1966 Allsvenskan Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Djurgarden

33 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Goteborg

7.00 points above expected

29 points · 22.00 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Malmo

8.46 points below expected

19 points · 27.46 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Djurgarden	22	15	3	4	33	46	17	+29	26.73	+6.27
2	Norrkoping	22	12	5	5	29	53	24	+29	29.76	-0.76
3	Elfsborg	22	11	7	4	29	40	26	+14	28.56	+0.44
4	Goteborg	22	12	5	5	29	44	34	+10	22.00	+7.00
5	AIK Stockholm	22	12	3	7	27	36	26	+10	24.22	+2.78
6	Orgryte	22	8	7	7	23	45	40	+5	23.69	-0.69
7	Orebro	22	8	4	10	20	42	44	-2	20.24	-0.24
8	GAIS	22	7	6	9	20	19	27	-8	15.93	+4.07
9	Malmo	22	6	7	9	19	32	34	-2	27.46	-8.46
10	Helsingborg	22	4	9	9	17	28	46	-18	15.89	+1.11
11	Brage	22	5	1	16	11	23	53	-30	15.73	-4.73
12	Degerfors	22	2	3	17	7	21	58	-37	13.79	-6.79

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Goteborg	29	22.00	+7.00
2	Djurgarden	33	26.73	+6.27
3	GAIS	20	15.93	+4.07
4	AIK Stockholm	27	24.22	+2.78
5	Helsingborg	17	15.89	+1.11

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Malmo	19	27.46	-8.46
2	Degerfors	7	13.79	-6.79
3	Brage	11	15.73	-4.73
4	Norrkoping	29	29.76	-0.76
5	Orgryte	23	23.69	-0.69

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Goteborg	5	Jun 9 – Aug 11	1 in 206
2	GAIS	2	Aug 18 – Aug 25	1 in 39
3	AIK Stockholm	4	Sep 22 – Oct 16	1 in 38
4	Orgryte	3	Aug 28 – Sep 8	1 in 21
5	Orebro	3	Jun 9 – Jun 16	1 in 19

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Malmo	5	Aug 25 – Sep 22	1 in 657
2	Helsingborg	5	Oct 2 – Oct 30	1 in 81
3	Degerfors	8	May 30 – Aug 21	1 in 53
4	Djurgarden	2	Sep 8 – Sep 22	1 in 47
5	GAIS	4	Jun 12 – Aug 14	1 in 38

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Helsingborg	9	Jun 19 – Sep 25	1 in 1,790
2	Goteborg	6	May 26 – Aug 11	1 in 28
3	GAIS	4	May 1 – May 22	1 in 18
4	Djurgarden	8	May 15 – Aug 11	1 in 12
5	Norrkoping	7	Jun 12 – Aug 28	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Malmo	8	Aug 25 – Oct 16	1 in 152
2	Degerfors	16	May 1 – Sep 11	1 in 55
3	GAIS	6	May 30 – Aug 14	1 in 11
4	Norrkoping	3	Oct 16 – Oct 30	1 in 9
5	Elfsborg	3	May 12 – May 30	1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Djurgarden	1656	33	+53	9	6.9	+2.1
Goteborg	1565	29	+75	8	5.6	+2.4
Elfsborg	1612	29	+11	7	6.3	+0.7
Norrkoping	1631	29	-31	5	6.8	-1.8
AIK Stockholm	1563	27	+47	8	5.5	+2.5
Orgryte	1505	23	-6	4	5.4	-1.4
Orebro	1451	20	+22	6	5.2	+0.8
GAIS	1366	20	-4	5	4.1	+0.9
Malmo	1473	19	-17	4	4.7	-0.7
Helsingborg	1257	17	-131	0	4.3	-4.3
Brage	1313	11	+21	2	2.7	-0.7
Degerfors	1249	7	-40	2	2.4	-0.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AS	BRA	DEG	DJU	ELF	GAI	GOT	HEL	MAL	NOR	ORE	ORG
AIK Stockholm	—	2-0-0 3.73	2-0-0 4.04	1-0-1 2.27	1-0-1 2.13	1-1-0 3.73	1-0-1 2.84	0-2-0 3.98	0-0-2 2.84	1-0-1 2.23	1-0-1 3.46	2-0-0 2.89
Brage	0-0-2 1.79	—	1-0-1 3.17	0-0-2 1.15	0-0-2 1.37	2-0-0 2.51	0-0-2 1.89	1-1-0 2.81	1-0-1 1.16	0-0-2 1.07	0-0-2 2.36	0-0-2 1.72
Degerfors	0-0-2 1.50	1-0-1 2.35	—	0-0-2 1.56	0-0-2 1.12	0-0-2 2.51	0-1-1 1.40	0-1-1 2.52	1-0-1 1.13	0-0-2 0.98	0-1-1 1.84	0-0-2 1.44
Djurgarden	1-0-1 3.25	2-0-0 4.40	2-0-0 3.98	—	0-1-1 2.79	0-1-1 4.04	1-1-0 3.26	2-0-0 4.21	2-0-0 2.65	1-0-1 2.37	2-0-0 3.84	2-0-0 2.97
Elfsborg	1-0-1 3.40	2-0-0 4.17	2-0-0 4.43	1-1-0 2.73	—	1-1-0 4.12	0-1-1 3.51	0-2-0 4.30	1-1-0 3.08	1-0-1 2.74	1-0-1 3.87	1-1-0 3.59
GAIS	0-1-1 1.80	0-0-2 3.01	2-0-0 3.01	1-1-0 1.50	0-1-1 1.42	—	0-0-2 1.94	1-0-1 2.99	1-0-1 1.26	0-2-0 1.25	1-0-1 2.06	1-1-0 1.94
Goteborg	1-0-1 2.68	2-0-0 3.64	1-1-0 4.14	0-1-1 2.26	1-1-0 2.01	2-0-0 3.59	—	2-0-0 3.41	1-1-0 1.81	0-1-1 1.84	1-0-1 3.09	1-0-1 2.42
Helsingborg	0-2-0 1.55	0-1-1 2.72	1-1-0 3.01	0-0-2 1.34	0-2-0 1.24	1-0-1 2.53	0-0-2 2.11	—	1-0-1 1.48	0-1-1 1.17	1-0-1 2.03	0-2-0 1.68
Malmo	2-0-0 2.69	1-0-1 4.38	1-0-1 4.42	0-0-2 2.87	0-1-1 2.44	1-0-1 4.28	0-1-1 3.71	1-0-1 4.06	—	0-1-1 2.47	0-2-0 3.63	0-2-0 3.23
Norrkoping	1-0-1 3.29	2-0-0 4.48	2-0-0 4.59	1-0-1 3.15	1-0-1 2.78	0-2-0 4.30	1-1-0 3.68	1-1-0 4.38	1-1-0 3.07	—	2-0-0 3.73	0-0-2 3.84
Orebro	1-0-1 2.06	2-0-0 3.16	1-1-0 3.68	0-0-2 1.69	1-0-1 1.66	1-0-1 3.47	1-0-1 2.43	1-0-1 3.50	0-2-0 1.90	0-0-2 1.80	—	0-1-1 2.31
Orgryte	0-0-2 2.63	2-0-0 3.81	2-0-0 4.10	0-0-2 2.55	0-1-1 1.93	0-1-1 3.59	1-0-1 3.10	0-2-0 3.85	0-2-0 2.29	2-0-0 1.69	1-1-0 3.21	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.63	+5.7
Allowed	0.81	-5.6
Differential	0.94	+3.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	5.68%	4.92%	5.30%	1.52%	0.76%	24.24%
1	5.68%	6.06%	6.82%	4.55%	2.65%	1.89%	27.65%
2	4.92%	6.82%	6.82%	2.65%	1.52%	0.38%	23.11%
3	5.30%	4.55%	2.65%	3.03%	—	—	15.53%
4	1.52%	2.65%	1.52%	—	0.76%	—	6.44%
5+	0.76%	1.89%	0.38%	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	24.24%	27.65%	23.11%	15.53%	6.44%	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.62	1.62	+0.00
SD	1.37	1.37	2.09
CV	0.84	0.84	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	27.27%
1	18.18%	—	13.64%	—	—	—	31.82%
2	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
3	—	13.64%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	36.36%	27.27%	—	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	1.18	+0.45
SD	1.50	1.33	2.13
CV	0.92	1.13	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	9.09%	—	31.82%
1	9.09%	—	9.09%	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	45.45%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	13.64%	13.64%	18.18%	31.82%	18.18%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.05	2.41	-1.36
SD	1.13	1.44	2.13
CV	1.08	0.60	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	—	40.91%
1	—	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	31.82%
2	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	13.64%	—	22.73%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	4.55%	22.73%	22.73%	13.64%	31.82%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.95	2.64	-1.68
SD	1.05	1.50	1.78
CV	1.10	0.57	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
1	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
2	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
3	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	27.27%
4	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	59.09%	18.18%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.09	0.77	+1.32
SD	1.41	1.15	1.81
CV	0.67	1.49	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
1	—	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
2	4.55%	27.27%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	45.45%
3	13.64%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	50.00%	13.64%	13.64%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.82	1.18	+0.64
SD	1.05	0.96	1.50
CV	0.58	0.81	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	45.45%
1	13.64%	13.64%	—	—	—	4.55%	31.82%
2	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	36.36%	18.18%	9.09%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.86	1.23	-0.36
SD	0.99	1.27	1.56
CV	1.15	1.03	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
1	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	36.36%
2	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	27.27%	22.73%	31.82%	4.55%	13.64%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	1.55	+0.45
SD	1.35	1.34	1.74
CV	0.67	0.86	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	36.36%
1	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	22.73%
2	—	—	13.64%	—	4.55%	4.55%	22.73%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	22.73%	27.27%	9.09%	9.09%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.27	2.09	-0.82
SD	1.24	1.66	1.87
CV	0.98	0.79	—
Max	4	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	22.73%
1	—	4.55%	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
2	13.64%	4.55%	18.18%	—	—	—	36.36%
3	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	18.18%	40.91%	18.18%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.55	-0.09
SD	1.10	1.06	1.72
CV	0.76	0.68	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	22.73%
1	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
2	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
3	13.64%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
Total	40.91%	27.27%	13.64%	18.18%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.41	1.09	+1.32
SD	1.87	1.15	2.40
CV	0.78	1.06	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	13.64%
1	4.55%	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	4.55%	27.27%
2	—	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	31.82%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	13.64%	27.27%	18.18%	36.36%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.91	2.00	-0.09
SD	1.38	1.41	2.33
CV	0.72	0.71	—
Max	5	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
1	—	13.64%	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	31.82%
2	—	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	4.55%	36.36%	31.82%	27.27%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.05	1.82	+0.23
SD	1.40	0.91	1.95
CV	0.68	0.50	—
Max	6	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Djurgarden	1656	33	26.73	+6.27	96.0%	20	21	24	26	29	33	36
Norrkoping	1631	29	29.76	-0.76	44.0%	22	23	27	30	32	36	37
Elfsborg	1612	29	28.56	+0.44	59.0%	19	22	26	29	31	34	40
Goteborg	1565	29	22.00	+7.00	100.0%	9	13	20	22	25	28	29
AIK Stockholm	1563	27	24.22	+2.78	82.0%	15	18	22	24	27	31	32
Orgryte	1505	23	23.69	-0.69	46.0%	16	18	21	24	26	29	30
Malmo	1473	19	27.46	-8.46	2.0%	19	20	25	28	30	33	34
Orebro	1451	20	20.24	-0.24	60.0%	13	15	18	20	22	26	32
GAIS	1366	20	15.93	+4.07	91.0%	8	10	14	16	18	22	28
Brage	1313	11	15.73	-4.73	9.0%	8	10	13	15	18	22	26
Helsingborg	1257	17	15.89	+1.11	60.0%	3	9	13	16	19	21	24
Degerfors	1249	7	13.79	-6.79	8.0%	6	7	11	14	17	19	24

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+12.12%

Slight Edge

44.70%22.73%32.58%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 42.32 Elo pts.

165 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.34 goals

Neutral

-2+0.26+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.5

Top-Heavy

134510

Champion Preseason Odds

13%

Djurgarden, 4th of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.18/gm

Comfortable

00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.94 * Some Luck: 2.94 to 4.41 * Lucky: 4.41 to 5.88 * Wild Swing: 5.88 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.22 * Close: 1.22 to 1.83 * Off: 1.83 to 2.44 * Way Off: 2.44 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

4.61 points

Lucky

03.679

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.33

01.524

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

100.00%

Goteborg

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

2.00%

Malmo

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.19

Lopsided

00.140.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 144.46

1.91

Wide Separation

0.951.41.652.75

Interquartile Edge

78%

Wide Edge

50%63%71.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 95%

91%

Dominant

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

53%

Some Drama

0%52%100%

Blowouts

Expected

25%

Very Frequent

0%23%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.59

Predictable

00.582

Matchup Imbalance

0.42

Lopsided

00.30.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.54

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

0.51

Some Carryover

00.380.530.691

Upset Rate

Expected

24%

As Expected

0%22%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

21%

As Expected

0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.

Probability calibration

0.96

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.88

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.085

Well Within Noise

00.1430.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Djurgarden	13.00%	17.00%	18.00%	16.00%	12.00%	13.00%	9.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Norrkoping	44.00%	24.00%	11.00%	11.00%	6.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Elfsborg	24.00%	22.00%	21.00%	18.00%	8.00%	4.00%	—	1.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Goteborg	—	4.00%	2.00%	7.00%	20.00%	19.00%	22.00%	11.00%	8.00%	—	5.00%	2.00%
AIK Stockholm	4.00%	4.00%	18.00%	12.00%	23.00%	12.00%	10.00%	12.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—
Orgryte	—	7.00%	10.00%	19.00%	10.00%	20.00%	21.00%	8.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	—
Orebro	1.00%	2.00%	—	2.00%	6.00%	16.00%	15.00%	29.00%	11.00%	15.00%	2.00%	1.00%
GAIS	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	5.00%	8.00%	25.00%	20.00%	22.00%	16.00%
Malmo	14.00%	20.00%	20.00%	12.00%	13.00%	9.00%	5.00%	5.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Helsingborg	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	5.00%	14.00%	18.00%	23.00%	19.00%	19.00%
Brage	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	6.00%	8.00%	17.00%	17.00%	28.00%	22.00%
Degerfors	—	—	—	1.00%	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	9.00%	23.00%	23.00%	40.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Djurgarden	100%	—
Elfsborg	100%	—
Malmo	100%	—
Norrkoping	100%	—
Orgryte	100%	—
AIK Stockholm	99.00%	1.00%
Orebro	97.00%	3.00%
Goteborg	93.00%	7.00%
GAIS	62.00%	38.00%
Helsingborg	62.00%	38.00%
Brage	50.00%	50.00%
Degerfors	37.00%	63.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1966-04-24	Brage	W 4-0	38.3	1499	1444	53.22%	23.89%	22.89%	+0.59	+31.0	2
1966-04-24	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-4	38.3	1444	1499	22.89%	23.89%	53.22%	-0.59	-31.0	0
1966-04-24	Orebro	W 2-1	49.5	1581	1431	62.21%	23.28%	14.51%	+1.16	+5.5	2
1966-04-24	@ Elfsborg	L 1-2	49.5	1431	1581	14.51%	23.28%	62.21%	-1.16	-5.5	0
1966-04-24	GAIS	W 2-0	38.5	1604	1379	67.55%	22.54%	9.91%	+1.62	+7.8	2
1966-04-24	@ Malmo	L 0-2	38.5	1379	1604	9.91%	22.54%	67.55%	-1.62	-7.8	0
1966-04-24	Goteborg	W 4-1	45.3	1559	1452	58.46%	23.60%	17.94%	+0.90	+16.3	2
1966-04-24	@ Norrkoping	L 1-4	45.3	1452	1559	17.94%	23.60%	58.46%	-0.90	-16.3	0
1966-04-24	Djurgarden	L 1-3	55.6	1493	1466	50.04%	23.99%	25.97%	+0.42	-26.5	0
1966-04-24	@ Orgryte	W 3-1	55.6	1466	1493	25.97%	23.99%	50.04%	-0.42	+26.5	2
1966-05-01	Helsingborg	D 2-2	60.8	1413	1338	55.28%	23.80%	20.92%	+0.71	-1.9	1
1966-05-01	@ Brage	D 2-2	60.8	1338	1413	20.92%	23.80%	55.28%	-0.71	+1.9	1
1966-05-01	Goteborg	W 2-0	40.8	1492	1436	53.35%	23.88%	22.77%	+0.60	+16.2	4
1966-05-01	@ Djurgarden	L 0-2	40.8	1436	1492	22.77%	23.88%	53.35%	-0.60	-16.2	0
1966-05-01	Degerfors	W 3-0	37.0	1586	1398	65.11%	22.93%	11.96%	+1.39	+13.5	4
1966-05-01	@ Elfsborg	L 0-3	37.0	1398	1586	11.96%	22.93%	65.11%	-1.39	-13.5	0
1966-05-01	Norrkoping	D 1-1	60.7	1371	1575	20.78%	23.52%	55.70%	-0.98	+2.6	1
1966-05-01	@ GAIS	D 1-1	60.7	1575	1371	55.70%	23.52%	20.78%	+0.98	-2.6	3
1966-05-01	AIK Stockholm	W 2-0	47.5	1611	1530	55.99%	23.76%	20.25%	+0.75	+14.7	4
1966-05-01	@ Malmo	L 0-2	47.5	1530	1611	20.25%	23.76%	55.99%	-0.75	-14.7	2
1966-05-01	Orgryte	L 2-3	58.7	1426	1467	41.10%	24.11%	34.80%	+0.01	-12.3	0
1966-05-01	@ Orebro	W 3-2	58.7	1467	1426	34.80%	24.11%	41.10%	-0.01	+12.3	2
1966-05-05	Djurgarden	W 3-0	43.8	1572	1508	54.16%	23.85%	22.00%	+0.64	+22.9	5
1966-05-05	@ Norrkoping	L 0-3	43.8	1508	1572	22.00%	23.85%	54.16%	-0.64	-22.9	4
1966-05-05	Malmo	D 1-1	66.3	1479	1626	26.94%	23.86%	49.20%	-0.63	+1.6	3
1966-05-05	@ Orgryte	D 1-1	66.3	1626	1479	49.20%	23.86%	26.94%	+0.63	-1.6	5
1966-05-08	Elfsborg	L 1-2	59.5	1515	1600	34.99%	24.06%	40.94%	-0.25	-11.4	2
1966-05-08	@ AIK Stockholm	W 2-1	59.5	1600	1515	40.94%	24.06%	34.99%	+0.25	+11.4	6
1966-05-08	GAIS	L 0-1	47.2	1385	1373	48.05%	24.04%	27.91%	+0.32	-15.6	0
1966-05-08	@ Degerfors	W 1-0	47.2	1373	1385	27.91%	24.04%	48.05%	-0.32	+15.6	3
1966-05-08	Brage	W 3-2	53.1	1419	1411	47.69%	24.05%	28.26%	+0.31	+9.2	2
1966-05-08	@ Goteborg	L 2-3	53.1	1411	1419	28.26%	24.05%	47.69%	-0.31	-9.2	1
1966-05-08	Orebro	W 3-1	46.7	1340	1413	36.56%	24.08%	39.35%	-0.19	+21.7	3
1966-05-08	@ Helsingborg	L 1-3	46.7	1413	1340	39.35%	24.08%	36.56%	+0.19	-21.7	0
1966-05-12	Elfsborg	D 2-2	71.4	1481	1611	28.95%	23.93%	47.13%	-0.53	+1.0	4
1966-05-12	@ Orgryte	D 2-2	71.4	1611	1481	47.13%	23.93%	28.95%	+0.53	-1.0	7
1966-05-15	GAIS	D 0-0	55.0	1504	1389	59.22%	23.55%	17.23%	+0.95	-3.5	3
1966-05-15	@ AIK Stockholm	D 0-0	55.0	1389	1504	17.23%	23.55%	59.22%	-0.95	+3.5	4
1966-05-15	Djurgarden	L 1-3	46.4	1369	1485	30.73%	23.98%	45.29%	-0.45	-17.9	0
1966-05-15	@ Degerfors	W 3-1	46.4	1485	1369	45.29%	23.98%	30.73%	+0.45	+17.9	6
1966-05-15	Helsingborg	W 1-0	39.9	1429	1362	54.47%	23.83%	21.69%	+0.66	+8.3	4
1966-05-15	@ Goteborg	L 0-1	39.9	1362	1429	21.69%	23.83%	54.47%	-0.66	-8.3	3
1966-05-15	Orebro	D 3-3	73.5	1625	1392	68.02%	22.45%	9.53%	+1.66	-2.9	6
1966-05-15	@ Malmo	D 3-3	73.5	1392	1625	9.53%	22.45%	68.02%	-1.66	+2.9	1
1966-05-15	Brage	W 3-1	45.2	1595	1402	65.49%	22.87%	11.64%	+1.43	+7.8	7
1966-05-15	@ Norrkoping	L 1-3	45.2	1402	1595	11.64%	22.87%	65.49%	-1.43	-7.8	1
1966-05-22	Degerfors	W 1-0	39.8	1394	1351	51.80%	23.94%	24.26%	+0.51	+9.1	3
1966-05-22	@ Brage	L 0-1	39.8	1351	1394	24.26%	23.94%	51.80%	-0.51	-9.1	0
1966-05-22	Malmo	D 2-2	75.0	1610	1622	45.12%	24.08%	30.80%	+0.19	-0.7	8
1966-05-22	@ Elfsborg	D 2-2	75.0	1622	1610	30.80%	24.08%	45.12%	-0.19	+0.7	7
1966-05-22	Orgryte	W 3-2	58.3	1392	1482	34.35%	24.06%	41.59%	-0.28	+12.4	6
1966-05-22	@ GAIS	L 2-3	58.3	1482	1392	41.59%	24.06%	34.35%	+0.28	-12.4	4
1966-05-22	Norrkoping	L 2-5	46.0	1353	1603	16.72%	23.15%	60.13%	-1.25	-13.2	3
1966-05-22	@ Helsingborg	W 5-2	46.0	1603	1353	60.13%	23.15%	16.72%	+1.25	+13.2	9
1966-05-22	Goteborg	W 2-1	49.8	1395	1437	40.94%	24.11%	34.95%	+0.00	+11.4	3
1966-05-22	@ Orebro	L 1-2	49.8	1437	1395	34.95%	24.11%	40.94%	+0.00	-11.4	4
1966-05-25	AIK Stockholm	W 1-0	48.8	1503	1500	46.99%	24.06%	28.95%	+0.27	+10.5	8
1966-05-25	@ Djurgarden	L 0-1	48.8	1500	1503	28.95%	24.06%	46.99%	-0.27	-10.5	3
1966-05-26	Helsingborg	D 0-0	50.3	1342	1340	46.84%	24.06%	29.10%	+0.27	-1.4	1
1966-05-26	@ Degerfors	D 0-0	50.3	1340	1342	29.10%	24.06%	46.84%	-0.27	+1.4	4
1966-05-26	Malmo	D 0-0	60.6	1425	1622	21.48%	23.57%	54.96%	-0.94	+2.7	5
1966-05-26	@ Goteborg	D 0-0	60.6	1622	1425	54.96%	23.57%	21.48%	+0.94	-2.7	8
1966-05-26	Orgryte	L 0-3	55.8	1616	1469	61.99%	23.30%	14.71%	+1.14	-54.5	9
1966-05-26	@ Norrkoping	W 3-0	55.8	1469	1616	14.71%	23.30%	61.99%	-1.14	+54.5	6
1966-05-30	GAIS	W 1-0	42.7	1403	1405	46.36%	24.07%	29.57%	+0.24	+10.6	5
1966-05-30	@ Brage	L 0-1	42.7	1405	1403	29.57%	24.07%	46.36%	-0.24	-10.6	6
1966-05-30	AIK Stockholm	L 2-4	48.9	1341	1490	26.69%	23.85%	49.46%	-0.65	-14.3	1
1966-05-30	@ Degerfors	W 4-2	48.9	1490	1341	49.46%	23.85%	26.69%	+0.65	+14.3	5
1966-05-30	Elfsborg	D 1-1	61.0	1342	1609	15.30%	22.98%	61.73%	-1.36	+3.5	5
1966-05-30	@ Helsingborg	D 1-1	61.0	1609	1342	61.73%	22.98%	15.30%	+1.36	-3.5	9
1966-06-01	Orebro	W 3-0	36.6	1514	1406	58.57%	23.60%	17.83%	+0.91	+19.2	10
1966-06-01	@ Djurgarden	L 0-3	36.6	1406	1514	17.83%	23.60%	58.57%	-0.91	-19.2	3
1966-06-07	Norrkoping	W 1-0	53.5	1504	1562	38.80%	24.10%	37.10%	-0.09	+12.7	7
1966-06-07	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-1	53.5	1562	1504	37.10%	24.10%	38.80%	+0.09	-12.7	9
1966-06-07	Djurgarden	D 0-0	56.0	1394	1533	27.93%	23.89%	48.17%	-0.58	+1.6	7
1966-06-07	@ GAIS	D 0-0	56.0	1533	1394	48.17%	23.89%	27.93%	+0.58	-1.6	11
1966-06-09	Brage	W 3-0	38.2	1606	1414	65.41%	22.89%	11.71%	+1.42	+13.2	11
1966-06-09	@ Elfsborg	L 0-3	38.2	1414	1606	11.71%	22.89%	65.41%	-1.42	-13.2	5
1966-06-09	Helsingborg	W 4-1	40.0	1620	1345	70.35%	21.94%	7.70%	+1.92	+7.5	10
1966-06-09	@ Malmo	L 1-4	40.0	1345	1620	7.70%	21.94%	70.35%	-1.92	-7.5	5
1966-06-09	Degerfors	W 2-1	43.6	1387	1326	53.77%	23.87%	22.36%	+0.62	+8.0	5
1966-06-09	@ Orebro	L 1-2	43.6	1326	1387	22.36%	23.87%	53.77%	-0.62	-8.0	1
1966-06-09	Goteborg	L 0-2	52.0	1524	1428	57.40%	23.67%	18.92%	+0.83	-34.8	6
1966-06-09	@ Orgryte	W 2-0	52.0	1428	1524	18.92%	23.67%	57.40%	-0.83	+34.8	7
1966-06-12	Orgryte	W 3-1	50.1	1517	1489	50.06%	23.99%	25.94%	+0.42	+15.7	9
1966-06-12	@ AIK Stockholm	L 1-3	50.1	1489	1517	25.94%	23.99%	50.06%	-0.42	-15.7	6
1966-06-12	Orebro	L 1-5	45.8	1400	1395	47.33%	24.05%	28.62%	+0.29	-46.0	5
1966-06-12	@ Brage	W 5-1	45.8	1395	1400	28.62%	24.05%	47.33%	-0.29	+46.0	7
1966-06-12	Malmo	L 0-2	37.9	1318	1627	12.49%	22.55%	64.96%	-1.61	-9.5	1
1966-06-12	@ Degerfors	W 2-0	37.9	1627	1318	64.96%	22.55%	12.49%	+1.61	+9.5	12
1966-06-12	GAIS	W 1-0	41.6	1463	1396	54.50%	23.83%	21.67%	+0.66	+8.3	9
1966-06-12	@ Goteborg	L 0-1	41.6	1396	1463	21.67%	23.83%	54.50%	-0.66	-8.3	7
1966-06-12	Djurgarden	L 2-4	48.4	1338	1531	21.82%	23.59%	54.59%	-0.91	-12.1	5
1966-06-12	@ Helsingborg	W 4-2	48.4	1531	1338	54.59%	23.59%	21.82%	+0.91	+12.1	13
1966-06-12	Elfsborg	W 2-0	53.9	1549	1619	37.01%	24.09%	38.91%	-0.17	+24.8	11
1966-06-12	@ Norrkoping	L 0-2	53.9	1619	1549	38.91%	24.09%	37.01%	+0.17	-24.8	11
1966-06-16	Brage	W 4-0	33.2	1543	1354	65.18%	22.92%	11.90%	+1.40	+17.5	15
1966-06-16	@ Djurgarden	L 0-4	33.2	1354	1543	11.90%	22.92%	65.18%	-1.40	-17.5	5
1966-06-16	Goteborg	L 2-3	70.4	1594	1471	59.97%	23.49%	16.54%	+1.00	-17.2	11
1966-06-16	@ Elfsborg	W 3-2	70.4	1471	1594	16.54%	23.49%	59.97%	-1.00	+17.2	11
1966-06-16	Norrkoping	D 2-2	74.6	1637	1574	54.05%	23.85%	22.10%	+0.64	-1.7	13
1966-06-16	@ Malmo	D 2-2	74.6	1574	1637	22.10%	23.85%	54.05%	-0.64	+1.7	12
1966-06-16	AIK Stockholm	W 1-0	51.6	1441	1532	34.00%	24.05%	41.95%	-0.30	+13.9	9
1966-06-16	@ Orebro	L 0-1	51.6	1532	1441	41.95%	24.05%	34.00%	+0.30	-14.0	9
1966-06-16	Degerfors	W 3-1	39.2	1473	1309	63.37%	23.15%	13.48%	+1.25	+8.9	8
1966-06-16	@ Orgryte	L 1-3	39.2	1309	1473	13.48%	23.15%	63.37%	-1.25	-8.9	1
1966-06-19	Helsingborg	L 2-3	58.4	1388	1326	53.94%	23.86%	22.20%	+0.63	-15.5	7
1966-06-19	@ GAIS	W 3-2	58.4	1326	1388	22.20%	23.86%	53.94%	-0.63	+15.5	7
1966-08-03	Orgryte	L 1-3	44.3	1337	1482	27.14%	23.86%	49.00%	-0.62	-16.2	5
1966-08-03	@ Brage	W 3-1	44.3	1482	1337	49.00%	23.86%	27.14%	+0.62	+16.2	10
1966-08-03	Degerfors	W 4-2	43.2	1488	1300	65.13%	22.92%	11.94%	+1.39	+7.2	13
1966-08-03	@ Goteborg	L 2-4	43.2	1300	1488	11.94%	22.92%	65.13%	-1.39	-7.2	1
1966-08-03	AIK Stockholm	D 2-2	63.3	1341	1519	23.52%	23.69%	52.79%	-0.82	+1.6	8
1966-08-03	@ Helsingborg	D 2-2	63.3	1519	1341	52.79%	23.69%	23.52%	+0.82	-1.6	10
1966-08-07	Norrkoping	L 0-3	44.5	1455	1576	30.16%	23.96%	45.87%	-0.47	-29.5	9
1966-08-07	@ Orebro	W 3-0	44.5	1576	1455	45.87%	23.96%	30.16%	+0.47	+29.6	14
1966-08-08	Malmo	W 3-0	52.4	1561	1635	36.46%	24.08%	39.46%	-0.19	+36.4	17
1966-08-08	@ Djurgarden	L 0-3	52.4	1635	1561	39.46%	24.08%	36.46%	+0.19	-36.4	13
1966-08-08	Elfsborg	L 0-2	40.8	1372	1577	20.68%	23.51%	55.81%	-0.98	-14.9	7
1966-08-08	@ GAIS	W 2-0	40.8	1577	1372	55.81%	23.51%	20.68%	+0.98	+14.9	13
1966-08-11	Malmo	W 2-1	60.4	1321	1599	14.56%	22.88%	62.57%	-1.42	+18.8	7
1966-08-11	@ Brage	L 1-2	60.4	1599	1321	62.57%	22.88%	14.56%	+1.42	-18.8	13
1966-08-11	Norrkoping	L 0-2	36.2	1293	1605	12.27%	22.51%	65.22%	-1.63	-9.4	1
1966-08-11	@ Degerfors	W 2-0	36.2	1605	1293	65.22%	22.51%	12.27%	+1.63	+9.4	16
1966-08-11	Elfsborg	D 0-0	64.8	1597	1592	47.29%	24.05%	28.66%	+0.29	-1.5	18
1966-08-11	@ Djurgarden	D 0-0	64.8	1592	1597	28.66%	24.05%	47.29%	-0.29	+1.5	14
1966-08-11	AIK Stockholm	W 2-1	55.0	1496	1517	43.80%	24.10%	32.10%	+0.13	+10.7	15
1966-08-11	@ Goteborg	L 1-2	55.0	1517	1496	32.10%	24.10%	43.80%	-0.13	-10.7	10
1966-08-11	Orgryte	D 2-2	62.7	1343	1498	25.93%	23.81%	50.26%	-0.69	+1.3	9
1966-08-11	@ Helsingborg	D 2-2	62.7	1498	1343	50.26%	23.81%	25.93%	+0.69	-1.3	11
1966-08-14	Orebro	L 0-3	38.8	1357	1425	37.29%	24.09%	38.62%	-0.16	-34.9	7
1966-08-14	@ GAIS	W 3-0	38.8	1425	1357	38.62%	24.09%	37.29%	+0.16	+34.9	11
1966-08-18	Goteborg	W 4-1	48.9	1506	1506	46.61%	24.06%	29.33%	+0.26	+24.4	12
1966-08-18	@ AIK Stockholm	L 1-4	48.9	1506	1506	29.33%	24.06%	46.61%	-0.26	-24.4	15
1966-08-18	Djurgarden	W 2-1	59.9	1594	1596	46.30%	24.07%	29.63%	+0.24	+10.0	16
1966-08-18	@ Elfsborg	L 1-2	59.9	1596	1594	29.63%	24.07%	46.30%	-0.24	-10.0	18
1966-08-18	Brage	W 3-0	33.6	1580	1340	68.45%	22.36%	9.18%	+1.71	+10.5	15
1966-08-18	@ Malmo	L 0-3	33.6	1340	1580	9.18%	22.36%	68.45%	-1.71	-10.5	7
1966-08-18	Degerfors	W 4-0	30.8	1614	1283	73.06%	21.17%	5.76%	+2.26	+8.6	18
1966-08-18	@ Norrkoping	L 0-4	30.8	1283	1614	5.76%	21.17%	73.06%	-2.26	-8.6	1
1966-08-18	GAIS	L 0-1	51.4	1460	1322	61.24%	23.38%	15.39%	+1.09	-19.6	11
1966-08-18	@ Orebro	W 1-0	51.4	1322	1460	15.39%	23.38%	61.24%	-1.09	+19.6	9
1966-08-18	Helsingborg	D 1-1	57.4	1497	1344	62.49%	23.25%	14.26%	+1.18	-3.7	12
1966-08-18	@ Orgryte	D 1-1	57.4	1344	1497	14.26%	23.25%	62.49%	-1.18	+3.7	10
1966-08-21	AIK Stockholm	L 1-2	46.2	1329	1531	21.02%	23.53%	55.45%	-0.96	-7.6	7
1966-08-21	@ Brage	W 2-1	46.2	1531	1329	55.45%	23.53%	21.02%	+0.96	+7.6	14
1966-08-21	Orgryte	W 3-0	42.9	1586	1493	57.10%	23.69%	19.21%	+0.81	+20.5	20
1966-08-21	@ Djurgarden	L 0-3	42.9	1493	1586	19.21%	23.69%	57.10%	-0.81	-20.5	12
1966-08-21	Norrkoping	D 3-3	76.2	1482	1623	27.63%	23.88%	48.49%	-0.60	+0.9	16
1966-08-21	@ Goteborg	D 3-3	76.2	1623	1482	48.49%	23.88%	27.63%	+0.60	-0.9	19
1966-08-21	Degerfors	W 4-2	43.9	1348	1275	55.12%	23.80%	21.07%	+0.70	+11.8	12
1966-08-21	@ Helsingborg	L 2-4	43.9	1275	1348	21.07%	23.80%	55.12%	-0.70	-11.8	1
1966-08-21	Elfsborg	W 3-1	59.0	1440	1604	25.08%	23.77%	51.15%	-0.73	+27.0	13
1966-08-21	@ Orebro	L 1-3	59.0	1604	1440	51.15%	23.77%	25.08%	+0.73	-27.0	16
1966-08-25	Malmo	W 3-1	57.4	1342	1590	16.82%	23.16%	60.02%	-1.25	+31.3	11
1966-08-25	@ GAIS	L 1-3	57.4	1590	1342	60.02%	23.16%	16.82%	+1.25	-31.3	15
1966-08-28	Helsingborg	D 0-0	55.3	1538	1360	64.44%	23.02%	12.54%	+1.34	-4.5	15
1966-08-28	@ AIK Stockholm	D 0-0	55.3	1360	1538	12.54%	23.02%	64.44%	-1.34	+4.5	13
1966-08-28	Goteborg	D 1-1	55.3	1263	1483	19.29%	23.40%	57.31%	-1.07	+2.8	2
1966-08-28	@ Degerfors	D 1-1	55.3	1483	1263	57.31%	23.40%	19.29%	+1.07	-2.8	17
1966-08-28	GAIS	D 1-1	61.0	1577	1373	66.16%	22.77%	11.07%	+1.49	-4.3	17
1966-08-28	@ Elfsborg	D 1-1	61.0	1373	1577	11.07%	22.77%	66.16%	-1.49	+4.3	12
1966-08-28	Orebro	W 6-1	44.5	1622	1467	62.63%	23.24%	14.14%	+1.19	+20.9	21
1966-08-28	@ Norrkoping	L 1-6	44.5	1467	1622	14.14%	23.24%	62.63%	-1.19	-20.9	13
1966-08-28	Brage	W 4-1	37.2	1473	1321	62.36%	23.26%	14.38%	+1.17	+13.4	14
1966-08-28	@ Orgryte	L 1-4	37.2	1321	1473	14.38%	23.26%	62.36%	-1.17	-13.4	7
1966-08-31	Djurgarden	L 0-2	54.2	1559	1606	40.22%	24.10%	35.67%	-0.03	-25.4	15
1966-08-31	@ Malmo	W 2-0	54.2	1606	1559	35.67%	24.10%	40.22%	+0.03	+25.5	22
1966-09-01	Norrkoping	W 3-2	69.8	1486	1643	25.81%	23.81%	50.38%	-0.69	+14.6	16
1966-09-01	@ Orgryte	L 2-3	69.8	1643	1486	50.38%	23.81%	25.81%	+0.69	-14.6	21
1966-09-04	Degerfors	W 4-1	35.0	1534	1266	70.01%	22.03%	7.96%	+1.88	+7.7	17
1966-09-04	@ AIK Stockholm	L 1-4	35.0	1266	1534	7.96%	22.03%	70.01%	-1.88	-7.7	2
1966-09-04	Helsingborg	D 3-3	70.5	1572	1364	66.48%	22.72%	10.80%	+1.51	-2.7	18
1966-09-04	@ Elfsborg	D 3-3	70.5	1364	1572	10.80%	22.72%	66.48%	-1.51	+2.7	14
1966-09-04	Brage	L 0-2	44.7	1378	1308	54.75%	23.82%	21.43%	+0.68	-33.2	12
1966-09-04	@ GAIS	W 2-0	44.7	1308	1378	21.43%	23.82%	54.75%	-0.68	+33.2	9
1966-09-04	Goteborg	L 1-2	61.3	1533	1480	53.02%	23.90%	23.09%	+0.58	-16.1	15
1966-09-04	@ Malmo	W 2-1	61.3	1480	1533	23.09%	23.90%	53.02%	-0.58	+16.1	19
1966-09-04	Djurgarden	L 1-2	54.4	1446	1632	22.67%	23.64%	53.68%	-0.86	-8.1	13
1966-09-04	@ Orebro	W 2-1	54.4	1632	1446	53.68%	23.64%	22.67%	+0.86	+8.1	24
1966-09-08	GAIS	L 1-2	65.0	1640	1344	71.42%	21.67%	6.91%	+2.04	-21.6	24
1966-09-08	@ Djurgarden	W 2-1	65.0	1344	1640	6.91%	21.67%	71.42%	-2.04	+21.6	14
1966-09-08	Orgryte	L 1-2	58.6	1496	1501	45.98%	24.07%	29.95%	+0.23	-14.2	19
1966-09-08	@ Goteborg	W 2-1	58.6	1501	1496	29.95%	24.07%	45.98%	-0.23	+14.2	18
1966-09-08	AIK Stockholm	W 6-0	46.3	1629	1541	56.57%	23.73%	19.71%	+0.78	+40.0	23
1966-09-08	@ Norrkoping	L 0-6	46.3	1541	1629	19.71%	23.73%	56.57%	-0.78	-40.0	17
1966-09-11	Elfsborg	L 0-3	36.4	1341	1570	18.52%	23.33%	58.15%	-1.12	-19.7	9
1966-09-11	@ Brage	W 3-0	36.4	1570	1341	58.15%	23.33%	18.52%	+1.12	+19.7	20
1966-09-11	Orebro	D 2-2	60.0	1258	1438	23.20%	23.67%	53.13%	-0.83	+1.6	3
1966-09-11	@ Degerfors	D 2-2	60.0	1438	1258	53.13%	23.67%	23.20%	+0.83	-1.6	14
1966-09-14	Malmo	W 1-0	50.7	1367	1517	26.52%	23.84%	49.64%	-0.65	+16.1	16
1966-09-14	@ Helsingborg	L 0-1	50.7	1517	1367	49.64%	23.84%	26.52%	+0.65	-16.1	15
1966-09-22	Djurgarden	W 1-0	57.8	1501	1618	30.67%	23.98%	45.35%	-0.45	+14.9	19
1966-09-22	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-1	57.8	1618	1501	45.35%	23.98%	30.67%	+0.45	-14.9	24
1966-09-22	Elfsborg	L 1-2	58.5	1501	1589	34.49%	24.06%	41.45%	-0.28	-11.3	15
1966-09-22	@ Malmo	W 2-1	58.5	1589	1501	41.45%	24.06%	34.49%	+0.28	+11.3	22
1966-09-22	GAIS	D 1-1	58.6	1515	1366	62.18%	23.28%	14.54%	+1.16	-3.6	19
1966-09-22	@ Orgryte	D 1-1	58.6	1366	1515	14.54%	23.28%	62.18%	-1.16	+3.6	15
1966-09-25	Brage	W 4-1	41.8	1260	1322	38.18%	24.10%	37.72%	-0.12	+29.7	5
1966-09-25	@ Degerfors	L 1-4	41.8	1322	1260	37.72%	24.10%	38.18%	+0.12	-29.7	9
1966-09-25	Orebro	W 3-2	54.4	1482	1437	52.07%	23.93%	24.00%	+0.53	+8.1	21
1966-09-25	@ Goteborg	L 2-3	54.4	1437	1482	24.00%	23.93%	52.07%	-0.53	-8.0	14
1966-09-25	Helsingborg	D 0-0	61.2	1669	1383	70.93%	21.80%	7.27%	+1.98	-5.7	24
1966-09-25	@ Norrkoping	D 0-0	61.2	1383	1669	7.27%	21.80%	70.93%	-1.98	+5.7	17
1966-10-02	Norrkoping	L 1-3	42.5	1292	1663	9.14%	21.79%	69.07%	-1.99	-6.1	9
1966-10-02	@ Brage	W 3-1	42.5	1663	1292	69.07%	21.79%	9.14%	+1.99	+6.1	26
1966-10-02	Degerfors	W 4-0	30.9	1603	1289	72.30%	21.41%	6.29%	+2.15	+9.4	26
1966-10-02	@ Djurgarden	L 0-4	30.9	1289	1603	6.29%	21.41%	72.30%	-2.15	-9.4	5
1966-10-02	Orgryte	W 2-1	54.6	1601	1512	56.77%	23.71%	19.52%	+0.79	+7.1	24
1966-10-02	@ Elfsborg	L 1-2	54.6	1512	1601	19.52%	23.71%	56.77%	-0.79	-7.1	19
1966-10-02	AIK Stockholm	L 0-1	44.0	1370	1516	26.97%	23.86%	49.18%	-0.63	-9.9	15
1966-10-02	@ GAIS	W 1-0	44.0	1516	1370	49.18%	23.86%	26.97%	+0.63	+9.9	21
1966-10-02	Goteborg	L 0-3	39.9	1388	1490	32.69%	24.03%	43.28%	-0.36	-31.5	17
1966-10-02	@ Helsingborg	W 3-0	39.9	1490	1388	43.28%	24.03%	32.69%	+0.36	+31.5	23
1966-10-02	Malmo	D 2-2	65.0	1429	1490	38.28%	24.10%	37.62%	-0.11	-0.0	15
1966-10-02	@ Orebro	D 2-2	65.0	1490	1429	37.62%	24.10%	38.28%	+0.11	+0.0	16
1966-10-09	Orebro	W 3-1	46.0	1526	1429	57.59%	23.66%	18.75%	+0.84	+12.0	23
1966-10-09	@ AIK Stockholm	L 1-3	46.0	1429	1526	18.75%	23.66%	57.59%	-0.84	-12.0	15
1966-10-09	Djurgarden	L 0-1	39.3	1286	1613	11.40%	22.34%	66.26%	-1.72	-4.6	9
1966-10-09	@ Brage	W 1-0	39.3	1613	1286	66.26%	22.34%	11.40%	+1.72	+4.6	28
1966-10-09	Orgryte	L 1-6	36.0	1280	1504	18.87%	23.36%	57.77%	-1.10	-26.7	5
1966-10-09	@ Degerfors	W 6-1	36.0	1504	1280	57.77%	23.36%	18.87%	+1.10	+26.7	21
1966-10-09	Elfsborg	D 1-1	67.0	1521	1608	34.73%	24.06%	41.21%	-0.27	+0.4	24
1966-10-09	@ Goteborg	D 1-1	67.0	1608	1521	41.21%	24.06%	34.73%	+0.27	-0.4	25
1966-10-09	GAIS	L 0-1	46.0	1357	1360	46.27%	24.07%	29.66%	+0.24	-15.1	17
1966-10-09	@ Helsingborg	W 1-0	46.0	1360	1357	29.66%	24.07%	46.27%	-0.24	+15.1	17
1966-10-09	Malmo	W 3-0	43.1	1669	1490	64.46%	23.02%	12.52%	+1.34	+14.0	28
1966-10-09	@ Norrkoping	L 0-3	43.1	1490	1669	12.52%	23.02%	64.46%	-1.34	-14.0	16
1966-10-13	Goteborg	L 1-5	42.3	1375	1522	26.94%	23.86%	49.21%	-0.63	-29.4	17
1966-10-13	@ GAIS	W 5-1	42.3	1522	1375	49.21%	23.86%	26.94%	+0.63	+29.4	26
1966-10-16	Helsingborg	W 2-0	36.8	1617	1342	70.41%	21.93%	7.66%	+1.92	+6.0	30
1966-10-16	@ Djurgarden	L 0-2	36.8	1342	1617	7.66%	21.93%	70.41%	-1.92	-6.0	17
1966-10-16	Norrkoping	W 2-1	64.8	1607	1683	36.22%	24.08%	39.70%	-0.20	+12.6	27
1966-10-16	@ Elfsborg	L 1-2	64.8	1683	1607	39.70%	24.08%	36.22%	+0.20	-12.6	28
1966-10-16	Degerfors	L 1-2	57.0	1476	1253	67.40%	22.56%	10.03%	+1.60	-20.4	16
1966-10-16	@ Malmo	W 2-1	57.0	1253	1476	10.03%	22.56%	67.40%	-1.60	+20.4	7
1966-10-16	Brage	W 2-1	41.3	1417	1281	61.05%	23.39%	15.55%	+1.08	+5.9	17
1966-10-16	@ Orebro	L 1-2	41.3	1281	1417	15.55%	23.39%	61.05%	-1.08	-5.9	9
1966-10-16	AIK Stockholm	L 1-3	58.4	1531	1538	45.70%	24.08%	30.22%	+0.21	-24.5	21
1966-10-16	@ Orgryte	W 3-1	58.4	1538	1531	30.22%	24.08%	45.70%	-0.21	+24.5	25
1966-10-20	Djurgarden	D 4-4	80.4	1551	1624	36.70%	24.08%	39.22%	-0.18	+0.1	27
1966-10-20	@ Goteborg	D 4-4	80.4	1624	1551	39.22%	24.08%	36.70%	+0.18	-0.1	31
1966-10-23	Malmo	L 1-2	63.0	1563	1456	58.50%	23.60%	17.90%	+0.90	-17.7	25
1966-10-23	@ AIK Stockholm	W 2-1	63.0	1456	1563	17.90%	23.60%	58.50%	-0.90	+17.7	18
1966-10-23	Elfsborg	L 1-4	38.3	1274	1620	10.34%	22.11%	67.55%	-1.84	-9.8	7
1966-10-23	@ Degerfors	W 4-1	38.3	1620	1274	67.55%	22.11%	10.34%	+1.84	+9.8	29
1966-10-23	Brage	L 1-5	45.1	1336	1275	53.80%	23.86%	22.34%	+0.62	-51.6	17
1966-10-23	@ Helsingborg	W 5-1	45.1	1275	1336	22.34%	23.86%	53.80%	-0.62	+51.7	11
1966-10-23	GAIS	D 0-0	60.1	1670	1345	72.79%	21.26%	5.95%	+2.22	-6.0	29
1966-10-23	@ Norrkoping	D 0-0	60.1	1345	1670	5.95%	21.26%	72.79%	-2.22	+6.0	18
1966-10-23	Orebro	D 3-3	69.9	1507	1423	56.26%	23.74%	20.00%	+0.76	-1.7	22
1966-10-23	@ Orgryte	D 3-3	69.9	1423	1507	20.00%	23.74%	56.26%	-0.76	+1.7	18
1966-10-30	Goteborg	L 0-2	37.8	1327	1551	18.87%	23.36%	57.77%	-1.10	-13.8	11
1966-10-30	@ Brage	W 2-0	37.8	1551	1327	57.77%	23.36%	18.87%	+1.10	+13.8	29
1966-10-30	Norrkoping	W 3-0	52.7	1623	1664	41.13%	24.11%	34.76%	+0.01	+33.0	33
1966-10-30	@ Djurgarden	L 0-3	52.7	1664	1623	34.76%	24.11%	41.13%	-0.01	-33.1	29
1966-10-30	AIK Stockholm	L 0-1	62.5	1630	1545	56.34%	23.74%	19.92%	+0.77	-18.1	29
1966-10-30	@ Elfsborg	W 1-0	62.5	1545	1630	19.92%	23.74%	56.34%	-0.77	+18.1	27
1966-10-30	Degerfors	W 2-0	33.5	1351	1264	56.62%	23.72%	19.66%	+0.79	+14.4	20
1966-10-30	@ GAIS	L 0-2	33.5	1264	1351	19.66%	23.72%	56.62%	-0.79	-14.4	7
1966-10-30	Orgryte	D 2-2	67.2	1473	1505	42.40%	24.10%	33.49%	+0.06	-0.5	19
1966-10-30	@ Malmo	D 2-2	67.2	1505	1473	33.49%	24.10%	42.40%	-0.06	+0.5	23
1966-10-30	Helsingborg	W 5-0	30.4	1424	1284	61.43%	23.36%	15.21%	+1.10	+26.9	20
1966-10-30	@ Orebro	L 0-5	30.4	1284	1424	15.21%	23.36%	61.43%	-1.10	-26.9	17

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1966-09-08	6.91%	GAIS	1344	2	@ Djurgarden	1640	1
2	1966-10-16	10.03%	Degerfors	1253	2	@ Malmo	1476	1
3	1966-08-11	14.56%	@ Brage	1321	2	Malmo	1599	1
4	1966-05-26	14.71%	Orgryte	1469	3	@ Norrkoping	1616	0
5	1966-08-18	15.39%	GAIS	1322	1	@ Orebro	1460	0
6	1966-06-16	16.54%	Goteborg	1471	3	@ Elfsborg	1594	2
7	1966-08-25	16.82%	@ GAIS	1342	3	Malmo	1590	1
8	1966-10-23	17.90%	Malmo	1456	2	@ AIK Stockholm	1563	1
9	1966-06-09	18.92%	Goteborg	1428	2	@ Orgryte	1524	0
10	1966-10-30	19.92%	AIK Stockholm	1545	1	@ Elfsborg	1630	0
11	1966-09-04	21.43%	Brage	1308	2	@ GAIS	1378	0
12	1966-06-19	22.20%	Helsingborg	1326	3	@ GAIS	1388	2
13	1966-10-23	22.34%	Brage	1275	5	@ Helsingborg	1336	1
14	1966-09-04	23.09%	Goteborg	1480	2	@ Malmo	1533	1
15	1966-08-21	25.08%	@ Orebro	1440	3	Elfsborg	1604	1
16	1966-09-01	25.81%	@ Orgryte	1486	3	Norrkoping	1643	2
17	1966-04-24	25.97%	Djurgarden	1466	3	@ Orgryte	1493	1
18	1966-09-14	26.52%	@ Helsingborg	1367	1	Malmo	1517	0
19	1966-05-08	27.91%	GAIS	1373	1	@ Degerfors	1385	0
20	1966-06-12	28.62%	Orebro	1395	5	@ Brage	1400	1
21	1966-10-09	29.66%	GAIS	1360	1	@ Helsingborg	1357	0
22	1966-09-08	29.95%	Orgryte	1501	2	@ Goteborg	1496	1
23	1966-10-16	30.22%	AIK Stockholm	1538	3	@ Orgryte	1531	1
24	1966-09-22	30.67%	@ AIK Stockholm	1501	1	Djurgarden	1618	0
25	1966-06-16	34.00%	@ Orebro	1441	1	AIK Stockholm	1532	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1966-05-26	54.45	Orgryte	3	1469	14.71%	@ Norrkoping	0	1616	61.99%	23.30%
2	1966-10-23	51.65	Brage	5	1275	22.34%	@ Helsingborg	1	1336	53.80%	23.86%
3	1966-06-12	46.02	Orebro	5	1395	28.62%	@ Brage	1	1400	47.33%	24.05%
4	1966-09-08	40.00	@ Norrkoping	6	1629	56.57%	AIK Stockholm	0	1541	19.71%	23.73%
5	1966-08-08	36.41	@ Djurgarden	3	1561	36.46%	Malmo	0	1635	39.46%	24.08%
6	1966-08-14	34.87	Orebro	3	1425	38.62%	@ GAIS	0	1357	37.29%	24.09%
7	1966-06-09	34.75	Goteborg	2	1428	18.92%	@ Orgryte	0	1524	57.40%	23.67%
8	1966-09-04	33.21	Brage	2	1308	21.43%	@ GAIS	0	1378	54.75%	23.82%
9	1966-10-30	33.05	@ Djurgarden	3	1623	41.13%	Norrkoping	0	1664	34.76%	24.11%
10	1966-10-02	31.49	Goteborg	3	1490	43.28%	@ Helsingborg	0	1388	32.69%	24.03%
11	1966-08-25	31.33	@ GAIS	3	1342	16.82%	Malmo	1	1590	60.02%	23.16%
12	1966-04-24	30.97	@ AIK Stockholm	4	1499	53.22%	Brage	0	1444	22.89%	23.89%
13	1966-09-25	29.66	@ Degerfors	4	1260	38.18%	Brage	1	1322	37.72%	24.10%
14	1966-08-07	29.56	Norrkoping	3	1576	45.87%	@ Orebro	0	1455	30.16%	23.96%
15	1966-10-13	29.40	Goteborg	5	1522	49.21%	@ GAIS	1	1375	26.94%	23.86%
16	1966-08-21	26.96	@ Orebro	3	1440	25.08%	Elfsborg	1	1604	51.15%	23.77%
17	1966-10-30	26.91	@ Orebro	5	1424	61.43%	Helsingborg	0	1284	15.21%	23.36%
18	1966-10-09	26.73	Orgryte	6	1504	57.77%	@ Degerfors	1	1280	18.87%	23.36%
19	1966-04-24	26.48	Djurgarden	3	1466	25.97%	@ Orgryte	1	1493	50.04%	23.99%
20	1966-08-31	25.45	Djurgarden	2	1606	35.67%	@ Malmo	0	1559	40.22%	24.10%
21	1966-06-12	24.79	@ Norrkoping	2	1549	37.01%	Elfsborg	0	1619	38.91%	24.09%
22	1966-10-16	24.47	AIK Stockholm	3	1538	30.22%	@ Orgryte	1	1531	45.70%	24.08%
23	1966-08-18	24.42	@ AIK Stockholm	4	1506	46.61%	Goteborg	1	1506	29.33%	24.06%
24	1966-05-05	22.93	@ Norrkoping	3	1572	54.16%	Djurgarden	0	1508	22.00%	23.85%
25	1966-05-08	21.66	@ Helsingborg	3	1340	36.56%	Orebro	1	1413	39.35%	24.08%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1966-10-20	80.4	@ Goteborg	4	1551	36.70%	Djurgarden	4	1624	39.22%	24.08%
2	1966-08-21	76.2	@ Goteborg	3	1482	27.63%	Norrkoping	3	1623	48.49%	23.88%
3	1966-05-22	75.0	@ Elfsborg	2	1610	45.12%	Malmo	2	1622	30.80%	24.08%
4	1966-06-16	74.6	@ Malmo	2	1637	54.05%	Norrkoping	2	1574	22.10%	23.85%
5	1966-05-15	73.5	@ Malmo	3	1625	68.02%	Orebro	3	1392	9.53%	22.45%
6	1966-05-12	71.4	@ Orgryte	2	1481	28.95%	Elfsborg	2	1611	47.13%	23.93%
7	1966-09-04	70.5	@ Elfsborg	3	1572	66.48%	Helsingborg	3	1364	10.80%	22.72%
8	1966-06-16	70.4	Goteborg	3	1471	16.54%	@ Elfsborg	2	1594	59.97%	23.49%
9	1966-10-23	69.9	@ Orgryte	3	1507	56.26%	Orebro	3	1423	20.00%	23.74%
10	1966-09-01	69.8	@ Orgryte	3	1486	25.81%	Norrkoping	2	1643	50.38%	23.81%
11	1966-10-30	67.2	@ Malmo	2	1473	42.40%	Orgryte	2	1505	33.49%	24.10%
12	1966-10-09	67.0	@ Goteborg	1	1521	34.73%	Elfsborg	1	1608	41.21%	24.06%
13	1966-05-05	66.3	@ Orgryte	1	1479	26.94%	Malmo	1	1626	49.20%	23.86%
14	1966-09-08	65.0	GAIS	2	1344	6.91%	@ Djurgarden	1	1640	71.42%	21.67%
15	1966-10-02	65.0	@ Orebro	2	1429	38.28%	Malmo	2	1490	37.62%	24.10%
16	1966-08-11	64.8	@ Djurgarden	0	1597	47.29%	Elfsborg	0	1592	28.66%	24.05%
17	1966-10-16	64.8	@ Elfsborg	2	1607	36.22%	Norrkoping	1	1683	39.70%	24.08%
18	1966-08-03	63.3	@ Helsingborg	2	1341	23.52%	AIK Stockholm	2	1519	52.79%	23.69%
19	1966-10-23	63.0	Malmo	2	1456	17.90%	@ AIK Stockholm	1	1563	58.50%	23.60%
20	1966-08-11	62.7	@ Helsingborg	2	1343	25.93%	Orgryte	2	1498	50.26%	23.81%
21	1966-10-30	62.5	AIK Stockholm	1	1545	19.92%	@ Elfsborg	0	1630	56.34%	23.74%
22	1966-09-04	61.3	Goteborg	2	1480	23.09%	@ Malmo	1	1533	53.02%	23.90%
23	1966-09-25	61.2	@ Norrkoping	0	1669	70.93%	Helsingborg	0	1383	7.27%	21.80%
24	1966-05-30	61.0	@ Helsingborg	1	1342	15.30%	Elfsborg	1	1609	61.73%	22.98%
25	1966-08-28	61.0	@ Elfsborg	1	1577	66.16%	GAIS	1	1373	11.07%	22.77%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1966-10-30	30.4	@ Orebro	5	1424	61.43%	Helsingborg	0	1284	15.21%	23.36%
2	1966-08-18	30.8	@ Norrkoping	4	1614	73.06%	Degerfors	0	1283	5.76%	21.17%
3	1966-10-02	30.9	@ Djurgarden	4	1603	72.30%	Degerfors	0	1289	6.29%	21.41%
4	1966-06-16	33.2	@ Djurgarden	4	1543	65.18%	Brage	0	1354	11.90%	22.92%
5	1966-10-30	33.5	@ GAIS	2	1351	56.62%	Degerfors	0	1264	19.66%	23.72%
6	1966-08-18	33.6	@ Malmo	3	1580	68.45%	Brage	0	1340	9.18%	22.36%
7	1966-09-04	35.0	@ AIK Stockholm	4	1534	70.01%	Degerfors	1	1266	7.96%	22.03%
8	1966-10-09	36.0	Orgryte	6	1504	57.77%	@ Degerfors	1	1280	18.87%	23.36%
9	1966-08-11	36.2	Norrkoping	2	1605	65.22%	@ Degerfors	0	1293	12.27%	22.51%
10	1966-09-11	36.4	Elfsborg	3	1570	58.15%	@ Brage	0	1341	18.52%	23.33%
11	1966-06-01	36.6	@ Djurgarden	3	1514	58.57%	Orebro	0	1406	17.83%	23.60%
12	1966-10-16	36.8	@ Djurgarden	2	1617	70.41%	Helsingborg	0	1342	7.66%	21.93%
13	1966-05-01	37.0	@ Elfsborg	3	1586	65.11%	Degerfors	0	1398	11.96%	22.93%
14	1966-08-28	37.2	@ Orgryte	4	1473	62.36%	Brage	1	1321	14.38%	23.26%
15	1966-10-30	37.8	Goteborg	2	1551	57.77%	@ Brage	0	1327	18.87%	23.36%
16	1966-06-12	37.9	Malmo	2	1627	64.96%	@ Degerfors	0	1318	12.49%	22.55%
17	1966-06-09	38.2	@ Elfsborg	3	1606	65.41%	Brage	0	1414	11.71%	22.89%
18	1966-04-24	38.3	@ AIK Stockholm	4	1499	53.22%	Brage	0	1444	22.89%	23.89%
19	1966-10-23	38.3	Elfsborg	4	1620	67.55%	@ Degerfors	1	1274	10.34%	22.11%
20	1966-04-24	38.5	@ Malmo	2	1604	67.55%	GAIS	0	1379	9.91%	22.54%
21	1966-08-14	38.8	Orebro	3	1425	38.62%	@ GAIS	0	1357	37.29%	24.09%
22	1966-06-16	39.2	@ Orgryte	3	1473	63.37%	Degerfors	1	1309	13.48%	23.15%
23	1966-10-09	39.3	Djurgarden	1	1613	66.26%	@ Brage	0	1286	11.40%	22.34%
24	1966-05-22	39.8	@ Brage	1	1394	51.80%	Degerfors	0	1351	24.26%	23.94%
25	1966-05-15	39.9	@ Goteborg	1	1429	54.47%	Helsingborg	0	1362	21.69%	23.83%