2004 WNBA Season
221 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Seattle Storm
1st Title
Runner-Up
Connecticut Sun
1
Biggest Overachiever
Los Angeles Sparks
4.78 wins above expected
25 wins · 20.22 expected wins
Biggest Disappointment
Houston Comets
4.58 wins below expected
13 wins · 17.58 expected wins
Final Standings
Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | W | L | Pct | GB | PPG | OPP | DIFF | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York Liberty League | 18 | 16 | .529 | — | 66.2 | 67.6 | -1.3 | 17.00 | +1.00 |
| 2 | Connecticut Sun Playoffs | 18 | 16 | .529 | — | 68.7 | 67.8 | +0.9 | 17.45 | +0.55 |
| 3 | Detroit Shock Playoffs | 17 | 17 | .500 | 1 | 69.6 | 70.0 | -0.4 | 18.97 | -1.97 |
| 4 | Washington Mystics Playoffs | 17 | 17 | .500 | 1 | 68.4 | 70.1 | -1.7 | 14.23 | +2.77 |
| 5 | Charlotte Sting | 16 | 18 | .471 | 2 | 61.5 | 63.8 | -2.2 | 16.35 | -0.35 |
| 6 | Indiana Fever | 15 | 19 | .441 | 3 | 64.6 | 66.0 | -1.4 | 16.66 | -1.66 |
| # | Team | W | L | Pct | GB | PPG | OPP | DIFF | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles Sparks League | 25 | 9 | .735 | — | 73.4 | 69.4 | +3.9 | 20.22 | +4.78 |
| 2 | Seattle Storm Playoffs | 20 | 14 | .588 | 5 | 71.7 | 66.6 | +5.1 | 19.39 | +0.61 |
| 3 | Sacramento Monarchs Playoffs | 18 | 16 | .529 | 7 | 68.0 | 65.9 | +2.1 | 17.96 | +0.04 |
| 4 | Minnesota Lynx Playoffs | 18 | 16 | .529 | 7 | 63.7 | 64.4 | -0.7 | 16.64 | +1.36 |
| 5 | Phoenix Mercury | 17 | 17 | .500 | 8 | 67.6 | 65.7 | +1.9 | 15.75 | +1.25 |
| 6 | Houston Comets | 13 | 21 | .382 | 12 | 64.0 | 65.0 | -1.0 | 17.58 | -4.58 |
| 7 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 9 | 25 | .265 | 16 | 64.4 | 69.5 | -5.1 | 12.77 | -3.77 |
Playoff Bracket
The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.
Eastern Conference
Conference Semifinals
Conference Final
Western Conference
Conference Semifinals
Conference Final
WNBA Finals
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Conference | Division | Elo | Actual | Avg. Wins | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | Western | 1603 | 25 | 20.22 | +4.78 | 97.52% | 9 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 25 | 32 | |
| Seattle Storm | Western | 1563 | 20 | 19.39 | +0.61 | 65.85% | 9 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 24 | 29 | |
| Sacramento Monarchs | Western | 1556 | 18 | 17.96 | +0.04 | 57.80% | 6 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 23 | 28 | |
| Detroit Shock | Eastern | 1527 | 17 | 18.97 | -1.97 | 29.87% | 9 | 14 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 24 | 29 | |
| Connecticut Sun | Eastern | 1522 | 18 | 17.45 | +0.55 | 64.07% | 7 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 22 | 28 | |
| Phoenix Mercury | Western | 1498 | 17 | 15.75 | +1.25 | 73.36% | 6 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 26 | |
| Minnesota Lynx | Western | 1495 | 18 | 16.64 | +1.36 | 74.42% | 7 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 28 | |
| New York Liberty | Eastern | 1485 | 18 | 17.00 | +1.00 | 69.83% | 7 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 22 | 27 | |
| Washington Mystics | Eastern | 1470 | 17 | 14.23 | +2.77 | 87.42% | 5 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 19 | 25 | |
| Houston Comets | Western | 1469 | 13 | 17.58 | -4.58 | 7.27% | 7 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 19 | 22 | 27 | |
| Charlotte Sting | Eastern | 1460 | 16 | 16.35 | -0.35 | 51.98% | 7 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 21 | 27 | |
| Indiana Fever | Eastern | 1460 | 15 | 16.66 | -1.66 | 34.11% | 6 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 28 | |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | Western | 1392 | 9 | 12.77 | -3.77 | 11.46% | 4 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 24 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record (row vs column) and below it the expected number of wins the model predicted based on each individual game's win probability. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than half a win in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin. The first matrix for each division covers within-division games; the second (when shown) covers games against teams outside that division — aggregated by division when there are many opponents, broken out team-by-team when there are few.
Within Eastern
| Team | Sting | Sun | Shock | Fever | Liberty | Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Sting | — |
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.8 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.0 exp.)
|
0-4
(2.0 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
| Connecticut Sun |
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
|
— |
3-1
(1.8 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.3 exp.)
|
| Detroit Shock |
4-0
(2.2 exp.)
|
1-3
(2.2 exp.)
|
— |
2-2
(2.2 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.2 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.6 exp.)
|
| Indiana Fever |
1-3
(2.0 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.9 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
— |
3-1
(1.9 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.2 exp.)
|
| New York Liberty |
4-0
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
1-3
(2.1 exp.)
|
— |
1-3
(2.3 exp.)
|
| Washington Mystics |
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.7 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
3-1
(1.7 exp.)
|
— |
Eastern vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Comets | Sparks | Lynx | Mercury | Monarchs | Stars | Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Sting |
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
| Connecticut Sun |
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
| Detroit Shock |
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
| Indiana Fever |
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
| New York Liberty |
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
| Washington Mystics |
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
Within Western
| Team | Comets | Sparks | Lynx | Mercury | Monarchs | Stars | Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Comets | — |
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-3
(2.2 exp.)
|
0-3
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.5 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.7 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Sparks |
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
— |
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.5 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.3 exp.)
|
4-0
(2.9 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
| Minnesota Lynx |
3-1
(1.8 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
— |
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.8 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.3 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
|
| Phoenix Mercury |
3-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
|
— |
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.3 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.7 exp.)
|
| Sacramento Monarchs |
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.7 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.2 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
|
— |
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
|
| San Antonio Silver Stars |
2-2
(1.5 exp.)
|
0-4
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-2
(1.7 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.7 exp.)
|
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
— |
0-3
(0.9 exp.)
|
| Seattle Storm |
2-2
(2.3 exp.)
|
1-3
(1.9 exp.)
|
2-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
2-2
(2.3 exp.)
|
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
|
3-0
(2.1 exp.)
|
— |
Western vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Sting | Sun | Shock | Fever | Liberty | Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Comets |
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Sparks |
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
| Minnesota Lynx |
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
| Phoenix Mercury |
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
|
| Sacramento Monarchs |
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
| San Antonio Silver Stars |
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
|
| Seattle Storm |
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
Scoring Distribution
Histograms of points scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | — |
| Mean allowed | — |
| StdDev scored | — |
| StdDev allowed | — |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | — |
| Sample size (games) | — |
Actual vs. Point Differential
How points translated into wins. Teams above the cluster overperformed their points differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.
Top Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles Sparks | 25 | 20.22 | +4.78 |
| 2 | Washington Mystics | 17 | 14.23 | +2.77 |
| 3 | Minnesota Lynx | 18 | 16.64 | +1.36 |
| 4 | Phoenix Mercury | 17 | 15.75 | +1.25 |
| 5 | New York Liberty | 18 | 17.00 | +1.00 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houston Comets | 13 | 17.58 | -4.58 |
| 2 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 9 | 12.77 | -3.77 |
| 3 | Detroit Shock | 17 | 18.97 | -1.97 |
| 4 | Indiana Fever | 15 | 16.66 | -1.66 |
| 5 | Charlotte Sting | 16 | 16.35 | -0.35 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York Liberty | 6 | May 23 – Jun 5 | 1 in 109 |
| 2 | Minnesota Lynx | 6 | Jul 9 – Jul 22 | 1 in 83 |
| 3 | Seattle Storm | 6 | Jun 3 – Jun 19 | 1 in 56 |
| 4 | Connecticut Sun | 6 | Jun 20 – Jul 6 | 1 in 53 |
| 5 | Washington Mystics | 5 | Sep 7 – Sep 17 | 1 in 49 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York Liberty | 6 | Jun 11 – Jun 24 | 1 in 110 |
| 2 | Detroit Shock | 4 | Jun 25 – Jul 3 | 1 in 37 |
| 3 | Houston Comets | 5 | Jun 30 – Jul 14 | 1 in 29 |
| 4 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 9 | Jul 18 – Sep 4 | 1 in 24 |
| 5 | Indiana Fever | 6 | Jul 19 – Jul 31 | 1 in 21 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Finish Position Heatmaps
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between divisions, leagues, and the overall WNBA view. Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Shock | 38.36% | 23.04% | 16.00% | 11.45% | 7.32% | 3.83% |
| Connecticut Sun | 19.06% | 21.03% | 18.87% | 17.04% | 14.75% | 9.25% |
| New York Liberty | 15.67% | 18.80% | 18.48% | 18.29% | 16.86% | 11.90% |
| Indiana Fever | 12.99% | 16.51% | 18.69% | 18.88% | 18.71% | 14.22% |
| Charlotte Sting | 11.01% | 14.45% | 17.96% | 20.25% | 19.80% | 16.53% |
| Washington Mystics | 2.91% | 6.17% | 10.00% | 14.09% | 22.56% | 44.27% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | 38.73% | 24.01% | 16.19% | 10.69% | 6.07% | 3.30% | 1.01% |
| Seattle Storm | 26.91% | 24.04% | 18.36% | 13.51% | 9.77% | 5.81% | 1.60% |
| Sacramento Monarchs | 13.31% | 17.36% | 19.65% | 18.16% | 15.80% | 11.33% | 4.39% |
| Houston Comets | 10.88% | 15.72% | 17.74% | 19.01% | 16.87% | 13.83% | 5.95% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 6.16% | 11.19% | 14.33% | 18.12% | 20.39% | 19.20% | 10.61% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 3.68% | 6.68% | 11.01% | 15.60% | 20.79% | 25.54% | 16.70% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.33% | 1.00% | 2.72% | 4.91% | 10.31% | 20.99% | 59.74% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | 27.95% | 17.78% | 13.33% | 9.92% | 8.37% | 6.37% | 5.03% | 3.80% | 2.82% | 1.90% | 1.54% | 0.72% | 0.47% |
| Seattle Storm | 18.84% | 15.31% | 12.74% | 11.53% | 9.25% | 7.62% | 6.78% | 5.26% | 4.39% | 3.73% | 2.40% | 1.52% | 0.63% |
| Detroit Shock | 14.47% | 14.33% | 12.77% | 10.97% | 9.82% | 8.63% | 7.20% | 6.30% | 5.19% | 4.14% | 3.00% | 2.14% | 1.04% |
| Sacramento Monarchs | 8.37% | 9.77% | 10.21% | 9.91% | 10.15% | 9.54% | 9.77% | 7.58% | 7.08% | 6.52% | 5.56% | 3.70% | 1.84% |
| Houston Comets | 6.94% | 8.37% | 9.19% | 9.33% | 9.55% | 9.39% | 8.53% | 8.71% | 8.56% | 7.35% | 6.61% | 4.59% | 2.88% |
| Connecticut Sun | 5.82% | 8.25% | 8.55% | 9.45% | 9.49% | 9.57% | 8.99% | 9.08% | 8.26% | 7.38% | 6.92% | 5.30% | 2.94% |
| New York Liberty | 4.39% | 6.73% | 7.56% | 8.48% | 8.65% | 8.95% | 9.20% | 9.24% | 9.64% | 8.71% | 7.57% | 6.60% | 4.28% |
| Indiana Fever | 3.87% | 5.12% | 6.71% | 7.47% | 8.27% | 8.38% | 9.09% | 9.72% | 9.63% | 9.83% | 8.83% | 7.94% | 5.14% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 3.79% | 5.01% | 6.74% | 7.50% | 8.01% | 8.78% | 9.09% | 9.71% | 9.10% | 9.73% | 9.59% | 7.44% | 5.51% |
| Charlotte Sting | 2.86% | 4.43% | 5.40% | 6.92% | 7.46% | 8.38% | 9.26% | 9.92% | 9.91% | 10.60% | 9.70% | 9.31% | 5.85% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 2.00% | 3.39% | 4.20% | 4.70% | 6.13% | 7.75% | 8.59% | 9.40% | 10.40% | 11.00% | 12.19% | 11.05% | 9.20% |
| Washington Mystics | 0.52% | 1.16% | 1.94% | 2.64% | 3.57% | 4.43% | 5.66% | 7.16% | 8.97% | 10.57% | 13.96% | 18.89% | 20.53% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.18% | 0.35% | 0.66% | 1.18% | 1.28% | 2.21% | 2.81% | 4.12% | 6.05% | 8.54% | 12.13% | 20.80% | 39.69% |
Win Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.
Playoff Seed Probabilities
Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Shock | 38.36% | 23.04% | 16.00% | 11.45% | 11.15% |
| Connecticut Sun | 19.06% | 21.03% | 18.87% | 17.04% | 24.00% |
| New York Liberty | 15.67% | 18.80% | 18.48% | 18.29% | 28.76% |
| Indiana Fever | 12.99% | 16.51% | 18.69% | 18.88% | 32.93% |
| Charlotte Sting | 11.01% | 14.45% | 17.96% | 20.25% | 36.33% |
| Washington Mystics | 2.91% | 6.17% | 10.00% | 14.09% | 66.83% |
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | 38.73% | 24.01% | 16.19% | 10.69% | 10.38% |
| Seattle Storm | 26.91% | 24.04% | 18.36% | 13.51% | 17.18% |
| Sacramento Monarchs | 13.31% | 17.36% | 19.65% | 18.16% | 31.52% |
| Houston Comets | 10.88% | 15.72% | 17.74% | 19.01% | 36.65% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 6.16% | 11.19% | 14.33% | 18.12% | 50.20% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 3.68% | 6.68% | 11.01% | 15.60% | 63.03% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.33% | 1.00% | 2.72% | 4.91% | 91.04% |
Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed
Empirical cumulative distribution: for each seed in each conference, the probability that a team holding that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.
Elo Through the Playoffs
How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.
Stochastic Playoff Outcomes
Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.
| Team | Made Playoffs | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | 89.62% | 61.62% | 39.74% | 28.16% |
| Seattle Storm | 82.82% | 47.27% | 24.23% | 15.47% |
| Detroit Shock | 88.85% | 53.45% | 31.20% | 12.88% |
| Sacramento Monarchs | 68.48% | 36.31% | 17.56% | 10.74% |
| Connecticut Sun | 76.00% | 44.56% | 24.84% | 9.70% |
| New York Liberty | 71.24% | 34.54% | 15.91% | 5.37% |
| Charlotte Sting | 63.67% | 26.18% | 11.27% | 3.58% |
| Indiana Fever | 67.07% | 27.56% | 11.22% | 3.58% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 49.80% | 18.21% | 6.41% | 3.22% |
| Houston Comets | 63.35% | 20.96% | 6.66% | 2.91% |
| Phoenix Mercury | 36.97% | 13.88% | 5.10% | 2.53% |
| Washington Mystics | 33.17% | 13.71% | 5.56% | 1.75% |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 8.96% | 1.75% | 0.30% | 0.11% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Charlotte Sting | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Sting | 5.13% | 6.91% | 6.10% | 5.94% | 2.10% | |
| Connecticut Sun | 9.26% | 10.27% | 10.60% | 10.08% | 4.35% | |
| Detroit Shock | 12.55% | 10.59% | 12.17% | 11.54% | 6.60% | |
| Indiana Fever | 5.92% | 5.84% | 6.62% | 6.42% | 2.76% | |
| New York Liberty | 7.41% | 7.46% | 7.88% | 8.14% | 3.65% | |
| Washington Mystics | 2.35% | 2.42% | 3.72% | 2.50% | 2.72% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Houston Comets | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Sacramento Monarchs | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Comets | 4.58% | 3.44% | 2.24% | 4.24% | 0.73% | 5.73% | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 14.29% | 11.82% | 8.49% | 12.34% | 2.63% | 12.05% | |
| Minnesota Lynx | 3.92% | 4.00% | 1.97% | 3.26% | 0.39% | 4.67% | |
| Phoenix Mercury | 3.15% | 2.94% | 1.92% | 2.22% | 0.27% | 3.38% | |
| Sacramento Monarchs | 8.47% | 7.78% | 5.71% | 3.89% | 1.24% | 9.22% | |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.33% | 0.30% | 0.14% | 0.18% | 0.30% | 0.50% | |
| Seattle Storm | 12.23% | 8.40% | 8.56% | 6.32% | 9.81% | 1.95% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Charlotte Sting | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Sting | 2.71% | 3.63% | 1.88% | 2.17% | 0.88% | |
| Connecticut Sun | 4.24% | 8.43% | 4.69% | 5.11% | 2.37% | |
| Detroit Shock | 5.43% | 8.74% | 5.97% | 8.09% | 2.97% | |
| Indiana Fever | 1.99% | 2.72% | 3.57% | 2.19% | 0.75% | |
| New York Liberty | 2.43% | 4.26% | 5.21% | 2.83% | 1.18% | |
| Washington Mystics | 0.82% | 1.29% | 1.41% | 0.97% | 1.07% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Houston Comets | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Sacramento Monarchs | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Comets | 2.17% | 0.84% | 0.72% | 1.20% | 0.07% | 1.66% | |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 6.29% | 5.10% | 3.87% | 10.15% | 0.64% | 13.69% | |
| Minnesota Lynx | 1.04% | 1.98% | 0.52% | 1.09% | 0.09% | 1.69% | |
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.76% | 1.54% | 0.40% | 1.03% | 0.13% | 1.24% | |
| Sacramento Monarchs | 2.43% | 6.50% | 2.23% | 1.51% | 0.18% | 4.71% | |
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.05% | 0.11% | 0.03% | 0.04% | 0.02% | 0.05% | |
| Seattle Storm | 3.73% | 9.58% | 3.20% | 2.12% | 5.26% | 0.34% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Charlotte Sting | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | Houston Comets | Indiana Fever | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Sacramento Monarchs | San Antonio Silver Stars | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Sting | 0.35% | 1.22% | 0.33% | 0.27% | 0.56% | 0.03% | 0.82% | ||||||
| Connecticut Sun | 0.84% | 3.08% | 0.90% | 0.70% | 1.76% | 0.04% | 2.38% | ||||||
| Detroit Shock | 1.48% | 3.91% | 1.12% | 0.92% | 2.43% | 0.05% | 2.97% | ||||||
| Houston Comets | 0.27% | 0.66% | 0.83% | 0.41% | 0.55% | 0.19% | |||||||
| Indiana Fever | 0.34% | 1.06% | 0.27% | 0.21% | 0.77% | 0.02% | 0.91% | ||||||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 3.42% | 6.66% | 8.58% | 3.27% | 4.54% | 1.69% | |||||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 0.33% | 0.72% | 0.98% | 0.47% | 0.56% | 0.16% | |||||||
| New York Liberty | 0.55% | 1.76% | 0.41% | 0.35% | 1.03% | 0.02% | 1.25% | ||||||
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.26% | 0.66% | 0.59% | 0.41% | 0.43% | 0.18% | |||||||
| Sacramento Monarchs | 1.37% | 2.38% | 3.23% | 1.39% | 1.74% | 0.63% | |||||||
| San Antonio Silver Stars | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.03% | 0.02% | 0.01% | ||||||||
| Seattle Storm | 2.03% | 4.02% | 4.08% | 1.69% | 2.70% | 0.95% | |||||||
| Washington Mystics | 0.19% | 0.55% | 0.16% | 0.12% | 0.27% | 0.03% | 0.43% |
Actual Bracket Simulation
With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.
| Team | Advanced to Semifinals | Advanced to Finals | Won Finals | Actual Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Storm | 68.25% | 29.50% | 19.10% | Won Finals |
| Connecticut Sun | 53.36% | 31.08% | 11.19% | Eliminated in Finals |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 53.36% | |||
| Detroit Shock | 46.64% | |||
| New York Liberty | 58.14% | |||
| Washington Mystics | 41.86% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Sacramento Monarchs | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | 64.47% | |||
| Minnesota Lynx | 31.75% | |||
| Sacramento Monarchs | 35.53% | |||
| Seattle Storm | 68.25% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 16.14% | 14.94% | ||
| Detroit Shock | 14.81% | 12.64% | ||
| New York Liberty | 14.58% | 12.61% | ||
| Washington Mystics | 7.70% | 6.58% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Sacramento Monarchs | Seattle Storm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | 15.31% | 27.82% | ||
| Minnesota Lynx | 5.55% | 4.95% | ||
| Sacramento Monarchs | 5.94% | 10.93% | ||
| Seattle Storm | 15.79% | 13.71% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Connecticut Sun | Detroit Shock | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Sacramento Monarchs | Seattle Storm | Washington Mystics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | 3.93% | 1.77% | 2.12% | 3.37% | ||||
| Detroit Shock | 3.84% | 1.23% | 1.75% | 3.39% | ||||
| Los Angeles Sparks | 9.89% | 8.06% | 8.63% | 4.58% | ||||
| Minnesota Lynx | 1.59% | 1.39% | 1.58% | 0.94% | ||||
| New York Liberty | 2.77% | 1.44% | 1.49% | 2.33% | ||||
| Sacramento Monarchs | 3.02% | 2.89% | 3.11% | 1.76% | ||||
| Seattle Storm | 5.39% | 4.90% | 5.84% | 2.97% | ||||
| Washington Mystics | 1.43% | 0.56% | 0.73% | 1.31% |
Most-Likely Championship Paths
For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.
Regular Season Games
Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004-05-21 | Houston Comets | L 53-60 | 1494.71 | 1521.69 | 56.87% | 43.13% | -8.77 | 0-1 |
| 2004-05-22 | @ Washington Mystics | W 71-68 | 1485.94 | 1454.48 | 43.76% | 56.24% | +5.68 | 1-1 |
| 2004-05-28 | Indiana Fever | W 63-41 | 1491.62 | 1490.16 | 60.83% | 39.17% | +10.71 | 2-1 |
| 2004-06-01 | New York Liberty | L 53-63 | 1502.33 | 1513.09 | 59.14% | 40.86% | -10.91 | 2-2 |
| 2004-06-03 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 62-71 | 1491.42 | 1493.53 | 39.08% | 60.92% | -6.83 | 2-3 |
| 2004-06-05 | @ Indiana Fever | L 57-70 | 1484.59 | 1494.79 | 37.97% | 62.03% | -7.98 | 2-4 |
| 2004-06-09 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 68-82 | 1476.61 | 1525.15 | 32.93% | 67.07% | -7.19 | 2-5 |
| 2004-06-11 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 59-51 | 1469.42 | 1465.24 | 39.94% | 60.06% | +9.91 | 3-5 |
| 2004-06-15 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 59-57 | 1479.33 | 1439.04 | 66.01% | 33.99% | +2.80 | 4-5 |
| 2004-06-18 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 63-58 | 1482.13 | 1497.84 | 37.23% | 62.77% | +8.18 | 5-5 |
| 2004-06-20 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 68-63 | 1490.31 | 1546.80 | 52.67% | 47.33% | +6.17 | 6-5 |
| 2004-06-23 | Detroit Shock | L 60-65 | 1496.48 | 1558.40 | 51.89% | 48.11% | -6.76 | 6-6 |
| 2004-06-26 | Indiana Fever | W 46-37 | 1489.72 | 1510.99 | 57.67% | 42.33% | +7.40 | 7-6 |
| 2004-07-01 | Phoenix Mercury | L 59-71 | 1497.12 | 1468.62 | 64.47% | 35.53% | -13.02 | 7-7 |
| 2004-07-03 | @ Houston Comets | W 62-55 | 1484.10 | 1518.85 | 34.71% | 65.29% | +10.07 | 8-7 |
| 2004-07-08 | Seattle Storm | W 70-67 | 1494.17 | 1560.70 | 51.22% | 48.78% | +4.93 | 9-7 |
| 2004-07-10 | Washington Mystics | W 67-65 | 1499.10 | 1460.47 | 65.80% | 34.20% | +2.82 | 10-7 |
| 2004-07-15 | @ Washington Mystics | L 54-68 | 1501.92 | 1457.65 | 45.58% | 54.42% | -9.95 | 10-8 |
| 2004-07-18 | @ New York Liberty | L 58-75 | 1491.97 | 1470.91 | 42.30% | 57.70% | -10.16 | 10-9 |
| 2004-07-20 | New York Liberty | L 74-80 | 1481.81 | 1481.08 | 60.73% | 39.27% | -8.68 | 10-10 |
| 2004-07-23 | @ Detroit Shock | L 53-63 | 1473.13 | 1507.28 | 34.79% | 65.21% | -6.41 | 10-11 |
| 2004-07-24 | Washington Mystics | W 70-41 | 1466.72 | 1458.79 | 61.72% | 38.28% | +12.02 | 11-11 |
| 2004-07-28 | @ Indiana Fever | W 63-53 | 1478.74 | 1481.32 | 39.01% | 60.99% | +11.24 | 12-11 |
| 2004-07-31 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 61-62 | 1489.98 | 1530.99 | 33.89% | 66.11% | -1.97 | 12-12 |
| 2004-08-01 | @ Seattle Storm | L 55-87 | 1488.01 | 1569.67 | 28.86% | 71.14% | -9.52 | 12-13 |
| 2004-09-01 | Connecticut Sun | W 62-55 | 1478.49 | 1484.14 | 59.85% | 40.15% | +6.19 | 13-13 |
| 2004-09-02 | @ New York Liberty | L 52-56 | 1484.68 | 1499.40 | 37.36% | 62.64% | -4.36 | 13-14 |
| 2004-09-04 | Detroit Shock | L 58-66 | 1480.32 | 1509.10 | 56.62% | 43.38% | -9.33 | 13-15 |
| 2004-09-08 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 72-68 | 1470.99 | 1503.21 | 35.04% | 64.96% | +7.57 | 14-15 |
| 2004-09-09 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 74-69 | 1478.56 | 1545.64 | 51.14% | 48.86% | +6.37 | 15-15 |
| 2004-09-11 | Minnesota Lynx | W 60-50 | 1484.93 | 1500.63 | 58.46% | 41.54% | +7.66 | 16-15 |
| 2004-09-15 | Connecticut Sun | L 67-81 | 1492.59 | 1507.58 | 58.55% | 41.45% | -12.77 | 16-16 |
| 2004-09-17 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 65-82 | 1479.82 | 1379.25 | 53.67% | 46.33% | -12.90 | 16-17 |
| 2004-09-19 | @ Detroit Shock | L 54-68 | 1466.92 | 1519.77 | 32.38% | 67.62% | -7.07 | 16-18 |
| 2004-05-22 | Phoenix Mercury | L 58-65 | 1506.98 | 1441.77 | 69.15% | 30.85% | -10.66 | 0-1 |
| 2004-05-25 | Houston Comets | L 57-68 | 1496.32 | 1524.03 | 56.77% | 43.23% | -10.98 | 0-2 |
| 2004-05-27 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 82-73 | 1485.34 | 1538.51 | 53.14% | 46.86% | +8.19 | 1-2 |
| 2004-06-03 | Charlotte Sting | W 71-62 | 1493.53 | 1491.42 | 60.92% | 39.08% | +6.84 | 2-2 |
| 2004-06-04 | @ Washington Mystics | W 72-63 | 1500.37 | 1440.77 | 47.78% | 52.22% | +9.13 | 3-2 |
| 2004-06-06 | Detroit Shock | L 73-74 | 1509.50 | 1536.42 | 56.88% | 43.12% | -3.31 | 3-3 |
| 2004-06-09 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 59-75 | 1506.19 | 1454.36 | 46.67% | 53.33% | -10.89 | 3-4 |
| 2004-06-11 | @ Seattle Storm | L 63-68 | 1495.30 | 1532.58 | 34.38% | 65.62% | -4.48 | 3-5 |
| 2004-06-12 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 83-76 | 1490.82 | 1513.49 | 36.30% | 63.70% | +9.83 | 4-5 |
| 2004-06-14 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 74-76 | 1500.65 | 1540.02 | 34.11% | 65.89% | -2.81 | 4-6 |
| 2004-06-18 | Charlotte Sting | L 58-63 | 1497.84 | 1482.13 | 62.77% | 37.23% | -8.19 | 4-7 |
| 2004-06-20 | Washington Mystics | W 75-65 | 1489.65 | 1436.01 | 67.72% | 32.28% | +5.96 | 5-7 |
| 2004-06-22 | @ Indiana Fever | W 63-58 | 1495.61 | 1513.84 | 36.89% | 63.11% | +8.22 | 6-7 |
| 2004-06-25 | Detroit Shock | W 71-67 | 1503.83 | 1565.16 | 51.97% | 48.03% | +5.60 | 7-7 |
| 2004-06-27 | @ Detroit Shock | W 74-72 | 1509.43 | 1559.56 | 32.73% | 67.27% | +5.55 | 8-7 |
| 2004-06-30 | Washington Mystics | W 78-69 | 1514.98 | 1437.36 | 70.66% | 29.34% | +5.13 | 9-7 |
| 2004-07-06 | Indiana Fever | W 79-77 | 1520.11 | 1503.13 | 62.94% | 37.06% | +3.06 | 10-7 |
| 2004-07-09 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 70-85 | 1523.17 | 1504.59 | 63.15% | 36.85% | -14.26 | 10-8 |
| 2004-07-11 | @ Indiana Fever | W 65-61 | 1508.91 | 1503.02 | 40.18% | 59.82% | +6.97 | 11-8 |
| 2004-07-14 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 63-66 | 1515.88 | 1481.64 | 44.16% | 55.84% | -4.46 | 11-9 |
| 2004-07-15 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 67-78 | 1511.42 | 1406.67 | 54.27% | 45.73% | -10.49 | 11-10 |
| 2004-07-17 | @ Houston Comets | L 56-72 | 1500.93 | 1504.69 | 38.85% | 61.15% | -9.06 | 11-11 |
| 2004-07-21 | @ Detroit Shock | W 78-68 | 1491.87 | 1519.14 | 35.69% | 64.31% | +11.86 | 12-11 |
| 2004-07-22 | Minnesota Lynx | L 52-68 | 1503.73 | 1497.87 | 61.43% | 38.57% | -14.33 | 12-12 |
| 2004-07-24 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 69-55 | 1489.40 | 1402.43 | 71.76% | 28.24% | +6.16 | 13-12 |
| 2004-07-30 | @ Washington Mystics | L 68-69 | 1495.56 | 1438.16 | 47.47% | 52.53% | -2.77 | 13-13 |
| 2004-07-31 | @ New York Liberty | L 66-80 | 1492.79 | 1490.75 | 39.65% | 60.35% | -8.65 | 13-14 |
| 2004-09-01 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 55-62 | 1484.14 | 1478.49 | 40.15% | 59.85% | -6.19 | 13-15 |
| 2004-09-03 | New York Liberty | W 61-43 | 1477.95 | 1503.76 | 57.04% | 42.96% | +10.63 | 14-15 |
| 2004-09-10 | @ New York Liberty | W 77-66 | 1488.58 | 1483.55 | 40.06% | 59.94% | +11.59 | 15-15 |
| 2004-09-12 | Seattle Storm | W 71-64 | 1500.17 | 1561.87 | 51.92% | 48.08% | +7.41 | 16-15 |
| 2004-09-15 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 81-67 | 1507.58 | 1492.59 | 41.45% | 58.55% | +12.78 | 17-15 |
| 2004-09-17 | New York Liberty | L 66-69 | 1520.36 | 1473.49 | 66.86% | 33.14% | -6.75 | 17-16 |
| 2004-09-19 | Indiana Fever | W 80-60 | 1513.61 | 1468.34 | 66.65% | 33.35% | +8.69 | 18-16 |
| 2004-05-22 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 73-60 | 1548.19 | 1470.80 | 50.34% | 49.66% | +10.44 | 1-0 |
| 2004-05-26 | @ New York Liberty | L 52-64 | 1558.63 | 1496.44 | 48.15% | 51.85% | -9.72 | 1-1 |
| 2004-05-29 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 60-63 | 1548.91 | 1530.31 | 63.16% | 36.84% | -6.38 | 1-2 |
| 2004-06-02 | Washington Mystics | L 63-65 | 1542.53 | 1434.65 | 74.13% | 25.87% | -6.11 | 1-3 |
| 2004-06-06 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 74-73 | 1536.42 | 1509.50 | 43.12% | 56.88% | +3.31 | 2-3 |
| 2004-06-09 | @ Indiana Fever | W 83-79 | 1539.73 | 1502.77 | 44.54% | 55.46% | +6.47 | 3-3 |
| 2004-06-11 | @ Washington Mystics | W 74-60 | 1546.20 | 1431.63 | 55.67% | 44.33% | +9.67 | 4-3 |
| 2004-06-12 | Indiana Fever | W 72-68 | 1555.87 | 1504.07 | 67.48% | 32.52% | +3.79 | 5-3 |
| 2004-06-19 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 84-74 | 1559.66 | 1506.44 | 46.87% | 53.13% | +9.80 | 6-3 |
| 2004-06-22 | Washington Mystics | L 72-78 | 1569.46 | 1430.06 | 77.46% | 22.54% | -11.06 | 6-4 |
| 2004-06-23 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 65-60 | 1558.40 | 1496.48 | 48.11% | 51.89% | +6.76 | 7-4 |
| 2004-06-25 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 67-71 | 1565.16 | 1503.83 | 48.03% | 51.97% | -5.60 | 7-5 |
| 2004-06-27 | Connecticut Sun | L 72-74 | 1559.56 | 1509.43 | 67.27% | 32.73% | -5.55 | 7-6 |
| 2004-06-29 | Indiana Fever | L 68-69 | 1554.01 | 1503.59 | 67.31% | 32.69% | -3.92 | 7-7 |
| 2004-07-03 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 70-78 | 1550.09 | 1464.32 | 51.55% | 48.45% | -8.50 | 7-8 |
| 2004-07-06 | Houston Comets | W 82-63 | 1541.59 | 1508.78 | 65.04% | 34.96% | +8.88 | 8-8 |
| 2004-07-10 | Seattle Storm | W 70-65 | 1550.47 | 1555.77 | 59.90% | 40.10% | +5.23 | 9-8 |
| 2004-07-12 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 51-67 | 1555.70 | 1510.41 | 66.66% | 33.34% | -15.54 | 9-9 |
| 2004-07-15 | @ Houston Comets | L 61-97 | 1540.16 | 1488.37 | 46.66% | 53.34% | -16.32 | 9-10 |
| 2004-07-16 | @ Indiana Fever | L 73-85 | 1523.84 | 1502.51 | 42.33% | 57.67% | -8.55 | 9-11 |
| 2004-07-18 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 77-71 | 1515.29 | 1417.16 | 73.04% | 26.96% | +3.85 | 10-11 |
| 2004-07-21 | Connecticut Sun | L 68-78 | 1519.14 | 1491.87 | 64.31% | 35.69% | -11.86 | 10-12 |
| 2004-07-23 | Charlotte Sting | W 63-53 | 1507.28 | 1473.13 | 65.21% | 34.79% | +6.41 | 11-12 |
| 2004-07-24 | @ New York Liberty | L 69-78 | 1513.69 | 1489.75 | 42.70% | 57.30% | -7.47 | 11-13 |
| 2004-07-28 | @ Washington Mystics | W 73-65 | 1506.22 | 1446.77 | 47.76% | 52.24% | +8.62 | 12-13 |
| 2004-07-30 | New York Liberty | W 88-79 | 1514.84 | 1497.22 | 63.03% | 36.97% | +6.47 | 13-13 |
| 2004-08-01 | Minnesota Lynx | L 58-59 | 1521.31 | 1499.77 | 63.55% | 36.45% | -3.71 | 13-14 |
| 2004-09-01 | Phoenix Mercury | L 58-63 | 1517.60 | 1483.47 | 65.21% | 34.79% | -8.50 | 13-15 |
| 2004-09-04 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 66-58 | 1509.10 | 1480.32 | 43.38% | 56.62% | +9.34 | 14-15 |
| 2004-09-08 | @ Seattle Storm | L 67-86 | 1518.44 | 1558.21 | 34.05% | 65.95% | -8.66 | 14-16 |
| 2004-09-09 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 63-81 | 1509.78 | 1593.54 | 28.62% | 71.38% | -7.08 | 14-17 |
| 2004-09-11 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 80-72 | 1502.70 | 1523.17 | 36.59% | 63.41% | +10.46 | 15-17 |
| 2004-09-14 | New York Liberty | W 82-71 | 1513.16 | 1474.35 | 65.82% | 34.18% | +6.61 | 16-17 |
| 2004-09-19 | Charlotte Sting | W 68-54 | 1519.77 | 1466.92 | 67.62% | 32.38% | +7.06 | 17-17 |
| 2004-05-20 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 55-64 | 1534.00 | 1458.49 | 70.40% | 29.60% | -12.31 | 0-1 |
| 2004-05-21 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 60-53 | 1521.69 | 1494.71 | 43.13% | 56.87% | +8.77 | 1-1 |
| 2004-05-23 | @ New York Liberty | L 62-68 | 1530.46 | 1490.01 | 45.04% | 54.96% | -6.43 | 1-2 |
| 2004-05-25 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 68-57 | 1524.03 | 1496.32 | 43.23% | 56.77% | +10.98 | 2-2 |
| 2004-05-30 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 63-57 | 1535.01 | 1513.02 | 63.61% | 36.39% | +5.19 | 3-2 |
| 2004-06-01 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 63-73 | 1540.20 | 1460.74 | 50.64% | 49.36% | -9.33 | 3-3 |
| 2004-06-03 | New York Liberty | L 62-71 | 1530.87 | 1523.99 | 61.57% | 38.43% | -10.77 | 3-4 |
| 2004-06-05 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 75-71 | 1520.10 | 1529.90 | 59.28% | 40.72% | +4.75 | 4-4 |
| 2004-06-09 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 59-47 | 1524.85 | 1449.91 | 70.33% | 29.67% | +5.99 | 5-4 |
| 2004-06-12 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 69-66 | 1530.84 | 1443.92 | 51.71% | 48.29% | +4.87 | 6-4 |
| 2004-06-18 | Seattle Storm | L 63-69 | 1535.71 | 1554.06 | 58.09% | 41.91% | -8.29 | 6-5 |
| 2004-06-19 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 58-66 | 1527.42 | 1482.69 | 45.65% | 54.35% | -7.53 | 6-6 |
| 2004-06-22 | @ Seattle Storm | W 63-57 | 1519.89 | 1571.05 | 32.60% | 67.40% | +9.63 | 7-6 |
| 2004-06-25 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 55-61 | 1529.52 | 1496.64 | 43.96% | 56.04% | -6.28 | 7-7 |
| 2004-06-27 | Washington Mystics | W 72-67 | 1523.24 | 1441.12 | 71.19% | 28.81% | +3.75 | 8-7 |
| 2004-06-30 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 50-58 | 1526.99 | 1456.17 | 49.39% | 50.61% | -8.14 | 8-8 |
| 2004-07-03 | Charlotte Sting | L 55-62 | 1518.85 | 1484.10 | 65.29% | 34.71% | -10.07 | 8-9 |
| 2004-07-06 | @ Detroit Shock | L 63-82 | 1508.78 | 1541.59 | 34.96% | 65.04% | -8.89 | 8-10 |
| 2004-07-10 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 56-59 | 1499.89 | 1574.19 | 50.10% | 49.90% | -5.06 | 8-11 |
| 2004-07-14 | @ Indiana Fever | L 62-70 | 1494.83 | 1496.05 | 39.20% | 60.80% | -6.46 | 8-12 |
| 2004-07-15 | Detroit Shock | W 97-61 | 1488.37 | 1540.16 | 53.34% | 46.66% | +16.32 | 9-12 |
| 2004-07-17 | Connecticut Sun | W 72-56 | 1504.69 | 1500.93 | 61.15% | 38.85% | +9.06 | 10-12 |
| 2004-07-23 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 67-70 | 1513.75 | 1584.12 | 30.22% | 69.78% | -3.05 | 10-13 |
| 2004-07-24 | @ Seattle Storm | L 63-67 | 1510.70 | 1567.84 | 31.85% | 68.15% | -3.71 | 10-14 |
| 2004-07-27 | Seattle Storm | W 80-55 | 1506.99 | 1571.55 | 51.51% | 48.49% | +14.13 | 11-14 |
| 2004-07-31 | Indiana Fever | W 62-54 | 1521.12 | 1470.08 | 67.39% | 32.61% | +5.38 | 12-14 |
| 2004-09-01 | Minnesota Lynx | L 64-72 | 1526.50 | 1503.47 | 63.75% | 36.25% | -10.51 | 12-15 |
| 2004-09-03 | Phoenix Mercury | L 60-70 | 1515.99 | 1491.97 | 63.88% | 36.12% | -11.78 | 12-16 |
| 2004-09-09 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 72-77 | 1504.21 | 1365.58 | 59.05% | 40.95% | -7.70 | 12-17 |
| 2004-09-12 | @ Washington Mystics | L 63-75 | 1496.51 | 1445.33 | 46.57% | 53.43% | -9.40 | 12-18 |
| 2004-09-14 | Minnesota Lynx | W 70-59 | 1487.11 | 1492.97 | 59.82% | 40.18% | +7.77 | 13-18 |
| 2004-09-16 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 62-71 | 1494.88 | 1532.69 | 55.34% | 44.66% | -9.68 | 13-19 |
| 2004-09-18 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 48-68 | 1485.20 | 1542.37 | 31.84% | 68.16% | -8.30 | 13-20 |
| 2004-09-19 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 64-78 | 1476.90 | 1489.63 | 37.63% | 62.37% | -8.21 | 13-21 |
| 2004-05-21 | New York Liberty | W 69-67 | 1490.77 | 1493.29 | 60.29% | 39.71% | +3.27 | 1-0 |
| 2004-05-23 | Washington Mystics | L 67-68 | 1494.04 | 1448.80 | 66.65% | 33.35% | -3.88 | 1-1 |
| 2004-05-28 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 41-63 | 1490.16 | 1491.62 | 39.17% | 60.83% | -10.71 | 1-2 |
| 2004-06-01 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 79-60 | 1479.45 | 1477.58 | 39.62% | 60.38% | +15.34 | 2-2 |
| 2004-06-05 | Charlotte Sting | W 70-57 | 1494.79 | 1484.59 | 62.03% | 37.97% | +7.98 | 3-2 |
| 2004-06-09 | Detroit Shock | L 79-83 | 1502.77 | 1539.73 | 55.46% | 44.54% | -6.47 | 3-3 |
| 2004-06-11 | @ New York Liberty | W 72-68 | 1496.30 | 1541.22 | 33.39% | 66.61% | +7.77 | 4-3 |
| 2004-06-12 | @ Detroit Shock | L 68-72 | 1504.07 | 1555.87 | 32.52% | 67.48% | -3.79 | 4-4 |
| 2004-06-16 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 63-50 | 1500.28 | 1503.67 | 60.17% | 39.83% | +8.37 | 5-4 |
| 2004-06-19 | New York Liberty | W 70-65 | 1508.65 | 1511.90 | 60.19% | 39.81% | +5.19 | 6-4 |
| 2004-06-22 | Connecticut Sun | L 58-63 | 1513.84 | 1495.61 | 63.11% | 36.89% | -8.22 | 6-5 |
| 2004-06-25 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 71-67 | 1505.62 | 1553.67 | 53.87% | 46.13% | +5.37 | 7-5 |
| 2004-06-26 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 37-46 | 1510.99 | 1489.72 | 42.33% | 57.67% | -7.40 | 7-6 |
| 2004-06-29 | @ Detroit Shock | W 69-68 | 1503.59 | 1554.01 | 32.69% | 67.31% | +3.93 | 8-6 |
| 2004-07-01 | @ Washington Mystics | L 64-69 | 1507.52 | 1432.23 | 50.04% | 49.96% | -6.53 | 8-7 |
| 2004-07-03 | Phoenix Mercury | W 61-60 | 1500.99 | 1481.64 | 63.26% | 36.74% | +2.14 | 9-7 |
| 2004-07-06 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 77-79 | 1503.13 | 1520.11 | 37.06% | 62.94% | -3.05 | 9-8 |
| 2004-07-08 | Minnesota Lynx | W 58-56 | 1500.08 | 1472.82 | 64.31% | 35.69% | +2.94 | 10-8 |
| 2004-07-11 | Connecticut Sun | L 61-65 | 1503.02 | 1508.91 | 59.82% | 40.18% | -6.97 | 10-9 |
| 2004-07-14 | Houston Comets | W 70-62 | 1496.05 | 1494.83 | 60.80% | 39.20% | +6.46 | 11-9 |
| 2004-07-16 | Detroit Shock | W 85-73 | 1502.51 | 1523.84 | 57.67% | 42.33% | +8.55 | 12-9 |
| 2004-07-19 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 51-82 | 1511.06 | 1567.29 | 31.96% | 68.04% | -10.37 | 12-10 |
| 2004-07-22 | @ Seattle Storm | L 54-59 | 1500.69 | 1563.78 | 31.11% | 68.89% | -4.06 | 12-11 |
| 2004-07-24 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 56-71 | 1496.63 | 1478.08 | 41.94% | 58.06% | -9.47 | 12-12 |
| 2004-07-25 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 62-71 | 1487.16 | 1532.16 | 33.38% | 66.62% | -5.84 | 12-13 |
| 2004-07-28 | Charlotte Sting | L 53-63 | 1481.32 | 1478.74 | 60.99% | 39.01% | -11.24 | 12-14 |
| 2004-07-31 | @ Houston Comets | L 54-62 | 1470.08 | 1521.12 | 32.61% | 67.39% | -5.38 | 12-15 |
| 2004-09-01 | @ Washington Mystics | W 75-58 | 1464.70 | 1453.20 | 40.96% | 59.04% | +14.19 | 13-15 |
| 2004-09-03 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 69-61 | 1478.89 | 1513.98 | 34.66% | 65.34% | +10.78 | 14-15 |
| 2004-09-04 | Washington Mystics | W 69-42 | 1489.67 | 1439.01 | 67.34% | 32.66% | +9.89 | 15-15 |
| 2004-09-10 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 65-82 | 1499.56 | 1373.27 | 76.11% | 23.89% | -18.30 | 15-16 |
| 2004-09-13 | Seattle Storm | L 70-76 | 1481.26 | 1554.45 | 50.27% | 49.73% | -7.17 | 15-17 |
| 2004-09-16 | @ New York Liberty | L 71-77 | 1474.09 | 1467.74 | 40.24% | 59.76% | -5.75 | 15-18 |
| 2004-09-19 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 60-80 | 1468.34 | 1513.61 | 33.35% | 66.65% | -8.69 | 15-19 |
| 2004-05-22 | @ Seattle Storm | L 67-93 | 1539.45 | 1517.11 | 42.47% | 57.53% | -12.63 | 0-1 |
| 2004-05-25 | @ Washington Mystics | W 95-79 | 1526.82 | 1452.69 | 49.87% | 50.13% | +11.69 | 1-1 |
| 2004-05-27 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 73-82 | 1538.51 | 1485.34 | 46.86% | 53.14% | -8.20 | 1-2 |
| 2004-05-29 | @ Detroit Shock | W 63-60 | 1530.31 | 1548.91 | 36.84% | 63.16% | +6.38 | 2-2 |
| 2004-06-01 | Seattle Storm | W 73-70 | 1536.69 | 1521.44 | 62.71% | 37.29% | +3.77 | 3-2 |
| 2004-06-03 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 51-68 | 1540.46 | 1507.83 | 43.93% | 56.07% | -10.56 | 3-3 |
| 2004-06-05 | @ Houston Comets | L 71-75 | 1529.90 | 1520.10 | 40.72% | 59.28% | -4.75 | 3-4 |
| 2004-06-09 | Charlotte Sting | W 82-68 | 1525.15 | 1476.61 | 67.07% | 32.93% | +7.18 | 4-4 |
| 2004-06-11 | Minnesota Lynx | W 69-55 | 1532.33 | 1501.52 | 64.78% | 35.22% | +7.69 | 5-4 |
| 2004-06-14 | Connecticut Sun | W 76-74 | 1540.02 | 1500.65 | 65.89% | 34.11% | +2.81 | 6-4 |
| 2004-06-18 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 76-74 | 1542.83 | 1455.34 | 51.79% | 48.21% | +3.97 | 7-4 |
| 2004-06-20 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 63-68 | 1546.80 | 1490.31 | 47.33% | 52.67% | -6.17 | 7-5 |
| 2004-06-22 | @ New York Liberty | W 65-49 | 1540.63 | 1506.71 | 44.11% | 55.89% | +13.04 | 8-5 |
| 2004-06-25 | @ Indiana Fever | L 67-71 | 1553.67 | 1505.62 | 46.13% | 53.87% | -5.38 | 8-6 |
| 2004-06-27 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 83-67 | 1548.29 | 1467.65 | 50.81% | 49.19% | +11.47 | 9-6 |
| 2004-06-29 | New York Liberty | W 69-65 | 1559.76 | 1494.08 | 69.21% | 30.79% | +3.59 | 10-6 |
| 2004-07-02 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 87-80 | 1563.35 | 1420.46 | 77.81% | 22.19% | +3.42 | 11-6 |
| 2004-07-07 | Phoenix Mercury | W 73-71 | 1566.77 | 1479.50 | 71.79% | 28.21% | +2.33 | 12-6 |
| 2004-07-09 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 66-61 | 1569.10 | 1417.04 | 60.91% | 39.09% | +5.09 | 13-6 |
| 2004-07-10 | @ Houston Comets | W 59-56 | 1574.19 | 1499.89 | 49.90% | 50.10% | +5.06 | 14-6 |
| 2004-07-17 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 70-79 | 1579.25 | 1520.25 | 68.39% | 31.61% | -11.96 | 14-7 |
| 2004-07-19 | Indiana Fever | W 82-51 | 1567.29 | 1511.06 | 68.04% | 31.96% | +10.38 | 15-7 |
| 2004-07-21 | Washington Mystics | W 96-76 | 1577.67 | 1459.69 | 75.23% | 24.77% | +6.45 | 16-7 |
| 2004-07-23 | Houston Comets | W 70-67 | 1584.12 | 1513.75 | 69.78% | 30.22% | +3.06 | 17-7 |
| 2004-07-29 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 85-80 | 1587.18 | 1538.00 | 46.29% | 53.71% | +7.00 | 18-7 |
| 2004-07-31 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 79-67 | 1594.18 | 1382.69 | 68.69% | 31.31% | +6.32 | 19-7 |
| 2004-09-01 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 77-69 | 1600.50 | 1376.37 | 84.84% | 15.16% | +2.50 | 20-7 |
| 2004-09-03 | Seattle Storm | W 82-81 | 1603.00 | 1568.17 | 65.30% | 34.70% | +2.02 | 21-7 |
| 2004-09-08 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 58-72 | 1605.02 | 1511.69 | 52.63% | 47.37% | -11.48 | 21-8 |
| 2004-09-09 | Detroit Shock | W 81-63 | 1593.54 | 1509.78 | 71.38% | 28.62% | +7.08 | 22-8 |
| 2004-09-12 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 65-52 | 1600.62 | 1539.27 | 68.68% | 31.32% | +6.59 | 23-8 |
| 2004-09-14 | Phoenix Mercury | W 73-60 | 1607.21 | 1512.72 | 72.63% | 27.37% | +5.75 | 24-8 |
| 2004-09-17 | Minnesota Lynx | L 66-78 | 1612.96 | 1485.20 | 76.27% | 23.73% | -15.40 | 24-9 |
| 2004-09-18 | @ Seattle Storm | W 83-80 | 1597.56 | 1568.89 | 43.37% | 56.63% | +5.72 | 25-9 |
| 2004-05-20 | @ Seattle Storm | L 85-88 | 1492.31 | 1513.43 | 36.51% | 63.49% | -3.69 | 0-1 |
| 2004-05-22 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 69-61 | 1488.62 | 1532.14 | 33.57% | 66.43% | +10.96 | 1-1 |
| 2004-05-26 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 44-56 | 1499.58 | 1460.36 | 44.86% | 55.14% | -9.06 | 1-2 |
| 2004-05-28 | Washington Mystics | W 73-62 | 1490.52 | 1441.00 | 67.19% | 32.81% | +6.34 | 2-2 |
| 2004-05-30 | New York Liberty | L 64-68 | 1496.86 | 1506.17 | 59.35% | 40.65% | -6.92 | 2-3 |
| 2004-06-03 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 55-47 | 1489.94 | 1462.24 | 64.37% | 35.63% | +5.88 | 3-3 |
| 2004-06-05 | Phoenix Mercury | W 76-68 | 1495.82 | 1460.06 | 65.42% | 34.58% | +5.70 | 4-3 |
| 2004-06-11 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 55-69 | 1501.52 | 1532.33 | 35.22% | 64.78% | -7.69 | 4-4 |
| 2004-06-17 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 50-60 | 1493.83 | 1495.29 | 60.43% | 39.57% | -11.14 | 4-5 |
| 2004-06-19 | Houston Comets | W 66-58 | 1482.69 | 1527.42 | 54.35% | 45.65% | +7.53 | 5-5 |
| 2004-06-22 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 46-69 | 1490.22 | 1451.36 | 44.81% | 55.19% | -12.53 | 5-6 |
| 2004-06-24 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 57-70 | 1477.69 | 1418.05 | 47.79% | 52.21% | -10.04 | 5-7 |
| 2004-06-27 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 67-83 | 1467.65 | 1548.29 | 49.19% | 50.81% | -11.48 | 5-8 |
| 2004-06-30 | Houston Comets | W 58-50 | 1456.17 | 1526.99 | 50.61% | 49.39% | +8.15 | 6-8 |
| 2004-07-03 | Detroit Shock | W 78-70 | 1464.32 | 1550.09 | 48.45% | 51.55% | +8.50 | 7-8 |
| 2004-07-08 | @ Indiana Fever | L 56-58 | 1472.82 | 1500.08 | 35.69% | 64.31% | -2.94 | 7-9 |
| 2004-07-09 | Phoenix Mercury | W 61-59 | 1469.88 | 1477.17 | 59.63% | 40.37% | +3.32 | 8-9 |
| 2004-07-11 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 83-73 | 1473.20 | 1518.85 | 54.22% | 45.78% | +8.44 | 9-9 |
| 2004-07-14 | Connecticut Sun | W 66-63 | 1481.64 | 1515.88 | 55.84% | 44.16% | +4.46 | 10-9 |
| 2004-07-15 | @ New York Liberty | W 69-66 | 1486.10 | 1476.91 | 40.64% | 59.36% | +6.00 | 11-9 |
| 2004-07-18 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 63-60 | 1492.10 | 1467.27 | 42.83% | 57.17% | +5.77 | 12-9 |
| 2004-07-22 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 68-52 | 1497.87 | 1503.73 | 38.57% | 61.43% | +14.33 | 13-9 |
| 2004-07-23 | @ Washington Mystics | L 61-65 | 1512.20 | 1453.23 | 47.69% | 52.31% | -5.56 | 13-10 |
| 2004-07-28 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 66-53 | 1506.64 | 1396.27 | 74.41% | 25.59% | +5.38 | 14-10 |
| 2004-07-30 | Seattle Storm | L 55-70 | 1512.02 | 1557.41 | 54.25% | 45.75% | -12.25 | 14-11 |
| 2004-08-01 | @ Detroit Shock | W 59-58 | 1499.77 | 1521.31 | 36.45% | 63.55% | +3.70 | 15-11 |
| 2004-09-01 | @ Houston Comets | W 72-64 | 1503.47 | 1526.50 | 36.25% | 63.75% | +10.51 | 16-11 |
| 2004-09-03 | Indiana Fever | L 61-69 | 1513.98 | 1478.89 | 65.34% | 34.66% | -10.77 | 16-12 |
| 2004-09-08 | Charlotte Sting | L 68-72 | 1503.21 | 1470.99 | 64.96% | 35.04% | -7.58 | 16-13 |
| 2004-09-10 | Seattle Storm | W 64-61 | 1495.63 | 1566.86 | 50.55% | 49.45% | +5.00 | 17-13 |
| 2004-09-11 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 50-60 | 1500.63 | 1484.93 | 41.54% | 58.46% | -7.66 | 17-14 |
| 2004-09-14 | @ Houston Comets | L 59-70 | 1492.97 | 1487.11 | 40.18% | 59.82% | -7.77 | 17-15 |
| 2004-09-17 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 78-66 | 1485.20 | 1612.96 | 23.73% | 76.27% | +15.40 | 18-15 |
| 2004-09-19 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 63-72 | 1500.60 | 1550.67 | 32.74% | 67.26% | -5.72 | 18-16 |
| 2004-05-21 | @ Indiana Fever | L 67-69 | 1493.29 | 1490.77 | 39.71% | 60.29% | -3.28 | 0-1 |
| 2004-05-23 | Houston Comets | W 68-62 | 1490.01 | 1530.46 | 54.96% | 45.04% | +6.43 | 1-1 |
| 2004-05-26 | Detroit Shock | W 64-52 | 1496.44 | 1558.63 | 51.85% | 48.15% | +9.73 | 2-1 |
| 2004-05-30 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 68-64 | 1506.17 | 1496.86 | 40.65% | 59.35% | +6.92 | 3-1 |
| 2004-06-01 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 63-53 | 1513.09 | 1502.33 | 40.86% | 59.14% | +10.90 | 4-1 |
| 2004-06-03 | @ Houston Comets | W 71-62 | 1523.99 | 1530.87 | 38.43% | 61.57% | +10.77 | 5-1 |
| 2004-06-05 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 62-57 | 1534.76 | 1456.36 | 50.48% | 49.52% | +6.46 | 6-1 |
| 2004-06-11 | Indiana Fever | L 68-72 | 1541.22 | 1496.30 | 66.61% | 33.39% | -7.77 | 6-2 |
| 2004-06-13 | @ Washington Mystics | L 60-62 | 1533.45 | 1421.96 | 55.23% | 44.77% | -4.55 | 6-3 |
| 2004-06-15 | Seattle Storm | L 62-86 | 1528.90 | 1537.06 | 59.51% | 40.49% | -17.00 | 6-4 |
| 2004-06-19 | @ Indiana Fever | L 65-70 | 1511.90 | 1508.65 | 39.81% | 60.19% | -5.19 | 6-5 |
| 2004-06-22 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 49-65 | 1506.71 | 1540.63 | 55.89% | 44.11% | -13.03 | 6-6 |
| 2004-06-24 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 60-72 | 1493.68 | 1463.89 | 43.53% | 56.47% | -8.79 | 6-7 |
| 2004-06-26 | @ Seattle Storm | W 67-62 | 1484.89 | 1561.42 | 29.47% | 70.53% | +9.19 | 7-7 |
| 2004-06-29 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 65-69 | 1494.08 | 1559.76 | 30.79% | 69.21% | -3.59 | 7-8 |
| 2004-07-01 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 47-73 | 1490.49 | 1507.76 | 37.02% | 62.98% | -11.00 | 7-9 |
| 2004-07-06 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 73-66 | 1479.49 | 1511.35 | 56.18% | 43.82% | +6.76 | 8-9 |
| 2004-07-08 | Washington Mystics | L 54-71 | 1486.25 | 1444.56 | 66.19% | 33.81% | -15.92 | 8-10 |
| 2004-07-11 | Phoenix Mercury | W 77-69 | 1470.33 | 1473.84 | 60.15% | 39.85% | +6.58 | 9-10 |
| 2004-07-15 | Minnesota Lynx | L 66-69 | 1476.91 | 1486.10 | 59.36% | 40.64% | -6.00 | 9-11 |
| 2004-07-18 | Charlotte Sting | W 75-58 | 1470.91 | 1491.97 | 57.70% | 42.30% | +10.17 | 10-11 |
| 2004-07-20 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 80-74 | 1481.08 | 1481.81 | 39.27% | 60.73% | +8.67 | 11-11 |
| 2004-07-24 | Detroit Shock | W 78-69 | 1489.75 | 1513.69 | 57.30% | 42.70% | +7.47 | 12-11 |
| 2004-07-30 | @ Detroit Shock | L 79-88 | 1497.22 | 1514.84 | 36.97% | 63.03% | -6.47 | 12-12 |
| 2004-07-31 | Connecticut Sun | W 80-66 | 1490.75 | 1492.79 | 60.35% | 39.65% | +8.65 | 13-12 |
| 2004-09-02 | Charlotte Sting | W 56-52 | 1499.40 | 1484.68 | 62.64% | 37.36% | +4.36 | 14-12 |
| 2004-09-03 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 43-61 | 1503.76 | 1477.95 | 42.96% | 57.04% | -10.63 | 14-13 |
| 2004-09-09 | @ Washington Mystics | L 59-71 | 1493.13 | 1435.75 | 47.46% | 52.54% | -9.58 | 14-14 |
| 2004-09-10 | Connecticut Sun | L 66-77 | 1483.55 | 1488.58 | 59.94% | 40.06% | -11.59 | 14-15 |
| 2004-09-12 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 64-62 | 1471.96 | 1391.57 | 70.98% | 29.02% | +2.39 | 15-15 |
| 2004-09-14 | @ Detroit Shock | L 71-82 | 1474.35 | 1513.16 | 34.18% | 65.82% | -6.61 | 15-16 |
| 2004-09-16 | Indiana Fever | W 77-71 | 1467.74 | 1474.09 | 59.76% | 40.24% | +5.75 | 16-16 |
| 2004-09-17 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 69-66 | 1473.49 | 1520.36 | 33.14% | 66.86% | +6.75 | 17-16 |
| 2004-09-19 | Washington Mystics | W 79-75 | 1480.24 | 1474.75 | 61.38% | 38.62% | +4.50 | 18-16 |
| 2004-05-20 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 66-72 | 1448.89 | 1525.02 | 49.84% | 50.16% | -7.12 | 0-1 |
| 2004-05-22 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 65-58 | 1441.77 | 1506.98 | 30.85% | 69.15% | +10.67 | 1-1 |
| 2004-05-28 | Seattle Storm | W 84-76 | 1452.44 | 1529.74 | 49.67% | 50.33% | +8.30 | 2-1 |
| 2004-06-01 | Houston Comets | W 73-63 | 1460.74 | 1540.20 | 49.36% | 50.64% | +9.33 | 3-1 |
| 2004-06-03 | @ Seattle Storm | L 45-72 | 1470.07 | 1517.67 | 33.05% | 66.95% | -10.01 | 3-2 |
| 2004-06-05 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 68-76 | 1460.06 | 1495.82 | 34.58% | 65.42% | -5.70 | 3-3 |
| 2004-06-09 | Connecticut Sun | W 75-59 | 1454.36 | 1506.19 | 53.33% | 46.67% | +10.88 | 4-3 |
| 2004-06-11 | Charlotte Sting | L 51-59 | 1465.24 | 1469.42 | 60.06% | 39.94% | -9.90 | 4-4 |
| 2004-06-18 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 74-76 | 1455.34 | 1542.83 | 48.21% | 51.79% | -3.98 | 4-5 |
| 2004-06-22 | Minnesota Lynx | W 69-46 | 1451.36 | 1490.22 | 55.19% | 44.81% | +12.53 | 5-5 |
| 2004-06-24 | New York Liberty | W 72-60 | 1463.89 | 1493.68 | 56.47% | 43.53% | +8.79 | 6-5 |
| 2004-06-26 | San Antonio Silver Stars | L 72-80 | 1472.68 | 1428.10 | 66.57% | 33.43% | -10.97 | 6-6 |
| 2004-06-27 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 57-63 | 1461.71 | 1502.92 | 33.87% | 66.13% | -4.84 | 6-7 |
| 2004-06-29 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 77-65 | 1456.87 | 1439.07 | 41.84% | 58.16% | +11.75 | 7-7 |
| 2004-07-01 | @ Charlotte Sting | W 71-59 | 1468.62 | 1497.12 | 35.53% | 64.47% | +13.02 | 8-7 |
| 2004-07-03 | @ Indiana Fever | L 60-61 | 1481.64 | 1500.99 | 36.74% | 63.26% | -2.14 | 8-8 |
| 2004-07-07 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 71-73 | 1479.50 | 1566.77 | 28.21% | 71.79% | -2.33 | 8-9 |
| 2004-07-09 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 59-61 | 1477.17 | 1469.88 | 40.37% | 59.63% | -3.33 | 8-10 |
| 2004-07-11 | @ New York Liberty | L 69-77 | 1473.84 | 1470.33 | 39.85% | 60.15% | -6.57 | 8-11 |
| 2004-07-18 | Minnesota Lynx | L 60-63 | 1467.27 | 1492.10 | 57.17% | 42.83% | -5.77 | 8-12 |
| 2004-07-21 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 87-55 | 1461.50 | 1413.31 | 67.02% | 32.98% | +10.87 | 9-12 |
| 2004-07-22 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 71-69 | 1472.37 | 1537.86 | 30.81% | 69.19% | +5.71 | 10-12 |
| 2004-07-24 | Indiana Fever | W 71-56 | 1478.08 | 1496.63 | 58.06% | 41.94% | +9.47 | 11-12 |
| 2004-07-30 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 68-59 | 1487.55 | 1390.89 | 53.11% | 46.89% | +8.20 | 12-12 |
| 2004-08-01 | @ Washington Mystics | L 62-82 | 1495.75 | 1440.92 | 47.10% | 52.90% | -12.28 | 12-13 |
| 2004-09-01 | @ Detroit Shock | W 63-58 | 1483.47 | 1517.60 | 34.79% | 65.21% | +8.50 | 13-13 |
| 2004-09-03 | @ Houston Comets | W 70-60 | 1491.97 | 1515.99 | 36.12% | 63.88% | +11.78 | 14-13 |
| 2004-09-04 | Seattle Storm | W 63-55 | 1503.75 | 1566.15 | 51.82% | 48.18% | +7.94 | 15-13 |
| 2004-09-08 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 72-58 | 1511.69 | 1605.02 | 47.37% | 52.63% | +11.48 | 16-13 |
| 2004-09-11 | Detroit Shock | L 72-80 | 1523.17 | 1502.70 | 63.41% | 36.59% | -10.45 | 16-14 |
| 2004-09-14 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 60-73 | 1512.72 | 1607.21 | 27.37% | 72.63% | -5.76 | 16-15 |
| 2004-09-15 | @ Seattle Storm | L 58-73 | 1506.96 | 1561.63 | 32.16% | 67.84% | -7.26 | 16-16 |
| 2004-09-17 | Washington Mystics | L 67-74 | 1499.70 | 1464.67 | 65.33% | 34.67% | -10.07 | 16-17 |
| 2004-09-19 | Houston Comets | W 78-64 | 1489.63 | 1476.90 | 62.37% | 37.63% | +8.21 | 17-17 |
| 2004-05-20 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 72-66 | 1525.02 | 1448.89 | 50.16% | 49.84% | +7.12 | 1-0 |
| 2004-05-22 | Minnesota Lynx | L 61-69 | 1532.14 | 1488.62 | 66.43% | 33.57% | -10.96 | 1-1 |
| 2004-05-28 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | L 63-72 | 1521.18 | 1469.42 | 46.66% | 53.34% | -8.16 | 1-2 |
| 2004-05-30 | @ Houston Comets | L 57-63 | 1513.02 | 1535.01 | 36.39% | 63.61% | -5.19 | 1-3 |
| 2004-06-03 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 68-51 | 1507.83 | 1540.46 | 56.07% | 43.93% | +10.56 | 2-3 |
| 2004-06-05 | Seattle Storm | L 63-65 | 1518.39 | 1527.69 | 59.35% | 40.65% | -4.90 | 2-4 |
| 2004-06-12 | Connecticut Sun | L 76-83 | 1513.49 | 1490.82 | 63.70% | 36.30% | -9.82 | 2-5 |
| 2004-06-16 | @ Indiana Fever | L 50-63 | 1503.67 | 1500.28 | 39.83% | 60.17% | -8.38 | 2-6 |
| 2004-06-17 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 60-50 | 1495.29 | 1493.83 | 39.57% | 60.43% | +11.15 | 3-6 |
| 2004-06-19 | Detroit Shock | L 74-84 | 1506.44 | 1559.66 | 53.13% | 46.87% | -9.80 | 3-7 |
| 2004-06-25 | Houston Comets | W 61-55 | 1496.64 | 1529.52 | 56.04% | 43.96% | +6.28 | 4-7 |
| 2004-06-27 | Phoenix Mercury | W 63-57 | 1502.92 | 1461.71 | 66.13% | 33.87% | +4.84 | 5-7 |
| 2004-07-01 | New York Liberty | W 73-47 | 1507.76 | 1490.49 | 62.98% | 37.02% | +11.00 | 6-7 |
| 2004-07-03 | @ Seattle Storm | L 61-75 | 1518.76 | 1559.09 | 33.98% | 66.02% | -7.41 | 6-8 |
| 2004-07-06 | @ New York Liberty | L 66-73 | 1511.35 | 1479.49 | 43.82% | 56.18% | -6.76 | 6-9 |
| 2004-07-09 | @ Connecticut Sun | W 85-70 | 1504.59 | 1523.17 | 36.85% | 63.15% | +14.26 | 7-9 |
| 2004-07-11 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 73-83 | 1518.85 | 1473.20 | 45.78% | 54.22% | -8.44 | 7-10 |
| 2004-07-12 | @ Detroit Shock | W 67-51 | 1510.41 | 1555.70 | 33.34% | 66.66% | +15.54 | 8-10 |
| 2004-07-15 | Seattle Storm | L 63-66 | 1525.95 | 1555.82 | 56.46% | 43.54% | -5.70 | 8-11 |
| 2004-07-17 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 79-70 | 1520.25 | 1579.25 | 31.61% | 68.39% | +11.96 | 9-11 |
| 2004-07-18 | Washington Mystics | W 81-71 | 1532.21 | 1465.33 | 69.36% | 30.64% | +5.65 | 10-11 |
| 2004-07-22 | Phoenix Mercury | L 69-71 | 1537.86 | 1472.37 | 69.19% | 30.81% | -5.70 | 10-12 |
| 2004-07-25 | Indiana Fever | W 71-62 | 1532.16 | 1487.16 | 66.62% | 33.38% | +5.84 | 11-12 |
| 2004-07-29 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 80-85 | 1538.00 | 1587.18 | 53.71% | 46.29% | -7.01 | 11-13 |
| 2004-07-31 | Charlotte Sting | W 62-61 | 1530.99 | 1489.98 | 66.11% | 33.89% | +1.98 | 12-13 |
| 2004-09-01 | @ Seattle Storm | W 73-65 | 1532.97 | 1579.18 | 33.23% | 66.77% | +11.01 | 13-13 |
| 2004-09-02 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 66-64 | 1543.98 | 1373.87 | 80.39% | 19.61% | +1.62 | 14-13 |
| 2004-09-04 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 80-70 | 1545.60 | 1372.25 | 63.78% | 36.22% | +6.67 | 15-13 |
| 2004-09-07 | @ Washington Mystics | L 63-67 | 1552.27 | 1429.11 | 56.88% | 43.12% | -6.63 | 15-14 |
| 2004-09-09 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 69-74 | 1545.64 | 1478.56 | 48.86% | 51.14% | -6.37 | 15-15 |
| 2004-09-12 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 52-65 | 1539.27 | 1600.62 | 31.32% | 68.68% | -6.58 | 15-16 |
| 2004-09-16 | @ Houston Comets | W 71-62 | 1532.69 | 1494.88 | 44.66% | 55.34% | +9.68 | 16-16 |
| 2004-09-18 | Houston Comets | W 68-48 | 1542.37 | 1485.20 | 68.16% | 31.84% | +8.30 | 17-16 |
| 2004-09-19 | Minnesota Lynx | W 72-63 | 1550.67 | 1500.60 | 67.26% | 32.74% | +5.72 | 18-16 |
| 2004-05-20 | @ Houston Comets | W 64-55 | 1458.49 | 1534.00 | 29.60% | 70.40% | +12.31 | 1-0 |
| 2004-05-22 | Detroit Shock | L 60-73 | 1470.80 | 1548.19 | 49.66% | 50.34% | -10.44 | 1-1 |
| 2004-05-26 | Minnesota Lynx | W 56-44 | 1460.36 | 1499.58 | 55.14% | 44.86% | +9.06 | 2-1 |
| 2004-05-28 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 72-63 | 1469.42 | 1521.18 | 53.34% | 46.66% | +8.16 | 3-1 |
| 2004-06-01 | Indiana Fever | L 60-79 | 1477.58 | 1479.45 | 60.38% | 39.62% | -15.34 | 3-2 |
| 2004-06-03 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 47-55 | 1462.24 | 1489.94 | 35.63% | 64.37% | -5.88 | 3-3 |
| 2004-06-05 | New York Liberty | L 57-62 | 1456.36 | 1534.76 | 49.52% | 50.48% | -6.45 | 3-4 |
| 2004-06-09 | @ Houston Comets | L 47-59 | 1449.91 | 1524.85 | 29.67% | 70.33% | -5.99 | 3-5 |
| 2004-06-12 | Houston Comets | L 66-69 | 1443.92 | 1530.84 | 48.29% | 51.71% | -4.88 | 3-6 |
| 2004-06-15 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 57-59 | 1439.04 | 1479.33 | 33.99% | 66.01% | -2.80 | 3-7 |
| 2004-06-17 | @ Washington Mystics | L 60-76 | 1436.24 | 1426.51 | 40.71% | 59.29% | -9.49 | 3-8 |
| 2004-06-19 | Seattle Storm | L 61-74 | 1426.75 | 1562.35 | 41.37% | 58.63% | -8.70 | 3-9 |
| 2004-06-24 | Minnesota Lynx | W 70-57 | 1418.05 | 1477.69 | 52.21% | 47.79% | +10.05 | 4-9 |
| 2004-06-26 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 80-72 | 1428.10 | 1472.68 | 33.43% | 66.57% | +10.97 | 5-9 |
| 2004-06-29 | Phoenix Mercury | L 65-77 | 1439.07 | 1456.87 | 58.16% | 41.84% | -11.74 | 5-10 |
| 2004-07-01 | @ Seattle Storm | L 52-76 | 1427.33 | 1552.23 | 24.03% | 75.97% | -6.87 | 5-11 |
| 2004-07-02 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 80-87 | 1420.46 | 1563.35 | 22.19% | 77.81% | -3.42 | 5-12 |
| 2004-07-09 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 61-66 | 1417.04 | 1569.10 | 39.09% | 60.91% | -5.10 | 5-13 |
| 2004-07-12 | @ Seattle Storm | L 59-75 | 1411.94 | 1550.54 | 22.62% | 77.38% | -5.27 | 5-14 |
| 2004-07-15 | Connecticut Sun | W 78-67 | 1406.67 | 1511.42 | 45.73% | 54.27% | +10.49 | 6-14 |
| 2004-07-18 | @ Detroit Shock | L 71-77 | 1417.16 | 1515.29 | 26.96% | 73.04% | -3.85 | 6-15 |
| 2004-07-21 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 55-87 | 1413.31 | 1461.50 | 32.98% | 67.02% | -10.88 | 6-16 |
| 2004-07-24 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 55-69 | 1402.43 | 1489.40 | 28.24% | 71.76% | -6.16 | 6-17 |
| 2004-07-28 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 53-66 | 1396.27 | 1506.64 | 25.59% | 74.41% | -5.38 | 6-18 |
| 2004-07-30 | Phoenix Mercury | L 59-68 | 1390.89 | 1487.55 | 46.89% | 53.11% | -8.20 | 6-19 |
| 2004-07-31 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 67-79 | 1382.69 | 1594.18 | 31.31% | 68.69% | -6.32 | 6-20 |
| 2004-09-01 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 69-77 | 1376.37 | 1600.50 | 15.16% | 84.84% | -2.50 | 6-21 |
| 2004-09-02 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 64-66 | 1373.87 | 1543.98 | 19.61% | 80.39% | -1.62 | 6-22 |
| 2004-09-04 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 70-80 | 1372.25 | 1545.60 | 36.22% | 63.78% | -6.67 | 6-23 |
| 2004-09-09 | Houston Comets | W 77-72 | 1365.58 | 1504.21 | 40.95% | 59.05% | +7.69 | 7-23 |
| 2004-09-10 | @ Indiana Fever | W 82-65 | 1373.27 | 1499.56 | 23.89% | 76.11% | +18.30 | 8-23 |
| 2004-09-12 | @ New York Liberty | L 62-64 | 1391.57 | 1471.96 | 29.02% | 70.98% | -2.39 | 8-24 |
| 2004-09-15 | Washington Mystics | L 73-84 | 1389.18 | 1454.74 | 51.36% | 48.64% | -9.93 | 8-25 |
| 2004-09-17 | Charlotte Sting | W 82-65 | 1379.25 | 1479.82 | 46.33% | 53.67% | +12.90 | 9-25 |
| 2004-05-20 | Minnesota Lynx | W 88-85 | 1513.43 | 1492.31 | 63.49% | 36.51% | +3.68 | 1-0 |
| 2004-05-22 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 93-67 | 1517.11 | 1539.45 | 57.53% | 42.47% | +12.63 | 2-0 |
| 2004-05-28 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 76-84 | 1529.74 | 1452.44 | 50.33% | 49.67% | -8.30 | 2-1 |
| 2004-06-01 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 70-73 | 1521.44 | 1536.69 | 37.29% | 62.71% | -3.77 | 2-2 |
| 2004-06-03 | Phoenix Mercury | W 72-45 | 1517.67 | 1470.07 | 66.95% | 33.05% | +10.02 | 3-2 |
| 2004-06-05 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 65-63 | 1527.69 | 1518.39 | 40.65% | 59.35% | +4.89 | 4-2 |
| 2004-06-11 | Connecticut Sun | W 68-63 | 1532.58 | 1495.30 | 65.62% | 34.38% | +4.48 | 5-2 |
| 2004-06-15 | @ New York Liberty | W 86-62 | 1537.06 | 1528.90 | 40.49% | 59.51% | +17.00 | 6-2 |
| 2004-06-18 | @ Houston Comets | W 69-63 | 1554.06 | 1535.71 | 41.91% | 58.09% | +8.29 | 7-2 |
| 2004-06-19 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 74-61 | 1562.35 | 1426.75 | 58.63% | 41.37% | +8.70 | 8-2 |
| 2004-06-22 | Houston Comets | L 57-63 | 1571.05 | 1519.89 | 67.40% | 32.60% | -9.63 | 8-3 |
| 2004-06-26 | New York Liberty | L 62-67 | 1561.42 | 1484.89 | 70.53% | 29.47% | -9.19 | 8-4 |
| 2004-07-01 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 76-52 | 1552.23 | 1427.33 | 75.97% | 24.03% | +6.86 | 9-4 |
| 2004-07-03 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 75-61 | 1559.09 | 1518.76 | 66.02% | 33.98% | +7.42 | 10-4 |
| 2004-07-07 | @ Washington Mystics | L 69-72 | 1566.51 | 1438.75 | 57.53% | 42.47% | -5.81 | 10-5 |
| 2004-07-08 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 67-70 | 1560.70 | 1494.17 | 48.78% | 51.22% | -4.93 | 10-6 |
| 2004-07-10 | @ Detroit Shock | L 65-70 | 1555.77 | 1550.47 | 40.10% | 59.90% | -5.23 | 10-7 |
| 2004-07-12 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 75-59 | 1550.54 | 1411.94 | 77.38% | 22.62% | +5.28 | 11-7 |
| 2004-07-15 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | W 66-63 | 1555.82 | 1525.95 | 43.54% | 56.46% | +5.70 | 12-7 |
| 2004-07-17 | Washington Mystics | W 85-83 | 1561.52 | 1467.60 | 72.56% | 27.44% | +2.26 | 13-7 |
| 2004-07-22 | Indiana Fever | W 59-54 | 1563.78 | 1500.69 | 68.89% | 31.11% | +4.06 | 14-7 |
| 2004-07-24 | Houston Comets | W 67-63 | 1567.84 | 1510.70 | 68.15% | 31.85% | +3.71 | 15-7 |
| 2004-07-27 | @ Houston Comets | L 55-80 | 1571.55 | 1506.99 | 48.49% | 51.51% | -14.14 | 15-8 |
| 2004-07-30 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 70-55 | 1557.41 | 1512.02 | 45.75% | 54.25% | +12.26 | 16-8 |
| 2004-08-01 | Charlotte Sting | W 87-55 | 1569.67 | 1488.01 | 71.14% | 28.86% | +9.51 | 17-8 |
| 2004-09-01 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 65-73 | 1579.18 | 1532.97 | 66.77% | 33.23% | -11.01 | 17-9 |
| 2004-09-03 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 81-82 | 1568.17 | 1603.00 | 34.70% | 65.30% | -2.02 | 17-10 |
| 2004-09-04 | @ Phoenix Mercury | L 55-63 | 1566.15 | 1503.75 | 48.18% | 51.82% | -7.94 | 17-11 |
| 2004-09-08 | Detroit Shock | W 86-67 | 1558.21 | 1518.44 | 65.95% | 34.05% | +8.65 | 18-11 |
| 2004-09-10 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 61-64 | 1566.86 | 1495.63 | 49.45% | 50.55% | -4.99 | 18-12 |
| 2004-09-12 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 64-71 | 1561.87 | 1500.17 | 48.08% | 51.92% | -7.42 | 18-13 |
| 2004-09-13 | @ Indiana Fever | W 76-70 | 1554.45 | 1481.26 | 49.73% | 50.27% | +7.18 | 19-13 |
| 2004-09-15 | Phoenix Mercury | W 73-58 | 1561.63 | 1506.96 | 67.84% | 32.16% | +7.26 | 20-13 |
| 2004-09-18 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 80-83 | 1568.89 | 1597.56 | 56.63% | 43.37% | -5.72 | 20-14 |
| 2004-05-22 | Charlotte Sting | L 68-71 | 1454.48 | 1485.94 | 56.24% | 43.76% | -5.68 | 0-1 |
| 2004-05-23 | @ Indiana Fever | W 68-67 | 1448.80 | 1494.04 | 33.35% | 66.65% | +3.89 | 1-1 |
| 2004-05-25 | Los Angeles Sparks | L 79-95 | 1452.69 | 1526.82 | 50.13% | 49.87% | -11.69 | 1-2 |
| 2004-05-28 | @ Minnesota Lynx | L 62-73 | 1441.00 | 1490.52 | 32.81% | 67.19% | -6.35 | 1-3 |
| 2004-06-02 | @ Detroit Shock | W 65-63 | 1434.65 | 1542.53 | 25.87% | 74.13% | +6.12 | 2-3 |
| 2004-06-04 | Connecticut Sun | L 63-72 | 1440.77 | 1500.37 | 52.22% | 47.78% | -9.14 | 2-4 |
| 2004-06-11 | Detroit Shock | L 60-74 | 1431.63 | 1546.20 | 44.33% | 55.67% | -9.67 | 2-5 |
| 2004-06-13 | New York Liberty | W 62-60 | 1421.96 | 1533.45 | 44.77% | 55.23% | +4.55 | 3-5 |
| 2004-06-17 | San Antonio Silver Stars | W 76-60 | 1426.51 | 1436.24 | 59.29% | 40.71% | +9.50 | 4-5 |
| 2004-06-20 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 65-75 | 1436.01 | 1489.65 | 32.28% | 67.72% | -5.95 | 4-6 |
| 2004-06-22 | @ Detroit Shock | W 78-72 | 1430.06 | 1569.46 | 22.54% | 77.46% | +11.06 | 5-6 |
| 2004-06-27 | @ Houston Comets | L 67-72 | 1441.12 | 1523.24 | 28.81% | 71.19% | -3.76 | 5-7 |
| 2004-06-30 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 69-78 | 1437.36 | 1514.98 | 29.34% | 70.66% | -5.13 | 5-8 |
| 2004-07-01 | Indiana Fever | W 69-64 | 1432.23 | 1507.52 | 49.96% | 50.04% | +6.52 | 6-8 |
| 2004-07-07 | Seattle Storm | W 72-69 | 1438.75 | 1566.51 | 42.47% | 57.53% | +5.81 | 7-8 |
| 2004-07-08 | @ New York Liberty | W 71-54 | 1444.56 | 1486.25 | 33.81% | 66.19% | +15.91 | 8-8 |
| 2004-07-10 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 65-67 | 1460.47 | 1499.10 | 34.20% | 65.80% | -2.82 | 8-9 |
| 2004-07-15 | Charlotte Sting | W 68-54 | 1457.65 | 1501.92 | 54.42% | 45.58% | +9.95 | 9-9 |
| 2004-07-17 | @ Seattle Storm | L 83-85 | 1467.60 | 1561.52 | 27.44% | 72.56% | -2.27 | 9-10 |
| 2004-07-18 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 71-81 | 1465.33 | 1532.21 | 30.64% | 69.36% | -5.64 | 9-11 |
| 2004-07-21 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 76-96 | 1459.69 | 1577.67 | 24.77% | 75.23% | -6.46 | 9-12 |
| 2004-07-23 | Minnesota Lynx | W 65-61 | 1453.23 | 1512.20 | 52.31% | 47.69% | +5.56 | 10-12 |
| 2004-07-24 | @ Charlotte Sting | L 41-70 | 1458.79 | 1466.72 | 38.28% | 61.72% | -12.02 | 10-13 |
| 2004-07-28 | Detroit Shock | L 65-73 | 1446.77 | 1506.22 | 52.24% | 47.76% | -8.61 | 10-14 |
| 2004-07-30 | Connecticut Sun | W 69-68 | 1438.16 | 1495.56 | 52.53% | 47.47% | +2.76 | 11-14 |
| 2004-08-01 | Phoenix Mercury | W 82-62 | 1440.92 | 1495.75 | 52.90% | 47.10% | +12.28 | 12-14 |
| 2004-09-01 | Indiana Fever | L 58-75 | 1453.20 | 1464.70 | 59.04% | 40.96% | -14.19 | 12-15 |
| 2004-09-04 | @ Indiana Fever | L 42-69 | 1439.01 | 1489.67 | 32.66% | 67.34% | -9.90 | 12-16 |
| 2004-09-07 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 67-63 | 1429.11 | 1552.27 | 43.12% | 56.88% | +6.64 | 13-16 |
| 2004-09-09 | New York Liberty | W 71-59 | 1435.75 | 1493.13 | 52.54% | 47.46% | +9.58 | 14-16 |
| 2004-09-12 | Houston Comets | W 75-63 | 1445.33 | 1496.51 | 53.43% | 46.57% | +9.41 | 15-16 |
| 2004-09-15 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | W 84-73 | 1454.74 | 1389.18 | 48.64% | 51.36% | +9.93 | 16-16 |
| 2004-09-17 | @ Phoenix Mercury | W 74-67 | 1464.67 | 1499.70 | 34.67% | 65.33% | +10.08 | 17-16 |
| 2004-09-19 | @ New York Liberty | L 75-79 | 1474.75 | 1480.24 | 38.62% | 61.38% | -4.51 | 17-17 |
Playoff Games
Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004-09-25 | @ Washington Mystics | L 59-67 | 1522.30 | 1470.24 | 46.70% | 53.30% | -7.70 | 0-1 |
| 2004-09-27 | Washington Mystics | W 80-70 | 1514.60 | 1477.94 | 65.54% | 34.46% | +6.35 | 1-1 |
| 2004-09-29 | Washington Mystics | W 76-56 | 1520.95 | 1471.59 | 67.17% | 32.83% | +8.56 | 2-1 |
| 2004-10-01 | @ New York Liberty | W 61-51 | 1529.51 | 1491.51 | 44.69% | 55.31% | +10.20 | 3-1 |
| 2004-10-03 | New York Liberty | W 60-57 | 1539.71 | 1481.31 | 68.31% | 31.69% | +3.20 | 4-1 |
| 2004-10-08 | Seattle Storm | W 68-64 | 1542.91 | 1593.20 | 53.55% | 46.45% | +5.41 | 5-1 |
| 2004-10-10 | @ Seattle Storm | L 65-67 | 1548.32 | 1587.78 | 34.10% | 65.90% | -2.81 | 5-2 |
| 2004-10-12 | @ Seattle Storm | L 60-74 | 1545.51 | 1590.59 | 33.37% | 66.63% | -7.28 | 5-3 |
| 2004-09-24 | New York Liberty | L 62-75 | 1526.83 | 1484.74 | 66.24% | 33.76% | -13.92 | 0-1 |
| 2004-09-26 | @ New York Liberty | W 76-66 | 1512.91 | 1498.66 | 41.34% | 58.66% | +10.81 | 1-1 |
| 2004-09-28 | @ New York Liberty | L 64-66 | 1523.72 | 1487.85 | 44.39% | 55.61% | -3.66 | 1-2 |
| 2004-09-24 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 52-72 | 1603.28 | 1556.39 | 45.96% | 54.04% | -11.99 | 0-1 |
| 2004-09-26 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 71-57 | 1591.29 | 1568.38 | 63.73% | 36.27% | +7.91 | 1-1 |
| 2004-09-28 | Sacramento Monarchs | L 58-73 | 1599.20 | 1560.47 | 65.81% | 34.19% | -14.86 | 1-2 |
| 2004-09-25 | Seattle Storm | L 58-70 | 1494.88 | 1563.17 | 50.97% | 49.03% | -10.30 | 0-1 |
| 2004-09-27 | @ Seattle Storm | L 54-64 | 1484.58 | 1573.46 | 28.02% | 71.98% | -5.16 | 0-2 |
| 2004-09-24 | @ Detroit Shock | W 75-62 | 1484.74 | 1526.83 | 33.76% | 66.24% | +13.92 | 1-0 |
| 2004-09-26 | Detroit Shock | L 66-76 | 1498.66 | 1512.91 | 58.66% | 41.34% | -10.81 | 1-1 |
| 2004-09-28 | Detroit Shock | W 66-64 | 1487.85 | 1523.72 | 55.61% | 44.39% | +3.66 | 2-1 |
| 2004-10-01 | Connecticut Sun | L 51-61 | 1491.51 | 1529.51 | 55.31% | 44.69% | -10.20 | 2-2 |
| 2004-10-03 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 57-60 | 1481.31 | 1539.71 | 31.69% | 68.31% | -3.20 | 2-3 |
| 2004-09-24 | Los Angeles Sparks | W 72-52 | 1556.39 | 1603.28 | 54.04% | 45.96% | +11.99 | 1-0 |
| 2004-09-26 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | L 57-71 | 1568.38 | 1591.29 | 36.27% | 63.73% | -7.91 | 1-1 |
| 2004-09-28 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | W 73-58 | 1560.47 | 1599.20 | 34.19% | 65.81% | +14.86 | 2-1 |
| 2004-10-01 | Seattle Storm | W 74-72 | 1575.33 | 1578.63 | 60.18% | 39.82% | +3.28 | 3-1 |
| 2004-10-03 | @ Seattle Storm | L 54-66 | 1578.61 | 1575.35 | 39.82% | 60.18% | -8.04 | 3-2 |
| 2004-10-05 | @ Seattle Storm | L 62-82 | 1570.57 | 1583.39 | 37.62% | 62.38% | -9.81 | 3-3 |
| 2004-09-25 | @ Minnesota Lynx | W 70-58 | 1563.17 | 1494.88 | 49.03% | 50.97% | +10.29 | 1-0 |
| 2004-09-27 | Minnesota Lynx | W 64-54 | 1573.46 | 1484.58 | 71.98% | 28.02% | +5.17 | 2-0 |
| 2004-10-01 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | L 72-74 | 1578.63 | 1575.33 | 39.82% | 60.18% | -3.28 | 2-1 |
| 2004-10-03 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 66-54 | 1575.35 | 1578.61 | 60.18% | 39.82% | +8.04 | 3-1 |
| 2004-10-05 | Sacramento Monarchs | W 82-62 | 1583.39 | 1570.57 | 62.38% | 37.62% | +9.81 | 4-1 |
| 2004-10-08 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 64-68 | 1593.20 | 1542.91 | 46.45% | 53.55% | -5.42 | 4-2 |
| 2004-10-10 | Connecticut Sun | W 67-65 | 1587.78 | 1548.32 | 65.90% | 34.10% | +2.81 | 5-2 |
| 2004-10-12 | Connecticut Sun | W 74-60 | 1590.59 | 1545.51 | 66.63% | 33.37% | +7.28 | 6-2 |
| 2004-09-25 | Connecticut Sun | W 67-59 | 1470.24 | 1522.30 | 53.30% | 46.70% | +7.70 | 1-0 |
| 2004-09-27 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 70-80 | 1477.94 | 1514.60 | 34.46% | 65.54% | -6.35 | 1-1 |
| 2004-09-29 | @ Connecticut Sun | L 56-76 | 1471.59 | 1520.95 | 32.83% | 67.17% | -8.56 | 1-2 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2004-06-22 | 22.54% | Washington Mystics | 1430.06 | 78 | @ Detroit Shock | 1569.46 | 72 |
| 2 | 2004-09-17 | 23.73% | Minnesota Lynx | 1485.20 | 78 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1612.96 | 66 |
| 3 | 2004-09-10 | 23.89% | San Antonio Silver Stars | 1373.27 | 82 | @ Indiana Fever | 1499.56 | 65 |
| 4 | 2004-06-02 | 25.87% | Washington Mystics | 1434.65 | 65 | @ Detroit Shock | 1542.53 | 63 |
| 5 | 2004-06-26 | 29.47% | New York Liberty | 1484.89 | 67 | @ Seattle Storm | 1561.42 | 62 |
| 6 | 2004-05-20 | 29.60% | San Antonio Silver Stars | 1458.49 | 64 | @ Houston Comets | 1534.00 | 55 |
| 7 | 2004-07-22 | 30.81% | Phoenix Mercury | 1472.37 | 71 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | 1537.86 | 69 |
| 8 | 2004-05-22 | 30.85% | Phoenix Mercury | 1441.77 | 65 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1506.98 | 58 |
| 9 | 2004-07-17 | 31.61% | Sacramento Monarchs | 1520.25 | 79 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1579.25 | 70 |
| 10 | 2004-06-22 | 32.60% | Houston Comets | 1519.89 | 63 | @ Seattle Storm | 1571.05 | 57 |
| 11 | 2004-06-29 | 32.69% | Indiana Fever | 1503.59 | 69 | @ Detroit Shock | 1554.01 | 68 |
| 12 | 2004-06-27 | 32.73% | Connecticut Sun | 1509.43 | 74 | @ Detroit Shock | 1559.56 | 72 |
| 13 | 2004-09-17 | 33.14% | New York Liberty | 1473.49 | 69 | @ Connecticut Sun | 1520.36 | 66 |
| 14 | 2004-09-01 | 33.23% | Sacramento Monarchs | 1532.97 | 73 | @ Seattle Storm | 1579.18 | 65 |
| 15 | 2004-07-12 | 33.34% | Sacramento Monarchs | 1510.41 | 67 | @ Detroit Shock | 1555.70 | 51 |
| 16 | 2004-05-23 | 33.35% | Washington Mystics | 1448.80 | 68 | @ Indiana Fever | 1494.04 | 67 |
| 17 | 2004-06-11 | 33.39% | Indiana Fever | 1496.30 | 72 | @ New York Liberty | 1541.22 | 68 |
| 18 | 2004-06-26 | 33.43% | San Antonio Silver Stars | 1428.10 | 80 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 1472.68 | 72 |
| 19 | 2004-05-22 | 33.57% | Minnesota Lynx | 1488.62 | 69 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | 1532.14 | 61 |
| 20 | 2004-09-24 * | 33.76% | New York Liberty | 1484.74 | 75 | @ Detroit Shock | 1526.83 | 62 |
| 21 | 2004-07-08 | 33.81% | Washington Mystics | 1444.56 | 71 | @ New York Liberty | 1486.25 | 54 |
| 22 | 2004-09-28 * | 34.19% | Sacramento Monarchs | 1560.47 | 73 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 1599.20 | 58 |
| 23 | 2004-09-03 | 34.66% | Indiana Fever | 1478.89 | 69 | @ Minnesota Lynx | 1513.98 | 61 |
| 24 | 2004-09-17 | 34.67% | Washington Mystics | 1464.67 | 74 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 1499.70 | 67 |
| 25 | 2004-07-03 | 34.71% | Charlotte Sting | 1484.10 | 62 | @ Houston Comets | 1518.85 | 55 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | |||
| 1 | 2004-09-10 | 18.30 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 82 | 1373.27 | 23.89% | @ Indiana Fever | 65 | 1499.56 | 76.11% |
| 2 | 2004-06-15 | 17.00 | Seattle Storm | 86 | 1537.06 | 40.49% | @ New York Liberty | 62 | 1528.90 | 59.51% |
| 3 | 2004-07-15 | 16.32 | @ Houston Comets | 97 | 1488.37 | 53.34% | Detroit Shock | 61 | 1540.16 | 46.66% |
| 4 | 2004-07-08 | 15.92 | Washington Mystics | 71 | 1444.56 | 33.81% | @ New York Liberty | 54 | 1486.25 | 66.19% |
| 5 | 2004-07-12 | 15.54 | Sacramento Monarchs | 67 | 1510.41 | 33.34% | @ Detroit Shock | 51 | 1555.70 | 66.66% |
| 6 | 2004-09-17 | 15.40 | Minnesota Lynx | 78 | 1485.20 | 23.73% | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 66 | 1612.96 | 76.27% |
| 7 | 2004-06-01 | 15.34 | Indiana Fever | 79 | 1479.45 | 39.62% | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 60 | 1477.58 | 60.38% |
| 8 | 2004-09-28 * | 14.86 | Sacramento Monarchs | 73 | 1560.47 | 34.19% | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 58 | 1599.20 | 65.81% |
| 9 | 2004-07-22 | 14.33 | Minnesota Lynx | 68 | 1497.87 | 38.57% | @ Connecticut Sun | 52 | 1503.73 | 61.43% |
| 10 | 2004-07-09 | 14.26 | Sacramento Monarchs | 85 | 1504.59 | 36.85% | @ Connecticut Sun | 70 | 1523.17 | 63.15% |
| 11 | 2004-09-01 | 14.19 | Indiana Fever | 75 | 1464.70 | 40.96% | @ Washington Mystics | 58 | 1453.20 | 59.04% |
| 12 | 2004-07-27 | 14.14 | @ Houston Comets | 80 | 1506.99 | 51.51% | Seattle Storm | 55 | 1571.55 | 48.49% |
| 13 | 2004-09-24 * | 13.92 | New York Liberty | 75 | 1484.74 | 33.76% | @ Detroit Shock | 62 | 1526.83 | 66.24% |
| 14 | 2004-06-22 | 13.04 | Los Angeles Sparks | 65 | 1540.63 | 44.11% | @ New York Liberty | 49 | 1506.71 | 55.89% |
| 15 | 2004-07-01 | 13.02 | Phoenix Mercury | 71 | 1468.62 | 35.53% | @ Charlotte Sting | 59 | 1497.12 | 64.47% |
| 16 | 2004-09-17 | 12.90 | @ San Antonio Silver Stars | 82 | 1379.25 | 46.33% | Charlotte Sting | 65 | 1479.82 | 53.67% |
| 17 | 2004-09-15 | 12.78 | Connecticut Sun | 81 | 1507.58 | 41.45% | @ Charlotte Sting | 67 | 1492.59 | 58.55% |
| 18 | 2004-05-22 | 12.63 | @ Seattle Storm | 93 | 1517.11 | 57.53% | Los Angeles Sparks | 67 | 1539.45 | 42.47% |
| 19 | 2004-06-22 | 12.53 | @ Phoenix Mercury | 69 | 1451.36 | 55.19% | Minnesota Lynx | 46 | 1490.22 | 44.81% |
| 20 | 2004-05-20 | 12.31 | San Antonio Silver Stars | 64 | 1458.49 | 29.60% | @ Houston Comets | 55 | 1534.00 | 70.40% |
| 21 | 2004-08-01 | 12.28 | @ Washington Mystics | 82 | 1440.92 | 52.90% | Phoenix Mercury | 62 | 1495.75 | 47.10% |
| 22 | 2004-07-30 | 12.26 | Seattle Storm | 70 | 1557.41 | 45.75% | @ Minnesota Lynx | 55 | 1512.02 | 54.25% |
| 23 | 2004-07-24 | 12.02 | @ Charlotte Sting | 70 | 1466.72 | 61.72% | Washington Mystics | 41 | 1458.79 | 38.28% |
| 24 | 2004-09-24 * | 11.99 | @ Sacramento Monarchs | 72 | 1556.39 | 54.04% | Los Angeles Sparks | 52 | 1603.28 | 45.96% |
| 25 | 2004-07-17 | 11.96 | Sacramento Monarchs | 79 | 1520.25 | 31.61% | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 70 | 1579.25 | 68.39% |