2025-26 Primeira Liga Season
306 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Porto
88 points
Relegated
No relegation
Biggest Overachiever
Porto
16.34 points above expected
88 points · 71.66 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Casa Pia
7.01 points below expected
30 points · 37.01 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 88 | 66 | 18 | +48 | 71.7 | +16.34 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 82 | 89 | 24 | +65 | 79.3 | +2.65 |
| 3 | Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 80 | 74 | 25 | +49 | 73.8 | +6.23 |
| 4 | Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 64 | 36 | +28 | 61.8 | -2.78 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 56 | 42 | 29 | +13 | 50.3 | +5.69 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 47 | 38 | +9 | 48.9 | +1.14 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 43 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 44.4 | -1.44 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 42 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 47.7 | -5.72 |
| 9 | Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 42 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 37.3 | +4.66 |
| 10 | Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 44.5 | -5.55 |
| 11 | Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 36.9 | +2.09 |
| 12 | Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 42.0 | -6.01 |
| 13 | Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 36 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 36.9 | -0.91 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 38.0 | -3.96 |
| 15 | Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 30 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 31.7 | -1.69 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 30 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 37.0 | -7.01 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 34.7 | -6.69 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 21 | 27 | 67 | -40 | 25.9 | -4.94 |
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Promotion Playoff
The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.
Finals
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Portugal | 2168 | 82 | 79.35 | +2.65 | 65.0% | 64 | 65 | 75 | 80 | 84 | 89 | 97 |
| Benfica | 2143 | 80 | 73.77 | +6.23 | 85.0% | 55 | 61 | 69 | 74 | 79 | 83 | 90 |
| Porto | 2103 | 88 | 71.66 | +16.34 | 100.0% | 58 | 61 | 67 | 72 | 76 | 82 | 84 |
| Braga | 2014 | 59 | 61.78 | -2.78 | 30.0% | 42 | 49 | 57 | 63 | 66 | 71 | 73 |
| Famalicao | 1927 | 56 | 50.31 | +5.69 | 84.0% | 37 | 40 | 47 | 50 | 55 | 61 | 68 |
| Gil Vicente | 1884 | 50 | 48.86 | +1.14 | 61.0% | 30 | 39 | 44 | 49 | 52 | 60 | 65 |
| Vitoria Guimaraes | 1856 | 42 | 47.72 | -5.72 | 24.0% | 31 | 36 | 43 | 48 | 52 | 59 | 66 |
| Estoril | 1849 | 39 | 44.55 | -5.55 | 23.0% | 28 | 32 | 40 | 45 | 49 | 57 | 64 |
| Santa Clara | 1840 | 36 | 42.01 | -6.01 | 21.0% | 20 | 32 | 37 | 41 | 47 | 53 | 64 |
| Arouca | 1835 | 42 | 37.34 | +4.66 | 82.0% | 21 | 27 | 33 | 37 | 41 | 48 | 50 |
| Moreirense | 1826 | 43 | 44.44 | -1.44 | 46.0% | 28 | 32 | 39 | 45 | 50 | 55 | 60 |
| Nacional | 1809 | 34 | 37.96 | -3.96 | 30.0% | 21 | 27 | 33 | 38 | 43 | 48 | 52 |
| Alverca | 1798 | 39 | 36.91 | +2.09 | 63.0% | 20 | 26 | 32 | 38 | 41 | 49 | 52 |
| Rio Ave | 1775 | 36 | 36.91 | -0.91 | 50.0% | 22 | 27 | 32 | 36 | 41 | 49 | 57 |
| Casa Pia | 1758 | 30 | 37.01 | -7.01 | 20.0% | 19 | 27 | 32 | 37 | 41 | 49 | 51 |
| Estrela da Amadora | 1746 | 30 | 31.69 | -1.69 | 46.0% | 14 | 19 | 26 | 31 | 38 | 43 | 48 |
| Tondela | 1743 | 28 | 34.69 | -6.69 | 21.0% | 16 | 24 | 29 | 35 | 39 | 44 | 57 |
| AVS | 1707 | 21 | 25.94 | -4.94 | 31.0% | 12 | 16 | 21 | 25 | 31 | 39 | 49 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | AVS | ALV | ARO | BEN | BRA | CP | EST | EDA | FAM | GV | MOR | NAC | POR | RA | SC | SCDP | TON | VG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVS | — |
0-1-1
1.90
|
0-0-2
1.98
|
0-0-2
0.67
|
0-1-1
0.96
|
0-1-1
1.92
|
1-0-1
1.53
|
0-1-1
2.28
|
0-0-2
1.42
|
0-1-1
1.34
|
0-1-1
1.65
|
1-1-0
1.74
|
1-0-1
0.52
|
0-1-1
1.83
|
0-0-2
1.68
|
0-1-1
0.42
|
0-2-0
2.09
|
0-1-1
1.46
|
| Alverca |
1-1-0
3.53
|
— |
1-0-1
2.76
|
0-0-2
1.00
|
0-0-2
1.51
|
2-0-0
2.71
|
0-1-1
2.27
|
0-2-0
2.98
|
1-0-1
1.80
|
0-1-1
2.07
|
1-0-1
2.25
|
1-0-1
2.70
|
0-0-2
0.99
|
1-1-0
2.65
|
0-1-1
2.37
|
0-0-2
0.79
|
1-1-0
2.87
|
1-1-0
1.96
|
| Arouca |
2-0-0
3.42
|
1-0-1
2.57
|
— |
0-0-2
1.02
|
0-0-2
1.43
|
0-0-2
2.75
|
1-0-1
2.18
|
1-0-1
2.98
|
0-1-1
2.02
|
1-1-0
1.94
|
1-0-1
2.30
|
2-0-0
2.64
|
0-0-2
1.18
|
1-1-0
2.66
|
0-2-0
2.34
|
0-0-2
0.95
|
1-0-1
3.08
|
1-1-0
2.10
|
| Benfica |
2-0-0
5.21
|
2-0-0
4.78
|
2-0-0
4.74
|
— |
0-2-0
3.60
|
0-2-0
4.96
|
2-0-0
4.62
|
2-0-0
4.93
|
1-1-0
4.17
|
2-0-0
4.21
|
2-0-0
4.57
|
2-0-0
4.83
|
0-2-0
2.81
|
1-1-0
4.70
|
1-1-0
4.56
|
1-1-0
2.39
|
1-1-0
4.93
|
2-0-0
4.40
|
| Braga |
1-1-0
4.83
|
2-0-0
4.06
|
2-0-0
4.17
|
0-2-0
1.84
|
— |
2-0-0
4.19
|
0-1-1
3.94
|
0-2-0
4.47
|
1-1-0
3.42
|
0-0-2
3.64
|
2-0-0
3.79
|
1-0-1
4.19
|
0-0-2
2.06
|
1-1-0
4.21
|
1-0-1
4.03
|
0-2-0
1.72
|
2-0-0
4.19
|
1-1-0
3.50
|
| Casa Pia |
1-1-0
3.51
|
0-0-2
2.63
|
2-0-0
2.59
|
0-2-0
0.87
|
0-0-2
1.41
|
— |
0-2-0
2.36
|
0-0-2
3.14
|
0-1-1
2.07
|
0-1-1
1.84
|
0-1-1
2.31
|
0-1-1
2.74
|
1-0-1
1.21
|
0-1-1
2.57
|
0-1-1
2.23
|
0-0-2
1.01
|
1-0-1
2.92
|
1-1-0
1.90
|
| Estoril |
1-0-1
4.02
|
1-1-0
3.09
|
1-0-1
3.18
|
0-0-2
1.11
|
1-1-0
1.59
|
0-2-0
3.02
|
— |
1-1-0
3.35
|
0-0-2
2.24
|
1-0-1
2.42
|
0-1-1
2.76
|
1-1-0
3.08
|
0-0-2
1.29
|
1-0-1
3.11
|
1-0-1
2.93
|
0-0-2
1.09
|
0-2-0
3.51
|
1-0-1
2.48
|
| Estrela da Amadora |
1-1-0
3.07
|
0-2-0
2.37
|
1-0-1
2.38
|
0-0-2
0.88
|
0-2-0
1.21
|
2-0-0
2.23
|
0-1-1
2.05
|
— |
1-1-0
1.57
|
0-1-1
1.76
|
0-1-1
2.02
|
0-1-1
2.40
|
0-0-2
0.81
|
0-0-2
2.32
|
1-1-0
2.09
|
0-0-2
0.65
|
0-1-1
2.60
|
0-0-2
1.81
|
| Famalicao |
2-0-0
4.18
|
1-0-1
3.65
|
1-1-0
3.39
|
0-1-1
1.43
|
0-1-1
1.99
|
1-1-0
3.33
|
2-0-0
3.12
|
0-1-1
3.97
|
— |
0-1-1
3.13
|
0-2-0
3.20
|
2-0-0
3.54
|
0-1-1
1.56
|
0-2-0
3.63
|
2-0-0
2.99
|
0-0-2
1.33
|
2-0-0
3.69
|
2-0-0
2.89
|
| Gil Vicente |
1-1-0
4.29
|
1-1-0
3.35
|
0-1-1
3.47
|
0-0-2
1.40
|
2-0-0
1.82
|
1-1-0
3.61
|
1-0-1
2.92
|
1-1-0
3.70
|
1-1-0
2.24
|
— |
2-0-0
2.71
|
2-0-0
3.06
|
0-0-2
1.48
|
0-2-0
3.50
|
1-0-1
3.15
|
0-1-1
1.11
|
0-1-1
3.87
|
0-1-1
2.83
|
| Moreirense |
1-1-0
3.85
|
1-0-1
3.10
|
1-0-1
3.05
|
0-0-2
1.15
|
0-0-2
1.70
|
1-1-0
3.04
|
1-1-0
2.57
|
1-1-0
3.38
|
0-2-0
2.18
|
0-0-2
2.62
|
— |
0-1-1
3.14
|
0-0-2
1.31
|
2-0-0
3.19
|
2-0-0
2.75
|
0-0-2
1.14
|
1-0-1
3.50
|
1-0-1
2.43
|
| Nacional |
0-1-1
3.74
|
1-0-1
2.64
|
0-0-2
2.69
|
0-0-2
0.96
|
1-0-1
1.42
|
1-1-0
2.62
|
0-1-1
2.27
|
1-1-0
2.94
|
0-0-2
1.90
|
0-0-2
2.32
|
1-1-0
2.22
|
— |
0-0-2
1.18
|
1-1-0
2.52
|
0-1-1
2.40
|
0-0-2
0.92
|
2-0-0
3.09
|
1-0-1
2.10
|
| Porto |
1-0-1
5.41
|
2-0-0
4.78
|
2-0-0
4.51
|
0-2-0
2.53
|
2-0-0
3.33
|
1-0-1
4.47
|
2-0-0
4.36
|
2-0-0
5.04
|
1-1-0
3.99
|
2-0-0
4.10
|
2-0-0
4.33
|
2-0-0
4.53
|
— |
2-0-0
4.66
|
2-0-0
4.53
|
1-1-0
2.18
|
2-0-0
5.01
|
2-0-0
3.77
|
| Rio Ave |
1-1-0
3.62
|
0-1-1
2.68
|
0-1-1
2.69
|
0-1-1
1.06
|
0-1-1
1.40
|
1-1-0
2.76
|
1-0-1
2.30
|
2-0-0
3.02
|
0-2-0
1.82
|
0-2-0
1.92
|
0-0-2
2.17
|
0-1-1
2.83
|
0-0-2
1.07
|
— |
1-1-0
2.27
|
0-0-2
0.75
|
2-0-0
2.74
|
0-0-2
2.06
|
| Santa Clara |
2-0-0
3.82
|
1-1-0
2.99
|
0-2-0
3.03
|
0-1-1
1.15
|
1-0-1
1.53
|
1-1-0
3.13
|
1-0-1
2.41
|
0-1-1
3.30
|
0-0-2
2.35
|
1-0-1
2.21
|
0-0-2
2.59
|
1-1-0
2.94
|
0-0-2
1.18
|
0-1-1
3.09
|
— |
0-0-2
0.99
|
0-1-1
3.20
|
1-0-1
2.28
|
| Sporting Clube de Portugal |
1-1-0
5.54
|
2-0-0
5.06
|
2-0-0
4.84
|
0-1-1
2.95
|
0-2-0
3.77
|
2-0-0
4.75
|
2-0-0
4.65
|
2-0-0
5.25
|
2-0-0
4.30
|
1-1-0
4.61
|
2-0-0
4.58
|
2-0-0
4.89
|
0-1-1
3.20
|
2-0-0
5.12
|
2-0-0
4.78
|
— |
1-1-0
5.21
|
2-0-0
4.53
|
| Tondela |
0-2-0
3.29
|
0-1-1
2.47
|
1-0-1
2.29
|
0-1-1
0.89
|
0-0-2
1.41
|
1-0-1
2.43
|
0-2-0
1.94
|
1-1-0
2.75
|
0-0-2
1.78
|
1-1-0
1.64
|
1-0-1
1.92
|
0-0-2
2.27
|
0-0-2
0.82
|
0-0-2
2.61
|
1-1-0
2.18
|
0-1-1
0.68
|
— |
0-0-2
1.94
|
| Vitoria Guimaraes |
1-1-0
4.13
|
0-1-1
3.45
|
0-1-1
3.27
|
0-0-2
1.27
|
0-1-1
1.94
|
0-1-1
3.54
|
1-0-1
2.88
|
2-0-0
3.64
|
0-0-2
2.44
|
1-1-0
2.52
|
1-0-1
2.91
|
1-0-1
3.28
|
0-0-2
1.71
|
2-0-0
3.34
|
1-0-1
3.07
|
0-0-2
1.17
|
2-0-0
3.47
|
— |
Goal Differential vs Points
Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.54% | 9.31% | 5.39% | 4.41% | 2.45% | 1.14% | 29.25% |
| 1 | 9.31% | 10.13% | 7.35% | 3.10% | 0.98% | 0.16% | 31.05% |
| 2 | 5.39% | 7.35% | 8.82% | 1.31% | 0.49% | — | 23.37% |
| 3 | 4.41% | 3.10% | 1.31% | 1.63% | 0.16% | 0.16% | 10.78% |
| 4 | 2.45% | 0.98% | 0.49% | 0.16% | — | — | 4.08% |
| 5+ | 1.14% | 0.16% | — | 0.16% | — | — | 1.47% |
| Total | 29.25% | 31.05% | 23.37% | 10.78% | 4.08% | 1.47% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.34 |
| Mean allowed | 1.34 |
| StdDev scored | 1.21 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.21 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.68 |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | -0.193 |
| Sample size (games) | 306 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.76% | 8.82% | 11.76% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 52.94% |
| 1 | — | 8.82% | 2.94% | 11.76% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 2 | — | 2.94% | 11.76% | — | — | — | 14.71% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 14.71% | 23.53% | 26.47% | 26.47% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
AVS — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.79 |
| Mean allowed | 1.97 |
| StdDev scored | 1.01 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.36 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.76 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.137 |
| Games played | 34 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 29.41% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 17.65% | 11.76% | — | 5.88% | — | 44.12% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 3 | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 17.65% | 44.12% | 20.59% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 100% |
Alverca — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.03 |
| Mean allowed | 1.53 |
| StdDev scored | 0.87 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.28 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.56 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.313 |
| Games played | 34 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | 26.47% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | — | 35.29% |
| 2 | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 26.47% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.59% | 23.53% | 26.47% | 14.71% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 100% |
Arouca — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.38 |
| Mean allowed | 1.88 |
| StdDev scored | 1.16 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.53 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.26 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.231 |
| Games played | 34 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 11.76% | — | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 23.53% | 14.71% | — | — | — | 44.12% |
| 3 | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 4 | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 41.18% | 44.12% | 14.71% | — | — | — | 100% |
Benfica — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 2.18 |
| Mean allowed | 0.74 |
| StdDev scored | 1.11 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.71 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.91 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.169 |
| Games played | 34 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 8.82% | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 1 | 14.71% | 8.82% | 11.76% | — | — | — | 35.29% |
| 2 | — | 8.82% | 20.59% | — | — | — | 29.41% |
| 3 | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 4 | 8.82% | — | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 35.29% | 26.47% | 35.29% | 2.94% | — | — | 100% |
Braga — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.88 |
| Mean allowed | 1.06 |
| StdDev scored | 1.23 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.92 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.94 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.209 |
| Games played | 34 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.76% | 8.82% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | 44.12% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 14.71% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 3 | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.59% | 29.41% | 26.47% | 11.76% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 100% |
Casa Pia — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.91 |
| Mean allowed | 1.68 |
| StdDev scored | 1.00 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.34 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.59 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.114 |
| Games played | 34 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 29.41% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 2 | — | — | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 3 | — | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 14.71% | 35.29% | 20.59% | 26.47% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Estoril — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.59 |
| Mean allowed | 1.68 |
| StdDev scored | 1.52 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.12 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.26 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.081 |
| Games played | 34 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.71% | 8.82% | 11.76% | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | 44.12% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 2 | — | — | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 23.53% | 20.59% | 35.29% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Estrela da Amadora — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.12 |
| Mean allowed | 1.65 |
| StdDev scored | 1.34 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.30 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.76 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.042 |
| Games played | 34 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.76% | 11.76% | — | — | — | 2.94% | 26.47% |
| 1 | 23.53% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 38.24% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 2.94% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 50.00% | 26.47% | 17.65% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 100% |
Famalicao — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.24 |
| Mean allowed | 0.85 |
| StdDev scored | 1.05 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.13 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.09 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.047 |
| Games played | 34 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 2 | 11.76% | 11.76% | 14.71% | — | — | — | 38.24% |
| 3 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 35.29% | 29.41% | 23.53% | 11.76% | — | — | 100% |
Gil Vicente — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.38 |
| Mean allowed | 1.12 |
| StdDev scored | 1.18 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.04 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.50 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.285 |
| Games played | 34 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 32.35% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 8.82% | 11.76% | — | 2.94% | — | 35.29% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.47% | 29.41% | 23.53% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | 100% |
Moreirense — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.09 |
| Mean allowed | 1.44 |
| StdDev scored | 0.97 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.21 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.53 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.112 |
| Games played | 34 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 17.65% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 32.35% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 20.59% | — | 2.94% | — | 41.18% |
| 2 | 11.76% | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 14.71% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.53% | 32.35% | 35.29% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Nacional — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.09 |
| Mean allowed | 1.32 |
| StdDev scored | 1.06 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.01 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.41 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.142 |
| Games played | 34 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 1 | 26.47% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 35.29% |
| 2 | 11.76% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 32.35% |
| 3 | 14.71% | 8.82% | — | — | — | — | 23.53% |
| 4 | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 61.76% | 26.47% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 100% |
Porto — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.94 |
| Mean allowed | 0.53 |
| StdDev scored | 0.98 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.79 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.47 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.076 |
| Games played | 34 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | 38.24% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 14.71% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 29.41% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 11.76% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 17.65% | 35.29% | 20.59% | 14.71% | 11.76% | — | 100% |
Rio Ave — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.03 |
| Mean allowed | 1.68 |
| StdDev scored | 1.00 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.27 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.71 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.254 |
| Games played | 34 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 23.53% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 38.24% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 8.82% | 11.76% | — | — | — | 32.35% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 5.88% | — | 26.47% |
| 3 | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 29.41% | 38.24% | 20.59% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 100% |
Santa Clara — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.94 |
| Mean allowed | 1.21 |
| StdDev scored | 0.89 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.12 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.15 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.287 |
| Games played | 34 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | 8.82% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 29.41% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | 17.65% | — | — | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 4 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 5+ | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| Total | 44.12% | 41.18% | 14.71% | — | — | — | 100% |
Sporting Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 2.62 |
| Mean allowed | 0.71 |
| StdDev scored | 1.48 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.72 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.32 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.252 |
| Games played | 34 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 17.65% | 8.82% | 14.71% | — | 2.94% | 52.94% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 2.94% | 17.65% | — | — | — | 26.47% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.59% | 26.47% | 29.41% | 20.59% | — | 2.94% | 100% |
Tondela — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.79 |
| Mean allowed | 1.62 |
| StdDev scored | 0.95 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.21 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.41 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.151 |
| Games played | 34 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 14.71% | 8.82% | — | — | 35.29% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 32.35% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 29.41% | 26.47% | 20.59% | 14.71% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Vitoria Guimaraes — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.15 |
| Mean allowed | 1.50 |
| StdDev scored | 1.21 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.38 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.65 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.209 |
| Games played | 34 |
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 88 | 71.7 | +16.34 |
| 2 | Benfica | 80 | 73.8 | +6.23 |
| 3 | Famalicao | 56 | 50.3 | +5.69 |
| 4 | Arouca | 42 | 37.3 | +4.66 |
| 5 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 82 | 79.3 | +2.65 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Casa Pia | 30 | 37.0 | -7.01 |
| 2 | Tondela | 28 | 34.7 | -6.69 |
| 3 | Santa Clara | 36 | 42.0 | -6.01 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 42 | 47.7 | -5.72 |
| 5 | Estoril | 39 | 44.5 | -5.55 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 11 | Oct 27 – Jan 26 | 1 in 100 |
| 2 | AVS | 2 | May 2 – May 10 | 1 in 66 |
| 3 | Gil Vicente | 3 | Aug 29 – Sep 21 | 1 in 47 |
| 4 | Rio Ave | 3 | Mar 9 – Mar 22 | 1 in 44 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 3 | Aug 10 – Aug 23 | 1 in 26 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estoril | 5 | Mar 22 – Apr 26 | 1 in 216 |
| 2 | Santa Clara | 5 | Jan 18 – Feb 13 | 1 in 83 |
| 3 | Rio Ave | 6 | Jan 17 – Feb 22 | 1 in 51 |
| 4 | AVS | 6 | Aug 30 – Oct 25 | 1 in 41 |
| 5 | Arouca | 5 | Oct 25 – Dec 7 | 1 in 40 |
Longest Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AVS | 6 | Apr 11 – May 16 | 1 in 2,824 |
| 2 | Benfica | 34 | Aug 16 – May 16 | 1 in 530 |
| 3 | Famalicao | 12 | Feb 23 – May 16 | 1 in 169 |
| 4 | Porto | 19 | Aug 11 – Jan 26 | 1 in 62 |
| 5 | Tondela | 5 | Feb 1 – Mar 1 | 1 in 55 |
Longest Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 3 | Apr 19 – Apr 29 | 1 in 234 |
| 2 | Braga | 6 | Aug 24 – Oct 5 | 1 in 116 |
| 3 | AVS | 21 | Aug 9 – Feb 9 | 1 in 79 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 7 | Nov 9 – Jan 2 | 1 in 62 |
| 5 | Santa Clara | 11 | Dec 15 – Mar 1 | 1 in 53 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porto | 16.00% | 28.00% | 43.00% | 12.00% | 1.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sporting Clube de Portugal | 61.00% | 27.00% | 7.00% | 5.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benfica | 22.00% | 42.00% | 28.00% | 6.00% | 2.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Braga | 1.00% | 3.00% | 17.00% | 54.00% | 13.00% | 9.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Famalicao | — | — | 1.00% | 8.00% | 23.00% | 20.00% | 16.00% | 12.00% | 7.00% | 5.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gil Vicente | — | — | — | 8.00% | 17.00% | 19.00% | 16.00% | 13.00% | 8.00% | 3.00% | 9.00% | 3.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | — | — | — |
| Moreirense | — | — | — | 2.00% | 11.00% | 8.00% | 15.00% | 10.00% | 9.00% | 13.00% | 8.00% | 4.00% | 6.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% |
| Vitoria Guimaraes | — | — | 2.00% | 3.00% | 13.00% | 18.00% | 12.00% | 15.00% | 15.00% | 5.00% | 4.00% | 5.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | — | — |
| Arouca | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | — | 2.00% | 7.00% | 6.00% | 8.00% | 6.00% | 16.00% | 12.00% | 10.00% | 15.00% | 9.00% | 5.00% | 3.00% |
| Estoril | — | — | 1.00% | — | 10.00% | 11.00% | 13.00% | 10.00% | 14.00% | 11.00% | 8.00% | 3.00% | 3.00% | 7.00% | 5.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | — |
| Alverca | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | 2.00% | 8.00% | 15.00% | 9.00% | 13.00% | 7.00% | 10.00% | 8.00% | 11.00% | 6.00% |
| Santa Clara | — | — | 1.00% | 2.00% | 5.00% | 5.00% | 10.00% | 7.00% | 10.00% | 11.00% | 8.00% | 13.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 3.00% | — | 1.00% |
| Rio Ave | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | 8.00% | 6.00% | 7.00% | 9.00% | 8.00% | 10.00% | 14.00% | 13.00% | 9.00% | 5.00% |
| Nacional | — | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | 6.00% | 9.00% | 8.00% | 10.00% | 9.00% | 7.00% | 12.00% | 14.00% | 10.00% | 5.00% | 6.00% | 3.00% |
| Estrela da Amadora | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | 9.00% | 8.00% | 5.00% | 9.00% | 7.00% | 14.00% | 20.00% | 19.00% |
| Casa Pia | — | — | — | — | — | 2.00% | — | 5.00% | 4.00% | 9.00% | 6.00% | 12.00% | 17.00% | 9.00% | 8.00% | 16.00% | 8.00% | 4.00% |
| Tondela | — | — | — | — | 2.00% | — | 1.00% | 3.00% | 5.00% | 5.00% | 5.00% | 7.00% | 9.00% | 16.00% | 8.00% | 17.00% | 17.00% | 5.00% |
| AVS | — | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | — | — | — | 2.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 4.00% | 7.00% | 9.00% | 20.00% | 53.00% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability — day by day.
Promotion Playoff Bracket
The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. Two-leg ties show their aggregate score with each leg listed below the matchup card.
Finals
Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.
| Team | Same level | Won relegation playoff | Lost relegation playoff | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 100% | — | — | — |
| Braga | 100% | — | — | — |
| Famalicao | 100% | — | — | — |
| Gil Vicente | 100% | — | — | — |
| Porto | 100% | — | — | — |
| Sporting Clube de Portugal | 100% | — | — | — |
| Vitoria Guimaraes | 99.0% | 1.0% | — | — |
| Santa Clara | 96.0% | 3.0% | — | 1.0% |
| Estoril | 96.0% | 2.0% | — | 2.0% |
| Moreirense | 94.0% | 3.0% | — | 3.0% |
| Nacional | 86.0% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 9.0% |
| Arouca | 83.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 8.0% |
| Alverca | 75.0% | 7.0% | 1.0% | 17.0% |
| Casa Pia | 72.0% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 12.0% |
| Rio Ave | 73.0% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 14.0% |
| Tondela | 61.0% | 13.0% | 4.0% | 22.0% |
| Estrela da Amadora | 47.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 39.0% |
| AVS | 18.0% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 73.0% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | AVS | Academico de Viseu | Alverca | Arouca | Casa Pia | Chaves | Estoril | Estrela da Amadora | Farense | Feirense | Felgueiras 1932 | Lusitania Lourosa | Maritimo | Moreirense | Nacional | Pacos de Ferreira | Penafiel | Rio Ave | Santa Clara | Tondela | Uniao Leiria | Uniao Torreense | Vitoria Guimaraes | Vizela |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVS | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Academico de Viseu | 1.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Alverca | 1.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
| Arouca | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| Casa Pia | 1.00% | 1.00% | 3.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
| Chaves | 1.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Estoril | 1.00% | 1.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Estrela da Amadora | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
| Farense | 2.00% | 1.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Feirense | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Felgueiras 1932 | 1.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Lusitania Lourosa | 1.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Maritimo | 1.00% | 1.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Moreirense | 2.00% | 1.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Nacional | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Pacos de Ferreira | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Penafiel | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rio Ave | 2.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| Santa Clara | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Tondela | 2.00% | 2.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| Uniao Leiria | 2.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Uniao Torreense | 3.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Vitoria Guimaraes | 1.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Vizela | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% |
Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes
Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.
| Team | Finals |
|---|---|
| Casa Pia | 51.1% |
| Uniao Torreense | 48.9% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Casa Pia | Uniao Torreense |
|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia | 51.10% | |
| Uniao Torreense | 48.90% |
Overall Game Log
Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-08 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | L 0-2 | 1845 | 2081 | 16.4% | 18.7% | 64.9% | -5.7 | 0 |
| 2025-08-08 | @ Casa Pia | W 2-0 | 2081 | 1845 | 64.9% | 18.7% | 16.4% | +5.7 | 3 |
| 2025-08-09 | AVS | W 3-1 | 1844 | 1757 | 50.1% | 28.3% | 21.6% | +7.3 | 3 |
| 2025-08-09 | @ Arouca | L 1-3 | 1757 | 1844 | 21.6% | 28.3% | 50.1% | -7.3 | 0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Gil Vicente | L 0-2 | 1811 | 1826 | 34.7% | 33.5% | 31.8% | -12.7 | 0 |
| 2025-08-09 | @ Nacional | W 2-0 | 1826 | 1811 | 31.8% | 33.5% | 34.7% | +12.7 | 3 |
| 2025-08-10 | Tondela | W 3-0 | 1970 | 1807 | 61.8% | 20.9% | 17.3% | +9.0 | 3 |
| 2025-08-10 | @ Braga | L 0-3 | 1807 | 1970 | 17.3% | 20.9% | 61.8% | -9.0 | 0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Santa Clara | W 3-0 | 1886 | 1872 | 39.0% | 32.9% | 28.1% | +15.8 | 3 |
| 2025-08-10 | @ Famalicao | L 0-3 | 1872 | 1886 | 28.1% | 32.9% | 39.0% | -15.8 | 0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Alverca | W 2-1 | 1851 | 1816 | 42.3% | 31.9% | 25.8% | +5.1 | 3 |
| 2025-08-10 | @ Moreirense | L 1-2 | 1816 | 1851 | 25.8% | 31.9% | 42.3% | -5.1 | 0 |
| 2025-08-11 | Estrela da Amadora | D 1-1 | 1856 | 1766 | 50.6% | 28.1% | 21.3% | -1.1 | 1 |
| 2025-08-11 | @ Estoril | D 1-1 | 1766 | 1856 | 21.3% | 28.1% | 50.6% | +1.1 | 1 |
| 2025-08-11 | Vitoria Guimaraes | W 3-0 | 1996 | 1916 | 49.0% | 28.9% | 22.1% | +12.6 | 3 |
| 2025-08-11 | @ Porto | L 0-3 | 1916 | 1996 | 22.1% | 28.9% | 49.0% | -12.6 | 0 |
| 2025-08-15 | Casa Pia | L 0-2 | 1750 | 1840 | 25.6% | 31.8% | 42.7% | -10.0 | 0 |
| 2025-08-15 | @ AVS | W 2-0 | 1840 | 1750 | 42.7% | 31.8% | 25.6% | +10.1 | 3 |
| 2025-08-16 | Benfica | L 0-1 | 1767 | 2055 | 14.1% | 13.4% | 72.5% | -2.4 | 1 |
| 2025-08-16 | @ Estrela da Amadora | W 1-0 | 2055 | 1767 | 72.5% | 13.4% | 14.1% | +2.3 | 3 |
| 2025-08-16 | Famalicao | L 0-1 | 1798 | 1901 | 24.3% | 31.0% | 44.7% | -5.1 | 0 |
| 2025-08-16 | @ Tondela | W 1-0 | 1901 | 1798 | 44.7% | 31.0% | 24.3% | +5.1 | 6 |
| 2025-08-16 | Estoril | W 3-2 | 1904 | 1855 | 44.4% | 31.1% | 24.5% | +4.6 | 3 |
| 2025-08-16 | @ Vitoria Guimaraes | L 2-3 | 1855 | 1904 | 24.5% | 31.1% | 44.4% | -4.6 | 1 |
| 2025-08-17 | Braga | L 0-3 | 1811 | 1979 | 19.7% | 25.6% | 54.7% | -10.9 | 0 |
| 2025-08-17 | @ Alverca | W 3-0 | 1979 | 1811 | 54.7% | 25.6% | 19.7% | +10.9 | 6 |
| 2025-08-17 | Nacional | D 1-1 | 1828 | 1798 | 41.6% | 32.2% | 26.3% | -0.5 | 1 |
| 2025-08-17 | @ Rio Ave | D 1-1 | 1798 | 1828 | 26.3% | 32.2% | 41.6% | +0.5 | 1 |
| 2025-08-17 | Moreirense | L 0-1 | 1856 | 1856 | 37.1% | 33.2% | 29.7% | -7.0 | 0 |
| 2025-08-17 | @ Santa Clara | W 1-0 | 1856 | 1856 | 29.7% | 33.2% | 37.1% | +7.0 | 6 |
| 2025-08-17 | Arouca | W 6-0 | 2087 | 1851 | 72.3% | 13.5% | 14.1% | +12.4 | 6 |
| 2025-08-17 | @ Sporting Clube de Portugal | L 0-6 | 1851 | 2087 | 14.1% | 13.5% | 72.3% | -12.4 | 3 |
| 2025-08-18 | Porto | L 0-2 | 1839 | 2008 | 19.7% | 25.5% | 54.8% | -7.5 | 3 |
| 2025-08-18 | @ Gil Vicente | W 2-0 | 2008 | 1839 | 54.8% | 25.5% | 19.7% | +7.5 | 6 |
| 2025-08-23 | Rio Ave | D 3-3 | 1839 | 1828 | 38.6% | 33.0% | 28.4% | -0.2 | 4 |
| 2025-08-23 | @ Arouca | D 3-3 | 1828 | 1839 | 28.4% | 33.0% | 38.6% | +0.2 | 2 |
| 2025-08-23 | Tondela | W 3-0 | 2058 | 1793 | 76.1% | 10.9% | 12.9% | +5.7 | 6 |
| 2025-08-23 | @ Benfica | L 0-3 | 1793 | 2058 | 12.9% | 10.9% | 76.1% | -5.6 | 0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Vitoria Guimaraes | W 2-0 | 1863 | 1908 | 30.6% | 33.4% | 36.0% | +13.0 | 9 |
| 2025-08-23 | @ Moreirense | L 0-2 | 1908 | 1863 | 36.0% | 33.4% | 30.6% | -13.0 | 3 |
| 2025-08-23 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | L 1-4 | 1799 | 2099 | 13.6% | 12.3% | 74.1% | -5.1 | 1 |
| 2025-08-23 | @ Nacional | W 4-1 | 2099 | 1799 | 74.1% | 12.3% | 13.6% | +5.1 | 9 |
| 2025-08-24 | AVS | D 2-2 | 1990 | 1740 | 74.3% | 12.2% | 13.5% | -1.7 | 7 |
| 2025-08-24 | @ Braga | D 2-2 | 1740 | 1990 | 13.5% | 12.2% | 74.3% | +1.7 | 1 |
| 2025-08-24 | Gil Vicente | D 0-0 | 1907 | 1831 | 48.3% | 29.3% | 22.4% | -1.1 | 7 |
| 2025-08-24 | @ Famalicao | D 0-0 | 1831 | 1907 | 22.4% | 29.3% | 48.3% | +1.1 | 4 |
| 2025-08-24 | Casa Pia | W 4-0 | 2016 | 1850 | 62.2% | 20.6% | 17.2% | +11.6 | 9 |
| 2025-08-24 | @ Porto | L 0-4 | 1850 | 2016 | 17.2% | 20.6% | 62.2% | -11.6 | 3 |
| 2025-08-25 | Alverca | D 2-2 | 1765 | 1800 | 31.9% | 33.5% | 34.5% | +0.1 | 2 |
| 2025-08-25 | @ Estrela da Amadora | D 2-2 | 1800 | 1765 | 34.5% | 33.5% | 31.9% | -0.1 | 1 |
| 2025-08-29 | Moreirense | W 2-0 | 1833 | 1876 | 30.8% | 33.4% | 35.8% | +12.9 | 7 |
| 2025-08-29 | @ Gil Vicente | L 0-2 | 1876 | 1833 | 35.8% | 33.4% | 30.8% | -12.9 | 9 |
| 2025-08-30 | Famalicao | L 0-1 | 1742 | 1906 | 20.0% | 26.1% | 54.0% | -4.1 | 1 |
| 2025-08-30 | @ AVS | W 1-0 | 1906 | 1742 | 54.0% | 26.1% | 20.0% | +4.1 | 10 |
| 2025-08-30 | Nacional | L 0-2 | 1838 | 1793 | 43.7% | 31.4% | 24.9% | -14.8 | 3 |
| 2025-08-30 | @ Casa Pia | W 2-0 | 1793 | 1838 | 24.9% | 31.4% | 43.7% | +14.8 | 4 |
| 2025-08-30 | Porto | L 1-2 | 2104 | 2027 | 48.6% | 29.1% | 22.2% | -7.9 | 9 |
| 2025-08-30 | @ Sporting Clube de Portugal | W 2-1 | 2027 | 2104 | 22.2% | 29.1% | 48.6% | +7.9 | 12 |
| 2025-08-30 | Arouca | D 1-1 | 1895 | 1839 | 45.5% | 30.7% | 23.9% | -0.8 | 4 |
| 2025-08-30 | @ Vitoria Guimaraes | D 1-1 | 1839 | 1895 | 23.9% | 30.7% | 45.5% | +0.8 | 5 |
| 2025-08-31 | Benfica | L 1-2 | 1800 | 2063 | 15.2% | 15.8% | 69.0% | -2.5 | 1 |
| 2025-08-31 | @ Alverca | W 2-1 | 2063 | 1800 | 69.0% | 15.8% | 15.2% | +2.5 | 9 |
| 2025-08-31 | Braga | D 2-2 | 1828 | 1989 | 20.2% | 26.4% | 53.4% | +0.9 | 3 |
| 2025-08-31 | @ Rio Ave | D 2-2 | 1989 | 1828 | 53.4% | 26.4% | 20.2% | -0.9 | 8 |
| 2025-08-31 | Estrela da Amadora | D 0-0 | 1849 | 1765 | 49.8% | 28.5% | 21.7% | -1.2 | 1 |
| 2025-08-31 | @ Santa Clara | D 0-0 | 1765 | 1849 | 21.7% | 28.5% | 49.8% | +1.2 | 3 |
| 2025-08-31 | Estoril | D 2-2 | 1788 | 1850 | 28.5% | 33.0% | 38.5% | +0.3 | 1 |
| 2025-08-31 | @ Tondela | D 2-2 | 1850 | 1788 | 38.5% | 33.0% | 28.5% | -0.3 | 2 |
| 2025-09-06 | Santa Clara | L 0-1 | 1850 | 1848 | 37.2% | 33.2% | 29.6% | -7.0 | 2 |
| 2025-09-06 | @ Estoril | W 1-0 | 1848 | 1850 | 29.6% | 33.2% | 37.2% | +7.0 | 4 |
| 2025-09-12 | Tondela | W 1-0 | 1797 | 1788 | 38.4% | 33.0% | 28.6% | +5.9 | 4 |
| 2025-09-12 | @ Alverca | L 0-1 | 1788 | 1797 | 28.6% | 33.0% | 38.4% | -5.9 | 1 |
| 2025-09-12 | Santa Clara | D 1-1 | 2066 | 1855 | 68.8% | 16.0% | 15.2% | -2.0 | 10 |
| 2025-09-12 | @ Benfica | D 1-1 | 1855 | 2066 | 15.2% | 16.0% | 68.8% | +2.0 | 5 |
| 2025-09-13 | AVS | W 3-1 | 1843 | 1738 | 52.9% | 26.7% | 20.4% | +6.8 | 5 |
| 2025-09-13 | @ Estoril | L 1-3 | 1738 | 1843 | 20.4% | 26.7% | 52.9% | -6.8 | 1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | L 1-2 | 1910 | 2097 | 18.7% | 23.8% | 57.5% | -3.5 | 10 |
| 2025-09-13 | @ Famalicao | W 2-1 | 2097 | 1910 | 57.5% | 23.8% | 18.7% | +3.5 | 12 |
| 2025-09-13 | Rio Ave | W 3-1 | 1863 | 1829 | 42.1% | 32.0% | 25.9% | +8.8 | 12 |
| 2025-09-13 | @ Moreirense | L 1-3 | 1829 | 1863 | 25.9% | 32.0% | 42.1% | -8.8 | 3 |
| 2025-09-13 | Nacional | W 1-0 | 2035 | 1808 | 71.2% | 14.3% | 14.5% | +2.5 | 15 |
| 2025-09-13 | @ Porto | L 0-1 | 1808 | 2035 | 14.5% | 14.3% | 71.2% | -2.5 | 4 |
| 2025-09-14 | Casa Pia | L 0-2 | 1840 | 1824 | 39.4% | 32.8% | 27.8% | -13.8 | 5 |
| 2025-09-14 | @ Arouca | W 2-0 | 1824 | 1840 | 27.8% | 32.8% | 39.4% | +13.8 | 6 |
| 2025-09-14 | Gil Vicente | L 0-1 | 1988 | 1845 | 58.6% | 23.0% | 18.3% | -9.5 | 8 |
| 2025-09-14 | @ Braga | W 1-0 | 1845 | 1988 | 18.3% | 23.0% | 58.6% | +9.5 | 10 |
| 2025-09-14 | Vitoria Guimaraes | L 0-2 | 1766 | 1894 | 22.3% | 29.2% | 48.6% | -8.8 | 3 |
| 2025-09-14 | @ Estrela da Amadora | W 2-0 | 1894 | 1766 | 48.6% | 29.2% | 22.3% | +8.8 | 7 |
| 2025-09-19 | Porto | L 0-3 | 1820 | 2038 | 17.2% | 20.6% | 62.2% | -8.9 | 3 |
| 2025-09-19 | @ Rio Ave | W 3-0 | 2038 | 1820 | 62.2% | 20.6% | 17.2% | +8.9 | 18 |
| 2025-09-20 | Benfica | L 0-3 | 1731 | 2064 | 12.2% | 9.6% | 78.2% | -5.2 | 1 |
| 2025-09-20 | @ AVS | W 3-0 | 2064 | 1731 | 78.2% | 9.6% | 12.2% | +5.2 | 13 |
| 2025-09-20 | Arouca | L 1-2 | 1806 | 1826 | 34.1% | 33.5% | 32.4% | -6.2 | 4 |
| 2025-09-20 | @ Nacional | W 2-1 | 1826 | 1806 | 32.4% | 33.5% | 34.1% | +6.2 | 8 |
| 2025-09-20 | Alverca | W 2-1 | 1857 | 1803 | 45.2% | 30.8% | 24.0% | +4.8 | 8 |
| 2025-09-20 | @ Santa Clara | L 1-2 | 1803 | 1857 | 24.0% | 30.8% | 45.2% | -4.8 | 4 |
| 2025-09-20 | Braga | D 1-1 | 1903 | 1978 | 27.1% | 32.5% | 40.4% | +0.5 | 8 |
| 2025-09-20 | @ Vitoria Guimaraes | D 1-1 | 1978 | 1903 | 40.4% | 32.5% | 27.1% | -0.5 | 9 |
| 2025-09-21 | Famalicao | D 1-1 | 1837 | 1906 | 27.7% | 32.8% | 39.5% | +0.4 | 7 |
| 2025-09-21 | @ Casa Pia | D 1-1 | 1906 | 1837 | 39.5% | 32.8% | 27.7% | -0.4 | 11 |
| 2025-09-21 | Estoril | W 2-0 | 1855 | 1849 | 37.8% | 33.1% | 29.1% | +11.2 | 13 |
| 2025-09-21 | @ Gil Vicente | L 0-2 | 1849 | 1855 | 29.1% | 33.1% | 37.8% | -11.2 | 5 |
| 2025-09-21 | Estrela da Amadora | D 0-0 | 1782 | 1757 | 40.7% | 32.4% | 26.9% | -0.5 | 2 |
| 2025-09-21 | @ Tondela | D 0-0 | 1757 | 1782 | 26.9% | 32.4% | 40.7% | +0.5 | 4 |
| 2025-09-22 | Moreirense | W 3-0 | 2100 | 1872 | 71.3% | 14.2% | 14.5% | +6.7 | 15 |
| 2025-09-22 | @ Sporting Clube de Portugal | L 0-3 | 1872 | 2100 | 14.5% | 14.2% | 71.3% | -6.7 | 12 |
| 2025-09-23 | Rio Ave | D 1-1 | 2069 | 1811 | 75.3% | 11.5% | 13.2% | -2.3 | 14 |
| 2025-09-23 | @ Benfica | D 1-1 | 1811 | 2069 | 13.2% | 11.5% | 75.3% | +2.3 | 4 |
| 2025-09-26 | Gil Vicente | W 2-1 | 2067 | 1866 | 67.4% | 17.0% | 15.7% | +2.6 | 17 |
| 2025-09-26 | @ Benfica | L 1-2 | 1866 | 2067 | 15.7% | 17.0% | 67.4% | -2.6 | 13 |
| 2025-09-27 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | L 0-1 | 1838 | 2107 | 15.0% | 15.4% | 69.7% | -2.6 | 5 |
| 2025-09-27 | @ Estoril | W 1-0 | 2107 | 1838 | 69.7% | 15.4% | 15.0% | +2.6 | 18 |
| 2025-09-27 | AVS | W 3-0 | 1758 | 1726 | 41.8% | 32.1% | 26.1% | +14.9 | 7 |
| 2025-09-27 | @ Estrela da Amadora | L 0-3 | 1726 | 1758 | 26.1% | 32.1% | 41.8% | -14.9 | 1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Casa Pia | W 2-1 | 1865 | 1838 | 41.1% | 32.3% | 26.6% | +5.2 | 15 |
| 2025-09-27 | @ Moreirense | L 1-2 | 1838 | 1865 | 26.6% | 32.3% | 41.1% | -5.2 | 7 |
| 2025-09-27 | Tondela | L 1-2 | 1862 | 1782 | 49.2% | 28.8% | 22.0% | -8.0 | 8 |
| 2025-09-27 | @ Santa Clara | W 2-1 | 1782 | 1862 | 22.0% | 28.8% | 49.2% | +8.0 | 5 |
| 2025-09-28 | Vitoria Guimaraes | W 2-0 | 1798 | 1904 | 24.1% | 30.9% | 45.0% | +15.0 | 7 |
| 2025-09-28 | @ Alverca | L 0-2 | 1904 | 1798 | 45.0% | 30.9% | 24.1% | -15.0 | 8 |
| 2025-09-28 | Nacional | L 0-1 | 1978 | 1799 | 64.1% | 19.3% | 16.6% | -10.0 | 9 |
| 2025-09-28 | @ Braga | W 1-0 | 1799 | 1978 | 16.6% | 19.3% | 64.1% | +10.0 | 7 |
| 2025-09-28 | Rio Ave | D 0-0 | 1906 | 1814 | 50.9% | 27.9% | 21.2% | -1.2 | 12 |
| 2025-09-28 | @ Famalicao | D 0-0 | 1814 | 1906 | 21.2% | 27.9% | 50.9% | +1.2 | 5 |
| 2025-09-29 | Porto | L 0-4 | 1832 | 2047 | 17.3% | 20.9% | 61.7% | -11.8 | 8 |
| 2025-09-29 | @ Arouca | W 4-0 | 2047 | 1832 | 61.7% | 20.9% | 17.3% | +11.8 | 21 |
| 2025-10-03 | Estoril | D 2-2 | 1832 | 1836 | 36.5% | 33.3% | 30.1% | -0.2 | 8 |
| 2025-10-03 | @ Casa Pia | D 2-2 | 1836 | 1832 | 30.1% | 33.3% | 36.5% | +0.2 | 6 |
| 2025-10-04 | Alverca | L 1-3 | 1711 | 1813 | 24.4% | 31.0% | 44.6% | -8.3 | 1 |
| 2025-10-04 | @ AVS | W 3-1 | 1813 | 1711 | 44.6% | 31.0% | 24.4% | +8.3 | 10 |
| 2025-10-04 | Estrela da Amadora | W 2-0 | 1863 | 1772 | 50.8% | 28.0% | 21.3% | +8.3 | 16 |
| 2025-10-04 | @ Gil Vicente | L 0-2 | 1772 | 1863 | 21.3% | 28.0% | 50.8% | -8.3 | 7 |
| 2025-10-04 | Moreirense | W 3-2 | 1809 | 1870 | 28.6% | 33.0% | 38.4% | +6.4 | 10 |
| 2025-10-04 | @ Nacional | L 2-3 | 1870 | 1809 | 38.4% | 33.0% | 28.6% | -6.4 | 15 |
| 2025-10-04 | Santa Clara | W 2-1 | 1889 | 1854 | 42.2% | 32.0% | 25.9% | +5.1 | 11 |
| 2025-10-04 | @ Vitoria Guimaraes | L 1-2 | 1854 | 1889 | 25.9% | 32.0% | 42.2% | -5.1 | 8 |
| 2025-10-05 | Famalicao | D 1-1 | 1820 | 1904 | 26.1% | 32.1% | 41.8% | +0.6 | 9 |
| 2025-10-05 | @ Arouca | D 1-1 | 1904 | 1820 | 41.8% | 32.1% | 26.1% | -0.6 | 13 |
| 2025-10-05 | Benfica | D 0-0 | 2058 | 2069 | 35.4% | 33.5% | 31.1% | -0.2 | 22 |
| 2025-10-05 | @ Porto | D 0-0 | 2069 | 2058 | 31.1% | 33.5% | 35.4% | +0.2 | 18 |
| 2025-10-05 | Tondela | W 3-0 | 1815 | 1789 | 40.8% | 32.4% | 26.8% | +15.2 | 8 |
| 2025-10-05 | @ Rio Ave | L 0-3 | 1789 | 1815 | 26.8% | 32.4% | 40.8% | -15.2 | 5 |
| 2025-10-05 | Braga | D 1-1 | 2109 | 1968 | 58.5% | 23.1% | 18.4% | -1.5 | 19 |
| 2025-10-05 | @ Sporting Clube de Portugal | D 1-1 | 1968 | 2109 | 18.4% | 23.1% | 58.5% | +1.5 | 10 |
| 2025-10-24 | Gil Vicente | L 0-4 | 1822 | 1872 | 30.0% | 33.3% | 36.7% | -21.7 | 10 |
| 2025-10-24 | @ Alverca | W 4-0 | 1872 | 1822 | 36.7% | 33.3% | 30.0% | +21.7 | 19 |
| 2025-10-25 | Arouca | W 5-0 | 2069 | 1821 | 74.1% | 12.3% | 13.6% | +9.8 | 21 |
| 2025-10-25 | @ Benfica | L 0-5 | 1821 | 2069 | 13.6% | 12.3% | 74.1% | -9.8 | 9 |
| 2025-10-25 | Rio Ave | L 1-2 | 1764 | 1830 | 28.1% | 32.9% | 39.1% | -5.4 | 7 |
| 2025-10-25 | @ Estrela da Amadora | W 2-1 | 1830 | 1764 | 39.1% | 32.9% | 28.1% | +5.4 | 11 |
| 2025-10-25 | AVS | W 2-0 | 1849 | 1702 | 59.3% | 22.6% | 18.1% | +6.6 | 11 |
| 2025-10-25 | @ Santa Clara | L 0-2 | 1702 | 1849 | 18.1% | 22.6% | 59.3% | -6.6 | 1 |
| 2025-10-26 | Casa Pia | W 4-0 | 1969 | 1832 | 57.8% | 23.6% | 18.6% | +13.1 | 13 |
| 2025-10-26 | @ Braga | L 0-4 | 1832 | 1969 | 18.6% | 23.6% | 57.8% | -13.1 | 8 |
| 2025-10-26 | Nacional | D 1-1 | 1836 | 1816 | 40.0% | 32.6% | 27.4% | -0.4 | 7 |
| 2025-10-26 | @ Estoril | D 1-1 | 1816 | 1836 | 27.4% | 32.6% | 40.0% | +0.4 | 11 |
| 2025-10-26 | Vitoria Guimaraes | W 2-0 | 1904 | 1894 | 38.5% | 33.0% | 28.5% | +11.0 | 16 |
| 2025-10-26 | @ Famalicao | L 0-2 | 1894 | 1904 | 28.5% | 33.0% | 38.5% | -11.0 | 11 |
| 2025-10-26 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | L 0-3 | 1774 | 2108 | 12.2% | 9.5% | 78.3% | -5.2 | 5 |
| 2025-10-26 | @ Tondela | W 3-0 | 2108 | 1774 | 78.3% | 9.5% | 12.2% | +5.2 | 22 |
| 2025-10-27 | Porto | L 1-2 | 1864 | 2058 | 18.3% | 23.0% | 58.6% | -3.4 | 15 |
| 2025-10-27 | @ Moreirense | W 2-1 | 2058 | 1864 | 58.6% | 23.0% | 18.3% | +3.4 | 25 |
| 2025-10-31 | Alverca | W 2-0 | 2113 | 1800 | 81.9% | 7.3% | 10.8% | +3.1 | 25 |
| 2025-10-31 | @ Sporting Clube de Portugal | L 0-2 | 1800 | 2113 | 10.8% | 7.3% | 81.9% | -3.1 | 10 |
| 2025-11-01 | Estrela da Amadora | L 3-5 | 1819 | 1759 | 46.1% | 30.4% | 23.5% | -11.2 | 8 |
| 2025-11-01 | @ Casa Pia | W 5-3 | 1759 | 1819 | 23.5% | 30.4% | 46.1% | +11.2 | 10 |
| 2025-11-01 | Famalicao | L 0-1 | 1816 | 1915 | 24.7% | 31.3% | 44.0% | -5.2 | 11 |
| 2025-11-01 | @ Nacional | W 1-0 | 1915 | 1816 | 44.0% | 31.3% | 24.7% | +5.2 | 19 |
| 2025-11-01 | Estoril | L 0-4 | 1836 | 1835 | 37.0% | 33.2% | 29.7% | -25.1 | 11 |
| 2025-11-01 | @ Rio Ave | W 4-0 | 1835 | 1836 | 29.7% | 33.2% | 37.0% | +25.1 | 10 |
| 2025-11-01 | Benfica | L 0-3 | 1883 | 2079 | 18.2% | 22.8% | 59.0% | -9.7 | 11 |
| 2025-11-01 | @ Vitoria Guimaraes | W 3-0 | 2079 | 1883 | 59.0% | 22.8% | 18.2% | +9.7 | 24 |
| 2025-11-02 | Moreirense | L 0-2 | 1811 | 1861 | 30.0% | 33.3% | 36.7% | -11.5 | 9 |
| 2025-11-02 | @ Arouca | W 2-0 | 1861 | 1811 | 36.7% | 33.3% | 30.0% | +11.4 | 18 |
| 2025-11-02 | Tondela | D 2-2 | 1696 | 1769 | 27.2% | 32.6% | 40.2% | +0.3 | 2 |
| 2025-11-02 | @ AVS | D 2-2 | 1769 | 1696 | 40.2% | 32.6% | 27.2% | -0.3 | 6 |
| 2025-11-02 | Braga | W 2-1 | 2062 | 1982 | 49.0% | 29.0% | 22.1% | +4.3 | 28 |
| 2025-11-02 | @ Porto | L 1-2 | 1982 | 2062 | 22.1% | 29.0% | 49.0% | -4.3 | 13 |
| 2025-11-03 | Santa Clara | W 1-0 | 1893 | 1856 | 42.7% | 31.8% | 25.6% | +5.3 | 22 |
| 2025-11-03 | @ Gil Vicente | L 0-1 | 1856 | 1893 | 25.6% | 31.8% | 42.7% | -5.3 | 11 |
| 2025-11-07 | Arouca | W 4-3 | 1860 | 1800 | 46.2% | 30.3% | 23.5% | +4.3 | 13 |
| 2025-11-07 | @ Estoril | L 3-4 | 1800 | 1860 | 23.5% | 30.3% | 46.2% | -4.3 | 9 |
| 2025-11-08 | Rio Ave | D 1-1 | 1797 | 1810 | 35.0% | 33.5% | 31.5% | -0.1 | 11 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ Alverca | D 1-1 | 1810 | 1797 | 31.5% | 33.5% | 35.0% | +0.1 | 12 |
| 2025-11-08 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | L 1-2 | 1850 | 2116 | 15.1% | 15.6% | 69.3% | -2.5 | 11 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ Santa Clara | W 2-1 | 2116 | 1850 | 69.3% | 15.6% | 15.1% | +2.5 | 28 |
| 2025-11-08 | Vitoria Guimaraes | L 0-1 | 1769 | 1873 | 24.2% | 30.9% | 44.9% | -5.1 | 6 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ Tondela | W 1-0 | 1873 | 1769 | 44.9% | 30.9% | 24.2% | +5.1 | 14 |
| 2025-11-09 | Gil Vicente | D 1-1 | 1696 | 1899 | 17.9% | 22.1% | 59.9% | +1.6 | 3 |
| 2025-11-09 | @ AVS | D 1-1 | 1899 | 1696 | 59.9% | 22.1% | 17.9% | -1.6 | 23 |
| 2025-11-09 | Casa Pia | D 2-2 | 2089 | 1808 | 78.2% | 9.6% | 12.2% | -1.8 | 25 |
| 2025-11-09 | @ Benfica | D 2-2 | 1808 | 2089 | 12.2% | 9.6% | 78.2% | +1.8 | 9 |
| 2025-11-09 | Moreirense | W 2-1 | 1978 | 1872 | 53.1% | 26.6% | 20.3% | +3.9 | 16 |
| 2025-11-09 | @ Braga | L 1-2 | 1872 | 1978 | 20.3% | 26.6% | 53.1% | -3.9 | 18 |
| 2025-11-09 | Nacional | D 1-1 | 1770 | 1811 | 31.1% | 33.5% | 35.4% | +0.1 | 11 |
| 2025-11-09 | @ Estrela da Amadora | D 1-1 | 1811 | 1770 | 35.4% | 33.5% | 31.1% | -0.1 | 12 |
| 2025-11-09 | Porto | L 0-1 | 1920 | 2066 | 21.1% | 27.7% | 51.2% | -4.3 | 19 |
| 2025-11-09 | @ Famalicao | W 1-0 | 2066 | 1920 | 51.2% | 27.7% | 21.1% | +4.4 | 31 |
| 2025-11-28 | AVS | W 4-0 | 1878 | 1698 | 64.4% | 19.1% | 16.5% | +10.9 | 17 |
| 2025-11-28 | @ Vitoria Guimaraes | L 0-4 | 1698 | 1878 | 16.5% | 19.1% | 64.4% | -10.9 | 3 |
| 2025-11-29 | Alverca | L 0-2 | 1810 | 1797 | 39.0% | 32.9% | 28.2% | -13.7 | 9 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ Casa Pia | W 2-0 | 1797 | 1810 | 28.2% | 32.9% | 39.0% | +13.7 | 14 |
| 2025-11-29 | Tondela | L 0-1 | 1897 | 1764 | 57.3% | 23.9% | 18.8% | -9.3 | 23 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ Gil Vicente | W 1-0 | 1764 | 1897 | 18.8% | 23.9% | 57.3% | +9.3 | 9 |
| 2025-11-29 | Famalicao | D 2-2 | 1868 | 1916 | 30.3% | 33.4% | 36.4% | +0.2 | 19 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ Moreirense | D 2-2 | 1916 | 1868 | 36.4% | 33.4% | 30.3% | -0.2 | 20 |
| 2025-11-29 | Benfica | L 1-2 | 1811 | 2087 | 14.6% | 14.6% | 70.8% | -2.4 | 12 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ Nacional | W 2-1 | 2087 | 1811 | 70.8% | 14.6% | 14.6% | +2.4 | 28 |
| 2025-11-30 | Estoril | W 1-0 | 2070 | 1865 | 68.1% | 16.5% | 15.4% | +2.7 | 34 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ Porto | L 0-1 | 1865 | 2070 | 15.4% | 16.5% | 68.1% | -2.7 | 13 |
| 2025-11-30 | Santa Clara | D 1-1 | 1811 | 1848 | 31.6% | 33.5% | 34.8% | +0.1 | 13 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ Rio Ave | D 1-1 | 1848 | 1811 | 34.8% | 33.5% | 31.6% | -0.1 | 12 |
| 2025-11-30 | Estrela da Amadora | W 4-0 | 2119 | 1770 | 85.4% | 5.2% | 9.4% | +4.8 | 31 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ Sporting Clube de Portugal | L 0-4 | 1770 | 2119 | 9.4% | 5.2% | 85.4% | -4.8 | 11 |
| 2025-12-01 | Braga | L 0-4 | 1795 | 1982 | 18.7% | 23.8% | 57.5% | -13.2 | 9 |
| 2025-12-01 | @ Arouca | W 4-0 | 1982 | 1795 | 57.5% | 23.8% | 18.7% | +13.2 | 19 |
| 2025-12-05 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | D 1-1 | 2090 | 2123 | 32.1% | 33.5% | 34.4% | +0.1 | 29 |
| 2025-12-05 | @ Benfica | D 1-1 | 2123 | 2090 | 34.4% | 33.5% | 32.1% | -0.1 | 32 |
| 2025-12-06 | Rio Ave | L 1-2 | 1687 | 1811 | 22.6% | 29.5% | 47.9% | -4.5 | 3 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ AVS | W 2-1 | 1811 | 1687 | 47.9% | 29.5% | 22.6% | +4.5 | 16 |
| 2025-12-06 | Braga | L 1-2 | 1916 | 1995 | 26.6% | 32.3% | 41.1% | -5.2 | 20 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ Famalicao | W 2-1 | 1995 | 1916 | 41.1% | 32.3% | 26.6% | +5.2 | 22 |
| 2025-12-06 | Casa Pia | W 1-0 | 1848 | 1796 | 44.8% | 31.0% | 24.3% | +5.1 | 15 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ Santa Clara | L 0-1 | 1796 | 1848 | 24.3% | 31.0% | 44.8% | -5.1 | 9 |
| 2025-12-07 | Nacional | W 1-0 | 1810 | 1809 | 37.3% | 33.2% | 29.5% | +6.0 | 17 |
| 2025-12-07 | @ Alverca | L 0-1 | 1809 | 1810 | 29.5% | 33.2% | 37.3% | -6.0 | 12 |
| 2025-12-07 | Moreirense | D 3-3 | 1862 | 1868 | 36.1% | 33.4% | 30.5% | -0.1 | 14 |
| 2025-12-07 | @ Estoril | D 3-3 | 1868 | 1862 | 30.5% | 33.4% | 36.1% | +0.1 | 20 |
| 2025-12-07 | Arouca | W 3-1 | 1765 | 1782 | 34.6% | 33.5% | 31.9% | +10.4 | 14 |
| 2025-12-07 | @ Estrela da Amadora | L 1-3 | 1782 | 1765 | 31.9% | 33.5% | 34.6% | -10.4 | 9 |
| 2025-12-07 | Porto | L 0-2 | 1773 | 2073 | 13.6% | 12.4% | 74.0% | -4.2 | 9 |
| 2025-12-07 | @ Tondela | W 2-0 | 2073 | 1773 | 74.0% | 12.4% | 13.6% | +4.2 | 37 |
| 2025-12-08 | Gil Vicente | D 0-0 | 1889 | 1888 | 37.2% | 33.2% | 29.6% | -0.3 | 18 |
| 2025-12-08 | @ Vitoria Guimaraes | D 0-0 | 1888 | 1889 | 29.6% | 33.2% | 37.2% | +0.3 | 24 |
| 2025-12-13 | Gil Vicente | D 1-1 | 1791 | 1888 | 24.9% | 31.4% | 43.8% | +0.7 | 10 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ Casa Pia | D 1-1 | 1888 | 1791 | 43.8% | 31.4% | 24.9% | -0.7 | 25 |
| 2025-12-13 | Vitoria Guimaraes | L 0-1 | 1815 | 1889 | 27.2% | 32.6% | 40.2% | -5.6 | 16 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ Rio Ave | W 1-0 | 1889 | 1815 | 40.2% | 32.6% | 27.2% | +5.6 | 21 |
| 2025-12-13 | AVS | W 6-0 | 2123 | 1682 | 92.0% | 1.8% | 6.2% | +4.3 | 35 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ Sporting Clube de Portugal | L 0-6 | 1682 | 2123 | 6.2% | 1.8% | 92.0% | -4.3 | 3 |
| 2025-12-14 | Alverca | W 1-0 | 1772 | 1816 | 30.7% | 33.4% | 35.9% | +6.9 | 12 |
| 2025-12-14 | @ Arouca | L 0-1 | 1816 | 1772 | 35.9% | 33.4% | 30.7% | -6.9 | 17 |
| 2025-12-14 | Estoril | W 4-0 | 1910 | 1862 | 44.3% | 31.2% | 24.6% | +18.4 | 23 |
| 2025-12-14 | @ Famalicao | L 0-4 | 1862 | 1910 | 24.6% | 31.2% | 44.3% | -18.4 | 14 |
| 2025-12-14 | Benfica | L 0-4 | 1868 | 2090 | 17.1% | 20.2% | 62.7% | -11.4 | 20 |
| 2025-12-14 | @ Moreirense | W 4-0 | 2090 | 1868 | 62.7% | 20.2% | 17.1% | +11.4 | 32 |
| 2025-12-15 | Santa Clara | W 1-0 | 2000 | 1853 | 59.5% | 22.5% | 18.1% | +3.5 | 25 |
| 2025-12-15 | @ Braga | L 0-1 | 1853 | 2000 | 18.1% | 22.5% | 59.5% | -3.5 | 15 |
| 2025-12-15 | Tondela | W 3-1 | 1803 | 1769 | 42.1% | 32.0% | 25.9% | +8.8 | 15 |
| 2025-12-15 | @ Nacional | L 1-3 | 1769 | 1803 | 25.9% | 32.0% | 42.1% | -8.8 | 9 |
| 2025-12-15 | Estrela da Amadora | W 3-1 | 2077 | 1776 | 80.6% | 8.1% | 11.3% | +2.8 | 40 |
| 2025-12-15 | @ Porto | L 1-3 | 1776 | 2077 | 11.3% | 8.1% | 80.6% | -2.8 | 14 |
| 2025-12-19 | Braga | W 1-0 | 1844 | 2004 | 20.2% | 26.4% | 53.4% | +8.9 | 17 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ Estoril | L 0-1 | 2004 | 1844 | 53.4% | 26.4% | 20.2% | -8.9 | 25 |
| 2025-12-20 | Moreirense | D 0-0 | 1773 | 1857 | 26.1% | 32.1% | 41.8% | +0.6 | 15 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ Estrela da Amadora | D 0-0 | 1857 | 1773 | 41.8% | 32.1% | 26.1% | -0.6 | 21 |
| 2025-12-20 | Rio Ave | D 2-2 | 1887 | 1810 | 48.8% | 29.1% | 22.2% | -0.7 | 26 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ Gil Vicente | D 2-2 | 1810 | 1887 | 22.2% | 29.1% | 48.8% | +0.7 | 17 |
| 2025-12-21 | Nacional | D 2-2 | 1678 | 1811 | 21.9% | 28.8% | 49.3% | +0.8 | 4 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ AVS | D 2-2 | 1811 | 1678 | 49.3% | 28.8% | 21.9% | -0.8 | 16 |
| 2025-12-21 | Arouca | D 0-0 | 1849 | 1779 | 47.7% | 29.6% | 22.7% | -1.0 | 16 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ Santa Clara | D 0-0 | 1779 | 1849 | 22.7% | 29.6% | 47.7% | +1.0 | 13 |
| 2025-12-21 | Casa Pia | L 1-2 | 1760 | 1792 | 32.4% | 33.5% | 34.1% | -6.0 | 9 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ Tondela | W 2-1 | 1792 | 1760 | 34.1% | 33.5% | 32.4% | +6.0 | 13 |
| 2025-12-22 | Porto | L 0-3 | 1810 | 2080 | 14.9% | 15.2% | 70.0% | -7.0 | 17 |
| 2025-12-22 | @ Alverca | W 3-0 | 2080 | 1810 | 70.0% | 15.2% | 14.9% | +7.0 | 43 |
| 2025-12-22 | Famalicao | W 1-0 | 2101 | 1929 | 63.2% | 19.9% | 16.9% | +3.2 | 35 |
| 2025-12-22 | @ Benfica | L 0-1 | 1929 | 2101 | 16.9% | 19.9% | 63.2% | -3.2 | 23 |
| 2025-12-23 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | L 1-4 | 1894 | 2128 | 16.5% | 18.9% | 64.6% | -7.0 | 21 |
| 2025-12-23 | @ Vitoria Guimaraes | W 4-1 | 2128 | 1894 | 64.6% | 18.9% | 16.5% | +7.0 | 38 |
| 2025-12-27 | Alverca | W 4-1 | 1852 | 1802 | 44.5% | 31.1% | 24.4% | +11.8 | 20 |
| 2025-12-27 | @ Estoril | L 1-4 | 1802 | 1852 | 24.4% | 31.1% | 44.5% | -11.8 | 17 |
| 2025-12-27 | Estrela da Amadora | L 2-3 | 1926 | 1773 | 60.2% | 22.0% | 17.8% | -8.6 | 23 |
| 2025-12-27 | @ Famalicao | W 3-2 | 1773 | 1926 | 17.8% | 22.0% | 60.2% | +8.6 | 18 |
| 2025-12-28 | Gil Vicente | D 2-2 | 1780 | 1887 | 24.0% | 30.7% | 45.3% | +0.6 | 14 |
| 2025-12-28 | @ Arouca | D 2-2 | 1887 | 1780 | 45.3% | 30.7% | 24.0% | -0.6 | 27 |
| 2025-12-28 | Benfica | D 2-2 | 1995 | 2104 | 23.8% | 30.6% | 45.6% | +0.6 | 26 |
| 2025-12-28 | @ Braga | D 2-2 | 2104 | 1995 | 45.6% | 30.6% | 23.8% | -0.6 | 36 |
| 2025-12-28 | Vitoria Guimaraes | D 0-0 | 1798 | 1887 | 25.6% | 31.8% | 42.6% | +0.7 | 14 |
| 2025-12-28 | @ Casa Pia | D 0-0 | 1887 | 1798 | 42.6% | 31.8% | 25.6% | -0.7 | 22 |
| 2025-12-28 | Rio Ave | W 4-0 | 2135 | 1810 | 83.1% | 6.6% | 10.4% | +5.5 | 41 |
| 2025-12-28 | @ Sporting Clube de Portugal | L 0-4 | 1810 | 2135 | 10.4% | 6.6% | 83.1% | -5.5 | 17 |
| 2025-12-29 | AVS | W 2-0 | 2087 | 1679 | 90.1% | 2.7% | 7.2% | +1.9 | 46 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ Porto | L 0-2 | 1679 | 2087 | 7.2% | 2.7% | 90.1% | -1.9 | 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | D 1-1 | 1886 | 2140 | 15.6% | 16.8% | 67.6% | +1.9 | 28 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ Gil Vicente | D 1-1 | 2140 | 1886 | 67.6% | 16.8% | 15.6% | -1.9 | 42 |
| 2026-01-02 | Nacional | W 2-1 | 1887 | 1811 | 48.4% | 29.2% | 22.3% | +4.4 | 25 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ Vitoria Guimaraes | L 1-2 | 1811 | 1887 | 22.3% | 29.2% | 48.4% | -4.4 | 16 |
| 2026-01-03 | Moreirense | L 0-2 | 1677 | 1856 | 19.1% | 24.5% | 56.4% | -7.2 | 4 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ AVS | W 2-0 | 1856 | 1677 | 56.4% | 24.5% | 19.1% | +7.2 | 24 |
| 2026-01-03 | Estoril | W 3-1 | 2104 | 1864 | 72.9% | 13.2% | 14.0% | +3.8 | 39 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ Benfica | L 1-3 | 1864 | 2104 | 14.0% | 13.2% | 72.9% | -3.8 | 20 |
| 2026-01-03 | Braga | D 3-3 | 1782 | 1996 | 17.4% | 21.0% | 61.6% | +1.0 | 19 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ Estrela da Amadora | D 3-3 | 1996 | 1782 | 61.6% | 21.0% | 17.4% | -1.0 | 27 |
| 2026-01-03 | Arouca | W 3-1 | 1754 | 1780 | 33.2% | 33.6% | 33.3% | +10.6 | 12 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ Tondela | L 1-3 | 1780 | 1754 | 33.3% | 33.6% | 33.2% | -10.7 | 14 |
| 2026-01-04 | Famalicao | W 1-0 | 1791 | 1917 | 22.4% | 29.3% | 48.2% | +8.3 | 20 |
| 2026-01-04 | @ Alverca | L 0-1 | 1917 | 1791 | 48.2% | 29.3% | 22.4% | -8.3 | 23 |
| 2026-01-04 | Casa Pia | W 3-1 | 1805 | 1798 | 38.0% | 33.1% | 29.0% | +9.7 | 20 |
| 2026-01-04 | @ Rio Ave | L 1-3 | 1798 | 1805 | 29.0% | 33.1% | 38.0% | -9.7 | 14 |
| 2026-01-04 | Porto | L 0-1 | 1848 | 2089 | 16.2% | 18.2% | 65.6% | -2.9 | 16 |
| 2026-01-04 | @ Santa Clara | W 1-0 | 2089 | 1848 | 65.6% | 18.2% | 16.2% | +2.9 | 49 |
| 2026-01-11 | Tondela | W 1-0 | 1864 | 1765 | 52.0% | 27.3% | 20.7% | +4.3 | 27 |
| 2026-01-11 | @ Moreirense | L 0-1 | 1765 | 1864 | 20.7% | 27.3% | 52.0% | -4.3 | 12 |
| 2026-01-11 | Santa Clara | D 3-3 | 1806 | 1845 | 31.4% | 33.5% | 35.1% | +0.1 | 17 |
| 2026-01-11 | @ Nacional | D 3-3 | 1845 | 1806 | 35.1% | 33.5% | 31.4% | -0.1 | 17 |
| 2026-01-16 | Casa Pia | W 3-0 | 2138 | 1789 | 85.5% | 5.1% | 9.4% | +3.7 | 45 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ Sporting Clube de Portugal | L 0-3 | 1789 | 2138 | 9.4% | 5.1% | 85.5% | -3.7 | 14 |
| 2026-01-17 | Moreirense | W 2-1 | 1799 | 1868 | 27.7% | 32.8% | 39.5% | +6.9 | 23 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ Alverca | L 1-2 | 1868 | 1799 | 39.5% | 32.8% | 27.7% | -6.9 | 27 |
| 2026-01-17 | Arouca | L 0-1 | 1670 | 1769 | 24.6% | 31.2% | 44.2% | -5.2 | 4 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ AVS | W 1-0 | 1769 | 1670 | 44.2% | 31.2% | 24.6% | +5.2 | 17 |
| 2026-01-17 | Nacional | W 2-1 | 1888 | 1806 | 49.4% | 28.7% | 21.9% | +4.3 | 31 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ Gil Vicente | L 1-2 | 1806 | 1888 | 21.9% | 28.7% | 49.4% | -4.3 | 17 |
| 2026-01-17 | Benfica | L 0-2 | 1814 | 2107 | 13.9% | 13.0% | 73.1% | -4.4 | 20 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ Rio Ave | W 2-0 | 2107 | 1814 | 73.1% | 13.0% | 13.9% | +4.3 | 42 |
| 2026-01-18 | Famalicao | L 0-1 | 1845 | 1909 | 28.4% | 32.9% | 38.7% | -5.8 | 17 |
| 2026-01-18 | @ Santa Clara | W 1-0 | 1909 | 1845 | 38.7% | 32.9% | 28.4% | +5.8 | 26 |
| 2026-01-18 | Braga | L 0-1 | 1760 | 1995 | 16.5% | 18.9% | 64.7% | -3.0 | 12 |
| 2026-01-18 | @ Tondela | W 1-0 | 1995 | 1760 | 64.7% | 18.9% | 16.5% | +3.0 | 30 |
| 2026-01-18 | Porto | L 0-1 | 1891 | 2092 | 18.0% | 22.3% | 59.7% | -3.5 | 25 |
| 2026-01-18 | @ Vitoria Guimaraes | W 1-0 | 2092 | 1891 | 59.7% | 22.3% | 18.0% | +3.5 | 52 |
| 2026-01-19 | Estoril | L 0-5 | 1783 | 1860 | 26.8% | 32.4% | 40.8% | -24.5 | 19 |
| 2026-01-19 | @ Estrela da Amadora | W 5-0 | 1860 | 1783 | 40.8% | 32.4% | 26.8% | +24.5 | 23 |
| 2026-01-23 | AVS | D 3-3 | 1785 | 1664 | 55.3% | 25.2% | 19.5% | -0.8 | 15 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ Casa Pia | D 3-3 | 1664 | 1785 | 19.5% | 25.2% | 55.3% | +0.8 | 5 |
| 2026-01-24 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | L 1-2 | 1775 | 2142 | 10.8% | 7.1% | 82.1% | -1.5 | 17 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ Arouca | W 2-1 | 2142 | 1775 | 82.1% | 7.1% | 10.8% | +1.5 | 48 |
| 2026-01-24 | Vitoria Guimaraes | W 4-2 | 1885 | 1887 | 36.6% | 33.3% | 30.0% | +8.9 | 26 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ Estoril | L 2-4 | 1887 | 1885 | 30.0% | 33.3% | 36.6% | -8.9 | 25 |
| 2026-01-24 | Santa Clara | W 1-0 | 1861 | 1839 | 40.2% | 32.6% | 27.2% | +5.6 | 30 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ Moreirense | L 0-1 | 1839 | 1861 | 27.2% | 32.6% | 40.2% | -5.6 | 17 |
| 2026-01-25 | Estrela da Amadora | W 4-0 | 2112 | 1759 | 85.8% | 5.0% | 9.2% | +4.7 | 45 |
| 2026-01-25 | @ Benfica | L 0-4 | 1759 | 2112 | 9.2% | 5.0% | 85.8% | -4.7 | 19 |
| 2026-01-25 | Alverca | W 5-0 | 1998 | 1806 | 66.1% | 17.9% | 16.0% | +12.8 | 33 |
| 2026-01-25 | @ Braga | L 0-5 | 1806 | 1998 | 16.0% | 17.9% | 66.1% | -12.8 | 23 |
| 2026-01-25 | Tondela | W 3-0 | 1914 | 1757 | 60.9% | 21.5% | 17.6% | +9.2 | 29 |
| 2026-01-25 | @ Famalicao | L 0-3 | 1757 | 1914 | 17.6% | 21.5% | 60.9% | -9.2 | 12 |
| 2026-01-25 | Rio Ave | W 4-0 | 1802 | 1810 | 35.8% | 33.4% | 30.8% | +22.1 | 20 |
| 2026-01-25 | @ Nacional | L 0-4 | 1810 | 1802 | 30.8% | 33.4% | 35.8% | -22.1 | 20 |
| 2026-01-26 | Gil Vicente | W 3-0 | 2095 | 1892 | 67.7% | 16.7% | 15.6% | +7.5 | 55 |
| 2026-01-26 | @ Porto | L 0-3 | 1892 | 2095 | 15.6% | 16.7% | 67.7% | -7.5 | 31 |
| 2026-01-30 | Moreirense | W 1-0 | 1879 | 1867 | 38.8% | 32.9% | 28.3% | +5.8 | 28 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ Vitoria Guimaraes | L 0-1 | 1867 | 1879 | 28.3% | 32.9% | 38.8% | -5.8 | 30 |
| 2026-01-31 | Estrela da Amadora | D 1-1 | 1793 | 1754 | 42.9% | 31.7% | 25.4% | -0.6 | 24 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ Alverca | D 1-1 | 1754 | 1793 | 25.4% | 31.7% | 42.9% | +0.6 | 20 |
| 2026-01-31 | Arouca | L 0-3 | 1788 | 1773 | 39.2% | 32.8% | 28.0% | -19.9 | 20 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ Rio Ave | W 3-0 | 1773 | 1788 | 28.0% | 32.8% | 39.2% | +19.9 | 20 |
| 2026-01-31 | Estoril | L 2-4 | 1834 | 1894 | 28.7% | 33.0% | 38.2% | -8.6 | 17 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ Santa Clara | W 4-2 | 1894 | 1834 | 38.2% | 33.0% | 28.7% | +8.6 | 29 |
| 2026-02-01 | Famalicao | W 5-0 | 1885 | 1924 | 31.4% | 33.5% | 35.1% | +29.8 | 34 |
| 2026-02-01 | @ Gil Vicente | L 0-5 | 1924 | 1885 | 35.1% | 33.5% | 31.4% | -29.8 | 29 |
| 2026-02-01 | Nacional | W 2-1 | 2143 | 1824 | 82.5% | 6.9% | 10.6% | +1.5 | 51 |
| 2026-02-01 | @ Sporting Clube de Portugal | L 1-2 | 1824 | 2143 | 10.6% | 6.9% | 82.5% | -1.5 | 20 |
| 2026-02-01 | Benfica | D 0-0 | 1748 | 2117 | 10.7% | 7.0% | 82.2% | +2.8 | 13 |
| 2026-02-01 | @ Tondela | D 0-0 | 2117 | 1748 | 82.2% | 7.0% | 10.7% | -2.8 | 46 |
| 2026-02-02 | Braga | L 0-4 | 1665 | 2010 | 11.7% | 8.7% | 79.6% | -6.4 | 5 |
| 2026-02-02 | @ AVS | W 4-0 | 2010 | 1665 | 79.6% | 8.7% | 11.7% | +6.4 | 36 |
| 2026-02-02 | Porto | W 2-1 | 1784 | 2103 | 12.8% | 10.8% | 76.4% | +10.4 | 18 |
| 2026-02-02 | @ Casa Pia | L 1-2 | 2103 | 1784 | 76.4% | 10.8% | 12.8% | -10.4 | 55 |
| 2026-02-07 | Vitoria Guimaraes | W 3-2 | 1793 | 1884 | 25.4% | 31.7% | 42.9% | +6.9 | 23 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ Arouca | L 2-3 | 1884 | 1793 | 42.9% | 31.7% | 25.4% | -6.9 | 28 |
| 2026-02-07 | Tondela | D 2-2 | 1902 | 1751 | 60.1% | 22.1% | 17.9% | -1.2 | 30 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ Estoril | D 2-2 | 1751 | 1902 | 17.9% | 22.1% | 60.1% | +1.2 | 14 |
| 2026-02-07 | Santa Clara | W 1-0 | 1754 | 1825 | 27.5% | 32.7% | 39.8% | +7.3 | 23 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ Estrela da Amadora | L 0-1 | 1825 | 1754 | 39.8% | 32.7% | 27.5% | -7.3 | 17 |
| 2026-02-07 | Gil Vicente | L 1-2 | 1861 | 1915 | 29.5% | 33.2% | 37.3% | -5.7 | 30 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ Moreirense | W 2-1 | 1915 | 1861 | 37.3% | 33.2% | 29.5% | +5.7 | 37 |
| 2026-02-08 | Casa Pia | D 0-0 | 1823 | 1795 | 41.2% | 32.3% | 26.5% | -0.6 | 21 |
| 2026-02-08 | @ Nacional | D 0-0 | 1795 | 1823 | 26.5% | 32.3% | 41.2% | +0.6 | 19 |
| 2026-02-08 | Alverca | W 2-1 | 2114 | 1793 | 82.7% | 6.8% | 10.5% | +1.5 | 49 |
| 2026-02-08 | @ Benfica | L 1-2 | 1793 | 2114 | 10.5% | 6.8% | 82.7% | -1.5 | 24 |
| 2026-02-08 | Rio Ave | W 3-0 | 2017 | 1768 | 74.1% | 12.3% | 13.6% | +6.1 | 39 |
| 2026-02-08 | @ Braga | L 0-3 | 1768 | 2017 | 13.6% | 12.3% | 74.1% | -6.1 | 20 |
| 2026-02-09 | AVS | W 3-1 | 1894 | 1659 | 72.3% | 13.6% | 14.2% | +3.9 | 32 |
| 2026-02-09 | @ Famalicao | L 1-3 | 1659 | 1894 | 14.2% | 13.6% | 72.3% | -3.9 | 5 |
| 2026-02-09 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | D 1-1 | 2092 | 2145 | 29.7% | 33.2% | 37.1% | +0.2 | 56 |
| 2026-02-09 | @ Porto | D 1-1 | 2145 | 2092 | 37.1% | 33.2% | 29.7% | -0.2 | 52 |
| 2026-02-13 | Benfica | L 1-2 | 1818 | 2115 | 13.7% | 12.6% | 73.7% | -2.1 | 17 |
| 2026-02-13 | @ Santa Clara | W 2-1 | 2115 | 1818 | 73.7% | 12.6% | 13.7% | +2.1 | 52 |
| 2026-02-13 | Alverca | D 1-1 | 1752 | 1791 | 31.4% | 33.5% | 35.1% | +0.1 | 15 |
| 2026-02-13 | @ Tondela | D 1-1 | 1791 | 1752 | 35.1% | 33.5% | 31.4% | -0.1 | 25 |
| 2026-02-14 | Arouca | W 3-2 | 1795 | 1800 | 36.3% | 33.4% | 30.3% | +5.5 | 22 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ Casa Pia | L 2-3 | 1800 | 1795 | 30.3% | 33.4% | 36.3% | -5.5 | 23 |
| 2026-02-14 | Braga | W 2-1 | 1920 | 2023 | 24.4% | 31.0% | 44.6% | +7.5 | 40 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ Gil Vicente | L 1-2 | 2023 | 1920 | 44.6% | 31.0% | 24.4% | -7.5 | 39 |
| 2026-02-14 | Estrela da Amadora | W 2-1 | 1877 | 1762 | 54.6% | 25.7% | 19.7% | +3.8 | 31 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ Vitoria Guimaraes | L 1-2 | 1762 | 1877 | 19.7% | 25.7% | 54.6% | -3.8 | 23 |
| 2026-02-15 | Estoril | W 3-0 | 1655 | 1901 | 15.9% | 17.6% | 66.5% | +27.9 | 8 |
| 2026-02-15 | @ AVS | L 0-3 | 1901 | 1655 | 66.5% | 17.6% | 15.9% | -27.8 | 30 |
| 2026-02-15 | Porto | L 0-1 | 1822 | 2093 | 14.9% | 15.1% | 70.0% | -2.6 | 21 |
| 2026-02-15 | @ Nacional | W 1-0 | 2093 | 1822 | 70.0% | 15.1% | 14.9% | +2.6 | 59 |
| 2026-02-15 | Famalicao | W 1-0 | 2145 | 1898 | 73.9% | 12.5% | 13.7% | +2.2 | 55 |
| 2026-02-15 | @ Sporting Clube de Portugal | L 0-1 | 1898 | 2145 | 13.7% | 12.5% | 73.9% | -2.2 | 32 |
| 2026-02-16 | Moreirense | L 1-2 | 1762 | 1855 | 25.2% | 31.6% | 43.2% | -5.0 | 20 |
| 2026-02-16 | @ Rio Ave | W 2-1 | 1855 | 1762 | 43.2% | 31.6% | 25.2% | +5.0 | 33 |
| 2026-02-20 | Tondela | L 0-2 | 1758 | 1752 | 37.9% | 33.1% | 29.0% | -13.4 | 23 |
| 2026-02-20 | @ Estrela da Amadora | W 2-0 | 1752 | 1758 | 29.0% | 33.1% | 37.9% | +13.4 | 18 |
| 2026-02-21 | Santa Clara | D 1-1 | 1791 | 1816 | 33.4% | 33.6% | 33.1% | -0.0 | 26 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ Alverca | D 1-1 | 1816 | 1791 | 33.1% | 33.6% | 33.4% | +0.0 | 18 |
| 2026-02-21 | Nacional | W 3-0 | 1794 | 1820 | 33.4% | 33.6% | 33.1% | +17.8 | 26 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ Arouca | L 0-3 | 1820 | 1794 | 33.1% | 33.6% | 33.4% | -17.8 | 21 |
| 2026-02-21 | AVS | W 3-0 | 2117 | 1683 | 91.6% | 2.0% | 6.3% | +2.3 | 55 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ Benfica | L 0-3 | 1683 | 2117 | 6.3% | 2.0% | 91.6% | -2.4 | 8 |
| 2026-02-21 | Vitoria Guimaraes | W 3-2 | 2015 | 1881 | 57.4% | 23.9% | 18.8% | +3.3 | 42 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ Braga | L 2-3 | 1881 | 2015 | 18.8% | 23.9% | 57.4% | -3.3 | 31 |
| 2026-02-21 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | L 0-3 | 1860 | 2147 | 14.2% | 13.6% | 72.2% | -6.5 | 33 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ Moreirense | W 3-0 | 2147 | 1860 | 72.2% | 13.6% | 14.2% | +6.5 | 58 |
| 2026-02-22 | Gil Vicente | W 3-1 | 1873 | 1928 | 29.4% | 33.2% | 37.4% | +11.5 | 33 |
| 2026-02-22 | @ Estoril | L 1-3 | 1928 | 1873 | 37.4% | 33.2% | 29.4% | -11.5 | 40 |
| 2026-02-22 | Rio Ave | W 1-0 | 2095 | 1757 | 84.4% | 5.8% | 9.8% | +1.4 | 62 |
| 2026-02-22 | @ Porto | L 0-1 | 1757 | 2095 | 9.8% | 5.8% | 84.4% | -1.4 | 20 |
| 2026-02-23 | Casa Pia | W 2-0 | 1896 | 1801 | 51.4% | 27.6% | 21.0% | +8.2 | 35 |
| 2026-02-23 | @ Famalicao | L 0-2 | 1801 | 1896 | 21.0% | 27.6% | 51.4% | -8.2 | 22 |
| 2026-02-27 | Arouca | W 3-1 | 2097 | 1812 | 78.6% | 9.3% | 12.1% | +3.1 | 65 |
| 2026-02-27 | @ Porto | L 1-3 | 1812 | 2097 | 12.1% | 9.3% | 78.6% | -3.1 | 26 |
| 2026-02-27 | Estoril | W 3-0 | 2153 | 1885 | 76.7% | 10.6% | 12.7% | +5.5 | 61 |
| 2026-02-27 | @ Sporting Clube de Portugal | L 0-3 | 1885 | 2153 | 12.7% | 10.6% | 76.7% | -5.5 | 33 |
| 2026-02-28 | Estrela da Amadora | D 0-0 | 1681 | 1745 | 28.3% | 32.9% | 38.8% | +0.4 | 9 |
| 2026-02-28 | @ AVS | D 0-0 | 1745 | 1681 | 38.8% | 32.9% | 28.3% | -0.4 | 24 |
| 2026-02-28 | Braga | L 1-2 | 1802 | 2019 | 17.2% | 20.7% | 62.1% | -3.1 | 21 |
| 2026-02-28 | @ Nacional | W 2-1 | 2019 | 1802 | 62.1% | 20.7% | 17.2% | +3.1 | 45 |
| 2026-02-28 | Alverca | D 1-1 | 1878 | 1791 | 50.2% | 28.3% | 21.5% | -1.1 | 32 |
| 2026-02-28 | @ Vitoria Guimaraes | D 1-1 | 1791 | 1878 | 21.5% | 28.3% | 50.2% | +1.0 | 27 |
| 2026-03-01 | Moreirense | D 1-1 | 1793 | 1854 | 28.6% | 33.0% | 38.4% | +0.3 | 23 |
| 2026-03-01 | @ Casa Pia | D 1-1 | 1854 | 1793 | 38.4% | 33.0% | 28.6% | -0.3 | 34 |
| 2026-03-01 | Famalicao | D 0-0 | 1756 | 1904 | 20.9% | 27.5% | 51.6% | +1.3 | 21 |
| 2026-03-01 | @ Rio Ave | D 0-0 | 1904 | 1756 | 51.6% | 27.5% | 20.9% | -1.3 | 36 |
| 2026-03-01 | Santa Clara | D 2-2 | 1766 | 1816 | 30.0% | 33.3% | 36.8% | +0.2 | 19 |
| 2026-03-01 | @ Tondela | D 2-2 | 1816 | 1766 | 36.8% | 33.3% | 30.0% | -0.2 | 19 |
| 2026-03-02 | Benfica | L 1-2 | 1916 | 2120 | 17.9% | 22.1% | 60.0% | -3.2 | 40 |
| 2026-03-02 | @ Gil Vicente | W 2-1 | 2120 | 1916 | 60.0% | 22.1% | 17.9% | +3.3 | 58 |
| 2026-03-06 | Arouca | W 1-0 | 1902 | 1809 | 51.1% | 27.8% | 21.1% | +4.4 | 39 |
| 2026-03-06 | @ Famalicao | L 0-1 | 1809 | 1902 | 21.1% | 27.8% | 51.1% | -4.4 | 26 |
| 2026-03-07 | AVS | D 0-0 | 1792 | 1681 | 53.8% | 26.1% | 20.0% | -1.4 | 28 |
| 2026-03-07 | @ Alverca | D 0-0 | 1681 | 1792 | 20.0% | 26.1% | 53.8% | +1.4 | 10 |
| 2026-03-07 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | D 2-2 | 2022 | 2159 | 21.7% | 28.5% | 49.9% | +0.8 | 46 |
| 2026-03-07 | @ Braga | D 2-2 | 2159 | 2022 | 49.9% | 28.5% | 21.7% | -0.8 | 62 |
| 2026-03-07 | Casa Pia | D 0-0 | 1879 | 1793 | 50.1% | 28.3% | 21.6% | -1.2 | 34 |
| 2026-03-07 | @ Estoril | D 0-0 | 1793 | 1879 | 21.6% | 28.3% | 50.1% | +1.2 | 24 |
| 2026-03-07 | Nacional | D 1-1 | 1853 | 1799 | 45.2% | 30.8% | 24.0% | -0.8 | 35 |
| 2026-03-07 | @ Moreirense | D 1-1 | 1799 | 1853 | 24.0% | 30.8% | 45.2% | +0.8 | 22 |
| 2026-03-08 | Porto | D 2-2 | 2123 | 2100 | 40.5% | 32.5% | 27.1% | -0.4 | 59 |
| 2026-03-08 | @ Benfica | D 2-2 | 2100 | 2123 | 27.1% | 32.5% | 40.5% | +0.3 | 66 |
| 2026-03-08 | Gil Vicente | D 2-2 | 1744 | 1913 | 19.7% | 25.6% | 54.7% | +1.0 | 25 |
| 2026-03-08 | @ Estrela da Amadora | D 2-2 | 1913 | 1744 | 54.7% | 25.6% | 19.7% | -1.0 | 41 |
| 2026-03-08 | Vitoria Guimaraes | W 2-0 | 1816 | 1877 | 28.6% | 33.0% | 38.4% | +13.5 | 22 |
| 2026-03-08 | @ Santa Clara | L 0-2 | 1877 | 1816 | 38.4% | 33.0% | 28.6% | -13.5 | 32 |
| 2026-03-09 | Rio Ave | L 0-1 | 1766 | 1757 | 38.3% | 33.0% | 28.6% | -7.2 | 19 |
| 2026-03-09 | @ Tondela | W 1-0 | 1757 | 1766 | 28.6% | 33.0% | 38.3% | +7.2 | 24 |
| 2026-03-14 | Benfica | L 1-2 | 1805 | 2123 | 12.8% | 10.8% | 76.3% | -1.9 | 26 |
| 2026-03-14 | @ Arouca | W 2-1 | 2123 | 1805 | 76.3% | 10.8% | 12.8% | +1.9 | 62 |
| 2026-03-14 | Alverca | D 2-2 | 1912 | 1791 | 55.5% | 25.1% | 19.4% | -1.0 | 42 |
| 2026-03-14 | @ Gil Vicente | D 2-2 | 1791 | 1912 | 19.4% | 25.1% | 55.5% | +1.0 | 29 |
| 2026-03-14 | Famalicao | L 1-2 | 1863 | 1907 | 30.8% | 33.4% | 35.8% | -5.8 | 32 |
| 2026-03-14 | @ Vitoria Guimaraes | W 2-1 | 1907 | 1863 | 35.8% | 33.4% | 30.8% | +5.8 | 42 |
| 2026-03-15 | Santa Clara | L 0-1 | 1682 | 1829 | 21.0% | 27.6% | 51.3% | -4.3 | 10 |
| 2026-03-15 | @ AVS | W 1-0 | 1829 | 1682 | 51.3% | 27.6% | 21.0% | +4.3 | 25 |
| 2026-03-15 | Estoril | L 0-1 | 1799 | 1878 | 26.7% | 32.3% | 41.0% | -5.5 | 22 |
| 2026-03-15 | @ Nacional | W 1-0 | 1878 | 1799 | 41.0% | 32.3% | 26.7% | +5.5 | 37 |
| 2026-03-15 | Moreirense | W 3-0 | 2100 | 1852 | 74.0% | 12.4% | 13.6% | +6.1 | 69 |
| 2026-03-15 | @ Porto | L 0-3 | 1852 | 2100 | 13.6% | 12.4% | 74.0% | -6.1 | 35 |
| 2026-03-15 | Estrela da Amadora | W 2-1 | 1764 | 1745 | 39.8% | 32.7% | 27.5% | +5.3 | 27 |
| 2026-03-15 | @ Rio Ave | L 1-2 | 1745 | 1764 | 27.5% | 32.7% | 39.8% | -5.4 | 25 |
| 2026-03-20 | Casa Pia | W 4-0 | 1740 | 1794 | 29.5% | 33.2% | 37.4% | +25.2 | 28 |
| 2026-03-20 | @ Estrela da Amadora | L 0-4 | 1794 | 1740 | 37.4% | 33.2% | 29.5% | -25.2 | 24 |
| 2026-03-21 | Vitoria Guimaraes | W 3-0 | 2124 | 1858 | 76.5% | 10.7% | 12.8% | +5.6 | 65 |
| 2026-03-21 | @ Benfica | L 0-3 | 1858 | 2124 | 12.8% | 10.7% | 76.5% | -5.6 | 32 |
| 2026-03-21 | Nacional | W 1-0 | 1913 | 1794 | 55.0% | 25.4% | 19.6% | +3.9 | 45 |
| 2026-03-21 | @ Famalicao | L 0-1 | 1794 | 1913 | 19.6% | 25.4% | 55.0% | -4.0 | 22 |
| 2026-03-21 | Arouca | L 0-1 | 1846 | 1803 | 43.5% | 31.5% | 25.0% | -7.8 | 35 |
| 2026-03-21 | @ Moreirense | W 1-0 | 1803 | 1846 | 25.0% | 31.5% | 43.5% | +7.8 | 29 |
| 2026-03-21 | Gil Vicente | W 1-0 | 1833 | 1911 | 26.8% | 32.4% | 40.8% | +7.5 | 28 |
| 2026-03-21 | @ Santa Clara | L 0-1 | 1911 | 1833 | 40.8% | 32.4% | 26.8% | -7.5 | 42 |
| 2026-03-21 | AVS | D 0-0 | 1759 | 1678 | 49.2% | 28.8% | 22.0% | -1.1 | 20 |
| 2026-03-21 | @ Tondela | D 0-0 | 1678 | 1759 | 22.0% | 28.8% | 49.2% | +1.1 | 11 |
| 2026-03-22 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | L 1-4 | 1792 | 2158 | 10.8% | 7.2% | 82.0% | -3.7 | 29 |
| 2026-03-22 | @ Alverca | W 4-1 | 2158 | 1792 | 82.0% | 7.2% | 10.8% | +3.7 | 65 |
| 2026-03-22 | Porto | L 1-2 | 2023 | 2106 | 26.2% | 32.1% | 41.8% | -5.1 | 46 |
| 2026-03-22 | @ Braga | W 2-1 | 2106 | 2023 | 41.8% | 32.1% | 26.2% | +5.1 | 72 |
| 2026-03-22 | Rio Ave | L 1-2 | 1884 | 1769 | 54.4% | 25.8% | 19.8% | -8.5 | 37 |
| 2026-03-22 | @ Estoril | W 2-1 | 1769 | 1884 | 19.8% | 25.8% | 54.4% | +8.5 | 30 |
| 2026-04-03 | AVS | W 3-0 | 1904 | 1679 | 70.8% | 14.6% | 14.6% | +6.8 | 45 |
| 2026-04-03 | @ Gil Vicente | L 0-3 | 1679 | 1904 | 14.6% | 14.6% | 70.8% | -6.8 | 11 |
| 2026-04-03 | Santa Clara | W 4-2 | 2162 | 1841 | 82.7% | 6.8% | 10.5% | +2.3 | 68 |
| 2026-04-03 | @ Sporting Clube de Portugal | L 2-4 | 1841 | 2162 | 10.5% | 6.8% | 82.7% | -2.3 | 28 |
| 2026-04-03 | Tondela | W 5-0 | 1852 | 1757 | 51.3% | 27.7% | 21.0% | +19.1 | 35 |
| 2026-04-03 | @ Vitoria Guimaraes | L 0-5 | 1757 | 1852 | 21.0% | 27.7% | 51.3% | -19.2 | 20 |
| 2026-04-04 | Braga | L 0-1 | 1839 | 2017 | 19.1% | 24.6% | 56.3% | -3.8 | 35 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ Moreirense | W 1-0 | 2017 | 1839 | 56.3% | 24.6% | 19.1% | +3.8 | 49 |
| 2026-04-04 | Estrela da Amadora | W 2-0 | 1790 | 1765 | 40.7% | 32.4% | 26.9% | +10.5 | 25 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ Nacional | L 0-2 | 1765 | 1790 | 26.9% | 32.4% | 40.7% | -10.5 | 28 |
| 2026-04-04 | Famalicao | D 2-2 | 2111 | 1917 | 66.5% | 17.5% | 15.9% | -1.4 | 73 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ Porto | D 2-2 | 1917 | 2111 | 15.9% | 17.5% | 66.5% | +1.4 | 46 |
| 2026-04-04 | Alverca | L 1-2 | 1778 | 1788 | 35.5% | 33.4% | 31.0% | -6.4 | 30 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ Rio Ave | W 2-1 | 1788 | 1778 | 31.0% | 33.4% | 35.5% | +6.4 | 32 |
| 2026-04-06 | Estoril | W 3-2 | 1811 | 1875 | 28.2% | 32.9% | 38.9% | +6.5 | 32 |
| 2026-04-06 | @ Arouca | L 2-3 | 1875 | 1811 | 38.9% | 32.9% | 28.2% | -6.5 | 37 |
| 2026-04-06 | Benfica | D 1-1 | 1769 | 2130 | 11.0% | 7.5% | 81.5% | +2.5 | 25 |
| 2026-04-06 | @ Casa Pia | D 1-1 | 2130 | 1769 | 81.5% | 7.5% | 11.0% | -2.5 | 66 |
| 2026-04-10 | Moreirense | D 1-1 | 1918 | 1835 | 49.6% | 28.6% | 21.8% | -1.0 | 47 |
| 2026-04-10 | @ Famalicao | D 1-1 | 1835 | 1918 | 21.8% | 28.6% | 49.6% | +1.0 | 36 |
| 2026-04-11 | Vitoria Guimaraes | D 1-1 | 1672 | 1871 | 18.1% | 22.6% | 59.3% | +1.5 | 12 |
| 2026-04-11 | @ AVS | D 1-1 | 1871 | 1672 | 59.3% | 22.6% | 18.1% | -1.5 | 36 |
| 2026-04-11 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | L 0-1 | 1755 | 2164 | 9.1% | 4.7% | 86.2% | -1.3 | 28 |
| 2026-04-11 | @ Estrela da Amadora | W 1-0 | 2164 | 1755 | 86.2% | 4.7% | 9.1% | +1.3 | 71 |
| 2026-04-11 | Rio Ave | L 0-2 | 1839 | 1771 | 47.1% | 29.9% | 23.0% | -15.5 | 28 |
| 2026-04-11 | @ Santa Clara | W 2-0 | 1771 | 1839 | 23.0% | 29.9% | 47.1% | +15.5 | 33 |
| 2026-04-12 | Casa Pia | W 3-1 | 1794 | 1771 | 40.4% | 32.5% | 27.1% | +9.2 | 35 |
| 2026-04-12 | @ Alverca | L 1-3 | 1771 | 1794 | 27.1% | 32.5% | 40.4% | -9.1 | 25 |
| 2026-04-12 | Nacional | W 2-0 | 2128 | 1800 | 83.3% | 6.4% | 10.3% | +2.8 | 69 |
| 2026-04-12 | @ Benfica | L 0-2 | 1800 | 2128 | 10.3% | 6.4% | 83.3% | -2.8 | 25 |
| 2026-04-12 | Arouca | W 1-0 | 2021 | 1817 | 67.9% | 16.6% | 15.5% | +2.7 | 52 |
| 2026-04-12 | @ Braga | L 0-1 | 1817 | 2021 | 15.5% | 16.6% | 67.9% | -2.7 | 32 |
| 2026-04-12 | Porto | L 1-3 | 1869 | 2110 | 16.2% | 18.1% | 65.7% | -4.8 | 37 |
| 2026-04-12 | @ Estoril | W 3-1 | 2110 | 1869 | 65.7% | 18.1% | 16.2% | +4.8 | 76 |
| 2026-04-13 | Gil Vicente | D 2-2 | 1738 | 1910 | 19.5% | 25.3% | 55.2% | +1.0 | 21 |
| 2026-04-13 | @ Tondela | D 2-2 | 1910 | 1738 | 55.2% | 25.3% | 19.5% | -1.0 | 46 |
| 2026-04-17 | AVS | D 2-2 | 1787 | 1674 | 54.2% | 25.9% | 19.9% | -1.0 | 34 |
| 2026-04-17 | @ Rio Ave | D 2-2 | 1674 | 1787 | 19.9% | 25.9% | 54.2% | +1.0 | 13 |
| 2026-04-18 | Santa Clara | D 0-0 | 1762 | 1823 | 28.6% | 33.0% | 38.3% | +0.4 | 26 |
| 2026-04-18 | @ Casa Pia | D 0-0 | 1823 | 1762 | 38.3% | 33.0% | 28.6% | -0.4 | 29 |
| 2026-04-18 | Vitoria Guimaraes | L 0-1 | 1909 | 1870 | 43.0% | 31.7% | 25.4% | -7.7 | 46 |
| 2026-04-18 | @ Gil Vicente | W 1-0 | 1870 | 1909 | 25.4% | 31.7% | 43.0% | +7.7 | 39 |
| 2026-04-18 | Alverca | W 1-0 | 1798 | 1803 | 36.2% | 33.4% | 30.5% | +6.1 | 28 |
| 2026-04-18 | @ Nacional | L 0-1 | 1803 | 1798 | 30.5% | 33.4% | 36.2% | -6.1 | 35 |
| 2026-04-19 | Estrela da Amadora | W 1-0 | 1814 | 1753 | 46.2% | 30.3% | 23.5% | +4.9 | 35 |
| 2026-04-19 | @ Arouca | L 0-1 | 1753 | 1814 | 23.5% | 30.3% | 46.2% | -4.9 | 28 |
| 2026-04-19 | Famalicao | D 2-2 | 2024 | 1917 | 53.2% | 26.5% | 20.2% | -0.9 | 53 |
| 2026-04-19 | @ Braga | D 2-2 | 1917 | 2024 | 20.2% | 26.5% | 53.2% | +0.9 | 48 |
| 2026-04-19 | Tondela | W 2-0 | 2115 | 1739 | 87.7% | 3.9% | 8.4% | +2.2 | 79 |
| 2026-04-19 | @ Porto | L 0-2 | 1739 | 2115 | 8.4% | 3.9% | 87.7% | -2.2 | 21 |
| 2026-04-19 | Benfica | L 1-2 | 2165 | 2130 | 42.2% | 31.9% | 25.8% | -7.2 | 71 |
| 2026-04-19 | @ Sporting Clube de Portugal | W 2-1 | 2130 | 2165 | 25.8% | 31.9% | 42.2% | +7.2 | 72 |
| 2026-04-20 | Estoril | W 1-0 | 1836 | 1864 | 32.9% | 33.6% | 33.6% | +6.6 | 39 |
| 2026-04-20 | @ Moreirense | L 0-1 | 1864 | 1836 | 33.6% | 33.6% | 32.9% | -6.6 | 37 |
| 2026-04-23 | Braga | L 0-1 | 1763 | 2023 | 15.3% | 16.2% | 68.5% | -2.7 | 26 |
| 2026-04-23 | @ Casa Pia | W 1-0 | 2023 | 1763 | 68.5% | 16.2% | 15.3% | +2.7 | 56 |
| 2026-04-24 | Arouca | W 2-1 | 1797 | 1819 | 33.8% | 33.6% | 32.7% | +6.1 | 38 |
| 2026-04-24 | @ Alverca | L 1-2 | 1819 | 1797 | 32.7% | 33.6% | 33.8% | -6.1 | 35 |
| 2026-04-25 | Moreirense | W 4-1 | 2138 | 1842 | 79.9% | 8.5% | 11.6% | +4.1 | 75 |
| 2026-04-25 | @ Benfica | L 1-4 | 1842 | 2138 | 11.6% | 8.5% | 79.9% | -4.1 | 39 |
| 2026-04-25 | Nacional | L 0-2 | 1737 | 1804 | 28.0% | 32.8% | 39.2% | -10.9 | 21 |
| 2026-04-25 | @ Tondela | W 2-0 | 1804 | 1737 | 39.2% | 32.8% | 28.0% | +10.8 | 31 |
| 2026-04-25 | Rio Ave | W 2-0 | 1877 | 1786 | 50.8% | 27.9% | 21.2% | +8.3 | 42 |
| 2026-04-25 | @ Vitoria Guimaraes | L 0-2 | 1786 | 1877 | 21.2% | 27.9% | 50.8% | -8.3 | 34 |
| 2026-04-26 | Famalicao | L 0-1 | 1857 | 1918 | 28.7% | 33.0% | 38.3% | -5.9 | 37 |
| 2026-04-26 | @ Estoril | W 1-0 | 1918 | 1857 | 38.3% | 33.0% | 28.7% | +5.9 | 51 |
| 2026-04-26 | Porto | L 1-2 | 1748 | 2117 | 10.7% | 7.0% | 82.2% | -1.5 | 28 |
| 2026-04-26 | @ Estrela da Amadora | W 2-1 | 2117 | 1748 | 82.2% | 7.0% | 10.7% | +1.5 | 82 |
| 2026-04-26 | Braga | W 2-1 | 1823 | 2026 | 17.9% | 22.1% | 60.0% | +9.0 | 32 |
| 2026-04-26 | @ Santa Clara | L 1-2 | 2026 | 1823 | 60.0% | 22.1% | 17.9% | -9.0 | 56 |
| 2026-04-26 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | D 1-1 | 1675 | 2158 | 6.5% | 2.1% | 91.5% | +2.9 | 14 |
| 2026-04-26 | @ AVS | D 1-1 | 2158 | 1675 | 91.5% | 2.1% | 6.5% | -2.9 | 72 |
| 2026-04-27 | Casa Pia | W 2-1 | 1902 | 1760 | 58.6% | 23.1% | 18.4% | +3.4 | 49 |
| 2026-04-27 | @ Gil Vicente | L 1-2 | 1760 | 1902 | 18.4% | 23.1% | 58.6% | -3.4 | 26 |
| 2026-04-29 | Tondela | D 2-2 | 2155 | 1726 | 91.3% | 2.1% | 6.5% | -2.2 | 73 |
| 2026-04-29 | @ Sporting Clube de Portugal | D 2-2 | 1726 | 2155 | 6.5% | 2.1% | 91.3% | +2.2 | 22 |
| 2026-05-02 | Santa Clara | D 2-2 | 1813 | 1832 | 34.3% | 33.5% | 32.2% | -0.1 | 36 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ Arouca | D 2-2 | 1832 | 1813 | 32.2% | 33.5% | 34.3% | +0.1 | 33 |
| 2026-05-02 | Benfica | D 2-2 | 1924 | 2142 | 17.2% | 20.6% | 62.2% | +1.3 | 52 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ Famalicao | D 2-2 | 2142 | 1924 | 62.2% | 20.6% | 17.2% | -1.3 | 76 |
| 2026-05-02 | Estrela da Amadora | W 3-2 | 1838 | 1747 | 50.8% | 27.9% | 21.2% | +3.9 | 42 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ Moreirense | L 2-3 | 1747 | 1838 | 21.2% | 27.9% | 50.8% | -3.9 | 28 |
| 2026-05-02 | AVS | L 1-2 | 1815 | 1678 | 57.8% | 23.6% | 18.6% | -8.8 | 31 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ Nacional | W 2-1 | 1678 | 1815 | 18.6% | 23.6% | 57.8% | +8.8 | 17 |
| 2026-05-02 | Alverca | W 1-0 | 2118 | 1803 | 82.1% | 7.1% | 10.8% | +1.6 | 85 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ Porto | L 0-1 | 1803 | 2118 | 10.8% | 7.1% | 82.1% | -1.6 | 38 |
| 2026-05-03 | Estoril | D 1-1 | 2017 | 1852 | 62.1% | 20.6% | 17.2% | -1.7 | 57 |
| 2026-05-03 | @ Braga | D 1-1 | 1852 | 2017 | 17.2% | 20.6% | 62.1% | +1.7 | 38 |
| 2026-05-03 | Tondela | L 0-1 | 1757 | 1728 | 41.2% | 32.3% | 26.5% | -7.5 | 26 |
| 2026-05-03 | @ Casa Pia | W 1-0 | 1728 | 1757 | 26.5% | 32.3% | 41.2% | +7.5 | 25 |
| 2026-05-03 | Gil Vicente | D 0-0 | 1778 | 1905 | 22.4% | 29.3% | 48.4% | +1.1 | 35 |
| 2026-05-03 | @ Rio Ave | D 0-0 | 1905 | 1778 | 48.4% | 29.3% | 22.4% | -1.1 | 50 |
| 2026-05-04 | Vitoria Guimaraes | W 5-1 | 2153 | 1886 | 76.5% | 10.7% | 12.8% | +6.0 | 76 |
| 2026-05-04 | @ Sporting Clube de Portugal | L 1-5 | 1886 | 2153 | 12.8% | 10.7% | 76.5% | -6.1 | 42 |
| 2026-05-10 | Estoril | D 1-1 | 1802 | 1853 | 29.8% | 33.3% | 36.9% | +0.2 | 39 |
| 2026-05-10 | @ Alverca | D 1-1 | 1853 | 1802 | 36.9% | 33.3% | 29.8% | -0.2 | 39 |
| 2026-05-10 | Porto | W 3-1 | 1687 | 2120 | 8.2% | 3.7% | 88.2% | +19.4 | 20 |
| 2026-05-10 | @ AVS | L 1-3 | 2120 | 1687 | 88.2% | 3.7% | 8.2% | -19.4 | 85 |
| 2026-05-11 | Braga | D 2-2 | 2140 | 2015 | 56.1% | 24.7% | 19.2% | -1.0 | 77 |
| 2026-05-11 | @ Benfica | D 2-2 | 2015 | 2140 | 19.2% | 24.7% | 56.1% | +1.0 | 58 |
| 2026-05-11 | Famalicao | D 0-0 | 1743 | 1925 | 18.9% | 24.3% | 56.8% | +1.6 | 29 |
| 2026-05-11 | @ Estrela da Amadora | D 0-0 | 1925 | 1743 | 56.8% | 24.3% | 18.9% | -1.6 | 53 |
| 2026-05-11 | Arouca | L 1-3 | 1904 | 1813 | 50.7% | 28.0% | 21.3% | -14.1 | 50 |
| 2026-05-11 | @ Gil Vicente | W 3-1 | 1813 | 1904 | 21.3% | 28.0% | 50.7% | +14.1 | 39 |
| 2026-05-11 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | L 1-4 | 1779 | 2159 | 10.2% | 6.3% | 83.5% | -3.5 | 35 |
| 2026-05-11 | @ Rio Ave | W 4-1 | 2159 | 1779 | 83.5% | 6.3% | 10.2% | +3.5 | 79 |
| 2026-05-11 | Nacional | W 2-0 | 1832 | 1806 | 40.9% | 32.4% | 26.7% | +10.5 | 36 |
| 2026-05-11 | @ Santa Clara | L 0-2 | 1806 | 1832 | 26.7% | 32.4% | 40.9% | -10.5 | 31 |
| 2026-05-11 | Moreirense | W 2-0 | 1736 | 1842 | 24.1% | 30.8% | 45.1% | +15.1 | 28 |
| 2026-05-11 | @ Tondela | L 0-2 | 1842 | 1736 | 45.1% | 30.8% | 24.1% | -15.1 | 42 |
| 2026-05-11 | Casa Pia | L 0-1 | 1880 | 1749 | 56.8% | 24.2% | 18.9% | -9.3 | 42 |
| 2026-05-11 | @ Vitoria Guimaraes | W 1-0 | 1749 | 1880 | 18.9% | 24.2% | 56.8% | +9.3 | 29 |
| 2026-05-16 | Tondela | W 3-1 | 1827 | 1751 | 48.5% | 29.2% | 22.3% | +7.6 | 42 |
| 2026-05-16 | @ Arouca | L 1-3 | 1751 | 1827 | 22.3% | 29.2% | 48.5% | -7.6 | 28 |
| 2026-05-16 | Estrela da Amadora | D 2-2 | 2016 | 1744 | 77.1% | 10.3% | 12.6% | -1.8 | 59 |
| 2026-05-16 | @ Braga | D 2-2 | 1744 | 2016 | 12.6% | 10.3% | 77.1% | +1.7 | 30 |
| 2026-05-16 | Rio Ave | D 1-1 | 1758 | 1775 | 34.5% | 33.5% | 32.0% | -0.1 | 30 |
| 2026-05-16 | @ Casa Pia | D 1-1 | 1775 | 1758 | 32.0% | 33.5% | 34.5% | +0.1 | 36 |
| 2026-05-16 | Benfica | L 1-3 | 1853 | 2139 | 14.2% | 13.6% | 72.2% | -3.9 | 39 |
| 2026-05-16 | @ Estoril | W 3-1 | 2139 | 1853 | 72.2% | 13.6% | 14.2% | +3.9 | 80 |
| 2026-05-16 | Alverca | W 1-0 | 1923 | 1802 | 55.5% | 25.1% | 19.4% | +3.9 | 56 |
| 2026-05-16 | @ Famalicao | L 0-1 | 1802 | 1923 | 19.4% | 25.1% | 55.5% | -3.9 | 39 |
| 2026-05-16 | AVS | D 0-0 | 1827 | 1706 | 55.4% | 25.2% | 19.4% | -1.5 | 43 |
| 2026-05-16 | @ Moreirense | D 0-0 | 1706 | 1827 | 19.4% | 25.2% | 55.4% | +1.5 | 21 |
| 2026-05-16 | Vitoria Guimaraes | W 2-0 | 1795 | 1870 | 27.1% | 32.5% | 40.4% | +14.0 | 34 |
| 2026-05-16 | @ Nacional | L 0-2 | 1870 | 1795 | 40.4% | 32.5% | 27.1% | -14.0 | 42 |
| 2026-05-16 | Santa Clara | W 1-0 | 2101 | 1842 | 75.4% | 11.5% | 13.2% | +2.1 | 88 |
| 2026-05-16 | @ Porto | L 0-1 | 1842 | 2101 | 13.2% | 11.5% | 75.4% | -2.1 | 36 |
| 2026-05-16 | Gil Vicente | W 3-0 | 2163 | 1890 | 77.2% | 10.2% | 12.6% | +5.4 | 82 |
| 2026-05-16 | @ Sporting Clube de Portugal | L 0-3 | 1890 | 2163 | 12.6% | 10.2% | 77.2% | -5.4 | 50 |
Playoff Game Log
Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Casa Pia | D 0-0 | 1749 | 1758 | 35.7% | 33.4% | 30.9% | -0.2 | 0-0-1 |
| 2026-05-20 | @ Uniao Torreense | D 0-0 | 1758 | 1749 | 30.9% | 33.4% | 35.7% | +0.2 | 0-0-1 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2026-05-10 | 8.15% | @ AVS | 1687 | 3 | Porto | 2120 | 1 |
| 2 | 2026-02-02 | 12.82% | @ Casa Pia | 1784 | 2 | Porto | 2103 | 1 |
| 3 | 2026-02-15 | 15.93% | @ AVS | 1655 | 3 | Estoril | 1901 | 0 |
| 4 | 2025-09-28 | 16.64% | Nacional | 1799 | 1 | @ Braga | 1978 | 0 |
| 5 | 2025-12-27 | 17.84% | Estrela da Amadora | 1773 | 3 | @ Famalicao | 1926 | 2 |
| 6 | 2026-04-26 | 17.90% | @ Santa Clara | 1823 | 2 | Braga | 2026 | 1 |
| 7 | 2025-09-14 | 18.33% | Gil Vicente | 1845 | 1 | @ Braga | 1988 | 0 |
| 8 | 2026-05-02 | 18.60% | AVS | 1678 | 2 | @ Nacional | 1815 | 1 |
| 9 | 2025-11-29 | 18.77% | Tondela | 1764 | 1 | @ Gil Vicente | 1897 | 0 |
| 10 | 2026-05-11 | 18.93% | Casa Pia | 1749 | 1 | @ Vitoria Guimaraes | 1880 | 0 |
| 11 | 2026-03-22 | 19.82% | Rio Ave | 1769 | 2 | @ Estoril | 1884 | 1 |
| 12 | 2025-12-19 | 20.17% | @ Estoril | 1844 | 1 | Braga | 2004 | 0 |
| 13 | 2026-05-11 | 21.28% | Arouca | 1813 | 3 | @ Gil Vicente | 1904 | 1 |
| 14 | 2025-09-27 | 21.98% | Tondela | 1782 | 2 | @ Santa Clara | 1862 | 1 |
| 15 | 2025-08-30 | 22.23% | Porto | 2027 | 2 | @ Sporting Clube de Portugal | 2104 | 1 |
| 16 | 2026-01-04 | 22.43% | @ Alverca | 1791 | 1 | Famalicao | 1917 | 0 |
| 17 | 2026-04-11 | 22.98% | Rio Ave | 1771 | 2 | @ Santa Clara | 1839 | 0 |
| 18 | 2025-11-01 | 23.52% | Estrela da Amadora | 1759 | 5 | @ Casa Pia | 1819 | 3 |
| 19 | 2026-05-11 | 24.05% | @ Tondela | 1736 | 2 | Moreirense | 1842 | 0 |
| 20 | 2025-09-28 | 24.12% | @ Alverca | 1798 | 2 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 1904 | 0 |
| 21 | 2026-02-14 | 24.37% | @ Gil Vicente | 1920 | 2 | Braga | 2023 | 1 |
| 22 | 2025-08-30 | 24.88% | Nacional | 1793 | 2 | @ Casa Pia | 1838 | 0 |
| 23 | 2026-03-21 | 25.02% | Arouca | 1803 | 1 | @ Moreirense | 1846 | 0 |
| 24 | 2026-04-18 | 25.35% | Vitoria Guimaraes | 1870 | 1 | @ Gil Vicente | 1909 | 0 |
| 25 | 2026-02-07 | 25.40% | @ Arouca | 1793 | 3 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 1884 | 2 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2026-02-01 | 29.79 | @ Gil Vicente | 5 | 1885 | 31.44% | Famalicao | 0 | 1924 | 35.08% | |
| 2 | 2026-02-15 | 27.85 | @ AVS | 3 | 1655 | 15.93% | Estoril | 0 | 1901 | 66.46% | |
| 3 | 2026-03-20 | 25.20 | @ Estrela da Amadora | 4 | 1740 | 29.46% | Casa Pia | 0 | 1794 | 37.35% | |
| 4 | 2025-11-01 | 25.06 | Estoril | 4 | 1835 | 29.72% | @ Rio Ave | 0 | 1836 | 37.03% | |
| 5 | 2026-01-19 | 24.50 | Estoril | 5 | 1860 | 40.81% | @ Estrela da Amadora | 0 | 1783 | 26.80% | |
| 6 | 2026-01-25 | 22.11 | @ Nacional | 4 | 1802 | 35.83% | Rio Ave | 0 | 1810 | 30.76% | |
| 7 | 2025-10-24 | 21.70 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 1872 | 36.74% | @ Alverca | 0 | 1822 | 29.96% | |
| 8 | 2026-01-31 | 19.94 | Arouca | 3 | 1773 | 27.96% | @ Rio Ave | 0 | 1788 | 39.22% | |
| 9 | 2026-05-10 | 19.42 | @ AVS | 3 | 1687 | 8.15% | Porto | 1 | 2120 | 88.16% | |
| 10 | 2026-04-03 | 19.15 | @ Vitoria Guimaraes | 5 | 1852 | 51.30% | Tondela | 0 | 1757 | 21.03% | |
| 11 | 2025-12-14 | 18.40 | @ Famalicao | 4 | 1910 | 44.27% | Estoril | 0 | 1862 | 24.56% | |
| 12 | 2026-02-21 | 17.80 | @ Arouca | 3 | 1794 | 33.36% | Nacional | 0 | 1820 | 33.09% | |
| 13 | 2025-08-10 | 15.83 | @ Famalicao | 3 | 1886 | 39.00% | Santa Clara | 0 | 1872 | 28.13% | |
| 14 | 2026-04-11 | 15.50 | Rio Ave | 2 | 1771 | 22.98% | @ Santa Clara | 0 | 1839 | 47.13% | |
| 15 | 2025-10-05 | 15.22 | @ Rio Ave | 3 | 1815 | 40.80% | Tondela | 0 | 1789 | 26.81% | |
| 16 | 2026-05-11 | 15.07 | @ Tondela | 2 | 1736 | 24.05% | Moreirense | 0 | 1842 | 45.15% | |
| 17 | 2025-09-28 | 15.05 | @ Alverca | 2 | 1798 | 24.12% | Vitoria Guimaraes | 0 | 1904 | 45.03% | |
| 18 | 2025-09-27 | 14.90 | @ Estrela da Amadora | 3 | 1758 | 41.79% | AVS | 0 | 1726 | 26.13% | |
| 19 | 2025-08-30 | 14.76 | Nacional | 2 | 1793 | 24.88% | @ Casa Pia | 0 | 1838 | 43.73% | |
| 20 | 2026-05-11 | 14.09 | Arouca | 3 | 1813 | 21.28% | @ Gil Vicente | 1 | 1904 | 50.73% | |
| 21 | 2026-05-16 | 14.01 | @ Nacional | 2 | 1795 | 27.07% | Vitoria Guimaraes | 0 | 1870 | 40.43% | |
| 22 | 2025-09-14 | 13.76 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1824 | 27.83% | @ Arouca | 0 | 1840 | 39.39% | |
| 23 | 2025-11-29 | 13.66 | Alverca | 2 | 1797 | 28.17% | @ Casa Pia | 0 | 1810 | 38.96% | |
| 24 | 2026-03-08 | 13.53 | @ Santa Clara | 2 | 1816 | 28.61% | Vitoria Guimaraes | 0 | 1877 | 38.39% | |
| 25 | 2026-02-20 | 13.41 | Tondela | 2 | 1752 | 29.02% | @ Estrela da Amadora | 0 | 1758 | 37.88% | |