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2002-03 Kategoria Superiore Season

182 games

Final

Champion

KF Tirana

60 points · 20th Title

Last Title: 1999-00

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Besa

12.00 points above expected

36 points · 24.00 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Beselidhja

12.09 points below expected

13 points · 25.09 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 KF Tirana Champion 26 19 3 4 60 57 18 +39 58.62 +1.38
2 Vllaznia 26 15 4 7 49 51 32 +19 46.01 +2.99
3 Partizani 26 12 10 4 46 41 27 +14 45.61 +0.39
4 Teuta 26 12 4 10 40 38 27 +11 39.35 +0.65
5 Shkumbini 26 11 7 8 40 33 23 +10 40.21 -0.21
6 Dinamo Tirana 26 10 8 8 38 29 24 +5 49.18 -11.18
7 Besa 26 9 9 8 36 29 37 -8 24.00 +12.00
8 KF Elbasani 26 10 6 10 36 33 35 -2 26.74 +9.26
9 Flamurtari 26 10 6 10 36 27 28 -1 33.72 +2.28
10 Lushnja 26 9 8 9 35 27 27 0 34.88 +0.12
11 Apolonia 26 10 5 11 35 27 33 -6 27.52 +7.48
12 Erzeni 26 6 6 14 24 23 37 -14 29.29 -5.29
13 Bylis 26 3 7 16 16 19 61 -42 24.82 -8.82
14 Beselidhja 26 4 1 21 13 22 47 -25 25.09 -12.09

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Besa 36 24.00 +12.00
2 KF Elbasani 36 26.74 +9.26
3 Apolonia 35 27.52 +7.48
4 Vllaznia 49 46.01 +2.99
5 Flamurtari 36 33.72 +2.28

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Beselidhja 13 25.09 -12.09
2 Dinamo Tirana 38 49.18 -11.18
3 Bylis 16 24.82 -8.82
4 Erzeni 24 29.29 -5.29
5 Shkumbini 40 40.21 -0.21

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lushnja 3 May 14 – May 24 1 in 141
2 Besa 3 Nov 16 – Nov 30 1 in 105
3 Shkumbini 4 Mar 8 – Apr 5 1 in 22
4 Teuta 3 Dec 14 – Mar 1 1 in 22
5 Vllaznia 6 Apr 5 – May 10 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KF Tirana 2 May 17 – May 24 1 in 269
2 Bylis 11 Mar 8 – May 17 1 in 233
3 Erzeni 4 Nov 9 – Nov 30 1 in 29
4 Flamurtari 4 Apr 12 – May 3 1 in 24
5 Beselidhja 7 Apr 19 – May 24 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Partizani 19 Sep 28 – Apr 19 1 in 617
2 Besa 4 Nov 16 – Dec 7 1 in 18
3 Teuta 7 Dec 14 – Apr 5 1 in 17
4 Shkumbini 6 Mar 1 – Apr 12 1 in 11
5 Apolonia 3 Dec 7 – Dec 21 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Partizani 6 Nov 30 – Mar 8 1 in 207
2 Bylis 17 Nov 30 – May 24 1 in 47
3 Dinamo Tirana 4 Sep 21 – Oct 19 1 in 42
4 Flamurtari 6 Nov 30 – Mar 8 1 in 22
5 Vllaznia 5 Dec 21 – Mar 22 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
KF Tirana 1419 60 -50 9 11.9 -2.9
Vllaznia 1302 49 -2 10 10.3 -0.3
Partizani 1214 46 -31 7 8.1 -1.1
Teuta 1222 40 +17 9 9.1 -0.1
Shkumbini 1206 40 -3 7 7.8 -0.8
Dinamo Tirana 1174 38 -56 7 8.8 -1.8
KF Elbasani 1108 36 +48 10 5.8 +4.2
Flamurtari 1084 36 +45 9 6.3 +2.7
Besa 1123 36 +36 7 4.6 +2.4
Apolonia 1158 35 +77 12 7.8 +4.2
Lushnja 1182 35 +64 9 5.6 +3.4
Erzeni 1015 24 -37 3 5.6 -2.6
Bylis 744 16 -50 1 2.5 -1.5
Beselidhja 812 13 -59 0 3.0 -3.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team APO BES BES BYL DT ERZ FLA KE KT LUS PAR SHK TEU VLL
Apolonia —
1-1-0
2.81
1-0-1
3.32
1-0-1
3.41
1-1-0
1.00
1-0-1
2.52
0-0-2
2.30
1-1-0
2.70
0-0-2
1.00
1-0-1
2.18
1-0-1
1.31
0-1-1
1.59
1-0-1
1.94
1-1-0
1.20
Besa
0-1-1
2.71
 —
2-0-0
2.16
0-2-0
2.15
1-0-1
1.23
1-1-0
2.72
2-0-0
1.87
0-1-1
2.86
0-1-1
0.67
0-1-1
2.09
1-1-0
1.28
0-1-1
1.89
1-0-1
2.11
1-0-1
1.31
Beselidhja
1-0-1
2.23
0-0-2
3.36
 —
1-0-1
2.85
0-0-2
1.08
1-0-1
2.63
0-1-1
1.66
0-0-2
2.02
0-0-2
0.55
0-0-2
2.05
0-0-2
1.91
1-0-1
1.96
0-0-2
1.53
0-0-2
1.13
Bylis
1-0-1
2.11
0-2-0
3.38
1-0-1
2.66
 —
0-0-2
0.94
0-1-1
1.77
0-1-1
2.08
1-0-1
2.46
0-0-2
1.07
0-1-1
1.78
0-0-2
1.38
0-1-1
2.43
0-1-1
2.02
0-0-2
1.35
Dinamo Tirana
0-1-1
4.57
1-0-1
4.33
2-0-0
4.49
2-0-0
4.63
 —
1-0-1
4.27
1-1-0
3.72
1-1-0
4.68
0-0-2
1.97
1-0-1
3.49
0-2-0
2.61
0-2-0
3.17
1-0-1
3.35
0-1-1
3.33
Erzeni
1-0-1
3.00
0-1-1
2.80
1-0-1
2.90
1-1-0
3.76
1-0-1
1.28
 —
1-0-1
2.25
0-1-1
3.27
0-0-2
0.89
0-1-1
2.22
0-1-1
1.46
0-1-1
1.69
1-0-1
2.03
0-0-2
1.63
Flamurtari
2-0-0
3.22
0-0-2
3.65
1-1-0
3.86
1-1-0
3.48
0-1-1
1.81
1-0-1
3.27
 —
1-0-1
3.47
1-0-1
1.13
0-2-0
2.50
0-1-1
1.52
1-0-1
2.01
1-0-1
2.15
1-0-1
1.96
KF Elbasani
0-1-1
2.82
1-1-0
2.66
2-0-0
3.49
1-0-1
3.09
0-1-1
0.90
1-1-0
2.25
1-0-1
2.06
 —
1-0-1
0.83
1-0-1
2.52
0-1-1
1.54
0-0-2
1.62
2-0-0
1.46
0-1-1
1.35
KF Tirana
2-0-0
4.59
1-1-0
4.95
2-0-0
5.10
2-0-0
4.58
2-0-0
3.55
2-0-0
4.70
1-0-1
4.45
1-0-1
4.77
 —
0-1-1
4.60
1-0-1
4.10
2-0-0
4.15
1-1-0
4.57
2-0-0
3.81
Lushnja
1-0-1
3.34
1-1-0
3.45
2-0-0
3.49
1-1-0
3.74
1-0-1
2.05
1-1-0
3.30
0-2-0
3.02
1-0-1
3.00
1-1-0
0.98
 —
0-1-1
1.75
0-0-2
2.78
0-1-1
2.29
0-0-2
1.71
Partizani
1-0-1
4.23
0-1-1
4.26
2-0-0
3.68
2-0-0
4.15
0-2-0
2.91
1-1-0
4.09
1-1-0
4.01
1-1-0
4.01
1-0-1
1.44
1-1-0
3.77
 —
0-1-1
3.77
1-1-0
2.80
1-1-0
2.72
Shkumbini
1-1-0
3.94
1-1-0
3.64
1-0-1
3.59
1-1-0
3.09
0-2-0
2.34
1-1-0
3.84
1-0-1
3.53
2-0-0
3.92
0-0-2
1.40
2-0-0
2.73
1-1-0
1.75
 —
0-0-2
2.85
0-0-2
2.25
Teuta
1-0-1
3.59
1-0-1
3.40
2-0-0
4.00
1-1-0
3.53
1-0-1
2.19
1-0-1
3.50
1-0-1
3.37
0-0-2
4.08
0-1-1
0.99
1-1-0
3.24
0-1-1
2.74
2-0-0
2.67
 —
1-0-1
2.34
Vllaznia
0-1-1
4.35
1-0-1
4.24
2-0-0
4.42
2-0-0
4.19
1-1-0
2.20
2-0-0
3.91
1-0-1
3.57
1-1-0
4.20
0-0-2
1.72
2-0-0
3.82
0-1-1
2.81
2-0-0
3.27
1-0-1
3.17
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.81 +10.2
Allowed 0.68 -9.3
Differential 0.92 +6.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.99%9.07%7.69%3.02%0.82%1.10%32.69%
19.07%9.34%8.52%3.57%1.10%0.82%32.42%
27.69%8.52%2.20%1.10%0.82%0.55%20.88%
33.02%3.57%1.10%0.55%——8.24%
40.82%1.10%0.82%——0.27%3.02%
5+1.10%0.82%0.55%—0.27%—2.75%
Total32.69%32.42%20.88%8.24%3.02%2.75%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.25 +0.00
SD 1.25 1.25 1.84
CV 1.00 1.00 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%15.38%3.85%—3.85%38.46%
111.54%11.54%7.69%3.85%——34.62%
211.54%3.85%————15.38%
33.85%—3.85%———7.69%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total34.62%23.08%30.77%7.69%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.27 -0.23
SD 1.11 1.25 1.86
CV 1.07 0.99 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%—7.69%——7.69%30.77%
115.38%15.38%7.69%3.85%——42.31%
23.85%7.69%3.85%—3.85%—19.23%
33.85%—————3.85%
4———————
5+————3.85%—3.85%
Total38.46%23.08%19.23%3.85%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.42 -0.31
SD 1.14 1.60 1.85
CV 1.02 1.13 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—19.23%19.23%11.54%——50.00%
1——23.08%—3.85%—26.92%
211.54%—3.85%3.85%——19.23%
3———————
4———————
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total11.54%19.23%50.00%15.38%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.81 -0.96
SD 1.16 0.98 1.61
CV 1.37 0.54 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%11.54%3.85%38.46%
13.85%19.23%7.69%7.69%3.85%7.69%50.00%
23.85%3.85%———3.85%11.54%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%30.77%11.54%11.54%15.38%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 2.35 -1.62
SD 0.67 1.90 2.04
CV 0.91 0.81 —
Max 2 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%11.54%7.69%———34.62%
17.69%15.38%3.85%3.85%——30.77%
215.38%11.54%—3.85%——30.77%
3———————
4———————
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total38.46%38.46%15.38%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 0.92 +0.19
SD 1.14 0.93 1.36
CV 1.02 1.01 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%15.38%—7.69%——38.46%
13.85%7.69%19.23%—3.85%3.85%38.46%
211.54%3.85%———3.85%19.23%
33.85%—————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total34.62%26.92%19.23%7.69%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.42 -0.54
SD 0.86 1.53 1.75
CV 0.98 1.07 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%15.38%11.54%———38.46%
115.38%7.69%—3.85%3.85%—30.77%
23.85%11.54%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
33.85%—————3.85%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total34.62%38.46%15.38%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.08 -0.04
SD 1.08 1.09 1.54
CV 1.04 1.01 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%7.69%7.69%——34.62%
111.54%7.69%3.85%3.85%——26.92%
23.85%15.38%3.85%—3.85%—26.92%
3—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total23.08%42.31%15.38%15.38%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.35 -0.08
SD 1.37 1.13 1.76
CV 1.08 0.84 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
111.54%3.85%7.69%———23.08%
219.23%3.85%————23.08%
33.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
43.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total50.00%30.77%19.23%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.19 0.69 +1.50
SD 1.63 0.79 1.77
CV 0.74 1.14 —
Max 6 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%—7.69%——30.77%
115.38%15.38%11.54%3.85%——46.15%
23.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
33.85%7.69%————11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total34.62%38.46%15.38%11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.04 +0.00
SD 0.96 1.00 1.47
CV 0.92 0.96 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.08%—7.69%———30.77%
17.69%3.85%—3.85%——15.38%
27.69%11.54%11.54%———30.77%
3—11.54%3.85%———15.38%
4—————3.85%3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total42.31%26.92%23.08%3.85%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.04 +0.54
SD 1.39 1.22 1.50
CV 0.88 1.17 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%7.69%7.69%———30.77%
17.69%11.54%7.69%7.69%——34.62%
27.69%11.54%————19.23%
37.69%—————7.69%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+———————
Total42.31%34.62%15.38%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 0.88 +0.38
SD 1.22 0.95 1.70
CV 0.96 1.08 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%11.54%———30.77%
13.85%3.85%15.38%3.85%——26.92%
23.85%15.38%————19.23%
33.85%11.54%————15.38%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total30.77%38.46%26.92%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.04 +0.42
SD 1.39 0.87 1.88
CV 0.95 0.84 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
111.54%7.69%3.85%3.85%——26.92%
2—15.38%—3.85%3.85%—23.08%
37.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total26.92%42.31%15.38%11.54%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 1.23 +0.73
SD 1.43 1.11 1.80
CV 0.73 0.90 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
KF Tirana 1419 60 58.62 +1.38 63.0% 45 50 56 59 62 67 69
Vllaznia 1302 49 46.01 +2.99 69.0% 29 34 43 46 51 55 56
Teuta 1222 40 39.35 +0.65 59.0% 26 30 35 39 44 49 60
Partizani 1214 46 45.61 +0.39 50.0% 31 34 41 46 50 56 61
Shkumbini 1206 40 40.21 -0.21 52.0% 19 29 37 40 45 49 51
Lushnja 1182 35 34.88 +0.12 57.0% 21 26 31 35 39 45 50
Dinamo Tirana 1174 38 49.18 -11.18 4.0% 31 39 45 50 53 57 62
Apolonia 1158 35 27.52 +7.48 94.0% 14 19 23 27 31 36 48
Besa 1123 36 24.00 +12.00 98.0% 2 13 19 24 28 35 40
KF Elbasani 1108 36 26.74 +9.26 94.0% 14 17 23 27 30 37 44
Flamurtari 1084 36 33.72 +2.28 72.0% 21 24 30 34 37 43 47
Erzeni 1015 24 29.29 -5.29 20.0% 12 18 25 29 34 39 43
Beselidhja 812 13 25.09 -12.09 0.0% 15 17 21 25 28 35 46
Bylis 744 16 24.82 -8.82 6.0% 9 16 21 26 28 33 42

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 27% * Slight Edge: 27% to 33% * Clear Edge: 33% to 40% * Strong Edge: 40% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+29.67%
Slight Edge
53.30%23.08%23.63%
Elo Value
Home Edge
229 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0106.28600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.59 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.46+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.04 * Tight Race: 0.04 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.4
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
84%
KF Tirana, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.42/gm
Runaway
00.280.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.66 * Some Luck: 4.66 to 7 * Lucky: 7 to 9.33 * Wild Swing: 9.33 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.28 * Close: 1.28 to 1.92 * Off: 1.92 to 2.56 * Way Off: 2.56 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.97 points
Some Luck
05.8315
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.00
Off
01.604
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
98.00%
Besa
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
0.00%
Beselidhja
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 77.5% * Wide Edge: 77.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 93% * Strong Edge: 93% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 72.5% * Very Frequent: 72.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 10.5% * Occasional: 10.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Top-Heavy
00.120.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 176.49
1.81
Strong Separation
0.91.351.82.153
Interquartile Edge
67%
Slight Edge
50%63.5%72.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Some Drama
0%59%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Frequent
0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.56 * Notable Separation: 0.56 to 0.62 * Lopsided: 0.62 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14.5% * Upset-Prone: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 18.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 10.5% * As Expected: 10.5% to 12.5% * Shaky Favorites: 12.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.552
Matchup Imbalance
0.50
Slight Separation
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.46
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.57
Some Carryover
00.410.590.731
Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Upset-Prone
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Very Shaky
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.46
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.74
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.078
Well Within Noise
00.1180.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
KF Tirana84.00%10.00%5.00%1.00%——————————
Vllaznia3.00%28.00%18.00%23.00%13.00%8.00%3.00%3.00%—1.00%————
Partizani3.00%24.00%22.00%18.00%12.00%14.00%5.00%1.00%—1.00%————
Teuta—4.00%10.00%16.00%17.00%17.00%16.00%10.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%——
Shkumbini—4.00%5.00%16.00%28.00%21.00%8.00%8.00%5.00%3.00%—1.00%—1.00%
Dinamo Tirana10.00%29.00%32.00%18.00%9.00%1.00%———1.00%————
Besa—————4.00%1.00%3.00%11.00%10.00%8.00%20.00%17.00%26.00%
KF Elbasani——1.00%—1.00%1.00%3.00%14.00%10.00%12.00%17.00%16.00%16.00%9.00%
Flamurtari——2.00%3.00%4.00%15.00%18.00%20.00%9.00%14.00%7.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%
Lushnja—1.00%3.00%2.00%10.00%12.00%24.00%22.00%9.00%8.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%
Apolonia——1.00%—1.00%1.00%4.00%6.00%18.00%19.00%16.00%11.00%14.00%9.00%
Erzeni———1.00%5.00%5.00%12.00%10.00%14.00%11.00%11.00%11.00%11.00%9.00%
Bylis———1.00%—1.00%3.00%1.00%9.00%11.00%16.00%18.00%17.00%23.00%
Beselidhja——1.00%1.00%——3.00%2.00%9.00%7.00%20.00%14.00%22.00%21.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
KF Tirana 100% —
Dinamo Tirana 99.00% 1.00%
Partizani 99.00% 1.00%
Vllaznia 99.00% 1.00%
Teuta 96.00% 4.00%
Shkumbini 95.00% 5.00%
Lushnja 83.00% 17.00%
Flamurtari 71.00% 29.00%
Erzeni 47.00% 53.00%
Apolonia 31.00% 69.00%
KF Elbasani 30.00% 70.00%
Besa 19.00% 81.00%
Beselidhja 16.00% 84.00%
Bylis 15.00% 85.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2002-09-21 Besa D 1-154.7 1084 934 65.85% 22.52% 11.63%+1.12 -7.4 1
2002-09-21 @ Bylis D 1-154.7 934 1084 11.63% 22.52% 65.85%-1.12 +7.4 1
2002-09-21 Dinamo Tirana D 0-050.1 971 1352 10.93% 22.33% 66.74%-1.20 +8.5 1
2002-09-21 @ KF Elbasani D 0-050.1 1352 971 66.74% 22.33% 10.93%+1.20 -8.5 1
2002-09-21 Erzeni W 5-238.7 1078 1060 54.03% 23.98% 21.99%+0.54 +29.3 3
2002-09-21 @ Beselidhja L 2-538.7 1060 1078 21.99% 23.98% 54.03%-0.54 -29.3 0
2002-09-21 Flamurtari D 1-154.5 1169 1094 59.80% 23.45% 16.75%+0.79 -5.7 1
2002-09-21 @ Lushnja D 1-154.5 1094 1169 16.75% 23.45% 59.80%-0.79 +5.6 1
2002-09-21 KF Tirana L 0-232.0 1053 1349 16.54% 23.43% 60.03%-0.83 -21.6 0
2002-09-21 @ Apolonia W 2-032.0 1349 1053 60.03% 23.43% 16.54%+0.83 +21.6 3
2002-09-21 Shkumbini L 0-245.0 1162 1080 60.34% 23.39% 16.27%+0.82 -63.8 0
2002-09-21 @ Partizani W 2-045.0 1080 1162 16.27% 23.39% 60.34%-0.82 +63.8 3
2002-09-21 Teuta W 2-143.4 1190 1187 52.39% 24.09% 23.52%+0.48 +14.6 3
2002-09-21 @ Vllaznia L 1-243.4 1187 1190 23.52% 24.09% 52.39%-0.48 -14.6 0
2002-09-27 Apolonia D 1-155.7 1343 1032 75.07% 19.73% 5.20%+1.83 -9.8 2
2002-09-27 @ Dinamo Tirana D 1-155.7 1032 1343 5.20% 19.73% 75.07%-1.83 +9.8 1
2002-09-28 Beselidhja W 1-044.3 942 1107 30.05% 24.38% 45.57%-0.26 +26.2 4
2002-09-28 @ Besa L 0-144.3 1107 942 45.57% 24.38% 30.05%+0.26 -26.2 3
2002-09-28 Bylis D 1-154.4 1144 1077 59.06% 23.54% 17.40%+0.76 -5.5 4
2002-09-28 @ Shkumbini D 1-154.4 1077 1144 17.40% 23.54% 59.06%-0.76 +5.5 2
2002-09-28 KF Elbasani W 3-028.6 1100 980 63.59% 22.93% 13.48%+0.99 +26.1 4
2002-09-28 @ Flamurtari L 0-328.6 980 1100 13.48% 22.93% 63.59%-0.99 -26.1 1
2002-09-28 Lushnja D 0-049.3 1031 1164 34.41% 24.46% 41.13%-0.12 +0.9 1
2002-09-28 @ Erzeni D 0-049.3 1164 1031 41.13% 24.46% 34.41%+0.12 -0.9 2
2002-09-28 Partizani L 1-253.9 1172 1098 59.68% 23.47% 16.85%+0.79 -31.5 0
2002-09-28 @ Teuta W 2-153.9 1098 1172 16.85% 23.47% 59.68%-0.79 +31.5 3
2002-09-28 Vllaznia W 2-030.5 1371 1205 66.99% 22.28% 10.73%+1.19 +14.5 6
2002-09-28 @ KF Tirana L 0-230.5 1205 1371 10.73% 22.28% 66.99%-1.19 -14.5 3
2002-10-05 Besa W 3-134.8 1163 968 68.86% 21.83% 9.31%+1.32 +10.9 5
2002-10-05 @ Lushnja L 1-334.8 968 1163 9.31% 21.83% 68.86%-1.32 -10.9 4
2002-10-05 Dinamo Tirana W 3-140.3 1385 1333 57.56% 23.69% 18.75%+0.69 +20.9 9
2002-10-05 @ KF Tirana L 1-340.3 1333 1385 18.75% 23.69% 57.56%-0.69 -20.9 2
2002-10-05 Erzeni W 1-040.7 954 1032 42.12% 24.45% 33.43%+0.12 +20.5 4
2002-10-05 @ KF Elbasani L 0-140.7 1032 954 33.43% 24.45% 42.12%-0.12 -20.6 1
2002-10-05 Flamurtari L 1-248.7 1041 1126 41.25% 24.46% 34.30%+0.10 -22.8 1
2002-10-05 @ Apolonia W 2-148.7 1126 1041 34.30% 24.46% 41.25%-0.10 +22.8 7
2002-10-05 Partizani D 0-049.7 1190 1130 58.41% 23.61% 17.98%+0.73 -5.9 4
2002-10-05 @ Vllaznia D 0-049.7 1130 1190 17.98% 23.61% 58.41%-0.73 +5.9 4
2002-10-05 Shkumbini W 2-036.4 1081 1139 44.89% 24.39% 30.72%+0.21 +36.3 6
2002-10-05 @ Beselidhja L 0-236.4 1139 1081 30.72% 24.39% 44.89%-0.21 -36.3 4
2002-10-05 Teuta D 1-154.2 1082 1141 44.79% 24.40% 30.82%+0.21 -1.7 3
2002-10-05 @ Bylis D 1-154.2 1141 1082 30.82% 24.40% 44.79%-0.21 +1.7 1
2002-10-19 Apolonia W 2-034.5 1011 1018 51.17% 24.16% 24.67%+0.43 +30.4 4
2002-10-19 @ Erzeni L 0-234.5 1018 1011 24.67% 24.16% 51.17%-0.43 -30.4 1
2002-10-19 Beselidhja W 2-142.6 1142 1117 54.79% 23.93% 21.28%+0.57 +13.5 4
2002-10-19 @ Teuta L 1-242.6 1117 1142 21.28% 23.93% 54.79%-0.57 -13.5 6
2002-10-19 Bylis W 1-036.0 1135 1081 57.87% 23.66% 18.47%+0.70 +12.6 7
2002-10-19 @ Partizani L 0-136.0 1081 1135 18.47% 23.66% 57.87%-0.70 -12.6 3
2002-10-19 KF Elbasani D 1-154.2 957 974 50.00% 24.22% 25.78%+0.39 -3.0 5
2002-10-19 @ Besa D 1-154.2 974 957 25.78% 24.22% 50.00%-0.39 +3.0 5
2002-10-19 KF Tirana L 0-137.1 1148 1406 19.86% 23.81% 56.34%-0.66 -13.5 7
2002-10-19 @ Flamurtari W 1-037.1 1406 1148 56.34% 23.81% 19.86%+0.66 +13.5 12
2002-10-19 Lushnja W 3-034.8 1102 1174 43.07% 24.43% 32.50%+0.15 +55.1 7
2002-10-19 @ Shkumbini L 0-334.8 1174 1102 32.50% 24.43% 43.07%-0.15 -55.1 5
2002-10-19 Vllaznia L 1-255.5 1312 1184 64.25% 22.82% 12.94%+1.03 -33.9 2
2002-10-19 @ Dinamo Tirana W 2-155.5 1184 1312 12.94% 22.82% 64.25%-1.03 +33.9 7
2002-10-25 Erzeni W 3-024.6 1420 1042 77.87% 18.40% 3.73%+2.12 +7.1 15
2002-10-25 @ KF Tirana L 0-324.6 1042 1420 3.73% 18.40% 77.87%-2.12 -7.1 4
2002-10-26 Besa W 2-033.1 988 954 55.76% 23.85% 20.38%+0.61 +25.9 4
2002-10-26 @ Apolonia L 0-233.1 954 988 20.38% 23.85% 55.76%-0.61 -25.9 5
2002-10-26 Bylis W 3-135.7 1218 1068 65.88% 22.51% 11.61%+1.12 +13.5 10
2002-10-26 @ Vllaznia L 1-335.7 1068 1218 11.61% 22.51% 65.88%-1.12 -13.5 3
2002-10-26 Flamurtari W 2-030.4 1279 1135 65.40% 22.61% 11.99%+1.09 +16.1 5
2002-10-26 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-230.4 1135 1279 11.99% 22.61% 65.40%-1.09 -16.1 7
2002-10-26 Partizani L 1-250.3 1104 1148 46.64% 24.35% 29.02%+0.27 -25.2 6
2002-10-26 @ Beselidhja W 2-150.3 1148 1104 29.02% 24.35% 46.64%-0.27 +25.2 10
2002-10-26 Shkumbini L 0-139.1 977 1158 28.22% 24.32% 47.47%-0.32 -18.0 5
2002-10-26 @ KF Elbasani W 1-039.1 1158 977 47.47% 24.32% 28.22%+0.32 +18.0 10
2002-10-26 Teuta D 0-049.4 1119 1156 47.53% 24.32% 28.16%+0.30 -2.7 6
2002-10-26 @ Lushnja D 0-049.4 1156 1119 28.16% 24.32% 47.53%-0.30 +2.7 5
2002-11-02 Apolonia W 3-027.7 1175 1014 66.67% 22.35% 10.98%+1.17 +21.5 13
2002-11-02 @ Shkumbini L 0-327.7 1014 1175 10.98% 22.35% 66.67%-1.17 -21.5 4
2002-11-02 Beselidhja W 2-035.1 1054 1079 49.13% 24.26% 26.62%+0.36 +32.4 6
2002-11-02 @ Bylis L 0-235.1 1079 1054 26.62% 24.26% 49.13%-0.36 -32.4 6
2002-11-02 Dinamo Tirana W 1-047.6 1034 1295 19.62% 23.78% 56.59%-0.67 +31.8 7
2002-11-02 @ Erzeni L 0-147.6 1295 1034 56.59% 23.78% 19.62%+0.67 -31.8 5
2002-11-02 KF Elbasani L 1-352.7 1158 959 69.13% 21.76% 9.10%+1.34 -63.0 5
2002-11-02 @ Teuta W 3-152.7 959 1158 9.10% 21.76% 69.13%-1.34 +63.0 8
2002-11-02 KF Tirana D 0-050.7 928 1427 6.07% 20.33% 73.60%-1.71 +10.5 6
2002-11-02 @ Besa D 0-050.7 1427 928 73.60% 20.33% 6.07%+1.71 -10.5 16
2002-11-02 Lushnja W 3-138.1 1173 1116 58.11% 23.64% 18.25%+0.72 +20.4 13
2002-11-02 @ Partizani L 1-338.1 1116 1173 18.25% 23.64% 58.11%-0.72 -20.4 6
2002-11-02 Vllaznia W 1-042.3 1119 1232 37.23% 24.47% 38.30%-0.03 +22.8 10
2002-11-02 @ Flamurtari L 0-142.3 1232 1119 38.30% 24.47% 37.23%+0.03 -22.8 10
2002-11-08 Besa W 2-027.2 1263 939 75.64% 19.48% 4.88%+1.88 +6.5 8
2002-11-08 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-227.2 939 1263 4.88% 19.48% 75.64%-1.88 -6.5 6
2002-11-09 Beselidhja W 3-243.8 1209 1046 66.74% 22.33% 10.93%+1.17 +7.0 13
2002-11-09 @ Vllaznia L 2-343.8 1046 1209 10.93% 22.33% 66.74%-1.17 -7.0 6
2002-11-09 Bylis D 1-154.3 1095 1087 53.02% 24.05% 22.93%+0.50 -3.8 7
2002-11-09 @ Lushnja D 1-154.3 1087 1095 22.93% 24.05% 53.02%-0.50 +3.8 7
2002-11-09 Erzeni W 2-141.0 1142 1066 59.80% 23.45% 16.75%+0.79 +10.9 13
2002-11-09 @ Flamurtari L 1-241.0 1066 1142 16.75% 23.45% 59.80%-0.79 -10.9 7
2002-11-09 Partizani D 2-259.8 1022 1194 29.30% 24.35% 46.34%-0.29 +1.6 9
2002-11-09 @ KF Elbasani D 2-259.8 1194 1022 46.34% 24.35% 29.30%+0.29 -1.5 14
2002-11-09 Shkumbini W 2-029.7 1416 1197 70.32% 21.43% 8.25%+1.42 +11.2 19
2002-11-09 @ KF Tirana L 0-229.7 1197 1416 8.25% 21.43% 70.32%-1.42 -11.2 13
2002-11-09 Teuta W 2-038.2 992 1095 38.64% 24.47% 36.89%+0.01 +41.8 7
2002-11-09 @ Apolonia L 0-238.2 1095 992 36.89% 24.47% 38.64%-0.01 -41.8 5
2002-11-16 Apolonia W 5-027.8 1192 1034 66.42% 22.40% 11.18%+1.15 +35.2 17
2002-11-16 @ Partizani L 0-527.8 1034 1192 11.18% 22.40% 66.42%-1.15 -35.2 7
2002-11-16 Dinamo Tirana D 1-154.4 1186 1269 41.36% 24.46% 34.18%+0.10 -0.8 14
2002-11-16 @ Shkumbini D 1-154.4 1269 1186 34.18% 24.46% 41.36%-0.10 +0.8 9
2002-11-16 Flamurtari W 2-042.7 932 1153 23.59% 24.09% 52.31%-0.50 +55.7 9
2002-11-16 @ Besa L 0-242.7 1153 932 52.31% 24.09% 23.59%+0.50 -55.7 13
2002-11-16 KF Elbasani W 1-035.6 1091 1024 59.01% 23.54% 17.45%+0.76 +12.0 10
2002-11-16 @ Bylis L 0-135.6 1024 1091 17.45% 23.54% 59.01%-0.76 -12.0 9
2002-11-16 KF Tirana D 0-050.3 1054 1427 11.31% 22.43% 66.26%-1.17 +8.4 6
2002-11-16 @ Teuta D 0-050.3 1427 1054 66.26% 22.43% 11.31%+1.17 -8.4 20
2002-11-16 Lushnja L 0-144.3 1039 1092 45.59% 24.38% 30.04%+0.24 -26.2 6
2002-11-16 @ Beselidhja W 1-044.3 1092 1039 30.04% 24.38% 45.59%-0.24 +26.2 10
2002-11-16 Vllaznia L 0-139.9 1055 1216 30.72% 24.39% 44.89%-0.24 -19.2 7
2002-11-16 @ Erzeni W 1-039.9 1216 1055 44.89% 24.39% 30.72%+0.24 +19.2 16
2002-11-22 Teuta W 2-138.1 1270 1062 69.68% 21.61% 8.70%+1.37 +5.9 12
2002-11-22 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-238.1 1062 1270 8.70% 21.61% 69.68%-1.37 -5.9 6
2002-11-23 Besa L 1-253.2 1036 988 57.22% 23.73% 19.06%+0.68 -30.3 7
2002-11-23 @ Erzeni W 2-153.2 988 1036 19.06% 23.73% 57.22%-0.68 +30.3 12
2002-11-23 Beselidhja W 2-034.3 1012 1013 51.85% 24.12% 24.03%+0.46 +29.8 12
2002-11-23 @ KF Elbasani L 0-234.3 1013 1012 24.03% 24.12% 51.85%-0.46 -29.8 6
2002-11-23 Bylis L 1-247.8 999 1103 38.55% 24.47% 36.97%+0.01 -21.6 7
2002-11-23 @ Apolonia W 2-147.8 1103 999 36.97% 24.47% 38.55%-0.01 +21.6 13
2002-11-23 Lushnja W 3-028.8 1235 1118 63.38% 22.96% 13.66%+0.98 +26.4 19
2002-11-23 @ Vllaznia L 0-328.8 1118 1235 13.66% 22.96% 63.38%-0.98 -26.4 10
2002-11-23 Partizani L 0-248.3 1419 1227 68.65% 21.89% 9.46%+1.30 -72.2 20
2002-11-23 @ KF Tirana W 2-048.3 1227 1419 9.46% 21.89% 68.65%-1.30 +72.2 20
2002-11-23 Shkumbini W 1-041.2 1097 1185 40.73% 24.46% 34.81%+0.08 +21.2 16
2002-11-23 @ Flamurtari L 0-141.2 1185 1097 34.81% 24.46% 40.73%-0.08 -21.2 14
2002-11-29 KF Elbasani W 3-030.4 1091 1041 57.38% 23.71% 18.91%+0.68 +35.3 13
2002-11-29 @ Lushnja L 0-330.4 1041 1091 18.91% 23.71% 57.38%-0.68 -35.3 12
2002-11-30 Apolonia W 2-034.0 983 977 52.71% 24.07% 23.22%+0.49 +29.0 9
2002-11-30 @ Beselidhja L 0-234.0 977 983 23.22% 24.07% 52.71%-0.49 -28.9 7
2002-11-30 Dinamo Tirana D 0-050.3 1300 1276 54.64% 23.94% 21.42%+0.57 -4.7 21
2002-11-30 @ Partizani D 0-050.3 1276 1300 21.42% 23.94% 54.64%-0.57 +4.7 13
2002-11-30 Erzeni W 1-033.4 1164 1006 66.43% 22.40% 11.17%+1.15 +8.0 17
2002-11-30 @ Shkumbini L 0-133.4 1006 1164 11.17% 22.40% 66.43%-1.15 -8.0 7
2002-11-30 Flamurtari W 3-142.2 1056 1118 44.31% 24.41% 31.29%+0.19 +31.9 9
2002-11-30 @ Teuta L 1-342.2 1118 1056 31.29% 24.41% 44.31%-0.19 -31.9 16
2002-11-30 KF Tirana L 0-431.8 1124 1347 23.39% 24.08% 52.53%-0.51 -55.2 13
2002-11-30 @ Bylis W 4-031.8 1347 1124 52.53% 24.08% 23.39%+0.51 +55.2 23
2002-11-30 Vllaznia W 1-047.0 1018 1261 21.23% 23.93% 54.84%-0.60 +30.9 15
2002-11-30 @ Besa L 0-147.0 1261 1018 54.84% 23.93% 21.23%+0.60 -30.9 19
2002-12-06 Beselidhja W 4-129.2 1402 1012 78.32% 18.16% 3.52%+2.17 +5.6 26
2002-12-06 @ KF Tirana L 1-429.2 1012 1402 3.52% 18.16% 78.32%-2.17 -5.6 9
2002-12-07 Bylis W 2-138.1 1281 1069 69.90% 21.55% 8.55%+1.39 +5.8 16
2002-12-07 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-238.1 1069 1281 8.55% 21.55% 69.90%-1.39 -5.8 13
2002-12-07 KF Elbasani W 2-137.8 1231 1006 70.63% 21.34% 8.03%+1.45 +5.4 22
2002-12-07 @ Vllaznia L 1-237.8 1006 1231 8.03% 21.34% 70.63%-1.45 -5.4 12
2002-12-07 Lushnja W 1-044.8 949 1127 28.47% 24.33% 47.20%-0.31 +27.0 10
2002-12-07 @ Apolonia L 0-144.8 1127 949 47.20% 24.33% 28.47%+0.31 -27.0 13
2002-12-07 Partizani D 0-049.6 1086 1295 24.89% 24.17% 50.94%-0.45 +3.6 17
2002-12-07 @ Flamurtari D 0-049.6 1295 1086 50.94% 24.17% 24.89%+0.45 -3.6 22
2002-12-07 Shkumbini D 0-049.4 1049 1172 35.80% 24.47% 39.73%-0.07 +0.5 16
2002-12-07 @ Besa D 0-049.4 1172 1049 39.73% 24.47% 35.80%+0.07 -0.5 18
2002-12-07 Teuta W 2-037.7 998 1088 40.45% 24.46% 35.09%+0.07 +40.2 10
2002-12-07 @ Erzeni L 0-237.7 1088 998 35.09% 24.46% 40.45%-0.07 -40.2 9
2002-12-14 Apolonia D 0-049.5 1001 976 54.82% 23.93% 21.25%+0.57 -4.8 13
2002-12-14 @ KF Elbasani D 0-049.5 976 1001 21.25% 23.93% 54.82%-0.57 +4.8 11
2002-12-14 Besa W 5-032.1 1048 1049 51.83% 24.12% 24.05%+0.46 +69.7 12
2002-12-14 @ Teuta L 0-532.1 1049 1048 24.05% 24.12% 51.83%-0.46 -69.7 16
2002-12-14 Dinamo Tirana L 0-135.8 1007 1287 17.87% 23.60% 58.54%-0.76 -12.3 9
2002-12-14 @ Beselidhja W 1-035.8 1287 1007 58.54% 23.60% 17.87%+0.76 +12.3 19
2002-12-14 Erzeni D 0-050.5 1291 1038 72.21% 20.83% 6.96%+1.57 -10.2 23
2002-12-14 @ Partizani D 0-050.5 1038 1291 6.96% 20.83% 72.21%-1.57 +10.1 11
2002-12-14 Flamurtari D 0-049.4 1063 1090 48.84% 24.27% 26.89%+0.35 -3.0 14
2002-12-14 @ Bylis D 0-049.4 1090 1063 26.89% 24.27% 48.84%-0.35 +3.0 18
2002-12-14 KF Tirana D 1-154.9 1100 1407 15.63% 23.30% 61.08%-0.88 +6.0 14
2002-12-14 @ Lushnja D 1-154.9 1407 1100 61.08% 23.30% 15.63%+0.88 -6.0 27
2002-12-14 Vllaznia L 1-346.1 1171 1236 43.93% 24.41% 31.66%+0.18 -41.5 18
2002-12-14 @ Shkumbini W 3-146.1 1236 1171 31.66% 24.41% 43.93%-0.18 +41.5 25
2002-12-20 KF Elbasani W 1-029.8 1401 996 78.92% 17.83% 3.25%+2.24 +2.2 30
2002-12-20 @ KF Tirana L 0-129.8 996 1401 3.25% 17.83% 78.92%-2.24 -2.2 13
2002-12-21 Beselidhja D 2-260.1 1093 994 61.83% 23.19% 14.98%+0.89 -4.6 19
2002-12-21 @ Flamurtari D 2-260.1 994 1093 14.98% 23.19% 61.83%-0.89 +4.6 10
2002-12-21 Bylis W 2-143.8 1048 1060 50.63% 24.19% 25.18%+0.41 +15.5 14
2002-12-21 @ Erzeni L 1-243.8 1060 1048 25.18% 24.19% 50.63%-0.41 -15.5 14
2002-12-21 Lushnja W 1-032.9 1299 1106 68.76% 21.86% 9.38%+1.31 +6.7 22
2002-12-21 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-132.9 1106 1299 9.38% 21.86% 68.76%-1.31 -6.7 14
2002-12-21 Partizani D 2-260.1 980 1281 16.12% 23.37% 60.52%-0.85 +4.4 17
2002-12-21 @ Besa D 2-260.1 1281 980 60.52% 23.37% 16.12%+0.85 -4.4 24
2002-12-21 Teuta L 1-348.7 1130 1117 53.42% 24.03% 22.56%+0.52 -49.2 18
2002-12-21 @ Shkumbini W 3-148.7 1117 1130 22.56% 24.03% 53.42%-0.52 +49.2 15
2002-12-21 Vllaznia D 1-154.5 980 1278 16.44% 23.41% 60.15%-0.83 +5.8 12
2002-12-21 @ Apolonia D 1-154.5 1278 980 60.15% 23.41% 16.44%+0.83 -5.8 26
2003-02-28 Apolonia W 2-026.2 1404 986 79.37% 17.57% 3.06%+2.29 +3.9 33
2003-02-28 @ KF Tirana L 0-226.2 986 1404 3.06% 17.57% 79.37%-2.29 -3.9 12
2003-03-01 Beselidhja W 3-030.0 1064 999 58.79% 23.57% 17.64%+0.75 +33.2 17
2003-03-01 @ Erzeni L 0-330.0 999 1064 17.64% 23.57% 58.79%-0.75 -33.2 10
2003-03-01 Bylis D 0-049.3 984 1045 44.50% 24.40% 31.10%+0.20 -1.8 18
2003-03-01 @ Besa D 0-049.3 1045 984 31.10% 24.40% 44.50%-0.20 +1.8 15
2003-03-01 KF Elbasani W 2-027.4 1306 994 75.09% 19.72% 5.19%+1.83 +6.9 25
2003-03-01 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-227.4 994 1306 5.19% 19.72% 75.09%-1.83 -6.9 13
2003-03-01 Lushnja D 0-049.4 1088 1099 50.76% 24.18% 25.06%+0.42 -3.6 20
2003-03-01 @ Flamurtari D 0-049.4 1099 1088 25.06% 24.18% 50.76%-0.42 +3.6 15
2003-03-01 Partizani D 1-154.3 1081 1277 26.32% 24.24% 49.44%-0.39 +2.9 19
2003-03-01 @ Shkumbini D 1-154.3 1277 1081 49.44% 24.24% 26.32%+0.39 -2.9 25
2003-03-01 Vllaznia W 2-147.7 1167 1272 38.32% 24.47% 37.21%+0.00 +21.0 18
2003-03-01 @ Teuta L 1-247.7 1272 1167 37.21% 24.47% 38.32%+0.00 -21.0 26
2003-03-08 Besa L 0-339.9 966 982 50.09% 24.21% 25.70%+0.39 -77.8 10
2003-03-08 @ Beselidhja W 3-039.9 982 966 25.70% 24.21% 50.09%-0.39 +77.9 21
2003-03-08 Dinamo Tirana W 1-049.2 982 1313 13.98% 23.02% 63.00%-0.98 +35.3 15
2003-03-08 @ Apolonia L 0-149.2 1313 982 63.00% 23.02% 13.98%+0.98 -35.2 25
2003-03-08 Erzeni W 1-037.6 1103 1097 52.68% 24.07% 23.25%+0.49 +15.4 18
2003-03-08 @ Lushnja L 0-137.6 1097 1103 23.25% 24.07% 52.68%-0.49 -15.4 17
2003-03-08 Flamurtari W 1-041.5 987 1085 39.36% 24.47% 36.17%+0.04 +21.8 16
2003-03-08 @ KF Elbasani L 0-141.5 1085 987 36.17% 24.47% 39.36%-0.04 -21.8 20
2003-03-08 KF Tirana L 2-447.1 1251 1408 31.19% 24.40% 44.41%-0.22 -28.4 26
2003-03-08 @ Vllaznia W 4-247.1 1408 1251 44.41% 24.40% 31.19%+0.22 +28.4 36
2003-03-08 Shkumbini L 0-438.7 1046 1083 47.56% 24.32% 28.13%+0.30 -97.2 15
2003-03-08 @ Bylis W 4-038.7 1083 1046 28.13% 24.32% 47.56%-0.30 +97.2 22
2003-03-08 Teuta D 0-050.0 1274 1188 60.78% 23.33% 15.89%+0.84 -6.6 26
2003-03-08 @ Partizani D 0-050.0 1188 1274 15.89% 23.33% 60.78%-0.84 +6.6 19
2003-03-14 Vllaznia W 3-138.8 1267 1222 56.88% 23.76% 19.37%+0.66 +21.5 29
2003-03-14 @ Partizani L 1-338.8 1222 1267 19.37% 23.76% 56.88%-0.66 -21.5 26
2003-03-15 Apolonia W 1-036.3 1063 1017 56.92% 23.75% 19.33%+0.66 +13.1 23
2003-03-15 @ Flamurtari L 0-136.3 1017 1063 19.33% 23.75% 56.92%-0.66 -13.1 15
2003-03-15 Beselidhja W 2-136.7 1181 888 74.18% 20.10% 5.72%+1.74 +3.8 25
2003-03-15 @ Shkumbini L 1-236.7 888 1181 5.72% 20.10% 74.18%-1.74 -3.8 10
2003-03-15 Bylis W 4-025.7 1194 949 71.77% 20.98% 7.25%+1.54 +18.6 22
2003-03-15 @ Teuta L 0-425.7 949 1194 7.25% 20.98% 71.77%-1.54 -18.6 15
2003-03-15 KF Elbasani D 1-154.4 1082 1009 59.58% 23.48% 16.94%+0.78 -5.6 18
2003-03-15 @ Erzeni D 1-154.4 1009 1082 16.94% 23.48% 59.58%-0.78 +5.6 17
2003-03-15 Lushnja D 1-154.2 1060 1118 44.86% 24.39% 30.75%+0.21 -1.7 22
2003-03-15 @ Besa D 1-154.2 1118 1060 30.75% 24.39% 44.86%-0.21 +1.7 19
2003-03-16 KF Tirana L 2-352.4 1277 1436 30.95% 24.40% 44.65%-0.23 -17.3 25
2003-03-16 @ Dinamo Tirana W 3-252.4 1436 1277 44.65% 24.40% 30.95%+0.23 +17.3 39
2003-03-22 Besa W 2-144.9 1014 1058 46.62% 24.35% 29.03%+0.27 +17.4 20
2003-03-22 @ KF Elbasani L 1-244.9 1058 1014 29.03% 24.35% 46.62%-0.27 -17.3 22
2003-03-22 Dinamo Tirana D 1-154.5 1201 1260 44.67% 24.40% 30.93%+0.21 -1.7 27
2003-03-22 @ Vllaznia D 1-154.5 1260 1201 30.93% 24.40% 44.67%-0.21 +1.7 26
2003-03-22 Erzeni W 2-146.0 1004 1076 42.99% 24.43% 32.57%+0.15 +19.0 18
2003-03-22 @ Apolonia L 1-246.0 1076 1004 32.57% 24.43% 42.99%-0.15 -19.0 18
2003-03-22 Flamurtari L 1-258.4 1453 1076 77.85% 18.41% 3.74%+2.11 -40.1 39
2003-03-22 @ KF Tirana W 2-158.4 1076 1453 3.74% 18.41% 77.85%-2.11 +40.1 26
2003-03-22 Partizani L 0-133.8 931 1289 12.21% 22.66% 65.14%-1.10 -8.7 15
2003-03-22 @ Bylis W 1-033.8 1289 931 65.14% 22.66% 12.21%+1.10 +8.7 32
2003-03-22 Shkumbini L 1-249.5 1120 1184 43.94% 24.41% 31.65%+0.18 -24.0 19
2003-03-22 @ Lushnja W 2-149.5 1184 1120 31.65% 24.41% 43.94%-0.18 +24.0 28
2003-03-22 Teuta L 0-134.5 884 1213 14.11% 23.04% 62.85%-0.97 -9.9 10
2003-03-22 @ Beselidhja W 1-034.5 1213 884 62.85% 23.04% 14.11%+0.97 +9.9 25
2003-04-04 Beselidhja W 2-026.0 1297 874 79.57% 17.46% 2.97%+2.31 +3.8 35
2003-04-04 @ Partizani L 0-226.0 874 1297 2.97% 17.46% 79.57%-2.31 -3.8 10
2003-04-05 Apolonia D 1-154.3 1041 1023 54.03% 23.98% 21.98%+0.54 -4.1 23
2003-04-05 @ Besa D 1-154.3 1023 1041 21.98% 23.98% 54.03%-0.54 +4.1 19
2003-04-05 Dinamo Tirana D 1-154.3 1116 1262 32.66% 24.43% 42.90%-0.17 +1.2 27
2003-04-05 @ Flamurtari D 1-154.3 1262 1116 42.90% 24.43% 32.66%+0.17 -1.2 27
2003-04-05 KF Elbasani W 2-029.5 1208 1032 67.71% 22.12% 10.17%+1.24 +13.8 31
2003-04-05 @ Shkumbini L 0-229.5 1032 1208 10.17% 22.12% 67.71%-1.24 -13.8 20
2003-04-05 KF Tirana L 1-433.3 1057 1413 12.32% 22.68% 65.00%-1.09 -20.2 18
2003-04-05 @ Erzeni W 4-133.3 1413 1057 65.00% 22.68% 12.32%+1.09 +20.2 42
2003-04-05 Lushnja W 2-139.8 1223 1096 64.15% 22.83% 13.01%+1.02 +8.7 28
2003-04-05 @ Teuta L 1-239.8 1096 1223 13.01% 22.83% 64.15%-1.02 -8.7 19
2003-04-05 Vllaznia L 0-530.2 922 1199 18.10% 23.62% 58.27%-0.75 -54.8 15
2003-04-05 @ Bylis W 5-030.2 1199 922 58.27% 23.62% 18.10%+0.75 +54.8 30
2003-04-11 Besa W 5-024.4 1433 1037 78.58% 18.02% 3.40%+2.20 +10.3 45
2003-04-11 @ KF Tirana L 0-524.4 1037 1433 3.40% 18.02% 78.58%-2.20 -10.3 23
2003-04-12 Bylis W 2-034.1 870 867 52.40% 24.09% 23.51%+0.48 +29.2 13
2003-04-12 @ Beselidhja L 0-234.1 867 870 23.51% 24.09% 52.40%-0.48 -29.2 15
2003-04-12 Erzeni W 2-137.8 1260 1037 70.59% 21.35% 8.06%+1.44 +5.5 30
2003-04-12 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-237.8 1037 1260 8.06% 21.35% 70.59%-1.44 -5.5 18
2003-04-12 Flamurtari W 1-034.0 1254 1117 64.88% 22.70% 12.41%+1.06 +8.8 33
2003-04-12 @ Vllaznia L 0-134.0 1117 1254 12.41% 22.70% 64.88%-1.06 -8.8 27
2003-04-12 Partizani D 2-260.0 1087 1301 24.29% 24.14% 51.58%-0.47 +2.5 20
2003-04-12 @ Lushnja D 2-260.0 1301 1087 51.58% 24.14% 24.29%+0.47 -2.5 36
2003-04-12 Shkumbini D 0-049.4 1027 1222 26.48% 24.25% 49.27%-0.39 +3.2 20
2003-04-12 @ Apolonia D 0-049.4 1222 1027 49.27% 24.25% 26.48%+0.39 -3.2 32
2003-04-12 Teuta W 1-046.1 1018 1232 24.34% 24.14% 51.53%-0.47 +29.2 23
2003-04-12 @ KF Elbasani L 0-146.1 1232 1018 51.53% 24.14% 24.34%+0.47 -29.2 28
2003-04-19 Apolonia W 3-135.3 1202 1030 67.38% 22.19% 10.43%+1.22 +12.2 31
2003-04-19 @ Teuta L 1-335.3 1030 1202 10.43% 22.19% 67.38%-1.22 -12.2 20
2003-04-19 Dinamo Tirana W 1-046.9 1027 1266 21.66% 23.96% 54.38%-0.58 +30.6 26
2003-04-19 @ Besa L 0-146.9 1266 1027 54.38% 23.96% 21.66%+0.58 -30.6 30
2003-04-19 Flamurtari W 2-037.1 1031 1108 42.25% 24.44% 33.31%+0.13 +38.6 21
2003-04-19 @ Erzeni L 0-237.1 1108 1031 33.31% 24.44% 42.25%-0.13 -38.6 27
2003-04-19 KF Elbasani W 3-133.9 1299 1047 72.13% 20.86% 7.01%+1.56 +8.2 39
2003-04-19 @ Partizani L 1-333.9 1047 1299 7.01% 20.86% 72.13%-1.56 -8.2 23
2003-04-19 KF Tirana L 0-138.9 1219 1444 23.14% 24.07% 52.79%-0.52 -15.3 32
2003-04-19 @ Shkumbini W 1-038.9 1444 1219 52.79% 24.07% 23.14%+0.52 +15.3 48
2003-04-19 Lushnja L 1-338.7 838 1090 20.43% 23.86% 55.71%-0.64 -22.5 15
2003-04-19 @ Bylis W 3-138.7 1090 838 55.71% 23.86% 20.43%+0.64 +22.5 23
2003-04-19 Vllaznia L 0-328.0 900 1263 11.92% 22.59% 65.50%-1.12 -23.2 13
2003-04-19 @ Beselidhja W 3-028.0 1263 900 65.50% 22.59% 11.92%+1.12 +23.2 36
2003-04-26 Besa L 0-146.6 1070 1057 53.43% 24.03% 22.55%+0.52 -30.1 27
2003-04-26 @ Flamurtari W 1-046.6 1057 1070 22.55% 24.03% 53.43%-0.52 +30.1 29
2003-04-26 Beselidhja W 2-137.5 1112 876 71.26% 21.14% 7.60%+1.49 +5.1 26
2003-04-26 @ Lushnja L 1-237.5 876 1112 7.60% 21.14% 71.26%-1.49 -5.1 13
2003-04-26 Bylis W 6-128.9 1039 815 70.56% 21.36% 8.08%+1.44 +21.2 26
2003-04-26 @ KF Elbasani L 1-628.9 815 1039 8.08% 21.36% 70.56%-1.44 -21.2 15
2003-04-26 Erzeni W 5-129.9 1286 1070 70.15% 21.48% 8.37%+1.41 +17.9 39
2003-04-26 @ Vllaznia L 1-529.9 1070 1286 8.37% 21.48% 70.15%-1.41 -17.9 21
2003-04-26 Partizani W 2-044.8 1018 1307 17.14% 23.51% 59.36%-0.80 +62.8 23
2003-04-26 @ Apolonia L 0-244.8 1307 1018 59.36% 23.51% 17.14%+0.80 -62.7 39
2003-04-26 Shkumbini D 0-049.8 1235 1204 55.50% 23.87% 20.62%+0.60 -5.0 31
2003-04-26 @ Dinamo Tirana D 0-049.8 1204 1235 20.62% 23.87% 55.50%-0.60 +5.0 33
2003-04-26 Teuta W 2-029.9 1459 1215 71.75% 20.99% 7.27%+1.53 +9.8 51
2003-04-26 @ KF Tirana L 0-229.9 1215 1459 7.27% 20.99% 71.75%-1.53 -9.8 31
2003-05-03 Apolonia L 0-329.9 794 1081 17.29% 23.53% 59.18%-0.79 -32.7 15
2003-05-03 @ Bylis W 3-029.9 1081 794 59.18% 23.53% 17.29%+0.79 +32.7 26
2003-05-03 Dinamo Tirana W 2-035.4 1205 1230 48.98% 24.26% 26.76%+0.35 +32.5 34
2003-05-03 @ Teuta L 0-235.4 1230 1205 26.76% 24.26% 48.98%-0.35 -32.5 31
2003-05-03 Erzeni D 0-049.5 1088 1052 55.91% 23.84% 20.24%+0.62 -5.1 30
2003-05-03 @ Besa D 0-049.5 1052 1088 20.24% 23.84% 55.91%-0.62 +5.1 22
2003-05-03 Flamurtari W 4-132.4 1209 1040 67.19% 22.23% 10.58%+1.20 +17.5 36
2003-05-03 @ Shkumbini L 1-432.4 1040 1209 10.58% 22.23% 67.19%-1.20 -17.5 27
2003-05-03 KF Elbasani L 1-244.4 871 1060 27.22% 24.28% 48.50%-0.36 -16.5 13
2003-05-03 @ Beselidhja W 2-144.4 1060 871 48.50% 24.28% 27.22%+0.36 +16.5 29
2003-05-03 KF Tirana L 1-341.6 1244 1469 23.14% 24.07% 52.79%-0.52 -25.0 39
2003-05-03 @ Partizani W 3-141.6 1469 1244 52.79% 24.07% 23.14%+0.52 +25.0 54
2003-05-03 Vllaznia L 0-139.1 1117 1304 27.45% 24.29% 48.26%-0.35 -17.6 26
2003-05-03 @ Lushnja W 1-039.1 1304 1117 48.26% 24.29% 27.45%+0.35 +17.6 42
2003-05-10 Besa W 4-237.8 1322 1082 71.45% 21.08% 7.47%+1.51 +7.8 45
2003-05-10 @ Vllaznia L 2-437.8 1082 1322 7.47% 21.08% 71.45%-1.51 -7.8 30
2003-05-10 Beselidhja W 1-031.6 1114 855 72.50% 20.73% 6.77%+1.60 +4.8 29
2003-05-10 @ Apolonia L 0-131.6 855 1114 6.77% 20.73% 72.50%-1.60 -4.9 13
2003-05-10 Bylis W 6-123.7 1494 762 88.23% 11.16% 0.61%+3.66 +1.3 57
2003-05-10 @ KF Tirana L 1-623.7 762 1494 0.61% 11.16% 88.23%-3.66 -1.3 15
2003-05-10 Lushnja W 2-144.2 1076 1100 49.26% 24.25% 26.49%+0.36 +16.1 32
2003-05-10 @ KF Elbasani L 1-244.2 1100 1076 26.49% 24.25% 49.26%-0.36 -16.1 26
2003-05-10 Partizani D 0-049.6 1198 1219 49.50% 24.24% 26.26%+0.37 -3.2 32
2003-05-10 @ Dinamo Tirana D 0-049.6 1219 1198 26.26% 24.24% 49.50%-0.37 +3.2 40
2003-05-10 Shkumbini D 0-049.4 1057 1226 29.62% 24.36% 46.02%-0.27 +2.2 23
2003-05-10 @ Erzeni D 0-049.4 1226 1057 46.02% 24.36% 29.62%+0.27 -2.2 37
2003-05-10 Teuta W 1-046.1 1022 1237 24.19% 24.13% 51.68%-0.48 +29.2 30
2003-05-10 @ Flamurtari L 0-146.1 1237 1022 51.68% 24.13% 24.19%+0.48 -29.2 34
2003-05-14 Apolonia W 1-039.0 1084 1119 47.81% 24.31% 27.89%+0.31 +17.8 29
2003-05-14 @ Lushnja L 0-139.0 1119 1084 27.89% 24.31% 47.81%-0.31 -17.8 29
2003-05-14 Besa W 2-139.3 1224 1075 65.82% 22.52% 11.66%+1.12 +7.8 40
2003-05-14 @ Shkumbini L 1-239.3 1075 1224 11.66% 22.52% 65.82%-1.12 -7.8 30
2003-05-14 Dinamo Tirana L 2-533.8 760 1195 8.37% 21.48% 70.16%-1.43 -12.0 15
2003-05-14 @ Bylis W 5-233.8 1195 760 70.16% 21.48% 8.37%+1.43 +12.0 35
2003-05-14 Erzeni W 3-028.0 1208 1059 65.77% 22.53% 11.70%+1.11 +22.8 37
2003-05-14 @ Teuta L 0-328.0 1059 1208 11.70% 22.53% 65.77%-1.11 -22.8 23
2003-05-14 Flamurtari W 3-243.6 1222 1051 67.32% 22.21% 10.48%+1.21 +6.7 43
2003-05-14 @ Partizani L 2-343.6 1051 1222 10.48% 22.21% 67.32%-1.21 -6.7 30
2003-05-14 KF Tirana L 1-235.1 850 1495 2.92% 17.37% 79.71%-2.35 -1.9 13
2003-05-14 @ Beselidhja W 2-135.1 1495 850 79.71% 17.37% 2.92%+2.35 +1.9 60
2003-05-14 Vllaznia D 3-363.7 1093 1329 21.89% 23.98% 54.13%-0.57 +2.5 33
2003-05-14 @ KF Elbasani D 3-363.7 1329 1093 54.13% 23.98% 21.89%+0.57 -2.5 46
2003-05-17 Beselidhja W 2-026.7 1207 848 77.09% 18.80% 4.11%+2.03 +5.4 38
2003-05-17 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-226.7 848 1207 4.11% 18.80% 77.09%-2.03 -5.4 13
2003-05-17 Bylis W 4-130.1 1045 748 74.36% 20.03% 5.61%+1.76 +9.2 33
2003-05-17 @ Flamurtari L 1-430.1 748 1045 5.61% 20.03% 74.36%-1.76 -9.2 15
2003-05-17 KF Elbasani W 4-243.2 1101 1095 52.67% 24.07% 23.26%+0.49 +22.5 32
2003-05-17 @ Apolonia L 2-443.2 1095 1101 23.26% 24.07% 52.67%-0.49 -22.5 33
2003-05-17 Lushnja L 0-153.2 1497 1101 78.55% 18.03% 3.42%+2.19 -42.8 60
2003-05-17 @ KF Tirana W 1-053.2 1101 1497 3.42% 18.03% 78.55%-2.19 +42.8 32
2003-05-17 Partizani L 1-244.3 1036 1229 26.75% 24.26% 48.99%-0.38 -16.2 23
2003-05-17 @ Erzeni W 2-144.3 1229 1036 48.99% 24.26% 26.75%+0.38 +16.2 46
2003-05-17 Shkumbini W 2-141.2 1327 1232 61.54% 23.23% 15.23%+0.88 +10.0 49
2003-05-17 @ Vllaznia L 1-241.2 1232 1327 15.23% 23.23% 61.54%-0.88 -10.0 40
2003-05-17 Teuta W 2-149.9 1067 1231 30.25% 24.38% 45.37%-0.25 +24.6 33
2003-05-17 @ Besa L 1-249.9 1231 1067 45.37% 24.38% 30.25%+0.25 -24.6 37
2003-05-24 Apolonia L 2-361.5 1337 1123 70.01% 21.52% 8.47%+1.40 -34.9 49
2003-05-24 @ Vllaznia W 3-261.5 1123 1337 8.47% 21.52% 70.01%-1.40 +34.9 35
2003-05-24 Besa L 4-563.8 1245 1091 66.15% 22.46% 11.40%+1.14 -31.8 46
2003-05-24 @ Partizani W 5-463.8 1091 1245 11.40% 22.46% 66.15%-1.14 +31.8 36
2003-05-24 Dinamo Tirana W 2-036.9 1144 1212 43.51% 24.42% 32.07%+0.17 +37.5 35
2003-05-24 @ Lushnja L 0-236.9 1212 1144 32.07% 24.42% 43.51%-0.17 -37.5 38
2003-05-24 Erzeni D 1-154.4 739 1020 17.76% 23.58% 58.66%-0.76 +5.3 16
2003-05-24 @ Bylis D 1-154.4 1020 739 58.66% 23.58% 17.76%+0.76 -5.3 24
2003-05-24 Flamurtari L 0-234.4 843 1054 24.62% 24.16% 51.22%-0.46 -30.4 13
2003-05-24 @ Beselidhja W 2-034.4 1054 843 51.22% 24.16% 24.62%+0.46 +30.4 36
2003-05-24 KF Tirana W 2-156.2 1073 1454 10.87% 22.32% 66.82%-1.20 +35.2 36
2003-05-24 @ KF Elbasani L 1-256.2 1454 1073 66.82% 22.32% 10.87%+1.20 -35.2 60
2003-05-24 Shkumbini W 2-144.1 1206 1222 50.20% 24.21% 25.59%+0.40 +15.7 40
2003-05-24 @ Teuta L 1-244.1 1222 1206 25.59% 24.21% 50.20%-0.40 -15.7 40

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2003-05-17 3.42% Lushnja 1101 1 @ KF Tirana 1497 0
2 2003-03-22 3.74% Flamurtari 1076 2 @ KF Tirana 1453 1
3 2003-05-24 8.47% Apolonia 1123 3 @ Vllaznia 1337 2
4 2002-11-02 9.10% KF Elbasani 959 3 @ Teuta 1158 1
5 2002-11-23 9.46% Partizani 1227 2 @ KF Tirana 1419 0
6 2003-05-24 10.87% @ KF Elbasani 1073 2 KF Tirana 1454 1
7 2003-05-24 11.40% Besa 1091 5 @ Partizani 1245 4
8 2002-10-19 12.94% Vllaznia 1184 2 @ Dinamo Tirana 1312 1
9 2003-03-08 13.98% @ Apolonia 982 1 Dinamo Tirana 1313 0
10 2002-09-21 16.27% Shkumbini 1080 2 @ Partizani 1162 0
11 2002-09-28 16.85% Partizani 1098 2 @ Teuta 1172 1
12 2003-04-26 17.14% @ Apolonia 1018 2 Partizani 1307 0
13 2002-11-23 19.06% Besa 988 2 @ Erzeni 1036 1
14 2002-11-02 19.62% @ Erzeni 1034 1 Dinamo Tirana 1295 0
15 2002-11-30 21.23% @ Besa 1018 1 Vllaznia 1261 0
16 2003-04-19 21.66% @ Besa 1027 1 Dinamo Tirana 1266 0
17 2003-04-26 22.55% Besa 1057 1 @ Flamurtari 1070 0
18 2002-12-21 22.56% Teuta 1117 3 @ Shkumbini 1130 1
19 2002-11-16 23.59% @ Besa 932 2 Flamurtari 1153 0
20 2003-05-10 24.19% @ Flamurtari 1022 1 Teuta 1237 0
21 2003-04-12 24.34% @ KF Elbasani 1018 1 Teuta 1232 0
22 2003-03-08 25.70% Besa 982 3 @ Beselidhja 966 0
23 2003-03-08 28.13% Shkumbini 1083 4 @ Bylis 1046 0
24 2002-12-07 28.47% @ Apolonia 949 1 Lushnja 1127 0
25 2002-10-26 29.02% Partizani 1148 2 @ Beselidhja 1104 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2003-03-08 97.19 Shkumbini 4 1083 28.13% @ Bylis 0 1046 47.56% 24.32%
2 2003-03-08 77.85 Besa 3 982 25.70% @ Beselidhja 0 966 50.09% 24.21%
3 2002-11-23 72.25 Partizani 2 1227 9.46% @ KF Tirana 0 1419 68.65% 21.89%
4 2002-12-14 69.68 @ Teuta 5 1048 51.83% Besa 0 1049 24.05% 24.12%
5 2002-09-21 63.75 Shkumbini 2 1080 16.27% @ Partizani 0 1162 60.34% 23.39%
6 2002-11-02 62.98 KF Elbasani 3 959 9.10% @ Teuta 1 1158 69.13% 21.76%
7 2003-04-26 62.75 @ Apolonia 2 1018 17.14% Partizani 0 1307 59.36% 23.51%
8 2002-11-16 55.73 @ Besa 2 932 23.59% Flamurtari 0 1153 52.31% 24.09%
9 2002-11-30 55.24 KF Tirana 4 1347 52.53% @ Bylis 0 1124 23.39% 24.08%
10 2002-10-19 55.06 @ Shkumbini 3 1102 43.07% Lushnja 0 1174 32.50% 24.43%
11 2003-04-05 54.76 Vllaznia 5 1199 58.27% @ Bylis 0 922 18.10% 23.62%
12 2002-12-21 49.20 Teuta 3 1117 22.56% @ Shkumbini 1 1130 53.42% 24.03%
13 2003-05-17 42.77 Lushnja 1 1101 3.42% @ KF Tirana 0 1497 78.55% 18.03%
14 2002-11-09 41.78 @ Apolonia 2 992 38.64% Teuta 0 1095 36.89% 24.47%
15 2002-12-14 41.50 Vllaznia 3 1236 31.66% @ Shkumbini 1 1171 43.93% 24.41%
16 2002-12-07 40.22 @ Erzeni 2 998 40.45% Teuta 0 1088 35.09% 24.46%
17 2003-03-22 40.09 Flamurtari 2 1076 3.74% @ KF Tirana 1 1453 77.85% 18.41%
18 2003-04-19 38.64 @ Erzeni 2 1031 42.25% Flamurtari 0 1108 33.31% 24.44%
19 2003-05-24 37.52 @ Lushnja 2 1144 43.51% Dinamo Tirana 0 1212 32.07% 24.42%
20 2002-10-05 36.28 @ Beselidhja 2 1081 44.89% Shkumbini 0 1139 30.72% 24.39%
21 2002-11-29 35.31 @ Lushnja 3 1091 57.38% KF Elbasani 0 1041 18.91% 23.71%
22 2003-03-08 35.26 @ Apolonia 1 982 13.98% Dinamo Tirana 0 1313 63.00% 23.02%
23 2002-11-16 35.21 @ Partizani 5 1192 66.42% Apolonia 0 1034 11.18% 22.40%
24 2003-05-24 35.20 @ KF Elbasani 2 1073 10.87% KF Tirana 1 1454 66.82% 22.32%
25 2003-05-24 34.90 Apolonia 3 1123 8.47% @ Vllaznia 2 1337 70.01% 21.52%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2003-05-24 63.8 Besa 5 1091 11.40% @ Partizani 4 1245 66.15% 22.46%
2 2003-05-14 63.7 @ KF Elbasani 3 1093 21.89% Vllaznia 3 1329 54.13% 23.98%
3 2003-05-24 61.5 Apolonia 3 1123 8.47% @ Vllaznia 2 1337 70.01% 21.52%
4 2002-12-21 60.1 @ Flamurtari 2 1093 61.83% Beselidhja 2 994 14.98% 23.19%
5 2002-12-21 60.1 @ Besa 2 980 16.12% Partizani 2 1281 60.52% 23.37%
6 2003-04-12 60.0 @ Lushnja 2 1087 24.29% Partizani 2 1301 51.58% 24.14%
7 2002-11-09 59.8 @ KF Elbasani 2 1022 29.30% Partizani 2 1194 46.34% 24.35%
8 2003-03-22 58.4 Flamurtari 2 1076 3.74% @ KF Tirana 1 1453 77.85% 18.41%
9 2003-05-24 56.2 @ KF Elbasani 2 1073 10.87% KF Tirana 1 1454 66.82% 22.32%
10 2002-09-27 55.7 @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1343 75.07% Apolonia 1 1032 5.20% 19.73%
11 2002-10-19 55.5 Vllaznia 2 1184 12.94% @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1312 64.25% 22.82%
12 2002-12-14 54.9 @ Lushnja 1 1100 15.63% KF Tirana 1 1407 61.08% 23.30%
13 2002-09-21 54.7 @ Bylis 1 1084 65.85% Besa 1 934 11.63% 22.52%
14 2002-09-21 54.5 @ Lushnja 1 1169 59.80% Flamurtari 1 1094 16.75% 23.45%
15 2002-12-21 54.5 @ Apolonia 1 980 16.44% Vllaznia 1 1278 60.15% 23.41%
16 2003-03-22 54.5 @ Vllaznia 1 1201 44.67% Dinamo Tirana 1 1260 30.93% 24.40%
17 2002-09-28 54.4 @ Shkumbini 1 1144 59.06% Bylis 1 1077 17.40% 23.54%
18 2002-11-16 54.4 @ Shkumbini 1 1186 41.36% Dinamo Tirana 1 1269 34.18% 24.46%
19 2003-03-15 54.4 @ Erzeni 1 1082 59.58% KF Elbasani 1 1009 16.94% 23.48%
20 2003-05-24 54.4 @ Bylis 1 739 17.76% Erzeni 1 1020 58.66% 23.58%
21 2002-11-09 54.3 @ Lushnja 1 1095 53.02% Bylis 1 1087 22.93% 24.05%
22 2003-03-01 54.3 @ Shkumbini 1 1081 26.32% Partizani 1 1277 49.44% 24.24%
23 2003-04-05 54.3 @ Besa 1 1041 54.03% Apolonia 1 1023 21.98% 23.98%
24 2003-04-05 54.3 @ Flamurtari 1 1116 32.66% Dinamo Tirana 1 1262 42.90% 24.43%
25 2002-10-05 54.2 @ Bylis 1 1082 44.79% Teuta 1 1141 30.82% 24.40%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2003-05-10 23.7 @ KF Tirana 6 1494 88.23% Bylis 1 762 0.61% 11.16%
2 2003-04-11 24.4 @ KF Tirana 5 1433 78.58% Besa 0 1037 3.40% 18.02%
3 2002-10-25 24.6 @ KF Tirana 3 1420 77.87% Erzeni 0 1042 3.73% 18.40%
4 2003-03-15 25.7 @ Teuta 4 1194 71.77% Bylis 0 949 7.25% 20.98%
5 2003-04-04 26.0 @ Partizani 2 1297 79.57% Beselidhja 0 874 2.97% 17.46%
6 2003-02-28 26.2 @ KF Tirana 2 1404 79.37% Apolonia 0 986 3.06% 17.57%
7 2003-05-17 26.7 @ Dinamo Tirana 2 1207 77.09% Beselidhja 0 848 4.11% 18.80%
8 2002-11-08 27.2 @ Dinamo Tirana 2 1263 75.64% Besa 0 939 4.88% 19.48%
9 2003-03-01 27.4 @ Dinamo Tirana 2 1306 75.09% KF Elbasani 0 994 5.19% 19.72%
10 2002-11-02 27.7 @ Shkumbini 3 1175 66.67% Apolonia 0 1014 10.98% 22.35%
11 2002-11-16 27.8 @ Partizani 5 1192 66.42% Apolonia 0 1034 11.18% 22.40%
12 2003-04-19 28.0 Vllaznia 3 1263 65.50% @ Beselidhja 0 900 11.92% 22.59%
13 2003-05-14 28.0 @ Teuta 3 1208 65.77% Erzeni 0 1059 11.70% 22.53%
14 2002-09-28 28.6 @ Flamurtari 3 1100 63.59% KF Elbasani 0 980 13.48% 22.93%
15 2002-11-23 28.8 @ Vllaznia 3 1235 63.38% Lushnja 0 1118 13.66% 22.96%
16 2003-04-26 28.9 @ KF Elbasani 6 1039 70.56% Bylis 1 815 8.08% 21.36%
17 2002-12-06 29.2 @ KF Tirana 4 1402 78.32% Beselidhja 1 1012 3.52% 18.16%
18 2003-04-05 29.5 @ Shkumbini 2 1208 67.71% KF Elbasani 0 1032 10.17% 22.12%
19 2002-11-09 29.7 @ KF Tirana 2 1416 70.32% Shkumbini 0 1197 8.25% 21.43%
20 2002-12-20 29.8 @ KF Tirana 1 1401 78.92% KF Elbasani 0 996 3.25% 17.83%
21 2003-04-26 29.9 @ Vllaznia 5 1286 70.15% Erzeni 1 1070 8.37% 21.48%
22 2003-04-26 29.9 @ KF Tirana 2 1459 71.75% Teuta 0 1215 7.27% 20.99%
23 2003-05-03 29.9 Apolonia 3 1081 59.18% @ Bylis 0 794 17.29% 23.53%
24 2003-03-01 30.0 @ Erzeni 3 1064 58.79% Beselidhja 0 999 17.64% 23.57%
25 2003-05-17 30.1 @ Flamurtari 4 1045 74.36% Bylis 1 748 5.61% 20.03%