2004-05 Kategoria Superiore Season

180 games

Final

Champion

KF Tirana

84 points · 22nd Title

Last Title: 2003-04

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

KF Elbasani

15.60 points above expected

79 points · 63.40 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Laci

11.14 points below expected

2 points · 13.14 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	KF Tirana Champion	36	26	6	4	84	82	32	+50	77.35	+6.65
2	KF Elbasani	36	24	7	5	79	59	27	+32	63.40	+15.60
3	Dinamo Tirana	36	18	8	10	62	51	30	+21	61.47	+0.53
4	Vllaznia	36	19	4	13	61	80	47	+33	62.91	-1.91
5	Teuta	36	16	4	16	52	46	49	-3	46.03	+5.97
6	Lushnja	36	13	9	14	48	43	47	-4	45.16	+2.84
7	Shkumbini	36	14	6	16	48	49	47	+2	50.55	-2.55
8	Partizani	36	13	7	16	46	59	58	+1	51.53	-5.53
9	Egnatia	36	7	7	22	28	26	47	-21	37.62	-9.62
10	Laci	36	0	2	34	2	13	124	-111	13.14	-11.14

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	KF Elbasani	79	63.40	+15.60
2	KF Tirana	84	77.35	+6.65
3	Teuta	52	46.03	+5.97
4	Lushnja	48	45.16	+2.84
5	Dinamo Tirana	62	61.47	+0.53

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Laci	2	13.14	-11.14
2	Egnatia	28	37.62	-9.62
3	Partizani	46	51.53	-5.53
4	Shkumbini	48	50.55	-2.55
5	Vllaznia	61	62.91	-1.91

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lushnja	3	Oct 23 – Nov 6	1 in 80
2	KF Elbasani	5	Oct 17 – Nov 13	1 in 60
3	Dinamo Tirana	4	Mar 12 – Apr 9	1 in 59
4	Teuta	3	Oct 23 – Nov 6	1 in 54
5	KF Tirana	7	Aug 21 – Oct 16	1 in 43

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Laci	31	Sep 25 – May 14	1 in 2,405
2	Egnatia	4	Oct 23 – Nov 13	1 in 21
3	Vllaznia	3	Mar 12 – Apr 2	1 in 19
4	Dinamo Tirana	2	Oct 23 – Oct 30	1 in 12
5	Teuta	4	Aug 21 – Sep 18	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Teuta	7	Feb 2 – Mar 19	1 in 81
2	Lushnja	5	Jan 15 – Feb 11	1 in 38
3	Dinamo Tirana	9	Mar 12 – May 14	1 in 31
4	KF Elbasani	9	Mar 19 – May 21	1 in 21
5	Shkumbini	5	Aug 28 – Oct 2	1 in 7

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	KF Tirana	3	Feb 26 – Mar 12	1 in 37
2	Lushnja	7	Aug 21 – Oct 16	1 in 18
3	Laci	36	Aug 21 – May 21	1 in 17
4	Vllaznia	5	Mar 12 – Apr 16	1 in 15
5	Egnatia	8	Dec 18 – Feb 19	1 in 8

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
KF Tirana	1480	84	+44	12	9.9	+2.1
KF Elbasani	1428	79	+87	15	9.1	+5.9
Dinamo Tirana	1371	62	-9	10	10.6	-0.6
Vllaznia	1266	61	+32	10	8.9	+1.1
Teuta	1199	52	+14	8	7.1	+0.9
Shkumbini	1185	48	-6	5	5.9	-0.9
Lushnja	1173	48	-32	4	6.1	-2.1
Partizani	1154	46	-93	1	6.4	-5.4
Egnatia	1010	28	-27	4	5.5	-1.5
Laci	667	2	-10	1	1.2	-0.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	DT	EGN	KE	KT	LAC	LUS	PAR	SHK	TEU	VLL
Dinamo Tirana	—	2-1-1 8.14	0-4-0 5.85	2-0-2 3.41	4-0-0 10.32	2-2-0 7.76	4-0-0 6.27	2-0-2 7.12	0-1-3 8.04	2-0-2 5.27
Egnatia	1-1-2 3.18	—	0-0-4 3.07	0-0-4 2.30	4-0-0 9.24	0-1-3 4.79	1-1-2 3.95	0-3-1 3.95	0-0-4 4.16	1-1-2 2.88
KF Elbasani	0-4-0 5.45	4-0-0 8.25	—	2-2-0 3.30	4-0-0 10.01	3-0-1 7.19	3-1-0 7.02	3-0-1 7.37	3-0-1 7.42	2-0-2 5.96
KF Tirana	2-0-2 7.90	4-0-0 9.05	0-2-2 8.00	—	4-0-0 10.63	3-1-0 8.94	3-1-0 8.57	4-0-0 8.36	3-1-0 9.36	3-1-0 7.33
Laci	0-0-4 1.10	0-0-4 2.11	0-0-4 1.38	0-0-4 0.83	—	0-1-3 1.72	0-1-3 1.40	0-0-4 1.80	0-0-4 2.13	0-0-4 0.99
Lushnja	0-2-2 3.55	3-1-0 6.52	1-0-3 4.12	0-1-3 2.39	3-1-0 9.65	—	1-1-2 5.15	2-1-1 5.10	1-2-1 5.79	2-0-2 3.55
Partizani	0-0-4 5.03	2-1-1 7.36	0-1-3 4.28	0-1-3 2.76	3-1-0 9.98	2-1-1 6.15	—	1-1-2 5.59	4-0-0 6.42	1-1-2 4.68
Shkumbini	2-0-2 4.18	1-3-0 7.35	1-0-3 3.94	0-0-4 2.96	4-0-0 9.57	1-1-2 6.20	2-1-1 5.70	—	3-0-1 6.27	0-1-3 4.51
Teuta	3-1-0 3.28	4-0-0 7.14	1-0-3 3.89	0-1-3 1.99	4-0-0 9.24	1-2-1 5.51	0-0-4 4.88	1-0-3 5.02	—	2-0-2 3.93
Vllaznia	2-0-2 6.03	2-1-1 8.44	2-0-2 5.34	0-1-3 3.98	4-0-0 10.44	2-0-2 7.76	2-1-1 6.62	3-1-0 6.79	2-0-2 7.37	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.76	+9.7
Allowed	0.74	-7.4
Differential	0.90	+5.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.44%	12.78%	8.06%	2.22%	0.83%	2.22%	30.56%
1	12.78%	6.67%	6.11%	3.61%	0.83%	1.39%	31.39%
2	8.06%	6.11%	3.89%	1.67%	0.83%	0.28%	20.83%
3	2.22%	3.61%	1.67%	1.11%	0.28%	0.56%	9.44%
4	0.83%	0.83%	0.83%	0.28%	—	—	2.78%
5+	2.22%	1.39%	0.28%	0.56%	—	0.56%	5.00%
Total	30.56%	31.39%	20.83%	9.44%	2.78%	5.00%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	1.41	+0.00
SD	1.46	1.46	2.17
CV	1.04	1.04	—
Max	8	8	+8
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	—	27.78%
1	13.89%	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
2	13.89%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	25.00%
3	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	44.44%	30.56%	22.22%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	0.83	+0.58
SD	1.34	0.88	1.57
CV	0.95	1.05	—
Max	6	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	22.22%	11.11%	—	—	—	44.44%
1	8.33%	8.33%	11.11%	11.11%	2.78%	—	41.67%
2	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	33.33%	22.22%	13.89%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.72	1.31	-0.58
SD	0.78	1.12	1.34
CV	1.08	0.86	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
1	27.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	36.11%
2	11.11%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	36.11%
3	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	52.78%	27.78%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	0.75	+0.89
SD	1.31	1.00	1.56
CV	0.80	1.33	—
Max	7	4	+7
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
1	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
2	13.89%	8.33%	11.11%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	8.33%	11.11%	—	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	5.56%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
Total	47.22%	25.00%	19.44%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.28	0.89	+1.39
SD	1.41	1.01	1.71
CV	0.62	1.13	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	25.00%	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	22.22%	75.00%
1	—	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	11.11%	22.22%
2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%	2.78%
Total	—	27.78%	13.89%	13.89%	8.33%	36.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.36	3.44	-3.08
SD	0.90	2.17	2.17
CV	2.49	0.63	—
Max	5	8	+0
Min	0	1	-8

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	30.56%
1	11.11%	16.67%	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	38.89%
2	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	16.67%
3	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	30.56%	30.56%	19.44%	16.67%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.19	1.31	-0.11
SD	1.17	1.17	1.86
CV	0.98	0.89	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	11.11%	11.11%	—	2.78%	—	27.78%
1	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
2	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	22.22%
3	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	11.11%
4	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%	5.56%
Total	22.22%	36.11%	19.44%	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	1.61	+0.03
SD	1.50	1.44	1.99
CV	0.91	0.89	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
1	11.11%	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
2	11.11%	5.56%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	22.22%
3	—	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	11.11%
4	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	27.78%	38.89%	16.67%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.31	+0.06
SD	1.25	1.24	1.49
CV	0.92	0.95	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.89%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
1	25.00%	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	—	2.78%	44.44%
2	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	—	—	5.56%	—	—	2.78%	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	30.56%	27.78%	30.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.28	1.36	-0.08
SD	1.37	1.38	1.95
CV	1.07	1.01	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.11%	13.89%	—	—	—	25.00%
1	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
2	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
3	—	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
4	—	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	5.56%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
Total	22.22%	36.11%	30.56%	11.11%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.22	1.31	+0.92
SD	2.18	0.95	2.50
CV	0.98	0.73	—
Max	8	3	+8
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
KF Tirana	1480	84	77.35	+6.65	84.0%	58	64	73	78	82	87	91
KF Elbasani	1428	79	63.40	+15.60	100.0%	43	52	58	64	69	75	79
Dinamo Tirana	1371	62	61.47	+0.53	51.0%	42	45	56	62	66	74	82
Vllaznia	1266	61	62.91	-1.91	49.0%	47	51	57	62	69	75	79
Teuta	1199	52	46.03	+5.97	83.0%	30	33	41	46	51	59	62
Shkumbini	1185	48	50.55	-2.55	42.0%	34	40	45	50	55	63	68
Lushnja	1173	48	45.16	+2.84	67.0%	26	30	40	46	50	55	62
Partizani	1154	46	51.53	-5.53	29.0%	33	37	45	51	57	65	71
Egnatia	1010	28	37.62	-9.62	6.0%	16	28	33	37	43	48	53
Laci	667	2	13.14	-11.14	2.0%	1	5	10	13	17	20	27

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 27% * Slight Edge: 27% to 33% * Clear Edge: 33% to 40% * Strong Edge: 40% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+21.11%

No Edge

52.22%16.67%31.11%

Elo Value

Home Edge

167 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

074.47500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.48 goals

Neutral

-2+0.45+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.04 * Tight Race: 0.04 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.5

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

80%

KF Tirana, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.14/gm

Comfortable

00.270.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.73 * Some Luck: 5.73 to 8.6 * Lucky: 8.6 to 11.47 * Wild Swing: 11.47 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.78 * Close: 0.78 to 1.16 * Off: 1.16 to 1.55 * Way Off: 1.55 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.67 points

Some Luck

07.1718

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

00.972

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

100.00%

KF Elbasani

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

2.00%

Laci

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 77.5% * Wide Edge: 77.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 93% * Strong Edge: 93% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 72.5% * Very Frequent: 72.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 10.5% * Occasional: 10.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.24

Lopsided

00.120.210.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 232.65

2.86

Wide Separation

0.91.351.82.153

Interquartile Edge

74%

Clear Edge

50%63.5%72.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 99%

99%

Dominant

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

58%

Few

0%52%100%

Blowouts

Expected

16%

Frequent

0%24%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.56 * Notable Separation: 0.56 to 0.62 * Lopsided: 0.62 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14.5% * Upset-Prone: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 18.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 10.5% * As Expected: 10.5% to 12.5% * Shaky Favorites: 12.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.47

Highly Predictable

00.522

Matchup Imbalance

0.48

Very Even

00.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.47

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

0.46

Some Carryover

00.410.590.731

Upset Rate

Expected

18%

Upset-Prone

0%22%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

13%

Shaky Favorites

0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.

Probability calibration

0.22

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.31

Very Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.080

Well Within Noise

00.1130.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
KF Tirana	80.00%	14.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
KF Elbasani	3.00%	32.00%	29.00%	23.00%	8.00%	4.00%	—	1.00%	—	—
Dinamo Tirana	8.00%	25.00%	26.00%	15.00%	13.00%	7.00%	1.00%	5.00%	—	—
Vllaznia	9.00%	24.00%	22.00%	26.00%	12.00%	6.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Teuta	—	—	2.00%	8.00%	12.00%	14.00%	25.00%	24.00%	15.00%	—
Lushnja	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	14.00%	21.00%	24.00%	23.00%	15.00%	—
Shkumbini	—	3.00%	6.00%	11.00%	23.00%	15.00%	26.00%	11.00%	5.00%	—
Partizani	—	2.00%	11.00%	13.00%	15.00%	26.00%	16.00%	13.00%	4.00%	—
Egnatia	—	—	—	—	2.00%	7.00%	7.00%	23.00%	61.00%	—
Laci	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	100.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Dinamo Tirana	100%	—
KF Elbasani	100%	—
KF Tirana	100%	—
Vllaznia	100%	—
Partizani	96.00%	4.00%
Shkumbini	95.00%	5.00%
Lushnja	85.00%	15.00%
Teuta	85.00%	15.00%
Egnatia	39.00%	61.00%
Laci	—	100%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2004-08-21	Laci	W 2-0	29.8	1151	960	70.36%	16.79%	12.86%	+1.60	+13.5	3
2004-08-21	@ KF Elbasani	L 0-2	29.8	960	1151	12.86%	16.79%	70.36%	-1.60	-13.5	0
2004-08-21	Lushnja	W 3-0	30.7	1234	1152	60.93%	17.36%	21.71%	+0.94	+32.0	3
2004-08-21	@ Partizani	L 0-3	30.7	1152	1234	21.71%	17.36%	60.93%	-0.94	-32.0	0
2004-08-21	Shkumbini	W 1-0	34.5	1314	1181	65.80%	17.13%	17.07%	+1.25	+9.4	3
2004-08-21	@ KF Tirana	L 0-1	34.5	1181	1314	17.07%	17.13%	65.80%	-1.25	-9.4	0
2004-08-21	Teuta	W 6-1	31.7	1285	1174	63.70%	17.24%	19.06%	+1.11	+37.9	3
2004-08-21	@ Vllaznia	L 1-6	31.7	1174	1285	19.06%	17.24%	63.70%	-1.11	-37.9	0
2004-08-28	KF Elbasani	L 0-1	42.8	1120	1165	45.31%	17.66%	37.03%	+0.18	-21.9	0
2004-08-28	@ Lushnja	W 1-0	42.8	1165	1120	37.03%	17.66%	45.31%	-0.18	+21.9	6
2004-08-28	KF Tirana	L 0-2	36.9	1196	1324	33.77%	17.64%	48.59%	-0.32	-32.3	0
2004-08-28	@ Egnatia	W 2-0	36.9	1324	1196	48.59%	17.64%	33.77%	+0.32	+32.4	6
2004-08-28	Shkumbini	L 1-3	37.9	946	1171	22.34%	17.38%	60.28%	-0.90	-19.6	0
2004-08-28	@ Laci	W 3-1	37.9	1171	946	60.28%	17.38%	22.34%	+0.90	+19.5	3
2004-08-28	Vllaznia	L 0-1	44.1	1288	1322	46.73%	17.66%	35.61%	+0.24	-22.5	0
2004-08-28	@ Dinamo Tirana	W 1-0	44.1	1322	1288	35.61%	17.66%	46.73%	-0.24	+22.5	6
2004-08-29	Partizani	L 0-1	39.3	1136	1266	33.48%	17.64%	48.89%	-0.33	-17.0	0
2004-08-29	@ Teuta	W 1-0	39.3	1266	1136	48.89%	17.64%	33.48%	+0.33	+17.0	6
2004-09-10	Laci	W 1-0	29.4	1356	927	81.50%	14.75%	3.75%	+3.02	+2.1	9
2004-09-10	@ KF Tirana	L 0-1	29.4	927	1356	3.75%	14.75%	81.50%	-3.02	-2.1	0
2004-09-10	Teuta	W 2-0	33.2	1187	1119	59.38%	17.42%	23.20%	+0.85	+23.4	9
2004-09-10	@ KF Elbasani	L 0-2	33.2	1119	1187	23.20%	17.42%	59.38%	-0.85	-23.4	0
2004-09-11	Egnatia	W 3-2	42.8	1345	1164	69.61%	16.85%	13.54%	+1.53	+6.8	9
2004-09-11	@ Vllaznia	L 2-3	42.8	1164	1345	13.54%	16.85%	69.61%	-1.53	-6.8	0
2004-09-12	Dinamo Tirana	L 0-1	45.8	1283	1265	53.64%	17.57%	28.79%	+0.56	-25.5	6
2004-09-12	@ Partizani	W 1-0	45.8	1265	1283	28.79%	17.57%	53.64%	-0.56	+25.5	3
2004-09-12	Lushnja	W 2-0	32.4	1191	1098	61.99%	17.32%	20.69%	+1.00	+21.1	6
2004-09-12	@ Shkumbini	L 0-2	32.4	1098	1191	20.69%	17.32%	61.99%	-1.00	-21.1	0
2004-09-15	Dinamo Tirana	W 2-1	49.0	1157	1291	33.00%	17.63%	49.37%	-0.35	+22.3	3
2004-09-15	@ Egnatia	L 1-2	49.0	1291	1157	49.37%	17.63%	33.00%	+0.35	-22.3	3
2004-09-18	KF Elbasani	D 0-0	51.6	1268	1210	58.31%	17.45%	24.24%	+0.79	-4.2	4
2004-09-18	@ Dinamo Tirana	D 0-0	51.6	1210	1268	24.24%	17.45%	58.31%	-0.79	+4.2	10
2004-09-18	KF Tirana	L 1-2	51.1	1352	1358	50.52%	17.62%	31.86%	+0.41	-22.8	9
2004-09-18	@ Vllaznia	W 2-1	51.1	1358	1352	31.86%	17.62%	50.52%	-0.41	+22.8	12
2004-09-18	Laci	D 1-1	55.4	1077	924	67.37%	17.03%	15.61%	+1.36	-6.0	1
2004-09-18	@ Lushnja	D 1-1	55.4	924	1077	15.61%	17.03%	67.37%	-1.36	+6.0	1
2004-09-18	Partizani	W 1-0	41.9	1179	1258	40.59%	17.68%	41.74%	-0.02	+20.5	6
2004-09-18	@ Egnatia	L 0-1	41.9	1258	1179	41.74%	17.68%	40.59%	+0.02	-20.5	6
2004-09-18	Shkumbini	L 1-2	44.6	1096	1212	35.34%	17.65%	47.01%	-0.25	-16.8	0
2004-09-18	@ Teuta	W 2-1	44.6	1212	1096	47.01%	17.65%	35.34%	+0.25	+16.8	9
2004-09-25	Dinamo Tirana	W 2-1	45.0	1229	1264	46.67%	17.66%	35.68%	+0.23	+16.9	12
2004-09-25	@ Shkumbini	L 1-2	45.0	1264	1229	35.68%	17.66%	46.67%	-0.23	-16.9	4
2004-09-25	Egnatia	W 1-0	38.1	1215	1200	53.23%	17.57%	29.19%	+0.54	+15.2	13
2004-09-25	@ KF Elbasani	L 0-1	38.1	1200	1215	29.19%	17.57%	53.23%	-0.54	-15.2	6
2004-09-25	Teuta	L 0-1	38.4	930	1079	31.08%	17.60%	51.31%	-0.44	-16.0	1
2004-09-25	@ Laci	W 1-0	38.4	1079	930	51.31%	17.60%	31.08%	+0.44	+16.0	3
2004-09-25	Vllaznia	W 2-0	40.1	1237	1329	38.70%	17.67%	43.63%	-0.10	+40.1	9
2004-09-25	@ Partizani	L 0-2	40.1	1329	1237	43.63%	17.67%	38.70%	+0.10	-40.1	9
2004-09-26	Lushnja	W 3-0	26.0	1381	1071	77.09%	15.89%	7.02%	+2.31	+10.9	15
2004-09-26	@ KF Tirana	L 0-3	26.0	1071	1381	7.02%	15.89%	77.09%	-2.31	-10.9	1
2004-10-02	KF Elbasani	W 4-1	36.3	1289	1230	58.45%	17.45%	24.10%	+0.80	+29.6	12
2004-10-02	@ Vllaznia	L 1-4	36.3	1230	1289	24.10%	17.45%	58.45%	-0.80	-29.6	13
2004-10-02	KF Tirana	L 2-5	43.7	1277	1392	35.53%	17.65%	46.81%	-0.24	-35.8	9
2004-10-02	@ Partizani	W 5-2	43.7	1392	1277	46.81%	17.65%	35.53%	+0.24	+35.8	18
2004-10-02	Laci	W 6-1	27.1	1247	914	78.06%	15.69%	6.25%	+2.44	+13.0	7
2004-10-02	@ Dinamo Tirana	L 1-6	27.1	914	1247	6.25%	15.69%	78.06%	-2.44	-13.0	1
2004-10-02	Lushnja	D 1-1	55.3	1095	1060	55.69%	17.52%	26.79%	+0.66	-3.2	4
2004-10-02	@ Teuta	D 1-1	55.3	1060	1095	26.79%	17.52%	55.69%	-0.66	+3.2	2
2004-10-02	Shkumbini	L 0-2	39.4	1185	1246	43.08%	17.67%	39.25%	+0.08	-39.6	6
2004-10-02	@ Egnatia	W 2-0	39.4	1246	1185	39.25%	17.67%	43.08%	-0.08	+39.6	15
2004-10-16	Dinamo Tirana	L 0-2	33.9	1063	1260	25.33%	17.48%	57.19%	-0.73	-25.2	2
2004-10-16	@ Lushnja	W 2-0	33.9	1260	1063	57.19%	17.48%	25.33%	+0.73	+25.2	10
2004-10-16	Teuta	W 2-0	28.0	1428	1092	78.20%	15.66%	6.14%	+2.46	+6.6	21
2004-10-16	@ KF Tirana	L 0-2	28.0	1092	1428	6.14%	15.66%	78.20%	-2.46	-6.6	4
2004-10-16	Vllaznia	L 3-5	52.0	1285	1319	46.95%	17.65%	35.39%	+0.25	-31.2	15
2004-10-16	@ Shkumbini	W 5-3	52.0	1319	1285	35.39%	17.65%	46.95%	-0.25	+31.2	15
2004-10-17	Egnatia	L 0-2	32.3	901	1145	20.54%	17.31%	62.15%	-1.01	-20.9	1
2004-10-17	@ Laci	W 2-0	32.3	1145	901	62.15%	17.31%	20.54%	+1.01	+20.9	9
2004-10-17	Partizani	W 2-1	45.1	1200	1241	45.84%	17.66%	36.50%	+0.20	+17.3	16
2004-10-17	@ KF Elbasani	L 1-2	45.1	1241	1200	36.50%	17.66%	45.84%	-0.20	-17.3	9
2004-10-23	Laci	W 7-0	23.9	1350	881	82.62%	14.34%	3.04%	+3.26	+10.3	18
2004-10-23	@ Vllaznia	L 0-7	23.9	881	1350	3.04%	14.34%	82.62%	-3.26	-10.3	1
2004-10-23	Lushnja	L 0-2	45.7	1166	1038	65.30%	17.15%	17.55%	+1.21	-58.2	9
2004-10-23	@ Egnatia	W 2-0	45.7	1038	1166	17.55%	17.15%	65.30%	-1.21	+58.2	5
2004-10-23	Shkumbini	D 1-1	55.6	1224	1254	47.42%	17.65%	34.93%	+0.27	-1.3	10
2004-10-23	@ Partizani	D 1-1	55.6	1254	1224	34.93%	17.65%	47.42%	-0.27	+1.3	16
2004-10-23	Teuta	L 0-1	50.3	1285	1085	70.93%	16.73%	12.34%	+1.65	-33.6	10
2004-10-23	@ Dinamo Tirana	W 1-0	50.3	1085	1285	12.34%	16.73%	70.93%	-1.65	+33.6	7
2004-10-24	KF Tirana	W 3-1	50.3	1217	1434	23.18%	17.42%	59.41%	-0.85	+45.9	19
2004-10-24	@ KF Elbasani	L 1-3	50.3	1434	1217	59.41%	17.42%	23.18%	+0.85	-45.9	21
2004-10-30	Dinamo Tirana	W 3-1	37.4	1388	1252	66.06%	17.11%	16.83%	+1.27	+15.1	24
2004-10-30	@ KF Tirana	L 1-3	37.4	1252	1388	16.83%	17.11%	66.06%	-1.27	-15.1	10
2004-10-30	Egnatia	W 1-0	38.0	1119	1108	52.77%	17.58%	29.65%	+0.51	+15.4	10
2004-10-30	@ Teuta	L 0-1	38.0	1108	1119	29.65%	17.58%	52.77%	-0.51	-15.4	9
2004-10-30	KF Elbasani	L 1-2	49.5	1255	1263	50.34%	17.62%	32.04%	+0.40	-22.7	16
2004-10-30	@ Shkumbini	W 2-1	49.5	1263	1255	32.04%	17.62%	50.34%	-0.40	+22.7	22
2004-10-30	Partizani	L 0-4	26.4	870	1223	12.12%	16.71%	71.17%	-1.67	-24.3	1
2004-10-30	@ Laci	W 4-0	26.4	1223	870	71.17%	16.71%	12.12%	+1.67	+24.3	13
2004-10-31	Vllaznia	W 2-0	45.7	1096	1360	18.66%	17.22%	64.12%	-1.14	+57.1	8
2004-10-31	@ Lushnja	L 0-2	45.7	1360	1096	64.12%	17.22%	18.66%	+1.14	-57.1	18
2004-11-05	KF Tirana	L 0-1	38.8	1233	1404	28.34%	17.56%	54.11%	-0.58	-14.8	16
2004-11-05	@ Shkumbini	W 1-0	38.8	1404	1233	54.11%	17.56%	28.34%	+0.58	+14.8	27
2004-11-06	Egnatia	W 1-0	33.9	1237	1092	66.70%	17.07%	16.23%	+1.31	+9.0	13
2004-11-06	@ Dinamo Tirana	L 0-1	33.9	1092	1237	16.23%	17.07%	66.70%	-1.31	-9.0	9
2004-11-06	Partizani	W 1-0	42.5	1153	1247	38.38%	17.67%	43.95%	-0.12	+21.4	11
2004-11-06	@ Lushnja	L 0-1	42.5	1247	1153	43.95%	17.67%	38.38%	+0.12	-21.4	13
2004-11-06	Vllaznia	W 3-2	54.9	1134	1303	28.59%	17.56%	53.85%	-0.57	+22.9	13
2004-11-06	@ Teuta	L 2-3	54.9	1303	1134	53.85%	17.56%	28.59%	+0.57	-22.9	18
2004-11-07	KF Elbasani	L 0-1	31.0	846	1286	7.76%	16.05%	76.19%	-2.19	-4.4	1
2004-11-07	@ Laci	W 1-0	31.0	1286	846	76.19%	16.05%	7.76%	+2.19	+4.4	25
2004-11-13	Dinamo Tirana	W 2-1	42.4	1280	1246	55.61%	17.52%	26.86%	+0.65	+13.3	21
2004-11-13	@ Vllaznia	L 1-2	42.4	1246	1280	26.86%	17.52%	55.61%	-0.65	-13.3	13
2004-11-13	Egnatia	W 3-1	32.9	1418	1083	78.15%	15.67%	6.18%	+2.45	+5.7	30
2004-11-13	@ KF Tirana	L 1-3	32.9	1083	1418	6.18%	15.67%	78.15%	-2.45	-5.7	9
2004-11-13	Laci	W 5-1	27.6	1218	842	79.75%	15.28%	4.97%	+2.70	+8.4	19
2004-11-13	@ Shkumbini	L 1-5	27.6	842	1218	4.97%	15.28%	79.75%	-2.70	-8.4	1
2004-11-13	Lushnja	W 2-0	32.0	1290	1175	64.19%	17.21%	18.59%	+1.14	+19.1	28
2004-11-13	@ KF Elbasani	L 0-2	32.0	1175	1290	18.59%	17.21%	64.19%	-1.14	-19.1	11
2004-11-13	Teuta	W 2-1	40.9	1226	1157	59.49%	17.41%	23.10%	+0.86	+11.6	16
2004-11-13	@ Partizani	L 1-2	40.9	1157	1226	23.10%	17.41%	59.49%	-0.86	-11.6	13
2004-11-20	KF Elbasani	W 1-0	45.4	1145	1309	29.16%	17.57%	53.27%	-0.54	+25.3	16
2004-11-20	@ Teuta	L 0-1	45.4	1309	1145	53.27%	17.57%	29.16%	+0.54	-25.3	28
2004-11-20	KF Tirana	L 0-3	24.3	833	1424	3.51%	14.62%	81.86%	-3.09	-5.4	1
2004-11-20	@ Laci	W 3-0	24.3	1424	833	81.86%	14.62%	3.51%	+3.09	+5.4	33
2004-11-20	Partizani	W 3-2	48.3	1232	1237	50.69%	17.61%	31.69%	+0.42	+14.5	16
2004-11-20	@ Dinamo Tirana	L 2-3	48.3	1237	1232	31.69%	17.61%	50.69%	-0.42	-14.5	16
2004-11-20	Vllaznia	W 1-0	47.0	1078	1293	23.32%	17.42%	59.26%	-0.85	+28.0	12
2004-11-20	@ Egnatia	L 0-1	47.0	1293	1078	59.26%	17.42%	23.32%	+0.85	-28.0	21
2004-11-21	Shkumbini	W 3-1	43.6	1155	1226	41.68%	17.68%	40.65%	+0.02	+32.7	14
2004-11-21	@ Lushnja	L 1-3	43.6	1226	1155	40.65%	17.68%	41.68%	-0.02	-32.7	19
2004-11-27	Dinamo Tirana	D 0-0	51.7	1284	1247	55.95%	17.51%	26.53%	+0.67	-3.6	29
2004-11-27	@ KF Elbasani	D 0-0	51.7	1247	1284	26.53%	17.51%	55.95%	-0.67	+3.6	17
2004-11-27	Lushnja	L 0-1	32.3	828	1188	11.66%	16.66%	71.69%	-1.71	-6.5	1
2004-11-27	@ Laci	W 1-0	32.3	1188	828	71.69%	16.66%	11.66%	+1.71	+6.5	17
2004-11-27	Teuta	W 1-0	37.7	1194	1171	54.22%	17.55%	28.23%	+0.58	+14.7	22
2004-11-27	@ Shkumbini	L 0-1	37.7	1171	1194	28.23%	17.55%	54.22%	-0.58	-14.7	16
2004-11-27	Vllaznia	W 2-1	39.9	1429	1265	68.31%	16.96%	14.73%	+1.43	+7.7	36
2004-11-27	@ KF Tirana	L 1-2	39.9	1265	1429	14.73%	16.96%	68.31%	-1.43	-7.7	21
2004-11-28	Egnatia	W 2-1	39.4	1223	1106	64.32%	17.21%	18.47%	+1.15	+9.5	19
2004-11-28	@ Partizani	L 1-2	39.4	1106	1223	18.47%	17.21%	64.32%	-1.15	-9.5	12
2004-12-04	KF Elbasani	L 0-1	37.2	1096	1280	26.76%	17.52%	55.72%	-0.66	-14.0	12
2004-12-04	@ Egnatia	W 1-0	37.2	1280	1096	55.72%	17.52%	26.76%	+0.66	+14.0	32
2004-12-04	KF Tirana	L 0-3	31.3	1195	1437	20.63%	17.31%	62.05%	-1.01	-30.5	17
2004-12-04	@ Lushnja	W 3-0	31.3	1437	1195	62.05%	17.31%	20.63%	+1.01	+30.5	39
2004-12-04	Laci	W 6-1	27.1	1156	821	78.15%	15.67%	6.18%	+2.45	+12.8	19
2004-12-04	@ Teuta	L 1-6	27.1	821	1156	6.18%	15.67%	78.15%	-2.45	-12.8	1
2004-12-05	Partizani	W 3-1	40.0	1258	1232	54.50%	17.55%	27.95%	+0.60	+23.8	24
2004-12-05	@ Vllaznia	L 1-3	40.0	1232	1258	27.95%	17.55%	54.50%	-0.60	-23.8	19
2004-12-05	Shkumbini	W 3-2	46.6	1250	1208	56.51%	17.50%	25.99%	+0.70	+12.2	20
2004-12-05	@ Dinamo Tirana	L 2-3	46.6	1208	1250	25.99%	17.50%	56.51%	-0.70	-12.2	22
2004-12-10	Teuta	W 1-0	38.7	1164	1169	50.75%	17.61%	31.63%	+0.42	+16.2	20
2004-12-10	@ Lushnja	L 0-1	38.7	1169	1164	31.63%	17.61%	50.75%	-0.42	-16.2	19
2004-12-11	Dinamo Tirana	L 0-3	25.7	808	1263	7.21%	15.93%	76.86%	-2.28	-11.2	1
2004-12-11	@ Laci	W 3-0	25.7	1263	808	76.86%	15.93%	7.21%	+2.28	+11.2	23
2004-12-11	Egnatia	D 1-1	55.4	1196	1082	64.01%	17.22%	18.76%	+1.13	-5.2	23
2004-12-11	@ Shkumbini	D 1-1	55.4	1082	1196	18.76%	17.22%	64.01%	-1.13	+5.2	13
2004-12-11	Partizani	D 3-3	66.0	1468	1209	74.54%	16.31%	9.15%	+2.00	-4.8	40
2004-12-11	@ KF Tirana	D 3-3	66.0	1209	1468	9.15%	16.31%	74.54%	-2.00	+4.8	20
2004-12-12	Vllaznia	W 1-0	38.7	1295	1281	53.03%	17.58%	29.40%	+0.53	+15.2	35
2004-12-12	@ KF Elbasani	L 0-1	38.7	1281	1295	29.40%	17.58%	53.03%	-0.53	-15.2	24
2004-12-15	KF Elbasani	D 2-2	60.7	1213	1310	38.05%	17.67%	44.28%	-0.13	+0.5	21
2004-12-15	@ Partizani	D 2-2	60.7	1310	1213	44.28%	17.67%	38.05%	+0.13	-0.5	36
2004-12-15	KF Tirana	L 0-2	31.6	1153	1463	14.94%	16.97%	68.08%	-1.41	-15.6	19
2004-12-15	@ Teuta	W 2-0	31.6	1463	1153	68.08%	16.97%	14.94%	+1.41	+15.6	43
2004-12-15	Laci	W 1-0	30.9	1087	797	76.14%	16.06%	7.80%	+2.18	+4.4	16
2004-12-15	@ Egnatia	L 0-1	30.9	797	1087	7.80%	16.06%	76.14%	-2.18	-4.4	1
2004-12-15	Lushnja	D 1-1	55.7	1274	1180	62.05%	17.31%	20.64%	+1.01	-4.7	24
2004-12-15	@ Dinamo Tirana	D 1-1	55.7	1180	1274	20.64%	17.31%	62.05%	-1.01	+4.7	21
2004-12-15	Shkumbini	W 2-0	33.2	1266	1191	60.18%	17.39%	22.43%	+0.90	+22.7	27
2004-12-15	@ Vllaznia	L 0-2	33.2	1191	1266	22.43%	17.39%	60.18%	-0.90	-22.7	23
2004-12-18	Dinamo Tirana	W 1-0	44.1	1137	1269	33.19%	17.63%	49.18%	-0.35	+23.6	22
2004-12-18	@ Teuta	L 0-1	44.1	1269	1137	49.18%	17.63%	33.19%	+0.35	-23.6	24
2004-12-18	Egnatia	W 2-1	40.1	1185	1092	62.03%	17.32%	20.66%	+1.01	+10.5	24
2004-12-18	@ Lushnja	L 1-2	40.1	1092	1185	20.66%	17.32%	62.03%	-1.01	-10.5	16
2004-12-18	KF Elbasani	D 2-2	63.8	1478	1309	68.70%	16.93%	14.38%	+1.46	-4.7	44
2004-12-18	@ KF Tirana	D 2-2	63.8	1309	1478	14.38%	16.93%	68.70%	-1.46	+4.7	37
2004-12-18	Partizani	W 2-0	37.5	1168	1214	45.24%	17.67%	37.09%	+0.17	+35.0	26
2004-12-18	@ Shkumbini	L 0-2	37.5	1214	1168	37.09%	17.67%	45.24%	-0.17	-35.0	21
2004-12-18	Vllaznia	L 1-7	26.5	793	1289	5.80%	15.56%	78.64%	-2.53	-14.2	1
2004-12-18	@ Laci	W 7-1	26.5	1289	793	78.64%	15.56%	5.80%	+2.53	+14.2	30
2004-12-22	KF Tirana	W 2-1	54.1	1246	1474	22.03%	17.37%	60.59%	-0.92	+27.0	27
2004-12-22	@ Dinamo Tirana	L 1-2	54.1	1474	1246	60.59%	17.37%	22.03%	+0.92	-27.0	44
2004-12-22	Laci	W 4-1	29.2	1179	779	80.57%	15.05%	4.38%	+2.84	+5.7	24
2004-12-22	@ Partizani	L 1-4	29.2	779	1179	4.38%	15.05%	80.57%	-2.84	-5.7	1
2004-12-22	Lushnja	W 2-0	32.4	1303	1196	63.40%	17.25%	19.34%	+1.09	+19.8	33
2004-12-22	@ Vllaznia	L 0-2	32.4	1196	1303	19.34%	17.25%	63.40%	-1.09	-19.8	24
2004-12-22	Shkumbini	W 2-1	40.0	1314	1203	63.72%	17.24%	19.04%	+1.11	+9.8	40
2004-12-22	@ KF Elbasani	L 1-2	40.0	1203	1314	19.04%	17.24%	63.72%	-1.11	-9.8	26
2004-12-22	Teuta	L 1-2	46.1	1081	1161	40.46%	17.68%	41.86%	-0.03	-18.8	16
2004-12-22	@ Egnatia	W 2-1	46.1	1161	1081	41.86%	17.68%	40.46%	+0.03	+18.8	25
2005-01-15	Dinamo Tirana	D 0-0	51.3	1062	1273	23.89%	17.44%	58.67%	-0.81	+4.3	17
2005-01-15	@ Egnatia	D 0-0	51.3	1273	1062	58.67%	17.44%	23.89%	+0.81	-4.3	28
2005-01-15	Laci	W 7-0	23.2	1324	773	84.60%	13.44%	1.96%	+3.75	+6.5	43
2005-01-15	@ KF Elbasani	L 0-7	23.2	773	1324	1.96%	13.44%	84.60%	-3.75	-6.5	1
2005-01-15	Lushnja	D 1-1	55.4	1185	1176	52.49%	17.59%	29.93%	+0.50	-2.5	25
2005-01-15	@ Partizani	D 1-1	55.4	1176	1185	29.93%	17.59%	52.49%	-0.50	+2.5	25
2005-01-15	Teuta	W 2-0	31.4	1323	1179	66.63%	17.07%	16.30%	+1.31	+16.9	36
2005-01-15	@ Vllaznia	L 0-2	31.4	1179	1323	16.30%	17.07%	66.63%	-1.31	-16.9	25
2005-01-16	Shkumbini	W 2-0	29.9	1447	1193	74.22%	16.35%	9.42%	+1.96	+10.0	47
2005-01-16	@ KF Tirana	L 0-2	29.9	1193	1447	9.42%	16.35%	74.22%	-1.96	-10.0	26
2005-01-22	KF Elbasani	W 3-2	54.5	1178	1330	30.63%	17.60%	51.77%	-0.47	+22.1	28
2005-01-22	@ Lushnja	L 2-3	54.5	1330	1178	51.77%	17.60%	30.63%	+0.47	-22.1	43
2005-01-22	KF Tirana	L 0-1	32.3	1067	1457	10.03%	16.45%	73.53%	-1.89	-5.7	17
2005-01-22	@ Egnatia	W 1-0	32.3	1457	1067	73.53%	16.45%	10.03%	+1.89	+5.7	50
2005-01-22	Partizani	L 1-2	48.6	1162	1182	48.78%	17.64%	33.58%	+0.33	-22.1	25
2005-01-22	@ Teuta	W 2-1	48.6	1182	1162	33.58%	17.64%	48.78%	-0.33	+22.1	28
2005-01-22	Shkumbini	L 0-2	28.4	766	1183	8.74%	16.24%	75.03%	-2.05	-9.3	1
2005-01-22	@ Laci	W 2-0	28.4	1183	766	75.03%	16.24%	8.74%	+2.05	+9.3	29
2005-01-22	Vllaznia	W 1-0	42.3	1268	1340	41.59%	17.68%	40.73%	+0.02	+20.1	31
2005-01-22	@ Dinamo Tirana	L 0-1	42.3	1340	1268	40.73%	17.68%	41.59%	-0.02	-20.1	36
2005-01-30	Dinamo Tirana	L 0-2	38.6	1204	1288	39.78%	17.67%	42.55%	-0.06	-37.1	28
2005-01-30	@ Partizani	W 2-0	38.6	1288	1204	42.55%	17.67%	39.78%	+0.06	+37.1	34
2005-01-30	Egnatia	W 2-0	28.8	1320	1061	74.52%	16.31%	9.17%	+2.00	+9.8	39
2005-01-30	@ Vllaznia	L 0-2	28.8	1061	1320	9.17%	16.31%	74.52%	-2.00	-9.8	17
2005-01-30	Laci	W 6-0	21.9	1462	757	87.49%	11.66%	0.85%	+4.67	+2.4	53
2005-01-30	@ KF Tirana	L 0-6	21.9	757	1462	0.85%	11.66%	87.49%	-4.67	-2.3	1
2005-01-30	Lushnja	D 0-0	51.3	1193	1200	50.39%	17.62%	32.00%	+0.40	-2.2	30
2005-01-30	@ Shkumbini	D 0-0	51.3	1200	1193	32.00%	17.62%	50.39%	-0.40	+2.2	29
2005-01-30	Teuta	W 3-0	28.5	1308	1140	68.59%	16.94%	14.47%	+1.45	+22.0	46
2005-01-30	@ KF Elbasani	L 0-3	28.5	1140	1308	14.47%	16.94%	68.59%	-1.45	-22.0	25
2005-02-02	KF Elbasani	D 0-0	52.5	1325	1330	50.74%	17.61%	31.65%	+0.42	-2.3	35
2005-02-02	@ Dinamo Tirana	D 0-0	52.5	1330	1325	31.65%	17.61%	50.74%	-0.42	+2.3	47
2005-02-02	KF Tirana	L 0-2	39.6	1329	1465	32.78%	17.63%	49.59%	-0.36	-31.5	39
2005-02-02	@ Vllaznia	W 2-0	39.6	1465	1329	49.59%	17.63%	32.78%	+0.36	+31.5	56
2005-02-02	Laci	W 5-0	23.1	1202	755	82.03%	14.56%	3.41%	+3.13	+8.4	32
2005-02-02	@ Lushnja	L 0-5	23.1	755	1202	3.41%	14.56%	82.03%	-3.13	-8.4	1
2005-02-02	Partizani	D 0-0	51.2	1051	1167	35.38%	17.65%	46.97%	-0.25	+1.4	18
2005-02-02	@ Egnatia	D 0-0	51.2	1167	1051	46.97%	17.65%	35.38%	+0.25	-1.4	29
2005-02-02	Shkumbini	W 1-0	41.4	1118	1191	41.49%	17.68%	40.83%	+0.01	+20.1	28
2005-02-02	@ Teuta	L 0-1	41.4	1191	1118	40.83%	17.68%	41.49%	-0.01	-20.1	30
2005-02-11	Lushnja	D 1-1	57.7	1496	1211	75.91%	16.10%	7.99%	+2.16	-8.1	57
2005-02-11	@ KF Tirana	D 1-1	57.7	1211	1496	7.99%	16.10%	75.91%	-2.16	+8.1	33
2005-02-12	Dinamo Tirana	W 1-0	45.0	1170	1323	30.56%	17.60%	51.84%	-0.47	+24.7	33
2005-02-12	@ Shkumbini	L 0-1	45.0	1323	1170	51.84%	17.60%	30.56%	+0.47	-24.7	35
2005-02-12	Egnatia	W 2-1	36.1	1333	1053	75.64%	16.14%	8.22%	+2.12	+4.4	50
2005-02-12	@ KF Elbasani	L 1-2	36.1	1053	1333	8.22%	16.14%	75.64%	-2.12	-4.4	18
2005-02-12	Teuta	L 0-1	31.7	746	1138	9.92%	16.43%	73.65%	-1.90	-5.6	1
2005-02-12	@ Laci	W 1-0	31.7	1138	746	73.65%	16.43%	9.92%	+1.90	+5.6	31
2005-02-13	Vllaznia	D 1-1	55.6	1166	1298	33.19%	17.63%	49.18%	-0.35	+1.7	30
2005-02-13	@ Partizani	D 1-1	55.6	1298	1166	49.18%	17.63%	33.19%	+0.35	-1.7	40
2005-02-19	KF Elbasani	W 2-1	46.0	1296	1337	45.93%	17.66%	36.41%	+0.20	+17.2	43
2005-02-19	@ Vllaznia	L 1-2	46.0	1337	1296	36.41%	17.66%	45.93%	-0.20	-17.2	50
2005-02-19	KF Tirana	L 0-1	34.5	1167	1488	14.19%	16.91%	68.90%	-1.48	-7.9	30
2005-02-19	@ Partizani	W 1-0	34.5	1488	1167	68.90%	16.91%	14.19%	+1.48	+7.9	60
2005-02-19	Laci	W 4-0	22.3	1298	741	84.74%	13.36%	1.89%	+3.79	+3.7	38
2005-02-19	@ Dinamo Tirana	L 0-4	22.3	741	1298	1.89%	13.36%	84.74%	-3.79	-3.7	1
2005-02-19	Lushnja	W 2-1	46.4	1144	1219	41.09%	17.68%	41.24%	+0.00	+19.1	34
2005-02-19	@ Teuta	L 1-2	46.4	1219	1144	41.24%	17.68%	41.09%	+0.00	-19.1	33
2005-02-19	Shkumbini	D 0-0	51.2	1048	1195	31.30%	17.61%	51.09%	-0.43	+2.4	19
2005-02-19	@ Egnatia	D 0-0	51.2	1195	1048	51.09%	17.61%	31.30%	+0.43	-2.4	34
2005-02-25	Vllaznia	L 0-1	40.0	1193	1313	34.71%	17.65%	47.64%	-0.28	-17.6	34
2005-02-25	@ Shkumbini	W 1-0	40.0	1313	1193	47.64%	17.65%	34.71%	+0.28	+17.6	46
2005-02-26	Dinamo Tirana	D 2-2	60.7	1200	1302	37.24%	17.67%	45.09%	-0.17	+0.6	34
2005-02-26	@ Lushnja	D 2-2	60.7	1302	1200	45.09%	17.67%	37.24%	+0.17	-0.6	39
2005-02-26	Egnatia	L 0-3	28.3	737	1051	14.69%	16.95%	68.35%	-1.43	-22.3	1
2005-02-26	@ Laci	W 3-0	28.3	1051	737	68.35%	16.95%	14.69%	+1.43	+22.3	22
2005-02-26	Partizani	W 2-1	38.6	1320	1160	67.99%	16.98%	15.03%	+1.41	+7.8	53
2005-02-26	@ KF Elbasani	L 1-2	38.6	1160	1320	15.03%	16.98%	67.99%	-1.41	-7.8	30
2005-02-26	Teuta	D 2-2	62.2	1496	1163	78.07%	15.69%	6.24%	+2.44	-6.4	61
2005-02-26	@ KF Tirana	D 2-2	62.2	1163	1496	6.24%	15.69%	78.07%	-2.44	+6.4	35
2005-03-04	Shkumbini	W 1-0	39.4	1152	1175	48.28%	17.64%	34.08%	+0.31	+17.3	33
2005-03-04	@ Partizani	L 0-1	39.4	1175	1152	34.08%	17.64%	48.28%	-0.31	-17.3	34
2005-03-05	KF Tirana	D 2-2	64.3	1328	1490	29.39%	17.58%	53.03%	-0.53	+1.9	54
2005-03-05	@ KF Elbasani	D 2-2	64.3	1490	1328	53.03%	17.58%	29.39%	+0.53	-1.9	62
2005-03-05	Laci	W 8-0	23.3	1331	715	85.93%	12.69%	1.38%	+4.14	+5.1	49
2005-03-05	@ Vllaznia	L 0-8	23.3	715	1331	1.38%	12.69%	85.93%	-4.14	-5.1	1
2005-03-05	Lushnja	D 0-0	51.2	1073	1201	33.81%	17.64%	48.55%	-0.32	+1.8	23
2005-03-05	@ Egnatia	D 0-0	51.2	1201	1073	48.55%	17.64%	33.81%	+0.32	-1.8	35
2005-03-06	Teuta	L 0-2	46.1	1301	1170	65.64%	17.14%	17.23%	+1.24	-58.5	39
2005-03-06	@ Dinamo Tirana	W 2-0	46.1	1170	1301	17.23%	17.14%	65.64%	-1.24	+58.5	38
2005-03-12	Dinamo Tirana	L 0-2	50.3	1488	1243	73.74%	16.42%	9.84%	+1.91	-65.8	62
2005-03-12	@ KF Tirana	W 2-0	50.3	1243	1488	9.84%	16.42%	73.74%	-1.91	+65.8	42
2005-03-12	Egnatia	W 1-0	33.7	1228	1075	67.44%	17.02%	15.54%	+1.36	+8.6	41
2005-03-12	@ Teuta	L 0-1	33.7	1075	1228	15.54%	17.02%	67.44%	-1.36	-8.6	23
2005-03-12	KF Elbasani	W 1-0	45.7	1158	1329	28.25%	17.55%	54.20%	-0.58	+25.8	37
2005-03-12	@ Shkumbini	L 0-1	45.7	1329	1158	54.20%	17.55%	28.25%	+0.58	-25.8	54
2005-03-12	Partizani	L 0-5	24.6	710	1169	7.01%	15.89%	77.10%	-2.31	-17.5	1
2005-03-12	@ Laci	W 5-0	24.6	1169	710	77.10%	15.89%	7.01%	+2.31	+17.5	36
2005-03-12	Vllaznia	W 2-0	41.8	1199	1336	32.52%	17.62%	49.86%	-0.38	+45.0	38
2005-03-12	@ Lushnja	L 0-2	41.8	1336	1199	49.86%	17.62%	32.52%	+0.38	-45.0	49
2005-03-19	Egnatia	W 3-1	34.0	1309	1066	73.62%	16.43%	9.95%	+1.90	+9.2	45
2005-03-19	@ Dinamo Tirana	L 1-3	34.0	1066	1309	9.95%	16.43%	73.62%	-1.90	-9.2	23
2005-03-19	KF Elbasani	L 0-1	29.1	692	1304	3.14%	14.41%	82.45%	-3.22	-1.8	1
2005-03-19	@ Laci	W 1-0	29.1	1304	692	82.45%	14.41%	3.14%	+3.22	+1.8	57
2005-03-19	KF Tirana	L 1-2	41.1	1184	1422	21.03%	17.33%	61.63%	-0.98	-10.7	37
2005-03-19	@ Shkumbini	W 2-1	41.1	1422	1184	61.63%	17.33%	21.03%	+0.98	+10.7	65
2005-03-19	Partizani	L 1-3	48.9	1244	1187	58.23%	17.45%	24.32%	+0.79	-45.0	38
2005-03-19	@ Lushnja	W 3-1	48.9	1187	1244	24.32%	17.45%	58.23%	-0.79	+45.0	39
2005-03-19	Vllaznia	W 3-2	50.5	1237	1291	44.01%	17.67%	38.32%	+0.12	+17.1	44
2005-03-19	@ Teuta	L 2-3	50.5	1291	1237	38.32%	17.67%	44.01%	-0.12	-17.1	49
2005-04-02	Dinamo Tirana	L 0-2	40.8	1274	1318	45.48%	17.66%	36.85%	+0.18	-41.5	49
2005-04-02	@ Vllaznia	W 2-0	40.8	1318	1274	36.85%	17.66%	45.48%	-0.18	+41.5	48
2005-04-02	Egnatia	W 3-1	32.4	1433	1057	79.72%	15.29%	4.99%	+2.70	+4.6	68
2005-04-02	@ KF Tirana	L 1-3	32.4	1057	1433	4.99%	15.29%	79.72%	-2.70	-4.6	23
2005-04-02	Laci	W 1-0	28.9	1173	690	82.98%	14.19%	2.83%	+3.34	+1.6	40
2005-04-02	@ Shkumbini	L 0-1	28.9	690	1173	2.83%	14.19%	82.98%	-3.34	-1.6	1
2005-04-02	Lushnja	W 3-1	37.4	1305	1199	63.34%	17.26%	19.41%	+1.09	+17.2	60
2005-04-02	@ KF Elbasani	L 1-3	37.4	1199	1305	19.41%	17.26%	63.34%	-1.09	-17.2	38
2005-04-02	Teuta	W 1-0	39.7	1232	1254	48.45%	17.64%	33.91%	+0.31	+17.2	42
2005-04-02	@ Partizani	L 0-1	39.7	1254	1232	33.91%	17.64%	48.45%	-0.31	-17.2	44
2005-04-09	KF Elbasani	L 0-1	41.6	1237	1323	39.49%	17.67%	42.84%	-0.07	-19.6	44
2005-04-09	@ Teuta	W 1-0	41.6	1323	1237	42.84%	17.67%	39.49%	+0.07	+19.6	63
2005-04-09	KF Tirana	L 0-5	22.0	689	1437	1.51%	12.88%	85.60%	-4.04	-3.6	1
2005-04-09	@ Laci	W 5-0	22.0	1437	689	85.60%	12.88%	1.51%	+4.04	+3.6	71
2005-04-09	Partizani	W 2-0	32.8	1360	1249	63.72%	17.24%	19.04%	+1.11	+19.5	51
2005-04-09	@ Dinamo Tirana	L 0-2	32.8	1249	1360	19.04%	17.24%	63.72%	-1.11	-19.5	42
2005-04-09	Shkumbini	W 1-0	38.3	1182	1175	52.26%	17.59%	30.15%	+0.49	+15.6	41
2005-04-09	@ Lushnja	L 0-1	38.3	1175	1182	30.15%	17.59%	52.26%	-0.49	-15.6	40
2005-04-09	Vllaznia	D 1-1	55.3	1052	1233	27.24%	17.53%	55.23%	-0.63	+3.1	24
2005-04-09	@ Egnatia	D 1-1	55.3	1233	1052	55.23%	17.53%	27.24%	+0.63	-3.1	50
2005-04-16	Dinamo Tirana	D 1-1	57.4	1342	1379	46.47%	17.66%	35.87%	+0.23	-1.1	64
2005-04-16	@ KF Elbasani	D 1-1	57.4	1379	1342	35.87%	17.66%	46.47%	-0.23	+1.1	52
2005-04-16	Egnatia	W 4-1	32.7	1229	1056	69.04%	16.90%	14.06%	+1.49	+18.1	45
2005-04-16	@ Partizani	L 1-4	32.7	1056	1229	14.06%	16.90%	69.04%	-1.49	-18.1	24
2005-04-16	Lushnja	L 0-3	25.0	685	1197	5.33%	15.41%	79.26%	-2.62	-8.3	1
2005-04-16	@ Laci	W 3-0	25.0	1197	685	79.26%	15.41%	5.33%	+2.62	+8.3	44
2005-04-16	Teuta	W 3-1	43.0	1159	1217	43.51%	17.67%	38.82%	+0.10	+31.5	43
2005-04-16	@ Shkumbini	L 1-3	43.0	1217	1159	38.82%	17.67%	43.51%	-0.10	-31.5	44
2005-04-16	Vllaznia	D 2-2	62.1	1441	1229	71.69%	16.66%	11.66%	+1.71	-5.3	72
2005-04-16	@ KF Tirana	D 2-2	62.1	1229	1441	11.66%	16.66%	71.69%	-1.71	+5.3	51
2005-04-23	KF Elbasani	L 0-1	33.7	1037	1341	15.43%	17.01%	67.56%	-1.37	-8.5	24
2005-04-23	@ Egnatia	W 1-0	33.7	1341	1037	67.56%	17.01%	15.43%	+1.37	+8.5	67
2005-04-23	KF Tirana	L 1-3	38.9	1205	1436	21.83%	17.37%	60.81%	-0.93	-19.1	44
2005-04-23	@ Lushnja	W 3-1	38.9	1436	1205	60.81%	17.37%	21.83%	+0.93	+19.2	75
2005-04-23	Laci	W 5-0	22.6	1185	677	83.63%	13.91%	2.46%	+3.49	+6.0	47
2005-04-23	@ Teuta	L 0-5	22.6	677	1185	2.46%	13.91%	83.63%	-3.49	-6.0	1
2005-04-23	Partizani	W 4-2	45.2	1235	1247	49.73%	17.63%	32.64%	+0.37	+24.3	54
2005-04-23	@ Vllaznia	L 2-4	45.2	1247	1235	32.64%	17.63%	49.73%	-0.37	-24.3	45
2005-04-23	Shkumbini	W 2-1	38.3	1380	1190	70.21%	16.80%	12.99%	+1.58	+6.8	55
2005-04-23	@ Dinamo Tirana	L 1-2	38.3	1190	1380	12.99%	16.80%	70.21%	-1.58	-6.8	43
2005-04-30	Dinamo Tirana	L 0-1	28.3	671	1387	1.80%	13.25%	84.95%	-3.85	-1.0	1
2005-04-30	@ Laci	W 1-0	28.3	1387	671	84.95%	13.25%	1.80%	+3.85	+1.0	58
2005-04-30	Egnatia	D 1-1	55.5	1184	1029	67.55%	17.01%	15.43%	+1.37	-6.0	44
2005-04-30	@ Shkumbini	D 1-1	55.5	1029	1184	15.43%	17.01%	67.55%	-1.37	+6.0	25
2005-04-30	Partizani	W 4-0	27.5	1455	1223	72.97%	16.51%	10.51%	+1.84	+21.2	78
2005-04-30	@ KF Tirana	L 0-4	27.5	1223	1455	10.51%	16.51%	72.97%	-1.84	-21.2	45
2005-04-30	Teuta	D 1-1	55.4	1186	1191	50.68%	17.61%	31.70%	+0.41	-2.1	45
2005-04-30	@ Lushnja	D 1-1	55.4	1191	1186	31.70%	17.61%	50.68%	-0.41	+2.1	48
2005-04-30	Vllaznia	W 1-0	36.3	1350	1259	61.76%	17.33%	20.92%	+0.99	+11.3	70
2005-04-30	@ KF Elbasani	L 0-1	36.3	1259	1350	20.92%	17.33%	61.76%	-0.99	-11.3	54
2005-05-06	KF Elbasani	L 0-2	35.9	1202	1361	29.75%	17.58%	52.67%	-0.51	-29.0	45
2005-05-06	@ Partizani	W 2-0	35.9	1361	1202	52.67%	17.58%	29.75%	+0.51	+29.0	73
2005-05-07	KF Tirana	L 3-5	43.5	1194	1476	17.10%	17.13%	65.77%	-1.25	-13.0	48
2005-05-07	@ Teuta	W 5-3	43.5	1476	1194	65.77%	17.13%	17.10%	+1.25	+13.0	81
2005-05-07	Laci	W 2-0	27.1	1035	670	79.34%	15.39%	5.27%	+2.63	+5.6	28
2005-05-07	@ Egnatia	L 0-2	27.1	670	1035	5.27%	15.39%	79.34%	-2.63	-5.6	1
2005-05-07	Lushnja	W 1-0	33.2	1388	1184	71.19%	16.71%	12.10%	+1.67	+6.8	61
2005-05-07	@ Dinamo Tirana	L 0-1	33.2	1184	1388	12.10%	16.71%	71.19%	-1.67	-6.8	45
2005-05-07	Shkumbini	D 3-3	64.3	1248	1178	59.65%	17.41%	22.94%	+0.87	-2.5	55
2005-05-07	@ Vllaznia	D 3-3	64.3	1178	1248	22.94%	17.41%	59.65%	-0.87	+2.6	45
2005-05-14	Dinamo Tirana	D 2-2	61.1	1181	1395	23.46%	17.42%	59.11%	-0.84	+3.0	49
2005-05-14	@ Teuta	D 2-2	61.1	1395	1181	59.11%	17.42%	23.46%	+0.84	-3.0	62
2005-05-14	Egnatia	W 3-1	36.2	1177	1041	66.06%	17.11%	16.83%	+1.27	+15.1	48
2005-05-14	@ Lushnja	L 1-3	36.2	1041	1177	16.83%	17.11%	66.06%	-1.27	-15.1	28
2005-05-14	KF Elbasani	L 0-1	53.5	1489	1390	62.58%	17.29%	20.13%	+1.04	-29.6	81
2005-05-14	@ KF Tirana	W 1-0	53.5	1390	1489	20.13%	17.29%	62.58%	-1.04	+29.6	76
2005-05-14	Partizani	W 4-3	50.5	1180	1173	52.30%	17.59%	30.11%	+0.49	+13.6	48
2005-05-14	@ Shkumbini	L 3-4	50.5	1173	1180	30.11%	17.59%	52.30%	-0.49	-13.6	45
2005-05-14	Vllaznia	L 1-2	34.1	664	1245	3.70%	14.73%	81.57%	-3.04	-2.0	1
2005-05-14	@ Laci	W 2-1	34.1	1245	664	81.57%	14.73%	3.70%	+3.04	+2.0	58
2005-05-21	KF Tirana	L 0-1	46.7	1392	1459	42.16%	17.68%	40.16%	+0.04	-20.6	62
2005-05-21	@ Dinamo Tirana	W 1-0	46.7	1459	1392	40.16%	17.68%	42.16%	-0.04	+20.7	84
2005-05-21	Laci	D 5-5	67.9	1159	662	83.34%	14.04%	2.62%	+3.42	-4.7	46
2005-05-21	@ Partizani	D 5-5	67.9	662	1159	2.62%	14.04%	83.34%	-3.42	+4.7	2
2005-05-21	Lushnja	W 4-2	42.6	1247	1192	57.95%	17.46%	24.59%	+0.77	+19.0	61
2005-05-21	@ Vllaznia	L 2-4	42.6	1192	1247	24.59%	17.46%	57.95%	-0.77	-19.0	48
2005-05-21	Shkumbini	W 4-2	39.0	1420	1194	72.61%	16.56%	10.83%	+1.80	+8.9	79
2005-05-21	@ KF Elbasani	L 2-4	39.0	1194	1420	10.83%	16.56%	72.61%	-1.80	-8.9	48
2005-05-21	Teuta	L 0-1	38.1	1025	1184	29.89%	17.59%	52.52%	-0.50	-15.5	28
2005-05-21	@ Egnatia	W 1-0	38.1	1184	1025	52.52%	17.59%	29.89%	+0.50	+15.5	52

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2005-03-12	9.84%	Dinamo Tirana	1243	2	@ KF Tirana	1488	0
2	2004-10-23	12.34%	Teuta	1085	1	@ Dinamo Tirana	1285	0
3	2005-03-06	17.23%	Teuta	1170	2	@ Dinamo Tirana	1301	0
4	2004-10-23	17.55%	Lushnja	1038	2	@ Egnatia	1166	0
5	2004-10-31	18.66%	@ Lushnja	1096	2	Vllaznia	1360	0
6	2005-05-14	20.13%	KF Elbasani	1390	1	@ KF Tirana	1489	0
7	2004-12-22	22.03%	@ Dinamo Tirana	1246	2	KF Tirana	1474	1
8	2004-10-24	23.18%	@ KF Elbasani	1217	3	KF Tirana	1434	1
9	2004-11-20	23.32%	@ Egnatia	1078	1	Vllaznia	1293	0
10	2005-03-19	24.32%	Partizani	1187	3	@ Lushnja	1244	1
11	2005-03-12	28.25%	@ Shkumbini	1158	1	KF Elbasani	1329	0
12	2004-11-06	28.59%	@ Teuta	1134	3	Vllaznia	1303	2
13	2004-09-12	28.79%	Dinamo Tirana	1265	1	@ Partizani	1283	0
14	2004-11-20	29.16%	@ Teuta	1145	1	KF Elbasani	1309	0
15	2005-02-12	30.56%	@ Shkumbini	1170	1	Dinamo Tirana	1323	0
16	2005-01-22	30.63%	@ Lushnja	1178	3	KF Elbasani	1330	2
17	2004-09-18	31.86%	KF Tirana	1358	2	@ Vllaznia	1352	1
18	2004-10-30	32.04%	KF Elbasani	1263	2	@ Shkumbini	1255	1
19	2005-03-12	32.52%	@ Lushnja	1199	2	Vllaznia	1336	0
20	2004-09-15	33.00%	@ Egnatia	1157	2	Dinamo Tirana	1291	1
21	2004-12-18	33.19%	@ Teuta	1137	1	Dinamo Tirana	1269	0
22	2005-01-22	33.58%	Partizani	1182	2	@ Teuta	1162	1
23	2004-10-16	35.39%	Vllaznia	1319	5	@ Shkumbini	1285	3
24	2004-08-28	35.61%	Vllaznia	1322	1	@ Dinamo Tirana	1288	0
25	2005-04-02	36.85%	Dinamo Tirana	1318	2	@ Vllaznia	1274	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2005-03-12	65.85	Dinamo Tirana	2	1243	9.84%	@ KF Tirana	0	1488	73.74%	16.42%
2	2005-03-06	58.50	Teuta	2	1170	17.23%	@ Dinamo Tirana	0	1301	65.64%	17.14%
3	2004-10-23	58.19	Lushnja	2	1038	17.55%	@ Egnatia	0	1166	65.30%	17.15%
4	2004-10-31	57.14	@ Lushnja	2	1096	18.66%	Vllaznia	0	1360	64.12%	17.22%
5	2004-10-24	45.89	@ KF Elbasani	3	1217	23.18%	KF Tirana	1	1434	59.41%	17.42%
6	2005-03-19	45.02	Partizani	3	1187	24.32%	@ Lushnja	1	1244	58.23%	17.45%
7	2005-03-12	44.99	@ Lushnja	2	1199	32.52%	Vllaznia	0	1336	49.86%	17.62%
8	2005-04-02	41.51	Dinamo Tirana	2	1318	36.85%	@ Vllaznia	0	1274	45.48%	17.66%
9	2004-09-25	40.07	@ Partizani	2	1237	38.70%	Vllaznia	0	1329	43.63%	17.67%
10	2004-10-02	39.63	Shkumbini	2	1246	39.25%	@ Egnatia	0	1185	43.08%	17.67%
11	2004-08-21	37.89	@ Vllaznia	6	1285	63.70%	Teuta	1	1174	19.06%	17.24%
12	2005-01-30	37.11	Dinamo Tirana	2	1288	42.55%	@ Partizani	0	1204	39.78%	17.67%
13	2004-10-02	35.82	KF Tirana	5	1392	46.81%	@ Partizani	2	1277	35.53%	17.65%
14	2004-12-18	35.01	@ Shkumbini	2	1168	45.24%	Partizani	0	1214	37.09%	17.67%
15	2004-10-23	33.56	Teuta	1	1085	12.34%	@ Dinamo Tirana	0	1285	70.93%	16.73%
16	2004-11-21	32.71	@ Lushnja	3	1155	41.68%	Shkumbini	1	1226	40.65%	17.68%
17	2004-08-28	32.36	KF Tirana	2	1324	48.59%	@ Egnatia	0	1196	33.77%	17.64%
18	2004-08-21	31.97	@ Partizani	3	1234	60.93%	Lushnja	0	1152	21.71%	17.36%
19	2005-02-02	31.55	KF Tirana	2	1465	49.59%	@ Vllaznia	0	1329	32.78%	17.63%
20	2005-04-16	31.49	@ Shkumbini	3	1159	43.51%	Teuta	1	1217	38.82%	17.67%
21	2004-10-16	31.23	Vllaznia	5	1319	35.39%	@ Shkumbini	3	1285	46.95%	17.65%
22	2004-12-04	30.54	KF Tirana	3	1437	62.05%	@ Lushnja	0	1195	20.63%	17.31%
23	2004-10-02	29.59	@ Vllaznia	4	1289	58.45%	KF Elbasani	1	1230	24.10%	17.45%
24	2005-05-14	29.58	KF Elbasani	1	1390	20.13%	@ KF Tirana	0	1489	62.58%	17.29%
25	2005-05-06	29.04	KF Elbasani	2	1361	52.67%	@ Partizani	0	1202	29.75%	17.58%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2005-05-21	67.9	@ Partizani	5	1159	83.34%	Laci	5	662	2.62%	14.04%
2	2004-12-11	66.0	@ KF Tirana	3	1468	74.54%	Partizani	3	1209	9.15%	16.31%
3	2005-03-05	64.3	@ KF Elbasani	2	1328	29.39%	KF Tirana	2	1490	53.03%	17.58%
4	2005-05-07	64.3	@ Vllaznia	3	1248	59.65%	Shkumbini	3	1178	22.94%	17.41%
5	2004-12-18	63.8	@ KF Tirana	2	1478	68.70%	KF Elbasani	2	1309	14.38%	16.93%
6	2005-02-26	62.2	@ KF Tirana	2	1496	78.07%	Teuta	2	1163	6.24%	15.69%
7	2005-04-16	62.1	@ KF Tirana	2	1441	71.69%	Vllaznia	2	1229	11.66%	16.66%
8	2005-05-14	61.1	@ Teuta	2	1181	23.46%	Dinamo Tirana	2	1395	59.11%	17.42%
9	2004-12-15	60.7	@ Partizani	2	1213	38.05%	KF Elbasani	2	1310	44.28%	17.67%
10	2005-02-26	60.7	@ Lushnja	2	1200	37.24%	Dinamo Tirana	2	1302	45.09%	17.67%
11	2005-02-11	57.7	@ KF Tirana	1	1496	75.91%	Lushnja	1	1211	7.99%	16.10%
12	2005-04-16	57.4	@ KF Elbasani	1	1342	46.47%	Dinamo Tirana	1	1379	35.87%	17.66%
13	2004-12-15	55.7	@ Dinamo Tirana	1	1274	62.05%	Lushnja	1	1180	20.64%	17.31%
14	2004-10-23	55.6	@ Partizani	1	1224	47.42%	Shkumbini	1	1254	34.93%	17.65%
15	2005-02-13	55.6	@ Partizani	1	1166	33.19%	Vllaznia	1	1298	49.18%	17.63%
16	2005-04-30	55.5	@ Shkumbini	1	1184	67.55%	Egnatia	1	1029	15.43%	17.01%
17	2004-09-18	55.4	@ Lushnja	1	1077	67.37%	Laci	1	924	15.61%	17.03%
18	2004-12-11	55.4	@ Shkumbini	1	1196	64.01%	Egnatia	1	1082	18.76%	17.22%
19	2005-01-15	55.4	@ Partizani	1	1185	52.49%	Lushnja	1	1176	29.93%	17.59%
20	2005-04-30	55.4	@ Lushnja	1	1186	50.68%	Teuta	1	1191	31.70%	17.61%
21	2004-10-02	55.3	@ Teuta	1	1095	55.69%	Lushnja	1	1060	26.79%	17.52%
22	2005-04-09	55.3	@ Egnatia	1	1052	27.24%	Vllaznia	1	1233	55.23%	17.53%
23	2004-11-06	54.9	@ Teuta	3	1134	28.59%	Vllaznia	2	1303	53.85%	17.56%
24	2005-01-22	54.5	@ Lushnja	3	1178	30.63%	KF Elbasani	2	1330	51.77%	17.60%
25	2004-12-22	54.1	@ Dinamo Tirana	2	1246	22.03%	KF Tirana	1	1474	60.59%	17.37%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2005-01-30	21.9	@ KF Tirana	6	1462	87.49%	Laci	0	757	0.85%	11.66%
2	2005-04-09	22.0	KF Tirana	5	1437	85.60%	@ Laci	0	689	1.51%	12.88%
3	2005-02-19	22.3	@ Dinamo Tirana	4	1298	84.74%	Laci	0	741	1.89%	13.36%
4	2005-04-23	22.6	@ Teuta	5	1185	83.63%	Laci	0	677	2.46%	13.91%
5	2005-02-02	23.1	@ Lushnja	5	1202	82.03%	Laci	0	755	3.41%	14.56%
6	2005-01-15	23.2	@ KF Elbasani	7	1324	84.60%	Laci	0	773	1.96%	13.44%
7	2005-03-05	23.3	@ Vllaznia	8	1331	85.93%	Laci	0	715	1.38%	12.69%
8	2004-10-23	23.9	@ Vllaznia	7	1350	82.62%	Laci	0	881	3.04%	14.34%
9	2004-11-20	24.3	KF Tirana	3	1424	81.86%	@ Laci	0	833	3.51%	14.62%
10	2005-03-12	24.6	Partizani	5	1169	77.10%	@ Laci	0	710	7.01%	15.89%
11	2005-04-16	25.0	Lushnja	3	1197	79.26%	@ Laci	0	685	5.33%	15.41%
12	2004-12-11	25.7	Dinamo Tirana	3	1263	76.86%	@ Laci	0	808	7.21%	15.93%
13	2004-09-26	26.0	@ KF Tirana	3	1381	77.09%	Lushnja	0	1071	7.02%	15.89%
14	2004-10-30	26.4	Partizani	4	1223	71.17%	@ Laci	0	870	12.12%	16.71%
15	2004-12-18	26.5	Vllaznia	7	1289	78.64%	@ Laci	1	793	5.80%	15.56%
16	2004-10-02	27.1	@ Dinamo Tirana	6	1247	78.06%	Laci	1	914	6.25%	15.69%
17	2004-12-04	27.1	@ Teuta	6	1156	78.15%	Laci	1	821	6.18%	15.67%
18	2005-05-07	27.1	@ Egnatia	2	1035	79.34%	Laci	0	670	5.27%	15.39%
19	2005-04-30	27.5	@ KF Tirana	4	1455	72.97%	Partizani	0	1223	10.51%	16.51%
20	2004-11-13	27.6	@ Shkumbini	5	1218	79.75%	Laci	1	842	4.97%	15.28%
21	2004-10-16	28.0	@ KF Tirana	2	1428	78.20%	Teuta	0	1092	6.14%	15.66%
22	2005-02-26	28.3	Egnatia	3	1051	68.35%	@ Laci	0	737	14.69%	16.95%
23	2005-04-30	28.3	Dinamo Tirana	1	1387	84.95%	@ Laci	0	671	1.80%	13.25%
24	2005-01-22	28.4	Shkumbini	2	1183	75.03%	@ Laci	0	766	8.74%	16.24%
25	2005-01-30	28.5	@ KF Elbasani	3	1308	68.59%	Teuta	0	1140	14.47%	16.94%