1959 Turkish National League Season

112 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Fenerbahce

26 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Fenerbahce

11.64 points above expected

26 points · 14.36 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Istanbulspor

7.66 points below expected

6 points · 13.66 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Fenerbahce 14 12 2 0 26 29 7 +22 14.4 +11.64
2 Vefa Istanbul 14 7 6 1 20 21 10 +11 14.3 +5.73
3 Galatasaray 14 7 6 1 20 18 7 +11 14.2 +5.77
4 Besiktas 14 8 2 4 18 22 16 +6 14.1 +3.90
5 Ankara Demirspor 14 4 8 2 16 12 11 +1 14.0 +1.98
6 Goztepe 14 5 5 4 15 23 21 +2 13.9 +1.08
7 Altay 14 5 5 4 15 18 16 +2 14.1 +0.95
8 Izmirspor 14 4 5 5 13 11 12 -1 14.1 -1.08
9 Ankaragucu 14 5 3 6 13 16 19 -3 13.8 -0.85
10 Fatih Karagumruk 14 4 4 6 12 17 17 0 14.0 -1.98
11 Hacettepe 14 5 1 8 11 14 20 -6 14.0 -2.96
12 Beykoz 14 3 4 7 10 17 21 -4 13.9 -3.93
13 Karsiyaka 14 2 6 6 10 13 21 -8 13.9 -3.89
14 Genclerbirligi 14 1 8 5 10 10 18 -8 13.8 -3.78
15 Adaletspor 14 1 7 6 9 12 21 -9 13.9 -4.90
16 Istanbulspor 14 1 4 9 6 6 22 -16 13.7 -7.66

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Fenerbahce 4
Galatasaray 1

Leg 1: Galatasaray 1-0 Fenerbahce

Leg 2: Fenerbahce 4-0 Galatasaray

Sim: 152.0%

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Fenerbahce 1430 26 14.36 +11.64 100.0% 4 10 12 14 16 19 25
Vefa Istanbul 1414 20 14.27 +5.73 98.6% 3 10 12 14 16 19 24
Galatasaray 1413 20 14.23 +5.77 98.5% 2 9 12 14 16 19 25
Besiktas 1408 18 14.10 +3.90 94.3% 4 9 12 14 16 19 24
Altay 1403 15 14.05 +0.95 69.4% 4 9 12 14 16 19 24
Ankara Demirspor 1403 16 14.02 +1.98 80.3% 3 9 12 14 16 19 24
Goztepe 1402 15 13.92 +1.08 70.5% 2 9 12 14 16 19 24
Fatih Karagumruk 1401 12 13.98 -1.98 30.0% 4 9 12 14 16 19 24
Izmirspor 1400 13 14.08 -1.08 42.0% 4 9 12 14 16 19 23
Ankaragucu 1399 13 13.85 -0.85 45.2% 3 9 12 14 16 19 24
Beykoz 1396 10 13.93 -3.93 11.1% 3 9 12 14 16 19 25
Hacettepe 1394 11 13.96 -2.96 19.9% 3 9 12 14 16 19 25
Genclerbirligi 1392 10 13.78 -3.78 13.2% 3 9 12 14 16 19 24
Adaletspor 1392 9 13.90 -4.90 6.5% 3 9 12 14 16 19 26
Karsiyaka 1390 10 13.89 -3.89 11.7% 4 9 12 14 16 19 25
Istanbulspor 1382 6 13.66 -7.66 0.6% 2 9 12 14 16 18 25

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ADA ALT AD ANK BES BEY FK FEN GAL GEN GOZ HAC IST IZM KAR VI
Adaletspor
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.60
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.59
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.54
0-1-1
2.65
1-1-0
2.63
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.62
0-2-0
2.52
Altay
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.65
1-0-1
2.62
0-2-0
2.63
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.59
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.63
2-0-0
2.65
0-2-0
2.62
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Ankara Demirspor
1-1-0
2.63
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.63
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.58
0-2-0
2.69
0-1-1
2.63
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.66
0-2-0
2.58
Ankaragucu
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.60
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.60
0-1-1
2.61
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.55
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.62
1-1-0
2.65
1-0-1
2.59
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Besiktas
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.63
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.65
1-0-1
2.65
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.58
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.64
2-0-0
2.71
1-1-0
2.61
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Beykoz
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
2.61
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.63
1-0-1
2.60
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.52
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.63
0-1-1
2.68
1-0-1
2.59
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Fatih Karagumruk
1-1-0
2.65
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.62
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.53
2-0-0
2.66
0-1-1
2.67
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.66
0-0-2
2.58
Fenerbahce
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.65
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.67
2-0-0
2.66
2-0-0
2.71
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.64
2-0-0
2.80
1-1-0
2.65
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Galatasaray
2-0-0
2.70
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.68
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.72
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
2.72
1-1-0
2.65
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.65
0-2-0
2.62
Genclerbirligi
1-1-0
2.61
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
2.56
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.59
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
2.55
0-1-1
2.57
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
2.61
0-0-2
2.59
Goztepe
0-1-1
2.61
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.61
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.56
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.59
1-1-0
2.68
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.62
0-0-2
2.58
Hacettepe
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.61
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.64
0-0-2
2.60
2-0-0
2.62
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.59
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.65
1-0-1
2.62
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Istanbulspor
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.59
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.60
0-0-2
2.52
1-1-0
2.57
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.44
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.61
0-1-1
2.56
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Izmirspor
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
2.62
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.67
0-1-1
2.63
1-0-1
2.65
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.60
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.63
1-1-0
2.68
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Karsiyaka
1-1-0
2.61
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.57
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.60
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.59
0-2-0
2.63
0-0-2
2.63
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.53
Vefa Istanbul
0-2-0
2.72
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
2.67
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.66
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
2.63
2-0-0
2.68
2-0-0
2.67
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.73

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.39%9.82%4.46%4.02%0.89%32.59%
19.82%14.29%6.70%2.68%0.45%33.93%
24.46%6.70%6.25%3.57%0.45%21.43%
34.02%2.68%3.57%10.27%
40.45%0.45%0.89%
5+0.89%0.89%
Total32.59%33.93%21.43%10.27%0.89%0.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.16
Mean allowed1.16
StdDev scored1.07
StdDev allowed1.07
Mean total goals/game2.31
Correlation (home vs away score)0.020
Sample size (games)112
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.43%7.14%7.14%7.14%42.86%
121.43%7.14%7.14%35.71%
27.14%7.14%14.29%
37.14%7.14%
4
5+
Total21.43%28.57%28.57%21.43%100%

Adaletspor — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.86
Mean allowed1.50
StdDev scored0.95
StdDev allowed1.09
Mean total goals/game2.36
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.445
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
121.43%14.29%14.29%50.00%
27.14%21.43%28.57%
37.14%7.14%
4
5+
Total28.57%28.57%42.86%100%

Altay — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.29
Mean allowed1.14
StdDev scored0.83
StdDev allowed0.86
Mean total goals/game2.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.046
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
035.71%7.14%42.86%
17.14%21.43%28.57%
27.14%14.29%7.14%28.57%
3
4
5+
Total50.00%35.71%7.14%7.14%100%

Ankara Demirspor — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.86
Mean allowed0.79
StdDev scored0.86
StdDev allowed1.12
Mean total goals/game1.64
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.442
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%21.43%
121.43%7.14%21.43%50.00%
27.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
37.14%7.14%
4
5+
Total28.57%35.71%7.14%28.57%100%

Ankaragucu — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.14
Mean allowed1.36
StdDev scored0.86
StdDev allowed1.22
Mean total goals/game2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.240
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%7.14%28.57%
17.14%7.14%14.29%
27.14%21.43%28.57%
37.14%7.14%14.29%28.57%
4
5+
Total21.43%50.00%21.43%7.14%100%

Besiktas — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.57
Mean allowed1.14
StdDev scored1.22
StdDev allowed0.86
Mean total goals/game2.71
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.010
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%7.14%28.57%
17.14%21.43%28.57%
27.14%21.43%7.14%35.71%
37.14%7.14%
4
5+
Total14.29%28.57%50.00%7.14%100%

Beykoz — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.21
Mean allowed1.50
StdDev scored0.97
StdDev allowed0.85
Mean total goals/game2.71
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.323
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%7.14%28.57%
17.14%14.29%14.29%35.71%
27.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
314.29%14.29%
4
5+
Total28.57%35.71%21.43%14.29%100%

Fatih Karagumruk — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.21
Mean allowed1.21
StdDev scored1.05
StdDev allowed1.05
Mean total goals/game2.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.184
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%
128.57%7.14%35.71%
27.14%14.29%21.43%
37.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
47.14%7.14%
5+7.14%7.14%
Total57.14%35.71%7.14%100%

Fenerbahce — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.07
Mean allowed0.50
StdDev scored1.38
StdDev allowed0.65
Mean total goals/game2.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.299
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
028.57%28.57%
121.43%14.29%7.14%42.86%
27.14%7.14%14.29%
37.14%7.14%
4
5+7.14%7.14%
Total64.29%21.43%14.29%100%

Galatasaray — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.29
Mean allowed0.50
StdDev scored1.38
StdDev allowed0.76
Mean total goals/game1.79
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.220
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
028.57%7.14%14.29%50.00%
121.43%14.29%35.71%
27.14%7.14%
37.14%7.14%
4
5+
Total28.57%28.57%28.57%14.29%100%

Genclerbirligi — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.71
Mean allowed1.29
StdDev scored0.91
StdDev allowed1.07
Mean total goals/game2.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.326
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%7.14%28.57%
114.29%14.29%
27.14%7.14%14.29%28.57%
314.29%7.14%21.43%
47.14%7.14%
5+
Total28.57%28.57%21.43%14.29%7.14%100%

Goztepe — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.64
Mean allowed1.50
StdDev scored1.34
StdDev allowed1.45
Mean total goals/game3.14
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.020
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.43%7.14%28.57%
114.29%7.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%42.86%
214.29%7.14%7.14%28.57%
3
4
5+
Total28.57%35.71%7.14%21.43%7.14%100%

Hacettepe — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.00
Mean allowed1.43
StdDev scored0.78
StdDev allowed1.34
Mean total goals/game2.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.146
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%14.29%21.43%7.14%7.14%64.29%
114.29%14.29%28.57%
27.14%7.14%
3
4
5+
Total21.43%28.57%35.71%7.14%7.14%100%

Istanbulspor — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.43
Mean allowed1.57
StdDev scored0.65
StdDev allowed1.34
Mean total goals/game2.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.304
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%21.43%7.14%42.86%
114.29%14.29%7.14%35.71%
27.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
3
4
5+
Total35.71%42.86%21.43%100%

Izmirspor — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.79
Mean allowed0.86
StdDev scored0.80
StdDev allowed0.77
Mean total goals/game1.64
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.071
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%21.43%42.86%
128.57%28.57%
27.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
37.14%7.14%
4
5+
Total14.29%50.00%7.14%28.57%100%

Karsiyaka — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.93
Mean allowed1.50
StdDev scored1.00
StdDev allowed1.09
Mean total goals/game2.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.177
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%21.43%
114.29%21.43%35.71%
27.14%7.14%14.29%
321.43%7.14%28.57%
4
5+
Total50.00%28.57%21.43%100%

Vefa Istanbul — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.50
Mean allowed0.71
StdDev scored1.16
StdDev allowed0.83
Mean total goals/game2.21
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.000
Games played14

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fenerbahce 26 14.4 +11.64
2 Galatasaray 20 14.2 +5.77
3 Vefa Istanbul 20 14.3 +5.73
4 Besiktas 18 14.1 +3.90
5 Ankara Demirspor 16 14.0 +1.98

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Istanbulspor 6 13.7 -7.66
2 Adaletspor 9 13.9 -4.90
3 Beykoz 10 13.9 -3.93
4 Karsiyaka 10 13.9 -3.89
5 Genclerbirligi 10 13.8 -3.78

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fenerbahce 7 Mar 29 – Jun 7 1 in 7,710
2 Besiktas 4 Apr 8 – Apr 29 1 in 200
3 Galatasaray 4 Mar 15 – Mar 25 1 in 111
4 Altay 3 Mar 14 – Mar 21 1 in 28
5 Vefa Istanbul 3 May 2 – May 13 1 in 24

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Goztepe 3 Mar 21 – Apr 11 1 in 85
2 Izmirspor 4 Mar 28 – Apr 12 1 in 40
3 Hacettepe 3 Mar 14 – Mar 22 1 in 29
4 Beykoz 3 Mar 8 – Mar 15 1 in 28
5 Istanbulspor 3 Mar 29 – Apr 29 1 in 24

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fenerbahce 14 Feb 21 – Jun 7 1 in 159
2 Ankara Demirspor 12 Feb 22 – May 16 1 in 95
3 Galatasaray 9 Feb 21 – Mar 25 1 in 34
4 Altay 8 Mar 1 – Mar 29 1 in 21
5 Vefa Istanbul 8 Mar 25 – Jun 6 1 in 15

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Genclerbirligi 9 Feb 21 – Apr 12 1 in 42
2 Istanbulspor 9 Mar 14 – Jun 7 1 in 22
3 Adaletspor 7 Feb 21 – Mar 25 1 in 12
4 Beykoz 6 Mar 22 – May 16 1 in 9
5 Izmirspor 7 Mar 21 – Apr 19 1 in 8

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Fenerbahce18.58%15.45%13.75%12.33%12.01%11.04%8.92%7.92%
Vefa Istanbul16.92%15.32%13.41%12.41%11.96%10.94%9.94%9.10%
Galatasaray16.52%14.23%13.52%12.98%12.15%11.06%10.56%8.98%
Besiktas14.80%14.48%13.01%12.61%12.37%11.34%11.37%10.02%
Ankara Demirspor12.83%12.40%12.77%13.51%12.78%12.18%11.74%11.79%
Goztepe12.15%12.93%13.07%12.04%12.00%12.89%12.52%12.40%
Altay13.71%12.88%13.50%12.84%11.84%12.14%12.23%10.86%
Izmirspor12.27%12.73%13.28%12.50%12.85%13.05%11.72%11.60%
Ankaragucu11.26%11.56%11.39%12.62%12.63%12.95%13.35%14.24%
Fatih Karagumruk11.90%12.17%12.92%12.76%13.33%12.51%12.22%12.19%
Hacettepe10.21%11.76%12.28%13.00%12.98%12.36%13.90%13.51%
Beykoz11.13%11.27%12.17%12.64%12.64%13.34%13.20%13.61%
Karsiyaka10.03%10.81%11.42%12.43%12.97%13.73%14.11%14.50%
Genclerbirligi9.80%10.48%11.51%12.25%11.97%13.74%14.50%15.75%
Adaletspor9.85%11.66%11.38%11.62%12.84%12.95%14.41%15.29%
Istanbulspor8.04%9.87%10.62%11.46%12.68%13.78%15.31%18.24%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Promotion Playoff Bracket

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. Two-leg ties show their aggregate score with each leg listed below the matchup card.

Finals

Fenerbahce 4
Galatasaray 1

Leg 1: Galatasaray 1-0 Fenerbahce

Leg 2: Fenerbahce 4-0 Galatasaray

Sim: 152.0%

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level
Adaletspor 90.1%
Altay 86.3%
Ankara Demirspor 87.2%
Ankaragucu 88.7%
Besiktas 85.2%
Beykoz 88.9%
Fatih Karagumruk 88.1%
Fenerbahce 81.4%
Galatasaray 83.5%
Genclerbirligi 90.2%
Goztepe 87.8%
Hacettepe 89.8%
Istanbulspor 92.0%
Izmirspor 87.7%
Karsiyaka 90.0%
Vefa Istanbul 83.1%
Loser →
↓ Winner
AdaletsporAltayAnkara DemirsporAnkaragucuBesiktasBeykozFatih KaragumrukFenerbahceGalatasarayGenclerbirligiGoztepeHacettepeIstanbulsporIzmirsporKarsiyakaVefa Istanbul
Adaletspor57.00%42.00%57.00%53.00%88.00%57.00%42.00%76.00%
Altay77.00%76.00%76.00%106.00%76.00%100.00%64.00%123.00%
Ankara Demirspor91.00%77.00%110.00%60.00%123.00%73.00%38.00%74.00%
Ankaragucu64.00%68.00%51.00%97.00%63.00%76.00%51.00%92.00%
Besiktas69.00%97.00%94.00%119.00%75.00%104.00%82.00%117.00%
Beykoz63.00%74.00%64.00%94.00%57.00%62.00%61.00%89.00%
Fatih Karagumruk84.00%68.00%75.00%61.00%105.00%65.00%66.00%77.00%
Fenerbahce107.00%138.00%132.00%152.00%110.00%122.00%98.00%159.00%
Galatasaray129.00%90.00%127.00%94.00%148.00%79.00%57.00%103.00%
Genclerbirligi60.00%50.00%64.00%55.00%62.00%45.00%39.00%61.00%
Goztepe74.00%69.00%90.00%61.00%85.00%69.00%43.00%79.00%
Hacettepe43.00%44.00%64.00%82.00%56.00%63.00%52.00%79.00%
Istanbulspor47.00%65.00%42.00%61.00%42.00%45.00%40.00%54.00%
Izmirspor43.00%75.00%66.00%114.00%65.00%73.00%66.00%98.00%
Karsiyaka51.00%60.00%74.00%59.00%82.00%50.00%51.00%62.00%
Vefa Istanbul127.00%108.00%126.00%106.00%147.00%100.00%72.00%95.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Finals
Fenerbahce 71.0%
Galatasaray 29.0%
Loser →
↓ Winner
FenerbahceGalatasaray
Fenerbahce71.00%
Galatasaray29.00%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1959-02-21 Besiktas L 1-2 1401 1401 39.8% 37.6% 22.5% -1.5 0
1959-02-21 @ Altay W 2-1 1401 1401 22.5% 37.6% 39.8% +1.5 3
1959-02-21 Galatasaray L 0-2 1401 1401 39.8% 37.6% 22.5% -3.0 0
1959-02-21 @ Ankara Demirspor W 2-0 1401 1401 22.5% 37.6% 39.8% +3.0 3
1959-02-21 Ankaragucu W 3-1 1401 1401 39.8% 37.6% 22.5% +1.8 3
1959-02-21 @ Fenerbahce L 1-3 1401 1401 22.5% 37.6% 39.8% -1.8 0
1959-02-21 Adaletspor D 1-1 1401 1401 39.8% 37.6% 22.5% -0.1 1
1959-02-21 @ Genclerbirligi D 1-1 1401 1401 22.5% 37.6% 39.8% +0.1 1
1959-02-21 Hacettepe L 0-2 1401 1401 39.8% 37.6% 22.5% -3.0 0
1959-02-21 @ Istanbulspor W 2-0 1401 1401 22.5% 37.6% 39.8% +3.0 3
1959-02-21 Beykoz W 2-1 1401 1401 39.8% 37.6% 22.5% +1.0 3
1959-02-21 @ Izmirspor L 1-2 1401 1401 22.5% 37.6% 39.8% -1.0 0
1959-02-22 Beykoz D 2-2 1400 1400 39.8% 37.7% 22.5% -0.1 1
1959-02-22 @ Altay D 2-2 1400 1400 22.5% 37.7% 39.8% +0.1 1
1959-02-22 Adaletspor W 2-0 1398 1401 39.2% 38.1% 22.7% +2.0 3
1959-02-22 @ Ankara Demirspor L 0-2 1401 1398 22.7% 38.1% 39.2% -2.0 1
1959-02-22 Hacettepe W 2-1 1403 1404 39.6% 37.8% 22.6% +1.0 6
1959-02-22 @ Fenerbahce L 1-2 1404 1403 22.6% 37.8% 39.6% -1.0 3
1959-02-22 Galatasaray D 0-0 1401 1404 39.2% 38.1% 22.7% -0.1 2
1959-02-22 @ Genclerbirligi D 0-0 1404 1401 22.7% 38.1% 39.2% +0.1 4
1959-02-22 Ankaragucu D 1-1 1398 1399 39.6% 37.8% 22.6% -0.1 1
1959-02-22 @ Istanbulspor D 1-1 1399 1398 22.6% 37.8% 39.6% +0.1 1
1959-02-22 Besiktas D 1-1 1402 1403 39.8% 37.7% 22.5% -0.1 4
1959-02-22 @ Izmirspor D 1-1 1403 1402 22.5% 37.7% 39.8% +0.1 4
1959-02-25 Besiktas W 1-0 1400 1403 39.4% 38.0% 22.7% +1.1 4
1959-02-25 @ Beykoz L 0-1 1403 1400 22.7% 38.0% 39.4% -1.1 4
1959-02-25 Fatih Karagumruk W 1-0 1401 1401 39.8% 37.6% 22.5% +1.1 3
1959-02-25 @ Vefa Istanbul L 0-1 1401 1401 22.5% 37.6% 39.8% -1.1 0
1959-02-28 Goztepe D 0-0 1399 1401 39.5% 37.9% 22.6% -0.1 2
1959-02-28 @ Adaletspor D 0-0 1401 1399 22.6% 37.9% 39.5% +0.1 1
1959-02-28 Fenerbahce L 0-1 1400 1404 39.0% 38.2% 22.8% -1.6 1
1959-02-28 @ Altay W 1-0 1404 1400 22.8% 38.2% 39.0% +1.5 9
1959-02-28 Karsiyaka D 1-1 1404 1401 40.4% 37.2% 22.4% -0.1 5
1959-02-28 @ Galatasaray D 1-1 1401 1404 22.4% 37.2% 40.4% +0.1 1
1959-02-28 Istanbulspor W 2-0 1402 1398 40.6% 37.1% 22.3% +2.0 7
1959-02-28 @ Izmirspor L 0-2 1398 1402 22.3% 37.1% 40.6% -2.0 1
1959-03-01 Karsiyaka D 0-0 1399 1401 39.4% 38.0% 22.6% -0.1 3
1959-03-01 @ Adaletspor D 0-0 1401 1399 22.6% 38.0% 39.4% +0.1 2
1959-03-01 Istanbulspor W 2-0 1398 1396 40.2% 37.4% 22.4% +2.0 4
1959-03-01 @ Altay L 0-2 1396 1398 22.4% 37.4% 40.2% -2.0 1
1959-03-01 Goztepe D 0-0 1404 1401 40.4% 37.2% 22.4% -0.2 6
1959-03-01 @ Galatasaray D 0-0 1401 1404 22.4% 37.2% 40.4% +0.2 2
1959-03-01 Fenerbahce D 0-0 1404 1406 39.6% 37.9% 22.6% -0.1 8
1959-03-01 @ Izmirspor D 0-0 1406 1404 22.6% 37.9% 39.6% +0.1 10
1959-03-07 Fatih Karagumruk D 0-0 1400 1400 39.9% 37.6% 22.5% -0.1 4
1959-03-07 @ Ankara Demirspor D 0-0 1400 1400 22.5% 37.6% 39.9% +0.2 1
1959-03-07 Hacettepe W 3-2 1402 1403 39.6% 37.8% 22.6% +1.0 7
1959-03-07 @ Besiktas L 2-3 1403 1402 22.6% 37.8% 39.6% -1.0 3
1959-03-07 Ankaragucu W 3-1 1401 1400 40.2% 37.4% 22.4% +1.7 7
1959-03-07 @ Beykoz L 1-3 1400 1401 22.4% 37.4% 40.2% -1.8 1
1959-03-07 Vefa Istanbul L 0-3 1401 1402 39.6% 37.8% 22.6% -4.3 2
1959-03-07 @ Genclerbirligi W 3-0 1402 1401 22.6% 37.8% 39.6% +4.3 6
1959-03-08 Izmirspor D 1-1 1400 1404 39.1% 38.2% 22.7% -0.1 5
1959-03-08 @ Altay D 1-1 1404 1400 22.7% 38.2% 39.1% +0.1 9
1959-03-08 Vefa Istanbul D 1-1 1400 1407 38.6% 38.5% 22.9% -0.1 5
1959-03-08 @ Ankara Demirspor D 1-1 1407 1400 22.9% 38.5% 38.6% +0.1 7
1959-03-08 Ankaragucu D 0-0 1403 1398 40.8% 36.9% 22.3% -0.2 8
1959-03-08 @ Besiktas D 0-0 1398 1403 22.3% 36.9% 40.8% +0.2 2
1959-03-08 Hacettepe L 0-1 1403 1402 40.0% 37.5% 22.5% -1.6 7
1959-03-08 @ Beykoz W 1-0 1402 1403 22.5% 37.5% 40.0% +1.6 6
1959-03-08 Fatih Karagumruk L 0-1 1397 1400 39.1% 38.1% 22.7% -1.6 2
1959-03-08 @ Genclerbirligi W 1-0 1400 1397 22.7% 38.1% 39.1% +1.5 4
1959-03-08 Karsiyaka W 3-2 1401 1401 39.8% 37.6% 22.5% +1.0 5
1959-03-08 @ Goztepe L 2-3 1401 1401 22.5% 37.6% 39.8% -1.0 2
1959-03-11 Beykoz W 2-0 1394 1402 38.4% 38.6% 22.9% +2.1 4
1959-03-11 @ Istanbulspor L 0-2 1402 1394 22.9% 38.6% 38.4% -2.1 7
1959-03-11 Galatasaray D 0-0 1407 1404 40.4% 37.3% 22.4% -0.2 8
1959-03-11 @ Vefa Istanbul D 0-0 1404 1407 22.4% 37.3% 40.4% +0.2 7
1959-03-14 Hacettepe W 1-0 1400 1404 39.1% 38.2% 22.7% +1.1 8
1959-03-14 @ Altay L 0-1 1404 1400 22.7% 38.2% 39.1% -1.1 6
1959-03-14 Karsiyaka W 1-0 1400 1400 39.8% 37.7% 22.5% +1.1 8
1959-03-14 @ Ankara Demirspor L 0-1 1400 1400 22.5% 37.7% 39.8% -1.1 2
1959-03-14 Istanbulspor W 2-1 1403 1396 41.1% 36.7% 22.2% +1.0 11
1959-03-14 @ Besiktas L 1-2 1396 1403 22.2% 36.7% 41.1% -1.0 4
1959-03-14 Goztepe D 2-2 1395 1402 38.5% 38.6% 22.9% -0.1 3
1959-03-14 @ Genclerbirligi D 2-2 1402 1395 22.9% 38.6% 38.5% +0.1 6
1959-03-15 Ankaragucu W 1-0 1401 1398 40.4% 37.2% 22.4% +1.1 11
1959-03-15 @ Altay L 0-1 1398 1401 22.4% 37.2% 40.4% -1.1 2
1959-03-15 Goztepe D 1-1 1401 1403 39.6% 37.8% 22.6% -0.1 9
1959-03-15 @ Ankara Demirspor D 1-1 1403 1401 22.6% 37.8% 39.6% +0.1 7
1959-03-15 Beykoz W 2-1 1406 1399 41.1% 36.7% 22.2% +1.0 13
1959-03-15 @ Fenerbahce L 1-2 1399 1406 22.2% 36.7% 41.1% -1.0 7
1959-03-15 Adaletspor W 2-1 1404 1399 40.8% 36.9% 22.3% +1.0 10
1959-03-15 @ Galatasaray L 1-2 1399 1404 22.3% 36.9% 40.8% -1.0 3
1959-03-15 Karsiyaka D 1-1 1395 1399 39.0% 38.2% 22.8% -0.1 4
1959-03-15 @ Genclerbirligi D 1-1 1399 1395 22.8% 38.2% 39.0% +0.1 3
1959-03-15 Hacettepe W 1-0 1404 1403 40.1% 37.4% 22.4% +1.1 12
1959-03-15 @ Izmirspor L 0-1 1403 1404 22.4% 37.4% 40.1% -1.1 6
1959-03-17 Ankaragucu W 1-0 1405 1397 41.5% 36.4% 22.1% +1.1 15
1959-03-17 @ Izmirspor L 0-1 1397 1405 22.1% 36.4% 41.5% -1.1 2
1959-03-18 Fatih Karagumruk D 1-1 1398 1402 39.1% 38.2% 22.7% -0.1 4
1959-03-18 @ Adaletspor D 1-1 1402 1398 22.7% 38.2% 39.1% +0.1 5
1959-03-18 Besiktas W 1-0 1407 1404 40.5% 37.2% 22.4% +1.1 16
1959-03-18 @ Fenerbahce L 0-1 1404 1407 22.4% 37.2% 40.5% -1.1 11
1959-03-21 Genclerbirligi D 0-0 1401 1395 41.0% 36.7% 22.2% -0.2 10
1959-03-21 @ Ankara Demirspor D 0-0 1395 1401 22.2% 36.7% 41.0% +0.2 5
1959-03-21 Izmirspor W 2-1 1398 1406 38.4% 38.7% 23.0% +1.0 10
1959-03-21 @ Beykoz L 1-2 1406 1398 23.0% 38.7% 38.4% -1.0 15
1959-03-21 Vefa Istanbul L 0-1 1403 1407 39.1% 38.2% 22.7% -1.6 7
1959-03-21 @ Goztepe W 1-0 1407 1403 22.7% 38.2% 39.1% +1.5 11
1959-03-21 Altay L 0-1 1395 1402 38.5% 38.6% 22.9% -1.6 4
1959-03-21 @ Istanbulspor W 1-0 1402 1395 22.9% 38.6% 38.5% +1.6 14
1959-03-21 Galatasaray L 0-1 1400 1405 38.8% 38.4% 22.8% -1.5 3
1959-03-21 @ Karsiyaka W 1-0 1405 1400 22.8% 38.4% 38.8% +1.5 13
1959-03-22 Altay D 2-2 1399 1404 39.1% 38.2% 22.7% -0.1 11
1959-03-22 @ Beykoz D 2-2 1404 1399 22.7% 38.2% 39.1% +0.1 15
1959-03-22 Galatasaray L 0-5 1401 1407 38.8% 38.4% 22.8% -6.8 7
1959-03-22 @ Goztepe W 5-0 1407 1401 22.8% 38.4% 38.8% +6.8 16
1959-03-22 Izmirspor D 0-0 1394 1405 37.7% 39.1% 23.2% -0.1 5
1959-03-22 @ Istanbulspor D 0-0 1405 1394 23.2% 39.1% 37.7% +0.1 16
1959-03-22 Vefa Istanbul W 2-0 1398 1408 38.0% 38.9% 23.1% +2.1 6
1959-03-22 @ Karsiyaka L 0-2 1408 1398 23.1% 38.9% 38.0% -2.1 11
1959-03-22 Ankaragucu L 1-3 1402 1396 41.0% 36.8% 22.2% -2.6 6
1959-03-22 @ Hacettepe W 3-1 1396 1402 22.2% 36.8% 41.0% +2.6 5
1959-03-25 Fatih Karagumruk W 1-0 1414 1402 42.1% 35.8% 22.0% +1.0 19
1959-03-25 @ Galatasaray L 0-1 1402 1414 22.0% 35.8% 42.1% -1.0 5
1959-03-25 Adaletspor D 2-2 1406 1398 41.4% 36.4% 22.1% -0.1 12
1959-03-25 @ Vefa Istanbul D 2-2 1398 1406 22.1% 36.4% 41.4% +0.1 5
1959-03-28 Beykoz D 2-2 1398 1399 39.7% 37.8% 22.6% -0.1 6
1959-03-28 @ Ankaragucu D 2-2 1399 1398 22.6% 37.8% 39.7% +0.1 12
1959-03-28 Izmirspor W 2-0 1402 1405 39.3% 38.0% 22.7% +2.0 14
1959-03-28 @ Besiktas L 0-2 1405 1402 22.7% 38.0% 39.3% -2.0 16
1959-03-28 Altay D 1-1 1408 1404 40.6% 37.1% 22.3% -0.1 17
1959-03-28 @ Fenerbahce D 1-1 1404 1408 22.3% 37.1% 40.6% +0.1 16
1959-03-28 Istanbulspor D 1-1 1399 1394 40.9% 36.8% 22.3% -0.1 7
1959-03-28 @ Hacettepe D 1-1 1394 1399 22.3% 36.8% 40.9% +0.1 6
1959-03-29 Istanbulspor W 1-0 1398 1394 40.8% 37.0% 22.3% +1.1 9
1959-03-29 @ Ankaragucu L 0-1 1394 1398 22.3% 37.0% 40.8% -1.1 6
1959-03-29 Altay L 1-3 1404 1404 40.0% 37.6% 22.5% -2.6 14
1959-03-29 @ Besiktas W 3-1 1404 1404 22.5% 37.6% 40.0% +2.6 19
1959-03-29 Izmirspor W 1-0 1408 1403 40.7% 37.0% 22.3% +1.1 20
1959-03-29 @ Fenerbahce L 0-1 1403 1408 22.3% 37.0% 40.7% -1.1 16
1959-03-29 Beykoz W 2-1 1399 1399 39.7% 37.7% 22.6% +1.0 10
1959-03-29 @ Hacettepe L 1-2 1399 1399 22.6% 37.7% 39.7% -1.0 12
1959-04-08 Beykoz W 3-2 1402 1398 40.5% 37.1% 22.4% +1.0 17
1959-04-08 @ Besiktas L 2-3 1398 1402 22.4% 37.1% 40.5% -1.0 12
1959-04-08 Istanbulspor W 3-0 1409 1393 43.1% 35.0% 21.9% +2.8 23
1959-04-08 @ Fenerbahce L 0-3 1393 1409 21.9% 35.0% 43.1% -2.8 6
1959-04-11 Izmirspor W 1-0 1399 1402 39.3% 38.0% 22.7% +1.1 12
1959-04-11 @ Ankaragucu L 0-1 1402 1399 22.7% 38.0% 39.3% -1.1 16
1959-04-11 Ankara Demirspor L 1-2 1415 1401 42.6% 35.4% 22.0% -1.5 19
1959-04-11 @ Galatasaray W 2-1 1401 1415 22.0% 35.4% 42.6% +1.5 13
1959-04-11 Adaletspor L 2-3 1394 1398 39.1% 38.1% 22.7% -1.4 7
1959-04-11 @ Goztepe W 3-2 1398 1394 22.7% 38.1% 39.1% +1.4 8
1959-04-11 Fatih Karagumruk L 0-3 1400 1401 39.7% 37.8% 22.6% -4.3 6
1959-04-11 @ Karsiyaka W 3-0 1401 1400 22.6% 37.8% 39.7% +4.3 8
1959-04-11 Altay W 2-0 1400 1406 38.6% 38.5% 22.9% +2.1 13
1959-04-11 @ Hacettepe L 0-2 1406 1400 22.9% 38.5% 38.6% -2.1 19
1959-04-11 Genclerbirligi W 3-0 1406 1395 42.0% 36.0% 22.1% +2.8 15
1959-04-11 @ Vefa Istanbul L 0-3 1395 1406 22.1% 36.0% 42.0% -2.8 5
1959-04-12 Altay W 2-1 1400 1404 39.1% 38.2% 22.7% +1.0 15
1959-04-12 @ Ankaragucu L 1-2 1404 1400 22.7% 38.2% 39.1% -1.0 19
1959-04-12 Genclerbirligi D 0-0 1413 1392 44.1% 34.2% 21.8% -0.2 20
1959-04-12 @ Galatasaray D 0-0 1392 1413 21.8% 34.2% 44.1% +0.2 6
1959-04-12 Fatih Karagumruk W 3-0 1393 1405 37.5% 39.2% 23.3% +3.1 10
1959-04-12 @ Goztepe L 0-3 1405 1393 23.3% 39.2% 37.5% -3.1 8
1959-04-12 Adaletspor W 3-1 1396 1399 39.2% 38.1% 22.7% +1.8 9
1959-04-12 @ Karsiyaka L 1-3 1399 1396 22.7% 38.1% 39.2% -1.8 8
1959-04-12 Izmirspor W 1-0 1402 1401 40.0% 37.5% 22.5% +1.1 16
1959-04-12 @ Hacettepe L 0-1 1401 1402 22.5% 37.5% 40.0% -1.1 16
1959-04-12 Ankara Demirspor D 0-0 1409 1402 41.1% 36.7% 22.2% -0.2 16
1959-04-12 @ Vefa Istanbul D 0-0 1402 1409 22.2% 36.7% 41.1% +0.2 14
1959-04-18 Genclerbirligi L 2-3 1398 1392 40.9% 36.9% 22.3% -1.4 8
1959-04-18 @ Adaletspor W 3-2 1392 1398 22.3% 36.9% 40.9% +1.4 9
1959-04-18 Besiktas L 1-3 1402 1403 39.6% 37.8% 22.6% -2.6 15
1959-04-18 @ Ankaragucu W 3-1 1403 1402 22.6% 37.8% 39.6% +2.5 20
1959-04-18 Ankara Demirspor L 1-2 1402 1402 39.8% 37.7% 22.5% -1.5 8
1959-04-18 @ Fatih Karagumruk W 2-1 1402 1402 22.5% 37.7% 39.8% +1.5 17
1959-04-18 Fenerbahce L 1-4 1403 1411 38.3% 38.7% 23.0% -3.6 16
1959-04-18 @ Hacettepe W 4-1 1411 1403 23.0% 38.7% 38.3% +3.5 26
1959-04-19 Ankara Demirspor D 0-0 1396 1404 38.4% 38.7% 23.0% -0.1 9
1959-04-19 @ Adaletspor D 0-0 1404 1396 23.0% 38.7% 38.4% +0.1 18
1959-04-19 Fenerbahce L 2-3 1399 1415 36.9% 39.6% 23.5% -1.4 15
1959-04-19 @ Ankaragucu W 3-2 1415 1399 23.5% 39.6% 36.9% +1.3 29
1959-04-19 Genclerbirligi W 2-1 1401 1394 41.2% 36.6% 22.2% +1.0 11
1959-04-19 @ Fatih Karagumruk L 1-2 1394 1401 22.2% 36.6% 41.2% -1.0 9
1959-04-19 Altay D 2-2 1400 1403 39.2% 38.1% 22.7% -0.1 17
1959-04-19 @ Izmirspor D 2-2 1403 1400 22.7% 38.1% 39.2% +0.1 20
1959-04-19 Goztepe L 0-3 1398 1396 40.2% 37.4% 22.4% -4.3 9
1959-04-19 @ Karsiyaka W 3-0 1396 1398 22.4% 37.4% 40.2% +4.3 13
1959-04-19 Besiktas L 0-3 1399 1405 38.7% 38.4% 22.9% -4.2 16
1959-04-19 @ Hacettepe W 3-0 1405 1399 22.9% 38.4% 38.7% +4.2 23
1959-04-29 Galatasaray L 0-1 1396 1413 36.8% 39.6% 23.6% -1.5 9
1959-04-29 @ Adaletspor W 1-0 1413 1396 23.6% 39.6% 36.8% +1.5 23
1959-04-29 Besiktas L 1-2 1390 1410 36.2% 39.9% 23.9% -1.4 6
1959-04-29 @ Istanbulspor W 2-1 1410 1390 23.9% 39.9% 36.2% +1.4 26
1959-05-02 Karsiyaka D 2-2 1402 1393 41.5% 36.4% 22.1% -0.1 12
1959-05-02 @ Fatih Karagumruk D 2-2 1393 1402 22.1% 36.4% 41.5% +0.1 10
1959-05-02 Goztepe W 3-2 1409 1400 41.5% 36.4% 22.1% +0.9 19
1959-05-02 @ Vefa Istanbul L 2-3 1400 1409 22.1% 36.4% 41.5% -0.9 13
1959-05-03 Goztepe D 1-1 1402 1399 40.3% 37.3% 22.4% -0.1 13
1959-05-03 @ Fatih Karagumruk D 1-1 1399 1402 22.4% 37.3% 40.3% +0.1 14
1959-05-03 Karsiyaka W 3-0 1409 1393 43.1% 35.0% 21.9% +2.8 22
1959-05-03 @ Vefa Istanbul L 0-3 1393 1409 21.9% 35.0% 43.1% -2.8 10
1959-05-09 Hacettepe W 1-0 1398 1395 40.3% 37.3% 22.4% +1.1 18
1959-05-09 @ Ankaragucu L 0-1 1395 1398 22.4% 37.3% 40.3% -1.1 16
1959-05-09 Ankara Demirspor D 0-0 1393 1404 37.7% 39.1% 23.2% -0.1 10
1959-05-09 @ Genclerbirligi D 0-0 1404 1393 23.2% 39.1% 37.7% +0.1 19
1959-05-13 Fenerbahce L 0-1 1398 1416 36.4% 39.8% 23.8% -1.5 12
1959-05-13 @ Beykoz W 1-0 1416 1398 23.8% 39.8% 36.4% +1.5 32
1959-05-13 Vefa Istanbul L 1-2 1401 1412 37.8% 39.0% 23.2% -1.4 13
1959-05-13 @ Fatih Karagumruk W 2-1 1412 1401 23.2% 39.0% 37.8% +1.4 25
1959-05-16 Istanbulspor D 0-0 1396 1388 41.3% 36.5% 22.2% -0.2 13
1959-05-16 @ Beykoz D 0-0 1388 1396 22.2% 36.5% 41.3% +0.1 7
1959-05-16 Galatasaray L 2-3 1400 1414 37.2% 39.4% 23.4% -1.4 13
1959-05-16 @ Fatih Karagumruk W 3-2 1414 1400 23.4% 39.4% 37.2% +1.4 26
1959-05-16 Genclerbirligi W 2-1 1399 1393 41.2% 36.6% 22.2% +1.0 17
1959-05-16 @ Goztepe L 1-2 1393 1399 22.2% 36.6% 41.2% -1.0 10
1959-05-16 Ankara Demirspor D 1-1 1391 1404 37.3% 39.3% 23.4% -0.1 11
1959-05-16 @ Karsiyaka D 1-1 1404 1391 23.4% 39.3% 37.3% +0.1 20
1959-05-17 Vefa Istanbul D 1-1 1395 1414 36.4% 39.8% 23.8% -0.1 10
1959-05-17 @ Adaletspor D 1-1 1414 1395 23.8% 39.8% 36.4% +0.1 26
1959-05-17 Fenerbahce L 0-2 1411 1418 38.6% 38.5% 22.9% -2.9 26
1959-05-17 @ Besiktas W 2-0 1418 1411 22.9% 38.5% 38.6% +2.9 35
1959-05-17 Ankara Demirspor W 4-2 1400 1404 39.1% 38.2% 22.7% +1.6 20
1959-05-17 @ Goztepe L 2-4 1404 1400 22.7% 38.2% 39.1% -1.6 20
1959-05-17 Genclerbirligi D 1-1 1390 1392 39.6% 37.8% 22.6% -0.1 12
1959-05-17 @ Karsiyaka D 1-1 1392 1390 22.6% 37.8% 39.6% +0.1 11
1959-06-06 Vefa Istanbul D 1-1 1416 1414 40.2% 37.4% 22.4% -0.1 27
1959-06-06 @ Galatasaray D 1-1 1414 1416 22.4% 37.4% 40.2% +0.1 27
1959-06-07 Adaletspor W 3-0 1399 1394 40.6% 37.0% 22.3% +2.9 16
1959-06-07 @ Fatih Karagumruk L 0-3 1394 1399 22.3% 37.0% 40.6% -2.9 10
1959-06-07 Fenerbahce L 0-5 1389 1421 34.3% 40.6% 25.1% -6.4 7
1959-06-07 @ Istanbulspor W 5-0 1421 1389 25.1% 40.6% 34.3% +6.4 38

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Record
1959-06-10 Fenerbahce W 1-0 1416 1427 37.7% 39.1% 23.2% +1.1 1-0
1959-06-10 @ Galatasaray L 0-1 1427 1416 23.2% 39.1% 37.7% -1.1 0-1
1959-06-14 Galatasaray W 4-0 1426 1417 41.7% 36.2% 22.1% +3.7 1-1
1959-06-14 @ Fenerbahce L 0-4 1417 1426 22.1% 36.2% 41.7% -3.7 1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1959-04-11 21.96% Ankara Demirspor 1401 2 @ Galatasaray 1415 1
2 1959-03-22 22.25% Ankaragucu 1396 3 @ Hacettepe 1402 1
3 1959-04-18 22.27% Genclerbirligi 1392 3 @ Adaletspor 1398 2
4 1959-04-19 22.44% Goztepe 1396 3 @ Karsiyaka 1398 0
5 1959-03-08 22.47% Hacettepe 1402 1 @ Beykoz 1403 0
6 1959-03-29 22.49% Altay 1404 3 @ Besiktas 1404 1
7 1959-02-21 22.52% Besiktas 1401 2 @ Altay 1401 1
8 1959-02-21 22.52% Galatasaray 1401 2 @ Ankara Demirspor 1401 0
9 1959-02-21 22.52% Hacettepe 1401 2 @ Istanbulspor 1401 0
10 1959-04-18 22.54% Ankara Demirspor 1402 2 @ Fatih Karagumruk 1402 1
11 1959-04-11 22.56% Fatih Karagumruk 1401 3 @ Karsiyaka 1400 0
12 1959-03-07 22.59% Vefa Istanbul 1402 3 @ Genclerbirligi 1401 0
13 1959-04-18 22.59% Besiktas 1403 3 @ Ankaragucu 1402 1
14 1959-03-08 22.71% Fatih Karagumruk 1400 1 @ Genclerbirligi 1397 0
15 1959-04-11 22.72% Adaletspor 1398 3 @ Goztepe 1394 2
16 1959-03-21 22.73% Vefa Istanbul 1407 1 @ Goztepe 1403 0
17 1959-02-28 22.75% Fenerbahce 1404 1 @ Altay 1400 0
18 1959-03-21 22.83% Galatasaray 1405 1 @ Karsiyaka 1400 0
19 1959-03-22 22.83% Galatasaray 1407 5 @ Goztepe 1401 0
20 1959-04-19 22.85% Besiktas 1405 3 @ Hacettepe 1399 0
21 1959-05-17 22.90% Fenerbahce 1418 2 @ Besiktas 1411 0
22 1959-03-21 22.91% Altay 1402 1 @ Istanbulspor 1395 0
23 1959-04-18 23.00% Fenerbahce 1411 4 @ Hacettepe 1403 1
24 1959-05-13 23.17% Vefa Istanbul 1412 2 @ Fatih Karagumruk 1401 1
25 1959-05-16 23.42% Galatasaray 1414 3 @ Fatih Karagumruk 1400 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1959-03-22 6.83 Galatasaray 5 1407 22.83% @ Goztepe 0 1401 38.78%
2 1959-06-07 6.39 Fenerbahce 5 1421 25.09% @ Istanbulspor 0 1389 34.27%
3 1959-04-19 4.31 Goztepe 3 1396 22.44% @ Karsiyaka 0 1398 40.16%
4 1959-03-07 4.29 Vefa Istanbul 3 1402 22.59% @ Genclerbirligi 0 1401 39.58%
5 1959-04-11 4.29 Fatih Karagumruk 3 1401 22.56% @ Karsiyaka 0 1400 39.68%
6 1959-04-19 4.24 Besiktas 3 1405 22.85% @ Hacettepe 0 1399 38.71%
7 1959-06-14 * 3.73 @ Fenerbahce 4 1426 41.68% Galatasaray 0 1417 22.11%
8 1959-04-18 3.56 Fenerbahce 4 1411 23.00% @ Hacettepe 1 1403 38.26%
9 1959-04-12 3.08 @ Goztepe 3 1393 37.55% Fatih Karagumruk 0 1405 23.27%
10 1959-02-21 2.96 Galatasaray 2 1401 22.52% @ Ankara Demirspor 0 1401 39.84%
11 1959-02-21 2.96 Hacettepe 2 1401 22.52% @ Istanbulspor 0 1401 39.84%
12 1959-05-17 2.91 Fenerbahce 2 1418 22.90% @ Besiktas 0 1411 38.56%
13 1959-06-07 2.91 @ Fatih Karagumruk 3 1399 40.65% Adaletspor 0 1394 22.32%
14 1959-04-11 2.84 @ Vefa Istanbul 3 1406 41.99% Genclerbirligi 0 1395 22.05%
15 1959-04-08 2.79 @ Fenerbahce 3 1409 43.07% Istanbulspor 0 1393 21.89%
16 1959-05-03 2.78 @ Vefa Istanbul 3 1409 43.09% Karsiyaka 0 1393 21.88%
17 1959-03-22 2.60 Ankaragucu 3 1396 22.25% @ Hacettepe 1 1402 40.96%
18 1959-03-29 2.57 Altay 3 1404 22.49% @ Besiktas 1 1404 39.96%
19 1959-04-18 2.56 Besiktas 3 1403 22.59% @ Ankaragucu 1 1402 39.58%
20 1959-03-22 2.10 @ Karsiyaka 2 1398 37.95% Vefa Istanbul 0 1408 23.11%
21 1959-03-11 2.08 @ Istanbulspor 2 1394 38.44% Beykoz 0 1402 22.94%
22 1959-04-11 2.08 @ Hacettepe 2 1400 38.59% Altay 0 1406 22.89%
23 1959-02-22 2.05 @ Ankara Demirspor 2 1398 39.25% Adaletspor 0 1401 22.68%
24 1959-03-28 2.05 @ Besiktas 2 1402 39.30% Izmirspor 0 1405 22.67%
25 1959-03-01 2.02 @ Altay 2 1398 40.22% Istanbulspor 0 1396 22.42%