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1974 Allsvenskan Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Malmo

43 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Malmo

10.35 points above expected

43 points · 32.65 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Brynas

11.08 points below expected

12 points · 23.08 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Malmo 26 19 5 2 43 48 15 +33 32.65 +10.35
2 AIK Stockholm 26 15 4 7 34 40 28 +12 32.37 +1.63
3 Oster 26 13 7 6 33 55 26 +29 29.89 +3.11
4 GAIS 26 12 5 9 29 44 40 +4 24.93 +4.07
5 Atvidaberg 26 11 5 10 27 48 40 +8 29.90 -2.90
6 Elfsborg 26 10 6 10 26 55 43 +12 26.33 -0.33
7 Landskrona 26 11 4 11 26 43 36 +7 28.10 -2.10
8 Djurgarden 26 9 8 9 26 44 38 +6 27.50 -1.50
9 Hammarby 26 10 5 11 25 37 44 -7 24.03 +0.97
10 Orebro 26 8 7 11 23 42 50 -8 24.87 -1.87
11 Halmstad 26 7 9 10 23 28 38 -10 19.54 +3.46
12 Norrkoping 26 7 7 12 21 39 60 -21 23.54 -2.54
13 Sirius 26 4 8 14 16 28 57 -29 17.27 -1.27
14 Brynas 26 2 8 16 12 27 63 -36 23.08 -11.08

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Malmo 43 32.65 +10.35
2 GAIS 29 24.93 +4.07
3 Halmstad 23 19.54 +3.46
4 Oster 33 29.89 +3.11
5 AIK Stockholm 34 32.37 +1.63

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Brynas 12 23.08 -11.08
2 Atvidaberg 27 29.90 -2.90
3 Norrkoping 21 23.54 -2.54
4 Landskrona 26 28.10 -2.10
5 Orebro 23 24.87 -1.87

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Malmo 11 Jul 25 – Sep 15 1 in 1,422
2 GAIS 4 Sep 29 – Oct 27 1 in 72
3 Halmstad 3 Apr 13 – Apr 28 1 in 52
4 Oster 5 Sep 8 – Sep 29 1 in 43
5 AIK Stockholm 4 May 14 – May 30 1 in 34

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Landskrona 5 Aug 29 – Sep 22 1 in 424
2 Oster 3 Jul 25 – Aug 4 1 in 130
3 Brynas 5 Sep 8 – Sep 29 1 in 32
4 Norrkoping 3 Apr 21 – May 5 1 in 25
5 Atvidaberg 3 Sep 15 – Sep 29 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Malmo 18 May 26 – Oct 27 1 in 101
2 GAIS 6 Apr 28 – May 19 1 in 34
3 Landskrona 8 May 12 – Aug 4 1 in 26
4 Djurgarden 7 May 27 – Aug 15 1 in 19
5 Halmstad 4 Aug 22 – Sep 8 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Brynas 14 Apr 28 – Aug 22 1 in 744
2 Orebro 8 Apr 13 – May 19 1 in 62
3 Oster 6 May 27 – Aug 11 1 in 38
4 Landskrona 6 Aug 29 – Sep 29 1 in 26
5 Norrkoping 8 May 30 – Aug 25 1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Malmo 1626 43 +41 7 7.3 -0.3
AIK Stockholm 1494 34 -43 5 6.8 -1.8
Oster 1562 33 +57 8 5.9 +2.1
GAIS 1457 29 +81 8 5.3 +2.7
Atvidaberg 1418 27 -8 3 5.2 -2.2
Djurgarden 1444 26 +20 7 5.3 +1.7
Elfsborg 1456 26 +17 6 5.4 +0.6
Landskrona 1431 26 -14 5 6.0 -1.0
Hammarby 1356 25 -51 4 4.0 -0.0
Orebro 1367 23 -21 4 4.5 -0.5
Halmstad 1292 23 -6 3 3.7 -0.7
Norrkoping 1313 21 +15 5 4.0 +1.0
Sirius 1155 16 -30 4 2.9 +1.1
Brynas 1216 12 -58 1 3.8 -2.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS ATV BRY DJU ELF GAI HAL HAM LAN MAL NOR ORE OST SIR
AIK Stockholm —
1-0-1
2.88
1-1-0
3.75
2-0-0
3.15
2-0-0
3.45
1-0-1
3.53
1-0-1
4.19
1-0-1
3.86
1-0-1
3.25
1-0-1
2.66
2-0-0
3.92
1-1-0
3.79
1-0-1
2.90
0-2-0
4.18
Atvidaberg
1-0-1
2.61
—
1-1-0
3.70
1-0-1
2.74
1-1-0
2.87
1-0-1
3.22
0-1-1
3.89
0-1-1
3.17
2-0-0
2.85
0-0-2
2.65
0-1-1
3.66
2-0-0
3.30
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
4.15
Brynas
0-1-1
1.75
0-1-1
1.81
—
0-0-2
2.15
0-1-1
2.38
0-2-0
2.68
0-1-1
3.16
0-0-2
2.82
0-0-2
2.55
0-0-2
1.68
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.68
0-0-2
2.32
0-2-0
3.29
Djurgarden
0-0-2
2.35
1-0-1
2.76
2-0-0
3.34
—
1-0-1
2.98
0-0-2
3.11
0-2-0
3.53
1-0-1
3.47
1-1-0
2.38
0-1-1
2.43
1-1-0
3.28
0-1-1
3.13
0-2-0
2.39
2-0-0
3.98
Elfsborg
0-0-2
2.06
0-1-1
2.61
1-1-0
3.11
1-0-1
2.51
—
1-1-0
2.83
1-1-0
3.51
1-0-1
2.75
1-0-1
2.38
0-0-2
2.00
2-0-0
2.81
1-0-1
2.97
1-1-0
2.53
0-1-1
3.77
GAIS
1-0-1
1.97
1-0-1
2.29
0-2-0
2.82
2-0-0
2.39
0-1-1
2.66
—
1-1-0
3.23
1-0-1
2.80
1-0-1
2.41
0-0-2
1.89
0-1-1
2.88
2-0-0
2.53
1-0-1
1.96
2-0-0
3.70
Halmstad
1-0-1
1.34
1-1-0
1.63
1-1-0
2.33
0-2-0
1.98
0-1-1
1.99
0-1-1
2.27
—
1-0-1
2.38
1-1-0
2.01
0-0-2
1.43
1-0-1
2.41
0-1-1
2.28
0-0-2
1.79
1-1-0
2.86
Hammarby
1-0-1
1.65
1-1-0
2.32
2-0-0
2.68
1-0-1
2.03
1-0-1
2.75
1-0-1
2.69
1-0-1
3.12
—
0-1-1
2.20
0-0-2
1.86
0-2-0
2.64
0-0-2
2.91
0-1-1
2.12
2-0-0
3.44
Landskrona
1-0-1
2.25
0-0-2
2.64
2-0-0
2.97
0-1-1
3.12
1-0-1
3.11
1-0-1
3.09
0-1-1
3.49
1-1-0
3.31
—
1-0-1
2.18
1-0-1
3.28
1-0-1
3.43
1-1-0
2.10
1-0-1
4.14
Malmo
1-0-1
2.84
2-0-0
2.84
2-0-0
3.85
1-1-0
3.08
2-0-0
3.50
2-0-0
3.62
2-0-0
4.10
2-0-0
3.64
1-0-1
3.32
—
1-1-0
4.12
1-1-0
3.32
1-1-0
3.04
1-1-0
4.58
Norrkoping
0-0-2
1.59
1-1-0
1.84
1-0-1
3.04
0-1-1
2.22
0-0-2
2.70
1-1-0
2.62
1-0-1
3.09
0-2-0
2.85
1-0-1
2.23
0-1-1
1.40
—
1-1-0
2.59
0-0-2
2.12
1-0-1
3.71
Orebro
0-1-1
1.72
0-0-2
2.19
1-0-1
2.81
1-1-0
2.36
1-0-1
2.52
0-0-2
2.97
1-1-0
3.22
2-0-0
2.59
1-0-1
2.07
0-1-1
2.19
0-1-1
2.90
—
0-1-1
2.05
1-1-0
3.49
Oster
1-0-1
2.59
1-0-1
2.79
2-0-0
3.17
0-2-0
3.10
0-1-1
2.97
1-0-1
3.55
2-0-0
3.71
1-1-0
3.39
0-1-1
3.39
0-1-1
2.46
2-0-0
3.38
1-1-0
3.45
—
2-0-0
3.86
Sirius
0-2-0
1.35
1-0-1
1.37
0-2-0
2.21
0-0-2
1.54
1-1-0
1.75
0-0-2
1.80
0-1-1
2.64
0-0-2
2.06
1-0-1
1.39
0-1-1
0.97
1-0-1
1.80
0-1-1
2.01
0-0-2
1.65
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.45 +5.6
Allowed 0.88 -5.4
Differential 0.87 +3.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.59%7.14%5.22%2.20%1.10%3.02%25.27%
17.14%10.44%5.77%4.12%1.65%1.10%30.22%
25.22%5.77%4.40%4.12%0.82%1.37%21.70%
32.20%4.12%4.12%2.75%0.27%—13.46%
41.10%1.65%0.82%0.27%——3.85%
5+3.02%1.10%1.37%———5.49%
Total25.27%30.22%21.70%13.46%3.85%5.49%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.59 +0.00
SD 1.44 1.44 2.17
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%3.85%——3.85%23.08%
119.23%3.85%3.85%———26.92%
215.38%3.85%7.69%3.85%——30.77%
33.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+———————
Total42.31%26.92%23.08%3.85%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 1.08 +0.46
SD 1.21 1.35 1.88
CV 0.78 1.26 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%7.69%——3.85%23.08%
13.85%19.23%7.69%3.85%——34.62%
23.85%7.69%——3.85%—15.38%
3——11.54%———11.54%
4———————
5+3.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
Total11.54%46.15%30.77%3.85%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 1.54 +0.31
SD 1.87 1.14 2.33
CV 1.01 0.74 —
Max 7 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%15.38%——11.54%38.46%
1—15.38%3.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%34.62%
2——7.69%7.69%——15.38%
3——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total7.69%23.08%30.77%15.38%7.69%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 2.42 -1.38
SD 1.11 1.60 2.12
CV 1.07 0.66 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%—11.54%———19.23%
1—11.54%3.85%11.54%—3.85%30.77%
211.54%3.85%7.69%3.85%——26.92%
33.85%7.69%—3.85%——15.38%
4———————
5+7.69%—————7.69%
Total30.77%23.08%23.08%19.23%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.46 +0.23
SD 1.38 1.33 2.20
CV 0.81 0.91 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%—3.85%——23.08%
1—11.54%—3.85%——15.38%
23.85%—7.69%3.85%7.69%—23.08%
33.85%7.69%3.85%—3.85%—19.23%
4—7.69%————7.69%
5+—3.85%7.69%———11.54%
Total11.54%46.15%19.23%11.54%11.54%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.12 1.65 +0.46
SD 1.73 1.20 2.02
CV 0.82 0.72 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%—3.85%—3.85%23.08%
13.85%3.85%7.69%——7.69%23.08%
23.85%15.38%7.69%3.85%——30.77%
3—15.38%————15.38%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total23.08%42.31%15.38%7.69%—11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.54 +0.15
SD 1.44 1.53 2.43
CV 0.85 0.99 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%—3.85%3.85%—26.92%
111.54%23.08%3.85%3.85%3.85%—46.15%
23.85%7.69%—7.69%——19.23%
3——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.08%42.31%7.69%19.23%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.46 -0.38
SD 0.89 1.27 1.42
CV 0.83 0.87 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%7.69%—3.85%7.69%34.62%
17.69%11.54%7.69%———26.92%
27.69%3.85%———3.85%15.38%
3—3.85%7.69%3.85%——15.38%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total23.08%30.77%26.92%3.85%3.85%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.69 -0.27
SD 1.53 1.57 2.39
CV 1.07 0.93 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%3.85%———19.23%
17.69%3.85%11.54%7.69%——30.77%
27.69%3.85%3.85%7.69%—3.85%26.92%
37.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total38.46%19.23%23.08%15.38%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 1.38 +0.27
SD 1.29 1.60 2.16
CV 0.78 1.16 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%3.85%————19.23%
126.92%—3.85%———30.77%
211.54%7.69%————19.23%
37.69%—7.69%3.85%——19.23%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+7.69%—————7.69%
Total69.23%11.54%11.54%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 0.58 +1.27
SD 1.57 0.99 1.59
CV 0.85 1.71 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—11.54%3.85%7.69%3.85%30.77%
13.85%7.69%7.69%—7.69%—26.92%
2—7.69%3.85%——3.85%15.38%
33.85%—3.85%11.54%——19.23%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total11.54%19.23%30.77%15.38%15.38%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.31 -0.81
SD 1.42 1.54 2.28
CV 0.95 0.67 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—3.85%11.54%——19.23%
13.85%11.54%7.69%———23.08%
2—11.54%7.69%15.38%—3.85%38.46%
3—7.69%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total7.69%34.62%23.08%30.77%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.92 -0.31
SD 1.10 1.16 1.62
CV 0.68 0.61 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%3.85%3.85%3.85%——26.92%
13.85%11.54%7.69%3.85%——26.92%
23.85%3.85%————7.69%
3—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
43.85%7.69%————11.54%
5+11.54%—7.69%———19.23%
Total38.46%30.77%23.08%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.12 1.00 +1.12
SD 2.01 0.98 2.34
CV 0.95 0.98 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%3.85%——7.69%26.92%
17.69%11.54%3.85%19.23%3.85%—46.15%
2—3.85%7.69%3.85%—3.85%19.23%
3—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%26.92%15.38%26.92%3.85%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 2.19 -1.12
SD 0.89 1.72 1.93
CV 0.83 0.78 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Malmo 1626 43 32.65 +10.35 100.0% 24 27 30 33 35 38 41
Oster 1562 33 29.89 +3.11 77.0% 17 23 27 30 33 37 38
AIK Stockholm 1494 34 32.37 +1.63 68.0% 22 25 30 33 35 37 40
GAIS 1457 29 24.93 +4.07 85.0% 14 17 22 25 28 31 36
Elfsborg 1456 26 26.33 -0.33 55.0% 18 20 24 26 29 32 38
Djurgarden 1444 26 27.50 -1.50 36.0% 17 21 25 28 30 34 39
Landskrona 1431 26 28.10 -2.10 29.0% 20 22 26 28 30 33 36
Atvidaberg 1418 27 29.90 -2.90 26.0% 18 22 27 30 33 37 40
Orebro 1367 23 24.87 -1.87 42.0% 15 19 22 25 27 31 35
Hammarby 1356 25 24.03 +0.97 62.0% 12 17 21 24 27 31 37
Norrkoping 1313 21 23.54 -2.54 30.0% 15 17 21 24 26 28 33
Halmstad 1292 23 19.54 +3.46 81.0% 10 12 16 19 22 27 31
Brynas 1216 12 23.08 -11.08 0.0% 14 17 21 23 25 29 31
Sirius 1155 16 17.27 -1.27 45.0% 8 11 14 17 20 23 29

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+25.27%
Strong Edge
50.55%24.18%25.27%
Elo Value
Home Edge
168 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
089.76500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.63 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.53+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.4
Open
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
31%
Malmo, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.35/gm
Runaway
00.100.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.17 * Some Luck: 3.17 to 4.75 * Lucky: 4.75 to 6.34 * Wild Swing: 6.34 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.79 * Close: 1.79 to 2.68 * Off: 2.68 to 3.58 * Way Off: 3.58 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.62 points
Some Luck
03.9610
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.43
Pinpoint
02.245
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
100.00%
Malmo
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
0.00%
Brynas
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Even
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 127.57
1.71
Strong Separation
0.951.41.652.75
Interquartile Edge
68%
Clear Edge
50%63%71.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 93%
94%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
59%
Frequent
0%51%100%
Blowouts
Expected
21%
Frequent
0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.45
Lopsided
00.30.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.59
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.38
Some Carryover
00.380.530.691
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
As Expected
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Solid Favorites
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.28
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.86
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.098
Well Within Noise
00.1120.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Malmo31.00%24.00%19.00%7.00%7.00%5.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%—————
AIK Stockholm31.00%22.00%18.00%11.00%3.00%3.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%—1.00%——
Oster14.00%17.00%13.00%6.00%14.00%7.00%13.00%3.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%—1.00%1.00%
GAIS2.00%2.00%3.00%9.00%5.00%7.00%7.00%15.00%8.00%15.00%10.00%9.00%4.00%4.00%
Atvidaberg12.00%13.00%17.00%18.00%13.00%5.00%6.00%2.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%—
Elfsborg2.00%6.00%8.00%8.00%7.00%10.00%13.00%16.00%9.00%6.00%6.00%6.00%3.00%—
Landskrona1.00%9.00%9.00%16.00%12.00%16.00%11.00%10.00%8.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%——
Djurgarden5.00%3.00%8.00%12.00%14.00%13.00%10.00%8.00%7.00%6.00%8.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%
Hammarby1.00%3.00%—4.00%7.00%8.00%7.00%10.00%9.00%16.00%8.00%11.00%13.00%3.00%
Orebro1.00%1.00%3.00%6.00%7.00%8.00%8.00%12.00%13.00%8.00%15.00%14.00%3.00%1.00%
Halmstad————1.00%4.00%5.00%6.00%3.00%4.00%6.00%13.00%31.00%27.00%
Norrkoping——1.00%1.00%5.00%8.00%3.00%11.00%16.00%13.00%14.00%16.00%8.00%4.00%
Sirius———1.00%1.00%———3.00%4.00%6.00%10.00%25.00%50.00%
Brynas——1.00%1.00%4.00%6.00%8.00%3.00%10.00%16.00%19.00%13.00%10.00%9.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
AIK Stockholm 100% —
Landskrona 100% —
Malmo 100% —
Atvidaberg 99.00% 1.00%
Djurgarden 98.00% 2.00%
Oster 98.00% 2.00%
Elfsborg 97.00% 3.00%
Orebro 96.00% 4.00%
GAIS 92.00% 8.00%
Norrkoping 88.00% 12.00%
Hammarby 84.00% 16.00%
Brynas 81.00% 19.00%
Halmstad 42.00% 58.00%
Sirius 25.00% 75.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1974-04-13 Orebro D 1-157.2 1467 1396 60.96% 24.80% 14.24%+0.96 -3.1 1
1974-04-13 @ Djurgarden D 1-157.2 1396 1467 14.24% 24.80% 60.96%-0.96 +3.1 1
1974-04-13 Atvidaberg L 0-147.9 1366 1448 44.94% 25.64% 29.42%+0.05 -12.9 0
1974-04-13 @ Elfsborg W 1-047.9 1448 1366 29.42% 25.64% 44.94%-0.05 +12.9 2
1974-04-13 AIK Stockholm L 0-145.5 1336 1469 37.97% 25.59% 36.45%-0.26 -11.3 0
1974-04-13 @ GAIS W 1-045.5 1469 1336 36.45% 25.59% 37.97%+0.26 +11.3 2
1974-04-13 Brynas W 2-149.3 1277 1438 34.10% 25.49% 40.41%-0.42 +11.2 2
1974-04-13 @ Halmstad L 1-249.3 1438 1277 40.41% 25.49% 34.10%+0.42 -11.2 0
1974-04-13 Hammarby W 1-038.2 1445 1366 61.54% 24.73% 13.73%+1.00 +5.0 2
1974-04-13 @ Malmo L 0-138.2 1366 1445 13.73% 24.73% 61.54%-1.00 -5.0 0
1974-04-13 Sirius W 2-139.2 1463 1274 68.88% 23.26% 7.86%+1.66 +2.8 2
1974-04-13 @ Norrkoping L 1-239.2 1274 1463 7.86% 23.26% 68.88%-1.66 -2.8 0
1974-04-13 Landskrona D 0-052.8 1455 1390 60.48% 24.86% 14.66%+0.92 -3.4 1
1974-04-13 @ Oster D 0-052.8 1390 1455 14.66% 24.86% 60.48%-0.92 +3.4 1
1974-04-21 Oster W 2-147.8 1480 1452 57.23% 25.18% 17.59%+0.70 +5.8 4
1974-04-21 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-247.8 1452 1480 17.59% 25.18% 57.23%-0.70 -5.8 1
1974-04-21 GAIS W 5-134.8 1461 1324 65.72% 24.04% 10.25%+1.34 +11.3 4
1974-04-21 @ Atvidaberg L 1-534.8 1324 1461 10.25% 24.04% 65.72%-1.34 -11.3 0
1974-04-21 Norrkoping W 4-038.2 1427 1466 50.15% 25.55% 24.30%+0.30 +28.7 2
1974-04-21 @ Brynas L 0-438.2 1466 1427 24.30% 25.55% 50.15%-0.30 -28.7 2
1974-04-21 Elfsborg W 4-244.7 1361 1353 55.28% 25.32% 19.40%+0.58 +9.8 2
1974-04-21 @ Hammarby L 2-444.7 1353 1361 19.40% 25.32% 55.28%-0.58 -9.8 0
1974-04-21 Halmstad L 2-360.5 1393 1288 63.54% 24.43% 12.02%+1.16 -16.0 1
1974-04-21 @ Landskrona W 3-260.5 1288 1393 12.02% 24.43% 63.54%-1.16 +16.0 4
1974-04-21 Malmo D 0-052.7 1399 1450 48.80% 25.58% 25.62%+0.23 -1.6 2
1974-04-21 @ Orebro D 0-052.7 1450 1399 25.62% 25.58% 48.80%-0.23 +1.6 3
1974-04-21 Djurgarden L 1-344.0 1272 1464 29.95% 25.32% 44.73%-0.61 -15.4 0
1974-04-21 @ Sirius W 3-144.0 1464 1272 44.73% 25.32% 29.95%+0.61 +15.4 3
1974-04-27 Malmo L 0-252.0 1479 1451 57.19% 25.18% 17.63%+0.70 -30.3 3
1974-04-27 @ Djurgarden W 2-052.0 1451 1479 17.63% 25.18% 57.19%-0.70 +30.3 5
1974-04-28 Brynas D 2-264.8 1486 1456 57.41% 25.16% 17.43%+0.71 -1.9 5
1974-04-28 @ AIK Stockholm D 2-264.8 1456 1486 17.43% 25.16% 57.41%-0.71 +1.9 3
1974-04-28 Sirius W 3-137.9 1313 1256 59.77% 24.94% 15.29%+0.87 +8.9 2
1974-04-28 @ GAIS L 1-337.9 1256 1313 15.29% 24.94% 59.77%-0.87 -8.9 0
1974-04-28 Hammarby W 1-040.3 1304 1371 46.82% 25.62% 27.56%+0.14 +8.9 6
1974-04-28 @ Halmstad L 0-140.3 1371 1304 27.56% 25.62% 46.82%-0.14 -8.9 2
1974-04-28 Atvidaberg L 2-357.9 1377 1472 43.23% 25.64% 31.13%-0.03 -11.2 1
1974-04-28 @ Landskrona W 3-257.9 1472 1377 31.13% 25.64% 43.23%+0.03 +11.2 6
1974-04-28 Elfsborg L 0-347.3 1437 1343 62.75% 24.56% 12.69%+1.09 -48.2 2
1974-04-28 @ Norrkoping W 3-047.3 1343 1437 12.69% 24.56% 62.75%-1.09 +48.2 2
1974-04-28 Orebro D 1-156.6 1446 1397 59.04% 25.02% 15.94%+0.82 -2.8 2
1974-04-28 @ Oster D 1-156.6 1397 1446 15.94% 25.02% 59.04%-0.82 +2.8 3
1974-05-05 Djurgarden W 5-141.4 1483 1449 57.77% 25.13% 17.10%+0.74 +17.9 8
1974-05-05 @ Atvidaberg L 1-541.4 1449 1483 17.10% 25.13% 57.77%-0.74 -17.9 3
1974-05-05 Landskrona L 0-250.2 1457 1366 62.56% 24.59% 12.85%+1.08 -33.1 3
1974-05-05 @ Brynas W 2-050.2 1366 1457 12.85% 24.59% 62.56%-1.08 +33.1 3
1974-05-05 Halmstad W 4-136.3 1392 1313 61.55% 24.73% 13.72%+1.00 +11.5 4
1974-05-05 @ Elfsborg L 1-436.3 1313 1392 13.72% 24.73% 61.55%-1.00 -11.5 6
1974-05-05 Oster D 1-155.4 1362 1443 45.08% 25.63% 29.28%+0.05 -0.9 3
1974-05-05 @ Hammarby D 1-155.4 1443 1362 29.28% 25.63% 45.08%-0.05 +1.0 3
1974-05-05 Norrkoping W 2-036.6 1482 1389 62.64% 24.58% 12.79%+1.08 +8.8 7
1974-05-05 @ Malmo L 0-236.6 1389 1482 12.79% 24.58% 62.64%-1.08 -8.8 2
1974-05-05 GAIS L 1-255.6 1400 1322 61.54% 24.73% 13.73%+1.00 -16.3 3
1974-05-05 @ Orebro W 2-155.6 1322 1400 13.73% 24.73% 61.54%-1.00 +16.3 4
1974-05-05 AIK Stockholm D 1-154.2 1247 1484 24.69% 24.98% 50.33%-0.87 +1.6 1
1974-05-05 @ Sirius D 1-154.2 1484 1247 50.33% 24.98% 24.69%+0.87 -1.6 6
1974-05-07 Hammarby W 2-035.1 1431 1361 60.84% 24.82% 14.34%+0.95 +9.7 5
1974-05-07 @ Djurgarden L 0-235.1 1361 1431 14.34% 24.82% 60.84%-0.95 -9.7 3
1974-05-09 Atvidaberg W 1-046.4 1482 1501 52.45% 25.47% 22.09%+0.42 +7.4 8
1974-05-09 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-146.4 1501 1482 22.09% 25.47% 52.45%-0.42 -7.4 8
1974-05-09 Landskrona W 2-145.6 1338 1399 47.56% 25.61% 26.83%+0.17 +8.2 6
1974-05-09 @ GAIS L 1-245.6 1399 1338 26.83% 25.61% 47.56%-0.17 -8.2 3
1974-05-09 Sirius D 1-152.5 1302 1249 59.43% 24.98% 15.59%+0.85 -2.9 7
1974-05-09 @ Halmstad D 1-152.5 1249 1302 15.59% 24.98% 59.43%-0.85 +2.9 2
1974-05-09 Elfsborg W 4-353.1 1490 1403 62.24% 24.63% 13.13%+1.05 +4.1 9
1974-05-09 @ Malmo L 3-453.1 1403 1490 13.13% 24.63% 62.24%-1.05 -4.2 4
1974-05-09 Orebro W 3-249.1 1380 1384 54.06% 25.39% 20.55%+0.51 +6.3 4
1974-05-09 @ Norrkoping L 2-349.1 1384 1380 20.55% 25.39% 54.06%-0.51 -6.3 3
1974-05-09 Brynas W 2-038.4 1444 1424 56.39% 25.24% 18.37%+0.65 +12.0 5
1974-05-09 @ Oster L 0-238.4 1424 1444 18.37% 25.24% 56.39%-0.65 -12.0 3
1974-05-12 Malmo L 0-156.2 1494 1495 54.34% 25.37% 20.28%+0.53 -15.3 8
1974-05-12 @ Atvidaberg W 1-056.2 1495 1494 20.28% 25.37% 54.34%-0.53 +15.3 11
1974-05-12 GAIS D 0-050.9 1412 1346 60.54% 24.85% 14.61%+0.92 -3.4 4
1974-05-12 @ Brynas D 0-050.9 1346 1412 14.61% 24.85% 60.54%-0.92 +3.4 7
1974-05-12 Djurgarden W 3-144.7 1399 1441 49.84% 25.56% 24.60%+0.28 +13.2 6
1974-05-12 @ Elfsborg L 1-344.7 1441 1399 24.60% 25.56% 49.84%-0.28 -13.2 5
1974-05-12 Norrkoping D 0-050.3 1352 1387 50.64% 25.53% 23.82%+0.33 -1.9 4
1974-05-12 @ Hammarby D 0-050.3 1387 1352 23.82% 25.53% 50.64%-0.33 +1.9 5
1974-05-12 AIK Stockholm W 2-042.9 1391 1490 42.69% 25.64% 31.67%-0.05 +18.6 5
1974-05-12 @ Landskrona L 0-242.9 1490 1391 31.67% 25.64% 42.69%+0.05 -18.6 8
1974-05-12 Halmstad D 1-153.6 1378 1299 61.58% 24.72% 13.70%+1.00 -3.2 4
1974-05-12 @ Orebro D 1-153.6 1299 1378 13.70% 24.72% 61.58%-1.00 +3.2 8
1974-05-12 Oster L 2-350.5 1252 1456 28.47% 25.24% 46.29%-0.68 -8.1 2
1974-05-12 @ Sirius W 3-250.5 1456 1252 46.29% 25.24% 28.47%+0.68 +8.1 7
1974-05-14 AIK Stockholm L 0-248.8 1428 1471 49.63% 25.56% 24.81%+0.27 -26.5 5
1974-05-14 @ Djurgarden W 2-048.8 1471 1428 24.81% 25.56% 49.63%-0.27 +26.5 10
1974-05-16 Brynas D 1-155.9 1412 1409 54.76% 25.35% 19.89%+0.55 -2.2 7
1974-05-16 @ Elfsborg D 1-155.9 1409 1412 19.89% 25.35% 54.76%-0.55 +2.2 5
1974-05-16 Oster L 1-345.8 1302 1464 33.93% 25.48% 40.58%-0.43 -16.9 8
1974-05-16 @ Halmstad W 3-145.8 1464 1302 40.58% 25.48% 33.93%+0.43 +16.9 9
1974-05-16 Sirius W 3-136.8 1350 1244 63.64% 24.42% 11.94%+1.16 +7.1 6
1974-05-16 @ Hammarby L 1-336.8 1244 1350 11.94% 24.42% 63.64%-1.16 -7.1 2
1974-05-16 Landskrona L 1-260.8 1510 1410 63.22% 24.49% 12.29%+1.13 -16.7 11
1974-05-16 @ Malmo W 2-160.8 1410 1510 12.29% 24.49% 63.22%-1.13 +16.7 7
1974-05-16 GAIS D 1-154.3 1388 1350 58.17% 25.10% 16.73%+0.76 -2.7 6
1974-05-16 @ Norrkoping D 1-154.3 1350 1388 16.73% 25.10% 58.17%-0.76 +2.7 8
1974-05-16 Atvidaberg L 2-357.7 1374 1478 42.02% 25.63% 32.34%-0.08 -10.9 4
1974-05-16 @ Orebro W 3-257.7 1478 1374 32.34% 25.63% 42.02%+0.08 +10.9 10
1974-05-19 Malmo W 1-045.9 1498 1493 54.91% 25.34% 19.75%+0.56 +6.8 12
1974-05-19 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-145.9 1493 1498 19.75% 25.34% 54.91%-0.56 -6.8 11
1974-05-19 Halmstad D 1-155.5 1489 1285 69.71% 23.02% 7.27%+1.75 -4.3 11
1974-05-19 @ Atvidaberg D 1-155.5 1285 1489 7.27% 23.02% 69.71%-1.75 +4.3 9
1974-05-19 Hammarby L 2-360.7 1411 1357 59.55% 24.96% 15.49%+0.85 -15.0 5
1974-05-19 @ Brynas W 3-260.7 1357 1411 15.49% 24.96% 59.55%-0.85 +15.0 8
1974-05-19 Djurgarden W 2-145.5 1352 1401 49.06% 25.58% 25.36%+0.24 +7.8 10
1974-05-19 @ GAIS L 1-245.5 1401 1352 25.36% 25.58% 49.06%-0.24 -7.8 5
1974-05-19 Elfsborg W 1-040.4 1426 1410 56.07% 25.26% 18.66%+0.63 +6.5 9
1974-05-19 @ Landskrona L 0-140.4 1410 1426 18.66% 25.26% 56.07%-0.63 -6.5 7
1974-05-19 Norrkoping W 4-139.3 1481 1386 62.84% 24.55% 12.61%+1.10 +10.6 11
1974-05-19 @ Oster L 1-439.3 1386 1481 12.61% 24.55% 62.84%-1.10 -10.6 6
1974-05-19 Orebro D 2-257.8 1236 1364 38.83% 25.60% 35.57%-0.22 -0.2 3
1974-05-19 @ Sirius D 2-257.8 1364 1236 35.57% 25.60% 38.83%+0.22 +0.2 5
1974-05-26 AIK Stockholm L 1-352.1 1403 1505 42.40% 25.64% 31.97%-0.07 -20.1 7
1974-05-26 @ Elfsborg W 3-152.1 1505 1403 31.97% 25.64% 42.40%+0.07 +20.1 14
1974-05-26 Landskrona D 1-155.4 1372 1433 47.58% 25.61% 26.82%+0.17 -1.3 9
1974-05-26 @ Hammarby D 1-155.4 1433 1372 26.82% 25.61% 47.58%-0.17 +1.3 10
1974-05-26 GAIS W 3-033.1 1486 1360 65.03% 24.17% 10.80%+1.28 +10.9 13
1974-05-26 @ Malmo L 0-333.1 1360 1486 10.80% 24.17% 65.03%-1.28 -10.9 10
1974-05-26 Halmstad W 3-030.7 1375 1289 62.12% 24.65% 13.23%+1.04 +13.1 8
1974-05-26 @ Norrkoping L 0-330.7 1289 1375 13.23% 24.65% 62.12%-1.04 -13.1 9
1974-05-26 Brynas W 3-142.6 1364 1396 50.92% 25.52% 23.56%+0.34 +12.8 7
1974-05-26 @ Orebro L 1-342.6 1396 1364 23.56% 25.52% 50.92%-0.34 -12.8 5
1974-05-26 Atvidaberg W 1-047.9 1236 1485 23.40% 24.87% 51.73%-0.94 +14.5 5
1974-05-26 @ Sirius L 0-147.9 1485 1236 51.73% 24.87% 23.40%+0.94 -14.5 11
1974-05-27 Oster D 0-053.7 1393 1492 42.75% 25.64% 31.61%-0.05 -0.7 6
1974-05-27 @ Djurgarden D 0-053.7 1492 1393 31.61% 25.64% 42.75%+0.05 +0.7 12
1974-05-29 Elfsborg D 2-259.2 1349 1383 50.75% 25.53% 23.72%+0.33 -1.2 11
1974-05-29 @ GAIS D 2-259.2 1383 1349 23.72% 25.53% 50.75%-0.33 +1.2 8
1974-05-30 Hammarby W 2-036.1 1525 1371 66.83% 23.79% 9.38%+1.45 +6.6 16
1974-05-30 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-236.1 1371 1525 9.38% 23.79% 66.83%-1.45 -6.6 9
1974-05-30 Norrkoping D 1-157.1 1470 1388 61.84% 24.69% 13.47%+1.02 -3.2 12
1974-05-30 @ Atvidaberg D 1-157.1 1388 1470 13.47% 24.69% 61.84%-1.02 +3.2 9
1974-05-30 Sirius D 3-362.7 1383 1251 65.46% 24.09% 10.45%+1.32 -2.3 6
1974-05-30 @ Brynas D 3-362.7 1251 1383 10.45% 24.09% 65.46%-1.32 +2.3 6
1974-05-30 Djurgarden D 1-153.2 1276 1392 40.35% 25.62% 34.03%-0.16 -0.4 10
1974-05-30 @ Halmstad D 1-153.2 1392 1276 34.03% 25.62% 40.35%+0.16 +0.4 7
1974-05-30 Orebro W 3-033.8 1434 1376 59.83% 24.93% 15.24%+0.87 +14.9 12
1974-05-30 @ Landskrona L 0-333.8 1376 1434 15.24% 24.93% 59.83%-0.87 -14.9 7
1974-05-30 Malmo D 0-057.5 1492 1497 53.92% 25.40% 20.68%+0.50 -2.3 13
1974-05-30 @ Oster D 0-057.5 1497 1492 20.68% 25.40% 53.92%-0.50 +2.3 14
1974-07-23 Atvidaberg D 1-156.1 1364 1467 42.12% 25.64% 32.24%-0.08 -0.6 10
1974-07-23 @ Hammarby D 1-156.1 1467 1364 32.24% 25.64% 42.12%+0.08 +0.6 13
1974-07-25 Brynas W 5-033.6 1393 1381 55.62% 25.30% 19.09%+0.60 +29.1 9
1974-07-25 @ Djurgarden L 0-533.6 1381 1393 19.09% 25.30% 55.62%-0.60 -29.1 6
1974-07-25 Orebro W 3-248.0 1385 1362 56.72% 25.22% 18.07%+0.67 +5.6 10
1974-07-25 @ Elfsborg L 2-348.0 1362 1385 18.07% 25.22% 56.72%-0.67 -5.6 7
1974-07-25 AIK Stockholm W 1-049.7 1276 1531 22.69% 24.81% 52.50%-0.98 +14.7 12
1974-07-25 @ Halmstad L 0-149.7 1531 1276 52.50% 24.81% 22.69%+0.98 -14.7 16
1974-07-25 Sirius W 1-033.9 1500 1253 71.83% 22.29% 5.88%+2.00 +2.2 16
1974-07-25 @ Malmo L 0-133.9 1253 1500 5.88% 22.29% 71.83%-2.00 -2.2 6
1974-07-25 Landskrona L 0-443.7 1391 1449 47.99% 25.60% 26.41%+0.19 -48.9 9
1974-07-25 @ Norrkoping W 4-043.7 1449 1391 26.41% 25.60% 47.99%-0.19 +48.9 14
1974-07-25 GAIS L 1-356.6 1490 1348 66.07% 23.96% 9.97%+1.38 -30.3 13
1974-07-25 @ Oster W 3-156.6 1348 1490 9.97% 23.96% 66.07%-1.38 +30.3 13
1974-08-01 Norrkoping W 2-034.6 1516 1343 68.02% 23.50% 8.48%+1.57 +6.0 18
1974-08-01 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-234.6 1343 1516 8.48% 23.50% 68.02%-1.57 -6.0 9
1974-08-01 Oster W 2-148.2 1468 1460 55.26% 25.32% 19.42%+0.58 +6.3 15
1974-08-01 @ Atvidaberg L 1-248.2 1460 1468 19.42% 25.32% 55.26%-0.58 -6.3 13
1974-08-01 Malmo L 0-146.1 1352 1502 35.62% 25.53% 38.84%-0.36 -10.8 6
1974-08-01 @ Brynas W 1-046.1 1502 1352 38.84% 25.53% 35.62%+0.36 +10.8 18
1974-08-01 Halmstad W 2-140.3 1378 1291 62.28% 24.63% 13.09%+1.05 +4.5 15
1974-08-01 @ GAIS L 1-240.3 1291 1378 13.09% 24.63% 62.28%-1.05 -4.5 12
1974-08-01 Djurgarden D 2-264.1 1498 1422 61.35% 24.75% 13.90%+0.98 -2.3 15
1974-08-01 @ Landskrona D 2-264.1 1422 1498 13.90% 24.75% 61.35%-0.98 +2.4 10
1974-08-01 Hammarby W 2-143.5 1356 1363 53.65% 25.41% 20.94%+0.49 +6.7 9
1974-08-01 @ Orebro L 1-243.5 1363 1356 20.94% 25.41% 53.65%-0.49 -6.7 10
1974-08-01 Elfsborg W 1-042.9 1251 1390 37.11% 25.57% 37.32%-0.29 +11.2 8
1974-08-01 @ Sirius L 0-142.9 1390 1251 37.32% 25.57% 37.11%+0.29 -11.1 10
1974-08-04 Orebro W 3-033.6 1522 1363 67.19% 23.71% 9.11%+1.48 +9.3 20
1974-08-04 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-333.6 1363 1522 9.11% 23.71% 67.19%-1.48 -9.3 9
1974-08-04 Brynas W 5-031.5 1474 1341 65.48% 24.08% 10.43%+1.32 +17.0 17
1974-08-04 @ Atvidaberg L 0-531.5 1341 1474 10.43% 24.08% 65.48%-1.32 -17.0 6
1974-08-04 Hammarby L 0-149.9 1383 1357 57.01% 25.20% 17.79%+0.69 -16.0 15
1974-08-04 @ GAIS W 1-049.9 1357 1383 17.79% 25.20% 57.01%-0.69 +16.0 12
1974-08-04 Malmo L 0-141.6 1286 1513 25.85% 25.07% 49.08%-0.81 -8.4 12
1974-08-04 @ Halmstad W 1-041.6 1513 1286 49.08% 25.07% 25.85%+0.81 +8.4 20
1974-08-04 Sirius W 3-136.5 1495 1262 71.19% 22.53% 6.28%+1.92 +3.8 17
1974-08-04 @ Landskrona L 1-336.5 1262 1495 6.28% 22.53% 71.19%-1.92 -3.8 8
1974-08-04 Djurgarden D 2-259.7 1337 1424 44.18% 25.64% 30.18%+0.01 -0.6 10
1974-08-04 @ Norrkoping D 2-259.7 1424 1337 30.18% 25.64% 44.18%-0.01 +0.6 11
1974-08-04 Elfsborg L 0-250.1 1453 1379 61.22% 24.77% 14.01%+0.97 -32.4 13
1974-08-04 @ Oster W 2-050.1 1379 1453 14.01% 24.77% 61.22%-0.97 +32.4 12
1974-08-11 Atvidaberg D 1-155.7 1324 1491 33.28% 25.46% 41.26%-0.46 +0.5 7
1974-08-11 @ Brynas D 1-155.7 1491 1324 41.26% 25.46% 33.28%+0.46 -0.5 18
1974-08-11 Oster D 0-052.3 1411 1421 53.45% 25.42% 21.13%+0.48 -2.3 13
1974-08-11 @ Elfsborg D 0-052.3 1421 1411 21.13% 25.42% 53.45%-0.48 +2.3 14
1974-08-11 GAIS L 0-443.6 1373 1367 55.04% 25.33% 19.63%+0.57 -55.4 12
1974-08-11 @ Hammarby W 4-043.6 1367 1373 19.63% 25.33% 55.04%-0.57 +55.4 17
1974-08-11 Halmstad W 3-244.5 1521 1278 71.67% 22.35% 5.98%+1.98 +2.0 22
1974-08-11 @ Malmo L 2-344.5 1278 1521 5.98% 22.35% 71.67%-1.98 -2.0 12
1974-08-11 AIK Stockholm D 2-262.8 1353 1532 31.76% 25.40% 42.84%-0.53 +0.5 10
1974-08-11 @ Orebro D 2-262.8 1532 1353 42.84% 25.40% 31.76%+0.53 -0.5 21
1974-08-11 Landskrona W 3-150.6 1258 1499 24.23% 24.95% 50.83%-0.90 +23.4 10
1974-08-11 @ Sirius L 1-350.6 1499 1258 50.83% 24.95% 24.23%+0.90 -23.4 17
1974-08-12 Norrkoping W 5-031.3 1425 1336 62.36% 24.62% 13.03%+1.06 +20.9 13
1974-08-12 @ Djurgarden L 0-531.3 1336 1425 13.03% 24.62% 62.36%-1.06 -20.9 10
1974-08-15 Landskrona W 1-045.1 1531 1476 59.64% 24.95% 15.40%+0.86 +5.5 23
1974-08-15 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-145.1 1476 1531 15.40% 24.95% 59.64%-0.86 -5.5 17
1974-08-15 Elfsborg W 3-035.5 1446 1409 57.98% 25.12% 16.91%+0.75 +16.3 15
1974-08-15 @ Djurgarden L 0-335.5 1409 1446 16.91% 25.12% 57.98%-0.75 -16.3 13
1974-08-15 Brynas D 2-259.7 1422 1325 63.02% 24.52% 12.46%+1.11 -2.5 18
1974-08-15 @ GAIS D 2-259.7 1325 1422 12.46% 24.52% 63.02%-1.11 +2.5 8
1974-08-15 Orebro L 0-145.2 1276 1354 45.41% 25.63% 28.96%+0.07 -13.0 12
1974-08-15 @ Halmstad W 1-045.2 1354 1276 28.96% 25.63% 45.41%-0.07 +13.0 12
1974-08-15 Atvidaberg W 2-043.1 1523 1491 57.59% 25.15% 17.26%+0.72 +11.4 24
1974-08-15 @ Malmo L 0-243.1 1491 1523 17.26% 25.15% 57.59%-0.72 -11.4 18
1974-08-15 Hammarby D 3-362.3 1315 1317 54.20% 25.38% 20.42%+0.52 -1.3 11
1974-08-15 @ Norrkoping D 3-362.3 1317 1315 20.42% 25.38% 54.20%-0.52 +1.3 13
1974-08-15 Sirius W 5-238.1 1423 1282 66.05% 23.97% 9.99%+1.37 +7.4 16
1974-08-15 @ Oster L 2-538.1 1282 1423 9.99% 23.97% 66.05%-1.37 -7.4 10
1974-08-22 AIK Stockholm W 3-258.6 1479 1537 47.98% 25.60% 26.42%+0.19 +7.7 20
1974-08-22 @ Atvidaberg L 2-358.6 1537 1479 26.42% 25.60% 47.98%-0.19 -7.7 23
1974-08-22 Oster L 0-145.8 1327 1431 42.09% 25.64% 32.28%-0.08 -12.2 8
1974-08-22 @ Brynas W 1-045.8 1431 1327 32.28% 25.64% 42.09%+0.08 +12.2 18
1974-08-22 Malmo L 0-148.8 1393 1534 36.80% 25.56% 37.64%-0.31 -11.0 13
1974-08-22 @ Elfsborg W 1-048.8 1534 1393 37.64% 25.56% 36.80%+0.31 +11.0 26
1974-08-22 Djurgarden W 2-042.2 1319 1462 36.54% 25.56% 37.91%-0.32 +21.3 15
1974-08-22 @ Hammarby L 0-242.2 1462 1319 37.91% 25.56% 36.54%+0.32 -21.3 15
1974-08-22 GAIS W 5-035.5 1470 1420 59.24% 25.00% 15.77%+0.83 +24.7 19
1974-08-22 @ Landskrona L 0-535.5 1420 1470 15.77% 25.00% 59.24%-0.83 -24.7 18
1974-08-22 Norrkoping D 3-362.9 1367 1314 59.45% 24.97% 15.57%+0.85 -1.8 13
1974-08-22 @ Orebro D 3-362.9 1314 1367 15.57% 24.97% 59.45%-0.85 +1.8 12
1974-08-22 Halmstad L 0-147.6 1274 1263 55.60% 25.30% 19.10%+0.60 -15.6 10
1974-08-22 @ Sirius W 1-047.6 1263 1274 19.10% 25.30% 55.60%-0.60 +15.6 14
1974-08-25 Elfsborg W 4-246.1 1529 1382 66.41% 23.89% 9.71%+1.41 +5.3 25
1974-08-25 @ AIK Stockholm L 2-446.1 1382 1529 9.71% 23.89% 66.41%-1.41 -5.2 13
1974-08-25 Sirius W 2-031.2 1487 1259 70.94% 22.61% 6.45%+1.89 +4.5 22
1974-08-25 @ Atvidaberg L 0-231.2 1259 1487 6.45% 22.61% 70.94%-1.89 -4.5 10
1974-08-25 Orebro W 3-249.4 1315 1365 48.87% 25.58% 25.55%+0.24 +7.5 10
1974-08-25 @ Brynas L 2-349.4 1365 1315 25.55% 25.58% 48.87%-0.24 -7.5 13
1974-08-25 Malmo L 2-358.5 1395 1545 35.56% 25.53% 38.91%-0.36 -9.6 18
1974-08-25 @ GAIS W 3-258.5 1545 1395 38.91% 25.53% 35.56%+0.36 +9.6 28
1974-08-25 Norrkoping W 2-143.3 1278 1316 50.38% 25.54% 24.08%+0.31 +7.5 16
1974-08-25 @ Halmstad L 1-243.3 1316 1278 24.08% 25.54% 50.38%-0.31 -7.5 12
1974-08-25 Hammarby W 1-037.2 1495 1340 66.90% 23.78% 9.32%+1.45 +3.5 21
1974-08-25 @ Landskrona L 0-137.2 1340 1495 9.32% 23.78% 66.90%-1.45 -3.5 15
1974-08-25 Djurgarden D 1-157.6 1443 1441 54.66% 25.36% 19.99%+0.55 -2.2 19
1974-08-25 @ Oster D 1-157.6 1441 1443 19.99% 25.36% 54.66%-0.55 +2.2 16
1974-08-27 AIK Stockholm W 1-049.5 1336 1534 29.26% 25.29% 45.45%-0.64 +13.0 17
1974-08-27 @ Hammarby L 0-149.5 1534 1336 45.45% 25.29% 29.26%+0.64 -13.0 25
1974-08-29 Halmstad D 3-363.9 1443 1286 67.02% 23.75% 9.23%+1.47 -2.5 17
1974-08-29 @ Djurgarden D 3-363.9 1286 1443 9.23% 23.75% 67.02%-1.47 +2.5 17
1974-08-29 GAIS W 5-138.0 1377 1385 53.51% 25.42% 21.07%+0.48 +21.3 15
1974-08-29 @ Elfsborg L 1-538.0 1385 1377 21.07% 25.42% 53.51%-0.48 -21.3 18
1974-08-29 Oster W 1-043.3 1555 1441 64.22% 24.32% 11.46%+1.21 +4.2 30
1974-08-29 @ Malmo L 0-143.3 1441 1555 11.46% 24.32% 64.22%-1.21 -4.2 19
1974-08-29 Atvidaberg W 4-253.5 1308 1491 31.10% 25.38% 43.52%-0.56 +18.3 14
1974-08-29 @ Norrkoping L 2-453.5 1491 1308 43.52% 25.38% 31.10%+0.56 -18.3 22
1974-08-29 Landskrona W 2-151.5 1358 1499 36.87% 25.56% 37.56%-0.30 +10.6 15
1974-08-29 @ Orebro L 1-251.5 1499 1358 37.56% 25.56% 36.87%+0.30 -10.6 21
1974-08-29 Brynas D 1-152.5 1254 1322 46.64% 25.62% 27.74%+0.13 -1.1 11
1974-08-29 @ Sirius D 1-152.5 1322 1254 27.74% 25.62% 46.64%-0.13 +1.1 11
1974-09-08 GAIS L 1-354.6 1440 1364 61.38% 24.75% 13.87%+0.99 -28.1 17
1974-09-08 @ Djurgarden W 3-154.6 1364 1440 13.87% 24.75% 61.38%-0.99 +28.1 20
1974-09-08 Landskrona W 3-147.8 1398 1488 43.86% 25.64% 30.50%+0.00 +15.6 17
1974-09-08 @ Elfsborg L 1-347.8 1488 1398 30.50% 25.64% 43.86%+0.00 -15.6 21
1974-09-08 Atvidaberg W 2-043.5 1288 1473 30.93% 25.37% 43.71%-0.56 +23.7 19
1974-09-08 @ Halmstad L 0-243.5 1473 1288 43.71% 25.37% 30.93%+0.56 -23.8 22
1974-09-08 Brynas W 2-034.4 1350 1324 56.99% 25.20% 17.81%+0.69 +11.7 19
1974-09-08 @ Hammarby L 0-234.4 1324 1350 17.81% 25.20% 56.99%-0.69 -11.7 11
1974-09-08 AIK Stockholm W 2-153.0 1559 1521 58.10% 25.10% 16.79%+0.76 +5.6 32
1974-09-08 @ Malmo L 1-253.0 1521 1559 16.79% 25.10% 58.10%-0.76 -5.6 25
1974-09-08 Oster L 1-445.7 1326 1436 41.18% 25.63% 33.19%-0.12 -27.8 14
1974-09-08 @ Norrkoping W 4-145.7 1436 1326 33.19% 25.63% 41.18%+0.12 +27.8 21
1974-09-08 Sirius W 4-134.6 1368 1253 64.29% 24.31% 11.40%+1.22 +9.7 17
1974-09-08 @ Orebro L 1-434.6 1253 1368 11.40% 24.31% 64.29%-1.22 -9.7 11
1974-09-12 Djurgarden W 3-250.7 1516 1412 63.44% 24.45% 12.11%+1.15 +4.0 27
1974-09-12 @ AIK Stockholm L 2-350.7 1412 1516 12.11% 24.45% 63.44%-1.15 -4.0 17
1974-09-12 Orebro W 2-143.5 1449 1378 60.99% 24.80% 14.21%+0.96 +4.8 24
1974-09-12 @ Atvidaberg L 1-243.5 1378 1449 14.21% 24.80% 60.99%-0.96 -4.8 17
1974-09-12 Elfsborg L 1-445.4 1312 1414 42.31% 25.64% 32.05%-0.07 -28.4 11
1974-09-12 @ Brynas W 4-145.4 1414 1312 32.05% 25.64% 42.31%+0.07 +28.4 19
1974-09-12 Norrkoping L 1-255.4 1392 1299 62.72% 24.56% 12.71%+1.09 -16.6 20
1974-09-12 @ GAIS W 2-155.4 1299 1392 12.71% 24.56% 62.72%-1.09 +16.6 16
1974-09-12 Malmo L 1-259.6 1472 1565 43.56% 25.64% 30.81%-0.02 -11.9 21
1974-09-12 @ Landskrona W 2-159.6 1565 1472 30.81% 25.64% 43.56%+0.02 +11.9 34
1974-09-12 Halmstad W 4-030.2 1464 1312 66.72% 23.82% 9.46%+1.44 +12.6 23
1974-09-12 @ Oster L 0-430.2 1312 1464 9.46% 23.82% 66.72%-1.44 -12.6 19
1974-09-12 Hammarby L 0-638.5 1243 1361 40.10% 25.62% 34.28%-0.17 -61.7 11
1974-09-12 @ Sirius W 6-038.5 1361 1243 34.28% 25.62% 40.10%+0.17 +61.7 21
1974-09-14 Orebro L 1-256.3 1423 1373 59.17% 25.00% 15.83%+0.83 -15.7 21
1974-09-14 @ Hammarby W 2-156.3 1373 1423 15.83% 25.00% 59.17%-0.83 +15.7 19
1974-09-15 Landskrona W 2-040.7 1408 1460 48.63% 25.59% 25.79%+0.22 +15.9 19
1974-09-15 @ Djurgarden L 0-240.7 1460 1408 25.79% 25.59% 48.63%-0.22 -15.9 21
1974-09-15 Sirius D 2-259.0 1442 1182 72.48% 22.04% 5.48%+2.08 -3.5 20
1974-09-15 @ Elfsborg D 2-259.0 1182 1442 5.48% 22.04% 72.48%-2.08 +3.5 12
1974-09-15 GAIS D 0-049.4 1300 1376 45.66% 25.63% 28.71%+0.08 -1.1 20
1974-09-15 @ Halmstad D 0-049.4 1376 1300 28.71% 25.63% 45.66%-0.08 +1.1 21
1974-09-15 Brynas W 6-030.8 1577 1283 73.93% 21.42% 4.65%+2.27 +9.0 36
1974-09-15 @ Malmo L 0-630.8 1283 1577 4.65% 21.42% 73.93%-2.27 -9.0 11
1974-09-15 AIK Stockholm L 0-240.5 1315 1520 28.44% 25.24% 46.32%-0.68 -17.0 16
1974-09-15 @ Norrkoping W 2-040.5 1520 1315 46.32% 25.24% 28.44%+0.68 +17.0 29
1974-09-15 Atvidaberg W 5-037.6 1477 1454 56.68% 25.22% 18.10%+0.67 +27.8 25
1974-09-15 @ Oster L 0-537.6 1454 1477 18.10% 25.22% 56.68%-0.67 -27.8 24
1974-09-22 Halmstad W 1-035.8 1537 1298 71.44% 22.44% 6.13%+1.95 +2.3 31
1974-09-22 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-135.8 1298 1537 6.13% 22.44% 71.44%-1.95 -2.3 20
1974-09-22 Hammarby L 1-256.4 1426 1407 56.34% 25.25% 18.41%+0.65 -14.9 24
1974-09-22 @ Atvidaberg W 2-156.4 1407 1426 18.41% 25.25% 56.34%-0.65 +14.9 23
1974-09-22 Djurgarden L 0-240.1 1275 1424 35.64% 25.53% 38.83%-0.36 -20.3 11
1974-09-22 @ Brynas W 2-040.1 1424 1275 38.83% 25.53% 35.64%+0.36 +20.3 21
1974-09-22 Oster L 1-252.6 1377 1505 38.73% 25.60% 35.67%-0.23 -10.8 21
1974-09-22 @ GAIS W 2-152.6 1505 1377 35.67% 25.60% 38.73%+0.23 +10.8 27
1974-09-22 Norrkoping L 0-152.4 1445 1298 66.36% 23.90% 9.74%+1.40 -18.6 21
1974-09-22 @ Landskrona W 1-052.4 1298 1445 9.74% 23.90% 66.36%-1.40 +18.6 18
1974-09-22 Elfsborg W 3-252.0 1389 1438 48.91% 25.58% 25.51%+0.24 +7.5 21
1974-09-22 @ Orebro L 2-352.0 1438 1389 25.51% 25.58% 48.91%-0.24 -7.5 20
1974-09-22 Malmo D 0-051.7 1185 1586 11.35% 22.83% 65.82%-1.85 +4.1 13
1974-09-22 @ Sirius D 0-051.7 1586 1185 65.82% 22.83% 11.35%+1.85 -4.1 37
1974-09-29 Sirius W 3-134.6 1445 1189 72.25% 22.13% 5.62%+2.05 +3.4 23
1974-09-29 @ Djurgarden L 1-334.6 1189 1445 5.62% 22.13% 72.25%-2.05 -3.4 13
1974-09-29 Hammarby W 5-244.4 1431 1422 55.33% 25.31% 19.35%+0.59 +13.3 22
1974-09-29 @ Elfsborg L 2-544.4 1422 1431 19.35% 25.31% 55.33%-0.59 -13.3 23
1974-09-29 Atvidaberg W 3-143.4 1366 1411 49.43% 25.57% 25.01%+0.26 +13.4 23
1974-09-29 @ GAIS L 1-343.4 1411 1366 25.01% 25.57% 49.43%-0.26 -13.4 24
1974-09-29 Landskrona D 0-050.0 1296 1426 38.43% 25.59% 35.97%-0.24 -0.2 21
1974-09-29 @ Halmstad D 0-050.0 1426 1296 35.97% 25.59% 38.43%+0.24 +0.2 22
1974-09-29 Orebro W 3-036.4 1581 1396 68.67% 23.32% 8.00%+1.63 +8.2 39
1974-09-29 @ Malmo L 0-336.4 1396 1581 8.00% 23.32% 68.67%-1.63 -8.2 21
1974-09-29 Brynas W 5-133.9 1317 1254 60.26% 24.89% 14.86%+0.90 +15.9 20
1974-09-29 @ Norrkoping L 1-533.9 1254 1317 14.86% 24.89% 60.26%-0.90 -15.9 11
1974-09-29 AIK Stockholm W 6-044.2 1515 1539 51.92% 25.49% 22.59%+0.39 +39.6 29
1974-09-29 @ Oster L 0-644.2 1539 1515 22.59% 25.49% 51.92%-0.39 -39.7 31
1974-10-05 GAIS L 0-155.1 1499 1379 64.61% 24.25% 11.14%+1.25 -18.1 31
1974-10-05 @ AIK Stockholm W 1-055.1 1379 1499 11.14% 24.25% 64.61%-1.25 +18.1 25
1974-10-06 Elfsborg D 1-156.4 1398 1444 49.31% 25.57% 25.11%+0.26 -1.5 25
1974-10-06 @ Atvidaberg D 1-156.4 1444 1398 25.11% 25.57% 49.31%-0.26 +1.5 23
1974-10-06 Halmstad D 1-152.3 1238 1296 47.97% 25.60% 26.43%+0.19 -1.3 12
1974-10-06 @ Brynas D 1-152.3 1296 1238 26.43% 25.60% 47.97%-0.19 +1.3 22
1974-10-06 Malmo L 0-544.2 1409 1590 31.43% 25.39% 43.18%-0.54 -43.1 23
1974-10-06 @ Hammarby W 5-044.2 1590 1409 43.18% 25.39% 31.43%+0.54 +43.1 41
1974-10-06 Oster W 3-045.6 1426 1555 38.57% 25.60% 35.83%-0.23 +29.6 24
1974-10-06 @ Landskrona L 0-345.6 1555 1426 35.83% 25.60% 38.57%+0.23 -29.6 29
1974-10-06 Djurgarden W 3-145.3 1388 1448 47.68% 25.61% 26.71%+0.18 +14.1 23
1974-10-06 @ Orebro L 1-345.3 1448 1388 26.71% 25.61% 47.68%-0.18 -14.1 23
1974-10-06 Norrkoping W 2-147.2 1186 1333 36.03% 25.54% 38.43%-0.34 +10.7 15
1974-10-06 @ Sirius L 1-247.2 1333 1186 38.43% 25.54% 36.03%+0.34 -10.7 20
1974-10-19 Atvidaberg W 2-144.4 1434 1397 58.05% 25.11% 16.84%+0.75 +5.6 25
1974-10-19 @ Djurgarden L 1-244.4 1397 1434 16.84% 25.11% 58.05%-0.75 -5.6 25
1974-10-20 Sirius D 0-050.7 1481 1197 73.57% 21.58% 4.85%+2.22 -5.4 32
1974-10-20 @ AIK Stockholm D 0-050.7 1197 1481 4.85% 21.58% 73.57%-2.22 +5.4 16
1974-10-20 Orebro W 2-037.3 1398 1402 53.96% 25.39% 20.64%+0.51 +13.3 27
1974-10-20 @ GAIS L 0-237.3 1402 1398 20.64% 25.39% 53.96%-0.51 -13.3 23
1974-10-20 Elfsborg D 1-154.2 1297 1446 35.79% 25.54% 38.67%-0.35 +0.2 23
1974-10-20 @ Halmstad D 1-154.2 1446 1297 38.67% 25.54% 35.79%+0.35 -0.2 24
1974-10-20 Brynas W 3-243.1 1456 1237 70.46% 22.78% 6.76%+1.83 +2.3 26
1974-10-20 @ Landskrona L 2-343.1 1237 1456 6.76% 22.78% 70.46%-1.83 -2.3 12
1974-10-20 Malmo D 3-369.7 1322 1633 17.51% 24.17% 58.32%-1.31 +1.6 21
1974-10-20 @ Norrkoping D 3-369.7 1633 1322 58.32% 24.17% 17.51%+1.31 -1.6 42
1974-10-20 Hammarby W 5-033.1 1525 1366 67.18% 23.71% 9.11%+1.48 +14.9 31
1974-10-20 @ Oster L 0-533.1 1366 1525 9.11% 23.71% 67.18%-1.48 -14.9 23
1974-10-27 Landskrona W 7-242.6 1391 1458 46.80% 25.62% 27.58%+0.13 +27.1 27
1974-10-27 @ Atvidaberg L 2-742.6 1458 1391 27.58% 25.62% 46.80%-0.13 -27.1 26
1974-10-27 AIK Stockholm L 1-439.6 1235 1476 24.21% 24.94% 50.84%-0.90 -18.3 12
1974-10-27 @ Brynas W 4-139.6 1476 1235 50.84% 24.94% 24.21%+0.90 +18.3 34
1974-10-27 Norrkoping W 6-237.0 1446 1324 64.76% 24.22% 11.02%+1.26 +10.3 26
1974-10-27 @ Elfsborg L 2-637.0 1324 1446 11.02% 24.22% 64.76%-1.26 -10.3 21
1974-10-27 Halmstad W 3-245.9 1351 1297 59.48% 24.97% 15.55%+0.85 +5.0 25
1974-10-27 @ Hammarby L 2-345.9 1297 1351 15.55% 24.97% 59.48%-0.85 -5.0 23
1974-10-27 Djurgarden D 0-061.1 1631 1439 69.03% 23.22% 7.75%+1.67 -4.8 43
1974-10-27 @ Malmo D 0-061.1 1439 1631 7.75% 23.22% 69.03%-1.67 +4.8 26
1974-10-27 Oster L 2-551.6 1389 1540 35.38% 25.53% 39.09%-0.37 -21.4 23
1974-10-27 @ Orebro W 5-251.6 1540 1389 39.09% 25.53% 35.38%+0.37 +21.4 33
1974-10-27 GAIS L 0-634.7 1202 1411 27.90% 25.21% 46.89%-0.71 -46.6 16
1974-10-27 @ Sirius W 6-034.7 1411 1202 46.89% 25.21% 27.90%+0.71 +46.6 29

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1974-09-22 9.74% Norrkoping 1298 1 @ Landskrona 1445 0
2 1974-07-25 9.97% GAIS 1348 3 @ Oster 1490 1
3 1974-10-05 11.14% GAIS 1379 1 @ AIK Stockholm 1499 0
4 1974-04-21 12.02% Halmstad 1288 3 @ Landskrona 1393 2
5 1974-05-16 12.29% Landskrona 1410 2 @ Malmo 1510 1
6 1974-04-28 12.69% Elfsborg 1343 3 @ Norrkoping 1437 0
7 1974-09-12 12.71% Norrkoping 1299 2 @ GAIS 1392 1
8 1974-05-05 12.85% Landskrona 1366 2 @ Brynas 1457 0
9 1974-05-05 13.73% GAIS 1322 2 @ Orebro 1400 1
10 1974-09-08 13.87% GAIS 1364 3 @ Djurgarden 1440 1
11 1974-08-04 14.01% Elfsborg 1379 2 @ Oster 1453 0
12 1974-05-19 15.49% Hammarby 1357 3 @ Brynas 1411 2
13 1974-09-14 15.83% Orebro 1373 2 @ Hammarby 1423 1
14 1974-04-27 17.63% Malmo 1451 2 @ Djurgarden 1479 0
15 1974-08-04 17.79% Hammarby 1357 1 @ GAIS 1383 0
16 1974-09-22 18.41% Hammarby 1407 2 @ Atvidaberg 1426 1
17 1974-08-22 19.10% Halmstad 1263 1 @ Sirius 1274 0
18 1974-08-11 19.63% GAIS 1367 4 @ Hammarby 1373 0
19 1974-05-12 20.28% Malmo 1495 1 @ Atvidaberg 1494 0
20 1974-07-25 22.69% @ Halmstad 1276 1 AIK Stockholm 1531 0
21 1974-05-26 23.40% @ Sirius 1236 1 Atvidaberg 1485 0
22 1974-08-11 24.23% @ Sirius 1258 3 Landskrona 1499 1
23 1974-05-14 24.81% AIK Stockholm 1471 2 @ Djurgarden 1428 0
24 1974-07-25 26.41% Landskrona 1449 4 @ Norrkoping 1391 0
25 1974-08-15 28.96% Orebro 1354 1 @ Halmstad 1276 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1974-09-12 61.68 Hammarby 6 1361 34.28% @ Sirius 0 1243 40.10% 25.62%
2 1974-08-11 55.43 GAIS 4 1367 19.63% @ Hammarby 0 1373 55.04% 25.33%
3 1974-07-25 48.91 Landskrona 4 1449 26.41% @ Norrkoping 0 1391 47.99% 25.60%
4 1974-04-28 48.25 Elfsborg 3 1343 12.69% @ Norrkoping 0 1437 62.75% 24.56%
5 1974-10-27 46.60 GAIS 6 1411 46.89% @ Sirius 0 1202 27.90% 25.21%
6 1974-10-06 43.10 Malmo 5 1590 43.18% @ Hammarby 0 1409 31.43% 25.39%
7 1974-09-29 39.65 @ Oster 6 1515 51.92% AIK Stockholm 0 1539 22.59% 25.49%
8 1974-05-05 33.13 Landskrona 2 1366 12.85% @ Brynas 0 1457 62.56% 24.59%
9 1974-08-04 32.42 Elfsborg 2 1379 14.01% @ Oster 0 1453 61.22% 24.77%
10 1974-04-27 30.32 Malmo 2 1451 17.63% @ Djurgarden 0 1479 57.19% 25.18%
11 1974-07-25 30.29 GAIS 3 1348 9.97% @ Oster 1 1490 66.07% 23.96%
12 1974-10-06 29.61 @ Landskrona 3 1426 38.57% Oster 0 1555 35.83% 25.60%
13 1974-07-25 29.07 @ Djurgarden 5 1393 55.62% Brynas 0 1381 19.09% 25.30%
14 1974-04-21 28.72 @ Brynas 4 1427 50.15% Norrkoping 0 1466 24.30% 25.55%
15 1974-09-12 28.40 Elfsborg 4 1414 32.05% @ Brynas 1 1312 42.31% 25.64%
16 1974-09-08 28.15 GAIS 3 1364 13.87% @ Djurgarden 1 1440 61.38% 24.75%
17 1974-09-15 27.80 @ Oster 5 1477 56.68% Atvidaberg 0 1454 18.10% 25.22%
18 1974-09-08 27.78 Oster 4 1436 33.19% @ Norrkoping 1 1326 41.18% 25.63%
19 1974-10-27 27.09 @ Atvidaberg 7 1391 46.80% Landskrona 2 1458 27.58% 25.62%
20 1974-05-14 26.55 AIK Stockholm 2 1471 24.81% @ Djurgarden 0 1428 49.63% 25.56%
21 1974-08-22 24.71 @ Landskrona 5 1470 59.24% GAIS 0 1420 15.77% 25.00%
22 1974-09-08 23.75 @ Halmstad 2 1288 30.93% Atvidaberg 0 1473 43.71% 25.37%
23 1974-08-11 23.37 @ Sirius 3 1258 24.23% Landskrona 1 1499 50.83% 24.95%
24 1974-10-27 21.41 Oster 5 1540 39.09% @ Orebro 2 1389 35.38% 25.53%
25 1974-08-29 21.33 @ Elfsborg 5 1377 53.51% GAIS 1 1385 21.07% 25.42%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1974-10-20 69.7 @ Norrkoping 3 1322 17.51% Malmo 3 1633 58.32% 24.17%
2 1974-04-28 64.8 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1486 57.41% Brynas 2 1456 17.43% 25.16%
3 1974-08-01 64.1 @ Landskrona 2 1498 61.35% Djurgarden 2 1422 13.90% 24.75%
4 1974-08-29 63.9 @ Djurgarden 3 1443 67.02% Halmstad 3 1286 9.23% 23.75%
5 1974-08-22 62.9 @ Orebro 3 1367 59.45% Norrkoping 3 1314 15.57% 24.97%
6 1974-08-11 62.8 @ Orebro 2 1353 31.76% AIK Stockholm 2 1532 42.84% 25.40%
7 1974-05-30 62.7 @ Brynas 3 1383 65.46% Sirius 3 1251 10.45% 24.09%
8 1974-08-15 62.3 @ Norrkoping 3 1315 54.20% Hammarby 3 1317 20.42% 25.38%
9 1974-10-27 61.1 @ Malmo 0 1631 69.03% Djurgarden 0 1439 7.75% 23.22%
10 1974-05-16 60.8 Landskrona 2 1410 12.29% @ Malmo 1 1510 63.22% 24.49%
11 1974-05-19 60.7 Hammarby 3 1357 15.49% @ Brynas 2 1411 59.55% 24.96%
12 1974-04-21 60.5 Halmstad 3 1288 12.02% @ Landskrona 2 1393 63.54% 24.43%
13 1974-08-04 59.7 @ Norrkoping 2 1337 44.18% Djurgarden 2 1424 30.18% 25.64%
14 1974-08-15 59.7 @ GAIS 2 1422 63.02% Brynas 2 1325 12.46% 24.52%
15 1974-09-12 59.6 Malmo 2 1565 30.81% @ Landskrona 1 1472 43.56% 25.64%
16 1974-05-29 59.2 @ GAIS 2 1349 50.75% Elfsborg 2 1383 23.72% 25.53%
17 1974-09-15 59.0 @ Elfsborg 2 1442 72.48% Sirius 2 1182 5.48% 22.04%
18 1974-08-22 58.6 @ Atvidaberg 3 1479 47.98% AIK Stockholm 2 1537 26.42% 25.60%
19 1974-08-25 58.5 Malmo 3 1545 38.91% @ GAIS 2 1395 35.56% 25.53%
20 1974-04-28 57.9 Atvidaberg 3 1472 31.13% @ Landskrona 2 1377 43.23% 25.64%
21 1974-05-19 57.8 @ Sirius 2 1236 38.83% Orebro 2 1364 35.57% 25.60%
22 1974-05-16 57.7 Atvidaberg 3 1478 32.34% @ Orebro 2 1374 42.02% 25.63%
23 1974-08-25 57.6 @ Oster 1 1443 54.66% Djurgarden 1 1441 19.99% 25.36%
24 1974-05-30 57.5 @ Oster 0 1492 53.92% Malmo 0 1497 20.68% 25.40%
25 1974-04-13 57.2 @ Djurgarden 1 1467 60.96% Orebro 1 1396 14.24% 24.80%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1974-09-12 30.2 @ Oster 4 1464 66.72% Halmstad 0 1312 9.46% 23.82%
2 1974-05-26 30.7 @ Norrkoping 3 1375 62.12% Halmstad 0 1289 13.23% 24.65%
3 1974-09-15 30.8 @ Malmo 6 1577 73.93% Brynas 0 1283 4.65% 21.42%
4 1974-08-25 31.2 @ Atvidaberg 2 1487 70.94% Sirius 0 1259 6.45% 22.61%
5 1974-08-12 31.3 @ Djurgarden 5 1425 62.36% Norrkoping 0 1336 13.03% 24.62%
6 1974-08-04 31.5 @ Atvidaberg 5 1474 65.48% Brynas 0 1341 10.43% 24.08%
7 1974-05-26 33.1 @ Malmo 3 1486 65.03% GAIS 0 1360 10.80% 24.17%
8 1974-10-20 33.1 @ Oster 5 1525 67.18% Hammarby 0 1366 9.11% 23.71%
9 1974-07-25 33.6 @ Djurgarden 5 1393 55.62% Brynas 0 1381 19.09% 25.30%
10 1974-08-04 33.6 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1522 67.19% Orebro 0 1363 9.11% 23.71%
11 1974-05-30 33.8 @ Landskrona 3 1434 59.83% Orebro 0 1376 15.24% 24.93%
12 1974-07-25 33.9 @ Malmo 1 1500 71.83% Sirius 0 1253 5.88% 22.29%
13 1974-09-29 33.9 @ Norrkoping 5 1317 60.26% Brynas 1 1254 14.86% 24.89%
14 1974-09-08 34.4 @ Hammarby 2 1350 56.99% Brynas 0 1324 17.81% 25.20%
15 1974-08-01 34.6 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1516 68.02% Norrkoping 0 1343 8.48% 23.50%
16 1974-09-08 34.6 @ Orebro 4 1368 64.29% Sirius 1 1253 11.40% 24.31%
17 1974-09-29 34.6 @ Djurgarden 3 1445 72.25% Sirius 1 1189 5.62% 22.13%
18 1974-10-27 34.7 GAIS 6 1411 46.89% @ Sirius 0 1202 27.90% 25.21%
19 1974-04-21 34.8 @ Atvidaberg 5 1461 65.72% GAIS 1 1324 10.25% 24.04%
20 1974-05-07 35.1 @ Djurgarden 2 1431 60.84% Hammarby 0 1361 14.34% 24.82%
21 1974-08-15 35.5 @ Djurgarden 3 1446 57.98% Elfsborg 0 1409 16.91% 25.12%
22 1974-08-22 35.5 @ Landskrona 5 1470 59.24% GAIS 0 1420 15.77% 25.00%
23 1974-09-22 35.8 @ AIK Stockholm 1 1537 71.44% Halmstad 0 1298 6.13% 22.44%
24 1974-05-30 36.1 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1525 66.83% Hammarby 0 1371 9.38% 23.79%
25 1974-05-05 36.3 @ Elfsborg 4 1392 61.55% Halmstad 1 1313 13.72% 24.73%