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2007 Allsvenskan Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Goteborg

49 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Goteborg

11.50 points above expected

49 points · 37.50 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Trelleborg

7.77 points below expected

23 points · 30.77 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Goteborg 26 14 7 5 49 45 23 +22 37.50 +11.50
2 Kalmar 26 15 3 8 48 43 32 +11 40.64 +7.36
3 Djurgarden 26 13 7 6 46 39 24 +15 38.85 +7.15
4 Elfsborg 26 10 10 6 40 39 30 +9 43.41 -3.41
5 AIK Stockholm 26 10 8 8 38 30 27 +3 42.75 -4.75
6 Hammarby 26 11 3 12 36 35 31 +4 38.09 -2.09
7 Halmstad 26 9 9 8 36 33 41 -8 33.89 +2.11
8 Helsingborg 26 9 8 9 35 49 37 +12 38.31 -3.31
9 Malmo 26 9 7 10 34 29 28 +1 37.70 -3.70
10 Gefle 26 9 7 10 34 29 30 -1 29.76 +4.24
11 GAIS 26 7 8 11 29 24 37 -13 30.14 -1.14
12 Orebro 26 6 7 13 25 28 45 -17 28.35 -3.35
13 Trelleborg 26 5 8 13 23 22 38 -16 30.77 -7.77
14 Brommapojkarna 26 5 8 13 23 21 43 -22 26.53 -3.53

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Goteborg 49 37.50 +11.50
2 Kalmar 48 40.64 +7.36
3 Djurgarden 46 38.85 +7.15
4 Gefle 34 29.76 +4.24
5 Halmstad 36 33.89 +2.11

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Trelleborg 23 30.77 -7.77
2 AIK Stockholm 38 42.75 -4.75
3 Malmo 34 37.70 -3.70
4 Brommapojkarna 23 26.53 -3.53
5 Elfsborg 40 43.41 -3.41

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 AIK Stockholm 6 Jul 23 – Sep 3 1 in 121
2 Goteborg 5 Sep 25 – Oct 28 1 in 85
3 Kalmar 5 Sep 23 – Oct 28 1 in 54
4 Halmstad 3 Jul 3 – Jul 16 1 in 20
5 Djurgarden 3 May 21 – Jun 12 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Trelleborg 5 Jun 18 – Jul 14 1 in 72
2 Hammarby 3 Aug 5 – Aug 19 1 in 32
3 Malmo 3 Sep 24 – Oct 6 1 in 20
4 Orebro 4 Jul 2 – Jul 31 1 in 18
5 Kalmar 2 Jul 18 – Jul 30 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Goteborg 14 Jul 10 – Oct 28 1 in 245
2 Brommapojkarna 4 Sep 2 – Sep 29 1 in 31
3 Djurgarden 8 Jun 25 – Aug 16 1 in 22
4 AIK Stockholm 10 Jul 23 – Oct 7 1 in 22
5 Kalmar 8 Aug 27 – Oct 28 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Elfsborg 7 Aug 25 – Oct 20 1 in 174
2 AIK Stockholm 6 Sep 16 – Oct 28 1 in 37
3 Helsingborg 5 Aug 25 – Sep 30 1 in 27
4 Halmstad 8 Aug 28 – Oct 28 1 in 25
5 Trelleborg 8 Aug 5 – Oct 7 1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Goteborg 1546 49 +32 15 7.8 +7.2
Kalmar 1528 48 +30 15 8.2 +6.8
Djurgarden 1524 46 +10 10 8.3 +1.7
Elfsborg 1534 40 -17 5 9.2 -4.2
AIK Stockholm 1521 38 -15 3 8.1 -5.1
Hammarby 1481 36 -8 6 6.8 -0.8
Halmstad 1419 36 -30 3 6.4 -3.4
Helsingborg 1510 35 +11 7 8.0 -1.0
Gefle 1424 34 +21 10 5.8 +4.2
Malmo 1468 34 -20 3 6.6 -3.6
GAIS 1388 29 -14 4 5.9 -1.9
Orebro 1380 25 +3 6 5.0 +1.0
Brommapojkarna 1345 23 +3 5 4.4 +0.6
Trelleborg 1408 23 -5 5 5.2 -0.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS BRO DJU ELF GAI GEF GOT HAL HAM HEL KAL MAL ORE TRE
AIK Stockholm —
2-0-0
3.79
0-1-1
2.90
0-0-2
2.51
0-2-0
3.59
1-1-0
3.52
1-0-1
3.00
0-2-0
3.39
2-0-0
3.02
1-0-1
2.95
0-0-2
2.86
1-0-1
3.12
1-1-0
3.67
1-1-0
3.56
Brommapojkarna
0-0-2
1.72
—
2-0-0
1.80
0-1-1
1.43
1-0-1
2.27
1-1-0
2.29
0-1-1
1.98
0-1-1
2.08
0-0-2
1.85
0-2-0
1.84
0-1-1
1.68
0-0-2
1.83
1-0-1
2.42
0-1-1
2.35
Djurgarden
1-1-0
2.53
0-0-2
3.72
—
1-1-0
2.34
0-1-1
3.34
2-0-0
3.46
1-1-0
2.81
2-0-0
3.20
1-0-1
2.81
2-0-0
2.66
0-0-2
2.78
1-1-0
2.83
1-1-0
3.52
1-1-0
3.28
Elfsborg
2-0-0
2.92
1-1-0
4.13
0-1-1
3.10
—
1-0-1
3.76
0-2-0
3.77
1-1-0
3.08
0-1-1
3.54
1-0-1
3.13
1-1-0
3.09
0-1-1
2.94
1-1-0
3.20
0-1-1
3.79
2-0-0
3.53
GAIS
0-2-0
1.89
1-0-1
3.17
1-1-0
2.11
1-0-1
1.74
—
1-0-1
2.73
0-0-2
2.04
1-1-0
2.45
0-1-1
2.20
0-1-1
2.24
0-1-1
2.04
0-0-2
2.27
0-1-1
2.83
2-0-0
2.71
Gefle
0-1-1
1.95
0-1-1
3.16
0-0-2
2.00
0-2-0
1.73
1-0-1
2.70
—
0-0-2
2.27
1-1-0
2.43
1-0-1
2.05
1-0-1
2.05
2-0-0
1.92
1-1-0
2.10
1-1-0
2.82
1-0-1
2.62
Goteborg
1-0-1
2.42
1-1-0
3.53
0-1-1
2.62
0-1-1
2.36
2-0-0
3.41
2-0-0
3.18
—
1-1-0
2.97
1-0-1
2.72
0-2-0
2.57
2-0-0
2.39
1-0-1
2.88
2-0-0
3.14
1-1-0
3.17
Halmstad
0-2-0
2.07
1-1-0
3.37
0-0-2
2.24
1-1-0
1.93
0-1-1
2.99
0-1-1
3.01
0-1-1
2.46
—
1-1-0
2.38
1-0-1
2.35
1-0-1
2.27
1-0-1
2.49
2-0-0
3.16
1-1-0
2.89
Hammarby
0-0-2
2.41
2-0-0
3.63
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.32
1-1-0
3.25
1-0-1
3.41
1-0-1
2.72
0-1-1
3.05
—
0-0-2
2.79
1-0-1
2.47
1-1-0
2.83
1-0-1
3.54
1-0-1
3.11
Helsingborg
1-0-1
2.49
0-2-0
3.66
0-0-2
2.77
0-1-1
2.35
1-1-0
3.21
1-0-1
3.41
0-2-0
2.86
1-0-1
3.09
2-0-0
2.64
—
1-0-1
2.60
0-1-1
2.71
1-0-1
3.48
1-1-0
3.24
Kalmar
2-0-0
2.58
1-1-0
3.82
2-0-0
2.67
1-1-0
2.49
1-1-0
3.42
0-0-2
3.56
0-0-2
3.05
1-0-1
3.17
1-0-1
2.96
1-0-1
2.84
—
2-0-0
2.91
2-0-0
3.65
1-0-1
3.42
Malmo
1-0-1
2.31
2-0-0
3.66
0-1-1
2.60
0-1-1
2.25
2-0-0
3.17
0-1-1
3.35
1-0-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.96
0-1-1
2.60
1-1-0
2.72
0-0-2
2.52
—
1-1-0
3.45
0-1-1
3.10
Orebro
0-1-1
1.82
1-0-1
3.01
0-1-1
1.96
1-1-0
1.73
1-1-0
2.60
0-1-1
2.60
0-0-2
2.32
0-0-2
2.29
1-0-1
1.93
1-0-1
1.98
0-0-2
1.83
0-1-1
2.02
—
1-1-0
2.46
Trelleborg
0-1-1
1.91
1-1-0
3.09
0-1-1
2.19
0-0-2
1.95
0-0-2
2.71
1-0-1
2.81
0-1-1
2.31
0-1-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.32
0-1-1
2.22
1-0-1
2.04
1-1-0
2.35
0-1-1
2.98
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.64 +7.8
Allowed 0.60 -9.5
Differential 0.85 +5.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.04%9.62%6.32%3.02%1.65%0.82%27.47%
19.62%15.38%7.42%4.12%1.10%0.27%37.91%
26.32%7.42%5.49%1.10%0.27%—20.60%
33.02%4.12%1.10%0.55%0.55%—9.34%
41.65%1.10%0.27%0.55%——3.57%
5+0.82%0.27%————1.10%
Total27.47%37.91%20.60%9.34%3.57%1.10%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.28 +0.00
SD 1.19 1.19 1.82
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%15.38%7.69%—3.85%—38.46%
17.69%15.38%—3.85%——26.92%
27.69%7.69%3.85%———19.23%
33.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total30.77%46.15%15.38%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.04 +0.12
SD 1.19 1.00 1.63
CV 1.03 0.96 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%11.54%11.54%7.69%—42.31%
111.54%19.23%11.54%———42.31%
2—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
3—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%34.62%26.92%15.38%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 1.65 -0.85
SD 0.90 1.16 1.62
CV 1.11 0.70 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%3.85%———23.08%
17.69%19.23%—3.85%——30.77%
27.69%15.38%3.85%———26.92%
33.85%7.69%————11.54%
4—7.69%————7.69%
5+———————
Total23.08%65.38%7.69%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 0.92 +0.58
SD 1.21 0.69 1.45
CV 0.81 0.75 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—3.85%3.85%——11.54%
111.54%19.23%15.38%———46.15%
27.69%7.69%15.38%———30.77%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total26.92%34.62%34.62%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.15 +0.35
SD 1.07 0.88 1.50
CV 0.71 0.76 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%19.23%—7.69%3.85%—34.62%
111.54%19.23%7.69%——3.85%42.31%
2—11.54%7.69%———19.23%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%53.85%15.38%7.69%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 1.42 -0.50
SD 0.84 1.21 1.56
CV 0.92 0.85 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%11.54%———30.77%
115.38%11.54%7.69%3.85%——38.46%
23.85%11.54%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
3————3.85%—3.85%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total34.62%30.77%23.08%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.15 -0.04
SD 1.03 1.12 1.40
CV 0.93 0.97 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%—————7.69%
111.54%11.54%11.54%7.69%——42.31%
219.23%3.85%7.69%———30.77%
33.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total50.00%19.23%23.08%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 0.88 +0.85
SD 1.15 1.03 1.69
CV 0.66 1.17 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—7.69%3.85%—3.85%19.23%
111.54%19.23%7.69%7.69%——46.15%
2—11.54%11.54%———23.08%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.08%34.62%26.92%11.54%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.58 -0.31
SD 0.92 1.79 2.31
CV 0.72 1.14 —
Max 3 9 +3
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—23.08%7.69%3.85%——34.62%
111.54%7.69%3.85%3.85%——26.92%
27.69%3.85%3.85%—3.85%—19.23%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
47.69%——3.85%——11.54%
5+———————
Total30.77%38.46%15.38%11.54%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.19 +0.15
SD 1.35 1.13 1.89
CV 1.01 0.95 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%3.85%—3.85%—23.08%
13.85%19.23%3.85%3.85%3.85%—34.62%
23.85%—3.85%3.85%——11.54%
33.85%3.85%3.85%—3.85%—15.38%
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+7.69%—————7.69%
Total26.92%34.62%19.23%7.69%11.54%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 1.42 +0.46
SD 2.03 1.30 2.61
CV 1.08 0.91 —
Max 9 4 +9
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%———7.69%19.23%
17.69%—7.69%———15.38%
219.23%11.54%11.54%3.85%——46.15%
37.69%11.54%————19.23%
4———————
5+———————
Total34.62%34.62%19.23%3.85%—7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 1.23 +0.42
SD 1.02 1.39 2.06
CV 0.62 1.13 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%7.69%———19.23%
115.38%23.08%19.23%3.85%——61.54%
23.85%7.69%————11.54%
3—3.85%————3.85%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total26.92%42.31%26.92%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.08 +0.04
SD 0.91 0.84 1.40
CV 0.81 0.78 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%—34.62%
1—15.38%3.85%11.54%11.54%—42.31%
27.69%3.85%————11.54%
3—3.85%————3.85%
43.85%——3.85%——7.69%
5+———————
Total23.08%30.77%11.54%19.23%15.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.73 -0.65
SD 1.16 1.43 1.94
CV 1.08 0.83 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%15.38%7.69%——46.15%
17.69%15.38%3.85%7.69%——34.62%
2—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
33.85%—3.85%3.85%——11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.08%30.77%23.08%23.08%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.46 -0.62
SD 1.01 1.10 1.42
CV 1.19 0.76 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Goteborg 1546 49 37.50 +11.50 93.0% 19 24 32 38 42 53 57
Elfsborg 1534 40 43.41 -3.41 32.0% 28 31 39 44 48 53 57
Kalmar 1528 48 40.64 +7.36 95.0% 28 31 37 41 44 48 56
Djurgarden 1524 46 38.85 +7.15 85.0% 24 28 34 38 43 50 55
AIK Stockholm 1521 38 42.75 -4.75 26.0% 27 29 38 43 48 53 56
Helsingborg 1510 35 38.31 -3.31 35.0% 23 28 32 39 43 49 58
Hammarby 1481 36 38.09 -2.09 41.0% 24 27 34 38 42 47 54
Malmo 1468 34 37.70 -3.70 33.0% 25 26 33 37 43 49 57
Gefle 1424 34 29.76 +4.24 81.0% 15 19 26 29 34 39 47
Halmstad 1419 36 33.89 +2.11 68.0% 21 23 29 34 37 44 50
Trelleborg 1408 23 30.77 -7.77 14.0% 15 20 26 31 35 40 53
GAIS 1388 29 30.14 -1.14 43.0% 18 20 25 31 35 39 44
Orebro 1380 25 28.35 -3.35 31.0% 13 19 24 28 33 37 44
Brommapojkarna 1345 23 26.53 -3.53 33.0% 12 16 22 26 30 38 41

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+16.48%
Clear Edge
44.51%27.47%28.02%
Elo Value
Home Edge
167 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
057.80500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.38 goals
Neutral
-2+0.35+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
6.7
Wide Open
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
12%
Goteborg, 3rd of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.04/gm
Photo Finish
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.17 * Some Luck: 5.17 to 7.75 * Lucky: 7.75 to 10.33 * Wild Swing: 10.33 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.12 * Close: 2.12 to 3.17 * Off: 3.17 to 4.23 * Way Off: 4.23 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.40 points
Some Luck
06.4616
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.00
Pinpoint
02.656
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
95.00%
Kalmar
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
14.00%
Trelleborg
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Balanced
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 67.13
1.29
Coin-Flip Parity
0.951.41.652.75
Interquartile Edge
66%
Slight Edge
50%63%71.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
76%
Even
50%80%100%
Close Games
Expected
65%
Very Frequent
0%59%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Rare
0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.27
Very Even
00.30.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.66
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.68
Strong Carryover
00.380.530.691
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Upset-Prone
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Solid Favorites
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.49
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.12
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.079
Well Within Noise
00.1210.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Goteborg12.00%10.00%4.00%8.00%11.00%13.00%10.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%6.00%9.00%4.00%2.00%
Kalmar10.00%14.00%12.00%14.00%18.00%7.00%5.00%8.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%———
Djurgarden10.00%11.00%9.00%7.00%11.00%11.00%10.00%9.00%6.00%7.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%
Elfsborg26.00%16.00%15.00%16.00%3.00%6.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%6.00%4.00%———
AIK Stockholm17.00%23.00%17.00%6.00%8.00%9.00%3.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%—1.00%
Hammarby5.00%3.00%10.00%14.00%14.00%16.00%9.00%10.00%9.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%—3.00%
Halmstad1.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%8.00%6.00%10.00%13.00%14.00%5.00%7.00%11.00%9.00%4.00%
Helsingborg10.00%9.00%12.00%13.00%9.00%5.00%5.00%6.00%6.00%11.00%10.00%3.00%—1.00%
Malmo7.00%8.00%8.00%12.00%9.00%6.00%11.00%7.00%11.00%7.00%4.00%6.00%4.00%—
Gefle—1.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%9.00%6.00%7.00%11.00%13.00%17.00%14.00%12.00%
GAIS——2.00%1.00%3.00%5.00%5.00%15.00%7.00%14.00%9.00%13.00%13.00%13.00%
Orebro——2.00%1.00%—5.00%4.00%3.00%11.00%9.00%13.00%11.00%20.00%21.00%
Trelleborg2.00%—1.00%1.00%4.00%5.00%11.00%6.00%9.00%13.00%13.00%13.00%14.00%8.00%
Brommapojkarna—1.00%1.00%——4.00%3.00%4.00%6.00%5.00%10.00%12.00%20.00%34.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Elfsborg 100% —
Kalmar 100% —
Malmo 100% —
AIK Stockholm 99.00% 1.00%
Djurgarden 99.00% 1.00%
Helsingborg 99.00% 1.00%
Goteborg 98.00% 2.00%
Hammarby 97.00% 3.00%
Halmstad 96.00% 4.00%
Trelleborg 92.00% 8.00%
Gefle 88.00% 12.00%
GAIS 87.00% 13.00%
Orebro 79.00% 21.00%
Brommapojkarna 66.00% 34.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2007-04-06 Djurgarden W 1-048.5 1391 1483 30.71% 28.88% 40.41%-0.21 +5.1 3
2007-04-06 @ Brommapojkarna L 0-148.5 1483 1391 40.41% 28.88% 30.71%+0.21 -5.1 0
2007-04-06 Goteborg D 1-158.5 1454 1457 43.20% 28.51% 28.29%+0.33 -0.4 1
2007-04-06 @ Trelleborg D 1-158.5 1457 1454 28.29% 28.51% 43.20%-0.33 +0.4 1
2007-04-07 Malmo D 1-162.8 1538 1468 53.04% 25.92% 21.04%+0.76 -0.8 1
2007-04-07 @ Elfsborg D 1-162.8 1468 1538 21.04% 25.92% 53.04%-0.76 +0.8 1
2007-04-09 Helsingborg W 2-154.6 1431 1487 35.73% 29.14% 35.13%+0.01 +4.3 3
2007-04-09 @ Halmstad L 1-254.6 1487 1431 35.13% 29.14% 35.73%-0.01 -4.3 0
2007-04-09 Kalmar L 0-156.2 1535 1507 47.59% 27.60% 24.81%+0.52 -5.7 0
2007-04-09 @ AIK Stockholm W 1-056.2 1507 1535 24.81% 27.60% 47.59%-0.52 +5.7 3
2007-04-09 Orebro D 0-050.8 1407 1414 42.59% 28.61% 28.80%+0.30 -0.4 1
2007-04-09 @ Gefle D 0-050.8 1414 1407 28.80% 28.61% 42.59%-0.30 +0.4 1
2007-04-10 Hammarby D 1-158.1 1418 1485 34.11% 29.12% 36.77%-0.06 +0.1 1
2007-04-10 @ GAIS D 1-158.1 1485 1418 36.77% 29.12% 34.11%+0.06 -0.1 1
2007-04-14 Trelleborg W 3-041.0 1485 1453 48.01% 27.49% 24.49%+0.54 +9.4 4
2007-04-14 @ Hammarby L 0-341.0 1453 1485 24.49% 27.49% 48.01%-0.54 -9.4 1
2007-04-15 Brommapojkarna D 2-266.2 1512 1396 58.91% 23.51% 17.58%+1.04 -0.8 4
2007-04-15 @ Kalmar D 2-266.2 1396 1512 17.58% 23.51% 58.91%-1.04 +0.8 4
2007-04-16 GAIS W 1-043.0 1469 1418 50.51% 26.77% 22.71%+0.65 +3.2 4
2007-04-16 @ Malmo L 0-143.0 1418 1469 22.71% 26.77% 50.51%-0.65 -3.2 1
2007-04-16 Gefle W 3-145.3 1483 1407 53.85% 25.63% 20.53%+0.80 +4.7 3
2007-04-16 @ Helsingborg L 1-345.3 1407 1483 20.53% 25.63% 53.85%-0.80 -4.7 1
2007-04-16 Halmstad W 2-041.2 1478 1436 49.41% 27.11% 23.49%+0.60 +6.2 3
2007-04-16 @ Djurgarden L 0-241.2 1436 1478 23.49% 27.11% 49.41%-0.60 -6.2 3
2007-04-17 AIK Stockholm L 1-256.5 1457 1530 33.38% 29.10% 37.53%-0.09 -4.2 1
2007-04-17 @ Goteborg W 2-156.5 1530 1457 37.53% 29.10% 33.38%+0.09 +4.1 3
2007-04-17 Elfsborg D 1-160.1 1415 1537 27.13% 28.27% 44.60%-0.39 +0.4 2
2007-04-17 @ Orebro D 1-160.1 1537 1415 44.60% 28.27% 27.13%+0.39 -0.4 2
2007-04-21 Helsingborg W 3-151.4 1484 1488 43.18% 28.52% 28.30%+0.33 +6.3 6
2007-04-21 @ Djurgarden L 1-351.4 1488 1484 28.30% 28.52% 43.18%-0.33 -6.3 3
2007-04-22 Kalmar W 2-156.4 1430 1511 32.09% 29.02% 38.89%-0.14 +4.6 6
2007-04-22 @ Halmstad L 1-256.4 1511 1430 38.89% 29.02% 32.09%+0.14 -4.6 4
2007-04-22 Malmo W 2-153.3 1444 1472 39.66% 28.96% 31.39%+0.18 +4.0 4
2007-04-22 @ Trelleborg L 1-253.3 1472 1444 31.39% 28.96% 39.66%-0.18 -4.0 4
2007-04-23 Gefle D 1-161.3 1537 1402 61.13% 22.46% 16.40%+1.15 -1.2 3
2007-04-23 @ Elfsborg D 1-161.3 1402 1537 16.40% 22.46% 61.13%-1.15 +1.2 2
2007-04-23 Goteborg L 1-252.6 1396 1453 35.59% 29.14% 35.27%+0.01 -4.4 4
2007-04-23 @ Brommapojkarna W 2-152.6 1453 1396 35.27% 29.14% 35.59%-0.01 +4.4 4
2007-04-23 Orebro D 1-156.2 1415 1415 43.63% 28.44% 27.93%+0.35 -0.4 2
2007-04-23 @ GAIS D 1-156.2 1415 1415 27.93% 28.44% 43.63%-0.35 +0.4 3
2007-04-24 Hammarby W 1-048.5 1534 1495 48.97% 27.23% 23.80%+0.58 +3.4 6
2007-04-24 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-148.5 1495 1534 23.80% 27.23% 48.97%-0.58 -3.3 4
2007-04-28 AIK Stockholm W 4-047.6 1468 1537 33.86% 29.11% 37.02%-0.07 +17.0 7
2007-04-28 @ Malmo L 0-447.6 1537 1468 37.02% 29.11% 33.86%+0.07 -17.0 6
2007-04-29 Brommapojkarna W 4-036.5 1491 1392 56.76% 24.46% 18.78%+0.94 +9.5 7
2007-04-29 @ Hammarby L 0-436.5 1392 1491 18.78% 24.46% 56.76%-0.94 -9.5 4
2007-04-29 Djurgarden W 1-048.2 1507 1491 45.87% 28.01% 26.13%+0.44 +3.6 7
2007-04-29 @ Kalmar L 0-148.2 1491 1507 26.13% 28.01% 45.87%-0.44 -3.6 6
2007-04-30 GAIS W 1-043.6 1403 1415 41.99% 28.69% 29.31%+0.28 +4.0 5
2007-04-30 @ Gefle L 0-143.6 1415 1403 29.31% 28.69% 41.99%-0.28 -4.0 2
2007-04-30 Halmstad D 1-158.1 1457 1434 46.84% 27.78% 25.37%+0.49 -0.5 5
2007-04-30 @ Goteborg D 1-158.1 1434 1457 25.37% 27.78% 46.84%-0.49 +0.5 7
2007-04-30 Trelleborg W 2-042.7 1416 1448 39.08% 29.00% 31.92%+0.15 +8.0 6
2007-04-30 @ Orebro L 0-242.7 1448 1416 31.92% 29.00% 39.08%-0.15 -8.0 4
2007-05-01 Elfsborg L 0-152.2 1481 1536 35.91% 29.14% 34.95%+0.02 -4.6 3
2007-05-01 @ Helsingborg W 1-052.2 1536 1481 34.95% 29.14% 35.91%-0.02 +4.6 6
2007-05-05 Helsingborg L 0-155.0 1520 1477 49.57% 27.06% 23.37%+0.61 -5.9 6
2007-05-05 @ AIK Stockholm W 1-055.0 1477 1520 23.37% 27.06% 49.57%-0.61 +5.9 6
2007-05-06 Brommapojkarna D 3-366.5 1440 1383 51.39% 26.49% 22.12%+0.69 -0.5 5
2007-05-06 @ Trelleborg D 3-366.5 1383 1440 22.12% 26.49% 51.39%-0.69 +0.5 5
2007-05-06 Kalmar W 2-156.4 1407 1510 29.36% 28.70% 41.94%-0.27 +4.9 8
2007-05-06 @ Gefle L 1-256.4 1510 1407 41.94% 28.70% 29.36%+0.27 -4.9 7
2007-05-07 Djurgarden D 2-269.6 1540 1487 50.86% 26.66% 22.48%+0.67 -0.5 7
2007-05-07 @ Elfsborg D 2-269.6 1487 1540 22.48% 26.66% 50.86%-0.67 +0.5 7
2007-05-07 Goteborg L 0-443.8 1424 1457 38.95% 29.01% 32.04%+0.15 -17.6 6
2007-05-07 @ Orebro W 4-043.8 1457 1424 32.04% 29.01% 38.95%-0.15 +17.6 8
2007-05-07 Halmstad W 2-150.9 1411 1435 40.27% 28.90% 30.83%+0.20 +3.9 5
2007-05-07 @ GAIS L 1-250.9 1435 1411 30.83% 28.90% 40.27%-0.20 -3.9 7
2007-05-08 Hammarby D 1-161.2 1485 1501 41.45% 28.77% 29.79%+0.25 -0.3 8
2007-05-08 @ Malmo D 1-161.2 1501 1485 29.79% 28.77% 41.45%-0.25 +0.3 8
2007-05-12 AIK Stockholm L 0-241.8 1383 1514 26.18% 28.02% 45.79%-0.44 -6.9 5
2007-05-12 @ Brommapojkarna W 2-041.8 1514 1383 45.79% 28.02% 26.18%+0.44 +6.9 9
2007-05-13 Elfsborg W 2-158.3 1506 1540 38.81% 29.02% 32.17%+0.14 +4.0 10
2007-05-13 @ Kalmar L 1-258.3 1540 1506 32.17% 29.02% 38.81%-0.14 -4.0 7
2007-05-13 Orebro W 1-041.9 1501 1406 56.24% 24.68% 19.08%+0.92 +2.7 11
2007-05-13 @ Hammarby L 0-141.9 1406 1501 19.08% 24.68% 56.24%-0.92 -2.7 6
2007-05-14 GAIS L 0-152.3 1488 1415 53.41% 25.79% 20.80%+0.78 -6.2 7
2007-05-14 @ Djurgarden W 1-052.3 1415 1488 20.80% 25.79% 53.41%-0.78 +6.2 8
2007-05-14 Gefle W 2-039.5 1475 1412 52.08% 26.26% 21.66%+0.72 +5.8 11
2007-05-14 @ Goteborg L 0-239.5 1412 1475 21.66% 26.26% 52.08%-0.72 -5.8 8
2007-05-14 Trelleborg W 1-044.8 1431 1439 42.43% 28.63% 28.94%+0.29 +4.0 10
2007-05-14 @ Halmstad L 0-144.8 1439 1431 28.94% 28.63% 42.43%-0.29 -4.0 5
2007-05-15 Malmo L 0-152.4 1482 1485 43.29% 28.50% 28.21%+0.33 -5.3 6
2007-05-15 @ Helsingborg W 1-052.4 1485 1482 28.21% 28.50% 43.29%-0.33 +5.3 11
2007-05-17 Elfsborg L 1-254.7 1435 1536 29.75% 28.76% 41.49%-0.25 -3.8 5
2007-05-17 @ Trelleborg W 2-154.7 1536 1435 41.49% 28.76% 29.75%+0.25 +3.8 10
2007-05-20 Hammarby W 1-049.8 1406 1504 30.06% 28.80% 41.13%-0.24 +5.1 11
2007-05-20 @ Gefle L 0-149.8 1504 1406 41.13% 28.80% 30.06%+0.24 -5.1 11
2007-05-20 Malmo D 1-157.8 1403 1490 31.43% 28.96% 39.61%-0.17 +0.2 7
2007-05-20 @ Orebro D 1-157.8 1490 1403 39.61% 28.96% 31.43%+0.17 -0.2 12
2007-05-21 Djurgarden L 0-344.2 1432 1481 36.60% 29.13% 34.27%+0.05 -12.9 5
2007-05-21 @ Trelleborg W 3-044.2 1481 1432 34.27% 29.13% 36.60%-0.05 +12.9 10
2007-05-21 Halmstad D 1-161.1 1521 1435 55.14% 25.13% 19.73%+0.86 -0.9 10
2007-05-21 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-161.1 1435 1521 19.73% 25.13% 55.14%-0.86 +0.9 11
2007-05-21 Kalmar L 0-343.2 1421 1510 31.21% 28.94% 39.85%-0.18 -11.5 8
2007-05-21 @ GAIS W 3-043.2 1510 1421 39.85% 28.94% 31.21%+0.18 +11.5 13
2007-05-22 Goteborg W 3-150.7 1540 1480 51.64% 26.41% 21.95%+0.70 +5.1 13
2007-05-22 @ Elfsborg L 1-350.7 1480 1540 21.95% 26.41% 51.64%-0.70 -5.1 11
2007-05-22 Helsingborg D 1-156.7 1376 1477 29.66% 28.75% 41.59%-0.26 +0.3 6
2007-05-22 @ Brommapojkarna D 1-156.7 1477 1376 41.59% 28.75% 29.66%+0.26 -0.3 7
2007-05-26 Elfsborg L 0-153.6 1499 1545 37.14% 29.11% 33.75%+0.07 -4.8 11
2007-05-26 @ Hammarby W 1-053.6 1545 1499 33.75% 29.11% 37.14%-0.07 +4.8 16
2007-05-27 Gefle D 1-159.1 1490 1411 54.17% 25.50% 20.32%+0.82 -0.9 13
2007-05-27 @ Malmo D 1-159.1 1411 1490 20.32% 25.50% 54.17%-0.82 +0.9 12
2007-05-27 Trelleborg L 0-154.3 1521 1419 57.13% 24.30% 18.57%+0.96 -6.6 13
2007-05-27 @ Kalmar W 1-054.3 1419 1521 18.57% 24.30% 57.13%-0.96 +6.6 8
2007-05-28 AIK Stockholm W 3-153.9 1494 1520 39.98% 28.93% 31.09%+0.19 +6.8 13
2007-05-28 @ Djurgarden L 1-353.9 1520 1494 31.09% 28.93% 39.98%-0.19 -6.8 10
2007-05-28 Brommapojkarna W 1-040.5 1436 1376 51.63% 26.41% 21.96%+0.70 +3.1 14
2007-05-28 @ Halmstad L 0-140.5 1376 1436 21.96% 26.41% 51.63%-0.70 -3.1 6
2007-05-28 GAIS W 1-042.3 1475 1409 52.49% 26.12% 21.39%+0.74 +3.0 14
2007-05-28 @ Goteborg L 0-142.3 1409 1475 21.39% 26.12% 52.49%-0.74 -3.0 8
2007-05-28 Orebro W 4-142.6 1477 1404 53.47% 25.77% 20.76%+0.79 +6.8 10
2007-05-28 @ Helsingborg L 1-442.6 1404 1477 20.76% 25.77% 53.47%-0.79 -6.8 7
2007-06-10 Orebro D 1-160.0 1513 1397 58.90% 23.51% 17.58%+1.04 -1.1 11
2007-06-10 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-160.0 1397 1513 17.58% 23.51% 58.90%-1.04 +1.1 8
2007-06-11 Gefle W 3-254.4 1425 1412 45.46% 28.09% 26.44%+0.43 +3.3 11
2007-06-11 @ Trelleborg L 2-354.4 1412 1425 26.44% 28.09% 45.46%-0.43 -3.3 12
2007-06-11 Hammarby D 2-265.3 1439 1494 35.80% 29.14% 35.06%+0.02 -0.0 15
2007-06-11 @ Halmstad D 2-265.3 1494 1439 35.06% 29.14% 35.80%-0.02 +0.0 12
2007-06-11 Malmo L 0-144.3 1373 1489 27.90% 28.44% 43.67%-0.35 -3.8 6
2007-06-11 @ Brommapojkarna W 1-044.3 1489 1373 43.67% 28.44% 27.90%+0.35 +3.8 16
2007-06-12 Goteborg W 2-153.4 1501 1478 46.77% 27.80% 25.43%+0.48 +3.4 16
2007-06-12 @ Djurgarden L 1-253.4 1478 1501 25.43% 27.80% 46.77%-0.48 -3.3 14
2007-06-12 Helsingborg W 2-044.7 1514 1484 47.86% 27.53% 24.61%+0.53 +6.5 16
2007-06-12 @ Kalmar L 0-244.7 1484 1514 24.61% 27.53% 47.86%-0.53 -6.5 10
2007-06-14 Elfsborg W 2-159.1 1406 1549 24.95% 27.65% 47.40%-0.51 +5.4 11
2007-06-14 @ GAIS L 1-259.1 1549 1406 47.40% 27.65% 24.95%+0.51 -5.4 16
2007-06-14 Halmstad L 1-259.0 1493 1439 50.99% 26.62% 22.39%+0.67 -5.7 16
2007-06-14 @ Malmo W 2-159.0 1439 1493 22.39% 26.62% 50.99%-0.67 +5.7 18
2007-06-17 Brommapojkarna W 4-036.3 1398 1370 47.52% 27.62% 24.86%+0.52 +12.5 11
2007-06-17 @ Orebro L 0-436.3 1370 1398 24.86% 27.62% 47.52%-0.52 -12.5 6
2007-06-17 Kalmar W 3-262.2 1475 1521 37.11% 29.11% 33.78%+0.07 +4.0 17
2007-06-17 @ Goteborg L 2-362.2 1521 1475 33.78% 29.11% 37.11%-0.07 -4.0 16
2007-06-18 AIK Stockholm D 0-053.8 1409 1512 29.36% 28.70% 41.94%-0.27 +0.4 13
2007-06-18 @ Gefle D 0-053.8 1512 1409 41.94% 28.70% 29.36%+0.27 -0.3 12
2007-06-18 GAIS D 1-158.5 1477 1412 52.44% 26.14% 21.43%+0.74 -0.8 11
2007-06-18 @ Helsingborg D 1-158.5 1412 1477 21.43% 26.14% 52.44%-0.74 +0.8 12
2007-06-18 Trelleborg W 2-040.5 1544 1429 58.75% 23.58% 17.67%+1.04 +4.7 19
2007-06-18 @ Elfsborg L 0-240.5 1429 1544 17.67% 23.58% 58.75%-1.04 -4.7 11
2007-06-19 Djurgarden W 2-046.5 1494 1504 42.18% 28.67% 29.15%+0.28 +7.5 15
2007-06-19 @ Hammarby L 0-246.5 1504 1494 29.15% 28.67% 42.18%-0.28 -7.5 16
2007-06-24 Halmstad W 2-042.6 1409 1444 38.66% 29.03% 32.30%+0.14 +8.1 16
2007-06-24 @ Gefle L 0-242.6 1444 1409 32.30% 29.03% 38.66%-0.14 -8.1 18
2007-06-25 AIK Stockholm D 1-158.9 1413 1512 29.86% 28.78% 41.36%-0.25 +0.3 13
2007-06-25 @ GAIS D 1-158.9 1512 1413 41.36% 28.78% 29.86%+0.25 -0.3 13
2007-06-25 Djurgarden D 0-053.2 1410 1497 31.48% 28.97% 39.55%-0.17 +0.2 12
2007-06-25 @ Orebro D 0-053.2 1497 1410 39.55% 28.97% 31.48%+0.17 -0.2 17
2007-06-25 Helsingborg L 2-359.5 1424 1476 36.21% 29.13% 34.66%+0.03 -4.2 11
2007-06-25 @ Trelleborg W 3-259.5 1476 1424 34.66% 29.13% 36.21%-0.03 +4.2 14
2007-06-26 Brommapojkarna W 3-034.0 1549 1357 67.63% 19.08% 13.30%+1.49 +4.8 22
2007-06-26 @ Elfsborg L 0-334.0 1357 1549 13.30% 19.08% 67.63%-1.49 -4.8 6
2007-06-26 Kalmar L 1-258.9 1487 1517 39.46% 28.97% 31.57%+0.17 -4.7 16
2007-06-26 @ Malmo W 2-158.9 1517 1487 31.57% 28.97% 39.46%-0.17 +4.7 19
2007-06-27 Goteborg W 3-150.6 1501 1479 46.75% 27.81% 25.45%+0.48 +5.8 18
2007-06-27 @ Hammarby L 1-350.6 1479 1501 25.45% 27.81% 46.75%-0.48 -5.8 17
2007-07-01 GAIS W 1-044.5 1352 1413 35.02% 29.14% 35.84%-0.02 +4.6 9
2007-07-01 @ Brommapojkarna L 0-144.5 1413 1352 35.84% 29.14% 35.02%+0.02 -4.6 13
2007-07-02 Gefle W 2-148.9 1497 1417 54.24% 25.48% 20.28%+0.82 +2.7 20
2007-07-02 @ Djurgarden L 1-248.9 1417 1497 20.28% 25.48% 54.24%-0.82 -2.7 16
2007-07-02 Malmo L 1-257.9 1473 1483 42.30% 28.65% 29.05%+0.29 -4.9 17
2007-07-02 @ Goteborg W 2-157.9 1483 1473 29.05% 28.65% 42.30%-0.29 +4.9 19
2007-07-02 Orebro W 2-039.2 1522 1411 58.24% 23.82% 17.95%+1.01 +4.8 22
2007-07-02 @ Kalmar L 0-239.2 1411 1522 17.95% 23.82% 58.24%-1.01 -4.8 12
2007-07-03 Elfsborg W 3-049.0 1436 1554 27.74% 28.40% 43.86%-0.36 +14.7 21
2007-07-03 @ Halmstad L 0-349.0 1554 1436 43.86% 28.40% 27.74%+0.36 -14.7 22
2007-07-03 Trelleborg W 2-039.9 1512 1420 55.83% 24.85% 19.32%+0.90 +5.1 16
2007-07-03 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-239.9 1420 1512 19.32% 24.85% 55.83%-0.90 -5.2 11
2007-07-04 Hammarby W 4-256.7 1481 1507 39.87% 28.94% 31.19%+0.19 +6.1 17
2007-07-04 @ Helsingborg L 2-456.7 1507 1481 31.19% 28.94% 39.87%-0.19 -6.1 18
2007-07-07 Malmo W 1-048.0 1499 1488 45.26% 28.13% 26.60%+0.42 +3.7 23
2007-07-07 @ Djurgarden L 0-148.0 1488 1499 26.60% 28.13% 45.26%-0.42 -3.7 19
2007-07-08 Halmstad L 0-342.7 1406 1451 37.23% 29.11% 33.67%+0.07 -13.0 12
2007-07-08 @ Orebro W 3-042.7 1451 1406 33.67% 29.11% 37.23%-0.07 +13.0 24
2007-07-09 Brommapojkarna D 1-155.4 1415 1357 51.44% 26.48% 22.09%+0.69 -0.8 17
2007-07-09 @ Gefle D 1-155.4 1357 1415 22.09% 26.48% 51.44%-0.69 +0.8 10
2007-07-09 Elfsborg L 0-155.0 1517 1539 40.55% 28.87% 30.58%+0.21 -5.1 16
2007-07-09 @ AIK Stockholm W 1-055.0 1539 1517 30.58% 28.87% 40.55%-0.21 +5.1 25
2007-07-09 Trelleborg W 3-146.8 1408 1415 42.74% 28.59% 28.67%+0.31 +6.4 16
2007-07-09 @ GAIS L 1-346.8 1415 1408 28.67% 28.59% 42.74%-0.31 -6.4 11
2007-07-10 Helsingborg D 0-054.9 1468 1487 41.04% 28.82% 30.15%+0.24 -0.3 18
2007-07-10 @ Goteborg D 0-054.9 1487 1468 30.15% 28.82% 41.04%-0.24 +0.3 18
2007-07-11 Hammarby W 2-046.1 1526 1501 47.11% 27.72% 25.17%+0.50 +6.6 25
2007-07-11 @ Kalmar L 0-246.1 1501 1526 25.17% 27.72% 47.11%-0.50 -6.6 18
2007-07-12 AIK Stockholm W 2-046.8 1544 1512 48.04% 27.48% 24.48%+0.54 +6.5 28
2007-07-12 @ Elfsborg L 0-246.8 1512 1544 24.48% 27.48% 48.04%-0.54 -6.5 16
2007-07-14 GAIS L 0-147.7 1408 1415 42.74% 28.59% 28.68%+0.31 -5.3 11
2007-07-14 @ Trelleborg W 1-047.7 1415 1408 28.68% 28.59% 42.74%-0.31 +5.3 19
2007-07-15 Goteborg D 2-266.5 1487 1468 46.27% 27.92% 25.81%+0.46 -0.4 19
2007-07-15 @ Helsingborg D 2-266.5 1468 1487 25.81% 27.92% 46.27%-0.46 +0.4 19
2007-07-16 Gefle W 2-150.6 1358 1414 35.66% 29.14% 35.20%+0.01 +4.3 13
2007-07-16 @ Brommapojkarna L 1-250.6 1414 1358 35.20% 29.14% 35.66%-0.01 -4.3 17
2007-07-16 Orebro W 3-144.5 1464 1393 53.22% 25.86% 20.93%+0.77 +4.8 27
2007-07-16 @ Halmstad L 1-344.5 1393 1464 20.93% 25.86% 53.22%-0.77 -4.8 12
2007-07-17 Djurgarden D 1-161.2 1484 1503 40.95% 28.83% 30.23%+0.23 -0.3 20
2007-07-17 @ Malmo D 1-161.2 1503 1484 30.23% 28.83% 40.95%-0.23 +0.3 24
2007-07-18 Kalmar W 1-051.7 1495 1533 38.19% 29.06% 32.75%+0.12 +4.3 21
2007-07-18 @ Hammarby L 0-151.7 1533 1495 32.75% 29.06% 38.19%-0.12 -4.3 25
2007-07-21 Elfsborg W 2-159.1 1503 1550 36.98% 29.12% 33.91%+0.06 +4.2 27
2007-07-21 @ Djurgarden L 1-259.1 1550 1503 33.91% 29.12% 36.98%-0.06 -4.2 28
2007-07-23 AIK Stockholm L 2-364.1 1487 1505 41.01% 28.82% 30.17%+0.23 -4.6 19
2007-07-23 @ Helsingborg W 3-264.1 1505 1487 30.17% 28.82% 41.01%-0.23 +4.6 19
2007-07-23 Trelleborg L 0-340.7 1362 1403 37.84% 29.08% 33.08%+0.10 -13.2 13
2007-07-23 @ Brommapojkarna W 3-040.7 1403 1362 33.08% 29.08% 37.84%-0.10 +13.2 14
2007-07-30 GAIS D 2-264.5 1469 1420 50.29% 26.84% 22.87%+0.64 -0.5 28
2007-07-30 @ Halmstad D 2-264.5 1420 1469 22.87% 26.84% 50.29%-0.64 +0.5 20
2007-07-30 Gefle L 0-154.6 1529 1410 59.22% 23.37% 17.41%+1.06 -6.8 25
2007-07-30 @ Kalmar W 1-054.6 1410 1529 17.41% 23.37% 59.22%-1.06 +6.8 20
2007-07-31 Orebro W 2-037.9 1468 1388 54.37% 25.43% 20.20%+0.83 +5.4 22
2007-07-31 @ Goteborg L 0-237.9 1388 1468 20.20% 25.43% 54.37%-0.83 -5.4 12
2007-08-01 Malmo W 1-047.7 1499 1484 45.74% 28.03% 26.23%+0.44 +3.7 24
2007-08-01 @ Hammarby L 0-147.7 1484 1499 26.23% 28.03% 45.74%-0.44 -3.6 20
2007-08-04 Kalmar D 2-270.7 1546 1522 46.96% 27.76% 25.29%+0.49 -0.4 29
2007-08-04 @ Elfsborg D 2-270.7 1522 1546 25.29% 27.76% 46.96%-0.49 +0.4 26
2007-08-05 Halmstad D 1-157.5 1416 1468 36.23% 29.13% 34.64%+0.03 -0.0 15
2007-08-05 @ Trelleborg D 1-157.5 1468 1416 34.64% 29.13% 36.23%-0.03 +0.0 29
2007-08-05 Hammarby W 3-153.1 1382 1503 27.42% 28.33% 44.25%-0.37 +8.8 15
2007-08-05 @ Orebro L 1-353.1 1503 1382 44.25% 28.33% 27.42%+0.37 -8.8 24
2007-08-06 Brommapojkarna W 3-033.6 1510 1349 64.18% 20.92% 14.89%+1.31 +5.6 22
2007-08-06 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-333.6 1349 1510 14.89% 20.92% 64.18%-1.31 -5.6 13
2007-08-06 Djurgarden D 1-159.0 1420 1508 31.42% 28.96% 39.62%-0.18 +0.2 21
2007-08-06 @ GAIS D 1-159.0 1508 1420 39.62% 28.96% 31.42%+0.18 -0.2 28
2007-08-06 Goteborg L 0-244.7 1416 1474 35.49% 29.14% 35.36%+0.00 -8.7 20
2007-08-06 @ Gefle W 2-044.7 1474 1416 35.36% 29.14% 35.49%+0.00 +8.7 25
2007-08-07 Helsingborg D 1-160.3 1480 1482 43.36% 28.49% 28.15%+0.33 -0.4 21
2007-08-07 @ Malmo D 1-160.3 1482 1480 28.15% 28.49% 43.36%-0.33 +0.4 20
2007-08-11 Goteborg L 0-551.3 1522 1482 49.11% 27.19% 23.70%+0.59 -25.9 26
2007-08-11 @ Kalmar W 5-051.3 1482 1522 23.70% 27.19% 49.11%-0.59 +25.9 28
2007-08-12 Gefle W 1-041.9 1515 1408 57.82% 24.00% 18.18%+0.99 +2.6 25
2007-08-12 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-141.9 1408 1515 18.18% 24.00% 57.82%-0.99 -2.6 20
2007-08-12 Helsingborg L 0-343.4 1421 1482 34.87% 29.14% 35.99%-0.02 -12.5 21
2007-08-12 @ GAIS W 3-043.4 1482 1421 35.99% 29.14% 34.87%+0.02 +12.5 23
2007-08-12 Orebro W 3-146.8 1343 1391 36.82% 29.12% 34.06%+0.06 +7.3 16
2007-08-12 @ Brommapojkarna L 1-346.8 1391 1343 34.06% 29.12% 36.82%-0.06 -7.3 15
2007-08-13 Hammarby W 1-048.5 1507 1494 45.52% 28.08% 26.40%+0.43 +3.7 31
2007-08-13 @ Djurgarden L 0-148.5 1494 1507 26.40% 28.08% 45.52%-0.43 -3.7 24
2007-08-13 Malmo L 1-354.7 1468 1480 42.07% 28.68% 29.24%+0.28 -8.5 29
2007-08-13 @ Halmstad W 3-154.7 1480 1468 29.24% 28.68% 42.07%-0.28 +8.5 24
2007-08-16 Djurgarden D 1-162.5 1508 1511 43.24% 28.51% 28.25%+0.33 -0.4 29
2007-08-16 @ Goteborg D 1-162.5 1511 1508 28.25% 28.51% 43.24%-0.33 +0.4 32
2007-08-18 Brommapojkarna W 2-035.3 1488 1350 61.44% 22.31% 16.25%+1.17 +4.2 27
2007-08-18 @ Malmo L 0-235.3 1350 1488 16.25% 22.31% 61.44%-1.17 -4.2 16
2007-08-18 GAIS W 5-141.2 1546 1408 61.42% 22.32% 16.26%+1.17 +6.7 32
2007-08-18 @ Elfsborg L 1-541.2 1408 1546 16.26% 22.32% 61.42%-1.17 -6.7 21
2007-08-19 AIK Stockholm L 1-445.5 1384 1518 25.89% 27.94% 46.17%-0.46 -8.3 15
2007-08-19 @ Orebro W 4-145.5 1518 1384 46.17% 27.94% 25.89%+0.46 +8.3 28
2007-08-19 Halmstad L 0-152.8 1490 1460 47.76% 27.56% 24.68%+0.53 -5.7 24
2007-08-19 @ Hammarby W 1-052.8 1460 1490 24.68% 27.56% 47.76%-0.53 +5.7 32
2007-08-19 Kalmar W 5-044.8 1495 1497 43.39% 28.48% 28.13%+0.34 +17.0 26
2007-08-19 @ Helsingborg L 0-544.8 1497 1495 28.13% 28.48% 43.39%-0.34 -17.0 26
2007-08-19 Trelleborg W 1-043.6 1405 1416 42.09% 28.68% 29.23%+0.28 +4.0 23
2007-08-19 @ Gefle L 0-143.6 1416 1405 29.23% 28.68% 42.09%-0.28 -4.0 15
2007-08-25 Hammarby L 0-239.5 1346 1484 25.46% 27.81% 46.73%-0.48 -6.7 16
2007-08-25 @ Brommapojkarna W 2-039.5 1484 1346 46.73% 27.81% 25.46%+0.48 +6.7 27
2007-08-25 Helsingborg D 0-059.5 1552 1512 49.18% 27.17% 23.65%+0.59 -0.7 33
2007-08-25 @ Elfsborg D 0-059.5 1512 1552 23.65% 27.17% 49.18%-0.59 +0.7 27
2007-08-26 Malmo W 3-151.6 1526 1492 48.28% 27.42% 24.30%+0.55 +5.6 31
2007-08-26 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-351.6 1492 1526 24.30% 27.42% 48.28%-0.55 -5.6 27
2007-08-26 Orebro D 0-050.5 1412 1376 48.62% 27.33% 24.05%+0.56 -0.7 16
2007-08-26 @ Trelleborg D 0-050.5 1376 1412 24.05% 27.33% 48.62%-0.56 +0.7 16
2007-08-27 Gefle W 1-043.2 1401 1409 42.58% 28.61% 28.81%+0.30 +3.9 24
2007-08-27 @ GAIS L 0-143.2 1409 1401 28.81% 28.61% 42.58%-0.30 -3.9 23
2007-08-27 Kalmar L 1-357.7 1511 1480 48.00% 27.50% 24.51%+0.54 -9.4 32
2007-08-27 @ Djurgarden W 3-157.7 1480 1511 24.51% 27.50% 48.00%-0.54 +9.4 29
2007-08-28 Goteborg L 1-354.4 1466 1508 37.68% 29.09% 33.23%+0.09 -7.9 32
2007-08-28 @ Halmstad W 3-154.4 1508 1466 33.23% 29.09% 37.68%-0.09 +7.8 32
2007-09-01 Trelleborg D 0-053.9 1487 1411 53.73% 25.67% 20.60%+0.80 -1.0 28
2007-09-01 @ Malmo D 0-053.9 1411 1487 20.60% 25.67% 53.73%-0.80 +1.0 17
2007-09-02 Brommapojkarna D 0-054.3 1516 1340 65.90% 20.02% 14.09%+1.40 -1.5 33
2007-09-02 @ Goteborg D 0-054.3 1340 1516 14.09% 20.02% 65.90%-1.40 +1.6 17
2007-09-02 Halmstad W 3-041.3 1489 1458 47.90% 27.52% 24.58%+0.53 +9.4 32
2007-09-02 @ Kalmar L 0-341.3 1458 1489 24.58% 27.52% 47.90%-0.53 -9.4 32
2007-09-03 AIK Stockholm L 1-259.2 1491 1532 37.86% 29.08% 33.06%+0.10 -4.5 27
2007-09-03 @ Hammarby W 2-159.2 1532 1491 33.06% 29.08% 37.86%-0.10 +4.6 34
2007-09-03 Djurgarden L 1-455.4 1513 1502 45.11% 28.17% 26.73%+0.41 -12.7 27
2007-09-03 @ Helsingborg W 4-155.4 1502 1513 26.73% 28.17% 45.11%-0.41 +12.7 35
2007-09-03 Elfsborg D 2-266.7 1405 1552 24.58% 27.52% 47.89%-0.53 +0.5 24
2007-09-03 @ Gefle D 2-266.7 1552 1405 47.89% 27.52% 24.58%+0.53 -0.5 34
2007-09-03 GAIS W 2-149.6 1376 1405 39.55% 28.97% 31.49%+0.17 +4.0 19
2007-09-03 @ Orebro L 1-249.6 1405 1376 31.49% 28.97% 39.55%-0.17 -4.0 24
2007-09-15 Elfsborg D 2-270.2 1514 1551 38.38% 29.05% 32.57%+0.12 -0.1 34
2007-09-15 @ Goteborg D 2-270.2 1551 1514 32.57% 29.05% 38.38%-0.12 +0.1 35
2007-09-15 Gefle W 4-355.6 1486 1406 54.44% 25.40% 20.16%+0.83 +2.5 30
2007-09-15 @ Hammarby L 3-455.6 1406 1486 20.16% 25.40% 54.44%-0.83 -2.5 24
2007-09-16 AIK Stockholm D 2-267.3 1448 1536 31.30% 28.95% 39.76%-0.18 +0.2 33
2007-09-16 @ Halmstad D 2-267.3 1536 1448 39.76% 28.95% 31.30%+0.18 -0.2 35
2007-09-16 Brommapojkarna D 1-158.6 1500 1341 63.92% 21.06% 15.02%+1.30 -1.3 28
2007-09-16 @ Helsingborg D 1-158.6 1341 1500 15.02% 21.06% 63.92%-1.30 +1.3 18
2007-09-16 GAIS D 2-265.6 1498 1401 56.46% 24.58% 18.95%+0.93 -0.7 33
2007-09-16 @ Kalmar D 2-265.6 1401 1498 18.95% 24.58% 56.46%-0.93 +0.7 25
2007-09-17 Orebro W 1-040.2 1486 1380 57.53% 24.13% 18.34%+0.98 +2.6 31
2007-09-17 @ Malmo L 0-140.2 1380 1486 18.34% 24.13% 57.53%-0.98 -2.6 19
2007-09-17 Trelleborg D 1-160.4 1515 1412 57.13% 24.30% 18.57%+0.96 -1.0 36
2007-09-17 @ Djurgarden D 1-160.4 1412 1515 18.57% 24.30% 57.13%-0.96 +1.0 18
2007-09-22 Halmstad D 1-155.2 1342 1449 29.04% 28.65% 42.31%-0.29 +0.3 19
2007-09-22 @ Brommapojkarna D 1-155.2 1449 1342 42.31% 28.65% 29.04%+0.29 -0.3 34
2007-09-23 Kalmar L 1-350.4 1413 1498 31.79% 28.99% 39.22%-0.16 -6.9 18
2007-09-23 @ Trelleborg W 3-150.4 1498 1413 39.22% 28.99% 31.79%+0.16 +6.9 36
2007-09-24 Djurgarden D 1-163.8 1536 1514 46.75% 27.81% 25.44%+0.48 -0.5 36
2007-09-24 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-163.8 1514 1536 25.44% 27.81% 46.75%-0.48 +0.5 37
2007-09-24 Hammarby L 1-263.3 1551 1489 52.06% 26.27% 21.67%+0.72 -5.8 35
2007-09-24 @ Elfsborg W 2-163.3 1489 1551 21.67% 26.27% 52.06%-0.72 +5.8 33
2007-09-24 Helsingborg W 4-363.3 1378 1499 27.33% 28.31% 44.36%-0.38 +4.7 22
2007-09-24 @ Orebro L 3-463.3 1499 1378 44.36% 28.31% 27.33%+0.38 -4.7 28
2007-09-24 Malmo W 2-154.9 1403 1488 31.64% 28.98% 39.38%-0.17 +4.7 27
2007-09-24 @ Gefle L 1-254.9 1488 1403 39.38% 28.98% 31.64%+0.17 -4.7 31
2007-09-25 Goteborg L 0-146.1 1402 1514 28.37% 28.53% 43.10%-0.32 -3.9 25
2007-09-25 @ GAIS W 1-046.1 1514 1402 43.10% 28.53% 28.37%+0.32 +3.9 37
2007-09-29 Elfsborg D 1-158.8 1343 1546 19.67% 25.08% 55.25%-0.87 +0.9 20
2007-09-29 @ Brommapojkarna D 1-158.8 1546 1343 55.25% 25.08% 19.67%+0.87 -0.9 36
2007-09-29 Orebro W 4-141.0 1514 1383 60.72% 22.66% 16.62%+1.13 +5.3 40
2007-09-29 @ Djurgarden L 1-441.0 1383 1514 16.62% 22.66% 60.72%-1.13 -5.3 22
2007-09-30 GAIS D 0-056.1 1536 1398 61.41% 22.33% 16.26%+1.17 -1.4 37
2007-09-30 @ AIK Stockholm D 0-056.1 1398 1536 16.26% 22.33% 61.41%-1.17 +1.4 26
2007-09-30 Gefle D 0-052.2 1448 1408 49.16% 27.18% 23.66%+0.59 -0.7 35
2007-09-30 @ Halmstad D 0-052.2 1408 1448 23.66% 27.18% 49.16%-0.59 +0.7 28
2007-09-30 Trelleborg D 1-159.2 1494 1406 55.26% 25.08% 19.66%+0.87 -0.9 29
2007-09-30 @ Helsingborg D 1-159.2 1406 1494 19.66% 25.08% 55.26%-0.87 +0.9 19
2007-10-01 Hammarby W 3-044.1 1518 1495 46.82% 27.79% 25.39%+0.48 +9.7 40
2007-10-01 @ Goteborg L 0-344.1 1495 1518 25.39% 27.79% 46.82%-0.48 -9.7 33
2007-10-01 Malmo W 2-044.8 1505 1484 46.51% 27.86% 25.63%+0.47 +6.7 39
2007-10-01 @ Kalmar L 0-244.8 1484 1505 25.63% 27.86% 46.51%-0.47 -6.7 31
2007-10-06 Goteborg L 0-249.0 1477 1528 36.47% 29.13% 34.40%+0.04 -8.8 31
2007-10-06 @ Malmo W 2-049.0 1528 1477 34.40% 29.13% 36.47%-0.04 +8.9 43
2007-10-07 AIK Stockholm D 0-054.7 1407 1534 26.65% 28.15% 45.21%-0.41 +0.5 20
2007-10-07 @ Trelleborg D 0-054.7 1534 1407 45.21% 28.15% 26.65%+0.41 -0.5 38
2007-10-07 Brommapojkarna W 2-145.4 1400 1344 51.21% 26.55% 22.24%+0.68 +3.0 29
2007-10-07 @ GAIS L 1-245.4 1344 1400 22.24% 26.55% 51.21%-0.68 -3.0 20
2007-10-07 Djurgarden L 0-243.6 1408 1520 28.45% 28.55% 43.00%-0.32 -7.4 28
2007-10-07 @ Gefle W 2-043.6 1520 1408 43.00% 28.55% 28.45%+0.32 +7.3 43
2007-10-08 Halmstad D 1-162.6 1545 1447 56.50% 24.57% 18.93%+0.93 -1.0 37
2007-10-08 @ Elfsborg D 1-162.6 1447 1545 18.93% 24.57% 56.50%-0.93 +1.0 36
2007-10-08 Helsingborg L 0-249.7 1485 1493 42.53% 28.62% 28.85%+0.30 -9.9 33
2007-10-08 @ Hammarby W 2-049.7 1493 1485 28.85% 28.62% 42.53%-0.30 +9.9 32
2007-10-08 Kalmar L 1-347.6 1377 1511 25.87% 27.93% 46.19%-0.46 -5.9 22
2007-10-08 @ Orebro W 3-147.6 1511 1377 46.19% 27.93% 25.87%+0.46 +5.9 42
2007-10-20 Orebro L 0-251.8 1544 1371 65.48% 20.24% 14.28%+1.38 -13.7 37
2007-10-20 @ Elfsborg W 2-051.8 1371 1544 14.28% 20.24% 65.48%-1.38 +13.7 25
2007-10-21 Hammarby W 1-047.7 1408 1475 34.10% 29.12% 36.77%-0.06 +4.7 23
2007-10-21 @ Trelleborg L 0-147.7 1475 1408 36.77% 29.12% 34.10%+0.06 -4.7 33
2007-10-21 Helsingborg W 4-045.3 1401 1503 29.57% 28.73% 41.70%-0.26 +18.5 31
2007-10-21 @ Gefle L 0-445.3 1503 1401 41.70% 28.73% 29.57%+0.26 -18.5 32
2007-10-21 Kalmar L 1-247.8 1341 1517 21.81% 26.34% 51.86%-0.71 -2.9 20
2007-10-21 @ Brommapojkarna W 2-147.8 1517 1341 51.86% 26.34% 21.81%+0.71 +2.9 45
2007-10-22 Djurgarden L 1-255.8 1448 1527 32.57% 29.05% 38.38%-0.12 -4.1 36
2007-10-22 @ Halmstad W 2-155.8 1527 1448 38.38% 29.05% 32.57%+0.12 +4.1 46
2007-10-22 Goteborg L 0-156.2 1534 1536 43.28% 28.50% 28.22%+0.33 -5.3 38
2007-10-22 @ AIK Stockholm W 1-056.2 1536 1534 28.22% 28.50% 43.28%-0.33 +5.3 46
2007-10-22 Malmo L 1-252.8 1403 1468 34.33% 29.13% 36.54%-0.05 -4.2 29
2007-10-22 @ GAIS W 2-152.8 1468 1403 36.54% 29.13% 34.33%+0.05 +4.2 34
2007-10-28 AIK Stockholm W 2-048.2 1520 1529 42.46% 28.63% 28.91%+0.30 +7.5 48
2007-10-28 @ Kalmar L 0-248.2 1529 1520 28.91% 28.63% 42.46%-0.30 -7.5 38
2007-10-28 Brommapojkarna L 0-153.6 1531 1338 67.80% 18.98% 13.22%+1.50 -7.4 46
2007-10-28 @ Djurgarden W 1-053.6 1338 1531 13.22% 18.98% 67.80%-1.50 +7.5 23
2007-10-28 Elfsborg L 1-257.7 1472 1530 35.46% 29.14% 35.40%+0.00 -4.3 34
2007-10-28 @ Malmo W 2-157.7 1530 1472 35.40% 29.14% 35.46%+0.00 +4.3 40
2007-10-28 GAIS W 4-037.0 1470 1398 53.29% 25.83% 20.88%+0.78 +10.6 36
2007-10-28 @ Hammarby L 0-437.0 1398 1470 20.88% 25.83% 53.29%-0.78 -10.6 29
2007-10-28 Gefle L 1-252.3 1385 1420 38.75% 29.03% 32.22%+0.14 -4.6 25
2007-10-28 @ Orebro W 2-152.3 1420 1385 32.22% 29.03% 38.75%-0.14 +4.6 34
2007-10-28 Halmstad W 9-042.4 1484 1444 49.08% 27.20% 23.72%+0.58 +25.7 35
2007-10-28 @ Helsingborg L 0-942.4 1444 1484 23.72% 27.20% 49.08%-0.58 -25.7 36
2007-10-28 Trelleborg W 2-039.4 1542 1413 60.41% 22.81% 16.78%+1.12 +4.4 49
2007-10-28 @ Goteborg L 0-239.4 1413 1542 16.78% 22.81% 60.41%-1.12 -4.4 23

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2007-10-28 13.22% Brommapojkarna 1338 1 @ Djurgarden 1531 0
2 2007-10-20 14.28% Orebro 1371 2 @ Elfsborg 1544 0
3 2007-07-30 17.41% Gefle 1410 1 @ Kalmar 1529 0
4 2007-05-27 18.57% Trelleborg 1419 1 @ Kalmar 1521 0
5 2007-05-14 20.80% GAIS 1415 1 @ Djurgarden 1488 0
6 2007-09-24 21.67% Hammarby 1489 2 @ Elfsborg 1551 1
7 2007-06-14 22.39% Halmstad 1439 2 @ Malmo 1493 1
8 2007-05-05 23.37% Helsingborg 1477 1 @ AIK Stockholm 1520 0
9 2007-08-11 23.70% Goteborg 1482 5 @ Kalmar 1522 0
10 2007-08-27 24.51% Kalmar 1480 3 @ Djurgarden 1511 1
11 2007-08-19 24.68% Halmstad 1460 1 @ Hammarby 1490 0
12 2007-04-09 24.81% Kalmar 1507 1 @ AIK Stockholm 1535 0
13 2007-06-14 24.95% @ GAIS 1406 2 Elfsborg 1549 1
14 2007-09-03 26.73% Djurgarden 1502 4 @ Helsingborg 1513 1
15 2007-09-24 27.33% @ Orebro 1378 4 Helsingborg 1499 3
16 2007-08-05 27.42% @ Orebro 1382 3 Hammarby 1503 1
17 2007-07-03 27.74% @ Halmstad 1436 3 Elfsborg 1554 0
18 2007-05-15 28.21% Malmo 1485 1 @ Helsingborg 1482 0
19 2007-10-22 28.22% Goteborg 1536 1 @ AIK Stockholm 1534 0
20 2007-07-14 28.68% GAIS 1415 1 @ Trelleborg 1408 0
21 2007-10-08 28.85% Helsingborg 1493 2 @ Hammarby 1485 0
22 2007-07-02 29.05% Malmo 1483 2 @ Goteborg 1473 1
23 2007-08-13 29.24% Malmo 1480 3 @ Halmstad 1468 1
24 2007-05-06 29.36% @ Gefle 1407 2 Kalmar 1510 1
25 2007-10-21 29.57% @ Gefle 1401 4 Helsingborg 1503 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-08-11 25.85 Goteborg 5 1482 23.70% @ Kalmar 0 1522 49.11% 27.19%
2 2007-10-28 25.73 @ Helsingborg 9 1484 49.08% Halmstad 0 1444 23.72% 27.20%
3 2007-10-21 18.53 @ Gefle 4 1401 29.57% Helsingborg 0 1503 41.70% 28.73%
4 2007-05-07 17.62 Goteborg 4 1457 32.04% @ Orebro 0 1424 38.95% 29.01%
5 2007-08-19 17.04 @ Helsingborg 5 1495 43.39% Kalmar 0 1497 28.13% 28.48%
6 2007-04-28 16.98 @ Malmo 4 1468 33.86% AIK Stockholm 0 1537 37.02% 29.11%
7 2007-07-03 14.73 @ Halmstad 3 1436 27.74% Elfsborg 0 1554 43.86% 28.40%
8 2007-10-20 13.71 Orebro 2 1371 14.28% @ Elfsborg 0 1544 65.48% 20.24%
9 2007-07-23 13.21 Trelleborg 3 1403 33.08% @ Brommapojkarna 0 1362 37.84% 29.08%
10 2007-07-08 13.05 Halmstad 3 1451 33.67% @ Orebro 0 1406 37.23% 29.11%
11 2007-05-21 12.89 Djurgarden 3 1481 34.27% @ Trelleborg 0 1432 36.60% 29.13%
12 2007-09-03 12.69 Djurgarden 4 1502 26.73% @ Helsingborg 1 1513 45.11% 28.17%
13 2007-06-17 12.46 @ Orebro 4 1398 47.52% Brommapojkarna 0 1370 24.86% 27.62%
14 2007-08-12 12.45 Helsingborg 3 1482 35.99% @ GAIS 0 1421 34.87% 29.14%
15 2007-05-21 11.48 Kalmar 3 1510 39.85% @ GAIS 0 1421 31.21% 28.94%
16 2007-10-28 10.58 @ Hammarby 4 1470 53.29% GAIS 0 1398 20.88% 25.83%
17 2007-10-08 9.91 Helsingborg 2 1493 28.85% @ Hammarby 0 1485 42.53% 28.62%
18 2007-10-01 9.71 @ Goteborg 3 1518 46.82% Hammarby 0 1495 25.39% 27.79%
19 2007-04-29 9.48 @ Hammarby 4 1491 56.76% Brommapojkarna 0 1392 18.78% 24.46%
20 2007-09-02 9.44 @ Kalmar 3 1489 47.90% Halmstad 0 1458 24.58% 27.52%
21 2007-04-14 9.41 @ Hammarby 3 1485 48.01% Trelleborg 0 1453 24.49% 27.49%
22 2007-08-27 9.41 Kalmar 3 1480 24.51% @ Djurgarden 1 1511 48.00% 27.50%
23 2007-10-06 8.86 Goteborg 2 1528 34.40% @ Malmo 0 1477 36.47% 29.13%
24 2007-08-05 8.84 @ Orebro 3 1382 27.42% Hammarby 1 1503 44.25% 28.33%
25 2007-08-06 8.68 Goteborg 2 1474 35.36% @ Gefle 0 1416 35.49% 29.14%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-08-04 70.7 @ Elfsborg 2 1546 46.96% Kalmar 2 1522 25.29% 27.76%
2 2007-09-15 70.2 @ Goteborg 2 1514 38.38% Elfsborg 2 1551 32.57% 29.05%
3 2007-05-07 69.6 @ Elfsborg 2 1540 50.86% Djurgarden 2 1487 22.48% 26.66%
4 2007-09-16 67.3 @ Halmstad 2 1448 31.30% AIK Stockholm 2 1536 39.76% 28.95%
5 2007-09-03 66.7 @ Gefle 2 1405 24.58% Elfsborg 2 1552 47.89% 27.52%
6 2007-05-06 66.5 @ Trelleborg 3 1440 51.39% Brommapojkarna 3 1383 22.12% 26.49%
7 2007-07-15 66.5 @ Helsingborg 2 1487 46.27% Goteborg 2 1468 25.81% 27.92%
8 2007-04-15 66.2 @ Kalmar 2 1512 58.91% Brommapojkarna 2 1396 17.58% 23.51%
9 2007-09-16 65.6 @ Kalmar 2 1498 56.46% GAIS 2 1401 18.95% 24.58%
10 2007-06-11 65.3 @ Halmstad 2 1439 35.80% Hammarby 2 1494 35.06% 29.14%
11 2007-07-30 64.5 @ Halmstad 2 1469 50.29% GAIS 2 1420 22.87% 26.84%
12 2007-07-23 64.1 AIK Stockholm 3 1505 30.17% @ Helsingborg 2 1487 41.01% 28.82%
13 2007-09-24 63.8 @ AIK Stockholm 1 1536 46.75% Djurgarden 1 1514 25.44% 27.81%
14 2007-09-24 63.3 Hammarby 2 1489 21.67% @ Elfsborg 1 1551 52.06% 26.27%
15 2007-09-24 63.3 @ Orebro 4 1378 27.33% Helsingborg 3 1499 44.36% 28.31%
16 2007-04-07 62.8 @ Elfsborg 1 1538 53.04% Malmo 1 1468 21.04% 25.92%
17 2007-10-08 62.6 @ Elfsborg 1 1545 56.50% Halmstad 1 1447 18.93% 24.57%
18 2007-08-16 62.5 @ Goteborg 1 1508 43.24% Djurgarden 1 1511 28.25% 28.51%
19 2007-06-17 62.2 @ Goteborg 3 1475 37.11% Kalmar 2 1521 33.78% 29.11%
20 2007-04-23 61.3 @ Elfsborg 1 1537 61.13% Gefle 1 1402 16.40% 22.46%
21 2007-05-08 61.2 @ Malmo 1 1485 41.45% Hammarby 1 1501 29.79% 28.77%
22 2007-07-17 61.2 @ Malmo 1 1484 40.95% Djurgarden 1 1503 30.23% 28.83%
23 2007-05-21 61.1 @ AIK Stockholm 1 1521 55.14% Halmstad 1 1435 19.73% 25.13%
24 2007-09-17 60.4 @ Djurgarden 1 1515 57.13% Trelleborg 1 1412 18.57% 24.30%
25 2007-08-07 60.3 @ Malmo 1 1480 43.36% Helsingborg 1 1482 28.15% 28.49%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-08-06 33.6 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1510 64.18% Brommapojkarna 0 1349 14.89% 20.92%
2 2007-06-26 34.0 @ Elfsborg 3 1549 67.63% Brommapojkarna 0 1357 13.30% 19.08%
3 2007-08-18 35.3 @ Malmo 2 1488 61.44% Brommapojkarna 0 1350 16.25% 22.31%
4 2007-06-17 36.3 @ Orebro 4 1398 47.52% Brommapojkarna 0 1370 24.86% 27.62%
5 2007-04-29 36.5 @ Hammarby 4 1491 56.76% Brommapojkarna 0 1392 18.78% 24.46%
6 2007-10-28 37.0 @ Hammarby 4 1470 53.29% GAIS 0 1398 20.88% 25.83%
7 2007-07-31 37.9 @ Goteborg 2 1468 54.37% Orebro 0 1388 20.20% 25.43%
8 2007-07-02 39.2 @ Kalmar 2 1522 58.24% Orebro 0 1411 17.95% 23.82%
9 2007-10-28 39.4 @ Goteborg 2 1542 60.41% Trelleborg 0 1413 16.78% 22.81%
10 2007-05-14 39.5 @ Goteborg 2 1475 52.08% Gefle 0 1412 21.66% 26.26%
11 2007-08-25 39.5 Hammarby 2 1484 46.73% @ Brommapojkarna 0 1346 25.46% 27.81%
12 2007-07-03 39.9 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1512 55.83% Trelleborg 0 1420 19.32% 24.85%
13 2007-09-17 40.2 @ Malmo 1 1486 57.53% Orebro 0 1380 18.34% 24.13%
14 2007-05-28 40.5 @ Halmstad 1 1436 51.63% Brommapojkarna 0 1376 21.96% 26.41%
15 2007-06-18 40.5 @ Elfsborg 2 1544 58.75% Trelleborg 0 1429 17.67% 23.58%
16 2007-07-23 40.7 Trelleborg 3 1403 33.08% @ Brommapojkarna 0 1362 37.84% 29.08%
17 2007-04-14 41.0 @ Hammarby 3 1485 48.01% Trelleborg 0 1453 24.49% 27.49%
18 2007-09-29 41.0 @ Djurgarden 4 1514 60.72% Orebro 1 1383 16.62% 22.66%
19 2007-04-16 41.2 @ Djurgarden 2 1478 49.41% Halmstad 0 1436 23.49% 27.11%
20 2007-08-18 41.2 @ Elfsborg 5 1546 61.42% GAIS 1 1408 16.26% 22.32%
21 2007-09-02 41.3 @ Kalmar 3 1489 47.90% Halmstad 0 1458 24.58% 27.52%
22 2007-05-12 41.8 AIK Stockholm 2 1514 45.79% @ Brommapojkarna 0 1383 26.18% 28.02%
23 2007-05-13 41.9 @ Hammarby 1 1501 56.24% Orebro 0 1406 19.08% 24.68%
24 2007-08-12 41.9 @ AIK Stockholm 1 1515 57.82% Gefle 0 1408 18.18% 24.00%
25 2007-05-28 42.3 @ Goteborg 1 1475 52.49% GAIS 0 1409 21.39% 26.12%