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1932-33 Divizia A Season

84 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Ripensia Timisoara

20 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Universitatea Cluj

3.98 points above expected

18 points · 14.02 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Brasovia Brasov

5.43 points below expected

1 points · 6.43 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Ripensia Timisoara 12 10 0 2 20 49 10 +39 16.04 +3.96
2 Rapid Bucuresti 12 8 1 3 17 34 15 +19 16.46 +0.54
3 Crisana Oradea 12 7 1 4 15 22 22 0 12.49 +2.51
4 AFC Gloria Arad 12 6 1 5 13 21 23 -2 12.82 +0.18
5 Tricolor Ploiesti 12 3 3 6 9 15 27 -12 11.13 -2.13
6 Victoria Cluj 12 2 2 8 6 11 25 -14 8.66 -2.66
7 Soimii Sibiu 12 1 2 9 4 7 37 -30 6.40 -2.40
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Universitatea Cluj 12 8 2 2 18 25 15 +10 14.02 +3.98
2 CA Oradea 12 8 1 3 17 30 18 +12 14.22 +2.78
3 Venus Bucuresti 12 6 4 2 16 34 17 +17 16.76 -0.76
4 Unirea Tricolor 12 7 2 3 16 31 21 +10 12.91 +3.09
5 CAM Timisoara 12 3 2 7 8 17 27 -10 10.27 -2.27
6 AMEF Arad 12 4 0 8 8 17 35 -18 9.39 -1.39
7 Brasovia Brasov 12 0 1 11 1 10 31 -21 6.43 -5.43

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Universitatea Cluj 18 14.02 +3.98
2 Ripensia Timisoara 20 16.04 +3.96
3 Unirea Tricolor 16 12.91 +3.09
4 CA Oradea 17 14.22 +2.78
5 Crisana Oradea 15 12.49 +2.51

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Brasovia Brasov 1 6.43 -5.43
2 Victoria Cluj 6 8.66 -2.66
3 Soimii Sibiu 4 6.40 -2.40
4 CAM Timisoara 8 10.27 -2.27
5 Tricolor Ploiesti 9 11.13 -2.13

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Soimii Sibiu 1 Mar 12 – Mar 12 1 in 85
2 Unirea Tricolor 3 Jun 18 – Jul 5 1 in 19
3 AFC Gloria Arad 4 Jan 30 – May 7 1 in 14
4 Rapid Bucuresti 3 Sep 11 – Oct 3 1 in 12
5 CA Oradea 3 Sep 11 – Oct 3 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rapid Bucuresti 2 Mar 12 – Apr 2 1 in 135
2 Soimii Sibiu 6 Sep 11 – Jan 30 1 in 25
3 AFC Gloria Arad 3 May 29 – Jun 25 1 in 20
4 Brasovia Brasov 7 Nov 6 – Jul 2 1 in 12
5 Victoria Cluj 2 Sep 11 – Sep 25 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rapid Bucuresti 6 Sep 11 – Nov 13 1 in 9
2 Venus Bucuresti 5 Sep 18 – Nov 6 1 in 7
3 Universitatea Cluj 5 Nov 6 – Apr 2 1 in 7
4 Soimii Sibiu 1 Mar 12 – Mar 12 1 in 7
5 AFC Gloria Arad 5 Nov 13 – May 7 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Venus Bucuresti 4 Apr 9 – Jun 25 1 in 57
2 Tricolor Ploiesti 8 Oct 3 – Jun 18 1 in 41
3 Brasovia Brasov 12 Sep 11 – Jul 2 1 in 26
4 Rapid Bucuresti 2 Mar 12 – Apr 2 1 in 9
5 AFC Gloria Arad 3 May 29 – Jun 25 1 in 7

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Ripensia Timisoara 1631 20 +140 10 8.0 +2.0
Universitatea Cluj 1435 18 +57 7 5.5 +1.5
CA Oradea 1424 17 +34 7 6.3 +0.7
Rapid Bucuresti 1481 17 +31 6 6.2 -0.2
Unirea Tricolor 1520 16 +198 8 5.2 +2.8
Venus Bucuresti 1416 16 -106 5 7.3 -2.3
Crisana Oradea 1365 15 +95 6 4.3 +1.7
AFC Gloria Arad 1165 13 -189 4 5.7 -1.7
Tricolor Ploiesti 1207 9 -31 2 2.9 -0.9
AMEF Arad 1088 8 -64 4 4.2 -0.2
CAM Timisoara 1094 8 -41 3 3.6 -0.6
Victoria Cluj 1088 6 -42 3 4.0 -1.0
Soimii Sibiu 972 4 -38 2 2.6 -0.6
Brasovia Brasov 932 1 -93 0 2.2 -2.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Group A

Team AGA CO RB RT SS TP VC
AFC Gloria Arad —
0-0-2
3.07
1-0-1
2.18
1-0-1
1.50
2-0-0
4.81
0-1-1
3.64
2-0-0
3.22
Crisana Oradea
2-0-0
2.64
 —
0-1-1
1.94
0-0-2
1.72
2-0-0
4.04
1-0-1
3.57
2-0-0
3.54
Rapid Bucuresti
1-0-1
3.52
1-1-0
3.76
 —
1-0-1
2.78
1-0-1
5.07
2-0-0
3.13
2-0-0
4.81
Ripensia Timisoara
1-0-1
4.20
2-0-0
3.98
1-0-1
2.92
 —
2-0-0
3.77
2-0-0
4.02
2-0-0
4.55
Soimii Sibiu
0-0-2
0.89
0-0-2
1.67
1-0-1
0.65
0-0-2
1.94
 —
0-1-1
1.85
0-1-1
1.89
Tricolor Ploiesti
1-1-0
2.06
1-0-1
2.13
0-0-2
2.57
0-0-2
1.69
1-1-0
3.85
 —
0-1-1
3.63
Victoria Cluj
0-0-2
2.49
0-0-2
2.17
0-0-2
0.90
0-0-2
1.15
1-1-0
3.82
1-1-0
2.08
 —

Group B

Team AA BB CO CT UT UC VB
AMEF Arad —
2-0-0
2.98
1-0-1
1.63
1-0-1
2.70
0-0-2
1.85
0-0-2
2.19
0-0-2
2.01
Brasovia Brasov
0-0-2
2.73
 —
0-0-2
1.68
0-0-2
1.98
0-0-2
1.42
0-0-2
0.86
0-1-1
0.63
CA Oradea
1-0-1
4.08
2-0-0
4.03
 —
2-0-0
3.78
1-0-1
3.33
2-0-0
2.86
0-1-1
2.43
CAM Timisoara
1-0-1
3.00
2-0-0
3.73
0-0-2
1.93
 —
0-1-1
2.33
0-0-2
1.70
0-1-1
1.47
Unirea Tricolor
2-0-0
3.85
2-0-0
4.30
1-0-1
2.37
1-1-0
3.38
 —
0-1-1
2.52
1-0-1
1.78
Universitatea Cluj
2-0-0
3.52
2-0-0
4.85
0-0-2
2.85
2-0-0
4.00
1-1-0
3.19
 —
1-1-0
1.93
Venus Bucuresti
2-0-0
3.70
1-1-0
5.08
1-1-0
3.27
1-1-0
4.24
1-0-1
3.93
0-1-1
3.78
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.80 +4.6
Allowed 0.80 -6.7
Differential 0.85 +2.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%5.36%5.95%4.17%2.98%2.38%24.40%
15.36%5.95%4.17%3.57%3.57%2.38%25.00%
25.95%4.17%2.38%4.17%1.79%—18.45%
34.17%3.57%4.17%1.19%1.79%1.19%16.07%
42.98%3.57%1.79%1.79%——10.12%
5+2.38%2.38%—1.19%——5.95%
Total24.40%25.00%18.45%16.07%10.12%5.95%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 1.92 +0.00
SD 1.87 1.87 2.92
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 11 11 +11
Min 0 0 -11

Games Played: 84

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——8.33%8.33%——16.67%
18.33%8.33%8.33%8.33%8.33%—41.67%
2—8.33%————8.33%
3——16.67%———16.67%
48.33%——8.33%——16.67%
5+———————
Total16.67%16.67%33.33%25.00%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 1.92 -0.17
SD 1.42 1.24 2.08
CV 0.81 0.65 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——16.67%—8.33%—25.00%
1———8.33%16.67%8.33%33.33%
216.67%—————16.67%
3——16.67%——8.33%25.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%—33.33%8.33%25.00%16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 2.92 -1.50
SD 1.16 1.98 2.39
CV 0.82 0.68 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——25.00%16.67%——41.67%
1—8.33%8.33%16.67%——33.33%
2———16.67%8.33%—25.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total—8.33%33.33%50.00%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 2.58 -1.75
SD 0.83 0.79 0.87
CV 1.00 0.31 —
Max 2 4 +0
Min 0 1 -3

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%———8.33%25.00%
18.33%—————8.33%
28.33%8.33%—8.33%——25.00%
38.33%—————8.33%
4——16.67%———16.67%
5+8.33%——8.33%——16.67%
Total41.67%16.67%16.67%16.67%—8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 1.50 +1.00
SD 2.20 1.83 2.86
CV 0.88 1.22 —
Max 7 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%8.33%——8.33%33.33%
1——8.33%—8.33%—16.67%
2—8.33%8.33%8.33%8.33%—33.33%
3——8.33%———8.33%
4—8.33%————8.33%
5+———————
Total8.33%25.00%33.33%8.33%16.67%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 2.25 -0.83
SD 1.31 1.48 2.08
CV 0.93 0.66 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.33%——8.33%—16.67%
18.33%8.33%——8.33%8.33%33.33%
216.67%8.33%————25.00%
38.33%—————8.33%
4—8.33%————8.33%
5+—8.33%————8.33%
Total33.33%41.67%——16.67%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 1.83 +0.00
SD 1.53 2.66 3.49
CV 0.83 1.45 —
Max 5 9 +4
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.33%————8.33%
1—8.33%8.33%———16.67%
28.33%8.33%—8.33%——25.00%
38.33%8.33%8.33%———25.00%
48.33%——8.33%——16.67%
5+—8.33%————8.33%
Total25.00%41.67%16.67%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.83 1.25 +1.58
SD 2.29 1.06 2.57
CV 0.81 0.84 —
Max 9 3 +8
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
116.67%—————16.67%
2—8.33%—8.33%——16.67%
316.67%———8.33%—25.00%
48.33%8.33%————16.67%
5+16.67%8.33%————25.00%
Total58.33%25.00%—8.33%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 4.08 0.83 +3.25
SD 3.12 1.34 3.60
CV 0.76 1.60 —
Max 11 4 +11
Min 1 0 -1

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%8.33%8.33%8.33%8.33%50.00%
18.33%8.33%—8.33%—16.67%41.67%
2———8.33%——8.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%16.67%8.33%25.00%8.33%25.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.58 3.08 -2.50
SD 0.67 2.64 2.65
CV 1.15 0.86 —
Max 2 9 +1
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.33%16.67%8.33%—8.33%41.67%
1—25.00%——8.33%—33.33%
2———————
38.33%—————8.33%
48.33%8.33%————16.67%
5+———————
Total16.67%41.67%16.67%8.33%8.33%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 2.25 -1.00
SD 1.54 2.99 3.93
CV 1.24 1.33 —
Max 4 11 +4
Min 0 0 -11

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%—————8.33%
18.33%—————8.33%
28.33%—8.33%—8.33%—25.00%
3—16.67%——8.33%8.33%33.33%
48.33%16.67%————25.00%
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%8.33%—16.67%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.58 1.75 +0.83
SD 1.24 2.18 2.33
CV 0.48 1.25 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.33%————8.33%
116.67%—8.33%———25.00%
28.33%8.33%8.33%———25.00%
38.33%8.33%8.33%8.33%——33.33%
4———8.33%——8.33%
5+———————
Total33.33%25.00%25.00%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.08 1.25 +0.83
SD 1.16 1.14 1.19
CV 0.56 0.91 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%————16.67%
1—8.33%—8.33%——16.67%
28.33%—8.33%———16.67%
3—8.33%—8.33%——16.67%
4——8.33%———8.33%
5+8.33%8.33%—8.33%——25.00%
Total25.00%33.33%16.67%25.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.83 1.42 +1.42
SD 2.25 1.16 2.39
CV 0.79 0.82 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%—16.67%16.67%—50.00%
1—8.33%16.67%———25.00%
28.33%—————8.33%
3—8.33%——8.33%—16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%25.00%16.67%16.67%25.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 2.08 -1.17
SD 1.16 1.51 2.04
CV 1.27 0.72 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 12

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Ripensia Timisoara 1639 20 16.04 +3.96 92.0% 9 12 13 16 18 21 24
Unirea Tricolor 1520 16 12.91 +3.09 88.0% 5 9 11 13 14 19 20
Rapid Bucuresti 1481 17 16.46 +0.54 67.0% 10 12 14 16 18 21 22
Universitatea Cluj 1428 18 14.02 +3.98 91.0% 8 10 12 13 15 19 20
CA Oradea 1424 17 14.22 +2.78 86.0% 8 10 12 14 16 19 21
Venus Bucuresti 1416 16 16.76 -0.76 51.0% 11 13 15 16 19 21 24
Crisana Oradea 1365 15 12.49 +2.51 90.0% 8 8 11 12 14 16 19
Tricolor Ploiesti 1207 9 11.13 -2.13 27.0% 4 7 9 11 13 15 18
AFC Gloria Arad 1165 13 12.82 +0.18 61.0% 7 8 11 13 15 17 20
CAM Timisoara 1094 8 10.27 -2.27 25.0% 2 5 8 10 12 15 18
Victoria Cluj 1088 6 8.66 -2.66 19.0% 1 4 7 8 10 13 16
AMEF Arad 1088 8 9.39 -1.39 42.0% 3 4 8 9 11 15 17
Soimii Sibiu 972 4 6.40 -2.40 28.0% 1 3 4 6 8 11 13
Brasovia Brasov 932 1 6.43 -5.43 2.0% 1 2 5 6 8 10 12

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 20% * Slight Edge: 20% to 34.5% * Clear Edge: 34.5% to 50.5% * Strong Edge: 50.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+25.00%
Slight Edge
55.95%13.10%30.95%
Elo Value
Home Edge
139 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
088.74400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.85 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.64+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.1 * Comfortable: 0.1 to 0.18 * Runaway: 0.18 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.3
Wide Open
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
42%
Ripensia Timisoara, 3rd of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.17/gm
Comfortable
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.2 * Some Luck: 2.2 to 3.3 * Lucky: 3.3 to 4.39 * Wild Swing: 4.39 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.64 * Close: 1.64 to 2.47 * Off: 2.47 to 3.29 * Way Off: 3.29 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.80 points
Some Luck
02.757
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
02.065
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
92.00%
Ripensia Timisoara
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
2.00%
Brasovia Brasov
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.11 * Even: 0.11 to 0.13 * Top-Heavy: 0.13 to 0.16 * Lopsided: 0.16 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.15 * Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.4 * Strong Separation: 1.4 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61% * Slight Edge: 61% to 65% * Clear Edge: 65% to 69.5% * Wide Edge: 69.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 89.5% * Strong Edge: 89.5% to 94% * Dominant: 94% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55% * Some Drama: 55% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 66% * Very Frequent: 66% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14% * Occasional: 14% to 17.5% * Frequent: 17.5% to 21.5% * Very Frequent: 21.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.27
Lopsided
00.110.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 220.66
1.83
Wide Separation
0.751.151.41.82.5
Interquartile Edge
88%
Wide Edge
50%61%69.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
44%
Few
0%39%100%
Blowouts
Expected
33%
Very Frequent
0%39%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.5 * Notable Separation: 0.5 to 0.69 * Lopsided: 0.69 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.37 * Some Carryover: 0.37 to 0.51 * Strong Carryover: 0.51 to 0.66 * Near-Lock: 0.66 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 23.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 23.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 17% * Shaky Favorites: 17% to 20.5% * Very Shaky: 20.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.46
Highly Predictable
00.502
Matchup Imbalance
0.49
Slight Separation
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.08
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
N/A
No prior ratings
00.370.510.661
Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Shaky Favorites
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.23 * Above Noise: 0.23 to 0.31 * Well Above Noise: 0.31 and up.
Probability calibration
0.39
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.06
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.103
Well Within Noise
00.1550.4

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Ripensia Timisoara 5
Universitatea Cluj 3

Leg 1: Universitatea Cluj 0-0 Ripensia Timisoara

Leg 2: Ripensia Timisoara 5-3 Universitatea Cluj

Sim: 6.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567
Ripensia Timisoara42.00%28.00%18.00%9.00%2.00%1.00%—
Rapid Bucuresti45.00%30.00%14.00%10.00%—1.00%—
Crisana Oradea2.00%15.00%29.00%26.00%20.00%8.00%—
AFC Gloria Arad7.00%18.00%24.00%22.00%20.00%8.00%1.00%
Tricolor Ploiesti4.00%7.00%10.00%21.00%35.00%16.00%7.00%
Victoria Cluj—2.00%5.00%9.00%15.00%43.00%26.00%
Soimii Sibiu———3.00%8.00%23.00%66.00%
Team1234567
Universitatea Cluj12.00%23.00%30.00%20.00%11.00%3.00%1.00%
CA Oradea18.00%31.00%18.00%21.00%8.00%4.00%—
Venus Bucuresti55.00%27.00%11.00%6.00%1.00%——
Unirea Tricolor12.00%11.00%22.00%27.00%19.00%7.00%2.00%
CAM Timisoara3.00%5.00%11.00%13.00%31.00%26.00%11.00%
AMEF Arad—3.00%8.00%11.00%21.00%40.00%17.00%
Brasovia Brasov———2.00%9.00%20.00%69.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Qualified for promotion playoff Same level Qualified for relegation playoff
AFC Gloria Arad — 84.00% 9.00%
AMEF Arad 57.00% 43.00% —
Brasovia Brasov 89.00% 11.00% —
CA Oradea 4.00% 78.00% —
CAM Timisoara 37.00% 60.00% —
Crisana Oradea — 90.00% 8.00%
Rapid Bucuresti — 54.00% 1.00%
Ripensia Timisoara — 57.00% 1.00%
Soimii Sibiu — 11.00% 89.00%
Tricolor Ploiesti — 73.00% 23.00%
Unirea Tricolor 9.00% 79.00% —
Universitatea Cluj 4.00% 84.00% —
Venus Bucuresti — 45.00% —
Victoria Cluj — 31.00% 69.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
AFC Gloria AradAMEF AradCA OradeaCrisana OradeaRapid BucurestiRipensia TimisoaraTricolor PloiestiUnirea TricolorUniversitatea ClujVenus Bucuresti
AFC Gloria Arad0.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%
AMEF Arad0.0%1.00%
CA Oradea100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%8.3%12.00%
Crisana Oradea0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%
Rapid Bucuresti100.0%3.00%66.7%3.00%20.0%5.00%73.1%26.00%
Ripensia Timisoara100.0%1.00%91.7%12.00%66.7%3.00%85.7%7.00%78.1%32.00%
Tricolor Ploiesti0.0%1.00%
Unirea Tricolor33.3%3.00%33.3%3.00%
Universitatea Cluj80.0%5.00%14.3%7.00%
Venus Bucuresti100.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%26.9%26.00%21.9%32.00%100.0%1.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1932-09-04 AMEF Arad W 4-136.8 1273 1273 60.25% 14.78% 24.97%+0.64 +50.4 2
1932-09-04 @ Unirea Tricolor L 1-436.8 1273 1273 24.97% 14.78% 60.25%-0.64 -50.4 0
1932-09-11 Soimii Sibiu W 4-031.3 1273 1273 60.25% 14.78% 24.97%+0.64 +78.1 2
1932-09-11 @ Tricolor Ploiesti L 0-431.3 1273 1273 24.97% 14.78% 60.25%-0.64 -78.1 0
1932-09-11 Ripensia Timisoara W 3-244.4 1273 1273 60.25% 14.78% 24.97%+0.64 +19.5 2
1932-09-11 @ Rapid Bucuresti L 2-344.4 1273 1273 24.97% 14.78% 60.25%-0.64 -19.5 0
1932-09-11 AFC Gloria Arad L 1-250.8 1273 1273 60.25% 14.78% 24.97%+0.64 -45.1 0
1932-09-11 @ Victoria Cluj W 2-150.8 1273 1273 24.97% 14.78% 60.25%-0.64 +45.1 2
1932-09-11 Brasovia Brasov W 3-032.6 1273 1273 60.25% 14.78% 24.97%+0.64 +59.8 2
1932-09-11 @ CA Oradea L 0-332.6 1273 1273 24.97% 14.78% 60.25%-0.64 -59.8 0
1932-09-11 Unirea Tricolor D 0-052.4 1273 1323 54.29% 14.79% 30.92%+0.27 -4.9 1
1932-09-11 @ CAM Timisoara D 0-052.4 1323 1273 30.92% 14.79% 54.29%-0.27 +4.9 3
1932-09-11 Universitatea Cluj L 1-347.2 1222 1273 54.29% 14.79% 30.92%+0.27 -70.7 0
1932-09-11 @ AMEF Arad W 3-147.2 1273 1222 30.92% 14.79% 54.29%-0.27 +70.7 2
1932-09-18 AMEF Arad L 0-246.5 1213 1152 66.40% 14.75% 18.85%+1.08 -99.5 0
1932-09-18 @ Brasovia Brasov W 2-046.5 1152 1213 18.85% 14.75% 66.40%-1.08 +99.5 2
1932-09-18 CA Oradea L 1-252.1 1343 1332 61.44% 14.78% 23.79%+0.71 -46.0 2
1932-09-18 @ Universitatea Cluj W 2-152.1 1332 1343 23.79% 14.78% 61.44%-0.71 +46.0 4
1932-09-18 CAM Timisoara W 2-034.3 1273 1268 60.79% 14.78% 24.43%+0.67 +40.4 2
1932-09-18 @ Venus Bucuresti L 0-234.3 1268 1273 24.43% 14.78% 60.79%-0.67 -40.4 1
1932-09-25 Victoria Cluj W 3-031.1 1273 1228 64.90% 14.76% 20.34%+0.96 +49.7 2
1932-09-25 @ Crisana Oradea L 0-331.1 1228 1273 20.34% 14.76% 64.90%-0.96 -49.7 0
1932-09-25 Rapid Bucuresti L 0-345.6 1351 1292 66.15% 14.75% 19.09%+1.06 -144.0 2
1932-09-25 @ Tricolor Ploiesti W 3-045.6 1292 1351 19.09% 14.75% 66.15%-1.06 +144.0 4
1932-09-25 Ripensia Timisoara L 0-340.8 1195 1253 53.25% 14.80% 31.95%+0.22 -116.4 0
1932-09-25 @ Soimii Sibiu W 3-040.8 1253 1195 31.95% 14.80% 53.25%-0.22 +116.4 2
1932-10-02 Crisana Oradea W 4-141.2 1207 1322 45.57% 14.80% 39.64%-0.19 +75.7 4
1932-10-02 @ Tricolor Ploiesti L 1-441.2 1322 1207 39.64% 14.80% 45.57%+0.19 -75.6 2
1932-10-03 Victoria Cluj D 1-154.9 1282 1178 70.00% 14.72% 15.28%+1.39 -10.8 5
1932-10-03 @ Tricolor Ploiesti D 1-154.9 1178 1282 15.28% 14.72% 70.00%-1.39 +10.8 1
1932-10-03 Crisana Oradea L 0-237.9 1078 1247 38.05% 14.79% 47.17%-0.57 -59.6 0
1932-10-03 @ Soimii Sibiu W 2-037.9 1247 1078 47.17% 14.79% 38.05%+0.57 +59.6 4
1932-10-03 AFC Gloria Arad W 3-137.4 1436 1318 71.02% 14.71% 14.27%+1.49 +21.3 6
1932-10-03 @ Rapid Bucuresti L 1-337.4 1318 1436 14.27% 14.71% 71.02%-1.49 -21.3 2
1932-10-03 Unirea Tricolor W 7-339.4 1378 1328 65.40% 14.76% 19.84%+1.00 +40.9 6
1932-10-03 @ CA Oradea L 3-739.4 1328 1378 19.84% 14.76% 65.40%-1.00 -40.9 3
1932-10-03 Brasovia Brasov W 3-240.8 1227 1113 70.71% 14.72% 14.58%+1.46 +11.9 3
1932-10-03 @ CAM Timisoara L 2-340.8 1113 1227 14.58% 14.72% 70.71%-1.46 -11.9 0
1932-10-03 Venus Bucuresti L 3-650.9 1251 1313 52.82% 14.80% 32.39%+0.19 -78.1 2
1932-10-03 @ AMEF Arad W 6-350.9 1313 1251 32.39% 14.80% 52.82%-0.19 +78.1 4
1932-10-23 Soimii Sibiu W 3-238.2 1296 1019 79.28% 14.53% 6.19%+2.63 +5.3 4
1932-10-23 @ AFC Gloria Arad L 2-338.2 1019 1296 6.19% 14.53% 79.28%-2.63 -5.3 0
1932-10-23 Rapid Bucuresti D 1-157.4 1306 1458 40.48% 14.79% 44.73%-0.45 +0.8 5
1932-10-23 @ Crisana Oradea D 1-157.4 1458 1306 44.73% 14.79% 40.48%+0.45 -0.8 7
1932-10-23 Victoria Cluj W 3-028.3 1370 1189 74.98% 14.65% 10.37%+1.93 +26.5 4
1932-10-23 @ Ripensia Timisoara L 0-328.3 1189 1370 10.37% 14.65% 74.98%-1.93 -26.5 1
1932-10-23 Unirea Tricolor L 0-237.3 1101 1287 35.72% 14.78% 49.50%-0.69 -56.5 0
1932-10-23 @ Brasovia Brasov W 2-037.3 1287 1101 49.50% 14.78% 35.72%+0.69 +56.5 5
1932-10-23 CA Oradea W 6-034.7 1391 1419 57.01% 14.79% 28.20%+0.43 +127.5 6
1932-10-23 @ Venus Bucuresti L 0-634.7 1419 1391 28.20% 14.79% 57.01%-0.43 -127.5 6
1932-10-30 Venus Bucuresti D 1-155.3 1045 1519 9.36% 14.51% 76.12%-2.76 +13.5 1
1932-10-30 @ Brasovia Brasov D 1-155.3 1519 1045 76.12% 14.51% 9.36%+2.76 -13.5 7
1932-10-30 AMEF Arad W 4-134.5 1239 1173 66.85% 14.75% 18.40%+1.11 +38.2 5
1932-10-30 @ CAM Timisoara L 1-434.5 1173 1239 18.40% 14.75% 66.85%-1.11 -38.2 2
1932-11-06 AFC Gloria Arad W 2-140.4 1307 1302 60.84% 14.78% 24.38%+0.68 +20.2 7
1932-11-06 @ Crisana Oradea L 1-240.4 1302 1307 24.38% 14.78% 60.84%-0.68 -20.2 4
1932-11-06 Ripensia Timisoara L 0-143.3 1272 1396 44.31% 14.80% 40.89%-0.26 -36.0 5
1932-11-06 @ Tricolor Ploiesti W 1-043.3 1396 1272 40.89% 14.80% 44.31%+0.26 +36.0 6
1932-11-06 Rapid Bucuresti L 1-928.1 1013 1457 10.95% 14.56% 74.49%-2.55 -57.5 0
1932-11-06 @ Soimii Sibiu W 9-128.1 1457 1013 74.49% 14.56% 10.95%+2.55 +57.5 9
1932-11-06 Venus Bucuresti L 2-451.0 1344 1505 39.01% 14.79% 46.20%-0.52 -47.2 5
1932-11-06 @ Unirea Tricolor W 4-251.0 1505 1344 46.20% 14.79% 39.01%+0.52 +47.2 9
1932-11-06 Brasovia Brasov W 3-238.7 1297 1058 77.78% 14.59% 7.63%+2.35 +6.4 4
1932-11-06 @ Universitatea Cluj L 2-338.7 1058 1297 7.63% 14.59% 77.78%-2.35 -6.4 1
1932-11-06 CA Oradea W 3-250.2 1135 1292 39.64% 14.79% 45.57%-0.49 +33.0 4
1932-11-06 @ AMEF Arad L 2-350.2 1292 1135 45.57% 14.79% 39.64%+0.49 -33.0 6
1932-11-13 Tricolor Ploiesti D 1-155.0 1282 1236 64.98% 14.76% 20.26%+0.97 -8.7 5
1932-11-13 @ AFC Gloria Arad D 1-155.0 1236 1282 20.26% 14.76% 64.98%-0.97 +8.7 6
1932-11-13 Victoria Cluj W 2-134.9 1514 1162 81.45% 14.42% 4.13%+3.16 +3.7 11
1932-11-13 @ Rapid Bucuresti L 1-234.9 1162 1514 4.13% 14.42% 81.45%-3.16 -3.7 1
1932-11-13 Crisana Oradea W 9-131.9 1432 1327 70.02% 14.72% 15.26%+1.39 +78.7 8
1932-11-13 @ Ripensia Timisoara L 1-931.9 1327 1432 15.26% 14.72% 70.02%-1.39 -78.7 7
1932-11-13 CAM Timisoara W 5-031.2 1259 1278 58.14% 14.79% 27.07%+0.50 +103.5 8
1932-11-13 @ CA Oradea L 0-531.2 1278 1259 27.07% 14.79% 58.14%-0.50 -103.5 5
1932-11-13 Venus Bucuresti W 1-050.8 1304 1552 27.74% 14.75% 57.51%-1.15 +45.7 6
1932-11-13 @ Universitatea Cluj L 0-150.8 1552 1304 57.51% 14.75% 27.74%+1.15 -45.7 9
1932-11-20 CAM Timisoara W 1-032.2 1350 1174 74.68% 14.66% 10.66%+1.90 +9.9 8
1932-11-20 @ Universitatea Cluj L 0-132.2 1174 1350 10.66% 14.66% 74.68%-1.90 -9.9 5
1933-01-30 Ripensia Timisoara W 4-359.9 1273 1511 29.01% 14.76% 56.24%-1.07 +39.1 7
1933-01-30 @ AFC Gloria Arad L 3-459.9 1511 1273 56.24% 14.76% 29.01%+1.07 -39.1 8
1933-01-30 Soimii Sibiu W 3-133.2 1158 956 76.12% 14.63% 9.25%+2.09 +14.2 3
1933-01-30 @ Victoria Cluj L 1-333.2 956 1158 9.25% 14.63% 76.12%-2.09 -14.1 0
1933-01-30 Universitatea Cluj D 2-260.0 1296 1359 52.66% 14.80% 32.54%+0.18 -2.8 6
1933-01-30 @ Unirea Tricolor D 2-260.0 1359 1296 32.54% 14.80% 52.66%-0.18 +2.8 9
1933-03-12 Soimii Sibiu L 0-154.0 1518 942 84.86% 13.96% 1.18%+4.77 -68.5 11
1933-03-12 @ Rapid Bucuresti W 1-054.0 942 1518 1.18% 13.96% 84.86%-4.77 +68.6 2
1933-03-19 Soimii Sibiu W 5-129.4 1249 1010 77.76% 14.59% 7.66%+2.35 +21.5 9
1933-03-19 @ Crisana Oradea L 1-529.4 1010 1249 7.66% 14.59% 77.76%-2.35 -21.6 2
1933-03-19 AMEF Arad W 6-128.8 1507 1168 81.12% 14.44% 4.44%+3.07 +15.5 11
1933-03-19 @ Venus Bucuresti L 1-628.8 1168 1507 4.44% 14.44% 81.12%-3.07 -15.5 4
1933-04-02 Victoria Cluj W 4-027.4 1312 1173 72.47% 14.69% 12.84%+1.64 +42.3 9
1933-04-02 @ AFC Gloria Arad L 0-427.4 1173 1312 12.84% 14.69% 72.47%-1.64 -42.3 3
1933-04-02 Tricolor Ploiesti D 1-154.6 989 1244 26.91% 14.74% 58.35%-1.20 +6.0 3
1933-04-02 @ Soimii Sibiu D 1-154.6 1244 989 58.35% 14.74% 26.91%+1.20 -5.9 7
1933-04-02 Rapid Bucuresti W 2-146.0 1472 1449 62.64% 14.77% 22.59%+0.80 +18.8 10
1933-04-02 @ Ripensia Timisoara L 1-246.0 1449 1472 22.59% 14.77% 62.64%-0.80 -18.8 11
1933-04-02 CA Oradea L 2-441.0 1052 1362 21.08% 14.70% 64.21%-1.59 -27.3 1
1933-04-02 @ Brasovia Brasov W 4-241.0 1362 1052 64.21% 14.70% 21.08%+1.59 +27.3 10
1933-04-02 CAM Timisoara W 4-133.1 1294 1164 71.80% 14.70% 13.50%+1.57 +28.7 8
1933-04-02 @ Unirea Tricolor L 1-433.1 1164 1294 13.50% 14.70% 71.80%-1.57 -28.7 5
1933-04-02 AMEF Arad W 2-029.5 1362 1152 76.48% 14.62% 8.90%+2.14 +15.8 11
1933-04-02 @ Universitatea Cluj L 0-229.5 1152 1362 8.90% 14.62% 76.48%-2.14 -15.8 4
1933-04-09 Tricolor Ploiesti W 2-030.8 1431 1238 75.59% 14.64% 9.77%+2.02 +17.2 13
1933-04-09 @ Rapid Bucuresti L 0-230.8 1238 1431 9.77% 14.64% 75.59%-2.02 -17.2 7
1933-04-09 Soimii Sibiu W 6-023.1 1491 995 84.01% 14.14% 1.85%+4.20 +9.3 12
1933-04-09 @ Ripensia Timisoara L 0-623.1 995 1491 1.85% 14.14% 84.01%-4.20 -9.3 3
1933-04-09 Crisana Oradea L 0-141.3 1130 1270 42.11% 14.79% 43.10%-0.37 -34.5 3
1933-04-09 @ Victoria Cluj W 1-041.3 1270 1130 43.10% 14.79% 42.11%+0.37 +34.5 11
1933-04-09 Universitatea Cluj W 1-038.5 1390 1378 61.53% 14.78% 23.70%+0.72 +20.8 12
1933-04-09 @ CA Oradea L 0-138.5 1378 1390 23.70% 14.78% 61.53%-0.72 -20.8 11
1933-04-09 Venus Bucuresti D 2-260.0 1135 1522 14.61% 14.63% 70.76%-2.14 +8.3 6
1933-04-09 @ CAM Timisoara D 2-260.0 1522 1135 70.76% 14.63% 14.61%+2.14 -8.3 12
1933-04-09 Brasovia Brasov W 2-030.8 1137 1025 70.54% 14.72% 14.74%+1.44 +25.4 6
1933-04-09 @ AMEF Arad L 0-230.8 1025 1137 14.74% 14.72% 70.54%-1.44 -25.4 1
1933-04-23 Rapid Bucuresti W 3-251.0 1354 1448 48.63% 14.80% 36.58%-0.03 +27.3 11
1933-04-23 @ AFC Gloria Arad L 2-351.0 1448 1354 36.58% 14.80% 48.63%+0.03 -27.3 13
1933-04-23 Tricolor Ploiesti W 2-038.8 1096 1221 44.18% 14.80% 41.02%-0.26 +63.6 5
1933-04-23 @ Victoria Cluj L 0-238.8 1221 1096 41.02% 14.80% 44.18%+0.26 -63.6 7
1933-04-23 CAM Timisoara L 1-244.6 999 1144 41.44% 14.79% 43.77%-0.40 -32.1 1
1933-04-23 @ Brasovia Brasov W 2-144.6 1144 999 43.77% 14.79% 41.44%+0.40 +32.1 8
1933-04-23 CA Oradea W 1-041.6 1322 1411 49.32% 14.80% 35.88%+0.00 +30.1 10
1933-04-23 @ Unirea Tricolor L 0-141.6 1411 1322 35.88% 14.80% 49.32%+0.00 -30.1 12
1933-05-07 AFC Gloria Arad L 0-132.8 985 1382 13.92% 14.62% 71.46%-2.21 -12.7 3
1933-05-07 @ Soimii Sibiu W 1-032.8 1382 985 71.46% 14.62% 13.92%+2.21 +12.7 13
1933-05-07 Crisana Oradea W 4-029.7 1420 1305 70.84% 14.71% 14.45%+1.47 +47.3 15
1933-05-07 @ Rapid Bucuresti L 0-429.7 1305 1420 14.45% 14.71% 70.84%-1.47 -47.3 11
1933-05-07 Ripensia Timisoara L 0-430.1 1159 1500 18.30% 14.68% 67.02%-1.81 -58.8 5
1933-05-07 @ Victoria Cluj W 4-030.1 1500 1159 67.02% 14.68% 18.30%+1.81 +58.8 14
1933-05-07 Venus Bucuresti D 0-057.7 1381 1514 43.04% 14.79% 42.17%-0.32 -0.2 13
1933-05-07 @ CA Oradea D 0-057.7 1514 1381 42.17% 14.79% 43.04%+0.32 +0.2 13
1933-05-07 Universitatea Cluj L 1-243.6 1176 1357 36.29% 14.78% 48.92%-0.66 -28.6 8
1933-05-07 @ CAM Timisoara W 2-143.6 1357 1176 48.92% 14.78% 36.29%+0.66 +28.6 13
1933-05-21 CAM Timisoara W 3-243.4 1162 1147 61.84% 14.78% 23.38%+0.74 +18.4 8
1933-05-21 @ AMEF Arad L 2-343.4 1147 1162 23.38% 14.78% 61.84%-0.74 -18.4 8
1933-05-25 Unirea Tricolor W 4-348.6 1386 1352 63.77% 14.77% 21.46%+0.88 +16.6 15
1933-05-25 @ Universitatea Cluj L 3-448.6 1352 1386 21.46% 14.77% 63.77%-0.88 -16.6 10
1933-05-29 Tricolor Ploiesti W 4-133.6 1257 1158 69.63% 14.73% 15.65%+1.35 +32.9 13
1933-05-29 @ Crisana Oradea L 1-433.6 1158 1257 15.65% 14.73% 69.63%-1.35 -32.9 7
1933-05-29 Victoria Cluj D 0-051.5 973 1101 43.79% 14.79% 41.42%-0.28 -0.5 4
1933-05-29 @ Soimii Sibiu D 0-051.5 1101 973 41.42% 14.79% 43.79%+0.28 +0.5 6
1933-05-29 AFC Gloria Arad W 4-140.3 1559 1394 74.03% 14.67% 11.30%+1.82 +24.2 16
1933-05-29 @ Ripensia Timisoara L 1-440.3 1394 1559 11.30% 14.67% 74.03%-1.82 -24.2 13
1933-06-18 Crisana Oradea L 0-248.2 1370 1290 68.03% 14.74% 17.23%+1.21 -102.0 13
1933-06-18 @ AFC Gloria Arad W 2-048.2 1290 1370 17.23% 14.74% 68.03%-1.21 +102.0 15
1933-06-18 Tricolor Ploiesti W 11-026.4 1583 1125 83.49% 14.22% 2.29%+3.93 +20.6 18
1933-06-18 @ Ripensia Timisoara L 0-1126.4 1125 1583 2.29% 14.22% 83.49%-3.93 -20.6 7
1933-06-18 Universitatea Cluj L 0-328.0 967 1402 11.43% 14.57% 74.00%-2.49 -29.0 1
1933-06-18 @ Brasovia Brasov W 3-028.0 1402 967 74.00% 14.57% 11.43%+2.49 +29.0 17
1933-06-18 Unirea Tricolor L 1-357.8 1514 1336 74.84% 14.66% 10.50%+1.92 -97.8 13
1933-06-18 @ Venus Bucuresti W 3-157.8 1336 1514 10.50% 14.66% 74.84%-1.92 +97.8 12
1933-06-25 Ripensia Timisoara L 0-148.0 1392 1604 32.33% 14.77% 52.90%-0.88 -27.4 15
1933-06-25 @ Crisana Oradea W 1-048.0 1604 1392 52.90% 14.77% 32.33%+0.88 +27.4 20
1933-06-25 AFC Gloria Arad W 3-038.6 1104 1268 38.67% 14.79% 46.54%-0.54 +103.0 9
1933-06-25 @ Tricolor Ploiesti L 0-338.6 1268 1104 46.54% 14.79% 38.67%+0.54 -103.0 13
1933-06-25 Rapid Bucuresti L 3-445.3 1101 1468 16.13% 14.65% 69.23%-1.99 -12.8 6
1933-06-25 @ Victoria Cluj W 4-345.3 1468 1101 69.23% 14.65% 16.13%+1.99 +12.8 17
1933-06-25 CA Oradea L 2-443.1 1129 1380 27.39% 14.75% 57.87%-1.17 -34.6 8
1933-06-25 @ CAM Timisoara W 4-243.1 1380 1129 57.87% 14.75% 27.39%+1.17 +34.6 15
1933-06-25 Universitatea Cluj D 3-367.4 1416 1431 58.54% 14.79% 26.68%+0.53 -3.8 14
1933-06-25 @ Venus Bucuresti D 3-367.4 1431 1416 26.68% 14.79% 58.54%-0.53 +3.7 18
1933-06-29 Brasovia Brasov W 3-131.1 1412 938 83.72% 14.19% 2.09%+4.04 +3.3 16
1933-06-29 @ Venus Bucuresti L 1-331.1 938 1412 2.09% 14.19% 83.72%-4.04 -3.3 1
1933-07-02 Brasovia Brasov W 3-131.0 1433 935 84.04% 14.14% 1.83%+4.21 +2.9 14
1933-07-02 @ Unirea Tricolor L 1-331.0 935 1433 1.83% 14.14% 84.04%-4.21 -2.9 1
1933-07-05 Unirea Tricolor L 0-432.3 1180 1436 26.87% 14.74% 58.38%-1.20 -83.4 8
1933-07-05 @ AMEF Arad W 4-032.3 1436 1180 58.38% 14.74% 26.87%+1.20 +83.4 16
1933-07-09 AMEF Arad W 2-028.3 1415 1097 80.55% 14.47% 4.98%+2.92 +9.0 17
1933-07-09 @ CA Oradea L 0-228.3 1097 1415 4.98% 14.47% 80.55%-2.92 -9.0 8

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
1933-07-09 Universitatea Cluj W 5-352.5 1631 1435 75.77% 14.64% 9.59%+2.04 +12.4 1-0
1933-07-09 @ Ripensia Timisoara L 3-552.5 1435 1631 9.59% 14.64% 75.77%-2.04 -12.4 0-1
1933-07-16 Ripensia Timisoara D 0-063.9 1423 1643 31.15% 14.76% 54.09%-0.95 +4.8 0-1-1
1933-07-16 @ Universitatea Cluj D 0-063.9 1643 1423 54.09% 14.76% 31.15%+0.95 -4.8 1-0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1933-03-12 1.18% Soimii Sibiu 942 1 @ Rapid Bucuresti 1518 0
2 1933-06-18 10.50% Unirea Tricolor 1336 3 @ Venus Bucuresti 1514 1
3 1933-06-18 17.23% Crisana Oradea 1290 2 @ AFC Gloria Arad 1370 0
4 1932-09-18 18.85% AMEF Arad 1152 2 @ Brasovia Brasov 1213 0
5 1932-09-25 19.09% Rapid Bucuresti 1292 3 @ Tricolor Ploiesti 1351 0
6 1932-09-18 23.79% CA Oradea 1332 2 @ Universitatea Cluj 1343 1
7 1932-09-11 24.97% AFC Gloria Arad 1273 2 @ Victoria Cluj 1273 1
8 1932-11-13 27.74% @ Universitatea Cluj 1304 1 Venus Bucuresti 1552 0
9 1933-01-30 29.01% @ AFC Gloria Arad 1273 4 Ripensia Timisoara 1511 3
10 1932-09-11 30.92% Universitatea Cluj 1273 3 @ AMEF Arad 1222 1
11 1932-09-25 31.95% Ripensia Timisoara 1253 3 @ Soimii Sibiu 1195 0
12 1932-10-03 32.39% Venus Bucuresti 1313 6 @ AMEF Arad 1251 3
13 1933-06-25 38.67% @ Tricolor Ploiesti 1104 3 AFC Gloria Arad 1268 0
14 1932-11-06 39.64% @ AMEF Arad 1135 3 CA Oradea 1292 2
15 1932-11-06 40.89% Ripensia Timisoara 1396 1 @ Tricolor Ploiesti 1272 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1932-09-25 143.97 Rapid Bucuresti 3 1292 19.09% @ Tricolor Ploiesti 0 1351 66.15% 14.75%
2 1932-10-23 127.46 @ Venus Bucuresti 6 1391 57.01% CA Oradea 0 1419 28.20% 14.79%
3 1932-09-25 116.44 Ripensia Timisoara 3 1253 31.95% @ Soimii Sibiu 0 1195 53.25% 14.80%
4 1932-11-13 103.50 @ CA Oradea 5 1259 58.14% CAM Timisoara 0 1278 27.07% 14.79%
5 1933-06-25 103.03 @ Tricolor Ploiesti 3 1104 38.67% AFC Gloria Arad 0 1268 46.54% 14.79%
6 1933-06-18 102.04 Crisana Oradea 2 1290 17.23% @ AFC Gloria Arad 0 1370 68.03% 14.74%
7 1932-09-18 99.51 AMEF Arad 2 1152 18.85% @ Brasovia Brasov 0 1213 66.40% 14.75%
8 1933-06-18 97.83 Unirea Tricolor 3 1336 10.50% @ Venus Bucuresti 1 1514 74.84% 14.66%
9 1933-07-05 83.36 Unirea Tricolor 4 1436 58.38% @ AMEF Arad 0 1180 26.87% 14.74%
10 1932-11-13 78.70 @ Ripensia Timisoara 9 1432 70.02% Crisana Oradea 1 1327 15.26% 14.72%
11 1932-10-03 78.12 Venus Bucuresti 6 1313 32.39% @ AMEF Arad 3 1251 52.82% 14.80%
12 1932-09-11 78.10 @ Tricolor Ploiesti 4 1273 60.25% Soimii Sibiu 0 1273 24.97% 14.78%
13 1932-10-02 75.66 @ Tricolor Ploiesti 4 1207 45.57% Crisana Oradea 1 1322 39.64% 14.80%
14 1932-09-11 70.69 Universitatea Cluj 3 1273 30.92% @ AMEF Arad 1 1222 54.29% 14.79%
15 1933-03-12 68.56 Soimii Sibiu 1 942 1.18% @ Rapid Bucuresti 0 1518 84.86% 13.96%
16 1933-04-23 63.62 @ Victoria Cluj 2 1096 44.18% Tricolor Ploiesti 0 1221 41.02% 14.80%
17 1932-09-11 59.79 @ CA Oradea 3 1273 60.25% Brasovia Brasov 0 1273 24.97% 14.78%
18 1932-10-03 59.63 Crisana Oradea 2 1247 47.17% @ Soimii Sibiu 0 1078 38.05% 14.79%
19 1933-05-07 58.83 Ripensia Timisoara 4 1500 67.02% @ Victoria Cluj 0 1159 18.30% 14.68%
20 1932-11-06 57.47 Rapid Bucuresti 9 1457 74.49% @ Soimii Sibiu 1 1013 10.95% 14.56%
21 1932-10-23 56.46 Unirea Tricolor 2 1287 49.50% @ Brasovia Brasov 0 1101 35.72% 14.78%
22 1932-09-04 50.42 @ Unirea Tricolor 4 1273 60.25% AMEF Arad 1 1273 24.97% 14.78%
23 1932-09-25 49.67 @ Crisana Oradea 3 1273 64.90% Victoria Cluj 0 1228 20.34% 14.76%
24 1933-05-07 47.30 @ Rapid Bucuresti 4 1420 70.84% Crisana Oradea 0 1305 14.45% 14.71%
25 1932-11-06 47.19 Venus Bucuresti 4 1505 46.20% @ Unirea Tricolor 2 1344 39.01% 14.79%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1933-06-25 67.4 @ Venus Bucuresti 3 1416 58.54% Universitatea Cluj 3 1431 26.68% 14.79%
2 1933-07-16 * 63.9 @ Universitatea Cluj 0 1423 31.15% Ripensia Timisoara 0 1643 54.09% 14.76%
3 1933-01-30 60.0 @ Unirea Tricolor 2 1296 52.66% Universitatea Cluj 2 1359 32.54% 14.80%
4 1933-04-09 60.0 @ CAM Timisoara 2 1135 14.61% Venus Bucuresti 2 1522 70.76% 14.63%
5 1933-01-30 59.9 @ AFC Gloria Arad 4 1273 29.01% Ripensia Timisoara 3 1511 56.24% 14.76%
6 1933-06-18 57.8 Unirea Tricolor 3 1336 10.50% @ Venus Bucuresti 1 1514 74.84% 14.66%
7 1933-05-07 57.7 @ CA Oradea 0 1381 43.04% Venus Bucuresti 0 1514 42.17% 14.79%
8 1932-10-23 57.4 @ Crisana Oradea 1 1306 40.48% Rapid Bucuresti 1 1458 44.73% 14.79%
9 1932-10-30 55.3 @ Brasovia Brasov 1 1045 9.36% Venus Bucuresti 1 1519 76.12% 14.51%
10 1932-11-13 55.0 @ AFC Gloria Arad 1 1282 64.98% Tricolor Ploiesti 1 1236 20.26% 14.76%
11 1932-10-03 54.9 @ Tricolor Ploiesti 1 1282 70.00% Victoria Cluj 1 1178 15.28% 14.72%
12 1933-04-02 54.6 @ Soimii Sibiu 1 989 26.91% Tricolor Ploiesti 1 1244 58.35% 14.74%
13 1933-03-12 54.0 Soimii Sibiu 1 942 1.18% @ Rapid Bucuresti 0 1518 84.86% 13.96%
14 1933-07-09 * 52.5 @ Ripensia Timisoara 5 1631 75.77% Universitatea Cluj 3 1435 9.59% 14.64%
15 1932-09-11 52.4 @ CAM Timisoara 0 1273 54.29% Unirea Tricolor 0 1323 30.92% 14.79%
16 1932-09-18 52.1 CA Oradea 2 1332 23.79% @ Universitatea Cluj 1 1343 61.44% 14.78%
17 1933-05-29 51.5 @ Soimii Sibiu 0 973 43.79% Victoria Cluj 0 1101 41.42% 14.79%
18 1932-11-06 51.0 Venus Bucuresti 4 1505 46.20% @ Unirea Tricolor 2 1344 39.01% 14.79%
19 1933-04-23 51.0 @ AFC Gloria Arad 3 1354 48.63% Rapid Bucuresti 2 1448 36.58% 14.80%
20 1932-10-03 50.9 Venus Bucuresti 6 1313 32.39% @ AMEF Arad 3 1251 52.82% 14.80%
21 1932-09-11 50.8 AFC Gloria Arad 2 1273 24.97% @ Victoria Cluj 1 1273 60.25% 14.78%
22 1932-11-13 50.8 @ Universitatea Cluj 1 1304 27.74% Venus Bucuresti 0 1552 57.51% 14.75%
23 1932-11-06 50.2 @ AMEF Arad 3 1135 39.64% CA Oradea 2 1292 45.57% 14.79%
24 1933-05-25 48.6 @ Universitatea Cluj 4 1386 63.77% Unirea Tricolor 3 1352 21.46% 14.77%
25 1933-06-18 48.2 Crisana Oradea 2 1290 17.23% @ AFC Gloria Arad 0 1370 68.03% 14.74%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1933-04-09 23.1 @ Ripensia Timisoara 6 1491 84.01% Soimii Sibiu 0 995 1.85% 14.14%
2 1933-06-18 26.4 @ Ripensia Timisoara 11 1583 83.49% Tricolor Ploiesti 0 1125 2.29% 14.22%
3 1933-04-02 27.4 @ AFC Gloria Arad 4 1312 72.47% Victoria Cluj 0 1173 12.84% 14.69%
4 1933-06-18 28.0 Universitatea Cluj 3 1402 74.00% @ Brasovia Brasov 0 967 11.43% 14.57%
5 1932-11-06 28.1 Rapid Bucuresti 9 1457 74.49% @ Soimii Sibiu 1 1013 10.95% 14.56%
6 1932-10-23 28.3 @ Ripensia Timisoara 3 1370 74.98% Victoria Cluj 0 1189 10.37% 14.65%
7 1933-07-09 28.3 @ CA Oradea 2 1415 80.55% AMEF Arad 0 1097 4.98% 14.47%
8 1933-03-19 28.8 @ Venus Bucuresti 6 1507 81.12% AMEF Arad 1 1168 4.44% 14.44%
9 1933-03-19 29.4 @ Crisana Oradea 5 1249 77.76% Soimii Sibiu 1 1010 7.66% 14.59%
10 1933-04-02 29.5 @ Universitatea Cluj 2 1362 76.48% AMEF Arad 0 1152 8.90% 14.62%
11 1933-05-07 29.7 @ Rapid Bucuresti 4 1420 70.84% Crisana Oradea 0 1305 14.45% 14.71%
12 1933-05-07 30.1 Ripensia Timisoara 4 1500 67.02% @ Victoria Cluj 0 1159 18.30% 14.68%
13 1933-04-09 30.8 @ Rapid Bucuresti 2 1431 75.59% Tricolor Ploiesti 0 1238 9.77% 14.64%
14 1933-04-09 30.8 @ AMEF Arad 2 1137 70.54% Brasovia Brasov 0 1025 14.74% 14.72%
15 1933-07-02 31.0 @ Unirea Tricolor 3 1433 84.04% Brasovia Brasov 1 935 1.83% 14.14%
16 1932-09-25 31.1 @ Crisana Oradea 3 1273 64.90% Victoria Cluj 0 1228 20.34% 14.76%
17 1933-06-29 31.1 @ Venus Bucuresti 3 1412 83.72% Brasovia Brasov 1 938 2.09% 14.19%
18 1932-11-13 31.2 @ CA Oradea 5 1259 58.14% CAM Timisoara 0 1278 27.07% 14.79%
19 1932-09-11 31.3 @ Tricolor Ploiesti 4 1273 60.25% Soimii Sibiu 0 1273 24.97% 14.78%
20 1932-11-13 31.9 @ Ripensia Timisoara 9 1432 70.02% Crisana Oradea 1 1327 15.26% 14.72%
21 1932-11-20 32.2 @ Universitatea Cluj 1 1350 74.68% CAM Timisoara 0 1174 10.66% 14.66%
22 1933-07-05 32.3 Unirea Tricolor 4 1436 58.38% @ AMEF Arad 0 1180 26.87% 14.74%
23 1932-09-11 32.6 @ CA Oradea 3 1273 60.25% Brasovia Brasov 0 1273 24.97% 14.78%
24 1933-05-07 32.8 AFC Gloria Arad 1 1382 71.46% @ Soimii Sibiu 0 985 13.92% 14.62%
25 1933-04-02 33.1 @ Unirea Tricolor 4 1294 71.80% CAM Timisoara 1 1164 13.50% 14.70%