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1985-86 Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

50 points · 34th Title

Last Title: 1981-82

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Heart of Midlothian

12.29 points above expected

50 points · 37.71 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Aberdeen

5.93 points below expected

44 points · 49.93 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic Champion 36 20 10 6 50 67 38 +29 46.24 +3.76
2 Heart of Midlothian 36 20 10 6 50 59 33 +26 37.71 +12.29
3 Dundee United 36 18 11 7 47 59 31 +28 46.10 +0.90
4 Aberdeen 36 16 12 8 44 62 31 +31 49.93 -5.93
5 Rangers 36 13 9 14 35 53 45 +8 38.88 -3.88
6 Dundee 36 14 7 15 35 45 51 -6 31.72 +3.28
7 St. Mirren 36 13 5 18 31 42 63 -21 30.87 +0.13
8 Hibernian 36 11 6 19 28 49 63 -14 29.59 -1.59
9 Motherwell 36 7 6 23 20 33 66 -33 23.36 -3.36
10 Clydebank 36 6 8 22 20 29 77 -48 25.60 -5.60

Notes

  • No teams were relegated as the league expanded to 12 teams the following season.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Heart of Midlothian 50 37.71 +12.29
2 Celtic 50 46.24 +3.76
3 Dundee 35 31.72 +3.28
4 Dundee United 47 46.10 +0.90
5 St. Mirren 31 30.87 +0.13

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Aberdeen 44 49.93 -5.93
2 Clydebank 20 25.60 -5.60
3 Rangers 35 38.88 -3.88
4 Motherwell 20 23.36 -3.36
5 Hibernian 28 29.59 -1.59

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 St. Mirren 3 Apr 12 – Apr 26 1 in 179
2 Celtic 8 Mar 29 – May 3 1 in 164
3 Hibernian 3 Oct 19 – Nov 2 1 in 88
4 Dundee 3 Sep 7 – Sep 21 1 in 45
5 Heart of Midlothian 5 Mar 15 – Apr 12 1 in 36

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hibernian 6 Aug 10 – Sep 14 1 in 57
2 Celtic 3 Oct 26 – Nov 9 1 in 35
3 Aberdeen 2 Nov 23 – Dec 10 1 in 34
4 Clydebank 5 Feb 8 – Mar 29 1 in 30
5 Rangers 3 Mar 29 – Apr 19 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Heart of Midlothian 27 Oct 5 – Apr 26 1 in 125,045
2 Hibernian 10 Sep 28 – Nov 23 1 in 1,122
3 Dundee United 16 Oct 26 – Feb 26 1 in 91
4 Celtic 16 Jan 11 – May 3 1 in 90
5 Dundee 6 Nov 23 – Jan 1 1 in 32

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Clydebank 10 Oct 1 – Nov 30 1 in 42
2 Aberdeen 4 Apr 12 – Apr 26 1 in 21
3 Dundee United 5 Sep 14 – Oct 19 1 in 20
4 Celtic 4 Feb 8 – Mar 22 1 in 19
5 Hibernian 7 Nov 23 – Jan 18 1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Celtic 1929 50 +75 10 6.6 +3.4
Heart of Midlothian 1878 50 +23 7 6.6 +0.4
Dundee United 1845 47 -45 5 6.3 -1.3
Aberdeen 1886 44 -12 4 6.5 -2.5
Dundee 1703 35 +30 4 3.7 +0.3
Rangers 1706 35 -22 3 4.7 -1.7
St. Mirren 1594 31 +4 6 3.1 +2.9
Hibernian 1642 28 +2 4 4.3 -0.3
Clydebank 1457 20 -6 4 2.9 +1.1
Motherwell 1540 20 -32 2 3.8 -1.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL CLY DUN DU HOM HIB MOT RAN SM
Aberdeen —
1-1-2
6.26
3-0-1
9.13
2-2-0
8.19
1-1-2
6.53
1-1-2
7.14
3-1-0
8.52
2-2-0
9.13
2-2-0
7.25
1-2-1
8.62
Celtic
2-1-1
4.77
—
4-0-0
8.07
4-0-0
7.66
0-1-3
5.36
0-3-1
6.98
2-2-0
7.85
4-0-0
8.95
1-2-1
6.66
3-1-0
8.33
Clydebank
1-0-3
1.99
0-0-4
3.00
—
1-1-2
4.69
0-1-3
2.48
1-1-2
3.71
1-0-3
5.30
0-3-1
5.90
1-1-2
3.59
1-1-2
4.63
Dundee
0-2-2
2.88
0-0-4
3.40
2-1-1
6.33
—
0-1-3
3.53
1-2-1
4.08
2-0-2
5.88
3-1-0
6.83
3-0-1
4.58
3-0-1
5.38
Dundee United
2-1-1
4.50
3-1-0
5.67
3-1-0
8.60
3-1-0
7.52
—
0-2-2
6.91
3-1-0
8.01
3-0-1
8.61
0-3-1
6.64
1-1-2
7.84
Heart of Midlothian
2-1-1
3.92
1-3-0
4.07
2-1-1
7.38
1-2-1
6.96
2-2-0
4.12
—
3-1-0
6.66
3-0-1
7.68
3-0-1
5.33
3-0-1
5.95
Hibernian
0-1-3
2.56
0-2-2
3.20
3-0-1
5.73
2-0-2
5.15
0-1-3
3.05
0-1-3
4.37
—
2-0-2
6.62
1-1-2
4.35
3-0-1
5.12
Motherwell
0-2-2
1.99
0-0-4
2.15
1-3-0
5.13
0-1-3
4.21
1-0-3
2.49
1-0-3
3.38
2-0-2
4.40
—
1-0-3
3.16
1-0-3
4.29
Rangers
0-2-2
3.80
1-2-1
4.37
2-1-1
7.46
1-0-3
6.44
1-3-0
4.39
1-0-3
5.70
2-1-1
6.68
3-0-1
7.90
—
2-0-2
6.58
St. Mirren
1-2-1
2.46
0-1-3
2.74
2-1-1
6.39
1-0-3
5.64
2-1-1
3.24
1-0-3
5.09
1-0-3
5.90
3-0-1
6.74
2-0-2
4.44
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.88 +8.5
Allowed 0.89 -6.5
Differential 0.92 +3.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.89%7.50%6.11%4.72%2.22%1.94%26.39%
17.50%17.22%6.39%5.28%1.39%—37.78%
26.11%6.39%1.67%1.67%0.83%0.28%16.94%
34.72%5.28%1.67%———11.67%
42.22%1.39%0.83%—0.56%—5.00%
5+1.94%—0.28%———2.22%
Total26.39%37.78%16.94%11.67%5.00%2.22%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.38 +0.00
SD 1.27 1.27 2.06
CV 0.92 0.92 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%13.89%————19.44%
18.33%27.78%8.33%———44.44%
2———————
38.33%8.33%5.56%———22.22%
42.78%8.33%————11.11%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total27.78%58.33%13.89%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 0.86 +0.86
SD 1.52 0.64 1.73
CV 0.88 0.74 —
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.56%—5.56%——11.11%
12.78%22.22%——2.78%—27.78%
225.00%13.89%2.78%—2.78%—44.44%
3—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
4————2.78%—2.78%
5+8.33%—————8.33%
Total36.11%44.44%5.56%5.56%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.06 +0.81
SD 1.29 1.19 1.94
CV 0.69 1.13 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%13.89%5.56%5.56%8.33%47.22%
12.78%13.89%5.56%5.56%5.56%—33.33%
22.78%5.56%——5.56%—13.89%
3——2.78%———2.78%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total16.67%25.00%22.22%11.11%16.67%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 2.14 -1.33
SD 0.98 1.64 2.10
CV 1.22 0.77 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%36.11%
15.56%5.56%5.56%8.33%2.78%—27.78%
25.56%8.33%2.78%———16.67%
3—11.11%2.78%———13.89%
45.56%—————5.56%
5+———————
Total27.78%33.33%19.44%11.11%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.42 -0.17
SD 1.25 1.32 2.06
CV 1.00 0.93 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%5.56%2.78%——16.67%
113.89%25.00%2.78%———41.67%
22.78%11.11%2.78%2.78%——19.44%
38.33%—————8.33%
48.33%—2.78%———11.11%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total38.89%41.67%13.89%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 0.86 +0.78
SD 1.33 0.87 1.82
CV 0.81 1.01 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
113.89%25.00%2.78%2.78%——44.44%
28.33%5.56%———2.78%16.67%
313.89%11.11%————25.00%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total38.89%47.22%5.56%5.56%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 0.92 +0.72
SD 1.07 1.18 1.73
CV 0.65 1.29 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%5.56%2.78%5.56%2.78%27.78%
15.56%8.33%8.33%13.89%——36.11%
22.78%5.56%5.56%5.56%——19.44%
32.78%5.56%————8.33%
42.78%—2.78%———5.56%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total19.44%27.78%22.22%22.22%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.75 -0.39
SD 1.29 1.32 2.18
CV 0.95 0.75 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%13.89%8.33%8.33%8.33%—41.67%
12.78%11.11%8.33%8.33%2.78%—33.33%
25.56%2.78%2.78%5.56%——16.67%
32.78%5.56%————8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.89%33.33%19.44%22.22%11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 1.83 -0.92
SD 0.97 1.25 1.81
CV 1.06 0.68 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%5.56%5.56%——22.22%
18.33%19.44%13.89%2.78%——44.44%
25.56%——2.78%——8.33%
38.33%8.33%————16.67%
4——2.78%—2.78%—5.56%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total27.78%36.11%22.22%11.11%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.25 +0.22
SD 1.32 1.08 1.82
CV 0.90 0.86 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—2.78%11.11%11.11%—5.56%30.56%
111.11%13.89%8.33%11.11%——44.44%
22.78%11.11%————13.89%
32.78%—2.78%———5.56%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total16.67%30.56%25.00%22.22%—5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.75 -0.58
SD 1.28 1.30 2.12
CV 1.09 0.74 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Celtic 1929 50 46.24 +3.76 84.0% 36 38 43 47 49 53 60
Aberdeen 1886 44 49.93 -5.93 12.0% 38 41 47 50 52 58 63
Heart of Midlothian 1878 50 37.71 +12.29 99.0% 26 29 34 38 41 44 51
Dundee United 1845 47 46.10 +0.90 61.0% 36 39 43 46 49 54 57
Rangers 1706 35 38.88 -3.88 25.0% 27 30 35 40 42 45 53
Dundee 1703 35 31.72 +3.28 81.0% 21 24 29 32 34 39 44
Hibernian 1642 28 29.59 -1.59 40.0% 18 23 27 29 32 38 42
St. Mirren 1594 31 30.87 +0.13 56.0% 18 24 28 31 34 39 42
Motherwell 1540 20 23.36 -3.36 24.0% 13 17 21 23 26 30 33
Clydebank 1457 20 25.60 -5.60 14.0% 16 18 22 25 29 34 36

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+24.44%
Clear Edge
50.56%23.33%26.11%
Elo Value
Home Edge
186 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
086.68500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.58 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.47+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.3
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
22%
Celtic, 2nd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.67 * Some Luck: 3.67 to 5.5 * Lucky: 5.5 to 7.34 * Wild Swing: 7.34 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.79 * Close: 0.79 to 1.19 * Off: 1.19 to 1.59 * Way Off: 1.59 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.22 points
Some Luck
04.5911
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Close
00.992
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
99.00%
Heart of Midlothian
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
12.00%
Aberdeen
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Top-Heavy
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 161.71
2.18
Strong Separation
11.852.12.353
Interquartile Edge
82%
Wide Edge
50%65%73%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
94%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
54%
Some Drama
0%53%100%
Blowouts
Expected
21%
Frequent
0%23%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.49
Lopsided
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.24
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.60
Some Carryover
00.550.781
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.87
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.88
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.068
Well Within Noise
00.1240.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Celtic22.00%34.00%25.00%12.00%7.00%—————
Heart of Midlothian1.00%3.00%16.00%22.00%37.00%9.00%6.00%6.00%——
Dundee United17.00%34.00%31.00%13.00%4.00%1.00%————
Aberdeen59.00%24.00%12.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%————
Rangers1.00%4.00%12.00%40.00%19.00%13.00%6.00%4.00%1.00%—
Dundee—1.00%1.00%2.00%17.00%27.00%23.00%18.00%9.00%2.00%
St. Mirren——1.00%5.00%6.00%25.00%29.00%17.00%11.00%6.00%
Hibernian——2.00%3.00%6.00%17.00%22.00%26.00%19.00%5.00%
Motherwell—————1.00%3.00%11.00%34.00%51.00%
Clydebank————3.00%6.00%11.00%18.00%26.00%36.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Aberdeen 100%
Celtic 100%
Clydebank 100%
Dundee 100%
Dundee United 100%
Heart of Midlothian 100%
Hibernian 100%
Motherwell 100%
Rangers 100%
St. Mirren 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1985-08-10 Hibernian W 3-046.4 1884 1632 72.02% 21.95% 6.03%+1.82 +6.6 2
1985-08-10 @ Aberdeen L 0-346.4 1632 1884 6.03% 21.95% 72.02%-1.82 -6.6 0
1985-08-10 St. Mirren W 2-162.1 1699 1709 53.01% 24.59% 22.39%+0.41 +7.6 2
1985-08-10 @ Dundee L 1-262.1 1709 1699 22.39% 24.59% 53.01%-0.41 -7.6 0
1985-08-10 Celtic D 1-172.5 1637 1829 29.36% 24.46% 46.18%-0.56 +1.1 1
1985-08-10 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-172.5 1829 1637 46.18% 24.46% 29.36%+0.56 -1.1 1
1985-08-10 Clydebank D 0-065.9 1598 1671 45.49% 24.74% 29.77%+0.08 -1.1 1
1985-08-10 @ Motherwell D 0-065.9 1671 1598 29.77% 24.74% 45.49%-0.08 +1.1 1
1985-08-10 Dundee United W 1-058.8 1723 1798 45.28% 24.74% 29.98%+0.07 +10.2 2
1985-08-10 @ Rangers L 0-158.8 1798 1723 29.98% 24.74% 45.28%-0.07 -10.2 0
1985-08-17 Motherwell W 2-156.8 1828 1597 70.98% 22.28% 6.74%+1.70 +2.6 3
1985-08-17 @ Celtic L 1-256.8 1597 1828 6.74% 22.28% 70.98%-1.70 -2.6 1
1985-08-17 Dundee W 4-051.9 1672 1707 50.18% 24.68% 25.15%+0.28 +31.8 3
1985-08-17 @ Clydebank L 0-451.9 1707 1672 25.15% 24.68% 50.18%-0.28 -31.8 2
1985-08-17 Aberdeen D 1-172.9 1787 1891 41.38% 24.74% 33.88%-0.09 -0.5 1
1985-08-17 @ Dundee United D 1-172.9 1891 1787 33.88% 24.74% 41.38%+0.09 +0.5 3
1985-08-17 Rangers L 1-364.9 1625 1734 40.69% 24.74% 34.58%-0.12 -21.1 0
1985-08-17 @ Hibernian W 3-164.9 1734 1625 34.58% 24.74% 40.69%+0.12 +21.1 4
1985-08-17 Heart of Midlothian W 6-254.1 1701 1638 60.05% 24.17% 15.78%+0.80 +15.2 2
1985-08-17 @ St. Mirren L 2-654.1 1638 1701 15.78% 24.17% 60.05%-0.80 -15.2 1
1985-08-24 Motherwell D 1-173.5 1891 1595 73.94% 21.25% 4.81%+2.06 -5.3 4
1985-08-24 @ Aberdeen D 1-173.5 1595 1891 4.81% 21.25% 73.94%-2.06 +5.3 2
1985-08-24 Celtic L 0-258.6 1704 1830 38.17% 24.71% 37.12%-0.21 -23.2 3
1985-08-24 @ Clydebank W 2-058.6 1830 1704 37.12% 24.71% 38.17%+0.21 +23.2 5
1985-08-24 Dundee W 2-050.3 1787 1675 63.94% 23.74% 12.32%+1.07 +9.1 3
1985-08-24 @ Dundee United L 0-250.3 1675 1787 12.32% 23.74% 63.94%-1.07 -9.1 2
1985-08-24 St. Mirren L 2-372.3 1604 1716 40.18% 24.73% 35.08%-0.14 -11.4 0
1985-08-24 @ Hibernian W 3-272.3 1716 1604 35.08% 24.73% 40.18%+0.14 +11.4 4
1985-08-24 Heart of Midlothian W 3-155.8 1755 1623 65.31% 23.53% 11.15%+1.17 +7.2 6
1985-08-24 @ Rangers L 1-355.8 1623 1755 11.15% 23.53% 65.31%-1.17 -7.2 1
1985-08-31 Rangers D 1-173.0 1853 1762 62.41% 23.93% 13.66%+0.96 -3.5 6
1985-08-31 @ Celtic D 1-173.0 1762 1853 13.66% 23.93% 62.41%-0.96 +3.5 7
1985-08-31 Aberdeen L 1-361.3 1666 1886 25.94% 24.28% 49.78%-0.72 -14.8 2
1985-08-31 @ Dundee W 3-161.3 1886 1666 49.78% 24.28% 25.94%+0.72 +14.8 6
1985-08-31 Hibernian W 2-158.5 1616 1593 56.40% 24.43% 19.17%+0.59 +6.7 3
1985-08-31 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-258.5 1593 1616 19.17% 24.43% 56.40%-0.59 -6.7 0
1985-08-31 Dundee United L 0-157.8 1600 1796 28.82% 24.44% 46.74%-0.59 -9.9 2
1985-08-31 @ Motherwell W 1-057.8 1796 1600 46.74% 24.44% 28.82%+0.59 +9.9 5
1985-08-31 Clydebank L 0-264.0 1728 1681 58.64% 24.28% 17.07%+0.72 -33.7 4
1985-08-31 @ St. Mirren W 2-064.0 1681 1728 17.07% 24.28% 58.64%-0.72 +33.7 5
1985-09-07 Heart of Midlothian W 3-046.1 1901 1622 73.18% 21.55% 5.28%+1.96 +5.8 8
1985-09-07 @ Aberdeen L 0-346.1 1622 1901 5.28% 21.55% 73.18%-1.96 -5.8 3
1985-09-07 Clydebank W 2-159.8 1806 1714 62.40% 23.93% 13.67%+0.96 +5.0 7
1985-09-07 @ Dundee United L 1-259.8 1714 1806 13.67% 23.93% 62.40%-0.96 -5.0 5
1985-09-07 Celtic L 0-551.3 1586 1850 21.28% 23.94% 54.78%-0.95 -33.9 0
1985-09-07 @ Hibernian W 5-051.3 1850 1586 54.78% 23.94% 21.28%+0.95 +33.9 8
1985-09-07 Dundee L 1-365.2 1590 1651 46.98% 24.73% 28.29%+0.14 -23.7 2
1985-09-07 @ Motherwell W 3-165.2 1651 1590 28.29% 24.73% 46.98%-0.14 +23.7 4
1985-09-07 St. Mirren W 3-049.5 1765 1694 60.79% 24.10% 15.11%+0.85 +15.9 9
1985-09-07 @ Rangers L 0-349.5 1694 1765 15.11% 24.10% 60.79%-0.85 -15.9 4
1985-09-14 Aberdeen W 2-163.4 1884 1907 51.53% 24.64% 23.83%+0.34 +8.0 10
1985-09-14 @ Celtic L 1-263.4 1907 1884 23.83% 24.64% 51.53%-0.34 -8.0 8
1985-09-14 Rangers L 0-163.4 1709 1781 45.58% 24.74% 29.68%+0.08 -14.2 5
1985-09-14 @ Clydebank W 1-063.4 1781 1709 29.68% 24.74% 45.58%-0.08 +14.2 11
1985-09-14 Hibernian W 1-050.3 1675 1552 64.69% 23.63% 11.68%+1.12 +4.6 6
1985-09-14 @ Dundee L 0-150.3 1552 1675 11.68% 23.63% 64.69%-1.12 -4.6 0
1985-09-14 Dundee United W 2-060.6 1617 1811 29.05% 24.45% 46.50%-0.58 +27.1 5
1985-09-14 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-260.6 1811 1617 46.50% 24.45% 29.05%+0.58 -27.1 7
1985-09-14 Motherwell W 4-152.0 1678 1566 63.91% 23.74% 12.34%+1.07 +11.2 6
1985-09-14 @ St. Mirren L 1-452.0 1566 1678 12.34% 23.74% 63.91%-1.07 -11.2 2
1985-09-21 St. Mirren D 1-173.4 1899 1689 69.92% 22.58% 7.51%+1.59 -4.7 9
1985-09-21 @ Aberdeen D 1-173.4 1689 1899 7.51% 22.58% 69.92%-1.59 +4.7 7
1985-09-21 Heart of Midlothian W 2-162.2 1555 1644 43.38% 24.75% 31.87%-0.01 +10.1 4
1985-09-21 @ Motherwell L 1-262.2 1644 1555 31.87% 24.75% 43.38%+0.01 -10.1 5
1985-09-21 Dundee L 0-168.6 1795 1679 64.24% 23.70% 12.07%+1.09 -19.6 11
1985-09-21 @ Rangers W 1-068.6 1679 1795 12.07% 23.70% 64.24%-1.09 +19.5 8
1985-09-28 Heart of Midlothian W 1-053.3 1695 1634 59.95% 24.18% 15.87%+0.80 +6.0 7
1985-09-28 @ Clydebank L 0-153.3 1634 1695 15.87% 24.18% 59.95%-0.80 -6.1 5
1985-09-28 Celtic L 0-255.9 1699 1892 29.20% 24.45% 46.34%-0.57 -18.8 8
1985-09-28 @ Dundee W 2-055.9 1892 1699 46.34% 24.45% 29.20%+0.57 +18.8 12
1985-09-28 Motherwell W 1-051.2 1547 1565 52.10% 24.62% 23.28%+0.37 +8.4 2
1985-09-28 @ Hibernian L 0-151.2 1565 1547 23.28% 24.62% 52.10%-0.37 -8.3 4
1985-09-28 Aberdeen L 0-357.5 1776 1894 39.36% 24.72% 35.92%-0.17 -34.4 11
1985-09-28 @ Rangers W 3-057.5 1894 1776 35.92% 24.72% 39.36%+0.17 +34.4 11
1985-09-28 Dundee United W 1-059.3 1694 1784 43.22% 24.75% 32.03%-0.02 +10.8 9
1985-09-28 @ St. Mirren L 0-159.3 1784 1694 32.03% 24.75% 43.22%+0.02 -10.8 7
1985-10-01 Clydebank W 5-055.3 1556 1701 35.47% 24.66% 39.87%-0.32 +56.0 4
1985-10-01 @ Hibernian L 0-555.3 1701 1556 39.87% 24.66% 35.47%+0.32 -56.0 7
1985-10-05 Clydebank W 3-154.2 1928 1645 73.37% 21.47% 5.16%+1.99 +3.4 13
1985-10-05 @ Aberdeen L 1-354.2 1645 1928 5.16% 21.47% 73.37%-1.99 -3.4 7
1985-10-05 St. Mirren W 2-048.9 1911 1705 69.74% 22.62% 7.64%+1.57 +5.8 14
1985-10-05 @ Celtic L 0-248.9 1705 1911 7.64% 22.62% 69.74%-1.57 -5.8 9
1985-10-05 Hibernian D 2-278.8 1773 1612 67.21% 23.20% 9.60%+1.33 -3.2 8
1985-10-05 @ Dundee United D 2-278.8 1612 1773 9.60% 23.20% 67.21%-1.33 +3.2 5
1985-10-05 Dundee D 1-171.2 1628 1680 48.03% 24.72% 27.25%+0.18 -1.4 6
1985-10-05 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-171.2 1680 1628 27.25% 24.72% 48.03%-0.18 +1.4 9
1985-10-05 Rangers L 0-352.9 1557 1741 30.26% 24.50% 45.24%-0.53 -28.1 4
1985-10-05 @ Motherwell W 3-052.9 1741 1557 45.24% 24.50% 30.26%+0.53 +28.1 13
1985-10-12 Heart of Midlothian L 0-171.0 1916 1626 73.68% 21.36% 4.97%+2.02 -22.3 14
1985-10-12 @ Celtic W 1-071.0 1626 1916 4.97% 21.36% 73.68%-2.02 +22.3 8
1985-10-12 Motherwell D 1-169.0 1642 1529 64.02% 23.73% 12.25%+1.07 -3.8 8
1985-10-12 @ Clydebank D 1-169.0 1529 1642 12.25% 23.73% 64.02%-1.07 +3.8 5
1985-10-12 Rangers D 1-172.7 1770 1770 54.07% 24.55% 21.38%+0.47 -2.2 9
1985-10-12 @ Dundee United D 1-172.7 1770 1770 21.38% 24.55% 54.07%-0.47 +2.2 14
1985-10-12 Aberdeen D 1-173.1 1615 1932 16.57% 23.41% 60.02%-1.24 +3.1 6
1985-10-12 @ Hibernian D 1-173.1 1932 1615 60.02% 23.41% 16.57%+1.24 -3.1 14
1985-10-12 Dundee W 1-055.0 1699 1681 55.84% 24.46% 19.69%+0.56 +7.3 11
1985-10-12 @ St. Mirren L 0-155.0 1681 1699 19.69% 24.46% 55.84%-0.56 -7.3 9
1985-10-19 Dundee United W 3-264.2 1929 1768 67.19% 23.20% 9.61%+1.33 +3.4 16
1985-10-19 @ Aberdeen L 2-364.2 1768 1929 9.61% 23.20% 67.19%-1.33 -3.4 9
1985-10-19 Clydebank W 2-051.0 1674 1638 57.64% 24.36% 18.01%+0.66 +12.7 11
1985-10-19 @ Dundee L 0-251.0 1638 1674 18.01% 24.36% 57.64%-0.66 -12.7 8
1985-10-19 St. Mirren W 3-052.9 1649 1706 47.39% 24.73% 27.89%+0.16 +26.4 10
1985-10-19 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-352.9 1706 1649 27.89% 24.73% 47.39%-0.16 -26.4 11
1985-10-19 Celtic L 1-259.0 1533 1894 13.32% 22.86% 63.81%-1.48 -4.8 5
1985-10-19 @ Motherwell W 2-159.0 1894 1533 63.81% 22.86% 13.32%+1.48 +4.8 16
1985-10-19 Hibernian L 1-274.9 1772 1618 66.74% 23.29% 9.97%+1.29 -19.2 14
1985-10-19 @ Rangers W 2-174.9 1618 1772 9.97% 23.29% 66.74%-1.29 +19.2 8
1985-10-26 Motherwell W 3-153.0 1687 1528 67.07% 23.22% 9.71%+1.32 +6.3 13
1985-10-26 @ Dundee L 1-353.0 1528 1687 9.71% 23.22% 67.07%-1.32 -6.3 5
1985-10-26 Rangers W 2-164.5 1680 1753 45.45% 24.74% 29.81%+0.07 +9.6 13
1985-10-26 @ St. Mirren L 1-264.5 1753 1680 29.81% 24.74% 45.45%-0.07 -9.6 14
1985-10-26 Dundee United L 0-365.0 1899 1764 65.51% 23.50% 10.98%+1.19 -54.6 16
1985-10-26 @ Celtic W 3-065.0 1764 1899 10.98% 23.50% 65.51%-1.19 +54.6 11
1985-10-30 Aberdeen W 1-066.0 1675 1932 21.97% 24.00% 54.03%-0.92 +16.4 12
1985-10-30 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-166.0 1932 1675 54.03% 24.00% 21.97%+0.92 -16.4 16
1985-10-30 Hibernian L 2-471.3 1625 1637 52.77% 24.60% 22.63%+0.40 -23.6 8
1985-10-30 @ Clydebank W 4-271.3 1637 1625 22.63% 24.60% 52.77%-0.40 +23.6 10
1985-11-02 Celtic W 4-155.7 1916 1844 60.78% 24.10% 15.12%+0.85 +13.4 18
1985-11-02 @ Aberdeen L 1-455.7 1844 1916 15.12% 24.10% 60.78%-0.85 -13.4 16
1985-11-02 Heart of Midlothian D 1-172.9 1819 1691 65.02% 23.58% 11.40%+1.15 -4.0 12
1985-11-02 @ Dundee United D 1-172.9 1691 1819 11.40% 23.58% 65.02%-1.15 +3.9 13
1985-11-02 Dundee W 2-162.5 1661 1693 50.43% 24.67% 24.90%+0.29 +8.3 12
1985-11-02 @ Hibernian L 1-262.5 1693 1661 24.90% 24.67% 50.43%-0.29 -8.3 13
1985-11-02 St. Mirren W 3-163.4 1521 1689 32.44% 24.58% 42.99%-0.44 +22.0 7
1985-11-02 @ Motherwell L 1-363.4 1689 1521 42.99% 24.58% 32.44%+0.44 -22.0 13
1985-11-02 Clydebank D 0-067.2 1743 1602 65.94% 23.43% 10.63%+1.22 -4.6 15
1985-11-02 @ Rangers D 0-067.2 1602 1743 10.63% 23.43% 65.94%-1.22 +4.6 9
1985-11-09 Dundee W 4-152.3 1929 1685 71.64% 22.08% 6.28%+1.78 +5.8 20
1985-11-09 @ Aberdeen L 1-452.3 1685 1929 6.28% 22.08% 71.64%-1.78 -5.8 13
1985-11-09 Motherwell W 3-045.3 1815 1543 72.87% 21.66% 5.47%+1.92 +6.0 14
1985-11-09 @ Dundee United L 0-345.3 1543 1815 5.47% 21.66% 72.87%-1.92 -6.0 7
1985-11-09 Heart of Midlothian D 0-067.0 1669 1695 51.14% 24.65% 24.21%+0.32 -2.0 13
1985-11-09 @ Hibernian D 0-067.0 1695 1669 24.21% 24.65% 51.14%-0.32 +2.0 14
1985-11-09 Celtic W 3-055.3 1738 1831 42.88% 24.75% 32.37%-0.03 +29.7 17
1985-11-09 @ Rangers L 0-355.3 1831 1738 32.37% 24.75% 42.88%+0.03 -29.7 16
1985-11-13 St. Mirren D 1-170.7 1606 1667 46.98% 24.73% 28.29%+0.14 -1.2 10
1985-11-13 @ Clydebank D 1-170.7 1667 1606 28.29% 24.73% 46.98%-0.14 +1.2 14
1985-11-16 Clydebank W 2-048.4 1801 1605 69.20% 22.76% 8.04%+1.52 +6.1 18
1985-11-16 @ Celtic L 0-248.4 1605 1801 8.04% 22.76% 69.20%-1.52 -6.1 10
1985-11-16 Dundee United L 0-356.1 1679 1821 35.98% 24.67% 39.35%-0.30 -32.2 13
1985-11-16 @ Dundee W 3-056.1 1821 1679 39.35% 24.67% 35.98%+0.30 +32.2 16
1985-11-16 Rangers W 3-054.1 1697 1768 45.72% 24.74% 29.54%+0.09 +27.7 16
1985-11-16 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-354.1 1768 1697 29.54% 24.74% 45.72%-0.09 -27.7 17
1985-11-16 Aberdeen D 1-173.1 1537 1935 11.16% 22.37% 66.47%-1.67 +4.0 8
1985-11-16 @ Motherwell D 1-173.1 1935 1537 66.47% 22.37% 11.16%+1.67 -4.1 21
1985-11-16 Hibernian L 1-368.6 1669 1667 54.20% 24.54% 21.26%+0.47 -27.0 14
1985-11-16 @ St. Mirren W 3-168.6 1667 1669 21.26% 24.54% 54.20%-0.47 +27.0 15
1985-11-23 Hibernian D 1-172.8 1807 1694 64.02% 23.73% 12.25%+1.07 -3.8 19
1985-11-23 @ Celtic D 1-172.8 1694 1807 12.25% 23.73% 64.02%-1.07 +3.8 16
1985-11-23 Dundee United L 1-262.2 1599 1853 22.29% 24.03% 53.68%-0.90 -7.5 10
1985-11-23 @ Clydebank W 2-162.2 1853 1599 53.68% 24.03% 22.29%+0.90 +7.5 18
1985-11-23 Rangers W 3-270.7 1647 1740 42.71% 24.75% 32.54%-0.04 +9.7 15
1985-11-23 @ Dundee L 2-370.7 1740 1647 32.54% 24.75% 42.71%+0.04 -9.7 17
1985-11-23 Motherwell W 3-045.5 1725 1542 68.51% 22.92% 8.57%+1.45 +9.4 18
1985-11-23 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-345.5 1542 1725 8.57% 22.92% 68.51%-1.45 -9.4 8
1985-11-23 Aberdeen W 1-066.9 1642 1931 18.90% 23.70% 57.40%-1.09 +17.4 16
1985-11-23 @ St. Mirren L 0-166.9 1931 1642 57.40% 23.70% 18.90%+1.09 -17.4 21
1985-11-30 Clydebank W 4-152.6 1734 1592 66.05% 23.41% 10.54%+1.23 +9.7 20
1985-11-30 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-452.6 1592 1734 10.54% 23.41% 66.05%-1.23 -9.7 10
1985-12-07 Heart of Midlothian D 1-172.0 1657 1744 43.53% 24.75% 31.72%+0.00 -0.8 16
1985-12-07 @ Dundee D 1-172.0 1744 1657 31.72% 24.75% 43.53%+0.00 +0.8 21
1985-12-07 Motherwell W 1-049.6 1731 1532 69.35% 22.72% 7.93%+1.53 +3.2 19
1985-12-07 @ Rangers L 0-149.6 1532 1731 7.93% 22.72% 69.35%-1.53 -3.2 8
1985-12-10 Aberdeen W 2-173.8 1582 1913 15.43% 23.24% 61.34%-1.32 +17.4 12
1985-12-10 @ Clydebank L 1-273.8 1913 1582 61.34% 23.24% 15.43%+1.32 -17.4 21
1985-12-14 Hibernian W 4-047.0 1896 1698 69.32% 22.73% 7.95%+1.53 +11.4 23
1985-12-14 @ Aberdeen L 0-447.0 1698 1896 7.95% 22.73% 69.32%-1.53 -11.4 16
1985-12-14 St. Mirren W 3-158.7 1656 1659 53.71% 24.57% 21.72%+0.45 +12.9 18
1985-12-14 @ Dundee L 1-358.7 1659 1656 21.72% 24.57% 53.71%-0.45 -12.9 16
1985-12-14 Celtic D 1-172.7 1745 1803 47.27% 24.73% 28.01%+0.15 -1.3 22
1985-12-14 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-172.7 1803 1745 28.01% 24.73% 47.27%-0.15 +1.3 20
1985-12-14 Clydebank W 3-049.1 1529 1599 45.76% 24.74% 29.49%+0.09 +27.6 10
1985-12-14 @ Motherwell L 0-349.1 1599 1529 29.49% 24.74% 45.76%-0.09 -27.6 12
1985-12-14 Dundee United D 1-172.8 1734 1861 38.14% 24.71% 37.15%-0.21 -0.1 20
1985-12-14 @ Rangers D 1-172.8 1861 1734 37.15% 24.71% 38.14%+0.21 +0.1 19
1985-12-21 Aberdeen W 2-164.3 1861 1907 48.72% 24.71% 26.58%+0.21 +8.8 21
1985-12-21 @ Dundee United L 1-264.3 1907 1861 26.58% 24.71% 48.72%-0.21 -8.8 23
1985-12-21 Rangers D 1-172.2 1686 1734 48.64% 24.71% 26.65%+0.21 -1.5 17
1985-12-21 @ Hibernian D 1-172.2 1734 1686 26.65% 24.71% 48.64%-0.21 +1.5 21
1985-12-21 Heart of Midlothian L 0-161.9 1646 1744 42.18% 24.75% 33.08%-0.06 -13.3 16
1985-12-21 @ St. Mirren W 1-061.9 1744 1646 33.08% 24.75% 42.18%+0.06 +13.3 24
1985-12-23 Celtic W 1-054.6 1869 1805 60.21% 24.15% 15.63%+0.81 +6.0 23
1985-12-23 @ Dundee United L 0-154.6 1805 1869 15.63% 24.15% 60.21%-0.81 -6.0 20
1985-12-23 Dundee D 0-065.4 1572 1669 42.26% 24.75% 33.00%-0.06 -0.7 13
1985-12-23 @ Clydebank D 0-065.4 1669 1572 33.00% 24.75% 42.26%+0.06 +0.7 19
1985-12-29 Clydebank W 2-047.6 1799 1571 70.84% 22.32% 6.84%+1.69 +5.2 22
1985-12-29 @ Celtic L 0-247.6 1571 1799 6.84% 22.32% 70.84%-1.69 -5.2 13
1985-12-29 Dundee D 0-068.5 1875 1669 69.74% 22.62% 7.64%+1.57 -5.2 24
1985-12-29 @ Dundee United D 0-068.5 1669 1875 7.64% 22.62% 69.74%-1.57 +5.2 20
1985-12-29 Heart of Midlothian L 0-262.5 1735 1757 51.68% 24.64% 23.68%+0.35 -29.8 21
1985-12-29 @ Rangers W 2-062.5 1757 1735 23.68% 24.64% 51.68%-0.35 +29.8 26
1986-01-01 Rangers W 2-050.7 1804 1705 62.93% 23.87% 13.20%+0.99 +9.7 24
1986-01-01 @ Celtic L 0-250.7 1705 1804 13.20% 23.87% 62.93%-0.99 -9.7 21
1986-01-01 Aberdeen D 0-068.1 1675 1899 25.51% 24.26% 50.23%-0.74 +1.8 21
1986-01-01 @ Dundee D 0-068.1 1899 1675 50.23% 24.26% 25.51%+0.74 -1.8 24
1986-01-01 Hibernian W 3-157.0 1787 1685 63.18% 23.84% 12.98%+1.01 +8.3 28
1986-01-01 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-357.0 1685 1787 12.98% 23.84% 63.18%-1.01 -8.3 17
1986-01-01 Clydebank W 3-046.6 1633 1566 60.40% 24.14% 15.46%+0.82 +16.2 18
1986-01-01 @ St. Mirren L 0-346.6 1566 1633 15.46% 24.14% 60.40%-0.82 -16.2 13
1986-01-04 St. Mirren W 3-154.6 1897 1649 71.81% 22.02% 6.17%+1.80 +4.0 26
1986-01-04 @ Aberdeen L 1-354.6 1649 1897 6.17% 22.02% 71.81%-1.80 -4.0 18
1986-01-04 Celtic W 4-262.6 1870 1814 59.50% 24.22% 16.28%+0.77 +9.0 26
1986-01-04 @ Dundee United L 2-462.6 1814 1870 16.28% 24.22% 59.50%-0.77 -9.0 24
1986-01-04 Clydebank L 2-378.0 1677 1550 64.99% 23.58% 11.42%+1.15 -17.7 17
1986-01-04 @ Hibernian W 3-278.0 1550 1677 11.42% 23.58% 64.99%-1.15 +17.7 15
1986-01-04 Heart of Midlothian L 1-359.6 1557 1795 23.92% 24.15% 51.93%-0.82 -13.8 10
1986-01-04 @ Motherwell W 3-159.6 1795 1557 51.93% 24.15% 23.92%+0.82 +13.8 30
1986-01-04 Dundee W 5-050.5 1696 1676 56.02% 24.45% 19.52%+0.57 +31.9 23
1986-01-04 @ Rangers L 0-550.5 1676 1696 19.52% 24.45% 56.02%-0.57 -31.9 21
1986-01-11 Aberdeen D 1-172.9 1805 1901 42.36% 24.75% 32.90%-0.05 -0.6 25
1986-01-11 @ Celtic D 1-172.9 1901 1805 32.90% 24.75% 42.36%+0.05 +0.6 27
1986-01-11 Hibernian W 3-158.9 1645 1659 52.48% 24.61% 22.91%+0.39 +13.5 23
1986-01-11 @ Dundee L 1-358.9 1659 1645 22.91% 24.61% 52.48%-0.39 -13.5 17
1986-01-11 Dundee United D 1-172.9 1809 1879 45.78% 24.74% 29.48%+0.09 -1.1 31
1986-01-11 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-172.9 1879 1809 29.48% 24.74% 45.78%-0.09 +1.1 27
1986-01-11 Clydebank W 4-258.4 1728 1567 67.15% 23.21% 9.64%+1.33 +5.6 25
1986-01-11 @ Rangers L 2-458.4 1567 1728 9.64% 23.21% 67.15%-1.33 -5.6 15
1986-01-11 Motherwell W 1-049.9 1645 1543 63.21% 23.83% 12.95%+1.01 +5.0 20
1986-01-11 @ St. Mirren L 0-149.9 1543 1645 12.95% 23.83% 63.21%-1.01 -5.1 10
1986-01-15 Motherwell W 3-261.3 1804 1538 72.65% 21.74% 5.61%+1.90 +2.0 27
1986-01-15 @ Celtic L 2-361.3 1538 1804 5.61% 21.74% 72.65%-1.90 -2.0 10
1986-01-18 Heart of Midlothian L 0-168.7 1901 1808 62.57% 23.91% 13.52%+0.97 -19.1 27
1986-01-18 @ Aberdeen W 1-068.7 1808 1901 13.52% 23.91% 62.57%-0.97 +19.0 33
1986-01-18 Clydebank W 4-044.9 1880 1562 74.81% 20.88% 4.30%+2.18 +6.1 29
1986-01-18 @ Dundee United L 0-444.9 1562 1880 4.30% 20.88% 74.81%-2.18 -6.1 15
1986-01-18 Celtic D 2-278.8 1646 1806 33.43% 24.61% 41.97%-0.40 +0.4 18
1986-01-18 @ Hibernian D 2-278.8 1806 1646 41.97% 24.61% 33.43%+0.40 -0.4 28
1986-01-18 Dundee D 2-275.7 1536 1658 38.73% 24.71% 36.56%-0.19 -0.1 11
1986-01-18 @ Motherwell D 2-275.7 1658 1536 36.56% 24.71% 38.73%+0.19 +0.1 24
1986-01-18 St. Mirren W 2-050.5 1733 1650 61.76% 24.00% 14.24%+0.91 +10.4 27
1986-01-18 @ Rangers L 0-250.5 1650 1733 14.24% 24.00% 61.76%-0.91 -10.4 20
1986-02-01 Heart of Midlothian D 1-172.2 1556 1827 20.58% 23.87% 55.55%-0.99 +2.4 16
1986-02-01 @ Clydebank D 1-172.2 1827 1556 55.55% 23.87% 20.58%+0.99 -2.4 34
1986-02-01 Celtic L 1-363.9 1658 1806 35.21% 24.65% 40.14%-0.33 -18.9 24
1986-02-01 @ Dundee W 3-163.9 1806 1658 40.14% 24.65% 35.21%+0.33 +18.9 30
1986-02-01 Motherwell W 4-044.8 1646 1536 63.82% 23.75% 12.43%+1.06 +17.4 20
1986-02-01 @ Hibernian L 0-444.8 1536 1646 12.43% 23.75% 63.82%-1.06 -17.4 11
1986-02-01 Aberdeen D 1-172.8 1744 1882 36.42% 24.68% 38.90%-0.28 +0.2 28
1986-02-01 @ Rangers D 1-172.8 1882 1744 38.90% 24.68% 36.42%+0.28 -0.1 28
1986-02-01 Dundee United D 1-172.8 1640 1886 23.03% 24.09% 52.89%-0.86 +2.0 21
1986-02-01 @ St. Mirren D 1-172.8 1886 1640 52.89% 24.09% 23.03%+0.86 -2.0 30
1986-02-08 Clydebank W 4-150.8 1882 1558 75.03% 20.79% 4.18%+2.21 +3.8 30
1986-02-08 @ Aberdeen L 1-450.8 1558 1882 4.18% 20.79% 75.03%-2.21 -3.8 16
1986-02-08 St. Mirren D 1-172.9 1824 1642 68.47% 22.93% 8.60%+1.45 -4.5 31
1986-02-08 @ Celtic D 1-172.9 1642 1824 8.60% 22.93% 68.47%-1.45 +4.5 22
1986-02-08 Hibernian W 4-046.6 1884 1663 70.51% 22.41% 7.08%+1.65 +10.2 32
1986-02-08 @ Dundee United L 0-446.6 1663 1884 7.08% 22.41% 70.51%-1.65 -10.2 20
1986-02-08 Dundee W 3-155.3 1824 1639 68.60% 22.90% 8.50%+1.46 +5.6 36
1986-02-08 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-355.3 1639 1824 8.50% 22.90% 68.60%-1.46 -5.6 24
1986-02-08 Rangers W 1-062.8 1518 1744 25.32% 24.25% 50.43%-0.75 +15.4 13
1986-02-08 @ Motherwell L 0-162.8 1744 1518 50.43% 24.25% 25.32%+0.75 -15.4 28
1986-02-19 Rangers W 1-052.5 1886 1728 66.99% 23.24% 9.77%+1.31 +3.9 32
1986-02-19 @ Aberdeen L 0-152.5 1728 1886 9.77% 23.24% 66.99%-1.31 -3.9 28
1986-02-22 Heart of Midlothian D 1-172.9 1820 1830 52.96% 24.59% 22.45%+0.41 -2.1 32
1986-02-22 @ Celtic D 1-172.9 1830 1820 22.45% 24.59% 52.96%-0.41 +2.1 37
1986-02-22 Rangers D 1-173.3 1894 1725 67.73% 23.09% 9.18%+1.38 -4.4 33
1986-02-22 @ Dundee United D 1-173.3 1725 1894 9.18% 23.09% 67.73%-1.38 +4.4 29
1986-02-22 Aberdeen L 0-157.0 1653 1890 24.09% 24.16% 51.74%-0.81 -8.5 20
1986-02-22 @ Hibernian W 1-057.0 1890 1653 51.74% 24.16% 24.09%+0.81 +8.5 34
1986-02-22 Dundee L 1-270.7 1646 1634 55.32% 24.49% 20.19%+0.53 -15.9 22
1986-02-22 @ St. Mirren W 2-170.7 1634 1646 20.19% 24.49% 55.32%-0.53 +15.9 26
1986-02-26 Dundee United L 0-156.6 1645 1890 23.17% 24.10% 52.74%-0.85 -8.3 20
1986-02-26 @ Hibernian W 1-056.6 1890 1645 52.74% 24.10% 23.17%+0.85 +8.2 35
1986-03-01 Clydebank W 4-045.7 1650 1554 62.70% 23.90% 13.40%+0.98 +18.6 28
1986-03-01 @ Dundee L 0-445.7 1554 1650 13.40% 23.90% 62.70%-0.98 -18.7 16
1986-03-01 Hibernian W 3-156.5 1729 1636 62.48% 23.92% 13.60%+0.96 +8.6 31
1986-03-01 @ Rangers L 1-356.5 1636 1729 13.60% 23.92% 62.48%-0.96 -8.6 20
1986-03-12 St. Mirren W 3-049.7 1628 1630 53.78% 24.56% 21.66%+0.45 +21.6 22
1986-03-12 @ Hibernian L 0-349.7 1630 1628 21.66% 24.56% 53.78%-0.45 -21.6 22
1986-03-12 Dundee United W 2-065.4 1534 1898 13.11% 22.82% 64.07%-1.49 +36.4 15
1986-03-12 @ Motherwell L 0-265.4 1898 1534 64.07% 22.82% 13.11%+1.49 -36.4 35
1986-03-15 Dundee United D 1-172.9 1818 1862 49.04% 24.70% 26.26%+0.23 -1.5 33
1986-03-15 @ Celtic D 1-172.9 1862 1818 26.26% 24.70% 49.04%-0.23 +1.5 36
1986-03-15 Hibernian L 1-361.9 1536 1649 39.95% 24.73% 35.32%-0.15 -20.8 16
1986-03-15 @ Clydebank W 3-161.9 1649 1536 35.32% 24.73% 39.95%+0.15 +20.8 24
1986-03-15 Rangers W 2-164.2 1668 1738 45.92% 24.74% 29.33%+0.09 +9.5 30
1986-03-15 @ Dundee L 1-264.2 1738 1668 29.33% 24.74% 45.92%-0.09 -9.5 31
1986-03-15 Motherwell W 2-047.4 1832 1570 72.46% 21.80% 5.73%+1.87 +4.3 39
1986-03-15 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-247.4 1570 1832 5.73% 21.80% 72.46%-1.87 -4.3 15
1986-03-15 Aberdeen D 1-172.9 1609 1898 18.84% 23.69% 57.47%-1.09 +2.7 23
1986-03-15 @ St. Mirren D 1-172.9 1898 1609 57.47% 23.69% 18.84%+1.09 -2.7 35
1986-03-18 Hibernian W 2-054.8 1566 1670 41.23% 24.74% 34.03%-0.10 +21.2 17
1986-03-18 @ Motherwell L 0-254.8 1670 1566 34.03% 24.74% 41.23%+0.10 -21.2 24
1986-03-22 Dundee D 0-068.6 1896 1678 70.36% 22.46% 7.18%+1.64 -5.3 36
1986-03-22 @ Aberdeen D 0-068.6 1678 1896 7.18% 22.46% 70.36%-1.64 +5.4 31
1986-03-22 St. Mirren L 0-254.6 1515 1611 42.32% 24.75% 32.93%-0.05 -25.1 16
1986-03-22 @ Clydebank W 2-054.6 1611 1515 32.93% 24.75% 42.32%+0.05 +25.1 25
1986-03-22 Motherwell W 4-045.5 1863 1587 73.10% 21.57% 5.32%+1.95 +7.6 38
1986-03-22 @ Dundee United L 0-445.5 1587 1863 5.32% 21.57% 73.10%-1.95 -7.6 17
1986-03-22 Heart of Midlothian L 1-264.7 1649 1836 29.89% 24.48% 45.62%-0.54 -9.6 24
1986-03-22 @ Hibernian W 2-164.7 1836 1649 45.62% 24.48% 29.89%+0.54 +9.6 41
1986-03-22 Celtic D 4-484.6 1728 1816 43.43% 24.75% 31.82%-0.01 -0.4 32
1986-03-22 @ Rangers D 4-484.6 1816 1728 31.82% 24.75% 43.43%+0.01 +0.4 34
1986-03-25 St. Mirren W 3-046.9 1846 1636 69.93% 22.57% 7.50%+1.59 +8.3 43
1986-03-25 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-346.9 1636 1846 7.50% 22.57% 69.93%-1.59 -8.3 25
1986-03-29 Celtic L 0-548.4 1490 1817 15.77% 23.29% 60.95%-1.29 -26.1 16
1986-03-29 @ Clydebank W 5-048.4 1817 1490 60.95% 23.29% 15.77%+1.29 +26.1 36
1986-03-29 Dundee United L 0-158.8 1683 1871 29.84% 24.48% 45.68%-0.54 -10.2 31
1986-03-29 @ Dundee W 1-058.8 1871 1683 45.68% 24.48% 29.84%+0.54 +10.1 40
1986-03-29 Rangers W 3-156.8 1854 1728 64.96% 23.59% 11.45%+1.15 +7.4 45
1986-03-29 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-356.8 1728 1854 11.45% 23.59% 64.96%-1.15 -7.4 32
1986-03-29 Aberdeen L 0-154.4 1579 1890 17.01% 23.47% 59.52%-1.21 -6.3 17
1986-03-29 @ Motherwell W 1-054.4 1890 1579 59.52% 23.47% 17.01%+1.21 +6.3 38
1986-03-29 Hibernian L 0-260.9 1628 1639 52.84% 24.60% 22.56%+0.41 -30.5 25
1986-03-29 @ St. Mirren W 2-060.9 1639 1628 22.56% 24.60% 52.84%-0.41 +30.5 26
1986-04-02 Dundee W 2-158.2 1843 1673 67.72% 23.09% 9.19%+1.38 +3.5 38
1986-04-02 @ Celtic L 1-258.2 1673 1843 9.19% 23.09% 67.72%-1.38 -3.5 31
1986-04-05 Celtic L 1-262.3 1598 1846 22.84% 24.07% 53.09%-0.87 -7.7 25
1986-04-05 @ St. Mirren W 2-162.3 1846 1598 53.09% 24.07% 22.84%+0.87 +7.7 40
1986-04-05 Motherwell D 1-164.4 1464 1573 40.58% 24.73% 34.69%-0.12 -0.4 17
1986-04-05 @ Clydebank D 1-164.4 1573 1464 34.69% 24.73% 40.58%+0.12 +0.4 18
1986-04-08 St. Mirren W 5-045.8 1881 1590 73.72% 21.34% 4.94%+2.03 +8.7 42
1986-04-08 @ Dundee United L 0-545.8 1590 1881 4.94% 21.34% 73.72%-2.03 -8.7 25
1986-04-09 Motherwell W 3-261.4 1897 1573 75.01% 20.80% 4.19%+2.20 +1.5 40
1986-04-09 @ Aberdeen L 2-361.4 1573 1897 4.19% 20.80% 75.01%-2.20 -1.5 18
1986-04-12 Celtic L 0-167.6 1898 1854 58.41% 24.30% 17.29%+0.70 -17.8 40
1986-04-12 @ Aberdeen W 1-067.6 1854 1898 17.29% 24.30% 58.41%-0.70 +17.8 42
1986-04-12 Rangers W 2-168.3 1463 1720 21.97% 24.00% 54.03%-0.92 +15.5 19
1986-04-12 @ Clydebank L 1-268.3 1720 1463 54.03% 24.00% 21.97%+0.92 -15.5 32
1986-04-12 Heart of Midlothian L 0-362.7 1890 1862 56.91% 24.40% 18.68%+0.62 -47.5 42
1986-04-12 @ Dundee United W 3-062.7 1862 1890 18.68% 24.40% 56.91%-0.62 +47.5 47
1986-04-12 Dundee W 1-055.1 1670 1670 54.06% 24.55% 21.39%+0.47 +7.8 28
1986-04-12 @ Hibernian L 0-155.1 1670 1670 21.39% 24.55% 54.06%-0.47 -7.8 31
1986-04-12 St. Mirren L 1-267.4 1572 1581 53.01% 24.59% 22.40%+0.41 -15.3 18
1986-04-12 @ Motherwell W 2-167.4 1581 1572 22.40% 24.59% 53.01%-0.41 +15.3 27
1986-04-16 Dundee United L 0-167.4 1880 1842 57.83% 24.34% 17.83%+0.67 -17.6 40
1986-04-16 @ Aberdeen W 1-067.4 1842 1880 17.83% 24.34% 57.83%-0.67 +17.6 44
1986-04-19 Hibernian W 2-049.0 1872 1678 69.11% 22.78% 8.11%+1.51 +6.1 44
1986-04-19 @ Celtic L 0-249.0 1678 1872 8.11% 22.78% 69.11%-1.51 -6.1 28
1986-04-19 Dundee United D 1-172.2 1479 1860 12.08% 22.60% 65.32%-1.58 +3.9 20
1986-04-19 @ Clydebank D 1-172.2 1860 1479 65.32% 22.60% 12.08%+1.58 -3.9 45
1986-04-19 Motherwell W 4-045.8 1662 1556 63.44% 23.80% 12.75%+1.03 +17.8 33
1986-04-19 @ Dundee L 0-445.8 1556 1662 12.75% 23.80% 63.44%-1.03 -17.8 18
1986-04-19 Rangers W 2-164.8 1597 1705 40.72% 24.74% 34.55%-0.12 +10.7 29
1986-04-19 @ St. Mirren L 1-264.8 1705 1597 34.55% 24.74% 40.72%+0.12 -10.7 32
1986-04-20 Aberdeen D 1-173.1 1909 1863 58.59% 24.29% 17.13%+0.71 -2.9 48
1986-04-20 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-173.1 1863 1909 17.13% 24.29% 58.59%-0.71 +2.9 41
1986-04-26 Rangers D 1-173.2 1866 1694 67.83% 23.07% 9.10%+1.39 -4.4 42
1986-04-26 @ Aberdeen D 1-173.2 1694 1866 9.10% 23.07% 67.83%-1.39 +4.4 33
1986-04-26 Dundee W 2-049.0 1878 1680 69.33% 22.73% 7.94%+1.53 +6.0 46
1986-04-26 @ Celtic L 0-249.0 1680 1878 7.94% 22.73% 69.33%-1.53 -6.0 33
1986-04-26 St. Mirren L 1-276.5 1856 1607 71.86% 22.00% 6.13%+1.80 -20.6 45
1986-04-26 @ Dundee United W 2-176.5 1607 1856 6.13% 22.00% 71.86%-1.80 +20.6 31
1986-04-26 Clydebank W 1-048.2 1906 1483 78.49% 18.99% 2.52%+2.74 +1.0 50
1986-04-26 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-148.2 1483 1906 2.52% 18.99% 78.49%-2.74 -1.0 20
1986-04-26 Hibernian W 3-161.9 1539 1671 37.26% 24.69% 38.05%-0.25 +20.0 20
1986-04-26 @ Motherwell L 1-361.9 1671 1539 38.05% 24.69% 37.26%+0.25 -20.0 28
1986-04-30 Celtic L 0-251.1 1559 1884 15.90% 23.31% 60.79%-1.28 -11.2 20
1986-04-30 @ Motherwell W 2-051.1 1884 1559 60.79% 23.31% 15.90%+1.28 +11.2 48
1986-05-03 Aberdeen L 0-648.0 1482 1861 12.18% 22.62% 65.21%-1.57 -24.4 20
1986-05-03 @ Clydebank W 6-048.0 1861 1482 65.21% 22.62% 12.18%+1.57 +24.4 44
1986-05-03 Heart of Midlothian W 2-062.5 1674 1907 24.45% 24.19% 51.36%-0.79 +29.5 35
1986-05-03 @ Dundee L 0-262.5 1907 1674 51.36% 24.19% 24.45%+0.79 -29.5 50
1986-05-03 Dundee United L 1-264.9 1651 1836 30.31% 24.50% 45.19%-0.52 -9.7 28
1986-05-03 @ Hibernian W 2-164.9 1836 1651 45.19% 24.50% 30.31%+0.52 +9.7 47
1986-05-03 Motherwell W 2-047.4 1698 1547 66.57% 23.32% 10.11%+1.28 +7.6 35
1986-05-03 @ Rangers L 0-247.4 1547 1698 10.11% 23.32% 66.57%-1.28 -7.6 20
1986-05-03 Celtic L 0-551.5 1628 1895 20.95% 23.91% 55.14%-0.97 -33.5 31
1986-05-03 @ St. Mirren W 5-051.5 1895 1628 55.14% 23.91% 20.95%+0.97 +33.4 50

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1985-10-12 4.97% Heart of Midlothian 1626 1 @ Celtic 1916 0
2 1986-04-26 6.13% St. Mirren 1607 2 @ Dundee United 1856 1
3 1985-10-19 9.97% Hibernian 1618 2 @ Rangers 1772 1
4 1985-10-26 10.98% Dundee United 1764 3 @ Celtic 1899 0
5 1986-01-04 11.42% Clydebank 1550 3 @ Hibernian 1677 2
6 1985-09-21 12.07% Dundee 1679 1 @ Rangers 1795 0
7 1986-03-12 13.11% @ Motherwell 1534 2 Dundee United 1898 0
8 1986-01-18 13.52% Heart of Midlothian 1808 1 @ Aberdeen 1901 0
9 1985-12-10 15.43% @ Clydebank 1582 2 Aberdeen 1913 1
10 1985-08-31 17.07% Clydebank 1681 2 @ St. Mirren 1728 0
11 1986-04-12 17.29% Celtic 1854 1 @ Aberdeen 1898 0
12 1986-04-16 17.83% Dundee United 1842 1 @ Aberdeen 1880 0
13 1986-04-12 18.68% Heart of Midlothian 1862 3 @ Dundee United 1890 0
14 1985-11-23 18.90% @ St. Mirren 1642 1 Aberdeen 1931 0
15 1986-02-22 20.19% Dundee 1634 2 @ St. Mirren 1646 1
16 1985-11-16 21.26% Hibernian 1667 3 @ St. Mirren 1669 1
17 1985-10-30 21.97% @ Heart of Midlothian 1675 1 Aberdeen 1932 0
18 1986-04-12 21.97% @ Clydebank 1463 2 Rangers 1720 1
19 1986-04-12 22.40% St. Mirren 1581 2 @ Motherwell 1572 1
20 1986-03-29 22.56% Hibernian 1639 2 @ St. Mirren 1628 0
21 1985-10-30 22.63% Hibernian 1637 4 @ Clydebank 1625 2
22 1985-12-29 23.68% Heart of Midlothian 1757 2 @ Rangers 1735 0
23 1986-05-03 24.45% @ Dundee 1674 2 Heart of Midlothian 1907 0
24 1986-02-08 25.32% @ Motherwell 1518 1 Rangers 1744 0
25 1985-09-07 28.29% Dundee 1651 3 @ Motherwell 1590 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1985-10-01 55.96 @ Hibernian 5 1556 35.47% Clydebank 0 1701 39.87% 24.66%
2 1985-10-26 54.64 Dundee United 3 1764 10.98% @ Celtic 0 1899 65.51% 23.50%
3 1986-04-12 47.47 Heart of Midlothian 3 1862 18.68% @ Dundee United 0 1890 56.91% 24.40%
4 1986-03-12 36.39 @ Motherwell 2 1534 13.11% Dundee United 0 1898 64.07% 22.82%
5 1985-09-28 34.43 Aberdeen 3 1894 35.92% @ Rangers 0 1776 39.36% 24.72%
6 1985-09-07 33.89 Celtic 5 1850 54.78% @ Hibernian 0 1586 21.28% 23.94%
7 1985-08-31 33.66 Clydebank 2 1681 17.07% @ St. Mirren 0 1728 58.64% 24.28%
8 1986-05-03 33.45 Celtic 5 1895 55.14% @ St. Mirren 0 1628 20.95% 23.91%
9 1985-11-16 32.15 Dundee United 3 1821 39.35% @ Dundee 0 1679 35.98% 24.67%
10 1986-01-04 31.87 @ Rangers 5 1696 56.02% Dundee 0 1676 19.52% 24.45%
11 1985-08-17 31.82 @ Clydebank 4 1672 50.18% Dundee 0 1707 25.15% 24.68%
12 1986-03-29 30.46 Hibernian 2 1639 22.56% @ St. Mirren 0 1628 52.84% 24.60%
13 1985-12-29 29.84 Heart of Midlothian 2 1757 23.68% @ Rangers 0 1735 51.68% 24.64%
14 1985-11-09 29.68 @ Rangers 3 1738 42.88% Celtic 0 1831 32.37% 24.75%
15 1986-05-03 29.54 @ Dundee 2 1674 24.45% Heart of Midlothian 0 1907 51.36% 24.19%
16 1985-10-05 28.10 Rangers 3 1741 45.24% @ Motherwell 0 1557 30.26% 24.50%
17 1985-11-16 27.65 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1697 45.72% Rangers 0 1768 29.54% 24.74%
18 1985-12-14 27.62 @ Motherwell 3 1529 45.76% Clydebank 0 1599 29.49% 24.74%
19 1985-09-14 27.09 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1617 29.05% Dundee United 0 1811 46.50% 24.45%
20 1985-11-16 27.01 Hibernian 3 1667 21.26% @ St. Mirren 1 1669 54.20% 24.54%
21 1985-10-19 26.43 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1649 47.39% St. Mirren 0 1706 27.89% 24.73%
22 1986-03-29 26.08 Celtic 5 1817 60.95% @ Clydebank 0 1490 15.77% 23.29%
23 1986-03-22 25.12 St. Mirren 2 1611 32.93% @ Clydebank 0 1515 42.32% 24.75%
24 1986-05-03 24.43 Aberdeen 6 1861 65.21% @ Clydebank 0 1482 12.18% 22.62%
25 1985-09-07 23.74 Dundee 3 1651 28.29% @ Motherwell 1 1590 46.98% 24.73%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1986-03-22 84.6 @ Rangers 4 1728 43.43% Celtic 4 1816 31.82% 24.75%
2 1985-10-05 78.8 @ Dundee United 2 1773 67.21% Hibernian 2 1612 9.60% 23.20%
3 1986-01-18 78.8 @ Hibernian 2 1646 33.43% Celtic 2 1806 41.97% 24.61%
4 1986-01-04 78.0 Clydebank 3 1550 11.42% @ Hibernian 2 1677 64.99% 23.58%
5 1986-04-26 76.5 St. Mirren 2 1607 6.13% @ Dundee United 1 1856 71.86% 22.00%
6 1986-01-18 75.7 @ Motherwell 2 1536 38.73% Dundee 2 1658 36.56% 24.71%
7 1985-10-19 74.9 Hibernian 2 1618 9.97% @ Rangers 1 1772 66.74% 23.29%
8 1985-12-10 73.8 @ Clydebank 2 1582 15.43% Aberdeen 1 1913 61.34% 23.24%
9 1985-08-24 73.5 @ Aberdeen 1 1891 73.94% Motherwell 1 1595 4.81% 21.25%
10 1985-09-21 73.4 @ Aberdeen 1 1899 69.92% St. Mirren 1 1689 7.51% 22.58%
11 1986-02-22 73.3 @ Dundee United 1 1894 67.73% Rangers 1 1725 9.18% 23.09%
12 1986-04-26 73.2 @ Aberdeen 1 1866 67.83% Rangers 1 1694 9.10% 23.07%
13 1985-10-12 73.1 @ Hibernian 1 1615 16.57% Aberdeen 1 1932 60.02% 23.41%
14 1985-11-16 73.1 @ Motherwell 1 1537 11.16% Aberdeen 1 1935 66.47% 22.37%
15 1986-04-20 73.1 @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1909 58.59% Aberdeen 1 1863 17.13% 24.29%
16 1985-08-31 73.0 @ Celtic 1 1853 62.41% Rangers 1 1762 13.66% 23.93%
17 1985-08-17 72.9 @ Dundee United 1 1787 41.38% Aberdeen 1 1891 33.88% 24.74%
18 1985-11-02 72.9 @ Dundee United 1 1819 65.02% Heart of Midlothian 1 1691 11.40% 23.58%
19 1986-01-11 72.9 @ Celtic 1 1805 42.36% Aberdeen 1 1901 32.90% 24.75%
20 1986-01-11 72.9 @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1809 45.78% Dundee United 1 1879 29.48% 24.74%
21 1986-02-08 72.9 @ Celtic 1 1824 68.47% St. Mirren 1 1642 8.60% 22.93%
22 1986-02-22 72.9 @ Celtic 1 1820 52.96% Heart of Midlothian 1 1830 22.45% 24.59%
23 1986-03-15 72.9 @ Celtic 1 1818 49.04% Dundee United 1 1862 26.26% 24.70%
24 1986-03-15 72.9 @ St. Mirren 1 1609 18.84% Aberdeen 1 1898 57.47% 23.69%
25 1985-11-23 72.8 @ Celtic 1 1807 64.02% Hibernian 1 1694 12.25% 23.73%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1986-02-01 44.8 @ Hibernian 4 1646 63.82% Motherwell 0 1536 12.43% 23.75%
2 1986-01-18 44.9 @ Dundee United 4 1880 74.81% Clydebank 0 1562 4.30% 20.88%
3 1985-11-09 45.3 @ Dundee United 3 1815 72.87% Motherwell 0 1543 5.47% 21.66%
4 1985-11-23 45.5 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1725 68.51% Motherwell 0 1542 8.57% 22.92%
5 1986-03-22 45.5 @ Dundee United 4 1863 73.10% Motherwell 0 1587 5.32% 21.57%
6 1986-03-01 45.7 @ Dundee 4 1650 62.70% Clydebank 0 1554 13.40% 23.90%
7 1986-04-08 45.8 @ Dundee United 5 1881 73.72% St. Mirren 0 1590 4.94% 21.34%
8 1986-04-19 45.8 @ Dundee 4 1662 63.44% Motherwell 0 1556 12.75% 23.80%
9 1985-09-07 46.1 @ Aberdeen 3 1901 73.18% Heart of Midlothian 0 1622 5.28% 21.55%
10 1985-08-10 46.4 @ Aberdeen 3 1884 72.02% Hibernian 0 1632 6.03% 21.95%
11 1986-01-01 46.6 @ St. Mirren 3 1633 60.40% Clydebank 0 1566 15.46% 24.14%
12 1986-02-08 46.6 @ Dundee United 4 1884 70.51% Hibernian 0 1663 7.08% 22.41%
13 1986-03-25 46.9 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1846 69.93% St. Mirren 0 1636 7.50% 22.57%
14 1985-12-14 47.0 @ Aberdeen 4 1896 69.32% Hibernian 0 1698 7.95% 22.73%
15 1986-03-15 47.4 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1832 72.46% Motherwell 0 1570 5.73% 21.80%
16 1986-05-03 47.4 @ Rangers 2 1698 66.57% Motherwell 0 1547 10.11% 23.32%
17 1985-12-29 47.6 @ Celtic 2 1799 70.84% Clydebank 0 1571 6.84% 22.32%
18 1986-05-03 48.0 Aberdeen 6 1861 65.21% @ Clydebank 0 1482 12.18% 22.62%
19 1986-04-26 48.2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1906 78.49% Clydebank 0 1483 2.52% 18.99%
20 1985-11-16 48.4 @ Celtic 2 1801 69.20% Clydebank 0 1605 8.04% 22.76%
21 1986-03-29 48.4 Celtic 5 1817 60.95% @ Clydebank 0 1490 15.77% 23.29%
22 1985-10-05 48.9 @ Celtic 2 1911 69.74% St. Mirren 0 1705 7.64% 22.62%
23 1986-04-19 49.0 @ Celtic 2 1872 69.11% Hibernian 0 1678 8.11% 22.78%
24 1986-04-26 49.0 @ Celtic 2 1878 69.33% Dundee 0 1680 7.94% 22.73%
25 1985-12-14 49.1 @ Motherwell 3 1529 45.76% Clydebank 0 1599 29.49% 24.74%