1953-54 La Liga Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Real Madrid

40 points · 3rd Title

Last Title: 1932-33

Relegated

Real Gijon

16 pts

Real Oviedo · 22 pts

Osasuna · via playoff

Real Jaen · via playoff

Biggest Overachiever

Real Madrid

5.10 points above expected

40 points · 34.90 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Real Gijon

12.12 points below expected

16 points · 28.12 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Real Madrid	30	17	6	7	40	72	41	+31	34.9	+5.10
2	Barcelona	30	16	4	10	36	74	39	+35	35.2	+0.76
3	Valencia	30	14	6	10	34	69	51	+18	33.9	+0.11
4	Espanol	30	14	6	10	34	50	36	+14	31.1	+2.91
5	Atletico Bilbao	30	12	8	10	32	54	44	+10	33.3	-1.33
6	Sevilla	30	15	2	13	32	57	49	+8	32.1	-0.15
7	Deportivo La Coruna	30	13	5	12	31	41	46	-5	28.5	+2.53
8	Real Santander	30	12	7	11	31	53	61	-8	28.4	+2.57
9	Atletico Madrid	30	11	7	12	29	57	47	+10	30.2	-1.17
10	Celta Vigo	30	12	5	13	29	47	54	-7	28.8	+0.20
11	Real Valladolid	30	12	5	13	29	50	60	-10	29.3	-0.32
12	Real Sociedad	30	11	7	12	29	44	58	-14	28.5	+0.52
13	Osasuna	30	12	4	14	28	46	54	-8	25.0	+3.00
14	Real Jaen	30	11	6	13	28	55	70	-15	25.9	+2.12
15	Real Oviedo	30	8	6	16	22	31	53	-22	26.7	-4.73
16	Real Gijon	30	7	2	21	16	44	81	-37	28.1	-12.12

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Real Madrid	1817	40	34.90	+5.10	94.0%	25	29	32	35	37	41	47
Barcelona	1804	36	35.24	+0.76	61.0%	22	29	33	35	38	41	43
Valencia	1768	34	33.89	+0.11	55.0%	24	28	31	34	37	41	46
Espanol	1751	34	31.09	+2.91	80.0%	21	25	28	31	34	38	45
Atletico Bilbao	1750	32	33.33	-1.33	43.0%	24	26	30	33	36	40	41
Sevilla	1729	32	32.15	-0.15	54.0%	23	25	29	32	35	40	43
Atletico Madrid	1723	29	30.17	-1.17	43.0%	19	23	27	31	33	37	40
Celta Vigo	1690	29	28.80	+0.20	55.0%	20	23	26	29	32	35	37
Deportivo La Coruna	1665	31	28.47	+2.53	78.0%	20	22	26	29	31	34	40
Real Santander	1660	31	28.43	+2.57	77.0%	18	21	26	28	31	35	39
Real Sociedad	1652	29	28.48	+0.52	61.0%	19	21	26	28	31	34	39
Real Valladolid	1647	29	29.32	-0.32	50.0%	19	22	27	29	32	35	40
Real Jaen	1625	28	25.88	+2.12	76.0%	18	19	23	26	28	32	36
Osasuna	1623	28	25.00	+3.00	82.0%	17	19	23	25	27	31	33
Real Oviedo	1615	22	26.73	-4.73	16.0%	19	21	24	26	29	34	40
Real Gijon	1592	16	28.12	-12.12	1.0%	14	21	25	27	31	35	39

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AB	AM	BAR	CV	DLC	ESP	OSA	RG	RJ	RM	RO	RS	RS	RV	SEV	VAL
Atletico Bilbao	—	1-1-0 3.07	1-0-1 2.54	1-0-1 3.23	1-0-1 3.34	0-2-0 3.00	0-0-2 3.50	2-0-0 3.34	1-1-0 3.44	1-0-1 2.74	2-0-0 3.34	1-1-0 3.21	0-1-1 3.31	1-1-0 3.30	0-1-1 2.91	0-0-2 2.82
Atletico Madrid	0-1-1 2.65	—	1-1-0 2.42	1-0-1 3.02	1-0-1 3.03	0-1-1 2.81	1-0-1 3.31	1-0-1 3.06	1-0-1 3.28	0-0-2 2.45	1-1-0 3.20	1-1-0 2.99	0-2-0 3.02	1-0-1 2.91	1-0-1 2.65	1-0-1 2.54
Barcelona	1-0-1 3.18	0-1-1 3.31	—	1-1-0 3.53	1-0-1 3.59	1-0-1 3.26	1-0-1 3.91	2-0-0 3.64	1-1-0 3.88	1-0-1 2.99	1-0-1 3.78	1-0-1 3.59	2-0-0 3.42	1-1-0 3.47	1-0-1 3.19	1-0-1 3.08
Celta Vigo	1-0-1 2.50	1-0-1 2.69	0-1-1 2.19	—	1-1-0 2.90	1-0-1 2.64	1-1-0 3.10	1-0-1 2.97	0-1-1 3.04	1-0-1 2.24	2-0-0 2.91	0-0-2 2.86	0-1-1 2.86	2-0-0 2.79	1-0-1 2.49	0-0-2 2.36
Deportivo La Coruna	1-0-1 2.38	1-0-1 2.69	1-0-1 2.14	0-1-1 2.82	—	1-0-1 2.58	1-0-1 3.08	2-0-0 2.80	1-0-1 3.08	0-1-1 2.20	2-0-0 2.97	1-1-0 2.79	1-0-1 2.85	0-1-1 2.70	1-0-1 2.51	0-1-1 2.35
Espanol	0-2-0 2.72	1-1-0 2.90	1-0-1 2.46	1-0-1 3.08	1-0-1 3.14	—	2-0-0 3.34	2-0-0 3.19	0-0-2 3.37	1-0-1 2.51	1-1-0 3.23	0-1-1 3.03	0-1-1 3.11	2-0-0 2.94	1-0-1 2.79	1-0-1 2.60
Osasuna	2-0-0 2.23	1-0-1 2.41	1-0-1 1.82	0-1-1 2.62	1-0-1 2.64	0-0-2 2.38	—	2-0-0 2.69	1-0-1 2.80	0-1-1 1.96	0-0-2 2.76	1-0-1 2.58	1-0-1 2.64	1-0-1 2.61	1-0-1 2.21	0-2-0 2.06
Real Gijon	0-0-2 2.38	1-0-1 2.66	0-0-2 2.09	1-0-1 2.76	0-0-2 2.92	0-0-2 2.53	0-0-2 3.02	—	1-0-1 3.03	0-1-1 2.20	0-1-1 2.95	0-0-2 2.73	1-0-1 2.80	1-0-1 2.74	1-0-1 2.52	1-0-1 2.18
Real Jaen	0-1-1 2.28	1-0-1 2.44	0-1-1 1.85	1-1-0 2.68	1-0-1 2.64	2-0-0 2.35	1-0-1 2.92	1-0-1 2.69	—	0-0-2 2.04	0-2-0 2.83	1-0-1 2.61	0-1-1 2.58	1-0-1 2.56	1-0-1 2.29	1-0-1 2.07
Real Madrid	1-0-1 2.98	2-0-0 3.27	1-0-1 2.73	1-0-1 3.49	1-1-0 3.52	1-0-1 3.21	1-1-0 3.76	1-1-0 3.53	2-0-0 3.69	—	2-0-0 3.43	1-1-0 3.38	1-1-0 3.48	0-0-2 3.62	1-0-1 3.11	1-1-0 2.98
Real Oviedo	0-0-2 2.39	0-1-1 2.52	1-0-1 1.95	0-0-2 2.81	0-0-2 2.75	0-1-1 2.49	2-0-0 2.96	1-1-0 2.77	0-2-0 2.89	0-0-2 2.30	—	1-1-0 2.68	0-0-2 2.74	1-0-1 2.60	1-0-1 2.31	1-0-1 2.18
Real Santander	0-1-1 2.51	0-1-1 2.73	1-0-1 2.14	2-0-0 2.86	0-1-1 2.93	1-1-0 2.69	1-0-1 3.14	2-0-0 2.99	1-0-1 3.11	0-1-1 2.34	0-1-1 3.04	—	2-0-0 2.87	0-1-1 2.87	1-0-1 2.52	1-0-1 2.42
Real Sociedad	1-1-0 2.42	0-2-0 2.71	0-0-2 2.30	1-1-0 2.86	1-0-1 2.87	1-1-0 2.61	1-0-1 3.08	1-0-1 2.91	1-1-0 3.13	0-1-1 2.25	2-0-0 2.98	0-0-2 2.85	—	1-0-1 2.78	1-0-1 2.51	0-0-2 2.45
Real Valladolid	0-1-1 2.42	1-0-1 2.81	0-1-1 2.26	0-0-2 2.93	1-1-0 3.02	0-0-2 2.78	1-0-1 3.12	1-0-1 2.97	1-0-1 3.16	2-0-0 2.10	1-0-1 3.12	1-1-0 2.85	1-0-1 2.94	—	1-0-1 2.62	1-1-0 2.40
Sevilla	1-1-0 2.81	1-0-1 3.06	1-0-1 2.54	1-0-1 3.23	1-0-1 3.21	1-0-1 2.92	1-0-1 3.51	1-0-1 3.20	1-0-1 3.44	1-0-1 2.61	1-0-1 3.41	1-0-1 3.20	1-0-1 3.21	1-0-1 3.10	—	1-1-0 2.70
Valencia	2-0-0 2.90	1-0-1 3.17	1-0-1 2.64	2-0-0 3.36	1-1-0 3.37	1-0-1 3.12	0-2-0 3.66	1-0-1 3.54	1-0-1 3.65	0-1-1 2.74	1-0-1 3.54	1-0-1 3.31	2-0-0 3.28	0-1-1 3.33	0-1-1 3.02	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.58%	7.08%	2.50%	3.12%	1.88%	1.88%	21.04%
1	7.08%	7.92%	7.71%	5.00%	2.29%	1.25%	31.25%
2	2.50%	7.71%	4.58%	2.71%	1.88%	1.46%	20.83%
3	3.12%	5.00%	2.71%	0.42%	1.46%	0.83%	13.54%
4	1.88%	2.29%	1.88%	1.46%	0.42%	—	7.92%
5+	1.88%	1.25%	1.46%	0.83%	—	—	5.42%
Total	21.04%	31.25%	20.83%	13.54%	7.92%	5.42%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.76
Mean allowed	1.76
StdDev scored	1.52
StdDev allowed	1.52
Mean total goals/game	3.52
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.051
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
1	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	23.33%
2	—	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	26.67%
3	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
Total	20.00%	36.67%	23.33%	16.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Atletico Bilbao — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.80
Mean allowed	1.47
StdDev scored	1.54
StdDev allowed	1.11
Mean total goals/game	3.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.045
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
1	6.67%	13.33%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	40.00%
2	—	3.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	3.33%	16.67%
3	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	—	13.33%
4	—	10.00%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	16.67%	46.67%	16.67%	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	100%

Atletico Madrid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.90
Mean allowed	1.57
StdDev scored	1.54
StdDev allowed	1.33
Mean total goals/game	3.47
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.089
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	13.33%	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	23.33%
1	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	23.33%
2	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	10.00%
4	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
Total	33.33%	33.33%	16.67%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	100%

Barcelona — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.47
Mean allowed	1.30
StdDev scored	2.39
StdDev allowed	1.37
Mean total goals/game	3.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.255
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	13.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	33.33%
1	13.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	20.00%
2	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	23.33%
3	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	10.00%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	30.00%	23.33%	16.67%	6.67%	13.33%	10.00%	100%

Celta Vigo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.57
Mean allowed	1.80
StdDev scored	1.55
StdDev allowed	1.73
Mean total goals/game	3.37
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.173
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	23.33%
1	16.67%	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	43.33%
2	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	33.33%	20.00%	23.33%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	100%

Deportivo La Coruna — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.37
Mean allowed	1.53
StdDev scored	1.33
StdDev allowed	1.53
Mean total goals/game	2.90
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.185
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
1	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
2	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	16.67%
4	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	33.33%	20.00%	6.67%	6.67%	—	100%

Espanol — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.67
Mean allowed	1.20
StdDev scored	1.40
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	2.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.000
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	23.33%
1	10.00%	6.67%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	30.00%
2	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	23.33%
3	—	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	16.67%
4	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	26.67%	33.33%	13.33%	3.33%	6.67%	100%

Osasuna — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.53
Mean allowed	1.80
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	1.35
Mean total goals/game	3.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.109
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	13.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	26.67%
1	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	33.33%
2	—	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	3.33%	16.67%
3	—	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	6.67%	16.67%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	6.67%	30.00%	13.33%	20.00%	13.33%	16.67%	100%

Real Gijon — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.47
Mean allowed	2.70
StdDev scored	1.33
StdDev allowed	1.95
Mean total goals/game	4.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.056
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	23.33%
1	3.33%	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	3.33%	26.67%
2	—	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	6.67%	20.00%
3	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	—	6.67%	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
Total	16.67%	16.67%	33.33%	13.33%	3.33%	16.67%	100%

Real Jaen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.83
Mean allowed	2.33
StdDev scored	1.62
StdDev allowed	1.88
Mean total goals/game	4.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.275
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
1	6.67%	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	33.33%
2	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	10.00%
4	10.00%	—	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	20.00%
5+	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
Total	33.33%	26.67%	20.00%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Real Madrid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.40
Mean allowed	1.37
StdDev scored	1.67
StdDev allowed	1.35
Mean total goals/game	3.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.009
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	20.00%	—	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	43.33%
1	3.33%	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
2	—	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	43.33%	16.67%	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	100%

Real Oviedo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.03
Mean allowed	1.77
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.81
Mean total goals/game	2.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.308
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	—	—	—	—	3.33%	10.00%
1	3.33%	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	40.00%
2	—	13.33%	3.33%	—	10.00%	—	26.67%
3	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
Total	13.33%	36.67%	16.67%	10.00%	16.67%	6.67%	100%

Real Santander — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.77
Mean allowed	2.03
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	1.61
Mean total goals/game	3.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.031
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.33%	10.00%	—	6.67%	20.00%
1	13.33%	20.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	43.33%
2	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	13.33%
3	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	16.67%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	33.33%	16.67%	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%	100%

Real Sociedad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.47
Mean allowed	1.93
StdDev scored	1.20
StdDev allowed	1.76
Mean total goals/game	3.40
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.017
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	13.33%
1	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	—	36.67%
2	3.33%	13.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	26.67%
3	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
4	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.00%	30.00%	23.33%	23.33%	13.33%	—	100%

Real Valladolid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.67
Mean allowed	2.00
StdDev scored	1.12
StdDev allowed	1.23
Mean total goals/game	3.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.249
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
1	6.67%	3.33%	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	33.33%
2	—	16.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	26.67%
3	—	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
Total	10.00%	43.33%	23.33%	20.00%	3.33%	—	100%

Sevilla — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.90
Mean allowed	1.63
StdDev scored	1.49
StdDev allowed	1.03
Mean total goals/game	3.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.025
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	13.33%
1	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	26.67%
2	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	20.00%
3	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	20.00%
5+	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	26.67%	20.00%	20.00%	26.67%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Valencia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.30
Mean allowed	1.70
StdDev scored	1.80
StdDev allowed	1.39
Mean total goals/game	4.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.237
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Real Madrid	40	34.9	+5.10
2	Osasuna	28	25.0	+3.00
3	Espanol	34	31.1	+2.91
4	Real Santander	31	28.4	+2.57
5	Deportivo La Coruna	31	28.5	+2.53

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Real Gijon	16	28.1	-12.12
2	Real Oviedo	22	26.7	-4.73
3	Atletico Bilbao	32	33.3	-1.33
4	Atletico Madrid	29	30.2	-1.17
5	Real Valladolid	29	29.3	-0.32

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Real Madrid	5	Sep 13 – Oct 11	1 in 57
2	Espanol	4	Feb 21 – Mar 21	1 in 50
3	Atletico Bilbao	4	Dec 6 – Dec 27	1 in 30
4	Real Valladolid	3	Nov 22 – Dec 6	1 in 26
5	Osasuna	2	Jan 24 – Jan 31	1 in 26

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Real Gijon	10	Dec 13 – Feb 21	1 in 4,517
2	Atletico Madrid	4	Oct 25 – Nov 22	1 in 54
3	Real Oviedo	3	Sep 20 – Oct 4	1 in 38
4	Sevilla	4	Mar 21 – Apr 11	1 in 33
5	Real Jaen	5	Nov 15 – Dec 13	1 in 30

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Atletico Madrid	7	Dec 20 – Feb 7	1 in 112
2	Real Jaen	5	Mar 28 – Apr 25	1 in 32
3	Osasuna	4	Apr 4 – Apr 25	1 in 27
4	Celta Vigo	6	Feb 14 – Mar 28	1 in 25
5	Real Santander	6	Nov 29 – Jan 10	1 in 24

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Real Gijon	12	Nov 29 – Feb 21	1 in 458
2	Real Jaen	11	Nov 15 – Jan 31	1 in 198
3	Atletico Bilbao	7	Feb 21 – Apr 11	1 in 187
4	Real Santander	8	Jan 17 – Mar 7	1 in 51
5	Real Sociedad	6	Feb 21 – Apr 4	1 in 39

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Real Madrid	24.00%	16.00%	13.00%	13.00%	7.00%	7.00%	5.00%	3.00%	5.00%	4.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Barcelona	26.00%	20.00%	18.00%	5.00%	8.00%	11.00%	4.00%	1.00%	3.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%
Valencia	14.00%	17.00%	14.00%	8.00%	9.00%	10.00%	10.00%	5.00%	3.00%	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—
Espanol	4.00%	9.00%	7.00%	13.00%	8.00%	2.00%	13.00%	7.00%	9.00%	5.00%	8.00%	4.00%	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Atletico Bilbao	12.00%	13.00%	15.00%	12.00%	7.00%	10.00%	3.00%	5.00%	10.00%	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—
Sevilla	8.00%	10.00%	13.00%	10.00%	8.00%	4.00%	9.00%	11.00%	7.00%	9.00%	4.00%	—	2.00%	3.00%	—	2.00%
Deportivo La Coruna	—	—	3.00%	4.00%	7.00%	5.00%	9.00%	6.00%	10.00%	7.00%	8.00%	7.00%	11.00%	11.00%	5.00%	7.00%
Real Santander	2.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	6.00%	8.00%	5.00%	4.00%	8.00%	14.00%	13.00%	7.00%	9.00%	5.00%	6.00%	8.00%
Atletico Madrid	3.00%	5.00%	3.00%	7.00%	14.00%	11.00%	9.00%	5.00%	6.00%	7.00%	6.00%	7.00%	7.00%	1.00%	8.00%	1.00%
Celta Vigo	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	2.00%	6.00%	9.00%	8.00%	9.00%	3.00%	10.00%	11.00%	6.00%	12.00%	4.00%	11.00%	2.00%
Real Valladolid	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	7.00%	6.00%	6.00%	12.00%	11.00%	8.00%	4.00%	6.00%	15.00%	8.00%	5.00%	3.00%	4.00%
Real Sociedad	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	5.00%	4.00%	1.00%	5.00%	11.00%	12.00%	9.00%	9.00%	8.00%	8.00%	13.00%	8.00%	3.00%
Osasuna	—	—	1.00%	—	2.00%	1.00%	—	5.00%	5.00%	6.00%	8.00%	12.00%	8.00%	13.00%	17.00%	22.00%
Real Jaen	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	5.00%	2.00%	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	9.00%	7.00%	10.00%	17.00%	7.00%	24.00%
Real Oviedo	—	1.00%	1.00%	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%	—	7.00%	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%	12.00%	11.00%	15.00%	17.00%	12.00%
Real Gijon	3.00%	1.00%	2.00%	8.00%	3.00%	6.00%	6.00%	5.00%	2.00%	5.00%	7.00%	12.00%	7.00%	8.00%	13.00%	12.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Lost promotion playoff	Same level	Direct relegation
Real Madrid	—	100%	—
Barcelona	—	99.0%	1.0%
Valencia	1.0%	98.0%	1.0%
Atletico Bilbao	1.0%	97.0%	2.0%
Sevilla	3.0%	95.0%	2.0%
Espanol	3.0%	93.0%	4.0%
Real Valladolid	3.0%	90.0%	7.0%
Atletico Madrid	2.0%	89.0%	9.0%
Real Sociedad	7.0%	82.0%	11.0%
Deportivo La Coruna	7.0%	81.0%	12.0%
Celta Vigo	5.0%	82.0%	13.0%
Real Santander	7.0%	79.0%	14.0%
Real Gijon	11.0%	64.0%	25.0%
Real Oviedo	11.0%	60.0%	29.0%
Real Jaen	16.0%	53.0%	31.0%
Osasuna	13.0%	48.0%	39.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1953-09-13	Real Santander	L 1-2	1679	1652	73.8%	13.9%	12.3%	-8.8	0
1953-09-13	@ Celta Vigo	W 2-1	1652	1679	12.3%	13.9%	73.8%	+8.8	3
1953-09-13	Atletico Madrid	W 3-1	1710	1721	71.0%	14.1%	14.8%	+3.5	3
1953-09-13	@ Espanol	L 1-3	1721	1710	14.8%	14.1%	71.0%	-3.5	0
1953-09-13	Sevilla	W 3-1	1614	1732	61.1%	14.6%	24.3%	+5.5	3
1953-09-13	@ Real Jaen	L 1-3	1732	1614	24.3%	14.6%	61.1%	-5.5	0
1953-09-13	Osasuna	W 2-0	1752	1609	80.4%	12.8%	6.8%	+1.8	3
1953-09-13	@ Real Madrid	L 0-2	1609	1752	6.8%	12.8%	80.4%	-1.9	0
1953-09-13	Barcelona	L 0-3	1680	1799	61.0%	14.6%	24.4%	-21.0	0
1953-09-13	@ Real Sociedad	W 3-0	1799	1680	24.4%	14.6%	61.0%	+21.0	3
1953-09-13	Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-1	1681	1648	74.3%	13.8%	11.9%	+1.6	3
1953-09-13	@ Real Valladolid	L 1-2	1648	1681	11.9%	13.8%	74.3%	-1.6	0
1953-09-13	Real Oviedo	D 0-0	1672	1665	72.4%	14.0%	13.5%	-2.1	1
1953-09-13	@ Real Gijon	D 0-0	1665	1672	13.5%	14.0%	72.4%	+2.1	1
1953-09-13	Atletico Bilbao	W 3-0	1750	1747	72.1%	14.1%	13.8%	+5.4	3
1953-09-13	@ Valencia	L 0-3	1747	1750	13.8%	14.1%	72.1%	-5.4	0
1953-09-20	Real Madrid	L 2-3	1742	1754	70.9%	14.2%	14.9%	-8.0	0
1953-09-20	@ Atletico Bilbao	W 3-2	1754	1742	14.9%	14.2%	70.9%	+8.0	6
1953-09-20	Real Sociedad	D 1-1	1718	1659	75.9%	13.6%	10.5%	-2.1	1
1953-09-20	@ Atletico Madrid	D 1-1	1659	1718	10.5%	13.6%	75.9%	+2.1	1
1953-09-20	Real Jaen	W 6-2	1820	1619	82.8%	12.2%	5.1%	+1.8	6
1953-09-20	@ Barcelona	L 2-6	1619	1820	5.1%	12.2%	82.8%	-1.8	3
1953-09-20	Real Gijon	W 2-1	1646	1670	70.0%	14.2%	15.8%	+2.1	3
1953-09-20	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-2	1670	1646	15.8%	14.2%	70.0%	-2.1	1
1953-09-20	Espanol	L 2-3	1607	1713	62.3%	14.6%	23.1%	-7.0	0
1953-09-20	@ Osasuna	W 3-2	1713	1607	23.1%	14.6%	62.3%	+7.0	6
1953-09-20	Valencia	W 3-1	1661	1756	63.5%	14.5%	21.9%	+5.0	6
1953-09-20	@ Real Santander	L 1-3	1756	1661	21.9%	14.5%	63.5%	-5.0	3
1953-09-20	Celta Vigo	L 0-1	1667	1671	71.6%	14.1%	14.3%	-9.0	1
1953-09-20	@ Real Oviedo	W 1-0	1671	1667	14.3%	14.1%	71.6%	+9.0	3
1953-09-20	Real Valladolid	W 3-1	1726	1683	74.9%	13.8%	11.3%	+2.7	3
1953-09-20	@ Sevilla	L 1-3	1683	1726	11.3%	13.8%	74.9%	-2.7	3
1953-09-27	Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-1	1680	1648	74.1%	13.9%	12.0%	+2.8	6
1953-09-27	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-3	1648	1680	12.0%	13.9%	74.1%	-2.8	3
1953-09-27	Real Sociedad	D 1-1	1720	1661	75.9%	13.6%	10.5%	-2.1	7
1953-09-27	@ Espanol	D 1-1	1661	1720	10.5%	13.6%	75.9%	+2.1	2
1953-09-27	Atletico Bilbao	W 3-2	1600	1734	59.3%	14.6%	26.1%	+3.2	3
1953-09-27	@ Osasuna	L 2-3	1734	1600	26.1%	14.6%	59.3%	-3.2	0
1953-09-27	Atletico Madrid	W 1-0	1618	1716	63.2%	14.5%	22.3%	+3.1	6
1953-09-27	@ Real Jaen	L 0-1	1716	1618	22.3%	14.5%	63.2%	-3.1	1
1953-09-27	Real Santander	W 4-2	1762	1666	78.0%	13.3%	8.7%	+1.8	9
1953-09-27	@ Real Madrid	L 2-4	1666	1762	8.7%	13.3%	78.0%	-1.8	6
1953-09-27	Barcelona	D 2-2	1680	1822	58.4%	14.6%	26.9%	-0.7	4
1953-09-27	@ Real Valladolid	D 2-2	1822	1680	26.9%	14.6%	58.4%	+0.7	7
1953-09-27	Sevilla	W 3-1	1668	1729	66.8%	14.4%	18.8%	+4.3	4
1953-09-27	@ Real Gijon	L 1-3	1729	1668	18.8%	14.4%	66.8%	-4.3	3
1953-09-27	Real Oviedo	W 3-0	1751	1658	77.8%	13.3%	8.8%	+3.5	6
1953-09-27	@ Valencia	L 0-3	1658	1751	8.8%	13.3%	77.8%	-3.5	1
1953-10-04	Espanol	D 0-0	1730	1718	72.8%	14.0%	13.2%	-2.1	1
1953-10-04	@ Atletico Bilbao	D 0-0	1718	1730	13.2%	14.0%	72.8%	+2.1	8
1953-10-04	Real Valladolid	L 1-2	1713	1679	74.2%	13.8%	11.9%	-8.8	1
1953-10-04	@ Atletico Madrid	W 2-1	1679	1713	11.9%	13.8%	74.2%	+8.8	7
1953-10-04	Real Gijon	W 3-1	1822	1672	80.7%	12.8%	6.6%	+1.5	10
1953-10-04	@ Barcelona	L 1-3	1672	1822	6.6%	12.8%	80.7%	-1.5	4
1953-10-04	Valencia	D 1-1	1645	1754	62.1%	14.6%	23.4%	-1.2	4
1953-10-04	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 1-1	1754	1645	23.4%	14.6%	62.1%	+1.2	7
1953-10-04	Osasuna	W 3-0	1664	1603	76.0%	13.6%	10.4%	+4.1	9
1953-10-04	@ Real Santander	L 0-3	1603	1664	10.4%	13.6%	76.0%	-4.1	3
1953-10-04	Real Madrid	L 0-4	1655	1764	62.0%	14.6%	23.4%	-27.9	1
1953-10-04	@ Real Oviedo	W 4-0	1764	1655	23.4%	14.6%	62.0%	+27.9	12
1953-10-04	Real Jaen	W 2-1	1663	1621	74.9%	13.8%	11.4%	+1.5	5
1953-10-04	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-2	1621	1663	11.4%	13.8%	74.9%	-1.6	6
1953-10-04	Celta Vigo	W 1-0	1725	1682	74.8%	13.8%	11.4%	+1.6	6
1953-10-04	@ Sevilla	L 0-1	1682	1725	11.4%	13.8%	74.8%	-1.6	6
1953-10-11	Real Santander	W 5-1	1728	1668	75.9%	13.6%	10.4%	+4.5	4
1953-10-11	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-5	1668	1728	10.4%	13.6%	75.9%	-4.5	9
1953-10-11	Barcelona	D 0-0	1681	1824	58.2%	14.6%	27.1%	-1.0	7
1953-10-11	@ Celta Vigo	D 0-0	1824	1681	27.1%	14.6%	58.2%	+1.0	11
1953-10-11	Real Jaen	L 1-2	1720	1619	78.3%	13.2%	8.5%	-9.3	8
1953-10-11	@ Espanol	W 2-1	1619	1720	8.5%	13.2%	78.3%	+9.3	9
1953-10-11	Real Oviedo	L 1-2	1599	1627	69.7%	14.2%	16.0%	-8.3	3
1953-10-11	@ Osasuna	W 2-1	1627	1599	16.0%	14.2%	69.7%	+8.3	4
1953-10-11	Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-1	1792	1644	80.6%	12.8%	6.7%	+0.9	15
1953-10-11	@ Real Madrid	L 1-2	1644	1792	6.7%	12.8%	80.6%	-0.9	4
1953-10-11	Real Sociedad	W 2-0	1688	1665	73.6%	13.9%	12.5%	+3.4	10
1953-10-11	@ Real Valladolid	L 0-2	1665	1688	12.5%	13.9%	73.6%	-3.4	5
1953-10-11	Atletico Madrid	W 4-2	1671	1704	69.3%	14.3%	16.4%	+3.4	7
1953-10-11	@ Real Gijon	L 2-4	1704	1671	16.4%	14.3%	69.3%	-3.4	1
1953-10-11	Sevilla	L 2-3	1755	1726	74.0%	13.9%	12.2%	-8.3	7
1953-10-11	@ Valencia	W 3-2	1726	1755	12.2%	13.9%	74.0%	+8.3	9
1953-10-18	Celta Vigo	W 5-0	1700	1680	73.4%	13.9%	12.7%	+8.1	4
1953-10-18	@ Atletico Madrid	L 0-5	1680	1700	12.7%	13.9%	73.4%	-8.1	7
1953-10-18	Valencia	W 2-0	1825	1747	77.0%	13.5%	9.5%	+2.6	14
1953-10-18	@ Barcelona	L 0-2	1747	1825	9.5%	13.5%	77.0%	-2.6	7
1953-10-18	Osasuna	W 1-0	1643	1591	75.5%	13.7%	10.8%	+1.6	7
1953-10-18	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-1	1591	1643	10.8%	13.7%	75.5%	-1.6	3
1953-10-18	Espanol	W 2-1	1664	1711	68.1%	14.3%	17.6%	+2.4	12
1953-10-18	@ Real Santander	L 1-2	1711	1664	17.6%	14.3%	68.1%	-2.4	8
1953-10-18	Real Valladolid	W 4-2	1628	1692	66.6%	14.4%	19.0%	+3.9	12
1953-10-18	@ Real Jaen	L 2-4	1692	1628	19.0%	14.4%	66.6%	-3.9	10
1953-10-18	Atletico Bilbao	L 0-1	1635	1733	63.2%	14.5%	22.2%	-7.9	4
1953-10-18	@ Real Oviedo	W 1-0	1733	1635	22.2%	14.5%	63.2%	+8.0	7
1953-10-18	Real Gijon	L 1-2	1661	1674	70.9%	14.2%	14.9%	-8.4	5
1953-10-18	@ Real Sociedad	W 2-1	1674	1661	14.9%	14.2%	70.9%	+8.4	10
1953-10-18	Real Madrid	W 2-1	1735	1793	67.1%	14.4%	18.5%	+2.5	12
1953-10-18	@ Sevilla	L 1-2	1793	1735	18.5%	14.4%	67.1%	-2.5	15
1953-10-25	Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-0	1741	1645	78.0%	13.3%	8.7%	+3.5	10
1953-10-25	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-3	1645	1741	8.7%	13.3%	78.0%	-3.4	7
1953-10-25	Real Sociedad	L 0-1	1672	1653	73.3%	14.0%	12.8%	-9.2	7
1953-10-25	@ Celta Vigo	W 1-0	1653	1672	12.8%	14.0%	73.3%	+9.2	8
1953-10-25	Real Valladolid	W 4-1	1709	1688	73.4%	13.9%	12.7%	+4.2	11
1953-10-25	@ Espanol	L 1-4	1688	1709	12.7%	13.9%	73.4%	-4.2	10
1953-10-25	Sevilla	W 1-0	1589	1737	57.7%	14.6%	27.7%	+3.8	6
1953-10-25	@ Osasuna	L 0-1	1737	1589	27.7%	14.6%	57.7%	-3.8	12
1953-10-25	Real Oviedo	D 1-1	1666	1627	74.7%	13.8%	11.6%	-2.0	13
1953-10-25	@ Real Santander	D 1-1	1627	1666	11.6%	13.8%	74.7%	+2.0	5
1953-10-25	Barcelona	W 5-0	1790	1827	68.9%	14.3%	16.8%	+10.5	18
1953-10-25	@ Real Madrid	L 0-5	1827	1790	16.8%	14.3%	68.9%	-10.5	14
1953-10-25	Real Jaen	W 2-1	1683	1632	75.4%	13.7%	10.9%	+1.5	13
1953-10-25	@ Real Gijon	L 1-2	1632	1683	10.9%	13.7%	75.4%	-1.5	12
1953-10-25	Atletico Madrid	W 4-1	1744	1708	74.4%	13.8%	11.7%	+3.9	10
1953-10-25	@ Valencia	L 1-4	1708	1744	11.7%	13.8%	74.4%	-3.9	4
1953-11-01	Real Madrid	L 3-4	1704	1801	63.3%	14.5%	22.1%	-7.0	4
1953-11-01	@ Atletico Madrid	W 4-3	1801	1704	22.1%	14.5%	63.3%	+7.0	21
1953-11-01	Osasuna	W 1-0	1817	1593	83.6%	11.9%	4.5%	+0.6	17
1953-11-01	@ Barcelona	L 0-1	1593	1817	4.5%	11.9%	83.6%	-0.6	6
1953-11-01	Real Santander	W 4-2	1642	1664	70.1%	14.2%	15.7%	+3.3	10
1953-11-01	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 2-4	1664	1642	15.7%	14.2%	70.1%	-3.3	13
1953-11-01	Celta Vigo	W 3-2	1631	1663	69.4%	14.3%	16.4%	+2.1	15
1953-11-01	@ Real Jaen	L 2-3	1663	1631	16.4%	14.3%	69.4%	-2.1	7
1953-11-01	Espanol	D 1-1	1629	1713	64.6%	14.5%	20.9%	-1.3	6
1953-11-01	@ Real Oviedo	D 1-1	1713	1629	20.9%	14.5%	64.6%	+1.4	12
1953-11-01	Valencia	L 0-3	1662	1748	64.4%	14.5%	21.1%	-22.2	8
1953-11-01	@ Real Sociedad	W 3-0	1748	1662	21.1%	14.5%	64.4%	+22.2	13
1953-11-01	Real Gijon	W 4-1	1683	1684	71.9%	14.1%	14.1%	+4.7	13
1953-11-01	@ Real Valladolid	L 1-4	1684	1683	14.1%	14.1%	71.9%	-4.7	13
1953-11-01	Atletico Bilbao	W 3-1	1733	1744	71.1%	14.1%	14.8%	+3.5	15
1953-11-01	@ Sevilla	L 1-3	1744	1733	14.8%	14.1%	71.1%	-3.5	10
1953-11-15	Barcelona	W 2-1	1741	1818	65.3%	14.5%	20.2%	+2.7	13
1953-11-15	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-2	1818	1741	20.2%	14.5%	65.3%	-2.7	17
1953-11-15	Real Valladolid	W 2-1	1660	1688	69.7%	14.2%	16.0%	+2.2	10
1953-11-15	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-2	1688	1660	16.0%	14.2%	69.7%	-2.2	13
1953-11-15	Real Gijon	W 3-0	1714	1679	74.4%	13.8%	11.8%	+4.7	15
1953-11-15	@ Espanol	L 0-3	1679	1714	11.8%	13.8%	74.4%	-4.7	13
1953-11-15	Atletico Madrid	W 3-1	1592	1698	62.5%	14.6%	23.0%	+5.2	9
1953-11-15	@ Osasuna	L 1-3	1698	1592	23.0%	14.6%	62.5%	-5.2	4
1953-11-15	Sevilla	W 2-1	1661	1737	65.4%	14.5%	20.1%	+2.7	16
1953-11-15	@ Real Santander	L 1-2	1737	1661	20.1%	14.5%	65.4%	-2.7	15
1953-11-15	Real Sociedad	D 1-1	1808	1640	81.5%	12.6%	6.0%	-2.4	22
1953-11-15	@ Real Madrid	D 1-1	1640	1808	6.0%	12.6%	81.5%	+2.4	9
1953-11-15	Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-1	1628	1645	70.6%	14.2%	15.2%	-8.9	6
1953-11-15	@ Real Oviedo	W 1-0	1645	1628	15.2%	14.2%	70.6%	+8.9	13
1953-11-15	Real Jaen	W 4-0	1771	1633	80.1%	12.9%	7.0%	+3.6	16
1953-11-15	@ Valencia	L 0-4	1633	1771	7.0%	12.9%	80.1%	-3.6	15
1953-11-22	Atletico Bilbao	L 2-5	1692	1743	67.7%	14.4%	17.9%	-17.0	4
1953-11-22	@ Atletico Madrid	W 5-2	1743	1692	17.9%	14.4%	67.7%	+17.0	16
1953-11-22	Real Santander	W 6-0	1815	1664	80.7%	12.7%	6.6%	+4.9	20
1953-11-22	@ Barcelona	L 0-6	1664	1815	6.6%	12.7%	80.7%	-4.9	16
1953-11-22	Espanol	W 1-0	1654	1719	66.4%	14.4%	19.1%	+2.7	16
1953-11-22	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-1	1719	1654	19.1%	14.4%	66.4%	-2.7	15
1953-11-22	Real Madrid	L 1-2	1629	1806	54.2%	14.7%	31.2%	-6.5	15
1953-11-22	@ Real Jaen	W 2-1	1806	1629	31.2%	14.7%	54.2%	+6.5	25
1953-11-22	Osasuna	W 2-0	1642	1598	75.0%	13.8%	11.2%	+3.1	12
1953-11-22	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-2	1598	1642	11.2%	13.8%	75.0%	-3.1	9
1953-11-22	Valencia	W 3-2	1686	1774	64.2%	14.5%	21.3%	+2.7	16
1953-11-22	@ Real Valladolid	L 2-3	1774	1686	21.3%	14.5%	64.2%	-2.7	16
1953-11-22	Real Oviedo	W 2-1	1734	1619	79.0%	13.1%	7.9%	+1.1	18
1953-11-22	@ Sevilla	L 1-2	1619	1734	7.9%	13.1%	79.0%	-1.1	6
1953-11-22	Celta Vigo	W 1-0	1675	1663	72.8%	14.0%	13.2%	+1.9	16
1953-11-22	@ Real Gijon	L 0-1	1663	1675	13.2%	14.0%	72.8%	-1.9	10
1953-11-29	Real Sociedad	L 1-3	1760	1645	79.0%	13.1%	7.9%	-16.2	16
1953-11-29	@ Atletico Bilbao	W 3-1	1645	1760	7.9%	13.1%	79.0%	+16.2	15
1953-11-29	Sevilla	L 0-1	1656	1735	65.1%	14.5%	20.4%	-8.2	16
1953-11-29	@ Deportivo La Coruna	W 1-0	1735	1656	20.4%	14.5%	65.1%	+8.2	21
1953-11-29	Celta Vigo	W 4-0	1716	1661	75.7%	13.7%	10.7%	+5.5	18
1953-11-29	@ Espanol	L 0-4	1661	1716	10.7%	13.7%	75.7%	-5.5	10
1953-11-29	Real Jaen	W 2-0	1595	1623	69.7%	14.2%	16.1%	+4.3	12
1953-11-29	@ Osasuna	L 0-2	1623	1595	16.1%	14.2%	69.7%	-4.3	15
1953-11-29	Atletico Madrid	D 2-2	1659	1675	70.6%	14.2%	15.2%	-1.3	17
1953-11-29	@ Real Santander	D 2-2	1675	1659	15.2%	14.2%	70.6%	+1.3	5
1953-11-29	Real Valladolid	L 1-2	1812	1689	79.4%	13.0%	7.5%	-9.4	25
1953-11-29	@ Real Madrid	W 2-1	1689	1812	7.5%	13.0%	79.4%	+9.4	19
1953-11-29	Barcelona	W 3-0	1618	1820	50.8%	14.6%	34.5%	+12.6	9
1953-11-29	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-3	1820	1618	34.5%	14.6%	50.8%	-12.6	20
1953-11-29	Real Gijon	W 8-0	1772	1677	78.0%	13.3%	8.7%	+8.7	19
1953-11-29	@ Valencia	L 0-8	1677	1772	8.7%	13.3%	78.0%	-8.7	16
1953-12-06	Real Oviedo	W 1-0	1677	1630	75.1%	13.7%	11.2%	+1.6	8
1953-12-06	@ Atletico Madrid	L 0-1	1630	1677	11.2%	13.7%	75.1%	-1.6	9
1953-12-06	Deportivo La Coruna	W 6-1	1807	1648	81.1%	12.7%	6.3%	+3.3	23
1953-12-06	@ Barcelona	L 1-6	1648	1807	6.3%	12.7%	81.1%	-3.3	16
1953-12-06	Valencia	L 3-4	1655	1780	60.3%	14.6%	25.1%	-6.6	10
1953-12-06	@ Celta Vigo	W 4-3	1780	1655	25.1%	14.6%	60.3%	+6.6	22
1953-12-06	Atletico Bilbao	L 1-3	1618	1744	60.2%	14.6%	25.2%	-12.4	15
1953-12-06	@ Real Jaen	W 3-1	1744	1618	25.2%	14.6%	60.2%	+12.4	19
1953-12-06	Real Santander	L 1-2	1662	1657	72.2%	14.1%	13.7%	-8.6	15
1953-12-06	@ Real Sociedad	W 2-1	1657	1662	13.7%	14.1%	72.2%	+8.6	20
1953-12-06	Osasuna	W 2-1	1698	1599	78.2%	13.3%	8.6%	+1.2	22
1953-12-06	@ Real Valladolid	L 1-2	1599	1698	8.6%	13.3%	78.2%	-1.2	12
1953-12-06	Espanol	W 3-1	1743	1722	73.5%	13.9%	12.6%	+3.0	24
1953-12-06	@ Sevilla	L 1-3	1722	1743	12.6%	13.9%	73.5%	-3.0	18
1953-12-06	Real Madrid	D 1-1	1668	1803	59.2%	14.6%	26.2%	-1.0	17
1953-12-06	@ Real Gijon	D 1-1	1803	1668	26.2%	14.6%	59.2%	+1.0	26
1953-12-13	Real Valladolid	W 2-1	1757	1699	75.8%	13.7%	10.5%	+1.4	22
1953-12-13	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-2	1699	1757	10.5%	13.7%	75.8%	-1.4	22
1953-12-13	Atletico Madrid	W 1-0	1645	1678	69.2%	14.3%	16.5%	+2.4	19
1953-12-13	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-1	1678	1645	16.5%	14.3%	69.2%	-2.4	8
1953-12-13	Valencia	W 2-1	1719	1787	66.1%	14.4%	19.4%	+2.6	21
1953-12-13	@ Espanol	L 1-2	1787	1719	19.4%	14.4%	66.1%	-2.6	22
1953-12-13	Real Gijon	W 3-2	1598	1667	66.0%	14.4%	19.5%	+2.5	15
1953-12-13	@ Osasuna	L 2-3	1667	1598	19.5%	14.4%	66.0%	-2.5	17
1953-12-13	Real Jaen	W 3-1	1666	1606	75.9%	13.6%	10.4%	+2.5	23
1953-12-13	@ Real Santander	L 1-3	1606	1666	10.4%	13.6%	75.9%	-2.5	15
1953-12-13	Celta Vigo	W 3-0	1804	1649	80.9%	12.7%	6.4%	+2.5	29
1953-12-13	@ Real Madrid	L 0-3	1649	1804	6.4%	12.7%	80.9%	-2.5	10
1953-12-13	Real Sociedad	L 1-3	1629	1653	70.0%	14.2%	15.8%	-14.4	9
1953-12-13	@ Real Oviedo	W 3-1	1653	1629	15.8%	14.2%	70.0%	+14.4	18
1953-12-13	Barcelona	W 3-1	1746	1810	66.5%	14.4%	19.1%	+4.4	27
1953-12-13	@ Sevilla	L 1-3	1810	1746	19.1%	14.4%	66.5%	-4.4	23
1953-12-20	Sevilla	W 2-1	1676	1751	65.5%	14.5%	20.0%	+2.7	11
1953-12-20	@ Atletico Madrid	L 1-2	1751	1676	20.0%	14.5%	65.5%	-2.7	27
1953-12-20	Osasuna	W 5-2	1646	1600	75.1%	13.8%	11.2%	+3.2	13
1953-12-20	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-5	1600	1646	11.2%	13.8%	75.1%	-3.2	15
1953-12-20	Barcelona	L 0-1	1721	1806	64.5%	14.5%	21.0%	-8.1	21
1953-12-20	@ Espanol	W 1-0	1806	1721	21.0%	14.5%	64.5%	+8.1	26
1953-12-20	Real Oviedo	D 2-2	1604	1614	71.1%	14.1%	14.8%	-1.3	16
1953-12-20	@ Real Jaen	D 2-2	1614	1604	14.8%	14.1%	71.1%	+1.3	10
1953-12-20	Deportivo La Coruna	W 4-1	1667	1647	73.4%	13.9%	12.7%	+4.2	21
1953-12-20	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-4	1647	1667	12.7%	13.9%	73.4%	-4.2	19
1953-12-20	Real Santander	D 1-1	1698	1668	74.0%	13.9%	12.1%	-2.0	23
1953-12-20	@ Real Valladolid	D 1-1	1668	1698	12.1%	13.9%	74.0%	+1.9	24
1953-12-20	Atletico Bilbao	L 1-2	1665	1758	63.7%	14.5%	21.8%	-7.5	17
1953-12-20	@ Real Gijon	W 2-1	1758	1665	21.8%	14.5%	63.7%	+7.5	25
1953-12-20	Real Madrid	D 0-0	1784	1806	70.2%	14.2%	15.6%	-1.9	23
1953-12-20	@ Valencia	D 0-0	1806	1784	15.6%	14.2%	70.2%	+1.9	30
1953-12-27	Celta Vigo	W 5-1	1766	1649	79.1%	13.1%	7.8%	+3.4	28
1953-12-27	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-5	1649	1766	7.8%	13.1%	79.1%	-3.4	13
1953-12-27	Atletico Madrid	D 1-1	1814	1678	80.0%	12.9%	7.1%	-2.3	27
1953-12-27	@ Barcelona	D 1-1	1678	1814	7.1%	12.9%	80.0%	+2.3	12
1953-12-27	Real Jaen	W 6-0	1643	1602	74.7%	13.8%	11.5%	+8.7	22
1953-12-27	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-6	1602	1643	11.5%	13.8%	74.7%	-8.7	16
1953-12-27	Valencia	D 2-2	1597	1782	53.0%	14.6%	32.3%	-0.5	16
1953-12-27	@ Osasuna	D 2-2	1782	1597	32.3%	14.6%	53.0%	+0.5	24
1953-12-27	Real Gijon	W 3-1	1670	1657	72.9%	14.0%	13.1%	+3.1	27
1953-12-27	@ Real Santander	L 1-3	1657	1670	13.1%	14.0%	72.9%	-3.1	17
1953-12-27	Espanol	W 4-3	1808	1713	78.0%	13.3%	8.7%	+1.1	33
1953-12-27	@ Real Madrid	L 3-4	1713	1808	8.7%	13.3%	78.0%	-1.1	21
1953-12-27	Real Valladolid	W 3-1	1616	1696	65.0%	14.5%	20.5%	+4.7	13
1953-12-27	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-3	1696	1616	20.5%	14.5%	65.0%	-4.7	23
1953-12-27	Real Sociedad	W 5-0	1748	1672	76.9%	13.5%	9.6%	+6.1	30
1953-12-27	@ Sevilla	L 0-5	1672	1748	9.6%	13.5%	76.9%	-6.1	21
1954-01-10	Valencia	L 1-2	1769	1783	70.8%	14.2%	15.0%	-8.4	28
1954-01-10	@ Atletico Bilbao	W 2-1	1783	1769	15.0%	14.2%	70.8%	+8.4	27
1954-01-10	Espanol	D 2-2	1681	1712	69.4%	14.3%	16.3%	-1.2	13
1954-01-10	@ Atletico Madrid	D 2-2	1712	1681	16.3%	14.3%	69.4%	+1.2	22
1954-01-10	Real Sociedad	W 6-0	1812	1666	80.5%	12.8%	6.7%	+5.1	30
1954-01-10	@ Barcelona	L 0-6	1666	1812	6.7%	12.8%	80.5%	-5.1	21
1954-01-10	Real Valladolid	D 1-1	1652	1691	68.7%	14.3%	17.0%	-1.6	23
1954-01-10	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 1-1	1691	1652	17.0%	14.3%	68.7%	+1.6	24
1954-01-10	Real Madrid	D 1-1	1597	1809	49.5%	14.6%	35.9%	-0.4	17
1954-01-10	@ Osasuna	D 1-1	1809	1597	35.9%	14.6%	49.5%	+0.4	34
1954-01-10	Celta Vigo	W 1-0	1673	1646	73.9%	13.9%	12.2%	+1.8	30
1954-01-10	@ Real Santander	L 0-1	1646	1673	12.2%	13.9%	73.9%	-1.8	13
1954-01-10	Real Gijon	W 1-0	1620	1654	69.2%	14.3%	16.5%	+2.4	16
1954-01-10	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-1	1654	1620	16.5%	14.3%	69.2%	-2.4	17
1954-01-10	Real Jaen	W 5-2	1754	1594	81.1%	12.6%	6.2%	+1.8	33
1954-01-10	@ Sevilla	L 2-5	1594	1754	6.2%	12.6%	81.1%	-1.8	16
1954-01-17	Real Oviedo	W 2-1	1644	1623	73.5%	13.9%	12.6%	+1.7	16
1954-01-17	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-2	1623	1644	12.6%	13.9%	73.5%	-1.7	16
1954-01-17	Osasuna	W 1-0	1713	1596	79.1%	13.1%	7.8%	+1.1	25
1954-01-17	@ Espanol	L 0-1	1596	1713	7.8%	13.1%	79.1%	-1.1	17
1954-01-17	Barcelona	D 2-2	1592	1817	47.7%	14.6%	37.6%	-0.2	17
1954-01-17	@ Real Jaen	D 2-2	1817	1592	37.6%	14.6%	47.7%	+0.2	31
1954-01-17	Atletico Bilbao	L 2-3	1810	1761	75.3%	13.7%	11.0%	-8.5	34
1954-01-17	@ Real Madrid	W 3-2	1761	1810	11.0%	13.7%	75.3%	+8.5	31
1954-01-17	Atletico Madrid	D 1-1	1660	1680	70.4%	14.2%	15.4%	-1.7	22
1954-01-17	@ Real Sociedad	D 1-1	1680	1660	15.4%	14.2%	70.4%	+1.7	14
1954-01-17	Sevilla	W 1-0	1693	1756	66.6%	14.4%	19.0%	+2.7	27
1954-01-17	@ Real Valladolid	L 0-1	1756	1693	19.0%	14.4%	66.6%	-2.7	33
1954-01-17	Deportivo La Coruna	L 2-3	1652	1650	72.0%	14.1%	13.9%	-8.1	17
1954-01-17	@ Real Gijon	W 3-2	1650	1652	13.9%	14.1%	72.0%	+8.1	26
1954-01-17	Real Santander	W 4-1	1791	1675	79.0%	13.1%	7.8%	+2.6	30
1954-01-17	@ Valencia	L 1-4	1675	1791	7.8%	13.1%	79.0%	-2.6	30
1954-01-24	Osasuna	L 0-1	1769	1595	81.7%	12.5%	5.8%	-10.2	31
1954-01-24	@ Atletico Bilbao	W 1-0	1595	1769	5.8%	12.5%	81.7%	+10.2	20
1954-01-24	Real Jaen	W 6-1	1681	1592	77.7%	13.4%	9.0%	+4.7	17
1954-01-24	@ Atletico Madrid	L 1-6	1592	1681	9.0%	13.4%	77.7%	-4.7	17
1954-01-24	Real Valladolid	W 4-1	1817	1695	79.3%	13.1%	7.6%	+2.5	34
1954-01-24	@ Barcelona	L 1-4	1695	1817	7.6%	13.1%	79.3%	-2.6	27
1954-01-24	Celta Vigo	D 0-0	1658	1646	72.8%	14.0%	13.2%	-2.1	27
1954-01-24	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 0-0	1646	1658	13.2%	14.0%	72.8%	+2.1	17
1954-01-24	Real Madrid	D 1-1	1673	1801	59.9%	14.6%	25.5%	-1.0	31
1954-01-24	@ Real Santander	D 1-1	1801	1673	25.5%	14.6%	59.9%	+1.0	35
1954-01-24	Valencia	W 2-1	1621	1794	54.6%	14.7%	30.7%	+3.9	19
1954-01-24	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-2	1794	1621	30.7%	14.7%	54.6%	-3.9	30
1954-01-24	Espanol	W 2-0	1659	1714	67.3%	14.4%	18.3%	+4.9	25
1954-01-24	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-2	1714	1659	18.3%	14.4%	67.3%	-4.9	25
1954-01-24	Real Gijon	W 6-3	1753	1643	78.7%	13.2%	8.1%	+2.2	36
1954-01-24	@ Sevilla	L 3-6	1643	1753	8.1%	13.2%	78.7%	-2.2	17
1954-01-31	Sevilla	W 2-0	1648	1755	62.2%	14.6%	23.2%	+6.1	20
1954-01-31	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-2	1755	1648	23.2%	14.6%	62.2%	-6.1	36
1954-01-31	Atletico Bilbao	D 0-0	1710	1759	67.9%	14.4%	17.8%	-1.7	26
1954-01-31	@ Espanol	D 0-0	1759	1710	17.8%	14.4%	67.9%	+1.7	32
1954-01-31	Real Santander	W 2-1	1605	1672	66.3%	14.4%	19.2%	+2.6	23
1954-01-31	@ Osasuna	L 1-2	1672	1605	19.2%	14.4%	66.3%	-2.6	31
1954-01-31	Real Sociedad	D 1-1	1587	1664	65.3%	14.5%	20.2%	-1.4	18
1954-01-31	@ Real Jaen	D 1-1	1664	1587	20.2%	14.5%	65.3%	+1.4	26
1954-01-31	Real Oviedo	W 1-0	1802	1625	81.8%	12.4%	5.7%	+0.8	38
1954-01-31	@ Real Madrid	L 0-1	1625	1802	5.7%	12.4%	81.8%	-0.8	19
1954-01-31	Atletico Madrid	L 1-3	1693	1686	72.4%	14.0%	13.6%	-14.9	27
1954-01-31	@ Real Valladolid	W 3-1	1686	1693	13.6%	14.0%	72.4%	+14.9	20
1954-01-31	Barcelona	L 0-1	1641	1820	53.9%	14.7%	31.4%	-6.8	17
1954-01-31	@ Real Gijon	W 1-0	1820	1641	31.4%	14.7%	53.9%	+6.8	37
1954-01-31	Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-0	1790	1656	79.9%	12.9%	7.2%	+1.9	33
1954-01-31	@ Valencia	L 0-2	1656	1790	7.2%	12.9%	79.9%	-2.0	27
1954-02-07	Real Gijon	W 4-1	1701	1634	76.3%	13.6%	10.1%	+3.4	23
1954-02-07	@ Atletico Madrid	L 1-4	1634	1701	10.1%	13.6%	76.3%	-3.4	17
1954-02-07	Celta Vigo	W 4-2	1827	1654	81.6%	12.5%	5.9%	+1.2	40
1954-02-07	@ Barcelona	L 2-4	1654	1827	5.9%	12.5%	81.6%	-1.2	20
1954-02-07	Real Madrid	D 2-2	1654	1803	57.6%	14.6%	27.8%	-0.7	28
1954-02-07	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 2-2	1803	1654	27.8%	14.6%	57.6%	+0.7	39
1954-02-07	Atletico Bilbao	D 1-1	1669	1761	63.9%	14.5%	21.6%	-1.3	32
1954-02-07	@ Real Santander	D 1-1	1761	1669	21.6%	14.5%	63.9%	+1.3	33
1954-02-07	Espanol	W 3-0	1585	1708	60.6%	14.6%	24.8%	+9.4	21
1954-02-07	@ Real Jaen	L 0-3	1708	1585	24.8%	14.6%	60.6%	-9.4	26
1954-02-07	Real Valladolid	W 1-0	1665	1678	70.9%	14.2%	14.9%	+2.1	29
1954-02-07	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-1	1678	1665	14.9%	14.2%	70.9%	-2.1	27
1954-02-07	Valencia	D 1-1	1749	1792	68.5%	14.3%	17.2%	-1.6	37
1954-02-07	@ Sevilla	D 1-1	1792	1749	17.2%	14.3%	68.5%	+1.6	34
1954-02-09	Osasuna	W 3-0	1624	1608	73.1%	14.0%	13.0%	+5.1	22
1954-02-09	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-3	1608	1624	13.0%	14.0%	73.1%	-5.1	23
1954-02-14	Real Oviedo	W 4-0	1762	1629	79.9%	12.9%	7.2%	+3.7	36
1954-02-14	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-4	1629	1762	7.2%	12.9%	79.9%	-3.7	22
1954-02-14	Atletico Madrid	W 1-0	1653	1704	67.7%	14.4%	18.0%	+2.5	23
1954-02-14	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-1	1704	1653	18.0%	14.4%	67.7%	-2.5	23
1954-02-14	Real Santander	D 0-0	1698	1668	74.1%	13.9%	12.1%	-2.2	27
1954-02-14	@ Espanol	D 0-0	1668	1698	12.1%	13.9%	74.1%	+2.2	33
1954-02-14	Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-2	1603	1653	67.7%	14.4%	17.9%	+2.3	26
1954-02-14	@ Osasuna	L 2-3	1653	1603	17.9%	14.4%	67.7%	-2.3	28
1954-02-14	Sevilla	W 1-0	1804	1748	75.7%	13.7%	10.6%	+1.5	42
1954-02-14	@ Real Madrid	L 0-1	1748	1804	10.6%	13.7%	75.7%	-1.5	37
1954-02-14	Real Jaen	W 3-0	1676	1595	77.2%	13.4%	9.4%	+3.7	30
1954-02-14	@ Real Valladolid	L 0-3	1595	1676	9.4%	13.4%	77.2%	-3.7	21
1954-02-14	Real Sociedad	L 0-1	1631	1667	69.0%	14.3%	16.7%	-8.7	17
1954-02-14	@ Real Gijon	W 1-0	1667	1631	16.7%	14.3%	69.0%	+8.7	32
1954-02-14	Barcelona	W 1-0	1793	1828	69.2%	14.3%	16.6%	+2.4	37
1954-02-14	@ Valencia	L 0-1	1828	1793	16.6%	14.3%	69.2%	-2.4	40
1954-02-21	Valencia	W 3-0	1702	1796	63.6%	14.5%	21.9%	+8.4	26
1954-02-21	@ Atletico Madrid	L 0-3	1796	1702	21.9%	14.5%	63.6%	-8.4	37
1954-02-21	Real Madrid	W 5-1	1825	1805	73.4%	13.9%	12.7%	+5.5	43
1954-02-21	@ Barcelona	L 1-5	1805	1825	12.7%	13.9%	73.4%	-5.5	42
1954-02-21	Atletico Bilbao	W 2-0	1651	1766	61.5%	14.6%	23.9%	+6.3	31
1954-02-21	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-2	1766	1651	23.9%	14.6%	61.5%	-6.3	36
1954-02-21	Real Gijon	W 6-1	1591	1622	69.4%	14.3%	16.3%	+8.5	24
1954-02-21	@ Real Jaen	L 1-6	1622	1591	16.3%	14.3%	69.4%	-8.5	17
1954-02-21	Real Santander	W 2-1	1625	1670	68.3%	14.3%	17.4%	+2.3	25
1954-02-21	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-2	1670	1625	17.4%	14.3%	68.3%	-2.3	33
1954-02-21	Celta Vigo	D 4-4	1676	1655	73.4%	13.9%	12.7%	-1.0	33
1954-02-21	@ Real Sociedad	D 4-4	1655	1676	12.7%	13.9%	73.4%	+1.0	24
1954-02-21	Espanol	L 0-2	1680	1696	70.6%	14.2%	15.2%	-16.8	30
1954-02-21	@ Real Valladolid	W 2-0	1696	1680	15.2%	14.2%	70.6%	+16.8	30
1954-02-21	Osasuna	W 2-1	1746	1605	80.3%	12.8%	6.9%	+0.9	40
1954-02-21	@ Sevilla	L 1-2	1605	1746	6.9%	12.8%	80.3%	-0.9	26
1954-02-28	Sevilla	D 2-2	1759	1747	72.8%	14.0%	13.2%	-1.4	37
1954-02-28	@ Atletico Bilbao	D 2-2	1747	1759	13.2%	14.0%	72.8%	+1.4	41
1954-02-28	Real Jaen	D 0-0	1656	1600	75.8%	13.7%	10.6%	-2.3	25
1954-02-28	@ Celta Vigo	D 0-0	1600	1656	10.6%	13.7%	75.8%	+2.3	25
1954-02-28	Real Oviedo	W 4-0	1713	1628	77.4%	13.4%	9.2%	+4.8	33
1954-02-28	@ Espanol	L 0-4	1628	1713	9.2%	13.4%	77.4%	-4.8	25
1954-02-28	Barcelona	W 1-0	1604	1831	47.5%	14.6%	37.9%	+5.0	29
1954-02-28	@ Osasuna	L 0-1	1831	1604	37.9%	14.6%	47.5%	-5.0	43
1954-02-28	Deportivo La Coruna	D 0-0	1668	1657	72.6%	14.0%	13.4%	-2.1	34
1954-02-28	@ Real Santander	D 0-0	1657	1668	13.4%	14.0%	72.6%	+2.1	32
1954-02-28	Atletico Madrid	W 2-1	1800	1710	77.7%	13.4%	9.0%	+1.2	45
1954-02-28	@ Real Madrid	L 1-2	1710	1800	9.0%	13.4%	77.7%	-1.2	26
1954-02-28	Real Valladolid	W 3-1	1614	1663	67.9%	14.4%	17.7%	+4.1	20
1954-02-28	@ Real Gijon	L 1-3	1663	1614	17.7%	14.4%	67.9%	-4.1	30
1954-02-28	Real Sociedad	W 4-3	1787	1675	78.9%	13.1%	8.0%	+1.0	40
1954-02-28	@ Valencia	L 3-4	1675	1787	8.0%	13.1%	78.9%	-1.0	33
1954-03-07	Osasuna	W 4-1	1709	1609	78.2%	13.3%	8.5%	+2.8	29
1954-03-07	@ Atletico Madrid	L 1-4	1609	1709	8.5%	13.3%	78.2%	-2.8	29
1954-03-07	Atletico Bilbao	W 2-0	1826	1758	76.4%	13.6%	10.0%	+2.7	46
1954-03-07	@ Barcelona	L 0-2	1758	1826	10.0%	13.6%	76.4%	-2.7	37
1954-03-07	Real Oviedo	W 2-1	1660	1623	74.5%	13.8%	11.7%	+1.6	35
1954-03-07	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-2	1623	1660	11.7%	13.8%	74.5%	-1.6	25
1954-03-07	Valencia	W 3-1	1602	1788	52.9%	14.6%	32.5%	+7.1	28
1954-03-07	@ Real Jaen	L 1-3	1788	1602	32.5%	14.6%	52.9%	-7.1	40
1954-03-07	Real Madrid	L 3-6	1674	1801	60.1%	14.6%	25.3%	-14.0	33
1954-03-07	@ Real Sociedad	W 6-3	1801	1674	25.3%	14.6%	60.1%	+14.0	48
1954-03-07	Celta Vigo	L 0-3	1659	1654	72.2%	14.1%	13.7%	-24.9	30
1954-03-07	@ Real Valladolid	W 3-0	1654	1659	13.7%	14.1%	72.2%	+24.9	28
1954-03-07	Real Santander	W 2-1	1749	1665	77.3%	13.4%	9.3%	+1.3	44
1954-03-07	@ Sevilla	L 1-2	1665	1749	9.3%	13.4%	77.3%	-1.3	34
1954-03-07	Espanol	L 0-1	1618	1718	63.0%	14.5%	22.4%	-7.9	20
1954-03-07	@ Real Gijon	W 1-0	1718	1618	22.4%	14.5%	63.0%	+7.9	36
1954-03-21	Atletico Madrid	D 1-1	1755	1712	74.9%	13.8%	11.3%	-2.0	38
1954-03-21	@ Atletico Bilbao	D 1-1	1712	1755	11.3%	13.8%	74.9%	+2.0	30
1954-03-21	Real Gijon	W 5-2	1679	1610	76.5%	13.6%	10.0%	+2.9	31
1954-03-21	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-5	1610	1679	10.0%	13.6%	76.5%	-2.9	20
1954-03-21	Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-0	1726	1661	76.2%	13.6%	10.2%	+2.8	39
1954-03-21	@ Espanol	L 0-2	1661	1726	10.2%	13.6%	76.2%	-2.8	35
1954-03-21	Real Sociedad	W 2-1	1606	1660	67.5%	14.4%	18.1%	+2.4	32
1954-03-21	@ Osasuna	L 1-2	1660	1606	18.1%	14.4%	67.5%	-2.4	33
1954-03-21	Barcelona	W 4-3	1664	1829	55.7%	14.6%	29.7%	+3.5	37
1954-03-21	@ Real Santander	L 3-4	1829	1664	29.7%	14.6%	55.7%	-3.5	46
1954-03-21	Real Jaen	W 6-0	1815	1609	83.0%	12.1%	4.9%	+3.7	51
1954-03-21	@ Real Madrid	L 0-6	1609	1815	4.9%	12.1%	83.0%	-3.7	28
1954-03-21	Sevilla	W 3-1	1621	1750	59.9%	14.6%	25.5%	+5.8	28
1954-03-21	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-3	1750	1621	25.5%	14.6%	59.9%	-5.8	44
1954-03-21	Real Valladolid	D 3-3	1781	1634	80.5%	12.8%	6.7%	-1.5	41
1954-03-21	@ Valencia	D 3-3	1634	1781	6.7%	12.8%	80.5%	+1.5	31
1954-03-28	Real Santander	W 4-1	1714	1668	75.1%	13.7%	11.2%	+3.7	33
1954-03-28	@ Atletico Madrid	L 1-4	1668	1714	11.2%	13.7%	75.1%	-3.7	37
1954-03-28	Real Oviedo	W 9-0	1825	1627	82.7%	12.2%	5.1%	+5.7	49
1954-03-28	@ Barcelona	L 0-9	1627	1825	5.1%	12.2%	82.7%	-5.7	28
1954-03-28	Espanol	W 1-0	1682	1728	68.1%	14.3%	17.5%	+2.5	34
1954-03-28	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-1	1728	1682	17.5%	14.3%	68.1%	-2.5	39
1954-03-28	Osasuna	W 5-3	1605	1609	71.7%	14.1%	14.2%	+2.8	31
1954-03-28	@ Real Jaen	L 3-5	1609	1605	14.2%	14.1%	71.7%	-2.8	32
1954-03-28	Atletico Bilbao	D 1-1	1657	1753	63.4%	14.5%	22.0%	-1.3	34
1954-03-28	@ Real Sociedad	D 1-1	1753	1657	22.0%	14.5%	63.4%	+1.3	39
1954-03-28	Real Madrid	W 4-3	1635	1819	53.3%	14.6%	32.0%	+3.8	34
1954-03-28	@ Real Valladolid	L 3-4	1819	1635	32.0%	14.6%	53.3%	-3.8	51
1954-03-28	Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-2	1744	1658	77.5%	13.4%	9.2%	-9.2	44
1954-03-28	@ Sevilla	W 2-1	1658	1744	9.2%	13.4%	77.5%	+9.2	38
1954-03-28	Valencia	W 5-2	1607	1780	54.6%	14.7%	30.7%	+8.3	23
1954-03-28	@ Real Gijon	L 2-5	1780	1607	30.7%	14.7%	54.6%	-8.3	41
1954-04-04	Real Jaen	D 0-0	1754	1608	80.5%	12.8%	6.7%	-2.6	40
1954-04-04	@ Atletico Bilbao	D 0-0	1608	1754	6.7%	12.8%	80.5%	+2.6	32
1954-04-04	Barcelona	W 1-0	1668	1831	55.8%	14.6%	29.5%	+4.0	41
1954-04-04	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-1	1831	1668	29.5%	14.6%	55.8%	-4.0	49
1954-04-04	Sevilla	W 3-2	1726	1735	71.2%	14.1%	14.7%	+1.9	42
1954-04-04	@ Espanol	L 2-3	1735	1726	14.7%	14.1%	71.2%	-1.9	44
1954-04-04	Real Valladolid	W 4-0	1606	1639	69.2%	14.3%	16.5%	+8.4	35
1954-04-04	@ Osasuna	L 0-4	1639	1606	16.5%	14.3%	69.2%	-8.4	34
1954-04-04	Real Sociedad	W 4-2	1664	1656	72.5%	14.0%	13.5%	+2.8	40
1954-04-04	@ Real Santander	L 2-4	1656	1664	13.5%	14.0%	72.5%	-2.8	34
1954-04-04	Real Gijon	W 4-0	1815	1616	82.7%	12.2%	5.1%	+2.6	54
1954-04-04	@ Real Madrid	L 0-4	1616	1815	5.1%	12.2%	82.7%	-2.6	23
1954-04-04	Atletico Madrid	D 0-0	1621	1717	63.4%	14.5%	22.1%	-1.4	29
1954-04-04	@ Real Oviedo	D 0-0	1717	1621	22.1%	14.5%	63.4%	+1.4	34
1954-04-04	Celta Vigo	W 5-2	1772	1684	77.5%	13.4%	9.1%	+2.6	44
1954-04-04	@ Valencia	L 2-5	1684	1772	9.1%	13.4%	77.5%	-2.6	34
1954-04-11	Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-1	1719	1672	75.2%	13.7%	11.1%	+2.6	37
1954-04-11	@ Atletico Madrid	L 1-3	1672	1719	11.1%	13.7%	75.2%	-2.6	41
1954-04-11	Sevilla	W 4-1	1827	1733	77.9%	13.3%	8.8%	+2.9	52
1954-04-11	@ Barcelona	L 1-4	1733	1827	8.8%	13.3%	77.9%	-2.9	44
1954-04-11	Real Madrid	W 1-0	1682	1817	59.1%	14.6%	26.3%	+3.6	37
1954-04-11	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-1	1817	1682	26.3%	14.6%	59.1%	-3.6	54
1954-04-11	Real Santander	W 4-2	1611	1667	67.3%	14.4%	18.3%	+3.8	35
1954-04-11	@ Real Jaen	L 2-4	1667	1611	18.3%	14.4%	67.3%	-3.8	40
1954-04-11	Real Oviedo	W 1-0	1653	1620	74.2%	13.8%	11.9%	+1.7	37
1954-04-11	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-1	1620	1653	11.9%	13.8%	74.2%	-1.7	29
1954-04-11	Atletico Bilbao	D 2-2	1631	1752	60.7%	14.6%	24.7%	-0.8	35
1954-04-11	@ Real Valladolid	D 2-2	1752	1631	24.7%	14.6%	60.7%	+0.8	41
1954-04-11	Osasuna	L 3-4	1613	1614	71.8%	14.1%	14.1%	-7.9	23
1954-04-11	@ Real Gijon	W 4-3	1614	1613	14.1%	14.1%	71.8%	+7.9	38
1954-04-11	Espanol	W 4-2	1774	1728	75.1%	13.7%	11.2%	+2.4	47
1954-04-11	@ Valencia	L 2-4	1728	1774	11.2%	13.7%	75.1%	-2.3	42
1954-04-18	Real Gijon	W 3-1	1753	1605	80.5%	12.8%	6.7%	+1.6	44
1954-04-18	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-3	1605	1753	6.7%	12.8%	80.5%	-1.6	23
1954-04-18	Espanol	L 1-4	1830	1725	78.5%	13.2%	8.3%	-22.8	52
1954-04-18	@ Barcelona	W 4-1	1725	1830	8.3%	13.2%	78.5%	+22.8	45
1954-04-18	Real Sociedad	W 3-0	1669	1655	72.9%	14.0%	13.1%	+5.2	44
1954-04-18	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-3	1655	1669	13.1%	14.0%	72.9%	-5.2	37
1954-04-18	Celta Vigo	D 2-2	1622	1685	66.6%	14.4%	19.0%	-1.1	39
1954-04-18	@ Osasuna	D 2-2	1685	1622	19.0%	14.4%	66.6%	+1.1	38
1954-04-18	Real Valladolid	L 1-3	1663	1630	74.2%	13.8%	11.9%	-15.3	40
1954-04-18	@ Real Santander	W 3-1	1630	1663	11.9%	13.8%	74.2%	+15.2	38
1954-04-18	Valencia	W 4-0	1814	1777	74.5%	13.8%	11.7%	+6.0	57
1954-04-18	@ Real Madrid	L 0-4	1777	1814	11.7%	13.8%	74.5%	-6.0	47
1954-04-18	Real Jaen	D 2-2	1618	1615	72.2%	14.1%	13.8%	-1.4	30
1954-04-18	@ Real Oviedo	D 2-2	1615	1618	13.8%	14.1%	72.2%	+1.4	36
1954-04-18	Atletico Madrid	W 2-1	1730	1721	72.5%	14.0%	13.5%	+1.8	47
1954-04-18	@ Sevilla	L 1-2	1721	1730	13.5%	14.0%	72.5%	-1.8	37
1954-04-25	Barcelona	W 1-0	1720	1807	64.3%	14.5%	21.2%	+3.0	40
1954-04-25	@ Atletico Madrid	L 0-1	1807	1720	21.2%	14.5%	64.3%	-3.0	52
1954-04-25	Atletico Bilbao	W 4-2	1686	1754	66.2%	14.4%	19.4%	+4.0	41
1954-04-25	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-4	1754	1686	19.4%	14.4%	66.2%	-4.0	44
1954-04-25	Real Madrid	W 2-1	1748	1820	65.8%	14.4%	19.7%	+2.6	48
1954-04-25	@ Espanol	L 1-2	1820	1748	19.7%	14.4%	65.8%	-2.6	57
1954-04-25	Deportivo La Coruna	W 4-0	1616	1674	67.1%	14.4%	18.5%	+9.4	39
1954-04-25	@ Real Jaen	L 0-4	1674	1616	18.5%	14.4%	67.1%	-9.4	44
1954-04-25	Sevilla	W 3-2	1650	1732	64.8%	14.5%	20.7%	+2.6	40
1954-04-25	@ Real Sociedad	L 2-3	1732	1650	20.7%	14.5%	64.8%	-2.6	47
1954-04-25	Real Oviedo	W 3-2	1645	1617	73.9%	13.9%	12.2%	+1.6	41
1954-04-25	@ Real Valladolid	L 2-3	1617	1645	12.2%	13.9%	73.9%	-1.6	30
1954-04-25	Real Santander	L 3-5	1603	1648	68.3%	14.3%	17.4%	-11.9	23
1954-04-25	@ Real Gijon	W 5-3	1648	1603	17.4%	14.3%	68.3%	+11.9	43
1954-04-25	Osasuna	D 1-1	1770	1621	80.6%	12.8%	6.6%	-2.4	48
1954-04-25	@ Valencia	D 1-1	1621	1770	6.6%	12.8%	80.6%	+2.4	40

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1954-01-24	5.82%	Osasuna	1595	1	@ Atletico Bilbao	1769	0
2	1953-11-29	7.55%	Real Valladolid	1689	2	@ Real Madrid	1812	1
3	1953-11-29	7.88%	Real Sociedad	1645	3	@ Atletico Bilbao	1760	1
4	1954-04-18	8.33%	Espanol	1725	4	@ Barcelona	1830	1
5	1953-10-11	8.46%	Real Jaen	1619	2	@ Espanol	1720	1
6	1954-03-28	9.15%	Deportivo La Coruna	1658	2	@ Sevilla	1744	1
7	1954-01-17	11.01%	Atletico Bilbao	1761	3	@ Real Madrid	1810	2
8	1953-10-04	11.91%	Real Valladolid	1679	2	@ Atletico Madrid	1713	1
9	1954-04-18	11.91%	Real Valladolid	1630	3	@ Real Santander	1663	1
10	1953-10-11	12.15%	Sevilla	1726	3	@ Valencia	1755	2
11	1953-09-13	12.27%	Real Santander	1652	2	@ Celta Vigo	1679	1
12	1953-10-25	12.78%	Real Sociedad	1653	1	@ Celta Vigo	1672	0
13	1954-01-31	13.56%	Atletico Madrid	1686	3	@ Real Valladolid	1693	1
14	1954-03-07	13.71%	Celta Vigo	1654	3	@ Real Valladolid	1659	0
15	1953-12-06	13.74%	Real Santander	1657	2	@ Real Sociedad	1662	1
16	1954-01-17	13.92%	Deportivo La Coruna	1650	3	@ Real Gijon	1652	2
17	1954-04-11	14.11%	Osasuna	1614	4	@ Real Gijon	1613	3
18	1953-09-20	14.28%	Celta Vigo	1671	1	@ Real Oviedo	1667	0
19	1953-09-20	14.92%	Real Madrid	1754	3	@ Atletico Bilbao	1742	2
20	1953-10-18	14.94%	Real Gijon	1674	2	@ Real Sociedad	1661	1
21	1954-01-10	15.00%	Valencia	1783	2	@ Atletico Bilbao	1769	1
22	1954-02-21	15.20%	Espanol	1696	2	@ Real Valladolid	1680	0
23	1953-11-15	15.24%	Deportivo La Coruna	1645	1	@ Real Oviedo	1628	0
24	1953-12-13	15.78%	Real Sociedad	1653	3	@ Real Oviedo	1629	1
25	1953-10-11	16.02%	Real Oviedo	1627	2	@ Osasuna	1599	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1953-10-04	27.89	Real Madrid	4	1764	23.45%	@ Real Oviedo	0	1655	61.97%
2	1954-03-07	24.89	Celta Vigo	3	1654	13.71%	@ Real Valladolid	0	1659	72.24%
3	1954-04-18	22.76	Espanol	4	1725	8.33%	@ Barcelona	1	1830	78.45%
4	1953-11-01	22.17	Valencia	3	1748	21.11%	@ Real Sociedad	0	1662	64.38%
5	1953-09-13	21.02	Barcelona	3	1799	24.41%	@ Real Sociedad	0	1680	60.99%
6	1953-11-22	17.03	Atletico Bilbao	5	1743	17.93%	@ Atletico Madrid	2	1692	67.71%
7	1954-02-21	16.75	Espanol	2	1696	15.20%	@ Real Valladolid	0	1680	70.61%
8	1953-11-29	16.20	Real Sociedad	3	1645	7.88%	@ Atletico Bilbao	1	1760	79.00%
9	1954-04-18	15.26	Real Valladolid	3	1630	11.91%	@ Real Santander	1	1663	74.25%
10	1954-01-31	14.88	Atletico Madrid	3	1686	13.56%	@ Real Valladolid	1	1693	72.40%
11	1953-12-13	14.38	Real Sociedad	3	1653	15.78%	@ Real Oviedo	1	1629	69.99%
12	1954-03-07	13.99	Real Madrid	6	1801	25.33%	@ Real Sociedad	3	1674	60.06%
13	1953-11-29	12.61	@ Real Oviedo	3	1618	50.84%	Barcelona	0	1820	34.52%
14	1953-12-06	12.37	Atletico Bilbao	3	1744	25.18%	@ Real Jaen	1	1618	60.21%
15	1954-04-25	11.86	Real Santander	5	1648	17.36%	@ Real Gijon	3	1603	68.31%
16	1953-10-25	10.54	@ Real Madrid	5	1790	68.94%	Barcelona	0	1827	16.77%
17	1954-01-24	10.22	Osasuna	1	1595	5.82%	@ Atletico Bilbao	0	1769	81.70%
18	1954-02-07	9.41	@ Real Jaen	3	1585	60.60%	Espanol	0	1708	24.80%
19	1954-04-25	9.40	@ Real Jaen	4	1616	67.08%	Deportivo La Coruna	0	1674	18.52%
20	1953-11-29	9.39	Real Valladolid	2	1689	7.55%	@ Real Madrid	1	1812	79.41%
21	1953-10-11	9.28	Real Jaen	2	1619	8.46%	@ Espanol	1	1720	78.29%
22	1953-10-25	9.22	Real Sociedad	1	1653	12.78%	@ Celta Vigo	0	1672	73.27%
23	1954-03-28	9.18	Deportivo La Coruna	2	1658	9.15%	@ Sevilla	1	1744	77.45%
24	1953-09-20	9.01	Celta Vigo	1	1671	14.28%	@ Real Oviedo	0	1667	71.62%
25	1953-11-15	8.88	Deportivo La Coruna	1	1645	15.24%	@ Real Oviedo	0	1628	70.57%