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1958 Class A Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Spartak Moscow

32 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Dynamo Moscow

4.43 points above expected

31 points · 26.57 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Admiralteyets Leningrad

10.25 points below expected

6 points · 16.25 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Spartak Moscow 22 13 6 3 32 55 28 +27 28.90 +3.10
2 Dynamo Moscow 22 14 3 5 31 44 25 +19 26.57 +4.43
3 CSK MO Moscow 22 9 9 4 27 40 25 +15 26.57 +0.43
4 Zenit Leningrad 22 9 8 5 26 41 32 +9 21.71 +4.29
5 Lokomotiv Moscow 22 9 6 7 24 48 34 +14 25.50 -1.50
6 Dynamo Kyiv 22 7 9 6 23 40 33 +7 22.32 +0.68
7 Torpedo Moscow 22 7 8 7 22 51 42 +9 25.69 -3.69
8 Shakhtyor Stalino 22 9 3 10 21 22 32 -10 20.10 +0.90
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 22 8 3 11 19 34 55 -21 17.20 +1.80
10 Krylia Sovetov 22 6 6 10 18 23 29 -6 16.91 +1.09
11 Moldova Chisinau 22 3 9 10 15 25 47 -22 16.28 -1.28
12 Admiralteyets Leningrad 22 3 0 19 6 22 63 -41 16.25 -10.25

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dynamo Moscow 31 26.57 +4.43
2 Zenit Leningrad 26 21.71 +4.29
3 Spartak Moscow 32 28.90 +3.10
4 Dinamo Tbilisi 19 17.20 +1.80
5 Krylia Sovetov 18 16.91 +1.09

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Admiralteyets Leningrad 6 16.25 -10.25
2 Torpedo Moscow 22 25.69 -3.69
3 Lokomotiv Moscow 24 25.50 -1.50
4 Moldova Chisinau 15 16.28 -1.28
5 CSK MO Moscow 27 26.57 +0.43

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dynamo Moscow 8 Aug 12 – Oct 3 1 in 529
2 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 Apr 26 – May 3 1 in 82
3 Lokomotiv Moscow 2 Jul 15 – Jul 21 1 in 22
4 Shakhtyor Stalino 3 Aug 10 – Aug 25 1 in 19
5 Zenit Leningrad 3 May 2 – Jun 26 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Admiralteyets Leningrad 12 May 23 – Oct 2 1 in 3,324
2 Lokomotiv Moscow 2 May 3 – Jul 4 1 in 44
3 Shakhtyor Stalino 5 Sep 15 – Oct 19 1 in 35
4 Moldova Chisinau 3 Mar 29 – Apr 15 1 in 19
5 Zenit Leningrad 2 Aug 16 – Aug 21 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Zenit Leningrad 8 May 2 – Aug 10 1 in 63
2 Spartak Moscow 10 Mar 23 – Jul 15 1 in 58
3 Dynamo Moscow 12 Jul 25 – Oct 3 1 in 33
4 Krylia Sovetov 3 Mar 29 – Apr 9 1 in 16
5 Dynamo Kyiv 7 Mar 23 – Apr 26 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Moldova Chisinau 11 Mar 23 – Jun 3 1 in 64
2 CSK MO Moscow 5 Aug 10 – Sep 9 1 in 56
3 Dynamo Kyiv 8 Apr 26 – Aug 20 1 in 27
4 Torpedo Moscow 6 May 2 – Aug 5 1 in 20
5 Admiralteyets Leningrad 12 May 23 – Oct 2 1 in 18

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Spartak Moscow 1664 32 +0 6 6.6 -0.6
Dynamo Moscow 1679 31 +52 10 6.5 +3.5
CSK MO Moscow 1630 27 +2 5 5.3 -0.3
Zenit Leningrad 1513 26 +2 6 6.1 -0.1
Lokomotiv Moscow 1573 24 -62 3 6.7 -3.7
Dynamo Kyiv 1523 23 +21 5 4.4 +0.6
Torpedo Moscow 1575 22 +38 6 6.0 -0.0
Shakhtyor Stalino 1417 21 -75 0 3.6 -3.6
Dinamo Tbilisi 1391 19 +13 5 4.0 +1.0
Krylia Sovetov 1426 18 +44 6 4.2 +1.8
Moldova Chisinau 1373 15 -12 4 3.6 +0.4
Admiralteyets Leningrad 1235 6 -79 0 2.8 -2.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AL CMM DT DK DM KS LM MC SS SM TM ZL
Admiralteyets Leningrad —
0-0-2
1.58
1-0-1
2.61
0-0-2
1.82
0-0-2
1.40
1-0-1
2.70
0-0-2
1.63
1-0-1
2.96
0-0-2
2.25
0-0-2
1.16
0-0-2
1.37
0-0-2
2.30
CSK MO Moscow
2-0-0
3.88
—
1-0-1
3.80
0-2-0
3.53
0-1-1
2.64
1-0-1
4.18
1-1-0
3.00
1-1-0
3.60
2-0-0
3.43
0-1-1
2.52
1-1-0
2.90
0-2-0
3.43
Dinamo Tbilisi
1-0-1
2.84
1-0-1
1.67
—
1-0-1
2.15
0-0-2
1.78
1-0-1
2.88
2-0-0
1.46
0-2-0
2.80
2-0-0
1.97
0-0-2
1.57
0-0-2
1.61
0-1-1
2.06
Dynamo Kyiv
2-0-0
3.63
0-2-0
1.93
1-0-1
3.30
—
1-1-0
1.85
1-1-0
3.50
1-1-0
2.33
0-1-1
3.52
1-0-1
3.10
0-1-1
2.13
0-1-1
2.27
0-1-1
2.84
Dynamo Moscow
2-0-0
4.07
1-1-0
2.80
2-0-0
3.68
0-1-1
3.60
—
1-1-0
4.07
1-0-1
2.88
2-0-0
4.10
1-0-1
4.00
1-0-1
2.50
2-0-0
2.77
1-0-1
3.07
Krylia Sovetov
1-0-1
2.75
1-0-1
1.30
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-1
1.95
0-1-1
1.41
—
1-1-0
1.39
0-1-1
2.89
1-1-0
2.48
0-0-2
1.28
0-1-1
1.82
1-0-1
2.40
Lokomotiv Moscow
2-0-0
3.82
0-1-1
2.45
0-0-2
4.01
0-1-1
3.12
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-1
4.08
—
1-1-0
3.73
1-0-1
3.47
1-1-0
2.16
2-0-0
2.53
1-1-0
3.28
Moldova Chisinau
1-0-1
2.48
0-1-1
1.87
0-2-0
2.64
1-1-0
1.93
0-0-2
1.39
1-1-0
2.55
0-1-1
1.73
—
0-0-2
2.38
0-1-1
1.84
0-1-1
2.01
0-1-1
2.03
Shakhtyor Stalino
2-0-0
3.21
0-0-2
2.02
0-0-2
3.47
1-0-1
2.34
1-0-1
1.47
0-1-1
2.96
1-0-1
1.98
2-0-0
3.07
—
0-1-1
1.61
1-1-0
1.78
1-0-1
2.58
Spartak Moscow
2-0-0
4.33
1-1-0
2.93
2-0-0
3.90
1-1-0
3.32
1-0-1
2.94
2-0-0
4.22
0-1-1
3.30
1-1-0
3.64
1-1-0
3.86
—
1-1-0
3.04
1-0-1
3.94
Torpedo Moscow
2-0-0
4.10
0-1-1
2.54
2-0-0
3.85
1-1-0
3.17
0-0-2
2.68
1-1-0
3.64
0-0-2
2.91
1-1-0
3.45
0-1-1
3.67
0-1-1
2.42
—
0-2-0
3.27
Zenit Leningrad
2-0-0
3.16
0-2-0
2.01
1-1-0
3.40
1-1-0
2.60
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
3.05
0-1-1
2.17
1-1-0
3.41
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
1.53
0-2-0
2.17
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.58 +4.6
Allowed 0.69 -4.8
Differential 0.90 +3.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.82%5.30%4.92%2.65%1.52%0.76%21.97%
15.30%11.36%6.06%3.41%3.03%2.27%31.44%
24.92%6.06%6.06%1.89%1.89%1.14%21.97%
32.65%3.41%1.89%2.27%1.89%—12.12%
41.52%3.03%1.89%1.89%——8.33%
5+0.76%2.27%1.14%———4.17%
Total21.97%31.44%21.97%12.12%8.33%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.69 +0.00
SD 1.47 1.47 2.11
CV 0.87 0.87 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%13.64%9.09%4.55%40.91%
1——13.64%9.09%9.09%4.55%36.36%
24.55%———4.55%—9.09%
3—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+———————
Total4.55%13.64%18.18%27.27%27.27%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.86 -1.86
SD 1.15 1.36 1.86
CV 1.15 0.47 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%4.55%———22.73%
14.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
2—9.09%13.64%———22.73%
34.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total27.27%36.36%31.82%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.14 +0.68
SD 1.47 0.89 1.59
CV 0.81 0.78 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———4.55%4.55%—9.09%
14.55%13.64%4.55%9.09%4.55%13.64%50.00%
29.09%9.09%—4.55%—4.55%27.27%
34.55%—————4.55%
4———9.09%——9.09%
5+———————
Total18.18%22.73%4.55%27.27%9.09%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 2.50 -0.95
SD 1.06 1.95 2.40
CV 0.68 0.78 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
14.55%18.18%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
24.55%9.09%13.64%4.55%——31.82%
3———4.55%4.55%—9.09%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total18.18%36.36%27.27%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.50 +0.32
SD 1.33 1.10 1.59
CV 0.73 0.73 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
14.55%——4.55%4.55%—13.64%
213.64%13.64%4.55%———31.82%
34.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total31.82%36.36%22.73%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.14 +0.86
SD 1.63 1.08 1.91
CV 0.82 0.95 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%9.09%9.09%——40.91%
14.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
24.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
39.09%—————9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total31.82%27.27%22.73%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.32 -0.27
SD 1.17 1.21 1.88
CV 1.12 0.92 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%—4.55%———18.18%
14.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
2—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
39.09%4.55%——4.55%—18.18%
4—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total27.27%27.27%22.73%9.09%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 1.55 +0.64
SD 2.13 1.37 2.42
CV 0.98 0.89 —
Max 8 4 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%—4.55%4.55%22.73%
19.09%27.27%—4.55%—4.55%45.45%
24.55%—13.64%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
3————4.55%—4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%36.36%18.18%9.09%13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 2.14 -1.00
SD 0.83 1.93 2.07
CV 0.73 0.91 —
Max 3 8 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%18.18%4.55%——36.36%
122.73%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—40.91%
2—9.09%——4.55%—13.64%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%27.27%27.27%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.45 -0.45
SD 1.07 1.26 1.47
CV 1.07 0.87 —
Max 4 4 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
14.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
29.09%—4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
3—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
44.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total22.73%40.91%27.27%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 1.27 +1.23
SD 1.54 1.03 1.69
CV 0.61 0.81 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—————9.09%
1—4.55%9.09%—4.55%—18.18%
24.55%4.55%9.09%9.09%—4.55%31.82%
3—9.09%—13.64%4.55%—27.27%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total18.18%27.27%18.18%22.73%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 1.91 +0.41
SD 1.46 1.44 2.09
CV 0.63 0.76 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
1—22.73%4.55%——4.55%31.82%
24.55%9.09%4.55%——4.55%22.73%
3—4.55%————4.55%
44.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total22.73%45.45%22.73%——9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.45 +0.41
SD 1.52 1.65 2.30
CV 0.82 1.14 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Dynamo Moscow 1679 31 26.57 +4.43 92.0% 19 21 24 26 30 33 35
Spartak Moscow 1664 32 28.90 +3.10 79.0% 20 22 26 29 31 34 37
CSK MO Moscow 1630 27 26.57 +0.43 63.0% 18 19 24 26 29 33 34
Torpedo Moscow 1575 22 25.69 -3.69 19.0% 16 19 23 26 29 31 33
Lokomotiv Moscow 1573 24 25.50 -1.50 37.0% 12 20 23 26 28 31 32
Dynamo Kyiv 1523 23 22.32 +0.68 62.0% 16 17 20 22 25 28 30
Zenit Leningrad 1513 26 21.71 +4.29 92.0% 11 16 19 22 24 27 30
Krylia Sovetov 1426 18 16.91 +1.09 65.0% 9 11 14 17 19 23 26
Shakhtyor Stalino 1417 21 20.10 +0.90 62.0% 12 14 17 20 23 25 27
Dinamo Tbilisi 1391 19 17.20 +1.80 77.0% 10 12 15 17 19 23 26
Moldova Chisinau 1373 15 16.28 -1.28 42.0% 6 9 13 16 19 22 26
Admiralteyets Leningrad 1235 6 16.25 -10.25 0.0% 10 11 14 16 18 21 26

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 16.5% * Slight Edge: 16.5% to 25% * Clear Edge: 25% to 33% * Strong Edge: 33% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+20.45%
Slight Edge
46.97%26.52%26.52%
Elo Value
Home Edge
163 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
072.08500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.40 goals
Neutral
-2+0.44+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.17 * Runaway: 0.17 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.4
Top-Heavy
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
46%
Spartak Moscow, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.88 * Some Luck: 2.88 to 4.32 * Lucky: 4.32 to 5.76 * Wild Swing: 5.76 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.4 * Close: 1.4 to 2.1 * Off: 2.1 to 2.81 * Way Off: 2.81 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.83 points
Some Luck
03.609
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.58
Pinpoint
01.754
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
92.00%
Dynamo Moscow
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
Admiralteyets Leningrad
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.14 * Top-Heavy: 0.14 to 0.17 * Lopsided: 0.17 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 67.5% * Clear Edge: 67.5% to 71% * Wide Edge: 71% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85.5% * Clear Edge: 85.5% to 89% * Strong Edge: 89% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 57.5% * Some Drama: 57.5% to 65.5% * Frequent: 65.5% to 69.5% * Very Frequent: 69.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 11.5% * Occasional: 11.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 20% * Very Frequent: 20% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Top-Heavy
00.130.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 134.15
1.77
Strong Separation
0.91.41.61.82.5
Interquartile Edge
74%
Wide Edge
50%65%71%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
93%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
57%
Few
0%52%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Very Frequent
0%24%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.42 * Slight Separation: 0.42 to 0.48 * Notable Separation: 0.48 to 0.54 * Lopsided: 0.54 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.48 * Some Carryover: 0.48 to 0.58 * Strong Carryover: 0.58 to 0.65 * Near-Lock: 0.65 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 23.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 23.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.43
Slight Separation
00.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.23
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.54
Some Carryover
00.480.651
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Upset-Prone
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Shaky
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.72
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.84
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.089
Well Within Noise
00.1410.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Spartak Moscow46.00%15.00%16.00%12.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%————
Dynamo Moscow21.00%12.00%23.00%10.00%15.00%11.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%———
CSK MO Moscow14.00%22.00%19.00%20.00%9.00%7.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%——
Zenit Leningrad1.00%5.00%8.00%8.00%12.00%11.00%13.00%15.00%16.00%7.00%3.00%1.00%
Lokomotiv Moscow11.00%13.00%15.00%22.00%17.00%12.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%—1.00%1.00%
Dynamo Kyiv1.00%5.00%7.00%10.00%11.00%15.00%25.00%12.00%8.00%5.00%1.00%—
Torpedo Moscow6.00%27.00%9.00%12.00%18.00%13.00%6.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%—
Shakhtyor Stalino——3.00%1.00%11.00%12.00%15.00%18.00%13.00%12.00%12.00%3.00%
Dinamo Tbilisi———2.00%—6.00%9.00%9.00%16.00%24.00%17.00%17.00%
Krylia Sovetov—1.00%———6.00%8.00%16.00%11.00%14.00%25.00%19.00%
Moldova Chisinau———2.00%1.00%5.00%4.00%11.00%12.00%17.00%17.00%31.00%
Admiralteyets Leningrad———1.00%1.00%—4.00%8.00%16.00%19.00%23.00%28.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
CSK MO Moscow 100% —
Dynamo Kyiv 100% —
Dynamo Moscow 100% —
Spartak Moscow 100% —
Torpedo Moscow 100% —
Lokomotiv Moscow 99.00% 1.00%
Zenit Leningrad 99.00% 1.00%
Shakhtyor Stalino 97.00% 3.00%
Dinamo Tbilisi 83.00% 17.00%
Krylia Sovetov 81.00% 19.00%
Admiralteyets Leningrad 72.00% 28.00%
Moldova Chisinau 69.00% 31.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1958-03-23 Admiralteyets Leningrad W 5-144.3 1475 1487 48.49% 27.98% 23.53%+0.37 +27.7 2
1958-03-23 @ Dynamo Kyiv L 1-544.3 1487 1475 23.53% 27.98% 48.49%-0.37 -27.7 0
1958-03-23 Dynamo Moscow L 1-648.9 1449 1591 31.35% 27.94% 40.71%-0.43 -41.9 0
1958-03-23 @ Dinamo Tbilisi W 6-148.9 1591 1449 40.71% 27.94% 31.35%+0.43 +41.9 2
1958-03-23 Shakhtyor Stalino W 3-038.9 1544 1446 59.22% 27.08% 13.70%+1.04 +16.3 2
1958-03-23 @ Lokomotiv Moscow L 0-338.9 1446 1544 13.70% 27.08% 59.22%-1.04 -16.3 0
1958-03-23 Torpedo Moscow D 0-057.0 1428 1567 31.67% 27.95% 40.38%-0.41 +0.7 1
1958-03-23 @ Zenit Leningrad D 0-057.0 1567 1428 40.38% 27.95% 31.67%+0.41 -0.7 1
1958-03-23 Spartak Moscow D 1-163.0 1487 1573 39.07% 28.11% 32.82%-0.09 -0.4 1
1958-03-23 @ Moldova Chisinau D 1-163.0 1573 1487 32.82% 28.11% 39.07%+0.09 +0.4 1
1958-03-29 Spartak Moscow D 1-163.5 1503 1574 41.15% 28.11% 30.74%+0.01 -0.7 3
1958-03-29 @ Dynamo Kyiv D 1-163.5 1574 1503 30.74% 28.11% 41.15%-0.01 +0.7 2
1958-03-29 Krylia Sovetov D 0-056.1 1560 1394 64.23% 26.11% 9.66%+1.47 -4.8 3
1958-03-29 @ Lokomotiv Moscow D 0-056.1 1394 1560 9.66% 26.11% 64.23%-1.47 +4.8 1
1958-03-29 Dynamo Moscow W 1-057.8 1430 1633 23.91% 27.49% 48.59%-0.80 +16.1 2
1958-03-29 @ Shakhtyor Stalino L 0-157.8 1633 1430 48.59% 27.49% 23.91%+0.80 -16.1 2
1958-03-29 Torpedo Moscow L 1-356.6 1487 1566 39.99% 28.11% 31.90%-0.04 -22.5 1
1958-03-29 @ Moldova Chisinau W 3-156.6 1566 1487 31.90% 28.11% 39.99%+0.04 +22.5 3
1958-03-30 CSK MO Moscow W 2-156.7 1407 1559 30.11% 27.88% 42.01%-0.49 +13.5 2
1958-03-30 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 1-256.7 1559 1407 42.01% 27.88% 30.11%+0.49 -13.5 0
1958-04-03 Admiralteyets Leningrad W 4-144.9 1574 1460 60.56% 26.86% 12.57%+1.15 +12.7 4
1958-04-03 @ Spartak Moscow L 1-444.9 1460 1574 12.57% 26.86% 60.56%-1.15 -12.7 0
1958-04-04 Torpedo Moscow D 3-373.0 1502 1589 39.02% 28.11% 32.87%-0.09 -0.3 4
1958-04-04 @ Dynamo Kyiv D 3-373.0 1589 1502 32.87% 28.11% 39.02%+0.09 +0.2 4
1958-04-04 Dynamo Moscow D 0-058.0 1398 1617 22.26% 27.34% 50.40%-0.90 +2.2 2
1958-04-04 @ Krylia Sovetov D 0-058.0 1617 1398 50.40% 27.34% 22.26%+0.90 -2.3 3
1958-04-05 Zenit Leningrad D 0-057.0 1556 1428 61.51% 26.70% 11.80%+1.23 -4.3 4
1958-04-05 @ Lokomotiv Moscow D 0-057.0 1428 1556 11.80% 26.70% 61.51%-1.23 +4.3 2
1958-04-05 CSK MO Moscow L 1-256.2 1446 1545 37.26% 28.09% 34.66%-0.17 -12.3 2
1958-04-05 @ Shakhtyor Stalino W 2-156.2 1545 1446 34.66% 28.09% 37.26%+0.17 +12.3 2
1958-04-09 Krylia Sovetov D 2-265.9 1589 1401 65.57% 25.76% 8.68%+1.60 -3.4 5
1958-04-09 @ Torpedo Moscow D 2-265.9 1401 1589 8.68% 25.76% 65.57%-1.60 +3.4 3
1958-04-10 Lokomotiv Moscow D 1-162.7 1502 1551 43.95% 28.10% 27.95%+0.14 -1.1 5
1958-04-10 @ Dynamo Kyiv D 1-162.7 1551 1502 27.95% 28.10% 43.95%-0.14 +1.1 5
1958-04-10 Admiralteyets Leningrad W 3-147.2 1615 1447 64.29% 26.09% 9.61%+1.47 +7.0 5
1958-04-10 @ Dynamo Moscow L 1-347.2 1447 1615 9.61% 26.09% 64.29%-1.47 -7.0 0
1958-04-10 Spartak Moscow L 1-448.9 1421 1587 28.21% 27.79% 44.00%-0.58 -24.5 2
1958-04-10 @ Dinamo Tbilisi W 4-148.9 1587 1421 44.00% 27.79% 28.21%+0.58 +24.5 6
1958-04-10 Zenit Leningrad W 1-043.0 1434 1432 49.99% 27.92% 22.09%+0.45 +8.8 4
1958-04-10 @ Shakhtyor Stalino L 0-143.0 1432 1434 22.09% 27.92% 49.99%-0.45 -8.8 2
1958-04-10 CSK MO Moscow L 0-446.8 1464 1557 38.09% 28.10% 33.81%-0.13 -47.4 1
1958-04-10 @ Moldova Chisinau W 4-046.8 1557 1464 33.81% 28.10% 38.09%+0.13 +47.4 4
1958-04-15 CSK MO Moscow D 1-164.5 1501 1605 36.56% 28.08% 35.37%-0.20 -0.1 6
1958-04-15 @ Dynamo Kyiv D 1-164.5 1605 1501 35.37% 28.08% 36.56%+0.20 +0.1 5
1958-04-15 Zenit Leningrad L 1-254.0 1404 1424 47.60% 28.01% 24.39%+0.32 -15.0 3
1958-04-15 @ Krylia Sovetov W 2-154.0 1424 1404 24.39% 28.01% 47.60%-0.32 +15.0 4
1958-04-15 Admiralteyets Leningrad W 2-148.5 1552 1440 60.39% 26.89% 12.72%+1.14 +5.3 7
1958-04-15 @ Lokomotiv Moscow L 1-248.5 1440 1552 12.72% 26.89% 60.39%-1.14 -5.2 0
1958-04-15 Spartak Moscow D 1-162.9 1443 1612 27.87% 27.77% 44.36%-0.60 +1.1 5
1958-04-15 @ Shakhtyor Stalino D 1-162.9 1612 1443 44.36% 27.77% 27.87%+0.60 -1.1 7
1958-04-15 Dynamo Moscow L 0-246.2 1417 1622 23.72% 27.47% 48.81%-0.82 -17.5 1
1958-04-15 @ Moldova Chisinau W 2-046.2 1622 1417 48.81% 27.47% 23.72%+0.82 +17.5 7
1958-04-16 Torpedo Moscow L 1-644.8 1396 1585 25.48% 27.62% 46.91%-0.72 -35.8 2
1958-04-16 @ Dinamo Tbilisi W 6-144.8 1585 1396 46.91% 27.62% 25.48%+0.72 +35.8 7
1958-04-19 Admiralteyets Leningrad W 3-146.3 1605 1435 64.46% 26.05% 9.49%+1.49 +6.9 7
1958-04-19 @ CSK MO Moscow L 1-346.3 1435 1605 9.49% 26.05% 64.46%-1.49 -7.0 0
1958-04-20 Dynamo Moscow W 2-054.7 1501 1639 31.79% 27.95% 40.25%-0.41 +26.0 8
1958-04-20 @ Dynamo Kyiv L 0-254.7 1639 1501 40.25% 27.95% 31.79%+0.41 -26.0 7
1958-04-20 Zenit Leningrad D 1-154.4 1361 1439 40.16% 28.11% 31.73%-0.04 -0.6 3
1958-04-20 @ Dinamo Tbilisi D 1-154.4 1439 1361 31.73% 28.11% 40.16%+0.04 +0.6 5
1958-04-20 Spartak Moscow L 1-349.0 1389 1610 21.97% 27.31% 50.73%-0.92 -14.2 3
1958-04-20 @ Krylia Sovetov W 3-149.0 1610 1389 50.73% 27.31% 21.97%+0.92 +14.2 9
1958-04-20 Lokomotiv Moscow D 1-159.2 1399 1558 29.22% 27.84% 42.94%-0.53 +0.9 2
1958-04-20 @ Moldova Chisinau D 1-159.2 1558 1399 42.94% 27.84% 29.22%+0.53 -0.9 8
1958-04-22 Torpedo Moscow D 0-059.7 1444 1621 26.84% 27.71% 45.45%-0.65 +1.5 6
1958-04-22 @ Shakhtyor Stalino D 0-059.7 1621 1444 45.45% 27.71% 26.84%+0.65 -1.4 8
1958-04-25 CSK MO Moscow W 1-056.0 1375 1612 20.41% 27.13% 52.46%-1.01 +17.2 5
1958-04-25 @ Krylia Sovetov L 0-156.0 1612 1375 52.46% 27.13% 20.41%+1.01 -17.2 7
1958-04-26 Moldova Chisinau D 2-263.3 1527 1400 61.44% 26.71% 11.85%+1.22 -2.9 9
1958-04-26 @ Dynamo Kyiv D 2-263.3 1400 1527 11.85% 26.71% 61.44%-1.22 +2.9 3
1958-04-26 Dynamo Moscow W 3-156.9 1557 1613 43.02% 28.11% 28.87%+0.10 +17.7 10
1958-04-26 @ Lokomotiv Moscow L 1-356.9 1613 1557 28.87% 28.11% 43.02%-0.10 -17.7 7
1958-04-26 Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-152.0 1445 1360 58.18% 27.22% 14.60%+0.97 -19.1 6
1958-04-26 @ Shakhtyor Stalino W 1-052.0 1360 1445 14.60% 27.22% 58.18%-0.97 +19.1 5
1958-04-27 Zenit Leningrad W 5-143.0 1625 1439 65.41% 25.80% 8.79%+1.58 +11.8 11
1958-04-27 @ Spartak Moscow L 1-543.0 1439 1625 8.79% 25.80% 65.41%-1.58 -11.8 5
1958-04-28 Admiralteyets Leningrad W 4-143.8 1620 1428 65.82% 25.69% 8.50%+1.63 +8.8 10
1958-04-28 @ Torpedo Moscow L 1-443.8 1428 1620 8.50% 25.69% 65.82%-1.63 -8.8 0
1958-04-30 Dynamo Moscow D 0-063.4 1595 1595 49.76% 27.93% 22.31%+0.44 -2.2 8
1958-04-30 @ CSK MO Moscow D 0-063.4 1595 1595 22.31% 27.93% 49.76%-0.44 +2.2 8
1958-05-02 Zenit Leningrad L 2-456.2 1419 1427 48.86% 27.97% 23.17%+0.39 -23.7 0
1958-05-02 @ Admiralteyets Leningrad W 4-256.2 1427 1419 23.17% 27.97% 48.86%-0.39 +23.7 7
1958-05-02 Dynamo Kyiv W 1-049.5 1426 1524 37.42% 28.09% 34.49%-0.16 +12.3 8
1958-05-02 @ Shakhtyor Stalino L 0-149.5 1524 1426 34.49% 28.09% 37.42%+0.16 -12.3 9
1958-05-02 Spartak Moscow D 3-377.4 1629 1636 48.96% 27.96% 23.08%+0.40 -1.1 11
1958-05-02 @ Torpedo Moscow D 3-377.4 1636 1629 23.08% 27.96% 48.96%-0.40 +1.1 12
1958-05-02 Moldova Chisinau D 1-154.3 1392 1403 48.58% 27.98% 23.44%+0.37 -1.8 6
1958-05-02 @ Krylia Sovetov D 1-154.3 1403 1392 23.44% 27.98% 48.58%-0.37 +1.8 4
1958-05-03 Dinamo Tbilisi L 3-470.8 1574 1379 65.99% 25.63% 8.37%+1.64 -18.9 10
1958-05-03 @ Lokomotiv Moscow W 4-370.8 1379 1574 8.37% 25.63% 65.99%-1.64 +18.9 7
1958-05-07 Krylia Sovetov D 1-155.2 1438 1390 54.83% 27.59% 17.58%+0.74 -2.8 9
1958-05-07 @ Shakhtyor Stalino D 1-155.2 1390 1438 17.58% 27.59% 54.83%-0.74 +2.8 7
1958-05-08 Dinamo Tbilisi W 3-142.9 1395 1398 49.50% 27.94% 22.56%+0.42 +14.7 2
1958-05-08 @ Admiralteyets Leningrad L 1-342.9 1398 1395 22.56% 27.94% 49.50%-0.42 -14.7 7
1958-05-13 Moldova Chisinau W 4-353.9 1410 1405 50.36% 27.90% 21.74%+0.47 +7.6 4
1958-05-13 @ Admiralteyets Leningrad L 3-453.9 1405 1410 21.74% 27.90% 50.36%-0.47 -7.6 4
1958-05-13 Krylia Sovetov W 3-035.6 1383 1393 48.74% 27.97% 23.29%+0.38 +25.2 9
1958-05-13 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-335.6 1393 1383 23.29% 27.97% 48.74%-0.38 -25.2 7
1958-05-18 Krylia Sovetov W 2-036.3 1417 1368 54.95% 27.58% 17.47%+0.75 +13.8 6
1958-05-18 @ Admiralteyets Leningrad L 0-236.3 1368 1417 17.47% 27.58% 54.95%-0.75 -13.8 7
1958-05-18 Shakhtyor Stalino L 2-358.2 1397 1436 45.33% 28.07% 26.59%+0.21 -13.6 4
1958-05-18 @ Moldova Chisinau W 3-258.2 1436 1397 26.59% 28.07% 45.33%-0.21 +13.6 11
1958-05-23 Shakhtyor Stalino L 0-151.1 1431 1449 47.75% 28.01% 24.24%+0.33 -15.9 6
1958-05-23 @ Admiralteyets Leningrad W 1-051.1 1449 1431 24.24% 28.01% 47.75%-0.33 +15.9 13
1958-05-25 Dinamo Tbilisi D 1-154.3 1384 1409 46.98% 28.03% 24.99%+0.29 -1.5 5
1958-05-25 @ Moldova Chisinau D 1-154.3 1409 1384 24.99% 28.03% 46.98%-0.29 +1.6 10
1958-06-03 Moldova Chisinau W 5-033.7 1451 1382 56.76% 27.39% 15.85%+0.87 +29.7 9
1958-06-03 @ Zenit Leningrad L 0-533.7 1382 1451 15.85% 27.39% 56.76%-0.87 -29.7 5
1958-06-26 Dynamo Kyiv W 3-150.0 1481 1512 46.25% 28.05% 25.70%+0.25 +16.2 11
1958-06-26 @ Zenit Leningrad L 1-350.0 1512 1481 25.70% 28.05% 46.25%-0.25 -16.2 9
1958-06-29 Shakhtyor Stalino W 4-252.1 1592 1465 61.50% 26.70% 11.80%+1.23 +7.6 10
1958-06-29 @ CSK MO Moscow L 2-452.1 1465 1592 11.80% 26.70% 61.50%-1.23 -7.6 13
1958-07-01 Dynamo Kyiv D 0-052.1 1354 1495 31.40% 27.94% 40.66%-0.43 +0.7 8
1958-07-01 @ Krylia Sovetov D 0-052.1 1495 1354 40.66% 27.94% 31.40%+0.43 -0.7 10
1958-07-04 CSK MO Moscow L 1-361.2 1555 1600 44.53% 28.09% 27.38%+0.17 -24.5 10
1958-07-04 @ Lokomotiv Moscow W 3-161.2 1600 1555 27.38% 28.09% 44.53%-0.17 +24.5 12
1958-07-05 Spartak Moscow L 0-161.6 1598 1638 45.11% 28.08% 26.81%+0.20 -15.2 8
1958-07-05 @ Dynamo Moscow W 1-061.6 1638 1598 26.81% 28.08% 45.11%-0.20 +15.2 14
1958-07-09 CSK MO Moscow D 1-165.1 1497 1625 33.25% 28.00% 38.74%-0.34 +0.4 12
1958-07-09 @ Zenit Leningrad D 1-165.1 1625 1497 38.74% 28.00% 33.25%+0.34 -0.4 13
1958-07-12 Admiralteyets Leningrad W 1-042.9 1353 1415 42.22% 28.11% 29.67%+0.06 +11.0 7
1958-07-12 @ Moldova Chisinau L 0-142.9 1415 1353 29.67% 28.11% 42.22%-0.06 -11.0 6
1958-07-14 Zenit Leningrad L 1-460.3 1582 1497 58.16% 27.22% 14.61%+0.97 -44.2 8
1958-07-14 @ Dynamo Moscow W 4-160.3 1497 1582 14.61% 27.22% 58.16%-0.97 +44.2 14
1958-07-15 Spartak Moscow L 0-259.6 1624 1653 46.52% 28.04% 25.43%+0.27 -29.4 13
1958-07-15 @ CSK MO Moscow W 2-059.6 1653 1624 25.43% 28.04% 46.52%-0.27 +29.3 16
1958-07-15 Torpedo Moscow W 4-155.8 1531 1627 37.60% 28.09% 34.31%-0.15 +28.4 12
1958-07-15 @ Lokomotiv Moscow L 1-455.8 1627 1531 34.31% 28.09% 37.60%+0.15 -28.4 11
1958-07-17 Dynamo Kyiv W 4-359.8 1410 1495 39.26% 28.11% 32.63%-0.08 +10.3 12
1958-07-17 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 3-459.8 1495 1410 32.63% 28.11% 39.26%+0.08 -10.4 10
1958-07-20 Torpedo Moscow D 3-376.0 1595 1599 49.37% 27.95% 22.69%+0.42 -1.2 14
1958-07-20 @ CSK MO Moscow D 3-376.0 1599 1595 22.69% 27.95% 49.37%-0.42 +1.2 12
1958-07-21 Lokomotiv Moscow L 0-166.2 1682 1559 61.17% 26.76% 12.07%+1.20 -20.1 16
1958-07-21 @ Spartak Moscow W 1-066.2 1559 1682 12.07% 26.76% 61.17%-1.20 +20.1 14
1958-07-25 Dynamo Moscow L 2-565.0 1600 1538 56.14% 27.46% 16.40%+0.82 -37.0 12
1958-07-25 @ Torpedo Moscow W 5-265.0 1538 1600 16.40% 27.46% 56.14%-0.82 +37.0 10
1958-07-25 CSK MO Moscow L 0-342.9 1404 1594 25.41% 27.61% 46.98%-0.72 -26.8 6
1958-07-25 @ Admiralteyets Leningrad W 3-042.9 1594 1404 46.98% 27.61% 25.41%+0.72 +26.8 16
1958-07-26 Dinamo Tbilisi W 5-247.5 1662 1420 68.59% 24.77% 6.64%+1.93 +6.0 18
1958-07-26 @ Spartak Moscow L 2-547.5 1420 1662 6.64% 24.77% 68.59%-1.93 -6.0 12
1958-07-28 Lokomotiv Moscow W 2-158.1 1458 1579 34.05% 28.02% 37.93%-0.31 +12.5 15
1958-07-28 @ Shakhtyor Stalino L 1-258.1 1579 1458 37.93% 28.02% 34.05%+0.31 -12.5 14
1958-07-30 Dinamo Tbilisi W 3-252.1 1575 1414 63.83% 26.20% 9.96%+1.43 +4.0 12
1958-07-30 @ Dynamo Moscow L 2-352.1 1414 1575 9.96% 26.20% 63.83%-1.43 -4.0 12
1958-07-31 Krylia Sovetov W 1-040.7 1620 1355 69.82% 24.29% 5.88%+2.08 +2.6 18
1958-07-31 @ CSK MO Moscow L 0-140.7 1355 1620 5.88% 24.29% 69.82%-2.08 -2.6 8
1958-08-01 Admiralteyets Leningrad W 4-033.9 1542 1377 64.07% 26.15% 9.78%+1.45 +15.7 16
1958-08-01 @ Zenit Leningrad L 0-433.9 1377 1542 9.78% 26.15% 64.07%-1.45 -15.7 6
1958-08-01 Dynamo Kyiv W 2-044.0 1364 1484 34.18% 28.03% 37.79%-0.30 +24.8 9
1958-08-01 @ Moldova Chisinau L 0-244.0 1484 1364 37.79% 28.03% 34.18%+0.30 -24.8 10
1958-08-01 Torpedo Moscow W 3-260.8 1668 1563 59.78% 26.99% 13.23%+1.09 +5.2 20
1958-08-01 @ Spartak Moscow L 2-360.8 1563 1668 13.23% 26.99% 59.78%-1.09 -5.2 12
1958-08-03 Krylia Sovetov W 3-034.2 1579 1352 67.81% 25.05% 7.13%+1.84 +8.8 14
1958-08-03 @ Dynamo Moscow L 0-334.2 1352 1579 7.13% 25.05% 67.81%-1.84 -8.8 8
1958-08-04 Dinamo Tbilisi W 5-141.4 1623 1410 67.01% 25.32% 7.67%+1.75 +10.3 20
1958-08-04 @ CSK MO Moscow L 1-541.4 1410 1623 7.67% 25.32% 67.01%-1.75 -10.3 12
1958-08-05 Zenit Leningrad D 1-164.9 1558 1557 49.95% 27.92% 22.14%+0.45 -2.0 13
1958-08-05 @ Torpedo Moscow D 1-164.9 1557 1558 22.14% 27.92% 49.95%-0.45 +2.0 17
1958-08-06 Shakhtyor Stalino W 2-044.4 1673 1470 66.46% 25.49% 8.04%+1.69 +6.8 22
1958-08-06 @ Spartak Moscow L 0-244.4 1470 1673 8.04% 25.49% 66.46%-1.69 -6.8 15
1958-08-07 Dynamo Kyiv D 2-267.7 1588 1460 61.59% 26.68% 11.73%+1.23 -2.9 15
1958-08-07 @ Dynamo Moscow D 2-267.7 1460 1588 11.73% 26.68% 61.59%-1.23 +2.9 11
1958-08-08 Lokomotiv Moscow L 0-339.8 1362 1567 23.65% 27.47% 48.88%-0.82 -25.3 6
1958-08-08 @ Admiralteyets Leningrad W 3-039.8 1567 1362 48.88% 27.47% 23.65%+0.82 +25.3 16
1958-08-09 Dinamo Tbilisi W 3-143.5 1556 1400 63.52% 26.28% 10.20%+1.40 +7.4 15
1958-08-09 @ Torpedo Moscow L 1-343.5 1400 1556 10.20% 26.28% 63.52%-1.40 -7.4 12
1958-08-10 Moldova Chisinau W 1-040.4 1463 1388 57.28% 27.33% 15.38%+0.90 +6.6 17
1958-08-10 @ Shakhtyor Stalino L 0-140.4 1388 1463 15.38% 27.33% 57.28%-0.90 -6.6 9
1958-08-10 Zenit Leningrad D 2-272.0 1633 1559 57.23% 27.34% 15.43%+0.90 -2.4 21
1958-08-10 @ CSK MO Moscow D 2-272.0 1559 1633 15.43% 27.34% 57.23%-0.90 +2.3 18
1958-08-11 Krylia Sovetov W 4-140.7 1680 1343 73.11% 22.75% 4.14%+2.51 +4.2 24
1958-08-11 @ Spartak Moscow L 1-440.7 1343 1680 4.14% 22.75% 73.11%-2.51 -4.2 8
1958-08-12 Dynamo Moscow L 1-248.0 1336 1585 19.29% 26.99% 53.72%-1.09 -7.4 6
1958-08-12 @ Admiralteyets Leningrad W 2-148.0 1585 1336 53.72% 26.99% 19.29%+1.09 +7.4 17
1958-08-14 Moldova Chisinau D 2-264.2 1564 1382 65.18% 25.86% 8.96%+1.56 -3.3 16
1958-08-14 @ Torpedo Moscow D 2-264.2 1382 1564 8.96% 25.86% 65.18%-1.56 +3.3 10
1958-08-15 Dinamo Tbilisi W 3-036.4 1339 1393 43.39% 28.10% 28.50%+0.11 +29.4 10
1958-08-15 @ Krylia Sovetov L 0-336.4 1393 1339 28.50% 28.10% 43.39%-0.11 -29.4 12
1958-08-16 Lokomotiv Moscow D 0-064.2 1631 1592 53.93% 27.66% 18.40%+0.68 -2.9 22
1958-08-16 @ CSK MO Moscow D 0-064.2 1592 1631 18.40% 27.66% 53.93%-0.68 +2.9 17
1958-08-16 Dynamo Moscow L 0-256.9 1562 1592 46.24% 28.05% 25.71%+0.25 -29.2 18
1958-08-16 @ Zenit Leningrad W 2-056.9 1592 1562 25.71% 28.05% 46.24%-0.25 +29.2 19
1958-08-18 Shakhtyor Stalino L 1-263.8 1560 1470 58.63% 27.16% 14.21%+1.00 -18.2 16
1958-08-18 @ Torpedo Moscow W 2-163.8 1470 1560 14.21% 27.16% 58.63%-1.00 +18.2 19
1958-08-20 Dynamo Kyiv D 2-269.4 1628 1462 64.16% 26.13% 9.71%+1.46 -3.2 23
1958-08-20 @ CSK MO Moscow D 2-269.4 1462 1628 9.71% 26.13% 64.16%-1.46 +3.2 12
1958-08-21 Moldova Chisinau W 4-249.5 1684 1385 71.43% 23.59% 4.99%+2.28 +3.2 26
1958-08-21 @ Spartak Moscow L 2-449.5 1385 1684 4.99% 23.59% 71.43%-2.28 -3.2 10
1958-08-21 Lokomotiv Moscow L 2-756.8 1532 1595 42.20% 28.11% 29.69%+0.06 -43.9 18
1958-08-21 @ Zenit Leningrad W 7-256.8 1595 1532 29.69% 28.11% 42.20%-0.06 +43.9 19
1958-08-21 Admiralteyets Leningrad W 2-035.2 1363 1329 53.49% 27.70% 18.81%+0.65 +14.7 14
1958-08-21 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-235.2 1329 1363 18.81% 27.70% 53.49%-0.65 -14.7 6
1958-08-22 Torpedo Moscow W 3-259.8 1622 1542 57.70% 27.28% 15.02%+0.93 +5.8 21
1958-08-22 @ Dynamo Moscow L 2-359.8 1542 1622 15.02% 27.28% 57.70%-0.93 -5.8 16
1958-08-25 Admiralteyets Leningrad W 4-349.3 1488 1314 64.67% 26.00% 9.33%+1.51 +3.7 21
1958-08-25 @ Shakhtyor Stalino L 3-449.3 1314 1488 9.33% 26.00% 64.67%-1.51 -3.7 6
1958-08-30 Admiralteyets Leningrad W 3-032.0 1369 1311 55.76% 27.50% 16.74%+0.80 +19.3 12
1958-08-30 @ Krylia Sovetov L 0-332.0 1311 1369 16.74% 27.50% 55.76%-0.80 -19.3 6
1958-09-04 Moldova Chisinau D 2-266.8 1625 1382 68.67% 24.75% 6.59%+1.94 -3.7 24
1958-09-04 @ CSK MO Moscow D 2-266.8 1382 1625 6.59% 24.75% 68.67%-1.94 +3.7 11
1958-09-05 Lokomotiv Moscow W 2-052.5 1627 1639 48.53% 27.98% 23.49%+0.37 +17.5 23
1958-09-05 @ Dynamo Moscow L 0-252.5 1639 1627 23.49% 27.98% 48.53%-0.37 -17.5 19
1958-09-05 Torpedo Moscow L 0-534.6 1291 1536 19.63% 27.04% 53.33%-1.06 -35.0 6
1958-09-05 @ Admiralteyets Leningrad W 5-034.6 1536 1291 53.33% 27.04% 19.63%+1.06 +35.0 18
1958-09-05 Krylia Sovetov W 2-144.7 1466 1388 57.55% 27.30% 15.15%+0.92 +6.1 14
1958-09-05 @ Dynamo Kyiv L 1-244.7 1388 1466 15.15% 27.30% 57.55%-0.92 -6.1 12
1958-09-06 Spartak Moscow W 4-266.8 1489 1687 24.36% 27.53% 48.11%-0.78 +23.3 20
1958-09-06 @ Zenit Leningrad L 2-466.8 1687 1489 48.11% 27.53% 24.36%+0.78 -23.3 26
1958-09-09 Spartak Moscow L 0-433.2 1256 1664 8.87% 24.33% 66.80%-2.06 -13.7 6
1958-09-09 @ Admiralteyets Leningrad W 4-033.2 1664 1256 66.80% 24.33% 8.87%+2.06 +13.7 28
1958-09-09 CSK MO Moscow W 2-158.8 1645 1621 52.40% 27.78% 19.82%+0.59 +7.6 25
1958-09-09 @ Dynamo Moscow L 1-258.8 1621 1645 19.82% 27.78% 52.40%-0.59 -7.6 24
1958-09-09 Dinamo Tbilisi W 4-033.3 1472 1378 58.90% 27.12% 13.98%+1.02 +21.7 16
1958-09-09 @ Dynamo Kyiv L 0-433.3 1378 1472 13.98% 27.12% 58.90%-1.02 -21.7 14
1958-09-10 Lokomotiv Moscow L 3-472.8 1571 1622 43.83% 28.10% 28.07%+0.13 -12.9 18
1958-09-10 @ Torpedo Moscow W 4-372.8 1622 1571 28.07% 28.10% 43.83%-0.13 +12.9 21
1958-09-11 Zenit Leningrad D 1-157.1 1386 1512 33.44% 28.01% 38.55%-0.33 +0.3 12
1958-09-11 @ Moldova Chisinau D 1-157.1 1512 1386 38.55% 28.01% 33.44%+0.33 -0.3 21
1958-09-14 Lokomotiv Moscow W 4-156.7 1382 1634 18.93% 26.94% 54.13%-1.11 +40.9 14
1958-09-14 @ Krylia Sovetov L 1-456.7 1634 1382 54.13% 26.94% 18.93%+1.11 -40.9 21
1958-09-14 Dynamo Moscow L 1-269.5 1678 1653 52.57% 27.77% 19.67%+0.60 -16.4 28
1958-09-14 @ Spartak Moscow W 2-169.5 1653 1678 19.67% 27.77% 52.57%-0.60 +16.4 27
1958-09-15 CSK MO Moscow L 1-264.0 1558 1614 43.20% 28.10% 28.70%+0.10 -13.8 18
1958-09-15 @ Torpedo Moscow W 2-164.0 1614 1558 28.70% 28.10% 43.20%-0.10 +13.8 26
1958-09-15 Shakhtyor Stalino W 1-047.0 1493 1492 50.05% 27.91% 22.04%+0.45 +8.8 18
1958-09-15 @ Dynamo Kyiv L 0-147.0 1492 1493 22.04% 27.91% 50.05%-0.45 -8.8 21
1958-09-16 Dinamo Tbilisi W 2-143.3 1512 1356 63.46% 26.29% 10.25%+1.40 +4.3 23
1958-09-16 @ Zenit Leningrad L 1-243.3 1356 1512 10.25% 26.29% 63.46%-1.40 -4.3 14
1958-09-18 Moldova Chisinau W 1-043.4 1669 1386 70.67% 23.93% 5.40%+2.18 +2.4 29
1958-09-18 @ Dynamo Moscow L 0-143.4 1386 1669 5.40% 23.93% 70.67%-2.18 -2.4 12
1958-09-19 Spartak Moscow D 2-273.0 1594 1662 41.51% 28.11% 30.38%+0.03 -0.6 22
1958-09-19 @ Lokomotiv Moscow D 2-273.0 1662 1594 30.38% 28.11% 41.51%-0.03 +0.6 29
1958-09-20 Krylia Sovetov L 1-260.5 1516 1423 58.85% 27.13% 14.02%+1.02 -18.2 23
1958-09-20 @ Zenit Leningrad W 2-160.5 1423 1516 14.02% 27.13% 58.85%-1.02 +18.2 16
1958-09-20 Dynamo Kyiv W 2-152.4 1545 1502 54.28% 27.64% 18.08%+0.70 +7.1 20
1958-09-20 @ Torpedo Moscow L 1-252.4 1502 1545 18.08% 27.64% 54.28%-0.70 -7.1 18
1958-09-21 Shakhtyor Stalino W 2-044.1 1352 1483 32.81% 27.99% 39.20%-0.36 +25.5 16
1958-09-21 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-244.1 1483 1352 39.20% 27.99% 32.81%+0.36 -25.5 21
1958-09-26 Krylia Sovetov W 1-044.0 1384 1441 42.92% 28.11% 28.98%+0.09 +10.9 14
1958-09-26 @ Moldova Chisinau L 0-144.0 1441 1384 28.98% 28.11% 42.92%-0.09 -10.9 16
1958-10-02 Dynamo Kyiv L 1-243.2 1243 1495 18.94% 26.94% 54.12%-1.11 -7.3 6
1958-10-02 @ Admiralteyets Leningrad W 2-143.2 1495 1243 54.12% 26.94% 18.94%+1.11 +7.3 20
1958-10-02 CSK MO Moscow D 0-065.3 1662 1627 53.53% 27.70% 18.78%+0.66 -2.9 30
1958-10-02 @ Spartak Moscow D 0-065.3 1627 1662 18.78% 27.70% 53.53%-0.66 +2.9 27
1958-10-02 Torpedo Moscow L 0-247.3 1430 1552 34.05% 28.02% 37.93%-0.31 -23.0 16
1958-10-02 @ Krylia Sovetov W 2-047.3 1552 1430 37.93% 28.02% 34.05%+0.31 +23.0 22
1958-10-03 Shakhtyor Stalino W 4-146.2 1671 1457 67.09% 25.29% 7.61%+1.76 +7.9 31
1958-10-03 @ Dynamo Moscow L 1-446.2 1457 1671 7.61% 25.29% 67.09%-1.76 -7.9 21
1958-10-03 Lokomotiv Moscow W 2-159.1 1378 1593 22.57% 27.37% 50.07%-0.88 +15.6 18
1958-10-03 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 1-259.1 1593 1378 50.07% 27.37% 22.57%+0.88 -15.6 22
1958-10-11 Zenit Leningrad D 1-160.8 1502 1498 50.38% 27.90% 21.72%+0.47 -2.1 21
1958-10-11 @ Dynamo Kyiv D 1-160.8 1498 1502 21.72% 27.90% 50.38%-0.47 +2.1 24
1958-10-15 Moldova Chisinau D 1-154.2 1393 1394 49.69% 27.93% 22.38%+0.43 -1.9 19
1958-10-15 @ Dinamo Tbilisi D 1-154.2 1394 1393 22.38% 27.93% 49.69%-0.43 +2.0 15
1958-10-15 Dynamo Kyiv L 2-466.6 1577 1500 57.48% 27.31% 15.21%+0.92 -27.6 22
1958-10-15 @ Lokomotiv Moscow W 4-266.6 1500 1577 15.21% 27.31% 57.48%-0.92 +27.6 23
1958-10-15 Shakhtyor Stalino W 2-041.0 1500 1449 55.05% 27.57% 17.38%+0.75 +13.7 26
1958-10-15 @ Zenit Leningrad L 0-241.0 1449 1500 17.38% 27.57% 55.05%-0.75 -13.7 21
1958-10-19 Moldova Chisinau W 8-138.5 1550 1396 63.35% 26.32% 10.34%+1.39 +23.0 24
1958-10-19 @ Lokomotiv Moscow L 1-838.5 1396 1550 10.34% 26.32% 63.35%-1.39 -23.0 15
1958-10-19 Shakhtyor Stalino W 2-040.2 1407 1436 46.52% 28.04% 25.44%+0.27 +18.6 18
1958-10-19 @ Krylia Sovetov L 0-240.2 1436 1407 25.44% 28.04% 46.52%-0.27 -18.6 21
1958-11-08 Dynamo Kyiv W 3-259.2 1659 1528 61.79% 26.64% 11.56%+1.25 +4.6 32
1958-11-08 @ Spartak Moscow L 2-359.2 1528 1659 11.56% 26.64% 61.79%-1.25 -4.6 23

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1958-05-03 8.37% Dinamo Tbilisi 1379 4 @ Lokomotiv Moscow 1574 3
2 1958-07-21 12.07% Lokomotiv Moscow 1559 1 @ Spartak Moscow 1682 0
3 1958-09-20 14.02% Krylia Sovetov 1423 2 @ Zenit Leningrad 1516 1
4 1958-08-18 14.21% Shakhtyor Stalino 1470 2 @ Torpedo Moscow 1560 1
5 1958-04-26 14.60% Dinamo Tbilisi 1360 1 @ Shakhtyor Stalino 1445 0
6 1958-07-14 14.61% Zenit Leningrad 1497 4 @ Dynamo Moscow 1582 1
7 1958-10-15 15.21% Dynamo Kyiv 1500 4 @ Lokomotiv Moscow 1577 2
8 1958-07-25 16.40% Dynamo Moscow 1538 5 @ Torpedo Moscow 1600 2
9 1958-09-14 18.93% @ Krylia Sovetov 1382 4 Lokomotiv Moscow 1634 1
10 1958-09-14 19.67% Dynamo Moscow 1653 2 @ Spartak Moscow 1678 1
11 1958-04-25 20.41% @ Krylia Sovetov 1375 1 CSK MO Moscow 1612 0
12 1958-10-03 22.57% @ Dinamo Tbilisi 1378 2 Lokomotiv Moscow 1593 1
13 1958-05-02 23.17% Zenit Leningrad 1427 4 @ Admiralteyets Leningrad 1419 2
14 1958-03-29 23.91% @ Shakhtyor Stalino 1430 1 Dynamo Moscow 1633 0
15 1958-05-23 24.24% Shakhtyor Stalino 1449 1 @ Admiralteyets Leningrad 1431 0
16 1958-09-06 24.36% @ Zenit Leningrad 1489 4 Spartak Moscow 1687 2
17 1958-04-15 24.39% Zenit Leningrad 1424 2 @ Krylia Sovetov 1404 1
18 1958-07-15 25.43% Spartak Moscow 1653 2 @ CSK MO Moscow 1624 0
19 1958-08-16 25.71% Dynamo Moscow 1592 2 @ Zenit Leningrad 1562 0
20 1958-05-18 26.59% Shakhtyor Stalino 1436 3 @ Moldova Chisinau 1397 2
21 1958-07-05 26.81% Spartak Moscow 1638 1 @ Dynamo Moscow 1598 0
22 1958-07-04 27.38% CSK MO Moscow 1600 3 @ Lokomotiv Moscow 1555 1
23 1958-09-10 28.07% Lokomotiv Moscow 1622 4 @ Torpedo Moscow 1571 3
24 1958-09-15 28.70% CSK MO Moscow 1614 2 @ Torpedo Moscow 1558 1
25 1958-08-21 29.69% Lokomotiv Moscow 1595 7 @ Zenit Leningrad 1532 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1958-04-10 47.43 CSK MO Moscow 4 1557 33.81% @ Moldova Chisinau 0 1464 38.09% 28.10%
2 1958-07-14 44.16 Zenit Leningrad 4 1497 14.61% @ Dynamo Moscow 1 1582 58.16% 27.22%
3 1958-08-21 43.86 Lokomotiv Moscow 7 1595 29.69% @ Zenit Leningrad 2 1532 42.20% 28.11%
4 1958-03-23 41.94 Dynamo Moscow 6 1591 40.71% @ Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1449 31.35% 27.94%
5 1958-09-14 40.90 @ Krylia Sovetov 4 1382 18.93% Lokomotiv Moscow 1 1634 54.13% 26.94%
6 1958-07-25 36.95 Dynamo Moscow 5 1538 16.40% @ Torpedo Moscow 2 1600 56.14% 27.46%
7 1958-04-16 35.78 Torpedo Moscow 6 1585 46.91% @ Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1396 25.48% 27.62%
8 1958-09-05 35.03 Torpedo Moscow 5 1536 53.33% @ Admiralteyets Leningrad 0 1291 19.63% 27.04%
9 1958-06-03 29.72 @ Zenit Leningrad 5 1451 56.76% Moldova Chisinau 0 1382 15.85% 27.39%
10 1958-08-15 29.39 @ Krylia Sovetov 3 1339 43.39% Dinamo Tbilisi 0 1393 28.50% 28.10%
11 1958-07-15 29.35 Spartak Moscow 2 1653 25.43% @ CSK MO Moscow 0 1624 46.52% 28.04%
12 1958-08-16 29.20 Dynamo Moscow 2 1592 25.71% @ Zenit Leningrad 0 1562 46.24% 28.05%
13 1958-07-15 28.37 @ Lokomotiv Moscow 4 1531 37.60% Torpedo Moscow 1 1627 34.31% 28.09%
14 1958-03-23 27.66 @ Dynamo Kyiv 5 1475 48.49% Admiralteyets Leningrad 1 1487 23.53% 27.98%
15 1958-10-15 27.61 Dynamo Kyiv 4 1500 15.21% @ Lokomotiv Moscow 2 1577 57.48% 27.31%
16 1958-07-25 26.78 CSK MO Moscow 3 1594 46.98% @ Admiralteyets Leningrad 0 1404 25.41% 27.61%
17 1958-04-20 26.04 @ Dynamo Kyiv 2 1501 31.79% Dynamo Moscow 0 1639 40.25% 27.95%
18 1958-09-21 25.52 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1352 32.81% Shakhtyor Stalino 0 1483 39.20% 27.99%
19 1958-08-08 25.32 Lokomotiv Moscow 3 1567 48.88% @ Admiralteyets Leningrad 0 1362 23.65% 27.47%
20 1958-05-13 25.20 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 3 1383 48.74% Krylia Sovetov 0 1393 23.29% 27.97%
21 1958-08-01 24.83 @ Moldova Chisinau 2 1364 34.18% Dynamo Kyiv 0 1484 37.79% 28.03%
22 1958-07-04 24.50 CSK MO Moscow 3 1600 27.38% @ Lokomotiv Moscow 1 1555 44.53% 28.09%
23 1958-04-10 24.49 Spartak Moscow 4 1587 44.00% @ Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1421 28.21% 27.79%
24 1958-05-02 23.74 Zenit Leningrad 4 1427 23.17% @ Admiralteyets Leningrad 2 1419 48.86% 27.97%
25 1958-09-06 23.31 @ Zenit Leningrad 4 1489 24.36% Spartak Moscow 2 1687 48.11% 27.53%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1958-05-02 77.4 @ Torpedo Moscow 3 1629 48.96% Spartak Moscow 3 1636 23.08% 27.96%
2 1958-07-20 76.0 @ CSK MO Moscow 3 1595 49.37% Torpedo Moscow 3 1599 22.69% 27.95%
3 1958-04-04 73.0 @ Dynamo Kyiv 3 1502 39.02% Torpedo Moscow 3 1589 32.87% 28.11%
4 1958-09-19 73.0 @ Lokomotiv Moscow 2 1594 41.51% Spartak Moscow 2 1662 30.38% 28.11%
5 1958-09-10 72.8 Lokomotiv Moscow 4 1622 28.07% @ Torpedo Moscow 3 1571 43.83% 28.10%
6 1958-08-10 72.0 @ CSK MO Moscow 2 1633 57.23% Zenit Leningrad 2 1559 15.43% 27.34%
7 1958-05-03 70.8 Dinamo Tbilisi 4 1379 8.37% @ Lokomotiv Moscow 3 1574 65.99% 25.63%
8 1958-09-14 69.5 Dynamo Moscow 2 1653 19.67% @ Spartak Moscow 1 1678 52.57% 27.77%
9 1958-08-20 69.4 @ CSK MO Moscow 2 1628 64.16% Dynamo Kyiv 2 1462 9.71% 26.13%
10 1958-08-07 67.7 @ Dynamo Moscow 2 1588 61.59% Dynamo Kyiv 2 1460 11.73% 26.68%
11 1958-09-04 66.8 @ CSK MO Moscow 2 1625 68.67% Moldova Chisinau 2 1382 6.59% 24.75%
12 1958-09-06 66.8 @ Zenit Leningrad 4 1489 24.36% Spartak Moscow 2 1687 48.11% 27.53%
13 1958-10-15 66.6 Dynamo Kyiv 4 1500 15.21% @ Lokomotiv Moscow 2 1577 57.48% 27.31%
14 1958-07-21 66.2 Lokomotiv Moscow 1 1559 12.07% @ Spartak Moscow 0 1682 61.17% 26.76%
15 1958-04-09 65.9 @ Torpedo Moscow 2 1589 65.57% Krylia Sovetov 2 1401 8.68% 25.76%
16 1958-10-02 65.3 @ Spartak Moscow 0 1662 53.53% CSK MO Moscow 0 1627 18.78% 27.70%
17 1958-07-09 65.1 @ Zenit Leningrad 1 1497 33.25% CSK MO Moscow 1 1625 38.74% 28.00%
18 1958-07-25 65.0 Dynamo Moscow 5 1538 16.40% @ Torpedo Moscow 2 1600 56.14% 27.46%
19 1958-08-05 64.9 @ Torpedo Moscow 1 1558 49.95% Zenit Leningrad 1 1557 22.14% 27.92%
20 1958-04-15 64.5 @ Dynamo Kyiv 1 1501 36.56% CSK MO Moscow 1 1605 35.37% 28.08%
21 1958-08-14 64.2 @ Torpedo Moscow 2 1564 65.18% Moldova Chisinau 2 1382 8.96% 25.86%
22 1958-08-16 64.2 @ CSK MO Moscow 0 1631 53.93% Lokomotiv Moscow 0 1592 18.40% 27.66%
23 1958-09-15 64.0 CSK MO Moscow 2 1614 28.70% @ Torpedo Moscow 1 1558 43.20% 28.10%
24 1958-08-18 63.8 Shakhtyor Stalino 2 1470 14.21% @ Torpedo Moscow 1 1560 58.63% 27.16%
25 1958-03-29 63.5 @ Dynamo Kyiv 1 1503 41.15% Spartak Moscow 1 1574 30.74% 28.11%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1958-08-30 32.0 @ Krylia Sovetov 3 1369 55.76% Admiralteyets Leningrad 0 1311 16.74% 27.50%
2 1958-09-09 33.2 Spartak Moscow 4 1664 66.80% @ Admiralteyets Leningrad 0 1256 8.87% 24.33%
3 1958-09-09 33.3 @ Dynamo Kyiv 4 1472 58.90% Dinamo Tbilisi 0 1378 13.98% 27.12%
4 1958-06-03 33.7 @ Zenit Leningrad 5 1451 56.76% Moldova Chisinau 0 1382 15.85% 27.39%
5 1958-08-01 33.9 @ Zenit Leningrad 4 1542 64.07% Admiralteyets Leningrad 0 1377 9.78% 26.15%
6 1958-08-03 34.2 @ Dynamo Moscow 3 1579 67.81% Krylia Sovetov 0 1352 7.13% 25.05%
7 1958-09-05 34.6 Torpedo Moscow 5 1536 53.33% @ Admiralteyets Leningrad 0 1291 19.63% 27.04%
8 1958-08-21 35.2 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1363 53.49% Admiralteyets Leningrad 0 1329 18.81% 27.70%
9 1958-05-13 35.6 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 3 1383 48.74% Krylia Sovetov 0 1393 23.29% 27.97%
10 1958-05-18 36.3 @ Admiralteyets Leningrad 2 1417 54.95% Krylia Sovetov 0 1368 17.47% 27.58%
11 1958-08-15 36.4 @ Krylia Sovetov 3 1339 43.39% Dinamo Tbilisi 0 1393 28.50% 28.10%
12 1958-10-19 38.5 @ Lokomotiv Moscow 8 1550 63.35% Moldova Chisinau 1 1396 10.34% 26.32%
13 1958-03-23 38.9 @ Lokomotiv Moscow 3 1544 59.22% Shakhtyor Stalino 0 1446 13.70% 27.08%
14 1958-08-08 39.8 Lokomotiv Moscow 3 1567 48.88% @ Admiralteyets Leningrad 0 1362 23.65% 27.47%
15 1958-10-19 40.2 @ Krylia Sovetov 2 1407 46.52% Shakhtyor Stalino 0 1436 25.44% 28.04%
16 1958-08-10 40.4 @ Shakhtyor Stalino 1 1463 57.28% Moldova Chisinau 0 1388 15.38% 27.33%
17 1958-07-31 40.7 @ CSK MO Moscow 1 1620 69.82% Krylia Sovetov 0 1355 5.88% 24.29%
18 1958-08-11 40.7 @ Spartak Moscow 4 1680 73.11% Krylia Sovetov 1 1343 4.14% 22.75%
19 1958-10-15 41.0 @ Zenit Leningrad 2 1500 55.05% Shakhtyor Stalino 0 1449 17.38% 27.57%
20 1958-08-04 41.4 @ CSK MO Moscow 5 1623 67.01% Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1410 7.67% 25.32%
21 1958-05-08 42.9 @ Admiralteyets Leningrad 3 1395 49.50% Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1398 22.56% 27.94%
22 1958-07-12 42.9 @ Moldova Chisinau 1 1353 42.22% Admiralteyets Leningrad 0 1415 29.67% 28.11%
23 1958-07-25 42.9 CSK MO Moscow 3 1594 46.98% @ Admiralteyets Leningrad 0 1404 25.41% 27.61%
24 1958-04-10 43.0 @ Shakhtyor Stalino 1 1434 49.99% Zenit Leningrad 0 1432 22.09% 27.92%
25 1958-04-27 43.0 @ Spartak Moscow 5 1625 65.41% Zenit Leningrad 1 1439 8.79% 25.80%