‹ ›

1999 Allsvenskan Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Helsingborg

54 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Helsingborg

11.23 points above expected

54 points · 42.77 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Malmo

8.88 points below expected

25 points · 33.88 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Helsingborg 26 17 3 6 54 44 24 +20 42.77 +11.23
2 AIK Stockholm 26 16 5 5 53 42 14 +28 46.18 +6.82
3 Halmstad 26 14 6 6 48 43 22 +21 43.20 +4.80
4 Orgryte 26 11 10 5 43 41 23 +18 41.28 +1.72
5 Norrkoping 26 11 6 9 39 41 36 +5 33.66 +5.34
6 Goteborg 26 11 5 10 38 27 33 -6 35.32 +2.68
7 Vastra Frolunda 26 9 7 10 34 30 33 -3 34.00 +0.00
8 Trelleborg 26 9 6 11 33 39 47 -8 33.71 -0.71
9 Elfsborg 26 9 5 12 32 41 48 -7 34.11 -2.11
10 Hammarby 26 8 5 13 29 32 42 -10 30.93 -1.93
11 Kalmar 26 8 4 14 28 27 41 -14 33.97 -5.97
12 Orebro 26 8 3 15 27 24 36 -12 34.14 -7.14
13 Malmo 26 7 4 15 25 30 48 -18 33.88 -8.88
14 Djurgarden 26 5 9 12 24 27 41 -14 28.85 -4.85

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Helsingborg 54 42.77 +11.23
2 AIK Stockholm 53 46.18 +6.82
3 Norrkoping 39 33.66 +5.34
4 Halmstad 48 43.20 +4.80
5 Goteborg 38 35.32 +2.68

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Malmo 25 33.88 -8.88
2 Orebro 27 34.14 -7.14
3 Kalmar 28 33.97 -5.97
4 Djurgarden 24 28.85 -4.85
5 Elfsborg 32 34.11 -2.11

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Norrkoping 8 Aug 15 – Oct 18 1 in 3,018
2 Goteborg 6 Aug 15 – Sep 26 1 in 199
3 AIK Stockholm 7 Jun 28 – Aug 21 1 in 119
4 Kalmar 4 May 2 – May 24 1 in 73
5 Vastra Frolunda 4 Sep 13 – Oct 4 1 in 64

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Goteborg 4 Oct 4 – Oct 30 1 in 70
2 Orebro 5 Sep 27 – Oct 30 1 in 60
3 Orgryte 3 Aug 2 – Aug 15 1 in 51
4 Hammarby 4 Apr 25 – May 18 1 in 30
5 Elfsborg 3 May 19 – May 30 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Orgryte 10 Apr 11 – Jun 13 1 in 69
2 Norrkoping 8 Aug 15 – Oct 18 1 in 60
3 Djurgarden 4 Aug 9 – Aug 30 1 in 32
4 Helsingborg 8 May 17 – Jul 6 1 in 29
5 AIK Stockholm 11 Jun 8 – Aug 30 1 in 27

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Orebro 10 Aug 15 – Oct 30 1 in 78
2 Vastra Frolunda 7 May 2 – Jun 14 1 in 37
3 Hammarby 10 Apr 25 – Jun 23 1 in 36
4 Kalmar 9 Aug 22 – Oct 30 1 in 30
5 Orgryte 5 Sep 12 – Oct 16 1 in 24

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Helsingborg 1717 54 +48 15 9.2 +5.8
AIK Stockholm 1751 53 +18 10 9.2 +0.8
Halmstad 1700 48 -12 8 7.7 +0.3
Orgryte 1673 43 +4 6 7.0 -1.0
Norrkoping 1655 39 +36 10 7.8 +2.2
Goteborg 1582 38 -49 3 8.2 -5.2
Vastra Frolunda 1574 34 +8 7 5.9 +1.1
Trelleborg 1509 33 -5 9 6.2 +2.8
Elfsborg 1558 32 +19 9 6.5 +2.5
Hammarby 1546 29 +46 12 7.2 +4.8
Kalmar 1494 28 -45 1 6.1 -5.1
Orebro 1503 27 -55 0 6.0 -6.0
Malmo 1498 25 -23 4 5.8 -1.8
Djurgarden 1498 24 +9 5 4.6 +0.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS DJU ELF GOT HAL HAM HEL KAL MAL NOR ORE ORG TRE VF
AIK Stockholm —
1-1-0
4.13
1-1-0
3.60
1-0-1
3.53
0-0-2
3.05
2-0-0
3.60
2-0-0
2.91
2-0-0
3.74
1-0-1
3.43
2-0-0
3.68
1-1-0
3.79
0-2-0
3.03
1-0-1
3.41
2-0-0
3.67
Djurgarden
0-1-1
1.45
—
0-0-2
2.51
1-1-0
2.18
0-0-2
1.65
1-0-1
2.60
0-0-2
1.94
0-1-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.42
1-1-0
2.27
0-1-1
2.25
1-0-1
2.07
0-2-0
2.71
0-2-0
2.50
Elfsborg
0-1-1
1.98
2-0-0
3.05
—
0-0-2
2.70
0-0-2
2.33
1-0-1
3.00
0-2-0
1.89
2-0-0
3.01
1-0-1
2.74
1-1-0
2.98
1-0-1
2.98
0-0-2
1.98
1-0-1
2.78
0-1-1
2.71
Goteborg
1-0-1
2.03
0-1-1
3.37
2-0-0
2.85
—
0-1-1
2.45
0-1-1
3.43
0-0-2
2.27
2-0-0
2.71
1-1-0
2.93
0-0-2
2.88
1-0-1
2.68
1-1-0
2.30
1-0-1
3.28
2-0-0
2.95
Halmstad
2-0-0
2.52
2-0-0
3.93
2-0-0
3.25
1-1-0
3.12
—
1-0-1
3.72
1-0-1
2.40
1-0-1
3.51
2-0-0
3.18
0-1-1
3.28
2-0-0
3.58
0-1-1
2.95
0-2-0
3.32
0-1-1
3.32
Hammarby
0-0-2
2.00
1-0-1
2.95
1-0-1
2.56
1-1-0
2.13
1-0-1
1.85
—
1-0-1
2.12
0-1-1
2.34
0-0-2
2.62
1-0-1
2.68
1-0-1
2.40
0-1-1
1.70
1-1-0
2.78
0-1-1
2.57
Helsingborg
0-0-2
2.64
2-0-0
3.62
0-2-0
3.68
2-0-0
3.28
1-0-1
3.16
1-0-1
3.46
—
2-0-0
3.30
2-0-0
3.73
0-0-2
3.41
2-0-0
3.62
2-0-0
2.64
2-0-0
3.47
1-1-0
3.49
Kalmar
0-0-2
1.83
1-1-0
3.06
0-0-2
2.55
0-0-2
2.85
1-0-1
2.06
1-1-0
3.21
0-0-2
2.28
—
2-0-0
2.70
0-1-1
3.23
1-0-1
2.78
0-1-1
2.03
1-0-1
2.69
1-0-1
2.52
Malmo
1-0-1
2.17
1-0-1
3.13
1-0-1
2.82
0-1-1
2.64
0-0-2
2.42
2-0-0
2.94
0-0-2
1.85
0-0-2
2.86
—
0-1-1
2.72
1-0-1
2.76
0-2-0
2.17
0-0-2
2.76
1-0-1
2.56
Norrkoping
0-0-2
1.90
0-1-1
3.32
0-1-1
2.57
2-0-0
2.67
1-1-0
2.28
1-0-1
2.87
2-0-0
2.16
1-1-0
2.32
1-1-0
2.84
—
1-0-1
2.49
0-0-2
2.72
1-0-1
2.62
1-1-0
2.91
Orebro
0-1-1
1.78
1-1-0
3.32
1-0-1
2.57
1-0-1
2.88
0-0-2
1.98
1-0-1
3.16
0-0-2
1.94
1-0-1
2.78
1-0-1
2.79
1-0-1
3.07
—
0-1-1
2.28
1-0-1
2.72
0-0-2
2.73
Orgryte
0-2-0
2.52
1-0-1
3.52
2-0-0
3.59
0-1-1
3.25
1-1-0
2.60
1-1-0
3.88
0-0-2
2.91
1-1-0
3.53
0-2-0
3.38
2-0-0
2.83
1-1-0
3.29
—
1-1-0
3.35
1-0-1
3.38
Trelleborg
1-0-1
2.16
0-2-0
2.85
1-0-1
2.79
1-0-1
2.29
0-2-0
2.26
0-1-1
2.78
0-0-2
2.11
1-0-1
2.87
2-0-0
2.79
1-0-1
2.94
1-0-1
2.83
0-1-1
2.21
—
1-0-1
3.10
Vastra Frolunda
0-0-2
1.92
0-2-0
3.06
1-1-0
2.85
0-0-2
2.60
1-1-0
2.24
1-1-0
2.99
0-1-1
2.07
1-0-1
3.04
1-0-1
2.98
0-1-1
2.66
2-0-0
2.83
1-0-1
2.19
1-0-1
2.46
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.59 +10.6
Allowed 0.74 -8.1
Differential 0.92 +6.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.95%10.71%6.32%3.57%2.20%—27.75%
110.71%10.44%8.24%3.02%1.37%0.82%34.62%
26.32%8.24%4.95%1.37%0.82%0.55%22.25%
33.57%3.02%1.37%——0.27%8.24%
42.20%1.37%0.82%—1.10%—5.49%
5+—0.82%0.55%0.27%——1.65%
Total27.75%34.62%22.25%8.24%5.49%1.65%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.34 1.34 +0.00
SD 1.21 1.21 1.79
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%————19.23%
111.54%11.54%3.85%———26.92%
223.08%3.85%3.85%———30.77%
311.54%7.69%————19.23%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total53.85%38.46%7.69%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 0.54 +1.08
SD 1.13 0.65 1.47
CV 0.70 1.20 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%7.69%7.69%——30.77%
17.69%15.38%11.54%3.85%7.69%—46.15%
23.85%—7.69%—3.85%—15.38%
33.85%—————3.85%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total26.92%23.08%26.92%11.54%11.54%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.58 -0.54
SD 1.00 1.33 1.70
CV 0.96 0.84 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%3.85%7.69%——19.23%
13.85%11.54%11.54%—3.85%3.85%34.62%
2—15.38%3.85%3.85%3.85%—26.92%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
4————3.85%—3.85%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total11.54%38.46%23.08%11.54%11.54%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.85 -0.27
SD 1.27 1.35 1.91
CV 0.81 0.73 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%—26.92%
123.08%7.69%3.85%7.69%——42.31%
27.69%11.54%7.69%3.85%——30.77%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total34.62%26.92%19.23%15.38%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.27 -0.23
SD 0.77 1.22 1.56
CV 0.74 0.96 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%3.85%—3.85%—26.92%
115.38%11.54%3.85%———30.77%
23.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
47.69%7.69%————15.38%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total38.46%46.15%11.54%—3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 0.85 +0.81
SD 1.55 0.92 1.96
CV 0.94 1.09 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%15.38%3.85%——30.77%
13.85%3.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%—26.92%
2—19.23%11.54%3.85%——34.62%
33.85%—————3.85%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total15.38%30.77%34.62%15.38%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.62 -0.38
SD 1.07 1.06 1.72
CV 0.87 0.66 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%—3.85%—19.23%
123.08%7.69%7.69%———38.46%
211.54%3.85%————15.38%
33.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
43.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
5+———3.85%——3.85%
Total46.15%26.92%19.23%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 0.92 +0.77
SD 1.44 1.09 1.73
CV 0.85 1.18 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%15.38%11.54%3.85%—50.00%
17.69%3.85%—3.85%——15.38%
27.69%—7.69%—3.85%—19.23%
33.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total23.08%26.92%26.92%15.38%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.58 -0.54
SD 1.25 1.24 1.96
CV 1.20 0.79 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%19.23%3.85%3.85%3.85%—34.62%
13.85%7.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%34.62%
27.69%7.69%———3.85%19.23%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4——3.85%—3.85%—7.69%
5+———————
Total15.38%38.46%19.23%7.69%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.85 -0.69
SD 1.19 1.52 1.81
CV 1.03 0.82 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%7.69%7.69%——23.08%
111.54%19.23%7.69%3.85%——42.31%
2—3.85%———3.85%7.69%
33.85%—7.69%———11.54%
47.69%—3.85%———11.54%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total26.92%30.77%26.92%11.54%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.38 +0.19
SD 1.47 1.24 2.08
CV 0.93 0.89 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—15.38%11.54%———26.92%
115.38%11.54%19.23%7.69%—3.85%57.69%
27.69%3.85%————11.54%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.08%34.62%30.77%7.69%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 1.38 -0.46
SD 0.74 1.17 1.50
CV 0.81 0.84 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%3.85%———26.92%
17.69%15.38%3.85%———26.92%
27.69%7.69%7.69%———23.08%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
43.85%———3.85%—7.69%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total38.46%42.31%15.38%—3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 0.88 +0.69
SD 1.42 0.95 1.57
CV 0.90 1.08 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%7.69%—23.08%
111.54%3.85%11.54%———26.92%
2—11.54%15.38%7.69%——34.62%
3—7.69%———3.85%11.54%
4———————
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total15.38%26.92%34.62%11.54%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.81 -0.31
SD 1.21 1.30 1.74
CV 0.81 0.72 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%19.23%——3.85%—30.77%
13.85%15.38%11.54%3.85%——34.62%
27.69%19.23%————26.92%
3——3.85%———3.85%
4————3.85%—3.85%
5+———————
Total19.23%53.85%15.38%3.85%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.27 -0.12
SD 1.05 1.08 1.31
CV 0.91 0.85 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
AIK Stockholm 1751 53 46.18 +6.82 89.0% 31 38 41 46 50 56 62
Helsingborg 1717 54 42.77 +11.23 91.0% 25 31 37 42 48 55 64
Halmstad 1700 48 43.20 +4.80 80.0% 26 33 40 43 47 52 56
Orgryte 1673 43 41.28 +1.72 64.0% 26 31 37 42 45 51 57
Norrkoping 1655 39 33.66 +5.34 84.0% 15 22 29 34 38 43 48
Goteborg 1582 38 35.32 +2.68 71.0% 21 24 31 35 39 44 60
Vastra Frolunda 1574 34 34.00 +0.00 53.0% 18 22 29 34 38 45 48
Elfsborg 1558 32 34.11 -2.11 41.0% 23 25 30 34 37 44 46
Hammarby 1546 29 30.93 -1.93 41.0% 20 22 26 30 34 43 53
Trelleborg 1509 33 33.71 -0.71 53.0% 17 23 30 33 37 43 47
Orebro 1503 27 34.14 -7.14 14.0% 19 22 30 35 38 44 47
Djurgarden 1498 24 28.85 -4.85 23.0% 14 19 25 29 33 40 45
Malmo 1498 25 33.88 -8.88 13.0% 17 21 29 33 39 46 53
Kalmar 1494 28 33.97 -5.97 20.0% 19 24 29 34 39 44 51

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+29.12%
Strong Edge
53.85%21.43%24.73%
Elo Value
Home Edge
159 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0104.19400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.66 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.65+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.2
Open
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
21%
Helsingborg, 2nd of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.04/gm
Photo Finish
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.1 * Some Luck: 5.1 to 7.66 * Lucky: 7.66 to 10.21 * Wild Swing: 10.21 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.35 * Close: 2.35 to 3.53 * Off: 3.53 to 4.7 * Way Off: 4.7 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.55 points
Some Luck
06.3816
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.29
Pinpoint
02.946
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
91.00%
Helsingborg
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
13.00%
Malmo
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Even
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 91.55
1.46
Moderate Separation
0.951.41.652.75
Interquartile Edge
72%
Wide Edge
50%63%71.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
81%
Even
50%87%100%
Close Games
Expected
62%
Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Occasional
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.35
Notable Separation
00.30.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.68
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.56
Strong Carryover
00.380.530.691
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Chalky
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Shaky Favorites
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.46
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.22
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.074
Well Within Noise
00.1130.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Helsingborg21.00%17.00%9.00%10.00%12.00%8.00%6.00%4.00%5.00%5.00%1.00%—1.00%1.00%
AIK Stockholm38.00%20.00%9.00%15.00%13.00%2.00%2.00%———1.00%———
Halmstad18.00%16.00%20.00%19.00%8.00%8.00%1.00%3.00%2.00%4.00%—1.00%——
Orgryte11.00%19.00%17.00%12.00%7.00%10.00%7.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%—2.00%
Norrkoping1.00%4.00%4.00%5.00%7.00%11.00%11.00%10.00%9.00%5.00%7.00%10.00%9.00%7.00%
Goteborg1.00%2.00%8.00%2.00%14.00%9.00%12.00%8.00%11.00%6.00%8.00%8.00%7.00%4.00%
Vastra Frolunda4.00%2.00%4.00%7.00%6.00%10.00%8.00%11.00%7.00%7.00%7.00%10.00%9.00%8.00%
Trelleborg—3.00%7.00%5.00%6.00%6.00%7.00%11.00%8.00%10.00%15.00%11.00%7.00%4.00%
Elfsborg—5.00%6.00%4.00%4.00%7.00%7.00%12.00%13.00%12.00%10.00%8.00%8.00%4.00%
Hammarby—3.00%2.00%—2.00%5.00%4.00%10.00%8.00%9.00%12.00%13.00%19.00%13.00%
Kalmar1.00%3.00%3.00%7.00%6.00%7.00%11.00%8.00%8.00%10.00%7.00%10.00%9.00%10.00%
Orebro1.00%3.00%2.00%6.00%8.00%10.00%18.00%4.00%10.00%8.00%10.00%7.00%7.00%6.00%
Malmo3.00%3.00%8.00%5.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%6.00%6.00%11.00%10.00%8.00%10.00%15.00%
Djurgarden1.00%—1.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%8.00%8.00%11.00%10.00%13.00%14.00%26.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
AIK Stockholm 99.00% 1.00% —
Halmstad 99.00% 1.00% —
Helsingborg 97.00% 1.00% 2.00%
Orgryte 95.00% 3.00% 2.00%
Goteborg 73.00% 16.00% 11.00%
Trelleborg 63.00% 26.00% 11.00%
Elfsborg 70.00% 18.00% 12.00%
Orebro 70.00% 17.00% 13.00%
Norrkoping 67.00% 17.00% 16.00%
Vastra Frolunda 66.00% 17.00% 17.00%
Kalmar 64.00% 17.00% 19.00%
Malmo 57.00% 18.00% 25.00%
Hammarby 43.00% 25.00% 32.00%
Djurgarden 37.00% 23.00% 40.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1999-04-10 Goteborg W 3-155.5 1623 1607 54.33% 21.98% 23.69%+0.75 +11.3 3
1999-04-10 @ Helsingborg L 1-355.5 1607 1623 23.69% 21.98% 54.33%-0.75 -11.3 0
1999-04-11 Norrkoping W 3-046.9 1564 1587 49.74% 22.38% 27.88%+0.51 +21.8 3
1999-04-11 @ Djurgarden L 0-346.9 1587 1564 27.88% 22.38% 49.74%-0.51 -21.8 0
1999-04-11 Halmstad W 1-054.0 1585 1605 50.10% 22.35% 27.55%+0.53 +7.9 3
1999-04-11 @ Orgryte L 0-154.0 1605 1585 27.55% 22.35% 50.10%-0.53 -7.9 0
1999-04-11 Hammarby D 2-275.2 1559 1578 50.23% 22.34% 27.43%+0.54 -1.0 1
1999-04-11 @ Trelleborg D 2-275.2 1578 1559 27.43% 22.34% 50.23%-0.54 +1.0 1
1999-04-12 Orebro D 1-171.3 1625 1581 57.57% 21.59% 20.84%+0.93 -2.1 1
1999-04-12 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-171.3 1581 1625 20.84% 21.59% 57.57%-0.93 +2.1 1
1999-04-12 Kalmar W 3-045.4 1594 1567 55.68% 21.83% 22.49%+0.82 +18.1 3
1999-04-12 @ Elfsborg L 0-345.4 1567 1594 22.49% 21.83% 55.68%-0.82 -18.1 0
1999-04-12 Malmo W 2-160.4 1570 1613 47.06% 22.53% 30.41%+0.38 +8.1 3
1999-04-12 @ Vastra Frolunda L 1-260.4 1613 1570 30.41% 22.53% 47.06%-0.38 -8.1 0
1999-04-18 Trelleborg W 3-262.1 1549 1558 51.36% 22.26% 26.39%+0.59 +6.8 3
1999-04-18 @ Kalmar L 2-362.1 1558 1549 26.39% 22.26% 51.36%-0.59 -6.8 1
1999-04-18 Orgryte L 0-255.7 1565 1593 48.99% 22.43% 28.59%+0.47 -23.7 0
1999-04-18 @ Norrkoping W 2-055.7 1593 1565 28.59% 22.43% 48.99%-0.47 +23.7 6
1999-04-20 AIK Stockholm W 2-160.4 1605 1623 50.34% 22.33% 27.32%+0.54 +7.4 3
1999-04-20 @ Malmo L 1-260.4 1623 1605 27.32% 22.33% 50.34%-0.54 -7.4 1
1999-04-21 Helsingborg W 2-161.6 1579 1634 45.53% 22.60% 31.87%+0.31 +8.4 4
1999-04-21 @ Hammarby L 1-261.6 1634 1579 31.87% 22.60% 45.53%-0.31 -8.4 3
1999-04-22 Djurgarden D 0-065.9 1596 1586 53.78% 22.04% 24.18%+0.72 -1.9 1
1999-04-22 @ Goteborg D 0-065.9 1586 1596 24.18% 22.04% 53.78%-0.72 +1.9 4
1999-04-22 Vastra Frolunda L 1-267.4 1597 1578 54.86% 21.92% 23.22%+0.78 -13.1 0
1999-04-22 @ Halmstad W 2-167.4 1578 1597 23.22% 21.92% 54.86%-0.78 +13.1 6
1999-04-24 Malmo D 4-482.9 1617 1612 53.10% 22.10% 24.79%+0.68 -0.9 7
1999-04-24 @ Orgryte D 4-482.9 1612 1617 24.79% 22.10% 53.10%-0.68 +0.9 4
1999-04-25 Kalmar W 4-044.3 1615 1555 59.29% 21.34% 19.37%+1.03 +20.7 4
1999-04-25 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-444.3 1555 1615 19.37% 21.34% 59.29%-1.03 -20.7 3
1999-04-25 Hammarby W 3-046.5 1612 1587 55.39% 21.86% 22.74%+0.81 +18.3 6
1999-04-25 @ Elfsborg L 0-346.5 1587 1612 22.74% 21.86% 55.39%-0.81 -18.3 4
1999-04-25 Norrkoping D 1-169.2 1584 1541 57.49% 21.60% 20.91%+0.93 -2.1 1
1999-04-25 @ Halmstad D 1-169.2 1541 1584 20.91% 21.60% 57.49%-0.93 +2.1 1
1999-04-25 Djurgarden W 4-151.4 1625 1588 56.90% 21.68% 21.42%+0.89 +14.6 6
1999-04-25 @ Helsingborg L 1-451.4 1588 1625 21.42% 21.68% 56.90%-0.89 -14.6 4
1999-04-25 Goteborg W 3-155.7 1552 1594 47.14% 22.53% 30.33%+0.39 +14.0 4
1999-04-25 @ Trelleborg L 1-355.7 1594 1552 30.33% 22.53% 47.14%-0.39 -13.9 1
1999-04-25 Orebro W 2-048.7 1591 1583 53.45% 22.07% 24.48%+0.70 +13.4 9
1999-04-25 @ Vastra Frolunda L 0-248.7 1583 1591 24.48% 22.07% 53.45%-0.70 -13.5 1
1999-05-02 Vastra Frolunda W 3-156.6 1535 1604 43.51% 22.67% 33.82%+0.22 +15.2 6
1999-05-02 @ Kalmar L 1-356.6 1604 1535 33.82% 22.67% 43.51%-0.22 -15.2 9
1999-05-02 Halmstad L 0-162.5 1613 1582 56.16% 21.77% 22.07%+0.85 -14.2 4
1999-05-02 @ Malmo W 1-062.5 1582 1613 22.07% 21.77% 56.16%-0.85 +14.2 4
1999-05-03 Trelleborg D 2-275.3 1573 1565 53.45% 22.07% 24.48%+0.70 -1.2 5
1999-05-03 @ Djurgarden D 2-275.3 1565 1573 24.48% 22.07% 53.45%-0.70 +1.2 5
1999-05-03 Elfsborg W 2-051.7 1580 1630 46.22% 22.57% 31.21%+0.34 +16.5 4
1999-05-03 @ Goteborg L 0-251.7 1630 1580 31.21% 22.57% 46.22%-0.34 -16.5 6
1999-05-03 Helsingborg W 1-057.0 1543 1640 39.69% 22.73% 37.59%+0.05 +10.1 4
1999-05-03 @ Norrkoping L 0-157.0 1640 1543 37.59% 22.73% 39.69%-0.05 -10.1 6
1999-05-03 Orgryte L 0-159.7 1570 1616 46.67% 22.55% 30.78%+0.36 -12.0 1
1999-05-03 @ Orebro W 1-059.7 1616 1570 30.78% 22.55% 46.67%-0.36 +12.1 10
1999-05-04 AIK Stockholm L 0-255.4 1569 1636 43.86% 22.66% 33.49%+0.23 -21.6 4
1999-05-04 @ Hammarby W 2-055.4 1636 1569 33.49% 22.66% 43.86%-0.23 +21.6 7
1999-05-09 Hammarby W 3-152.4 1596 1547 58.10% 21.51% 20.38%+0.96 +9.9 7
1999-05-09 @ Halmstad L 1-352.4 1547 1596 20.38% 21.51% 58.10%-0.96 -9.9 4
1999-05-09 Kalmar L 0-161.9 1599 1550 58.14% 21.51% 20.35%+0.96 -14.6 4
1999-05-09 @ Malmo W 1-061.9 1550 1599 20.35% 21.51% 58.14%-0.96 +14.6 9
1999-05-09 Norrkoping W 2-156.6 1558 1553 53.07% 22.11% 24.82%+0.68 +6.8 4
1999-05-09 @ Orebro L 1-256.6 1553 1558 24.82% 22.11% 53.07%-0.68 -6.8 4
1999-05-10 Helsingborg W 2-159.8 1658 1630 55.79% 21.82% 22.39%+0.83 +6.2 10
1999-05-10 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-259.8 1630 1658 22.39% 21.82% 55.79%-0.83 -6.2 6
1999-05-10 Trelleborg L 1-268.3 1614 1567 57.89% 21.54% 20.57%+0.95 -13.8 6
1999-05-10 @ Elfsborg W 2-168.3 1567 1614 20.57% 21.54% 57.89%-0.95 +13.8 8
1999-05-10 Djurgarden D 1-170.1 1589 1572 54.58% 21.95% 23.46%+0.76 -1.8 10
1999-05-10 @ Vastra Frolunda D 1-170.1 1572 1589 23.46% 21.95% 54.58%-0.76 +1.8 6
1999-05-11 Goteborg D 2-277.5 1628 1597 56.20% 21.77% 22.03%+0.85 -1.5 11
1999-05-11 @ Orgryte D 2-277.5 1597 1628 22.03% 21.77% 56.20%-0.85 +1.5 5
1999-05-16 Orebro W 2-047.7 1565 1565 52.54% 22.16% 25.31%+0.65 +13.8 12
1999-05-16 @ Kalmar L 0-247.7 1565 1565 25.31% 22.16% 52.54%-0.65 -13.8 4
1999-05-16 Elfsborg D 1-169.5 1547 1600 45.75% 22.59% 31.66%+0.32 -0.8 5
1999-05-16 @ Norrkoping D 1-169.5 1600 1547 31.66% 22.59% 45.75%-0.32 +0.8 7
1999-05-17 Orgryte L 0-353.6 1574 1627 45.76% 22.59% 31.65%+0.32 -32.5 6
1999-05-17 @ Djurgarden W 3-053.6 1627 1574 31.65% 22.59% 45.76%-0.32 +32.5 14
1999-05-17 Halmstad D 1-171.0 1598 1606 51.57% 22.24% 26.19%+0.60 -1.4 6
1999-05-17 @ Goteborg D 1-171.0 1606 1598 26.19% 22.24% 51.57%-0.60 +1.4 8
1999-05-17 Vastra Frolunda W 1-052.5 1624 1587 56.76% 21.70% 21.55%+0.88 +6.4 9
1999-05-17 @ Helsingborg L 0-152.5 1587 1624 21.55% 21.70% 56.76%-0.88 -6.4 10
1999-05-17 AIK Stockholm W 1-057.7 1580 1664 41.57% 22.71% 35.72%+0.13 +9.7 11
1999-05-17 @ Trelleborg L 0-157.7 1664 1580 35.72% 22.71% 41.57%-0.13 -9.7 10
1999-05-18 Malmo L 0-157.9 1538 1584 46.60% 22.56% 30.85%+0.36 -12.0 4
1999-05-18 @ Hammarby W 1-057.9 1584 1538 30.85% 22.56% 46.60%-0.36 +12.0 7
1999-05-19 Elfsborg W 1-054.2 1551 1601 46.20% 22.57% 31.22%+0.34 +8.7 7
1999-05-19 @ Orebro L 0-154.2 1601 1551 31.22% 22.57% 46.20%-0.34 -8.8 7
1999-05-23 Norrkoping D 1-169.2 1581 1546 56.60% 21.72% 21.68%+0.87 -2.0 11
1999-05-23 @ Vastra Frolunda D 1-169.2 1546 1581 21.68% 21.72% 56.60%-0.87 +2.0 6
1999-05-24 Orgryte D 1-172.9 1654 1659 51.94% 22.21% 25.85%+0.62 -1.5 11
1999-05-24 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-172.9 1659 1654 25.85% 22.21% 51.94%-0.62 +1.5 15
1999-05-24 Kalmar L 0-352.0 1541 1578 47.86% 22.49% 29.64%+0.42 -33.7 6
1999-05-24 @ Djurgarden W 3-052.0 1578 1541 29.64% 22.49% 47.86%-0.42 +33.7 15
1999-05-24 Halmstad L 1-460.1 1592 1608 50.59% 22.32% 27.09%+0.55 -29.8 7
1999-05-24 @ Elfsborg W 4-160.1 1608 1592 27.09% 22.32% 50.59%-0.55 +29.8 11
1999-05-24 Hammarby D 2-275.1 1597 1526 60.43% 21.15% 18.42%+1.10 -1.9 7
1999-05-24 @ Goteborg D 2-275.1 1526 1597 18.42% 21.15% 60.43%-1.10 +1.9 5
1999-05-24 Orebro W 2-156.6 1630 1559 60.37% 21.16% 18.47%+1.10 +5.2 12
1999-05-24 @ Helsingborg L 1-256.6 1559 1630 18.47% 21.16% 60.37%-1.10 -5.2 7
1999-05-24 Malmo W 3-155.4 1590 1596 51.78% 22.22% 26.00%+0.61 +12.3 14
1999-05-24 @ Trelleborg L 1-355.4 1596 1590 26.00% 22.22% 51.78%-0.61 -12.3 7
1999-05-30 AIK Stockholm W 1-055.7 1638 1653 50.67% 22.31% 27.02%+0.56 +7.8 14
1999-05-30 @ Halmstad L 0-155.7 1653 1638 27.02% 22.31% 50.67%-0.56 -7.8 11
1999-05-30 Helsingborg L 0-257.9 1612 1635 49.66% 22.38% 27.95%+0.51 -24.0 15
1999-05-30 @ Kalmar W 2-057.9 1635 1612 27.95% 22.38% 49.66%-0.51 +24.0 15
1999-05-30 Elfsborg W 4-257.2 1584 1562 55.16% 21.89% 22.95%+0.79 +9.8 10
1999-05-30 @ Malmo L 2-457.2 1562 1584 22.95% 21.89% 55.16%-0.79 -9.9 7
1999-05-31 Hammarby W 1-049.2 1507 1527 50.07% 22.35% 27.57%+0.53 +7.9 9
1999-05-31 @ Djurgarden L 0-149.2 1527 1507 27.57% 22.35% 50.07%-0.53 -7.9 5
1999-05-31 Goteborg W 3-047.7 1548 1595 46.56% 22.56% 30.88%+0.36 +23.7 9
1999-05-31 @ Norrkoping L 0-347.7 1595 1548 30.88% 22.56% 46.56%-0.36 -23.7 7
1999-05-31 Trelleborg W 1-054.3 1554 1602 46.42% 22.56% 31.01%+0.35 +8.7 10
1999-05-31 @ Orebro L 0-154.3 1602 1554 31.01% 22.56% 46.42%-0.35 -8.7 14
1999-05-31 Vastra Frolunda W 4-045.2 1661 1579 61.48% 20.96% 17.55%+1.17 +18.9 18
1999-05-31 @ Orgryte L 0-445.2 1579 1661 17.55% 20.96% 61.48%-1.17 -18.9 11
1999-06-08 Goteborg W 2-047.5 1645 1571 60.69% 21.11% 18.21%+1.12 +10.3 14
1999-06-08 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-247.5 1571 1645 18.21% 21.11% 60.69%-1.12 -10.3 7
1999-06-08 Hammarby D 1-167.7 1560 1520 57.19% 21.64% 21.17%+0.91 -2.1 12
1999-06-08 @ Vastra Frolunda D 1-167.7 1520 1560 21.17% 21.64% 57.19%-0.91 +2.1 6
1999-06-09 Djurgarden W 2-154.0 1552 1515 56.80% 21.69% 21.51%+0.89 +6.0 10
1999-06-09 @ Elfsborg L 1-254.0 1515 1552 21.51% 21.69% 56.80%-0.89 -6.0 9
1999-06-09 Orebro W 5-148.4 1645 1563 61.53% 20.95% 17.51%+1.17 +15.7 17
1999-06-09 @ Halmstad L 1-548.4 1563 1645 17.51% 20.95% 61.53%-1.17 -15.7 10
1999-06-09 Norrkoping D 0-065.5 1594 1572 55.19% 21.89% 22.93%+0.80 -2.1 11
1999-06-09 @ Malmo D 0-065.5 1572 1594 22.93% 21.89% 55.19%-0.80 +2.1 10
1999-06-09 Kalmar W 3-045.6 1680 1588 62.42% 20.79% 16.80%+1.23 +13.9 21
1999-06-09 @ Orgryte L 0-345.6 1588 1680 16.80% 20.79% 62.42%-1.23 -13.9 15
1999-06-10 Helsingborg L 2-371.1 1594 1659 44.07% 22.65% 33.28%+0.24 -10.3 14
1999-06-10 @ Trelleborg W 3-271.1 1659 1594 33.28% 22.65% 44.07%-0.24 +10.3 18
1999-06-13 Orgryte D 0-066.5 1522 1693 29.55% 22.49% 47.96%-0.42 +1.2 7
1999-06-13 @ Hammarby D 0-066.5 1693 1522 47.96% 22.49% 29.55%+0.42 -1.1 22
1999-06-13 Halmstad W 2-053.7 1574 1661 41.12% 22.72% 36.17%+0.11 +18.5 18
1999-06-13 @ Kalmar L 0-253.7 1661 1574 36.17% 22.72% 41.12%-0.11 -18.5 17
1999-06-13 Malmo W 2-049.7 1547 1592 46.88% 22.54% 30.58%+0.37 +16.2 13
1999-06-13 @ Orebro L 0-249.7 1592 1547 30.58% 22.54% 46.88%-0.37 -16.2 11
1999-06-14 Djurgarden W 3-150.2 1655 1509 67.28% 19.66% 13.06%+1.57 +6.5 17
1999-06-14 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-350.2 1509 1655 13.06% 19.66% 67.28%-1.57 -6.5 9
1999-06-14 Vastra Frolunda W 1-051.2 1561 1558 52.91% 22.12% 24.97%+0.67 +7.3 10
1999-06-14 @ Goteborg L 0-151.2 1558 1561 24.97% 22.12% 52.91%-0.67 -7.3 12
1999-06-14 Trelleborg L 2-561.8 1574 1583 51.35% 22.26% 26.40%+0.59 -26.2 10
1999-06-14 @ Norrkoping W 5-261.8 1583 1574 26.40% 22.26% 51.35%-0.59 +26.2 17
1999-06-15 Elfsborg D 1-172.1 1670 1558 64.28% 20.40% 15.32%+1.35 -2.9 19
1999-06-15 @ Helsingborg D 1-172.1 1558 1670 15.32% 20.40% 64.28%-1.35 +3.0 11
1999-06-16 Hammarby W 3-150.8 1563 1523 57.22% 21.64% 21.14%+0.91 +10.2 16
1999-06-16 @ Orebro L 1-350.8 1523 1563 21.14% 21.64% 57.22%-0.91 -10.2 7
1999-06-17 Djurgarden W 4-146.8 1642 1503 66.75% 19.80% 13.45%+1.53 +9.4 20
1999-06-17 @ Halmstad L 1-446.8 1503 1642 13.45% 19.80% 66.75%-1.53 -9.4 9
1999-06-20 Norrkoping D 1-169.6 1593 1547 57.72% 21.57% 20.71%+0.94 -2.2 19
1999-06-20 @ Kalmar D 1-169.6 1547 1593 20.71% 21.57% 57.72%-0.94 +2.2 11
1999-06-20 Helsingborg L 0-164.9 1692 1667 55.55% 21.85% 22.61%+0.82 -14.0 22
1999-06-20 @ Orgryte W 1-064.9 1667 1692 22.61% 21.85% 55.55%-0.82 +14.0 22
1999-06-21 AIK Stockholm D 2-277.1 1561 1662 39.13% 22.73% 38.14%+0.02 -0.0 12
1999-06-21 @ Elfsborg D 2-277.1 1662 1561 38.14% 22.73% 39.13%-0.02 +0.0 18
1999-06-21 Trelleborg W 2-160.5 1551 1610 44.96% 22.62% 32.42%+0.28 +8.5 15
1999-06-21 @ Vastra Frolunda L 1-260.5 1610 1551 32.42% 22.62% 44.96%-0.28 -8.5 17
1999-06-22 Goteborg D 1-169.6 1576 1568 53.45% 22.07% 24.48%+0.70 -1.7 12
1999-06-22 @ Malmo D 1-169.6 1568 1576 24.48% 22.07% 53.45%-0.70 +1.7 11
1999-06-23 Kalmar D 2-274.0 1513 1591 42.34% 22.70% 34.97%+0.16 -0.3 8
1999-06-23 @ Hammarby D 2-274.0 1591 1513 34.97% 22.70% 42.34%-0.16 +0.3 20
1999-06-23 Halmstad W 1-054.6 1681 1652 55.90% 21.80% 22.30%+0.83 +6.6 25
1999-06-23 @ Helsingborg L 0-154.6 1652 1681 22.30% 21.80% 55.90%-0.83 -6.6 20
1999-06-27 Orgryte D 0-067.6 1601 1678 42.47% 22.69% 34.84%+0.17 -0.5 18
1999-06-27 @ Trelleborg D 0-067.6 1678 1601 34.84% 22.69% 42.47%-0.17 +0.5 23
1999-06-28 Vastra Frolunda L 2-370.4 1561 1559 52.77% 22.14% 25.09%+0.67 -12.0 12
1999-06-28 @ Elfsborg W 3-270.4 1559 1561 25.09% 22.14% 52.77%-0.67 +12.0 18
1999-06-28 AIK Stockholm L 0-157.6 1550 1662 37.49% 22.73% 39.79%-0.05 -10.1 11
1999-06-28 @ Norrkoping W 1-057.6 1662 1550 39.79% 22.73% 37.49%+0.05 +10.1 21
1999-06-29 Malmo W 4-151.7 1493 1574 41.97% 22.70% 35.33%+0.15 +22.3 12
1999-06-29 @ Djurgarden L 1-451.7 1574 1493 35.33% 22.70% 41.97%-0.15 -22.3 12
1999-06-30 Orebro L 0-160.1 1570 1574 52.08% 22.20% 25.73%+0.63 -13.3 11
1999-06-30 @ Goteborg W 1-060.1 1574 1570 25.73% 22.20% 52.08%-0.63 +13.3 19
1999-06-30 Halmstad D 1-171.8 1601 1645 46.89% 22.54% 30.57%+0.37 -0.9 19
1999-06-30 @ Trelleborg D 1-171.8 1645 1601 30.57% 22.54% 46.89%-0.37 +0.9 21
1999-07-01 Norrkoping W 3-043.9 1512 1540 49.15% 22.42% 28.43%+0.48 +22.2 11
1999-07-01 @ Hammarby L 0-343.9 1540 1512 28.43% 22.42% 49.15%-0.48 -22.2 11
1999-07-01 Elfsborg W 5-147.5 1679 1549 65.90% 20.02% 14.08%+1.47 +12.7 26
1999-07-01 @ Orgryte L 1-547.5 1549 1679 14.08% 20.02% 65.90%-1.47 -12.7 12
1999-07-04 Goteborg L 0-161.4 1591 1557 56.52% 21.73% 21.75%+0.87 -14.3 20
1999-07-04 @ Kalmar W 1-061.4 1557 1591 21.75% 21.73% 56.52%-0.87 +14.3 14
1999-07-05 Orebro L 0-156.4 1516 1587 43.28% 22.67% 34.04%+0.21 -11.3 12
1999-07-05 @ Djurgarden W 1-056.4 1587 1516 34.04% 22.67% 43.28%-0.21 +11.3 22
1999-07-05 AIK Stockholm L 0-158.7 1571 1672 39.11% 22.73% 38.16%+0.02 -10.4 18
1999-07-05 @ Vastra Frolunda W 1-058.7 1672 1571 38.16% 22.73% 39.11%-0.02 +10.4 24
1999-07-06 Helsingborg L 0-450.7 1552 1687 34.26% 22.68% 43.06%-0.20 -33.7 12
1999-07-06 @ Malmo W 4-050.7 1687 1552 43.06% 22.68% 34.26%+0.20 +33.7 28
1999-07-11 Helsingborg W 4-052.4 1646 1721 42.81% 22.69% 34.51%+0.18 +33.9 24
1999-07-11 @ Halmstad L 0-452.4 1721 1646 34.51% 22.69% 42.81%-0.18 -33.9 28
1999-07-11 Djurgarden W 2-043.6 1518 1504 54.18% 22.00% 23.82%+0.74 +13.1 15
1999-07-11 @ Malmo L 0-243.6 1504 1518 23.82% 22.00% 54.18%-0.74 -13.1 12
1999-07-14 Hammarby W 4-148.6 1577 1534 57.39% 21.61% 21.00%+0.92 +14.4 23
1999-07-14 @ Kalmar L 1-448.6 1534 1577 21.00% 21.61% 57.39%-0.92 -14.4 11
1999-07-18 Trelleborg W 2-048.2 1691 1600 62.44% 20.78% 16.78%+1.23 +9.5 29
1999-07-18 @ Orgryte L 0-248.2 1600 1691 16.78% 20.78% 62.44%-1.23 -9.5 19
1999-07-19 Norrkoping W 2-044.7 1682 1517 68.81% 19.23% 11.95%+1.69 +6.8 27
1999-07-19 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-244.7 1517 1682 11.95% 19.23% 68.81%-1.69 -6.8 11
1999-07-19 Elfsborg D 4-479.5 1561 1536 55.40% 21.86% 22.74%+0.81 -1.0 19
1999-07-19 @ Vastra Frolunda D 4-479.5 1536 1561 22.74% 21.86% 55.40%-0.81 +1.0 13
1999-07-28 Goteborg L 1-267.5 1598 1571 55.75% 21.82% 22.43%+0.83 -13.3 22
1999-07-28 @ Orebro W 2-167.5 1571 1598 22.43% 21.82% 55.75%-0.83 +13.3 17
1999-07-31 Elfsborg W 3-043.3 1689 1537 67.76% 19.53% 12.71%+1.61 +10.6 30
1999-07-31 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-343.3 1537 1689 12.71% 19.53% 67.76%-1.61 -10.6 13
1999-08-01 Kalmar W 4-259.7 1511 1591 42.00% 22.70% 35.30%+0.15 +14.1 14
1999-08-01 @ Norrkoping L 2-459.7 1591 1511 35.30% 22.70% 42.00%-0.15 -14.1 23
1999-08-01 Vastra Frolunda W 1-051.2 1590 1560 56.10% 21.78% 22.12%+0.85 +6.5 22
1999-08-01 @ Trelleborg L 0-151.2 1560 1590 22.12% 21.78% 56.10%-0.85 -6.5 19
1999-08-02 Malmo W 1-049.4 1584 1531 58.53% 21.45% 20.02%+0.99 +6.0 20
1999-08-02 @ Goteborg L 0-149.4 1531 1584 20.02% 21.45% 58.53%-0.99 -6.0 15
1999-08-02 Orebro W 2-159.1 1520 1585 44.15% 22.65% 33.20%+0.25 +8.7 14
1999-08-02 @ Hammarby L 1-259.1 1585 1520 33.20% 22.65% 44.15%-0.25 -8.7 22
1999-08-02 Orgryte W 2-052.7 1687 1701 50.83% 22.30% 26.87%+0.57 +14.6 31
1999-08-02 @ Helsingborg L 0-252.7 1701 1687 26.87% 22.30% 50.83%-0.57 -14.6 29
1999-08-03 Halmstad L 0-249.6 1491 1680 27.50% 22.35% 50.15%-0.53 -14.9 12
1999-08-03 @ Djurgarden W 2-049.6 1680 1491 50.15% 22.35% 27.50%+0.53 +14.8 27
1999-08-07 Trelleborg W 3-045.7 1700 1597 63.51% 20.56% 15.93%+1.30 +13.2 33
1999-08-07 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-345.7 1597 1700 15.93% 20.56% 63.51%-1.30 -13.2 22
1999-08-07 Helsingborg D 0-067.2 1553 1702 32.52% 22.63% 44.85%-0.28 +0.8 20
1999-08-07 @ Vastra Frolunda D 0-067.2 1702 1553 44.85% 22.63% 32.52%+0.28 -0.8 32
1999-08-08 Goteborg W 4-045.3 1695 1590 63.68% 20.53% 15.79%+1.31 +17.1 30
1999-08-08 @ Halmstad L 0-445.3 1590 1695 15.79% 20.53% 63.68%-1.31 -17.1 20
1999-08-08 Kalmar W 2-048.4 1576 1577 52.47% 22.16% 25.37%+0.65 +13.9 25
1999-08-08 @ Orebro L 0-248.4 1577 1576 25.37% 22.16% 52.47%-0.65 -13.9 23
1999-08-09 Norrkoping W 2-154.7 1527 1525 52.80% 22.13% 25.06%+0.67 +6.9 16
1999-08-09 @ Elfsborg L 1-254.7 1525 1527 25.06% 22.13% 52.80%-0.67 -6.9 14
1999-08-09 Hammarby W 2-045.4 1525 1529 52.13% 22.19% 25.68%+0.63 +14.0 18
1999-08-09 @ Malmo L 0-245.4 1529 1525 25.68% 22.19% 52.13%-0.63 -14.0 14
1999-08-09 Djurgarden L 0-165.4 1686 1476 72.18% 18.14% 9.68%+1.97 -17.8 29
1999-08-09 @ Orgryte W 1-065.4 1476 1686 9.68% 18.14% 72.18%-1.97 +17.8 15
1999-08-15 Vastra Frolunda D 1-166.3 1494 1554 44.87% 22.63% 32.51%+0.28 -0.7 16
1999-08-15 @ Djurgarden D 1-166.3 1554 1494 32.51% 22.63% 44.87%-0.28 +0.7 21
1999-08-15 Orgryte W 1-058.1 1573 1669 39.85% 22.73% 37.42%+0.05 +10.1 23
1999-08-15 @ Goteborg L 0-158.1 1669 1573 37.42% 22.73% 39.85%-0.05 -10.1 29
1999-08-15 Halmstad W 1-061.9 1515 1712 26.53% 22.27% 51.20%-0.59 +13.1 17
1999-08-15 @ Hammarby L 0-161.9 1712 1515 51.20% 22.27% 26.53%+0.59 -13.1 30
1999-08-15 AIK Stockholm L 0-260.1 1701 1713 51.06% 22.28% 26.66%+0.58 -24.6 32
1999-08-15 @ Helsingborg W 2-060.1 1713 1701 26.66% 22.28% 51.06%-0.58 +24.6 36
1999-08-15 Malmo W 1-050.0 1563 1539 55.33% 21.87% 22.80%+0.80 +6.7 26
1999-08-15 @ Kalmar L 0-150.0 1539 1563 22.80% 21.87% 55.33%-0.80 -6.7 18
1999-08-15 Orebro W 1-053.8 1518 1590 43.12% 22.68% 34.20%+0.20 +9.4 17
1999-08-15 @ Norrkoping L 0-153.8 1590 1518 34.20% 22.68% 43.12%-0.20 -9.4 25
1999-08-19 Elfsborg L 1-266.6 1584 1534 58.22% 21.50% 20.28%+0.97 -13.8 22
1999-08-19 @ Trelleborg W 2-166.6 1534 1584 20.28% 21.50% 58.22%-0.97 +13.8 19
1999-08-21 Vastra Frolunda W 1-049.8 1738 1555 70.20% 18.81% 10.99%+1.80 +3.3 39
1999-08-21 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-149.8 1555 1738 10.99% 18.81% 70.20%-1.80 -3.3 21
1999-08-21 Malmo W 1-049.3 1676 1533 67.08% 19.72% 13.20%+1.56 +4.0 35
1999-08-21 @ Helsingborg L 0-149.3 1533 1676 13.20% 19.72% 67.08%-1.56 -4.0 18
1999-08-22 Orgryte L 1-263.2 1547 1659 37.64% 22.73% 39.63%-0.04 -9.6 19
1999-08-22 @ Elfsborg W 2-163.2 1659 1547 39.63% 22.73% 37.64%+0.04 +9.6 32
1999-08-22 Kalmar W 2-047.9 1583 1570 54.13% 22.00% 23.87%+0.74 +13.2 26
1999-08-22 @ Goteborg L 0-247.9 1570 1583 23.87% 22.00% 54.13%-0.74 -13.2 26
1999-08-23 Trelleborg D 2-278.8 1699 1570 65.86% 20.03% 14.11%+1.47 -2.3 31
1999-08-23 @ Halmstad D 2-278.8 1570 1699 14.11% 20.03% 65.86%-1.47 +2.3 23
1999-08-23 Hammarby W 3-260.0 1527 1528 52.47% 22.16% 25.37%+0.65 +6.6 20
1999-08-23 @ Norrkoping L 2-360.0 1528 1527 25.37% 22.16% 52.47%-0.65 -6.6 17
1999-08-23 Djurgarden D 1-167.7 1581 1493 62.02% 20.86% 17.12%+1.20 -2.7 26
1999-08-23 @ Orebro D 1-167.7 1493 1581 17.12% 20.86% 62.02%-1.20 +2.7 17
1999-08-29 Kalmar W 1-050.3 1697 1557 66.78% 19.80% 13.43%+1.53 +4.1 34
1999-08-29 @ Halmstad L 0-150.3 1557 1697 13.43% 19.80% 66.78%-1.53 -4.1 26
1999-08-29 Hammarby W 2-154.5 1668 1521 67.36% 19.64% 13.00%+1.58 +3.7 35
1999-08-29 @ Orgryte L 1-254.5 1521 1668 13.00% 19.64% 67.36%-1.58 -3.7 17
1999-08-29 Norrkoping L 0-453.8 1572 1534 56.96% 21.67% 21.37%+0.89 -51.4 23
1999-08-29 @ Trelleborg W 4-053.8 1534 1572 21.37% 21.67% 56.96%-0.89 +51.4 23
1999-08-30 AIK Stockholm D 0-067.2 1496 1741 21.56% 21.70% 56.74%-0.88 +2.3 18
1999-08-30 @ Djurgarden D 0-067.2 1741 1496 56.74% 21.70% 21.56%+0.88 -2.3 40
1999-08-30 Helsingborg D 1-171.2 1538 1680 33.33% 22.65% 44.02%-0.24 +0.6 20
1999-08-30 @ Elfsborg D 1-171.2 1680 1538 44.02% 22.65% 33.33%+0.24 -0.6 36
1999-08-30 Orebro W 3-154.8 1529 1578 46.24% 22.57% 31.19%+0.34 +14.3 21
1999-08-30 @ Malmo L 1-354.8 1578 1529 31.19% 22.57% 46.24%-0.34 -14.3 26
1999-08-30 Goteborg L 1-264.4 1551 1596 46.84% 22.54% 30.62%+0.37 -11.4 21
1999-08-30 @ Vastra Frolunda W 2-164.4 1596 1551 30.62% 22.54% 46.84%-0.37 +11.4 29
1999-09-11 AIK Stockholm W 1-061.1 1608 1739 34.88% 22.69% 42.43%-0.17 +11.1 32
1999-09-11 @ Goteborg L 0-161.1 1739 1608 42.43% 22.69% 34.88%+0.17 -11.1 40
1999-09-11 Trelleborg W 5-356.1 1680 1521 68.34% 19.37% 12.29%+1.65 +5.2 39
1999-09-11 @ Helsingborg L 3-556.1 1521 1680 12.29% 19.37% 68.34%-1.65 -5.1 23
1999-09-12 Orgryte D 2-277.2 1553 1672 36.48% 22.72% 40.80%-0.10 +0.2 27
1999-09-12 @ Kalmar D 2-277.2 1672 1553 40.80% 22.72% 36.48%+0.10 -0.2 36
1999-09-13 Elfsborg L 1-261.0 1498 1538 47.50% 22.51% 29.99%+0.40 -11.5 18
1999-09-13 @ Djurgarden W 2-161.0 1538 1498 29.99% 22.51% 47.50%-0.40 +11.5 23
1999-09-13 Vastra Frolunda L 1-262.4 1517 1540 49.77% 22.37% 27.85%+0.51 -12.0 17
1999-09-13 @ Hammarby W 2-162.4 1540 1517 27.85% 22.37% 49.77%-0.51 +12.0 24
1999-09-13 Malmo W 5-147.6 1585 1543 57.39% 21.61% 20.99%+0.92 +18.6 26
1999-09-13 @ Norrkoping L 1-547.6 1543 1585 20.99% 21.61% 57.39%-0.92 -18.6 21
1999-09-13 Halmstad L 1-263.2 1564 1701 34.07% 22.67% 43.26%-0.21 -8.8 26
1999-09-13 @ Orebro W 2-163.2 1701 1564 43.26% 22.67% 34.07%+0.21 +8.8 37
1999-09-18 Hammarby W 2-044.1 1727 1505 73.00% 17.84% 9.16%+2.05 +5.2 43
1999-09-18 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-244.1 1505 1727 9.16% 17.84% 73.00%-2.05 -5.2 17
1999-09-19 Malmo W 2-154.5 1710 1524 70.37% 18.75% 10.88%+1.82 +3.1 40
1999-09-19 @ Halmstad L 1-254.5 1524 1710 10.88% 18.75% 70.37%-1.82 -3.1 21
1999-09-19 Djurgarden D 2-270.7 1516 1487 55.88% 21.81% 22.31%+0.83 -1.5 24
1999-09-19 @ Trelleborg D 2-270.7 1487 1516 22.31% 21.81% 55.88%-0.83 +1.4 19
1999-09-19 Kalmar W 2-047.0 1552 1553 52.44% 22.17% 25.40%+0.65 +13.9 27
1999-09-19 @ Vastra Frolunda L 0-247.0 1553 1552 25.40% 22.17% 52.44%-0.65 -13.9 27
1999-09-20 Goteborg L 0-158.4 1550 1619 43.63% 22.66% 33.71%+0.22 -11.4 23
1999-09-20 @ Elfsborg W 1-058.4 1619 1550 33.71% 22.66% 43.63%-0.22 +11.4 35
1999-09-20 Norrkoping L 0-165.6 1685 1604 61.42% 20.98% 17.61%+1.16 -15.4 39
1999-09-20 @ Helsingborg W 1-065.6 1604 1685 17.61% 20.98% 61.42%-1.16 +15.4 29
1999-09-20 Orebro D 1-172.1 1672 1555 64.75% 20.29% 14.96%+1.39 -3.0 37
1999-09-20 @ Orgryte D 1-172.1 1555 1672 14.96% 20.29% 64.75%-1.39 +3.0 27
1999-09-25 Helsingborg L 2-459.3 1488 1669 28.43% 22.42% 49.16%-0.48 -11.8 19
1999-09-25 @ Djurgarden W 4-259.3 1669 1488 49.16% 22.42% 28.43%+0.48 +11.8 42
1999-09-25 AIK Stockholm L 1-357.3 1539 1733 26.94% 22.30% 50.75%-0.56 -12.6 27
1999-09-25 @ Kalmar W 3-157.3 1733 1539 50.75% 22.30% 26.94%+0.56 +12.6 46
1999-09-26 Trelleborg W 2-154.1 1630 1514 64.70% 20.30% 15.00%+1.38 +4.3 38
1999-09-26 @ Goteborg L 1-254.1 1514 1630 15.00% 20.30% 64.70%-1.38 -4.3 24
1999-09-27 Elfsborg W 2-155.7 1500 1539 47.72% 22.50% 29.78%+0.41 +7.9 20
1999-09-27 @ Hammarby L 1-255.7 1539 1500 29.78% 22.50% 47.72%-0.41 -7.9 23
1999-09-27 Orgryte D 1-170.6 1521 1669 32.65% 22.63% 44.72%-0.27 +0.7 22
1999-09-27 @ Malmo D 1-170.6 1669 1521 44.72% 22.63% 32.65%+0.27 -0.7 38
1999-09-27 Halmstad W 4-052.9 1619 1713 40.15% 22.73% 37.12%+0.07 +35.9 32
1999-09-27 @ Norrkoping L 0-452.9 1713 1619 37.12% 22.73% 40.15%-0.07 -35.9 40
1999-09-27 Vastra Frolunda L 0-159.4 1558 1566 51.61% 22.24% 26.16%+0.61 -13.2 27
1999-09-27 @ Orebro W 1-059.4 1566 1558 26.16% 22.24% 51.61%-0.61 +13.1 30
1999-10-03 Halmstad L 0-166.5 1745 1677 60.15% 21.20% 18.66%+1.08 -15.1 46
1999-10-03 @ AIK Stockholm W 1-066.5 1677 1745 18.66% 21.20% 60.15%-1.08 +15.1 43
1999-10-03 Orebro W 2-156.2 1510 1545 48.15% 22.48% 29.38%+0.43 +7.8 27
1999-10-03 @ Trelleborg L 1-256.2 1545 1510 29.38% 22.48% 48.15%-0.43 -7.8 27
1999-10-04 Malmo W 5-250.3 1531 1522 53.60% 22.06% 24.35%+0.71 +14.2 26
1999-10-04 @ Elfsborg L 2-550.3 1522 1531 24.35% 22.06% 53.60%-0.71 -14.2 22
1999-10-04 Norrkoping L 2-373.4 1634 1655 50.01% 22.36% 27.63%+0.53 -11.4 38
1999-10-04 @ Goteborg W 3-273.4 1655 1634 27.63% 22.36% 50.01%-0.53 +11.4 35
1999-10-04 Djurgarden W 2-151.2 1508 1477 56.22% 21.77% 22.01%+0.85 +6.1 23
1999-10-04 @ Hammarby L 1-251.2 1477 1508 22.01% 21.77% 56.22%-0.85 -6.1 19
1999-10-04 Kalmar W 3-042.8 1681 1526 68.02% 19.46% 12.52%+1.63 +10.4 45
1999-10-04 @ Helsingborg L 0-342.8 1526 1681 12.52% 19.46% 68.02%-1.63 -10.4 27
1999-10-04 Orgryte W 2-163.6 1579 1668 40.78% 22.72% 36.50%+0.09 +9.3 33
1999-10-04 @ Vastra Frolunda L 1-263.6 1668 1579 36.50% 22.72% 40.78%-0.09 -9.3 38
1999-10-12 Helsingborg L 0-156.2 1537 1692 31.72% 22.59% 45.69%-0.32 -8.9 27
1999-10-12 @ Orebro W 1-056.2 1692 1537 45.69% 22.59% 31.72%+0.32 +8.9 48
1999-10-16 AIK Stockholm D 1-173.4 1659 1730 43.26% 22.67% 34.07%+0.21 -0.5 39
1999-10-16 @ Orgryte D 1-173.4 1730 1659 34.07% 22.67% 43.26%-0.21 +0.5 47
1999-10-17 Elfsborg W 3-043.6 1692 1545 67.36% 19.64% 13.00%+1.58 +10.8 46
1999-10-17 @ Halmstad L 0-343.6 1545 1692 13.00% 19.64% 67.36%-1.58 -10.8 26
1999-10-18 Goteborg W 2-161.9 1514 1623 37.98% 22.73% 39.29%-0.03 +9.9 26
1999-10-18 @ Hammarby L 1-261.9 1623 1514 39.29% 22.73% 37.98%+0.03 -9.9 38
1999-10-18 Djurgarden D 0-059.6 1516 1470 57.73% 21.57% 20.70%+0.94 -2.4 28
1999-10-18 @ Kalmar D 0-059.6 1470 1516 20.70% 21.57% 57.73%-0.94 +2.4 20
1999-10-18 Trelleborg L 1-261.6 1508 1518 51.33% 22.26% 26.41%+0.59 -12.3 22
1999-10-18 @ Malmo W 2-161.6 1518 1508 26.41% 22.26% 51.33%-0.59 +12.3 30
1999-10-18 Vastra Frolunda W 2-157.7 1666 1588 61.13% 21.03% 17.84%+1.14 +5.1 38
1999-10-18 @ Norrkoping L 1-257.7 1588 1666 17.84% 21.03% 61.13%-1.14 -5.1 33
1999-10-23 Malmo W 3-041.5 1731 1495 73.90% 17.50% 8.60%+2.13 +7.0 50
1999-10-23 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-341.5 1495 1731 8.60% 17.50% 73.90%-2.13 -7.0 22
1999-10-24 Goteborg W 2-052.0 1473 1613 33.61% 22.66% 43.73%-0.23 +21.5 23
1999-10-24 @ Djurgarden L 0-252.0 1613 1473 43.73% 22.66% 33.61%+0.23 -21.5 38
1999-10-24 Orebro W 3-151.2 1534 1528 53.25% 22.09% 24.66%+0.69 +11.7 29
1999-10-24 @ Elfsborg L 1-351.2 1528 1534 24.66% 22.09% 53.25%-0.69 -11.7 27
1999-10-24 Hammarby W 2-045.0 1701 1524 69.69% 18.97% 11.34%+1.76 +6.5 51
1999-10-24 @ Helsingborg L 0-245.0 1524 1701 11.34% 18.97% 69.69%-1.76 -6.5 26
1999-10-24 Norrkoping W 3-158.0 1658 1672 50.91% 22.29% 26.79%+0.57 +12.6 42
1999-10-24 @ Orgryte L 1-358.0 1672 1658 26.79% 22.29% 50.91%-0.57 -12.6 38
1999-10-24 Kalmar W 1-048.2 1530 1513 54.50% 21.96% 23.53%+0.76 +6.9 33
1999-10-24 @ Trelleborg L 0-148.2 1513 1530 23.53% 21.96% 54.50%-0.76 -6.9 28
1999-10-24 Halmstad D 0-067.7 1583 1703 36.45% 22.72% 40.83%-0.10 +0.3 34
1999-10-24 @ Vastra Frolunda D 0-067.7 1703 1583 40.83% 22.72% 36.45%+0.10 -0.3 47
1999-10-30 Helsingborg L 0-158.9 1592 1707 37.03% 22.72% 40.24%-0.07 -10.0 38
1999-10-30 @ Goteborg W 1-058.9 1707 1592 40.24% 22.72% 37.03%+0.07 +10.0 54
1999-10-30 Orgryte D 0-068.9 1702 1671 56.22% 21.76% 22.01%+0.85 -2.2 48
1999-10-30 @ Halmstad D 0-068.9 1671 1702 22.01% 21.76% 56.22%-0.85 +2.2 43
1999-10-30 Trelleborg W 4-043.4 1518 1537 50.18% 22.35% 27.47%+0.53 +28.1 29
1999-10-30 @ Hammarby L 0-443.4 1537 1518 27.47% 22.35% 50.18%-0.53 -28.1 33
1999-10-30 Elfsborg L 0-155.9 1506 1546 47.59% 22.51% 29.90%+0.41 -12.3 28
1999-10-30 @ Kalmar W 1-055.9 1546 1506 29.90% 22.51% 47.59%-0.41 +12.3 32
1999-10-30 Vastra Frolunda W 2-159.2 1488 1583 39.93% 22.73% 37.34%+0.06 +9.5 25
1999-10-30 @ Malmo L 1-259.2 1583 1488 37.34% 22.73% 39.93%-0.06 -9.5 34
1999-10-30 Djurgarden D 1-170.7 1659 1494 68.78% 19.24% 11.98%+1.69 -3.5 39
1999-10-30 @ Norrkoping D 1-170.7 1494 1659 11.98% 19.24% 68.78%-1.69 +3.5 24
1999-10-30 AIK Stockholm L 0-250.2 1516 1738 23.92% 22.01% 54.07%-0.73 -13.2 27
1999-10-30 @ Orebro W 2-050.2 1738 1516 54.07% 22.01% 23.92%+0.73 +13.2 53

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1999-08-09 9.68% Djurgarden 1476 1 @ Orgryte 1686 0
2 1999-09-20 17.61% Norrkoping 1604 1 @ Helsingborg 1685 0
3 1999-10-03 18.66% Halmstad 1677 1 @ AIK Stockholm 1745 0
4 1999-08-19 20.28% Elfsborg 1534 2 @ Trelleborg 1584 1
5 1999-05-09 20.35% Kalmar 1550 1 @ Malmo 1599 0
6 1999-05-10 20.57% Trelleborg 1567 2 @ Elfsborg 1614 1
7 1999-08-29 21.37% Norrkoping 1534 4 @ Trelleborg 1572 0
8 1999-07-04 21.75% Goteborg 1557 1 @ Kalmar 1591 0
9 1999-05-02 22.07% Halmstad 1582 1 @ Malmo 1613 0
10 1999-07-28 22.43% Goteborg 1571 2 @ Orebro 1598 1
11 1999-06-20 22.61% Helsingborg 1667 1 @ Orgryte 1692 0
12 1999-04-22 23.22% Vastra Frolunda 1578 2 @ Halmstad 1597 1
13 1999-06-28 25.09% Vastra Frolunda 1559 3 @ Elfsborg 1561 2
14 1999-06-30 25.73% Orebro 1574 1 @ Goteborg 1570 0
15 1999-09-27 26.16% Vastra Frolunda 1566 1 @ Orebro 1558 0
16 1999-06-14 26.40% Trelleborg 1583 5 @ Norrkoping 1574 2
17 1999-10-18 26.41% Trelleborg 1518 2 @ Malmo 1508 1
18 1999-08-15 26.53% @ Hammarby 1515 1 Halmstad 1712 0
19 1999-08-15 26.66% AIK Stockholm 1713 2 @ Helsingborg 1701 0
20 1999-05-24 27.09% Halmstad 1608 4 @ Elfsborg 1592 1
21 1999-10-04 27.63% Norrkoping 1655 3 @ Goteborg 1634 2
22 1999-09-13 27.85% Vastra Frolunda 1540 2 @ Hammarby 1517 1
23 1999-05-30 27.95% Helsingborg 1635 2 @ Kalmar 1612 0
24 1999-04-18 28.59% Orgryte 1593 2 @ Norrkoping 1565 0
25 1999-05-24 29.64% Kalmar 1578 3 @ Djurgarden 1541 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1999-08-29 51.42 Norrkoping 4 1534 21.37% @ Trelleborg 0 1572 56.96% 21.67%
2 1999-09-27 35.90 @ Norrkoping 4 1619 40.15% Halmstad 0 1713 37.12% 22.73%
3 1999-07-11 33.90 @ Halmstad 4 1646 42.81% Helsingborg 0 1721 34.51% 22.69%
4 1999-05-24 33.74 Kalmar 3 1578 29.64% @ Djurgarden 0 1541 47.86% 22.49%
5 1999-07-06 33.71 Helsingborg 4 1687 43.06% @ Malmo 0 1552 34.26% 22.68%
6 1999-05-17 32.48 Orgryte 3 1627 31.65% @ Djurgarden 0 1574 45.76% 22.59%
7 1999-05-24 29.84 Halmstad 4 1608 27.09% @ Elfsborg 1 1592 50.59% 22.32%
8 1999-10-30 28.14 @ Hammarby 4 1518 50.18% Trelleborg 0 1537 27.47% 22.35%
9 1999-06-14 26.19 Trelleborg 5 1583 26.40% @ Norrkoping 2 1574 51.35% 22.26%
10 1999-08-15 24.57 AIK Stockholm 2 1713 26.66% @ Helsingborg 0 1701 51.06% 22.28%
11 1999-05-30 23.98 Helsingborg 2 1635 27.95% @ Kalmar 0 1612 49.66% 22.38%
12 1999-05-31 23.73 @ Norrkoping 3 1548 46.56% Goteborg 0 1595 30.88% 22.56%
13 1999-04-18 23.70 Orgryte 2 1593 28.59% @ Norrkoping 0 1565 48.99% 22.43%
14 1999-06-29 22.29 @ Djurgarden 4 1493 41.97% Malmo 1 1574 35.33% 22.70%
15 1999-07-01 22.17 @ Hammarby 3 1512 49.15% Norrkoping 0 1540 28.43% 22.42%
16 1999-04-11 21.81 @ Djurgarden 3 1564 49.74% Norrkoping 0 1587 27.88% 22.38%
17 1999-05-04 21.59 AIK Stockholm 2 1636 33.49% @ Hammarby 0 1569 43.86% 22.66%
18 1999-10-24 21.54 @ Djurgarden 2 1473 33.61% Goteborg 0 1613 43.73% 22.66%
19 1999-04-25 20.72 @ AIK Stockholm 4 1615 59.29% Kalmar 0 1555 19.37% 21.34%
20 1999-05-31 18.90 @ Orgryte 4 1661 61.48% Vastra Frolunda 0 1579 17.55% 20.96%
21 1999-09-13 18.57 @ Norrkoping 5 1585 57.39% Malmo 1 1543 20.99% 21.61%
22 1999-06-13 18.54 @ Kalmar 2 1574 41.12% Halmstad 0 1661 36.17% 22.72%
23 1999-04-25 18.32 @ Elfsborg 3 1612 55.39% Hammarby 0 1587 22.74% 21.86%
24 1999-04-12 18.13 @ Elfsborg 3 1594 55.68% Kalmar 0 1567 22.49% 21.83%
25 1999-08-09 17.79 Djurgarden 1 1476 9.68% @ Orgryte 0 1686 72.18% 18.14%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1999-04-24 82.9 @ Orgryte 4 1617 53.10% Malmo 4 1612 24.79% 22.10%
2 1999-07-19 79.5 @ Vastra Frolunda 4 1561 55.40% Elfsborg 4 1536 22.74% 21.86%
3 1999-08-23 78.8 @ Halmstad 2 1699 65.86% Trelleborg 2 1570 14.11% 20.03%
4 1999-05-11 77.5 @ Orgryte 2 1628 56.20% Goteborg 2 1597 22.03% 21.77%
5 1999-09-12 77.2 @ Kalmar 2 1553 36.48% Orgryte 2 1672 40.80% 22.72%
6 1999-06-21 77.1 @ Elfsborg 2 1561 39.13% AIK Stockholm 2 1662 38.14% 22.73%
7 1999-05-03 75.3 @ Djurgarden 2 1573 53.45% Trelleborg 2 1565 24.48% 22.07%
8 1999-04-11 75.2 @ Trelleborg 2 1559 50.23% Hammarby 2 1578 27.43% 22.34%
9 1999-05-24 75.1 @ Goteborg 2 1597 60.43% Hammarby 2 1526 18.42% 21.15%
10 1999-06-23 74.0 @ Hammarby 2 1513 42.34% Kalmar 2 1591 34.97% 22.70%
11 1999-10-04 73.4 Norrkoping 3 1655 27.63% @ Goteborg 2 1634 50.01% 22.36%
12 1999-10-16 73.4 @ Orgryte 1 1659 43.26% AIK Stockholm 1 1730 34.07% 22.67%
13 1999-05-24 72.9 @ AIK Stockholm 1 1654 51.94% Orgryte 1 1659 25.85% 22.21%
14 1999-06-15 72.1 @ Helsingborg 1 1670 64.28% Elfsborg 1 1558 15.32% 20.40%
15 1999-09-20 72.1 @ Orgryte 1 1672 64.75% Orebro 1 1555 14.96% 20.29%
16 1999-06-30 71.8 @ Trelleborg 1 1601 46.89% Halmstad 1 1645 30.57% 22.54%
17 1999-04-12 71.3 @ AIK Stockholm 1 1625 57.57% Orebro 1 1581 20.84% 21.59%
18 1999-08-30 71.2 @ Elfsborg 1 1538 33.33% Helsingborg 1 1680 44.02% 22.65%
19 1999-06-10 71.1 Helsingborg 3 1659 33.28% @ Trelleborg 2 1594 44.07% 22.65%
20 1999-05-17 71.0 @ Goteborg 1 1598 51.57% Halmstad 1 1606 26.19% 22.24%
21 1999-09-19 70.7 @ Trelleborg 2 1516 55.88% Djurgarden 2 1487 22.31% 21.81%
22 1999-10-30 70.7 @ Norrkoping 1 1659 68.78% Djurgarden 1 1494 11.98% 19.24%
23 1999-09-27 70.6 @ Malmo 1 1521 32.65% Orgryte 1 1669 44.72% 22.63%
24 1999-06-28 70.4 Vastra Frolunda 3 1559 25.09% @ Elfsborg 2 1561 52.77% 22.14%
25 1999-05-10 70.1 @ Vastra Frolunda 1 1589 54.58% Djurgarden 1 1572 23.46% 21.95%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1999-10-23 41.5 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1731 73.90% Malmo 0 1495 8.60% 17.50%
2 1999-10-04 42.8 @ Helsingborg 3 1681 68.02% Kalmar 0 1526 12.52% 19.46%
3 1999-07-31 43.3 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1689 67.76% Elfsborg 0 1537 12.71% 19.53%
4 1999-10-30 43.4 @ Hammarby 4 1518 50.18% Trelleborg 0 1537 27.47% 22.35%
5 1999-07-11 43.6 @ Malmo 2 1518 54.18% Djurgarden 0 1504 23.82% 22.00%
6 1999-10-17 43.6 @ Halmstad 3 1692 67.36% Elfsborg 0 1545 13.00% 19.64%
7 1999-07-01 43.9 @ Hammarby 3 1512 49.15% Norrkoping 0 1540 28.43% 22.42%
8 1999-09-18 44.1 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1727 73.00% Hammarby 0 1505 9.16% 17.84%
9 1999-04-25 44.3 @ AIK Stockholm 4 1615 59.29% Kalmar 0 1555 19.37% 21.34%
10 1999-07-19 44.7 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1682 68.81% Norrkoping 0 1517 11.95% 19.23%
11 1999-10-24 45.0 @ Helsingborg 2 1701 69.69% Hammarby 0 1524 11.34% 18.97%
12 1999-05-31 45.2 @ Orgryte 4 1661 61.48% Vastra Frolunda 0 1579 17.55% 20.96%
13 1999-08-08 45.3 @ Halmstad 4 1695 63.68% Goteborg 0 1590 15.79% 20.53%
14 1999-04-12 45.4 @ Elfsborg 3 1594 55.68% Kalmar 0 1567 22.49% 21.83%
15 1999-08-09 45.4 @ Malmo 2 1525 52.13% Hammarby 0 1529 25.68% 22.19%
16 1999-06-09 45.6 @ Orgryte 3 1680 62.42% Kalmar 0 1588 16.80% 20.79%
17 1999-08-07 45.7 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1700 63.51% Trelleborg 0 1597 15.93% 20.56%
18 1999-04-25 46.5 @ Elfsborg 3 1612 55.39% Hammarby 0 1587 22.74% 21.86%
19 1999-06-17 46.8 @ Halmstad 4 1642 66.75% Djurgarden 1 1503 13.45% 19.80%
20 1999-04-11 46.9 @ Djurgarden 3 1564 49.74% Norrkoping 0 1587 27.88% 22.38%
21 1999-09-19 47.0 @ Vastra Frolunda 2 1552 52.44% Kalmar 0 1553 25.40% 22.17%
22 1999-06-08 47.5 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1645 60.69% Goteborg 0 1571 18.21% 21.11%
23 1999-07-01 47.5 @ Orgryte 5 1679 65.90% Elfsborg 1 1549 14.08% 20.02%
24 1999-09-13 47.6 @ Norrkoping 5 1585 57.39% Malmo 1 1543 20.99% 21.61%
25 1999-05-16 47.7 @ Kalmar 2 1565 52.54% Orebro 0 1565 25.31% 22.16%