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2009-10 Super League Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Basel

80 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Basel

15.31 points above expected

80 points · 64.69 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Zurich

13.83 points below expected

45 points · 58.83 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Basel 36 25 5 6 80 90 46 +44 64.69 +15.31
2 Young Boys 36 25 2 9 77 78 47 +31 68.61 +8.39
3 Grasshopper 36 21 2 13 65 65 43 +22 52.80 +12.20
4 Luzern 36 17 7 12 58 66 55 +11 50.99 +7.01
5 Sion 36 14 9 13 51 63 57 +6 46.95 +4.05
6 St. Gallen 36 13 7 16 46 53 56 -3 56.60 -10.60
7 Zurich 36 12 9 15 45 55 58 -3 58.83 -13.83
8 Neuchatel Xamax 36 11 8 17 41 55 57 -2 52.13 -11.13
9 Bellinzona 36 7 4 25 25 42 92 -50 31.89 -6.89
10 Aarau 36 6 5 25 23 32 88 -56 26.84 -3.84
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Bellinzona 2 1 1 0 4 2 1 +1 — —
2 Lugano 2 0 1 1 1 1 2 -1 — —

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Basel 80 64.69 +15.31
2 Grasshopper 65 52.80 +12.20
3 Young Boys 77 68.61 +8.39
4 Luzern 58 50.99 +7.01
5 Sion 51 46.95 +4.05

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Zurich 45 58.83 -13.83
2 Neuchatel Xamax 41 52.13 -11.13
3 St. Gallen 46 56.60 -10.60
4 Bellinzona 25 31.89 -6.89
5 Aarau 23 26.84 -3.84

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aarau 3 Apr 13 – Apr 24 1 in 415
2 Neuchatel Xamax 5 Aug 31 – Oct 3 1 in 60
3 Basel 5 Sep 13 – Oct 25 1 in 31
4 Grasshopper 4 Mar 6 – Mar 17 1 in 29
5 Young Boys 6 Jul 26 – Aug 30 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Zurich 4 Apr 17 – May 6 1 in 106
2 Neuchatel Xamax 5 Mar 25 – Apr 13 1 in 102
3 Luzern 4 Mar 7 – Mar 24 1 in 24
4 St. Gallen 4 Sep 23 – Oct 25 1 in 15
5 Bellinzona 7 Mar 21 – Apr 17 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Luzern 6 Oct 29 – Feb 7 1 in 66
2 Aarau 3 Apr 13 – Apr 24 1 in 38
3 Neuchatel Xamax 7 Aug 16 – Oct 3 1 in 29
4 Basel 8 Sep 13 – Nov 9 1 in 23
5 Sion 4 Oct 25 – Nov 8 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Neuchatel Xamax 10 Oct 25 – Feb 28 1 in 911
2 Aarau 17 Jul 19 – Dec 6 1 in 80
3 St. Gallen 6 Aug 29 – Oct 25 1 in 21
4 Basel 5 Aug 2 – Aug 30 1 in 18
5 Bellinzona 7 Aug 9 – Sep 27 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Basel 1894 80 -4 12 10.4 +1.6
Young Boys 1772 77 -33 9 9.4 -0.4
Grasshopper 1800 65 +45 9 9.4 -0.4
Luzern 1737 58 +94 13 7.8 +5.2
Sion 1681 51 -24 6 7.8 -1.8
St. Gallen 1643 46 -81 3 8.4 -5.4
Zurich 1655 45 -42 4 6.0 -2.0
Neuchatel Xamax 1611 41 +6 4 4.6 -0.6
Bellinzona 1456 29 +28 8 4.5 +3.5
Aarau 1435 23 +20 6 3.0 +3.0
Lugano 1645 1 -20 1 4.3 -3.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AAR BAS BEL GRA LUZ NX SIO SG YB ZUR
Aarau —
0-0-4
2.34
2-0-2
4.60
1-0-3
3.09
0-0-4
2.97
1-1-2
3.16
0-2-2
3.14
1-1-2
2.40
0-0-4
2.06
1-1-2
2.28
Basel
4-0-0
9.04
—
4-0-0
8.71
1-0-3
7.38
3-1-0
7.42
3-1-0
6.85
3-1-0
7.62
3-0-1
6.57
2-0-2
5.11
2-2-0
6.71
Bellinzona
2-0-2
6.73
0-0-4
2.69
—
0-1-3
3.50
0-1-3
3.92
1-1-2
3.93
2-0-2
3.38
1-1-2
3.44
0-0-4
2.25
1-0-3
3.10
Grasshopper
3-0-1
8.28
3-0-1
3.96
3-1-0
7.85
—
0-1-3
6.13
3-0-1
5.89
3-0-1
6.49
2-0-2
5.54
2-0-2
3.78
2-0-2
5.64
Luzern
4-0-0
8.39
0-1-3
3.92
3-1-0
7.42
3-1-0
5.20
—
3-1-0
5.46
0-1-3
6.13
1-1-2
4.77
1-1-2
3.56
2-0-2
4.88
Neuchatel Xamax
2-1-1
8.21
0-1-3
4.49
2-1-1
7.42
1-0-3
5.43
0-1-3
5.87
—
1-1-2
6.29
1-1-2
5.64
2-0-2
3.54
2-2-0
5.08
Sion
2-2-0
8.21
0-1-3
3.72
2-0-2
7.96
1-0-3
4.84
3-1-0
5.19
2-1-1
5.03
—
2-1-1
4.96
2-0-2
3.15
0-3-1
4.75
St. Gallen
2-1-1
8.97
1-0-3
4.75
2-1-1
7.92
2-0-2
5.78
2-1-1
6.56
2-1-1
5.70
1-1-2
6.37
—
0-1-3
3.98
1-1-2
5.50
Young Boys
4-0-0
9.36
2-0-2
6.21
4-0-0
9.14
2-0-2
7.55
2-1-1
7.78
2-0-2
7.80
2-0-2
8.20
3-1-0
7.35
—
4-0-0
6.67
Zurich
2-1-1
9.10
0-2-2
4.61
3-0-1
8.25
2-0-2
5.70
2-0-2
6.44
0-2-2
6.24
1-3-0
6.57
2-1-1
5.82
0-0-4
4.66
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.94 +11.3
Allowed 0.77 -10.2
Differential 0.93 +5.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.30%5.77%4.95%2.20%3.30%1.37%20.88%
15.77%9.34%9.62%4.95%3.02%1.10%33.79%
24.95%9.62%2.20%2.75%1.37%0.27%21.15%
32.20%4.95%2.75%1.65%0.55%0.27%12.36%
43.30%3.02%1.37%0.55%—0.27%8.52%
5+1.37%1.10%0.27%0.27%0.27%—3.30%
Total20.88%33.79%21.15%12.36%8.52%3.30%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 1.65 +0.00
SD 1.39 1.39 2.17
CV 0.84 0.84 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%2.78%11.11%8.33%13.89%2.78%41.67%
18.33%5.56%13.89%5.56%5.56%2.78%41.67%
22.78%2.78%2.78%—2.78%—11.11%
3———2.78%——2.78%
4———————
5+———2.78%——2.78%
Total13.89%11.11%27.78%19.44%22.22%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 2.44 -1.56
SD 1.17 1.52 2.01
CV 1.31 0.62 —
Max 6 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——5.56%—2.78%—8.33%
12.78%5.56%5.56%2.78%——16.67%
28.33%11.11%8.33%———27.78%
35.56%5.56%8.33%———19.44%
48.33%5.56%2.78%2.78%——19.44%
5+5.56%———2.78%—8.33%
Total30.56%27.78%30.56%5.56%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 1.28 +1.22
SD 1.42 1.14 2.03
CV 0.57 0.89 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%—15.79%—2.63%5.26%31.58%
1—5.26%15.79%5.26%7.89%2.63%36.84%
2—10.53%—5.26%2.63%—18.42%
3—2.63%5.26%——2.63%10.53%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+———————
Total7.89%21.05%36.84%10.53%13.16%10.53%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.16 2.45 -1.29
SD 1.08 1.74 2.09
CV 0.93 0.71 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%2.78%—2.78%—22.22%
111.11%—2.78%8.33%——22.22%
28.33%16.67%—2.78%2.78%—30.56%
3—5.56%2.78%—2.78%—11.11%
48.33%2.78%————11.11%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total36.11%36.11%8.33%11.11%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.19 +0.61
SD 1.55 1.28 2.18
CV 0.86 1.07 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%——2.78%2.78%16.67%
15.56%13.89%8.33%5.56%——33.33%
22.78%19.44%—2.78%—2.78%27.78%
3—2.78%————2.78%
42.78%2.78%5.56%——2.78%13.89%
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total19.44%47.22%13.89%8.33%2.78%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 1.53 +0.31
SD 1.52 1.42 2.16
CV 0.83 0.93 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%13.89%—5.56%——22.22%
12.78%11.11%13.89%5.56%5.56%—38.89%
22.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%——13.89%
35.56%2.78%—5.56%——13.89%
42.78%5.56%2.78%———11.11%
5+———————
Total16.67%38.89%19.44%19.44%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.58 -0.06
SD 1.30 1.16 1.87
CV 0.85 0.73 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%5.56%——2.78%16.67%
15.56%16.67%5.56%8.33%2.78%—38.89%
2—8.33%2.78%2.78%——13.89%
32.78%11.11%—2.78%2.78%—19.44%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
Total13.89%47.22%16.67%13.89%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 1.58 +0.17
SD 1.40 1.23 1.99
CV 0.80 0.78 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.56%2.78%—2.78%—11.11%
111.11%16.67%13.89%5.56%—2.78%50.00%
28.33%2.78%2.78%5.56%5.56%—25.00%
32.78%5.56%2.78%———11.11%
4———————
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total25.00%30.56%22.22%11.11%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.56 -0.08
SD 1.03 1.36 1.86
CV 0.70 0.88 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—2.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%—11.11%
15.56%5.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%25.00%
28.33%19.44%————27.78%
35.56%8.33%5.56%———19.44%
45.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
5+—5.56%————5.56%
Total25.00%44.44%16.67%5.56%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.17 1.31 +0.86
SD 1.52 1.24 2.29
CV 0.70 0.95 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%2.78%5.56%2.78%—25.00%
15.56%13.89%8.33%—5.56%—33.33%
28.33%—2.78%5.56%——16.67%
3—5.56%2.78%5.56%——13.89%
42.78%5.56%—2.78%——11.11%
5+———————
Total19.44%36.11%16.67%19.44%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.61 -0.08
SD 1.32 1.25 1.87
CV 0.86 0.77 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Basel 1894 80 64.69 +15.31 98.0% 46 51 60 65 69 78 87
Grasshopper 1800 65 52.80 +12.20 96.0% 37 41 48 52 57 63 76
Young Boys 1772 77 68.61 +8.39 84.0% 52 54 62 70 75 80 85
Luzern 1737 58 50.99 +7.01 84.0% 33 39 46 50 56 65 69
Sion 1681 51 46.95 +4.05 70.0% 27 31 42 46 53 60 66
Zurich 1655 45 58.83 -13.83 3.0% 37 47 55 60 62 69 71
St. Gallen 1643 46 56.60 -10.60 9.0% 38 45 52 56 62 68 81
Neuchatel Xamax 1611 41 52.13 -11.13 8.0% 37 38 46 51 59 64 71
Bellinzona 1456 25 31.89 -6.89 16.0% 16 21 26 32 36 43 49
Aarau 1435 23 26.84 -3.84 31.0% 12 17 22 26 31 38 47

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 15% * Slight Edge: 15% to 22.5% * Clear Edge: 22.5% to 26.5% * Strong Edge: 26.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+26.37%
Clear Edge
54.95%16.48%28.57%
Elo Value
Home Edge
173 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
093.85500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.66 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.54+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.8
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
26%
Basel, 2nd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.08/gm
Tight Race
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.98 * Some Luck: 5.98 to 8.97 * Lucky: 8.97 to 11.96 * Wild Swing: 11.96 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.97 * Close: 0.97 to 1.46 * Off: 1.46 to 1.94 * Way Off: 1.94 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
10.04 points
Lucky
07.4719
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.80
Off
01.212.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
98.00%
Basel
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
3.00%
Zurich
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 76% * Wide Edge: 76% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 94.5% * Dominant: 94.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51% * Some Drama: 51% to 55.5% * Frequent: 55.5% to 59.5% * Very Frequent: 59.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18% * Occasional: 18% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 27% * Very Frequent: 27% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Lopsided
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 147.57
2.34
Wide Separation
11.651.852.052.75
Interquartile Edge
70%
Slight Edge
50%63%71%76%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
93%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
54%
Some Drama
0%51%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Frequent
0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21% * As Expected: 21% to 23.5% * Upset-Prone: 23.5% to 26% * Very Upset-Prone: 26% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17.5% * As Expected: 17.5% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 22.5% * Very Shaky: 22.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.53
Highly Predictable
00.542
Matchup Imbalance
0.41
Slight Separation
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.91
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.50
Some Carryover
00.420.631
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Upset-Prone
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.44
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.99
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.073
Well Within Noise
00.1170.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Basel26.00%36.00%15.00%9.00%8.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%——
Young Boys52.00%20.00%12.00%8.00%5.00%3.00%————
Grasshopper2.00%8.00%6.00%14.00%17.00%28.00%10.00%13.00%2.00%—
Luzern2.00%4.00%8.00%11.00%14.00%17.00%23.00%18.00%3.00%—
Sion—3.00%4.00%11.00%7.00%17.00%20.00%27.00%8.00%3.00%
St. Gallen6.00%8.00%19.00%16.00%25.00%9.00%10.00%5.00%2.00%—
Zurich10.00%15.00%23.00%20.00%12.00%9.00%9.00%1.00%1.00%—
Neuchatel Xamax2.00%6.00%13.00%11.00%12.00%14.00%21.00%20.00%1.00%—
Bellinzona——————3.00%12.00%54.00%31.00%
Aarau—————1.00%1.00%3.00%29.00%66.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff Direct relegation
Basel 100% — —
Young Boys 100% — —
Neuchatel Xamax 99.00% 1.00% —
Zurich 99.00% 1.00% —
Grasshopper 98.00% 2.00% —
St. Gallen 98.00% 2.00% —
Luzern 97.00% 3.00% —
Sion 89.00% 8.00% 3.00%
Aarau 5.00% 29.00% 66.00%
Bellinzona — 100% —

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team Won relegation playoff Lost relegation playoff
Bellinzona 21.35% 78.65%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2009-07-11 Grasshopper W 1-057.0 1593 1663 44.68% 17.08% 38.24%+0.14 +11.1 3
2009-07-11 @ Aarau L 0-157.0 1663 1593 38.24% 17.08% 44.68%-0.14 -11.1 0
2009-07-12 Basel W 2-053.3 1682 1703 51.42% 16.98% 31.60%+0.42 +17.8 3
2009-07-12 @ St. Gallen L 0-253.3 1703 1682 31.60% 16.98% 51.42%-0.42 -17.8 0
2009-07-12 Neuchatel Xamax D 1-172.3 1638 1631 54.86% 16.89% 28.25%+0.58 -1.7 1
2009-07-12 @ Bellinzona D 1-172.3 1631 1638 28.25% 16.89% 54.86%-0.58 +1.7 1
2009-07-14 Young Boys L 2-374.4 1757 1747 55.17% 16.88% 27.95%+0.60 -13.6 0
2009-07-14 @ Zurich W 3-274.4 1747 1757 27.95% 16.88% 55.17%-0.60 +13.6 3
2009-07-18 St. Gallen D 1-174.1 1761 1700 61.03% 16.62% 22.35%+0.89 -2.5 4
2009-07-18 @ Young Boys D 1-174.1 1700 1761 22.35% 16.62% 61.03%-0.89 +2.6 4
2009-07-18 Zurich W 3-054.6 1633 1743 38.99% 17.08% 43.93%-0.09 +34.1 4
2009-07-18 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 0-354.6 1743 1633 43.93% 17.08% 38.99%+0.09 -34.1 0
2009-07-19 Aarau W 2-156.9 1685 1604 63.08% 16.50% 20.42%+1.01 +6.0 3
2009-07-19 @ Basel L 1-256.9 1604 1685 20.42% 16.50% 63.08%-1.01 -6.0 3
2009-07-19 Luzern L 1-266.8 1636 1637 53.86% 16.92% 29.22%+0.54 -14.1 1
2009-07-19 @ Bellinzona W 2-166.8 1637 1636 29.22% 16.92% 53.86%-0.54 +14.1 3
2009-07-19 Sion W 3-155.2 1652 1611 58.86% 16.73% 24.40%+0.78 +12.3 3
2009-07-19 @ Grasshopper L 1-355.2 1611 1652 24.40% 16.73% 58.86%-0.78 -12.3 0
2009-07-22 Luzern W 3-158.5 1599 1651 47.18% 17.05% 35.77%+0.24 +17.1 3
2009-07-22 @ Sion L 1-358.5 1651 1599 35.77% 17.05% 47.18%-0.24 -17.1 3
2009-07-22 St. Gallen W 1-055.6 1709 1703 54.78% 16.89% 28.33%+0.58 +8.6 3
2009-07-22 @ Zurich L 0-155.6 1703 1709 28.33% 16.89% 54.78%-0.58 -8.6 4
2009-07-25 Bellinzona W 4-152.0 1717 1622 64.51% 16.40% 19.09%+1.09 +13.9 6
2009-07-25 @ Zurich L 1-452.0 1622 1717 19.09% 16.40% 64.51%-1.09 -13.8 1
2009-07-25 Neuchatel Xamax D 1-173.4 1694 1667 57.30% 16.80% 25.90%+0.70 -2.0 5
2009-07-25 @ St. Gallen D 1-173.4 1667 1694 25.90% 16.80% 57.30%-0.70 +2.0 5
2009-07-26 Basel L 1-264.4 1616 1691 44.04% 17.08% 38.88%+0.11 -11.8 3
2009-07-26 @ Sion W 2-164.4 1691 1616 38.88% 17.08% 44.04%-0.11 +11.8 6
2009-07-26 Grasshopper W 2-160.9 1634 1665 50.13% 17.01% 32.86%+0.37 +9.2 6
2009-07-26 @ Luzern L 1-260.9 1665 1634 32.86% 17.01% 50.13%-0.37 -9.2 3
2009-07-26 Young Boys L 0-350.9 1598 1758 32.28% 17.00% 50.73%-0.38 -26.3 3
2009-07-26 @ Aarau W 3-050.9 1758 1598 50.73% 17.00% 32.28%+0.38 +26.3 7
2009-08-01 Aarau W 4-151.2 1608 1572 58.32% 16.76% 24.92%+0.75 +17.7 4
2009-08-01 @ Bellinzona L 1-451.2 1572 1608 24.92% 16.76% 58.32%-0.75 -17.7 3
2009-08-01 Sion L 1-366.4 1669 1605 61.40% 16.60% 22.00%+0.91 -27.6 5
2009-08-01 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 3-166.4 1605 1669 22.00% 16.60% 61.40%-0.91 +27.6 6
2009-08-02 Grasshopper W 2-048.8 1785 1655 67.57% 16.14% 16.29%+1.29 +9.8 10
2009-08-02 @ Young Boys L 0-248.8 1655 1785 16.29% 16.14% 67.57%-1.29 -9.8 3
2009-08-02 Luzern D 1-173.3 1703 1644 60.88% 16.63% 22.49%+0.89 -2.5 7
2009-08-02 @ Basel D 1-173.3 1644 1703 22.49% 16.63% 60.88%-0.89 +2.5 7
2009-08-08 Aarau D 1-170.8 1632 1554 62.78% 16.52% 20.70%+0.99 -2.8 7
2009-08-08 @ Sion D 1-170.8 1554 1632 20.70% 16.52% 62.78%-0.99 +2.8 4
2009-08-08 St. Gallen L 1-363.3 1646 1692 47.99% 17.04% 34.97%+0.28 -22.0 3
2009-08-08 @ Grasshopper W 3-163.3 1692 1646 34.97% 17.04% 47.99%-0.28 +22.0 8
2009-08-09 Bellinzona W 4-257.8 1794 1626 70.73% 15.79% 13.48%+1.52 +6.3 13
2009-08-09 @ Young Boys L 2-457.8 1626 1794 13.48% 15.79% 70.73%-1.52 -6.3 4
2009-08-09 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-159.4 1646 1641 54.61% 16.90% 28.49%+0.57 +8.1 10
2009-08-09 @ Luzern L 1-259.4 1641 1646 28.49% 16.90% 54.61%-0.57 -8.1 5
2009-08-09 Zurich D 1-173.8 1700 1731 50.05% 17.01% 32.94%+0.36 -1.1 8
2009-08-09 @ Basel D 1-173.8 1731 1700 32.94% 17.01% 50.05%-0.36 +1.1 7
2009-08-15 Bellinzona D 1-173.3 1714 1620 64.43% 16.40% 19.17%+1.09 -3.0 9
2009-08-15 @ St. Gallen D 1-173.3 1620 1714 19.17% 16.40% 64.43%-1.09 +3.0 5
2009-08-15 Zurich D 3-383.4 1629 1732 40.01% 17.08% 42.90%-0.05 +0.1 8
2009-08-15 @ Sion D 3-383.4 1732 1629 42.90% 17.08% 40.01%+0.05 -0.1 8
2009-08-16 Basel W 3-160.5 1624 1699 43.94% 17.08% 38.98%+0.11 +18.4 6
2009-08-16 @ Grasshopper L 1-360.5 1699 1624 38.98% 17.08% 43.94%-0.11 -18.4 8
2009-08-16 Neuchatel Xamax L 0-451.0 1557 1633 43.87% 17.08% 39.05%+0.10 -44.5 4
2009-08-16 @ Aarau W 4-051.0 1633 1557 39.05% 17.08% 43.87%-0.10 +44.5 8
2009-08-16 Young Boys L 1-262.5 1654 1801 34.03% 17.03% 48.94%-0.30 -9.5 10
2009-08-16 @ Luzern W 2-162.5 1801 1654 48.94% 17.03% 34.03%+0.30 +9.5 16
2009-08-22 Aarau W 1-047.9 1711 1513 72.86% 15.50% 11.65%+1.69 +3.7 12
2009-08-22 @ St. Gallen L 0-147.9 1513 1711 11.65% 15.50% 72.86%-1.69 -3.7 4
2009-08-22 Luzern W 4-046.4 1732 1645 63.76% 16.45% 19.79%+1.05 +22.2 11
2009-08-22 @ Zurich L 0-446.4 1645 1732 19.79% 16.45% 63.76%-1.05 -22.2 10
2009-08-23 Basel D 2-278.9 1678 1681 53.63% 16.93% 29.45%+0.52 -1.2 9
2009-08-23 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 2-278.9 1681 1678 29.45% 16.93% 53.63%-0.52 +1.2 9
2009-08-23 Grasshopper D 0-068.4 1623 1642 51.53% 16.98% 31.49%+0.43 -1.4 6
2009-08-23 @ Bellinzona D 0-068.4 1642 1623 31.49% 16.98% 51.53%-0.43 +1.4 7
2009-08-23 Sion W 3-153.1 1810 1629 71.62% 15.67% 12.70%+1.59 +6.6 19
2009-08-23 @ Young Boys L 1-353.1 1629 1810 12.70% 15.67% 71.62%-1.59 -6.7 8
2009-08-29 St. Gallen W 3-161.4 1622 1715 41.55% 17.09% 41.36%+0.01 +19.3 13
2009-08-29 @ Luzern L 1-361.4 1715 1622 41.36% 17.09% 41.55%-0.01 -19.3 12
2009-08-29 Zurich D 1-172.3 1509 1754 22.46% 16.63% 60.92%-0.88 +2.5 5
2009-08-29 @ Aarau D 1-172.3 1754 1509 60.92% 16.63% 22.46%+0.88 -2.5 12
2009-08-30 Bellinzona W 3-156.3 1623 1621 54.23% 16.91% 28.86%+0.55 +14.2 11
2009-08-30 @ Sion L 1-356.3 1621 1623 28.86% 16.91% 54.23%-0.55 -14.2 6
2009-08-30 Young Boys L 1-263.2 1682 1817 35.60% 17.05% 47.35%-0.24 -9.8 9
2009-08-30 @ Basel W 2-163.2 1817 1682 47.35% 17.05% 35.60%+0.24 +9.8 22
2009-08-31 Neuchatel Xamax L 1-363.7 1644 1676 49.79% 17.01% 33.20%+0.35 -22.7 7
2009-08-31 @ Grasshopper W 3-163.7 1676 1644 33.20% 17.01% 49.79%-0.35 +22.7 12
2009-09-12 Grasshopper W 4-365.2 1752 1621 67.73% 16.12% 16.15%+1.30 +4.5 15
2009-09-12 @ Zurich L 3-465.2 1621 1752 16.15% 16.12% 67.73%-1.30 -4.5 7
2009-09-12 Sion D 1-173.2 1695 1637 60.77% 16.64% 22.59%+0.88 -2.5 13
2009-09-12 @ St. Gallen D 1-173.2 1637 1695 22.59% 16.64% 60.77%-0.88 +2.5 12
2009-09-13 Basel L 2-369.8 1607 1672 45.38% 17.07% 37.55%+0.17 -11.5 6
2009-09-13 @ Bellinzona W 3-269.8 1672 1607 37.55% 17.07% 45.38%-0.17 +11.4 12
2009-09-13 Luzern L 2-461.0 1511 1642 36.20% 17.06% 46.75%-0.21 -15.5 5
2009-09-13 @ Aarau W 4-261.0 1642 1511 46.75% 17.06% 36.20%+0.21 +15.5 16
2009-09-13 Young Boys W 3-056.1 1699 1827 36.60% 17.06% 46.34%-0.19 +35.7 15
2009-09-13 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 0-356.1 1827 1699 46.34% 17.06% 36.60%+0.19 -35.7 22
2009-09-23 Aarau W 4-040.5 1616 1496 66.82% 16.21% 16.98%+1.24 +19.2 10
2009-09-23 @ Grasshopper L 0-440.5 1496 1616 16.98% 16.21% 66.82%-1.24 -19.2 5
2009-09-23 St. Gallen W 4-049.6 1684 1693 52.86% 16.95% 30.19%+0.49 +32.4 15
2009-09-23 @ Basel L 0-449.6 1693 1684 30.19% 16.95% 52.86%-0.49 -32.4 13
2009-09-23 Zurich W 3-049.7 1791 1756 58.14% 16.77% 25.09%+0.74 +21.1 25
2009-09-23 @ Young Boys L 0-349.7 1756 1791 25.09% 16.77% 58.14%-0.74 -21.1 15
2009-09-24 Bellinzona W 4-150.7 1735 1595 68.44% 16.05% 15.51%+1.35 +11.4 18
2009-09-24 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 1-450.7 1595 1735 15.51% 16.05% 68.44%-1.35 -11.4 6
2009-09-24 Sion L 1-267.8 1657 1640 56.18% 16.84% 26.97%+0.65 -14.6 16
2009-09-24 @ Luzern W 2-167.8 1640 1657 26.97% 16.84% 56.18%-0.65 +14.6 15
2009-09-26 Basel L 0-247.9 1477 1716 23.09% 16.66% 60.25%-0.84 -13.5 5
2009-09-26 @ Aarau W 2-047.9 1716 1477 60.25% 16.66% 23.09%+0.84 +13.5 18
2009-09-26 Young Boys L 2-367.8 1660 1812 33.37% 17.02% 49.62%-0.33 -8.8 13
2009-09-26 @ St. Gallen W 3-267.8 1812 1660 49.62% 17.02% 33.37%+0.33 +8.8 28
2009-09-27 Bellinzona W 2-048.4 1643 1584 60.80% 16.64% 22.57%+0.88 +13.2 19
2009-09-27 @ Luzern L 0-248.4 1584 1643 22.57% 16.64% 60.80%-0.88 -13.2 6
2009-09-27 Grasshopper L 2-373.2 1654 1636 56.27% 16.84% 26.89%+0.65 -13.9 15
2009-09-27 @ Sion W 3-273.2 1636 1654 26.89% 16.84% 56.27%-0.65 +13.9 13
2009-09-27 Neuchatel Xamax L 1-268.2 1735 1746 52.64% 16.95% 30.41%+0.48 -13.8 15
2009-09-27 @ Zurich W 2-168.2 1746 1735 30.41% 16.95% 52.64%-0.48 +13.8 21
2009-10-03 Luzern D 0-069.0 1650 1656 53.24% 16.94% 29.83%+0.51 -1.7 14
2009-10-03 @ Grasshopper D 0-069.0 1656 1650 29.83% 16.94% 53.24%-0.51 +1.7 20
2009-10-03 St. Gallen W 4-259.3 1760 1652 65.74% 16.30% 17.96%+1.17 +8.3 24
2009-10-03 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 2-459.3 1652 1760 17.96% 16.30% 65.74%-1.17 -8.3 13
2009-10-04 Aarau W 4-040.1 1821 1463 81.20% 13.60% 5.20%+2.61 +5.9 31
2009-10-04 @ Young Boys L 0-440.1 1463 1821 5.20% 13.60% 81.20%-2.61 -5.9 5
2009-10-04 Sion W 5-046.6 1729 1640 63.92% 16.44% 19.64%+1.06 +27.2 21
2009-10-04 @ Basel L 0-546.6 1640 1729 19.64% 16.44% 63.92%-1.06 -27.2 15
2009-10-04 Zurich W 3-271.2 1571 1721 33.49% 17.02% 49.49%-0.33 +12.4 9
2009-10-04 @ Bellinzona L 2-371.2 1721 1571 49.49% 17.02% 33.49%+0.33 -12.4 15
2009-10-24 Bellinzona L 1-255.5 1457 1583 36.82% 17.06% 46.12%-0.18 -10.1 5
2009-10-24 @ Aarau W 2-155.5 1583 1457 46.12% 17.06% 36.82%+0.18 +10.1 12
2009-10-24 Young Boys W 2-168.3 1648 1827 29.91% 16.94% 53.16%-0.49 +13.9 17
2009-10-24 @ Grasshopper L 1-268.3 1827 1648 53.16% 16.94% 29.91%+0.49 -13.9 31
2009-10-25 Basel L 4-574.5 1658 1757 40.56% 17.08% 42.35%-0.03 -10.0 20
2009-10-25 @ Luzern W 5-474.5 1757 1658 42.35% 17.08% 40.56%+0.03 +10.0 24
2009-10-25 Neuchatel Xamax W 1-062.0 1613 1768 32.89% 17.01% 50.10%-0.35 +14.0 18
2009-10-25 @ Sion L 0-162.0 1768 1613 50.10% 17.01% 32.89%+0.35 -14.0 24
2009-10-25 Zurich L 1-362.7 1643 1709 45.30% 17.07% 37.63%+0.16 -20.9 13
2009-10-25 @ St. Gallen W 3-162.7 1709 1643 37.63% 17.07% 45.30%-0.16 +20.9 18
2009-10-28 Basel D 2-279.7 1730 1767 49.29% 17.02% 33.69%+0.33 -0.7 19
2009-10-28 @ Zurich D 2-279.7 1767 1730 33.69% 17.02% 49.29%-0.33 +0.7 25
2009-10-28 Grasshopper W 1-056.2 1622 1662 48.93% 17.03% 34.04%+0.32 +10.0 16
2009-10-28 @ St. Gallen L 0-156.2 1662 1622 34.04% 17.03% 48.93%-0.32 -10.0 17
2009-10-28 Sion D 0-063.5 1447 1627 29.79% 16.94% 53.28%-0.50 +1.7 6
2009-10-28 @ Aarau D 0-063.5 1627 1447 53.28% 16.94% 29.79%+0.50 -1.7 19
2009-10-29 Luzern D 1-173.9 1754 1647 65.59% 16.31% 18.09%+1.16 -3.2 25
2009-10-29 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 1-173.9 1647 1754 18.09% 16.31% 65.59%-1.16 +3.2 21
2009-10-29 Young Boys L 1-751.6 1593 1813 25.19% 16.77% 58.05%-0.73 -33.4 12
2009-10-29 @ Bellinzona W 7-151.6 1813 1593 58.05% 16.77% 25.19%+0.73 +33.4 34
2009-10-31 Grasshopper W 3-154.5 1767 1652 66.39% 16.25% 17.36%+1.21 +9.0 28
2009-10-31 @ Basel L 1-354.5 1652 1767 17.36% 16.25% 66.39%-1.21 -9.0 17
2009-10-31 Sion D 1-173.5 1729 1625 65.32% 16.33% 18.35%+1.14 -3.1 20
2009-10-31 @ Zurich D 1-173.5 1625 1729 18.35% 16.33% 65.32%-1.14 +3.1 20
2009-11-01 Aarau D 3-381.9 1751 1449 78.78% 14.31% 6.91%+2.29 -3.1 26
2009-11-01 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 3-381.9 1449 1751 6.91% 14.31% 78.78%-2.29 +3.1 7
2009-11-01 Luzern D 1-174.6 1846 1651 72.67% 15.53% 11.81%+1.67 -4.2 35
2009-11-01 @ Young Boys D 1-174.6 1651 1846 11.81% 15.53% 72.67%-1.67 +4.2 22
2009-11-01 St. Gallen L 0-551.5 1560 1632 44.36% 17.08% 38.56%+0.12 -55.4 12
2009-11-01 @ Bellinzona W 5-051.5 1632 1560 38.56% 17.08% 44.36%-0.12 +55.4 19
2009-11-07 Bellinzona W 7-043.0 1643 1505 68.33% 16.06% 15.60%+1.34 +30.1 20
2009-11-07 @ Grasshopper L 0-743.0 1505 1643 15.60% 16.06% 68.33%-1.34 -30.1 12
2009-11-07 St. Gallen L 0-246.6 1452 1688 23.44% 16.68% 59.88%-0.82 -13.6 7
2009-11-07 @ Aarau W 2-046.6 1688 1452 59.88% 16.68% 23.44%+0.82 +13.7 22
2009-11-08 Young Boys W 3-167.0 1629 1842 25.85% 16.80% 57.36%-0.69 +25.8 23
2009-11-08 @ Sion L 1-367.0 1842 1629 57.36% 16.80% 25.85%+0.69 -25.8 35
2009-11-08 Zurich W 1-058.5 1655 1726 44.53% 17.08% 38.39%+0.13 +11.1 25
2009-11-08 @ Luzern L 0-158.5 1726 1655 38.39% 17.08% 44.53%-0.13 -11.1 20
2009-11-09 Neuchatel Xamax W 4-155.2 1776 1748 57.42% 16.80% 25.79%+0.71 +18.2 31
2009-11-09 @ Basel L 1-455.2 1748 1776 25.79% 16.80% 57.42%-0.71 -18.2 26
2009-11-28 Grasshopper L 0-165.2 1730 1673 60.63% 16.64% 22.73%+0.87 -16.7 26
2009-11-28 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 1-065.2 1673 1730 22.73% 16.64% 60.63%-0.87 +16.7 23
2009-11-28 Luzern D 1-173.5 1702 1666 58.26% 16.76% 24.98%+0.75 -2.2 23
2009-11-28 @ St. Gallen D 1-173.5 1666 1702 24.98% 16.76% 58.26%-0.75 +2.2 26
2009-11-29 Aarau W 2-041.7 1715 1438 77.51% 14.62% 7.87%+2.14 +4.8 23
2009-11-29 @ Zurich L 0-241.7 1438 1715 7.87% 14.62% 77.51%-2.14 -4.8 7
2009-11-29 Basel W 2-052.5 1816 1795 56.64% 16.83% 26.54%+0.67 +15.3 38
2009-11-29 @ Young Boys L 0-252.5 1795 1816 26.54% 16.83% 56.64%-0.67 -15.2 31
2009-11-29 Sion W 3-160.8 1475 1654 29.78% 16.94% 53.28%-0.50 +24.1 15
2009-11-29 @ Bellinzona L 1-360.8 1654 1475 53.28% 16.94% 29.78%+0.50 -24.1 23
2009-12-05 St. Gallen W 2-162.9 1630 1699 44.84% 17.07% 38.09%+0.14 +10.4 26
2009-12-05 @ Sion L 1-262.9 1699 1630 38.09% 17.07% 44.84%-0.14 -10.4 23
2009-12-05 Zurich W 1-057.0 1690 1720 50.14% 17.01% 32.85%+0.37 +9.8 26
2009-12-05 @ Grasshopper L 0-157.0 1720 1690 32.85% 17.01% 50.14%-0.37 -9.7 23
2009-12-06 Aarau W 6-038.8 1668 1434 75.16% 15.11% 9.73%+1.90 +16.4 29
2009-12-06 @ Luzern L 0-638.8 1434 1668 9.73% 15.11% 75.16%-1.90 -16.4 7
2009-12-06 Bellinzona W 3-257.7 1779 1499 77.72% 14.58% 7.71%+2.17 +2.2 34
2009-12-06 @ Basel L 2-357.7 1499 1779 7.71% 14.58% 77.72%-2.17 -2.2 15
2009-12-06 Neuchatel Xamax W 1-052.6 1831 1713 66.62% 16.23% 17.15%+1.23 +5.4 41
2009-12-06 @ Young Boys L 0-152.6 1713 1831 17.15% 16.23% 66.62%-1.23 -5.4 26
2010-02-06 Neuchatel Xamax D 0-070.0 1710 1708 54.30% 16.91% 28.79%+0.56 -1.8 24
2010-02-06 @ Zurich D 0-070.0 1708 1710 28.79% 16.91% 54.30%-0.56 +1.8 27
2010-02-06 Sion W 1-053.5 1689 1641 59.68% 16.69% 23.63%+0.82 +7.3 26
2010-02-06 @ St. Gallen L 0-153.5 1641 1689 23.63% 16.69% 59.68%-0.82 -7.3 26
2010-02-07 Bellinzona W 6-351.5 1417 1496 43.41% 17.08% 39.51%+0.08 +21.1 10
2010-02-07 @ Aarau L 3-651.5 1496 1417 39.51% 17.08% 43.41%-0.08 -21.1 15
2010-02-07 Grasshopper W 4-263.1 1685 1699 52.16% 16.96% 30.88%+0.46 +13.5 32
2010-02-07 @ Luzern L 2-463.1 1699 1685 30.88% 16.96% 52.16%-0.46 -13.5 26
2010-02-07 Young Boys W 4-052.4 1782 1837 46.75% 17.06% 36.19%+0.22 +37.9 37
2010-02-07 @ Basel L 0-452.4 1837 1782 36.19% 17.06% 46.75%-0.22 -37.9 41
2010-02-13 Luzern W 2-157.9 1799 1698 65.05% 16.36% 18.60%+1.13 +5.5 44
2010-02-13 @ Young Boys L 1-257.9 1698 1799 18.60% 16.36% 65.05%-1.13 -5.5 32
2010-02-14 Basel L 1-361.8 1710 1819 39.05% 17.08% 43.87%-0.09 -18.4 27
2010-02-14 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 3-161.8 1819 1710 43.87% 17.08% 39.05%+0.09 +18.4 40
2010-02-14 Zurich D 1-173.1 1633 1708 44.03% 17.08% 38.89%+0.11 -0.3 27
2010-02-14 @ Sion D 1-173.1 1708 1633 38.89% 17.08% 44.03%-0.11 +0.3 25
2010-02-20 Aarau W 2-150.8 1838 1438 82.79% 13.03% 4.18%+2.85 +1.2 43
2010-02-20 @ Basel L 1-250.8 1438 1838 4.18% 13.03% 82.79%-2.85 -1.2 10
2010-02-21 Bellinzona W 2-151.2 1692 1475 74.09% 15.30% 10.61%+1.80 +3.2 35
2010-02-21 @ Luzern L 1-251.2 1475 1692 10.61% 15.30% 74.09%-1.80 -3.2 15
2010-02-21 Neuchatel Xamax D 1-173.0 1633 1691 46.37% 17.06% 36.57%+0.21 -0.6 28
2010-02-21 @ Sion D 1-173.0 1691 1633 36.57% 17.06% 46.37%-0.21 +0.6 28
2010-02-21 Young Boys L 1-264.3 1696 1804 39.26% 17.08% 43.66%-0.08 -10.7 26
2010-02-21 @ St. Gallen W 2-164.3 1804 1696 43.66% 17.08% 39.26%+0.08 +10.7 47
2010-02-27 Zurich W 2-157.8 1815 1709 65.58% 16.31% 18.11%+1.16 +5.4 50
2010-02-27 @ Young Boys L 1-257.8 1709 1815 18.11% 16.31% 65.58%-1.16 -5.4 25
2010-02-28 Basel L 0-246.5 1472 1839 12.67% 15.67% 71.66%-1.58 -7.7 15
2010-02-28 @ Bellinzona W 2-046.5 1839 1472 71.66% 15.67% 12.67%+1.58 +7.7 46
2010-02-28 Luzern L 1-253.8 1437 1696 21.16% 16.55% 62.29%-0.95 -6.2 10
2010-02-28 @ Aarau W 2-153.8 1696 1437 62.29% 16.55% 21.16%+0.95 +6.2 38
2010-02-28 St. Gallen L 0-357.8 1692 1686 54.79% 16.89% 28.32%+0.58 -41.5 28
2010-02-28 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 3-057.8 1686 1692 28.32% 16.89% 54.79%-0.58 +41.5 29
2010-03-06 Bellinzona W 2-150.1 1632 1464 70.69% 15.80% 13.51%+1.51 +4.1 31
2010-03-06 @ Sion L 1-250.1 1464 1632 13.51% 15.80% 70.69%-1.51 -4.1 15
2010-03-06 Grasshopper L 1-273.3 1847 1686 70.16% 15.86% 13.98%+1.47 -18.2 46
2010-03-06 @ Basel W 2-173.3 1686 1847 13.98% 15.86% 70.16%-1.47 +18.2 29
2010-03-07 Aarau D 2-276.2 1727 1431 78.49% 14.39% 7.12%+2.26 -3.7 30
2010-03-07 @ St. Gallen D 2-276.2 1431 1727 7.12% 14.39% 78.49%-2.26 +3.7 11
2010-03-07 Luzern W 1-055.8 1703 1702 54.17% 16.91% 28.92%+0.55 +8.7 28
2010-03-07 @ Zurich L 0-155.8 1702 1703 28.92% 16.91% 54.17%-0.55 -8.7 38
2010-03-07 Young Boys W 1-063.1 1650 1821 30.96% 16.97% 52.07%-0.44 +14.5 31
2010-03-07 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 0-163.1 1821 1650 52.07% 16.97% 30.96%+0.44 -14.5 50
2010-03-10 Aarau W 2-041.4 1704 1435 77.13% 14.71% 8.16%+2.10 +4.9 32
2010-03-10 @ Grasshopper L 0-241.4 1435 1704 8.16% 14.71% 77.13%-2.10 -4.9 11
2010-03-10 St. Gallen L 0-246.9 1460 1723 20.75% 16.52% 62.73%-0.98 -12.2 15
2010-03-10 @ Bellinzona W 2-046.9 1723 1460 62.73% 16.52% 20.75%+0.98 +12.2 33
2010-03-13 Neuchatel Xamax W 3-269.6 1448 1665 25.51% 16.78% 57.71%-0.71 +14.2 18
2010-03-13 @ Bellinzona L 2-369.6 1665 1448 57.71% 16.78% 25.51%+0.71 -14.2 31
2010-03-13 Zurich L 1-350.8 1430 1712 18.99% 16.39% 64.62%-1.09 -9.8 11
2010-03-13 @ Aarau W 3-150.8 1712 1430 64.62% 16.39% 18.99%+1.09 +9.8 31
2010-03-14 Basel L 0-158.3 1693 1829 35.52% 17.05% 47.43%-0.24 -10.4 38
2010-03-14 @ Luzern W 1-058.3 1829 1693 47.43% 17.05% 35.52%+0.24 +10.4 49
2010-03-14 Sion W 1-051.0 1806 1637 70.81% 15.78% 13.41%+1.52 +4.3 53
2010-03-14 @ Young Boys L 0-151.0 1637 1806 13.41% 15.78% 70.81%-1.52 -4.3 31
2010-03-14 St. Gallen W 2-162.0 1709 1736 50.61% 17.00% 32.39%+0.39 +9.1 35
2010-03-14 @ Grasshopper L 1-262.0 1736 1709 32.39% 17.00% 50.61%-0.39 -9.1 33
2010-03-17 Sion W 2-049.3 1718 1632 63.58% 16.46% 19.96%+1.04 +11.8 38
2010-03-17 @ Grasshopper L 0-249.3 1632 1718 19.96% 16.46% 63.58%-1.04 -11.8 31
2010-03-20 Grasshopper W 4-047.3 1810 1730 63.08% 16.50% 20.43%+1.01 +22.8 56
2010-03-20 @ Young Boys L 0-447.3 1730 1810 20.43% 16.50% 63.08%-1.01 -22.8 38
2010-03-20 Luzern W 5-260.6 1620 1683 45.78% 17.07% 37.15%+0.18 +21.6 34
2010-03-20 @ Sion L 2-560.6 1683 1620 37.15% 17.07% 45.78%-0.18 -21.6 38
2010-03-21 Aarau W 2-148.0 1650 1420 74.93% 15.15% 9.92%+1.88 +3.0 34
2010-03-21 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 1-248.0 1420 1650 9.92% 15.15% 74.93%-1.88 -3.0 11
2010-03-21 Basel L 2-466.3 1726 1839 38.67% 17.08% 44.25%-0.11 -16.3 33
2010-03-21 @ St. Gallen W 4-266.3 1839 1726 44.25% 17.08% 38.67%+0.11 +16.3 52
2010-03-21 Bellinzona W 2-042.7 1722 1462 76.58% 14.83% 8.59%+2.04 +5.2 34
2010-03-21 @ Zurich L 0-242.7 1462 1722 8.59% 14.83% 76.58%-2.04 -5.2 18
2010-03-24 Sion L 0-342.0 1417 1642 24.56% 16.74% 58.70%-0.76 -20.7 11
2010-03-24 @ Aarau W 3-042.0 1642 1417 58.70% 16.74% 24.56%+0.76 +20.7 37
2010-03-24 St. Gallen L 2-371.5 1661 1710 47.62% 17.05% 35.33%+0.26 -11.9 38
2010-03-24 @ Luzern W 3-271.5 1710 1661 35.33% 17.05% 47.62%-0.26 +11.9 36
2010-03-24 Zurich W 4-152.3 1855 1727 67.52% 16.14% 16.34%+1.29 +12.0 55
2010-03-24 @ Basel L 1-452.3 1727 1855 16.34% 16.14% 67.52%-1.29 -12.0 34
2010-03-25 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-158.5 1707 1654 60.24% 16.67% 23.10%+0.85 +6.7 41
2010-03-25 @ Grasshopper L 1-258.5 1654 1707 23.10% 16.67% 60.24%-0.85 -6.7 34
2010-03-25 Young Boys L 1-351.6 1457 1833 12.11% 15.58% 72.31%-1.63 -6.4 18
2010-03-25 @ Bellinzona W 3-151.6 1833 1457 72.31% 15.58% 12.11%+1.63 +6.3 59
2010-03-27 Basel D 2-279.8 1663 1867 26.86% 16.84% 56.31%-0.64 +1.4 38
2010-03-27 @ Sion D 2-279.8 1867 1663 56.31% 16.84% 26.86%+0.64 -1.4 56
2010-03-27 Zurich W 1-055.8 1722 1715 54.91% 16.89% 28.20%+0.58 +8.5 39
2010-03-27 @ St. Gallen L 0-155.8 1715 1722 28.20% 16.89% 54.91%-0.58 -8.5 34
2010-03-28 Aarau W 3-147.1 1840 1396 84.25% 12.42% 3.33%+3.11 +1.7 62
2010-03-28 @ Young Boys L 1-347.1 1396 1840 3.33% 12.42% 84.25%-3.11 -1.7 11
2010-03-28 Bellinzona W 2-042.2 1714 1451 76.77% 14.79% 8.44%+2.06 +5.1 44
2010-03-28 @ Grasshopper L 0-242.2 1451 1714 8.44% 14.79% 76.77%-2.06 -5.1 18
2010-03-28 Luzern L 1-267.1 1647 1649 53.72% 16.92% 29.36%+0.53 -14.0 34
2010-03-28 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 2-167.1 1649 1647 29.36% 16.92% 53.72%-0.53 +14.0 41
2010-04-01 Grasshopper L 1-254.2 1446 1719 19.82% 16.45% 63.73%-1.04 -5.9 18
2010-04-01 @ Bellinzona W 2-154.2 1719 1446 63.73% 16.45% 19.82%+1.04 +5.8 47
2010-04-01 Sion W 4-364.4 1866 1664 73.08% 15.46% 11.45%+1.71 +3.2 59
2010-04-01 @ Basel L 3-464.4 1664 1866 11.45% 15.46% 73.08%-1.71 -3.2 38
2010-04-01 St. Gallen D 1-173.9 1706 1731 50.92% 16.99% 32.09%+0.40 -1.2 35
2010-04-01 @ Zurich D 1-173.9 1731 1706 32.09% 16.99% 50.92%-0.40 +1.2 40
2010-04-03 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-158.6 1663 1633 57.67% 16.78% 25.54%+0.72 +7.4 44
2010-04-03 @ Luzern L 1-258.6 1633 1663 25.54% 16.78% 57.67%-0.72 -7.4 34
2010-04-03 Young Boys L 1-545.2 1394 1841 8.51% 14.81% 76.68%-2.04 -8.2 11
2010-04-03 @ Aarau W 5-145.2 1841 1394 76.68% 14.81% 8.51%+2.04 +8.2 65
2010-04-05 Grasshopper W 3-267.0 1705 1725 51.55% 16.98% 31.47%+0.43 +8.4 38
2010-04-05 @ Zurich L 2-367.0 1725 1705 31.47% 16.98% 51.55%-0.43 -8.4 47
2010-04-10 Aarau W 4-035.1 1661 1386 77.40% 14.65% 7.95%+2.13 +9.1 41
2010-04-10 @ Sion L 0-435.1 1386 1661 7.95% 14.65% 77.40%-2.13 -9.1 11
2010-04-10 Bellinzona W 2-150.9 1849 1440 83.14% 12.89% 3.97%+2.91 +1.2 68
2010-04-10 @ Young Boys L 1-250.9 1440 1849 3.97% 12.89% 83.14%-2.91 -1.2 18
2010-04-10 Grasshopper L 0-159.2 1625 1716 41.75% 17.09% 41.17%+0.02 -11.9 34
2010-04-10 @ Neuchatel Xamax W 1-059.2 1716 1625 41.17% 17.09% 41.75%-0.02 +11.9 50
2010-04-11 Basel L 1-262.6 1714 1869 32.84% 17.01% 50.15%-0.36 -9.2 38
2010-04-11 @ Zurich W 2-162.6 1869 1714 50.15% 17.01% 32.84%+0.36 +9.2 62
2010-04-11 Luzern W 3-156.0 1732 1671 61.08% 16.62% 22.30%+0.90 +11.3 43
2010-04-11 @ St. Gallen L 1-356.0 1671 1732 22.30% 16.62% 61.08%-0.90 -11.3 44
2010-04-13 Neuchatel Xamax W 1-055.6 1377 1613 23.40% 16.68% 59.92%-0.82 +16.5 14
2010-04-13 @ Aarau L 0-155.6 1613 1377 59.92% 16.68% 23.40%+0.82 -16.5 34
2010-04-13 Young Boys W 2-166.4 1728 1851 37.28% 17.07% 45.66%-0.17 +12.1 53
2010-04-13 @ Grasshopper L 1-266.4 1851 1728 45.66% 17.07% 37.28%+0.17 -12.1 68
2010-04-14 Sion D 1-173.0 1659 1670 52.66% 16.95% 30.39%+0.48 -1.4 45
2010-04-14 @ Luzern D 1-173.0 1670 1659 30.39% 16.95% 52.66%-0.48 +1.4 42
2010-04-14 St. Gallen W 3-262.7 1878 1743 68.08% 16.09% 15.83%+1.32 +4.5 65
2010-04-14 @ Basel L 2-362.7 1743 1878 15.83% 16.09% 68.08%-1.32 -4.5 43
2010-04-14 Zurich L 1-448.8 1439 1704 20.50% 16.50% 63.00%-0.99 -14.8 18
2010-04-14 @ Bellinzona W 4-148.8 1704 1439 63.00% 16.50% 20.50%+0.99 +14.8 41
2010-04-17 Aarau L 0-165.1 1719 1394 79.85% 14.02% 6.13%+2.43 -21.8 41
2010-04-17 @ Zurich W 1-065.1 1394 1719 6.13% 14.02% 79.85%-2.43 +21.8 17
2010-04-17 Bellinzona W 2-039.2 1597 1424 71.07% 15.75% 13.18%+1.54 +8.0 37
2010-04-17 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 0-239.2 1424 1597 13.18% 15.75% 71.07%-1.54 -8.0 18
2010-04-18 Grasshopper L 0-163.6 1739 1740 53.82% 16.92% 29.26%+0.53 -14.9 43
2010-04-18 @ St. Gallen W 1-063.6 1740 1739 29.26% 16.92% 53.82%-0.53 +14.9 56
2010-04-18 Luzern W 5-044.2 1883 1658 74.58% 15.22% 10.21%+1.84 +14.5 68
2010-04-18 @ Basel L 0-544.2 1658 1883 10.21% 15.22% 74.58%-1.84 -14.5 45
2010-04-18 Young Boys W 4-163.0 1672 1838 31.38% 16.98% 51.64%-0.42 +33.1 45
2010-04-18 @ Sion L 1-463.0 1838 1672 51.64% 16.98% 31.38%+0.42 -33.2 68
2010-04-24 St. Gallen W 2-059.5 1415 1724 16.81% 16.19% 67.00%-1.24 +34.7 20
2010-04-24 @ Aarau L 0-259.5 1724 1415 67.00% 16.19% 16.81%+1.24 -34.7 43
2010-04-24 Zurich W 4-157.3 1643 1697 46.94% 17.06% 36.00%+0.23 +24.3 48
2010-04-24 @ Luzern L 1-457.3 1697 1643 36.00% 17.06% 46.94%-0.23 -24.3 41
2010-04-25 Basel W 4-056.1 1755 1897 34.62% 17.04% 48.35%-0.28 +48.4 59
2010-04-25 @ Grasshopper L 0-456.1 1897 1755 48.35% 17.04% 34.62%+0.28 -48.4 68
2010-04-25 Neuchatel Xamax W 4-150.0 1805 1605 73.00% 15.48% 11.52%+1.70 +8.6 71
2010-04-25 @ Young Boys L 1-450.0 1605 1805 11.52% 15.48% 73.00%-1.70 -8.5 37
2010-04-25 Sion W 2-166.6 1416 1705 18.43% 16.34% 65.23%-1.13 +16.9 21
2010-04-25 @ Bellinzona L 1-266.6 1705 1416 65.23% 16.34% 18.43%+1.13 -16.9 45
2010-05-01 Grasshopper W 1-061.0 1688 1804 38.20% 17.07% 44.72%-0.13 +12.6 48
2010-05-01 @ Sion L 0-161.0 1804 1688 44.72% 17.07% 38.20%+0.13 -12.6 59
2010-05-01 Neuchatel Xamax W 2-156.5 1689 1596 64.26% 16.42% 19.33%+1.08 +5.7 46
2010-05-01 @ St. Gallen L 1-256.5 1596 1689 19.33% 16.42% 64.26%-1.08 -5.7 37
2010-05-02 Aarau W 4-038.5 1668 1450 74.12% 15.30% 10.58%+1.80 +12.2 51
2010-05-02 @ Luzern L 0-438.5 1450 1668 10.58% 15.30% 74.12%-1.80 -12.2 20
2010-05-02 Bellinzona W 4-039.4 1849 1433 83.36% 12.80% 3.84%+2.95 +4.3 71
2010-05-02 @ Basel L 0-439.4 1433 1849 3.84% 12.80% 83.36%-2.95 -4.3 21
2010-05-02 Young Boys L 0-254.8 1673 1814 34.78% 17.04% 48.18%-0.27 -19.3 41
2010-05-02 @ Zurich W 2-054.8 1814 1673 48.18% 17.04% 34.78%+0.27 +19.3 74
2010-05-05 Basel L 0-342.9 1438 1853 9.98% 15.17% 74.85%-1.86 -8.8 20
2010-05-05 @ Aarau W 3-042.9 1853 1438 74.85% 15.17% 9.98%+1.86 +8.8 74
2010-05-05 St. Gallen W 2-157.0 1833 1695 68.36% 16.06% 15.58%+1.34 +4.7 77
2010-05-05 @ Young Boys L 1-257.0 1695 1833 15.58% 16.06% 68.36%-1.34 -4.7 46
2010-05-06 Luzern D 0-064.8 1429 1680 21.87% 16.59% 61.54%-0.91 +2.9 22
2010-05-06 @ Bellinzona D 0-064.8 1680 1429 61.54% 16.59% 21.87%+0.91 -2.9 52
2010-05-06 Sion W 4-159.1 1591 1700 39.05% 17.08% 43.87%-0.09 +28.7 40
2010-05-06 @ Neuchatel Xamax L 1-459.1 1700 1591 43.87% 17.08% 39.05%+0.09 -28.7 48
2010-05-06 Zurich W 4-045.4 1791 1654 68.26% 16.07% 15.67%+1.34 +17.8 62
2010-05-06 @ Grasshopper L 0-445.4 1654 1791 15.67% 16.07% 68.26%-1.34 -17.8 41
2010-05-13 Bellinzona L 1-269.5 1690 1431 76.54% 14.84% 8.62%+2.04 -19.8 46
2010-05-13 @ St. Gallen W 2-169.5 1431 1690 8.62% 14.84% 76.54%-2.04 +19.8 25
2010-05-13 Grasshopper L 1-448.2 1429 1809 11.91% 15.54% 72.55%-1.65 -8.8 20
2010-05-13 @ Aarau W 4-148.2 1809 1429 72.55% 15.54% 11.91%+1.65 +8.8 65
2010-05-13 Neuchatel Xamax W 3-044.2 1862 1619 75.64% 15.02% 9.34%+1.95 +8.2 77
2010-05-13 @ Basel L 0-344.2 1619 1862 9.34% 15.02% 75.64%-1.95 -8.2 40
2010-05-13 Sion W 2-053.1 1636 1672 49.40% 17.02% 33.58%+0.34 +18.7 44
2010-05-13 @ Zurich L 0-253.1 1672 1636 33.58% 17.02% 49.40%-0.34 -18.7 48
2010-05-13 Young Boys W 5-161.1 1677 1838 32.16% 16.99% 50.85%-0.39 +42.2 55
2010-05-13 @ Luzern L 1-561.1 1838 1677 50.85% 16.99% 32.16%+0.39 -42.2 77
2010-05-16 Aarau L 1-255.7 1451 1420 57.72% 16.78% 25.50%+0.72 -15.0 25
2010-05-16 @ Bellinzona W 2-155.7 1420 1451 25.50% 16.78% 57.72%-0.72 +15.0 23
2010-05-16 Basel L 0-258.0 1796 1870 44.08% 17.08% 38.84%+0.11 -23.6 77
2010-05-16 @ Young Boys W 2-058.0 1870 1796 38.84% 17.08% 44.08%-0.11 +23.5 80
2010-05-16 Luzern L 0-167.0 1818 1719 64.80% 16.37% 18.82%+1.11 -17.8 65
2010-05-16 @ Grasshopper W 1-067.0 1719 1818 18.82% 16.37% 64.80%-1.11 +17.8 58
2010-05-16 St. Gallen W 5-154.0 1653 1670 51.83% 16.97% 31.20%+0.44 +27.8 51
2010-05-16 @ Sion L 1-554.0 1670 1653 31.20% 16.97% 51.83%-0.44 -27.8 46
2010-05-16 Zurich D 3-382.3 1611 1655 48.37% 17.04% 34.59%+0.29 -0.5 41
2010-05-16 @ Neuchatel Xamax D 3-382.3 1655 1611 34.59% 17.04% 48.37%-0.29 +0.5 45

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2010-05-21 Lugano W 2-164.2 1436 1665 24.19% 16.72% 59.09%-0.78 +15.3 3
2010-05-21 @ Bellinzona L 1-264.2 1665 1436 59.09% 16.72% 24.19%+0.78 -15.3 0
2010-05-24 Bellinzona D 0-064.9 1650 1452 72.84% 15.50% 11.66%+1.69 -4.7 1
2010-05-24 @ Lugano D 0-064.9 1452 1650 11.66% 15.50% 72.84%-1.69 +4.7 4

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2010-04-17 6.13% Aarau 1394 1 @ Zurich 1719 0
2 2010-05-13 8.62% Bellinzona 1431 2 @ St. Gallen 1690 1
3 2010-03-06 13.98% Grasshopper 1686 2 @ Basel 1847 1
4 2010-04-24 16.81% @ Aarau 1415 2 St. Gallen 1724 0
5 2010-04-25 18.43% @ Bellinzona 1416 2 Sion 1705 1
6 2010-05-16 18.82% Luzern 1719 1 @ Grasshopper 1818 0
7 2009-08-01 22.00% Sion 1605 3 @ Neuchatel Xamax 1669 1
8 2009-11-28 22.73% Grasshopper 1673 1 @ Neuchatel Xamax 1730 0
9 2010-04-13 23.40% @ Aarau 1377 1 Neuchatel Xamax 1613 0
10 2010-05-21 24.19% @ Bellinzona 1436 2 Lugano 1665 1
11 2010-05-16 25.50% Aarau 1420 2 @ Bellinzona 1451 1
12 2010-03-13 25.51% @ Bellinzona 1448 3 Neuchatel Xamax 1665 2
13 2009-11-08 25.85% @ Sion 1629 3 Young Boys 1842 1
14 2009-09-27 26.89% Grasshopper 1636 3 @ Sion 1654 2
15 2009-09-24 26.97% Sion 1640 2 @ Luzern 1657 1
16 2009-07-14 27.95% Young Boys 1747 3 @ Zurich 1757 2
17 2010-02-28 28.32% St. Gallen 1686 3 @ Neuchatel Xamax 1692 0
18 2009-07-19 29.22% Luzern 1637 2 @ Bellinzona 1636 1
19 2010-04-18 29.26% Grasshopper 1740 1 @ St. Gallen 1739 0
20 2010-03-28 29.36% Luzern 1649 2 @ Neuchatel Xamax 1647 1
21 2009-11-29 29.78% @ Bellinzona 1475 3 Sion 1654 1
22 2009-10-24 29.91% @ Grasshopper 1648 2 Young Boys 1827 1
23 2009-09-27 30.41% Neuchatel Xamax 1746 2 @ Zurich 1735 1
24 2010-03-07 30.96% @ Neuchatel Xamax 1650 1 Young Boys 1821 0
25 2010-04-18 31.38% @ Sion 1672 4 Young Boys 1838 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-11-01 55.37 St. Gallen 5 1632 38.56% @ Bellinzona 0 1560 44.36% 17.08%
2 2010-04-25 48.41 @ Grasshopper 4 1755 34.62% Basel 0 1897 48.35% 17.04%
3 2009-08-16 44.50 Neuchatel Xamax 4 1633 39.05% @ Aarau 0 1557 43.87% 17.08%
4 2010-05-13 42.19 @ Luzern 5 1677 32.16% Young Boys 1 1838 50.85% 16.99%
5 2010-02-28 41.51 St. Gallen 3 1686 28.32% @ Neuchatel Xamax 0 1692 54.79% 16.89%
6 2010-02-07 37.87 @ Basel 4 1782 46.75% Young Boys 0 1837 36.19% 17.06%
7 2009-09-13 35.70 @ Neuchatel Xamax 3 1699 36.60% Young Boys 0 1827 46.34% 17.06%
8 2010-04-24 34.70 @ Aarau 2 1415 16.81% St. Gallen 0 1724 67.00% 16.19%
9 2009-07-18 34.11 @ Neuchatel Xamax 3 1633 38.99% Zurich 0 1743 43.93% 17.08%
10 2009-10-29 33.36 Young Boys 7 1813 58.05% @ Bellinzona 1 1593 25.19% 16.77%
11 2010-04-18 33.15 @ Sion 4 1672 31.38% Young Boys 1 1838 51.64% 16.98%
12 2009-09-23 32.42 @ Basel 4 1684 52.86% St. Gallen 0 1693 30.19% 16.95%
13 2009-11-07 30.09 @ Grasshopper 7 1643 68.33% Bellinzona 0 1505 15.60% 16.06%
14 2010-05-06 28.73 @ Neuchatel Xamax 4 1591 39.05% Sion 1 1700 43.87% 17.08%
15 2010-05-16 27.80 @ Sion 5 1653 51.83% St. Gallen 1 1670 31.20% 16.97%
16 2009-08-01 27.58 Sion 3 1605 22.00% @ Neuchatel Xamax 1 1669 61.40% 16.60%
17 2009-10-04 27.16 @ Basel 5 1729 63.92% Sion 0 1640 19.64% 16.44%
18 2009-07-26 26.29 Young Boys 3 1758 50.73% @ Aarau 0 1598 32.28% 17.00%
19 2009-11-08 25.84 @ Sion 3 1629 25.85% Young Boys 1 1842 57.36% 16.80%
20 2010-04-24 24.34 @ Luzern 4 1643 46.94% Zurich 1 1697 36.00% 17.06%
21 2009-11-29 24.12 @ Bellinzona 3 1475 29.78% Sion 1 1654 53.28% 16.94%
22 2010-05-16 23.55 Basel 2 1870 38.84% @ Young Boys 0 1796 44.08% 17.08%
23 2010-03-20 22.85 @ Young Boys 4 1810 63.08% Grasshopper 0 1730 20.43% 16.50%
24 2009-08-31 22.68 Neuchatel Xamax 3 1676 33.20% @ Grasshopper 1 1644 49.79% 17.01%
25 2009-08-22 22.19 @ Zurich 4 1732 63.76% Luzern 0 1645 19.79% 16.45%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-08-15 83.4 @ Sion 3 1629 40.01% Zurich 3 1732 42.90% 17.08%
2 2010-05-16 82.3 @ Neuchatel Xamax 3 1611 48.37% Zurich 3 1655 34.59% 17.04%
3 2009-11-01 81.9 @ Neuchatel Xamax 3 1751 78.78% Aarau 3 1449 6.91% 14.31%
4 2010-03-27 79.8 @ Sion 2 1663 26.86% Basel 2 1867 56.31% 16.84%
5 2009-10-28 79.7 @ Zurich 2 1730 49.29% Basel 2 1767 33.69% 17.02%
6 2009-08-23 78.9 @ Neuchatel Xamax 2 1678 53.63% Basel 2 1681 29.45% 16.93%
7 2010-03-07 76.2 @ St. Gallen 2 1727 78.49% Aarau 2 1431 7.12% 14.39%
8 2009-11-01 74.6 @ Young Boys 1 1846 72.67% Luzern 1 1651 11.81% 15.53%
9 2009-10-25 74.5 Basel 5 1757 42.35% @ Luzern 4 1658 40.56% 17.08%
10 2009-07-14 74.4 Young Boys 3 1747 27.95% @ Zurich 2 1757 55.17% 16.88%
11 2009-07-18 74.1 @ Young Boys 1 1761 61.03% St. Gallen 1 1700 22.35% 16.62%
12 2009-10-29 73.9 @ Neuchatel Xamax 1 1754 65.59% Luzern 1 1647 18.09% 16.31%
13 2010-04-01 73.9 @ Zurich 1 1706 50.92% St. Gallen 1 1731 32.09% 16.99%
14 2009-08-09 73.8 @ Basel 1 1700 50.05% Zurich 1 1731 32.94% 17.01%
15 2009-10-31 73.5 @ Zurich 1 1729 65.32% Sion 1 1625 18.35% 16.33%
16 2009-11-28 73.5 @ St. Gallen 1 1702 58.26% Luzern 1 1666 24.98% 16.76%
17 2009-07-25 73.4 @ St. Gallen 1 1694 57.30% Neuchatel Xamax 1 1667 25.90% 16.80%
18 2009-08-02 73.3 @ Basel 1 1703 60.88% Luzern 1 1644 22.49% 16.63%
19 2009-08-15 73.3 @ St. Gallen 1 1714 64.43% Bellinzona 1 1620 19.17% 16.40%
20 2010-03-06 73.3 Grasshopper 2 1686 13.98% @ Basel 1 1847 70.16% 15.86%
21 2009-09-12 73.2 @ St. Gallen 1 1695 60.77% Sion 1 1637 22.59% 16.64%
22 2009-09-27 73.2 Grasshopper 3 1636 26.89% @ Sion 2 1654 56.27% 16.84%
23 2010-02-14 73.1 @ Sion 1 1633 44.03% Zurich 1 1708 38.89% 17.08%
24 2010-02-21 73.0 @ Sion 1 1633 46.37% Neuchatel Xamax 1 1691 36.57% 17.06%
25 2010-04-14 73.0 @ Luzern 1 1659 52.66% Sion 1 1670 30.39% 16.95%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-04-10 35.1 @ Sion 4 1661 77.40% Aarau 0 1386 7.95% 14.65%
2 2010-05-02 38.5 @ Luzern 4 1668 74.12% Aarau 0 1450 10.58% 15.30%
3 2009-12-06 38.8 @ Luzern 6 1668 75.16% Aarau 0 1434 9.73% 15.11%
4 2010-04-17 39.2 @ Neuchatel Xamax 2 1597 71.07% Bellinzona 0 1424 13.18% 15.75%
5 2010-05-02 39.4 @ Basel 4 1849 83.36% Bellinzona 0 1433 3.84% 12.80%
6 2009-10-04 40.1 @ Young Boys 4 1821 81.20% Aarau 0 1463 5.20% 13.60%
7 2009-09-23 40.5 @ Grasshopper 4 1616 66.82% Aarau 0 1496 16.98% 16.21%
8 2010-03-10 41.4 @ Grasshopper 2 1704 77.13% Aarau 0 1435 8.16% 14.71%
9 2009-11-29 41.7 @ Zurich 2 1715 77.51% Aarau 0 1438 7.87% 14.62%
10 2010-03-24 42.0 Sion 3 1642 58.70% @ Aarau 0 1417 24.56% 16.74%
11 2010-03-28 42.2 @ Grasshopper 2 1714 76.77% Bellinzona 0 1451 8.44% 14.79%
12 2010-03-21 42.7 @ Zurich 2 1722 76.58% Bellinzona 0 1462 8.59% 14.83%
13 2010-05-05 42.9 Basel 3 1853 74.85% @ Aarau 0 1438 9.98% 15.17%
14 2009-11-07 43.0 @ Grasshopper 7 1643 68.33% Bellinzona 0 1505 15.60% 16.06%
15 2010-04-18 44.2 @ Basel 5 1883 74.58% Luzern 0 1658 10.21% 15.22%
16 2010-05-13 44.2 @ Basel 3 1862 75.64% Neuchatel Xamax 0 1619 9.34% 15.02%
17 2010-04-03 45.2 Young Boys 5 1841 76.68% @ Aarau 1 1394 8.51% 14.81%
18 2010-05-06 45.4 @ Grasshopper 4 1791 68.26% Zurich 0 1654 15.67% 16.07%
19 2009-08-22 46.4 @ Zurich 4 1732 63.76% Luzern 0 1645 19.79% 16.45%
20 2010-02-28 46.5 Basel 2 1839 71.66% @ Bellinzona 0 1472 12.67% 15.67%
21 2009-10-04 46.6 @ Basel 5 1729 63.92% Sion 0 1640 19.64% 16.44%
22 2009-11-07 46.6 St. Gallen 2 1688 59.88% @ Aarau 0 1452 23.44% 16.68%
23 2010-03-10 46.9 St. Gallen 2 1723 62.73% @ Bellinzona 0 1460 20.75% 16.52%
24 2010-03-28 47.1 @ Young Boys 3 1840 84.25% Aarau 1 1396 3.33% 12.42%
25 2010-03-20 47.3 @ Young Boys 4 1810 63.08% Grasshopper 0 1730 20.43% 16.50%