2009-10 Campionato Sammarinese Season

154 games · 6 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Tre Penne

48 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Domagnano

11.49 points above expected

37 points · 25.51 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Cailungo

8.95 points below expected

9 points · 17.95 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Tre Penne	20	15	3	2	48	55	23	+32	38.25	+9.75
2	Faetano	20	12	4	4	40	41	20	+21	33.53	+6.47
3	Tre Fiori	20	11	5	4	38	26	14	+12	37.43	+0.57
4	Cosmos	21	11	5	5	38	32	24	+8	33.77	+4.23
5	Domagnano	21	10	7	4	37	32	21	+11	25.51	+11.49
6	Juvenes Dogana	21	10	6	5	36	34	20	+14	36.35	-0.35
7	Pennarossa	20	9	7	4	34	30	25	+5	34.13	-0.13
8	Murata	21	9	6	6	33	35	21	+14	36.68	-3.68
9	La Fiorita	21	8	8	5	32	33	30	+3	30.07	+1.93
10	Virtus	21	7	5	9	26	27	29	-2	33.17	-7.17
11	Libertas	20	3	10	7	19	22	29	-7	22.94	-3.94
12	Fiorentino	20	4	1	15	13	18	45	-27	14.78	-1.78
13	Folgore Falciano	20	2	5	13	11	20	41	-21	19.85	-8.85
14	Cailungo	21	2	3	16	9	12	43	-31	17.95	-8.95
15	San Giovanni	21	1	5	15	8	17	49	-32	10.09	-2.09

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Domagnano	37	25.51	+11.49
2	Tre Penne	48	38.25	+9.75
3	Faetano	40	33.53	+6.47
4	Cosmos	38	33.77	+4.23
5	La Fiorita	32	30.07	+1.93

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Cailungo	9	17.95	-8.95
2	Folgore Falciano	11	19.85	-8.85
3	Virtus	26	33.17	-7.17
4	Libertas	19	22.94	-3.94
5	Murata	33	36.68	-3.68

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Tre Penne	8	Nov 8 – Mar 3	1 in 97
2	Domagnano	5	Mar 24 – Apr 18	1 in 87
3	Fiorentino	2	Nov 7 – Nov 21	1 in 87
4	Pennarossa	5	Nov 7 – Dec 13	1 in 41
5	Libertas	2	Feb 27 – Mar 6	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Murata	2	Nov 1 – Nov 7	1 in 62
2	Fiorentino	8	Feb 27 – Apr 17	1 in 45
3	Cailungo	9	Mar 3 – Apr 18	1 in 35
4	Pennarossa	3	Apr 10 – Apr 17	1 in 23
5	Juvenes Dogana	2	Nov 8 – Nov 21	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Pennarossa	15	Oct 4 – Mar 24	1 in 137
2	Libertas	5	Feb 21 – Mar 21	1 in 64
3	Domagnano	7	Sep 19 – Nov 8	1 in 46
4	Murata	10	Feb 20 – Apr 14	1 in 27
5	Faetano	9	Sep 20 – Dec 6	1 in 27

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Murata	7	Oct 25 – Feb 20	1 in 71
2	Libertas	10	Sep 20 – Dec 13	1 in 53
3	Tre Fiori	5	Nov 28 – Feb 23	1 in 39
4	Folgore Falciano	12	Nov 8 – Mar 23	1 in 26
5	Pennarossa	5	Mar 21 – Apr 17	1 in 19

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Tre Penne	1267	48	+8	10	10.5	-0.5
Faetano	1214	40	+72	12	8.9	+3.1
Cosmos	1127	38	+31	12	8.1	+3.9
Tre Fiori	1160	38	+29	12	9.7	+2.3
Domagnano	1086	37	+124	15	8.0	+7.0
Juvenes Dogana	1124	36	+13	10	9.4	+0.6
Pennarossa	1022	34	-124	2	7.7	-5.7
Murata	1139	33	+57	10	8.4	+1.6
La Fiorita	1034	32	-19	7	6.6	+0.4
Virtus	940	26	-90	3	7.6	-4.6
Libertas	922	19	-39	3	6.5	-3.5
Fiorentino	722	13	-78	0	3.2	-3.2
Folgore Falciano	846	11	+3	4	4.1	-0.1
Cailungo	741	9	-48	0	2.2	-2.2
San Giovanni	704	8	+30	4	2.1	+1.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	CAI	COS	DOM	FAE	FIO	FF	JD	LF	LIB	MUR	PEN	SG	TF	TP	VIR
Cailungo	—	0-0-2 1.34	0-0-2 2.06	0-0-1 0.45	1-0-0 1.13	0-1-0 1.08	0-0-2 1.07	0-0-2 1.44	0-1-0 0.96	0-0-2 1.36	0-0-1 0.59	1-1-0 3.87	0-0-1 0.40	0-0-1 0.42	0-0-2 1.65
Cosmos	2-0-0 4.19	—	1-1-0 3.75	0-1-0 1.25	1-0-0 2.01	1-0-0 1.97	0-0-2 2.69	0-1-1 3.19	1-0-0 1.90	2-0-0 2.10	0-0-1 1.32	2-0-0 4.75	1-0-0 1.29	0-0-1 0.86	0-2-0 2.86
Domagnano	2-0-0 3.44	0-1-1 1.75	—	0-0-1 0.88	1-0-0 2.15	0-1-0 1.63	1-1-0 1.84	1-1-0 2.40	1-0-0 1.44	1-0-1 1.72	0-1-0 0.79	2-0-0 4.39	0-1-0 0.66	0-0-1 0.86	1-1-0 1.95
Faetano	1-0-0 2.33	0-1-0 1.50	1-0-0 1.87	—	2-0-0 4.54	1-1-0 3.79	0-0-1 1.72	1-0-0 1.53	0-1-1 3.66	0-0-1 1.71	1-1-0 3.01	1-0-0 2.39	1-0-1 2.95	2-0-0 1.70	1-0-0 1.34
Fiorentino	0-0-1 1.61	0-0-1 0.75	0-0-1 0.62	0-0-2 1.02	—	1-0-1 2.14	1-0-0 0.70	0-0-1 0.73	0-1-1 1.78	1-0-0 0.44	0-0-2 1.18	1-0-0 1.84	0-0-2 0.80	0-0-2 1.14	0-0-1 0.63
Folgore Falciano	0-1-0 1.66	0-0-1 0.78	0-1-0 1.11	0-1-1 1.73	1-0-1 3.35	—	0-0-1 0.59	0-0-1 1.10	1-1-0 2.25	0-0-1 0.58	0-0-2 1.56	0-1-0 2.11	0-0-2 1.31	0-0-2 0.84	0-0-1 0.82
Juvenes Dogana	2-0-0 4.48	2-0-0 2.79	0-1-1 3.65	1-0-0 1.03	0-0-1 2.06	1-0-0 2.18	—	1-1-0 3.29	0-0-1 2.10	0-2-0 2.66	0-1-0 1.31	2-0-0 4.83	0-1-0 0.98	0-0-1 1.50	1-0-1 3.45
La Fiorita	2-0-0 4.09	1-1-0 2.29	0-1-1 3.09	0-0-1 1.22	1-0-0 2.02	1-0-0 1.65	0-1-1 2.20	—	1-0-0 1.60	0-1-1 2.10	1-0-0 1.06	0-2-0 4.61	0-1-0 0.89	0-0-1 0.71	1-1-0 2.82
Libertas	0-1-0 1.79	0-0-1 0.85	0-0-1 1.30	1-1-0 1.84	1-1-0 3.71	0-1-1 3.24	1-0-0 0.66	0-0-1 1.15	—	0-1-0 0.80	0-2-0 1.39	0-1-0 2.25	0-0-2 1.55	0-2-0 1.39	0-0-1 0.88
Murata	2-0-0 4.16	0-0-2 3.39	1-0-1 3.78	1-0-0 1.04	0-0-1 2.34	1-0-0 2.19	0-2-0 2.83	1-1-0 3.38	0-1-0 1.95	—	0-0-1 1.17	2-0-0 4.75	0-1-0 0.86	0-0-1 0.93	1-1-0 3.51
Pennarossa	1-0-0 2.18	1-0-0 1.43	0-1-0 1.96	0-1-1 2.47	2-0-0 4.35	2-0-0 3.96	0-1-0 1.43	0-0-1 1.69	0-2-0 4.12	1-0-0 1.57	—	1-0-0 2.33	0-1-1 2.23	0-1-1 2.57	1-0-0 1.20
San Giovanni	0-1-1 1.63	0-0-2 0.84	0-0-2 1.15	0-0-1 0.40	0-0-1 0.91	0-1-0 0.65	0-0-2 0.77	0-2-0 0.96	0-1-0 0.52	0-0-2 0.83	0-0-1 0.45	—	0-0-1 0.37	0-0-1 0.37	1-0-1 0.87
Tre Fiori	1-0-0 2.39	0-0-1 1.45	0-1-0 2.11	1-0-1 2.53	2-0-0 4.79	2-0-0 4.22	0-1-0 1.76	0-1-0 1.86	2-0-0 3.96	0-1-0 1.89	1-1-0 3.25	1-0-0 2.43	—	0-0-2 2.54	1-0-0 1.75
Tre Penne	1-0-0 2.37	1-0-0 1.89	1-0-0 1.89	0-0-2 3.80	2-0-0 4.40	2-0-0 4.74	1-0-0 1.25	1-0-0 2.05	0-2-0 4.15	1-0-0 1.82	1-1-0 2.92	1-0-0 2.43	2-0-0 2.94	—	1-0-0 1.51
Virtus	2-0-0 3.85	0-2-0 2.62	0-1-1 3.54	0-0-1 1.40	1-0-0 2.13	1-0-0 1.93	1-0-1 2.04	0-1-1 2.66	1-0-0 1.87	0-1-1 1.98	0-0-1 1.55	1-0-1 4.71	0-0-1 0.99	0-0-1 1.23	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.80	+10.7
Allowed	0.82	-11.0
Differential	0.96	+6.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.49%	8.44%	4.87%	3.57%	1.95%	0.97%	26.30%
1	8.44%	12.99%	8.12%	2.60%	1.30%	0.65%	34.09%
2	4.87%	8.12%	5.84%	2.27%	0.65%	0.32%	22.08%
3	3.57%	2.60%	2.27%	0.65%	1.30%	—	10.39%
4	1.95%	1.30%	0.65%	1.30%	—	—	5.19%
5+	0.97%	0.65%	0.32%	—	—	—	1.95%
Total	26.30%	34.09%	22.08%	10.39%	5.19%	1.95%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	1.41	+0.00
SD	1.27	1.27	1.87
CV	0.90	0.90	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 154

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.76%	9.52%	19.05%	4.76%	14.29%	—	52.38%
1	4.76%	4.76%	19.05%	9.52%	—	—	38.10%
2	—	4.76%	4.76%	—	—	—	9.52%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.52%	19.05%	42.86%	14.29%	14.29%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.57	2.05	-1.48
SD	0.68	1.16	1.47
CV	1.18	0.57	—
Max	2	4	+1
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.76%	4.76%	4.76%	—	—	—	14.29%
1	19.05%	14.29%	4.76%	—	—	—	38.10%
2	9.52%	9.52%	4.76%	4.76%	—	4.76%	33.33%
3	4.76%	4.76%	—	—	—	—	9.52%
4	—	—	—	4.76%	—	—	4.76%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.10%	33.33%	14.29%	9.52%	—	4.76%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.52	1.14	+0.38
SD	1.03	1.31	1.43
CV	0.68	1.15	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.52%	4.76%	—	4.76%	—	—	19.05%
1	14.29%	19.05%	9.52%	—	—	—	42.86%
2	—	19.05%	4.76%	—	—	—	23.81%
3	—	4.76%	—	—	—	—	4.76%
4	—	4.76%	—	—	—	—	4.76%
5+	—	4.76%	—	—	—	—	4.76%
Total	23.81%	57.14%	14.29%	4.76%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.52	1.00	+0.52
SD	1.44	0.77	1.60
CV	0.94	0.77	—
Max	6	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	15.00%
1	10.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	—	15.00%
2	15.00%	5.00%	10.00%	5.00%	—	—	35.00%
3	15.00%	—	5.00%	—	5.00%	—	25.00%
4	—	—	5.00%	—	—	—	5.00%
5+	5.00%	—	—	—	—	—	5.00%
Total	50.00%	15.00%	25.00%	5.00%	5.00%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.05	1.00	+1.05
SD	1.32	1.21	1.73
CV	0.64	1.21	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	25.00%	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	40.00%
1	10.00%	5.00%	20.00%	5.00%	—	—	40.00%
2	5.00%	—	—	5.00%	5.00%	—	15.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	5.00%	—	—	5.00%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.00%	5.00%	45.00%	20.00%	10.00%	5.00%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.90	2.25	-1.35
SD	1.02	1.45	1.84
CV	1.13	0.64	—
Max	4	6	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	5.00%	10.00%	—	—	35.00%
1	5.00%	10.00%	15.00%	—	5.00%	5.00%	40.00%
2	—	—	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	—	15.00%
3	5.00%	—	—	—	5.00%	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	20.00%	25.00%	15.00%	15.00%	5.00%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	2.05	-1.05
SD	0.97	1.64	1.70
CV	0.97	0.80	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.76%	9.52%	4.76%	—	—	—	19.05%
1	19.05%	9.52%	4.76%	4.76%	—	—	38.10%
2	4.76%	—	14.29%	—	—	—	19.05%
3	4.76%	4.76%	—	—	—	—	9.52%
4	4.76%	9.52%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.10%	33.33%	23.81%	4.76%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.62	0.95	+0.67
SD	1.32	0.92	1.68
CV	0.82	0.97	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.52%	4.76%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
1	4.76%	23.81%	4.76%	4.76%	4.76%	—	42.86%
2	—	14.29%	—	4.76%	—	—	19.05%
3	4.76%	—	9.52%	4.76%	—	—	19.05%
4	—	—	4.76%	—	—	—	4.76%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.05%	42.86%	19.05%	14.29%	4.76%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.57	1.43	+0.14
SD	1.12	1.12	1.31
CV	0.71	0.78	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	15.00%	—	5.00%	—	—	30.00%
1	—	25.00%	10.00%	5.00%	—	—	40.00%
2	—	10.00%	15.00%	—	—	—	25.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	5.00%	—	—	5.00%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.00%	50.00%	25.00%	15.00%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.10	1.45	-0.35
SD	1.02	0.89	0.99
CV	0.93	0.61	—
Max	4	3	+1
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.76%	19.05%	4.76%	4.76%	—	—	33.33%
1	4.76%	14.29%	—	—	—	—	19.05%
2	4.76%	9.52%	9.52%	—	—	—	23.81%
3	—	9.52%	—	—	—	—	9.52%
4	4.76%	—	—	—	—	—	4.76%
5+	4.76%	4.76%	—	—	—	—	9.52%
Total	23.81%	57.14%	14.29%	4.76%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.67	1.00	+0.67
SD	1.74	0.77	2.11
CV	1.04	0.77	—
Max	6	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	—	—	—	5.00%	5.00%	20.00%
1	5.00%	20.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	30.00%
2	10.00%	15.00%	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	35.00%
3	5.00%	—	5.00%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	5.00%	—	—	—	—	—	5.00%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	35.00%	35.00%	15.00%	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.25	+0.25
SD	1.10	1.41	2.05
CV	0.73	1.13	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.76%	23.81%	4.76%	9.52%	4.76%	4.76%	52.38%
1	—	9.52%	4.76%	4.76%	4.76%	4.76%	28.57%
2	—	—	4.76%	—	—	—	4.76%
3	—	4.76%	—	4.76%	4.76%	—	14.29%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	4.76%	38.10%	14.29%	19.05%	14.29%	9.52%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.81	2.33	-1.52
SD	1.08	1.59	1.78
CV	1.33	0.68	—
Max	3	6	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
1	15.00%	5.00%	10.00%	—	5.00%	—	35.00%
2	20.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
3	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	15.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	60.00%	20.00%	15.00%	—	5.00%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.30	0.70	+0.60
SD	1.03	1.08	1.43
CV	0.79	1.54	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	5.00%	—	—	5.00%
1	5.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	15.00%
2	—	20.00%	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	30.00%
3	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	15.00%
4	15.00%	5.00%	—	5.00%	—	—	25.00%
5+	5.00%	—	5.00%	—	—	—	10.00%
Total	30.00%	40.00%	15.00%	15.00%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.75	1.15	+1.60
SD	1.52	1.04	2.06
CV	0.55	0.90	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	14.29%	—	4.76%	—	—	19.05%
1	9.52%	19.05%	14.29%	4.76%	—	—	47.62%
2	4.76%	9.52%	4.76%	—	—	—	19.05%
3	4.76%	—	4.76%	—	4.76%	—	14.29%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.05%	42.86%	23.81%	9.52%	4.76%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.29	1.38	-0.10
SD	0.96	1.07	1.37
CV	0.74	0.78	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 21

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Tre Penne	1295	48	38.25	+9.75	97.0%	27	29	33	39	42	46	54
Tre Fiori	1246	38	37.43	+0.57	59.0%	22	28	34	38	42	45	48
Faetano	1246	40	33.53	+6.47	86.0%	20	23	29	34	38	42	46
Murata	1139	33	36.68	-3.68	23.0%	22	27	34	36	40	45	51
Cosmos	1081	38	33.77	+4.23	80.0%	20	24	29	34	38	43	48
Juvenes Dogana	1066	36	36.35	-0.35	51.0%	19	27	32	36	41	45	50
Domagnano	1044	37	25.51	+11.49	99.0%	13	16	22	25	29	34	38
La Fiorita	1034	32	30.07	+1.93	65.0%	16	20	27	30	35	38	46
Pennarossa	1022	34	34.13	-0.13	53.0%	20	24	29	34	39	44	47
Virtus	940	26	33.17	-7.17	12.0%	19	23	29	33	38	41	45
Libertas	922	19	22.94	-3.94	29.0%	10	15	19	23	27	32	36
Folgore Falciano	846	11	19.85	-8.85	1.0%	10	12	17	19	23	29	31
Cailungo	741	9	17.95	-8.95	1.0%	7	10	15	17	21	26	29
Fiorentino	722	13	14.78	-1.78	38.0%	5	8	12	15	17	22	27
San Giovanni	704	8	10.09	-2.09	37.0%	2	5	7	10	13	15	23

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -4.5% * Slight Edge: -4.5% to 0.5% * Clear Edge: 0.5% to 5% * Strong Edge: 5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+3.90%

Clear Edge

38.96%25.97%35.06%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 13.54 Elo pts.

190 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.03 goals

Neutral

-2+0.07+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 4 * Top-Heavy: 4 to 5 * Open: 5 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.19 * Runaway: 0.19 and up.

Title-Race Openness

7.2

Wide Open

145610

Champion Preseason Odds

40%

Tre Penne, 1st of 15

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.38/gm

Runaway

00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.25 * Some Luck: 4.25 to 6.37 * Lucky: 6.37 to 8.5 * Wild Swing: 8.5 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.53 * Close: 1.53 to 2.29 * Off: 2.29 to 3.06 * Way Off: 3.06 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 15 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 15 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 15 * As Expected: 15 to 24 * Several Outliers: 24 to 33 * Many Outliers: 33 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.98 points

Some Luck

05.3113

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.87

01.914

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 96.67%

99.00%

Domagnano

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 3.33%

1.00%

Folgore Falciano

050

Season Outliers

Expected

4 of 15

Minimal Outliers

01.57

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Strong Separation: 1.9 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 74% * Slight Edge: 74% to 79.5% * Clear Edge: 79.5% to 84.5% * Wide Edge: 84.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56% * Some Drama: 56% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 65.5% * Very Frequent: 65.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.

Gini Index

0.25

Top-Heavy

00.20.260.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 182.77

2.15

Strong Separation

11.71.92.23

Interquartile Edge

81%

Clear Edge

50%74%84.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 98%

96%

Strong Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

66%

Very Frequent

0%57%100%

Blowouts

Expected

18%

Occasional

0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.52 * Strong Carryover: 0.52 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 24.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 24.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 17.5% * Shaky Favorites: 17.5% to 20.5% * Very Shaky: 20.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.56

Highly Predictable

00.572

Matchup Imbalance

0.45

Notable Separation

00.370.430.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.35

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.58

Strong Carryover

00.360.520.691

Upset Rate

Expected

19%

Chalky

0%20%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

15%

As Expected

0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.

Probability calibration

0.23

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.08

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.129

Well Within Noise

00.1360.4

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

First Round

Faetano 2

Juvenes Dogana 0

Tre Fiori 2

Domagnano 0

Second Round

Faetano 3

Tre Fiori 0

Domagnano 4

Juvenes Dogana 2

Third Round

Tre Penne 3

Cosmos 0

Tre Fiori 3

Domagnano 0

Quarterfinals

Tre Fiori 1

Cosmos 0

Sim: 13.0%

Tre Penne 1

Faetano 0

Semifinals

Tre Fiori 2

Faetano 1

Sim: 5.0%

Finals

Tre Fiori 2

Tre Penne 1

Sim: 2.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
Tre Penne	40.00%	23.00%	26.00%	10.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Faetano	15.00%	23.00%	22.00%	29.00%	8.00%	3.00%	—	—
Tre Fiori	27.00%	35.00%	23.00%	12.00%	3.00%	—	—	—
Cosmos	20.00%	13.00%	21.00%	26.00%	8.00%	12.00%	—	—
Domagnano	—	4.00%	5.00%	13.00%	22.00%	43.00%	13.00%	—
Juvenes Dogana	30.00%	30.00%	16.00%	12.00%	9.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—
Pennarossa	18.00%	19.00%	25.00%	25.00%	13.00%	—	—	—
Murata	35.00%	19.00%	23.00%	12.00%	9.00%	2.00%	—	—
La Fiorita	5.00%	9.00%	17.00%	14.00%	30.00%	20.00%	5.00%	—
Virtus	10.00%	25.00%	18.00%	20.00%	19.00%	7.00%	1.00%	—
Libertas	—	—	4.00%	18.00%	43.00%	25.00%	10.00%	—
Fiorentino	—	—	—	—	5.00%	22.00%	73.00%	—
Folgore Falciano	—	—	—	6.00%	27.00%	50.00%	17.00%	—
Cailungo	—	—	—	3.00%	3.00%	13.00%	74.00%	7.00%
San Giovanni	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	6.00%	93.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team	Same level
Cailungo	100%
Cosmos	—
Domagnano	—
Faetano	—
Fiorentino	100%
Folgore Falciano	100%
Juvenes Dogana	—
La Fiorita	69.00%
Libertas	96.00%
Murata	23.00%
Pennarossa	38.00%
San Giovanni	100%
Tre Fiori	—
Tre Penne	—
Virtus	47.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cosmos	Domagnano	Faetano	Fiorentino	Folgore Falciano	Juvenes Dogana	La Fiorita	Libertas	Murata	Pennarossa	Tre Fiori	Tre Penne	Virtus
Cosmos			33.3%9.00%					100.0%2.00%		90.0%10.00%	13.3%15.00%	25.0%8.00%
Domagnano			0.0%5.00%							50.0%2.00%	33.3%3.00%	16.7%6.00%
Faetano	66.7%9.00%	100.0%5.00%				42.9%14.00%	88.9%9.00%		50.0%6.00%				66.7%6.00%
Fiorentino													100.0%1.00%
Folgore Falciano									0.0%1.00%
Juvenes Dogana			57.1%14.00%							66.7%9.00%	72.7%11.00%	36.4%11.00%
La Fiorita			11.1%9.00%							66.7%3.00%	20.0%5.00%	12.5%8.00%
Libertas	0.0%2.00%												100.0%1.00%
Murata			50.0%6.00%		100.0%1.00%					50.0%10.00%	30.8%13.00%	25.0%8.00%
Pennarossa	10.0%10.00%	50.0%2.00%				33.3%9.00%	33.3%3.00%		50.0%10.00%				100.0%5.00%
Tre Fiori	86.7%15.00%	66.7%3.00%				27.3%11.00%	80.0%5.00%		69.2%13.00%				69.2%13.00%
Tre Penne	75.0%8.00%	83.3%6.00%				63.6%11.00%	87.5%8.00%		75.0%8.00%				66.7%6.00%
Virtus			33.3%6.00%	0.0%1.00%				0.0%1.00%		0.0%5.00%	30.8%13.00%	33.3%6.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cosmos	Domagnano	Faetano	Fiorentino	Juvenes Dogana	La Fiorita	Libertas	Murata	Pennarossa	Tre Fiori	Tre Penne	Virtus
Cosmos		50.0%2.00%	20.0%5.00%		57.1%7.00%	100.0%1.00%		50.0%8.00%		37.5%8.00%	0.0%7.00%
Domagnano	50.0%2.00%				0.0%1.00%			100.0%1.00%	100.0%1.00%	100.0%1.00%
Faetano	80.0%5.00%				40.0%10.00%			55.6%9.00%	100.0%4.00%	50.0%10.00%	12.5%8.00%	100.0%1.00%
Fiorentino								0.0%1.00%
Juvenes Dogana	42.9%7.00%	100.0%1.00%	60.0%10.00%			100.0%1.00%		16.7%6.00%	100.0%5.00%	40.0%10.00%	33.3%18.00%	100.0%2.00%
La Fiorita	0.0%1.00%				0.0%1.00%				100.0%1.00%	50.0%2.00%	0.0%1.00%	0.0%1.00%
Libertas											0.0%1.00%
Murata	50.0%8.00%	0.0%1.00%	44.4%9.00%	100.0%1.00%	83.3%6.00%				100.0%4.00%	60.0%10.00%	46.2%13.00%	100.0%1.00%
Pennarossa		0.0%1.00%	0.0%4.00%		0.0%5.00%	0.0%1.00%		0.0%4.00%		28.6%7.00%	22.2%9.00%	0.0%2.00%
Tre Fiori	62.5%8.00%	0.0%1.00%	50.0%10.00%		60.0%10.00%	50.0%2.00%		40.0%10.00%	71.4%7.00%		29.4%17.00%	100.0%1.00%
Tre Penne	100.0%7.00%		87.5%8.00%		66.7%18.00%	100.0%1.00%	100.0%1.00%	53.8%13.00%	77.8%9.00%	70.6%17.00%		66.7%3.00%
Virtus			0.0%1.00%		0.0%2.00%	100.0%1.00%		0.0%1.00%	100.0%2.00%	0.0%1.00%	33.3%3.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cosmos	Domagnano	Faetano	Juvenes Dogana	La Fiorita	Murata	Pennarossa	Tre Fiori	Tre Penne	Virtus
Cosmos			50.0%2.00%	100.0%1.00%		33.3%3.00%	100.0%1.00%	0.0%1.00%	16.7%6.00%
Domagnano			0.0%1.00%					0.0%1.00%	50.0%2.00%
Faetano	50.0%2.00%	100.0%1.00%		60.0%5.00%		66.7%3.00%		33.3%3.00%	40.0%10.00%
Fiorentino
Juvenes Dogana	0.0%1.00%		40.0%5.00%			0.0%2.00%	100.0%1.00%	16.7%6.00%	46.2%13.00%	100.0%1.00%
La Fiorita							0.0%1.00%	100.0%1.00%
Libertas
Murata	66.7%3.00%		33.3%3.00%	100.0%2.00%			0.0%1.00%	87.5%8.00%	42.9%14.00%
Pennarossa	0.0%1.00%			0.0%1.00%	100.0%1.00%	100.0%1.00%
Tre Fiori	100.0%1.00%	100.0%1.00%	66.7%3.00%	83.3%6.00%	0.0%1.00%	12.5%8.00%			20.0%10.00%	100.0%2.00%
Tre Penne	83.3%6.00%	50.0%2.00%	60.0%10.00%	53.8%13.00%		57.1%14.00%		80.0%10.00%		100.0%1.00%
Virtus				0.0%1.00%				0.0%2.00%	0.0%1.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team	Quarterfinals	Semifinals	Finals
Tre Penne	100%	100%	37.45%
Faetano	85.20%	39.53%	21.14%
Tre Fiori	77.30%	30.83%	14.00%
Cosmos	88.06%	43.49%	13.23%
Juvenes Dogana	48.03%	18.04%	7.59%
Domagnano	55.93%	18.60%	6.58%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cosmos	Domagnano	Faetano	Juvenes Dogana	Tre Fiori	Tre Penne
Cosmos						33.1%266.45%
Domagnano					42.0%133.23%
Faetano				63.9%133.23%
Juvenes Dogana			36.0%133.23%
Tre Fiori		58.0%133.23%
Tre Penne	67.0%266.45%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cosmos	Domagnano	Faetano	Juvenes Dogana	Tre Fiori	Tre Penne
Cosmos		57.4%18.11%	42.6%29.23%	53.5%16.79%	48.7%23.94%
Domagnano	42.6%18.11%					28.8%37.82%
Faetano	57.4%29.23%					40.6%55.97%
Juvenes Dogana	46.5%16.79%					32.8%31.24%
Tre Fiori	51.3%23.94%					34.8%53.36%
Tre Penne		71.2%37.82%	59.4%55.97%	67.2%31.24%	65.2%53.36%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cosmos	Domagnano	Faetano	Juvenes Dogana	Tre Fiori	Tre Penne
Cosmos		54.0%2.69%	35.6%6.95%	54.9%2.57%	46.3%5.04%	36.0%15.44%
Domagnano	46.0%2.69%		34.9%6.14%	51.4%2.46%		26.5%7.30%
Faetano	64.4%6.95%	65.1%6.14%			56.3%8.99%	43.6%17.44%
Juvenes Dogana	45.1%2.57%	48.6%2.46%			45.2%4.84%	37.4%8.17%
Tre Fiori	53.7%5.04%		43.7%8.99%	54.8%4.84%		39.4%11.96%
Tre Penne	64.0%15.44%	73.5%7.30%	56.4%17.44%	62.6%8.17%	60.6%11.96%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2009-09-19	Juvenes Dogana	D 2-2	58.0	1144	1108	44.30%	25.75%	29.94%	+0.26	-1.1	1
2009-09-19	@ Murata	D 2-2	58.0	1108	1144	29.94%	25.75%	44.30%	-0.26	+1.1	1
2009-09-19	Pennarossa	L 1-2	42.7	980	1093	24.61%	25.47%	49.92%	-0.52	-13.2	0
2009-09-19	@ Folgore Falciano	W 2-1	42.7	1093	980	49.92%	25.47%	24.61%	+0.52	+13.2	3
2009-09-19	Tre Penne	L 1-2	39.4	826	1044	15.05%	24.20%	60.75%	-1.07	-8.6	0
2009-09-19	@ Fiorentino	W 2-1	39.4	1044	826	60.75%	24.20%	15.05%	+1.07	+8.6	3
2009-09-19	Virtus	D 2-2	58.0	926	1041	24.36%	25.45%	50.18%	-0.53	+2.0	1
2009-09-19	@ Domagnano	D 2-2	58.0	1041	926	50.18%	25.45%	24.36%	+0.53	-2.0	1
2009-09-20	Cosmos	W 2-1	48.4	1017	1077	30.95%	25.79%	43.26%	-0.25	+20.4	3
2009-09-20	@ La Fiorita	L 1-2	48.4	1077	1017	43.26%	25.79%	30.95%	+0.25	-20.4	0
2009-09-20	Libertas	D 2-2	57.9	986	972	41.23%	25.83%	32.94%	+0.14	-0.6	1
2009-09-20	@ Faetano	D 2-2	57.9	972	986	32.94%	25.83%	41.23%	-0.14	+0.6	1
2009-09-20	San Giovanni	D 1-1	52.6	937	766	59.39%	24.43%	16.18%	+0.97	-4.9	1
2009-09-20	@ Cailungo	D 1-1	52.6	766	937	16.18%	24.43%	59.39%	-0.97	+4.9	1
2009-09-26	Cailungo	W 2-1	41.8	1039	932	52.85%	25.24%	21.91%	+0.63	+12.0	4
2009-09-26	@ Virtus	L 1-2	41.8	932	1039	21.91%	25.24%	52.85%	-0.63	-12.0	1
2009-09-26	Fiorentino	D 1-1	52.6	973	818	57.89%	24.66%	17.45%	+0.89	-4.5	2
2009-09-26	@ Libertas	D 1-1	52.6	818	973	17.45%	24.66%	57.89%	-0.89	+4.5	1
2009-09-26	Juvenes Dogana	L 0-2	36.4	1057	1109	32.07%	25.82%	42.11%	-0.20	-32.4	0
2009-09-26	@ Cosmos	W 2-0	36.4	1109	1057	42.11%	25.82%	32.07%	+0.20	+32.4	4
2009-09-26	La Fiorita	D 3-3	62.6	771	1037	11.92%	23.36%	64.72%	-1.33	+3.8	2
2009-09-26	@ San Giovanni	D 3-3	62.6	1037	771	64.72%	23.36%	11.92%	+1.33	-3.8	4
2009-09-27	Folgore Falciano	W 3-0	29.4	1132	967	58.88%	24.51%	16.61%	+0.94	+27.4	3
2009-09-27	@ Tre Fiori	L 0-3	29.4	967	1132	16.61%	24.51%	58.88%	-0.94	-27.4	0
2009-09-27	Murata	W 1-0	47.7	928	1143	15.24%	24.24%	60.52%	-1.06	+29.1	4
2009-09-27	@ Domagnano	L 0-1	47.7	1143	928	60.52%	24.24%	15.24%	+1.06	-29.1	1
2009-09-27	Tre Penne	L 0-4	38.4	1106	1053	46.49%	25.67%	27.84%	+0.35	-82.1	3
2009-09-27	@ Pennarossa	W 4-0	38.4	1053	1106	27.84%	25.67%	46.49%	-0.35	+82.1	6
2009-10-03	Domagnano	L 1-2	45.7	920	957	34.15%	25.85%	39.99%	-0.12	-17.0	1
2009-10-03	@ Cailungo	W 2-1	45.7	957	920	39.99%	25.85%	34.15%	+0.12	+17.0	7
2009-10-03	Faetano	D 0-0	47.8	939	985	32.91%	25.83%	41.25%	-0.17	+0.9	1
2009-10-03	@ Folgore Falciano	D 0-0	47.8	985	939	41.25%	25.83%	32.91%	+0.17	-1.0	2
2009-10-03	San Giovanni	W 5-0	25.8	1114	775	71.67%	21.14%	7.19%	+1.85	+19.4	4
2009-10-03	@ Murata	L 0-5	25.8	775	1114	7.19%	21.14%	71.67%	-1.85	-19.4	2
2009-10-03	Tre Fiori	W 2-1	47.0	1135	1159	35.81%	25.87%	38.32%	-0.06	+18.5	9
2009-10-03	@ Tre Penne	L 1-2	47.0	1159	1135	38.32%	25.87%	35.81%	+0.06	-18.5	3
2009-10-04	Fiorentino	W 2-0	30.4	1024	822	62.10%	23.94%	13.96%	+1.13	+16.1	6
2009-10-04	@ Pennarossa	L 0-2	30.4	822	1024	13.96%	23.94%	62.10%	-1.13	-16.1	1
2009-10-04	La Fiorita	D 1-1	52.4	1141	1033	52.99%	25.23%	21.78%	+0.64	-3.4	5
2009-10-04	@ Juvenes Dogana	D 1-1	52.4	1033	1141	21.78%	25.23%	52.99%	-0.64	+3.4	5
2009-10-04	Virtus	D 1-1	52.2	1024	1051	35.59%	25.87%	38.54%	-0.07	+0.3	1
2009-10-04	@ Cosmos	D 1-1	52.2	1051	1024	38.54%	25.87%	35.59%	+0.07	-0.3	5
2009-10-17	Cailungo	W 1-0	35.9	1025	903	54.48%	25.08%	20.44%	+0.71	+12.0	4
2009-10-17	@ Cosmos	L 0-1	35.9	903	1025	20.44%	25.08%	54.48%	-0.71	-12.0	1
2009-10-17	Faetano	L 0-3	42.2	1153	984	59.24%	24.46%	16.30%	+0.96	-78.1	9
2009-10-17	@ Tre Penne	W 3-0	42.2	984	1153	16.30%	24.46%	59.24%	-0.96	+78.1	5
2009-10-17	Libertas	W 1-0	34.4	1141	968	59.57%	24.40%	16.03%	+0.98	+9.7	6
2009-10-17	@ Tre Fiori	L 0-1	34.4	968	1141	16.03%	24.40%	59.57%	-0.98	-9.7	2
2009-10-17	Murata	L 1-3	40.3	1037	1133	26.49%	25.60%	47.92%	-0.44	-24.2	5
2009-10-17	@ La Fiorita	W 3-1	40.3	1133	1037	47.92%	25.60%	26.49%	+0.44	+24.2	7
2009-10-18	Domagnano	L 1-2	39.4	756	974	15.00%	24.19%	60.80%	-1.08	-8.6	2
2009-10-18	@ San Giovanni	W 2-1	39.4	974	756	60.80%	24.19%	15.00%	+1.08	+8.6	10
2009-10-18	Folgore Falciano	W 4-3	58.8	806	940	22.33%	25.28%	52.39%	-0.63	+22.2	4
2009-10-18	@ Fiorentino	L 3-4	58.8	940	806	52.39%	25.28%	22.33%	+0.63	-22.2	1
2009-10-18	Virtus	L 0-2	41.9	1138	1050	50.67%	25.42%	23.91%	+0.53	-46.6	5
2009-10-18	@ Juvenes Dogana	W 2-0	41.9	1050	1138	23.91%	25.42%	50.67%	-0.53	+46.6	8
2009-10-24	Faetano	L 0-2	30.4	828	1062	13.93%	23.94%	62.13%	-1.16	-16.0	4
2009-10-24	@ Fiorentino	W 2-0	30.4	1062	828	62.13%	23.94%	13.93%	+1.16	+16.0	8
2009-10-24	Juvenes Dogana	D 1-1	52.3	982	1091	25.07%	25.51%	49.43%	-0.50	+2.6	11
2009-10-24	@ Domagnano	D 1-1	52.3	1091	982	49.43%	25.51%	25.07%	+0.50	-2.6	6
2009-10-24	San Giovanni	W 4-3	44.9	1037	747	68.64%	22.24%	9.11%	+1.60	+4.9	7
2009-10-24	@ Cosmos	L 3-4	44.9	747	1037	9.11%	22.24%	68.64%	-1.60	-4.9	2
2009-10-24	Tre Fiori	D 0-0	47.9	1040	1151	24.85%	25.49%	49.66%	-0.51	+3.0	7
2009-10-24	@ Pennarossa	D 0-0	47.9	1151	1040	49.66%	25.49%	24.85%	+0.51	-3.0	7
2009-10-25	La Fiorita	L 1-2	42.4	891	1013	23.68%	25.40%	50.92%	-0.57	-12.8	1
2009-10-25	@ Cailungo	W 2-1	42.4	1013	891	50.92%	25.40%	23.68%	+0.57	+12.8	8
2009-10-25	Murata	D 1-1	52.3	1097	1157	30.94%	25.79%	43.27%	-0.25	+1.3	9
2009-10-25	@ Virtus	D 1-1	52.3	1157	1097	43.27%	25.79%	30.94%	+0.25	-1.3	8
2009-10-25	Tre Penne	D 1-1	52.3	958	1075	24.18%	25.44%	50.38%	-0.54	+2.8	3
2009-10-25	@ Libertas	D 1-1	52.3	1075	958	50.38%	25.44%	24.18%	+0.54	-2.8	10
2009-10-31	Cailungo	W 4-0	27.9	1089	879	62.80%	23.80%	13.40%	+1.18	+29.4	9
2009-10-31	@ Juvenes Dogana	L 0-4	27.9	879	1089	13.40%	23.80%	62.80%	-1.18	-29.4	1
2009-10-31	Domagnano	D 1-1	52.3	1025	985	44.83%	25.74%	29.44%	+0.28	-1.6	9
2009-10-31	@ La Fiorita	D 1-1	52.3	985	1025	29.44%	25.74%	44.83%	-0.28	+1.6	12
2009-10-31	Libertas	W 1-0	42.3	918	961	33.25%	25.84%	40.91%	-0.16	+20.7	4
2009-10-31	@ Folgore Falciano	L 0-1	42.3	961	918	40.91%	25.84%	33.25%	+0.16	-20.7	3
2009-10-31	San Giovanni	W 1-0	30.4	1098	742	72.66%	20.73%	6.61%	+1.95	+4.0	12
2009-10-31	@ Virtus	L 0-1	30.4	742	1098	6.61%	20.73%	72.66%	-1.95	-4.0	2
2009-11-01	Cosmos	L 0-1	46.0	1156	1042	53.74%	25.16%	21.10%	+0.67	-26.1	8
2009-11-01	@ Murata	W 1-0	46.0	1042	1156	21.10%	25.16%	53.74%	-0.67	+26.0	10
2009-11-01	Fiorentino	W 2-0	27.6	1148	812	71.46%	21.23%	7.31%	+1.84	+8.5	10
2009-11-01	@ Tre Fiori	L 0-2	27.6	812	1148	7.31%	21.23%	71.46%	-1.84	-8.5	4
2009-11-01	Pennarossa	D 1-1	52.3	1078	1043	44.17%	25.76%	30.07%	+0.26	-1.5	9
2009-11-01	@ Faetano	D 1-1	52.3	1043	1078	30.07%	25.76%	44.17%	-0.26	+1.5	8
2009-11-07	Faetano	L 1-2	45.0	1024	1077	31.94%	25.81%	42.25%	-0.21	-16.2	9
2009-11-07	@ La Fiorita	W 2-1	45.0	1077	1024	42.25%	25.81%	31.94%	+0.21	+16.2	12
2009-11-07	Fiorentino	L 0-2	46.7	1130	804	70.93%	21.43%	7.64%	+1.79	-63.4	8
2009-11-07	@ Murata	W 2-0	46.7	804	1130	7.64%	21.43%	70.93%	-1.79	+63.5	7
2009-11-07	Tre Fiori	L 0-2	26.7	738	1156	5.72%	20.01%	74.27%	-2.13	-6.5	2
2009-11-07	@ San Giovanni	W 2-0	26.7	1156	738	74.27%	20.01%	5.72%	+2.13	+6.5	13
2009-11-07	Virtus	W 2-1	48.3	1044	1102	31.26%	25.80%	42.95%	-0.23	+20.3	11
2009-11-07	@ Pennarossa	L 1-2	48.3	1102	1044	42.95%	25.80%	31.26%	+0.23	-20.2	12
2009-11-08	Cailungo	D 0-0	47.9	941	849	51.13%	25.38%	23.49%	+0.55	-3.3	4
2009-11-08	@ Libertas	D 0-0	47.9	849	941	23.49%	25.38%	51.13%	-0.55	+3.3	2
2009-11-08	Folgore Falciano	D 1-1	52.3	987	939	45.81%	25.70%	28.49%	+0.32	-1.8	13
2009-11-08	@ Domagnano	D 1-1	52.3	939	987	28.49%	25.70%	45.81%	-0.32	+1.8	5
2009-11-08	Juvenes Dogana	W 3-1	44.9	1072	1118	32.91%	25.83%	41.26%	-0.17	+34.0	13
2009-11-08	@ Tre Penne	L 1-3	44.9	1118	1072	41.26%	25.83%	32.91%	+0.17	-34.0	9
2009-11-20	Folgore Falciano	D 2-2	58.0	853	941	27.48%	25.65%	46.87%	-0.39	+1.5	3
2009-11-20	@ Cailungo	D 2-2	58.0	941	853	46.87%	25.65%	27.48%	+0.39	-1.5	6
2009-11-21	Domagnano	W 2-1	41.3	1106	985	54.49%	25.08%	20.43%	+0.71	+11.3	16
2009-11-21	@ Tre Penne	L 1-2	41.3	985	1106	20.43%	25.08%	54.49%	-0.71	-11.3	13
2009-11-21	Juvenes Dogana	W 1-0	47.7	867	1084	15.12%	24.22%	60.66%	-1.07	+29.2	10
2009-11-21	@ Fiorentino	L 0-1	47.7	1084	867	60.66%	24.22%	15.12%	+1.07	-29.2	9
2009-11-21	La Fiorita	L 1-2	44.3	937	1008	29.66%	25.74%	44.60%	-0.30	-15.3	4
2009-11-21	@ Libertas	W 2-1	44.3	1008	937	44.60%	25.74%	29.66%	+0.30	+15.3	12
2009-11-22	Cosmos	W 3-2	51.1	1065	1068	38.89%	25.86%	35.25%	+0.05	+16.5	14
2009-11-22	@ Pennarossa	L 2-3	51.1	1068	1065	35.25%	25.86%	38.89%	-0.05	-16.5	10
2009-11-22	San Giovanni	W 1-0	30.4	1093	732	72.94%	20.61%	6.44%	+1.97	+3.9	15
2009-11-22	@ Faetano	L 0-1	30.4	732	1093	6.44%	20.61%	72.94%	-1.97	-3.9	2
2009-11-22	Virtus	W 1-0	37.3	1163	1082	49.86%	25.48%	24.66%	+0.49	+14.0	16
2009-11-22	@ Tre Fiori	L 0-1	37.3	1082	1163	24.66%	25.48%	49.86%	-0.49	-14.0	12
2009-11-27	Tre Penne	L 3-4	53.0	1068	1118	32.38%	25.82%	41.79%	-0.19	-15.1	12
2009-11-27	@ Virtus	W 4-3	53.0	1118	1068	41.79%	25.82%	32.38%	+0.19	+15.1	19
2009-11-28	Domagnano	D 0-0	48.4	1177	974	62.22%	23.92%	13.86%	+1.14	-6.2	17
2009-11-28	@ Tre Fiori	D 0-0	48.4	974	1177	13.86%	23.92%	62.22%	-1.14	+6.2	14
2009-11-28	Faetano	D 2-2	57.9	1051	1097	32.91%	25.83%	41.26%	-0.17	+0.6	11
2009-11-28	@ Cosmos	D 2-2	57.9	1097	1051	41.26%	25.83%	32.91%	+0.17	-0.6	16
2009-11-28	Pennarossa	L 0-3	25.9	728	1081	7.81%	21.54%	70.65%	-1.79	-13.2	2
2009-11-28	@ San Giovanni	W 3-0	25.9	1081	728	70.65%	21.54%	7.81%	+1.79	+13.2	17
2009-11-29	Cailungo	L 1-2	48.9	896	854	45.10%	25.73%	29.18%	+0.29	-21.1	10
2009-11-29	@ Fiorentino	W 2-1	48.9	854	896	29.18%	25.73%	45.10%	-0.29	+21.1	6
2009-11-29	La Fiorita	L 2-4	44.8	939	1023	27.98%	25.67%	46.35%	-0.37	-22.6	6
2009-11-29	@ Folgore Falciano	W 4-2	44.8	1023	939	46.35%	25.67%	27.98%	+0.37	+22.6	15
2009-11-29	Libertas	D 0-0	48.1	1067	922	56.88%	24.80%	18.32%	+0.83	-4.8	9
2009-11-29	@ Murata	D 0-0	48.1	922	1067	18.32%	24.80%	56.88%	-0.83	+4.8	5
2009-12-05	Fiorentino	W 3-2	45.0	1046	875	59.33%	24.44%	16.23%	+0.97	+8.8	18
2009-12-05	@ La Fiorita	L 2-3	45.0	875	1046	16.23%	24.44%	59.33%	-0.97	-8.8	10
2009-12-05	Folgore Falciano	W 3-2	46.0	1053	916	56.06%	24.90%	19.04%	+0.79	+10.1	15
2009-12-05	@ Virtus	L 2-3	46.0	916	1053	19.04%	24.90%	56.06%	-0.79	-10.1	6
2009-12-05	Libertas	W 2-1	41.2	1052	927	54.87%	25.04%	20.10%	+0.73	+11.1	14
2009-12-05	@ Cosmos	L 1-2	41.2	927	1052	20.10%	25.04%	54.87%	-0.73	-11.1	5
2009-12-05	Murata	W 1-0	39.1	1094	1062	43.77%	25.77%	30.46%	+0.24	+16.5	20
2009-12-05	@ Pennarossa	L 0-1	39.1	1062	1094	30.46%	25.77%	43.77%	-0.24	-16.5	9
2009-12-06	Domagnano	W 3-0	30.9	1096	980	53.95%	25.13%	20.92%	+0.68	+33.4	19
2009-12-06	@ Faetano	L 0-3	30.9	980	1096	20.92%	25.13%	53.95%	-0.68	-33.4	14
2009-12-06	Tre Fiori	D 0-0	48.0	1055	1170	24.31%	25.45%	50.24%	-0.54	+3.1	10
2009-12-06	@ Juvenes Dogana	D 0-0	48.0	1170	1055	50.24%	25.45%	24.31%	+0.54	-3.1	18
2009-12-06	Tre Penne	L 0-4	24.4	714	1133	5.71%	20.00%	74.29%	-2.13	-12.3	2
2009-12-06	@ San Giovanni	W 4-0	24.4	1133	714	74.29%	20.00%	5.71%	+2.13	+12.3	22
2009-12-12	Juvenes Dogana	L 0-1	44.6	1130	1058	48.79%	25.55%	25.66%	+0.45	-23.9	19
2009-12-12	@ Faetano	W 1-0	44.6	1058	1130	25.66%	25.55%	48.79%	-0.45	+23.9	13
2009-12-12	La Fiorita	D 0-0	48.0	1167	1054	53.57%	25.17%	21.26%	+0.67	-3.9	19
2009-12-12	@ Tre Fiori	D 0-0	48.0	1054	1167	21.26%	25.17%	53.57%	-0.67	+3.9	19
2009-12-12	Murata	W 3-0	31.5	1145	1045	52.09%	25.31%	22.60%	+0.60	+35.7	25
2009-12-12	@ Tre Penne	L 0-3	31.5	1045	1145	22.60%	25.31%	52.09%	-0.60	-35.7	9
2009-12-12	San Giovanni	D 0-0	48.4	906	702	62.32%	23.90%	13.78%	+1.15	-6.2	7
2009-12-12	@ Folgore Falciano	D 0-0	48.4	702	906	13.78%	23.90%	62.32%	-1.15	+6.2	3
2009-12-13	Cailungo	W 2-0	29.5	1111	875	64.82%	23.34%	11.84%	+1.31	+13.8	23
2009-12-13	@ Pennarossa	L 0-2	29.5	875	1111	11.84%	23.34%	64.82%	-1.31	-13.8	6
2009-12-13	Cosmos	L 0-2	31.4	867	1063	16.68%	24.52%	58.80%	-0.96	-18.9	10
2009-12-13	@ Fiorentino	W 2-0	31.4	1063	867	58.80%	24.52%	16.68%	+0.96	+18.9	17
2009-12-13	Virtus	L 0-3	30.9	916	1063	21.00%	25.14%	53.85%	-0.70	-33.5	5
2009-12-13	@ Libertas	W 3-0	30.9	1063	916	53.85%	25.14%	21.00%	+0.70	+33.5	18
2010-02-20	Faetano	L 0-3	36.3	1097	1106	38.03%	25.87%	36.10%	+0.02	-53.5	18
2010-02-20	@ Virtus	W 3-0	36.3	1106	1097	36.10%	25.87%	38.03%	-0.02	+53.5	22
2010-02-20	Pennarossa	D 0-0	48.1	946	1124	18.18%	24.77%	57.05%	-0.87	+4.8	15
2010-02-20	@ Domagnano	D 0-0	48.1	1124	946	57.05%	24.77%	18.18%	+0.87	-4.8	24
2010-02-20	Tre Fiori	D 1-1	52.5	1010	1163	20.40%	25.07%	54.53%	-0.74	+3.7	10
2010-02-20	@ Murata	D 1-1	52.5	1163	1010	54.53%	25.07%	20.40%	+0.74	-3.7	20
2010-02-21	Cosmos	L 0-3	29.9	900	1082	17.88%	24.73%	57.39%	-0.88	-29.2	7
2010-02-21	@ Folgore Falciano	W 3-0	29.9	1082	900	57.39%	24.73%	17.88%	+0.88	+29.2	20
2010-02-21	Fiorentino	L 0-1	36.3	708	848	21.79%	25.23%	52.98%	-0.66	-12.6	3
2010-02-21	@ San Giovanni	W 1-0	36.3	848	708	52.98%	25.23%	21.79%	+0.66	+12.6	13
2010-02-21	Libertas	L 1-2	53.4	1082	882	61.95%	23.97%	14.08%	+1.12	-28.0	13
2010-02-21	@ Juvenes Dogana	W 2-1	53.4	882	1082	14.08%	23.97%	61.95%	-1.12	+28.0	8
2010-02-23	Cailungo	W 4-0	29.4	1013	861	57.61%	24.70%	17.69%	+0.87	+37.8	13
2010-02-23	@ Murata	L 0-4	29.4	861	1013	17.69%	24.70%	57.61%	-0.87	-37.8	6
2010-02-23	La Fiorita	D 1-1	52.2	1043	1058	37.17%	25.87%	36.96%	-0.01	-0.0	19
2010-02-23	@ Virtus	D 1-1	52.2	1058	1043	36.96%	25.87%	37.17%	+0.01	+0.0	20
2010-02-23	Tre Fiori	W 1-0	40.6	1159	1160	39.28%	25.86%	34.86%	+0.07	+18.3	25
2010-02-23	@ Faetano	L 0-1	40.6	1160	1159	34.86%	25.86%	39.28%	-0.07	-18.3	20
2010-02-24	Cosmos	D 1-1	52.5	951	1111	19.81%	25.00%	55.18%	-0.77	+3.9	16
2010-02-24	@ Domagnano	D 1-1	52.5	1111	951	55.18%	25.00%	19.81%	+0.77	-3.9	21
2010-02-24	Folgore Falciano	W 2-1	36.7	1181	871	69.92%	21.81%	8.27%	+1.70	+4.8	28
2010-02-24	@ Tre Penne	L 1-2	36.7	871	1181	8.27%	21.81%	69.92%	-1.70	-4.8	7
2010-02-24	Juvenes Dogana	L 0-3	25.8	696	1054	7.64%	21.43%	70.93%	-1.81	-12.9	3
2010-02-24	@ San Giovanni	W 3-0	25.8	1054	696	70.93%	21.43%	7.64%	+1.81	+12.9	16
2010-02-24	Pennarossa	D 1-1	52.7	910	1120	15.65%	24.33%	60.02%	-1.03	+5.0	9
2010-02-24	@ Libertas	D 1-1	52.7	1120	910	60.02%	24.33%	15.65%	+1.03	-5.0	25
2010-02-27	Cailungo	L 0-1	36.3	683	824	21.66%	25.21%	53.13%	-0.67	-12.6	3
2010-02-27	@ San Giovanni	W 1-0	36.3	824	683	53.13%	25.21%	21.66%	+0.67	+12.6	9
2010-02-27	Faetano	W 4-3	61.9	915	1178	12.13%	23.43%	64.44%	-1.31	+27.0	12
2010-02-27	@ Libertas	L 3-4	61.9	1178	915	64.44%	23.43%	12.13%	+1.31	-27.0	25
2010-02-27	Fiorentino	W 6-0	26.9	1186	860	70.86%	21.46%	7.68%	+1.78	+24.7	31
2010-02-27	@ Tre Penne	L 0-6	26.9	860	1186	7.68%	21.46%	70.86%	-1.78	-24.7	13
2010-02-27	Folgore Falciano	W 2-1	37.9	1115	866	65.79%	23.09%	11.12%	+1.38	+6.5	28
2010-02-27	@ Pennarossa	L 1-2	37.9	866	1115	11.12%	23.09%	65.79%	-1.38	-6.5	7
2010-02-27	La Fiorita	D 0-0	47.9	1107	1058	45.94%	25.69%	28.37%	+0.33	-2.0	22
2010-02-27	@ Cosmos	D 0-0	47.9	1058	1107	28.37%	25.69%	45.94%	-0.33	+2.0	21
2010-02-27	Murata	D 2-2	57.9	1067	1051	41.48%	25.83%	32.69%	+0.15	-0.7	17
2010-02-27	@ Juvenes Dogana	D 2-2	57.9	1051	1067	32.69%	25.83%	41.48%	-0.15	+0.7	14
2010-02-28	Domagnano	L 1-2	50.5	1043	955	50.74%	25.41%	23.85%	+0.53	-23.3	19
2010-02-28	@ Virtus	W 2-1	50.5	955	1043	23.85%	25.41%	50.74%	-0.53	+23.3	19
2010-03-03	Tre Penne	L 0-4	25.2	836	1210	7.07%	21.06%	71.87%	-1.90	-15.5	9
2010-03-03	@ Cailungo	W 4-0	25.2	1210	836	71.87%	21.06%	7.07%	+1.90	+15.5	34
2010-03-06	Domagnano	W 2-1	43.0	1052	978	49.02%	25.53%	25.45%	+0.46	+13.5	17
2010-03-06	@ Murata	L 1-2	43.0	978	1052	25.45%	25.53%	49.02%	-0.46	-13.5	19
2010-03-06	Libertas	L 1-2	42.9	836	942	25.32%	25.52%	49.15%	-0.49	-13.5	13
2010-03-06	@ Fiorentino	W 2-1	42.9	942	836	49.15%	25.52%	25.32%	+0.49	+13.5	15
2010-03-06	Pennarossa	D 1-1	52.5	1226	1121	52.64%	25.26%	22.10%	+0.62	-3.3	35
2010-03-06	@ Tre Penne	D 1-1	52.5	1121	1226	22.10%	25.26%	52.64%	-0.62	+3.3	29
2010-03-06	Tre Fiori	L 0-1	32.5	860	1141	11.05%	23.06%	65.88%	-1.41	-6.8	7
2010-03-06	@ Folgore Falciano	W 1-0	32.5	1141	860	65.88%	23.06%	11.05%	+1.41	+6.8	23
2010-03-07	Cosmos	W 1-0	42.1	1066	1105	33.80%	25.85%	40.35%	-0.13	+20.5	20
2010-03-07	@ Juvenes Dogana	L 0-1	42.1	1105	1066	40.35%	25.85%	33.80%	+0.13	-20.4	22
2010-03-07	San Giovanni	D 1-1	54.0	1060	670	74.47%	19.92%	5.61%	+2.12	-8.1	22
2010-03-07	@ La Fiorita	D 1-1	54.0	670	1060	5.61%	19.92%	74.47%	-2.12	+8.1	4
2010-03-07	Virtus	L 0-1	34.5	821	1020	16.46%	24.49%	59.05%	-0.98	-9.9	9
2010-03-07	@ Cailungo	W 1-0	34.5	1020	821	59.05%	24.49%	16.46%	+0.98	+9.9	22
2010-03-13	Cosmos	D 1-1	52.2	1030	1085	31.65%	25.81%	42.55%	-0.22	+1.1	23
2010-03-13	@ Virtus	D 1-1	52.2	1085	1030	42.55%	25.81%	31.65%	+0.22	-1.1	23
2010-03-13	Juvenes Dogana	L 0-1	40.4	1052	1086	34.46%	25.86%	39.68%	-0.11	-18.2	22
2010-03-13	@ La Fiorita	W 1-0	40.4	1086	1052	39.68%	25.86%	34.46%	+0.11	+18.2	23
2010-03-13	Pennarossa	L 0-4	26.5	822	1124	10.00%	22.65%	67.35%	-1.52	-22.1	13
2010-03-13	@ Fiorentino	W 4-0	26.5	1124	822	67.35%	22.65%	10.00%	+1.52	+22.1	32
2010-03-13	Tre Penne	L 1-4	38.8	1148	1222	29.17%	25.73%	45.10%	-0.32	-36.9	23
2010-03-13	@ Tre Fiori	W 4-1	38.8	1222	1148	45.10%	25.73%	29.17%	+0.32	+36.9	38
2010-03-14	Cailungo	W 2-1	40.3	965	811	57.81%	24.67%	17.52%	+0.88	+9.9	22
2010-03-14	@ Domagnano	L 1-2	40.3	811	965	17.52%	24.67%	57.81%	-0.88	-9.9	9
2010-03-14	Folgore Falciano	W 2-0	28.2	1151	853	69.16%	22.07%	8.77%	+1.64	+10.2	28
2010-03-14	@ Faetano	L 0-2	28.2	853	1151	8.77%	22.07%	69.16%	-1.64	-10.2	7
2010-03-14	Murata	L 0-1	30.5	678	1065	6.64%	20.76%	72.60%	-1.96	-4.0	4
2010-03-14	@ San Giovanni	W 1-0	30.5	1065	678	72.60%	20.76%	6.64%	+1.96	+4.0	20
2010-03-20	Faetano	W 3-2	53.1	1111	1161	32.38%	25.82%	41.80%	-0.19	+18.8	26
2010-03-20	@ Tre Fiori	L 2-3	53.1	1161	1111	41.80%	25.82%	32.38%	+0.19	-18.8	28
2010-03-20	Murata	L 1-3	35.2	801	1069	11.77%	23.31%	64.91%	-1.34	-11.9	9
2010-03-20	@ Cailungo	W 3-1	35.2	1069	801	64.91%	23.31%	11.77%	+1.34	+11.8	23
2010-03-20	San Giovanni	W 4-1	29.2	1105	674	76.47%	18.91%	4.62%	+2.33	+6.3	26
2010-03-20	@ Juvenes Dogana	L 1-4	29.2	674	1105	4.62%	18.91%	76.47%	-2.33	-6.3	4
2010-03-20	Tre Penne	L 0-1	30.0	843	1259	5.75%	20.04%	74.20%	-2.12	-3.5	7
2010-03-20	@ Folgore Falciano	W 1-0	30.0	1259	843	74.20%	20.04%	5.75%	+2.12	+3.5	41
2010-03-21	Domagnano	W 1-0	36.3	1084	975	53.11%	25.22%	21.67%	+0.64	+12.6	26
2010-03-21	@ Cosmos	L 0-1	36.3	975	1084	21.67%	25.22%	53.11%	-0.64	-12.6	22
2010-03-21	Libertas	D 1-1	52.8	1147	956	61.20%	24.12%	14.68%	+1.08	-5.3	33
2010-03-21	@ Pennarossa	D 1-1	52.8	956	1147	14.68%	24.12%	61.20%	-1.08	+5.3	16
2010-03-21	Virtus	W 1-0	40.3	1034	1031	39.79%	25.86%	34.35%	+0.09	+18.1	25
2010-03-21	@ La Fiorita	L 0-1	40.3	1031	1034	34.35%	25.86%	39.79%	-0.09	-18.1	23
2010-03-23	Faetano	L 0-2	27.8	789	1142	7.83%	21.55%	70.62%	-1.79	-9.1	9
2010-03-23	@ Cailungo	W 2-0	27.8	1142	789	70.62%	21.55%	7.83%	+1.79	+9.1	31
2010-03-23	Folgore Falciano	W 6-1	30.5	1081	839	65.32%	23.21%	11.47%	+1.35	+25.9	26
2010-03-23	@ Murata	L 1-6	30.5	839	1081	11.47%	23.21%	65.32%	-1.35	-25.8	7
2010-03-24	Fiorentino	W 2-1	38.8	1013	800	63.01%	23.76%	13.24%	+1.19	+7.6	26
2010-03-24	@ Virtus	L 1-2	38.8	800	1013	13.24%	23.76%	63.01%	-1.19	-7.6	13
2010-03-24	Libertas	W 1-0	40.4	962	961	39.51%	25.86%	34.63%	+0.08	+18.2	25
2010-03-24	@ Domagnano	L 0-1	40.4	961	962	34.63%	25.86%	39.51%	-0.08	-18.2	16
2010-03-24	Pennarossa	D 2-2	58.0	1111	1141	35.01%	25.86%	39.13%	-0.09	+0.3	27
2010-03-24	@ Juvenes Dogana	D 2-2	58.0	1141	1111	39.13%	25.86%	35.01%	+0.09	-0.3	34
2010-03-24	Tre Fiori	W 2-1	47.4	1096	1130	34.52%	25.86%	39.63%	-0.11	+19.0	29
2010-03-24	@ Cosmos	L 1-2	47.4	1130	1096	39.63%	25.86%	34.52%	+0.11	-19.0	26
2010-03-24	Tre Penne	L 2-3	44.8	1052	1263	15.56%	24.31%	60.13%	-1.04	-8.4	25
2010-03-24	@ La Fiorita	W 3-2	44.8	1263	1052	60.13%	24.31%	15.56%	+1.04	+8.4	44
2010-03-27	Cosmos	L 0-2	28.1	780	1115	8.53%	21.95%	69.52%	-1.69	-9.9	9
2010-03-27	@ Cailungo	W 2-0	28.1	1115	780	69.52%	21.95%	8.53%	+1.69	+9.9	32
2010-03-27	Fiorentino	W 3-0	34.4	813	792	42.23%	25.81%	31.95%	+0.18	+47.0	10
2010-03-27	@ Folgore Falciano	L 0-3	34.4	792	813	31.95%	25.81%	42.23%	-0.18	-47.0	13
2010-03-27	Juvenes Dogana	L 0-1	38.1	1020	1111	27.13%	25.63%	47.24%	-0.41	-15.1	26
2010-03-27	@ Virtus	W 1-0	38.1	1111	1020	47.24%	25.63%	27.13%	+0.41	+15.1	30
2010-03-27	San Giovanni	W 6-1	29.0	980	668	70.08%	21.75%	8.17%	+1.71	+18.4	28
2010-03-27	@ Domagnano	L 1-6	29.0	668	980	8.17%	21.75%	70.08%	-1.71	-18.4	4
2010-03-28	La Fiorita	D 1-1	52.3	1107	1044	47.79%	25.60%	26.61%	+0.41	-2.2	27
2010-03-28	@ Murata	D 1-1	52.3	1044	1107	26.61%	25.60%	47.79%	-0.41	+2.2	26
2010-03-28	Tre Fiori	L 1-3	37.9	943	1111	19.04%	24.90%	56.06%	-0.81	-18.4	16
2010-03-28	@ Libertas	W 3-1	37.9	1111	943	56.06%	24.90%	19.04%	+0.81	+18.4	29
2010-03-28	Tre Penne	W 3-2	55.9	1151	1271	23.81%	25.41%	50.78%	-0.56	+22.1	34
2010-03-28	@ Faetano	L 2-3	55.9	1271	1151	50.78%	25.41%	23.81%	+0.56	-22.1	44
2010-04-10	Cailungo	W 2-0	27.1	1129	770	72.83%	20.66%	6.51%	+1.96	+7.5	32
2010-04-10	@ Tre Fiori	L 0-2	27.1	770	1129	6.51%	20.66%	72.83%	-1.96	-7.5	9
2010-04-10	Cosmos	W 5-2	38.7	1249	1125	54.76%	25.05%	20.19%	+0.72	+23.7	47
2010-04-10	@ Tre Penne	L 2-5	38.7	1125	1249	20.19%	25.05%	54.76%	-0.72	-23.7	32
2010-04-10	Pennarossa	W 3-2	54.8	1046	1141	26.64%	25.60%	47.76%	-0.43	+21.0	29
2010-04-10	@ La Fiorita	L 2-3	54.8	1141	1046	47.76%	25.60%	26.64%	+0.43	-21.0	34
2010-04-10	San Giovanni	D 2-2	58.9	924	650	67.63%	22.56%	9.81%	+1.52	-5.0	17
2010-04-10	@ Libertas	D 2-2	58.9	650	924	9.81%	22.56%	67.63%	-1.52	+5.0	5
2010-04-11	Domagnano	L 1-3	35.6	745	999	12.68%	23.60%	63.73%	-1.26	-12.7	13
2010-04-11	@ Fiorentino	W 3-1	35.6	999	745	63.73%	23.60%	12.68%	+1.26	+12.7	31
2010-04-11	Juvenes Dogana	L 1-4	32.8	860	1126	11.92%	23.36%	64.72%	-1.33	-17.0	10
2010-04-11	@ Folgore Falciano	W 4-1	32.8	1126	860	64.72%	23.36%	11.92%	+1.33	+17.0	33
2010-04-11	Murata	L 0-2	41.3	1173	1105	48.38%	25.57%	26.05%	+0.43	-44.8	34
2010-04-11	@ Faetano	W 2-0	41.3	1105	1173	26.05%	25.57%	48.38%	-0.43	+44.7	30
2010-04-13	Cailungo	W 3-0	26.2	1067	763	69.58%	21.93%	8.49%	+1.67	+14.4	32
2010-04-13	@ La Fiorita	L 0-3	26.2	763	1067	8.49%	21.93%	69.58%	-1.67	-14.3	9
2010-04-13	Cosmos	L 1-3	32.0	655	1101	4.98%	19.30%	75.72%	-2.28	-4.8	5
2010-04-13	@ San Giovanni	W 3-1	32.0	1101	655	75.72%	19.30%	4.98%	+2.28	+4.8	35
2010-04-13	Libertas	D 2-2	59.5	1273	919	72.51%	20.80%	6.69%	+1.93	-5.8	48
2010-04-13	@ Tre Penne	D 2-2	59.5	919	1273	6.69%	20.80%	72.51%	-1.93	+5.8	18
2010-04-13	Pennarossa	W 2-1	45.2	1137	1120	41.68%	25.83%	32.50%	+0.16	+16.4	35
2010-04-13	@ Tre Fiori	L 1-2	45.2	1120	1137	32.50%	25.83%	41.68%	-0.16	-16.4	34
2010-04-14	Domagnano	L 0-1	46.4	1143	1011	55.57%	24.96%	19.47%	+0.76	-26.9	33
2010-04-14	@ Juvenes Dogana	W 1-0	46.4	1011	1143	19.47%	24.96%	55.57%	-0.76	+26.9	34
2010-04-14	Fiorentino	W 4-2	36.2	1128	733	74.77%	19.77%	5.46%	+2.15	+4.8	37
2010-04-14	@ Faetano	L 2-4	36.2	733	1128	5.46%	19.77%	74.77%	-2.15	-4.8	13
2010-04-14	Virtus	W 2-1	40.6	1150	1005	56.87%	24.80%	18.33%	+0.83	+10.3	33
2010-04-14	@ Murata	L 1-2	40.6	1005	1150	18.33%	24.80%	56.87%	-0.83	-10.3	26
2010-04-17	Faetano	L 0-5	35.7	1104	1133	35.11%	25.86%	39.03%	-0.08	-81.2	34
2010-04-17	@ Pennarossa	W 5-0	35.7	1133	1104	39.03%	25.86%	35.11%	+0.08	+81.2	40
2010-04-17	Folgore Falciano	D 1-1	52.3	925	843	50.00%	25.47%	24.53%	+0.50	-2.7	19
2010-04-17	@ Libertas	D 1-1	52.3	843	925	24.53%	25.47%	50.00%	-0.50	+2.7	11
2010-04-17	Tre Fiori	L 0-2	26.6	728	1153	5.52%	19.83%	74.65%	-2.17	-6.3	13
2010-04-17	@ Fiorentino	W 2-0	26.6	1153	728	74.65%	19.83%	5.52%	+2.17	+6.3	38
2010-04-18	Juvenes Dogana	L 1-3	33.2	748	1116	7.27%	21.20%	71.53%	-1.87	-7.3	9
2010-04-18	@ Cailungo	W 3-1	33.2	1116	748	71.53%	21.20%	7.27%	+1.87	+7.3	36
2010-04-18	La Fiorita	W 4-1	42.2	1038	1081	33.29%	25.84%	40.87%	-0.15	+47.7	37
2010-04-18	@ Domagnano	L 1-4	42.2	1081	1038	40.87%	25.84%	33.29%	+0.15	-47.7	32
2010-04-18	Murata	W 1-0	42.8	1106	1160	31.82%	25.81%	42.37%	-0.21	+21.3	38
2010-04-18	@ Cosmos	L 0-1	42.8	1160	1106	42.37%	25.81%	31.82%	+0.21	-21.3	33
2010-04-18	Virtus	W 3-1	52.2	650	995	8.14%	21.73%	70.13%	-1.74	+54.4	8
2010-04-18	@ San Giovanni	L 1-3	52.2	995	650	70.13%	21.73%	8.14%	+1.74	-54.4	26

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Record
2010-05-03	Juvenes Dogana	W 2-0	34.4	1214	1124	49.18%	25.52%	25.30%	+0.48	+26.9	1-0
2010-05-03	@ Faetano	L 0-2	34.4	1124	1214	25.30%	25.52%	49.18%	-0.48	-26.9	0-1
2010-05-04	Tre Fiori	L 0-2	34.9	1086	1160	27.32%	25.64%	47.04%	-0.39	-28.6	0-1
2010-05-04	@ Domagnano	W 2-0	34.9	1160	1086	47.04%	25.64%	27.32%	+0.39	+28.6	1-0
2010-05-07	Tre Fiori	W 3-0	34.0	1241	1188	44.43%	25.75%	29.82%	+0.28	+44.5	2-0
2010-05-07	@ Faetano	L 0-3	34.0	1188	1241	29.82%	25.75%	44.43%	-0.28	-44.5	1-1
2010-05-08	Domagnano	L 2-4	49.2	1097	1057	42.57%	25.81%	31.62%	+0.21	-31.2	0-2
2010-05-08	@ Juvenes Dogana	W 4-2	49.2	1057	1097	31.62%	25.81%	42.57%	-0.21	+31.2	1-1
2010-05-11	Cosmos	W 3-0	30.9	1267	1127	54.71%	25.05%	20.23%	+0.73	+32.5	1-0
2010-05-11	@ Tre Penne	L 0-3	30.9	1127	1267	20.23%	25.05%	54.71%	-0.73	-32.5	0-1
2010-05-13	Tre Fiori	L 0-3	33.7	1089	1144	29.60%	25.74%	44.66%	-0.29	-44.3	1-2
2010-05-13	@ Domagnano	W 3-0	33.7	1144	1089	44.66%	25.74%	29.60%	+0.29	+44.3	2-1
2010-05-17	Cosmos	W 1-0	37.5	1188	1095	49.44%	25.50%	25.06%	+0.49	+14.2	3-1
2010-05-17	@ Tre Fiori	L 0-1	37.5	1095	1188	25.06%	25.50%	49.44%	-0.49	-14.2	0-2
2010-05-21	Faetano	W 1-0	41.4	1299	1286	38.99%	25.86%	35.14%	+0.07	+18.4	2-0
2010-05-21	@ Tre Penne	L 0-1	41.4	1286	1299	35.14%	25.86%	38.99%	-0.07	-18.4	2-1
2010-05-25	Faetano	W 2-1	49.5	1202	1267	28.29%	25.69%	46.02%	-0.34	+21.4	4-1
2010-05-25	@ Tre Fiori	L 1-2	49.5	1267	1202	46.02%	25.69%	28.29%	+0.34	-21.5	2-2
2010-05-31	Tre Fiori	L 1-2	50.8	1318	1223	49.62%	25.49%	24.89%	+0.50	-22.9	2-1
2010-05-31	@ Tre Penne	W 2-1	50.8	1223	1318	24.89%	25.49%	49.62%	-0.50	+22.9	5-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2009-11-07	7.64%	Fiorentino	804	2	@ Murata	1130	0
2	2010-04-18	8.14%	@ San Giovanni	650	3	Virtus	995	1
3	2010-02-27	12.13%	@ Libertas	915	4	Faetano	1178	3
4	2010-02-21	14.08%	Libertas	882	2	@ Juvenes Dogana	1082	1
5	2009-11-21	15.12%	@ Fiorentino	867	1	Juvenes Dogana	1084	0
6	2009-09-27	15.24%	@ Domagnano	928	1	Murata	1143	0
7	2009-10-17	16.30%	Faetano	984	3	@ Tre Penne	1153	0
8	2010-04-14	19.47%	Domagnano	1011	1	@ Juvenes Dogana	1143	0
9	2009-11-01	21.10%	Cosmos	1042	1	@ Murata	1156	0
10	2009-10-18	22.33%	@ Fiorentino	806	4	Folgore Falciano	940	3
11	2010-03-28	23.81%	@ Faetano	1151	3	Tre Penne	1271	2
12	2010-02-28	23.85%	Domagnano	955	2	@ Virtus	1043	1
13	2009-10-18	23.91%	Virtus	1050	2	@ Juvenes Dogana	1138	0
14	2010-05-31 *	24.89%	Tre Fiori	1223	2	@ Tre Penne	1318	1
15	2009-12-12	25.66%	Juvenes Dogana	1058	1	@ Faetano	1130	0
16	2010-04-11	26.05%	Murata	1105	2	@ Faetano	1173	0
17	2010-04-10	26.64%	@ La Fiorita	1046	3	Pennarossa	1141	2
18	2009-09-27	27.84%	Tre Penne	1053	4	@ Pennarossa	1106	0
19	2010-05-25 *	28.29%	@ Tre Fiori	1202	2	Faetano	1267	1
20	2009-11-29	29.18%	Cailungo	854	2	@ Fiorentino	896	1
21	2009-09-20	30.95%	@ La Fiorita	1017	2	Cosmos	1077	1
22	2009-11-07	31.26%	@ Pennarossa	1044	2	Virtus	1102	1
23	2010-05-08 *	31.62%	Domagnano	1057	4	@ Juvenes Dogana	1097	2
24	2010-04-18	31.82%	@ Cosmos	1106	1	Murata	1160	0
25	2010-03-20	32.38%	@ Tre Fiori	1111	3	Faetano	1161	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2009-09-27	82.08	Tre Penne	4	1053	27.84%	@ Pennarossa	0	1106	46.49%	25.67%
2	2010-04-17	81.21	Faetano	5	1133	39.03%	@ Pennarossa	0	1104	35.11%	25.86%
3	2009-10-17	78.11	Faetano	3	984	16.30%	@ Tre Penne	0	1153	59.24%	24.46%
4	2009-11-07	63.46	Fiorentino	2	804	7.64%	@ Murata	0	1130	70.93%	21.43%
5	2010-04-18	54.43	@ San Giovanni	3	650	8.14%	Virtus	1	995	70.13%	21.73%
6	2010-02-20	53.53	Faetano	3	1106	36.10%	@ Virtus	0	1097	38.03%	25.87%
7	2010-04-18	47.71	@ Domagnano	4	1038	33.29%	La Fiorita	1	1081	40.87%	25.84%
8	2010-03-27	46.96	@ Folgore Falciano	3	813	42.23%	Fiorentino	0	792	31.95%	25.81%
9	2009-10-18	46.60	Virtus	2	1050	23.91%	@ Juvenes Dogana	0	1138	50.67%	25.42%
10	2010-04-11	44.75	Murata	2	1105	26.05%	@ Faetano	0	1173	48.38%	25.57%
11	2010-05-07 *	44.52	@ Faetano	3	1241	44.43%	Tre Fiori	0	1188	29.82%	25.75%
12	2010-05-13 *	44.26	Tre Fiori	3	1144	44.66%	@ Domagnano	0	1089	29.60%	25.74%
13	2010-02-23	37.80	@ Murata	4	1013	57.61%	Cailungo	0	861	17.69%	24.70%
14	2010-03-13	36.91	Tre Penne	4	1222	45.10%	@ Tre Fiori	1	1148	29.17%	25.73%
15	2009-12-12	35.66	@ Tre Penne	3	1145	52.09%	Murata	0	1045	22.60%	25.31%
16	2009-11-08	33.99	@ Tre Penne	3	1072	32.91%	Juvenes Dogana	1	1118	41.26%	25.83%
17	2009-12-13	33.54	Virtus	3	1063	53.85%	@ Libertas	0	916	21.00%	25.14%
18	2009-12-06	33.43	@ Faetano	3	1096	53.95%	Domagnano	0	980	20.92%	25.13%
19	2010-05-11 *	32.49	@ Tre Penne	3	1267	54.71%	Cosmos	0	1127	20.23%	25.05%
20	2009-09-26	32.42	Juvenes Dogana	2	1109	42.11%	@ Cosmos	0	1057	32.07%	25.82%
21	2010-05-08 *	31.16	Domagnano	4	1057	31.62%	@ Juvenes Dogana	2	1097	42.57%	25.81%
22	2009-10-31	29.37	@ Juvenes Dogana	4	1089	62.80%	Cailungo	0	879	13.40%	23.80%
23	2010-02-21	29.20	Cosmos	3	1082	57.39%	@ Folgore Falciano	0	900	17.88%	24.73%
24	2009-11-21	29.16	@ Fiorentino	1	867	15.12%	Juvenes Dogana	0	1084	60.66%	24.22%
25	2009-09-27	29.11	@ Domagnano	1	928	15.24%	Murata	0	1143	60.52%	24.24%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2009-09-26	62.6	@ San Giovanni	3	771	11.92%	La Fiorita	3	1037	64.72%	23.36%
2	2010-02-27	61.9	@ Libertas	4	915	12.13%	Faetano	3	1178	64.44%	23.43%
3	2010-04-13	59.5	@ Tre Penne	2	1273	72.51%	Libertas	2	919	6.69%	20.80%
4	2010-04-10	58.9	@ Libertas	2	924	67.63%	San Giovanni	2	650	9.81%	22.56%
5	2009-10-18	58.8	@ Fiorentino	4	806	22.33%	Folgore Falciano	3	940	52.39%	25.28%
6	2009-09-19	58.0	@ Murata	2	1144	44.30%	Juvenes Dogana	2	1108	29.94%	25.75%
7	2009-09-19	58.0	@ Domagnano	2	926	24.36%	Virtus	2	1041	50.18%	25.45%
8	2009-11-20	58.0	@ Cailungo	2	853	27.48%	Folgore Falciano	2	941	46.87%	25.65%
9	2010-03-24	58.0	@ Juvenes Dogana	2	1111	35.01%	Pennarossa	2	1141	39.13%	25.86%
10	2009-09-20	57.9	@ Faetano	2	986	41.23%	Libertas	2	972	32.94%	25.83%
11	2009-11-28	57.9	@ Cosmos	2	1051	32.91%	Faetano	2	1097	41.26%	25.83%
12	2010-02-27	57.9	@ Juvenes Dogana	2	1067	41.48%	Murata	2	1051	32.69%	25.83%
13	2010-03-28	55.9	@ Faetano	3	1151	23.81%	Tre Penne	2	1271	50.78%	25.41%
14	2010-04-10	54.8	@ La Fiorita	3	1046	26.64%	Pennarossa	2	1141	47.76%	25.60%
15	2010-03-07	54.0	@ La Fiorita	1	1060	74.47%	San Giovanni	1	670	5.61%	19.92%
16	2010-02-21	53.4	Libertas	2	882	14.08%	@ Juvenes Dogana	1	1082	61.95%	23.97%
17	2010-03-20	53.1	@ Tre Fiori	3	1111	32.38%	Faetano	2	1161	41.80%	25.82%
18	2009-11-27	53.0	Tre Penne	4	1118	41.79%	@ Virtus	3	1068	32.38%	25.82%
19	2010-03-21	52.8	@ Pennarossa	1	1147	61.20%	Libertas	1	956	14.68%	24.12%
20	2010-02-24	52.7	@ Libertas	1	910	15.65%	Pennarossa	1	1120	60.02%	24.33%
21	2009-09-20	52.6	@ Cailungo	1	937	59.39%	San Giovanni	1	766	16.18%	24.43%
22	2009-09-26	52.6	@ Libertas	1	973	57.89%	Fiorentino	1	818	17.45%	24.66%
23	2010-02-20	52.5	@ Murata	1	1010	20.40%	Tre Fiori	1	1163	54.53%	25.07%
24	2010-02-24	52.5	@ Domagnano	1	951	19.81%	Cosmos	1	1111	55.18%	25.00%
25	2010-03-06	52.5	@ Tre Penne	1	1226	52.64%	Pennarossa	1	1121	22.10%	25.26%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2009-12-06	24.4	Tre Penne	4	1133	74.29%	@ San Giovanni	0	714	5.71%	20.00%
2	2010-03-03	25.2	Tre Penne	4	1210	71.87%	@ Cailungo	0	836	7.07%	21.06%
3	2009-10-03	25.8	@ Murata	5	1114	71.67%	San Giovanni	0	775	7.19%	21.14%
4	2010-02-24	25.8	Juvenes Dogana	3	1054	70.93%	@ San Giovanni	0	696	7.64%	21.43%
5	2009-11-28	25.9	Pennarossa	3	1081	70.65%	@ San Giovanni	0	728	7.81%	21.54%
6	2010-04-13	26.2	@ La Fiorita	3	1067	69.58%	Cailungo	0	763	8.49%	21.93%
7	2010-03-13	26.5	Pennarossa	4	1124	67.35%	@ Fiorentino	0	822	10.00%	22.65%
8	2010-04-17	26.6	Tre Fiori	2	1153	74.65%	@ Fiorentino	0	728	5.52%	19.83%
9	2009-11-07	26.7	Tre Fiori	2	1156	74.27%	@ San Giovanni	0	738	5.72%	20.01%
10	2010-02-27	26.9	@ Tre Penne	6	1186	70.86%	Fiorentino	0	860	7.68%	21.46%
11	2010-04-10	27.1	@ Tre Fiori	2	1129	72.83%	Cailungo	0	770	6.51%	20.66%
12	2009-11-01	27.6	@ Tre Fiori	2	1148	71.46%	Fiorentino	0	812	7.31%	21.23%
13	2010-03-23	27.8	Faetano	2	1142	70.62%	@ Cailungo	0	789	7.83%	21.55%
14	2009-10-31	27.9	@ Juvenes Dogana	4	1089	62.80%	Cailungo	0	879	13.40%	23.80%
15	2010-03-27	28.1	Cosmos	2	1115	69.52%	@ Cailungo	0	780	8.53%	21.95%
16	2010-03-14	28.2	@ Faetano	2	1151	69.16%	Folgore Falciano	0	853	8.77%	22.07%
17	2010-03-27	29.0	@ Domagnano	6	980	70.08%	San Giovanni	1	668	8.17%	21.75%
18	2010-03-20	29.2	@ Juvenes Dogana	4	1105	76.47%	San Giovanni	1	674	4.62%	18.91%
19	2009-09-27	29.4	@ Tre Fiori	3	1132	58.88%	Folgore Falciano	0	967	16.61%	24.51%
20	2010-02-23	29.4	@ Murata	4	1013	57.61%	Cailungo	0	861	17.69%	24.70%
21	2009-12-13	29.5	@ Pennarossa	2	1111	64.82%	Cailungo	0	875	11.84%	23.34%
22	2010-02-21	29.9	Cosmos	3	1082	57.39%	@ Folgore Falciano	0	900	17.88%	24.73%
23	2010-03-20	30.0	Tre Penne	1	1259	74.20%	@ Folgore Falciano	0	843	5.75%	20.04%
24	2009-10-04	30.4	@ Pennarossa	2	1024	62.10%	Fiorentino	0	822	13.96%	23.94%
25	2009-10-24	30.4	Faetano	2	1062	62.13%	@ Fiorentino	0	828	13.93%	23.94%