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1959 Turkish National League Season

112 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Fenerbahce

26 points · 1st Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Fenerbahce

8.42 points above expected

26 points · 17.58 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Istanbulspor

4.85 points below expected

6 points · 10.85 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Galatasaray 14 7 6 1 20 18 7 +11 17.39 +2.61
2 Vefa Istanbul 14 7 6 1 20 21 10 +11 16.68 +3.32
3 Ankara Demirspor 14 4 8 2 16 12 11 +1 15.10 +0.90
4 Goztepe 14 5 5 4 15 23 21 +2 13.48 +1.52
5 Fatih Karagumruk 14 4 4 6 12 17 17 0 13.43 -1.43
6 Karsiyaka 14 2 6 6 10 13 21 -8 12.22 -2.22
7 Genclerbirligi 14 1 8 5 10 10 18 -8 11.67 -1.67
8 Adaletspor 14 1 7 6 9 12 21 -9 12.03 -3.03
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Fenerbahce Champion 14 12 2 0 26 29 7 +22 17.58 +8.42
2 Besiktas 14 8 2 4 18 22 16 +6 14.33 +3.67
3 Altay 14 5 5 4 15 18 16 +2 14.89 +0.11
4 Izmirspor 14 4 5 5 13 11 12 -1 15.02 -2.02
5 Ankaragucu 14 5 3 6 13 16 19 -3 12.96 +0.04
6 Hacettepe 14 5 1 8 11 14 20 -6 13.63 -2.63
7 Beykoz 14 3 4 7 10 17 21 -4 12.74 -2.74
8 Istanbulspor 14 1 4 9 6 6 22 -16 10.85 -4.85

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fenerbahce 26 17.58 +8.42
2 Besiktas 18 14.33 +3.67
3 Vefa Istanbul 20 16.68 +3.32
4 Galatasaray 20 17.39 +2.61
5 Goztepe 15 13.48 +1.52

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Istanbulspor 6 10.85 -4.85
2 Adaletspor 9 12.03 -3.03
3 Beykoz 10 12.74 -2.74
4 Hacettepe 11 13.63 -2.63
5 Karsiyaka 10 12.22 -2.22

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fenerbahce 7 Mar 29 – Jun 7 1 in 172
2 Besiktas 4 Apr 8 – Apr 29 1 in 51
3 Galatasaray 4 Mar 15 – Mar 25 1 in 27
4 Goztepe 2 Apr 12 – Apr 19 1 in 26
5 Hacettepe 3 Mar 29 – Apr 12 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hacettepe 3 Mar 14 – Mar 22 1 in 47
2 Beykoz 3 Mar 8 – Mar 15 1 in 34
3 Goztepe 3 Mar 21 – Apr 11 1 in 32
4 Izmirspor 4 Mar 28 – Apr 12 1 in 25
5 Fatih Karagumruk 2 Apr 12 – Apr 18 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ankara Demirspor 12 Feb 22 – May 16 1 in 82
2 Fenerbahce 14 Feb 21 – Jun 7 1 in 25
3 Altay 8 Mar 1 – Mar 29 1 in 23
4 Galatasaray 9 Feb 21 – Mar 25 1 in 19
5 Goztepe 5 Feb 28 – Mar 15 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Genclerbirligi 9 Feb 21 – Apr 12 1 in 17
2 Izmirspor 7 Mar 21 – Apr 19 1 in 11
3 Adaletspor 7 Feb 21 – Mar 25 1 in 9
4 Ankara Demirspor 4 Apr 19 – May 17 1 in 8
5 Goztepe 5 Mar 14 – Apr 11 1 in 7

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Fenerbahce 1687 26 +156 10 6.3 +3.7
Vefa Istanbul 1530 20 +55 8 6.0 +2.0
Galatasaray 1572 20 -27 6 7.1 -1.1
Besiktas 1498 18 +92 8 5.6 +2.4
Ankara Demirspor 1422 16 -16 5 5.5 -0.5
Goztepe 1469 15 +107 7 5.1 +1.9
Altay 1419 15 -20 4 4.5 -0.5
Ankaragucu 1381 13 -7 6 5.5 +0.5
Izmirspor 1351 13 -89 1 4.0 -3.0
Fatih Karagumruk 1386 12 +8 4 5.2 -1.2
Hacettepe 1299 11 -63 4 4.7 -0.7
Genclerbirligi 1291 10 +9 4 3.6 +0.4
Karsiyaka 1261 10 -96 3 4.1 -1.1
Beykoz 1315 10 -49 2 4.2 -2.2
Adaletspor 1252 9 -80 2 4.0 -2.0
Istanbulspor 1232 6 -71 1 2.8 -1.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Red

Team ADA AD FK GAL GEN GOZ KAR VI
Adaletspor —
0-1-1
2.25
0-1-1
2.25
0-0-2
1.51
0-1-1
2.81
1-1-0
2.69
0-1-1
2.65
0-2-0
1.48
Ankara Demirspor
1-1-0
3.05
 —
1-1-0
2.87
1-0-1
2.17
0-2-0
3.60
0-1-1
2.63
1-1-0
3.39
0-2-0
2.05
Fatih Karagumruk
1-1-0
3.04
0-1-1
2.43
 —
0-0-2
1.43
2-0-0
3.06
0-1-1
3.23
1-1-0
2.93
0-0-2
2.10
Galatasaray
2-0-0
3.81
1-0-1
3.15
2-0-0
3.89
 —
0-2-0
3.49
1-1-0
3.17
1-1-0
3.21
0-2-0
2.66
Genclerbirligi
1-1-0
2.49
0-2-0
1.71
0-0-2
2.23
0-2-0
1.85
 —
0-1-1
1.78
0-2-0
2.45
0-0-2
2.17
Goztepe
0-1-1
2.60
1-1-0
2.66
1-1-0
2.08
0-1-1
2.13
1-1-0
3.52
 —
2-0-0
2.67
0-0-2
2.28
Karsiyaka
1-1-0
2.64
0-1-1
1.92
0-1-1
2.37
0-1-1
2.08
0-2-0
2.84
0-0-2
2.63
 —
1-0-1
1.51
Vefa Istanbul
0-2-0
3.84
0-2-0
3.24
2-0-0
3.20
0-2-0
2.64
2-0-0
3.13
2-0-0
3.01
1-0-1
3.81
 —

White

Team ALT ANK BES BEY FEN HAC IST IZM
Altay —
1-0-1
2.94
1-0-1
2.61
0-2-0
2.91
0-1-1
2.13
1-0-1
2.90
2-0-0
3.15
0-2-0
2.67
Ankaragucu
1-0-1
2.35
 —
0-1-1
2.42
0-1-1
2.57
0-0-2
1.88
2-0-0
2.56
1-1-0
2.96
1-0-1
2.30
Besiktas
1-0-1
2.69
1-1-0
2.88
 —
1-0-1
3.01
0-0-2
2.22
2-0-0
2.90
2-0-0
3.84
1-1-0
2.59
Beykoz
0-2-0
2.38
1-1-0
2.73
1-0-1
2.28
 —
0-0-2
1.39
0-0-2
2.80
0-1-1
3.34
1-0-1
2.12
Fenerbahce
1-1-0
3.17
2-0-0
3.42
2-0-0
3.08
2-0-0
3.93
 —
2-0-0
2.96
2-0-0
4.33
1-1-0
3.06
Hacettepe
1-0-1
2.39
0-0-2
2.75
0-0-2
2.39
2-0-0
2.50
0-0-2
2.34
 —
1-1-0
2.80
1-0-1
2.74
Istanbulspor
0-0-2
2.15
0-1-1
2.34
0-0-2
1.48
1-1-0
1.96
0-0-2
1.03
0-1-1
2.50
 —
0-1-1
1.84
Izmirspor
0-2-0
2.63
1-0-1
3.00
0-1-1
2.70
1-0-1
3.18
0-1-1
2.25
1-0-1
2.56
1-1-0
3.46
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.69 +7.4
Allowed 0.72 -8.3
Differential 0.97 +5.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.39%9.82%4.46%4.02%—0.89%32.59%
19.82%14.29%6.70%2.68%0.45%—33.93%
24.46%6.70%6.25%3.57%0.45%—21.43%
34.02%2.68%3.57%———10.27%
4—0.45%0.45%———0.89%
5+0.89%—————0.89%
Total32.59%33.93%21.43%10.27%0.89%0.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.16 1.16 +0.00
SD 1.07 1.07 1.51
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 112

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.43%7.14%7.14%7.14%——42.86%
1—21.43%7.14%7.14%——35.71%
2——7.14%7.14%——14.29%
3——7.14%———7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.43%28.57%28.57%21.43%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 1.50 -0.64
SD 0.95 1.09 1.08
CV 1.11 0.73 —
Max 3 3 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
121.43%14.29%14.29%———50.00%
27.14%—21.43%———28.57%
3—7.14%————7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%28.57%42.86%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.14 +0.14
SD 0.83 0.86 1.17
CV 0.64 0.76 —
Max 3 2 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
035.71%—7.14%———42.86%
17.14%21.43%————28.57%
27.14%14.29%——7.14%—28.57%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total50.00%35.71%7.14%—7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 0.79 +0.07
SD 0.86 1.12 1.07
CV 1.01 1.43 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%————21.43%
121.43%7.14%—21.43%——50.00%
2—7.14%7.14%7.14%——21.43%
3—7.14%————7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%35.71%7.14%28.57%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.36 -0.21
SD 0.86 1.22 1.31
CV 0.76 0.90 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%7.14%———28.57%
1—7.14%—7.14%——14.29%
27.14%21.43%————28.57%
37.14%7.14%14.29%———28.57%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.43%50.00%21.43%7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 1.14 +0.43
SD 1.22 0.86 1.50
CV 0.78 0.76 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%7.14%———28.57%
17.14%—21.43%———28.57%
2—7.14%21.43%7.14%——35.71%
3—7.14%————7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total14.29%28.57%50.00%7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.50 -0.29
SD 0.97 0.85 1.07
CV 0.80 0.57 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%—7.14%——28.57%
17.14%14.29%14.29%———35.71%
2—7.14%7.14%7.14%——21.43%
314.29%—————14.29%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%35.71%21.43%14.29%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.21 +0.00
SD 1.05 1.05 1.62
CV 0.87 0.87 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%—————7.14%
128.57%7.14%————35.71%
27.14%14.29%————21.43%
37.14%7.14%7.14%———21.43%
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+7.14%—————7.14%
Total57.14%35.71%7.14%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.07 0.50 +1.57
SD 1.38 0.65 1.34
CV 0.67 1.30 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
028.57%—————28.57%
121.43%14.29%7.14%———42.86%
27.14%7.14%————14.29%
3——7.14%———7.14%
4———————
5+7.14%—————7.14%
Total64.29%21.43%14.29%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 0.50 +0.79
SD 1.38 0.76 1.42
CV 1.08 1.52 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
028.57%7.14%—14.29%——50.00%
1—21.43%14.29%———35.71%
2——7.14%———7.14%
3——7.14%———7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%28.57%28.57%14.29%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.71 1.29 -0.57
SD 0.91 1.07 1.16
CV 1.28 0.83 —
Max 3 3 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%———7.14%28.57%
1—14.29%————14.29%
2—7.14%7.14%14.29%——28.57%
314.29%—7.14%———21.43%
4——7.14%———7.14%
5+———————
Total28.57%28.57%21.43%14.29%—7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.50 +0.14
SD 1.34 1.45 1.99
CV 0.81 0.97 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—21.43%—7.14%——28.57%
114.29%7.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%—42.86%
214.29%7.14%—7.14%——28.57%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%35.71%7.14%21.43%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.43 -0.43
SD 0.78 1.34 1.65
CV 0.78 0.94 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%14.29%21.43%7.14%—7.14%64.29%
1—14.29%14.29%———28.57%
27.14%—————7.14%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total21.43%28.57%35.71%7.14%—7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.43 1.57 -1.14
SD 0.65 1.34 1.66
CV 1.51 0.85 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%21.43%7.14%———42.86%
114.29%14.29%7.14%———35.71%
27.14%7.14%7.14%———21.43%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total35.71%42.86%21.43%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.79 0.86 -0.07
SD 0.80 0.77 1.07
CV 1.02 0.90 —
Max 2 2 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%—21.43%——42.86%
1—28.57%————28.57%
27.14%—7.14%7.14%——21.43%
3—7.14%————7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total14.29%50.00%7.14%28.57%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.50 -0.57
SD 1.00 1.09 1.60
CV 1.07 0.73 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%—7.14%———21.43%
114.29%21.43%————35.71%
2—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
321.43%—7.14%———28.57%
4———————
5+———————
Total50.00%28.57%21.43%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 0.71 +0.79
SD 1.16 0.83 1.42
CV 0.77 1.16 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Fenerbahce 1716 26 17.58 +8.42 100.0% 12 13 16 18 19 22 23
Galatasaray 1544 20 17.39 +2.61 92.0% 11 13 15 18 19 21 23
Vefa Istanbul 1530 20 16.68 +3.32 97.0% 11 13 15 17 19 20 21
Besiktas 1498 18 14.33 +3.67 94.0% 8 10 13 14 16 19 21
Goztepe 1469 15 13.48 +1.52 73.0% 6 8 11 13 16 18 22
Ankara Demirspor 1422 16 15.10 +0.90 68.0% 9 10 13 15 17 19 24
Altay 1419 15 14.89 +0.11 56.0% 7 10 13 15 17 20 23
Fatih Karagumruk 1386 12 13.43 -1.43 39.0% 7 8 11 13 15 19 23
Ankaragucu 1381 13 12.96 +0.04 55.0% 7 8 11 13 14 18 21
Izmirspor 1351 13 15.02 -2.02 33.0% 8 10 13 15 17 20 21
Beykoz 1315 10 12.74 -2.74 23.0% 3 7 11 13 15 17 22
Hacettepe 1299 11 13.63 -2.63 27.0% 7 9 11 14 16 18 19
Genclerbirligi 1291 10 11.67 -1.67 35.0% 5 6 10 12 13 17 19
Karsiyaka 1261 10 12.22 -2.22 29.0% 5 7 10 12 14 17 20
Adaletspor 1252 9 12.03 -3.03 20.0% 5 7 10 12 14 17 19
Istanbulspor 1232 6 10.85 -4.85 3.0% 3 7 9 11 13 15 17

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 18.5% * Slight Edge: 18.5% to 23% * Clear Edge: 23% to 32.5% * Strong Edge: 32.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.50%
No Edge
39.29%33.93%26.79%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 43.66 Elo pts.
222 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.10 goals
Neutral
-2+0.20+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.17 * Runaway: 0.17 and up.
Title-Race Openness
7.2
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
46%
Fenerbahce, 1st of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.43/gm
Runaway
00.110.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.32 * Some Luck: 2.32 to 3.48 * Lucky: 3.48 to 4.65 * Wild Swing: 4.65 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.72 * Close: 2.72 to 4.07 * Off: 4.07 to 5.43 * Way Off: 5.43 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.22 points
Some Luck
02.907
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.12
Pinpoint
03.398
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
100.00%
Fenerbahce
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
3.00%
Istanbulspor
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.15 * Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.1 * Wide Separation: 2.1 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 62% * Slight Edge: 62% to 65% * Clear Edge: 65% to 70% * Wide Edge: 70% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87% * Clear Edge: 87% to 90.5% * Strong Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Dominant: 93.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 62% * Some Drama: 62% to 67% * Frequent: 67% to 72.5% * Very Frequent: 72.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 10.5% * Occasional: 10.5% to 13.5% * Frequent: 13.5% to 16.5% * Very Frequent: 16.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Lopsided
00.120.180.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 128.04
1.68
Moderate Separation
0.951.51.82.12.75
Interquartile Edge
74%
Wide Edge
50%62%70%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
93%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
74%
Very Frequent
0%68%100%
Blowouts
Expected 10%
11%
Occasional
0%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.36 * Slight Separation: 0.36 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.55 * Lopsided: 0.55 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.46 * Some Carryover: 0.46 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 19.5% * Upset-Prone: 19.5% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13.5% * As Expected: 13.5% to 17.5% * Shaky Favorites: 17.5% to 19.5% * Very Shaky: 19.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Predictable
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.35
Very Even
00.360.430.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.45
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
N/A
No prior ratings
00.460.591
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Upset-Prone
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Very Shaky
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.16 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.16 to 0.25 * Above Noise: 0.25 to 0.33 * Well Above Noise: 0.33 and up.
Probability calibration
0.25
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.15
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.132
Well Within Noise
00.1640.4

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Fenerbahce 4
Galatasaray 1

Leg 1: Galatasaray 1-0 Fenerbahce

Leg 2: Fenerbahce 4-0 Galatasaray

Sim: 22.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Galatasaray42.00%25.00%14.00%13.00%4.00%2.00%——
Vefa Istanbul28.00%27.00%20.00%11.00%9.00%4.00%1.00%—
Ankara Demirspor10.00%22.00%15.00%16.00%13.00%15.00%6.00%3.00%
Goztepe9.00%6.00%16.00%17.00%12.00%14.00%18.00%8.00%
Fatih Karagumruk8.00%7.00%14.00%10.00%21.00%14.00%17.00%9.00%
Karsiyaka1.00%5.00%6.00%12.00%14.00%18.00%19.00%25.00%
Genclerbirligi1.00%3.00%6.00%10.00%12.00%18.00%21.00%29.00%
Adaletspor1.00%5.00%9.00%11.00%15.00%15.00%18.00%26.00%
Team12345678
Fenerbahce46.00%23.00%14.00%7.00%3.00%7.00%——
Besiktas8.00%19.00%16.00%17.00%19.00%8.00%8.00%5.00%
Altay19.00%16.00%13.00%15.00%10.00%15.00%10.00%2.00%
Izmirspor12.00%13.00%19.00%20.00%13.00%12.00%5.00%6.00%
Ankaragucu6.00%7.00%9.00%11.00%21.00%16.00%16.00%14.00%
Hacettepe6.00%11.00%12.00%15.00%13.00%10.00%16.00%17.00%
Beykoz3.00%9.00%13.00%12.00%10.00%19.00%20.00%14.00%
Istanbulspor—2.00%4.00%3.00%11.00%13.00%25.00%42.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level
Adaletspor 99.00%
Altay 81.00%
Ankara Demirspor 90.00%
Ankaragucu 94.00%
Besiktas 92.00%
Beykoz 97.00%
Fatih Karagumruk 92.00%
Fenerbahce —
Galatasaray —
Genclerbirligi 99.00%
Goztepe 91.00%
Hacettepe 94.00%
Istanbulspor 100%
Izmirspor 88.00%
Karsiyaka 99.00%
Vefa Istanbul 72.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
AdaletsporAltayAnkara DemirsporAnkaragucuBesiktasBeykozFatih KaragumrukFenerbahceGalatasarayGoztepeHacettepeIstanbulsporIzmirsporKarsiyakaVefa Istanbul
Adaletspor100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Altay0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%66.7%3.00%
Ankara Demirspor100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%5.00%
Ankaragucu50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Besiktas0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%40.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%
Beykoz100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Fatih Karagumruk0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%
Fenerbahce100.0%2.00%100.0%5.00%100.0%2.00%91.7%24.00%100.0%6.00%66.7%18.00%
Galatasaray66.7%3.00%50.0%2.00%60.0%5.00%0.0%1.00%8.3%24.00%100.0%2.00%85.7%7.00%
Goztepe0.0%6.00%0.0%1.00%
Hacettepe0.0%2.00%
Istanbulspor0.0%1.00%
Izmirspor100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%14.3%7.00%100.0%1.00%16.7%6.00%
Karsiyaka0.0%1.00%
Vefa Istanbul33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%33.3%18.00%100.0%1.00%83.3%6.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Finals
Fenerbahce 67.80%
Galatasaray 32.20%
Loser →
↓ Winner
FenerbahceGalatasaray
Fenerbahce67.8%100.00%
Galatasaray32.2%100.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1959-02-21 Galatasaray L 0-244.5 1398 1398 42.03% 35.28% 22.69%+0.20 -56.2 0
1959-02-21 @ Ankara Demirspor W 2-044.5 1398 1398 22.69% 35.28% 42.03%-0.20 +56.2 2
1959-02-21 Adaletspor D 1-153.9 1398 1398 42.03% 35.28% 22.69%+0.20 -2.7 1
1959-02-21 @ Genclerbirligi D 1-153.9 1398 1398 22.69% 35.28% 42.03%-0.20 +2.7 1
1959-02-21 Besiktas L 1-254.4 1398 1398 42.03% 35.28% 22.69%+0.20 -28.1 0
1959-02-21 @ Altay W 2-154.4 1398 1398 22.69% 35.28% 42.03%-0.20 +28.1 2
1959-02-21 Ankaragucu W 3-144.7 1398 1398 42.03% 35.28% 22.69%+0.20 +31.8 2
1959-02-21 @ Fenerbahce L 1-344.7 1398 1398 22.69% 35.28% 42.03%-0.20 -31.8 0
1959-02-21 Hacettepe L 0-244.5 1398 1398 42.03% 35.28% 22.69%+0.20 -56.2 0
1959-02-21 @ Istanbulspor W 2-044.5 1398 1398 22.69% 35.28% 42.03%-0.20 +56.2 2
1959-02-21 Beykoz W 2-148.6 1398 1398 42.03% 35.28% 22.69%+0.20 +18.4 2
1959-02-21 @ Izmirspor L 1-248.6 1398 1398 22.69% 35.28% 42.03%-0.20 -18.4 0
1959-02-22 Adaletspor W 2-040.0 1341 1400 34.42% 35.36% 30.22%-0.07 +44.5 2
1959-02-22 @ Ankara Demirspor L 0-240.0 1400 1341 30.22% 35.36% 34.42%+0.07 -44.5 1
1959-02-22 Galatasaray D 0-049.8 1395 1454 34.42% 35.36% 30.22%-0.07 -0.6 2
1959-02-22 @ Genclerbirligi D 0-049.8 1454 1395 30.22% 35.36% 34.42%+0.07 +0.6 3
1959-02-22 Beykoz D 2-259.0 1370 1379 40.86% 35.31% 23.83%+0.15 -1.7 1
1959-02-22 @ Altay D 2-259.0 1379 1370 23.83% 35.31% 40.86%-0.15 +1.7 1
1959-02-22 Hacettepe W 2-151.8 1429 1454 39.03% 35.34% 25.63%+0.09 +20.0 4
1959-02-22 @ Fenerbahce L 1-251.8 1454 1429 25.63% 35.34% 39.03%-0.09 -20.0 2
1959-02-22 Ankaragucu D 1-152.3 1341 1366 39.03% 35.34% 25.63%+0.09 -1.8 1
1959-02-22 @ Istanbulspor D 1-152.3 1366 1341 25.63% 35.34% 39.03%-0.09 +1.8 1
1959-02-22 Besiktas D 1-155.0 1416 1426 40.86% 35.31% 23.83%+0.15 -2.3 3
1959-02-22 @ Izmirspor D 1-155.0 1426 1416 23.83% 35.31% 40.86%-0.15 +2.3 3
1959-02-25 Fatih Karagumruk W 1-042.3 1398 1398 42.03% 35.28% 22.69%+0.20 +19.5 2
1959-02-25 @ Vefa Istanbul L 0-142.3 1398 1398 22.69% 35.28% 42.03%-0.20 -19.5 0
1959-02-25 Besiktas W 1-044.4 1381 1428 36.03% 35.37% 28.60%-0.02 +22.8 3
1959-02-25 @ Beykoz L 0-144.4 1428 1381 28.60% 35.37% 36.03%+0.02 -22.8 3
1959-02-28 Goztepe D 0-047.7 1356 1398 36.73% 35.37% 27.90%+0.01 -1.3 2
1959-02-28 @ Adaletspor D 0-047.7 1398 1356 27.90% 35.37% 36.73%-0.01 +1.3 1
1959-02-28 Karsiyaka D 1-155.4 1454 1398 48.21% 34.95% 16.84%+0.45 -4.6 4
1959-02-28 @ Galatasaray D 1-155.4 1398 1454 16.84% 34.95% 48.21%-0.45 +4.6 1
1959-02-28 Fenerbahce L 0-145.4 1368 1449 31.20% 35.33% 33.47%-0.17 -24.1 1
1959-02-28 @ Altay W 1-045.4 1449 1368 33.47% 35.33% 31.20%+0.17 +24.1 6
1959-02-28 Istanbulspor W 2-035.5 1414 1340 49.86% 34.80% 15.34%+0.53 +27.8 5
1959-02-28 @ Izmirspor L 0-235.5 1340 1414 15.34% 34.80% 49.86%-0.53 -27.8 1
1959-03-01 Karsiyaka D 0-047.7 1355 1402 35.94% 35.37% 28.69%-0.02 -1.1 3
1959-03-01 @ Adaletspor D 0-047.7 1402 1355 28.69% 35.37% 35.94%+0.02 +1.1 2
1959-03-01 Goztepe D 0-049.9 1450 1399 47.63% 34.99% 17.38%+0.43 -4.9 5
1959-03-01 @ Galatasaray D 0-049.9 1399 1450 17.38% 34.99% 47.63%-0.43 +4.9 2
1959-03-01 Istanbulspor W 2-035.5 1344 1312 45.65% 35.12% 19.23%+0.34 +32.8 3
1959-03-01 @ Altay L 0-235.5 1312 1344 19.23% 35.12% 45.65%-0.34 -32.8 1
1959-03-01 Fenerbahce D 0-051.9 1442 1474 38.04% 35.36% 26.61%+0.05 -1.7 6
1959-03-01 @ Izmirspor D 0-051.9 1474 1442 26.61% 35.36% 38.04%-0.05 +1.7 7
1959-03-07 Fatih Karagumruk D 0-047.9 1386 1378 42.95% 35.24% 21.80%+0.23 -3.3 3
1959-03-07 @ Ankara Demirspor D 0-047.9 1378 1386 21.80% 35.24% 42.95%-0.23 +3.3 1
1959-03-07 Vefa Istanbul L 0-342.7 1394 1417 39.23% 35.34% 25.43%+0.09 -77.3 2
1959-03-07 @ Genclerbirligi W 3-042.7 1417 1394 25.43% 35.34% 39.23%-0.09 +77.3 4
1959-03-07 Hacettepe W 3-255.6 1405 1434 38.48% 35.35% 26.17%+0.07 +19.2 5
1959-03-07 @ Besiktas L 2-355.6 1434 1405 26.17% 35.35% 38.48%-0.07 -19.2 2
1959-03-07 Ankaragucu W 3-143.0 1404 1368 46.11% 35.09% 18.80%+0.36 +27.9 5
1959-03-07 @ Beykoz L 1-343.0 1368 1404 18.80% 35.09% 46.11%-0.36 -27.9 1
1959-03-08 Vefa Istanbul D 1-156.0 1383 1494 27.14% 35.22% 37.64%-0.31 +1.4 4
1959-03-08 @ Ankara Demirspor D 1-156.0 1494 1383 37.64% 35.22% 27.14%+0.31 -1.4 5
1959-03-08 Fatih Karagumruk L 0-144.0 1317 1381 33.65% 35.36% 31.00%-0.09 -25.3 2
1959-03-08 @ Genclerbirligi W 1-044.0 1381 1317 31.00% 35.36% 33.65%+0.09 +25.3 3
1959-03-08 Karsiyaka W 3-253.7 1404 1403 42.10% 35.27% 22.62%+0.20 +17.4 4
1959-03-08 @ Goztepe L 2-353.7 1403 1404 22.62% 35.27% 42.10%-0.20 -17.4 2
1959-03-08 Izmirspor D 1-154.3 1377 1440 33.79% 35.36% 30.85%-0.09 -0.4 4
1959-03-08 @ Altay D 1-154.3 1440 1377 30.85% 35.36% 33.79%+0.09 +0.4 7
1959-03-08 Ankaragucu D 0-048.0 1424 1340 50.83% 34.70% 14.47%+0.58 -6.1 6
1959-03-08 @ Besiktas D 0-048.0 1340 1424 14.47% 34.70% 50.83%-0.58 +6.1 2
1959-03-08 Hacettepe L 0-150.0 1432 1415 44.01% 35.20% 20.79%+0.27 -30.9 5
1959-03-08 @ Beykoz W 1-050.0 1415 1432 20.79% 35.20% 44.01%-0.27 +30.9 4
1959-03-11 Galatasaray D 0-052.8 1493 1445 47.34% 35.01% 17.64%+0.41 -4.8 6
1959-03-11 @ Vefa Istanbul D 0-052.8 1445 1493 17.64% 35.01% 47.34%-0.41 +4.8 6
1959-03-11 Beykoz W 2-041.7 1279 1401 25.88% 35.17% 38.95%-0.35 +52.9 3
1959-03-11 @ Istanbulspor L 0-241.7 1401 1279 38.95% 35.17% 25.88%+0.35 -52.8 5
1959-03-14 Karsiyaka W 1-041.9 1384 1386 41.82% 35.28% 22.90%+0.19 +19.6 6
1959-03-14 @ Ankara Demirspor L 0-141.9 1386 1384 22.90% 35.28% 41.82%-0.19 -19.6 2
1959-03-14 Goztepe D 2-258.5 1292 1421 24.92% 35.12% 39.96%-0.39 +1.5 3
1959-03-14 @ Genclerbirligi D 2-258.5 1421 1292 39.96% 35.12% 24.92%+0.39 -1.5 5
1959-03-14 Hacettepe W 1-045.7 1376 1446 32.93% 35.35% 31.72%-0.12 +24.3 6
1959-03-14 @ Altay L 0-145.7 1446 1376 31.72% 35.35% 32.93%+0.12 -24.3 4
1959-03-14 Istanbulspor W 2-145.0 1418 1332 50.98% 34.68% 14.34%+0.59 +13.2 8
1959-03-14 @ Besiktas L 1-245.0 1332 1418 14.34% 34.68% 50.98%-0.59 -13.2 3
1959-03-15 Goztepe D 1-154.5 1404 1420 40.07% 35.33% 24.60%+0.12 -2.1 7
1959-03-15 @ Ankara Demirspor D 1-154.5 1420 1404 24.60% 35.33% 40.07%-0.12 +2.1 6
1959-03-15 Adaletspor W 2-145.8 1450 1353 51.83% 34.58% 13.59%+0.63 +12.7 8
1959-03-15 @ Galatasaray L 1-245.8 1353 1450 13.59% 34.58% 51.83%-0.63 -12.7 3
1959-03-15 Karsiyaka D 1-151.7 1293 1366 32.43% 35.35% 32.23%-0.13 -0.0 4
1959-03-15 @ Genclerbirligi D 1-151.7 1366 1293 32.23% 35.35% 32.43%+0.13 +0.0 3
1959-03-15 Ankaragucu W 1-039.6 1400 1346 48.01% 34.96% 17.03%+0.44 +15.9 8
1959-03-15 @ Altay L 0-139.6 1346 1400 17.03% 34.96% 48.01%-0.44 -15.9 2
1959-03-15 Beykoz W 2-145.5 1475 1348 54.32% 34.21% 11.47%+0.77 +11.1 9
1959-03-15 @ Fenerbahce L 1-245.5 1348 1475 11.47% 34.21% 54.32%-0.77 -11.1 5
1959-03-15 Hacettepe W 1-043.4 1440 1421 44.23% 35.19% 20.58%+0.28 +18.2 9
1959-03-15 @ Izmirspor L 0-143.4 1421 1440 20.58% 35.19% 44.23%-0.28 -18.2 4
1959-03-17 Ankaragucu W 1-038.5 1458 1330 54.41% 34.20% 11.39%+0.78 +11.7 11
1959-03-17 @ Izmirspor L 0-138.5 1330 1458 11.39% 34.20% 54.41%-0.78 -11.7 2
1959-03-18 Fatih Karagumruk D 1-152.9 1341 1407 33.42% 35.36% 31.23%-0.10 -0.3 4
1959-03-18 @ Adaletspor D 1-152.9 1407 1341 31.23% 35.36% 33.42%+0.10 +0.3 4
1959-03-18 Besiktas W 1-044.0 1486 1432 48.01% 34.96% 17.03%+0.44 +15.9 11
1959-03-18 @ Fenerbahce L 0-144.0 1432 1486 17.03% 34.96% 48.01%-0.44 -15.9 8
1959-03-21 Genclerbirligi D 0-047.1 1402 1293 52.83% 34.44% 12.73%+0.69 -6.8 8
1959-03-21 @ Ankara Demirspor D 0-047.1 1293 1402 12.73% 34.44% 52.83%-0.69 +6.8 5
1959-03-21 Vefa Istanbul L 0-148.8 1422 1488 33.35% 35.36% 31.29%-0.10 -25.1 6
1959-03-21 @ Goztepe W 1-048.8 1488 1422 31.29% 35.36% 33.35%+0.10 +25.2 8
1959-03-21 Galatasaray L 0-145.1 1366 1462 29.19% 35.28% 35.52%-0.24 -23.0 3
1959-03-21 @ Karsiyaka W 1-045.1 1462 1366 35.52% 35.28% 29.19%+0.24 +23.0 10
1959-03-21 Izmirspor W 2-154.1 1337 1470 24.45% 35.10% 40.46%-0.40 +27.2 7
1959-03-21 @ Beykoz L 1-254.1 1470 1337 40.46% 35.10% 24.45%+0.40 -27.2 11
1959-03-21 Altay L 0-143.1 1319 1416 28.99% 35.28% 35.74%-0.24 -22.9 3
1959-03-21 @ Istanbulspor W 1-043.1 1416 1319 35.74% 35.28% 28.99%+0.24 +22.9 10
1959-03-22 Galatasaray L 0-543.3 1397 1486 30.19% 35.31% 34.50%-0.20 -103.9 6
1959-03-22 @ Goztepe W 5-043.3 1486 1397 34.50% 35.31% 30.19%+0.20 +103.9 12
1959-03-22 Vefa Istanbul W 2-046.8 1343 1513 20.32% 34.82% 44.86%-0.57 +59.1 5
1959-03-22 @ Karsiyaka L 0-246.8 1513 1343 44.86% 34.82% 20.32%+0.57 -59.1 8
1959-03-22 Altay D 2-260.1 1364 1439 32.08% 35.34% 32.58%-0.14 +0.0 8
1959-03-22 @ Beykoz D 2-260.1 1439 1364 32.58% 35.34% 32.08%+0.14 -0.0 11
1959-03-22 Izmirspor D 0-047.5 1296 1443 22.83% 35.00% 42.17%-0.47 +3.0 4
1959-03-22 @ Istanbulspor D 0-047.5 1443 1296 42.17% 35.00% 22.83%+0.47 -3.0 12
1959-03-22 Ankaragucu L 1-351.7 1403 1318 50.84% 34.70% 14.46%+0.58 -57.4 4
1959-03-22 @ Hacettepe W 3-151.7 1318 1403 14.46% 34.70% 50.84%-0.58 +57.4 4
1959-03-25 Fatih Karagumruk W 1-043.8 1589 1407 58.09% 33.41% 8.50%+1.02 +9.2 14
1959-03-25 @ Galatasaray L 0-143.8 1407 1589 8.50% 33.41% 58.09%-1.02 -9.2 4
1959-03-25 Adaletspor D 2-260.2 1454 1340 53.27% 34.38% 12.35%+0.71 -4.7 9
1959-03-25 @ Vefa Istanbul D 2-260.2 1340 1454 12.35% 34.38% 53.27%-0.71 +4.7 5
1959-03-28 Beykoz D 2-258.9 1376 1364 43.38% 35.23% 21.39%+0.25 -2.3 5
1959-03-28 @ Ankaragucu D 2-258.9 1364 1376 21.39% 35.23% 43.38%-0.25 +2.3 9
1959-03-28 Izmirspor W 2-041.1 1416 1440 39.03% 35.34% 25.63%+0.09 +39.9 10
1959-03-28 @ Besiktas L 0-241.1 1440 1416 25.63% 35.34% 39.03%-0.09 -39.9 12
1959-03-28 Altay D 1-158.3 1502 1439 48.81% 34.90% 16.29%+0.48 -4.8 12
1959-03-28 @ Fenerbahce D 1-158.3 1439 1502 16.29% 34.90% 48.81%-0.48 +4.8 12
1959-03-28 Istanbulspor D 1-151.7 1346 1299 47.22% 35.02% 17.76%+0.41 -4.2 5
1959-03-28 @ Hacettepe D 1-151.7 1299 1346 17.76% 35.02% 47.22%-0.41 +4.2 5
1959-03-29 Istanbulspor W 1-038.2 1373 1303 49.51% 34.83% 15.66%+0.51 +15.0 7
1959-03-29 @ Ankaragucu L 0-138.2 1303 1373 15.66% 34.83% 49.51%-0.51 -15.0 5
1959-03-29 Altay L 1-353.8 1456 1444 43.39% 35.23% 21.39%+0.25 -49.9 10
1959-03-29 @ Besiktas W 3-153.8 1444 1456 21.39% 35.23% 43.39%-0.25 +49.9 14
1959-03-29 Izmirspor W 1-042.2 1498 1400 51.92% 34.57% 13.51%+0.64 +13.4 14
1959-03-29 @ Fenerbahce L 0-142.2 1400 1498 13.51% 34.57% 51.92%-0.64 -13.4 12
1959-03-29 Beykoz W 2-148.0 1341 1366 38.95% 35.35% 25.71%+0.08 +20.0 7
1959-03-29 @ Hacettepe L 1-248.0 1366 1341 25.71% 35.35% 38.95%-0.08 -20.0 9
1959-04-08 Beykoz W 3-250.7 1406 1346 48.47% 34.92% 16.61%+0.46 +14.0 12
1959-04-08 @ Besiktas L 2-350.7 1346 1406 16.61% 34.92% 48.47%-0.46 -14.0 9
1959-04-08 Istanbulspor W 3-031.9 1511 1288 60.44% 32.71% 6.85%+1.20 +20.7 16
1959-04-08 @ Fenerbahce L 0-331.9 1288 1511 6.85% 32.71% 60.44%-1.20 -20.7 5
1959-04-11 Ankara Demirspor L 1-265.1 1599 1395 59.37% 33.05% 7.58%+1.12 -38.6 14
1959-04-11 @ Galatasaray W 2-165.1 1395 1599 7.58% 33.05% 59.37%-1.12 +38.6 10
1959-04-11 Adaletspor L 2-354.9 1293 1345 35.30% 35.37% 29.33%-0.04 -23.4 6
1959-04-11 @ Goztepe W 3-254.9 1345 1293 29.33% 35.37% 35.30%+0.04 +23.4 7
1959-04-11 Fatih Karagumruk L 0-343.4 1402 1398 42.56% 35.26% 22.18%+0.22 -82.4 5
1959-04-11 @ Karsiyaka W 3-043.4 1398 1402 22.18% 35.26% 42.56%-0.22 +82.4 6
1959-04-11 Genclerbirligi W 3-032.3 1450 1300 55.93% 33.91% 10.16%+0.87 +29.2 11
1959-04-11 @ Vefa Istanbul L 0-332.3 1300 1450 10.16% 33.91% 55.93%-0.87 -29.2 5
1959-04-11 Izmirspor W 1-041.9 1388 1387 42.22% 35.27% 22.51%+0.20 +19.4 9
1959-04-11 @ Ankaragucu L 0-141.9 1387 1388 22.51% 35.27% 42.22%-0.20 -19.4 12
1959-04-11 Altay W 2-045.5 1361 1494 24.53% 35.10% 40.36%-0.40 +54.3 9
1959-04-11 @ Hacettepe L 0-245.5 1494 1361 40.36% 35.10% 24.53%+0.40 -54.3 14
1959-04-12 Genclerbirligi D 0-050.5 1560 1271 63.76% 31.36% 4.87%+1.50 -11.1 15
1959-04-12 @ Galatasaray D 0-050.5 1271 1560 4.87% 31.36% 63.76%-1.50 +11.1 6
1959-04-12 Fatih Karagumruk W 3-044.1 1269 1480 16.45% 34.39% 49.16%-0.75 +92.8 8
1959-04-12 @ Goztepe L 0-344.1 1480 1269 49.16% 34.39% 16.45%+0.75 -92.8 6
1959-04-12 Adaletspor W 3-144.8 1320 1369 35.81% 35.37% 28.82%-0.02 +37.4 7
1959-04-12 @ Karsiyaka L 1-344.8 1369 1320 28.82% 35.37% 35.81%+0.02 -37.3 7
1959-04-12 Ankara Demirspor D 0-051.9 1479 1433 47.08% 35.03% 17.89%+0.40 -4.7 12
1959-04-12 @ Vefa Istanbul D 0-051.9 1433 1479 17.89% 35.03% 47.08%-0.40 +4.7 11
1959-04-12 Altay W 2-151.1 1408 1440 38.02% 35.36% 26.62%+0.05 +20.5 11
1959-04-12 @ Ankaragucu L 1-251.1 1440 1408 26.62% 35.36% 38.02%-0.05 -20.5 14
1959-04-12 Izmirspor W 1-040.5 1416 1367 47.37% 35.01% 17.62%+0.41 +16.3 11
1959-04-12 @ Hacettepe L 0-140.5 1367 1416 17.62% 35.01% 47.37%-0.41 -16.3 12
1959-04-18 Genclerbirligi L 2-358.3 1331 1282 47.46% 35.00% 17.54%+0.42 -29.5 7
1959-04-18 @ Adaletspor W 3-258.3 1282 1331 17.54% 35.00% 47.46%-0.42 +29.5 8
1959-04-18 Ankara Demirspor L 1-253.2 1387 1438 35.53% 35.37% 29.10%-0.03 -24.8 6
1959-04-18 @ Fatih Karagumruk W 2-153.2 1438 1387 29.10% 35.37% 35.53%+0.03 +24.8 13
1959-04-18 Besiktas L 1-352.1 1428 1420 43.02% 35.24% 21.74%+0.23 -49.6 11
1959-04-18 @ Ankaragucu W 3-152.1 1420 1428 21.74% 35.24% 43.02%-0.23 +49.6 14
1959-04-18 Fenerbahce L 1-449.1 1432 1532 28.72% 35.27% 36.01%-0.25 -52.7 11
1959-04-18 @ Hacettepe W 4-149.1 1532 1432 36.01% 35.27% 28.72%+0.25 +52.6 18
1959-04-19 Ankara Demirspor D 0-048.0 1302 1463 21.27% 34.90% 43.83%-0.53 +3.5 8
1959-04-19 @ Adaletspor D 0-048.0 1463 1302 43.83% 34.90% 21.27%+0.53 -3.5 14
1959-04-19 Genclerbirligi W 2-145.0 1363 1311 47.65% 34.99% 17.36%+0.43 +15.2 8
1959-04-19 @ Fatih Karagumruk L 1-245.0 1311 1363 17.36% 34.99% 47.65%-0.43 -15.2 8
1959-04-19 Goztepe L 0-341.6 1357 1362 41.44% 35.29% 23.27%+0.17 -80.7 7
1959-04-19 @ Karsiyaka W 3-041.6 1362 1357 23.27% 35.29% 41.44%-0.17 +80.6 10
1959-04-19 Fenerbahce L 2-356.5 1379 1584 16.89% 34.45% 48.65%-0.73 -14.0 11
1959-04-19 @ Ankaragucu W 3-256.5 1584 1379 48.65% 34.45% 16.89%+0.73 +14.0 20
1959-04-19 Altay D 2-259.4 1351 1419 33.09% 35.35% 31.55%-0.11 -0.1 13
1959-04-19 @ Izmirspor D 2-259.4 1419 1351 31.55% 35.35% 33.09%+0.11 +0.2 15
1959-04-19 Besiktas L 0-340.8 1379 1469 30.04% 35.30% 34.66%-0.21 -64.3 11
1959-04-19 @ Hacettepe W 3-040.8 1469 1379 34.66% 35.30% 30.04%+0.21 +64.3 16
1959-04-29 Galatasaray L 0-140.7 1305 1549 13.82% 33.97% 52.21%-0.90 -13.5 8
1959-04-29 @ Adaletspor W 1-040.7 1549 1305 52.21% 33.97% 13.82%+0.90 +13.5 17
1959-04-29 Besiktas L 1-245.1 1267 1534 12.26% 33.64% 54.11%-1.00 -11.5 5
1959-04-29 @ Istanbulspor W 2-145.1 1534 1267 54.11% 33.64% 12.26%+1.00 +11.5 18
1959-05-02 Karsiyaka D 2-258.0 1378 1277 52.25% 34.52% 13.23%+0.65 -4.4 9
1959-05-02 @ Fatih Karagumruk D 2-258.0 1277 1378 13.23% 34.52% 52.25%-0.65 +4.4 8
1959-05-02 Goztepe W 3-255.8 1474 1443 45.60% 35.12% 19.28%+0.34 +15.6 14
1959-05-02 @ Vefa Istanbul L 2-355.8 1443 1474 19.28% 35.12% 45.60%-0.34 -15.6 10
1959-05-03 Goztepe D 1-154.0 1373 1427 35.11% 35.37% 29.53%-0.05 -0.7 10
1959-05-03 @ Fatih Karagumruk D 1-154.0 1427 1373 29.53% 35.37% 35.11%+0.05 +0.7 11
1959-05-03 Karsiyaka W 3-031.5 1490 1281 59.66% 32.96% 7.38%+1.14 +22.2 16
1959-05-03 @ Vefa Istanbul L 0-331.5 1281 1490 7.38% 32.96% 59.66%-1.14 -22.2 8
1959-05-09 Ankara Demirspor D 0-047.8 1296 1459 21.07% 34.88% 44.05%-0.54 +3.6 9
1959-05-09 @ Genclerbirligi D 0-047.8 1459 1296 44.05% 34.88% 21.07%+0.54 -3.6 15
1959-05-09 Hacettepe W 1-038.8 1364 1315 47.49% 35.00% 17.51%+0.42 +16.3 13
1959-05-09 @ Ankaragucu L 0-138.8 1315 1364 17.51% 35.00% 47.49%-0.42 -16.2 11
1959-05-13 Vefa Istanbul L 1-251.2 1373 1512 23.75% 35.06% 41.19%-0.43 -18.9 10
1959-05-13 @ Fatih Karagumruk W 2-151.2 1512 1373 41.19% 35.06% 23.75%+0.43 +18.9 18
1959-05-13 Fenerbahce L 0-142.6 1332 1598 12.28% 33.64% 54.08%-1.00 -12.2 9
1959-05-13 @ Beykoz W 1-042.6 1598 1332 54.08% 33.64% 12.28%+1.00 +12.2 22
1959-05-16 Galatasaray L 2-354.8 1354 1562 16.65% 34.42% 48.92%-0.74 -13.9 10
1959-05-16 @ Fatih Karagumruk W 3-254.8 1562 1354 48.92% 34.42% 16.65%+0.74 +13.9 19
1959-05-16 Genclerbirligi W 2-143.6 1428 1300 54.38% 34.20% 11.42%+0.77 +11.1 13
1959-05-16 @ Goztepe L 1-243.6 1300 1428 11.42% 34.20% 54.38%-0.77 -11.1 9
1959-05-16 Ankara Demirspor D 1-152.7 1259 1456 17.69% 34.55% 47.76%-0.69 +4.3 9
1959-05-16 @ Karsiyaka D 1-152.7 1456 1259 47.76% 34.55% 17.69%+0.69 -4.3 16
1959-05-16 Istanbulspor D 0-045.9 1320 1256 48.94% 34.88% 16.17%+0.49 -5.4 10
1959-05-16 @ Beykoz D 0-045.9 1256 1320 16.17% 34.88% 48.94%-0.49 +5.4 6
1959-05-17 Vefa Istanbul D 1-154.9 1292 1531 14.16% 34.03% 51.81%-0.88 +5.6 9
1959-05-17 @ Adaletspor D 1-154.9 1531 1292 51.81% 34.03% 14.16%+0.88 -5.7 19
1959-05-17 Ankara Demirspor W 4-251.1 1439 1451 40.53% 35.32% 24.15%+0.14 +29.7 15
1959-05-17 @ Goztepe L 2-451.1 1451 1439 24.15% 35.32% 40.53%-0.14 -29.7 16
1959-05-17 Genclerbirligi D 1-151.0 1263 1289 38.86% 35.35% 25.79%+0.08 -1.7 10
1959-05-17 @ Karsiyaka D 1-151.0 1289 1263 25.79% 35.35% 38.86%-0.08 +1.8 10
1959-05-17 Fenerbahce L 0-253.7 1545 1611 33.49% 35.36% 31.16%-0.10 -47.6 18
1959-05-17 @ Besiktas W 2-053.7 1611 1545 31.16% 35.36% 33.49%+0.10 +47.6 24
1959-06-06 Vefa Istanbul D 1-164.0 1576 1525 47.63% 34.99% 17.38%+0.43 -4.4 20
1959-06-06 @ Galatasaray D 1-164.0 1525 1576 17.38% 34.99% 47.63%-0.43 +4.4 20
1959-06-07 Adaletspor W 3-033.6 1340 1297 46.78% 35.05% 18.17%+0.39 +45.7 12
1959-06-07 @ Fatih Karagumruk L 0-333.6 1297 1340 18.17% 35.05% 46.78%-0.39 -45.7 9
1959-06-07 Fenerbahce L 0-536.0 1261 1658 6.20% 31.15% 62.65%-1.59 -29.2 6
1959-06-07 @ Istanbulspor W 5-036.0 1658 1261 62.65% 31.15% 6.20%+1.59 +29.2 26

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
1959-06-10 Fenerbahce W 1-060.9 1572 1687 26.65% 35.20% 38.15%-0.32 +27.6 1-0
1959-06-10 @ Galatasaray L 0-160.9 1687 1572 38.15% 35.20% 26.65%+0.32 -27.6 0-1
1959-06-14 Galatasaray W 4-049.7 1660 1599 48.56% 34.92% 16.52%+0.47 +55.8 1-1
1959-06-14 @ Fenerbahce L 0-449.7 1599 1660 16.52% 34.92% 48.56%-0.47 -55.8 1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1959-04-11 7.58% Ankara Demirspor 1395 2 @ Galatasaray 1599 1
2 1959-03-22 14.46% Ankaragucu 1318 3 @ Hacettepe 1403 1
3 1959-04-12 16.45% @ Goztepe 1269 3 Fatih Karagumruk 1480 0
4 1959-04-18 17.54% Genclerbirligi 1282 3 @ Adaletspor 1331 2
5 1959-03-22 20.32% @ Karsiyaka 1343 2 Vefa Istanbul 1513 0
6 1959-03-08 20.79% Hacettepe 1415 1 @ Beykoz 1432 0
7 1959-03-29 21.39% Altay 1444 3 @ Besiktas 1456 1
8 1959-04-18 21.74% Besiktas 1420 3 @ Ankaragucu 1428 1
9 1959-04-11 22.18% Fatih Karagumruk 1398 3 @ Karsiyaka 1402 0
10 1959-02-21 22.69% Galatasaray 1398 2 @ Ankara Demirspor 1398 0
11 1959-02-21 22.69% Besiktas 1398 2 @ Altay 1398 1
12 1959-02-21 22.69% Hacettepe 1398 2 @ Istanbulspor 1398 0
13 1959-04-19 23.27% Goztepe 1362 3 @ Karsiyaka 1357 0
14 1959-03-21 24.45% @ Beykoz 1337 2 Izmirspor 1470 1
15 1959-04-11 24.53% @ Hacettepe 1361 2 Altay 1494 0
16 1959-03-07 25.43% Vefa Istanbul 1417 3 @ Genclerbirligi 1394 0
17 1959-03-11 25.88% @ Istanbulspor 1279 2 Beykoz 1401 0
18 1959-06-10 * 26.65% @ Galatasaray 1572 1 Fenerbahce 1687 0
19 1959-04-18 29.10% Ankara Demirspor 1438 2 @ Fatih Karagumruk 1387 1
20 1959-04-11 29.33% Adaletspor 1345 3 @ Goztepe 1293 2
21 1959-03-08 31.00% Fatih Karagumruk 1381 1 @ Genclerbirligi 1317 0
22 1959-05-17 31.16% Fenerbahce 1611 2 @ Besiktas 1545 0
23 1959-03-21 31.29% Vefa Istanbul 1488 1 @ Goztepe 1422 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1959-03-22 103.91 Galatasaray 5 1486 34.50% @ Goztepe 0 1397 30.19% 35.31%
2 1959-04-12 92.84 @ Goztepe 3 1269 16.45% Fatih Karagumruk 0 1480 49.16% 34.39%
3 1959-04-11 82.41 Fatih Karagumruk 3 1398 22.18% @ Karsiyaka 0 1402 42.56% 35.26%
4 1959-04-19 80.65 Goztepe 3 1362 23.27% @ Karsiyaka 0 1357 41.44% 35.29%
5 1959-03-07 77.30 Vefa Istanbul 3 1417 25.43% @ Genclerbirligi 0 1394 39.23% 35.34%
6 1959-04-19 64.32 Besiktas 3 1469 34.66% @ Hacettepe 0 1379 30.04% 35.30%
7 1959-03-22 59.06 @ Karsiyaka 2 1343 20.32% Vefa Istanbul 0 1513 44.86% 34.82%
8 1959-03-22 57.43 Ankaragucu 3 1318 14.46% @ Hacettepe 1 1403 50.84% 34.70%
9 1959-02-21 56.17 Galatasaray 2 1398 22.69% @ Ankara Demirspor 0 1398 42.03% 35.28%
10 1959-02-21 56.17 Hacettepe 2 1398 22.69% @ Istanbulspor 0 1398 42.03% 35.28%
11 1959-06-14 * 55.76 @ Fenerbahce 4 1660 48.56% Galatasaray 0 1599 16.52% 34.92%
12 1959-04-11 54.28 @ Hacettepe 2 1361 24.53% Altay 0 1494 40.36% 35.10%
13 1959-03-11 52.85 @ Istanbulspor 2 1279 25.88% Beykoz 0 1401 38.95% 35.17%
14 1959-04-18 52.65 Fenerbahce 4 1532 36.01% @ Hacettepe 1 1432 28.72% 35.27%
15 1959-03-29 49.91 Altay 3 1444 21.39% @ Besiktas 1 1456 43.39% 35.23%
16 1959-04-18 49.57 Besiktas 3 1420 21.74% @ Ankaragucu 1 1428 43.02% 35.24%
17 1959-05-17 47.56 Fenerbahce 2 1611 31.16% @ Besiktas 0 1545 33.49% 35.36%
18 1959-06-07 45.72 @ Fatih Karagumruk 3 1340 46.78% Adaletspor 0 1297 18.17% 35.05%
19 1959-02-22 44.49 @ Ankara Demirspor 2 1341 34.42% Adaletspor 0 1400 30.22% 35.36%
20 1959-03-28 39.91 @ Besiktas 2 1416 39.03% Izmirspor 0 1440 25.63% 35.34%
21 1959-04-11 38.65 Ankara Demirspor 2 1395 7.58% @ Galatasaray 1 1599 59.37% 33.05%
22 1959-04-12 37.36 @ Karsiyaka 3 1320 35.81% Adaletspor 1 1369 28.82% 35.37%
23 1959-03-01 32.77 @ Altay 2 1344 45.65% Istanbulspor 0 1312 19.23% 35.12%
24 1959-02-21 31.84 @ Fenerbahce 3 1398 42.03% Ankaragucu 1 1398 22.69% 35.28%
25 1959-03-08 30.93 Hacettepe 1 1415 20.79% @ Beykoz 0 1432 44.01% 35.20%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1959-04-11 65.1 Ankara Demirspor 2 1395 7.58% @ Galatasaray 1 1599 59.37% 33.05%
2 1959-06-06 64.0 @ Galatasaray 1 1576 47.63% Vefa Istanbul 1 1525 17.38% 34.99%
3 1959-06-10 * 60.9 @ Galatasaray 1 1572 26.65% Fenerbahce 0 1687 38.15% 35.20%
4 1959-03-25 60.2 @ Vefa Istanbul 2 1454 53.27% Adaletspor 2 1340 12.35% 34.38%
5 1959-03-22 60.1 @ Beykoz 2 1364 32.08% Altay 2 1439 32.58% 35.34%
6 1959-04-19 59.4 @ Izmirspor 2 1351 33.09% Altay 2 1419 31.55% 35.35%
7 1959-02-22 59.0 @ Altay 2 1370 40.86% Beykoz 2 1379 23.83% 35.31%
8 1959-03-28 58.9 @ Ankaragucu 2 1376 43.38% Beykoz 2 1364 21.39% 35.23%
9 1959-03-14 58.5 @ Genclerbirligi 2 1292 24.92% Goztepe 2 1421 39.96% 35.12%
10 1959-03-28 58.3 @ Fenerbahce 1 1502 48.81% Altay 1 1439 16.29% 34.90%
11 1959-04-18 58.3 Genclerbirligi 3 1282 17.54% @ Adaletspor 2 1331 47.46% 35.00%
12 1959-05-02 58.0 @ Fatih Karagumruk 2 1378 52.25% Karsiyaka 2 1277 13.23% 34.52%
13 1959-04-19 56.5 Fenerbahce 3 1584 48.65% @ Ankaragucu 2 1379 16.89% 34.45%
14 1959-03-08 56.0 @ Ankara Demirspor 1 1383 27.14% Vefa Istanbul 1 1494 37.64% 35.22%
15 1959-05-02 55.8 @ Vefa Istanbul 3 1474 45.60% Goztepe 2 1443 19.28% 35.12%
16 1959-03-07 55.6 @ Besiktas 3 1405 38.48% Hacettepe 2 1434 26.17% 35.35%
17 1959-02-28 55.4 @ Galatasaray 1 1454 48.21% Karsiyaka 1 1398 16.84% 34.95%
18 1959-02-22 55.0 @ Izmirspor 1 1416 40.86% Besiktas 1 1426 23.83% 35.31%
19 1959-04-11 54.9 Adaletspor 3 1345 29.33% @ Goztepe 2 1293 35.30% 35.37%
20 1959-05-17 54.9 @ Adaletspor 1 1292 14.16% Vefa Istanbul 1 1531 51.81% 34.03%
21 1959-05-16 54.8 Galatasaray 3 1562 48.92% @ Fatih Karagumruk 2 1354 16.65% 34.42%
22 1959-03-15 54.5 @ Ankara Demirspor 1 1404 40.07% Goztepe 1 1420 24.60% 35.33%
23 1959-02-21 54.4 Besiktas 2 1398 22.69% @ Altay 1 1398 42.03% 35.28%
24 1959-03-08 54.3 @ Altay 1 1377 33.79% Izmirspor 1 1440 30.85% 35.36%
25 1959-03-21 54.1 @ Beykoz 2 1337 24.45% Izmirspor 1 1470 40.46% 35.10%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1959-05-03 31.5 @ Vefa Istanbul 3 1490 59.66% Karsiyaka 0 1281 7.38% 32.96%
2 1959-04-08 31.9 @ Fenerbahce 3 1511 60.44% Istanbulspor 0 1288 6.85% 32.71%
3 1959-04-11 32.3 @ Vefa Istanbul 3 1450 55.93% Genclerbirligi 0 1300 10.16% 33.91%
4 1959-06-07 33.6 @ Fatih Karagumruk 3 1340 46.78% Adaletspor 0 1297 18.17% 35.05%
5 1959-02-28 35.5 @ Izmirspor 2 1414 49.86% Istanbulspor 0 1340 15.34% 34.80%
6 1959-03-01 35.5 @ Altay 2 1344 45.65% Istanbulspor 0 1312 19.23% 35.12%
7 1959-06-07 36.0 Fenerbahce 5 1658 62.65% @ Istanbulspor 0 1261 6.20% 31.15%
8 1959-03-29 38.2 @ Ankaragucu 1 1373 49.51% Istanbulspor 0 1303 15.66% 34.83%
9 1959-03-17 38.5 @ Izmirspor 1 1458 54.41% Ankaragucu 0 1330 11.39% 34.20%
10 1959-05-09 38.8 @ Ankaragucu 1 1364 47.49% Hacettepe 0 1315 17.51% 35.00%
11 1959-03-15 39.6 @ Altay 1 1400 48.01% Ankaragucu 0 1346 17.03% 34.96%
12 1959-02-22 40.0 @ Ankara Demirspor 2 1341 34.42% Adaletspor 0 1400 30.22% 35.36%
13 1959-04-12 40.5 @ Hacettepe 1 1416 47.37% Izmirspor 0 1367 17.62% 35.01%
14 1959-04-29 40.7 Galatasaray 1 1549 52.21% @ Adaletspor 0 1305 13.82% 33.97%
15 1959-04-19 40.8 Besiktas 3 1469 34.66% @ Hacettepe 0 1379 30.04% 35.30%
16 1959-03-28 41.1 @ Besiktas 2 1416 39.03% Izmirspor 0 1440 25.63% 35.34%
17 1959-04-19 41.6 Goztepe 3 1362 23.27% @ Karsiyaka 0 1357 41.44% 35.29%
18 1959-03-11 41.7 @ Istanbulspor 2 1279 25.88% Beykoz 0 1401 38.95% 35.17%
19 1959-03-14 41.9 @ Ankara Demirspor 1 1384 41.82% Karsiyaka 0 1386 22.90% 35.28%
20 1959-04-11 41.9 @ Ankaragucu 1 1388 42.22% Izmirspor 0 1387 22.51% 35.27%
21 1959-03-29 42.2 @ Fenerbahce 1 1498 51.92% Izmirspor 0 1400 13.51% 34.57%
22 1959-02-25 42.3 @ Vefa Istanbul 1 1398 42.03% Fatih Karagumruk 0 1398 22.69% 35.28%
23 1959-05-13 42.6 Fenerbahce 1 1598 54.08% @ Beykoz 0 1332 12.28% 33.64%
24 1959-03-07 42.7 Vefa Istanbul 3 1417 25.43% @ Genclerbirligi 0 1394 39.23% 35.34%
25 1959-03-07 43.0 @ Beykoz 3 1404 46.11% Ankaragucu 1 1368 18.80% 35.09%