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2019-20 Slovak First Football League Season

162 games

Final

Champion

Slovan Bratislava

68 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

FC DAC 1904

4.89 points above expected

50 points · 45.11 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Senica

5.20 points below expected

26 points · 31.20 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Slovan Bratislava 22 17 4 1 55 46 11 +35 47.71 +7.29
2 Zilina 22 13 6 3 45 38 17 +21 38.10 +6.90
3 FC DAC 1904 22 11 5 6 38 31 25 +6 40.55 -2.55
4 Zemplin Michalovce 22 8 6 8 30 28 32 -4 27.25 +2.75
5 Spartak Trnava 22 9 3 10 30 25 26 -1 28.90 +1.10
6 Ruzomberok 22 6 10 6 28 25 27 -2 36.45 -8.45
7 AS Trencin 22 7 6 9 27 39 35 +4 24.78 +2.22
8 Zlate Moravce 22 6 8 8 26 22 28 -6 23.58 +2.42
9 Senica 22 6 6 10 24 24 33 -9 25.99 -1.99
10 SSeredd 22 5 7 10 22 23 34 -11 24.96 -2.96
11 Nitra 22 5 4 13 19 17 31 -14 20.99 -1.99
12 Pohronie 22 3 7 12 16 19 38 -19 23.73 -7.73
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Slovan Bratislava 27 21 5 1 68 57 14 +43 65.62 +2.38
2 Zilina 27 15 6 6 51 48 25 +23 52.79 -1.79
3 FC DAC 1904 27 15 5 7 50 42 28 +14 45.11 +4.89
4 Spartak Trnava 27 10 5 12 35 30 32 -2 34.62 +0.38
5 Ruzomberok 27 7 11 9 32 28 33 -5 34.50 -2.50
6 Zemplin Michalovce 27 8 8 11 32 31 49 -18 34.68 -2.68
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 AS Trencin 27 11 6 10 39 52 43 +9 34.88 +4.12
2 Zlate Moravce 27 8 9 10 33 27 33 -6 32.57 +0.43
3 SSeredd 27 6 9 12 27 29 41 -12 28.79 -1.79
4 Senica 27 6 8 13 26 26 40 -14 31.20 -5.20
5 Pohronie 27 6 8 13 26 25 44 -19 22.15 +3.85
6 Nitra 27 7 4 16 25 23 36 -13 25.28 -0.28

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 FC DAC 1904 50 45.11 +4.89
2 AS Trencin 39 34.88 +4.12
3 Pohronie 26 22.15 +3.85
4 Slovan Bratislava 68 65.62 +2.38
5 Zlate Moravce 33 32.57 +0.43

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Senica 26 31.20 -5.20
2 Zemplin Michalovce 32 34.68 -2.68
3 Ruzomberok 32 34.50 -2.50
4 SSeredd 27 28.79 -1.79
5 Zilina 51 52.79 -1.79

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Zemplin Michalovce 3 Nov 23 – Dec 7 1 in 39
2 Zilina 5 Jul 20 – Aug 17 1 in 29
3 AS Trencin 4 Jun 13 – Jul 4 1 in 24
4 Senica 3 Sep 28 – Oct 20 1 in 23
5 Pohronie 3 Jun 27 – Jul 11 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 SSeredd 4 Nov 9 – Dec 7 1 in 52
2 Nitra 5 Sep 21 – Oct 26 1 in 40
3 Spartak Trnava 4 Oct 5 – Nov 2 1 in 38
4 FC DAC 1904 2 Aug 4 – Aug 10 1 in 34
5 Ruzomberok 2 Aug 3 – Aug 10 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ruzomberok 9 Sep 14 – Nov 23 1 in 33
2 Zlate Moravce 5 Aug 17 – Sep 21 1 in 25
3 Slovan Bratislava 20 Sep 15 – Jul 11 1 in 17
4 Zilina 9 Jul 20 – Sep 21 1 in 16
5 AS Trencin 4 Aug 10 – Sep 1 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ruzomberok 9 Nov 23 – Jun 21 1 in 189
2 Pohronie 13 Aug 11 – Nov 23 1 in 154
3 SSeredd 8 Aug 10 – Oct 5 1 in 24
4 FC DAC 1904 5 Dec 7 – Mar 7 1 in 17
5 AS Trencin 7 Sep 1 – Oct 26 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Slovan Bratislava 1791 68 +19 13 10.7 +2.3
Zilina 1620 51 -5 6 7.7 -1.7
FC DAC 1904 1636 50 +41 12 7.7 +4.3
AS Trencin 1484 39 +11 12 8.5 +3.5
Spartak Trnava 1484 35 +6 5 4.4 +0.6
Zlate Moravce 1422 33 +0 7 6.9 +0.1
Ruzomberok 1546 32 -20 4 6.3 -2.3
Zemplin Michalovce 1441 32 -42 2 4.6 -2.6
SSeredd 1423 27 -5 5 6.6 -1.6
Pohronie 1415 26 +14 10 6.0 +4.0
Senica 1409 26 -34 2 7.0 -5.0
Nitra 1424 25 +15 6 6.1 -0.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AT FD1 NIT POH RUZ SSE SEN SB ST ZM ZIL ZM
AS Trencin —
1-0-1
1.28
0-2-1
5.16
2-0-1
4.52
0-2-0
1.45
2-1-0
4.61
1-0-2
3.87
0-0-2
1.04
2-0-0
2.35
1-0-1
2.44
1-0-1
1.38
1-1-1
4.50
FC DAC 1904
1-0-1
4.29
 —
2-0-0
4.27
2-0-0
4.15
1-1-1
4.68
0-1-1
4.11
1-1-0
4.09
1-0-2
2.74
2-0-1
5.54
1-1-1
6.11
2-1-0
4.30
2-0-0
4.28
Nitra
1-2-0
3.06
0-0-2
1.29
 —
1-1-1
4.06
0-0-2
1.44
2-0-1
3.21
2-0-1
3.71
0-0-2
0.80
1-0-1
2.05
0-0-2
2.30
0-1-1
1.40
0-0-3
3.69
Pohronie
1-0-2
3.71
0-0-2
1.39
1-1-1
4.13
 —
1-0-1
1.64
1-2-0
3.56
1-1-1
4.00
0-0-2
1.13
0-1-1
2.50
0-1-1
2.28
0-0-2
1.41
1-2-0
4.27
Ruzomberok
0-2-0
4.08
1-1-1
3.52
2-0-0
4.09
1-0-1
3.87
 —
0-2-0
3.66
0-2-0
3.75
0-1-2
2.08
0-0-3
5.24
1-2-0
5.07
2-0-1
3.95
0-1-1
3.79
SSeredd
0-1-2
3.60
1-1-0
1.43
1-0-2
4.99
0-2-1
4.64
0-2-0
1.83
 —
2-1-0
3.74
0-0-2
1.06
1-0-1
2.55
0-1-1
2.62
0-0-2
1.57
1-1-1
4.04
Senica
2-0-1
4.33
0-1-1
1.45
1-0-2
4.49
1-1-1
4.18
0-2-0
1.75
0-1-2
4.44
 —
0-0-2
1.10
1-1-0
2.42
1-0-1
2.78
0-0-2
1.67
0-2-1
4.55
Slovan Bratislava
2-0-0
4.58
2-0-1
5.50
2-0-0
4.89
2-0-0
4.48
2-1-0
6.25
2-0-0
4.56
2-0-0
4.52
 —
1-2-0
6.94
3-0-0
7.01
1-2-0
5.62
2-0-0
4.70
Spartak Trnava
0-0-2
3.13
1-0-2
2.70
1-0-1
3.42
1-1-0
2.97
3-0-0
2.98
1-0-1
2.90
0-1-1
3.05
0-2-1
1.51
 —
1-1-1
3.95
0-0-3
2.51
2-0-0
3.07
Zemplin Michalovce
1-0-1
3.01
1-1-1
2.19
2-0-0
3.17
1-1-0
3.19
0-2-1
3.14
1-1-0
2.84
1-0-1
2.67
0-0-3
1.45
1-1-1
4.24
 —
0-1-2
2.49
0-1-1
2.93
Zilina
1-0-1
4.16
0-1-2
3.88
1-1-0
4.15
2-0-0
4.13
1-0-2
4.23
2-0-0
3.95
2-0-0
3.85
0-2-1
2.63
3-0-0
5.75
2-1-0
5.79
 —
1-1-0
3.99
Zlate Moravce
1-1-1
3.68
0-0-2
1.29
3-0-0
4.51
0-2-1
3.90
1-1-0
1.71
1-1-1
4.15
1-2-0
3.64
0-0-2
0.94
0-0-2
2.40
1-1-0
2.53
0-1-1
1.53
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.79 +10.0
Allowed 0.68 -11.3
Differential 0.94 +6.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.88%10.19%5.86%3.40%1.85%1.54%32.72%
110.19%8.02%7.10%2.78%0.31%0.62%29.01%
25.86%7.10%7.41%2.16%0.93%0.31%23.77%
33.40%2.78%2.16%0.62%——8.95%
41.85%0.31%0.93%———3.09%
5+1.54%0.62%0.31%———2.47%
Total32.72%29.01%23.77%8.95%3.09%2.47%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.29 +0.00
SD 1.27 1.27 1.91
CV 0.99 0.99 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 162

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.70%7.41%3.70%——14.81%
13.70%11.11%7.41%7.41%——29.63%
2—11.11%11.11%3.70%3.70%—29.63%
33.70%3.70%7.41%———14.81%
47.41%—————7.41%
5+—3.70%————3.70%
Total14.81%33.33%33.33%14.81%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.93 1.59 +0.33
SD 1.66 1.05 2.24
CV 0.86 0.66 —
Max 8 4 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%7.41%3.70%——3.70%25.93%
114.81%3.70%3.70%7.41%——29.63%
211.11%14.81%3.70%———29.63%
3—3.70%————3.70%
4———————
5+3.70%3.70%3.70%———11.11%
Total40.74%33.33%14.81%7.41%—3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.04 +0.52
SD 1.50 1.22 2.03
CV 0.97 1.18 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%25.93%11.11%3.70%—3.70%51.85%
17.41%3.70%11.11%—3.70%—25.93%
23.70%—3.70%———7.41%
311.11%—3.70%———14.81%
4———————
5+———————
Total29.63%29.63%29.63%3.70%3.70%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.33 -0.48
SD 1.10 1.27 1.89
CV 1.29 0.95 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%3.70%3.70%7.41%—37.04%
114.81%3.70%11.11%3.70%—3.70%37.04%
23.70%3.70%11.11%3.70%——22.22%
3———3.70%——3.70%
4———————
5+———————
Total29.63%18.52%25.93%14.81%7.41%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.63 -0.70
SD 0.87 1.45 1.61
CV 0.94 0.89 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%18.52%7.41%———33.33%
111.11%18.52%————29.63%
2—14.81%14.81%3.70%3.70%—37.04%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total18.52%51.85%22.22%3.70%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.22 -0.19
SD 0.85 0.93 0.96
CV 0.82 0.76 —
Max 2 4 +1
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%11.11%11.11%3.70%3.70%—37.04%
17.41%14.81%7.41%———29.63%
2—7.41%7.41%7.41%——22.22%
3—7.41%—3.70%——11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total14.81%40.74%25.93%14.81%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.52 -0.44
SD 1.04 1.05 1.40
CV 0.96 0.69 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.52%11.11%7.41%11.11%—3.70%51.85%
13.70%3.70%7.41%7.41%——22.22%
23.70%—7.41%———11.11%
3—3.70%3.70%———7.41%
43.70%3.70%————7.41%
5+———————
Total29.63%22.22%25.93%18.52%—3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.48 -0.52
SD 1.29 1.31 1.97
CV 1.33 0.89 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%—————11.11%
118.52%7.41%————25.93%
218.52%3.70%———3.70%25.93%
37.41%7.41%3.70%———18.52%
411.11%—3.70%———14.81%
5+3.70%—————3.70%
Total70.37%18.52%7.41%——3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.11 0.52 +1.59
SD 1.37 1.09 1.65
CV 0.65 2.10 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%14.81%———37.04%
17.41%—14.81%———22.22%
214.81%7.41%7.41%—3.70%—33.33%
3—3.70%3.70%———7.41%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%22.22%40.74%—3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.19 -0.07
SD 1.01 1.04 1.41
CV 0.91 0.88 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.11%—7.41%7.41%7.41%33.33%
17.41%18.52%3.70%——3.70%33.33%
211.11%3.70%11.11%———25.93%
33.70%—————3.70%
4———————
5+3.70%—————3.70%
Total25.93%33.33%14.81%7.41%7.41%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.81 -0.67
SD 1.17 1.96 2.70
CV 1.02 1.08 —
Max 5 8 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%3.70%3.70%3.70%——22.22%
111.11%7.41%7.41%———25.93%
2—14.81%3.70%3.70%——22.22%
314.81%—3.70%———18.52%
4——3.70%———3.70%
5+7.41%—————7.41%
Total44.44%25.93%22.22%7.41%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.78 0.93 +0.85
SD 1.48 1.00 1.92
CV 0.83 1.08 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%7.41%—3.70%3.70%—37.04%
114.81%3.70%11.11%7.41%——37.04%
23.70%3.70%7.41%3.70%——18.52%
3—3.70%————3.70%
4——3.70%———3.70%
5+———————
Total40.74%18.52%22.22%14.81%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.22 -0.22
SD 1.04 1.25 1.45
CV 1.04 1.02 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Slovan Bratislava 1791 68 47.71 +20.29 92.0% 33 38 45 48 51 57 60
FC DAC 1904 1636 50 40.55 +9.45 34.0% 28 30 37 41 44 48 54
Zilina 1620 51 38.10 +12.90 90.0% 20 29 34 38 42 47 54
Ruzomberok 1546 32 36.45 -4.45 10.0% 18 26 32 37 41 46 50
Spartak Trnava 1484 35 28.90 +6.10 64.0% 18 20 25 29 32 38 43
AS Trencin 1484 39 24.78 +14.22 66.0% 13 16 21 25 29 34 40
Zemplin Michalovce 1441 32 27.25 +4.75 75.0% 15 19 24 27 30 36 38
Nitra 1424 25 20.99 +4.01 45.0% 10 12 17 20 24 31 37
SSeredd 1423 27 24.96 +2.04 35.0% 11 15 21 24 29 36 45
Zlate Moravce 1422 33 23.58 +9.42 65.0% 10 13 19 23 28 34 38
Pohronie 1415 26 23.73 +2.27 13.0% 11 13 20 23 28 32 39
Senica 1409 26 25.99 +0.01 39.0% 13 16 22 25 29 34 43

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 19% * Slight Edge: 19% to 23.5% * Clear Edge: 23.5% to 29.5% * Strong Edge: 29.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+13.58%
No Edge
43.83%25.93%30.25%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 47.48 Elo pts.
207 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.38 goals
Neutral
-2+0.23+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.12 * Tight Race: 0.12 to 0.24 * Comfortable: 0.24 to 0.36 * Runaway: 0.36 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.6
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
77%
Slovan Bratislava, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.63/gm
Runaway
00.231/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.56 * Some Luck: 4.56 to 6.84 * Lucky: 6.84 to 9.13 * Wild Swing: 9.13 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.41 * Close: 1.41 to 2.12 * Off: 2.12 to 2.83 * Way Off: 2.83 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.78 points
Some Luck
05.7014
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
01.774
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
92.00%
Slovan Bratislava
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
10.00%
Ruzomberok
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Wide Separation: 2.1 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 64.5% * Slight Edge: 64.5% to 68.5% * Clear Edge: 68.5% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85.5% * Clear Edge: 85.5% to 89.5% * Strong Edge: 89.5% to 93.5% * Dominant: 93.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 62.5% * Frequent: 62.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 16% * Frequent: 16% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Top-Heavy
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 111.22
1.92
Strong Separation
11.652.13
Interquartile Edge
70%
Clear Edge
50%64.5%73.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
89%
Clear Edge
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
65%
Very Frequent
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Frequent
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.36 * Slight Separation: 0.36 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.52 * Strong Carryover: 0.52 to 0.63 * Near-Lock: 0.63 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18.5% * As Expected: 18.5% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 24.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 20.5% * Very Shaky: 20.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.38
Slight Separation
00.360.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.69
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.38
Some Carryover
00.380.521
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Very Shaky
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.61
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.03
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.098
Well Within Noise
00.1320.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Slovan Bratislava77.00%15.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%———————
Zilina10.00%20.00%32.00%17.00%13.00%5.00%—1.00%1.00%—1.00%—
FC DAC 19048.00%39.00%26.00%16.00%4.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%————
Spartak Trnava1.00%1.00%5.00%10.00%22.00%12.00%11.00%15.00%7.00%11.00%3.00%2.00%
Ruzomberok4.00%21.00%21.00%23.00%12.00%7.00%5.00%5.00%1.00%—1.00%—
Zemplin Michalovce——4.00%8.00%12.00%16.00%11.00%16.00%17.00%7.00%3.00%6.00%
AS Trencin—1.00%2.00%3.00%7.00%12.00%18.00%14.00%9.00%11.00%16.00%7.00%
Zlate Moravce——3.00%3.00%6.00%8.00%16.00%5.00%7.00%16.00%15.00%21.00%
SSeredd—2.00%—3.00%6.00%15.00%8.00%11.00%14.00%17.00%15.00%9.00%
Senica—1.00%3.00%7.00%9.00%9.00%10.00%17.00%17.00%11.00%9.00%7.00%
Pohronie———3.00%6.00%8.00%15.00%7.00%13.00%19.00%15.00%14.00%
Nitra——1.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%5.00%8.00%14.00%8.00%22.00%34.00%
Team123456789101112
Slovan Bratislava99.86%0.14%——————————
Zilina0.14%96.13%3.73%—————————
FC DAC 1904—3.73%94.58%1.62%0.07%———————
Spartak Trnava——0.57%36.04%34.36%29.03%——————
Ruzomberok——0.50%29.27%32.53%37.70%——————
Zemplin Michalovce——0.62%33.07%33.04%33.27%——————
AS Trencin——————60.80%24.45%10.93%3.42%0.39%0.01%
Zlate Moravce——————23.04%37.04%26.54%10.90%2.37%0.11%
SSeredd——————3.55%10.83%21.12%42.79%18.47%3.24%
Senica——————12.39%25.57%34.62%20.96%5.73%0.73%
Pohronie——————0.01%0.13%1.00%4.89%19.08%74.89%
Nitra——————0.21%1.98%5.79%17.04%53.96%21.02%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Survived Relegation Round
AS Trencin 89.00% 11.00%
FC DAC 1904 100% —
Nitra 71.00% 29.00%
Pohronie 89.00% 11.00%
Ruzomberok 100% —
SSeredd 91.00% 9.00%
Senica 88.00% 12.00%
Slovan Bratislava 100% —
Spartak Trnava 98.00% 2.00%
Zemplin Michalovce 96.00% 4.00%
Zilina 100% —
Zlate Moravce 78.00% 22.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Survived Relegation Round
AS Trencin 99.99% 0.01%
FC DAC 1904 100% —
Nitra 78.98% 21.02%
Pohronie 25.11% 74.89%
Ruzomberok 100% —
SSeredd 96.76% 3.24%
Senica 99.27% 0.73%
Slovan Bratislava 100% —
Spartak Trnava 100% —
Zemplin Michalovce 100% —
Zilina 100% —
Zlate Moravce 99.89% 0.11%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2019-07-20 Slovan Bratislava L 1-354.2 1492 1712 17.54% 23.98% 58.48%-0.83 -6.8 0
2019-07-20 @ Pohronie W 3-154.2 1712 1492 58.48% 23.98% 17.54%+0.83 +6.8 3
2019-07-20 AS Trencin W 3-144.7 1475 1393 53.40% 25.46% 21.14%+0.62 +8.1 3
2019-07-20 @ Senica L 1-344.7 1393 1475 21.14% 25.46% 53.40%-0.62 -8.1 0
2019-07-20 Zilina L 0-345.4 1460 1571 27.86% 26.98% 45.16%-0.31 -17.2 0
2019-07-20 @ Zemplin Michalovce W 3-045.4 1571 1460 45.16% 26.98% 27.86%+0.31 +17.2 3
2019-07-21 FC DAC 1904 L 1-252.0 1406 1640 16.52% 23.44% 60.04%-0.90 -3.7 0
2019-07-21 @ Zlate Moravce W 2-152.0 1640 1406 60.04% 23.44% 16.52%+0.90 +3.7 3
2019-07-21 Nitra W 1-044.0 1604 1417 64.97% 21.47% 13.56%+1.13 +3.2 3
2019-07-21 @ Ruzomberok L 0-144.0 1417 1604 13.56% 21.47% 64.97%-1.13 -3.2 0
2019-07-21 SSeredd W 2-043.9 1465 1461 43.47% 27.16% 29.37%+0.25 +12.3 3
2019-07-21 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-243.9 1461 1465 29.37% 27.16% 43.47%-0.25 -12.3 0
2019-07-27 Ruzomberok D 1-163.0 1385 1607 17.44% 23.93% 58.63%-0.84 +1.8 1
2019-07-27 @ AS Trencin D 1-163.0 1607 1385 58.63% 23.93% 17.44%+0.84 -1.8 4
2019-07-27 Senica W 2-154.3 1449 1483 38.19% 27.47% 34.34%+0.07 +7.0 3
2019-07-27 @ SSeredd L 1-254.3 1483 1449 34.34% 27.47% 38.19%-0.07 -7.0 3
2019-07-27 Zemplin Michalovce W 3-041.3 1719 1443 73.18% 17.44% 9.37%+1.56 +5.6 6
2019-07-27 @ Slovan Bratislava L 0-341.3 1443 1719 9.37% 17.44% 73.18%-1.56 -5.6 0
2019-07-27 Zlate Moravce L 0-148.2 1413 1402 44.49% 27.05% 28.46%+0.28 -9.0 0
2019-07-27 @ Nitra W 1-048.2 1402 1413 28.46% 27.05% 44.49%-0.28 +9.0 3
2019-07-28 Pohronie W 5-146.9 1644 1485 62.09% 22.67% 15.24%+1.00 +10.7 6
2019-07-28 @ FC DAC 1904 L 1-546.9 1485 1644 15.24% 22.67% 62.09%-1.00 -10.7 0
2019-07-28 Spartak Trnava W 4-254.3 1588 1477 56.87% 24.50% 18.63%+0.77 +6.4 6
2019-07-28 @ Zilina L 2-454.3 1477 1588 18.63% 24.50% 56.87%-0.77 -6.4 3
2019-08-03 Pohronie L 0-160.4 1605 1474 59.07% 23.78% 17.15%+0.86 -11.3 4
2019-08-03 @ Ruzomberok W 1-060.4 1474 1605 17.15% 23.78% 59.07%-0.86 +11.3 3
2019-08-03 Slovan Bratislava L 0-345.7 1476 1725 15.57% 22.87% 61.56%-0.97 -10.0 3
2019-08-03 @ Senica W 3-045.7 1725 1476 61.56% 22.87% 15.57%+0.97 +10.0 9
2019-08-03 AS Trencin W 2-147.5 1595 1387 66.99% 20.56% 12.45%+1.23 +2.7 9
2019-08-03 @ Zilina L 1-247.5 1387 1595 12.45% 20.56% 66.99%-1.23 -2.7 1
2019-08-03 Zemplin Michalovce W 1-045.7 1411 1437 39.32% 27.44% 33.25%+0.10 +7.2 6
2019-08-03 @ Zlate Moravce L 0-145.7 1437 1411 33.25% 27.44% 39.32%-0.10 -7.2 0
2019-08-04 FC DAC 1904 W 3-163.4 1456 1655 19.20% 24.74% 56.06%-0.73 +17.7 6
2019-08-04 @ SSeredd L 1-363.4 1655 1456 56.06% 24.74% 19.20%+0.73 -17.7 6
2019-08-04 Nitra W 2-039.8 1471 1404 51.59% 25.89% 22.52%+0.55 +9.9 6
2019-08-04 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-239.8 1404 1471 22.52% 25.89% 51.59%-0.55 -9.9 0
2019-08-10 FC DAC 1904 W 2-164.5 1384 1637 15.32% 22.72% 61.96%-0.99 +11.1 4
2019-08-10 @ AS Trencin L 1-264.5 1637 1384 61.96% 22.72% 15.32%+0.99 -11.1 6
2019-08-10 Senica W 3-042.7 1430 1466 37.91% 27.48% 34.61%+0.06 +20.3 3
2019-08-10 @ Zemplin Michalovce L 0-342.7 1466 1430 34.61% 27.48% 37.91%-0.06 -20.3 3
2019-08-10 SSeredd W 3-259.0 1395 1473 31.93% 27.37% 40.70%-0.15 +7.5 3
2019-08-10 @ Nitra L 2-359.0 1473 1395 40.70% 27.37% 31.93%+0.15 -7.5 6
2019-08-10 Zilina L 2-370.2 1594 1598 42.42% 27.25% 30.33%+0.21 -7.7 4
2019-08-10 @ Ruzomberok W 3-270.2 1598 1594 30.33% 27.25% 42.42%-0.21 +7.7 12
2019-08-10 Zlate Moravce W 4-039.7 1735 1418 76.46% 15.63% 7.91%+1.76 +6.0 12
2019-08-10 @ Slovan Bratislava L 0-439.7 1418 1735 7.91% 15.63% 76.46%-1.76 -6.0 6
2019-08-11 Spartak Trnava D 2-266.7 1486 1481 43.60% 27.15% 29.26%+0.25 -0.4 4
2019-08-11 @ Pohronie D 2-266.7 1481 1486 29.26% 27.15% 43.60%-0.25 +0.4 7
2019-08-17 Nitra W 3-038.1 1605 1402 66.55% 20.76% 12.69%+1.21 +8.0 15
2019-08-17 @ Zilina L 0-338.1 1402 1605 12.69% 20.76% 66.55%-1.21 -8.0 3
2019-08-17 Pohronie D 0-053.9 1412 1485 32.70% 27.41% 39.89%-0.12 +0.3 7
2019-08-17 @ Zlate Moravce D 0-053.9 1485 1412 39.89% 27.41% 32.70%+0.12 -0.3 5
2019-08-17 Ruzomberok D 2-269.4 1445 1586 24.61% 26.41% 48.99%-0.45 +0.8 4
2019-08-17 @ Senica D 2-269.4 1586 1445 48.99% 26.41% 24.61%+0.45 -0.8 5
2019-08-17 Slovan Bratislava L 0-444.7 1466 1741 13.98% 21.79% 64.23%-1.10 -11.7 6
2019-08-17 @ SSeredd W 4-044.7 1741 1466 64.23% 21.79% 13.98%+1.10 +11.7 15
2019-08-17 AS Trencin L 1-257.7 1481 1395 53.94% 25.33% 20.73%+0.64 -9.9 7
2019-08-17 @ Spartak Trnava W 2-157.7 1395 1481 20.73% 25.33% 53.94%-0.64 +9.9 7
2019-08-18 Zemplin Michalovce D 1-166.7 1626 1450 63.83% 21.96% 14.21%+1.08 -2.2 7
2019-08-18 @ FC DAC 1904 D 1-166.7 1450 1626 14.21% 21.96% 63.83%-1.08 +2.2 4
2019-08-23 Zlate Moravce L 1-352.7 1446 1412 47.44% 26.66% 25.90%+0.39 -15.4 4
2019-08-23 @ Senica W 3-152.7 1412 1446 25.90% 26.66% 47.44%-0.39 +15.4 10
2019-08-24 SSeredd D 1-159.0 1452 1454 42.68% 27.23% 30.09%+0.22 -0.5 5
2019-08-24 @ Zemplin Michalovce D 1-159.0 1454 1452 30.09% 27.23% 42.68%-0.22 +0.5 7
2019-08-24 Spartak Trnava L 0-159.3 1585 1471 57.19% 24.40% 18.41%+0.78 -11.0 5
2019-08-24 @ Ruzomberok W 1-059.3 1471 1585 18.41% 24.40% 57.19%-0.78 +11.0 10
2019-08-24 AS Trencin L 0-447.1 1485 1405 53.19% 25.52% 21.29%+0.61 -37.1 5
2019-08-24 @ Pohronie W 4-047.1 1405 1485 21.29% 25.52% 53.19%-0.61 +37.1 10
2019-08-25 FC DAC 1904 L 1-251.1 1394 1624 16.87% 23.63% 59.50%-0.88 -3.8 3
2019-08-25 @ Nitra W 2-151.1 1624 1394 59.50% 23.63% 16.87%+0.88 +3.8 10
2019-08-25 Zilina D 1-172.3 1752 1613 59.97% 23.46% 16.57%+0.90 -2.0 16
2019-08-25 @ Slovan Bratislava D 1-172.3 1613 1752 16.57% 23.46% 59.97%-0.90 +1.9 16
2019-08-31 Pohronie D 3-368.2 1455 1448 43.88% 27.12% 29.01%+0.26 -0.4 8
2019-08-31 @ SSeredd D 3-368.2 1448 1455 29.01% 27.12% 43.88%-0.26 +0.4 6
2019-08-31 Ruzomberok W 4-261.8 1428 1574 24.01% 26.27% 49.71%-0.48 +14.3 13
2019-08-31 @ Zlate Moravce L 2-461.8 1574 1428 49.71% 26.27% 24.01%+0.48 -14.3 5
2019-08-31 Senica W 5-040.1 1615 1431 64.71% 21.59% 13.71%+1.12 +14.1 19
2019-08-31 @ Zilina L 0-540.1 1431 1615 13.71% 21.59% 64.71%-1.12 -14.1 4
2019-08-31 Zemplin Michalovce W 2-151.7 1482 1452 47.03% 26.73% 26.25%+0.38 +5.6 13
2019-08-31 @ Spartak Trnava L 1-251.7 1452 1482 26.25% 26.73% 47.03%-0.38 -5.6 5
2019-09-01 Nitra D 2-262.7 1442 1390 49.79% 26.26% 23.95%+0.48 -0.8 11
2019-09-01 @ AS Trencin D 2-262.7 1390 1442 23.95% 26.26% 49.79%-0.48 +0.8 4
2019-09-01 Slovan Bratislava W 5-266.1 1627 1750 26.53% 26.77% 46.69%-0.36 +18.6 13
2019-09-01 @ FC DAC 1904 L 2-566.1 1750 1627 46.69% 26.77% 26.53%+0.36 -18.6 16
2019-09-14 FC DAC 1904 L 0-147.2 1417 1646 16.89% 23.64% 59.47%-0.88 -4.0 4
2019-09-14 @ Senica W 1-047.2 1646 1417 59.47% 23.64% 16.89%+0.88 +4.0 16
2019-09-14 Nitra L 0-345.4 1448 1391 50.43% 26.13% 23.44%+0.50 -27.2 6
2019-09-14 @ Pohronie W 3-045.4 1391 1448 23.44% 26.13% 50.43%-0.50 +27.2 7
2019-09-14 SSeredd D 1-163.7 1560 1454 56.25% 24.69% 19.07%+0.74 -1.6 6
2019-09-14 @ Ruzomberok D 1-163.7 1454 1560 19.07% 24.69% 56.25%-0.74 +1.6 9
2019-09-14 AS Trencin W 2-151.2 1446 1441 43.58% 27.15% 29.27%+0.25 +6.2 8
2019-09-14 @ Zemplin Michalovce L 1-251.2 1441 1446 29.27% 27.15% 43.58%-0.25 -6.2 11
2019-09-14 Zilina D 0-060.9 1442 1629 20.18% 25.13% 54.69%-0.67 +1.7 14
2019-09-14 @ Zlate Moravce D 0-060.9 1629 1442 54.69% 25.13% 20.18%+0.67 -1.7 20
2019-09-15 Spartak Trnava W 2-045.3 1732 1488 70.33% 18.93% 10.73%+1.41 +4.6 19
2019-09-15 @ Slovan Bratislava L 0-245.3 1488 1732 10.73% 18.93% 70.33%-1.41 -4.6 13
2019-09-18 Senica D 0-054.3 1483 1413 52.12% 25.77% 22.11%+0.57 -1.5 14
2019-09-18 @ Spartak Trnava D 0-054.3 1413 1483 22.11% 25.77% 52.12%-0.57 +1.4 5
2019-09-21 Pohronie W 2-150.0 1628 1421 66.88% 20.61% 12.51%+1.23 +2.7 23
2019-09-21 @ Zilina L 1-250.0 1421 1628 12.51% 20.61% 66.88%-1.23 -2.7 6
2019-09-21 Ruzomberok L 0-163.2 1650 1558 54.63% 25.14% 20.22%+0.67 -10.6 16
2019-09-21 @ FC DAC 1904 W 1-063.2 1558 1650 20.22% 25.14% 54.63%-0.67 +10.6 9
2019-09-21 Zemplin Michalovce L 0-244.8 1418 1452 38.17% 27.47% 34.36%+0.06 -15.0 7
2019-09-21 @ Nitra W 2-044.8 1452 1418 34.36% 27.47% 38.17%-0.06 +15.0 11
2019-09-21 Zlate Moravce D 0-054.1 1456 1444 44.58% 27.04% 28.38%+0.29 -0.8 10
2019-09-21 @ SSeredd D 0-054.1 1444 1456 28.38% 27.04% 44.58%-0.29 +0.8 15
2019-09-22 Slovan Bratislava L 2-454.6 1435 1736 12.54% 20.64% 66.81%-1.22 -4.2 11
2019-09-22 @ AS Trencin W 4-254.6 1736 1435 66.81% 20.64% 12.54%+1.22 +4.2 22
2019-09-28 Nitra W 5-039.3 1740 1403 78.05% 14.72% 7.23%+1.86 +6.7 25
2019-09-28 @ Slovan Bratislava L 0-539.3 1403 1740 7.23% 14.72% 78.05%-1.86 -6.7 7
2019-09-28 Pohronie W 1-044.4 1414 1418 42.36% 27.25% 30.38%+0.21 +6.7 8
2019-09-28 @ Senica L 0-144.4 1418 1414 30.38% 27.25% 42.36%-0.21 -6.7 6
2019-09-28 Ruzomberok L 0-150.9 1467 1569 29.05% 27.12% 43.83%-0.26 -6.5 11
2019-09-28 @ Zemplin Michalovce W 1-050.9 1569 1467 43.83% 27.12% 29.05%+0.26 +6.5 12
2019-09-28 AS Trencin D 1-158.4 1455 1431 46.18% 26.85% 26.97%+0.35 -0.8 11
2019-09-28 @ SSeredd D 1-158.4 1431 1455 26.97% 26.85% 46.18%-0.35 +0.8 12
2019-09-29 Spartak Trnava L 1-352.1 1445 1482 37.71% 27.48% 34.81%+0.05 -12.9 15
2019-09-29 @ Zlate Moravce W 3-152.1 1482 1445 34.81% 27.48% 37.71%-0.05 +12.9 17
2019-09-29 Zilina W 1-057.1 1639 1630 44.17% 27.09% 28.74%+0.27 +6.4 19
2019-09-29 @ FC DAC 1904 L 0-157.1 1630 1639 28.74% 27.09% 44.17%-0.27 -6.4 23
2019-10-05 FC DAC 1904 L 1-258.0 1495 1646 23.55% 26.16% 50.29%-0.50 -5.1 17
2019-10-05 @ Spartak Trnava W 2-158.0 1646 1495 50.29% 26.16% 23.55%+0.50 +5.1 22
2019-10-05 Senica L 1-446.8 1397 1421 39.56% 27.43% 33.01%+0.11 -18.9 7
2019-10-05 @ Nitra W 4-146.8 1421 1397 33.01% 27.43% 39.56%-0.11 +18.9 11
2019-10-05 SSeredd W 1-046.6 1624 1454 63.19% 22.23% 14.59%+1.05 +3.4 26
2019-10-05 @ Zilina L 0-146.6 1454 1624 14.59% 22.23% 63.19%-1.05 -3.4 11
2019-10-05 Zemplin Michalovce D 2-263.5 1412 1461 35.99% 27.49% 36.51%-0.01 +0.0 7
2019-10-05 @ Pohronie D 2-263.5 1461 1412 36.51% 27.49% 35.99%+0.01 -0.0 12
2019-10-06 Slovan Bratislava D 1-171.2 1575 1747 21.55% 25.60% 52.85%-0.60 +1.4 13
2019-10-06 @ Ruzomberok D 1-171.2 1747 1575 52.85% 25.60% 21.55%+0.60 -1.4 26
2019-10-06 Zlate Moravce D 2-263.3 1432 1432 42.96% 27.20% 29.84%+0.23 -0.4 13
2019-10-06 @ AS Trencin D 2-263.3 1432 1432 29.84% 27.20% 42.96%-0.23 +0.4 16
2019-10-19 Pohronie W 2-150.2 1746 1412 77.82% 14.85% 7.33%+1.84 +1.4 29
2019-10-19 @ Slovan Bratislava L 1-250.2 1412 1746 7.33% 14.85% 77.82%-1.84 -1.4 7
2019-10-19 Ruzomberok L 1-249.7 1378 1577 19.19% 24.74% 56.08%-0.73 -4.3 7
2019-10-19 @ Nitra W 2-149.7 1577 1378 56.08% 24.74% 19.19%+0.73 +4.3 16
2019-10-19 Spartak Trnava W 2-154.8 1451 1490 37.50% 27.48% 35.01%+0.04 +7.0 14
2019-10-19 @ SSeredd L 1-254.8 1490 1451 35.01% 27.48% 37.50%-0.04 -7.0 17
2019-10-19 Zemplin Michalovce D 1-167.0 1627 1461 62.87% 22.35% 14.77%+1.03 -2.2 27
2019-10-19 @ Zilina D 1-167.0 1461 1627 14.77% 22.35% 62.87%-1.03 +2.2 13
2019-10-20 Senica L 2-359.4 1432 1440 41.80% 27.30% 30.90%+0.19 -7.6 13
2019-10-20 @ AS Trencin W 3-259.4 1440 1432 30.90% 27.30% 41.80%-0.19 +7.6 14
2019-10-20 Zlate Moravce W 2-150.9 1651 1432 68.04% 20.06% 11.89%+1.29 +2.6 25
2019-10-20 @ FC DAC 1904 L 1-250.9 1432 1651 11.89% 20.06% 68.04%-1.29 -2.6 16
2019-10-26 FC DAC 1904 L 0-243.7 1410 1654 15.92% 23.09% 60.99%-0.95 -7.1 7
2019-10-26 @ Pohronie W 2-043.7 1654 1410 60.99% 23.09% 15.92%+0.95 +7.1 28
2019-10-26 Nitra W 1-041.3 1430 1373 50.31% 26.16% 23.53%+0.50 +5.5 19
2019-10-26 @ Zlate Moravce L 0-141.3 1373 1430 23.53% 26.16% 50.31%-0.50 -5.5 7
2019-10-26 SSeredd L 0-149.9 1447 1458 41.47% 27.32% 31.21%+0.18 -8.5 14
2019-10-26 @ Senica W 1-049.9 1458 1447 31.21% 27.32% 41.47%-0.18 +8.5 17
2019-10-26 AS Trencin D 2-269.5 1581 1424 61.90% 22.74% 15.36%+0.99 -1.6 17
2019-10-26 @ Ruzomberok D 2-269.5 1424 1581 15.36% 22.74% 61.90%-0.99 +1.6 14
2019-10-27 Slovan Bratislava L 0-149.7 1463 1747 13.44% 21.38% 65.18%-1.14 -3.1 13
2019-10-27 @ Zemplin Michalovce W 1-049.7 1747 1463 65.18% 21.38% 13.44%+1.14 +3.1 32
2019-10-27 Zilina L 0-151.8 1483 1625 24.41% 26.36% 49.22%-0.46 -5.6 17
2019-10-27 @ Spartak Trnava W 1-051.8 1625 1483 49.22% 26.36% 24.41%+0.46 +5.6 30
2019-11-02 Ruzomberok L 1-251.6 1403 1579 21.13% 25.46% 53.41%-0.62 -4.7 7
2019-11-02 @ Pohronie W 2-151.6 1579 1403 53.41% 25.46% 21.13%+0.62 +4.7 20
2019-11-02 Senica W 2-042.9 1750 1439 76.07% 15.85% 8.08%+1.73 +3.2 35
2019-11-02 @ Slovan Bratislava L 0-242.9 1439 1750 8.08% 15.85% 76.07%-1.73 -3.2 14
2019-11-02 SSeredd D 0-063.9 1661 1467 65.66% 21.17% 13.17%+1.17 -2.7 29
2019-11-02 @ FC DAC 1904 D 0-063.9 1467 1661 13.17% 21.17% 65.66%-1.17 +2.7 18
2019-11-02 Spartak Trnava W 1-049.0 1368 1477 28.13% 27.01% 44.86%-0.30 +9.0 10
2019-11-02 @ Nitra L 0-149.0 1477 1368 44.86% 27.01% 28.13%+0.30 -9.0 17
2019-11-02 Zlate Moravce D 2-264.3 1460 1435 46.29% 26.83% 26.88%+0.35 -0.6 14
2019-11-02 @ Zemplin Michalovce D 2-264.3 1435 1460 26.88% 26.83% 46.29%-0.35 +0.6 20
2019-11-03 Zilina W 3-054.3 1425 1631 18.68% 24.52% 56.80%-0.76 +30.0 17
2019-11-03 @ AS Trencin L 0-354.3 1631 1425 56.80% 24.52% 18.68%+0.76 -30.0 30
2019-11-09 Nitra L 0-151.4 1469 1377 54.69% 25.13% 20.18%+0.67 -10.6 18
2019-11-09 @ SSeredd W 1-051.4 1377 1469 20.18% 25.13% 54.69%-0.67 +10.6 13
2019-11-09 Pohronie W 3-252.9 1468 1398 51.98% 25.80% 22.22%+0.57 +4.6 20
2019-11-09 @ Spartak Trnava L 2-352.9 1398 1468 22.22% 25.80% 51.98%-0.57 -4.6 7
2019-11-09 Ruzomberok L 1-265.9 1601 1584 45.20% 26.97% 27.83%+0.31 -8.6 30
2019-11-09 @ Zilina W 2-165.9 1584 1601 27.83% 26.97% 45.20%-0.31 +8.6 23
2019-11-09 AS Trencin W 3-149.3 1658 1455 66.49% 20.79% 12.72%+1.21 +4.8 32
2019-11-09 @ FC DAC 1904 L 1-349.3 1455 1658 12.72% 20.79% 66.49%-1.21 -4.8 17
2019-11-09 Zemplin Michalovce W 4-041.8 1436 1459 39.65% 27.42% 32.93%+0.11 +25.6 17
2019-11-09 @ Senica L 0-441.8 1459 1436 32.93% 27.42% 39.65%-0.11 -25.6 14
2019-11-10 Slovan Bratislava L 0-148.3 1436 1754 11.69% 19.87% 68.43%-1.31 -2.7 20
2019-11-10 @ Zlate Moravce W 1-048.3 1754 1436 68.43% 19.87% 11.69%+1.31 +2.7 38
2019-11-23 FC DAC 1904 W 5-056.2 1434 1663 16.91% 23.65% 59.44%-0.88 +50.1 17
2019-11-23 @ Zemplin Michalovce L 0-556.2 1663 1434 59.44% 23.65% 16.91%+0.88 -50.1 32
2019-11-23 Senica D 2-271.0 1593 1461 59.15% 23.75% 17.10%+0.86 -1.4 24
2019-11-23 @ Ruzomberok D 2-271.0 1461 1593 17.10% 23.75% 59.15%-0.86 +1.4 18
2019-11-23 SSeredd W 2-043.8 1756 1459 74.97% 16.47% 8.56%+1.67 +3.5 41
2019-11-23 @ Slovan Bratislava L 0-243.8 1459 1756 8.56% 16.47% 74.97%-1.67 -3.5 18
2019-11-23 Spartak Trnava W 1-047.9 1451 1473 39.87% 27.41% 32.72%+0.12 +7.1 20
2019-11-23 @ AS Trencin L 0-147.9 1473 1451 32.72% 27.41% 39.87%-0.12 -7.1 20
2019-11-23 Zilina D 0-057.7 1388 1592 18.73% 24.54% 56.72%-0.76 +1.9 14
2019-11-23 @ Nitra D 0-057.7 1592 1388 56.72% 24.54% 18.73%+0.76 -1.9 31
2019-11-23 Zlate Moravce D 1-156.6 1394 1433 37.44% 27.49% 35.07%+0.04 -0.1 8
2019-11-23 @ Pohronie D 1-156.6 1433 1394 35.07% 27.49% 37.44%-0.04 +0.1 21
2019-11-29 Ruzomberok W 2-053.9 1466 1591 26.22% 26.72% 47.05%-0.38 +17.7 23
2019-11-29 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-253.9 1591 1466 47.05% 26.72% 26.22%+0.38 -17.7 24
2019-11-30 Nitra W 1-042.2 1613 1389 68.46% 19.86% 11.68%+1.31 +2.7 35
2019-11-30 @ FC DAC 1904 L 0-142.2 1389 1613 11.68% 19.86% 68.46%-1.31 -2.7 14
2019-11-30 Pohronie L 0-150.8 1458 1394 51.29% 25.95% 22.76%+0.54 -10.1 20
2019-11-30 @ AS Trencin W 1-050.8 1394 1458 22.76% 25.95% 51.29%-0.54 +10.1 11
2019-11-30 Senica D 0-053.8 1433 1463 38.81% 27.45% 33.73%+0.09 -0.2 22
2019-11-30 @ Zlate Moravce D 0-053.8 1463 1433 33.73% 27.45% 38.81%-0.09 +0.2 19
2019-11-30 Zemplin Michalovce L 0-247.3 1455 1484 38.94% 27.45% 33.62%+0.09 -15.2 18
2019-11-30 @ SSeredd W 2-047.3 1484 1455 33.62% 27.45% 38.94%-0.09 +15.2 20
2019-12-01 Slovan Bratislava D 0-066.7 1590 1760 21.77% 25.67% 52.56%-0.59 +1.5 32
2019-12-01 @ Zilina D 0-066.7 1760 1590 52.56% 25.67% 21.77%+0.59 -1.5 42
2019-12-07 FC DAC 1904 W 2-050.4 1758 1615 60.39% 23.31% 16.30%+0.92 +7.2 45
2019-12-07 @ Slovan Bratislava L 0-250.4 1615 1758 16.30% 23.31% 60.39%-0.92 -7.2 35
2019-12-07 SSeredd W 2-151.6 1404 1440 37.88% 27.48% 34.64%+0.05 +7.0 14
2019-12-07 @ Pohronie L 1-251.6 1440 1404 34.64% 27.48% 37.88%-0.05 -7.0 18
2019-12-07 Spartak Trnava W 2-045.5 1499 1483 45.08% 26.99% 27.94%+0.31 +11.9 23
2019-12-07 @ Zemplin Michalovce L 0-245.5 1483 1499 27.94% 26.99% 45.08%-0.31 -11.9 23
2019-12-07 AS Trencin D 1-156.8 1387 1448 34.36% 27.47% 38.17%-0.06 +0.2 15
2019-12-07 @ Nitra D 1-156.8 1448 1387 38.17% 27.47% 34.36%+0.06 -0.2 21
2019-12-07 Zlate Moravce D 0-059.0 1574 1433 60.16% 23.40% 16.44%+0.91 -2.2 25
2019-12-07 @ Ruzomberok D 0-059.0 1433 1574 16.44% 23.40% 60.16%-0.91 +2.2 23
2019-12-08 Zilina L 1-256.0 1463 1592 25.85% 26.66% 47.49%-0.39 -5.6 19
2019-12-08 @ Senica W 2-156.0 1592 1463 47.49% 26.66% 25.85%+0.39 +5.6 35
2020-02-15 Pohronie D 0-051.2 1387 1411 39.63% 27.42% 32.95%+0.11 -0.3 16
2020-02-15 @ Nitra D 0-051.2 1411 1387 32.95% 27.42% 39.63%-0.11 +0.3 15
2020-02-15 Ruzomberok D 2-268.4 1433 1571 24.83% 26.45% 48.72%-0.44 +0.8 19
2020-02-15 @ SSeredd D 2-268.4 1571 1433 48.72% 26.45% 24.83%+0.44 -0.8 26
2020-02-15 Zemplin Michalovce W 8-148.2 1448 1511 34.01% 27.46% 38.53%-0.08 +40.0 24
2020-02-15 @ AS Trencin L 1-848.2 1511 1448 38.53% 27.46% 34.01%+0.08 -40.0 23
2020-02-16 Senica D 0-061.3 1608 1457 61.24% 22.99% 15.76%+0.96 -2.3 36
2020-02-16 @ FC DAC 1904 D 0-061.3 1457 1608 15.76% 22.99% 61.24%-0.96 +2.3 20
2020-02-16 Slovan Bratislava D 0-066.6 1471 1766 12.90% 20.94% 66.16%-1.19 +2.7 24
2020-02-16 @ Spartak Trnava D 0-066.6 1766 1471 66.16% 20.94% 12.90%+1.19 -2.7 46
2020-02-16 Zlate Moravce W 3-040.3 1597 1435 62.46% 22.52% 15.02%+1.01 +9.7 38
2020-02-16 @ Zilina L 0-340.3 1435 1597 15.02% 22.52% 62.46%-1.01 -9.7 23
2020-02-22 FC DAC 1904 D 0-063.3 1571 1606 38.01% 27.47% 34.51%+0.06 -0.2 27
2020-02-22 @ Ruzomberok D 0-063.3 1606 1571 34.51% 27.47% 38.01%-0.06 +0.2 37
2020-02-22 Nitra W 1-041.7 1471 1387 53.75% 25.38% 20.88%+0.64 +4.9 26
2020-02-22 @ Zemplin Michalovce L 0-141.7 1387 1471 20.88% 25.38% 53.75%-0.64 -4.9 16
2020-02-22 SSeredd L 1-351.2 1425 1434 41.80% 27.30% 30.90%+0.19 -13.9 23
2020-02-22 @ Zlate Moravce W 3-151.2 1434 1425 30.90% 27.30% 41.80%-0.19 +13.9 22
2020-02-22 AS Trencin W 2-045.1 1763 1488 73.10% 17.49% 9.41%+1.56 +3.9 49
2020-02-22 @ Slovan Bratislava L 0-245.1 1488 1763 9.41% 17.49% 73.10%-1.56 -3.9 24
2020-02-22 Zilina L 0-146.7 1411 1607 19.43% 24.84% 55.73%-0.72 -4.6 15
2020-02-22 @ Pohronie W 1-046.7 1607 1411 55.73% 24.84% 19.43%+0.72 +4.6 41
2020-02-23 Spartak Trnava W 2-044.9 1460 1474 40.93% 27.35% 31.72%+0.16 +13.1 23
2020-02-23 @ Senica L 0-244.9 1474 1460 31.72% 27.35% 40.93%-0.16 -13.1 24
2020-03-01 FC DAC 1904 D 2-274.7 1612 1606 43.71% 27.13% 29.15%+0.26 -0.4 42
2020-03-01 @ Zilina D 2-274.7 1606 1612 29.15% 27.13% 43.71%-0.26 +0.5 38
2020-03-01 Senica D 0-053.3 1406 1473 33.62% 27.45% 38.93%-0.09 +0.2 16
2020-03-01 @ Pohronie D 0-053.3 1473 1406 38.93% 27.45% 33.62%+0.09 -0.2 24
2020-03-01 SSeredd W 2-151.4 1484 1448 47.75% 26.62% 25.63%+0.40 +5.5 27
2020-03-01 @ AS Trencin L 1-251.4 1448 1484 25.63% 26.62% 47.75%-0.40 -5.5 22
2020-03-01 Slovan Bratislava L 0-145.4 1382 1767 8.85% 16.82% 74.34%-1.63 -1.9 16
2020-03-01 @ Nitra W 1-045.4 1767 1382 74.34% 16.82% 8.85%+1.63 +1.9 52
2020-03-01 Zemplin Michalovce D 1-164.7 1570 1476 54.98% 25.05% 19.97%+0.69 -1.5 28
2020-03-01 @ Ruzomberok D 1-164.7 1476 1570 19.97% 25.05% 54.98%-0.69 +1.5 27
2020-03-01 Zlate Moravce W 2-149.0 1461 1411 49.48% 26.32% 24.20%+0.47 +5.3 27
2020-03-01 @ Spartak Trnava L 1-249.0 1411 1461 24.20% 26.32% 49.48%-0.47 -5.3 23
2020-03-07 Nitra L 0-346.7 1472 1380 54.74% 25.12% 20.15%+0.68 -29.1 24
2020-03-07 @ Senica W 3-046.7 1380 1472 20.15% 25.12% 54.74%-0.68 +29.0 19
2020-03-07 Pohronie W 1-043.0 1477 1407 52.10% 25.78% 22.12%+0.57 +5.2 30
2020-03-07 @ Zemplin Michalovce L 0-143.0 1407 1477 22.12% 25.78% 52.10%-0.57 -5.2 16
2020-03-07 Ruzomberok W 1-051.4 1769 1569 66.21% 20.92% 12.87%+1.19 +3.0 55
2020-03-07 @ Slovan Bratislava L 0-151.4 1569 1769 12.87% 20.92% 66.21%-1.19 -3.0 28
2020-03-07 Spartak Trnava L 0-160.4 1606 1466 60.10% 23.42% 16.48%+0.91 -11.5 38
2020-03-07 @ FC DAC 1904 W 1-060.4 1466 1606 16.48% 23.42% 60.10%-0.91 +11.5 30
2020-03-07 AS Trencin W 2-046.5 1406 1489 31.38% 27.33% 41.29%-0.17 +15.9 26
2020-03-07 @ Zlate Moravce L 0-246.5 1489 1406 41.29% 27.33% 31.38%+0.17 -16.0 27
2020-03-07 Zilina L 0-344.0 1442 1611 21.78% 25.67% 52.55%-0.59 -13.9 22
2020-03-07 @ SSeredd W 3-044.0 1611 1442 52.55% 25.67% 21.78%+0.59 +13.9 45

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2020-06-13 Nitra W 2-149.2 1422 1409 44.73% 27.03% 28.24%+0.29 +6.0 3
2020-06-13 @ Zlate Moravce L 1-249.2 1409 1422 28.24% 27.03% 44.73%-0.29 -6.0 0
2020-06-13 Pohronie W 4-037.4 1473 1402 52.23% 25.75% 22.02%+0.58 +18.4 3
2020-06-13 @ AS Trencin L 0-437.4 1402 1473 22.02% 25.75% 52.23%-0.58 -18.4 0
2020-06-13 Ruzomberok W 1-051.2 1772 1566 66.78% 20.66% 12.56%+1.22 +2.9 3
2020-06-13 @ Slovan Bratislava L 0-151.2 1566 1772 12.56% 20.66% 66.78%-1.22 -2.9 0
2020-06-13 SSeredd D 1-157.9 1443 1428 45.01% 26.99% 28.00%+0.30 -0.7 1
2020-06-13 @ Senica D 1-157.9 1428 1443 28.00% 26.99% 45.01%-0.30 +0.7 1
2020-06-13 Zemplin Michalovce W 5-043.6 1595 1482 57.04% 24.45% 18.52%+0.77 +19.3 3
2020-06-13 @ FC DAC 1904 L 0-543.6 1482 1595 18.52% 24.45% 57.04%-0.77 -19.3 0
2020-06-14 Spartak Trnava W 2-153.7 1625 1478 60.88% 23.13% 15.99%+0.94 +3.6 3
2020-06-14 @ Zilina L 1-253.7 1478 1625 15.99% 23.13% 60.88%-0.94 -3.5 0
2020-06-20 Senica W 2-043.2 1403 1443 37.36% 27.49% 35.15%+0.04 +14.1 3
2020-06-20 @ Nitra L 0-243.2 1443 1403 35.15% 27.49% 37.36%-0.04 -14.2 1
2020-06-20 Slovan Bratislava L 2-367.3 1629 1775 24.07% 26.29% 49.64%-0.47 -5.0 3
2020-06-20 @ Zilina W 3-267.3 1775 1629 49.64% 26.29% 24.07%+0.47 +5.0 6
2020-06-20 AS Trencin L 2-358.6 1428 1492 33.99% 27.46% 38.55%-0.08 -6.5 3
2020-06-20 @ Zlate Moravce W 3-258.6 1492 1428 38.55% 27.46% 33.99%+0.08 +6.6 6
2020-06-21 FC DAC 1904 L 0-248.2 1474 1614 24.66% 26.42% 48.92%-0.45 -10.7 0
2020-06-21 @ Spartak Trnava W 2-048.2 1614 1474 48.92% 26.42% 24.66%+0.45 +10.7 6
2020-06-21 Pohronie D 2-262.1 1429 1383 48.98% 26.41% 24.61%+0.45 -0.8 2
2020-06-21 @ SSeredd D 2-262.1 1383 1429 24.61% 26.41% 48.98%-0.45 +0.8 1
2020-06-21 Ruzomberok D 1-163.4 1463 1563 29.25% 27.14% 43.61%-0.25 +0.6 1
2020-06-21 @ Zemplin Michalovce D 1-163.4 1563 1463 43.61% 27.14% 29.25%+0.25 -0.6 1
2020-06-27 Nitra W 1-044.1 1428 1417 44.43% 27.06% 28.51%+0.28 +6.4 5
2020-06-27 @ SSeredd L 0-144.1 1417 1428 28.51% 27.06% 44.43%-0.28 -6.4 3
2020-06-27 Spartak Trnava D 2-265.3 1464 1463 42.98% 27.20% 29.81%+0.23 -0.4 2
2020-06-27 @ Zemplin Michalovce D 2-265.3 1463 1464 29.81% 27.20% 42.98%-0.23 +0.4 1
2020-06-27 AS Trencin L 1-350.8 1429 1498 33.16% 27.43% 39.41%-0.11 -11.7 1
2020-06-27 @ Senica W 3-150.8 1498 1429 39.41% 27.43% 33.16%+0.11 +11.7 9
2020-06-27 Zlate Moravce W 1-045.2 1384 1422 37.67% 27.48% 34.85%+0.05 +7.5 4
2020-06-27 @ Pohronie L 0-145.2 1422 1384 34.85% 27.48% 37.67%-0.05 -7.5 3
2020-06-28 Zilina W 2-164.0 1562 1624 34.30% 27.47% 38.23%-0.07 +7.5 4
2020-06-28 @ Ruzomberok L 1-264.0 1624 1562 38.23% 27.47% 34.30%+0.07 -7.5 3
2020-07-01 Slovan Bratislava L 1-359.1 1625 1780 23.19% 26.07% 50.74%-0.52 -8.8 6
2020-07-01 @ FC DAC 1904 W 3-159.1 1780 1625 50.74% 26.07% 23.19%+0.52 +8.8 9
2020-07-04 Pohronie L 0-245.1 1411 1391 45.54% 26.93% 27.53%+0.32 -17.2 3
2020-07-04 @ Nitra W 2-045.1 1391 1411 27.53% 26.93% 45.54%-0.32 +17.2 7
2020-07-04 Ruzomberok W 2-052.4 1464 1570 28.49% 27.06% 44.46%-0.28 +16.9 4
2020-07-04 @ Spartak Trnava L 0-252.4 1570 1464 44.46% 27.06% 28.49%+0.28 -16.9 4
2020-07-04 SSeredd W 3-255.3 1510 1434 52.69% 25.64% 21.67%+0.59 +4.5 12
2020-07-04 @ AS Trencin L 2-355.3 1434 1510 21.67% 25.64% 52.69%-0.59 -4.5 5
2020-07-04 Zemplin Michalovce W 4-041.7 1788 1463 77.12% 15.26% 7.63%+1.80 +5.8 12
2020-07-04 @ Slovan Bratislava L 0-441.7 1463 1788 7.63% 15.26% 77.12%-1.80 -5.8 2
2020-07-04 Zilina W 2-053.8 1616 1616 42.93% 27.21% 29.87%+0.23 +12.5 9
2020-07-04 @ FC DAC 1904 L 0-253.8 1616 1616 29.87% 27.21% 42.93%-0.23 -12.5 3
2020-07-04 Zlate Moravce D 0-052.0 1417 1414 43.31% 27.17% 29.52%+0.24 -0.6 2
2020-07-04 @ Senica D 0-052.0 1414 1417 29.52% 27.17% 43.31%-0.24 +0.6 4
2020-07-11 FC DAC 1904 L 0-156.5 1553 1629 32.36% 27.39% 40.25%-0.14 -7.0 4
2020-07-11 @ Ruzomberok W 1-056.5 1629 1553 40.25% 27.39% 32.36%+0.14 +7.0 12
2020-07-11 Nitra L 0-349.1 1514 1393 57.99% 24.14% 17.87%+0.81 -30.5 12
2020-07-11 @ AS Trencin W 3-049.1 1393 1514 17.87% 24.14% 57.99%-0.81 +30.5 6
2020-07-11 Senica W 1-044.4 1409 1416 41.90% 27.29% 30.81%+0.19 +6.8 10
2020-07-11 @ Pohronie L 0-144.4 1416 1409 30.81% 27.29% 41.90%-0.19 -6.8 2
2020-07-11 SSeredd W 1-045.2 1415 1430 40.84% 27.36% 31.80%+0.16 +7.0 7
2020-07-11 @ Zlate Moravce L 0-145.2 1430 1415 31.80% 27.36% 40.84%-0.16 -7.0 5
2020-07-11 Spartak Trnava D 0-068.8 1794 1481 76.21% 15.77% 8.01%+1.74 -3.4 13
2020-07-11 @ Slovan Bratislava D 0-068.8 1481 1794 8.01% 15.77% 76.21%-1.74 +3.5 5
2020-07-11 Zemplin Michalovce W 5-041.9 1604 1458 60.74% 23.18% 16.08%+0.93 +16.7 6
2020-07-11 @ Zilina L 0-541.9 1458 1604 16.08% 23.18% 60.74%-0.93 -16.7 2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2019-08-10 15.32% @ AS Trencin 1384 2 FC DAC 1904 1637 1
2 2020-03-07 16.48% Spartak Trnava 1466 1 @ FC DAC 1904 1606 0
3 2019-11-23 16.91% @ Zemplin Michalovce 1434 5 FC DAC 1904 1663 0
4 2019-08-03 17.15% Pohronie 1474 1 @ Ruzomberok 1605 0
5 2020-07-11 17.87% Nitra 1393 3 @ AS Trencin 1514 0
6 2019-08-24 18.41% Spartak Trnava 1471 1 @ Ruzomberok 1585 0
7 2019-11-03 18.68% @ AS Trencin 1425 3 Zilina 1631 0
8 2019-08-04 19.20% @ SSeredd 1456 3 FC DAC 1904 1655 1
9 2020-03-07 20.15% Nitra 1380 3 @ Senica 1472 0
10 2019-11-09 20.18% Nitra 1377 1 @ SSeredd 1469 0
11 2019-09-21 20.22% Ruzomberok 1558 1 @ FC DAC 1904 1650 0
12 2019-08-17 20.73% AS Trencin 1395 2 @ Spartak Trnava 1481 1
13 2019-08-24 21.29% AS Trencin 1405 4 @ Pohronie 1485 0
14 2019-11-30 22.76% Pohronie 1394 1 @ AS Trencin 1458 0
15 2019-09-14 23.44% Nitra 1391 3 @ Pohronie 1448 0
16 2019-08-31 24.01% @ Zlate Moravce 1428 4 Ruzomberok 1574 2
17 2019-08-23 25.90% Zlate Moravce 1412 3 @ Senica 1446 1
18 2019-11-29 26.22% @ Spartak Trnava 1466 2 Ruzomberok 1591 0
19 2019-09-01 26.53% @ FC DAC 1904 1627 5 Slovan Bratislava 1750 2
20 2020-07-04 27.53% Pohronie 1391 2 @ Nitra 1411 0
21 2019-11-09 27.83% Ruzomberok 1584 2 @ Zilina 1601 1
22 2019-11-02 28.13% @ Nitra 1368 1 Spartak Trnava 1477 0
23 2019-07-27 28.46% Zlate Moravce 1402 1 @ Nitra 1413 0
24 2020-07-04 28.49% @ Spartak Trnava 1464 2 Ruzomberok 1570 0
25 2019-08-10 30.33% Zilina 1598 3 @ Ruzomberok 1594 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-11-23 50.07 @ Zemplin Michalovce 5 1434 16.91% FC DAC 1904 0 1663 59.44% 23.65%
2 2020-02-15 40.03 @ AS Trencin 8 1448 34.01% Zemplin Michalovce 1 1511 38.53% 27.46%
3 2019-08-24 37.07 AS Trencin 4 1405 21.29% @ Pohronie 0 1485 53.19% 25.52%
4 2020-07-11 30.47 Nitra 3 1393 17.87% @ AS Trencin 0 1514 57.99% 24.14%
5 2019-11-03 29.95 @ AS Trencin 3 1425 18.68% Zilina 0 1631 56.80% 24.52%
6 2020-03-07 29.05 Nitra 3 1380 20.15% @ Senica 0 1472 54.74% 25.12%
7 2019-09-14 27.15 Nitra 3 1391 23.44% @ Pohronie 0 1448 50.43% 26.13%
8 2019-11-09 25.58 @ Senica 4 1436 39.65% Zemplin Michalovce 0 1459 32.93% 27.42%
9 2019-08-10 20.31 @ Zemplin Michalovce 3 1430 37.91% Senica 0 1466 34.61% 27.48%
10 2020-06-13 19.27 @ FC DAC 1904 5 1595 57.04% Zemplin Michalovce 0 1482 18.52% 24.45%
11 2019-10-05 18.91 Senica 4 1421 33.01% @ Nitra 1 1397 39.56% 27.43%
12 2019-09-01 18.63 @ FC DAC 1904 5 1627 26.53% Slovan Bratislava 2 1750 46.69% 26.77%
13 2020-06-13 18.39 @ AS Trencin 4 1473 52.23% Pohronie 0 1402 22.02% 25.75%
14 2019-08-04 17.67 @ SSeredd 3 1456 19.20% FC DAC 1904 1 1655 56.06% 24.74%
15 2019-11-29 17.67 @ Spartak Trnava 2 1466 26.22% Ruzomberok 0 1591 47.05% 26.72%
16 2020-07-04 17.21 Pohronie 2 1391 27.53% @ Nitra 0 1411 45.54% 26.93%
17 2019-07-20 17.19 Zilina 3 1571 45.16% @ Zemplin Michalovce 0 1460 27.86% 26.98%
18 2020-07-04 16.89 @ Spartak Trnava 2 1464 28.49% Ruzomberok 0 1570 44.46% 27.06%
19 2020-07-11 16.72 @ Zilina 5 1604 60.74% Zemplin Michalovce 0 1458 16.08% 23.18%
20 2020-03-07 15.95 @ Zlate Moravce 2 1406 31.38% AS Trencin 0 1489 41.29% 27.33%
21 2019-08-23 15.40 Zlate Moravce 3 1412 25.90% @ Senica 1 1446 47.44% 26.66%
22 2019-11-30 15.25 Zemplin Michalovce 2 1484 33.62% @ SSeredd 0 1455 38.94% 27.45%
23 2019-09-21 15.02 Zemplin Michalovce 2 1452 34.36% @ Nitra 0 1418 38.17% 27.47%
24 2019-08-31 14.32 @ Zlate Moravce 4 1428 24.01% Ruzomberok 2 1574 49.71% 26.27%
25 2020-06-20 14.15 @ Nitra 2 1403 37.36% Senica 0 1443 35.15% 27.49%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2020-03-01 74.7 @ Zilina 2 1612 43.71% FC DAC 1904 2 1606 29.15% 27.13%
2 2019-08-25 72.3 @ Slovan Bratislava 1 1752 59.97% Zilina 1 1613 16.57% 23.46%
3 2019-10-06 71.2 @ Ruzomberok 1 1575 21.55% Slovan Bratislava 1 1747 52.85% 25.60%
4 2019-11-23 71.0 @ Ruzomberok 2 1593 59.15% Senica 2 1461 17.10% 23.75%
5 2019-08-10 70.2 Zilina 3 1598 30.33% @ Ruzomberok 2 1594 42.42% 27.25%
6 2019-10-26 69.5 @ Ruzomberok 2 1581 61.90% AS Trencin 2 1424 15.36% 22.74%
7 2019-08-17 69.4 @ Senica 2 1445 24.61% Ruzomberok 2 1586 48.99% 26.41%
8 2020-07-11 68.8 @ Slovan Bratislava 0 1794 76.21% Spartak Trnava 0 1481 8.01% 15.77%
9 2020-02-15 68.4 @ SSeredd 2 1433 24.83% Ruzomberok 2 1571 48.72% 26.45%
10 2019-08-31 68.2 @ SSeredd 3 1455 43.88% Pohronie 3 1448 29.01% 27.12%
11 2020-06-20 67.3 Slovan Bratislava 3 1775 49.64% @ Zilina 2 1629 24.07% 26.29%
12 2019-10-19 67.0 @ Zilina 1 1627 62.87% Zemplin Michalovce 1 1461 14.77% 22.35%
13 2019-08-11 66.7 @ Pohronie 2 1486 43.60% Spartak Trnava 2 1481 29.26% 27.15%
14 2019-08-18 66.7 @ FC DAC 1904 1 1626 63.83% Zemplin Michalovce 1 1450 14.21% 21.96%
15 2019-12-01 66.7 @ Zilina 0 1590 21.77% Slovan Bratislava 0 1760 52.56% 25.67%
16 2020-02-16 66.6 @ Spartak Trnava 0 1471 12.90% Slovan Bratislava 0 1766 66.16% 20.94%
17 2019-09-01 66.1 @ FC DAC 1904 5 1627 26.53% Slovan Bratislava 2 1750 46.69% 26.77%
18 2019-11-09 65.9 Ruzomberok 2 1584 27.83% @ Zilina 1 1601 45.20% 26.97%
19 2020-06-27 65.3 @ Zemplin Michalovce 2 1464 42.98% Spartak Trnava 2 1463 29.81% 27.20%
20 2020-03-01 64.7 @ Ruzomberok 1 1570 54.98% Zemplin Michalovce 1 1476 19.97% 25.05%
21 2019-08-10 64.5 @ AS Trencin 2 1384 15.32% FC DAC 1904 1 1637 61.96% 22.72%
22 2019-11-02 64.3 @ Zemplin Michalovce 2 1460 46.29% Zlate Moravce 2 1435 26.88% 26.83%
23 2020-06-28 64.0 @ Ruzomberok 2 1562 34.30% Zilina 1 1624 38.23% 27.47%
24 2019-11-02 63.9 @ FC DAC 1904 0 1661 65.66% SSeredd 0 1467 13.17% 21.17%
25 2019-09-14 63.7 @ Ruzomberok 1 1560 56.25% SSeredd 1 1454 19.07% 24.69%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2020-06-13 37.4 @ AS Trencin 4 1473 52.23% Pohronie 0 1402 22.02% 25.75%
2 2019-08-17 38.1 @ Zilina 3 1605 66.55% Nitra 0 1402 12.69% 20.76%
3 2019-09-28 39.3 @ Slovan Bratislava 5 1740 78.05% Nitra 0 1403 7.23% 14.72%
4 2019-08-10 39.7 @ Slovan Bratislava 4 1735 76.46% Zlate Moravce 0 1418 7.91% 15.63%
5 2019-08-04 39.8 @ Spartak Trnava 2 1471 51.59% Nitra 0 1404 22.52% 25.89%
6 2019-08-31 40.1 @ Zilina 5 1615 64.71% Senica 0 1431 13.71% 21.59%
7 2020-02-16 40.3 @ Zilina 3 1597 62.46% Zlate Moravce 0 1435 15.02% 22.52%
8 2019-07-27 41.3 @ Slovan Bratislava 3 1719 73.18% Zemplin Michalovce 0 1443 9.37% 17.44%
9 2019-10-26 41.3 @ Zlate Moravce 1 1430 50.31% Nitra 0 1373 23.53% 26.16%
10 2020-02-22 41.7 @ Zemplin Michalovce 1 1471 53.75% Nitra 0 1387 20.88% 25.38%
11 2020-07-04 41.7 @ Slovan Bratislava 4 1788 77.12% Zemplin Michalovce 0 1463 7.63% 15.26%
12 2019-11-09 41.8 @ Senica 4 1436 39.65% Zemplin Michalovce 0 1459 32.93% 27.42%
13 2020-07-11 41.9 @ Zilina 5 1604 60.74% Zemplin Michalovce 0 1458 16.08% 23.18%
14 2019-11-30 42.2 @ FC DAC 1904 1 1613 68.46% Nitra 0 1389 11.68% 19.86%
15 2019-08-10 42.7 @ Zemplin Michalovce 3 1430 37.91% Senica 0 1466 34.61% 27.48%
16 2019-11-02 42.9 @ Slovan Bratislava 2 1750 76.07% Senica 0 1439 8.08% 15.85%
17 2020-03-07 43.0 @ Zemplin Michalovce 1 1477 52.10% Pohronie 0 1407 22.12% 25.78%
18 2020-06-20 43.2 @ Nitra 2 1403 37.36% Senica 0 1443 35.15% 27.49%
19 2020-06-13 43.6 @ FC DAC 1904 5 1595 57.04% Zemplin Michalovce 0 1482 18.52% 24.45%
20 2019-10-26 43.7 FC DAC 1904 2 1654 60.99% @ Pohronie 0 1410 15.92% 23.09%
21 2019-11-23 43.8 @ Slovan Bratislava 2 1756 74.97% SSeredd 0 1459 8.56% 16.47%
22 2019-07-21 43.9 @ Spartak Trnava 2 1465 43.47% SSeredd 0 1461 29.37% 27.16%
23 2019-07-21 44.0 @ Ruzomberok 1 1604 64.97% Nitra 0 1417 13.56% 21.47%
24 2020-03-07 44.0 Zilina 3 1611 52.55% @ SSeredd 0 1442 21.78% 25.67%
25 2020-06-27 44.1 @ SSeredd 1 1428 44.43% Nitra 0 1417 28.51% 27.06%