1956-57 Allsvenskan Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Norrkoping

35 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Norrkoping

6.38 points above expected

35 points · 28.62 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Hammarby

5.17 points below expected

12 points · 17.17 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Norrkoping	22	17	1	4	35	64	25	+39	28.62	+6.38
2	Malmo	22	11	6	5	28	50	30	+20	26.40	+1.60
3	Helsingborg	22	9	9	4	27	37	26	+11	23.79	+3.21
4	GAIS	22	10	4	8	24	46	42	+4	22.74	+1.26
5	Djurgarden	22	9	6	7	24	35	33	+2	24.22	-0.22
6	AIK Stockholm	22	9	5	8	23	39	30	+9	24.35	-1.35
7	Sandvikens IF	22	9	5	8	23	34	47	-13	20.74	+2.26
8	Halmstad	22	6	9	7	21	35	38	-3	22.34	-1.34
9	Goteborg	22	8	3	11	19	39	41	-2	21.52	-2.52
10	IFK Malmo	22	3	9	10	15	25	41	-16	17.69	-2.69
11	Vasteras SK	22	5	3	14	13	25	57	-32	14.42	-1.42
12	Hammarby	22	2	8	12	12	24	43	-19	17.17	-5.17

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Norrkoping	35	28.62	+6.38
2	Helsingborg	27	23.79	+3.21
3	Sandvikens IF	23	20.74	+2.26
4	Malmo	28	26.40	+1.60
5	GAIS	24	22.74	+1.26

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Hammarby	12	17.17	-5.17
2	IFK Malmo	15	17.69	-2.69
3	Goteborg	19	21.52	-2.52
4	Vasteras SK	13	14.42	-1.42
5	AIK Stockholm	23	24.35	-1.35

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Norrkoping	14	Sep 2 – May 30	1 in 7,735
2	Goteborg	4	Aug 5 – Aug 19	1 in 96
3	Vasteras SK	2	Aug 19 – Aug 26	1 in 36
4	Helsingborg	3	May 26 – Jun 5	1 in 30
5	GAIS	2	Aug 5 – Aug 10	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Goteborg	5	Oct 14 – May 1	1 in 118
2	Hammarby	5	Aug 1 – Aug 19	1 in 66
3	Halmstad	2	Sep 23 – Sep 30	1 in 14
4	Norrkoping	2	Aug 19 – Aug 26	1 in 14
5	Vasteras SK	5	Oct 7 – May 1	1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sandvikens IF	8	Apr 28 – Jun 5	1 in 47
2	Norrkoping	14	Sep 2 – May 30	1 in 28
3	Hammarby	5	Oct 6 – Apr 28	1 in 25
4	Goteborg	6	Aug 5 – Sep 2	1 in 17
5	Djurgarden	7	Sep 1 – Apr 14	1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Halmstad	7	May 1 – Jun 5	1 in 21
2	Hammarby	10	Aug 1 – Sep 30	1 in 21
3	GAIS	4	Sep 30 – Apr 14	1 in 17
4	Helsingborg	5	Apr 28 – May 22	1 in 16
5	Goteborg	6	Oct 7 – May 1	1 in 14

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Norrkoping	1758	35	+15	8	6.8	+1.2
Malmo	1684	28	-10	5	6.9	-1.9
Helsingborg	1655	27	+34	8	5.3	+2.7
GAIS	1630	24	+20	8	5.1	+2.9
Djurgarden	1611	24	-3	4	4.7	-0.7
Sandvikens IF	1560	23	+15	8	5.4	+2.6
AIK Stockholm	1634	23	-18	3	5.5	-2.5
Halmstad	1566	21	-36	2	4.8	-2.8
Goteborg	1554	19	-15	3	4.7	-1.7
IFK Malmo	1490	15	-7	3	3.2	-0.2
Vasteras SK	1417	13	-2	3	3.2	-0.2
Hammarby	1487	12	-2	3	3.9	-0.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AS	DJU	GAI	GOT	HAL	HAM	HEL	IM	MAL	NOR	SI	VS
AIK Stockholm	—	1-0-1 2.87	1-0-1 2.74	2-0-0 3.14	0-2-0 2.96	1-1-0 3.62	0-0-2 2.78	2-0-0 3.60	0-2-0 2.38	0-0-2 2.18	1-0-1 3.32	1-0-1 4.06
Djurgarden	1-0-1 2.59	—	1-0-1 2.88	2-0-0 2.94	0-2-0 2.96	2-0-0 3.54	0-2-0 2.79	1-1-0 3.68	1-1-0 2.25	0-0-2 2.11	0-0-2 3.02	1-0-1 3.99
GAIS	1-0-1 2.72	1-0-1 2.58	—	1-0-1 2.97	1-1-0 2.67	0-1-1 3.58	1-0-1 2.62	1-0-1 3.42	0-0-2 2.15	2-0-0 1.88	1-1-0 2.75	1-1-0 3.98
Goteborg	0-0-2 2.32	0-0-2 2.52	1-0-1 2.48	—	0-1-1 2.80	1-1-0 3.36	0-0-2 2.65	1-0-1 3.29	1-0-1 2.15	1-0-1 1.81	1-1-0 2.54	2-0-0 3.52
Halmstad	0-2-0 2.49	0-2-0 2.50	0-1-1 2.78	1-1-0 2.65	—	1-0-1 3.47	1-1-0 2.63	2-0-0 3.41	0-0-2 2.21	0-1-1 1.86	0-1-1 2.94	1-0-1 3.95
Hammarby	0-1-1 1.85	0-0-2 1.93	1-1-0 1.89	0-1-1 2.11	1-0-1 1.99	—	0-2-0 1.93	0-2-0 2.69	0-0-2 1.54	0-0-2 1.41	0-0-2 2.08	0-1-1 3.25
Helsingborg	2-0-0 2.68	0-2-0 2.67	1-0-1 2.83	2-0-0 2.81	0-1-1 2.82	0-2-0 3.54	—	0-2-0 3.47	1-1-0 2.41	1-0-1 2.10	0-1-1 3.23	2-0-0 3.92
IFK Malmo	0-0-2 1.87	0-1-1 1.79	1-0-1 2.05	1-0-1 2.17	0-0-2 2.06	0-2-0 2.77	0-2-0 2.00	—	0-2-0 1.59	0-0-2 1.48	0-1-1 2.18	1-1-0 3.26
Malmo	0-2-0 3.07	0-1-1 3.21	2-0-0 3.31	1-0-1 3.31	2-0-0 3.25	2-0-0 3.95	0-1-1 3.04	0-2-0 3.90	—	0-0-2 2.60	2-0-0 3.58	2-0-0 4.22
Norrkoping	2-0-0 3.28	2-0-0 3.36	0-0-2 3.60	1-0-1 3.66	1-1-0 3.61	2-0-0 4.09	1-0-1 3.36	2-0-0 4.02	2-0-0 2.86	—	2-0-0 3.73	2-0-0 4.30
Sandvikens IF	1-0-1 2.15	2-0-0 2.43	0-1-1 2.71	0-1-1 2.91	1-1-0 2.51	2-0-0 3.39	1-1-0 2.23	1-1-0 3.28	0-0-2 1.89	0-0-2 1.75	—	1-0-1 3.82
Vasteras SK	1-0-1 1.45	1-0-1 1.50	0-1-1 1.52	0-0-2 1.95	1-0-1 1.54	1-1-0 2.21	0-0-2 1.57	0-1-1 2.20	0-0-2 1.30	0-0-2 1.23	1-0-1 1.67	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.83	+5.2
Allowed	0.60	-5.5
Differential	0.87	+3.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.82%	5.30%	4.55%	1.52%	1.14%	0.38%	19.70%
1	5.30%	11.36%	8.71%	4.55%	1.14%	2.65%	33.71%
2	4.55%	8.71%	6.06%	1.14%	2.65%	1.89%	25.00%
3	1.52%	4.55%	1.14%	—	0.76%	0.76%	8.71%
4	1.14%	1.14%	2.65%	0.76%	1.52%	—	7.20%
5+	0.38%	2.65%	1.89%	0.76%	—	—	5.68%
Total	19.70%	33.71%	25.00%	8.71%	7.20%	5.68%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.72	1.72	+0.00
SD	1.53	1.53	2.11
CV	0.89	0.89	—
Max	9	9	+8
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
1	4.55%	9.09%	22.73%	—	—	—	36.36%
2	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	31.82%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	27.27%	31.82%	31.82%	—	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.77	1.36	+0.41
SD	1.38	1.29	1.84
CV	0.78	0.95	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	13.64%
1	18.18%	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	45.45%
2	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	—	—	—	—	9.09%	—	9.09%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	27.27%	31.82%	22.73%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.59	1.50	+0.09
SD	1.26	1.44	1.72
CV	0.79	0.96	—
Max	5	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
1	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
2	4.55%	18.18%	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	36.36%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	18.18%	45.45%	9.09%	—	22.73%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.09	1.91	+0.18
SD	2.04	1.97	2.91
CV	0.98	1.03	—
Max	9	8	+8
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	—	27.27%
1	—	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	27.27%
2	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	9.09%	—	18.18%
3	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	13.64%
Total	9.09%	36.36%	27.27%	13.64%	13.64%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.77	1.86	-0.09
SD	1.77	1.21	1.95
CV	1.00	0.65	—
Max	6	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
1	9.09%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	31.82%
2	—	—	18.18%	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
3	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.64%	27.27%	45.45%	—	13.64%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.59	1.73	-0.14
SD	1.33	1.16	1.52
CV	0.84	0.67	—
Max	4	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
1	—	18.18%	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	40.91%
2	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	18.18%
3	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	22.73%	27.27%	22.73%	—	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	1.95	-0.86
SD	1.06	1.56	1.42
CV	0.98	0.80	—
Max	4	6	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
1	—	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
2	4.55%	18.18%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	36.36%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	50.00%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.68	1.18	+0.50
SD	1.29	1.01	1.44
CV	0.77	0.85	—
Max	5	4	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
1	—	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%	36.36%
2	—	4.55%	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.64%	31.82%	31.82%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	1.86	-0.73
SD	1.08	1.42	1.72
CV	0.95	0.76	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	—	—	—	—	—	13.64%
1	9.09%	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	—	31.82%
2	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	18.18%
3	—	18.18%	—	—	—	4.55%	22.73%
4	—	—	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	31.82%	36.36%	18.18%	—	4.55%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.27	1.36	+0.91
SD	2.16	1.53	2.29
CV	0.95	1.12	—
Max	8	5	+7
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
1	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
2	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
4	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
5+	—	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
Total	31.82%	31.82%	27.27%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.91	1.14	+1.77
SD	1.74	0.99	2.00
CV	0.60	0.87	—
Max	6	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
1	4.55%	13.64%	—	9.09%	—	9.09%	36.36%
2	—	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	40.91%	18.18%	18.18%	4.55%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	2.14	-0.59
SD	1.18	1.98	2.36
CV	0.77	0.93	—
Max	4	9	+2
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	18.18%
1	9.09%	4.55%	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	13.64%	54.55%
2	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	22.73%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.64%	18.18%	22.73%	22.73%	4.55%	18.18%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	2.59	-1.45
SD	0.77	2.04	2.13
CV	0.68	0.79	—
Max	3	8	+1
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Norrkoping	1758	35	28.62	+6.38	97.0%	18	23	27	29	31	34	38
Malmo	1684	28	26.40	+1.60	70.0%	14	19	23	27	29	33	35
Helsingborg	1655	27	23.79	+3.21	87.0%	17	18	22	24	26	30	34
AIK Stockholm	1634	23	24.35	-1.35	43.0%	14	18	22	25	27	30	33
GAIS	1630	24	22.74	+1.26	68.0%	13	15	20	22	25	29	31
Djurgarden	1611	24	24.22	-0.22	54.0%	15	19	21	24	27	30	34
Halmstad	1566	21	22.34	-1.34	40.0%	14	16	20	23	25	28	30
Sandvikens IF	1560	23	20.74	+2.26	77.0%	12	14	18	21	23	28	29
Goteborg	1554	19	21.52	-2.52	27.0%	10	13	19	21	24	27	31
IFK Malmo	1490	15	17.69	-2.69	28.0%	7	11	15	18	20	23	27
Hammarby	1487	12	17.17	-5.17	10.0%	9	11	14	18	20	23	25
Vasteras SK	1417	13	14.42	-1.42	37.0%	7	9	11	15	17	20	24

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+6.06%

No Edge

40.15%25.76%34.09%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 21.08 Elo pts.

120 Elo

0.008 goals per Elo point

0400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.16 goals

Neutral

-2+0.18+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.5

Top-Heavy

134510

Champion Preseason Odds

47%

Norrkoping, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.32/gm

Runaway

00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.01 * Some Luck: 3.01 to 4.52 * Lucky: 4.52 to 6.03 * Wild Swing: 6.03 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.6 * Close: 1.6 to 2.4 * Off: 2.4 to 3.21 * Way Off: 3.21 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

2.98 points

As Expected

03.779

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.17

Pinpoint

02.005

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

97.00%

Norrkoping

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

10.00%

Hammarby

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.16

Even

00.140.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 94.59

1.63

Moderate Separation

0.951.41.652.75

Interquartile Edge

64%

Slight Edge

50%63%71.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

88%

Strong Edge

50%87%100%

Close Games

Expected

58%

Some Drama

0%52%100%

Blowouts

Expected

18%

Occasional

0%24%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.60

Predictable

00.622

Matchup Imbalance

0.30

Very Even

00.30.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.66

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.86

Near-Lock

00.380.530.691

Upset Rate

Expected

23%

As Expected

0%26%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

20%

As Expected

0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.23 * Above Noise: 0.23 to 0.3 * Well Above Noise: 0.3 and up.

Probability calibration

0.86

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.20

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.075

Well Within Noise

00.1520.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Norrkoping	47.00%	26.00%	12.00%	5.00%	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	—
Malmo	20.00%	19.00%	20.00%	10.00%	12.00%	6.00%	4.00%	2.00%	1.00%	4.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Helsingborg	7.00%	6.00%	13.00%	13.00%	18.00%	14.00%	10.00%	6.00%	5.00%	5.00%	3.00%	—
GAIS	6.00%	4.00%	8.00%	15.00%	11.00%	15.00%	10.00%	13.00%	7.00%	5.00%	5.00%	1.00%
Djurgarden	8.00%	12.00%	9.00%	17.00%	10.00%	11.00%	13.00%	10.00%	5.00%	2.00%	3.00%	—
AIK Stockholm	8.00%	15.00%	15.00%	12.00%	15.00%	10.00%	10.00%	7.00%	3.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Sandvikens IF	2.00%	4.00%	5.00%	6.00%	3.00%	10.00%	15.00%	14.00%	20.00%	8.00%	9.00%	4.00%
Halmstad	1.00%	8.00%	8.00%	10.00%	9.00%	13.00%	13.00%	12.00%	9.00%	11.00%	4.00%	2.00%
Goteborg	1.00%	5.00%	9.00%	9.00%	12.00%	13.00%	12.00%	10.00%	11.00%	7.00%	8.00%	3.00%
IFK Malmo	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	8.00%	9.00%	17.00%	21.00%	21.00%	18.00%
Vasteras SK	—	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	3.00%	14.00%	23.00%	54.00%
Hammarby	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	3.00%	13.00%	19.00%	19.00%	22.00%	16.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Norrkoping	100%	—
AIK Stockholm	98.00%	2.00%
Malmo	98.00%	2.00%
Djurgarden	97.00%	3.00%
Helsingborg	97.00%	3.00%
GAIS	94.00%	6.00%
Halmstad	94.00%	6.00%
Goteborg	89.00%	11.00%
Sandvikens IF	87.00%	13.00%
Hammarby	62.00%	38.00%
IFK Malmo	61.00%	39.00%
Vasteras SK	23.00%	77.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1956-07-29	Sandvikens IF	L 1-2	64.5	1621	1613	41.83%	27.27%	30.90%	+0.24	-6.8	0
1956-07-29	@ Djurgarden	W 2-1	64.5	1613	1621	30.90%	27.27%	41.83%	-0.24	+6.8	2
1956-07-29	AIK Stockholm	L 0-1	57.3	1570	1612	34.92%	27.30%	37.78%	-0.17	-6.2	0
1956-07-29	@ Goteborg	W 1-0	57.3	1612	1570	37.78%	27.30%	34.92%	+0.17	+6.2	2
1956-07-29	GAIS	W 4-2	61.9	1529	1584	33.03%	27.25%	39.73%	-0.29	+10.0	2
1956-07-29	@ IFK Malmo	L 2-4	61.9	1584	1529	39.73%	27.25%	33.03%	+0.29	-10.0	0
1956-07-29	Halmstad	D 2-2	72.8	1661	1594	49.37%	26.82%	23.82%	+0.73	-0.7	1
1956-07-29	@ Norrkoping	D 2-2	72.8	1594	1661	23.82%	26.82%	49.37%	-0.73	+0.7	1
1956-08-01	Vasteras SK	L 2-3	64.2	1537	1477	48.57%	26.89%	24.54%	+0.68	-7.2	0
1956-08-01	@ Hammarby	W 3-2	64.2	1477	1537	24.54%	26.89%	48.57%	-0.68	+7.2	2
1956-08-01	Malmo	D 0-0	64.8	1607	1641	35.97%	27.31%	36.72%	-0.11	+0.0	1
1956-08-01	@ Helsingborg	D 0-0	64.8	1641	1607	36.72%	27.31%	35.97%	+0.11	-0.0	1
1956-08-05	Helsingborg	L 1-2	64.4	1618	1607	42.25%	27.26%	30.49%	+0.27	-6.8	2
1956-08-05	@ AIK Stockholm	W 2-1	64.4	1607	1618	30.49%	27.26%	42.25%	-0.27	+6.8	3
1956-08-05	Norrkoping	W 1-0	61.0	1574	1660	29.04%	27.05%	43.91%	-0.54	+7.4	2
1956-08-05	@ GAIS	L 0-1	61.0	1660	1574	43.91%	27.05%	29.04%	+0.54	-7.4	1
1956-08-05	Hammarby	W 3-1	53.4	1595	1529	49.20%	26.83%	23.97%	+0.72	+7.7	3
1956-08-05	@ Halmstad	L 1-3	53.4	1529	1595	23.97%	26.83%	49.20%	-0.72	-7.7	0
1956-08-05	Djurgarden	D 1-1	68.3	1641	1614	44.45%	27.17%	28.38%	+0.40	-0.6	2
1956-08-05	@ Malmo	D 1-1	68.3	1614	1641	28.38%	27.17%	44.45%	-0.40	+0.6	1
1956-08-05	IFK Malmo	W 3-1	53.9	1620	1539	50.99%	26.65%	22.37%	+0.85	+7.2	4
1956-08-05	@ Sandvikens IF	L 1-3	53.9	1539	1620	22.37%	26.65%	50.99%	-0.85	-7.2	2
1956-08-05	Goteborg	L 1-5	48.7	1484	1564	29.79%	27.09%	43.11%	-0.49	-16.5	2
1956-08-05	@ Vasteras SK	W 5-1	48.7	1564	1484	43.11%	27.09%	29.79%	+0.49	+16.5	2
1956-08-10	Djurgarden	L 2-5	55.9	1522	1614	28.23%	26.99%	44.78%	-0.60	-10.6	0
1956-08-10	@ Hammarby	W 5-2	55.9	1614	1522	44.78%	26.99%	28.23%	+0.60	+10.7	3
1956-08-10	GAIS	L 1-3	61.8	1614	1582	45.07%	27.14%	27.79%	+0.44	-12.4	3
1956-08-10	@ Helsingborg	W 3-1	61.8	1582	1614	27.79%	27.14%	45.07%	-0.44	+12.4	4
1956-08-10	Vasteras SK	W 8-1	44.9	1641	1467	60.53%	24.94%	14.53%	+1.62	+15.1	4
1956-08-10	@ Malmo	L 1-8	44.9	1467	1641	14.53%	24.94%	60.53%	-1.62	-15.1	2
1956-08-12	Halmstad	D 2-2	71.9	1611	1602	41.95%	27.27%	30.78%	+0.25	-0.3	3
1956-08-12	@ AIK Stockholm	D 2-2	71.9	1602	1611	30.78%	27.27%	41.95%	-0.25	+0.3	4
1956-08-12	Sandvikens IF	W 3-2	67.3	1580	1627	34.25%	27.28%	38.47%	-0.21	+6.0	4
1956-08-12	@ Goteborg	L 2-3	67.3	1627	1580	38.47%	27.28%	34.25%	+0.21	-6.0	4
1956-08-12	IFK Malmo	W 5-1	49.2	1653	1532	55.43%	26.02%	18.55%	+1.18	+11.3	3
1956-08-12	@ Norrkoping	L 1-5	49.2	1532	1653	18.55%	26.02%	55.43%	-1.18	-11.3	2
1956-08-15	Norrkoping	L 3-4	71.1	1625	1664	35.28%	27.30%	37.41%	-0.15	-5.5	3
1956-08-15	@ Djurgarden	W 4-3	71.1	1664	1625	37.41%	27.30%	35.28%	+0.15	+5.5	5
1956-08-15	Goteborg	L 1-2	63.3	1594	1586	41.84%	27.27%	30.89%	+0.24	-6.8	4
1956-08-15	@ GAIS	W 2-1	63.3	1586	1594	30.89%	27.27%	41.84%	-0.24	+6.8	6
1956-08-15	Malmo	D 0-0	63.5	1520	1656	23.38%	26.47%	50.15%	-0.95	+1.1	3
1956-08-15	@ IFK Malmo	D 0-0	63.5	1656	1520	50.15%	26.47%	23.38%	+0.95	-1.1	5
1956-08-15	Hammarby	W 1-0	51.0	1621	1511	54.22%	26.21%	19.56%	+1.09	+4.0	6
1956-08-15	@ Sandvikens IF	L 0-1	51.0	1511	1621	19.56%	26.21%	54.22%	-1.09	-4.0	0
1956-08-15	AIK Stockholm	L 1-4	47.8	1452	1611	21.04%	26.10%	52.87%	-1.15	-9.7	2
1956-08-15	@ Vasteras SK	W 4-1	47.8	1611	1452	52.87%	26.10%	21.04%	+1.15	+9.7	5
1956-08-17	Helsingborg	W 1-0	56.8	1603	1601	40.95%	27.29%	31.76%	+0.19	+5.8	6
1956-08-17	@ Halmstad	L 0-1	56.8	1601	1603	31.76%	27.29%	40.95%	-0.19	-5.8	3
1956-08-19	Malmo	L 1-3	53.8	1507	1655	22.13%	26.28%	51.59%	-1.05	-7.1	0
1956-08-19	@ Hammarby	W 3-1	53.8	1655	1507	51.59%	26.28%	22.13%	+1.05	+7.1	7
1956-08-19	Goteborg	L 1-3	64.6	1670	1593	50.51%	26.70%	22.79%	+0.81	-13.7	5
1956-08-19	@ Norrkoping	W 3-1	64.6	1593	1670	22.79%	26.70%	50.51%	-0.81	+13.7	8
1956-08-19	Vasteras SK	L 0-1	60.9	1625	1442	61.32%	24.74%	13.94%	+1.69	-10.0	6
1956-08-19	@ Sandvikens IF	W 1-0	60.9	1442	1625	13.94%	24.74%	61.32%	-1.69	+10.0	4
1956-08-22	AIK Stockholm	W 2-1	61.7	1620	1620	40.64%	27.30%	32.06%	+0.17	+5.5	5
1956-08-22	@ Djurgarden	L 1-2	61.7	1620	1620	32.06%	27.30%	40.64%	-0.17	-5.5	5
1956-08-22	Halmstad	D 4-4	78.0	1587	1609	37.82%	27.32%	34.86%	+0.00	-0.0	5
1956-08-22	@ GAIS	D 4-4	78.0	1609	1587	34.86%	27.32%	37.82%	+0.00	+0.1	7
1956-08-22	Helsingborg	D 2-2	69.5	1522	1596	30.55%	27.14%	42.31%	-0.44	+0.3	4
1956-08-22	@ IFK Malmo	D 2-2	69.5	1596	1522	42.31%	27.14%	30.55%	+0.44	-0.3	4
1956-08-26	IFK Malmo	W 5-1	48.9	1615	1522	52.41%	26.47%	21.12%	+0.95	+12.6	7
1956-08-26	@ AIK Stockholm	L 1-5	48.9	1522	1615	21.12%	26.47%	52.41%	-0.95	-12.6	4
1956-08-26	Hammarby	D 0-0	61.6	1607	1500	53.91%	26.26%	19.83%	+1.06	-1.4	9
1956-08-26	@ Goteborg	D 0-0	61.6	1500	1607	19.83%	26.26%	53.91%	-1.06	+1.4	1
1956-08-26	Sandvikens IF	L 2-4	64.8	1609	1615	39.94%	27.31%	32.75%	+0.12	-10.1	7
1956-08-26	@ Halmstad	W 4-2	64.8	1615	1609	32.75%	27.31%	39.94%	-0.12	+10.1	8
1956-08-26	Norrkoping	W 2-1	64.4	1595	1656	32.33%	27.22%	40.45%	-0.33	+6.6	6
1956-08-26	@ Helsingborg	L 1-2	64.4	1656	1595	40.45%	27.22%	32.33%	+0.33	-6.6	5
1956-08-26	GAIS	W 8-2	52.6	1662	1587	50.29%	26.72%	22.99%	+0.80	+16.2	9
1956-08-26	@ Malmo	L 2-8	52.6	1587	1662	22.99%	26.72%	50.29%	-0.80	-16.2	5
1956-08-26	Djurgarden	W 1-0	59.6	1452	1625	19.75%	25.85%	54.41%	-1.26	+8.9	6
1956-08-26	@ Vasteras SK	L 0-1	59.6	1625	1452	54.41%	25.85%	19.75%	+1.26	-8.9	5
1956-09-01	Halmstad	D 2-2	72.0	1616	1599	43.15%	27.23%	29.63%	+0.32	-0.3	6
1956-09-01	@ Djurgarden	D 2-2	72.0	1599	1616	29.63%	27.23%	43.15%	-0.32	+0.4	8
1956-09-02	Malmo	W 5-3	69.0	1605	1678	30.73%	27.15%	42.13%	-0.43	+9.9	11
1956-09-02	@ Goteborg	L 3-5	69.0	1678	1605	42.13%	27.15%	30.73%	+0.43	-9.9	9
1956-09-02	Helsingborg	D 1-1	64.7	1501	1602	27.28%	26.91%	45.81%	-0.66	+0.6	2
1956-09-02	@ Hammarby	D 1-1	64.7	1602	1501	45.81%	26.91%	27.28%	+0.66	-0.7	7
1956-09-02	Vasteras SK	W 3-0	41.8	1509	1461	47.06%	27.01%	25.93%	+0.57	+13.7	6
1956-09-02	@ IFK Malmo	L 0-3	41.8	1461	1509	25.93%	27.01%	47.06%	-0.57	-13.7	6
1956-09-02	AIK Stockholm	W 2-0	54.1	1649	1628	43.70%	27.20%	29.10%	+0.36	+10.3	7
1956-09-02	@ Norrkoping	L 0-2	54.1	1628	1649	29.10%	27.20%	43.70%	-0.36	-10.3	7
1956-09-02	GAIS	L 1-9	58.0	1625	1571	47.79%	26.95%	25.26%	+0.62	-45.2	8
1956-09-02	@ Sandvikens IF	W 9-1	58.0	1571	1625	25.26%	26.95%	47.79%	-0.62	+45.2	7
1956-09-09	Hammarby	W 2-1	54.4	1617	1502	54.81%	26.12%	19.07%	+1.13	+3.7	9
1956-09-09	@ AIK Stockholm	L 1-2	54.4	1502	1617	19.07%	26.12%	54.81%	-1.13	-3.6	2
1956-09-09	Djurgarden	L 0-1	60.1	1616	1616	40.85%	27.29%	31.85%	+0.18	-7.0	7
1956-09-09	@ GAIS	W 1-0	60.1	1616	1616	31.85%	27.29%	40.85%	-0.18	+7.0	8
1956-09-09	IFK Malmo	W 4-2	56.9	1599	1523	50.45%	26.70%	22.84%	+0.81	+6.6	10
1956-09-09	@ Halmstad	L 2-4	56.9	1523	1599	22.84%	26.70%	50.45%	-0.81	-6.6	6
1956-09-09	Goteborg	W 3-1	58.9	1601	1615	38.83%	27.32%	33.84%	+0.06	+10.0	9
1956-09-09	@ Helsingborg	L 1-3	58.9	1615	1601	33.84%	27.32%	38.83%	-0.06	-10.0	11
1956-09-09	Sandvikens IF	W 3-1	55.6	1668	1580	51.89%	26.54%	21.57%	+0.91	+7.0	11
1956-09-09	@ Malmo	L 1-3	55.6	1580	1668	21.57%	26.54%	51.89%	-0.91	-7.0	8
1956-09-09	Norrkoping	L 1-5	46.1	1448	1660	16.49%	25.03%	58.48%	-1.59	-10.1	6
1956-09-09	@ Vasteras SK	W 5-1	46.1	1660	1448	58.48%	25.03%	16.49%	+1.59	+10.1	9
1956-09-23	Goteborg	W 4-1	55.4	1623	1605	43.14%	27.23%	29.63%	+0.32	+12.8	10
1956-09-23	@ Djurgarden	L 1-4	55.4	1605	1623	29.63%	27.23%	43.14%	-0.32	-12.8	11
1956-09-23	AIK Stockholm	W 2-1	61.9	1609	1621	39.17%	27.32%	33.51%	+0.08	+5.7	9
1956-09-23	@ GAIS	L 1-2	61.9	1621	1609	33.51%	27.32%	39.17%	-0.08	-5.7	9
1956-09-23	Vasteras SK	L 1-2	63.8	1605	1438	60.02%	25.07%	14.91%	+1.57	-9.2	10
1956-09-23	@ Halmstad	W 2-1	63.8	1438	1605	14.91%	25.07%	60.02%	-1.57	+9.2	8
1956-09-23	Hammarby	D 2-2	65.9	1516	1498	43.19%	27.22%	29.58%	+0.32	-0.3	7
1956-09-23	@ IFK Malmo	D 2-2	65.9	1498	1516	29.58%	27.22%	43.19%	-0.32	+0.3	3
1956-09-23	Malmo	W 5-2	61.3	1670	1675	40.02%	27.31%	32.67%	+0.13	+11.9	11
1956-09-23	@ Norrkoping	L 2-5	61.3	1675	1670	32.67%	27.31%	40.02%	-0.13	-11.9	11
1956-09-23	Helsingborg	W 2-1	62.1	1573	1611	35.34%	27.30%	37.35%	-0.15	+6.2	10
1956-09-23	@ Sandvikens IF	L 1-2	62.1	1611	1573	37.35%	27.30%	35.34%	+0.15	-6.2	9
1956-09-29	Sandvikens IF	W 2-0	52.0	1615	1579	45.60%	27.11%	27.29%	+0.48	+9.8	11
1956-09-29	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-2	52.0	1579	1615	27.29%	27.11%	45.60%	-0.48	-9.8	10
1956-09-30	IFK Malmo	W 2-0	48.1	1593	1516	50.52%	26.70%	22.79%	+0.81	+8.5	13
1956-09-30	@ Goteborg	L 0-2	48.1	1516	1593	22.79%	26.70%	50.52%	-0.81	-8.5	7
1956-09-30	Norrkoping	L 0-2	48.7	1499	1682	18.85%	25.65%	55.50%	-1.35	-7.2	3
1956-09-30	@ Hammarby	W 2-0	48.7	1682	1499	55.50%	25.65%	18.85%	+1.35	+7.2	13
1956-09-30	Djurgarden	D 2-2	72.4	1605	1636	36.50%	27.32%	36.18%	-0.08	-0.0	10
1956-09-30	@ Helsingborg	D 2-2	72.4	1636	1605	36.18%	27.32%	36.50%	+0.08	+0.0	11
1956-09-30	Halmstad	W 1-0	55.3	1663	1596	49.39%	26.81%	23.80%	+0.73	+4.7	13
1956-09-30	@ Malmo	L 0-1	55.3	1596	1663	23.80%	26.81%	49.39%	-0.73	-4.7	10
1956-09-30	GAIS	D 0-0	60.2	1447	1615	20.15%	25.93%	53.92%	-1.22	+1.4	9
1956-09-30	@ Vasteras SK	D 0-0	60.2	1615	1447	53.92%	25.93%	20.15%	+1.22	-1.4	10
1956-10-06	GAIS	W 4-2	64.1	1492	1614	24.82%	26.66%	48.53%	-0.84	+11.8	5
1956-10-06	@ Hammarby	L 2-4	64.1	1614	1492	48.53%	26.66%	24.82%	+0.84	-11.8	10
1956-10-07	Malmo	D 1-1	68.9	1625	1668	34.74%	27.29%	37.97%	-0.18	+0.1	12
1956-10-07	@ AIK Stockholm	D 1-1	68.9	1668	1625	37.97%	27.29%	34.74%	+0.18	-0.1	14
1956-10-07	Halmstad	D 1-1	67.1	1601	1592	42.06%	27.26%	30.68%	+0.25	-0.4	14
1956-10-07	@ Goteborg	D 1-1	67.1	1592	1601	30.68%	27.26%	42.06%	-0.25	+0.4	11
1956-10-07	Vasteras SK	W 3-0	41.3	1605	1448	58.98%	25.31%	15.70%	+1.48	+8.9	12
1956-10-07	@ Helsingborg	L 0-3	41.3	1448	1605	15.70%	25.31%	58.98%	-1.48	-8.9	9
1956-10-07	Djurgarden	D 1-1	66.0	1508	1636	24.15%	26.57%	49.28%	-0.89	+0.9	8
1956-10-07	@ IFK Malmo	D 1-1	66.0	1636	1508	49.28%	26.57%	24.15%	+0.89	-0.9	12
1956-10-07	Sandvikens IF	W 4-0	46.8	1689	1569	55.29%	26.04%	18.67%	+1.17	+13.6	15
1956-10-07	@ Norrkoping	L 0-4	46.8	1569	1689	18.67%	26.04%	55.29%	-1.17	-13.6	10
1956-10-14	IFK Malmo	W 1-0	50.8	1635	1508	55.97%	25.92%	18.11%	+1.23	+3.7	14
1956-10-14	@ Djurgarden	L 0-1	50.8	1508	1635	18.11%	25.92%	55.97%	-1.23	-3.7	8
1956-10-14	Hammarby	D 1-1	64.9	1602	1503	53.00%	26.39%	20.61%	+0.99	-1.2	11
1956-10-14	@ GAIS	D 1-1	64.9	1503	1602	20.61%	26.39%	53.00%	-0.99	+1.2	6
1956-10-14	Goteborg	W 4-2	62.1	1592	1601	39.59%	27.31%	33.10%	+0.10	+8.8	13
1956-10-14	@ Halmstad	L 2-4	62.1	1601	1592	33.10%	27.31%	39.59%	-0.10	-8.8	14
1956-10-14	AIK Stockholm	D 4-4	79.8	1668	1625	46.41%	27.05%	26.54%	+0.53	-0.4	15
1956-10-14	@ Malmo	D 4-4	79.8	1625	1668	26.54%	27.05%	46.41%	-0.53	+0.4	13
1956-10-14	Norrkoping	L 1-5	51.9	1555	1702	22.19%	26.29%	51.51%	-1.05	-13.1	10
1956-10-14	@ Sandvikens IF	W 5-1	51.9	1702	1555	51.51%	26.29%	22.19%	+1.05	+13.1	17
1956-10-14	Helsingborg	L 1-2	52.3	1439	1614	19.56%	25.81%	54.63%	-1.28	-3.7	9
1956-10-14	@ Vasteras SK	W 2-1	52.3	1614	1439	54.63%	25.81%	19.56%	+1.28	+3.7	14
1957-04-14	Sandvikens IF	D 1-1	65.9	1601	1542	48.34%	26.91%	24.75%	+0.66	-0.8	12
1957-04-14	@ GAIS	D 1-1	65.9	1542	1601	24.75%	26.91%	48.34%	-0.66	+0.8	11
1957-04-14	Djurgarden	D 0-0	64.6	1601	1638	35.49%	27.31%	37.21%	-0.14	+0.1	14
1957-04-14	@ Halmstad	D 0-0	64.6	1638	1601	37.21%	27.31%	35.49%	+0.14	-0.1	15
1957-04-14	Hammarby	D 0-0	62.1	1618	1505	54.59%	26.16%	19.26%	+1.12	-1.5	15
1957-04-14	@ Helsingborg	D 0-0	62.1	1505	1618	19.26%	26.16%	54.59%	-1.12	+1.5	7
1957-04-14	Goteborg	W 2-0	51.8	1667	1592	50.41%	26.71%	22.88%	+0.80	+8.5	17
1957-04-14	@ Malmo	L 0-2	51.8	1592	1667	22.88%	26.71%	50.41%	-0.80	-8.5	14
1957-04-22	GAIS	L 0-5	54.9	1638	1600	45.88%	27.09%	27.03%	+0.50	-34.1	15
1957-04-22	@ Djurgarden	W 5-0	54.9	1600	1638	27.03%	27.09%	45.88%	-0.50	+34.1	14
1957-04-22	Helsingborg	L 0-2	54.8	1583	1616	36.16%	27.32%	36.53%	-0.10	-12.1	14
1957-04-22	@ Goteborg	W 2-0	54.8	1616	1583	36.53%	27.32%	36.16%	+0.10	+12.1	17
1957-04-22	Halmstad	L 0-1	52.9	1505	1601	27.80%	26.95%	45.25%	-0.62	-5.3	8
1957-04-22	@ IFK Malmo	W 1-0	52.9	1601	1505	45.25%	26.95%	27.80%	+0.62	+5.3	16
1957-04-22	Vasteras SK	W 6-2	46.8	1715	1436	69.06%	22.07%	8.88%	+2.50	+4.6	19
1957-04-22	@ Norrkoping	L 2-6	46.8	1436	1715	8.88%	22.07%	69.06%	-2.50	-4.6	9
1957-04-22	Malmo	L 1-3	55.7	1543	1676	23.65%	26.51%	49.84%	-0.93	-7.5	11
1957-04-22	@ Sandvikens IF	W 3-1	55.7	1676	1543	49.84%	26.51%	23.65%	+0.93	+7.5	19
1957-04-24	AIK Stockholm	D 0-0	62.3	1506	1625	25.10%	26.69%	48.21%	-0.82	+0.9	8
1957-04-24	@ Hammarby	D 0-0	62.3	1625	1506	48.21%	26.69%	25.10%	+0.82	-0.9	14
1957-04-27	GAIS	W 4-0	51.6	1625	1634	39.49%	27.32%	33.19%	+0.10	+21.6	16
1957-04-27	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-4	51.6	1634	1625	33.19%	27.32%	39.49%	-0.10	-21.6	14
1957-04-28	Djurgarden	L 0-1	57.5	1571	1604	36.14%	27.32%	36.55%	-0.10	-6.4	14
1957-04-28	@ Goteborg	W 1-0	57.5	1604	1571	36.55%	27.32%	36.14%	+0.10	+6.4	17
1957-04-28	IFK Malmo	D 1-1	61.1	1507	1499	41.81%	27.27%	30.92%	+0.24	-0.4	9
1957-04-28	@ Hammarby	D 1-1	61.1	1499	1507	30.92%	27.27%	41.81%	-0.24	+0.4	9
1957-04-28	Sandvikens IF	D 0-0	63.2	1628	1536	52.36%	26.48%	21.16%	+0.95	-1.3	18
1957-04-28	@ Helsingborg	D 0-0	63.2	1536	1628	21.16%	26.48%	52.36%	-0.95	+1.3	12
1957-04-28	Norrkoping	L 1-2	64.6	1683	1720	35.64%	27.31%	37.05%	-0.13	-6.0	19
1957-04-28	@ Malmo	W 2-1	64.6	1720	1683	37.05%	27.31%	35.64%	+0.13	+6.0	21
1957-04-28	Halmstad	L 1-3	48.8	1431	1606	19.52%	25.80%	54.68%	-1.28	-6.4	9
1957-04-28	@ Vasteras SK	W 3-1	48.8	1606	1431	54.68%	25.80%	19.52%	+1.28	+6.4	18
1957-05-01	Helsingborg	D 1-1	68.0	1611	1627	38.51%	27.32%	34.17%	+0.04	-0.2	18
1957-05-01	@ Djurgarden	D 1-1	68.0	1627	1611	34.17%	27.32%	38.51%	-0.04	+0.2	19
1957-05-01	Vasteras SK	W 2-1	49.5	1612	1425	61.80%	24.61%	13.59%	+1.74	+2.7	16
1957-05-01	@ GAIS	L 1-2	49.5	1425	1612	13.59%	24.61%	61.80%	-1.74	-2.7	9
1957-05-01	Malmo	L 0-2	55.1	1613	1677	31.74%	27.20%	41.06%	-0.37	-11.0	18
1957-05-01	@ Halmstad	W 2-0	55.1	1677	1613	41.06%	27.20%	31.74%	+0.37	+11.0	21
1957-05-01	Goteborg	W 2-1	59.5	1500	1565	31.74%	27.20%	41.06%	-0.37	+6.7	11
1957-05-01	@ IFK Malmo	L 1-2	59.5	1565	1500	41.06%	27.20%	31.74%	+0.37	-6.6	14
1957-05-01	Hammarby	W 3-0	44.7	1726	1507	64.47%	23.80%	11.73%	+2.00	+6.7	23
1957-05-01	@ Norrkoping	L 0-3	44.7	1507	1726	11.73%	23.80%	64.47%	-2.00	-6.7	9
1957-05-01	AIK Stockholm	W 2-1	64.8	1537	1646	26.26%	26.81%	46.93%	-0.73	+7.4	14
1957-05-01	@ Sandvikens IF	L 1-2	64.8	1646	1537	46.93%	26.81%	26.26%	+0.73	-7.4	16
1957-05-05	IFK Malmo	D 2-2	62.7	1422	1506	29.22%	27.06%	43.73%	-0.53	+0.4	10
1957-05-05	@ Vasteras SK	D 2-2	62.7	1506	1422	43.73%	27.06%	29.22%	+0.53	-0.4	12
1957-05-10	Vasteras SK	W 1-0	45.3	1611	1422	61.85%	24.59%	13.56%	+1.74	+2.8	20
1957-05-10	@ Djurgarden	L 0-1	45.3	1422	1611	13.56%	24.59%	61.85%	-1.74	-2.8	10
1957-05-12	Malmo	L 0-1	58.1	1615	1688	30.62%	27.14%	42.23%	-0.44	-5.7	16
1957-05-12	@ GAIS	W 1-0	58.1	1688	1615	42.23%	27.14%	30.62%	+0.44	+5.7	23
1957-05-12	Goteborg	L 3-6	56.6	1500	1558	32.64%	27.23%	40.13%	-0.31	-11.0	9
1957-05-12	@ Hammarby	W 6-3	56.6	1558	1500	40.13%	27.23%	32.64%	+0.31	+11.0	16
1957-05-12	AIK Stockholm	L 0-2	49.5	1506	1639	23.67%	26.51%	49.82%	-0.93	-8.7	12
1957-05-12	@ IFK Malmo	W 2-0	49.5	1639	1506	49.82%	26.51%	23.67%	+0.93	+8.7	18
1957-05-12	Helsingborg	W 4-2	60.4	1733	1627	53.78%	26.28%	19.94%	+1.05	+5.9	25
1957-05-12	@ Norrkoping	L 2-4	60.4	1627	1733	19.94%	26.28%	53.78%	-1.05	-5.9	19
1957-05-12	Halmstad	D 2-2	70.3	1544	1602	32.78%	27.24%	39.98%	-0.30	+0.2	15
1957-05-12	@ Sandvikens IF	D 2-2	70.3	1602	1544	39.98%	27.24%	32.78%	+0.30	-0.2	19
1957-05-17	Djurgarden	W 2-1	60.6	1647	1613	45.31%	27.12%	27.57%	+0.46	+4.9	20
1957-05-17	@ AIK Stockholm	L 1-2	60.6	1613	1647	27.57%	27.12%	45.31%	-0.46	-4.9	20
1957-05-17	IFK Malmo	D 1-1	65.5	1621	1497	55.73%	25.97%	18.31%	+1.21	-1.4	20
1957-05-17	@ Helsingborg	D 1-1	65.5	1497	1621	18.31%	25.97%	55.73%	-1.21	+1.4	13
1957-05-19	Norrkoping	L 1-2	58.7	1569	1739	20.03%	25.90%	54.06%	-1.24	-3.8	16
1957-05-19	@ Goteborg	W 2-1	58.7	1739	1569	54.06%	25.90%	20.03%	+1.24	+3.8	27
1957-05-19	GAIS	L 1-2	63.4	1601	1609	39.68%	27.31%	33.00%	+0.11	-6.5	19
1957-05-19	@ Halmstad	W 2-1	63.4	1609	1601	33.00%	27.31%	39.68%	-0.11	+6.5	18
1957-05-19	Hammarby	W 3-1	50.8	1694	1489	63.31%	24.17%	12.53%	+1.88	+4.3	25
1957-05-19	@ Malmo	L 1-3	50.8	1489	1694	12.53%	24.17%	63.31%	-1.88	-4.3	9
1957-05-19	Sandvikens IF	L 2-3	55.0	1419	1545	24.47%	26.61%	48.91%	-0.87	-4.2	10
1957-05-19	@ Vasteras SK	W 3-2	55.0	1545	1419	48.91%	26.61%	24.47%	+0.87	+4.2	17
1957-05-22	Vasteras SK	L 1-2	65.9	1652	1415	65.89%	23.31%	10.80%	+2.15	-10.0	20
1957-05-22	@ AIK Stockholm	W 2-1	65.9	1415	1652	10.80%	23.31%	65.89%	-2.15	+10.0	12
1957-05-22	Halmstad	D 1-1	67.6	1620	1595	44.14%	27.18%	28.68%	+0.38	-0.5	21
1957-05-22	@ Helsingborg	D 1-1	67.6	1595	1620	28.68%	27.18%	44.14%	-0.38	+0.5	20
1957-05-22	Djurgarden	W 3-1	55.5	1742	1608	56.75%	25.78%	17.47%	+1.29	+5.8	29
1957-05-22	@ Norrkoping	L 1-3	55.5	1608	1742	17.47%	25.78%	56.75%	-1.29	-5.9	20
1957-05-24	GAIS	L 2-4	62.0	1565	1616	33.71%	27.27%	39.03%	-0.24	-8.9	16
1957-05-24	@ Goteborg	W 4-2	62.0	1616	1565	39.03%	27.27%	33.71%	+0.24	+8.9	20
1957-05-24	Sandvikens IF	L 1-2	55.6	1485	1549	31.85%	27.20%	40.95%	-0.36	-5.5	9
1957-05-24	@ Hammarby	W 2-1	55.6	1549	1485	40.95%	27.20%	31.85%	+0.36	+5.5	19
1957-05-24	IFK Malmo	D 0-0	64.7	1698	1499	62.83%	24.31%	12.86%	+1.84	-2.2	26
1957-05-24	@ Malmo	D 0-0	64.7	1499	1698	12.86%	24.31%	62.83%	-1.84	+2.2	14
1957-05-26	Hammarby	W 2-0	45.7	1603	1479	55.68%	25.97%	18.34%	+1.20	+7.1	22
1957-05-26	@ Djurgarden	L 0-2	45.7	1479	1603	18.34%	25.97%	55.68%	-1.20	-7.1	9
1957-05-26	Helsingborg	L 1-4	59.3	1625	1619	41.50%	27.28%	31.22%	+0.22	-16.5	20
1957-05-26	@ GAIS	W 4-1	59.3	1619	1625	31.22%	27.28%	41.50%	-0.22	+16.5	23
1957-05-26	AIK Stockholm	D 1-1	68.0	1595	1642	34.18%	27.28%	38.54%	-0.22	+0.1	21
1957-05-26	@ Halmstad	D 1-1	68.0	1642	1595	38.54%	27.28%	34.18%	+0.22	-0.1	21
1957-05-26	Norrkoping	L 0-3	45.8	1501	1748	14.01%	24.17%	61.82%	-1.88	-7.9	14
1957-05-26	@ IFK Malmo	W 3-0	45.8	1748	1501	61.82%	24.17%	14.01%	+1.88	+7.9	31
1957-05-26	Goteborg	D 1-1	64.8	1554	1556	40.48%	27.30%	32.22%	+0.16	-0.3	20
1957-05-26	@ Sandvikens IF	D 1-1	64.8	1556	1554	32.22%	27.30%	40.48%	-0.16	+0.3	17
1957-05-26	Malmo	L 1-2	51.8	1425	1696	12.56%	23.54%	63.90%	-2.08	-2.4	12
1957-05-26	@ Vasteras SK	W 2-1	51.8	1696	1425	63.90%	23.54%	12.56%	+2.08	+2.4	28
1957-05-30	Norrkoping	L 0-1	57.4	1642	1756	25.71%	26.76%	47.53%	-0.77	-5.0	21
1957-05-30	@ AIK Stockholm	W 1-0	57.4	1756	1642	47.53%	26.76%	25.71%	+0.77	+4.9	33
1957-06-01	Halmstad	W 2-0	54.5	1472	1596	24.65%	26.64%	48.72%	-0.85	+15.3	11
1957-06-01	@ Hammarby	L 0-2	54.5	1596	1472	48.72%	26.64%	24.65%	+0.85	-15.3	21
1957-06-02	Malmo	W 2-1	66.3	1610	1699	28.66%	27.02%	44.32%	-0.57	+7.1	24
1957-06-02	@ Djurgarden	L 1-2	66.3	1699	1610	44.32%	27.02%	28.66%	+0.57	-7.1	28
1957-06-02	Vasteras SK	W 3-1	46.0	1557	1423	56.76%	25.78%	17.47%	+1.29	+5.9	19
1957-06-02	@ Goteborg	L 1-3	46.0	1423	1557	17.47%	25.78%	56.76%	-1.29	-5.8	12
1957-06-02	AIK Stockholm	W 5-2	60.2	1636	1637	40.58%	27.30%	32.12%	+0.16	+11.8	25
1957-06-02	@ Helsingborg	L 2-5	60.2	1637	1636	32.12%	27.30%	40.58%	-0.16	-11.8	21
1957-06-02	Sandvikens IF	D 1-1	62.6	1493	1554	32.28%	27.22%	40.51%	-0.33	+0.3	15
1957-06-02	@ IFK Malmo	D 1-1	62.6	1554	1493	40.51%	27.22%	32.28%	+0.33	-0.3	21
1957-06-02	GAIS	L 0-2	63.5	1761	1608	58.61%	25.40%	15.99%	+1.45	-18.1	33
1957-06-02	@ Norrkoping	W 2-0	63.5	1608	1761	15.99%	25.40%	58.61%	-1.45	+18.0	22
1957-06-05	Goteborg	W 2-0	50.9	1625	1563	48.90%	26.86%	24.24%	+0.70	+8.9	23
1957-06-05	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-2	50.9	1563	1625	24.24%	26.86%	48.90%	-0.70	-8.9	19
1957-06-05	IFK Malmo	W 2-1	53.9	1626	1493	56.65%	25.80%	17.55%	+1.28	+3.4	24
1957-06-05	@ GAIS	L 1-2	53.9	1493	1626	17.55%	25.80%	56.65%	-1.28	-3.4	15
1957-06-05	Norrkoping	L 0-4	48.3	1580	1743	20.65%	26.02%	53.33%	-1.18	-14.7	21
1957-06-05	@ Halmstad	W 4-0	48.3	1743	1580	53.33%	26.02%	20.65%	+1.18	+14.7	35
1957-06-05	Helsingborg	L 1-2	67.3	1692	1648	46.58%	27.04%	26.38%	+0.54	-7.4	28
1957-06-05	@ Malmo	W 2-1	67.3	1648	1692	26.38%	27.04%	46.58%	-0.54	+7.4	27
1957-06-05	Djurgarden	W 4-3	70.4	1554	1617	32.00%	27.21%	40.79%	-0.35	+6.1	23
1957-06-05	@ Sandvikens IF	L 3-4	70.4	1617	1554	40.79%	27.21%	32.00%	+0.35	-6.1	24
1957-06-05	Hammarby	D 1-1	57.5	1417	1487	31.02%	27.16%	41.81%	-0.41	+0.4	13
1957-06-05	@ Vasteras SK	D 1-1	57.5	1487	1417	41.81%	27.16%	31.02%	+0.41	-0.4	12

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1957-05-22	10.80%	Vasteras SK	1415	2	@ AIK Stockholm	1652	1
2	1956-08-19	13.94%	Vasteras SK	1442	1	@ Sandvikens IF	1625	0
3	1956-09-23	14.91%	Vasteras SK	1438	2	@ Halmstad	1605	1
4	1957-06-02	15.99%	GAIS	1608	2	@ Norrkoping	1761	0
5	1956-08-26	19.75%	@ Vasteras SK	1452	1	Djurgarden	1625	0
6	1956-08-19	22.79%	Goteborg	1593	3	@ Norrkoping	1670	1
7	1956-08-01	24.54%	Vasteras SK	1477	3	@ Hammarby	1537	2
8	1957-06-01	24.65%	@ Hammarby	1472	2	Halmstad	1596	0
9	1956-10-06	24.82%	@ Hammarby	1492	4	GAIS	1614	2
10	1956-09-02	25.26%	GAIS	1571	9	@ Sandvikens IF	1625	1
11	1957-05-01	26.26%	@ Sandvikens IF	1537	2	AIK Stockholm	1646	1
12	1957-06-05	26.38%	Helsingborg	1648	2	@ Malmo	1692	1
13	1957-04-22	27.03%	GAIS	1600	5	@ Djurgarden	1638	0
14	1956-08-10	27.79%	GAIS	1582	3	@ Helsingborg	1614	1
15	1957-06-02	28.66%	@ Djurgarden	1610	2	Malmo	1699	1
16	1956-08-05	29.04%	@ GAIS	1574	1	Norrkoping	1660	0
17	1956-08-05	30.49%	Helsingborg	1607	2	@ AIK Stockholm	1618	1
18	1956-09-02	30.73%	@ Goteborg	1605	5	Malmo	1678	3
19	1956-08-15	30.89%	Goteborg	1586	2	@ GAIS	1594	1
20	1956-07-29	30.90%	Sandvikens IF	1613	2	@ Djurgarden	1621	1
21	1957-05-26	31.22%	Helsingborg	1619	4	@ GAIS	1625	1
22	1957-05-01	31.74%	@ IFK Malmo	1500	2	Goteborg	1565	1
23	1956-09-09	31.85%	Djurgarden	1616	1	@ GAIS	1616	0
24	1957-06-05	32.00%	@ Sandvikens IF	1554	4	Djurgarden	1617	3
25	1956-08-26	32.33%	@ Helsingborg	1595	2	Norrkoping	1656	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1956-09-02	45.23	GAIS	9	1571	25.26%	@ Sandvikens IF	1	1625	47.79%	26.95%
2	1957-04-22	34.07	GAIS	5	1600	27.03%	@ Djurgarden	0	1638	45.88%	27.09%
3	1957-04-27	21.57	@ AIK Stockholm	4	1625	39.49%	GAIS	0	1634	33.19%	27.32%
4	1957-06-02	18.06	GAIS	2	1608	15.99%	@ Norrkoping	0	1761	58.61%	25.40%
5	1956-08-05	16.55	Goteborg	5	1564	43.11%	@ Vasteras SK	1	1484	29.79%	27.09%
6	1957-05-26	16.45	Helsingborg	4	1619	31.22%	@ GAIS	1	1625	41.50%	27.28%
7	1956-08-26	16.22	@ Malmo	8	1662	50.29%	GAIS	2	1587	22.99%	26.72%
8	1957-06-01	15.29	@ Hammarby	2	1472	24.65%	Halmstad	0	1596	48.72%	26.64%
9	1956-08-10	15.10	@ Malmo	8	1641	60.53%	Vasteras SK	1	1467	14.53%	24.94%
10	1957-06-05	14.74	Norrkoping	4	1743	53.33%	@ Halmstad	0	1580	20.65%	26.02%
11	1956-08-19	13.70	Goteborg	3	1593	22.79%	@ Norrkoping	1	1670	50.51%	26.70%
12	1956-09-02	13.68	@ IFK Malmo	3	1509	47.06%	Vasteras SK	0	1461	25.93%	27.01%
13	1956-10-07	13.60	@ Norrkoping	4	1689	55.29%	Sandvikens IF	0	1569	18.67%	26.04%
14	1956-10-14	13.06	Norrkoping	5	1702	51.51%	@ Sandvikens IF	1	1555	22.19%	26.29%
15	1956-09-23	12.79	@ Djurgarden	4	1623	43.14%	Goteborg	1	1605	29.63%	27.23%
16	1956-08-26	12.60	@ AIK Stockholm	5	1615	52.41%	IFK Malmo	1	1522	21.12%	26.47%
17	1956-08-10	12.43	GAIS	3	1582	27.79%	@ Helsingborg	1	1614	45.07%	27.14%
18	1957-04-22	12.10	Helsingborg	2	1616	36.53%	@ Goteborg	0	1583	36.16%	27.32%
19	1956-09-23	11.92	@ Norrkoping	5	1670	40.02%	Malmo	2	1675	32.67%	27.31%
20	1956-10-06	11.81	@ Hammarby	4	1492	24.82%	GAIS	2	1614	48.53%	26.66%
21	1957-06-02	11.77	@ Helsingborg	5	1636	40.58%	AIK Stockholm	2	1637	32.12%	27.30%
22	1956-08-12	11.27	@ Norrkoping	5	1653	55.43%	IFK Malmo	1	1532	18.55%	26.02%
23	1957-05-12	11.02	Goteborg	6	1558	40.13%	@ Hammarby	3	1500	32.64%	27.23%
24	1957-05-01	10.99	Malmo	2	1677	41.06%	@ Halmstad	0	1613	31.74%	27.20%
25	1956-08-10	10.65	Djurgarden	5	1614	44.78%	@ Hammarby	2	1522	28.23%	26.99%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1956-10-14	79.8	@ Malmo	4	1668	46.41%	AIK Stockholm	4	1625	26.54%	27.05%
2	1956-08-22	78.0	@ GAIS	4	1587	37.82%	Halmstad	4	1609	34.86%	27.32%
3	1956-07-29	72.8	@ Norrkoping	2	1661	49.37%	Halmstad	2	1594	23.82%	26.82%
4	1956-09-30	72.4	@ Helsingborg	2	1605	36.50%	Djurgarden	2	1636	36.18%	27.32%
5	1956-09-01	72.0	@ Djurgarden	2	1616	43.15%	Halmstad	2	1599	29.63%	27.23%
6	1956-08-12	71.9	@ AIK Stockholm	2	1611	41.95%	Halmstad	2	1602	30.78%	27.27%
7	1956-08-15	71.1	Norrkoping	4	1664	37.41%	@ Djurgarden	3	1625	35.28%	27.30%
8	1957-06-05	70.4	@ Sandvikens IF	4	1554	32.00%	Djurgarden	3	1617	40.79%	27.21%
9	1957-05-12	70.3	@ Sandvikens IF	2	1544	32.78%	Halmstad	2	1602	39.98%	27.24%
10	1956-08-22	69.5	@ IFK Malmo	2	1522	30.55%	Helsingborg	2	1596	42.31%	27.14%
11	1956-09-02	69.0	@ Goteborg	5	1605	30.73%	Malmo	3	1678	42.13%	27.15%
12	1956-10-07	68.9	@ AIK Stockholm	1	1625	34.74%	Malmo	1	1668	37.97%	27.29%
13	1956-08-05	68.3	@ Malmo	1	1641	44.45%	Djurgarden	1	1614	28.38%	27.17%
14	1957-05-01	68.0	@ Djurgarden	1	1611	38.51%	Helsingborg	1	1627	34.17%	27.32%
15	1957-05-26	68.0	@ Halmstad	1	1595	34.18%	AIK Stockholm	1	1642	38.54%	27.28%
16	1957-05-22	67.6	@ Helsingborg	1	1620	44.14%	Halmstad	1	1595	28.68%	27.18%
17	1956-08-12	67.3	@ Goteborg	3	1580	34.25%	Sandvikens IF	2	1627	38.47%	27.28%
18	1957-06-05	67.3	Helsingborg	2	1648	26.38%	@ Malmo	1	1692	46.58%	27.04%
19	1956-10-07	67.1	@ Goteborg	1	1601	42.06%	Halmstad	1	1592	30.68%	27.26%
20	1957-06-02	66.3	@ Djurgarden	2	1610	28.66%	Malmo	1	1699	44.32%	27.02%
21	1956-10-07	66.0	@ IFK Malmo	1	1508	24.15%	Djurgarden	1	1636	49.28%	26.57%
22	1956-09-23	65.9	@ IFK Malmo	2	1516	43.19%	Hammarby	2	1498	29.58%	27.22%
23	1957-04-14	65.9	@ GAIS	1	1601	48.34%	Sandvikens IF	1	1542	24.75%	26.91%
24	1957-05-22	65.9	Vasteras SK	2	1415	10.80%	@ AIK Stockholm	1	1652	65.89%	23.31%
25	1957-05-17	65.5	@ Helsingborg	1	1621	55.73%	IFK Malmo	1	1497	18.31%	25.97%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1956-10-07	41.3	@ Helsingborg	3	1605	58.98%	Vasteras SK	0	1448	15.70%	25.31%
2	1956-09-02	41.8	@ IFK Malmo	3	1509	47.06%	Vasteras SK	0	1461	25.93%	27.01%
3	1957-05-01	44.7	@ Norrkoping	3	1726	64.47%	Hammarby	0	1507	11.73%	23.80%
4	1956-08-10	44.9	@ Malmo	8	1641	60.53%	Vasteras SK	1	1467	14.53%	24.94%
5	1957-05-10	45.3	@ Djurgarden	1	1611	61.85%	Vasteras SK	0	1422	13.56%	24.59%
6	1957-05-26	45.7	@ Djurgarden	2	1603	55.68%	Hammarby	0	1479	18.34%	25.97%
7	1957-05-26	45.8	Norrkoping	3	1748	61.82%	@ IFK Malmo	0	1501	14.01%	24.17%
8	1957-06-02	46.0	@ Goteborg	3	1557	56.76%	Vasteras SK	1	1423	17.47%	25.78%
9	1956-09-09	46.1	Norrkoping	5	1660	58.48%	@ Vasteras SK	1	1448	16.49%	25.03%
10	1956-10-07	46.8	@ Norrkoping	4	1689	55.29%	Sandvikens IF	0	1569	18.67%	26.04%
11	1957-04-22	46.8	@ Norrkoping	6	1715	69.06%	Vasteras SK	2	1436	8.88%	22.07%
12	1956-08-15	47.8	AIK Stockholm	4	1611	52.87%	@ Vasteras SK	1	1452	21.04%	26.10%
13	1956-09-30	48.1	@ Goteborg	2	1593	50.52%	IFK Malmo	0	1516	22.79%	26.70%
14	1957-06-05	48.3	Norrkoping	4	1743	53.33%	@ Halmstad	0	1580	20.65%	26.02%
15	1956-08-05	48.7	Goteborg	5	1564	43.11%	@ Vasteras SK	1	1484	29.79%	27.09%
16	1956-09-30	48.7	Norrkoping	2	1682	55.50%	@ Hammarby	0	1499	18.85%	25.65%
17	1957-04-28	48.8	Halmstad	3	1606	54.68%	@ Vasteras SK	1	1431	19.52%	25.80%
18	1956-08-26	48.9	@ AIK Stockholm	5	1615	52.41%	IFK Malmo	1	1522	21.12%	26.47%
19	1956-08-12	49.2	@ Norrkoping	5	1653	55.43%	IFK Malmo	1	1532	18.55%	26.02%
20	1957-05-01	49.5	@ GAIS	2	1612	61.80%	Vasteras SK	1	1425	13.59%	24.61%
21	1957-05-12	49.5	AIK Stockholm	2	1639	49.82%	@ IFK Malmo	0	1506	23.67%	26.51%
22	1956-10-14	50.8	@ Djurgarden	1	1635	55.97%	IFK Malmo	0	1508	18.11%	25.92%
23	1957-05-19	50.8	@ Malmo	3	1694	63.31%	Hammarby	1	1489	12.53%	24.17%
24	1957-06-05	50.9	@ AIK Stockholm	2	1625	48.90%	Goteborg	0	1563	24.24%	26.86%
25	1956-08-15	51.0	@ Sandvikens IF	1	1621	54.22%	Hammarby	0	1511	19.56%	26.21%