2009-10 Primeira Liga Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Benfica

76 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Braga

16.85 points above expected

71 points · 54.15 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Leixoes

11.85 points below expected

21 points · 32.85 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Benfica	30	24	4	2	76	78	20	+58	62.2	+13.77
2	Braga	30	22	5	3	71	48	20	+28	54.1	+16.85
3	Porto	30	21	5	4	68	70	26	+44	63.6	+4.39
4	Sporting Clube de Portugal	30	13	9	8	48	42	26	+16	54.0	-6.04
5	Maritimo	30	11	8	11	41	42	43	-1	40.4	+0.59
6	Vitoria Guimaraes	30	11	8	11	41	31	34	-3	41.5	-0.47
7	Nacional	30	10	9	11	39	36	46	-10	43.1	-4.13
8	Naval 1 de Maio	30	10	6	14	36	20	35	-15	31.9	+4.05
9	Pacos de Ferreira	30	8	11	11	35	32	37	-5	38.4	-3.36
10	Uniao Leiria	30	9	8	13	35	35	41	-6	36.8	-1.75
11	Academica de Coimbra	30	8	9	13	33	37	42	-5	36.6	-3.56
12	Rio Ave	30	6	13	11	31	22	33	-11	33.9	-2.92
13	Olhanense	30	5	14	11	29	31	46	-15	30.2	-1.24
14	Vitoria Setubal	30	5	10	15	25	29	57	-28	26.8	-1.78
15	Os Belenenses (1st)	30	4	11	15	23	23	44	-21	30.1	-7.11
16	Leixoes	30	5	6	19	21	25	51	-26	32.9	-11.85

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Benfica	2023	76	62.23	+13.77	100.0%	41	51	59	63	66	70	75
Porto	2022	68	63.61	+4.39	79.0%	49	51	61	64	67	73	75
Braga	1938	71	54.15	+16.85	100.0%	36	42	50	55	58	62	66
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1893	48	54.04	-6.04	14.0%	41	46	50	53	58	65	69
Vitoria Guimaraes	1767	41	41.47	-0.47	47.0%	26	29	36	42	46	52	58
Maritimo	1764	41	40.41	+0.59	59.0%	25	28	36	40	45	50	55
Nacional	1764	39	43.13	-4.13	29.0%	24	32	39	43	47	55	62
Academica de Coimbra	1747	33	36.56	-3.56	34.0%	20	24	31	36	41	48	53
Pacos de Ferreira	1729	35	38.36	-3.36	36.0%	21	28	34	39	42	49	51
Uniao Leiria	1707	35	36.75	-1.75	38.0%	25	29	33	36	40	46	52
Naval 1 de Maio	1688	36	31.95	+4.05	74.0%	19	22	26	32	37	44	52
Olhanense	1674	29	30.24	-1.24	46.0%	16	19	26	30	35	42	49
Rio Ave	1669	31	33.92	-2.92	34.0%	19	23	30	34	37	45	52
Leixoes	1649	21	32.85	-11.85	3.0%	18	22	28	32	38	42	60
Os Belenenses (1st)	1643	23	30.11	-7.11	16.0%	17	19	26	30	34	41	47
Vitoria Setubal	1621	25	26.78	-1.78	45.0%	10	16	21	26	31	37	40

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ADC	BEN	BRA	LEI	MAR	NAC	N1DM	OLH	OB(	PDF	POR	RA	SCDP	UL	VG	VS
Academica de Coimbra	—	0-0-2 1.20	0-0-2 1.87	2-0-0 2.99	0-1-1 2.59	0-1-1 2.39	2-0-0 3.07	0-1-1 3.17	1-1-0 3.27	0-1-1 2.65	0-0-2 1.23	0-1-1 2.87	1-0-1 1.82	0-2-0 2.55	1-0-1 2.43	1-1-0 3.36
Benfica	2-0-0 4.45	—	1-0-1 3.34	2-0-0 4.42	1-1-0 3.83	2-0-0 4.08	2-0-0 4.74	1-1-0 4.88	2-0-0 4.47	2-0-0 4.14	1-0-1 2.70	2-0-0 4.65	1-1-0 3.34	2-0-0 4.10	2-0-0 3.85	1-1-0 4.63
Braga	2-0-0 3.55	1-0-1 2.07	—	1-1-0 4.21	2-0-0 3.58	1-1-0 3.68	1-1-0 4.24	2-0-0 4.18	2-0-0 4.16	2-0-0 3.93	1-0-1 2.06	1-1-0 4.00	2-0-0 2.67	2-0-0 3.82	1-0-1 3.78	1-1-0 4.54
Leixoes	0-0-2 2.37	0-0-2 1.23	0-1-1 1.39	—	0-0-2 2.47	0-0-2 2.09	1-0-1 2.76	0-1-1 2.83	1-1-0 2.97	1-1-0 2.10	0-1-1 1.14	0-1-1 2.81	0-0-2 1.38	1-0-1 2.43	1-0-1 2.33	0-0-2 3.23
Maritimo	1-1-0 2.77	0-1-1 1.65	0-0-2 1.89	2-0-0 2.89	—	0-1-1 2.55	0-0-2 3.36	2-0-0 3.37	0-2-0 3.57	1-0-1 2.65	1-0-1 1.36	0-1-1 3.27	1-1-0 1.73	1-1-0 2.90	1-0-1 2.67	1-0-1 3.73
Nacional	1-1-0 3.00	0-0-2 1.47	0-1-1 1.77	2-0-0 3.32	1-1-0 2.82	—	0-2-0 3.45	0-1-1 3.60	2-0-0 3.61	0-1-1 3.10	0-0-2 1.69	0-1-1 3.29	0-1-1 2.21	2-0-0 2.99	1-0-1 2.83	1-0-1 3.70
Naval 1 de Maio	0-0-2 2.31	0-0-2 0.99	0-1-1 1.35	1-0-1 2.58	2-0-0 2.06	0-2-0 1.99	—	0-1-1 2.80	1-0-1 2.74	2-0-0 2.16	0-0-2 1.05	1-1-0 2.36	1-0-1 1.43	1-0-1 2.25	0-1-1 2.10	1-0-1 2.92
Olhanense	1-1-0 2.23	0-1-1 0.89	0-0-2 1.41	1-1-0 2.56	0-0-2 2.06	1-1-0 1.84	1-1-0 2.56	—	0-1-1 2.85	0-2-0 2.13	0-1-1 1.03	1-0-1 2.33	0-1-1 1.46	0-1-1 2.32	0-1-1 2.09	0-2-0 2.94
Os Belenenses (1st)	0-1-1 2.11	0-0-2 1.20	0-0-2 1.41	0-1-1 2.40	0-2-0 1.87	0-0-2 1.85	1-0-1 2.63	1-1-0 2.54	—	0-1-1 2.12	0-1-1 0.91	0-2-0 2.33	0-1-1 1.30	1-0-1 1.97	0-0-2 1.96	1-1-0 2.83
Pacos de Ferreira	1-1-0 2.71	0-0-2 1.44	0-0-2 1.60	0-1-1 3.28	1-0-1 2.73	1-1-0 2.27	0-0-2 3.24	0-2-0 3.26	1-1-0 3.34	—	0-2-0 1.40	1-1-0 2.96	0-1-1 1.90	0-0-2 2.81	1-1-0 2.65	2-0-0 3.59
Porto	2-0-0 4.41	1-0-1 2.65	1-0-1 3.33	1-1-0 4.54	1-0-1 4.24	2-0-0 3.79	2-0-0 4.66	1-1-0 4.69	1-1-0 4.86	0-2-0 4.18	—	2-0-0 4.63	1-0-1 3.51	2-0-0 4.54	2-0-0 4.21	2-0-0 5.04
Rio Ave	1-1-0 2.51	0-0-2 1.06	0-1-1 1.54	1-1-0 2.57	1-1-0 2.13	1-1-0 2.10	0-1-1 3.01	1-0-1 3.06	0-2-0 3.05	0-1-1 2.40	0-0-2 1.07	—	0-1-1 1.53	0-1-1 2.54	0-1-1 2.17	1-1-0 2.99
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1-0-1 3.64	0-1-1 2.08	0-0-2 2.73	2-0-0 4.20	0-1-1 3.73	1-1-0 3.18	1-0-1 4.15	1-1-0 4.09	1-1-0 4.31	1-1-0 3.54	1-0-1 1.91	1-1-0 4.01	—	0-1-1 3.90	1-1-0 3.64	2-0-0 4.47
Uniao Leiria	0-2-0 2.81	0-0-2 1.46	0-0-2 1.66	1-0-1 2.97	0-1-1 2.45	0-0-2 2.36	1-0-1 3.12	1-1-0 3.10	1-0-1 3.44	2-0-0 2.54	0-0-2 1.14	1-1-0 2.82	1-1-0 1.61	—	0-1-1 2.56	1-1-0 3.26
Vitoria Guimaraes	1-0-1 2.95	0-0-2 1.67	1-0-1 1.70	1-0-1 3.05	1-0-1 2.71	1-0-1 2.55	1-1-0 3.29	1-1-0 3.32	2-0-0 3.49	0-1-1 2.71	0-0-2 1.38	1-1-0 3.20	0-1-1 1.81	1-1-0 2.81	—	0-2-0 3.45
Vitoria Setubal	0-1-1 2.05	0-1-1 1.08	0-1-1 1.14	2-0-0 2.15	1-0-1 1.73	1-0-1 1.77	1-0-1 2.45	0-2-0 2.43	0-1-1 2.55	0-0-2 1.87	0-0-2 0.78	0-1-1 2.36	0-0-2 1.19	0-1-1 2.17	0-2-0 2.00	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.67%	11.04%	5.42%	2.08%	1.46%	0.83%	32.50%
1	11.04%	11.25%	6.25%	3.33%	0.83%	0.83%	33.54%
2	5.42%	6.25%	4.17%	2.08%	0.62%	0.62%	19.17%
3	2.08%	3.33%	2.08%	1.25%	0.21%	0.21%	9.17%
4	1.46%	0.83%	0.62%	0.21%	—	—	3.12%
5+	0.83%	0.83%	0.62%	0.21%	—	—	2.50%
Total	32.50%	33.54%	19.17%	9.17%	3.12%	2.50%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.25
Mean allowed	1.25
StdDev scored	1.26
StdDev allowed	1.26
Mean total goals/game	2.50
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.030
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	30.00%
1	3.33%	16.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	30.00%
2	10.00%	6.67%	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	26.67%
3	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	13.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	36.67%	16.67%	10.00%	10.00%	—	100%

Academica de Coimbra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	1.40
StdDev scored	1.04
StdDev allowed	1.28
Mean total goals/game	2.63
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.187
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
1	23.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
2	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
5+	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
Total	53.33%	30.00%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Benfica — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.60
Mean allowed	0.67
StdDev scored	1.92
StdDev allowed	0.84
Mean total goals/game	3.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.042
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
1	23.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	3.33%	36.67%
2	16.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	30.00%
3	—	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	50.00%	43.33%	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	100%

Braga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.60
Mean allowed	0.67
StdDev scored	1.04
StdDev allowed	0.99
Mean total goals/game	2.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.067
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	20.00%	10.00%	—	3.33%	3.33%	46.67%
1	3.33%	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	33.33%
2	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	10.00%
3	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	33.33%	30.00%	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	100%

Leixoes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.83
Mean allowed	1.70
StdDev scored	0.99
StdDev allowed	1.32
Mean total goals/game	2.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.040
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	3.33%	23.33%
1	10.00%	10.00%	16.67%	—	3.33%	—	40.00%
2	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	23.33%	33.33%	30.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Maritimo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.40
Mean allowed	1.43
StdDev scored	1.25
StdDev allowed	1.22
Mean total goals/game	2.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.199
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	26.67%
1	10.00%	23.33%	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	43.33%
2	6.67%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	40.00%	20.00%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Nacional — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.20
Mean allowed	1.53
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.36
Mean total goals/game	2.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.065
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	20.00%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	56.67%
1	20.00%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
2	—	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	—	10.00%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	33.33%	13.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	100%

Naval 1 de Maio — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.67
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	0.92
StdDev allowed	1.23
Mean total goals/game	1.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.050
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	36.67%
1	10.00%	13.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	33.33%
2	—	3.33%	16.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	26.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	26.67%	26.67%	26.67%	13.33%	—	6.67%	100%

Olhanense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.03
Mean allowed	1.53
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.38
Mean total goals/game	2.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.170
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	20.00%	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	60.00%
1	—	6.67%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	20.00%
2	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
3	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	26.67%	33.33%	13.33%	20.00%	6.67%	—	100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.77
Mean allowed	1.47
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	1.28
Mean total goals/game	2.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.160
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
1	6.67%	23.33%	3.33%	13.33%	—	—	46.67%
2	—	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
Total	20.00%	53.33%	10.00%	16.67%	—	—	100%

Pacos de Ferreira — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.07
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	1.08
StdDev allowed	0.97
Mean total goals/game	2.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.280
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
1	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
2	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	16.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	30.00%
4	3.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
5+	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	33.33%	50.00%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Porto — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.33
Mean allowed	0.87
StdDev scored	1.54
StdDev allowed	0.78
Mean total goals/game	3.20
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.019
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	43.33%
1	13.33%	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	40.00%
2	6.67%	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	26.67%	20.00%	3.33%	—	6.67%	100%

Rio Ave — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.73
Mean allowed	1.10
StdDev scored	0.74
StdDev allowed	1.37
Mean total goals/game	1.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.163
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
1	10.00%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	30.00%
2	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	40.00%	36.67%	20.00%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Sporting Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.40
Mean allowed	0.87
StdDev scored	1.33
StdDev allowed	0.86
Mean total goals/game	2.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.018
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
1	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	33.33%
2	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	30.00%
3	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	26.67%	20.00%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Uniao Leiria — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	1.37
StdDev scored	1.02
StdDev allowed	1.35
Mean total goals/game	2.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.104
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
1	20.00%	6.67%	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	46.67%
2	13.33%	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	50.00%	10.00%	20.00%	16.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Vitoria Guimaraes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.03
Mean allowed	1.13
StdDev scored	0.81
StdDev allowed	1.31
Mean total goals/game	2.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.070
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	10.00%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	43.33%
1	6.67%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	26.67%
2	—	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	20.00%
3	—	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	23.33%	36.67%	6.67%	3.33%	10.00%	100%

Vitoria Setubal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.97
Mean allowed	1.90
StdDev scored	1.03
StdDev allowed	1.77
Mean total goals/game	2.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.319
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Braga	71	54.1	+16.85
2	Benfica	76	62.2	+13.77
3	Porto	68	63.6	+4.39
4	Naval 1 de Maio	36	31.9	+4.05
5	Maritimo	41	40.4	+0.59

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Leixoes	21	32.9	-11.85
2	Os Belenenses (1st)	23	30.1	-7.11
3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	48	54.0	-6.04
4	Nacional	39	43.1	-4.13
5	Academica de Coimbra	33	36.6	-3.56

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Braga	7	Aug 15 – Oct 3	1 in 383
2	Porto	8	Mar 13 – May 8	1 in 31
3	Benfica	9	Feb 13 – Apr 24	1 in 28
4	Vitoria Guimaraes	3	Dec 14 – Jan 9	1 in 25
5	Vitoria Setubal	2	Mar 14 – Mar 28	1 in 17

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Maritimo	4	Dec 13 – Jan 17	1 in 166
2	Os Belenenses (1st)	7	Jan 17 – Mar 7	1 in 80
3	Naval 1 de Maio	4	Aug 24 – Sep 20	1 in 31
4	Nacional	4	Jan 8 – Feb 7	1 in 29
5	Leixoes	4	Feb 20 – Mar 14	1 in 24

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Vitoria Setubal	6	Dec 20 – Feb 14	1 in 149
2	Pacos de Ferreira	7	Jan 10 – Feb 28	1 in 38
3	Benfica	19	Nov 9 – Apr 24	1 in 27
4	Braga	9	Aug 15 – Oct 31	1 in 20
5	Rio Ave	6	Aug 16 – Sep 26	1 in 19

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Os Belenenses (1st)	20	Aug 30 – Mar 7	1 in 299
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	6	Sep 26 – Nov 28	1 in 44
3	Pacos de Ferreira	7	Mar 28 – May 9	1 in 41
4	Academica de Coimbra	8	Aug 15 – Oct 25	1 in 21
5	Olhanense	11	Sep 21 – Jan 10	1 in 20

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Benfica	41.00%	40.00%	10.00%	6.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Braga	4.00%	12.00%	42.00%	24.00%	7.00%	8.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Porto	52.00%	32.00%	7.00%	9.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	3.00%	14.00%	30.00%	37.00%	11.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Maritimo	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	21.00%	15.00%	10.00%	14.00%	11.00%	5.00%	9.00%	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%	—	—
Vitoria Guimaraes	—	—	3.00%	7.00%	17.00%	16.00%	15.00%	10.00%	9.00%	6.00%	8.00%	3.00%	3.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—
Nacional	—	1.00%	6.00%	8.00%	10.00%	25.00%	16.00%	11.00%	6.00%	9.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Naval 1 de Maio	—	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	2.00%	2.00%	3.00%	8.00%	11.00%	10.00%	4.00%	13.00%	15.00%	17.00%	10.00%
Pacos de Ferreira	—	—	—	2.00%	11.00%	8.00%	15.00%	16.00%	13.00%	10.00%	4.00%	5.00%	7.00%	3.00%	4.00%	2.00%
Uniao Leiria	—	—	—	2.00%	4.00%	5.00%	10.00%	9.00%	22.00%	15.00%	11.00%	9.00%	7.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—
Academica de Coimbra	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	6.00%	11.00%	11.00%	13.00%	6.00%	7.00%	9.00%	10.00%	8.00%	11.00%	5.00%	1.00%
Rio Ave	—	—	—	—	3.00%	1.00%	9.00%	5.00%	7.00%	11.00%	12.00%	21.00%	11.00%	10.00%	4.00%	6.00%
Olhanense	—	—	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	4.00%	2.00%	12.00%	14.00%	16.00%	13.00%	19.00%	12.00%
Vitoria Setubal	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	2.00%	5.00%	8.00%	5.00%	8.00%	11.00%	16.00%	41.00%
Os Belenenses (1st)	—	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	5.00%	7.00%	8.00%	10.00%	13.00%	16.00%	14.00%	19.00%
Leixoes	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	5.00%	10.00%	6.00%	11.00%	6.00%	14.00%	9.00%	11.00%	16.00%	8.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Benfica	100%	—
Braga	100%	—
Maritimo	100%	—
Porto	100%	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	100%	—
Nacional	98.0%	2.0%
Uniao Leiria	98.0%	2.0%
Vitoria Guimaraes	98.0%	2.0%
Academica de Coimbra	94.0%	6.0%
Pacos de Ferreira	94.0%	6.0%
Rio Ave	90.0%	10.0%
Leixoes	76.0%	24.0%
Naval 1 de Maio	73.0%	27.0%
Olhanense	69.0%	31.0%
Os Belenenses (1st)	67.0%	33.0%
Vitoria Setubal	43.0%	57.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2009-08-14	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1747	1707	47.2%	29.9%	22.9%	-1.2	1
2009-08-14	@ Leixoes	D 0-0	1707	1747	22.9%	29.9%	47.2%	+1.2	1
2009-08-15	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1829	1756	51.9%	27.7%	20.4%	+5.1	3
2009-08-15	@ Braga	L 0-1	1756	1829	20.4%	27.7%	51.9%	-5.1	0
2009-08-15	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1816	1872	33.2%	32.9%	33.8%	+0.0	1
2009-08-15	@ Nacional	D 1-1	1872	1816	33.8%	32.9%	33.2%	-0.0	1
2009-08-16	Maritimo	D 1-1	1868	1764	56.5%	25.2%	18.4%	-1.7	1
2009-08-16	@ Benfica	D 1-1	1764	1868	18.4%	25.2%	56.5%	+1.7	1
2009-08-16	Olhanense	D 0-0	1705	1690	43.5%	31.3%	25.2%	-0.9	1
2009-08-16	@ Naval 1 de Maio	D 0-0	1690	1705	25.2%	31.3%	43.5%	+0.9	1
2009-08-16	Porto	D 1-1	1753	1939	20.0%	27.3%	52.6%	+1.5	1
2009-08-16	@ Pacos de Ferreira	D 1-1	1939	1753	52.6%	27.3%	20.0%	-1.5	1
2009-08-16	Rio Ave	D 1-1	1706	1695	43.1%	31.4%	25.5%	-0.8	1
2009-08-16	@ Uniao Leiria	D 1-1	1695	1706	25.5%	31.4%	43.1%	+0.8	1
2009-08-17	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1691	1759	31.6%	32.9%	35.5%	+0.2	1
2009-08-17	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1759	1691	35.5%	32.9%	31.6%	-0.2	1
2009-08-21	Uniao Leiria	D 0-0	1691	1706	39.3%	32.4%	28.3%	-0.5	2
2009-08-21	@ Olhanense	D 0-0	1706	1691	28.3%	32.4%	39.3%	+0.5	2
2009-08-22	Pacos de Ferreira	D 1-1	1751	1754	41.0%	32.0%	27.0%	-0.6	1
2009-08-22	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1754	1751	27.0%	32.0%	41.0%	+0.6	2
2009-08-22	Braga	L 1-2	1872	1834	47.0%	30.0%	23.0%	-9.3	1
2009-08-22	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1834	1872	23.0%	30.0%	47.0%	+9.3	6
2009-08-23	Leixoes	W 1-0	1766	1745	44.4%	31.0%	24.6%	+6.1	4
2009-08-23	@ Maritimo	L 0-1	1745	1766	24.6%	31.0%	44.4%	-6.2	1
2009-08-23	Nacional	W 3-0	1937	1816	58.9%	23.7%	17.4%	+11.4	4
2009-08-23	@ Porto	L 0-3	1816	1937	17.4%	23.7%	58.9%	-11.4	1
2009-08-23	Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1696	1691	42.0%	31.7%	26.2%	+6.5	4
2009-08-23	@ Rio Ave	L 0-1	1691	1696	26.2%	31.7%	42.0%	-6.5	1
2009-08-23	Benfica	L 0-1	1759	1867	26.8%	31.9%	41.3%	-6.6	1
2009-08-23	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1867	1759	41.3%	31.9%	26.8%	+6.6	4
2009-08-24	Naval 1 de Maio	W 2-0	1708	1704	42.0%	31.7%	26.2%	+12.2	4
2009-08-24	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-2	1704	1708	26.2%	31.7%	42.0%	-12.2	1
2009-08-29	Porto	L 1-3	1691	1949	16.1%	21.2%	62.7%	-6.0	1
2009-08-29	@ Naval 1 de Maio	W 3-1	1949	1691	62.7%	21.2%	16.1%	+6.0	7
2009-08-29	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1755	1752	41.7%	31.8%	26.5%	-0.7	3
2009-08-29	@ Pacos de Ferreira	D 0-0	1752	1755	26.5%	31.8%	41.7%	+0.7	2
2009-08-30	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1751	1863	26.3%	31.8%	41.9%	-12.3	1
2009-08-30	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1863	1751	41.9%	31.8%	26.3%	+12.3	4
2009-08-30	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-1	1843	1720	59.1%	23.5%	17.3%	+6.8	9
2009-08-30	@ Braga	L 1-3	1720	1843	17.3%	23.5%	59.1%	-6.8	4
2009-08-30	Rio Ave	D 0-0	1739	1702	46.8%	30.1%	23.1%	-1.2	2
2009-08-30	@ Leixoes	D 0-0	1702	1739	23.1%	30.1%	46.8%	+1.2	5
2009-08-30	Maritimo	D 0-0	1706	1772	31.9%	32.9%	35.2%	+0.1	3
2009-08-30	@ Uniao Leiria	D 0-0	1772	1706	35.2%	32.9%	31.9%	-0.1	5
2009-08-31	Vitoria Setubal	W 8-1	1873	1685	68.2%	17.5%	14.3%	+15.4	7
2009-08-31	@ Benfica	L 1-8	1685	1873	14.3%	17.5%	68.2%	-15.4	1
2009-08-31	Olhanense	D 1-1	1805	1690	57.9%	24.3%	17.8%	-1.8	2
2009-08-31	@ Nacional	D 1-1	1690	1805	17.8%	24.3%	57.9%	+1.8	3
2009-09-11	Naval 1 de Maio	W 3-0	1753	1685	51.2%	28.1%	20.7%	+14.2	5
2009-09-11	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-3	1685	1753	20.7%	28.1%	51.2%	-14.2	1
2009-09-12	Leixoes	W 4-1	1955	1738	71.9%	15.0%	13.1%	+6.3	10
2009-09-12	@ Porto	L 1-4	1738	1955	13.1%	15.0%	71.9%	-6.3	2
2009-09-12	Nacional	W 2-0	1703	1803	27.7%	32.2%	40.1%	+16.6	8
2009-09-12	@ Rio Ave	L 0-2	1803	1703	40.1%	32.2%	27.7%	-16.6	2
2009-09-13	Benfica	L 0-4	1714	1889	20.8%	28.1%	51.1%	-18.6	4
2009-09-13	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 4-0	1889	1714	51.1%	28.1%	20.8%	+18.6	10
2009-09-13	Braga	L 1-2	1772	1850	30.3%	32.7%	37.0%	-6.9	5
2009-09-13	@ Maritimo	W 2-1	1850	1772	37.0%	32.7%	30.3%	+6.8	12
2009-09-13	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1692	1739	34.7%	32.9%	32.4%	+7.2	6
2009-09-13	@ Olhanense	L 1-2	1739	1692	32.4%	32.9%	34.7%	-7.2	1
2009-09-13	Pacos de Ferreira	W 1-0	1875	1754	58.9%	23.7%	17.4%	+4.2	7
2009-09-13	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1754	1875	17.4%	23.7%	58.9%	-4.2	3
2009-09-13	Uniao Leiria	L 0-4	1670	1706	36.1%	32.8%	31.1%	-29.3	1
2009-09-13	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 4-0	1706	1670	31.1%	32.8%	36.1%	+29.3	6
2009-09-18	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-1	1732	1767	36.2%	32.8%	31.0%	+12.1	5
2009-09-18	@ Leixoes	L 1-3	1767	1732	31.0%	32.8%	36.2%	-12.1	5
2009-09-19	Porto	W 1-0	1857	1961	27.2%	32.0%	40.8%	+8.9	15
2009-09-19	@ Braga	L 0-1	1961	1857	40.8%	32.0%	27.2%	-8.9	10
2009-09-19	Rio Ave	D 1-1	1750	1720	45.7%	30.5%	23.7%	-1.0	4
2009-09-19	@ Pacos de Ferreira	D 1-1	1720	1750	23.7%	30.5%	45.7%	+1.0	9
2009-09-20	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1731	1695	46.7%	30.1%	23.2%	-1.0	2
2009-09-20	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1695	1731	23.2%	30.1%	46.7%	+1.0	5
2009-09-20	Maritimo	W 2-1	1786	1765	44.5%	31.0%	24.5%	+5.8	5
2009-09-20	@ Nacional	L 1-2	1765	1786	24.5%	31.0%	44.5%	-5.8	5
2009-09-20	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1671	1640	45.9%	30.5%	23.6%	-9.7	1
2009-09-20	@ Naval 1 de Maio	W 1-0	1640	1671	23.6%	30.5%	45.9%	+9.7	4
2009-09-20	Benfica	L 1-2	1736	1907	21.0%	28.4%	50.6%	-4.9	6
2009-09-20	@ Uniao Leiria	W 2-1	1907	1736	50.6%	28.4%	21.0%	+5.0	13
2009-09-21	Olhanense	W 3-2	1879	1699	67.0%	18.3%	14.6%	+2.9	10
2009-09-21	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1699	1879	14.6%	18.3%	67.0%	-2.9	6
2009-09-25	Braga	L 0-1	1697	1866	21.2%	28.6%	50.2%	-5.3	6
2009-09-25	@ Olhanense	W 1-0	1866	1697	50.2%	28.6%	21.2%	+5.3	18
2009-09-26	Leixoes	W 5-0	1912	1744	65.5%	19.4%	15.1%	+15.0	16
2009-09-26	@ Benfica	L 0-5	1744	1912	15.1%	19.4%	65.5%	-15.0	5
2009-09-26	Naval 1 de Maio	L 1-2	1759	1662	55.5%	25.7%	18.8%	-10.4	5
2009-09-26	@ Maritimo	W 2-1	1662	1759	18.8%	25.7%	55.5%	+10.4	4
2009-09-26	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1952	1882	51.5%	27.9%	20.6%	+5.1	13
2009-09-26	@ Porto	L 0-1	1882	1952	20.6%	27.9%	51.5%	-5.1	10
2009-09-26	Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1721	1730	40.0%	32.2%	27.8%	-0.6	10
2009-09-26	@ Rio Ave	D 0-0	1730	1721	27.8%	32.2%	40.0%	+0.6	3
2009-09-26	Pacos de Ferreira	L 0-1	1650	1749	27.8%	32.2%	40.0%	-6.8	4
2009-09-26	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1749	1650	40.0%	32.2%	27.8%	+6.8	7
2009-09-28	Uniao Leiria	D 2-2	1755	1731	45.0%	30.8%	24.2%	-0.7	6
2009-09-28	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 2-2	1731	1755	24.2%	30.8%	45.0%	+0.7	7
2009-10-02	Maritimo	L 2-4	1731	1749	38.8%	32.5%	28.7%	-12.6	3
2009-10-02	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 4-2	1749	1731	28.7%	32.5%	38.8%	+12.6	8
2009-10-03	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-0	1871	1643	73.3%	14.1%	12.6%	+4.8	21
2009-10-03	@ Braga	L 0-2	1643	1871	12.6%	14.1%	73.3%	-4.8	4
2009-10-03	Rio Ave	W 3-2	1672	1720	34.4%	32.9%	32.7%	+6.9	7
2009-10-03	@ Naval 1 de Maio	L 2-3	1720	1672	32.7%	32.9%	34.4%	-6.9	10
2009-10-04	Uniao Leiria	W 3-2	1729	1731	41.1%	32.0%	27.0%	+6.0	8
2009-10-04	@ Leixoes	L 2-3	1731	1729	27.0%	32.0%	41.1%	-5.9	7
2009-10-04	Porto	L 0-3	1691	1957	15.6%	20.4%	63.9%	-9.8	6
2009-10-04	@ Olhanense	W 3-0	1957	1691	63.9%	20.4%	15.6%	+9.8	16
2009-10-04	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1877	1696	67.2%	18.2%	14.6%	-2.7	11
2009-10-04	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1696	1877	14.6%	18.2%	67.2%	+2.7	6
2009-10-05	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-0	1792	1755	46.8%	30.1%	23.1%	+10.9	8
2009-10-05	@ Nacional	L 0-2	1755	1792	23.1%	30.1%	46.8%	-10.9	6
2009-10-05	Benfica	L 1-3	1756	1927	21.0%	28.4%	50.6%	-8.6	7
2009-10-05	@ Pacos de Ferreira	W 3-1	1927	1756	50.6%	28.4%	21.0%	+8.6	19
2009-10-12	Nacional	L 0-1	1699	1803	27.2%	32.0%	40.8%	-6.7	6
2009-10-12	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1803	1699	40.8%	32.0%	27.2%	+6.7	11
2009-10-23	Olhanense	D 0-0	1692	1682	42.9%	31.5%	25.6%	-0.8	7
2009-10-23	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1682	1692	25.6%	31.5%	42.9%	+0.8	7
2009-10-24	Braga	D 1-1	1713	1876	21.7%	29.0%	49.2%	+1.2	11
2009-10-24	@ Rio Ave	D 1-1	1876	1713	49.2%	29.0%	21.7%	-1.2	22
2009-10-24	Naval 1 de Maio	W 2-0	1725	1679	48.2%	29.5%	22.3%	+10.6	10
2009-10-24	@ Uniao Leiria	L 0-2	1679	1725	22.3%	29.5%	48.2%	-10.6	7
2009-10-25	Pacos de Ferreira	W 3-1	1761	1747	43.5%	31.3%	25.2%	+10.2	11
2009-10-25	@ Maritimo	L 1-3	1747	1761	25.2%	31.3%	43.5%	-10.2	7
2009-10-25	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-2	1967	1718	75.9%	12.4%	11.8%	+2.1	19
2009-10-25	@ Porto	L 2-3	1718	1967	11.8%	12.4%	75.9%	-2.1	3
2009-10-25	Leixoes	W 1-0	1638	1735	28.0%	32.3%	39.7%	+8.8	7
2009-10-25	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1735	1638	39.7%	32.3%	28.0%	-8.8	8
2009-10-26	Nacional	W 6-1	1936	1810	59.6%	23.2%	17.2%	+14.9	22
2009-10-26	@ Benfica	L 1-6	1810	1936	17.2%	23.2%	59.6%	-14.9	11
2009-10-27	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1744	1874	24.4%	30.9%	44.7%	+0.9	7
2009-10-27	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1874	1744	44.7%	30.9%	24.4%	-0.9	12
2009-10-30	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1969	1691	79.2%	10.1%	10.6%	-3.0	20
2009-10-30	@ Porto	D 1-1	1691	1969	10.6%	10.1%	79.2%	+3.0	8
2009-10-31	Benfica	W 2-0	1875	1951	30.6%	32.8%	36.7%	+15.6	25
2009-10-31	@ Braga	L 0-2	1951	1875	36.7%	32.8%	30.6%	-15.6	22
2009-10-31	Leixoes	W 1-0	1668	1726	33.0%	32.9%	34.1%	+7.9	10
2009-10-31	@ Naval 1 de Maio	L 0-1	1726	1668	34.1%	32.9%	33.0%	-7.9	8
2009-11-01	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1795	1647	62.6%	21.3%	16.1%	+3.5	14
2009-11-01	@ Nacional	L 1-2	1647	1795	16.1%	21.3%	62.6%	-3.5	7
2009-11-01	Rio Ave	L 0-1	1682	1715	36.7%	32.8%	30.5%	-8.3	7
2009-11-01	@ Olhanense	W 1-0	1715	1682	30.5%	32.8%	36.7%	+8.3	14
2009-11-01	Uniao Leiria	L 0-1	1737	1736	41.5%	31.9%	26.6%	-9.0	7
2009-11-01	@ Pacos de Ferreira	W 1-0	1736	1737	26.6%	31.9%	41.5%	+9.0	13
2009-11-01	Maritimo	D 1-1	1874	1772	56.1%	25.4%	18.5%	-1.7	13
2009-11-01	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1772	1874	18.5%	25.4%	56.1%	+1.7	12
2009-11-02	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-0	1716	1745	37.3%	32.7%	30.0%	+13.6	6
2009-11-02	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1745	1716	30.0%	32.7%	37.3%	-13.6	7
2009-11-06	Pacos de Ferreira	L 0-3	1694	1728	36.5%	32.8%	30.7%	-22.6	8
2009-11-06	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-0	1728	1694	30.7%	32.8%	36.5%	+22.6	10
2009-11-07	Braga	W 1-0	1731	1890	22.0%	29.2%	48.8%	+10.1	10
2009-11-07	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1890	1731	48.8%	29.2%	22.0%	-10.1	25
2009-11-07	Olhanense	D 0-0	1644	1674	37.0%	32.7%	30.3%	-0.3	8
2009-11-07	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1674	1644	30.3%	32.7%	37.0%	+0.3	8
2009-11-08	Nacional	L 2-4	1718	1798	30.1%	32.7%	37.3%	-10.5	8
2009-11-08	@ Leixoes	W 4-2	1798	1718	37.3%	32.7%	30.1%	+10.5	17
2009-11-08	Porto	W 1-0	1773	1966	19.6%	26.8%	53.6%	+10.8	15
2009-11-08	@ Maritimo	L 0-1	1966	1773	53.6%	26.8%	19.6%	-10.8	20
2009-11-08	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1723	1872	22.8%	29.9%	47.3%	+0.8	15
2009-11-08	@ Rio Ave	D 2-2	1872	1723	47.3%	29.9%	22.8%	-0.8	14
2009-11-08	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1745	1730	43.6%	31.3%	25.1%	-0.8	14
2009-11-08	@ Uniao Leiria	D 1-1	1730	1745	25.1%	31.3%	43.6%	+0.8	7
2009-11-09	Naval 1 de Maio	W 1-0	1935	1676	77.1%	11.5%	11.3%	+2.2	25
2009-11-09	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1676	1935	11.3%	11.5%	77.1%	-2.2	10
2009-11-27	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1674	1741	31.8%	32.9%	35.3%	-14.2	8
2009-11-27	@ Olhanense	W 2-0	1741	1674	35.3%	32.9%	31.8%	+14.2	13
2009-11-28	Naval 1 de Maio	D 1-1	1809	1674	60.8%	22.5%	16.7%	-2.0	18
2009-11-28	@ Nacional	D 1-1	1674	1809	16.7%	22.5%	60.8%	+2.0	11
2009-11-28	Benfica	D 0-0	1871	1937	31.9%	32.9%	35.3%	+0.2	15
2009-11-28	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1937	1871	35.3%	32.9%	31.9%	-0.1	26
2009-11-29	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-0	1731	1643	54.1%	26.6%	19.4%	+13.1	10
2009-11-29	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-3	1643	1731	19.4%	26.6%	54.1%	-13.1	8
2009-11-29	Maritimo	D 2-2	1672	1784	26.2%	31.7%	42.0%	+0.5	9
2009-11-29	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 2-2	1784	1672	42.0%	31.7%	26.2%	-0.5	16
2009-11-29	Leixoes	D 1-1	1750	1708	47.6%	29.8%	22.6%	-1.1	11
2009-11-29	@ Pacos de Ferreira	D 1-1	1708	1750	22.6%	29.8%	47.6%	+1.1	9
2009-11-29	Rio Ave	W 2-1	1955	1724	73.8%	13.8%	12.4%	+2.4	23
2009-11-29	@ Porto	L 1-2	1724	1955	12.4%	13.8%	73.8%	-2.4	15
2009-11-30	Uniao Leiria	W 2-0	1880	1744	61.0%	22.4%	16.7%	+7.4	28
2009-11-30	@ Braga	L 0-2	1744	1880	16.7%	22.4%	61.0%	-7.4	14
2009-12-04	Porto	L 1-4	1755	1958	19.0%	26.0%	55.0%	-10.8	13
2009-12-04	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-1	1958	1755	55.0%	26.0%	19.0%	+10.8	26
2009-12-05	Braga	D 1-1	1709	1888	20.5%	27.9%	51.6%	+1.4	10
2009-12-05	@ Leixoes	D 1-1	1888	1709	51.6%	27.9%	20.5%	-1.4	29
2009-12-05	Pacos de Ferreira	W 1-0	1676	1749	30.9%	32.8%	36.3%	+8.2	14
2009-12-05	@ Naval 1 de Maio	L 0-1	1749	1676	36.3%	32.8%	30.9%	-8.2	11
2009-12-05	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1721	1672	48.6%	29.3%	22.1%	-1.3	16
2009-12-05	@ Rio Ave	D 0-0	1672	1721	22.1%	29.3%	48.6%	+1.3	10
2009-12-06	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-0	1937	1744	68.9%	17.1%	14.0%	+10.8	29
2009-12-06	@ Benfica	L 0-4	1744	1937	14.0%	17.1%	68.9%	-10.8	10
2009-12-06	Olhanense	W 5-2	1784	1660	59.2%	23.5%	17.3%	+8.2	19
2009-12-06	@ Maritimo	L 2-5	1660	1784	17.3%	23.5%	59.2%	-8.2	8
2009-12-07	Nacional	L 1-2	1737	1807	31.4%	32.8%	35.8%	-7.0	14
2009-12-07	@ Uniao Leiria	W 2-1	1807	1737	35.8%	32.8%	31.4%	+7.0	21
2009-12-07	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1630	1871	16.8%	22.7%	60.5%	-7.5	8
2009-12-07	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 2-0	1871	1630	60.5%	22.7%	16.8%	+7.5	18
2009-12-11	Nacional	W 2-1	1741	1814	31.0%	32.8%	36.2%	+7.8	14
2009-12-11	@ Pacos de Ferreira	L 1-2	1814	1741	36.2%	32.8%	31.0%	-7.8	21
2009-12-12	Benfica	D 2-2	1652	1948	14.3%	17.6%	68.1%	+1.8	9
2009-12-12	@ Olhanense	D 2-2	1948	1652	68.1%	17.6%	14.3%	-1.8	30
2009-12-12	Uniao Leiria	L 0-1	1879	1730	62.8%	21.2%	16.0%	-11.9	18
2009-12-12	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1730	1879	16.0%	21.2%	62.8%	+11.9	17
2009-12-13	Leixoes	W 2-0	1733	1710	44.7%	30.9%	24.4%	+11.5	13
2009-12-13	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1710	1733	24.4%	30.9%	44.7%	-11.5	10
2009-12-13	Naval 1 de Maio	D 0-0	1886	1684	70.0%	16.3%	13.7%	-2.8	30
2009-12-13	@ Braga	D 0-0	1684	1886	13.7%	16.3%	70.0%	+2.8	15
2009-12-13	Rio Ave	L 0-1	1792	1720	51.8%	27.8%	20.4%	-10.5	19
2009-12-13	@ Maritimo	W 1-0	1720	1792	20.4%	27.8%	51.8%	+10.5	19
2009-12-13	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-0	1968	1623	85.9%	6.0%	8.1%	+2.7	29
2009-12-13	@ Porto	L 0-2	1623	1968	8.1%	6.0%	85.9%	-2.7	8
2009-12-14	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1673	1744	31.2%	32.8%	36.0%	-7.4	10
2009-12-14	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1744	1673	36.0%	32.8%	31.2%	+7.4	16
2009-12-18	Braga	L 0-1	1749	1883	24.1%	30.7%	45.2%	-6.0	14
2009-12-18	@ Pacos de Ferreira	W 1-0	1883	1749	45.2%	30.7%	24.1%	+6.0	33
2009-12-19	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1687	1867	20.4%	27.8%	51.8%	-5.1	15
2009-12-19	@ Naval 1 de Maio	W 1-0	1867	1687	51.8%	27.8%	20.4%	+5.1	21
2009-12-19	Rio Ave	W 1-0	1752	1731	44.5%	31.0%	24.5%	+6.1	19
2009-12-19	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1731	1752	24.5%	31.0%	44.5%	-6.1	19
2009-12-20	Porto	W 1-0	1946	1971	37.8%	32.6%	29.6%	+7.1	33
2009-12-20	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1971	1946	29.6%	32.6%	37.8%	-7.1	29
2009-12-20	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-3	1806	1744	50.3%	28.5%	21.1%	+4.6	24
2009-12-20	@ Nacional	L 3-4	1744	1806	21.1%	28.5%	50.3%	-4.6	13
2009-12-20	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1742	1666	52.4%	27.5%	20.1%	+5.0	20
2009-12-20	@ Uniao Leiria	L 0-1	1666	1742	20.1%	27.5%	52.4%	-5.0	10
2009-12-20	Maritimo	W 3-2	1620	1781	21.8%	29.1%	49.1%	+9.1	11
2009-12-20	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 2-3	1781	1620	49.1%	29.1%	21.8%	-9.1	19
2009-12-21	Olhanense	D 2-2	1699	1654	47.9%	29.6%	22.4%	-0.8	11
2009-12-21	@ Leixoes	D 2-2	1654	1699	22.4%	29.6%	47.9%	+0.8	10
2010-01-08	Nacional	W 2-0	1889	1811	52.8%	27.3%	19.9%	+9.3	36
2010-01-08	@ Braga	L 0-2	1811	1889	19.9%	27.3%	52.8%	-9.3	24
2010-01-09	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1772	1758	43.5%	31.3%	25.2%	-9.3	19
2010-01-09	@ Maritimo	W 1-0	1758	1772	25.2%	31.3%	43.5%	+9.3	22
2010-01-09	Benfica	L 0-1	1724	1953	17.5%	23.8%	58.8%	-4.2	19
2010-01-09	@ Rio Ave	W 1-0	1953	1724	58.8%	23.8%	17.5%	+4.2	36
2010-01-09	Leixoes	W 1-0	1872	1698	66.3%	18.9%	14.9%	+3.3	24
2010-01-09	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1698	1872	14.9%	18.9%	66.3%	-3.3	11
2010-01-10	Naval 1 de Maio	W 2-0	1740	1682	49.8%	28.8%	21.4%	+10.1	16
2010-01-10	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1682	1740	21.4%	28.8%	49.8%	-10.1	15
2010-01-10	Pacos de Ferreira	D 1-1	1655	1743	29.0%	32.5%	38.5%	+0.4	11
2010-01-10	@ Olhanense	D 1-1	1743	1655	38.5%	32.5%	29.0%	-0.4	15
2010-01-10	Uniao Leiria	W 3-2	1964	1747	72.0%	15.0%	13.0%	+2.4	32
2010-01-10	@ Porto	L 2-3	1747	1964	13.0%	15.0%	72.0%	-2.4	20
2010-01-11	Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1661	1629	46.0%	30.4%	23.5%	-1.1	11
2010-01-11	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1629	1661	23.5%	30.4%	46.0%	+1.1	12
2010-01-16	Naval 1 de Maio	W 1-0	1655	1672	39.0%	32.4%	28.6%	+7.0	14
2010-01-16	@ Olhanense	L 0-1	1672	1655	28.6%	32.4%	39.0%	-7.0	15
2010-01-16	Pacos de Ferreira	D 1-1	1966	1742	72.8%	14.4%	12.8%	-2.7	33
2010-01-16	@ Porto	D 1-1	1742	1966	12.8%	14.4%	72.8%	+2.7	16
2010-01-16	Nacional	W 3-2	1875	1801	52.1%	27.6%	20.3%	+4.5	27
2010-01-16	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1801	1875	20.3%	27.6%	52.1%	-4.5	24
2010-01-16	Vitoria Setubal	D 2-2	1767	1630	61.2%	22.2%	16.6%	-1.5	23
2010-01-16	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 2-2	1630	1767	16.6%	22.2%	61.2%	+1.5	13
2010-01-17	Braga	L 0-2	1750	1899	22.8%	29.9%	47.3%	-10.8	16
2010-01-17	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1899	1750	47.3%	29.9%	22.8%	+10.8	39
2010-01-17	Leixoes	L 1-3	1660	1695	36.4%	32.8%	30.9%	-13.5	11
2010-01-17	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-1	1695	1660	30.9%	32.8%	36.4%	+13.5	14
2010-01-17	Benfica	L 0-5	1763	1957	19.5%	26.7%	53.9%	-21.2	19
2010-01-17	@ Maritimo	W 5-0	1957	1763	53.9%	26.7%	19.5%	+21.2	39
2010-01-17	Uniao Leiria	L 0-2	1720	1744	37.9%	32.6%	29.5%	-16.0	19
2010-01-17	@ Rio Ave	W 2-0	1744	1720	29.5%	32.6%	37.9%	+16.0	23
2010-01-29	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1910	1880	45.7%	30.5%	23.7%	+6.0	42
2010-01-29	@ Braga	L 0-1	1880	1910	23.7%	30.5%	45.7%	-6.0	27
2010-01-30	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-1	1979	1766	71.4%	15.4%	13.2%	+4.5	42
2010-01-30	@ Benfica	L 1-3	1766	1979	13.2%	15.4%	71.4%	-4.5	23
2010-01-30	Porto	L 0-4	1797	1964	21.4%	28.7%	49.9%	-19.2	24
2010-01-30	@ Nacional	W 4-0	1964	1797	49.9%	28.7%	21.4%	+19.2	36
2010-01-30	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1665	1646	44.1%	31.1%	24.8%	+6.2	18
2010-01-30	@ Naval 1 de Maio	L 0-1	1646	1665	24.8%	31.1%	44.1%	-6.2	11
2010-01-30	Olhanense	W 2-0	1760	1662	55.6%	25.7%	18.7%	+8.6	26
2010-01-30	@ Uniao Leiria	L 0-2	1662	1760	18.7%	25.7%	55.6%	-8.6	14
2010-01-31	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1745	1739	42.3%	31.7%	26.1%	+6.1	19
2010-01-31	@ Pacos de Ferreira	L 1-2	1739	1745	26.1%	31.7%	42.3%	-6.1	16
2010-01-31	Rio Ave	D 2-2	1632	1704	31.0%	32.8%	36.2%	+0.2	14
2010-01-31	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 2-2	1704	1632	36.2%	32.8%	31.0%	-0.2	20
2010-02-01	Maritimo	L 1-2	1708	1742	36.5%	32.8%	30.7%	-7.8	14
2010-02-01	@ Leixoes	W 2-1	1742	1708	30.7%	32.8%	36.5%	+7.8	22
2010-02-03	Uniao Leiria	W 3-0	1983	1769	71.6%	15.2%	13.2%	+7.5	45
2010-02-03	@ Benfica	L 0-3	1769	1983	13.2%	15.2%	71.6%	-7.5	26
2010-02-06	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1874	1733	61.6%	21.9%	16.4%	-11.1	27
2010-02-06	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1733	1874	16.4%	21.9%	61.6%	+11.1	19
2010-02-06	Benfica	D 1-1	1632	1991	11.7%	12.2%	76.1%	+2.8	15
2010-02-06	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1991	1632	76.1%	12.2%	11.7%	-2.8	46
2010-02-07	Uniao Leiria	W 1-0	1750	1761	39.7%	32.3%	28.0%	+6.9	25
2010-02-07	@ Maritimo	L 0-1	1761	1750	28.0%	32.3%	39.7%	-6.9	26
2010-02-07	Nacional	W 1-0	1653	1778	25.1%	31.2%	43.7%	+9.4	17
2010-02-07	@ Olhanense	L 0-1	1778	1653	43.7%	31.2%	25.1%	-9.4	24
2010-02-07	Naval 1 de Maio	W 3-0	1983	1671	82.8%	7.9%	9.3%	+4.6	39
2010-02-07	@ Porto	L 0-3	1671	1983	9.3%	7.9%	82.8%	-4.6	18
2010-02-07	Leixoes	W 2-0	1704	1700	42.0%	31.8%	26.3%	+12.3	23
2010-02-07	@ Rio Ave	L 0-2	1700	1704	26.3%	31.8%	42.0%	-12.3	14
2010-02-07	Pacos de Ferreira	L 1-2	1761	1751	42.9%	31.5%	25.6%	-8.7	23
2010-02-07	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1751	1761	25.6%	31.5%	42.9%	+8.7	22
2010-02-08	Braga	L 1-3	1640	1915	15.2%	19.5%	65.3%	-5.6	11
2010-02-08	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-1	1915	1640	65.3%	19.5%	15.2%	+5.6	45
2010-02-12	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1760	1863	27.3%	32.1%	40.6%	+0.6	23
2010-02-12	@ Pacos de Ferreira	D 0-0	1863	1760	40.6%	32.1%	27.3%	-0.6	28
2010-02-13	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1988	1635	86.6%	5.6%	7.8%	+1.4	49
2010-02-13	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1635	1988	7.8%	5.6%	86.6%	-1.4	11
2010-02-13	Porto	D 0-0	1688	1987	14.1%	17.3%	68.5%	+2.7	15
2010-02-13	@ Leixoes	D 0-0	1987	1688	68.5%	17.3%	14.1%	-2.7	40
2010-02-14	Olhanense	D 1-1	1744	1663	53.2%	27.0%	19.8%	-1.5	20
2010-02-14	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1663	1744	19.8%	27.0%	53.2%	+1.5	18
2010-02-14	Maritimo	W 2-1	1921	1756	65.0%	19.7%	15.3%	+3.2	48
2010-02-14	@ Braga	L 1-2	1756	1921	15.3%	19.7%	65.0%	-3.2	25
2010-02-14	Rio Ave	D 1-1	1768	1716	48.9%	29.2%	21.9%	-1.2	25
2010-02-14	@ Nacional	D 1-1	1716	1768	21.9%	29.2%	48.9%	+1.2	24
2010-02-14	Vitoria Setubal	D 3-3	1755	1635	58.7%	23.8%	17.5%	-1.2	27
2010-02-14	@ Uniao Leiria	D 3-3	1635	1755	17.5%	23.8%	58.7%	+1.2	16
2010-02-15	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1666	1753	29.3%	32.6%	38.2%	+0.4	19
2010-02-15	@ Naval 1 de Maio	D 0-0	1753	1666	38.2%	32.6%	29.3%	-0.4	24
2010-02-19	Nacional	D 1-1	1753	1767	39.4%	32.4%	28.3%	-0.5	26
2010-02-19	@ Maritimo	D 1-1	1767	1753	28.3%	32.4%	39.4%	+0.5	26
2010-02-20	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1664	1862	19.2%	26.4%	54.4%	+1.8	19
2010-02-20	@ Olhanense	D 0-0	1862	1664	54.4%	26.4%	19.2%	-1.8	29
2010-02-20	Leixoes	W 2-0	1752	1691	50.3%	28.5%	21.1%	+10.0	27
2010-02-20	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1691	1752	21.1%	28.5%	50.3%	-10.0	15
2010-02-21	Braga	W 5-1	1985	1924	50.2%	28.6%	21.2%	+15.9	43
2010-02-21	@ Porto	L 1-5	1924	1985	21.2%	28.6%	50.2%	-15.9	48
2010-02-21	Pacos de Ferreira	L 1-2	1718	1760	35.2%	32.9%	31.9%	-7.6	24
2010-02-21	@ Rio Ave	W 2-1	1760	1718	31.9%	32.9%	35.2%	+7.6	26
2010-02-21	Naval 1 de Maio	L 0-1	1636	1667	36.9%	32.7%	30.4%	-8.3	16
2010-02-21	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1667	1636	30.4%	32.7%	36.9%	+8.3	22
2010-02-22	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1633	1743	26.6%	31.9%	41.6%	-6.2	11
2010-02-22	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1743	1633	41.6%	31.9%	26.6%	+6.2	23
2010-02-26	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1753	1762	40.1%	32.2%	27.7%	-8.8	27
2010-02-26	@ Uniao Leiria	W 1-0	1762	1753	27.7%	32.2%	40.1%	+8.8	30
2010-02-27	Olhanense	W 3-1	1908	1666	75.1%	12.8%	12.0%	+3.9	51
2010-02-27	@ Braga	L 1-3	1666	1908	12.0%	12.8%	75.1%	-3.9	19
2010-02-27	Benfica	L 0-4	1681	1989	13.8%	16.5%	69.8%	-10.5	15
2010-02-27	@ Leixoes	W 4-0	1989	1681	69.8%	16.5%	13.8%	+10.5	52
2010-02-27	Maritimo	W 2-1	1675	1753	30.3%	32.7%	36.9%	+7.9	25
2010-02-27	@ Naval 1 de Maio	L 1-2	1753	1675	36.9%	32.7%	30.3%	-7.9	26
2010-02-28	Rio Ave	L 0-1	1749	1710	47.1%	30.0%	22.9%	-9.8	23
2010-02-28	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1710	1749	22.9%	30.0%	47.1%	+9.8	27
2010-02-28	Vitoria Setubal	W 5-3	1768	1627	61.6%	21.9%	16.4%	+5.3	29
2010-02-28	@ Pacos de Ferreira	L 3-5	1627	1768	16.4%	21.9%	61.6%	-5.3	16
2010-02-28	Porto	W 3-0	1860	2000	23.6%	30.4%	46.0%	+26.5	32
2010-02-28	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	2000	1860	46.0%	30.4%	23.6%	-26.5	43
2010-03-02	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1768	1627	61.6%	21.9%	16.4%	+3.8	29
2010-03-02	@ Nacional	L 0-1	1627	1768	16.4%	21.9%	61.6%	-3.8	11
2010-03-05	Leixoes	W 2-1	1745	1670	52.2%	27.6%	20.2%	+4.8	30
2010-03-05	@ Uniao Leiria	L 1-2	1670	1745	20.2%	27.6%	52.2%	-4.8	15
2010-03-06	Olhanense	D 2-2	1974	1662	82.8%	7.8%	9.3%	-2.4	44
2010-03-06	@ Porto	D 2-2	1662	1974	9.3%	7.8%	82.8%	+2.3	20
2010-03-06	Naval 1 de Maio	D 0-0	1720	1683	46.8%	30.1%	23.1%	-1.2	28
2010-03-06	@ Rio Ave	D 0-0	1683	1720	23.1%	30.1%	46.8%	+1.2	26
2010-03-06	Braga	D 0-0	1622	1912	14.5%	18.1%	67.3%	+2.7	17
2010-03-06	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1912	1622	67.3%	18.1%	14.5%	-2.7	52
2010-03-07	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1623	1887	15.7%	20.6%	63.7%	-12.9	11
2010-03-07	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 4-0	1887	1623	63.7%	20.6%	15.7%	+12.9	35
2010-03-07	Pacos de Ferreira	W 3-1	2000	1773	73.2%	14.2%	12.7%	+4.2	55
2010-03-07	@ Benfica	L 1-3	1773	2000	12.7%	14.2%	73.2%	-4.2	29
2010-03-07	Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1745	1739	42.3%	31.7%	26.1%	-0.8	27
2010-03-07	@ Maritimo	D 0-0	1739	1745	26.1%	31.7%	42.3%	+0.8	24
2010-03-08	Nacional	W 2-0	1771	1771	41.4%	31.9%	26.7%	+12.4	33
2010-03-08	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1771	1771	26.7%	31.9%	41.4%	-12.4	29
2010-03-12	Uniao Leiria	W 1-0	1684	1749	32.0%	32.9%	35.1%	+8.1	29
2010-03-12	@ Naval 1 de Maio	L 0-1	1749	1684	35.1%	32.9%	32.0%	-8.0	30
2010-03-13	Porto	L 1-2	1740	1972	17.3%	23.5%	59.2%	-3.9	24
2010-03-13	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1972	1740	59.2%	23.5%	17.3%	+3.9	47
2010-03-13	Rio Ave	W 1-0	1910	1719	68.5%	17.3%	14.1%	+3.0	55
2010-03-13	@ Braga	L 0-1	1719	1910	14.1%	17.3%	68.5%	-3.1	28
2010-03-14	Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1665	1625	47.3%	29.9%	22.8%	-9.3	15
2010-03-14	@ Leixoes	W 2-1	1625	1665	22.8%	29.9%	47.3%	+9.3	20
2010-03-14	Benfica	L 0-1	1759	2004	16.6%	22.3%	61.1%	-3.9	29
2010-03-14	@ Nacional	W 1-0	2004	1759	61.1%	22.3%	16.6%	+3.9	58
2010-03-14	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-3	1664	1610	49.2%	29.0%	21.7%	-16.6	20
2010-03-14	@ Olhanense	W 3-1	1610	1664	21.7%	29.0%	49.2%	+16.6	14
2010-03-14	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-1	1900	1783	58.2%	24.1%	17.7%	+7.0	38
2010-03-14	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1783	1900	17.7%	24.1%	58.2%	-6.9	33
2010-03-15	Maritimo	W 1-0	1769	1744	45.0%	30.8%	24.2%	+6.1	32
2010-03-15	@ Pacos de Ferreira	L 0-1	1744	1769	24.2%	30.8%	45.0%	-6.0	27
2010-03-26	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-2	1738	1907	21.2%	28.6%	50.1%	+9.2	30
2010-03-26	@ Maritimo	L 2-3	1907	1738	50.1%	28.6%	21.2%	-9.2	38
2010-03-27	Braga	W 1-0	2008	1913	55.2%	25.9%	18.9%	+4.6	61
2010-03-27	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1913	2008	18.9%	25.9%	55.2%	-4.6	55
2010-03-27	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1777	1736	47.3%	29.9%	22.8%	+5.7	36
2010-03-27	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1736	1777	22.8%	29.9%	47.3%	-5.7	24
2010-03-28	Porto	L 0-3	1627	1975	12.1%	13.0%	74.9%	-6.6	14
2010-03-28	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-0	1975	1627	74.9%	13.0%	12.1%	+6.6	50
2010-03-28	Naval 1 de Maio	W 1-0	1656	1692	36.2%	32.8%	31.0%	+7.4	18
2010-03-28	@ Leixoes	L 0-1	1692	1656	31.0%	32.8%	36.2%	-7.4	29
2010-03-28	Olhanense	L 1-5	1716	1648	51.2%	28.1%	20.7%	-31.1	28
2010-03-28	@ Rio Ave	W 5-1	1648	1716	20.7%	28.1%	51.2%	+31.1	23
2010-03-28	Pacos de Ferreira	W 2-1	1741	1775	36.5%	32.8%	30.8%	+6.9	33
2010-03-28	@ Uniao Leiria	L 1-2	1775	1741	30.8%	32.8%	36.5%	-6.9	32
2010-03-28	Nacional	W 2-1	1634	1755	25.4%	31.4%	43.2%	+8.8	23
2010-03-28	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1755	1634	43.2%	31.4%	25.4%	-8.8	29
2010-04-02	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-2	1908	1782	59.5%	23.3%	17.2%	+3.7	58
2010-04-02	@ Braga	L 2-3	1782	1908	17.2%	23.3%	59.5%	-3.7	36
2010-04-02	Leixoes	W 1-0	1746	1664	53.4%	26.9%	19.7%	+4.9	32
2010-04-02	@ Nacional	L 0-1	1664	1746	19.7%	26.9%	53.4%	-4.9	18
2010-04-02	Rio Ave	W 5-0	1897	1684	71.4%	15.3%	13.2%	+12.2	41
2010-04-02	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-5	1684	1897	13.2%	15.3%	71.4%	-12.2	28
2010-04-03	Uniao Leiria	D 0-0	1730	1748	38.8%	32.5%	28.8%	-0.5	25
2010-04-03	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1748	1730	28.8%	32.5%	38.8%	+0.5	34
2010-04-03	Vitoria Setubal	D 2-2	1679	1643	46.6%	30.2%	23.2%	-0.8	24
2010-04-03	@ Olhanense	D 2-2	1643	1679	23.2%	30.2%	46.6%	+0.8	24
2010-04-03	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1768	1620	62.6%	21.3%	16.1%	-2.4	33
2010-04-03	@ Pacos de Ferreira	D 0-0	1620	1768	16.1%	21.3%	62.6%	+2.4	15
2010-04-03	Maritimo	W 4-1	1982	1747	74.2%	13.5%	12.3%	+5.7	53
2010-04-03	@ Porto	L 1-4	1747	1982	12.3%	13.5%	74.2%	-5.7	30
2010-04-05	Benfica	L 2-4	1685	2012	13.0%	14.8%	72.2%	-3.9	29
2010-04-05	@ Naval 1 de Maio	W 4-2	2012	1685	72.2%	14.8%	13.0%	+3.9	64
2010-04-09	Nacional	D 0-0	1681	1751	31.3%	32.8%	35.9%	+0.2	30
2010-04-09	@ Naval 1 de Maio	D 0-0	1751	1681	35.9%	32.8%	31.3%	-0.2	33
2010-04-10	Porto	L 0-1	1672	1988	13.5%	15.9%	70.7%	-2.8	28
2010-04-10	@ Rio Ave	W 1-0	1988	1672	70.7%	15.9%	13.5%	+2.8	56
2010-04-10	Braga	L 1-2	1749	1912	21.7%	29.0%	49.3%	-5.1	34
2010-04-10	@ Uniao Leiria	W 2-1	1912	1749	49.3%	29.0%	21.7%	+5.1	61
2010-04-11	Pacos de Ferreira	W 2-0	1659	1766	26.8%	31.9%	41.2%	+16.9	21
2010-04-11	@ Leixoes	L 0-2	1766	1659	41.2%	31.9%	26.8%	-16.9	33
2010-04-11	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 3-3	1742	1623	58.6%	23.9%	17.5%	-1.2	31
2010-04-11	@ Maritimo	D 3-3	1623	1742	17.5%	23.9%	58.6%	+1.2	16
2010-04-11	Olhanense	D 1-1	1779	1678	55.9%	25.5%	18.6%	-1.7	37
2010-04-11	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1678	1779	18.6%	25.5%	55.9%	+1.7	25
2010-04-12	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1644	1730	29.3%	32.6%	38.1%	+0.4	25
2010-04-12	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1730	1644	38.1%	32.6%	29.3%	-0.4	26
2010-04-13	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	2016	1910	56.8%	24.9%	18.2%	+8.3	67
2010-04-13	@ Benfica	L 0-2	1910	2016	18.2%	24.9%	56.8%	-8.3	41
2010-04-16	Maritimo	L 1-2	1680	1740	32.6%	32.9%	34.4%	-7.2	25
2010-04-16	@ Olhanense	W 2-1	1740	1680	34.4%	32.9%	32.6%	+7.2	34
2010-04-17	Leixoes	W 3-1	1917	1676	75.0%	13.0%	12.0%	+3.9	64
2010-04-17	@ Braga	L 1-3	1676	1917	12.0%	13.0%	75.0%	-3.9	21
2010-04-17	Naval 1 de Maio	L 1-3	1749	1681	51.2%	28.1%	20.7%	-17.0	33
2010-04-17	@ Pacos de Ferreira	W 3-1	1681	1749	20.7%	28.1%	51.2%	+17.0	33
2010-04-18	Benfica	L 2-3	1729	2025	14.3%	17.7%	68.0%	-2.8	26
2010-04-18	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 3-2	2025	1729	68.0%	17.7%	14.3%	+2.8	70
2010-04-18	Rio Ave	D 0-0	1624	1669	34.8%	32.9%	32.3%	-0.1	17
2010-04-18	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1669	1624	32.3%	32.9%	34.8%	+0.1	29
2010-04-18	Uniao Leiria	W 2-0	1751	1744	42.5%	31.6%	25.9%	+12.1	36
2010-04-18	@ Nacional	L 0-2	1744	1751	25.9%	31.6%	42.5%	-12.1	34
2010-04-18	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-0	1991	1777	71.5%	15.3%	13.2%	+7.5	59
2010-04-18	@ Porto	L 0-3	1777	1991	13.2%	15.3%	71.5%	-7.5	37
2010-04-19	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1901	1644	76.9%	11.7%	11.4%	+2.1	44
2010-04-19	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1644	1901	11.4%	11.7%	76.9%	-2.1	25
2010-04-23	Maritimo	D 0-0	1670	1748	30.3%	32.7%	37.0%	+0.3	30
2010-04-23	@ Rio Ave	D 0-0	1748	1670	37.0%	32.7%	30.3%	-0.3	35
2010-04-24	Olhanense	W 5-0	2028	1673	86.7%	5.5%	7.8%	+6.0	73
2010-04-24	@ Benfica	L 0-5	1673	2028	7.8%	5.5%	86.7%	-6.0	25
2010-04-24	Porto	L 2-5	1642	1998	11.8%	12.4%	75.8%	-4.7	25
2010-04-24	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 5-2	1998	1642	75.8%	12.4%	11.8%	+4.7	62
2010-04-25	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-3	1672	1727	33.5%	32.9%	33.6%	-12.7	21
2010-04-25	@ Leixoes	W 3-1	1727	1672	33.6%	32.9%	33.5%	+12.7	29
2010-04-25	Pacos de Ferreira	D 1-1	1763	1732	45.9%	30.4%	23.6%	-1.0	37
2010-04-25	@ Nacional	D 1-1	1732	1763	23.6%	30.4%	45.9%	+1.0	34
2010-04-25	Braga	L 0-4	1698	1921	17.8%	24.3%	57.9%	-15.3	33
2010-04-25	@ Naval 1 de Maio	W 4-0	1921	1698	57.9%	24.3%	17.8%	+15.4	67
2010-04-25	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1731	1903	21.0%	28.4%	50.6%	+1.3	35
2010-04-25	@ Uniao Leiria	D 1-1	1903	1731	50.6%	28.4%	21.0%	-1.3	45
2010-04-26	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1769	1624	62.3%	21.5%	16.2%	+7.1	40
2010-04-26	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1624	1769	16.2%	21.5%	62.3%	-7.1	17
2010-05-02	Nacional	D 3-3	1739	1762	38.1%	32.6%	29.3%	-0.2	30
2010-05-02	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 3-3	1762	1739	29.3%	32.6%	38.1%	+0.2	38
2010-05-02	Uniao Leiria	W 5-2	1617	1733	25.9%	31.6%	42.5%	+18.4	20
2010-05-02	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-5	1733	1617	42.5%	31.6%	25.9%	-18.4	35
2010-05-02	Pacos de Ferreira	W 1-0	1936	1733	70.2%	16.2%	13.6%	+2.9	70
2010-05-02	@ Braga	L 0-1	1733	1936	13.6%	16.2%	70.2%	-2.9	34
2010-05-02	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-0	1747	1637	57.3%	24.7%	18.0%	+8.2	38
2010-05-02	@ Maritimo	L 0-2	1637	1747	18.0%	24.7%	57.3%	-8.2	25
2010-05-02	Leixoes	W 1-0	1667	1659	42.5%	31.6%	25.9%	+6.4	28
2010-05-02	@ Olhanense	L 0-1	1659	1667	25.9%	31.6%	42.5%	-6.4	21
2010-05-02	Benfica	W 3-1	2003	2033	37.0%	32.7%	30.3%	+11.9	65
2010-05-02	@ Porto	L 1-3	2033	2003	30.3%	32.7%	37.0%	-11.9	73
2010-05-02	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1670	1776	26.9%	32.0%	41.1%	+0.7	31
2010-05-02	@ Rio Ave	D 0-0	1776	1670	41.1%	32.0%	26.9%	-0.7	41
2010-05-02	Naval 1 de Maio	L 0-1	1902	1683	72.3%	14.8%	13.0%	-12.9	45
2010-05-02	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1683	1902	13.0%	14.8%	72.3%	+12.9	36
2010-05-08	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1653	1889	17.1%	23.1%	59.9%	-3.8	21
2010-05-08	@ Leixoes	W 2-1	1889	1653	59.9%	23.1%	17.1%	+3.8	48
2010-05-08	Porto	L 1-4	1714	2015	14.1%	17.2%	68.7%	-7.0	35
2010-05-08	@ Uniao Leiria	W 4-1	2015	1714	68.7%	17.2%	14.1%	+7.0	68
2010-05-08	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1629	1635	40.5%	32.1%	27.4%	-8.4	25
2010-05-08	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1635	1629	27.4%	32.1%	40.5%	+8.4	23
2010-05-09	Rio Ave	W 2-1	2022	1671	86.4%	5.7%	7.9%	+1.3	76
2010-05-09	@ Benfica	L 1-2	1671	2022	7.9%	5.7%	86.4%	-1.3	31
2010-05-09	Braga	D 1-1	1762	1939	20.6%	28.0%	51.3%	+1.4	39
2010-05-09	@ Nacional	D 1-1	1939	1762	51.3%	28.0%	20.6%	-1.4	71
2010-05-09	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1696	1739	35.1%	32.9%	32.0%	-8.0	36
2010-05-09	@ Naval 1 de Maio	W 1-0	1739	1696	32.0%	32.9%	35.1%	+8.0	33
2010-05-09	Olhanense	D 2-2	1730	1673	49.7%	28.8%	21.5%	-0.9	35
2010-05-09	@ Pacos de Ferreira	D 2-2	1673	1730	21.5%	28.8%	49.7%	+0.9	29
2010-05-09	Maritimo	L 1-2	1776	1755	44.4%	31.0%	24.6%	-8.9	41
2010-05-09	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1755	1776	24.6%	31.0%	44.4%	+8.9	41

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2010-05-02	12.95%	Naval 1 de Maio	1683	1	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1902	0
2	2009-12-12	16.04%	Uniao Leiria	1730	1	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1879	0
3	2010-02-06	16.43%	Academica de Coimbra	1733	2	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1874	1
4	2009-09-26	18.75%	Naval 1 de Maio	1662	2	@ Maritimo	1759	1
5	2009-11-08	19.59%	@ Maritimo	1773	1	Porto	1966	0
6	2009-12-13	20.40%	Rio Ave	1720	1	@ Maritimo	1792	0
7	2010-04-17	20.68%	Naval 1 de Maio	1681	3	@ Pacos de Ferreira	1749	1
8	2010-03-28	20.69%	Olhanense	1648	5	@ Rio Ave	1716	1
9	2010-03-26	21.24%	@ Maritimo	1738	3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1907	2
10	2010-03-14	21.71%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1610	3	@ Olhanense	1664	1
11	2009-12-20	21.79%	@ Vitoria Setubal	1620	3	Maritimo	1781	2
12	2009-11-07	21.96%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1731	1	Braga	1890	0
13	2010-03-14	22.79%	Vitoria Setubal	1625	2	@ Leixoes	1665	1
14	2010-02-28	22.94%	Rio Ave	1710	1	@ Academica de Coimbra	1749	0
15	2009-08-22	22.99%	Braga	1834	2	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1872	1
16	2010-02-28	23.56%	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1860	3	Porto	2000	0
17	2009-09-20	23.63%	Vitoria Setubal	1640	1	@ Naval 1 de Maio	1671	0
18	2010-05-09	24.62%	Maritimo	1755	2	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1776	1
19	2010-02-07	25.05%	@ Olhanense	1653	1	Nacional	1778	0
20	2010-01-09	25.21%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1758	1	@ Maritimo	1772	0
21	2010-03-28	25.39%	@ Vitoria Setubal	1634	2	Nacional	1755	1
22	2010-02-07	25.61%	Pacos de Ferreira	1751	2	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1761	1
23	2010-05-02	25.88%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1617	5	Uniao Leiria	1733	2
24	2009-11-01	26.61%	Uniao Leiria	1736	1	@ Pacos de Ferreira	1737	0
25	2010-04-11	26.83%	@ Leixoes	1659	2	Pacos de Ferreira	1766	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2010-03-28	31.11	Olhanense	5	1648	20.69%	@ Rio Ave	1	1716	51.24%
2	2009-09-13	29.32	Uniao Leiria	4	1706	31.13%	@ Vitoria Setubal	0	1670	36.06%
3	2010-02-28	26.55	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	3	1860	23.56%	Porto	0	2000	46.02%
4	2009-11-06	22.64	Pacos de Ferreira	3	1728	30.70%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1694	36.53%
5	2010-01-17	21.23	Benfica	5	1957	53.86%	@ Maritimo	0	1763	19.47%
6	2010-01-30	19.17	Porto	4	1964	49.88%	@ Nacional	0	1797	21.38%
7	2009-09-13	18.57	Benfica	4	1889	51.09%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1714	20.76%
8	2010-05-02	18.36	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	5	1617	25.88%	Uniao Leiria	2	1733	42.53%
9	2010-04-17	17.04	Naval 1 de Maio	3	1681	20.68%	@ Pacos de Ferreira	1	1749	51.25%
10	2010-04-11	16.93	@ Leixoes	2	1659	26.83%	Pacos de Ferreira	0	1766	41.23%
11	2009-09-12	16.62	@ Rio Ave	2	1703	27.69%	Nacional	0	1803	40.11%
12	2010-03-14	16.59	Os Belenenses (1st)	3	1610	21.71%	@ Olhanense	1	1664	49.25%
13	2010-01-17	15.99	Uniao Leiria	2	1744	29.49%	@ Rio Ave	0	1720	37.91%
14	2010-02-21	15.86	@ Porto	5	1985	50.16%	Braga	1	1924	21.23%
15	2009-10-31	15.64	@ Braga	2	1875	30.55%	Benfica	0	1951	36.70%
16	2009-08-31	15.44	@ Benfica	8	1873	68.19%	Vitoria Setubal	1	1685	14.26%
17	2010-04-25	15.35	Braga	4	1921	57.90%	@ Naval 1 de Maio	0	1698	17.80%
18	2009-09-26	14.96	@ Benfica	5	1912	65.47%	Leixoes	0	1744	15.14%
19	2009-10-26	14.89	@ Benfica	6	1936	59.60%	Nacional	1	1810	17.16%
20	2009-11-27	14.18	Vitoria Guimaraes	2	1741	35.34%	@ Olhanense	0	1674	31.80%
21	2009-09-11	14.16	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	3	1753	51.24%	Naval 1 de Maio	0	1685	20.69%
22	2009-11-02	13.62	@ Academica de Coimbra	2	1716	37.29%	Vitoria Guimaraes	0	1745	30.03%
23	2010-01-17	13.46	Leixoes	3	1695	30.86%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1	1660	36.35%
24	2009-11-29	13.11	@ Academica de Coimbra	3	1731	54.07%	Vitoria Setubal	0	1643	19.37%
25	2010-05-02	12.92	Naval 1 de Maio	1	1683	12.95%	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	0	1902	72.26%