2026 USL Season
149 games played · 25 teams · 100,000 simulations
Season Status
In Progress
Awaiting final results
Title Favorite
Tampa Bay Rowdies
21.15% chance to win USL Championship
Biggest Overachiever
Tampa Bay Rowdies
7.77 points above expected
28 points · 20.23 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Sporting Club Jacksonville
10.73 points below expected
3 points · 13.73 expected points
Current Standings
Each team's record through games played. SimPts is the model's expected points through the same games — the expected points from each game's pregame probabilities over completed games. vsSim shows actual points minus that expectation — positive means the team has overachieved against the model so far.
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pts | Pt% | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 8 | 1 | 4 | 28 | .718 | 21 | 8 | +13 | 20.23 | +7.77 |
| 2 | Louisville City FC | 6 | 5 | 3 | 21 | .500 | 24 | 22 | +2 | 22.43 | -1.43 |
| 3 | Detroit City FC | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | .538 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 18.80 | +2.20 |
| 4 | Charleston Battery | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | .556 | 21 | 16 | +5 | 17.35 | +2.65 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | .576 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 14.65 | +4.35 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | .545 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 15.21 | +2.79 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17 | .515 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15.68 | +1.32 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17 | .436 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 14.35 | +2.65 |
| 9 | Rhode Island FC | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | .455 | 21 | 15 | +6 | 15.70 | -0.70 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | .333 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 14.87 | -3.87 |
| 11 | Brooklyn FC | 2 | 7 | 3 | 9 | .250 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 14.22 | -5.22 |
| 12 | Loudoun United | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | .273 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 14.49 | -5.49 |
| 13 | Sporting Club Jacksonville | 0 | 10 | 3 | 3 | .077 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 13.73 | -10.73 |
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pts | Pt% | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Antonio FC | 5 | 2 | 6 | 21 | .538 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 18.11 | +2.89 |
| 2 | Orange County SC | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | .556 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 16.89 | +3.11 |
| 3 | Oakland Roots | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | .472 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 16.77 | +0.23 |
| 4 | Phoenix Rising | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17 | .436 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 17.29 | -0.29 |
| 5 | Sacramento Republic | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | .485 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 16.68 | -0.68 |
| 6 | FC Tulsa | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | .485 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 16.00 | 0.00 |
| 7 | El Paso Locomotive | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16 | .444 | 23 | 22 | +1 | 17.49 | -1.49 |
| 8 | Lexington SC | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15 | .417 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 14.97 | +0.03 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights FC | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15 | .417 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 13.38 | +1.62 |
| 10 | New Mexico United | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | .455 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14.57 | +0.43 |
| 11 | Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 | .394 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 14.61 | -1.61 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay FC | 3 | 7 | 2 | 11 | .306 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 13.22 | -2.22 |
Current Playoff Probabilities
How the model expects each league's playoff spots to be divided right now. Each team's segment is sized by its share of its group's spots; teams under 2% are pooled into a gray "Others." Hover or tap a segment for the team and its exact odds.
Each bar is one group’s playoff spots, divided by how likely the model thinks each team is to claim one. Teams under 2% are pooled into a gray “Others.”
Playoff Odds Movers
The biggest swings in playoff probability over the last 14 days — who's surging into contention and who's slipping out of it.
Biggest Gainers (14 d)
| # | Team | Δ | Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lexington SC | +22.28% | 68.58% |
| 2 | Rhode Island FC | +18.08% | 86.08% |
| 3 | Las Vegas Lights FC | +16.15% | 44.05% |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | +14.32% | 84.92% |
| 5 | Sacramento Republic | +11.59% | 89.09% |
Biggest Losers (14 d)
| # | Team | Δ | Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham Legion | -25.27% | 16.13% |
| 2 | Colorado Springs Switchbacks | -19.51% | 42.99% |
| 3 | Phoenix Rising | -13.16% | 78.94% |
| 4 | Loudoun United | -12.06% | 4.04% |
| 5 | Miami FC | -8.35% | 39.25% |
Recent Elo Movers
Who's been hot, who's been cold. The biggest Elo rating swings over the last 14 days — a quick read on momentum independent of where teams stand in the standings.
Biggest Elo Gainers
| # | Team | Δ Elo | Current Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charleston Battery | +30.10 | 1571 |
| 2 | Rhode Island FC | +28.89 | 1555 |
| 3 | Louisville City FC | +26.02 | 1535 |
| 4 | Detroit City FC | +22.56 | 1539 |
| 5 | Lexington SC | +19.65 | 1508 |
Biggest Elo Losers
| # | Team | Δ Elo | Current Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Club Jacksonville | -40.83 | 1356 |
| 2 | Loudoun United | -30.96 | 1421 |
| 3 | FC Tulsa | -25.87 | 1537 |
| 4 | Phoenix Rising | -24.77 | 1522 |
| 5 | Birmingham Legion | -16.46 | 1452 |
Season Summary
Every team's season-to-date record alongside the projected end-of-season totals from 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Exp. Pts. Rem. is the average number of additional points the model expects this team to add over the rest of the season.
| Team | Conference | Division | Elo | Points | Avg. Pts. | Exp. Pts. Rem. | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Eastern | 1601 | 28 | 57.38 | 29.38 | 39 | 49 | 54 | 57 | 61 | 66 | 75 | |
| Charleston Battery | Eastern | 1571 | 20 | 50.22 | 30.22 | 31 | 42 | 47 | 50 | 54 | 59 | 69 | |
| Rhode Island FC | Eastern | 1555 | 15 | 44.07 | 29.07 | 23 | 35 | 40 | 44 | 48 | 53 | 63 | |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Eastern | 1545 | 19 | 47.70 | 28.70 | 28 | 39 | 44 | 48 | 51 | 57 | 67 | |
| Sacramento Republic | Western | 1543 | 16 | 44.55 | 28.55 | 25 | 36 | 41 | 45 | 48 | 54 | 64 | |
| Detroit City FC | Eastern | 1539 | 21 | 46.11 | 25.11 | 29 | 38 | 43 | 46 | 50 | 54 | 68 | |
| Orange County SC | Western | 1537 | 20 | 46.34 | 26.34 | 26 | 38 | 43 | 46 | 50 | 55 | 66 | |
| FC Tulsa | Western | 1537 | 16 | 43.99 | 27.99 | 24 | 35 | 40 | 44 | 48 | 53 | 64 | |
| Louisville City FC | Eastern | 1535 | 21 | 43.93 | 22.93 | 26 | 36 | 41 | 44 | 47 | 52 | 69 | |
| Hartford Athletic | Eastern | 1522 | 17 | 43.61 | 26.61 | 25 | 35 | 40 | 44 | 47 | 53 | 65 | |
| Phoenix Rising | Western | 1522 | 17 | 42.02 | 25.02 | 24 | 34 | 39 | 42 | 45 | 50 | 65 | |
| Indy Eleven | Eastern | 1515 | 18 | 44.55 | 26.55 | 26 | 36 | 41 | 44 | 48 | 53 | 67 | |
| San Antonio FC | Western | 1511 | 21 | 44.87 | 23.87 | 29 | 37 | 41 | 45 | 48 | 53 | 65 | |
| Lexington SC | Western | 1508 | 15 | 40.36 | 25.36 | 22 | 32 | 37 | 40 | 44 | 49 | 59 | |
| New Mexico United | Western | 1499 | 15 | 40.83 | 25.83 | 22 | 32 | 37 | 41 | 45 | 50 | 61 | |
| El Paso Locomotive | Western | 1496 | 16 | 40.45 | 24.45 | 23 | 32 | 37 | 40 | 44 | 49 | 61 | |
| Oakland Roots | Western | 1485 | 17 | 39.23 | 22.23 | 23 | 31 | 36 | 39 | 43 | 48 | 58 | |
| Colorado Springs Switchbacks | Western | 1475 | 13 | 36.96 | 23.96 | 16 | 28 | 33 | 37 | 40 | 46 | 57 | |
| Las Vegas Lights FC | Western | 1466 | 15 | 37.21 | 22.21 | 18 | 29 | 34 | 37 | 41 | 46 | 57 | |
| Birmingham Legion | Eastern | 1452 | 11 | 33.33 | 22.33 | 16 | 25 | 30 | 33 | 37 | 42 | 52 | |
| Miami FC | Eastern | 1450 | 17 | 37.12 | 20.12 | 20 | 29 | 34 | 37 | 40 | 45 | 56 | |
| Brooklyn FC | Eastern | 1440 | 9 | 29.50 | 20.50 | 13 | 21 | 26 | 29 | 33 | 38 | 52 | |
| Loudoun United | Eastern | 1421 | 9 | 28.84 | 19.84 | 12 | 21 | 25 | 29 | 32 | 37 | 48 | |
| Monterey Bay FC | Western | 1420 | 11 | 28.87 | 17.87 | 14 | 21 | 25 | 29 | 32 | 37 | 48 | |
| Sporting Club Jacksonville | Eastern | 1356 | 3 | 18.15 | 15.15 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 21 | 26 | 39 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's points earned in that matchup (row vs column) and below it the expected points the model predicted based on each individual game's win, OT/SO, and loss probabilities. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin. The first matrix for each division covers within-division games; the second (when shown) covers games against teams outside that division — aggregated by division when there are many opponents, broken out team-by-team when there are few.
Within Eastern
| Team | Legion | FC | Battery | FC | Athletic | Eleven | United | FC | FC | Riverhounds | FC | Jacksonville | Rowdies |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham Legion | — |
—
|
0
(0.8 exp.)
|
—
|
1
(1.2 exp.)
|
1
(1.5 exp.)
|
1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1
(1.5 exp.)
|
1
(1.8 exp.)
|
3
(1.5 exp.)
|
3
(0.8 exp.)
|
—
|
0
(1.6 exp.)
|
| Brooklyn FC |
—
|
— |
3
(1.1 exp.)
|
0
(1.1 exp.)
|
0
(1.3 exp.)
|
3
(1.7 exp.)
|
0
(1.7 exp.)
|
1
(1.8 exp.)
|
0
(1.1 exp.)
|
—
|
0
(0.8 exp.)
|
1
(1.2 exp.)
|
—
|
| Charleston Battery |
3
(2.0 exp.)
|
0
(1.6 exp.)
|
— |
3
(2.8 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
3
(0.9 exp.)
|
—
|
3
(1.8 exp.)
|
0
(1.2 exp.)
|
3
(2.0 exp.)
|
2
(2.4 exp.)
|
| Detroit City FC |
—
|
3
(1.6 exp.)
|
3
(2.6 exp.)
|
— |
0
(1.1 exp.)
|
0
(1.2 exp.)
|
1
(1.3 exp.)
|
3
(1.4 exp.)
|
3
(1.9 exp.)
|
0
(1.2 exp.)
|
1
(1.2 exp.)
|
6
(3.6 exp.)
|
—
|
| Hartford Athletic |
1
(1.4 exp.)
|
3
(1.3 exp.)
|
—
|
3
(1.5 exp.)
|
— |
1
(1.9 exp.)
|
1
(1.8 exp.)
|
—
|
1
(1.4 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
3
(1.1 exp.)
|
3
(0.7 exp.)
|
| Indy Eleven |
1
(1.2 exp.)
|
0
(1.0 exp.)
|
—
|
3
(1.5 exp.)
|
1
(0.8 exp.)
|
— |
—
|
—
|
—
|
1
(2.6 exp.)
|
3
(1.6 exp.)
|
3
(2.0 exp.)
|
0
(0.9 exp.)
|
| Loudoun United |
1
(1.7 exp.)
|
3
(1.0 exp.)
|
—
|
1
(1.4 exp.)
|
1
(0.9 exp.)
|
—
|
— |
1
(1.2 exp.)
|
1
(1.7 exp.)
|
0
(1.5 exp.)
|
0
(1.3 exp.)
|
—
|
0
(0.9 exp.)
|
| Louisville City FC |
1
(1.2 exp.)
|
4
(3.6 exp.)
|
0
(1.8 exp.)
|
0
(1.2 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
1
(1.5 exp.)
|
— |
3
(3.4 exp.)
|
0
(1.9 exp.)
|
3
(1.9 exp.)
|
3
(2.1 exp.)
|
0
(1.4 exp.)
|
| Miami FC |
1
(0.9 exp.)
|
3
(1.5 exp.)
|
—
|
0
(0.8 exp.)
|
1
(1.3 exp.)
|
—
|
1
(1.0 exp.)
|
3
(2.0 exp.)
|
— |
0
(0.9 exp.)
|
3
(1.5 exp.)
|
3
(1.0 exp.)
|
—
|
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds |
0
(1.2 exp.)
|
—
|
0
(0.9 exp.)
|
3
(1.5 exp.)
|
—
|
4
(2.8 exp.)
|
3
(1.1 exp.)
|
3
(0.8 exp.)
|
3
(1.9 exp.)
|
— |
—
|
3
(1.8 exp.)
|
0
(1.1 exp.)
|
| Rhode Island FC |
0
(1.9 exp.)
|
3
(1.9 exp.)
|
3
(1.5 exp.)
|
1
(1.5 exp.)
|
—
|
0
(1.1 exp.)
|
3
(1.4 exp.)
|
0
(0.8 exp.)
|
0
(1.2 exp.)
|
—
|
— |
1
(1.8 exp.)
|
1
(1.5 exp.)
|
| Sporting Club Jacksonville |
—
|
1
(1.5 exp.)
|
0
(0.8 exp.)
|
0
(1.8 exp.)
|
0
(1.6 exp.)
|
0
(0.8 exp.)
|
—
|
0
(0.6 exp.)
|
0
(1.7 exp.)
|
0
(0.9 exp.)
|
1
(0.9 exp.)
|
— |
0
(1.2 exp.)
|
| Tampa Bay Rowdies |
3
(1.1 exp.)
|
—
|
2
(3.0 exp.)
|
—
|
0
(2.0 exp.)
|
3
(1.8 exp.)
|
3
(1.9 exp.)
|
3
(1.3 exp.)
|
—
|
3
(1.6 exp.)
|
1
(1.2 exp.)
|
3
(1.5 exp.)
|
— |
Eastern vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Switchbacks | Locomotive | Tulsa | FC | SC | FC | United | Roots | SC | Rising | Republic | FC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham Legion |
—
|
—
|
—
|
0
(1.7 exp.)
|
—
|
0
(1.6 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
| Brooklyn FC |
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
0
(1.0 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
1
(1.3 exp.)
|
—
|
| Charleston Battery |
—
|
—
|
3
(1.5 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
0
(1.2 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
| Detroit City FC |
—
|
1
(1.7 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
| Hartford Athletic |
—
|
0
(1.7 exp.)
|
0
(0.9 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
1
(1.7 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
| Indy Eleven |
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
3
(1.8 exp.)
|
3
(1.9 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
| Loudoun United |
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
0
(1.4 exp.)
|
—
|
1
(1.5 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
| Louisville City FC |
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
3
(1.4 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
3
(0.9 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
| Miami FC |
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
1
(0.9 exp.)
|
—
|
0
(1.6 exp.)
|
—
|
1
(1.0 exp.)
|
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds |
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
0
(1.5 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
| Rhode Island FC |
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
3
(1.1 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
| Sporting Club Jacksonville |
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
0
(1.0 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
1
(1.1 exp.)
|
| Tampa Bay Rowdies |
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
3
(1.3 exp.)
|
1
(1.9 exp.)
|
—
|
3
(1.7 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
Within Western
| Team | Switchbacks | Locomotive | Tulsa | FC | SC | FC | United | Roots | SC | Rising | Republic | FC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Springs Switchbacks | — |
1
(1.0 exp.)
|
—
|
3
(3.0 exp.)
|
1
(1.6 exp.)
|
3
(1.9 exp.)
|
0
(1.0 exp.)
|
3
(0.9 exp.)
|
1
(2.6 exp.)
|
—
|
0
(1.5 exp.)
|
1
(1.0 exp.)
|
| El Paso Locomotive |
1
(1.6 exp.)
|
— |
0
(1.9 exp.)
|
3
(1.9 exp.)
|
0
(1.9 exp.)
|
3
(1.2 exp.)
|
1
(1.3 exp.)
|
0
(1.2 exp.)
|
—
|
1
(1.6 exp.)
|
3
(1.0 exp.)
|
0
(2.0 exp.)
|
| FC Tulsa |
—
|
3
(0.8 exp.)
|
— |
4
(3.4 exp.)
|
—
|
3
(1.7 exp.)
|
—
|
1
(1.1 exp.)
|
0
(1.6 exp.)
|
1
(1.7 exp.)
|
0
(1.0 exp.)
|
1
(1.7 exp.)
|
| Las Vegas Lights FC |
3
(2.3 exp.)
|
0
(0.8 exp.)
|
1
(2.0 exp.)
|
— |
3
(1.5 exp.)
|
3
(1.8 exp.)
|
0
(0.9 exp.)
|
0
(0.9 exp.)
|
1
(0.9 exp.)
|
—
|
1
(1.2 exp.)
|
—
|
| Lexington SC |
1
(1.0 exp.)
|
3
(0.8 exp.)
|
—
|
0
(1.1 exp.)
|
— |
3
(1.9 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
1
(0.8 exp.)
|
—
|
1
(1.3 exp.)
|
3
(2.5 exp.)
|
| Monterey Bay FC |
0
(0.8 exp.)
|
0
(1.5 exp.)
|
0
(1.0 exp.)
|
0
(0.9 exp.)
|
0
(0.8 exp.)
|
— |
—
|
0
(1.6 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
1
(0.6 exp.)
|
1
(1.1 exp.)
|
| New Mexico United |
3
(1.7 exp.)
|
1
(1.4 exp.)
|
—
|
3
(1.8 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
— |
0
(1.1 exp.)
|
4
(2.5 exp.)
|
0
(1.2 exp.)
|
—
|
0
(1.0 exp.)
|
| Oakland Roots |
0
(1.8 exp.)
|
3
(1.5 exp.)
|
1
(1.6 exp.)
|
3
(1.8 exp.)
|
—
|
3
(1.1 exp.)
|
3
(1.6 exp.)
|
— |
0
(2.6 exp.)
|
1
(1.1 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
| Orange County SC |
4
(2.8 exp.)
|
—
|
3
(1.1 exp.)
|
1
(1.8 exp.)
|
1
(1.9 exp.)
|
—
|
1
(2.9 exp.)
|
6
(2.8 exp.)
|
— |
1
(1.0 exp.)
|
0
(1.0 exp.)
|
3
(1.6 exp.)
|
| Phoenix Rising |
—
|
1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1
(1.0 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
3
(1.5 exp.)
|
1
(1.6 exp.)
|
1
(1.6 exp.)
|
— |
3
(2.5 exp.)
|
1
(2.9 exp.)
|
| Sacramento Republic |
3
(1.2 exp.)
|
0
(1.7 exp.)
|
3
(1.7 exp.)
|
1
(1.5 exp.)
|
1
(1.4 exp.)
|
1
(2.1 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
3
(1.7 exp.)
|
3
(2.9 exp.)
|
— |
0
(1.2 exp.)
|
| San Antonio FC |
1
(1.7 exp.)
|
3
(0.8 exp.)
|
1
(1.0 exp.)
|
—
|
3
(2.9 exp.)
|
1
(1.5 exp.)
|
3
(1.6 exp.)
|
—
|
0
(1.1 exp.)
|
4
(2.5 exp.)
|
3
(1.5 exp.)
|
— |
Western vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Legion | FC | Battery | FC | Athletic | Eleven | United | FC | FC | Riverhounds | FC | Jacksonville | Rowdies |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Springs Switchbacks |
—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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| El Paso Locomotive |
—
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—
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—
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1
(1.0 exp.)
|
3
(1.0 exp.)
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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| FC Tulsa |
—
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—
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0
(1.1 exp.)
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—
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3
(1.8 exp.)
|
—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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| Las Vegas Lights FC |
3
(1.0 exp.)
|
—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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| Lexington SC |
—
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3
(1.6 exp.)
|
—
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—
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—
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0
(0.9 exp.)
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—
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0
(1.3 exp.)
|
—
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—
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0
(1.6 exp.)
|
—
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—
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| Monterey Bay FC |
3
(1.1 exp.)
|
—
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—
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—
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—
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0
(0.8 exp.)
|
3
(1.3 exp.)
|
—
|
—
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—
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—
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3
(1.7 exp.)
|
—
|
| New Mexico United |
—
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—
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3
(1.5 exp.)
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—
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1
(1.0 exp.)
|
—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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0
(1.4 exp.)
|
| Oakland Roots |
—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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1
(1.2 exp.)
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—
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1
(1.8 exp.)
|
—
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—
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—
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1
(0.8 exp.)
|
| Orange County SC |
—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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| Phoenix Rising |
—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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0
(1.8 exp.)
|
3
(1.1 exp.)
|
3
(1.2 exp.)
|
—
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—
|
0
(1.0 exp.)
|
| Sacramento Republic |
—
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1
(1.3 exp.)
|
—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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—
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| San Antonio FC |
—
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—
|
—
|
—
|
—
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—
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—
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—
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1
(1.7 exp.)
|
—
|
—
|
1
(1.6 exp.)
|
—
|
Scoring Distribution
Histograms of goals scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | — |
| Mean allowed | — |
| StdDev scored | — |
| StdDev allowed | — |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | — |
| Sample size (games) | — |
Points vs. Goal Differential
How goals translated into points. Teams above the cluster overperformed their goals differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/T/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or T consecutively; Winless counts L or T consecutively.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 4 | Mar 14 – Apr 11 | 1 in 126 |
| 2 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 4 | Mar 7 – Apr 4 | 1 in 45 |
| 3 | Phoenix Rising | 3 | Apr 11 – May 2 | 1 in 32 |
| 4 | Monterey Bay FC | 3 | May 23 – Jun 10 | 1 in 25 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 3 | Apr 29 – May 22 | 1 in 24 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Club Jacksonville | 7 | Mar 25 – May 9 | 1 in 184 |
| 2 | Louisville City FC | 4 | May 2 – May 30 | 1 in 146 |
| 3 | Brooklyn FC | 4 | Mar 14 – Mar 28 | 1 in 35 |
| 4 | El Paso Locomotive | 2 | Apr 18 – Apr 29 | 1 in 32 |
| 5 | Monterey Bay FC | 4 | Apr 11 – May 8 | 1 in 13 |
Longest Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 12 | Mar 7 – Jun 10 | 1 in 68 |
| 2 | Loudoun United | 6 | Apr 4 – May 23 | 1 in 17 |
| 3 | Miami FC | 5 | Mar 21 – Apr 11 | 1 in 15 |
| 4 | San Antonio FC | 6 | Apr 11 – May 27 | 1 in 14 |
| 5 | Birmingham Legion | 5 | Apr 4 – May 7 | 1 in 10 |
Longest Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Club Jacksonville | 13 | Mar 7 – Jun 13 | 1 in 52 |
| 2 | El Paso Locomotive | 7 | Apr 18 – Jun 13 | 1 in 50 |
| 3 | Loudoun United | 7 | Mar 14 – May 2 | 1 in 21 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 4 | Mar 28 – Apr 18 | 1 in 14 |
| 5 | Monterey Bay FC | 9 | Mar 7 – May 8 | 1 in 13 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Finish Position Heatmaps
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between divisions, leagues, and the overall USL view. Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | 71.04% | 17.49% | 6.25% | 2.88% | 1.27% | 0.66% | 0.31% | 0.09% | 0.01% | — | — | — | — |
| Charleston Battery | 12.66% | 28.65% | 20.14% | 13.61% | 9.58% | 6.67% | 4.53% | 2.45% | 1.38% | 0.19% | 0.14% | — | — |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 5.95% | 17.25% | 18.43% | 16.34% | 13.28% | 11.45% | 8.07% | 5.66% | 2.54% | 0.84% | 0.16% | 0.03% | — |
| Detroit City FC | 3.66% | 10.03% | 14.44% | 15.72% | 15.35% | 14.45% | 11.84% | 8.32% | 4.31% | 1.49% | 0.37% | 0.02% | — |
| Indy Eleven | 2.03% | 7.50% | 11.05% | 13.10% | 14.56% | 14.15% | 13.66% | 11.95% | 7.53% | 3.22% | 1.07% | 0.18% | — |
| Rhode Island FC | 1.53% | 7.57% | 9.80% | 11.87% | 13.30% | 14.12% | 14.37% | 13.52% | 8.84% | 3.81% | 1.10% | 0.16% | 0.01% |
| Louisville City FC | 1.29% | 4.99% | 9.59% | 12.33% | 14.47% | 15.69% | 15.69% | 14.31% | 7.77% | 3.07% | 0.63% | 0.17% | — |
| Hartford Athletic | 1.76% | 6.29% | 8.91% | 11.46% | 13.04% | 13.69% | 15.20% | 14.57% | 9.80% | 3.79% | 1.27% | 0.20% | 0.02% |
| Miami FC | 0.07% | 0.21% | 1.10% | 1.96% | 3.59% | 5.87% | 10.22% | 16.23% | 27.03% | 20.73% | 9.39% | 3.47% | 0.13% |
| Birmingham Legion | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.25% | 0.60% | 1.17% | 2.20% | 4.09% | 7.80% | 17.67% | 29.12% | 22.27% | 13.37% | 1.44% |
| Brooklyn FC | — | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.07% | 0.25% | 0.59% | 1.01% | 2.72% | 7.07% | 17.37% | 30.60% | 35.27% | 5.01% |
| Loudoun United | — | — | 0.01% | 0.06% | 0.14% | 0.46% | 1.00% | 2.37% | 6.00% | 15.77% | 30.70% | 37.63% | 5.86% |
| Sporting Club Jacksonville | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.05% | 0.60% | 2.30% | 9.50% | 87.53% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orange County SC | 25.78% | 18.49% | 14.26% | 10.94% | 8.88% | 6.89% | 5.21% | 4.19% | 2.88% | 1.55% | 0.70% | 0.23% |
| San Antonio FC | 16.57% | 16.43% | 14.40% | 12.24% | 10.20% | 9.22% | 7.03% | 5.49% | 4.08% | 2.77% | 1.39% | 0.18% |
| Sacramento Republic | 17.15% | 14.91% | 13.18% | 11.43% | 10.22% | 8.80% | 7.07% | 6.33% | 4.80% | 3.60% | 2.04% | 0.47% |
| FC Tulsa | 13.69% | 13.99% | 13.08% | 11.39% | 10.47% | 9.38% | 8.22% | 6.71% | 5.61% | 4.17% | 2.74% | 0.55% |
| Phoenix Rising | 6.60% | 8.90% | 10.28% | 10.90% | 11.26% | 11.06% | 10.36% | 9.58% | 8.13% | 7.06% | 4.48% | 1.39% |
| New Mexico United | 5.99% | 6.79% | 7.89% | 8.99% | 9.61% | 9.86% | 10.66% | 10.61% | 9.97% | 9.36% | 7.71% | 2.56% |
| Lexington SC | 4.41% | 6.17% | 7.68% | 9.11% | 9.54% | 10.39% | 10.77% | 10.51% | 10.13% | 9.78% | 8.65% | 2.86% |
| El Paso Locomotive | 4.53% | 5.69% | 6.99% | 8.31% | 10.01% | 10.71% | 11.07% | 11.24% | 10.98% | 10.10% | 7.83% | 2.54% |
| Oakland Roots | 2.81% | 4.21% | 5.50% | 7.50% | 8.39% | 9.16% | 10.67% | 11.69% | 12.46% | 13.09% | 11.38% | 3.14% |
| Las Vegas Lights FC | 1.35% | 2.36% | 3.39% | 4.65% | 5.33% | 6.80% | 8.89% | 11.28% | 13.83% | 15.69% | 18.85% | 7.58% |
| Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 1.12% | 2.02% | 3.21% | 4.37% | 5.76% | 6.97% | 9.02% | 10.52% | 13.77% | 16.01% | 18.80% | 8.43% |
| Monterey Bay FC | — | 0.04% | 0.14% | 0.17% | 0.33% | 0.76% | 1.03% | 1.85% | 3.36% | 6.82% | 15.43% | 70.07% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | 66.26% | 17.32% | 6.84% | 3.64% | 2.11% | 1.61% | 0.65% | 0.59% | 0.33% | 0.25% | 0.20% | 0.08% | 0.06% | 0.04% | 0.01% | — | 0.01% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charleston Battery | 11.26% | 20.60% | 15.55% | 10.85% | 8.73% | 6.69% | 5.66% | 4.24% | 3.36% | 3.11% | 2.31% | 2.07% | 1.47% | 1.16% | 0.85% | 0.75% | 0.60% | 0.34% | 0.23% | 0.07% | 0.03% | 0.07% | — | — | — |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 5.14% | 11.91% | 11.97% | 9.60% | 9.09% | 7.63% | 6.91% | 6.36% | 5.98% | 4.83% | 4.01% | 3.59% | 2.97% | 2.47% | 2.19% | 1.72% | 1.34% | 0.94% | 0.64% | 0.36% | 0.26% | 0.06% | 0.03% | — | — |
| Orange County SC | 3.25% | 7.82% | 8.43% | 9.07% | 9.02% | 7.96% | 7.46% | 6.66% | 6.12% | 5.40% | 5.11% | 4.62% | 4.31% | 3.39% | 2.80% | 2.91% | 2.11% | 1.31% | 1.11% | 0.60% | 0.29% | 0.18% | 0.05% | 0.02% | — |
| Detroit City FC | 3.00% | 6.53% | 8.22% | 8.45% | 8.30% | 8.40% | 7.43% | 7.31% | 6.56% | 6.33% | 5.28% | 4.73% | 4.38% | 3.77% | 3.19% | 2.55% | 1.98% | 1.27% | 1.08% | 0.67% | 0.32% | 0.21% | 0.03% | 0.01% | — |
| San Antonio FC | 1.69% | 4.55% | 5.98% | 6.94% | 7.59% | 7.15% | 7.38% | 7.13% | 6.78% | 6.79% | 5.91% | 5.85% | 5.50% | 4.47% | 3.89% | 3.38% | 3.10% | 2.32% | 1.57% | 1.03% | 0.67% | 0.24% | 0.09% | — | — |
| Sacramento Republic | 1.70% | 4.82% | 6.31% | 6.69% | 6.92% | 6.87% | 6.68% | 6.48% | 6.58% | 6.10% | 6.36% | 5.08% | 5.16% | 4.79% | 4.33% | 3.73% | 3.12% | 2.92% | 2.22% | 1.50% | 0.99% | 0.48% | 0.11% | 0.06% | — |
| Indy Eleven | 1.67% | 4.78% | 6.01% | 6.92% | 6.40% | 7.07% | 6.95% | 6.35% | 6.23% | 6.30% | 6.16% | 5.63% | 5.29% | 5.01% | 4.22% | 3.74% | 3.19% | 2.69% | 2.33% | 1.46% | 0.86% | 0.46% | 0.22% | 0.06% | — |
| Rhode Island FC | 1.27% | 4.86% | 5.37% | 6.05% | 6.38% | 6.41% | 6.38% | 6.07% | 6.16% | 5.76% | 6.38% | 5.59% | 5.72% | 5.02% | 4.79% | 4.63% | 3.65% | 3.24% | 2.49% | 1.65% | 1.28% | 0.61% | 0.15% | 0.08% | 0.01% |
| Louisville City FC | 1.06% | 3.19% | 4.82% | 5.89% | 6.19% | 6.82% | 6.59% | 6.97% | 6.96% | 6.60% | 6.19% | 6.29% | 5.92% | 5.63% | 5.17% | 3.94% | 4.07% | 2.90% | 1.92% | 1.58% | 0.79% | 0.31% | 0.14% | 0.06% | — |
| FC Tulsa | 0.95% | 3.69% | 5.29% | 6.27% | 6.42% | 6.61% | 6.82% | 6.76% | 6.24% | 6.08% | 6.08% | 5.56% | 5.50% | 5.44% | 4.51% | 4.03% | 4.16% | 3.15% | 2.41% | 1.86% | 1.31% | 0.53% | 0.21% | 0.12% | — |
| Hartford Athletic | 1.44% | 3.92% | 4.60% | 5.21% | 5.57% | 5.80% | 6.34% | 6.53% | 6.23% | 5.86% | 5.95% | 5.77% | 5.65% | 5.57% | 5.41% | 4.70% | 4.36% | 3.82% | 2.77% | 2.15% | 1.33% | 0.71% | 0.23% | 0.07% | 0.01% |
| Phoenix Rising | 0.47% | 1.66% | 2.90% | 3.60% | 3.88% | 4.53% | 5.08% | 5.47% | 5.96% | 6.58% | 6.41% | 6.92% | 6.37% | 6.43% | 6.10% | 6.07% | 5.82% | 4.79% | 4.09% | 3.12% | 1.95% | 1.17% | 0.48% | 0.14% | 0.01% |
| New Mexico United | 0.22% | 1.29% | 2.41% | 2.86% | 3.39% | 3.42% | 4.22% | 4.46% | 4.74% | 4.94% | 6.02% | 5.71% | 6.04% | 6.20% | 6.55% | 6.93% | 6.36% | 6.12% | 5.63% | 4.89% | 3.74% | 2.36% | 1.07% | 0.42% | 0.01% |
| El Paso Locomotive | 0.23% | 1.01% | 1.80% | 2.32% | 2.27% | 3.20% | 3.46% | 4.24% | 4.88% | 5.25% | 5.61% | 6.13% | 6.75% | 6.74% | 6.80% | 7.28% | 6.86% | 6.80% | 5.76% | 5.15% | 3.76% | 2.21% | 1.11% | 0.38% | — |
| Lexington SC | 0.16% | 0.88% | 1.42% | 2.09% | 2.84% | 3.43% | 3.74% | 3.99% | 4.57% | 5.57% | 5.82% | 5.93% | 6.49% | 6.95% | 6.90% | 6.76% | 6.30% | 6.87% | 5.89% | 5.14% | 4.15% | 2.43% | 1.26% | 0.40% | 0.02% |
| Oakland Roots | 0.10% | 0.59% | 0.99% | 1.46% | 1.87% | 2.33% | 2.94% | 3.43% | 4.02% | 4.31% | 5.10% | 5.59% | 5.37% | 6.11% | 7.50% | 7.24% | 7.47% | 8.05% | 7.84% | 6.93% | 5.16% | 3.35% | 1.77% | 0.48% | — |
| Las Vegas Lights FC | 0.05% | 0.26% | 0.35% | 0.66% | 1.18% | 1.22% | 1.80% | 2.13% | 2.55% | 3.03% | 2.97% | 4.15% | 4.54% | 5.51% | 6.09% | 7.13% | 7.92% | 8.73% | 9.70% | 9.41% | 8.61% | 6.35% | 3.76% | 1.76% | 0.14% |
| Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 0.02% | 0.23% | 0.40% | 0.59% | 0.85% | 1.33% | 1.64% | 1.97% | 2.34% | 3.05% | 3.28% | 3.97% | 4.68% | 5.12% | 6.07% | 6.82% | 8.24% | 8.41% | 9.48% | 9.69% | 8.41% | 6.77% | 4.45% | 2.09% | 0.10% |
| Miami FC | 0.06% | 0.08% | 0.27% | 0.66% | 0.80% | 1.20% | 1.28% | 1.94% | 2.29% | 2.45% | 3.06% | 3.87% | 4.38% | 5.78% | 6.61% | 7.16% | 8.01% | 9.43% | 10.16% | 10.17% | 8.92% | 6.40% | 3.43% | 1.48% | 0.11% |
| Birmingham Legion | — | 0.01% | 0.06% | 0.17% | 0.16% | 0.22% | 0.43% | 0.62% | 0.75% | 0.91% | 1.20% | 1.69% | 1.99% | 2.47% | 3.17% | 4.22% | 5.22% | 7.31% | 9.41% | 11.44% | 14.12% | 13.60% | 11.23% | 8.35% | 1.25% |
| Brooklyn FC | — | — | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.04% | 0.07% | 0.15% | 0.18% | 0.19% | 0.17% | 0.46% | 0.48% | 0.77% | 1.14% | 1.71% | 2.31% | 3.10% | 4.60% | 7.85% | 11.10% | 16.91% | 21.44% | 22.86% | 4.43% |
| Monterey Bay FC | — | — | — | — | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.04% | 0.08% | 0.07% | 0.11% | 0.24% | 0.33% | 0.41% | 0.66% | 0.74% | 1.28% | 1.99% | 2.68% | 4.33% | 6.51% | 10.67% | 17.45% | 24.38% | 24.72% | 3.27% |
| Loudoun United | — | — | — | — | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.05% | 0.07% | 0.12% | 0.20% | 0.18% | 0.39% | 0.57% | 0.50% | 0.97% | 1.32% | 1.79% | 2.79% | 4.28% | 6.60% | 10.93% | 15.98% | 21.27% | 26.60% | 5.35% |
| Sporting Club Jacksonville | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.06% | 0.17% | 0.35% | 1.16% | 3.09% | 9.84% | 85.29% |
Win Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.
Playoff Seed Probabilities
Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | 5 Seed | 6 Seed | 7 Seed | 8 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | 71.04% | 17.49% | 6.25% | 2.88% | 1.27% | 0.66% | 0.31% | 0.09% | 0.01% |
| Charleston Battery | 12.66% | 28.65% | 20.14% | 13.61% | 9.58% | 6.67% | 4.53% | 2.45% | 1.71% |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 5.95% | 17.25% | 18.43% | 16.34% | 13.28% | 11.45% | 8.07% | 5.66% | 3.57% |
| Detroit City FC | 3.66% | 10.03% | 14.44% | 15.72% | 15.35% | 14.45% | 11.84% | 8.32% | 6.19% |
| Indy Eleven | 2.03% | 7.50% | 11.05% | 13.10% | 14.56% | 14.15% | 13.66% | 11.95% | 12.00% |
| Hartford Athletic | 1.76% | 6.29% | 8.91% | 11.46% | 13.04% | 13.69% | 15.20% | 14.57% | 15.08% |
| Rhode Island FC | 1.53% | 7.57% | 9.80% | 11.87% | 13.30% | 14.12% | 14.37% | 13.52% | 13.92% |
| Louisville City FC | 1.29% | 4.99% | 9.59% | 12.33% | 14.47% | 15.69% | 15.69% | 14.31% | 11.64% |
| Miami FC | 0.07% | 0.21% | 1.10% | 1.96% | 3.59% | 5.87% | 10.22% | 16.23% | 60.75% |
| Birmingham Legion | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.25% | 0.60% | 1.17% | 2.20% | 4.09% | 7.80% | 83.87% |
| Brooklyn FC | — | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.07% | 0.25% | 0.59% | 1.01% | 2.72% | 95.32% |
| Loudoun United | — | — | 0.01% | 0.06% | 0.14% | 0.46% | 1.00% | 2.37% | 95.96% |
| Sporting Club Jacksonville | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.01% | 0.01% | 99.98% |
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | 5 Seed | 6 Seed | 7 Seed | 8 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orange County SC | 25.78% | 18.49% | 14.26% | 10.94% | 8.88% | 6.89% | 5.21% | 4.19% | 5.36% |
| Sacramento Republic | 17.15% | 14.91% | 13.18% | 11.43% | 10.22% | 8.80% | 7.07% | 6.33% | 10.91% |
| San Antonio FC | 16.57% | 16.43% | 14.40% | 12.24% | 10.20% | 9.22% | 7.03% | 5.49% | 8.42% |
| FC Tulsa | 13.69% | 13.99% | 13.08% | 11.39% | 10.47% | 9.38% | 8.22% | 6.71% | 13.07% |
| Phoenix Rising | 6.60% | 8.90% | 10.28% | 10.90% | 11.26% | 11.06% | 10.36% | 9.58% | 21.06% |
| New Mexico United | 5.99% | 6.79% | 7.89% | 8.99% | 9.61% | 9.86% | 10.66% | 10.61% | 29.60% |
| El Paso Locomotive | 4.53% | 5.69% | 6.99% | 8.31% | 10.01% | 10.71% | 11.07% | 11.24% | 31.45% |
| Lexington SC | 4.41% | 6.17% | 7.68% | 9.11% | 9.54% | 10.39% | 10.77% | 10.51% | 31.42% |
| Oakland Roots | 2.81% | 4.21% | 5.50% | 7.50% | 8.39% | 9.16% | 10.67% | 11.69% | 40.07% |
| Las Vegas Lights FC | 1.35% | 2.36% | 3.39% | 4.65% | 5.33% | 6.80% | 8.89% | 11.28% | 55.95% |
| Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 1.12% | 2.02% | 3.21% | 4.37% | 5.76% | 6.97% | 9.02% | 10.52% | 57.01% |
| Monterey Bay FC | — | 0.04% | 0.14% | 0.17% | 0.33% | 0.76% | 1.03% | 1.85% | 95.68% |
Points Required to Achieve Each Seed
Empirical cumulative distribution: for each seed in each division, the probability that a team holding that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of points. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median points for that seed.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual points, simulated final points, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.
Stochastic Playoff Outcomes
Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.
| Team | Made Playoffs | Advanced to Conference Semifinals | Advanced to Conference Finals | Advanced to USL Championship | Won USL Championship |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | 99.99% | 70.81% | 47.10% | 30.41% | 21.15% |
| Charleston Battery | 98.29% | 60.77% | 34.77% | 17.43% | 11.16% |
| Orange County SC | 94.64% | 56.62% | 32.13% | 17.63% | 7.55% |
| Sacramento Republic | 89.09% | 51.55% | 28.61% | 15.56% | 6.70% |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 96.43% | 52.12% | 25.62% | 11.74% | 6.55% |
| FC Tulsa | 86.93% | 49.58% | 26.95% | 14.42% | 6.15% |
| Detroit City FC | 93.81% | 45.26% | 20.77% | 9.67% | 5.70% |
| San Antonio FC | 91.58% | 49.10% | 25.00% | 12.27% | 4.80% |
| Rhode Island FC | 86.08% | 41.51% | 19.79% | 8.83% | 4.79% |
| Phoenix Rising | 78.94% | 39.62% | 19.63% | 9.78% | 3.95% |
| Louisville City FC | 88.36% | 38.65% | 16.53% | 7.28% | 3.86% |
| Indy Eleven | 88.00% | 37.95% | 15.77% | 6.90% | 3.50% |
| Hartford Athletic | 84.92% | 36.14% | 14.80% | 6.35% | 3.39% |
| New Mexico United | 70.40% | 31.67% | 14.83% | 7.09% | 2.62% |
| El Paso Locomotive | 68.55% | 30.88% | 13.99% | 6.53% | 2.33% |
| Lexington SC | 68.58% | 31.91% | 14.81% | 6.46% | 2.17% |
| Oakland Roots | 59.93% | 24.77% | 10.38% | 4.69% | 1.55% |
| Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 42.99% | 16.27% | 6.52% | 2.65% | 0.82% |
| Las Vegas Lights FC | 44.05% | 16.97% | 6.79% | 2.77% | 0.74% |
| Miami FC | 39.25% | 10.66% | 3.03% | 0.86% | 0.33% |
| Birmingham Legion | 16.13% | 4.11% | 1.31% | 0.37% | 0.15% |
| Brooklyn FC | 4.68% | 1.19% | 0.28% | 0.10% | 0.03% |
| Loudoun United | 4.04% | 0.83% | 0.23% | 0.06% | 0.01% |
| Monterey Bay FC | 4.32% | 1.06% | 0.36% | 0.15% | — |
| Sporting Club Jacksonville | 0.02% | — | — | — | — |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Birmingham Legion | Brooklyn FC | Charleston Battery | Detroit City FC | Hartford Athletic | Indy Eleven | Loudoun United | Louisville City FC | Miami FC | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Rhode Island FC | Sporting Club Jacksonville | Tampa Bay Rowdies |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham Legion | 0.82% | 0.27% | 0.34% | 0.41% | 0.24% | 0.01% | 0.56% | 0.30% | 1.16% | ||||
| Brooklyn FC | 0.01% | 0.18% | 0.08% | 0.10% | 0.02% | 0.07% | 0.18% | 0.09% | 0.46% | ||||
| Charleston Battery | 2.21% | 0.67% | 8.27% | 8.65% | 9.54% | 0.66% | 9.55% | 5.28% | 6.88% | 7.72% | 1.34% | ||
| Detroit City FC | 0.80% | 0.28% | 5.55% | 6.64% | 7.26% | 0.23% | 6.29% | 2.55% | 6.69% | 5.81% | 3.16% | ||
| Hartford Athletic | 0.64% | 0.17% | 4.89% | 5.66% | 4.22% | 0.08% | 4.63% | 1.66% | 5.48% | 4.10% | 4.61% | ||
| Indy Eleven | 0.77% | 0.12% | 5.35% | 6.14% | 4.61% | 0.09% | 5.27% | 1.56% | 5.68% | 4.92% | 0.01% | 3.43% | |
| Loudoun United | 0.15% | 0.05% | 0.03% | 0.07% | 0.08% | 0.09% | 0.05% | 0.31% | |||||
| Louisville City FC | 0.56% | 0.15% | 5.57% | 6.02% | 4.42% | 5.12% | 0.09% | 1.72% | 6.25% | 4.20% | 4.55% | ||
| Miami FC | 0.04% | 0.01% | 1.76% | 1.09% | 0.79% | 0.82% | 0.02% | 0.90% | 1.41% | 0.71% | 3.11% | ||
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1.32% | 0.31% | 5.34% | 7.84% | 7.90% | 8.29% | 0.28% | 7.67% | 3.43% | 7.45% | 0.01% | 2.28% | |
| Rhode Island FC | 0.49% | 0.15% | 5.69% | 6.46% | 5.04% | 5.34% | 0.16% | 5.20% | 1.64% | 6.57% | 4.77% | ||
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | 5.18% | 1.63% | 2.22% | 6.67% | 10.26% | 8.96% | 1.60% | 9.81% | 10.74% | 4.52% | 9.22% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Colorado Springs Switchbacks | El Paso Locomotive | FC Tulsa | Las Vegas Lights FC | Lexington SC | Monterey Bay FC | New Mexico United | Oakland Roots | Orange County SC | Phoenix Rising | Sacramento Republic | San Antonio FC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 1.27% | 2.01% | 0.91% | 1.15% | 0.10% | 1.59% | 1.21% | 2.18% | 1.68% | 1.82% | 2.35% | |
| El Paso Locomotive | 1.86% | 3.27% | 1.81% | 2.78% | 0.12% | 3.31% | 2.67% | 3.95% | 3.22% | 3.82% | 4.07% | |
| FC Tulsa | 3.54% | 5.49% | 3.69% | 5.05% | 0.45% | 5.30% | 5.24% | 4.90% | 5.80% | 4.76% | 5.36% | |
| Las Vegas Lights FC | 1.00% | 1.38% | 1.78% | 1.51% | 0.07% | 1.53% | 1.22% | 2.30% | 1.79% | 2.01% | 2.38% | |
| Lexington SC | 1.93% | 3.19% | 3.64% | 1.73% | 0.15% | 3.35% | 2.51% | 3.94% | 3.39% | 3.80% | 4.28% | |
| Monterey Bay FC | 0.01% | 0.09% | 0.15% | 0.04% | 0.10% | 0.04% | 0.25% | 0.06% | 0.17% | 0.15% | ||
| New Mexico United | 1.76% | 3.11% | 3.56% | 2.19% | 2.99% | 0.14% | 2.94% | 3.74% | 3.40% | 3.55% | 4.29% | |
| Oakland Roots | 1.31% | 2.07% | 2.73% | 1.34% | 2.26% | 0.22% | 2.45% | 3.17% | 2.49% | 3.06% | 3.67% | |
| Orange County SC | 5.25% | 6.55% | 4.98% | 4.87% | 6.11% | 0.74% | 5.80% | 5.65% | 6.31% | 5.07% | 5.29% | |
| Phoenix Rising | 2.38% | 3.82% | 4.70% | 2.41% | 4.12% | 0.21% | 4.15% | 3.73% | 4.87% | 4.33% | 4.90% | |
| Sacramento Republic | 4.03% | 5.43% | 5.28% | 4.03% | 5.58% | 0.52% | 5.81% | 4.98% | 4.42% | 5.73% | 5.74% | |
| San Antonio FC | 3.65% | 5.27% | 5.25% | 4.10% | 5.08% | 0.54% | 5.34% | 4.97% | 4.30% | 5.45% | 5.15% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Birmingham Legion | Brooklyn FC | Charleston Battery | Detroit City FC | Hartford Athletic | Indy Eleven | Loudoun United | Louisville City FC | Miami FC | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Rhode Island FC | Tampa Bay Rowdies |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham Legion | 0.27% | 0.17% | 0.12% | 0.10% | 0.11% | 0.01% | 0.15% | 0.09% | 0.29% | |||
| Brooklyn FC | 0.06% | 0.02% | 0.05% | 0.05% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.05% | ||||
| Charleston Battery | 0.47% | 0.17% | 5.53% | 4.46% | 4.42% | 0.10% | 4.42% | 1.52% | 6.29% | 4.22% | 3.17% | |
| Detroit City FC | 0.26% | 0.12% | 3.87% | 2.11% | 2.39% | 0.08% | 1.96% | 0.64% | 3.52% | 2.45% | 3.37% | |
| Hartford Athletic | 0.21% | 0.09% | 2.60% | 1.65% | 1.60% | 0.06% | 1.41% | 0.56% | 2.19% | 1.51% | 2.92% | |
| Indy Eleven | 0.22% | 0.10% | 2.61% | 1.92% | 1.70% | 0.04% | 1.68% | 0.54% | 2.58% | 1.76% | 2.62% | |
| Loudoun United | 0.07% | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.05% | 0.02% | 0.04% | |||||
| Louisville City FC | 0.20% | 0.05% | 3.05% | 2.01% | 1.60% | 1.64% | 0.03% | 0.42% | 2.34% | 1.94% | 3.25% | |
| Miami FC | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.46% | 0.29% | 0.25% | 0.28% | 0.01% | 0.26% | 0.44% | 0.29% | 0.73% | |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0.35% | 0.10% | 4.80% | 3.65% | 2.87% | 3.61% | 0.07% | 2.98% | 1.00% | 2.90% | 3.29% | |
| Rhode Island FC | 0.23% | 0.05% | 3.63% | 2.46% | 2.04% | 1.87% | 0.03% | 2.00% | 0.62% | 2.88% | 3.98% | |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | 0.85% | 0.22% | 4.58% | 6.79% | 6.15% | 6.22% | 0.18% | 7.24% | 2.31% | 6.04% | 6.52% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Colorado Springs Switchbacks | El Paso Locomotive | FC Tulsa | Las Vegas Lights FC | Lexington SC | Monterey Bay FC | New Mexico United | Oakland Roots | Orange County SC | Phoenix Rising | Sacramento Republic | San Antonio FC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 0.57% | 0.83% | 0.26% | 0.63% | 0.01% | 0.38% | 0.48% | 0.94% | 0.70% | 0.82% | 0.90% | |
| El Paso Locomotive | 0.61% | 1.65% | 0.60% | 1.24% | 0.06% | 1.28% | 1.15% | 2.15% | 1.46% | 1.93% | 1.86% | |
| FC Tulsa | 1.22% | 2.51% | 1.60% | 2.68% | 0.17% | 2.50% | 2.21% | 3.65% | 2.84% | 3.64% | 3.93% | |
| Las Vegas Lights FC | 0.35% | 0.49% | 0.80% | 0.66% | 0.01% | 0.50% | 0.41% | 1.02% | 0.75% | 0.92% | 0.88% | |
| Lexington SC | 0.75% | 1.29% | 1.93% | 0.59% | 0.03% | 1.20% | 0.97% | 2.10% | 1.69% | 1.98% | 2.28% | |
| Monterey Bay FC | 0.03% | 0.05% | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.02% | 0.04% | 0.07% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.08% | ||
| New Mexico United | 0.58% | 1.19% | 1.67% | 0.75% | 1.16% | 0.03% | 1.09% | 2.46% | 1.49% | 2.10% | 2.31% | |
| Oakland Roots | 0.57% | 0.85% | 1.32% | 0.42% | 0.80% | 0.02% | 0.95% | 1.62% | 1.09% | 1.45% | 1.29% | |
| Orange County SC | 1.73% | 3.14% | 4.23% | 1.88% | 3.06% | 0.10% | 3.29% | 2.64% | 3.68% | 4.05% | 4.33% | |
| Phoenix Rising | 1.00% | 1.68% | 2.57% | 1.04% | 1.56% | 0.04% | 1.77% | 1.39% | 3.14% | 2.70% | 2.74% | |
| Sacramento Republic | 1.70% | 2.88% | 3.99% | 1.64% | 2.65% | 0.10% | 2.57% | 2.30% | 3.92% | 3.36% | 3.50% | |
| San Antonio FC | 1.24% | 2.26% | 3.59% | 1.39% | 2.62% | 0.13% | 2.38% | 1.71% | 3.42% | 2.92% | 3.34% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Birmingham Legion | Brooklyn FC | Charleston Battery | Detroit City FC | Hartford Athletic | Indy Eleven | Loudoun United | Louisville City FC | Miami FC | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Rhode Island FC | Tampa Bay Rowdies |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham Legion | 0.05% | 0.05% | 0.04% | 0.04% | 0.06% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.04% | 0.05% | |||
| Brooklyn FC | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.01% | ||||||
| Charleston Battery | 0.14% | 0.03% | 2.08% | 1.52% | 1.59% | 0.03% | 1.57% | 0.43% | 2.63% | 2.18% | 5.23% | |
| Detroit City FC | 0.11% | 0.03% | 1.71% | 0.92% | 0.80% | 0.02% | 1.01% | 0.32% | 1.18% | 1.36% | 2.21% | |
| Hartford Athletic | 0.02% | 0.01% | 1.06% | 0.88% | 0.62% | 0.05% | 0.64% | 0.22% | 0.91% | 0.57% | 1.37% | |
| Indy Eleven | 0.10% | 0.02% | 1.02% | 0.93% | 0.53% | 0.02% | 0.75% | 0.28% | 0.88% | 0.95% | 1.42% | |
| Loudoun United | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.01% | |||||||
| Louisville City FC | 0.10% | 0.01% | 1.23% | 1.00% | 0.67% | 0.66% | 0.02% | 0.19% | 1.00% | 1.01% | 1.39% | |
| Miami FC | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.15% | 0.09% | 0.06% | 0.12% | 0.06% | 0.17% | 0.08% | 0.11% | ||
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0.15% | 0.04% | 2.29% | 1.24% | 1.07% | 1.13% | 1.26% | 0.25% | 1.22% | 3.09% | ||
| Rhode Island FC | 0.12% | 0.01% | 1.53% | 1.01% | 0.86% | 0.88% | 0.02% | 1.07% | 0.19% | 1.32% | 1.82% | |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | 0.19% | 0.02% | 8.27% | 3.80% | 2.76% | 3.02% | 0.01% | 2.82% | 0.28% | 5.71% | 3.53% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Colorado Springs Switchbacks | El Paso Locomotive | FC Tulsa | Las Vegas Lights FC | Lexington SC | Monterey Bay FC | New Mexico United | Oakland Roots | Orange County SC | Phoenix Rising | Sacramento Republic | San Antonio FC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 0.25% | 0.41% | 0.13% | 0.28% | 0.16% | 0.16% | 0.40% | 0.25% | 0.36% | 0.25% | ||
| El Paso Locomotive | 0.31% | 0.92% | 0.22% | 0.67% | 0.55% | 0.29% | 0.96% | 0.81% | 0.93% | 0.87% | ||
| FC Tulsa | 0.51% | 1.28% | 0.66% | 1.24% | 0.01% | 1.21% | 0.78% | 2.71% | 1.59% | 2.26% | 2.17% | |
| Las Vegas Lights FC | 0.17% | 0.27% | 0.35% | 0.17% | 0.02% | 0.28% | 0.12% | 0.40% | 0.30% | 0.40% | 0.29% | |
| Lexington SC | 0.27% | 0.48% | 0.74% | 0.24% | 0.03% | 0.51% | 0.41% | 1.04% | 0.92% | 1.03% | 0.79% | |
| Monterey Bay FC | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.02% | |||
| New Mexico United | 0.24% | 0.64% | 1.09% | 0.31% | 0.59% | 0.02% | 0.40% | 1.09% | 0.65% | 0.93% | 1.13% | |
| Oakland Roots | 0.20% | 0.33% | 0.77% | 0.20% | 0.38% | 0.03% | 0.36% | 0.75% | 0.41% | 0.62% | 0.64% | |
| Orange County SC | 0.72% | 1.42% | 2.79% | 0.69% | 1.48% | 0.03% | 1.51% | 1.07% | 2.07% | 3.12% | 2.73% | |
| Phoenix Rising | 0.37% | 0.85% | 1.52% | 0.38% | 0.97% | 0.02% | 0.83% | 0.67% | 1.60% | 1.22% | 1.35% | |
| Sacramento Republic | 0.70% | 1.03% | 2.22% | 0.57% | 1.40% | 0.03% | 1.37% | 0.98% | 3.17% | 1.60% | 2.49% | |
| San Antonio FC | 0.37% | 0.90% | 1.69% | 0.61% | 1.16% | 0.02% | 0.96% | 0.81% | 2.35% | 1.24% | 2.16% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Birmingham Legion | Brooklyn FC | Charleston Battery | Colorado Springs Switchbacks | Detroit City FC | El Paso Locomotive | FC Tulsa | Hartford Athletic | Indy Eleven | Las Vegas Lights FC | Lexington SC | Loudoun United | Louisville City FC | Miami FC | Monterey Bay FC | New Mexico United | Oakland Roots | Orange County SC | Phoenix Rising | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Rhode Island FC | Sacramento Republic | San Antonio FC | Tampa Bay Rowdies |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham Legion | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.04% | 0.03% | |||||||||||||||||
| Brooklyn FC | 0.02% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Charleston Battery | 0.30% | 0.72% | 1.55% | 0.36% | 0.84% | 0.02% | 0.94% | 0.69% | 2.05% | 1.00% | 1.47% | 1.22% | ||||||||||||
| Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 0.14% | 0.08% | 0.05% | 0.04% | 0.10% | 0.01% | 0.12% | 0.05% | 0.23% | |||||||||||||||
| Detroit City FC | 0.18% | 0.37% | 0.84% | 0.15% | 0.43% | 0.02% | 0.41% | 0.20% | 0.97% | 0.68% | 0.79% | 0.66% | ||||||||||||
| El Paso Locomotive | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.40% | 0.26% | 0.19% | 0.16% | 0.13% | 0.02% | 0.38% | 0.21% | 0.56% | |||||||||||||
| FC Tulsa | 0.03% | 0.95% | 0.53% | 0.44% | 0.65% | 0.51% | 0.06% | 0.75% | 0.72% | 1.51% | ||||||||||||||
| Hartford Athletic | 0.11% | 0.18% | 0.56% | 0.13% | 0.25% | 0.01% | 0.30% | 0.15% | 0.63% | 0.19% | 0.41% | 0.47% | ||||||||||||
| Indy Eleven | 0.10% | 0.20% | 0.55% | 0.12% | 0.31% | 0.01% | 0.19% | 0.20% | 0.51% | 0.37% | 0.46% | 0.48% | ||||||||||||
| Las Vegas Lights FC | 0.13% | 0.04% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.08% | 0.10% | 0.07% | 0.27% | ||||||||||||||||
| Lexington SC | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.47% | 0.27% | 0.15% | 0.18% | 0.14% | 0.02% | 0.25% | 0.21% | 0.45% | |||||||||||||
| Loudoun United | 0.01% | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Louisville City FC | 0.10% | 0.23% | 0.52% | 0.14% | 0.25% | 0.28% | 0.23% | 0.62% | 0.41% | 0.52% | 0.56% | |||||||||||||
| Miami FC | 0.03% | 0.09% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.06% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||||
| New Mexico United | 0.02% | 0.37% | 0.23% | 0.19% | 0.30% | 0.01% | 0.25% | 0.06% | 0.37% | 0.29% | 0.53% | |||||||||||||
| Oakland Roots | 0.01% | 0.25% | 0.21% | 0.16% | 0.14% | 0.15% | 0.07% | 0.16% | 0.14% | 0.26% | ||||||||||||||
| Orange County SC | 0.04% | 0.03% | 1.19% | 0.76% | 0.58% | 0.62% | 0.03% | 0.73% | 0.07% | 1.00% | 0.72% | 1.78% | ||||||||||||
| Phoenix Rising | 0.03% | 0.01% | 0.58% | 0.45% | 0.32% | 0.30% | 0.01% | 0.32% | 0.07% | 0.50% | 0.48% | 0.88% | ||||||||||||
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0.31% | 0.42% | 0.73% | 0.32% | 0.41% | 0.01% | 0.59% | 0.37% | 1.13% | 0.51% | 0.99% | 0.76% | ||||||||||||
| Rhode Island FC | 0.19% | 0.35% | 0.57% | 0.10% | 0.33% | 0.04% | 0.40% | 0.26% | 0.74% | 0.51% | 0.74% | 0.56% | ||||||||||||
| Sacramento Republic | 0.03% | 1.14% | 0.72% | 0.53% | 0.59% | 0.63% | 0.09% | 0.96% | 0.61% | 1.40% | ||||||||||||||
| San Antonio FC | 0.03% | 0.01% | 0.65% | 0.42% | 0.33% | 0.39% | 0.38% | 0.06% | 0.60% | 0.54% | 1.39% | |||||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | 0.54% | 1.70% | 2.83% | 0.69% | 1.42% | 0.04% | 1.33% | 1.02% | 3.40% | 2.09% | 3.37% | 2.72% |
Completed Games
Every regular-season game played so far, from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | L 0-1 | 1473.54 | 1492.80 | 41.80% | 31.71% | 26.49% | -13.40 | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Hartford Athletic | T 0-0 | 1460.14 | 1559.49 | 30.54% | 32.31% | 37.16% | +0.45 | 1 |
| 2026-03-21 | @ Charleston Battery | L 2-3 | 1460.59 | 1559.85 | 16.49% | 26.16% | 57.35% | -5.52 | 1 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ Loudoun United | T 2-2 | 1455.07 | 1460.08 | 23.89% | 30.98% | 45.12% | +1.02 | 2 |
| 2026-04-12 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 1-0 | 1456.09 | 1505.24 | 37.60% | 32.27% | 30.13% | +10.65 | 5 |
| 2026-04-19 | Indy Eleven | T 2-2 | 1466.74 | 1502.48 | 39.49% | 32.07% | 28.44% | -0.51 | 6 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ Rhode Island FC | W 3-1 | 1466.23 | 1550.06 | 17.46% | 27.12% | 55.42% | +26.94 | 9 |
| 2026-05-07 | Miami FC | T 0-0 | 1493.17 | 1455.90 | 49.43% | 29.65% | 20.92% | -2.10 | 10 |
| 2026-05-23 | @ Monterey Bay FC | L 0-2 | 1491.07 | 1358.74 | 41.79% | 31.72% | 26.49% | -25.26 | 10 |
| 2026-06-03 | Louisville City FC | T 1-1 | 1465.81 | 1507.43 | 38.66% | 32.17% | 29.17% | -0.59 | 11 |
| 2026-06-13 | Las Vegas Lights FC | L 1-2 | 1465.22 | 1452.69 | 46.14% | 30.71% | 23.15% | -13.58 | 11 |
| 2026-03-08 | Indy Eleven | W 1-0 | 1500.00 | 1489.92 | 45.81% | 30.80% | 23.39% | +8.74 | 3 |
| 2026-03-14 | @ Detroit City FC | L 0-3 | 1508.74 | 1504.20 | 24.88% | 31.30% | 43.82% | -25.20 | 3 |
| 2026-03-21 | Hartford Athletic | L 1-2 | 1483.54 | 1559.04 | 33.83% | 32.43% | 33.74% | -10.89 | 3 |
| 2026-03-25 | @ Lexington SC | L 0-3 | 1472.65 | 1470.96 | 24.58% | 31.21% | 44.21% | -24.96 | 3 |
| 2026-03-28 | Louisville City FC | L 0-1 | 1447.69 | 1597.07 | 24.63% | 31.23% | 44.14% | -9.13 | 3 |
| 2026-04-11 | Charleston Battery | W 3-0 | 1438.56 | 1584.20 | 25.03% | 31.34% | 43.63% | +37.87 | 6 |
| 2026-04-21 | Sacramento Republic | T 1-1 | 1476.43 | 1550.62 | 34.01% | 32.43% | 33.55% | -0.03 | 7 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ Miami FC | L 2-3 | 1476.40 | 1446.95 | 27.68% | 31.95% | 40.38% | -8.95 | 7 |
| 2026-05-09 | Loudoun United | L 0-1 | 1467.45 | 1461.42 | 45.26% | 30.95% | 23.79% | -14.21 | 7 |
| 2026-05-23 | @ Rhode Island FC | L 1-4 | 1453.24 | 1522.49 | 18.45% | 27.98% | 53.57% | -16.12 | 7 |
| 2026-05-30 | @ Sporting Club Jacksonville | T 2-2 | 1437.12 | 1388.65 | 30.04% | 32.26% | 37.69% | +0.35 | 8 |
| 2026-06-13 | @ Louisville City FC | T 2-2 | 1437.47 | 1536.86 | 16.49% | 26.15% | 57.36% | +2.06 | 9 |
| 2026-03-07 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 2-1 | 1552.27 | 1519.66 | 48.82% | 29.87% | 21.32% | +7.58 | 3 |
| 2026-03-21 | Birmingham Legion | W 3-2 | 1559.85 | 1460.59 | 57.35% | 26.16% | 16.49% | +5.52 | 6 |
| 2026-03-28 | @ Detroit City FC | L 0-1 | 1565.37 | 1519.39 | 29.72% | 32.23% | 38.05% | -10.55 | 6 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ Louisville City FC | W 2-0 | 1554.82 | 1606.20 | 19.78% | 28.95% | 51.27% | +29.38 | 9 |
| 2026-04-11 | @ Brooklyn FC | L 0-3 | 1584.20 | 1438.56 | 43.63% | 31.34% | 25.03% | -37.86 | 9 |
| 2026-04-18 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | T 1-1 | 1546.34 | 1553.14 | 43.51% | 31.37% | 25.12% | -1.17 | 10 |
| 2026-04-22 | @ Rhode Island FC | L 0-4 | 1545.17 | 1514.06 | 27.87% | 31.98% | 40.14% | -35.99 | 10 |
| 2026-05-02 | Sporting Club Jacksonville | W 4-0 | 1509.18 | 1416.47 | 56.53% | 26.58% | 16.89% | +22.69 | 13 |
| 2026-05-23 | @ New Mexico United | L 0-1 | 1531.87 | 1487.45 | 29.52% | 32.21% | 38.27% | -10.50 | 13 |
| 2026-05-30 | Detroit City FC | W 2-0 | 1521.37 | 1534.72 | 42.61% | 31.56% | 25.83% | +17.89 | 16 |
| 2026-06-10 | @ Tampa Bay Rowdies | T 2-2 | 1539.26 | 1619.77 | 17.68% | 27.32% | 55.00% | +1.87 | 17 |
| 2026-06-13 | FC Tulsa | W 5-1 | 1541.13 | 1566.63 | 40.93% | 31.86% | 27.21% | +29.45 | 20 |
| 2026-03-07 | @ El Paso Locomotive | T 2-2 | 1487.79 | 1489.14 | 24.26% | 31.11% | 44.63% | +0.97 | 1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Las Vegas Lights FC | W 3-2 | 1488.76 | 1456.43 | 48.78% | 29.88% | 21.34% | +7.21 | 4 |
| 2026-03-21 | @ Orange County SC | L 0-1 | 1495.97 | 1497.92 | 24.20% | 31.09% | 44.71% | -9.00 | 4 |
| 2026-03-28 | @ New Mexico United | L 2-3 | 1486.97 | 1492.37 | 23.85% | 30.97% | 45.18% | -7.95 | 4 |
| 2026-04-04 | Lexington SC | T 1-1 | 1479.02 | 1479.74 | 44.34% | 31.18% | 24.48% | -1.27 | 5 |
| 2026-04-18 | Monterey Bay FC | W 4-1 | 1477.75 | 1392.77 | 55.56% | 27.05% | 17.39% | +15.12 | 8 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ San Antonio FC | T 3-3 | 1492.87 | 1521.14 | 21.70% | 30.06% | 48.24% | +1.08 | 9 |
| 2026-05-08 | Orange County SC | T 2-2 | 1493.95 | 1527.79 | 39.76% | 32.04% | 28.20% | -0.53 | 10 |
| 2026-05-23 | @ Las Vegas Lights FC | L 0-2 | 1493.42 | 1431.01 | 31.90% | 32.39% | 35.71% | -20.92 | 10 |
| 2026-05-30 | @ Oakland Roots | W 1-0 | 1472.50 | 1502.06 | 21.58% | 30.00% | 48.41% | +14.93 | 13 |
| 2026-06-13 | Sacramento Republic | L 0-1 | 1487.43 | 1530.56 | 38.45% | 32.19% | 29.36% | -12.62 | 13 |
| 2026-03-14 | Brooklyn FC | W 3-0 | 1504.20 | 1508.74 | 43.82% | 31.30% | 24.88% | +25.20 | 3 |
| 2026-03-21 | @ Indy Eleven | L 1-2 | 1529.40 | 1481.18 | 30.01% | 32.26% | 37.73% | -10.01 | 3 |
| 2026-03-28 | Charleston Battery | W 1-0 | 1519.39 | 1565.37 | 38.05% | 32.23% | 29.72% | +10.55 | 6 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ Rhode Island FC | T 0-0 | 1529.94 | 1492.46 | 28.65% | 32.10% | 39.25% | +0.73 | 7 |
| 2026-04-11 | Sporting Club Jacksonville | W 1-0 | 1530.67 | 1427.37 | 57.85% | 25.90% | 16.25% | +6.06 | 10 |
| 2026-04-18 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | L 1-2 | 1536.73 | 1494.59 | 29.23% | 32.18% | 38.59% | -9.82 | 10 |
| 2026-05-02 | Louisville City FC | W 2-1 | 1526.91 | 1581.21 | 36.86% | 32.33% | 30.81% | +10.20 | 13 |
| 2026-05-09 | @ Hartford Athletic | L 1-2 | 1537.11 | 1512.46 | 27.11% | 31.84% | 41.05% | -9.29 | 13 |
| 2026-05-20 | Miami FC | W 2-1 | 1527.82 | 1457.99 | 53.64% | 27.95% | 18.41% | +6.57 | 16 |
| 2026-05-23 | @ Loudoun United | T 0-0 | 1534.39 | 1475.63 | 31.40% | 32.37% | 36.23% | +0.33 | 17 |
| 2026-05-30 | @ Charleston Battery | L 0-2 | 1534.72 | 1521.37 | 25.83% | 31.56% | 42.61% | -17.89 | 17 |
| 2026-06-10 | El Paso Locomotive | T 1-1 | 1516.83 | 1495.25 | 47.35% | 30.35% | 22.30% | -1.63 | 18 |
| 2026-06-13 | @ Sporting Club Jacksonville | W 6-2 | 1515.20 | 1380.45 | 42.13% | 31.65% | 26.22% | +24.29 | 21 |
| 2026-03-07 | Colorado Springs Switchbacks | T 2-2 | 1489.14 | 1487.79 | 44.63% | 31.11% | 24.26% | -0.97 | 1 |
| 2026-03-14 | @ Monterey Bay FC | W 3-0 | 1488.17 | 1441.27 | 29.84% | 32.24% | 37.92% | +34.21 | 4 |
| 2026-03-28 | @ Sacramento Republic | W 2-1 | 1522.38 | 1550.55 | 21.71% | 30.07% | 48.23% | +14.04 | 7 |
| 2026-04-04 | Las Vegas Lights FC | W 3-2 | 1536.42 | 1450.94 | 55.62% | 27.02% | 17.35% | +5.85 | 10 |
| 2026-04-11 | @ Hartford Athletic | W 4-0 | 1542.27 | 1567.85 | 21.94% | 30.18% | 47.89% | +52.99 | 13 |
| 2026-04-18 | San Antonio FC | L 2-3 | 1595.26 | 1506.26 | 56.07% | 26.81% | 17.13% | -14.88 | 13 |
| 2026-04-29 | FC Tulsa | L 1-4 | 1580.38 | 1506.52 | 54.16% | 27.72% | 18.13% | -37.46 | 13 |
| 2026-05-06 | @ New Mexico United | T 2-2 | 1542.92 | 1487.03 | 31.02% | 32.34% | 36.64% | +0.26 | 14 |
| 2026-05-09 | @ Oakland Roots | L 1-2 | 1543.18 | 1499.78 | 29.39% | 32.20% | 38.41% | -9.87 | 14 |
| 2026-05-30 | Lexington SC | L 1-4 | 1533.31 | 1450.05 | 55.34% | 27.16% | 17.50% | -38.06 | 14 |
| 2026-06-10 | @ Detroit City FC | T 1-1 | 1495.25 | 1516.83 | 22.30% | 30.35% | 47.35% | +1.63 | 15 |
| 2026-06-13 | Phoenix Rising | T 1-1 | 1496.88 | 1520.80 | 41.15% | 31.83% | 27.02% | -0.88 | 16 |
| 2026-03-07 | @ Sacramento Republic | L 0-2 | 1533.34 | 1537.21 | 24.01% | 31.02% | 44.97% | -16.86 | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | San Antonio FC | T 0-0 | 1516.48 | 1500.50 | 46.60% | 30.57% | 22.82% | -1.72 | 1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Las Vegas Lights FC | W 3-2 | 1514.76 | 1449.22 | 53.09% | 28.19% | 18.71% | +6.34 | 4 |
| 2026-03-28 | Phoenix Rising | T 1-1 | 1521.10 | 1492.47 | 48.29% | 30.04% | 21.66% | -1.74 | 5 |
| 2026-04-11 | Orange County SC | L 0-1 | 1519.36 | 1524.41 | 43.76% | 31.31% | 24.93% | -13.85 | 5 |
| 2026-04-18 | @ Oakland Roots | T 1-1 | 1505.51 | 1488.96 | 26.18% | 31.65% | 42.17% | +1.01 | 6 |
| 2026-04-29 | @ El Paso Locomotive | W 4-1 | 1506.52 | 1580.38 | 18.13% | 27.72% | 54.16% | +37.46 | 9 |
| 2026-05-03 | @ Monterey Bay FC | W 2-1 | 1543.98 | 1377.65 | 46.44% | 30.62% | 22.94% | +8.10 | 12 |
| 2026-05-22 | Hartford Athletic | W 2-0 | 1552.08 | 1521.75 | 48.52% | 29.97% | 21.52% | +15.31 | 15 |
| 2026-05-30 | @ Las Vegas Lights FC | T 0-0 | 1567.39 | 1451.93 | 39.44% | 32.08% | 28.49% | -0.76 | 16 |
| 2026-06-13 | @ Charleston Battery | L 1-5 | 1566.63 | 1541.13 | 27.21% | 31.86% | 40.93% | -29.45 | 16 |
| 2026-03-07 | @ Sporting Club Jacksonville | W 3-0 | 1523.14 | 1500.00 | 26.93% | 31.81% | 41.26% | +36.35 | 3 |
| 2026-03-11 | @ Birmingham Legion | T 0-0 | 1559.49 | 1460.14 | 37.16% | 32.31% | 30.54% | -0.45 | 4 |
| 2026-03-21 | @ Brooklyn FC | W 2-1 | 1559.04 | 1483.54 | 33.74% | 32.43% | 33.83% | +10.88 | 7 |
| 2026-03-28 | Indy Eleven | T 2-2 | 1569.92 | 1491.19 | 54.77% | 27.43% | 17.80% | -1.85 | 8 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ Miami FC | T 0-0 | 1568.07 | 1481.06 | 35.39% | 32.41% | 32.20% | -0.22 | 9 |
| 2026-04-11 | El Paso Locomotive | L 0-4 | 1567.85 | 1542.27 | 47.89% | 30.18% | 21.94% | -52.99 | 9 |
| 2026-04-18 | Loudoun United | T 0-0 | 1514.86 | 1459.51 | 51.78% | 28.75% | 19.47% | -2.40 | 10 |
| 2026-05-09 | Detroit City FC | W 2-1 | 1512.46 | 1537.11 | 41.05% | 31.84% | 27.11% | +9.29 | 13 |
| 2026-05-22 | @ FC Tulsa | L 0-2 | 1521.75 | 1552.08 | 21.52% | 29.97% | 48.52% | -15.31 | 13 |
| 2026-05-30 | New Mexico United | T 0-0 | 1506.44 | 1497.95 | 45.60% | 30.86% | 23.55% | -1.58 | 14 |
| 2026-06-13 | @ Tampa Bay Rowdies | W 1-0 | 1504.86 | 1617.89 | 15.69% | 25.25% | 59.05% | +17.25 | 17 |
| 2026-03-08 | @ Brooklyn FC | L 0-1 | 1489.92 | 1500.00 | 23.39% | 30.80% | 45.81% | -8.74 | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Detroit City FC | W 2-1 | 1481.18 | 1529.40 | 37.73% | 32.26% | 30.01% | +10.01 | 3 |
| 2026-03-28 | @ Hartford Athletic | T 2-2 | 1491.19 | 1569.92 | 17.80% | 27.43% | 54.77% | +1.86 | 4 |
| 2026-04-04 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | T 1-1 | 1493.05 | 1504.15 | 42.92% | 31.50% | 25.58% | -1.10 | 5 |
| 2026-04-11 | Monterey Bay FC | W 3-1 | 1491.95 | 1403.31 | 56.02% | 26.83% | 17.15% | +10.53 | 8 |
| 2026-04-19 | @ Birmingham Legion | T 2-2 | 1502.48 | 1466.74 | 28.44% | 32.07% | 39.49% | +0.51 | 9 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ Tampa Bay Rowdies | L 0-1 | 1502.99 | 1554.31 | 19.78% | 28.96% | 51.26% | -7.49 | 9 |
| 2026-05-09 | Sporting Club Jacksonville | W 2-1 | 1495.50 | 1393.78 | 57.65% | 26.00% | 16.35% | +5.76 | 12 |
| 2026-05-23 | Lexington SC | W 3-1 | 1501.26 | 1462.91 | 49.57% | 29.60% | 20.83% | +12.86 | 15 |
| 2026-05-30 | Rhode Island FC | W 1-0 | 1514.12 | 1538.61 | 41.07% | 31.84% | 27.09% | +9.85 | 18 |
| 2026-06-13 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | L 0-1 | 1523.97 | 1536.17 | 23.19% | 30.72% | 46.10% | -8.68 | 18 |
| 2026-03-07 | @ Orange County SC | T 1-1 | 1454.45 | 1498.65 | 20.35% | 29.32% | 50.34% | +1.98 | 1 |
| 2026-03-14 | @ Colorado Springs Switchbacks | L 2-3 | 1456.43 | 1488.76 | 21.34% | 29.88% | 48.78% | -7.21 | 1 |
| 2026-03-21 | @ FC Tulsa | L 2-3 | 1449.22 | 1514.76 | 18.71% | 28.19% | 53.09% | -6.33 | 1 |
| 2026-03-28 | Monterey Bay FC | W 1-0 | 1442.89 | 1410.42 | 48.80% | 29.87% | 21.33% | +8.05 | 4 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ El Paso Locomotive | L 2-3 | 1450.94 | 1536.42 | 17.35% | 27.02% | 55.62% | -5.85 | 4 |
| 2026-04-11 | Sacramento Republic | T 1-1 | 1445.09 | 1551.14 | 29.67% | 32.23% | 38.11% | +0.52 | 5 |
| 2026-04-22 | @ Oakland Roots | L 2-4 | 1445.61 | 1487.96 | 20.50% | 29.41% | 50.09% | -11.33 | 5 |
| 2026-05-02 | Lexington SC | W 2-1 | 1434.28 | 1461.48 | 40.69% | 31.90% | 27.41% | +9.37 | 8 |
| 2026-05-09 | @ New Mexico United | L 1-3 | 1443.65 | 1486.78 | 20.43% | 29.37% | 50.20% | -12.64 | 8 |
| 2026-05-23 | Colorado Springs Switchbacks | W 2-0 | 1431.01 | 1493.42 | 35.71% | 32.39% | 31.90% | +20.92 | 11 |
| 2026-05-30 | FC Tulsa | T 0-0 | 1451.93 | 1567.39 | 28.49% | 32.08% | 39.44% | +0.76 | 12 |
| 2026-06-13 | @ Birmingham Legion | W 2-1 | 1452.69 | 1465.22 | 23.15% | 30.71% | 46.14% | +13.58 | 15 |
| 2026-03-06 | Louisville City FC | L 1-2 | 1481.52 | 1562.89 | 32.99% | 32.43% | 34.58% | -10.70 | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Sacramento Republic | T 0-0 | 1470.82 | 1554.06 | 32.73% | 32.42% | 34.85% | +0.14 | 1 |
| 2026-03-25 | Brooklyn FC | W 3-0 | 1470.96 | 1472.65 | 44.21% | 31.21% | 24.58% | +24.96 | 4 |
| 2026-03-29 | @ San Antonio FC | L 0-2 | 1495.92 | 1511.25 | 22.88% | 30.60% | 46.52% | -16.18 | 4 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ Colorado Springs Switchbacks | T 1-1 | 1479.74 | 1479.02 | 24.48% | 31.18% | 44.34% | +1.27 | 5 |
| 2026-04-11 | Rhode Island FC | L 1-3 | 1481.01 | 1491.73 | 42.98% | 31.48% | 25.54% | -22.33 | 5 |
| 2026-04-18 | @ Orange County SC | T 0-0 | 1458.68 | 1538.26 | 17.74% | 27.38% | 54.88% | +2.80 | 6 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ Las Vegas Lights FC | L 1-2 | 1461.48 | 1434.28 | 27.41% | 31.90% | 40.69% | -9.37 | 6 |
| 2026-05-08 | Monterey Bay FC | W 3-1 | 1452.11 | 1369.54 | 55.26% | 27.20% | 17.54% | +10.80 | 9 |
| 2026-05-23 | @ Indy Eleven | L 1-3 | 1462.91 | 1501.26 | 20.83% | 29.60% | 49.57% | -12.86 | 9 |
| 2026-05-30 | @ El Paso Locomotive | W 4-1 | 1450.05 | 1533.31 | 17.50% | 27.16% | 55.34% | +38.06 | 12 |
| 2026-06-13 | San Antonio FC | W 2-0 | 1488.11 | 1530.95 | 38.49% | 32.19% | 29.32% | +19.69 | 15 |
| 2026-03-14 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | L 2-3 | 1485.54 | 1512.07 | 40.78% | 31.89% | 27.33% | -11.78 | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Miami FC | T 0-0 | 1473.76 | 1448.55 | 47.84% | 30.19% | 21.97% | -1.88 | 1 |
| 2026-03-28 | @ Tampa Bay Rowdies | L 1-3 | 1471.88 | 1532.55 | 19.07% | 28.46% | 52.47% | -11.80 | 1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Birmingham Legion | T 2-2 | 1460.08 | 1455.07 | 45.12% | 30.98% | 23.89% | -1.01 | 2 |
| 2026-04-10 | Louisville City FC | T 3-3 | 1459.07 | 1576.82 | 28.20% | 32.04% | 39.76% | +0.44 | 3 |
| 2026-04-18 | @ Hartford Athletic | T 0-0 | 1459.51 | 1514.86 | 19.47% | 28.75% | 51.78% | +2.40 | 4 |
| 2026-05-02 | Oakland Roots | T 2-2 | 1461.91 | 1499.29 | 39.26% | 32.10% | 28.64% | -0.49 | 5 |
| 2026-05-09 | @ Brooklyn FC | W 1-0 | 1461.42 | 1467.45 | 23.79% | 30.95% | 45.26% | +14.21 | 8 |
| 2026-05-23 | Detroit City FC | T 0-0 | 1475.63 | 1534.39 | 36.23% | 32.37% | 31.40% | -0.33 | 9 |
| 2026-05-30 | @ Monterey Bay FC | L 1-4 | 1475.30 | 1384.00 | 36.01% | 32.38% | 31.61% | -27.83 | 9 |
| 2026-06-13 | Rhode Island FC | L 1-4 | 1447.47 | 1528.77 | 33.00% | 32.43% | 34.57% | -26.22 | 9 |
| 2026-03-06 | @ Lexington SC | W 2-1 | 1562.89 | 1481.52 | 34.58% | 32.43% | 32.99% | +10.70 | 3 |
| 2026-03-14 | Miami FC | W 4-1 | 1573.59 | 1462.07 | 58.87% | 25.36% | 15.78% | +13.53 | 6 |
| 2026-03-21 | Rhode Island FC | W 4-2 | 1587.12 | 1511.88 | 54.33% | 27.64% | 18.03% | +9.95 | 9 |
| 2026-03-28 | @ Brooklyn FC | W 1-0 | 1597.07 | 1447.69 | 44.14% | 31.23% | 24.63% | +9.13 | 12 |
| 2026-04-04 | Charleston Battery | L 0-2 | 1606.20 | 1554.82 | 51.27% | 28.95% | 19.78% | -29.38 | 12 |
| 2026-04-10 | @ Loudoun United | T 3-3 | 1576.82 | 1459.07 | 39.76% | 32.04% | 28.20% | -0.44 | 13 |
| 2026-04-18 | Sporting Club Jacksonville | W 1-0 | 1576.38 | 1421.30 | 64.14% | 22.31% | 13.55% | +4.83 | 16 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ Detroit City FC | L 1-2 | 1581.21 | 1526.91 | 30.81% | 32.33% | 36.86% | -10.21 | 16 |
| 2026-05-09 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | L 0-2 | 1571.00 | 1491.67 | 54.85% | 27.39% | 17.76% | -30.87 | 16 |
| 2026-05-23 | @ Miami FC | L 3-4 | 1540.13 | 1451.42 | 35.64% | 32.40% | 31.97% | -10.44 | 16 |
| 2026-05-30 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | L 0-2 | 1529.69 | 1597.51 | 34.93% | 32.42% | 32.65% | -22.26 | 16 |
| 2026-06-03 | @ Birmingham Legion | T 1-1 | 1507.43 | 1465.81 | 29.17% | 32.17% | 38.66% | +0.59 | 17 |
| 2026-06-10 | @ Phoenix Rising | W 2-0 | 1508.02 | 1549.64 | 20.56% | 29.44% | 50.00% | +28.84 | 20 |
| 2026-06-13 | Brooklyn FC | T 2-2 | 1536.86 | 1437.47 | 57.36% | 26.15% | 16.49% | -2.07 | 21 |
| 2026-03-14 | @ Louisville City FC | L 1-4 | 1462.07 | 1573.59 | 15.78% | 25.36% | 58.87% | -13.52 | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | @ Loudoun United | T 0-0 | 1448.55 | 1473.76 | 21.97% | 30.19% | 47.84% | +1.88 | 1 |
| 2026-03-25 | @ Sporting Club Jacksonville | W 4-2 | 1450.43 | 1465.72 | 22.89% | 30.60% | 46.51% | +21.17 | 4 |
| 2026-03-28 | Rhode Island FC | W 2-1 | 1471.60 | 1501.93 | 40.25% | 31.97% | 27.78% | +9.46 | 7 |
| 2026-04-04 | Hartford Athletic | T 0-0 | 1481.06 | 1568.07 | 32.20% | 32.41% | 35.39% | +0.22 | 8 |
| 2026-04-11 | @ San Antonio FC | T 0-0 | 1481.28 | 1508.17 | 21.82% | 30.12% | 48.06% | +1.91 | 9 |
| 2026-04-18 | Phoenix Rising | L 0-3 | 1483.19 | 1507.51 | 41.09% | 31.84% | 27.07% | -36.24 | 9 |
| 2026-05-02 | Brooklyn FC | W 3-2 | 1446.95 | 1476.40 | 40.38% | 31.95% | 27.68% | +8.95 | 12 |
| 2026-05-07 | @ Birmingham Legion | T 0-0 | 1455.90 | 1493.17 | 20.92% | 29.65% | 49.43% | +2.09 | 13 |
| 2026-05-20 | @ Detroit City FC | L 1-2 | 1457.99 | 1527.82 | 18.41% | 27.95% | 53.64% | -6.57 | 13 |
| 2026-05-23 | Louisville City FC | W 4-3 | 1451.42 | 1540.13 | 31.97% | 32.40% | 35.64% | +10.45 | 16 |
| 2026-05-30 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | L 0-2 | 1461.87 | 1522.54 | 19.07% | 28.46% | 52.47% | -13.62 | 16 |
| 2026-06-13 | @ Oakland Roots | T 0-0 | 1448.25 | 1487.13 | 20.78% | 29.57% | 49.64% | +2.12 | 17 |
| 2026-03-07 | Oakland Roots | L 0-1 | 1454.55 | 1477.46 | 41.29% | 31.80% | 26.91% | -13.28 | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | El Paso Locomotive | L 0-3 | 1441.27 | 1488.17 | 37.92% | 32.24% | 29.84% | -34.22 | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | @ Sacramento Republic | T 1-1 | 1407.05 | 1553.92 | 13.94% | 22.90% | 63.16% | +3.37 | 1 |
| 2026-03-28 | @ Las Vegas Lights FC | L 0-1 | 1410.42 | 1442.89 | 21.33% | 29.87% | 48.80% | -8.05 | 1 |
| 2026-04-04 | San Antonio FC | T 0-0 | 1402.37 | 1527.43 | 27.33% | 31.89% | 40.78% | +0.94 | 2 |
| 2026-04-11 | @ Indy Eleven | L 1-3 | 1403.31 | 1491.95 | 17.15% | 26.83% | 56.02% | -10.54 | 2 |
| 2026-04-18 | @ Colorado Springs Switchbacks | L 1-4 | 1392.77 | 1477.75 | 17.39% | 27.05% | 55.56% | -15.12 | 2 |
| 2026-05-03 | FC Tulsa | L 1-2 | 1377.65 | 1543.98 | 22.94% | 30.62% | 46.44% | -8.11 | 2 |
| 2026-05-08 | @ Lexington SC | L 1-3 | 1369.54 | 1452.11 | 17.54% | 27.20% | 55.26% | -10.80 | 2 |
| 2026-05-23 | Birmingham Legion | W 2-0 | 1358.74 | 1491.07 | 26.49% | 31.72% | 41.79% | +25.26 | 5 |
| 2026-05-30 | Loudoun United | W 4-1 | 1384.00 | 1475.30 | 31.61% | 32.38% | 36.01% | +27.84 | 8 |
| 2026-06-10 | Sporting Club Jacksonville | W 2-1 | 1411.84 | 1388.30 | 47.61% | 30.26% | 22.12% | +7.85 | 11 |
| 2026-03-14 | @ Oakland Roots | L 1-2 | 1510.54 | 1490.74 | 26.55% | 31.73% | 41.72% | -9.14 | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | @ San Antonio FC | L 0-1 | 1501.40 | 1502.22 | 24.32% | 31.13% | 44.56% | -9.03 | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Colorado Springs Switchbacks | W 3-2 | 1492.37 | 1486.97 | 45.18% | 30.97% | 23.85% | +7.95 | 3 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ Orange County SC | W 1-0 | 1500.32 | 1520.74 | 22.41% | 30.39% | 47.20% | +14.65 | 6 |
| 2026-04-11 | @ Phoenix Rising | L 0-3 | 1514.97 | 1479.58 | 28.39% | 32.06% | 39.54% | -27.94 | 6 |
| 2026-05-06 | El Paso Locomotive | T 2-2 | 1487.03 | 1542.92 | 36.64% | 32.34% | 31.02% | -0.25 | 7 |
| 2026-05-09 | Las Vegas Lights FC | W 3-1 | 1486.78 | 1443.65 | 50.20% | 29.37% | 20.43% | +12.63 | 10 |
| 2026-05-20 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | L 0-1 | 1499.41 | 1562.43 | 35.62% | 32.40% | 31.99% | -11.96 | 10 |
| 2026-05-23 | Charleston Battery | W 1-0 | 1487.45 | 1531.87 | 38.27% | 32.21% | 29.52% | +10.50 | 13 |
| 2026-05-30 | @ Hartford Athletic | T 0-0 | 1497.95 | 1506.44 | 23.55% | 30.86% | 45.60% | +1.58 | 14 |
| 2026-06-13 | Orange County SC | T 1-1 | 1499.53 | 1535.90 | 39.40% | 32.08% | 28.51% | -0.67 | 15 |
| 2026-03-07 | @ Monterey Bay FC | W 1-0 | 1477.46 | 1454.55 | 26.91% | 31.80% | 41.29% | +13.28 | 3 |
| 2026-03-14 | New Mexico United | W 2-1 | 1490.74 | 1510.54 | 41.72% | 31.73% | 26.55% | +9.14 | 6 |
| 2026-03-21 | @ Phoenix Rising | T 1-1 | 1499.88 | 1493.65 | 25.06% | 31.35% | 43.59% | +1.18 | 7 |
| 2026-03-28 | Orange County SC | L 0-1 | 1501.06 | 1506.92 | 43.64% | 31.34% | 25.02% | -13.83 | 7 |
| 2026-04-11 | @ Tampa Bay Rowdies | T 2-2 | 1487.23 | 1554.87 | 18.56% | 28.07% | 53.36% | +1.73 | 8 |
| 2026-04-18 | FC Tulsa | T 1-1 | 1488.96 | 1505.51 | 42.17% | 31.65% | 26.18% | -1.00 | 9 |
| 2026-04-22 | Las Vegas Lights FC | W 4-2 | 1487.96 | 1445.61 | 50.09% | 29.41% | 20.50% | +11.33 | 12 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ Loudoun United | T 2-2 | 1499.29 | 1461.91 | 28.64% | 32.10% | 39.26% | +0.49 | 13 |
| 2026-05-09 | El Paso Locomotive | W 2-1 | 1499.78 | 1543.18 | 38.41% | 32.20% | 29.39% | +9.86 | 16 |
| 2026-05-23 | @ Orange County SC | L 2-3 | 1509.64 | 1528.32 | 22.57% | 30.47% | 46.97% | -7.58 | 16 |
| 2026-05-30 | Colorado Springs Switchbacks | L 0-1 | 1502.06 | 1472.50 | 48.41% | 30.00% | 21.58% | -14.93 | 16 |
| 2026-06-13 | Miami FC | T 0-0 | 1487.13 | 1448.25 | 49.64% | 29.57% | 20.78% | -2.12 | 17 |
| 2026-03-07 | Las Vegas Lights FC | T 1-1 | 1498.65 | 1454.45 | 50.34% | 29.32% | 20.35% | -1.98 | 1 |
| 2026-03-14 | @ Phoenix Rising | T 1-1 | 1496.67 | 1494.90 | 24.59% | 31.21% | 44.20% | +1.25 | 2 |
| 2026-03-21 | Colorado Springs Switchbacks | W 1-0 | 1497.92 | 1495.97 | 44.71% | 31.09% | 24.20% | +9.00 | 5 |
| 2026-03-28 | @ Oakland Roots | W 1-0 | 1506.92 | 1501.06 | 25.02% | 31.34% | 43.64% | +13.82 | 8 |
| 2026-04-04 | New Mexico United | L 0-1 | 1520.74 | 1500.32 | 47.20% | 30.39% | 22.41% | -14.65 | 8 |
| 2026-04-08 | San Antonio FC | W 2-0 | 1506.09 | 1526.49 | 41.64% | 31.74% | 26.62% | +18.32 | 11 |
| 2026-04-11 | @ FC Tulsa | W 1-0 | 1524.41 | 1519.36 | 24.93% | 31.31% | 43.76% | +13.85 | 14 |
| 2026-04-18 | Lexington SC | T 0-0 | 1538.26 | 1458.68 | 54.88% | 27.38% | 17.74% | -2.79 | 15 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ Sacramento Republic | L 2-3 | 1535.47 | 1550.65 | 22.90% | 30.60% | 46.50% | -7.68 | 15 |
| 2026-05-08 | @ Colorado Springs Switchbacks | T 2-2 | 1527.79 | 1493.95 | 28.20% | 32.04% | 39.76% | +0.53 | 16 |
| 2026-05-23 | Oakland Roots | W 3-2 | 1528.32 | 1509.64 | 46.97% | 30.47% | 22.57% | +7.58 | 19 |
| 2026-06-13 | @ New Mexico United | T 1-1 | 1535.90 | 1499.53 | 28.51% | 32.08% | 39.40% | +0.68 | 20 |
| 2026-03-07 | @ San Antonio FC | L 1-2 | 1503.81 | 1491.59 | 25.70% | 31.53% | 42.77% | -8.91 | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Orange County SC | T 1-1 | 1494.90 | 1496.67 | 44.20% | 31.21% | 24.59% | -1.25 | 1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Oakland Roots | T 1-1 | 1493.65 | 1499.88 | 43.59% | 31.35% | 25.06% | -1.18 | 2 |
| 2026-03-28 | @ FC Tulsa | T 1-1 | 1492.47 | 1521.10 | 21.66% | 30.04% | 48.29% | +1.74 | 3 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ Sacramento Republic | L 0-2 | 1494.21 | 1536.51 | 20.50% | 29.41% | 50.09% | -14.63 | 3 |
| 2026-04-11 | New Mexico United | W 3-0 | 1479.58 | 1514.97 | 39.54% | 32.06% | 28.39% | +27.93 | 6 |
| 2026-04-18 | @ Miami FC | W 3-0 | 1507.51 | 1483.19 | 27.07% | 31.84% | 41.09% | +36.25 | 9 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 1-0 | 1543.76 | 1504.42 | 28.88% | 32.13% | 38.99% | +12.74 | 12 |
| 2026-05-09 | San Antonio FC | T 1-1 | 1556.50 | 1520.06 | 49.32% | 29.69% | 20.99% | -1.86 | 13 |
| 2026-05-23 | @ Tampa Bay Rowdies | L 0-3 | 1554.64 | 1574.40 | 22.47% | 30.42% | 47.11% | -23.12 | 13 |
| 2026-05-30 | Sacramento Republic | W 2-0 | 1531.52 | 1548.68 | 42.09% | 31.66% | 26.25% | +18.12 | 16 |
| 2026-06-10 | Louisville City FC | L 0-2 | 1549.64 | 1508.02 | 50.00% | 29.44% | 20.56% | -28.84 | 16 |
| 2026-06-13 | @ El Paso Locomotive | T 1-1 | 1520.80 | 1496.88 | 27.02% | 31.83% | 41.15% | +0.88 | 17 |
| 2026-03-07 | @ Charleston Battery | L 1-2 | 1519.66 | 1552.27 | 21.32% | 29.87% | 48.82% | -7.59 | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | @ Loudoun United | W 3-2 | 1512.07 | 1485.54 | 27.33% | 31.89% | 40.78% | +11.77 | 3 |
| 2026-03-21 | @ Tampa Bay Rowdies | L 0-3 | 1523.84 | 1506.20 | 26.31% | 31.67% | 42.02% | -26.36 | 3 |
| 2026-03-28 | Sporting Club Jacksonville | W 3-2 | 1497.48 | 1444.55 | 51.47% | 28.87% | 19.65% | +6.67 | 6 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ Indy Eleven | T 1-1 | 1504.15 | 1493.05 | 25.58% | 31.50% | 42.92% | +1.09 | 7 |
| 2026-04-12 | @ Birmingham Legion | L 0-1 | 1505.24 | 1456.09 | 30.13% | 32.27% | 37.60% | -10.65 | 7 |
| 2026-04-18 | Detroit City FC | W 2-1 | 1494.59 | 1536.73 | 38.59% | 32.18% | 29.23% | +9.83 | 10 |
| 2026-05-02 | Phoenix Rising | L 0-1 | 1504.42 | 1543.76 | 38.99% | 32.13% | 28.88% | -12.75 | 10 |
| 2026-05-09 | @ Louisville City FC | W 2-0 | 1491.67 | 1571.00 | 17.76% | 27.39% | 54.85% | +30.87 | 13 |
| 2026-05-30 | Miami FC | W 2-0 | 1522.54 | 1461.87 | 52.47% | 28.46% | 19.07% | +13.63 | 16 |
| 2026-06-13 | Indy Eleven | W 1-0 | 1536.17 | 1523.97 | 46.10% | 30.72% | 23.19% | +8.67 | 19 |
| 2026-03-14 | Sporting Club Jacksonville | T 1-1 | 1513.95 | 1463.65 | 51.13% | 29.01% | 19.86% | -2.07 | 1 |
| 2026-03-21 | @ Louisville City FC | L 2-4 | 1511.88 | 1587.12 | 18.03% | 27.64% | 54.33% | -9.95 | 1 |
| 2026-03-28 | @ Miami FC | L 1-2 | 1501.93 | 1471.60 | 27.78% | 31.97% | 40.25% | -9.47 | 1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Detroit City FC | T 0-0 | 1492.46 | 1529.94 | 39.25% | 32.10% | 28.65% | -0.73 | 2 |
| 2026-04-11 | @ Lexington SC | W 3-1 | 1491.73 | 1481.01 | 25.54% | 31.48% | 42.98% | +22.33 | 5 |
| 2026-04-22 | Charleston Battery | W 4-0 | 1514.06 | 1545.17 | 40.14% | 31.98% | 27.87% | +36.00 | 8 |
| 2026-05-02 | Birmingham Legion | L 1-3 | 1550.06 | 1466.23 | 55.42% | 27.12% | 17.46% | -26.94 | 8 |
| 2026-05-09 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | T 1-1 | 1523.12 | 1561.80 | 39.08% | 32.12% | 28.80% | -0.63 | 9 |
| 2026-05-23 | Brooklyn FC | W 4-1 | 1522.49 | 1453.24 | 53.57% | 27.98% | 18.45% | +16.12 | 12 |
| 2026-05-30 | @ Indy Eleven | L 0-1 | 1538.61 | 1514.12 | 27.09% | 31.84% | 41.07% | -9.84 | 12 |
| 2026-06-13 | @ Loudoun United | W 4-1 | 1528.77 | 1447.47 | 34.57% | 32.43% | 33.00% | +26.22 | 15 |
| 2026-03-07 | FC Tulsa | W 2-0 | 1537.21 | 1533.34 | 44.97% | 31.02% | 24.01% | +16.85 | 3 |
| 2026-03-14 | @ Lexington SC | T 0-0 | 1554.06 | 1470.82 | 34.85% | 32.42% | 32.73% | -0.14 | 4 |
| 2026-03-21 | Monterey Bay FC | T 1-1 | 1553.92 | 1407.05 | 63.16% | 22.90% | 13.94% | -3.37 | 5 |
| 2026-03-28 | El Paso Locomotive | L 1-2 | 1550.55 | 1522.38 | 48.23% | 30.07% | 21.71% | -14.04 | 5 |
| 2026-04-04 | Phoenix Rising | W 2-0 | 1536.51 | 1494.21 | 50.09% | 29.41% | 20.50% | +14.63 | 8 |
| 2026-04-11 | @ Las Vegas Lights FC | T 1-1 | 1551.14 | 1445.09 | 38.11% | 32.23% | 29.67% | -0.52 | 9 |
| 2026-04-21 | @ Brooklyn FC | T 1-1 | 1550.62 | 1476.43 | 33.55% | 32.43% | 34.01% | +0.03 | 10 |
| 2026-05-02 | Orange County SC | W 3-2 | 1550.65 | 1535.47 | 46.50% | 30.60% | 22.90% | +7.68 | 13 |
| 2026-05-23 | @ San Antonio FC | L 1-2 | 1558.33 | 1521.92 | 28.52% | 32.08% | 39.40% | -9.65 | 13 |
| 2026-05-30 | @ Phoenix Rising | L 0-2 | 1548.68 | 1531.52 | 26.25% | 31.66% | 42.09% | -18.12 | 13 |
| 2026-06-13 | @ Colorado Springs Switchbacks | W 1-0 | 1530.56 | 1487.43 | 29.36% | 32.19% | 38.45% | +12.62 | 16 |
| 2026-03-07 | Phoenix Rising | W 2-1 | 1491.59 | 1503.81 | 42.77% | 31.53% | 25.70% | +8.91 | 3 |
| 2026-03-14 | @ FC Tulsa | T 0-0 | 1500.50 | 1516.48 | 22.82% | 30.57% | 46.60% | +1.72 | 4 |
| 2026-03-21 | New Mexico United | W 1-0 | 1502.22 | 1501.40 | 44.56% | 31.13% | 24.32% | +9.03 | 7 |
| 2026-03-29 | Lexington SC | W 2-0 | 1511.25 | 1495.92 | 46.52% | 30.60% | 22.88% | +16.18 | 10 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ Monterey Bay FC | T 0-0 | 1527.43 | 1402.37 | 40.78% | 31.89% | 27.33% | -0.94 | 11 |
| 2026-04-08 | @ Orange County SC | L 0-2 | 1526.49 | 1506.09 | 26.62% | 31.74% | 41.64% | -18.32 | 11 |
| 2026-04-11 | Miami FC | T 0-0 | 1508.17 | 1481.28 | 48.06% | 30.12% | 21.82% | -1.91 | 12 |
| 2026-04-18 | @ El Paso Locomotive | W 3-2 | 1506.26 | 1595.26 | 17.13% | 26.81% | 56.07% | +14.88 | 15 |
| 2026-05-02 | Colorado Springs Switchbacks | T 3-3 | 1521.14 | 1492.87 | 48.24% | 30.06% | 21.70% | -1.08 | 16 |
| 2026-05-09 | @ Phoenix Rising | T 1-1 | 1520.06 | 1556.50 | 20.99% | 29.69% | 49.32% | +1.86 | 17 |
| 2026-05-23 | Sacramento Republic | W 2-1 | 1521.92 | 1558.33 | 39.40% | 32.08% | 28.52% | +9.65 | 20 |
| 2026-05-27 | @ Sporting Club Jacksonville | T 4-4 | 1531.57 | 1388.02 | 43.34% | 31.41% | 25.25% | -0.62 | 21 |
| 2026-06-13 | @ Lexington SC | L 0-2 | 1530.95 | 1488.11 | 29.32% | 32.19% | 38.49% | -19.70 | 21 |
| 2026-03-07 | Hartford Athletic | L 0-3 | 1500.00 | 1523.14 | 41.26% | 31.81% | 26.93% | -36.35 | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | @ Rhode Island FC | T 1-1 | 1463.65 | 1513.95 | 19.86% | 29.01% | 51.13% | +2.07 | 1 |
| 2026-03-25 | Miami FC | L 2-4 | 1465.72 | 1450.43 | 46.51% | 30.60% | 22.89% | -21.17 | 1 |
| 2026-03-28 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | L 2-3 | 1444.55 | 1497.48 | 19.65% | 28.87% | 51.47% | -6.66 | 1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | L 0-1 | 1437.89 | 1544.35 | 29.61% | 32.22% | 38.17% | -10.52 | 1 |
| 2026-04-11 | @ Detroit City FC | L 0-1 | 1427.37 | 1530.67 | 16.25% | 25.90% | 57.85% | -6.07 | 1 |
| 2026-04-18 | @ Louisville City FC | L 0-1 | 1421.30 | 1576.38 | 13.55% | 22.31% | 64.14% | -4.83 | 1 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ Charleston Battery | L 0-4 | 1416.47 | 1509.18 | 16.89% | 26.58% | 56.53% | -22.69 | 1 |
| 2026-05-09 | @ Indy Eleven | L 1-2 | 1393.78 | 1495.50 | 16.35% | 26.00% | 57.65% | -5.76 | 1 |
| 2026-05-27 | San Antonio FC | T 4-4 | 1388.02 | 1531.57 | 25.25% | 31.41% | 43.34% | +0.63 | 2 |
| 2026-05-30 | Brooklyn FC | T 2-2 | 1388.65 | 1437.12 | 37.69% | 32.26% | 30.04% | -0.35 | 3 |
| 2026-06-10 | @ Monterey Bay FC | L 1-2 | 1388.30 | 1411.84 | 22.12% | 30.26% | 47.61% | -7.85 | 3 |
| 2026-06-13 | Detroit City FC | L 2-6 | 1380.45 | 1515.20 | 26.22% | 31.65% | 42.13% | -24.28 | 3 |
| 2026-03-07 | @ Birmingham Legion | W 1-0 | 1492.80 | 1473.54 | 26.49% | 31.71% | 41.80% | +13.40 | 3 |
| 2026-03-21 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | W 3-0 | 1506.20 | 1523.84 | 42.02% | 31.67% | 26.31% | +26.35 | 6 |
| 2026-03-28 | Loudoun United | W 3-1 | 1532.55 | 1471.88 | 52.47% | 28.46% | 19.07% | +11.80 | 9 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ Sporting Club Jacksonville | W 1-0 | 1544.35 | 1437.89 | 38.17% | 32.22% | 29.61% | +10.52 | 12 |
| 2026-04-11 | Oakland Roots | T 2-2 | 1554.87 | 1487.23 | 53.36% | 28.07% | 18.56% | -1.73 | 13 |
| 2026-04-18 | @ Charleston Battery | T 1-1 | 1553.14 | 1546.34 | 25.12% | 31.37% | 43.51% | +1.17 | 14 |
| 2026-05-02 | Indy Eleven | W 1-0 | 1554.31 | 1502.99 | 51.26% | 28.96% | 19.78% | +7.49 | 17 |
| 2026-05-09 | @ Rhode Island FC | T 1-1 | 1561.80 | 1523.12 | 28.80% | 32.12% | 39.08% | +0.63 | 18 |
| 2026-05-20 | @ New Mexico United | W 1-0 | 1562.43 | 1499.41 | 31.99% | 32.40% | 35.62% | +11.97 | 21 |
| 2026-05-23 | Phoenix Rising | W 3-0 | 1574.40 | 1554.64 | 47.11% | 30.42% | 22.47% | +23.11 | 24 |
| 2026-05-30 | @ Louisville City FC | W 2-0 | 1597.51 | 1529.69 | 32.65% | 32.42% | 34.93% | +22.26 | 27 |
| 2026-06-10 | Charleston Battery | T 2-2 | 1619.77 | 1539.26 | 55.00% | 27.32% | 17.68% | -1.88 | 28 |
| 2026-06-13 | Hartford Athletic | L 0-1 | 1617.89 | 1504.86 | 59.05% | 25.25% | 15.69% | -17.25 | 28 |
Upcoming Games
Scheduled but not-yet-played games, controlled by the team filter above — a team's remaining schedule with the model's win probability for each matchup.
| Date | Opponent | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | @ Oakland Roots | 1451.64 | 1485.01 | 21.25% | 29.83% | 48.92% |
| 2026-06-20 | Loudoun United | 1451.64 | 1421.25 | 48.52% | 29.97% | 21.51% |
| 2026-07-02 | Detroit City FC | 1451.64 | 1539.49 | 32.09% | 32.40% | 35.51% |
| 2026-07-05 | @ Miami FC | 1451.64 | 1450.37 | 24.53% | 31.19% | 44.27% |
| 2026-07-24 | New Mexico United | 1451.64 | 1498.86 | 37.87% | 32.25% | 29.88% |
| 2026-07-29 | @ Louisville City FC | 1451.64 | 1534.79 | 17.50% | 27.17% | 55.33% |
| 2026-08-01 | Rhode Island FC | 1451.64 | 1554.99 | 30.01% | 32.26% | 37.72% |
| 2026-08-08 | @ Brooklyn FC | 1451.64 | 1439.53 | 25.69% | 31.52% | 42.79% |
| 2026-08-15 | @ Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 1451.64 | 1474.81 | 22.15% | 30.28% | 47.57% |
| 2026-08-22 | Sporting Club Jacksonville | 1451.64 | 1356.17 | 56.88% | 26.40% | 16.72% |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Hartford Athletic | 1451.64 | 1522.11 | 18.36% | 27.91% | 53.72% |
| 2026-09-05 | @ Indy Eleven | 1451.64 | 1515.29 | 18.85% | 28.30% | 52.85% |
| 2026-09-13 | Charleston Battery | 1451.64 | 1570.58 | 28.06% | 32.01% | 39.93% |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1451.64 | 1600.64 | 13.83% | 22.75% | 63.42% |
| 2026-09-23 | Brooklyn FC | 1451.64 | 1439.53 | 46.08% | 30.72% | 23.19% |
| 2026-10-03 | @ Detroit City FC | 1451.64 | 1539.49 | 17.20% | 26.88% | 55.92% |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Sporting Club Jacksonville | 1451.64 | 1356.17 | 36.60% | 32.35% | 31.05% |
| 2026-10-18 | Loudoun United | 1451.64 | 1421.25 | 48.52% | 29.97% | 21.51% |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1451.64 | 1544.84 | 16.86% | 26.54% | 56.59% |
| 2026-06-17 | @ Indy Eleven | 1439.53 | 1515.29 | 18.00% | 27.61% | 54.40% |
| 2026-06-20 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1439.53 | 1600.64 | 23.45% | 30.82% | 45.73% |
| 2026-07-04 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1439.53 | 1544.84 | 16.13% | 25.77% | 58.10% |
| 2026-07-18 | @ Sporting Club Jacksonville | 1439.53 | 1356.17 | 34.87% | 32.42% | 32.71% |
| 2026-07-25 | San Antonio FC | 1439.53 | 1511.25 | 34.37% | 32.43% | 33.20% |
| 2026-08-01 | @ Charleston Battery | 1439.53 | 1570.58 | 14.72% | 24.02% | 61.25% |
| 2026-08-08 | Birmingham Legion | 1439.53 | 1451.64 | 42.79% | 31.52% | 25.69% |
| 2026-08-15 | @ Las Vegas Lights FC | 1439.53 | 1466.27 | 21.83% | 30.13% | 48.04% |
| 2026-08-22 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1439.53 | 1544.84 | 29.76% | 32.24% | 38.00% |
| 2026-08-29 | Sporting Club Jacksonville | 1439.53 | 1356.17 | 55.36% | 27.15% | 17.49% |
| 2026-09-05 | @ Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1439.53 | 1600.64 | 13.27% | 21.88% | 64.86% |
| 2026-09-12 | Miami FC | 1439.53 | 1450.37 | 42.96% | 31.49% | 25.55% |
| 2026-09-19 | FC Tulsa | 1439.53 | 1537.18 | 30.76% | 32.33% | 36.91% |
| 2026-09-23 | @ Birmingham Legion | 1439.53 | 1451.64 | 23.19% | 30.72% | 46.08% |
| 2026-09-30 | Detroit City FC | 1439.53 | 1539.49 | 30.46% | 32.30% | 37.24% |
| 2026-10-03 | Rhode Island FC | 1439.53 | 1554.99 | 28.49% | 32.08% | 39.44% |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Hartford Athletic | 1439.53 | 1522.11 | 17.54% | 27.20% | 55.26% |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Loudoun United | 1439.53 | 1421.25 | 26.38% | 31.69% | 41.93% |
| 2026-06-20 | @ Sporting Club Jacksonville | 1570.58 | 1356.17 | 52.75% | 28.34% | 18.91% |
| 2026-06-24 | Loudoun United | 1570.58 | 1421.25 | 63.46% | 22.73% | 13.82% |
| 2026-07-04 | @ Indy Eleven | 1570.58 | 1515.29 | 30.94% | 32.34% | 36.72% |
| 2026-07-18 | Sacramento Republic | 1570.58 | 1543.18 | 48.13% | 30.10% | 21.77% |
| 2026-07-25 | @ Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 1570.58 | 1474.81 | 36.65% | 32.34% | 31.01% |
| 2026-08-01 | Brooklyn FC | 1570.58 | 1439.53 | 61.25% | 24.02% | 14.72% |
| 2026-08-08 | @ Loudoun United | 1570.58 | 1421.25 | 44.13% | 31.23% | 24.64% |
| 2026-08-15 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1570.58 | 1544.84 | 27.24% | 31.87% | 40.89% |
| 2026-08-22 | Miami FC | 1570.58 | 1450.37 | 59.93% | 24.77% | 15.30% |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Las Vegas Lights FC | 1570.58 | 1466.27 | 37.86% | 32.25% | 29.89% |
| 2026-09-02 | Hartford Athletic | 1570.58 | 1522.11 | 50.89% | 29.10% | 20.00% |
| 2026-09-13 | @ Birmingham Legion | 1570.58 | 1451.64 | 39.93% | 32.01% | 28.06% |
| 2026-09-19 | Monterey Bay FC | 1570.58 | 1419.69 | 63.64% | 22.62% | 13.74% |
| 2026-09-26 | Rhode Island FC | 1570.58 | 1554.99 | 46.55% | 30.59% | 22.86% |
| 2026-10-03 | @ Hartford Athletic | 1570.58 | 1522.11 | 30.04% | 32.26% | 37.69% |
| 2026-10-10 | Louisville City FC | 1570.58 | 1534.79 | 49.24% | 29.72% | 21.04% |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Miami FC | 1570.58 | 1450.37 | 40.10% | 31.99% | 27.91% |
| 2026-10-24 | Indy Eleven | 1570.58 | 1515.29 | 51.78% | 28.75% | 19.47% |
| 2026-06-20 | @ FC Tulsa | 1474.81 | 1537.18 | 18.94% | 28.37% | 52.69% |
| 2026-06-24 | San Antonio FC | 1474.81 | 1511.25 | 39.39% | 32.08% | 28.52% |
| 2026-07-04 | Phoenix Rising | 1474.81 | 1521.68 | 37.92% | 32.24% | 29.84% |
| 2026-07-22 | Miami FC | 1474.81 | 1450.37 | 47.73% | 30.23% | 22.04% |
| 2026-07-25 | Charleston Battery | 1474.81 | 1570.58 | 31.01% | 32.34% | 36.65% |
| 2026-08-01 | @ New Mexico United | 1474.81 | 1498.86 | 22.08% | 30.24% | 47.68% |
| 2026-08-08 | @ Rhode Island FC | 1474.81 | 1554.99 | 17.70% | 27.34% | 54.96% |
| 2026-08-15 | Birmingham Legion | 1474.81 | 1451.64 | 47.57% | 30.28% | 22.15% |
| 2026-08-19 | @ Phoenix Rising | 1474.81 | 1521.68 | 20.13% | 29.18% | 50.68% |
| 2026-08-22 | El Paso Locomotive | 1474.81 | 1496.00 | 41.53% | 31.76% | 26.71% |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Lexington SC | 1474.81 | 1507.80 | 21.28% | 29.85% | 48.87% |
| 2026-09-04 | @ Loudoun United | 1474.81 | 1421.25 | 30.71% | 32.32% | 36.97% |
| 2026-09-11 | San Antonio FC | 1474.81 | 1511.25 | 39.39% | 32.08% | 28.52% |
| 2026-09-19 | New Mexico United | 1474.81 | 1498.86 | 41.13% | 31.83% | 27.04% |
| 2026-09-26 | @ Detroit City FC | 1474.81 | 1539.49 | 18.78% | 28.24% | 52.98% |
| 2026-10-03 | Oakland Roots | 1474.81 | 1485.01 | 43.05% | 31.47% | 25.48% |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Sacramento Republic | 1474.81 | 1543.18 | 18.51% | 28.03% | 53.46% |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Monterey Bay FC | 1474.81 | 1419.69 | 30.92% | 32.34% | 36.75% |
| 2026-10-24 | FC Tulsa | 1474.81 | 1537.18 | 35.71% | 32.39% | 31.90% |
| 2026-07-02 | @ Birmingham Legion | 1539.49 | 1451.64 | 35.51% | 32.40% | 32.09% |
| 2026-07-18 | Indy Eleven | 1539.49 | 1515.29 | 47.70% | 30.24% | 22.06% |
| 2026-07-25 | Las Vegas Lights FC | 1539.49 | 1466.27 | 54.07% | 27.75% | 18.17% |
| 2026-08-01 | @ Miami FC | 1539.49 | 1450.37 | 35.69% | 32.39% | 31.91% |
| 2026-08-08 | @ FC Tulsa | 1539.49 | 1537.18 | 24.64% | 31.23% | 44.13% |
| 2026-08-15 | Loudoun United | 1539.49 | 1421.25 | 59.69% | 24.90% | 15.40% |
| 2026-08-22 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1539.49 | 1600.64 | 35.89% | 32.39% | 31.73% |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Louisville City FC | 1539.49 | 1534.79 | 24.89% | 31.30% | 43.80% |
| 2026-09-05 | Hartford Athletic | 1539.49 | 1522.11 | 46.79% | 30.52% | 22.69% |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Sacramento Republic | 1539.49 | 1543.18 | 24.03% | 31.03% | 44.95% |
| 2026-09-19 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1539.49 | 1544.84 | 43.71% | 31.32% | 24.96% |
| 2026-09-26 | Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 1539.49 | 1474.81 | 52.98% | 28.24% | 18.78% |
| 2026-09-30 | @ Brooklyn FC | 1539.49 | 1439.53 | 37.24% | 32.30% | 30.46% |
| 2026-10-03 | Birmingham Legion | 1539.49 | 1451.64 | 55.92% | 26.88% | 17.20% |
| 2026-10-10 | Rhode Island FC | 1539.49 | 1554.99 | 42.32% | 31.62% | 26.07% |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1539.49 | 1600.64 | 19.03% | 28.43% | 52.53% |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Louisville City FC | 1539.49 | 1534.79 | 24.89% | 31.30% | 43.80% |
| 2026-06-20 | @ Monterey Bay FC | 1496.00 | 1419.69 | 33.86% | 32.43% | 33.71% |
| 2026-07-04 | @ Las Vegas Lights FC | 1496.00 | 1466.27 | 27.71% | 31.95% | 40.34% |
| 2026-07-18 | @ FC Tulsa | 1496.00 | 1537.18 | 20.59% | 29.46% | 49.94% |
| 2026-07-25 | Sporting Club Jacksonville | 1496.00 | 1356.17 | 62.32% | 23.41% | 14.28% |
| 2026-08-01 | @ Orange County SC | 1496.00 | 1536.58 | 20.64% | 29.49% | 49.86% |
| 2026-08-05 | Monterey Bay FC | 1496.00 | 1419.69 | 54.47% | 27.57% | 17.96% |
| 2026-08-08 | Oakland Roots | 1496.00 | 1485.01 | 45.93% | 30.76% | 23.30% |
| 2026-08-15 | @ San Antonio FC | 1496.00 | 1511.25 | 22.89% | 30.60% | 46.51% |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 1496.00 | 1474.81 | 26.71% | 31.76% | 41.53% |
| 2026-08-26 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1496.00 | 1544.84 | 37.64% | 32.27% | 30.09% |
| 2026-08-29 | Loudoun United | 1496.00 | 1421.25 | 54.27% | 27.67% | 18.07% |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Louisville City FC | 1496.00 | 1534.79 | 20.79% | 29.58% | 49.63% |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Phoenix Rising | 1496.00 | 1521.68 | 21.93% | 30.17% | 47.90% |
| 2026-09-25 | FC Tulsa | 1496.00 | 1537.18 | 38.73% | 32.16% | 29.11% |
| 2026-10-03 | @ Lexington SC | 1496.00 | 1507.80 | 23.22% | 30.73% | 46.04% |
| 2026-10-10 | Orange County SC | 1496.00 | 1536.58 | 38.81% | 32.15% | 29.04% |
| 2026-10-17 | Sacramento Republic | 1496.00 | 1543.18 | 37.88% | 32.25% | 29.88% |
| 2026-10-24 | New Mexico United | 1496.00 | 1498.86 | 44.05% | 31.25% | 24.70% |
| 2026-06-17 | Monterey Bay FC | 1537.18 | 1419.69 | 59.60% | 24.95% | 15.44% |
| 2026-06-20 | Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 1537.18 | 1474.81 | 52.69% | 28.37% | 18.94% |
| 2026-07-04 | Sacramento Republic | 1537.18 | 1543.18 | 43.62% | 31.34% | 25.03% |
| 2026-07-18 | El Paso Locomotive | 1537.18 | 1496.00 | 49.94% | 29.46% | 20.59% |
| 2026-07-25 | Lexington SC | 1537.18 | 1507.80 | 48.39% | 30.01% | 21.60% |
| 2026-07-29 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1537.18 | 1544.84 | 23.63% | 30.89% | 45.48% |
| 2026-08-08 | Detroit City FC | 1537.18 | 1539.49 | 44.13% | 31.23% | 24.64% |
| 2026-08-15 | @ New Mexico United | 1537.18 | 1498.86 | 28.75% | 32.12% | 39.13% |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Orange County SC | 1537.18 | 1536.58 | 24.47% | 31.17% | 44.36% |
| 2026-08-29 | Rhode Island FC | 1537.18 | 1554.99 | 42.00% | 31.68% | 26.33% |
| 2026-09-05 | @ San Antonio FC | 1537.18 | 1511.25 | 27.26% | 31.87% | 40.87% |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Phoenix Rising | 1537.18 | 1521.68 | 26.07% | 31.62% | 42.32% |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Brooklyn FC | 1537.18 | 1439.53 | 36.91% | 32.33% | 30.76% |
| 2026-09-25 | @ El Paso Locomotive | 1537.18 | 1496.00 | 29.11% | 32.16% | 38.73% |
| 2026-09-30 | New Mexico United | 1537.18 | 1498.86 | 49.57% | 29.60% | 20.83% |
| 2026-10-03 | Sacramento Republic | 1537.18 | 1543.18 | 43.62% | 31.34% | 25.03% |
| 2026-10-09 | @ Lexington SC | 1537.18 | 1507.80 | 27.67% | 31.95% | 40.39% |
| 2026-10-17 | Oakland Roots | 1537.18 | 1485.01 | 51.37% | 28.91% | 19.71% |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 1537.18 | 1474.81 | 31.90% | 32.39% | 35.71% |
| 2026-06-20 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1522.11 | 1544.84 | 41.31% | 31.80% | 26.89% |
| 2026-07-04 | @ Louisville City FC | 1522.11 | 1534.79 | 23.14% | 30.70% | 46.16% |
| 2026-07-08 | Orange County SC | 1522.11 | 1536.58 | 42.46% | 31.59% | 25.95% |
| 2026-07-18 | @ Rhode Island FC | 1522.11 | 1554.99 | 21.29% | 29.85% | 48.85% |
| 2026-07-25 | @ Phoenix Rising | 1522.11 | 1521.68 | 24.45% | 31.17% | 44.39% |
| 2026-08-01 | @ Loudoun United | 1522.11 | 1421.25 | 37.37% | 32.29% | 30.34% |
| 2026-08-09 | @ Indy Eleven | 1522.11 | 1515.29 | 25.12% | 31.37% | 43.51% |
| 2026-08-15 | Miami FC | 1522.11 | 1450.37 | 53.89% | 27.84% | 18.27% |
| 2026-08-29 | Birmingham Legion | 1522.11 | 1451.64 | 53.72% | 27.91% | 18.36% |
| 2026-09-02 | @ Charleston Battery | 1522.11 | 1570.58 | 20.00% | 29.10% | 50.89% |
| 2026-09-05 | @ Detroit City FC | 1522.11 | 1539.49 | 22.69% | 30.52% | 46.79% |
| 2026-09-12 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1522.11 | 1600.64 | 33.39% | 32.43% | 34.18% |
| 2026-09-16 | Sporting Club Jacksonville | 1522.11 | 1356.17 | 65.43% | 21.52% | 13.05% |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Las Vegas Lights FC | 1522.11 | 1466.27 | 31.01% | 32.34% | 36.64% |
| 2026-09-25 | Louisville City FC | 1522.11 | 1534.79 | 42.71% | 31.54% | 25.75% |
| 2026-10-03 | Charleston Battery | 1522.11 | 1570.58 | 37.69% | 32.26% | 30.04% |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1522.11 | 1544.84 | 22.20% | 30.30% | 47.51% |
| 2026-10-17 | Brooklyn FC | 1522.11 | 1439.53 | 55.26% | 27.20% | 17.54% |
| 2026-10-24 | Rhode Island FC | 1522.11 | 1554.99 | 39.89% | 32.02% | 28.09% |
| 2026-06-17 | Brooklyn FC | 1515.29 | 1439.53 | 54.40% | 27.61% | 18.00% |
| 2026-07-04 | Charleston Battery | 1515.29 | 1570.58 | 36.72% | 32.34% | 30.94% |
| 2026-07-15 | @ Miami FC | 1515.29 | 1450.37 | 32.25% | 32.41% | 35.35% |
| 2026-07-18 | @ Detroit City FC | 1515.29 | 1539.49 | 22.06% | 30.24% | 47.70% |
| 2026-07-25 | Loudoun United | 1515.29 | 1421.25 | 56.70% | 26.49% | 16.81% |
| 2026-08-01 | @ San Antonio FC | 1515.29 | 1511.25 | 24.82% | 31.28% | 43.89% |
| 2026-08-09 | Hartford Athletic | 1515.29 | 1522.11 | 43.51% | 31.37% | 25.12% |
| 2026-08-15 | @ Sporting Club Jacksonville | 1515.29 | 1356.17 | 45.46% | 30.89% | 23.64% |
| 2026-08-22 | Louisville City FC | 1515.29 | 1534.79 | 41.76% | 31.72% | 26.52% |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Phoenix Rising | 1515.29 | 1521.68 | 23.76% | 30.93% | 45.31% |
| 2026-09-05 | Birmingham Legion | 1515.29 | 1451.64 | 52.85% | 28.30% | 18.85% |
| 2026-09-11 | @ New Mexico United | 1515.29 | 1498.86 | 26.17% | 31.64% | 42.19% |
| 2026-09-20 | Oakland Roots | 1515.29 | 1485.01 | 48.51% | 29.97% | 21.52% |
| 2026-09-26 | Miami FC | 1515.29 | 1450.37 | 53.02% | 28.23% | 18.76% |
| 2026-09-30 | @ Rhode Island FC | 1515.29 | 1554.99 | 20.72% | 29.54% | 49.75% |
| 2026-10-03 | @ Loudoun United | 1515.29 | 1421.25 | 36.40% | 32.36% | 31.24% |
| 2026-10-10 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1515.29 | 1600.64 | 32.43% | 32.41% | 35.15% |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Louisville City FC | 1515.29 | 1534.79 | 22.49% | 30.43% | 47.08% |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Charleston Battery | 1515.29 | 1570.58 | 19.47% | 28.75% | 51.78% |
| 2026-06-20 | Orange County SC | 1466.27 | 1536.58 | 34.57% | 32.43% | 33.00% |
| 2026-07-04 | El Paso Locomotive | 1466.27 | 1496.00 | 40.34% | 31.95% | 27.71% |
| 2026-07-18 | @ San Antonio FC | 1466.27 | 1511.25 | 20.28% | 29.28% | 50.44% |
| 2026-07-25 | @ Detroit City FC | 1466.27 | 1539.49 | 18.17% | 27.75% | 54.07% |
| 2026-08-01 | Phoenix Rising | 1466.27 | 1521.68 | 36.71% | 32.34% | 30.95% |
| 2026-08-05 | Oakland Roots | 1466.27 | 1485.01 | 41.87% | 31.70% | 26.43% |
| 2026-08-08 | @ Miami FC | 1466.27 | 1450.37 | 26.11% | 31.63% | 42.26% |
| 2026-08-15 | Brooklyn FC | 1466.27 | 1439.53 | 48.04% | 30.13% | 21.83% |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Lexington SC | 1466.27 | 1507.80 | 20.56% | 29.45% | 49.99% |
| 2026-08-29 | Charleston Battery | 1466.27 | 1570.58 | 29.89% | 32.25% | 37.86% |
| 2026-09-05 | New Mexico United | 1466.27 | 1498.86 | 39.94% | 32.01% | 28.05% |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Orange County SC | 1466.27 | 1536.58 | 18.37% | 27.92% | 53.70% |
| 2026-09-19 | Hartford Athletic | 1466.27 | 1522.11 | 36.64% | 32.34% | 31.01% |
| 2026-09-30 | @ Sacramento Republic | 1466.27 | 1543.18 | 17.92% | 27.54% | 54.54% |
| 2026-10-03 | San Antonio FC | 1466.27 | 1511.25 | 38.19% | 32.22% | 29.59% |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Phoenix Rising | 1466.27 | 1521.68 | 19.46% | 28.74% | 51.79% |
| 2026-10-17 | Lexington SC | 1466.27 | 1507.80 | 38.68% | 32.17% | 29.16% |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Monterey Bay FC | 1466.27 | 1419.69 | 29.80% | 32.24% | 37.96% |
| 2026-07-04 | @ Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1507.80 | 1600.64 | 16.89% | 26.57% | 56.55% |
| 2026-07-15 | New Mexico United | 1507.80 | 1498.86 | 45.66% | 30.84% | 23.50% |
| 2026-07-22 | Oakland Roots | 1507.80 | 1485.01 | 47.51% | 30.30% | 22.19% |
| 2026-07-25 | @ FC Tulsa | 1507.80 | 1537.18 | 21.60% | 30.01% | 48.39% |
| 2026-08-01 | Monterey Bay FC | 1507.80 | 1419.69 | 55.96% | 26.86% | 17.18% |
| 2026-08-08 | Phoenix Rising | 1507.80 | 1521.68 | 42.54% | 31.57% | 25.89% |
| 2026-08-15 | @ Sacramento Republic | 1507.80 | 1543.18 | 21.08% | 29.74% | 49.18% |
| 2026-08-22 | Las Vegas Lights FC | 1507.80 | 1466.27 | 49.99% | 29.45% | 20.56% |
| 2026-08-26 | @ New Mexico United | 1507.80 | 1498.86 | 25.35% | 31.43% | 43.22% |
| 2026-08-29 | Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 1507.80 | 1474.81 | 48.87% | 29.85% | 21.28% |
| 2026-09-05 | @ Sporting Club Jacksonville | 1507.80 | 1356.17 | 44.45% | 31.15% | 24.40% |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Oakland Roots | 1507.80 | 1485.01 | 26.89% | 31.80% | 41.30% |
| 2026-09-19 | Orange County SC | 1507.80 | 1536.58 | 40.47% | 31.93% | 27.59% |
| 2026-09-26 | @ Monterey Bay FC | 1507.80 | 1419.69 | 35.55% | 32.40% | 32.05% |
| 2026-10-03 | El Paso Locomotive | 1507.80 | 1496.00 | 46.04% | 30.73% | 23.22% |
| 2026-10-09 | FC Tulsa | 1507.80 | 1537.18 | 40.39% | 31.95% | 27.67% |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Las Vegas Lights FC | 1507.80 | 1466.27 | 29.16% | 32.17% | 38.68% |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Phoenix Rising | 1507.80 | 1521.68 | 23.02% | 30.65% | 46.32% |
| 2026-06-20 | @ Birmingham Legion | 1421.25 | 1451.64 | 21.51% | 29.97% | 48.52% |
| 2026-06-24 | @ Charleston Battery | 1421.25 | 1570.58 | 13.82% | 22.73% | 63.46% |
| 2026-07-03 | Sporting Club Jacksonville | 1421.25 | 1356.17 | 53.04% | 28.22% | 18.75% |
| 2026-07-18 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1421.25 | 1600.64 | 21.74% | 30.08% | 48.18% |
| 2026-07-25 | @ Indy Eleven | 1421.25 | 1515.29 | 16.81% | 26.49% | 56.70% |
| 2026-08-01 | Hartford Athletic | 1421.25 | 1522.11 | 30.34% | 32.29% | 37.37% |
| 2026-08-08 | Charleston Battery | 1421.25 | 1570.58 | 24.64% | 31.23% | 44.13% |
| 2026-08-15 | @ Detroit City FC | 1421.25 | 1539.49 | 15.40% | 24.90% | 59.69% |
| 2026-08-22 | New Mexico United | 1421.25 | 1498.86 | 33.52% | 32.43% | 34.04% |
| 2026-08-29 | @ El Paso Locomotive | 1421.25 | 1496.00 | 18.07% | 27.67% | 54.27% |
| 2026-09-04 | Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 1421.25 | 1474.81 | 36.97% | 32.32% | 30.71% |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1421.25 | 1544.84 | 15.11% | 24.54% | 60.35% |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Louisville City FC | 1421.25 | 1534.79 | 15.66% | 25.22% | 59.11% |
| 2026-09-26 | @ Sporting Club Jacksonville | 1421.25 | 1356.17 | 32.27% | 32.41% | 35.32% |
| 2026-10-03 | Indy Eleven | 1421.25 | 1515.29 | 31.24% | 32.36% | 36.40% |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Miami FC | 1421.25 | 1450.37 | 21.62% | 30.02% | 48.35% |
| 2026-10-15 | @ Rhode Island FC | 1421.25 | 1554.99 | 14.59% | 23.83% | 61.58% |
| 2026-10-18 | @ Birmingham Legion | 1421.25 | 1451.64 | 21.51% | 29.97% | 48.52% |
| 2026-10-24 | Brooklyn FC | 1421.25 | 1439.53 | 41.93% | 31.69% | 26.38% |
| 2026-07-04 | Hartford Athletic | 1534.79 | 1522.11 | 46.16% | 30.70% | 23.14% |
| 2026-07-18 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1534.79 | 1544.84 | 23.39% | 30.80% | 45.81% |
| 2026-07-29 | Birmingham Legion | 1534.79 | 1451.64 | 55.33% | 27.17% | 17.50% |
| 2026-08-01 | @ Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1534.79 | 1600.64 | 18.69% | 28.17% | 53.13% |
| 2026-08-08 | San Antonio FC | 1534.79 | 1511.25 | 47.61% | 30.26% | 22.12% |
| 2026-08-15 | @ Orange County SC | 1534.79 | 1536.58 | 24.22% | 31.09% | 44.69% |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Indy Eleven | 1534.79 | 1515.29 | 26.52% | 31.72% | 41.76% |
| 2026-08-29 | Detroit City FC | 1534.79 | 1539.49 | 43.80% | 31.30% | 24.89% |
| 2026-09-05 | @ Rhode Island FC | 1534.79 | 1554.99 | 22.43% | 30.40% | 47.17% |
| 2026-09-12 | El Paso Locomotive | 1534.79 | 1496.00 | 49.63% | 29.58% | 20.79% |
| 2026-09-19 | Loudoun United | 1534.79 | 1421.25 | 59.11% | 25.22% | 15.66% |
| 2026-09-25 | @ Hartford Athletic | 1534.79 | 1522.11 | 25.75% | 31.54% | 42.71% |
| 2026-10-03 | @ Sporting Club Jacksonville | 1534.79 | 1356.17 | 48.08% | 30.12% | 21.81% |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Charleston Battery | 1534.79 | 1570.58 | 21.04% | 29.72% | 49.24% |
| 2026-10-17 | Indy Eleven | 1534.79 | 1515.29 | 47.08% | 30.43% | 22.49% |
| 2026-10-24 | Detroit City FC | 1534.79 | 1539.49 | 43.80% | 31.30% | 24.89% |
| 2026-06-24 | Orange County SC | 1450.37 | 1536.58 | 32.31% | 32.41% | 35.28% |
| 2026-07-05 | Birmingham Legion | 1450.37 | 1451.64 | 44.27% | 31.19% | 24.53% |
| 2026-07-15 | Indy Eleven | 1450.37 | 1515.29 | 35.35% | 32.41% | 32.25% |
| 2026-07-22 | @ Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 1450.37 | 1474.81 | 22.04% | 30.23% | 47.73% |
| 2026-07-25 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1450.37 | 1600.64 | 24.54% | 31.20% | 44.26% |
| 2026-08-01 | Detroit City FC | 1450.37 | 1539.49 | 31.91% | 32.39% | 35.69% |
| 2026-08-08 | Las Vegas Lights FC | 1450.37 | 1466.27 | 42.26% | 31.63% | 26.11% |
| 2026-08-15 | @ Hartford Athletic | 1450.37 | 1522.11 | 18.27% | 27.84% | 53.89% |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Charleston Battery | 1450.37 | 1570.58 | 15.30% | 24.77% | 59.93% |
| 2026-09-05 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1450.37 | 1544.84 | 31.18% | 32.36% | 36.46% |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Brooklyn FC | 1450.37 | 1439.53 | 25.55% | 31.49% | 42.96% |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Rhode Island FC | 1450.37 | 1554.99 | 16.17% | 25.81% | 58.01% |
| 2026-09-26 | @ Indy Eleven | 1450.37 | 1515.29 | 18.76% | 28.23% | 53.02% |
| 2026-09-30 | Sporting Club Jacksonville | 1450.37 | 1356.17 | 56.72% | 26.48% | 16.80% |
| 2026-10-03 | @ Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1450.37 | 1600.64 | 13.77% | 22.66% | 63.57% |
| 2026-10-10 | Loudoun United | 1450.37 | 1421.25 | 48.35% | 30.02% | 21.62% |
| 2026-10-17 | Charleston Battery | 1450.37 | 1570.58 | 27.91% | 31.99% | 40.10% |
| 2026-06-17 | @ FC Tulsa | 1419.69 | 1537.18 | 15.44% | 24.95% | 59.60% |
| 2026-06-20 | El Paso Locomotive | 1419.69 | 1496.00 | 33.71% | 32.43% | 33.86% |
| 2026-07-04 | @ San Antonio FC | 1419.69 | 1511.25 | 16.97% | 26.65% | 56.39% |
| 2026-07-18 | @ Phoenix Rising | 1419.69 | 1521.68 | 16.33% | 25.98% | 57.69% |
| 2026-07-25 | Orange County SC | 1419.69 | 1536.58 | 28.31% | 32.05% | 39.64% |
| 2026-08-01 | @ Lexington SC | 1419.69 | 1507.80 | 17.18% | 26.86% | 55.96% |
| 2026-08-05 | @ El Paso Locomotive | 1419.69 | 1496.00 | 17.96% | 27.57% | 54.47% |
| 2026-08-08 | New Mexico United | 1419.69 | 1498.86 | 33.30% | 32.43% | 34.27% |
| 2026-08-15 | @ Oakland Roots | 1419.69 | 1485.01 | 18.73% | 28.20% | 53.07% |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Rhode Island FC | 1419.69 | 1554.99 | 14.51% | 23.72% | 61.77% |
| 2026-08-29 | Sacramento Republic | 1419.69 | 1543.18 | 27.52% | 31.92% | 40.56% |
| 2026-09-05 | Phoenix Rising | 1419.69 | 1521.68 | 30.19% | 32.28% | 37.53% |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Charleston Battery | 1419.69 | 1570.58 | 13.74% | 22.62% | 63.64% |
| 2026-09-26 | Lexington SC | 1419.69 | 1507.80 | 32.05% | 32.40% | 35.55% |
| 2026-10-03 | @ Orange County SC | 1419.69 | 1536.58 | 15.48% | 25.00% | 59.53% |
| 2026-10-10 | @ New Mexico United | 1419.69 | 1498.86 | 17.77% | 27.40% | 54.83% |
| 2026-10-17 | Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 1419.69 | 1474.81 | 36.75% | 32.34% | 30.92% |
| 2026-10-24 | Las Vegas Lights FC | 1419.69 | 1466.27 | 37.96% | 32.24% | 29.80% |
| 2026-06-20 | @ Sacramento Republic | 1498.86 | 1543.18 | 20.34% | 29.31% | 50.35% |
| 2026-07-04 | Oakland Roots | 1498.86 | 1485.01 | 46.32% | 30.66% | 23.03% |
| 2026-07-15 | @ Lexington SC | 1498.86 | 1507.80 | 23.50% | 30.84% | 45.66% |
| 2026-07-24 | @ Birmingham Legion | 1498.86 | 1451.64 | 29.88% | 32.25% | 37.87% |
| 2026-08-01 | Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 1498.86 | 1474.81 | 47.68% | 30.24% | 22.08% |
| 2026-08-08 | @ Monterey Bay FC | 1498.86 | 1419.69 | 34.27% | 32.43% | 33.30% |
| 2026-08-15 | FC Tulsa | 1498.86 | 1537.18 | 39.13% | 32.12% | 28.75% |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Loudoun United | 1498.86 | 1421.25 | 34.04% | 32.43% | 33.52% |
| 2026-08-26 | Lexington SC | 1498.86 | 1507.80 | 43.22% | 31.43% | 25.35% |
| 2026-08-30 | San Antonio FC | 1498.86 | 1511.25 | 42.75% | 31.53% | 25.72% |
| 2026-09-05 | @ Las Vegas Lights FC | 1498.86 | 1466.27 | 28.05% | 32.01% | 39.94% |
| 2026-09-11 | Indy Eleven | 1498.86 | 1515.29 | 42.19% | 31.64% | 26.17% |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 1498.86 | 1474.81 | 27.04% | 31.83% | 41.13% |
| 2026-09-26 | Sacramento Republic | 1498.86 | 1543.18 | 38.28% | 32.21% | 29.51% |
| 2026-09-30 | @ FC Tulsa | 1498.86 | 1537.18 | 20.83% | 29.60% | 49.57% |
| 2026-10-03 | Phoenix Rising | 1498.86 | 1521.68 | 41.30% | 31.80% | 26.90% |
| 2026-10-10 | Monterey Bay FC | 1498.86 | 1419.69 | 54.83% | 27.40% | 17.77% |
| 2026-10-17 | @ San Antonio FC | 1498.86 | 1511.25 | 23.17% | 30.71% | 46.12% |
| 2026-10-24 | @ El Paso Locomotive | 1498.86 | 1496.00 | 24.70% | 31.25% | 44.05% |
| 2026-06-17 | Birmingham Legion | 1485.01 | 1451.64 | 48.92% | 29.83% | 21.25% |
| 2026-06-20 | @ Phoenix Rising | 1485.01 | 1521.68 | 20.97% | 29.68% | 49.35% |
| 2026-07-04 | @ New Mexico United | 1485.01 | 1498.86 | 23.03% | 30.66% | 46.32% |
| 2026-07-22 | @ Lexington SC | 1485.01 | 1507.80 | 22.19% | 30.30% | 47.51% |
| 2026-07-25 | Sacramento Republic | 1485.01 | 1543.18 | 36.31% | 32.36% | 31.33% |
| 2026-08-01 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1485.01 | 1544.84 | 36.07% | 32.38% | 31.55% |
| 2026-08-05 | @ Las Vegas Lights FC | 1485.01 | 1466.27 | 26.43% | 31.70% | 41.87% |
| 2026-08-08 | @ El Paso Locomotive | 1485.01 | 1496.00 | 23.30% | 30.76% | 45.93% |
| 2026-08-15 | Monterey Bay FC | 1485.01 | 1419.69 | 53.07% | 28.20% | 18.73% |
| 2026-08-22 | @ San Antonio FC | 1485.01 | 1511.25 | 21.88% | 30.15% | 47.97% |
| 2026-08-29 | Orange County SC | 1485.01 | 1536.58 | 37.25% | 32.30% | 30.45% |
| 2026-09-12 | Lexington SC | 1485.01 | 1507.80 | 41.30% | 31.80% | 26.89% |
| 2026-09-20 | @ Indy Eleven | 1485.01 | 1515.29 | 21.52% | 29.97% | 48.51% |
| 2026-09-26 | Phoenix Rising | 1485.01 | 1521.68 | 39.36% | 32.09% | 28.55% |
| 2026-10-03 | @ Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 1485.01 | 1474.81 | 25.48% | 31.47% | 43.05% |
| 2026-10-10 | San Antonio FC | 1485.01 | 1511.25 | 40.82% | 31.88% | 27.30% |
| 2026-10-17 | @ FC Tulsa | 1485.01 | 1537.18 | 19.71% | 28.91% | 51.37% |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Sacramento Republic | 1485.01 | 1543.18 | 19.26% | 28.60% | 52.15% |
| 2026-06-20 | @ Las Vegas Lights FC | 1536.58 | 1466.27 | 33.00% | 32.43% | 34.57% |
| 2026-06-24 | @ Miami FC | 1536.58 | 1450.37 | 35.28% | 32.41% | 32.31% |
| 2026-07-04 | @ Rhode Island FC | 1536.58 | 1554.99 | 22.59% | 30.48% | 46.93% |
| 2026-07-08 | @ Hartford Athletic | 1536.58 | 1522.11 | 25.95% | 31.59% | 42.46% |
| 2026-07-25 | @ Monterey Bay FC | 1536.58 | 1419.69 | 39.64% | 32.05% | 28.31% |
| 2026-08-01 | El Paso Locomotive | 1536.58 | 1496.00 | 49.86% | 29.49% | 20.64% |
| 2026-08-08 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1536.58 | 1600.64 | 35.47% | 32.40% | 32.13% |
| 2026-08-15 | Louisville City FC | 1536.58 | 1534.79 | 44.69% | 31.09% | 24.22% |
| 2026-08-22 | FC Tulsa | 1536.58 | 1537.18 | 44.36% | 31.17% | 24.47% |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Oakland Roots | 1536.58 | 1485.01 | 30.45% | 32.30% | 37.25% |
| 2026-09-05 | Sacramento Republic | 1536.58 | 1543.18 | 43.54% | 31.36% | 25.10% |
| 2026-09-12 | Las Vegas Lights FC | 1536.58 | 1466.27 | 53.70% | 27.92% | 18.37% |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Lexington SC | 1536.58 | 1507.80 | 27.59% | 31.93% | 40.47% |
| 2026-09-26 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1536.58 | 1544.84 | 43.31% | 31.41% | 25.27% |
| 2026-10-03 | Monterey Bay FC | 1536.58 | 1419.69 | 59.53% | 25.00% | 15.48% |
| 2026-10-10 | @ El Paso Locomotive | 1536.58 | 1496.00 | 29.04% | 32.15% | 38.81% |
| 2026-10-17 | Phoenix Rising | 1536.58 | 1521.68 | 46.46% | 30.62% | 22.93% |
| 2026-10-24 | @ San Antonio FC | 1536.58 | 1511.25 | 27.19% | 31.86% | 40.95% |
| 2026-06-20 | Oakland Roots | 1521.68 | 1485.01 | 49.35% | 29.68% | 20.97% |
| 2026-07-04 | @ Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 1521.68 | 1474.81 | 29.84% | 32.24% | 37.92% |
| 2026-07-18 | Monterey Bay FC | 1521.68 | 1419.69 | 57.69% | 25.98% | 16.33% |
| 2026-07-25 | Hartford Athletic | 1521.68 | 1522.11 | 44.39% | 31.17% | 24.45% |
| 2026-08-01 | @ Las Vegas Lights FC | 1521.68 | 1466.27 | 30.95% | 32.34% | 36.71% |
| 2026-08-08 | @ Lexington SC | 1521.68 | 1507.80 | 25.89% | 31.57% | 42.54% |
| 2026-08-19 | Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 1521.68 | 1474.81 | 50.68% | 29.18% | 20.13% |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Sacramento Republic | 1521.68 | 1543.18 | 22.31% | 30.35% | 47.34% |
| 2026-08-29 | Indy Eleven | 1521.68 | 1515.29 | 45.31% | 30.93% | 23.76% |
| 2026-09-05 | @ Monterey Bay FC | 1521.68 | 1419.69 | 37.53% | 32.28% | 30.19% |
| 2026-09-12 | FC Tulsa | 1521.68 | 1537.18 | 42.32% | 31.62% | 26.07% |
| 2026-09-19 | El Paso Locomotive | 1521.68 | 1496.00 | 47.90% | 30.17% | 21.93% |
| 2026-09-26 | @ Oakland Roots | 1521.68 | 1485.01 | 28.55% | 32.09% | 39.36% |
| 2026-10-03 | @ New Mexico United | 1521.68 | 1498.86 | 26.90% | 31.80% | 41.30% |
| 2026-10-10 | Las Vegas Lights FC | 1521.68 | 1466.27 | 51.79% | 28.74% | 19.46% |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Orange County SC | 1521.68 | 1536.58 | 22.93% | 30.62% | 46.46% |
| 2026-10-24 | Lexington SC | 1521.68 | 1507.80 | 46.32% | 30.65% | 23.02% |
| 2026-06-20 | @ Hartford Athletic | 1544.84 | 1522.11 | 26.89% | 31.80% | 41.31% |
| 2026-07-04 | Brooklyn FC | 1544.84 | 1439.53 | 58.10% | 25.77% | 16.13% |
| 2026-07-15 | @ Sporting Club Jacksonville | 1544.84 | 1356.17 | 49.40% | 29.66% | 20.94% |
| 2026-07-18 | Louisville City FC | 1544.84 | 1534.79 | 45.81% | 30.80% | 23.39% |
| 2026-07-25 | Rhode Island FC | 1544.84 | 1554.99 | 43.05% | 31.47% | 25.48% |
| 2026-07-29 | FC Tulsa | 1544.84 | 1537.18 | 45.48% | 30.89% | 23.63% |
| 2026-08-01 | @ Oakland Roots | 1544.84 | 1485.01 | 31.55% | 32.38% | 36.07% |
| 2026-08-08 | Sacramento Republic | 1544.84 | 1543.18 | 44.67% | 31.10% | 24.23% |
| 2026-08-15 | Charleston Battery | 1544.84 | 1570.58 | 40.89% | 31.87% | 27.24% |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Brooklyn FC | 1544.84 | 1439.53 | 38.00% | 32.24% | 29.76% |
| 2026-08-26 | @ El Paso Locomotive | 1544.84 | 1496.00 | 30.09% | 32.27% | 37.64% |
| 2026-08-29 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1544.84 | 1600.64 | 36.65% | 32.34% | 31.01% |
| 2026-09-05 | @ Miami FC | 1544.84 | 1450.37 | 36.46% | 32.36% | 31.18% |
| 2026-09-12 | Loudoun United | 1544.84 | 1421.25 | 60.35% | 24.54% | 15.11% |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Detroit City FC | 1544.84 | 1539.49 | 24.96% | 31.32% | 43.71% |
| 2026-09-26 | @ Orange County SC | 1544.84 | 1536.58 | 25.27% | 31.41% | 43.31% |
| 2026-10-10 | Hartford Athletic | 1544.84 | 1522.11 | 47.51% | 30.30% | 22.20% |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Rhode Island FC | 1544.84 | 1554.99 | 23.38% | 30.80% | 45.82% |
| 2026-10-24 | Birmingham Legion | 1544.84 | 1451.64 | 56.59% | 26.54% | 16.86% |
| 2026-07-04 | Orange County SC | 1554.99 | 1536.58 | 46.93% | 30.48% | 22.59% |
| 2026-07-08 | @ Sacramento Republic | 1554.99 | 1543.18 | 25.66% | 31.52% | 42.83% |
| 2026-07-18 | Hartford Athletic | 1554.99 | 1522.11 | 48.85% | 29.85% | 21.29% |
| 2026-07-25 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1554.99 | 1544.84 | 25.48% | 31.47% | 43.05% |
| 2026-08-01 | @ Birmingham Legion | 1554.99 | 1451.64 | 37.72% | 32.26% | 30.01% |
| 2026-08-08 | Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 1554.99 | 1474.81 | 54.96% | 27.34% | 17.70% |
| 2026-08-15 | @ Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1554.99 | 1600.64 | 20.23% | 29.25% | 50.53% |
| 2026-08-22 | Monterey Bay FC | 1554.99 | 1419.69 | 61.77% | 23.72% | 14.51% |
| 2026-08-29 | @ FC Tulsa | 1554.99 | 1537.18 | 26.33% | 31.68% | 42.00% |
| 2026-09-05 | Louisville City FC | 1554.99 | 1534.79 | 47.17% | 30.40% | 22.43% |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Sporting Club Jacksonville | 1554.99 | 1356.17 | 50.73% | 29.17% | 20.10% |
| 2026-09-19 | Miami FC | 1554.99 | 1450.37 | 58.01% | 25.81% | 16.17% |
| 2026-09-26 | @ Charleston Battery | 1554.99 | 1570.58 | 22.86% | 30.59% | 46.55% |
| 2026-09-30 | Indy Eleven | 1554.99 | 1515.29 | 49.75% | 29.54% | 20.72% |
| 2026-10-03 | @ Brooklyn FC | 1554.99 | 1439.53 | 39.44% | 32.08% | 28.49% |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Detroit City FC | 1554.99 | 1539.49 | 26.07% | 31.62% | 42.32% |
| 2026-10-15 | Loudoun United | 1554.99 | 1421.25 | 61.58% | 23.83% | 14.59% |
| 2026-10-17 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1554.99 | 1544.84 | 45.82% | 30.80% | 23.38% |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Hartford Athletic | 1554.99 | 1522.11 | 28.09% | 32.02% | 39.89% |
| 2026-06-20 | New Mexico United | 1543.18 | 1498.86 | 50.35% | 29.31% | 20.34% |
| 2026-07-04 | @ FC Tulsa | 1543.18 | 1537.18 | 25.03% | 31.34% | 43.62% |
| 2026-07-08 | Rhode Island FC | 1543.18 | 1554.99 | 42.83% | 31.52% | 25.66% |
| 2026-07-18 | @ Charleston Battery | 1543.18 | 1570.58 | 21.77% | 30.10% | 48.13% |
| 2026-07-25 | @ Oakland Roots | 1543.18 | 1485.01 | 31.33% | 32.36% | 36.31% |
| 2026-08-01 | Sporting Club Jacksonville | 1543.18 | 1356.17 | 67.88% | 19.98% | 12.14% |
| 2026-08-08 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1543.18 | 1544.84 | 24.23% | 31.10% | 44.67% |
| 2026-08-15 | Lexington SC | 1543.18 | 1507.80 | 49.18% | 29.74% | 21.08% |
| 2026-08-22 | Phoenix Rising | 1543.18 | 1521.68 | 47.34% | 30.35% | 22.31% |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Monterey Bay FC | 1543.18 | 1419.69 | 40.56% | 31.92% | 27.52% |
| 2026-09-05 | @ Orange County SC | 1543.18 | 1536.58 | 25.10% | 31.36% | 43.54% |
| 2026-09-12 | Detroit City FC | 1543.18 | 1539.49 | 44.95% | 31.03% | 24.03% |
| 2026-09-20 | San Antonio FC | 1543.18 | 1511.25 | 48.73% | 29.90% | 21.38% |
| 2026-09-26 | @ New Mexico United | 1543.18 | 1498.86 | 29.51% | 32.21% | 38.28% |
| 2026-09-30 | Las Vegas Lights FC | 1543.18 | 1466.27 | 54.54% | 27.54% | 17.92% |
| 2026-10-03 | @ FC Tulsa | 1543.18 | 1537.18 | 25.03% | 31.34% | 43.62% |
| 2026-10-10 | Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 1543.18 | 1474.81 | 53.46% | 28.03% | 18.51% |
| 2026-10-17 | @ El Paso Locomotive | 1543.18 | 1496.00 | 29.88% | 32.25% | 37.88% |
| 2026-10-24 | Oakland Roots | 1543.18 | 1485.01 | 52.15% | 28.60% | 19.26% |
| 2026-06-24 | @ Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 1511.25 | 1474.81 | 28.52% | 32.08% | 39.39% |
| 2026-07-04 | Monterey Bay FC | 1511.25 | 1419.69 | 56.39% | 26.65% | 16.97% |
| 2026-07-18 | Las Vegas Lights FC | 1511.25 | 1466.27 | 50.44% | 29.28% | 20.28% |
| 2026-07-25 | @ Brooklyn FC | 1511.25 | 1439.53 | 33.20% | 32.43% | 34.37% |
| 2026-08-01 | Indy Eleven | 1511.25 | 1515.29 | 43.89% | 31.28% | 24.82% |
| 2026-08-08 | @ Louisville City FC | 1511.25 | 1534.79 | 22.12% | 30.26% | 47.61% |
| 2026-08-15 | El Paso Locomotive | 1511.25 | 1496.00 | 46.51% | 30.60% | 22.89% |
| 2026-08-22 | Oakland Roots | 1511.25 | 1485.01 | 47.97% | 30.15% | 21.88% |
| 2026-08-30 | @ New Mexico United | 1511.25 | 1498.86 | 25.72% | 31.53% | 42.75% |
| 2026-09-05 | FC Tulsa | 1511.25 | 1537.18 | 40.87% | 31.87% | 27.26% |
| 2026-09-11 | @ Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 1511.25 | 1474.81 | 28.52% | 32.08% | 39.39% |
| 2026-09-20 | @ Sacramento Republic | 1511.25 | 1543.18 | 21.38% | 29.90% | 48.73% |
| 2026-09-26 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1511.25 | 1600.64 | 31.87% | 32.39% | 35.73% |
| 2026-10-03 | @ Las Vegas Lights FC | 1511.25 | 1466.27 | 29.59% | 32.22% | 38.19% |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Oakland Roots | 1511.25 | 1485.01 | 27.30% | 31.88% | 40.82% |
| 2026-10-17 | New Mexico United | 1511.25 | 1498.86 | 46.12% | 30.71% | 23.17% |
| 2026-10-24 | Orange County SC | 1511.25 | 1536.58 | 40.95% | 31.86% | 27.19% |
| 2026-06-20 | Charleston Battery | 1356.17 | 1570.58 | 18.91% | 28.34% | 52.75% |
| 2026-07-03 | @ Loudoun United | 1356.17 | 1421.25 | 18.75% | 28.22% | 53.04% |
| 2026-07-15 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1356.17 | 1544.84 | 20.94% | 29.66% | 49.40% |
| 2026-07-18 | Brooklyn FC | 1356.17 | 1439.53 | 32.71% | 32.42% | 34.87% |
| 2026-07-25 | @ El Paso Locomotive | 1356.17 | 1496.00 | 14.28% | 23.41% | 62.32% |
| 2026-08-01 | @ Sacramento Republic | 1356.17 | 1543.18 | 12.14% | 19.98% | 67.88% |
| 2026-08-15 | Indy Eleven | 1356.17 | 1515.29 | 23.64% | 30.89% | 45.46% |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Birmingham Legion | 1356.17 | 1451.64 | 16.72% | 26.40% | 56.88% |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Brooklyn FC | 1356.17 | 1439.53 | 17.49% | 27.15% | 55.36% |
| 2026-09-05 | Lexington SC | 1356.17 | 1507.80 | 24.40% | 31.15% | 44.45% |
| 2026-09-12 | Rhode Island FC | 1356.17 | 1554.99 | 20.10% | 29.17% | 50.73% |
| 2026-09-16 | @ Hartford Athletic | 1356.17 | 1522.11 | 13.05% | 21.52% | 65.43% |
| 2026-09-26 | Loudoun United | 1356.17 | 1421.25 | 35.32% | 32.41% | 32.27% |
| 2026-09-30 | @ Miami FC | 1356.17 | 1450.37 | 16.80% | 26.48% | 56.72% |
| 2026-10-03 | Louisville City FC | 1356.17 | 1534.79 | 21.81% | 30.12% | 48.08% |
| 2026-10-10 | Birmingham Legion | 1356.17 | 1451.64 | 31.05% | 32.35% | 36.60% |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1356.17 | 1600.64 | 9.94% | 15.79% | 74.27% |
| 2026-06-20 | @ Brooklyn FC | 1600.64 | 1439.53 | 45.73% | 30.82% | 23.45% |
| 2026-07-04 | Lexington SC | 1600.64 | 1507.80 | 56.55% | 26.57% | 16.89% |
| 2026-07-18 | @ Loudoun United | 1600.64 | 1421.25 | 48.18% | 30.08% | 21.74% |
| 2026-07-25 | @ Miami FC | 1600.64 | 1450.37 | 44.26% | 31.20% | 24.54% |
| 2026-08-01 | Louisville City FC | 1600.64 | 1534.79 | 53.13% | 28.17% | 18.69% |
| 2026-08-08 | @ Orange County SC | 1600.64 | 1536.58 | 32.13% | 32.40% | 35.47% |
| 2026-08-15 | Rhode Island FC | 1600.64 | 1554.99 | 50.53% | 29.25% | 20.23% |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Detroit City FC | 1600.64 | 1539.49 | 31.73% | 32.39% | 35.89% |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1600.64 | 1544.84 | 31.01% | 32.34% | 36.65% |
| 2026-09-05 | Brooklyn FC | 1600.64 | 1439.53 | 64.86% | 21.88% | 13.27% |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Hartford Athletic | 1600.64 | 1522.11 | 34.18% | 32.43% | 33.39% |
| 2026-09-19 | Birmingham Legion | 1600.64 | 1451.64 | 63.42% | 22.75% | 13.83% |
| 2026-09-26 | @ San Antonio FC | 1600.64 | 1511.25 | 35.73% | 32.39% | 31.87% |
| 2026-10-03 | Miami FC | 1600.64 | 1450.37 | 63.57% | 22.66% | 13.77% |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Indy Eleven | 1600.64 | 1515.29 | 35.15% | 32.41% | 32.43% |
| 2026-10-17 | Detroit City FC | 1600.64 | 1539.49 | 52.53% | 28.43% | 19.03% |
| 2026-10-24 | Sporting Club Jacksonville | 1600.64 | 1356.17 | 74.27% | 15.79% | 9.94% |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2026-06-13 | 15.69% | Hartford Athletic | 1504.86 | 1 | @ Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1617.89 | 0 |
| 2 | 2026-04-18 | 17.13% | San Antonio FC | 1506.26 | 3 | @ El Paso Locomotive | 1595.26 | 2 |
| 3 | 2026-05-02 | 17.46% | Birmingham Legion | 1466.23 | 3 | @ Rhode Island FC | 1550.06 | 1 |
| 4 | 2026-05-30 | 17.50% | Lexington SC | 1450.05 | 4 | @ El Paso Locomotive | 1533.31 | 1 |
| 5 | 2026-05-09 | 17.76% | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1491.67 | 2 | @ Louisville City FC | 1571.00 | 0 |
| 6 | 2026-04-29 | 18.13% | FC Tulsa | 1506.52 | 4 | @ El Paso Locomotive | 1580.38 | 1 |
| 7 | 2026-04-04 | 19.78% | Charleston Battery | 1554.82 | 2 | @ Louisville City FC | 1606.20 | 0 |
| 8 | 2026-06-10 | 20.56% | Louisville City FC | 1508.02 | 2 | @ Phoenix Rising | 1549.64 | 0 |
| 9 | 2026-05-30 | 21.58% | Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 1472.50 | 1 | @ Oakland Roots | 1502.06 | 0 |
| 10 | 2026-03-28 | 21.71% | El Paso Locomotive | 1522.38 | 2 | @ Sacramento Republic | 1550.55 | 1 |
| 11 | 2026-04-11 | 21.94% | El Paso Locomotive | 1542.27 | 4 | @ Hartford Athletic | 1567.85 | 0 |
| 12 | 2026-04-04 | 22.41% | New Mexico United | 1500.32 | 1 | @ Orange County SC | 1520.74 | 0 |
| 13 | 2026-03-25 | 22.89% | Miami FC | 1450.43 | 4 | @ Sporting Club Jacksonville | 1465.72 | 2 |
| 14 | 2026-06-13 | 23.15% | Las Vegas Lights FC | 1452.69 | 2 | @ Birmingham Legion | 1465.22 | 1 |
| 15 | 2026-05-09 | 23.79% | Loudoun United | 1461.42 | 1 | @ Brooklyn FC | 1467.45 | 0 |
| 16 | 2026-04-11 | 24.93% | Orange County SC | 1524.41 | 1 | @ FC Tulsa | 1519.36 | 0 |
| 17 | 2026-03-28 | 25.02% | Orange County SC | 1506.92 | 1 | @ Oakland Roots | 1501.06 | 0 |
| 18 | 2026-04-11 | 25.03% | @ Brooklyn FC | 1438.56 | 3 | Charleston Battery | 1584.20 | 0 |
| 19 | 2026-04-11 | 25.54% | Rhode Island FC | 1491.73 | 3 | @ Lexington SC | 1481.01 | 1 |
| 20 | 2026-03-07 | 26.49% | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1492.80 | 1 | @ Birmingham Legion | 1473.54 | 0 |
| 21 | 2026-05-23 | 26.49% | @ Monterey Bay FC | 1358.74 | 2 | Birmingham Legion | 1491.07 | 0 |
| 22 | 2026-03-07 | 26.91% | Oakland Roots | 1477.46 | 1 | @ Monterey Bay FC | 1454.55 | 0 |
| 23 | 2026-03-07 | 26.93% | Hartford Athletic | 1523.14 | 3 | @ Sporting Club Jacksonville | 1500.00 | 0 |
| 24 | 2026-04-18 | 27.07% | Phoenix Rising | 1507.51 | 3 | @ Miami FC | 1483.19 | 0 |
| 25 | 2026-03-14 | 27.33% | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1512.07 | 3 | @ Loudoun United | 1485.54 | 2 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2026-04-11 | 52.99 | El Paso Locomotive | 4 | 1542.27 | 21.94% | @ Hartford Athletic | 0 | 1567.85 | 47.89% | 30.18% |
| 2 | 2026-05-30 | 38.06 | Lexington SC | 4 | 1450.05 | 17.50% | @ El Paso Locomotive | 1 | 1533.31 | 55.34% | 27.16% |
| 3 | 2026-04-11 | 37.87 | @ Brooklyn FC | 3 | 1438.56 | 25.03% | Charleston Battery | 0 | 1584.20 | 43.63% | 31.34% |
| 4 | 2026-04-29 | 37.46 | FC Tulsa | 4 | 1506.52 | 18.13% | @ El Paso Locomotive | 1 | 1580.38 | 54.16% | 27.72% |
| 5 | 2026-03-07 | 36.35 | Hartford Athletic | 3 | 1523.14 | 26.93% | @ Sporting Club Jacksonville | 0 | 1500.00 | 41.26% | 31.81% |
| 6 | 2026-04-18 | 36.25 | Phoenix Rising | 3 | 1507.51 | 27.07% | @ Miami FC | 0 | 1483.19 | 41.09% | 31.84% |
| 7 | 2026-04-22 | 36.00 | @ Rhode Island FC | 4 | 1514.06 | 40.14% | Charleston Battery | 0 | 1545.17 | 27.87% | 31.98% |
| 8 | 2026-03-14 | 34.22 | El Paso Locomotive | 3 | 1488.17 | 29.84% | @ Monterey Bay FC | 0 | 1441.27 | 37.92% | 32.24% |
| 9 | 2026-05-09 | 30.87 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 2 | 1491.67 | 17.76% | @ Louisville City FC | 0 | 1571.00 | 54.85% | 27.39% |
| 10 | 2026-06-13 | 29.45 | @ Charleston Battery | 5 | 1541.13 | 40.93% | FC Tulsa | 1 | 1566.63 | 27.21% | 31.86% |
| 11 | 2026-04-04 | 29.38 | Charleston Battery | 2 | 1554.82 | 19.78% | @ Louisville City FC | 0 | 1606.20 | 51.27% | 28.95% |
| 12 | 2026-06-10 | 28.84 | Louisville City FC | 2 | 1508.02 | 20.56% | @ Phoenix Rising | 0 | 1549.64 | 50.00% | 29.44% |
| 13 | 2026-04-11 | 27.94 | @ Phoenix Rising | 3 | 1479.58 | 39.54% | New Mexico United | 0 | 1514.97 | 28.39% | 32.06% |
| 14 | 2026-05-30 | 27.84 | @ Monterey Bay FC | 4 | 1384.00 | 31.61% | Loudoun United | 1 | 1475.30 | 36.01% | 32.38% |
| 15 | 2026-05-02 | 26.94 | Birmingham Legion | 3 | 1466.23 | 17.46% | @ Rhode Island FC | 1 | 1550.06 | 55.42% | 27.12% |
| 16 | 2026-03-21 | 26.36 | @ Tampa Bay Rowdies | 3 | 1506.20 | 42.02% | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0 | 1523.84 | 26.31% | 31.67% |
| 17 | 2026-06-13 | 26.22 | Rhode Island FC | 4 | 1528.77 | 34.57% | @ Loudoun United | 1 | 1447.47 | 33.00% | 32.43% |
| 18 | 2026-05-23 | 25.26 | @ Monterey Bay FC | 2 | 1358.74 | 26.49% | Birmingham Legion | 0 | 1491.07 | 41.79% | 31.72% |
| 19 | 2026-03-14 | 25.20 | @ Detroit City FC | 3 | 1504.20 | 43.82% | Brooklyn FC | 0 | 1508.74 | 24.88% | 31.30% |
| 20 | 2026-03-25 | 24.96 | @ Lexington SC | 3 | 1470.96 | 44.21% | Brooklyn FC | 0 | 1472.65 | 24.58% | 31.21% |
| 21 | 2026-06-13 | 24.29 | Detroit City FC | 6 | 1515.20 | 42.13% | @ Sporting Club Jacksonville | 2 | 1380.45 | 26.22% | 31.65% |
| 22 | 2026-05-23 | 23.12 | @ Tampa Bay Rowdies | 3 | 1574.40 | 47.11% | Phoenix Rising | 0 | 1554.64 | 22.47% | 30.42% |
| 23 | 2026-05-02 | 22.69 | @ Charleston Battery | 4 | 1509.18 | 56.53% | Sporting Club Jacksonville | 0 | 1416.47 | 16.89% | 26.58% |
| 24 | 2026-04-11 | 22.33 | Rhode Island FC | 3 | 1491.73 | 25.54% | @ Lexington SC | 1 | 1481.01 | 42.98% | 31.48% |
| 25 | 2026-05-30 | 22.26 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 2 | 1597.51 | 32.65% | @ Louisville City FC | 0 | 1529.69 | 34.93% | 32.42% |