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2003-04 Kategoria Superiore Season

180 games

Final

Champion

KF Tirana

80 points · 21st Title

Last Title: 2002-03

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Vllaznia

10.23 points above expected

68 points · 57.77 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Flamurtari

12.98 points below expected

14 points · 26.98 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 KF Tirana Champion 36 24 8 4 80 90 36 +54 76.35 +3.65
2 Dinamo Tirana 36 21 8 7 71 68 39 +29 62.13 +8.87
3 Vllaznia 36 21 5 10 68 77 51 +26 57.77 +10.23
4 Partizani 36 20 7 9 67 65 39 +26 61.93 +5.07
5 Teuta 36 14 10 12 52 57 49 +8 59.94 -7.94
6 Lushnja 36 11 9 16 42 35 52 -17 40.69 +1.31
7 Shkumbini 36 12 5 19 41 44 61 -17 38.04 +2.96
8 KF Elbasani 36 10 10 16 40 47 55 -8 44.36 -4.36
9 Besa 36 8 5 23 29 36 81 -45 36.05 -7.05
10 Flamurtari 36 3 5 28 14 24 80 -56 26.98 -12.98

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vllaznia 68 57.77 +10.23
2 Dinamo Tirana 71 62.13 +8.87
3 Partizani 67 61.93 +5.07
4 KF Tirana 80 76.35 +3.65
5 Shkumbini 41 38.04 +2.96

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Flamurtari 14 26.98 -12.98
2 Teuta 52 59.94 -7.94
3 Besa 29 36.05 -7.05
4 KF Elbasani 40 44.36 -4.36
5 Lushnja 42 40.69 +1.31

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vllaznia 5 Dec 13 – Jan 30 1 in 86
2 Dinamo Tirana 4 Nov 29 – Dec 13 1 in 66
3 Teuta 4 Oct 4 – Oct 25 1 in 30
4 KF Tirana 6 Nov 1 – Dec 6 1 in 14
5 Lushnja 2 Nov 8 – Nov 19 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shkumbini 6 Aug 23 – Oct 4 1 in 112
2 Flamurtari 12 Dec 24 – Apr 10 1 in 89
3 KF Tirana 2 Oct 4 – Oct 8 1 in 25
4 Teuta 2 Jan 25 – Jan 30 1 in 25
5 Besa 6 Dec 13 – Feb 21 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Teuta 11 Aug 23 – Nov 8 1 in 74
2 KF Tirana 18 Oct 18 – Mar 13 1 in 41
3 Partizani 9 Aug 23 – Oct 25 1 in 40
4 Vllaznia 9 Apr 3 – May 22 1 in 24
5 Lushnja 5 Apr 10 – May 5 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Teuta 9 Mar 27 – May 15 1 in 106
2 KF Elbasani 10 Oct 25 – Dec 24 1 in 46
3 KF Tirana 4 Oct 4 – Oct 25 1 in 34
4 Flamurtari 21 Nov 29 – May 8 1 in 27
5 Shkumbini 11 Aug 23 – Nov 8 1 in 26

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
KF Tirana 1350 80 -39 6 9.6 -3.6
Dinamo Tirana 1304 71 +22 9 9.1 -0.1
Vllaznia 1300 68 +82 15 10.0 +5.0
Partizani 1210 67 +23 11 9.3 +1.7
Teuta 1098 52 -38 5 7.8 -2.8
Lushnja 1066 42 -8 5 5.4 -0.4
Shkumbini 1114 41 +30 9 7.9 +1.1
KF Elbasani 1054 40 -31 3 4.7 -1.7
Besa 904 29 -70 1 4.5 -3.5
Flamurtari 832 14 +28 4 1.9 +2.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BES DT FLA KE KT LUS PAR SHK TEU VLL
Besa —
0-1-3
3.29
2-1-1
6.96
1-1-2
4.79
0-0-4
2.01
1-1-2
4.89
0-0-4
2.55
2-1-1
5.25
1-0-3
3.06
1-0-3
3.62
Dinamo Tirana
3-1-0
7.91
 —
4-0-0
9.20
3-0-1
7.44
1-2-1
3.92
2-2-0
7.67
1-0-3
5.66
3-0-1
7.53
2-2-0
5.85
2-1-1
6.27
Flamurtari
1-1-2
4.21
0-0-4
2.11
 —
0-1-3
3.77
0-0-4
1.75
0-1-3
4.05
0-1-3
2.20
1-0-3
4.26
1-1-2
2.12
0-0-4
2.51
KF Elbasani
2-1-1
6.39
1-0-3
3.76
3-1-0
7.40
 —
0-2-2
2.36
1-1-2
5.96
0-2-2
3.73
2-0-2
6.31
1-1-2
4.11
0-2-2
4.44
KF Tirana
4-0-0
9.28
1-2-1
7.26
4-0-0
9.59
2-2-0
8.89
 —
3-1-0
8.53
2-1-1
7.41
4-0-0
9.29
1-2-1
7.80
3-0-1
7.86
Lushnja
2-1-1
6.28
0-2-2
3.53
3-1-0
7.13
2-1-1
5.21
0-1-3
2.72
 —
1-1-2
3.40
0-2-2
5.98
1-0-3
3.90
2-0-2
3.54
Partizani
4-0-0
8.68
3-0-1
5.52
3-1-0
9.09
2-2-0
7.46
1-1-2
3.77
2-1-1
7.80
 —
2-1-1
8.47
2-1-1
5.80
1-0-3
6.18
Shkumbini
1-1-2
5.91
1-0-3
3.69
3-0-1
6.95
2-0-2
4.86
0-0-4
1.99
2-2-0
5.20
1-1-2
2.75
 —
2-1-1
3.53
0-0-4
3.72
Teuta
3-0-1
8.15
0-2-2
5.32
2-1-1
9.14
2-1-1
7.07
1-2-1
3.40
3-0-1
7.29
1-1-2
5.37
1-1-2
7.67
 —
1-2-1
5.76
Vllaznia
3-0-1
7.60
1-1-2
4.90
4-0-0
8.75
2-2-0
6.73
1-0-3
3.35
2-0-2
7.66
3-0-1
4.99
4-0-0
7.47
1-2-1
5.41
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.92 +9.7
Allowed 0.84 -12.1
Differential 0.97 +5.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.89%7.78%4.44%3.33%1.67%1.67%27.78%
17.78%7.78%7.22%5.00%1.67%2.22%31.67%
24.44%7.22%3.33%1.94%1.11%1.11%19.17%
33.33%5.00%1.94%—0.83%—11.11%
41.67%1.67%1.11%0.83%——5.28%
5+1.67%2.22%1.11%———5.00%
Total27.78%31.67%19.17%11.11%5.28%5.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.51 1.51 +0.00
SD 1.44 1.44 2.16
CV 0.95 0.95 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%5.56%—2.78%5.56%33.33%
18.33%5.56%5.56%8.33%5.56%5.56%38.89%
22.78%11.11%—5.56%2.78%—22.22%
3————5.56%—5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.44%27.78%11.11%13.89%16.67%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.25 -1.25
SD 0.89 1.93 2.03
CV 0.89 0.86 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%2.78%———13.89%
18.33%11.11%8.33%——2.78%30.56%
211.11%5.56%2.78%——2.78%22.22%
38.33%8.33%5.56%———22.22%
4—5.56%—2.78%——8.33%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total38.89%33.33%19.44%2.78%—5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.89 1.08 +0.81
SD 1.30 1.27 1.82
CV 0.69 1.18 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%13.89%11.11%5.56%2.78%50.00%
12.78%5.56%16.67%5.56%—8.33%38.89%
2——2.78%2.78%——5.56%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.11%19.44%33.33%19.44%5.56%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 2.22 -1.56
SD 0.83 1.44 1.75
CV 1.24 0.65 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%5.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%36.11%
1—13.89%8.33%2.78%——25.00%
22.78%11.11%5.56%—2.78%2.78%25.00%
32.78%—————2.78%
45.56%——2.78%——8.33%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total22.22%38.89%19.44%8.33%5.56%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.53 -0.22
SD 1.37 1.38 2.11
CV 1.05 0.91 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%——5.56%——16.67%
15.56%8.33%—5.56%——19.44%
25.56%8.33%2.78%———16.67%
311.11%5.56%5.56%———22.22%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+5.56%11.11%5.56%———22.22%
Total38.89%33.33%16.67%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 1.00 +1.50
SD 1.92 1.01 2.21
CV 0.77 1.01 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%13.89%5.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%44.44%
113.89%5.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%33.33%
22.78%2.78%2.78%—2.78%—11.11%
3——5.56%———5.56%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total36.11%25.00%19.44%5.56%8.33%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.44 -0.47
SD 1.23 1.59 2.04
CV 1.27 1.10 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%—2.78%——25.00%
111.11%8.33%5.56%5.56%——30.56%
22.78%8.33%————11.11%
32.78%8.33%2.78%———13.89%
4—2.78%5.56%2.78%——11.11%
5+2.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
Total30.56%41.67%16.67%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.08 +0.72
SD 1.64 0.97 1.73
CV 0.91 0.89 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%5.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%36.11%
15.56%2.78%8.33%5.56%2.78%—25.00%
25.56%11.11%—2.78%2.78%5.56%27.78%
32.78%—————2.78%
42.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
5+———————
Total27.78%27.78%16.67%11.11%8.33%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.69 -0.47
SD 1.22 1.60 2.06
CV 1.00 0.94 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
18.33%11.11%8.33%11.11%——38.89%
28.33%5.56%8.33%2.78%——25.00%
3—11.11%——2.78%—13.89%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total25.00%36.11%19.44%16.67%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.36 +0.22
SD 1.27 1.13 1.69
CV 0.80 0.83 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——2.78%2.78%——5.56%
113.89%5.56%5.56%2.78%5.56%2.78%36.11%
22.78%8.33%8.33%5.56%——25.00%
32.78%13.89%————16.67%
45.56%2.78%————8.33%
5+2.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
Total27.78%33.33%19.44%11.11%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 1.42 +0.72
SD 1.44 1.32 2.26
CV 0.67 0.93 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
KF Tirana 1350 80 76.35 +3.65 71.0% 60 65 72 77 82 86 93
Dinamo Tirana 1304 71 62.13 +8.87 93.0% 43 51 58 62 66 73 77
Vllaznia 1300 68 57.77 +10.23 92.0% 45 46 52 57 63 70 75
Partizani 1210 67 61.93 +5.07 81.0% 47 50 57 62 66 74 78
Shkumbini 1114 41 38.04 +2.96 70.0% 22 28 33 38 42 48 52
Teuta 1098 52 59.94 -7.94 12.0% 44 48 55 60 65 69 73
Lushnja 1066 42 40.69 +1.31 61.0% 24 28 36 40 46 52 58
KF Elbasani 1054 40 44.36 -4.36 32.0% 24 34 40 44 49 56 60
Besa 904 29 36.05 -7.05 16.0% 12 24 31 36 41 49 53
Flamurtari 832 14 26.98 -12.98 2.0% 12 17 22 27 31 38 42

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 27% * Slight Edge: 27% to 33% * Clear Edge: 33% to 40% * Strong Edge: 40% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+31.11%
Slight Edge
55.56%20.00%24.44%
Elo Value
Home Edge
164 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0111.80500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.79 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.68+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.04 * Tight Race: 0.04 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.4
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
84%
KF Tirana, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.25/gm
Runaway
00.270.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.45 * Some Luck: 5.45 to 8.17 * Lucky: 8.17 to 10.89 * Wild Swing: 10.89 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.75 * Close: 0.75 to 1.12 * Off: 1.12 to 1.5 * Way Off: 1.5 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.30 points
Some Luck
06.8117
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.80
Close
00.942
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
93.00%
Dinamo Tirana
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
2.00%
Flamurtari
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 77.5% * Wide Edge: 77.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 93% * Strong Edge: 93% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 72.5% * Very Frequent: 72.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 10.5% * Occasional: 10.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Lopsided
00.120.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 171.36
2.57
Wide Separation
0.91.351.82.153
Interquartile Edge
78%
Wide Edge
50%63.5%72.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
95%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
56%
Few
0%51%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Very Frequent
0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.56 * Notable Separation: 0.56 to 0.62 * Lopsided: 0.62 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14.5% * Upset-Prone: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 18.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 10.5% * As Expected: 10.5% to 12.5% * Shaky Favorites: 12.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.50
Highly Predictable
00.542
Matchup Imbalance
0.47
Very Even
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.20
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.78
Near-Lock
00.410.590.731
Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Upset-Prone
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Shaky Favorites
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.76
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.24
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.100
Well Within Noise
00.1180.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
KF Tirana84.00%9.00%7.00%———————
Dinamo Tirana4.00%30.00%29.00%23.00%11.00%3.00%————
Vllaznia2.00%12.00%23.00%20.00%30.00%11.00%2.00%———
Partizani5.00%30.00%25.00%20.00%16.00%3.00%1.00%———
Teuta5.00%19.00%15.00%29.00%25.00%5.00%2.00%———
Lushnja——1.00%2.00%4.00%20.00%29.00%22.00%18.00%4.00%
Shkumbini————2.00%14.00%25.00%29.00%24.00%6.00%
KF Elbasani———6.00%9.00%35.00%25.00%17.00%6.00%2.00%
Besa————3.00%8.00%16.00%25.00%31.00%17.00%
Flamurtari—————1.00%—7.00%21.00%71.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Dinamo Tirana 100% —
KF Tirana 100% —
Partizani 100% —
Teuta 100% —
Vllaznia 100% —
KF Elbasani 92.00% 8.00%
Lushnja 78.00% 22.00%
Shkumbini 70.00% 30.00%
Besa 52.00% 48.00%
Flamurtari 8.00% 92.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2003-08-23 Besa W 2-033.3 1107 1077 57.57% 20.58% 21.85%+0.87 +16.6 3
2003-08-23 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-233.3 1077 1107 21.85% 20.58% 57.57%-0.87 -16.5 0
2003-08-23 Flamurtari W 2-141.7 1068 1055 55.62% 20.73% 23.66%+0.76 +8.9 3
2003-08-23 @ KF Elbasani L 1-241.7 1055 1068 23.66% 20.73% 55.62%-0.76 -8.9 0
2003-08-23 KF Tirana L 0-635.2 1111 1246 36.10% 21.19% 42.70%-0.14 -70.1 0
2003-08-23 @ Lushnja W 6-035.2 1246 1111 42.70% 21.19% 36.10%+0.14 +70.1 3
2003-08-23 Shkumbini W 1-037.1 1136 1127 55.22% 20.75% 24.03%+0.74 +9.5 3
2003-08-23 @ Teuta L 0-137.1 1127 1136 24.03% 20.75% 55.22%-0.74 -9.5 0
2003-08-23 Vllaznia W 4-138.7 1129 1177 48.10% 21.08% 30.81%+0.39 +27.2 3
2003-08-23 @ Partizani L 1-438.7 1177 1129 30.81% 21.08% 48.10%-0.39 -27.2 0
2003-08-30 KF Elbasani D 1-154.1 1060 1077 52.11% 20.93% 26.96%+0.58 -2.0 1
2003-08-30 @ Besa D 1-154.1 1077 1060 26.96% 20.93% 52.11%-0.58 +2.0 4
2003-08-30 KF Tirana L 0-330.6 1046 1316 20.35% 20.44% 59.21%-0.97 -22.6 0
2003-08-30 @ Flamurtari W 3-030.6 1316 1046 59.21% 20.44% 20.35%+0.97 +22.6 6
2003-08-30 Lushnja W 1-033.9 1156 1041 65.61% 19.66% 14.73%+1.39 +6.1 6
2003-08-30 @ Partizani L 0-133.9 1041 1156 14.73% 19.66% 65.61%-1.39 -6.1 0
2003-08-31 Dinamo Tirana L 1-445.4 1117 1124 53.39% 20.86% 25.75%+0.64 -42.9 0
2003-08-31 @ Shkumbini W 4-145.4 1124 1117 25.75% 20.86% 53.39%-0.64 +42.9 6
2003-09-02 Teuta L 0-243.2 1150 1146 54.64% 20.79% 24.57%+0.71 -35.8 0
2003-09-02 @ Vllaznia W 2-043.2 1146 1150 24.57% 20.79% 54.64%-0.71 +35.8 6
2003-09-12 Besa W 7-127.2 1339 1058 76.45% 17.00% 6.55%+2.40 +11.7 9
2003-09-12 @ KF Tirana L 1-727.2 1058 1339 6.55% 17.00% 76.45%-2.40 -11.7 1
2003-09-13 Flamurtari W 1-037.0 1035 1024 55.39% 20.74% 23.87%+0.75 +9.5 3
2003-09-13 @ Lushnja L 0-137.0 1024 1035 23.87% 20.74% 55.39%-0.75 -9.5 0
2003-09-13 Partizani D 1-154.3 1182 1162 56.37% 20.67% 22.95%+0.80 -2.7 7
2003-09-13 @ Teuta D 1-154.3 1162 1182 22.95% 20.67% 56.37%-0.80 +2.7 7
2003-09-13 Shkumbini W 5-030.9 1079 1074 54.66% 20.79% 24.55%+0.71 +42.8 7
2003-09-13 @ KF Elbasani L 0-530.9 1074 1079 24.55% 20.79% 54.66%-0.71 -42.8 0
2003-09-13 Vllaznia W 3-030.3 1167 1114 59.83% 20.38% 19.78%+1.00 +22.0 9
2003-09-13 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-330.3 1114 1167 19.78% 20.38% 59.83%-1.00 -22.0 0
2003-09-20 Dinamo Tirana W 2-143.2 1165 1189 51.25% 20.97% 27.78%+0.54 +10.2 10
2003-09-20 @ Partizani L 1-243.2 1189 1165 27.78% 20.97% 51.25%-0.54 -10.2 9
2003-09-20 Flamurtari D 0-050.2 1046 1014 57.72% 20.57% 21.71%+0.88 -3.2 2
2003-09-20 @ Besa D 0-050.2 1014 1046 21.71% 20.57% 57.72%-0.88 +3.2 1
2003-09-20 KF Elbasani W 1-038.5 1092 1122 50.56% 21.00% 28.44%+0.50 +11.0 3
2003-09-20 @ Vllaznia L 0-138.5 1122 1092 28.44% 21.00% 50.56%-0.50 -11.0 7
2003-09-20 KF Tirana L 1-336.7 1032 1350 16.18% 19.91% 63.91%-1.27 -10.9 0
2003-09-20 @ Shkumbini W 3-136.7 1350 1032 63.91% 19.91% 16.18%+1.27 +10.9 12
2003-09-20 Lushnja W 2-030.4 1179 1044 67.20% 19.40% 13.40%+1.51 +10.5 10
2003-09-20 @ Teuta L 0-230.4 1044 1179 13.40% 19.40% 67.20%-1.51 -10.5 3
2003-09-26 Teuta D 1-154.3 1178 1189 52.84% 20.89% 26.27%+0.62 -2.1 10
2003-09-26 @ Dinamo Tirana D 1-154.3 1189 1178 26.27% 20.89% 52.84%-0.62 +2.1 11
2003-09-27 Besa L 0-145.8 1034 1043 53.02% 20.88% 26.10%+0.63 -18.5 3
2003-09-27 @ Lushnja W 1-045.8 1043 1034 26.10% 20.88% 53.02%-0.63 +18.5 5
2003-09-27 Partizani D 0-050.1 1111 1175 46.07% 21.14% 32.79%+0.29 -1.1 8
2003-09-27 @ KF Elbasani D 0-050.1 1175 1111 32.79% 21.14% 46.07%-0.29 +1.1 11
2003-09-27 Shkumbini W 3-032.1 1018 1021 53.78% 20.84% 25.38%+0.66 +27.4 4
2003-09-27 @ Flamurtari L 0-332.1 1021 1018 25.38% 20.84% 53.78%-0.66 -27.4 0
2003-09-27 Vllaznia W 3-241.0 1361 1103 75.26% 17.41% 7.32%+2.26 +2.7 15
2003-09-27 @ KF Tirana L 2-341.0 1103 1361 7.32% 17.41% 75.26%-2.26 -2.7 3
2003-10-03 Lushnja D 0-050.7 1176 1015 69.19% 19.02% 11.79%+1.67 -5.4 11
2003-10-03 @ Dinamo Tirana D 0-050.7 1015 1176 11.79% 19.02% 69.19%-1.67 +5.4 4
2003-10-04 Besa L 1-248.4 993 1062 45.50% 21.15% 33.35%+0.27 -15.2 0
2003-10-04 @ Shkumbini W 2-148.4 1062 993 33.35% 21.15% 45.50%-0.27 +15.2 8
2003-10-04 Flamurtari W 3-137.6 1101 1045 60.17% 20.35% 19.48%+1.02 +12.9 6
2003-10-04 @ Vllaznia L 1-337.6 1045 1101 19.48% 20.35% 60.17%-1.02 -12.9 4
2003-10-04 KF Elbasani W 3-137.0 1191 1110 62.70% 20.07% 17.24%+1.18 +11.6 14
2003-10-04 @ Teuta L 1-337.0 1110 1191 17.24% 20.07% 62.70%-1.18 -11.6 8
2003-10-04 KF Tirana W 3-147.5 1176 1364 29.16% 21.03% 49.81%-0.47 +28.5 14
2003-10-04 @ Partizani L 1-347.5 1364 1176 49.81% 21.03% 29.16%+0.47 -28.5 15
2003-10-08 Dinamo Tirana L 0-143.5 1098 1171 44.88% 21.16% 33.96%+0.24 -16.0 8
2003-10-08 @ KF Elbasani W 1-043.5 1171 1098 33.96% 21.16% 44.88%-0.24 +16.0 14
2003-10-08 Partizani L 0-333.9 1032 1204 31.14% 21.09% 47.77%-0.37 -32.5 4
2003-10-08 @ Flamurtari W 3-033.9 1204 1032 47.77% 21.09% 31.14%+0.37 +32.5 17
2003-10-08 Shkumbini D 0-050.2 1021 978 58.84% 20.47% 20.69%+0.94 -3.5 5
2003-10-08 @ Lushnja D 0-050.2 978 1021 20.69% 20.47% 58.84%-0.94 +3.5 1
2003-10-08 Teuta L 1-352.2 1336 1203 67.03% 19.43% 13.54%+1.49 -37.6 15
2003-10-08 @ KF Tirana W 3-152.2 1203 1336 13.54% 19.43% 67.03%-1.49 +37.6 17
2003-10-08 Vllaznia L 0-241.7 1077 1114 49.64% 21.03% 29.33%+0.46 -32.8 8
2003-10-08 @ Besa W 2-041.7 1114 1077 29.33% 21.03% 49.64%-0.46 +32.8 9
2003-10-17 Besa W 3-134.3 1237 1044 71.38% 18.53% 10.09%+1.86 +6.9 20
2003-10-17 @ Partizani L 1-334.3 1044 1237 10.09% 18.53% 71.38%-1.86 -6.9 8
2003-10-18 Flamurtari W 2-028.3 1241 1000 74.33% 17.71% 7.96%+2.16 +6.3 20
2003-10-18 @ Teuta L 0-228.3 1000 1241 7.96% 17.71% 74.33%-2.16 -6.3 4
2003-10-18 KF Tirana D 0-050.4 1187 1298 39.50% 21.21% 39.29%+0.00 -0.0 15
2003-10-18 @ Dinamo Tirana D 0-050.4 1298 1187 39.29% 21.21% 39.50%+0.00 +0.0 16
2003-10-18 Lushnja W 4-028.9 1082 1017 61.10% 20.25% 18.65%+1.08 +27.3 11
2003-10-18 @ KF Elbasani L 0-428.9 1017 1082 18.65% 20.25% 61.10%-1.08 -27.3 5
2003-10-18 Shkumbini W 4-026.4 1146 982 69.46% 18.96% 11.58%+1.69 +17.4 12
2003-10-18 @ Vllaznia L 0-426.4 982 1146 11.58% 18.96% 69.46%-1.69 -17.4 1
2003-10-25 Dinamo Tirana L 2-348.1 993 1187 28.51% 21.00% 50.49%-0.50 -9.9 4
2003-10-25 @ Flamurtari W 3-248.1 1187 993 50.49% 21.00% 28.51%+0.50 +9.9 18
2003-10-25 KF Elbasani D 0-051.0 1298 1109 71.09% 18.60% 10.31%+1.84 -5.8 17
2003-10-25 @ KF Tirana D 0-051.0 1109 1298 10.31% 18.60% 71.09%-1.84 +5.8 12
2003-10-25 Partizani D 0-050.3 964 1244 19.44% 20.34% 60.22%-1.03 +3.7 2
2003-10-25 @ Shkumbini D 0-050.3 1244 964 60.22% 20.34% 19.44%+1.03 -3.7 21
2003-10-25 Teuta L 1-242.7 1037 1247 26.58% 20.91% 52.51%-0.60 -9.8 8
2003-10-25 @ Besa W 2-142.7 1247 1037 52.51% 20.91% 26.58%+0.60 +9.8 23
2003-10-25 Vllaznia W 2-149.1 990 1164 30.95% 21.09% 47.96%-0.38 +15.9 8
2003-10-25 @ Lushnja L 1-249.1 1164 990 47.96% 21.09% 30.95%+0.38 -15.9 12
2003-11-01 Dinamo Tirana D 0-050.1 1027 1197 31.51% 21.10% 47.38%-0.35 +1.4 9
2003-11-01 @ Besa D 0-050.1 1197 1027 47.38% 21.10% 31.51%+0.35 -1.4 19
2003-11-01 KF Elbasani D 1-154.0 983 1115 36.56% 21.20% 42.24%-0.12 +0.4 5
2003-11-01 @ Flamurtari D 1-154.0 1115 983 42.24% 21.20% 36.56%+0.12 -0.4 13
2003-11-01 Lushnja W 2-135.5 1292 1006 76.74% 16.90% 6.36%+2.43 +2.5 20
2003-11-01 @ KF Tirana L 1-235.5 1006 1292 6.36% 16.90% 76.74%-2.43 -2.5 8
2003-11-01 Partizani W 2-145.9 1148 1240 42.17% 21.20% 36.63%+0.12 +12.8 15
2003-11-01 @ Vllaznia L 1-245.9 1240 1148 36.63% 21.20% 42.17%-0.12 -12.8 21
2003-11-01 Teuta D 0-050.3 968 1257 18.62% 20.25% 61.13%-1.08 +3.9 3
2003-11-01 @ Shkumbini D 0-050.3 1257 968 61.13% 20.25% 18.62%+1.08 -3.9 24
2003-11-07 Flamurtari W 2-135.1 1295 984 77.93% 16.44% 5.63%+2.58 +2.2 23
2003-11-07 @ KF Tirana L 1-235.1 984 1295 5.63% 16.44% 77.93%-2.58 -2.2 5
2003-11-08 Besa L 1-253.4 1115 1029 63.09% 20.02% 16.89%+1.21 -20.5 13
2003-11-08 @ KF Elbasani W 2-153.4 1029 1115 16.89% 20.02% 63.09%-1.21 +20.5 12
2003-11-08 Partizani W 1-046.1 1003 1227 25.00% 20.82% 54.19%-0.69 +18.8 11
2003-11-08 @ Lushnja L 0-146.1 1227 1003 54.19% 20.82% 25.00%+0.69 -18.8 21
2003-11-08 Shkumbini W 2-028.6 1195 972 73.30% 18.02% 8.68%+2.05 +6.9 22
2003-11-08 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-228.6 972 1195 8.68% 18.02% 73.30%-2.05 -6.9 3
2003-11-08 Vllaznia D 1-154.6 1253 1161 63.65% 19.95% 16.40%+1.25 -3.9 25
2003-11-08 @ Teuta D 1-154.6 1161 1253 16.40% 19.95% 63.65%-1.25 +3.9 16
2003-11-19 KF Elbasani W 2-039.4 965 1094 36.91% 21.20% 41.89%-0.11 +28.4 6
2003-11-19 @ Shkumbini L 0-239.4 1094 965 41.89% 21.20% 36.91%+0.11 -28.4 13
2003-11-19 KF Tirana L 1-241.5 1049 1297 22.49% 20.64% 56.87%-0.83 -8.5 12
2003-11-19 @ Besa W 2-141.5 1297 1049 56.87% 20.64% 22.49%+0.83 +8.5 26
2003-11-19 Lushnja L 1-542.3 982 1022 49.16% 21.05% 29.79%+0.44 -51.4 5
2003-11-19 @ Flamurtari W 5-142.3 1022 982 29.79% 21.05% 49.16%-0.44 +51.4 14
2003-11-19 Teuta W 3-141.3 1208 1249 49.17% 21.05% 29.78%+0.44 +18.7 24
2003-11-19 @ Partizani L 1-341.3 1249 1208 29.78% 21.05% 49.17%-0.44 -18.7 25
2003-11-22 Besa W 1-041.7 930 1041 39.60% 21.21% 39.19%+0.01 +14.3 8
2003-11-22 @ Flamurtari L 0-141.7 1041 930 39.19% 21.21% 39.60%-0.01 -14.3 12
2003-11-22 Partizani L 0-242.4 1202 1227 51.12% 20.97% 27.91%+0.53 -33.7 22
2003-11-22 @ Dinamo Tirana W 2-042.4 1227 1202 27.91% 20.97% 51.12%-0.53 +33.7 27
2003-11-22 Shkumbini W 5-232.8 1305 993 77.99% 16.41% 5.60%+2.59 +4.6 29
2003-11-22 @ KF Tirana L 2-532.8 993 1305 5.60% 16.41% 77.99%-2.59 -4.6 6
2003-11-22 Teuta L 0-140.0 1074 1230 33.18% 21.15% 45.68%-0.27 -12.5 14
2003-11-22 @ Lushnja W 1-040.0 1230 1074 45.68% 21.15% 33.18%+0.27 +12.5 28
2003-11-22 Vllaznia D 2-259.2 1066 1164 41.28% 21.20% 37.52%+0.08 -0.2 14
2003-11-22 @ KF Elbasani D 2-259.2 1164 1066 37.52% 21.20% 41.28%-0.08 +0.2 17
2003-11-29 Dinamo Tirana L 3-461.1 1243 1168 61.99% 20.15% 17.86%+1.14 -18.7 28
2003-11-29 @ Teuta W 4-361.1 1168 1243 17.86% 20.15% 61.99%-1.14 +18.7 25
2003-11-29 Flamurtari W 2-140.7 989 944 59.02% 20.46% 20.52%+0.95 +7.8 9
2003-11-29 @ Shkumbini L 1-240.7 944 989 20.52% 20.46% 59.02%-0.95 -7.8 8
2003-11-29 KF Elbasani W 4-238.4 1261 1066 71.53% 18.49% 9.98%+1.88 +6.1 30
2003-11-29 @ Partizani L 2-438.4 1066 1261 9.98% 18.49% 71.53%-1.88 -6.1 14
2003-11-29 KF Tirana L 1-342.8 1165 1310 34.71% 21.17% 44.11%-0.20 -21.2 17
2003-11-29 @ Vllaznia W 3-142.8 1310 1165 44.11% 21.17% 34.71%+0.20 +21.2 32
2003-11-29 Lushnja L 0-144.9 1026 1061 49.90% 21.02% 29.08%+0.47 -17.5 12
2003-11-29 @ Besa W 1-044.9 1061 1026 29.08% 21.02% 49.90%-0.47 +17.5 17
2003-12-06 Dinamo Tirana L 0-142.0 1079 1187 39.86% 21.21% 38.94%+0.02 -14.5 17
2003-12-06 @ Lushnja W 1-042.0 1187 1079 38.94% 21.21% 39.86%-0.02 +14.5 28
2003-12-06 Partizani W 1-036.2 1331 1267 61.01% 20.26% 18.73%+1.08 +7.7 35
2003-12-06 @ KF Tirana L 0-136.2 1267 1331 18.73% 20.26% 61.01%-1.08 -7.6 30
2003-12-06 Shkumbini W 1-036.9 1009 997 55.55% 20.73% 23.72%+0.76 +9.4 15
2003-12-06 @ Besa L 0-136.9 997 1009 23.72% 20.73% 55.55%-0.76 -9.4 9
2003-12-06 Teuta D 1-154.1 1060 1224 32.14% 21.12% 46.74%-0.32 +1.1 15
2003-12-06 @ KF Elbasani D 1-154.1 1224 1060 46.74% 21.12% 32.14%+0.32 -1.1 29
2003-12-06 Vllaznia L 1-242.8 937 1143 26.94% 20.93% 52.14%-0.58 -9.9 8
2003-12-06 @ Flamurtari W 2-142.8 1143 937 52.14% 20.93% 26.94%+0.58 +9.9 20
2003-12-10 Dinamo Tirana L 1-444.0 1153 1202 48.16% 21.08% 30.76%+0.39 -39.1 20
2003-12-10 @ Vllaznia W 4-144.0 1202 1153 30.76% 21.08% 48.16%-0.39 +39.1 31
2003-12-13 Besa W 3-136.5 1114 1018 63.98% 19.90% 16.12%+1.27 +10.9 23
2003-12-13 @ Vllaznia L 1-336.5 1018 1114 16.12% 19.90% 63.98%-1.27 -10.9 15
2003-12-13 Flamurtari W 5-023.7 1259 927 78.93% 16.02% 5.05%+2.72 +9.1 33
2003-12-13 @ Partizani L 0-523.7 927 1259 5.05% 16.02% 78.93%-2.72 -9.1 8
2003-12-13 KF Elbasani W 1-032.5 1241 1061 70.53% 18.73% 10.74%+1.78 +4.5 34
2003-12-13 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-132.5 1061 1241 10.74% 18.73% 70.53%-1.78 -4.5 15
2003-12-13 KF Tirana D 0-050.7 1223 1339 38.83% 21.21% 39.96%-0.02 +0.1 30
2003-12-13 @ Teuta D 0-050.7 1339 1223 39.96% 21.21% 38.83%+0.02 -0.1 36
2003-12-13 Lushnja W 2-037.2 987 1064 44.31% 21.17% 34.52%+0.21 +24.4 12
2003-12-13 @ Shkumbini L 0-237.2 1064 987 34.52% 21.17% 44.31%-0.21 -24.3 17
2003-12-20 Dinamo Tirana W 5-133.0 1339 1245 63.75% 19.93% 16.32%+1.25 +20.1 39
2003-12-20 @ KF Tirana L 1-533.0 1245 1339 16.32% 19.93% 63.75%-1.25 -20.1 34
2003-12-20 KF Elbasani W 2-034.9 1040 1056 52.18% 20.92% 26.89%+0.58 +19.8 20
2003-12-20 @ Lushnja L 0-234.9 1056 1040 26.89% 20.92% 52.18%-0.58 -19.8 15
2003-12-20 Partizani L 2-345.8 1007 1268 21.17% 20.52% 58.31%-0.91 -7.6 15
2003-12-20 @ Besa W 3-245.8 1268 1007 58.31% 20.52% 21.17%+0.91 +7.6 36
2003-12-20 Teuta D 0-050.4 918 1223 17.23% 20.07% 62.70%-1.18 +4.2 9
2003-12-20 @ Flamurtari D 0-050.4 1223 918 62.70% 20.07% 17.23%+1.18 -4.2 31
2003-12-20 Vllaznia L 1-343.8 1011 1125 39.13% 21.21% 39.66%-0.01 -23.3 12
2003-12-20 @ Shkumbini W 3-143.8 1125 1011 39.66% 21.21% 39.13%+0.01 +23.3 26
2003-12-24 Besa W 4-131.2 1219 1000 73.03% 18.09% 8.87%+2.02 +8.6 34
2003-12-24 @ Teuta L 1-431.2 1000 1219 8.87% 18.09% 73.03%-2.02 -8.6 15
2003-12-24 Flamurtari W 2-027.3 1225 922 77.58% 16.58% 5.85%+2.54 +4.5 37
2003-12-24 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-227.3 922 1225 5.85% 16.58% 77.58%-2.54 -4.5 9
2003-12-24 KF Tirana D 1-154.6 1036 1359 15.91% 19.87% 64.23%-1.29 +4.0 16
2003-12-24 @ KF Elbasani D 1-154.6 1359 1036 64.23% 19.87% 15.91%+1.29 -4.0 40
2003-12-24 Lushnja W 1-034.6 1148 1060 63.35% 19.99% 16.67%+1.23 +6.9 29
2003-12-24 @ Vllaznia L 0-134.6 1060 1148 16.67% 19.99% 63.35%-1.23 -6.9 20
2003-12-24 Shkumbini W 1-030.6 1276 988 76.82% 16.87% 6.31%+2.44 +2.6 39
2003-12-24 @ Partizani L 0-130.6 988 1276 6.31% 16.87% 76.82%-2.44 -2.6 12
2004-01-25 Besa W 3-241.0 1230 991 74.18% 17.76% 8.06%+2.14 +3.0 40
2004-01-25 @ Dinamo Tirana L 2-341.0 991 1230 8.06% 17.76% 74.18%-2.14 -3.0 15
2004-01-25 Flamurtari W 3-028.3 1040 917 66.27% 19.56% 14.17%+1.44 +16.2 19
2004-01-25 @ KF Elbasani L 0-328.3 917 1040 14.17% 19.56% 66.27%-1.44 -16.1 9
2004-01-25 KF Tirana D 1-154.6 1053 1355 17.51% 20.11% 62.38%-1.16 +3.7 21
2004-01-25 @ Lushnja D 1-154.6 1355 1053 62.38% 20.11% 17.51%+1.16 -3.7 41
2004-01-25 Shkumbini L 1-256.1 1227 986 74.37% 17.70% 7.93%+2.16 -23.9 34
2004-01-25 @ Teuta W 2-156.1 986 1227 7.93% 17.70% 74.37%-2.16 +23.9 15
2004-01-25 Vllaznia L 0-149.6 1279 1155 66.30% 19.55% 14.15%+1.44 -22.8 39
2004-01-25 @ Partizani W 1-049.6 1155 1279 14.15% 19.55% 66.30%-1.44 +22.8 32
2004-01-30 Dinamo Tirana W 1-046.1 1010 1233 25.08% 20.82% 54.10%-0.68 +18.8 18
2004-01-30 @ Shkumbini L 0-146.1 1233 1010 54.10% 20.82% 25.08%+0.68 -18.8 40
2004-01-30 KF Elbasani L 3-456.3 988 1056 45.48% 21.15% 33.37%+0.27 -14.1 15
2004-01-30 @ Besa W 4-356.3 1056 988 33.37% 21.15% 45.48%-0.27 +14.1 22
2004-01-30 KF Tirana L 0-228.5 901 1351 8.57% 17.97% 73.46%-2.07 -6.8 9
2004-01-30 @ Flamurtari W 2-028.5 1351 901 73.46% 17.97% 8.57%+2.07 +6.8 44
2004-01-30 Lushnja W 5-129.8 1256 1056 71.81% 18.42% 9.77%+1.90 +12.2 42
2004-01-30 @ Partizani L 1-529.8 1056 1256 9.77% 18.42% 71.81%-1.90 -12.2 21
2004-01-30 Teuta W 3-140.5 1178 1204 51.07% 20.98% 27.95%+0.53 +17.7 35
2004-01-30 @ Vllaznia L 1-340.5 1204 1178 27.95% 20.98% 51.07%-0.53 -17.7 34
2004-02-21 Besa W 5-023.1 1358 974 81.08% 15.02% 3.91%+3.03 +6.9 47
2004-02-21 @ KF Tirana L 0-523.1 974 1358 3.91% 15.02% 81.08%-3.03 -6.9 15
2004-02-21 Flamurtari W 4-026.7 1044 894 68.36% 19.19% 12.46%+1.60 +18.6 24
2004-02-21 @ Lushnja L 0-426.7 894 1044 12.46% 19.19% 68.36%-1.60 -18.6 9
2004-02-21 Partizani W 2-145.6 1186 1268 43.58% 21.18% 35.24%+0.18 +12.4 37
2004-02-21 @ Teuta L 1-245.6 1268 1186 35.24% 21.18% 43.58%-0.18 -12.4 42
2004-02-21 Shkumbini W 2-140.8 1071 1028 58.81% 20.48% 20.71%+0.94 +7.9 25
2004-02-21 @ KF Elbasani L 1-240.8 1028 1071 20.71% 20.48% 58.81%-0.94 -7.9 18
2004-02-21 Vllaznia D 1-154.4 1214 1196 56.20% 20.69% 23.11%+0.79 -2.7 41
2004-02-21 @ Dinamo Tirana D 1-154.4 1196 1214 23.11% 20.69% 56.20%-0.79 +2.7 36
2004-02-25 Dinamo Tirana W 5-238.7 1256 1211 59.03% 20.46% 20.51%+0.95 +16.6 45
2004-02-25 @ Partizani L 2-538.7 1211 1256 20.51% 20.46% 59.03%-0.95 -16.6 41
2004-02-25 Flamurtari W 2-031.4 967 876 63.57% 19.96% 16.47%+1.24 +12.8 18
2004-02-25 @ Besa L 0-231.4 876 967 16.47% 19.96% 63.57%-1.24 -12.8 9
2004-02-25 KF Elbasani W 4-027.5 1198 1078 66.03% 19.60% 14.37%+1.42 +21.4 39
2004-02-25 @ Vllaznia L 0-427.5 1078 1198 14.37% 19.60% 66.03%-1.42 -21.4 25
2004-02-25 KF Tirana L 0-230.9 1020 1365 14.33% 19.59% 66.08%-1.42 -11.2 18
2004-02-25 @ Shkumbini W 2-030.9 1365 1020 66.08% 19.59% 14.33%+1.42 +11.2 50
2004-02-25 Lushnja W 3-135.6 1198 1063 67.26% 19.39% 13.35%+1.51 +9.1 40
2004-02-25 @ Teuta L 1-335.6 1063 1198 13.35% 19.39% 67.26%-1.51 -9.1 24
2004-02-28 Besa W 1-035.0 1054 980 61.94% 20.16% 17.91%+1.13 +7.3 27
2004-02-28 @ Lushnja L 0-135.0 980 1054 17.91% 20.16% 61.94%-1.13 -7.3 18
2004-02-28 Partizani D 1-154.2 1057 1272 25.97% 20.87% 53.15%-0.63 +2.1 26
2004-02-28 @ KF Elbasani D 1-154.2 1272 1057 53.15% 20.87% 25.97%+0.63 -2.1 46
2004-02-28 Shkumbini L 1-245.1 863 1009 34.58% 21.17% 44.25%-0.21 -12.2 9
2004-02-28 @ Flamurtari W 2-145.1 1009 863 44.25% 21.17% 34.58%+0.21 +12.2 21
2004-02-28 Teuta W 3-140.1 1195 1207 52.64% 20.90% 26.46%+0.61 +16.9 44
2004-02-28 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-340.1 1207 1195 26.46% 20.90% 52.64%-0.61 -16.9 40
2004-02-28 Vllaznia W 5-131.5 1376 1220 68.82% 19.10% 12.08%+1.64 +15.1 53
2004-02-28 @ KF Tirana L 1-531.5 1220 1376 12.08% 19.10% 68.82%-1.64 -15.1 39
2004-03-06 Besa D 1-154.2 1021 973 59.48% 20.42% 20.11%+0.98 -3.2 22
2004-03-06 @ Shkumbini D 1-154.2 973 1021 20.11% 20.42% 59.48%-0.98 +3.2 19
2004-03-06 Flamurtari W 5-127.3 1205 851 79.87% 15.60% 4.53%+2.85 +5.5 42
2004-03-06 @ Vllaznia L 1-527.3 851 1205 4.53% 15.60% 79.87%-2.85 -5.5 9
2004-03-06 KF Elbasani W 1-033.6 1190 1059 66.93% 19.45% 13.62%+1.48 +5.7 43
2004-03-06 @ Teuta L 0-133.6 1059 1190 13.62% 19.45% 66.93%-1.48 -5.7 26
2004-03-06 KF Tirana L 0-142.8 1270 1391 38.10% 21.21% 40.69%-0.06 -14.0 46
2004-03-06 @ Partizani W 1-042.8 1391 1270 40.69% 21.21% 38.10%+0.06 +14.0 56
2004-03-06 Lushnja W 2-138.0 1212 1061 68.42% 19.17% 12.41%+1.60 +4.9 47
2004-03-06 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-238.0 1061 1212 12.41% 19.17% 68.42%-1.60 -4.9 27
2004-03-13 Dinamo Tirana W 2-148.8 1054 1216 32.35% 21.13% 46.52%-0.31 +15.5 29
2004-03-13 @ KF Elbasani L 1-248.8 1216 1054 46.52% 21.13% 32.35%+0.31 -15.5 47
2004-03-13 Partizani L 0-132.3 845 1256 10.37% 18.62% 71.01%-1.83 -4.4 9
2004-03-13 @ Flamurtari W 1-032.3 1256 845 71.01% 18.62% 10.37%+1.83 +4.3 49
2004-03-13 Shkumbini D 0-050.2 1056 1018 58.36% 20.52% 21.12%+0.92 -3.4 28
2004-03-13 @ Lushnja D 0-050.2 1018 1056 21.12% 20.52% 58.36%-0.92 +3.4 23
2004-03-13 Teuta W 3-027.4 1405 1196 72.40% 18.27% 9.33%+1.96 +10.7 59
2004-03-13 @ KF Tirana L 0-327.4 1196 1405 9.33% 18.27% 72.40%-1.96 -10.7 43
2004-03-13 Vllaznia W 2-151.3 976 1210 23.87% 20.74% 55.39%-0.75 +18.1 22
2004-03-13 @ Besa L 1-251.3 1210 976 55.39% 20.74% 23.87%+0.75 -18.1 42
2004-03-20 Besa W 1-030.9 1261 994 75.72% 17.26% 7.02%+2.31 +2.9 52
2004-03-20 @ Partizani L 0-130.9 994 1261 7.02% 17.26% 75.72%-2.31 -2.9 22
2004-03-20 Flamurtari W 3-131.8 1185 841 79.45% 15.79% 4.76%+2.79 +3.2 46
2004-03-20 @ Teuta L 1-331.8 841 1185 4.76% 15.79% 79.45%-2.79 -3.2 9
2004-03-20 KF Tirana W 3-041.5 1201 1416 26.03% 20.88% 53.09%-0.63 +50.6 50
2004-03-20 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-341.5 1416 1201 53.09% 20.88% 26.03%+0.63 -50.6 59
2004-03-20 Lushnja D 0-050.2 1069 1053 56.00% 20.70% 23.30%+0.78 -2.9 30
2004-03-20 @ KF Elbasani D 0-050.2 1053 1069 23.30% 20.70% 56.00%-0.78 +2.9 29
2004-03-20 Shkumbini W 5-235.2 1192 1022 69.87% 18.88% 11.25%+1.73 +9.4 45
2004-03-20 @ Vllaznia L 2-535.2 1022 1192 11.25% 18.88% 69.87%-1.73 -9.4 23
2004-03-27 Dinamo Tirana L 0-326.9 838 1252 10.22% 18.57% 71.21%-1.85 -11.8 9
2004-03-27 @ Flamurtari W 3-026.9 1252 838 71.21% 18.57% 10.22%+1.85 +11.8 53
2004-03-27 KF Elbasani W 3-025.3 1365 1066 77.37% 16.66% 5.97%+2.51 +6.8 62
2004-03-27 @ KF Tirana L 0-325.3 1066 1365 5.97% 16.66% 77.37%-2.51 -6.8 30
2004-03-27 Partizani W 3-041.7 1012 1263 22.12% 20.61% 57.27%-0.85 +54.3 26
2004-03-27 @ Shkumbini L 0-341.7 1263 1012 57.27% 20.61% 22.12%+0.85 -54.3 52
2004-03-27 Teuta W 2-150.0 991 1189 28.03% 20.98% 50.99%-0.52 +16.8 25
2004-03-27 @ Besa L 1-250.0 1189 991 50.99% 20.98% 28.03%+0.52 -16.8 46
2004-03-27 Vllaznia W 3-252.9 1056 1202 34.62% 21.17% 44.21%-0.21 +14.1 32
2004-03-27 @ Lushnja L 2-352.9 1202 1056 44.21% 21.17% 34.62%+0.21 -14.1 45
2004-04-03 Dinamo Tirana L 1-338.4 1008 1263 21.71% 20.57% 57.72%-0.88 -14.2 25
2004-04-03 @ Besa W 3-138.4 1263 1008 57.72% 20.57% 21.71%+0.88 +14.3 56
2004-04-03 KF Elbasani L 1-241.8 826 1059 23.98% 20.75% 55.27%-0.74 -9.0 9
2004-04-03 @ Flamurtari W 2-141.8 1059 826 55.27% 20.75% 23.98%+0.74 +9.0 33
2004-04-03 Lushnja W 3-025.2 1372 1070 77.52% 16.60% 5.88%+2.53 +6.6 65
2004-04-03 @ KF Tirana L 0-325.2 1070 1372 5.88% 16.60% 77.52%-2.53 -6.6 32
2004-04-03 Partizani W 3-140.4 1188 1209 51.54% 20.95% 27.51%+0.55 +17.5 48
2004-04-03 @ Vllaznia L 1-340.4 1209 1188 27.51% 20.95% 51.54%-0.55 -17.5 52
2004-04-03 Teuta W 1-041.5 1066 1172 40.32% 21.21% 38.47%+0.04 +14.1 29
2004-04-03 @ Shkumbini L 0-141.5 1172 1066 38.47% 21.21% 40.32%-0.04 -14.1 46
2004-04-10 Besa W 4-028.6 1068 994 62.04% 20.15% 17.82%+1.14 +26.1 36
2004-04-10 @ KF Elbasani L 0-428.6 994 1068 17.82% 20.15% 62.04%-1.14 -26.2 25
2004-04-10 Flamurtari W 5-125.2 1378 817 86.91% 11.52% 1.57%+4.11 +1.7 68
2004-04-10 @ KF Tirana L 1-525.2 817 1378 1.57% 11.52% 86.91%-4.11 -1.7 9
2004-04-10 Partizani D 0-050.1 1063 1192 37.01% 21.20% 41.79%-0.10 +0.4 33
2004-04-10 @ Lushnja D 0-050.1 1192 1063 41.79% 21.20% 37.01%+0.10 -0.4 53
2004-04-10 Shkumbini W 2-137.1 1278 1080 71.66% 18.46% 9.89%+1.89 +3.9 59
2004-04-10 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-237.1 1080 1278 9.89% 18.46% 71.66%-1.89 -3.9 29
2004-04-10 Vllaznia D 2-259.4 1158 1205 48.27% 21.08% 30.65%+0.39 -1.0 47
2004-04-10 @ Teuta D 2-259.4 1205 1158 30.65% 21.08% 48.27%-0.39 +1.0 49
2004-04-17 Dinamo Tirana W 2-145.5 1206 1282 44.51% 21.17% 34.32%+0.22 +12.1 52
2004-04-17 @ Vllaznia L 1-245.5 1282 1206 34.32% 21.17% 44.51%-0.22 -12.1 59
2004-04-17 KF Elbasani W 2-142.8 1077 1094 51.99% 20.93% 27.07%+0.57 +10.0 32
2004-04-17 @ Shkumbini L 1-242.8 1094 1077 27.07% 20.93% 51.99%-0.57 -10.0 36
2004-04-17 KF Tirana L 2-438.5 967 1380 10.28% 18.59% 71.14%-1.84 -6.3 25
2004-04-17 @ Besa W 4-238.5 1380 967 71.14% 18.59% 10.28%+1.84 +6.3 71
2004-04-17 Lushnja D 2-259.3 815 1064 22.44% 20.63% 56.93%-0.83 +2.1 10
2004-04-17 @ Flamurtari D 2-259.3 1064 815 56.93% 20.63% 22.44%+0.83 -2.1 34
2004-04-17 Teuta W 2-141.1 1191 1157 58.01% 20.55% 21.44%+0.89 +8.1 56
2004-04-17 @ Partizani L 1-241.1 1157 1191 21.44% 20.55% 58.01%-0.89 -8.1 47
2004-04-24 Besa L 0-140.4 817 961 34.91% 21.18% 43.91%-0.20 -13.0 10
2004-04-24 @ Flamurtari W 1-040.4 961 817 43.91% 21.18% 34.91%+0.20 +13.0 28
2004-04-24 Shkumbini W 3-240.4 1387 1086 77.42% 16.64% 5.94%+2.52 +2.2 74
2004-04-24 @ KF Tirana L 2-340.4 1086 1387 5.94% 16.64% 77.42%-2.52 -2.2 32
2004-04-24 Teuta W 3-250.4 1061 1148 42.91% 21.19% 35.90%+0.15 +11.9 37
2004-04-24 @ Lushnja L 2-350.4 1148 1061 35.90% 21.19% 42.91%-0.15 -11.9 47
2004-04-25 Partizani W 3-137.6 1269 1199 61.58% 20.20% 18.22%+1.11 +12.2 62
2004-04-25 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-337.6 1199 1269 18.22% 20.20% 61.58%-1.11 -12.2 56
2004-04-25 Vllaznia D 2-259.3 1085 1218 36.31% 21.19% 42.50%-0.13 +0.3 37
2004-04-25 @ KF Elbasani D 2-259.3 1218 1085 42.50% 21.19% 36.31%+0.13 -0.4 53
2004-05-01 Dinamo Tirana D 2-259.4 1137 1282 34.75% 21.17% 44.08%-0.20 +0.5 48
2004-05-01 @ Teuta D 2-259.4 1282 1137 44.08% 21.17% 34.75%+0.20 -0.5 63
2004-05-01 Flamurtari W 4-024.3 1084 804 76.42% 17.01% 6.57%+2.39 +9.7 35
2004-05-01 @ Shkumbini L 0-424.3 804 1084 6.57% 17.01% 76.42%-2.39 -9.7 10
2004-05-01 KF Elbasani W 2-139.1 1187 1085 64.54% 19.82% 15.64%+1.31 +6.1 59
2004-05-01 @ Partizani L 1-239.1 1085 1187 15.64% 19.82% 64.54%-1.31 -6.1 37
2004-05-01 KF Tirana W 3-039.8 1218 1389 31.32% 21.10% 47.58%-0.36 +45.9 56
2004-05-01 @ Vllaznia L 0-339.8 1389 1218 47.58% 21.10% 31.32%+0.36 -45.9 74
2004-05-01 Lushnja D 0-050.0 974 1073 41.19% 21.20% 37.60%+0.08 -0.3 29
2004-05-01 @ Besa D 0-050.0 1073 974 37.60% 21.20% 41.19%-0.08 +0.3 38
2004-05-05 Dinamo Tirana D 1-154.2 1074 1281 26.88% 20.92% 52.20%-0.58 +2.0 39
2004-05-05 @ Lushnja D 1-154.2 1281 1074 52.20% 20.92% 26.88%+0.58 -2.0 64
2004-05-05 Partizani D 0-051.2 1343 1193 68.33% 19.19% 12.47%+1.60 -5.3 75
2004-05-05 @ KF Tirana D 0-051.2 1193 1343 12.47% 19.19% 68.33%-1.60 +5.3 60
2004-05-05 Shkumbini L 1-440.9 974 1094 38.20% 21.21% 40.60%-0.05 -32.3 29
2004-05-05 @ Besa W 4-140.9 1094 974 40.60% 21.21% 38.20%+0.05 +32.3 38
2004-05-05 Teuta W 2-036.5 1079 1137 46.83% 21.12% 32.05%+0.33 +22.9 40
2004-05-05 @ KF Elbasani L 0-236.5 1137 1079 32.05% 21.12% 46.83%-0.33 -22.9 48
2004-05-05 Vllaznia L 0-131.2 795 1264 7.79% 17.64% 74.57%-2.18 -3.3 10
2004-05-05 @ Flamurtari W 1-031.2 1264 795 74.57% 17.64% 7.79%+2.18 +3.2 59
2004-05-08 Besa W 6-024.3 1267 942 78.61% 16.16% 5.24%+2.67 +11.2 62
2004-05-08 @ Vllaznia L 0-624.3 942 1267 5.24% 16.16% 78.61%-2.67 -11.2 29
2004-05-08 Flamurtari D 1-156.0 1199 791 81.99% 14.55% 3.47%+3.17 -6.7 61
2004-05-08 @ Partizani D 1-156.0 791 1199 3.47% 14.55% 81.99%-3.17 +6.7 11
2004-05-08 KF Elbasani W 5-026.4 1279 1102 70.34% 18.77% 10.89%+1.77 +20.1 67
2004-05-08 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-526.4 1102 1279 10.89% 18.77% 70.34%-1.77 -20.1 40
2004-05-08 KF Tirana D 2-259.6 1114 1338 25.07% 20.82% 54.11%-0.68 +1.7 49
2004-05-08 @ Teuta D 2-259.6 1338 1114 54.11% 20.82% 25.07%+0.68 -1.7 76
2004-05-08 Lushnja W 4-241.8 1126 1076 59.68% 20.40% 19.93%+0.99 +11.8 41
2004-05-08 @ Shkumbini L 2-441.8 1076 1126 19.93% 20.40% 59.68%-0.99 -11.8 39
2004-05-15 Dinamo Tirana D 1-155.4 1336 1299 58.22% 20.53% 21.25%+0.91 -3.0 77
2004-05-15 @ KF Tirana D 1-155.4 1299 1336 21.25% 20.53% 58.22%-0.91 +3.0 68
2004-05-15 KF Elbasani W 1-038.0 1064 1082 52.02% 20.93% 27.04%+0.58 +10.6 42
2004-05-15 @ Lushnja L 0-138.0 1082 1064 27.04% 20.93% 52.02%-0.58 -10.5 40
2004-05-15 Partizani L 3-448.8 930 1192 21.12% 20.52% 58.37%-0.92 -7.4 29
2004-05-15 @ Besa W 4-348.8 1192 930 58.37% 20.52% 21.12%+0.92 +7.4 64
2004-05-15 Teuta W 3-150.8 798 1116 16.25% 19.92% 63.83%-1.26 +35.9 14
2004-05-15 @ Flamurtari L 1-350.8 1116 798 63.83% 19.92% 16.25%+1.26 -35.9 49
2004-05-15 Vllaznia L 0-140.8 1138 1278 35.43% 21.18% 43.39%-0.17 -13.2 41
2004-05-15 @ Shkumbini W 1-040.8 1278 1138 43.39% 21.18% 35.43%+0.17 +13.2 65
2004-05-22 Besa W 6-129.6 1080 923 68.90% 19.08% 12.02%+1.64 +18.4 52
2004-05-22 @ Teuta L 1-629.6 923 1080 12.02% 19.08% 68.90%-1.64 -18.4 29
2004-05-22 Flamurtari W 2-025.3 1302 834 84.12% 13.33% 2.54%+3.54 +1.8 71
2004-05-22 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-225.3 834 1302 2.54% 13.33% 84.12%-3.54 -1.9 14
2004-05-22 KF Tirana L 2-538.8 1071 1333 21.10% 20.51% 58.39%-0.92 -17.0 40
2004-05-22 @ KF Elbasani W 5-238.8 1333 1071 58.39% 20.51% 21.10%+0.92 +17.0 80
2004-05-22 Lushnja W 4-131.4 1291 1074 72.90% 18.13% 8.97%+2.01 +8.7 68
2004-05-22 @ Vllaznia L 1-431.4 1074 1291 8.97% 18.13% 72.90%-2.01 -8.7 42
2004-05-22 Shkumbini W 4-241.2 1199 1125 62.00% 20.15% 17.85%+1.14 +10.7 67
2004-05-22 @ Partizani L 2-441.2 1125 1199 17.85% 20.15% 62.00%-1.14 -10.7 41

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2004-01-25 7.93% Shkumbini 986 2 @ Teuta 1227 1
2 2003-10-08 13.54% Teuta 1203 3 @ KF Tirana 1336 1
3 2004-01-25 14.15% Vllaznia 1155 1 @ Partizani 1279 0
4 2004-05-15 16.25% @ Flamurtari 798 3 Teuta 1116 1
5 2003-11-08 16.89% Besa 1029 2 @ KF Elbasani 1115 1
6 2003-11-29 17.86% Dinamo Tirana 1168 4 @ Teuta 1243 3
7 2004-03-27 22.12% @ Shkumbini 1012 3 Partizani 1263 0
8 2004-03-13 23.87% @ Besa 976 2 Vllaznia 1210 1
9 2003-09-02 24.57% Teuta 1146 2 @ Vllaznia 1150 0
10 2003-11-08 25.00% @ Lushnja 1003 1 Partizani 1227 0
11 2004-01-30 25.08% @ Shkumbini 1010 1 Dinamo Tirana 1233 0
12 2003-08-31 25.75% Dinamo Tirana 1124 4 @ Shkumbini 1117 1
13 2004-03-20 26.03% @ Dinamo Tirana 1201 3 KF Tirana 1416 0
14 2003-09-27 26.10% Besa 1043 1 @ Lushnja 1034 0
15 2003-11-22 27.91% Partizani 1227 2 @ Dinamo Tirana 1202 0
16 2004-03-27 28.03% @ Besa 991 2 Teuta 1189 1
17 2003-11-29 29.08% Lushnja 1061 1 @ Besa 1026 0
18 2003-10-04 29.16% @ Partizani 1176 3 KF Tirana 1364 1
19 2003-10-08 29.33% Vllaznia 1114 2 @ Besa 1077 0
20 2003-11-19 29.79% Lushnja 1022 5 @ Flamurtari 982 1
21 2003-12-10 30.76% Dinamo Tirana 1202 4 @ Vllaznia 1153 1
22 2003-10-25 30.95% @ Lushnja 990 2 Vllaznia 1164 1
23 2004-05-01 31.32% @ Vllaznia 1218 3 KF Tirana 1389 0
24 2004-03-13 32.35% @ KF Elbasani 1054 2 Dinamo Tirana 1216 1
25 2003-10-04 33.35% Besa 1062 2 @ Shkumbini 993 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2003-08-23 70.12 KF Tirana 6 1246 42.70% @ Lushnja 0 1111 36.10% 21.19%
2 2004-03-27 54.29 @ Shkumbini 3 1012 22.12% Partizani 0 1263 57.27% 20.61%
3 2003-11-19 51.44 Lushnja 5 1022 29.79% @ Flamurtari 1 982 49.16% 21.05%
4 2004-03-20 50.60 @ Dinamo Tirana 3 1201 26.03% KF Tirana 0 1416 53.09% 20.88%
5 2004-05-01 45.92 @ Vllaznia 3 1218 31.32% KF Tirana 0 1389 47.58% 21.10%
6 2003-08-31 42.90 Dinamo Tirana 4 1124 25.75% @ Shkumbini 1 1117 53.39% 20.86%
7 2003-09-13 42.84 @ KF Elbasani 5 1079 54.66% Shkumbini 0 1074 24.55% 20.79%
8 2003-12-10 39.13 Dinamo Tirana 4 1202 30.76% @ Vllaznia 1 1153 48.16% 21.08%
9 2003-10-08 37.64 Teuta 3 1203 13.54% @ KF Tirana 1 1336 67.03% 19.43%
10 2004-05-15 35.90 @ Flamurtari 3 798 16.25% Teuta 1 1116 63.83% 19.92%
11 2003-09-02 35.78 Teuta 2 1146 24.57% @ Vllaznia 0 1150 54.64% 20.79%
12 2003-11-22 33.68 Partizani 2 1227 27.91% @ Dinamo Tirana 0 1202 51.12% 20.97%
13 2003-10-08 32.81 Vllaznia 2 1114 29.33% @ Besa 0 1077 49.64% 21.03%
14 2003-10-08 32.51 Partizani 3 1204 47.77% @ Flamurtari 0 1032 31.14% 21.09%
15 2004-05-05 32.34 Shkumbini 4 1094 40.60% @ Besa 1 974 38.20% 21.21%
16 2003-10-04 28.50 @ Partizani 3 1176 29.16% KF Tirana 1 1364 49.81% 21.03%
17 2003-11-19 28.42 @ Shkumbini 2 965 36.91% KF Elbasani 0 1094 41.89% 21.20%
18 2003-09-27 27.38 @ Flamurtari 3 1018 53.78% Shkumbini 0 1021 25.38% 20.84%
19 2003-10-18 27.26 @ KF Elbasani 4 1082 61.10% Lushnja 0 1017 18.65% 20.25%
20 2003-08-23 27.18 @ Partizani 4 1129 48.10% Vllaznia 1 1177 30.81% 21.08%
21 2004-04-10 26.15 @ KF Elbasani 4 1068 62.04% Besa 0 994 17.82% 20.15%
22 2003-12-13 24.35 @ Shkumbini 2 987 44.31% Lushnja 0 1064 34.52% 21.17%
23 2004-01-25 23.94 Shkumbini 2 986 7.93% @ Teuta 1 1227 74.37% 17.70%
24 2003-12-20 23.30 Vllaznia 3 1125 39.66% @ Shkumbini 1 1011 39.13% 21.21%
25 2004-05-05 22.93 @ KF Elbasani 2 1079 46.83% Teuta 0 1137 32.05% 21.12%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2003-11-29 61.1 Dinamo Tirana 4 1168 17.86% @ Teuta 3 1243 61.99% 20.15%
2 2004-05-08 59.6 @ Teuta 2 1114 25.07% KF Tirana 2 1338 54.11% 20.82%
3 2004-04-10 59.4 @ Teuta 2 1158 48.27% Vllaznia 2 1205 30.65% 21.08%
4 2004-05-01 59.4 @ Teuta 2 1137 34.75% Dinamo Tirana 2 1282 44.08% 21.17%
5 2004-04-17 59.3 @ Flamurtari 2 815 22.44% Lushnja 2 1064 56.93% 20.63%
6 2004-04-25 59.3 @ KF Elbasani 2 1085 36.31% Vllaznia 2 1218 42.50% 21.19%
7 2003-11-22 59.2 @ KF Elbasani 2 1066 41.28% Vllaznia 2 1164 37.52% 21.20%
8 2004-01-30 56.3 KF Elbasani 4 1056 33.37% @ Besa 3 988 45.48% 21.15%
9 2004-01-25 56.1 Shkumbini 2 986 7.93% @ Teuta 1 1227 74.37% 17.70%
10 2004-05-08 56.0 @ Partizani 1 1199 81.99% Flamurtari 1 791 3.47% 14.55%
11 2004-05-15 55.4 @ KF Tirana 1 1336 58.22% Dinamo Tirana 1 1299 21.25% 20.53%
12 2003-11-08 54.6 @ Teuta 1 1253 63.65% Vllaznia 1 1161 16.40% 19.95%
13 2003-12-24 54.6 @ KF Elbasani 1 1036 15.91% KF Tirana 1 1359 64.23% 19.87%
14 2004-01-25 54.6 @ Lushnja 1 1053 17.51% KF Tirana 1 1355 62.38% 20.11%
15 2004-02-21 54.4 @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1214 56.20% Vllaznia 1 1196 23.11% 20.69%
16 2003-09-13 54.3 @ Teuta 1 1182 56.37% Partizani 1 1162 22.95% 20.67%
17 2003-09-26 54.3 @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1178 52.84% Teuta 1 1189 26.27% 20.89%
18 2004-02-28 54.2 @ KF Elbasani 1 1057 25.97% Partizani 1 1272 53.15% 20.87%
19 2004-03-06 54.2 @ Shkumbini 1 1021 59.48% Besa 1 973 20.11% 20.42%
20 2004-05-05 54.2 @ Lushnja 1 1074 26.88% Dinamo Tirana 1 1281 52.20% 20.92%
21 2003-08-30 54.1 @ Besa 1 1060 52.11% KF Elbasani 1 1077 26.96% 20.93%
22 2003-12-06 54.1 @ KF Elbasani 1 1060 32.14% Teuta 1 1224 46.74% 21.12%
23 2003-11-01 54.0 @ Flamurtari 1 983 36.56% KF Elbasani 1 1115 42.24% 21.20%
24 2003-11-08 53.4 Besa 2 1029 16.89% @ KF Elbasani 1 1115 63.09% 20.02%
25 2004-03-27 52.9 @ Lushnja 3 1056 34.62% Vllaznia 2 1202 44.21% 21.17%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2004-02-21 23.1 @ KF Tirana 5 1358 81.08% Besa 0 974 3.91% 15.02%
2 2003-12-13 23.7 @ Partizani 5 1259 78.93% Flamurtari 0 927 5.05% 16.02%
3 2004-05-01 24.3 @ Shkumbini 4 1084 76.42% Flamurtari 0 804 6.57% 17.01%
4 2004-05-08 24.3 @ Vllaznia 6 1267 78.61% Besa 0 942 5.24% 16.16%
5 2004-04-03 25.2 @ KF Tirana 3 1372 77.52% Lushnja 0 1070 5.88% 16.60%
6 2004-04-10 25.2 @ KF Tirana 5 1378 86.91% Flamurtari 1 817 1.57% 11.52%
7 2004-03-27 25.3 @ KF Tirana 3 1365 77.37% KF Elbasani 0 1066 5.97% 16.66%
8 2004-05-22 25.3 @ Dinamo Tirana 2 1302 84.12% Flamurtari 0 834 2.54% 13.33%
9 2003-10-18 26.4 @ Vllaznia 4 1146 69.46% Shkumbini 0 982 11.58% 18.96%
10 2004-05-08 26.4 @ Dinamo Tirana 5 1279 70.34% KF Elbasani 0 1102 10.89% 18.77%
11 2004-02-21 26.7 @ Lushnja 4 1044 68.36% Flamurtari 0 894 12.46% 19.19%
12 2004-03-27 26.9 Dinamo Tirana 3 1252 71.21% @ Flamurtari 0 838 10.22% 18.57%
13 2003-09-12 27.2 @ KF Tirana 7 1339 76.45% Besa 1 1058 6.55% 17.00%
14 2003-12-24 27.3 @ Dinamo Tirana 2 1225 77.58% Flamurtari 0 922 5.85% 16.58%
15 2004-03-06 27.3 @ Vllaznia 5 1205 79.87% Flamurtari 1 851 4.53% 15.60%
16 2004-03-13 27.4 @ KF Tirana 3 1405 72.40% Teuta 0 1196 9.33% 18.27%
17 2004-02-25 27.5 @ Vllaznia 4 1198 66.03% KF Elbasani 0 1078 14.37% 19.60%
18 2003-10-18 28.3 @ Teuta 2 1241 74.33% Flamurtari 0 1000 7.96% 17.71%
19 2004-01-25 28.3 @ KF Elbasani 3 1040 66.27% Flamurtari 0 917 14.17% 19.56%
20 2004-01-30 28.5 KF Tirana 2 1351 73.46% @ Flamurtari 0 901 8.57% 17.97%
21 2003-11-08 28.6 @ Dinamo Tirana 2 1195 73.30% Shkumbini 0 972 8.68% 18.02%
22 2004-04-10 28.6 @ KF Elbasani 4 1068 62.04% Besa 0 994 17.82% 20.15%
23 2003-10-18 28.9 @ KF Elbasani 4 1082 61.10% Lushnja 0 1017 18.65% 20.25%
24 2004-05-22 29.6 @ Teuta 6 1080 68.90% Besa 1 923 12.02% 19.08%
25 2004-01-30 29.8 @ Partizani 5 1256 71.81% Lushnja 1 1056 9.77% 18.42%