1978 Vysshaya Liga Season
240 games
Champion
Dinamo Tbilisi
42 points
Relegated
No relegation
Biggest Overachiever
Dinamo Tbilisi
6.62 points above expected
42 points · 35.38 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk
4.75 points below expected
21 points · 25.75 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 45 | 24 | +21 | 35.38 | +6.62 |
| 2 | Dynamo Kyiv* | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 38 | 42 | 20 | +22 | 37.95 | +0.05 |
| 3 | Shakhtyor Donetsk | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 37 | 42 | 31 | +11 | 33.79 | +3.21 |
| 4 | Dynamo Moscow* | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 36 | 37 | 23 | +14 | 34.15 | +1.85 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 33 | 42 | 33 | +9 | 28.45 | +4.55 |
| 6 | Chernomorets Odesa* | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 32 | 41 | 26 | +15 | 31.24 | +0.76 |
| 7 | CSKA Moscow | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 32 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 29.16 | +2.84 |
| 8 | Torpedo Moscow* | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 30 | 36 | 29 | +7 | 33.03 | -3.03 |
| 9 | Pakhtakor Tashkent | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 27.85 | -1.85 |
| 10 | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28.66 | -2.66 |
| 11 | Zenit Leningrad | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 29.90 | -3.90 |
| 12 | Kairat | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 25 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 27.34 | -2.34 |
| 13 | Neftchi Baku | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 24.42 | -1.42 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow* | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 26.36 | -4.36 |
| 15 | Ararat | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 22 | 20 | 42 | -22 | 26.57 | -4.57 |
| 16 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 25.75 | -4.75 |
* Point deductions: Chernomorets Odesa (-2 pts), Dynamo Kyiv (-1 pts), Dynamo Moscow (-2 pts), Lokomotiv Moscow (-1 pts), Torpedo Moscow (-3 pts)
Notes
- Teams were limited to 8 draws. Point deductions shown are for any draws that occurred beyond the 8th.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 42 | 35.38 | +6.62 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 33 | 28.45 | +4.55 |
| 3 | Shakhtyor Donetsk | 37 | 33.79 | +3.21 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 32 | 29.16 | +2.84 |
| 5 | Dynamo Moscow | 36 | 34.15 | +1.85 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 21 | 25.75 | -4.75 |
| 2 | Ararat | 22 | 26.57 | -4.57 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 22 | 26.36 | -4.36 |
| 4 | Zenit Leningrad | 26 | 29.90 | -3.90 |
| 5 | Torpedo Moscow | 30 | 33.03 | -3.03 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.
Most Unlikely Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chernomorets Odesa | 4 | Jun 11 – Jul 1 | 1 in 133 |
| 2 | Torpedo Moscow | 4 | Jul 9 – Jul 29 | 1 in 109 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 4 | Aug 22 – Sep 23 | 1 in 88 |
| 4 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 5 | Jun 27 – Jul 22 | 1 in 62 |
| 5 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3 | Oct 14 – Oct 28 | 1 in 53 |
Most Unlikely Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 7 | Apr 12 – May 23 | 1 in 848 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 4 | Aug 2 – Aug 26 | 1 in 133 |
| 3 | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | Apr 12 – Apr 22 | 1 in 18 |
| 4 | Dynamo Moscow | 2 | Aug 25 – Sep 1 | 1 in 13 |
| 5 | Neftchi Baku | 3 | Apr 12 – Apr 27 | 1 in 10 |
Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chernomorets Odesa | 11 | May 2 – Jul 9 | 1 in 341 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 7 | May 9 – Jun 18 | 1 in 37 |
| 3 | Dynamo Moscow | 8 | Sep 9 – Nov 11 | 1 in 26 |
| 4 | Neftchi Baku | 4 | Jun 3 – Jun 26 | 1 in 22 |
| 5 | Dynamo Kyiv | 11 | Apr 28 – Jul 1 | 1 in 22 |
Most Unlikely Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 10 | Jul 14 – Sep 30 | 1 in 80 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor Tashkent | 8 | May 28 – Jul 15 | 1 in 67 |
| 3 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 7 | Apr 12 – May 23 | 1 in 18 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 7 | Aug 2 – Sep 30 | 1 in 17 |
| 5 | Zenit Leningrad | 6 | May 9 – Jun 11 | 1 in 16 |
Position Race
Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.
Recent Form
Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.
| Team | Elo | Season Pts | Form | Elo Δ (5) | Points (5) | Expected (5) | Actual − Exp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi | 1880 | 42 | +3 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.0 | |
| Dynamo Kyiv | 1926 | 39 | +27 | 9 | 6.4 | +2.6 | |
| Dynamo Moscow | 1878 | 38 | +10 | 7 | 5.9 | +1.1 | |
| Shakhtyor Donetsk | 1832 | 37 | +5 | 5 | 5.6 | -0.6 | |
| Chernomorets Odesa | 1797 | 34 | -17 | 3 | 5.7 | -2.7 | |
| Spartak Moscow | 1780 | 33 | -1 | 6 | 5.7 | +0.3 | |
| Torpedo Moscow | 1820 | 33 | -14 | 3 | 5.0 | -2.0 | |
| CSKA Moscow | 1740 | 32 | +21 | 8 | 5.0 | +3.0 | |
| Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 1737 | 26 | -4 | 5 | 5.3 | -0.3 | |
| Zenit Leningrad | 1696 | 26 | -28 | 3 | 4.6 | -1.6 | |
| Pakhtakor Tashkent | 1735 | 26 | -11 | 2 | 4.0 | -2.0 | |
| Kairat | 1709 | 25 | -20 | 2 | 4.0 | -2.0 | |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 1693 | 23 | +24 | 7 | 4.4 | +2.6 | |
| Neftchi Baku | 1659 | 23 | -6 | 3 | 4.0 | -1.0 | |
| Ararat | 1682 | 22 | +4 | 5 | 4.3 | +0.7 | |
| Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 1686 | 21 | +8 | 6 | 4.2 | +1.8 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | ARA | CM | CO | DT | DD | DK | DM | KAI | LM | NB | PT | SD | SM | TM | ZL | ZV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ararat | — |
1-0-1
2.50
|
0-0-2
2.49
|
0-1-1
1.89
|
2-0-0
2.75
|
0-0-2
1.71
|
0-1-1
1.92
|
1-0-1
2.70
|
0-1-1
2.65
|
1-0-1
2.94
|
1-0-1
2.60
|
0-1-1
2.05
|
1-0-1
2.43
|
0-0-2
2.29
|
1-1-0
2.55
|
0-1-1
2.44
|
| CSKA Moscow |
1-0-1
2.99
|
— |
1-0-1
2.41
|
0-0-2
2.20
|
2-0-0
3.04
|
0-1-1
1.92
|
1-0-1
2.20
|
1-0-1
2.76
|
1-1-0
2.79
|
0-1-1
3.16
|
1-0-1
2.85
|
2-0-0
2.31
|
1-0-1
2.76
|
1-1-0
2.31
|
1-0-1
2.71
|
1-0-1
2.67
|
| Chernomorets Odesa |
2-0-0
3.03
|
1-0-1
3.08
|
— |
0-0-2
2.40
|
1-0-1
3.32
|
0-2-0
2.01
|
1-0-1
2.44
|
0-2-0
3.11
|
1-0-1
3.11
|
1-1-0
3.58
|
1-1-0
2.96
|
1-0-1
2.46
|
1-1-0
2.87
|
1-1-0
2.55
|
1-1-0
2.98
|
0-1-1
2.90
|
| Dinamo Tbilisi |
1-1-0
3.63
|
2-0-0
3.32
|
2-0-0
3.11
|
— |
2-0-0
3.49
|
1-0-1
2.52
|
0-2-0
2.82
|
2-0-0
3.47
|
1-1-0
3.66
|
1-1-0
3.85
|
1-0-1
3.46
|
0-2-0
2.87
|
1-0-1
3.28
|
0-1-1
2.98
|
1-0-1
3.52
|
2-0-0
3.42
|
| Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk |
0-0-2
2.74
|
0-0-2
2.46
|
1-0-1
2.18
|
0-0-2
2.03
|
— |
1-0-1
1.59
|
1-0-1
2.09
|
1-0-1
2.63
|
1-0-1
2.62
|
1-0-1
2.88
|
0-1-1
2.52
|
0-0-2
2.07
|
0-0-2
2.61
|
2-0-0
2.08
|
1-1-0
2.44
|
0-1-1
2.66
|
| Dynamo Kyiv |
2-0-0
3.83
|
1-1-0
3.60
|
0-2-0
3.49
|
1-0-1
2.96
|
1-0-1
3.96
|
— |
1-1-0
2.98
|
1-1-0
3.89
|
1-1-0
3.70
|
1-1-0
4.12
|
0-2-0
3.78
|
0-0-2
3.08
|
2-0-0
3.44
|
1-0-1
3.15
|
1-0-1
3.54
|
2-0-0
3.52
|
| Dynamo Moscow |
1-1-0
3.61
|
1-0-1
3.31
|
1-0-1
3.06
|
0-2-0
2.68
|
1-0-1
3.43
|
0-1-1
2.51
|
— |
1-0-1
3.54
|
2-0-0
3.59
|
1-1-0
3.91
|
1-1-0
3.40
|
1-1-0
2.81
|
1-1-0
3.34
|
0-1-1
2.96
|
1-1-0
3.32
|
2-0-0
3.24
|
| Kairat |
1-0-1
2.80
|
1-0-1
2.74
|
0-2-0
2.38
|
0-0-2
2.05
|
1-0-1
2.86
|
0-1-1
1.64
|
1-0-1
1.98
|
— |
1-1-0
2.60
|
0-1-1
3.00
|
1-0-1
2.64
|
1-0-1
2.15
|
0-0-2
2.55
|
0-1-1
2.17
|
1-0-1
2.53
|
1-1-0
2.60
|
| Lokomotiv Moscow |
1-1-0
2.85
|
0-1-1
2.69
|
1-0-1
2.41
|
0-1-1
1.85
|
1-0-1
2.88
|
0-1-1
1.84
|
0-0-2
1.92
|
0-1-1
2.89
|
— |
1-0-1
3.02
|
1-1-0
2.57
|
1-0-1
2.06
|
0-0-2
2.62
|
0-1-1
2.30
|
0-1-1
2.61
|
1-1-0
2.56
|
| Neftchi Baku |
1-0-1
2.57
|
1-1-0
2.35
|
0-1-1
1.94
|
0-1-1
1.68
|
1-0-1
2.62
|
0-1-1
1.43
|
0-1-1
1.62
|
1-1-0
2.50
|
1-0-1
2.48
|
— |
0-0-2
2.43
|
1-0-1
1.89
|
1-0-1
2.36
|
0-1-1
2.01
|
0-0-2
2.36
|
1-0-1
2.30
|
| Pakhtakor Tashkent |
1-0-1
2.89
|
1-0-1
2.65
|
0-1-1
2.55
|
1-0-1
2.05
|
1-1-0
2.97
|
0-2-0
1.75
|
0-1-1
2.10
|
1-0-1
2.86
|
0-1-1
2.92
|
2-0-0
3.06
|
— |
1-0-1
2.18
|
0-0-2
2.77
|
0-2-0
2.28
|
1-0-1
2.65
|
0-0-2
2.78
|
| Shakhtyor Donetsk |
1-1-0
3.45
|
0-0-2
3.20
|
1-0-1
3.02
|
0-2-0
2.63
|
2-0-0
3.44
|
2-0-0
2.43
|
0-1-1
2.69
|
1-0-1
3.36
|
1-0-1
3.44
|
1-0-1
3.64
|
1-0-1
3.32
|
— |
1-0-1
3.29
|
2-0-0
2.75
|
2-0-0
3.22
|
1-1-0
3.28
|
| Spartak Moscow |
1-0-1
3.05
|
1-0-1
2.73
|
0-1-1
2.62
|
1-0-1
2.23
|
2-0-0
2.88
|
0-0-2
2.07
|
0-1-1
2.17
|
2-0-0
2.95
|
2-0-0
2.86
|
1-0-1
3.15
|
2-0-0
2.74
|
1-0-1
2.21
|
— |
0-1-1
2.31
|
0-1-1
2.70
|
1-1-0
2.69
|
| Torpedo Moscow |
2-0-0
3.22
|
0-1-1
3.20
|
0-1-1
2.95
|
1-1-0
2.52
|
0-0-2
3.44
|
1-0-1
2.36
|
1-1-0
2.54
|
1-1-0
3.33
|
1-1-0
3.20
|
1-1-0
3.51
|
0-2-0
3.22
|
0-0-2
2.74
|
1-1-0
3.20
|
— |
1-1-0
3.24
|
1-0-1
3.21
|
| Zenit Leningrad |
0-1-1
2.96
|
1-0-1
2.79
|
0-1-1
2.52
|
1-0-1
1.98
|
0-1-1
3.06
|
1-0-1
1.98
|
0-1-1
2.19
|
1-0-1
2.97
|
1-1-0
2.89
|
2-0-0
3.14
|
1-0-1
2.85
|
0-0-2
2.28
|
1-1-0
2.81
|
0-1-1
2.26
|
— |
0-1-1
2.79
|
| Zorya Voroshilovgrad |
1-1-0
3.06
|
1-0-1
2.82
|
1-1-0
2.60
|
0-0-2
2.09
|
1-1-0
2.85
|
0-0-2
2.00
|
0-0-2
2.26
|
0-1-1
2.90
|
0-1-1
2.93
|
1-0-1
3.20
|
2-0-0
2.71
|
0-1-1
2.22
|
0-1-1
2.82
|
1-0-1
2.29
|
1-1-0
2.71
|
— |
Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential
Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).
Fit Metrics
| R² | Slope | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.68 | +7.1 |
| Allowed | 0.66 | -6.3 |
| Differential | 0.85 | +4.2 |
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.92% | 13.12% | 5.00% | 2.92% | 0.62% | — | 29.58% |
| 1 | 13.12% | 11.67% | 9.38% | 2.92% | 1.88% | 0.62% | 39.58% |
| 2 | 5.00% | 9.38% | 4.58% | 0.83% | 0.21% | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | 2.92% | 2.92% | 0.83% | 0.42% | — | — | 7.08% |
| 4 | 0.62% | 1.88% | 0.21% | — | — | 0.21% | 2.92% |
| 5+ | — | 0.62% | — | — | 0.21% | — | 0.83% |
| Total | 29.58% | 39.58% | 20.00% | 7.08% | 2.92% | 0.83% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.17 | 1.17 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.07 | 1.07 | 1.55 |
| CV | 0.92 | 0.92 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 240
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.67% | 10.00% | 16.67% | 10.00% | — | — | 43.33% |
| 1 | 23.33% | 10.00% | 6.67% | 3.33% | 6.67% | — | 50.00% |
| 2 | — | — | 3.33% | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| 3 | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 33.33% | 20.00% | 26.67% | 13.33% | 6.67% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.67 | 1.40 | -0.73 |
| SD | 0.71 | 1.28 | 1.60 |
| CV | 1.07 | 0.91 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.67% | 13.33% | — | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | 26.67% |
| 1 | 6.67% | 6.67% | 13.33% | — | 3.33% | — | 30.00% |
| 2 | 3.33% | 33.33% | — | — | 3.33% | — | 40.00% |
| 3 | — | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 16.67% | 56.67% | 13.33% | 3.33% | 10.00% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.20 | 1.33 | -0.13 |
| SD | 0.89 | 1.12 | 1.50 |
| CV | 0.74 | 0.84 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.33% | 13.33% | — | — | — | — | 26.67% |
| 1 | 6.67% | 16.67% | 10.00% | 3.33% | — | — | 36.67% |
| 2 | 6.67% | 6.67% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 16.67% |
| 3 | 6.67% | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 13.33% |
| 4 | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 36.67% | 43.33% | 16.67% | 3.33% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.37 | 0.87 | +0.50 |
| SD | 1.22 | 0.82 | 1.48 |
| CV | 0.89 | 0.95 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.67% | 10.00% | — | 3.33% | — | — | 20.00% |
| 1 | 20.00% | 13.33% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 36.67% |
| 2 | 6.67% | 13.33% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 23.33% |
| 3 | 6.67% | 3.33% | — | 3.33% | — | — | 13.33% |
| 4 | — | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 40.00% | 46.67% | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.50 | 0.80 | +0.70 |
| SD | 1.17 | 0.85 | 1.39 |
| CV | 0.78 | 1.06 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 33.33% | 10.00% | — | — | — | 43.33% |
| 1 | 13.33% | 3.33% | 10.00% | — | 3.33% | 3.33% | 33.33% |
| 2 | 6.67% | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.00% | 46.67% | 26.67% | — | 3.33% | 3.33% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.83 | 1.30 | -0.47 |
| SD | 0.87 | 1.12 | 1.46 |
| CV | 1.05 | 0.86 | — |
| Max | 3 | 5 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.67% | 10.00% | 6.67% | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 1 | 16.67% | 10.00% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 30.00% |
| 2 | 3.33% | 6.67% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 13.33% |
| 3 | 10.00% | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | 13.33% |
| 4 | — | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| 5+ | — | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| Total | 46.67% | 40.00% | 13.33% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.40 | 0.67 | +0.73 |
| SD | 1.43 | 0.71 | 1.57 |
| CV | 1.02 | 1.07 | — |
| Max | 5 | 2 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.33% | 13.33% | — | — | — | — | 26.67% |
| 1 | 20.00% | 20.00% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 43.33% |
| 2 | 3.33% | 10.00% | — | 3.33% | — | — | 16.67% |
| 3 | — | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| 4 | — | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 36.67% | 53.33% | 6.67% | 3.33% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.23 | 0.77 | +0.47 |
| SD | 1.14 | 0.73 | 1.07 |
| CV | 0.92 | 0.95 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.67% | 20.00% | 10.00% | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | 43.33% |
| 1 | 10.00% | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | 3.33% | — | 26.67% |
| 2 | 6.67% | 3.33% | 10.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | 3.33% | 6.67% | — | — | — | 10.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.33% | 33.33% | 33.33% | 3.33% | 6.67% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.97 | 1.37 | -0.40 |
| SD | 1.03 | 1.10 | 1.52 |
| CV | 1.07 | 0.80 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.00% | 13.33% | 10.00% | 3.33% | — | — | 36.67% |
| 1 | 6.67% | 16.67% | 10.00% | 10.00% | — | — | 43.33% |
| 2 | 3.33% | 10.00% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 16.67% |
| 3 | — | — | 3.33% | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.00% | 40.00% | 26.67% | 13.33% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.87 | 1.33 | -0.47 |
| SD | 0.82 | 0.96 | 1.22 |
| CV | 0.95 | 0.72 | — |
| Max | 3 | 3 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.00% | 30.00% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 43.33% |
| 1 | 6.67% | 10.00% | 3.33% | 6.67% | — | 6.67% | 33.33% |
| 2 | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | 13.33% |
| 3 | — | 3.33% | — | 3.33% | — | — | 6.67% |
| 4 | — | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.33% | 53.33% | 6.67% | 10.00% | — | 6.67% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.93 | 1.30 | -0.37 |
| SD | 1.08 | 1.32 | 1.61 |
| CV | 1.16 | 1.01 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.33% | 10.00% | — | 3.33% | — | — | 16.67% |
| 1 | 10.00% | 20.00% | 10.00% | 6.67% | 3.33% | — | 50.00% |
| 2 | 6.67% | 3.33% | 3.33% | 6.67% | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33% | 3.33% |
| 5+ | — | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| Total | 26.67% | 36.67% | 13.33% | 16.67% | 3.33% | 3.33% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.40 | 1.43 | -0.03 |
| SD | 1.16 | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| CV | 0.83 | 0.93 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 10.00% | 6.67% | — | — | — | 16.67% |
| 1 | 10.00% | 13.33% | 10.00% | 3.33% | — | — | 36.67% |
| 2 | 10.00% | 23.33% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 36.67% |
| 3 | 3.33% | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | 10.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.33% | 53.33% | 20.00% | 3.33% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.40 | 1.03 | +0.37 |
| SD | 0.89 | 0.76 | 1.35 |
| CV | 0.64 | 0.74 | — |
| Max | 3 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.67% | 10.00% | 6.67% | 3.33% | — | — | 26.67% |
| 1 | 13.33% | 6.67% | 10.00% | 6.67% | — | — | 36.67% |
| 2 | 6.67% | 10.00% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| 4 | — | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| 5+ | — | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| Total | 30.00% | 40.00% | 20.00% | 10.00% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.40 | 1.10 | +0.30 |
| SD | 1.33 | 0.96 | 1.76 |
| CV | 0.95 | 0.87 | — |
| Max | 5 | 3 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.33% | — | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | 20.00% |
| 1 | 20.00% | 10.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 50.00% |
| 2 | 6.67% | 3.33% | 13.33% | — | — | — | 23.33% |
| 3 | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| 4 | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 46.67% | 13.33% | 36.67% | 3.33% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.20 | 0.97 | +0.23 |
| SD | 0.92 | 1.00 | 1.41 |
| CV | 0.77 | 1.03 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.00% | 10.00% | — | 13.33% | 3.33% | — | 36.67% |
| 1 | 13.33% | 13.33% | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | — | 40.00% |
| 2 | — | 6.67% | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | 13.33% |
| 3 | — | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | 3.33% | — | 3.33% |
| Total | 23.33% | 36.67% | 10.00% | 23.33% | 6.67% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.03 | 1.53 | -0.50 |
| SD | 1.16 | 1.28 | 1.59 |
| CV | 1.12 | 0.83 | — |
| Max | 5 | 4 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.33% | 3.33% | 6.67% | — | — | — | 13.33% |
| 1 | 13.33% | 10.00% | 23.33% | — | 10.00% | — | 56.67% |
| 2 | 3.33% | 6.67% | 13.33% | — | — | — | 23.33% |
| 3 | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| 4 | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.67% | 20.00% | 43.33% | — | 10.00% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.27 | 1.47 | -0.20 |
| SD | 0.87 | 1.20 | 1.63 |
| CV | 0.69 | 0.82 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 30
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Kyiv | 1926 | 38 | 37.95 | +0.05 | 68.0% | 29 | 31 | 36 | 38 | 41 | 44 | 49 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi | 1880 | 42 | 35.38 | +6.62 | 95.0% | 24 | 28 | 32 | 35 | 39 | 42 | 46 |
| Dynamo Moscow | 1878 | 36 | 34.15 | +1.85 | 86.0% | 24 | 27 | 32 | 34 | 37 | 41 | 44 |
| Shakhtyor Donetsk | 1832 | 37 | 33.79 | +3.21 | 83.0% | 24 | 27 | 31 | 34 | 36 | 41 | 45 |
| Torpedo Moscow | 1820 | 30 | 33.03 | -3.03 | 58.0% | 19 | 28 | 31 | 33 | 35 | 38 | 41 |
| Chernomorets Odesa | 1797 | 32 | 31.24 | +0.76 | 75.0% | 19 | 24 | 28 | 31 | 34 | 38 | 42 |
| Spartak Moscow | 1780 | 33 | 28.45 | +4.55 | 89.0% | 17 | 21 | 25 | 29 | 31 | 35 | 43 |
| CSKA Moscow | 1740 | 32 | 29.16 | +2.84 | 81.0% | 19 | 23 | 26 | 29 | 32 | 35 | 38 |
| Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 1737 | 26 | 28.66 | -2.66 | 27.0% | 19 | 21 | 26 | 28 | 31 | 35 | 46 |
| Pakhtakor Tashkent | 1735 | 26 | 27.85 | -1.85 | 36.0% | 18 | 20 | 25 | 28 | 30 | 37 | 41 |
| Kairat | 1709 | 25 | 27.34 | -2.34 | 27.0% | 17 | 19 | 25 | 27 | 30 | 33 | 38 |
| Zenit Leningrad | 1696 | 26 | 29.90 | -3.90 | 17.0% | 18 | 25 | 27 | 30 | 32 | 36 | 42 |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 1693 | 22 | 26.36 | -4.36 | 23.0% | 18 | 20 | 24 | 26 | 29 | 33 | 36 |
| Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 1686 | 21 | 25.75 | -4.75 | 12.0% | 14 | 20 | 23 | 25 | 29 | 33 | 37 |
| Ararat | 1682 | 22 | 26.57 | -4.57 | 11.0% | 14 | 19 | 24 | 26 | 29 | 34 | 36 |
| Neftchi Baku | 1659 | 23 | 24.42 | -1.42 | 38.0% | 17 | 19 | 22 | 24 | 27 | 30 | 34 |
Point Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.
Edges & Scoring
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Home Edge
- Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.No Edge: under 16.5% * Slight Edge: 16.5% to 25% * Clear Edge: 25% to 33% * Strong Edge: 33% and up.
- Elo Value
- Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
- Scoring Tilt
- Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Title Race
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Title-Race Openness
- Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
- Champion Preseason Odds
- Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
- Title Margin
- Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.17 * Runaway: 0.17 and up.
Simulation-Based Surprises
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Luck Spread
- Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.As Expected: under 3.29 * Some Luck: 3.29 to 4.94 * Lucky: 4.94 to 6.59 * Wild Swing: 6.59 and up.
- Average Finish Error
- Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.Pinpoint: under 2.32 * Close: 2.32 to 3.48 * Off: 3.48 to 4.64 * Way Off: 4.64 and up.
- Biggest Overachiever
- The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
- Biggest Underachiever
- The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
- Season Outliers
- Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Parity
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Gini Index
- How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.14 * Top-Heavy: 0.14 to 0.17 * Lopsided: 0.17 and up.
- Noll-Scully
- Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
- Interquartile Edge
- Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 67.5% * Clear Edge: 67.5% to 71% * Wide Edge: 71% and up.
- Best vs. Worst
- Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.Even: under 85.5% * Clear Edge: 85.5% to 89% * Strong Edge: 89% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
- Close Games
- Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.Few: under 57.5% * Some Drama: 57.5% to 65.5% * Frequent: 65.5% to 69.5% * Very Frequent: 69.5% and up.
- Blowouts
- Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.Rare: under 11.5% * Occasional: 11.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 20% * Very Frequent: 20% and up.
Predictability
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Brier Score
- How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
- Matchup Imbalance
- How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.Very Even: under 0.42 * Slight Separation: 0.42 to 0.48 * Notable Separation: 0.48 to 0.54 * Lopsided: 0.54 and up.
- Strangeness
- How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
- Repeatability
- How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.Weak Carryover: under 0.48 * Some Carryover: 0.48 to 0.58 * Strong Carryover: 0.58 to 0.65 * Near-Lock: 0.65 and up.
- Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 23.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 23.5% and up.
- Clear Favorite Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Calibration
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Probability calibration
- An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
- Calibration slope
- Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
- Calibration error (ECE)
- The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.Well Within Noise: under 0.09 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.09 to 0.13 * Above Noise: 0.13 to 0.18 * Well Above Noise: 0.18 and up.
Final Table Odds
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi | 17.00% | 27.00% | 15.00% | 11.00% | 5.00% | 6.00% | 3.00% | 7.00% | 4.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | — | — | — | 1.00% |
| Dynamo Kyiv | 41.00% | 22.00% | 16.00% | 9.00% | 3.00% | 2.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Shakhtyor Donetsk | 11.00% | 11.00% | 9.00% | 21.00% | 9.00% | 9.00% | 7.00% | 8.00% | 3.00% | 5.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | — | — | 1.00% |
| Dynamo Moscow | 9.00% | 16.00% | 16.00% | 15.00% | 11.00% | 13.00% | 4.00% | 2.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | — | 1.00% | — |
| Spartak Moscow | 1.00% | 2.00% | 5.00% | 3.00% | 7.00% | 7.00% | 8.00% | 4.00% | 13.00% | 8.00% | 5.00% | 8.00% | 7.00% | 7.00% | 10.00% | 5.00% |
| Chernomorets Odesa | 6.00% | 7.00% | 10.00% | 7.00% | 8.00% | 12.00% | 7.00% | 8.00% | 6.00% | 5.00% | 8.00% | 9.00% | 3.00% | — | 3.00% | 1.00% |
| CSKA Moscow | — | 3.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | 6.00% | 11.00% | 12.00% | 11.00% | 6.00% | 9.00% | 11.00% | 6.00% | 5.00% | 8.00% | 5.00% | 3.00% |
| Torpedo Moscow | 6.00% | 8.00% | 11.00% | 14.00% | 21.00% | 7.00% | 10.00% | 9.00% | 5.00% | 3.00% | 3.00% | — | 1.00% | — | 1.00% | 1.00% |
| Pakhtakor Tashkent | 3.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | 5.00% | 6.00% | 5.00% | 8.00% | 12.00% | 9.00% | 8.00% | 7.00% | 11.00% | 4.00% | 12.00% |
| Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 3.00% | — | 1.00% | 4.00% | 8.00% | 5.00% | 10.00% | 10.00% | 10.00% | 12.00% | 7.00% | 9.00% | 4.00% | 8.00% | 5.00% | 4.00% |
| Zenit Leningrad | 1.00% | 1.00% | 7.00% | 4.00% | 7.00% | 9.00% | 8.00% | 14.00% | 10.00% | 7.00% | 8.00% | 9.00% | 3.00% | 7.00% | 4.00% | 1.00% |
| Kairat | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | 11.00% | 7.00% | 7.00% | 6.00% | 10.00% | 13.00% | 15.00% | 4.00% | 6.00% | 10.00% |
| Neftchi Baku | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | — | 4.00% | 3.00% | 3.00% | 3.00% | 6.00% | 9.00% | 18.00% | 18.00% | 15.00% | 20.00% |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | — | — | 2.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | 5.00% | 9.00% | 11.00% | 10.00% | 9.00% | 10.00% | 12.00% | 14.00% | 12.00% |
| Ararat | — | 1.00% | 1.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | 2.00% | 5.00% | 12.00% | 12.00% | 13.00% | 11.00% | 10.00% | 15.00% |
| Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 1.00% | — | 1.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | 6.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 5.00% | 3.00% | 11.00% | 14.00% | 22.00% | 14.00% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Same level | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Kyiv | 100% | — |
| Dynamo Moscow | 100% | — |
| Chernomorets Odesa | 99.00% | 1.00% |
| Dinamo Tbilisi | 99.00% | 1.00% |
| Shakhtyor Donetsk | 99.00% | 1.00% |
| Torpedo Moscow | 99.00% | 1.00% |
| Zenit Leningrad | 99.00% | 1.00% |
| CSKA Moscow | 97.00% | 3.00% |
| Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 96.00% | 4.00% |
| Spartak Moscow | 95.00% | 5.00% |
| Kairat | 90.00% | 10.00% |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 88.00% | 12.00% |
| Pakhtakor Tashkent | 88.00% | 12.00% |
| Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 86.00% | 14.00% |
| Ararat | 85.00% | 15.00% |
| Neftchi Baku | 80.00% | 20.00% |
Overall Game Log
Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Excitement | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Proj. Margin | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1978-04-07 | Dynamo Moscow | W 1-0 | 57.8 | 1738 | 1845 | 47.22% | 26.06% | 26.72% | +0.08 | +5.3 | 2 |
| 1978-04-07 | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | L 0-1 | 57.8 | 1845 | 1738 | 26.72% | 26.06% | 47.22% | -0.08 | -5.3 | 0 |
| 1978-04-08 | Zenit Leningrad | D 0-0 | 68.4 | 1745 | 1749 | 58.22% | 25.32% | 16.47% | +0.57 | -1.9 | 1 |
| 1978-04-08 | @ Ararat | D 0-0 | 68.4 | 1749 | 1745 | 16.47% | 25.32% | 58.22% | -0.57 | +1.8 | 1 |
| 1978-04-08 | Dynamo Kyiv | D 0-0 | 68.5 | 1744 | 1906 | 40.04% | 25.99% | 33.97% | -0.19 | -0.2 | 1 |
| 1978-04-08 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | D 0-0 | 68.5 | 1906 | 1744 | 33.97% | 25.99% | 40.04% | +0.19 | +0.2 | 1 |
| 1978-04-08 | Spartak Moscow | W 2-0 | 47.7 | 1836 | 1730 | 66.91% | 23.41% | 9.68% | +1.10 | +4.1 | 2 |
| 1978-04-08 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | L 0-2 | 47.7 | 1730 | 1836 | 9.68% | 23.41% | 66.91% | -1.10 | -4.1 | 0 |
| 1978-04-08 | Lokomotiv Moscow | D 2-2 | 79.8 | 1719 | 1748 | 55.78% | 25.60% | 18.62% | +0.45 | -1.1 | 1 |
| 1978-04-08 | @ Kairat | D 2-2 | 79.8 | 1748 | 1719 | 18.62% | 25.60% | 55.78% | -0.45 | +1.1 | 1 |
| 1978-04-08 | Torpedo Moscow | D 0-0 | 68.1 | 1672 | 1810 | 43.20% | 26.06% | 30.74% | -0.08 | -0.5 | 1 |
| 1978-04-08 | @ Neftchi Baku | D 0-0 | 68.1 | 1810 | 1672 | 30.74% | 26.06% | 43.20% | +0.08 | +0.5 | 1 |
| 1978-04-08 | CSKA Moscow | W 1-0 | 54.2 | 1726 | 1735 | 57.73% | 25.38% | 16.89% | +0.55 | +3.6 | 2 |
| 1978-04-08 | @ Pakhtakor Tashkent | L 0-1 | 54.2 | 1735 | 1726 | 16.89% | 25.38% | 57.73% | -0.55 | -3.6 | 0 |
| 1978-04-08 | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | W 2-0 | 48.3 | 1810 | 1737 | 64.58% | 24.08% | 11.34% | +0.94 | +4.8 | 2 |
| 1978-04-08 | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | L 0-2 | 48.3 | 1737 | 1810 | 11.34% | 24.08% | 64.58% | -0.94 | -4.8 | 0 |
| 1978-04-12 | Torpedo Moscow | L 0-1 | 65.2 | 1743 | 1810 | 51.79% | 25.91% | 22.30% | +0.27 | -9.0 | 1 |
| 1978-04-12 | @ Ararat | W 1-0 | 65.2 | 1810 | 1743 | 22.30% | 25.91% | 51.79% | -0.27 | +9.0 | 3 |
| 1978-04-12 | Spartak Moscow | W 2-1 | 60.0 | 1744 | 1726 | 60.17% | 25.02% | 14.81% | +0.68 | +3.0 | 3 |
| 1978-04-12 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | L 1-2 | 60.0 | 1726 | 1744 | 14.81% | 25.02% | 60.17% | -0.68 | -3.1 | 0 |
| 1978-04-12 | Dynamo Kyiv | W 1-0 | 56.5 | 1840 | 1906 | 51.87% | 25.90% | 22.22% | +0.27 | +4.6 | 4 |
| 1978-04-12 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | L 0-1 | 56.5 | 1906 | 1840 | 22.22% | 25.90% | 51.87% | -0.27 | -4.6 | 1 |
| 1978-04-12 | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | L 0-2 | 62.9 | 1744 | 1732 | 59.57% | 25.12% | 15.31% | +0.64 | -19.2 | 2 |
| 1978-04-12 | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | W 2-0 | 62.9 | 1732 | 1744 | 15.31% | 25.12% | 59.57% | -0.64 | +19.2 | 2 |
| 1978-04-12 | CSKA Moscow | W 1-0 | 54.3 | 1718 | 1732 | 57.25% | 25.44% | 17.31% | +0.52 | +3.7 | 3 |
| 1978-04-12 | @ Kairat | L 0-1 | 54.3 | 1732 | 1718 | 17.31% | 25.44% | 57.25% | -0.52 | -3.7 | 0 |
| 1978-04-12 | Zenit Leningrad | L 0-1 | 64.3 | 1671 | 1751 | 50.41% | 25.97% | 23.62% | +0.21 | -8.7 | 1 |
| 1978-04-12 | @ Neftchi Baku | W 1-0 | 64.3 | 1751 | 1671 | 23.62% | 25.97% | 50.41% | -0.21 | +8.7 | 3 |
| 1978-04-12 | Lokomotiv Moscow | D 1-1 | 73.7 | 1730 | 1749 | 56.78% | 25.50% | 17.72% | +0.50 | -1.5 | 3 |
| 1978-04-12 | @ Pakhtakor Tashkent | D 1-1 | 73.7 | 1749 | 1730 | 17.72% | 25.50% | 56.78% | -0.50 | +1.5 | 2 |
| 1978-04-20 | Neftchi Baku | W 2-1 | 58.0 | 1751 | 1663 | 65.68% | 23.78% | 10.54% | +1.02 | +2.2 | 4 |
| 1978-04-20 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | L 1-2 | 58.0 | 1663 | 1751 | 10.54% | 23.78% | 65.68% | -1.02 | -2.2 | 1 |
| 1978-04-21 | Kairat | W 4-0 | 46.5 | 1819 | 1721 | 66.39% | 23.57% | 10.04% | +1.06 | +8.0 | 5 |
| 1978-04-21 | @ Torpedo Moscow | L 0-4 | 46.5 | 1721 | 1819 | 10.04% | 23.57% | 66.39% | -1.06 | -8.0 | 3 |
| 1978-04-22 | Shakhtyor Donetsk | L 1-2 | 75.3 | 1902 | 1815 | 65.60% | 23.81% | 10.60% | +1.01 | -10.5 | 1 |
| 1978-04-22 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | W 2-1 | 75.3 | 1815 | 1902 | 10.60% | 23.81% | 65.60% | -1.01 | +10.5 | 4 |
| 1978-04-22 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | W 1-0 | 54.0 | 1723 | 1724 | 58.45% | 25.29% | 16.27% | +0.58 | +3.5 | 2 |
| 1978-04-22 | @ Spartak Moscow | L 0-1 | 54.0 | 1724 | 1723 | 16.27% | 25.29% | 58.45% | -0.58 | -3.5 | 2 |
| 1978-04-22 | Pakhtakor Tashkent | W 5-4 | 67.3 | 1760 | 1729 | 61.28% | 24.82% | 13.90% | +0.74 | +2.6 | 5 |
| 1978-04-22 | @ Zenit Leningrad | L 4-5 | 67.3 | 1729 | 1760 | 13.90% | 24.82% | 61.28% | -0.74 | -2.6 | 3 |
| 1978-04-22 | Chernomorets Odesa | W 2-1 | 60.4 | 1752 | 1747 | 58.98% | 25.21% | 15.81% | +0.61 | +3.2 | 4 |
| 1978-04-22 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | L 1-2 | 60.4 | 1747 | 1752 | 15.81% | 25.21% | 58.98% | -0.61 | -3.2 | 3 |
| 1978-04-23 | Ararat | W 2-1 | 60.6 | 1728 | 1734 | 58.00% | 25.35% | 16.66% | +0.56 | +3.4 | 2 |
| 1978-04-23 | @ CSKA Moscow | L 1-2 | 60.6 | 1734 | 1728 | 16.66% | 25.35% | 58.00% | -0.56 | -3.4 | 1 |
| 1978-04-24 | Dinamo Tbilisi | D 1-1 | 74.2 | 1839 | 1844 | 58.10% | 25.33% | 16.56% | +0.57 | -1.6 | 1 |
| 1978-04-24 | @ Dynamo Moscow | D 1-1 | 74.2 | 1844 | 1839 | 16.56% | 25.33% | 58.10% | -0.57 | +1.6 | 5 |
| 1978-04-26 | Zenit Leningrad | W 3-0 | 46.9 | 1827 | 1762 | 64.00% | 24.23% | 11.77% | +0.91 | +7.2 | 7 |
| 1978-04-26 | @ Torpedo Moscow | L 0-3 | 46.9 | 1762 | 1827 | 11.77% | 24.23% | 64.00% | -0.91 | -7.2 | 5 |
| 1978-04-27 | Neftchi Baku | W 1-0 | 51.8 | 1731 | 1660 | 64.40% | 24.13% | 11.47% | +0.93 | +2.6 | 3 |
| 1978-04-27 | @ Ararat | L 0-1 | 51.8 | 1660 | 1731 | 11.47% | 24.13% | 64.40% | -0.93 | -2.6 | 1 |
| 1978-04-27 | Lokomotiv Moscow | W 2-1 | 61.1 | 1731 | 1753 | 56.55% | 25.52% | 17.92% | +0.49 | +3.6 | 4 |
| 1978-04-27 | @ CSKA Moscow | L 1-2 | 61.1 | 1753 | 1731 | 17.92% | 25.52% | 56.55% | -0.49 | -3.6 | 4 |
| 1978-04-27 | Pakhtakor Tashkent | W 3-2 | 65.6 | 1713 | 1726 | 57.40% | 25.42% | 17.17% | +0.53 | +3.3 | 5 |
| 1978-04-27 | @ Kairat | L 2-3 | 65.6 | 1726 | 1713 | 17.17% | 25.42% | 57.40% | -0.53 | -3.3 | 3 |
| 1978-04-27 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | W 2-1 | 58.2 | 1825 | 1721 | 66.84% | 23.43% | 9.73% | +1.10 | +2.0 | 6 |
| 1978-04-27 | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | L 1-2 | 58.2 | 1721 | 1825 | 9.73% | 23.43% | 66.84% | -1.10 | -2.0 | 2 |
| 1978-04-28 | Spartak Moscow | W 3-0 | 44.9 | 1891 | 1727 | 70.69% | 22.02% | 7.29% | +1.39 | +4.4 | 3 |
| 1978-04-28 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | L 0-3 | 44.9 | 1727 | 1891 | 7.29% | 22.02% | 70.69% | -1.39 | -4.4 | 2 |
| 1978-04-28 | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | W 2-1 | 58.8 | 1838 | 1755 | 65.30% | 23.89% | 10.81% | +0.99 | +2.3 | 3 |
| 1978-04-28 | @ Dynamo Moscow | L 1-2 | 58.8 | 1755 | 1838 | 10.81% | 23.89% | 65.30% | -0.99 | -2.3 | 4 |
| 1978-04-28 | Chernomorets Odesa | W 2-1 | 58.4 | 1846 | 1744 | 66.67% | 23.48% | 9.84% | +1.08 | +2.1 | 7 |
| 1978-04-28 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | L 1-2 | 58.4 | 1744 | 1846 | 9.84% | 23.48% | 66.67% | -1.08 | -2.1 | 3 |
| 1978-05-02 | Shakhtyor Donetsk | W 1-0 | 57.0 | 1742 | 1827 | 49.70% | 26.00% | 24.29% | +0.18 | +4.9 | 5 |
| 1978-05-02 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | L 0-1 | 57.0 | 1827 | 1742 | 24.29% | 26.00% | 49.70% | -0.18 | -4.9 | 6 |
| 1978-05-02 | Dinamo Tbilisi | L 0-1 | 63.0 | 1719 | 1848 | 44.33% | 26.07% | 29.59% | -0.04 | -7.8 | 2 |
| 1978-05-02 | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | W 1-0 | 63.0 | 1848 | 1719 | 29.59% | 26.07% | 44.33% | +0.04 | +7.8 | 9 |
| 1978-05-02 | Torpedo Moscow | D 0-0 | 68.4 | 1749 | 1835 | 49.73% | 26.00% | 24.27% | +0.18 | -1.1 | 5 |
| 1978-05-02 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | D 0-0 | 68.4 | 1835 | 1749 | 24.27% | 26.00% | 49.73% | -0.18 | +1.1 | 8 |
| 1978-05-02 | Kairat | W 1-0 | 55.2 | 1658 | 1717 | 52.70% | 25.86% | 21.44% | +0.31 | +4.5 | 3 |
| 1978-05-02 | @ Neftchi Baku | L 0-1 | 55.2 | 1717 | 1658 | 21.44% | 25.86% | 52.70% | -0.31 | -4.5 | 5 |
| 1978-05-02 | Ararat | W 2-0 | 50.1 | 1723 | 1733 | 57.56% | 25.40% | 17.04% | +0.54 | +6.9 | 5 |
| 1978-05-02 | @ Pakhtakor Tashkent | L 0-2 | 50.1 | 1733 | 1723 | 17.04% | 25.40% | 57.56% | -0.54 | -6.9 | 3 |
| 1978-05-02 | CSKA Moscow | W 2-1 | 60.0 | 1755 | 1735 | 60.34% | 24.99% | 14.67% | +0.69 | +3.0 | 7 |
| 1978-05-02 | @ Zenit Leningrad | L 1-2 | 60.0 | 1735 | 1755 | 14.67% | 24.99% | 60.34% | -0.69 | -3.0 | 4 |
| 1978-05-02 | Dynamo Kyiv | L 1-2 | 69.0 | 1753 | 1896 | 42.56% | 26.05% | 31.39% | -0.10 | -7.1 | 4 |
| 1978-05-02 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | W 2-1 | 69.0 | 1896 | 1753 | 31.39% | 26.05% | 42.56% | +0.10 | +7.1 | 5 |
| 1978-05-03 | Dynamo Moscow | L 1-2 | 69.9 | 1722 | 1840 | 45.80% | 26.07% | 28.13% | +0.02 | -7.6 | 2 |
| 1978-05-03 | @ Spartak Moscow | W 2-1 | 69.9 | 1840 | 1722 | 28.13% | 26.07% | 45.80% | -0.02 | +7.6 | 5 |
| 1978-05-07 | Shakhtyor Donetsk | W 1-0 | 59.6 | 1662 | 1823 | 40.23% | 25.99% | 33.78% | -0.18 | +6.3 | 5 |
| 1978-05-07 | @ Neftchi Baku | L 0-1 | 59.6 | 1823 | 1662 | 33.78% | 25.99% | 40.23% | +0.18 | -6.3 | 6 |
| 1978-05-07 | Spartak Moscow | D 2-2 | 80.9 | 1836 | 1715 | 67.95% | 23.07% | 8.98% | +1.18 | -1.8 | 9 |
| 1978-05-07 | @ Torpedo Moscow | D 2-2 | 80.9 | 1715 | 1836 | 8.98% | 23.07% | 67.95% | -1.18 | +1.8 | 3 |
| 1978-05-08 | Lokomotiv Moscow | W 3-1 | 54.1 | 1848 | 1748 | 66.49% | 23.54% | 9.97% | +1.07 | +3.6 | 7 |
| 1978-05-08 | @ Dynamo Moscow | L 1-3 | 54.1 | 1748 | 1848 | 9.97% | 23.54% | 66.49% | -1.07 | -3.6 | 5 |
| 1978-05-09 | Kairat | D 1-1 | 73.9 | 1747 | 1712 | 61.58% | 24.76% | 13.66% | +0.76 | -1.9 | 6 |
| 1978-05-09 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | D 1-1 | 73.9 | 1712 | 1747 | 13.66% | 24.76% | 61.58% | -0.76 | +2.0 | 6 |
| 1978-05-09 | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | W 2-1 | 60.9 | 1732 | 1746 | 57.31% | 25.43% | 17.26% | +0.53 | +3.5 | 6 |
| 1978-05-09 | @ CSKA Moscow | L 1-2 | 60.9 | 1746 | 1732 | 17.26% | 25.43% | 57.31% | -0.53 | -3.5 | 4 |
| 1978-05-09 | Zenit Leningrad | W 1-0 | 51.2 | 1903 | 1758 | 69.47% | 22.51% | 8.02% | +1.29 | +1.8 | 7 |
| 1978-05-09 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | L 0-1 | 51.2 | 1758 | 1903 | 8.02% | 22.51% | 69.47% | -1.29 | -1.8 | 7 |
| 1978-05-09 | Ararat | L 0-1 | 66.2 | 1711 | 1727 | 57.12% | 25.46% | 17.43% | +0.52 | -9.8 | 2 |
| 1978-05-09 | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | W 1-0 | 66.2 | 1727 | 1711 | 17.43% | 25.46% | 57.12% | -0.52 | +9.8 | 5 |
| 1978-05-09 | Dinamo Tbilisi | W 3-0 | 52.7 | 1729 | 1856 | 44.70% | 26.07% | 29.23% | -0.02 | +15.5 | 7 |
| 1978-05-09 | @ Pakhtakor Tashkent | L 0-3 | 52.7 | 1856 | 1729 | 29.23% | 26.07% | 44.70% | +0.02 | -15.5 | 9 |
| 1978-05-18 | Chernomorets Odesa | L 0-2 | 62.5 | 1736 | 1745 | 57.78% | 25.38% | 16.84% | +0.55 | -18.7 | 5 |
| 1978-05-18 | @ Ararat | W 2-0 | 62.5 | 1745 | 1736 | 16.84% | 25.38% | 57.78% | -0.55 | +18.7 | 8 |
| 1978-05-18 | Neftchi Baku | W 1-0 | 50.4 | 1840 | 1669 | 71.12% | 21.83% | 7.04% | +1.42 | +1.5 | 11 |
| 1978-05-18 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | L 0-1 | 50.4 | 1669 | 1840 | 7.04% | 21.83% | 71.12% | -1.42 | -1.5 | 5 |
| 1978-05-18 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | W 1-0 | 53.4 | 1714 | 1701 | 59.73% | 25.09% | 15.18% | +0.65 | +3.3 | 8 |
| 1978-05-18 | @ Kairat | L 0-1 | 53.4 | 1701 | 1714 | 15.18% | 25.09% | 59.73% | -0.65 | -3.3 | 2 |
| 1978-05-18 | Dynamo Kyiv | D 1-1 | 74.0 | 1745 | 1904 | 40.27% | 26.00% | 33.74% | -0.18 | -0.2 | 6 |
| 1978-05-18 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | D 1-1 | 74.0 | 1904 | 1745 | 33.74% | 26.00% | 40.27% | +0.18 | +0.2 | 8 |
| 1978-05-18 | Pakhtakor Tashkent | W 2-1 | 59.0 | 1816 | 1745 | 64.45% | 24.12% | 11.43% | +0.93 | +2.4 | 8 |
| 1978-05-18 | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | L 1-2 | 59.0 | 1745 | 1816 | 11.43% | 24.12% | 64.45% | -0.93 | -2.4 | 7 |
| 1978-05-18 | Dynamo Moscow | D 1-1 | 73.9 | 1756 | 1851 | 48.60% | 26.03% | 25.37% | +0.13 | -0.9 | 8 |
| 1978-05-18 | @ Zenit Leningrad | D 1-1 | 73.9 | 1851 | 1756 | 25.37% | 26.03% | 48.60% | -0.13 | +0.9 | 8 |
| 1978-05-18 | Torpedo Moscow | W 3-0 | 51.4 | 1742 | 1834 | 48.98% | 26.02% | 24.99% | +0.15 | +13.8 | 6 |
| 1978-05-18 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | L 0-3 | 51.4 | 1834 | 1742 | 24.99% | 26.02% | 48.98% | -0.15 | -13.8 | 9 |
| 1978-05-19 | CSKA Moscow | L 1-2 | 72.6 | 1716 | 1736 | 56.77% | 25.50% | 17.73% | +0.50 | -9.2 | 3 |
| 1978-05-19 | @ Spartak Moscow | W 2-1 | 72.6 | 1736 | 1716 | 17.73% | 25.50% | 56.77% | -0.50 | +9.2 | 8 |
| 1978-05-22 | Zenit Leningrad | D 0-0 | 68.4 | 1744 | 1755 | 57.54% | 25.41% | 17.06% | +0.54 | -1.8 | 7 |
| 1978-05-22 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | D 0-0 | 68.4 | 1755 | 1744 | 17.06% | 25.41% | 57.54% | -0.54 | +1.8 | 9 |
| 1978-05-23 | Kairat | W 1-0 | 53.9 | 1718 | 1717 | 58.59% | 25.27% | 16.15% | +0.59 | +3.5 | 7 |
| 1978-05-23 | @ Ararat | L 0-1 | 53.9 | 1717 | 1718 | 16.15% | 25.27% | 58.59% | -0.59 | -3.5 | 8 |
| 1978-05-23 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | W 2-0 | 48.2 | 1764 | 1698 | 64.04% | 24.22% | 11.74% | +0.91 | +4.9 | 10 |
| 1978-05-23 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | L 0-2 | 48.2 | 1698 | 1764 | 11.74% | 24.22% | 64.04% | -0.91 | -4.9 | 2 |
| 1978-05-23 | Torpedo Moscow | W 2-1 | 63.0 | 1745 | 1820 | 50.89% | 25.95% | 23.16% | +0.23 | +4.5 | 10 |
| 1978-05-23 | @ CSKA Moscow | L 1-2 | 63.0 | 1820 | 1745 | 23.16% | 25.95% | 50.89% | -0.23 | -4.5 | 9 |
| 1978-05-23 | Shakhtyor Donetsk | D 1-1 | 74.3 | 1842 | 1819 | 60.63% | 24.94% | 14.43% | +0.70 | -1.9 | 12 |
| 1978-05-23 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | D 1-1 | 74.3 | 1819 | 1842 | 14.43% | 24.94% | 60.63% | -0.70 | +1.9 | 9 |
| 1978-05-23 | Pakhtakor Tashkent | L 0-2 | 60.2 | 1667 | 1743 | 50.85% | 25.96% | 23.20% | +0.22 | -16.6 | 5 |
| 1978-05-23 | @ Neftchi Baku | W 2-0 | 60.2 | 1743 | 1667 | 23.20% | 25.96% | 50.85% | -0.22 | +16.6 | 9 |
| 1978-05-23 | Spartak Moscow | D 0-0 | 68.5 | 1756 | 1707 | 62.71% | 24.53% | 12.76% | +0.83 | -2.3 | 7 |
| 1978-05-23 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | D 0-0 | 68.5 | 1707 | 1756 | 12.76% | 24.53% | 62.71% | -0.83 | +2.3 | 4 |
| 1978-05-24 | Dynamo Kyiv | D 0-0 | 68.7 | 1852 | 1905 | 53.37% | 25.81% | 20.82% | +0.34 | -1.4 | 9 |
| 1978-05-24 | @ Dynamo Moscow | D 0-0 | 68.7 | 1905 | 1852 | 20.82% | 25.81% | 53.37% | -0.34 | +1.4 | 9 |
| 1978-05-28 | Neftchi Baku | W 3-1 | 54.2 | 1693 | 1650 | 62.22% | 24.63% | 13.14% | +0.80 | +4.7 | 4 |
| 1978-05-28 | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | L 1-3 | 54.2 | 1650 | 1693 | 13.14% | 24.63% | 62.22% | -0.80 | -4.7 | 5 |
| 1978-05-28 | Dinamo Tbilisi | L 1-2 | 69.5 | 1714 | 1840 | 44.74% | 26.07% | 29.18% | -0.02 | -7.4 | 8 |
| 1978-05-28 | @ Kairat | W 2-1 | 69.5 | 1840 | 1714 | 29.18% | 26.07% | 44.74% | +0.02 | +7.4 | 14 |
| 1978-05-28 | Chernomorets Odesa | D 1-1 | 73.9 | 1759 | 1768 | 57.71% | 25.38% | 16.90% | +0.55 | -1.6 | 10 |
| 1978-05-28 | @ Pakhtakor Tashkent | D 1-1 | 73.9 | 1768 | 1759 | 16.90% | 25.38% | 57.71% | -0.55 | +1.6 | 11 |
| 1978-05-28 | Ararat | W 2-0 | 47.7 | 1820 | 1721 | 66.48% | 23.54% | 9.98% | +1.07 | +4.2 | 11 |
| 1978-05-28 | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | L 0-2 | 47.7 | 1721 | 1820 | 9.98% | 23.54% | 66.48% | -1.07 | -4.2 | 7 |
| 1978-05-28 | Lokomotiv Moscow | W 1-0 | 54.9 | 1710 | 1742 | 55.41% | 25.64% | 18.95% | +0.43 | +4.0 | 6 |
| 1978-05-28 | @ Spartak Moscow | L 0-1 | 54.9 | 1742 | 1710 | 18.95% | 25.64% | 55.41% | -0.43 | -4.0 | 7 |
| 1978-05-28 | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | D 1-1 | 73.9 | 1757 | 1754 | 58.90% | 25.22% | 15.88% | +0.61 | -1.7 | 10 |
| 1978-05-28 | @ Zenit Leningrad | D 1-1 | 73.9 | 1754 | 1757 | 15.88% | 25.22% | 58.90% | -0.61 | +1.7 | 8 |
| 1978-05-29 | CSKA Moscow | D 0-0 | 69.7 | 1906 | 1749 | 70.23% | 22.21% | 7.56% | +1.35 | -2.9 | 10 |
| 1978-05-29 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | D 0-0 | 69.7 | 1749 | 1906 | 7.56% | 22.21% | 70.23% | -1.35 | +3.0 | 11 |
| 1978-05-29 | Dynamo Moscow | D 0-0 | 68.6 | 1816 | 1851 | 55.19% | 25.66% | 19.15% | +0.42 | -1.6 | 10 |
| 1978-05-29 | @ Torpedo Moscow | D 0-0 | 68.6 | 1851 | 1816 | 19.15% | 25.66% | 55.19% | -0.42 | +1.6 | 10 |
| 1978-06-01 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | W 1-0 | 52.8 | 1738 | 1698 | 62.08% | 24.66% | 13.26% | +0.79 | +2.9 | 9 |
| 1978-06-01 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | L 0-1 | 52.8 | 1698 | 1738 | 13.26% | 24.66% | 62.08% | -0.79 | -2.9 | 4 |
| 1978-06-02 | Dinamo Tbilisi | W 1-0 | 55.4 | 1814 | 1847 | 55.35% | 25.65% | 19.01% | +0.43 | +4.0 | 12 |
| 1978-06-02 | @ Torpedo Moscow | L 0-1 | 55.4 | 1847 | 1814 | 19.01% | 25.65% | 55.35% | -0.43 | -4.0 | 14 |
| 1978-06-03 | Dynamo Kyiv | L 1-4 | 59.8 | 1717 | 1903 | 36.63% | 25.85% | 37.52% | -0.31 | -15.5 | 7 |
| 1978-06-03 | @ Ararat | W 4-1 | 59.8 | 1903 | 1717 | 37.52% | 25.85% | 36.63% | +0.31 | +15.5 | 12 |
| 1978-06-03 | Shakhtyor Donetsk | W 1-0 | 56.6 | 1752 | 1825 | 51.20% | 25.94% | 22.86% | +0.24 | +4.7 | 13 |
| 1978-06-03 | @ CSKA Moscow | L 0-1 | 56.6 | 1825 | 1752 | 22.86% | 25.94% | 51.20% | -0.24 | -4.7 | 11 |
| 1978-06-03 | Dynamo Moscow | W 1-0 | 59.2 | 1707 | 1852 | 42.19% | 26.04% | 31.77% | -0.11 | +6.0 | 10 |
| 1978-06-03 | @ Kairat | L 0-1 | 59.2 | 1852 | 1707 | 31.77% | 26.04% | 42.19% | +0.11 | -6.0 | 10 |
| 1978-06-03 | Spartak Moscow | W 3-1 | 57.5 | 1646 | 1714 | 51.72% | 25.91% | 22.37% | +0.26 | +7.5 | 7 |
| 1978-06-03 | @ Neftchi Baku | L 1-3 | 57.5 | 1714 | 1646 | 22.37% | 25.91% | 51.72% | -0.26 | -7.5 | 6 |
| 1978-06-03 | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | L 0-1 | 67.0 | 1758 | 1755 | 58.78% | 25.24% | 15.98% | +0.60 | -10.1 | 10 |
| 1978-06-03 | @ Pakhtakor Tashkent | W 1-0 | 67.0 | 1755 | 1758 | 15.98% | 25.24% | 58.78% | -0.60 | +10.1 | 10 |
| 1978-06-03 | Chernomorets Odesa | D 0-0 | 68.4 | 1755 | 1770 | 57.20% | 25.45% | 17.35% | +0.52 | -1.8 | 11 |
| 1978-06-03 | @ Zenit Leningrad | D 0-0 | 68.4 | 1770 | 1755 | 17.35% | 25.45% | 57.20% | -0.52 | +1.8 | 12 |
| 1978-06-11 | Torpedo Moscow | W 2-1 | 62.1 | 1772 | 1818 | 54.06% | 25.76% | 20.18% | +0.37 | +4.0 | 14 |
| 1978-06-11 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | L 1-2 | 62.1 | 1818 | 1772 | 20.18% | 25.76% | 54.06% | -0.37 | -4.0 | 12 |
| 1978-06-11 | Neftchi Baku | D 1-1 | 75.9 | 1919 | 1653 | 76.22% | 19.27% | 4.51% | +1.87 | -3.0 | 13 |
| 1978-06-11 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | D 1-1 | 75.9 | 1653 | 1919 | 4.51% | 19.27% | 76.22% | -1.87 | +3.0 | 8 |
| 1978-06-11 | Zenit Leningrad | W 3-1 | 54.3 | 1843 | 1754 | 65.81% | 23.74% | 10.45% | +1.02 | +3.8 | 16 |
| 1978-06-11 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | L 1-3 | 54.3 | 1754 | 1843 | 10.45% | 23.74% | 65.81% | -1.02 | -3.8 | 11 |
| 1978-06-11 | CSKA Moscow | L 1-2 | 71.4 | 1695 | 1757 | 52.35% | 25.88% | 21.77% | +0.29 | -8.5 | 4 |
| 1978-06-11 | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | W 2-1 | 71.4 | 1757 | 1695 | 21.77% | 25.88% | 52.35% | -0.29 | +8.5 | 15 |
| 1978-06-11 | Lokomotiv Moscow | W 2-1 | 58.8 | 1820 | 1741 | 65.00% | 23.97% | 11.03% | +0.97 | +2.3 | 13 |
| 1978-06-11 | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | L 1-2 | 58.8 | 1741 | 1820 | 11.03% | 23.97% | 65.00% | -0.97 | -2.3 | 9 |
| 1978-06-11 | Ararat | W 3-0 | 47.8 | 1706 | 1701 | 58.98% | 25.21% | 15.81% | +0.61 | +9.4 | 8 |
| 1978-06-11 | @ Spartak Moscow | L 0-3 | 47.8 | 1701 | 1706 | 15.81% | 25.21% | 58.98% | -0.61 | -9.4 | 7 |
| 1978-06-11 | Kairat | D 2-2 | 80.2 | 1765 | 1713 | 63.04% | 24.46% | 12.50% | +0.85 | -1.5 | 11 |
| 1978-06-11 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | D 2-2 | 80.2 | 1713 | 1765 | 12.50% | 24.46% | 63.04% | -0.85 | +1.5 | 11 |
| 1978-06-12 | Pakhtakor Tashkent | W 1-0 | 52.0 | 1846 | 1748 | 66.43% | 23.56% | 10.01% | +1.07 | +2.2 | 12 |
| 1978-06-12 | @ Dynamo Moscow | L 0-1 | 52.0 | 1748 | 1846 | 10.01% | 23.56% | 66.43% | -1.07 | -2.2 | 10 |
| 1978-06-16 | Pakhtakor Tashkent | D 1-1 | 74.4 | 1814 | 1745 | 64.26% | 24.16% | 11.57% | +0.92 | -2.2 | 13 |
| 1978-06-16 | @ Torpedo Moscow | D 1-1 | 74.4 | 1745 | 1814 | 11.57% | 24.16% | 64.26% | -0.92 | +2.2 | 11 |
| 1978-06-17 | Dinamo Tbilisi | D 0-0 | 68.3 | 1692 | 1847 | 40.91% | 26.01% | 33.08% | -0.16 | -0.3 | 8 |
| 1978-06-17 | @ Ararat | D 0-0 | 68.3 | 1847 | 1692 | 33.08% | 26.01% | 40.91% | +0.16 | +0.3 | 17 |
| 1978-06-17 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | W 5-1 | 47.6 | 1916 | 1686 | 74.36% | 20.29% | 5.36% | +1.70 | +3.4 | 15 |
| 1978-06-17 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | L 1-5 | 47.6 | 1686 | 1916 | 5.36% | 20.29% | 74.36% | -1.70 | -3.4 | 4 |
| 1978-06-17 | Chernomorets Odesa | L 2-3 | 79.9 | 1848 | 1776 | 64.55% | 24.09% | 11.36% | +0.94 | -9.9 | 12 |
| 1978-06-17 | @ Dynamo Moscow | W 3-2 | 79.9 | 1776 | 1848 | 11.36% | 24.09% | 64.55% | -0.94 | +9.9 | 16 |
| 1978-06-17 | Shakhtyor Donetsk | L 0-1 | 63.7 | 1714 | 1822 | 47.00% | 26.06% | 26.94% | +0.07 | -8.2 | 11 |
| 1978-06-17 | @ Kairat | W 1-0 | 63.7 | 1822 | 1714 | 26.94% | 26.06% | 47.00% | -0.07 | +8.2 | 15 |
| 1978-06-17 | Spartak Moscow | W 3-1 | 55.2 | 1750 | 1715 | 61.56% | 24.77% | 13.67% | +0.76 | +4.9 | 13 |
| 1978-06-17 | @ Zenit Leningrad | L 1-3 | 55.2 | 1715 | 1750 | 13.67% | 24.77% | 61.56% | -0.76 | -4.9 | 8 |
| 1978-06-17 | Lokomotiv Moscow | L 1-2 | 73.8 | 1764 | 1739 | 60.75% | 24.92% | 14.33% | +0.71 | -9.8 | 11 |
| 1978-06-17 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | W 2-1 | 73.8 | 1739 | 1764 | 14.33% | 24.92% | 60.75% | -0.71 | +9.8 | 11 |
| 1978-06-18 | Neftchi Baku | D 1-1 | 74.1 | 1765 | 1656 | 67.16% | 23.33% | 9.51% | +1.12 | -2.4 | 16 |
| 1978-06-18 | @ CSKA Moscow | D 1-1 | 74.1 | 1656 | 1765 | 9.51% | 23.33% | 67.16% | -1.12 | +2.4 | 9 |
| 1978-06-25 | Chernomorets Odesa | L 0-3 | 60.2 | 1749 | 1786 | 55.02% | 25.68% | 19.31% | +0.41 | -25.9 | 11 |
| 1978-06-25 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | W 3-0 | 60.2 | 1786 | 1749 | 19.31% | 25.68% | 55.02% | -0.41 | +25.9 | 18 |
| 1978-06-26 | Dynamo Moscow | L 1-4 | 61.3 | 1692 | 1839 | 42.04% | 26.04% | 31.92% | -0.12 | -17.3 | 8 |
| 1978-06-26 | @ Ararat | W 4-1 | 61.3 | 1839 | 1692 | 31.92% | 26.04% | 42.04% | +0.12 | +17.3 | 14 |
| 1978-06-26 | Dynamo Kyiv | D 0-0 | 68.6 | 1706 | 1919 | 32.97% | 25.62% | 41.41% | -0.44 | +0.3 | 12 |
| 1978-06-26 | @ Kairat | D 0-0 | 68.6 | 1919 | 1706 | 41.41% | 25.62% | 32.97% | +0.44 | -0.3 | 16 |
| 1978-06-26 | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | W 2-1 | 63.2 | 1659 | 1754 | 48.54% | 26.04% | 25.42% | +0.13 | +4.8 | 11 |
| 1978-06-26 | @ Neftchi Baku | L 1-2 | 63.2 | 1754 | 1659 | 25.42% | 26.04% | 48.54% | -0.13 | -4.8 | 11 |
| 1978-06-26 | Spartak Moscow | L 1-3 | 69.6 | 1747 | 1711 | 61.77% | 24.73% | 13.50% | +0.77 | -17.3 | 11 |
| 1978-06-26 | @ Pakhtakor Tashkent | W 3-1 | 69.6 | 1711 | 1747 | 13.50% | 24.73% | 61.77% | -0.77 | +17.3 | 10 |
| 1978-06-26 | Shakhtyor Donetsk | L 1-2 | 73.1 | 1812 | 1830 | 56.81% | 25.49% | 17.69% | +0.50 | -9.2 | 13 |
| 1978-06-26 | @ Torpedo Moscow | W 2-1 | 73.1 | 1830 | 1812 | 17.69% | 25.49% | 56.81% | -0.50 | +9.2 | 17 |
| 1978-06-26 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | D 2-2 | 80.2 | 1755 | 1683 | 64.51% | 24.10% | 11.39% | +0.94 | -1.6 | 14 |
| 1978-06-26 | @ Zenit Leningrad | D 2-2 | 80.2 | 1683 | 1755 | 11.39% | 24.10% | 64.51% | -0.94 | +1.6 | 5 |
| 1978-06-27 | Dinamo Tbilisi | L 1-2 | 71.1 | 1763 | 1848 | 49.81% | 26.00% | 24.19% | +0.18 | -8.2 | 16 |
| 1978-06-27 | @ CSKA Moscow | W 2-1 | 71.1 | 1848 | 1763 | 24.19% | 26.00% | 49.81% | -0.18 | +8.1 | 19 |
| 1978-06-30 | Kairat | W 4-1 | 52.4 | 1728 | 1706 | 60.47% | 24.97% | 14.56% | +0.69 | +7.4 | 12 |
| 1978-06-30 | @ Spartak Moscow | L 1-4 | 52.4 | 1706 | 1728 | 14.56% | 24.97% | 60.47% | -0.69 | -7.4 | 12 |
| 1978-07-01 | CSKA Moscow | W 4-0 | 47.5 | 1812 | 1755 | 63.36% | 24.38% | 12.26% | +0.87 | +9.7 | 20 |
| 1978-07-01 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | L 0-4 | 47.5 | 1755 | 1812 | 12.26% | 24.38% | 63.36% | -0.87 | -9.7 | 16 |
| 1978-07-01 | Pakhtakor Tashkent | D 2-2 | 81.5 | 1919 | 1730 | 72.10% | 21.40% | 6.50% | +1.50 | -2.1 | 17 |
| 1978-07-01 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | D 2-2 | 81.5 | 1730 | 1919 | 6.50% | 21.40% | 72.10% | -1.50 | +2.1 | 12 |
| 1978-07-01 | Neftchi Baku | W 1-0 | 50.1 | 1856 | 1663 | 72.32% | 21.29% | 6.38% | +1.52 | +1.4 | 16 |
| 1978-07-01 | @ Dynamo Moscow | L 0-1 | 50.1 | 1663 | 1856 | 6.38% | 21.29% | 72.32% | -1.52 | -1.4 | 11 |
| 1978-07-01 | Lokomotiv Moscow | W 2-0 | 47.2 | 1856 | 1723 | 68.72% | 22.79% | 8.49% | +1.23 | +3.6 | 21 |
| 1978-07-01 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | L 0-2 | 47.2 | 1723 | 1856 | 8.49% | 22.79% | 68.72% | -1.23 | -3.6 | 11 |
| 1978-07-01 | Torpedo Moscow | W 2-0 | 53.8 | 1684 | 1803 | 45.75% | 26.07% | 28.18% | +0.02 | +10.4 | 7 |
| 1978-07-01 | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | L 0-2 | 53.8 | 1803 | 1684 | 28.18% | 26.07% | 45.75% | -0.02 | -10.4 | 13 |
| 1978-07-01 | Zenit Leningrad | W 1-0 | 52.3 | 1840 | 1753 | 65.58% | 23.81% | 10.61% | +1.01 | +2.4 | 19 |
| 1978-07-01 | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | L 0-1 | 52.3 | 1753 | 1840 | 10.61% | 23.81% | 65.58% | -1.01 | -2.4 | 14 |
| 1978-07-01 | Ararat | W 1-0 | 52.0 | 1749 | 1674 | 64.72% | 24.05% | 11.24% | +0.95 | +2.5 | 13 |
| 1978-07-01 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | L 0-1 | 52.0 | 1674 | 1749 | 11.24% | 24.05% | 64.72% | -0.95 | -2.5 | 8 |
| 1978-07-08 | Ararat | W 2-1 | 58.8 | 1719 | 1672 | 62.62% | 24.55% | 12.83% | +0.82 | +2.7 | 13 |
| 1978-07-08 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | L 1-2 | 58.8 | 1672 | 1719 | 12.83% | 24.55% | 62.62% | -0.82 | -2.7 | 8 |
| 1978-07-09 | Torpedo Moscow | L 0-2 | 65.3 | 1917 | 1792 | 68.18% | 22.99% | 8.83% | +1.19 | -21.8 | 17 |
| 1978-07-09 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | W 2-0 | 65.3 | 1792 | 1917 | 8.83% | 22.99% | 68.18% | -1.19 | +21.8 | 15 |
| 1978-07-09 | CSKA Moscow | L 1-2 | 75.6 | 1857 | 1745 | 67.36% | 23.26% | 9.38% | +1.13 | -10.8 | 16 |
| 1978-07-09 | @ Dynamo Moscow | W 2-1 | 75.6 | 1745 | 1857 | 9.38% | 23.26% | 67.36% | -1.13 | +10.8 | 18 |
| 1978-07-09 | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | W 4-1 | 51.0 | 1859 | 1752 | 67.05% | 23.36% | 9.58% | +1.11 | +4.9 | 23 |
| 1978-07-09 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | L 1-4 | 51.0 | 1752 | 1859 | 9.58% | 23.36% | 67.05% | -1.11 | -4.9 | 13 |
| 1978-07-09 | Chernomorets Odesa | D 0-0 | 68.1 | 1662 | 1821 | 40.35% | 26.00% | 33.65% | -0.18 | -0.3 | 12 |
| 1978-07-09 | @ Neftchi Baku | D 0-0 | 68.1 | 1821 | 1662 | 33.65% | 26.00% | 40.35% | +0.18 | +0.3 | 21 |
| 1978-07-09 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | D 1-1 | 73.7 | 1732 | 1695 | 61.81% | 24.72% | 13.47% | +0.77 | -2.0 | 13 |
| 1978-07-09 | @ Pakhtakor Tashkent | D 1-1 | 73.7 | 1695 | 1732 | 13.47% | 24.72% | 61.81% | -0.77 | +2.0 | 8 |
| 1978-07-09 | Kairat | W 2-1 | 59.0 | 1751 | 1699 | 62.97% | 24.47% | 12.56% | +0.84 | +2.6 | 16 |
| 1978-07-09 | @ Zenit Leningrad | L 1-2 | 59.0 | 1699 | 1751 | 12.56% | 24.47% | 62.97% | -0.84 | -2.6 | 12 |
| 1978-07-10 | Shakhtyor Donetsk | W 2-0 | 53.6 | 1735 | 1842 | 47.15% | 26.06% | 26.79% | +0.07 | +10.0 | 14 |
| 1978-07-10 | @ Spartak Moscow | L 0-2 | 53.6 | 1842 | 1735 | 26.79% | 26.06% | 47.15% | -0.07 | -10.0 | 19 |
| 1978-07-14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | W 2-1 | 58.4 | 1814 | 1722 | 65.96% | 23.70% | 10.34% | +1.04 | +2.2 | 17 |
| 1978-07-14 | @ Torpedo Moscow | L 1-2 | 58.4 | 1722 | 1814 | 10.34% | 23.70% | 65.96% | -1.04 | -2.2 | 13 |
| 1978-07-15 | Pakhtakor Tashkent | W 1-0 | 55.5 | 1669 | 1730 | 52.47% | 25.87% | 21.66% | +0.30 | +4.5 | 10 |
| 1978-07-15 | @ Ararat | L 0-1 | 55.5 | 1730 | 1669 | 21.66% | 25.87% | 52.47% | -0.30 | -4.5 | 13 |
| 1978-07-15 | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | W 4-1 | 50.2 | 1895 | 1747 | 69.69% | 22.42% | 7.89% | +1.31 | +4.1 | 19 |
| 1978-07-15 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | L 1-4 | 50.2 | 1747 | 1895 | 7.89% | 22.42% | 69.69% | -1.31 | -4.0 | 13 |
| 1978-07-15 | Spartak Moscow | D 0-0 | 69.2 | 1846 | 1745 | 66.62% | 23.50% | 9.88% | +1.08 | -2.6 | 17 |
| 1978-07-15 | @ Dynamo Moscow | D 0-0 | 69.2 | 1745 | 1846 | 9.88% | 23.50% | 66.62% | -1.08 | +2.6 | 15 |
| 1978-07-15 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | W 1-0 | 50.6 | 1864 | 1697 | 70.87% | 21.94% | 7.19% | +1.40 | +1.6 | 25 |
| 1978-07-15 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | L 0-1 | 50.6 | 1697 | 1864 | 7.19% | 21.94% | 70.87% | -1.40 | -1.6 | 8 |
| 1978-07-15 | Neftchi Baku | D 0-0 | 67.8 | 1696 | 1662 | 61.57% | 24.77% | 13.67% | +0.76 | -2.2 | 13 |
| 1978-07-15 | @ Kairat | D 0-0 | 67.8 | 1662 | 1696 | 13.67% | 24.77% | 61.57% | -0.76 | +2.2 | 13 |
| 1978-07-15 | Chernomorets Odesa | W 3-1 | 56.2 | 1832 | 1822 | 59.50% | 25.13% | 15.37% | +0.64 | +5.5 | 21 |
| 1978-07-15 | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | L 1-3 | 56.2 | 1822 | 1832 | 15.37% | 25.13% | 59.50% | -0.64 | -5.5 | 21 |
| 1978-07-16 | Zenit Leningrad | W 2-1 | 60.5 | 1756 | 1753 | 58.79% | 25.24% | 15.97% | +0.60 | +3.3 | 20 |
| 1978-07-16 | @ CSKA Moscow | L 1-2 | 60.5 | 1753 | 1756 | 15.97% | 25.24% | 58.79% | -0.60 | -3.3 | 16 |
| 1978-07-21 | CSKA Moscow | D 1-1 | 73.7 | 1720 | 1759 | 54.77% | 25.70% | 19.53% | +0.40 | -1.4 | 14 |
| 1978-07-21 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | D 1-1 | 73.7 | 1759 | 1720 | 19.53% | 25.70% | 54.77% | -0.40 | +1.4 | 21 |
| 1978-07-22 | Dinamo Tbilisi | L 0-1 | 65.9 | 1816 | 1866 | 53.68% | 25.79% | 20.53% | +0.35 | -9.2 | 21 |
| 1978-07-22 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | W 1-0 | 65.9 | 1866 | 1816 | 20.53% | 25.79% | 53.68% | -0.35 | +9.3 | 27 |
| 1978-07-22 | Shakhtyor Donetsk | L 1-2 | 68.8 | 1695 | 1838 | 42.64% | 26.05% | 31.31% | -0.10 | -7.1 | 8 |
| 1978-07-22 | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | W 2-1 | 68.8 | 1838 | 1695 | 31.31% | 26.05% | 42.64% | +0.10 | +7.1 | 23 |
| 1978-07-22 | Ararat | W 2-0 | 49.3 | 1664 | 1674 | 57.66% | 25.39% | 16.95% | +0.54 | +6.9 | 15 |
| 1978-07-22 | @ Neftchi Baku | L 0-2 | 49.3 | 1674 | 1664 | 16.95% | 25.39% | 57.66% | -0.54 | -6.9 | 10 |
| 1978-07-22 | Kairat | W 1-0 | 52.9 | 1726 | 1694 | 61.34% | 24.81% | 13.85% | +0.74 | +3.1 | 15 |
| 1978-07-22 | @ Pakhtakor Tashkent | L 0-1 | 52.9 | 1694 | 1726 | 13.85% | 24.81% | 61.34% | -0.74 | -3.0 | 13 |
| 1978-07-22 | Torpedo Moscow | L 0-1 | 65.2 | 1748 | 1816 | 51.65% | 25.92% | 22.43% | +0.26 | -8.9 | 15 |
| 1978-07-22 | @ Spartak Moscow | W 1-0 | 65.2 | 1816 | 1748 | 22.43% | 25.92% | 51.65% | -0.26 | +8.9 | 19 |
| 1978-07-22 | Dynamo Kyiv | W 1-0 | 59.5 | 1750 | 1899 | 41.78% | 26.04% | 32.19% | -0.13 | +6.1 | 18 |
| 1978-07-22 | @ Zenit Leningrad | L 0-1 | 59.5 | 1899 | 1750 | 32.19% | 26.04% | 41.78% | +0.13 | -6.1 | 19 |
| 1978-07-22 | Dynamo Moscow | L 0-1 | 64.1 | 1743 | 1844 | 47.86% | 26.05% | 26.09% | +0.10 | -8.3 | 13 |
| 1978-07-22 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | W 1-0 | 64.1 | 1844 | 1743 | 26.09% | 26.05% | 47.86% | -0.10 | +8.3 | 19 |
| 1978-07-28 | Pakhtakor Tashkent | W 3-1 | 55.3 | 1761 | 1729 | 61.33% | 24.81% | 13.86% | +0.74 | +5.0 | 23 |
| 1978-07-28 | @ CSKA Moscow | L 1-3 | 55.3 | 1729 | 1761 | 13.86% | 24.81% | 61.33% | -0.74 | -5.0 | 15 |
| 1978-07-29 | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | D 1-1 | 74.3 | 1807 | 1734 | 64.55% | 24.09% | 11.36% | +0.94 | -2.2 | 22 |
| 1978-07-29 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | D 1-1 | 74.3 | 1734 | 1807 | 11.36% | 24.09% | 64.55% | -0.94 | +2.2 | 14 |
| 1978-07-29 | Spartak Moscow | L 0-2 | 61.1 | 1688 | 1739 | 53.57% | 25.80% | 20.64% | +0.34 | -17.4 | 8 |
| 1978-07-29 | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | W 2-0 | 61.1 | 1739 | 1688 | 20.64% | 25.80% | 53.57% | -0.34 | +17.4 | 17 |
| 1978-07-29 | Neftchi Baku | W 1-0 | 50.7 | 1825 | 1671 | 70.07% | 22.27% | 7.66% | +1.34 | +1.7 | 21 |
| 1978-07-29 | @ Torpedo Moscow | L 0-1 | 50.7 | 1671 | 1825 | 7.66% | 22.27% | 70.07% | -1.34 | -1.7 | 15 |
| 1978-07-29 | Ararat | L 0-1 | 68.2 | 1756 | 1667 | 65.78% | 23.75% | 10.47% | +1.02 | -11.2 | 18 |
| 1978-07-29 | @ Zenit Leningrad | W 1-0 | 68.2 | 1667 | 1756 | 10.47% | 23.75% | 65.78% | -1.02 | +11.2 | 12 |
| 1978-07-30 | Dynamo Moscow | D 1-1 | 74.3 | 1875 | 1852 | 60.60% | 24.95% | 14.46% | +0.70 | -1.9 | 28 |
| 1978-07-30 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | D 1-1 | 74.3 | 1852 | 1875 | 14.46% | 24.95% | 60.60% | -0.70 | +1.9 | 20 |
| 1978-07-30 | Kairat | L 0-2 | 62.9 | 1719 | 1691 | 60.98% | 24.88% | 14.14% | +0.72 | -19.7 | 14 |
| 1978-07-30 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | W 2-0 | 62.9 | 1691 | 1719 | 14.14% | 24.88% | 60.98% | -0.72 | +19.7 | 15 |
| 1978-07-30 | Dynamo Kyiv | W 2-0 | 51.8 | 1845 | 1893 | 53.84% | 25.78% | 20.38% | +0.36 | +8.0 | 25 |
| 1978-07-30 | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | L 0-2 | 51.8 | 1893 | 1845 | 20.38% | 25.78% | 53.84% | -0.36 | -8.0 | 19 |
| 1978-08-02 | CSKA Moscow | W 3-0 | 50.8 | 1678 | 1766 | 49.49% | 26.01% | 24.50% | +0.17 | +13.6 | 14 |
| 1978-08-02 | @ Ararat | L 0-3 | 50.8 | 1766 | 1678 | 24.50% | 26.01% | 49.49% | -0.17 | -13.6 | 23 |
| 1978-08-02 | Torpedo Moscow | D 1-1 | 73.8 | 1724 | 1827 | 47.63% | 26.05% | 26.31% | +0.09 | -0.8 | 16 |
| 1978-08-02 | @ Pakhtakor Tashkent | D 1-1 | 73.8 | 1827 | 1724 | 26.31% | 26.05% | 47.63% | -0.09 | +0.8 | 22 |
| 1978-08-02 | Zenit Leningrad | D 1-1 | 73.9 | 1756 | 1745 | 59.58% | 25.12% | 15.31% | +0.64 | -1.8 | 18 |
| 1978-08-02 | @ Spartak Moscow | D 1-1 | 73.9 | 1745 | 1756 | 15.31% | 25.12% | 59.58% | -0.64 | +1.8 | 19 |
| 1978-08-03 | Dinamo Tbilisi | W 1-0 | 54.2 | 1885 | 1873 | 59.60% | 25.11% | 15.28% | +0.65 | +3.3 | 21 |
| 1978-08-03 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | L 0-1 | 54.2 | 1873 | 1885 | 15.28% | 25.11% | 59.60% | -0.65 | -3.3 | 28 |
| 1978-08-03 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | W 1-0 | 50.2 | 1854 | 1671 | 71.80% | 21.53% | 6.67% | +1.48 | +1.5 | 22 |
| 1978-08-03 | @ Dynamo Moscow | L 0-1 | 50.2 | 1671 | 1854 | 6.67% | 21.53% | 71.80% | -1.48 | -1.5 | 8 |
| 1978-08-03 | Chernomorets Odesa | D 1-1 | 73.7 | 1711 | 1805 | 48.71% | 26.03% | 25.26% | +0.14 | -0.9 | 16 |
| 1978-08-03 | @ Kairat | D 1-1 | 73.7 | 1805 | 1711 | 25.26% | 26.03% | 48.71% | -0.14 | +0.9 | 23 |
| 1978-08-03 | Lokomotiv Moscow | W 2-0 | 50.1 | 1669 | 1699 | 55.73% | 25.61% | 18.66% | +0.45 | +7.5 | 17 |
| 1978-08-03 | @ Neftchi Baku | L 0-2 | 50.1 | 1699 | 1669 | 18.66% | 25.61% | 55.73% | -0.45 | -7.5 | 14 |
| 1978-08-03 | Shakhtyor Donetsk | D 2-2 | 80.1 | 1737 | 1853 | 46.01% | 26.07% | 27.92% | +0.03 | -0.5 | 15 |
| 1978-08-03 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | D 2-2 | 80.1 | 1853 | 1737 | 27.92% | 26.07% | 46.01% | -0.03 | +0.5 | 26 |
| 1978-08-06 | Ararat | W 1-0 | 51.1 | 1828 | 1692 | 68.92% | 22.72% | 8.36% | +1.25 | +1.9 | 24 |
| 1978-08-06 | @ Torpedo Moscow | L 0-1 | 51.1 | 1692 | 1828 | 8.36% | 22.72% | 68.92% | -1.25 | -1.9 | 14 |
| 1978-08-06 | Neftchi Baku | W 1-0 | 52.1 | 1747 | 1677 | 64.38% | 24.13% | 11.49% | +0.93 | +2.6 | 21 |
| 1978-08-06 | @ Zenit Leningrad | L 0-1 | 52.1 | 1677 | 1747 | 11.49% | 24.13% | 64.38% | -0.93 | -2.5 | 17 |
| 1978-08-07 | Pakhtakor Tashkent | W 4-1 | 51.3 | 1806 | 1723 | 65.29% | 23.89% | 10.82% | +0.99 | +5.6 | 25 |
| 1978-08-07 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | L 1-4 | 51.3 | 1723 | 1806 | 10.82% | 23.89% | 65.29% | -0.99 | -5.6 | 16 |
| 1978-08-07 | Dynamo Moscow | L 2-4 | 69.5 | 1752 | 1855 | 47.56% | 26.06% | 26.38% | +0.09 | -12.1 | 23 |
| 1978-08-07 | @ CSKA Moscow | W 4-2 | 69.5 | 1855 | 1752 | 26.38% | 26.06% | 47.56% | -0.09 | +12.1 | 24 |
| 1978-08-07 | Kairat | W 1-0 | 50.8 | 1870 | 1710 | 70.42% | 22.13% | 7.45% | +1.36 | +1.6 | 30 |
| 1978-08-07 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | L 0-1 | 50.8 | 1710 | 1870 | 7.45% | 22.13% | 70.42% | -1.36 | -1.6 | 16 |
| 1978-08-07 | Dynamo Kyiv | W 1-0 | 62.2 | 1669 | 1888 | 32.22% | 25.56% | 42.22% | -0.47 | +7.5 | 10 |
| 1978-08-07 | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | L 0-1 | 62.2 | 1888 | 1669 | 42.22% | 25.56% | 32.22% | +0.47 | -7.5 | 21 |
| 1978-08-07 | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | D 1-1 | 73.4 | 1691 | 1736 | 54.20% | 25.75% | 20.05% | +0.37 | -1.3 | 15 |
| 1978-08-07 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | D 1-1 | 73.4 | 1736 | 1691 | 20.05% | 25.75% | 54.20% | -0.37 | +1.3 | 16 |
| 1978-08-07 | Spartak Moscow | W 1-0 | 52.0 | 1853 | 1754 | 66.44% | 23.56% | 10.01% | +1.07 | +2.2 | 28 |
| 1978-08-07 | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | L 0-1 | 52.0 | 1754 | 1853 | 10.01% | 23.56% | 66.44% | -1.07 | -2.2 | 18 |
| 1978-08-20 | Pakhtakor Tashkent | W 3-0 | 45.1 | 1872 | 1718 | 70.05% | 22.28% | 7.67% | +1.34 | +4.7 | 32 |
| 1978-08-20 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | L 0-3 | 45.1 | 1718 | 1872 | 7.67% | 22.28% | 70.05% | -1.34 | -4.7 | 16 |
| 1978-08-20 | Dynamo Kyiv | L 1-2 | 72.3 | 1829 | 1881 | 53.53% | 25.80% | 20.67% | +0.34 | -8.7 | 24 |
| 1978-08-20 | @ Torpedo Moscow | W 2-1 | 72.3 | 1881 | 1829 | 20.67% | 25.80% | 53.53% | -0.34 | +8.7 | 23 |
| 1978-08-21 | Shakhtyor Donetsk | W 2-1 | 60.6 | 1868 | 1855 | 59.66% | 25.10% | 15.24% | +0.65 | +3.1 | 26 |
| 1978-08-21 | @ Dynamo Moscow | L 1-2 | 60.6 | 1855 | 1868 | 15.24% | 25.10% | 59.66% | -0.65 | -3.1 | 28 |
| 1978-08-22 | Spartak Moscow | L 1-2 | 73.0 | 1740 | 1752 | 57.41% | 25.42% | 17.17% | +0.53 | -9.3 | 23 |
| 1978-08-22 | @ CSKA Moscow | W 2-1 | 73.0 | 1752 | 1740 | 17.17% | 25.42% | 57.41% | -0.53 | +9.3 | 20 |
| 1978-08-25 | Torpedo Moscow | L 0-1 | 68.3 | 1871 | 1821 | 62.82% | 24.51% | 12.68% | +0.83 | -10.7 | 26 |
| 1978-08-25 | @ Dynamo Moscow | W 1-0 | 68.3 | 1821 | 1871 | 12.68% | 24.51% | 62.82% | -0.83 | +10.7 | 26 |
| 1978-08-26 | Dynamo Kyiv | L 0-1 | 61.9 | 1731 | 1889 | 40.42% | 26.00% | 33.58% | -0.18 | -7.2 | 23 |
| 1978-08-26 | @ CSKA Moscow | W 1-0 | 61.9 | 1889 | 1731 | 33.58% | 26.00% | 40.42% | +0.18 | +7.2 | 25 |
| 1978-08-26 | Kairat | W 2-0 | 50.3 | 1677 | 1708 | 55.55% | 25.63% | 18.82% | +0.44 | +7.5 | 12 |
| 1978-08-26 | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | L 0-2 | 50.3 | 1708 | 1677 | 18.82% | 25.63% | 55.55% | -0.44 | -7.5 | 16 |
| 1978-08-26 | Neftchi Baku | W 5-1 | 50.5 | 1713 | 1674 | 61.92% | 24.70% | 13.38% | +0.78 | +8.8 | 18 |
| 1978-08-26 | @ Pakhtakor Tashkent | L 1-5 | 50.5 | 1674 | 1713 | 13.38% | 24.70% | 61.92% | -0.78 | -8.8 | 17 |
| 1978-08-26 | Dinamo Tbilisi | D 1-1 | 74.2 | 1852 | 1876 | 56.30% | 25.55% | 18.15% | +0.47 | -1.5 | 29 |
| 1978-08-26 | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | D 1-1 | 74.2 | 1876 | 1852 | 18.15% | 25.55% | 56.30% | -0.47 | +1.5 | 33 |
| 1978-08-26 | Zenit Leningrad | W 4-0 | 49.0 | 1737 | 1749 | 57.45% | 25.42% | 17.13% | +0.53 | +13.2 | 18 |
| 1978-08-26 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | L 0-4 | 49.0 | 1749 | 1737 | 17.13% | 25.42% | 57.45% | -0.53 | -13.2 | 21 |
| 1978-08-27 | Ararat | W 3-1 | 53.4 | 1811 | 1690 | 67.98% | 23.06% | 8.97% | +1.18 | +3.3 | 27 |
| 1978-08-27 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | L 1-3 | 53.4 | 1690 | 1811 | 8.97% | 23.06% | 67.98% | -1.18 | -3.3 | 14 |
| 1978-08-27 | Spartak Moscow | L 0-1 | 64.7 | 1690 | 1762 | 51.31% | 25.93% | 22.76% | +0.24 | -8.9 | 15 |
| 1978-08-27 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | W 1-0 | 64.7 | 1762 | 1690 | 22.76% | 25.93% | 51.31% | -0.24 | +8.9 | 22 |
| 1978-09-01 | Lokomotiv Moscow | D 1-1 | 73.2 | 1687 | 1681 | 59.05% | 25.20% | 15.75% | +0.62 | -1.7 | 15 |
| 1978-09-01 | @ Ararat | D 1-1 | 73.2 | 1681 | 1687 | 15.75% | 25.20% | 59.05% | -0.62 | +1.7 | 16 |
| 1978-09-01 | Dynamo Moscow | W 1-0 | 53.6 | 1897 | 1860 | 61.74% | 24.73% | 13.53% | +0.77 | +3.0 | 27 |
| 1978-09-01 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | L 0-1 | 53.6 | 1860 | 1897 | 13.53% | 24.73% | 61.74% | -0.77 | -3.0 | 26 |
| 1978-09-01 | Dinamo Tbilisi | D 3-3 | 83.4 | 1665 | 1878 | 33.06% | 25.63% | 41.31% | -0.44 | +0.2 | 18 |
| 1978-09-01 | @ Neftchi Baku | D 3-3 | 83.4 | 1878 | 1665 | 41.31% | 25.63% | 33.06% | +0.44 | -0.2 | 34 |
| 1978-09-01 | Shakhtyor Donetsk | W 2-1 | 65.0 | 1722 | 1851 | 44.36% | 26.07% | 29.57% | -0.03 | +5.4 | 20 |
| 1978-09-01 | @ Pakhtakor Tashkent | L 1-2 | 65.0 | 1851 | 1722 | 29.57% | 26.07% | 44.36% | +0.03 | -5.4 | 29 |
| 1978-09-01 | CSKA Moscow | D 0-0 | 69.1 | 1832 | 1723 | 67.10% | 23.35% | 9.55% | +1.11 | -2.7 | 27 |
| 1978-09-01 | @ Torpedo Moscow | D 0-0 | 69.1 | 1723 | 1832 | 9.55% | 23.35% | 67.10% | -1.11 | +2.7 | 24 |
| 1978-09-02 | Chernomorets Odesa | W 1-0 | 58.4 | 1684 | 1814 | 44.21% | 26.07% | 29.72% | -0.04 | +5.8 | 14 |
| 1978-09-02 | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | L 0-1 | 58.4 | 1814 | 1684 | 29.72% | 26.07% | 44.21% | +0.04 | -5.8 | 27 |
| 1978-09-02 | Zenit Leningrad | W 3-2 | 66.3 | 1701 | 1736 | 55.15% | 25.67% | 19.19% | +0.42 | +3.6 | 18 |
| 1978-09-02 | @ Kairat | L 2-3 | 66.3 | 1736 | 1701 | 19.19% | 25.67% | 55.15% | -0.42 | -3.6 | 21 |
| 1978-09-02 | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | W 4-1 | 52.8 | 1770 | 1751 | 60.33% | 24.99% | 14.68% | +0.69 | +7.4 | 24 |
| 1978-09-02 | @ Spartak Moscow | L 1-4 | 52.8 | 1751 | 1770 | 14.68% | 24.99% | 60.33% | -0.69 | -7.4 | 18 |
| 1978-09-09 | Dynamo Moscow | D 1-1 | 74.2 | 1845 | 1857 | 57.49% | 25.41% | 17.10% | +0.53 | -1.6 | 30 |
| 1978-09-09 | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | D 1-1 | 74.2 | 1857 | 1845 | 17.10% | 25.41% | 57.49% | -0.53 | +1.6 | 27 |
| 1978-09-10 | Neftchi Baku | W 1-0 | 50.8 | 1809 | 1665 | 69.39% | 22.54% | 8.07% | +1.28 | +1.8 | 29 |
| 1978-09-10 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | L 0-1 | 50.8 | 1665 | 1809 | 8.07% | 22.54% | 69.39% | -1.28 | -1.8 | 18 |
| 1978-09-10 | Lokomotiv Moscow | W 3-1 | 54.5 | 1733 | 1683 | 62.80% | 24.51% | 12.69% | +0.83 | +4.6 | 23 |
| 1978-09-10 | @ Zenit Leningrad | L 1-3 | 54.5 | 1683 | 1733 | 12.69% | 24.51% | 62.80% | -0.83 | -4.6 | 16 |
| 1978-09-10 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | D 2-2 | 80.0 | 1743 | 1690 | 63.07% | 24.45% | 12.48% | +0.85 | -1.5 | 19 |
| 1978-09-10 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | D 2-2 | 80.0 | 1690 | 1743 | 12.48% | 24.45% | 63.07% | -0.85 | +1.5 | 15 |
| 1978-09-19 | Ararat | W 2-0 | 48.9 | 1704 | 1685 | 60.30% | 25.00% | 14.70% | +0.68 | +6.1 | 20 |
| 1978-09-19 | @ Kairat | L 0-2 | 48.9 | 1685 | 1704 | 14.70% | 25.00% | 60.30% | -0.68 | -6.1 | 15 |
| 1978-09-23 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | W 1-0 | 53.8 | 1679 | 1692 | 57.38% | 25.43% | 17.20% | +0.53 | +3.7 | 17 |
| 1978-09-23 | @ Ararat | L 0-1 | 53.8 | 1692 | 1679 | 17.20% | 25.43% | 57.38% | -0.53 | -3.7 | 15 |
| 1978-09-23 | Torpedo Moscow | D 2-2 | 79.9 | 1710 | 1829 | 45.71% | 26.07% | 28.21% | +0.02 | -0.5 | 21 |
| 1978-09-23 | @ Kairat | D 2-2 | 79.9 | 1829 | 1710 | 28.21% | 26.07% | 45.71% | -0.02 | +0.5 | 28 |
| 1978-09-23 | Neftchi Baku | W 3-1 | 52.3 | 1844 | 1664 | 71.62% | 21.61% | 6.77% | +1.46 | +2.4 | 32 |
| 1978-09-23 | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | L 1-3 | 52.3 | 1664 | 1844 | 6.77% | 21.61% | 71.62% | -1.46 | -2.4 | 18 |
| 1978-09-23 | Dinamo Tbilisi | W 2-1 | 64.0 | 1778 | 1878 | 48.03% | 26.05% | 25.92% | +0.11 | +4.9 | 26 |
| 1978-09-23 | @ Spartak Moscow | L 1-2 | 64.0 | 1878 | 1778 | 25.92% | 26.05% | 48.03% | -0.11 | -4.9 | 34 |
| 1978-09-23 | CSKA Moscow | W 1-0 | 53.6 | 1742 | 1726 | 59.97% | 25.05% | 14.98% | +0.67 | +3.3 | 21 |
| 1978-09-23 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | L 0-1 | 53.6 | 1726 | 1742 | 14.98% | 25.05% | 59.97% | -0.67 | -3.3 | 24 |
| 1978-09-24 | Chernomorets Odesa | D 0-0 | 69.2 | 1900 | 1810 | 65.76% | 23.76% | 10.48% | +1.02 | -2.6 | 28 |
| 1978-09-24 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | D 0-0 | 69.2 | 1810 | 1900 | 10.48% | 23.76% | 65.76% | -1.02 | +2.6 | 30 |
| 1978-09-24 | Dynamo Moscow | L 0-1 | 60.8 | 1678 | 1859 | 37.46% | 25.89% | 36.66% | -0.28 | -6.8 | 16 |
| 1978-09-24 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | W 1-0 | 60.8 | 1859 | 1678 | 36.66% | 25.89% | 37.46% | +0.28 | +6.8 | 29 |
| 1978-09-24 | Zenit Leningrad | W 3-0 | 48.5 | 1727 | 1737 | 57.63% | 25.39% | 16.97% | +0.54 | +10.0 | 22 |
| 1978-09-24 | @ Pakhtakor Tashkent | L 0-3 | 48.5 | 1737 | 1727 | 16.97% | 25.39% | 57.63% | -0.54 | -10.0 | 23 |
| 1978-09-29 | Zenit Leningrad | W 3-1 | 53.3 | 1865 | 1727 | 69.07% | 22.66% | 8.27% | +1.26 | +3.0 | 31 |
| 1978-09-29 | @ Dynamo Moscow | L 1-3 | 53.3 | 1727 | 1865 | 8.27% | 22.66% | 69.07% | -1.26 | -3.0 | 23 |
| 1978-09-30 | Lokomotiv Moscow | W 3-1 | 51.7 | 1897 | 1671 | 74.15% | 20.39% | 5.46% | +1.68 | +1.9 | 30 |
| 1978-09-30 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | L 1-3 | 51.7 | 1671 | 1897 | 5.46% | 20.39% | 74.15% | -1.68 | -1.9 | 16 |
| 1978-09-30 | Pakhtakor Tashkent | L 0-1 | 65.2 | 1688 | 1737 | 53.73% | 25.78% | 20.49% | +0.35 | -9.3 | 15 |
| 1978-09-30 | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | W 1-0 | 65.2 | 1737 | 1688 | 20.49% | 25.78% | 53.73% | -0.35 | +9.3 | 24 |
| 1978-09-30 | CSKA Moscow | W 2-1 | 61.8 | 1661 | 1723 | 52.42% | 25.87% | 21.71% | +0.29 | +4.2 | 20 |
| 1978-09-30 | @ Neftchi Baku | L 1-2 | 61.8 | 1723 | 1661 | 21.71% | 25.87% | 52.42% | -0.29 | -4.2 | 24 |
| 1978-09-30 | Kairat | L 1-3 | 71.4 | 1846 | 1710 | 68.95% | 22.71% | 8.35% | +1.25 | -19.1 | 32 |
| 1978-09-30 | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | W 3-1 | 71.4 | 1710 | 1846 | 8.35% | 22.71% | 68.95% | -1.25 | +19.1 | 23 |
| 1978-10-01 | Ararat | W 3-0 | 44.4 | 1873 | 1682 | 72.20% | 21.35% | 6.45% | +1.51 | +3.9 | 36 |
| 1978-10-01 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | L 0-3 | 44.4 | 1682 | 1873 | 6.45% | 21.35% | 72.20% | -1.51 | -3.9 | 17 |
| 1978-10-01 | Chernomorets Odesa | D 1-1 | 74.0 | 1783 | 1813 | 55.67% | 25.62% | 18.71% | +0.44 | -1.4 | 27 |
| 1978-10-01 | @ Spartak Moscow | D 1-1 | 74.0 | 1813 | 1783 | 18.71% | 25.62% | 55.67% | -0.44 | +1.5 | 31 |
| 1978-10-01 | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | W 2-0 | 48.1 | 1829 | 1745 | 65.43% | 23.85% | 10.72% | +1.00 | +4.5 | 30 |
| 1978-10-01 | @ Torpedo Moscow | L 0-2 | 48.1 | 1745 | 1829 | 10.72% | 23.85% | 65.43% | -1.00 | -4.5 | 21 |
| 1978-10-14 | Pakhtakor Tashkent | W 3-2 | 67.5 | 1670 | 1746 | 50.71% | 25.96% | 23.33% | +0.22 | +4.3 | 18 |
| 1978-10-14 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | L 2-3 | 67.5 | 1746 | 1670 | 23.33% | 25.96% | 50.71% | -0.22 | -4.3 | 24 |
| 1978-10-14 | Torpedo Moscow | D 1-1 | 73.8 | 1724 | 1834 | 46.81% | 26.07% | 27.13% | +0.06 | -0.7 | 24 |
| 1978-10-14 | @ Zenit Leningrad | D 1-1 | 73.8 | 1834 | 1724 | 27.13% | 26.07% | 46.81% | -0.06 | +0.7 | 31 |
| 1978-10-14 | Dinamo Tbilisi | L 1-2 | 69.2 | 1740 | 1877 | 43.45% | 26.06% | 30.49% | -0.07 | -7.2 | 21 |
| 1978-10-14 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | W 2-1 | 69.2 | 1877 | 1740 | 30.49% | 26.06% | 43.45% | +0.07 | +7.2 | 38 |
| 1978-10-15 | Dynamo Moscow | L 0-1 | 65.8 | 1814 | 1868 | 53.23% | 25.82% | 20.95% | +0.33 | -9.2 | 31 |
| 1978-10-15 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | W 1-0 | 65.8 | 1868 | 1814 | 20.95% | 25.82% | 53.23% | -0.33 | +9.2 | 33 |
| 1978-10-15 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | W 4-1 | 52.7 | 1665 | 1679 | 57.35% | 25.43% | 17.22% | +0.53 | +8.5 | 22 |
| 1978-10-15 | @ Neftchi Baku | L 1-4 | 52.7 | 1679 | 1665 | 17.22% | 25.43% | 57.35% | -0.53 | -8.5 | 15 |
| 1978-10-15 | Dynamo Kyiv | L 0-2 | 59.5 | 1781 | 1899 | 45.82% | 26.07% | 28.11% | +0.02 | -15.1 | 27 |
| 1978-10-15 | @ Spartak Moscow | W 2-0 | 59.5 | 1899 | 1781 | 28.11% | 26.07% | 45.82% | -0.02 | +15.1 | 32 |
| 1978-10-16 | Shakhtyor Donetsk | D 1-1 | 73.7 | 1679 | 1827 | 41.80% | 26.04% | 32.16% | -0.13 | -0.3 | 18 |
| 1978-10-16 | @ Ararat | D 1-1 | 73.7 | 1827 | 1679 | 32.16% | 26.04% | 41.80% | +0.13 | +0.3 | 33 |
| 1978-10-16 | Kairat | W 2-0 | 50.1 | 1718 | 1729 | 57.59% | 25.40% | 17.01% | +0.54 | +6.9 | 26 |
| 1978-10-16 | @ CSKA Moscow | L 0-2 | 50.1 | 1729 | 1718 | 17.01% | 25.40% | 57.59% | -0.54 | -6.9 | 23 |
| 1978-10-21 | Shakhtyor Donetsk | W 2-0 | 55.2 | 1674 | 1827 | 41.12% | 26.02% | 32.86% | -0.15 | +11.7 | 20 |
| 1978-10-21 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | L 0-2 | 55.2 | 1827 | 1674 | 32.86% | 26.02% | 41.12% | +0.15 | -11.7 | 33 |
| 1978-10-22 | Zenit Leningrad | W 2-1 | 61.6 | 1670 | 1723 | 53.29% | 25.82% | 20.90% | +0.33 | +4.1 | 17 |
| 1978-10-22 | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | L 1-2 | 61.6 | 1723 | 1670 | 20.90% | 25.82% | 53.29% | -0.33 | -4.1 | 24 |
| 1978-10-22 | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | W 2-1 | 60.7 | 1722 | 1733 | 57.54% | 25.41% | 17.05% | +0.54 | +3.5 | 25 |
| 1978-10-22 | @ Kairat | L 1-2 | 60.7 | 1733 | 1722 | 17.05% | 25.41% | 57.54% | -0.54 | -3.5 | 21 |
| 1978-10-22 | Dynamo Moscow | D 0-0 | 68.5 | 1742 | 1878 | 43.53% | 26.06% | 30.41% | -0.07 | -0.5 | 25 |
| 1978-10-22 | @ Pakhtakor Tashkent | D 0-0 | 68.5 | 1878 | 1742 | 30.41% | 26.06% | 43.53% | +0.07 | +0.5 | 34 |
| 1978-10-22 | Neftchi Baku | W 5-1 | 49.6 | 1766 | 1674 | 65.98% | 23.70% | 10.33% | +1.04 | +6.9 | 29 |
| 1978-10-22 | @ Spartak Moscow | L 1-5 | 49.6 | 1674 | 1766 | 10.33% | 23.70% | 65.98% | -1.04 | -6.9 | 22 |
| 1978-10-23 | Ararat | W 3-0 | 43.7 | 1914 | 1678 | 74.70% | 20.11% | 5.19% | +1.73 | +3.1 | 34 |
| 1978-10-23 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | L 0-3 | 43.7 | 1678 | 1914 | 5.19% | 20.11% | 74.70% | -1.73 | -3.0 | 18 |
| 1978-10-23 | CSKA Moscow | W 4-1 | 50.0 | 1884 | 1725 | 70.32% | 22.17% | 7.51% | +1.36 | +3.8 | 40 |
| 1978-10-23 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | L 1-4 | 50.0 | 1725 | 1884 | 7.51% | 22.17% | 70.32% | -1.36 | -3.8 | 26 |
| 1978-10-23 | Chernomorets Odesa | D 2-2 | 80.5 | 1835 | 1805 | 61.13% | 24.85% | 14.02% | +0.73 | -1.4 | 32 |
| 1978-10-23 | @ Torpedo Moscow | D 2-2 | 80.5 | 1805 | 1835 | 14.02% | 24.85% | 61.13% | -0.73 | +1.4 | 32 |
| 1978-10-27 | Dynamo Kyiv | L 0-1 | 58.0 | 1667 | 1917 | 28.35% | 25.19% | 46.46% | -0.62 | -5.5 | 22 |
| 1978-10-27 | @ Neftchi Baku | W 1-0 | 58.0 | 1917 | 1667 | 46.46% | 25.19% | 28.35% | +0.62 | +5.5 | 36 |
| 1978-10-27 | Dinamo Tbilisi | W 1-0 | 60.2 | 1719 | 1888 | 39.12% | 25.96% | 34.92% | -0.22 | +6.5 | 26 |
| 1978-10-27 | @ Zenit Leningrad | L 0-1 | 60.2 | 1888 | 1719 | 34.92% | 25.96% | 39.12% | +0.22 | -6.5 | 40 |
| 1978-10-28 | Spartak Moscow | W 1-0 | 57.0 | 1675 | 1773 | 48.25% | 26.04% | 25.71% | +0.12 | +5.1 | 20 |
| 1978-10-28 | @ Ararat | L 0-1 | 57.0 | 1773 | 1675 | 25.71% | 26.04% | 48.25% | -0.12 | -5.1 | 29 |
| 1978-10-28 | Lokomotiv Moscow | L 0-1 | 69.0 | 1807 | 1686 | 67.97% | 23.06% | 8.97% | +1.18 | -11.5 | 32 |
| 1978-10-28 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | W 1-0 | 69.0 | 1686 | 1807 | 8.97% | 23.06% | 67.97% | -1.18 | +11.5 | 22 |
| 1978-10-28 | Kairat | W 2-0 | 46.8 | 1878 | 1726 | 69.97% | 22.31% | 7.72% | +1.33 | +3.2 | 36 |
| 1978-10-28 | @ Dynamo Moscow | L 0-2 | 46.8 | 1726 | 1878 | 7.72% | 22.31% | 69.97% | -1.33 | -3.2 | 25 |
| 1978-10-28 | Pakhtakor Tashkent | W 2-1 | 60.8 | 1730 | 1742 | 57.46% | 25.42% | 17.12% | +0.53 | +3.5 | 23 |
| 1978-10-28 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | L 1-2 | 60.8 | 1742 | 1730 | 17.12% | 25.42% | 57.46% | -0.53 | -3.5 | 25 |
| 1978-10-29 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | W 1-0 | 52.4 | 1722 | 1674 | 62.61% | 24.55% | 12.83% | +0.82 | +2.8 | 28 |
| 1978-10-29 | @ CSKA Moscow | L 0-1 | 52.4 | 1674 | 1722 | 12.83% | 24.55% | 62.61% | -0.82 | -2.8 | 17 |
| 1978-10-29 | Torpedo Moscow | W 2-1 | 61.4 | 1816 | 1833 | 56.94% | 25.48% | 17.58% | +0.51 | +3.5 | 35 |
| 1978-10-29 | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | L 1-2 | 61.4 | 1833 | 1816 | 17.58% | 25.48% | 56.94% | -0.51 | -3.6 | 32 |
| 1978-11-02 | Pakhtakor Tashkent | W 2-1 | 59.8 | 1768 | 1738 | 61.18% | 24.84% | 13.98% | +0.73 | +2.9 | 31 |
| 1978-11-02 | @ Spartak Moscow | L 1-2 | 59.8 | 1738 | 1768 | 13.98% | 24.84% | 61.18% | -0.73 | -2.9 | 25 |
| 1978-11-03 | Chernomorets Odesa | W 2-1 | 62.8 | 1724 | 1795 | 51.38% | 25.93% | 22.69% | +0.25 | +4.4 | 30 |
| 1978-11-03 | @ CSKA Moscow | L 1-2 | 62.8 | 1795 | 1724 | 22.69% | 25.93% | 51.38% | -0.25 | -4.4 | 32 |
| 1978-11-04 | Ararat | D 1-1 | 75.3 | 1881 | 1680 | 72.81% | 21.06% | 6.13% | +1.56 | -2.8 | 37 |
| 1978-11-04 | @ Dynamo Moscow | D 1-1 | 75.3 | 1680 | 1881 | 6.13% | 21.06% | 72.81% | -1.56 | +2.8 | 21 |
| 1978-11-05 | Dinamo Tbilisi | D 0-0 | 68.4 | 1697 | 1881 | 36.93% | 25.86% | 37.21% | -0.30 | +0.0 | 23 |
| 1978-11-05 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | D 0-0 | 68.4 | 1881 | 1697 | 37.21% | 25.86% | 36.93% | +0.30 | -0.0 | 41 |
| 1978-11-05 | Shakhtyor Donetsk | L 0-3 | 58.5 | 1726 | 1819 | 48.76% | 26.03% | 25.21% | +0.14 | -23.2 | 26 |
| 1978-11-05 | @ Zenit Leningrad | W 3-0 | 58.5 | 1819 | 1726 | 25.21% | 26.03% | 48.76% | -0.14 | +23.2 | 37 |
| 1978-11-05 | Neftchi Baku | W 1-0 | 51.8 | 1733 | 1662 | 64.48% | 24.11% | 11.41% | +0.94 | +2.5 | 25 |
| 1978-11-05 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | L 0-1 | 51.8 | 1662 | 1733 | 11.41% | 24.11% | 64.48% | -0.94 | -2.5 | 22 |
| 1978-11-06 | Kairat | W 3-0 | 44.4 | 1923 | 1722 | 72.77% | 21.08% | 6.15% | +1.56 | +3.7 | 38 |
| 1978-11-06 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | L 0-3 | 44.4 | 1722 | 1923 | 6.15% | 21.08% | 72.77% | -1.56 | -3.7 | 25 |
| 1978-11-06 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | L 1-2 | 75.9 | 1830 | 1671 | 70.32% | 22.17% | 7.51% | +1.36 | -11.2 | 32 |
| 1978-11-06 | @ Torpedo Moscow | W 2-1 | 75.9 | 1671 | 1830 | 7.51% | 22.17% | 70.32% | -1.36 | +11.2 | 19 |
| 1978-11-11 | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | D 2-2 | 79.5 | 1683 | 1736 | 53.38% | 25.81% | 20.81% | +0.34 | -0.9 | 22 |
| 1978-11-11 | @ Ararat | D 2-2 | 79.5 | 1736 | 1683 | 20.81% | 25.81% | 53.38% | -0.34 | +0.9 | 26 |
| 1978-11-11 | Zenit Leningrad | W 3-0 | 46.2 | 1791 | 1703 | 65.70% | 23.78% | 10.53% | +1.02 | +6.4 | 34 |
| 1978-11-11 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | L 0-3 | 46.2 | 1703 | 1791 | 10.53% | 23.78% | 65.70% | -1.02 | -6.4 | 26 |
| 1978-11-11 | Torpedo Moscow | D 2-2 | 80.7 | 1881 | 1818 | 63.81% | 24.28% | 11.91% | +0.89 | -1.6 | 42 |
| 1978-11-11 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | D 2-2 | 80.7 | 1818 | 1881 | 11.91% | 24.28% | 63.81% | -0.89 | +1.6 | 33 |
| 1978-11-11 | Lokomotiv Moscow | W 1-0 | 53.9 | 1682 | 1697 | 57.21% | 25.45% | 17.35% | +0.52 | +3.7 | 21 |
| 1978-11-11 | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | L 0-1 | 53.9 | 1697 | 1682 | 17.35% | 25.45% | 57.21% | -0.52 | -3.7 | 23 |
| 1978-11-11 | Spartak Moscow | L 0-1 | 65.4 | 1719 | 1771 | 53.42% | 25.81% | 20.77% | +0.34 | -9.2 | 25 |
| 1978-11-11 | @ Kairat | W 1-0 | 65.4 | 1771 | 1719 | 20.77% | 25.81% | 53.42% | -0.34 | +9.2 | 33 |
| 1978-11-11 | Dynamo Moscow | D 1-1 | 73.9 | 1659 | 1879 | 32.14% | 25.56% | 42.30% | -0.47 | +0.4 | 23 |
| 1978-11-11 | @ Neftchi Baku | D 1-1 | 73.9 | 1879 | 1659 | 42.30% | 25.56% | 32.14% | +0.47 | -0.4 | 38 |
| 1978-11-11 | Dynamo Kyiv | D 1-1 | 74.0 | 1735 | 1926 | 35.95% | 25.81% | 38.24% | -0.33 | +0.1 | 26 |
| 1978-11-11 | @ Pakhtakor Tashkent | D 1-1 | 74.0 | 1926 | 1735 | 38.24% | 25.81% | 35.95% | +0.33 | -0.1 | 39 |
| 1978-11-11 | CSKA Moscow | L 1-2 | 75.5 | 1843 | 1729 | 67.47% | 23.23% | 9.30% | +1.14 | -10.8 | 37 |
| 1978-11-11 | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | W 2-1 | 75.5 | 1729 | 1843 | 9.30% | 23.23% | 67.47% | -1.14 | +10.8 | 32 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 1978-11-06 | 7.51% | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 1671 | 2 | @ Torpedo Moscow | 1830 | 1 |
| 2 | 1978-09-30 | 8.35% | Kairat | 1710 | 3 | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | 1846 | 1 |
| 3 | 1978-07-09 | 8.83% | Torpedo Moscow | 1792 | 2 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | 1917 | 0 |
| 4 | 1978-10-28 | 8.97% | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1686 | 1 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | 1807 | 0 |
| 5 | 1978-11-11 | 9.30% | CSKA Moscow | 1729 | 2 | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | 1843 | 1 |
| 6 | 1978-07-09 | 9.38% | CSKA Moscow | 1745 | 2 | @ Dynamo Moscow | 1857 | 1 |
| 7 | 1978-07-29 | 10.47% | Ararat | 1667 | 1 | @ Zenit Leningrad | 1756 | 0 |
| 8 | 1978-04-22 | 10.60% | Shakhtyor Donetsk | 1815 | 2 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | 1902 | 1 |
| 9 | 1978-06-17 | 11.36% | Chernomorets Odesa | 1776 | 3 | @ Dynamo Moscow | 1848 | 2 |
| 10 | 1978-08-25 | 12.68% | Torpedo Moscow | 1821 | 1 | @ Dynamo Moscow | 1871 | 0 |
| 11 | 1978-06-26 | 13.50% | Spartak Moscow | 1711 | 3 | @ Pakhtakor Tashkent | 1747 | 1 |
| 12 | 1978-07-30 | 14.14% | Kairat | 1691 | 2 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | 1719 | 0 |
| 13 | 1978-06-17 | 14.33% | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1739 | 2 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 1764 | 1 |
| 14 | 1978-04-12 | 15.31% | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 1732 | 2 | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 1744 | 0 |
| 15 | 1978-06-03 | 15.98% | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 1755 | 1 | @ Pakhtakor Tashkent | 1758 | 0 |
| 16 | 1978-05-18 | 16.84% | Chernomorets Odesa | 1745 | 2 | @ Ararat | 1736 | 0 |
| 17 | 1978-08-22 | 17.17% | Spartak Moscow | 1752 | 2 | @ CSKA Moscow | 1740 | 1 |
| 18 | 1978-05-09 | 17.43% | Ararat | 1727 | 1 | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 1711 | 0 |
| 19 | 1978-06-26 | 17.69% | Shakhtyor Donetsk | 1830 | 2 | @ Torpedo Moscow | 1812 | 1 |
| 20 | 1978-05-19 | 17.73% | CSKA Moscow | 1736 | 2 | @ Spartak Moscow | 1716 | 1 |
| 21 | 1978-06-25 | 19.31% | Chernomorets Odesa | 1786 | 3 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | 1749 | 0 |
| 22 | 1978-09-30 | 20.49% | Pakhtakor Tashkent | 1737 | 1 | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 1688 | 0 |
| 23 | 1978-07-22 | 20.53% | Dinamo Tbilisi | 1866 | 1 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | 1816 | 0 |
| 24 | 1978-07-29 | 20.64% | Spartak Moscow | 1739 | 2 | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 1688 | 0 |
| 25 | 1978-08-20 | 20.67% | Dynamo Kyiv | 1881 | 2 | @ Torpedo Moscow | 1829 | 1 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 1978-06-25 | 25.93 | Chernomorets Odesa | 3 | 1786 | 19.31% | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | 0 | 1749 | 55.02% | 25.68% |
| 2 | 1978-11-05 | 23.23 | Shakhtyor Donetsk | 3 | 1819 | 25.21% | @ Zenit Leningrad | 0 | 1726 | 48.76% | 26.03% |
| 3 | 1978-07-09 | 21.83 | Torpedo Moscow | 2 | 1792 | 8.83% | @ Dynamo Kyiv | 0 | 1917 | 68.18% | 22.99% |
| 4 | 1978-07-30 | 19.69 | Kairat | 2 | 1691 | 14.14% | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | 0 | 1719 | 60.98% | 24.88% |
| 5 | 1978-04-12 | 19.25 | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 2 | 1732 | 15.31% | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 0 | 1744 | 59.57% | 25.12% |
| 6 | 1978-09-30 | 19.08 | Kairat | 3 | 1710 | 8.35% | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | 1 | 1846 | 68.95% | 22.71% |
| 7 | 1978-05-18 | 18.70 | Chernomorets Odesa | 2 | 1745 | 16.84% | @ Ararat | 0 | 1736 | 57.78% | 25.38% |
| 8 | 1978-07-29 | 17.42 | Spartak Moscow | 2 | 1739 | 20.64% | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 0 | 1688 | 53.57% | 25.80% |
| 9 | 1978-06-26 | 17.27 | Dynamo Moscow | 4 | 1839 | 31.92% | @ Ararat | 1 | 1692 | 42.04% | 26.04% |
| 10 | 1978-06-26 | 17.26 | Spartak Moscow | 3 | 1711 | 13.50% | @ Pakhtakor Tashkent | 1 | 1747 | 61.77% | 24.73% |
| 11 | 1978-05-23 | 16.60 | Pakhtakor Tashkent | 2 | 1743 | 23.20% | @ Neftchi Baku | 0 | 1667 | 50.85% | 25.96% |
| 12 | 1978-05-09 | 15.55 | @ Pakhtakor Tashkent | 3 | 1729 | 44.70% | Dinamo Tbilisi | 0 | 1856 | 29.23% | 26.07% |
| 13 | 1978-06-03 | 15.50 | Dynamo Kyiv | 4 | 1903 | 37.52% | @ Ararat | 1 | 1717 | 36.63% | 25.85% |
| 14 | 1978-10-15 | 15.15 | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 1899 | 28.11% | @ Spartak Moscow | 0 | 1781 | 45.82% | 26.07% |
| 15 | 1978-05-18 | 13.78 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 3 | 1742 | 48.98% | Torpedo Moscow | 0 | 1834 | 24.99% | 26.02% |
| 16 | 1978-08-02 | 13.57 | @ Ararat | 3 | 1678 | 49.49% | CSKA Moscow | 0 | 1766 | 24.50% | 26.01% |
| 17 | 1978-08-26 | 13.18 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 4 | 1737 | 57.45% | Zenit Leningrad | 0 | 1749 | 17.13% | 25.42% |
| 18 | 1978-08-07 | 12.12 | Dynamo Moscow | 4 | 1855 | 26.38% | @ CSKA Moscow | 2 | 1752 | 47.56% | 26.06% |
| 19 | 1978-10-21 | 11.69 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | 2 | 1674 | 41.12% | Shakhtyor Donetsk | 0 | 1827 | 32.86% | 26.02% |
| 20 | 1978-10-28 | 11.55 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1686 | 8.97% | @ Chernomorets Odesa | 0 | 1807 | 67.97% | 23.06% |
| 21 | 1978-07-29 | 11.21 | Ararat | 1 | 1667 | 10.47% | @ Zenit Leningrad | 0 | 1756 | 65.78% | 23.75% |
| 22 | 1978-11-06 | 11.20 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 2 | 1671 | 7.51% | @ Torpedo Moscow | 1 | 1830 | 70.32% | 22.17% |
| 23 | 1978-11-11 | 10.82 | CSKA Moscow | 2 | 1729 | 9.30% | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | 1 | 1843 | 67.47% | 23.23% |
| 24 | 1978-07-09 | 10.80 | CSKA Moscow | 2 | 1745 | 9.38% | @ Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 1857 | 67.36% | 23.26% |
| 25 | 1978-08-25 | 10.74 | Torpedo Moscow | 1 | 1821 | 12.68% | @ Dynamo Moscow | 0 | 1871 | 62.82% | 24.51% |
Most & Least Exciting Games
The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.
| # | Date | Excitement | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 1978-09-01 | 83.4 | @ Neftchi Baku | 3 | 1665 | 33.06% | Dinamo Tbilisi | 3 | 1878 | 41.31% | 25.63% |
| 2 | 1978-07-01 | 81.5 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 1919 | 72.10% | Pakhtakor Tashkent | 2 | 1730 | 6.50% | 21.40% |
| 3 | 1978-05-07 | 80.9 | @ Torpedo Moscow | 2 | 1836 | 67.95% | Spartak Moscow | 2 | 1715 | 8.98% | 23.07% |
| 4 | 1978-11-11 | 80.7 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | 2 | 1881 | 63.81% | Torpedo Moscow | 2 | 1818 | 11.91% | 24.28% |
| 5 | 1978-10-23 | 80.5 | @ Torpedo Moscow | 2 | 1835 | 61.13% | Chernomorets Odesa | 2 | 1805 | 14.02% | 24.85% |
| 6 | 1978-06-11 | 80.2 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 2 | 1765 | 63.04% | Kairat | 2 | 1713 | 12.50% | 24.46% |
| 7 | 1978-06-26 | 80.2 | @ Zenit Leningrad | 2 | 1755 | 64.51% | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 2 | 1683 | 11.39% | 24.10% |
| 8 | 1978-08-03 | 80.1 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 2 | 1737 | 46.01% | Shakhtyor Donetsk | 2 | 1853 | 27.92% | 26.07% |
| 9 | 1978-09-10 | 80.0 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 2 | 1743 | 63.07% | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 2 | 1690 | 12.48% | 24.45% |
| 10 | 1978-06-17 | 79.9 | Chernomorets Odesa | 3 | 1776 | 11.36% | @ Dynamo Moscow | 2 | 1848 | 64.55% | 24.09% |
| 11 | 1978-09-23 | 79.9 | @ Kairat | 2 | 1710 | 45.71% | Torpedo Moscow | 2 | 1829 | 28.21% | 26.07% |
| 12 | 1978-04-08 | 79.8 | @ Kairat | 2 | 1719 | 55.78% | Lokomotiv Moscow | 2 | 1748 | 18.62% | 25.60% |
| 13 | 1978-11-11 | 79.5 | @ Ararat | 2 | 1683 | 53.38% | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 2 | 1736 | 20.81% | 25.81% |
| 14 | 1978-06-11 | 75.9 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 1919 | 76.22% | Neftchi Baku | 1 | 1653 | 4.51% | 19.27% |
| 15 | 1978-11-06 | 75.9 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 2 | 1671 | 7.51% | @ Torpedo Moscow | 1 | 1830 | 70.32% | 22.17% |
| 16 | 1978-07-09 | 75.6 | CSKA Moscow | 2 | 1745 | 9.38% | @ Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 1857 | 67.36% | 23.26% |
| 17 | 1978-11-11 | 75.5 | CSKA Moscow | 2 | 1729 | 9.30% | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | 1 | 1843 | 67.47% | 23.23% |
| 18 | 1978-04-22 | 75.3 | Shakhtyor Donetsk | 2 | 1815 | 10.60% | @ Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 1902 | 65.60% | 23.81% |
| 19 | 1978-11-04 | 75.3 | @ Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 1881 | 72.81% | Ararat | 1 | 1680 | 6.13% | 21.06% |
| 20 | 1978-06-16 | 74.4 | @ Torpedo Moscow | 1 | 1814 | 64.26% | Pakhtakor Tashkent | 1 | 1745 | 11.57% | 24.16% |
| 21 | 1978-05-23 | 74.3 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | 1 | 1842 | 60.63% | Shakhtyor Donetsk | 1 | 1819 | 14.43% | 24.94% |
| 22 | 1978-07-29 | 74.3 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | 1 | 1807 | 64.55% | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 1 | 1734 | 11.36% | 24.09% |
| 23 | 1978-07-30 | 74.3 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | 1 | 1875 | 60.60% | Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 1852 | 14.46% | 24.95% |
| 24 | 1978-04-24 | 74.2 | @ Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 1839 | 58.10% | Dinamo Tbilisi | 1 | 1844 | 16.56% | 25.33% |
| 25 | 1978-08-26 | 74.2 | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | 1 | 1852 | 56.30% | Dinamo Tbilisi | 1 | 1876 | 18.15% | 25.55% |
| # | Date | Excitement | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 1978-10-23 | 43.7 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | 3 | 1914 | 74.70% | Ararat | 0 | 1678 | 5.19% | 20.11% |
| 2 | 1978-10-01 | 44.4 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | 3 | 1873 | 72.20% | Ararat | 0 | 1682 | 6.45% | 21.35% |
| 3 | 1978-11-06 | 44.4 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | 3 | 1923 | 72.77% | Kairat | 0 | 1722 | 6.15% | 21.08% |
| 4 | 1978-04-28 | 44.9 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | 3 | 1891 | 70.69% | Spartak Moscow | 0 | 1727 | 7.29% | 22.02% |
| 5 | 1978-08-20 | 45.1 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | 3 | 1872 | 70.05% | Pakhtakor Tashkent | 0 | 1718 | 7.67% | 22.28% |
| 6 | 1978-11-11 | 46.2 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | 3 | 1791 | 65.70% | Zenit Leningrad | 0 | 1703 | 10.53% | 23.78% |
| 7 | 1978-04-21 | 46.5 | @ Torpedo Moscow | 4 | 1819 | 66.39% | Kairat | 0 | 1721 | 10.04% | 23.57% |
| 8 | 1978-10-28 | 46.8 | @ Dynamo Moscow | 2 | 1878 | 69.97% | Kairat | 0 | 1726 | 7.72% | 22.31% |
| 9 | 1978-04-26 | 46.9 | @ Torpedo Moscow | 3 | 1827 | 64.00% | Zenit Leningrad | 0 | 1762 | 11.77% | 24.23% |
| 10 | 1978-07-01 | 47.2 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | 2 | 1856 | 68.72% | Lokomotiv Moscow | 0 | 1723 | 8.49% | 22.79% |
| 11 | 1978-07-01 | 47.5 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | 4 | 1812 | 63.36% | CSKA Moscow | 0 | 1755 | 12.26% | 24.38% |
| 12 | 1978-06-17 | 47.6 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | 5 | 1916 | 74.36% | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 1 | 1686 | 5.36% | 20.29% |
| 13 | 1978-04-08 | 47.7 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | 2 | 1836 | 66.91% | Spartak Moscow | 0 | 1730 | 9.68% | 23.41% |
| 14 | 1978-05-28 | 47.7 | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | 2 | 1820 | 66.48% | Ararat | 0 | 1721 | 9.98% | 23.54% |
| 15 | 1978-06-11 | 47.8 | @ Spartak Moscow | 3 | 1706 | 58.98% | Ararat | 0 | 1701 | 15.81% | 25.21% |
| 16 | 1978-10-01 | 48.1 | @ Torpedo Moscow | 2 | 1829 | 65.43% | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 0 | 1745 | 10.72% | 23.85% |
| 17 | 1978-05-23 | 48.2 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | 2 | 1764 | 64.04% | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 0 | 1698 | 11.74% | 24.22% |
| 18 | 1978-04-08 | 48.3 | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | 2 | 1810 | 64.58% | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 0 | 1737 | 11.34% | 24.08% |
| 19 | 1978-09-24 | 48.5 | @ Pakhtakor Tashkent | 3 | 1727 | 57.63% | Zenit Leningrad | 0 | 1737 | 16.97% | 25.39% |
| 20 | 1978-09-19 | 48.9 | @ Kairat | 2 | 1704 | 60.30% | Ararat | 0 | 1685 | 14.70% | 25.00% |
| 21 | 1978-08-26 | 49.0 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 4 | 1737 | 57.45% | Zenit Leningrad | 0 | 1749 | 17.13% | 25.42% |
| 22 | 1978-07-22 | 49.3 | @ Neftchi Baku | 2 | 1664 | 57.66% | Ararat | 0 | 1674 | 16.95% | 25.39% |
| 23 | 1978-10-22 | 49.6 | @ Spartak Moscow | 5 | 1766 | 65.98% | Neftchi Baku | 1 | 1674 | 10.33% | 23.70% |
| 24 | 1978-10-23 | 50.0 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | 4 | 1884 | 70.32% | CSKA Moscow | 1 | 1725 | 7.51% | 22.17% |
| 25 | 1978-05-02 | 50.1 | @ Pakhtakor Tashkent | 2 | 1723 | 57.56% | Ararat | 0 | 1733 | 17.04% | 25.40% |