2026-27 Russian Premier League Season
72 games played · 16 teams
Season Status
In Progress
Awaiting final results
Title Favorite
Zenit St. Petersburg
37.94% chance to win the title
Biggest Overachiever
Dynamo Moscow
5.10 points above expected
19 points · 13.90 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Fakel Voronezh
6.13 points below expected
3 points · 9.13 expected points
League Table
Each team's record through games played. SimPts is the model's expected points through the same games — the sum over completed games of pregame win-probability × 3 plus tie-probability × 1. vsSim shows actual points minus that expectation — positive means the team has overachieved against the model so far.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 17.53 | +3.47 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 13.90 | +5.10 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 14.43 | +4.57 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 13.95 | +5.05 |
| 5 | Zenit St. Petersburg | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 19 | 9 | +10 | 16.98 | +1.02 |
| 6 | Rubin Kazan | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 12.25 | -0.25 |
| 7 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 9.87 | +2.13 |
| 8 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 13.12 | -2.12 |
| 9 | Krylia Sovetov | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 9.71 | +1.29 |
| 10 | Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10.89 | -0.89 |
| 11 | Orenburg | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8.93 | +0.07 |
| 12 | Akron Tolyatti | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8.75 | -0.75 |
| 13 | Rostov | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10.25 | -2.25 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 12.86 | -5.86 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 10.07 | -5.07 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 9.13 | -6.13 |
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dynamo Moscow | 19 | 13.90 | +5.10 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 19 | 13.95 | +5.05 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 19 | 14.43 | +4.57 |
| 4 | Krasnodar | 21 | 17.53 | +3.47 |
| 5 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 12 | 9.87 | +2.13 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 3 | 9.13 | -6.13 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 7 | 12.86 | -5.86 |
| 3 | Rodina Moscow | 5 | 10.07 | -5.07 |
| 4 | Rostov | 8 | 10.25 | -2.25 |
| 5 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 11 | 13.12 | -2.12 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.
Most Unlikely Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dynamo Moscow | 5 | Aug 23 – Sep 17 | 1 in 79 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 6 | Jul 26 – Aug 29 | 1 in 48 |
| 3 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 2 | Jul 25 – Aug 1 | 1 in 15 |
| 4 | Rodina Moscow | 1 | Aug 9 – Aug 9 | 1 in 8 |
| 5 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 2 | Aug 1 – Aug 8 | 1 in 7 |
Most Unlikely Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodina Moscow | 4 | Aug 23 – Sep 11 | 1 in 38 |
| 2 | Zenit St. Petersburg | 1 | Aug 9 – Aug 9 | 1 in 8 |
| 3 | Krylia Sovetov | 2 | Aug 8 – Aug 16 | 1 in 8 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 2 | Aug 22 – Aug 29 | 1 in 8 |
| 5 | Fakel Voronezh | 2 | Jul 25 – Aug 2 | 1 in 6 |
Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rubin Kazan | 8 | Aug 1 – Sep 16 | 1 in 18 |
| 2 | Akron Tolyatti | 4 | Aug 28 – Sep 17 | 1 in 16 |
| 3 | Orenburg | 5 | Aug 9 – Sep 6 | 1 in 15 |
| 4 | Krylia Sovetov | 5 | Aug 23 – Sep 16 | 1 in 15 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | Jul 24 – Sep 17 | 1 in 14 |
Most Unlikely Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 6 | Jul 26 – Aug 29 | 1 in 23 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 3 | Sep 5 – Sep 17 | 1 in 16 |
| 3 | Fakel Voronezh | 9 | Jul 25 – Sep 16 | 1 in 12 |
| 4 | Rodina Moscow | 6 | Aug 15 – Sep 16 | 1 in 7 |
| 5 | Orenburg | 8 | Aug 2 – Sep 17 | 1 in 7 |
Position Race
Each team’s league position across the whole season. The current top 3 and bottom 3 are highlighted; everyone else is gray as context.
Recent Elo Movers
Which teams are the hottest and coldest over the last 14 days according to their Elo ratings?
Biggest Elo Gainers
| # | Team | Δ Elo | Current Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Akhmat Grozny | +0.00 | 1337 |
| 2 | Akron Tolyatti | +0.00 | 1292 |
| 3 | Baltika Kaliningrad | +0.00 | 1427 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | +0.00 | 1448 |
| 5 | Dynamo Makhachkala | +0.00 | 1323 |
Biggest Elo Losers
| # | Team | Δ Elo | Current Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Akhmat Grozny | +0.00 | 1337 |
| 2 | Akron Tolyatti | +0.00 | 1292 |
| 3 | Baltika Kaliningrad | +0.00 | 1427 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | +0.00 | 1448 |
| 5 | Dynamo Makhachkala | +0.00 | 1323 |
Recent Form
Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.
| Team | Elo | Season Pts | Form | Elo Δ (5) | Points (5) | Expected (5) | Actual − Exp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krasnodar | 1517 | 21 | +1 | 9 | 10.2 | -1.2 | |
| Dynamo Moscow | 1456 | 19 | +28 | 15 | 8.0 | +7.0 | |
| CSKA Moscow | 1448 | 19 | +15 | 11 | 7.6 | +3.4 | |
| Spartak Moscow | 1464 | 19 | +17 | 10 | 8.1 | +1.9 | |
| Zenit St. Petersburg | 1535 | 18 | -9 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.0 | |
| Rubin Kazan | 1380 | 12 | +7 | 7 | 6.7 | +0.3 | |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 1323 | 12 | -11 | 3 | 5.5 | -2.5 | |
| Krylia Sovetov | 1325 | 11 | +20 | 9 | 5.6 | +3.4 | |
| Baltika Kaliningrad | 1427 | 11 | +0 | 5 | 7.6 | -2.6 | |
| Akhmat Grozny | 1337 | 10 | +5 | 8 | 6.9 | +1.1 | |
| Orenburg | 1305 | 9 | +0 | 4 | 5.0 | -1.0 | |
| Akron Tolyatti | 1292 | 8 | -1 | 6 | 5.0 | +1.0 | |
| Rostov | 1323 | 8 | -25 | 3 | 5.4 | -2.4 | |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 1400 | 7 | -6 | 4 | 6.0 | -2.0 | |
| Rodina Moscow | 1309 | 5 | -29 | 1 | 5.5 | -4.5 | |
| Fakel Voronezh | 1297 | 3 | -11 | 2 | 4.9 | -2.9 |
Upcoming Matches
The next slate of games with the model’s win / draw probabilities and an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo.
| Date | Favored By | Home | Win% – Draw% – Win% | Away | Favored By | Excitement | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Akhmat Grozny | 10 pts·1337 | 24% – 34% – 42% | Baltika Kaliningrad | 11 pts·1427 | 0.43 | 49.7 | |
| 2026-10-10 | Fakel Voronezh | 3 pts·1297 | 22% – 34% – 44% | Lokomotiv Moscow | 7 pts·1400 | 0.51 | 36.6 | |
| 2026-10-10 | 0.01 | Krasnodar | 21 pts·1517 | 32% – 35% – 32% | Zenit St. Petersburg | 18 pts·1535 | 71.4 | |
| 2026-10-10 | 0.01 | Orenburg | 9 pts·1305 | 33% – 35% – 32% | Dynamo Makhachkala | 12 pts·1323 | 50.9 | |
| 2026-10-10 | 0.30 | Rostov | 8 pts·1323 | 39% – 35% – 26% | Akron Tolyatti | 8 pts·1292 | 48.4 | |
| 2026-10-10 | Krylia Sovetov | 11 pts·1325 | 19% – 32% – 49% | Spartak Moscow | 19 pts·1464 | 0.73 | 46.0 | |
| 2026-10-10 | Rubin Kazan | 12 pts·1380 | 25% – 35% – 40% | Dynamo Moscow | 19 pts·1456 | 0.34 | 52.2 | |
| 2026-10-10 | 0.96 | CSKA Moscow | 19 pts·1448 | 54% – 30% – 17% | Rodina Moscow | 5 pts·1309 | 40.6 | |
| 2026-10-17 | 0.75 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 11 pts·1427 | 49% – 32% – 19% | Rostov | 8 pts·1323 | 43.9 | |
| 2026-10-17 | 0.31 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 12 pts·1323 | 39% – 35% – 26% | Akron Tolyatti | 8 pts·1292 | 53.5 | |
| 2026-10-17 | 0.16 | Dynamo Moscow | 19 pts·1456 | 36% – 35% – 29% | CSKA Moscow | 19 pts·1448 | 64.0 | |
| 2026-10-17 | 0.29 | Krylia Sovetov | 11 pts·1325 | 39% – 35% – 26% | Fakel Voronezh | 3 pts·1297 | 47.1 | |
| 2026-10-17 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 7 pts·1400 | 21% – 33% – 46% | Krasnodar | 21 pts·1517 | 0.59 | 45.3 | |
| 2026-10-17 | 0.14 | Rodina Moscow | 5 pts·1309 | 36% – 35% – 29% | Orenburg | 9 pts·1305 | 47.9 | |
| 2026-10-17 | 0.63 | Spartak Moscow | 19 pts·1464 | 47% – 33% – 21% | Rubin Kazan | 12 pts·1380 | 52.8 | |
| 2026-10-17 | 1.32 | Zenit St. Petersburg | 18 pts·1535 | 61% – 25% – 13% | Akhmat Grozny | 10 pts·1337 | 43.1 |
Recent Matches
The most recent results with an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo · Elo change.
| Date | Favored By | Home | Score | Away | Favored By | Excitement | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Orenburg | 9 pts·1304·+1.45 | 0 – 0 | Krasnodar | 21 pts·1519·-1.46 | 1.19 | 51.0 | |
| 2026-09-17 | Akron Tolyatti | 8 pts·1282·+10.56 | 2 – 0 | Akhmat Grozny | 10 pts·1347·-10.55 | 0.28 | 40.2 | |
| 2026-09-17 | Rostov | 8 pts·1333·-9.96 | 0 – 3 | Dynamo Moscow | 19 pts·1446·+9.96 | 0.57 | 35.0 | |
| 2026-09-17 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 12 pts·1329·-5.94 | 1 – 3 | CSKA Moscow | 19 pts·1442·+5.94 | 0.57 | 42.6 | |
| 2026-09-16 | Rodina Moscow | 5 pts·1308·+0.39 | 1 – 1 | Rubin Kazan | 12 pts·1381·-0.38 | 0.32 | 51.1 | |
| 2026-09-16 | 1.10 | Spartak Moscow | 19 pts·1462·+2.57 | 1 – 0 | Fakel Voronezh | 3 pts·1300·-2.58 | 36.6 | |
| 2026-09-16 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 11 pts·1430·-3.39 | 2 – 3 | Zenit St. Petersburg | 18 pts·1532·+3.39 | 0.50 | 57.6 | |
| 2026-09-16 | 0.58 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 7 pts·1401·-0.69 | 1 – 1 | Krylia Sovetov | 11 pts·1324·+0.69 | 52.1 | |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.18 | Akhmat Grozny | 10 pts·1343·+4.05 | 3 – 2 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 12 pts·1333·-4.04 | 52.8 | |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.80 | Spartak Moscow | 19 pts·1453·+8.66 | 3 – 0 | Rostov | 8 pts·1341·-8.66 | 33.9 | |
| 2026-09-13 | 1.58 | Krasnodar | 21 pts·1520·-1.61 | 1 – 1 | Akron Tolyatti | 8 pts·1280·+1.61 | 56.7 | |
| 2026-09-12 | Fakel Voronezh | 3 pts·1299·+0.59 | 2 – 2 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 11 pts·1431·-0.60 | 0.68 | 58.7 | |
| 2026-09-12 | 0.88 | Zenit St. Petersburg | 18 pts·1529·+2.83 | 2 – 1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 7 pts·1404·-2.83 | 48.6 | |
| 2026-09-12 | 0.95 | Dynamo Moscow | 19 pts·1443·+2.86 | 1 – 0 | Orenburg | 9 pts·1307·-2.86 | 37.3 | |
| 2026-09-12 | 0.50 | CSKA Moscow | 19 pts·1443·-0.59 | 1 – 1 | Rubin Kazan | 12 pts·1380·+0.59 | 53.8 | |
| 2026-09-11 | 0.16 | Krylia Sovetov | 11 pts·1320·+4.30 | 2 – 1 | Rodina Moscow | 5 pts·1313·-4.30 | 47.1 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | AG | AT | BK | CM | DM | DM | FV | KRA | KS | LM | ORE | RM | ROS | RK | SM | ZSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akhmat Grozny | — |
0-0-1
1.52
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.45
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.33
|
0-0-1
0.70
|
0-1-0
1.50
|
0-1-0
0.96
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.34
|
0-1-0
1.10
|
0-0-1
1.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Akron Tolyatti |
1-0-0
1.14
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
0.84
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
0.57
|
0-0-1
1.35
|
0-1-0
0.85
|
0-1-0
1.14
|
0-1-0
1.07
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.10
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.69
|
| Baltika Kaliningrad |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-1
1.22
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.33
|
0-1-0
1.76
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.65
|
0-0-1
1.56
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.62
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.61
|
0-0-1
1.36
|
0-0-1
1.01
|
| CSKA Moscow |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.85
|
1-0-0
1.42
|
— |
1-0-0
1.70
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.85
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.81
|
1-0-0
1.51
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.73
|
0-1-0
1.65
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
0.90
|
| Dynamo Makhachkala |
0-0-1
1.20
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.97
|
— |
0-0-1
0.88
|
1-0-0
1.23
|
0-0-1
0.78
|
1-0-0
1.26
|
1-0-0
1.04
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.42
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.08
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Dynamo Moscow |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.31
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.80
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.83
|
1-0-0
1.37
|
1-0-0
1.90
|
1-0-0
1.75
|
1-0-0
1.70
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.32
|
0-0-1
0.90
|
| Fakel Voronezh |
0-1-0
1.31
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
0.92
|
0-0-1
0.85
|
0-0-1
1.42
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-1
0.67
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.42
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.13
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.74
|
0-0-1
0.68
|
| Krasnodar |
1-0-0
2.03
|
0-1-0
2.20
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.93
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
2.07
|
— |
0-1-0
1.99
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
2.02
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
2.04
|
1-0-0
1.74
|
1-0-0
1.50
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Krylia Sovetov |
0-1-0
1.15
|
1-0-0
1.29
|
0-0-1
1.02
|
0-1-0
0.87
|
0-0-1
1.39
|
0-1-0
0.85
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
0.73
|
— |
0-1-0
0.97
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.44
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Lokomotiv Moscow |
0-1-0
1.71
|
0-1-0
1.84
|
1-0-0
1.09
|
0-0-1
1.14
|
0-0-1
1.62
|
0-0-1
1.27
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.70
|
— |
0-1-0
1.66
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.83
|
| Orenburg |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.52
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.80
|
0-1-0
1.23
|
0-1-0
0.71
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.01
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.24
|
0-1-0
0.99
|
0-1-0
0.76
|
0-0-1
0.68
|
| Rodina Moscow |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.59
|
0-0-1
1.04
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.23
|
0-0-1
0.93
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.21
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-1
1.40
|
0-1-0
1.11
|
0-0-1
0.94
|
1-0-0
0.63
|
| Rostov |
0-0-1
1.31
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
0.94
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.97
|
1-0-0
1.52
|
0-0-1
0.69
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.41
|
1-0-0
1.25
|
— |
0-1-0
1.30
|
0-0-1
0.86
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Rubin Kazan |
0-1-0
1.56
|
1-0-0
1.55
|
0-1-0
1.04
|
0-1-0
1.01
|
1-0-0
1.58
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.93
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.68
|
0-1-0
1.54
|
0-1-0
1.35
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Spartak Moscow |
1-0-0
1.67
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.29
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.32
|
1-0-0
1.98
|
0-0-1
1.15
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.95
|
1-0-0
1.74
|
1-0-0
1.82
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
1-0-0
1.03
|
| Zenit St. Petersburg |
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
2.04
|
1-0-0
1.65
|
0-0-1
1.78
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.78
|
1-0-0
2.05
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.87
|
1-0-0
2.05
|
0-0-1
2.13
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.63
|
— |
Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential
Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).
Fit Metrics
| R² | Slope | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.64 | +12.8 |
| Allowed | 0.55 | -9.7 |
| Differential | 0.85 | +8.0 |
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.33% | 6.25% | 2.78% | 4.86% | — | 0.69% | 22.92% |
| 1 | 6.25% | 16.67% | 9.72% | 4.17% | 1.39% | — | 38.19% |
| 2 | 2.78% | 9.72% | 5.56% | 2.78% | 0.69% | — | 21.53% |
| 3 | 4.86% | 4.17% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | 14.58% |
| 4 | — | 1.39% | 0.69% | — | — | — | 2.08% |
| 5+ | 0.69% | — | — | — | — | — | 0.69% |
| Total | 22.92% | 38.19% | 21.53% | 14.58% | 2.08% | 0.69% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.37 | 1.37 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.10 | 1.10 | 1.57 |
| CV | 0.80 | 0.80 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 72
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.11% | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 1 | — | 22.22% | 11.11% | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | — | — | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | — | 22.22% |
| 4 | — | 11.11% | — | — | — | — | 11.11% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 11.11% | 44.44% | 33.33% | 11.11% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.44 | 1.44 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.51 | 0.88 | 1.41 |
| CV | 1.04 | 0.61 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 9
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.11% | — | — | 11.11% | — | 11.11% | 33.33% |
| 1 | — | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | — | — | 22.22% |
| 2 | 11.11% | — | 22.22% | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 3 | — | — | — | 11.11% | — | — | 11.11% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 22.22% | 11.11% | 33.33% | 22.22% | — | 11.11% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.22 | 2.00 | -0.78 |
| SD | 1.09 | 1.58 | 2.05 |
| CV | 0.89 | 0.79 | — |
| Max | 3 | 5 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 9
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 11.11% | — | — | — | — | 11.11% |
| 1 | — | 11.11% | 22.22% | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | 11.11% | 11.11% | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | — | 44.44% |
| 3 | 11.11% | — | — | — | — | — | 11.11% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 22.22% | 33.33% | 33.33% | 11.11% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.56 | 1.33 | +0.22 |
| SD | 0.88 | 1.00 | 1.48 |
| CV | 0.57 | 0.75 | — |
| Max | 3 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 9
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.11% | — | — | — | — | — | 11.11% |
| 1 | 11.11% | 22.22% | — | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | — | 22.22% | 11.11% | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 3 | — | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | — | — | 22.22% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 22.22% | 55.56% | 22.22% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.67 | 1.00 | +0.67 |
| SD | 1.00 | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| CV | 0.60 | 0.71 | — |
| Max | 3 | 2 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | +0 |
Games Played: 9
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 11.11% | — | — | — | — | 11.11% |
| 1 | — | — | — | 33.33% | — | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | 11.11% | 22.22% | — | 11.11% | — | — | 44.44% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | 11.11% | — | — | — | — | 11.11% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 11.11% | 44.44% | — | 44.44% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.67 | 1.78 | -0.11 |
| SD | 1.12 | 1.20 | 1.90 |
| CV | 0.67 | 0.68 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 9
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.11% | — | — | 11.11% | — | — | 22.22% |
| 1 | 22.22% | — | 11.11% | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | — | 11.11% | — | — | — | — | 11.11% |
| 3 | 11.11% | 22.22% | — | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 44.44% | 33.33% | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.56 | 0.89 | +0.67 |
| SD | 1.24 | 1.05 | 1.80 |
| CV | 0.79 | 1.19 | — |
| Max | 3 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 9
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 22.22% | 33.33% | — | — | — | — | 55.56% |
| 1 | — | — | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | — | 22.22% |
| 2 | — | — | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | — | 22.22% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 22.22% | 33.33% | 22.22% | 22.22% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.67 | 1.44 | -0.78 |
| SD | 0.87 | 1.13 | 0.67 |
| CV | 1.30 | 0.78 | — |
| Max | 2 | 3 | +0 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 9
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.11% | — | — | — | — | — | 11.11% |
| 1 | 33.33% | 11.11% | — | — | — | — | 44.44% |
| 2 | — | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | — | — | 22.22% |
| 3 | — | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | — | — | 22.22% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 44.44% | 33.33% | 22.22% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.56 | 0.78 | +0.78 |
| SD | 1.01 | 0.83 | 0.67 |
| CV | 0.65 | 1.07 | — |
| Max | 3 | 2 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | +0 |
Games Played: 9
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.11% | — | 11.11% | — | — | — | 22.22% |
| 1 | — | 22.22% | — | — | 11.11% | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | — | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | — | — | 22.22% |
| 3 | 11.11% | — | — | 11.11% | — | — | 22.22% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 22.22% | 33.33% | 22.22% | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.44 | 1.56 | -0.11 |
| SD | 1.13 | 1.33 | 1.69 |
| CV | 0.78 | 0.86 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 9
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | — | — | — | 22.22% |
| 1 | 11.11% | 33.33% | 22.22% | — | — | — | 66.67% |
| 2 | — | — | — | 11.11% | — | — | 11.11% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 22.22% | 44.44% | 22.22% | 11.11% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.89 | 1.22 | -0.33 |
| SD | 0.60 | 0.97 | 0.71 |
| CV | 0.68 | 0.80 | — |
| Max | 2 | 3 | +1 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 9
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 22.22% | 11.11% | — | 11.11% | — | — | 44.44% |
| 1 | — | 33.33% | — | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | — | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | — | — | 22.22% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 22.22% | 55.56% | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.78 | 1.11 | -0.33 |
| SD | 0.83 | 0.93 | 1.12 |
| CV | 1.07 | 0.84 | — |
| Max | 2 | 3 | +1 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 9
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | 11.11% | 22.22% | — | — | 33.33% |
| 1 | — | 11.11% | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | — | 11.11% | — | — | 11.11% | — | 22.22% |
| 3 | — | — | — | 11.11% | — | — | 11.11% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 22.22% | 22.22% | 44.44% | 11.11% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.11 | 2.44 | -1.33 |
| SD | 1.05 | 1.01 | 1.41 |
| CV | 0.95 | 0.41 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +1 |
| Min | 0 | 1 | -3 |
Games Played: 9
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | 22.22% | — | — | 44.44% |
| 1 | — | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | 11.11% | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | — | 11.11% | — | — | — | — | 11.11% |
| 4 | — | — | 11.11% | — | — | — | 11.11% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 11.11% | 33.33% | 22.22% | 22.22% | 11.11% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.11 | 1.89 | -0.78 |
| SD | 1.45 | 1.27 | 1.99 |
| CV | 1.31 | 0.67 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 9
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | — | 66.67% | — | 11.11% | — | — | 77.78% |
| 2 | — | 11.11% | — | — | — | — | 11.11% |
| 3 | — | 11.11% | — | — | — | — | 11.11% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 88.89% | — | 11.11% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.33 | 1.22 | +0.11 |
| SD | 0.71 | 0.67 | 1.05 |
| CV | 0.53 | 0.55 | — |
| Max | 3 | 3 | +2 |
| Min | 1 | 1 | -2 |
Games Played: 9
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | 11.11% | 11.11% | 22.22% | — | — | — | 44.44% |
| 2 | 11.11% | 22.22% | — | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 3 | 22.22% | — | — | — | — | — | 22.22% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 44.44% | 33.33% | 22.22% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.78 | 0.78 | +1.00 |
| SD | 0.83 | 0.83 | 1.50 |
| CV | 0.47 | 1.07 | — |
| Max | 3 | 2 | +3 |
| Min | 1 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 9
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | 11.11% | — | — | — | 11.11% |
| 1 | 11.11% | — | 22.22% | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | — | 11.11% | — | — | — | — | 11.11% |
| 3 | 22.22% | — | 11.11% | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | 11.11% | — | — | — | — | — | 11.11% |
| Total | 44.44% | 11.11% | 44.44% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.11 | 1.00 | +1.11 |
| SD | 1.54 | 1.00 | 2.26 |
| CV | 0.73 | 1.00 | — |
| Max | 5 | 2 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 9
Season Summary
Every team's season-to-date record alongside the projected end-of-season points totals from 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Exp. Pts. Rem. is the expected additional points the model thinks the team will accumulate over the rest of the season.
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Exp. Pts. Rem. | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit St. Petersburg | 1535 | 18 | 58.22 | 40.22 | 33 | 49 | 55 | 58 | 62 | 67 | 77 |
| Krasnodar | 1517 | 21 | 58.67 | 37.67 | 38 | 49 | 55 | 59 | 62 | 68 | 78 |
| Spartak Moscow | 1464 | 19 | 53.74 | 34.74 | 33 | 44 | 50 | 54 | 58 | 63 | 76 |
| Dynamo Moscow | 1456 | 19 | 52.82 | 33.82 | 33 | 44 | 49 | 53 | 57 | 62 | 73 |
| CSKA Moscow | 1448 | 19 | 51.70 | 32.70 | 32 | 42 | 48 | 52 | 56 | 61 | 73 |
| Baltika Kaliningrad | 1427 | 11 | 43.18 | 32.18 | 22 | 34 | 39 | 43 | 47 | 52 | 63 |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 1400 | 7 | 36.58 | 29.58 | 16 | 27 | 33 | 37 | 40 | 46 | 57 |
| Rubin Kazan | 1380 | 12 | 39.32 | 27.32 | 21 | 30 | 36 | 39 | 43 | 48 | 60 |
| Akhmat Grozny | 1337 | 10 | 33.77 | 23.77 | 14 | 25 | 30 | 34 | 37 | 43 | 54 |
| Krylia Sovetov | 1325 | 11 | 34.65 | 23.65 | 16 | 26 | 31 | 35 | 38 | 44 | 53 |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 1323 | 12 | 35.41 | 23.41 | 17 | 27 | 32 | 35 | 39 | 44 | 55 |
| Rostov | 1323 | 8 | 31.40 | 23.40 | 14 | 23 | 28 | 31 | 35 | 40 | 53 |
| Rodina Moscow | 1309 | 5 | 27.29 | 22.29 | 11 | 19 | 24 | 27 | 31 | 36 | 46 |
| Orenburg | 1305 | 9 | 31.28 | 22.28 | 12 | 23 | 28 | 31 | 35 | 40 | 53 |
| Fakel Voronezh | 1297 | 3 | 24.62 | 21.62 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 24 | 28 | 34 | 45 |
| Akron Tolyatti | 1292 | 8 | 29.03 | 21.03 | 12 | 21 | 25 | 29 | 32 | 38 | 52 |
Point Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.
Final Table Odds
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krasnodar | 37.54% | 27.48% | 17.44% | 10.72% | 5.34% | 1.09% | 0.30% | 0.07% | 0.02% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dynamo Moscow | 7.91% | 13.89% | 20.41% | 24.25% | 22.56% | 7.58% | 2.17% | 0.84% | 0.28% | 0.06% | 0.04% | 0.01% | — | — | — | — |
| CSKA Moscow | 5.55% | 11.30% | 17.91% | 23.98% | 25.95% | 10.23% | 3.35% | 1.04% | 0.44% | 0.19% | 0.05% | 0.01% | — | — | — | — |
| Spartak Moscow | 10.83% | 18.59% | 23.83% | 22.50% | 16.50% | 5.18% | 1.77% | 0.60% | 0.12% | 0.07% | 0.01% | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zenit St. Petersburg | 37.94% | 27.93% | 16.99% | 10.14% | 5.37% | 1.23% | 0.27% | 0.08% | 0.03% | 0.01% | — | 0.01% | — | — | — | — |
| Rubin Kazan | 0.03% | 0.12% | 0.67% | 1.86% | 5.02% | 15.78% | 22.68% | 17.30% | 12.38% | 8.90% | 6.65% | 3.87% | 2.61% | 1.31% | 0.63% | 0.19% |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | — | — | 0.09% | 0.35% | 1.52% | 5.78% | 10.47% | 14.67% | 14.43% | 13.49% | 12.18% | 10.32% | 7.39% | 5.28% | 2.89% | 1.14% |
| Baltika Kaliningrad | 0.20% | 0.66% | 2.39% | 5.07% | 13.49% | 33.06% | 19.51% | 10.82% | 6.49% | 3.86% | 2.19% | 1.34% | 0.51% | 0.28% | 0.11% | 0.02% |
| Krylia Sovetov | — | 0.01% | 0.12% | 0.17% | 0.96% | 4.71% | 8.74% | 11.95% | 14.29% | 13.82% | 12.65% | 11.60% | 8.49% | 6.89% | 4.04% | 1.56% |
| Akhmat Grozny | — | — | 0.01% | 0.24% | 0.86% | 3.53% | 7.83% | 11.00% | 12.98% | 13.28% | 13.17% | 11.77% | 10.54% | 7.55% | 5.03% | 2.21% |
| Orenburg | — | — | 0.01% | 0.07% | 0.30% | 1.38% | 3.37% | 5.52% | 8.29% | 10.70% | 12.02% | 13.62% | 14.62% | 14.02% | 10.37% | 5.71% |
| Akron Tolyatti | — | 0.01% | — | — | 0.07% | 0.60% | 1.42% | 2.72% | 4.28% | 6.61% | 8.85% | 11.42% | 14.76% | 18.11% | 17.87% | 13.28% |
| Rostov | — | — | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.18% | 1.52% | 3.38% | 5.93% | 7.62% | 10.03% | 11.83% | 13.83% | 14.98% | 13.26% | 11.91% | 5.49% |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | — | 0.01% | 0.11% | 0.63% | 1.86% | 8.10% | 13.61% | 15.33% | 14.30% | 12.88% | 11.24% | 8.52% | 6.29% | 3.81% | 2.40% | 0.91% |
| Rodina Moscow | — | — | — | — | 0.02% | 0.14% | 0.85% | 1.49% | 2.82% | 4.09% | 5.98% | 8.65% | 11.51% | 16.41% | 22.58% | 25.46% |
| Fakel Voronezh | — | — | — | — | — | 0.09% | 0.28% | 0.64% | 1.23% | 2.01% | 3.14% | 5.03% | 8.30% | 13.08% | 22.17% | 44.03% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Same level | Lost relegation playoff | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow | 100% | — | — |
| Dynamo Moscow | 100% | — | — |
| Krasnodar | 100% | — | — |
| Spartak Moscow | 100% | — | — |
| Zenit St. Petersburg | 100% | — | — |
| Baltika Kaliningrad | 99.08% | 0.79% | 0.13% |
| Rubin Kazan | 95.26% | 3.92% | 0.82% |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 86.59% | 10.10% | 3.31% |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 83.30% | 12.67% | 4.03% |
| Krylia Sovetov | 79.02% | 15.38% | 5.60% |
| Akhmat Grozny | 74.67% | 18.09% | 7.24% |
| Orenburg | 55.28% | 28.64% | 16.08% |
| Rostov | 54.36% | 28.24% | 17.40% |
| Akron Tolyatti | 35.98% | 32.87% | 31.15% |
| Rodina Moscow | 24.04% | 27.92% | 48.04% |
| Fakel Voronezh | 12.42% | 21.38% | 66.20% |
Overall Game Log
Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Excitement | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Proj. Margin | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Baltika Kaliningrad | W 2-1 | 51.0 | 1428 | 1424 | 35.72% | 35.22% | 29.06% | +0.14 | +4.3 | 3 |
| 2026-07-24 | @ CSKA Moscow | L 1-2 | 51.0 | 1424 | 1428 | 29.06% | 35.22% | 35.72% | -0.14 | -4.3 | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Krylia Sovetov | D 0-0 | 48.5 | 1438 | 1322 | 50.79% | 31.08% | 18.13% | +0.82 | -1.1 | 1 |
| 2026-07-25 | @ Dynamo Moscow | D 0-0 | 48.5 | 1322 | 1438 | 18.13% | 31.08% | 50.79% | -0.82 | +1.0 | 1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Zenit St. Petersburg | L 0-5 | 33.9 | 1306 | 1526 | 14.23% | 26.71% | 59.06% | -1.22 | -10.5 | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | @ Akron Tolyatti | W 5-0 | 33.9 | 1526 | 1306 | 59.06% | 26.71% | 14.23% | +1.22 | +10.4 | 3 |
| 2026-07-25 | Dynamo Makhachkala | L 1-2 | 49.1 | 1319 | 1317 | 35.43% | 35.25% | 29.32% | +0.13 | -5.0 | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | @ Fakel Voronezh | W 2-1 | 49.1 | 1317 | 1319 | 29.32% | 35.25% | 35.43% | -0.13 | +5.0 | 3 |
| 2026-07-25 | Rodina Moscow | W 3-0 | 34.6 | 1434 | 1348 | 46.96% | 32.65% | 20.38% | +0.64 | +9.6 | 3 |
| 2026-07-25 | @ Spartak Moscow | L 0-3 | 34.6 | 1348 | 1434 | 20.38% | 32.65% | 46.96% | -0.64 | -9.5 | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Rostov | W 2-1 | 49.2 | 1306 | 1345 | 29.63% | 35.27% | 35.10% | -0.12 | +4.9 | 3 |
| 2026-07-26 | @ Orenburg | L 1-2 | 49.2 | 1345 | 1306 | 35.10% | 35.27% | 29.63% | +0.12 | -4.9 | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Akhmat Grozny | D 1-1 | 52.5 | 1415 | 1337 | 45.90% | 33.03% | 21.07% | +0.59 | -0.7 | 1 |
| 2026-07-26 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | D 1-1 | 52.5 | 1337 | 1415 | 21.07% | 33.03% | 45.90% | -0.59 | +0.7 | 1 |
| 2026-07-26 | Krasnodar | L 1-3 | 44.8 | 1376 | 1502 | 20.27% | 32.58% | 47.15% | -0.65 | -5.7 | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | @ Rubin Kazan | W 3-1 | 44.8 | 1502 | 1376 | 47.15% | 32.58% | 20.27% | +0.65 | +5.7 | 3 |
| 2026-07-31 | Rostov | L 2-4 | 49.9 | 1338 | 1340 | 34.91% | 35.28% | 29.81% | +0.11 | -7.6 | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | @ Rodina Moscow | W 4-2 | 49.9 | 1340 | 1338 | 29.81% | 35.28% | 34.91% | -0.11 | +7.6 | 3 |
| 2026-08-01 | Rubin Kazan | L 1-2 | 46.2 | 1295 | 1370 | 25.21% | 34.58% | 40.21% | -0.34 | -3.9 | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | @ Akron Tolyatti | W 2-1 | 46.2 | 1370 | 1295 | 40.21% | 34.58% | 25.21% | +0.34 | +3.9 | 3 |
| 2026-08-01 | Krylia Sovetov | D 1-1 | 53.1 | 1432 | 1323 | 49.97% | 31.44% | 18.59% | +0.78 | -0.9 | 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | @ CSKA Moscow | D 1-1 | 53.1 | 1323 | 1432 | 18.59% | 31.44% | 49.97% | -0.78 | +0.9 | 2 |
| 2026-08-01 | Lokomotiv Moscow | W 2-1 | 52.1 | 1322 | 1414 | 23.34% | 34.02% | 42.65% | -0.45 | +5.6 | 6 |
| 2026-08-01 | @ Dynamo Makhachkala | L 1-2 | 52.1 | 1414 | 1322 | 42.65% | 34.02% | 23.34% | +0.45 | -5.6 | 1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Dynamo Moscow | W 2-1 | 52.0 | 1419 | 1437 | 32.59% | 35.37% | 32.04% | +0.01 | +4.6 | 3 |
| 2026-08-01 | @ Baltika Kaliningrad | L 1-2 | 52.0 | 1437 | 1419 | 32.04% | 35.37% | 32.59% | -0.01 | -4.6 | 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Zenit St. Petersburg | L 0-3 | 32.3 | 1311 | 1536 | 13.96% | 26.32% | 59.72% | -1.25 | -6.3 | 3 |
| 2026-08-02 | @ Orenburg | W 3-0 | 32.3 | 1536 | 1311 | 59.72% | 26.32% | 13.96% | +1.25 | +6.3 | 6 |
| 2026-08-02 | Fakel Voronezh | W 3-2 | 48.2 | 1508 | 1314 | 60.53% | 25.83% | 13.63% | +1.29 | +2.0 | 6 |
| 2026-08-02 | @ Krasnodar | L 2-3 | 48.2 | 1314 | 1508 | 13.63% | 25.83% | 60.53% | -1.29 | -2.0 | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Spartak Moscow | L 1-2 | 46.6 | 1337 | 1443 | 22.04% | 33.50% | 44.46% | -0.53 | -3.5 | 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | @ Akhmat Grozny | W 2-1 | 46.6 | 1443 | 1337 | 44.46% | 33.50% | 22.04% | +0.53 | +3.5 | 6 |
| 2026-08-08 | Baltika Kaliningrad | L 0-2 | 36.5 | 1324 | 1424 | 22.66% | 33.76% | 43.58% | -0.49 | -7.2 | 2 |
| 2026-08-08 | @ Krylia Sovetov | W 2-0 | 36.5 | 1424 | 1324 | 43.58% | 33.76% | 22.66% | +0.49 | +7.2 | 6 |
| 2026-08-08 | Akron Tolyatti | D 0-0 | 47.6 | 1408 | 1291 | 51.03% | 30.97% | 18.00% | +0.83 | -1.1 | 2 |
| 2026-08-08 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | D 0-0 | 47.6 | 1291 | 1408 | 18.00% | 30.97% | 51.03% | -0.83 | +1.1 | 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Rostov | D 0-0 | 48.3 | 1431 | 1347 | 46.73% | 32.74% | 20.53% | +0.63 | -0.8 | 5 |
| 2026-08-08 | @ CSKA Moscow | D 0-0 | 48.3 | 1347 | 1431 | 20.53% | 32.74% | 46.73% | -0.63 | +0.8 | 4 |
| 2026-08-09 | Dynamo Makhachkala | W 3-1 | 41.2 | 1432 | 1327 | 49.45% | 31.67% | 18.89% | +0.75 | +5.3 | 4 |
| 2026-08-09 | @ Dynamo Moscow | L 1-3 | 41.2 | 1327 | 1432 | 18.89% | 31.67% | 49.45% | -0.75 | -5.3 | 6 |
| 2026-08-09 | Rodina Moscow | L 1-2 | 58.5 | 1542 | 1331 | 62.69% | 24.50% | 12.81% | +1.40 | -7.4 | 6 |
| 2026-08-09 | @ Zenit St. Petersburg | W 2-1 | 58.5 | 1331 | 1542 | 12.81% | 24.50% | 62.69% | -1.40 | +7.4 | 3 |
| 2026-08-09 | Orenburg | D 1-1 | 51.4 | 1374 | 1304 | 44.80% | 33.39% | 21.80% | +0.54 | -0.6 | 4 |
| 2026-08-09 | @ Rubin Kazan | D 1-1 | 51.4 | 1304 | 1374 | 21.80% | 33.39% | 44.80% | -0.54 | +0.6 | 4 |
| 2026-08-09 | Krasnodar | L 1-2 | 53.6 | 1447 | 1510 | 26.62% | 34.89% | 38.50% | -0.26 | -4.1 | 6 |
| 2026-08-09 | @ Spartak Moscow | W 2-1 | 53.6 | 1510 | 1447 | 38.50% | 34.89% | 26.62% | +0.26 | +4.1 | 9 |
| 2026-08-10 | Akhmat Grozny | D 0-0 | 45.6 | 1312 | 1334 | 31.94% | 35.37% | 32.69% | -0.02 | +0.0 | 1 |
| 2026-08-10 | @ Fakel Voronezh | D 0-0 | 45.6 | 1334 | 1312 | 32.69% | 35.37% | 31.94% | +0.02 | -0.0 | 2 |
| 2026-08-14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | D 1-1 | 51.7 | 1305 | 1407 | 22.38% | 33.64% | 43.98% | -0.50 | +0.6 | 5 |
| 2026-08-14 | @ Orenburg | D 1-1 | 51.7 | 1407 | 1305 | 43.98% | 33.64% | 22.38% | +0.50 | -0.6 | 3 |
| 2026-08-15 | Akron Tolyatti | D 3-3 | 60.9 | 1338 | 1292 | 41.50% | 34.30% | 24.20% | +0.39 | -0.3 | 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | @ Rodina Moscow | D 3-3 | 60.9 | 1292 | 1338 | 24.20% | 34.30% | 41.50% | -0.39 | +0.3 | 2 |
| 2026-08-15 | Fakel Voronezh | W 1-0 | 37.9 | 1431 | 1312 | 51.22% | 30.88% | 17.90% | +0.84 | +3.1 | 8 |
| 2026-08-15 | @ CSKA Moscow | L 0-1 | 37.9 | 1312 | 1431 | 17.90% | 30.88% | 51.22% | -0.84 | -3.1 | 1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Rubin Kazan | D 1-1 | 51.3 | 1348 | 1374 | 31.43% | 35.36% | 33.21% | -0.04 | +0.0 | 5 |
| 2026-08-15 | @ Rostov | D 1-1 | 51.3 | 1374 | 1348 | 33.21% | 35.36% | 31.43% | +0.04 | -0.0 | 5 |
| 2026-08-15 | Akhmat Grozny | W 1-0 | 37.9 | 1514 | 1334 | 58.87% | 26.83% | 14.31% | +1.21 | +2.4 | 12 |
| 2026-08-15 | @ Krasnodar | L 0-1 | 37.9 | 1334 | 1514 | 14.31% | 26.83% | 58.87% | -1.21 | -2.4 | 2 |
| 2026-08-16 | Dynamo Moscow | W 3-0 | 39.8 | 1535 | 1437 | 48.54% | 32.04% | 19.42% | +0.71 | +9.1 | 9 |
| 2026-08-16 | @ Zenit St. Petersburg | L 0-3 | 39.8 | 1437 | 1535 | 19.42% | 32.04% | 48.54% | -0.71 | -9.1 | 4 |
| 2026-08-16 | Dynamo Makhachkala | L 1-4 | 43.1 | 1317 | 1322 | 34.42% | 35.31% | 30.27% | +0.09 | -11.9 | 2 |
| 2026-08-16 | @ Krylia Sovetov | W 4-1 | 43.1 | 1322 | 1317 | 30.27% | 35.31% | 34.42% | -0.09 | +11.9 | 9 |
| 2026-08-16 | Spartak Moscow | L 1-2 | 52.9 | 1431 | 1443 | 33.40% | 35.35% | 31.25% | +0.05 | -4.8 | 6 |
| 2026-08-16 | @ Baltika Kaliningrad | W 2-1 | 52.9 | 1443 | 1431 | 31.25% | 35.35% | 33.40% | -0.05 | +4.8 | 9 |
| 2026-08-22 | Orenburg | D 0-0 | 45.4 | 1309 | 1306 | 35.56% | 35.23% | 29.20% | +0.14 | -0.2 | 2 |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Fakel Voronezh | D 0-0 | 45.4 | 1306 | 1309 | 29.20% | 35.23% | 35.56% | -0.14 | +0.2 | 6 |
| 2026-08-22 | Rostov | W 4-1 | 42.7 | 1332 | 1348 | 32.72% | 35.37% | 31.91% | +0.02 | +11.3 | 5 |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Akhmat Grozny | L 1-4 | 42.7 | 1348 | 1332 | 31.91% | 35.37% | 32.72% | -0.02 | -11.3 | 5 |
| 2026-08-22 | Lokomotiv Moscow | W 3-2 | 55.2 | 1434 | 1407 | 38.89% | 34.82% | 26.29% | +0.28 | +3.8 | 11 |
| 2026-08-22 | @ CSKA Moscow | L 2-3 | 55.2 | 1407 | 1434 | 26.29% | 34.82% | 38.89% | -0.28 | -3.8 | 3 |
| 2026-08-23 | Krylia Sovetov | L 0-3 | 37.0 | 1293 | 1305 | 33.30% | 35.36% | 31.35% | +0.04 | -13.8 | 2 |
| 2026-08-23 | @ Akron Tolyatti | W 3-0 | 37.0 | 1305 | 1293 | 31.35% | 35.36% | 33.30% | -0.04 | +13.8 | 5 |
| 2026-08-23 | Rodina Moscow | W 3-1 | 41.9 | 1428 | 1338 | 47.54% | 32.44% | 20.02% | +0.67 | +5.6 | 7 |
| 2026-08-23 | @ Dynamo Moscow | L 1-3 | 41.9 | 1338 | 1428 | 20.02% | 32.44% | 47.54% | -0.67 | -5.6 | 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Krasnodar | L 0-1 | 39.3 | 1334 | 1516 | 16.28% | 29.30% | 54.42% | -0.99 | -2.8 | 9 |
| 2026-08-23 | @ Dynamo Makhachkala | W 1-0 | 39.3 | 1516 | 1334 | 54.42% | 29.30% | 16.28% | +0.99 | +2.8 | 15 |
| 2026-08-23 | Zenit St. Petersburg | W 2-0 | 49.7 | 1448 | 1544 | 22.93% | 33.86% | 43.21% | -0.47 | +11.4 | 12 |
| 2026-08-23 | @ Spartak Moscow | L 0-2 | 49.7 | 1544 | 1448 | 43.21% | 33.86% | 22.93% | +0.47 | -11.4 | 9 |
| 2026-08-24 | Rubin Kazan | D 1-1 | 53.2 | 1426 | 1374 | 42.48% | 34.06% | 23.46% | +0.44 | -0.5 | 7 |
| 2026-08-24 | @ Baltika Kaliningrad | D 1-1 | 53.2 | 1374 | 1426 | 23.46% | 34.06% | 42.48% | -0.44 | +0.5 | 6 |
| 2026-08-28 | CSKA Moscow | D 2-2 | 58.9 | 1279 | 1437 | 17.81% | 30.80% | 51.39% | -0.85 | +0.7 | 3 |
| 2026-08-28 | @ Akron Tolyatti | D 2-2 | 58.9 | 1437 | 1279 | 51.39% | 30.80% | 17.81% | +0.85 | -0.7 | 12 |
| 2026-08-29 | Zenit St. Petersburg | L 0-1 | 37.5 | 1309 | 1533 | 14.02% | 26.41% | 59.56% | -1.24 | -2.3 | 2 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Fakel Voronezh | W 1-0 | 37.5 | 1533 | 1309 | 59.56% | 26.41% | 14.02% | +1.24 | +2.3 | 12 |
| 2026-08-29 | Rostov | W 1-0 | 38.0 | 1519 | 1337 | 59.16% | 26.66% | 14.19% | +1.22 | +2.4 | 18 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Krasnodar | L 0-1 | 38.0 | 1337 | 1519 | 14.19% | 26.66% | 59.16% | -1.22 | -2.4 | 5 |
| 2026-08-29 | Krylia Sovetov | D 3-3 | 61.0 | 1343 | 1319 | 38.46% | 34.89% | 26.65% | +0.26 | -0.2 | 6 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Akhmat Grozny | D 3-3 | 61.0 | 1319 | 1343 | 26.65% | 34.89% | 38.46% | -0.26 | +0.2 | 6 |
| 2026-08-29 | Dynamo Moscow | L 0-1 | 45.0 | 1403 | 1434 | 30.71% | 35.33% | 33.96% | -0.07 | -4.8 | 3 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | W 1-0 | 45.0 | 1434 | 1403 | 33.96% | 35.33% | 30.71% | +0.07 | +4.8 | 10 |
| 2026-08-30 | Baltika Kaliningrad | L 0-3 | 35.4 | 1332 | 1426 | 23.24% | 33.98% | 42.78% | -0.45 | -10.7 | 4 |
| 2026-08-30 | @ Rodina Moscow | W 3-0 | 35.4 | 1426 | 1332 | 42.78% | 33.98% | 23.24% | +0.45 | +10.7 | 10 |
| 2026-08-30 | Orenburg | D 1-1 | 54.1 | 1459 | 1306 | 55.60% | 28.68% | 15.73% | +1.05 | -1.2 | 13 |
| 2026-08-30 | @ Spartak Moscow | D 1-1 | 54.1 | 1306 | 1459 | 15.73% | 28.68% | 55.60% | -1.05 | +1.2 | 7 |
| 2026-08-30 | Dynamo Makhachkala | W 3-1 | 42.9 | 1374 | 1331 | 41.15% | 34.38% | 24.47% | +0.38 | +6.6 | 9 |
| 2026-08-30 | @ Rubin Kazan | L 1-3 | 42.9 | 1331 | 1374 | 24.47% | 34.38% | 41.15% | -0.38 | -6.6 | 9 |
| 2026-09-05 | Krasnodar | D 2-2 | 62.3 | 1319 | 1521 | 15.16% | 27.98% | 56.86% | -1.11 | +0.9 | 7 |
| 2026-09-05 | @ Krylia Sovetov | D 2-2 | 62.3 | 1521 | 1319 | 56.86% | 27.98% | 15.16% | +1.11 | -0.9 | 19 |
| 2026-09-05 | CSKA Moscow | L 1-2 | 59.9 | 1535 | 1437 | 48.62% | 32.01% | 19.37% | +0.72 | -6.2 | 12 |
| 2026-09-05 | @ Zenit St. Petersburg | W 2-1 | 59.9 | 1437 | 1535 | 19.37% | 32.01% | 48.62% | -0.72 | +6.2 | 15 |
| 2026-09-05 | Fakel Voronezh | W 3-1 | 42.8 | 1334 | 1306 | 39.04% | 34.80% | 26.16% | +0.29 | +7.0 | 8 |
| 2026-09-05 | @ Rostov | L 1-3 | 42.8 | 1306 | 1334 | 26.16% | 34.80% | 39.04% | -0.29 | -7.0 | 2 |
| 2026-09-06 | Akron Tolyatti | D 2-2 | 56.5 | 1307 | 1280 | 38.95% | 34.81% | 26.24% | +0.28 | -0.3 | 8 |
| 2026-09-06 | @ Orenburg | D 2-2 | 56.5 | 1280 | 1307 | 26.24% | 34.81% | 38.95% | -0.28 | +0.3 | 4 |
| 2026-09-06 | Rodina Moscow | W 2-0 | 37.6 | 1324 | 1322 | 35.49% | 35.24% | 29.27% | +0.13 | +8.7 | 12 |
| 2026-09-06 | @ Dynamo Makhachkala | L 0-2 | 37.6 | 1322 | 1324 | 29.27% | 35.24% | 35.49% | -0.13 | -8.7 | 4 |
| 2026-09-06 | Spartak Moscow | W 2-1 | 53.3 | 1438 | 1458 | 32.33% | 35.37% | 32.31% | +0.00 | +4.7 | 13 |
| 2026-09-06 | @ Dynamo Moscow | L 1-2 | 53.3 | 1458 | 1438 | 32.31% | 35.37% | 32.33% | +0.00 | -4.7 | 13 |
| 2026-09-06 | Lokomotiv Moscow | L 0-1 | 47.7 | 1436 | 1398 | 40.48% | 34.52% | 24.99% | +0.35 | -5.8 | 10 |
| 2026-09-06 | @ Baltika Kaliningrad | W 1-0 | 47.7 | 1398 | 1436 | 24.99% | 34.52% | 40.48% | -0.35 | +5.8 | 6 |
| 2026-09-07 | Akhmat Grozny | D 1-1 | 51.6 | 1381 | 1343 | 40.45% | 34.53% | 25.02% | +0.35 | -0.4 | 10 |
| 2026-09-07 | @ Rubin Kazan | D 1-1 | 51.6 | 1343 | 1381 | 25.02% | 34.53% | 40.45% | -0.35 | +0.4 | 7 |
| 2026-09-11 | Rodina Moscow | W 2-1 | 47.1 | 1320 | 1313 | 36.14% | 35.18% | 28.67% | +0.16 | +4.3 | 10 |
| 2026-09-11 | @ Krylia Sovetov | L 1-2 | 47.1 | 1313 | 1320 | 28.67% | 35.18% | 36.14% | -0.16 | -4.3 | 4 |
| 2026-09-12 | Baltika Kaliningrad | D 2-2 | 58.7 | 1299 | 1431 | 19.84% | 32.32% | 47.84% | -0.68 | +0.6 | 3 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Fakel Voronezh | D 2-2 | 58.7 | 1431 | 1299 | 47.84% | 32.32% | 19.84% | +0.68 | -0.6 | 11 |
| 2026-09-12 | Lokomotiv Moscow | W 2-1 | 48.6 | 1529 | 1404 | 52.07% | 30.48% | 17.45% | +0.88 | +2.8 | 15 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Zenit St. Petersburg | L 1-2 | 48.6 | 1404 | 1529 | 17.45% | 30.48% | 52.07% | -0.88 | -2.8 | 6 |
| 2026-09-12 | Orenburg | W 1-0 | 37.3 | 1443 | 1307 | 53.51% | 29.77% | 16.72% | +0.95 | +2.9 | 16 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Dynamo Moscow | L 0-1 | 37.3 | 1307 | 1443 | 16.72% | 29.77% | 53.51% | -0.95 | -2.9 | 8 |
| 2026-09-12 | Rubin Kazan | D 1-1 | 53.8 | 1443 | 1380 | 43.84% | 33.68% | 22.47% | +0.50 | -0.6 | 16 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ CSKA Moscow | D 1-1 | 53.8 | 1380 | 1443 | 22.47% | 33.68% | 43.84% | -0.50 | +0.6 | 11 |
| 2026-09-13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | W 3-2 | 52.8 | 1343 | 1333 | 36.52% | 35.15% | 28.33% | +0.18 | +4.1 | 10 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ Akhmat Grozny | L 2-3 | 52.8 | 1333 | 1343 | 28.33% | 35.15% | 36.52% | -0.18 | -4.0 | 12 |
| 2026-09-13 | Rostov | W 3-0 | 33.9 | 1453 | 1341 | 50.35% | 31.28% | 18.38% | +0.80 | +8.7 | 16 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ Spartak Moscow | L 0-3 | 33.9 | 1341 | 1453 | 18.38% | 31.28% | 50.35% | -0.80 | -8.7 | 8 |
| 2026-09-13 | Akron Tolyatti | D 1-1 | 56.7 | 1520 | 1280 | 65.98% | 22.40% | 11.62% | +1.58 | -1.6 | 20 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ Krasnodar | D 1-1 | 56.7 | 1280 | 1520 | 11.62% | 22.40% | 65.98% | -1.58 | +1.6 | 5 |
| 2026-09-16 | Rubin Kazan | D 1-1 | 51.1 | 1308 | 1381 | 25.50% | 34.65% | 39.85% | -0.32 | +0.4 | 5 |
| 2026-09-16 | @ Rodina Moscow | D 1-1 | 51.1 | 1381 | 1308 | 39.85% | 34.65% | 25.50% | +0.32 | -0.4 | 12 |
| 2026-09-16 | Fakel Voronezh | W 1-0 | 36.6 | 1462 | 1300 | 56.66% | 28.09% | 15.25% | +1.10 | +2.6 | 19 |
| 2026-09-16 | @ Spartak Moscow | L 0-1 | 36.6 | 1300 | 1462 | 15.25% | 28.09% | 56.66% | -1.10 | -2.6 | 3 |
| 2026-09-16 | Zenit St. Petersburg | L 2-3 | 57.6 | 1430 | 1532 | 22.43% | 33.67% | 43.90% | -0.50 | -3.4 | 11 |
| 2026-09-16 | @ Baltika Kaliningrad | W 3-2 | 57.6 | 1532 | 1430 | 43.90% | 33.67% | 22.43% | +0.50 | +3.4 | 18 |
| 2026-09-16 | Krylia Sovetov | D 1-1 | 52.1 | 1401 | 1324 | 45.72% | 33.09% | 21.19% | +0.58 | -0.7 | 7 |
| 2026-09-16 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | D 1-1 | 52.1 | 1324 | 1401 | 21.19% | 33.09% | 45.72% | -0.58 | +0.7 | 11 |
| 2026-09-17 | Krasnodar | D 0-0 | 51.0 | 1304 | 1519 | 14.49% | 27.08% | 58.43% | -1.19 | +1.5 | 9 |
| 2026-09-17 | @ Orenburg | D 0-0 | 51.0 | 1519 | 1304 | 58.43% | 27.08% | 14.49% | +1.19 | -1.5 | 21 |
| 2026-09-17 | Akhmat Grozny | W 2-0 | 40.2 | 1282 | 1347 | 26.28% | 34.82% | 38.90% | -0.28 | +10.6 | 8 |
| 2026-09-17 | @ Akron Tolyatti | L 0-2 | 40.2 | 1347 | 1282 | 38.90% | 34.82% | 26.28% | +0.28 | -10.6 | 10 |
| 2026-09-17 | Dynamo Moscow | L 0-3 | 35.0 | 1333 | 1446 | 21.36% | 33.18% | 45.46% | -0.57 | -10.0 | 8 |
| 2026-09-17 | @ Rostov | W 3-0 | 35.0 | 1446 | 1333 | 45.46% | 33.18% | 21.36% | +0.57 | +10.0 | 19 |
| 2026-09-17 | CSKA Moscow | L 1-3 | 42.6 | 1329 | 1442 | 21.36% | 33.18% | 45.47% | -0.57 | -5.9 | 12 |
| 2026-09-17 | @ Dynamo Makhachkala | W 3-1 | 42.6 | 1442 | 1329 | 45.47% | 33.18% | 21.36% | +0.57 | +5.9 | 19 |
Upcoming Games
Remaining games on the team's schedule
| Date | Opponent | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Proj. Margin | Excitement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 1337 | 1427 | 23.59% | 34.10% | 42.31% | -0.43 | 49.7 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Akhmat Grozny | 1427 | 1337 | 42.31% | 34.10% | 23.59% | +0.43 | 49.7 |
| 2026-10-10 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1297 | 1400 | 22.32% | 33.62% | 44.06% | -0.51 | 36.6 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Fakel Voronezh | 1400 | 1297 | 44.06% | 33.62% | 22.32% | +0.51 | 36.6 |
| 2026-10-10 | Zenit St. Petersburg | 1517 | 1535 | 32.50% | 35.37% | 32.14% | +0.01 | 71.4 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Krasnodar | 1535 | 1517 | 32.14% | 35.37% | 32.50% | -0.01 | 71.4 |
| 2026-10-10 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1305 | 1323 | 32.55% | 35.37% | 32.09% | +0.01 | 50.9 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Orenburg | 1323 | 1305 | 32.09% | 35.37% | 32.55% | -0.01 | 50.9 |
| 2026-10-10 | Akron Tolyatti | 1323 | 1292 | 39.42% | 34.73% | 25.85% | +0.30 | 48.4 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Rostov | 1292 | 1323 | 25.85% | 34.73% | 39.42% | -0.30 | 48.4 |
| 2026-10-10 | Spartak Moscow | 1325 | 1464 | 19.21% | 31.90% | 48.88% | -0.73 | 46.0 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Krylia Sovetov | 1464 | 1325 | 48.88% | 31.90% | 19.21% | +0.73 | 46.0 |
| 2026-10-10 | Dynamo Moscow | 1380 | 1456 | 25.14% | 34.56% | 40.29% | -0.34 | 52.2 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Rubin Kazan | 1456 | 1380 | 40.29% | 34.56% | 25.14% | +0.34 | 52.2 |
| 2026-10-10 | Rodina Moscow | 1448 | 1309 | 53.88% | 29.58% | 16.54% | +0.96 | 40.6 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ CSKA Moscow | 1309 | 1448 | 16.54% | 29.58% | 53.88% | -0.96 | 40.6 |
| 2026-10-17 | Rostov | 1427 | 1323 | 49.33% | 31.72% | 18.95% | +0.75 | 43.9 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Baltika Kaliningrad | 1323 | 1427 | 18.95% | 31.72% | 49.33% | -0.75 | 43.9 |
| 2026-10-17 | Akron Tolyatti | 1323 | 1292 | 39.46% | 34.72% | 25.82% | +0.31 | 53.5 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Dynamo Makhachkala | 1292 | 1323 | 25.82% | 34.72% | 39.46% | -0.31 | 53.5 |
| 2026-10-17 | CSKA Moscow | 1456 | 1448 | 36.18% | 35.18% | 28.64% | +0.16 | 64.0 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Dynamo Moscow | 1448 | 1456 | 28.64% | 35.18% | 36.18% | -0.16 | 64.0 |
| 2026-10-17 | Fakel Voronezh | 1325 | 1297 | 39.01% | 34.80% | 26.19% | +0.29 | 47.1 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Krylia Sovetov | 1297 | 1325 | 26.19% | 34.80% | 39.01% | -0.29 | 47.1 |
| 2026-10-17 | Krasnodar | 1400 | 1517 | 21.05% | 33.02% | 45.92% | -0.59 | 45.3 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | 1517 | 1400 | 45.92% | 33.02% | 21.05% | +0.59 | 45.3 |
| 2026-10-17 | Orenburg | 1309 | 1305 | 35.59% | 35.23% | 29.17% | +0.14 | 47.9 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Rodina Moscow | 1305 | 1309 | 29.17% | 35.23% | 35.59% | -0.14 | 47.9 |
| 2026-10-17 | Rubin Kazan | 1464 | 1380 | 46.69% | 32.75% | 20.56% | +0.63 | 52.8 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Spartak Moscow | 1380 | 1464 | 20.56% | 32.75% | 46.69% | -0.63 | 52.8 |
| 2026-10-17 | Akhmat Grozny | 1535 | 1337 | 61.14% | 25.46% | 13.40% | +1.32 | 43.1 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Zenit St. Petersburg | 1337 | 1535 | 13.40% | 25.46% | 61.14% | -1.32 | 43.1 |
| 2026-10-24 | Orenburg | 1337 | 1305 | 39.51% | 34.71% | 25.78% | +0.31 | 47.7 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Akhmat Grozny | 1305 | 1337 | 25.78% | 34.71% | 39.51% | -0.31 | 47.7 |
| 2026-10-24 | Dynamo Moscow | 1292 | 1456 | 17.45% | 30.48% | 52.08% | -0.88 | 38.5 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Akron Tolyatti | 1456 | 1292 | 52.08% | 30.48% | 17.45% | +0.88 | 38.5 |
| 2026-10-24 | Rodina Moscow | 1297 | 1309 | 33.46% | 35.35% | 31.19% | +0.05 | 46.8 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Fakel Voronezh | 1309 | 1297 | 31.19% | 35.35% | 33.46% | -0.05 | 46.8 |
| 2026-10-24 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 1517 | 1427 | 47.57% | 32.43% | 20.01% | +0.67 | 55.1 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Krasnodar | 1427 | 1517 | 20.01% | 32.43% | 47.57% | -0.67 | 55.1 |
| 2026-10-24 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1323 | 1400 | 24.91% | 34.50% | 40.59% | -0.35 | 42.2 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Rostov | 1400 | 1323 | 40.59% | 34.50% | 24.91% | +0.35 | 42.2 |
| 2026-10-24 | Krylia Sovetov | 1380 | 1325 | 42.83% | 33.97% | 23.20% | +0.45 | 50.6 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Rubin Kazan | 1325 | 1380 | 23.20% | 33.97% | 42.83% | -0.45 | 50.6 |
| 2026-10-24 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1535 | 1323 | 62.74% | 24.47% | 12.79% | +1.41 | 42.6 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Zenit St. Petersburg | 1323 | 1535 | 12.79% | 24.47% | 62.74% | -1.41 | 42.6 |
| 2026-10-24 | Spartak Moscow | 1448 | 1464 | 32.79% | 35.36% | 31.85% | +0.02 | 65.3 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ CSKA Moscow | 1464 | 1448 | 31.85% | 35.36% | 32.79% | -0.02 | 65.3 |
| 2026-10-31 | Akron Tolyatti | 1427 | 1292 | 53.27% | 29.89% | 16.84% | +0.94 | 40.6 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Baltika Kaliningrad | 1292 | 1427 | 16.84% | 29.89% | 53.27% | -0.94 | 40.6 |
| 2026-10-31 | Rostov | 1323 | 1323 | 35.13% | 35.27% | 29.60% | +0.12 | 55.5 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Dynamo Makhachkala | 1323 | 1323 | 29.60% | 35.27% | 35.13% | -0.12 | 55.5 |
| 2026-10-31 | Akhmat Grozny | 1456 | 1337 | 51.33% | 30.83% | 17.84% | +0.84 | 45.9 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Dynamo Moscow | 1337 | 1456 | 17.84% | 30.83% | 51.33% | -0.84 | 45.9 |
| 2026-10-31 | CSKA Moscow | 1305 | 1448 | 18.92% | 31.69% | 49.38% | -0.75 | 37.8 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Orenburg | 1448 | 1305 | 49.38% | 31.69% | 18.92% | +0.75 | 37.8 |
| 2026-10-31 | Zenit St. Petersburg | 1325 | 1535 | 14.73% | 27.41% | 57.86% | -1.16 | 42.9 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Krylia Sovetov | 1535 | 1325 | 57.86% | 27.41% | 14.73% | +1.16 | 42.9 |
| 2026-10-31 | Spartak Moscow | 1400 | 1464 | 26.47% | 34.86% | 38.67% | -0.27 | 52.3 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | 1464 | 1400 | 38.67% | 34.86% | 26.47% | +0.27 | 52.3 |
| 2026-10-31 | Krasnodar | 1309 | 1517 | 14.82% | 27.54% | 57.65% | -1.15 | 34.9 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Rodina Moscow | 1517 | 1309 | 57.65% | 27.54% | 14.82% | +1.15 | 34.9 |
| 2026-10-31 | Fakel Voronezh | 1380 | 1297 | 46.57% | 32.80% | 20.64% | +0.62 | 40.3 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Rubin Kazan | 1297 | 1380 | 20.64% | 32.80% | 46.57% | -0.62 | 40.3 |
| 2026-11-07 | Rodina Moscow | 1337 | 1309 | 39.01% | 34.80% | 26.19% | +0.29 | 50.9 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Akhmat Grozny | 1309 | 1337 | 26.19% | 34.80% | 39.01% | -0.29 | 50.9 |
| 2026-11-07 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1427 | 1323 | 49.29% | 31.73% | 18.98% | +0.75 | 48.9 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Baltika Kaliningrad | 1323 | 1427 | 18.98% | 31.73% | 49.29% | -0.75 | 48.9 |
| 2026-11-07 | Dynamo Moscow | 1297 | 1456 | 17.81% | 30.80% | 51.39% | -0.85 | 34.3 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Fakel Voronezh | 1456 | 1297 | 51.39% | 30.80% | 17.81% | +0.85 | 34.3 |
| 2026-11-07 | CSKA Moscow | 1517 | 1448 | 44.68% | 33.43% | 21.89% | +0.54 | 59.5 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Krasnodar | 1448 | 1517 | 21.89% | 33.43% | 44.68% | -0.54 | 59.5 |
| 2026-11-07 | Orenburg | 1325 | 1305 | 37.91% | 34.97% | 27.12% | +0.24 | 48.7 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Krylia Sovetov | 1305 | 1325 | 27.12% | 34.97% | 37.91% | -0.24 | 48.7 |
| 2026-11-07 | Rubin Kazan | 1400 | 1380 | 37.92% | 34.97% | 27.11% | +0.24 | 50.8 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | 1380 | 1400 | 27.11% | 34.97% | 37.92% | -0.24 | 50.8 |
| 2026-11-07 | Akron Tolyatti | 1464 | 1292 | 57.95% | 27.36% | 14.69% | +1.16 | 38.9 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Spartak Moscow | 1292 | 1464 | 14.69% | 27.36% | 57.95% | -1.16 | 38.9 |
| 2026-11-07 | Rostov | 1535 | 1323 | 62.78% | 24.45% | 12.77% | +1.41 | 39.3 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Zenit St. Petersburg | 1323 | 1535 | 12.77% | 24.45% | 62.78% | -1.41 | 39.3 |
| 2026-11-21 | Fakel Voronezh | 1292 | 1297 | 34.32% | 35.32% | 30.36% | +0.08 | 47.7 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Akron Tolyatti | 1297 | 1292 | 30.36% | 35.32% | 34.32% | -0.08 | 47.7 |
| 2026-11-21 | Spartak Moscow | 1323 | 1464 | 19.05% | 31.79% | 49.16% | -0.74 | 47.2 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Dynamo Makhachkala | 1464 | 1323 | 49.16% | 31.79% | 19.05% | +0.74 | 47.2 |
| 2026-11-21 | Krasnodar | 1456 | 1517 | 26.79% | 34.92% | 38.29% | -0.25 | 60.4 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Dynamo Moscow | 1517 | 1456 | 38.29% | 34.92% | 26.79% | +0.25 | 60.4 |
| 2026-11-21 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 1305 | 1427 | 20.66% | 32.81% | 46.54% | -0.62 | 39.2 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Orenburg | 1427 | 1305 | 46.54% | 32.81% | 20.66% | +0.62 | 39.2 |
| 2026-11-21 | Krylia Sovetov | 1323 | 1325 | 34.74% | 35.29% | 29.97% | +0.10 | 53.3 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Rostov | 1325 | 1323 | 29.97% | 35.29% | 34.74% | -0.10 | 53.3 |
| 2026-11-21 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1309 | 1400 | 23.44% | 34.05% | 42.50% | -0.44 | 40.2 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Rodina Moscow | 1400 | 1309 | 42.50% | 34.05% | 23.44% | +0.44 | 40.2 |
| 2026-11-21 | Zenit St. Petersburg | 1380 | 1535 | 18.06% | 31.02% | 50.92% | -0.82 | 49.2 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Rubin Kazan | 1535 | 1380 | 50.92% | 31.02% | 18.06% | +0.82 | 49.2 |
| 2026-11-21 | Akhmat Grozny | 1448 | 1337 | 50.34% | 31.28% | 18.38% | +0.80 | 47.7 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ CSKA Moscow | 1337 | 1448 | 18.38% | 31.28% | 50.34% | -0.80 | 47.7 |
| 2026-11-28 | Akhmat Grozny | 1427 | 1337 | 47.51% | 32.45% | 20.04% | +0.66 | 49.1 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Baltika Kaliningrad | 1337 | 1427 | 20.04% | 32.45% | 47.51% | -0.66 | 49.1 |
| 2026-11-28 | Spartak Moscow | 1297 | 1464 | 17.25% | 30.29% | 52.46% | -0.90 | 35.3 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Fakel Voronezh | 1464 | 1297 | 52.46% | 30.29% | 17.25% | +0.90 | 35.3 |
| 2026-11-28 | Rodina Moscow | 1305 | 1309 | 34.58% | 35.30% | 30.12% | +0.10 | 48.0 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Orenburg | 1309 | 1305 | 30.12% | 35.30% | 34.58% | -0.10 | 48.0 |
| 2026-11-28 | Krasnodar | 1323 | 1517 | 15.57% | 28.49% | 55.93% | -1.06 | 36.5 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Rostov | 1517 | 1323 | 55.93% | 28.49% | 15.57% | +1.06 | 36.5 |
| 2026-11-28 | Dynamo Moscow | 1325 | 1456 | 19.87% | 32.34% | 47.79% | -0.68 | 44.9 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Krylia Sovetov | 1456 | 1325 | 47.79% | 32.34% | 19.87% | +0.68 | 44.9 |
| 2026-11-28 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1400 | 1323 | 45.82% | 33.06% | 21.12% | +0.59 | 46.0 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | 1323 | 1400 | 21.12% | 33.06% | 45.82% | -0.59 | 46.0 |
| 2026-11-28 | Akron Tolyatti | 1380 | 1292 | 47.28% | 32.54% | 20.19% | +0.65 | 43.9 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Rubin Kazan | 1292 | 1380 | 20.19% | 32.54% | 47.28% | -0.65 | 43.9 |
| 2026-11-28 | Zenit St. Petersburg | 1448 | 1535 | 23.91% | 34.21% | 41.88% | -0.41 | 61.7 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ CSKA Moscow | 1535 | 1448 | 41.88% | 34.21% | 23.91% | +0.41 | 61.7 |
| 2026-12-05 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1337 | 1400 | 26.48% | 34.86% | 38.66% | -0.27 | 46.5 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Akhmat Grozny | 1400 | 1337 | 38.66% | 34.86% | 26.48% | +0.27 | 46.5 |
| 2026-12-05 | Orenburg | 1292 | 1305 | 33.20% | 35.36% | 31.44% | +0.04 | 47.7 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Akron Tolyatti | 1305 | 1292 | 31.44% | 35.36% | 33.20% | -0.04 | 47.7 |
| 2026-12-05 | Krylia Sovetov | 1323 | 1325 | 34.78% | 35.29% | 29.93% | +0.10 | 58.4 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Dynamo Makhachkala | 1325 | 1323 | 29.93% | 35.29% | 34.78% | -0.10 | 58.4 |
| 2026-12-05 | Rostov | 1297 | 1323 | 31.47% | 35.36% | 33.17% | -0.04 | 45.7 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Fakel Voronezh | 1323 | 1297 | 33.17% | 35.36% | 31.47% | +0.04 | 45.7 |
| 2026-12-05 | Rubin Kazan | 1517 | 1380 | 53.54% | 29.75% | 16.70% | +0.95 | 45.5 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Krasnodar | 1380 | 1517 | 16.70% | 29.75% | 53.54% | -0.95 | 45.5 |
| 2026-12-05 | CSKA Moscow | 1309 | 1448 | 19.19% | 31.89% | 48.92% | -0.73 | 41.4 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Rodina Moscow | 1448 | 1309 | 48.92% | 31.89% | 19.19% | +0.73 | 41.4 |
| 2026-12-05 | Dynamo Moscow | 1464 | 1456 | 36.28% | 35.17% | 28.55% | +0.17 | 65.3 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Spartak Moscow | 1456 | 1464 | 28.55% | 35.17% | 36.28% | -0.17 | 65.3 |
| 2026-12-05 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 1535 | 1427 | 49.94% | 31.46% | 18.61% | +0.78 | 57.0 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Zenit St. Petersburg | 1427 | 1535 | 18.61% | 31.46% | 49.94% | -0.78 | 57.0 |
| 2027-02-27 | Akron Tolyatti | 1337 | 1292 | 41.34% | 34.34% | 24.32% | +0.39 | 50.0 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Akhmat Grozny | 1292 | 1337 | 24.32% | 34.34% | 41.34% | -0.39 | 50.0 |
| 2027-02-27 | Rodina Moscow | 1427 | 1309 | 51.13% | 30.92% | 17.95% | +0.83 | 41.9 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Baltika Kaliningrad | 1309 | 1427 | 17.95% | 30.92% | 51.13% | -0.83 | 41.9 |
| 2027-02-27 | Orenburg | 1323 | 1305 | 37.61% | 35.02% | 27.38% | +0.23 | 50.8 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Dynamo Makhachkala | 1305 | 1323 | 27.38% | 35.02% | 37.61% | -0.23 | 50.8 |
| 2027-02-27 | Rubin Kazan | 1456 | 1380 | 45.57% | 33.14% | 21.29% | +0.58 | 51.7 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Dynamo Moscow | 1380 | 1456 | 21.29% | 33.14% | 45.57% | -0.58 | 51.7 |
| 2027-02-27 | Spartak Moscow | 1517 | 1464 | 42.50% | 34.05% | 23.45% | +0.44 | 62.9 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Krasnodar | 1464 | 1517 | 23.45% | 34.05% | 42.50% | -0.44 | 62.9 |
| 2027-02-27 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1325 | 1400 | 25.18% | 34.57% | 40.25% | -0.34 | 44.9 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Krylia Sovetov | 1400 | 1325 | 40.25% | 34.57% | 25.18% | +0.34 | 44.9 |
| 2027-02-27 | Fakel Voronezh | 1535 | 1297 | 65.69% | 22.59% | 11.72% | +1.56 | 32.8 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Zenit St. Petersburg | 1297 | 1535 | 11.72% | 22.59% | 65.69% | -1.56 | 32.8 |
| 2027-02-27 | Rostov | 1448 | 1323 | 52.12% | 30.45% | 17.42% | +0.88 | 42.6 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ CSKA Moscow | 1323 | 1448 | 17.42% | 30.45% | 52.12% | -0.88 | 42.6 |
| 2027-03-06 | Rubin Kazan | 1337 | 1380 | 28.96% | 35.21% | 35.83% | -0.15 | 52.4 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Akhmat Grozny | 1380 | 1337 | 35.83% | 35.21% | 28.96% | +0.15 | 52.4 |
| 2027-03-06 | Spartak Moscow | 1292 | 1464 | 16.90% | 29.96% | 53.14% | -0.93 | 39.8 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Akron Tolyatti | 1464 | 1292 | 53.14% | 29.96% | 16.90% | +0.93 | 39.8 |
| 2027-03-06 | Fakel Voronezh | 1323 | 1297 | 38.71% | 34.85% | 26.44% | +0.27 | 49.0 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Dynamo Makhachkala | 1297 | 1323 | 26.44% | 34.85% | 38.71% | -0.27 | 49.0 |
| 2027-03-06 | Krylia Sovetov | 1517 | 1325 | 60.35% | 25.94% | 13.71% | +1.28 | 38.8 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Krasnodar | 1325 | 1517 | 13.71% | 25.94% | 60.35% | -1.28 | 38.8 |
| 2027-03-06 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 1323 | 1427 | 22.22% | 33.58% | 44.20% | -0.51 | 44.6 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Rostov | 1427 | 1323 | 44.20% | 33.58% | 22.22% | +0.51 | 44.6 |
| 2027-03-06 | CSKA Moscow | 1400 | 1448 | 28.44% | 35.16% | 36.40% | -0.17 | 52.6 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | 1448 | 1400 | 36.40% | 35.16% | 28.44% | +0.17 | 52.6 |
| 2027-03-06 | Dynamo Moscow | 1309 | 1456 | 18.61% | 31.46% | 49.92% | -0.78 | 39.6 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Rodina Moscow | 1456 | 1309 | 49.92% | 31.46% | 18.61% | +0.78 | 39.6 |
| 2027-03-06 | Orenburg | 1535 | 1305 | 64.80% | 23.17% | 12.04% | +1.51 | 34.6 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Zenit St. Petersburg | 1305 | 1535 | 12.04% | 23.17% | 64.80% | -1.51 | 34.6 |
| 2027-03-13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1292 | 1323 | 30.69% | 35.33% | 33.98% | -0.07 | 53.7 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Akron Tolyatti | 1323 | 1292 | 33.98% | 35.33% | 30.69% | +0.07 | 53.7 |
| 2027-03-13 | Krasnodar | 1427 | 1517 | 23.55% | 34.09% | 42.36% | -0.43 | 55.7 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Baltika Kaliningrad | 1517 | 1427 | 42.36% | 34.09% | 23.55% | +0.43 | 55.7 |
| 2027-03-13 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1456 | 1400 | 42.87% | 33.96% | 23.17% | +0.46 | 50.6 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Dynamo Moscow | 1400 | 1456 | 23.17% | 33.96% | 42.87% | -0.46 | 50.6 |
| 2027-03-13 | CSKA Moscow | 1297 | 1448 | 18.35% | 31.25% | 50.40% | -0.80 | 35.9 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Fakel Voronezh | 1448 | 1297 | 50.40% | 31.25% | 18.35% | +0.80 | 35.9 |
| 2027-03-13 | Krylia Sovetov | 1305 | 1325 | 32.24% | 35.37% | 32.39% | +0.00 | 48.9 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Orenburg | 1325 | 1305 | 32.39% | 35.37% | 32.24% | +0.00 | 48.9 |
| 2027-03-13 | Zenit St. Petersburg | 1309 | 1535 | 13.91% | 26.25% | 59.84% | -1.26 | 39.0 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Rodina Moscow | 1535 | 1309 | 59.84% | 26.25% | 13.91% | +1.26 | 39.0 |
| 2027-03-13 | Rostov | 1380 | 1323 | 43.16% | 33.88% | 22.96% | +0.47 | 47.2 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Rubin Kazan | 1323 | 1380 | 22.96% | 33.88% | 43.16% | -0.47 | 47.2 |
| 2027-03-13 | Akhmat Grozny | 1464 | 1337 | 52.40% | 30.32% | 17.28% | +0.89 | 46.8 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Spartak Moscow | 1337 | 1464 | 17.28% | 30.32% | 52.40% | -0.89 | 46.8 |
| 2027-03-20 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 1323 | 1427 | 22.25% | 33.59% | 44.15% | -0.51 | 49.6 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Dynamo Makhachkala | 1427 | 1323 | 44.15% | 33.59% | 22.25% | +0.51 | 49.6 |
| 2027-03-20 | Dynamo Moscow | 1517 | 1456 | 43.64% | 33.74% | 22.62% | +0.49 | 59.9 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Krasnodar | 1456 | 1517 | 22.62% | 33.74% | 43.64% | -0.49 | 59.9 |
| 2027-03-20 | Rodina Moscow | 1323 | 1309 | 37.06% | 35.08% | 27.86% | +0.20 | 49.3 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Rostov | 1309 | 1323 | 27.86% | 35.08% | 37.06% | -0.20 | 49.3 |
| 2027-03-20 | Akhmat Grozny | 1325 | 1337 | 33.45% | 35.35% | 31.20% | +0.05 | 55.9 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Krylia Sovetov | 1337 | 1325 | 31.20% | 35.35% | 33.45% | -0.05 | 55.9 |
| 2027-03-20 | Fakel Voronezh | 1400 | 1297 | 49.20% | 31.77% | 19.03% | +0.74 | 35.9 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | 1297 | 1400 | 19.03% | 31.77% | 49.20% | -0.74 | 35.9 |
| 2027-03-20 | Spartak Moscow | 1380 | 1464 | 24.24% | 34.31% | 41.45% | -0.39 | 53.3 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Rubin Kazan | 1464 | 1380 | 41.45% | 34.31% | 24.24% | +0.39 | 53.3 |
| 2027-03-20 | Akron Tolyatti | 1535 | 1292 | 66.30% | 22.20% | 11.51% | +1.59 | 37.0 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Zenit St. Petersburg | 1292 | 1535 | 11.51% | 22.20% | 66.30% | -1.59 | 37.0 |
| 2027-03-20 | Orenburg | 1448 | 1305 | 54.33% | 29.35% | 16.32% | +0.99 | 37.0 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ CSKA Moscow | 1305 | 1448 | 16.32% | 29.35% | 54.33% | -0.99 | 37.0 |
| 2027-04-03 | Fakel Voronezh | 1337 | 1297 | 40.60% | 34.50% | 24.90% | +0.36 | 46.0 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Akhmat Grozny | 1297 | 1337 | 24.90% | 34.50% | 40.60% | -0.36 | 46.0 |
| 2027-04-03 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1292 | 1400 | 21.82% | 33.40% | 44.78% | -0.54 | 38.6 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Akron Tolyatti | 1400 | 1292 | 44.78% | 33.40% | 21.82% | +0.54 | 38.6 |
| 2027-04-03 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 1456 | 1427 | 39.23% | 34.76% | 26.00% | +0.30 | 60.4 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Dynamo Moscow | 1427 | 1456 | 26.00% | 34.76% | 39.23% | -0.30 | 60.4 |
| 2027-04-03 | Rubin Kazan | 1305 | 1380 | 25.19% | 34.57% | 40.24% | -0.34 | 42.7 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Orenburg | 1380 | 1305 | 40.24% | 34.57% | 25.19% | +0.34 | 42.7 |
| 2027-04-03 | Zenit St. Petersburg | 1323 | 1535 | 14.60% | 27.24% | 58.16% | -1.17 | 40.4 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Rostov | 1535 | 1323 | 58.16% | 27.24% | 14.60% | +1.17 | 40.4 |
| 2027-04-03 | Krylia Sovetov | 1309 | 1325 | 32.75% | 35.36% | 31.89% | +0.02 | 52.1 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Rodina Moscow | 1325 | 1309 | 31.89% | 35.36% | 32.75% | -0.02 | 52.1 |
| 2027-04-03 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1464 | 1323 | 54.12% | 29.46% | 16.42% | +0.98 | 46.4 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Spartak Moscow | 1323 | 1464 | 16.42% | 29.46% | 54.12% | -0.98 | 46.4 |
| 2027-04-03 | Krasnodar | 1448 | 1517 | 25.89% | 34.74% | 39.37% | -0.30 | 60.0 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ CSKA Moscow | 1517 | 1448 | 39.37% | 34.74% | 25.89% | +0.30 | 60.0 |
| 2027-04-10 | Dynamo Moscow | 1337 | 1456 | 20.83% | 32.90% | 46.27% | -0.61 | 46.6 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Akhmat Grozny | 1456 | 1337 | 46.27% | 32.90% | 20.83% | +0.61 | 46.6 |
| 2027-04-10 | CSKA Moscow | 1427 | 1448 | 31.99% | 35.37% | 32.65% | -0.01 | 62.0 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Baltika Kaliningrad | 1448 | 1427 | 32.65% | 35.37% | 31.99% | +0.01 | 62.0 |
| 2027-04-10 | Rubin Kazan | 1323 | 1380 | 27.25% | 35.00% | 37.75% | -0.23 | 52.8 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Dynamo Makhachkala | 1380 | 1323 | 37.75% | 35.00% | 27.25% | +0.23 | 52.8 |
| 2027-04-10 | Akron Tolyatti | 1297 | 1292 | 35.85% | 35.21% | 28.94% | +0.15 | 47.6 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Fakel Voronezh | 1292 | 1297 | 28.94% | 35.21% | 35.85% | -0.15 | 47.6 |
| 2027-04-10 | Rodina Moscow | 1517 | 1309 | 62.29% | 24.75% | 12.96% | +1.38 | 33.9 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Krasnodar | 1309 | 1517 | 12.96% | 24.75% | 62.29% | -1.38 | 33.9 |
| 2027-04-10 | Spartak Moscow | 1305 | 1464 | 17.77% | 30.77% | 51.46% | -0.85 | 37.3 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Orenburg | 1464 | 1305 | 51.46% | 30.77% | 17.77% | +0.85 | 37.3 |
| 2027-04-10 | Rostov | 1325 | 1323 | 35.44% | 35.25% | 29.32% | +0.13 | 53.3 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Krylia Sovetov | 1323 | 1325 | 29.32% | 35.25% | 35.44% | -0.13 | 53.3 |
| 2027-04-10 | Zenit St. Petersburg | 1400 | 1535 | 19.55% | 32.13% | 48.32% | -0.70 | 48.8 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | 1535 | 1400 | 48.32% | 32.13% | 19.55% | +0.70 | 48.8 |
| 2027-04-17 | Krasnodar | 1292 | 1517 | 13.98% | 26.35% | 59.68% | -1.25 | 34.3 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Akron Tolyatti | 1517 | 1292 | 59.68% | 26.35% | 13.98% | +1.25 | 34.3 |
| 2027-04-17 | Fakel Voronezh | 1456 | 1297 | 56.27% | 28.31% | 15.42% | +1.08 | 33.4 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Dynamo Moscow | 1297 | 1456 | 15.42% | 28.31% | 56.27% | -1.08 | 33.4 |
| 2027-04-17 | Akhmat Grozny | 1323 | 1337 | 33.10% | 35.36% | 31.54% | +0.03 | 52.5 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Rostov | 1337 | 1323 | 31.54% | 35.36% | 33.10% | -0.03 | 52.5 |
| 2027-04-17 | Orenburg | 1400 | 1305 | 48.17% | 32.19% | 19.64% | +0.70 | 37.4 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | 1305 | 1400 | 19.64% | 32.19% | 48.17% | -0.70 | 37.4 |
| 2027-04-17 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1309 | 1323 | 33.06% | 35.36% | 31.58% | +0.03 | 54.3 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Rodina Moscow | 1323 | 1309 | 31.58% | 35.36% | 33.06% | -0.03 | 54.3 |
| 2027-04-17 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 1380 | 1427 | 28.65% | 35.18% | 36.17% | -0.16 | 54.9 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Rubin Kazan | 1427 | 1380 | 36.17% | 35.18% | 28.65% | +0.16 | 54.9 |
| 2027-04-17 | CSKA Moscow | 1464 | 1448 | 37.37% | 35.05% | 27.59% | +0.21 | 65.1 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Spartak Moscow | 1448 | 1464 | 27.59% | 35.05% | 37.37% | -0.21 | 65.1 |
| 2027-04-17 | Krylia Sovetov | 1535 | 1325 | 62.49% | 24.63% | 12.88% | +1.39 | 41.8 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Zenit St. Petersburg | 1325 | 1535 | 12.88% | 24.63% | 62.49% | -1.39 | 41.8 |
| 2027-04-24 | Zenit St. Petersburg | 1337 | 1535 | 15.34% | 28.21% | 56.46% | -1.09 | 44.2 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Akhmat Grozny | 1535 | 1337 | 56.46% | 28.21% | 15.34% | +1.09 | 44.2 |
| 2027-04-24 | Rostov | 1292 | 1323 | 30.73% | 35.33% | 33.94% | -0.07 | 48.7 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Akron Tolyatti | 1323 | 1292 | 33.94% | 35.33% | 30.73% | +0.07 | 48.7 |
| 2027-04-24 | Krylia Sovetov | 1427 | 1325 | 49.01% | 31.85% | 19.14% | +0.73 | 47.4 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Baltika Kaliningrad | 1325 | 1427 | 19.14% | 31.85% | 49.01% | -0.73 | 47.4 |
| 2027-04-24 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1517 | 1323 | 60.61% | 25.79% | 13.61% | +1.30 | 40.4 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Krasnodar | 1323 | 1517 | 13.61% | 25.79% | 60.61% | -1.30 | 40.4 |
| 2027-04-24 | Fakel Voronezh | 1305 | 1297 | 36.20% | 35.18% | 28.62% | +0.17 | 45.7 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Orenburg | 1297 | 1305 | 28.62% | 35.18% | 36.20% | -0.17 | 45.7 |
| 2027-04-24 | Spartak Moscow | 1309 | 1464 | 18.02% | 30.98% | 51.00% | -0.83 | 40.9 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Rodina Moscow | 1464 | 1309 | 51.00% | 30.98% | 18.02% | +0.83 | 40.9 |
| 2027-04-24 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1380 | 1400 | 32.22% | 35.37% | 32.41% | +0.00 | 51.0 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Rubin Kazan | 1400 | 1380 | 32.41% | 35.37% | 32.22% | +0.00 | 51.0 |
| 2027-04-24 | Dynamo Moscow | 1448 | 1456 | 33.99% | 35.33% | 30.68% | +0.07 | 64.1 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ CSKA Moscow | 1456 | 1448 | 30.68% | 35.33% | 33.99% | -0.07 | 64.1 |
| 2027-05-01 | Akhmat Grozny | 1323 | 1337 | 33.15% | 35.36% | 31.49% | +0.04 | 57.6 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Dynamo Makhachkala | 1337 | 1323 | 31.49% | 35.36% | 33.15% | -0.04 | 57.6 |
| 2027-05-01 | Akron Tolyatti | 1456 | 1292 | 56.93% | 27.94% | 15.13% | +1.11 | 37.6 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Dynamo Moscow | 1292 | 1456 | 15.13% | 27.94% | 56.93% | -1.11 | 37.6 |
| 2027-05-01 | Rubin Kazan | 1297 | 1380 | 24.34% | 34.34% | 41.32% | -0.39 | 40.9 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Fakel Voronezh | 1380 | 1297 | 41.32% | 34.34% | 24.34% | +0.39 | 40.9 |
| 2027-05-01 | Orenburg | 1323 | 1305 | 37.56% | 35.02% | 27.42% | +0.22 | 46.8 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Rostov | 1305 | 1323 | 27.42% | 35.02% | 37.56% | -0.22 | 46.8 |
| 2027-05-01 | CSKA Moscow | 1325 | 1448 | 20.51% | 32.72% | 46.77% | -0.63 | 46.7 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Krylia Sovetov | 1448 | 1325 | 46.77% | 32.72% | 20.51% | +0.63 | 46.7 |
| 2027-05-01 | Rodina Moscow | 1400 | 1309 | 47.71% | 32.37% | 19.92% | +0.67 | 39.6 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | 1309 | 1400 | 19.92% | 32.37% | 47.71% | -0.67 | 39.6 |
| 2027-05-01 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 1464 | 1427 | 40.40% | 34.54% | 25.06% | +0.35 | 61.5 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Spartak Moscow | 1427 | 1464 | 25.06% | 34.54% | 40.40% | -0.35 | 61.5 |
| 2027-05-01 | Krasnodar | 1535 | 1517 | 37.65% | 35.01% | 27.34% | +0.23 | 71.3 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Zenit St. Petersburg | 1517 | 1535 | 27.34% | 35.01% | 37.65% | -0.23 | 71.3 |
| 2027-05-08 | Fakel Voronezh | 1427 | 1297 | 52.59% | 30.23% | 17.18% | +0.90 | 36.4 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Baltika Kaliningrad | 1297 | 1427 | 17.18% | 30.23% | 52.59% | -0.90 | 36.4 |
| 2027-05-08 | Zenit St. Petersburg | 1323 | 1535 | 14.62% | 27.26% | 58.12% | -1.17 | 43.7 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Dynamo Makhachkala | 1535 | 1323 | 58.12% | 27.26% | 14.62% | +1.17 | 43.7 |
| 2027-05-08 | Rostov | 1456 | 1323 | 53.10% | 29.98% | 16.92% | +0.93 | 40.7 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Dynamo Moscow | 1323 | 1456 | 16.92% | 29.98% | 53.10% | -0.93 | 40.7 |
| 2027-05-08 | Orenburg | 1517 | 1305 | 62.70% | 24.49% | 12.80% | +1.41 | 30.5 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Krasnodar | 1305 | 1517 | 12.80% | 24.49% | 62.70% | -1.41 | 30.5 |
| 2027-05-08 | Rubin Kazan | 1325 | 1380 | 27.51% | 35.04% | 37.45% | -0.22 | 51.0 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Krylia Sovetov | 1380 | 1325 | 37.45% | 35.04% | 27.51% | +0.22 | 51.0 |
| 2027-05-08 | Akhmat Grozny | 1309 | 1337 | 31.13% | 35.35% | 33.52% | -0.05 | 51.2 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Rodina Moscow | 1337 | 1309 | 33.52% | 35.35% | 31.13% | +0.05 | 51.2 |
| 2027-05-08 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1464 | 1400 | 44.01% | 33.64% | 22.36% | +0.51 | 51.8 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Spartak Moscow | 1400 | 1464 | 22.36% | 33.64% | 44.01% | -0.51 | 51.8 |
| 2027-05-08 | Akron Tolyatti | 1448 | 1292 | 55.98% | 28.47% | 15.55% | +1.07 | 39.4 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ CSKA Moscow | 1292 | 1448 | 15.55% | 28.47% | 55.98% | -1.07 | 39.4 |
| 2027-05-15 | Krasnodar | 1337 | 1517 | 16.38% | 29.42% | 54.20% | -0.98 | 41.2 |
| 2027-05-15 | @ Akhmat Grozny | 1517 | 1337 | 54.20% | 29.42% | 16.38% | +0.98 | 41.2 |
| 2027-05-15 | Rodina Moscow | 1292 | 1309 | 32.69% | 35.37% | 31.95% | +0.02 | 49.8 |
| 2027-05-15 | @ Akron Tolyatti | 1309 | 1292 | 31.95% | 35.37% | 32.69% | -0.02 | 49.8 |
| 2027-05-15 | Krylia Sovetov | 1297 | 1325 | 31.13% | 35.35% | 33.52% | -0.05 | 47.3 |
| 2027-05-15 | @ Fakel Voronezh | 1325 | 1297 | 33.52% | 35.35% | 31.13% | +0.05 | 47.3 |
| 2027-05-15 | Dynamo Moscow | 1305 | 1456 | 18.36% | 31.26% | 50.38% | -0.80 | 36.2 |
| 2027-05-15 | @ Orenburg | 1456 | 1305 | 50.38% | 31.26% | 18.36% | +0.80 | 36.2 |
| 2027-05-15 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1323 | 1323 | 35.04% | 35.27% | 29.68% | +0.12 | 55.5 |
| 2027-05-15 | @ Rostov | 1323 | 1323 | 29.68% | 35.27% | 35.04% | -0.12 | 55.5 |
| 2027-05-15 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 1400 | 1427 | 31.33% | 35.35% | 33.32% | -0.04 | 53.3 |
| 2027-05-15 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | 1427 | 1400 | 33.32% | 35.35% | 31.33% | +0.04 | 53.3 |
| 2027-05-15 | CSKA Moscow | 1380 | 1448 | 26.01% | 34.77% | 39.22% | -0.29 | 53.9 |
| 2027-05-15 | @ Rubin Kazan | 1448 | 1380 | 39.22% | 34.77% | 26.01% | +0.29 | 53.9 |
| 2027-05-15 | Spartak Moscow | 1535 | 1464 | 44.95% | 33.34% | 21.70% | +0.55 | 64.2 |
| 2027-05-15 | @ Zenit St. Petersburg | 1464 | 1535 | 21.70% | 33.34% | 44.95% | -0.55 | 64.2 |
| 2027-05-22 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 1292 | 1427 | 19.57% | 32.15% | 48.28% | -0.70 | 41.4 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ Akron Tolyatti | 1427 | 1292 | 48.28% | 32.15% | 19.57% | +0.70 | 41.4 |
| 2027-05-22 | Zenit St. Petersburg | 1456 | 1535 | 24.73% | 34.45% | 40.81% | -0.36 | 62.5 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ Dynamo Moscow | 1535 | 1456 | 40.81% | 34.45% | 24.73% | +0.36 | 62.5 |
| 2027-05-22 | Krasnodar | 1297 | 1517 | 14.24% | 26.73% | 59.03% | -1.22 | 29.9 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ Fakel Voronezh | 1517 | 1297 | 59.03% | 26.73% | 14.24% | +1.22 | 29.9 |
| 2027-05-22 | Akhmat Grozny | 1305 | 1337 | 30.64% | 35.33% | 34.03% | -0.07 | 48.0 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ Orenburg | 1337 | 1305 | 34.03% | 35.33% | 30.64% | +0.07 | 48.0 |
| 2027-05-22 | Rostov | 1400 | 1323 | 45.86% | 33.04% | 21.09% | +0.59 | 41.6 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | 1323 | 1400 | 21.09% | 33.04% | 45.86% | -0.59 | 41.6 |
| 2027-05-22 | Rodina Moscow | 1380 | 1309 | 45.04% | 33.32% | 21.64% | +0.55 | 45.3 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ Rubin Kazan | 1309 | 1380 | 21.64% | 33.32% | 45.04% | -0.55 | 45.3 |
| 2027-05-22 | Krylia Sovetov | 1464 | 1325 | 53.85% | 29.60% | 16.55% | +0.96 | 45.1 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ Spartak Moscow | 1325 | 1464 | 16.55% | 29.60% | 53.85% | -0.96 | 45.1 |
| 2027-05-22 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1448 | 1323 | 52.08% | 30.47% | 17.44% | +0.88 | 47.3 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ CSKA Moscow | 1323 | 1448 | 17.44% | 30.47% | 52.08% | -0.88 | 47.3 |
| 2027-05-29 | CSKA Moscow | 1337 | 1448 | 21.51% | 33.25% | 45.24% | -0.56 | 48.4 |
| 2027-05-29 | @ Akhmat Grozny | 1448 | 1337 | 45.24% | 33.25% | 21.51% | +0.56 | 48.4 |
| 2027-05-29 | Orenburg | 1427 | 1305 | 51.59% | 30.71% | 17.70% | +0.85 | 38.4 |
| 2027-05-29 | @ Baltika Kaliningrad | 1305 | 1427 | 17.70% | 30.71% | 51.59% | -0.85 | 38.4 |
| 2027-05-29 | Dynamo Moscow | 1323 | 1456 | 19.70% | 32.23% | 48.07% | -0.69 | 46.5 |
| 2027-05-29 | @ Dynamo Makhachkala | 1456 | 1323 | 48.07% | 32.23% | 19.70% | +0.69 | 46.5 |
| 2027-05-29 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1517 | 1400 | 51.00% | 30.98% | 18.02% | +0.83 | 44.6 |
| 2027-05-29 | @ Krasnodar | 1400 | 1517 | 18.02% | 30.98% | 51.00% | -0.83 | 44.6 |
| 2027-05-29 | Spartak Moscow | 1323 | 1464 | 19.03% | 31.77% | 49.20% | -0.74 | 42.8 |
| 2027-05-29 | @ Rostov | 1464 | 1323 | 49.20% | 31.77% | 19.03% | +0.74 | 42.8 |
| 2027-05-29 | Akron Tolyatti | 1325 | 1292 | 39.76% | 34.67% | 25.57% | +0.32 | 51.2 |
| 2027-05-29 | @ Krylia Sovetov | 1292 | 1325 | 25.57% | 34.67% | 39.76% | -0.32 | 51.2 |
| 2027-05-29 | Fakel Voronezh | 1309 | 1297 | 36.71% | 35.12% | 28.17% | +0.19 | 46.7 |
| 2027-05-29 | @ Rodina Moscow | 1297 | 1309 | 28.17% | 35.12% | 36.71% | -0.19 | 46.7 |
| 2027-05-29 | Rubin Kazan | 1535 | 1380 | 55.81% | 28.56% | 15.63% | +1.06 | 48.4 |
| 2027-05-29 | @ Zenit St. Petersburg | 1380 | 1535 | 15.63% | 28.56% | 55.81% | -1.06 | 48.4 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2026-08-09 | 12.81% | Rodina Moscow | 1331 | 2 | @ Zenit St. Petersburg | 1542 | 1 |
| 2 | 2026-09-05 | 19.37% | CSKA Moscow | 1437 | 2 | @ Zenit St. Petersburg | 1535 | 1 |
| 3 | 2026-08-23 | 22.93% | @ Spartak Moscow | 1448 | 2 | Zenit St. Petersburg | 1544 | 0 |
| 4 | 2026-08-01 | 23.34% | @ Dynamo Makhachkala | 1322 | 2 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1414 | 1 |
| 5 | 2026-09-06 | 24.99% | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1398 | 1 | @ Baltika Kaliningrad | 1436 | 0 |
| 6 | 2026-09-17 | 26.28% | @ Akron Tolyatti | 1282 | 2 | Akhmat Grozny | 1347 | 0 |
| 7 | 2026-07-25 | 29.32% | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1317 | 2 | @ Fakel Voronezh | 1319 | 1 |
| 8 | 2026-07-26 | 29.63% | @ Orenburg | 1306 | 2 | Rostov | 1345 | 1 |
| 9 | 2026-07-31 | 29.81% | Rostov | 1340 | 4 | @ Rodina Moscow | 1338 | 2 |
| 10 | 2026-08-16 | 30.27% | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1322 | 4 | @ Krylia Sovetov | 1317 | 1 |
| 11 | 2026-08-16 | 31.25% | Spartak Moscow | 1443 | 2 | @ Baltika Kaliningrad | 1431 | 1 |
| 12 | 2026-08-23 | 31.35% | Krylia Sovetov | 1305 | 3 | @ Akron Tolyatti | 1293 | 0 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2026-08-23 | 13.80 | Krylia Sovetov | 3 | 1305 | 31.35% | @ Akron Tolyatti | 0 | 1293 | 33.30% | 35.36% |
| 2 | 2026-08-16 | 11.89 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 4 | 1322 | 30.27% | @ Krylia Sovetov | 1 | 1317 | 34.42% | 35.31% |
| 3 | 2026-08-23 | 11.36 | @ Spartak Moscow | 2 | 1448 | 22.93% | Zenit St. Petersburg | 0 | 1544 | 43.21% | 33.86% |
| 4 | 2026-08-22 | 11.32 | @ Akhmat Grozny | 4 | 1332 | 32.72% | Rostov | 1 | 1348 | 31.91% | 35.37% |
| 5 | 2026-08-30 | 10.69 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 3 | 1426 | 42.78% | @ Rodina Moscow | 0 | 1332 | 23.24% | 33.98% |
| 6 | 2026-09-17 | 10.56 | @ Akron Tolyatti | 2 | 1282 | 26.28% | Akhmat Grozny | 0 | 1347 | 38.90% | 34.82% |
| 7 | 2026-07-25 | 10.45 | Zenit St. Petersburg | 5 | 1526 | 59.06% | @ Akron Tolyatti | 0 | 1306 | 14.23% | 26.71% |
| 8 | 2026-09-17 | 9.96 | Dynamo Moscow | 3 | 1446 | 45.46% | @ Rostov | 0 | 1333 | 21.36% | 33.18% |
| 9 | 2026-07-25 | 9.56 | @ Spartak Moscow | 3 | 1434 | 46.96% | Rodina Moscow | 0 | 1348 | 20.38% | 32.65% |
| 10 | 2026-08-16 | 9.14 | @ Zenit St. Petersburg | 3 | 1535 | 48.54% | Dynamo Moscow | 0 | 1437 | 19.42% | 32.04% |
| 11 | 2026-09-06 | 8.73 | @ Dynamo Makhachkala | 2 | 1324 | 35.49% | Rodina Moscow | 0 | 1322 | 29.27% | 35.24% |
| 12 | 2026-09-13 | 8.66 | @ Spartak Moscow | 3 | 1453 | 50.35% | Rostov | 0 | 1341 | 18.38% | 31.28% |
| 13 | 2026-07-31 | 7.60 | Rostov | 4 | 1340 | 29.81% | @ Rodina Moscow | 2 | 1338 | 34.91% | 35.28% |
| 14 | 2026-08-09 | 7.37 | Rodina Moscow | 2 | 1331 | 12.81% | @ Zenit St. Petersburg | 1 | 1542 | 62.69% | 24.50% |
| 15 | 2026-08-08 | 7.21 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 2 | 1424 | 43.58% | @ Krylia Sovetov | 0 | 1324 | 22.66% | 33.76% |
| 16 | 2026-09-05 | 6.98 | @ Rostov | 3 | 1334 | 39.04% | Fakel Voronezh | 1 | 1306 | 26.16% | 34.80% |
| 17 | 2026-08-30 | 6.64 | @ Rubin Kazan | 3 | 1374 | 41.15% | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1 | 1331 | 24.47% | 34.38% |
| 18 | 2026-08-02 | 6.33 | Zenit St. Petersburg | 3 | 1536 | 59.72% | @ Orenburg | 0 | 1311 | 13.96% | 26.32% |
| 19 | 2026-09-05 | 6.18 | CSKA Moscow | 2 | 1437 | 19.37% | @ Zenit St. Petersburg | 1 | 1535 | 48.62% | 32.01% |
| 20 | 2026-09-17 | 5.94 | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 1442 | 45.47% | @ Dynamo Makhachkala | 1 | 1329 | 21.36% | 33.18% |
| 21 | 2026-09-06 | 5.76 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1398 | 24.99% | @ Baltika Kaliningrad | 0 | 1436 | 40.48% | 34.52% |
| 22 | 2026-07-26 | 5.67 | Krasnodar | 3 | 1502 | 47.15% | @ Rubin Kazan | 1 | 1376 | 20.27% | 32.58% |
| 23 | 2026-08-01 | 5.63 | @ Dynamo Makhachkala | 2 | 1322 | 23.34% | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1414 | 42.65% | 34.02% |
| 24 | 2026-08-23 | 5.60 | @ Dynamo Moscow | 3 | 1428 | 47.54% | Rodina Moscow | 1 | 1338 | 20.02% | 32.44% |
| 25 | 2026-08-09 | 5.30 | @ Dynamo Moscow | 3 | 1432 | 49.45% | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1 | 1327 | 18.89% | 31.67% |
Most & Least Exciting Games
The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.
| # | Date | Excitement | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2026-09-05 | 62.3 | @ Krylia Sovetov | 2 | 1319 | 15.16% | Krasnodar | 2 | 1521 | 56.86% | 27.98% |
| 2 | 2026-08-29 | 61.0 | @ Akhmat Grozny | 3 | 1343 | 38.46% | Krylia Sovetov | 3 | 1319 | 26.65% | 34.89% |
| 3 | 2026-08-15 | 60.9 | @ Rodina Moscow | 3 | 1338 | 41.50% | Akron Tolyatti | 3 | 1292 | 24.20% | 34.30% |
| 4 | 2026-09-05 | 59.9 | CSKA Moscow | 2 | 1437 | 19.37% | @ Zenit St. Petersburg | 1 | 1535 | 48.62% | 32.01% |
| 5 | 2026-08-28 | 58.9 | @ Akron Tolyatti | 2 | 1279 | 17.81% | CSKA Moscow | 2 | 1437 | 51.39% | 30.80% |
| 6 | 2026-09-12 | 58.7 | @ Fakel Voronezh | 2 | 1299 | 19.84% | Baltika Kaliningrad | 2 | 1431 | 47.84% | 32.32% |
| 7 | 2026-08-09 | 58.5 | Rodina Moscow | 2 | 1331 | 12.81% | @ Zenit St. Petersburg | 1 | 1542 | 62.69% | 24.50% |
| 8 | 2026-09-16 | 57.6 | Zenit St. Petersburg | 3 | 1532 | 43.90% | @ Baltika Kaliningrad | 2 | 1430 | 22.43% | 33.67% |
| 9 | 2026-09-13 | 56.7 | @ Krasnodar | 1 | 1520 | 65.98% | Akron Tolyatti | 1 | 1280 | 11.62% | 22.40% |
| 10 | 2026-09-06 | 56.5 | @ Orenburg | 2 | 1307 | 38.95% | Akron Tolyatti | 2 | 1280 | 26.24% | 34.81% |
| 11 | 2026-08-22 | 55.2 | @ CSKA Moscow | 3 | 1434 | 38.89% | Lokomotiv Moscow | 2 | 1407 | 26.29% | 34.82% |
| 12 | 2026-08-30 | 54.1 | @ Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1459 | 55.60% | Orenburg | 1 | 1306 | 15.73% | 28.68% |
| 13 | 2026-09-12 | 53.8 | @ CSKA Moscow | 1 | 1443 | 43.84% | Rubin Kazan | 1 | 1380 | 22.47% | 33.68% |
| 14 | 2026-08-09 | 53.6 | Krasnodar | 2 | 1510 | 38.50% | @ Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1447 | 26.62% | 34.89% |
| 15 | 2026-09-06 | 53.3 | @ Dynamo Moscow | 2 | 1438 | 32.33% | Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1458 | 32.31% | 35.37% |
| 16 | 2026-08-24 | 53.2 | @ Baltika Kaliningrad | 1 | 1426 | 42.48% | Rubin Kazan | 1 | 1374 | 23.46% | 34.06% |
| 17 | 2026-08-01 | 53.1 | @ CSKA Moscow | 1 | 1432 | 49.97% | Krylia Sovetov | 1 | 1323 | 18.59% | 31.44% |
| 18 | 2026-08-16 | 52.9 | Spartak Moscow | 2 | 1443 | 31.25% | @ Baltika Kaliningrad | 1 | 1431 | 33.40% | 35.35% |
| 19 | 2026-09-13 | 52.8 | @ Akhmat Grozny | 3 | 1343 | 36.52% | Dynamo Makhachkala | 2 | 1333 | 28.33% | 35.15% |
| 20 | 2026-07-26 | 52.5 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1415 | 45.90% | Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 1337 | 21.07% | 33.03% |
| 21 | 2026-08-01 | 52.1 | @ Dynamo Makhachkala | 2 | 1322 | 23.34% | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1414 | 42.65% | 34.02% |
| 22 | 2026-09-16 | 52.1 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1401 | 45.72% | Krylia Sovetov | 1 | 1324 | 21.19% | 33.09% |
| 23 | 2026-08-01 | 52.0 | @ Baltika Kaliningrad | 2 | 1419 | 32.59% | Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 1437 | 32.04% | 35.37% |
| 24 | 2026-08-14 | 51.7 | @ Orenburg | 1 | 1305 | 22.38% | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1407 | 43.98% | 33.64% |
| 25 | 2026-09-07 | 51.6 | @ Rubin Kazan | 1 | 1381 | 40.45% | Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 1343 | 25.02% | 34.53% |
| # | Date | Excitement | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2026-08-02 | 32.3 | Zenit St. Petersburg | 3 | 1536 | 59.72% | @ Orenburg | 0 | 1311 | 13.96% | 26.32% |
| 2 | 2026-07-25 | 33.9 | Zenit St. Petersburg | 5 | 1526 | 59.06% | @ Akron Tolyatti | 0 | 1306 | 14.23% | 26.71% |
| 3 | 2026-09-13 | 33.9 | @ Spartak Moscow | 3 | 1453 | 50.35% | Rostov | 0 | 1341 | 18.38% | 31.28% |
| 4 | 2026-07-25 | 34.6 | @ Spartak Moscow | 3 | 1434 | 46.96% | Rodina Moscow | 0 | 1348 | 20.38% | 32.65% |
| 5 | 2026-09-17 | 35.0 | Dynamo Moscow | 3 | 1446 | 45.46% | @ Rostov | 0 | 1333 | 21.36% | 33.18% |
| 6 | 2026-08-30 | 35.4 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 3 | 1426 | 42.78% | @ Rodina Moscow | 0 | 1332 | 23.24% | 33.98% |
| 7 | 2026-08-08 | 36.5 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 2 | 1424 | 43.58% | @ Krylia Sovetov | 0 | 1324 | 22.66% | 33.76% |
| 8 | 2026-09-16 | 36.6 | @ Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1462 | 56.66% | Fakel Voronezh | 0 | 1300 | 15.25% | 28.09% |
| 9 | 2026-08-23 | 37.0 | Krylia Sovetov | 3 | 1305 | 31.35% | @ Akron Tolyatti | 0 | 1293 | 33.30% | 35.36% |
| 10 | 2026-09-12 | 37.3 | @ Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 1443 | 53.51% | Orenburg | 0 | 1307 | 16.72% | 29.77% |
| 11 | 2026-08-29 | 37.5 | Zenit St. Petersburg | 1 | 1533 | 59.56% | @ Fakel Voronezh | 0 | 1309 | 14.02% | 26.41% |
| 12 | 2026-09-06 | 37.6 | @ Dynamo Makhachkala | 2 | 1324 | 35.49% | Rodina Moscow | 0 | 1322 | 29.27% | 35.24% |
| 13 | 2026-08-15 | 37.9 | @ CSKA Moscow | 1 | 1431 | 51.22% | Fakel Voronezh | 0 | 1312 | 17.90% | 30.88% |
| 14 | 2026-08-15 | 37.9 | @ Krasnodar | 1 | 1514 | 58.87% | Akhmat Grozny | 0 | 1334 | 14.31% | 26.83% |
| 15 | 2026-08-29 | 38.0 | @ Krasnodar | 1 | 1519 | 59.16% | Rostov | 0 | 1337 | 14.19% | 26.66% |
| 16 | 2026-08-23 | 39.3 | Krasnodar | 1 | 1516 | 54.42% | @ Dynamo Makhachkala | 0 | 1334 | 16.28% | 29.30% |
| 17 | 2026-08-16 | 39.8 | @ Zenit St. Petersburg | 3 | 1535 | 48.54% | Dynamo Moscow | 0 | 1437 | 19.42% | 32.04% |
| 18 | 2026-09-17 | 40.2 | @ Akron Tolyatti | 2 | 1282 | 26.28% | Akhmat Grozny | 0 | 1347 | 38.90% | 34.82% |
| 19 | 2026-08-09 | 41.2 | @ Dynamo Moscow | 3 | 1432 | 49.45% | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1 | 1327 | 18.89% | 31.67% |
| 20 | 2026-08-23 | 41.9 | @ Dynamo Moscow | 3 | 1428 | 47.54% | Rodina Moscow | 1 | 1338 | 20.02% | 32.44% |
| 21 | 2026-09-17 | 42.6 | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 1442 | 45.47% | @ Dynamo Makhachkala | 1 | 1329 | 21.36% | 33.18% |
| 22 | 2026-08-22 | 42.7 | @ Akhmat Grozny | 4 | 1332 | 32.72% | Rostov | 1 | 1348 | 31.91% | 35.37% |
| 23 | 2026-09-05 | 42.8 | @ Rostov | 3 | 1334 | 39.04% | Fakel Voronezh | 1 | 1306 | 26.16% | 34.80% |
| 24 | 2026-08-30 | 42.9 | @ Rubin Kazan | 3 | 1374 | 41.15% | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1 | 1331 | 24.47% | 34.38% |
| 25 | 2026-08-16 | 43.1 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 4 | 1322 | 30.27% | @ Krylia Sovetov | 1 | 1317 | 34.42% | 35.31% |