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1995-96 Slovenian PrvaLiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Gorica

67 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Gorica

4.80 points above expected

67 points · 62.20 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Izola

9.06 points below expected

8 points · 17.06 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Gorica 36 18 13 5 67 49 22 +27 62.20 +4.80
2 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 36 19 7 10 64 79 39 +40 60.12 +3.88
3 NK Mura 36 15 13 8 58 43 29 +14 55.99 +2.01
4 Maribor 36 14 11 11 53 47 32 +15 55.13 -2.13
5 Celje 36 13 12 11 51 62 47 +15 51.95 -0.95
6 Beltinci 36 13 11 12 50 41 40 +1 48.23 +1.77
7 Rudar Velenje 36 13 10 13 49 46 37 +9 54.52 -5.52
8 Primorje 36 13 9 14 48 56 48 +8 46.43 +1.57
9 Korotan 36 11 9 16 42 44 46 -2 42.47 -0.47
10 Izola 36 1 5 30 8 13 140 -127 17.06 -9.06

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Gorica 67 62.20 +4.80
2 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 64 60.12 +3.88
3 NK Mura 58 55.99 +2.01
4 Beltinci 50 48.23 +1.77
5 Primorje 48 46.43 +1.57

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Izola 8 17.06 -9.06
2 Rudar Velenje 49 54.52 -5.52
3 Maribor 53 55.13 -2.13
4 Celje 51 51.95 -0.95
5 Korotan 42 42.47 -0.47

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Celje 4 Sep 10 – Oct 1 1 in 76
2 Primorje 4 Mar 31 – Apr 14 1 in 74
3 Beltinci 4 Nov 11 – Feb 25 1 in 37
4 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 4 Mar 10 – Mar 31 1 in 25
5 Maribor 3 Oct 22 – Nov 5 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 4 Oct 7 – Oct 29 1 in 115
2 Izola 15 Mar 17 – Jun 8 1 in 45
3 Beltinci 3 Aug 6 – Aug 20 1 in 32
4 Rudar Velenje 2 Sep 2 – Sep 10 1 in 14
5 Celje 3 Nov 11 – Nov 26 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gorica 23 Oct 7 – May 19 1 in 436
2 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 11 Nov 5 – Apr 6 1 in 65
3 Beltinci 8 Oct 22 – Mar 3 1 in 55
4 Primorje 6 Aug 6 – Sep 10 1 in 21
5 Maribor 7 Apr 19 – May 25 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Celje 9 Mar 10 – Apr 28 1 in 110
2 Maribor 6 Sep 9 – Oct 15 1 in 40
3 Gorica 5 Mar 24 – Apr 13 1 in 27
4 Primorje 7 Nov 19 – Mar 24 1 in 20
5 Izola 25 Oct 15 – Jun 8 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Gorica 1628 67 -5 9 9.7 -0.7
Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 1620 64 +6 9 8.1 +0.9
NK Mura 1555 58 +0 9 8.3 +0.7
Maribor 1562 53 +7 10 7.6 +2.4
Celje 1538 51 +9 10 6.4 +3.6
Beltinci 1514 50 +18 10 7.1 +2.9
Rudar Velenje 1536 49 -4 5 6.8 -1.8
Primorje 1489 48 -5 6 7.4 -1.4
Korotan 1456 42 -3 4 5.6 -1.6
Izola 1145 8 -23 0 1.9 -1.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BEL CEL GOR IZO KOR MAR NM OL( PRI RV
Beltinci —
2-0-2
5.03
0-3-1
3.73
4-0-0
9.14
2-2-0
6.00
2-1-1
4.59
1-2-1
4.69
1-0-3
4.32
0-1-3
5.87
1-2-1
4.76
Celje
2-0-2
5.86
—
2-1-1
4.21
3-1-0
9.43
2-0-2
6.38
0-4-0
5.07
1-2-1
5.07
1-1-2
4.68
1-1-2
6.21
1-2-1
5.25
Gorica
1-3-0
7.25
1-1-2
6.73
—
4-0-0
10.14
3-1-0
7.61
0-2-2
6.34
2-1-1
6.11
2-2-0
5.77
3-1-0
7.15
2-2-0
6.43
Izola
0-0-4
2.16
0-1-3
1.94
0-0-4
1.40
—
1-1-2
2.51
0-1-3
1.64
0-1-3
1.70
0-0-4
1.53
0-1-3
2.18
0-0-4
1.90
Korotan
0-2-2
4.88
2-0-2
4.53
0-1-3
3.41
2-1-1
8.69
—
2-1-1
4.15
0-2-2
4.06
0-0-4
3.85
2-2-0
5.07
3-0-1
4.20
Maribor
1-1-2
6.31
0-4-0
5.81
2-2-0
4.57
3-1-0
9.82
1-1-2
6.79
—
0-1-3
5.44
3-0-1
4.97
3-0-1
6.34
1-1-2
5.65
NK Mura
1-2-1
6.18
1-2-1
5.81
1-1-2
4.78
3-1-0
9.74
2-2-0
6.87
3-1-0
5.45
—
1-2-1
5.05
1-1-2
6.62
2-1-1
5.65
Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)
3-0-1
6.60
2-1-1
6.20
0-2-2
5.11
4-0-0
9.96
4-0-0
7.12
1-0-3
5.89
1-2-1
5.83
—
2-1-1
6.75
2-1-1
5.97
Primorje
3-1-0
5.04
2-1-1
4.70
0-1-3
3.82
3-1-0
9.12
0-2-2
5.81
1-0-3
4.56
2-1-1
4.28
1-1-2
4.20
—
1-1-2
4.68
Rudar Velenje
1-2-1
6.13
1-2-1
5.64
0-2-2
4.48
4-0-0
9.49
1-0-3
6.73
2-1-1
5.23
1-1-2
5.22
1-1-2
4.92
2-1-1
6.21
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.60 +7.5
Allowed 0.89 -4.6
Differential 0.93 +3.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%9.17%6.67%3.06%0.56%3.33%32.78%
19.17%15.00%6.39%2.22%1.11%1.94%35.83%
26.67%6.39%2.22%0.83%0.28%—16.39%
33.06%2.22%0.83%0.56%—0.28%6.94%
40.56%1.11%0.28%——0.28%2.22%
5+3.33%1.94%—0.28%0.28%—5.83%
Total32.78%35.83%16.39%6.94%2.22%5.83%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.33 +0.00
SD 1.58 1.58 2.43
CV 1.18 1.18 —
Max 11 11 +11
Min 0 0 -11

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.44%5.56%8.33%5.56%—2.78%41.67%
15.56%11.11%8.33%———25.00%
28.33%11.11%————19.44%
35.56%————2.78%8.33%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total38.89%33.33%16.67%5.56%—5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.11 +0.03
SD 1.29 1.30 1.89
CV 1.13 1.17 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%—5.56%——22.22%
111.11%16.67%5.56%2.78%2.78%—38.89%
25.56%5.56%2.78%5.56%——19.44%
3—5.56%—2.78%——8.33%
4—————2.78%2.78%
5+5.56%2.78%————8.33%
Total33.33%36.11%8.33%16.67%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 1.31 +0.42
SD 2.06 1.41 2.50
CV 1.20 1.08 —
Max 11 6 +11
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%11.11%————27.78%
18.33%16.67%2.78%———27.78%
211.11%13.89%2.78%———27.78%
38.33%5.56%————13.89%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total44.44%50.00%5.56%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 0.61 +0.75
SD 1.13 0.60 1.23
CV 0.83 0.98 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—2.78%16.67%13.89%5.56%27.78%66.67%
12.78%11.11%—2.78%—13.89%30.56%
2——2.78%———2.78%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total2.78%13.89%19.44%16.67%5.56%41.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.36 3.89 -3.53
SD 0.54 2.56 2.77
CV 1.50 0.66 —
Max 2 11 +1
Min 0 0 -11

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%16.67%5.56%——2.78%36.11%
15.56%11.11%16.67%—2.78%—36.11%
28.33%2.78%2.78%———13.89%
3——8.33%———8.33%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total27.78%30.56%36.11%—2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.28 -0.06
SD 1.57 1.14 2.00
CV 1.28 0.89 —
Max 8 5 +8
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%11.11%11.11%———36.11%
113.89%8.33%8.33%———30.56%
28.33%2.78%5.56%———16.67%
32.78%2.78%—2.78%——8.33%
4———————
5+2.78%5.56%————8.33%
Total41.67%30.56%25.00%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 0.89 +0.42
SD 1.47 0.89 1.73
CV 1.13 1.00 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%5.56%———25.00%
122.22%25.00%2.78%——2.78%52.78%
22.78%8.33%2.78%———13.89%
32.78%—————2.78%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total41.67%44.44%11.11%——2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 0.81 +0.39
SD 1.33 0.98 1.79
CV 1.11 1.22 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%—2.78%——13.89%
12.78%11.11%13.89%2.78%—2.78%33.33%
25.56%13.89%2.78%———22.22%
38.33%2.78%————11.11%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+11.11%——2.78%——13.89%
Total36.11%36.11%16.67%8.33%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.19 1.08 +1.11
SD 2.07 1.16 2.68
CV 0.94 1.07 —
Max 10 5 +10
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%11.11%2.78%——25.00%
111.11%19.44%2.78%8.33%5.56%—47.22%
22.78%2.78%——2.78%—8.33%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+5.56%5.56%————11.11%
Total27.78%38.89%13.89%11.11%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.33 +0.22
SD 1.78 1.24 2.44
CV 1.14 0.93 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%16.67%8.33%———33.33%
18.33%19.44%2.78%5.56%——36.11%
213.89%2.78%—2.78%——19.44%
3—2.78%————2.78%
4———————
5+2.78%2.78%——2.78%—8.33%
Total33.33%44.44%11.11%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.03 +0.25
SD 1.49 1.03 1.68
CV 1.16 1.00 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Gorica 1628 67 62.20 +4.80 76.0% 44 50 57 61 67 74 83
Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 1620 64 60.12 +3.88 73.0% 42 48 55 60 65 71 83
Maribor 1562 53 55.13 -2.13 37.0% 34 44 52 56 59 64 70
NK Mura 1555 58 55.99 +2.01 65.0% 38 43 51 56 61 68 75
Celje 1538 51 51.95 -0.95 50.0% 33 40 47 51 57 64 67
Rudar Velenje 1536 49 54.52 -5.52 22.0% 39 43 50 55 59 64 69
Beltinci 1514 50 48.23 +1.77 59.0% 30 36 43 48 53 59 66
Primorje 1489 48 46.43 +1.57 63.0% 27 34 41 46 51 57 67
Korotan 1456 42 42.47 -0.47 48.0% 27 31 39 43 46 54 60
Izola 1145 8 17.06 -9.06 5.0% 6 8 13 17 21 25 29

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8% * Slight Edge: 8% to 17% * Clear Edge: 17% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+22.22%
Clear Edge
47.22%27.78%25.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge
105 Elo
0.010 goals per Elo point
078.52300
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.66 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.75+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.25 * Runaway: 0.25 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.6
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
39%
Gorica, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.08/gm
Photo Finish
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.5 * Some Luck: 5.5 to 8.25 * Lucky: 8.25 to 11.01 * Wild Swing: 11.01 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.16 * Close: 1.16 to 1.74 * Off: 1.74 to 2.32 * Way Off: 2.32 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.05 points
As Expected
06.8817
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.40
Pinpoint
01.453
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
76.00%
Gorica
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
5.00%
Izola
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.8 * Moderate Separation: 1.8 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 72% * Wide Edge: 72% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58.5% * Some Drama: 58.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63% * Very Frequent: 63% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 21% * Very Frequent: 21% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Even
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 136.92
2.09
Strong Separation
11.82.052.75
Interquartile Edge
59%
Even
50%63.5%72%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 93%
94%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Frequent
0%47%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Frequent
0%29%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.31 * Slight Separation: 0.31 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 22.5% * Upset-Prone: 22.5% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Highly Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.39
Notable Separation
00.310.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.48
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.94
Near-Lock
00.420.630.791
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Chalky
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Solid Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.17
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.30
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.068
Well Within Noise
00.1220.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Gorica39.00%22.00%13.00%13.00%6.00%2.00%2.00%3.00%——
Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)31.00%19.00%15.00%14.00%9.00%8.00%3.00%1.00%——
NK Mura15.00%15.00%11.00%11.00%15.00%21.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%—
Maribor8.00%15.00%18.00%15.00%17.00%11.00%6.00%5.00%5.00%—
Celje3.00%13.00%9.00%11.00%11.00%13.00%20.00%13.00%7.00%—
Beltinci—3.00%6.00%9.00%11.00%15.00%22.00%19.00%15.00%—
Rudar Velenje3.00%10.00%23.00%16.00%18.00%10.00%12.00%7.00%1.00%—
Primorje1.00%3.00%2.00%8.00%11.00%14.00%15.00%22.00%23.00%1.00%
Korotan——3.00%3.00%2.00%6.00%14.00%26.00%46.00%—
Izola————————1.00%99.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff
Beltinci 85.00% 15.00%
Celje 93.00% 7.00%
Gorica 100% —
Izola — 100%
Korotan 54.00% 46.00%
Maribor 95.00% 5.00%
NK Mura 98.00% 2.00%
Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 100% —
Primorje 76.00% 24.00%
Rudar Velenje 99.00% 1.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1995-07-30 Maribor D 3-372.6 1530 1557 42.91% 28.85% 28.24%+0.49 -0.3 1
1995-07-30 @ Celje D 3-372.6 1557 1530 28.24% 28.85% 42.91%-0.49 +0.3 1
1995-07-30 Izola W 2-033.1 1459 1268 69.86% 17.95% 12.19%+2.55 +3.5 3
1995-07-30 @ Korotan L 0-233.1 1268 1459 12.19% 17.95% 69.86%-2.55 -3.5 0
1995-07-30 Beltinci D 1-164.1 1545 1532 48.46% 27.63% 23.91%+0.87 -0.7 1
1995-07-30 @ NK Mura D 1-164.1 1532 1545 23.91% 27.63% 48.46%-0.87 +0.7 1
1995-07-30 Rudar Velenje D 1-165.1 1562 1541 49.50% 27.33% 23.17%+0.95 -0.8 1
1995-07-30 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) D 1-165.1 1541 1562 23.17% 27.33% 49.50%-0.95 +0.8 1
1995-07-30 Gorica L 1-455.1 1473 1574 32.50% 29.38% 38.12%-0.21 -11.6 0
1995-07-30 @ Primorje W 4-155.1 1574 1473 38.12% 29.38% 32.50%+0.21 +11.6 3
1995-08-05 NK Mura L 1-264.8 1558 1544 48.44% 27.64% 23.92%+0.87 -6.4 1
1995-08-05 @ Maribor W 2-164.8 1544 1558 23.92% 27.64% 48.44%-0.87 +6.4 4
1995-08-05 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) W 2-158.4 1586 1562 49.92% 27.20% 22.88%+0.98 +3.6 6
1995-08-05 @ Gorica L 1-258.4 1562 1586 22.88% 27.20% 49.92%-0.98 -3.6 1
1995-08-06 Primorje L 0-354.4 1533 1462 55.97% 25.00% 19.03%+1.42 -20.7 1
1995-08-06 @ Beltinci W 3-054.4 1462 1533 19.03% 25.00% 55.97%-1.42 +20.7 3
1995-08-06 Rudar Velenje L 0-139.0 1265 1542 16.11% 22.51% 61.37%-1.89 -2.6 0
1995-08-06 @ Izola W 1-039.0 1542 1265 61.37% 22.51% 16.11%+1.89 +2.6 4
1995-08-06 Celje W 3-261.3 1462 1530 37.21% 29.42% 33.37%+0.10 +4.6 6
1995-08-06 @ Korotan L 2-361.3 1530 1462 33.37% 29.42% 37.21%-0.10 -4.6 1
1995-08-13 Izola W 5-133.4 1525 1262 77.05% 13.75% 9.20%+3.24 +3.9 4
1995-08-13 @ Celje L 1-533.4 1262 1525 9.20% 13.75% 77.05%-3.24 -3.9 0
1995-08-13 Korotan W 2-045.1 1551 1467 57.59% 24.30% 18.11%+1.54 +5.6 7
1995-08-13 @ NK Mura L 0-245.1 1467 1551 18.11% 24.30% 57.59%-1.54 -5.6 6
1995-08-13 Beltinci W 5-046.0 1558 1512 52.78% 26.24% 20.97%+1.18 +15.3 4
1995-08-13 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) L 0-546.0 1512 1558 20.97% 26.24% 52.78%-1.18 -15.3 1
1995-08-13 Maribor W 1-053.7 1482 1551 37.01% 29.43% 33.56%+0.09 +5.2 6
1995-08-13 @ Primorje L 0-153.7 1551 1482 33.56% 29.43% 37.01%-0.09 -5.2 1
1995-08-13 Gorica D 1-165.5 1545 1589 40.47% 29.18% 30.35%+0.32 -0.3 5
1995-08-13 @ Rudar Velenje D 1-165.5 1589 1545 30.35% 29.18% 40.47%-0.32 +0.3 7
1995-08-18 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) W 5-154.5 1546 1573 42.90% 28.85% 28.25%+0.49 +13.5 4
1995-08-18 @ Maribor L 1-554.5 1573 1546 28.25% 28.85% 42.90%-0.49 -13.5 4
1995-08-20 Rudar Velenje L 0-254.1 1497 1544 40.03% 29.23% 30.75%+0.29 -11.0 1
1995-08-20 @ Beltinci W 2-054.1 1544 1497 30.75% 29.23% 40.03%-0.29 +11.0 8
1995-08-20 NK Mura D 1-164.1 1529 1556 42.89% 28.85% 28.26%+0.49 -0.4 5
1995-08-20 @ Celje D 1-164.1 1556 1529 28.26% 28.85% 42.89%-0.49 +0.4 8
1995-08-20 Gorica L 0-236.3 1258 1590 13.19% 19.24% 67.57%-2.40 -3.9 0
1995-08-20 @ Izola W 2-036.3 1590 1258 67.57% 19.24% 13.19%+2.40 +3.9 10
1995-08-20 Primorje D 0-054.9 1461 1487 43.05% 28.83% 28.12%+0.50 -0.5 7
1995-08-20 @ Korotan D 0-054.9 1487 1461 28.12% 28.83% 43.05%-0.50 +0.5 7
1995-08-26 Celje W 3-154.9 1488 1529 41.03% 29.12% 29.86%+0.36 +7.7 10
1995-08-26 @ Primorje L 1-354.9 1529 1488 29.86% 29.12% 41.03%-0.36 -7.7 5
1995-08-27 Beltinci D 0-061.5 1593 1486 60.49% 22.95% 16.56%+1.77 -1.5 11
1995-08-27 @ Gorica D 0-061.5 1486 1593 16.56% 22.95% 60.49%-1.77 +1.5 2
1995-08-27 Izola W 4-029.3 1557 1255 80.47% 11.71% 7.82%+3.62 +3.8 11
1995-08-27 @ NK Mura L 0-429.3 1255 1557 7.82% 11.71% 80.47%-3.62 -3.8 0
1995-08-27 Korotan W 2-151.3 1560 1461 59.44% 23.45% 17.11%+1.69 +2.6 7
1995-08-27 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) L 1-251.3 1461 1560 17.11% 23.45% 59.44%-1.69 -2.6 7
1995-08-27 Maribor W 2-052.0 1555 1560 46.12% 28.22% 25.66%+0.71 +7.9 11
1995-08-27 @ Rudar Velenje L 0-252.0 1560 1555 25.66% 28.22% 46.12%-0.71 -7.9 4
1995-09-02 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) D 1-163.9 1521 1562 40.89% 29.13% 29.98%+0.35 -0.3 6
1995-09-02 @ Celje D 1-163.9 1562 1521 29.98% 29.13% 40.89%-0.35 +0.3 8
1995-09-02 Beltinci L 0-237.3 1251 1487 18.79% 24.82% 56.39%-1.50 -5.8 0
1995-09-02 @ Izola W 2-037.3 1487 1251 56.39% 24.82% 18.79%+1.50 +5.8 5
1995-09-02 Rudar Velenje W 2-053.0 1458 1563 31.92% 29.34% 38.75%-0.25 +10.8 10
1995-09-02 @ Korotan L 0-253.0 1563 1458 38.75% 29.34% 31.92%+0.25 -10.8 11
1995-09-02 Gorica W 1-056.2 1552 1592 41.08% 29.11% 29.81%+0.36 +4.7 7
1995-09-02 @ Maribor L 0-156.2 1592 1552 29.81% 29.11% 41.08%-0.36 -4.7 11
1995-09-02 Primorje D 1-164.1 1561 1496 55.21% 25.31% 19.48%+1.36 -1.1 12
1995-09-02 @ NK Mura D 1-164.1 1496 1561 19.48% 25.31% 55.21%-1.36 +1.1 11
1995-09-09 Maribor D 0-058.5 1493 1556 37.81% 29.40% 32.79%+0.14 -0.1 6
1995-09-09 @ Beltinci D 0-058.5 1556 1493 32.79% 29.40% 37.81%-0.14 +0.2 8
1995-09-09 NK Mura L 1-265.2 1563 1560 47.11% 27.99% 24.90%+0.78 -6.2 8
1995-09-09 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) W 2-165.2 1560 1563 24.90% 27.99% 47.11%-0.78 +6.2 15
1995-09-10 Korotan W 2-045.3 1587 1469 61.75% 22.33% 15.92%+1.87 +4.8 14
1995-09-10 @ Gorica L 0-245.3 1469 1587 15.92% 22.33% 61.75%-1.87 -4.8 10
1995-09-10 Izola W 6-028.9 1497 1245 76.02% 14.36% 9.62%+3.14 +7.2 14
1995-09-10 @ Primorje L 0-628.9 1245 1497 9.62% 14.36% 76.02%-3.14 -7.2 0
1995-09-10 Celje L 0-159.6 1553 1521 50.95% 26.88% 22.17%+1.05 -7.0 11
1995-09-10 @ Rudar Velenje W 1-059.6 1521 1553 22.17% 26.88% 50.95%-1.05 +7.0 9
1995-09-17 Gorica W 2-161.2 1528 1592 37.64% 29.41% 32.96%+0.13 +4.8 12
1995-09-17 @ Celje L 1-261.2 1592 1528 32.96% 29.41% 37.64%-0.13 -4.8 14
1995-09-17 Maribor D 2-262.0 1238 1556 13.82% 20.00% 66.18%-2.28 +1.2 1
1995-09-17 @ Izola D 2-262.0 1556 1238 66.18% 20.00% 13.82%+2.28 -1.2 9
1995-09-17 Beltinci D 1-159.4 1464 1493 42.68% 28.89% 28.43%+0.47 -0.4 11
1995-09-17 @ Korotan D 1-159.4 1493 1464 28.43% 28.89% 42.68%-0.47 +0.4 7
1995-09-17 Rudar Velenje D 1-165.4 1566 1546 49.39% 27.36% 23.25%+0.94 -0.8 16
1995-09-17 @ NK Mura D 1-165.4 1546 1566 23.25% 27.36% 49.39%-0.94 +0.8 12
1995-09-17 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) L 0-353.2 1504 1557 39.32% 29.29% 31.39%+0.25 -15.8 14
1995-09-17 @ Primorje W 3-053.2 1557 1504 31.39% 29.29% 39.32%-0.25 +15.8 11
1995-09-22 Korotan L 1-263.8 1555 1464 58.53% 23.87% 17.59%+1.62 -7.3 9
1995-09-22 @ Maribor W 2-163.8 1464 1555 17.59% 23.87% 58.53%-1.62 +7.3 14
1995-09-23 Izola W 10-028.8 1572 1239 82.91% 10.25% 6.84%+3.91 +7.7 14
1995-09-23 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) L 0-1028.8 1239 1572 6.84% 10.25% 82.91%-3.91 -7.7 1
1995-09-24 Celje L 1-260.4 1493 1532 41.25% 29.09% 29.66%+0.37 -5.6 7
1995-09-24 @ Beltinci W 2-160.4 1532 1493 29.66% 29.09% 41.25%-0.37 +5.6 15
1995-09-24 NK Mura W 2-158.6 1587 1565 49.67% 27.28% 23.05%+0.96 +3.6 17
1995-09-24 @ Gorica L 1-258.6 1565 1587 23.05% 27.28% 49.67%-0.96 -3.6 16
1995-09-24 Primorje W 2-046.7 1546 1488 54.35% 25.65% 20.00%+1.30 +6.2 15
1995-09-24 @ Rudar Velenje L 0-246.7 1488 1546 20.00% 25.65% 54.35%-1.30 -6.2 14
1995-10-01 Beltinci W 2-046.7 1538 1488 53.34% 26.04% 20.62%+1.22 +6.4 18
1995-10-01 @ Celje L 0-246.7 1488 1538 20.62% 26.04% 53.34%-1.22 -6.4 7
1995-10-01 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) L 0-632.3 1231 1580 12.36% 18.17% 69.48%-2.57 -9.9 1
1995-10-01 @ Izola W 6-032.3 1580 1231 69.48% 18.17% 12.36%+2.57 +9.9 17
1995-10-01 Maribor D 0-057.3 1471 1548 35.84% 29.46% 34.70%+0.01 -0.0 15
1995-10-01 @ Korotan D 0-057.3 1548 1471 34.70% 29.46% 35.84%-0.01 +0.0 10
1995-10-01 Gorica W 1-056.0 1561 1591 42.60% 28.90% 28.50%+0.47 +4.5 19
1995-10-01 @ NK Mura L 0-156.0 1591 1561 28.50% 28.90% 42.60%-0.47 -4.5 17
1995-10-01 Rudar Velenje D 1-162.1 1482 1553 36.74% 29.44% 33.81%+0.07 -0.1 15
1995-10-01 @ Primorje D 1-162.1 1553 1482 33.81% 29.44% 36.74%-0.07 +0.1 16
1995-10-07 NK Mura D 0-058.4 1481 1566 34.73% 29.46% 35.80%-0.06 +0.0 8
1995-10-07 @ Beltinci D 0-058.4 1566 1481 35.80% 29.46% 34.73%+0.06 -0.0 20
1995-10-07 Korotan W 1-050.0 1221 1471 17.88% 24.11% 58.01%-1.62 +7.7 4
1995-10-07 @ Izola L 0-150.0 1471 1221 58.01% 24.11% 17.88%+1.62 -7.7 15
1995-10-07 Celje D 0-060.4 1548 1544 47.15% 27.98% 24.87%+0.78 -0.7 11
1995-10-07 @ Maribor D 0-060.4 1544 1548 24.87% 27.98% 47.15%-0.78 +0.7 19
1995-10-07 Primorje W 3-151.1 1586 1482 60.10% 23.14% 16.76%+1.74 +4.5 20
1995-10-07 @ Gorica L 1-351.1 1482 1586 16.76% 23.14% 60.10%-1.74 -4.5 15
1995-10-07 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) W 2-160.8 1553 1590 41.51% 29.06% 29.44%+0.39 +4.4 19
1995-10-07 @ Rudar Velenje L 1-260.8 1590 1553 29.44% 29.06% 41.51%-0.39 -4.4 17
1995-10-15 Korotan L 2-367.6 1545 1463 57.34% 24.41% 18.25%+1.53 -6.9 19
1995-10-15 @ Celje W 3-267.6 1463 1545 18.25% 24.41% 57.34%-1.53 +6.9 18
1995-10-15 Maribor W 1-052.8 1566 1547 49.19% 27.42% 23.39%+0.92 +3.8 23
1995-10-15 @ NK Mura L 0-152.8 1547 1566 23.39% 27.42% 49.19%-0.92 -3.8 11
1995-10-15 Gorica L 0-358.4 1586 1591 45.95% 28.26% 25.79%+0.70 -17.8 17
1995-10-15 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) W 3-058.4 1591 1586 25.79% 28.26% 45.95%-0.70 +17.8 23
1995-10-15 Beltinci W 1-048.2 1477 1481 46.13% 28.22% 25.65%+0.71 +4.2 18
1995-10-15 @ Primorje L 0-148.2 1481 1477 25.65% 28.22% 46.13%-0.71 -4.2 8
1995-10-15 Izola W 5-131.7 1557 1229 82.49% 10.50% 7.01%+3.86 +2.8 22
1995-10-15 @ Rudar Velenje L 1-531.7 1229 1557 7.01% 10.50% 82.49%-3.86 -2.8 4
1995-10-22 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) W 2-159.8 1477 1568 33.90% 29.44% 36.66%-0.12 +5.2 11
1995-10-22 @ Beltinci L 1-259.8 1568 1477 36.66% 29.44% 33.90%+0.12 -5.2 17
1995-10-22 Celje L 0-235.1 1226 1538 14.17% 20.42% 65.41%-2.22 -4.2 4
1995-10-22 @ Izola W 2-035.1 1538 1226 65.41% 20.42% 14.17%+2.22 +4.2 22
1995-10-22 NK Mura D 1-162.3 1470 1570 32.65% 29.39% 37.96%-0.20 +0.2 19
1995-10-22 @ Korotan D 1-162.3 1570 1470 37.96% 29.39% 32.65%+0.20 -0.1 24
1995-10-22 Primorje W 2-046.2 1543 1481 54.82% 25.47% 19.71%+1.33 +6.1 14
1995-10-22 @ Maribor L 0-246.2 1481 1543 19.71% 25.47% 54.82%-1.33 -6.1 18
1995-10-22 Rudar Velenje W 3-156.2 1609 1560 53.13% 26.12% 20.76%+1.21 +5.6 26
1995-10-22 @ Gorica L 1-356.2 1560 1609 20.76% 26.12% 53.13%-1.21 -5.6 22
1995-10-29 Izola W 3-028.8 1614 1222 86.87% 7.87% 5.25%+4.47 +1.8 29
1995-10-29 @ Gorica L 0-328.8 1222 1614 5.25% 7.87% 86.87%-4.47 -1.8 4
1995-10-29 Celje W 1-052.5 1570 1543 50.30% 27.08% 22.61%+1.00 +3.7 27
1995-10-29 @ NK Mura L 0-152.5 1543 1570 22.61% 27.08% 50.30%-1.00 -3.7 22
1995-10-29 Maribor L 0-160.4 1563 1550 48.43% 27.64% 23.93%+0.87 -6.8 17
1995-10-29 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) W 1-060.4 1550 1563 23.93% 27.64% 48.43%-0.87 +6.8 17
1995-10-29 Korotan D 1-159.2 1475 1470 47.37% 27.92% 24.71%+0.80 -0.7 19
1995-10-29 @ Primorje D 1-159.2 1470 1475 24.71% 27.92% 47.37%-0.80 +0.7 20
1995-10-29 Beltinci D 1-163.5 1554 1482 56.08% 24.95% 18.97%+1.43 -1.1 23
1995-10-29 @ Rudar Velenje D 1-163.5 1482 1554 18.97% 24.95% 56.08%-1.43 +1.1 12
1995-11-05 Gorica D 1-164.5 1483 1616 28.50% 28.90% 42.60%-0.51 +0.4 13
1995-11-05 @ Beltinci D 1-164.5 1616 1483 42.60% 28.90% 28.50%+0.51 -0.4 30
1995-11-05 Primorje W 3-150.6 1539 1475 55.10% 25.36% 19.55%+1.36 +5.3 25
1995-11-05 @ Celje L 1-350.6 1475 1539 19.55% 25.36% 55.10%-1.36 -5.3 19
1995-11-05 NK Mura D 1-157.8 1220 1573 12.16% 17.91% 69.92%-2.61 +1.8 5
1995-11-05 @ Izola D 1-157.8 1573 1220 69.92% 17.91% 12.16%+2.61 -1.8 28
1995-11-05 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) L 1-258.6 1471 1556 34.70% 29.46% 35.84%-0.06 -5.0 20
1995-11-05 @ Korotan W 2-158.6 1556 1471 35.84% 29.46% 34.70%+0.06 +5.0 20
1995-11-05 Rudar Velenje W 2-051.5 1556 1553 47.10% 27.99% 24.91%+0.78 +7.7 20
1995-11-05 @ Maribor L 0-251.5 1553 1556 24.91% 27.99% 47.10%-0.78 -7.7 23
1995-11-11 Izola W 5-132.0 1484 1222 76.93% 13.82% 9.25%+3.23 +3.9 16
1995-11-11 @ Beltinci L 1-532.0 1222 1484 9.25% 13.82% 76.93%-3.23 -3.9 5
1995-11-11 Maribor D 0-063.5 1616 1564 53.49% 25.98% 20.52%+1.24 -1.1 31
1995-11-11 @ Gorica D 0-063.5 1564 1616 20.52% 25.98% 53.49%-1.24 +1.1 21
1995-11-11 Celje W 3-049.4 1561 1544 48.93% 27.50% 23.57%+0.91 +10.6 23
1995-11-11 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) L 0-349.4 1544 1561 23.57% 27.50% 48.93%-0.91 -10.6 25
1995-11-11 NK Mura W 5-154.9 1469 1572 32.33% 29.37% 38.30%-0.22 +16.9 22
1995-11-11 @ Primorje L 1-554.9 1572 1469 38.30% 29.37% 32.33%+0.22 -16.9 28
1995-11-11 Korotan L 2-367.6 1545 1466 57.03% 24.54% 18.42%+1.50 -6.8 23
1995-11-11 @ Rudar Velenje W 3-267.6 1466 1545 18.42% 24.54% 57.03%-1.50 +6.8 23
1995-11-19 Rudar Velenje L 4-667.8 1533 1539 45.97% 28.26% 25.77%+0.70 -8.7 25
1995-11-19 @ Celje W 6-467.8 1539 1533 25.77% 28.26% 45.97%-0.70 +8.7 26
1995-11-19 Primorje D 1-154.7 1218 1486 16.68% 23.06% 60.26%-1.80 +1.4 6
1995-11-19 @ Izola D 1-154.7 1486 1218 60.26% 23.06% 16.68%+1.80 -1.3 23
1995-11-19 Gorica L 1-258.3 1473 1614 27.44% 28.68% 43.88%-0.60 -4.2 23
1995-11-19 @ Korotan W 2-158.3 1614 1473 43.88% 28.68% 27.44%+0.60 +4.2 34
1995-11-19 Beltinci L 1-264.7 1565 1488 56.76% 24.66% 18.58%+1.48 -7.2 21
1995-11-19 @ Maribor W 2-164.7 1488 1565 18.58% 24.66% 56.76%-1.48 +7.2 19
1995-11-19 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) D 1-165.4 1555 1571 44.37% 28.59% 27.04%+0.59 -0.5 29
1995-11-19 @ NK Mura D 1-165.4 1571 1555 27.04% 28.59% 44.37%-0.59 +0.5 24
1995-11-26 Korotan W 2-151.9 1495 1469 50.20% 27.12% 22.68%+1.00 +3.5 22
1995-11-26 @ Beltinci L 1-251.9 1469 1495 22.68% 27.12% 50.20%-1.00 -3.5 23
1995-11-26 Izola W 5-131.3 1558 1220 83.27% 10.03% 6.70%+3.96 +2.6 24
1995-11-26 @ Maribor L 1-531.3 1220 1558 6.70% 10.03% 83.27%-3.96 -2.6 6
1995-11-26 Celje W 2-155.6 1619 1525 58.79% 23.76% 17.46%+1.64 +2.7 37
1995-11-26 @ Gorica L 1-255.6 1525 1619 17.46% 23.76% 58.79%-1.64 -2.7 25
1995-11-26 Primorje D 1-164.5 1572 1485 57.96% 24.13% 17.91%+1.57 -1.2 25
1995-11-26 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) D 1-164.5 1485 1572 17.91% 24.13% 57.96%-1.57 +1.2 24
1995-11-26 NK Mura L 0-159.4 1547 1554 45.72% 28.31% 25.97%+0.68 -6.5 26
1995-11-26 @ Rudar Velenje W 1-059.4 1554 1547 25.97% 28.31% 45.72%-0.68 +6.5 32
1996-02-25 NK Mura W 2-052.5 1498 1561 37.96% 29.39% 32.65%+0.15 +9.5 25
1996-02-25 @ Beltinci L 0-252.5 1561 1498 32.65% 29.39% 37.96%-0.15 -9.5 32
1996-02-25 Korotan D 1-154.1 1217 1465 17.98% 24.19% 57.82%-1.61 +1.2 7
1996-02-25 @ Izola D 1-154.1 1465 1217 57.82% 24.19% 17.98%+1.61 -1.2 24
1996-02-25 Celje D 2-269.5 1561 1522 51.79% 26.60% 21.62%+1.11 -0.7 25
1996-02-25 @ Maribor D 2-269.5 1522 1561 21.62% 26.60% 51.79%-1.11 +0.7 26
1996-02-25 Primorje D 1-167.0 1621 1486 63.72% 21.32% 14.96%+2.03 -1.5 38
1996-02-25 @ Gorica D 1-167.0 1486 1621 14.96% 21.32% 63.72%-2.03 +1.5 25
1996-02-25 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) L 1-362.0 1541 1571 42.53% 28.91% 28.56%+0.46 -10.0 26
1996-02-25 @ Rudar Velenje W 3-162.0 1571 1541 28.56% 28.91% 42.53%-0.46 +10.0 28
1996-03-03 Korotan W 5-042.4 1523 1464 54.45% 25.62% 19.94%+1.31 +14.5 29
1996-03-03 @ Celje L 0-542.4 1464 1523 19.94% 25.62% 54.45%-1.31 -14.5 24
1996-03-03 Maribor W 1-053.9 1551 1560 45.48% 28.37% 26.16%+0.66 +4.2 35
1996-03-03 @ NK Mura L 0-153.9 1560 1551 26.16% 28.37% 45.48%-0.66 -4.2 25
1996-03-03 Gorica D 0-063.1 1581 1620 41.25% 29.09% 29.66%+0.37 -0.4 29
1996-03-03 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) D 0-063.1 1620 1581 29.66% 29.09% 41.25%-0.37 +0.4 39
1996-03-03 Beltinci D 0-056.7 1488 1508 43.88% 28.68% 27.43%+0.55 -0.5 26
1996-03-03 @ Primorje D 0-056.7 1508 1488 27.43% 28.68% 43.88%-0.55 +0.5 26
1996-03-03 Izola W 5-027.5 1531 1218 81.29% 11.21% 7.49%+3.71 +4.4 29
1996-03-03 @ Rudar Velenje L 0-527.5 1218 1531 7.49% 11.21% 81.29%-3.71 -4.4 7
1996-03-10 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) L 1-261.4 1508 1580 36.58% 29.45% 33.97%+0.06 -5.2 26
1996-03-10 @ Beltinci W 2-161.4 1580 1508 33.97% 29.45% 36.58%-0.06 +5.2 32
1996-03-10 Celje D 1-156.4 1214 1537 13.58% 19.71% 66.71%-2.33 +1.7 8
1996-03-10 @ Izola D 1-156.4 1537 1214 66.71% 19.71% 13.58%+2.33 -1.7 30
1996-03-10 NK Mura L 0-152.1 1449 1555 31.81% 29.33% 38.86%-0.26 -5.0 24
1996-03-10 @ Korotan W 1-052.1 1555 1449 38.86% 29.33% 31.81%+0.26 +5.0 38
1996-03-10 Primorje W 2-046.7 1556 1487 55.64% 25.13% 19.22%+1.40 +6.0 28
1996-03-10 @ Maribor L 0-246.7 1487 1556 19.22% 25.13% 55.64%-1.40 -6.0 26
1996-03-10 Rudar Velenje W 1-051.5 1620 1535 57.70% 24.25% 18.05%+1.55 +3.0 42
1996-03-10 @ Gorica L 0-151.5 1535 1620 18.05% 24.25% 57.70%-1.55 -3.0 29
1996-03-17 Izola W 3-028.6 1623 1215 87.80% 7.32% 4.88%+4.62 +1.7 45
1996-03-17 @ Gorica L 0-328.6 1215 1623 4.88% 7.32% 87.80%-4.62 -1.7 8
1996-03-17 Celje D 0-060.8 1560 1536 49.98% 27.19% 22.84%+0.98 -0.9 39
1996-03-17 @ NK Mura D 0-060.8 1536 1560 22.84% 27.19% 49.98%-0.98 +0.9 31
1996-03-17 Maribor W 1-053.6 1585 1562 49.88% 27.22% 22.90%+0.97 +3.8 35
1996-03-17 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) L 0-153.6 1562 1585 22.90% 27.22% 49.88%-0.97 -3.8 28
1996-03-17 Korotan L 0-154.3 1481 1444 51.59% 26.66% 21.75%+1.10 -7.1 26
1996-03-17 @ Primorje W 1-054.3 1444 1481 21.75% 26.66% 51.59%-1.10 +7.1 27
1996-03-17 Beltinci D 0-058.7 1532 1503 50.54% 27.01% 22.45%+1.02 -0.9 30
1996-03-17 @ Rudar Velenje D 0-058.7 1503 1532 22.45% 27.01% 50.54%-1.02 +1.0 27
1996-03-24 Gorica D 0-061.2 1504 1625 29.96% 29.13% 40.91%-0.40 +0.3 28
1996-03-24 @ Beltinci D 0-061.2 1625 1504 40.91% 29.13% 29.96%+0.40 -0.3 46
1996-03-24 Primorje D 1-162.4 1537 1474 54.89% 25.44% 19.67%+1.34 -1.1 32
1996-03-24 @ Celje D 1-162.4 1474 1537 19.67% 25.44% 54.89%-1.34 +1.1 27
1996-03-24 NK Mura L 0-332.7 1214 1559 12.51% 18.36% 69.13%-2.54 -5.2 8
1996-03-24 @ Izola W 3-032.7 1559 1214 69.13% 18.36% 12.51%+2.54 +5.2 42
1996-03-24 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) L 1-256.8 1451 1589 27.88% 28.78% 43.35%-0.56 -4.2 27
1996-03-24 @ Korotan W 2-156.8 1589 1451 43.35% 28.78% 27.88%+0.56 +4.2 38
1996-03-24 Rudar Velenje L 0-258.2 1558 1531 50.23% 27.11% 22.66%+1.00 -13.1 28
1996-03-24 @ Maribor W 2-058.2 1531 1558 22.66% 27.11% 50.23%-1.00 +13.1 33
1996-03-31 Izola W 3-028.4 1505 1209 79.94% 12.02% 8.04%+3.56 +3.0 31
1996-03-31 @ Beltinci L 0-328.4 1209 1505 8.04% 12.02% 79.94%-3.56 -3.0 8
1996-03-31 Maribor D 0-063.7 1624 1545 57.05% 24.54% 18.41%+1.50 -1.3 47
1996-03-31 @ Gorica D 0-063.7 1545 1624 18.41% 24.54% 57.05%-1.50 +1.3 29
1996-03-31 Celje W 3-048.5 1593 1535 54.31% 25.67% 20.02%+1.30 +9.1 41
1996-03-31 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) L 0-348.5 1535 1593 20.02% 25.67% 54.31%-1.30 -9.1 32
1996-03-31 NK Mura W 1-054.8 1475 1565 34.07% 29.45% 36.49%-0.10 +5.5 30
1996-03-31 @ Primorje L 0-154.8 1565 1475 36.49% 29.45% 34.07%+0.10 -5.5 42
1996-03-31 Korotan L 0-158.1 1544 1447 59.21% 23.56% 17.23%+1.67 -7.9 33
1996-03-31 @ Rudar Velenje W 1-058.1 1447 1544 17.23% 23.56% 59.21%-1.67 +7.9 30
1996-04-06 Rudar Velenje D 0-059.3 1526 1536 45.29% 28.41% 26.30%+0.65 -0.6 33
1996-04-06 @ Celje D 0-059.3 1536 1526 26.30% 28.41% 45.29%-0.65 +0.6 34
1996-04-06 Primorje L 1-536.5 1206 1481 16.25% 22.65% 61.11%-1.87 -7.8 8
1996-04-06 @ Izola W 5-136.5 1481 1206 61.11% 22.65% 16.25%+1.87 +7.9 33
1996-04-06 Gorica D 0-059.9 1455 1623 24.62% 27.89% 47.49%-0.85 +0.8 31
1996-04-06 @ Korotan D 0-059.9 1623 1455 47.49% 27.89% 24.62%+0.85 -0.8 48
1996-04-06 Beltinci W 3-046.8 1546 1508 51.80% 26.59% 21.61%+1.11 +9.8 32
1996-04-06 @ Maribor L 0-346.8 1508 1546 21.61% 26.59% 51.80%-1.11 -9.8 31
1996-04-06 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) D 0-062.1 1559 1603 40.64% 29.16% 30.19%+0.33 -0.3 43
1996-04-06 @ NK Mura D 0-062.1 1603 1559 30.19% 29.16% 40.64%-0.33 +0.3 42
1996-04-10 Korotan W 4-147.3 1498 1456 52.26% 26.43% 21.31%+1.15 +8.1 34
1996-04-10 @ Beltinci L 1-447.3 1456 1498 21.31% 26.43% 52.26%-1.15 -8.1 31
1996-04-10 Izola W 3-133.9 1556 1198 84.68% 9.19% 6.14%+4.15 +1.3 35
1996-04-10 @ Maribor L 1-333.9 1198 1556 6.14% 9.19% 84.68%-4.15 -1.3 8
1996-04-10 Celje D 1-167.6 1622 1526 59.12% 23.60% 17.28%+1.66 -1.3 49
1996-04-10 @ Gorica D 1-167.6 1526 1622 17.28% 23.60% 59.12%-1.66 +1.3 34
1996-04-10 Primorje L 0-162.0 1603 1488 61.28% 22.56% 16.16%+1.83 -8.1 42
1996-04-10 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) W 1-062.0 1488 1603 16.16% 22.56% 61.28%-1.83 +8.1 36
1996-04-10 NK Mura W 1-053.9 1537 1559 43.68% 28.72% 27.60%+0.54 +4.4 37
1996-04-10 @ Rudar Velenje L 0-153.9 1559 1537 27.60% 28.72% 43.68%-0.54 -4.4 43
1996-04-13 Gorica D 1-166.6 1554 1621 37.33% 29.42% 33.25%+0.11 -0.1 44
1996-04-13 @ NK Mura D 1-166.6 1621 1554 33.25% 29.42% 37.33%-0.11 +0.1 50
1996-04-14 Beltinci L 0-157.9 1527 1506 49.52% 27.33% 23.16%+0.95 -6.9 34
1996-04-14 @ Celje W 1-057.9 1506 1527 23.16% 27.33% 49.52%-0.95 +6.9 37
1996-04-14 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) L 0-530.3 1196 1595 10.23% 15.23% 74.54%-3.04 -6.5 8
1996-04-14 @ Izola W 5-030.3 1595 1196 74.54% 15.23% 10.23%+3.04 +6.5 45
1996-04-14 Maribor W 2-052.5 1448 1557 31.36% 29.29% 39.35%-0.29 +10.9 34
1996-04-14 @ Korotan L 0-252.5 1557 1448 39.35% 29.29% 31.36%+0.29 -10.9 35
1996-04-14 Rudar Velenje W 2-157.6 1497 1542 40.41% 29.19% 30.40%+0.32 +4.5 39
1996-04-14 @ Primorje L 1-257.6 1542 1497 30.40% 29.19% 40.41%-0.32 -4.5 37
1996-04-19 Celje W 2-155.9 1513 1520 45.65% 28.33% 26.02%+0.68 +4.0 40
1996-04-19 @ Beltinci L 1-255.9 1520 1513 26.02% 28.33% 45.65%-0.68 -4.0 34
1996-04-19 Korotan W 1-046.4 1546 1459 58.04% 24.10% 17.86%+1.58 +2.9 38
1996-04-19 @ Maribor L 0-146.4 1459 1546 17.86% 24.10% 58.04%-1.58 -2.9 34
1996-04-19 NK Mura W 1-052.7 1621 1554 55.44% 25.22% 19.34%+1.38 +3.2 53
1996-04-19 @ Gorica L 0-152.7 1554 1621 19.34% 25.22% 55.44%-1.38 -3.2 44
1996-04-19 Izola W 4-026.6 1601 1190 88.02% 7.19% 4.79%+4.65 +2.1 48
1996-04-19 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) L 0-426.6 1190 1601 4.79% 7.19% 88.02%-4.65 -2.1 8
1996-04-19 Primorje W 3-152.6 1537 1501 51.47% 26.70% 21.82%+1.09 +5.9 40
1996-04-19 @ Rudar Velenje L 1-352.6 1501 1537 21.82% 26.70% 51.47%-1.09 -5.9 39
1996-04-28 Maribor D 1-163.3 1516 1549 42.12% 28.97% 28.91%+0.43 -0.4 35
1996-04-28 @ Celje D 1-163.3 1549 1516 28.91% 28.97% 42.12%-0.43 +0.4 39
1996-04-28 Izola W 8-027.6 1456 1188 77.49% 13.48% 9.02%+3.29 +8.7 37
1996-04-28 @ Korotan L 0-827.6 1188 1456 9.02% 13.48% 77.49%-3.29 -8.7 8
1996-04-28 Beltinci W 1-050.7 1551 1517 51.25% 26.78% 21.97%+1.07 +3.6 47
1996-04-28 @ NK Mura L 0-150.7 1517 1551 21.97% 26.78% 51.25%-1.07 -3.6 40
1996-04-28 Rudar Velenje W 2-050.4 1603 1543 54.64% 25.54% 19.82%+1.32 +6.2 51
1996-04-28 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) L 0-250.4 1543 1603 19.82% 25.54% 54.64%-1.32 -6.2 40
1996-04-28 Gorica L 0-253.3 1495 1624 28.90% 28.97% 42.13%-0.48 -8.7 39
1996-04-28 @ Primorje W 2-053.3 1624 1495 42.13% 28.97% 28.90%+0.48 +8.7 56
1996-05-01 Primorje L 0-254.9 1513 1486 50.25% 27.10% 22.65%+1.00 -13.1 40
1996-05-01 @ Beltinci W 2-054.9 1486 1513 22.65% 27.10% 50.25%-1.00 +13.1 42
1996-05-01 Rudar Velenje L 0-232.8 1179 1537 11.95% 17.63% 70.42%-2.65 -3.4 8
1996-05-01 @ Izola W 2-032.8 1537 1179 70.42% 17.63% 11.95%+2.65 +3.4 43
1996-05-01 Celje L 0-153.5 1464 1516 39.48% 29.28% 31.24%+0.26 -5.8 37
1996-05-01 @ Korotan W 1-053.5 1516 1464 31.24% 29.28% 39.48%-0.26 +5.8 38
1996-05-01 NK Mura D 1-164.9 1550 1555 45.96% 28.26% 25.78%+0.70 -0.6 40
1996-05-01 @ Maribor D 1-164.9 1555 1550 25.78% 28.26% 45.96%-0.70 +0.6 48
1996-05-01 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) D 2-273.5 1633 1610 49.81% 27.24% 22.95%+0.97 -0.6 57
1996-05-01 @ Gorica D 2-273.5 1610 1633 22.95% 27.24% 49.81%-0.97 +0.6 52
1996-05-05 Izola W 11-026.6 1522 1176 83.83% 9.70% 6.48%+4.03 +7.9 41
1996-05-05 @ Celje L 0-1126.6 1176 1522 6.48% 9.70% 83.83%-4.03 -7.9 8
1996-05-05 Korotan D 2-267.9 1555 1458 59.16% 23.58% 17.26%+1.67 -1.0 49
1996-05-05 @ NK Mura D 2-267.9 1458 1555 17.26% 23.58% 59.16%-1.67 +1.0 38
1996-05-05 Beltinci W 5-357.8 1610 1500 60.77% 22.81% 16.42%+1.79 +3.7 55
1996-05-05 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) L 3-557.8 1500 1610 16.42% 22.81% 60.77%-1.79 -3.7 40
1996-05-05 Maribor L 0-156.1 1500 1549 39.80% 29.25% 30.96%+0.28 -5.8 42
1996-05-05 @ Primorje W 1-056.1 1549 1500 30.96% 29.25% 39.80%-0.28 +5.8 43
1996-05-05 Gorica D 1-166.5 1540 1632 33.68% 29.44% 36.88%-0.13 +0.1 44
1996-05-05 @ Rudar Velenje D 1-166.5 1632 1540 36.88% 29.44% 33.68%+0.13 -0.1 58
1996-05-11 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) W 2-162.4 1555 1614 38.40% 29.36% 32.23%+0.18 +4.7 46
1996-05-11 @ Maribor L 1-262.4 1614 1555 32.23% 29.36% 38.40%-0.18 -4.7 55
1996-05-12 Rudar Velenje W 1-052.8 1496 1540 40.58% 29.17% 30.25%+0.33 +4.8 43
1996-05-12 @ Beltinci L 0-152.8 1540 1496 30.25% 29.17% 40.58%-0.33 -4.8 44
1996-05-12 NK Mura W 1-053.7 1530 1554 43.25% 28.79% 27.95%+0.51 +4.5 44
1996-05-12 @ Celje L 0-153.7 1554 1530 27.95% 28.79% 43.25%-0.51 -4.5 49
1996-05-12 Gorica L 0-231.3 1168 1632 7.82% 11.70% 80.48%-3.67 -2.0 8
1996-05-12 @ Izola W 2-031.3 1632 1168 80.48% 11.70% 7.82%+3.67 +2.0 61
1996-05-12 Primorje W 4-255.9 1459 1494 41.93% 29.00% 29.07%+0.42 +6.8 41
1996-05-12 @ Korotan L 2-455.9 1494 1459 29.07% 29.00% 41.93%-0.42 -6.8 42
1996-05-19 Beltinci W 2-154.0 1634 1501 63.49% 21.44% 15.07%+2.01 +2.3 64
1996-05-19 @ Gorica L 1-254.0 1501 1634 15.07% 21.44% 63.49%-2.01 -2.3 43
1996-05-19 Izola W 7-025.6 1550 1166 86.38% 8.17% 5.45%+4.39 +4.2 52
1996-05-19 @ NK Mura L 0-725.6 1166 1550 5.45% 8.17% 86.38%-4.39 -4.2 8
1996-05-19 Korotan W 2-151.7 1609 1466 64.62% 20.84% 14.54%+2.10 +2.2 58
1996-05-19 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) L 1-251.7 1466 1609 14.54% 20.84% 64.62%-2.10 -2.2 41
1996-05-19 Celje W 4-153.5 1487 1534 40.13% 29.22% 30.66%+0.30 +11.1 45
1996-05-19 @ Primorje L 1-453.5 1534 1487 30.66% 29.22% 40.13%-0.30 -11.1 44
1996-05-19 Maribor D 1-164.4 1535 1559 43.36% 28.78% 27.86%+0.52 -0.5 45
1996-05-19 @ Rudar Velenje D 1-164.4 1559 1535 27.86% 28.78% 43.36%-0.52 +0.5 47
1996-05-25 Gorica W 1-059.1 1560 1637 35.90% 29.46% 34.64%+0.02 +5.3 50
1996-05-25 @ Maribor L 0-159.1 1637 1560 34.64% 29.46% 35.90%-0.02 -5.3 64
1996-05-26 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) W 3-161.0 1523 1611 34.21% 29.45% 36.34%-0.09 +8.9 47
1996-05-26 @ Celje L 1-361.0 1611 1523 36.34% 29.45% 34.21%+0.09 -8.9 58
1996-05-26 Beltinci L 0-331.3 1162 1499 12.90% 18.87% 68.22%-2.46 -5.5 8
1996-05-26 @ Izola W 3-031.3 1499 1162 68.22% 18.87% 12.90%+2.46 +5.5 46
1996-05-26 Rudar Velenje L 0-153.4 1464 1535 36.71% 29.44% 33.85%+0.07 -5.5 41
1996-05-26 @ Korotan W 1-053.4 1535 1464 33.85% 29.44% 36.71%-0.07 +5.5 48
1996-05-26 Primorje W 2-154.0 1554 1498 54.05% 25.77% 20.18%+1.28 +3.2 55
1996-05-26 @ NK Mura L 1-254.0 1498 1554 20.18% 25.77% 54.05%-1.28 -3.1 45
1996-06-02 Maribor W 2-052.9 1504 1565 38.16% 29.38% 32.47%+0.17 +9.5 49
1996-06-02 @ Beltinci L 0-252.9 1565 1504 32.47% 29.38% 38.16%-0.17 -9.5 50
1996-06-02 Korotan W 1-046.4 1631 1459 67.96% 19.02% 13.02%+2.39 +2.0 67
1996-06-02 @ Gorica L 0-146.4 1459 1631 13.02% 19.02% 67.96%-2.39 -2.0 41
1996-06-02 NK Mura W 2-051.3 1602 1557 52.68% 26.28% 21.04%+1.18 +6.6 61
1996-06-02 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) L 0-251.3 1557 1602 21.04% 26.28% 52.68%-1.18 -6.6 55
1996-06-02 Izola W 7-025.7 1495 1156 83.30% 10.01% 6.69%+3.96 +5.3 48
1996-06-02 @ Primorje L 0-725.7 1156 1495 6.69% 10.01% 83.30%-3.96 -5.3 8
1996-06-02 Celje D 0-059.8 1541 1532 47.85% 27.80% 24.35%+0.83 -0.8 49
1996-06-02 @ Rudar Velenje D 0-059.8 1532 1541 24.35% 27.80% 47.85%-0.83 +0.8 48
1996-06-08 Gorica W 1-059.4 1533 1633 32.52% 29.38% 38.10%-0.21 +5.6 51
1996-06-08 @ Celje L 0-159.4 1633 1533 38.10% 29.38% 32.52%+0.21 -5.6 67
1996-06-08 Maribor L 0-528.7 1151 1556 9.97% 14.86% 75.17%-3.10 -6.3 8
1996-06-08 @ Izola W 5-028.7 1556 1151 75.17% 14.86% 9.97%+3.10 +6.3 53
1996-06-08 Beltinci D 0-055.6 1457 1514 38.67% 29.34% 31.98%+0.20 -0.2 42
1996-06-08 @ Korotan D 0-055.6 1514 1457 31.98% 29.34% 38.67%-0.20 +0.2 50
1996-06-08 Rudar Velenje W 1-052.4 1551 1540 48.14% 27.72% 24.14%+0.85 +4.0 58
1996-06-08 @ NK Mura L 0-152.4 1540 1551 24.14% 27.72% 48.14%-0.85 -4.0 49
1996-06-08 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) L 1-456.8 1500 1609 31.46% 29.30% 39.24%-0.29 -11.3 48
1996-06-08 @ Primorje W 4-156.8 1609 1500 39.24% 29.30% 31.46%+0.29 +11.4 64

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1996-04-10 16.16% Primorje 1488 1 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 1603 0
2 1996-03-31 17.23% Korotan 1447 1 @ Rudar Velenje 1544 0
3 1995-09-22 17.59% Korotan 1464 2 @ Maribor 1555 1
4 1995-10-07 17.88% @ Izola 1221 1 Korotan 1471 0
5 1995-10-15 18.25% Korotan 1463 3 @ Celje 1545 2
6 1995-11-11 18.42% Korotan 1466 3 @ Rudar Velenje 1545 2
7 1995-11-19 18.58% Beltinci 1488 2 @ Maribor 1565 1
8 1995-08-06 19.03% Primorje 1462 3 @ Beltinci 1533 0
9 1996-03-17 21.75% Korotan 1444 1 @ Primorje 1481 0
10 1995-09-10 22.17% Celje 1521 1 @ Rudar Velenje 1553 0
11 1996-05-01 22.65% Primorje 1486 2 @ Beltinci 1513 0
12 1996-03-24 22.66% Rudar Velenje 1531 2 @ Maribor 1558 0
13 1996-04-14 23.16% Beltinci 1506 1 @ Celje 1527 0
14 1995-08-05 23.92% NK Mura 1544 2 @ Maribor 1558 1
15 1995-10-29 23.93% Maribor 1550 1 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 1563 0
16 1995-09-09 24.90% NK Mura 1560 2 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 1563 1
17 1995-11-19 25.77% Rudar Velenje 1539 6 @ Celje 1533 4
18 1995-10-15 25.79% Gorica 1591 3 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 1586 0
19 1995-11-26 25.97% NK Mura 1554 1 @ Rudar Velenje 1547 0
20 1996-02-25 28.56% Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 1571 3 @ Rudar Velenje 1541 1
21 1995-09-24 29.66% Celje 1532 2 @ Beltinci 1493 1
22 1995-08-20 30.75% Rudar Velenje 1544 2 @ Beltinci 1497 0
23 1996-05-05 30.96% Maribor 1549 1 @ Primorje 1500 0
24 1996-05-01 31.24% Celje 1516 1 @ Korotan 1464 0
25 1996-04-14 31.36% @ Korotan 1448 2 Maribor 1557 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1995-08-06 20.65 Primorje 3 1462 19.03% @ Beltinci 0 1533 55.97% 25.00%
2 1995-10-15 17.76 Gorica 3 1591 25.79% @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 0 1586 45.95% 28.26%
3 1995-11-11 16.89 @ Primorje 5 1469 32.33% NK Mura 1 1572 38.30% 29.37%
4 1995-09-17 15.81 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 3 1557 31.39% @ Primorje 0 1504 39.32% 29.29%
5 1995-08-13 15.30 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 5 1558 52.78% Beltinci 0 1512 20.97% 26.24%
6 1996-03-03 14.54 @ Celje 5 1523 54.45% Korotan 0 1464 19.94% 25.62%
7 1995-08-18 13.48 @ Maribor 5 1546 42.90% Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 1 1573 28.25% 28.85%
8 1996-05-01 13.10 Primorje 2 1486 22.65% @ Beltinci 0 1513 50.25% 27.10%
9 1996-03-24 13.09 Rudar Velenje 2 1531 22.66% @ Maribor 0 1558 50.23% 27.11%
10 1995-07-30 11.63 Gorica 4 1574 38.12% @ Primorje 1 1473 32.50% 29.38%
11 1996-06-08 11.35 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 4 1609 39.24% @ Primorje 1 1500 31.46% 29.30%
12 1996-05-19 11.13 @ Primorje 4 1487 40.13% Celje 1 1534 30.66% 29.22%
13 1995-08-20 11.03 Rudar Velenje 2 1544 30.75% @ Beltinci 0 1497 40.03% 29.23%
14 1996-04-14 10.89 @ Korotan 2 1448 31.36% Maribor 0 1557 39.35% 29.29%
15 1995-09-02 10.78 @ Korotan 2 1458 31.92% Rudar Velenje 0 1563 38.75% 29.34%
16 1995-11-11 10.62 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 3 1561 48.93% Celje 0 1544 23.57% 27.50%
17 1996-02-25 9.99 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 3 1571 28.56% @ Rudar Velenje 1 1541 42.53% 28.91%
18 1995-10-01 9.87 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 6 1580 69.48% @ Izola 0 1231 12.36% 18.17%
19 1996-04-06 9.78 @ Maribor 3 1546 51.80% Beltinci 0 1508 21.61% 26.59%
20 1996-02-25 9.53 @ Beltinci 2 1498 37.96% NK Mura 0 1561 32.65% 29.39%
21 1996-06-02 9.49 @ Beltinci 2 1504 38.16% Maribor 0 1565 32.47% 29.38%
22 1996-03-31 9.07 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 3 1593 54.31% Celje 0 1535 20.02% 25.67%
23 1996-05-26 8.91 @ Celje 3 1523 34.21% Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 1 1611 36.34% 29.45%
24 1996-04-28 8.70 @ Korotan 8 1456 77.49% Izola 0 1188 9.02% 13.48%
25 1996-04-28 8.69 Gorica 2 1624 42.13% @ Primorje 0 1495 28.90% 28.97%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1996-05-01 73.5 @ Gorica 2 1633 49.81% Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 2 1610 22.95% 27.24%
2 1995-07-30 72.6 @ Celje 3 1530 42.91% Maribor 3 1557 28.24% 28.85%
3 1996-02-25 69.5 @ Maribor 2 1561 51.79% Celje 2 1522 21.62% 26.60%
4 1996-05-05 67.9 @ NK Mura 2 1555 59.16% Korotan 2 1458 17.26% 23.58%
5 1995-11-19 67.8 Rudar Velenje 6 1539 25.77% @ Celje 4 1533 45.97% 28.26%
6 1995-10-15 67.6 Korotan 3 1463 18.25% @ Celje 2 1545 57.34% 24.41%
7 1995-11-11 67.6 Korotan 3 1466 18.42% @ Rudar Velenje 2 1545 57.03% 24.54%
8 1996-04-10 67.6 @ Gorica 1 1622 59.12% Celje 1 1526 17.28% 23.60%
9 1996-02-25 67.0 @ Gorica 1 1621 63.72% Primorje 1 1486 14.96% 21.32%
10 1996-04-13 66.6 @ NK Mura 1 1554 37.33% Gorica 1 1621 33.25% 29.42%
11 1996-05-05 66.5 @ Rudar Velenje 1 1540 33.68% Gorica 1 1632 36.88% 29.44%
12 1995-08-13 65.5 @ Rudar Velenje 1 1545 40.47% Gorica 1 1589 30.35% 29.18%
13 1995-09-17 65.4 @ NK Mura 1 1566 49.39% Rudar Velenje 1 1546 23.25% 27.36%
14 1995-11-19 65.4 @ NK Mura 1 1555 44.37% Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 1 1571 27.04% 28.59%
15 1995-09-09 65.2 NK Mura 2 1560 24.90% @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 1 1563 47.11% 27.99%
16 1995-07-30 65.1 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 1 1562 49.50% Rudar Velenje 1 1541 23.17% 27.33%
17 1996-05-01 64.9 @ Maribor 1 1550 45.96% NK Mura 1 1555 25.78% 28.26%
18 1995-08-05 64.8 NK Mura 2 1544 23.92% @ Maribor 1 1558 48.44% 27.64%
19 1995-11-19 64.7 Beltinci 2 1488 18.58% @ Maribor 1 1565 56.76% 24.66%
20 1995-11-05 64.5 @ Beltinci 1 1483 28.50% Gorica 1 1616 42.60% 28.90%
21 1995-11-26 64.5 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 1 1572 57.96% Primorje 1 1485 17.91% 24.13%
22 1996-05-19 64.4 @ Rudar Velenje 1 1535 43.36% Maribor 1 1559 27.86% 28.78%
23 1995-07-30 64.1 @ NK Mura 1 1545 48.46% Beltinci 1 1532 23.91% 27.63%
24 1995-08-20 64.1 @ Celje 1 1529 42.89% NK Mura 1 1556 28.26% 28.85%
25 1995-09-02 64.1 @ NK Mura 1 1561 55.21% Primorje 1 1496 19.48% 25.31%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1996-05-19 25.6 @ NK Mura 7 1550 86.38% Izola 0 1166 5.45% 8.17%
2 1996-06-02 25.7 @ Primorje 7 1495 83.30% Izola 0 1156 6.69% 10.01%
3 1996-04-19 26.6 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 4 1601 88.02% Izola 0 1190 4.79% 7.19%
4 1996-05-05 26.6 @ Celje 11 1522 83.83% Izola 0 1176 6.48% 9.70%
5 1996-03-03 27.5 @ Rudar Velenje 5 1531 81.29% Izola 0 1218 7.49% 11.21%
6 1996-04-28 27.6 @ Korotan 8 1456 77.49% Izola 0 1188 9.02% 13.48%
7 1996-03-31 28.4 @ Beltinci 3 1505 79.94% Izola 0 1209 8.04% 12.02%
8 1996-03-17 28.6 @ Gorica 3 1623 87.80% Izola 0 1215 4.88% 7.32%
9 1996-06-08 28.7 Maribor 5 1556 75.17% @ Izola 0 1151 9.97% 14.86%
10 1995-09-23 28.8 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 10 1572 82.91% Izola 0 1239 6.84% 10.25%
11 1995-10-29 28.8 @ Gorica 3 1614 86.87% Izola 0 1222 5.25% 7.87%
12 1995-09-10 28.9 @ Primorje 6 1497 76.02% Izola 0 1245 9.62% 14.36%
13 1995-08-27 29.3 @ NK Mura 4 1557 80.47% Izola 0 1255 7.82% 11.71%
14 1996-04-14 30.3 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 5 1595 74.54% @ Izola 0 1196 10.23% 15.23%
15 1995-11-26 31.3 @ Maribor 5 1558 83.27% Izola 1 1220 6.70% 10.03%
16 1996-05-12 31.3 Gorica 2 1632 80.48% @ Izola 0 1168 7.82% 11.70%
17 1996-05-26 31.3 Beltinci 3 1499 68.22% @ Izola 0 1162 12.90% 18.87%
18 1995-10-15 31.7 @ Rudar Velenje 5 1557 82.49% Izola 1 1229 7.01% 10.50%
19 1995-11-11 32.0 @ Beltinci 5 1484 76.93% Izola 1 1222 9.25% 13.82%
20 1995-10-01 32.3 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 6 1580 69.48% @ Izola 0 1231 12.36% 18.17%
21 1996-03-24 32.7 NK Mura 3 1559 69.13% @ Izola 0 1214 12.51% 18.36%
22 1996-05-01 32.8 Rudar Velenje 2 1537 70.42% @ Izola 0 1179 11.95% 17.63%
23 1995-07-30 33.1 @ Korotan 2 1459 69.86% Izola 0 1268 12.19% 17.95%
24 1995-08-13 33.4 @ Celje 5 1525 77.05% Izola 1 1262 9.20% 13.75%
25 1996-04-10 33.9 @ Maribor 3 1556 84.68% Izola 1 1198 6.14% 9.19%