‹ ›

1978-79 Kategoria e Parë Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Partizani

36 points · 12th Title

Last Title: 1970-71

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

17 Nentori

7.52 points above expected

35 points · 27.48 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Traktori

5.93 points below expected

17 points · 22.93 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Partizani Champion 26 14 8 4 36 38 20 +18 28.94 +7.06
2 17 Nentori 26 13 9 4 35 41 27 +14 27.48 +7.52
3 Besa 26 11 9 6 31 36 25 +11 27.87 +3.13
4 Flamurtari 26 11 8 7 30 25 20 +5 26.47 +3.53
5 Dinamo Tirana 26 8 13 5 29 35 24 +11 27.83 +1.17
6 Labinoti 26 10 8 8 28 25 22 +3 25.57 +2.43
7 Lokomotiva Durres 26 6 13 7 25 30 29 +1 25.13 -0.13
8 Tomori 26 7 11 8 25 21 21 0 26.44 -1.44
9 Vllaznia 26 8 7 11 23 37 33 +4 26.28 -3.28
10 Naftetari 26 6 11 9 23 21 36 -15 26.58 -3.58
11 Shkendija Tirana 26 5 11 10 21 20 29 -9 23.88 -2.88
12 Luftetari 26 8 5 13 21 21 32 -11 24.52 -3.52
13 Beslidhja Lezhe 26 10 0 16 20 19 38 -19 24.08 -4.08
14 Traktori 26 3 11 12 17 19 32 -13 22.93 -5.93

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 17 Nentori 35 27.48 +7.52
2 Partizani 36 28.94 +7.06
3 Flamurtari 30 26.47 +3.53
4 Besa 31 27.87 +3.13
5 Labinoti 28 25.57 +2.43

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Traktori 17 22.93 -5.93
2 Beslidhja Lezhe 20 24.08 -4.08
3 Naftetari 23 26.58 -3.58
4 Luftetari 21 24.52 -3.52
5 Vllaznia 23 26.28 -3.28

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Partizani 1274 36 -41 4 6.4 -2.4
17 Nentori 1241 35 +74 8 5.1 +2.9
Besa 1164 31 -29 5 5.9 -0.9
Flamurtari 1124 30 -15 4 4.9 -0.9
Dinamo Tirana 1139 29 +9 5 4.8 +0.2
Labinoti 1089 28 -13 5 5.8 -0.8
Lokomotiva Durres 1062 25 -6 4 3.2 +0.8
Tomori 1070 25 +11 4 3.4 +0.6
Naftetari 1038 23 +8 5 4.6 +0.4
Vllaznia 1145 23 -37 3 5.0 -2.0
Shkendija Tirana 985 21 +10 6 5.4 +0.6
Luftetari 990 21 -49 4 5.1 -1.1
Beslidhja Lezhe 945 20 -13 4 4.7 -0.7
Traktori 928 17 +14 5 4.3 +0.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team 1N BES BL DT FLA LAB LD LUF NAF PAR ST TOM TRA VLL
17 Nentori —
1-1-0
2.58
2-0-0
2.63
0-2-0
2.57
1-1-0
2.86
1-0-1
2.77
1-0-1
2.95
2-0-0
3.09
1-1-0
2.65
0-1-1
2.38
1-1-0
2.97
1-0-1
2.77
1-1-0
2.86
1-1-0
2.76
Besa
0-1-1
2.73
—
2-0-0
3.03
0-1-1
2.65
1-0-1
2.76
1-1-0
2.89
0-1-1
3.13
1-0-1
3.01
0-2-0
3.02
1-0-1
2.70
2-0-0
3.30
1-1-0
2.59
1-1-0
3.19
1-1-0
2.67
Beslidhja Lezhe
0-0-2
2.69
0-0-2
2.29
—
0-0-2
2.31
1-0-1
2.16
1-0-1
2.46
2-0-0
2.72
1-0-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.23
0-0-2
2.31
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.48
2-0-0
2.67
0-0-2
2.55
Dinamo Tirana
0-2-0
2.75
1-1-0
2.65
2-0-0
2.98
—
1-0-1
2.72
0-1-1
2.85
0-2-0
2.89
0-2-0
3.18
1-1-0
2.67
0-1-1
2.36
1-0-1
3.11
1-1-0
2.92
0-2-0
3.42
1-0-1
2.82
Flamurtari
0-1-1
2.44
1-0-1
2.54
1-0-1
3.12
1-0-1
2.60
—
0-1-1
2.67
1-1-0
2.73
1-0-1
2.90
1-1-0
2.97
1-0-1
2.35
1-1-0
2.87
0-2-0
2.70
2-0-0
2.89
1-1-0
2.52
Labinoti
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.87
1-1-0
2.46
1-1-0
2.63
—
1-0-1
2.70
1-1-0
2.82
1-0-1
2.41
1-1-0
1.95
0-1-1
3.01
0-1-1
2.67
1-0-1
3.29
1-1-0
2.56
Lokomotiva Durres
1-0-1
2.38
1-1-0
2.18
0-0-2
2.57
0-2-0
2.42
0-1-1
2.58
1-0-1
2.60
—
1-1-0
2.79
0-2-0
2.21
1-1-0
2.30
0-2-0
2.89
1-1-0
2.33
0-2-0
2.90
0-0-2
2.34
Luftetari
0-0-2
2.22
1-0-1
2.30
1-0-1
2.46
0-2-0
2.14
1-0-1
2.40
0-1-1
2.48
0-1-1
2.51
—
1-0-1
2.47
0-1-1
2.34
1-0-1
2.65
1-0-1
2.28
1-0-1
2.81
1-0-1
2.66
Naftetari
0-1-1
2.71
0-2-0
2.30
1-0-1
3.08
0-1-1
2.62
0-1-1
2.34
1-0-1
2.92
0-2-0
3.12
1-0-1
2.85
—
0-1-1
2.12
1-0-1
2.96
0-2-0
2.63
1-1-0
3.06
1-0-1
2.45
Partizani
1-1-0
2.92
1-0-1
2.60
2-0-0
3.02
1-1-0
2.97
1-0-1
2.95
0-1-1
3.35
0-1-1
3.01
1-1-0
3.00
1-1-0
3.16
—
2-0-0
2.91
1-1-0
3.15
1-1-0
3.76
2-0-0
3.05
Shkendija Tirana
0-1-1
2.32
0-0-2
2.01
1-0-1
2.80
1-0-1
2.22
0-1-1
2.46
1-1-0
2.31
0-2-0
2.42
1-0-1
2.65
1-0-1
2.38
0-0-2
2.40
—
0-2-0
2.28
0-2-0
2.80
0-2-0
2.49
Tomori
1-0-1
2.58
0-1-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.80
0-1-1
2.40
0-2-0
2.60
1-1-0
2.64
0-1-1
2.97
1-0-1
3.01
0-2-0
2.68
0-1-1
2.19
0-2-0
3.04
—
2-0-0
3.00
1-0-1
2.85
Traktori
0-1-1
2.46
0-1-1
2.15
0-0-2
2.63
0-2-0
1.92
0-0-2
2.42
1-0-1
2.04
0-2-0
2.42
1-0-1
2.51
0-1-1
2.25
0-1-1
1.55
0-2-0
2.51
0-0-2
2.34
—
1-1-0
2.45
Vllaznia
0-1-1
2.56
0-1-1
2.63
2-0-0
2.76
1-0-1
2.49
0-1-1
2.78
0-1-1
2.73
2-0-0
2.97
1-0-1
2.64
1-0-1
2.83
0-0-2
2.26
0-2-0
2.83
1-0-1
2.47
0-1-1
2.84
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.61 +5.5
Allowed 0.51 -6.8
Differential 0.82 +4.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.09%12.09%6.32%2.47%—0.82%33.79%
112.09%17.03%6.32%2.47%——37.91%
26.32%6.32%4.95%1.37%0.27%0.27%19.51%
32.47%2.47%1.37%—0.55%—6.87%
4——0.27%0.55%——0.82%
5+0.82%—0.27%———1.10%
Total33.79%37.91%19.51%6.87%0.82%1.10%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.07 +0.00
SD 1.04 1.04 1.45
CV 0.98 0.98 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%—3.85%——19.23%
115.38%11.54%3.85%———30.77%
211.54%7.69%11.54%3.85%——34.62%
3—7.69%————7.69%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total38.46%30.77%19.23%11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.04 +0.54
SD 1.24 1.04 1.27
CV 0.79 1.00 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%7.69%———19.23%
111.54%23.08%3.85%7.69%——46.15%
215.38%3.85%3.85%———23.08%
3—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
4———————
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total38.46%34.62%19.23%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 0.96 +0.42
SD 1.27 0.96 1.72
CV 0.92 1.00 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—19.23%7.69%11.54%—3.85%42.31%
134.62%—7.69%3.85%——46.15%
2—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
3————3.85%—3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total34.62%23.08%15.38%19.23%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.46 -0.73
SD 0.78 1.45 1.66
CV 1.06 0.99 —
Max 3 5 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%3.85%———23.08%
17.69%26.92%3.85%3.85%——42.31%
211.54%—11.54%———23.08%
33.85%—————3.85%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total38.46%34.62%23.08%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 0.92 +0.42
SD 1.23 0.89 1.53
CV 0.91 0.97 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%7.69%7.69%———30.77%
123.08%15.38%7.69%3.85%——50.00%
23.85%7.69%————11.54%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total46.15%34.62%15.38%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 0.77 +0.19
SD 0.87 0.86 1.27
CV 0.91 1.12 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%23.08%————34.62%
119.23%15.38%3.85%———38.46%
23.85%11.54%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
3——3.85%———3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total34.62%50.00%11.54%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 0.85 +0.12
SD 0.87 0.78 0.91
CV 0.91 0.93 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%—3.85%——26.92%
13.85%26.92%7.69%———38.46%
27.69%7.69%11.54%———26.92%
33.85%———3.85%—7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.92%46.15%19.23%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.12 +0.04
SD 0.92 0.99 1.18
CV 0.80 0.89 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%11.54%3.85%—3.85%42.31%
115.38%7.69%15.38%3.85%——42.31%
27.69%—————7.69%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total38.46%23.08%26.92%7.69%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 1.23 -0.42
SD 0.90 1.39 1.88
CV 1.11 1.13 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%11.54%7.69%7.69%—3.85%50.00%
13.85%19.23%————23.08%
2—15.38%3.85%——3.85%23.08%
3——3.85%———3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.08%46.15%15.38%7.69%—7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 1.38 -0.58
SD 0.94 1.36 1.55
CV 1.16 0.98 —
Max 3 5 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%3.85%3.85%———23.08%
17.69%7.69%7.69%———23.08%
219.23%11.54%7.69%———38.46%
33.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
4———————
5+———————
Total46.15%30.77%23.08%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 0.77 +0.69
SD 1.03 0.82 1.23
CV 0.70 1.06 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%15.38%15.38%———46.15%
111.54%19.23%3.85%———34.62%
2—3.85%7.69%—3.85%—15.38%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.92%42.31%26.92%—3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.12 -0.35
SD 0.86 0.95 1.09
CV 1.12 0.85 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.08%15.38%3.85%———42.31%
111.54%19.23%3.85%———34.62%
27.69%7.69%—7.69%——23.08%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total42.31%42.31%7.69%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 0.81 +0.00
SD 0.80 0.90 0.98
CV 0.99 1.11 —
Max 2 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%19.23%11.54%3.85%——46.15%
13.85%23.08%7.69%3.85%——38.46%
2—3.85%7.69%———11.54%
33.85%—————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.23%46.15%26.92%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.23 -0.50
SD 0.83 0.86 1.21
CV 1.13 0.70 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%7.69%———26.92%
1—23.08%11.54%7.69%——42.31%
2—3.85%————3.85%
311.54%3.85%3.85%———19.23%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total19.23%46.15%23.08%11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.27 +0.15
SD 1.39 0.92 1.80
CV 0.98 0.72 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Partizani 1274 36 28.94 +7.06 100.0% 22 24 27 29 31 34 36
17 Nentori 1241 35 27.48 +7.52 98.0% 20 21 25 27 30 33 37
Besa 1164 31 27.87 +3.13 87.0% 21 22 26 28 30 34 36
Vllaznia 1145 23 26.28 -3.28 17.0% 18 20 24 26 28 32 34
Dinamo Tirana 1139 29 27.83 +1.17 68.0% 17 22 26 28 30 33 35
Flamurtari 1124 30 26.47 +3.53 93.0% 15 20 24 27 29 31 34
Labinoti 1089 28 25.57 +2.43 83.0% 14 20 24 26 28 31 32
Tomori 1070 25 26.44 -1.44 35.0% 20 22 24 27 28 31 33
Lokomotiva Durres 1062 25 25.13 -0.13 56.0% 16 19 23 25 27 31 35
Naftetari 1038 23 26.58 -3.58 15.0% 16 21 24 27 29 32 34
Luftetari 990 21 24.52 -3.52 20.0% 17 19 22 24 26 30 32
Shkendija Tirana 985 21 23.88 -2.88 19.0% 14 18 22 24 26 28 32
Beslidhja Lezhe 945 20 24.08 -4.08 16.0% 16 18 21 24 27 30 34
Traktori 928 17 22.93 -5.93 6.0% 16 17 20 23 25 29 32

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 27% * Slight Edge: 27% to 33% * Clear Edge: 33% to 40% * Strong Edge: 40% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+46.15%
Strong Edge
56.04%34.07%9.89%
Elo Value
Home Edge
252 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0173.46800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.77 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.69+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.04 * Tight Race: 0.04 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
7.2
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
23%
Partizani, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.04/gm
Photo Finish
00.070.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.7 * Some Luck: 2.7 to 4.05 * Lucky: 4.05 to 5.4 * Wild Swing: 5.4 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.67 * Close: 2.67 to 4 * Off: 4 to 5.33 * Way Off: 5.33 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.09 points
Lucky
03.378
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.71
Pinpoint
03.338
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
100.00%
Partizani
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
6.00%
Traktori
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 77.5% * Wide Edge: 77.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 93% * Strong Edge: 93% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 72.5% * Very Frequent: 72.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 10.5% * Occasional: 10.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.12
Balanced
00.120.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 104.02
1.38
Moderate Separation
0.91.351.82.153
Interquartile Edge
69%
Slight Edge
50%63.5%72.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
88%
Clear Edge
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
75%
Very Frequent
0%69%100%
Blowouts
Expected 8%
7%
Rare
0%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.56 * Notable Separation: 0.56 to 0.62 * Lopsided: 0.62 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14.5% * Upset-Prone: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 18.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 10.5% * As Expected: 10.5% to 12.5% * Shaky Favorites: 12.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.552
Matchup Imbalance
0.71
Lopsided
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.44
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.12
Weak Carryover
00.410.590.731
Upset Rate
Expected
10%
Chalky
0%9%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
10%
Solid Favorites
0%9%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.08 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.08 to 0.12 * Above Noise: 0.12 to 0.16 * Well Above Noise: 0.16 and up.
Probability calibration
0.84
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.41
Very Underconfident
0.4702171.001.52978
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.044
Well Within Noise
00.0820.2

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Partizani23.00%15.00%11.00%14.00%8.00%8.00%2.00%6.00%3.00%7.00%—2.00%1.00%—
17 Nentori13.00%15.00%11.00%6.00%9.00%8.00%6.00%8.00%4.00%7.00%7.00%2.00%1.00%3.00%
Besa14.00%16.00%7.00%8.00%9.00%7.00%14.00%3.00%8.00%3.00%5.00%4.00%2.00%—
Flamurtari3.00%15.00%6.00%14.00%8.00%10.00%7.00%6.00%5.00%3.00%4.00%10.00%6.00%3.00%
Dinamo Tirana17.00%11.00%9.00%11.00%6.00%7.00%14.00%7.00%2.00%6.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%
Labinoti3.00%4.00%4.00%8.00%9.00%11.00%7.00%7.00%10.00%13.00%11.00%1.00%8.00%4.00%
Lokomotiva Durres5.00%3.00%7.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%17.00%12.00%7.00%11.00%9.00%10.00%5.00%
Tomori1.00%3.00%17.00%9.00%8.00%11.00%11.00%5.00%7.00%8.00%7.00%7.00%4.00%2.00%
Vllaznia10.00%5.00%7.00%6.00%12.00%7.00%7.00%8.00%8.00%11.00%3.00%6.00%5.00%5.00%
Naftetari7.00%6.00%6.00%7.00%12.00%5.00%8.00%8.00%7.00%9.00%6.00%10.00%4.00%5.00%
Shkendija Tirana1.00%—1.00%3.00%5.00%6.00%8.00%9.00%10.00%5.00%13.00%16.00%10.00%13.00%
Luftetari2.00%2.00%7.00%6.00%3.00%3.00%6.00%6.00%7.00%13.00%7.00%11.00%17.00%10.00%
Beslidhja Lezhe1.00%1.00%6.00%3.00%7.00%7.00%4.00%6.00%8.00%3.00%8.00%9.00%16.00%21.00%
Traktori—4.00%1.00%—2.00%7.00%2.00%4.00%9.00%5.00%14.00%10.00%15.00%27.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Partizani 99.00% 1.00%
Besa 98.00% 2.00%
Dinamo Tirana 97.00% 3.00%
17 Nentori 96.00% 4.00%
Tomori 94.00% 6.00%
Flamurtari 91.00% 9.00%
Naftetari 91.00% 9.00%
Vllaznia 90.00% 10.00%
Labinoti 88.00% 12.00%
Lokomotiva Durres 85.00% 15.00%
Shkendija Tirana 77.00% 23.00%
Luftetari 73.00% 27.00%
Beslidhja Lezhe 63.00% 37.00%
Traktori 58.00% 42.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1978-09-01 Beslidhja Lezhe W 3-030.5 1100 1151 54.02% 35.47% 10.52%+0.48 +27.8 2
1978-09-01 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-330.5 1151 1100 10.52% 35.47% 54.02%-0.48 -27.8 0
1978-09-01 Besa W 1-035.4 1060 1111 54.02% 35.47% 10.51%+0.48 +10.1 2
1978-09-01 @ Flamurtari L 0-135.4 1111 1060 10.51% 35.47% 54.02%-0.48 -10.1 0
1978-09-01 Traktori W 3-029.2 1077 1060 58.30% 34.53% 7.16%+0.76 +20.2 2
1978-09-01 @ Partizani L 0-329.2 1060 1077 7.16% 34.53% 58.30%-0.76 -20.2 0
1978-09-01 Luftetari W 2-141.1 1046 1060 56.48% 35.00% 8.52%+0.63 +8.1 2
1978-09-01 @ Shkendija Tirana L 1-241.1 1060 1046 8.52% 35.00% 56.48%-0.63 -8.1 0
1978-09-01 17 Nentori W 3-030.5 1032 1083 54.08% 35.46% 10.47%+0.49 +27.6 2
1978-09-01 @ Lokomotiva Durres L 0-330.5 1083 1032 10.47% 35.46% 54.08%-0.49 -27.7 0
1978-09-01 Labinoti W 1-033.9 1075 1049 58.75% 34.40% 6.85%+0.79 +7.1 2
1978-09-01 @ Tomori L 0-133.9 1049 1075 6.85% 34.40% 58.75%-0.79 -7.1 0
1978-09-01 Flamurtari D 0-045.5 1092 1070 58.57% 34.45% 6.98%+0.78 -8.5 1
1978-09-01 @ Vllaznia D 0-045.5 1070 1092 6.98% 34.45% 58.57%-0.78 +8.5 3
1978-09-08 Luftetari W 3-029.7 1039 1052 56.56% 34.99% 8.45%+0.64 +23.3 2
1978-09-08 @ Traktori L 0-329.7 1052 1039 8.45% 34.99% 56.56%-0.64 -23.3 0
1978-09-08 17 Nentori D 0-046.2 1197 1055 64.25% 31.98% 3.77%+1.25 -10.4 1
1978-09-08 @ Naftetari D 0-046.2 1055 1197 3.77% 31.98% 64.25%-1.25 +10.4 1
1978-09-08 Labinoti D 1-151.3 1097 1042 60.27% 33.87% 5.86%+0.90 -8.1 3
1978-09-08 @ Partizani D 1-151.3 1042 1097 5.86% 33.87% 60.27%-0.90 +8.1 1
1978-09-08 Flamurtari D 1-150.9 1054 1079 55.83% 35.14% 9.03%+0.59 -6.7 3
1978-09-08 @ Shkendija Tirana D 1-150.9 1079 1054 9.03% 35.14% 55.83%-0.59 +6.7 4
1978-09-08 Dinamo Tirana D 1-150.8 1060 1128 52.86% 35.63% 11.51%+0.42 -5.7 3
1978-09-08 @ Lokomotiva Durres D 1-150.8 1128 1060 11.51% 35.63% 52.86%-0.42 +5.7 3
1978-09-08 Beslidhja Lezhe W 1-035.2 1082 1124 54.71% 35.36% 9.94%+0.52 +9.7 4
1978-09-08 @ Tomori L 0-135.2 1124 1082 9.94% 35.36% 54.71%-0.52 -9.7 0
1978-09-08 Besa D 1-151.0 1084 1101 56.27% 35.05% 8.68%+0.62 -6.8 2
1978-09-08 @ Vllaznia D 1-151.0 1101 1084 8.68% 35.05% 56.27%-0.62 +6.8 1
1978-09-15 Dinamo Tirana D 1-151.0 1108 1133 55.78% 35.15% 9.06%+0.59 -6.7 2
1978-09-15 @ Besa D 1-151.0 1133 1108 9.06% 35.15% 55.78%-0.59 +6.7 4
1978-09-15 Vllaznia W 2-029.8 1140 1077 60.68% 33.71% 5.61%+0.94 +11.1 6
1978-09-15 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-229.8 1077 1140 5.61% 33.71% 60.68%-0.94 -11.1 2
1978-09-15 Tomori D 1-151.0 1085 1092 56.94% 34.90% 8.17%+0.66 -7.1 5
1978-09-15 @ Flamurtari D 1-151.0 1092 1085 8.17% 34.90% 56.94%-0.66 +7.1 5
1978-09-15 Lokomotiva Durres W 2-140.9 1050 1054 57.09% 34.86% 8.05%+0.67 +7.7 3
1978-09-15 @ Labinoti L 1-240.9 1054 1050 8.05% 34.86% 57.09%-0.67 -7.7 3
1978-09-15 Shkendija Tirana W 2-030.4 1066 1048 58.36% 34.52% 7.13%+0.76 +13.9 3
1978-09-15 @ 17 Nentori L 0-230.4 1048 1066 7.13% 34.52% 58.36%-0.76 -13.8 3
1978-09-15 Partizani D 0-045.1 1029 1089 53.40% 35.56% 11.04%+0.45 -6.6 1
1978-09-15 @ Luftetari D 0-045.1 1089 1029 11.04% 35.56% 53.40%-0.45 +6.6 4
1978-09-15 Naftetari D 1-150.7 1063 1186 48.16% 36.02% 15.82%+0.20 -4.2 3
1978-09-15 @ Traktori D 1-150.7 1186 1063 15.82% 36.02% 48.16%-0.20 +4.2 2
1978-09-22 17 Nentori D 2-257.0 1058 1080 56.03% 35.10% 8.86%+0.60 -5.0 4
1978-09-22 @ Traktori D 2-257.0 1080 1058 8.86% 35.10% 56.03%-0.60 +5.0 4
1978-09-22 Labinoti W 2-138.9 1191 1058 63.87% 32.19% 3.94%+1.21 +3.9 4
1978-09-22 @ Naftetari L 1-238.9 1058 1191 3.94% 32.19% 63.87%-1.21 -3.9 3
1978-09-22 Flamurtari W 2-030.5 1096 1078 58.31% 34.53% 7.16%+0.76 +13.9 6
1978-09-22 @ Partizani L 0-230.5 1078 1096 7.16% 34.53% 58.31%-0.76 -13.9 5
1978-09-22 Dinamo Tirana W 3-139.3 1034 1151 48.74% 35.99% 15.26%+0.22 +21.8 5
1978-09-22 @ Shkendija Tirana L 1-339.3 1151 1034 15.26% 35.99% 48.74%-0.22 -21.9 6
1978-09-22 Beslidhja Lezhe L 1-254.6 1047 1114 52.88% 35.63% 11.49%+0.42 -31.1 3
1978-09-22 @ Lokomotiva Durres W 2-154.6 1114 1047 11.49% 35.63% 52.88%-0.42 +31.1 2
1978-09-22 Besa D 0-045.4 1099 1101 57.16% 34.84% 8.00%+0.68 -8.0 6
1978-09-22 @ Tomori D 0-045.4 1101 1099 8.00% 34.84% 57.16%-0.68 +8.0 3
1978-09-22 Tomori L 0-148.9 1066 1091 55.79% 35.15% 9.05%+0.59 -34.8 2
1978-09-22 @ Vllaznia W 1-048.9 1091 1066 9.05% 35.15% 55.79%-0.59 +34.8 8
1978-09-29 Luftetari W 6-030.3 1109 1022 61.84% 33.22% 4.95%+1.03 +27.4 5
1978-09-29 @ Besa L 0-630.3 1022 1109 4.95% 33.22% 61.84%-1.03 -27.4 1
1978-09-29 17 Nentori L 3-462.8 1145 1085 60.55% 33.76% 5.69%+0.93 -33.0 2
1978-09-29 @ Beslidhja Lezhe W 4-362.8 1085 1145 5.69% 33.76% 60.55%-0.93 +33.0 6
1978-09-29 Labinoti D 1-151.5 1129 1054 61.26% 33.47% 5.27%+0.98 -8.4 7
1978-09-29 @ Dinamo Tirana D 1-151.5 1054 1129 5.27% 33.47% 61.26%-0.98 +8.4 4
1978-09-29 Vllaznia W 1-035.0 995 1031 55.07% 35.29% 9.64%+0.54 +9.5 3
1978-09-29 @ Luftetari L 0-135.0 1031 995 9.64% 35.29% 55.07%-0.54 -9.5 2
1978-09-29 Tomori L 0-244.4 1053 1126 52.50% 35.67% 11.82%+0.40 -61.7 4
1978-09-29 @ Traktori W 2-044.4 1126 1053 11.82% 35.67% 52.50%-0.40 +61.7 10
1978-09-29 Lokomotiva Durres D 1-152.2 1195 1016 65.83% 31.03% 3.14%+1.40 -9.6 5
1978-09-29 @ Naftetari D 1-152.2 1016 1195 3.14% 31.03% 65.83%-1.40 +9.7 4
1978-09-29 Shkendija Tirana W 2-029.9 1109 1056 60.23% 33.88% 5.88%+0.90 +11.6 8
1978-09-29 @ Partizani L 0-229.9 1056 1109 5.88% 33.88% 60.23%-0.90 -11.6 5
1978-10-06 Beslidhja Lezhe W 1-035.3 1064 1112 54.29% 35.43% 10.28%+0.50 +10.0 7
1978-10-06 @ Flamurtari L 0-135.3 1112 1064 10.28% 35.43% 54.29%-0.50 -10.0 2
1978-10-06 Besa D 1-150.8 1063 1137 52.36% 35.69% 11.95%+0.39 -5.5 5
1978-10-06 @ Labinoti D 1-150.8 1137 1063 11.95% 35.69% 52.36%-0.39 +5.5 6
1978-10-06 Naftetari W 2-032.1 1121 1185 53.13% 35.60% 11.27%+0.43 +20.2 10
1978-10-06 @ Partizani L 0-232.1 1185 1121 11.27% 35.60% 53.13%-0.43 -20.2 5
1978-10-06 Traktori D 0-045.6 1044 992 60.14% 33.92% 5.94%+0.89 -9.1 6
1978-10-06 @ Shkendija Tirana D 0-045.6 992 1044 5.94% 33.92% 60.14%-0.89 +9.1 5
1978-10-06 Luftetari W 2-030.4 1025 1004 58.50% 34.47% 7.03%+0.77 +13.7 6
1978-10-06 @ Lokomotiva Durres L 0-230.4 1004 1025 7.03% 34.47% 58.50%-0.77 -13.7 3
1978-10-06 17 Nentori W 2-139.8 1187 1118 61.01% 33.58% 5.42%+0.96 +5.4 12
1978-10-06 @ Tomori L 1-239.8 1118 1187 5.42% 33.58% 61.01%-0.96 -5.4 6
1978-10-06 Labinoti D 1-150.9 1022 1057 55.10% 35.29% 9.61%+0.55 -6.4 3
1978-10-06 @ Vllaznia D 1-150.9 1057 1022 9.61% 35.29% 55.10%-0.55 +6.4 6
1978-10-13 Flamurtari W 2-141.0 1064 1074 56.68% 34.96% 8.36%+0.65 +7.9 8
1978-10-13 @ Labinoti L 1-241.0 1074 1064 8.36% 34.96% 56.68%-0.65 -7.9 7
1978-10-13 Dinamo Tirana D 1-151.0 1112 1121 56.82% 34.93% 8.26%+0.65 -7.0 7
1978-10-13 @ 17 Nentori D 1-151.0 1121 1112 8.26% 34.93% 56.82%-0.65 +7.0 8
1978-10-13 Beslidhja Lezhe W 3-031.9 991 1102 49.29% 35.96% 14.75%+0.25 +35.8 5
1978-10-13 @ Luftetari L 0-331.9 1102 991 14.75% 35.96% 49.29%-0.25 -35.8 2
1978-10-13 Besa D 2-256.7 1001 1142 46.44% 36.09% 17.47%+0.13 -2.8 6
1978-10-13 @ Traktori D 2-256.7 1142 1001 17.47% 36.09% 46.44%-0.13 +2.8 7
1978-10-13 Partizani W 2-143.0 1039 1141 50.06% 35.91% 14.03%+0.28 +11.9 8
1978-10-13 @ Lokomotiva Durres L 1-243.0 1141 1039 14.03% 35.91% 50.06%-0.28 -11.9 10
1978-10-13 Naftetari D 0-045.6 1193 1165 58.89% 34.35% 6.76%+0.80 -8.6 13
1978-10-13 @ Tomori D 0-045.6 1165 1193 6.76% 34.35% 58.89%-0.80 +8.6 6
1978-10-13 Traktori D 1-151.1 1015 998 58.29% 34.53% 7.17%+0.76 -7.5 4
1978-10-13 @ Vllaznia D 1-151.1 998 1015 7.17% 34.53% 58.29%-0.76 +7.5 7
1978-10-20 Dinamo Tirana W 1-035.5 1072 1128 53.68% 35.52% 10.80%+0.46 +10.4 10
1978-10-20 @ Labinoti L 0-135.5 1128 1072 10.80% 35.52% 53.68%-0.46 -10.3 8
1978-10-20 Beslidhja Lezhe W 1-033.7 1105 1066 59.48% 34.16% 6.37%+0.84 +6.6 9
1978-10-20 @ 17 Nentori L 0-133.7 1066 1105 6.37% 34.16% 59.48%-0.84 -6.6 2
1978-10-20 Besa W 3-139.4 1026 1145 48.62% 36.00% 15.38%+0.22 +22.0 7
1978-10-20 @ Luftetari L 1-339.4 1145 1026 15.38% 36.00% 48.62%-0.22 -22.0 7
1978-10-20 Partizani L 0-147.5 1035 1129 50.72% 35.85% 13.42%+0.31 -31.6 6
1978-10-20 @ Shkendija Tirana W 1-047.5 1129 1035 13.42% 35.85% 50.72%-0.31 +31.6 12
1978-10-20 Naftetari D 2-256.7 1051 1173 48.26% 36.02% 15.72%+0.20 -3.2 9
1978-10-20 @ Lokomotiva Durres D 2-256.7 1173 1051 15.72% 36.02% 48.26%-0.20 +3.2 7
1978-10-20 Traktori W 2-028.2 1184 1005 65.81% 31.04% 3.15%+1.40 +6.1 15
1978-10-20 @ Tomori L 0-228.2 1005 1184 3.15% 31.04% 65.81%-1.40 -6.1 7
1978-10-20 Luftetari W 3-137.5 1008 1048 54.76% 35.35% 9.90%+0.53 +15.8 6
1978-10-20 @ Vllaznia L 1-337.5 1048 1008 9.90% 35.35% 54.76%-0.53 -15.8 7
1978-11-03 17 Nentori D 0-045.4 1123 1112 57.96% 34.63% 7.41%+0.73 -8.3 8
1978-11-03 @ Besa D 0-045.4 1112 1123 7.41% 34.63% 57.96%-0.73 +8.3 10
1978-11-03 Labinoti W 1-034.8 1060 1082 55.96% 35.12% 8.92%+0.60 +8.9 4
1978-11-03 @ Beslidhja Lezhe L 0-134.8 1082 1060 8.92% 35.12% 55.96%-0.60 -8.9 10
1978-11-03 Flamurtari W 2-029.9 1117 1066 60.09% 33.94% 5.97%+0.89 +11.8 10
1978-11-03 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-229.9 1066 1117 5.97% 33.94% 60.09%-0.89 -11.8 7
1978-11-03 Vllaznia W 3-135.3 1120 1023 62.28% 33.01% 4.71%+1.07 +8.1 12
1978-11-03 @ 17 Nentori L 1-335.3 1023 1120 4.71% 33.01% 62.28%-1.07 -8.1 6
1978-11-03 Tomori W 1-038.2 1033 1190 44.79% 36.12% 19.08%+0.06 +15.6 9
1978-11-03 @ Luftetari L 0-138.2 1190 1033 19.08% 36.12% 44.79%-0.06 -15.6 15
1978-11-03 Lokomotiva Durres D 0-045.1 999 1048 54.25% 35.43% 10.32%+0.50 -6.9 8
1978-11-03 @ Traktori D 0-045.1 1048 999 10.32% 35.43% 54.25%-0.50 +6.9 10
1978-11-03 Shkendija Tirana W 2-138.4 1177 1003 65.59% 31.18% 3.23%+1.37 +3.2 9
1978-11-03 @ Naftetari L 1-238.4 1003 1177 3.23% 31.18% 65.59%-1.37 -3.1 6
1978-11-10 Shkendija Tirana W 2-029.0 1115 1000 63.09% 32.61% 4.30%+1.14 +8.5 10
1978-11-10 @ Besa L 0-229.0 1000 1115 4.30% 32.61% 63.09%-1.14 -8.6 6
1978-11-10 Partizani L 1-254.1 1068 1161 50.89% 35.84% 13.27%+0.32 -29.9 4
1978-11-10 @ Beslidhja Lezhe W 2-154.1 1161 1068 13.27% 35.84% 50.89%-0.32 +29.9 14
1978-11-10 Naftetari W 5-032.0 1129 1180 54.09% 35.46% 10.45%+0.49 +44.5 12
1978-11-10 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-532.0 1180 1129 10.45% 35.46% 54.09%-0.49 -44.5 9
1978-11-10 Traktori W 2-139.8 1055 992 60.64% 33.73% 5.64%+0.93 +5.6 9
1978-11-10 @ Flamurtari L 1-239.8 992 1055 5.64% 33.73% 60.64%-0.93 -5.6 8
1978-11-10 Luftetari W 1-033.9 1073 1048 58.71% 34.41% 6.88%+0.79 +7.1 12
1978-11-10 @ Labinoti L 0-133.9 1048 1073 6.88% 34.41% 58.71%-0.79 -7.1 9
1978-11-10 Vllaznia D 1-150.9 991 1015 55.87% 35.14% 8.99%+0.59 -6.7 7
1978-11-10 @ Shkendija Tirana D 1-150.9 1015 991 8.99% 35.14% 55.87%-0.59 +6.7 7
1978-11-10 Tomori W 2-143.5 1054 1175 48.49% 36.01% 15.51%+0.21 +12.8 12
1978-11-10 @ Lokomotiva Durres L 1-243.5 1175 1054 15.51% 36.01% 48.49%-0.21 -12.8 15
1978-11-17 Tomori W 2-031.5 1123 1162 54.91% 35.32% 9.77%+0.53 +18.0 12
1978-11-17 @ Besa L 0-231.5 1162 1123 9.77% 35.32% 54.91%-0.53 -18.0 15
1978-11-17 Lokomotiva Durres W 1-034.9 1039 1067 55.55% 35.20% 9.25%+0.57 +9.2 6
1978-11-17 @ Beslidhja Lezhe L 0-134.9 1067 1039 9.25% 35.20% 55.55%-0.57 -9.2 12
1978-11-17 Shkendija Tirana W 4-237.1 1174 985 66.23% 30.77% 3.00%+1.44 +4.5 14
1978-11-17 @ Dinamo Tirana L 2-437.1 985 1174 3.00% 30.77% 66.23%-1.44 -4.5 7
1978-11-17 Partizani W 2-143.8 1060 1191 47.49% 36.05% 16.46%+0.17 +13.3 11
1978-11-17 @ Flamurtari L 1-243.8 1191 1060 16.46% 36.05% 47.49%-0.17 -13.3 14
1978-11-17 Naftetari W 1-035.5 1080 1135 53.77% 35.51% 10.73%+0.47 +10.3 14
1978-11-17 @ Labinoti L 0-135.5 1135 1080 10.73% 35.51% 53.77%-0.47 -10.3 9
1978-11-17 Traktori W 3-134.7 1128 987 64.25% 31.98% 3.77%+1.25 +6.5 14
1978-11-17 @ 17 Nentori L 1-334.7 987 1128 3.77% 31.98% 64.25%-1.25 -6.5 8
1978-11-17 Vllaznia L 2-361.4 1144 1022 63.41% 32.44% 4.15%+1.17 -35.3 15
1978-11-17 @ Tomori W 3-261.4 1022 1144 4.15% 32.44% 63.41%-1.17 +35.3 9
1978-11-24 Besa L 1-254.0 1048 1141 50.79% 35.85% 13.36%+0.32 -29.9 6
1978-11-24 @ Beslidhja Lezhe W 2-154.0 1141 1048 13.36% 35.85% 50.79%-0.32 +29.9 14
1978-11-24 Luftetari W 2-139.5 1125 1041 61.68% 33.29% 5.03%+1.02 +5.0 11
1978-11-24 @ Naftetari L 1-239.5 1041 1125 5.03% 33.29% 61.68%-1.02 -5.0 9
1978-11-24 17 Nentori W 1-033.7 1178 1135 59.67% 34.09% 6.24%+0.86 +6.5 16
1978-11-24 @ Partizani L 0-133.7 1135 1178 6.24% 34.09% 59.67%-0.86 -6.5 14
1978-11-24 Labinoti W 1-036.7 980 1090 49.39% 35.95% 14.65%+0.25 +13.0 9
1978-11-24 @ Shkendija Tirana L 0-136.7 1090 980 14.65% 35.95% 49.39%-0.25 -13.0 14
1978-11-24 Flamurtari D 0-045.3 1058 1073 56.40% 35.02% 8.58%+0.63 -7.7 13
1978-11-24 @ Lokomotiva Durres D 0-045.3 1073 1058 8.58% 35.02% 56.40%-0.63 +7.7 12
1978-11-24 Dinamo Tirana D 0-045.2 1109 1178 52.70% 35.65% 11.65%+0.41 -6.3 16
1978-11-24 @ Tomori D 0-045.2 1178 1109 11.65% 35.65% 52.70%-0.41 +6.3 15
1978-11-24 Beslidhja Lezhe W 5-030.2 1057 1018 59.49% 34.15% 6.36%+0.84 +29.2 11
1978-11-24 @ Vllaznia L 0-530.2 1018 1057 6.36% 34.15% 59.49%-0.84 -29.2 6
1978-11-30 Partizani W 2-031.1 1171 1184 56.55% 34.99% 8.46%+0.64 +16.0 16
1978-11-30 @ Besa L 0-231.1 1184 1171 8.46% 34.99% 56.55%-0.64 -16.0 16
1978-11-30 Naftetari W 1-037.6 989 1130 46.46% 36.09% 17.45%+0.13 +14.7 8
1978-11-30 @ Beslidhja Lezhe L 0-137.6 1130 989 17.45% 36.09% 46.46%-0.13 -14.7 11
1978-11-30 Traktori D 1-152.4 1185 980 66.85% 30.36% 2.79%+1.50 -9.9 16
1978-11-30 @ Dinamo Tirana D 1-152.4 980 1185 2.79% 30.36% 66.85%-1.50 +9.9 9
1978-11-30 Luftetari W 1-033.6 1081 1036 59.78% 34.05% 6.17%+0.87 +6.5 14
1978-11-30 @ Flamurtari L 0-133.6 1036 1081 6.17% 34.05% 59.78%-0.87 -6.4 9
1978-11-30 17 Nentori W 3-246.5 1077 1128 54.07% 35.46% 10.47%+0.49 +9.0 16
1978-11-30 @ Labinoti L 2-346.5 1128 1077 10.47% 35.46% 54.07%-0.49 -9.0 14
1978-11-30 Vllaznia W 2-029.5 1168 1086 61.58% 33.33% 5.09%+1.01 +10.1 18
1978-11-30 @ Partizani L 0-229.5 1086 1168 5.09% 33.33% 61.58%-1.01 -10.1 11
1978-11-30 Tomori D 0-045.0 993 1102 49.50% 35.95% 14.56%+0.26 -5.2 10
1978-11-30 @ Shkendija Tirana D 0-045.0 1102 993 14.56% 35.95% 49.50%-0.26 +5.2 17
1978-12-07 Traktori W 1-031.6 1187 990 66.57% 30.55% 2.88%+1.47 +2.9 18
1978-12-07 @ Besa L 0-131.6 990 1187 2.88% 30.55% 66.57%-1.47 -2.9 9
1978-12-07 Luftetari W 1-034.8 1003 1030 55.70% 35.17% 9.13%+0.58 +9.1 10
1978-12-07 @ Beslidhja Lezhe L 0-134.8 1030 1003 9.13% 35.17% 55.70%-0.58 -9.1 9
1978-12-07 17 Nentori D 2-257.4 1175 1119 60.31% 33.86% 5.84%+0.91 -6.1 17
1978-12-07 @ Dinamo Tirana D 2-257.4 1119 1175 5.84% 33.86% 60.31%-0.91 +6.1 15
1978-12-07 Labinoti D 0-045.4 1088 1086 57.38% 34.79% 7.83%+0.69 -8.0 15
1978-12-07 @ Flamurtari D 0-045.4 1086 1088 7.83% 34.79% 57.38%-0.69 +8.0 17
1978-12-07 Vllaznia W 2-142.7 987 1076 51.18% 35.81% 13.00%+0.33 +11.2 11
1978-12-07 @ Traktori L 1-242.7 1076 987 13.00% 35.81% 51.18%-0.33 -11.2 11
1978-12-07 Tomori D 1-151.1 1115 1107 57.77% 34.68% 7.55%+0.72 -7.3 12
1978-12-07 @ Naftetari D 1-151.1 1107 1115 7.55% 34.68% 57.77%-0.72 +7.3 18
1978-12-07 Lokomotiva Durres D 1-151.8 1178 1050 63.67% 32.30% 4.03%+1.19 -9.1 19
1978-12-07 @ Partizani D 1-151.8 1050 1178 4.03% 32.30% 63.67%-1.19 +9.1 14
1978-12-14 Labinoti D 0-045.1 1021 1095 52.37% 35.69% 11.94%+0.39 -6.2 10
1978-12-14 @ Luftetari D 0-045.1 1095 1021 11.94% 35.69% 52.37%-0.39 +6.2 18
1978-12-14 Flamurtari L 0-147.8 999 1080 51.83% 35.75% 12.42%+0.37 -32.3 11
1978-12-14 @ Traktori W 1-047.8 1080 999 12.42% 35.75% 51.83%-0.37 +32.3 17
1978-12-14 Dinamo Tirana D 0-045.2 1108 1169 53.36% 35.56% 11.08%+0.45 -6.6 13
1978-12-14 @ Naftetari D 0-045.2 1169 1108 11.08% 35.56% 53.36%-0.45 +6.6 18
1978-12-14 Beslidhja Lezhe W 3-134.5 1169 1012 64.91% 31.60% 3.50%+1.31 +5.9 21
1978-12-14 @ Partizani L 1-334.5 1012 1169 3.50% 31.60% 64.91%-1.31 -6.0 10
1978-12-14 Besa L 0-144.3 988 1190 39.73% 36.10% 24.17%-0.11 -25.5 10
1978-12-14 @ Shkendija Tirana W 1-044.3 1190 988 24.17% 36.10% 39.73%+0.11 +25.5 20
1978-12-14 Lokomotiva Durres D 1-151.3 1115 1060 60.30% 33.86% 5.84%+0.91 -8.2 19
1978-12-14 @ Tomori D 1-151.3 1060 1115 5.84% 33.86% 60.30%-0.91 +8.2 15
1978-12-14 Shkendija Tirana D 1-151.6 1065 963 62.54% 32.88% 4.57%+1.09 -8.8 12
1978-12-14 @ Vllaznia D 1-151.6 963 1065 4.57% 32.88% 62.54%-1.09 +8.8 11
1979-01-11 Labinoti W 1-034.0 1125 1101 58.70% 34.41% 6.89%+0.78 +7.1 17
1979-01-11 @ 17 Nentori L 0-134.0 1101 1125 6.89% 34.41% 58.70%-0.78 -7.1 18
1979-01-11 Flamurtari W 1-036.4 1014 1112 50.49% 35.87% 13.64%+0.30 +12.3 12
1979-01-11 @ Luftetari L 0-136.4 1112 1014 13.64% 35.87% 50.49%-0.30 -12.3 17
1979-01-11 Dinamo Tirana D 1-150.7 966 1175 38.90% 36.08% 25.02%-0.14 -1.7 12
1979-01-11 @ Traktori D 1-150.7 1175 966 25.02% 36.08% 38.90%+0.14 +1.7 19
1979-01-11 Beslidhja Lezhe W 3-244.0 1101 1006 62.20% 33.05% 4.75%+1.06 +4.5 15
1979-01-11 @ Naftetari L 2-344.0 1006 1101 4.75% 33.05% 62.20%-1.06 -4.5 10
1979-01-11 Besa W 3-137.7 1175 1216 54.76% 35.35% 9.89%+0.53 +15.8 23
1979-01-11 @ Partizani L 1-337.7 1216 1175 9.89% 35.35% 54.76%-0.53 -15.8 20
1979-01-11 Shkendija Tirana D 1-151.8 1107 971 63.99% 32.13% 3.89%+1.22 -9.2 20
1979-01-11 @ Tomori D 1-151.8 971 1107 3.89% 32.13% 63.99%-1.22 +9.2 12
1979-01-11 Partizani L 1-253.0 1056 1191 47.13% 36.07% 16.80%+0.15 -27.8 12
1979-01-11 @ Vllaznia W 2-153.0 1191 1056 16.80% 36.07% 47.13%-0.15 +27.8 25
1979-01-25 Flamurtari W 2-140.3 1132 1100 59.15% 34.27% 6.58%+0.82 +6.5 19
1979-01-25 @ 17 Nentori L 1-240.3 1100 1132 6.58% 34.27% 59.15%-0.82 -6.5 17
1979-01-25 Dinamo Tirana D 1-150.7 1027 1177 45.58% 36.11% 18.31%+0.09 -3.5 13
1979-01-25 @ Luftetari D 1-150.7 1177 1027 18.31% 36.11% 45.58%-0.09 +3.5 20
1979-01-25 Beslidhja Lezhe L 0-148.6 965 1002 54.99% 35.31% 9.70%+0.54 -34.3 12
1979-01-25 @ Traktori W 1-048.6 1002 965 9.70% 35.31% 54.99%-0.54 +34.3 12
1979-01-25 Besa D 1-150.8 1106 1200 50.75% 35.85% 13.40%+0.31 -5.0 16
1979-01-25 @ Naftetari D 1-150.8 1200 1106 13.40% 35.85% 50.75%-0.31 +5.0 21
1979-01-25 Shkendija Tirana D 0-045.8 1068 981 61.83% 33.22% 4.95%+1.03 -9.6 16
1979-01-25 @ Lokomotiva Durres D 0-045.8 981 1068 4.95% 33.22% 61.83%-1.03 +9.6 13
1979-01-25 Partizani L 2-358.1 1097 1219 48.38% 36.01% 15.60%+0.21 -27.1 20
1979-01-25 @ Tomori W 3-258.1 1219 1097 15.60% 36.01% 48.38%-0.21 +27.0 27
1979-01-25 Naftetari W 3-030.9 1028 1101 52.49% 35.68% 11.83%+0.40 +30.4 14
1979-01-25 @ Vllaznia L 0-330.9 1101 1028 11.83% 35.68% 52.49%-0.40 -30.4 16
1979-02-01 Beslidhja Lezhe W 2-028.4 1205 1036 65.41% 31.29% 3.30%+1.36 +6.4 23
1979-02-01 @ Besa L 0-228.4 1036 1205 3.30% 31.29% 65.41%-1.36 -6.4 12
1979-02-01 Vllaznia L 0-343.9 1030 1059 55.53% 35.21% 9.27%+0.57 -94.9 12
1979-02-01 @ Beslidhja Lezhe W 3-043.9 1059 1030 9.27% 35.21% 55.53%-0.57 +94.9 16
1979-02-01 Tomori W 1-032.7 1180 1070 62.88% 32.72% 4.41%+1.12 +4.7 22
1979-02-01 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-132.7 1070 1180 4.41% 32.72% 62.88%-1.12 -4.6 20
1979-02-01 Lokomotiva Durres W 1-033.8 1093 1058 59.26% 34.23% 6.51%+0.83 +6.8 19
1979-02-01 @ Flamurtari L 0-133.8 1058 1093 6.51% 34.23% 59.26%-0.83 -6.8 16
1979-02-01 Shkendija Tirana D 2-257.6 1094 990 62.58% 32.86% 4.56%+1.10 -6.6 19
1979-02-01 @ Labinoti D 2-257.6 990 1094 4.56% 32.86% 62.58%-1.10 +6.6 14
1979-02-01 Partizani D 2-256.9 1139 1246 49.68% 35.94% 14.39%+0.26 -3.5 20
1979-02-01 @ 17 Nentori D 2-256.9 1246 1139 14.39% 35.94% 49.68%-0.26 +3.5 28
1979-02-01 Naftetari W 2-031.6 1023 1070 54.32% 35.42% 10.26%+0.50 +18.8 15
1979-02-01 @ Luftetari L 0-231.6 1070 1023 10.26% 35.42% 54.32%-0.50 -18.7 16
1979-02-08 Besa W 2-031.4 1185 1212 55.69% 35.17% 9.14%+0.58 +17.1 24
1979-02-08 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-231.4 1212 1185 9.14% 35.17% 55.69%-0.58 -17.1 23
1979-02-08 Traktori W 2-139.0 1052 930 63.38% 32.46% 4.16%+1.17 +4.1 18
1979-02-08 @ Naftetari L 1-239.0 930 1052 4.16% 32.46% 63.38%-1.17 -4.1 12
1979-02-08 Luftetari W 2-138.0 1249 1042 66.98% 30.27% 2.75%+1.51 +2.6 30
1979-02-08 @ Partizani L 1-238.0 1042 1249 2.75% 30.27% 66.98%-1.51 -2.6 15
1979-02-08 17 Nentori D 0-045.0 997 1135 46.74% 36.08% 17.18%+0.14 -4.3 15
1979-02-08 @ Shkendija Tirana D 0-045.0 1135 997 17.18% 36.08% 46.74%-0.14 +4.3 21
1979-02-08 Labinoti W 1-035.0 1051 1087 55.09% 35.29% 9.62%+0.55 +9.5 18
1979-02-08 @ Lokomotiva Durres L 0-135.0 1087 1051 9.62% 35.29% 55.09%-0.55 -9.5 19
1979-02-08 Flamurtari D 1-150.9 1066 1100 55.20% 35.27% 9.53%+0.55 -6.5 21
1979-02-08 @ Tomori D 1-150.9 1100 1066 9.53% 35.27% 55.20%-0.55 +6.5 20
1979-02-08 Dinamo Tirana W 2-141.9 1154 1202 54.25% 35.43% 10.32%+0.50 +9.4 18
1979-02-08 @ Vllaznia L 1-241.9 1202 1154 10.32% 35.43% 54.25%-0.50 -9.4 24
1979-02-15 Lokomotiva Durres D 1-151.9 1194 1061 63.92% 32.16% 3.91%+1.22 -9.2 24
1979-02-15 @ Besa D 1-151.9 1061 1194 3.91% 32.16% 63.92%-1.22 +9.2 19
1979-02-15 Shkendija Tirana W 1-035.5 935 993 53.57% 35.53% 10.89%+0.46 +10.4 14
1979-02-15 @ Beslidhja Lezhe L 0-135.5 993 935 10.89% 35.53% 53.57%-0.46 -10.4 15
1979-02-15 Partizani L 0-244.9 1193 1252 53.46% 35.55% 10.99%+0.45 -62.9 24
1979-02-15 @ Dinamo Tirana W 2-044.9 1252 1193 10.99% 35.55% 53.46%-0.45 +62.9 32
1979-02-15 Naftetari W 3-028.7 1106 1056 60.06% 33.95% 5.99%+0.89 +17.2 22
1979-02-15 @ Flamurtari L 0-328.7 1056 1106 5.99% 33.95% 60.06%-0.89 -17.2 18
1979-02-15 Traktori W 1-032.1 1078 926 64.68% 31.73% 3.59%+1.29 +3.8 21
1979-02-15 @ Labinoti L 0-132.1 926 1078 3.59% 31.73% 64.68%-1.29 -3.8 12
1979-02-15 Luftetari W 2-029.2 1140 1039 62.44% 32.93% 4.63%+1.08 +9.2 23
1979-02-15 @ 17 Nentori L 0-229.2 1039 1140 4.63% 32.93% 62.44%-1.08 -9.2 15
1979-02-15 Vllaznia L 3-460.5 1070 1163 50.83% 35.85% 13.33%+0.32 -27.7 19
1979-02-15 @ Lokomotiva Durres W 4-360.5 1163 1070 13.33% 35.85% 50.83%-0.32 +27.7 20
1979-02-22 Vllaznia W 1-034.6 1185 1191 56.99% 34.89% 8.13%+0.67 +8.2 26
1979-02-22 @ Besa L 0-134.6 1191 1185 8.13% 34.89% 56.99%-0.67 -8.2 20
1979-02-22 Tomori W 1-036.8 945 1059 49.05% 35.98% 14.98%+0.24 +13.2 16
1979-02-22 @ Beslidhja Lezhe L 0-136.8 1059 945 14.98% 35.98% 49.05%-0.24 -13.2 21
1979-02-22 Lokomotiva Durres D 2-257.5 1130 1042 61.85% 33.21% 4.94%+1.03 -6.4 25
1979-02-22 @ Dinamo Tirana D 2-257.5 1042 1130 4.94% 33.21% 61.85%-1.03 +6.4 20
1979-02-22 Shkendija Tirana W 2-028.7 1123 982 64.25% 31.98% 3.77%+1.25 +7.5 24
1979-02-22 @ Flamurtari L 0-228.7 982 1123 3.77% 31.98% 64.25%-1.25 -7.4 15
1979-02-22 Partizani W 1-041.0 1081 1315 35.75% 35.97% 28.28%-0.24 +20.2 23
1979-02-22 @ Labinoti L 0-141.0 1315 1081 28.28% 35.97% 35.75%+0.24 -20.2 32
1979-02-22 Naftetari W 5-234.3 1149 1039 62.89% 32.71% 4.40%+1.12 +9.3 25
1979-02-22 @ 17 Nentori L 2-534.3 1039 1149 4.40% 32.71% 62.89%-1.12 -9.3 18
1979-02-22 Traktori W 2-029.1 1030 922 62.78% 32.77% 4.45%+1.11 +8.9 17
1979-02-22 @ Luftetari L 0-229.1 922 1030 4.45% 32.77% 62.78%-1.11 -8.9 12
1979-03-01 Dinamo Tirana W 1-034.3 1131 1123 57.76% 34.69% 7.56%+0.72 +7.7 26
1979-03-01 @ Flamurtari L 0-134.3 1123 1131 7.56% 34.69% 57.76%-0.72 -7.7 25
1979-03-01 Beslidhja Lezhe W 2-028.6 1102 958 64.33% 31.94% 3.74%+1.25 +7.4 25
1979-03-01 @ Labinoti L 0-228.6 958 1102 3.74% 31.94% 64.33%-1.25 -7.4 16
1979-03-01 Besa W 2-141.6 1158 1193 55.12% 35.28% 9.60%+0.55 +8.9 27
1979-03-01 @ 17 Nentori L 1-241.6 1193 1158 9.60% 35.28% 55.12%-0.55 -8.9 26
1979-03-01 Naftetari W 1-035.4 975 1029 53.80% 35.50% 10.70%+0.47 +10.3 17
1979-03-01 @ Shkendija Tirana L 0-135.4 1029 975 10.70% 35.50% 53.80%-0.47 -10.3 18
1979-03-01 Traktori D 1-151.8 1049 914 63.98% 32.13% 3.89%+1.22 -9.2 21
1979-03-01 @ Lokomotiva Durres D 1-151.8 914 1049 3.89% 32.13% 63.98%-1.22 +9.2 13
1979-03-01 Luftetari W 2-140.7 1046 1039 57.72% 34.70% 7.58%+0.71 +7.3 23
1979-03-01 @ Tomori L 1-240.7 1039 1046 7.58% 34.70% 57.72%-0.71 -7.3 17
1979-03-01 17 Nentori D 1-151.2 1183 1167 58.21% 34.56% 7.23%+0.75 -7.5 21
1979-03-01 @ Vllaznia D 1-151.2 1167 1183 7.23% 34.56% 58.21%-0.75 +7.5 28
1979-03-08 17 Nentori L 0-242.7 1032 1175 46.32% 36.09% 17.59%+0.12 -54.8 17
1979-03-08 @ Luftetari W 2-042.7 1175 1032 17.59% 36.09% 46.32%-0.12 +54.8 30
1979-03-08 Labinoti W 1-039.1 923 1109 41.63% 36.13% 22.24%-0.05 +17.3 15
1979-03-08 @ Traktori L 0-139.1 1109 923 22.24% 36.13% 41.63%+0.05 -17.3 25
1979-03-08 Flamurtari D 0-045.0 1019 1139 48.54% 36.00% 15.46%+0.21 -4.9 19
1979-03-08 @ Naftetari D 0-045.0 1139 1019 15.46% 36.00% 48.54%-0.21 +4.9 27
1979-03-08 Dinamo Tirana D 2-258.4 1295 1116 65.83% 31.03% 3.14%+1.40 -7.2 33
1979-03-08 @ Partizani D 2-258.4 1116 1295 3.14% 31.03% 65.83%-1.40 +7.2 26
1979-03-08 Beslidhja Lezhe W 1-033.8 985 951 59.20% 34.25% 6.55%+0.82 +6.8 19
1979-03-08 @ Shkendija Tirana L 0-133.8 951 985 6.55% 34.25% 59.20%-0.82 -6.8 16
1979-03-08 Besa W 2-034.1 1039 1185 46.08% 36.10% 17.82%+0.11 +28.1 23
1979-03-08 @ Lokomotiva Durres L 0-234.1 1185 1039 17.82% 36.10% 46.08%-0.11 -28.1 26
1979-03-08 Lokomotiva Durres W 3-027.9 1175 1068 62.77% 32.77% 4.46%+1.11 +12.9 23
1979-03-08 @ Vllaznia L 0-327.9 1068 1175 4.46% 32.77% 62.77%-1.11 -12.9 23
1979-03-15 Flamurtari W 3-136.6 1156 1144 58.06% 34.60% 7.34%+0.74 +12.3 28
1979-03-15 @ Besa L 1-336.6 1144 1156 7.34% 34.60% 58.06%-0.74 -12.3 27
1979-03-15 Dinamo Tirana L 0-145.1 944 1123 42.51% 36.13% 21.35%-0.02 -27.0 16
1979-03-15 @ Beslidhja Lezhe W 1-045.1 1123 944 21.35% 36.13% 42.51%+0.02 +27.0 28
1979-03-15 Vllaznia W 3-137.9 1131 1188 53.64% 35.53% 10.84%+0.46 +16.9 29
1979-03-15 @ Flamurtari L 1-337.9 1188 1131 10.84% 35.53% 53.64%-0.46 -16.9 23
1979-03-15 Tomori D 0-045.5 1092 1053 59.43% 34.17% 6.40%+0.84 -8.8 26
1979-03-15 @ Labinoti D 0-045.5 1053 1092 6.40% 34.17% 59.43%-0.84 +8.8 24
1979-03-15 Lokomotiva Durres W 1-031.9 1229 1055 65.65% 31.14% 3.21%+1.38 +3.3 32
1979-03-15 @ 17 Nentori L 0-131.9 1055 1229 3.21% 31.14% 65.65%-1.38 -3.3 23
1979-03-15 Shkendija Tirana W 1-034.6 977 992 56.43% 35.02% 8.56%+0.63 +8.6 19
1979-03-15 @ Luftetari L 0-134.6 992 977 8.56% 35.02% 56.43%-0.63 -8.6 19
1979-03-15 Partizani D 0-045.4 940 1287 21.37% 34.80% 43.83%-0.69 +3.1 16
1979-03-15 @ Traktori D 0-045.4 1287 940 43.83% 34.80% 21.37%+0.69 -3.1 34
1979-03-22 Naftetari D 1-152.0 1169 1014 64.81% 31.65% 3.53%+1.30 -9.4 29
1979-03-22 @ Besa D 1-152.0 1014 1169 3.53% 31.65% 64.81%-1.30 +9.4 20
1979-03-22 Traktori W 1-034.8 917 943 55.73% 35.16% 9.10%+0.58 +9.0 18
1979-03-22 @ Beslidhja Lezhe L 0-134.8 943 917 9.10% 35.16% 55.73%-0.58 -9.0 16
1979-03-22 Luftetari D 0-046.4 1150 986 65.21% 31.41% 3.37%+1.34 -10.6 29
1979-03-22 @ Dinamo Tirana D 0-046.4 986 1150 3.37% 31.41% 65.21%-1.34 +10.6 20
1979-03-22 17 Nentori D 1-150.9 1148 1233 51.55% 35.78% 12.67%+0.35 -5.3 30
1979-03-22 @ Flamurtari D 1-150.9 1233 1148 12.67% 35.78% 51.55%-0.35 +5.3 33
1979-03-22 Vllaznia W 1-037.8 1024 1171 45.84% 36.11% 18.06%+0.10 +15.1 22
1979-03-22 @ Naftetari L 0-137.8 1171 1024 18.06% 36.11% 45.84%-0.10 -15.1 23
1979-03-22 Tomori D 0-046.9 1284 1062 67.57% 29.86% 2.57%+1.57 -11.2 35
1979-03-22 @ Partizani D 0-046.9 1062 1284 2.57% 29.86% 67.57%-1.57 +11.2 25
1979-03-22 Lokomotiva Durres D 2-256.8 983 1051 52.81% 35.64% 11.55%+0.42 -4.2 20
1979-03-22 @ Shkendija Tirana D 2-256.8 1051 983 11.55% 35.64% 52.81%-0.42 +4.2 24
1979-03-29 Labinoti W 3-244.3 1159 1083 61.34% 33.44% 5.23%+0.99 +4.9 31
1979-03-29 @ Besa L 2-344.3 1083 1159 5.23% 33.44% 61.34%-0.99 -4.9 26
1979-03-29 Flamurtari W 1-040.2 926 1143 37.93% 36.05% 26.01%-0.17 +19.2 20
1979-03-29 @ Beslidhja Lezhe L 0-140.2 1143 926 26.01% 36.05% 37.93%+0.17 -19.2 30
1979-03-29 Vllaznia W 2-142.4 1078 1156 52.04% 35.73% 12.23%+0.38 +10.7 28
1979-03-29 @ Labinoti L 1-242.4 1156 1078 12.23% 35.73% 52.04%-0.38 -10.7 23
1979-03-29 Tomori W 1-032.1 1238 1073 65.23% 31.40% 3.37%+1.34 +3.5 35
1979-03-29 @ 17 Nentori L 0-132.1 1073 1238 3.37% 31.40% 65.23%-1.34 -3.5 25
1979-03-29 Lokomotiva Durres D 1-150.8 996 1056 53.45% 35.55% 11.00%+0.45 -5.9 21
1979-03-29 @ Luftetari D 1-150.8 1056 996 11.00% 35.55% 53.45%-0.45 +5.9 25
1979-03-29 Shkendija Tirana D 1-150.8 934 979 54.48% 35.39% 10.13%+0.51 -6.2 17
1979-03-29 @ Traktori D 1-150.8 979 934 10.13% 35.39% 54.48%-0.51 +6.2 21
1979-03-29 Partizani D 0-045.1 1039 1273 35.62% 35.97% 28.41%-0.24 -0.9 23
1979-03-29 @ Naftetari D 0-045.1 1273 1039 28.41% 35.97% 35.62%+0.24 +0.9 36

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1978-11-17 4.15% Vllaznia 1022 3 @ Tomori 1144 2
2 1978-09-29 5.69% 17 Nentori 1085 4 @ Beslidhja Lezhe 1145 3
3 1978-09-22 9.05% Tomori 1091 1 @ Vllaznia 1066 0
4 1979-02-01 9.27% Vllaznia 1059 3 @ Beslidhja Lezhe 1030 0
5 1979-01-25 9.70% Beslidhja Lezhe 1002 1 @ Traktori 965 0
6 1979-02-15 10.99% Partizani 1252 2 @ Dinamo Tirana 1193 0
7 1978-09-22 11.49% Beslidhja Lezhe 1114 2 @ Lokomotiva Durres 1047 1
8 1978-09-29 11.82% Tomori 1126 2 @ Traktori 1053 0
9 1978-12-14 12.42% Flamurtari 1080 1 @ Traktori 999 0
10 1978-11-10 13.27% Partizani 1161 2 @ Beslidhja Lezhe 1068 1
11 1979-02-15 13.33% Vllaznia 1163 4 @ Lokomotiva Durres 1070 3
12 1978-11-24 13.36% Besa 1141 2 @ Beslidhja Lezhe 1048 1
13 1978-10-20 13.42% Partizani 1129 1 @ Shkendija Tirana 1035 0
14 1979-01-25 15.60% Partizani 1219 3 @ Tomori 1097 2
15 1979-01-11 16.80% Partizani 1191 2 @ Vllaznia 1056 1
16 1979-03-08 17.59% 17 Nentori 1175 2 @ Luftetari 1032 0
17 1979-03-15 21.35% Dinamo Tirana 1123 1 @ Beslidhja Lezhe 944 0
18 1978-12-14 24.17% Besa 1190 1 @ Shkendija Tirana 988 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1979-02-01 94.94 Vllaznia 3 1059 9.27% @ Beslidhja Lezhe 0 1030 55.53% 35.21%
2 1979-02-15 62.88 Partizani 2 1252 10.99% @ Dinamo Tirana 0 1193 53.46% 35.55%
3 1978-09-29 61.74 Tomori 2 1126 11.82% @ Traktori 0 1053 52.50% 35.67%
4 1979-03-08 54.79 17 Nentori 2 1175 17.59% @ Luftetari 0 1032 46.32% 36.09%
5 1978-11-10 44.49 @ Dinamo Tirana 5 1129 54.09% Naftetari 0 1180 10.45% 35.46%
6 1978-10-13 35.77 @ Luftetari 3 991 49.29% Beslidhja Lezhe 0 1102 14.75% 35.96%
7 1978-11-17 35.30 Vllaznia 3 1022 4.15% @ Tomori 2 1144 63.41% 32.44%
8 1978-09-22 34.84 Tomori 1 1091 9.05% @ Vllaznia 0 1066 55.79% 35.15%
9 1979-01-25 34.32 Beslidhja Lezhe 1 1002 9.70% @ Traktori 0 965 54.99% 35.31%
10 1978-09-29 33.04 17 Nentori 4 1085 5.69% @ Beslidhja Lezhe 3 1145 60.55% 33.76%
11 1978-12-14 32.32 Flamurtari 1 1080 12.42% @ Traktori 0 999 51.83% 35.75%
12 1978-10-20 31.64 Partizani 1 1129 13.42% @ Shkendija Tirana 0 1035 50.72% 35.85%
13 1978-09-22 31.09 Beslidhja Lezhe 2 1114 11.49% @ Lokomotiva Durres 1 1047 52.88% 35.63%
14 1979-01-25 30.40 @ Vllaznia 3 1028 52.49% Naftetari 0 1101 11.83% 35.68%
15 1978-11-10 29.92 Partizani 2 1161 13.27% @ Beslidhja Lezhe 1 1068 50.89% 35.84%
16 1978-11-24 29.87 Besa 2 1141 13.36% @ Beslidhja Lezhe 1 1048 50.79% 35.85%
17 1978-11-24 29.23 @ Vllaznia 5 1057 59.49% Beslidhja Lezhe 0 1018 6.36% 34.15%
18 1979-03-08 28.12 @ Lokomotiva Durres 2 1039 46.08% Besa 0 1185 17.82% 36.10%
19 1979-01-11 27.82 Partizani 2 1191 16.80% @ Vllaznia 1 1056 47.13% 36.07%
20 1978-09-01 27.77 @ Dinamo Tirana 3 1100 54.02% Beslidhja Lezhe 0 1151 10.52% 35.47%
21 1979-02-15 27.67 Vllaznia 4 1163 13.33% @ Lokomotiva Durres 3 1070 50.83% 35.85%
22 1978-09-01 27.66 @ Lokomotiva Durres 3 1032 54.08% 17 Nentori 0 1083 10.47% 35.46%
23 1978-09-29 27.37 @ Besa 6 1109 61.84% Luftetari 0 1022 4.95% 33.22%
24 1979-01-25 27.05 Partizani 3 1219 15.60% @ Tomori 2 1097 48.38% 36.01%
25 1979-03-15 26.98 Dinamo Tirana 1 1123 21.35% @ Beslidhja Lezhe 0 944 42.51% 36.13%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1978-09-29 62.8 17 Nentori 4 1085 5.69% @ Beslidhja Lezhe 3 1145 60.55% 33.76%
2 1978-11-17 61.4 Vllaznia 3 1022 4.15% @ Tomori 2 1144 63.41% 32.44%
3 1979-02-15 60.5 Vllaznia 4 1163 13.33% @ Lokomotiva Durres 3 1070 50.83% 35.85%
4 1979-03-08 58.4 @ Partizani 2 1295 65.83% Dinamo Tirana 2 1116 3.14% 31.03%
5 1979-01-25 58.1 Partizani 3 1219 15.60% @ Tomori 2 1097 48.38% 36.01%
6 1979-02-01 57.6 @ Labinoti 2 1094 62.58% Shkendija Tirana 2 990 4.56% 32.86%
7 1979-02-22 57.5 @ Dinamo Tirana 2 1130 61.85% Lokomotiva Durres 2 1042 4.94% 33.21%
8 1978-12-07 57.4 @ Dinamo Tirana 2 1175 60.31% 17 Nentori 2 1119 5.84% 33.86%
9 1978-09-22 57.0 @ Traktori 2 1058 56.03% 17 Nentori 2 1080 8.86% 35.10%
10 1979-02-01 56.9 @ 17 Nentori 2 1139 49.68% Partizani 2 1246 14.39% 35.94%
11 1979-03-22 56.8 @ Shkendija Tirana 2 983 52.81% Lokomotiva Durres 2 1051 11.55% 35.64%
12 1978-10-13 56.7 @ Traktori 2 1001 46.44% Besa 2 1142 17.47% 36.09%
13 1978-10-20 56.7 @ Lokomotiva Durres 2 1051 48.26% Naftetari 2 1173 15.72% 36.02%
14 1978-09-22 54.6 Beslidhja Lezhe 2 1114 11.49% @ Lokomotiva Durres 1 1047 52.88% 35.63%
15 1978-11-10 54.1 Partizani 2 1161 13.27% @ Beslidhja Lezhe 1 1068 50.89% 35.84%
16 1978-11-24 54.0 Besa 2 1141 13.36% @ Beslidhja Lezhe 1 1048 50.79% 35.85%
17 1979-01-11 53.0 Partizani 2 1191 16.80% @ Vllaznia 1 1056 47.13% 36.07%
18 1978-11-30 52.4 @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1185 66.85% Traktori 1 980 2.79% 30.36%
19 1978-09-29 52.2 @ Naftetari 1 1195 65.83% Lokomotiva Durres 1 1016 3.14% 31.03%
20 1979-03-22 52.0 @ Besa 1 1169 64.81% Naftetari 1 1014 3.53% 31.65%
21 1979-02-15 51.9 @ Besa 1 1194 63.92% Lokomotiva Durres 1 1061 3.91% 32.16%
22 1978-12-07 51.8 @ Partizani 1 1178 63.67% Lokomotiva Durres 1 1050 4.03% 32.30%
23 1979-01-11 51.8 @ Tomori 1 1107 63.99% Shkendija Tirana 1 971 3.89% 32.13%
24 1979-03-01 51.8 @ Lokomotiva Durres 1 1049 63.98% Traktori 1 914 3.89% 32.13%
25 1978-12-14 51.6 @ Vllaznia 1 1065 62.54% Shkendija Tirana 1 963 4.57% 32.88%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1979-03-08 27.9 @ Vllaznia 3 1175 62.77% Lokomotiva Durres 0 1068 4.46% 32.77%
2 1978-10-20 28.2 @ Tomori 2 1184 65.81% Traktori 0 1005 3.15% 31.04%
3 1979-02-01 28.4 @ Besa 2 1205 65.41% Beslidhja Lezhe 0 1036 3.30% 31.29%
4 1979-03-01 28.6 @ Labinoti 2 1102 64.33% Beslidhja Lezhe 0 958 3.74% 31.94%
5 1979-02-15 28.7 @ Flamurtari 3 1106 60.06% Naftetari 0 1056 5.99% 33.95%
6 1979-02-22 28.7 @ Flamurtari 2 1123 64.25% Shkendija Tirana 0 982 3.77% 31.98%
7 1978-11-10 29.0 @ Besa 2 1115 63.09% Shkendija Tirana 0 1000 4.30% 32.61%
8 1979-02-22 29.1 @ Luftetari 2 1030 62.78% Traktori 0 922 4.45% 32.77%
9 1978-09-01 29.2 @ Partizani 3 1077 58.30% Traktori 0 1060 7.16% 34.53%
10 1979-02-15 29.2 @ 17 Nentori 2 1140 62.44% Luftetari 0 1039 4.63% 32.93%
11 1978-11-30 29.5 @ Partizani 2 1168 61.58% Vllaznia 0 1086 5.09% 33.33%
12 1978-09-08 29.7 @ Traktori 3 1039 56.56% Luftetari 0 1052 8.45% 34.99%
13 1978-09-15 29.8 @ Dinamo Tirana 2 1140 60.68% Vllaznia 0 1077 5.61% 33.71%
14 1978-09-29 29.9 @ Partizani 2 1109 60.23% Shkendija Tirana 0 1056 5.88% 33.88%
15 1978-11-03 29.9 @ Dinamo Tirana 2 1117 60.09% Flamurtari 0 1066 5.97% 33.94%
16 1978-11-24 30.2 @ Vllaznia 5 1057 59.49% Beslidhja Lezhe 0 1018 6.36% 34.15%
17 1978-09-29 30.3 @ Besa 6 1109 61.84% Luftetari 0 1022 4.95% 33.22%
18 1978-09-15 30.4 @ 17 Nentori 2 1066 58.36% Shkendija Tirana 0 1048 7.13% 34.52%
19 1978-10-06 30.4 @ Lokomotiva Durres 2 1025 58.50% Luftetari 0 1004 7.03% 34.47%
20 1978-09-01 30.5 @ Dinamo Tirana 3 1100 54.02% Beslidhja Lezhe 0 1151 10.52% 35.47%
21 1978-09-01 30.5 @ Lokomotiva Durres 3 1032 54.08% 17 Nentori 0 1083 10.47% 35.46%
22 1978-09-22 30.5 @ Partizani 2 1096 58.31% Flamurtari 0 1078 7.16% 34.53%
23 1979-01-25 30.9 @ Vllaznia 3 1028 52.49% Naftetari 0 1101 11.83% 35.68%
24 1978-11-30 31.1 @ Besa 2 1171 56.55% Partizani 0 1184 8.46% 34.99%
25 1979-02-08 31.4 @ Dinamo Tirana 2 1185 55.69% Besa 0 1212 9.14% 35.17%