2015-16 Ukrainian Premier League Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Dynamo Kyiv

70 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Oleksandriya

11.48 points above expected

38 points · 26.52 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Metalist Kharkiv

10.61 points below expected

24 points · 34.61 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Dynamo Kyiv	26	23	1	2	70	54	11	+43	59.31	+10.69
2	Shakhtar Donetsk	26	20	3	3	63	76	25	+51	56.77	+6.23
3	FC Dnipro	26	16	5	5	53	50	22	+28	49.10	+3.90
4	Zorya Luhansk	26	14	6	6	48	51	26	+25	45.44	+2.56
5	Vorskla Poltava	26	11	9	6	42	32	26	+6	43.41	-1.41
6	Oleksandriya	26	10	8	8	38	30	29	+1	26.52	+11.48
7	Karpaty Lviv	26	8	6	12	30	26	37	-11	31.20	-1.20
8	Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	26	7	8	11	29	22	31	-9	31.98	-2.98
9	Olimpik Donetsk	26	6	7	13	25	22	35	-13	22.87	+2.13
10	Metalist Kharkiv	26	5	9	12	24	19	46	-27	34.61	-10.61
11	Chernomorets Odesa	26	4	10	12	22	20	39	-19	26.40	-4.40
12	Volyn Lutsk*	26	10	8	8	20	36	36	0	15.46	+4.54
13	Hoverla Uzhgorod*	26	3	7	16	7	13	45	-32	17.17	-10.17
14	Metalurg Zaporizhya	26	0	3	23	3	7	50	-43	12.16	-9.16

* Point deductions: Hoverla Uzhgorod (-9 pts), Volyn Lutsk (-18 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Oleksandriya	38	26.52	+11.48
2	Dynamo Kyiv	70	59.31	+10.69
3	Shakhtar Donetsk	63	56.77	+6.23
4	Volyn Lutsk	20	15.46	+4.54
5	FC Dnipro	53	49.10	+3.90

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Metalist Kharkiv	24	34.61	-10.61
2	Hoverla Uzhgorod	7	17.17	-10.17
3	Metalurg Zaporizhya	3	12.16	-9.16
4	Chernomorets Odesa	22	26.40	-4.40
5	Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	29	31.98	-2.98

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Shakhtar Donetsk	12	Aug 28 – Mar 6	1 in 245
2	FC Dnipro	8	Mar 13 – May 7	1 in 240
3	Dynamo Kyiv	12	Oct 31 – Apr 24	1 in 54
4	Olimpik Donetsk	2	Oct 3 – Oct 18	1 in 20
5	Oleksandriya	3	Nov 22 – Dec 5	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Metalurg Zaporizhya	18	Sep 27 – May 15	1 in 7,910
2	Hoverla Uzhgorod	8	Mar 19 – May 14	1 in 229
3	FC Dnipro	3	Nov 30 – Mar 5	1 in 55
4	Zorya Luhansk	2	Apr 10 – Apr 16	1 in 21
5	Metalist Kharkiv	3	Mar 13 – Apr 1	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Olimpik Donetsk	5	Mar 6 – Apr 9	1 in 42
2	Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	5	Mar 19 – Apr 23	1 in 17
3	Vorskla Poltava	9	Jul 18 – Sep 27	1 in 14
4	Zorya Luhansk	8	Aug 9 – Oct 18	1 in 11
5	Hoverla Uzhgorod	5	Aug 8 – Sep 20	1 in 9

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Metalist Kharkiv	15	Jul 25 – Dec 6	1 in 1,357
2	Metalurg Zaporizhya	26	Jul 17 – May 15	1 in 85
3	Vorskla Poltava	5	Jul 18 – Aug 15	1 in 20
4	Volyn Lutsk	7	Mar 20 – May 7	1 in 18
5	FC Dnipro	4	Nov 21 – Mar 5	1 in 18

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Dynamo Kyiv	2096	67	-10	12	11.0	+1.0
Shakhtar Donetsk	2106	60	+15	10	10.9	-0.9
FC Dnipro	2003	50	+36	13	11.0	+2.0
Zorya Luhansk	1928	48	-15	7	8.4	-1.4
Vorskla Poltava	1893	39	+15	9	7.8	+1.2
Oleksandriya	1762	38	+37	10	5.2	+4.8
Volyn Lutsk	1778	38	+9	6	6.5	-0.5
Karpaty Lviv	1726	27	+2	5	5.5	-0.5
Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	1741	26	-3	5	6.0	-1.0
Olimpik Donetsk	1653	22	-20	2	3.7	-1.7
Metalist Kharkiv	1714	21	-3	7	5.1	+1.9
Chernomorets Odesa	1655	19	+10	7	4.4	+2.6
Hoverla Uzhgorod	1578	13	-53	0	3.3	-3.3
Metalurg Zaporizhya	1519	3	-48	0	2.9	-2.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	CO	DK	FD	HU	KL	MK	MZ	OLE	OD	SD	SD	VL	VP	ZL
Chernomorets Odesa	—	0-0-2 0.76	0-1-1 1.14	1-1-0 2.55	0-1-1 2.18	0-1-1 2.17	2-0-0 3.51	0-1-1 2.50	0-1-1 3.15	0-1-1 0.69	1-1-0 2.00	0-1-1 1.77	0-1-1 1.30	0-0-2 1.24
Dynamo Kyiv	2-0-0 4.91	—	2-0-0 3.71	2-0-0 5.09	2-0-0 4.67	2-0-0 4.76	2-0-0 5.48	2-0-0 4.98	2-0-0 5.04	0-0-2 3.07	2-0-0 4.58	2-0-0 4.59	2-0-0 4.16	1-1-0 3.88
FC Dnipro	1-1-0 4.41	0-0-2 1.71	—	1-1-0 4.42	2-0-0 4.07	2-0-0 4.00	2-0-0 4.92	2-0-0 4.33	0-2-0 4.74	2-0-0 1.71	2-0-0 4.12	1-0-1 4.06	0-1-1 3.36	1-0-1 3.00
Hoverla Uzhgorod	0-1-1 2.81	0-0-2 0.63	0-1-1 1.13	—	0-0-2 2.23	1-1-0 1.78	1-1-0 3.46	0-0-2 1.99	1-0-1 3.05	0-0-2 0.78	0-1-1 2.08	0-1-1 1.74	0-1-1 1.48	0-0-2 1.07
Karpaty Lviv	1-1-0 3.19	0-0-2 0.94	0-0-2 1.40	2-0-0 3.14	—	0-1-1 2.27	2-0-0 3.99	0-1-1 3.15	2-0-0 3.40	0-0-2 0.77	1-1-0 2.50	0-1-1 2.28	0-0-2 1.73	0-1-1 1.56
Metalist Kharkiv	1-1-0 3.20	0-0-2 0.87	0-0-2 1.48	0-1-1 3.63	1-1-0 3.10	—	1-1-0 4.03	0-1-1 3.53	1-0-1 3.46	0-0-2 1.21	0-2-0 2.59	1-1-0 2.65	0-0-2 2.11	0-1-1 1.90
Metalurg Zaporizhya	0-0-2 1.89	0-0-2 0.36	0-0-2 0.76	0-1-1 1.94	0-0-2 1.47	0-1-1 1.44	—	0-0-2 2.20	0-0-2 2.24	0-0-2 0.58	0-0-2 1.48	0-0-2 1.56	0-1-1 1.04	0-0-2 1.15
Oleksandriya	1-1-0 2.87	0-0-2 0.71	0-0-2 1.19	2-0-0 3.41	1-1-0 2.22	1-1-0 1.89	2-0-0 3.18	—	0-1-1 3.19	0-0-2 0.78	0-1-1 2.15	1-1-0 2.10	1-1-0 1.52	1-1-0 1.25
Olimpik Donetsk	1-1-0 2.22	0-0-2 0.67	0-2-0 0.89	1-0-1 2.31	0-0-2 1.99	1-0-1 1.94	2-0-0 3.16	1-1-0 2.18	—	0-0-2 0.64	0-0-2 2.07	0-1-1 1.65	0-1-1 1.21	0-1-1 1.09
Shakhtar Donetsk	1-1-0 5.00	2-0-0 2.30	0-0-2 3.71	2-0-0 4.88	2-0-0 4.89	2-0-0 4.34	2-0-0 5.17	2-0-0 4.89	2-0-0 5.08	—	1-1-0 4.58	2-0-0 4.44	1-1-0 4.02	1-0-1 3.85
Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	0-1-1 3.39	0-0-2 1.00	0-0-2 1.37	1-1-0 3.29	0-1-1 2.86	0-2-0 2.78	2-0-0 3.98	1-1-0 3.23	2-0-0 3.31	0-1-1 1.01	—	0-0-2 2.61	0-1-1 1.81	1-0-1 1.60
Volyn Lutsk	1-1-0 3.64	0-0-2 1.00	1-0-1 1.41	1-1-0 3.68	1-1-0 3.09	0-1-1 2.72	2-0-0 3.89	0-1-1 3.29	1-1-0 3.78	0-0-2 1.12	2-0-0 2.75	—	1-1-0 1.90	0-1-1 1.75
Vorskla Poltava	1-1-0 4.20	0-0-2 1.33	1-1-0 2.03	1-1-0 3.98	2-0-0 3.69	2-0-0 3.27	1-1-0 4.53	0-1-1 3.93	1-1-0 4.31	0-1-1 1.45	1-1-0 3.60	0-1-1 3.50	—	1-0-1 2.40
Zorya Luhansk	2-0-0 4.28	0-1-1 1.56	1-0-1 2.37	2-0-0 4.50	1-1-0 3.89	1-1-0 3.50	2-0-0 4.41	0-1-1 4.27	1-1-0 4.47	1-0-1 1.60	1-0-1 3.84	1-1-0 3.67	1-0-1 2.96	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.81	+9.3
Allowed	0.87	-17.4
Differential	0.92	+6.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	6.32%	9.62%	4.67%	1.92%	1.37%	31.59%
1	6.32%	12.64%	4.95%	0.82%	2.47%	1.10%	28.30%
2	9.62%	4.95%	3.85%	1.10%	0.27%	0.27%	20.05%
3	4.67%	0.82%	1.10%	0.55%	—	—	7.14%
4	1.92%	2.47%	0.27%	—	—	—	4.67%
5+	1.37%	1.10%	0.27%	—	—	5.49%	8.24%
Total	31.59%	28.30%	20.05%	7.14%	4.67%	8.24%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.20	1.20	+0.00
SD	1.49	1.49	2.21
CV	1.24	1.24	—
Max	9	9	+8
Min	-1	-1	-8

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.38%	3.85%	19.23%	—	7.69%	—	46.15%
1	7.69%	15.38%	11.54%	—	—	—	34.62%
2	—	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	7.69%
Total	23.08%	19.23%	42.31%	—	11.54%	3.85%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.73	1.46	-0.73
SD	1.15	1.30	1.51
CV	1.57	0.89	—
Max	5	4	+3
Min	-1	-1	-4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	—	7.69%	—	—	11.54%
1	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
2	34.62%	15.38%	—	—	—	—	50.00%
3	15.38%	—	—	—	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%	7.69%
Total	69.23%	19.23%	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.04	0.38	+1.65
SD	1.43	0.90	1.85
CV	0.70	2.33	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	-1	-1	-3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
1	3.85%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	—	23.08%
2	19.23%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	26.92%
3	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
4	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
5+	7.69%	—	—	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
Total	38.46%	34.62%	19.23%	3.85%	—	3.85%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.88	0.81	+1.08
SD	1.75	0.94	2.12
CV	0.93	1.16	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	-1	-1	-3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	7.69%	26.92%	3.85%	3.85%	—	50.00%
1	7.69%	15.38%	11.54%	—	3.85%	3.85%	42.31%
2	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%
Total	15.38%	23.08%	42.31%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.46	1.69	-1.23
SD	0.65	1.46	1.48
CV	1.40	0.86	—
Max	2	6	+1
Min	-1	-1	-5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	11.54%	—	—	34.62%
1	11.54%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	42.31%
2	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%
Total	30.77%	19.23%	23.08%	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.96	1.38	-0.42
SD	1.22	1.39	2.00
CV	1.26	1.00	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	-1	-1	-3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	—	7.69%	46.15%
1	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	30.77%
2	3.85%	—	11.54%	—	—	—	15.38%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%
Total	26.92%	23.08%	23.08%	7.69%	3.85%	15.38%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.69	1.73	-1.04
SD	0.93	2.01	2.24
CV	1.34	1.16	—
Max	3	8	+3
Min	-1	-1	-7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	—	7.69%	38.46%
1	—	7.69%	—	—	7.69%	3.85%	19.23%
2	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	38.46%	38.46%
Total	3.85%	15.38%	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	53.85%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	-0.12	1.54	-1.65
SD	0.86	2.77	2.23
CV	-7.49	1.80	—
Max	2	9	+0
Min	-1	-1	-8

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	38.46%
1	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
2	15.38%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	34.62%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	34.62%	34.62%	19.23%	7.69%	3.85%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.15	1.12	+0.04
SD	1.12	1.11	1.71
CV	0.97	0.99	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	19.23%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	42.31%
1	3.85%	19.23%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	30.77%
2	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%
Total	23.08%	38.46%	15.38%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.81	1.31	-0.50
SD	1.02	1.29	1.77
CV	1.26	0.99	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	-1	-1	-4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
1	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	7.69%
2	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	30.77%
3	15.38%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	30.77%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	3.85%	19.23%
Total	42.31%	26.92%	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.88	0.92	+1.96
SD	1.97	1.20	2.34
CV	0.68	1.30	—
Max	8	4	+7
Min	-1	-1	-3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	11.54%	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	38.46%
1	11.54%	11.54%	15.38%	—	—	—	38.46%
2	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
3	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%
Total	34.62%	23.08%	30.77%	3.85%	—	7.69%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.81	1.15	-0.35
SD	0.98	1.41	1.70
CV	1.21	1.22	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	-1	-1	-6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	—	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	30.77%
1	11.54%	15.38%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	34.62%
2	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	30.77%	34.62%	7.69%	19.23%	7.69%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.38	1.38	+0.00
SD	1.83	1.33	2.43
CV	1.33	0.96	—
Max	9	4	+8
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	23.08%
1	3.85%	23.08%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	34.62%
2	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
3	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%
Total	26.92%	50.00%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.19	0.96	+0.23
SD	1.06	1.04	1.56
CV	0.89	1.08	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	-1	-1	-4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
1	3.85%	15.38%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	30.77%
2	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
3	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	42.31%	34.62%	19.23%	—	—	3.85%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.96	1.00	+0.96
SD	1.64	1.44	2.49
CV	0.83	1.44	—
Max	6	7	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Shakhtar Donetsk	2106	63	56.77	+6.23	85.0%	44	46	53	57	61	66	69
Dynamo Kyiv	2096	70	59.31	+10.69	100.0%	40	49	56	60	63	68	70
FC Dnipro	2003	53	49.10	+3.90	80.0%	35	40	45	49	53	58	61
Zorya Luhansk	1928	48	45.44	+2.56	73.0%	29	35	41	45	49	55	60
Vorskla Poltava	1893	42	43.41	-1.41	44.0%	30	34	38	44	48	53	55
Volyn Lutsk	1778	20	15.46	+4.54	79.0%	0	7	10	16	20	25	28
Oleksandriya	1762	38	26.52	+11.48	98.0%	10	17	23	26	30	38	41
Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	1741	29	31.98	-2.98	37.0%	19	22	28	32	36	41	48
Karpaty Lviv	1726	30	31.20	-1.20	47.0%	19	22	27	31	35	40	45
Metalist Kharkiv	1714	24	34.61	-10.61	4.0%	22	25	31	34	39	44	56
Chernomorets Odesa	1655	22	26.40	-4.40	19.0%	16	19	23	26	30	34	40
Olimpik Donetsk	1653	25	22.87	+2.13	66.0%	10	13	19	23	27	31	37
Hoverla Uzhgorod	1578	7	17.17	-10.17	1.0%	3	10	13	17	21	26	31
Metalurg Zaporizhya	1519	3	12.16	-9.16	2.0%	2	5	9	11	15	20	24

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 9% * Slight Edge: 9% to 16% * Clear Edge: 16% to 30.5% * Strong Edge: 30.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+3.85%

No Edge

39.56%24.73%35.71%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 13.37 Elo pts.

181 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.11 goals

Neutral

-2+0.07+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.11 * Tight Race: 0.11 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.37 * Runaway: 0.37 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.0

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

64%

Dynamo Kyiv, 1st of 14

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.27/gm

Comfortable

00.220.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.53 * Some Luck: 4.53 to 6.79 * Lucky: 6.79 to 9.05 * Wild Swing: 9.05 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.86 * Close: 0.86 to 1.29 * Off: 1.29 to 1.72 * Way Off: 1.72 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.88 points

Lucky

05.6614

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

01.082.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 96.43%

100.00%

Dynamo Kyiv

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 3.57%

1.00%

Hoverla Uzhgorod

050

Season Outliers

Expected

5 of 14

Minimal Outliers

01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.23 * Lopsided: 0.23 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2 * Moderate Separation: 2 to 2.2 * Strong Separation: 2.2 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68.5% * Slight Edge: 68.5% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 77.5% * Wide Edge: 77.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93.5% * Clear Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59% * Some Drama: 59% to 62.5% * Frequent: 62.5% to 66% * Very Frequent: 66% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14% * Occasional: 14% to 15.5% * Frequent: 15.5% to 18.5% * Very Frequent: 18.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.32

Lopsided

00.190.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 183.33

2.92

Wide Separation

122.23

Interquartile Edge

81%

Wide Edge

50%68.5%77.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 98%

97%

Strong Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

55%

Few

0%50%100%

Blowouts

Expected

24%

Very Frequent

0%26%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.45 * Notable Separation: 0.45 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.54 * Some Carryover: 0.54 to 0.69 * Strong Carryover: 0.69 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 17% * Upset-Prone: 17% to 20% * Very Upset-Prone: 20% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 17% * Very Shaky: 17% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.50

Highly Predictable

00.562

Matchup Imbalance

0.50

Lopsided

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.56

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

0.71

Strong Carryover

00.540.691

Upset Rate

Expected

15%

Chalky

0%18%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

11%

Solid Favorites

0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.61

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.45

Very Underconfident

0.4211461.001.57885

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.065

Well Within Noise

00.1240.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Dynamo Kyiv	64.00%	27.00%	6.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Shakhtar Donetsk	31.00%	50.00%	9.00%	8.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
FC Dnipro	4.00%	12.00%	40.00%	30.00%	12.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Zorya Luhansk	1.00%	7.00%	25.00%	34.00%	19.00%	7.00%	6.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Vorskla Poltava	—	3.00%	19.00%	21.00%	36.00%	10.00%	9.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Oleksandriya	—	—	—	—	2.00%	10.00%	4.00%	15.00%	22.00%	21.00%	10.00%	10.00%	4.00%	2.00%
Karpaty Lviv	—	—	—	2.00%	5.00%	17.00%	24.00%	15.00%	22.00%	8.00%	4.00%	3.00%	—	—
Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	—	—	—	2.00%	10.00%	18.00%	21.00%	23.00%	11.00%	8.00%	3.00%	4.00%	—	—
Olimpik Donetsk	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.00%	10.00%	9.00%	21.00%	29.00%	15.00%	10.00%	—
Metalist Kharkiv	—	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	12.00%	31.00%	23.00%	10.00%	10.00%	8.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Chernomorets Odesa	—	—	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	7.00%	21.00%	16.00%	21.00%	20.00%	9.00%	1.00%	—
Volyn Lutsk	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	4.00%	4.00%	15.00%	23.00%	25.00%	27.00%
Hoverla Uzhgorod	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	5.00%	9.00%	11.00%	23.00%	33.00%	17.00%
Metalurg Zaporizhya	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.00%	13.00%	27.00%	54.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Dynamo Kyiv	100%	—
FC Dnipro	100%	—
Karpaty Lviv	100%	—
Metalist Kharkiv	100%	—
Shakhtar Donetsk	100%	—
Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	100%	—
Vorskla Poltava	100%	—
Zorya Luhansk	100%	—
Chernomorets Odesa	99.00%	1.00%
Oleksandriya	94.00%	6.00%
Olimpik Donetsk	90.00%	10.00%
Hoverla Uzhgorod	50.00%	50.00%
Volyn Lutsk	48.00%	52.00%
Metalurg Zaporizhya	19.00%	81.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2015-07-17	Zorya Luhansk	L 0-6	51.7	1673	1866	15.72%	27.20%	57.07%	-0.99	-25.7	0
2015-07-17	@ Metalurg Zaporizhya	W 6-0	51.7	1866	1673	57.07%	27.20%	15.72%	+0.99	+25.7	3
2015-07-18	Chernomorets Odesa	D 2-2	75.2	1616	1716	23.34%	30.83%	45.83%	-0.48	+0.9	1
2015-07-18	@ Olimpik Donetsk	D 2-2	75.2	1716	1616	45.83%	30.83%	23.34%	+0.48	-0.9	1
2015-07-18	Karpaty Lviv	W 2-0	57.1	1826	1744	46.98%	30.57%	22.45%	+0.53	+12.9	3
2015-07-18	@ Metalist Kharkiv	L 0-2	57.1	1744	1826	22.45%	30.57%	46.98%	-0.53	-12.9	0
2015-07-18	Volyn Lutsk	D 1-1	71.3	1869	1768	49.42%	29.94%	20.64%	+0.63	-1.5	1
2015-07-18	@ Vorskla Poltava	D 1-1	71.3	1768	1869	20.64%	29.94%	49.42%	-0.63	+1.5	1
2015-07-19	Dynamo Kyiv	L 1-2	59.2	1766	2044	11.21%	22.64%	66.14%	-1.47	-3.1	0
2015-07-19	@ Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	W 2-1	59.2	2044	1766	66.14%	22.64%	11.21%	+1.47	+3.1	3
2015-07-19	FC Dnipro	D 1-1	72.8	1690	1929	13.05%	24.80%	62.14%	-1.25	+2.8	1
2015-07-19	@ Hoverla Uzhgorod	D 1-1	72.8	1929	1690	62.14%	24.80%	13.05%	+1.25	-2.8	1
2015-07-19	Oleksandriya	W 2-0	49.0	1994	1652	74.53%	17.60%	7.87%	+1.97	+4.0	3
2015-07-19	@ Shakhtar Donetsk	L 0-2	49.0	1652	1994	7.87%	17.60%	74.53%	-1.97	-4.0	0
2015-07-23	Shakhtar Donetsk	L 1-4	56.4	1769	1998	13.63%	25.39%	60.97%	-1.19	-9.7	1
2015-07-23	@ Volyn Lutsk	W 4-1	56.4	1998	1769	60.97%	25.39%	13.63%	+1.19	+9.7	6
2015-07-25	Metalist Kharkiv	D 0-0	66.4	1892	1839	43.16%	31.33%	25.51%	+0.36	-1.0	4
2015-07-25	@ Zorya Luhansk	D 0-0	66.4	1839	1892	25.51%	31.33%	43.16%	-0.36	+1.0	4
2015-07-25	Olimpik Donetsk	W 2-0	46.9	2047	1617	81.36%	13.18%	5.46%	+2.45	+2.5	6
2015-07-25	@ Dynamo Kyiv	L 0-2	46.9	1617	2047	5.46%	13.18%	81.36%	-2.45	-2.5	1
2015-07-25	Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	W 1-0	63.8	1731	1762	31.52%	31.99%	36.49%	-0.10	+9.8	3
2015-07-25	@ Karpaty Lviv	L 0-1	63.8	1762	1731	36.49%	31.99%	31.52%	+0.10	-9.8	0
2015-07-25	Vorskla Poltava	D 1-1	71.8	1693	1867	16.91%	28.04%	55.05%	-0.89	+2.1	2
2015-07-25	@ Hoverla Uzhgorod	D 1-1	71.8	1867	1693	55.05%	28.04%	16.91%	+0.89	-2.1	2
2015-07-26	Chernomorets Odesa	W 4-2	62.1	1926	1715	62.00%	24.88%	13.12%	+1.24	+5.9	4
2015-07-26	@ FC Dnipro	L 2-4	62.1	1715	1926	13.12%	24.88%	62.00%	-1.24	-5.9	1
2015-07-26	Metalurg Zaporizhya	W 1-0	61.0	1648	1647	35.90%	32.01%	32.09%	+0.07	+9.0	3
2015-07-26	@ Oleksandriya	L 0-1	61.0	1647	1648	32.09%	32.01%	35.90%	-0.07	-9.0	0
2015-08-01	Hoverla Uzhgorod	W 2-0	49.8	2007	1695	71.94%	19.21%	8.84%	+1.80	+4.7	9
2015-08-01	@ Shakhtar Donetsk	L 0-2	49.8	1695	2007	8.84%	19.21%	71.94%	-1.80	-4.7	2
2015-08-01	Karpaty Lviv	L 0-1	57.6	1615	1741	20.76%	29.99%	49.24%	-0.63	-6.4	1
2015-08-01	@ Olimpik Donetsk	W 1-0	57.6	1741	1615	49.24%	29.99%	20.76%	+0.63	+6.4	6
2015-08-02	Dynamo Kyiv	L 0-2	49.8	1709	2050	8.81%	19.17%	72.02%	-1.81	-4.6	1
2015-08-02	@ Chernomorets Odesa	W 2-0	49.8	2050	1709	72.02%	19.17%	8.81%	+1.81	+4.7	9
2015-08-02	FC Dnipro	D 1-1	71.0	1865	1932	26.94%	31.57%	41.49%	-0.30	+0.7	3
2015-08-02	@ Vorskla Poltava	D 1-1	71.0	1932	1865	41.49%	31.57%	26.94%	+0.30	-0.7	5
2015-08-02	Oleksandriya	D 1-1	72.1	1840	1656	59.01%	26.34%	14.65%	+1.09	-2.5	5
2015-08-02	@ Metalist Kharkiv	D 1-1	72.1	1656	1840	14.65%	26.34%	59.01%	-1.09	+2.5	4
2015-08-02	Volyn Lutsk	L 0-2	56.0	1639	1760	21.24%	30.17%	48.59%	-0.60	-12.3	0
2015-08-02	@ Metalurg Zaporizhya	W 2-0	56.0	1760	1639	48.59%	30.17%	21.24%	+0.60	+12.3	4
2015-08-02	Zorya Luhansk	W 2-0	65.4	1753	1891	19.77%	29.58%	50.65%	-0.69	+23.6	3
2015-08-02	@ Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	L 0-2	65.4	1891	1753	50.65%	29.58%	19.77%	+0.69	-23.6	4
2015-08-07	Metalist Kharkiv	D 2-2	76.3	1772	1837	27.11%	31.59%	41.30%	-0.29	+0.5	5
2015-08-07	@ Volyn Lutsk	D 2-2	76.3	1837	1772	41.30%	31.59%	27.11%	+0.29	-0.5	6
2015-08-08	Chernomorets Odesa	W 4-0	55.9	1748	1705	41.87%	31.52%	26.61%	+0.31	+28.0	9
2015-08-08	@ Karpaty Lviv	L 0-4	55.9	1705	1748	26.61%	31.52%	41.87%	-0.31	-28.0	1
2015-08-08	Metalurg Zaporizhya	D 1-1	69.4	1690	1626	44.65%	31.07%	24.29%	+0.43	-1.0	3
2015-08-08	@ Hoverla Uzhgorod	D 1-1	69.4	1626	1690	24.29%	31.07%	44.65%	-0.43	+1.1	1
2015-08-08	Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	L 0-1	58.5	1659	1776	21.60%	30.30%	48.10%	-0.58	-6.6	4
2015-08-08	@ Oleksandriya	W 1-0	58.5	1776	1659	48.10%	30.30%	21.60%	+0.58	+6.6	6
2015-08-09	Dynamo Kyiv	L 1-2	64.5	1932	2054	21.09%	30.12%	48.79%	-0.61	-6.1	5
2015-08-09	@ FC Dnipro	W 2-1	64.5	2054	1932	48.79%	30.12%	21.09%	+0.61	+6.1	12
2015-08-09	Olimpik Donetsk	W 4-0	48.5	1867	1608	66.81%	22.27%	10.92%	+1.50	+11.5	7
2015-08-09	@ Zorya Luhansk	L 0-4	48.5	1608	1867	10.92%	22.27%	66.81%	-1.50	-11.5	1
2015-08-09	Shakhtar Donetsk	D 2-2	77.2	1866	2012	19.10%	29.27%	51.64%	-0.73	+1.3	4
2015-08-09	@ Vorskla Poltava	D 2-2	77.2	2012	1866	51.64%	29.27%	19.10%	+0.73	-1.3	10
2015-08-14	FC Dnipro	L 0-2	64.8	2011	1925	47.44%	30.46%	22.10%	+0.55	-22.4	10
2015-08-14	@ Shakhtar Donetsk	W 2-0	64.8	1925	2011	22.10%	30.46%	47.44%	-0.55	+22.5	8
2015-08-15	Karpaty Lviv	W 3-0	49.0	2061	1776	69.36%	20.78%	9.86%	+1.65	+7.8	15
2015-08-15	@ Dynamo Kyiv	L 0-3	49.0	1776	2061	9.86%	20.78%	69.36%	-1.65	-7.8	9
2015-08-15	Oleksandriya	W 1-0	62.5	1597	1652	28.33%	31.75%	39.92%	-0.23	+10.5	4
2015-08-15	@ Olimpik Donetsk	L 0-1	62.5	1652	1597	39.92%	31.75%	28.33%	+0.23	-10.5	4
2015-08-15	Vorskla Poltava	D 1-1	72.6	1627	1867	13.01%	24.76%	62.22%	-1.25	+2.8	2
2015-08-15	@ Metalurg Zaporizhya	D 1-1	72.6	1867	1627	62.22%	24.76%	13.01%	+1.25	-2.8	5
2015-08-16	Hoverla Uzhgorod	D 2-2	77.2	1837	1689	55.03%	28.05%	16.93%	+0.89	-1.6	7
2015-08-16	@ Metalist Kharkiv	D 2-2	77.2	1689	1837	16.93%	28.05%	55.03%	-0.89	+1.6	4
2015-08-16	Volyn Lutsk	L 1-2	69.6	1783	1773	37.35%	31.95%	30.70%	+0.13	-9.4	6
2015-08-16	@ Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	W 2-1	69.6	1773	1783	30.70%	31.95%	37.35%	-0.13	+9.4	8
2015-08-16	Zorya Luhansk	L 0-2	53.8	1677	1878	15.16%	26.76%	58.08%	-1.04	-8.9	1
2015-08-16	@ Chernomorets Odesa	W 2-0	53.8	1878	1677	58.08%	26.76%	15.16%	+1.04	+8.9	10
2015-08-28	Metalurg Zaporizhya	W 2-0	48.5	1988	1630	75.89%	16.74%	7.38%	+2.06	+3.7	13
2015-08-28	@ Shakhtar Donetsk	L 0-2	48.5	1630	1988	7.38%	16.74%	75.89%	-2.06	-3.7	2
2015-08-29	Metalist Kharkiv	W 1-0	61.6	1865	1835	40.00%	31.74%	28.26%	+0.24	+8.2	8
2015-08-29	@ Vorskla Poltava	L 0-1	61.6	1835	1865	28.26%	31.74%	40.00%	-0.24	-8.2	7
2015-08-29	Olimpik Donetsk	W 1-0	55.3	1782	1607	58.04%	26.78%	15.18%	+1.04	+4.7	11
2015-08-29	@ Volyn Lutsk	L 0-1	55.3	1607	1782	15.18%	26.78%	58.04%	-1.04	-4.7	4
2015-08-29	Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	D 0-0	65.9	1690	1773	25.10%	31.24%	43.65%	-0.39	+1.1	5
2015-08-29	@ Hoverla Uzhgorod	D 0-0	65.9	1773	1690	43.65%	31.24%	25.10%	+0.39	-1.1	7
2015-08-30	Chernomorets Odesa	D 0-0	64.5	1642	1668	32.21%	32.02%	35.77%	-0.07	+0.2	5
2015-08-30	@ Oleksandriya	D 0-0	64.5	1668	1642	35.77%	32.02%	32.21%	+0.07	-0.2	2
2015-08-30	Dynamo Kyiv	D 0-0	67.6	1887	2068	16.50%	27.76%	55.74%	-0.93	+2.4	11
2015-08-30	@ Zorya Luhansk	D 0-0	67.6	2068	1887	55.74%	27.76%	16.50%	+0.93	-2.4	16
2015-08-30	Karpaty Lviv	W 2-0	53.8	1948	1768	58.64%	26.51%	14.86%	+1.07	+8.7	11
2015-08-30	@ FC Dnipro	L 0-2	53.8	1768	1948	14.86%	26.51%	58.64%	-1.07	-8.7	9
2015-09-11	Shakhtar Donetsk	L 0-5	52.8	1827	1992	17.64%	28.49%	53.88%	-0.84	-24.2	7
2015-09-11	@ Metalist Kharkiv	W 5-0	52.8	1992	1827	53.88%	28.49%	17.64%	+0.84	+24.2	16
2015-09-12	FC Dnipro	L 1-4	53.2	1626	1957	9.17%	19.73%	71.10%	-1.75	-6.0	2
2015-09-12	@ Metalurg Zaporizhya	W 4-1	53.2	1957	1626	71.10%	19.73%	9.17%	+1.75	+6.0	14
2015-09-12	Hoverla Uzhgorod	L 0-1	58.4	1603	1692	24.45%	31.10%	44.44%	-0.42	-7.3	4
2015-09-12	@ Olimpik Donetsk	W 1-0	58.4	1692	1603	44.44%	31.10%	24.45%	+0.42	+7.3	8
2015-09-12	Oleksandriya	W 3-0	45.5	2066	1642	80.93%	13.46%	5.61%	+2.42	+3.8	19
2015-09-12	@ Dynamo Kyiv	L 0-3	45.5	1642	2066	5.61%	13.46%	80.93%	-2.42	-3.8	5
2015-09-13	Volyn Lutsk	L 1-2	64.0	1668	1787	21.44%	30.24%	48.32%	-0.58	-6.2	2
2015-09-13	@ Chernomorets Odesa	W 2-1	64.0	1787	1668	48.32%	30.24%	21.44%	+0.58	+6.2	14
2015-09-13	Vorskla Poltava	L 1-2	65.2	1772	1873	23.25%	30.81%	45.95%	-0.48	-6.6	7
2015-09-13	@ Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	W 2-1	65.2	1873	1772	45.95%	30.81%	23.25%	+0.48	+6.6	11
2015-09-13	Zorya Luhansk	D 1-1	71.4	1759	1890	20.40%	29.85%	49.75%	-0.65	+1.6	10
2015-09-13	@ Karpaty Lviv	D 1-1	71.4	1890	1759	49.75%	29.85%	20.40%	+0.65	-1.6	12
2015-09-19	Metalist Kharkiv	D 0-0	66.8	1620	1803	16.39%	27.68%	55.93%	-0.94	+2.4	3
2015-09-19	@ Metalurg Zaporizhya	D 0-0	66.8	1803	1620	55.93%	27.68%	16.39%	+0.94	-2.4	8
2015-09-19	Olimpik Donetsk	W 2-1	57.8	1880	1595	69.30%	20.82%	9.89%	+1.65	+2.7	14
2015-09-19	@ Vorskla Poltava	L 1-2	57.8	1595	1880	9.89%	20.82%	69.30%	-1.65	-2.7	4
2015-09-19	Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	W 2-0	51.6	2016	1766	66.02%	22.71%	11.26%	+1.46	+6.3	19
2015-09-19	@ Shakhtar Donetsk	L 0-2	51.6	1766	2016	11.26%	22.71%	66.02%	-1.46	-6.3	7
2015-09-20	Chernomorets Odesa	D 1-1	69.7	1699	1661	41.13%	31.61%	27.26%	+0.28	-0.7	9
2015-09-20	@ Hoverla Uzhgorod	D 1-1	69.7	1661	1699	27.26%	31.61%	41.13%	-0.28	+0.7	3
2015-09-20	Dynamo Kyiv	L 0-2	51.7	1793	2070	11.28%	22.74%	65.98%	-1.46	-6.3	14
2015-09-20	@ Volyn Lutsk	W 2-0	51.7	2070	1793	65.98%	22.74%	11.28%	+1.46	+6.3	22
2015-09-20	Karpaty Lviv	W 4-1	67.5	1638	1761	21.12%	30.13%	48.75%	-0.60	+28.1	8
2015-09-20	@ Oleksandriya	L 1-4	67.5	1761	1638	48.75%	30.13%	21.12%	+0.60	-28.1	10
2015-09-20	Zorya Luhansk	L 0-3	62.9	1963	1888	46.04%	30.79%	23.18%	+0.49	-31.9	14
2015-09-20	@ FC Dnipro	W 3-0	62.9	1888	1963	23.18%	30.79%	46.04%	-0.49	+31.9	15
2015-09-26	Hoverla Uzhgorod	W 2-0	48.2	2076	1698	77.47%	15.72%	6.81%	+2.16	+3.3	25
2015-09-26	@ Dynamo Kyiv	L 0-2	48.2	1698	2076	6.81%	15.72%	77.47%	-2.16	-3.4	9
2015-09-26	Shakhtar Donetsk	L 2-3	60.0	1593	2023	6.12%	14.44%	79.44%	-2.31	-1.4	4
2015-09-26	@ Olimpik Donetsk	W 3-2	60.0	2023	1593	79.44%	14.44%	6.12%	+2.31	+1.4	22
2015-09-27	FC Dnipro	L 1-2	64.1	1801	1931	20.43%	29.86%	49.71%	-0.65	-5.9	8
2015-09-27	@ Metalist Kharkiv	W 2-1	64.1	1931	1801	49.71%	29.86%	20.43%	+0.65	+5.9	17
2015-09-27	Metalurg Zaporizhya	W 3-0	52.7	1759	1623	53.71%	28.55%	17.75%	+0.83	+15.1	10
2015-09-27	@ Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	L 0-3	52.7	1623	1759	17.75%	28.55%	53.71%	-0.83	-15.1	3
2015-09-27	Oleksandriya	D 1-1	73.5	1920	1666	66.33%	22.54%	11.13%	+1.48	-3.1	16
2015-09-27	@ Zorya Luhansk	D 1-1	73.5	1666	1920	11.13%	22.54%	66.33%	-1.48	+3.1	9
2015-09-27	Volyn Lutsk	L 0-2	59.2	1733	1787	28.52%	31.77%	39.71%	-0.22	-15.6	10
2015-09-27	@ Karpaty Lviv	W 2-0	59.2	1787	1733	39.71%	31.77%	28.52%	+0.22	+15.5	17
2015-09-27	Vorskla Poltava	D 0-0	67.8	1662	1882	14.09%	25.83%	60.09%	-1.14	+2.9	4
2015-09-27	@ Chernomorets Odesa	D 0-0	67.8	1882	1662	60.09%	25.83%	14.09%	+1.14	-2.9	15
2015-10-03	Chernomorets Odesa	W 2-0	48.6	2024	1665	75.95%	16.70%	7.35%	+2.06	+3.7	25
2015-10-03	@ Shakhtar Donetsk	L 0-2	48.6	1665	2024	7.35%	16.70%	75.95%	-2.06	-3.7	4
2015-10-03	Olimpik Donetsk	L 0-3	57.2	1608	1591	38.22%	31.90%	29.89%	+0.16	-27.7	3
2015-10-03	@ Metalurg Zaporizhya	W 3-0	57.2	1591	1608	29.89%	31.90%	38.22%	-0.16	+27.7	7
2015-10-03	Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	D 1-1	70.6	1795	1775	38.71%	31.86%	29.43%	+0.18	-0.5	9
2015-10-03	@ Metalist Kharkiv	D 1-1	70.6	1775	1795	29.43%	31.86%	38.71%	-0.18	+0.5	11
2015-10-04	Dynamo Kyiv	L 0-4	51.7	1879	2079	15.26%	26.85%	57.89%	-1.03	-17.0	15
2015-10-04	@ Vorskla Poltava	W 4-0	51.7	2079	1879	57.89%	26.85%	15.26%	+1.03	+17.0	28
2015-10-04	Karpaty Lviv	L 0-2	60.0	1695	1717	32.71%	32.03%	35.26%	-0.05	-17.1	9
2015-10-04	@ Hoverla Uzhgorod	W 2-0	60.0	1717	1695	35.26%	32.03%	32.71%	+0.05	+17.1	13
2015-10-04	Oleksandriya	W 2-0	51.0	1937	1669	67.66%	21.78%	10.56%	+1.55	+5.8	20
2015-10-04	@ FC Dnipro	L 0-2	51.0	1669	1937	10.56%	21.78%	67.66%	-1.55	-5.8	9
2015-10-04	Zorya Luhansk	L 0-3	55.4	1802	1917	21.84%	30.38%	47.79%	-0.56	-18.3	17
2015-10-04	@ Volyn Lutsk	W 3-0	55.4	1917	1802	47.79%	30.38%	21.84%	+0.56	+18.3	19
2015-10-16	Shakhtar Donetsk	L 0-3	62.7	2096	2028	45.28%	30.94%	23.77%	+0.45	-31.5	28
2015-10-16	@ Dynamo Kyiv	W 3-0	62.7	2028	2096	23.77%	30.94%	45.28%	-0.45	+31.5	28
2015-10-17	FC Dnipro	L 0-6	52.8	1775	1943	17.45%	28.37%	54.18%	-0.85	-28.5	11
2015-10-17	@ Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	W 6-0	52.8	1943	1775	54.18%	28.37%	17.45%	+0.85	+28.5	23
2015-10-18	Hoverla Uzhgorod	W 2-1	58.9	1935	1678	66.71%	22.32%	10.97%	+1.50	+3.1	22
2015-10-18	@ Zorya Luhansk	L 1-2	58.9	1678	1935	10.97%	22.32%	66.71%	-1.50	-3.1	9
2015-10-18	Metalist Kharkiv	W 3-0	63.9	1619	1794	16.89%	28.03%	55.08%	-0.90	+36.6	10
2015-10-18	@ Olimpik Donetsk	L 0-3	63.9	1794	1619	55.08%	28.03%	16.89%	+0.90	-36.7	9
2015-10-18	Metalurg Zaporizhya	W 5-2	60.5	1661	1580	46.93%	30.59%	22.48%	+0.52	+13.7	7
2015-10-18	@ Chernomorets Odesa	L 2-5	60.5	1580	1661	22.48%	30.59%	46.93%	-0.52	-13.7	3
2015-10-18	Volyn Lutsk	W 3-1	70.0	1664	1784	21.33%	30.21%	48.46%	-0.59	+19.8	12
2015-10-18	@ Oleksandriya	L 1-3	70.0	1784	1664	48.46%	30.21%	21.33%	+0.59	-19.8	17
2015-10-18	Vorskla Poltava	L 1-3	62.0	1734	1862	20.62%	29.94%	49.45%	-0.63	-10.4	13
2015-10-18	@ Karpaty Lviv	W 3-1	62.0	1862	1734	49.45%	29.94%	20.62%	+0.63	+10.4	18
2015-10-30	Shakhtar Donetsk	L 1-7	56.3	1938	2059	21.26%	30.18%	48.55%	-0.60	-28.2	22
2015-10-30	@ Zorya Luhansk	W 7-1	56.3	2059	1938	48.55%	30.18%	21.26%	+0.60	+28.2	31
2015-10-31	FC Dnipro	D 1-1	74.1	1656	1971	9.72%	20.56%	69.72%	-1.67	+3.4	11
2015-10-31	@ Olimpik Donetsk	D 1-1	74.1	1971	1656	69.72%	20.56%	9.72%	+1.67	-3.4	24
2015-10-31	Metalist Kharkiv	W 2-0	50.0	2065	1757	71.45%	19.52%	9.03%	+1.77	+4.8	31
2015-10-31	@ Dynamo Kyiv	L 0-2	50.0	1757	2065	9.03%	19.52%	71.45%	-1.77	-4.8	9
2015-10-31	Metalurg Zaporizhya	W 1-0	54.8	1724	1566	56.13%	27.60%	16.27%	+0.95	+5.1	16
2015-10-31	@ Karpaty Lviv	L 0-1	54.8	1566	1724	16.27%	27.60%	56.13%	-0.95	-5.1	3
2015-11-01	Hoverla Uzhgorod	D 0-0	66.1	1764	1675	47.95%	30.34%	21.71%	+0.57	-1.5	18
2015-11-01	@ Volyn Lutsk	D 0-0	66.1	1675	1764	21.71%	30.34%	47.95%	-0.57	+1.5	10
2015-11-01	Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	D 1-1	70.2	1675	1747	26.39%	31.48%	42.13%	-0.32	+0.8	8
2015-11-01	@ Chernomorets Odesa	D 1-1	70.2	1747	1675	42.13%	31.48%	26.39%	+0.32	-0.8	12
2015-11-01	Vorskla Poltava	D 1-1	72.0	1683	1873	15.94%	27.37%	56.69%	-0.97	+2.2	13
2015-11-01	@ Oleksandriya	D 1-1	72.0	1873	1683	56.69%	27.37%	15.94%	+0.97	-2.2	19
2015-11-07	Metalist Kharkiv	D 1-1	70.3	1729	1753	32.51%	32.03%	35.47%	-0.06	+0.1	17
2015-11-07	@ Karpaty Lviv	D 1-1	70.3	1753	1729	35.47%	32.03%	32.51%	+0.06	-0.2	10
2015-11-07	Metalurg Zaporizhya	W 4-1	51.7	1910	1561	75.10%	17.24%	7.66%	+2.00	+4.8	25
2015-11-07	@ Zorya Luhansk	L 1-4	51.7	1561	1910	7.66%	17.24%	75.10%	-2.00	-4.8	3
2015-11-07	Olimpik Donetsk	L 0-2	61.0	1676	1659	38.27%	31.89%	29.84%	+0.17	-19.1	8
2015-11-07	@ Chernomorets Odesa	W 2-0	61.0	1659	1676	29.84%	31.89%	38.27%	-0.17	+19.1	14
2015-11-07	Shakhtar Donetsk	L 2-3	60.8	1686	2087	6.89%	15.87%	77.24%	-2.15	-1.6	13
2015-11-07	@ Oleksandriya	W 3-2	60.8	2087	1686	77.24%	15.87%	6.89%	+2.15	+1.6	34
2015-11-08	Hoverla Uzhgorod	W 2-0	50.3	1968	1676	69.98%	20.41%	9.61%	+1.69	+5.2	27
2015-11-08	@ FC Dnipro	L 0-2	50.3	1676	1968	9.61%	20.41%	69.98%	-1.69	-5.2	10
2015-11-08	Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	W 2-0	49.6	2070	1746	72.93%	18.60%	8.46%	+1.87	+4.4	34
2015-11-08	@ Dynamo Kyiv	L 0-2	49.6	1746	2070	8.46%	18.60%	72.93%	-1.87	-4.4	12
2015-11-08	Vorskla Poltava	W 2-1	72.2	1762	1870	22.50%	30.59%	46.91%	-0.52	+11.1	21
2015-11-08	@ Volyn Lutsk	L 1-2	72.2	1870	1762	46.91%	30.59%	22.50%	+0.52	-11.1	19
2015-11-20	Dynamo Kyiv	L 0-3	46.8	1678	2074	7.05%	16.16%	76.78%	-2.12	-5.1	14
2015-11-20	@ Olimpik Donetsk	W 3-0	46.8	2074	1678	76.78%	16.16%	7.05%	+2.12	+5.1	37
2015-11-21	FC Dnipro	D 0-0	69.6	1657	1973	9.69%	20.52%	69.79%	-1.68	+3.8	9
2015-11-21	@ Chernomorets Odesa	D 0-0	69.6	1973	1657	69.79%	20.52%	9.69%	+1.68	-3.8	28
2015-11-21	Hoverla Uzhgorod	W 2-1	60.9	1859	1671	59.54%	26.09%	14.37%	+1.12	+4.2	22
2015-11-21	@ Vorskla Poltava	L 1-2	60.9	1671	1859	14.37%	26.09%	59.54%	-1.12	-4.2	10
2015-11-21	Volyn Lutsk	W 4-0	47.4	2089	1774	72.17%	19.07%	8.75%	+1.82	+8.7	37
2015-11-21	@ Shakhtar Donetsk	L 0-4	47.4	1774	2089	8.75%	19.07%	72.17%	-1.82	-8.7	21
2015-11-22	Karpaty Lviv	D 1-1	70.3	1741	1729	37.63%	31.93%	30.44%	+0.14	-0.4	13
2015-11-22	@ Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	D 1-1	70.3	1729	1741	30.44%	31.93%	37.63%	-0.14	+0.4	18
2015-11-22	Oleksandriya	L 0-2	53.8	1556	1684	20.66%	29.95%	49.39%	-0.63	-12.0	3
2015-11-22	@ Metalurg Zaporizhya	W 2-0	53.8	1684	1556	49.39%	29.95%	20.66%	+0.63	+12.0	16
2015-11-22	Zorya Luhansk	L 0-1	57.5	1753	1915	17.83%	28.60%	53.57%	-0.82	-5.6	10
2015-11-22	@ Metalist Kharkiv	W 1-0	57.5	1915	1753	53.57%	28.60%	17.83%	+0.82	+5.5	28
2015-11-28	Metalist Kharkiv	W 2-0	62.1	1696	1747	28.89%	31.81%	39.30%	-0.21	+19.5	19
2015-11-28	@ Oleksandriya	L 0-2	62.1	1747	1696	39.30%	31.81%	28.89%	+0.21	-19.5	10
2015-11-28	Olimpik Donetsk	W 4-1	60.7	1729	1673	43.68%	31.24%	25.08%	+0.39	+17.3	21
2015-11-28	@ Karpaty Lviv	L 1-4	60.7	1673	1729	25.08%	31.24%	43.68%	-0.39	-17.3	14
2015-11-28	Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	W 2-1	61.4	1920	1741	58.56%	26.54%	14.90%	+1.07	+4.4	31
2015-11-28	@ Zorya Luhansk	L 1-2	61.4	1741	1920	14.90%	26.54%	58.56%	-1.07	-4.4	13
2015-11-29	Chernomorets Odesa	W 2-1	54.9	2079	1660	80.57%	13.70%	5.73%	+2.39	+1.4	40
2015-11-29	@ Dynamo Kyiv	L 1-2	54.9	1660	2079	5.73%	13.70%	80.57%	-2.39	-1.4	9
2015-11-29	Metalurg Zaporizhya	W 9-1	49.5	1765	1544	62.96%	24.38%	12.66%	+1.29	+21.8	24
2015-11-29	@ Volyn Lutsk	L 1-9	49.5	1544	1765	12.66%	24.38%	62.96%	-1.29	-21.8	3
2015-11-29	Shakhtar Donetsk	L 1-6	47.7	1667	2098	6.10%	14.40%	79.50%	-2.31	-5.6	10
2015-11-29	@ Hoverla Uzhgorod	W 6-1	47.7	2098	1667	79.50%	14.40%	6.10%	+2.31	+5.7	40
2015-11-30	Vorskla Poltava	L 0-2	65.4	1969	1864	49.96%	29.79%	20.25%	+0.66	-23.4	28
2015-11-30	@ FC Dnipro	W 2-0	65.4	1864	1969	20.25%	29.79%	49.96%	-0.66	+23.4	25
2015-12-03	Karpaty Lviv	W 3-0	47.1	2103	1747	75.75%	16.83%	7.42%	+2.05	+5.4	43
2015-12-03	@ Shakhtar Donetsk	L 0-3	47.1	1747	2103	7.42%	16.83%	75.75%	-2.05	-5.4	21
2015-12-04	Dynamo Kyiv	L 0-6	42.7	1523	2081	3.45%	9.06%	87.50%	-3.01	-4.1	3
2015-12-04	@ Metalurg Zaporizhya	W 6-0	42.7	2081	1523	87.50%	9.06%	3.45%	+3.01	+4.1	43
2015-12-05	Oleksandriya	L 1-2	66.1	1661	1716	28.47%	31.76%	39.77%	-0.23	-7.8	10
2015-12-05	@ Hoverla Uzhgorod	W 2-1	66.1	1716	1661	39.77%	31.76%	28.47%	+0.23	+7.8	22
2015-12-05	Volyn Lutsk	L 0-1	68.8	1946	1787	56.28%	27.54%	16.18%	+0.95	-13.6	28
2015-12-05	@ FC Dnipro	W 1-0	68.8	1787	1946	16.18%	27.54%	56.28%	-0.95	+13.6	27
2015-12-05	Zorya Luhansk	L 0-2	60.2	1887	1925	30.59%	31.94%	37.46%	-0.14	-16.4	25
2015-12-05	@ Vorskla Poltava	W 2-0	60.2	1925	1887	37.46%	31.94%	30.59%	+0.14	+16.3	34
2015-12-06	Chernomorets Odesa	D 2-2	75.7	1728	1659	45.26%	30.95%	23.79%	+0.45	-0.8	11
2015-12-06	@ Metalist Kharkiv	D 2-2	75.7	1659	1728	23.79%	30.95%	45.26%	-0.45	+0.8	10
2015-12-06	Olimpik Donetsk	W 1-0	58.7	1737	1656	46.88%	30.60%	22.53%	+0.52	+6.9	16
2015-12-06	@ Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	L 0-1	58.7	1656	1737	22.53%	30.60%	46.88%	-0.52	-6.9	14
2016-03-05	Hoverla Uzhgorod	FL	60.4	1519	1653	20.02%	29.69%	50.28%	-0.67	+0.0	3
2016-03-05	@ Metalurg Zaporizhya	FW	60.4	1653	1519	50.28%	29.69%	20.02%	+0.67	+0.0	13
2016-03-05	FC Dnipro	W 2-0	54.8	2085	1932	55.55%	27.84%	16.61%	+0.92	+9.8	46
2016-03-05	@ Dynamo Kyiv	L 0-2	54.8	1932	2085	16.61%	27.84%	55.55%	-0.92	-9.8	28
2016-03-05	Karpaty Lviv	D 0-0	65.6	1660	1741	25.28%	31.28%	43.44%	-0.38	+1.0	11
2016-03-05	@ Chernomorets Odesa	D 0-0	65.6	1741	1660	43.44%	31.28%	25.28%	+0.38	-1.0	22
2016-03-05	Oleksandriya	D 2-2	75.9	1743	1723	38.74%	31.86%	29.40%	+0.19	-0.3	17
2016-03-05	@ Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	D 2-2	75.9	1723	1743	29.40%	31.86%	38.74%	-0.19	+0.3	23
2016-03-06	Volyn Lutsk	W 3-0	61.6	1727	1800	26.16%	31.44%	42.40%	-0.33	+29.9	14
2016-03-06	@ Metalist Kharkiv	L 0-3	61.6	1800	1727	42.40%	31.44%	26.16%	+0.33	-29.9	27
2016-03-06	Vorskla Poltava	W 3-1	57.6	2109	1871	64.79%	23.40%	11.81%	+1.39	+5.8	46
2016-03-06	@ Shakhtar Donetsk	L 1-3	57.6	1871	2109	11.81%	23.40%	64.79%	-1.39	-5.8	25
2016-03-06	Zorya Luhansk	D 1-1	73.7	1649	1941	10.63%	21.87%	67.49%	-1.54	+3.2	15
2016-03-06	@ Olimpik Donetsk	D 1-1	73.7	1941	1649	67.49%	21.87%	10.63%	+1.54	-3.2	35
2016-03-11	Dynamo Kyiv	L 1-2	57.1	1740	2094	8.35%	18.41%	73.24%	-1.89	-2.2	22
2016-03-11	@ Karpaty Lviv	W 2-1	57.1	2094	1740	73.24%	18.41%	8.35%	+1.89	+2.2	49
2016-03-12	Metalurg Zaporizhya	FW	67.4	1865	1519	74.87%	17.38%	7.74%	+1.99	+0.0	28
2016-03-12	@ Vorskla Poltava	FL	67.4	1519	1865	7.74%	17.38%	74.87%	-1.99	+0.0	3
2016-03-12	Chernomorets Odesa	W 4-0	48.3	1938	1661	68.60%	21.23%	10.17%	+1.61	+10.6	38
2016-03-12	@ Zorya Luhansk	L 0-4	48.3	1661	1938	10.17%	21.23%	68.60%	-1.61	-10.6	11
2016-03-12	Olimpik Donetsk	D 0-0	65.5	1724	1652	45.67%	30.86%	23.47%	+0.47	-1.3	24
2016-03-12	@ Oleksandriya	D 0-0	65.5	1652	1724	23.47%	30.86%	45.67%	-0.47	+1.3	16
2016-03-13	Metalist Kharkiv	W 1-0	65.9	1653	1757	22.97%	30.73%	46.30%	-0.50	+11.7	16
2016-03-13	@ Hoverla Uzhgorod	L 0-1	65.9	1757	1653	46.30%	30.73%	22.97%	+0.50	-11.7	14
2016-03-13	Shakhtar Donetsk	W 4-1	70.0	1922	2115	15.75%	27.22%	57.03%	-0.99	+31.8	31
2016-03-13	@ FC Dnipro	L 1-4	70.0	2115	1922	57.03%	27.22%	15.75%	+0.99	-31.8	46
2016-03-13	Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	W 1-0	61.4	1770	1743	39.71%	31.77%	28.52%	+0.22	+8.2	30
2016-03-13	@ Volyn Lutsk	L 0-1	61.4	1743	1770	28.52%	31.77%	39.71%	-0.22	-8.2	17
2016-03-19	Shakhtar Donetsk	FL	70.8	1519	2083	3.34%	8.83%	87.82%	-3.05	+0.0	3
2016-03-19	@ Metalurg Zaporizhya	FW	70.8	2083	1519	87.82%	8.83%	3.34%	+3.05	+0.0	49
2016-03-19	Hoverla Uzhgorod	W 1-0	59.1	1735	1665	45.44%	30.91%	23.65%	+0.46	+7.1	20
2016-03-19	@ Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	L 0-1	59.1	1665	1735	23.65%	30.91%	45.44%	-0.46	-7.1	16
2016-03-19	Oleksandriya	L 1-2	65.3	1650	1722	26.35%	31.48%	42.17%	-0.32	-7.3	11
2016-03-19	@ Chernomorets Odesa	W 2-1	65.3	1722	1650	42.17%	31.48%	26.35%	+0.32	+7.3	27
2016-03-19	Vorskla Poltava	L 0-3	55.1	1745	1865	21.37%	30.22%	48.42%	-0.59	-18.0	14
2016-03-19	@ Metalist Kharkiv	W 3-0	55.1	1865	1745	48.42%	30.22%	21.37%	+0.59	+18.0	31
2016-03-20	FC Dnipro	L 0-1	55.7	1738	1954	14.32%	26.04%	59.64%	-1.12	-4.4	22
2016-03-20	@ Karpaty Lviv	W 1-0	55.7	1954	1738	59.64%	26.04%	14.32%	+1.12	+4.4	34
2016-03-20	Volyn Lutsk	D 1-1	70.7	1653	1779	20.87%	30.03%	49.09%	-0.62	+1.5	17
2016-03-20	@ Olimpik Donetsk	D 1-1	70.7	1779	1653	49.09%	30.03%	20.87%	+0.62	-1.5	31
2016-03-20	Zorya Luhansk	W 1-0	57.2	2097	1948	55.04%	28.04%	16.92%	+0.89	+5.3	52
2016-03-20	@ Dynamo Kyiv	L 0-1	57.2	1948	2097	16.92%	28.04%	55.04%	-0.89	-5.3	38
2016-04-01	Metalist Kharkiv	W 8-1	47.7	2083	1727	75.68%	16.87%	7.45%	+2.04	+9.9	52
2016-04-01	@ Shakhtar Donetsk	L 1-8	47.7	1727	2083	7.45%	16.87%	75.68%	-2.04	-9.9	14
2016-04-02	Metalurg Zaporizhya	FW	69.3	1958	1519	82.05%	12.72%	5.23%	+2.51	+0.0	37
2016-04-02	@ FC Dnipro	FL	69.3	1519	1958	5.23%	12.72%	82.05%	-2.51	+0.0	3
2016-04-02	Dynamo Kyiv	L 0-2	49.0	1730	2102	7.77%	17.43%	74.80%	-1.99	-4.0	27
2016-04-02	@ Oleksandriya	W 2-0	49.0	2102	1730	74.80%	17.43%	7.77%	+1.99	+4.0	55
2016-04-02	Karpaty Lviv	W 4-1	56.1	1943	1734	61.81%	24.97%	13.22%	+1.23	+9.3	41
2016-04-02	@ Zorya Luhansk	L 1-4	56.1	1734	1943	13.22%	24.97%	61.81%	-1.23	-9.4	22
2016-04-02	Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	D 0-0	67.2	1883	1742	54.17%	28.37%	17.45%	+0.85	-2.2	32
2016-04-02	@ Vorskla Poltava	D 0-0	67.2	1742	1883	17.45%	28.37%	54.17%	-0.85	+2.2	21
2016-04-03	Chernomorets Odesa	D 1-1	71.1	1777	1643	53.39%	28.66%	17.94%	+0.82	-1.9	32
2016-04-03	@ Volyn Lutsk	D 1-1	71.1	1643	1777	17.94%	28.66%	53.39%	-0.82	+1.9	12
2016-04-03	Olimpik Donetsk	L 0-2	60.2	1658	1655	36.34%	32.00%	31.67%	+0.09	-18.4	16
2016-04-03	@ Hoverla Uzhgorod	W 2-0	60.2	1655	1658	31.67%	32.00%	36.34%	-0.09	+18.4	20
2016-04-09	Metalurg Zaporizhya	FW	63.1	1717	1519	60.64%	25.56%	13.80%	+1.17	+0.0	17
2016-04-09	@ Metalist Kharkiv	FL	63.1	1519	1717	13.80%	25.56%	60.64%	-1.17	+0.0	3
2016-04-09	Hoverla Uzhgorod	W 1-0	60.6	1645	1640	36.67%	31.98%	31.35%	+0.10	+8.8	15
2016-04-09	@ Chernomorets Odesa	L 0-1	60.6	1640	1645	31.35%	31.98%	36.67%	-0.10	-8.8	16
2016-04-09	Vorskla Poltava	D 1-1	72.2	1673	1880	14.83%	26.49%	58.68%	-1.07	+2.4	21
2016-04-09	@ Olimpik Donetsk	D 1-1	72.2	1880	1673	58.68%	26.49%	14.83%	+1.07	-2.4	33
2016-04-10	FC Dnipro	L 1-2	69.2	1952	1958	35.04%	32.03%	32.92%	+0.04	-9.0	41
2016-04-10	@ Zorya Luhansk	W 2-1	69.2	1958	1952	32.92%	32.03%	35.04%	-0.04	+9.0	40
2016-04-10	Oleksandriya	D 2-2	75.8	1724	1726	35.69%	32.02%	32.29%	+0.07	-0.1	23
2016-04-10	@ Karpaty Lviv	D 2-2	75.8	1726	1724	32.29%	32.02%	35.69%	-0.07	+0.1	28
2016-04-10	Shakhtar Donetsk	D 3-3	84.1	1744	2093	8.54%	18.72%	72.74%	-1.85	+2.2	22
2016-04-10	@ Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	D 3-3	84.1	2093	1744	72.74%	18.72%	8.54%	+1.85	-2.2	53
2016-04-10	Volyn Lutsk	W 3-0	47.8	2106	1775	73.53%	18.23%	8.24%	+1.90	+6.2	58
2016-04-10	@ Dynamo Kyiv	L 0-3	47.8	1775	2106	8.24%	18.23%	73.53%	-1.90	-6.2	32
2016-04-15	Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	FL	63.6	1519	1746	13.65%	25.41%	60.93%	-1.19	+0.0	3
2016-04-15	@ Metalurg Zaporizhya	FW	63.6	1746	1519	60.93%	25.41%	13.65%	+1.19	+0.0	25
2016-04-16	Dynamo Kyiv	L 0-2	46.5	1631	2112	4.90%	12.07%	83.03%	-2.59	-2.2	16
2016-04-16	@ Hoverla Uzhgorod	W 2-0	46.5	2112	1631	83.03%	12.07%	4.90%	+2.59	+2.2	61
2016-04-16	Metalist Kharkiv	W 5-0	49.1	1967	1717	66.01%	22.72%	11.27%	+1.46	+14.8	43
2016-04-16	@ FC Dnipro	L 0-5	49.1	1717	1967	11.27%	22.72%	66.01%	-1.46	-14.8	17
2016-04-16	Zorya Luhansk	W 2-0	67.1	1726	1944	14.22%	25.95%	59.83%	-1.13	+26.9	31
2016-04-16	@ Oleksandriya	L 0-2	67.1	1944	1726	59.83%	25.95%	14.22%	+1.13	-26.9	41
2016-04-17	Chernomorets Odesa	W 2-0	52.1	1878	1654	63.35%	24.18%	12.48%	+1.31	+7.1	36
2016-04-17	@ Vorskla Poltava	L 0-2	52.1	1654	1878	12.48%	24.18%	63.35%	-1.31	-7.1	15
2016-04-17	Karpaty Lviv	D 0-0	66.0	1769	1724	42.12%	31.48%	26.40%	+0.32	-0.9	33
2016-04-17	@ Volyn Lutsk	D 0-0	66.0	1724	1769	26.40%	31.48%	42.12%	-0.32	+0.9	24
2016-04-17	Olimpik Donetsk	W 3-0	45.7	2091	1676	80.29%	13.89%	5.83%	+2.37	+4.0	56
2016-04-17	@ Shakhtar Donetsk	L 0-3	45.7	1676	2091	5.83%	13.89%	80.29%	-2.37	-4.0	21
2016-04-23	Metalurg Zaporizhya	FW	61.4	1672	1519	55.62%	27.81%	16.57%	+0.92	+0.0	24
2016-04-23	@ Olimpik Donetsk	FL	61.4	1519	1672	16.57%	27.81%	55.62%	-0.92	+0.0	3
2016-04-23	Hoverla Uzhgorod	W 3-0	53.9	1725	1628	48.85%	30.10%	21.05%	+0.61	+17.7	27
2016-04-23	@ Karpaty Lviv	L 0-3	53.9	1628	1725	21.05%	30.10%	48.85%	-0.61	-17.7	16
2016-04-23	Metalist Kharkiv	D 0-0	65.8	1746	1702	42.04%	31.49%	26.46%	+0.32	-0.9	26
2016-04-23	@ Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	D 0-0	65.8	1702	1746	26.46%	31.49%	42.04%	-0.32	+0.9	18
2016-04-23	Shakhtar Donetsk	D 1-1	76.3	1647	2095	5.67%	13.59%	80.74%	-2.40	+4.1	16
2016-04-23	@ Chernomorets Odesa	D 1-1	76.3	2095	1647	80.74%	13.59%	5.67%	+2.40	-4.1	57
2016-04-24	FC Dnipro	L 0-4	50.7	1753	1982	13.57%	25.33%	61.10%	-1.20	-14.9	31
2016-04-24	@ Oleksandriya	W 4-0	50.7	1982	1753	61.10%	25.33%	13.57%	+1.20	+14.9	46
2016-04-24	Volyn Lutsk	D 1-1	72.0	1917	1768	55.09%	28.02%	16.89%	+0.90	-2.1	42
2016-04-24	@ Zorya Luhansk	D 1-1	72.0	1768	1917	16.89%	28.02%	55.09%	-0.90	+2.1	34
2016-04-24	Vorskla Poltava	W 1-0	54.6	2114	1885	63.84%	23.91%	12.24%	+1.34	+3.7	64
2016-04-24	@ Dynamo Kyiv	L 0-1	54.6	1885	2114	12.24%	23.91%	63.84%	-1.34	-3.7	36
2016-04-29	Oleksandriya	D 0-0	66.0	1770	1738	40.43%	31.70%	27.88%	+0.25	-0.7	35
2016-04-29	@ Volyn Lutsk	D 0-0	66.0	1738	1770	27.88%	31.70%	40.43%	-0.25	+0.7	32
2016-04-30	Chernomorets Odesa	FL	60.3	1519	1651	20.25%	29.79%	49.96%	-0.66	+0.0	3
2016-04-30	@ Metalurg Zaporizhya	FW	60.3	1651	1519	49.96%	29.79%	20.25%	+0.66	+0.0	19
2016-04-30	Karpaty Lviv	W 3-0	53.5	1881	1743	53.94%	28.46%	17.60%	+0.84	+15.0	39
2016-04-30	@ Vorskla Poltava	L 0-3	53.5	1743	1881	17.60%	28.46%	53.94%	-0.84	-15.0	27
2016-04-30	Olimpik Donetsk	W 1-0	60.5	1703	1672	40.30%	31.71%	27.99%	+0.25	+8.1	21
2016-04-30	@ Metalist Kharkiv	L 0-1	60.5	1672	1703	27.99%	31.71%	40.30%	-0.25	-8.1	24
2016-04-30	Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	W 2-0	51.6	1997	1746	66.12%	22.66%	11.22%	+1.47	+6.3	49
2016-04-30	@ FC Dnipro	L 0-2	51.6	1746	1997	11.22%	22.66%	66.12%	-1.47	-6.3	26
2016-04-30	Zorya Luhansk	L 0-4	48.1	1611	1915	10.17%	21.22%	68.61%	-1.61	-10.5	16
2016-04-30	@ Hoverla Uzhgorod	W 4-0	48.1	1915	1611	68.61%	21.22%	10.17%	+1.61	+10.5	45
2016-05-01	Dynamo Kyiv	W 3-0	60.3	2090	2118	32.00%	32.01%	35.99%	-0.08	+26.6	60
2016-05-01	@ Shakhtar Donetsk	L 0-3	60.3	2118	2090	35.99%	32.01%	32.00%	+0.08	-26.6	64
2016-05-07	Metalurg Zaporizhya	FW	71.1	2091	1519	89.49%	7.69%	2.82%	+3.24	+0.0	67
2016-05-07	@ Dynamo Kyiv	FL	71.1	1519	2091	2.82%	7.69%	89.49%	-3.24	+0.0	3
2016-05-07	FC Dnipro	L 2-3	65.5	1769	2003	13.33%	25.10%	61.57%	-1.22	-3.7	35
2016-05-07	@ Volyn Lutsk	W 3-2	65.5	2003	1769	61.57%	25.10%	13.33%	+1.22	+3.7	52
2016-05-07	Hoverla Uzhgorod	W 2-0	53.9	1738	1600	53.89%	28.48%	17.63%	+0.84	+10.4	35
2016-05-07	@ Oleksandriya	L 0-2	53.9	1600	1738	17.63%	28.48%	53.89%	-0.84	-10.4	16
2016-05-07	Metalist Kharkiv	L 0-1	60.3	1651	1711	27.71%	31.67%	40.62%	-0.26	-8.1	19
2016-05-07	@ Chernomorets Odesa	W 1-0	60.3	1711	1651	40.62%	31.67%	27.71%	+0.26	+8.1	24
2016-05-07	Vorskla Poltava	L 1-2	70.6	1925	1896	39.91%	31.75%	28.34%	+0.23	-9.8	45
2016-05-07	@ Zorya Luhansk	W 2-1	70.6	1896	1925	28.34%	31.75%	39.91%	-0.23	+9.8	42
2016-05-08	Shakhtar Donetsk	L 1-2	56.2	1728	2117	7.25%	16.52%	76.23%	-2.08	-1.8	27
2016-05-08	@ Karpaty Lviv	W 2-1	56.2	2117	1728	76.23%	16.52%	7.25%	+2.08	+1.8	63
2016-05-08	Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	L 0-2	57.8	1664	1739	25.91%	31.40%	42.69%	-0.35	-14.5	24
2016-05-08	@ Olimpik Donetsk	W 2-0	57.8	1739	1664	42.69%	31.40%	25.91%	+0.35	+14.5	29
2016-05-14	Chernomorets Odesa	L 0-1	66.8	1754	1643	50.65%	29.58%	19.77%	+0.69	-12.5	29
2016-05-14	@ Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	W 1-0	66.8	1643	1754	19.77%	29.58%	50.65%	-0.69	+12.5	22
2016-05-14	Dynamo Kyiv	L 1-4	52.3	1719	2091	7.78%	17.44%	74.79%	-1.98	-4.8	24
2016-05-14	@ Metalist Kharkiv	W 4-1	52.3	2091	1719	74.79%	17.44%	7.78%	+1.98	+4.8	70
2016-05-14	Volyn Lutsk	L 1-4	56.9	1590	1766	16.84%	27.99%	55.16%	-0.90	-12.1	16
2016-05-14	@ Hoverla Uzhgorod	W 4-1	56.9	1766	1590	55.16%	27.99%	16.84%	+0.90	+12.1	38
2016-05-15	Karpaty Lviv	FL	62.9	1519	1726	14.82%	26.48%	58.70%	-1.07	+0.0	3
2016-05-15	@ Metalurg Zaporizhya	FW	62.9	1726	1519	58.70%	26.48%	14.82%	+1.07	+0.0	30
2016-05-15	Oleksandriya	L 0-1	68.7	1906	1749	56.11%	27.61%	16.28%	+0.95	-13.6	42
2016-05-15	@ Vorskla Poltava	W 1-0	68.7	1749	1906	16.28%	27.61%	56.11%	-0.95	+13.6	38
2016-05-15	Olimpik Donetsk	D 1-1	75.3	2007	1649	75.86%	16.76%	7.39%	+2.05	-3.8	53
2016-05-15	@ FC Dnipro	D 1-1	75.3	1649	2007	7.39%	16.76%	75.86%	-2.05	+3.8	25
2016-05-15	Zorya Luhansk	L 2-3	80.0	2119	1915	61.18%	25.29%	13.53%	+1.20	-13.0	63
2016-05-15	@ Shakhtar Donetsk	W 3-2	80.0	1915	2119	13.53%	25.29%	61.18%	-1.20	+13.0	48

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2016-05-15	13.53%	Zorya Luhansk	1915	3	@ Shakhtar Donetsk	2119	2
2	2016-04-16	14.22%	@ Oleksandriya	1726	2	Zorya Luhansk	1944	0
3	2016-03-13	15.75%	@ FC Dnipro	1922	4	Shakhtar Donetsk	2115	1
4	2015-12-05	16.18%	Volyn Lutsk	1787	1	@ FC Dnipro	1946	0
5	2016-05-15	16.28%	Oleksandriya	1749	1	@ Vorskla Poltava	1906	0
6	2015-10-18	16.89%	@ Olimpik Donetsk	1619	3	Metalist Kharkiv	1794	0
7	2015-08-02	19.77%	@ Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	1753	2	Zorya Luhansk	1891	0
8	2016-05-14	19.77%	Chernomorets Odesa	1643	1	@ Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	1754	0
9	2015-11-30	20.25%	Vorskla Poltava	1864	2	@ FC Dnipro	1969	0
10	2015-09-20	21.12%	@ Oleksandriya	1638	4	Karpaty Lviv	1761	1
11	2015-10-18	21.33%	@ Oleksandriya	1664	3	Volyn Lutsk	1784	1
12	2015-08-14	22.10%	FC Dnipro	1925	2	@ Shakhtar Donetsk	2011	0
13	2015-11-08	22.50%	@ Volyn Lutsk	1762	2	Vorskla Poltava	1870	1
14	2016-03-13	22.97%	@ Hoverla Uzhgorod	1653	1	Metalist Kharkiv	1757	0
15	2015-09-20	23.18%	Zorya Luhansk	1888	3	@ FC Dnipro	1963	0
16	2015-10-16	23.77%	Shakhtar Donetsk	2028	3	@ Dynamo Kyiv	2096	0
17	2016-03-06	26.16%	@ Metalist Kharkiv	1727	3	Volyn Lutsk	1800	0
18	2015-08-15	28.33%	@ Olimpik Donetsk	1597	1	Oleksandriya	1652	0
19	2016-05-07	28.34%	Vorskla Poltava	1896	2	@ Zorya Luhansk	1925	1
20	2015-11-28	28.89%	@ Oleksandriya	1696	2	Metalist Kharkiv	1747	0
21	2015-11-07	29.84%	Olimpik Donetsk	1659	2	@ Chernomorets Odesa	1676	0
22	2015-10-03	29.89%	Olimpik Donetsk	1591	3	@ Metalurg Zaporizhya	1608	0
23	2015-08-16	30.70%	Volyn Lutsk	1773	2	@ Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	1783	1
24	2015-07-25	31.52%	@ Karpaty Lviv	1731	1	Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	1762	0
25	2016-04-03	31.67%	Olimpik Donetsk	1655	2	@ Hoverla Uzhgorod	1658	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2015-10-18	36.65	@ Olimpik Donetsk	3	1619	16.89%	Metalist Kharkiv	0	1794	55.08%	28.03%
2	2015-09-20	31.86	Zorya Luhansk	3	1888	23.18%	@ FC Dnipro	0	1963	46.04%	30.79%
3	2016-03-13	31.75	@ FC Dnipro	4	1922	15.75%	Shakhtar Donetsk	1	2115	57.03%	27.22%
4	2015-10-16	31.46	Shakhtar Donetsk	3	2028	23.77%	@ Dynamo Kyiv	0	2096	45.28%	30.94%
5	2016-03-06	29.93	@ Metalist Kharkiv	3	1727	26.16%	Volyn Lutsk	0	1800	42.40%	31.44%
6	2015-10-17	28.50	FC Dnipro	6	1943	54.18%	@ Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	0	1775	17.45%	28.37%
7	2015-10-30	28.20	Shakhtar Donetsk	7	2059	48.55%	@ Zorya Luhansk	1	1938	21.26%	30.18%
8	2015-09-20	28.09	@ Oleksandriya	4	1638	21.12%	Karpaty Lviv	1	1761	48.75%	30.13%
9	2015-08-08	28.01	@ Karpaty Lviv	4	1748	41.87%	Chernomorets Odesa	0	1705	26.61%	31.52%
10	2015-10-03	27.73	Olimpik Donetsk	3	1591	29.89%	@ Metalurg Zaporizhya	0	1608	38.22%	31.90%
11	2016-04-16	26.88	@ Oleksandriya	2	1726	14.22%	Zorya Luhansk	0	1944	59.83%	25.95%
12	2016-05-01	26.58	@ Shakhtar Donetsk	3	2090	32.00%	Dynamo Kyiv	0	2118	35.99%	32.01%
13	2015-07-17	25.65	Zorya Luhansk	6	1866	57.07%	@ Metalurg Zaporizhya	0	1673	15.72%	27.20%
14	2015-09-11	24.25	Shakhtar Donetsk	5	1992	53.88%	@ Metalist Kharkiv	0	1827	17.64%	28.49%
15	2015-08-02	23.64	@ Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	2	1753	19.77%	Zorya Luhansk	0	1891	50.65%	29.58%
16	2015-11-30	23.38	Vorskla Poltava	2	1864	20.25%	@ FC Dnipro	0	1969	49.96%	29.79%
17	2015-08-14	22.45	FC Dnipro	2	1925	22.10%	@ Shakhtar Donetsk	0	2011	47.44%	30.46%
18	2015-11-29	21.79	@ Volyn Lutsk	9	1765	62.96%	Metalurg Zaporizhya	1	1544	12.66%	24.38%
19	2015-10-18	19.77	@ Oleksandriya	3	1664	21.33%	Volyn Lutsk	1	1784	48.46%	30.21%
20	2015-11-28	19.48	@ Oleksandriya	2	1696	28.89%	Metalist Kharkiv	0	1747	39.30%	31.81%
21	2015-11-07	19.11	Olimpik Donetsk	2	1659	29.84%	@ Chernomorets Odesa	0	1676	38.27%	31.89%
22	2016-04-03	18.42	Olimpik Donetsk	2	1655	31.67%	@ Hoverla Uzhgorod	0	1658	36.34%	32.00%
23	2015-10-04	18.29	Zorya Luhansk	3	1917	47.79%	@ Volyn Lutsk	0	1802	21.84%	30.38%
24	2016-03-19	17.95	Vorskla Poltava	3	1865	48.42%	@ Metalist Kharkiv	0	1745	21.37%	30.22%
25	2016-04-23	17.72	@ Karpaty Lviv	3	1725	48.85%	Hoverla Uzhgorod	0	1628	21.05%	30.10%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2016-04-10	84.1	@ Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	3	1744	8.54%	Shakhtar Donetsk	3	2093	72.74%	18.72%
2	2016-05-15	80.0	Zorya Luhansk	3	1915	13.53%	@ Shakhtar Donetsk	2	2119	61.18%	25.29%
3	2015-08-09	77.2	@ Vorskla Poltava	2	1866	19.10%	Shakhtar Donetsk	2	2012	51.64%	29.27%
4	2015-08-16	77.2	@ Metalist Kharkiv	2	1837	55.03%	Hoverla Uzhgorod	2	1689	16.93%	28.05%
5	2015-08-07	76.3	@ Volyn Lutsk	2	1772	27.11%	Metalist Kharkiv	2	1837	41.30%	31.59%
6	2016-04-23	76.3	@ Chernomorets Odesa	1	1647	5.67%	Shakhtar Donetsk	1	2095	80.74%	13.59%
7	2016-03-05	75.9	@ Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	2	1743	38.74%	Oleksandriya	2	1723	29.40%	31.86%
8	2016-04-10	75.8	@ Karpaty Lviv	2	1724	35.69%	Oleksandriya	2	1726	32.29%	32.02%
9	2015-12-06	75.7	@ Metalist Kharkiv	2	1728	45.26%	Chernomorets Odesa	2	1659	23.79%	30.95%
10	2016-05-15	75.3	@ FC Dnipro	1	2007	75.86%	Olimpik Donetsk	1	1649	7.39%	16.76%
11	2015-07-18	75.2	@ Olimpik Donetsk	2	1616	23.34%	Chernomorets Odesa	2	1716	45.83%	30.83%
12	2015-10-31	74.1	@ Olimpik Donetsk	1	1656	9.72%	FC Dnipro	1	1971	69.72%	20.56%
13	2016-03-06	73.7	@ Olimpik Donetsk	1	1649	10.63%	Zorya Luhansk	1	1941	67.49%	21.87%
14	2015-09-27	73.5	@ Zorya Luhansk	1	1920	66.33%	Oleksandriya	1	1666	11.13%	22.54%
15	2015-07-19	72.8	@ Hoverla Uzhgorod	1	1690	13.05%	FC Dnipro	1	1929	62.14%	24.80%
16	2015-08-15	72.6	@ Metalurg Zaporizhya	1	1627	13.01%	Vorskla Poltava	1	1867	62.22%	24.76%
17	2015-11-08	72.2	@ Volyn Lutsk	2	1762	22.50%	Vorskla Poltava	1	1870	46.91%	30.59%
18	2016-04-09	72.2	@ Olimpik Donetsk	1	1673	14.83%	Vorskla Poltava	1	1880	58.68%	26.49%
19	2015-08-02	72.1	@ Metalist Kharkiv	1	1840	59.01%	Oleksandriya	1	1656	14.65%	26.34%
20	2015-11-01	72.0	@ Oleksandriya	1	1683	15.94%	Vorskla Poltava	1	1873	56.69%	27.37%
21	2016-04-24	72.0	@ Zorya Luhansk	1	1917	55.09%	Volyn Lutsk	1	1768	16.89%	28.02%
22	2015-07-25	71.8	@ Hoverla Uzhgorod	1	1693	16.91%	Vorskla Poltava	1	1867	55.05%	28.04%
23	2015-09-13	71.4	@ Karpaty Lviv	1	1759	20.40%	Zorya Luhansk	1	1890	49.75%	29.85%
24	2015-07-18	71.3	@ Vorskla Poltava	1	1869	49.42%	Volyn Lutsk	1	1768	20.64%	29.94%
25	2016-04-03	71.1	@ Volyn Lutsk	1	1777	53.39%	Chernomorets Odesa	1	1643	17.94%	28.66%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2015-12-04	42.7	Dynamo Kyiv	6	2081	87.50%	@ Metalurg Zaporizhya	0	1523	3.45%	9.06%
2	2015-09-12	45.5	@ Dynamo Kyiv	3	2066	80.93%	Oleksandriya	0	1642	5.61%	13.46%
3	2016-04-17	45.7	@ Shakhtar Donetsk	3	2091	80.29%	Olimpik Donetsk	0	1676	5.83%	13.89%
4	2016-04-16	46.5	Dynamo Kyiv	2	2112	83.03%	@ Hoverla Uzhgorod	0	1631	4.90%	12.07%
5	2015-11-20	46.8	Dynamo Kyiv	3	2074	76.78%	@ Olimpik Donetsk	0	1678	7.05%	16.16%
6	2015-07-25	46.9	@ Dynamo Kyiv	2	2047	81.36%	Olimpik Donetsk	0	1617	5.46%	13.18%
7	2015-12-03	47.1	@ Shakhtar Donetsk	3	2103	75.75%	Karpaty Lviv	0	1747	7.42%	16.83%
8	2015-11-21	47.4	@ Shakhtar Donetsk	4	2089	72.17%	Volyn Lutsk	0	1774	8.75%	19.07%
9	2015-11-29	47.7	Shakhtar Donetsk	6	2098	79.50%	@ Hoverla Uzhgorod	1	1667	6.10%	14.40%
10	2016-04-01	47.7	@ Shakhtar Donetsk	8	2083	75.68%	Metalist Kharkiv	1	1727	7.45%	16.87%
11	2016-04-10	47.8	@ Dynamo Kyiv	3	2106	73.53%	Volyn Lutsk	0	1775	8.24%	18.23%
12	2016-04-30	48.1	Zorya Luhansk	4	1915	68.61%	@ Hoverla Uzhgorod	0	1611	10.17%	21.22%
13	2015-09-26	48.2	@ Dynamo Kyiv	2	2076	77.47%	Hoverla Uzhgorod	0	1698	6.81%	15.72%
14	2016-03-12	48.3	@ Zorya Luhansk	4	1938	68.60%	Chernomorets Odesa	0	1661	10.17%	21.23%
15	2015-08-09	48.5	@ Zorya Luhansk	4	1867	66.81%	Olimpik Donetsk	0	1608	10.92%	22.27%
16	2015-08-28	48.5	@ Shakhtar Donetsk	2	1988	75.89%	Metalurg Zaporizhya	0	1630	7.38%	16.74%
17	2015-10-03	48.6	@ Shakhtar Donetsk	2	2024	75.95%	Chernomorets Odesa	0	1665	7.35%	16.70%
18	2015-07-19	49.0	@ Shakhtar Donetsk	2	1994	74.53%	Oleksandriya	0	1652	7.87%	17.60%
19	2015-08-15	49.0	@ Dynamo Kyiv	3	2061	69.36%	Karpaty Lviv	0	1776	9.86%	20.78%
20	2016-04-02	49.0	Dynamo Kyiv	2	2102	74.80%	@ Oleksandriya	0	1730	7.77%	17.43%
21	2016-04-16	49.1	@ FC Dnipro	5	1967	66.01%	Metalist Kharkiv	0	1717	11.27%	22.72%
22	2015-11-29	49.5	@ Volyn Lutsk	9	1765	62.96%	Metalurg Zaporizhya	1	1544	12.66%	24.38%
23	2015-11-08	49.6	@ Dynamo Kyiv	2	2070	72.93%	Stal Dniprodzerzhynsk	0	1746	8.46%	18.60%
24	2015-08-01	49.8	@ Shakhtar Donetsk	2	2007	71.94%	Hoverla Uzhgorod	0	1695	8.84%	19.21%
25	2015-08-02	49.8	Dynamo Kyiv	2	2050	72.02%	@ Chernomorets Odesa	0	1709	8.81%	19.17%