1903-04 Division One Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Third Lanark

43 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Third Lanark

8.15 points above expected

43 points · 34.85 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Hibernian

9.16 points below expected

19 points · 28.16 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Third Lanark	26	20	3	3	43	61	26	+35	34.9	+8.15
2	Heart of Midlothian	26	18	3	5	39	63	35	+28	33.4	+5.64
3	Rangers	26	16	6	4	38	80	33	+47	36.4	+1.58
4	Celtic	26	18	2	6	38	69	28	+41	33.0	+5.02
5	Dundee	26	13	2	11	28	54	45	+9	31.9	-3.87
6	St. Mirren	26	11	5	10	27	45	38	+7	25.7	+1.30
7	Partick Thistle	26	10	7	9	27	43	40	+3	24.9	+2.05
8	Queen's Park	26	6	9	11	21	28	47	-19	22.6	-1.57
9	Port Glasgow Athletic	26	8	4	14	20	33	49	-16	23.1	-3.12
10	Hibernian	26	7	5	14	19	31	42	-11	28.2	-9.16
11	Greenock Morton	26	7	4	15	18	31	51	-20	18.6	-0.65
12	Airdrieonians (old)	26	7	4	15	18	32	62	-30	17.2	+0.77
13	Motherwell	26	6	3	17	15	26	61	-35	15.5	-0.48
14	Kilmarnock	26	4	5	17	13	26	65	-39	18.7	-5.66

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Rangers	1810	38	36.42	+1.58	69.7%	18	30	34	36	39	43	51
Third Lanark	1808	43	34.85	+8.15	99.0%	21	29	32	35	37	41	49
Celtic	1772	38	32.98	+5.02	92.4%	18	26	30	33	36	39	47
Heart of Midlothian	1764	39	33.36	+5.64	94.0%	18	27	31	33	36	40	48
St. Mirren	1620	27	25.70	+1.30	67.0%	11	19	23	26	28	32	40
Dundee	1596	28	31.87	-3.87	19.8%	16	25	29	32	35	38	45
Partick Thistle	1564	27	24.95	+2.05	73.4%	10	18	22	25	28	32	39
Hibernian	1513	19	28.16	-9.16	1.7%	13	21	25	28	31	35	42
Port Glasgow Athletic	1500	20	23.12	-3.12	25.6%	9	16	20	23	26	30	38
Queen's Park	1477	21	22.57	-1.57	40.0%	7	16	20	23	25	29	38
Greenock Morton	1417	18	18.65	-0.65	49.3%	5	12	16	19	21	25	33
Motherwell	1391	15	15.48	-0.48	51.0%	3	9	13	15	18	22	29
Airdrieonians (old)	1383	18	17.23	+0.77	63.6%	5	11	15	17	20	24	32
Kilmarnock	1316	13	18.66	-5.66	8.5%	5	13	16	19	21	25	33

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	A(	CEL	DUN	GM	HOM	HIB	KIL	MOT	PT	PGA	QP	RAN	SM	TL
Airdrieonians (old)	—	1-0-1 0.96	1-0-1 1.26	0-0-2 2.51	0-0-2 1.16	0-0-2 1.39	1-0-1 2.88	2-0-0 3.04	0-1-1 2.01	1-1-0 1.87	0-1-1 2.39	0-0-2 1.29	1-0-1 1.87	0-1-1 1.08
Celtic	1-0-1 4.73	—	1-0-1 3.19	2-0-0 4.47	1-0-1 2.83	2-0-0 2.48	2-0-0 4.58	2-0-0 4.79	2-0-0 3.69	2-0-0 4.24	1-0-1 3.78	0-2-0 2.43	2-0-0 3.36	0-0-2 2.81
Dundee	1-0-1 4.43	1-0-1 2.47	—	1-1-0 4.25	1-0-1 2.73	1-0-1 3.37	2-0-0 4.14	2-0-0 4.62	1-0-1 3.73	1-0-1 3.69	1-0-1 3.96	1-0-1 2.00	0-1-1 3.79	0-0-2 2.47
Greenock Morton	2-0-0 3.16	0-0-2 1.22	0-1-1 1.43	—	0-0-2 1.12	1-0-1 1.75	1-1-0 2.38	0-1-1 3.16	0-0-2 2.21	0-0-2 2.44	1-1-0 2.48	0-0-2 1.65	1-0-1 1.99	1-0-1 0.92
Heart of Midlothian	2-0-0 4.53	1-0-1 2.83	1-0-1 2.94	2-0-0 4.56	—	2-0-0 3.60	2-0-0 4.75	2-0-0 4.34	1-1-0 3.57	1-1-0 3.61	1-1-0 4.28	1-0-1 2.38	1-0-1 3.69	1-0-1 2.77
Hibernian	2-0-0 4.29	0-0-2 3.19	1-0-1 2.30	1-0-1 3.92	0-0-2 2.07	—	0-2-0 3.97	1-0-1 4.09	0-1-1 3.03	1-0-1 3.67	0-1-1 2.48	0-1-1 1.60	1-0-1 3.33	0-0-2 2.17
Kilmarnock	1-0-1 2.79	0-0-2 1.12	0-0-2 1.53	0-1-1 3.28	0-0-2 0.94	0-2-0 1.71	—	1-0-1 3.93	0-0-2 2.42	0-0-2 2.26	1-1-0 2.46	0-1-1 0.61	1-0-1 1.86	0-0-2 1.01
Motherwell	0-0-2 2.63	0-0-2 0.90	0-0-2 1.07	1-1-0 2.50	0-0-2 1.34	1-0-1 1.59	1-0-1 1.74	—	1-1-0 1.59	1-0-1 1.83	0-0-2 2.24	0-0-2 1.05	1-1-0 1.86	0-0-2 0.84
Partick Thistle	1-1-0 3.66	0-0-2 1.97	1-0-1 1.94	2-0-0 3.46	0-1-1 2.10	1-1-0 2.63	2-0-0 3.25	0-1-1 4.08	—	2-0-0 3.02	1-1-0 3.03	0-0-2 1.75	0-1-1 2.55	0-1-1 1.73
Port Glasgow Athletic	0-1-1 3.80	0-0-2 1.44	1-0-1 1.99	2-0-0 3.23	0-1-1 2.05	1-0-1 1.99	2-0-0 3.42	1-0-1 3.84	0-0-2 2.64	—	1-1-0 3.05	0-1-1 1.27	0-0-2 2.57	0-0-2 1.32
Queen's Park	1-1-0 3.28	1-0-1 1.89	1-0-1 1.72	0-1-1 3.18	0-1-1 1.40	1-1-0 3.19	0-1-1 3.21	2-0-0 3.43	0-1-1 2.63	0-1-1 2.62	—	0-0-2 1.42	0-1-1 2.19	0-1-1 1.61
Rangers	2-0-0 4.40	0-2-0 3.24	1-0-1 3.67	2-0-0 4.03	1-0-1 3.28	1-1-0 4.08	1-1-0 5.10	2-0-0 4.65	2-0-0 3.93	1-1-0 4.42	2-0-0 4.26	—	0-1-1 4.22	1-0-1 3.32
St. Mirren	1-0-1 3.81	0-0-2 2.31	1-1-0 1.88	1-0-1 3.68	1-0-1 1.98	1-0-1 2.34	1-0-1 3.82	0-1-1 3.81	1-1-0 3.11	2-0-0 3.09	1-1-0 3.47	1-1-0 1.46	—	0-0-2 1.59
Third Lanark	1-1-0 4.60	2-0-0 2.86	2-0-0 3.21	1-0-1 4.78	1-0-1 2.89	2-0-0 3.51	2-0-0 4.69	2-0-0 4.86	1-1-0 3.95	2-0-0 4.36	1-1-0 4.06	1-0-1 2.35	2-0-0 4.08	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	6.32%	4.40%	3.30%	2.20%	1.92%	21.98%
1	6.32%	7.69%	7.97%	5.22%	1.92%	2.75%	31.87%
2	4.40%	7.97%	5.49%	1.65%	1.65%	0.82%	21.98%
3	3.30%	5.22%	1.65%	—	1.10%	—	11.26%
4	2.20%	1.92%	1.65%	1.10%	—	0.27%	7.14%
5+	1.92%	2.75%	0.82%	—	0.27%	—	5.77%
Total	21.98%	31.87%	21.98%	11.26%	7.14%	5.77%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.71
Mean allowed	1.71
StdDev scored	1.53
StdDev allowed	1.53
Mean total goals/game	3.42
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.150
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	30.77%
1	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	30.77%
2	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	26.92%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.69%	26.92%	19.23%	23.08%	11.54%	11.54%	100%

Airdrieonians (old) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	2.38
StdDev scored	1.11
StdDev allowed	1.50
Mean total goals/game	3.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.249
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
1	11.54%	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
2	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
3	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
4	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
5+	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
Total	38.46%	30.77%	19.23%	7.69%	3.85%	—	100%

Celtic — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.65
Mean allowed	1.08
StdDev scored	1.81
StdDev allowed	1.13
Mean total goals/game	3.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.124
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
1	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	—	3.85%	7.69%	38.46%
2	—	7.69%	—	—	7.69%	—	15.38%
3	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
4	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	23.08%	38.46%	15.38%	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	100%

Dundee — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.08
Mean allowed	1.73
StdDev scored	1.74
StdDev allowed	1.76
Mean total goals/game	3.81
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.281
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	7.69%	30.77%
1	3.85%	11.54%	11.54%	7.69%	—	3.85%	38.46%
2	—	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	15.38%
3	—	11.54%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.69%	42.31%	23.08%	15.38%	—	11.54%	100%

Greenock Morton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.19
Mean allowed	1.96
StdDev scored	1.13
StdDev allowed	1.51
Mean total goals/game	3.15
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.183
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%
1	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	23.08%
2	7.69%	19.23%	3.85%	—	—	—	30.77%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
5+	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	23.08%	42.31%	23.08%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Heart of Midlothian — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.42
Mean allowed	1.35
StdDev scored	1.53
StdDev allowed	1.23
Mean total goals/game	3.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.464
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	11.54%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	34.62%
1	—	7.69%	3.85%	15.38%	—	—	26.92%
2	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	30.77%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	34.62%	26.92%	19.23%	3.85%	—	100%

Hibernian — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.19
Mean allowed	1.62
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	2.81
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.252
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	—	34.62%
1	—	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	30.77%
2	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	34.62%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.69%	23.08%	23.08%	19.23%	19.23%	7.69%	100%

Kilmarnock — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	2.50
StdDev scored	0.85
StdDev allowed	1.61
Mean total goals/game	3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.176
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	34.62%
1	11.54%	—	19.23%	3.85%	—	3.85%	38.46%
2	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	19.23%
3	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.92%	3.85%	30.77%	11.54%	11.54%	15.38%	100%

Motherwell — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	2.35
StdDev scored	0.94
StdDev allowed	2.00
Mean total goals/game	3.35
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.021
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	23.08%
1	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	26.92%
2	3.85%	7.69%	15.38%	—	—	—	26.92%
3	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	15.38%	42.31%	26.92%	3.85%	11.54%	—	100%

Partick Thistle — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.65
Mean allowed	1.54
StdDev scored	1.44
StdDev allowed	1.17
Mean total goals/game	3.19
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.429
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	30.77%
1	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	38.46%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.23%	38.46%	11.54%	15.38%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Port Glasgow Athletic — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	1.88
StdDev scored	1.28
StdDev allowed	1.86
Mean total goals/game	3.15
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.053
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	26.92%
1	11.54%	19.23%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	50.00%
2	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	15.38%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	26.92%	23.08%	19.23%	—	7.69%	100%

Queen's Park — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.08
Mean allowed	1.81
StdDev scored	0.98
StdDev allowed	1.79
Mean total goals/game	2.88
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.123
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
1	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
2	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
4	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	11.54%
5+	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
Total	26.92%	38.46%	23.08%	7.69%	—	3.85%	100%

Rangers — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.08
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	1.96
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	4.35
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.061
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	23.08%
1	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	34.62%
2	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
3	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
Total	30.77%	26.92%	23.08%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	100%

St. Mirren — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.73
Mean allowed	1.46
StdDev scored	1.59
StdDev allowed	1.42
Mean total goals/game	3.19
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.128
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
1	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	26.92%
2	11.54%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	—	30.77%
3	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	23.08%
4	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	42.31%	30.77%	19.23%	—	7.69%	—	100%

Third Lanark — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.35
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	1.57
StdDev allowed	1.17
Mean total goals/game	3.35
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.218
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Third Lanark	43	34.9	+8.15
2	Heart of Midlothian	39	33.4	+5.64
3	Celtic	38	33.0	+5.02
4	Partick Thistle	27	24.9	+2.05
5	Rangers	38	36.4	+1.58

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Hibernian	19	28.2	-9.16
2	Kilmarnock	13	18.7	-5.66
3	Dundee	28	31.9	-3.87
4	Port Glasgow Athletic	20	23.1	-3.12
5	Queen's Park	21	22.6	-1.57

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Motherwell	3	Oct 24 – Nov 14	1 in 38
2	St. Mirren	3	Jan 9 – Jan 30	1 in 28
3	Dundee	5	Nov 7 – Dec 5	1 in 23
4	Third Lanark	7	Oct 31 – Jan 4	1 in 20
5	Greenock Morton	3	Oct 31 – Nov 14	1 in 18

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kilmarnock	6	Oct 24 – Nov 28	1 in 214
2	Motherwell	7	Aug 15 – Sep 26	1 in 76
3	Hibernian	5	Dec 26 – Feb 20	1 in 48
4	Greenock Morton	6	Nov 21 – Dec 26	1 in 41
5	Dundee	3	Sep 26 – Oct 10	1 in 21

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Third Lanark	16	Aug 22 – Jan 4	1 in 355
2	Partick Thistle	5	Aug 22 – Sep 19	1 in 22
3	Motherwell	4	Oct 17 – Nov 14	1 in 13
4	Airdrieonians (old)	3	Sep 12 – Sep 26	1 in 9
5	Queen's Park	5	Jan 30 – Mar 19	1 in 8

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hibernian	9	Dec 19 – Apr 30	1 in 171
2	Port Glasgow Athletic	7	Oct 17 – Dec 5	1 in 38
3	Dundee	4	Dec 12 – Jan 9	1 in 34
4	Queen's Park	6	Nov 28 – Jan 2	1 in 33
5	Kilmarnock	10	Oct 24 – Dec 26	1 in 32

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Third Lanark	22.31%	24.93%	20.35%	15.25%	9.49%	4.73%	1.87%	0.71%	0.25%	0.10%	0.01%	—	—	—
Heart of Midlothian	13.25%	18.41%	19.58%	18.46%	14.52%	8.32%	4.39%	1.92%	0.71%	0.30%	0.09%	0.05%	—	—
Rangers	43.93%	22.74%	14.81%	9.16%	5.79%	2.23%	0.87%	0.34%	0.10%	0.02%	—	0.01%	—	—
Celtic	12.15%	17.98%	20.23%	18.71%	14.41%	8.76%	4.64%	2.00%	0.70%	0.32%	0.06%	0.04%	—	—
Dundee	6.77%	11.16%	15.43%	19.47%	20.12%	12.80%	7.24%	4.05%	1.73%	0.94%	0.18%	0.09%	0.01%	0.01%
St. Mirren	0.19%	1.01%	2.05%	4.54%	8.62%	15.39%	19.64%	17.33%	12.89%	8.80%	5.16%	2.70%	1.31%	0.37%
Partick Thistle	0.14%	0.68%	1.36%	3.16%	6.91%	13.16%	17.41%	18.82%	15.30%	10.90%	6.04%	3.61%	1.79%	0.72%
Queen's Park	0.05%	0.12%	0.36%	1.03%	2.40%	5.35%	9.63%	13.62%	18.00%	18.78%	13.87%	8.94%	5.50%	2.35%
Port Glasgow Athletic	0.08%	0.21%	0.44%	1.23%	2.89%	6.81%	10.96%	16.04%	18.89%	17.38%	11.53%	7.82%	4.07%	1.65%
Hibernian	1.13%	2.76%	5.36%	8.87%	14.12%	20.55%	17.89%	13.09%	8.59%	4.57%	1.81%	0.84%	0.36%	0.06%
Greenock Morton	—	—	0.01%	0.06%	0.37%	0.95%	2.42%	4.68%	8.40%	12.82%	20.08%	19.50%	17.72%	12.99%
Airdrieonians (old)	—	—	0.01%	—	0.13%	0.31%	0.97%	2.49%	4.42%	8.59%	14.45%	20.19%	25.57%	22.87%
Motherwell	—	—	—	—	0.01%	0.14%	0.43%	0.93%	2.08%	4.64%	8.98%	15.24%	23.85%	43.70%
Kilmarnock	—	—	0.01%	0.06%	0.22%	0.50%	1.64%	3.98%	7.94%	11.84%	17.74%	20.97%	19.82%	15.28%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level
Airdrieonians (old)	100%
Celtic	100%
Dundee	100%
Greenock Morton	100%
Heart of Midlothian	100%
Hibernian	100%
Kilmarnock	100%
Motherwell	100%
Partick Thistle	100%
Port Glasgow Athletic	100%
Queen's Park	100%
Rangers	100%
St. Mirren	100%
Third Lanark	100%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1903-08-15	Partick Thistle	W 2-1	1604	1528	68.2%	16.4%	15.4%	+5.2	3
1903-08-15	@ Celtic	L 1-2	1528	1604	15.4%	16.4%	68.2%	-5.2	0
1903-08-15	Greenock Morton	W 6-0	1663	1460	76.2%	15.7%	8.1%	+15.6	3
1903-08-15	@ Dundee	L 0-6	1460	1663	8.1%	15.7%	76.2%	-15.6	0
1903-08-15	St. Mirren	W 5-1	1673	1566	70.5%	16.3%	13.2%	+14.2	3
1903-08-15	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-5	1566	1673	13.2%	16.3%	70.5%	-14.2	0
1903-08-15	Queen's Park	W 2-1	1530	1532	61.0%	16.7%	22.3%	+7.3	3
1903-08-15	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	1532	1530	22.3%	16.7%	61.0%	-7.3	0
1903-08-15	Airdrieonians (old)	L 1-2	1425	1425	61.2%	16.7%	22.0%	-17.8	0
1903-08-15	@ Motherwell	W 2-1	1425	1425	22.0%	16.7%	61.2%	+17.8	3
1903-08-15	Hibernian	W 3-1	1517	1704	37.2%	16.8%	46.0%	+23.6	3
1903-08-15	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	L 1-3	1704	1517	46.0%	16.8%	37.2%	-23.6	0
1903-08-15	Third Lanark	W 4-3	1677	1626	66.1%	16.6%	17.3%	+5.4	3
1903-08-15	@ Rangers	L 3-4	1626	1677	17.3%	16.6%	66.1%	-5.4	0
1903-08-22	Rangers	L 1-3	1443	1683	30.4%	16.6%	53.0%	-16.6	3
1903-08-22	@ Airdrieonians (old)	W 3-1	1683	1443	53.0%	16.6%	30.4%	+16.6	6
1903-08-22	Queen's Park	W 3-0	1678	1525	73.5%	16.1%	10.4%	+10.4	6
1903-08-22	@ Dundee	L 0-3	1525	1678	10.4%	16.1%	73.5%	-10.4	0
1903-08-22	Kilmarnock	W 4-2	1444	1537	50.4%	16.9%	32.8%	+15.9	3
1903-08-22	@ Greenock Morton	L 2-4	1537	1444	32.8%	16.9%	50.4%	-15.9	3
1903-08-22	Motherwell	W 2-1	1681	1408	79.2%	15.2%	5.6%	+2.0	3
1903-08-22	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	1408	1681	5.6%	15.2%	79.2%	-1.9	0
1903-08-22	Port Glasgow Athletic	W 1-0	1523	1540	59.4%	16.8%	23.8%	+8.2	3
1903-08-22	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-1	1540	1523	23.8%	16.8%	59.4%	-8.2	3
1903-08-22	Celtic	L 0-1	1551	1609	54.7%	16.8%	28.5%	-16.9	0
1903-08-22	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	1609	1551	28.5%	16.8%	54.7%	+16.9	6
1903-08-22	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	1621	1687	53.7%	16.8%	29.4%	+9.3	3
1903-08-22	@ Third Lanark	L 1-2	1687	1621	29.4%	16.8%	53.7%	-9.3	3
1903-08-29	Hibernian	L 0-2	1427	1683	28.4%	16.6%	55.0%	-18.0	3
1903-08-29	@ Airdrieonians (old)	W 2-0	1683	1427	55.0%	16.6%	28.4%	+18.0	6
1903-08-29	Third Lanark	L 1-3	1626	1630	60.9%	16.7%	22.4%	-30.6	6
1903-08-29	@ Celtic	W 3-1	1630	1626	22.4%	16.7%	60.9%	+30.6	6
1903-08-29	Dundee	W 4-2	1678	1689	60.1%	16.7%	23.2%	+11.7	6
1903-08-29	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 2-4	1689	1678	23.2%	16.7%	60.1%	-11.7	6
1903-08-29	Partick Thistle	L 1-3	1521	1531	60.2%	16.7%	23.1%	-30.3	3
1903-08-29	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-1	1531	1521	23.1%	16.7%	60.2%	+30.3	6
1903-08-29	Queen's Park	L 2-4	1406	1514	48.2%	16.9%	34.9%	-22.0	0
1903-08-29	@ Motherwell	W 4-2	1514	1406	34.9%	16.9%	48.2%	+22.0	3
1903-08-29	Greenock Morton	W 2-0	1532	1460	67.8%	16.5%	15.7%	+10.6	6
1903-08-29	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	L 0-2	1460	1532	15.7%	16.5%	67.8%	-10.6	3
1903-08-29	St. Mirren	D 2-2	1699	1534	74.2%	16.0%	9.8%	-3.7	7
1903-08-29	@ Rangers	D 2-2	1534	1699	9.8%	16.0%	74.2%	+3.7	1
1903-09-05	Kilmarnock	W 4-0	1677	1491	75.3%	15.8%	8.8%	+11.6	9
1903-09-05	@ Dundee	L 0-4	1491	1677	8.8%	15.8%	75.3%	-11.6	3
1903-09-05	Airdrieonians (old)	W 3-1	1450	1409	65.2%	16.6%	18.2%	+10.5	6
1903-09-05	@ Greenock Morton	L 1-3	1409	1450	18.2%	16.6%	65.2%	-10.5	3
1903-09-05	Celtic	L 0-2	1701	1596	70.3%	16.3%	13.3%	-40.9	6
1903-09-05	@ Hibernian	W 2-0	1596	1701	13.3%	16.3%	70.3%	+40.9	9
1903-09-05	Rangers	L 2-5	1384	1696	22.2%	16.3%	61.4%	-15.4	0
1903-09-05	@ Motherwell	W 5-2	1696	1384	61.4%	16.3%	22.2%	+15.4	10
1903-09-05	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	1561	1689	45.6%	16.8%	37.5%	-0.6	7
1903-09-05	@ Partick Thistle	D 1-1	1689	1561	37.5%	16.8%	45.6%	+0.6	7
1903-09-05	Port Glasgow Athletic	W 5-1	1538	1543	60.8%	16.7%	22.5%	+23.3	4
1903-09-05	@ St. Mirren	L 1-5	1543	1538	22.5%	16.7%	60.8%	-23.3	6
1903-09-05	Queen's Park	D 0-0	1661	1536	71.7%	16.2%	12.1%	-5.1	7
1903-09-05	@ Third Lanark	D 0-0	1536	1661	12.1%	16.2%	71.7%	+5.1	4
1903-09-12	St. Mirren	W 3-1	1398	1561	40.6%	16.8%	42.6%	+22.1	6
1903-09-12	@ Airdrieonians (old)	L 1-3	1561	1398	42.6%	16.8%	40.6%	-22.1	4
1903-09-12	Port Glasgow Athletic	W 3-1	1689	1519	74.4%	16.0%	9.6%	+5.8	12
1903-09-12	@ Dundee	L 1-3	1519	1689	9.6%	16.0%	74.4%	-5.8	6
1903-09-12	Partick Thistle	L 1-3	1460	1561	49.3%	16.9%	33.9%	-25.1	6
1903-09-12	@ Greenock Morton	W 3-1	1561	1460	33.9%	16.9%	49.3%	+25.1	10
1903-09-12	Motherwell	W 5-0	1690	1368	80.9%	14.8%	4.3%	+7.0	10
1903-09-12	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-5	1368	1690	4.3%	14.8%	80.9%	-7.0	0
1903-09-12	Hibernian	D 0-0	1479	1660	38.2%	16.8%	45.1%	+0.5	4
1903-09-12	@ Kilmarnock	D 0-0	1660	1479	45.1%	16.8%	38.2%	-0.5	7
1903-09-19	St. Mirren	W 2-1	1659	1539	71.4%	16.2%	12.4%	+4.2	10
1903-09-19	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	1539	1659	12.4%	16.2%	71.4%	-4.2	4
1903-09-19	Greenock Morton	D 1-1	1480	1435	65.5%	16.6%	17.9%	-3.6	5
1903-09-19	@ Kilmarnock	D 1-1	1435	1480	17.9%	16.6%	65.5%	+3.6	7
1903-09-19	Dundee	L 1-3	1361	1695	20.2%	16.2%	63.6%	-11.5	0
1903-09-19	@ Motherwell	W 3-1	1695	1361	63.6%	16.2%	20.2%	+11.5	15
1903-09-19	Partick Thistle	L 1-2	1514	1586	53.0%	16.8%	30.2%	-15.5	6
1903-09-19	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	W 2-1	1586	1514	30.2%	16.8%	53.0%	+15.5	13
1903-09-19	Heart of Midlothian	W 5-1	1711	1697	62.7%	16.7%	20.6%	+21.6	13
1903-09-19	@ Rangers	L 1-5	1697	1711	20.6%	16.7%	62.7%	-21.6	10
1903-09-19	Airdrieonians (old)	D 1-1	1656	1420	77.7%	15.5%	6.8%	-5.5	8
1903-09-19	@ Third Lanark	D 1-1	1420	1656	6.8%	15.5%	77.7%	+5.5	7
1903-09-26	Motherwell	W 2-1	1426	1350	68.2%	16.4%	15.4%	+5.2	10
1903-09-26	@ Airdrieonians (old)	L 1-2	1350	1426	15.4%	16.4%	68.2%	-5.2	0
1903-09-26	Hibernian	W 1-0	1637	1663	58.4%	16.8%	24.9%	+8.5	12
1903-09-26	@ Celtic	L 0-1	1663	1637	24.9%	16.8%	58.4%	-8.5	10
1903-09-26	Port Glasgow Athletic	L 0-1	1439	1498	54.5%	16.8%	28.6%	-16.9	7
1903-09-26	@ Greenock Morton	W 1-0	1498	1439	28.6%	16.8%	54.5%	+16.9	9
1903-09-26	Kilmarnock	W 2-1	1675	1476	76.0%	15.8%	8.2%	+2.9	13
1903-09-26	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	1476	1675	8.2%	15.8%	76.0%	-2.9	5
1903-09-26	Queen's Park	W 5-0	1733	1541	75.6%	15.8%	8.6%	+13.9	16
1903-09-26	@ Rangers	L 0-5	1541	1733	8.6%	15.8%	75.6%	-13.9	4
1903-09-26	Dundee	W 2-0	1535	1706	39.5%	16.8%	43.7%	+26.1	7
1903-09-26	@ St. Mirren	L 0-2	1706	1535	43.7%	16.8%	39.5%	-26.1	15
1903-09-28	Rangers	L 1-4	1601	1747	43.2%	16.8%	40.0%	-31.6	13
1903-09-28	@ Partick Thistle	W 4-1	1747	1601	40.0%	16.8%	43.2%	+31.6	19
1903-09-28	Celtic	W 3-1	1650	1645	61.7%	16.7%	21.6%	+12.3	11
1903-09-28	@ Third Lanark	L 1-3	1645	1650	21.6%	16.7%	61.7%	-12.3	12
1903-10-03	Queen's Park	W 3-0	1633	1527	70.4%	16.3%	13.3%	+13.2	15
1903-10-03	@ Celtic	L 0-3	1527	1633	13.3%	16.3%	70.4%	-13.2	4
1903-10-03	Third Lanark	L 0-1	1680	1662	63.0%	16.7%	20.3%	-19.4	15
1903-10-03	@ Dundee	W 1-0	1662	1680	20.3%	16.7%	63.0%	+19.4	14
1903-10-03	St. Mirren	W 1-0	1422	1561	44.0%	16.8%	39.2%	+12.6	10
1903-10-03	@ Greenock Morton	L 0-1	1561	1422	39.2%	16.8%	44.0%	-12.6	7
1903-10-03	Airdrieonians (old)	W 4-0	1655	1431	77.2%	15.6%	7.2%	+9.6	13
1903-10-03	@ Hibernian	L 0-4	1431	1655	7.2%	15.6%	77.2%	-9.6	10
1903-10-03	Port Glasgow Athletic	L 0-4	1473	1515	56.6%	16.8%	26.6%	-62.6	5
1903-10-03	@ Kilmarnock	W 4-0	1515	1473	26.6%	16.8%	56.6%	+62.6	12
1903-10-03	Partick Thistle	W 2-0	1344	1570	32.2%	16.7%	51.1%	+29.9	3
1903-10-03	@ Motherwell	L 0-2	1570	1344	51.1%	16.7%	32.2%	-29.9	13
1903-10-10	Kilmarnock	L 1-2	1421	1411	62.3%	16.7%	21.0%	-18.1	10
1903-10-10	@ Airdrieonians (old)	W 2-1	1411	1421	21.0%	16.7%	62.3%	+18.1	8
1903-10-10	Dundee	W 4-2	1646	1661	59.7%	16.8%	23.5%	+11.9	18
1903-10-10	@ Celtic	L 2-4	1661	1646	23.5%	16.8%	59.7%	-11.9	15
1903-10-10	Hibernian	W 2-0	1678	1664	62.6%	16.7%	20.7%	+13.7	16
1903-10-10	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	1664	1678	20.7%	16.7%	62.6%	-13.7	13
1903-10-10	Greenock Morton	W 2-1	1540	1434	70.4%	16.3%	13.3%	+4.5	16
1903-10-10	@ Partick Thistle	L 1-2	1434	1540	13.3%	16.3%	70.4%	-4.5	10
1903-10-10	Motherwell	W 4-3	1578	1374	76.2%	15.7%	8.1%	+2.6	15
1903-10-10	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	L 3-4	1374	1578	8.1%	15.7%	76.2%	-2.6	3
1903-10-10	Queen's Park	W 3-1	1549	1514	64.6%	16.6%	18.8%	+10.8	10
1903-10-10	@ St. Mirren	L 1-3	1514	1549	18.8%	16.6%	64.6%	-10.9	4
1903-10-10	Rangers	W 1-0	1682	1778	49.9%	16.9%	33.3%	+11.0	17
1903-10-10	@ Third Lanark	L 0-1	1778	1682	33.3%	16.9%	49.9%	-11.0	19
1903-10-17	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	1649	1692	56.5%	16.8%	26.7%	+8.6	18
1903-10-17	@ Dundee	L 1-2	1692	1649	26.7%	16.8%	56.5%	-8.6	16
1903-10-17	Third Lanark	L 0-2	1651	1693	56.6%	16.8%	26.6%	-33.0	13
1903-10-17	@ Hibernian	W 2-0	1693	1651	26.6%	16.8%	56.6%	+33.0	20
1903-10-17	St. Mirren	W 2-0	1429	1559	45.2%	16.8%	37.9%	+23.2	11
1903-10-17	@ Kilmarnock	L 0-2	1559	1429	37.9%	16.8%	45.2%	-23.2	10
1903-10-17	Greenock Morton	D 0-0	1372	1430	54.7%	16.8%	28.4%	-2.1	4
1903-10-17	@ Motherwell	D 0-0	1430	1372	28.4%	16.8%	54.7%	+2.1	11
1903-10-17	Airdrieonians (old)	D 2-2	1580	1403	74.8%	15.9%	9.2%	-3.8	16
1903-10-17	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	D 2-2	1403	1580	9.2%	15.9%	74.8%	+3.8	11
1903-10-17	Partick Thistle	D 1-1	1503	1544	56.7%	16.8%	26.5%	-2.2	5
1903-10-17	@ Queen's Park	D 1-1	1544	1503	26.5%	16.8%	56.7%	+2.2	17
1903-10-17	Celtic	D 0-0	1767	1658	70.7%	16.3%	13.1%	-4.9	20
1903-10-17	@ Rangers	D 0-0	1658	1767	13.1%	16.3%	70.7%	+4.9	19
1903-10-24	Queen's Park	L 0-1	1407	1501	50.2%	16.9%	33.0%	-15.6	11
1903-10-24	@ Airdrieonians (old)	W 1-0	1501	1407	33.0%	16.9%	50.2%	+15.6	8
1903-10-24	Heart of Midlothian	W 4-0	1663	1683	59.1%	16.8%	24.2%	+29.8	22
1903-10-24	@ Celtic	L 0-4	1683	1663	24.2%	16.8%	59.1%	-29.8	16
1903-10-24	St. Mirren	D 1-1	1657	1536	71.5%	16.2%	12.3%	-4.5	19
1903-10-24	@ Dundee	D 1-1	1536	1657	12.3%	16.2%	71.5%	+4.5	11
1903-10-24	Rangers	L 1-3	1432	1762	20.5%	16.2%	63.3%	-11.6	11
1903-10-24	@ Greenock Morton	W 3-1	1762	1432	63.3%	16.2%	20.5%	+11.6	23
1903-10-24	Port Glasgow Athletic	W 4-1	1618	1576	65.2%	16.6%	18.2%	+14.9	16
1903-10-24	@ Hibernian	L 1-4	1576	1618	18.2%	16.6%	65.2%	-14.9	16
1903-10-24	Motherwell	L 0-2	1452	1370	68.7%	16.4%	14.9%	-39.9	11
1903-10-24	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-0	1370	1452	14.9%	16.4%	68.7%	+39.9	7
1903-10-24	Third Lanark	D 2-2	1547	1726	38.4%	16.8%	44.9%	+0.3	18
1903-10-24	@ Partick Thistle	D 2-2	1726	1547	44.9%	16.8%	38.4%	-0.3	21
1903-10-31	Hibernian	W 3-1	1420	1633	33.9%	16.7%	49.4%	+25.1	14
1903-10-31	@ Greenock Morton	L 1-3	1633	1420	49.4%	16.7%	33.9%	-25.1	16
1903-10-31	Partick Thistle	W 4-1	1653	1547	70.5%	16.3%	13.2%	+11.1	19
1903-10-31	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-4	1547	1653	13.2%	16.3%	70.5%	-11.1	18
1903-10-31	Third Lanark	L 1-2	1412	1725	22.1%	16.3%	61.6%	-7.2	11
1903-10-31	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-1	1725	1412	61.6%	16.3%	22.1%	+7.2	24
1903-10-31	Port Glasgow Athletic	W 1-0	1410	1562	42.2%	16.8%	40.9%	+13.1	10
1903-10-31	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	1562	1410	40.9%	16.8%	42.2%	-13.1	16
1903-10-31	Celtic	W 1-0	1517	1693	38.8%	16.8%	44.4%	+14.0	11
1903-10-31	@ Queen's Park	L 0-1	1693	1517	44.4%	16.8%	38.8%	-14.0	22
1903-10-31	Dundee	W 6-1	1774	1653	71.5%	16.2%	12.3%	+16.3	26
1903-10-31	@ Rangers	L 1-6	1653	1774	12.3%	16.2%	71.5%	-16.3	19
1903-10-31	Airdrieonians (old)	W 5-2	1541	1391	73.3%	16.1%	10.7%	+7.8	14
1903-10-31	@ St. Mirren	L 2-5	1391	1541	10.7%	16.1%	73.3%	-7.8	11
1903-11-07	Greenock Morton	L 1-3	1384	1445	54.3%	16.8%	28.9%	-27.4	11
1903-11-07	@ Airdrieonians (old)	W 3-1	1445	1384	28.9%	16.8%	54.3%	+27.4	17
1903-11-07	Dundee	L 0-1	1405	1636	31.4%	16.7%	52.0%	-10.4	11
1903-11-07	@ Kilmarnock	W 1-0	1636	1405	52.0%	16.7%	31.4%	+10.4	22
1903-11-07	Rangers	L 2-3	1531	1790	28.0%	16.6%	55.5%	-8.5	11
1903-11-07	@ Queen's Park	W 3-2	1790	1531	55.5%	16.6%	28.0%	+8.5	29
1903-11-07	Hibernian	W 3-0	1549	1608	54.6%	16.8%	28.6%	+26.4	17
1903-11-07	@ St. Mirren	L 0-3	1608	1549	28.6%	16.8%	54.6%	-26.4	16
1903-11-14	Airdrieonians (old)	W 4-3	1647	1356	79.9%	15.0%	5.1%	+1.6	25
1903-11-14	@ Dundee	L 3-4	1356	1647	5.1%	15.0%	79.9%	-1.6	11
1903-11-14	Queen's Park	W 2-1	1473	1522	55.7%	16.8%	27.5%	+8.8	20
1903-11-14	@ Greenock Morton	L 1-2	1522	1473	27.5%	16.8%	55.7%	-8.8	11
1903-11-14	Port Glasgow Athletic	W 2-0	1665	1548	71.1%	16.3%	12.6%	+8.6	22
1903-11-14	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	1548	1665	12.6%	16.3%	71.1%	-8.6	16
1903-11-14	Celtic	L 1-6	1394	1679	25.2%	16.4%	58.4%	-31.4	11
1903-11-14	@ Kilmarnock	W 6-1	1679	1394	58.4%	16.4%	25.2%	+31.4	25
1903-11-14	St. Mirren	W 1-0	1423	1575	42.2%	16.8%	41.0%	+13.1	13
1903-11-14	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	1575	1423	41.0%	16.8%	42.2%	-13.1	17
1903-11-14	Hibernian	D 1-1	1799	1581	76.9%	15.6%	7.5%	-5.4	30
1903-11-14	@ Rangers	D 1-1	1581	1799	7.5%	15.6%	76.9%	+5.4	17
1903-11-14	Partick Thistle	W 1-0	1733	1536	75.9%	15.8%	8.4%	+3.1	27
1903-11-14	@ Third Lanark	L 0-1	1536	1733	8.4%	15.8%	75.9%	-3.1	18
1903-11-21	Rangers	W 3-1	1648	1793	43.2%	16.8%	39.9%	+21.0	28
1903-11-21	@ Dundee	L 1-3	1793	1648	39.9%	16.8%	43.2%	-21.0	30
1903-11-21	Greenock Morton	W 2-0	1586	1482	70.3%	16.3%	13.3%	+9.1	20
1903-11-21	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	1482	1586	13.3%	16.3%	70.3%	-9.1	20
1903-11-21	Kilmarnock	W 4-0	1533	1363	74.5%	16.0%	9.6%	+12.6	21
1903-11-21	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-4	1363	1533	9.6%	16.0%	74.5%	-12.6	11
1903-11-21	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	1540	1673	44.8%	16.8%	38.3%	-0.5	17
1903-11-21	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	D 1-1	1673	1540	38.3%	16.8%	44.8%	+0.4	23
1903-11-21	Motherwell	W 1-0	1514	1436	68.3%	16.4%	15.2%	+5.5	14
1903-11-21	@ Queen's Park	L 0-1	1436	1514	15.2%	16.4%	68.3%	-5.5	13
1903-11-28	Rangers	L 0-5	1472	1772	23.5%	16.4%	60.1%	-35.6	20
1903-11-28	@ Greenock Morton	W 5-0	1772	1472	60.1%	16.4%	23.5%	+35.6	33
1903-11-28	Dundee	L 0-1	1596	1669	52.8%	16.8%	30.4%	-16.4	20
1903-11-28	@ Hibernian	W 1-0	1669	1596	30.4%	16.8%	52.8%	+16.4	31
1903-11-28	Airdrieonians (old)	L 0-2	1350	1355	60.8%	16.7%	22.5%	-35.3	11
1903-11-28	@ Kilmarnock	W 2-0	1355	1350	22.5%	16.7%	60.8%	+35.3	14
1903-11-28	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-4	1430	1674	29.9%	16.6%	53.4%	-35.8	13
1903-11-28	@ Motherwell	W 4-0	1674	1430	53.4%	16.6%	29.9%	+35.8	26
1903-11-28	Port Glasgow Athletic	D 0-0	1519	1539	59.1%	16.8%	24.1%	-2.8	15
1903-11-28	@ Queen's Park	D 0-0	1539	1519	24.1%	16.8%	59.1%	+2.9	18
1903-11-28	Partick Thistle	W 1-0	1562	1545	62.9%	16.7%	20.4%	+7.2	20
1903-11-28	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	1545	1562	20.4%	16.7%	62.9%	-7.2	21
1903-12-05	Port Glasgow Athletic	W 1-0	1390	1542	42.2%	16.8%	41.0%	+13.1	17
1903-12-05	@ Airdrieonians (old)	L 0-1	1542	1390	41.0%	16.8%	42.2%	-13.1	18
1903-12-05	Motherwell	W 7-1	1686	1395	79.9%	15.0%	5.1%	+8.1	34
1903-12-05	@ Dundee	L 1-7	1395	1686	5.1%	15.0%	79.9%	-8.1	13
1903-12-05	Celtic	L 0-1	1437	1710	26.4%	16.5%	57.1%	-9.0	20
1903-12-05	@ Greenock Morton	W 1-0	1710	1437	57.1%	16.5%	26.4%	+9.0	28
1903-12-05	Rangers	D 2-2	1315	1808	9.3%	15.1%	75.6%	+3.8	12
1903-12-05	@ Kilmarnock	D 2-2	1808	1315	75.6%	15.1%	9.3%	-3.8	34
1903-12-05	Queen's Park	W 2-0	1538	1516	63.4%	16.7%	19.9%	+13.2	24
1903-12-05	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-2	1516	1538	19.9%	16.7%	63.4%	-13.2	15
1903-12-05	St. Mirren	W 4-2	1736	1569	74.3%	16.0%	9.8%	+5.2	30
1903-12-05	@ Third Lanark	L 2-4	1569	1736	9.8%	16.0%	74.3%	-5.2	20
1903-12-12	Airdrieonians (old)	W 3-0	1719	1403	80.7%	14.8%	4.5%	+4.5	31
1903-12-12	@ Celtic	L 0-3	1403	1719	4.5%	14.8%	80.7%	-4.5	17
1903-12-12	Hibernian	L 1-2	1694	1579	71.0%	16.3%	12.7%	-20.7	34
1903-12-12	@ Dundee	W 2-1	1579	1694	12.7%	16.3%	71.0%	+20.7	23
1903-12-12	Kilmarnock	W 4-1	1529	1319	76.5%	15.7%	7.8%	+6.6	21
1903-12-12	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	L 1-4	1319	1529	7.8%	15.7%	76.5%	-6.6	12
1903-12-12	Third Lanark	L 2-8	1503	1741	30.6%	16.6%	52.8%	-36.5	15
1903-12-12	@ Queen's Park	W 8-2	1741	1503	52.8%	16.6%	30.6%	+36.5	33
1903-12-12	Motherwell	W 3-0	1804	1386	83.6%	13.8%	2.6%	+2.6	37
1903-12-12	@ Rangers	L 0-3	1386	1804	2.6%	13.8%	83.6%	-2.6	13
1903-12-12	Greenock Morton	W 3-2	1564	1428	72.4%	16.2%	11.4%	+3.7	23
1903-12-12	@ St. Mirren	L 2-3	1428	1564	11.4%	16.2%	72.4%	-3.7	20
1903-12-19	Dundee	W 2-1	1398	1673	26.2%	16.5%	57.3%	+16.6	20
1903-12-19	@ Airdrieonians (old)	L 1-2	1673	1398	57.3%	16.5%	26.2%	-16.6	34
1903-12-19	Greenock Morton	W 1-0	1709	1424	79.7%	15.1%	5.3%	+1.9	29
1903-12-19	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	1424	1709	5.3%	15.1%	79.7%	-1.9	20
1903-12-19	Third Lanark	L 0-2	1384	1777	15.2%	15.8%	69.0%	-10.2	13
1903-12-19	@ Motherwell	W 2-0	1777	1384	69.0%	15.8%	15.2%	+10.2	36
1903-12-19	Celtic	L 0-4	1551	1724	39.4%	16.8%	43.9%	-45.3	24
1903-12-19	@ Partick Thistle	W 4-0	1724	1551	43.9%	16.8%	39.4%	+45.3	34
1903-12-19	Rangers	D 1-1	1536	1807	26.7%	16.5%	56.8%	+2.2	22
1903-12-19	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	D 1-1	1807	1536	56.8%	16.5%	26.7%	-2.2	38
1903-12-19	Hibernian	D 1-1	1466	1600	44.8%	16.8%	38.3%	-0.5	16
1903-12-19	@ Queen's Park	D 1-1	1600	1466	38.3%	16.8%	44.8%	+0.4	24
1903-12-19	Kilmarnock	W 3-0	1567	1312	78.5%	15.3%	6.2%	+6.2	26
1903-12-19	@ St. Mirren	L 0-3	1312	1567	6.2%	15.3%	78.5%	-6.2	12
1903-12-26	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	1415	1711	23.9%	16.4%	59.7%	-7.7	20
1903-12-26	@ Airdrieonians (old)	W 2-1	1711	1415	59.7%	16.4%	23.9%	+7.7	32
1903-12-26	Port Glasgow Athletic	W 4-1	1769	1538	77.5%	15.5%	7.0%	+6.0	37
1903-12-26	@ Celtic	L 1-4	1538	1769	7.0%	15.5%	77.5%	-5.9	22
1903-12-26	Motherwell	L 2-3	1422	1374	65.9%	16.6%	17.6%	-18.2	20
1903-12-26	@ Greenock Morton	W 3-2	1374	1422	17.6%	16.6%	65.9%	+18.2	16
1903-12-26	Rangers	L 1-2	1600	1804	34.9%	16.7%	48.3%	-10.8	24
1903-12-26	@ Hibernian	W 2-1	1804	1600	48.3%	16.7%	34.9%	+10.8	41
1903-12-26	Kilmarnock	D 1-1	1466	1306	73.9%	16.0%	10.1%	-4.9	17
1903-12-26	@ Queen's Park	D 1-1	1306	1466	10.1%	16.0%	73.9%	+4.9	13
1904-01-01	Rangers	D 2-2	1775	1815	56.8%	16.8%	26.4%	-1.6	38
1904-01-01	@ Celtic	D 2-2	1815	1775	26.4%	16.8%	56.8%	+1.6	42
1904-01-01	St. Mirren	D 1-1	1506	1574	53.5%	16.8%	29.6%	-1.7	25
1904-01-01	@ Partick Thistle	D 1-1	1574	1506	29.6%	16.8%	53.5%	+1.7	27
1904-01-02	Dundee	D 1-1	1404	1657	28.8%	16.6%	54.6%	+1.9	21
1904-01-02	@ Greenock Morton	D 1-1	1657	1404	54.6%	16.6%	28.8%	-1.8	35
1904-01-02	Queen's Park	W 3-1	1719	1461	78.6%	15.3%	6.1%	+3.7	35
1904-01-02	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-3	1461	1719	6.1%	15.3%	78.6%	-3.7	17
1904-01-02	Partick Thistle	W 2-0	1817	1504	80.6%	14.8%	4.5%	+3.2	45
1904-01-02	@ Rangers	L 0-2	1504	1817	4.5%	14.8%	80.6%	-3.2	25
1904-01-02	Motherwell	D 0-0	1575	1392	75.2%	15.9%	8.9%	-5.8	28
1904-01-02	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	1392	1575	8.9%	15.9%	75.2%	+5.8	17
1904-01-02	Port Glasgow Athletic	W 3-0	1788	1532	78.5%	15.3%	6.2%	+6.2	39
1904-01-02	@ Third Lanark	L 0-3	1532	1788	6.2%	15.3%	78.5%	-6.2	22
1904-01-04	Third Lanark	L 1-2	1570	1794	32.3%	16.7%	51.0%	-10.1	28
1904-01-04	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	1794	1570	51.0%	16.7%	32.3%	+10.1	42
1904-01-09	Celtic	W 4-3	1407	1773	17.4%	16.0%	66.6%	+17.8	23
1904-01-09	@ Airdrieonians (old)	L 3-4	1773	1407	66.6%	16.0%	17.4%	-17.8	38
1904-01-09	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	1406	1723	21.8%	16.3%	61.9%	-7.1	21
1904-01-09	@ Greenock Morton	W 2-1	1723	1406	61.9%	16.3%	21.8%	+7.1	38
1904-01-09	Motherwell	W 2-1	1311	1398	51.1%	16.8%	32.0%	+10.0	16
1904-01-09	@ Kilmarnock	L 1-2	1398	1311	32.0%	16.8%	51.1%	-10.0	17
1904-01-09	Hibernian	W 3-1	1501	1590	50.9%	16.8%	32.2%	+17.5	28
1904-01-09	@ Partick Thistle	L 1-3	1590	1501	32.2%	16.8%	50.9%	-17.5	24
1904-01-09	Dundee	W 2-1	1457	1655	35.9%	16.7%	47.4%	+14.0	20
1904-01-09	@ Queen's Park	L 1-2	1655	1457	47.4%	16.7%	35.9%	-14.0	35
1904-01-09	Rangers	W 5-4	1560	1820	27.9%	16.6%	55.6%	+14.8	31
1904-01-09	@ St. Mirren	L 4-5	1820	1560	55.6%	16.6%	27.9%	-14.8	45
1904-01-16	Motherwell	W 6-0	1755	1388	82.3%	14.3%	3.4%	+6.5	41
1904-01-16	@ Celtic	L 0-6	1388	1755	3.4%	14.3%	82.3%	-6.5	17
1904-01-16	Partick Thistle	W 3-0	1641	1519	71.5%	16.2%	12.2%	+12.2	38
1904-01-16	@ Dundee	L 0-3	1519	1641	12.2%	16.2%	71.5%	-12.2	28
1904-01-16	Queen's Park	W 2-1	1526	1471	66.4%	16.5%	17.1%	+5.7	25
1904-01-16	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	L 1-2	1471	1526	17.1%	16.5%	66.4%	-5.7	20
1904-01-16	Kilmarnock	W 3-0	1805	1321	85.1%	13.1%	1.8%	+1.8	48
1904-01-16	@ Rangers	L 0-3	1321	1805	1.8%	13.1%	85.1%	-1.8	16
1904-01-16	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-0	1574	1730	41.7%	16.8%	41.5%	+36.3	34
1904-01-16	@ St. Mirren	L 0-3	1730	1574	41.5%	16.8%	41.7%	-36.3	38
1904-01-16	Greenock Morton	L 1-2	1804	1399	83.3%	13.9%	2.8%	-24.1	42
1904-01-16	@ Third Lanark	W 2-1	1399	1804	2.8%	13.9%	83.3%	+24.1	24
1904-01-23	Greenock Morton	W 5-1	1762	1423	81.5%	14.6%	4.0%	+4.3	44
1904-01-23	@ Celtic	L 1-5	1423	1762	4.0%	14.6%	81.5%	-4.3	24
1904-01-30	Celtic	W 2-1	1653	1766	47.6%	16.9%	35.5%	+11.0	41
1904-01-30	@ Dundee	L 1-2	1766	1653	35.5%	16.9%	47.6%	-11.0	44
1904-01-30	Third Lanark	L 1-2	1419	1780	17.7%	16.1%	66.2%	-5.9	24
1904-01-30	@ Greenock Morton	W 2-1	1780	1419	66.2%	16.1%	17.7%	+5.9	45
1904-01-30	Rangers	W 2-1	1694	1807	47.6%	16.9%	35.6%	+11.0	41
1904-01-30	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	1807	1694	35.6%	16.9%	47.6%	-11.0	48
1904-01-30	Hibernian	W 1-0	1381	1572	36.7%	16.8%	46.5%	+14.6	20
1904-01-30	@ Motherwell	L 0-1	1572	1381	46.5%	16.8%	36.7%	-14.6	24
1904-01-30	St. Mirren	L 0-1	1531	1611	52.1%	16.8%	31.1%	-16.2	25
1904-01-30	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	W 1-0	1611	1531	31.1%	16.8%	52.1%	+16.2	37
1904-01-30	Airdrieonians (old)	D 1-1	1466	1425	65.2%	16.6%	18.2%	-3.5	21
1904-01-30	@ Queen's Park	D 1-1	1425	1466	18.2%	16.6%	65.2%	+3.5	24
1904-02-06	Dundee	W 6-1	1507	1664	41.4%	16.8%	41.8%	+48.6	31
1904-02-06	@ Partick Thistle	L 1-6	1664	1507	41.8%	16.8%	41.4%	-48.6	41
1904-02-06	Celtic	L 2-3	1515	1755	30.3%	16.6%	53.0%	-9.1	25
1904-02-06	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	W 3-2	1755	1515	53.0%	16.6%	30.3%	+9.1	47
1904-02-06	Heart of Midlothian	D 2-2	1462	1705	30.0%	16.6%	53.3%	+1.2	22
1904-02-06	@ Queen's Park	D 2-2	1705	1462	53.3%	16.6%	30.0%	-1.2	42
1904-02-13	Third Lanark	W 4-1	1703	1786	51.7%	16.8%	31.5%	+24.2	45
1904-02-13	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-4	1786	1703	31.5%	16.8%	51.7%	-24.2	45
1904-02-13	Hibernian	W 3-1	1463	1558	50.2%	16.9%	33.0%	+17.8	25
1904-02-13	@ Queen's Park	L 1-3	1558	1463	33.0%	16.9%	50.2%	-17.8	24
1904-02-13	Port Glasgow Athletic	W 8-1	1796	1506	79.8%	15.0%	5.1%	+9.4	51
1904-02-13	@ Rangers	L 1-8	1506	1796	5.1%	15.0%	79.8%	-9.4	25
1904-02-20	Partick Thistle	D 2-2	1429	1555	45.8%	16.8%	37.4%	-0.4	25
1904-02-20	@ Airdrieonians (old)	D 2-2	1555	1429	37.4%	16.8%	45.8%	+0.4	32
1904-02-20	Heart of Midlothian	L 2-4	1540	1728	37.1%	16.8%	46.1%	-17.6	24
1904-02-20	@ Hibernian	W 4-2	1728	1540	46.1%	16.8%	37.1%	+17.6	48
1904-02-20	Third Lanark	L 0-1	1497	1761	27.4%	16.5%	56.1%	-9.3	25
1904-02-20	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	W 1-0	1761	1497	56.1%	16.5%	27.4%	+9.3	48
1904-02-27	Airdrieonians (old)	W 5-0	1745	1428	80.8%	14.8%	4.5%	+7.2	51
1904-02-27	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-5	1428	1745	4.5%	14.8%	80.8%	-7.2	25
1904-02-27	Partick Thistle	D 2-2	1522	1556	57.6%	16.8%	25.6%	-1.7	25
1904-02-27	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	1556	1522	25.6%	16.8%	57.6%	+1.7	33
1904-02-27	St. Mirren	D 0-0	1481	1627	43.1%	16.8%	40.1%	-0.2	26
1904-02-27	@ Queen's Park	D 0-0	1627	1481	40.1%	16.8%	43.1%	+0.2	38
1904-03-05	Third Lanark	L 0-4	1421	1771	18.7%	16.1%	65.1%	-23.5	25
1904-03-05	@ Airdrieonians (old)	W 4-0	1771	1421	65.1%	16.1%	18.7%	+23.5	51
1904-03-05	Heart of Midlothian	L 2-3	1319	1752	12.5%	15.6%	71.9%	-4.0	16
1904-03-05	@ Kilmarnock	W 3-2	1752	1319	71.9%	15.6%	12.5%	+4.0	54
1904-03-05	Motherwell	D 2-2	1557	1396	74.0%	16.0%	10.0%	-3.7	34
1904-03-05	@ Partick Thistle	D 2-2	1396	1557	10.0%	16.0%	74.0%	+3.7	21
1904-03-12	St. Mirren	W 3-1	1764	1627	72.5%	16.1%	11.3%	+6.8	50
1904-03-12	@ Celtic	L 1-3	1627	1764	11.3%	16.1%	72.5%	-6.8	38
1904-03-12	Kilmarnock	D 2-2	1520	1315	76.3%	15.7%	8.0%	-4.0	26
1904-03-12	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	1315	1520	8.0%	15.7%	76.3%	+4.0	17
1904-03-12	Airdrieonians (old)	W 3-0	1554	1398	73.7%	16.0%	10.3%	+10.3	37
1904-03-12	@ Partick Thistle	L 0-3	1398	1554	10.3%	16.0%	73.7%	-10.3	25
1904-03-12	Motherwell	W 3-0	1794	1399	83.0%	14.0%	2.9%	+2.9	54
1904-03-12	@ Third Lanark	L 0-3	1399	1794	2.9%	14.0%	83.0%	-2.9	21
1904-03-19	Greenock Morton	D 1-1	1481	1413	67.5%	16.5%	16.0%	-3.9	27
1904-03-19	@ Queen's Park	D 1-1	1413	1481	16.0%	16.5%	67.5%	+3.9	25
1904-03-26	Celtic	L 1-2	1396	1771	16.7%	16.0%	67.4%	-5.5	21
1904-03-26	@ Motherwell	W 2-1	1771	1396	67.4%	16.0%	16.7%	+5.5	53
1904-03-26	Dundee	W 1-0	1488	1615	45.6%	16.8%	37.5%	+12.2	28
1904-03-26	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	L 0-1	1615	1488	37.5%	16.8%	45.6%	-12.2	41
1904-03-26	Airdrieonians (old)	W 5-0	1806	1387	83.6%	13.8%	2.6%	+4.1	54
1904-03-26	@ Rangers	L 0-5	1387	1806	2.6%	13.8%	83.6%	-4.1	25
1904-03-26	Kilmarnock	W 3-2	1797	1319	85.0%	13.2%	1.9%	+0.6	57
1904-03-26	@ Third Lanark	L 2-3	1319	1797	1.9%	13.2%	85.0%	-0.6	17
1904-04-02	Celtic	W 2-1	1756	1777	59.1%	16.8%	24.1%	+7.8	57
1904-04-02	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	1777	1756	24.1%	16.8%	59.1%	-7.8	53
1904-04-23	Kilmarnock	W 6-1	1769	1319	84.4%	13.5%	2.2%	+2.9	56
1904-04-23	@ Celtic	L 1-6	1319	1769	2.2%	13.5%	84.4%	-2.9	17
1904-04-23	Dundee	W 4-1	1798	1603	75.8%	15.8%	8.5%	+7.2	60
1904-04-23	@ Third Lanark	L 1-4	1603	1798	8.5%	15.8%	75.8%	-7.2	41
1904-04-30	Hibernian	W 2-0	1805	1516	79.8%	15.0%	5.2%	+3.6	63
1904-04-30	@ Third Lanark	L 0-2	1516	1805	5.2%	15.0%	79.8%	-3.6	26

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1904-01-16	2.78%	Greenock Morton	1399	2	@ Third Lanark	1804	1
2	1903-12-12	12.70%	Hibernian	1579	2	@ Dundee	1694	1
3	1903-09-05	13.34%	Celtic	1596	2	@ Hibernian	1701	0
4	1903-10-24	14.92%	Motherwell	1370	2	@ Kilmarnock	1452	0
5	1904-01-09	17.36%	@ Airdrieonians (old)	1407	4	Celtic	1773	3
6	1903-12-26	17.56%	Motherwell	1374	3	@ Greenock Morton	1422	2
7	1903-10-03	20.32%	Third Lanark	1662	1	@ Dundee	1680	0
8	1903-10-10	20.98%	Kilmarnock	1411	2	@ Airdrieonians (old)	1421	1
9	1903-08-15	22.04%	Airdrieonians (old)	1425	2	@ Motherwell	1425	1
10	1903-08-29	22.42%	Third Lanark	1630	3	@ Celtic	1626	1
11	1903-11-28	22.47%	Airdrieonians (old)	1355	2	@ Kilmarnock	1350	0
12	1903-08-29	23.09%	Partick Thistle	1531	3	@ Kilmarnock	1521	1
13	1903-12-19	26.23%	@ Airdrieonians (old)	1398	2	Dundee	1673	1
14	1903-10-03	26.55%	Port Glasgow Athletic	1515	4	@ Kilmarnock	1473	0
15	1903-10-17	26.57%	Third Lanark	1693	2	@ Hibernian	1651	0
16	1904-01-09	27.86%	@ St. Mirren	1560	5	Rangers	1820	4
17	1903-08-22	28.47%	Celtic	1609	1	@ St. Mirren	1551	0
18	1903-09-26	28.64%	Port Glasgow Athletic	1498	1	@ Greenock Morton	1439	0
19	1903-11-07	28.91%	Greenock Morton	1445	3	@ Airdrieonians (old)	1384	1
20	1903-09-19	30.21%	Partick Thistle	1586	2	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	1514	1
21	1903-11-28	30.39%	Dundee	1669	1	@ Hibernian	1596	0
22	1904-01-30	31.06%	St. Mirren	1611	1	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	1531	0
23	1903-10-03	32.18%	@ Motherwell	1344	2	Partick Thistle	1570	0
24	1903-10-24	32.99%	Queen's Park	1501	1	@ Airdrieonians (old)	1407	0
25	1903-10-31	33.86%	@ Greenock Morton	1420	3	Hibernian	1633	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1903-10-03	62.58	Port Glasgow Athletic	4	1515	26.55%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1473	56.65%
2	1904-02-06	48.61	@ Partick Thistle	6	1507	41.44%	Dundee	1	1664	41.75%
3	1903-12-19	45.33	Celtic	4	1724	43.86%	@ Partick Thistle	0	1551	39.35%
4	1903-09-05	40.94	Celtic	2	1596	13.34%	@ Hibernian	0	1701	70.35%
5	1903-10-24	39.93	Motherwell	2	1370	14.92%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1452	68.65%
6	1903-12-12	36.53	Third Lanark	8	1741	52.77%	@ Queen's Park	2	1503	30.60%
7	1904-01-16	36.27	@ St. Mirren	3	1574	41.70%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1730	41.49%
8	1903-11-28	35.84	Heart of Midlothian	4	1674	53.45%	@ Motherwell	0	1430	29.94%
9	1903-11-28	35.63	Rangers	5	1772	60.11%	@ Greenock Morton	0	1472	23.51%
10	1903-11-28	35.33	Airdrieonians (old)	2	1355	22.47%	@ Kilmarnock	0	1350	60.81%
11	1903-10-17	32.97	Third Lanark	2	1693	26.57%	@ Hibernian	0	1651	56.63%
12	1903-09-28	31.63	Rangers	4	1747	39.99%	@ Partick Thistle	1	1601	43.18%
13	1903-11-14	31.36	Celtic	6	1679	58.39%	@ Kilmarnock	1	1394	25.16%
14	1903-08-29	30.62	Third Lanark	3	1630	22.42%	@ Celtic	1	1626	60.86%
15	1903-08-29	30.28	Partick Thistle	3	1531	23.09%	@ Kilmarnock	1	1521	60.17%
16	1903-10-03	29.94	@ Motherwell	2	1344	32.18%	Partick Thistle	0	1570	51.15%
17	1903-10-24	29.79	@ Celtic	4	1663	59.08%	Heart of Midlothian	0	1683	24.16%
18	1903-11-07	27.43	Greenock Morton	3	1445	28.91%	@ Airdrieonians (old)	1	1384	54.27%
19	1903-11-07	26.42	@ St. Mirren	3	1549	54.61%	Hibernian	0	1608	28.57%
20	1903-09-26	26.08	@ St. Mirren	2	1535	39.51%	Dundee	0	1706	43.70%
21	1903-10-31	25.14	@ Greenock Morton	3	1420	33.86%	Hibernian	1	1633	49.44%
22	1903-09-12	25.10	Partick Thistle	3	1561	33.87%	@ Greenock Morton	1	1460	49.28%
23	1904-02-13	24.22	@ Heart of Midlothian	4	1703	51.69%	Third Lanark	1	1786	31.47%
24	1904-01-16	24.07	Greenock Morton	2	1399	2.78%	@ Third Lanark	1	1804	83.28%
25	1903-08-15	23.62	@ Port Glasgow Athletic	3	1517	37.20%	Hibernian	1	1704	46.04%