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1998-99 Slovenian PrvaLiga Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Maribor

66 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Domzale

17.54 points above expected

41 points · 23.46 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Primorje

10.61 points below expected

40 points · 50.61 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Maribor 33 19 9 5 66 72 29 +43 68.18 -2.18
2 Gorica 33 18 8 7 62 55 31 +24 62.72 -0.72
3 Rudar Velenje 33 16 8 9 56 43 33 +10 51.52 +4.48
4 NK Mura 33 16 5 12 53 53 35 +18 55.12 -2.12
5 Korotan 33 14 6 13 48 44 45 -1 42.04 +5.96
6 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 33 12 8 13 44 54 50 +4 51.66 -7.66
7 Celje 33 10 12 11 42 30 35 -5 43.50 -1.50
8 Domzale 33 10 11 12 41 40 49 -9 23.46 +17.54
9 Primorje 33 11 7 15 40 39 45 -6 50.61 -10.61
10 Beltinci 33 10 6 17 36 41 62 -21 35.15 +0.85
11 Koper 33 8 8 17 32 34 61 -27 30.13 +1.87
12 Triglav 33 5 10 18 25 28 58 -30 34.40 -9.40

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Domzale 41 23.46 +17.54
2 Korotan 48 42.04 +5.96
3 Rudar Velenje 56 51.52 +4.48
4 Koper 32 30.13 +1.87
5 Beltinci 36 35.15 +0.85

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Primorje 40 50.61 -10.61
2 Triglav 25 34.40 -9.40
3 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 44 51.66 -7.66
4 Maribor 66 68.18 -2.18
5 NK Mura 53 55.12 -2.12

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Domzale 3 May 9 – May 19 1 in 59
2 Koper 2 Aug 30 – Sep 11 1 in 50
3 Primorje 4 Apr 21 – May 5 1 in 33
4 Korotan 4 Nov 8 – Nov 29 1 in 29
5 Celje 2 Apr 21 – Apr 25 1 in 29

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 NK Mura 3 Apr 21 – May 2 1 in 211
2 Primorje 4 May 19 – Jun 13 1 in 43
3 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 4 Mar 7 – Apr 3 1 in 34
4 Celje 2 Oct 30 – Nov 15 1 in 21
5 Beltinci 3 Oct 25 – Nov 8 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Domzale 9 Apr 24 – Jun 13 1 in 2,858
2 Rudar Velenje 13 Nov 15 – May 2 1 in 177
3 Korotan 5 Sep 13 – Oct 18 1 in 33
4 Primorje 5 Apr 18 – May 5 1 in 12
5 Koper 3 Oct 30 – Nov 15 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Maribor 6 Oct 31 – Feb 28 1 in 971
2 Gorica 5 Apr 18 – May 5 1 in 215
3 Celje 8 Oct 4 – Dec 5 1 in 74
4 Primorje 6 Mar 7 – Apr 18 1 in 41
5 Beltinci 7 Oct 25 – Feb 28 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Maribor 1789 66 +36 12 9.7 +2.3
Gorica 1705 62 +18 10 8.6 +1.4
Rudar Velenje 1619 56 -18 7 6.8 +0.2
NK Mura 1633 53 -8 6 7.5 -1.5
Korotan 1550 48 +7 6 5.7 +0.3
Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 1581 44 -20 5 7.6 -2.6
Celje 1552 42 +14 10 7.6 +2.4
Domzale 1458 41 +52 11 5.8 +5.2
Primorje 1539 40 -45 1 7.2 -6.2
Beltinci 1450 36 +17 7 5.5 +1.5
Koper 1401 32 +0 7 4.9 +2.1
Triglav 1391 25 -54 2 5.9 -3.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BEL CEL DOM GOR KOP KOR MAR NM OL( PRI RV TRI
Beltinci —
2-0-1
3.43
1-1-1
5.51
0-1-2
1.83
1-2-0
4.79
1-0-2
3.45
0-1-2
1.53
2-0-1
2.06
1-0-2
2.63
0-1-2
3.00
0-0-3
2.95
2-0-1
4.62
Celje
1-0-2
4.80
—
0-2-1
5.78
2-0-1
2.37
1-1-1
5.69
1-2-0
4.51
0-3-0
2.33
2-0-1
2.99
1-0-2
3.37
1-1-1
3.13
0-2-1
3.16
1-1-1
5.39
Domzale
1-1-1
2.78
1-2-0
2.53
—
0-2-1
1.38
2-0-1
3.20
1-1-1
1.93
0-2-1
0.93
1-0-2
1.29
0-1-2
2.29
2-1-0
1.79
1-0-2
1.86
1-1-1
2.86
Gorica
2-1-0
6.56
1-0-2
5.95
1-2-0
7.10
—
2-1-0
6.45
2-1-0
6.07
0-0-3
3.39
3-0-0
4.74
2-0-1
4.77
2-1-0
5.60
1-1-1
5.14
2-1-0
6.59
Koper
0-2-1
3.45
1-1-1
2.61
1-0-2
5.03
0-1-2
1.92
—
1-0-2
2.86
1-1-1
1.43
0-0-3
1.89
1-2-0
2.48
1-0-2
2.55
1-0-2
2.74
1-1-1
3.34
Korotan
2-0-1
4.80
0-2-1
3.74
1-1-1
6.45
0-1-2
2.24
2-0-1
5.45
—
1-0-2
2.12
0-1-2
3.17
2-0-1
3.84
2-0-1
3.07
1-1-1
3.04
3-0-0
4.56
Maribor
2-1-0
6.91
0-3-0
5.99
1-2-0
7.67
3-0-0
4.85
1-1-1
7.05
2-0-1
6.21
—
2-0-1
5.07
3-0-0
5.84
1-1-1
5.39
2-0-1
6.04
2-1-0
6.58
NK Mura
1-0-2
6.28
1-0-2
5.26
2-0-1
7.21
0-0-3
3.50
3-0-0
6.48
2-1-0
5.08
1-0-2
3.18
—
2-1-0
4.89
2-0-1
4.40
1-2-0
4.93
1-1-1
5.74
Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)
2-0-1
5.65
2-0-1
4.87
2-1-0
6.05
1-0-2
3.46
0-2-1
5.81
1-0-2
4.40
0-0-3
2.48
0-1-2
3.34
—
2-0-1
4.24
1-2-0
4.56
1-2-0
5.61
Primorje
2-1-0
5.27
1-1-1
5.12
0-1-2
6.61
0-1-2
2.69
2-0-1
5.75
1-0-2
5.19
1-1-1
2.88
1-0-2
3.83
1-0-2
3.99
—
1-0-2
3.66
1-2-0
5.89
Rudar Velenje
3-0-0
5.35
1-2-0
5.13
2-0-1
6.52
1-1-1
3.11
2-0-1
5.53
1-1-1
5.22
1-0-2
2.27
0-2-1
3.31
0-2-1
3.67
2-0-1
4.58
—
3-0-0
5.93
Triglav
1-0-2
3.61
1-1-1
2.87
1-1-1
5.41
0-1-2
1.80
1-1-1
4.90
0-0-3
3.67
0-1-2
1.80
1-1-1
2.55
0-2-1
2.67
0-2-1
2.41
0-0-3
2.39
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.70 +8.2
Allowed 0.78 -9.0
Differential 0.94 +5.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.85%5.05%4.29%1.52%1.52%31.31%
19.85%8.59%6.57%3.03%2.78%0.76%31.57%
25.05%6.57%6.06%1.26%—0.51%19.44%
34.29%3.03%1.26%1.01%0.51%—10.10%
41.52%2.78%—0.51%——4.80%
5+1.52%0.76%0.51%———2.78%
Total31.31%31.57%19.44%10.10%4.80%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.35 +0.00
SD 1.32 1.32 2.00
CV 0.98 0.98 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.06%15.15%9.09%—6.06%36.36%
16.06%6.06%9.09%3.03%—3.03%27.27%
29.09%6.06%9.09%———24.24%
3———3.03%——3.03%
4—6.06%————6.06%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total15.15%27.27%33.33%15.15%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.88 -0.64
SD 1.32 1.45 2.30
CV 1.07 0.77 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%12.12%3.03%6.06%——39.39%
118.18%9.09%9.09%—3.03%—39.39%
2—3.03%9.09%———12.12%
33.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total39.39%27.27%24.24%6.06%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.06 -0.15
SD 0.95 1.09 1.35
CV 1.04 1.03 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%12.12%3.03%6.06%3.03%6.06%45.45%
16.06%6.06%—6.06%——18.18%
2—6.06%9.09%———15.15%
33.03%6.06%—3.03%——12.12%
46.06%3.03%————9.09%
5+———————
Total30.30%33.33%12.12%15.15%3.03%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.48 -0.27
SD 1.39 1.54 2.31
CV 1.14 1.04 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.06%3.03%3.03%——24.24%
19.09%9.09%6.06%———24.24%
26.06%6.06%3.03%——3.03%18.18%
312.12%12.12%3.03%———27.27%
4—6.06%————6.06%
5+———————
Total39.39%39.39%15.15%3.03%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 0.94 +0.73
SD 1.29 1.09 1.70
CV 0.77 1.16 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%15.15%9.09%6.06%6.06%3.03%42.42%
19.09%9.09%3.03%3.03%——24.24%
2—6.06%9.09%3.03%—3.03%21.21%
33.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%——12.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.15%33.33%24.24%15.15%6.06%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.85 -0.82
SD 1.07 1.46 1.86
CV 1.04 0.79 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%3.03%9.09%3.03%—30.30%
19.09%12.12%9.09%—3.03%—33.33%
23.03%15.15%—3.03%——21.21%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4—3.03%—3.03%——6.06%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total24.24%42.42%12.12%15.15%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.36 -0.03
SD 1.31 1.19 1.96
CV 0.99 0.88 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%3.03%———18.18%
19.09%9.09%3.03%———21.21%
26.06%3.03%12.12%———21.21%
36.06%6.06%3.03%———15.15%
43.03%9.09%————12.12%
5+6.06%3.03%3.03%———12.12%
Total36.36%39.39%24.24%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 0.88 +1.30
SD 1.65 0.78 1.85
CV 0.76 0.89 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.06%6.06%———21.21%
118.18%3.03%12.12%6.06%6.06%—45.45%
23.03%6.06%3.03%———12.12%
36.06%—————6.06%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+3.03%—3.03%———6.06%
Total48.48%15.15%24.24%6.06%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.06 +0.55
SD 1.62 1.25 2.24
CV 1.01 1.18 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%6.06%3.03%—3.03%24.24%
19.09%9.09%3.03%3.03%6.06%—30.30%
23.03%6.06%6.06%6.06%——21.21%
39.09%——3.03%3.03%—15.15%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+6.06%—————6.06%
Total33.33%24.24%15.15%15.15%9.09%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.52 +0.12
SD 1.50 1.48 2.34
CV 0.91 0.98 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%15.15%3.03%3.03%——30.30%
16.06%12.12%9.09%3.03%9.09%—39.39%
29.09%9.09%————18.18%
33.03%—3.03%—3.03%—9.09%
4———————
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total27.27%39.39%15.15%6.06%12.12%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.36 -0.18
SD 1.16 1.29 1.72
CV 0.98 0.95 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%—27.27%
112.12%9.09%9.09%3.03%——33.33%
215.15%9.09%3.03%———27.27%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4—3.03%—3.03%——6.06%
5+———————
Total42.42%30.30%15.15%9.09%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.00 +0.30
SD 1.13 1.12 1.63
CV 0.87 1.12 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%15.15%3.03%3.03%3.03%—36.36%
16.06%9.09%6.06%9.09%6.06%6.06%42.42%
26.06%3.03%9.09%3.03%——21.21%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total24.24%27.27%18.18%15.15%9.09%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.76 -0.91
SD 0.76 1.52 1.61
CV 0.89 0.87 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Maribor 1789 66 68.18 -2.18 43.0% 51 57 63 68 72 80 83
Gorica 1705 62 62.72 -0.72 47.0% 46 50 58 63 68 73 81
NK Mura 1633 53 55.12 -2.12 39.0% 39 43 50 56 60 66 71
Rudar Velenje 1619 56 51.52 +4.48 78.0% 39 41 46 51 55 66 71
Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 1581 44 51.66 -7.66 16.0% 34 37 47 52 56 63 68
Celje 1552 42 43.50 -1.50 45.0% 27 31 38 43 48 55 60
Korotan 1550 48 42.04 +5.96 85.0% 28 31 38 42 46 53 56
Primorje 1539 40 50.61 -10.61 10.0% 34 38 45 50 56 64 76
Domzale 1458 41 23.46 +17.54 100.0% 10 13 19 24 28 33 36
Beltinci 1450 36 35.15 +0.85 56.0% 14 23 30 35 40 46 54
Koper 1401 32 30.13 +1.87 66.0% 16 20 25 29 34 41 50
Triglav 1391 25 34.40 -9.40 8.0% 22 25 30 33 39 46 53

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8% * Slight Edge: 8% to 17% * Clear Edge: 17% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+19.70%
Clear Edge
47.47%24.75%27.78%
Elo Value
Home Edge
217 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
069.34600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.62 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.32+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.25 * Runaway: 0.25 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.2
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
60%
Maribor, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.12/gm
Tight Race
00.220.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.62 * Some Luck: 5.62 to 8.43 * Lucky: 8.43 to 11.24 * Wild Swing: 11.24 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.99 * Close: 0.99 to 1.48 * Off: 1.48 to 1.97 * Way Off: 1.97 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.29 points
Some Luck
07.0218
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Off
01.232.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Domzale
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
8.00%
Triglav
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.8 * Moderate Separation: 1.8 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 72% * Wide Edge: 72% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58.5% * Some Drama: 58.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63% * Very Frequent: 63% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 21% * Very Frequent: 21% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Balanced
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 120.34
1.60
Coin-Flip Parity
11.82.052.75
Interquartile Edge
72%
Wide Edge
50%63.5%72%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
91%
Strong Edge
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Frequent
0%54%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Very Frequent
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.31 * Slight Separation: 0.31 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 22.5% * Upset-Prone: 22.5% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Hard to Predict
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.44
Lopsided
00.310.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.22
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.77
Strong Carryover
00.420.630.791
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Upset-Prone
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Shaky Favorites
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.20
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.66
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.121
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1160.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Maribor60.00%29.00%5.00%4.00%2.00%———————
Gorica29.00%35.00%18.00%11.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%—————
Rudar Velenje4.00%4.00%15.00%20.00%16.00%22.00%12.00%6.00%—1.00%——
NK Mura2.00%17.00%30.00%18.00%15.00%5.00%9.00%3.00%1.00%———
Korotan——3.00%4.00%6.00%14.00%20.00%26.00%18.00%7.00%2.00%—
Olimpija Ljubljana (1st)3.00%8.00%15.00%18.00%22.00%19.00%7.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%—
Celje—1.00%2.00%7.00%10.00%15.00%21.00%17.00%15.00%9.00%3.00%—
Domzale———————1.00%5.00%11.00%16.00%67.00%
Primorje2.00%6.00%11.00%16.00%22.00%17.00%10.00%10.00%5.00%1.00%——
Beltinci——1.00%1.00%—5.00%10.00%14.00%21.00%20.00%23.00%5.00%
Koper—————1.00%4.00%4.00%13.00%20.00%37.00%21.00%
Triglav———1.00%2.00%1.00%6.00%17.00%19.00%29.00%18.00%7.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Gorica 100% —
Maribor 100% —
NK Mura 100% —
Primorje 100% —
Rudar Velenje 100% —
Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 99.00% 1.00%
Korotan 98.00% 2.00%
Celje 97.00% 3.00%
Triglav 75.00% 25.00%
Beltinci 72.00% 28.00%
Koper 42.00% 58.00%
Domzale 17.00% 83.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1998-08-01 Celje D 1-163.8 1465 1564 33.09% 26.17% 40.75%-0.14 +0.3 1
1998-08-01 @ Koper D 1-163.8 1564 1465 40.75% 26.17% 33.09%+0.14 -0.3 1
1998-08-01 Triglav W 3-259.0 1713 1493 70.35% 18.91% 10.74%+1.33 +2.3 3
1998-08-01 @ Maribor L 2-359.0 1493 1713 10.74% 18.91% 70.35%-1.33 -2.3 0
1998-08-02 Domzale W 3-032.7 1683 1297 82.52% 12.33% 5.15%+2.10 +2.9 3
1998-08-02 @ Gorica L 0-332.7 1297 1683 5.15% 12.33% 82.52%-2.10 -2.9 0
1998-08-02 Korotan W 4-045.0 1633 1525 59.60% 23.08% 17.32%+0.82 +15.1 3
1998-08-02 @ NK Mura L 0-445.0 1525 1633 17.32% 23.08% 59.60%-0.82 -15.1 0
1998-08-02 Primorje W 1-057.4 1593 1630 41.79% 26.12% 32.10%+0.15 +7.2 3
1998-08-02 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) L 0-157.4 1630 1593 32.10% 26.12% 41.79%-0.15 -7.2 0
1998-08-02 Beltinci W 2-046.1 1573 1500 55.81% 24.11% 20.08%+0.66 +9.1 3
1998-08-02 @ Rudar Velenje L 0-246.1 1500 1573 20.08% 24.11% 55.81%-0.66 -9.1 0
1998-08-08 Maribor L 0-159.7 1622 1715 33.93% 26.20% 39.88%-0.11 -7.5 0
1998-08-08 @ Primorje W 1-059.7 1715 1622 39.88% 26.20% 33.93%+0.11 +7.5 6
1998-08-08 NK Mura D 0-063.2 1491 1648 25.94% 25.48% 48.58%-0.40 +1.1 1
1998-08-08 @ Triglav D 0-063.2 1648 1491 48.58% 25.48% 25.94%+0.40 -1.1 4
1998-08-09 Korotan W 2-155.4 1491 1510 44.23% 25.95% 29.81%+0.23 +6.4 3
1998-08-09 @ Beltinci L 1-255.4 1510 1491 29.81% 25.95% 44.23%-0.23 -6.4 0
1998-08-09 Gorica W 2-167.0 1563 1686 29.96% 25.97% 44.08%-0.25 +8.7 4
1998-08-09 @ Celje L 1-267.0 1686 1563 44.08% 25.97% 29.96%+0.25 -8.7 3
1998-08-09 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) L 0-334.9 1294 1600 13.69% 21.14% 65.17%-1.09 -9.0 0
1998-08-09 @ Domzale W 3-034.9 1600 1294 65.17% 21.14% 13.69%+1.09 +9.1 6
1998-08-09 Koper W 2-152.2 1583 1465 60.62% 22.76% 16.62%+0.86 +3.8 6
1998-08-09 @ Rudar Velenje L 1-252.2 1465 1583 16.62% 22.76% 60.62%-0.86 -3.8 1
1998-08-15 Beltinci L 0-152.0 1461 1497 41.93% 26.11% 31.96%+0.15 -8.8 1
1998-08-15 @ Koper W 1-052.0 1497 1461 31.96% 26.11% 41.93%-0.15 +8.8 6
1998-08-15 Domzale W 4-032.3 1722 1285 85.39% 10.55% 4.05%+2.34 +2.9 9
1998-08-15 @ Maribor L 0-432.3 1285 1722 4.05% 10.55% 85.39%-2.34 -2.9 0
1998-08-16 Triglav W 1-048.5 1503 1492 48.27% 25.52% 26.21%+0.37 +6.1 3
1998-08-16 @ Korotan L 0-148.5 1492 1503 26.21% 25.52% 48.27%-0.37 -6.1 1
1998-08-16 Rudar Velenje W 2-158.9 1677 1586 57.78% 23.60% 18.61%+0.74 +4.3 6
1998-08-16 @ Gorica L 1-258.9 1586 1677 18.61% 23.60% 57.78%-0.74 -4.2 6
1998-08-16 Primorje W 2-160.9 1647 1615 50.83% 25.13% 24.03%+0.47 +5.4 7
1998-08-16 @ NK Mura L 1-260.9 1615 1647 24.03% 25.13% 50.83%-0.47 -5.4 0
1998-08-16 Celje W 3-048.7 1609 1572 51.47% 25.02% 23.50%+0.49 +15.3 9
1998-08-16 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) L 0-348.7 1572 1609 23.50% 25.02% 51.47%-0.49 -15.3 4
1998-08-21 Maribor D 0-066.3 1557 1725 24.68% 25.26% 50.06%-0.46 +1.3 5
1998-08-21 @ Celje D 0-066.3 1725 1557 50.06% 25.26% 24.68%+0.46 -1.3 10
1998-08-21 NK Mura L 0-139.4 1282 1652 10.42% 18.62% 70.96%-1.39 -2.4 0
1998-08-21 @ Domzale W 1-039.4 1652 1282 70.96% 18.62% 10.42%+1.39 +2.5 10
1998-08-23 Triglav W 4-148.1 1506 1486 49.39% 25.36% 25.25%+0.41 +13.7 9
1998-08-23 @ Beltinci L 1-448.1 1486 1506 25.25% 25.36% 49.39%-0.41 -13.7 1
1998-08-23 Gorica L 2-361.1 1452 1682 19.01% 23.75% 57.24%-0.74 -4.1 1
1998-08-23 @ Koper W 3-261.1 1682 1452 57.24% 23.75% 19.01%+0.74 +4.1 9
1998-08-23 Korotan W 3-260.1 1609 1509 58.75% 23.33% 17.92%+0.78 +3.9 3
1998-08-23 @ Primorje L 2-360.1 1509 1609 17.92% 23.33% 58.75%-0.78 -3.9 3
1998-08-23 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) L 1-265.3 1582 1624 41.05% 26.15% 32.79%+0.13 -8.2 6
1998-08-23 @ Rudar Velenje W 2-165.3 1624 1582 32.79% 26.15% 41.05%-0.13 +8.2 12
1998-08-30 Domzale L 0-153.3 1506 1280 70.89% 18.66% 10.46%+1.36 -13.6 3
1998-08-30 @ Korotan W 1-053.3 1280 1506 10.46% 18.66% 70.89%-1.36 +13.6 3
1998-08-30 Rudar Velenje W 1-052.0 1724 1574 63.94% 21.61% 14.45%+1.01 +3.5 13
1998-08-30 @ Maribor L 0-152.0 1574 1724 14.45% 21.61% 63.94%-1.01 -3.5 6
1998-08-30 Beltinci W 3-152.6 1686 1520 65.50% 21.01% 13.49%+1.09 +5.3 12
1998-08-30 @ Gorica L 1-352.6 1520 1686 13.49% 21.01% 65.50%-1.09 -5.3 9
1998-08-30 Celje L 0-164.3 1654 1558 58.38% 23.44% 18.19%+0.77 -11.6 10
1998-08-30 @ NK Mura W 1-064.3 1558 1654 18.19% 23.44% 58.38%-0.77 +11.6 8
1998-08-30 Koper L 2-372.8 1632 1448 67.17% 20.33% 12.50%+1.17 -11.7 12
1998-08-30 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) W 3-272.8 1448 1632 12.50% 20.33% 67.17%-1.17 +11.7 4
1998-08-30 Primorje D 0-061.4 1472 1613 27.72% 25.73% 46.54%-0.33 +0.9 2
1998-08-30 @ Triglav D 0-061.4 1613 1472 46.54% 25.73% 27.72%+0.33 -0.9 4
1998-09-11 Maribor W 2-169.8 1460 1728 16.13% 22.53% 61.35%-0.92 +11.4 7
1998-09-11 @ Koper L 1-269.8 1728 1460 61.35% 22.53% 16.13%+0.92 -11.4 13
1998-09-13 Primorje D 1-167.2 1514 1612 33.19% 26.17% 40.64%-0.13 +0.3 10
1998-09-13 @ Beltinci D 1-167.2 1612 1514 40.64% 26.17% 33.19%+0.13 -0.3 5
1998-09-13 Korotan D 1-165.7 1569 1492 56.26% 24.00% 19.73%+0.68 -1.7 9
1998-09-13 @ Celje D 1-165.7 1492 1569 19.73% 24.00% 56.26%-0.68 +1.7 4
1998-09-13 Triglav D 0-051.5 1293 1473 23.55% 25.03% 51.42%-0.51 +1.4 4
1998-09-13 @ Domzale D 0-051.5 1473 1293 51.42% 25.03% 23.55%+0.51 -1.4 3
1998-09-13 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) W 4-154.8 1691 1621 55.45% 24.20% 20.35%+0.65 +11.3 15
1998-09-13 @ Gorica L 1-454.8 1621 1691 20.35% 24.20% 55.45%-0.65 -11.3 12
1998-09-13 NK Mura D 2-275.0 1570 1643 36.76% 26.25% 36.99%-0.01 +0.0 7
1998-09-13 @ Rudar Velenje D 2-275.0 1643 1570 36.99% 26.25% 36.76%+0.01 -0.0 11
1998-09-19 Gorica W 1-057.8 1716 1703 48.54% 25.48% 25.98%+0.38 +6.1 16
1998-09-19 @ Maribor L 0-157.8 1703 1716 25.98% 25.48% 48.54%-0.38 -6.1 15
1998-09-20 Rudar Velenje D 1-165.1 1494 1570 36.12% 26.24% 37.63%-0.03 +0.1 5
1998-09-20 @ Korotan D 1-165.1 1570 1494 37.63% 26.24% 36.12%+0.03 -0.1 8
1998-09-20 Koper W 6-247.4 1643 1471 65.98% 20.82% 13.20%+1.11 +8.0 14
1998-09-20 @ NK Mura L 2-647.4 1471 1643 13.20% 20.82% 65.98%-1.11 -8.0 7
1998-09-20 Beltinci W 1-050.0 1609 1515 58.18% 23.49% 18.33%+0.76 +4.4 15
1998-09-20 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) L 0-150.0 1515 1609 18.33% 23.49% 58.18%-0.76 -4.5 10
1998-09-20 Domzale D 0-058.2 1612 1295 78.02% 14.95% 7.03%+1.79 -3.7 6
1998-09-20 @ Primorje D 0-058.2 1295 1612 7.03% 14.95% 78.02%-1.79 +3.7 5
1998-09-20 Celje W 1-054.6 1471 1568 33.41% 26.18% 40.41%-0.12 +8.6 6
1998-09-20 @ Triglav L 0-154.6 1568 1471 40.41% 26.18% 33.41%+0.12 -8.6 9
1998-09-25 Maribor L 1-459.1 1614 1722 31.82% 26.10% 42.08%-0.18 -16.6 15
1998-09-25 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) W 4-159.1 1722 1614 42.08% 26.10% 31.82%+0.18 +16.6 19
1998-09-27 Domzale W 2-033.1 1510 1298 69.68% 19.22% 11.10%+1.30 +4.9 13
1998-09-27 @ Beltinci L 0-233.1 1298 1510 11.10% 19.22% 69.68%-1.30 -4.9 5
1998-09-27 Primorje W 3-051.8 1559 1608 40.08% 26.19% 33.73%+0.09 +20.5 12
1998-09-27 @ Celje L 0-351.8 1608 1559 33.73% 26.19% 40.08%-0.09 -20.5 6
1998-09-27 Korotan L 0-152.2 1463 1494 42.70% 26.06% 31.24%+0.18 -9.0 7
1998-09-27 @ Koper W 1-052.2 1494 1463 31.24% 26.06% 42.70%-0.18 +9.0 8
1998-09-27 NK Mura W 3-158.7 1696 1651 52.53% 24.83% 22.65%+0.53 +8.8 18
1998-09-27 @ Gorica L 1-358.7 1651 1696 22.65% 24.83% 52.53%-0.53 -8.8 14
1998-09-27 Triglav W 1-047.7 1570 1480 57.70% 23.63% 18.68%+0.74 +4.5 11
1998-09-27 @ Rudar Velenje L 0-147.7 1480 1570 18.68% 23.63% 57.70%-0.74 -4.5 6
1998-10-04 Celje D 2-265.2 1293 1580 14.88% 21.86% 63.26%-1.00 +1.7 6
1998-10-04 @ Domzale D 2-265.2 1580 1293 63.26% 21.86% 14.88%+1.00 -1.7 13
1998-10-04 Gorica D 0-065.2 1503 1705 21.33% 24.49% 54.18%-0.62 +1.7 9
1998-10-04 @ Korotan D 0-065.2 1705 1503 54.18% 24.49% 21.33%+0.62 -1.7 19
1998-10-04 Beltinci W 5-147.6 1739 1515 70.69% 18.75% 10.56%+1.35 +7.4 22
1998-10-04 @ Maribor L 1-547.6 1515 1739 10.56% 18.75% 70.69%-1.35 -7.4 13
1998-10-04 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) D 0-065.7 1642 1597 52.41% 24.85% 22.74%+0.53 -1.5 15
1998-10-04 @ NK Mura D 0-065.7 1597 1642 22.74% 24.85% 52.41%-0.53 +1.5 16
1998-10-04 Rudar Velenje W 2-051.1 1588 1575 48.44% 25.50% 26.06%+0.38 +11.5 9
1998-10-04 @ Primorje L 0-251.1 1575 1588 26.06% 25.50% 48.44%-0.38 -11.5 11
1998-10-04 Koper D 1-160.4 1476 1454 49.49% 25.35% 25.17%+0.42 -1.1 7
1998-10-04 @ Triglav D 1-160.4 1454 1476 25.17% 25.35% 49.49%-0.42 +1.1 8
1998-10-18 Celje W 4-155.2 1508 1578 37.06% 26.25% 36.70%+0.00 +18.4 16
1998-10-18 @ Beltinci L 1-455.2 1578 1508 36.70% 26.25% 37.06%+0.00 -18.4 13
1998-10-18 Primorje L 0-248.1 1456 1599 27.44% 25.70% 46.86%-0.34 -12.0 8
1998-10-18 @ Koper W 2-048.1 1599 1456 46.86% 25.70% 27.44%+0.34 +12.0 12
1998-10-18 NK Mura W 4-154.3 1746 1640 59.37% 23.15% 17.48%+0.81 +9.8 25
1998-10-18 @ Maribor L 1-454.3 1640 1746 17.48% 23.15% 59.37%-0.81 -9.8 15
1998-10-18 Triglav W 3-150.3 1704 1474 71.17% 18.52% 10.31%+1.38 +3.9 22
1998-10-18 @ Gorica L 1-350.3 1474 1704 10.31% 18.52% 71.17%-1.38 -3.9 7
1998-10-18 Korotan L 3-474.4 1599 1504 58.15% 23.50% 18.34%+0.76 -10.1 16
1998-10-18 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) W 4-374.4 1504 1599 18.34% 23.50% 58.15%-0.76 +10.1 12
1998-10-18 Domzale L 1-358.3 1563 1295 74.36% 16.93% 8.71%+1.56 -22.9 11
1998-10-18 @ Rudar Velenje W 3-158.3 1295 1563 8.71% 16.93% 74.36%-1.56 +22.9 9
1998-10-25 Rudar Velenje D 0-062.0 1560 1540 49.25% 25.38% 25.37%+0.41 -1.2 14
1998-10-25 @ Celje D 0-062.0 1540 1560 25.37% 25.38% 49.25%-0.41 +1.2 12
1998-10-25 Koper W 4-041.6 1318 1444 29.64% 25.94% 44.42%-0.26 +33.1 12
1998-10-25 @ Domzale L 0-441.6 1444 1318 44.42% 25.94% 29.64%+0.26 -33.1 8
1998-10-25 Maribor L 1-453.3 1514 1756 18.03% 23.38% 58.59%-0.80 -10.1 12
1998-10-25 @ Korotan W 4-153.3 1756 1514 58.59% 23.38% 18.03%+0.80 +10.1 28
1998-10-25 Beltinci W 3-045.7 1631 1526 59.23% 23.19% 17.58%+0.80 +11.7 18
1998-10-25 @ NK Mura L 0-345.7 1526 1631 17.58% 23.19% 59.23%-0.80 -11.7 16
1998-10-25 Gorica L 0-256.4 1611 1708 33.43% 26.18% 40.39%-0.12 -14.0 12
1998-10-25 @ Primorje W 2-056.4 1708 1611 40.39% 26.18% 33.43%+0.12 +14.0 25
1998-10-25 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) D 2-270.6 1470 1589 30.55% 26.01% 43.44%-0.23 +0.4 8
1998-10-25 @ Triglav D 2-270.6 1589 1470 43.44% 26.01% 30.55%+0.23 -0.4 17
1998-10-30 Koper L 0-157.6 1558 1410 63.73% 21.69% 14.58%+1.00 -12.5 14
1998-10-30 @ Celje W 1-057.6 1410 1558 14.58% 21.69% 63.73%-1.00 +12.5 11
1998-10-31 Rudar Velenje L 0-253.0 1515 1542 43.13% 26.04% 30.83%+0.20 -17.0 16
1998-10-31 @ Beltinci W 2-053.0 1542 1515 30.83% 26.04% 43.13%-0.20 +17.0 15
1998-10-31 Gorica D 1-167.7 1351 1722 10.39% 18.60% 71.01%-1.39 +2.9 13
1998-10-31 @ Domzale D 1-167.7 1722 1351 71.01% 18.60% 10.39%+1.39 -2.9 26
1998-10-31 NK Mura D 1-167.9 1504 1642 28.12% 25.78% 46.11%-0.32 +0.8 13
1998-10-31 @ Korotan D 1-167.9 1642 1504 46.11% 25.78% 28.12%+0.32 -0.8 19
1998-10-31 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) W 3-049.9 1597 1588 47.94% 25.56% 26.50%+0.36 +17.0 15
1998-10-31 @ Primorje L 0-349.9 1588 1597 26.50% 25.56% 47.94%-0.36 -17.0 17
1998-10-31 Maribor D 2-276.9 1471 1766 14.33% 21.54% 64.13%-1.04 +1.8 9
1998-10-31 @ Triglav D 2-276.9 1766 1471 64.13% 21.54% 14.33%+1.04 -1.8 29
1998-11-08 Rudar Velenje W 1-053.9 1423 1559 28.39% 25.81% 45.80%-0.31 +9.5 14
1998-11-08 @ Koper L 0-153.9 1559 1423 45.80% 25.81% 28.39%+0.31 -9.5 15
1998-11-08 Beltinci W 5-043.7 1505 1498 47.76% 25.59% 26.65%+0.36 +27.4 16
1998-11-08 @ Korotan L 0-543.7 1498 1505 26.65% 25.59% 47.76%-0.36 -27.4 16
1998-11-08 Primorje D 1-173.0 1764 1614 63.94% 21.61% 14.45%+1.01 -2.3 30
1998-11-08 @ Maribor D 1-173.0 1614 1764 14.45% 21.61% 63.94%-1.01 +2.3 16
1998-11-08 Triglav W 4-041.9 1642 1473 65.76% 20.91% 13.33%+1.10 +11.5 22
1998-11-08 @ NK Mura L 0-441.9 1473 1642 13.33% 20.91% 65.76%-1.10 -11.5 9
1998-11-08 Domzale W 5-034.1 1571 1354 70.15% 19.00% 10.85%+1.32 +11.3 20
1998-11-08 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) L 0-534.1 1354 1571 10.85% 19.00% 70.15%-1.32 -11.3 13
1998-11-15 Koper D 2-265.2 1470 1432 51.56% 25.01% 23.43%+0.49 -0.9 17
1998-11-15 @ Beltinci D 2-265.2 1432 1470 23.43% 25.01% 51.56%-0.49 +0.9 15
1998-11-15 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) L 0-255.0 1546 1583 41.81% 26.12% 32.07%+0.15 -16.6 14
1998-11-15 @ Celje W 2-055.0 1583 1546 32.07% 26.12% 41.81%-0.15 +16.6 23
1998-11-15 Maribor D 2-275.0 1343 1762 8.42% 16.61% 74.97%-1.62 +2.3 14
1998-11-15 @ Domzale D 2-275.0 1762 1343 74.97% 16.61% 8.42%+1.62 -2.3 31
1998-11-15 NK Mura W 2-163.7 1617 1653 41.84% 26.12% 32.05%+0.15 +6.8 19
1998-11-15 @ Primorje L 1-263.7 1653 1617 32.05% 26.12% 41.84%-0.15 -6.8 22
1998-11-15 Gorica W 3-058.5 1549 1719 24.59% 25.24% 50.16%-0.46 +28.0 18
1998-11-15 @ Rudar Velenje L 0-358.5 1719 1549 50.16% 25.24% 24.59%+0.46 -28.0 26
1998-11-15 Korotan L 1-257.3 1461 1533 36.90% 26.25% 36.85%-0.01 -7.6 9
1998-11-15 @ Triglav W 2-157.3 1533 1461 36.85% 26.25% 36.90%+0.01 +7.6 19
1998-11-21 Rudar Velenje D 0-064.2 1599 1577 49.61% 25.33% 25.06%+0.42 -1.2 24
1998-11-21 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) D 0-064.2 1577 1599 25.06% 25.33% 49.61%-0.42 +1.2 19
1998-11-22 Primorje W 2-163.5 1540 1623 35.21% 26.23% 38.56%-0.06 +7.8 22
1998-11-22 @ Korotan L 1-263.5 1623 1540 38.56% 26.23% 35.21%+0.06 -7.8 19
1998-11-22 Celje D 2-278.6 1760 1529 71.26% 18.48% 10.26%+1.38 -2.2 32
1998-11-22 @ Maribor D 2-278.6 1529 1760 10.26% 18.48% 71.26%-1.38 +2.2 15
1998-11-22 Koper W 3-148.1 1691 1433 73.49% 17.37% 9.13%+1.51 +3.4 29
1998-11-22 @ Gorica L 1-348.1 1433 1691 9.13% 17.37% 73.49%-1.51 -3.4 15
1998-11-22 Domzale W 6-035.1 1646 1345 76.85% 15.60% 7.55%+1.71 +8.8 25
1998-11-22 @ NK Mura L 0-635.1 1345 1646 7.55% 15.60% 76.85%-1.71 -8.8 14
1998-11-22 Beltinci W 2-044.0 1454 1469 44.70% 25.91% 29.38%+0.25 +12.7 12
1998-11-22 @ Triglav L 0-244.0 1469 1454 29.38% 25.91% 44.70%-0.25 -12.7 17
1998-11-29 Gorica D 2-274.3 1456 1694 18.33% 23.50% 58.17%-0.78 +1.4 18
1998-11-29 @ Beltinci D 2-274.3 1694 1456 58.17% 23.50% 18.33%+0.78 -1.4 30
1998-11-29 NK Mura L 0-155.9 1531 1655 29.87% 25.96% 44.17%-0.25 -6.8 15
1998-11-29 @ Celje W 1-055.9 1655 1531 44.17% 25.96% 29.87%+0.25 +6.8 28
1998-11-29 Korotan L 1-345.2 1336 1548 20.52% 24.25% 55.23%-0.66 -8.1 14
1998-11-29 @ Domzale W 3-145.2 1548 1336 55.23% 24.25% 20.52%+0.66 +8.1 25
1998-11-29 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) D 1-164.1 1430 1598 24.74% 25.27% 49.99%-0.46 +1.1 16
1998-11-29 @ Koper D 1-164.1 1598 1430 49.99% 25.27% 24.74%+0.46 -1.1 25
1998-11-29 Triglav W 5-145.3 1616 1466 63.85% 21.65% 14.50%+1.01 +10.5 22
1998-11-29 @ Primorje L 1-545.3 1466 1616 14.50% 21.65% 63.85%-1.01 -10.5 12
1998-11-29 Maribor W 2-061.6 1578 1758 23.60% 25.04% 51.35%-0.51 +19.6 22
1998-11-29 @ Rudar Velenje L 0-261.6 1758 1578 51.35% 25.04% 23.60%+0.51 -19.7 32
1998-12-05 Celje W 3-045.2 1693 1525 65.68% 20.94% 13.38%+1.10 +8.8 33
1998-12-05 @ Gorica L 0-345.2 1525 1693 13.38% 20.94% 65.68%-1.10 -8.8 15
1999-02-28 Koper D 2-277.2 1738 1431 77.26% 15.37% 7.36%+1.74 -2.5 33
1999-02-28 @ Maribor D 2-277.2 1431 1738 7.36% 15.37% 77.26%-1.74 +2.5 17
1999-02-28 Rudar Velenje D 0-066.2 1662 1598 54.69% 24.38% 20.94%+0.62 -1.7 29
1999-02-28 @ NK Mura D 0-066.2 1598 1662 20.94% 24.38% 54.69%-0.62 +1.7 23
1999-02-28 Gorica W 2-167.0 1597 1702 32.29% 26.13% 41.58%-0.16 +8.3 28
1999-02-28 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) L 1-267.0 1702 1597 41.58% 26.13% 32.29%+0.16 -8.3 33
1999-02-28 Beltinci W 2-152.0 1626 1458 65.69% 20.94% 13.37%+1.10 +3.0 25
1999-02-28 @ Primorje L 1-252.0 1458 1626 13.37% 20.94% 65.69%-1.10 -3.0 18
1999-02-28 Domzale W 1-038.0 1456 1328 61.67% 22.42% 15.91%+0.91 +3.9 15
1999-02-28 @ Triglav L 0-138.0 1328 1456 15.91% 22.42% 61.67%-0.91 -3.9 14
1999-03-06 Triglav W 1-046.1 1516 1460 53.78% 24.57% 21.64%+0.58 +5.2 18
1999-03-06 @ Celje L 0-146.1 1460 1516 21.64% 24.57% 53.78%-0.58 -5.2 15
1999-03-06 Maribor L 2-565.2 1693 1735 41.06% 26.15% 32.79%+0.13 -17.4 33
1999-03-06 @ Gorica W 5-265.2 1735 1693 32.79% 26.15% 41.06%-0.13 +17.4 36
1999-03-06 Korotan W 2-049.7 1600 1556 52.30% 24.87% 22.83%+0.52 +10.3 26
1999-03-06 @ Rudar Velenje L 0-249.7 1556 1600 22.83% 24.87% 52.30%-0.52 -10.3 25
1999-03-07 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) W 2-054.4 1455 1605 26.68% 25.59% 47.72%-0.37 +18.5 21
1999-03-07 @ Beltinci L 0-254.4 1605 1455 47.72% 25.59% 26.68%+0.37 -18.5 28
1999-03-07 Primorje W 3-160.0 1324 1629 13.76% 21.19% 65.06%-1.09 +20.8 17
1999-03-07 @ Domzale L 1-360.0 1629 1324 65.06% 21.19% 13.76%+1.09 -20.8 25
1999-03-07 NK Mura L 0-344.5 1433 1660 19.23% 23.83% 56.95%-0.73 -12.8 17
1999-03-07 @ Koper W 3-044.5 1660 1433 56.95% 23.83% 19.23%+0.73 +12.8 32
1999-03-13 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) W 3-154.7 1753 1587 65.49% 21.02% 13.50%+1.09 +5.3 39
1999-03-13 @ Maribor L 1-354.7 1587 1753 13.50% 21.02% 65.49%-1.09 -5.3 28
1999-03-14 Beltinci W 3-043.5 1345 1473 29.31% 25.91% 44.78%-0.27 +25.5 20
1999-03-14 @ Domzale L 0-343.5 1473 1345 44.78% 25.91% 29.31%+0.27 -25.5 21
1999-03-14 Koper W 3-038.5 1546 1421 61.40% 22.51% 16.09%+0.90 +10.7 28
1999-03-14 @ Korotan L 0-338.5 1421 1546 16.09% 22.51% 61.40%-0.90 -10.7 17
1999-03-14 Gorica L 0-163.4 1673 1676 46.37% 25.75% 27.88%+0.31 -9.6 32
1999-03-14 @ NK Mura W 1-063.4 1676 1673 27.88% 25.75% 46.37%-0.31 +9.6 36
1999-03-14 Celje D 0-063.4 1608 1521 57.36% 23.72% 18.92%+0.72 -2.0 26
1999-03-14 @ Primorje D 0-063.4 1521 1608 18.92% 23.72% 57.36%-0.72 +2.0 19
1999-03-14 Rudar Velenje L 0-151.0 1454 1610 26.11% 25.50% 48.39%-0.40 -6.1 15
1999-03-14 @ Triglav W 1-051.0 1610 1454 48.39% 25.50% 26.11%+0.40 +6.1 29
1999-03-17 Celje D 1-166.0 1556 1523 51.03% 25.10% 23.87%+0.47 -1.2 29
1999-03-17 @ Korotan D 1-166.0 1523 1556 23.87% 25.10% 51.03%-0.47 +1.2 20
1999-03-19 NK Mura L 0-158.9 1581 1663 35.39% 26.23% 38.37%-0.06 -7.8 28
1999-03-19 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) W 1-058.9 1663 1581 38.37% 26.23% 35.39%+0.06 +7.8 35
1999-03-20 Primorje W 4-155.6 1616 1606 48.05% 25.55% 26.40%+0.37 +14.2 32
1999-03-20 @ Rudar Velenje L 1-455.6 1606 1616 26.40% 25.55% 48.05%-0.37 -14.3 26
1999-03-21 Maribor L 1-255.4 1448 1758 13.43% 20.97% 65.60%-1.11 -3.0 21
1999-03-21 @ Beltinci W 2-155.4 1758 1448 65.60% 20.97% 13.43%+1.11 +3.1 42
1999-03-21 Domzale D 0-055.8 1524 1371 64.28% 21.48% 14.23%+1.03 -2.6 21
1999-03-21 @ Celje D 0-055.8 1371 1524 14.23% 21.48% 64.28%-1.03 +2.6 21
1999-03-21 Triglav L 0-245.6 1410 1448 41.58% 26.13% 32.29%+0.14 -16.5 17
1999-03-21 @ Koper W 2-045.6 1448 1410 32.29% 26.13% 41.58%-0.14 +16.5 18
1999-03-21 Korotan W 1-051.7 1686 1555 61.95% 22.32% 15.73%+0.92 +3.8 39
1999-03-21 @ Gorica L 0-151.7 1555 1686 15.73% 22.32% 61.95%-0.92 -3.8 29
1999-04-03 Beltinci L 0-156.0 1522 1445 56.19% 24.02% 19.79%+0.68 -11.2 21
1999-04-03 @ Celje W 1-056.0 1445 1522 19.79% 24.02% 56.19%-0.68 +11.2 24
1999-04-03 Rudar Velenje L 0-145.2 1373 1630 16.86% 22.88% 60.26%-0.87 -4.1 21
1999-04-03 @ Domzale W 1-045.2 1630 1373 60.26% 22.88% 16.86%+0.87 +4.1 35
1999-04-03 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) W 2-159.8 1551 1574 43.80% 25.99% 30.21%+0.22 +6.5 32
1999-04-03 @ Korotan L 1-259.8 1574 1551 30.21% 25.99% 43.80%-0.22 -6.5 28
1999-04-03 Maribor W 1-062.1 1671 1761 34.27% 26.21% 39.52%-0.10 +8.4 38
1999-04-03 @ NK Mura L 0-162.1 1761 1671 39.52% 26.21% 34.27%+0.10 -8.4 42
1999-04-03 Koper L 0-159.1 1592 1393 68.50% 19.75% 11.75%+1.24 -13.2 26
1999-04-03 @ Primorje W 1-059.1 1393 1592 11.75% 19.75% 68.50%-1.24 +13.2 20
1999-04-03 Gorica L 0-248.4 1465 1689 19.42% 23.89% 56.69%-0.72 -8.9 18
1999-04-03 @ Triglav W 2-048.4 1689 1465 56.69% 23.89% 19.42%+0.72 +8.9 42
1999-04-10 NK Mura W 2-059.0 1456 1680 19.48% 23.92% 56.60%-0.71 +21.3 27
1999-04-10 @ Beltinci L 0-259.0 1680 1456 56.60% 23.92% 19.48%+0.71 -21.3 38
1999-04-10 Korotan W 3-046.0 1753 1558 68.16% 19.90% 11.94%+1.22 +7.8 45
1999-04-10 @ Maribor L 0-346.0 1558 1753 11.94% 19.90% 68.16%-1.22 -7.8 32
1999-04-10 Celje D 0-064.2 1634 1510 61.32% 22.54% 16.15%+0.89 -2.4 36
1999-04-10 @ Rudar Velenje D 0-064.2 1510 1634 16.15% 22.54% 61.32%-0.89 +2.4 22
1999-04-11 Domzale W 3-143.5 1407 1369 51.54% 25.01% 23.45%+0.49 +9.1 23
1999-04-11 @ Koper L 1-343.5 1369 1407 23.45% 25.01% 51.54%-0.49 -9.1 21
1999-04-11 Primorje W 2-158.1 1698 1579 60.82% 22.70% 16.48%+0.87 +3.8 45
1999-04-11 @ Gorica L 1-258.1 1579 1698 16.48% 22.70% 60.82%-0.87 -3.8 26
1999-04-11 Triglav D 1-164.6 1567 1456 59.94% 22.98% 17.08%+0.83 -2.0 29
1999-04-11 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) D 1-164.6 1456 1567 17.08% 22.98% 59.94%-0.83 +2.0 19
1999-04-17 Beltinci D 1-172.8 1760 1477 75.51% 16.32% 8.17%+1.63 -3.2 46
1999-04-17 @ Maribor D 1-172.8 1477 1760 8.17% 16.32% 75.51%-1.63 +3.2 28
1999-04-17 Celje W 2-155.3 1632 1513 60.83% 22.70% 16.48%+0.87 +3.8 39
1999-04-17 @ Rudar Velenje L 1-255.3 1513 1632 16.48% 22.70% 60.83%-0.87 -3.8 22
1999-04-18 Domzale D 0-056.8 1550 1360 67.72% 20.09% 12.19%+1.20 -2.9 33
1999-04-18 @ Korotan D 0-056.8 1360 1550 12.19% 20.09% 67.72%-1.20 +2.9 22
1999-04-18 Primorje D 1-171.6 1702 1575 61.60% 22.44% 15.96%+0.91 -2.1 46
1999-04-18 @ Gorica D 1-171.6 1575 1702 15.96% 22.44% 61.60%-0.91 +2.1 27
1999-04-18 Koper W 1-044.2 1658 1416 72.27% 17.99% 9.74%+1.44 +2.3 41
1999-04-18 @ NK Mura L 0-144.2 1416 1658 9.74% 17.99% 72.27%-1.44 -2.3 23
1999-04-18 Triglav W 4-146.2 1565 1458 59.51% 23.11% 17.38%+0.81 +9.8 32
1999-04-18 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) L 1-446.2 1458 1565 17.38% 23.11% 59.51%-0.81 -9.8 19
1999-04-21 NK Mura W 3-163.5 1509 1660 26.55% 25.57% 47.88%-0.38 +16.0 25
1999-04-21 @ Celje L 1-363.5 1660 1509 47.88% 25.57% 26.55%+0.38 -16.0 41
1999-04-21 Rudar Velenje L 0-144.5 1363 1636 15.76% 22.34% 61.90%-0.94 -3.8 22
1999-04-21 @ Domzale W 1-044.5 1636 1363 61.90% 22.34% 15.76%+0.94 +3.8 42
1999-04-21 Gorica D 0-063.5 1414 1700 14.88% 21.87% 63.25%-1.00 +2.5 24
1999-04-21 @ Koper D 0-063.5 1700 1414 63.25% 21.87% 14.88%+1.00 -2.5 47
1999-04-21 Beltinci W 6-043.1 1575 1480 58.14% 23.50% 18.35%+0.76 +23.3 35
1999-04-21 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) L 0-643.1 1480 1575 18.35% 23.50% 58.14%-0.76 -23.3 28
1999-04-21 Maribor W 1-064.6 1577 1757 23.50% 25.02% 51.48%-0.51 +10.4 30
1999-04-21 @ Primorje L 0-164.6 1757 1577 51.48% 25.02% 23.50%+0.51 -10.5 46
1999-04-21 Korotan L 1-256.2 1448 1547 33.08% 26.17% 40.75%-0.14 -7.0 19
1999-04-21 @ Triglav W 2-156.2 1547 1448 40.75% 26.17% 33.08%+0.14 +7.0 36
1999-04-24 Koper W 5-039.7 1747 1416 78.95% 14.42% 6.62%+1.85 +6.4 49
1999-04-24 @ Maribor L 0-539.7 1416 1747 6.62% 14.42% 78.95%-1.85 -6.3 24
1999-04-24 Domzale L 1-266.3 1644 1359 75.67% 16.24% 8.09%+1.64 -13.4 41
1999-04-24 @ NK Mura W 2-166.3 1359 1644 8.09% 16.24% 75.67%-1.64 +13.4 25
1999-04-24 Triglav W 3-148.2 1640 1441 68.48% 19.76% 11.76%+1.24 +4.6 45
1999-04-24 @ Rudar Velenje L 1-348.2 1441 1640 11.76% 19.76% 68.48%-1.24 -4.6 19
1999-04-25 Primorje L 0-248.3 1457 1588 29.02% 25.88% 45.10%-0.28 -12.6 28
1999-04-25 @ Beltinci W 2-048.3 1588 1457 45.10% 25.88% 29.02%+0.28 +12.6 33
1999-04-25 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) L 0-353.5 1554 1598 40.78% 26.17% 33.06%+0.12 -23.7 36
1999-04-25 @ Korotan W 3-053.5 1598 1554 33.06% 26.17% 40.78%-0.12 +23.7 38
1999-04-25 Celje L 0-166.0 1697 1525 66.08% 20.78% 13.14%+1.12 -12.9 47
1999-04-25 @ Gorica W 1-066.0 1525 1697 13.14% 20.78% 66.08%-1.12 +12.9 28
1999-05-02 Maribor D 0-066.8 1538 1753 20.19% 24.15% 55.66%-0.67 +1.8 29
1999-05-02 @ Celje D 0-066.8 1753 1538 55.66% 24.15% 20.19%+0.67 -1.8 50
1999-05-02 Gorica D 0-061.9 1373 1684 13.34% 20.92% 65.74%-1.12 +2.8 26
1999-05-02 @ Domzale D 0-061.9 1684 1373 65.74% 20.92% 13.34%+1.12 -2.8 48
1999-05-02 Primorje L 0-147.7 1410 1600 22.48% 24.79% 52.74%-0.56 -5.4 24
1999-05-02 @ Koper W 1-047.7 1600 1410 52.74% 24.79% 22.48%+0.56 +5.4 36
1999-05-02 Beltinci W 2-042.1 1530 1445 57.20% 23.76% 19.04%+0.72 +8.7 39
1999-05-02 @ Korotan L 0-242.1 1445 1530 19.04% 23.76% 57.20%-0.72 -8.7 28
1999-05-02 Rudar Velenje D 1-170.4 1622 1644 43.77% 25.99% 30.24%+0.22 -0.6 39
1999-05-02 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) D 1-170.4 1644 1622 30.24% 25.99% 43.77%-0.22 +0.6 46
1999-05-02 NK Mura W 2-164.5 1437 1631 22.11% 24.70% 53.19%-0.58 +10.1 22
1999-05-02 @ Triglav L 1-264.5 1631 1437 53.19% 24.70% 22.11%+0.58 -10.1 41
1999-05-05 Domzale D 1-171.2 1751 1375 81.90% 12.70% 5.40%+2.06 -3.6 51
1999-05-05 @ Maribor D 1-171.2 1375 1751 5.40% 12.70% 81.90%-2.06 +3.6 27
1999-05-05 Triglav D 0-065.0 1682 1447 71.64% 18.30% 10.07%+1.40 -3.3 49
1999-05-05 @ Gorica D 0-065.0 1447 1682 10.07% 18.30% 71.64%-1.40 +3.3 23
1999-05-05 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) W 2-053.4 1621 1621 46.72% 25.71% 27.57%+0.32 +12.1 44
1999-05-05 @ NK Mura L 0-253.4 1621 1621 27.57% 25.71% 46.72%-0.32 -12.1 39
1999-05-05 Celje W 2-157.1 1606 1540 54.93% 24.32% 20.75%+0.62 +4.7 39
1999-05-05 @ Primorje L 1-257.1 1540 1606 20.75% 24.32% 54.93%-0.62 -4.7 29
1999-05-05 Korotan L 1-269.4 1645 1539 59.38% 23.15% 17.47%+0.81 -11.1 46
1999-05-05 @ Rudar Velenje W 2-169.4 1539 1645 17.47% 23.15% 59.38%-0.81 +11.1 42
1999-05-06 Koper D 2-263.3 1436 1404 50.79% 25.14% 24.07%+0.47 -0.9 29
1999-05-06 @ Beltinci D 2-263.3 1404 1436 24.07% 25.14% 50.79%-0.47 +0.9 25
1999-05-08 Beltinci W 2-150.6 1634 1435 68.52% 19.75% 11.74%+1.24 +2.6 49
1999-05-08 @ Rudar Velenje L 1-250.6 1435 1634 11.74% 19.75% 68.52%-1.24 -2.6 29
1999-05-09 Koper W 1-042.4 1535 1405 61.88% 22.35% 15.77%+0.92 +3.8 32
1999-05-09 @ Celje L 0-142.4 1405 1535 15.77% 22.35% 61.88%-0.92 -3.8 25
1999-05-09 Primorje W 4-157.1 1379 1610 18.84% 23.69% 57.47%-0.75 +26.5 30
1999-05-09 @ Domzale L 1-457.1 1610 1379 57.47% 23.69% 18.84%+0.75 -26.5 39
1999-05-09 NK Mura L 1-263.0 1550 1633 35.29% 26.23% 38.48%-0.06 -7.3 42
1999-05-09 @ Korotan W 2-163.0 1633 1550 38.48% 26.23% 35.29%+0.06 +7.3 47
1999-05-09 Gorica L 0-160.1 1609 1678 37.22% 26.25% 36.53%+0.00 -8.1 39
1999-05-09 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) W 1-060.1 1678 1609 36.53% 26.25% 37.22%+0.00 +8.1 52
1999-05-09 Maribor L 1-352.8 1450 1748 14.17% 21.45% 64.38%-1.05 -5.6 23
1999-05-09 @ Triglav W 3-152.8 1748 1450 64.38% 21.45% 14.17%+1.05 +5.6 54
1999-05-15 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) W 5-047.3 1753 1601 64.15% 21.53% 14.32%+1.02 +15.3 57
1999-05-15 @ Maribor L 0-547.3 1601 1753 14.32% 21.53% 64.15%-1.02 -15.3 39
1999-05-15 Korotan W 3-046.2 1686 1543 63.29% 21.85% 14.86%+0.98 +9.9 55
1999-05-15 @ Gorica L 0-346.2 1543 1686 14.86% 21.85% 63.29%-0.98 -9.9 42
1999-05-15 Rudar Velenje W 4-051.2 1640 1636 47.28% 25.65% 27.08%+0.34 +22.5 50
1999-05-15 @ NK Mura L 0-451.2 1636 1640 27.08% 25.65% 47.28%-0.34 -22.6 49
1999-05-16 Celje L 0-149.5 1432 1539 32.07% 26.12% 41.81%-0.17 -7.2 29
1999-05-16 @ Beltinci W 1-049.5 1539 1432 41.81% 26.12% 32.07%+0.17 +7.2 35
1999-05-16 Domzale L 0-443.0 1401 1405 46.25% 25.76% 27.98%+0.30 -34.2 25
1999-05-16 @ Koper W 4-043.0 1405 1401 27.98% 25.76% 46.25%-0.30 +34.2 33
1999-05-16 Triglav D 1-165.1 1584 1445 62.86% 22.01% 15.14%+0.96 -2.2 40
1999-05-16 @ Primorje D 1-165.1 1445 1584 15.14% 22.01% 62.86%-0.96 +2.2 24
1999-05-19 Celje W 2-158.5 1440 1546 32.07% 26.12% 41.82%-0.17 +8.3 36
1999-05-19 @ Domzale L 1-258.5 1546 1440 41.82% 26.12% 32.07%+0.17 -8.3 35
1999-05-19 Maribor W 1-065.7 1533 1769 18.49% 23.56% 57.95%-0.77 +11.5 45
1999-05-19 @ Korotan L 0-165.7 1769 1533 57.95% 23.56% 18.49%+0.77 -11.5 57
1999-05-19 Beltinci L 1-268.8 1663 1425 71.88% 18.18% 9.94%+1.42 -12.9 50
1999-05-19 @ NK Mura W 2-168.8 1425 1663 9.94% 18.18% 71.88%-1.42 +12.9 32
1999-05-19 Primorje W 1-054.5 1586 1582 47.33% 25.64% 27.03%+0.34 +6.3 42
1999-05-19 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) L 0-154.5 1582 1586 27.03% 25.64% 47.33%-0.34 -6.3 40
1999-05-19 Gorica D 1-171.0 1614 1696 35.33% 26.23% 38.44%-0.06 +0.1 50
1999-05-19 @ Rudar Velenje D 1-171.0 1696 1614 38.44% 26.23% 35.33%+0.06 -0.1 56
1999-05-19 Koper L 0-346.3 1447 1367 56.49% 23.94% 19.56%+0.69 -30.9 24
1999-05-19 @ Triglav W 3-046.3 1367 1447 19.56% 23.94% 56.49%-0.69 +30.9 28
1999-05-22 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) D 3-372.3 1398 1592 22.14% 24.70% 53.16%-0.58 +0.9 29
1999-05-22 @ Koper D 3-372.3 1592 1398 53.16% 24.70% 22.14%+0.58 -0.9 43
1999-05-22 Rudar Velenje W 3-048.1 1757 1614 63.25% 21.87% 14.88%+0.98 +9.9 60
1999-05-22 @ Maribor L 0-348.1 1614 1757 14.88% 21.87% 63.25%-0.98 -9.9 50
1999-05-23 Domzale D 3-368.3 1438 1448 45.47% 25.84% 28.68%+0.27 -0.5 33
1999-05-23 @ Beltinci D 3-368.3 1448 1438 28.68% 25.84% 45.47%-0.27 +0.5 37
1999-05-23 Triglav D 2-267.7 1538 1416 61.07% 22.62% 16.31%+0.88 -1.6 36
1999-05-23 @ Celje D 2-267.7 1416 1538 16.31% 22.62% 61.07%-0.88 +1.6 25
1999-05-23 NK Mura W 4-156.0 1696 1650 52.60% 24.81% 22.58%+0.53 +12.5 59
1999-05-23 @ Gorica L 1-456.0 1650 1696 22.58% 24.81% 52.60%-0.53 -12.5 50
1999-05-23 Korotan L 1-460.2 1575 1545 50.69% 25.16% 24.15%+0.46 -23.8 40
1999-05-23 @ Primorje W 4-160.2 1545 1575 24.15% 25.16% 50.69%-0.46 +23.8 48
1999-05-30 Koper L 1-263.4 1568 1399 65.80% 20.89% 13.31%+1.10 -12.1 48
1999-05-30 @ Korotan W 2-163.4 1399 1568 13.31% 20.89% 65.80%-1.10 +12.1 32
1999-05-30 Beltinci W 3-040.8 1709 1438 74.57% 16.82% 8.61%+1.57 +5.4 62
1999-05-30 @ Gorica L 0-340.8 1438 1709 8.61% 16.82% 74.57%-1.57 -5.4 33
1999-05-30 Maribor L 0-255.8 1637 1767 29.13% 25.89% 44.98%-0.28 -12.6 50
1999-05-30 @ NK Mura W 2-055.8 1767 1637 44.98% 25.89% 29.13%+0.28 +12.6 63
1999-05-30 Celje L 2-371.5 1591 1536 53.67% 24.60% 21.73%+0.58 -9.7 43
1999-05-30 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) W 3-271.5 1536 1591 21.73% 24.60% 53.67%-0.58 +9.7 39
1999-05-30 Primorje W 4-365.5 1604 1551 53.37% 24.66% 21.97%+0.56 +4.6 53
1999-05-30 @ Rudar Velenje L 3-465.5 1551 1604 21.97% 24.66% 53.37%-0.56 -4.6 40
1999-05-30 Domzale L 0-149.1 1417 1448 42.61% 26.07% 31.32%+0.18 -9.0 25
1999-05-30 @ Triglav W 1-049.1 1448 1417 31.32% 26.07% 42.61%-0.18 +9.0 40
1999-06-13 Triglav W 5-141.1 1432 1408 49.83% 25.30% 24.88%+0.43 +17.5 36
1999-06-13 @ Beltinci L 1-541.1 1408 1432 24.88% 25.30% 49.83%-0.43 -17.5 25
1999-06-13 Korotan W 1-053.2 1546 1556 45.38% 25.85% 28.77%+0.27 +6.6 42
1999-06-13 @ Celje L 0-153.2 1556 1546 28.77% 25.85% 45.38%-0.27 -6.6 48
1999-06-13 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) D 2-269.9 1457 1582 29.78% 25.95% 44.27%-0.25 +0.5 41
1999-06-13 @ Domzale D 2-269.9 1582 1457 44.27% 25.95% 29.78%+0.25 -0.5 44
1999-06-13 Rudar Velenje L 0-244.8 1411 1609 21.80% 24.62% 53.59%-0.59 -9.9 32
1999-06-13 @ Koper W 2-044.8 1609 1411 53.59% 24.62% 21.80%+0.59 +9.9 56
1999-06-13 Gorica W 2-053.2 1780 1714 54.90% 24.33% 20.77%+0.62 +9.4 66
1999-06-13 @ Maribor L 0-253.2 1714 1780 20.77% 24.33% 54.90%-0.62 -9.4 62
1999-06-13 NK Mura L 0-157.5 1547 1625 35.96% 26.24% 37.80%-0.04 -7.9 40
1999-06-13 @ Primorje W 1-057.5 1625 1547 37.80% 26.24% 35.96%+0.04 +7.9 53

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1999-04-24 8.09% Domzale 1359 2 @ NK Mura 1644 1
2 1998-10-18 8.71% Domzale 1295 3 @ Rudar Velenje 1563 1
3 1999-05-19 9.94% Beltinci 1425 2 @ NK Mura 1663 1
4 1998-08-30 10.46% Domzale 1280 1 @ Korotan 1506 0
5 1999-04-03 11.75% Koper 1393 1 @ Primorje 1592 0
6 1998-08-30 12.50% Koper 1448 3 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 1632 2
7 1999-04-25 13.14% Celje 1525 1 @ Gorica 1697 0
8 1999-05-30 13.31% Koper 1399 2 @ Korotan 1568 1
9 1999-03-07 13.76% @ Domzale 1324 3 Primorje 1629 1
10 1998-10-30 14.58% Koper 1410 1 @ Celje 1558 0
11 1998-09-11 16.13% @ Koper 1460 2 Maribor 1728 1
12 1999-05-05 17.47% Korotan 1539 2 @ Rudar Velenje 1645 1
13 1998-08-30 18.19% Celje 1558 1 @ NK Mura 1654 0
14 1998-10-18 18.34% Korotan 1504 4 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 1599 3
15 1999-05-19 18.49% @ Korotan 1533 1 Maribor 1769 0
16 1999-05-09 18.84% @ Domzale 1379 4 Primorje 1610 1
17 1999-04-10 19.48% @ Beltinci 1456 2 NK Mura 1680 0
18 1999-05-19 19.56% Koper 1367 3 @ Triglav 1447 0
19 1999-04-03 19.79% Beltinci 1445 1 @ Celje 1522 0
20 1999-05-30 21.73% Celje 1536 3 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 1591 2
21 1999-05-02 22.11% @ Triglav 1437 2 NK Mura 1631 1
22 1999-04-21 23.50% @ Primorje 1577 1 Maribor 1757 0
23 1998-11-29 23.60% @ Rudar Velenje 1578 2 Maribor 1758 0
24 1999-05-23 24.15% Korotan 1545 4 @ Primorje 1575 1
25 1998-11-15 24.59% @ Rudar Velenje 1549 3 Gorica 1719 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1999-05-16 34.19 Domzale 4 1405 27.98% @ Koper 0 1401 46.25% 25.76%
2 1998-10-25 33.10 @ Domzale 4 1318 29.64% Koper 0 1444 44.42% 25.94%
3 1999-05-19 30.94 Koper 3 1367 19.56% @ Triglav 0 1447 56.49% 23.94%
4 1998-11-15 27.98 @ Rudar Velenje 3 1549 24.59% Gorica 0 1719 50.16% 25.24%
5 1998-11-08 27.44 @ Korotan 5 1505 47.76% Beltinci 0 1498 26.65% 25.59%
6 1999-05-09 26.48 @ Domzale 4 1379 18.84% Primorje 1 1610 57.47% 23.69%
7 1999-03-14 25.50 @ Domzale 3 1345 29.31% Beltinci 0 1473 44.78% 25.91%
8 1999-05-23 23.81 Korotan 4 1545 24.15% @ Primorje 1 1575 50.69% 25.16%
9 1999-04-25 23.68 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 3 1598 33.06% @ Korotan 0 1554 40.78% 26.17%
10 1999-04-21 23.33 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 6 1575 58.14% Beltinci 0 1480 18.35% 23.50%
11 1998-10-18 22.94 Domzale 3 1295 8.71% @ Rudar Velenje 1 1563 74.36% 16.93%
12 1999-05-15 22.55 @ NK Mura 4 1640 47.28% Rudar Velenje 0 1636 27.08% 25.65%
13 1999-04-10 21.34 @ Beltinci 2 1456 19.48% NK Mura 0 1680 56.60% 23.92%
14 1999-03-07 20.76 @ Domzale 3 1324 13.76% Primorje 1 1629 65.06% 21.19%
15 1998-09-27 20.54 @ Celje 3 1559 40.08% Primorje 0 1608 33.73% 26.19%
16 1998-11-29 19.65 @ Rudar Velenje 2 1578 23.60% Maribor 0 1758 51.35% 25.04%
17 1999-03-07 18.49 @ Beltinci 2 1455 26.68% Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 0 1605 47.72% 25.59%
18 1998-10-18 18.44 @ Beltinci 4 1508 37.06% Celje 1 1578 36.70% 26.25%
19 1999-06-13 17.50 @ Beltinci 5 1432 49.83% Triglav 1 1408 24.88% 25.30%
20 1999-03-06 17.39 Maribor 5 1735 32.79% @ Gorica 2 1693 41.06% 26.15%
21 1998-10-31 17.04 Rudar Velenje 2 1542 30.83% @ Beltinci 0 1515 43.13% 26.04%
22 1998-10-31 16.96 @ Primorje 3 1597 47.94% Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 0 1588 26.50% 25.56%
23 1998-11-15 16.63 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 2 1583 32.07% @ Celje 0 1546 41.81% 26.12%
24 1998-09-25 16.56 Maribor 4 1722 42.08% @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 1 1614 31.82% 26.10%
25 1999-03-21 16.55 Triglav 2 1448 32.29% @ Koper 0 1410 41.58% 26.13%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1998-11-22 78.6 @ Maribor 2 1760 71.26% Celje 2 1529 10.26% 18.48%
2 1999-02-28 77.2 @ Maribor 2 1738 77.26% Koper 2 1431 7.36% 15.37%
3 1998-10-31 76.9 @ Triglav 2 1471 14.33% Maribor 2 1766 64.13% 21.54%
4 1998-09-13 75.0 @ Rudar Velenje 2 1570 36.76% NK Mura 2 1643 36.99% 26.25%
5 1998-11-15 75.0 @ Domzale 2 1343 8.42% Maribor 2 1762 74.97% 16.61%
6 1998-10-18 74.4 Korotan 4 1504 18.34% @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 3 1599 58.15% 23.50%
7 1998-11-29 74.3 @ Beltinci 2 1456 18.33% Gorica 2 1694 58.17% 23.50%
8 1998-11-08 73.0 @ Maribor 1 1764 63.94% Primorje 1 1614 14.45% 21.61%
9 1998-08-30 72.8 Koper 3 1448 12.50% @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 2 1632 67.17% 20.33%
10 1999-04-17 72.8 @ Maribor 1 1760 75.51% Beltinci 1 1477 8.17% 16.32%
11 1999-05-22 72.3 @ Koper 3 1398 22.14% Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 3 1592 53.16% 24.70%
12 1999-04-18 71.6 @ Gorica 1 1702 61.60% Primorje 1 1575 15.96% 22.44%
13 1999-05-30 71.5 Celje 3 1536 21.73% @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 2 1591 53.67% 24.60%
14 1999-05-05 71.2 @ Maribor 1 1751 81.90% Domzale 1 1375 5.40% 12.70%
15 1999-05-19 71.0 @ Rudar Velenje 1 1614 35.33% Gorica 1 1696 38.44% 26.23%
16 1998-10-25 70.6 @ Triglav 2 1470 30.55% Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 2 1589 43.44% 26.01%
17 1999-05-02 70.4 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 1 1622 43.77% Rudar Velenje 1 1644 30.24% 25.99%
18 1999-06-13 69.9 @ Domzale 2 1457 29.78% Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 2 1582 44.27% 25.95%
19 1998-09-11 69.8 @ Koper 2 1460 16.13% Maribor 1 1728 61.35% 22.53%
20 1999-05-05 69.4 Korotan 2 1539 17.47% @ Rudar Velenje 1 1645 59.38% 23.15%
21 1999-05-19 68.8 Beltinci 2 1425 9.94% @ NK Mura 1 1663 71.88% 18.18%
22 1999-05-23 68.3 @ Beltinci 3 1438 45.47% Domzale 3 1448 28.68% 25.84%
23 1998-10-31 67.9 @ Korotan 1 1504 28.12% NK Mura 1 1642 46.11% 25.78%
24 1998-10-31 67.7 @ Domzale 1 1351 10.39% Gorica 1 1722 71.01% 18.60%
25 1999-05-23 67.7 @ Celje 2 1538 61.07% Triglav 2 1416 16.31% 22.62%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1998-08-15 32.3 @ Maribor 4 1722 85.39% Domzale 0 1285 4.05% 10.55%
2 1998-08-02 32.7 @ Gorica 3 1683 82.52% Domzale 0 1297 5.15% 12.33%
3 1998-09-27 33.1 @ Beltinci 2 1510 69.68% Domzale 0 1298 11.10% 19.22%
4 1998-11-08 34.1 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 5 1571 70.15% Domzale 0 1354 10.85% 19.00%
5 1998-08-09 34.9 Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 3 1600 65.17% @ Domzale 0 1294 13.69% 21.14%
6 1998-11-22 35.1 @ NK Mura 6 1646 76.85% Domzale 0 1345 7.55% 15.60%
7 1999-02-28 38.0 @ Triglav 1 1456 61.67% Domzale 0 1328 15.91% 22.42%
8 1999-03-14 38.5 @ Korotan 3 1546 61.40% Koper 0 1421 16.09% 22.51%
9 1998-08-21 39.4 NK Mura 1 1652 70.96% @ Domzale 0 1282 10.42% 18.62%
10 1999-04-24 39.7 @ Maribor 5 1747 78.95% Koper 0 1416 6.62% 14.42%
11 1999-05-30 40.8 @ Gorica 3 1709 74.57% Beltinci 0 1438 8.61% 16.82%
12 1999-06-13 41.1 @ Beltinci 5 1432 49.83% Triglav 1 1408 24.88% 25.30%
13 1998-10-25 41.6 @ Domzale 4 1318 29.64% Koper 0 1444 44.42% 25.94%
14 1998-11-08 41.9 @ NK Mura 4 1642 65.76% Triglav 0 1473 13.33% 20.91%
15 1999-05-02 42.1 @ Korotan 2 1530 57.20% Beltinci 0 1445 19.04% 23.76%
16 1999-05-09 42.4 @ Celje 1 1535 61.88% Koper 0 1405 15.77% 22.35%
17 1999-05-16 43.0 Domzale 4 1405 27.98% @ Koper 0 1401 46.25% 25.76%
18 1999-04-21 43.1 @ Olimpija Ljubljana (1st) 6 1575 58.14% Beltinci 0 1480 18.35% 23.50%
19 1999-03-14 43.5 @ Domzale 3 1345 29.31% Beltinci 0 1473 44.78% 25.91%
20 1999-04-11 43.5 @ Koper 3 1407 51.54% Domzale 1 1369 23.45% 25.01%
21 1998-11-08 43.7 @ Korotan 5 1505 47.76% Beltinci 0 1498 26.65% 25.59%
22 1998-11-22 44.0 @ Triglav 2 1454 44.70% Beltinci 0 1469 29.38% 25.91%
23 1999-04-18 44.2 @ NK Mura 1 1658 72.27% Koper 0 1416 9.74% 17.99%
24 1999-03-07 44.5 NK Mura 3 1660 56.95% @ Koper 0 1433 19.23% 23.83%
25 1999-04-21 44.5 Rudar Velenje 1 1636 61.90% @ Domzale 0 1363 15.76% 22.34%