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1977-78 Kategoria e Parë Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Vllaznia

29 points · 5th Title

Last Title: 1946

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Luftetari

5.15 points above expected

26 points · 20.85 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Skenderbeu

4.99 points below expected

18 points · 22.99 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Vllaznia Champion 22 10 9 3 29 32 19 +13 23.98 +5.02
2 Luftetari 22 10 6 6 26 27 22 +5 20.85 +5.15
3 Partizani 22 11 3 8 25 30 22 +8 22.32 +2.68
4 Dinamo Tirana 22 8 8 6 24 24 20 +4 24.56 -0.56
5 Flamurtari 22 7 9 6 23 25 21 +4 21.36 +1.64
6 17 Nentori 22 7 7 8 21 21 20 +1 21.94 -0.94
7 Tomori 22 7 7 8 21 24 29 -5 23.80 -2.80
8 Shkendija Tirana 22 6 9 7 21 18 23 -5 20.70 +0.30
9 Traktori 22 6 7 9 19 22 28 -6 20.41 -1.41
10 Lokomotiva Durres 22 4 11 7 19 15 24 -9 19.72 -0.72
11 Skenderbeu 22 6 6 10 18 16 19 -3 22.99 -4.99
12 Labinoti 22 6 6 10 18 12 19 -7 21.37 -3.37

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Luftetari 26 20.85 +5.15
2 Vllaznia 29 23.98 +5.02
3 Partizani 25 22.32 +2.68
4 Flamurtari 23 21.36 +1.64
5 Shkendija Tirana 21 20.70 +0.30

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Skenderbeu 18 22.99 -4.99
2 Labinoti 18 21.37 -3.37
3 Tomori 21 23.80 -2.80
4 Traktori 19 20.41 -1.41
5 17 Nentori 21 21.94 -0.94

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Vllaznia 706 29 +11 6 4.2 +1.8
Luftetari 636 26 +9 7 5.9 +1.1
Partizani 651 25 +9 7 5.8 +1.2
Dinamo Tirana 707 24 -4 6 6.8 -0.8
Flamurtari 603 23 -14 5 6.2 -1.2
17 Nentori 649 21 +5 5 4.5 +0.5
Shkendija Tirana 600 21 -6 4 4.1 -0.1
Tomori 658 21 -11 3 4.2 -1.2
Traktori 605 19 +38 9 5.8 +3.2
Lokomotiva Durres 572 19 -7 4 4.3 -0.3
Labinoti 597 18 -12 3 4.6 -1.6
Skenderbeu 629 18 -17 1 3.6 -2.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team 1N DT FLA LAB LD LUF PAR ST SKE TOM TRA VLL
17 Nentori —
1-1-0
2.33
1-1-0
2.76
0-1-1
2.85
1-1-0
3.02
0-0-2
2.81
1-0-1
2.64
1-1-0
2.85
0-1-1
2.69
1-0-1
2.38
0-1-1
2.98
1-0-1
2.45
Dinamo Tirana
0-1-1
3.01
 —
1-1-0
3.17
1-0-1
3.08
0-2-0
3.27
1-0-1
3.04
0-0-2
3.01
1-1-0
3.18
2-0-0
2.86
0-2-0
2.75
2-0-0
3.17
0-1-1
2.79
Flamurtari
0-1-1
2.58
0-1-1
2.18
 —
1-1-0
2.71
0-2-0
2.80
1-0-1
2.58
1-0-1
2.44
0-2-0
2.71
1-1-0
2.38
1-0-1
2.44
1-1-0
2.68
1-0-1
2.23
Labinoti
1-1-0
2.47
1-0-1
2.27
0-1-1
2.63
 —
0-1-1
2.78
0-0-2
2.65
1-0-1
2.41
1-0-1
2.63
0-2-0
2.48
1-0-1
2.28
1-0-1
2.84
0-1-1
2.49
Lokomotiva Durres
0-1-1
2.31
0-2-0
2.09
0-2-0
2.54
1-1-0
2.54
 —
0-1-1
2.51
1-0-1
2.34
0-1-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.13
0-1-1
2.23
1-0-1
2.71
0-2-0
2.19
Luftetari
2-0-0
2.53
1-0-1
2.31
1-0-1
2.75
2-0-0
2.68
1-1-0
2.82
 —
1-0-1
2.50
0-1-1
2.80
1-0-1
2.60
0-1-1
2.43
1-1-0
2.88
0-2-0
2.38
Partizani
1-0-1
2.69
2-0-0
2.33
1-0-1
2.88
1-0-1
2.93
1-0-1
3.00
1-0-1
2.83
 —
1-1-0
2.70
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
2.44
0-2-0
3.03
1-0-1
2.48
Shkendija Tirana
0-1-1
2.47
0-1-1
2.17
0-2-0
2.62
1-0-1
2.69
1-1-0
2.80
1-1-0
2.53
0-1-1
2.63
 —
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.28
1-1-0
2.85
0-1-1
2.26
Skenderbeu
1-1-0
2.63
0-0-2
2.48
0-1-1
2.96
0-2-0
2.85
1-0-1
3.21
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
2.59
1-0-1
2.83
 —
0-2-0
2.50
1-0-1
3.04
0-0-2
2.49
Tomori
1-0-1
2.95
0-2-0
2.58
1-0-1
2.89
1-0-1
3.06
1-1-0
3.13
1-1-0
2.91
1-0-1
2.90
1-0-1
3.06
0-2-0
2.82
 —
0-0-2
3.07
0-1-1
2.72
Traktori
1-1-0
2.36
0-0-2
2.18
0-1-1
2.64
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.62
0-1-1
2.45
0-2-0
2.31
0-1-1
2.48
1-0-1
2.29
2-0-0
2.29
 —
0-1-1
2.26
Vllaznia
1-0-1
2.87
1-1-0
2.53
1-0-1
3.11
1-1-0
2.84
0-2-0
3.15
0-2-0
2.95
1-0-1
2.86
1-1-0
3.09
2-0-0
2.83
1-1-0
2.61
1-1-0
3.08
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.81 +5.1
Allowed 0.06 -2.5
Differential 0.85 +4.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%12.50%5.68%2.65%0.76%—36.74%
112.50%17.42%5.68%1.89%0.38%0.76%38.64%
25.68%5.68%0.76%2.65%——14.77%
32.65%1.89%2.65%—0.38%—7.58%
40.76%0.38%—0.38%——1.52%
5+—0.76%————0.76%
Total36.74%38.64%14.77%7.58%1.52%0.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.01 1.01 +0.00
SD 1.04 1.04 1.44
CV 1.03 1.03 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%18.18%4.55%4.55%——40.91%
19.09%18.18%—4.55%——31.82%
29.09%4.55%—4.55%——18.18%
39.09%—————9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.91%40.91%4.55%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 0.91 +0.05
SD 1.00 1.02 1.56
CV 1.05 1.12 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
113.64%22.73%4.55%———40.91%
29.09%9.09%—4.55%——22.73%
3———————
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total36.36%45.45%9.09%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 0.91 +0.18
SD 1.15 0.92 1.47
CV 1.06 1.01 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.73%—9.09%———31.82%
19.09%18.18%13.64%———40.91%
2—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
39.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.91%27.27%27.27%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 0.95 +0.18
SD 1.08 0.95 1.33
CV 0.95 1.00 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%22.73%9.09%———50.00%
122.73%9.09%9.09%4.55%——45.45%
2—4.55%————4.55%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total40.91%36.36%18.18%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.55 0.86 -0.32
SD 0.60 0.89 1.04
CV 1.09 1.03 —
Max 2 3 +1
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
027.27%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—40.91%
113.64%18.18%9.09%4.55%4.55%—50.00%
24.55%—4.55%———9.09%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total45.45%22.73%18.18%4.55%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.68 1.09 -0.41
SD 0.65 1.31 1.37
CV 0.95 1.20 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
118.18%22.73%————40.91%
213.64%9.09%—4.55%——27.27%
3——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.36%40.91%13.64%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.00 +0.23
SD 0.92 1.07 1.19
CV 0.75 1.07 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%27.27%4.55%———36.36%
19.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
24.55%9.09%————13.64%
3—13.64%9.09%———22.73%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%63.64%18.18%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.00 +0.36
SD 1.33 0.62 1.36
CV 0.97 0.62 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%13.64%—4.55%——36.36%
19.09%22.73%9.09%——4.55%45.45%
24.55%13.64%————18.18%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total31.82%50.00%9.09%4.55%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 1.05 -0.23
SD 0.73 1.17 1.34
CV 0.90 1.12 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.73%18.18%13.64%4.55%——59.09%
19.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
213.64%——4.55%——18.18%
3———————
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total50.00%22.73%18.18%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 0.86 -0.14
SD 1.08 1.04 1.64
CV 1.48 1.20 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%9.09%—4.55%4.55%—36.36%
113.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
2—9.09%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
34.55%—————4.55%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+———————
Total36.36%27.27%9.09%22.73%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.32 -0.23
SD 1.11 1.32 1.51
CV 1.02 1.00 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—18.18%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
19.09%31.82%9.09%——4.55%54.55%
29.09%—————9.09%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%54.55%18.18%4.55%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.27 -0.27
SD 0.87 1.12 1.52
CV 0.87 0.88 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%—4.55%4.55%——27.27%
113.64%22.73%—4.55%——40.91%
2—4.55%————4.55%
39.09%—9.09%———18.18%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total45.45%31.82%13.64%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 0.86 +0.59
SD 1.44 0.99 1.76
CV 0.99 1.15 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Dinamo Tirana 707 24 24.56 -0.56 52.0% 15 18 22 24 27 30 31
Vllaznia 706 29 23.98 +5.02 95.0% 16 18 21 24 27 29 33
Tomori 658 21 23.80 -2.80 22.0% 17 19 22 24 26 28 31
Partizani 651 25 22.32 +2.68 83.0% 11 17 20 22 24 27 29
17 Nentori 649 21 21.94 -0.94 46.0% 14 17 20 22 24 27 29
Luftetari 636 26 20.85 +5.15 99.0% 13 16 19 21 23 26 27
Skenderbeu 629 18 22.99 -4.99 10.0% 16 17 20 23 26 29 30
Traktori 605 19 20.41 -1.41 37.0% 13 15 18 20 22 25 27
Flamurtari 603 23 21.36 +1.64 68.0% 13 15 19 21 24 27 32
Shkendija Tirana 600 21 20.70 +0.30 60.0% 13 14 19 21 23 25 27
Labinoti 597 18 21.37 -3.37 20.0% 14 16 19 22 24 26 28
Lokomotiva Durres 572 19 19.72 -0.72 44.0% 12 14 17 20 23 25 27

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 27% * Slight Edge: 27% to 33% * Clear Edge: 33% to 40% * Strong Edge: 40% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+33.33%
Clear Edge
50.00%33.33%16.67%
Elo Value
Home Edge
226 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0120.41600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.62 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.53+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.04 * Tight Race: 0.04 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.7
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
26%
Vllaznia, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Comfortable
00.090.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.61 * Some Luck: 2.61 to 3.92 * Lucky: 3.92 to 5.22 * Wild Swing: 5.22 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.35 * Close: 2.35 to 3.53 * Off: 3.53 to 4.7 * Way Off: 4.7 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.02 points
Some Luck
03.278
Average Finish Error
Expected
3.17
Close
02.946
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
Luftetari
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
10.00%
Skenderbeu
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 77.5% * Wide Edge: 77.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 93% * Strong Edge: 93% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 72.5% * Very Frequent: 72.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 10.5% * Occasional: 10.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.08
Balanced
00.120.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 42.27
0.90
Coin-Flip Parity
0.91.351.82.153
Interquartile Edge
57%
Even
50%63.5%72.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
68%
Even
50%70%100%
Close Games
Expected
76%
Very Frequent
0%70%100%
Blowouts
Expected 8%
9%
Rare
0%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.56 * Notable Separation: 0.56 to 0.62 * Lopsided: 0.62 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14.5% * Upset-Prone: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 18.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 10.5% * As Expected: 10.5% to 12.5% * Shaky Favorites: 12.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.60
Notable Separation
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.87
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.12
Weak Carryover
00.410.590.731
Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Upset-Prone
0%13%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Very Shaky
0%13%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.
Probability calibration
0.49
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.44
Overconfident
0.2752881.001.72471
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.054
Well Within Noise
00.1050.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Vllaznia26.00%10.00%10.00%11.00%9.00%11.00%3.00%6.00%6.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%
Luftetari—4.00%6.00%8.00%13.00%10.00%7.00%14.00%7.00%10.00%9.00%12.00%
Partizani7.00%13.00%11.00%8.00%7.00%8.00%13.00%10.00%9.00%5.00%6.00%3.00%
Dinamo Tirana24.00%13.00%17.00%7.00%12.00%6.00%6.00%4.00%3.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%
Flamurtari2.00%9.00%12.00%11.00%4.00%9.00%9.00%7.00%4.00%12.00%13.00%8.00%
17 Nentori7.00%7.00%8.00%13.00%9.00%5.00%7.00%11.00%12.00%10.00%7.00%4.00%
Tomori13.00%19.00%10.00%7.00%7.00%11.00%10.00%7.00%6.00%8.00%2.00%—
Shkendija Tirana2.00%5.00%3.00%6.00%10.00%8.00%8.00%11.00%17.00%6.00%12.00%12.00%
Traktori1.00%5.00%3.00%6.00%5.00%8.00%9.00%11.00%8.00%16.00%18.00%10.00%
Lokomotiva Durres—2.00%6.00%4.00%6.00%8.00%9.00%6.00%10.00%11.00%13.00%25.00%
Skenderbeu15.00%7.00%8.00%7.00%11.00%8.00%9.00%7.00%4.00%10.00%5.00%9.00%
Labinoti3.00%6.00%6.00%12.00%7.00%8.00%10.00%6.00%14.00%4.00%10.00%14.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Tomori 100% —
Vllaznia 99.00% 1.00%
Dinamo Tirana 98.00% 2.00%
Partizani 97.00% 3.00%
17 Nentori 96.00% 4.00%
Flamurtari 92.00% 8.00%
Skenderbeu 91.00% 9.00%
Traktori 90.00% 10.00%
Luftetari 88.00% 12.00%
Shkendija Tirana 88.00% 12.00%
Labinoti 86.00% 14.00%
Lokomotiva Durres 75.00% 25.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1977-09-01 Labinoti D 1-152.2 650 624 55.95% 32.89% 11.16%+0.65 -1.9 1
1977-09-01 @ 17 Nentori D 1-152.2 624 650 11.16% 32.89% 55.95%-0.65 +1.9 1
1977-09-01 Flamurtari W 2-142.0 604 594 54.59% 33.36% 12.05%+0.58 +3.2 2
1977-09-01 @ Luftetari L 1-242.0 594 604 12.05% 33.36% 54.59%-0.58 -3.1 0
1977-09-01 Dinamo Tirana L 0-145.7 602 698 43.97% 35.27% 20.76%+0.11 -8.6 0
1977-09-01 @ Traktori W 1-045.7 698 602 20.76% 35.27% 43.97%-0.11 +8.6 2
1977-09-01 Shkendija Tirana L 1-254.2 584 604 51.90% 34.13% 13.98%+0.45 -9.4 0
1977-09-01 @ Lokomotiva Durres W 2-154.2 604 584 13.98% 34.13% 51.90%-0.45 +9.4 2
1977-09-01 Partizani W 1-034.0 697 622 59.98% 31.15% 8.87%+0.87 +2.5 2
1977-09-01 @ Tomori L 0-134.0 622 697 8.87% 31.15% 59.98%-0.87 -2.5 0
1977-09-01 Traktori D 1-152.7 667 593 59.82% 31.23% 8.96%+0.86 -2.2 1
1977-09-01 @ Vllaznia D 1-152.7 593 667 8.96% 31.23% 59.82%-0.86 +2.2 1
1977-09-08 Dinamo Tirana L 0-146.2 626 706 45.66% 35.15% 19.19%+0.17 -8.9 1
1977-09-08 @ Labinoti W 1-046.2 706 626 19.19% 35.15% 45.66%-0.17 +8.9 4
1977-09-08 Partizani D 0-046.1 613 619 53.11% 33.81% 13.08%+0.50 -1.9 3
1977-09-08 @ Shkendija Tirana D 0-046.1 619 613 13.08% 33.81% 53.11%-0.50 +1.9 1
1977-09-08 Traktori W 2-030.2 670 595 59.89% 31.19% 8.92%+0.86 +4.7 2
1977-09-08 @ Skenderbeu L 0-230.2 595 670 8.92% 31.19% 59.89%-0.86 -4.7 1
1977-09-08 Luftetari D 1-151.7 575 607 50.67% 34.41% 14.93%+0.39 -1.5 1
1977-09-08 @ Lokomotiva Durres D 1-151.7 607 575 14.93% 34.41% 50.67%-0.39 +1.5 3
1977-09-08 17 Nentori W 3-029.4 700 648 58.07% 32.03% 9.90%+0.76 +7.6 4
1977-09-08 @ Tomori L 0-329.4 648 700 9.90% 32.03% 58.07%-0.76 -7.6 1
1977-09-08 Labinoti D 0-046.6 664 617 57.74% 32.17% 10.08%+0.74 -2.3 2
1977-09-08 @ Vllaznia D 0-046.6 617 664 10.08% 32.17% 57.74%-0.74 +2.3 2
1977-09-15 Labinoti L 0-149.5 715 619 61.59% 30.32% 8.09%+0.96 -11.5 4
1977-09-15 @ Dinamo Tirana W 1-049.5 619 715 8.09% 30.32% 61.59%-0.96 +11.5 4
1977-09-15 Vllaznia L 0-147.5 631 662 50.73% 34.39% 14.87%+0.39 -9.7 4
1977-09-15 @ Labinoti W 1-047.5 662 631 14.87% 34.39% 50.73%-0.39 +9.7 4
1977-09-15 Tomori W 3-032.7 640 707 47.16% 34.99% 17.85%+0.24 +12.6 3
1977-09-15 @ 17 Nentori L 0-332.7 707 640 17.85% 34.99% 47.16%-0.24 -12.6 4
1977-09-15 Lokomotiva Durres W 2-031.2 609 573 56.71% 32.60% 10.69%+0.69 +5.7 5
1977-09-15 @ Luftetari L 0-231.2 573 609 10.69% 32.60% 56.71%-0.69 -5.6 1
1977-09-15 Skenderbeu W 1-038.4 591 675 45.34% 35.18% 19.48%+0.16 +4.9 3
1977-09-15 @ Traktori L 0-138.4 675 591 19.48% 35.18% 45.34%-0.16 -4.9 2
1977-09-15 Shkendija Tirana W 1-035.6 621 611 54.55% 33.37% 12.08%+0.58 +3.3 3
1977-09-15 @ Partizani L 0-135.6 611 621 12.08% 33.37% 54.55%-0.58 -3.4 3
1977-09-22 Partizani L 1-255.8 704 624 60.30% 30.99% 8.71%+0.88 -10.6 4
1977-09-22 @ Dinamo Tirana W 2-155.8 624 704 8.71% 30.99% 60.30%-0.88 +10.6 5
1977-09-22 Traktori W 3-030.9 590 596 53.19% 33.79% 13.03%+0.51 +9.8 2
1977-09-22 @ Flamurtari L 0-330.9 596 590 13.03% 33.79% 53.19%-0.51 -9.8 3
1977-09-22 Luftetari L 1-254.7 621 614 54.25% 33.47% 12.28%+0.56 -9.7 4
1977-09-22 @ Labinoti W 2-154.7 614 621 12.28% 33.47% 54.25%-0.56 +9.7 7
1977-09-22 Vllaznia L 0-147.4 635 672 50.21% 34.50% 15.29%+0.37 -9.6 5
1977-09-22 @ Partizani W 1-047.4 672 635 15.29% 34.50% 50.21%-0.37 +9.7 6
1977-09-22 Tomori W 2-144.9 608 695 44.99% 35.21% 19.81%+0.15 +4.7 5
1977-09-22 @ Shkendija Tirana L 1-244.9 695 608 19.81% 35.21% 44.99%-0.15 -4.7 4
1977-09-22 Lokomotiva Durres W 4-028.7 670 568 62.02% 30.08% 7.89%+0.98 +7.8 4
1977-09-22 @ Skenderbeu L 0-428.7 568 670 7.89% 30.08% 62.02%-0.98 -7.8 1
1977-09-29 Labinoti W 2-031.8 624 611 54.80% 33.29% 11.91%+0.59 +6.2 9
1977-09-29 @ Luftetari L 0-231.8 611 624 11.91% 33.29% 54.80%-0.59 -6.2 4
1977-09-29 Flamurtari D 1-151.9 586 600 52.36% 34.01% 13.63%+0.47 -1.6 4
1977-09-29 @ Traktori D 1-151.9 600 586 13.63% 34.01% 52.36%-0.47 +1.6 3
1977-09-29 Dinamo Tirana W 2-034.1 625 693 47.05% 35.00% 17.95%+0.23 +8.7 7
1977-09-29 @ Partizani L 0-234.1 693 625 17.95% 35.00% 47.05%-0.23 -8.7 4
1977-09-29 Skenderbeu W 2-035.8 560 677 41.45% 35.36% 23.19%+0.01 +10.4 3
1977-09-29 @ Lokomotiva Durres L 0-235.8 677 560 23.19% 35.36% 41.45%-0.01 -10.4 4
1977-09-29 Shkendija Tirana W 2-140.4 690 612 60.15% 31.07% 8.79%+0.87 +2.3 6
1977-09-29 @ Tomori L 1-240.4 612 690 8.79% 31.07% 60.15%-0.87 -2.3 5
1977-09-29 Partizani L 1-351.0 681 634 57.73% 32.18% 10.09%+0.74 -17.8 6
1977-09-29 @ Vllaznia W 3-151.0 634 681 10.09% 32.18% 57.73%-0.74 +17.8 9
1977-10-06 Luftetari D 1-151.7 584 630 49.31% 34.67% 16.02%+0.33 -1.4 5
1977-10-06 @ Traktori D 1-151.7 630 584 16.02% 34.67% 49.31%-0.33 +1.4 10
1977-10-06 17 Nentori W 3-138.0 652 653 53.56% 33.68% 12.76%+0.53 +5.7 11
1977-10-06 @ Partizani L 1-338.0 653 652 12.76% 33.68% 53.56%-0.53 -5.7 3
1977-10-06 Labinoti W 1-035.7 610 605 54.12% 33.51% 12.37%+0.55 +3.4 7
1977-10-06 @ Shkendija Tirana L 0-135.7 605 610 12.37% 33.51% 54.12%-0.55 -3.4 4
1977-10-06 Flamurtari D 1-152.6 667 602 59.17% 31.54% 9.29%+0.82 -2.2 5
1977-10-06 @ Skenderbeu D 1-152.6 602 667 9.29% 31.54% 59.17%-0.82 +2.2 4
1977-10-06 Dinamo Tirana D 1-151.5 570 685 41.85% 35.36% 22.80%+0.03 -0.7 4
1977-10-06 @ Lokomotiva Durres D 1-151.5 685 570 22.80% 35.36% 41.85%-0.03 +0.7 5
1977-10-06 Lokomotiva Durres D 0-047.1 664 570 61.42% 30.41% 8.17%+0.95 -2.6 7
1977-10-06 @ Vllaznia D 0-047.1 570 664 8.17% 30.41% 61.42%-0.95 +2.6 5
1977-10-13 17 Nentori D 1-151.6 583 647 47.43% 34.96% 17.61%+0.25 -1.2 6
1977-10-13 @ Traktori D 1-151.6 647 583 17.61% 34.96% 47.43%-0.25 +1.2 4
1977-10-13 Labinoti W 3-136.5 658 601 58.43% 31.88% 9.69%+0.78 +4.4 13
1977-10-13 @ Partizani L 1-336.5 601 658 9.69% 31.88% 58.43%-0.78 -4.4 4
1977-10-13 Flamurtari D 0-046.2 613 604 54.50% 33.39% 12.11%+0.57 -2.0 8
1977-10-13 @ Shkendija Tirana D 0-046.2 604 613 12.11% 33.39% 54.50%-0.57 +2.0 5
1977-10-13 Dinamo Tirana L 0-244.0 665 685 51.79% 34.15% 14.06%+0.44 -18.7 5
1977-10-13 @ Skenderbeu W 2-044.0 685 665 14.06% 34.15% 51.79%-0.44 +18.7 7
1977-10-13 Lokomotiva Durres W 1-032.9 692 572 63.39% 29.31% 7.30%+1.06 +2.0 8
1977-10-13 @ Tomori L 0-132.9 572 692 7.30% 29.31% 63.39%-1.06 -2.0 5
1977-10-13 Skenderbeu W 3-030.4 661 646 54.98% 33.23% 11.79%+0.60 +9.0 9
1977-10-13 @ Vllaznia L 0-330.4 646 661 11.79% 33.23% 54.98%-0.60 -9.0 5
1977-10-20 Traktori W 5-131.1 704 582 63.56% 29.21% 7.23%+1.07 +5.9 9
1977-10-20 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-531.1 582 704 7.23% 29.21% 63.56%-1.07 -5.9 6
1977-10-20 Luftetari W 3-247.4 606 632 51.30% 34.27% 14.43%+0.42 +3.5 7
1977-10-20 @ Flamurtari L 2-347.4 632 606 14.43% 34.27% 51.30%-0.42 -3.5 10
1977-10-20 17 Nentori W 1-037.3 597 648 48.77% 34.76% 16.47%+0.30 +4.3 6
1977-10-20 @ Labinoti L 0-137.3 648 597 16.47% 34.76% 48.77%-0.30 -4.3 4
1977-10-20 Vllaznia L 1-252.2 576 670 44.17% 35.26% 20.57%+0.12 -8.1 6
1977-10-20 @ Traktori W 2-152.2 670 576 20.57% 35.26% 44.17%-0.12 +8.1 11
1977-10-20 Tomori W 3-247.6 662 694 50.65% 34.41% 14.94%+0.39 +3.6 15
1977-10-20 @ Partizani L 2-347.6 694 662 14.94% 34.41% 50.65%-0.39 -3.6 8
1977-10-20 Lokomotiva Durres D 1-152.3 611 570 57.21% 32.40% 10.39%+0.71 -2.0 9
1977-10-20 @ Shkendija Tirana D 1-152.3 570 611 10.39% 32.40% 57.21%-0.71 +2.0 6
1977-11-03 Tomori D 0-046.3 710 691 55.35% 33.10% 11.55%+0.62 -2.1 10
1977-11-03 @ Dinamo Tirana D 0-046.3 691 710 11.55% 33.10% 55.35%-0.62 +2.1 9
1977-11-03 Lokomotiva Durres D 0-046.5 609 572 56.88% 32.53% 10.59%+0.70 -2.2 8
1977-11-03 @ Flamurtari D 0-046.5 572 609 10.59% 32.53% 56.88%-0.70 +2.2 7
1977-11-03 Skenderbeu D 0-045.9 601 637 50.31% 34.48% 15.21%+0.37 -1.6 7
1977-11-03 @ Labinoti D 0-045.9 637 601 15.21% 34.48% 50.31%-0.37 +1.6 6
1977-11-03 Shkendija Tirana W 3-029.8 644 609 56.67% 32.61% 10.72%+0.69 +8.2 6
1977-11-03 @ 17 Nentori L 0-329.8 609 644 10.72% 32.61% 56.67%-0.69 -8.2 9
1977-11-03 Partizani L 0-147.4 628 666 50.15% 34.51% 15.33%+0.37 -9.6 10
1977-11-03 @ Luftetari W 1-047.4 666 628 15.33% 34.51% 50.15%-0.37 +9.6 17
1977-11-03 Vllaznia D 0-046.3 693 678 54.96% 33.24% 11.80%+0.60 -2.1 10
1977-11-03 @ Tomori D 0-046.3 678 693 11.80% 33.24% 54.96%-0.60 +2.1 12
1977-11-10 Dinamo Tirana L 0-241.8 607 708 43.45% 35.30% 21.25%+0.09 -16.1 8
1977-11-10 @ Flamurtari W 2-041.8 708 607 21.25% 35.30% 43.45%-0.09 +16.1 12
1977-11-10 Traktori W 2-141.4 601 568 56.57% 32.65% 10.78%+0.68 +2.8 11
1977-11-10 @ Shkendija Tirana L 1-241.4 568 601 10.78% 32.65% 56.57%-0.68 -2.8 6
1977-11-10 Luftetari W 2-031.6 639 618 55.46% 33.07% 11.48%+0.62 +6.0 8
1977-11-10 @ Skenderbeu L 0-231.6 618 639 11.48% 33.07% 55.46%-0.62 -6.0 10
1977-11-10 17 Nentori D 0-045.7 575 652 46.00% 35.12% 18.88%+0.19 -1.2 8
1977-11-10 @ Lokomotiva Durres D 0-045.7 652 575 18.88% 35.12% 46.00%-0.19 +1.2 7
1977-11-10 Labinoti W 1-033.6 691 600 61.19% 30.53% 8.28%+0.93 +2.3 12
1977-11-10 @ Tomori L 0-133.6 600 691 8.28% 30.53% 61.19%-0.93 -2.3 7
1977-11-10 Flamurtari W 3-244.5 680 591 61.04% 30.61% 8.35%+0.93 +2.1 14
1977-11-10 @ Vllaznia L 2-344.5 591 680 8.35% 30.61% 61.04%-0.93 -2.1 8
1977-11-17 Flamurtari D 0-046.2 597 589 54.40% 33.42% 12.18%+0.57 -2.0 8
1977-11-17 @ Labinoti D 0-046.2 589 597 12.18% 33.42% 54.40%-0.57 +2.0 9
1977-11-17 Dinamo Tirana W 1-037.9 653 724 46.79% 35.03% 18.18%+0.22 +4.6 9
1977-11-17 @ 17 Nentori L 0-137.9 724 653 18.18% 35.03% 46.79%-0.22 -4.6 12
1977-11-17 Partizani W 2-032.9 645 675 50.85% 34.37% 14.78%+0.40 +7.5 10
1977-11-17 @ Skenderbeu L 0-232.9 675 645 14.78% 34.37% 50.85%-0.40 -7.5 17
1977-11-17 Traktori W 1-035.6 573 565 54.43% 33.41% 12.16%+0.57 +3.4 10
1977-11-17 @ Lokomotiva Durres L 0-135.6 565 573 12.16% 33.41% 54.43%-0.57 -3.4 6
1977-11-17 Luftetari W 4-346.4 693 612 60.38% 30.95% 8.67%+0.89 +2.1 14
1977-11-17 @ Tomori L 3-446.4 612 693 8.67% 30.95% 60.38%-0.89 -2.1 10
1977-11-17 17 Nentori W 3-246.1 682 658 55.78% 32.95% 11.27%+0.64 +2.8 16
1977-11-17 @ Vllaznia L 2-346.1 658 682 11.27% 32.95% 55.78%-0.64 -2.8 9
1977-11-24 Lokomotiva Durres D 0-047.8 719 577 65.06% 28.30% 6.64%+1.16 -2.9 13
1977-11-24 @ Dinamo Tirana D 0-047.8 577 719 6.64% 28.30% 65.06%-1.16 +2.9 11
1977-11-24 Skenderbeu W 1-037.6 591 652 47.75% 34.91% 17.34%+0.26 +4.5 11
1977-11-24 @ Flamurtari L 0-137.6 652 591 17.34% 34.91% 47.75%-0.26 -4.5 10
1977-11-24 Shkendija Tirana W 1-036.1 595 604 52.88% 33.87% 13.25%+0.49 +3.6 10
1977-11-24 @ Labinoti L 0-136.1 604 595 13.25% 33.87% 52.88%-0.49 -3.6 11
1977-11-24 Partizani W 1-036.2 655 668 52.54% 33.96% 13.50%+0.48 +3.7 11
1977-11-24 @ 17 Nentori L 0-136.2 668 655 13.50% 33.96% 52.54%-0.48 -3.7 17
1977-11-24 Traktori W 1-034.6 610 561 57.84% 32.13% 10.02%+0.75 +2.8 12
1977-11-24 @ Luftetari L 0-134.6 561 610 10.02% 32.13% 57.84%-0.75 -2.8 6
1977-11-24 Vllaznia D 0-045.6 580 685 42.88% 35.33% 21.80%+0.07 -0.9 12
1977-11-24 @ Lokomotiva Durres D 0-045.6 685 580 21.80% 35.33% 42.88%-0.07 +0.9 17
1977-11-30 Shkendija Tirana D 1-153.2 716 600 63.09% 29.48% 7.43%+1.04 -2.5 14
1977-11-30 @ Dinamo Tirana D 1-153.2 600 716 7.43% 29.48% 63.09%-1.04 +2.5 12
1977-11-30 Partizani W 1-037.9 596 664 47.00% 35.01% 17.99%+0.23 +4.6 13
1977-11-30 @ Flamurtari L 0-137.9 664 596 17.99% 35.01% 47.00%-0.23 -4.6 17
1977-11-30 Traktori W 1-034.8 599 559 57.15% 32.42% 10.43%+0.71 +2.9 12
1977-11-30 @ Labinoti L 0-134.8 559 599 10.43% 32.42% 57.15%-0.71 -2.9 6
1977-11-30 Luftetari L 0-148.9 659 613 57.60% 32.24% 10.17%+0.73 -10.9 11
1977-11-30 @ 17 Nentori W 1-048.9 613 659 10.17% 32.24% 57.60%-0.73 +10.9 14
1977-11-30 Vllaznia D 1-151.5 603 686 45.40% 35.17% 19.42%+0.16 -1.0 13
1977-11-30 @ Shkendija Tirana D 1-151.5 686 603 19.42% 35.17% 45.40%-0.16 +1.0 18
1977-11-30 Tomori D 0-045.8 648 695 49.18% 34.69% 16.13%+0.32 -1.5 11
1977-11-30 @ Skenderbeu D 0-045.8 695 648 16.13% 34.69% 49.18%-0.32 +1.5 15
1977-12-07 Luftetari L 0-148.8 659 624 56.73% 32.59% 10.68%+0.69 -10.7 17
1977-12-07 @ Partizani W 1-048.8 624 659 10.68% 32.59% 56.73%-0.69 +10.7 16
1977-12-07 17 Nentori D 1-151.7 602 648 49.28% 34.68% 16.05%+0.33 -1.4 14
1977-12-07 @ Shkendija Tirana D 1-151.7 648 602 16.05% 34.68% 49.28%-0.33 +1.4 12
1977-12-07 Labinoti D 0-046.6 646 602 57.48% 32.29% 10.24%+0.73 -2.3 12
1977-12-07 @ Skenderbeu D 0-046.6 602 646 10.24% 32.29% 57.48%-0.73 +2.3 13
1977-12-07 Flamurtari D 0-046.0 579 600 51.69% 34.18% 14.13%+0.44 -1.8 13
1977-12-07 @ Lokomotiva Durres D 0-046.0 600 579 14.13% 34.18% 51.69%-0.44 +1.8 14
1977-12-07 Dinamo Tirana D 1-151.8 697 714 52.10% 34.08% 13.83%+0.46 -1.6 16
1977-12-07 @ Tomori D 1-151.8 714 697 13.83% 34.08% 52.10%-0.46 +1.6 15
1977-12-07 Tomori W 4-031.4 687 695 52.94% 33.86% 13.21%+0.50 +12.9 20
1977-12-07 @ Vllaznia L 0-431.4 695 687 13.21% 33.86% 52.94%-0.50 -12.9 16
1977-12-14 Flamurtari D 1-153.2 715 602 62.90% 29.59% 7.51%+1.03 -2.5 16
1977-12-14 @ Dinamo Tirana D 1-153.2 602 715 7.51% 29.59% 62.90%-1.03 +2.5 15
1977-12-14 Vllaznia W 3-033.6 604 700 44.02% 35.27% 20.71%+0.11 +14.0 17
1977-12-14 @ Flamurtari L 0-333.6 700 604 20.71% 35.27% 44.02%-0.11 -14.0 20
1977-12-14 Tomori W 1-038.2 604 682 45.98% 35.12% 18.90%+0.19 +4.8 15
1977-12-14 @ Labinoti L 0-138.2 682 604 18.90% 35.12% 45.98%-0.19 -4.8 16
1977-12-14 Lokomotiva Durres W 2-140.5 649 577 59.74% 31.26% 8.99%+0.85 +2.4 14
1977-12-14 @ 17 Nentori L 1-240.5 577 649 8.99% 31.26% 59.74%-0.85 -2.4 13
1977-12-14 Skenderbeu W 2-032.3 635 644 52.82% 33.89% 13.29%+0.49 +6.9 18
1977-12-14 @ Luftetari L 0-232.3 644 635 13.29% 33.89% 52.82%-0.49 -6.9 12
1977-12-14 Shkendija Tirana D 1-151.7 556 600 49.43% 34.65% 15.92%+0.33 -1.4 7
1977-12-14 @ Traktori D 1-151.7 600 556 15.92% 34.65% 49.43%-0.33 +1.4 15
1978-01-11 Flamurtari D 1-152.3 652 618 56.56% 32.65% 10.78%+0.68 -2.0 15
1978-01-11 @ 17 Nentori D 1-152.3 618 652 10.78% 32.65% 56.56%-0.68 +2.0 18
1978-01-11 Dinamo Tirana L 0-146.5 642 713 46.68% 35.05% 18.27%+0.22 -9.1 18
1978-01-11 @ Luftetari W 1-046.5 713 642 18.27% 35.05% 46.68%-0.22 +9.1 18
1978-01-11 Shkendija Tirana W 1-034.9 637 602 56.72% 32.59% 10.68%+0.69 +3.0 14
1978-01-11 @ Skenderbeu L 0-134.9 602 637 10.68% 32.59% 56.72%-0.69 -3.0 15
1978-01-11 Partizani W 1-038.0 575 649 46.40% 35.08% 18.53%+0.20 +4.7 15
1978-01-11 @ Lokomotiva Durres L 0-138.0 649 575 18.53% 35.08% 46.40%-0.20 -4.7 17
1978-01-11 Traktori L 2-360.7 677 554 63.62% 29.17% 7.21%+1.08 -10.5 16
1978-01-11 @ Tomori W 3-260.7 554 677 7.21% 29.17% 63.62%-1.08 +10.5 9
1978-01-11 Luftetari D 1-152.5 686 632 58.22% 31.97% 9.81%+0.77 -2.1 21
1978-01-11 @ Vllaznia D 1-152.5 632 686 9.81% 31.97% 58.22%-0.77 +2.1 19
1978-01-25 Traktori D 1-152.8 644 565 60.27% 31.01% 8.73%+0.88 -2.3 18
1978-01-25 @ Partizani D 1-152.8 565 644 8.73% 31.01% 60.27%-0.88 +2.3 10
1978-01-25 Luftetari W 2-033.1 599 635 50.32% 34.48% 15.20%+0.37 +7.6 17
1978-01-25 @ Shkendija Tirana L 0-233.1 635 599 15.20% 34.48% 50.32%-0.37 -7.7 19
1978-01-25 17 Nentori W 1-036.1 640 650 52.78% 33.90% 13.32%+0.49 +3.6 16
1978-01-25 @ Skenderbeu L 0-136.1 650 640 13.32% 33.90% 52.78%-0.49 -3.6 15
1978-01-25 Labinoti W 1-036.7 579 609 50.91% 34.36% 14.74%+0.40 +4.0 17
1978-01-25 @ Lokomotiva Durres L 0-136.7 609 579 14.74% 34.36% 50.91%-0.40 -4.0 15
1978-01-25 Flamurtari W 2-141.1 667 620 57.65% 32.22% 10.14%+0.74 +2.7 18
1978-01-25 @ Tomori L 1-241.1 620 667 10.14% 32.22% 57.65%-0.74 -2.7 18
1978-01-25 Dinamo Tirana W 3-031.8 684 722 50.09% 34.53% 15.38%+0.36 +11.2 23
1978-01-25 @ Vllaznia L 0-331.8 722 684 15.38% 34.53% 50.09%-0.36 -11.2 18
1978-02-01 Vllaznia D 1-152.1 711 695 55.05% 33.21% 11.75%+0.60 -1.9 19
1978-02-01 @ Dinamo Tirana D 1-152.1 695 711 11.75% 33.21% 55.05%-0.60 +1.9 24
1978-02-01 Tomori W 3-139.4 618 670 48.72% 34.77% 16.51%+0.30 +7.1 20
1978-02-01 @ Flamurtari L 1-339.4 670 618 16.51% 34.77% 48.72%-0.30 -7.1 18
1978-02-01 Lokomotiva Durres D 1-152.2 605 583 55.57% 33.02% 11.40%+0.63 -1.9 16
1978-02-01 @ Labinoti D 1-152.2 583 605 11.40% 33.02% 55.57%-0.63 +1.9 18
1978-02-01 Skenderbeu D 0-046.2 646 644 53.88% 33.58% 12.54%+0.54 -2.0 16
1978-02-01 @ 17 Nentori D 0-046.2 644 646 12.54% 33.58% 53.88%-0.54 +2.0 17
1978-02-01 Shkendija Tirana D 0-046.3 627 606 55.46% 33.06% 11.47%+0.62 -2.1 20
1978-02-01 @ Luftetari D 0-046.3 606 627 11.47% 33.06% 55.46%-0.62 +2.1 18
1978-02-01 Partizani D 1-151.5 567 642 46.34% 35.08% 18.58%+0.20 -1.1 11
1978-02-01 @ Traktori D 1-151.5 642 567 18.58% 35.08% 46.34%-0.20 +1.1 19
1978-02-08 17 Nentori W 1-036.4 625 644 51.89% 34.13% 13.98%+0.45 +3.8 22
1978-02-08 @ Luftetari L 0-136.4 644 625 13.98% 34.13% 51.89%-0.45 -3.8 16
1978-02-08 Labinoti W 2-033.1 566 603 50.18% 34.51% 15.31%+0.37 +7.7 13
1978-02-08 @ Traktori L 0-233.1 603 566 15.31% 34.51% 50.18%-0.37 -7.7 16
1978-02-08 Flamurtari W 2-141.8 643 625 55.25% 33.14% 11.61%+0.61 +3.0 21
1978-02-08 @ Partizani L 1-241.8 625 643 11.61% 33.14% 55.25%-0.61 -3.0 20
1978-02-08 Dinamo Tirana L 1-252.0 609 709 43.47% 35.30% 21.22%+0.09 -8.1 18
1978-02-08 @ Shkendija Tirana W 2-152.0 709 609 21.22% 35.30% 43.47%-0.09 +8.1 21
1978-02-08 Skenderbeu D 0-046.3 662 646 55.13% 33.18% 11.69%+0.61 -2.1 19
1978-02-08 @ Tomori D 0-046.3 646 662 11.69% 33.18% 55.13%-0.61 +2.1 18
1978-02-08 Shkendija Tirana W 5-131.7 697 601 61.60% 30.31% 8.09%+0.96 +6.7 26
1978-02-08 @ Vllaznia L 1-531.7 601 697 8.09% 30.31% 61.60%-0.96 -6.7 18
1978-02-15 17 Nentori D 0-046.9 717 640 60.06% 31.11% 8.83%+0.87 -2.5 22
1978-02-15 @ Dinamo Tirana D 0-046.9 640 717 8.83% 31.11% 60.06%-0.87 +2.5 17
1978-02-15 Labinoti W 2-141.6 622 595 55.96% 32.88% 11.16%+0.65 +2.9 22
1978-02-15 @ Flamurtari L 1-241.6 595 622 11.16% 32.88% 55.96%-0.65 -2.9 16
1978-02-15 Vllaznia W 2-033.9 643 704 47.81% 34.91% 17.29%+0.26 +8.4 19
1978-02-15 @ 17 Nentori L 0-233.9 704 643 17.29% 34.91% 47.81%-0.26 -8.4 26
1978-02-15 Tomori D 1-151.7 629 660 50.71% 34.40% 14.89%+0.39 -1.5 23
1978-02-15 @ Luftetari D 1-151.7 660 629 14.89% 34.40% 50.71%-0.39 +1.5 20
1978-02-15 Lokomotiva Durres W 3-138.3 574 585 52.62% 33.94% 13.44%+0.48 +6.0 15
1978-02-15 @ Traktori L 1-338.3 585 574 13.44% 33.94% 52.62%-0.48 -6.0 18
1978-02-15 Skenderbeu W 3-246.8 646 648 53.48% 33.70% 12.82%+0.52 +3.2 23
1978-02-15 @ Partizani L 2-346.8 648 646 12.82% 33.70% 53.48%-0.52 -3.2 18
1978-02-22 Skenderbeu W 2-140.5 714 645 59.52% 31.37% 9.11%+0.84 +2.4 24
1978-02-22 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-240.5 645 714 9.11% 31.37% 59.52%-0.84 -2.4 18
1978-02-22 Shkendija Tirana D 0-046.4 625 594 56.34% 32.74% 10.92%+0.67 -2.2 23
1978-02-22 @ Flamurtari D 0-046.4 594 625 10.92% 32.74% 56.34%-0.67 +2.2 19
1978-02-22 Partizani W 2-143.9 592 649 48.25% 34.84% 16.91%+0.28 +4.2 18
1978-02-22 @ Labinoti L 1-243.9 649 592 16.91% 34.84% 48.25%-0.28 -4.2 23
1978-02-22 Traktori L 0-245.5 651 580 59.69% 31.29% 9.02%+0.85 -21.1 19
1978-02-22 @ 17 Nentori W 2-045.5 580 651 9.02% 31.29% 59.69%-0.85 +21.1 17
1978-02-22 Vllaznia L 0-147.0 642 695 48.61% 34.79% 16.61%+0.30 -9.4 18
1978-02-22 @ Skenderbeu W 1-047.0 695 642 16.61% 34.79% 48.61%-0.30 +9.4 28
1978-02-22 Tomori D 2-257.4 579 662 45.46% 35.17% 19.37%+0.17 -0.8 19
1978-02-22 @ Lokomotiva Durres D 2-257.4 662 579 19.37% 35.17% 45.46%-0.17 +0.8 21
1978-03-01 Luftetari L 2-360.3 717 627 61.09% 30.59% 8.33%+0.93 -10.2 24
1978-03-01 @ Dinamo Tirana W 3-260.3 627 717 8.33% 30.59% 61.09%-0.93 +10.2 25
1978-03-01 17 Nentori L 0-244.2 622 630 52.95% 33.85% 13.20%+0.50 -19.1 23
1978-03-01 @ Flamurtari W 2-044.2 630 622 13.20% 33.85% 52.95%-0.50 +19.1 21
1978-03-01 Vllaznia D 1-151.6 637 705 47.12% 34.99% 17.88%+0.23 -1.2 26
1978-03-01 @ Luftetari D 1-151.6 705 637 17.88% 34.99% 47.12%-0.23 +1.2 29
1978-03-01 Tomori W 1-037.7 601 663 47.69% 34.92% 17.39%+0.26 +4.5 19
1978-03-01 @ Traktori L 0-137.7 663 601 17.39% 34.92% 47.69%-0.26 -4.5 21
1978-03-01 Lokomotiva Durres W 4-133.5 645 578 59.26% 31.50% 9.25%+0.83 +6.0 25
1978-03-01 @ Partizani L 1-433.5 578 645 9.25% 31.50% 59.26%-0.83 -6.0 19
1978-03-01 Skenderbeu W 1-036.9 596 633 50.21% 34.50% 15.29%+0.37 +4.1 21
1978-03-01 @ Shkendija Tirana L 0-136.9 633 596 15.29% 34.50% 50.21%-0.37 -4.1 18

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1978-01-11 7.21% Traktori 554 3 @ Tomori 677 2
2 1977-09-15 8.09% Labinoti 619 1 @ Dinamo Tirana 715 0
3 1978-03-01 8.33% Luftetari 627 3 @ Dinamo Tirana 717 2
4 1977-09-22 8.71% Partizani 624 2 @ Dinamo Tirana 704 1
5 1978-02-22 9.02% Traktori 580 2 @ 17 Nentori 651 0
6 1977-09-29 10.09% Partizani 634 3 @ Vllaznia 681 1
7 1977-11-30 10.17% Luftetari 613 1 @ 17 Nentori 659 0
8 1977-12-07 10.68% Luftetari 624 1 @ Partizani 659 0
9 1977-09-22 12.28% Luftetari 614 2 @ Labinoti 621 1
10 1978-03-01 13.20% 17 Nentori 630 2 @ Flamurtari 622 0
11 1977-09-01 13.98% Shkendija Tirana 604 2 @ Lokomotiva Durres 584 1
12 1977-10-13 14.06% Dinamo Tirana 685 2 @ Skenderbeu 665 0
13 1977-09-15 14.87% Vllaznia 662 1 @ Labinoti 631 0
14 1977-09-22 15.29% Vllaznia 672 1 @ Partizani 635 0
15 1977-11-03 15.33% Partizani 666 1 @ Luftetari 628 0
16 1978-02-22 16.61% Vllaznia 695 1 @ Skenderbeu 642 0
17 1978-01-11 18.27% Dinamo Tirana 713 1 @ Luftetari 642 0
18 1977-09-08 19.19% Dinamo Tirana 706 1 @ Labinoti 626 0
19 1977-10-20 20.57% Vllaznia 670 2 @ Traktori 576 1
20 1977-09-01 20.76% Dinamo Tirana 698 1 @ Traktori 602 0
21 1978-02-08 21.22% Dinamo Tirana 709 2 @ Shkendija Tirana 609 1
22 1977-11-10 21.25% Dinamo Tirana 708 2 @ Flamurtari 607 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1978-02-22 21.12 Traktori 2 580 9.02% @ 17 Nentori 0 651 59.69% 31.29%
2 1978-03-01 19.07 17 Nentori 2 630 13.20% @ Flamurtari 0 622 52.95% 33.85%
3 1977-10-13 18.71 Dinamo Tirana 2 685 14.06% @ Skenderbeu 0 665 51.79% 34.15%
4 1977-09-29 17.80 Partizani 3 634 10.09% @ Vllaznia 1 681 57.73% 32.18%
5 1977-11-10 16.09 Dinamo Tirana 2 708 21.25% @ Flamurtari 0 607 43.45% 35.30%
6 1977-12-14 13.98 @ Flamurtari 3 604 44.02% Vllaznia 0 700 20.71% 35.27%
7 1977-12-07 12.94 @ Vllaznia 4 687 52.94% Tomori 0 695 13.21% 33.86%
8 1977-09-15 12.57 @ 17 Nentori 3 640 47.16% Tomori 0 707 17.85% 34.99%
9 1977-09-15 11.48 Labinoti 1 619 8.09% @ Dinamo Tirana 0 715 61.59% 30.32%
10 1978-01-25 11.22 @ Vllaznia 3 684 50.09% Dinamo Tirana 0 722 15.38% 34.53%
11 1977-11-30 10.88 Luftetari 1 613 10.17% @ 17 Nentori 0 659 57.60% 32.24%
12 1977-12-07 10.74 Luftetari 1 624 10.68% @ Partizani 0 659 56.73% 32.59%
13 1977-09-22 10.64 Partizani 2 624 8.71% @ Dinamo Tirana 1 704 60.30% 30.99%
14 1978-01-11 10.52 Traktori 3 554 7.21% @ Tomori 2 677 63.62% 29.17%
15 1977-09-29 10.40 @ Lokomotiva Durres 2 560 41.45% Skenderbeu 0 677 23.19% 35.36%
16 1978-03-01 10.20 Luftetari 3 627 8.33% @ Dinamo Tirana 2 717 61.09% 30.59%
17 1977-09-22 9.79 @ Flamurtari 3 590 53.19% Traktori 0 596 13.03% 33.79%
18 1977-09-15 9.74 Vllaznia 1 662 14.87% @ Labinoti 0 631 50.73% 34.39%
19 1977-09-22 9.74 Luftetari 2 614 12.28% @ Labinoti 1 621 54.25% 33.47%
20 1977-09-22 9.66 Vllaznia 1 672 15.29% @ Partizani 0 635 50.21% 34.50%
21 1977-11-03 9.64 Partizani 1 666 15.33% @ Luftetari 0 628 50.15% 34.51%
22 1978-02-22 9.39 Vllaznia 1 695 16.61% @ Skenderbeu 0 642 48.61% 34.79%
23 1977-09-01 9.37 Shkendija Tirana 2 604 13.98% @ Lokomotiva Durres 1 584 51.90% 34.13%
24 1978-01-11 9.07 Dinamo Tirana 1 713 18.27% @ Luftetari 0 642 46.68% 35.05%
25 1977-10-13 8.98 @ Vllaznia 3 661 54.98% Skenderbeu 0 646 11.79% 33.23%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1978-01-11 60.7 Traktori 3 554 7.21% @ Tomori 2 677 63.62% 29.17%
2 1978-03-01 60.3 Luftetari 3 627 8.33% @ Dinamo Tirana 2 717 61.09% 30.59%
3 1978-02-22 57.4 @ Lokomotiva Durres 2 579 45.46% Tomori 2 662 19.37% 35.17%
4 1977-09-22 55.8 Partizani 2 624 8.71% @ Dinamo Tirana 1 704 60.30% 30.99%
5 1977-09-22 54.7 Luftetari 2 614 12.28% @ Labinoti 1 621 54.25% 33.47%
6 1977-09-01 54.2 Shkendija Tirana 2 604 13.98% @ Lokomotiva Durres 1 584 51.90% 34.13%
7 1977-11-30 53.2 @ Dinamo Tirana 1 716 63.09% Shkendija Tirana 1 600 7.43% 29.48%
8 1977-12-14 53.2 @ Dinamo Tirana 1 715 62.90% Flamurtari 1 602 7.51% 29.59%
9 1978-01-25 52.8 @ Partizani 1 644 60.27% Traktori 1 565 8.73% 31.01%
10 1977-09-01 52.7 @ Vllaznia 1 667 59.82% Traktori 1 593 8.96% 31.23%
11 1977-10-06 52.6 @ Skenderbeu 1 667 59.17% Flamurtari 1 602 9.29% 31.54%
12 1978-01-11 52.5 @ Vllaznia 1 686 58.22% Luftetari 1 632 9.81% 31.97%
13 1977-10-20 52.3 @ Shkendija Tirana 1 611 57.21% Lokomotiva Durres 1 570 10.39% 32.40%
14 1978-01-11 52.3 @ 17 Nentori 1 652 56.56% Flamurtari 1 618 10.78% 32.65%
15 1977-09-01 52.2 @ 17 Nentori 1 650 55.95% Labinoti 1 624 11.16% 32.89%
16 1977-10-20 52.2 Vllaznia 2 670 20.57% @ Traktori 1 576 44.17% 35.26%
17 1978-02-01 52.2 @ Labinoti 1 605 55.57% Lokomotiva Durres 1 583 11.40% 33.02%
18 1978-02-01 52.1 @ Dinamo Tirana 1 711 55.05% Vllaznia 1 695 11.75% 33.21%
19 1978-02-08 52.0 Dinamo Tirana 2 709 21.22% @ Shkendija Tirana 1 609 43.47% 35.30%
20 1977-09-29 51.9 @ Traktori 1 586 52.36% Flamurtari 1 600 13.63% 34.01%
21 1977-12-07 51.8 @ Tomori 1 697 52.10% Dinamo Tirana 1 714 13.83% 34.08%
22 1977-09-08 51.7 @ Lokomotiva Durres 1 575 50.67% Luftetari 1 607 14.93% 34.41%
23 1977-10-06 51.7 @ Traktori 1 584 49.31% Luftetari 1 630 16.02% 34.67%
24 1977-12-07 51.7 @ Shkendija Tirana 1 602 49.28% 17 Nentori 1 648 16.05% 34.68%
25 1977-12-14 51.7 @ Traktori 1 556 49.43% Shkendija Tirana 1 600 15.92% 34.65%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1977-09-22 28.7 @ Skenderbeu 4 670 62.02% Lokomotiva Durres 0 568 7.89% 30.08%
2 1977-09-08 29.4 @ Tomori 3 700 58.07% 17 Nentori 0 648 9.90% 32.03%
3 1977-11-03 29.8 @ 17 Nentori 3 644 56.67% Shkendija Tirana 0 609 10.72% 32.61%
4 1977-09-08 30.2 @ Skenderbeu 2 670 59.89% Traktori 0 595 8.92% 31.19%
5 1977-10-13 30.4 @ Vllaznia 3 661 54.98% Skenderbeu 0 646 11.79% 33.23%
6 1977-09-22 30.9 @ Flamurtari 3 590 53.19% Traktori 0 596 13.03% 33.79%
7 1977-10-20 31.1 @ Dinamo Tirana 5 704 63.56% Traktori 1 582 7.23% 29.21%
8 1977-09-15 31.2 @ Luftetari 2 609 56.71% Lokomotiva Durres 0 573 10.69% 32.60%
9 1977-12-07 31.4 @ Vllaznia 4 687 52.94% Tomori 0 695 13.21% 33.86%
10 1977-11-10 31.6 @ Skenderbeu 2 639 55.46% Luftetari 0 618 11.48% 33.07%
11 1978-02-08 31.7 @ Vllaznia 5 697 61.60% Shkendija Tirana 1 601 8.09% 30.31%
12 1977-09-29 31.8 @ Luftetari 2 624 54.80% Labinoti 0 611 11.91% 33.29%
13 1978-01-25 31.8 @ Vllaznia 3 684 50.09% Dinamo Tirana 0 722 15.38% 34.53%
14 1977-12-14 32.3 @ Luftetari 2 635 52.82% Skenderbeu 0 644 13.29% 33.89%
15 1977-09-15 32.7 @ 17 Nentori 3 640 47.16% Tomori 0 707 17.85% 34.99%
16 1977-10-13 32.9 @ Tomori 1 692 63.39% Lokomotiva Durres 0 572 7.30% 29.31%
17 1977-11-17 32.9 @ Skenderbeu 2 645 50.85% Partizani 0 675 14.78% 34.37%
18 1978-01-25 33.1 @ Shkendija Tirana 2 599 50.32% Luftetari 0 635 15.20% 34.48%
19 1978-02-08 33.1 @ Traktori 2 566 50.18% Labinoti 0 603 15.31% 34.51%
20 1978-03-01 33.5 @ Partizani 4 645 59.26% Lokomotiva Durres 1 578 9.25% 31.50%
21 1977-11-10 33.6 @ Tomori 1 691 61.19% Labinoti 0 600 8.28% 30.53%
22 1977-12-14 33.6 @ Flamurtari 3 604 44.02% Vllaznia 0 700 20.71% 35.27%
23 1978-02-15 33.9 @ 17 Nentori 2 643 47.81% Vllaznia 0 704 17.29% 34.91%
24 1977-09-01 34.0 @ Tomori 1 697 59.98% Partizani 0 622 8.87% 31.15%
25 1977-09-29 34.1 @ Partizani 2 625 47.05% Dinamo Tirana 0 693 17.95% 35.00%