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2016-17 Slovak First Football League Season

165 games

Final

Champion

Zilina

73 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Zilina

15.28 points above expected

73 points · 57.72 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Zlate Moravce

7.96 points below expected

22 points · 29.96 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Zilina 30 23 4 3 73 82 25 +57 57.72 +15.28
2 Slovan Bratislava 30 18 3 9 57 54 34 +20 53.38 +3.62
3 Ruzomberok 30 15 7 8 52 55 38 +17 44.72 +7.28
4 AS Trencin 30 14 5 11 47 53 48 +5 49.96 -2.96
5 ZP Sport Podbrezova 30 12 9 9 45 34 31 +3 46.56 -1.56
6 Spartak Trnava 30 12 7 11 43 34 37 -3 44.12 -1.12
7 FC DAC 1904 30 10 12 8 42 37 34 +3 37.95 +4.05
8 Zemplin Michalovce 30 8 5 17 29 35 55 -20 34.08 -5.08
9 Senica 30 7 7 16 28 25 35 -10 34.79 -6.79
10 Zlate Moravce 30 5 7 18 22 29 55 -26 29.96 -7.96
11 Tatran Presov 30 3 10 17 19 17 63 -46 24.32 -5.32

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Zilina 73 57.72 +15.28
2 Ruzomberok 52 44.72 +7.28
3 FC DAC 1904 42 37.95 +4.05
4 Slovan Bratislava 57 53.38 +3.62
5 Spartak Trnava 43 44.12 -1.12

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Zlate Moravce 22 29.96 -7.96
2 Senica 28 34.79 -6.79
3 Tatran Presov 19 24.32 -5.32
4 Zemplin Michalovce 29 34.08 -5.08
5 AS Trencin 47 49.96 -2.96

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Zilina 7 Aug 28 – Oct 22 1 in 133
2 FC DAC 1904 5 Apr 8 – May 7 1 in 109
3 ZP Sport Podbrezova 4 Jul 31 – Aug 20 1 in 69
4 Zlate Moravce 3 Nov 19 – Dec 3 1 in 47
5 Senica 3 Jul 30 – Aug 13 1 in 29

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 ZP Sport Podbrezova 4 Mar 12 – Apr 15 1 in 204
2 Zlate Moravce 6 Sep 17 – Nov 5 1 in 29
3 Slovan Bratislava 3 Apr 8 – Apr 23 1 in 25
4 Zemplin Michalovce 5 Apr 22 – May 27 1 in 24
5 AS Trencin 2 Jul 30 – Aug 6 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FC DAC 1904 16 Nov 19 – May 19 1 in 1,543
2 Tatran Presov 5 Oct 2 – Nov 5 1 in 137
3 ZP Sport Podbrezova 9 Jul 17 – Sep 24 1 in 35
4 Zilina 12 Aug 28 – Dec 11 1 in 17
5 Ruzomberok 7 Nov 27 – Mar 11 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 ZP Sport Podbrezova 10 Dec 3 – Apr 23 1 in 1,196
2 Senica 13 Aug 20 – Dec 10 1 in 331
3 Zlate Moravce 11 Aug 6 – Nov 5 1 in 45
4 Spartak Trnava 4 Dec 11 – Mar 4 1 in 12
5 FC DAC 1904 8 Jul 17 – Sep 17 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Zilina 1709 73 +14 12 10.9 +1.1
Slovan Bratislava 1603 57 +21 9 8.6 +0.4
Ruzomberok 1557 52 +47 15 9.1 +5.9
AS Trencin 1542 47 +25 12 8.6 +3.4
ZP Sport Podbrezova 1457 45 +1 7 7.0 +0.0
Spartak Trnava 1450 43 -9 9 7.3 +1.7
FC DAC 1904 1472 42 -2 8 8.3 -0.3
Zemplin Michalovce 1365 29 -44 0 4.6 -4.6
Senica 1381 28 -6 4 5.1 -1.1
Zlate Moravce 1314 22 -31 1 4.5 -3.5
Tatran Presov 1213 19 -19 2 3.4 -1.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AT FD1 RUZ SEN SB ST TP ZSP ZM ZIL ZM
AS Trencin —
1-0-2
4.65
2-1-0
4.82
2-1-0
5.74
2-0-1
3.79
0-2-1
4.87
2-1-0
6.73
1-0-2
4.62
1-0-2
5.60
1-0-2
2.90
2-0-1
5.62
FC DAC 1904
2-0-1
3.62
—
0-2-1
3.17
1-2-0
4.69
1-0-2
2.21
0-1-2
3.14
2-1-0
5.52
0-3-0
3.52
2-0-1
4.02
0-2-1
2.76
2-1-0
4.34
Ruzomberok
0-1-2
3.47
1-2-0
5.12
—
2-1-0
4.88
2-0-1
3.42
2-1-0
4.29
2-0-1
6.06
1-1-1
3.68
3-0-0
5.28
0-0-3
2.76
2-1-0
5.63
Senica
0-1-2
2.59
0-2-1
3.60
0-1-2
3.41
—
0-0-3
2.75
2-0-1
3.68
1-1-1
4.88
0-1-2
3.43
2-1-0
4.42
1-0-2
1.65
1-0-2
4.31
Slovan Bratislava
1-0-2
4.50
2-0-1
6.13
1-0-2
4.87
3-0-0
5.55
—
1-1-1
4.80
2-1-0
6.97
2-0-1
4.53
3-0-0
6.32
1-0-2
3.89
2-1-0
6.27
Spartak Trnava
1-2-0
3.42
2-1-0
5.16
0-1-2
3.99
1-0-2
4.60
1-1-1
3.49
—
3-0-0
6.06
1-1-1
3.55
1-0-2
5.51
0-0-3
3.19
2-1-0
5.50
Tatran Presov
0-1-2
1.68
0-1-2
2.80
1-0-2
2.28
1-1-1
3.41
0-1-2
1.47
0-0-3
2.29
—
0-1-2
2.21
0-3-0
3.57
0-1-2
1.64
1-1-1
3.45
ZP Sport Podbrezova
2-0-1
3.67
0-3-0
4.78
1-1-1
4.60
2-1-0
4.88
1-0-2
3.75
1-1-1
4.74
2-1-0
6.14
—
2-0-1
5.75
0-1-2
2.60
1-1-1
5.98
Zemplin Michalovce
2-0-1
2.70
1-0-2
4.26
0-0-3
3.02
0-1-2
3.86
0-0-3
2.03
2-0-1
2.79
0-3-0
4.72
1-0-2
2.56
—
0-0-3
2.11
2-1-0
4.53
Zilina
2-0-1
5.41
1-2-0
5.53
3-0-0
5.54
2-0-1
6.75
2-0-1
4.40
3-0-0
5.13
2-1-0
6.78
2-1-0
5.72
3-0-0
6.26
—
3-0-0
6.44
Zlate Moravce
1-0-2
2.70
0-1-2
3.94
0-1-2
2.69
2-0-1
3.97
0-1-2
2.08
0-1-2
2.81
1-1-1
4.83
1-1-1
2.34
0-1-2
3.76
0-0-3
1.94
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.86 +8.2
Allowed 0.61 -10.5
Differential 0.95 +5.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%9.39%6.97%2.12%2.12%1.21%28.48%
19.39%10.91%6.67%3.94%1.21%1.21%33.33%
26.97%6.67%4.24%2.73%0.30%—20.91%
32.12%3.94%2.73%1.21%0.61%—10.61%
42.12%1.21%0.30%0.61%——4.24%
5+1.21%1.21%————2.42%
Total28.48%33.33%20.91%10.61%4.24%2.42%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.38 +0.00
SD 1.31 1.31 1.99
CV 0.95 0.95 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 165

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.67%6.67%6.67%3.33%—23.33%
1—10.00%6.67%———16.67%
210.00%16.67%————26.67%
33.33%3.33%6.67%6.67%6.67%—26.67%
43.33%3.33%————6.67%
5+———————
Total16.67%40.00%20.00%13.33%10.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.60 +0.17
SD 1.28 1.22 1.90
CV 0.72 0.76 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%10.00%3.33%——3.33%30.00%
113.33%13.33%3.33%———30.00%
23.33%10.00%13.33%6.67%——33.33%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total36.67%33.33%20.00%6.67%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.13 +0.10
SD 1.14 1.31 1.77
CV 0.92 1.15 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%—3.33%———6.67%
113.33%13.33%10.00%10.00%——46.67%
23.33%13.33%3.33%3.33%——23.33%
3—6.67%3.33%3.33%——13.33%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+3.33%3.33%————6.67%
Total26.67%36.67%20.00%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 1.27 +0.57
SD 1.37 1.05 1.83
CV 0.75 0.83 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%20.00%6.67%3.33%——40.00%
113.33%13.33%13.33%3.33%——43.33%
26.67%——3.33%3.33%—13.33%
3———————
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%20.00%10.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.17 -0.33
SD 0.91 1.12 1.45
CV 1.10 0.96 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%10.00%3.33%———16.67%
113.33%6.67%10.00%———30.00%
210.00%3.33%—6.67%——20.00%
33.33%13.33%10.00%———26.67%
4———3.33%——3.33%
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total30.00%36.67%23.33%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.80 1.13 +0.67
SD 1.30 0.97 1.45
CV 0.72 0.86 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%13.33%6.67%3.33%—3.33%36.67%
120.00%10.00%6.67%———36.67%
23.33%3.33%—3.33%——10.00%
3—6.67%—3.33%——10.00%
43.33%——3.33%——6.67%
5+———————
Total36.67%33.33%13.33%13.33%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 1.23 -0.10
SD 1.22 1.50 1.94
CV 1.08 1.22 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%3.33%13.33%10.00%13.33%6.67%53.33%
16.67%20.00%3.33%6.67%——36.67%
2—3.33%6.67%———10.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total13.33%26.67%23.33%16.67%13.33%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.57 2.10 -1.53
SD 0.68 1.47 1.85
CV 1.20 0.70 —
Max 2 5 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.00%10.00%—3.33%—33.33%
110.00%13.33%——3.33%—26.67%
220.00%3.33%6.67%3.33%——33.33%
3—6.67%————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.00%33.33%16.67%3.33%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 1.03 +0.10
SD 0.97 1.16 1.63
CV 0.86 1.12 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%13.33%6.67%—3.33%—33.33%
13.33%—6.67%20.00%3.33%3.33%36.67%
26.67%6.67%6.67%———20.00%
3——3.33%———3.33%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total20.00%26.67%23.33%20.00%6.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.83 -0.67
SD 1.23 1.56 2.06
CV 1.06 0.85 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
110.00%3.33%3.33%———16.67%
210.00%10.00%10.00%———30.00%
36.67%3.33%6.67%———16.67%
410.00%6.67%3.33%———20.00%
5+6.67%3.33%————10.00%
Total43.33%30.00%26.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.73 0.83 +1.90
SD 1.78 0.83 2.12
CV 0.65 1.00 —
Max 7 2 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%13.33%13.33%———33.33%
1—16.67%10.00%3.33%6.67%10.00%46.67%
23.33%3.33%—3.33%——10.00%
36.67%3.33%————10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%36.67%23.33%6.67%6.67%10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.83 -0.87
SD 0.93 1.60 1.93
CV 0.96 0.87 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Zilina 1709 73 57.72 +15.28 99.0% 42 46 52 57 63 69 77
Slovan Bratislava 1603 57 53.38 +3.62 70.0% 35 40 48 54 58 64 69
Ruzomberok 1557 52 44.72 +7.28 85.0% 25 32 41 45 49 54 57
AS Trencin 1542 47 49.96 -2.96 37.0% 31 39 46 49 54 62 66
FC DAC 1904 1472 42 37.95 +4.05 78.0% 22 26 34 37 42 50 57
ZP Sport Podbrezova 1457 45 46.56 -1.56 48.0% 30 35 43 46 51 59 62
Spartak Trnava 1450 43 44.12 -1.12 51.0% 27 30 40 43 48 55 58
Senica 1381 28 34.79 -6.79 13.0% 23 25 30 35 39 44 48
Zemplin Michalovce 1365 29 34.08 -5.08 28.0% 19 23 29 33 40 45 49
Zlate Moravce 1314 22 29.96 -7.96 13.0% 16 20 26 29 34 41 46
Tatran Presov 1213 19 24.32 -5.32 23.0% 13 16 20 24 29 32 46

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 19% * Slight Edge: 19% to 23.5% * Clear Edge: 23.5% to 29.5% * Strong Edge: 29.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+22.42%
Slight Edge
49.70%23.03%27.27%
Elo Value
Home Edge
160 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
079.26400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.53 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.50+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.12 * Tight Race: 0.12 to 0.24 * Comfortable: 0.24 to 0.36 * Runaway: 0.36 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.6
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
55%
Zilina, 1st of 11
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.53/gm
Runaway
00.200.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.4 * Some Luck: 5.4 to 8.1 * Lucky: 8.1 to 10.8 * Wild Swing: 10.8 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.08 * Close: 1.08 to 1.61 * Off: 1.61 to 2.15 * Way Off: 2.15 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 11 * As Expected: 11 to 17.6 * Several Outliers: 17.6 to 24.2 * Many Outliers: 24.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.69 points
Some Luck
06.7517
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.55
Pinpoint
01.353
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.45%
99.00%
Zilina
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.55%
13.00%
Senica
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 11
Minimal Outliers
01.111

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Wide Separation: 2.1 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 64.5% * Slight Edge: 64.5% to 68.5% * Clear Edge: 68.5% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85.5% * Clear Edge: 85.5% to 89.5% * Strong Edge: 89.5% to 93.5% * Dominant: 93.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 62.5% * Frequent: 62.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 16% * Frequent: 16% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Lopsided
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 140.19
2.21
Wide Separation
11.652.13
Interquartile Edge
73%
Clear Edge
50%64.5%73.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
95%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
62%
Some Drama
0%55%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Occasional
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.36 * Slight Separation: 0.36 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.52 * Strong Carryover: 0.52 to 0.63 * Near-Lock: 0.63 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18.5% * As Expected: 18.5% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 24.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 20.5% * Very Shaky: 20.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.40
Notable Separation
00.360.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.97
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.74
Near-Lock
00.380.521
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.30
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.11
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.069
Well Within Noise
00.1290.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011
Zilina55.00%20.00%14.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%—————
Slovan Bratislava26.00%30.00%20.00%8.00%6.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%——
Ruzomberok2.00%6.00%13.00%26.00%17.00%13.00%10.00%6.00%4.00%3.00%—
AS Trencin10.00%20.00%22.00%18.00%16.00%3.00%6.00%2.00%3.00%——
ZP Sport Podbrezova7.00%11.00%12.00%18.00%16.00%17.00%14.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%—
Spartak Trnava—9.00%16.00%10.00%17.00%22.00%15.00%6.00%2.00%3.00%—
FC DAC 1904—4.00%2.00%8.00%8.00%17.00%19.00%15.00%18.00%6.00%3.00%
Zemplin Michalovce———2.00%12.00%6.00%11.00%20.00%17.00%24.00%8.00%
Senica——1.00%2.00%4.00%10.00%16.00%32.00%20.00%13.00%2.00%
Zlate Moravce———1.00%1.00%4.00%7.00%11.00%28.00%23.00%25.00%
Tatran Presov———1.00%———5.00%6.00%26.00%62.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
AS Trencin 100%
FC DAC 1904 100%
Ruzomberok 100%
Senica 100%
Slovan Bratislava 100%
Spartak Trnava 100%
Tatran Presov 100%
ZP Sport Podbrezova 100%
Zemplin Michalovce 100%
Zilina 100%
Zlate Moravce 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2016-07-16 Tatran Presov W 1-041.9 1457 1409 54.40% 23.46% 22.14%+0.80 +7.3 3
2016-07-16 @ Ruzomberok L 0-141.9 1409 1457 22.14% 23.46% 54.40%-0.80 -7.3 0
2016-07-16 AS Trencin W 2-162.1 1406 1610 22.40% 23.50% 54.10%-0.78 +14.3 3
2016-07-16 @ Zemplin Michalovce L 1-262.1 1610 1406 54.10% 23.50% 22.40%+0.78 -14.4 0
2016-07-17 FC DAC 1904 D 2-264.6 1464 1414 54.59% 23.43% 21.97%+0.81 -1.5 1
2016-07-17 @ Zilina D 2-264.6 1414 1464 21.97% 23.43% 54.59%-0.81 +1.5 1
2016-07-17 Slovan Bratislava L 0-146.0 1390 1547 27.57% 24.07% 48.37%-0.49 -8.8 0
2016-07-17 @ Senica W 1-046.0 1547 1390 48.37% 24.07% 27.57%+0.49 +8.8 3
2016-07-17 Spartak Trnava D 1-161.8 1466 1504 43.53% 24.33% 32.14%+0.26 -0.7 1
2016-07-17 @ ZP Sport Podbrezova D 1-161.8 1504 1466 32.14% 24.33% 43.53%-0.26 +0.7 1
2016-07-23 Ruzomberok W 3-256.1 1462 1464 48.29% 24.07% 27.64%+0.48 +7.9 4
2016-07-23 @ Zilina L 2-356.1 1464 1462 27.64% 24.07% 48.29%-0.48 -7.9 3
2016-07-23 Senica W 3-036.1 1596 1381 69.85% 19.82% 10.34%+1.84 +9.6 3
2016-07-23 @ AS Trencin L 0-336.1 1381 1596 10.34% 19.82% 69.85%-1.84 -9.6 0
2016-07-24 FC DAC 1904 W 2-147.7 1505 1415 58.87% 22.76% 18.36%+1.06 +5.8 4
2016-07-24 @ Spartak Trnava L 1-247.7 1415 1505 18.36% 22.76% 58.87%-1.06 -5.9 1
2016-07-24 Zemplin Michalovce D 0-052.7 1401 1421 46.11% 24.21% 29.68%+0.38 -1.1 1
2016-07-24 @ Tatran Presov D 0-052.7 1421 1401 29.68% 24.21% 46.11%-0.38 +1.1 4
2016-07-24 Zlate Moravce W 3-251.8 1556 1396 65.46% 21.23% 13.31%+1.50 +4.1 6
2016-07-24 @ Slovan Bratislava L 2-351.8 1396 1556 13.31% 21.23% 65.46%-1.50 -4.1 0
2016-07-30 Tatran Presov W 4-035.9 1470 1400 56.77% 23.12% 20.11%+0.93 +24.1 7
2016-07-30 @ Zilina L 0-435.9 1400 1470 20.11% 23.12% 56.77%-0.93 -24.1 1
2016-07-30 AS Trencin W 3-051.4 1392 1606 21.43% 23.35% 55.22%-0.84 +42.5 3
2016-07-30 @ Zlate Moravce L 0-351.4 1606 1392 55.22% 23.35% 21.43%+0.84 -42.5 3
2016-07-30 Zemplin Michalovce W 2-040.8 1372 1422 41.91% 24.38% 33.71%+0.18 +19.5 3
2016-07-30 @ Senica L 0-240.8 1422 1372 33.71% 24.38% 41.91%-0.18 -19.6 4
2016-07-31 Slovan Bratislava W 2-050.1 1465 1560 35.63% 24.42% 39.95%-0.10 +22.3 4
2016-07-31 @ ZP Sport Podbrezova L 0-250.1 1560 1465 39.95% 24.42% 35.63%+0.10 -22.3 6
2016-07-31 Spartak Trnava D 1-161.7 1457 1511 41.33% 24.39% 34.28%+0.16 -0.4 4
2016-07-31 @ Ruzomberok D 1-161.7 1511 1457 34.28% 24.39% 41.33%-0.16 +0.4 5
2016-08-06 FC DAC 1904 W 3-252.5 1537 1409 62.61% 21.98% 15.41%+1.30 +4.7 9
2016-08-06 @ Slovan Bratislava L 2-352.5 1409 1537 15.41% 21.98% 62.61%-1.30 -4.7 1
2016-08-06 Senica L 0-441.6 1376 1391 46.66% 24.18% 29.16%+0.40 -47.9 1
2016-08-06 @ Tatran Presov W 4-041.6 1391 1376 29.16% 24.18% 46.66%-0.40 +47.9 6
2016-08-06 ZP Sport Podbrezova L 0-158.8 1563 1488 57.40% 23.02% 19.58%+0.97 -16.0 3
2016-08-06 @ AS Trencin W 1-058.8 1488 1563 19.58% 23.02% 57.40%-0.97 +16.0 7
2016-08-06 Zlate Moravce D 0-053.0 1402 1434 44.41% 24.29% 31.30%+0.30 -0.9 5
2016-08-06 @ Zemplin Michalovce D 0-053.0 1434 1402 31.30% 24.29% 44.41%-0.30 +0.9 4
2016-08-07 Zilina L 1-260.8 1511 1494 50.71% 23.87% 25.42%+0.60 -13.6 5
2016-08-07 @ Spartak Trnava W 2-160.8 1494 1511 25.42% 23.87% 50.71%-0.60 +13.6 10
2016-08-13 Senica L 0-150.1 1435 1439 48.05% 24.09% 27.86%+0.47 -13.7 4
2016-08-13 @ Zlate Moravce W 1-050.1 1439 1435 27.86% 24.09% 48.05%-0.47 +13.7 9
2016-08-13 Slovan Bratislava W 3-262.2 1456 1542 36.81% 24.43% 38.76%-0.04 +10.3 7
2016-08-13 @ Ruzomberok L 2-362.2 1542 1456 38.76% 24.43% 36.81%+0.04 -10.3 9
2016-08-13 Tatran Presov W 2-034.2 1498 1328 66.25% 21.00% 12.75%+1.56 +8.2 8
2016-08-13 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-234.2 1328 1498 12.75% 21.00% 66.25%-1.56 -8.2 1
2016-08-13 AS Trencin L 2-357.5 1405 1547 29.29% 24.19% 46.52%-0.40 -8.3 1
2016-08-13 @ FC DAC 1904 W 3-257.5 1547 1405 46.52% 24.19% 29.29%+0.40 +8.3 6
2016-08-13 Zemplin Michalovce W 1-041.4 1504 1401 60.14% 22.52% 17.34%+1.14 +5.9 10
2016-08-13 @ ZP Sport Podbrezova L 0-141.4 1401 1504 17.34% 22.52% 60.14%-1.14 -5.9 5
2016-08-20 FC DAC 1904 W 1-041.7 1395 1396 48.46% 24.06% 27.48%+0.49 +8.8 8
2016-08-20 @ Zemplin Michalovce L 0-141.7 1396 1395 27.48% 24.06% 48.46%-0.49 -8.8 1
2016-08-20 ZP Sport Podbrezova L 0-151.0 1453 1510 40.98% 24.40% 34.62%+0.14 -12.0 9
2016-08-20 @ Senica W 1-051.0 1510 1453 34.62% 24.40% 40.98%-0.14 +12.0 13
2016-08-20 Zilina W 1-048.8 1532 1508 51.57% 23.79% 24.64%+0.65 +8.1 12
2016-08-20 @ Slovan Bratislava L 0-148.8 1508 1532 24.64% 23.79% 51.57%-0.65 -8.0 10
2016-08-20 Zlate Moravce W 1-044.9 1320 1421 34.71% 24.40% 40.89%-0.14 +12.0 4
2016-08-20 @ Tatran Presov L 0-144.9 1421 1320 40.89% 24.40% 34.71%+0.14 -12.0 4
2016-08-21 Ruzomberok W 3-148.7 1555 1466 58.80% 22.78% 18.43%+1.05 +10.2 9
2016-08-21 @ AS Trencin L 1-348.7 1466 1555 18.43% 22.78% 58.80%-1.05 -10.2 7
2016-08-25 Senica D 0-052.8 1388 1441 41.49% 24.39% 34.12%+0.16 -0.5 2
2016-08-25 @ FC DAC 1904 D 0-052.8 1441 1388 34.12% 24.39% 41.49%-0.16 +0.5 10
2016-08-27 Slovan Bratislava D 0-060.2 1506 1540 44.12% 24.30% 31.57%+0.28 -0.9 9
2016-08-27 @ Spartak Trnava D 0-060.2 1540 1506 31.57% 24.30% 44.12%-0.28 +0.8 13
2016-08-27 Zemplin Michalovce W 4-036.2 1456 1404 54.83% 23.40% 21.77%+0.82 +25.9 10
2016-08-27 @ Ruzomberok L 0-436.2 1404 1456 21.77% 23.40% 54.83%-0.82 -25.9 8
2016-08-27 Zlate Moravce D 1-161.0 1522 1409 61.13% 22.31% 16.56%+1.20 -2.9 14
2016-08-27 @ ZP Sport Podbrezova D 1-161.0 1409 1522 16.56% 22.31% 61.13%-1.20 +2.9 5
2016-08-28 AS Trencin W 4-047.9 1500 1566 39.69% 24.42% 35.89%+0.08 +38.9 13
2016-08-28 @ Zilina L 0-447.9 1566 1500 35.89% 24.42% 39.69%-0.08 -38.9 9
2016-09-10 FC DAC 1904 D 1-156.7 1412 1387 51.67% 23.78% 24.55%+0.65 -1.7 6
2016-09-10 @ Zlate Moravce D 1-156.7 1387 1412 24.55% 23.78% 51.67%-0.65 +1.7 3
2016-09-10 Ruzomberok D 1-160.1 1441 1482 43.17% 24.34% 32.49%+0.24 -0.6 11
2016-09-10 @ Senica D 1-160.1 1482 1441 32.49% 24.34% 43.17%-0.24 +0.6 11
2016-09-10 Spartak Trnava D 3-373.8 1527 1505 51.26% 23.82% 24.92%+0.63 -1.0 10
2016-09-10 @ AS Trencin D 3-373.8 1505 1527 24.92% 23.82% 51.26%-0.63 +1.0 10
2016-09-10 ZP Sport Podbrezova L 0-239.2 1332 1519 24.23% 23.74% 52.03%-0.67 -15.0 4
2016-09-10 @ Tatran Presov W 2-039.2 1519 1332 52.03% 23.74% 24.23%+0.67 +15.0 17
2016-09-10 Zilina L 0-242.2 1378 1539 27.16% 24.03% 48.81%-0.51 -16.5 8
2016-09-10 @ Zemplin Michalovce W 2-042.2 1539 1378 48.81% 24.03% 27.16%+0.51 +16.5 16
2016-09-17 Senica W 4-250.9 1555 1441 61.33% 22.27% 16.40%+1.21 +8.2 19
2016-09-17 @ Zilina L 2-450.9 1441 1555 16.40% 22.27% 61.33%-1.21 -8.2 11
2016-09-17 Tatran Presov D 1-159.5 1541 1317 70.50% 19.58% 9.93%+1.89 -4.1 14
2016-09-17 @ Slovan Bratislava D 1-159.5 1317 1541 9.93% 19.58% 70.50%-1.89 +4.1 5
2016-09-17 ZP Sport Podbrezova D 0-055.7 1389 1534 29.01% 24.17% 46.82%-0.41 +1.2 4
2016-09-17 @ FC DAC 1904 D 0-055.7 1534 1389 46.82% 24.17% 29.01%+0.41 -1.2 18
2016-09-17 Zemplin Michalovce L 2-364.4 1506 1362 64.08% 21.61% 14.31%+1.40 -15.9 10
2016-09-17 @ Spartak Trnava W 3-264.4 1362 1506 14.31% 21.61% 64.08%-1.40 +15.9 11
2016-09-17 Zlate Moravce W 6-139.5 1483 1410 57.06% 23.07% 19.87%+0.95 +24.3 14
2016-09-17 @ Ruzomberok L 1-639.5 1410 1483 19.87% 23.07% 57.06%-0.95 -24.3 6
2016-09-24 FC DAC 1904 L 0-339.1 1321 1390 39.29% 24.42% 36.28%+0.07 -31.9 5
2016-09-24 @ Tatran Presov W 3-039.1 1390 1321 36.28% 24.42% 39.29%-0.07 +31.9 7
2016-09-24 Ruzomberok W 3-151.5 1532 1507 51.70% 23.77% 24.53%+0.65 +13.1 21
2016-09-24 @ ZP Sport Podbrezova L 1-351.5 1507 1532 24.53% 23.77% 51.70%-0.65 -13.1 14
2016-09-24 Slovan Bratislava W 2-156.4 1526 1537 47.17% 24.15% 28.68%+0.43 +8.6 13
2016-09-24 @ AS Trencin L 1-256.4 1537 1526 28.68% 24.15% 47.17%-0.43 -8.6 14
2016-09-24 Spartak Trnava L 0-149.6 1432 1490 40.83% 24.40% 34.77%+0.13 -12.0 11
2016-09-24 @ Senica W 1-049.6 1490 1432 34.77% 24.40% 40.83%-0.13 +12.0 13
2016-09-24 Zilina L 0-242.7 1386 1563 25.24% 23.85% 50.91%-0.61 -15.5 6
2016-09-24 @ Zlate Moravce W 2-042.7 1563 1386 50.91% 23.85% 25.24%+0.61 +15.5 22
2016-10-01 FC DAC 1904 D 2-265.9 1494 1422 57.03% 23.08% 19.89%+0.95 -1.8 15
2016-10-01 @ Ruzomberok D 2-265.9 1422 1494 19.89% 23.08% 57.03%-0.95 +1.8 8
2016-10-01 ZP Sport Podbrezova W 1-051.4 1579 1545 52.65% 23.67% 23.67%+0.70 +7.8 25
2016-10-01 @ Zilina L 0-151.4 1545 1579 23.67% 23.67% 52.65%-0.70 -7.8 21
2016-10-01 Zemplin Michalovce W 3-142.7 1528 1378 64.62% 21.47% 13.92%+1.44 +7.8 17
2016-10-01 @ Slovan Bratislava L 1-342.7 1378 1528 13.92% 21.47% 64.62%-1.44 -7.8 11
2016-10-01 Zlate Moravce W 1-039.5 1502 1370 62.95% 21.90% 15.16%+1.32 +5.2 16
2016-10-01 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-139.5 1370 1502 15.16% 21.90% 62.95%-1.32 -5.2 6
2016-10-02 Tatran Presov D 1-158.8 1534 1289 72.03% 18.98% 8.99%+2.03 -4.3 14
2016-10-02 @ AS Trencin D 1-158.8 1289 1534 8.99% 18.98% 72.03%-2.03 +4.3 6
2016-10-15 Ruzomberok W 2-154.7 1294 1492 22.96% 23.58% 53.46%-0.75 +14.2 9
2016-10-15 @ Tatran Presov L 1-254.7 1492 1294 53.46% 23.58% 22.96%+0.75 -14.2 15
2016-10-15 AS Trencin W 2-048.1 1370 1530 27.18% 24.03% 48.78%-0.51 +26.2 14
2016-10-15 @ Zemplin Michalovce L 0-248.1 1530 1370 48.78% 24.03% 27.18%+0.51 -26.2 14
2016-10-15 ZP Sport Podbrezova L 0-252.2 1507 1538 44.63% 24.28% 31.09%+0.31 -24.3 16
2016-10-15 @ Spartak Trnava W 2-052.2 1538 1507 31.09% 24.28% 44.63%-0.31 +24.3 24
2016-10-15 Zilina L 0-644.0 1424 1586 26.87% 24.01% 49.12%-0.52 -45.3 8
2016-10-15 @ FC DAC 1904 W 6-044.0 1586 1424 49.12% 24.01% 26.87%+0.52 +45.3 28
2016-10-16 Senica W 2-039.8 1536 1420 61.42% 22.25% 16.33%+1.22 +10.5 20
2016-10-16 @ Slovan Bratislava L 0-239.8 1420 1536 16.33% 22.25% 61.42%-1.22 -10.5 11
2016-10-22 Slovan Bratislava L 1-542.7 1365 1546 24.83% 23.81% 51.37%-0.64 -24.1 6
2016-10-22 @ Zlate Moravce W 5-142.7 1546 1365 51.37% 23.81% 24.83%+0.64 +24.1 23
2016-10-22 Tatran Presov D 2-261.0 1396 1308 58.73% 22.79% 18.49%+1.05 -1.9 15
2016-10-22 @ Zemplin Michalovce D 2-261.0 1308 1396 18.49% 22.79% 58.73%-1.05 +2.0 10
2016-10-22 AS Trencin L 1-253.2 1410 1504 35.71% 24.42% 39.88%-0.09 -10.2 11
2016-10-22 @ Senica W 2-153.2 1504 1410 39.88% 24.42% 35.71%+0.09 +10.2 17
2016-10-22 Zilina L 0-249.4 1478 1632 27.94% 24.09% 47.97%-0.47 -16.8 15
2016-10-22 @ Ruzomberok W 2-049.4 1632 1478 47.97% 24.09% 27.94%+0.47 +16.8 31
2016-10-23 FC DAC 1904 W 1-039.9 1483 1378 60.37% 22.47% 17.16%+1.15 +5.8 19
2016-10-23 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-139.9 1378 1483 17.16% 22.47% 60.37%-1.15 -5.8 8
2016-10-29 Ruzomberok L 0-153.7 1489 1461 52.00% 23.74% 24.26%+0.67 -14.7 19
2016-10-29 @ Spartak Trnava W 1-053.7 1461 1489 24.26% 23.74% 52.00%-0.67 +14.7 18
2016-10-29 Senica D 0-052.0 1394 1400 47.89% 24.10% 28.01%+0.46 -1.4 16
2016-10-29 @ Zemplin Michalovce D 0-052.0 1400 1394 28.01% 24.10% 47.89%-0.46 +1.4 12
2016-10-29 Zlate Moravce W 2-034.9 1514 1341 66.53% 20.92% 12.55%+1.58 +8.1 20
2016-10-29 @ AS Trencin L 0-234.9 1341 1514 12.55% 20.92% 66.53%-1.58 -8.1 6
2016-10-30 ZP Sport Podbrezova W 2-049.6 1570 1562 49.65% 23.97% 26.39%+0.55 +16.1 26
2016-10-30 @ Slovan Bratislava L 0-249.6 1562 1570 26.39% 23.97% 49.65%-0.55 -16.1 24
2016-10-30 Zilina D 1-162.5 1310 1649 12.12% 20.73% 67.15%-1.62 +3.7 11
2016-10-30 @ Tatran Presov D 1-162.5 1649 1310 67.15% 20.73% 12.12%+1.62 -3.7 32
2016-11-04 AS Trencin W 2-155.3 1546 1522 51.53% 23.79% 24.68%+0.64 +7.6 27
2016-11-04 @ ZP Sport Podbrezova L 1-255.3 1522 1546 24.68% 23.79% 51.53%-0.64 -7.6 20
2016-11-05 Tatran Presov D 0-051.0 1401 1313 58.65% 22.80% 18.55%+1.04 -2.9 13
2016-11-05 @ Senica D 0-051.0 1313 1401 18.55% 22.80% 58.65%-1.04 +2.9 12
2016-11-05 Zlate Moravce W 5-136.9 1393 1333 55.67% 23.29% 21.04%+0.87 +20.9 19
2016-11-05 @ Zemplin Michalovce L 1-536.9 1333 1393 21.04% 23.29% 55.67%-0.87 -20.9 6
2016-11-06 FC DAC 1904 W 1-040.4 1587 1373 69.78% 19.84% 10.38%+1.83 +3.5 29
2016-11-06 @ Slovan Bratislava L 0-140.4 1373 1587 10.38% 19.84% 69.78%-1.83 -3.5 8
2016-11-06 Spartak Trnava W 7-043.2 1645 1474 66.35% 20.97% 12.67%+1.56 +26.3 35
2016-11-06 @ Zilina L 0-743.2 1474 1645 12.67% 20.97% 66.35%-1.56 -26.3 19
2016-11-19 Spartak Trnava L 1-344.9 1316 1448 30.67% 24.26% 45.07%-0.33 -15.7 12
2016-11-19 @ Tatran Presov W 3-144.9 1448 1316 45.07% 24.26% 30.67%+0.33 +15.7 22
2016-11-19 AS Trencin W 2-047.1 1369 1514 28.93% 24.16% 46.91%-0.41 +25.4 11
2016-11-19 @ FC DAC 1904 L 0-247.1 1514 1369 46.91% 24.16% 28.93%+0.41 -25.4 20
2016-11-19 ZP Sport Podbrezova L 1-350.4 1414 1554 29.63% 24.21% 46.16%-0.38 -15.3 19
2016-11-19 @ Zemplin Michalovce W 3-150.4 1554 1414 46.16% 24.21% 29.63%+0.38 +15.3 30
2016-11-19 Zlate Moravce L 1-351.9 1398 1312 58.48% 22.83% 18.69%+1.03 -26.7 13
2016-11-19 @ Senica W 3-151.9 1312 1398 18.69% 22.83% 58.48%-1.03 +26.7 9
2016-11-20 Ruzomberok W 2-152.3 1590 1476 61.29% 22.28% 16.43%+1.21 +5.3 32
2016-11-20 @ Slovan Bratislava L 1-252.3 1476 1590 16.43% 22.28% 61.29%-1.21 -5.3 18
2016-11-26 Senica W 2-037.1 1569 1371 68.51% 20.29% 11.20%+1.73 +7.2 33
2016-11-26 @ ZP Sport Podbrezova L 0-237.1 1371 1569 11.20% 20.29% 68.51%-1.73 -7.2 13
2016-11-26 Slovan Bratislava W 2-158.6 1671 1595 57.42% 23.01% 19.56%+0.97 +6.2 38
2016-11-26 @ Zilina L 1-258.6 1595 1671 19.56% 23.01% 57.42%-0.97 -6.2 32
2016-11-26 Tatran Presov W 3-033.2 1339 1301 53.23% 23.60% 23.16%+0.73 +20.9 12
2016-11-26 @ Zlate Moravce L 0-333.2 1301 1339 23.16% 23.60% 53.23%-0.73 -20.9 12
2016-11-26 Zemplin Michalovce W 2-147.3 1394 1398 48.07% 24.09% 27.85%+0.47 +8.4 14
2016-11-26 @ FC DAC 1904 L 1-247.3 1398 1394 27.85% 24.09% 48.07%-0.47 -8.4 19
2016-11-27 AS Trencin D 3-371.0 1471 1489 46.19% 24.21% 29.61%+0.38 -0.6 19
2016-11-27 @ Ruzomberok D 3-371.0 1489 1471 29.61% 24.21% 46.19%-0.38 +0.6 21
2016-12-03 FC DAC 1904 D 1-155.9 1364 1403 43.50% 24.33% 32.17%+0.25 -0.7 14
2016-12-03 @ Senica D 1-155.9 1403 1364 32.17% 24.33% 43.50%-0.25 +0.7 15
2016-12-03 AS Trencin W 3-043.2 1677 1490 67.74% 20.54% 11.72%+1.67 +11.0 41
2016-12-03 @ Zilina L 0-343.2 1490 1677 11.72% 20.54% 67.74%-1.67 -11.0 21
2016-12-03 ZP Sport Podbrezova W 2-051.1 1360 1576 21.22% 23.32% 55.46%-0.86 +29.3 15
2016-12-03 @ Zlate Moravce L 0-251.1 1576 1360 55.46% 23.32% 21.22%+0.86 -29.3 33
2016-12-04 Spartak Trnava L 0-160.1 1589 1464 62.36% 22.03% 15.60%+1.28 -17.3 32
2016-12-04 @ Slovan Bratislava W 1-060.1 1464 1589 15.60% 22.03% 62.36%-1.28 +17.3 25
2016-12-10 Senica W 2-144.5 1470 1364 60.55% 22.43% 17.02%+1.16 +5.5 22
2016-12-10 @ Ruzomberok L 1-244.5 1364 1470 17.02% 22.43% 60.55%-1.16 -5.5 14
2016-12-10 Tatran Presov D 1-159.0 1547 1280 73.53% 18.35% 8.12%+2.17 -4.4 34
2016-12-10 @ ZP Sport Podbrezova D 1-159.0 1280 1547 8.12% 18.35% 73.53%-2.17 +4.4 13
2016-12-10 Zlate Moravce W 1-041.2 1403 1389 50.38% 23.90% 25.72%+0.59 +8.3 18
2016-12-10 @ FC DAC 1904 L 0-141.2 1389 1403 25.72% 23.90% 50.38%-0.59 -8.3 15
2016-12-11 AS Trencin D 1-161.5 1481 1479 48.86% 24.03% 27.12%+0.51 -1.4 26
2016-12-11 @ Spartak Trnava D 1-161.5 1479 1481 27.12% 24.03% 48.86%-0.51 +1.4 22
2016-12-11 Zemplin Michalovce W 7-140.3 1688 1390 75.55% 17.43% 7.02%+2.36 +10.0 44
2016-12-11 @ Zilina L 1-740.3 1390 1688 7.02% 17.43% 75.55%-2.36 -10.0 19
2017-02-18 FC DAC 1904 D 0-057.5 1542 1412 62.83% 21.92% 15.25%+1.31 -3.5 35
2017-02-18 @ ZP Sport Podbrezova D 0-057.5 1412 1542 15.25% 21.92% 62.83%-1.31 +3.5 19
2017-02-18 Zilina W 2-058.3 1358 1698 12.04% 20.69% 67.27%-1.63 +34.9 17
2017-02-18 @ Senica L 0-258.3 1698 1358 67.27% 20.69% 12.04%+1.63 -34.9 44
2017-02-19 Ruzomberok D 1-158.0 1381 1475 35.59% 24.42% 39.99%-0.10 +0.3 16
2017-02-19 @ Zlate Moravce D 1-158.0 1475 1381 39.99% 24.42% 35.59%+0.10 -0.3 23
2017-02-19 Slovan Bratislava L 0-236.1 1284 1572 15.34% 21.95% 62.70%-1.30 -9.9 13
2017-02-19 @ Tatran Presov W 2-036.1 1572 1284 62.70% 21.95% 15.34%+1.30 +9.9 35
2017-02-21 Spartak Trnava W 2-044.6 1380 1480 34.92% 24.40% 40.67%-0.13 +22.6 22
2017-02-21 @ Zemplin Michalovce L 0-244.6 1480 1380 40.67% 24.40% 34.92%+0.13 -22.6 26
2017-02-25 Senica L 0-151.5 1457 1393 56.15% 23.22% 20.64%+0.90 -15.7 26
2017-02-25 @ Spartak Trnava W 1-051.5 1393 1457 20.64% 23.22% 56.15%-0.90 +15.7 20
2017-02-25 Tatran Presov W 5-030.4 1415 1274 63.79% 21.69% 14.53%+1.38 +21.9 22
2017-02-25 @ FC DAC 1904 L 0-530.4 1274 1415 14.53% 21.69% 63.79%-1.38 -21.9 13
2017-02-25 AS Trencin W 4-360.3 1582 1480 60.06% 22.53% 17.41%+1.13 +5.1 38
2017-02-25 @ Slovan Bratislava L 3-460.3 1480 1582 17.41% 22.53% 60.06%-1.13 -5.2 22
2017-02-26 ZP Sport Podbrezova D 0-059.0 1475 1539 40.03% 24.41% 35.55%+0.10 -0.3 24
2017-02-26 @ Ruzomberok D 0-059.0 1539 1475 35.55% 24.41% 40.03%-0.10 +0.3 36
2017-02-26 Zlate Moravce W 4-142.3 1663 1381 74.55% 17.89% 7.56%+2.26 +5.8 47
2017-02-26 @ Zilina L 1-442.3 1381 1663 7.56% 17.89% 74.55%-2.26 -5.8 16
2017-03-01 Ruzomberok L 1-350.2 1403 1475 38.79% 24.43% 36.78%+0.04 -18.9 22
2017-03-01 @ Zemplin Michalovce W 3-150.2 1475 1403 36.78% 24.43% 38.79%-0.04 +18.8 27
2017-03-04 Ruzomberok D 1-160.4 1437 1494 41.02% 24.40% 34.58%+0.14 -0.4 23
2017-03-04 @ FC DAC 1904 D 1-160.4 1494 1437 34.58% 24.40% 41.02%-0.14 +0.4 28
2017-03-04 Spartak Trnava D 0-052.5 1375 1441 39.67% 24.42% 35.91%+0.08 -0.2 17
2017-03-04 @ Zlate Moravce D 0-052.5 1441 1375 35.91% 24.42% 39.67%-0.08 +0.2 27
2017-03-04 AS Trencin L 1-243.7 1252 1475 20.63% 23.21% 56.16%-0.90 -6.5 13
2017-03-04 @ Tatran Presov W 2-143.7 1475 1252 56.16% 23.21% 20.63%+0.90 +6.5 25
2017-03-05 Zemplin Michalovce W 3-143.7 1587 1384 68.95% 20.13% 10.91%+1.77 +6.1 41
2017-03-05 @ Slovan Bratislava L 1-343.7 1384 1587 10.91% 20.13% 68.95%-1.77 -6.1 22
2017-03-05 Zilina D 2-275.1 1539 1669 30.84% 24.27% 44.89%-0.32 +0.6 37
2017-03-05 @ ZP Sport Podbrezova D 2-275.1 1669 1539 44.89% 24.27% 30.84%+0.32 -0.6 48
2017-03-11 Slovan Bratislava L 0-147.4 1409 1593 24.48% 23.77% 51.75%-0.66 -8.0 20
2017-03-11 @ Senica W 1-047.4 1593 1409 51.75% 23.77% 24.48%+0.66 +8.0 44
2017-03-11 Tatran Presov W 5-028.6 1494 1246 72.26% 18.88% 8.86%+2.05 +13.1 31
2017-03-11 @ Ruzomberok L 0-528.6 1246 1494 8.86% 18.88% 72.26%-2.05 -13.1 13
2017-03-11 Zilina D 2-272.7 1437 1669 19.80% 23.06% 57.14%-0.95 +1.8 24
2017-03-11 @ FC DAC 1904 D 2-272.7 1669 1437 57.14% 23.06% 19.80%+0.95 -1.8 49
2017-03-12 Spartak Trnava L 0-156.8 1540 1442 59.72% 22.60% 17.68%+1.11 -16.6 37
2017-03-12 @ ZP Sport Podbrezova W 1-056.8 1442 1540 17.68% 22.60% 59.72%-1.11 +16.6 30
2017-03-12 Zemplin Michalovce W 4-140.1 1481 1378 60.28% 22.49% 17.23%+1.15 +13.5 28
2017-03-12 @ AS Trencin L 1-440.1 1378 1481 17.23% 22.49% 60.28%-1.15 -13.5 22
2017-03-18 Ruzomberok W 3-151.6 1667 1507 65.41% 21.25% 13.34%+1.49 +7.5 52
2017-03-18 @ Zilina L 1-351.6 1507 1667 13.34% 21.25% 65.41%-1.49 -7.5 31
2017-03-18 Zemplin Michalovce D 2-259.5 1233 1364 30.68% 24.26% 45.06%-0.33 +0.6 14
2017-03-18 @ Tatran Presov D 2-259.5 1364 1233 45.06% 24.26% 30.68%+0.33 -0.7 23
2017-03-18 Zlate Moravce D 1-163.5 1601 1375 70.67% 19.51% 9.82%+1.91 -4.1 45
2017-03-18 @ Slovan Bratislava D 1-163.5 1375 1601 9.82% 19.51% 70.67%-1.91 +4.1 18
2017-03-19 Senica D 1-159.7 1495 1401 59.33% 22.68% 17.99%+1.09 -2.7 29
2017-03-19 @ AS Trencin D 1-159.7 1401 1495 17.99% 22.68% 59.33%-1.09 +2.7 21
2017-03-19 Spartak Trnava D 0-054.8 1439 1458 46.06% 24.21% 29.73%+0.37 -1.1 25
2017-03-19 @ FC DAC 1904 D 0-054.8 1458 1439 29.73% 24.21% 46.06%-0.37 +1.1 31
2017-04-01 Slovan Bratislava L 2-366.4 1523 1597 38.57% 24.43% 37.00%+0.03 -10.3 37
2017-04-01 @ ZP Sport Podbrezova W 3-266.4 1597 1523 37.00% 24.43% 38.57%-0.03 +10.3 48
2017-04-01 AS Trencin L 0-242.6 1379 1492 33.06% 24.36% 42.58%-0.21 -19.3 18
2017-04-01 @ Zlate Moravce W 2-042.6 1492 1379 42.58% 24.36% 33.06%+0.21 +19.3 32
2017-04-01 Zemplin Michalovce W 1-039.8 1403 1364 53.43% 23.58% 22.99%+0.75 +7.6 24
2017-04-01 @ Senica L 0-139.8 1364 1403 22.99% 23.58% 53.43%-0.75 -7.6 23
2017-04-02 Spartak Trnava W 1-045.2 1500 1459 53.50% 23.57% 22.92%+0.75 +7.6 34
2017-04-02 @ Ruzomberok L 0-145.2 1459 1500 22.92% 23.57% 53.50%-0.75 -7.6 31
2017-04-02 Tatran Presov W 3-029.7 1674 1233 83.20% 13.24% 3.57%+3.25 +3.0 55
2017-04-02 @ Zilina L 0-329.7 1233 1674 3.57% 13.24% 83.20%-3.25 -3.0 14
2017-04-07 Senica W 1-046.6 1230 1411 24.87% 23.81% 51.32%-0.63 +14.5 17
2017-04-07 @ Tatran Presov L 0-146.6 1411 1230 51.32% 23.81% 24.87%+0.63 -14.5 24
2017-04-08 Slovan Bratislava W 1-056.6 1438 1607 26.10% 23.94% 49.97%-0.56 +14.2 28
2017-04-08 @ FC DAC 1904 L 0-156.6 1607 1438 49.97% 23.94% 26.10%+0.56 -14.2 48
2017-04-08 Zemplin Michalovce L 1-252.3 1360 1356 49.07% 24.01% 26.92%+0.52 -13.2 18
2017-04-08 @ Zlate Moravce W 2-152.3 1356 1360 26.92% 24.01% 49.07%-0.52 +13.2 26
2017-04-09 ZP Sport Podbrezova W 2-046.2 1512 1513 48.44% 24.06% 27.50%+0.49 +16.6 35
2017-04-09 @ AS Trencin L 0-246.2 1513 1512 27.50% 24.06% 48.44%-0.49 -16.6 37
2017-04-09 Zilina L 1-255.8 1452 1677 20.36% 23.17% 56.47%-0.91 -6.4 31
2017-04-09 @ Spartak Trnava W 2-155.8 1677 1452 56.47% 23.17% 20.36%+0.91 +6.4 58
2017-04-15 Senica W 2-148.2 1347 1396 41.95% 24.38% 33.67%+0.18 +9.8 21
2017-04-15 @ Zlate Moravce L 1-248.2 1396 1347 33.67% 24.38% 41.95%-0.18 -9.8 24
2017-04-15 AS Trencin W 1-050.6 1452 1528 38.19% 24.43% 37.38%+0.02 +11.2 31
2017-04-15 @ FC DAC 1904 L 0-150.6 1528 1452 37.38% 24.43% 38.19%-0.02 -11.2 35
2017-04-15 Zemplin Michalovce L 1-453.7 1496 1369 62.50% 22.00% 15.50%+1.29 -40.0 37
2017-04-15 @ ZP Sport Podbrezova W 4-153.7 1369 1496 15.50% 22.00% 62.50%-1.29 +40.0 29
2017-04-16 Slovan Bratislava W 2-160.8 1507 1593 36.89% 24.43% 38.68%-0.04 +10.9 37
2017-04-16 @ Ruzomberok L 1-260.8 1593 1507 38.68% 24.43% 36.89%+0.04 -10.9 48
2017-04-16 Tatran Presov W 4-028.6 1445 1245 68.74% 20.21% 11.05%+1.75 +13.5 34
2017-04-16 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-428.6 1245 1445 11.05% 20.21% 68.74%-1.75 -13.5 17
2017-04-22 FC DAC 1904 L 1-253.5 1409 1463 41.40% 24.39% 34.21%+0.16 -11.5 29
2017-04-22 @ Zemplin Michalovce W 2-153.5 1463 1409 34.21% 24.39% 41.40%-0.16 +11.5 34
2017-04-22 Ruzomberok W 2-155.0 1517 1518 48.42% 24.06% 27.52%+0.49 +8.3 38
2017-04-22 @ AS Trencin L 1-255.0 1518 1517 27.52% 24.06% 48.42%-0.49 -8.3 37
2017-04-23 ZP Sport Podbrezova D 1-157.6 1387 1456 39.21% 24.42% 36.37%+0.06 -0.2 25
2017-04-23 @ Senica D 1-157.6 1456 1387 36.37% 24.42% 39.21%-0.06 +0.2 38
2017-04-23 Zilina L 0-158.1 1582 1684 34.64% 24.40% 40.96%-0.14 -10.6 48
2017-04-23 @ Slovan Bratislava W 1-058.1 1684 1582 40.96% 24.40% 34.64%+0.14 +10.6 61
2017-04-26 Slovan Bratislava L 0-346.3 1459 1571 33.14% 24.36% 42.50%-0.21 -28.0 34
2017-04-26 @ Spartak Trnava W 3-046.3 1571 1459 42.50% 24.36% 33.14%+0.21 +28.0 51
2017-04-26 Zemplin Michalovce W 3-143.8 1510 1398 61.10% 22.32% 16.58%+1.20 +9.2 40
2017-04-26 @ Ruzomberok L 1-343.8 1398 1510 16.58% 22.32% 61.10%-1.20 -9.2 29
2017-04-26 Zlate Moravce W 2-035.8 1456 1356 59.89% 22.57% 17.55%+1.12 +11.2 41
2017-04-26 @ ZP Sport Podbrezova L 0-235.8 1356 1456 17.55% 22.57% 59.89%-1.12 -11.2 21
2017-04-27 Senica W 1-040.4 1474 1387 58.68% 22.80% 18.53%+1.05 +6.3 37
2017-04-27 @ FC DAC 1904 L 0-140.4 1387 1474 18.53% 22.80% 58.68%-1.05 -6.3 25
2017-04-28 Zilina W 2-167.2 1525 1694 26.16% 23.94% 49.90%-0.56 +13.4 41
2017-04-28 @ AS Trencin L 1-267.2 1694 1525 49.90% 23.94% 26.16%+0.56 -13.4 61
2017-05-03 Zlate Moravce D 1-153.7 1231 1345 32.99% 24.36% 42.65%-0.22 +0.6 18
2017-05-03 @ Tatran Presov D 1-153.7 1345 1231 42.65% 24.36% 32.99%+0.22 -0.6 22
2017-05-06 Ruzomberok L 1-250.8 1380 1519 29.75% 24.21% 46.04%-0.37 -8.8 25
2017-05-06 @ Senica W 2-150.8 1519 1380 46.04% 24.21% 29.75%+0.37 +8.8 43
2017-05-06 ZP Sport Podbrezova L 0-234.5 1232 1467 19.47% 23.00% 57.53%-0.98 -12.3 18
2017-05-06 @ Tatran Presov W 2-034.5 1467 1232 57.53% 23.00% 19.47%+0.98 +12.3 44
2017-05-06 Zilina L 0-146.4 1389 1681 15.01% 21.85% 63.14%-1.33 -5.1 29
2017-05-06 @ Zemplin Michalovce W 1-046.4 1681 1389 63.14% 21.85% 15.01%+1.33 +5.1 64
2017-05-07 FC DAC 1904 L 1-248.8 1345 1481 30.10% 24.23% 45.67%-0.36 -8.9 22
2017-05-07 @ Zlate Moravce W 2-148.8 1481 1345 45.67% 24.23% 30.10%+0.36 +8.9 40
2017-05-07 Spartak Trnava L 3-469.8 1539 1431 60.68% 22.41% 16.91%+1.17 -14.7 41
2017-05-07 @ AS Trencin W 4-369.8 1431 1539 16.91% 22.41% 60.68%-1.17 +14.7 37
2017-05-12 Tatran Presov W 3-135.5 1599 1220 80.21% 15.01% 4.78%+2.87 +2.5 54
2017-05-12 @ Slovan Bratislava L 1-335.5 1220 1599 4.78% 15.01% 80.21%-2.87 -2.5 18
2017-05-13 Senica W 3-252.4 1686 1371 76.55% 16.95% 6.50%+2.46 +1.9 67
2017-05-13 @ Zilina L 2-352.4 1371 1686 6.50% 16.95% 76.55%-2.46 -1.9 25
2017-05-13 Zemplin Michalovce W 1-040.4 1446 1383 55.94% 23.25% 20.81%+0.88 +7.0 40
2017-05-13 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-140.4 1383 1446 20.81% 23.25% 55.94%-0.88 -7.0 29
2017-05-13 Zlate Moravce W 2-143.1 1528 1336 68.11% 20.42% 11.47%+1.70 +3.7 46
2017-05-13 @ Ruzomberok L 1-243.1 1336 1528 11.47% 20.42% 68.11%-1.70 -3.7 22
2017-05-14 ZP Sport Podbrezova D 2-267.6 1490 1480 49.82% 23.95% 26.23%+0.56 -1.1 41
2017-05-14 @ FC DAC 1904 D 2-267.6 1480 1490 26.23% 23.95% 49.82%-0.56 +1.1 45
2017-05-19 FC DAC 1904 D 1-155.5 1217 1489 16.54% 22.31% 61.16%-1.20 +2.9 19
2017-05-19 @ Tatran Presov D 1-155.5 1489 1217 61.16% 22.31% 16.54%+1.20 -2.9 42
2017-05-19 Ruzomberok L 0-153.1 1481 1532 41.81% 24.38% 33.81%+0.18 -12.2 45
2017-05-19 @ ZP Sport Podbrezova W 1-053.1 1532 1481 33.81% 24.38% 41.81%-0.18 +12.2 49
2017-05-19 Slovan Bratislava W 3-266.3 1524 1602 37.96% 24.43% 37.61%+0.01 +10.1 44
2017-05-19 @ AS Trencin L 2-366.3 1602 1524 37.61% 24.43% 37.96%-0.01 -10.1 54
2017-05-19 Spartak Trnava W 1-045.8 1370 1452 37.26% 24.43% 38.31%-0.02 +11.4 28
2017-05-19 @ Senica L 0-145.8 1452 1370 38.31% 24.43% 37.26%+0.02 -11.4 40
2017-05-19 Zilina L 1-443.2 1332 1688 11.20% 20.28% 68.51%-1.73 -8.8 22
2017-05-19 @ Zlate Moravce W 4-143.2 1688 1332 68.51% 20.28% 11.20%+1.73 +8.8 70
2017-05-27 FC DAC 1904 W 2-044.3 1544 1486 55.53% 23.31% 21.17%+0.86 +13.3 52
2017-05-27 @ Ruzomberok L 0-244.3 1486 1544 21.17% 23.31% 55.53%-0.86 -13.3 42
2017-05-27 Slovan Bratislava L 1-347.7 1376 1592 21.31% 23.33% 55.36%-0.85 -11.6 29
2017-05-27 @ Zemplin Michalovce W 3-147.7 1592 1376 55.36% 23.33% 21.31%+0.85 +11.6 57
2017-05-27 Tatran Presov W 4-027.2 1534 1220 76.50% 16.97% 6.53%+2.46 +7.6 47
2017-05-27 @ AS Trencin L 0-427.2 1220 1534 6.53% 16.97% 76.50%-2.46 -7.6 19
2017-05-27 ZP Sport Podbrezova W 4-041.7 1697 1469 70.83% 19.45% 9.72%+1.92 +11.8 73
2017-05-27 @ Zilina L 0-441.7 1469 1697 9.72% 19.45% 70.83%-1.92 -11.8 45
2017-05-27 Zlate Moravce W 3-139.9 1441 1323 61.65% 22.20% 16.15%+1.23 +9.0 43
2017-05-27 @ Spartak Trnava L 1-339.9 1323 1441 16.15% 22.20% 61.65%-1.23 -9.0 22

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2017-02-18 12.04% @ Senica 1358 2 Zilina 1698 0
2 2016-09-17 14.31% Zemplin Michalovce 1362 3 @ Spartak Trnava 1506 2
3 2017-04-15 15.50% Zemplin Michalovce 1369 4 @ ZP Sport Podbrezova 1496 1
4 2016-12-04 15.60% Spartak Trnava 1464 1 @ Slovan Bratislava 1589 0
5 2017-05-07 16.91% Spartak Trnava 1431 4 @ AS Trencin 1539 3
6 2017-03-12 17.68% Spartak Trnava 1442 1 @ ZP Sport Podbrezova 1540 0
7 2016-11-19 18.69% Zlate Moravce 1312 3 @ Senica 1398 1
8 2016-08-06 19.58% ZP Sport Podbrezova 1488 1 @ AS Trencin 1563 0
9 2017-02-25 20.64% Senica 1393 1 @ Spartak Trnava 1457 0
10 2016-12-03 21.22% @ Zlate Moravce 1360 2 ZP Sport Podbrezova 1576 0
11 2016-07-30 21.43% @ Zlate Moravce 1392 3 AS Trencin 1606 0
12 2016-07-16 22.40% @ Zemplin Michalovce 1406 2 AS Trencin 1610 1
13 2016-10-15 22.96% @ Tatran Presov 1294 2 Ruzomberok 1492 1
14 2016-10-29 24.26% Ruzomberok 1461 1 @ Spartak Trnava 1489 0
15 2017-04-07 24.87% @ Tatran Presov 1230 1 Senica 1411 0
16 2016-08-07 25.42% Zilina 1494 2 @ Spartak Trnava 1511 1
17 2017-04-08 26.10% @ FC DAC 1904 1438 1 Slovan Bratislava 1607 0
18 2017-04-28 26.16% @ AS Trencin 1525 2 Zilina 1694 1
19 2017-04-08 26.92% Zemplin Michalovce 1356 2 @ Zlate Moravce 1360 1
20 2016-10-15 27.18% @ Zemplin Michalovce 1370 2 AS Trencin 1530 0
21 2016-08-13 27.86% Senica 1439 1 @ Zlate Moravce 1435 0
22 2016-11-19 28.93% @ FC DAC 1904 1369 2 AS Trencin 1514 0
23 2016-08-06 29.16% Senica 1391 4 @ Tatran Presov 1376 0
24 2016-10-15 31.09% ZP Sport Podbrezova 1538 2 @ Spartak Trnava 1507 0
25 2017-05-19 33.81% Ruzomberok 1532 1 @ ZP Sport Podbrezova 1481 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2016-08-06 47.90 Senica 4 1391 29.16% @ Tatran Presov 0 1376 46.66% 24.18%
2 2016-10-15 45.28 Zilina 6 1586 49.12% @ FC DAC 1904 0 1424 26.87% 24.01%
3 2016-07-30 42.46 @ Zlate Moravce 3 1392 21.43% AS Trencin 0 1606 55.22% 23.35%
4 2017-04-15 40.05 Zemplin Michalovce 4 1369 15.50% @ ZP Sport Podbrezova 1 1496 62.50% 22.00%
5 2016-08-28 38.94 @ Zilina 4 1500 39.69% AS Trencin 0 1566 35.89% 24.42%
6 2017-02-18 34.91 @ Senica 2 1358 12.04% Zilina 0 1698 67.27% 20.69%
7 2016-09-24 31.94 FC DAC 1904 3 1390 36.28% @ Tatran Presov 0 1321 39.29% 24.42%
8 2016-12-03 29.35 @ Zlate Moravce 2 1360 21.22% ZP Sport Podbrezova 0 1576 55.46% 23.32%
9 2017-04-26 28.02 Slovan Bratislava 3 1571 42.50% @ Spartak Trnava 0 1459 33.14% 24.36%
10 2016-11-19 26.66 Zlate Moravce 3 1312 18.69% @ Senica 1 1398 58.48% 22.83%
11 2016-11-06 26.31 @ Zilina 7 1645 66.35% Spartak Trnava 0 1474 12.67% 20.97%
12 2016-10-15 26.22 @ Zemplin Michalovce 2 1370 27.18% AS Trencin 0 1530 48.78% 24.03%
13 2016-08-27 25.87 @ Ruzomberok 4 1456 54.83% Zemplin Michalovce 0 1404 21.77% 23.40%
14 2016-11-19 25.36 @ FC DAC 1904 2 1369 28.93% AS Trencin 0 1514 46.91% 24.16%
15 2016-09-17 24.34 @ Ruzomberok 6 1483 57.06% Zlate Moravce 1 1410 19.87% 23.07%
16 2016-10-15 24.34 ZP Sport Podbrezova 2 1538 31.09% @ Spartak Trnava 0 1507 44.63% 24.28%
17 2016-10-22 24.13 Slovan Bratislava 5 1546 51.37% @ Zlate Moravce 1 1365 24.83% 23.81%
18 2016-07-30 24.11 @ Zilina 4 1470 56.77% Tatran Presov 0 1400 20.11% 23.12%
19 2017-02-21 22.58 @ Zemplin Michalovce 2 1380 34.92% Spartak Trnava 0 1480 40.67% 24.40%
20 2016-07-31 22.27 @ ZP Sport Podbrezova 2 1465 35.63% Slovan Bratislava 0 1560 39.95% 24.42%
21 2017-02-25 21.92 @ FC DAC 1904 5 1415 63.79% Tatran Presov 0 1274 14.53% 21.69%
22 2016-11-05 20.92 @ Zemplin Michalovce 5 1393 55.67% Zlate Moravce 1 1333 21.04% 23.29%
23 2016-11-26 20.89 @ Zlate Moravce 3 1339 53.23% Tatran Presov 0 1301 23.16% 23.60%
24 2016-07-30 19.55 @ Senica 2 1372 41.91% Zemplin Michalovce 0 1422 33.71% 24.38%
25 2017-04-01 19.26 AS Trencin 2 1492 42.58% @ Zlate Moravce 0 1379 33.06% 24.36%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-03-05 75.1 @ ZP Sport Podbrezova 2 1539 30.84% Zilina 2 1669 44.89% 24.27%
2 2016-09-10 73.8 @ AS Trencin 3 1527 51.26% Spartak Trnava 3 1505 24.92% 23.82%
3 2017-03-11 72.7 @ FC DAC 1904 2 1437 19.80% Zilina 2 1669 57.14% 23.06%
4 2016-11-27 71.0 @ Ruzomberok 3 1471 46.19% AS Trencin 3 1489 29.61% 24.21%
5 2017-05-07 69.8 Spartak Trnava 4 1431 16.91% @ AS Trencin 3 1539 60.68% 22.41%
6 2017-05-14 67.6 @ FC DAC 1904 2 1490 49.82% ZP Sport Podbrezova 2 1480 26.23% 23.95%
7 2017-04-28 67.2 @ AS Trencin 2 1525 26.16% Zilina 1 1694 49.90% 23.94%
8 2017-04-01 66.4 Slovan Bratislava 3 1597 37.00% @ ZP Sport Podbrezova 2 1523 38.57% 24.43%
9 2017-05-19 66.3 @ AS Trencin 3 1524 37.96% Slovan Bratislava 2 1602 37.61% 24.43%
10 2016-10-01 65.9 @ Ruzomberok 2 1494 57.03% FC DAC 1904 2 1422 19.89% 23.08%
11 2016-07-17 64.6 @ Zilina 2 1464 54.59% FC DAC 1904 2 1414 21.97% 23.43%
12 2016-09-17 64.4 Zemplin Michalovce 3 1362 14.31% @ Spartak Trnava 2 1506 64.08% 21.61%
13 2017-03-18 63.5 @ Slovan Bratislava 1 1601 70.67% Zlate Moravce 1 1375 9.82% 19.51%
14 2016-10-30 62.5 @ Tatran Presov 1 1310 12.12% Zilina 1 1649 67.15% 20.73%
15 2016-08-13 62.2 @ Ruzomberok 3 1456 36.81% Slovan Bratislava 2 1542 38.76% 24.43%
16 2016-07-16 62.1 @ Zemplin Michalovce 2 1406 22.40% AS Trencin 1 1610 54.10% 23.50%
17 2016-07-17 61.8 @ ZP Sport Podbrezova 1 1466 43.53% Spartak Trnava 1 1504 32.14% 24.33%
18 2016-07-31 61.7 @ Ruzomberok 1 1457 41.33% Spartak Trnava 1 1511 34.28% 24.39%
19 2016-12-11 61.5 @ Spartak Trnava 1 1481 48.86% AS Trencin 1 1479 27.12% 24.03%
20 2016-08-27 61.0 @ ZP Sport Podbrezova 1 1522 61.13% Zlate Moravce 1 1409 16.56% 22.31%
21 2016-10-22 61.0 @ Zemplin Michalovce 2 1396 58.73% Tatran Presov 2 1308 18.49% 22.79%
22 2016-08-07 60.8 Zilina 2 1494 25.42% @ Spartak Trnava 1 1511 50.71% 23.87%
23 2017-04-16 60.8 @ Ruzomberok 2 1507 36.89% Slovan Bratislava 1 1593 38.68% 24.43%
24 2017-03-04 60.4 @ FC DAC 1904 1 1437 41.02% Ruzomberok 1 1494 34.58% 24.40%
25 2017-02-25 60.3 @ Slovan Bratislava 4 1582 60.06% AS Trencin 3 1480 17.41% 22.53%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-05-27 27.2 @ AS Trencin 4 1534 76.50% Tatran Presov 0 1220 6.53% 16.97%
2 2017-03-11 28.6 @ Ruzomberok 5 1494 72.26% Tatran Presov 0 1246 8.86% 18.88%
3 2017-04-16 28.6 @ Spartak Trnava 4 1445 68.74% Tatran Presov 0 1245 11.05% 20.21%
4 2017-04-02 29.7 @ Zilina 3 1674 83.20% Tatran Presov 0 1233 3.57% 13.24%
5 2017-02-25 30.4 @ FC DAC 1904 5 1415 63.79% Tatran Presov 0 1274 14.53% 21.69%
6 2016-11-26 33.2 @ Zlate Moravce 3 1339 53.23% Tatran Presov 0 1301 23.16% 23.60%
7 2016-08-13 34.2 @ Spartak Trnava 2 1498 66.25% Tatran Presov 0 1328 12.75% 21.00%
8 2017-05-06 34.5 ZP Sport Podbrezova 2 1467 57.53% @ Tatran Presov 0 1232 19.47% 23.00%
9 2016-10-29 34.9 @ AS Trencin 2 1514 66.53% Zlate Moravce 0 1341 12.55% 20.92%
10 2017-05-12 35.5 @ Slovan Bratislava 3 1599 80.21% Tatran Presov 1 1220 4.78% 15.01%
11 2017-04-26 35.8 @ ZP Sport Podbrezova 2 1456 59.89% Zlate Moravce 0 1356 17.55% 22.57%
12 2016-07-30 35.9 @ Zilina 4 1470 56.77% Tatran Presov 0 1400 20.11% 23.12%
13 2016-07-23 36.1 @ AS Trencin 3 1596 69.85% Senica 0 1381 10.34% 19.82%
14 2017-02-19 36.1 Slovan Bratislava 2 1572 62.70% @ Tatran Presov 0 1284 15.34% 21.95%
15 2016-08-27 36.2 @ Ruzomberok 4 1456 54.83% Zemplin Michalovce 0 1404 21.77% 23.40%
16 2016-11-05 36.9 @ Zemplin Michalovce 5 1393 55.67% Zlate Moravce 1 1333 21.04% 23.29%
17 2016-11-26 37.1 @ ZP Sport Podbrezova 2 1569 68.51% Senica 0 1371 11.20% 20.29%
18 2016-09-24 39.1 FC DAC 1904 3 1390 36.28% @ Tatran Presov 0 1321 39.29% 24.42%
19 2016-09-10 39.2 ZP Sport Podbrezova 2 1519 52.03% @ Tatran Presov 0 1332 24.23% 23.74%
20 2016-09-17 39.5 @ Ruzomberok 6 1483 57.06% Zlate Moravce 1 1410 19.87% 23.07%
21 2016-10-01 39.5 @ Spartak Trnava 1 1502 62.95% Zlate Moravce 0 1370 15.16% 21.90%
22 2016-10-16 39.8 @ Slovan Bratislava 2 1536 61.42% Senica 0 1420 16.33% 22.25%
23 2017-04-01 39.8 @ Senica 1 1403 53.43% Zemplin Michalovce 0 1364 22.99% 23.58%
24 2016-10-23 39.9 @ Spartak Trnava 1 1483 60.37% FC DAC 1904 0 1378 17.16% 22.47%
25 2017-05-27 39.9 @ Spartak Trnava 3 1441 61.65% Zlate Moravce 1 1323 16.15% 22.20%