1942-43 Allsvenskan Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Norrkoping

31 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Helsingborg

5.06 points above expected

30 points · 24.94 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

IFK Eskilstuna

7.18 points below expected

7 points · 14.18 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Norrkoping	22	12	7	3	31	52	25	+27	28.65	+2.35
2	Elfsborg	22	14	2	6	30	58	32	+26	25.72	+4.28
3	Helsingborg	22	12	6	4	30	46	28	+18	24.94	+5.06
4	Degerfors	22	9	8	5	26	49	27	+22	24.15	+1.85
5	Malmo	22	10	5	7	25	44	30	+14	23.39	+1.61
6	Halmstad	22	9	7	6	25	38	50	-12	22.23	+2.77
7	AIK Stockholm	22	10	4	8	24	48	37	+11	23.77	+0.23
8	Goteborg	22	7	10	5	24	46	40	+6	24.78	-0.78
9	Sandvikens IF	22	8	2	12	18	31	47	-16	16.64	+1.36
10	GAIS	22	6	3	13	15	38	47	-9	20.70	-5.70
11	Garda	22	2	5	15	9	17	60	-43	14.85	-5.85
12	IFK Eskilstuna	22	2	3	17	7	31	75	-44	14.18	-7.18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Helsingborg	30	24.94	+5.06
2	Elfsborg	30	25.72	+4.28
3	Halmstad	25	22.23	+2.77
4	Norrkoping	31	28.65	+2.35
5	Degerfors	26	24.15	+1.85

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	IFK Eskilstuna	7	14.18	-7.18
2	Garda	9	14.85	-5.85
3	GAIS	15	20.70	-5.70
4	Goteborg	24	24.78	-0.78
5	AIK Stockholm	24	23.77	+0.23

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	AIK Stockholm	6	Sep 27 – Apr 11	1 in 276
2	Sandvikens IF	4	Jul 26 – Aug 16	1 in 149
3	Helsingborg	5	May 16 – Jun 6	1 in 77
4	Elfsborg	6	Sep 27 – Apr 18	1 in 35
5	Norrkoping	5	May 2 – May 30	1 in 21

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	IFK Eskilstuna	9	Oct 25 – May 30	1 in 96
2	Norrkoping	2	Jun 3 – Jun 6	1 in 40
3	GAIS	4	Oct 11 – Apr 11	1 in 32
4	Sandvikens IF	5	Nov 1 – May 2	1 in 26
5	Degerfors	3	May 30 – Jun 6	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Degerfors	13	Sep 13 – May 23	1 in 102
2	AIK Stockholm	9	Sep 13 – Apr 26	1 in 50
3	Norrkoping	11	Jul 26 – Oct 25	1 in 39
4	Goteborg	8	Apr 18 – Jun 3	1 in 33
5	Malmo	7	Oct 18 – May 2	1 in 26

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Goteborg	9	Sep 13 – Apr 26	1 in 102
2	Degerfors	6	Sep 27 – Apr 18	1 in 15
3	IFK Eskilstuna	14	Sep 27 – Jun 3	1 in 13
4	Norrkoping	3	Oct 18 – Nov 1	1 in 11
5	Garda	12	Oct 11 – May 30	1 in 8

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Norrkoping	1642	31	-18	6	6.7	-0.7
Helsingborg	1652	30	+121	10	5.6	+4.4
Elfsborg	1646	30	+48	7	5.6	+1.4
Degerfors	1591	26	+24	4	5.6	-1.6
Malmo	1567	25	+35	6	6.1	-0.1
Halmstad	1428	25	-130	4	4.1	-0.1
Goteborg	1566	24	+39	7	5.2	+1.8
AIK Stockholm	1549	24	-12	5	5.8	-0.8
Sandvikens IF	1364	18	-31	2	4.5	-2.5
GAIS	1452	15	-8	4	4.8	-0.8
Garda	1267	9	-44	2	3.0	-1.0
IFK Eskilstuna	1283	7	-20	3	3.4	-0.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AS	DEG	ELF	GAI	GAR	GOT	HAL	HEL	IE	MAL	NOR	SI
AIK Stockholm	—	1-0-1 2.49	0-0-2 2.53	2-0-0 3.25	2-0-0 3.79	0-2-0 2.50	1-1-0 2.58	1-0-1 2.52	1-1-0 3.94	0-0-2 2.99	1-0-1 2.29	1-0-1 3.49
Degerfors	1-0-1 3.01	—	0-0-2 2.75	1-1-0 3.41	2-0-0 4.23	0-2-0 2.62	1-0-1 3.15	0-2-0 2.76	2-0-0 3.91	1-1-0 2.78	0-1-1 2.04	1-1-0 3.67
Elfsborg	2-0-0 2.97	2-0-0 2.76	—	1-0-1 3.46	2-0-0 3.76	1-1-0 3.05	1-1-0 3.01	0-0-2 3.02	2-0-0 4.20	1-0-1 3.16	0-0-2 2.36	2-0-0 3.93
GAIS	0-0-2 2.25	0-1-1 2.10	1-0-1 2.04	—	2-0-0 3.63	0-1-1 2.20	0-0-2 2.74	0-0-2 2.19	2-0-0 3.32	0-0-2 2.61	0-1-1 1.62	1-0-1 3.27
Garda	0-0-2 1.73	0-0-2 1.30	0-0-2 1.78	0-0-2 1.88	—	0-1-1 1.75	0-2-0 1.49	0-0-2 1.56	0-1-1 2.78	1-0-1 1.66	0-1-1 1.38	1-0-1 2.06
Goteborg	0-2-0 3.02	0-2-0 2.88	0-1-1 2.46	1-1-0 3.31	1-1-0 3.77	—	0-1-1 2.82	0-0-2 2.86	2-0-0 4.16	0-2-0 3.07	1-0-1 2.19	2-0-0 3.64
Halmstad	0-1-1 2.93	1-0-1 2.36	0-1-1 2.49	2-0-0 2.77	0-2-0 4.03	1-1-0 2.68	—	0-0-2 2.32	2-0-0 4.13	0-1-1 2.58	1-1-0 1.46	2-0-0 3.17
Helsingborg	1-0-1 2.98	0-2-0 2.74	2-0-0 2.48	2-0-0 3.33	2-0-0 3.96	2-0-0 2.65	2-0-0 3.18	—	0-1-1 4.05	1-1-0 2.87	0-2-0 1.97	0-0-2 3.67
IFK Eskilstuna	0-1-1 1.58	0-0-2 1.62	0-0-2 1.34	0-0-2 2.18	1-1-0 2.72	0-0-2 1.37	0-0-2 1.39	1-1-0 1.47	—	0-0-2 1.80	0-0-2 1.62	0-0-2 2.57
Malmo	2-0-0 2.52	0-1-1 2.72	1-0-1 2.34	2-0-0 2.90	1-0-1 3.87	0-2-0 2.43	1-1-0 2.93	0-1-1 2.63	2-0-0 3.71	—	0-0-2 2.13	1-0-1 3.40
Norrkoping	1-0-1 3.22	1-1-0 3.47	2-0-0 3.14	1-1-0 3.90	1-1-0 4.15	1-0-1 3.32	0-1-1 4.06	0-2-0 3.54	2-0-0 3.91	2-0-0 3.38	—	1-1-0 4.18
Sandvikens IF	1-0-1 2.03	0-1-1 1.84	0-0-2 1.59	1-0-1 2.23	1-0-1 3.45	0-0-2 1.87	0-0-2 2.33	2-0-0 1.85	2-0-0 2.94	1-0-1 2.11	0-1-1 1.35	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.75	+6.2
Allowed	0.83	-4.8
Differential	0.88	+3.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	3.41%	3.03%	2.27%	2.65%	2.27%	19.70%
1	3.41%	9.85%	6.82%	4.92%	2.65%	3.41%	31.06%
2	3.03%	6.82%	6.82%	2.27%	0.76%	1.52%	21.21%
3	2.27%	4.92%	2.27%	0.76%	1.14%	0.76%	12.12%
4	2.65%	2.65%	0.76%	1.14%	—	0.38%	7.58%
5+	2.27%	3.41%	1.52%	0.76%	0.38%	—	8.33%
Total	19.70%	31.06%	21.21%	12.12%	7.58%	8.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.89	1.89	+0.00
SD	1.71	1.71	2.65
CV	0.91	0.91	—
Max	12	12	+12
Min	0	0	-12

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	—	13.64%
1	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	40.91%
2	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	18.18%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
Total	22.73%	22.73%	31.82%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.18	1.68	+0.50
SD	2.04	1.36	2.44
CV	0.93	0.81	—
Max	7	5	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
1	—	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
2	—	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	13.64%	—	—	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
Total	31.82%	36.36%	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.23	1.23	+1.00
SD	1.97	1.19	2.49
CV	0.89	0.97	—
Max	7	4	+7
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
1	4.55%	—	18.18%	—	—	—	22.73%
2	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
3	—	18.18%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	31.82%
4	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
Total	13.64%	36.36%	45.45%	—	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.64	1.45	+1.18
SD	1.65	0.91	1.92
CV	0.63	0.63	—
Max	6	4	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	31.82%
1	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	22.73%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	9.09%
4	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	13.64%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	9.09%	36.36%	13.64%	22.73%	9.09%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.73	2.14	-0.41
SD	1.70	1.49	2.11
CV	0.98	0.70	—
Max	6	5	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	31.82%
1	4.55%	13.64%	9.09%	22.73%	—	9.09%	59.09%
2	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	18.18%	22.73%	27.27%	4.55%	18.18%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.77	2.73	-1.95
SD	0.61	1.93	2.17
CV	0.79	0.71	—
Max	2	7	+1
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
1	4.55%	22.73%	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	40.91%
2	—	—	18.18%	4.55%	—	4.55%	27.27%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
Total	18.18%	36.36%	18.18%	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.09	1.82	+0.27
SD	1.48	1.62	2.33
CV	0.71	0.89	—
Max	5	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	—	—	—	4.55%	9.09%	31.82%
1	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	22.73%
2	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	27.27%	22.73%	18.18%	9.09%	9.09%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.73	2.27	-0.55
SD	1.75	2.78	3.65
CV	1.01	1.22	—
Max	6	12	+6
Min	0	0	-12

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
1	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	18.18%
2	4.55%	13.64%	13.64%	—	—	—	31.82%
3	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
4	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	40.91%	22.73%	—	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.09	1.27	+0.82
SD	1.31	1.28	1.84
CV	0.62	1.01	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	4.55%	13.64%	—	4.55%	22.73%
1	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	13.64%	36.36%
2	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	27.27%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	—	13.64%	18.18%	22.73%	18.18%	27.27%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	3.41	-2.00
SD	1.22	1.62	2.27
CV	0.87	0.48	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	1	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	27.27%
1	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	27.27%
2	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	36.36%	27.27%	22.73%	—	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	1.36	+0.64
SD	2.69	1.59	3.47
CV	1.35	1.17	—
Max	12	6	+12
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
1	—	18.18%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	27.27%
2	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	31.82%
3	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
4	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	31.82%	45.45%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.36	1.14	+1.23
SD	1.56	1.21	2.11
CV	0.66	1.06	—
Max	6	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.64%	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	27.27%
1	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	18.18%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	36.36%	18.18%	18.18%	9.09%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	2.14	-0.73
SD	1.22	1.58	2.05
CV	0.87	0.74	—
Max	4	6	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Helsingborg	1652	30	24.94	+5.06	92.0%	14	18	22	25	28	31	33
Elfsborg	1646	30	25.72	+4.28	86.0%	15	18	23	26	28	32	37
Norrkoping	1642	31	28.65	+2.35	66.0%	18	22	26	29	32	35	37
Degerfors	1591	26	24.15	+1.85	67.0%	15	17	21	24	27	31	35
Malmo	1567	25	23.39	+1.61	71.0%	15	17	21	23	26	31	32
Goteborg	1566	24	24.78	-0.78	45.0%	16	19	22	25	27	31	33
AIK Stockholm	1549	24	23.77	+0.23	56.0%	15	17	21	24	26	30	33
GAIS	1452	15	20.70	-5.70	9.0%	12	15	18	21	23	27	28
Halmstad	1428	25	22.23	+2.77	81.0%	11	14	20	22	24	29	34
Sandvikens IF	1364	18	16.64	+1.36	69.0%	9	11	14	16	19	24	25
IFK Eskilstuna	1283	7	14.18	-7.18	3.0%	4	8	12	14	17	19	24
Garda	1267	9	14.85	-5.85	12.0%	6	8	12	15	17	21	25

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+11.36%

No Edge

43.94%23.48%32.58%

Elo Value

Home Edge

106 Elo

0.009 goals per Elo point

039.65300

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.42 goals

Neutral

-2+0.37+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.

Title-Race Openness

4.1

Open

134510

Champion Preseason Odds

43%

Norrkoping, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.05/gm

Photo Finish

00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.16 * Some Luck: 3.16 to 4.74 * Lucky: 4.74 to 6.32 * Wild Swing: 6.32 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.59 * Close: 1.59 to 2.38 * Off: 2.38 to 3.18 * Way Off: 3.18 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

3.91 points

Some Luck

03.9510

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

Pinpoint

01.994

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

92.00%

Helsingborg

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

3.00%

IFK Eskilstuna

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.19

Lopsided

00.140.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 138.67

1.96

Wide Separation

0.951.41.652.75

Interquartile Edge

75%

Wide Edge

50%63%71.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 94%

90%

Strong Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

52%

Few

0%43%100%

Blowouts

Expected

30%

Very Frequent

0%35%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.59

Predictable

00.612

Matchup Imbalance

0.34

Notable Separation

00.30.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.07

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.49

Some Carryover

00.380.530.691

Upset Rate

Expected

22%

Chalky

0%25%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

17%

Solid Favorites

0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.

Probability calibration

0.87

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.32

Very Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.078

Well Within Noise

00.1410.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Norrkoping	43.00%	19.00%	11.00%	10.00%	4.00%	7.00%	2.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Elfsborg	16.00%	20.00%	13.00%	12.00%	12.00%	8.00%	8.00%	7.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—
Helsingborg	9.00%	15.00%	15.00%	17.00%	7.00%	13.00%	13.00%	3.00%	6.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%
Degerfors	9.00%	7.00%	22.00%	11.00%	9.00%	8.00%	10.00%	9.00%	10.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Malmo	9.00%	10.00%	7.00%	4.00%	13.00%	13.00%	14.00%	14.00%	9.00%	4.00%	3.00%	—
Halmstad	3.00%	4.00%	7.00%	7.00%	16.00%	11.00%	10.00%	13.00%	15.00%	9.00%	2.00%	3.00%
AIK Stockholm	5.00%	13.00%	7.00%	13.00%	13.00%	13.00%	10.00%	12.00%	6.00%	6.00%	2.00%	—
Goteborg	6.00%	10.00%	13.00%	20.00%	14.00%	13.00%	9.00%	6.00%	5.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—
Sandvikens IF	—	—	—	—	6.00%	1.00%	5.00%	9.00%	9.00%	26.00%	26.00%	18.00%
GAIS	—	2.00%	5.00%	5.00%	4.00%	11.00%	14.00%	21.00%	20.00%	10.00%	4.00%	4.00%
Garda	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	2.00%	10.00%	20.00%	26.00%	35.00%
IFK Eskilstuna	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	7.00%	16.00%	35.00%	38.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Elfsborg	100%	—
Norrkoping	100%	—
Goteborg	99.00%	1.00%
Helsingborg	99.00%	1.00%
AIK Stockholm	98.00%	2.00%
Degerfors	98.00%	2.00%
Malmo	97.00%	3.00%
Halmstad	95.00%	5.00%
GAIS	92.00%	8.00%
Sandvikens IF	56.00%	44.00%
Garda	39.00%	61.00%
IFK Eskilstuna	27.00%	73.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1942-07-26	Norrkoping	L 1-3	56.6	1504	1521	43.55%	24.89%	31.56%	+0.22	-18.9	0
1942-07-26	@ AIK Stockholm	W 3-1	56.6	1521	1504	31.56%	24.89%	43.55%	-0.22	+18.9	2
1942-07-26	Goteborg	D 1-1	62.8	1511	1544	41.30%	24.90%	33.80%	+0.06	-0.4	1
1942-07-26	@ Degerfors	D 1-1	62.8	1544	1511	33.80%	24.90%	41.30%	-0.06	+0.4	1
1942-07-26	Elfsborg	L 1-3	52.5	1454	1522	36.22%	24.88%	38.90%	-0.28	-16.4	0
1942-07-26	@ Garda	W 3-1	52.5	1522	1454	38.90%	24.88%	36.22%	+0.28	+16.4	2
1942-07-26	GAIS	W 3-2	59.7	1511	1528	43.52%	24.89%	31.59%	+0.22	+8.1	2
1942-07-26	@ Halmstad	L 2-3	59.7	1528	1511	31.59%	24.89%	43.52%	-0.22	-8.1	0
1942-07-26	Malmo	D 2-2	66.6	1536	1502	49.92%	24.73%	25.35%	+0.70	-1.0	1
1942-07-26	@ Helsingborg	D 2-2	66.6	1502	1536	25.35%	24.73%	49.92%	-0.70	+1.0	1
1942-07-26	Sandvikens IF	L 1-2	55.0	1457	1420	50.28%	24.72%	25.00%	+0.72	-12.3	0
1942-07-26	@ IFK Eskilstuna	W 2-1	55.0	1420	1457	25.00%	24.72%	50.28%	-0.72	+12.3	2
1942-07-31	Halmstad	D 2-2	67.5	1544	1519	48.82%	24.77%	26.41%	+0.61	-0.9	2
1942-07-31	@ Goteborg	D 2-2	67.5	1519	1544	26.41%	24.77%	48.82%	-0.61	+1.0	3
1942-08-02	Degerfors	W 3-2	58.4	1539	1510	49.23%	24.76%	26.01%	+0.64	+6.9	4
1942-08-02	@ Elfsborg	L 2-3	58.4	1510	1539	26.01%	24.76%	49.23%	-0.64	-6.9	1
1942-08-02	Helsingborg	L 0-1	55.5	1520	1535	43.72%	24.88%	31.40%	+0.23	-11.6	0
1942-08-02	@ GAIS	W 1-0	55.5	1535	1520	31.40%	24.88%	43.72%	-0.23	+11.6	3
1942-08-02	IFK Eskilstuna	W 4-1	45.6	1503	1445	52.68%	24.60%	22.72%	+0.92	+16.0	3
1942-08-02	@ Malmo	L 1-4	45.6	1445	1503	22.72%	24.60%	52.68%	-0.92	-16.0	0
1942-08-02	Garda	D 1-1	60.1	1540	1437	57.32%	24.27%	18.41%	+1.34	-2.3	3
1942-08-02	@ Norrkoping	D 1-1	60.1	1437	1540	18.41%	24.27%	57.32%	-1.34	+2.3	1
1942-08-02	AIK Stockholm	W 2-1	52.3	1432	1486	38.44%	24.90%	36.66%	-0.13	+9.5	4
1942-08-02	@ Sandvikens IF	L 1-2	52.3	1486	1432	36.66%	24.90%	38.44%	+0.13	-9.5	0
1942-08-07	Goteborg	L 0-5	43.7	1439	1543	31.48%	24.77%	43.75%	-0.60	-39.7	1
1942-08-07	@ Garda	W 5-0	43.7	1543	1439	43.75%	24.77%	31.48%	+0.60	+39.7	4
1942-08-09	Halmstad	W 6-1	49.0	1476	1520	39.73%	24.90%	35.37%	-0.04	+36.0	2
1942-08-09	@ AIK Stockholm	L 1-6	49.0	1520	1476	35.37%	24.90%	39.73%	+0.04	-36.0	3
1942-08-09	Malmo	W 2-1	54.5	1503	1519	43.69%	24.88%	31.42%	+0.23	+8.5	3
1942-08-09	@ Degerfors	L 1-2	54.5	1519	1503	31.42%	24.88%	43.69%	-0.23	-8.5	3
1942-08-09	Sandvikens IF	L 2-3	62.9	1508	1442	53.58%	24.55%	21.87%	+1.00	-12.4	0
1942-08-09	@ GAIS	W 3-2	62.9	1442	1508	21.87%	24.55%	53.58%	-1.00	+12.4	6
1942-08-09	Elfsborg	W 2-1	56.4	1546	1546	45.76%	24.85%	29.39%	+0.38	+8.0	5
1942-08-09	@ Helsingborg	L 1-2	56.4	1546	1546	29.39%	24.85%	45.76%	-0.38	-8.1	4
1942-08-09	Norrkoping	L 0-3	44.3	1429	1537	30.84%	24.75%	44.41%	-0.65	-24.2	0
1942-08-09	@ IFK Eskilstuna	W 3-0	44.3	1537	1429	44.41%	24.75%	30.84%	+0.65	+24.2	5
1942-08-14	GAIS	D 2-2	68.2	1583	1496	55.81%	24.40%	19.79%	+1.20	-1.6	5
1942-08-14	@ Goteborg	D 2-2	68.2	1496	1583	19.79%	24.40%	55.81%	-1.20	+1.6	1
1942-08-16	AIK Stockholm	W 4-1	50.6	1512	1512	45.69%	24.85%	29.45%	+0.37	+19.8	5
1942-08-16	@ Degerfors	L 1-4	50.6	1512	1512	29.45%	24.85%	45.69%	-0.37	-19.8	2
1942-08-16	IFK Eskilstuna	D 2-2	58.9	1400	1404	45.09%	24.86%	30.04%	+0.33	-0.6	2
1942-08-16	@ Garda	D 2-2	58.9	1404	1400	30.04%	24.86%	45.09%	-0.33	+0.6	1
1942-08-16	Malmo	D 0-0	57.4	1484	1510	42.24%	24.90%	32.87%	+0.13	-0.6	4
1942-08-16	@ Halmstad	D 0-0	57.4	1510	1484	32.87%	24.90%	42.24%	-0.13	+0.6	4
1942-08-16	Elfsborg	W 2-0	49.6	1562	1538	48.71%	24.78%	26.52%	+0.60	+14.8	7
1942-08-16	@ Norrkoping	L 0-2	49.6	1538	1562	26.52%	24.78%	48.71%	-0.60	-14.8	4
1942-08-16	Helsingborg	W 4-3	65.6	1454	1554	31.96%	24.79%	43.25%	-0.57	+10.0	8
1942-08-16	@ Sandvikens IF	L 3-4	65.6	1554	1454	43.25%	24.79%	31.96%	+0.57	-10.0	5
1942-08-21	Garda	W 2-0	39.9	1497	1399	56.87%	24.31%	18.81%	+1.30	+11.2	3
1942-08-21	@ GAIS	L 0-2	39.9	1399	1497	18.81%	24.31%	56.87%	-1.30	-11.2	2
1942-08-30	AIK Stockholm	W 5-2	52.7	1523	1492	49.50%	24.75%	25.75%	+0.66	+15.4	6
1942-08-30	@ Elfsborg	L 2-5	52.7	1492	1523	25.75%	24.75%	49.50%	-0.66	-15.4	2
1942-08-30	Sandvikens IF	W 5-3	56.2	1581	1464	58.70%	24.14%	17.16%	+1.48	+7.5	7
1942-08-30	@ Goteborg	L 3-5	56.2	1464	1581	17.16%	24.14%	58.70%	-1.48	-7.6	8
1942-08-30	Halmstad	W 4-1	48.5	1544	1484	52.97%	24.59%	22.45%	+0.95	+15.9	7
1942-08-30	@ Helsingborg	L 1-4	48.5	1484	1544	22.45%	24.59%	52.97%	-0.95	-15.9	4
1942-08-30	Degerfors	L 0-3	42.5	1405	1532	28.56%	24.66%	46.77%	-0.82	-22.8	1
1942-08-30	@ IFK Eskilstuna	W 3-0	42.5	1532	1405	46.77%	24.66%	28.56%	+0.82	+22.8	7
1942-08-30	Norrkoping	L 0-4	49.4	1511	1576	36.68%	24.88%	38.44%	-0.25	-36.2	4
1942-08-30	@ Malmo	W 4-0	49.4	1576	1511	38.44%	24.88%	36.68%	+0.25	+36.2	9
1942-09-06	Malmo	L 1-2	56.2	1477	1475	45.98%	24.85%	29.17%	+0.40	-11.4	2
1942-09-06	@ AIK Stockholm	W 2-1	56.2	1475	1477	29.17%	24.85%	45.98%	-0.40	+11.4	6
1942-09-06	GAIS	W 4-0	44.7	1538	1508	49.42%	24.75%	25.83%	+0.66	+27.6	8
1942-09-06	@ Elfsborg	L 0-4	44.7	1508	1538	25.83%	24.75%	49.42%	-0.66	-27.6	3
1942-09-06	Helsingborg	L 1-2	49.2	1388	1560	23.36%	24.36%	52.29%	-1.25	-6.7	2
1942-09-06	@ Garda	W 2-1	49.2	1560	1388	52.29%	24.36%	23.36%	+1.25	+6.7	9
1942-09-06	Degerfors	W 3-0	49.6	1468	1555	33.74%	24.83%	41.43%	-0.45	+30.4	6
1942-09-06	@ Halmstad	L 0-3	49.6	1555	1468	41.43%	24.83%	33.74%	+0.45	-30.4	7
1942-09-06	Goteborg	L 0-3	41.0	1382	1589	19.91%	24.04%	56.05%	-1.58	-16.9	1
1942-09-06	@ IFK Eskilstuna	W 3-0	41.0	1589	1382	56.05%	24.04%	19.91%	+1.58	+16.9	9
1942-09-06	Sandvikens IF	D 3-3	72.3	1613	1457	62.09%	23.73%	14.18%	+1.85	-1.8	10
1942-09-06	@ Norrkoping	D 3-3	72.3	1457	1613	14.18%	23.73%	62.09%	-1.85	+1.8	9
1942-09-13	Garda	W 2-1	45.1	1524	1381	60.99%	23.88%	15.13%	+1.72	+4.6	9
1942-09-13	@ Degerfors	L 1-2	45.1	1381	1524	15.13%	23.88%	60.99%	-1.72	-4.6	2
1942-09-13	Norrkoping	L 1-3	54.2	1481	1611	28.15%	24.65%	47.20%	-0.85	-13.5	3
1942-09-13	@ GAIS	W 3-1	54.2	1611	1481	47.20%	24.65%	28.15%	+0.85	+13.5	12
1942-09-13	AIK Stockholm	D 1-1	63.6	1606	1465	60.78%	23.90%	15.31%	+1.70	-2.8	10
1942-09-13	@ Goteborg	D 1-1	63.6	1465	1606	15.31%	23.90%	60.78%	-1.70	+2.8	3
1942-09-13	Helsingborg	W 5-1	53.4	1365	1567	20.39%	24.09%	55.51%	-1.53	+42.6	3
1942-09-13	@ IFK Eskilstuna	L 1-5	53.4	1567	1365	55.51%	24.09%	20.39%	+1.53	-42.6	9
1942-09-13	Elfsborg	W 2-1	58.3	1486	1566	34.71%	24.85%	40.44%	-0.38	+10.3	8
1942-09-13	@ Malmo	L 1-2	58.3	1566	1486	40.44%	24.85%	34.71%	+0.38	-10.3	8
1942-09-13	Halmstad	L 1-3	53.1	1459	1498	40.36%	24.90%	34.74%	+0.00	-17.8	9
1942-09-13	@ Sandvikens IF	W 3-1	53.1	1498	1459	34.74%	24.90%	40.36%	+0.00	+17.8	8
1942-09-20	GAIS	W 5-4	60.9	1529	1467	53.07%	24.58%	22.35%	+0.96	+5.9	11
1942-09-20	@ Degerfors	L 4-5	60.9	1467	1529	22.35%	24.58%	53.07%	-0.96	-5.9	3
1942-09-20	Sandvikens IF	W 6-0	39.7	1516	1441	54.55%	24.49%	20.96%	+1.08	+34.0	10
1942-09-20	@ Halmstad	L 0-6	39.7	1441	1516	20.96%	24.49%	54.55%	-1.08	-34.0	9
1942-09-20	Helsingborg	D 0-0	62.8	1624	1524	57.09%	24.29%	18.62%	+1.32	-2.5	13
1942-09-20	@ Norrkoping	D 0-0	62.8	1524	1624	18.62%	24.29%	57.09%	-1.32	+2.6	10
1942-09-27	IFK Eskilstuna	W 5-2	46.7	1468	1408	52.94%	24.59%	22.47%	+0.94	+13.8	5
1942-09-27	@ AIK Stockholm	L 2-5	46.7	1408	1468	22.47%	24.59%	52.94%	-0.94	-13.8	3
1942-09-27	Halmstad	W 3-1	54.9	1555	1550	46.40%	24.84%	28.77%	+0.43	+13.7	10
1942-09-27	@ Elfsborg	L 1-3	54.9	1550	1555	28.77%	24.84%	46.40%	-0.43	-13.7	10
1942-09-27	Malmo	W 2-1	53.5	1377	1496	29.45%	24.70%	45.85%	-0.75	+11.4	4
1942-09-27	@ Garda	L 1-2	53.5	1496	1377	45.85%	24.70%	29.45%	+0.75	-11.4	8
1942-09-27	Goteborg	W 3-2	65.3	1527	1603	35.18%	24.86%	39.96%	-0.35	+9.6	12
1942-09-27	@ Helsingborg	L 2-3	65.3	1603	1527	39.96%	24.86%	35.18%	+0.35	-9.7	10
1942-09-27	Degerfors	D 1-1	58.6	1407	1535	28.41%	24.66%	46.93%	-0.83	+1.0	10
1942-09-27	@ Sandvikens IF	D 1-1	58.6	1535	1407	46.93%	24.66%	28.41%	+0.83	-1.0	12
1942-10-04	IFK Eskilstuna	W 6-1	40.0	1461	1394	53.70%	24.54%	21.76%	+1.01	+24.5	5
1942-10-04	@ GAIS	L 1-6	40.0	1394	1461	21.76%	24.54%	53.70%	-1.01	-24.5	3
1942-10-11	GAIS	W 5-3	57.3	1482	1486	45.19%	24.86%	29.95%	+0.34	+12.0	7
1942-10-11	@ AIK Stockholm	L 3-5	57.3	1486	1482	29.95%	24.86%	45.19%	-0.34	-12.0	5
1942-10-11	Norrkoping	L 1-6	57.8	1593	1622	41.92%	24.90%	33.18%	+0.11	-41.0	10
1942-10-11	@ Goteborg	W 6-1	57.8	1622	1593	33.18%	24.90%	41.92%	-0.11	+41.0	15
1942-10-11	Garda	D 1-1	58.3	1536	1388	61.45%	23.82%	14.73%	+1.77	-2.8	11
1942-10-11	@ Halmstad	D 1-1	58.3	1388	1536	14.73%	23.82%	61.45%	-1.77	+2.9	5
1942-10-11	Degerfors	D 2-2	67.7	1536	1534	46.05%	24.85%	29.11%	+0.40	-0.7	13
1942-10-11	@ Helsingborg	D 2-2	67.7	1534	1536	29.11%	24.85%	46.05%	-0.40	+0.7	13
1942-10-11	Elfsborg	L 2-4	50.5	1370	1569	20.58%	24.11%	55.31%	-1.51	-9.3	3
1942-10-11	@ IFK Eskilstuna	W 4-2	50.5	1569	1370	55.31%	24.11%	20.58%	+1.51	+9.3	12
1942-10-11	Sandvikens IF	L 0-1	52.9	1485	1408	54.76%	24.48%	20.77%	+1.10	-14.2	8
1942-10-11	@ Malmo	W 1-0	52.9	1408	1485	20.77%	24.48%	54.76%	-1.10	+14.2	12
1942-10-18	Goteborg	D 0-0	58.5	1471	1552	34.45%	24.85%	40.71%	-0.40	+0.4	9
1942-10-18	@ Malmo	D 0-0	58.5	1552	1471	40.71%	24.85%	34.45%	+0.40	-0.4	11
1942-10-18	AIK Stockholm	L 0-4	40.6	1391	1494	31.58%	24.78%	43.65%	-0.60	-32.3	5
1942-10-18	@ Garda	W 4-0	40.6	1494	1391	43.65%	24.78%	31.58%	+0.60	+32.3	9
1942-10-18	IFK Eskilstuna	D 2-2	61.9	1536	1360	63.62%	23.50%	12.89%	+2.03	-2.3	14
1942-10-18	@ Helsingborg	D 2-2	61.9	1360	1536	12.89%	23.50%	63.62%	-2.03	+2.3	4
1942-10-18	Halmstad	D 1-1	67.3	1663	1533	59.81%	24.02%	16.17%	+1.60	-2.6	16
1942-10-18	@ Norrkoping	D 1-1	67.3	1533	1663	16.17%	24.02%	59.81%	-1.60	+2.6	12
1942-10-25	Helsingborg	W 1-0	51.7	1526	1533	44.76%	24.87%	30.37%	+0.31	+8.8	11
1942-10-25	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-1	51.7	1533	1526	30.37%	24.87%	44.76%	-0.31	-8.8	14
1942-10-25	Norrkoping	D 2-2	71.4	1534	1660	28.68%	24.67%	46.65%	-0.81	+0.8	14
1942-10-25	@ Degerfors	D 2-2	71.4	1660	1534	46.65%	24.67%	28.68%	+0.81	-0.7	17
1942-10-25	Goteborg	W 4-1	53.2	1578	1552	49.01%	24.76%	26.22%	+0.62	+18.0	14
1942-10-25	@ Elfsborg	L 1-4	53.2	1552	1578	26.22%	24.76%	49.01%	-0.62	-18.0	11
1942-10-25	Malmo	L 0-2	49.9	1474	1471	46.05%	24.85%	29.11%	+0.40	-22.9	5
1942-10-25	@ GAIS	W 2-0	49.9	1471	1474	29.11%	24.85%	46.05%	-0.40	+22.9	11
1942-10-25	IFK Eskilstuna	W 4-3	52.2	1536	1363	63.47%	23.52%	13.01%	+2.01	+3.7	14
1942-10-25	@ Halmstad	L 3-4	52.2	1363	1536	13.01%	23.52%	63.47%	-2.01	-3.7	4
1942-10-25	Garda	W 3-1	42.4	1422	1359	53.26%	24.57%	22.17%	+0.97	+11.1	14
1942-10-25	@ Sandvikens IF	L 1-3	42.4	1359	1422	22.17%	24.57%	53.26%	-0.97	-11.1	5
1942-11-01	AIK Stockholm	L 2-4	70.6	1659	1535	59.37%	24.07%	16.56%	+1.55	-22.3	17
1942-11-01	@ Norrkoping	W 4-2	70.6	1535	1659	16.56%	24.07%	59.37%	-1.55	+22.3	13
1942-11-01	Degerfors	D 1-1	63.3	1534	1535	45.55%	24.86%	29.59%	+0.36	-0.9	12
1942-11-01	@ Goteborg	D 1-1	63.3	1535	1534	29.59%	24.86%	45.55%	-0.36	+0.9	15
1942-11-01	GAIS	W 3-0	41.5	1494	1451	50.97%	24.69%	24.34%	+0.78	+20.1	13
1942-11-01	@ Malmo	L 0-3	41.5	1451	1494	24.34%	24.69%	50.97%	-0.78	-20.1	5
1942-11-01	Elfsborg	L 1-2	52.5	1433	1596	24.29%	24.42%	51.29%	-1.17	-6.9	14
1942-11-01	@ Sandvikens IF	W 2-1	52.5	1596	1433	51.29%	24.42%	24.29%	+1.17	+6.9	16
1943-04-11	Sandvikens IF	W 1-0	44.9	1603	1426	63.76%	23.47%	12.76%	+2.05	+4.2	18
1943-04-11	@ Elfsborg	L 0-1	44.9	1426	1603	12.76%	23.47%	63.76%	-2.05	-4.2	14
1943-04-11	AIK Stockholm	L 0-1	48.4	1431	1557	28.60%	24.67%	46.73%	-0.82	-8.3	5
1943-04-11	@ GAIS	W 1-0	48.4	1557	1431	46.73%	24.67%	28.60%	+0.82	+8.3	15
1943-04-11	Goteborg	W 5-2	55.7	1540	1533	46.55%	24.83%	28.61%	+0.44	+16.7	16
1943-04-11	@ Halmstad	L 2-5	55.7	1533	1540	28.61%	24.83%	46.55%	-0.44	-16.7	12
1943-04-11	Garda	W 3-1	41.5	1525	1348	63.75%	23.47%	12.78%	+2.05	+6.9	16
1943-04-11	@ Helsingborg	L 1-3	41.5	1348	1525	12.78%	23.47%	63.75%	-2.05	-6.9	5
1943-04-11	Degerfors	D 1-1	62.6	1514	1536	42.81%	24.89%	32.30%	+0.17	-0.6	14
1943-04-11	@ Malmo	D 1-1	62.6	1536	1514	32.30%	24.89%	42.81%	-0.17	+0.6	16
1943-04-11	IFK Eskilstuna	W 6-1	39.8	1637	1359	70.32%	21.96%	7.72%	+3.00	+9.4	19
1943-04-11	@ Norrkoping	L 1-6	39.8	1359	1637	7.72%	21.96%	70.32%	-3.00	-9.4	4
1943-04-18	Goteborg	D 2-2	68.2	1566	1516	51.70%	24.65%	23.65%	+0.84	-1.2	16
1943-04-18	@ AIK Stockholm	D 2-2	68.2	1516	1566	23.65%	24.65%	51.70%	-0.84	+1.2	13
1943-04-18	Helsingborg	D 0-0	60.1	1537	1531	46.35%	24.84%	28.81%	+0.42	-1.1	17
1943-04-18	@ Degerfors	D 0-0	60.1	1531	1537	28.81%	24.84%	46.35%	-0.42	+1.1	17
1943-04-18	IFK Eskilstuna	W 3-1	42.7	1608	1350	69.17%	22.30%	8.53%	+2.81	+4.7	20
1943-04-18	@ Elfsborg	L 1-3	42.7	1350	1608	8.53%	22.30%	69.17%	-2.81	-4.7	4
1943-04-18	Halmstad	D 0-0	54.2	1341	1557	19.06%	23.95%	56.99%	-1.66	+2.5	6
1943-04-18	@ Garda	D 0-0	54.2	1557	1341	56.99%	23.95%	19.06%	+1.66	-2.5	17
1943-04-18	GAIS	D 1-1	63.9	1646	1423	67.05%	22.83%	10.12%	+2.49	-3.6	20
1943-04-18	@ Norrkoping	D 1-1	63.9	1423	1646	10.12%	22.83%	67.05%	-2.49	+3.6	6
1943-04-18	Malmo	L 0-1	47.9	1422	1514	33.08%	24.82%	42.10%	-0.49	-9.4	14
1943-04-18	@ Sandvikens IF	W 1-0	47.9	1514	1422	42.10%	24.82%	33.08%	+0.49	+9.4	16
1943-04-26	Garda	W 7-1	37.0	1564	1343	66.88%	22.87%	10.25%	+2.46	+14.8	18
1943-04-26	@ AIK Stockholm	L 1-7	37.0	1343	1564	10.25%	22.87%	66.88%	-2.46	-14.8	6
1943-04-26	Sandvikens IF	W 4-0	38.1	1535	1413	59.23%	24.09%	16.68%	+1.53	+19.1	19
1943-04-26	@ Degerfors	L 0-4	38.1	1413	1535	16.68%	24.09%	59.23%	-1.53	-19.1	14
1943-04-26	Malmo	D 1-1	62.2	1518	1523	45.00%	24.87%	30.14%	+0.32	-0.8	14
1943-04-26	@ Goteborg	D 1-1	62.2	1523	1518	30.14%	24.87%	45.00%	-0.32	+0.8	17
1943-04-26	Elfsborg	D 0-0	63.1	1554	1612	37.74%	24.89%	37.37%	-0.18	-0.0	18
1943-04-26	@ Halmstad	D 0-0	63.1	1612	1554	37.37%	24.89%	37.74%	+0.18	+0.0	21
1943-04-26	Norrkoping	D 1-1	66.5	1533	1643	30.63%	24.75%	44.63%	-0.67	+0.8	18
1943-04-26	@ Helsingborg	D 1-1	66.5	1643	1533	44.63%	24.75%	30.63%	+0.67	-0.8	21
1943-04-26	GAIS	L 1-4	44.2	1345	1426	34.49%	24.85%	40.66%	-0.39	-22.3	4
1943-04-26	@ IFK Eskilstuna	W 4-1	44.2	1426	1345	40.66%	24.85%	34.49%	+0.39	+22.3	8
1943-05-01	Degerfors	D 0-0	57.7	1448	1555	31.17%	24.76%	44.07%	-0.63	+0.8	9
1943-05-01	@ GAIS	D 0-0	57.7	1555	1448	44.07%	24.76%	31.17%	+0.63	-0.8	20
1943-05-02	Helsingborg	L 1-2	65.6	1612	1533	54.94%	24.46%	20.59%	+1.12	-13.4	21
1943-05-02	@ Elfsborg	W 2-1	65.6	1533	1612	20.59%	24.46%	54.94%	-1.12	+13.4	20
1943-05-02	Norrkoping	L 0-2	39.9	1328	1642	11.88%	22.67%	65.45%	-2.59	-7.3	6
1943-05-02	@ Garda	W 2-0	39.9	1642	1328	65.45%	22.67%	11.88%	+2.59	+7.3	23
1943-05-02	Halmstad	L 2-3	49.5	1323	1554	17.70%	23.77%	58.52%	-1.81	-5.0	4
1943-05-02	@ IFK Eskilstuna	W 3-2	49.5	1554	1323	58.52%	23.77%	17.70%	+1.81	+5.0	20
1943-05-02	AIK Stockholm	W 2-0	52.9	1524	1579	38.13%	24.89%	36.97%	-0.15	+19.2	19
1943-05-02	@ Malmo	L 0-2	52.9	1579	1524	36.97%	24.89%	38.13%	+0.15	-19.2	18
1943-05-02	Goteborg	L 1-3	48.0	1393	1517	28.99%	24.68%	46.33%	-0.79	-13.8	14
1943-05-02	@ Sandvikens IF	W 3-1	48.0	1517	1393	46.33%	24.68%	28.99%	+0.79	+13.8	16
1943-05-07	Garda	D 1-1	56.2	1530	1321	66.08%	23.04%	10.88%	+2.35	-3.5	17
1943-05-07	@ Goteborg	D 1-1	56.2	1321	1530	10.88%	23.04%	66.08%	-2.35	+3.4	7
1943-05-09	IFK Eskilstuna	W 5-0	32.6	1554	1318	67.84%	22.64%	9.52%	+2.60	+14.0	22
1943-05-09	@ Degerfors	L 0-5	32.6	1318	1554	9.52%	22.64%	67.84%	-2.60	-14.0	4
1943-05-09	Elfsborg	W 4-3	68.9	1449	1599	25.84%	24.52%	49.64%	-1.04	+11.3	11
1943-05-09	@ GAIS	L 3-4	68.9	1599	1449	49.64%	24.52%	25.84%	+1.04	-11.3	21
1943-05-09	AIK Stockholm	D 0-0	61.8	1559	1560	45.56%	24.86%	29.58%	+0.37	-1.0	21
1943-05-09	@ Halmstad	D 0-0	61.8	1560	1559	29.58%	24.86%	45.56%	-0.37	+1.0	19
1943-05-09	Sandvikens IF	L 1-2	60.1	1547	1380	62.97%	23.60%	13.43%	+1.95	-15.3	20
1943-05-09	@ Helsingborg	W 2-1	60.1	1380	1547	13.43%	23.60%	62.97%	-1.95	+15.3	16
1943-05-09	Malmo	W 2-0	49.5	1649	1543	57.70%	24.24%	18.06%	+1.38	+10.8	25
1943-05-09	@ Norrkoping	L 0-2	49.5	1543	1649	18.06%	24.24%	57.70%	-1.38	-10.8	19
1943-05-14	GAIS	L 1-3	44.0	1325	1460	27.45%	24.61%	47.94%	-0.91	-13.2	7
1943-05-14	@ Garda	W 3-1	44.0	1460	1325	47.94%	24.61%	27.45%	+0.91	+13.2	13
1943-05-16	Elfsborg	L 2-3	66.5	1561	1588	42.15%	24.90%	32.95%	+0.12	-10.1	19
1943-05-16	@ AIK Stockholm	W 3-2	66.5	1588	1561	32.95%	24.90%	42.15%	-0.12	+10.1	23
1943-05-16	Halmstad	W 5-0	47.8	1568	1558	46.94%	24.83%	28.23%	+0.47	+36.5	24
1943-05-16	@ Degerfors	L 0-5	47.8	1558	1568	28.23%	24.83%	46.94%	-0.47	-36.5	21
1943-05-16	IFK Eskilstuna	W 5-1	36.3	1527	1304	67.03%	22.83%	10.14%	+2.49	+10.1	19
1943-05-16	@ Goteborg	L 1-5	36.3	1304	1527	10.14%	22.83%	67.03%	-2.49	-10.1	4
1943-05-16	Helsingborg	L 0-4	51.3	1532	1531	45.79%	24.85%	29.36%	+0.38	-43.2	19
1943-05-16	@ Malmo	W 4-0	51.3	1531	1532	29.36%	24.85%	45.79%	-0.38	+43.2	22
1943-05-16	Norrkoping	L 0-4	41.3	1395	1660	15.05%	23.36%	61.59%	-2.13	-17.3	16
1943-05-16	@ Sandvikens IF	W 4-0	41.3	1660	1395	61.59%	23.36%	15.05%	+2.13	+17.3	27
1943-05-19	Garda	W 5-1	37.5	1598	1311	70.77%	21.82%	7.41%	+3.08	+7.4	25
1943-05-19	@ Elfsborg	L 1-5	37.5	1311	1598	7.41%	21.82%	70.77%	-3.08	-7.4	7
1943-05-21	Goteborg	L 0-1	51.9	1474	1537	36.99%	24.88%	38.13%	-0.22	-10.2	13
1943-05-21	@ GAIS	W 1-0	51.9	1537	1474	38.13%	24.88%	36.99%	+0.22	+10.2	21
1943-05-23	Sandvikens IF	W 2-1	45.1	1551	1378	63.45%	23.52%	13.02%	+2.01	+4.0	21
1943-05-23	@ AIK Stockholm	L 1-2	45.1	1378	1551	13.02%	23.52%	63.45%	-2.01	-4.0	16
1943-05-23	Norrkoping	L 1-2	62.8	1605	1677	35.73%	24.87%	39.40%	-0.31	-9.4	25
1943-05-23	@ Elfsborg	W 2-1	62.8	1677	1605	39.40%	24.87%	35.73%	+0.31	+9.4	29
1943-05-23	Degerfors	L 0-7	35.5	1304	1604	12.69%	22.87%	64.44%	-2.46	-25.0	7
1943-05-23	@ Garda	W 7-0	35.5	1604	1304	64.44%	22.87%	12.69%	+2.46	+25.0	26
1943-05-23	Helsingborg	L 0-4	50.2	1522	1575	38.47%	24.90%	36.64%	-0.13	-37.5	21
1943-05-23	@ Halmstad	W 4-0	50.2	1575	1522	36.64%	24.90%	38.47%	+0.13	+37.5	24
1943-05-23	Malmo	L 2-6	41.6	1294	1489	20.97%	24.15%	54.88%	-1.47	-16.3	4
1943-05-23	@ IFK Eskilstuna	W 6-2	41.6	1489	1294	54.88%	24.15%	20.97%	+1.47	+16.3	21
1943-05-28	Elfsborg	D 2-2	70.0	1547	1596	39.13%	24.90%	35.97%	-0.08	-0.1	22
1943-05-28	@ Goteborg	D 2-2	70.0	1596	1547	35.97%	24.90%	39.13%	+0.08	+0.1	26
1943-05-30	Halmstad	L 1-2	55.2	1463	1484	42.99%	24.89%	32.12%	+0.18	-10.8	13
1943-05-30	@ GAIS	W 2-1	55.2	1484	1463	32.12%	24.89%	42.99%	-0.18	+10.8	23
1943-05-30	AIK Stockholm	W 2-0	50.5	1612	1555	52.59%	24.61%	22.80%	+0.91	+13.1	26
1943-05-30	@ Helsingborg	L 0-2	50.5	1555	1612	22.80%	24.61%	52.59%	-0.91	-13.1	21
1943-05-30	Garda	W 3-0	32.0	1505	1279	67.21%	22.79%	10.00%	+2.51	+9.1	23
1943-05-30	@ Malmo	L 0-3	32.0	1279	1505	10.00%	22.79%	67.21%	-2.51	-9.1	7
1943-05-30	Degerfors	W 2-1	59.3	1687	1629	52.63%	24.61%	22.76%	+0.92	+6.5	31
1943-05-30	@ Norrkoping	L 1-2	59.3	1629	1687	22.76%	24.61%	52.63%	-0.92	-6.6	26
1943-05-30	IFK Eskilstuna	W 2-0	35.0	1374	1277	56.73%	24.32%	18.94%	+1.29	+11.2	18
1943-05-30	@ Sandvikens IF	L 0-2	35.0	1277	1374	18.94%	24.32%	56.73%	-1.29	-11.2	4
1943-06-03	Elfsborg	L 1-3	64.0	1623	1596	49.06%	24.76%	26.18%	+0.63	-20.9	26
1943-06-03	@ Degerfors	W 3-1	64.0	1596	1623	26.18%	24.76%	49.06%	-0.63	+20.9	28
1943-06-03	Sandvikens IF	W 1-0	45.3	1270	1385	30.03%	24.72%	45.25%	-0.71	+11.9	9
1943-06-03	@ Garda	L 0-1	45.3	1385	1270	45.25%	24.72%	30.03%	+0.71	-11.9	18
1943-06-03	GAIS	W 4-1	47.2	1625	1453	63.41%	23.53%	13.06%	+2.00	+9.9	28
1943-06-03	@ Helsingborg	L 1-4	47.2	1453	1625	13.06%	23.53%	63.41%	-2.00	-9.9	13
1943-06-03	AIK Stockholm	D 1-1	55.1	1266	1542	14.29%	23.22%	62.49%	-2.23	+2.9	5
1943-06-03	@ IFK Eskilstuna	D 1-1	55.1	1542	1266	62.49%	23.22%	14.29%	+2.23	-3.0	22
1943-06-03	Halmstad	W 12-0	45.6	1514	1495	48.18%	24.79%	27.03%	+0.56	+81.3	25
1943-06-03	@ Malmo	L 0-12	45.6	1495	1514	27.03%	24.79%	48.18%	-0.56	-81.3	23
1943-06-03	Goteborg	L 1-4	66.1	1693	1547	61.27%	23.84%	14.88%	+1.75	-36.4	31
1943-06-03	@ Norrkoping	W 4-1	66.1	1547	1693	14.88%	23.84%	61.27%	-1.75	+36.4	24
1943-06-06	Degerfors	W 1-0	56.6	1539	1602	37.06%	24.89%	38.05%	-0.22	+10.4	24
1943-06-06	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-1	56.6	1602	1539	38.05%	24.89%	37.06%	+0.22	-10.4	26
1943-06-06	Malmo	W 6-1	53.1	1617	1596	48.35%	24.79%	26.87%	+0.57	+29.0	30
1943-06-06	@ Elfsborg	L 1-6	53.1	1596	1617	26.87%	24.79%	48.35%	-0.57	-29.0	25
1943-06-06	Helsingborg	L 1-3	60.9	1584	1635	38.68%	24.90%	36.42%	-0.11	-17.2	24
1943-06-06	@ Goteborg	W 3-1	60.9	1635	1584	36.42%	24.90%	38.68%	+0.11	+17.2	30
1943-06-06	Norrkoping	W 2-1	64.4	1413	1657	16.72%	23.63%	59.65%	-1.92	+14.4	25
1943-06-06	@ Halmstad	L 1-2	64.4	1657	1413	59.65%	23.63%	16.72%	+1.92	-14.4	31
1943-06-06	Garda	W 3-1	42.6	1269	1282	43.99%	24.88%	31.13%	+0.25	+14.6	7
1943-06-06	@ IFK Eskilstuna	L 1-3	42.6	1282	1269	31.13%	24.88%	43.99%	-0.25	-14.6	9
1943-06-06	GAIS	L 1-2	49.1	1373	1443	36.09%	24.87%	39.04%	-0.28	-9.4	18
1943-06-06	@ Sandvikens IF	W 2-1	49.1	1443	1373	39.04%	24.87%	36.09%	+0.28	+9.4	15

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1943-05-09	13.43%	Sandvikens IF	1380	2	@ Helsingborg	1547	1
2	1943-06-03	14.88%	Goteborg	1547	4	@ Norrkoping	1693	1
3	1942-11-01	16.56%	AIK Stockholm	1535	4	@ Norrkoping	1659	2
4	1943-06-06	16.72%	@ Halmstad	1413	2	Norrkoping	1657	1
5	1942-09-13	20.39%	@ IFK Eskilstuna	1365	5	Helsingborg	1567	1
6	1943-05-02	20.59%	Helsingborg	1533	2	@ Elfsborg	1612	1
7	1942-10-11	20.77%	Sandvikens IF	1408	1	@ Malmo	1485	0
8	1942-08-09	21.87%	Sandvikens IF	1442	3	@ GAIS	1508	2
9	1942-07-26	25.00%	Sandvikens IF	1420	2	@ IFK Eskilstuna	1457	1
10	1943-05-09	25.84%	@ GAIS	1449	4	Elfsborg	1599	3
11	1943-06-03	26.18%	Elfsborg	1596	3	@ Degerfors	1623	1
12	1942-10-25	29.11%	Malmo	1471	2	@ GAIS	1474	0
13	1942-09-06	29.17%	Malmo	1475	2	@ AIK Stockholm	1477	1
14	1943-05-16	29.36%	Helsingborg	1531	4	@ Malmo	1532	0
15	1942-09-27	29.45%	@ Garda	1377	2	Malmo	1496	1
16	1943-06-03	30.03%	@ Garda	1270	1	Sandvikens IF	1385	0
17	1942-08-02	31.40%	Helsingborg	1535	1	@ GAIS	1520	0
18	1942-07-26	31.56%	Norrkoping	1521	3	@ AIK Stockholm	1504	1
19	1942-08-16	31.96%	@ Sandvikens IF	1454	4	Helsingborg	1554	3
20	1943-05-30	32.12%	Halmstad	1484	2	@ GAIS	1463	1
21	1943-05-16	32.95%	Elfsborg	1588	3	@ AIK Stockholm	1561	2
22	1942-10-11	33.18%	Norrkoping	1622	6	@ Goteborg	1593	1
23	1942-09-06	33.74%	@ Halmstad	1468	3	Degerfors	1555	0
24	1942-09-13	34.71%	@ Malmo	1486	2	Elfsborg	1566	1
25	1942-09-13	34.74%	Halmstad	1498	3	@ Sandvikens IF	1459	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1943-06-03	81.27	@ Malmo	12	1514	48.18%	Halmstad	0	1495	27.03%	24.79%
2	1943-05-16	43.17	Helsingborg	4	1531	29.36%	@ Malmo	0	1532	45.79%	24.85%
3	1942-09-13	42.61	@ IFK Eskilstuna	5	1365	20.39%	Helsingborg	1	1567	55.51%	24.09%
4	1942-10-11	40.97	Norrkoping	6	1622	33.18%	@ Goteborg	1	1593	41.92%	24.90%
5	1942-08-07	39.67	Goteborg	5	1543	43.75%	@ Garda	0	1439	31.48%	24.77%
6	1943-05-23	37.53	Helsingborg	4	1575	36.64%	@ Halmstad	0	1522	38.47%	24.90%
7	1943-05-16	36.48	@ Degerfors	5	1568	46.94%	Halmstad	0	1558	28.23%	24.83%
8	1943-06-03	36.42	Goteborg	4	1547	14.88%	@ Norrkoping	1	1693	61.27%	23.84%
9	1942-08-30	36.20	Norrkoping	4	1576	38.44%	@ Malmo	0	1511	36.68%	24.88%
10	1942-08-09	35.95	@ AIK Stockholm	6	1476	39.73%	Halmstad	1	1520	35.37%	24.90%
11	1942-09-20	34.02	@ Halmstad	6	1516	54.55%	Sandvikens IF	0	1441	20.96%	24.49%
12	1942-10-18	32.26	AIK Stockholm	4	1494	43.65%	@ Garda	0	1391	31.58%	24.78%
13	1942-09-06	30.42	@ Halmstad	3	1468	33.74%	Degerfors	0	1555	41.43%	24.83%
14	1943-06-06	29.05	@ Elfsborg	6	1617	48.35%	Malmo	1	1596	26.87%	24.79%
15	1942-09-06	27.58	@ Elfsborg	4	1538	49.42%	GAIS	0	1508	25.83%	24.75%
16	1943-05-23	24.99	Degerfors	7	1604	64.44%	@ Garda	0	1304	12.69%	22.87%
17	1942-10-04	24.47	@ GAIS	6	1461	53.70%	IFK Eskilstuna	1	1394	21.76%	24.54%
18	1942-08-09	24.25	Norrkoping	3	1537	44.41%	@ IFK Eskilstuna	0	1429	30.84%	24.75%
19	1942-10-25	22.86	Malmo	2	1471	29.11%	@ GAIS	0	1474	46.05%	24.85%
20	1942-08-30	22.82	Degerfors	3	1532	46.77%	@ IFK Eskilstuna	0	1405	28.56%	24.66%
21	1942-11-01	22.34	AIK Stockholm	4	1535	16.56%	@ Norrkoping	2	1659	59.37%	24.07%
22	1943-04-26	22.30	GAIS	4	1426	40.66%	@ IFK Eskilstuna	1	1345	34.49%	24.85%
23	1943-06-03	20.92	Elfsborg	3	1596	26.18%	@ Degerfors	1	1623	49.06%	24.76%
24	1942-11-01	20.12	@ Malmo	3	1494	50.97%	GAIS	0	1451	24.34%	24.69%
25	1942-08-16	19.75	@ Degerfors	4	1512	45.69%	AIK Stockholm	1	1512	29.45%	24.85%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1942-09-06	72.3	@ Norrkoping	3	1613	62.09%	Sandvikens IF	3	1457	14.18%	23.73%
2	1942-10-25	71.4	@ Degerfors	2	1534	28.68%	Norrkoping	2	1660	46.65%	24.67%
3	1942-11-01	70.6	AIK Stockholm	4	1535	16.56%	@ Norrkoping	2	1659	59.37%	24.07%
4	1943-05-28	70.0	@ Goteborg	2	1547	39.13%	Elfsborg	2	1596	35.97%	24.90%
5	1943-05-09	68.9	@ GAIS	4	1449	25.84%	Elfsborg	3	1599	49.64%	24.52%
6	1942-08-14	68.2	@ Goteborg	2	1583	55.81%	GAIS	2	1496	19.79%	24.40%
7	1943-04-18	68.2	@ AIK Stockholm	2	1566	51.70%	Goteborg	2	1516	23.65%	24.65%
8	1942-10-11	67.7	@ Helsingborg	2	1536	46.05%	Degerfors	2	1534	29.11%	24.85%
9	1942-07-31	67.5	@ Goteborg	2	1544	48.82%	Halmstad	2	1519	26.41%	24.77%
10	1942-10-18	67.3	@ Norrkoping	1	1663	59.81%	Halmstad	1	1533	16.17%	24.02%
11	1942-07-26	66.6	@ Helsingborg	2	1536	49.92%	Malmo	2	1502	25.35%	24.73%
12	1943-04-26	66.5	@ Helsingborg	1	1533	30.63%	Norrkoping	1	1643	44.63%	24.75%
13	1943-05-16	66.5	Elfsborg	3	1588	32.95%	@ AIK Stockholm	2	1561	42.15%	24.90%
14	1943-06-03	66.1	Goteborg	4	1547	14.88%	@ Norrkoping	1	1693	61.27%	23.84%
15	1942-08-16	65.6	@ Sandvikens IF	4	1454	31.96%	Helsingborg	3	1554	43.25%	24.79%
16	1943-05-02	65.6	Helsingborg	2	1533	20.59%	@ Elfsborg	1	1612	54.94%	24.46%
17	1942-09-27	65.3	@ Helsingborg	3	1527	35.18%	Goteborg	2	1603	39.96%	24.86%
18	1943-06-06	64.4	@ Halmstad	2	1413	16.72%	Norrkoping	1	1657	59.65%	23.63%
19	1943-06-03	64.0	Elfsborg	3	1596	26.18%	@ Degerfors	1	1623	49.06%	24.76%
20	1943-04-18	63.9	@ Norrkoping	1	1646	67.05%	GAIS	1	1423	10.12%	22.83%
21	1942-09-13	63.6	@ Goteborg	1	1606	60.78%	AIK Stockholm	1	1465	15.31%	23.90%
22	1942-11-01	63.3	@ Goteborg	1	1534	45.55%	Degerfors	1	1535	29.59%	24.86%
23	1943-04-26	63.1	@ Halmstad	0	1554	37.74%	Elfsborg	0	1612	37.37%	24.89%
24	1942-08-09	62.9	Sandvikens IF	3	1442	21.87%	@ GAIS	2	1508	53.58%	24.55%
25	1942-07-26	62.8	@ Degerfors	1	1511	41.30%	Goteborg	1	1544	33.80%	24.90%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1943-05-30	32.0	@ Malmo	3	1505	67.21%	Garda	0	1279	10.00%	22.79%
2	1943-05-09	32.6	@ Degerfors	5	1554	67.84%	IFK Eskilstuna	0	1318	9.52%	22.64%
3	1943-05-30	35.0	@ Sandvikens IF	2	1374	56.73%	IFK Eskilstuna	0	1277	18.94%	24.32%
4	1943-05-23	35.5	Degerfors	7	1604	64.44%	@ Garda	0	1304	12.69%	22.87%
5	1943-05-16	36.3	@ Goteborg	5	1527	67.03%	IFK Eskilstuna	1	1304	10.14%	22.83%
6	1943-04-26	37.0	@ AIK Stockholm	7	1564	66.88%	Garda	1	1343	10.25%	22.87%
7	1943-05-19	37.5	@ Elfsborg	5	1598	70.77%	Garda	1	1311	7.41%	21.82%
8	1943-04-26	38.1	@ Degerfors	4	1535	59.23%	Sandvikens IF	0	1413	16.68%	24.09%
9	1942-09-20	39.7	@ Halmstad	6	1516	54.55%	Sandvikens IF	0	1441	20.96%	24.49%
10	1943-04-11	39.8	@ Norrkoping	6	1637	70.32%	IFK Eskilstuna	1	1359	7.72%	21.96%
11	1942-08-21	39.9	@ GAIS	2	1497	56.87%	Garda	0	1399	18.81%	24.31%
12	1943-05-02	39.9	Norrkoping	2	1642	65.45%	@ Garda	0	1328	11.88%	22.67%
13	1942-10-04	40.0	@ GAIS	6	1461	53.70%	IFK Eskilstuna	1	1394	21.76%	24.54%
14	1942-10-18	40.6	AIK Stockholm	4	1494	43.65%	@ Garda	0	1391	31.58%	24.78%
15	1942-09-06	41.0	Goteborg	3	1589	56.05%	@ IFK Eskilstuna	0	1382	19.91%	24.04%
16	1943-05-16	41.3	Norrkoping	4	1660	61.59%	@ Sandvikens IF	0	1395	15.05%	23.36%
17	1942-11-01	41.5	@ Malmo	3	1494	50.97%	GAIS	0	1451	24.34%	24.69%
18	1943-04-11	41.5	@ Helsingborg	3	1525	63.75%	Garda	1	1348	12.78%	23.47%
19	1943-05-23	41.6	Malmo	6	1489	54.88%	@ IFK Eskilstuna	2	1294	20.97%	24.15%
20	1942-10-25	42.4	@ Sandvikens IF	3	1422	53.26%	Garda	1	1359	22.17%	24.57%
21	1942-08-30	42.5	Degerfors	3	1532	46.77%	@ IFK Eskilstuna	0	1405	28.56%	24.66%
22	1943-06-06	42.6	@ IFK Eskilstuna	3	1269	43.99%	Garda	1	1282	31.13%	24.88%
23	1943-04-18	42.7	@ Elfsborg	3	1608	69.17%	IFK Eskilstuna	1	1350	8.53%	22.30%
24	1942-08-07	43.7	Goteborg	5	1543	43.75%	@ Garda	0	1439	31.48%	24.77%
25	1943-05-14	44.0	GAIS	3	1460	47.94%	@ Garda	1	1325	27.45%	24.61%