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Spring 1976 Vysshaya Liga Season

120 games

Final

Champion

Dynamo Moscow

22 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Krylia Sovetov

8.55 points above expected

17 points · 8.45 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Zorya Voroshilovgrad

4.12 points below expected

8 points · 12.12 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Dynamo Moscow 15 9 4 2 22 17 8 +9 20.44 +1.56
2 Ararat 15 8 3 4 19 22 13 +9 17.91 +1.09
3 Karpati Lvov 15 7 4 4 18 25 19 +6 16.53 +1.47
4 Shakhtyor Donetsk 15 7 4 4 18 15 16 -1 18.29 -0.29
5 Dinamo Tbilisi 15 6 5 4 17 18 10 +8 15.95 +1.05
6 Krylia Sovetov 15 6 5 4 17 18 15 +3 8.45 +8.55
7 Dynamo Kyiv 15 5 6 4 16 14 12 +2 18.31 -2.31
8 CSKA Moscow 15 5 5 5 15 20 16 +4 14.70 +0.30
9 Dinamo Minsk 15 6 3 6 15 17 18 -1 10.79 +4.21
10 Chernomorets Odesa 15 4 7 4 15 14 18 -4 14.27 +0.73
11 Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 15 6 2 7 14 18 18 0 15.53 -1.53
12 Torpedo Moscow 15 5 4 6 14 15 20 -5 16.94 -2.94
13 Zenit Leningrad 15 4 5 6 13 14 15 -1 13.24 -0.24
14 Spartak Moscow 15 4 2 9 10 10 18 -8 13.95 -3.95
15 Lokomotiv Moscow 15 3 3 9 9 17 23 -6 12.58 -3.58
16 Zorya Voroshilovgrad 15 2 4 9 8 9 24 -15 12.12 -4.12

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Krylia Sovetov 17 8.45 +8.55
2 Dinamo Minsk 15 10.79 +4.21
3 Dynamo Moscow 22 20.44 +1.56
4 Karpati Lvov 18 16.53 +1.47
5 Ararat 19 17.91 +1.09

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Zorya Voroshilovgrad 8 12.12 -4.12
2 Spartak Moscow 10 13.95 -3.95
3 Lokomotiv Moscow 9 12.58 -3.58
4 Torpedo Moscow 14 16.94 -2.94
5 Dynamo Kyiv 16 18.31 -2.31

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Krylia Sovetov 2 Jul 6 – Jul 13 1 in 59
2 Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 3 Jun 29 – Jul 13 1 in 44
3 Ararat 4 May 16 – Jun 16 1 in 36
4 Zenit Leningrad 2 May 15 – May 23 1 in 26
5 Chernomorets Odesa 2 Apr 25 – May 2 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dynamo Kyiv 2 Jul 6 – Jul 12 1 in 63
2 Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 3 Apr 25 – May 9 1 in 34
3 Zorya Voroshilovgrad 5 May 9 – Jun 10 1 in 26
4 Spartak Moscow 3 Jun 29 – Jul 13 1 in 14
5 CSKA Moscow 2 May 16 – May 23 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Chernomorets Odesa 5 Apr 4 – May 2 1 in 18
2 Krylia Sovetov 4 May 23 – Jun 15 1 in 16
3 Dinamo Tbilisi 6 May 2 – Jun 1 1 in 14
4 CSKA Moscow 4 Apr 4 – Apr 25 1 in 11
5 Zenit Leningrad 4 May 2 – May 23 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Zorya Voroshilovgrad 12 Apr 10 – Jun 29 1 in 27
2 Spartak Moscow 5 Apr 10 – May 9 1 in 18
3 Dynamo Kyiv 4 Jun 22 – Jul 12 1 in 15
4 Chernomorets Odesa 7 Jun 4 – Jul 13 1 in 12
5 Dynamo Moscow 3 Apr 10 – Apr 25 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Dynamo Moscow 1968 22 +8 8 7.1 +0.9
Ararat 1839 19 -16 4 6.2 -2.2
Karpati Lvov 1820 18 +0 6 6.0 +0.0
Shakhtyor Donetsk 1874 18 -2 6 5.3 +0.7
Krylia Sovetov 1585 17 +31 7 3.6 +3.4
Dinamo Tbilisi 1813 17 +2 4 4.4 -0.4
Dynamo Kyiv 1868 16 -16 4 5.3 -1.3
Dinamo Minsk 1635 15 +26 6 3.9 +2.1
Chernomorets Odesa 1728 15 -6 4 4.7 -0.7
CSKA Moscow 1760 15 +28 4 4.4 -0.4
Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 1769 14 +28 6 4.0 +2.0
Torpedo Moscow 1780 14 -50 5 5.9 -0.9
Zenit Leningrad 1687 13 +3 5 4.7 +0.3
Spartak Moscow 1699 10 -35 2 4.2 -2.2
Lokomotiv Moscow 1680 9 -1 3 3.9 -0.9
Zorya Voroshilovgrad 1644 8 -12 3 4.3 -1.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARA CM CO DM DT DD DK DM KL KS LM SD SM TM ZL ZV
Ararat —
0-1-0
2.09
1-0-0
2.07
1-0-0
1.52
0-1-0
2.02
1-0-0
1.07
0-0-1
1.90
0-0-1
0.57
0-0-1
0.81
0-1-0
1.87
1-0-0
2.27
1-0-0
1.82
0-0-1
2.02
1-0-0
1.83
1-0-0
1.18
1-0-0
1.34
CSKA Moscow
0-1-0
0.63
 —
0-1-0
2.03
1-0-0
2.23
0-1-0
0.65
0-0-1
0.83
1-0-0
1.40
0-0-1
0.42
0-1-0
1.74
0-1-0
2.30
1-0-0
2.03
0-0-1
0.62
0-0-1
1.97
1-0-0
0.62
0-0-1
0.94
1-0-0
1.96
Chernomorets Odesa
0-0-1
0.66
0-1-0
0.69
 —
0-0-1
1.18
0-0-1
1.89
1-0-0
1.87
0-1-0
1.39
0-1-0
0.41
0-1-0
0.61
0-1-0
2.37
1-0-0
2.06
1-0-0
0.51
0-0-1
0.87
1-0-0
1.49
0-1-0
2.02
0-1-0
1.04
Dinamo Minsk
0-0-1
1.19
0-0-1
0.51
1-0-0
1.53
 —
1-0-0
1.21
0-0-1
0.48
0-1-0
0.35
0-0-1
0.29
1-0-0
1.13
1-0-0
2.08
0-1-0
1.69
0-1-0
0.34
1-0-0
1.48
1-0-0
1.09
0-0-1
0.67
0-0-1
0.75
Dinamo Tbilisi
0-1-0
0.70
0-1-0
2.08
1-0-0
0.82
0-0-1
1.51
 —
1-0-0
2.08
0-1-0
0.62
0-0-1
0.51
1-0-0
1.81
1-0-0
2.40
0-1-0
1.12
0-0-1
0.66
1-0-0
1.92
0-1-0
2.05
0-0-1
1.16
1-0-0
2.22
Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk
0-0-1
1.64
1-0-0
1.88
0-0-1
0.84
1-0-0
2.28
0-0-1
0.65
 —
0-0-1
0.55
1-0-0
1.01
0-0-1
1.80
0-0-1
1.79
0-0-1
0.96
0-1-0
1.50
1-0-0
0.81
0-1-0
0.62
1-0-0
2.12
1-0-0
2.08
Dynamo Kyiv
1-0-0
0.82
0-0-1
1.31
0-1-0
1.32
0-1-0
2.43
0-1-0
2.11
1-0-0
2.18
 —
0-0-1
1.69
1-0-0
2.04
0-0-1
2.49
0-1-0
2.30
0-1-0
0.74
1-0-0
1.11
0-0-1
1.12
0-1-0
1.51
1-0-0
2.35
Dynamo Moscow
1-0-0
2.16
1-0-0
2.35
0-1-0
2.36
1-0-0
2.52
1-0-0
2.23
0-0-1
1.71
1-0-0
1.02
 —
0-1-0
1.37
0-0-1
2.25
1-0-0
1.70
1-0-0
2.14
1-0-0
2.36
0-1-0
1.22
1-0-0
1.79
0-1-0
1.77
Karpati Lvov
1-0-0
1.90
0-1-0
0.97
0-1-0
2.12
0-0-1
1.59
0-0-1
0.90
1-0-0
0.91
0-0-1
0.68
0-1-0
1.34
 —
1-0-0
2.44
1-0-0
1.12
1-0-0
1.61
1-0-0
2.13
0-0-1
1.78
0-1-0
1.29
1-0-0
2.27
Krylia Sovetov
0-1-0
0.86
0-1-0
0.46
0-1-0
0.40
0-0-1
0.65
0-0-1
0.38
1-0-0
0.94
1-0-0
0.31
1-0-0
0.52
0-0-1
0.35
 —
1-0-0
1.27
0-1-0
0.64
0-0-1
0.47
0-1-0
0.90
1-0-0
1.44
1-0-0
1.66
Lokomotiv Moscow
0-0-1
0.48
0-0-1
0.69
0-0-1
0.66
0-1-0
1.02
0-1-0
1.59
1-0-0
1.75
0-1-0
0.46
0-0-1
1.02
0-0-1
1.59
0-0-1
1.44
 —
0-0-1
1.28
1-0-0
0.61
0-0-1
1.54
1-0-0
1.86
0-0-1
0.79
Shakhtyor Donetsk
0-0-1
0.89
1-0-0
2.11
0-0-1
2.23
0-1-0
2.45
1-0-0
2.07
0-1-0
1.20
0-1-0
1.97
0-0-1
0.59
0-0-1
1.09
0-1-0
2.11
1-0-0
1.43
 —
1-0-0
2.28
1-0-0
0.91
1-0-0
2.33
1-0-0
1.49
Spartak Moscow
1-0-0
0.70
1-0-0
0.75
1-0-0
1.84
0-0-1
1.23
0-0-1
0.79
0-0-1
1.91
0-0-1
1.59
0-0-1
0.41
0-0-1
0.60
1-0-0
2.28
0-0-1
2.12
0-0-1
0.47
 —
0-0-1
1.65
0-1-0
0.94
0-1-0
2.09
Torpedo Moscow
0-0-1
0.88
0-0-1
2.11
0-0-1
1.22
0-0-1
1.62
0-1-0
0.68
0-1-0
2.10
1-0-0
1.59
0-1-0
1.49
1-0-0
0.93
0-1-0
1.83
1-0-0
1.17
0-0-1
1.80
1-0-0
1.06
 —
0-0-1
2.26
1-0-0
2.18
Zenit Leningrad
0-0-1
1.53
1-0-0
1.77
0-1-0
0.70
1-0-0
2.06
1-0-0
1.55
0-0-1
0.61
0-1-0
1.20
0-0-1
0.93
0-1-0
1.41
0-0-1
1.27
0-0-1
0.85
0-0-1
0.43
0-1-0
1.77
1-0-0
0.49
 —
0-1-0
0.75
Zorya Voroshilovgrad
0-0-1
1.37
0-0-1
0.75
0-1-0
1.67
1-0-0
1.97
0-0-1
0.52
0-0-1
0.64
0-0-1
0.42
0-1-0
0.95
0-0-1
0.48
0-0-1
1.04
1-0-0
1.92
0-0-1
1.22
0-1-0
0.64
0-0-1
0.56
0-1-0
1.97
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.37 +5.6
Allowed 0.62 -6.8
Differential 0.77 +4.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%10.83%6.25%2.50%1.25%—34.17%
110.83%12.50%9.17%1.67%1.67%—35.83%
26.25%9.17%1.67%2.08%0.83%—20.00%
32.50%1.67%2.08%———6.25%
41.25%1.67%0.83%———3.75%
5+———————
Total34.17%35.83%20.00%6.25%3.75%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 1.10 +0.00
SD 1.06 1.06 1.52
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 120

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%13.33%————20.00%
113.33%13.33%13.33%———40.00%
213.33%6.67%————20.00%
3——13.33%———13.33%
46.67%—————6.67%
5+———————
Total40.00%33.33%26.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 0.87 +0.60
SD 1.19 0.83 1.40
CV 0.81 0.96 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%—13.33%———20.00%
16.67%26.67%20.00%———53.33%
26.67%—————6.67%
36.67%—6.67%———13.33%
46.67%—————6.67%
5+———————
Total33.33%26.67%40.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.07 +0.27
SD 1.18 0.88 1.71
CV 0.88 0.83 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%6.67%——6.67%—33.33%
16.67%20.00%6.67%—6.67%—40.00%
26.67%13.33%6.67%———26.67%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%40.00%13.33%—13.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.20 -0.27
SD 0.80 1.32 1.53
CV 0.86 1.10 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%13.33%13.33%———40.00%
1—6.67%—13.33%——20.00%
213.33%20.00%————33.33%
3———————
4——6.67%———6.67%
5+———————
Total26.67%40.00%20.00%13.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 1.20 -0.07
SD 1.19 1.01 1.53
CV 1.05 0.85 —
Max 4 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%13.33%————26.67%
120.00%20.00%13.33%———53.33%
2———————
313.33%—————13.33%
4—6.67%————6.67%
5+———————
Total46.67%40.00%13.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 0.67 +0.53
SD 1.21 0.72 1.46
CV 1.01 1.09 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%13.33%———26.67%
113.33%6.67%13.33%—6.67%—40.00%
220.00%——6.67%——26.67%
3———————
4—6.67%————6.67%
5+———————
Total40.00%20.00%26.67%6.67%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.20 +0.00
SD 1.08 1.26 1.77
CV 0.90 1.05 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%13.33%————40.00%
16.67%13.33%6.67%6.67%——33.33%
26.67%13.33%————20.00%
3—6.67%————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.00%46.67%6.67%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 0.80 +0.13
SD 0.96 0.86 1.13
CV 1.03 1.08 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%13.33%————33.33%
133.33%6.67%————40.00%
2—13.33%————13.33%
3——6.67%———6.67%
4—6.67%————6.67%
5+———————
Total53.33%40.00%6.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 0.53 +0.60
SD 1.19 0.64 0.99
CV 1.05 1.20 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———6.67%——6.67%
16.67%20.00%6.67%6.67%——40.00%
213.33%13.33%6.67%—6.67%—40.00%
36.67%—————6.67%
46.67%—————6.67%
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%13.33%13.33%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.27 +0.40
SD 0.98 1.28 1.92
CV 0.59 1.01 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%13.33%13.33%———33.33%
113.33%20.00%————33.33%
2—13.33%6.67%———20.00%
36.67%—————6.67%
4——6.67%———6.67%
5+———————
Total26.67%46.67%26.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.00 +0.20
SD 1.21 0.76 1.37
CV 1.01 0.76 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%13.33%6.67%6.67%——40.00%
1—6.67%6.67%———13.33%
26.67%6.67%—26.67%——40.00%
36.67%—————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.67%26.67%13.33%33.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 1.53 -0.40
SD 1.06 1.25 1.50
CV 0.94 0.81 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%—6.67%—6.67%—33.33%
120.00%—6.67%—6.67%—33.33%
213.33%13.33%6.67%———33.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total53.33%13.33%20.00%—13.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.07 -0.07
SD 0.85 1.44 1.75
CV 0.85 1.35 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%33.33%6.67%6.67%——60.00%
113.33%—6.67%—6.67%—26.67%
2—6.67%————6.67%
3———————
4—6.67%————6.67%
5+———————
Total26.67%46.67%13.33%6.67%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 1.20 -0.53
SD 1.11 1.15 1.60
CV 1.67 0.96 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%6.67%13.33%—6.67%—40.00%
16.67%13.33%13.33%———33.33%
2—13.33%————13.33%
3—6.67%6.67%———13.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total20.00%40.00%33.33%—6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.33 -0.33
SD 1.07 1.05 1.54
CV 1.07 0.78 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%20.00%————33.33%
16.67%20.00%20.00%———46.67%
2—13.33%————13.33%
3—6.67%————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total20.00%60.00%20.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.00 -0.07
SD 0.88 0.65 0.96
CV 0.95 0.65 —
Max 3 2 +2
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%6.67%13.33%20.00%——60.00%
16.67%6.67%13.33%———26.67%
2————6.67%—6.67%
3—6.67%————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.67%20.00%26.67%20.00%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.60 1.60 -1.00
SD 0.91 1.30 1.51
CV 1.52 0.81 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 15

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Dynamo Moscow 1968 22 20.44 +1.56 78.0% 14 16 19 21 22 25 26
Shakhtyor Donetsk 1874 18 18.29 -0.29 55.0% 9 14 16 18 20 22 25
Dynamo Kyiv 1868 16 18.31 -2.31 25.0% 13 14 16 18 20 23 25
Ararat 1839 19 17.91 +1.09 67.0% 9 13 16 18 20 22 25
Karpati Lvov 1820 18 16.53 +1.47 71.0% 9 12 15 16 19 21 22
Dinamo Tbilisi 1813 17 15.95 +1.05 72.0% 9 12 14 16 18 20 23
Torpedo Moscow 1780 14 16.94 -2.94 20.0% 9 13 15 17 19 21 23
Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 1769 14 15.53 -1.53 38.0% 10 11 13 15 17 20 25
CSKA Moscow 1760 15 14.70 +0.30 61.0% 6 10 13 15 16 18 22
Chernomorets Odesa 1728 15 14.27 +0.73 68.0% 7 9 12 14 16 19 21
Spartak Moscow 1699 10 13.95 -3.95 14.0% 7 9 12 14 16 18 21
Zenit Leningrad 1687 13 13.24 -0.24 56.0% 7 9 11 13 15 18 22
Lokomotiv Moscow 1680 9 12.58 -3.58 17.0% 6 8 10 13 15 17 19
Zorya Voroshilovgrad 1644 8 12.12 -4.12 9.0% 6 7 10 12 14 16 19
Dinamo Minsk 1635 15 10.79 +4.21 96.0% 3 6 8 11 13 15 19
Krylia Sovetov 1585 17 8.45 +8.55 100.0% 2 4 7 8 10 13 16

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 16.5% * Slight Edge: 16.5% to 25% * Clear Edge: 25% to 33% * Strong Edge: 33% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+29.17%
Clear Edge
50.83%27.50%21.67%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 104.37 Elo pts.
395 Elo
0.003 goals per Elo point
01000
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.57 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.26+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.17 * Runaway: 0.17 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.9
Top-Heavy
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
45%
Dynamo Moscow, 1st of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.20/gm
Runaway
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.24 * Some Luck: 2.24 to 3.36 * Lucky: 3.36 to 4.49 * Wild Swing: 4.49 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.06 * Close: 2.06 to 3.1 * Off: 3.1 to 4.13 * Way Off: 4.13 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.16 points
Some Luck
02.807
Average Finish Error
Expected
3.00
Close
02.586
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
100.00%
Krylia Sovetov
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
9.00%
Zorya Voroshilovgrad
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.14 * Top-Heavy: 0.14 to 0.17 * Lopsided: 0.17 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 67.5% * Clear Edge: 67.5% to 71% * Wide Edge: 71% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85.5% * Clear Edge: 85.5% to 89% * Strong Edge: 89% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 57.5% * Some Drama: 57.5% to 65.5% * Frequent: 65.5% to 69.5% * Very Frequent: 69.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 11.5% * Occasional: 11.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 20% * Very Frequent: 20% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Even
00.130.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 102.38
1.13
Coin-Flip Parity
0.91.41.61.82.5
Interquartile Edge
69%
Clear Edge
50%65%71%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
90%
Strong Edge
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
72%
Very Frequent
0%68%100%
Blowouts
Expected 10%
11%
Rare
0%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.42 * Slight Separation: 0.42 to 0.48 * Notable Separation: 0.48 to 0.54 * Lopsided: 0.54 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.48 * Some Carryover: 0.48 to 0.58 * Strong Carryover: 0.58 to 0.65 * Near-Lock: 0.65 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 23.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 23.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Hard to Predict
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.51
Notable Separation
00.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.28
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.55
Some Carryover
00.480.651
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Upset-Prone
0%18%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Shaky
0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.54
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.46
Overconfident
0.295971.001.70403
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.101
Well Within Noise
00.1390.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Dynamo Moscow45.00%22.00%13.00%11.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%——2.00%——————
Ararat15.00%12.00%18.00%11.00%5.00%8.00%10.00%5.00%4.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%—
Karpati Lvov5.00%12.00%9.00%7.00%10.00%15.00%4.00%12.00%5.00%5.00%7.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%
Shakhtyor Donetsk12.00%9.00%17.00%13.00%15.00%10.00%7.00%2.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%——
Dinamo Tbilisi2.00%6.00%8.00%11.00%11.00%10.00%14.00%9.00%5.00%4.00%5.00%7.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%—
Krylia Sovetov—————1.00%1.00%—1.00%1.00%5.00%4.00%9.00%6.00%19.00%53.00%
Dynamo Kyiv9.00%22.00%9.00%15.00%9.00%9.00%8.00%6.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%4.00%————
CSKA Moscow1.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%8.00%12.00%8.00%12.00%9.00%14.00%8.00%5.00%4.00%5.00%4.00%2.00%
Dinamo Minsk——1.00%—1.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%5.00%4.00%13.00%9.00%7.00%14.00%22.00%19.00%
Chernomorets Odesa—1.00%4.00%9.00%5.00%5.00%8.00%8.00%7.00%10.00%5.00%13.00%10.00%7.00%5.00%3.00%
Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk5.00%3.00%2.00%7.00%10.00%9.00%10.00%4.00%13.00%8.00%12.00%8.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%—
Torpedo Moscow5.00%9.00%10.00%6.00%17.00%8.00%7.00%8.00%4.00%11.00%8.00%4.00%—3.00%——
Zenit Leningrad1.00%—2.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%3.00%6.00%10.00%9.00%10.00%11.00%14.00%12.00%8.00%4.00%
Spartak Moscow——3.00%—3.00%3.00%8.00%12.00%15.00%7.00%8.00%14.00%7.00%11.00%8.00%1.00%
Lokomotiv Moscow———2.00%—4.00%5.00%7.00%5.00%12.00%6.00%7.00%14.00%15.00%12.00%11.00%
Zorya Voroshilovgrad—1.00%1.00%—1.00%1.00%4.00%6.00%6.00%4.00%7.00%9.00%21.00%17.00%16.00%6.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Ararat 100%
CSKA Moscow 100%
Chernomorets Odesa 100%
Dinamo Minsk 100%
Dinamo Tbilisi 100%
Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 100%
Dynamo Kyiv 100%
Dynamo Moscow 100%
Karpati Lvov 100%
Krylia Sovetov 100%
Lokomotiv Moscow 100%
Shakhtyor Donetsk 100%
Spartak Moscow 100%
Torpedo Moscow 100%
Zenit Leningrad 100%
Zorya Voroshilovgrad 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1976-04-04 Spartak Moscow L 0-167.8 1808 1768 58.00% 27.90% 14.10%+0.37 -12.7 0
1976-04-04 @ Ararat W 1-067.8 1768 1808 14.10% 27.90% 58.00%-0.37 +12.7 2
1976-04-04 Krylia Sovetov D 1-172.4 1737 1504 71.30% 23.09% 5.61%+0.85 -3.5 1
1976-04-04 @ Chernomorets Odesa D 1-172.4 1504 1737 5.61% 23.09% 71.30%-0.85 +3.5 1
1976-04-04 Dynamo Moscow L 0-164.9 1887 1958 46.66% 29.09% 24.24%+0.08 -10.4 0
1976-04-04 @ Dynamo Kyiv W 1-064.9 1958 1887 24.24% 29.09% 46.66%-0.08 +10.4 2
1976-04-04 CSKA Moscow D 1-173.5 1785 1720 60.11% 27.44% 12.45%+0.43 -2.4 1
1976-04-04 @ Dinamo Tbilisi D 1-173.5 1720 1785 12.45% 27.44% 60.11%-0.43 +2.4 1
1976-04-04 Zenit Leningrad W 1-053.1 1766 1683 61.50% 27.08% 11.42%+0.47 +3.4 2
1976-04-04 @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk L 0-153.1 1683 1766 11.42% 27.08% 61.50%-0.47 -3.4 0
1976-04-04 Torpedo Moscow L 1-272.1 1802 1848 49.59% 28.95% 21.46%+0.15 -10.4 0
1976-04-04 @ Karpati Lvov W 2-172.1 1848 1802 21.46% 28.95% 49.59%-0.15 +10.4 2
1976-04-04 Dinamo Minsk D 0-069.6 1891 1595 74.74% 21.08% 4.18%+1.01 -4.2 1
1976-04-04 @ Shakhtyor Donetsk D 0-069.6 1595 1891 4.18% 21.08% 74.74%-1.01 +4.2 1
1976-04-04 Lokomotiv Moscow W 1-054.9 1700 1697 54.68% 28.45% 16.87%+0.27 +4.8 2
1976-04-04 @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad L 0-154.9 1697 1700 16.87% 28.45% 54.68%-0.27 -4.8 0
1976-04-10 CSKA Moscow D 0-067.9 1795 1722 60.73% 27.29% 11.99%+0.45 -2.8 1
1976-04-10 @ Ararat D 0-067.9 1722 1795 11.99% 27.29% 60.73%-0.45 +2.8 2
1976-04-10 Torpedo Moscow W 1-060.0 1733 1858 39.88% 29.14% 30.99%-0.05 +7.6 3
1976-04-10 @ Chernomorets Odesa L 0-160.0 1858 1733 30.99% 29.14% 39.88%+0.05 -7.6 2
1976-04-10 Spartak Moscow W 1-055.6 1782 1781 54.52% 28.47% 17.01%+0.27 +4.8 3
1976-04-10 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-155.6 1781 1782 17.01% 28.47% 54.52%-0.27 -4.8 2
1976-04-10 Dinamo Minsk W 2-046.8 1769 1599 67.53% 24.94% 7.53%+0.69 +4.2 4
1976-04-10 @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk L 0-246.8 1599 1769 7.53% 24.94% 67.53%-0.69 -4.2 1
1976-04-10 Krylia Sovetov W 2-044.1 1792 1508 74.12% 21.46% 4.42%+0.98 +2.3 2
1976-04-10 @ Karpati Lvov L 0-244.1 1508 1792 4.42% 21.46% 74.12%-0.98 -2.3 1
1976-04-10 Zenit Leningrad W 1-051.0 1887 1679 69.86% 23.84% 6.30%+0.79 +1.8 3
1976-04-10 @ Shakhtyor Donetsk L 0-151.0 1679 1887 6.30% 23.84% 69.86%-0.79 -1.8 0
1976-04-10 Dynamo Moscow D 0-068.1 1705 1969 22.48% 27.64% 49.89%-0.40 +1.4 3
1976-04-10 @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad D 0-068.1 1969 1705 49.89% 27.64% 22.48%+0.40 -1.5 3
1976-04-11 Lokomotiv Moscow D 0-068.9 1877 1692 68.49% 24.51% 7.01%+0.73 -3.7 1
1976-04-11 @ Dynamo Kyiv D 0-068.9 1692 1877 7.01% 24.51% 68.49%-0.73 +3.7 1
1976-04-16 Ararat L 0-158.8 1595 1792 30.08% 28.63% 41.28%-0.23 -7.4 1
1976-04-16 @ Dinamo Minsk W 1-058.8 1792 1595 41.28% 28.63% 30.08%+0.23 +7.4 3
1976-04-16 Karpati Lvov L 0-163.5 1696 1794 43.30% 29.16% 27.54%+0.01 -9.8 1
1976-04-16 @ Lokomotiv Moscow W 1-063.5 1794 1696 27.54% 29.16% 43.30%-0.01 +9.8 4
1976-04-16 Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk D 1-173.8 1850 1773 61.05% 27.20% 11.75%+0.46 -2.5 3
1976-04-16 @ Torpedo Moscow D 1-173.8 1773 1850 11.75% 27.20% 61.05%-0.46 +2.5 5
1976-04-17 Chernomorets Odesa D 0-069.4 1967 1741 70.95% 23.28% 5.77%+0.84 -3.9 4
1976-04-17 @ Dynamo Moscow D 0-069.4 1741 1967 5.77% 23.28% 70.95%-0.84 +3.9 4
1976-04-18 Shakhtyor Donetsk D 2-279.8 1506 1889 13.00% 24.80% 62.20%-0.71 +1.9 2
1976-04-18 @ Krylia Sovetov D 2-279.8 1889 1506 62.20% 24.80% 13.00%+0.71 -1.8 4
1976-04-18 Dynamo Kyiv L 0-163.9 1776 1873 43.43% 29.16% 27.42%+0.02 -9.8 2
1976-04-18 @ Spartak Moscow W 1-063.9 1873 1776 27.42% 29.16% 43.43%-0.02 +9.8 3
1976-04-18 Dinamo Tbilisi W 1-059.1 1678 1787 41.86% 29.16% 28.98%-0.01 +7.3 2
1976-04-18 @ Zenit Leningrad L 0-159.1 1787 1678 28.98% 29.16% 41.86%+0.01 -7.3 3
1976-04-19 Zorya Voroshilovgrad W 3-049.1 1725 1707 56.06% 28.24% 15.70%+0.31 +12.3 4
1976-04-19 @ CSKA Moscow L 0-349.1 1707 1725 15.70% 28.24% 56.06%-0.31 -12.3 3
1976-04-24 Shakhtyor Donetsk L 1-272.4 1848 1887 50.31% 28.90% 20.80%+0.17 -10.5 3
1976-04-24 @ Torpedo Moscow W 2-172.4 1887 1848 20.80% 28.90% 50.31%-0.17 +10.5 6
1976-04-25 Lokomotiv Moscow W 2-049.6 1745 1686 59.60% 27.56% 12.84%+0.41 +7.1 6
1976-04-25 @ Chernomorets Odesa L 0-249.6 1686 1745 12.84% 27.56% 59.60%-0.41 -7.1 1
1976-04-25 Dynamo Kyiv W 1-061.0 1737 1883 37.00% 29.06% 33.94%-0.11 +8.1 6
1976-04-25 @ CSKA Moscow L 0-161.0 1883 1737 33.94% 29.06% 37.00%+0.11 -8.1 3
1976-04-25 Dinamo Tbilisi W 2-168.3 1588 1780 30.70% 28.69% 40.61%-0.22 +8.7 3
1976-04-25 @ Dinamo Minsk L 1-268.3 1780 1588 40.61% 28.69% 30.70%+0.22 -8.7 3
1976-04-25 Dynamo Moscow D 1-173.4 1804 1963 35.09% 28.97% 35.94%-0.14 +0.0 5
1976-04-25 @ Karpati Lvov D 1-173.4 1963 1804 35.94% 28.97% 35.09%+0.14 -0.0 5
1976-04-25 Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk W 1-063.5 1507 1776 21.99% 27.55% 50.46%-0.42 +11.0 4
1976-04-25 @ Krylia Sovetov L 0-163.5 1776 1507 50.46% 27.55% 21.99%+0.42 -11.0 5
1976-04-25 Ararat L 1-269.3 1685 1800 41.19% 29.16% 29.66%-0.03 -8.9 2
1976-04-25 @ Zenit Leningrad W 2-169.3 1800 1685 29.66% 29.16% 41.19%+0.03 +8.9 5
1976-04-26 Zorya Voroshilovgrad D 0-067.7 1766 1694 60.62% 27.31% 12.07%+0.45 -2.8 3
1976-04-26 @ Spartak Moscow D 0-067.7 1694 1766 12.07% 27.31% 60.62%-0.45 +2.8 4
1976-05-02 Torpedo Moscow W 2-052.7 1809 1837 51.40% 28.81% 19.79%+0.19 +10.3 7
1976-05-02 @ Ararat L 0-252.7 1837 1809 19.79% 28.81% 51.40%-0.19 -10.3 3
1976-05-02 Dinamo Minsk D 0-069.4 1875 1597 73.82% 21.65% 4.54%+0.97 -4.1 4
1976-05-02 @ Dynamo Kyiv D 0-069.4 1597 1875 4.54% 21.65% 73.82%-0.97 +4.1 4
1976-05-02 Krylia Sovetov W 1-048.5 1771 1518 72.44% 22.45% 5.10%+0.91 +1.5 5
1976-05-02 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-148.5 1518 1771 5.10% 22.45% 72.44%-0.91 -1.5 4
1976-05-02 Karpati Lvov L 1-272.2 1765 1804 50.30% 28.90% 20.80%+0.17 -10.5 5
1976-05-02 @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk W 2-172.2 1804 1765 20.80% 28.90% 50.30%-0.17 +10.5 7
1976-05-02 Chernomorets Odesa L 1-276.0 1898 1752 65.97% 25.59% 8.44%+0.63 -13.5 6
1976-05-02 @ Shakhtyor Donetsk W 2-176.0 1752 1898 8.44% 25.59% 65.97%-0.63 +13.5 8
1976-05-02 Lokomotiv Moscow L 0-362.6 1763 1679 61.61% 27.05% 11.34%+0.48 -36.8 3
1976-05-02 @ Spartak Moscow W 3-062.6 1679 1763 11.34% 27.05% 61.61%-0.48 +36.8 3
1976-05-02 Zenit Leningrad D 1-172.5 1697 1676 56.32% 28.20% 15.48%+0.32 -2.0 5
1976-05-02 @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad D 1-172.5 1676 1697 15.48% 28.20% 56.32%-0.32 +2.0 3
1976-05-03 CSKA Moscow W 2-157.5 1963 1745 70.47% 23.53% 6.00%+0.82 +1.6 7
1976-05-03 @ Dynamo Moscow L 1-257.5 1745 1963 6.00% 23.53% 70.47%-0.82 -1.6 6
1976-05-08 Dinamo Minsk W 2-047.1 1744 1601 65.80% 25.66% 8.54%+0.63 +4.8 8
1976-05-08 @ CSKA Moscow L 0-247.1 1601 1744 8.54% 25.66% 65.80%-0.63 -4.8 4
1976-05-09 Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-166.6 1765 1773 53.61% 28.58% 17.80%+0.25 -11.8 8
1976-05-09 @ Chernomorets Odesa W 1-066.6 1773 1765 17.80% 28.58% 53.61%-0.25 +11.8 7
1976-05-09 Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk W 2-048.9 1871 1754 63.97% 26.32% 9.70%+0.56 +5.5 6
1976-05-09 @ Dynamo Kyiv L 0-248.9 1754 1871 9.70% 26.32% 63.97%-0.56 -5.4 5
1976-05-09 Ararat W 2-162.4 1814 1819 53.90% 28.55% 17.55%+0.25 +4.6 9
1976-05-09 @ Karpati Lvov L 1-262.4 1819 1814 17.55% 28.55% 53.90%-0.25 -4.7 7
1976-05-09 Dynamo Moscow W 1-068.8 1517 1965 9.67% 22.88% 67.46%-0.87 +14.1 6
1976-05-09 @ Krylia Sovetov L 0-168.8 1965 1517 67.46% 22.88% 9.67%+0.87 -14.1 7
1976-05-09 Torpedo Moscow L 2-374.4 1716 1827 41.61% 29.16% 29.23%-0.02 -8.5 3
1976-05-09 @ Lokomotiv Moscow W 3-274.4 1827 1716 29.23% 29.16% 41.61%+0.02 +8.5 5
1976-05-09 Spartak Moscow D 0-066.9 1678 1726 49.29% 28.97% 21.74%+0.14 -1.5 4
1976-05-09 @ Zenit Leningrad D 0-066.9 1726 1678 21.74% 28.97% 49.29%-0.14 +1.5 4
1976-05-09 Shakhtyor Donetsk L 0-255.9 1695 1884 31.11% 28.72% 40.17%-0.21 -14.4 5
1976-05-09 @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad W 2-055.9 1884 1695 40.17% 28.72% 31.11%+0.21 +14.4 8
1976-05-14 Karpati Lvov W 3-051.2 1785 1819 50.80% 28.86% 20.34%+0.18 +15.2 9
1976-05-14 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-351.2 1819 1785 20.34% 28.86% 50.80%-0.18 -15.2 9
1976-05-14 Dynamo Moscow L 2-369.1 1707 1951 24.55% 27.98% 47.46%-0.35 -5.7 3
1976-05-14 @ Lokomotiv Moscow W 3-269.1 1951 1707 47.46% 27.98% 24.55%+0.35 +5.7 9
1976-05-15 Zenit Leningrad L 1-275.9 1836 1677 66.86% 25.23% 7.91%+0.67 -13.6 5
1976-05-15 @ Torpedo Moscow W 2-175.9 1677 1836 7.91% 25.23% 66.86%-0.67 +13.6 6
1976-05-16 Chernomorets Odesa W 4-048.9 1814 1754 59.72% 27.53% 12.74%+0.42 +13.4 9
1976-05-16 @ Ararat L 0-448.9 1754 1814 12.74% 27.53% 59.72%-0.42 -13.4 8
1976-05-16 Spartak Moscow L 1-273.5 1748 1728 56.28% 28.21% 15.51%+0.32 -11.6 8
1976-05-16 @ CSKA Moscow W 2-173.5 1728 1748 15.51% 28.21% 56.28%-0.32 +11.6 6
1976-05-16 Krylia Sovetov W 2-044.7 1596 1531 60.07% 27.45% 12.48%+0.43 +6.9 6
1976-05-16 @ Dinamo Minsk L 0-244.7 1531 1596 12.48% 27.45% 60.07%-0.43 -6.9 6
1976-05-16 Zorya Voroshilovgrad W 2-049.4 1749 1681 60.35% 27.38% 12.27%+0.44 +6.8 7
1976-05-16 @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk L 0-249.4 1681 1749 12.27% 27.38% 60.35%-0.44 -6.8 5
1976-05-16 Dynamo Kyiv D 0-068.0 1898 1876 56.42% 28.19% 15.39%+0.32 -2.3 9
1976-05-16 @ Shakhtyor Donetsk D 0-068.0 1876 1898 15.39% 28.19% 56.42%-0.32 +2.3 7
1976-05-19 Dinamo Tbilisi D 0-067.3 1701 1800 43.31% 29.16% 27.53%+0.02 -0.8 4
1976-05-19 @ Lokomotiv Moscow D 0-067.3 1800 1701 27.53% 29.16% 43.31%-0.02 +0.8 10
1976-05-23 Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk W 2-162.4 1740 1756 52.79% 28.67% 18.53%+0.23 +4.9 10
1976-05-23 @ Chernomorets Odesa L 1-262.4 1756 1740 18.53% 28.67% 52.79%-0.23 -4.9 7
1976-05-23 Dinamo Tbilisi D 0-068.2 1878 1801 61.11% 27.18% 11.70%+0.46 -2.8 8
1976-05-23 @ Dynamo Kyiv D 0-068.2 1801 1878 11.70% 27.18% 61.11%-0.46 +2.9 11
1976-05-23 Dinamo Minsk W 1-048.7 1957 1603 77.62% 19.18% 3.20%+1.16 +0.9 11
1976-05-23 @ Dynamo Moscow L 0-148.7 1603 1957 3.20% 19.18% 77.62%-1.16 -0.8 6
1976-05-23 Shakhtyor Donetsk W 4-053.7 1804 1896 44.09% 29.15% 26.76%+0.03 +24.5 11
1976-05-23 @ Karpati Lvov L 0-453.7 1896 1804 26.76% 29.15% 44.09%-0.03 -24.5 9
1976-05-23 Lokomotiv Moscow W 3-053.7 1524 1701 32.77% 28.84% 38.39%-0.18 +24.3 8
1976-05-23 @ Krylia Sovetov L 0-353.7 1701 1524 38.39% 28.84% 32.77%+0.18 -24.3 4
1976-05-23 CSKA Moscow W 2-163.1 1690 1737 49.47% 28.96% 21.57%+0.15 +5.5 8
1976-05-23 @ Zenit Leningrad L 1-263.1 1737 1690 21.57% 28.96% 49.47%-0.15 -5.5 8
1976-05-23 Ararat L 0-161.3 1674 1828 35.91% 29.01% 35.08%-0.12 -8.5 5
1976-05-23 @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad W 1-061.3 1828 1674 35.08% 29.01% 35.91%+0.12 +8.5 11
1976-05-24 Torpedo Moscow L 0-164.3 1739 1822 45.28% 29.13% 25.59%+0.06 -10.2 6
1976-05-24 @ Spartak Moscow W 1-064.3 1822 1739 25.59% 29.13% 45.28%-0.06 +10.2 7
1976-05-31 Krylia Sovetov D 1-172.6 1731 1548 68.36% 24.57% 7.07%+0.73 -3.3 9
1976-05-31 @ CSKA Moscow D 1-172.6 1548 1731 7.07% 24.57% 68.36%-0.73 +3.3 9
1976-06-01 Spartak Moscow W 2-165.3 1602 1729 39.54% 29.13% 31.34%-0.06 +7.2 8
1976-06-01 @ Dinamo Minsk L 1-265.3 1729 1602 31.34% 29.13% 39.54%+0.06 -7.2 6
1976-06-01 Zorya Voroshilovgrad W 3-046.5 1803 1665 65.47% 25.78% 8.75%+0.61 +7.1 13
1976-06-01 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-346.5 1665 1803 8.75% 25.78% 65.47%-0.61 -7.1 5
1976-06-01 Shakhtyor Donetsk D 0-067.5 1751 1872 40.41% 29.15% 30.44%-0.04 -0.5 8
1976-06-01 @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk D 0-067.5 1872 1751 30.44% 29.15% 40.41%+0.04 +0.5 10
1976-06-01 Dynamo Moscow D 0-067.7 1832 1957 39.81% 29.14% 31.05%-0.05 -0.4 8
1976-06-01 @ Torpedo Moscow D 0-067.7 1957 1832 31.05% 29.14% 39.81%+0.05 +0.4 12
1976-06-02 Zenit Leningrad W 2-161.9 1676 1696 52.39% 28.72% 18.89%+0.22 +5.0 6
1976-06-02 @ Lokomotiv Moscow L 1-261.9 1696 1676 18.89% 28.72% 52.39%-0.22 -4.9 8
1976-06-04 Chernomorets Odesa D 2-279.8 1828 1745 61.53% 27.07% 11.40%+0.48 -1.9 12
1976-06-04 @ Karpati Lvov D 2-279.8 1745 1828 11.40% 27.07% 61.53%-0.48 +1.9 11
1976-06-07 Chernomorets Odesa W 4-155.3 1722 1747 51.80% 28.77% 19.42%+0.20 +12.4 8
1976-06-07 @ Spartak Moscow L 1-455.3 1747 1722 19.42% 28.77% 51.80%-0.20 -12.4 11
1976-06-08 Lokomotiv Moscow D 1-171.4 1609 1681 46.55% 29.10% 24.35%+0.08 -1.0 9
1976-06-08 @ Dinamo Minsk D 1-171.4 1681 1609 24.35% 29.10% 46.55%-0.08 +1.0 7
1976-06-08 Ararat L 2-375.4 1750 1836 44.90% 29.14% 25.96%+0.05 -9.0 8
1976-06-08 @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk W 3-275.4 1836 1750 25.96% 29.14% 44.90%-0.05 +9.0 13
1976-06-08 Torpedo Moscow D 0-067.2 1552 1832 20.87% 27.32% 51.81%-0.45 +1.7 10
1976-06-08 @ Krylia Sovetov D 0-067.2 1832 1552 51.81% 27.32% 20.87%+0.45 -1.7 9
1976-06-08 Dinamo Tbilisi W 1-054.2 1872 1811 59.81% 27.51% 12.68%+0.42 +3.7 12
1976-06-08 @ Shakhtyor Donetsk L 0-154.2 1811 1872 12.68% 27.51% 59.81%-0.42 -3.7 13
1976-06-10 Zorya Voroshilovgrad W 2-157.2 1876 1658 70.43% 23.55% 6.02%+0.82 +1.6 10
1976-06-10 @ Dynamo Kyiv L 1-257.2 1658 1876 6.02% 23.55% 70.43%-0.82 -1.6 5
1976-06-15 Karpati Lvov W 3-156.6 1877 1826 58.92% 27.71% 13.37%+0.39 +6.4 12
1976-06-15 @ Dynamo Kyiv L 1-356.6 1826 1877 13.37% 27.71% 58.92%-0.39 -6.4 12
1976-06-15 Torpedo Moscow W 2-059.4 1608 1830 27.04% 28.32% 44.65%-0.30 +18.8 11
1976-06-15 @ Dinamo Minsk L 0-259.4 1830 1608 44.65% 28.32% 27.04%+0.30 -18.8 9
1976-06-15 Spartak Moscow W 1-050.9 1958 1734 70.78% 23.37% 5.85%+0.83 +1.7 14
1976-06-15 @ Dynamo Moscow L 0-150.9 1734 1958 5.85% 23.37% 70.78%-0.83 -1.7 8
1976-06-15 Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk W 4-153.0 1807 1741 60.13% 27.43% 12.44%+0.43 +8.5 15
1976-06-15 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 1-453.0 1741 1807 12.44% 27.43% 60.13%-0.43 -8.4 8
1976-06-15 Zenit Leningrad W 2-164.5 1553 1691 38.17% 29.09% 32.73%-0.08 +7.5 12
1976-06-15 @ Krylia Sovetov L 1-264.5 1691 1553 32.73% 29.09% 38.17%+0.08 -7.5 8
1976-06-15 Chernomorets Odesa D 0-066.7 1657 1735 45.83% 29.12% 25.05%+0.07 -1.1 6
1976-06-15 @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad D 0-066.7 1735 1657 25.05% 29.12% 45.83%-0.07 +1.1 12
1976-06-16 Shakhtyor Donetsk W 2-052.8 1845 1876 51.20% 28.83% 19.97%+0.19 +10.3 15
1976-06-16 @ Ararat L 0-252.8 1876 1845 19.97% 28.83% 51.20%-0.19 -10.3 12
1976-06-16 Lokomotiv Moscow W 3-265.0 1728 1682 58.50% 27.80% 13.70%+0.38 +3.6 11
1976-06-16 @ CSKA Moscow L 2-365.0 1682 1728 13.70% 27.80% 58.50%-0.38 -3.6 7
1976-06-22 Dinamo Tbilisi D 1-173.6 1855 1815 58.01% 27.90% 14.09%+0.37 -2.2 16
1976-06-22 @ Ararat D 1-173.6 1815 1855 14.09% 27.90% 58.01%-0.37 +2.2 16
1976-06-22 Dynamo Kyiv D 1-173.2 1736 1884 36.71% 29.04% 34.24%-0.11 -0.1 13
1976-06-22 @ Chernomorets Odesa D 1-173.2 1884 1736 34.24% 29.04% 36.71%+0.11 +0.1 13
1976-06-22 Shakhtyor Donetsk W 4-152.7 1960 1865 62.35% 26.84% 10.81%+0.50 +7.4 16
1976-06-22 @ Dynamo Moscow L 1-452.7 1865 1960 10.81% 26.84% 62.35%-0.50 -7.4 12
1976-06-22 Zorya Voroshilovgrad W 3-046.0 1820 1656 67.21% 25.08% 7.71%+0.68 +6.2 14
1976-06-22 @ Karpati Lvov L 0-346.0 1656 1820 7.71% 25.08% 67.21%-0.68 -6.3 6
1976-06-22 Dinamo Minsk W 3-154.8 1683 1627 59.38% 27.61% 13.01%+0.41 +6.2 10
1976-06-22 @ Zenit Leningrad L 1-354.8 1627 1683 13.01% 27.61% 59.38%-0.41 -6.2 11
1976-06-23 Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk W 2-052.8 1679 1733 48.63% 29.01% 22.37%+0.13 +11.3 9
1976-06-23 @ Lokomotiv Moscow L 0-252.8 1733 1679 22.37% 29.01% 48.63%-0.13 -11.3 8
1976-06-25 Krylia Sovetov W 1-050.0 1733 1561 67.67% 24.88% 7.45%+0.70 +2.2 10
1976-06-25 @ Spartak Moscow L 0-150.0 1561 1733 7.45% 24.88% 67.67%-0.70 -2.2 12
1976-06-26 CSKA Moscow L 0-463.2 1811 1732 61.25% 27.15% 11.60%+0.47 -47.8 9
1976-06-26 @ Torpedo Moscow W 4-063.2 1732 1811 11.60% 27.15% 61.25%-0.47 +47.8 13
1976-06-29 Chernomorets Odesa W 2-165.1 1621 1736 41.18% 29.16% 29.67%-0.03 +7.0 13
1976-06-29 @ Dinamo Minsk L 1-265.1 1736 1621 29.67% 29.16% 41.18%+0.03 -7.0 13
1976-06-29 Dynamo Moscow W 1-064.8 1722 1967 24.39% 27.96% 47.66%-0.36 +10.5 10
1976-06-29 @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk L 0-164.8 1967 1722 47.66% 27.96% 24.39%+0.36 -10.5 16
1976-06-29 Spartak Moscow W 2-049.3 1826 1735 62.15% 26.90% 10.95%+0.50 +6.1 16
1976-06-29 @ Karpati Lvov L 0-249.3 1735 1826 10.95% 26.90% 62.15%-0.50 -6.1 10
1976-06-29 Ararat D 1-173.2 1559 1853 19.55% 27.02% 53.43%-0.48 +1.6 13
1976-06-29 @ Krylia Sovetov D 1-173.2 1853 1559 53.43% 27.02% 19.55%+0.48 -1.6 17
1976-06-29 CSKA Moscow W 2-049.7 1858 1779 61.17% 27.17% 11.66%+0.46 +6.5 14
1976-06-29 @ Shakhtyor Donetsk L 0-249.7 1779 1858 11.66% 27.17% 61.17%-0.46 -6.5 13
1976-06-29 Zorya Voroshilovgrad W 2-158.7 1764 1649 63.82% 26.37% 9.81%+0.55 +2.8 11
1976-06-29 @ Torpedo Moscow L 1-258.7 1649 1764 9.81% 26.37% 63.82%-0.55 -2.8 6
1976-06-29 Dynamo Kyiv D 1-173.3 1689 1884 30.43% 28.66% 40.91%-0.23 +0.5 11
1976-06-29 @ Zenit Leningrad D 1-173.3 1884 1689 40.91% 28.66% 30.43%+0.23 -0.5 14
1976-07-06 Krylia Sovetov L 1-276.9 1883 1560 76.12% 20.19% 3.69%+1.08 -14.9 14
1976-07-06 @ Dynamo Kyiv W 2-176.9 1560 1883 3.69% 20.19% 76.12%-1.08 +14.9 15
1976-07-06 Ararat W 1-053.3 1956 1852 63.15% 26.59% 10.26%+0.53 +3.0 18
1976-07-06 @ Dynamo Moscow L 0-153.3 1852 1956 10.26% 26.59% 63.15%-0.53 -3.0 17
1976-07-06 Torpedo Moscow D 1-173.6 1818 1766 58.96% 27.70% 13.34%+0.39 -2.3 17
1976-07-06 @ Dinamo Tbilisi D 1-173.6 1766 1818 13.34% 27.70% 58.96%-0.39 +2.3 12
1976-07-06 Karpati Lvov D 1-173.0 1690 1832 37.46% 29.07% 33.47%-0.10 -0.2 12
1976-07-06 @ Zenit Leningrad D 1-173.0 1832 1690 33.47% 29.07% 37.46%+0.10 +0.2 17
1976-07-06 Dinamo Minsk W 3-155.2 1647 1628 56.11% 28.24% 15.65%+0.31 +7.3 8
1976-07-06 @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad L 1-355.2 1628 1647 15.65% 28.24% 56.11%-0.31 -7.3 13
1976-07-07 Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk L 1-465.6 1729 1732 54.01% 28.53% 17.46%+0.26 -27.4 10
1976-07-07 @ Spartak Moscow W 4-165.6 1732 1729 17.46% 28.53% 54.01%-0.26 +27.4 12
1976-07-08 Shakhtyor Donetsk L 1-267.0 1690 1865 33.02% 28.86% 38.12%-0.18 -7.5 9
1976-07-08 @ Lokomotiv Moscow W 2-167.0 1865 1690 38.12% 28.86% 33.02%+0.18 +7.5 16
1976-07-09 Chernomorets Odesa D 1-173.3 1773 1729 58.37% 27.83% 13.81%+0.38 -2.3 14
1976-07-09 @ CSKA Moscow D 1-173.3 1729 1773 13.81% 27.83% 58.37%-0.38 +2.3 14
1976-07-12 Dynamo Kyiv W 3-161.2 1769 1868 43.13% 29.16% 27.71%+0.01 +11.5 14
1976-07-12 @ Torpedo Moscow L 1-361.2 1868 1769 27.71% 29.16% 43.13%-0.01 -11.5 14
1976-07-13 Lokomotiv Moscow W 3-262.9 1848 1682 67.30% 25.04% 7.66%+0.69 +2.0 19
1976-07-13 @ Ararat L 2-362.9 1682 1848 7.66% 25.04% 67.30%-0.69 -2.0 9
1976-07-13 Zenit Leningrad D 0-067.3 1731 1690 58.10% 27.88% 14.02%+0.37 -2.5 15
1976-07-13 @ Chernomorets Odesa D 0-067.3 1690 1731 14.02% 27.88% 58.10%-0.37 +2.5 13
1976-07-13 Karpati Lvov W 4-268.4 1620 1833 28.19% 28.45% 43.37%-0.27 +14.2 15
1976-07-13 @ Dinamo Minsk L 2-468.4 1833 1620 43.37% 28.45% 28.19%+0.27 -14.2 17
1976-07-13 Dinamo Tbilisi W 2-158.9 1960 1815 65.89% 25.62% 8.49%+0.63 +2.4 20
1976-07-13 @ Dynamo Moscow L 1-258.9 1815 1960 8.49% 25.62% 65.89%-0.63 -2.4 17
1976-07-13 CSKA Moscow W 2-051.9 1760 1771 53.23% 28.63% 18.15%+0.24 +9.6 14
1976-07-13 @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk L 0-251.9 1771 1760 18.15% 28.63% 53.23%-0.24 -9.6 14
1976-07-13 Zorya Voroshilovgrad W 4-260.7 1575 1654 45.75% 29.12% 25.12%+0.07 +9.6 17
1976-07-13 @ Krylia Sovetov L 2-460.7 1654 1575 25.12% 29.12% 45.75%-0.07 -9.6 8
1976-07-13 Spartak Moscow W 1-051.7 1872 1701 67.60% 24.91% 7.49%+0.70 +2.2 18
1976-07-13 @ Shakhtyor Donetsk L 0-151.7 1701 1872 7.49% 24.91% 67.60%-0.70 -2.2 10
1976-07-17 Dynamo Kyiv L 1-273.3 1850 1857 53.70% 28.57% 17.73%+0.25 -11.1 19
1976-07-17 @ Ararat W 2-173.3 1857 1850 17.73% 28.57% 53.70%-0.25 +11.1 16
1976-07-17 Karpati Lvov D 1-173.2 1761 1818 48.27% 29.02% 22.70%+0.12 -1.2 15
1976-07-17 @ CSKA Moscow D 1-173.2 1818 1761 22.70% 29.02% 48.27%-0.12 +1.2 18
1976-07-17 Dynamo Moscow L 0-156.9 1692 1962 21.88% 27.52% 50.60%-0.42 -5.8 13
1976-07-17 @ Zenit Leningrad W 1-056.9 1962 1692 50.60% 27.52% 21.88%+0.42 +5.8 22

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1976-07-06 3.69% Krylia Sovetov 1560 2 @ Dynamo Kyiv 1883 1
2 1976-05-15 7.91% Zenit Leningrad 1677 2 @ Torpedo Moscow 1836 1
3 1976-05-02 8.44% Chernomorets Odesa 1752 2 @ Shakhtyor Donetsk 1898 1
4 1976-05-09 9.67% @ Krylia Sovetov 1517 1 Dynamo Moscow 1965 0
5 1976-05-02 11.34% Lokomotiv Moscow 1679 3 @ Spartak Moscow 1763 0
6 1976-06-26 11.60% CSKA Moscow 1732 4 @ Torpedo Moscow 1811 0
7 1976-04-04 14.10% Spartak Moscow 1768 1 @ Ararat 1808 0
8 1976-05-16 15.51% Spartak Moscow 1728 2 @ CSKA Moscow 1748 1
9 1976-07-07 17.46% Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 1732 4 @ Spartak Moscow 1729 1
10 1976-07-17 17.73% Dynamo Kyiv 1857 2 @ Ararat 1850 1
11 1976-05-09 17.80% Dinamo Tbilisi 1773 1 @ Chernomorets Odesa 1765 0
12 1976-04-24 20.80% Shakhtyor Donetsk 1887 2 @ Torpedo Moscow 1848 1
13 1976-05-02 20.80% Karpati Lvov 1804 2 @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 1765 1
14 1976-04-04 21.46% Torpedo Moscow 1848 2 @ Karpati Lvov 1802 1
15 1976-04-25 21.99% @ Krylia Sovetov 1507 1 Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 1776 0
16 1976-04-04 24.24% Dynamo Moscow 1958 1 @ Dynamo Kyiv 1887 0
17 1976-06-29 24.39% @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 1722 1 Dynamo Moscow 1967 0
18 1976-05-24 25.59% Torpedo Moscow 1822 1 @ Spartak Moscow 1739 0
19 1976-06-08 25.96% Ararat 1836 3 @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 1750 2
20 1976-06-15 27.04% @ Dinamo Minsk 1608 2 Torpedo Moscow 1830 0
21 1976-04-18 27.42% Dynamo Kyiv 1873 1 @ Spartak Moscow 1776 0
22 1976-04-16 27.54% Karpati Lvov 1794 1 @ Lokomotiv Moscow 1696 0
23 1976-07-13 28.19% @ Dinamo Minsk 1620 4 Karpati Lvov 1833 2
24 1976-05-09 29.23% Torpedo Moscow 1827 3 @ Lokomotiv Moscow 1716 2
25 1976-04-25 29.66% Ararat 1800 2 @ Zenit Leningrad 1685 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1976-06-26 47.80 CSKA Moscow 4 1732 11.60% @ Torpedo Moscow 0 1811 61.25% 27.15%
2 1976-05-02 36.79 Lokomotiv Moscow 3 1679 11.34% @ Spartak Moscow 0 1763 61.61% 27.05%
3 1976-07-07 27.43 Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 4 1732 17.46% @ Spartak Moscow 1 1729 54.01% 28.53%
4 1976-05-23 24.54 @ Karpati Lvov 4 1804 44.09% Shakhtyor Donetsk 0 1896 26.76% 29.15%
5 1976-05-23 24.31 @ Krylia Sovetov 3 1524 32.77% Lokomotiv Moscow 0 1701 38.39% 28.84%
6 1976-06-15 18.77 @ Dinamo Minsk 2 1608 27.04% Torpedo Moscow 0 1830 44.65% 28.32%
7 1976-05-14 15.24 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 3 1785 50.80% Karpati Lvov 0 1819 20.34% 28.86%
8 1976-07-06 14.89 Krylia Sovetov 2 1560 3.69% @ Dynamo Kyiv 1 1883 76.12% 20.19%
9 1976-05-09 14.36 Shakhtyor Donetsk 2 1884 40.17% @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad 0 1695 31.11% 28.72%
10 1976-07-13 14.21 @ Dinamo Minsk 4 1620 28.19% Karpati Lvov 2 1833 43.37% 28.45%
11 1976-05-09 14.15 @ Krylia Sovetov 1 1517 9.67% Dynamo Moscow 0 1965 67.46% 22.88%
12 1976-05-15 13.62 Zenit Leningrad 2 1677 7.91% @ Torpedo Moscow 1 1836 66.86% 25.23%
13 1976-05-02 13.46 Chernomorets Odesa 2 1752 8.44% @ Shakhtyor Donetsk 1 1898 65.97% 25.59%
14 1976-05-16 13.39 @ Ararat 4 1814 59.72% Chernomorets Odesa 0 1754 12.74% 27.53%
15 1976-04-04 12.69 Spartak Moscow 1 1768 14.10% @ Ararat 0 1808 58.00% 27.90%
16 1976-06-07 12.38 @ Spartak Moscow 4 1722 51.80% Chernomorets Odesa 1 1747 19.42% 28.77%
17 1976-04-19 12.31 @ CSKA Moscow 3 1725 56.06% Zorya Voroshilovgrad 0 1707 15.70% 28.24%
18 1976-05-09 11.80 Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1773 17.80% @ Chernomorets Odesa 0 1765 53.61% 28.58%
19 1976-05-16 11.64 Spartak Moscow 2 1728 15.51% @ CSKA Moscow 1 1748 56.28% 28.21%
20 1976-07-12 11.50 @ Torpedo Moscow 3 1769 43.13% Dynamo Kyiv 1 1868 27.71% 29.16%
21 1976-06-23 11.30 @ Lokomotiv Moscow 2 1679 48.63% Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 0 1733 22.37% 29.01%
22 1976-07-17 11.14 Dynamo Kyiv 2 1857 17.73% @ Ararat 1 1850 53.70% 28.57%
23 1976-04-25 11.01 @ Krylia Sovetov 1 1507 21.99% Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 0 1776 50.46% 27.55%
24 1976-04-24 10.50 Shakhtyor Donetsk 2 1887 20.80% @ Torpedo Moscow 1 1848 50.31% 28.90%
25 1976-05-02 10.50 Karpati Lvov 2 1804 20.80% @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 1 1765 50.30% 28.90%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1976-04-18 79.8 @ Krylia Sovetov 2 1506 13.00% Shakhtyor Donetsk 2 1889 62.20% 24.80%
2 1976-06-04 79.8 @ Karpati Lvov 2 1828 61.53% Chernomorets Odesa 2 1745 11.40% 27.07%
3 1976-07-06 76.9 Krylia Sovetov 2 1560 3.69% @ Dynamo Kyiv 1 1883 76.12% 20.19%
4 1976-05-02 76.0 Chernomorets Odesa 2 1752 8.44% @ Shakhtyor Donetsk 1 1898 65.97% 25.59%
5 1976-05-15 75.9 Zenit Leningrad 2 1677 7.91% @ Torpedo Moscow 1 1836 66.86% 25.23%
6 1976-06-08 75.4 Ararat 3 1836 25.96% @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 2 1750 44.90% 29.14%
7 1976-05-09 74.4 Torpedo Moscow 3 1827 29.23% @ Lokomotiv Moscow 2 1716 41.61% 29.16%
8 1976-04-16 73.8 @ Torpedo Moscow 1 1850 61.05% Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 1 1773 11.75% 27.20%
9 1976-06-22 73.6 @ Ararat 1 1855 58.01% Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1815 14.09% 27.90%
10 1976-07-06 73.6 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1818 58.96% Torpedo Moscow 1 1766 13.34% 27.70%
11 1976-04-04 73.5 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1785 60.11% CSKA Moscow 1 1720 12.45% 27.44%
12 1976-05-16 73.5 Spartak Moscow 2 1728 15.51% @ CSKA Moscow 1 1748 56.28% 28.21%
13 1976-04-25 73.4 @ Karpati Lvov 1 1804 35.09% Dynamo Moscow 1 1963 35.94% 28.97%
14 1976-06-29 73.3 @ Zenit Leningrad 1 1689 30.43% Dynamo Kyiv 1 1884 40.91% 28.66%
15 1976-07-09 73.3 @ CSKA Moscow 1 1773 58.37% Chernomorets Odesa 1 1729 13.81% 27.83%
16 1976-07-17 73.3 Dynamo Kyiv 2 1857 17.73% @ Ararat 1 1850 53.70% 28.57%
17 1976-06-22 73.2 @ Chernomorets Odesa 1 1736 36.71% Dynamo Kyiv 1 1884 34.24% 29.04%
18 1976-06-29 73.2 @ Krylia Sovetov 1 1559 19.55% Ararat 1 1853 53.43% 27.02%
19 1976-07-17 73.2 @ CSKA Moscow 1 1761 48.27% Karpati Lvov 1 1818 22.70% 29.02%
20 1976-07-06 73.0 @ Zenit Leningrad 1 1690 37.46% Karpati Lvov 1 1832 33.47% 29.07%
21 1976-05-31 72.6 @ CSKA Moscow 1 1731 68.36% Krylia Sovetov 1 1548 7.07% 24.57%
22 1976-05-02 72.5 @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad 1 1697 56.32% Zenit Leningrad 1 1676 15.48% 28.20%
23 1976-04-04 72.4 @ Chernomorets Odesa 1 1737 71.30% Krylia Sovetov 1 1504 5.61% 23.09%
24 1976-04-24 72.4 Shakhtyor Donetsk 2 1887 20.80% @ Torpedo Moscow 1 1848 50.31% 28.90%
25 1976-05-02 72.2 Karpati Lvov 2 1804 20.80% @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 1 1765 50.30% 28.90%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1976-04-10 44.1 @ Karpati Lvov 2 1792 74.12% Krylia Sovetov 0 1508 4.42% 21.46%
2 1976-05-16 44.7 @ Dinamo Minsk 2 1596 60.07% Krylia Sovetov 0 1531 12.48% 27.45%
3 1976-06-22 46.0 @ Karpati Lvov 3 1820 67.21% Zorya Voroshilovgrad 0 1656 7.71% 25.08%
4 1976-06-01 46.5 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 3 1803 65.47% Zorya Voroshilovgrad 0 1665 8.75% 25.78%
5 1976-04-10 46.8 @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 2 1769 67.53% Dinamo Minsk 0 1599 7.53% 24.94%
6 1976-05-08 47.1 @ CSKA Moscow 2 1744 65.80% Dinamo Minsk 0 1601 8.54% 25.66%
7 1976-05-02 48.5 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1771 72.44% Krylia Sovetov 0 1518 5.10% 22.45%
8 1976-05-23 48.7 @ Dynamo Moscow 1 1957 77.62% Dinamo Minsk 0 1603 3.20% 19.18%
9 1976-05-09 48.9 @ Dynamo Kyiv 2 1871 63.97% Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 0 1754 9.70% 26.32%
10 1976-05-16 48.9 @ Ararat 4 1814 59.72% Chernomorets Odesa 0 1754 12.74% 27.53%
11 1976-04-19 49.1 @ CSKA Moscow 3 1725 56.06% Zorya Voroshilovgrad 0 1707 15.70% 28.24%
12 1976-06-29 49.3 @ Karpati Lvov 2 1826 62.15% Spartak Moscow 0 1735 10.95% 26.90%
13 1976-05-16 49.4 @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 2 1749 60.35% Zorya Voroshilovgrad 0 1681 12.27% 27.38%
14 1976-04-25 49.6 @ Chernomorets Odesa 2 1745 59.60% Lokomotiv Moscow 0 1686 12.84% 27.56%
15 1976-06-29 49.7 @ Shakhtyor Donetsk 2 1858 61.17% CSKA Moscow 0 1779 11.66% 27.17%
16 1976-06-25 50.0 @ Spartak Moscow 1 1733 67.67% Krylia Sovetov 0 1561 7.45% 24.88%
17 1976-06-15 50.9 @ Dynamo Moscow 1 1958 70.78% Spartak Moscow 0 1734 5.85% 23.37%
18 1976-04-10 51.0 @ Shakhtyor Donetsk 1 1887 69.86% Zenit Leningrad 0 1679 6.30% 23.84%
19 1976-05-14 51.2 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 3 1785 50.80% Karpati Lvov 0 1819 20.34% 28.86%
20 1976-07-13 51.7 @ Shakhtyor Donetsk 1 1872 67.60% Spartak Moscow 0 1701 7.49% 24.91%
21 1976-07-13 51.9 @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 2 1760 53.23% CSKA Moscow 0 1771 18.15% 28.63%
22 1976-05-02 52.7 @ Ararat 2 1809 51.40% Torpedo Moscow 0 1837 19.79% 28.81%
23 1976-06-22 52.7 @ Dynamo Moscow 4 1960 62.35% Shakhtyor Donetsk 1 1865 10.81% 26.84%
24 1976-06-16 52.8 @ Ararat 2 1845 51.20% Shakhtyor Donetsk 0 1876 19.97% 28.83%
25 1976-06-23 52.8 @ Lokomotiv Moscow 2 1679 48.63% Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 0 1733 22.37% 29.01%