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2022-23 Campionato Sammarinese Season

210 games · 10 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Tre Penne

68 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Cosmos

16.25 points above expected

67 points · 50.75 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Pennarossa

13.75 points below expected

25 points · 38.75 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Tre Penne 28 21 5 2 68 60 19 +41 56.70 +11.30
2 Cosmos 28 20 7 1 67 64 13 +51 50.75 +16.25
3 La Fiorita 28 18 6 4 60 41 17 +24 53.16 +6.84
4 Virtus 28 16 9 3 57 53 25 +28 51.66 +5.34
5 Tre Fiori 28 17 5 6 56 45 21 +24 52.11 +3.89
6 Libertas 28 12 11 5 47 49 33 +16 44.61 +2.39
7 Folgore Falciano 28 9 4 15 31 32 49 -17 35.62 -4.62
8 Murata 28 9 3 16 30 41 57 -16 28.51 +1.49
9 Juvenes Dogana 28 8 5 15 29 40 46 -6 32.01 -3.01
10 Domagnano 28 6 8 14 26 36 48 -12 32.58 -6.58
11 Pennarossa 28 7 4 17 25 39 57 -18 38.75 -13.75
12 Faetano 28 7 4 17 25 35 63 -28 29.00 -4.00
13 Fiorentino 28 5 8 15 23 37 58 -21 28.51 -5.51
14 San Giovanni 28 6 5 17 23 28 54 -26 27.07 -4.07
15 Cailungo 28 4 6 18 18 29 69 -40 23.87 -5.87

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Cosmos 67 50.75 +16.25
2 Tre Penne 68 56.70 +11.30
3 La Fiorita 60 53.16 +6.84
4 Virtus 57 51.66 +5.34
5 Tre Fiori 56 52.11 +3.89

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Pennarossa 25 38.75 -13.75
2 Domagnano 26 32.58 -6.58
3 Cailungo 18 23.87 -5.87
4 Fiorentino 23 28.51 -5.51
5 Folgore Falciano 31 35.62 -4.62

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Faetano 4 Oct 9 – Nov 13 1 in 113
2 Domagnano 3 Feb 18 – Mar 5 1 in 57
3 Tre Fiori 7 Oct 15 – Dec 18 1 in 56
4 Tre Penne 7 Jan 8 – Feb 25 1 in 28
5 San Giovanni 3 Oct 2 – Oct 14 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Murata 9 Oct 8 – Jan 8 1 in 429
2 Pennarossa 4 Jan 28 – Feb 26 1 in 39
3 Juvenes Dogana 4 Dec 10 – Jan 22 1 in 38
4 Faetano 6 Dec 17 – Feb 5 1 in 31
5 Cailungo 6 Feb 26 – Apr 2 1 in 27

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cosmos 24 Oct 9 – Apr 23 1 in 674
2 Fiorentino 8 Dec 9 – Feb 18 1 in 185
3 Libertas 12 Dec 3 – Mar 11 1 in 85
4 Virtus 11 Sep 17 – Jan 7 1 in 50
5 Tre Fiori 12 Oct 15 – Feb 3 1 in 29

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pennarossa 10 Oct 9 – Jan 8 1 in 757
2 Libertas 6 Oct 16 – Dec 3 1 in 41
3 Faetano 10 Dec 17 – Mar 7 1 in 24
4 Murata 11 Oct 8 – Jan 20 1 in 20
5 San Giovanni 10 Dec 4 – Feb 18 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Tre Penne 1229 68 +24 13 11.4 +1.6
Cosmos 1241 67 +44 11 9.8 +1.2
La Fiorita 1132 60 +48 13 10.6 +2.4
Virtus 1132 57 +22 11 10.6 +0.4
Tre Fiori 1085 56 -9 9 9.1 -0.1
Libertas 1082 47 +128 13 10.2 +2.8
Folgore Falciano 815 31 -4 6 4.5 +1.5
Murata 873 30 +86 10 5.6 +4.4
Juvenes Dogana 869 29 +14 7 7.0 +0.0
Domagnano 795 26 -100 3 7.0 -4.0
Faetano 732 25 -33 4 3.6 +0.4
Pennarossa 758 25 -66 3 4.1 -1.1
Fiorentino 796 23 +15 3 6.0 -3.0
San Giovanni 723 23 -49 1 2.6 -1.6
Cailungo 583 18 -90 3 4.2 -1.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team CAI COS DOM FAE FIO FF JD LF LIB MUR PEN SG TF TP VIR
Cailungo —
0-1-1
0.79
0-1-1
2.23
1-0-1
2.18
0-1-1
2.64
0-0-2
1.97
1-0-1
1.68
0-0-2
1.40
0-1-1
1.32
1-0-1
2.23
1-0-1
1.63
0-1-1
3.16
0-1-1
1.21
0-0-2
1.45
0-0-2
1.05
Cosmos
1-1-0
4.83
 —
2-0-0
4.14
2-0-0
3.98
2-0-0
4.54
2-0-0
4.27
2-0-0
4.18
0-1-1
2.54
1-1-0
3.35
2-0-0
3.50
2-0-0
3.16
2-0-0
3.80
1-1-0
3.24
1-1-0
2.47
0-2-0
3.08
Domagnano
1-1-0
3.31
0-0-2
1.43
 —
1-0-1
3.19
0-2-0
2.85
2-0-0
2.28
0-1-1
2.74
1-0-1
1.14
0-1-1
2.10
0-1-1
3.60
0-1-1
2.51
1-1-0
3.13
0-0-2
1.39
0-0-2
1.40
0-0-2
1.91
Faetano
1-0-1
3.37
0-0-2
1.59
1-0-1
2.36
 —
1-0-1
2.43
0-1-1
2.13
0-2-0
2.67
0-0-2
1.28
0-0-2
1.92
1-0-1
2.75
2-0-0
1.72
1-0-1
2.56
0-0-2
1.90
0-0-2
0.90
0-1-1
1.22
Fiorentino
1-1-0
2.90
0-0-2
1.05
0-2-0
2.69
1-0-1
3.11
 —
0-1-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.93
0-0-2
1.23
1-1-0
1.41
1-0-1
2.68
0-1-1
2.16
0-0-2
2.94
0-0-2
0.98
0-1-1
0.94
0-1-1
1.58
Folgore Falciano
2-0-0
3.58
0-0-2
1.31
0-0-2
3.27
1-1-0
3.42
1-1-0
3.12
 —
0-0-2
3.40
0-0-2
1.77
0-1-1
2.46
2-0-0
3.33
1-0-1
2.34
1-0-1
3.61
0-0-2
1.47
1-0-1
1.18
0-1-1
1.40
Juvenes Dogana
1-0-1
3.88
0-0-2
1.40
1-1-0
2.80
0-2-0
2.88
1-0-1
2.61
2-0-0
2.15
 —
0-0-2
1.56
0-0-2
2.16
0-1-1
3.24
2-0-0
2.46
1-0-1
3.16
0-0-2
1.25
0-1-1
1.14
0-0-2
1.70
La Fiorita
2-0-0
4.17
1-1-0
3.00
1-0-1
4.44
2-0-0
4.30
2-0-0
4.34
2-0-0
3.78
2-0-0
4.00
 —
1-1-0
3.40
2-0-0
4.70
2-0-0
3.87
0-2-0
4.68
1-1-0
2.73
0-1-1
2.35
0-0-2
3.25
Libertas
1-1-0
4.25
0-1-1
2.20
1-1-0
3.45
2-0-0
3.63
0-1-1
4.16
1-1-0
3.08
2-0-0
3.38
0-1-1
2.15
 —
1-1-0
4.40
1-1-0
3.64
2-0-0
4.27
1-1-0
2.20
0-0-2
1.65
0-2-0
2.53
Murata
1-0-1
3.31
0-0-2
2.08
1-1-0
1.95
1-0-1
2.79
1-0-1
2.86
0-0-2
2.22
1-1-0
2.31
0-0-2
0.90
0-1-1
1.18
 —
1-0-1
1.54
2-0-0
2.71
1-0-1
1.10
0-0-2
1.29
0-0-2
1.15
Pennarossa
1-0-1
3.93
0-0-2
2.41
1-1-0
3.04
0-0-2
3.83
1-1-0
3.38
1-0-1
3.21
0-0-2
3.08
0-0-2
1.68
0-1-1
1.91
1-0-1
4.02
 —
1-1-0
3.34
0-0-2
2.19
0-0-2
1.18
1-0-1
1.13
San Giovanni
1-1-0
2.39
0-0-2
1.77
0-1-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.98
2-0-0
2.61
1-0-1
1.93
1-0-1
2.38
0-2-0
0.93
0-0-2
1.31
0-0-2
2.83
0-1-1
2.20
 —
0-0-2
1.30
0-0-2
0.93
0-0-2
1.02
Tre Fiori
1-1-0
4.37
0-1-1
2.31
2-0-0
4.18
2-0-0
3.66
2-0-0
4.62
2-0-0
4.10
2-0-0
4.32
0-1-1
2.81
0-1-1
3.34
1-0-1
4.49
2-0-0
3.37
2-0-0
4.27
 —
0-0-2
2.76
1-1-0
3.12
Tre Penne
2-0-0
4.12
0-1-1
3.07
2-0-0
4.17
2-0-0
4.72
1-1-0
4.66
1-0-1
4.41
1-1-0
4.44
1-1-0
3.19
2-0-0
3.91
2-0-0
4.30
2-0-0
4.42
2-0-0
4.68
2-0-0
2.78
 —
1-1-0
3.22
Virtus
2-0-0
4.55
0-2-0
2.46
2-0-0
3.64
1-1-0
4.37
1-1-0
3.98
1-1-0
4.16
2-0-0
3.86
2-0-0
2.29
0-2-0
3.02
2-0-0
4.43
1-0-1
4.45
2-0-0
4.58
0-1-1
2.42
0-1-1
2.32
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.76 +14.8
Allowed 0.94 -9.3
Differential 0.96 +6.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.29%6.90%7.86%3.10%3.10%0.95%26.19%
16.90%10.48%6.90%3.10%2.14%0.95%30.48%
27.86%6.90%5.24%2.14%0.71%1.19%24.05%
33.10%3.10%2.14%1.43%0.24%—10.00%
43.10%2.14%0.71%0.24%——6.19%
5+0.95%0.95%1.19%———3.10%
Total26.19%30.48%24.05%10.00%6.19%3.10%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.50 +0.00
SD 1.34 1.34 2.10
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 210

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%3.57%7.14%21.43%—3.57%42.86%
1—7.14%7.14%3.57%3.57%7.14%28.57%
23.57%3.57%7.14%—7.14%—21.43%
3———————
4—3.57%————3.57%
5+——3.57%———3.57%
Total10.71%17.86%25.00%25.00%10.71%10.71%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 2.46 -1.43
SD 1.26 1.62 2.18
CV 1.22 0.66 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%—3.57%———10.71%
114.29%14.29%————28.57%
214.29%3.57%3.57%———21.43%
33.57%—3.57%———7.14%
421.43%3.57%————25.00%
5+3.57%3.57%————7.14%
Total64.29%25.00%10.71%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.29 0.46 +1.82
SD 1.56 0.69 1.81
CV 0.68 1.49 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%7.14%3.57%——25.00%
1—14.29%14.29%7.14%—3.57%39.29%
23.57%3.57%7.14%3.57%—3.57%21.43%
37.14%—3.57%———10.71%
4—3.57%————3.57%
5+———————
Total17.86%28.57%32.14%14.29%—7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.71 -0.43
SD 1.08 1.33 1.77
CV 0.84 0.78 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%3.57%14.29%7.14%10.71%—39.29%
1——7.14%7.14%3.57%—17.86%
210.71%3.57%7.14%——7.14%28.57%
33.57%—3.57%3.57%——10.71%
4———————
5+——3.57%———3.57%
Total17.86%7.14%35.71%17.86%14.29%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 2.25 -1.00
SD 1.29 1.48 2.14
CV 1.04 0.66 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%10.71%—3.57%7.14%—25.00%
13.57%17.86%10.71%7.14%—3.57%42.86%
23.57%3.57%3.57%——7.14%17.86%
3——3.57%3.57%3.57%—10.71%
4———————
5+3.57%—————3.57%
Total14.29%32.14%17.86%14.29%10.71%10.71%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 2.07 -0.75
SD 1.31 1.59 2.08
CV 0.99 0.77 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%3.57%21.43%—10.71%3.57%46.43%
13.57%7.14%10.71%———21.43%
23.57%7.14%—3.57%——14.29%
33.57%—3.57%———7.14%
4—7.14%3.57%———10.71%
5+———————
Total17.86%25.00%39.29%3.57%10.71%3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.75 -0.61
SD 1.38 1.32 2.20
CV 1.21 0.76 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—17.86%10.71%3.57%3.57%—35.71%
13.57%3.57%10.71%3.57%3.57%—25.00%
23.57%3.57%10.71%———17.86%
3—7.14%—3.57%——10.71%
43.57%3.57%————7.14%
5+—3.57%————3.57%
Total10.71%39.29%32.14%10.71%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.64 -0.21
SD 1.55 1.06 2.11
CV 1.08 0.65 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%3.57%———10.71%
128.57%17.86%————46.43%
217.86%7.14%3.57%3.57%——32.14%
33.57%3.57%————7.14%
43.57%—————3.57%
5+———————
Total53.57%35.71%7.14%3.57%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 0.61 +0.86
SD 0.92 0.79 1.30
CV 0.63 1.29 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.71%10.71%——3.57%—25.00%
13.57%17.86%————21.43%
2—14.29%3.57%3.57%——21.43%
37.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%——28.57%
4———————
5+3.57%—————3.57%
Total25.00%50.00%10.71%10.71%3.57%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 1.18 +0.57
SD 1.55 1.06 1.85
CV 0.89 0.90 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%7.14%14.29%——3.57%28.57%
13.57%—7.14%—14.29%—25.00%
27.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%3.57%—32.14%
3—3.57%3.57%———7.14%
4———————
5+—3.57%3.57%———7.14%
Total14.29%21.43%35.71%7.14%17.86%3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 2.04 -0.57
SD 1.37 1.40 2.10
CV 0.94 0.69 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%14.29%—3.57%3.57%28.57%
17.14%7.14%14.29%7.14%7.14%—42.86%
2——3.57%3.57%——7.14%
33.57%——3.57%——7.14%
47.14%—3.57%———10.71%
5+——3.57%———3.57%
Total17.86%14.29%39.29%14.29%10.71%3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 2.04 -0.64
SD 1.45 1.55 2.42
CV 1.04 0.76 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—10.71%17.86%7.14%7.14%—42.86%
13.57%14.29%—10.71%——28.57%
2—7.14%3.57%7.14%——17.86%
33.57%3.57%————7.14%
4———3.57%——3.57%
5+———————
Total7.14%35.71%21.43%28.57%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.93 -0.93
SD 1.12 1.12 1.72
CV 1.12 0.58 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%7.14%3.57%———14.29%
114.29%10.71%10.71%———35.71%
214.29%14.29%3.57%———32.14%
37.14%3.57%————10.71%
43.57%3.57%————7.14%
5+———————
Total42.86%39.29%17.86%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 0.75 +0.86
SD 1.10 0.75 1.48
CV 0.68 1.00 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%3.57%————7.14%
110.71%7.14%3.57%———21.43%
221.43%14.29%7.14%———42.86%
33.57%3.57%3.57%———10.71%
47.14%7.14%————14.29%
5+—3.57%————3.57%
Total46.43%39.29%14.29%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 0.68 +1.46
SD 1.24 0.72 1.40
CV 0.58 1.07 —
Max 5 2 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%3.57%————10.71%
17.14%17.86%7.14%———32.14%
214.29%10.71%7.14%———32.14%
3—14.29%————14.29%
4——3.57%———3.57%
5+3.57%—3.57%———7.14%
Total32.14%46.43%21.43%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.89 0.89 +1.00
SD 1.31 0.74 1.36
CV 0.69 0.83 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 28

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Cosmos 1293 67 50.75 +16.25 100.0% 35 43 46 51 55 60 63
Tre Penne 1229 68 56.70 +11.30 98.0% 39 45 52 57 61 67 73
La Fiorita 1164 60 53.16 +6.84 82.0% 39 41 47 53 58 64 69
Virtus 1120 57 51.66 +5.34 85.0% 40 43 47 51 55 61 70
Tre Fiori 1069 56 52.11 +3.89 76.0% 34 39 47 51 56 63 70
Libertas 1054 47 44.61 +2.39 72.0% 30 32 41 45 48 56 59
Juvenes Dogana 852 29 32.01 -3.01 32.0% 16 21 29 31 37 42 48
Murata 847 30 28.51 +1.49 61.0% 15 19 24 28 33 38 41
Folgore Falciano 829 31 35.62 -4.62 25.0% 24 25 31 35 40 49 53
Fiorentino 796 23 28.51 -5.51 25.0% 12 16 23 29 33 38 44
Domagnano 782 26 32.58 -6.58 16.0% 17 21 28 32 36 45 49
Pennarossa 758 25 38.75 -13.75 2.0% 21 28 35 39 43 48 52
Faetano 747 25 29.00 -4.00 29.0% 15 18 25 28 33 39 44
San Giovanni 723 23 27.07 -4.07 33.0% 12 15 22 27 31 36 48
Cailungo 583 18 23.87 -5.87 19.0% 8 15 20 23 28 35 39

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -4.5% * Slight Edge: -4.5% to 0.5% * Clear Edge: 0.5% to 5% * Strong Edge: 5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
-8.10%
No Edge
35.24%21.43%43.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge: -28.19 Elo pts.
180 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
-0.01 goals
Neutral
-2-0.16+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 4 * Top-Heavy: 4 to 5 * Open: 5 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.19 * Runaway: 0.19 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.0
One-Team Race
145610
Champion Preseason Odds
40%
Tre Penne, 1st of 15
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.04/gm
Photo Finish
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.13 * Some Luck: 5.13 to 7.7 * Lucky: 7.7 to 10.27 * Wild Swing: 10.27 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.45 * Close: 1.45 to 2.17 * Off: 2.17 to 2.89 * Way Off: 2.89 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 15 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 15 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 15 * As Expected: 15 to 24 * Several Outliers: 24 to 33 * Many Outliers: 33 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.53 points
Some Luck
06.4216
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.27
Pinpoint
01.814
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.67%
100.00%
Cosmos
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.33%
2.00%
Pennarossa
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 15
Minimal Outliers
01.57

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Strong Separation: 1.9 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 74% * Slight Edge: 74% to 79.5% * Clear Edge: 79.5% to 84.5% * Wide Edge: 84.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56% * Some Drama: 56% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 65.5% * Very Frequent: 65.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.24
Top-Heavy
00.20.260.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 207.30
2.52
Wide Separation
11.71.92.23
Interquartile Edge
87%
Wide Edge
50%74%84.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
54%
Few
0%52%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Frequent
0%23%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.52 * Strong Carryover: 0.52 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 24.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 24.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 17.5% * Shaky Favorites: 17.5% to 20.5% * Very Shaky: 20.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.54
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.42
Slight Separation
00.370.430.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.51
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.45
Some Carryover
00.360.520.691
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Shaky Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.18
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.20
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.076
Well Within Noise
00.1200.3

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

First Round

Juvenes Dogana 3
Domagnano 2
Faetano 1
Murata 0

Quarterfinals

Virtus 2
Folgore Falciano 2

Leg 1: Virtus 1-1 Folgore Falciano

Leg 2: Folgore Falciano 1-1 Virtus

Libertas 3
Tre Fiori 2

Leg 1: Tre Fiori 1-2 Libertas

Leg 2: Libertas 1-1 Tre Fiori

Cosmos 7
Faetano 1

Leg 1: Cosmos 4-1 Faetano

Leg 2: Faetano 0-3 Cosmos

La Fiorita 5
Juvenes Dogana 0

Leg 1: La Fiorita 2-0 Juvenes Dogana

Leg 2: Juvenes Dogana 0-3 La Fiorita

Semifinals

La Fiorita 2
Virtus 1

Leg 1: La Fiorita 2-1 Virtus

Leg 2: Virtus 0-0 La Fiorita

Cosmos 3
Libertas 0

Leg 1: Libertas 0-1 Cosmos

Leg 2: Cosmos 2-0 Libertas

Virtus 2
Libertas 1

Finals

Cosmos 2
La Fiorita 1

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112131415
Tre Penne40.00%26.00%14.00%9.00%7.00%4.00%—————————
Cosmos12.00%22.00%17.00%15.00%19.00%10.00%3.00%2.00%———————
La Fiorita20.00%18.00%17.00%16.00%13.00%6.00%9.00%1.00%———————
Virtus9.00%11.00%26.00%22.00%16.00%11.00%5.00%————————
Tre Fiori17.00%17.00%15.00%19.00%18.00%9.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%——————
Libertas2.00%5.00%10.00%13.00%11.00%27.00%19.00%4.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%———
Folgore Falciano——1.00%1.00%3.00%11.00%9.00%19.00%12.00%16.00%9.00%7.00%5.00%7.00%—
Murata—————1.00%3.00%9.00%15.00%9.00%4.00%19.00%12.00%19.00%9.00%
Juvenes Dogana————1.00%1.00%14.00%12.00%12.00%12.00%14.00%17.00%10.00%4.00%3.00%
Domagnano————5.00%5.00%5.00%12.00%14.00%13.00%14.00%15.00%7.00%5.00%5.00%
Pennarossa—1.00%—5.00%7.00%10.00%24.00%24.00%13.00%4.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%
Faetano—————1.00%2.00%8.00%11.00%13.00%14.00%9.00%21.00%16.00%5.00%
Fiorentino—————2.00%3.00%5.00%6.00%15.00%15.00%15.00%13.00%9.00%17.00%
San Giovanni—————2.00%2.00%1.00%9.00%10.00%16.00%8.00%18.00%16.00%18.00%
Cailungo——————1.00%2.00%2.00%5.00%7.00%6.00%13.00%22.00%42.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level
Cailungo 100%
Cosmos 100%
Domagnano 100%
Faetano 100%
Fiorentino 100%
Folgore Falciano 100%
Juvenes Dogana 100%
La Fiorita 100%
Libertas 100%
Murata 100%
Pennarossa 100%
San Giovanni 100%
Tre Fiori 100%
Tre Penne 100%
Virtus 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2022-09-02 Virtus L 1-244.1 877 946 29.32% 22.85% 47.84%-0.54 -14.0 0
2022-09-02 @ Domagnano W 2-144.1 946 877 47.84% 22.85% 29.32%+0.54 +14.0 3
2022-09-03 Juvenes Dogana L 0-438.6 935 861 48.50% 22.83% 28.68%+0.25 -79.6 0
2022-09-03 @ Fiorentino W 4-038.6 861 935 28.68% 22.83% 48.50%-0.25 +79.6 3
2022-09-03 Murata W 4-144.8 825 902 28.24% 22.81% 48.95%-0.59 +51.8 3
2022-09-03 @ Cosmos L 1-444.8 902 825 48.95% 22.81% 28.24%+0.59 -51.8 0
2022-09-03 San Giovanni W 4-034.2 942 906 43.49% 22.95% 33.56%+0.04 +59.2 3
2022-09-03 @ Pennarossa L 0-434.2 906 942 33.56% 22.95% 43.49%-0.04 -59.2 0
2022-09-04 Cailungo W 2-034.0 992 880 53.24% 22.60% 24.16%+0.47 +23.9 3
2022-09-04 @ La Fiorita L 0-234.0 880 992 24.16% 22.60% 53.24%-0.47 -23.9 0
2022-09-04 Faetano W 4-035.2 956 944 40.20% 22.99% 36.81%-0.09 +63.6 3
2022-09-04 @ Tre Fiori L 0-435.2 944 956 36.81% 22.99% 40.20%+0.09 -63.6 0
2022-09-04 Folgore Falciano D 0-049.1 949 949 38.50% 22.99% 38.50%-0.16 +0.0 1
2022-09-04 @ Libertas D 0-049.1 949 949 38.50% 22.99% 38.50%+0.16 +0.0 1
2022-09-09 La Fiorita L 0-138.8 949 1016 29.49% 22.85% 47.65%-0.53 -14.9 1
2022-09-09 @ Folgore Falciano W 1-038.8 1016 949 47.65% 22.85% 29.49%+0.53 +14.9 6
2022-09-10 Domagnano D 1-153.4 941 863 49.00% 22.81% 28.19%+0.27 -2.1 4
2022-09-10 @ Juvenes Dogana D 1-153.4 863 941 28.19% 22.81% 49.00%-0.27 +2.1 1
2022-09-10 Libertas L 1-341.4 881 949 29.30% 22.85% 47.86%-0.54 -24.2 0
2022-09-10 @ Faetano W 3-141.4 949 881 47.86% 22.85% 29.30%+0.54 +24.2 4
2022-09-10 Tre Penne L 0-233.5 856 983 22.64% 22.50% 54.87%-0.86 -22.6 0
2022-09-10 @ Cailungo W 2-033.5 983 856 54.87% 22.50% 22.64%+0.86 +22.6 3
2022-09-11 Cosmos L 0-335.0 847 877 34.24% 22.96% 42.79%-0.33 -46.0 0
2022-09-11 @ San Giovanni W 3-035.0 877 847 42.79% 22.96% 34.24%+0.33 +46.0 6
2022-09-11 Pennarossa L 2-442.8 851 1001 20.36% 22.30% 57.34%-0.99 -16.0 0
2022-09-11 @ Murata W 4-242.8 1001 851 57.34% 22.30% 20.36%+0.99 +16.0 6
2022-09-11 Tre Fiori L 1-244.4 960 1020 30.31% 22.88% 46.81%-0.49 -14.4 3
2022-09-11 @ Virtus W 2-144.4 1020 960 46.81% 22.88% 30.31%+0.49 +14.4 6
2022-09-16 Cailungo D 2-259.5 1034 833 62.24% 21.77% 15.99%+0.96 -3.7 7
2022-09-16 @ Tre Fiori D 2-259.5 833 1034 15.99% 21.77% 62.24%-0.96 +3.7 1
2022-09-17 Faetano W 4-032.9 923 856 47.66% 22.85% 29.49%+0.22 +53.4 9
2022-09-17 @ Cosmos L 0-432.9 856 923 29.49% 22.85% 47.66%-0.22 -53.4 0
2022-09-17 Folgore Falciano W 4-032.3 1017 934 49.64% 22.78% 27.58%+0.30 +50.5 9
2022-09-17 @ Pennarossa L 0-432.3 934 1017 27.58% 22.78% 49.64%-0.30 -50.5 1
2022-09-17 Juvenes Dogana W 1-037.8 1031 939 50.83% 22.73% 26.44%+0.36 +13.6 9
2022-09-17 @ La Fiorita L 0-137.8 939 1031 26.44% 22.73% 50.83%-0.36 -13.6 4
2022-09-17 Virtus L 1-243.2 855 945 26.67% 22.74% 50.59%-0.66 -13.0 0
2022-09-17 @ Fiorentino W 2-143.2 945 855 50.59% 22.74% 26.67%+0.66 +13.0 6
2022-09-18 Domagnano W 2-033.1 1005 865 56.26% 22.39% 21.35%+0.62 +21.5 6
2022-09-18 @ Tre Penne L 0-233.1 865 1005 21.35% 22.39% 56.26%-0.62 -21.5 1
2022-09-18 Murata L 0-237.0 801 835 33.77% 22.96% 43.27%-0.35 -31.3 0
2022-09-18 @ San Giovanni W 2-037.0 835 801 43.27% 22.96% 33.77%+0.35 +31.3 3
2022-09-30 Murata L 0-240.8 925 866 46.63% 22.89% 30.48%+0.17 -40.5 4
2022-09-30 @ Juvenes Dogana W 2-040.8 866 925 30.48% 22.89% 46.63%-0.17 +40.5 6
2022-10-01 Cosmos W 2-035.6 1044 977 47.78% 22.85% 29.37%+0.22 +28.0 12
2022-10-01 @ La Fiorita L 0-235.6 977 1044 29.37% 22.85% 47.78%-0.22 -28.0 9
2022-10-01 Fiorentino D 1-153.3 844 842 38.79% 22.99% 38.22%-0.15 -0.1 2
2022-10-01 @ Domagnano D 1-153.3 842 844 38.22% 22.99% 38.79%+0.15 +0.1 1
2022-10-01 Libertas D 1-153.3 958 973 36.35% 22.99% 40.67%-0.24 +0.4 7
2022-10-01 @ Virtus D 1-153.3 973 958 40.67% 22.99% 36.35%+0.24 -0.4 5
2022-10-02 Folgore Falciano L 0-333.1 803 884 27.81% 22.79% 49.40%-0.61 -38.9 0
2022-10-02 @ Faetano W 3-033.1 884 803 49.40% 22.79% 27.81%+0.61 +38.9 4
2022-10-02 San Giovanni L 0-339.0 837 770 47.72% 22.85% 29.43%+0.22 -60.1 1
2022-10-02 @ Cailungo W 3-039.0 770 837 29.43% 22.85% 47.72%-0.22 +60.1 3
2022-10-02 Tre Fiori W 2-147.0 1027 1030 37.95% 22.99% 39.06%-0.18 +17.6 9
2022-10-02 @ Tre Penne L 1-247.0 1030 1027 39.06% 22.99% 37.95%+0.18 -17.6 7
2022-10-08 La Fiorita L 0-133.7 844 1072 14.01% 21.43% 64.56%-1.43 -7.8 2
2022-10-08 @ Domagnano W 1-033.7 1072 844 64.56% 21.43% 14.01%+1.43 +7.8 15
2022-10-08 Libertas L 1-248.5 1013 973 44.12% 22.94% 32.94%+0.07 -19.3 7
2022-10-08 @ Tre Fiori W 2-148.5 973 1013 32.94% 22.94% 44.12%-0.07 +19.4 8
2022-10-08 San Giovanni L 1-250.5 923 830 50.93% 22.72% 26.34%+0.36 -21.9 4
2022-10-08 @ Folgore Falciano W 2-150.5 830 923 26.34% 22.72% 50.93%-0.36 +21.9 6
2022-10-08 Tre Penne L 1-436.4 907 1044 21.56% 22.41% 56.03%-0.92 -26.5 6
2022-10-08 @ Murata W 4-136.4 1044 907 56.03% 22.41% 21.56%+0.92 +26.5 12
2022-10-09 Faetano L 2-547.7 842 764 49.06% 22.80% 28.13%+0.28 -44.9 1
2022-10-09 @ Fiorentino W 5-247.7 764 842 28.13% 22.80% 49.06%-0.28 +44.9 3
2022-10-09 Pennarossa W 1-046.0 949 1067 23.51% 22.56% 53.93%-0.82 +24.4 12
2022-10-09 @ Cosmos L 0-146.0 1067 949 53.93% 22.56% 23.51%+0.82 -24.5 9
2022-10-09 Virtus L 1-341.2 884 959 28.59% 22.82% 48.59%-0.57 -23.7 4
2022-10-09 @ Juvenes Dogana W 3-141.2 959 884 48.59% 22.82% 28.59%+0.57 +23.8 10
2022-10-14 Fiorentino W 4-352.9 851 797 46.03% 22.90% 31.07%+0.15 +13.6 9
2022-10-14 @ San Giovanni L 3-452.9 797 851 31.07% 22.90% 46.03%-0.15 -13.6 1
2022-10-14 La Fiorita W 2-042.2 982 1080 25.77% 22.70% 51.53%-0.70 +44.2 13
2022-10-14 @ Virtus L 0-242.2 1080 982 51.53% 22.70% 25.77%+0.70 -44.2 15
2022-10-15 Murata W 4-140.8 901 880 41.43% 22.98% 35.59%-0.04 +40.0 7
2022-10-15 @ Folgore Falciano L 1-440.8 880 901 35.59% 22.98% 41.43%+0.04 -40.0 6
2022-10-15 Tre Fiori L 0-143.5 1043 994 45.33% 22.92% 31.75%+0.12 -21.0 9
2022-10-15 @ Pennarossa W 1-043.5 994 1043 31.75% 22.92% 45.33%-0.12 +21.0 10
2022-10-16 Cosmos D 1-153.3 992 973 41.23% 22.98% 35.79%-0.05 -0.5 9
2022-10-16 @ Libertas D 1-153.3 973 992 35.79% 22.98% 41.23%+0.05 +0.5 13
2022-10-16 Domagnano D 0-049.1 777 836 30.42% 22.88% 46.69%-0.49 +1.8 2
2022-10-16 @ Cailungo D 0-049.1 836 777 46.69% 22.88% 30.42%+0.49 -1.8 3
2022-10-16 Juvenes Dogana D 2-259.5 1071 861 63.01% 21.66% 15.32%+1.01 -3.8 13
2022-10-16 @ Tre Penne D 2-259.5 861 1071 15.32% 21.66% 63.01%-1.01 +3.8 5
2022-10-21 Faetano L 0-239.7 840 809 42.87% 22.96% 34.16%+0.02 -37.8 6
2022-10-21 @ Murata W 2-039.7 809 840 34.16% 22.96% 42.87%-0.02 +37.8 6
2022-10-22 Cosmos L 0-234.1 865 974 24.53% 22.62% 52.84%-0.76 -24.2 5
2022-10-22 @ Juvenes Dogana W 2-034.1 974 865 52.84% 22.62% 24.53%+0.76 +24.1 16
2022-10-22 Folgore Falciano W 2-151.0 834 941 24.83% 22.64% 52.52%-0.75 +22.5 6
2022-10-22 @ Domagnano L 1-251.0 941 834 52.52% 22.64% 24.83%+0.75 -22.5 7
2022-10-22 Libertas W 3-259.1 784 992 15.46% 21.69% 62.86%-1.32 +25.3 4
2022-10-22 @ Fiorentino L 2-359.1 992 784 62.86% 21.69% 15.46%+1.32 -25.3 9
2022-10-22 Pennarossa W 2-154.5 779 1022 13.05% 21.23% 65.72%-1.51 +27.8 5
2022-10-22 @ Cailungo L 1-254.5 1022 779 65.72% 21.23% 13.05%+1.51 -27.8 9
2022-10-22 San Giovanni W 1-035.9 1015 865 57.29% 22.31% 20.40%+0.68 +10.9 13
2022-10-22 @ Tre Fiori L 0-135.9 865 1015 20.40% 22.31% 57.29%-0.68 -10.9 9
2022-10-22 Tre Penne L 0-140.2 1036 1067 34.18% 22.96% 42.86%-0.33 -16.8 15
2022-10-22 @ La Fiorita W 1-040.2 1067 1036 42.86% 22.96% 34.18%+0.33 +16.8 16
2022-11-04 Faetano L 0-238.7 854 847 39.53% 22.99% 37.48%-0.12 -35.4 9
2022-11-04 @ San Giovanni W 2-038.7 847 854 37.48% 22.99% 39.53%+0.12 +35.4 9
2022-11-05 Cailungo D 1-153.5 966 806 58.36% 22.21% 19.43%+0.73 -4.1 10
2022-11-05 @ Libertas D 1-153.5 806 966 19.43% 22.21% 58.36%-0.73 +4.1 6
2022-11-05 La Fiorita L 0-134.1 809 1019 15.29% 21.66% 63.05%-1.33 -8.5 4
2022-11-05 @ Fiorentino W 1-034.1 1019 809 63.05% 21.66% 15.29%+1.33 +8.5 18
2022-11-05 Tre Fiori L 0-133.8 802 1026 14.37% 21.50% 64.13%-1.40 -8.0 6
2022-11-05 @ Murata W 1-033.8 1026 802 64.13% 21.50% 14.37%+1.40 +8.0 16
2022-11-05 Tre Penne D 0-049.1 1027 1084 30.71% 22.89% 46.39%-0.48 +1.7 14
2022-11-05 @ Virtus D 0-049.1 1084 1027 46.39% 22.89% 30.71%+0.48 -1.7 17
2022-11-06 Domagnano D 2-259.3 994 857 55.97% 22.41% 21.62%+0.61 -2.7 10
2022-11-06 @ Pennarossa D 2-259.3 857 994 21.62% 22.41% 55.97%-0.61 +2.7 7
2022-11-06 Juvenes Dogana L 1-250.0 918 840 49.06% 22.80% 28.14%+0.28 -21.2 7
2022-11-06 @ Folgore Falciano W 2-150.0 840 918 28.14% 22.80% 49.06%-0.28 +21.2 8
2022-11-11 Cosmos L 1-241.6 860 998 21.49% 22.40% 56.10%-0.93 -10.8 7
2022-11-11 @ Domagnano W 2-141.6 998 860 56.10% 22.40% 21.49%+0.93 +10.8 19
2022-11-12 Fiorentino D 1-154.0 1082 800 68.51% 20.68% 10.81%+1.41 -6.4 18
2022-11-12 @ Tre Penne D 1-154.0 800 1082 10.81% 20.68% 68.51%-1.41 +6.4 5
2022-11-12 Folgore Falciano W 2-033.2 1033 897 55.91% 22.42% 21.67%+0.60 +21.7 19
2022-11-12 @ Tre Fiori L 0-233.2 897 1033 21.67% 22.42% 55.91%-0.60 -21.7 7
2022-11-12 San Giovanni L 1-248.6 862 819 44.50% 22.94% 32.57%+0.08 -19.5 8
2022-11-12 @ Juvenes Dogana W 2-148.6 819 862 32.57% 22.94% 44.50%-0.08 +19.5 12
2022-11-13 Libertas W 1-038.8 1028 962 47.47% 22.86% 29.67%+0.21 +15.0 21
2022-11-13 @ La Fiorita L 0-138.8 962 1028 29.67% 22.86% 47.47%-0.21 -15.0 10
2022-11-13 Pennarossa W 2-151.0 882 991 24.56% 22.63% 52.81%-0.76 +22.6 12
2022-11-13 @ Faetano L 1-251.0 991 882 52.81% 22.63% 24.56%+0.76 -22.6 10
2022-11-13 Virtus L 1-336.7 810 1028 14.76% 21.57% 63.68%-1.37 -13.4 6
2022-11-13 @ Cailungo W 3-136.7 1028 810 63.68% 21.57% 14.76%+1.37 +13.4 17
2022-11-25 Tre Penne L 0-136.5 947 1076 22.50% 22.49% 55.01%-0.87 -11.9 10
2022-11-25 @ Libertas W 1-036.5 1076 947 55.01% 22.49% 22.50%+0.87 +11.9 21
2022-11-26 Cailungo W 4-138.5 875 797 49.10% 22.80% 28.10%+0.28 +33.1 10
2022-11-26 @ Folgore Falciano L 1-438.5 797 875 28.10% 22.80% 49.10%-0.28 -33.1 6
2022-11-26 Domagnano W 2-139.6 1055 849 62.72% 21.71% 15.58%+0.99 +8.1 22
2022-11-26 @ Tre Fiori L 1-239.6 849 1055 15.58% 21.71% 62.72%-0.99 -8.1 7
2022-11-26 Fiorentino W 4-028.5 1009 807 62.30% 21.76% 15.94%+0.97 +31.4 22
2022-11-26 @ Cosmos L 0-428.5 807 1009 15.94% 21.76% 62.30%-0.97 -31.4 5
2022-11-26 La Fiorita L 1-243.8 969 1043 28.59% 22.82% 48.59%-0.57 -13.7 10
2022-11-26 @ Pennarossa W 2-143.8 1043 969 48.59% 22.82% 28.59%+0.57 +13.7 24
2022-11-27 Juvenes Dogana D 3-363.4 905 842 47.16% 22.87% 29.97%+0.19 -1.1 13
2022-11-27 @ Faetano D 3-363.4 842 905 29.97% 22.87% 47.16%-0.19 +1.1 9
2022-11-27 Virtus L 1-238.6 794 1042 12.79% 21.18% 66.04%-1.53 -6.7 6
2022-11-27 @ Murata W 2-138.6 1042 794 66.04% 21.18% 12.79%+1.53 +6.7 20
2022-12-03 Cosmos D 0-049.1 1048 1040 39.71% 22.99% 37.30%-0.11 -0.2 21
2022-12-03 @ Virtus D 0-049.1 1040 1048 37.30% 22.99% 39.71%+0.11 +0.2 23
2022-12-03 Faetano W 4-030.0 1056 904 57.59% 22.28% 20.13%+0.69 +38.7 27
2022-12-03 @ La Fiorita L 0-430.0 904 1056 20.13% 22.28% 57.59%-0.69 -38.7 13
2022-12-03 Libertas D 1-153.4 841 935 26.13% 22.71% 51.15%-0.69 +2.5 8
2022-12-03 @ Domagnano D 1-153.4 935 841 51.15% 22.71% 26.13%+0.69 -2.5 11
2022-12-03 Murata W 4-142.7 764 788 35.18% 22.98% 41.85%-0.29 +45.4 9
2022-12-03 @ Cailungo L 1-442.7 788 764 41.85% 22.98% 35.18%+0.29 -45.4 6
2022-12-04 Pennarossa W 3-148.5 843 955 24.24% 22.61% 53.15%-0.78 +39.4 12
2022-12-04 @ Juvenes Dogana L 1-348.5 955 843 53.15% 22.61% 24.24%+0.78 -39.4 10
2022-12-04 San Giovanni W 3-135.9 1087 838 66.19% 21.15% 12.66%+1.23 +11.6 24
2022-12-04 @ Tre Penne L 1-335.9 838 1087 12.66% 21.15% 66.19%-1.23 -11.6 12
2022-12-04 Tre Fiori L 0-327.2 775 1063 10.47% 20.58% 68.95%-1.76 -16.1 5
2022-12-04 @ Fiorentino W 3-027.2 1063 775 68.95% 20.58% 10.47%+1.76 +16.1 25
2022-12-09 Fiorentino D 1-153.5 915 759 57.98% 22.24% 19.77%+0.71 -4.0 11
2022-12-09 @ Pennarossa D 1-153.5 759 915 19.77% 22.24% 57.98%-0.71 +4.0 6
2022-12-10 Cailungo W 3-034.0 865 809 46.23% 22.90% 30.88%+0.15 +42.4 16
2022-12-10 @ Faetano L 0-334.0 809 865 30.88% 22.90% 46.23%-0.15 -42.4 9
2022-12-10 Domagnano D 1-153.3 827 843 36.16% 22.99% 40.86%-0.25 +0.5 13
2022-12-10 @ San Giovanni D 1-153.3 843 827 40.86% 22.99% 36.16%+0.25 -0.4 9
2022-12-10 Juvenes Dogana W 2-144.8 933 883 45.50% 22.91% 31.58%+0.12 +14.9 14
2022-12-10 @ Libertas L 1-244.8 883 933 31.58% 22.91% 45.50%-0.12 -14.9 12
2022-12-10 Tre Penne W 1-043.9 1040 1099 30.50% 22.89% 46.62%-0.48 +21.5 26
2022-12-10 @ Cosmos L 0-143.9 1099 1040 46.62% 22.89% 30.50%+0.48 -21.5 24
2022-12-11 La Fiorita L 1-236.5 742 1095 7.60% 19.49% 72.91%-2.12 -4.0 6
2022-12-11 @ Murata W 2-136.5 1095 742 72.91% 19.49% 7.60%+2.12 +4.0 30
2022-12-11 Virtus D 1-153.5 908 1048 21.35% 22.39% 56.26%-0.94 +3.6 11
2022-12-11 @ Folgore Falciano D 1-153.5 1048 908 56.26% 22.39% 21.35%+0.94 -3.6 22
2022-12-17 Faetano W 3-139.0 1044 908 55.95% 22.42% 21.63%+0.61 +18.8 25
2022-12-17 @ Virtus L 1-339.0 908 1044 21.63% 22.42% 55.95%-0.61 -18.8 16
2022-12-17 Folgore Falciano L 1-252.7 1077 912 58.91% 22.16% 18.93%+0.76 -25.0 24
2022-12-17 @ Tre Penne W 2-152.7 912 1077 18.93% 22.16% 58.91%-0.76 +25.0 14
2022-12-17 Pennarossa D 3-363.4 948 911 43.60% 22.95% 33.44%+0.05 -0.6 15
2022-12-17 @ Libertas D 3-363.4 911 948 33.44% 22.95% 43.60%-0.05 +0.6 12
2022-12-18 Cosmos D 0-049.8 767 1062 10.14% 20.47% 69.39%-1.80 +7.3 10
2022-12-18 @ Cailungo D 0-049.8 1062 767 69.39% 20.47% 10.14%+1.80 -7.3 27
2022-12-18 Murata W 1-040.4 763 738 42.05% 22.97% 34.97%-0.02 +17.1 9
2022-12-18 @ Fiorentino L 0-140.4 738 763 34.97% 22.97% 42.05%+0.02 -17.1 6
2022-12-18 San Giovanni D 2-259.8 1099 827 67.85% 20.82% 11.33%+1.36 -4.6 31
2022-12-18 @ La Fiorita D 2-259.8 827 1099 11.33% 20.82% 67.85%-1.36 +4.6 14
2022-12-18 Tre Fiori L 0-134.1 868 1079 15.19% 21.64% 63.17%-1.34 -8.4 12
2022-12-18 @ Juvenes Dogana W 1-034.1 1079 868 63.17% 21.64% 15.19%+1.34 +8.4 28
2023-01-07 Cosmos L 0-431.1 937 1054 23.64% 22.57% 53.79%-0.81 -44.4 14
2023-01-07 @ Folgore Falciano W 4-031.1 1054 937 53.79% 22.57% 23.64%+0.81 +44.4 30
2023-01-07 Fiorentino D 2-259.1 774 780 37.65% 22.99% 39.36%-0.19 +0.1 11
2023-01-07 @ Cailungo D 2-259.1 780 774 39.36% 22.99% 37.65%+0.19 -0.1 10
2023-01-07 La Fiorita D 1-153.3 1088 1094 37.56% 22.99% 39.44%-0.19 +0.2 29
2023-01-07 @ Tre Fiori D 1-153.3 1094 1088 39.44% 22.99% 37.56%+0.19 -0.2 32
2023-01-07 Virtus L 0-230.5 832 1063 13.80% 21.39% 64.81%-1.45 -14.5 14
2023-01-07 @ San Giovanni W 2-030.5 1063 832 64.81% 21.39% 13.80%+1.45 +14.5 28
2023-01-08 Domagnano L 1-443.6 889 843 44.94% 22.93% 32.14%+0.10 -48.1 16
2023-01-08 @ Faetano W 4-143.6 843 889 32.14% 22.93% 44.94%-0.10 +48.1 12
2023-01-08 Libertas L 2-344.4 721 947 14.18% 21.46% 64.36%-1.42 -7.0 6
2023-01-08 @ Murata W 3-244.4 947 721 64.36% 21.46% 14.18%+1.42 +7.0 18
2023-01-08 Tre Penne L 1-436.3 912 1052 21.28% 22.39% 56.33%-0.94 -26.2 12
2023-01-08 @ Pennarossa W 4-136.3 1052 912 56.33% 22.39% 21.28%+0.94 +26.2 27
2023-01-14 Cailungo L 0-241.8 859 774 49.93% 22.77% 27.30%+0.32 -43.0 12
2023-01-14 @ Juvenes Dogana W 2-041.8 774 859 27.30% 22.77% 49.93%-0.32 +43.0 14
2023-01-14 Folgore Falciano D 1-153.4 780 893 24.17% 22.60% 53.23%-0.78 +3.0 11
2023-01-14 @ Fiorentino D 1-153.4 893 780 53.23% 22.60% 24.17%+0.78 -3.0 15
2023-01-14 Pennarossa L 0-148.0 1078 886 61.42% 21.88% 16.71%+0.91 -27.7 28
2023-01-14 @ Virtus W 1-048.0 886 1078 16.71% 21.88% 61.42%-0.91 +27.6 15
2023-01-14 San Giovanni W 1-036.2 954 817 55.97% 22.42% 21.62%+0.61 +11.5 21
2023-01-14 @ Libertas L 0-136.2 817 954 21.62% 22.42% 55.97%-0.61 -11.5 14
2023-01-15 Faetano W 2-030.4 1079 841 65.31% 21.31% 13.38%+1.17 +14.1 30
2023-01-15 @ Tre Penne L 0-230.4 841 1079 13.38% 21.31% 65.31%-1.17 -14.1 16
2023-01-15 Murata D 2-259.4 891 714 60.00% 22.04% 17.95%+0.83 -3.3 13
2023-01-15 @ Domagnano D 2-259.4 714 891 17.95% 22.04% 60.00%-0.83 +3.3 7
2023-01-15 Tre Fiori D 1-153.3 1099 1088 40.04% 22.99% 36.97%-0.10 -0.3 31
2023-01-15 @ Cosmos D 1-153.3 1088 1099 36.97% 22.99% 40.04%+0.10 +0.3 30
2023-01-20 Cosmos L 2-341.4 717 1098 6.60% 18.98% 74.42%-2.28 -3.3 7
2023-01-20 @ Murata W 3-241.4 1098 717 74.42% 18.98% 6.60%+2.28 +3.3 34
2023-01-21 Domagnano W 5-238.6 1050 887 58.62% 22.18% 19.19%+0.75 +20.7 31
2023-01-21 @ Virtus L 2-538.6 887 1050 19.19% 22.18% 58.62%-0.75 -20.8 13
2023-01-21 Libertas L 2-349.1 890 966 28.35% 22.81% 48.83%-0.58 -12.9 15
2023-01-21 @ Folgore Falciano W 3-249.1 966 890 48.83% 22.81% 28.35%+0.58 +12.9 24
2023-01-21 Tre Fiori L 1-238.3 827 1088 11.92% 20.97% 67.11%-1.61 -6.3 16
2023-01-21 @ Faetano W 2-138.3 1088 827 67.11% 20.97% 11.92%+1.61 +6.3 33
2023-01-22 Fiorentino L 1-248.2 816 783 43.16% 22.96% 33.88%+0.03 -19.0 12
2023-01-22 @ Juvenes Dogana W 2-148.2 783 816 33.88% 22.96% 43.16%-0.03 +19.0 14
2023-01-22 Pennarossa D 1-153.4 806 913 24.67% 22.63% 52.69%-0.76 +2.9 15
2023-01-22 @ San Giovanni D 1-153.4 913 806 52.69% 22.63% 24.67%+0.76 -2.9 16
2023-01-28 Cailungo W 3-027.5 1093 818 68.08% 20.77% 11.15%+1.38 +17.2 33
2023-01-28 @ Tre Penne L 0-327.5 818 1093 11.15% 20.77% 68.08%-1.38 -17.1 14
2023-01-28 Juvenes Dogana L 1-347.0 867 797 48.00% 22.84% 29.15%+0.23 -36.0 13
2023-01-28 @ Domagnano W 3-147.0 797 867 29.15% 22.84% 48.00%-0.23 +36.0 15
2023-01-28 Murata L 2-358.9 911 714 61.84% 21.82% 16.34%+0.94 -24.9 16
2023-01-28 @ Pennarossa W 3-258.9 714 911 16.34% 21.82% 61.84%-0.94 +24.9 10
2023-01-28 San Giovanni W 4-026.4 1102 809 69.30% 20.49% 10.21%+1.48 +20.6 37
2023-01-28 @ Cosmos L 0-426.4 809 1102 10.21% 20.49% 69.30%-1.48 -20.5 15
2023-01-29 Faetano W 2-140.9 979 820 58.19% 22.23% 19.59%+0.72 +10.0 27
2023-01-29 @ Libertas L 1-240.9 820 979 19.59% 22.23% 58.19%-0.72 -10.0 16
2023-01-29 Folgore Falciano W 2-030.9 1094 877 63.65% 21.57% 14.77%+1.05 +15.4 35
2023-01-29 @ La Fiorita L 0-230.9 877 1094 14.77% 21.57% 63.65%-1.05 -15.4 15
2023-01-29 Virtus D 1-153.3 1095 1071 41.88% 22.98% 35.14%-0.02 -0.7 34
2023-01-29 @ Tre Fiori D 1-153.3 1071 1095 35.14% 22.98% 41.88%+0.02 +0.7 32
2023-02-03 Tre Fiori L 0-327.1 800 1094 10.19% 20.49% 69.33%-1.79 -15.7 14
2023-02-03 @ Cailungo W 3-027.1 1094 800 69.33% 20.49% 10.19%+1.79 +15.7 37
2023-02-04 Fiorentino D 1-153.9 1071 802 67.66% 20.86% 11.48%+1.34 -6.2 33
2023-02-04 @ Virtus D 1-153.9 802 1071 11.48% 20.86% 67.66%-1.34 +6.2 15
2023-02-04 Pennarossa W 2-147.9 861 886 35.06% 22.98% 41.97%-0.29 +18.6 18
2023-02-04 @ Folgore Falciano L 1-247.9 886 861 41.97% 22.98% 35.06%+0.29 -18.6 16
2023-02-04 Tre Penne L 1-237.9 831 1110 10.94% 20.71% 68.35%-1.71 -5.8 13
2023-02-04 @ Domagnano W 2-137.9 1110 831 68.35% 20.71% 10.94%+1.71 +5.8 36
2023-02-05 Cosmos L 0-228.8 810 1122 9.31% 20.19% 70.50%-1.89 -9.9 16
2023-02-05 @ Faetano W 2-028.8 1122 810 70.50% 20.19% 9.31%+1.89 +9.9 40
2023-02-05 La Fiorita L 0-132.6 833 1110 11.09% 20.75% 68.16%-1.70 -6.2 15
2023-02-05 @ Juvenes Dogana W 1-032.6 1110 833 68.16% 20.75% 11.09%+1.70 +6.2 38
2023-02-05 San Giovanni W 3-146.2 739 788 31.76% 22.92% 45.33%-0.43 +34.3 13
2023-02-05 @ Murata L 1-346.2 788 739 45.33% 22.92% 31.76%+0.43 -34.3 15
2023-02-08 La Fiorita L 0-131.5 785 1116 8.46% 19.87% 71.67%-2.00 -4.8 14
2023-02-08 @ Cailungo W 1-031.5 1116 785 71.67% 19.87% 8.46%+2.00 +4.8 41
2023-02-11 Cailungo D 1-153.3 754 780 34.82% 22.97% 42.21%-0.30 +0.7 16
2023-02-11 @ San Giovanni D 1-153.3 780 754 42.21% 22.97% 34.82%+0.30 -0.7 15
2023-02-11 Juvenes Dogana D 2-259.1 773 827 31.14% 22.90% 45.96%-0.46 +1.1 14
2023-02-11 @ Murata D 2-259.1 827 773 45.96% 22.90% 31.14%+0.46 -1.1 16
2023-02-11 La Fiorita D 1-153.4 1132 1121 40.16% 22.99% 36.85%-0.09 -0.3 41
2023-02-11 @ Cosmos D 1-153.4 1121 1132 36.85% 22.99% 40.16%+0.09 +0.3 42
2023-02-12 Domagnano D 0-049.1 808 825 36.15% 22.99% 40.87%-0.25 +0.5 16
2023-02-12 @ Fiorentino D 0-049.1 825 808 40.87% 22.99% 36.15%+0.25 -0.5 14
2023-02-12 Faetano D 0-049.1 880 800 49.25% 22.80% 27.95%+0.29 -2.4 19
2023-02-12 @ Folgore Falciano D 0-049.1 800 880 27.95% 22.80% 49.25%-0.29 +2.4 17
2023-02-12 Tre Penne L 1-246.7 1110 1116 37.64% 22.99% 39.36%-0.19 -17.1 37
2023-02-12 @ Tre Fiori W 2-146.7 1116 1110 39.36% 22.99% 37.64%+0.19 +17.1 39
2023-02-12 Virtus D 2-259.2 989 1065 28.27% 22.81% 48.92%-0.58 +1.5 28
2023-02-12 @ Libertas D 2-259.2 1065 989 48.92% 22.81% 28.27%+0.58 -1.5 34
2023-02-18 Cosmos L 0-427.0 867 1132 11.74% 20.93% 67.33%-1.63 -23.6 16
2023-02-18 @ Pennarossa W 4-027.0 1132 867 67.33% 20.93% 11.74%+1.63 +23.6 44
2023-02-18 Domagnano L 2-360.7 1121 824 69.52% 20.44% 10.04%+1.49 -27.9 42
2023-02-18 @ La Fiorita W 3-260.7 824 1121 10.04% 20.44% 69.52%-1.49 +27.9 17
2023-02-18 Fiorentino L 0-238.2 803 809 37.65% 22.99% 39.36%-0.19 -34.1 17
2023-02-18 @ Faetano W 2-038.2 809 803 39.36% 22.99% 37.65%+0.19 +34.1 19
2023-02-18 Folgore Falciano L 2-347.4 754 877 23.04% 22.53% 54.44%-0.84 -10.9 16
2023-02-18 @ San Giovanni W 3-247.4 877 754 54.44% 22.53% 23.04%+0.84 +10.9 22
2023-02-19 Juvenes Dogana W 1-033.5 1064 826 65.30% 21.31% 13.39%+1.17 +7.5 37
2023-02-19 @ Virtus L 0-133.5 826 1064 13.39% 21.31% 65.30%-1.17 -7.5 16
2023-02-19 Murata W 2-028.0 1133 774 73.21% 19.39% 7.39%+1.84 +7.8 42
2023-02-19 @ Tre Penne L 0-228.0 774 1133 7.39% 19.39% 73.21%-1.84 -7.8 14
2023-02-19 Tre Fiori D 0-049.2 990 1093 25.26% 22.67% 52.08%-0.73 +3.0 29
2023-02-19 @ Libertas D 0-049.2 1093 990 52.08% 22.67% 25.26%+0.73 -3.1 38
2023-02-25 Folgore Falciano L 0-233.7 766 888 23.16% 22.53% 54.30%-0.84 -23.0 14
2023-02-25 @ Murata W 2-033.7 888 766 54.30% 22.53% 23.16%+0.84 +23.0 25
2023-02-25 San Giovanni L 1-348.1 843 744 51.70% 22.69% 25.61%+0.40 -38.4 19
2023-02-25 @ Fiorentino W 3-148.1 744 843 25.61% 22.69% 51.70%-0.40 +38.4 19
2023-02-25 Tre Penne L 0-131.7 818 1141 8.85% 20.02% 71.13%-1.95 -5.0 16
2023-02-25 @ Juvenes Dogana W 1-031.7 1141 818 71.13% 20.02% 8.85%+1.95 +5.0 45
2023-02-25 Virtus L 0-142.5 1093 1071 41.61% 22.98% 35.41%-0.04 -19.6 42
2023-02-25 @ La Fiorita W 1-042.5 1071 1093 35.41% 22.98% 41.61%+0.04 +19.6 40
2023-02-26 Cailungo W 3-033.3 852 779 48.47% 22.83% 28.70%+0.25 +39.9 20
2023-02-26 @ Domagnano L 0-333.3 779 852 28.70% 22.83% 48.47%-0.25 -39.9 15
2023-02-26 Pennarossa W 2-030.2 1090 844 65.94% 21.20% 12.87%+1.21 +13.6 41
2023-02-26 @ Tre Fiori L 0-230.2 844 1090 12.87% 21.20% 65.94%-1.21 -13.6 16
2023-03-03 Fiorentino D 3-363.7 993 805 61.11% 21.91% 16.97%+0.89 -2.9 30
2023-03-03 @ Libertas D 3-363.7 805 993 16.97% 21.91% 61.11%-0.89 +2.9 20
2023-03-04 Juvenes Dogana W 4-025.6 1155 813 72.30% 19.68% 8.02%+1.75 +16.1 47
2023-03-04 @ Cosmos L 0-425.6 813 1155 8.02% 19.68% 72.30%-1.75 -16.1 16
2023-03-04 Murata L 2-545.7 769 743 42.08% 22.97% 34.94%-0.02 -39.5 17
2023-03-04 @ Faetano W 5-245.7 743 769 34.94% 22.97% 42.08%+0.02 +39.5 17
2023-03-04 Tre Fiori L 0-228.6 782 1103 8.89% 20.04% 71.07%-1.95 -9.4 19
2023-03-04 @ San Giovanni W 2-028.6 1103 782 71.07% 20.04% 8.89%+1.95 +9.4 44
2023-03-05 Cailungo W 3-032.7 830 739 50.67% 22.74% 26.59%+0.35 +37.5 19
2023-03-05 @ Pennarossa L 0-332.7 739 830 26.59% 22.74% 50.67%-0.35 -37.5 15
2023-03-05 Domagnano L 0-239.2 911 892 41.22% 22.98% 35.80%-0.05 -36.6 25
2023-03-05 @ Folgore Falciano W 2-039.2 892 911 35.80% 22.98% 41.22%+0.05 +36.6 23
2023-03-05 La Fiorita D 1-153.4 1146 1074 48.32% 22.83% 28.84%+0.24 -2.0 46
2023-03-05 @ Tre Penne D 1-153.4 1074 1146 28.84% 22.83% 48.32%-0.24 +1.9 43
2023-03-07 Murata L 0-150.5 1113 783 71.58% 19.90% 8.53%+1.68 -32.0 44
2023-03-07 @ Tre Fiori W 1-050.5 783 1113 8.53% 19.90% 71.58%-1.68 +32.0 20
2023-03-07 San Giovanni L 0-139.7 729 773 32.51% 22.94% 44.55%-0.40 -16.1 17
2023-03-07 @ Faetano W 1-039.7 773 729 44.55% 22.94% 32.51%+0.40 +16.1 22
2023-03-08 Fiorentino W 3-135.5 1075 807 67.57% 20.88% 11.55%+1.34 +10.6 46
2023-03-08 @ La Fiorita L 1-335.5 807 1075 11.55% 20.88% 67.57%-1.34 -10.6 20
2023-03-08 Folgore Falciano W 2-041.5 797 875 28.19% 22.81% 49.01%-0.59 +42.3 19
2023-03-08 @ Juvenes Dogana L 0-241.5 875 797 49.01% 22.81% 28.19%+0.59 -42.3 25
2023-03-08 Libertas L 1-237.7 702 990 10.45% 20.57% 68.99%-1.76 -5.5 15
2023-03-08 @ Cailungo W 2-137.7 990 702 68.99% 20.57% 10.45%+1.76 +5.5 33
2023-03-08 Pennarossa L 0-144.0 929 868 46.95% 22.88% 30.18%+0.18 -21.6 23
2023-03-08 @ Domagnano W 1-044.0 868 929 30.18% 22.88% 46.95%-0.18 +21.6 22
2023-03-08 Virtus W 2-144.7 1144 1091 45.83% 22.91% 31.26%+0.14 +14.7 49
2023-03-08 @ Tre Penne L 1-244.7 1091 1144 31.26% 22.91% 45.83%-0.14 -14.7 40
2023-03-11 Cailungo W 4-237.7 1076 696 74.35% 19.00% 6.65%+1.96 +5.4 43
2023-03-11 @ Virtus L 2-437.7 696 1076 6.65% 19.00% 74.35%-1.96 -5.4 15
2023-03-11 Domagnano W 2-029.8 1172 907 67.30% 20.93% 11.76%+1.32 +12.4 50
2023-03-11 @ Cosmos L 0-229.8 907 1172 11.76% 20.93% 67.30%-1.32 -12.4 23
2023-03-11 La Fiorita D 1-153.4 996 1086 26.65% 22.74% 50.61%-0.66 +2.4 34
2023-03-11 @ Libertas D 1-153.4 1086 996 50.61% 22.74% 26.65%+0.66 -2.4 47
2023-03-11 Tre Penne L 1-529.5 797 1158 7.28% 19.34% 73.38%-2.17 -12.2 20
2023-03-11 @ Fiorentino W 5-129.5 1158 797 73.38% 19.34% 7.28%+2.17 +12.2 52
2023-03-12 Faetano L 0-244.6 889 713 59.94% 22.05% 18.02%+0.82 -50.9 22
2023-03-12 @ Pennarossa W 2-044.6 713 889 18.02% 22.05% 59.94%-0.82 +50.9 20
2023-03-12 Juvenes Dogana L 0-139.4 789 840 31.50% 22.91% 45.58%-0.44 -15.7 22
2023-03-12 @ San Giovanni W 1-039.4 840 789 45.58% 22.91% 31.50%+0.44 +15.7 22
2023-03-12 Tre Fiori L 0-230.1 832 1081 12.73% 21.17% 66.10%-1.54 -13.4 25
2023-03-12 @ Folgore Falciano W 2-030.1 1081 832 66.10% 21.17% 12.73%+1.54 +13.4 47
2023-03-14 Libertas W 1-034.8 1184 998 60.86% 21.94% 17.19%+0.88 +9.4 53
2023-03-14 @ Cosmos L 0-134.8 998 1184 17.19% 21.94% 60.86%-0.88 -9.4 34
2023-03-17 Libertas W 4-029.1 1171 989 60.48% 21.99% 17.54%+0.86 +34.2 55
2023-03-17 @ Tre Penne L 0-429.1 989 1171 17.54% 21.99% 60.48%-0.86 -34.2 34
2023-03-18 Cosmos L 0-130.3 785 1193 5.76% 18.46% 75.79%-2.43 -3.2 20
2023-03-18 @ Fiorentino W 1-030.3 1193 785 75.79% 18.46% 5.76%+2.43 +3.2 56
2023-03-18 Faetano D 2-259.2 855 764 50.73% 22.73% 26.54%+0.35 -1.8 23
2023-03-18 @ Juvenes Dogana D 2-259.2 764 855 26.54% 22.73% 50.73%-0.35 +1.8 21
2023-03-18 Folgore Falciano L 2-443.5 691 819 22.49% 22.49% 55.02%-0.87 -17.4 15
2023-03-18 @ Cailungo W 4-243.5 819 691 55.02% 22.49% 22.49%+0.87 +17.4 28
2023-03-18 Pennarossa W 2-030.2 1084 838 65.89% 21.20% 12.90%+1.21 +13.6 50
2023-03-18 @ La Fiorita L 0-230.2 838 1084 12.90% 21.20% 65.89%-1.21 -13.6 22
2023-03-19 Murata W 5-027.3 1081 815 67.46% 20.90% 11.64%+1.33 +28.8 46
2023-03-19 @ Virtus L 0-527.3 815 1081 11.64% 20.90% 67.46%-1.33 -28.8 20
2023-03-19 Tre Fiori L 1-337.2 895 1094 16.14% 21.79% 62.07%-1.27 -14.5 23
2023-03-19 @ Domagnano W 3-137.2 1094 895 62.07% 21.79% 16.14%+1.27 +14.5 50
2023-04-01 Domagnano W 3-033.3 955 880 48.60% 22.82% 28.57%+0.26 +39.8 37
2023-04-01 @ Libertas L 0-333.3 880 955 28.57% 22.82% 48.60%-0.26 -39.8 23
2023-04-01 Juvenes Dogana L 1-440.4 825 854 34.45% 22.97% 42.59%-0.32 -39.0 22
2023-04-01 @ Pennarossa W 4-140.4 854 825 42.59% 22.97% 34.45%+0.32 +39.0 26
2023-04-01 Tre Penne L 2-340.7 773 1205 5.13% 18.01% 76.86%-2.56 -2.5 22
2023-04-01 @ San Giovanni W 3-240.7 1205 773 76.86% 18.01% 5.13%+2.56 +2.5 58
2023-04-01 Virtus D 1-153.5 1197 1110 50.12% 22.76% 27.11%+0.32 -2.3 57
2023-04-01 @ Cosmos D 1-153.5 1110 1197 27.11% 22.76% 50.12%-0.32 +2.3 47
2023-04-02 Cailungo W 2-142.4 786 673 53.28% 22.60% 24.12%+0.47 +11.9 23
2023-04-02 @ Murata L 1-242.4 673 786 24.12% 22.60% 53.28%-0.47 -11.9 15
2023-04-02 Fiorentino W 2-137.0 1108 781 71.42% 19.94% 8.64%+1.66 +4.6 53
2023-04-02 @ Tre Fiori L 1-237.0 781 1108 8.64% 19.94% 71.42%-1.66 -4.6 20
2023-04-02 La Fiorita L 0-326.4 766 1097 8.45% 19.87% 71.68%-2.00 -13.0 21
2023-04-02 @ Faetano W 3-026.4 1097 766 71.68% 19.87% 8.45%+2.00 +13.0 53
2023-04-05 Cosmos D 2-259.3 1207 1194 40.35% 22.99% 36.66%-0.08 -0.3 59
2023-04-05 @ Tre Penne D 2-259.3 1194 1207 36.66% 22.99% 40.35%+0.08 +0.3 58
2023-04-05 Libertas L 0-332.3 893 994 25.34% 22.67% 51.99%-0.72 -36.1 26
2023-04-05 @ Juvenes Dogana W 3-032.3 994 893 51.99% 22.67% 25.34%+0.72 +36.1 40
2023-04-05 San Giovanni W 3-033.4 841 770 48.08% 22.84% 29.08%+0.23 +40.4 26
2023-04-05 @ Domagnano L 0-333.4 770 841 29.08% 22.84% 48.08%-0.23 -40.4 22
2023-04-06 Faetano W 5-248.2 661 753 26.52% 22.73% 50.74%-0.67 +46.3 18
2023-04-06 @ Cailungo L 2-548.2 753 661 50.74% 22.73% 26.52%+0.67 -46.3 21
2023-04-06 Folgore Falciano W 2-029.5 1113 836 68.14% 20.76% 11.10%+1.38 +11.8 50
2023-04-06 @ Virtus L 0-229.5 836 1113 11.10% 20.76% 68.14%-1.38 -11.8 28
2023-04-06 Murata W 2-028.8 1110 798 70.52% 20.19% 9.30%+1.58 +9.9 56
2023-04-06 @ La Fiorita L 0-228.8 798 1110 9.30% 20.19% 70.52%-1.58 -9.9 23
2023-04-06 Pennarossa L 2-544.3 777 786 37.25% 22.99% 39.76%-0.21 -35.9 20
2023-04-06 @ Fiorentino W 5-244.3 786 777 39.76% 22.99% 37.25%+0.21 +35.9 25
2023-04-11 Fiorentino W 2-144.9 788 741 45.08% 22.92% 31.99%+0.11 +15.0 26
2023-04-11 @ Murata L 1-244.9 741 788 31.99% 22.92% 45.08%-0.11 -15.0 20
2023-04-11 Libertas L 0-730.0 822 1030 15.41% 21.68% 62.92%-1.32 -51.6 25
2023-04-11 @ Pennarossa W 7-030.0 1030 822 62.92% 21.68% 15.41%+1.32 +51.6 43
2023-04-12 Cailungo W 5-127.7 1195 708 79.20% 16.91% 3.89%+2.56 +6.3 61
2023-04-12 @ Cosmos L 1-527.7 708 1195 3.89% 16.91% 79.20%-2.56 -6.3 18
2023-04-12 Juvenes Dogana W 4-133.2 1113 856 66.74% 21.05% 12.22%+1.27 +15.8 56
2023-04-12 @ Tre Fiori L 1-433.2 856 1113 12.22% 21.05% 66.74%-1.27 -15.8 26
2023-04-12 La Fiorita D 1-154.6 730 1120 6.32% 18.81% 74.87%-2.33 +7.7 23
2023-04-12 @ San Giovanni D 1-154.6 1120 730 74.87% 18.81% 6.32%+2.33 -7.7 57
2023-04-12 Tre Penne L 0-424.9 825 1207 6.56% 18.95% 74.48%-2.29 -13.1 28
2023-04-12 @ Folgore Falciano W 4-024.9 1207 825 74.48% 18.95% 6.56%+2.29 +13.1 62
2023-04-12 Virtus D 2-260.5 707 1124 5.50% 18.28% 76.21%-2.48 +5.9 22
2023-04-12 @ Faetano D 2-260.5 1124 707 76.21% 18.28% 5.50%+2.48 -5.9 51
2023-04-15 Folgore Falciano W 5-025.1 1201 812 74.84% 18.82% 6.34%+2.01 +15.6 64
2023-04-15 @ Cosmos L 0-525.1 812 1201 6.34% 18.82% 74.84%-2.01 -15.6 28
2023-04-15 Murata D 0-049.7 1082 803 68.32% 20.72% 10.96%+1.40 -7.1 44
2023-04-15 @ Libertas D 0-049.7 803 1082 10.96% 20.72% 68.32%-1.40 +7.1 27
2023-04-15 Pennarossa W 2-026.7 1220 770 77.67% 17.65% 4.68%+2.35 +4.8 65
2023-04-15 @ Tre Penne L 0-226.7 770 1220 4.68% 17.65% 77.67%-2.35 -4.8 25
2023-04-15 San Giovanni W 2-027.6 1118 738 74.40% 18.99% 6.62%+1.96 +7.0 54
2023-04-15 @ Virtus L 0-227.6 738 1118 6.62% 18.99% 74.40%-1.96 -7.0 23
2023-04-16 Cailungo W 6-035.7 726 701 41.98% 22.97% 35.04%-0.02 +89.6 23
2023-04-16 @ Fiorentino L 0-635.7 701 726 35.04% 22.97% 41.98%+0.02 -89.6 18
2023-04-16 Faetano L 2-358.1 881 712 59.20% 22.13% 18.68%+0.78 -23.9 26
2023-04-16 @ Domagnano W 3-258.1 712 881 18.68% 22.13% 59.20%-0.78 +23.9 25
2023-04-16 Tre Fiori W 1-042.3 1112 1129 36.17% 22.99% 40.84%-0.25 +19.3 60
2023-04-16 @ La Fiorita L 0-142.3 1129 1112 40.84% 22.99% 36.17%+0.25 -19.3 56
2023-04-22 Fiorentino W 1-042.3 796 816 35.71% 22.98% 41.30%-0.27 +19.5 31
2023-04-22 @ Folgore Falciano L 0-142.3 816 796 41.30% 22.98% 35.71%+0.27 -19.5 23
2023-04-22 Libertas L 1-334.0 731 1075 7.94% 19.64% 72.42%-2.07 -7.3 23
2023-04-22 @ San Giovanni W 3-134.0 1075 731 72.42% 19.64% 7.94%+2.07 +7.3 47
2023-04-23 Cosmos L 0-234.3 1110 1216 24.77% 22.64% 52.59%-0.75 -24.4 56
2023-04-23 @ Tre Fiori W 2-034.3 1216 1110 52.59% 22.64% 24.77%+0.75 +24.3 67
2023-04-23 Domagnano W 5-141.9 810 857 32.06% 22.93% 45.01%-0.42 +62.2 30
2023-04-23 @ Murata L 1-541.9 857 810 45.01% 22.93% 32.06%+0.42 -62.2 26
2023-04-23 Juvenes Dogana L 1-631.2 612 841 13.99% 21.43% 64.59%-1.43 -28.4 18
2023-04-23 @ Cailungo W 6-131.2 841 612 64.59% 21.43% 13.99%+1.43 +28.4 29
2023-04-23 Tre Penne L 0-226.2 736 1225 3.86% 16.87% 79.27%-2.88 -3.9 25
2023-04-23 @ Faetano W 2-026.2 1225 736 79.27% 16.87% 3.86%+2.88 +3.9 68
2023-04-23 Virtus L 1-333.8 765 1125 7.33% 19.36% 73.32%-2.16 -6.7 25
2023-04-23 @ Pennarossa W 3-133.8 1125 765 73.32% 19.36% 7.33%+2.16 +6.7 57

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2023-04-26 Domagnano W 3-249.2 869 795 48.61% 22.82% 28.57%+0.26 +13.0 1-0
2023-04-26 @ Juvenes Dogana L 2-349.2 795 869 28.57% 22.82% 48.61%-0.26 -13.0 0-1
2023-04-26 Faetano L 0-146.6 873 732 56.30% 22.39% 21.31%+0.62 -25.4 0-1
2023-04-26 @ Murata W 1-046.6 732 873 21.31% 22.39% 56.30%-0.62 +25.4 1-0
2023-04-29 Folgore Falciano D 1-154.2 1132 815 70.80% 20.11% 9.09%+1.61 -6.9 0-0-1
2023-04-29 @ Virtus D 1-154.2 815 1132 9.09% 20.11% 70.80%-1.61 +6.9 0-0-1
2023-04-29 Libertas L 1-247.0 1085 1082 38.94% 22.99% 38.06%-0.14 -17.5 0-1
2023-04-29 @ Tre Fiori W 2-147.0 1082 1085 38.06% 22.99% 38.94%+0.14 +17.5 1-0
2023-04-30 Faetano W 4-129.5 1241 758 79.04% 16.99% 3.97%+2.53 +5.0 1-0
2023-04-30 @ Cosmos L 1-429.5 758 1241 3.97% 16.99% 79.04%-2.53 -5.0 1-1
2023-04-30 Juvenes Dogana W 2-030.1 1132 882 66.22% 21.14% 12.64%+1.23 +13.3 1-0
2023-04-30 @ La Fiorita L 0-230.1 882 1132 12.64% 21.14% 66.22%-1.23 -13.3 1-1
2023-05-03 Cosmos L 0-324.1 753 1246 3.78% 16.79% 79.43%-2.90 -5.6 1-2
2023-05-03 @ Faetano W 3-024.1 1246 753 79.43% 16.79% 3.78%+2.90 +5.6 2-0
2023-05-03 La Fiorita L 0-327.4 869 1145 11.09% 20.76% 68.15%-1.70 -17.1 1-2
2023-05-03 @ Juvenes Dogana W 3-027.4 1145 869 68.15% 20.76% 11.09%+1.70 +17.1 2-0
2023-05-03 Tre Fiori D 1-153.4 1100 1068 43.01% 22.96% 34.03%+0.02 -0.9 1-0-1
2023-05-03 @ Libertas D 1-153.4 1068 1100 34.03% 22.96% 43.01%-0.02 +0.9 0-1-1
2023-05-03 Virtus D 1-154.1 822 1125 9.72% 20.34% 69.94%-1.85 +6.7 0-0-2
2023-05-03 @ Folgore Falciano D 1-154.1 1125 822 69.94% 20.34% 9.72%+1.85 -6.7 0-0-2
2023-05-06 Libertas W 2-032.8 1251 1099 57.61% 22.28% 20.11%+0.69 +20.4 3-0
2023-05-06 @ Cosmos L 0-232.8 1099 1251 20.11% 22.28% 57.61%-0.69 -20.4 1-1-1
2023-05-07 La Fiorita D 0-049.2 1119 1162 32.48% 22.93% 44.59%-0.40 +1.3 0-0-3
2023-05-07 @ Virtus D 0-049.2 1162 1119 44.59% 22.93% 32.48%+0.40 -1.3 2-0-1
2023-05-13 Virtus W 2-145.2 1161 1120 44.23% 22.94% 32.83%+0.07 +15.3 3-0-1
2023-05-13 @ La Fiorita L 1-245.2 1120 1161 32.83% 22.94% 44.23%-0.07 -15.3 0-1-3
2023-05-14 Cosmos L 0-134.7 1078 1272 16.60% 21.86% 61.54%-1.23 -9.1 1-2-1
2023-05-14 @ Libertas W 1-034.7 1272 1078 61.54% 21.86% 16.60%+1.23 +9.1 4-0
2023-05-19 Virtus L 1-245.4 1069 1105 33.58% 22.95% 43.46%-0.35 -15.6 1-3-1
2023-05-19 @ Libertas W 2-145.4 1105 1069 43.46% 22.95% 33.58%+0.35 +15.6 1-1-3
2023-05-20 Cosmos L 1-243.0 1176 1281 25.01% 22.65% 52.33%-0.74 -12.3 3-1-1
2023-05-20 @ La Fiorita W 2-143.0 1281 1176 52.33% 22.65% 25.01%+0.74 +12.3 5-0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2023-03-07 8.53% Murata 783 1 @ Tre Fiori 1113 0
2 2023-02-18 10.04% Domagnano 824 3 @ La Fiorita 1121 2
3 2022-10-22 13.05% @ Cailungo 779 2 Pennarossa 1022 1
4 2022-10-22 15.46% @ Fiorentino 784 3 Libertas 992 2
5 2023-01-28 16.34% Murata 714 3 @ Pennarossa 911 2
6 2023-01-14 16.71% Pennarossa 886 1 @ Virtus 1078 0
7 2023-03-12 18.02% Faetano 713 2 @ Pennarossa 889 0
8 2023-04-16 18.68% Faetano 712 3 @ Domagnano 881 2
9 2022-12-17 18.93% Folgore Falciano 912 2 @ Tre Penne 1077 1
10 2023-04-26 * 21.31% Faetano 732 1 @ Murata 873 0
11 2022-10-09 23.51% @ Cosmos 949 1 Pennarossa 1067 0
12 2022-12-04 24.24% @ Juvenes Dogana 843 3 Pennarossa 955 1
13 2022-11-13 24.56% @ Faetano 882 2 Pennarossa 991 1
14 2022-10-22 24.83% @ Domagnano 834 2 Folgore Falciano 941 1
15 2023-02-25 25.61% San Giovanni 744 3 @ Fiorentino 843 1
16 2022-10-14 25.77% @ Virtus 982 2 La Fiorita 1080 0
17 2022-10-08 26.34% San Giovanni 830 2 @ Folgore Falciano 923 1
18 2023-04-06 26.52% @ Cailungo 661 5 Faetano 753 2
19 2023-01-14 27.30% Cailungo 774 2 @ Juvenes Dogana 859 0
20 2022-10-09 28.13% Faetano 764 5 @ Fiorentino 842 2
21 2022-11-06 28.14% Juvenes Dogana 840 2 @ Folgore Falciano 918 1
22 2023-03-08 28.19% @ Juvenes Dogana 797 2 Folgore Falciano 875 0
23 2022-09-03 28.24% @ Cosmos 825 4 Murata 902 1
24 2022-09-03 28.68% Juvenes Dogana 861 4 @ Fiorentino 935 0
25 2023-01-28 29.15% Juvenes Dogana 797 3 @ Domagnano 867 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-04-16 89.60 @ Fiorentino 6 726 41.98% Cailungo 0 701 35.04% 22.97%
2 2022-09-03 79.56 Juvenes Dogana 4 861 28.68% @ Fiorentino 0 935 48.50% 22.83%
3 2022-09-04 63.61 @ Tre Fiori 4 956 40.20% Faetano 0 944 36.81% 22.99%
4 2023-04-23 62.22 @ Murata 5 810 32.06% Domagnano 1 857 45.01% 22.93%
5 2022-10-02 60.06 San Giovanni 3 770 29.43% @ Cailungo 0 837 47.72% 22.85%
6 2022-09-03 59.17 @ Pennarossa 4 942 43.49% San Giovanni 0 906 33.56% 22.95%
7 2022-09-17 53.35 @ Cosmos 4 923 47.66% Faetano 0 856 29.49% 22.85%
8 2022-09-03 51.78 @ Cosmos 4 825 28.24% Murata 1 902 48.95% 22.81%
9 2023-04-11 51.58 Libertas 7 1030 62.92% @ Pennarossa 0 822 15.41% 21.68%
10 2023-03-12 50.93 Faetano 2 713 18.02% @ Pennarossa 0 889 59.94% 22.05%
11 2022-09-17 50.52 @ Pennarossa 4 1017 49.64% Folgore Falciano 0 934 27.58% 22.78%
12 2023-01-08 48.12 Domagnano 4 843 32.14% @ Faetano 1 889 44.94% 22.93%
13 2023-04-06 46.29 @ Cailungo 5 661 26.52% Faetano 2 753 50.74% 22.73%
14 2022-09-11 46.02 Cosmos 3 877 42.79% @ San Giovanni 0 847 34.24% 22.96%
15 2022-12-03 45.40 @ Cailungo 4 764 35.18% Murata 1 788 41.85% 22.98%
16 2022-10-09 44.93 Faetano 5 764 28.13% @ Fiorentino 2 842 49.06% 22.80%
17 2023-01-07 44.43 Cosmos 4 1054 53.79% @ Folgore Falciano 0 937 23.64% 22.57%
18 2022-10-14 44.24 @ Virtus 2 982 25.77% La Fiorita 0 1080 51.53% 22.70%
19 2023-01-14 43.02 Cailungo 2 774 27.30% @ Juvenes Dogana 0 859 49.93% 22.77%
20 2022-12-10 42.39 @ Faetano 3 865 46.23% Cailungo 0 809 30.88% 22.90%
21 2023-03-08 42.32 @ Juvenes Dogana 2 797 28.19% Folgore Falciano 0 875 49.01% 22.81%
22 2022-09-30 40.54 Murata 2 866 30.48% @ Juvenes Dogana 0 925 46.63% 22.89%
23 2023-04-05 40.38 @ Domagnano 3 841 48.08% San Giovanni 0 770 29.08% 22.84%
24 2022-10-15 40.00 @ Folgore Falciano 4 901 41.43% Murata 1 880 35.59% 22.98%
25 2023-02-26 39.95 @ Domagnano 3 852 48.47% Cailungo 0 779 28.70% 22.83%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-03-03 63.7 @ Libertas 3 993 61.11% Fiorentino 3 805 16.97% 21.91%
2 2022-11-27 63.4 @ Faetano 3 905 47.16% Juvenes Dogana 3 842 29.97% 22.87%
3 2022-12-17 63.4 @ Libertas 3 948 43.60% Pennarossa 3 911 33.44% 22.95%
4 2023-02-18 60.7 Domagnano 3 824 10.04% @ La Fiorita 2 1121 69.52% 20.44%
5 2023-04-12 60.5 @ Faetano 2 707 5.50% Virtus 2 1124 76.21% 18.28%
6 2022-12-18 59.8 @ La Fiorita 2 1099 67.85% San Giovanni 2 827 11.33% 20.82%
7 2022-09-16 59.5 @ Tre Fiori 2 1034 62.24% Cailungo 2 833 15.99% 21.77%
8 2022-10-16 59.5 @ Tre Penne 2 1071 63.01% Juvenes Dogana 2 861 15.32% 21.66%
9 2023-01-15 59.4 @ Domagnano 2 891 60.00% Murata 2 714 17.95% 22.04%
10 2022-11-06 59.3 @ Pennarossa 2 994 55.97% Domagnano 2 857 21.62% 22.41%
11 2023-04-05 59.3 @ Tre Penne 2 1207 40.35% Cosmos 2 1194 36.66% 22.99%
12 2023-02-12 59.2 @ Libertas 2 989 28.27% Virtus 2 1065 48.92% 22.81%
13 2023-03-18 59.2 @ Juvenes Dogana 2 855 50.73% Faetano 2 764 26.54% 22.73%
14 2022-10-22 59.1 @ Fiorentino 3 784 15.46% Libertas 2 992 62.86% 21.69%
15 2023-01-07 59.1 @ Cailungo 2 774 37.65% Fiorentino 2 780 39.36% 22.99%
16 2023-02-11 59.1 @ Murata 2 773 31.14% Juvenes Dogana 2 827 45.96% 22.90%
17 2023-01-28 58.9 Murata 3 714 16.34% @ Pennarossa 2 911 61.84% 21.82%
18 2023-04-16 58.1 Faetano 3 712 18.68% @ Domagnano 2 881 59.20% 22.13%
19 2023-04-12 54.6 @ San Giovanni 1 730 6.32% La Fiorita 1 1120 74.87% 18.81%
20 2022-10-22 54.5 @ Cailungo 2 779 13.05% Pennarossa 1 1022 65.72% 21.23%
21 2023-04-29 * 54.2 @ Virtus 1 1132 70.80% Folgore Falciano 1 815 9.09% 20.11%
22 2023-05-03 * 54.1 @ Folgore Falciano 1 822 9.72% Virtus 1 1125 69.94% 20.34%
23 2022-11-12 54.0 @ Tre Penne 1 1082 68.51% Fiorentino 1 800 10.81% 20.68%
24 2023-02-04 53.9 @ Virtus 1 1071 67.66% Fiorentino 1 802 11.48% 20.86%
25 2022-11-05 53.5 @ Libertas 1 966 58.36% Cailungo 1 806 19.43% 22.21%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-05-03 * 24.1 Cosmos 3 1246 79.43% @ Faetano 0 753 3.78% 16.79%
2 2023-04-12 24.9 Tre Penne 4 1207 74.48% @ Folgore Falciano 0 825 6.56% 18.95%
3 2023-04-15 25.1 @ Cosmos 5 1201 74.84% Folgore Falciano 0 812 6.34% 18.82%
4 2023-03-04 25.6 @ Cosmos 4 1155 72.30% Juvenes Dogana 0 813 8.02% 19.68%
5 2023-04-23 26.2 Tre Penne 2 1225 79.27% @ Faetano 0 736 3.86% 16.87%
6 2023-01-28 26.4 @ Cosmos 4 1102 69.30% San Giovanni 0 809 10.21% 20.49%
7 2023-04-02 26.4 La Fiorita 3 1097 71.68% @ Faetano 0 766 8.45% 19.87%
8 2023-04-15 26.7 @ Tre Penne 2 1220 77.67% Pennarossa 0 770 4.68% 17.65%
9 2023-02-18 27.0 Cosmos 4 1132 67.33% @ Pennarossa 0 867 11.74% 20.93%
10 2023-02-03 27.1 Tre Fiori 3 1094 69.33% @ Cailungo 0 800 10.19% 20.49%
11 2022-12-04 27.2 Tre Fiori 3 1063 68.95% @ Fiorentino 0 775 10.47% 20.58%
12 2023-03-19 27.3 @ Virtus 5 1081 67.46% Murata 0 815 11.64% 20.90%
13 2023-05-03 * 27.4 La Fiorita 3 1145 68.15% @ Juvenes Dogana 0 869 11.09% 20.76%
14 2023-01-28 27.5 @ Tre Penne 3 1093 68.08% Cailungo 0 818 11.15% 20.77%
15 2023-04-15 27.6 @ Virtus 2 1118 74.40% San Giovanni 0 738 6.62% 18.99%
16 2023-04-12 27.7 @ Cosmos 5 1195 79.20% Cailungo 1 708 3.89% 16.91%
17 2023-02-19 28.0 @ Tre Penne 2 1133 73.21% Murata 0 774 7.39% 19.39%
18 2022-11-26 28.5 @ Cosmos 4 1009 62.30% Fiorentino 0 807 15.94% 21.76%
19 2023-03-04 28.6 Tre Fiori 2 1103 71.07% @ San Giovanni 0 782 8.89% 20.04%
20 2023-02-05 28.8 Cosmos 2 1122 70.50% @ Faetano 0 810 9.31% 20.19%
21 2023-04-06 28.8 @ La Fiorita 2 1110 70.52% Murata 0 798 9.30% 20.19%
22 2023-03-17 29.1 @ Tre Penne 4 1171 60.48% Libertas 0 989 17.54% 21.99%
23 2023-03-11 29.5 Tre Penne 5 1158 73.38% @ Fiorentino 1 797 7.28% 19.34%
24 2023-04-06 29.5 @ Virtus 2 1113 68.14% Folgore Falciano 0 836 11.10% 20.76%
25 2023-04-30 * 29.5 @ Cosmos 4 1241 79.04% Faetano 1 758 3.97% 16.99%