1.00%5.00%6.00%5.00%9.00%11.00%6.00%12.00%18.00%14.00%12.00%
Beira-Mar—————3.00%3.00%—6.00%4.00%7.00%9.00%14.00%14.00%17.00%23.00%
Aves——————2.00%———3.00%10.00%7.00%10.00%27.00%41.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Benfica 100% —
Braga 100% —
Porto 100% —
Sporting Clube de Portugal 100% —
Boavista 99.0% 1.0%
Nacional 99.0% 1.0%
Uniao Leiria 99.0% 1.0%
Maritimo 98.0% 2.0%
Os Belenenses (1st) 97.0% 3.0%
Naval 1 de Maio 91.0% 9.0%
Pacos de Ferreira 90.0% 10.0%
Estrela da Amadora (1st) 81.0% 19.0%
Academica de Coimbra 80.0% 20.0%
Vitoria Setubal 74.0% 26.0%
Beira-Mar 60.0% 40.0%
Aves 32.0% 68.0%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2006-08-25 Uniao Leiria W 2-1 1897 1778 59.0% 22.5% 18.5% +3.3 3
2006-08-25 @ Porto L 1-2 1778 1897 18.5% 22.5% 59.0% -3.3 0
2006-08-26 Aves D 2-2 1735 1660 52.3% 26.6% 21.1% -0.8 1
2006-08-26 @ Beira-Mar D 2-2 1660 1735 21.1% 26.6% 52.3% +0.8 1
2006-08-26 Pacos de Ferreira W 2-1 1830 1740 54.5% 25.3% 20.1% +3.7 3
2006-08-26 @ Braga L 1-2 1740 1830 20.1% 25.3% 54.5% -3.7 0
2006-08-26 Boavista W 3-2 1875 1791 53.7% 25.8% 20.5% +3.6 3
2006-08-26 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-3 1791 1875 20.5% 25.8% 53.7% -3.6 0
2006-08-27 Nacional W 1-0 1788 1797 39.7% 31.8% 28.5% +5.6 3
2006-08-27 @ Maritimo L 0-1 1797 1788 28.5% 31.8% 39.7% -5.6 0
2006-08-27 Estrela da Amadora (1st) W 2-0 1717 1723 40.2% 31.7% 28.1% +10.4 3
2006-08-27 @ Naval 1 de Maio L 0-2 1723 1717 28.1% 31.7% 40.2% -10.4 0
2006-08-28 Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1748 1744 41.5% 31.3% 27.1% -0.5 1
2006-08-28 @ Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1744 1748 27.1% 31.3% 41.5% +0.5 1
2006-09-08 Braga L 0-1 1661 1833 21.2% 26.8% 52.0% -4.2 1
2006-09-08 @ Aves W 1-0 1833 1661 52.0% 26.8% 21.2% +4.2 6
2006-09-09 Benfica W 3-0 1787 1855 31.3% 32.3% 36.4% +18.2 3
2006-09-09 @ Boavista L 0-3 1855 1787 36.4% 32.3% 31.3% -18.2 0
2006-09-09 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1792 1878 28.9% 31.9% 39.2% -5.7 0
2006-09-09 @ Nacional W 1-0 1878 1792 39.2% 31.9% 28.9% +5.6 6
2006-09-10 Naval 1 de Maio L 1-2 1745 1727 43.6% 30.6% 25.7% -7.1 1
2006-09-10 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1727 1745 25.7% 30.6% 43.6% +7.1 6
2006-09-10 Vitoria Setubal W 2-0 1761 1747 43.1% 30.8% 26.1% +9.8 3
2006-09-10 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1747 1761 26.1% 30.8% 43.1% -9.8 1
2006-09-10 Porto L 0-3 1712 1900 20.2% 25.4% 54.4% -10.7 0
2006-09-10 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) W 3-0 1900 1712 54.4% 25.4% 20.2% +10.8 6
2006-09-10 Maritimo W 2-1 1736 1794 32.6% 32.4% 34.9% +6.1 3
2006-09-10 @ Pacos de Ferreira L 1-2 1794 1736 34.9% 32.4% 32.6% -6.1 3
2006-09-11 Beira-Mar D 2-2 1775 1734 47.1% 29.2% 23.6% -0.6 1
2006-09-11 @ Uniao Leiria D 2-2 1734 1775 23.6% 29.2% 47.1% +0.6 2
2006-09-16 Pacos de Ferreira L 0-1 1884 1742 62.4% 20.3% 17.3% -9.5 6
2006-09-16 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1742 1884 17.3% 20.3% 62.4% +9.5 6
2006-09-17 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1738 1771 36.2% 32.4% 31.5% -0.2 2
2006-09-17 @ Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1771 1738 31.5% 32.4% 36.2% +0.2 4
2006-09-17 Estrela da Amadora (1st) W 2-0 1735 1701 46.0% 29.7% 24.2% +9.1 5
2006-09-17 @ Beira-Mar L 0-2 1701 1735 24.2% 29.7% 46.0% -9.1 0
2006-09-17 Nacional W 1-0 1837 1786 48.6% 28.5% 22.8% +4.5 3
2006-09-17 @ Benfica L 0-1 1786 1837 22.8% 28.5% 48.6% -4.5 0
2006-09-17 Aves D 0-0 1788 1657 60.7% 21.4% 17.9% -1.7 4
2006-09-17 @ Maritimo D 0-0 1657 1788 17.9% 21.4% 60.7% +1.7 2
2006-09-17 Porto L 0-2 1734 1911 20.9% 26.4% 52.7% -7.7 6
2006-09-17 @ Naval 1 de Maio W 2-0 1911 1734 52.7% 26.4% 20.9% +7.7 9
2006-09-18 Uniao Leiria L 0-1 1837 1774 50.5% 27.6% 21.9% -8.3 6
2006-09-18 @ Braga W 1-0 1774 1837 21.9% 27.6% 50.5% +8.3 4
2006-09-19 Boavista W 1-0 1737 1805 31.2% 32.3% 36.4% +6.7 4
2006-09-19 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-1 1805 1737 36.4% 32.3% 31.2% -6.6 3
2006-09-22 Benfica D 1-1 1752 1841 28.6% 31.8% 39.6% +0.4 7
2006-09-22 @ Pacos de Ferreira D 1-1 1841 1752 39.6% 31.8% 28.6% -0.4 4
2006-09-22 Beira-Mar W 3-0 1919 1744 67.2% 17.0% 15.8% +7.5 12
2006-09-22 @ Porto L 0-3 1744 1919 15.8% 17.0% 67.2% -7.5 5
2006-09-23 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1659 1874 18.6% 22.8% 58.6% -6.6 2
2006-09-23 @ Aves W 2-0 1874 1659 58.6% 22.8% 18.6% +6.6 9
2006-09-23 Naval 1 de Maio D 0-0 1771 1727 47.7% 29.0% 23.3% -1.0 5
2006-09-23 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1727 1771 23.3% 29.0% 47.7% +1.0 7
2006-09-23 Braga D 0-0 1692 1829 23.9% 29.4% 46.7% +0.9 1
2006-09-23 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) D 0-0 1829 1692 46.7% 29.4% 23.9% -0.9 7
2006-09-24 Academica de Coimbra D 2-2 1799 1737 50.2% 27.7% 22.0% -0.8 4
2006-09-24 @ Boavista D 2-2 1737 1799 22.0% 27.7% 50.2% +0.8 3
2006-09-24 Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1782 1744 46.7% 29.5% 23.9% +4.8 3
2006-09-24 @ Nacional L 0-1 1744 1782 23.9% 29.5% 46.7% -4.8 4
2006-09-25 Maritimo W 1-0 1782 1786 40.5% 31.6% 27.9% +5.5 7
2006-09-25 @ Uniao Leiria L 0-1 1786 1782 27.9% 31.6% 40.5% -5.5 4
2006-09-29 Beira-Mar W 2-1 1728 1736 39.7% 31.8% 28.5% +5.3 10
2006-09-29 @ Naval 1 de Maio L 1-2 1736 1728 28.5% 31.8% 39.7% -5.3 5
2006-09-30 Boavista L 0-2 1770 1798 36.9% 32.3% 30.8% -12.6 5
2006-09-30 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1798 1770 30.8% 32.3% 36.9% +12.6 7
2006-10-01 Nacional L 1-3 1738 1786 34.0% 32.5% 33.6% -10.4 3
2006-10-01 @ Academica de Coimbra W 3-1 1786 1738 33.6% 32.5% 34.0% +10.4 6
2006-10-01 Aves W 4-1 1841 1652 69.2% 15.7% 15.2% +5.9 7
2006-10-01 @ Benfica L 1-4 1652 1841 15.2% 15.7% 69.2% -5.9 2
2006-10-01 Estrela da Amadora (1st) W 2-1 1780 1693 54.2% 25.5% 20.3% +3.7 7
2006-10-01 @ Maritimo L 1-2 1693 1780 20.3% 25.5% 54.2% -3.7 1
2006-10-02 Porto W 2-1 1828 1926 27.6% 31.5% 40.9% +6.8 10
2006-10-02 @ Braga L 1-2 1926 1828 40.9% 31.5% 27.6% -6.8 12
2006-10-02 Uniao Leiria W 2-0 1881 1788 55.1% 25.0% 19.9% +7.3 12
2006-10-02 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1788 1881 19.9% 25.0% 55.1% -7.3 7
2006-10-02 Pacos de Ferreira D 1-1 1739 1752 39.1% 31.9% 28.9% -0.3 5
2006-10-02 @ Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1752 1739 28.9% 31.9% 39.1% +0.3 8
2006-10-13 Braga L 0-3 1731 1835 27.0% 31.3% 41.7% -14.6 5
2006-10-13 @ Beira-Mar W 3-0 1835 1731 41.7% 31.3% 27.0% +14.6 13
2006-10-14 Maritimo W 3-0 1920 1784 61.4% 20.9% 17.7% +8.9 15
2006-10-14 @ Porto L 0-3 1784 1920 17.7% 20.9% 61.4% -8.9 7
2006-10-14 Benfica L 0-4 1781 1847 31.5% 32.4% 36.2% -21.5 7
2006-10-14 @ Uniao Leiria W 4-0 1847 1781 36.2% 32.4% 31.5% +21.5 10
2006-10-15 Vitoria Setubal L 1-2 1646 1739 28.2% 31.7% 40.1% -5.2 2
2006-10-15 @ Aves W 2-1 1739 1646 40.1% 31.7% 28.2% +5.2 8
2006-10-15 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1690 1888 19.6% 24.4% 56.1% -3.8 1
2006-10-15 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) W 1-0 1888 1690 56.1% 24.4% 19.6% +3.8 15
2006-10-15 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1797 1757 46.9% 29.3% 23.7% +4.5 9
2006-10-15 @ Nacional L 1-2 1757 1797 23.7% 29.3% 46.9% -4.5 5
2006-10-15 Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1752 1728 44.7% 30.2% 25.0% -0.7 9
2006-10-15 @ Pacos de Ferreira D 1-1 1728 1752 25.0% 30.2% 44.7% +0.7 4
2006-10-16 Naval 1 de Maio L 0-1 1811 1733 52.7% 26.4% 20.9% -8.5 7
2006-10-16 @ Boavista W 1-0 1733 1811 20.9% 26.4% 52.7% +8.5 13
2006-10-20 Pacos de Ferreira W 2-0 1753 1752 41.2% 31.4% 27.4% +10.2 8
2006-10-20 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1752 1753 27.4% 31.4% 41.2% -10.2 9
2006-10-21 Nacional L 0-4 1802 1801 41.2% 31.4% 27.4% -25.9 7
2006-10-21 @ Boavista W 4-0 1801 1802 27.4% 31.4% 41.2% +25.9 12
2006-10-22 Aves W 2-0 1729 1641 54.2% 25.5% 20.3% +7.4 7
2006-10-22 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-2 1641 1729 20.3% 25.5% 54.2% -7.4 2
2006-10-22 Estrela da Amadora (1st) W 3-1 1868 1686 68.3% 16.3% 15.5% +4.3 13
2006-10-22 @ Benfica L 1-3 1686 1868 15.5% 16.3% 68.3% -4.3 1
2006-10-22 Beira-Mar W 2-1 1775 1717 49.9% 27.9% 22.2% +4.2 10
2006-10-22 @ Maritimo L 1-2 1717 1775 22.2% 27.9% 49.9% -4.2 5
2006-10-22 Porto D 1-1 1892 1928 35.7% 32.4% 31.9% -0.1 16
2006-10-22 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1928 1892 31.9% 32.4% 35.7% +0.1 16
2006-10-22 Uniao Leiria L 1-2 1744 1759 38.8% 32.0% 29.2% -6.6 8
2006-10-22 @ Vitoria Setubal W 2-1 1759 1744 29.2% 32.0% 38.8% +6.5 10
2006-10-23 Braga D 1-1 1741 1850 26.5% 31.1% 42.4% +0.5 14
2006-10-23 @ Naval 1 de Maio D 1-1 1850 1741 42.4% 31.1% 26.5% -0.5 14
2006-10-27 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 3-3 1712 1892 20.7% 26.1% 53.1% +0.7 6
2006-10-27 @ Beira-Mar D 3-3 1892 1712 53.1% 26.1% 20.7% -0.7 17
2006-10-28 Benfica W 3-2 1929 1873 49.4% 28.1% 22.4% +4.0 19
2006-10-28 @ Porto L 2-3 1873 1929 22.4% 28.1% 49.4% -4.0 13
2006-10-28 Academica de Coimbra W 2-0 1766 1736 45.5% 29.9% 24.6% +9.2 13
2006-10-28 @ Uniao Leiria L 0-2 1736 1766 24.6% 29.9% 45.5% -9.2 7
2006-10-29 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1633 1763 24.5% 29.9% 45.6% -4.9 2
2006-10-29 @ Aves W 1-0 1763 1633 45.6% 29.9% 24.5% +4.9 11
2006-10-29 Maritimo L 1-4 1849 1779 51.5% 27.1% 21.4% -19.4 14
2006-10-29 @ Braga W 4-1 1779 1849 21.4% 27.1% 51.5% +19.4 13
2006-10-29 Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1681 1738 32.8% 32.4% 34.7% +6.4 4
2006-10-29 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) L 0-1 1738 1681 34.7% 32.4% 32.8% -6.4 8
2006-10-29 Naval 1 de Maio D 1-1 1827 1742 53.8% 25.7% 20.4% -1.2 13
2006-10-29 @ Nacional D 1-1 1742 1827 20.4% 25.7% 53.8% +1.2 15
2006-10-30 Boavista W 2-0 1741 1776 35.9% 32.4% 31.7% +11.4 12
2006-10-30 @ Pacos de Ferreira L 0-2 1776 1741 31.7% 32.4% 35.9% -11.4 7
2006-11-03 Uniao Leiria L 0-1 1768 1775 40.0% 31.7% 28.3% -7.1 11
2006-11-03 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1775 1768 28.3% 31.7% 40.0% +7.1 16
2006-11-04 Aves W 2-1 1765 1628 61.5% 20.8% 17.6% +3.0 10
2006-11-04 @ Boavista L 1-2 1628 1765 17.6% 20.8% 61.5% -3.0 2
2006-11-05 Estrela da Amadora (1st) W 2-0 1727 1688 46.9% 29.4% 23.8% +9.0 10
2006-11-05 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-2 1688 1727 23.8% 29.4% 46.9% -9.0 4
2006-11-05 Beira-Mar W 3-0 1869 1713 64.4% 18.9% 16.7% +8.1 16
2006-11-05 @ Benfica L 0-3 1713 1869 16.7% 18.9% 64.4% -8.1 6
2006-11-05 Pacos de Ferreira W 5-1 1826 1753 52.0% 26.8% 21.2% +12.5 16
2006-11-05 @ Nacional L 1-5 1753 1826 21.2% 26.8% 52.0% -12.5 12
2006-11-05 Maritimo L 0-1 1743 1799 32.9% 32.4% 34.7% -6.2 15
2006-11-05 @ Naval 1 de Maio W 1-0 1799 1743 34.7% 32.4% 32.9% +6.2 16
2006-11-06 Braga W 3-0 1891 1830 50.3% 27.7% 22.0% +12.0 20
2006-11-06 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1830 1891 22.0% 27.7% 50.3% -12.0 14
2006-11-06 Porto L 0-3 1731 1933 19.4% 24.1% 56.4% -10.2 8
2006-11-06 @ Vitoria Setubal W 3-0 1933 1731 56.4% 24.1% 19.4% +10.2 22
2006-11-17 Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1705 1721 38.7% 32.0% 29.3% -0.3 7
2006-11-17 @ Beira-Mar D 1-1 1721 1705 29.3% 32.0% 38.7% +0.3 9
2006-11-18 Benfica W 3-1 1818 1877 32.4% 32.4% 35.1% +10.6 17
2006-11-18 @ Braga L 1-3 1877 1818 35.1% 32.4% 32.4% -10.6 16
2006-11-18 Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1943 1736 71.7% 14.0% 14.4% +2.2 25
2006-11-18 @ Porto L 1-2 1736 1943 14.4% 14.0% 71.7% -2.2 10
2006-11-19 Nacional W 3-1 1625 1838 18.8% 23.1% 58.2% +14.8 5
2006-11-19 @ Aves L 1-3 1838 1625 58.2% 23.1% 18.8% -14.8 16
2006-11-19 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1805 1903 27.6% 31.5% 40.9% -5.4 16
2006-11-19 @ Maritimo W 1-0 1903 1805 40.9% 31.5% 27.6% +5.4 23
2006-11-19 Naval 1 de Maio D 1-1 1740 1737 41.6% 31.3% 27.1% -0.5 13
2006-11-19 @ Pacos de Ferreira D 1-1 1737 1740 27.1% 31.3% 41.6% +0.5 16
2006-11-19 Boavista D 0-0 1782 1768 43.2% 30.8% 26.0% -0.7 17
2006-11-19 @ Uniao Leiria D 0-0 1768 1782 26.0% 30.8% 43.2% +0.7 11
2006-11-20 Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1679 1761 29.5% 32.0% 38.5% +6.9 7
2006-11-20 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) L 0-1 1761 1679 38.5% 32.0% 29.5% -6.9 11
2006-11-24 Estrela da Amadora (1st) D 1-1 1768 1686 53.5% 25.9% 20.6% -1.2 12
2006-11-24 @ Boavista D 1-1 1686 1768 20.6% 25.9% 53.5% +1.2 8
2006-11-25 Maritimo W 2-1 1866 1800 51.0% 27.3% 21.7% +4.0 19
2006-11-25 @ Benfica L 1-2 1800 1866 21.7% 27.3% 51.0% -4.0 16
2006-11-26 Beira-Mar W 3-1 1733 1705 45.4% 30.0% 24.6% +8.0 13
2006-11-26 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-3 1705 1733 24.6% 30.0% 45.4% -8.0 7
2006-11-26 Porto L 0-1 1754 1945 20.0% 25.1% 54.9% -3.9 11
2006-11-26 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1945 1754 54.9% 25.1% 20.0% +3.9 28
2006-11-26 Uniao Leiria W 2-1 1823 1781 47.3% 29.1% 23.5% +4.4 19
2006-11-26 @ Nacional L 1-2 1781 1823 23.5% 29.1% 47.3% -4.4 17
2006-11-26 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1737 1909 21.3% 26.8% 51.9% -4.2 16
2006-11-26 @ Naval 1 de Maio W 1-0 1909 1737 51.9% 26.8% 21.3% +4.2 26
2006-11-26 Aves W 2-0 1740 1640 56.0% 24.4% 19.6% +7.1 16
2006-11-26 @ Pacos de Ferreira L 0-2 1640 1740 19.6% 24.4% 56.0% -7.1 5
2006-11-27 Braga L 1-2 1721 1828 26.7% 31.1% 42.2% -5.0 9
2006-11-27 @ Vitoria Setubal W 2-1 1828 1721 42.2% 31.1% 26.7% +5.0 20
2006-12-01 Benfica L 0-2 1913 1870 47.4% 29.1% 23.4% -15.0 26
2006-12-01 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-0 1870 1913 23.4% 29.1% 47.4% +15.0 22
2006-12-02 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1697 1750 33.2% 32.5% 34.3% -5.9 7
2006-12-02 @ Beira-Mar W 2-1 1750 1697 34.3% 32.5% 33.2% +5.9 14
2006-12-02 Boavista W 2-0 1949 1767 68.1% 16.4% 15.5% +5.0 31
2006-12-02 @ Porto L 0-2 1767 1949 15.5% 16.4% 68.1% -5.0 12
2006-12-03 Naval 1 de Maio W 2-0 1633 1733 27.4% 31.4% 41.2% +13.6 8
2006-12-03 @ Aves L 0-2 1733 1633 41.2% 31.4% 27.4% -13.6 16
2006-12-03 Academica de Coimbra W 4-2 1833 1742 54.9% 25.1% 20.0% +5.7 23
2006-12-03 @ Braga L 2-4 1742 1833 20.0% 25.1% 54.9% -5.7 13
2006-12-03 Nacional W 2-0 1687 1828 23.5% 29.2% 47.3% +15.0 11
2006-12-03 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) L 0-2 1828 1687 47.3% 29.2% 23.5% -15.0 19
2006-12-03 Pacos de Ferreira D 0-0 1777 1747 45.5% 29.9% 24.6% -0.8 18
2006-12-03 @ Uniao Leiria D 0-0 1747 1777 24.6% 29.9% 45.5% +0.8 17
2006-12-04 Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1796 1716 53.0% 26.2% 20.8% +4.1 19
2006-12-04 @ Maritimo L 0-1 1716 1796 20.8% 26.2% 53.0% -4.1 9
2006-12-08 Braga W 2-0 1756 1839 29.3% 32.0% 38.7% +13.1 17
2006-12-08 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1839 1756 38.7% 32.0% 29.3% -13.1 23
2006-12-09 Beira-Mar W 3-0 1762 1691 51.8% 26.9% 21.3% +11.5 15
2006-12-09 @ Boavista L 0-3 1691 1762 21.3% 26.9% 51.8% -11.5 7
2006-12-09 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1712 1898 20.3% 25.6% 54.1% -10.8 9
2006-12-09 @ Vitoria Setubal W 3-0 1898 1712 54.1% 25.6% 20.3% +10.9 29
2006-12-10 Maritimo L 1-2 1736 1800 31.8% 32.4% 35.8% -5.7 13
2006-12-10 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1800 1736 35.8% 32.4% 31.8% +5.7 22
2006-12-10 Uniao Leiria L 0-1 1647 1776 24.5% 29.9% 45.6% -4.9 8
2006-12-10 @ Aves W 1-0 1776 1647 45.6% 29.9% 24.5% +4.9 21
2006-12-10 Benfica D 0-0 1720 1885 21.7% 27.3% 51.0% +1.2 17
2006-12-10 @ Naval 1 de Maio D 0-0 1885 1720 51.0% 27.3% 21.7% -1.2 23
2006-12-10 Estrela da Amadora (1st) D 1-1 1748 1702 47.9% 28.9% 23.2% -0.9 18
2006-12-10 @ Pacos de Ferreira D 1-1 1702 1748 23.2% 28.9% 47.9% +0.9 12
2006-12-11 Porto L 1-2 1813 1954 23.5% 29.2% 47.3% -4.4 19
2006-12-11 @ Nacional W 2-1 1954 1813 47.3% 29.2% 23.5% +4.4 34
2006-12-15 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-4 1805 1769 46.5% 29.5% 24.0% -18.1 22
2006-12-15 @ Maritimo W 4-1 1769 1805 24.0% 29.5% 46.5% +18.1 20
2006-12-16 Vitoria Setubal W 3-0 1884 1701 68.3% 16.3% 15.4% +7.2 26
2006-12-16 @ Benfica L 0-3 1701 1884 15.4% 16.3% 68.3% -7.2 9
2006-12-16 Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1909 1730 67.7% 16.7% 15.6% +2.7 32
2006-12-16 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1730 1909 15.6% 16.7% 67.7% -2.7 13
2006-12-17 Nacional D 1-1 1679 1808 24.5% 29.9% 45.5% +0.7 8
2006-12-17 @ Beira-Mar D 1-1 1808 1679 45.5% 29.9% 24.5% -0.7 20
2006-12-17 Aves W 1-0 1703 1642 50.2% 27.8% 22.1% +4.4 15
2006-12-17 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) L 0-1 1642 1703 22.1% 27.8% 50.2% -4.4 8
2006-12-17 Uniao Leiria W 2-1 1721 1781 32.3% 32.4% 35.3% +6.1 20
2006-12-17 @ Naval 1 de Maio L 1-2 1781 1721 35.3% 32.4% 32.3% -6.1 21
2006-12-17 Pacos de Ferreira W 4-0 1958 1747 72.2% 13.6% 14.2% +8.2 37
2006-12-17 @ Porto L 0-4 1747 1958 14.2% 13.6% 72.2% -8.2 18
2006-12-18 Boavista D 2-2 1826 1774 48.9% 28.4% 22.7% -0.7 24
2006-12-18 @ Braga D 2-2 1774 1826 22.7% 28.4% 48.9% +0.7 16
2006-12-21 Os Belenenses (1st) W 4-0 1891 1787 56.7% 24.0% 19.3% +13.2 29
2006-12-21 @ Benfica L 0-4 1787 1891 19.3% 24.0% 56.7% -13.2 20
2007-01-12 Maritimo D 1-1 1775 1787 39.1% 31.9% 28.9% -0.3 17
2007-01-12 @ Boavista D 1-1 1787 1775 28.9% 31.9% 39.1% +0.3 23
2007-01-13 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1774 1911 23.8% 29.4% 46.8% +0.9 21
2007-01-13 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1911 1774 46.8% 29.4% 23.8% -0.9 33
2007-01-13 Braga D 0-0 1808 1825 38.5% 32.0% 29.5% -0.3 21
2007-01-13 @ Nacional D 0-0 1825 1808 29.5% 32.0% 38.5% +0.3 25
2007-01-14 Porto L 0-2 1638 1966 13.4% 11.9% 74.7% -4.0 8
2007-01-14 @ Aves W 2-0 1966 1638 74.7% 11.9% 13.4% +4.0 40
2007-01-14 Beira-Mar W 1-0 1739 1680 49.9% 27.9% 22.2% +4.4 21
2007-01-14 @ Pacos de Ferreira L 0-1 1680 1739 22.2% 27.9% 49.9% -4.4 8
2007-01-14 Estrela da Amadora (1st) D 0-0 1775 1707 51.2% 27.2% 21.6% -1.2 22
2007-01-14 @ Uniao Leiria D 0-0 1707 1775 21.6% 27.2% 51.2% +1.2 16
2007-01-14 Naval 1 de Maio L 0-3 1694 1727 36.2% 32.3% 31.4% -18.1 9
2007-01-14 @ Vitoria Setubal W 3-0 1727 1694 31.4% 32.3% 36.2% +18.1 23
2007-01-15 Benfica L 0-2 1727 1904 20.9% 26.4% 52.8% -7.7 13
2007-01-15 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-0 1904 1727 52.8% 26.4% 20.9% +7.7 32
2007-01-26 Porto W 1-0 1774 1970 19.7% 24.6% 55.7% +8.8 25
2007-01-26 @ Uniao Leiria L 0-1 1970 1774 55.7% 24.6% 19.7% -8.9 40
2007-01-27 Benfica L 1-2 1775 1912 23.8% 29.4% 46.8% -4.5 21
2007-01-27 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1912 1775 46.8% 29.4% 23.8% +4.5 35
2007-01-27 Braga W 3-2 1743 1826 29.4% 32.0% 38.6% +6.2 24
2007-01-27 @ Pacos de Ferreira L 2-3 1826 1743 38.6% 32.0% 29.4% -6.2 25
2007-01-28 Vitoria Setubal L 0-1 1720 1676 47.6% 29.0% 23.4% -8.0 13
2007-01-28 @ Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1676 1720 23.4% 29.0% 47.6% +8.0 12
2007-01-28 Beira-Mar D 0-0 1634 1676 34.9% 32.4% 32.7% -0.1 9
2007-01-28 @ Aves D 0-0 1676 1634 32.7% 32.4% 34.9% +0.1 9
2007-01-28 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1774 1910 23.9% 29.5% 46.6% +0.8 18
2007-01-28 @ Boavista D 1-1 1910 1774 46.6% 29.5% 23.9% -0.8 34
2007-01-28 Naval 1 de Maio D 0-0 1708 1745 35.6% 32.4% 32.0% -0.1 17
2007-01-28 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) D 0-0 1745 1708 32.0% 32.4% 35.6% +0.1 24
2007-01-29 Maritimo W 3-2 1807 1788 44.0% 30.5% 25.5% +4.5 24
2007-01-29 @ Nacional L 2-3 1788 1807 25.5% 30.5% 44.0% -4.5 23
2007-02-02 Boavista D 0-0 1917 1775 62.3% 20.3% 17.3% -1.8 36
2007-02-02 @ Benfica D 0-0 1775 1917 17.3% 20.3% 62.3% +1.8 19
2007-02-03 Estrela da Amadora (1st) L 0-1 1962 1708 77.6% 10.0% 12.3% -10.8 40
2007-02-03 @ Porto W 1-0 1708 1962 12.3% 10.0% 77.6% +10.8 20
2007-02-03 Nacional W 5-1 1910 1812 55.8% 24.6% 19.7% +11.3 37
2007-02-03 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-5 1812 1910 19.7% 24.6% 55.8% -11.3 24
2007-02-04 Uniao Leiria W 1-0 1676 1783 26.7% 31.1% 42.2% +7.3 12
2007-02-04 @ Beira-Mar L 0-1 1783 1676 42.2% 31.1% 26.7% -7.3 25
2007-02-04 Aves W 1-0 1819 1634 68.8% 16.0% 15.3% +2.6 28
2007-02-04 @ Braga L 0-1 1634 1819 15.3% 16.0% 68.8% -2.6 9
2007-02-04 Pacos de Ferreira D 1-1 1783 1749 46.1% 29.7% 24.2% -0.8 24
2007-02-04 @ Maritimo D 1-1 1749 1783 24.2% 29.7% 46.1% +0.8 25
2007-02-04 Academica de Coimbra L 0-1 1745 1712 46.1% 29.7% 24.2% -7.8 24
2007-02-04 @ Naval 1 de Maio W 1-0 1712 1745 24.2% 29.7% 46.1% +7.8 16
2007-02-04 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1684 1770 29.0% 31.9% 39.1% -5.7 12
2007-02-04 @ Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1770 1684 39.1% 31.9% 29.0% +5.7 24
2007-02-16 Naval 1 de Maio W 4-0 1951 1737 72.5% 13.4% 14.1% +8.2 43
2007-02-16 @ Porto L 0-4 1737 1951 14.1% 13.4% 72.5% -8.2 24
2007-02-17 Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1777 1678 55.9% 24.5% 19.6% -1.3 20
2007-02-17 @ Boavista D 1-1 1678 1777 19.6% 24.5% 55.9% +1.3 13
2007-02-17 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1750 1921 21.3% 26.9% 51.8% +1.1 26
2007-02-17 @ Pacos de Ferreira D 1-1 1921 1750 51.8% 26.9% 21.3% -1.1 38
2007-02-18 Maritimo D 1-1 1631 1782 22.7% 28.4% 48.9% +0.9 10
2007-02-18 @ Aves D 1-1 1782 1631 48.9% 28.4% 22.7% -0.9 25
2007-02-18 Beira-Mar D 2-2 1719 1683 46.4% 29.5% 24.0% -0.6 21
2007-02-18 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) D 2-2 1683 1719 24.0% 29.5% 46.4% +0.6 13
2007-02-18 Benfica L 0-2 1801 1915 25.9% 30.8% 43.3% -9.7 24
2007-02-18 @ Nacional W 2-0 1915 1801 43.3% 30.8% 25.9% +9.7 39
2007-02-18 Braga W 1-0 1775 1822 34.2% 32.5% 33.4% +6.3 28
2007-02-18 @ Uniao Leiria L 0-1 1822 1775 33.4% 32.5% 34.2% -6.3 28
2007-02-19 Academica de Coimbra L 1-2 1776 1720 49.5% 28.1% 22.4% -7.7 24
2007-02-19 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1720 1776 22.4% 28.1% 49.5% +7.7 19
2007-02-23 Aves D 0-0 1920 1632 81.6% 7.5% 10.9% -2.7 39
2007-02-23 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1632 1920 10.9% 7.5% 81.6% +2.7 11
2007-02-24 Boavista L 0-2 1727 1775 34.0% 32.5% 33.6% -12.0 19
2007-02-24 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-0 1775 1727 33.6% 32.5% 34.0% +12.0 23
2007-02-24 Os Belenenses (1st) L 2-3 1729 1768 35.3% 32.4% 32.3% -5.8 24
2007-02-24 @ Naval 1 de Maio W 3-2 1768 1729 32.3% 32.4% 35.3% +5.8 27
2007-02-25 Porto L 0-5 1684 1959 15.7% 16.9% 67.4% -11.9 13
2007-02-25 @ Beira-Mar W 5-0 1959 1684 67.4% 16.9% 15.7% +11.9 46
2007-02-25 Nacional D 1-1 1680 1791 26.2% 30.9% 42.8% +0.6 14
2007-02-25 @ Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1791 1680 42.8% 30.9% 26.2% -0.6 25
2007-02-26 Pacos de Ferreira W 3-1 1924 1751 67.0% 17.2% 15.9% +4.5 42
2007-02-26 @ Benfica L 1-3 1751 1924 15.9% 17.2% 67.0% -4.5 26
2007-02-26 Estrela da Amadora (1st) W 2-1 1816 1718 55.7% 24.6% 19.7% +3.6 31
2007-02-26 @ Braga L 1-2 1718 1816 19.7% 24.6% 55.7% -3.6 21
2007-02-26 Uniao Leiria W 2-1 1781 1781 41.0% 31.5% 27.5% +5.1 28
2007-02-26 @ Maritimo L 1-2 1781 1781 27.5% 31.5% 41.0% -5.1 28
2007-03-02 Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1747 1680 51.0% 27.3% 21.7% +4.3 29
2007-03-02 @ Pacos de Ferreira L 0-1 1680 1747 21.7% 27.3% 51.0% -4.3 14
2007-03-03 Benfica L 0-1 1635 1929 14.9% 15.0% 70.1% -2.5 11
2007-03-03 @ Aves W 1-0 1929 1635 70.1% 15.0% 14.9% +2.5 45
2007-03-03 Braga W 1-0 1971 1819 63.8% 19.3% 16.9% +3.0 49
2007-03-03 @ Porto L 0-1 1819 1971 16.9% 19.3% 63.8% -3.0 31
2007-03-04 Naval 1 de Maio L 1-3 1672 1723 33.5% 32.5% 34.1% -10.2 13
2007-03-04 @ Beira-Mar W 3-1 1723 1672 34.1% 32.5% 33.5% +10.3 27
2007-03-04 Maritimo W 1-0 1715 1786 30.8% 32.3% 37.0% +6.7 24
2007-03-04 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) L 0-1 1786 1715 37.0% 32.3% 30.8% -6.7 28
2007-03-04 Academica de Coimbra W 4-0 1790 1715 52.3% 26.6% 21.1% +14.8 28
2007-03-04 @ Nacional L 0-4 1715 1790 21.1% 26.6% 52.3% -14.8 19
2007-03-04 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1776 1917 23.5% 29.2% 47.3% +0.9 29
2007-03-04 @ Uniao Leiria D 0-0 1917 1776 47.3% 29.2% 23.5% -0.9 40
2007-03-05 Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1787 1774 43.0% 30.9% 26.1% -0.7 24
2007-03-05 @ Boavista D 0-0 1774 1787 26.1% 30.9% 43.0% +0.7 28
2007-03-09 Boavista D 1-1 1734 1787 33.3% 32.5% 34.3% +0.0 28
2007-03-09 @ Naval 1 de Maio D 1-1 1787 1734 34.3% 32.5% 33.3% -0.0 25
2007-03-10 Nacional W 2-0 1775 1805 36.5% 32.3% 31.1% +11.3 31
2007-03-10 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1805 1775 31.1% 32.3% 36.5% -11.3 28
2007-03-10 Estrela da Amadora (1st) W 3-1 1916 1722 70.0% 15.1% 14.9% +4.1 43
2007-03-10 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1722 1916 14.9% 15.1% 70.0% -4.1 24
2007-03-11 Pacos de Ferreira L 0-2 1700 1751 33.6% 32.5% 33.9% -11.9 19
2007-03-11 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-0 1751 1700 33.9% 32.5% 33.6% +11.9 32
2007-03-11 Beira-Mar D 0-0 1816 1661 64.3% 19.0% 16.7% -1.9 32
2007-03-11 @ Braga D 0-0 1661 1816 16.7% 19.0% 64.3% +1.9 14
2007-03-11 Porto L 1-2 1780 1974 19.8% 24.8% 55.4% -3.6 28
2007-03-11 @ Maritimo W 2-1 1974 1780 55.4% 24.8% 19.8% +3.6 52
2007-03-11 Aves D 1-1 1676 1632 47.6% 29.0% 23.4% -0.9 15
2007-03-11 @ Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1632 1676 23.4% 29.0% 47.6% +0.9 12
2007-03-12 Uniao Leiria W 2-0 1931 1777 64.2% 19.1% 16.8% +5.6 48
2007-03-12 @ Benfica L 0-2 1777 1931 16.8% 19.1% 64.2% -5.6 29
2007-03-16 Boavista W 2-0 1794 1787 42.1% 31.1% 26.8% +10.0 31
2007-03-16 @ Nacional L 0-2 1787 1794 26.8% 31.1% 42.1% -10.0 25
2007-03-17 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1978 1920 49.6% 28.0% 22.3% -8.2 52
2007-03-17 @ Porto W 1-0 1920 1978 22.3% 28.0% 49.6% +8.2 46
2007-03-18 Academica de Coimbra D 2-2 1633 1689 32.9% 32.5% 34.6% +0.0 13
2007-03-18 @ Aves D 2-2 1689 1633 34.6% 32.5% 32.9% -0.0 20
2007-03-18 Maritimo D 2-2 1663 1776 26.1% 30.8% 43.1% +0.4 15
2007-03-18 @ Beira-Mar D 2-2 1776 1663 43.1% 30.8% 26.1% -0.4 29
2007-03-18 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1763 1786 37.6% 32.2% 30.2% -12.8 32
2007-03-18 @ Pacos de Ferreira W 2-0 1786 1763 30.2% 32.2% 37.6% +12.8 34
2007-03-18 Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1772 1675 55.6% 24.7% 19.7% -1.3 30
2007-03-18 @ Uniao Leiria D 1-1 1675 1772 19.7% 24.7% 55.6% +1.3 16
2007-03-19 Benfica L 0-1 1718 1937 18.4% 22.4% 59.2% -3.5 24
2007-03-19 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) W 1-0 1937 1718 59.2% 22.4% 18.4% +3.5 51
2007-03-20 Naval 1 de Maio W 2-1 1814 1734 53.2% 26.1% 20.7% +3.8 35
2007-03-20 @ Braga L 1-2 1734 1814 20.7% 26.1% 53.2% -3.8 28
2007-03-31 Aves W 1-0 1799 1633 65.9% 17.9% 16.2% +2.8 37
2007-03-31 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1633 1799 16.2% 17.9% 65.9% -2.8 13
2007-03-31 Pacos de Ferreira W 3-1 1777 1750 45.0% 30.1% 24.8% +8.1 28
2007-03-31 @ Boavista L 1-3 1750 1777 24.8% 30.1% 45.0% -8.1 32
2007-04-01 Uniao Leiria D 0-0 1689 1770 29.5% 32.0% 38.5% +0.3 21
2007-04-01 @ Academica de Coimbra D 0-0 1770 1689 38.5% 32.0% 29.5% -0.3 31
2007-04-01 Porto D 1-1 1941 1969 36.8% 32.3% 30.9% -0.2 52
2007-04-01 @ Benfica D 1-1 1969 1941 30.9% 32.3% 36.8% +0.2 53
2007-04-01 Braga L 1-2 1776 1818 34.8% 32.4% 32.8% -6.1 29
2007-04-01 @ Maritimo W 2-1 1818 1776 32.8% 32.4% 34.8% +6.1 38
2007-04-01 Nacional D 0-0 1730 1804 30.5% 32.2% 37.3% +0.2 29
2007-04-01 @ Naval 1 de Maio D 0-0 1804 1730 37.3% 32.2% 30.5% -0.3 32
2007-04-01 Estrela da Amadora (1st) W 2-0 1676 1714 35.5% 32.4% 32.1% +11.5 19
2007-04-01 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-2 1714 1676 32.1% 32.4% 35.5% -11.5 24
2007-04-02 Beira-Mar W 2-0 1928 1664 79.0% 9.1% 11.9% +3.4 49
2007-04-02 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1664 1928 11.9% 9.1% 79.0% -3.3 15
2007-04-06 Vitoria Setubal W 5-1 1970 1688 80.9% 8.0% 11.2% +4.9 56
2007-04-06 @ Porto L 1-5 1688 1970 11.2% 8.0% 80.9% -4.9 19
2007-04-07 Boavista W 1-0 1630 1785 22.4% 28.2% 49.4% +8.2 16
2007-04-07 @ Aves L 0-1 1785 1630 49.4% 28.2% 22.4% -8.2 28
2007-04-07 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1824 1932 26.6% 31.1% 42.3% -5.3 38
2007-04-07 @ Braga W 1-0 1932 1824 42.3% 31.1% 26.6% +5.3 52
2007-04-07 Academica de Coimbra D 3-3 1703 1689 43.1% 30.8% 26.1% -0.4 25
2007-04-07 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) D 3-3 1689 1703 26.1% 30.8% 43.1% +0.4 22
2007-04-07 Naval 1 de Maio D 1-1 1770 1730 47.0% 29.3% 23.7% -0.8 30
2007-04-07 @ Maritimo D 1-1 1730 1770 23.7% 29.3% 47.0% +0.8 30
2007-04-07 Nacional W 2-1 1742 1804 32.1% 32.4% 35.5% +6.2 35
2007-04-07 @ Pacos de Ferreira L 1-2 1804 1742 35.5% 32.4% 32.1% -6.2 32
2007-04-07 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1770 1802 36.4% 32.3% 31.3% -6.7 31
2007-04-07 @ Uniao Leiria W 1-0 1802 1770 31.3% 32.3% 36.4% +6.7 40
2007-04-09 Benfica D 2-2 1660 1940 15.5% 16.4% 68.0% +1.4 16
2007-04-09 @ Beira-Mar D 2-2 1940 1660 68.0% 16.4% 15.5% -1.4 53
2007-04-13 Maritimo W 4-0 1937 1769 66.2% 17.6% 16.1% +10.0 55
2007-04-13 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-4 1769 1937 16.1% 17.6% 66.2% -10.0 30
2007-04-14 Porto L 1-2 1689 1974 15.3% 15.9% 68.8% -2.4 22
2007-04-14 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1974 1689 68.8% 15.9% 15.3% +2.4 59
2007-04-14 Estrela da Amadora (1st) W 3-0 1808 1702 57.0% 23.8% 19.2% +10.0 43
2007-04-14 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-3 1702 1808 19.2% 23.8% 57.0% -10.0 25
2007-04-15 Uniao Leiria D 1-1 1777 1763 43.0% 30.9% 26.1% -0.6 29
2007-04-15 @ Boavista D 1-1 1763 1777 26.1% 30.9% 43.0% +0.6 32
2007-04-15 Aves L 3-4 1797 1638 64.9% 18.6% 16.5% -8.5 32
2007-04-15 @ Nacional W 4-3 1638 1797 16.5% 18.6% 64.9% +8.5 19
2007-04-15 Pacos de Ferreira D 1-1 1731 1748 38.5% 32.0% 29.5% -0.3 31
2007-04-15 @ Naval 1 de Maio D 1-1 1748 1731 29.5% 32.0% 38.5% +0.3 36
2007-04-15 Beira-Mar L 1-3 1683 1662 44.2% 30.4% 25.4% -12.4 19
2007-04-15 @ Vitoria Setubal W 3-1 1662 1683 25.4% 30.4% 44.2% +12.4 19
2007-04-16 Braga D 0-0 1939 1819 59.1% 22.4% 18.4% -1.7 54
2007-04-16 @ Benfica D 0-0 1819 1939 18.4% 22.4% 59.1% +1.7 39
2007-04-20 Boavista W 2-1 1692 1776 29.2% 32.0% 38.8% +6.5 28
2007-04-20 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) L 1-2 1776 1692 38.8% 32.0% 29.2% -6.5 29
2007-04-21 Benfica L 0-3 1759 1937 20.8% 26.2% 53.0% -11.2 30
2007-04-21 @ Maritimo W 3-0 1937 1759 53.0% 26.2% 20.8% +11.2 57
2007-04-22 Pacos de Ferreira L 0-1 1647 1748 27.2% 31.4% 41.4% -5.4 19
2007-04-22 @ Aves W 1-0 1748 1647 41.4% 31.4% 27.2% +5.4 39
2007-04-22 Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-1 1977 1818 64.8% 18.6% 16.6% +4.8 62
2007-04-22 @ Porto L 1-3 1818 1977 16.6% 18.6% 64.8% -4.8 43
2007-04-22 Naval 1 de Maio W 4-0 1947 1731 73.0% 13.1% 14.0% +8.0 58
2007-04-22 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-4 1731 1947 14.0% 13.1% 73.0% -8.0 31
2007-04-22 Nacional W 1-0 1764 1789 37.3% 32.2% 30.4% +5.9 35
2007-04-22 @ Uniao Leiria L 0-1 1789 1764 30.4% 32.2% 37.3% -5.9 32
2007-04-23 Academica de Coimbra L 0-1 1674 1687 39.2% 31.9% 28.9% -7.0 19
2007-04-23 @ Beira-Mar W 1-0 1687 1674 28.9% 31.9% 39.2% +7.0 25
2007-04-23 Vitoria Setubal D 0-0 1821 1671 63.6% 19.5% 17.0% -1.9 40
2007-04-23 @ Braga D 0-0 1671 1821 17.0% 19.5% 63.6% +1.9 20
2007-04-27 Uniao Leiria D 0-0 1754 1770 38.7% 32.0% 29.3% -0.3 40
2007-04-27 @ Pacos de Ferreira D 0-0 1770 1754 29.3% 32.0% 38.7% +0.4 36
2007-04-28 Beira-Mar W 2-0 1813 1667 63.0% 19.9% 17.1% +5.8 46
2007-04-28 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1667 1813 17.1% 19.9% 63.0% -5.8 19
2007-04-28 Porto W 2-1 1770 1982 18.8% 23.1% 58.1% +8.6 32
2007-04-28 @ Boavista L 1-2 1982 1770 58.1% 23.1% 18.8% -8.6 62
2007-04-29 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1948 1955 40.0% 31.7% 28.2% -0.4 58
2007-04-29 @ Benfica D 1-1 1955 1948 28.2% 31.7% 40.0% +0.4 59
2007-04-29 Estrela da Amadora (1st) W 1-0 1783 1699 53.7% 25.8% 20.5% +4.0 35
2007-04-29 @ Nacional L 0-1 1699 1783 20.5% 25.8% 53.7% -4.0 28
2007-04-29 Aves L 0-1 1723 1641 53.2% 26.1% 20.7% -8.6 31
2007-04-29 @ Naval 1 de Maio W 1-0 1641 1723 20.7% 26.1% 53.2% +8.6 22
2007-04-29 Maritimo D 1-1 1673 1748 30.3% 32.2% 37.5% +0.2 21
2007-04-29 @ Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1748 1673 37.5% 32.2% 30.3% -0.2 31
2007-04-30 Braga L 0-1 1694 1819 24.9% 30.2% 44.9% -5.0 25
2007-04-30 @ Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1819 1694 44.9% 30.2% 24.9% +5.0 43
2007-05-04 Boavista W 1-0 1661 1778 25.7% 30.6% 43.7% +7.5 22
2007-05-04 @ Beira-Mar L 0-1 1778 1661 43.7% 30.6% 25.7% -7.5 32
2007-05-05 Naval 1 de Maio W 2-1 1948 1714 75.2% 11.6% 13.2% +2.0 61
2007-05-05 @ Benfica L 1-2 1714 1948 13.2% 11.6% 75.2% -2.0 31
2007-05-05 Academica de Coimbra D 0-0 1747 1689 49.8% 27.9% 22.2% -1.1 32
2007-05-05 @ Maritimo D 0-0 1689 1747 22.2% 27.9% 49.8% +1.1 26
2007-05-05 Nacional W 2-0 1973 1787 68.8% 15.9% 15.3% +4.9 65
2007-05-05 @ Porto L 0-2 1787 1973 15.3% 15.9% 68.8% -4.9 35
2007-05-06 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1824 1819 41.7% 31.3% 27.0% +5.0 46
2007-05-06 @ Braga L 1-2 1819 1824 27.0% 31.3% 41.7% -5.0 46
2007-05-06 Pacos de Ferreira W 1-0 1695 1753 32.5% 32.4% 35.1% +6.5 31
2007-05-06 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) L 0-1 1753 1695 35.1% 32.4% 32.5% -6.5 40
2007-05-06 Vitoria Setubal W 3-1 1956 1673 81.0% 7.9% 11.1% +2.7 62
2007-05-06 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1673 1956 11.1% 7.9% 81.0% -2.7 21
2007-05-06 Aves W 3-1 1770 1650 59.1% 22.4% 18.4% +5.6 39
2007-05-06 @ Uniao Leiria L 1-3 1650 1770 18.4% 22.4% 59.1% -5.6 22
2007-05-12 Maritimo W 2-0 1814 1746 51.3% 27.2% 21.6% +8.0 49
2007-05-12 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1746 1814 21.6% 27.2% 51.3% -8.0 32
2007-05-12 Braga L 0-1 1771 1829 32.6% 32.4% 35.0% -6.2 32
2007-05-12 @ Boavista W 1-0 1829 1771 35.0% 32.4% 32.6% +6.2 49
2007-05-13 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1690 1958 16.1% 17.6% 66.4% -5.3 26
2007-05-13 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-0 1958 1690 66.4% 17.6% 16.1% +5.3 65
2007-05-13 Estrela da Amadora (1st) L 0-1 1644 1701 32.7% 32.4% 34.8% -6.2 22
2007-05-13 @ Aves W 1-0 1701 1644 34.8% 32.4% 32.7% +6.2 34
2007-05-13 Beira-Mar W 3-0 1782 1669 58.1% 23.1% 18.8% +9.7 38
2007-05-13 @ Nacional L 0-3 1669 1782 18.8% 23.1% 58.1% -9.8 22
2007-05-13 Porto D 1-1 1747 1978 17.8% 21.3% 60.9% +1.6 41
2007-05-13 @ Pacos de Ferreira D 1-1 1978 1747 60.9% 21.3% 17.8% -1.6 66
2007-05-13 Naval 1 de Maio D 2-2 1776 1712 50.6% 27.5% 21.9% -0.8 40
2007-05-13 @ Uniao Leiria D 2-2 1712 1776 21.9% 27.5% 50.6% +0.8 32
2007-05-13 Benfica L 0-1 1670 1950 15.5% 16.4% 68.0% -2.7 21
2007-05-13 @ Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1950 1670 68.0% 16.4% 15.5% +2.7 64
2007-05-19 Boavista L 1-2 1738 1764 37.2% 32.2% 30.6% -6.4 32
2007-05-19 @ Maritimo W 2-1 1764 1738 30.6% 32.2% 37.2% +6.3 35
2007-05-20 Pacos de Ferreira D 1-1 1659 1749 28.6% 31.8% 39.6% +0.4 23
2007-05-20 @ Beira-Mar D 1-1 1749 1659 39.6% 31.8% 28.6% -0.4 42
2007-05-20 Academica de Coimbra W 2-0 1953 1685 79.4% 8.9% 11.7% +3.3 67
2007-05-20 @ Benfica L 0-2 1685 1953 11.7% 8.9% 79.4% -3.3 26
2007-05-20 Nacional D 1-1 1835 1792 47.5% 29.1% 23.4% -0.8 50
2007-05-20 @ Braga D 1-1 1792 1835 23.4% 29.1% 47.5% +0.8 39
2007-05-20 Uniao Leiria D 1-1 1707 1775 31.3% 32.3% 36.4% +0.2 35
2007-05-20 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) D 1-1 1775 1707 36.4% 32.3% 31.3% -0.2 41
2007-05-20 Vitoria Setubal L 1-2 1713 1667 47.8% 28.9% 23.2% -7.5 32
2007-05-20 @ Naval 1 de Maio W 2-1 1667 1713 23.2% 28.9% 47.8% +7.5 24
2007-05-20 Aves W 4-1 1976 1638 86.4% 4.7% 8.9% +2.8 69
2007-05-20 @ Porto L 1-4 1638 1976 8.9% 4.7% 86.4% -2.8 22
2007-05-20 Os Belenenses (1st) W 4-0 1964 1822 62.3% 20.3% 17.4% +11.3 68
2007-05-20 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-4 1822 1964 17.4% 20.3% 62.3% -11.3 49

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2007-02-03 12.35% Estrela da Amadora (1st) 1708 1 @ Porto 1962 0
2 2007-04-15 16.53% Aves 1638 4 @ Nacional 1797 3
3 2006-09-16 17.35% Pacos de Ferreira 1742 1 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 1884 0
4 2006-11-19 18.78% @ Aves 1625 3 Nacional 1838 1
5 2007-04-28 18.82% @ Boavista 1770 2 Porto 1982 1
6 2007-01-26 19.67% @ Uniao Leiria 1774 1 Porto 1970 0
7 2007-04-29 20.68% Aves 1641 1 @ Naval 1 de Maio 1723 0
8 2006-10-16 20.90% Naval 1 de Maio 1733 1 @ Boavista 1811 0
9 2006-10-29 21.44% Maritimo 1779 4 @ Braga 1849 1
10 2006-09-18 21.89% Uniao Leiria 1774 1 @ Braga 1837 0
11 2007-03-17 22.32% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1920 1 @ Porto 1978 0
12 2007-02-19 22.39% Academica de Coimbra 1720 2 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1776 1
13 2007-04-07 22.45% @ Aves 1630 1 Boavista 1785 0
14 2007-05-20 23.24% Vitoria Setubal 1667 2 @ Naval 1 de Maio 1713 1
15 2007-01-28 23.38% Vitoria Setubal 1676 1 @ Academica de Coimbra 1720 0
16 2006-12-01 23.45% Benfica 1870 2 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 1913 0
17 2006-12-03 23.54% @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) 1687 2 Nacional 1828 0
18 2006-12-15 23.98% Os Belenenses (1st) 1769 4 @ Maritimo 1805 1
19 2007-02-04 24.24% Academica de Coimbra 1712 1 @ Naval 1 de Maio 1745 0
20 2007-04-15 25.35% Beira-Mar 1662 3 @ Vitoria Setubal 1683 1
21 2007-05-04 25.69% @ Beira-Mar 1661 1 Boavista 1778 0
22 2006-09-10 25.71% Naval 1 de Maio 1727 2 @ Academica de Coimbra 1745 1
23 2007-02-04 26.68% @ Beira-Mar 1676 1 Uniao Leiria 1783 0
24 2006-10-21 27.40% Nacional 1801 4 @ Boavista 1802 0
25 2006-12-03 27.40% @ Aves 1633 2 Naval 1 de Maio 1733 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-10-21 25.87 Nacional 4 1801 27.40% @ Boavista 0 1802 41.18%
2 2006-10-14 21.54 Benfica 4 1847 36.16% @ Uniao Leiria 0 1781 31.49%
3 2006-10-29 19.41 Maritimo 4 1779 21.44% @ Braga 1 1849 51.51%
4 2006-09-09 18.21 @ Boavista 3 1787 31.27% Benfica 0 1855 36.41%
5 2007-01-14 18.14 Naval 1 de Maio 3 1727 31.45% @ Vitoria Setubal 0 1694 36.21%
6 2006-12-15 18.14 Os Belenenses (1st) 4 1769 23.98% @ Maritimo 1 1805 46.50%
7 2006-12-01 15.01 Benfica 2 1870 23.45% @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 0 1913 47.45%
8 2006-12-03 14.98 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) 2 1687 23.54% Nacional 0 1828 47.29%
9 2006-11-19 14.84 @ Aves 3 1625 18.78% Nacional 1 1838 58.16%
10 2007-03-04 14.83 @ Nacional 4 1790 52.32% Academica de Coimbra 0 1715 21.08%
11 2006-10-13 14.63 Braga 3 1835 41.74% @ Beira-Mar 0 1731 27.01%
12 2006-12-03 13.64 @ Aves 2 1633 27.40% Naval 1 de Maio 0 1733 41.18%
13 2006-12-21 13.21 @ Benfica 4 1891 56.72% Os Belenenses (1st) 0 1787 19.30%
14 2006-12-08 13.06 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 2 1756 29.34% Braga 0 1839 38.67%
15 2007-03-18 12.82 Os Belenenses (1st) 2 1786 30.20% @ Pacos de Ferreira 0 1763 37.63%
16 2006-09-30 12.65 Boavista 2 1798 30.84% @ Os Belenenses (1st) 0 1770 36.89%
17 2006-11-05 12.46 @ Nacional 5 1826 52.00% Pacos de Ferreira 1 1753 21.22%
18 2007-04-15 12.39 Beira-Mar 3 1662 25.35% @ Vitoria Setubal 1 1683 44.21%
19 2007-02-24 11.96 Boavista 2 1775 33.58% @ Academica de Coimbra 0 1727 33.96%
20 2006-11-06 11.95 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 3 1891 50.30% Braga 0 1830 22.00%
21 2007-02-25 11.94 Porto 5 1959 67.39% @ Beira-Mar 0 1684 15.74%
22 2007-03-11 11.89 Pacos de Ferreira 2 1751 33.91% @ Academica de Coimbra 0 1700 33.63%
23 2006-12-09 11.51 @ Boavista 3 1762 51.80% Beira-Mar 0 1691 21.31%
24 2007-04-01 11.51 @ Vitoria Setubal 2 1676 35.48% Estrela da Amadora (1st) 0 1714 32.11%
25 2006-10-30 11.41 @ Pacos de Ferreira 2 1741 35.92% Boavista 0 1776 31.71%