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1949 Kategoria e Parë Season

72 games

Final

Champion

Partizani

30 points · 3rd Title

Last Title: 1948

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Partizani

3.71 points above expected

30 points · 26.29 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Shijaku

5.28 points below expected

6 points · 11.28 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Partizani Champion 16 14 2 0 30 61 7 +54 26.29 +3.71
2 Shkodra 16 12 2 2 26 55 11 +44 23.06 +2.94
3 Red Star Durres 16 9 2 5 20 25 14 +11 18.38 +1.62
4 KF Tirana 16 7 2 7 16 25 19 +6 16.05 -0.05
5 Kavaja 16 7 2 7 16 32 27 +5 13.56 +2.44
6 Korca 16 4 4 8 12 17 41 -24 12.52 -0.52
7 Elbasani 16 4 1 11 9 17 41 -24 12.56 -3.56
8 Fieri 16 3 3 10 9 17 54 -37 10.30 -1.30
9 Shijaku 16 1 4 11 6 13 48 -35 11.28 -5.28

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Partizani 30 26.29 +3.71
2 Shkodra 26 23.06 +2.94
3 Kavaja 16 13.56 +2.44
4 Red Star Durres 20 18.38 +1.62
5 KF Tirana 16 16.05 -0.05

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Shijaku 6 11.28 -5.28
2 Elbasani 9 12.56 -3.56
3 Fieri 9 10.30 -1.30
4 Korca 12 12.52 -0.52
5 KF Tirana 16 16.05 -0.05

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Partizani 1845 30 +40 10 8.9 +1.1
Shkodra 1751 26 +62 9 8.4 +0.6
Red Star Durres 1445 20 -116 4 5.6 -1.6
Kavaja 1362 16 +97 8 5.6 +2.4
KF Tirana 1407 16 +53 5 5.0 +0.0
Korca 1156 12 +8 4 3.9 +0.1
Fieri 1169 9 +6 4 2.8 +1.2
Elbasani 1145 9 -73 0 1.8 -1.8
Shijaku 1050 6 -47 2 3.1 -1.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ELB FIE KT KAV KOR PAR RSD SHI SHK
Elbasani —
1-0-1
3.28
1-0-1
1.69
0-0-2
2.86
1-0-1
2.76
0-0-2
0.50
0-0-2
2.99
1-1-0
3.04
0-0-2
0.58
Fieri
1-0-1
2.40
 —
1-0-1
1.31
0-1-1
2.14
0-1-1
3.00
0-0-2
1.19
0-0-2
1.39
1-1-0
2.66
0-0-2
0.57
KF Tirana
1-0-1
3.99
1-0-1
4.37
 —
2-0-0
3.82
1-1-0
3.37
0-0-2
0.86
1-0-1
1.92
1-0-1
3.44
0-1-1
1.15
Kavaja
2-0-0
2.82
1-1-0
3.53
0-0-2
1.86
 —
1-0-1
3.40
0-1-1
0.61
1-0-1
1.64
2-0-0
3.89
0-0-2
1.26
Korca
1-0-1
2.91
1-1-0
2.67
0-1-1
2.31
1-0-1
2.27
 —
0-0-2
0.47
1-0-1
2.11
0-2-0
3.43
0-0-2
1.30
Partizani
2-0-0
5.20
2-0-0
4.49
2-0-0
4.82
1-1-0
5.08
2-0-0
5.22
 —
1-1-0
4.69
2-0-0
5.18
2-0-0
3.51
Red Star Durres
2-0-0
2.69
2-0-0
4.29
1-0-1
3.76
1-0-1
4.04
1-0-1
3.57
0-1-1
0.99
 —
2-0-0
4.28
0-1-1
2.07
Shijaku
0-1-1
2.64
0-1-1
3.02
1-0-1
2.23
0-0-2
1.79
0-2-0
2.24
0-0-2
0.52
0-0-2
1.40
 —
0-0-2
1.76
Shkodra
2-0-0
5.11
2-0-0
5.12
1-1-0
4.53
2-0-0
4.42
2-0-0
4.38
0-0-2
2.16
1-1-0
3.61
2-0-0
3.92
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.89 +4.4
Allowed 0.86 -4.3
Differential 0.97 +2.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.94%6.25%4.17%3.47%1.39%6.94%29.17%
16.25%4.17%6.94%3.47%2.78%3.47%27.08%
24.17%6.94%2.78%1.39%1.39%—16.67%
33.47%3.47%1.39%1.39%0.69%—10.42%
41.39%2.78%1.39%0.69%——6.25%
5+6.94%3.47%————10.42%
Total29.17%27.08%16.67%10.42%6.25%10.42%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.82 +0.00
SD 1.96 1.96 3.23
CV 1.08 1.08 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 72

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—12.50%6.25%6.25%—12.50%37.50%
1—6.25%6.25%6.25%18.75%—37.50%
212.50%—————12.50%
3——6.25%———6.25%
4———6.25%——6.25%
5+———————
Total12.50%18.75%18.75%18.75%18.75%12.50%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 2.56 -1.50
SD 1.18 1.75 2.34
CV 1.11 0.68 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.25%—6.25%—25.00%43.75%
112.50%—6.25%———18.75%
2—6.25%6.25%6.25%6.25%—25.00%
3———6.25%6.25%—12.50%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.75%12.50%12.50%18.75%12.50%25.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 3.38 -2.31
SD 1.12 2.99 3.48
CV 1.06 0.88 —
Max 3 9 +1
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%12.50%6.25%———25.00%
16.25%6.25%6.25%12.50%——31.25%
26.25%12.50%—6.25%——25.00%
36.25%—————6.25%
46.25%—————6.25%
5+—6.25%————6.25%
Total31.25%37.50%12.50%18.75%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.19 +0.38
SD 1.46 1.11 2.03
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—12.50%6.25%6.25%—6.25%31.25%
16.25%6.25%12.50%———25.00%
2—6.25%————6.25%
3———6.25%——6.25%
4—12.50%6.25%———18.75%
5+6.25%6.25%————12.50%
Total12.50%43.75%25.00%12.50%—6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.69 +0.31
SD 2.03 1.45 2.89
CV 1.02 0.86 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%—6.25%6.25%—12.50%37.50%
1—6.25%6.25%——12.50%25.00%
2—18.75%6.25%—6.25%—31.25%
3——6.25%———6.25%
4———————
5+———————
Total12.50%25.00%25.00%6.25%6.25%25.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 2.56 -1.50
SD 1.00 2.03 2.42
CV 0.94 0.79 —
Max 3 6 +1
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%—————6.25%
16.25%6.25%————12.50%
26.25%6.25%————12.50%
312.50%12.50%————25.00%
4—6.25%————6.25%
5+25.00%12.50%————37.50%
Total56.25%43.75%————100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.81 0.44 +3.38
SD 2.46 0.51 2.55
CV 0.64 1.17 —
Max 9 1 +9
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%6.25%—6.25%——25.00%
125.00%—12.50%—6.25%—43.75%
2—6.25%————6.25%
36.25%—————6.25%
46.25%6.25%————12.50%
5+6.25%—————6.25%
Total56.25%18.75%12.50%6.25%6.25%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 0.88 +0.69
SD 1.59 1.26 2.27
CV 1.02 1.44 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.25%12.50%—12.50%6.25%43.75%
1—6.25%6.25%6.25%—18.75%37.50%
2——12.50%———12.50%
3—6.25%————6.25%
4———————
5+———————
Total6.25%18.75%31.25%6.25%12.50%25.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 3.00 -2.19
SD 0.91 2.10 2.37
CV 1.12 0.70 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%—————12.50%
1——6.25%6.25%——12.50%
212.50%6.25%————18.75%
36.25%12.50%————18.75%
4——6.25%———6.25%
5+25.00%6.25%————31.25%
Total56.25%25.00%12.50%6.25%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.44 0.69 +2.75
SD 2.68 0.95 3.07
CV 0.78 1.38 —
Max 9 3 +9
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 16

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Partizani 1845 30 26.29 +3.71 98.0% 18 23 25 26 28 30 32
Shkodra 1751 26 23.06 +2.94 89.0% 17 18 21 23 25 28 29
Red Star Durres 1445 20 18.38 +1.62 77.0% 10 13 16 18 20 24 25
KF Tirana 1415 16 16.05 -0.05 53.0% 7 10 14 16 18 20 23
Kavaja 1362 16 13.56 +2.44 80.0% 7 9 11 14 15 19 21
Fieri 1169 9 10.30 -1.30 35.0% 4 4 8 10 13 15 18
Korca 1156 12 12.52 -0.52 53.0% 4 9 10 12 15 17 21
Elbasani 1145 9 12.56 -3.56 16.0% 5 8 11 13 15 16 19
Shijaku 1050 6 11.28 -5.28 2.0% 2 7 9 11 13 15 21

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 27% * Slight Edge: 27% to 33% * Clear Edge: 33% to 40% * Strong Edge: 40% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+34.72%
Clear Edge
59.72%15.28%25.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge
133 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
0125.87400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+1.19 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.95+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.04 * Tight Race: 0.04 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.4
One-Team Race
12349
Champion Preseason Odds
84%
Partizani, 1st of 9
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.25/gm
Runaway
00.230.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.3 * Some Luck: 2.3 to 3.45 * Lucky: 3.45 to 4.59 * Wild Swing: 4.59 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.84 * Close: 0.84 to 1.26 * Off: 1.26 to 1.68 * Way Off: 1.68 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 9 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 9 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 9 * As Expected: 9 to 14.4 * Several Outliers: 14.4 to 19.8 * Many Outliers: 19.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.86 points
Some Luck
02.877
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.44
Pinpoint
01.052.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 94.44%
98.00%
Partizani
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected
2.00%
Shijaku
05.56%50
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 9
Minimal Outliers
00.99

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 77.5% * Wide Edge: 77.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 93% * Strong Edge: 93% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 72.5% * Very Frequent: 72.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 10.5% * Occasional: 10.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.27
Lopsided
00.120.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 277.91
2.20
Wide Separation
0.91.351.82.153
Interquartile Edge
84%
Wide Edge
50%63.5%72.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
99%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
46%
Few
0%36%100%
Blowouts
Expected
36%
Very Frequent
0%44%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.56 * Notable Separation: 0.56 to 0.62 * Lopsided: 0.62 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14.5% * Upset-Prone: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 18.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 10.5% * As Expected: 10.5% to 12.5% * Shaky Favorites: 12.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.41
Highly Predictable
00.462
Matchup Imbalance
0.61
Notable Separation
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.14
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.24
Weak Carryover
00.410.590.731
Upset Rate
Expected
14%
As Expected
0%16%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
10%
Solid Favorites
0%13%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.16 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.16 to 0.24 * Above Noise: 0.24 to 0.32 * Well Above Noise: 0.32 and up.
Probability calibration
0.63
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.18
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.066
Well Within Noise
00.1610.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789
Partizani84.00%14.00%2.00%——————
Shkodra16.00%69.00%13.00%2.00%—————
Red Star Durres—11.00%46.00%22.00%10.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%—
KF Tirana—3.00%25.00%34.00%20.00%9.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%
Kavaja—2.00%8.00%17.00%20.00%27.00%5.00%15.00%6.00%
Korca——4.00%12.00%12.00%15.00%23.00%19.00%15.00%
Elbasani——1.00%7.00%23.00%21.00%20.00%13.00%15.00%
Fieri——1.00%2.00%7.00%10.00%24.00%19.00%37.00%
Shijaku—1.00%—4.00%8.00%12.00%21.00%29.00%25.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Partizani 100% —
Red Star Durres 100% —
Shkodra 100% —
KF Tirana 98.00% 2.00%
Kavaja 94.00% 6.00%
Elbasani 85.00% 15.00%
Korca 85.00% 15.00%
Shijaku 75.00% 25.00%
Fieri 63.00% 37.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1949-04-01 Shijaku W 2-035.6 1381 1365 66.16% 16.15% 17.69%+1.07 +30.6 2
1949-04-01 @ Elbasani L 0-235.6 1365 1381 17.69% 16.15% 66.16%-1.07 -30.6 0
1949-04-01 Kavaja W 2-135.7 1333 1148 76.61% 15.96% 7.43%+2.34 +6.8 2
1949-04-01 @ KF Tirana L 1-235.7 1148 1333 7.43% 15.96% 76.61%-2.34 -6.8 0
1949-04-01 Fieri W 9-036.1 1578 1403 76.18% 15.97% 7.85%+2.26 +58.4 2
1949-04-01 @ Partizani L 0-936.1 1403 1578 7.85% 15.97% 76.18%-2.26 -58.4 0
1949-04-01 Korca W 2-138.2 1329 1266 69.83% 16.11% 14.06%+1.42 +12.4 2
1949-04-01 @ Red Star Durres L 1-238.2 1266 1329 14.06% 16.11% 69.83%-1.42 -12.4 0
1949-04-01 Partizani L 1-264.8 1533 1636 53.55% 16.20% 30.25%+0.17 -40.5 0
1949-04-01 @ Shkodra W 2-164.8 1636 1533 30.25% 16.20% 53.55%-0.17 +40.5 4
1949-04-08 Shijaku W 1-036.3 1344 1335 65.58% 16.16% 18.27%+1.02 +16.7 2
1949-04-08 @ Fieri L 0-136.3 1335 1344 18.27% 16.16% 65.58%-1.02 -16.7 0
1949-04-08 Shkodra L 1-349.1 1318 1493 43.88% 16.20% 39.92%-0.37 -58.7 0
1949-04-08 @ Shijaku W 3-149.1 1493 1318 39.92% 16.20% 43.88%+0.37 +58.7 2
1949-04-08 Red Star Durres L 0-153.0 1412 1342 70.37% 16.10% 13.53%+1.48 -56.5 2
1949-04-08 @ Elbasani W 1-053.0 1342 1412 13.53% 16.10% 70.37%-1.48 +56.5 4
1949-04-08 Korca W 5-134.0 1340 1254 71.40% 16.09% 12.51%+1.59 +35.2 4
1949-04-08 @ KF Tirana L 1-534.0 1254 1340 12.51% 16.09% 71.40%-1.59 -35.2 0
1949-04-15 Korca L 2-360.7 1361 1219 74.64% 16.02% 9.34%+2.02 -53.8 2
1949-04-15 @ Fieri W 3-260.7 1219 1361 9.34% 16.02% 74.64%-2.02 +53.9 2
1949-04-15 Partizani D 1-158.4 1141 1677 8.64% 15.78% 75.58%-3.08 +13.6 1
1949-04-15 @ Kavaja D 1-158.4 1677 1141 75.58% 15.78% 8.64%+3.08 -13.6 5
1949-04-15 KF Tirana W 3-142.8 1259 1375 51.89% 16.20% 31.91%+0.07 +44.8 2
1949-04-15 @ Shijaku L 1-342.8 1375 1259 31.91% 16.20% 51.89%-0.07 -44.8 4
1949-04-15 Shkodra L 2-449.2 1273 1551 29.77% 16.14% 54.08%-1.15 -37.7 2
1949-04-15 @ Korca W 4-249.2 1551 1273 54.08% 16.14% 29.77%+1.15 +37.7 4
1949-04-22 Partizani L 0-639.7 1307 1663 21.22% 16.07% 62.72%-1.73 -100.1 2
1949-04-22 @ Fieri W 6-039.7 1663 1307 62.72% 16.07% 21.22%+1.73 +100.1 7
1949-04-22 KF Tirana L 0-142.8 1155 1330 43.80% 16.20% 40.01%-0.37 -35.9 1
1949-04-22 @ Kavaja W 1-042.8 1330 1155 40.01% 16.20% 43.80%+0.37 +35.9 6
1949-04-22 Elbasani D 1-155.6 1304 1356 59.53% 16.19% 24.28%+0.56 -6.7 3
1949-04-22 @ Shijaku D 1-155.6 1356 1304 24.28% 16.19% 59.53%-0.56 +6.7 3
1949-04-22 Shkodra W 3-153.0 1763 1589 76.14% 15.97% 7.89%+2.26 +12.4 9
1949-04-22 @ Partizani L 1-353.0 1589 1763 7.89% 15.97% 76.14%-2.26 -12.5 4
1949-04-22 Red Star Durres W 2-145.8 1235 1398 45.54% 16.20% 38.26%-0.28 +30.2 4
1949-04-22 @ Korca L 1-245.8 1398 1235 38.26% 16.20% 45.54%+0.28 -30.2 4
1949-04-29 Fieri D 2-259.0 1297 1207 71.69% 16.08% 12.23%+1.63 -8.9 4
1949-04-29 @ Shijaku D 2-259.0 1207 1297 12.23% 16.08% 71.69%-1.63 +8.9 3
1949-04-29 KF Tirana D 1-155.4 1265 1366 53.78% 16.20% 30.02%+0.19 -4.4 5
1949-04-29 @ Korca D 1-155.4 1366 1265 30.02% 16.20% 53.78%-0.19 +4.4 7
1949-04-29 Elbasani W 4-138.6 1368 1362 65.22% 16.16% 18.62%+0.99 +39.3 6
1949-04-29 @ Red Star Durres L 1-438.6 1362 1368 18.62% 16.16% 65.22%-0.99 -39.3 3
1949-04-29 Shijaku W 7-133.6 1577 1288 79.99% 15.77% 4.24%+3.12 +18.0 6
1949-04-29 @ Shkodra L 1-733.6 1288 1577 4.24% 15.77% 79.99%-3.12 -18.0 4
1949-05-06 Kavaja L 1-454.1 1323 1119 77.37% 15.92% 6.71%+2.48 -144.7 3
1949-05-06 @ Elbasani W 4-154.1 1119 1323 6.71% 15.92% 77.37%-2.48 +144.7 3
1949-05-06 Fieri W 2-136.5 1371 1216 75.26% 16.00% 8.74%+2.11 +7.9 9
1949-05-06 @ KF Tirana L 1-236.5 1216 1371 8.74% 16.00% 75.26%-2.11 -7.9 3
1949-05-06 Partizani D 0-067.0 1407 1776 20.02% 16.05% 63.92%-1.83 +9.5 7
1949-05-06 @ Red Star Durres D 0-067.0 1776 1407 63.92% 16.05% 20.02%+1.83 -9.5 10
1949-05-06 KF Tirana W 2-038.5 1595 1378 77.81% 15.90% 6.29%+2.57 +11.5 8
1949-05-06 @ Shkodra L 0-238.5 1378 1595 6.29% 15.90% 77.81%-2.57 -11.5 9
1949-05-13 Shijaku W 4-030.1 1367 1270 72.08% 16.08% 11.84%+1.67 +40.1 11
1949-05-13 @ KF Tirana L 0-430.1 1270 1367 11.84% 16.08% 72.08%-1.67 -40.1 4
1949-05-13 Kavaja W 6-035.6 1766 1263 83.49% 15.22% 1.29%+4.73 +6.6 12
1949-05-13 @ Partizani L 0-635.6 1263 1766 1.29% 15.22% 83.49%-4.73 -6.6 3
1949-05-13 Fieri D 0-051.3 1261 1208 69.10% 16.12% 14.78%+1.35 -12.0 6
1949-05-13 @ Korca D 0-051.3 1208 1261 14.78% 16.12% 69.10%-1.35 +12.0 4
1949-05-13 Korca W 6-030.2 1606 1249 81.50% 15.61% 2.89%+3.64 +15.0 10
1949-05-13 @ Shkodra L 0-630.2 1249 1606 2.89% 15.61% 81.50%-3.64 -15.0 6
1949-05-20 Fieri W 4-241.2 1257 1220 67.87% 16.14% 15.99%+1.23 +21.6 5
1949-05-20 @ Kavaja L 2-441.2 1220 1257 15.99% 16.14% 67.87%-1.23 -21.7 4
1949-05-20 KF Tirana W 3-148.6 1773 1407 81.64% 15.59% 2.76%+3.70 +4.5 14
1949-05-20 @ Partizani L 1-348.6 1407 1773 2.76% 15.59% 81.64%-3.70 -4.5 11
1949-05-20 Elbasani W 2-137.7 1234 1178 69.29% 16.12% 14.59%+1.36 +12.8 8
1949-05-20 @ Korca L 1-237.7 1178 1234 14.59% 16.12% 69.29%-1.36 -12.8 3
1949-05-20 Shijaku W 5-028.2 1417 1230 76.67% 15.95% 7.38%+2.35 +31.5 9
1949-05-20 @ Red Star Durres L 0-528.2 1230 1417 7.38% 15.95% 76.67%-2.35 -31.5 4
1949-05-20 Kavaja W 3-033.5 1621 1278 81.21% 15.65% 3.14%+3.53 +8.5 12
1949-05-20 @ Shkodra L 0-333.5 1278 1621 3.14% 15.65% 81.21%-3.53 -8.5 5
1949-05-27 Red Star Durres L 0-140.6 1198 1448 33.45% 16.16% 50.39%-0.93 -28.5 4
1949-05-27 @ Fieri W 1-040.6 1448 1198 50.39% 16.16% 33.45%+0.93 +28.6 11
1949-05-27 Korca W 5-030.3 1270 1247 66.76% 16.15% 17.09%+1.12 +69.4 7
1949-05-27 @ Kavaja L 0-530.3 1247 1270 17.09% 16.15% 66.76%-1.12 -69.4 8
1949-05-27 Partizani L 0-238.7 1199 1777 6.87% 15.68% 77.44%-3.41 -12.5 4
1949-05-27 @ Shijaku W 2-038.7 1777 1199 77.44% 15.68% 6.87%+3.41 +12.5 16
1949-05-27 KF Tirana W 3-252.9 1166 1403 35.17% 16.17% 48.66%-0.84 +35.2 5
1949-05-27 @ Elbasani L 2-352.9 1403 1166 48.66% 16.17% 35.17%+0.84 -35.2 11
1949-05-27 Shkodra D 0-064.8 1477 1630 46.96% 16.20% 36.84%-0.20 -2.1 12
1949-05-27 @ Red Star Durres D 0-064.8 1630 1477 36.84% 16.20% 46.96%+0.20 +2.0 13
1949-06-03 Kavaja D 3-363.1 1170 1339 44.62% 16.20% 39.18%-0.33 -0.6 5
1949-06-03 @ Fieri D 3-363.1 1339 1170 39.18% 16.20% 44.62%+0.33 +0.6 8
1949-06-03 Shkodra L 0-245.1 1340 1632 28.21% 16.13% 55.66%-1.25 -46.4 8
1949-06-03 @ Kavaja W 2-045.1 1632 1340 55.66% 16.13% 28.21%+1.25 +46.4 15
1949-06-03 Red Star Durres L 0-435.3 1186 1475 28.59% 16.14% 55.27%-1.22 -89.2 4
1949-06-03 @ Shijaku W 4-035.3 1475 1186 55.27% 16.14% 28.59%+1.22 +89.2 14
1949-06-03 Korca W 2-033.0 1201 1177 66.78% 16.15% 17.08%+1.12 +29.7 7
1949-06-03 @ Elbasani L 0-233.0 1177 1201 17.08% 16.15% 66.78%-1.12 -29.7 8
1949-06-03 Partizani L 0-149.1 1367 1790 15.44% 15.98% 68.58%-2.23 -14.3 11
1949-06-03 @ KF Tirana W 1-049.1 1790 1367 68.58% 15.98% 15.44%+2.23 +14.3 18
1949-06-10 Elbasani W 2-031.6 1353 1230 73.61% 16.04% 10.34%+1.87 +18.6 13
1949-06-10 @ KF Tirana L 0-231.6 1230 1353 10.34% 16.04% 73.61%-1.87 -18.6 7
1949-06-10 Shijaku W 6-134.2 1804 1097 85.06% 14.53% 0.41%+6.27 +1.5 20
1949-06-10 @ Partizani L 1-634.2 1097 1804 0.41% 14.53% 85.06%-6.27 -1.5 4
1949-06-10 Kavaja W 2-144.2 1147 1294 47.89% 16.20% 35.91%-0.15 +28.6 10
1949-06-10 @ Korca L 1-244.2 1294 1147 35.91% 16.20% 47.89%+0.15 -28.6 8
1949-06-10 Fieri W 3-029.2 1564 1169 82.13% 15.52% 2.35%+3.92 +6.4 16
1949-06-10 @ Red Star Durres L 0-329.2 1169 1564 2.35% 15.52% 82.13%-3.92 -6.4 5
1949-06-10 Red Star Durres W 2-153.7 1678 1570 72.77% 16.06% 11.17%+1.76 +10.0 17
1949-06-10 @ Shkodra L 1-253.7 1570 1678 11.17% 16.06% 72.77%-1.76 -10.0 16
1949-06-17 Kavaja L 1-246.7 1096 1265 44.67% 16.20% 39.13%-0.33 -34.4 4
1949-06-17 @ Shijaku W 2-146.7 1265 1096 39.13% 16.20% 44.67%+0.33 +34.4 10
1949-06-17 Fieri W 4-345.6 1212 1163 68.81% 16.12% 15.06%+1.32 +12.2 9
1949-06-17 @ Elbasani L 3-445.6 1163 1212 15.06% 16.12% 68.81%-1.32 -12.2 5
1949-06-17 Partizani L 0-337.0 1176 1805 5.22% 15.56% 79.22%-3.79 -13.9 10
1949-06-17 @ Korca W 3-037.0 1805 1176 79.22% 15.56% 5.22%+3.79 +13.9 22
1949-06-17 KF Tirana W 1-038.8 1560 1372 76.75% 15.95% 7.30%+2.37 +7.1 18
1949-06-17 @ Red Star Durres L 0-138.8 1372 1560 7.30% 15.95% 76.75%-2.37 -7.1 13
1949-06-17 Elbasani W 5-031.7 1688 1224 83.07% 15.33% 1.60%+4.44 +6.9 19
1949-06-17 @ Shkodra L 0-531.7 1224 1688 1.60% 15.33% 83.07%-4.44 -7.0 9
1949-06-24 Shkodra L 0-731.5 1150 1695 8.23% 15.76% 76.01%-3.15 -47.9 5
1949-06-24 @ Fieri W 7-031.5 1695 1150 76.01% 15.76% 8.23%+3.15 +47.9 21
1949-06-24 Red Star Durres W 1-050.4 1299 1567 31.14% 16.15% 52.71%-1.07 +42.3 12
1949-06-24 @ Kavaja L 0-150.4 1567 1299 52.71% 16.15% 31.14%+1.07 -42.3 18
1949-06-24 Korca D 0-051.0 1061 1162 53.77% 16.20% 30.02%+0.19 -4.9 5
1949-06-24 @ Shijaku D 0-051.0 1162 1061 30.02% 16.20% 53.77%-0.19 +4.9 11
1949-06-24 Partizani L 0-339.3 1217 1819 6.05% 15.63% 78.33%-3.59 -16.0 9
1949-06-24 @ Elbasani W 3-039.3 1819 1217 78.33% 15.63% 6.05%+3.59 +16.0 24
1949-07-01 Elbasani W 1-038.2 1103 1201 54.10% 16.20% 29.70%+0.21 +25.8 7
1949-07-01 @ Fieri L 0-138.2 1201 1103 29.70% 16.20% 54.10%-0.21 -25.8 9
1949-07-01 Shijaku W 6-129.5 1342 1056 79.92% 15.77% 4.31%+3.10 +15.5 14
1949-07-01 @ Kavaja L 1-629.5 1056 1342 4.31% 15.77% 79.92%-3.10 -15.5 5
1949-07-01 Shkodra L 1-341.1 1175 1743 7.28% 15.71% 77.01%-3.33 -11.5 9
1949-07-01 @ Elbasani W 3-141.1 1743 1175 77.01% 15.71% 7.28%+3.33 +11.5 23
1949-07-01 Red Star Durres W 3-043.8 1365 1525 45.93% 16.20% 37.87%-0.26 +87.0 15
1949-07-01 @ KF Tirana L 0-343.8 1525 1365 37.87% 16.20% 45.93%+0.26 -87.0 18
1949-07-01 Korca W 6-137.9 1835 1167 84.82% 14.67% 0.51%+5.98 +1.8 26
1949-07-01 @ Partizani L 1-637.9 1167 1835 0.51% 14.67% 84.82%-5.98 -1.8 11
1949-07-08 Elbasani W 6-034.2 1837 1164 84.86% 14.65% 0.49%+6.02 +2.5 28
1949-07-08 @ Partizani L 0-634.2 1164 1837 0.49% 14.65% 84.86%-6.02 -2.5 9
1949-07-08 Shijaku D 2-258.6 1165 1041 73.71% 16.04% 10.24%+1.88 -9.5 12
1949-07-08 @ Korca D 2-258.6 1041 1165 10.24% 16.04% 73.71%-1.88 +9.5 6
1949-07-08 Kavaja W 1-036.6 1438 1357 71.07% 16.09% 12.83%+1.56 +12.1 20
1949-07-08 @ Red Star Durres L 0-136.6 1357 1438 12.83% 16.09% 71.07%-1.56 -12.1 14
1949-07-08 Fieri W 9-030.2 1754 1128 84.54% 14.82% 0.64%+5.66 +4.8 25
1949-07-08 @ Shkodra L 0-930.2 1128 1754 0.64% 14.82% 84.54%-5.66 -4.9 7
1949-07-15 KF Tirana W 2-151.8 1124 1452 24.09% 16.10% 59.82%-1.52 +45.0 9
1949-07-15 @ Fieri L 1-251.8 1452 1124 59.82% 16.10% 24.09%+1.52 -45.0 15
1949-07-15 Elbasani W 4-133.4 1345 1161 76.56% 15.96% 7.49%+2.33 +16.7 16
1949-07-15 @ Kavaja L 1-433.4 1161 1345 7.49% 15.96% 76.56%-2.33 -16.7 9
1949-07-15 Shkodra D 0-066.5 1407 1759 21.53% 16.07% 62.40%-1.71 +8.8 16
1949-07-15 @ KF Tirana D 0-066.5 1759 1407 62.40% 16.07% 21.53%+1.71 -8.8 26
1949-07-15 Red Star Durres W 4-149.2 1840 1450 82.05% 15.53% 2.42%+3.88 +5.5 30
1949-07-15 @ Partizani L 1-449.2 1450 1840 2.42% 15.53% 82.05%-3.88 -5.5 20

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1949-05-06 6.71% Kavaja 1119 4 @ Elbasani 1323 1
2 1949-04-15 9.34% Korca 1219 3 @ Fieri 1361 2
3 1949-04-08 13.53% Red Star Durres 1342 1 @ Elbasani 1412 0
4 1949-07-15 24.09% @ Fieri 1124 2 KF Tirana 1452 1
5 1949-04-01 30.25% Partizani 1636 2 @ Shkodra 1533 1
6 1949-06-24 31.14% @ Kavaja 1299 1 Red Star Durres 1567 0
7 1949-05-27 35.17% @ Elbasani 1166 3 KF Tirana 1403 2
8 1949-06-17 39.13% Kavaja 1265 2 @ Shijaku 1096 1
9 1949-04-08 39.92% Shkodra 1493 3 @ Shijaku 1318 1
10 1949-04-22 40.01% KF Tirana 1330 1 @ Kavaja 1155 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1949-05-06 144.66 Kavaja 4 1119 6.71% @ Elbasani 1 1323 77.37% 15.92%
2 1949-04-22 100.13 Partizani 6 1663 62.72% @ Fieri 0 1307 21.22% 16.07%
3 1949-06-03 89.15 Red Star Durres 4 1475 55.27% @ Shijaku 0 1186 28.59% 16.14%
4 1949-07-01 86.98 @ KF Tirana 3 1365 45.93% Red Star Durres 0 1525 37.87% 16.20%
5 1949-05-27 69.44 @ Kavaja 5 1270 66.76% Korca 0 1247 17.09% 16.15%
6 1949-04-08 58.72 Shkodra 3 1493 39.92% @ Shijaku 1 1318 43.88% 16.20%
7 1949-04-01 58.44 @ Partizani 9 1578 76.18% Fieri 0 1403 7.85% 15.97%
8 1949-04-08 56.47 Red Star Durres 1 1342 13.53% @ Elbasani 0 1412 70.37% 16.10%
9 1949-04-15 53.85 Korca 3 1219 9.34% @ Fieri 2 1361 74.64% 16.02%
10 1949-06-24 47.88 Shkodra 7 1695 76.01% @ Fieri 0 1150 8.23% 15.76%
11 1949-06-03 46.43 Shkodra 2 1632 55.66% @ Kavaja 0 1340 28.21% 16.13%
12 1949-07-15 45.02 @ Fieri 2 1124 24.09% KF Tirana 1 1452 59.82% 16.10%
13 1949-04-15 44.79 @ Shijaku 3 1259 51.89% KF Tirana 1 1375 31.91% 16.20%
14 1949-06-24 42.33 @ Kavaja 1 1299 31.14% Red Star Durres 0 1567 52.71% 16.15%
15 1949-04-01 40.51 Partizani 2 1636 30.25% @ Shkodra 1 1533 53.55% 16.20%
16 1949-05-13 40.10 @ KF Tirana 4 1367 72.08% Shijaku 0 1270 11.84% 16.08%
17 1949-04-29 39.33 @ Red Star Durres 4 1368 65.22% Elbasani 1 1362 18.62% 16.16%
18 1949-04-15 37.71 Shkodra 4 1551 54.08% @ Korca 2 1273 29.77% 16.14%
19 1949-04-22 35.90 KF Tirana 1 1330 40.01% @ Kavaja 0 1155 43.80% 16.20%
20 1949-05-27 35.20 @ Elbasani 3 1166 35.17% KF Tirana 2 1403 48.66% 16.17%
21 1949-04-08 35.19 @ KF Tirana 5 1340 71.40% Korca 1 1254 12.51% 16.09%
22 1949-06-17 34.43 Kavaja 2 1265 39.13% @ Shijaku 1 1096 44.67% 16.20%
23 1949-05-20 31.52 @ Red Star Durres 5 1417 76.67% Shijaku 0 1230 7.38% 15.95%
24 1949-04-01 30.65 @ Elbasani 2 1381 66.16% Shijaku 0 1365 17.69% 16.15%
25 1949-04-22 30.20 @ Korca 2 1235 45.54% Red Star Durres 1 1398 38.26% 16.20%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1949-05-06 67.0 @ Red Star Durres 0 1407 20.02% Partizani 0 1776 63.92% 16.05%
2 1949-07-15 66.5 @ KF Tirana 0 1407 21.53% Shkodra 0 1759 62.40% 16.07%
3 1949-04-01 64.8 Partizani 2 1636 30.25% @ Shkodra 1 1533 53.55% 16.20%
4 1949-05-27 64.8 @ Red Star Durres 0 1477 46.96% Shkodra 0 1630 36.84% 16.20%
5 1949-06-03 63.1 @ Fieri 3 1170 44.62% Kavaja 3 1339 39.18% 16.20%
6 1949-04-15 60.7 Korca 3 1219 9.34% @ Fieri 2 1361 74.64% 16.02%
7 1949-04-29 59.0 @ Shijaku 2 1297 71.69% Fieri 2 1207 12.23% 16.08%
8 1949-07-08 58.6 @ Korca 2 1165 73.71% Shijaku 2 1041 10.24% 16.04%
9 1949-04-15 58.4 @ Kavaja 1 1141 8.64% Partizani 1 1677 75.58% 15.78%
10 1949-04-22 55.6 @ Shijaku 1 1304 59.53% Elbasani 1 1356 24.28% 16.19%
11 1949-04-29 55.4 @ Korca 1 1265 53.78% KF Tirana 1 1366 30.02% 16.20%
12 1949-05-06 54.1 Kavaja 4 1119 6.71% @ Elbasani 1 1323 77.37% 15.92%
13 1949-06-10 53.7 @ Shkodra 2 1678 72.77% Red Star Durres 1 1570 11.17% 16.06%
14 1949-04-08 53.0 Red Star Durres 1 1342 13.53% @ Elbasani 0 1412 70.37% 16.10%
15 1949-04-22 53.0 @ Partizani 3 1763 76.14% Shkodra 1 1589 7.89% 15.97%
16 1949-05-27 52.9 @ Elbasani 3 1166 35.17% KF Tirana 2 1403 48.66% 16.17%
17 1949-07-15 51.8 @ Fieri 2 1124 24.09% KF Tirana 1 1452 59.82% 16.10%
18 1949-05-13 51.3 @ Korca 0 1261 69.10% Fieri 0 1208 14.78% 16.12%
19 1949-06-24 51.0 @ Shijaku 0 1061 53.77% Korca 0 1162 30.02% 16.20%
20 1949-06-24 50.4 @ Kavaja 1 1299 31.14% Red Star Durres 0 1567 52.71% 16.15%
21 1949-04-15 49.2 Shkodra 4 1551 54.08% @ Korca 2 1273 29.77% 16.14%
22 1949-07-15 49.2 @ Partizani 4 1840 82.05% Red Star Durres 1 1450 2.42% 15.53%
23 1949-04-08 49.1 Shkodra 3 1493 39.92% @ Shijaku 1 1318 43.88% 16.20%
24 1949-06-03 49.1 Partizani 1 1790 68.58% @ KF Tirana 0 1367 15.44% 15.98%
25 1949-05-20 48.6 @ Partizani 3 1773 81.64% KF Tirana 1 1407 2.76% 15.59%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1949-05-20 28.2 @ Red Star Durres 5 1417 76.67% Shijaku 0 1230 7.38% 15.95%
2 1949-06-10 29.2 @ Red Star Durres 3 1564 82.13% Fieri 0 1169 2.35% 15.52%
3 1949-07-01 29.5 @ Kavaja 6 1342 79.92% Shijaku 1 1056 4.31% 15.77%
4 1949-05-13 30.1 @ KF Tirana 4 1367 72.08% Shijaku 0 1270 11.84% 16.08%
5 1949-05-13 30.2 @ Shkodra 6 1606 81.50% Korca 0 1249 2.89% 15.61%
6 1949-07-08 30.2 @ Shkodra 9 1754 84.54% Fieri 0 1128 0.64% 14.82%
7 1949-05-27 30.3 @ Kavaja 5 1270 66.76% Korca 0 1247 17.09% 16.15%
8 1949-06-24 31.5 Shkodra 7 1695 76.01% @ Fieri 0 1150 8.23% 15.76%
9 1949-06-10 31.6 @ KF Tirana 2 1353 73.61% Elbasani 0 1230 10.34% 16.04%
10 1949-06-17 31.7 @ Shkodra 5 1688 83.07% Elbasani 0 1224 1.60% 15.33%
11 1949-06-03 33.0 @ Elbasani 2 1201 66.78% Korca 0 1177 17.08% 16.15%
12 1949-07-15 33.4 @ Kavaja 4 1345 76.56% Elbasani 1 1161 7.49% 15.96%
13 1949-05-20 33.5 @ Shkodra 3 1621 81.21% Kavaja 0 1278 3.14% 15.65%
14 1949-04-29 33.6 @ Shkodra 7 1577 79.99% Shijaku 1 1288 4.24% 15.77%
15 1949-04-08 34.0 @ KF Tirana 5 1340 71.40% Korca 1 1254 12.51% 16.09%
16 1949-06-10 34.2 @ Partizani 6 1804 85.06% Shijaku 1 1097 0.41% 14.53%
17 1949-07-08 34.2 @ Partizani 6 1837 84.86% Elbasani 0 1164 0.49% 14.65%
18 1949-06-03 35.3 Red Star Durres 4 1475 55.27% @ Shijaku 0 1186 28.59% 16.14%
19 1949-04-01 35.6 @ Elbasani 2 1381 66.16% Shijaku 0 1365 17.69% 16.15%
20 1949-05-13 35.6 @ Partizani 6 1766 83.49% Kavaja 0 1263 1.29% 15.22%
21 1949-04-01 35.7 @ KF Tirana 2 1333 76.61% Kavaja 1 1148 7.43% 15.96%
22 1949-04-01 36.1 @ Partizani 9 1578 76.18% Fieri 0 1403 7.85% 15.97%
23 1949-04-08 36.3 @ Fieri 1 1344 65.58% Shijaku 0 1335 18.27% 16.16%
24 1949-05-06 36.5 @ KF Tirana 2 1371 75.26% Fieri 1 1216 8.74% 16.00%
25 1949-07-08 36.6 @ Red Star Durres 1 1438 71.07% Kavaja 0 1357 12.83% 16.09%