2015 WNBA Season

204 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Minnesota Lynx

3rd Title

Last Title: 2013

Runner-Up

Indiana Fever

Last Appearance: 2012

Biggest Overachiever

New York Liberty

4.57 wins above expected

23 wins · 18.43 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

San Antonio Silver Stars

4.87 wins below expected

8 wins · 12.87 expected wins

Final Standings

Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PPG	OPP	DIFF	SimW	vsSim
1	New York Liberty League	23	11	.676	—	74.4	71.1	+3.3	18.43	+4.57
2	Chicago Sky Playoffs	21	13	.618	2	82.9	78.8	+4.1	18.40	+2.60
3	Indiana Fever Playoffs	20	14	.588	3	77.7	75.8	+1.9	17.22	+2.78
4	Washington Mystics Playoffs	18	16	.529	5	73.6	71.2	+2.3	18.14	-0.14
5	Connecticut Sun	15	19	.441	8	75.0	76.6	-1.6	16.03	-1.03
6	Atlanta Dream	15	19	.441	8	77.8	79.8	-2.0	14.73	+0.27

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PPG	OPP	DIFF	SimW	vsSim
1	Minnesota Lynx League	22	12	.647	—	75.5	71.7	+3.7	21.97	+0.03
2	Phoenix Mercury Playoffs	20	14	.588	2	75.1	72.3	+2.9	21.82	-1.82
3	Tulsa Shock Playoffs	18	16	.529	4	77.7	77.1	+0.6	16.84	+1.16
4	Los Angeles Sparks Playoffs	14	20	.412	8	73.6	74.6	-0.9	14.80	-0.80
5	Seattle Storm	10	24	.294	12	70.4	76.1	-5.6	12.74	-2.74
6	San Antonio Silver Stars	8	26	.235	14	68.1	76.7	-8.6	12.87	-4.87

Playoff Bracket

The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.

Eastern Conference

Conference Semifinals

Indiana Fever 2

Chicago Sky 1

3 games · Sep 17–Sep 21

New York Liberty 2

Washington Mystics 1

3 games · Sep 18–Sep 22

Conference Final

Indiana Fever 2

New York Liberty 1

3 games · Sep 23–Sep 29

Western Conference

Conference Semifinals

Phoenix Mercury 2

Tulsa Shock 0

2 games · Sep 17–Sep 19

Minnesota Lynx 2

Los Angeles Sparks 1

3 games · Sep 18–Sep 22

Conference Final

Minnesota Lynx 2

Phoenix Mercury 0

2 games · Sep 24–Sep 27

WNBA Finals

Minnesota Lynx 3

Indiana Fever 2

5 games · Oct 4–Oct 14

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Conference	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Phoenix Mercury	Western	1582	20	21.82	-1.82	31.05%	11	17	20	22	24	26	33
Minnesota Lynx	Western	1570	22	21.97	+0.03	57.44%	11	18	20	22	24	26	33
Chicago Sky	Eastern	1561	21	18.40	+2.60	86.99%	9	14	17	18	20	23	28
New York Liberty	Eastern	1557	23	18.43	+4.57	96.67%	8	14	17	18	20	23	28
Indiana Fever	Eastern	1556	20	17.22	+2.78	87.55%	8	13	15	17	19	22	27
Washington Mystics	Eastern	1547	18	18.14	-0.14	54.86%	8	14	16	18	20	23	27
Tulsa Shock	Western	1504	18	16.84	+1.16	72.82%	7	12	15	17	19	21	27
Los Angeles Sparks	Western	1492	14	14.80	-0.80	45.93%	6	10	13	15	17	19	27
Atlanta Dream	Eastern	1486	15	14.73	+0.27	61.30%	4	10	13	15	17	19	25
Connecticut Sun	Eastern	1436	15	16.03	-1.03	42.10%	4	12	14	16	18	21	27
Seattle Storm	Western	1394	10	12.74	-2.74	20.84%	4	8	11	13	15	17	23
San Antonio Silver Stars	Western	1316	8	12.87	-4.87	5.00%	4	8	11	13	15	17	22

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record (row vs column) and below it the expected number of wins the model predicted based on each individual game's win probability. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than half a win in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin. The first matrix for each division covers within-division games; the second (when shown) covers games against teams outside that division — aggregated by division when there are many opponents, broken out team-by-team when there are few.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within Eastern

Team	Dream	Sky	Sun	Fever	Liberty	Mystics
Atlanta Dream	—	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	3-2 (2.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	1-4 (2.0 exp.)	4-0 (1.7 exp.)
Chicago Sky	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	—	2-3 (2.7 exp.)	4-0 (2.1 exp.)	1-3 (2.0 exp.)	4-1 (2.6 exp.)
Connecticut Sun	2-3 (2.5 exp.)	3-2 (2.3 exp.)	—	0-4 (2.0 exp.)	0-4 (1.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.8 exp.)
Indiana Fever	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	0-4 (1.9 exp.)	4-0 (2.0 exp.)	—	4-1 (2.5 exp.)	2-3 (2.3 exp.)
New York Liberty	4-1 (3.0 exp.)	3-1 (2.0 exp.)	4-0 (2.5 exp.)	1-4 (2.5 exp.)	—	1-3 (2.0 exp.)
Washington Mystics	0-4 (2.3 exp.)	1-4 (2.4 exp.)	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	3-2 (2.7 exp.)	3-1 (2.0 exp.)	—

Eastern vs. Outside Teams

Team	Sparks	Lynx	Mercury	Stars	Storm	Shock
Atlanta Dream	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Chicago Sky	0-2 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Connecticut Sun	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Indiana Fever	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
New York Liberty	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)
Washington Mystics	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)

Within Western

Team	Sparks	Lynx	Mercury	Stars	Storm	Shock
Los Angeles Sparks	—	1-3 (1.2 exp.)	2-2 (1.2 exp.)	4-1 (2.8 exp.)	0-4 (2.3 exp.)	3-2 (2.3 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx	3-1 (2.8 exp.)	—	2-3 (2.5 exp.)	4-0 (2.9 exp.)	4-1 (3.7 exp.)	3-1 (2.6 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury	2-2 (2.8 exp.)	3-2 (2.5 exp.)	—	3-1 (2.9 exp.)	4-0 (2.9 exp.)	3-2 (3.1 exp.)
San Antonio Silver Stars	1-4 (2.2 exp.)	0-4 (1.1 exp.)	1-3 (1.1 exp.)	—	3-2 (2.3 exp.)	1-3 (1.5 exp.)
Seattle Storm	4-0 (1.7 exp.)	1-4 (1.3 exp.)	0-4 (1.1 exp.)	2-3 (2.7 exp.)	—	1-3 (1.5 exp.)
Tulsa Shock	2-3 (2.7 exp.)	1-3 (1.4 exp.)	2-3 (1.9 exp.)	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	—

Western vs. Outside Teams

Team	Dream	Sky	Sun	Fever	Liberty	Mystics
Los Angeles Sparks	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Minnesota Lynx	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)
Phoenix Mercury	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
San Antonio Silver Stars	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
Seattle Storm	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)
Tulsa Shock	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)

Scoring Distribution

Histograms of points scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.

Filter by team:

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	—
Mean allowed	—
StdDev scored	—
StdDev allowed	—
Correlation (home vs away score)	—
Sample size (games)	—

Actual vs. Point Differential

How points translated into wins. Teams above the cluster overperformed their points differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	New York Liberty	23	18.43	+4.57
2	Indiana Fever	20	17.22	+2.78
3	Chicago Sky	21	18.40	+2.60
4	Tulsa Shock	18	16.84	+1.16
5	Atlanta Dream	15	14.73	+0.27

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	San Antonio Silver Stars	8	12.87	-4.87
2	Seattle Storm	10	12.74	-2.74
3	Phoenix Mercury	20	21.82	-1.82
4	Connecticut Sun	15	16.03	-1.03
5	Los Angeles Sparks	14	14.80	-0.80

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Connecticut Sun	7	Jun 7 – Jun 26	1 in 209
2	Tulsa Shock	8	Jun 6 – Jun 28	1 in 171
3	Indiana Fever	6	Aug 7 – Aug 23	1 in 85
4	Los Angeles Sparks	4	Jul 31 – Aug 6	1 in 64
5	New York Liberty	5	Jul 15 – Jul 22	1 in 35

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Tulsa Shock	10	Jul 15 – Aug 12	1 in 670
2	Connecticut Sun	7	Aug 14 – Aug 29	1 in 91
3	Los Angeles Sparks	7	Jun 6 – Jun 28	1 in 62
4	San Antonio Silver Stars	10	Aug 11 – Sep 8	1 in 56
5	Phoenix Mercury	3	Aug 16 – Aug 21	1 in 40

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between divisions, leagues, and the overall WNBA view. Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6
New York Liberty	26.10%	22.24%	18.42%	15.47%	10.94%	6.83%
Chicago Sky	25.31%	22.32%	19.37%	15.03%	11.34%	6.63%
Washington Mystics	23.53%	20.71%	18.76%	16.44%	12.38%	8.18%
Indiana Fever	14.56%	17.55%	18.55%	18.52%	17.45%	13.37%
Connecticut Sun	7.06%	10.76%	15.52%	19.21%	23.53%	23.92%
Atlanta Dream	3.44%	6.42%	9.38%	15.33%	24.36%	41.07%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6
Minnesota Lynx	48.31%	40.31%	8.91%	2.05%	0.32%	0.10%
Phoenix Mercury	46.67%	39.84%	10.32%	2.53%	0.55%	0.09%
Tulsa Shock	3.80%	13.14%	42.22%	24.04%	11.79%	5.01%
Los Angeles Sparks	0.92%	4.36%	21.81%	32.57%	24.57%	15.77%
San Antonio Silver Stars	0.11%	1.30%	8.58%	19.55%	31.40%	39.06%
Seattle Storm	0.19%	1.05%	8.16%	19.26%	31.37%	39.97%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Minnesota Lynx	38.29%	26.02%	14.96%	8.49%	5.37%	2.93%	2.05%	0.97%	0.61%	0.20%	0.07%	0.04%
Phoenix Mercury	37.84%	24.59%	14.45%	9.17%	5.88%	3.49%	2.02%	1.37%	0.68%	0.34%	0.12%	0.05%
New York Liberty	6.20%	11.02%	14.14%	14.58%	12.93%	12.14%	9.18%	7.20%	5.69%	3.69%	2.30%	0.93%
Chicago Sky	5.49%	10.78%	14.82%	14.64%	13.46%	11.46%	9.48%	7.15%	5.65%	3.78%	2.54%	0.75%
Washington Mystics	5.08%	10.06%	13.16%	13.95%	12.90%	11.56%	10.13%	8.27%	6.29%	4.68%	2.73%	1.19%
Indiana Fever	2.69%	6.44%	9.78%	11.35%	12.44%	12.34%	11.60%	10.02%	9.02%	7.18%	4.87%	2.27%
Tulsa Shock	2.43%	4.92%	7.45%	8.85%	11.29%	13.16%	12.88%	11.97%	9.95%	8.12%	5.61%	3.37%
Connecticut Sun	1.02%	3.01%	5.26%	7.72%	9.76%	11.33%	12.39%	12.44%	12.10%	11.00%	8.97%	5.00%
Atlanta Dream	0.44%	1.28%	2.82%	4.39%	5.90%	7.79%	9.52%	12.50%	13.80%	15.08%	14.71%	11.77%
Los Angeles Sparks	0.41%	1.33%	2.16%	4.59%	5.89%	7.62%	10.50%	12.55%	14.14%	14.70%	14.65%	11.46%
San Antonio Silver Stars	0.03%	0.32%	0.51%	1.29%	2.08%	3.00%	5.04%	8.11%	11.66%	15.51%	21.68%	30.77%
Seattle Storm	0.08%	0.23%	0.49%	0.98%	2.10%	3.18%	5.21%	7.45%	10.41%	15.72%	21.75%	32.40%

Win Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	Missed Playoffs
New York Liberty	26.10%	22.24%	18.42%	15.47%	17.77%
Chicago Sky	25.31%	22.32%	19.37%	15.03%	17.97%
Washington Mystics	23.53%	20.71%	18.76%	16.44%	20.56%
Indiana Fever	14.56%	17.55%	18.55%	18.52%	30.82%
Connecticut Sun	7.06%	10.76%	15.52%	19.21%	47.45%
Atlanta Dream	3.44%	6.42%	9.38%	15.33%	65.43%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Minnesota Lynx	48.31%	40.31%	8.91%	2.05%	0.42%
Phoenix Mercury	46.67%	39.84%	10.32%	2.53%	0.64%
Tulsa Shock	3.80%	13.14%	42.22%	24.04%	16.80%
Los Angeles Sparks	0.92%	4.36%	21.81%	32.57%	40.34%
Seattle Storm	0.19%	1.05%	8.16%	19.26%	71.34%
San Antonio Silver Stars	0.11%	1.30%	8.58%	19.55%	70.46%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

Empirical cumulative distribution: for each seed in each conference, the probability that a team holding that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Semifinals	Advanced to Finals	Won Finals
Phoenix Mercury	99.36%	73.28%	42.14%	24.05%
Minnesota Lynx	99.58%	72.15%	38.59%	21.15%
Chicago Sky	82.03%	47.18%	25.50%	12.77%
New York Liberty	82.23%	46.87%	25.15%	12.38%
Washington Mystics	79.44%	42.40%	21.25%	9.93%
Indiana Fever	69.18%	37.30%	19.47%	9.27%
Tulsa Shock	83.20%	28.42%	10.60%	4.48%
Los Angeles Sparks	59.66%	18.86%	7.34%	2.88%
Atlanta Dream	34.57%	12.46%	4.61%	1.59%
Connecticut Sun	52.55%	13.79%	4.02%	1.22%
Seattle Storm	28.66%	4.48%	0.96%	0.22%
San Antonio Silver Stars	29.54%	2.81%	0.37%	0.06%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Indiana Fever	New York Liberty	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream		2.73%	1.95%	2.01%	2.87%	2.90%
Chicago Sky	5.68%		10.35%	9.37%	10.71%	11.07%
Connecticut Sun	1.59%	2.76%		2.48%	3.55%	3.41%
Indiana Fever	3.97%	8.53%	6.91%		8.87%	9.02%
New York Liberty	5.84%	11.03%	10.07%	9.29%		10.64%
Washington Mystics	5.03%	9.80%	9.48%	8.73%	9.36%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	Phoenix Mercury	San Antonio Silver Stars	Seattle Storm	Tulsa Shock
Los Angeles Sparks		8.59%	7.53%	0.32%	0.42%	2.00%
Minnesota Lynx	19.41%		3.75%	12.51%	11.54%	24.94%
Phoenix Mercury	18.94%	3.77%		12.37%	11.20%	27.00%
San Antonio Silver Stars	0.07%	1.28%	1.10%		0.04%	0.32%
Seattle Storm	0.12%	2.01%	1.71%	0.12%		0.52%
Tulsa Shock	2.26%	11.78%	11.99%	1.41%	0.98%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Indiana Fever	New York Liberty	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream		1.10%	0.52%	0.88%	1.07%	1.04%
Chicago Sky	2.35%		2.47%	6.10%	7.52%	7.06%
Connecticut Sun	0.35%	1.00%		0.62%	1.18%	0.87%
Indiana Fever	1.61%	5.48%	1.95%		5.49%	4.94%
New York Liberty	1.93%	7.59%	2.55%	5.84%		7.24%
Washington Mystics	1.61%	6.51%	2.28%	4.39%	6.46%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	Phoenix Mercury	San Antonio Silver Stars	Seattle Storm	Tulsa Shock
Los Angeles Sparks		2.22%	2.90%	0.14%	0.25%	1.83%
Minnesota Lynx	4.51%		24.24%	0.91%	1.19%	7.74%
Phoenix Mercury	4.76%	27.17%		0.85%	1.41%	7.95%
San Antonio Silver Stars	0.06%	0.09%	0.09%		0.02%	0.11%
Seattle Storm	0.19%	0.25%	0.32%	0.01%		0.19%
Tulsa Shock	2.00%	3.83%	3.59%	0.53%	0.65%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Dream	Chicago Sky	Connecticut Sun	Indiana Fever	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	San Antonio Silver Stars	Seattle Storm	Tulsa Shock	Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream					0.17%	0.63%		0.50%		0.04%	0.25%
Chicago Sky					1.17%	4.79%		4.73%	0.14%	0.20%	1.74%
Connecticut Sun					0.11%	0.44%		0.50%	0.01%		0.16%
Indiana Fever					0.84%	3.23%		3.72%	0.06%	0.21%	1.21%
Los Angeles Sparks	0.17%	0.55%	0.21%	0.62%			0.73%					0.60%
Minnesota Lynx	1.17%	5.21%	1.21%	4.21%			4.72%					4.63%
New York Liberty					1.17%	4.83%		4.64%	0.06%	0.12%	1.56%
Phoenix Mercury	1.41%	5.86%	1.14%	4.47%			6.23%					4.94%
San Antonio Silver Stars	0.01%	0.02%	0.01%	0.01%								0.01%
Seattle Storm	0.01%	0.03%	0.02%	0.01%			0.07%					0.08%
Tulsa Shock	0.25%	1.06%	0.21%	0.88%			1.02%					1.06%
Washington Mystics					1.00%	3.52%		4.00%	0.04%	0.17%	1.20%

Actual Bracket Simulation

With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.

Team	Advanced to Semifinals	Advanced to Finals	Won Finals	Actual Outcome
Minnesota Lynx	69.92%	39.68%	21.08%	Won Finals
Indiana Fever	42.81%	21.51%	10.69%	Eliminated in Finals

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Sky	Indiana Fever	New York Liberty	Washington Mystics
Chicago Sky		57.19%
Indiana Fever	42.81%
New York Liberty				57.47%
Washington Mystics			42.53%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	Phoenix Mercury	Tulsa Shock
Los Angeles Sparks		30.08%
Minnesota Lynx	69.92%
Phoenix Mercury				69.98%
Tulsa Shock			30.02%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Sky	Indiana Fever	New York Liberty	Washington Mystics
Chicago Sky			15.24%	13.67%
Indiana Fever			10.82%	10.69%
New York Liberty	17.94%	13.47%
Washington Mystics	10.34%	7.83%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	Phoenix Mercury	Tulsa Shock
Los Angeles Sparks			6.56%	3.69%
Minnesota Lynx			26.44%	13.24%
Phoenix Mercury	14.62%	22.36%
Tulsa Shock	5.21%	7.88%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Sky	Indiana Fever	Los Angeles Sparks	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	Phoenix Mercury	Tulsa Shock	Washington Mystics
Chicago Sky			1.93%	5.30%		5.19%	2.48%
Indiana Fever			1.39%	4.03%		3.58%	1.69%
Los Angeles Sparks	0.98%	0.85%			1.24%			0.64%
Minnesota Lynx	6.41%	4.50%			5.95%			4.22%
New York Liberty			2.08%	6.45%		5.76%	2.66%
Phoenix Mercury	5.32%	4.55%			5.64%			4.11%
Tulsa Shock	1.30%	0.92%			1.63%			1.03%
Washington Mystics			1.14%	2.82%		2.83%	1.38%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.

Minnesota Lynx 21.08% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

69.92%

→

Semifinals

vs. Phoenix Mercury

Matchup

66.63%

Win Prob

54.18%

→

Finals

vs. Chicago Sky

Matchup

30.41%

Win Prob

54.74%

Phoenix Mercury 19.62% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Tulsa Shock

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

69.98%

→

Semifinals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

60.47%

Win Prob

45.82%

→

Finals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

28.75%

Win Prob

49.47%

New York Liberty 16.95% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Washington Mystics

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

57.47%

→

Semifinals

vs. Chicago Sky

Matchup

57.12%

Win Prob

54.07%

→

Finals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

38.05%

Win Prob

52.02%

Chicago Sky 14.90% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Indiana Fever

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

57.19%

→

Semifinals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

52.72%

Win Prob

45.93%

→

Finals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

35.57%

Win Prob

45.26%

Indiana Fever 10.69% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Chicago Sky

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

42.81%

→

Semifinals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

50.30%

Win Prob

44.55%

→

Finals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

37.70%

Win Prob

47.25%

Washington Mystics 8.17% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

42.53%

→

Semifinals

vs. Chicago Sky

Matchup

56.91%

Win Prob

43.07%

→

Finals

vs. Phoenix Mercury

Matchup

34.64%

Win Prob

40.78%

Tulsa Shock 4.88% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Phoenix Mercury

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

30.02%

→

Semifinals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

60.20%

Win Prob

37.31%

→

Finals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

33.40%

Win Prob

38.00%

Los Angeles Sparks 3.71% chance to win

Quarterfinals

vs. Minnesota Lynx

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

30.08%

→

Semifinals

vs. Phoenix Mercury

Matchup

64.00%

Win Prob

30.97%

→

Finals

vs. New York Liberty

Matchup

33.42%

Win Prob

37.35%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2015-06-05	@ New York Liberty	L 73-82	1502.05	1468.48	42.89%	57.11%	-10.26	0-1
2015-06-07	Connecticut Sun	L 70-75	1491.79	1460.97	65.86%	34.14%	-11.73	0-2
2015-06-11	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 72-69	1480.06	1476.11	62.30%	37.70%	+5.20	1-2
2015-06-12	@ Washington Mystics	W 64-61	1485.26	1503.28	35.82%	64.18%	+8.86	2-2
2015-06-14	@ Connecticut Sun	L 64-82	1494.12	1477.29	40.55%	59.45%	-13.71	2-3
2015-06-16	Indiana Fever	L 79-90	1480.41	1443.44	66.65%	33.35%	-17.62	2-4
2015-06-19	Chicago Sky	W 74-73	1462.79	1509.91	55.19%	44.81%	+3.57	3-4
2015-06-21	New York Liberty	L 64-73	1466.36	1455.36	63.25%	36.75%	-15.12	3-5
2015-06-24	@ Chicago Sky	L 96-100	1451.24	1517.83	29.67%	70.33%	-4.73	3-6
2015-06-26	Washington Mystics	W 72-69	1446.51	1524.67	50.74%	49.26%	+6.80	4-6
2015-07-05	Seattle Storm	W 72-64	1453.31	1423.77	65.69%	34.31%	+7.73	5-6
2015-07-07	Tulsa Shock	L 75-85	1461.04	1522.28	53.17%	46.83%	-13.40	5-7
2015-07-12	New York Liberty	W 84-76	1447.64	1496.35	54.96%	45.04%	+10.16	6-7
2015-07-14	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 71-80	1457.80	1612.28	20.28%	79.72%	-4.85	6-8
2015-07-16	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 76-72	1452.95	1415.16	43.49%	56.51%	+9.00	7-8
2015-07-18	@ Seattle Storm	L 73-86	1461.95	1399.48	47.00%	53.00%	-13.50	7-9
2015-07-21	@ Chicago Sky	L 92-97	1448.45	1549.06	25.75%	74.25%	-4.59	7-10
2015-07-29	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	L 85-102	1443.86	1431.98	39.86%	60.14%	-13.10	7-11
2015-07-31	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 70-86	1430.76	1634.20	16.10%	83.90%	-5.14	7-12
2015-08-02	Phoenix Mercury	L 68-71	1425.62	1613.65	35.37%	64.63%	-4.88	7-13
2015-08-07	@ Indiana Fever	L 77-106	1420.74	1497.72	28.44%	71.56%	-12.21	7-14
2015-08-09	@ Tulsa Shock	W 98-90	1408.53	1461.42	31.35%	68.65%	+15.48	8-14
2015-08-14	Minnesota Lynx	L 82-84	1424.01	1621.96	34.08%	65.92%	-3.84	8-15
2015-08-16	Connecticut Sun	W 90-77	1420.17	1485.21	52.63%	47.37%	+13.61	9-15
2015-08-21	@ New York Liberty	L 67-78	1433.78	1575.02	21.54%	78.46%	-5.69	9-16
2015-08-23	@ Connecticut Sun	W 102-92	1428.09	1462.99	33.62%	66.38%	+16.73	10-16
2015-08-25	Connecticut Sun	W 71-57	1444.82	1446.26	61.57%	38.43%	+11.46	11-16
2015-08-28	@ Indiana Fever	W 90-84	1456.28	1566.68	24.69%	75.31%	+14.70	12-16
2015-08-29	Chicago Sky	L 96-98	1470.98	1537.76	52.38%	47.62%	-5.90	12-17
2015-09-01	@ New York Liberty	L 75-80	1465.08	1600.76	22.09%	77.91%	-3.94	12-18
2015-09-06	Washington Mystics	W 73-67	1461.14	1528.25	52.33%	47.67%	+9.31	13-18
2015-09-09	Los Angeles Sparks	W 90-60	1470.45	1516.10	55.40%	44.60%	+19.47	14-18
2015-09-11	Indiana Fever	L 67-75	1489.92	1536.18	55.31%	44.69%	-12.47	14-19
2015-09-13	@ Washington Mystics	W 73-71	1477.45	1554.75	28.40%	71.60%	+8.07	15-19
2015-06-05	Indiana Fever	W 95-72	1485.05	1494.25	60.51%	39.49%	+15.10	1-0
2015-06-06	@ Tulsa Shock	L 93-101	1500.15	1464.72	43.15%	56.85%	-9.73	1-1
2015-06-11	@ Connecticut Sun	L 65-67	1490.42	1472.70	40.67%	59.33%	-4.59	1-2
2015-06-14	@ Indiana Fever	W 98-72	1485.83	1467.52	40.75%	59.25%	+24.08	2-2
2015-06-19	@ Atlanta Dream	L 73-74	1509.91	1462.79	44.81%	55.19%	-3.57	2-3
2015-06-20	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 95-87	1506.34	1429.63	49.05%	50.95%	+11.49	3-3
2015-06-24	Atlanta Dream	W 100-96	1517.83	1451.24	70.33%	29.67%	+4.73	4-3
2015-06-26	@ Indiana Fever	W 83-77	1522.56	1465.80	46.19%	53.81%	+10.50	5-3
2015-06-28	@ Washington Mystics	L 71-86	1533.06	1517.87	40.32%	59.68%	-12.44	5-4
2015-06-30	New York Liberty	L 81-89	1520.62	1472.00	68.12%	31.88%	-15.36	5-5
2015-07-02	@ Connecticut Sun	W 77-74	1505.26	1531.83	34.69%	65.31%	+9.01	6-5
2015-07-10	Minnesota Lynx	W 90-83	1514.27	1613.31	47.74%	52.26%	+11.02	7-5
2015-07-12	Connecticut Sun	W 96-76	1525.29	1522.81	62.10%	37.90%	+13.51	8-5
2015-07-15	Washington Mystics	W 85-57	1538.80	1503.58	66.43%	33.57%	+14.16	9-5
2015-07-17	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 66-84	1552.96	1617.60	29.91%	70.09%	-10.11	9-6
2015-07-19	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 93-82	1542.85	1421.26	76.49%	23.51%	+6.21	10-6
2015-07-21	Atlanta Dream	W 97-92	1549.06	1448.45	74.25%	25.75%	+4.59	11-6
2015-07-28	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 87-89	1553.65	1596.76	32.57%	67.43%	-3.67	11-7
2015-07-31	Los Angeles Sparks	L 77-88	1549.98	1405.91	78.73%	21.27%	-20.81	11-8
2015-08-02	Washington Mystics	W 71-68	1529.17	1554.54	58.26%	41.74%	+5.76	12-8
2015-08-04	Indiana Fever	W 106-82	1534.93	1511.42	64.91%	35.09%	+13.70	13-8
2015-08-07	New York Liberty	L 63-77	1548.63	1524.60	64.97%	35.03%	-19.37	13-9
2015-08-09	Phoenix Mercury	W 74-64	1529.26	1629.63	47.55%	52.45%	+13.22	14-9
2015-08-11	@ New York Liberty	L 63-84	1542.48	1543.98	38.03%	61.97%	-13.89	14-10
2015-08-14	@ Seattle Storm	W 94-84	1528.59	1392.60	57.52%	42.48%	+10.70	15-10
2015-08-16	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 64-76	1539.29	1454.53	50.21%	49.79%	-13.86	15-11
2015-08-21	Washington Mystics	W 87-85	1525.43	1564.68	56.31%	43.69%	+4.93	16-11
2015-08-23	@ Washington Mystics	W 66-64	1530.36	1559.75	34.33%	65.67%	+7.40	17-11
2015-08-29	@ Atlanta Dream	W 98-96	1537.76	1470.98	47.62%	52.38%	+5.90	18-11
2015-08-30	Connecticut Sun	L 68-72	1543.66	1419.69	76.73%	23.27%	-12.23	18-12
2015-09-03	@ New York Liberty	W 82-60	1531.43	1604.70	28.88%	71.12%	+26.59	19-12
2015-09-06	Seattle Storm	W 93-65	1558.02	1390.55	80.90%	19.10%	+8.05	20-12
2015-09-11	Tulsa Shock	W 92-71	1566.07	1506.83	69.44%	30.56%	+11.17	21-12
2015-09-13	@ Connecticut Sun	L 75-86	1577.24	1420.17	60.46%	39.54%	-15.99	21-13
2015-06-05	Washington Mystics	L 68-73	1471.62	1486.25	59.76%	40.24%	-10.65	0-1
2015-06-07	@ Atlanta Dream	W 75-70	1460.97	1491.79	34.14%	65.86%	+11.73	1-1
2015-06-11	Chicago Sky	W 67-65	1472.70	1490.42	59.33%	40.67%	+4.59	2-1
2015-06-14	Atlanta Dream	W 82-64	1477.29	1494.12	59.45%	40.55%	+13.71	3-1
2015-06-16	@ Seattle Storm	W 79-58	1491.00	1467.47	41.48%	58.52%	+21.37	4-1
2015-06-19	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 90-78	1512.37	1603.51	26.81%	73.19%	+20.21	5-1
2015-06-21	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 76-68	1532.58	1461.44	48.25%	51.75%	+11.66	6-1
2015-06-26	Los Angeles Sparks	W 80-76	1544.24	1445.12	74.08%	25.92%	+4.14	7-1
2015-06-30	Indiana Fever	L 84-92	1548.38	1455.30	73.41%	26.59%	-16.55	7-2
2015-07-02	Chicago Sky	L 74-77	1531.83	1505.26	65.31%	34.69%	-9.02	7-3
2015-07-12	@ Chicago Sky	L 76-96	1522.81	1525.29	37.90%	62.10%	-13.51	7-4
2015-07-14	Minnesota Lynx	L 79-85	1509.30	1608.27	47.75%	52.25%	-9.32	7-5
2015-07-16	@ New York Liberty	L 57-64	1499.98	1495.62	38.83%	61.17%	-8.18	7-6
2015-07-19	@ Washington Mystics	L 82-89	1491.80	1503.44	36.67%	63.33%	-7.74	7-7
2015-07-22	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 78-77	1484.06	1637.68	20.36%	79.64%	+6.35	8-7
2015-07-28	Indiana Fever	L 73-75	1490.41	1481.84	62.92%	37.08%	-7.09	8-8
2015-07-31	Seattle Storm	W 67-66	1483.32	1398.55	72.46%	27.54%	+2.19	9-8
2015-08-02	@ Indiana Fever	L 70-83	1485.51	1501.03	36.15%	63.85%	-10.38	9-9
2015-08-04	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 82-51	1475.13	1414.80	69.57%	30.43%	+13.50	10-9
2015-08-07	Washington Mystics	W 86-72	1488.63	1551.67	52.91%	47.09%	+14.04	11-9
2015-08-09	@ Washington Mystics	L 73-84	1502.67	1537.63	33.61%	66.39%	-8.88	11-10
2015-08-12	Tulsa Shock	W 80-74	1493.79	1445.94	68.03%	31.97%	+6.24	12-10
2015-08-14	New York Liberty	L 78-90	1500.03	1557.87	53.66%	46.34%	-14.82	12-11
2015-08-16	@ Atlanta Dream	L 77-90	1485.21	1420.17	47.37%	52.63%	-13.61	12-12
2015-08-21	@ Tulsa Shock	L 76-84	1471.60	1471.79	38.21%	61.79%	-8.61	12-13
2015-08-23	Atlanta Dream	L 92-102	1462.99	1428.09	66.38%	33.62%	-16.73	12-14
2015-08-25	@ Atlanta Dream	L 57-71	1446.26	1444.82	38.43%	61.57%	-11.46	12-15
2015-08-27	Phoenix Mercury	L 80-81	1434.80	1575.33	41.84%	58.16%	-3.34	12-16
2015-08-29	New York Liberty	L 66-80	1431.46	1588.99	39.48%	60.52%	-11.77	12-17
2015-08-30	@ Chicago Sky	W 72-68	1419.69	1543.66	23.27%	76.73%	+12.23	13-17
2015-09-01	@ Indiana Fever	L 51-81	1431.92	1542.84	24.64%	75.36%	-10.75	13-18
2015-09-04	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 73-72	1421.17	1331.25	50.95%	49.05%	+3.90	14-18
2015-09-09	@ New York Liberty	L 64-74	1425.07	1588.37	19.47%	80.53%	-4.90	14-19
2015-09-13	Chicago Sky	W 86-75	1420.17	1577.24	39.54%	60.46%	+15.98	15-19
2015-06-05	@ Chicago Sky	L 72-95	1494.25	1485.05	39.49%	60.51%	-15.10	0-1
2015-06-06	Minnesota Lynx	L 69-78	1479.15	1568.76	49.09%	50.91%	-11.74	0-2
2015-06-09	@ New York Liberty	L 79-86	1467.41	1472.36	37.57%	62.43%	-7.92	0-3
2015-06-12	Phoenix Mercury	W 77-74	1459.49	1599.81	41.87%	58.13%	+8.03	1-3
2015-06-14	Chicago Sky	L 72-98	1467.52	1485.83	59.25%	40.75%	-24.08	1-4
2015-06-16	@ Atlanta Dream	W 90-79	1443.44	1480.41	33.35%	66.65%	+17.62	2-4
2015-06-19	@ New York Liberty	W 80-63	1461.06	1476.33	36.18%	63.82%	+20.97	3-4
2015-06-20	Washington Mystics	L 75-87	1482.03	1503.78	58.77%	41.23%	-16.23	3-5
2015-06-26	Chicago Sky	L 77-83	1465.80	1522.56	53.81%	46.19%	-10.50	3-6
2015-06-30	@ Connecticut Sun	W 92-84	1455.30	1548.38	26.59%	73.41%	+16.55	4-6
2015-07-02	Washington Mystics	W 73-50	1471.85	1530.31	53.57%	46.43%	+17.74	5-6
2015-07-08	Seattle Storm	W 88-65	1489.59	1416.04	71.16%	28.84%	+11.03	6-6
2015-07-10	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 83-76	1500.62	1430.96	70.69%	29.31%	+6.18	7-6
2015-07-15	Tulsa Shock	W 83-80	1506.80	1543.53	56.66%	43.34%	+5.98	8-6
2015-07-17	@ Washington Mystics	L 50-68	1512.78	1489.42	41.46%	58.54%	-14.02	8-7
2015-07-21	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	L 62-80	1498.76	1415.05	50.06%	49.94%	-16.92	8-8
2015-07-28	@ Connecticut Sun	W 75-73	1481.84	1490.41	37.08%	62.92%	+7.09	9-8
2015-07-29	New York Liberty	W 84-72	1488.93	1529.18	56.17%	43.83%	+12.10	10-8
2015-08-02	Connecticut Sun	W 83-70	1501.03	1485.51	63.85%	36.15%	+10.39	11-8
2015-08-04	@ Chicago Sky	L 82-106	1511.42	1534.93	35.09%	64.91%	-13.70	11-9
2015-08-07	Atlanta Dream	W 106-77	1497.72	1420.74	71.56%	28.44%	+12.20	12-9
2015-08-11	@ Washington Mystics	W 73-62	1509.92	1546.52	33.40%	66.60%	+17.61	13-9
2015-08-16	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 75-63	1527.53	1621.32	26.51%	73.49%	+20.29	14-9
2015-08-18	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 79-68	1547.82	1468.39	49.44%	50.56%	+13.36	15-9
2015-08-21	@ Seattle Storm	W 75-63	1561.18	1391.73	62.15%	37.85%	+10.45	16-9
2015-08-23	New York Liberty	W 80-79	1571.63	1580.71	60.52%	39.48%	+3.15	17-9
2015-08-26	Los Angeles Sparks	L 79-81	1574.78	1495.07	71.88%	28.12%	-8.10	17-10
2015-08-28	Atlanta Dream	L 84-90	1566.68	1456.28	75.31%	24.69%	-14.70	17-11
2015-08-30	@ Tulsa Shock	L 70-76	1551.98	1490.83	46.81%	53.19%	-9.14	17-12
2015-09-01	Connecticut Sun	W 81-51	1542.84	1431.92	75.36%	24.64%	+10.75	18-12
2015-09-04	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 65-81	1553.59	1586.55	33.86%	66.14%	-10.80	18-13
2015-09-08	@ Washington Mystics	L 72-76	1542.79	1518.95	41.53%	58.47%	-6.61	18-14
2015-09-11	@ Atlanta Dream	W 75-67	1536.18	1489.92	44.69%	55.31%	+12.46	19-14
2015-09-13	New York Liberty	W 81-76	1548.64	1564.09	59.64%	40.36%	+7.20	20-14
2015-06-06	@ Seattle Storm	L 61-86	1506.78	1460.96	44.63%	55.37%	-17.79	0-1
2015-06-14	Seattle Storm	L 54-60	1488.99	1454.52	66.33%	33.67%	-12.95	0-2
2015-06-16	Minnesota Lynx	L 52-67	1476.04	1578.16	47.30%	52.70%	-14.60	0-3
2015-06-21	Connecticut Sun	L 68-76	1461.44	1532.58	51.75%	48.25%	-11.66	0-4
2015-06-23	@ Washington Mystics	L 80-84	1449.78	1520.01	29.24%	70.76%	-4.66	0-5
2015-06-26	@ Connecticut Sun	L 76-80	1445.12	1544.24	25.92%	74.08%	-4.13	0-6
2015-06-28	@ New York Liberty	L 70-79	1440.99	1463.58	35.21%	64.79%	-8.42	0-7
2015-07-02	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 86-81	1432.57	1429.10	62.23%	37.77%	+6.73	1-7
2015-07-03	Tulsa Shock	W 98-95	1439.30	1529.31	49.04%	50.96%	+7.03	2-7
2015-07-05	Phoenix Mercury	L 91-94	1446.33	1592.02	41.12%	58.88%	-5.67	2-8
2015-07-08	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	L 63-70	1440.66	1422.37	40.75%	59.25%	-8.60	2-9
2015-07-11	@ Tulsa Shock	L 67-82	1432.06	1535.68	25.43%	74.57%	-7.84	2-10
2015-07-15	@ Seattle Storm	L 61-68	1424.22	1390.43	42.92%	57.08%	-9.06	2-11
2015-07-16	Atlanta Dream	L 72-76	1415.16	1452.95	56.51%	43.49%	-9.00	2-12
2015-07-21	Phoenix Mercury	W 70-65	1406.16	1608.61	33.50%	66.50%	+11.85	3-12
2015-07-22	New York Liberty	L 53-59	1418.01	1519.94	47.32%	52.68%	-9.24	3-13
2015-07-29	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 76-82	1408.77	1631.34	14.67%	85.33%	-2.86	3-14
2015-07-31	@ Chicago Sky	W 88-77	1405.91	1549.98	21.27%	78.73%	+20.81	4-14
2015-08-02	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 80-78	1426.72	1421.69	38.92%	61.08%	+6.88	5-14
2015-08-04	Minnesota Lynx	W 83-61	1433.60	1647.24	32.08%	67.92%	+25.39	6-14
2015-08-06	Tulsa Shock	W 84-57	1458.99	1478.36	59.10%	40.90%	+16.94	7-14
2015-08-09	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 64-72	1475.93	1613.78	21.87%	78.13%	-4.93	7-15
2015-08-11	Seattle Storm	L 77-85	1471.00	1381.04	73.05%	26.95%	-16.47	7-16
2015-08-16	Chicago Sky	W 76-64	1454.53	1539.29	49.79%	50.21%	+13.86	8-16
2015-08-18	Indiana Fever	L 68-79	1468.39	1547.82	50.56%	49.44%	-13.36	8-17
2015-08-21	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 78-68	1455.03	1582.78	22.88%	77.12%	+19.44	9-17
2015-08-23	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 90-59	1474.47	1366.37	53.56%	46.44%	+20.60	10-17
2015-08-26	@ Indiana Fever	W 81-79	1495.07	1574.78	28.12%	71.88%	+8.11	11-17
2015-08-28	@ Tulsa Shock	L 66-76	1503.18	1480.40	41.37%	58.63%	-10.43	11-18
2015-08-30	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 60-52	1492.75	1335.77	79.95%	20.05%	+4.52	12-18
2015-09-03	Washington Mystics	W 93-91	1497.27	1533.12	56.79%	43.21%	+4.87	13-18
2015-09-06	Tulsa Shock	W 92-73	1502.14	1516.41	59.81%	40.19%	+13.96	14-18
2015-09-09	@ Atlanta Dream	L 60-90	1516.10	1470.45	44.60%	55.40%	-19.47	14-19
2015-09-11	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 65-70	1496.63	1585.15	27.11%	72.89%	-4.83	14-20
2015-06-05	Tulsa Shock	W 83-75	1562.74	1470.75	73.29%	26.71%	+6.02	1-0
2015-06-06	@ Indiana Fever	W 78-69	1568.76	1479.15	50.91%	49.09%	+11.74	2-0
2015-06-11	Seattle Storm	W 94-70	1580.50	1463.90	75.97%	24.03%	+9.39	3-0
2015-06-14	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 66-81	1589.89	1591.79	37.98%	62.02%	-11.73	3-1
2015-06-16	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 67-52	1578.16	1476.04	52.70%	47.30%	+14.60	4-1
2015-06-19	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 74-59	1592.76	1442.11	59.57%	40.43%	+12.48	5-1
2015-06-21	Tulsa Shock	L 78-86	1605.24	1527.84	71.61%	28.39%	-16.14	5-2
2015-06-25	@ Seattle Storm	W 76-73	1589.10	1434.41	60.13%	39.87%	+5.50	6-2
2015-06-27	Phoenix Mercury	W 71-56	1594.60	1583.73	63.23%	36.77%	+11.35	7-2
2015-07-03	Seattle Storm	W 82-57	1605.95	1431.13	81.55%	18.45%	+7.36	8-2
2015-07-10	@ Chicago Sky	L 83-90	1613.31	1514.27	52.26%	47.74%	-11.02	8-3
2015-07-12	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 66-49	1602.29	1424.78	81.78%	18.22%	+5.98	9-3
2015-07-14	@ Connecticut Sun	W 85-79	1608.27	1509.30	52.25%	47.75%	+9.33	10-3
2015-07-17	Chicago Sky	W 84-66	1617.60	1552.96	70.09%	29.91%	+10.11	11-3
2015-07-19	@ Tulsa Shock	W 79-72	1627.71	1525.65	52.70%	47.30%	+9.97	12-3
2015-07-22	Connecticut Sun	L 77-78	1637.68	1484.06	79.64%	20.36%	-6.34	12-4
2015-07-29	Los Angeles Sparks	W 82-76	1631.34	1408.77	85.33%	14.67%	+2.86	13-4
2015-07-31	Atlanta Dream	W 86-70	1634.20	1430.76	83.90%	16.10%	+5.13	14-4
2015-08-01	@ Tulsa Shock	W 86-80	1639.33	1489.29	59.49%	40.51%	+7.91	15-4
2015-08-04	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 61-83	1647.24	1433.60	67.92%	32.08%	-25.39	15-5
2015-08-07	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 66-73	1621.85	1621.56	38.27%	61.73%	-8.07	15-6
2015-08-09	Los Angeles Sparks	W 72-64	1613.78	1475.93	78.13%	21.87%	+4.93	16-6
2015-08-11	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 83-76	1618.71	1406.20	84.59%	15.41%	+3.25	17-6
2015-08-14	@ Atlanta Dream	W 84-82	1621.96	1424.01	65.92%	34.08%	+3.84	18-6
2015-08-16	@ Washington Mystics	L 69-77	1625.80	1528.91	51.95%	48.05%	-11.71	18-7
2015-08-19	Washington Mystics	L 61-79	1614.09	1540.62	71.15%	28.85%	-24.06	18-8
2015-08-21	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 78-61	1590.03	1376.94	67.85%	32.15%	+10.57	19-8
2015-08-23	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 67-79	1600.60	1563.34	43.41%	56.59%	-11.99	19-9
2015-08-28	@ New York Liberty	L 68-81	1588.61	1577.57	39.75%	60.25%	-11.42	19-10
2015-08-30	Phoenix Mercury	W 71-61	1577.19	1569.23	62.84%	37.16%	+9.36	20-10
2015-09-04	Indiana Fever	W 81-65	1586.55	1553.59	66.14%	33.86%	+10.80	21-10
2015-09-06	New York Liberty	L 71-75	1597.35	1578.11	64.34%	35.66%	-10.26	21-11
2015-09-08	Seattle Storm	W 73-67	1587.09	1382.49	83.99%	16.01%	+3.13	22-11
2015-09-11	@ Seattle Storm	L 64-78	1590.22	1379.37	67.57%	32.43%	-20.15	22-12
2015-06-05	Atlanta Dream	W 82-73	1468.48	1502.05	57.11%	42.89%	+10.26	1-0
2015-06-06	@ Washington Mystics	L 62-67	1478.74	1496.90	35.80%	64.20%	-6.38	1-1
2015-06-09	Indiana Fever	W 86-79	1472.36	1467.41	62.43%	37.57%	+7.92	2-1
2015-06-11	Phoenix Mercury	W 68-57	1480.28	1614.97	42.66%	57.34%	+15.15	3-1
2015-06-14	Washington Mystics	L 59-74	1495.43	1494.42	61.90%	38.10%	-19.10	3-2
2015-06-19	Indiana Fever	L 63-80	1476.33	1461.06	63.82%	36.18%	-20.97	3-3
2015-06-21	@ Atlanta Dream	W 73-64	1455.36	1466.36	36.75%	63.25%	+15.12	4-3
2015-06-26	@ Tulsa Shock	L 62-71	1470.48	1543.98	28.85%	71.15%	-6.90	4-4
2015-06-28	Los Angeles Sparks	W 79-70	1463.58	1440.99	64.79%	35.21%	+8.42	5-4
2015-06-30	@ Chicago Sky	W 89-81	1472.00	1520.62	31.88%	68.12%	+15.36	6-4
2015-07-09	@ Washington Mystics	W 79-76	1487.36	1512.57	34.87%	65.13%	+8.99	7-4
2015-07-12	@ Atlanta Dream	L 76-84	1496.35	1447.64	45.04%	54.96%	-10.16	7-5
2015-07-15	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 84-68	1486.19	1418.80	70.42%	29.58%	+9.43	8-5
2015-07-16	Connecticut Sun	W 64-57	1495.62	1499.98	61.17%	38.83%	+8.19	9-5
2015-07-18	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 75-73	1503.81	1617.13	24.38%	75.62%	+8.52	10-5
2015-07-21	@ Seattle Storm	W 81-77	1512.33	1412.99	52.31%	47.69%	+7.61	11-5
2015-07-22	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 59-53	1519.94	1418.01	52.68%	47.32%	+9.24	12-5
2015-07-29	@ Indiana Fever	L 72-84	1529.18	1488.93	43.83%	56.17%	-12.11	12-6
2015-08-02	Seattle Storm	W 78-62	1517.07	1396.36	76.40%	23.60%	+7.53	13-6
2015-08-07	@ Chicago Sky	W 77-63	1524.60	1548.63	35.03%	64.97%	+19.38	14-6
2015-08-11	Chicago Sky	W 84-63	1543.98	1542.48	61.97%	38.03%	+13.89	15-6
2015-08-14	@ Connecticut Sun	W 90-78	1557.87	1500.03	46.34%	53.66%	+14.81	16-6
2015-08-15	Tulsa Shock	L 76-81	1572.68	1439.70	77.64%	22.36%	-13.84	16-7
2015-08-19	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 73-45	1558.84	1393.11	61.64%	38.36%	+16.18	17-7
2015-08-21	Atlanta Dream	W 78-67	1575.02	1433.78	78.46%	21.54%	+5.69	18-7
2015-08-23	@ Indiana Fever	L 79-80	1580.71	1571.63	39.48%	60.52%	-3.14	18-8
2015-08-28	Minnesota Lynx	W 81-68	1577.57	1588.61	60.25%	39.75%	+11.42	19-8
2015-08-29	@ Connecticut Sun	W 80-66	1588.99	1431.46	60.52%	39.48%	+11.77	20-8
2015-09-01	Atlanta Dream	W 80-75	1600.76	1465.08	77.91%	22.09%	+3.94	21-8
2015-09-03	Chicago Sky	L 60-82	1604.70	1531.43	71.12%	28.88%	-26.59	21-9
2015-09-06	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 75-71	1578.11	1597.35	35.66%	64.34%	+10.26	22-9
2015-09-09	Connecticut Sun	W 74-64	1588.37	1425.07	80.53%	19.47%	+4.91	23-9
2015-09-11	Washington Mystics	L 55-82	1593.28	1525.57	70.46%	29.54%	-29.19	23-10
2015-09-13	@ Indiana Fever	L 76-81	1564.09	1548.64	40.36%	59.64%	-7.19	23-11
2015-06-05	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 76-71	1610.95	1480.14	77.43%	22.57%	+4.02	1-0
2015-06-11	@ New York Liberty	L 57-68	1614.97	1480.28	57.34%	42.66%	-15.16	1-1
2015-06-12	@ Indiana Fever	L 74-77	1599.81	1459.49	58.13%	41.87%	-8.02	1-2
2015-06-14	Minnesota Lynx	W 81-66	1591.79	1589.89	62.02%	37.98%	+11.72	2-2
2015-06-19	Connecticut Sun	L 78-90	1603.51	1512.37	73.19%	26.81%	-20.20	2-3
2015-06-21	@ Seattle Storm	W 84-72	1583.31	1446.09	57.70%	42.30%	+11.68	3-3
2015-06-25	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	L 71-76	1594.99	1418.14	63.14%	36.86%	-11.26	3-4
2015-06-27	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 56-71	1583.73	1594.60	36.77%	63.23%	-11.35	3-5
2015-06-30	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 85-78	1572.38	1433.70	78.21%	21.79%	+4.60	4-5
2015-07-02	Tulsa Shock	W 86-55	1576.98	1544.36	66.09%	33.91%	+15.04	5-5
2015-07-05	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 94-91	1592.02	1446.33	58.88%	41.12%	+5.68	6-5
2015-07-10	@ Seattle Storm	W 94-79	1597.70	1405.02	65.24%	34.76%	+10.73	7-5
2015-07-12	Seattle Storm	W 70-60	1608.43	1394.29	84.71%	15.29%	+3.85	8-5
2015-07-14	Atlanta Dream	W 80-71	1612.28	1457.80	79.72%	20.28%	+4.85	9-5
2015-07-18	New York Liberty	L 73-75	1617.13	1503.81	75.62%	24.38%	-8.52	9-6
2015-07-21	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 65-70	1608.61	1406.16	66.50%	33.50%	-11.85	9-7
2015-07-28	Chicago Sky	W 89-87	1596.76	1553.65	67.43%	32.57%	+3.67	10-7
2015-07-30	@ Tulsa Shock	W 78-66	1600.43	1502.52	52.10%	47.90%	+13.22	11-7
2015-08-02	@ Atlanta Dream	W 71-68	1613.65	1425.62	64.63%	35.37%	+4.89	12-7
2015-08-04	Tulsa Shock	W 87-84	1618.54	1481.38	78.06%	21.94%	+3.02	13-7
2015-08-07	Minnesota Lynx	W 73-66	1621.56	1621.85	61.73%	38.27%	+8.07	14-7
2015-08-09	@ Chicago Sky	L 64-74	1629.63	1529.26	52.45%	47.55%	-13.22	14-8
2015-08-12	Seattle Storm	W 83-66	1616.41	1397.51	85.06%	14.94%	+4.91	15-8
2015-08-16	Indiana Fever	L 63-75	1621.32	1527.53	73.49%	26.51%	-20.29	15-9
2015-08-18	@ Tulsa Shock	L 59-74	1601.03	1453.54	59.13%	40.87%	-18.25	15-10
2015-08-21	Los Angeles Sparks	L 68-78	1582.78	1455.03	77.12%	22.88%	-19.44	15-11
2015-08-23	Minnesota Lynx	W 79-67	1563.34	1600.60	56.59%	43.41%	+11.99	16-11
2015-08-27	@ Connecticut Sun	W 81-80	1575.33	1434.80	58.16%	41.84%	+3.33	17-11
2015-08-28	@ Washington Mystics	L 63-71	1578.66	1552.35	41.87%	58.13%	-9.43	17-12
2015-08-30	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 61-71	1569.23	1577.19	37.16%	62.84%	-9.37	17-13
2015-09-02	Washington Mystics	W 73-53	1559.86	1546.09	63.62%	36.38%	+12.97	18-13
2015-09-05	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 82-52	1572.83	1327.34	71.78%	28.22%	+12.32	19-13
2015-09-11	Los Angeles Sparks	W 70-65	1585.15	1496.63	72.89%	27.11%	+4.83	20-13
2015-09-13	@ Tulsa Shock	L 87-91	1589.98	1495.66	51.58%	48.42%	-8.22	20-14
2015-06-05	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 71-76	1480.14	1610.95	22.57%	77.43%	-4.03	0-1
2015-06-11	@ Atlanta Dream	L 69-72	1476.11	1480.06	37.70%	62.30%	-5.20	0-2
2015-06-14	Tulsa Shock	L 62-73	1470.91	1489.29	59.24%	40.76%	-15.66	0-3
2015-06-16	@ Tulsa Shock	L 61-88	1455.25	1504.95	31.74%	68.26%	-13.14	0-4
2015-06-19	Minnesota Lynx	L 59-74	1442.11	1592.76	40.43%	59.57%	-12.48	0-5
2015-06-20	Chicago Sky	L 87-95	1429.63	1506.34	50.95%	49.05%	-11.49	0-6
2015-06-25	Phoenix Mercury	W 76-71	1418.14	1594.99	36.86%	63.14%	+11.25	1-6
2015-06-27	Seattle Storm	W 73-71	1429.39	1428.91	61.83%	38.17%	+4.31	2-6
2015-06-30	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 78-85	1433.70	1572.38	21.79%	78.21%	-4.60	2-7
2015-07-02	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 81-86	1429.10	1432.57	37.77%	62.23%	-6.73	2-8
2015-07-08	Los Angeles Sparks	W 70-63	1422.37	1440.66	59.25%	40.75%	+8.59	3-8
2015-07-10	@ Indiana Fever	L 76-83	1430.96	1500.62	29.31%	70.69%	-6.18	3-9
2015-07-12	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 49-66	1424.78	1602.29	18.22%	81.78%	-5.98	3-10
2015-07-15	@ New York Liberty	L 68-84	1418.80	1486.19	29.58%	70.42%	-9.43	3-11
2015-07-17	Tulsa Shock	W 65-58	1409.37	1537.54	43.58%	56.42%	+11.89	4-11
2015-07-19	@ Chicago Sky	L 82-93	1421.26	1542.85	23.51%	76.49%	-6.21	4-12
2015-07-21	Indiana Fever	W 80-62	1415.05	1498.76	49.94%	50.06%	+16.93	5-12
2015-07-29	Atlanta Dream	W 102-85	1431.98	1443.86	60.14%	39.86%	+13.10	6-12
2015-07-31	Washington Mystics	L 53-88	1445.08	1531.16	49.60%	50.40%	-23.39	6-13
2015-08-02	Los Angeles Sparks	L 78-80	1421.69	1426.72	61.08%	38.92%	-6.89	6-14
2015-08-04	@ Connecticut Sun	L 51-82	1414.80	1475.13	30.43%	69.57%	-13.50	6-15
2015-08-05	@ Washington Mystics	L 63-66	1401.30	1548.78	20.94%	79.06%	-2.89	6-16
2015-08-08	Seattle Storm	W 88-81	1398.41	1388.83	63.06%	36.94%	+7.79	7-16
2015-08-11	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 76-83	1406.20	1618.71	15.41%	84.59%	-3.25	7-17
2015-08-16	@ Seattle Storm	L 63-72	1402.95	1381.90	41.13%	58.87%	-9.84	7-18
2015-08-19	New York Liberty	L 45-73	1393.11	1558.84	38.36%	61.64%	-16.17	7-19
2015-08-21	Minnesota Lynx	L 61-78	1376.94	1590.03	32.15%	67.85%	-10.57	7-20
2015-08-23	Los Angeles Sparks	L 59-90	1366.37	1474.47	46.44%	53.56%	-20.60	7-21
2015-08-28	@ Seattle Storm	L 69-83	1345.77	1381.28	33.54%	66.46%	-10.00	7-22
2015-08-30	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 52-60	1335.77	1492.75	20.05%	79.95%	-4.52	7-23
2015-09-04	Connecticut Sun	L 72-73	1331.25	1421.17	49.05%	50.95%	-3.91	7-24
2015-09-05	Phoenix Mercury	L 52-82	1327.34	1572.83	28.22%	71.78%	-12.32	7-25
2015-09-08	@ Tulsa Shock	L 64-74	1315.02	1502.44	17.39%	82.61%	-4.38	7-26
2015-09-13	@ Seattle Storm	W 59-58	1310.64	1399.52	27.07%	72.93%	+5.81	8-26
2015-06-06	Los Angeles Sparks	W 86-61	1460.96	1506.78	55.37%	44.63%	+17.78	1-0
2015-06-09	@ Tulsa Shock	L 45-68	1478.74	1474.45	38.82%	61.18%	-14.84	1-1
2015-06-11	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 70-94	1463.90	1580.50	24.03%	75.97%	-9.38	1-2
2015-06-14	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 60-54	1454.52	1488.99	33.67%	66.33%	+12.95	2-2
2015-06-16	Connecticut Sun	L 58-79	1467.47	1491.00	58.52%	41.48%	-21.38	2-3
2015-06-21	Phoenix Mercury	L 72-84	1446.09	1583.31	42.30%	57.70%	-11.68	2-4
2015-06-25	Minnesota Lynx	L 73-76	1434.41	1589.10	39.87%	60.13%	-5.50	2-5
2015-06-27	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	L 71-73	1428.91	1429.39	38.17%	61.83%	-4.30	2-6
2015-06-28	@ Tulsa Shock	L 89-93	1424.61	1550.88	23.03%	76.97%	-3.67	2-7
2015-06-30	Tulsa Shock	W 74-69	1420.94	1554.55	42.81%	57.19%	+10.19	3-7
2015-07-03	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 57-82	1431.13	1605.95	18.45%	81.55%	-7.36	3-8
2015-07-05	@ Atlanta Dream	L 64-72	1423.77	1453.31	34.31%	65.69%	-7.73	3-9
2015-07-08	@ Indiana Fever	L 65-88	1416.04	1489.59	28.84%	71.16%	-11.02	3-10
2015-07-10	Phoenix Mercury	L 79-94	1405.02	1597.70	34.76%	65.24%	-10.73	3-11
2015-07-12	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 60-70	1394.29	1608.43	15.29%	84.71%	-3.86	3-12
2015-07-15	Los Angeles Sparks	W 68-61	1390.43	1424.22	57.08%	42.92%	+9.05	4-12
2015-07-18	Atlanta Dream	W 86-73	1399.48	1461.95	53.00%	47.00%	+13.51	5-12
2015-07-21	New York Liberty	L 77-81	1412.99	1512.33	47.69%	52.31%	-7.60	5-13
2015-07-29	@ Washington Mystics	L 74-87	1405.39	1524.32	23.79%	76.21%	-6.84	5-14
2015-07-31	@ Connecticut Sun	L 66-67	1398.55	1483.32	27.54%	72.46%	-2.19	5-15
2015-08-02	@ New York Liberty	L 62-78	1396.36	1517.07	23.60%	76.40%	-7.53	5-16
2015-08-08	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	L 81-88	1388.83	1398.41	36.94%	63.06%	-7.79	5-17
2015-08-11	@ Los Angeles Sparks	W 85-77	1381.04	1471.00	26.95%	73.05%	+16.47	6-17
2015-08-12	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 66-83	1397.51	1616.41	14.94%	85.06%	-4.91	6-18
2015-08-14	Chicago Sky	L 84-94	1392.60	1528.59	42.48%	57.52%	-10.70	6-19
2015-08-16	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 72-63	1381.90	1402.95	58.87%	41.13%	+9.83	7-19
2015-08-21	Indiana Fever	L 63-75	1391.73	1561.18	37.85%	62.15%	-10.45	7-20
2015-08-28	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 83-69	1381.28	1345.77	66.46%	33.54%	+10.00	8-20
2015-08-30	Washington Mystics	W 69-59	1391.28	1561.79	37.71%	62.29%	+15.70	9-20
2015-09-03	Tulsa Shock	L 67-85	1406.98	1499.97	48.61%	51.39%	-16.43	9-21
2015-09-06	@ Chicago Sky	L 65-93	1390.55	1558.02	19.10%	80.90%	-8.06	9-22
2015-09-08	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 67-73	1382.49	1587.09	16.01%	83.99%	-3.12	9-23
2015-09-11	Minnesota Lynx	W 78-64	1379.37	1590.22	32.43%	67.57%	+20.15	10-23
2015-09-13	San Antonio Silver Stars	L 58-59	1399.52	1310.64	72.93%	27.07%	-5.82	10-24
2015-06-05	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 75-83	1470.75	1562.74	26.71%	73.29%	-6.03	0-1
2015-06-06	Chicago Sky	W 101-93	1464.72	1500.15	56.85%	43.15%	+9.73	1-1
2015-06-09	Seattle Storm	W 68-45	1474.45	1478.74	61.18%	38.82%	+14.84	2-1
2015-06-14	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 73-62	1489.29	1470.91	40.76%	59.24%	+15.66	3-1
2015-06-16	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 88-61	1504.95	1455.25	68.26%	31.74%	+13.14	4-1
2015-06-19	@ Washington Mystics	W 86-82	1518.09	1513.53	38.86%	61.14%	+9.75	5-1
2015-06-21	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 86-78	1527.84	1605.24	28.39%	71.61%	+16.14	6-1
2015-06-26	New York Liberty	W 71-62	1543.98	1470.48	71.15%	28.85%	+6.90	7-1
2015-06-28	Seattle Storm	W 93-89	1550.88	1424.61	76.97%	23.03%	+3.67	8-1
2015-06-30	@ Seattle Storm	L 69-74	1554.55	1420.94	57.19%	42.81%	-10.19	8-2
2015-07-02	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 55-86	1544.36	1576.98	33.91%	66.09%	-15.05	8-3
2015-07-03	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 95-98	1529.31	1439.30	50.96%	49.04%	-7.03	8-4
2015-07-07	@ Atlanta Dream	W 85-75	1522.28	1461.04	46.83%	53.17%	+13.40	9-4
2015-07-11	Los Angeles Sparks	W 82-67	1535.68	1432.06	74.57%	25.43%	+7.85	10-4
2015-07-15	@ Indiana Fever	L 80-83	1543.53	1506.80	43.34%	56.66%	-5.99	10-5
2015-07-17	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	L 58-65	1537.54	1409.37	56.42%	43.58%	-11.89	10-6
2015-07-19	Minnesota Lynx	L 72-79	1525.65	1627.71	47.30%	52.70%	-9.98	10-7
2015-07-21	Washington Mystics	L 69-76	1515.67	1511.17	62.38%	37.62%	-13.15	10-8
2015-07-30	Phoenix Mercury	L 66-78	1502.52	1600.43	47.90%	52.10%	-13.23	10-9
2015-08-01	Minnesota Lynx	L 80-86	1489.29	1639.33	40.51%	59.49%	-7.91	10-10
2015-08-04	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 84-87	1481.38	1618.54	21.94%	78.06%	-3.02	10-11
2015-08-06	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 57-84	1478.36	1458.99	40.90%	59.10%	-16.94	10-12
2015-08-09	Atlanta Dream	L 90-98	1461.42	1408.53	68.65%	31.35%	-15.48	10-13
2015-08-12	@ Connecticut Sun	L 74-80	1445.94	1493.79	31.97%	68.03%	-6.24	10-14
2015-08-15	@ New York Liberty	W 81-76	1439.70	1572.68	22.36%	77.64%	+13.84	11-14
2015-08-18	Phoenix Mercury	W 74-59	1453.54	1601.03	40.87%	59.13%	+18.25	12-14
2015-08-21	Connecticut Sun	W 84-76	1471.79	1471.60	61.79%	38.21%	+8.61	13-14
2015-08-28	Los Angeles Sparks	W 76-66	1480.40	1503.18	58.63%	41.37%	+10.43	14-14
2015-08-30	Indiana Fever	W 76-70	1490.83	1551.98	53.19%	46.81%	+9.14	15-14
2015-09-03	@ Seattle Storm	W 85-67	1499.97	1406.98	51.39%	48.61%	+16.44	16-14
2015-09-06	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 73-92	1516.41	1502.14	40.19%	59.81%	-13.97	16-15
2015-09-08	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 74-64	1502.44	1315.02	82.61%	17.39%	+4.39	17-15
2015-09-11	@ Chicago Sky	L 71-92	1506.83	1566.07	30.56%	69.44%	-11.17	17-16
2015-09-13	Phoenix Mercury	W 91-87	1495.66	1589.98	48.42%	51.58%	+8.23	18-16
2015-06-05	@ Connecticut Sun	W 73-68	1486.25	1471.62	40.24%	59.76%	+10.65	1-0
2015-06-06	New York Liberty	W 67-62	1496.90	1478.74	64.20%	35.80%	+6.38	2-0
2015-06-12	Atlanta Dream	L 61-64	1503.28	1485.26	64.18%	35.82%	-8.86	2-1
2015-06-14	@ New York Liberty	W 74-59	1494.42	1495.43	38.10%	61.90%	+19.11	3-1
2015-06-19	Tulsa Shock	L 82-86	1513.53	1518.09	61.14%	38.86%	-9.75	3-2
2015-06-20	@ Indiana Fever	W 87-75	1503.78	1482.03	41.23%	58.77%	+16.23	4-2
2015-06-23	Los Angeles Sparks	W 84-80	1520.01	1449.78	70.76%	29.24%	+4.66	5-2
2015-06-26	@ Atlanta Dream	L 69-72	1524.67	1446.51	49.26%	50.74%	-6.80	5-3
2015-06-28	Chicago Sky	W 86-71	1517.87	1533.06	59.68%	40.32%	+12.44	6-3
2015-07-02	@ Indiana Fever	L 50-73	1530.31	1471.85	46.43%	53.57%	-17.74	6-4
2015-07-09	New York Liberty	L 76-79	1512.57	1487.36	65.13%	34.87%	-8.99	6-5
2015-07-15	@ Chicago Sky	L 57-85	1503.58	1538.80	33.57%	66.43%	-14.16	6-6
2015-07-17	Indiana Fever	W 68-50	1489.42	1512.78	58.54%	41.46%	+14.02	7-6
2015-07-19	Connecticut Sun	W 89-82	1503.44	1491.80	63.33%	36.67%	+7.73	8-6
2015-07-21	@ Tulsa Shock	W 76-69	1511.17	1515.67	37.62%	62.38%	+13.15	9-6
2015-07-29	Seattle Storm	W 87-74	1524.32	1405.39	76.21%	23.79%	+6.84	10-6
2015-07-31	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	W 88-53	1531.16	1445.08	50.40%	49.60%	+23.38	11-6
2015-08-02	@ Chicago Sky	L 68-71	1554.54	1529.17	41.74%	58.26%	-5.76	11-7
2015-08-05	San Antonio Silver Stars	W 66-63	1548.78	1401.30	79.06%	20.94%	+2.89	12-7
2015-08-07	@ Connecticut Sun	L 72-86	1551.67	1488.63	47.09%	52.91%	-14.04	12-8
2015-08-09	Connecticut Sun	W 84-73	1537.63	1502.67	66.39%	33.61%	+8.89	13-8
2015-08-11	Indiana Fever	L 62-73	1546.52	1509.92	66.60%	33.40%	-17.61	13-9
2015-08-16	Minnesota Lynx	W 77-69	1528.91	1625.80	48.05%	51.95%	+11.71	14-9
2015-08-19	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 79-61	1540.62	1614.09	28.85%	71.15%	+24.06	15-9
2015-08-21	@ Chicago Sky	L 85-87	1564.68	1525.43	43.69%	56.31%	-4.93	15-10
2015-08-23	Chicago Sky	L 64-66	1559.75	1530.36	65.67%	34.33%	-7.40	15-11
2015-08-28	Phoenix Mercury	W 71-63	1552.35	1578.66	58.13%	41.87%	+9.44	16-11
2015-08-30	@ Seattle Storm	L 59-69	1561.79	1391.28	62.29%	37.71%	-15.70	16-12
2015-09-02	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 53-73	1546.09	1559.86	36.38%	63.62%	-12.97	16-13
2015-09-03	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 91-93	1533.12	1497.27	43.21%	56.79%	-4.87	16-14
2015-09-06	@ Atlanta Dream	L 67-73	1528.25	1461.14	47.67%	52.33%	-9.30	16-15
2015-09-08	Indiana Fever	W 76-72	1518.95	1542.79	58.47%	41.53%	+6.62	17-15
2015-09-11	@ New York Liberty	W 82-55	1525.57	1593.28	29.54%	70.46%	+29.18	18-15
2015-09-13	Atlanta Dream	L 71-73	1554.75	1477.45	71.60%	28.40%	-8.07	18-16

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2015-09-17	Indiana Fever	W 77-72	1561.25	1555.84	62.50%	37.50%	+6.69	1-0
2015-09-19	@ Indiana Fever	L 82-89	1567.94	1549.15	40.82%	59.18%	-8.61	1-1
2015-09-21	Indiana Fever	L 89-100	1559.33	1557.76	61.98%	38.02%	-16.38	1-2
2015-09-17	@ Chicago Sky	L 72-77	1555.84	1561.25	37.50%	62.50%	-6.69	0-1
2015-09-19	Chicago Sky	W 89-82	1549.15	1567.94	59.18%	40.82%	+8.61	1-1
2015-09-21	@ Chicago Sky	W 100-89	1557.76	1559.33	38.02%	61.98%	+16.38	2-1
2015-09-23	@ New York Liberty	L 67-84	1574.14	1575.38	38.07%	61.93%	-12.51	2-2
2015-09-27	New York Liberty	W 70-64	1561.63	1587.89	58.14%	41.86%	+8.18	3-2
2015-09-29	@ New York Liberty	W 66-51	1569.81	1579.72	36.90%	63.10%	+19.48	4-2
2015-10-04	@ Minnesota Lynx	W 75-69	1589.29	1583.25	39.06%	60.94%	+11.89	5-2
2015-10-06	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 71-77	1601.18	1571.35	42.36%	57.64%	-8.27	5-3
2015-10-09	Minnesota Lynx	L 77-80	1592.91	1579.62	63.55%	36.45%	-8.77	5-4
2015-10-11	Minnesota Lynx	W 75-69	1584.14	1588.39	61.18%	38.82%	+7.58	6-4
2015-10-14	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 52-69	1591.72	1580.82	39.73%	60.27%	-13.06	6-5
2015-09-18	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 65-67	1491.80	1570.07	28.29%	71.71%	-3.19	0-1
2015-09-20	Minnesota Lynx	W 81-71	1488.61	1573.26	49.81%	50.19%	+12.65	1-1
2015-09-22	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 80-91	1501.26	1560.61	30.55%	69.45%	-8.07	1-2
2015-09-18	Los Angeles Sparks	W 67-65	1570.07	1491.80	71.71%	28.29%	+3.19	1-0
2015-09-20	@ Los Angeles Sparks	L 71-81	1573.26	1488.61	50.19%	49.81%	-12.65	1-1
2015-09-22	Los Angeles Sparks	W 91-80	1560.61	1501.26	69.45%	30.55%	+8.07	2-1
2015-09-24	Phoenix Mercury	W 67-60	1568.68	1613.10	55.57%	44.43%	+9.37	3-1
2015-09-27	@ Phoenix Mercury	W 72-71	1578.05	1603.73	34.81%	65.19%	+5.20	4-1
2015-10-04	Indiana Fever	L 69-75	1583.25	1589.29	60.94%	39.06%	-11.90	4-2
2015-10-06	Indiana Fever	W 77-71	1571.35	1601.18	57.64%	42.36%	+8.27	5-2
2015-10-09	@ Indiana Fever	W 80-77	1579.62	1592.91	36.45%	63.55%	+8.77	6-2
2015-10-11	@ Indiana Fever	L 69-75	1588.39	1584.14	38.82%	61.18%	-7.57	6-3
2015-10-14	Indiana Fever	W 69-52	1580.82	1591.72	60.27%	39.73%	+13.05	7-3
2015-09-18	Washington Mystics	L 83-86	1556.90	1546.68	63.14%	36.86%	-8.71	0-1
2015-09-20	@ Washington Mystics	W 86-68	1548.19	1555.39	37.26%	62.74%	+21.21	1-1
2015-09-22	Washington Mystics	W 79-74	1569.40	1534.18	66.43%	33.57%	+5.98	2-1
2015-09-23	Indiana Fever	W 84-67	1575.38	1574.14	61.93%	38.07%	+12.51	3-1
2015-09-27	@ Indiana Fever	L 64-70	1587.89	1561.63	41.86%	58.14%	-8.17	3-2
2015-09-29	Indiana Fever	L 51-66	1579.72	1569.81	63.10%	36.90%	-19.48	3-3
2015-09-17	Tulsa Shock	W 88-55	1581.76	1503.89	71.66%	28.34%	+12.97	1-0
2015-09-19	@ Tulsa Shock	W 91-67	1594.73	1490.91	52.95%	47.05%	+18.37	2-0
2015-09-24	@ Minnesota Lynx	L 60-67	1613.10	1568.68	44.43%	55.57%	-9.37	2-1
2015-09-27	Minnesota Lynx	L 71-72	1603.73	1578.05	65.19%	34.81%	-5.19	2-2
2015-09-17	@ Phoenix Mercury	L 55-88	1503.89	1581.76	28.34%	71.66%	-12.98	0-1
2015-09-19	Phoenix Mercury	L 67-91	1490.91	1594.73	47.05%	52.95%	-18.37	0-2
2015-09-18	@ New York Liberty	W 86-83	1546.68	1556.90	36.86%	63.14%	+8.71	1-0
2015-09-20	New York Liberty	L 68-86	1555.39	1548.19	62.74%	37.26%	-21.21	1-1
2015-09-22	@ New York Liberty	L 74-79	1534.18	1569.40	33.57%	66.43%	-5.99	1-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2015-07-22	20.36%	Connecticut Sun	1484.06	78	@ Minnesota Lynx	1637.68	77
2	2015-07-31	21.27%	Los Angeles Sparks	1405.91	88	@ Chicago Sky	1549.98	77
3	2015-08-15	22.36%	Tulsa Shock	1439.70	81	@ New York Liberty	1572.68	76
4	2015-08-21	22.88%	Los Angeles Sparks	1455.03	78	@ Phoenix Mercury	1582.78	68
5	2015-08-30	23.27%	Connecticut Sun	1419.69	72	@ Chicago Sky	1543.66	68
6	2015-07-18	24.38%	New York Liberty	1503.81	75	@ Phoenix Mercury	1617.13	73
7	2015-08-28	24.69%	Atlanta Dream	1456.28	90	@ Indiana Fever	1566.68	84
8	2015-08-16	26.51%	Indiana Fever	1527.53	75	@ Phoenix Mercury	1621.32	63
9	2015-06-30	26.59%	Indiana Fever	1455.30	92	@ Connecticut Sun	1548.38	84
10	2015-06-19	26.81%	Connecticut Sun	1512.37	90	@ Phoenix Mercury	1603.51	78
11	2015-08-11	26.95%	Seattle Storm	1381.04	85	@ Los Angeles Sparks	1471.00	77
12	2015-09-13	27.07%	San Antonio Silver Stars	1310.64	59	@ Seattle Storm	1399.52	58
13	2015-08-26	28.12%	Los Angeles Sparks	1495.07	81	@ Indiana Fever	1574.78	79
14	2015-06-21	28.39%	Tulsa Shock	1527.84	86	@ Minnesota Lynx	1605.24	78
15	2015-09-13	28.40%	Atlanta Dream	1477.45	73	@ Washington Mystics	1554.75	71
16	2015-08-19	28.85%	Washington Mystics	1540.62	79	@ Minnesota Lynx	1614.09	61
17	2015-09-03	28.88%	Chicago Sky	1531.43	82	@ New York Liberty	1604.70	60
18	2015-09-11	29.54%	Washington Mystics	1525.57	82	@ New York Liberty	1593.28	55
19	2015-08-09	31.35%	Atlanta Dream	1408.53	98	@ Tulsa Shock	1461.42	90
20	2015-06-30	31.88%	New York Liberty	1472.00	89	@ Chicago Sky	1520.62	81
21	2015-08-04	32.08%	@ Los Angeles Sparks	1433.60	83	Minnesota Lynx	1647.24	61
22	2015-09-11	32.43%	@ Seattle Storm	1379.37	78	Minnesota Lynx	1590.22	64
23	2015-06-16	33.35%	Indiana Fever	1443.44	90	@ Atlanta Dream	1480.41	79
24	2015-08-11	33.40%	Indiana Fever	1509.92	73	@ Washington Mystics	1546.52	62
25	2015-07-21	33.50%	@ Los Angeles Sparks	1406.16	70	Phoenix Mercury	1608.61	65

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2015-09-11	29.19	Washington Mystics	82	1525.57	29.54%	@ New York Liberty	55	1593.28	70.46%
2	2015-09-03	26.59	Chicago Sky	82	1531.43	28.88%	@ New York Liberty	60	1604.70	71.12%
3	2015-08-04	25.39	@ Los Angeles Sparks	83	1433.60	32.08%	Minnesota Lynx	61	1647.24	67.92%
4	2015-06-14	24.08	Chicago Sky	98	1485.83	40.75%	@ Indiana Fever	72	1467.52	59.25%
5	2015-08-19	24.06	Washington Mystics	79	1540.62	28.85%	@ Minnesota Lynx	61	1614.09	71.15%
6	2015-07-31	23.39	Washington Mystics	88	1531.16	50.40%	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	53	1445.08	49.60%
7	2015-06-16	21.38	Connecticut Sun	79	1491.00	41.48%	@ Seattle Storm	58	1467.47	58.52%
8	2015-09-20 *	21.21	New York Liberty	86	1548.19	37.26%	@ Washington Mystics	68	1555.39	62.74%
9	2015-06-19	20.97	Indiana Fever	80	1461.06	36.18%	@ New York Liberty	63	1476.33	63.82%
10	2015-07-31	20.81	Los Angeles Sparks	88	1405.91	21.27%	@ Chicago Sky	77	1549.98	78.73%
11	2015-08-23	20.60	Los Angeles Sparks	90	1474.47	53.56%	@ San Antonio Silver Stars	59	1366.37	46.44%
12	2015-08-16	20.29	Indiana Fever	75	1527.53	26.51%	@ Phoenix Mercury	63	1621.32	73.49%
13	2015-06-19	20.21	Connecticut Sun	90	1512.37	26.81%	@ Phoenix Mercury	78	1603.51	73.19%
14	2015-09-11	20.15	@ Seattle Storm	78	1379.37	32.43%	Minnesota Lynx	64	1590.22	67.57%
15	2015-09-29 *	19.48	Indiana Fever	66	1569.81	36.90%	@ New York Liberty	51	1579.72	63.10%
16	2015-09-09	19.47	@ Atlanta Dream	90	1470.45	55.40%	Los Angeles Sparks	60	1516.10	44.60%
17	2015-08-21	19.44	Los Angeles Sparks	78	1455.03	22.88%	@ Phoenix Mercury	68	1582.78	77.12%
18	2015-08-07	19.38	New York Liberty	77	1524.60	35.03%	@ Chicago Sky	63	1548.63	64.97%
19	2015-06-14	19.11	Washington Mystics	74	1494.42	38.10%	@ New York Liberty	59	1495.43	61.90%
20	2015-09-19 *	18.37	Phoenix Mercury	91	1594.73	52.95%	@ Tulsa Shock	67	1490.91	47.05%
21	2015-08-18	18.25	@ Tulsa Shock	74	1453.54	40.87%	Phoenix Mercury	59	1601.03	59.13%
22	2015-06-06	17.79	@ Seattle Storm	86	1460.96	55.37%	Los Angeles Sparks	61	1506.78	44.63%
23	2015-07-02	17.74	@ Indiana Fever	73	1471.85	53.57%	Washington Mystics	50	1530.31	46.43%
24	2015-06-16	17.62	Indiana Fever	90	1443.44	33.35%	@ Atlanta Dream	79	1480.41	66.65%
25	2015-08-11	17.61	Indiana Fever	73	1509.92	33.40%	@ Washington Mystics	62	1546.52	66.60%