1997-98 Campionato Sammarinese Season

176 games · 6 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Tre Fiori

49 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Tre Fiori

9.84 points above expected

49 points · 39.16 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Domagnano

13.04 points below expected

6 points · 19.04 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Tre Fiori	22	16	1	5	49	48	22	+26	39.16	+9.84
2	Virtus	22	15	3	4	48	52	20	+32	42.30	+5.70
3	Faetano	22	11	7	4	40	37	13	+24	38.53	+1.47
4	Folgore Falciano	22	11	7	4	40	24	16	+8	37.27	+2.73
5	Montevito	22	11	5	6	38	34	30	+4	29.94	+8.06
6	Murata	22	11	4	7	37	55	32	+23	37.36	-0.36
7	Tre Penne	22	10	7	5	37	41	30	+11	34.83	+2.17
8	Cosmos	22	9	9	4	36	37	24	+13	31.94	+4.06
9	San Giovanni	22	8	7	7	31	32	29	+3	25.19	+5.81
10	Libertas	22	8	3	11	27	26	37	-11	28.65	-1.65
11	La Fiorita	22	6	6	10	24	30	37	-7	31.36	-7.36
12	Dogana	22	5	7	10	22	29	41	-12	18.20	+3.80
13	Juvenes	22	5	6	11	21	25	36	-11	24.10	-3.10
14	Pennarossa	22	4	7	11	19	31	46	-15	26.90	-7.90
15	Cailungo	22	2	4	16	10	19	54	-35	20.17	-10.17
16	Domagnano	22	1	3	18	6	15	68	-53	19.04	-13.04

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Tre Fiori	49	39.16	+9.84
2	Montevito	38	29.94	+8.06
3	San Giovanni	31	25.19	+5.81
4	Virtus	48	42.30	+5.70
5	Cosmos	36	31.94	+4.06

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Domagnano	6	19.04	-13.04
2	Cailungo	10	20.17	-10.17
3	Pennarossa	19	26.90	-7.90
4	La Fiorita	24	31.36	-7.36
5	Juvenes	21	24.10	-3.10

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Tre Fiori	6	Sep 14 – Oct 19	1 in 96
2	Folgore Falciano	5	Oct 19 – Nov 16	1 in 84
3	Faetano	5	Nov 23 – Feb 22	1 in 34
4	San Giovanni	3	Oct 26 – Nov 9	1 in 30
5	Montevito	3	Oct 12 – Oct 26	1 in 21

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Murata	4	Oct 5 – Oct 26	1 in 281
2	Domagnano	7	Oct 26 – Feb 8	1 in 107
3	Pennarossa	5	Feb 22 – Mar 22	1 in 106
4	Cailungo	5	Oct 26 – Nov 23	1 in 36
5	La Fiorita	3	Oct 5 – Oct 19	1 in 25

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Cosmos	10	Nov 9 – Mar 15	1 in 117
2	Montevito	7	Sep 14 – Oct 26	1 in 32
3	Faetano	10	Nov 9 – Mar 15	1 in 32
4	Dogana	4	Mar 22 – Apr 12	1 in 21
5	Folgore Falciano	8	Oct 12 – Feb 1	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Folgore Falciano	6	Nov 23 – Mar 1	1 in 206
2	La Fiorita	6	Sep 28 – Nov 2	1 in 63
3	Cailungo	11	Sep 14 – Nov 23	1 in 44
4	Pennarossa	10	Feb 8 – Apr 12	1 in 33
5	Faetano	6	Oct 12 – Nov 16	1 in 25

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Tre Fiori	1669	49	+22	12	9.2	+2.8
Virtus	1701	48	+27	12	10.6	+1.4
Faetano	1715	40	-4	10	11.1	-1.1
Folgore Falciano	1598	40	+27	10	7.4	+2.6
Montevito	1493	38	-7	6	7.0	-1.0
Murata	1643	37	+57	10	9.3	+0.7
Tre Penne	1581	37	+7	8	7.7	+0.3
Cosmos	1588	36	+30	10	9.5	+0.5
San Giovanni	1476	31	-8	5	6.1	-1.1
Libertas	1436	27	-52	4	5.9	-1.9
La Fiorita	1452	24	-11	6	7.0	-1.0
Dogana	1405	22	+71	10	4.4	+5.6
Juvenes	1403	21	+4	5	5.0	-0.0
Pennarossa	1374	19	-53	2	4.2	-2.2
Cailungo	1281	10	-45	1	3.1	-2.1
Domagnano	1187	6	-67	1	3.3	-2.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	CAI	COS	DOG	DOM	FAE	FF	JUV	LF	LIB	MON	MUR	PEN	SG	TF	TP	VIR
Cailungo	—	0-0-1 0.75	0-0-1 1.39	1-0-0 1.33	0-1-1 1.35	0-1-1 1.41	0-0-2 2.47	0-1-0 0.69	0-0-1 0.91	0-0-1 0.82	0-0-2 1.50	1-0-1 2.45	0-1-1 2.17	0-0-2 1.54	0-0-1 0.67	0-0-1 0.83
Cosmos	1-0-0 2.01	—	1-0-1 3.97	2-0-0 4.08	0-1-0 1.20	0-0-1 1.09	1-0-0 1.62	0-1-1 2.73	1-1-0 3.04	1-1-0 2.92	0-1-0 1.21	0-1-0 1.42	0-1-0 1.68	1-0-0 0.89	0-2-0 2.52	1-0-1 1.83
Dogana	1-0-0 1.36	1-0-1 1.56	—	1-0-1 2.98	0-0-1 0.59	1-0-0 0.44	0-0-1 0.92	1-1-0 1.66	0-1-1 1.83	0-1-1 1.87	0-0-1 0.69	0-1-0 0.84	0-1-0 0.87	0-0-1 0.53	0-2-0 1.27	0-0-2 1.12
Domagnano	0-0-1 1.42	0-0-2 1.49	1-0-1 2.53	—	0-0-1 0.34	0-1-0 0.47	0-0-1 0.98	0-1-1 1.45	0-1-1 1.83	0-0-2 1.74	0-0-1 0.58	0-0-1 0.77	0-0-1 1.24	0-0-1 0.52	0-0-2 1.81	0-0-2 1.54
Faetano	1-1-0 4.23	0-1-0 1.55	1-0-0 2.19	1-0-0 2.48	—	1-0-1 3.01	1-1-0 3.75	1-0-0 1.74	0-0-1 1.41	1-0-0 1.15	1-0-1 2.81	0-2-0 4.00	2-0-0 3.96	0-1-1 2.91	1-0-0 1.44	0-1-0 0.96
Folgore Falciano	1-1-0 4.14	1-0-0 1.66	0-0-1 2.36	0-1-0 2.33	1-0-1 2.51	—	0-2-0 3.99	0-1-0 1.92	1-0-0 1.84	0-0-1 2.04	2-0-0 2.41	2-0-0 3.44	1-1-0 3.71	1-0-1 2.46	1-0-0 1.44	0-1-0 1.39
Juvenes	2-0-0 3.03	0-0-1 1.13	1-0-0 1.84	1-0-0 1.78	0-1-1 1.79	0-2-0 1.53	—	0-0-1 1.00	0-0-1 1.27	0-1-0 1.12	0-0-2 1.81	1-1-0 2.52	0-1-1 2.67	0-0-2 1.35	0-0-1 1.05	0-0-1 0.76
La Fiorita	0-1-0 2.08	1-1-0 2.77	0-1-1 3.86	1-1-0 4.08	0-0-1 1.02	0-1-0 0.84	1-0-0 1.75	—	1-0-1 3.11	0-0-2 2.99	0-1-0 1.25	1-0-0 1.37	0-0-1 1.86	0-0-1 0.97	1-0-1 2.47	0-0-2 1.98
Libertas	1-0-0 1.85	0-1-1 2.46	1-1-0 3.68	1-1-0 3.70	1-0-0 1.34	0-0-1 0.92	1-0-0 1.48	1-0-1 2.39	—	1-0-1 2.39	0-0-1 1.09	0-0-1 1.57	0-0-1 1.46	0-0-1 0.85	0-0-2 2.25	1-0-1 1.58
Montevito	1-0-0 1.94	0-1-1 2.58	1-1-0 3.65	2-0-0 3.79	0-0-1 1.60	1-0-0 0.73	0-1-0 1.63	2-0-0 2.51	1-0-1 3.11	—	0-0-1 1.07	1-0-0 1.15	1-0-0 1.56	0-0-1 0.99	1-1-0 2.23	0-1-1 1.66
Murata	2-0-0 4.04	0-1-0 1.54	1-0-0 2.08	1-0-0 2.20	1-0-1 2.69	0-0-2 3.09	2-0-0 3.71	0-1-0 1.50	1-0-0 1.66	1-0-0 1.68	—	1-0-1 4.05	0-1-1 4.12	1-0-1 2.73	0-1-0 1.04	0-0-1 0.99
Pennarossa	1-0-1 3.06	0-1-0 1.33	0-1-0 1.92	1-0-0 2.00	0-2-0 1.54	0-0-2 2.07	0-1-1 2.98	0-0-1 1.38	1-0-0 1.18	0-0-1 1.60	1-0-1 1.49	—	0-1-1 2.87	0-0-2 1.66	0-1-0 0.88	0-0-1 0.75
San Giovanni	1-1-0 3.34	0-1-0 1.07	0-1-0 1.89	1-0-0 1.51	0-0-2 1.56	0-1-1 1.81	1-1-0 2.83	1-0-0 0.90	1-0-0 1.29	0-0-1 1.19	1-1-0 1.42	1-1-0 2.64	—	0-0-2 1.53	1-0-0 0.88	0-0-1 0.78
Tre Fiori	2-0-0 4.00	0-0-1 1.87	1-0-0 2.26	1-0-0 2.27	1-1-0 2.59	1-0-1 3.04	2-0-0 4.19	1-0-0 1.79	1-0-0 1.91	1-0-0 1.77	1-0-1 2.77	2-0-0 3.86	2-0-0 4.01	—	0-0-1 1.90	0-0-1 1.37
Tre Penne	1-0-0 2.10	0-2-0 2.98	0-2-0 4.28	2-0-0 3.73	0-0-1 1.31	0-0-1 1.31	1-0-0 1.70	1-0-1 3.03	2-0-0 3.25	0-1-1 3.27	0-1-0 1.71	0-1-0 1.88	0-0-1 1.88	1-0-0 0.86	—	2-0-0 2.09
Virtus	1-0-0 1.93	1-0-1 3.68	2-0-0 4.45	2-0-0 4.02	0-1-0 1.80	0-1-0 1.36	1-0-0 2.01	2-0-0 3.53	1-0-1 3.97	1-1-0 3.86	1-0-0 1.76	1-0-0 2.02	1-0-0 1.98	1-0-0 1.38	0-0-2 3.41	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.63	+8.9
Allowed	0.84	-8.1
Differential	0.92	+5.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.95%	7.10%	4.83%	2.84%	1.70%	1.14%	25.57%
1	7.10%	9.66%	6.53%	5.68%	2.56%	1.70%	33.24%
2	4.83%	6.53%	6.25%	1.42%	1.42%	—	20.45%
3	2.84%	5.68%	1.42%	—	0.57%	0.28%	10.80%
4	1.70%	2.56%	1.42%	0.57%	0.57%	—	6.82%
5+	1.14%	1.70%	—	0.28%	—	—	3.12%
Total	25.57%	33.24%	20.45%	10.80%	6.82%	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.52	1.52	+0.00
SD	1.41	1.41	2.11
CV	0.93	0.93	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 176

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	9.09%	31.82%
1	4.55%	9.09%	18.18%	18.18%	4.55%	—	54.55%
2	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	4.55%	13.64%	45.45%	22.73%	4.55%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.86	2.45	-1.59
SD	0.77	1.44	1.82
CV	0.90	0.59	—
Max	3	6	+1
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
1	13.64%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	36.36%
2	—	4.55%	18.18%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	31.82%	31.82%	31.82%	4.55%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.68	1.09	+0.59
SD	1.46	0.92	1.56
CV	0.87	0.84	—
Max	6	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	40.91%
1	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
2	4.55%	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	9.09%	36.36%	27.27%	13.64%	13.64%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.86	-0.55
SD	1.49	1.21	1.97
CV	1.13	0.65	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	36.36%
1	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	13.64%	18.18%	59.09%
2	—	—	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	18.18%	9.09%	18.18%	22.73%	22.73%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.68	3.09	-2.41
SD	0.57	1.93	1.89
CV	0.83	0.62	—
Max	2	7	+1
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
1	9.09%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	31.82%
2	18.18%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	13.64%	—	—	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	63.64%	18.18%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.68	0.59	+1.09
SD	1.49	0.91	2.02
CV	0.89	1.54	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	31.82%
1	13.64%	13.64%	—	—	4.55%	—	31.82%
2	18.18%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	31.82%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	50.00%	36.36%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	0.73	+0.36
SD	0.92	0.98	1.40
CV	0.84	1.35	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	13.64%	—	—	4.55%	—	31.82%
1	—	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	40.91%
2	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	40.91%	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	1.64	-0.50
SD	1.13	1.71	2.11
CV	0.99	1.04	—
Max	4	7	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
1	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	22.73%
3	—	9.09%	—	—	—	4.55%	13.64%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	22.73%	22.73%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.68	-0.32
SD	1.18	1.55	1.64
CV	0.86	0.92	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
1	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	36.36%
2	—	18.18%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	27.27%
3	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.64%	40.91%	18.18%	18.18%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.68	-0.50
SD	0.96	1.21	1.60
CV	0.81	0.72	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	18.18%
1	18.18%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	40.91%
2	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
4	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	40.91%	18.18%	—	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	1.36	+0.18
SD	1.22	1.40	1.92
CV	0.79	1.03	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
1	4.55%	9.09%	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	27.27%
2	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
3	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	—	27.27%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
Total	27.27%	31.82%	18.18%	13.64%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.50	1.45	+1.05
SD	1.99	1.30	2.84
CV	0.80	0.89	—
Max	7	4	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
1	—	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	36.36%
2	4.55%	—	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	27.27%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.64%	22.73%	27.27%	22.73%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	2.09	-0.68
SD	1.18	1.48	1.81
CV	0.84	0.71	—
Max	4	6	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	27.27%
1	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
2	—	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	31.82%	27.27%	9.09%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.32	+0.14
SD	1.22	1.13	1.28
CV	0.84	0.86	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
1	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
2	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
4	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	27.27%	50.00%	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.18	1.00	+1.18
SD	1.84	0.82	2.08
CV	0.84	0.82	—
Max	7	3	+7
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
1	9.09%	18.18%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	40.91%
2	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	45.45%	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.86	1.36	+0.50
SD	1.32	1.22	1.92
CV	0.71	0.89	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	22.73%
1	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
2	9.09%	18.18%	—	—	—	—	27.27%
3	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
Total	31.82%	50.00%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.36	0.91	+1.45
SD	1.89	0.81	1.87
CV	0.80	0.89	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Tre Fiori	1713	49	39.16	+9.84	96.0%	27	31	35	39	43	48	54
Faetano	1678	40	38.53	+1.47	58.0%	21	29	35	39	42	47	52
Virtus	1675	48	42.30	+5.70	85.0%	28	31	38	43	46	52	54
Folgore Falciano	1670	40	37.27	+2.73	72.0%	26	28	33	38	41	46	54
Murata	1643	37	37.36	-0.36	50.0%	21	26	33	37	41	49	52
Cosmos	1588	36	31.94	+4.06	81.0%	19	22	28	32	36	41	45
Tre Penne	1556	37	34.83	+2.17	70.0%	21	25	31	35	38	44	48
San Giovanni	1476	31	25.19	+5.81	84.0%	8	16	21	26	28	34	40
Montevito	1463	38	29.94	+8.06	90.0%	15	19	25	29	34	41	44
La Fiorita	1452	24	31.36	-7.36	15.0%	16	21	27	31	36	41	47
Libertas	1436	27	28.65	-1.65	47.0%	14	18	25	28	32	38	42
Dogana	1405	22	18.20	+3.80	80.0%	5	8	14	18	21	30	33
Juvenes	1403	21	24.10	-3.10	30.0%	10	13	19	25	28	34	39
Pennarossa	1374	19	26.90	-7.90	10.0%	11	18	23	26	30	36	44
Cailungo	1281	10	20.17	-10.17	1.0%	9	12	16	20	24	28	32
Domagnano	1187	6	19.04	-13.04	1.0%	6	10	15	19	23	27	34

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -4.5% * Slight Edge: -4.5% to 0.5% * Clear Edge: 0.5% to 5% * Strong Edge: 5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+5.11%

Strong Edge

40.34%24.43%35.23%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 17.78 Elo pts.

149 Elo

0.007 goals per Elo point

0400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.09 goals

Neutral

-2+0.12+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 4 * Top-Heavy: 4 to 5 * Open: 5 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.19 * Runaway: 0.19 and up.

Title-Race Openness

5.2

Open

145610

Champion Preseason Odds

32%

Tre Fiori, 2nd of 16

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.05/gm

Photo Finish

00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.64 * Some Luck: 4.64 to 6.95 * Lucky: 6.95 to 9.27 * Wild Swing: 9.27 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.81 * Close: 1.81 to 2.71 * Off: 2.71 to 3.62 * Way Off: 3.62 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.50 points

Some Luck

05.7914

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.62

Pinpoint

02.265

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 96.88%

96.00%

Tre Fiori

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 3.12%

1.00%

Cailungo

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 16

Minimal Outliers

01.68

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Strong Separation: 1.9 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 74% * Slight Edge: 74% to 79.5% * Clear Edge: 79.5% to 84.5% * Wide Edge: 84.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56% * Some Drama: 56% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 65.5% * Very Frequent: 65.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.

Gini Index

0.23

Even

00.20.260.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 152.06

2.03

Strong Separation

11.71.92.23

Interquartile Edge

76%

Slight Edge

50%74%84.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 96%

95%

Clear Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

56%

Few

0%52%100%

Blowouts

Expected

20%

Frequent

0%24%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.52 * Strong Carryover: 0.52 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 24.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 24.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 17.5% * Shaky Favorites: 17.5% to 20.5% * Very Shaky: 20.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.59

Predictable

00.602

Matchup Imbalance

0.37

Slight Separation

00.370.430.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.37

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.44

Some Carryover

00.360.520.691

Upset Rate

Expected

24%

Upset-Prone

0%24%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

19%

Shaky Favorites

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.

Probability calibration

0.84

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.06

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.084

Well Within Noise

00.1300.3

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

First Round

Tre Penne 4

Faetano 3

Montevito 1

Folgore Falciano 1

Second Round

Tre Fiori 2

Folgore Falciano 1

Tre Penne 5

Virtus 3

Third Round

Folgore Falciano 1

Faetano 0

Virtus 5

Montevito 0

Quarterfinals

Folgore Falciano 3

Virtus 1

Sim: 1.0%

Tre Fiori 5

Tre Penne 0

Sim: 13.0%

Semifinals

Folgore Falciano 3

Tre Penne 1

Sim: 3.0%

Finals

Folgore Falciano 2

Tre Fiori 1

Sim: 1.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
Tre Fiori	32.00%	21.00%	26.00%	17.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—
Virtus	69.00%	18.00%	5.00%	5.00%	3.00%	—	—	—
Faetano	31.00%	21.00%	18.00%	21.00%	7.00%	2.00%	—	—
Folgore Falciano	20.00%	26.00%	19.00%	23.00%	10.00%	2.00%	—	—
Montevito	2.00%	14.00%	15.00%	18.00%	24.00%	18.00%	6.00%	3.00%
Murata	16.00%	27.00%	27.00%	16.00%	9.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—
Tre Penne	15.00%	26.00%	23.00%	20.00%	10.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—
Cosmos	7.00%	20.00%	20.00%	16.00%	17.00%	16.00%	3.00%	1.00%
San Giovanni	—	1.00%	2.00%	7.00%	22.00%	27.00%	27.00%	14.00%
Libertas	1.00%	6.00%	16.00%	22.00%	18.00%	26.00%	8.00%	3.00%
La Fiorita	6.00%	15.00%	19.00%	17.00%	20.00%	16.00%	6.00%	1.00%
Dogana	—	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	10.00%	34.00%	50.00%
Juvenes	—	1.00%	3.00%	4.00%	22.00%	26.00%	21.00%	23.00%
Pennarossa	1.00%	3.00%	4.00%	12.00%	22.00%	25.00%	26.00%	7.00%
Cailungo	—	—	1.00%	—	5.00%	13.00%	25.00%	56.00%
Domagnano	—	—	1.00%	—	6.00%	10.00%	41.00%	42.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team	Same level
Cailungo	99.00%
Cosmos	53.00%
Dogana	98.00%
Domagnano	99.00%
Faetano	30.00%
Folgore Falciano	35.00%
Juvenes	96.00%
La Fiorita	60.00%
Libertas	77.00%
Montevito	69.00%
Murata	30.00%
Pennarossa	92.00%
San Giovanni	97.00%
Tre Fiori	21.00%
Tre Penne	36.00%
Virtus	8.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cosmos	Dogana	Domagnano	Faetano	Folgore Falciano	La Fiorita	Libertas	Montevito	Murata	Pennarossa	San Giovanni	Tre Fiori	Tre Penne	Virtus
Cosmos				50.0%8.00%	66.7%6.00%				30.8%13.00%	50.0%2.00%	100.0%1.00%	37.5%8.00%
Dogana					0.0%1.00%
Domagnano				0.0%1.00%	0.0%1.00%							0.0%1.00%
Faetano	50.0%8.00%		100.0%1.00%			66.7%12.00%	100.0%7.00%	80.0%5.00%					77.8%9.00%	62.5%8.00%
Folgore Falciano	33.3%6.00%	100.0%1.00%	100.0%1.00%			55.6%9.00%	80.0%5.00%	85.7%7.00%					72.7%11.00%	25.0%4.00%
La Fiorita				33.3%12.00%	44.4%9.00%				75.0%4.00%	66.7%3.00%	0.0%1.00%	12.5%8.00%
Libertas				0.0%7.00%	20.0%5.00%				20.0%5.00%			50.0%4.00%
Montevito				20.0%5.00%	14.3%7.00%				30.0%10.00%	0.0%1.00%		33.3%3.00%
Murata	69.2%13.00%					25.0%4.00%	80.0%5.00%	70.0%10.00%					63.6%11.00%	28.6%7.00%
Pennarossa	50.0%2.00%					33.3%3.00%		100.0%1.00%					0.0%1.00%	0.0%2.00%
San Giovanni	0.0%1.00%					100.0%1.00%								0.0%1.00%
Tre Fiori	62.5%8.00%		100.0%1.00%			87.5%8.00%	50.0%4.00%	66.7%3.00%					81.2%16.00%	50.0%4.00%
Tre Penne				22.2%9.00%	27.3%11.00%				36.4%11.00%	100.0%1.00%		18.8%16.00%
Virtus				37.5%8.00%	75.0%4.00%				71.4%7.00%	100.0%2.00%	100.0%1.00%	50.0%4.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cosmos	Faetano	Folgore Falciano	La Fiorita	Libertas	Montevito	Murata	Pennarossa	San Giovanni	Tre Fiori	Tre Penne	Virtus
Cosmos		100.0%2.00%	50.0%2.00%	0.0%1.00%		100.0%1.00%	20.0%5.00%			40.0%5.00%	0.0%2.00%	57.1%7.00%
Faetano	0.0%2.00%		33.3%6.00%	100.0%3.00%	50.0%2.00%		45.5%11.00%			42.9%14.00%	33.3%3.00%	40.0%15.00%
Folgore Falciano	50.0%2.00%	66.7%6.00%		100.0%5.00%		100.0%1.00%	42.9%7.00%	50.0%2.00%		54.5%11.00%	50.0%6.00%	37.5%8.00%
La Fiorita	100.0%1.00%	0.0%3.00%	0.0%5.00%			100.0%1.00%	0.0%3.00%			33.3%3.00%	100.0%2.00%	0.0%3.00%
Libertas		50.0%2.00%								0.0%1.00%	0.0%1.00%	0.0%1.00%
Montevito	0.0%1.00%		0.0%1.00%	0.0%1.00%							100.0%1.00%	33.3%3.00%
Murata	80.0%5.00%	54.5%11.00%	57.1%7.00%	100.0%3.00%						55.6%9.00%	100.0%2.00%	30.0%20.00%
Pennarossa			50.0%2.00%							0.0%1.00%		0.0%1.00%
San Giovanni												100.0%1.00%
Tre Fiori	60.0%5.00%	57.1%14.00%	45.5%11.00%	66.7%3.00%	100.0%1.00%		44.4%9.00%	100.0%1.00%			100.0%2.00%	61.1%18.00%
Tre Penne	100.0%2.00%	66.7%3.00%	50.0%6.00%	0.0%2.00%	100.0%1.00%	0.0%1.00%	0.0%2.00%			0.0%2.00%		37.5%8.00%
Virtus	42.9%7.00%	60.0%15.00%	62.5%8.00%	100.0%3.00%	100.0%1.00%	66.7%3.00%	70.0%20.00%	100.0%1.00%	0.0%1.00%	38.9%18.00%	62.5%8.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cosmos	Faetano	Folgore Falciano	La Fiorita	Libertas	Montevito	Murata	Pennarossa	San Giovanni	Tre Fiori	Tre Penne	Virtus
Cosmos		100.0%2.00%	50.0%2.00%				100.0%2.00%			50.0%2.00%	100.0%1.00%	0.0%2.00%
Faetano	0.0%2.00%		100.0%1.00%				42.9%7.00%			50.0%6.00%	0.0%1.00%	42.9%7.00%
Folgore Falciano	50.0%2.00%	0.0%1.00%		0.0%1.00%			75.0%4.00%		100.0%1.00%	20.0%5.00%		53.8%13.00%
La Fiorita			100.0%1.00%				50.0%2.00%					50.0%2.00%
Libertas												100.0%1.00%
Montevito							0.0%1.00%			0.0%1.00%
Murata	0.0%2.00%	57.1%7.00%	25.0%4.00%	50.0%2.00%		100.0%1.00%				50.0%4.00%	25.0%4.00%	33.3%6.00%
Pennarossa												0.0%1.00%
San Giovanni			0.0%1.00%
Tre Fiori	50.0%2.00%	50.0%6.00%	80.0%5.00%			100.0%1.00%	50.0%4.00%				66.7%3.00%	43.8%16.00%
Tre Penne	0.0%1.00%	100.0%1.00%					75.0%4.00%			33.3%3.00%		50.0%2.00%
Virtus	100.0%2.00%	57.1%7.00%	46.2%13.00%	50.0%2.00%	0.0%1.00%		66.7%6.00%	100.0%1.00%		56.2%16.00%	50.0%2.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1997-09-14	Pennarossa	L 0-2	51.7	1526	1480	46.86%	24.85%	28.28%	+0.43	-33.3	0
1997-09-14	@ Cailungo	W 2-0	51.7	1480	1526	28.28%	24.85%	46.86%	-0.43	+33.3	3
1997-09-14	Libertas	D 1-1	59.2	1388	1522	23.52%	24.48%	52.00%	-0.78	+2.3	1
1997-09-14	@ Dogana	D 1-1	59.2	1522	1388	52.00%	24.48%	23.52%	+0.78	-2.3	1
1997-09-14	Tre Fiori	L 1-2	60.0	1535	1548	38.79%	25.09%	36.12%	+0.03	-14.3	0
1997-09-14	@ Faetano	W 2-1	60.0	1548	1535	36.12%	25.09%	38.79%	-0.03	+14.3	3
1997-09-14	Tre Penne	W 1-0	52.2	1450	1516	31.47%	24.99%	43.54%	-0.32	+16.6	3
1997-09-14	@ Montevito	L 0-1	52.2	1516	1450	43.54%	24.99%	31.47%	+0.32	-16.6	0
1997-09-14	San Giovanni	W 2-1	46.8	1563	1373	62.33%	22.95%	14.73%	+1.39	+6.4	3
1997-09-14	@ Folgore Falciano	L 1-2	46.8	1373	1563	14.73%	22.95%	62.33%	-1.39	-6.4	0
1997-09-14	Murata	L 1-3	51.0	1453	1560	26.38%	24.73%	48.89%	-0.60	-18.4	0
1997-09-14	@ Juvenes	W 3-1	51.0	1560	1453	48.89%	24.73%	26.38%	+0.60	+18.4	3
1997-09-14	Cosmos	W 2-0	47.4	1552	1497	47.96%	24.79%	27.25%	+0.49	+21.8	3
1997-09-14	@ La Fiorita	L 0-2	47.4	1497	1552	27.25%	24.79%	47.96%	-0.49	-21.8	0
1997-09-14	Domagnano	W 5-1	49.2	1531	1505	44.17%	24.97%	30.85%	+0.29	+38.0	3
1997-09-14	@ Virtus	L 1-5	49.2	1505	1531	30.85%	24.97%	44.17%	-0.29	-38.0	0
1997-09-21	Virtus	L 1-2	55.4	1476	1569	28.00%	24.84%	47.16%	-0.51	-11.1	0
1997-09-21	@ Cosmos	W 2-1	55.4	1569	1476	47.16%	24.84%	28.00%	+0.51	+11.1	6
1997-09-21	Montevito	L 1-2	49.5	1391	1466	30.24%	24.95%	44.81%	-0.39	-11.8	1
1997-09-21	@ Dogana	W 2-1	49.5	1466	1391	44.81%	24.95%	30.24%	+0.39	+11.8	6
1997-09-21	Tre Penne	L 0-3	45.0	1467	1499	36.14%	25.09%	38.77%	-0.09	-39.4	0
1997-09-21	@ Domagnano	W 3-0	45.0	1499	1467	38.77%	25.09%	36.14%	+0.09	+39.4	3
1997-09-21	La Fiorita	L 1-3	56.0	1519	1574	32.94%	25.04%	42.02%	-0.25	-21.9	1
1997-09-21	@ Libertas	W 3-1	56.0	1574	1519	42.02%	25.04%	32.94%	+0.25	+21.9	6
1997-09-21	Faetano	W 3-0	46.9	1578	1521	48.29%	24.77%	26.94%	+0.51	+31.3	6
1997-09-21	@ Murata	L 0-3	46.9	1521	1578	26.94%	24.77%	48.29%	-0.51	-31.4	0
1997-09-21	Folgore Falciano	L 0-2	50.3	1513	1569	32.79%	25.03%	42.17%	-0.26	-25.2	3
1997-09-21	@ Pennarossa	W 2-0	50.3	1569	1513	42.17%	25.03%	32.79%	+0.26	+25.2	6
1997-09-21	Juvenes	W 1-0	47.3	1367	1434	31.29%	24.99%	43.73%	-0.33	+16.7	3
1997-09-21	@ San Giovanni	L 0-1	47.3	1434	1367	43.73%	24.99%	31.29%	+0.33	-16.7	0
1997-09-21	Cailungo	W 2-1	55.0	1563	1493	49.81%	24.66%	25.52%	+0.59	+10.3	6
1997-09-21	@ Tre Fiori	L 1-2	55.0	1493	1563	25.52%	24.66%	49.81%	-0.59	-10.3	0
1997-09-28	Murata	L 0-3	45.8	1483	1610	24.14%	24.54%	51.32%	-0.74	-28.6	0
1997-09-28	@ Cailungo	W 3-0	45.8	1610	1483	51.32%	24.54%	24.14%	+0.74	+28.7	9
1997-09-28	San Giovanni	W 1-0	42.4	1490	1384	54.01%	24.27%	21.72%	+0.83	+9.6	3
1997-09-28	@ Faetano	L 0-1	42.4	1384	1490	21.72%	24.27%	54.01%	-0.83	-9.6	3
1997-09-28	Cosmos	D 1-1	60.2	1478	1464	42.53%	25.02%	32.45%	+0.21	-0.8	7
1997-09-28	@ Montevito	D 1-1	60.2	1464	1478	32.45%	25.02%	42.53%	-0.21	+0.8	1
1997-09-28	Juvenes	D 0-0	59.3	1594	1418	61.18%	23.18%	15.64%	+1.31	-4.4	7
1997-09-28	@ Folgore Falciano	D 0-0	59.3	1418	1594	15.64%	23.18%	61.18%	-1.31	+4.4	1
1997-09-28	Domagnano	D 1-1	63.7	1596	1428	60.39%	23.34%	16.28%	+1.25	-3.8	7
1997-09-28	@ La Fiorita	D 1-1	63.7	1428	1596	16.28%	23.34%	60.39%	-1.25	+3.8	1
1997-09-28	Tre Penne	L 1-2	57.1	1497	1538	34.82%	25.07%	40.11%	-0.16	-13.2	1
1997-09-28	@ Libertas	W 2-1	57.1	1538	1497	40.11%	25.07%	34.82%	+0.16	+13.2	6
1997-09-28	Pennarossa	W 4-2	56.1	1573	1488	51.63%	24.51%	23.86%	+0.69	+15.1	9
1997-09-28	@ Tre Fiori	L 2-4	56.1	1488	1573	23.86%	24.51%	51.63%	-0.69	-15.1	3
1997-09-28	Dogana	W 2-0	39.4	1580	1379	63.36%	22.71%	13.92%	+1.47	+12.1	9
1997-09-28	@ Virtus	L 0-2	39.4	1379	1580	13.92%	22.71%	63.36%	-1.47	-12.1	1
1997-10-05	Dogana	W 3-0	36.3	1465	1367	53.17%	24.36%	22.46%	+0.78	+27.0	4
1997-10-05	@ Cosmos	L 0-3	36.3	1367	1465	22.46%	24.36%	53.17%	-0.78	-27.0	1
1997-10-05	Libertas	L 1-3	49.6	1432	1484	33.27%	25.05%	41.68%	-0.23	-22.1	1
1997-10-05	@ Domagnano	W 3-1	49.6	1484	1432	41.68%	25.05%	33.27%	+0.23	+22.1	4
1997-10-05	Folgore Falciano	W 2-0	54.7	1499	1590	28.33%	24.85%	46.82%	-0.49	+33.3	6
1997-10-05	@ Faetano	L 0-2	54.7	1590	1499	46.82%	24.85%	28.33%	+0.49	-33.3	7
1997-10-05	Virtus	D 0-0	61.0	1477	1592	25.49%	24.66%	49.85%	-0.65	+2.2	8
1997-10-05	@ Montevito	D 0-0	61.0	1592	1477	49.85%	24.66%	25.49%	+0.65	-2.2	10
1997-10-05	Cailungo	W 4-1	47.6	1422	1454	36.14%	25.09%	38.77%	-0.09	+35.1	4
1997-10-05	@ Juvenes	L 1-4	47.6	1454	1422	38.77%	25.09%	36.14%	+0.09	-35.1	0
1997-10-05	Tre Fiori	L 1-4	61.3	1638	1588	47.38%	24.82%	27.80%	+0.46	-41.2	9
1997-10-05	@ Murata	W 4-1	61.3	1588	1638	27.80%	24.82%	47.38%	-0.46	+41.2	12
1997-10-05	San Giovanni	D 2-2	62.6	1473	1374	53.21%	24.36%	22.43%	+0.78	-1.9	4
1997-10-05	@ Pennarossa	D 2-2	62.6	1374	1473	22.43%	24.36%	53.21%	-0.78	+1.9	4
1997-10-05	La Fiorita	W 3-1	59.7	1552	1592	34.90%	25.07%	40.03%	-0.15	+25.4	9
1997-10-05	@ Tre Penne	L 1-3	59.7	1592	1552	40.03%	25.07%	34.90%	+0.15	-25.4	7
1997-10-12	Folgore Falciano	D 1-1	61.6	1419	1557	23.02%	24.43%	52.55%	-0.81	+2.5	1
1997-10-12	@ Cailungo	D 1-1	61.6	1557	1419	52.55%	24.43%	23.02%	+0.81	-2.5	8
1997-10-12	Libertas	D 2-2	67.5	1492	1506	38.68%	25.09%	36.24%	+0.03	-0.1	5
1997-10-12	@ Cosmos	D 2-2	67.5	1506	1492	36.24%	25.09%	38.68%	-0.03	+0.1	5
1997-10-12	Montevito	L 1-2	50.7	1410	1480	30.95%	24.98%	44.07%	-0.35	-12.0	1
1997-10-12	@ Domagnano	W 2-1	50.7	1480	1410	44.07%	24.98%	30.95%	+0.35	+12.0	11
1997-10-12	Pennarossa	D 1-1	62.5	1532	1471	48.78%	24.74%	26.48%	+0.53	-1.8	7
1997-10-12	@ Faetano	D 1-1	62.5	1471	1532	26.48%	24.74%	48.78%	-0.53	+1.8	5
1997-10-12	Murata	W 4-3	70.1	1376	1597	15.67%	23.19%	61.14%	-1.37	+19.6	7
1997-10-12	@ San Giovanni	L 3-4	70.1	1597	1376	61.14%	23.19%	15.67%	+1.37	-19.6	9
1997-10-12	Juvenes	W 2-1	52.8	1629	1457	60.76%	23.27%	15.98%	+1.28	+6.9	15
1997-10-12	@ Tre Fiori	L 1-2	52.8	1457	1629	15.98%	23.27%	60.76%	-1.28	-6.9	4
1997-10-12	Dogana	D 2-2	65.5	1577	1340	66.28%	21.96%	11.76%	+1.71	-3.6	10
1997-10-12	@ Tre Penne	D 2-2	65.5	1340	1577	11.76%	21.96%	66.28%	-1.71	+3.6	2
1997-10-12	La Fiorita	W 2-1	60.0	1590	1567	43.85%	24.98%	31.17%	+0.28	+12.1	13
1997-10-12	@ Virtus	L 1-2	60.0	1567	1590	31.17%	24.98%	43.85%	-0.28	-12.1	7
1997-10-19	Faetano	D 1-1	60.6	1421	1531	26.13%	24.71%	49.16%	-0.62	+1.9	2
1997-10-19	@ Cailungo	D 1-1	60.6	1531	1421	49.16%	24.71%	26.13%	+0.62	-1.9	8
1997-10-19	Domagnano	L 0-1	42.9	1344	1398	33.05%	25.04%	41.91%	-0.24	-13.4	2
1997-10-19	@ Dogana	W 1-0	42.9	1398	1344	41.91%	25.04%	33.05%	+0.24	+13.5	4
1997-10-19	Murata	W 2-0	53.4	1554	1578	37.32%	25.09%	37.59%	-0.04	+28.0	11
1997-10-19	@ Folgore Falciano	L 0-2	53.4	1578	1554	37.59%	25.09%	37.32%	+0.04	-28.0	9
1997-10-19	Montevito	L 1-3	59.0	1555	1492	48.98%	24.72%	26.30%	+0.54	-30.0	7
1997-10-19	@ La Fiorita	W 3-1	59.0	1492	1555	26.30%	24.72%	48.98%	-0.54	+30.0	14
1997-10-19	Virtus	W 2-1	63.4	1506	1602	27.71%	24.82%	47.47%	-0.53	+16.9	8
1997-10-19	@ Libertas	L 1-2	63.4	1602	1506	47.47%	24.82%	27.71%	+0.53	-16.8	13
1997-10-19	Juvenes	L 1-3	53.0	1473	1450	43.72%	24.99%	31.29%	+0.27	-27.2	5
1997-10-19	@ Pennarossa	W 3-1	53.0	1450	1473	31.29%	24.99%	43.72%	-0.27	+27.2	7
1997-10-19	San Giovanni	W 1-0	44.2	1636	1396	66.54%	21.89%	11.57%	+1.74	+5.3	18
1997-10-19	@ Tre Fiori	L 0-1	44.2	1396	1636	11.57%	21.89%	66.54%	-1.74	-5.3	7
1997-10-19	Cosmos	D 2-2	70.1	1573	1492	51.19%	24.55%	24.25%	+0.67	-1.7	11
1997-10-19	@ Tre Penne	D 2-2	70.1	1492	1573	24.25%	24.55%	51.19%	-0.67	+1.7	6
1997-10-26	La Fiorita	D 0-0	53.8	1330	1525	17.74%	23.65%	58.61%	-1.19	+3.9	3
1997-10-26	@ Dogana	D 0-0	53.8	1525	1330	58.61%	23.65%	17.74%	+1.19	-3.9	8
1997-10-26	Cosmos	L 0-1	45.8	1411	1494	29.33%	24.91%	45.77%	-0.44	-12.2	4
1997-10-26	@ Domagnano	W 1-0	45.8	1494	1411	45.77%	24.91%	29.33%	+0.44	+12.2	9
1997-10-26	Libertas	W 2-0	49.5	1522	1523	40.42%	25.07%	34.51%	+0.11	+26.2	17
1997-10-26	@ Montevito	L 0-2	49.5	1523	1522	34.51%	25.07%	40.42%	-0.11	-26.2	8
1997-10-26	Tre Fiori	W 1-0	60.1	1582	1642	32.34%	25.02%	42.64%	-0.28	+16.4	14
1997-10-26	@ Folgore Falciano	L 0-1	60.1	1642	1582	42.64%	25.02%	32.34%	+0.28	-16.3	18
1997-10-26	Faetano	D 1-1	62.6	1478	1529	33.45%	25.05%	41.51%	-0.22	+0.6	8
1997-10-26	@ Juvenes	D 1-1	62.6	1529	1478	41.51%	25.05%	33.45%	+0.22	-0.6	9
1997-10-26	Pennarossa	L 1-3	58.5	1550	1446	53.82%	24.30%	21.88%	+0.82	-32.6	9
1997-10-26	@ Murata	W 3-1	58.5	1446	1550	21.88%	24.30%	53.82%	-0.82	+32.6	8
1997-10-26	Cailungo	W 3-1	48.4	1390	1423	35.99%	25.09%	38.93%	-0.10	+24.9	10
1997-10-26	@ San Giovanni	L 1-3	48.4	1423	1390	38.93%	25.09%	35.99%	+0.10	-24.9	2
1997-10-26	Tre Penne	L 0-1	58.5	1585	1572	42.53%	25.02%	32.45%	+0.21	-16.3	13
1997-10-26	@ Virtus	W 1-0	58.5	1572	1585	32.45%	25.02%	42.53%	-0.21	+16.3	14
1997-11-02	Virtus	L 0-6	39.8	1398	1569	19.81%	24.01%	56.19%	-1.03	-46.3	2
1997-11-02	@ Cailungo	W 6-0	39.8	1569	1398	56.19%	24.01%	19.81%	+1.03	+46.3	16
1997-11-02	Folgore Falciano	L 0-1	52.6	1506	1599	28.12%	24.84%	47.04%	-0.50	-11.8	9
1997-11-02	@ Cosmos	W 1-0	52.6	1599	1506	47.04%	24.84%	28.12%	+0.50	+11.8	17
1997-11-02	Domagnano	W 2-0	40.4	1478	1399	50.98%	24.57%	24.45%	+0.65	+19.9	11
1997-11-02	@ Juvenes	L 0-2	40.4	1399	1478	24.45%	24.57%	50.98%	-0.65	-19.9	4
1997-11-02	San Giovanni	L 2-3	63.9	1521	1415	53.97%	24.28%	21.75%	+0.83	-17.9	8
1997-11-02	@ La Fiorita	W 3-2	63.9	1415	1521	21.75%	24.28%	53.97%	-0.83	+17.9	13
1997-11-02	Faetano	W 1-0	53.1	1497	1528	36.20%	25.09%	38.71%	-0.09	+15.2	11
1997-11-02	@ Libertas	L 0-1	53.1	1528	1497	38.71%	25.09%	36.20%	+0.09	-15.2	9
1997-11-02	Dogana	W 1-0	39.4	1517	1334	61.76%	23.06%	15.17%	+1.35	+6.9	12
1997-11-02	@ Murata	L 0-1	39.4	1334	1517	15.17%	23.06%	61.76%	-1.35	-6.9	3
1997-11-02	Montevito	W 1-0	53.5	1625	1548	50.73%	24.59%	24.68%	+0.64	+10.6	21
1997-11-02	@ Tre Fiori	L 0-1	53.5	1548	1625	24.68%	24.59%	50.73%	-0.64	-10.7	17
1997-11-02	Pennarossa	D 1-1	65.0	1588	1478	54.47%	24.22%	21.31%	+0.86	-2.8	15
1997-11-02	@ Tre Penne	D 1-1	65.0	1478	1588	21.31%	24.22%	54.47%	-0.86	+2.8	9
1997-11-09	Cailungo	W 2-1	48.4	1327	1352	37.10%	25.09%	37.81%	-0.05	+14.0	6
1997-11-09	@ Dogana	L 1-2	48.4	1352	1327	37.81%	25.09%	37.10%	+0.05	-14.0	2
1997-11-09	San Giovanni	L 0-3	39.2	1379	1433	33.01%	25.04%	41.95%	-0.25	-36.8	4
1997-11-09	@ Domagnano	W 3-0	39.2	1433	1379	41.95%	25.04%	33.01%	+0.25	+36.8	16
1997-11-09	Cosmos	D 2-2	67.8	1513	1494	43.24%	25.00%	31.76%	+0.25	-0.7	10
1997-11-09	@ Faetano	D 2-2	67.8	1494	1513	31.76%	25.00%	43.24%	-0.25	+0.7	10
1997-11-09	Juvenes	D 1-1	63.7	1537	1498	45.91%	24.90%	29.19%	+0.38	-1.3	18
1997-11-09	@ Montevito	D 1-1	63.7	1498	1537	29.19%	24.90%	45.91%	-0.38	+1.3	12
1997-11-09	Libertas	W 1-0	51.3	1610	1512	53.17%	24.37%	22.47%	+0.78	+9.9	20
1997-11-09	@ Folgore Falciano	L 0-1	51.3	1512	1610	22.47%	24.37%	53.17%	-0.78	-9.8	11
1997-11-09	La Fiorita	L 0-1	51.2	1481	1503	37.53%	25.09%	37.38%	-0.03	-14.8	9
1997-11-09	@ Pennarossa	W 1-0	51.2	1503	1481	37.38%	25.09%	37.53%	+0.03	+14.8	11
1997-11-09	Murata	D 1-1	66.3	1585	1524	48.76%	24.74%	26.50%	+0.53	-1.8	16
1997-11-09	@ Tre Penne	D 1-1	66.3	1524	1585	26.50%	24.74%	48.76%	-0.53	+1.8	13
1997-11-09	Tre Fiori	W 2-0	56.0	1615	1636	37.73%	25.09%	37.18%	-0.02	+27.7	19
1997-11-09	@ Virtus	L 0-2	56.0	1636	1615	37.18%	25.09%	37.73%	+0.02	-27.7	21
1997-11-16	Cailungo	W 3-1	41.9	1495	1338	59.32%	23.53%	17.15%	+1.18	+12.7	13
1997-11-16	@ Cosmos	L 1-3	41.9	1338	1495	17.15%	23.53%	59.32%	-1.18	-12.7	2
1997-11-16	Virtus	D 0-0	63.7	1512	1643	23.77%	24.51%	51.73%	-0.76	+2.6	11
1997-11-16	@ Faetano	D 0-0	63.7	1643	1512	51.73%	24.51%	23.77%	+0.76	-2.6	20
1997-11-16	Juvenes	W 2-1	55.6	1502	1500	41.02%	25.06%	33.92%	+0.14	+12.9	14
1997-11-16	@ Libertas	L 1-2	55.6	1500	1502	33.92%	25.06%	41.02%	-0.14	-12.9	12
1997-11-16	La Fiorita	D 2-2	69.2	1526	1518	41.78%	25.04%	33.18%	+0.17	-0.5	14
1997-11-16	@ Murata	D 2-2	69.2	1518	1526	33.18%	25.04%	41.78%	-0.17	+0.5	12
1997-11-16	Dogana	D 2-2	61.7	1466	1341	56.09%	24.02%	19.89%	+0.96	-2.3	10
1997-11-16	@ Pennarossa	D 2-2	61.7	1341	1466	19.89%	24.02%	56.09%	-0.96	+2.3	7
1997-11-16	Montevito	L 2-3	59.9	1470	1536	31.48%	25.00%	43.52%	-0.32	-11.6	16
1997-11-16	@ San Giovanni	W 3-2	59.9	1536	1470	43.52%	25.00%	31.48%	+0.32	+11.6	21
1997-11-16	Domagnano	W 7-0	36.1	1608	1342	68.45%	21.30%	10.25%	+1.91	+28.6	24
1997-11-16	@ Tre Fiori	L 0-7	36.1	1342	1608	10.25%	21.30%	68.45%	-1.91	-28.6	4
1997-11-16	Folgore Falciano	L 1-3	59.8	1583	1620	35.42%	25.08%	39.50%	-0.13	-23.2	16
1997-11-16	@ Tre Penne	W 3-1	59.8	1620	1583	39.50%	25.08%	35.42%	+0.13	+23.1	23
1997-11-23	Tre Penne	L 1-3	42.4	1325	1560	14.67%	22.93%	62.40%	-1.46	-11.0	2
1997-11-23	@ Cailungo	W 3-1	42.4	1560	1325	62.40%	22.93%	14.67%	+1.46	+11.0	19
1997-11-23	Faetano	L 0-5	50.5	1547	1515	45.07%	24.94%	30.00%	+0.34	-75.4	21
1997-11-23	@ Montevito	W 5-0	50.5	1515	1547	30.00%	24.94%	45.07%	-0.34	+75.4	14
1997-11-23	La Fiorita	D 0-0	64.0	1643	1518	56.12%	24.02%	19.86%	+0.96	-3.4	24
1997-11-23	@ Folgore Falciano	D 0-0	64.0	1518	1643	19.86%	24.02%	56.12%	-0.96	+3.4	13
1997-11-23	Cosmos	D 2-2	68.8	1525	1507	43.10%	25.01%	31.89%	+0.24	-0.6	15
1997-11-23	@ Murata	D 2-2	68.8	1507	1525	31.89%	25.01%	43.10%	-0.24	+0.7	14
1997-11-23	Domagnano	W 4-2	44.9	1464	1313	58.69%	23.63%	17.68%	+1.13	+11.7	13
1997-11-23	@ Pennarossa	L 2-4	44.9	1313	1464	17.68%	23.63%	58.69%	-1.13	-11.7	4
1997-11-23	Dogana	D 1-1	56.3	1458	1343	55.02%	24.16%	20.83%	+0.89	-2.9	17
1997-11-23	@ San Giovanni	D 1-1	56.3	1343	1458	20.83%	24.16%	55.02%	-0.89	+2.9	8
1997-11-23	Libertas	W 3-1	53.6	1637	1515	55.73%	24.07%	20.21%	+0.94	+14.7	27
1997-11-23	@ Tre Fiori	L 1-3	53.6	1515	1637	20.21%	24.07%	55.73%	-0.94	-14.7	14
1997-11-23	Juvenes	W 4-1	49.5	1640	1487	59.03%	23.58%	17.40%	+1.15	+18.2	23
1997-11-23	@ Virtus	L 1-4	49.5	1487	1640	17.40%	23.58%	59.03%	-1.15	-18.2	12
1998-02-01	San Giovanni	D 0-0	57.0	1508	1455	47.68%	24.81%	27.51%	+0.47	-1.8	15
1998-02-01	@ Cosmos	D 0-0	57.0	1455	1508	27.51%	24.81%	47.68%	-0.47	+1.8	18
1998-02-01	Tre Fiori	L 1-3	44.7	1346	1651	10.54%	21.44%	68.03%	-1.93	-7.9	8
1998-02-01	@ Dogana	W 3-1	44.7	1651	1346	68.03%	21.44%	10.54%	+1.93	+7.9	30
1998-02-01	Cailungo	L 0-1	43.2	1302	1314	38.87%	25.09%	36.04%	+0.04	-15.2	4
1998-02-01	@ Domagnano	W 1-0	43.2	1314	1302	36.04%	25.09%	38.87%	-0.04	+15.2	5
1998-02-01	La Fiorita	W 2-0	49.0	1590	1522	49.68%	24.67%	25.64%	+0.58	+20.7	17
1998-02-01	@ Faetano	L 0-2	49.0	1522	1590	25.64%	24.67%	49.68%	-0.58	-20.7	13
1998-02-01	Virtus	D 0-0	66.4	1640	1659	38.00%	25.09%	36.91%	-0.01	-0.1	25
1998-02-01	@ Folgore Falciano	D 0-0	66.4	1659	1640	36.91%	25.09%	38.00%	+0.01	+0.1	24
1998-02-01	Tre Penne	L 0-4	44.0	1468	1571	26.89%	24.77%	48.35%	-0.57	-40.9	12
1998-02-01	@ Juvenes	W 4-0	44.0	1571	1468	48.35%	24.77%	26.89%	+0.57	+40.9	22
1998-02-01	Pennarossa	L 2-4	59.1	1500	1475	44.07%	24.98%	30.95%	+0.29	-24.5	14
1998-02-01	@ Libertas	W 4-2	59.1	1475	1500	30.95%	24.98%	44.07%	-0.29	+24.5	16
1998-02-01	Montevito	W 4-0	42.6	1525	1472	47.69%	24.81%	27.51%	+0.47	+41.6	18
1998-02-01	@ Murata	L 0-4	42.6	1472	1525	27.51%	24.81%	47.69%	-0.47	-41.6	21
1998-02-08	Libertas	L 1-2	45.6	1330	1476	22.14%	24.33%	53.53%	-0.87	-9.2	5
1998-02-08	@ Cailungo	W 2-1	45.6	1476	1330	53.53%	24.33%	22.14%	+0.87	+9.2	17
1998-02-08	Tre Fiori	W 1-0	62.0	1506	1659	21.49%	24.25%	54.26%	-0.91	+20.1	18
1998-02-08	@ Cosmos	L 0-1	62.0	1659	1506	54.26%	24.25%	21.49%	+0.91	-20.1	30
1998-02-08	Faetano	L 0-4	35.5	1338	1611	12.28%	22.16%	65.55%	-1.72	-20.3	8
1998-02-08	@ Dogana	W 4-0	35.5	1611	1338	65.55%	22.16%	12.28%	+1.72	+20.3	20
1998-02-08	Murata	L 1-4	37.9	1287	1566	11.88%	22.01%	66.11%	-1.76	-12.7	4
1998-02-08	@ Domagnano	W 4-1	37.9	1566	1287	66.11%	22.01%	11.88%	+1.76	+12.7	21
1998-02-08	Folgore Falciano	W 1-0	60.6	1430	1640	16.54%	23.39%	60.07%	-1.29	+22.1	24
1998-02-08	@ Montevito	L 0-1	60.6	1640	1430	60.07%	23.39%	16.54%	+1.29	-22.1	25
1998-02-08	Juvenes	W 1-0	45.3	1501	1428	50.23%	24.63%	25.14%	+0.61	+10.8	16
1998-02-08	@ La Fiorita	L 0-1	45.3	1428	1501	25.14%	24.63%	50.23%	-0.61	-10.8	12
1998-02-08	Tre Penne	W 2-1	64.0	1457	1612	21.31%	24.22%	54.47%	-0.92	+19.0	21
1998-02-08	@ San Giovanni	L 1-2	64.0	1612	1457	54.47%	24.22%	21.31%	+0.92	-19.0	22
1998-02-08	Pennarossa	W 3-2	60.3	1659	1500	59.50%	23.50%	17.01%	+1.19	+6.9	27
1998-02-08	@ Virtus	L 2-3	60.3	1500	1659	17.01%	23.50%	59.50%	-1.19	-6.9	16
1998-02-15	Folgore Falciano	D 1-1	59.8	1274	1618	8.77%	20.50%	70.73%	-2.19	+5.6	5
1998-02-15	@ Domagnano	D 1-1	59.8	1618	1274	70.73%	20.50%	8.77%	+2.19	-5.6	26
1998-02-15	Cailungo	W 1-0	39.0	1452	1320	56.83%	23.92%	19.25%	+1.01	+8.6	27
1998-02-15	@ Montevito	L 0-1	39.0	1320	1452	19.25%	23.92%	56.83%	-1.01	-8.6	5
1998-02-15	Dogana	W 3-0	34.3	1417	1318	53.21%	24.36%	22.43%	+0.78	+26.9	15
1998-02-15	@ Juvenes	L 0-3	34.3	1318	1417	22.43%	24.36%	53.21%	-0.78	-26.9	8
1998-02-15	Tre Fiori	L 0-2	49.7	1512	1639	24.10%	24.54%	51.36%	-0.74	-19.7	16
1998-02-15	@ La Fiorita	W 2-0	49.7	1639	1512	51.36%	24.54%	24.10%	+0.74	+19.7	33
1998-02-15	Murata	L 1-3	53.4	1485	1579	27.96%	24.83%	47.20%	-0.51	-19.2	17
1998-02-15	@ Libertas	W 3-1	53.4	1579	1485	47.20%	24.83%	27.96%	+0.51	+19.2	24
1998-02-15	Cosmos	D 1-1	63.0	1493	1526	35.91%	25.08%	39.01%	-0.10	+0.2	17
1998-02-15	@ Pennarossa	D 1-1	63.0	1526	1493	39.01%	25.08%	35.91%	+0.10	-0.2	19
1998-02-15	Virtus	L 1-2	55.3	1476	1666	18.18%	23.73%	58.09%	-1.15	-7.7	21
1998-02-15	@ San Giovanni	W 2-1	55.3	1666	1476	58.09%	23.73%	18.18%	+1.15	+7.7	30
1998-02-15	Faetano	L 0-4	52.0	1593	1631	35.23%	25.08%	39.69%	-0.14	-50.5	22
1998-02-15	@ Tre Penne	W 4-0	52.0	1631	1593	39.69%	25.08%	35.23%	+0.14	+50.5	23
1998-02-22	Domagnano	W 4-0	32.5	1682	1279	76.86%	17.78%	5.37%	+2.83	+8.4	26
1998-02-22	@ Faetano	L 0-4	32.5	1279	1682	5.37%	17.78%	76.86%	-2.83	-8.4	5
1998-02-22	Dogana	L 0-2	54.1	1612	1291	72.16%	19.94%	7.90%	+2.28	-49.0	26
1998-02-22	@ Folgore Falciano	W 2-0	54.1	1291	1612	7.90%	19.94%	72.16%	-2.28	+49.0	11
1998-02-22	Cosmos	L 1-2	53.0	1444	1526	29.35%	24.91%	45.74%	-0.44	-11.6	15
1998-02-22	@ Juvenes	W 2-1	53.0	1526	1444	45.74%	24.91%	29.35%	+0.44	+11.6	22
1998-02-22	Cailungo	D 2-2	61.9	1492	1312	61.51%	23.12%	15.37%	+1.33	-3.0	17
1998-02-22	@ La Fiorita	D 2-2	61.9	1312	1492	15.37%	23.12%	61.51%	-1.33	+3.0	6
1998-02-22	San Giovanni	L 0-1	50.2	1466	1469	40.26%	25.07%	34.67%	+0.10	-15.6	17
1998-02-22	@ Libertas	W 1-0	50.2	1469	1466	34.67%	25.07%	40.26%	-0.10	+15.6	24
1998-02-22	Montevito	L 1-4	52.1	1493	1461	45.05%	24.94%	30.01%	+0.34	-39.5	17
1998-02-22	@ Pennarossa	W 4-1	52.1	1461	1493	30.01%	24.94%	45.05%	-0.34	+39.5	30
1998-02-22	Tre Penne	L 0-1	63.2	1659	1543	55.16%	24.14%	20.70%	+0.90	-20.4	33
1998-02-22	@ Tre Fiori	W 1-0	63.2	1543	1659	20.70%	24.14%	55.16%	-0.90	+20.4	25
1998-02-22	Murata	W 3-1	57.8	1673	1598	50.45%	24.61%	24.93%	+0.63	+17.5	33
1998-02-22	@ Virtus	L 1-3	57.8	1598	1673	24.93%	24.61%	50.45%	-0.63	-17.5	24
1998-03-01	La Fiorita	D 0-0	59.4	1538	1489	47.19%	24.83%	27.98%	+0.45	-1.7	23
1998-03-01	@ Cosmos	D 0-0	59.4	1489	1538	27.98%	24.83%	47.19%	-0.45	+1.7	18
1998-03-01	Virtus	L 1-3	41.2	1271	1691	6.12%	18.52%	75.36%	-2.71	-4.5	5
1998-03-01	@ Domagnano	W 3-1	41.2	1691	1271	75.36%	18.52%	6.12%	+2.71	+4.5	36
1998-03-01	Dogana	W 1-0	40.1	1450	1340	54.49%	24.22%	21.29%	+0.86	+9.4	20
1998-03-01	@ Libertas	L 0-1	40.1	1340	1450	21.29%	24.22%	54.49%	-0.86	-9.4	11
1998-03-01	Juvenes	W 7-1	42.8	1581	1432	58.51%	23.66%	17.83%	+1.12	+34.8	27
1998-03-01	@ Murata	L 1-7	42.8	1432	1581	17.83%	23.66%	58.51%	-1.12	-34.8	15
1998-03-01	Cailungo	L 2-3	60.2	1454	1315	57.56%	23.81%	18.63%	+1.06	-19.0	17
1998-03-01	@ Pennarossa	W 3-2	60.2	1315	1454	18.63%	23.81%	57.56%	-1.06	+19.0	9
1998-03-01	Folgore Falciano	D 0-0	60.1	1484	1563	29.79%	24.93%	45.28%	-0.41	+1.4	25
1998-03-01	@ San Giovanni	D 0-0	60.1	1563	1484	45.28%	24.93%	29.79%	+0.41	-1.4	27
1998-03-01	Faetano	D 0-0	66.8	1639	1690	33.36%	25.05%	41.59%	-0.23	+0.7	34
1998-03-01	@ Tre Fiori	D 0-0	66.8	1690	1639	41.59%	25.05%	33.36%	+0.23	-0.7	27
1998-03-01	Montevito	D 1-1	64.8	1563	1500	48.92%	24.73%	26.35%	+0.54	-1.8	26
1998-03-01	@ Tre Penne	D 1-1	64.8	1500	1563	26.35%	24.73%	48.92%	-0.54	+1.8	31
1998-03-08	Tre Fiori	L 1-3	43.8	1334	1639	10.52%	21.43%	68.06%	-1.94	-7.9	9
1998-03-08	@ Cailungo	W 3-1	43.8	1639	1334	68.06%	21.43%	10.52%	+1.94	+7.9	37
1998-03-08	Murata	W 3-0	50.9	1690	1615	50.33%	24.62%	25.04%	+0.62	+29.5	30
1998-03-08	@ Faetano	L 0-3	50.9	1615	1690	25.04%	24.62%	50.33%	-0.62	-29.5	27
1998-03-08	Dogana	D 2-2	62.5	1502	1331	60.71%	23.27%	16.01%	+1.27	-2.9	32
1998-03-08	@ Montevito	D 2-2	62.5	1331	1502	16.01%	23.27%	60.71%	-1.27	+2.9	12
1998-03-08	Pennarossa	W 2-1	50.8	1562	1435	56.30%	23.99%	19.71%	+0.97	+8.3	30
1998-03-08	@ Folgore Falciano	L 1-2	50.8	1435	1562	19.71%	23.99%	56.30%	-0.97	-8.3	17
1998-03-08	San Giovanni	D 0-0	54.2	1397	1486	28.64%	24.87%	46.49%	-0.47	+1.6	16
1998-03-08	@ Juvenes	D 0-0	54.2	1486	1397	46.49%	24.87%	28.64%	+0.47	-1.6	26
1998-03-08	Libertas	L 1-3	54.3	1491	1460	44.87%	24.95%	30.18%	+0.33	-27.8	18
1998-03-08	@ La Fiorita	W 3-1	54.3	1460	1491	30.18%	24.95%	44.87%	-0.33	+27.8	23
1998-03-08	Domagnano	W 5-1	34.3	1561	1267	70.44%	20.61%	8.95%	+2.10	+12.2	29
1998-03-08	@ Tre Penne	L 1-5	34.3	1267	1561	8.95%	20.61%	70.44%	-2.10	-12.2	5
1998-03-08	Cosmos	L 0-1	64.9	1695	1536	59.55%	23.49%	16.96%	+1.19	-21.9	36
1998-03-08	@ Virtus	W 1-0	64.9	1536	1695	16.96%	23.49%	59.55%	-1.19	+21.9	26
1998-03-15	Montevito	W 4-3	63.4	1558	1499	48.41%	24.76%	26.82%	+0.51	+9.9	29
1998-03-15	@ Cosmos	L 3-4	63.4	1499	1558	26.82%	24.76%	48.41%	-0.51	-10.0	32
1998-03-15	Virtus	L 0-4	36.2	1334	1673	8.94%	20.60%	70.46%	-2.17	-14.7	12
1998-03-15	@ Dogana	W 4-0	36.2	1673	1334	70.46%	20.60%	8.94%	+2.17	+14.7	39
1998-03-15	La Fiorita	L 1-4	36.9	1254	1463	16.62%	23.41%	59.97%	-1.28	-17.4	5
1998-03-15	@ Domagnano	W 4-1	36.9	1463	1254	59.97%	23.41%	16.62%	+1.28	+17.4	21
1998-03-15	Folgore Falciano	D 1-1	61.5	1399	1570	19.77%	24.00%	56.23%	-1.03	+3.1	17
1998-03-15	@ Juvenes	D 1-1	61.5	1570	1399	56.23%	24.00%	19.77%	+1.03	-3.1	31
1998-03-15	Cailungo	W 6-0	34.2	1586	1326	68.02%	21.44%	10.54%	+1.87	+25.4	30
1998-03-15	@ Murata	L 0-6	34.2	1326	1586	10.54%	21.44%	68.02%	-1.87	-25.5	9
1998-03-15	Tre Fiori	L 0-3	42.2	1427	1647	15.71%	23.20%	61.09%	-1.36	-19.6	17
1998-03-15	@ Pennarossa	W 3-0	42.2	1647	1427	61.09%	23.20%	15.71%	+1.36	+19.6	40
1998-03-15	Faetano	L 0-2	47.7	1484	1719	14.67%	22.93%	62.40%	-1.46	-12.7	26
1998-03-15	@ San Giovanni	W 2-0	47.7	1719	1484	62.40%	22.93%	14.67%	+1.46	+12.7	33
1998-03-15	Libertas	W 2-0	46.7	1573	1487	51.74%	24.50%	23.75%	+0.70	+19.5	32
1998-03-15	@ Tre Penne	L 0-2	46.7	1487	1573	23.75%	24.50%	51.74%	-0.70	-19.5	23
1998-03-22	Juvenes	L 1-2	45.3	1300	1402	27.02%	24.77%	48.20%	-0.56	-10.8	9
1998-03-22	@ Cailungo	W 2-1	45.3	1402	1300	48.20%	24.77%	27.02%	+0.56	+10.8	20
1998-03-22	Cosmos	W 2-1	59.7	1319	1568	13.75%	22.66%	63.60%	-1.56	+21.9	15
1998-03-22	@ Dogana	L 1-2	59.7	1568	1319	63.60%	22.66%	13.75%	+1.56	-21.9	29
1998-03-22	Faetano	W 2-1	69.8	1567	1732	20.37%	24.09%	55.54%	-0.99	+19.4	34
1998-03-22	@ Folgore Falciano	L 1-2	69.8	1732	1567	55.54%	24.09%	20.37%	+0.99	-19.3	33
1998-03-22	Tre Penne	W 3-1	60.2	1480	1593	25.76%	24.68%	49.56%	-0.64	+30.3	24
1998-03-22	@ La Fiorita	L 1-3	60.2	1593	1480	49.56%	24.68%	25.76%	+0.64	-30.3	32
1998-03-22	Domagnano	D 0-0	51.2	1468	1237	65.82%	22.09%	12.09%	+1.68	-5.3	24
1998-03-22	@ Libertas	D 0-0	51.2	1237	1468	12.09%	22.09%	65.82%	-1.68	+5.3	6
1998-03-22	Pennarossa	W 3-1	46.2	1471	1407	49.14%	24.71%	26.14%	+0.55	+18.2	29
1998-03-22	@ San Giovanni	L 1-3	46.2	1407	1471	26.14%	24.71%	49.14%	-0.55	-18.2	17
1998-03-22	Murata	L 0-3	57.5	1667	1611	48.03%	24.79%	27.19%	+0.49	-49.4	40
1998-03-22	@ Tre Fiori	W 3-0	57.5	1611	1667	27.19%	24.79%	48.03%	-0.49	+49.4	33
1998-03-22	Montevito	W 2-1	54.7	1688	1489	63.14%	22.77%	14.10%	+1.46	+6.1	42
1998-03-22	@ Virtus	L 1-2	54.7	1489	1688	14.10%	22.77%	63.14%	-1.46	-6.1	32
1998-03-29	Tre Penne	D 4-4	70.8	1341	1563	15.62%	23.18%	61.20%	-1.37	+2.1	16
1998-03-29	@ Dogana	D 4-4	70.8	1563	1341	61.20%	23.18%	15.62%	+1.37	-2.1	33
1998-03-29	Domagnano	W 4-1	35.1	1483	1242	66.60%	21.87%	11.53%	+1.74	+12.3	35
1998-03-29	@ Montevito	L 1-4	35.1	1242	1483	11.53%	21.87%	66.60%	-1.74	-12.3	6
1998-03-29	Cailungo	W 2-0	34.5	1586	1290	70.59%	20.55%	8.86%	+2.12	+7.6	37
1998-03-29	@ Folgore Falciano	L 0-2	34.5	1290	1586	8.86%	20.55%	70.59%	-2.12	-7.7	9
1998-03-29	Virtus	L 3-6	56.4	1511	1694	18.66%	23.82%	57.52%	-1.12	-15.5	24
1998-03-29	@ La Fiorita	W 6-3	56.4	1694	1511	57.52%	23.82%	18.66%	+1.12	+15.5	45
1998-03-29	Cosmos	L 0-3	44.4	1463	1546	29.26%	24.90%	45.83%	-0.44	-33.5	24
1998-03-29	@ Libertas	W 3-0	44.4	1546	1463	45.83%	24.90%	29.26%	+0.44	+33.5	32
1998-03-29	San Giovanni	D 1-1	68.0	1661	1490	60.68%	23.28%	16.04%	+1.27	-3.9	34
1998-03-29	@ Murata	D 1-1	68.0	1490	1661	16.04%	23.28%	60.68%	-1.27	+3.9	30
1998-03-29	Faetano	D 0-0	63.2	1389	1712	9.65%	21.00%	69.35%	-2.06	+6.0	18
1998-03-29	@ Pennarossa	D 0-0	63.2	1712	1389	69.35%	21.00%	9.65%	+2.06	-6.0	34
1998-03-29	Juvenes	W 3-2	54.8	1617	1413	63.64%	22.65%	13.71%	+1.50	+5.6	43
1998-03-29	@ Tre Fiori	L 2-3	54.8	1413	1617	13.71%	22.65%	63.64%	-1.50	-5.6	20
1998-04-05	Tre Penne	D 1-1	67.2	1579	1560	43.25%	25.00%	31.74%	+0.25	-0.9	33
1998-04-05	@ Cosmos	D 1-1	67.2	1560	1579	31.74%	25.00%	43.25%	-0.25	+0.9	34
1998-04-05	Dogana	L 1-5	37.0	1230	1343	25.71%	24.68%	49.62%	-0.64	-32.8	6
1998-04-05	@ Domagnano	W 5-1	37.0	1343	1230	49.62%	24.68%	25.71%	+0.64	+32.8	19
1998-04-05	Cailungo	W 2-0	36.1	1706	1282	78.01%	17.17%	4.83%	+2.98	+4.0	37
1998-04-05	@ Faetano	L 0-2	36.1	1282	1706	4.83%	17.17%	78.01%	-2.98	-4.0	9
1998-04-05	La Fiorita	W 1-0	50.4	1496	1495	40.73%	25.06%	34.21%	+0.12	+13.8	38
1998-04-05	@ Montevito	L 0-1	50.4	1495	1496	34.21%	25.06%	40.73%	-0.12	-13.8	24
1998-04-05	Folgore Falciano	L 0-2	59.4	1657	1594	48.95%	24.73%	26.32%	+0.54	-34.6	34
1998-04-05	@ Murata	W 2-0	59.4	1594	1657	26.32%	24.73%	48.95%	-0.54	+34.6	40
1998-04-05	Juvenes	D 0-0	52.0	1395	1407	38.88%	25.09%	36.04%	+0.04	-0.2	19
1998-04-05	@ Pennarossa	D 0-0	52.0	1407	1395	36.04%	25.09%	38.88%	-0.04	+0.2	21
1998-04-05	Tre Fiori	L 2-4	57.9	1493	1623	23.89%	24.52%	51.59%	-0.75	-15.1	30
1998-04-05	@ San Giovanni	W 4-2	57.9	1623	1493	51.59%	24.52%	23.89%	+0.75	+15.1	46
1998-04-05	Libertas	W 4-1	46.7	1710	1429	69.47%	20.96%	9.57%	+2.01	+10.2	48
1998-04-05	@ Virtus	L 1-4	46.7	1429	1710	9.57%	20.96%	69.47%	-2.01	-10.2	24
1998-04-12	San Giovanni	D 2-2	60.8	1278	1478	17.26%	23.55%	59.19%	-1.23	+2.7	10
1998-04-12	@ Cailungo	D 2-2	60.8	1478	1278	59.19%	23.55%	17.26%	+1.23	-2.7	31
1998-04-12	Domagnano	W 6-1	30.7	1579	1197	75.72%	18.34%	5.93%	+2.69	+9.6	36
1998-04-12	@ Cosmos	L 1-6	30.7	1197	1579	5.93%	18.34%	75.72%	-2.69	-9.6	6
1998-04-12	Faetano	L 0-1	46.8	1407	1710	10.65%	21.49%	67.86%	-1.92	-4.9	21
1998-04-12	@ Juvenes	W 1-0	46.8	1710	1407	67.86%	21.49%	10.65%	+1.92	+4.9	40
1998-04-12	Dogana	L 2-4	57.9	1481	1376	53.96%	24.28%	21.76%	+0.83	-29.2	24
1998-04-12	@ La Fiorita	W 4-2	57.9	1376	1481	21.76%	24.28%	53.96%	-0.83	+29.2	22
1998-04-12	Montevito	W 2-1	56.7	1419	1509	28.38%	24.86%	46.76%	-0.49	+16.6	27
1998-04-12	@ Libertas	L 1-2	56.7	1509	1419	46.76%	24.86%	28.38%	+0.49	-16.6	38
1998-04-12	Pennarossa	W 6-1	41.2	1622	1394	65.56%	22.16%	12.28%	+1.65	+20.7	37
1998-04-12	@ Murata	L 1-6	41.2	1394	1622	12.28%	22.16%	65.56%	-1.65	-20.7	19
1998-04-12	Folgore Falciano	W 4-1	57.8	1638	1629	41.95%	25.04%	33.01%	+0.18	+31.0	49
1998-04-12	@ Tre Fiori	L 1-4	57.8	1629	1638	33.01%	25.04%	41.95%	-0.18	-31.0	40
1998-04-12	Virtus	W 2-1	69.4	1561	1720	20.96%	24.17%	54.87%	-0.95	+19.1	37
1998-04-12	@ Tre Penne	L 1-2	69.4	1720	1561	54.87%	24.17%	20.96%	+0.95	-19.1	48

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Record
1998-04-19	Tre Penne	L 3-4	78.2	1715	1581	57.11%	23.88%	19.01%	+1.03	-18.4	0-1
1998-04-19	@ Faetano	W 4-3	78.2	1581	1715	19.01%	23.88%	57.11%	-1.03	+18.4	1-0
1998-04-19	Folgore Falciano	D 1-1	65.7	1493	1598	26.66%	24.75%	48.59%	-0.59	+1.8	0-0-1
1998-04-19	@ Montevito	D 1-1	65.7	1598	1493	48.59%	24.75%	26.66%	+0.59	-1.8	0-0-1
1998-04-23	Folgore Falciano	W 2-1	60.4	1669	1596	50.23%	24.63%	25.14%	+0.61	+10.2	1-0
1998-04-23	@ Tre Fiori	L 1-2	60.4	1596	1669	25.14%	24.63%	50.23%	-0.61	-10.2	0-1-1
1998-04-23	Tre Penne	L 3-5	72.8	1701	1599	53.57%	24.32%	22.11%	+0.81	-27.4	0-1
1998-04-23	@ Virtus	W 5-3	72.8	1599	1701	22.11%	24.32%	53.57%	-0.81	+27.4	2-0
1998-04-26	Faetano	W 1-0	63.1	1586	1697	25.92%	24.70%	49.38%	-0.63	+18.5	1-1-1
1998-04-26	@ Folgore Falciano	L 0-1	63.1	1697	1586	49.38%	24.70%	25.92%	+0.63	-18.5	0-2
1998-04-26	Montevito	W 5-0	44.4	1673	1495	61.37%	23.14%	15.48%	+1.32	+31.2	1-1
1998-04-26	@ Virtus	L 0-5	44.4	1495	1673	15.48%	23.14%	61.37%	-1.32	-31.2	0-1-1
1998-04-30	Virtus	W 3-1	65.3	1604	1704	27.19%	24.79%	48.03%	-0.56	+29.5	2-1-1
1998-04-30	@ Folgore Falciano	L 1-3	65.3	1704	1604	48.03%	24.79%	27.19%	+0.56	-29.5	1-2
1998-04-30	Tre Penne	W 5-0	51.1	1679	1626	47.73%	24.80%	27.47%	+0.48	+51.3	2-0
1998-04-30	@ Tre Fiori	L 0-5	51.1	1626	1679	27.47%	24.80%	47.73%	-0.48	-51.3	2-1
1998-05-07	Tre Penne	W 3-1	57.2	1634	1575	48.43%	24.76%	26.81%	+0.51	+18.6	3-1-1
1998-05-07	@ Folgore Falciano	L 1-3	57.2	1575	1634	26.81%	24.76%	48.43%	-0.51	-18.6	2-2
1998-05-14	Folgore Falciano	L 1-2	69.4	1731	1652	50.84%	24.58%	24.57%	+0.65	-17.9	2-1
1998-05-14	@ Tre Fiori	W 2-1	69.4	1652	1731	24.57%	24.58%	50.84%	-0.65	+17.9	4-1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1998-02-22	7.90%	Dogana	1291	2	@ Folgore Falciano	1612	0
2	1998-03-22	13.75%	@ Dogana	1319	2	Cosmos	1568	1
3	1997-10-12	15.67%	@ San Giovanni	1376	4	Murata	1597	3
4	1998-02-08	16.54%	@ Montevito	1430	1	Folgore Falciano	1640	0
5	1998-03-08	16.96%	Cosmos	1536	1	@ Virtus	1695	0
6	1998-03-01	18.63%	Cailungo	1315	3	@ Pennarossa	1454	2
7	1998-04-19 *	19.01%	Tre Penne	1581	4	@ Faetano	1715	3
8	1998-03-22	20.37%	@ Folgore Falciano	1567	2	Faetano	1732	1
9	1998-02-22	20.70%	Tre Penne	1543	1	@ Tre Fiori	1659	0
10	1998-04-12	20.96%	@ Tre Penne	1561	2	Virtus	1720	1
11	1998-02-08	21.31%	@ San Giovanni	1457	2	Tre Penne	1612	1
12	1998-02-08	21.49%	@ Cosmos	1506	1	Tre Fiori	1659	0
13	1997-11-02	21.75%	San Giovanni	1415	3	@ La Fiorita	1521	2
14	1998-04-12	21.76%	Dogana	1376	4	@ La Fiorita	1481	2
15	1997-10-26	21.88%	Pennarossa	1446	3	@ Murata	1550	1
16	1998-04-23 *	22.11%	Tre Penne	1599	5	@ Virtus	1701	3
17	1998-05-14 *	24.57%	Folgore Falciano	1652	2	@ Tre Fiori	1731	1
18	1998-03-22	25.76%	@ La Fiorita	1480	3	Tre Penne	1593	1
19	1998-04-26 *	25.92%	@ Folgore Falciano	1586	1	Faetano	1697	0
20	1997-10-19	26.30%	Montevito	1492	3	@ La Fiorita	1555	1
21	1998-04-05	26.32%	Folgore Falciano	1594	2	@ Murata	1657	0
22	1998-03-22	27.19%	Murata	1611	3	@ Tre Fiori	1667	0
23	1998-04-30 *	27.19%	@ Folgore Falciano	1604	3	Virtus	1704	1
24	1997-10-19	27.71%	@ Libertas	1506	2	Virtus	1602	1
25	1997-10-05	27.80%	Tre Fiori	1588	4	@ Murata	1638	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1997-11-23	75.44	Faetano	5	1515	30.00%	@ Montevito	0	1547	45.07%	24.94%
2	1998-04-30 *	51.26	@ Tre Fiori	5	1679	47.73%	Tre Penne	0	1626	27.47%	24.80%
3	1998-02-15	50.52	Faetano	4	1631	39.69%	@ Tre Penne	0	1593	35.23%	25.08%
4	1998-03-22	49.43	Murata	3	1611	27.19%	@ Tre Fiori	0	1667	48.03%	24.79%
5	1998-02-22	49.00	Dogana	2	1291	7.90%	@ Folgore Falciano	0	1612	72.16%	19.94%
6	1997-11-02	46.26	Virtus	6	1569	56.19%	@ Cailungo	0	1398	19.81%	24.01%
7	1998-02-01	41.64	@ Murata	4	1525	47.69%	Montevito	0	1472	27.51%	24.81%
8	1997-10-05	41.20	Tre Fiori	4	1588	27.80%	@ Murata	1	1638	47.38%	24.82%
9	1998-02-01	40.88	Tre Penne	4	1571	48.35%	@ Juvenes	0	1468	26.89%	24.77%
10	1998-02-22	39.50	Montevito	4	1461	30.01%	@ Pennarossa	1	1493	45.05%	24.94%
11	1997-09-21	39.43	Tre Penne	3	1499	38.77%	@ Domagnano	0	1467	36.14%	25.09%
12	1997-09-14	38.01	@ Virtus	5	1531	44.17%	Domagnano	1	1505	30.85%	24.97%
13	1997-11-09	36.80	San Giovanni	3	1433	41.95%	@ Domagnano	0	1379	33.01%	25.04%
14	1997-10-05	35.06	@ Juvenes	4	1422	36.14%	Cailungo	1	1454	38.77%	25.09%
15	1998-03-01	34.76	@ Murata	7	1581	58.51%	Juvenes	1	1432	17.83%	23.66%
16	1998-04-05	34.60	Folgore Falciano	2	1594	26.32%	@ Murata	0	1657	48.95%	24.73%
17	1998-03-29	33.49	Cosmos	3	1546	45.83%	@ Libertas	0	1463	29.26%	24.90%
18	1997-09-14	33.33	Pennarossa	2	1480	28.28%	@ Cailungo	0	1526	46.86%	24.85%
19	1997-10-05	33.30	@ Faetano	2	1499	28.33%	Folgore Falciano	0	1590	46.82%	24.85%
20	1998-04-05	32.84	Dogana	5	1343	49.62%	@ Domagnano	1	1230	25.71%	24.68%
21	1997-10-26	32.58	Pennarossa	3	1446	21.88%	@ Murata	1	1550	53.82%	24.30%
22	1997-09-21	31.35	@ Murata	3	1578	48.29%	Faetano	0	1521	26.94%	24.77%
23	1998-04-26 *	31.17	@ Virtus	5	1673	61.37%	Montevito	0	1495	15.48%	23.14%
24	1998-04-12	31.03	@ Tre Fiori	4	1638	41.95%	Folgore Falciano	1	1629	33.01%	25.04%
25	1998-03-22	30.28	@ La Fiorita	3	1480	25.76%	Tre Penne	1	1593	49.56%	24.68%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1998-04-19 *	78.2	Tre Penne	4	1581	19.01%	@ Faetano	3	1715	57.11%	23.88%
2	1998-04-23 *	72.8	Tre Penne	5	1599	22.11%	@ Virtus	3	1701	53.57%	24.32%
3	1998-03-29	70.8	@ Dogana	4	1341	15.62%	Tre Penne	4	1563	61.20%	23.18%
4	1997-10-12	70.1	@ San Giovanni	4	1376	15.67%	Murata	3	1597	61.14%	23.19%
5	1997-10-19	70.1	@ Tre Penne	2	1573	51.19%	Cosmos	2	1492	24.25%	24.55%
6	1998-03-22	69.8	@ Folgore Falciano	2	1567	20.37%	Faetano	1	1732	55.54%	24.09%
7	1998-04-12	69.4	@ Tre Penne	2	1561	20.96%	Virtus	1	1720	54.87%	24.17%
8	1998-05-14 *	69.4	Folgore Falciano	2	1652	24.57%	@ Tre Fiori	1	1731	50.84%	24.58%
9	1997-11-16	69.2	@ Murata	2	1526	41.78%	La Fiorita	2	1518	33.18%	25.04%
10	1997-11-23	68.8	@ Murata	2	1525	43.10%	Cosmos	2	1507	31.89%	25.01%
11	1998-03-29	68.0	@ Murata	1	1661	60.68%	San Giovanni	1	1490	16.04%	23.28%
12	1997-11-09	67.8	@ Faetano	2	1513	43.24%	Cosmos	2	1494	31.76%	25.00%
13	1997-10-12	67.5	@ Cosmos	2	1492	38.68%	Libertas	2	1506	36.24%	25.09%
14	1998-04-05	67.2	@ Cosmos	1	1579	43.25%	Tre Penne	1	1560	31.74%	25.00%
15	1998-03-01	66.8	@ Tre Fiori	0	1639	33.36%	Faetano	0	1690	41.59%	25.05%
16	1998-02-01	66.4	@ Folgore Falciano	0	1640	38.00%	Virtus	0	1659	36.91%	25.09%
17	1997-11-09	66.3	@ Tre Penne	1	1585	48.76%	Murata	1	1524	26.50%	24.74%
18	1998-04-19 *	65.7	@ Montevito	1	1493	26.66%	Folgore Falciano	1	1598	48.59%	24.75%
19	1997-10-12	65.5	@ Tre Penne	2	1577	66.28%	Dogana	2	1340	11.76%	21.96%
20	1998-04-30 *	65.3	@ Folgore Falciano	3	1604	27.19%	Virtus	1	1704	48.03%	24.79%
21	1997-11-02	65.0	@ Tre Penne	1	1588	54.47%	Pennarossa	1	1478	21.31%	24.22%
22	1998-03-08	64.9	Cosmos	1	1536	16.96%	@ Virtus	0	1695	59.55%	23.49%
23	1998-03-01	64.8	@ Tre Penne	1	1563	48.92%	Montevito	1	1500	26.35%	24.73%
24	1997-11-23	64.0	@ Folgore Falciano	0	1643	56.12%	La Fiorita	0	1518	19.86%	24.02%
25	1998-02-08	64.0	@ San Giovanni	2	1457	21.31%	Tre Penne	1	1612	54.47%	24.22%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1998-04-12	30.7	@ Cosmos	6	1579	75.72%	Domagnano	1	1197	5.93%	18.34%
2	1998-02-22	32.5	@ Faetano	4	1682	76.86%	Domagnano	0	1279	5.37%	17.78%
3	1998-03-15	34.2	@ Murata	6	1586	68.02%	Cailungo	0	1326	10.54%	21.44%
4	1998-02-15	34.3	@ Juvenes	3	1417	53.21%	Dogana	0	1318	22.43%	24.36%
5	1998-03-08	34.3	@ Tre Penne	5	1561	70.44%	Domagnano	1	1267	8.95%	20.61%
6	1998-03-29	34.5	@ Folgore Falciano	2	1586	70.59%	Cailungo	0	1290	8.86%	20.55%
7	1998-03-29	35.1	@ Montevito	4	1483	66.60%	Domagnano	1	1242	11.53%	21.87%
8	1998-02-08	35.5	Faetano	4	1611	65.55%	@ Dogana	0	1338	12.28%	22.16%
9	1997-11-16	36.1	@ Tre Fiori	7	1608	68.45%	Domagnano	0	1342	10.25%	21.30%
10	1998-04-05	36.1	@ Faetano	2	1706	78.01%	Cailungo	0	1282	4.83%	17.17%
11	1998-03-15	36.2	Virtus	4	1673	70.46%	@ Dogana	0	1334	8.94%	20.60%
12	1997-10-05	36.3	@ Cosmos	3	1465	53.17%	Dogana	0	1367	22.46%	24.36%
13	1998-03-15	36.9	La Fiorita	4	1463	59.97%	@ Domagnano	1	1254	16.62%	23.41%
14	1998-04-05	37.0	Dogana	5	1343	49.62%	@ Domagnano	1	1230	25.71%	24.68%
15	1998-02-08	37.9	Murata	4	1566	66.11%	@ Domagnano	1	1287	11.88%	22.01%
16	1998-02-15	39.0	@ Montevito	1	1452	56.83%	Cailungo	0	1320	19.25%	23.92%
17	1997-11-09	39.2	San Giovanni	3	1433	41.95%	@ Domagnano	0	1379	33.01%	25.04%
18	1997-09-28	39.4	@ Virtus	2	1580	63.36%	Dogana	0	1379	13.92%	22.71%
19	1997-11-02	39.4	@ Murata	1	1517	61.76%	Dogana	0	1334	15.17%	23.06%
20	1997-11-02	39.8	Virtus	6	1569	56.19%	@ Cailungo	0	1398	19.81%	24.01%
21	1998-03-01	40.1	@ Libertas	1	1450	54.49%	Dogana	0	1340	21.29%	24.22%
22	1997-11-02	40.4	@ Juvenes	2	1478	50.98%	Domagnano	0	1399	24.45%	24.57%
23	1998-03-01	41.2	Virtus	3	1691	75.36%	@ Domagnano	1	1271	6.12%	18.52%
24	1998-04-12	41.2	@ Murata	6	1622	65.56%	Pennarossa	1	1394	12.28%	22.16%
25	1997-11-16	41.9	@ Cosmos	3	1495	59.32%	Cailungo	1	1338	17.15%	23.53%