2013-14 Primeira Liga Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Benfica

74 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sporting Clube de Portugal

12.24 points above expected

67 points · 54.76 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Pacos de Ferreira

10.89 points below expected

24 points · 34.89 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Benfica	30	23	5	2	74	58	18	+40	64.3	+9.70
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	30	20	7	3	67	54	20	+34	54.8	+12.24
3	Porto	30	19	4	7	61	57	25	+32	63.4	-2.40
4	Estoril	30	15	9	6	54	42	26	+16	46.5	+7.48
5	Nacional	30	11	12	7	45	43	33	+10	43.8	+1.17
6	Maritimo	30	11	8	11	41	40	44	-4	38.9	+2.15
7	Vitoria Setubal	30	10	9	11	39	41	41	0	33.5	+5.48
8	Braga	30	10	7	13	37	39	37	+2	43.8	-6.82
9	Academica de Coimbra	30	9	10	11	37	25	35	-10	33.6	+3.41
10	Vitoria Guimaraes	30	10	5	15	35	30	35	-5	39.4	-4.35
11	Rio Ave	30	8	8	14	32	21	35	-14	36.7	-4.73
12	Arouca	30	8	7	15	31	28	42	-14	31.0	-0.03
13	Gil Vicente	30	8	7	15	31	23	37	-14	32.6	-1.65
14	Os Belenenses (1st)	30	6	10	14	28	19	33	-14	32.8	-4.82
15	Olhanense	30	6	6	18	24	21	49	-28	29.8	-5.77
16	Pacos de Ferreira	30	6	6	18	24	28	59	-31	34.9	-10.89

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Benfica	2113	74	64.30	+9.70	94.0%	44	54	60	64	68	75	78
Porto	2047	61	63.40	-2.40	33.0%	51	54	60	64	66	71	75
Sporting Clube de Portugal	2007	67	54.76	+12.24	99.0%	37	43	51	55	57	65	72
Estoril	1934	54	46.52	+7.48	90.0%	24	32	43	48	51	56	59
Nacional	1896	45	43.83	+1.17	64.0%	25	32	40	44	49	54	59
Braga	1869	37	43.82	-6.82	16.0%	25	34	40	43	48	53	56
Vitoria Setubal	1833	39	33.52	+5.48	79.0%	17	22	30	33	38	43	50
Maritimo	1827	41	38.85	+2.15	69.0%	22	28	35	39	43	49	55
Vitoria Guimaraes	1793	35	39.35	-4.35	31.0%	22	26	34	39	45	51	56
Academica de Coimbra	1789	37	33.59	+3.41	67.0%	18	21	29	34	38	44	46
Rio Ave	1766	32	36.73	-4.73	27.0%	24	27	31	37	41	46	59
Os Belenenses (1st)	1757	28	32.82	-4.82	26.0%	18	22	28	33	38	44	53
Arouca	1745	31	31.03	-0.03	54.0%	16	19	26	31	36	43	49
Gil Vicente	1738	31	32.65	-1.65	46.0%	18	21	28	33	37	45	53
Pacos de Ferreira	1710	24	34.89	-10.89	9.0%	17	20	31	35	39	46	51
Olhanense	1696	24	29.77	-5.77	20.0%	19	21	25	29	33	41	44

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ADC	ARO	BEN	BRA	EST	GV	MAR	NAC	OLH	OB(	PDF	POR	RA	SCDP	VG	VS
Academica de Coimbra	—	1-1-0 2.69	0-0-2 1.05	1-1-0 1.90	0-1-1 1.84	1-0-1 2.82	0-1-1 2.44	0-1-1 1.96	2-0-0 3.01	1-1-0 2.68	2-0-0 2.81	1-0-1 1.08	0-1-1 2.54	0-1-1 1.67	0-1-1 2.40	0-1-1 2.55
Arouca	0-1-1 2.74	—	0-1-1 0.81	0-1-1 1.76	0-1-1 1.83	2-0-0 2.53	0-0-2 2.21	1-1-0 1.91	1-0-1 2.85	1-0-1 2.63	0-1-1 2.41	0-0-2 0.98	1-1-0 2.18	0-0-2 1.60	1-0-1 2.09	1-0-1 2.34
Benfica	2-0-0 4.64	1-1-0 4.96	—	2-0-0 4.14	2-0-0 3.79	1-1-0 4.57	1-0-1 4.23	2-0-0 3.98	2-0-0 5.00	1-1-0 4.69	2-0-0 4.35	1-0-1 2.98	2-0-0 4.56	1-1-0 3.39	2-0-0 4.22	1-1-0 4.64
Braga	0-1-1 3.60	1-1-0 3.74	0-0-2 1.43	—	1-0-1 2.83	1-0-1 3.74	0-2-0 3.20	1-0-1 2.87	2-0-0 3.85	1-0-1 3.75	1-1-0 3.26	0-0-2 1.63	0-1-1 3.38	0-0-2 2.40	1-0-1 3.14	1-1-0 3.24
Estoril	1-1-0 3.65	1-1-0 3.67	0-0-2 1.72	1-0-1 2.61	—	1-1-0 3.78	2-0-0 3.28	1-1-0 2.83	2-0-0 3.79	0-2-0 3.79	2-0-0 3.49	1-1-0 1.56	1-0-1 3.38	1-1-0 2.02	1-0-1 3.31	0-1-1 3.69
Gil Vicente	1-0-1 2.61	0-0-2 2.92	0-1-1 1.10	1-0-1 1.76	0-1-1 1.72	—	0-1-1 2.50	1-0-1 1.66	0-1-1 2.89	0-1-1 2.90	2-0-0 2.41	0-0-2 1.02	1-0-1 2.55	0-0-2 1.41	1-1-0 2.34	1-1-0 2.53
Maritimo	1-1-0 2.99	2-0-0 3.23	1-0-1 1.37	0-2-0 2.25	0-0-2 2.18	1-1-0 2.92	—	0-1-1 2.32	0-2-0 3.35	1-0-1 3.31	0-0-2 3.09	1-0-1 1.28	1-1-0 2.96	0-0-2 1.66	1-0-1 2.67	2-0-0 3.11
Nacional	1-1-0 3.50	0-1-1 3.56	0-0-2 1.55	1-0-1 2.55	0-1-1 2.61	1-0-1 3.85	1-1-0 3.12	—	0-2-0 3.86	2-0-0 3.37	2-0-0 3.54	1-1-0 1.53	1-1-0 3.13	0-2-0 1.91	1-1-0 2.80	0-1-1 3.45
Olhanense	0-0-2 2.46	1-0-1 2.59	0-0-2 0.78	0-0-2 1.66	0-0-2 1.74	1-1-0 2.55	0-2-0 2.10	0-2-0 1.65	—	0-1-1 2.53	1-0-1 2.19	1-0-1 0.80	1-0-1 2.13	0-0-2 1.51	0-0-2 2.09	1-0-1 2.14
Os Belenenses (1st)	0-1-1 2.74	1-0-1 2.79	0-1-1 1.01	1-0-1 1.76	0-2-0 1.73	1-1-0 2.53	1-0-1 2.14	0-0-2 2.11	1-1-0 2.90	—	0-1-1 2.47	0-1-1 1.00	0-0-2 2.54	0-0-2 1.27	1-1-0 2.22	0-1-1 2.67
Pacos de Ferreira	0-0-2 2.61	1-1-0 3.01	0-0-2 1.26	0-1-1 2.22	0-0-2 2.02	0-0-2 3.02	2-0-0 2.33	0-0-2 1.93	1-0-1 3.25	1-1-0 2.96	—	0-0-2 1.28	0-2-0 2.47	0-0-2 1.48	1-0-1 2.46	0-1-1 2.98
Porto	1-0-1 4.59	2-0-0 4.73	1-0-1 2.45	2-0-0 3.91	0-1-1 3.98	2-0-0 4.67	1-0-1 4.33	0-1-1 4.02	1-0-1 4.97	1-1-0 4.70	2-0-0 4.34	—	2-0-0 4.51	1-0-1 3.40	1-1-0 4.28	2-0-0 4.63
Rio Ave	1-1-0 2.88	0-1-1 3.25	0-0-2 1.11	1-1-0 2.07	1-0-1 2.11	1-0-1 2.88	0-1-1 2.48	0-1-1 2.36	1-0-1 3.34	2-0-0 2.90	0-2-0 2.98	0-0-2 1.15	—	0-1-1 1.70	0-0-2 2.67	1-0-1 3.23
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1-1-0 3.88	2-0-0 3.93	0-1-1 2.07	2-0-0 3.07	0-1-1 3.44	2-0-0 4.20	2-0-0 3.86	0-2-0 3.57	2-0-0 4.07	2-0-0 4.34	2-0-0 4.07	1-0-1 2.07	1-1-0 3.81	—	2-0-0 3.78	1-1-0 4.06
Vitoria Guimaraes	1-1-0 3.06	1-0-1 3.36	0-0-2 1.38	1-0-1 2.29	1-0-1 2.13	0-1-1 3.11	1-0-1 2.75	0-1-1 2.62	2-0-0 3.36	0-1-1 3.23	1-0-1 3.01	0-1-1 1.32	2-0-0 2.79	0-0-2 1.74	—	0-0-2 3.36
Vitoria Setubal	1-1-0 2.88	1-0-1 3.09	0-1-1 1.05	0-1-1 2.21	1-1-0 1.81	0-1-1 2.89	0-0-2 2.33	1-1-0 2.02	1-0-1 3.34	1-1-0 2.75	1-1-0 2.48	0-0-2 1.05	1-0-1 2.22	0-1-1 1.49	2-0-0 2.10	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.92%	11.46%	7.08%	3.33%	1.46%	0.21%	31.46%
1	11.46%	12.92%	6.04%	4.38%	0.83%	0.21%	35.83%
2	7.08%	6.04%	4.17%	1.46%	0.83%	—	19.58%
3	3.33%	4.38%	1.46%	—	0.21%	—	9.38%
4	1.46%	0.83%	0.83%	0.21%	—	—	3.33%
5+	0.21%	0.21%	—	—	—	—	0.42%
Total	31.46%	35.83%	19.58%	9.38%	3.33%	0.42%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.19
Mean allowed	1.19
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	2.37
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.116
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	13.33%	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	50.00%
1	13.33%	13.33%	—	6.67%	—	—	33.33%
2	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	33.33%	10.00%	16.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Academica de Coimbra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.83
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	1.15
StdDev allowed	1.21
Mean total goals/game	2.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.021
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
1	13.33%	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	46.67%
2	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	26.67%	26.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Arouca — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.93
Mean allowed	1.40
StdDev scored	0.87
StdDev allowed	1.30
Mean total goals/game	2.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.037
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	16.67%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	36.67%
2	30.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	40.00%
3	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	56.67%	26.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	100%

Benfica — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.93
Mean allowed	0.60
StdDev scored	0.91
StdDev allowed	0.77
Mean total goals/game	2.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.059
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	20.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
1	3.33%	16.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
2	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	50.00%	26.67%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Braga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.30
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	1.15
StdDev allowed	0.82
Mean total goals/game	2.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.224
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	23.33%
1	16.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	6.67%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
3	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	36.67%	20.00%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Estoril — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.40
Mean allowed	0.87
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	0.86
Mean total goals/game	2.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.051
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	40.00%
1	16.67%	10.00%	13.33%	—	3.33%	—	43.33%
2	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	23.33%	33.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Gil Vicente — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.77
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	0.73
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	2.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.059
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
1	13.33%	20.00%	—	10.00%	—	—	43.33%
2	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	10.00%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	43.33%	20.00%	16.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Maritimo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.33
Mean allowed	1.47
StdDev scored	1.03
StdDev allowed	1.07
Mean total goals/game	2.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.166
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
1	3.33%	20.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
2	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	33.33%
3	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	33.33%	36.67%	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Nacional — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.43
Mean allowed	1.10
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	1.06
Mean total goals/game	2.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.120
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	13.33%	20.00%	—	6.67%	—	46.67%
1	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	36.67%
2	—	13.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.33%	40.00%	26.67%	10.00%	10.00%	—	100%

Olhanense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.70
Mean allowed	1.63
StdDev scored	0.75
StdDev allowed	1.16
Mean total goals/game	2.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.091
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	16.67%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	53.33%
1	10.00%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
2	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	36.67%	16.67%	13.33%	—	—	100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.63
Mean allowed	1.10
StdDev scored	0.81
StdDev allowed	1.03
Mean total goals/game	1.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.046
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	46.67%
1	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	30.00%
2	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%	—	10.00%
3	—	10.00%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.33%	33.33%	16.67%	20.00%	13.33%	3.33%	100%

Pacos de Ferreira — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.93
Mean allowed	1.97
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	1.40
Mean total goals/game	2.90
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.001
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	23.33%
2	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	13.33%	20.00%	—	—	—	—	33.33%
4	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	50.00%	16.67%	—	—	—	100%

Porto — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.90
Mean allowed	0.83
StdDev scored	1.24
StdDev allowed	0.70
Mean total goals/game	2.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.298
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	16.67%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	43.33%
1	16.67%	16.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	46.67%
2	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	36.67%	13.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	100%

Rio Ave — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.70
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	0.75
StdDev allowed	1.15
Mean total goals/game	1.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.301
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	16.67%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
2	10.00%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	26.67%
3	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	10.00%	—	—	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	50.00%	36.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Sporting Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.80
Mean allowed	0.67
StdDev scored	1.35
StdDev allowed	0.80
Mean total goals/game	2.47
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.032
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	20.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
1	16.67%	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	40.00%
2	10.00%	—	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	26.67%	13.33%	16.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Vitoria Guimaraes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	0.91
StdDev allowed	1.23
Mean total goals/game	2.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.031
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	30.00%
1	6.67%	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
2	6.67%	—	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	36.67%	26.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	100%

Vitoria Setubal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.37
Mean allowed	1.37
StdDev scored	1.25
StdDev allowed	1.13
Mean total goals/game	2.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.246
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	67	54.8	+12.24
2	Benfica	74	64.3	+9.70
3	Estoril	54	46.5	+7.48
4	Vitoria Setubal	39	33.5	+5.48
5	Academica de Coimbra	37	33.6	+3.41

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Pacos de Ferreira	24	34.9	-10.89
2	Braga	37	43.8	-6.82
3	Olhanense	24	29.8	-5.77
4	Os Belenenses (1st)	28	32.8	-4.82
5	Rio Ave	32	36.7	-4.73

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Benfica	11	Feb 11 – Apr 20	1 in 53
2	Estoril	4	Feb 10 – Mar 1	1 in 48
3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	6	Mar 16 – Apr 19	1 in 29
4	Academica de Coimbra	2	Nov 25 – Nov 30	1 in 28
5	Gil Vicente	3	Oct 6 – Nov 3	1 in 27

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Braga	5	Sep 28 – Nov 23	1 in 433
2	Maritimo	5	Sep 21 – Nov 2	1 in 121
3	Gil Vicente	5	Dec 8 – Jan 19	1 in 65
4	Vitoria Guimaraes	4	Mar 29 – Apr 17	1 in 49
5	Os Belenenses (1st)	4	Aug 18 – Sep 15	1 in 38

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Nacional	13	Nov 3 – Mar 2	1 in 163
2	Benfica	28	Aug 25 – May 4	1 in 112
3	Estoril	10	Dec 7 – Mar 1	1 in 58
4	Os Belenenses (1st)	5	Sep 21 – Nov 2	1 in 40
5	Rio Ave	5	Mar 2 – Mar 30	1 in 26

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Vitoria Guimaraes	10	Feb 24 – May 4	1 in 78
2	Nacional	6	Feb 16 – Mar 23	1 in 35
3	Porto	3	Nov 2 – Nov 30	1 in 31
4	Gil Vicente	11	Nov 24 – Feb 23	1 in 28
5	Braga	5	Sep 28 – Nov 23	1 in 18

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Benfica	52.00%	37.00%	8.00%	2.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	4.00%	17.00%	51.00%	17.00%	5.00%	1.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Porto	42.00%	45.00%	9.00%	3.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Estoril	1.00%	—	14.00%	25.00%	27.00%	8.00%	8.00%	3.00%	3.00%	3.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	2.00%
Nacional	—	1.00%	5.00%	19.00%	13.00%	19.00%	8.00%	11.00%	10.00%	5.00%	3.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—
Maritimo	—	—	3.00%	4.00%	4.00%	5.00%	19.00%	17.00%	9.00%	13.00%	7.00%	4.00%	7.00%	7.00%	—	1.00%
Vitoria Setubal	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	6.00%	6.00%	7.00%	9.00%	6.00%	15.00%	10.00%	12.00%	10.00%	6.00%	11.00%
Braga	—	—	5.00%	13.00%	23.00%	20.00%	9.00%	9.00%	7.00%	5.00%	5.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—
Academica de Coimbra	—	—	—	—	1.00%	5.00%	7.00%	9.00%	7.00%	11.00%	10.00%	6.00%	10.00%	10.00%	15.00%	9.00%
Vitoria Guimaraes	—	—	4.00%	7.00%	9.00%	14.00%	8.00%	11.00%	9.00%	7.00%	9.00%	6.00%	5.00%	3.00%	7.00%	1.00%
Rio Ave	1.00%	—	—	3.00%	6.00%	8.00%	7.00%	9.00%	14.00%	10.00%	11.00%	6.00%	9.00%	7.00%	3.00%	6.00%
Arouca	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	1.00%	6.00%	3.00%	10.00%	6.00%	11.00%	13.00%	11.00%	15.00%	17.00%
Gil Vicente	—	—	—	3.00%	1.00%	2.00%	5.00%	5.00%	8.00%	8.00%	7.00%	14.00%	9.00%	12.00%	11.00%	15.00%
Os Belenenses (1st)	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	3.00%	8.00%	9.00%	8.00%	9.00%	6.00%	16.00%	11.00%	12.00%	11.00%
Olhanense	—	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%	6.00%	3.00%	6.00%	13.00%	8.00%	15.00%	25.00%	18.00%
Pacos de Ferreira	—	—	—	2.00%	5.00%	2.00%	11.00%	3.00%	6.00%	11.00%	10.00%	18.00%	7.00%	12.00%	4.00%	9.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Benfica	100%	—
Braga	100%	—
Nacional	100%	—
Porto	100%	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	100%	—
Maritimo	99.0%	1.0%
Vitoria Guimaraes	99.0%	1.0%
Estoril	98.0%	2.0%
Rio Ave	94.0%	6.0%
Academica de Coimbra	91.0%	9.0%
Pacos de Ferreira	91.0%	9.0%
Os Belenenses (1st)	89.0%	11.0%
Vitoria Setubal	89.0%	11.0%
Gil Vicente	85.0%	15.0%
Arouca	83.0%	17.0%
Olhanense	82.0%	18.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2013-08-16	Braga	L 0-2	1873	1898	39.4%	29.0%	31.6%	-17.2	0
2013-08-16	@ Pacos de Ferreira	W 2-0	1898	1873	31.6%	29.0%	39.4%	+17.2	3
2013-08-17	Nacional	W 3-1	1861	1837	46.2%	27.9%	25.9%	+10.8	3
2013-08-17	@ Estoril	L 1-3	1837	1861	25.9%	27.9%	46.2%	-10.8	0
2013-08-17	Olhanense	W 2-0	1823	1782	48.6%	27.3%	24.2%	+11.7	3
2013-08-17	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1782	1823	24.2%	27.3%	48.6%	-11.7	0
2013-08-18	Rio Ave	L 0-3	1805	1818	41.0%	28.8%	30.1%	-25.7	0
2013-08-18	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-0	1818	1805	30.1%	28.8%	41.0%	+25.7	3
2013-08-18	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1774	1789	40.7%	28.9%	30.4%	+14.2	3
2013-08-18	@ Gil Vicente	L 0-2	1789	1774	30.4%	28.9%	40.7%	-14.2	0
2013-08-18	Benfica	W 2-1	1827	2007	21.2%	25.8%	53.1%	+10.7	3
2013-08-18	@ Maritimo	L 1-2	2007	1827	53.1%	25.8%	21.2%	-10.7	0
2013-08-18	Arouca	W 5-1	1871	1764	57.3%	23.9%	18.7%	+14.3	3
2013-08-18	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-5	1764	1871	18.7%	23.9%	57.3%	-14.3	0
2013-08-18	Porto	L 1-3	1760	2032	15.1%	20.1%	64.8%	-6.1	0
2013-08-18	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 3-1	2032	1760	64.8%	20.1%	15.1%	+6.1	3
2013-08-24	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1775	1885	27.9%	28.4%	43.6%	-25.2	0
2013-08-24	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 4-0	1885	1775	43.6%	28.4%	27.9%	+25.2	6
2013-08-24	Pacos de Ferreira	W 1-0	1770	1856	30.9%	29.0%	40.1%	+9.2	3
2013-08-24	@ Olhanense	L 0-1	1856	1770	40.1%	29.0%	30.9%	-9.2	0
2013-08-25	Estoril	L 1-2	1749	1872	26.6%	28.1%	45.3%	-6.4	0
2013-08-25	@ Arouca	W 2-1	1872	1749	45.3%	28.1%	26.6%	+6.4	6
2013-08-25	Gil Vicente	W 2-1	1996	1788	69.7%	17.2%	13.1%	+2.9	3
2013-08-25	@ Benfica	L 1-2	1788	1996	13.1%	17.2%	69.7%	-2.9	3
2013-08-25	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1826	1835	41.7%	28.8%	29.5%	-0.5	1
2013-08-25	@ Nacional	D 1-1	1835	1826	29.5%	28.8%	41.7%	+0.6	4
2013-08-25	Maritimo	W 3-0	2038	1838	68.7%	17.8%	13.5%	+8.8	6
2013-08-25	@ Porto	L 0-3	1838	2038	13.5%	17.8%	68.7%	-8.8	3
2013-08-25	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-0	1844	1753	55.1%	24.9%	20.0%	+9.7	6
2013-08-25	@ Rio Ave	L 0-2	1753	1844	20.0%	24.9%	55.1%	-9.7	0
2013-08-26	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1915	1779	60.9%	22.2%	16.9%	+4.0	6
2013-08-26	@ Braga	L 1-2	1779	1915	16.9%	22.2%	60.9%	-4.0	0
2013-08-31	Benfica	D 1-1	1911	1999	30.5%	28.9%	40.6%	+0.5	7
2013-08-31	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1999	1911	40.6%	28.9%	30.5%	-0.5	4
2013-08-31	Vitoria Setubal	L 1-4	1835	1744	55.3%	24.8%	19.9%	-27.1	4
2013-08-31	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-1	1744	1835	19.9%	24.8%	55.3%	+27.1	3
2013-09-01	Rio Ave	W 1-0	1743	1854	27.9%	28.4%	43.6%	+9.8	3
2013-09-01	@ Arouca	L 0-1	1854	1743	43.6%	28.4%	27.9%	-9.8	6
2013-09-01	Nacional	L 2-3	1775	1826	35.7%	29.2%	35.1%	-7.6	0
2013-09-01	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-2	1826	1775	35.1%	29.2%	35.7%	+7.6	4
2013-09-01	Braga	W 1-0	1785	1919	25.4%	27.7%	46.9%	+10.4	6
2013-09-01	@ Gil Vicente	L 0-1	1919	1785	46.9%	27.7%	25.4%	-10.4	6
2013-09-01	Olhanense	D 1-1	1829	1780	49.7%	26.9%	23.4%	-1.2	4
2013-09-01	@ Maritimo	D 1-1	1780	1829	23.4%	26.9%	49.7%	+1.2	4
2013-09-01	Porto	L 0-1	1846	2047	19.6%	24.6%	55.8%	-5.1	0
2013-09-01	@ Pacos de Ferreira	W 1-0	2047	1846	55.8%	24.6%	19.6%	+5.0	9
2013-09-02	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1878	1750	60.0%	22.7%	17.4%	-2.1	7
2013-09-02	@ Estoril	D 1-1	1750	1878	17.4%	22.7%	60.0%	+2.1	1
2013-09-14	Pacos de Ferreira	W 3-1	1999	1841	63.6%	20.7%	15.7%	+6.3	7
2013-09-14	@ Benfica	L 1-3	1841	1999	15.7%	20.7%	63.6%	-6.3	0
2013-09-14	Gil Vicente	W 2-0	2052	1795	75.1%	13.9%	11.0%	+4.6	12
2013-09-14	@ Porto	L 0-2	1795	2052	11.0%	13.9%	75.1%	-4.6	6
2013-09-14	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1844	1808	47.8%	27.5%	24.7%	-10.5	6
2013-09-14	@ Rio Ave	W 1-0	1808	1844	24.7%	27.5%	47.8%	+10.5	7
2013-09-15	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1752	1768	40.6%	28.9%	30.5%	+7.1	4
2013-09-15	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1768	1752	30.5%	28.9%	40.6%	-7.1	0
2013-09-15	Estoril	W 3-2	1908	1876	47.4%	27.6%	25.0%	+5.7	9
2013-09-15	@ Braga	L 2-3	1876	1908	25.0%	27.6%	47.4%	-5.7	7
2013-09-15	Arouca	L 0-1	1833	1753	53.8%	25.4%	20.7%	-11.5	4
2013-09-15	@ Nacional	W 1-0	1753	1833	20.7%	25.4%	53.8%	+11.5	6
2013-09-15	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1781	1911	25.8%	27.9%	46.4%	-12.4	4
2013-09-15	@ Olhanense	W 2-0	1911	1781	46.4%	27.9%	25.8%	+12.4	10
2013-09-15	Maritimo	L 2-4	1771	1828	34.7%	29.2%	36.1%	-12.2	3
2013-09-15	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 4-2	1828	1771	36.1%	29.2%	34.7%	+12.2	7
2013-09-20	Braga	L 0-1	1764	1914	23.8%	27.1%	49.1%	-6.1	6
2013-09-20	@ Arouca	W 1-0	1914	1764	49.1%	27.1%	23.8%	+6.1	12
2013-09-21	Maritimo	W 1-0	1761	1840	31.7%	29.0%	39.3%	+9.1	3
2013-09-21	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1840	1761	39.3%	29.0%	31.7%	-9.1	7
2013-09-21	Olhanense	D 1-1	1791	1768	46.0%	28.0%	26.0%	-0.9	7
2013-09-21	@ Gil Vicente	D 1-1	1768	1791	26.0%	28.0%	46.0%	+0.9	5
2013-09-21	Rio Ave	D 1-1	1923	1833	55.1%	24.9%	20.0%	-1.7	11
2013-09-21	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1833	1923	20.0%	24.9%	55.1%	+1.7	7
2013-09-22	Porto	D 2-2	1870	2056	20.7%	25.4%	53.9%	+1.2	8
2013-09-22	@ Estoril	D 2-2	2056	1870	53.9%	25.4%	20.7%	-1.2	13
2013-09-22	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1822	1759	51.5%	26.3%	22.2%	+5.7	7
2013-09-22	@ Nacional	L 0-1	1759	1822	22.2%	26.3%	51.5%	-5.7	4
2013-09-22	Benfica	L 0-1	1819	2005	20.7%	25.4%	53.9%	-5.3	7
2013-09-22	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	2005	1819	53.9%	25.4%	20.7%	+5.3	10
2013-09-23	Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1835	1759	53.3%	25.7%	21.1%	-1.5	1
2013-09-23	@ Pacos de Ferreira	D 1-1	1759	1835	21.1%	25.7%	53.3%	+1.5	4
2013-09-27	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	2055	1813	73.5%	14.9%	11.6%	+2.6	16
2013-09-27	@ Porto	L 0-1	1813	2055	11.6%	14.9%	73.5%	-2.6	7
2013-09-28	Arouca	D 0-0	1753	1758	42.2%	28.7%	29.1%	-0.7	5
2013-09-28	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1758	1753	29.1%	28.7%	42.2%	+0.7	7
2013-09-28	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	2010	1770	73.4%	15.0%	11.7%	-3.0	11
2013-09-28	@ Benfica	D 1-1	1770	2010	11.7%	15.0%	73.4%	+3.0	4
2013-09-28	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1920	1922	42.7%	28.6%	28.7%	-9.1	12
2013-09-28	@ Braga	W 2-1	1922	1920	28.7%	28.6%	42.7%	+9.1	14
2013-09-28	Pacos de Ferreira	L 3-4	1831	1833	42.5%	28.6%	28.8%	-8.4	7
2013-09-28	@ Maritimo	W 4-3	1833	1831	28.8%	28.6%	42.5%	+8.4	4
2013-09-28	Estoril	L 1-2	1769	1871	28.9%	28.6%	42.5%	-6.8	5
2013-09-28	@ Olhanense	W 2-1	1871	1769	42.5%	28.6%	28.9%	+6.8	11
2013-09-28	Nacional	L 0-3	1835	1828	43.9%	28.4%	27.7%	-27.0	7
2013-09-28	@ Rio Ave	W 3-0	1828	1835	27.7%	28.4%	43.9%	+27.0	10
2013-09-30	Gil Vicente	D 2-2	1760	1790	38.7%	29.1%	32.2%	-0.2	5
2013-09-30	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 2-2	1790	1760	32.2%	29.1%	38.7%	+0.2	8
2013-10-04	Rio Ave	L 0-1	1753	1808	35.0%	29.2%	35.8%	-8.4	5
2013-10-04	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1808	1753	35.8%	29.2%	35.0%	+8.4	10
2013-10-05	Olhanense	W 2-0	1773	1763	44.3%	28.3%	27.4%	+13.1	7
2013-10-05	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-2	1763	1773	27.4%	28.3%	44.3%	-13.1	5
2013-10-05	Vitoria Setubal	W 4-0	1931	1760	65.2%	19.8%	14.9%	+13.1	17
2013-10-05	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1760	1931	14.9%	19.8%	65.2%	-13.1	5
2013-10-06	Porto	L 1-3	1759	2058	13.8%	18.2%	68.0%	-5.4	7
2013-10-06	@ Arouca	W 3-1	2058	1759	68.0%	18.2%	13.8%	+5.4	19
2013-10-06	Benfica	L 1-2	1878	2007	25.9%	27.9%	46.2%	-6.2	11
2013-10-06	@ Estoril	W 2-1	2007	1878	46.2%	27.9%	25.9%	+6.2	14
2013-10-06	Pacos de Ferreira	W 2-1	1790	1842	35.5%	29.2%	35.3%	+7.9	11
2013-10-06	@ Gil Vicente	L 1-2	1842	1790	35.3%	29.2%	35.5%	-7.9	4
2013-10-06	Braga	W 3-0	1855	1911	34.8%	29.2%	36.0%	+23.3	13
2013-10-06	@ Nacional	L 0-3	1911	1855	36.0%	29.2%	34.8%	-23.4	12
2013-10-07	Maritimo	W 1-0	1811	1823	41.2%	28.8%	29.9%	+7.5	10
2013-10-07	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1823	1811	29.9%	28.8%	41.2%	-7.5	7
2013-10-25	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1888	1744	61.9%	21.6%	16.4%	-12.7	12
2013-10-25	@ Braga	W 1-0	1744	1888	16.4%	21.6%	61.9%	+12.7	8
2013-10-26	Arouca	W 1-0	1749	1754	42.3%	28.7%	29.0%	+7.3	8
2013-10-26	@ Olhanense	L 0-1	1754	1749	29.0%	28.7%	42.3%	-7.3	7
2013-10-26	Gil Vicente	L 0-1	1816	1798	45.4%	28.1%	26.5%	-10.1	10
2013-10-26	@ Rio Ave	W 1-0	1798	1816	26.5%	28.1%	45.4%	+10.1	14
2013-10-26	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1747	1786	37.4%	29.2%	33.5%	-0.2	6
2013-10-26	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1786	1747	33.5%	29.2%	37.4%	+0.2	8
2013-10-27	Nacional	W 2-0	2014	1878	60.9%	22.2%	16.9%	+8.1	17
2013-10-27	@ Benfica	L 0-2	1878	2014	16.9%	22.2%	60.9%	-8.0	13
2013-10-27	Estoril	L 1-3	1815	1872	34.8%	29.2%	36.0%	-13.6	7
2013-10-27	@ Maritimo	W 3-1	1872	1815	36.0%	29.2%	34.8%	+13.6	14
2013-10-27	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	2063	1944	58.8%	23.2%	17.9%	+7.5	22
2013-10-27	@ Porto	L 1-3	1944	2063	17.9%	23.2%	58.8%	-7.5	17
2013-10-28	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-3	1834	1818	45.1%	28.2%	26.8%	-16.4	4
2013-10-28	@ Pacos de Ferreira	W 3-1	1818	1834	26.8%	28.2%	45.1%	+16.4	13
2013-11-01	Benfica	L 0-3	1757	2022	15.5%	20.6%	63.9%	-10.5	8
2013-11-01	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 3-0	2022	1757	63.9%	20.6%	15.5%	+10.5	20
2013-11-02	Porto	D 1-1	1786	2071	14.5%	19.2%	66.3%	+2.5	9
2013-11-02	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	2071	1786	66.3%	19.2%	14.5%	-2.5	23
2013-11-02	Maritimo	W 3-2	1936	1802	60.8%	22.2%	17.0%	+3.8	20
2013-11-02	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1802	1936	17.0%	22.2%	60.8%	-3.8	7
2013-11-03	Pacos de Ferreira	D 0-0	1746	1818	32.8%	29.1%	38.1%	+0.3	8
2013-11-03	@ Arouca	D 0-0	1818	1746	38.1%	29.1%	32.8%	-0.3	5
2013-11-03	Rio Ave	L 0-1	1875	1806	52.3%	26.0%	21.6%	-11.3	12
2013-11-03	@ Braga	W 1-0	1806	1875	21.6%	26.0%	52.3%	+11.3	13
2013-11-03	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-2	1886	1747	61.3%	22.0%	16.7%	-23.9	14
2013-11-03	@ Estoril	W 2-0	1747	1886	16.7%	22.0%	61.3%	+23.9	9
2013-11-03	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1808	1835	39.1%	29.0%	31.8%	+7.8	17
2013-11-03	@ Gil Vicente	L 0-1	1835	1808	31.8%	29.0%	39.1%	-7.8	13
2013-11-03	Olhanense	D 0-0	1870	1757	58.1%	23.6%	18.3%	-2.2	14
2013-11-03	@ Nacional	D 0-0	1757	1870	18.3%	23.6%	58.1%	+2.2	9
2013-11-23	Braga	W 1-0	2032	1864	65.0%	20.0%	15.1%	+3.7	23
2013-11-23	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1864	2032	15.1%	20.0%	65.0%	-3.7	12
2013-11-23	Nacional	D 1-1	2068	1868	68.8%	17.8%	13.5%	-2.7	24
2013-11-23	@ Porto	D 1-1	1868	2068	13.5%	17.8%	68.8%	+2.7	15
2013-11-24	Gil Vicente	W 3-2	1798	1816	40.3%	28.9%	30.8%	+6.8	10
2013-11-24	@ Maritimo	L 2-3	1816	1798	30.8%	28.9%	40.3%	-6.8	17
2013-11-24	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1817	1789	46.9%	27.7%	25.4%	+6.5	8
2013-11-24	@ Pacos de Ferreira	L 0-1	1789	1817	25.4%	27.7%	46.9%	-6.5	9
2013-11-24	Estoril	L 0-2	1817	1862	36.6%	29.2%	34.2%	-16.3	13
2013-11-24	@ Rio Ave	W 2-0	1862	1817	34.2%	29.2%	36.6%	+16.3	17
2013-11-24	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1827	1940	27.6%	28.4%	44.0%	-7.0	13
2013-11-24	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1940	1827	44.0%	28.4%	27.6%	+7.0	23
2013-11-24	Arouca	W 1-0	1771	1747	46.2%	27.9%	25.9%	+6.6	12
2013-11-24	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1747	1771	25.9%	27.9%	46.2%	-6.6	8
2013-11-25	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1759	1746	44.6%	28.3%	27.1%	-10.0	9
2013-11-25	@ Olhanense	W 1-0	1746	1759	27.1%	28.3%	44.6%	+10.0	11
2013-11-29	Olhanense	W 4-1	1860	1749	57.8%	23.7%	18.5%	+10.9	15
2013-11-29	@ Braga	L 1-4	1749	1860	18.5%	23.7%	57.8%	-10.9	9
2013-11-30	Porto	W 1-0	1756	2065	13.3%	17.5%	69.2%	+13.7	14
2013-11-30	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	2065	1756	69.2%	17.5%	13.3%	-13.7	24
2013-12-01	Maritimo	L 1-2	1740	1805	33.7%	29.2%	37.1%	-7.7	8
2013-12-01	@ Arouca	W 2-1	1805	1740	37.1%	29.2%	33.7%	+7.7	13
2013-12-01	Gil Vicente	D 0-0	1782	1809	39.0%	29.1%	31.9%	-0.4	10
2013-12-01	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1809	1782	31.9%	29.1%	39.0%	+0.4	18
2013-12-01	Vitoria Setubal	D 2-2	1871	1777	55.5%	24.8%	19.7%	-1.3	16
2013-12-01	@ Nacional	D 2-2	1777	1871	19.7%	24.8%	55.5%	+1.3	13
2013-12-01	Benfica	L 1-3	1801	2036	17.3%	22.6%	60.2%	-7.1	13
2013-12-01	@ Rio Ave	W 3-1	2036	1801	60.2%	22.6%	17.3%	+7.1	26
2013-12-01	Pacos de Ferreira	W 4-0	1947	1824	59.4%	22.9%	17.7%	+16.1	26
2013-12-01	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1824	1947	17.7%	22.9%	59.4%	-16.1	8
2013-12-02	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1878	1820	50.9%	26.6%	22.6%	-20.8	17
2013-12-02	@ Estoril	W 2-0	1820	1878	22.6%	26.6%	50.9%	+20.8	16
2013-12-06	Arouca	D 2-2	2043	1732	80.6%	10.5%	8.9%	-2.5	27
2013-12-06	@ Benfica	D 2-2	1732	2043	8.9%	10.5%	80.6%	+2.5	9
2013-12-07	Estoril	L 0-3	1808	1857	35.8%	29.2%	35.0%	-23.3	8
2013-12-07	@ Pacos de Ferreira	W 3-0	1857	1808	35.0%	29.2%	35.8%	+23.3	20
2013-12-07	Braga	W 2-0	2052	1871	66.4%	19.1%	14.4%	+6.6	27
2013-12-07	@ Porto	L 0-2	1871	2052	14.4%	19.1%	66.4%	-6.6	15
2013-12-07	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1841	1782	51.0%	26.5%	22.5%	-1.5	17
2013-12-07	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1782	1841	22.5%	26.5%	51.0%	+1.5	11
2013-12-08	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1810	1963	23.4%	27.0%	49.6%	-11.4	18
2013-12-08	@ Gil Vicente	W 2-0	1963	1810	49.6%	27.0%	23.4%	+11.4	29
2013-12-08	Nacional	D 2-2	1812	1869	34.8%	29.2%	36.0%	+0.0	14
2013-12-08	@ Maritimo	D 2-2	1869	1812	36.0%	29.2%	34.8%	-0.0	17
2013-12-08	Rio Ave	L 0-1	1738	1794	34.9%	29.2%	35.9%	-8.3	9
2013-12-08	@ Olhanense	W 1-0	1794	1738	35.9%	29.2%	34.9%	+8.3	16
2013-12-09	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1779	1770	44.1%	28.4%	27.6%	+7.0	16
2013-12-09	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1770	1779	27.6%	28.4%	44.1%	-7.0	14
2013-12-13	Maritimo	D 1-1	1763	1812	35.9%	29.2%	34.9%	-0.0	15
2013-12-13	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1812	1763	34.9%	29.2%	35.9%	+0.0	15
2013-12-14	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-0	1864	1786	53.6%	25.5%	20.8%	+10.2	18
2013-12-14	@ Braga	L 0-2	1786	1864	20.8%	25.5%	53.6%	-10.2	16
2013-12-14	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-0	1975	1783	67.7%	18.4%	13.9%	+9.1	32
2013-12-14	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1783	1975	13.9%	18.4%	67.7%	-9.1	11
2013-12-15	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1735	1839	28.6%	28.6%	42.8%	-13.5	9
2013-12-15	@ Arouca	W 2-0	1839	1735	42.8%	28.6%	28.6%	+13.5	20
2013-12-15	Benfica	L 2-3	1730	2040	13.2%	17.4%	69.4%	-2.8	9
2013-12-15	@ Olhanense	W 3-2	2040	1730	69.4%	17.4%	13.2%	+2.8	30
2013-12-15	Porto	L 1-3	1802	2058	16.0%	21.2%	62.8%	-6.5	16
2013-12-15	@ Rio Ave	W 3-1	2058	1802	62.8%	21.2%	16.0%	+6.5	30
2013-12-16	Gil Vicente	W 2-0	1880	1798	54.1%	25.4%	20.6%	+10.0	23
2013-12-16	@ Estoril	L 0-2	1798	1880	20.6%	25.4%	54.1%	-10.0	18
2013-12-16	Pacos de Ferreira	W 2-1	1869	1784	54.4%	25.2%	20.4%	+5.0	20
2013-12-16	@ Nacional	L 1-2	1784	1869	20.4%	25.2%	54.4%	-5.0	8
2013-12-19	Braga	D 2-2	1812	1875	34.0%	29.2%	36.8%	+0.1	16
2013-12-19	@ Maritimo	D 2-2	1875	1812	36.8%	29.2%	34.0%	-0.1	19
2013-12-20	Olhanense	W 4-0	2065	1727	83.1%	8.9%	8.0%	+5.8	33
2013-12-20	@ Porto	L 0-4	1727	2065	8.0%	8.9%	83.1%	-5.8	9
2013-12-20	Benfica	L 0-2	1775	2043	15.4%	20.3%	64.3%	-7.1	16
2013-12-20	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 2-0	2043	1775	64.3%	20.3%	15.4%	+7.1	33
2013-12-21	Rio Ave	D 0-0	1779	1796	40.6%	28.9%	30.5%	-0.5	9
2013-12-21	@ Pacos de Ferreira	D 0-0	1796	1779	30.5%	28.9%	40.6%	+0.5	17
2013-12-21	Nacional	D 0-0	1984	1874	57.6%	23.8%	18.6%	-2.1	33
2013-12-21	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1874	1984	18.6%	23.8%	57.6%	+2.1	21
2013-12-21	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-0	1853	1763	55.0%	25.0%	20.0%	+14.1	23
2013-12-21	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-3	1763	1853	20.0%	25.0%	55.0%	-14.1	15
2013-12-22	Estoril	D 0-0	1774	1891	27.2%	28.3%	44.5%	+0.9	12
2013-12-22	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1891	1774	44.5%	28.3%	27.2%	-0.9	24
2013-12-22	Arouca	L 0-3	1788	1721	52.0%	26.1%	21.8%	-30.7	18
2013-12-22	@ Gil Vicente	W 3-0	1721	1788	21.8%	26.1%	52.0%	+30.7	12
2014-01-10	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-0	1874	1867	44.0%	28.4%	27.7%	+19.1	22
2014-01-10	@ Braga	L 0-3	1867	1874	27.7%	28.4%	44.0%	-19.1	23
2014-01-11	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1890	1982	30.1%	28.8%	41.1%	+0.6	25
2014-01-11	@ Estoril	D 0-0	1982	1890	41.1%	28.8%	30.1%	-0.6	34
2014-01-11	Maritimo	D 1-1	1796	1812	40.6%	28.9%	30.5%	-0.5	18
2014-01-11	@ Rio Ave	D 1-1	1812	1796	30.5%	28.9%	40.6%	+0.4	17
2014-01-12	Pacos de Ferreira	W 4-2	1749	1779	38.6%	29.1%	32.3%	+11.5	18
2014-01-12	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 2-4	1779	1749	32.3%	29.1%	38.6%	-11.5	9
2014-01-12	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1752	1775	39.6%	29.0%	31.4%	+14.5	15
2014-01-12	@ Arouca	L 0-2	1775	1752	31.4%	29.0%	39.6%	-14.5	12
2014-01-12	Porto	W 2-0	2050	2070	40.0%	29.0%	31.0%	+14.4	36
2014-01-12	@ Benfica	L 0-2	2070	2050	31.0%	29.0%	40.0%	-14.4	33
2014-01-12	Gil Vicente	W 2-0	1876	1757	58.8%	23.2%	18.0%	+8.6	24
2014-01-12	@ Nacional	L 0-2	1757	1876	18.0%	23.2%	58.8%	-8.6	18
2014-01-12	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1721	1768	36.2%	29.2%	34.6%	+7.8	12
2014-01-12	@ Olhanense	L 1-2	1768	1721	34.6%	29.2%	36.2%	-7.8	16
2014-01-17	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1729	1848	27.0%	28.2%	44.8%	-6.8	12
2014-01-17	@ Olhanense	W 1-0	1848	1729	44.8%	28.2%	27.0%	+6.8	26
2014-01-18	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1767	1981	18.6%	23.8%	57.6%	-4.5	15
2014-01-18	@ Arouca	W 2-1	1981	1767	57.6%	23.8%	18.6%	+4.5	37
2014-01-19	Gil Vicente	W 1-0	1761	1749	44.5%	28.3%	27.2%	+6.9	21
2014-01-19	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1749	1761	27.2%	28.3%	44.5%	-6.9	18
2014-01-19	Maritimo	W 2-0	2065	1813	74.6%	14.2%	11.2%	+4.7	39
2014-01-19	@ Benfica	L 0-2	1813	2065	11.2%	14.2%	74.6%	-4.7	17
2014-01-19	Pacos de Ferreira	D 1-1	1894	1767	59.7%	22.8%	17.5%	-2.1	23
2014-01-19	@ Braga	D 1-1	1767	1894	17.5%	22.8%	59.7%	+2.1	10
2014-01-19	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-0	2056	1760	79.1%	11.4%	9.5%	+5.5	36
2014-01-19	@ Porto	L 0-3	1760	2056	9.5%	11.4%	79.1%	-5.5	16
2014-01-19	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1796	1760	47.8%	27.5%	24.7%	+6.4	21
2014-01-19	@ Rio Ave	L 0-1	1760	1796	24.7%	27.5%	47.8%	-6.4	12
2014-01-20	Estoril	D 2-2	1885	1890	42.1%	28.7%	29.1%	-0.4	25
2014-01-20	@ Nacional	D 2-2	1890	1885	29.1%	28.7%	42.1%	+0.4	26
2014-01-31	Arouca	D 1-1	1891	1762	60.0%	22.6%	17.3%	-2.1	27
2014-01-31	@ Estoril	D 1-1	1762	1891	17.3%	22.6%	60.0%	+2.1	16
2014-02-01	Benfica	D 1-1	1742	2070	12.4%	16.2%	71.4%	+2.9	19
2014-02-01	@ Gil Vicente	D 1-1	2070	1742	71.4%	16.2%	12.4%	-2.9	40
2014-02-01	Porto	W 1-0	1808	2062	16.2%	21.3%	62.5%	+12.8	20
2014-02-01	@ Maritimo	L 0-1	2062	1808	62.5%	21.3%	16.2%	-12.8	36
2014-02-01	Rio Ave	W 2-0	1755	1802	36.2%	29.2%	34.6%	+15.7	19
2014-02-01	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-2	1802	1755	34.6%	29.2%	36.2%	-15.7	21
2014-02-02	Braga	W 2-1	1754	1892	25.0%	27.6%	47.4%	+9.9	15
2014-02-02	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1892	1754	47.4%	27.6%	25.0%	-9.8	23
2014-02-02	Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1986	1767	70.9%	16.5%	12.7%	-3.2	38
2014-02-02	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1767	1986	12.7%	16.5%	70.9%	+3.2	22
2014-02-03	Nacional	L 1-2	1855	1884	38.6%	29.1%	32.3%	-8.5	26
2014-02-03	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1884	1855	32.3%	29.1%	38.6%	+8.5	28
2014-02-05	Olhanense	W 3-1	1769	1722	49.4%	27.0%	23.5%	+9.9	13
2014-02-05	@ Pacos de Ferreira	L 1-3	1722	1769	23.5%	27.0%	49.4%	-9.9	12
2014-02-08	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1893	1764	60.1%	22.6%	17.3%	+8.3	31
2014-02-08	@ Nacional	L 0-2	1764	1893	17.3%	22.6%	60.1%	-8.3	15
2014-02-08	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-2	1771	1846	32.2%	29.1%	38.7%	+8.0	22
2014-02-08	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 2-3	1846	1771	38.7%	29.1%	32.2%	-8.0	26
2014-02-09	Gil Vicente	W 4-1	1882	1745	61.1%	22.1%	16.8%	+9.8	26
2014-02-09	@ Braga	L 1-4	1745	1882	16.8%	22.1%	61.1%	-9.8	19
2014-02-09	Maritimo	D 1-1	1712	1821	28.1%	28.5%	43.4%	+0.7	13
2014-02-09	@ Olhanense	D 1-1	1821	1712	43.4%	28.5%	28.1%	-0.7	21
2014-02-09	Pacos de Ferreira	W 3-0	2049	1779	76.5%	13.0%	10.5%	+6.3	39
2014-02-09	@ Porto	L 0-3	1779	2049	10.5%	13.0%	76.5%	-6.3	13
2014-02-09	Arouca	D 1-1	1786	1764	46.0%	28.0%	26.0%	-0.9	22
2014-02-09	@ Rio Ave	D 1-1	1764	1786	26.0%	28.0%	46.0%	+0.9	17
2014-02-10	Estoril	L 0-1	1771	1889	27.1%	28.2%	44.7%	-6.9	22
2014-02-10	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1889	1771	44.7%	28.2%	27.1%	+6.9	30
2014-02-11	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	2067	1982	54.3%	25.2%	20.4%	+10.0	43
2014-02-11	@ Benfica	L 0-2	1982	2067	20.4%	25.2%	54.3%	-10.0	38
2014-02-15	Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1756	1764	41.7%	28.8%	29.5%	-0.6	16
2014-02-15	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1764	1756	29.5%	28.8%	41.7%	+0.6	23
2014-02-15	Olhanense	W 1-0	1973	1713	75.4%	13.7%	10.9%	+2.4	41
2014-02-15	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1713	1973	10.9%	13.7%	75.4%	-2.4	13
2014-02-16	Nacional	D 1-1	1765	1901	25.1%	27.7%	47.2%	+1.0	18
2014-02-16	@ Arouca	D 1-1	1901	1765	47.2%	27.7%	25.1%	-1.0	32
2014-02-16	Porto	L 1-2	1735	2055	12.8%	16.7%	70.5%	-2.8	19
2014-02-16	@ Gil Vicente	W 2-1	2055	1735	70.5%	16.7%	12.8%	+2.8	42
2014-02-16	Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1820	1779	48.6%	27.3%	24.1%	+6.2	24
2014-02-16	@ Maritimo	L 0-1	1779	1820	24.1%	27.3%	48.6%	-6.2	22
2014-02-16	Benfica	L 0-2	1773	2077	13.6%	17.9%	68.5%	-6.1	13
2014-02-16	@ Pacos de Ferreira	W 2-0	2077	1773	68.5%	17.9%	13.6%	+6.1	46
2014-02-16	Rio Ave	W 1-0	1838	1786	50.1%	26.8%	23.1%	+6.0	29
2014-02-16	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1786	1838	23.1%	26.8%	50.1%	-6.0	22
2014-02-17	Braga	W 2-1	1895	1892	43.4%	28.5%	28.1%	+6.7	33
2014-02-17	@ Estoril	L 1-2	1892	1895	28.1%	28.5%	43.4%	-6.7	26
2014-02-21	Nacional	D 0-0	1764	1900	25.2%	27.7%	47.2%	+1.2	24
2014-02-21	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1900	1764	47.2%	27.7%	25.2%	-1.2	33
2014-02-22	Arouca	D 2-2	1885	1766	58.8%	23.2%	18.0%	-1.5	27
2014-02-22	@ Braga	D 2-2	1766	1885	18.0%	23.2%	58.8%	+1.5	19
2014-02-22	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1780	1975	20.0%	24.9%	55.1%	-4.8	22
2014-02-22	@ Rio Ave	W 2-1	1975	1780	55.1%	24.9%	20.0%	+4.8	44
2014-02-23	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1826	1755	52.6%	25.9%	21.4%	+10.5	27
2014-02-23	@ Maritimo	L 0-2	1755	1826	21.4%	25.9%	52.6%	-10.5	16
2014-02-23	Gil Vicente	W 2-1	1710	1732	39.8%	29.0%	31.2%	+7.2	16
2014-02-23	@ Olhanense	L 1-2	1732	1710	31.2%	29.0%	39.8%	-7.2	19
2014-02-23	Estoril	L 0-1	2058	1902	63.4%	20.8%	15.8%	-13.0	42
2014-02-23	@ Porto	W 1-0	1902	2058	15.8%	20.8%	63.4%	+13.0	36
2014-02-23	Pacos de Ferreira	W 4-0	1772	1767	43.6%	28.4%	27.9%	+25.2	25
2014-02-23	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-4	1767	1772	27.9%	28.4%	43.6%	-25.2	13
2014-02-24	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	2083	1844	73.1%	15.1%	11.8%	+2.7	49
2014-02-24	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1844	2083	11.8%	15.1%	73.1%	-2.7	29
2014-03-01	Olhanense	W 4-0	1915	1718	68.4%	18.0%	13.6%	+11.6	39
2014-03-01	@ Estoril	L 0-4	1718	1915	13.6%	18.0%	68.4%	-11.6	16
2014-03-01	Braga	W 2-1	1980	1883	55.9%	24.6%	19.5%	+4.7	47
2014-03-01	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1883	1980	19.5%	24.6%	55.9%	-4.7	27
2014-03-02	Benfica	L 0-1	1745	2085	11.9%	15.3%	72.8%	-2.7	16
2014-03-02	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	2085	1745	72.8%	15.3%	11.9%	+2.7	52
2014-03-02	Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1725	1798	32.6%	29.1%	38.3%	+8.9	22
2014-03-02	@ Gil Vicente	L 0-1	1798	1725	38.3%	29.1%	32.6%	-8.9	25
2014-03-02	Rio Ave	D 1-1	1899	1775	59.5%	22.9%	17.6%	-2.0	34
2014-03-02	@ Nacional	D 1-1	1775	1899	17.6%	22.9%	59.5%	+2.0	23
2014-03-02	Maritimo	W 3-1	1742	1837	29.7%	28.8%	41.5%	+15.5	16
2014-03-02	@ Pacos de Ferreira	L 1-3	1837	1742	41.5%	28.8%	29.7%	-15.5	27
2014-03-02	Porto	D 2-2	1841	2045	19.4%	24.5%	56.2%	+1.3	30
2014-03-02	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 2-2	2045	1841	56.2%	24.5%	19.4%	-1.3	43
2014-03-03	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-3	1768	1766	43.2%	28.5%	28.3%	-26.7	19
2014-03-03	@ Arouca	W 3-0	1766	1768	28.3%	28.5%	43.2%	+26.7	27
2014-03-07	Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1777	1792	40.7%	28.9%	30.4%	-0.5	24
2014-03-07	@ Rio Ave	D 0-0	1792	1777	30.4%	28.9%	40.7%	+0.5	28
2014-03-08	Nacional	W 2-1	1879	1897	40.3%	28.9%	30.8%	+7.2	30
2014-03-08	@ Braga	L 1-2	1897	1879	30.8%	28.9%	40.3%	-7.2	34
2014-03-09	Estoril	W 2-0	2088	1927	64.1%	20.4%	15.4%	+7.2	55
2014-03-09	@ Benfica	L 0-2	1927	2088	15.4%	20.4%	64.1%	-7.2	39
2014-03-09	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1706	1742	37.8%	29.1%	33.1%	-0.2	17
2014-03-09	@ Olhanense	D 0-0	1742	1706	33.1%	29.1%	37.8%	+0.2	17
2014-03-09	Gil Vicente	L 0-2	1757	1734	46.2%	27.9%	25.9%	-19.3	16
2014-03-09	@ Pacos de Ferreira	W 2-0	1734	1757	25.9%	27.9%	46.2%	+19.3	25
2014-03-09	Arouca	W 4-1	2044	1741	79.8%	10.9%	9.2%	+4.5	46
2014-03-09	@ Porto	L 1-4	1741	2044	9.2%	10.9%	79.8%	-4.5	19
2014-03-09	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1789	1984	19.9%	24.9%	55.2%	+1.3	26
2014-03-09	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 2-2	1984	1789	55.2%	24.9%	19.9%	-1.3	48
2014-03-10	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1822	1843	39.9%	29.0%	31.1%	+7.2	30
2014-03-10	@ Maritimo	L 1-2	1843	1822	31.1%	29.0%	39.9%	-7.2	30
2014-03-14	Braga	D 1-1	1793	1886	30.0%	28.8%	41.2%	+0.5	29
2014-03-14	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1886	1793	41.2%	28.8%	30.0%	-0.5	31
2014-03-15	Maritimo	W 1-0	1919	1829	55.2%	24.9%	19.9%	+5.1	42
2014-03-15	@ Estoril	L 0-1	1829	1919	19.9%	24.9%	55.2%	-5.1	30
2014-03-15	Rio Ave	L 1-2	1753	1776	39.6%	29.0%	31.4%	-8.6	25
2014-03-15	@ Gil Vicente	W 2-1	1776	1753	31.4%	29.0%	39.6%	+8.6	27
2014-03-15	Pacos de Ferreira	L 1-2	1836	1738	56.1%	24.5%	19.4%	-11.2	30
2014-03-15	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1738	1836	19.4%	24.5%	56.1%	+11.2	19
2014-03-16	Olhanense	W 2-0	1736	1706	47.1%	27.7%	25.2%	+12.2	22
2014-03-16	@ Arouca	L 0-2	1706	1736	25.2%	27.7%	47.1%	-12.2	17
2014-03-16	Vitoria Setubal	L 1-3	1742	1790	36.1%	29.2%	34.7%	-13.9	17
2014-03-16	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-1	1790	1742	34.7%	29.2%	36.1%	+14.0	29
2014-03-16	Porto	W 1-0	1983	2048	33.7%	29.2%	37.1%	+8.7	51
2014-03-16	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	2048	1983	37.1%	29.2%	33.7%	-8.7	46
2014-03-17	Benfica	L 2-4	1890	2095	19.2%	24.3%	56.4%	-7.2	34
2014-03-17	@ Nacional	W 4-2	2095	1890	56.4%	24.3%	19.2%	+7.2	58
2014-03-21	Braga	D 1-1	1785	1885	29.1%	28.7%	42.2%	+0.6	28
2014-03-21	@ Rio Ave	D 1-1	1885	1785	42.2%	28.7%	29.1%	-0.6	32
2014-03-22	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1824	1992	22.1%	26.3%	51.6%	-9.3	30
2014-03-22	@ Maritimo	W 3-1	1992	1824	51.6%	26.3%	22.1%	+9.3	54
2014-03-22	Gil Vicente	D 0-0	1824	1744	53.8%	25.5%	20.8%	-1.8	31
2014-03-22	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1744	1824	20.8%	25.5%	53.8%	+1.8	26
2014-03-23	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-0	2102	1793	80.5%	10.5%	9.0%	+5.1	61
2014-03-23	@ Benfica	L 0-3	1793	2102	9.0%	10.5%	80.5%	-5.1	29
2014-03-23	Nacional	D 1-1	1694	1883	20.4%	25.3%	54.3%	+1.6	18
2014-03-23	@ Olhanense	D 1-1	1883	1694	54.3%	25.3%	20.4%	-1.6	35
2014-03-23	Arouca	W 3-1	1749	1749	43.0%	28.6%	28.5%	+11.7	22
2014-03-23	@ Pacos de Ferreira	L 1-3	1749	1749	28.5%	28.6%	43.0%	-11.7	22
2014-03-23	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	2039	1728	80.6%	10.4%	8.9%	+1.8	49
2014-03-23	@ Porto	L 0-1	1728	2039	8.9%	10.4%	80.6%	-1.9	17
2014-03-24	Estoril	D 1-1	1804	1925	26.8%	28.2%	45.1%	+0.8	30
2014-03-24	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1925	1804	45.1%	28.2%	26.8%	-0.8	43
2014-03-28	Pacos de Ferreira	D 1-1	1726	1761	38.0%	29.1%	32.9%	-0.2	18
2014-03-28	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1761	1726	32.9%	29.1%	38.0%	+0.2	23
2014-03-29	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	2001	1823	66.2%	19.3%	14.5%	+3.5	57
2014-03-29	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1823	2001	14.5%	19.3%	66.2%	-3.5	31
2014-03-30	Olhanense	W 2-1	1788	1695	55.4%	24.8%	19.8%	+4.8	32
2014-03-30	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1695	1788	19.8%	24.8%	55.4%	-4.8	18
2014-03-30	Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1737	1805	33.2%	29.1%	37.6%	+8.8	25
2014-03-30	@ Arouca	L 0-1	1805	1737	37.6%	29.1%	33.2%	-8.8	30
2014-03-30	Benfica	L 0-1	1885	2108	18.0%	23.3%	58.7%	-4.6	32
2014-03-30	@ Braga	W 1-0	2108	1885	58.7%	23.3%	18.0%	+4.6	64
2014-03-30	Rio Ave	L 0-1	1924	1786	61.2%	22.0%	16.8%	-12.7	43
2014-03-30	@ Estoril	W 1-0	1786	1924	16.8%	22.0%	61.2%	+12.7	31
2014-03-30	Maritimo	D 1-1	1746	1814	33.2%	29.1%	37.6%	+0.2	27
2014-03-30	@ Gil Vicente	D 1-1	1814	1746	37.6%	29.1%	33.2%	-0.2	31
2014-03-30	Porto	W 2-1	1881	2041	22.9%	26.7%	50.5%	+10.3	38
2014-03-30	@ Nacional	L 1-2	2041	1881	50.5%	26.7%	22.9%	-10.3	49
2014-04-04	Estoril	L 1-3	1819	1911	30.1%	28.8%	41.0%	-12.2	31
2014-04-04	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-1	1911	1819	41.0%	28.8%	30.1%	+12.2	46
2014-04-05	Braga	L 0-2	1691	1880	20.4%	25.2%	54.4%	-9.9	18
2014-04-05	@ Olhanense	W 2-0	1880	1691	54.4%	25.2%	20.4%	+9.9	35
2014-04-05	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1761	2005	16.7%	22.0%	61.3%	-6.9	23
2014-04-05	@ Pacos de Ferreira	W 3-1	2005	1761	61.3%	22.0%	16.7%	+6.9	60
2014-04-06	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1746	1726	45.7%	28.0%	26.2%	-10.2	27
2014-04-06	@ Gil Vicente	W 1-0	1726	1746	26.2%	28.0%	45.7%	+10.2	21
2014-04-06	Arouca	W 1-0	1814	1746	52.2%	26.1%	21.7%	+5.6	34
2014-04-06	@ Maritimo	L 0-1	1746	1814	21.7%	26.1%	52.2%	-5.6	25
2014-04-06	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	2031	1793	73.1%	15.2%	11.8%	+4.4	52
2014-04-06	@ Porto	L 1-3	1793	2031	11.8%	15.2%	73.1%	-4.4	32
2014-04-06	Nacional	W 3-0	1796	1891	29.7%	28.8%	41.5%	+25.9	33
2014-04-06	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-3	1891	1796	41.5%	28.8%	29.7%	-25.9	38
2014-04-07	Rio Ave	W 4-0	2112	1798	80.9%	10.3%	8.8%	+6.5	67
2014-04-07	@ Benfica	L 0-4	1798	2112	8.8%	10.3%	80.9%	-6.5	31
2014-04-11	Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1789	1822	38.1%	29.1%	32.7%	-0.2	33
2014-04-11	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1822	1789	32.7%	29.1%	38.1%	+0.2	34
2014-04-12	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-1	1736	1807	32.9%	29.1%	38.0%	+14.5	24
2014-04-12	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-3	1807	1736	38.0%	29.1%	32.9%	-14.5	31
2014-04-12	Maritimo	W 2-0	1865	1820	49.2%	27.1%	23.7%	+11.5	41
2014-04-12	@ Nacional	L 0-2	1820	1865	23.7%	27.1%	49.2%	-11.5	34
2014-04-12	Olhanense	L 1-2	1792	1681	57.8%	23.7%	18.5%	-11.4	31
2014-04-12	@ Rio Ave	W 2-1	1681	1792	18.5%	23.7%	57.8%	+11.4	21
2014-04-12	Gil Vicente	W 2-0	2012	1736	77.1%	12.7%	10.3%	+4.2	63
2014-04-12	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1736	2012	10.3%	12.7%	77.1%	-4.2	27
2014-04-13	Benfica	L 0-2	1740	2119	10.3%	12.8%	76.9%	-4.2	25
2014-04-13	@ Arouca	W 2-0	2119	1740	76.9%	12.8%	10.3%	+4.2	70
2014-04-13	Porto	L 1-3	1890	2035	24.2%	27.3%	48.4%	-10.2	35
2014-04-13	@ Braga	W 3-1	2035	1890	48.4%	27.3%	24.2%	+10.2	55
2014-04-14	Pacos de Ferreira	W 1-0	1923	1754	65.0%	19.9%	15.0%	+3.7	49
2014-04-14	@ Estoril	L 0-1	1754	1923	15.0%	19.9%	65.0%	-3.7	23
2014-04-17	Arouca	L 2-3	1792	1736	50.6%	26.6%	22.7%	-9.8	31
2014-04-17	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-2	1736	1792	22.7%	26.6%	50.6%	+9.8	28
2014-04-19	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1751	2016	15.5%	20.5%	63.9%	-3.8	24
2014-04-19	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	2016	1751	63.9%	20.5%	15.5%	+3.8	66
2014-04-19	Estoril	D 0-0	1732	1927	20.0%	24.9%	55.1%	+1.9	28
2014-04-19	@ Gil Vicente	D 0-0	1927	1732	55.1%	24.9%	20.0%	-1.9	50
2014-04-19	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1808	1788	45.6%	28.0%	26.3%	+10.9	37
2014-04-19	@ Maritimo	L 1-3	1788	1808	26.3%	28.0%	45.6%	-10.9	33
2014-04-19	Nacional	L 0-5	1751	1877	26.1%	28.0%	45.9%	-29.4	23
2014-04-19	@ Pacos de Ferreira	W 5-0	1877	1751	45.9%	28.0%	26.1%	+29.4	44
2014-04-20	Olhanense	W 2-0	2123	1692	90.0%	4.7%	5.3%	+1.8	73
2014-04-20	@ Benfica	L 0-2	1692	2123	5.3%	4.7%	90.0%	-1.9	21
2014-04-21	Rio Ave	W 3-0	2045	1780	76.0%	13.3%	10.7%	+6.4	58
2014-04-21	@ Porto	L 0-3	1780	2045	10.7%	13.3%	76.0%	-6.4	31
2014-04-21	Braga	D 1-1	1822	1880	34.6%	29.2%	36.1%	+0.1	35
2014-04-21	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1880	1822	36.1%	29.2%	34.6%	-0.1	36
2014-05-03	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1906	2020	27.6%	28.4%	44.1%	+0.8	45
2014-05-03	@ Nacional	D 1-1	2020	1906	44.1%	28.4%	27.6%	-0.8	67
2014-05-04	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1777	1782	42.2%	28.7%	29.1%	-0.7	34
2014-05-04	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1782	1777	29.1%	28.7%	42.2%	+0.7	32
2014-05-04	Gil Vicente	W 1-0	1746	1734	44.5%	28.3%	27.2%	+6.9	31
2014-05-04	@ Arouca	L 0-1	1734	1746	27.2%	28.3%	44.5%	-6.9	28
2014-05-04	Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	2125	1822	79.8%	10.9%	9.2%	-3.3	74
2014-05-04	@ Benfica	D 1-1	1822	2125	9.2%	10.9%	79.8%	+3.4	36
2014-05-04	Maritimo	D 1-1	1880	1819	51.2%	26.4%	22.4%	-1.4	37
2014-05-04	@ Braga	D 1-1	1819	1880	22.4%	26.4%	51.2%	+1.4	38
2014-05-04	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1925	1747	66.1%	19.3%	14.6%	-2.5	51
2014-05-04	@ Estoril	D 1-1	1747	1925	14.6%	19.3%	66.1%	+2.5	25
2014-05-04	Porto	W 2-1	1690	2052	11.0%	13.9%	75.1%	+13.6	24
2014-05-04	@ Olhanense	L 1-2	2052	1690	75.1%	13.9%	11.0%	-13.6	58
2014-05-04	Pacos de Ferreira	D 0-0	1774	1721	50.1%	26.8%	23.1%	-1.4	32
2014-05-04	@ Rio Ave	D 0-0	1721	1774	23.1%	26.8%	50.1%	+1.4	24
2014-05-10	Arouca	W 1-0	1749	1753	42.4%	28.7%	28.9%	+7.2	28
2014-05-10	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1753	1749	28.9%	28.7%	42.4%	-7.2	31
2014-05-10	Academica de Coimbra	L 2-4	1723	1777	35.2%	29.2%	35.6%	-12.3	24
2014-05-10	@ Pacos de Ferreira	W 4-2	1777	1723	35.6%	29.2%	35.2%	+12.3	37
2014-05-10	Benfica	W 2-1	2038	2121	31.2%	29.0%	39.8%	+8.7	61
2014-05-10	@ Porto	L 1-2	2121	2038	39.8%	29.0%	31.2%	-8.7	74
2014-05-10	Braga	W 1-0	1783	1878	29.7%	28.8%	41.5%	+9.5	35
2014-05-10	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1878	1783	41.5%	28.8%	29.7%	-9.5	37
2014-05-10	Olhanense	W 3-1	1826	1704	59.2%	23.1%	17.8%	+7.4	39
2014-05-10	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-3	1704	1826	17.8%	23.1%	59.2%	-7.4	24
2014-05-11	Nacional	W 1-0	1727	1907	21.2%	25.7%	53.1%	+11.4	31
2014-05-11	@ Gil Vicente	L 0-1	1907	1727	53.1%	25.7%	21.2%	-11.4	45
2014-05-11	Rio Ave	W 1-0	1820	1772	49.5%	27.0%	23.5%	+6.0	41
2014-05-11	@ Maritimo	L 0-1	1772	1820	23.5%	27.0%	49.5%	-6.1	32
2014-05-11	Estoril	L 0-1	2019	1923	55.9%	24.6%	19.5%	-11.8	67
2014-05-11	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1923	2019	19.5%	24.6%	55.9%	+11.9	54

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2014-05-04	11.01%	@ Olhanense	1690	2	Porto	2052	1
2	2013-11-30	13.30%	@ Academica de Coimbra	1756	1	Porto	2065	0
3	2014-02-23	15.75%	Estoril	1902	1	@ Porto	2058	0
4	2014-02-01	16.17%	@ Maritimo	1808	1	Porto	2062	0
5	2013-10-25	16.44%	Academica de Coimbra	1744	1	@ Braga	1888	0
6	2013-11-03	16.73%	Vitoria Setubal	1747	2	@ Estoril	1886	0
7	2014-03-30	16.76%	Rio Ave	1786	1	@ Estoril	1924	0
8	2014-04-12	18.49%	Olhanense	1681	2	@ Rio Ave	1792	1
9	2014-03-15	19.43%	Pacos de Ferreira	1738	2	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1836	1
10	2014-05-11	19.51%	Estoril	1923	1	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	2019	0
11	2013-08-31	19.86%	Vitoria Setubal	1744	4	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1835	1
12	2013-09-15	20.70%	Arouca	1753	1	@ Nacional	1833	0
13	2014-05-11	21.16%	@ Gil Vicente	1727	1	Nacional	1907	0
14	2013-08-18	21.17%	@ Maritimo	1827	2	Benfica	2007	1
15	2013-11-03	21.65%	Rio Ave	1806	1	@ Braga	1875	0
16	2013-12-22	21.83%	Arouca	1721	3	@ Gil Vicente	1788	0
17	2013-12-02	22.59%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1820	2	@ Estoril	1878	0
18	2014-04-17	22.73%	Arouca	1736	3	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1792	2
19	2014-03-30	22.85%	@ Nacional	1881	2	Porto	2041	1
20	2013-09-14	24.70%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1808	1	@ Rio Ave	1844	0
21	2014-02-02	25.00%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1754	2	Braga	1892	1
22	2013-09-01	25.38%	@ Gil Vicente	1785	1	Braga	1919	0
23	2014-03-09	25.92%	Gil Vicente	1734	2	@ Pacos de Ferreira	1757	0
24	2014-04-06	26.25%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1726	1	@ Gil Vicente	1746	0
25	2013-10-26	26.49%	Gil Vicente	1798	1	@ Rio Ave	1816	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2013-12-22	30.73	Arouca	3	1721	21.83%	@ Gil Vicente	0	1788	52.04%
2	2014-04-19	29.39	Nacional	5	1877	45.87%	@ Pacos de Ferreira	0	1751	26.14%
3	2013-08-31	27.12	Vitoria Setubal	4	1744	19.86%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1	1835	55.29%
4	2013-09-28	27.02	Nacional	3	1828	27.70%	@ Rio Ave	0	1835	43.89%
5	2014-03-03	26.69	Academica de Coimbra	3	1766	28.29%	@ Arouca	0	1768	43.17%
6	2014-04-06	25.93	@ Vitoria Setubal	3	1796	29.68%	Nacional	0	1891	41.53%
7	2013-08-18	25.71	Rio Ave	3	1818	30.10%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1805	41.05%
8	2014-02-23	25.19	@ Vitoria Setubal	4	1772	43.64%	Pacos de Ferreira	0	1767	27.91%
9	2013-08-24	25.19	Sporting Clube de Portugal	4	1885	43.64%	@ Academica de Coimbra	0	1775	27.90%
10	2013-11-03	23.87	Vitoria Setubal	2	1747	16.73%	@ Estoril	0	1886	61.31%
11	2013-10-06	23.35	@ Nacional	3	1855	34.83%	Braga	0	1911	35.97%
12	2013-12-07	23.30	Estoril	3	1857	34.97%	@ Pacos de Ferreira	0	1808	35.83%
13	2013-12-02	20.80	Vitoria Guimaraes	2	1820	22.59%	@ Estoril	0	1878	50.86%
14	2014-03-09	19.33	Gil Vicente	2	1734	25.92%	@ Pacos de Ferreira	0	1757	46.16%
15	2014-01-10	19.13	@ Braga	3	1874	43.95%	Vitoria Guimaraes	0	1867	27.66%
16	2013-08-16	17.17	Braga	2	1898	31.59%	@ Pacos de Ferreira	0	1873	39.38%
17	2013-10-28	16.44	Vitoria Guimaraes	3	1818	26.76%	@ Pacos de Ferreira	1	1834	45.08%
18	2013-11-24	16.28	Estoril	2	1862	34.24%	@ Rio Ave	0	1817	36.57%
19	2013-12-01	16.07	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	4	1947	59.38%	Pacos de Ferreira	0	1824	17.67%
20	2014-02-01	15.66	@ Vitoria Setubal	2	1755	36.16%	Rio Ave	0	1802	34.65%
21	2014-03-02	15.45	@ Pacos de Ferreira	3	1742	29.72%	Maritimo	1	1837	41.48%
22	2014-01-12	14.55	@ Arouca	2	1752	39.63%	Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1775	31.36%
23	2014-04-12	14.48	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	3	1736	32.88%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1	1807	37.99%
24	2014-01-12	14.42	@ Benfica	2	2050	40.04%	Porto	0	2070	30.99%
25	2013-08-18	14.33	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	5	1871	57.33%	Arouca	1	1764	18.74%