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2005-06 Kategoria Superiore Season

180 games

Final

Champion

KF Elbasani

73 points · 2nd Title

Last Title: 1990-91

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Skenderbeu

13.29 points above expected

42 points · 28.71 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lushnja

13.82 points below expected

25 points · 38.82 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 KF Elbasani Champion 36 21 10 5 73 50 21 +29 67.63 +5.37
2 KF Tirana 36 17 11 8 62 54 33 +21 70.67 -8.67
3 Dinamo Tirana 36 17 10 9 61 53 35 +18 61.62 -0.62
4 Partizani 36 18 6 12 60 51 35 +16 54.08 +5.92
5 Besa 36 13 7 16 46 49 42 +7 43.80 +2.20
6 Vllaznia 36 13 6 17 45 39 45 -6 49.10 -4.10
7 Shkumbini 36 12 7 17 43 32 49 -17 43.97 -0.97
8 Skenderbeu 36 12 6 18 42 32 50 -18 28.71 +13.29
9 Teuta 36 11 9 16 42 32 46 -14 43.13 -1.13
10 Lushnja 36 5 10 21 25 22 58 -36 38.82 -13.82

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Skenderbeu 42 28.71 +13.29
2 Partizani 60 54.08 +5.92
3 KF Elbasani 73 67.63 +5.37
4 Besa 46 43.80 +2.20
5 Dinamo Tirana 61 61.62 -0.62

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lushnja 25 38.82 -13.82
2 KF Tirana 62 70.67 -8.67
3 Vllaznia 45 49.10 -4.10
4 Teuta 42 43.13 -1.13
5 Shkumbini 43 43.97 -0.97

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Partizani 5 Nov 19 – Dec 10 1 in 633
2 Besa 2 Sep 16 – Sep 24 1 in 24
3 KF Elbasani 4 Oct 22 – Nov 12 1 in 14
4 Dinamo Tirana 4 Dec 10 – Jan 13 1 in 11
5 Teuta 2 Mar 4 – Mar 11 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KF Tirana 2 Apr 15 – Apr 22 1 in 135
2 Teuta 5 Oct 16 – Nov 12 1 in 98
3 Lushnja 6 Nov 20 – Dec 17 1 in 34
4 Shkumbini 4 Sep 10 – Oct 1 1 in 29
5 Vllaznia 3 Dec 22 – Jan 21 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Besa 8 Sep 7 – Oct 29 1 in 556
2 Teuta 5 Apr 15 – May 13 1 in 43
3 Partizani 6 Nov 12 – Dec 10 1 in 33
4 Shkumbini 6 Apr 5 – May 7 1 in 17
5 Vllaznia 5 Nov 12 – Dec 3 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lushnja 16 Nov 20 – Mar 18 1 in 216
2 KF Tirana 5 Apr 15 – May 13 1 in 142
3 Besa 6 Oct 29 – Nov 30 1 in 17
4 Dinamo Tirana 4 Aug 27 – Sep 17 1 in 10
5 Shkumbini 6 Aug 27 – Oct 1 1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
KF Elbasani 1429 73 +10 10 9.3 +0.7
KF Tirana 1411 62 -51 2 10.1 -8.1
Dinamo Tirana 1360 61 -1 10 10.1 -0.1
Partizani 1285 60 -9 5 6.9 -1.9
Besa 1157 46 -23 6 7.4 -1.4
Vllaznia 1209 45 +0 6 5.5 +0.5
Shkumbini 1195 43 +10 8 6.2 +1.8
Teuta 1217 42 +73 13 5.6 +7.4
Skenderbeu 1079 42 -2 6 4.5 +1.5
Lushnja 1079 25 -6 4 4.0 +0.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BES DT KE KT LUS PAR SHK SKE TEU VLL
Besa —
1-1-2
3.53
0-0-4
3.21
0-3-1
2.95
1-2-1
6.40
2-1-1
4.37
2-0-2
5.60
3-0-1
7.12
2-0-2
5.74
2-0-2
4.90
Dinamo Tirana
2-1-1
7.61
 —
0-3-1
5.06
0-3-1
4.81
2-1-1
7.75
1-0-3
6.79
3-1-0
7.73
3-0-1
9.07
3-0-1
7.63
3-1-0
6.95
KF Elbasani
4-0-0
7.98
1-3-0
6.03
 —
3-1-0
5.37
4-0-0
8.66
0-1-3
7.29
3-1-0
8.44
2-1-1
9.43
2-2-0
7.94
2-1-1
7.76
KF Tirana
1-3-0
8.24
1-3-0
6.28
0-1-3
5.70
 —
3-1-0
8.79
2-1-1
7.03
2-2-0
8.26
2-0-2
9.48
2-0-2
8.17
4-0-0
7.32
Lushnja
1-2-1
4.69
1-1-2
3.43
0-0-4
2.56
0-1-3
2.44
 —
1-1-2
3.99
1-0-3
5.23
1-2-1
6.90
0-3-1
5.15
0-0-4
4.64
Partizani
1-1-2
6.72
3-0-1
4.32
3-1-0
3.84
1-1-2
4.09
2-1-1
7.16
 —
2-0-2
6.75
2-1-1
8.04
3-0-1
6.44
1-1-2
6.19
Shkumbini
2-0-2
5.48
0-1-3
3.42
0-1-3
2.75
0-2-2
2.94
3-0-1
5.89
2-0-2
4.34
 —
3-0-1
6.77
1-1-2
5.26
1-2-1
4.89
Skenderbeu
1-0-3
4.01
1-0-3
2.18
1-1-2
1.87
2-0-2
1.83
1-2-1
4.21
1-1-2
3.12
1-0-3
4.34
 —
2-2-0
3.92
2-0-2
3.52
Teuta
2-0-2
5.36
1-0-3
3.51
0-2-2
3.26
2-0-2
3.02
1-3-0
5.93
1-0-3
4.64
2-1-1
5.81
0-2-2
7.22
 —
2-1-1
4.92
Vllaznia
2-0-2
6.22
0-1-3
4.16
1-1-2
3.38
0-0-4
3.84
4-0-0
6.46
2-1-1
4.90
1-2-1
6.20
2-0-2
7.63
1-1-2
6.17
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.78 +10.8
Allowed 0.96 -12.9
Differential 0.93 +6.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.33%6.39%4.44%1.11%0.56%34.17%
113.33%10.56%7.50%2.22%1.11%—34.72%
26.39%7.50%2.78%1.11%0.28%0.28%18.33%
34.44%2.22%1.11%0.56%0.28%—8.61%
41.11%1.11%0.28%0.28%0.56%—3.33%
5+0.56%—0.28%———0.83%
Total34.17%34.72%18.33%8.61%3.33%0.83%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.15 +0.00
SD 1.14 1.14 1.71
CV 0.99 0.99 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%19.44%8.33%———33.33%
15.56%8.33%5.56%2.78%2.78%—25.00%
211.11%5.56%5.56%2.78%—2.78%27.78%
35.56%—————5.56%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total33.33%36.11%19.44%5.56%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.17 +0.19
SD 1.40 1.21 2.01
CV 1.03 1.03 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%—8.33%——25.00%
113.89%13.89%5.56%———33.33%
28.33%2.78%5.56%———16.67%
38.33%5.56%2.78%2.78%——19.44%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+———————
Total38.89%36.11%13.89%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 0.97 +0.50
SD 1.23 1.00 1.72
CV 0.84 1.03 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%8.33%2.78%———25.00%
116.67%13.89%————30.56%
216.67%11.11%—2.78%——30.56%
35.56%—2.78%———8.33%
42.78%—2.78%———5.56%
5+———————
Total55.56%33.33%8.33%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 0.58 +0.81
SD 1.13 0.77 1.28
CV 0.81 1.32 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%————22.22%
116.67%13.89%————30.56%
211.11%8.33%5.56%2.78%——27.78%
35.56%2.78%—2.78%2.78%—13.89%
42.78%———2.78%—5.56%
5+———————
Total41.67%41.67%5.56%5.56%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 0.92 +0.58
SD 1.16 1.11 1.30
CV 0.77 1.21 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%25.00%5.56%8.33%2.78%2.78%55.56%
15.56%13.89%5.56%2.78%2.78%—30.56%
2—5.56%2.78%—2.78%—11.11%
3——2.78%———2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%44.44%16.67%11.11%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.61 1.61 -1.00
SD 0.80 1.38 1.55
CV 1.31 0.86 —
Max 3 6 +1
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%13.89%2.78%2.78%——22.22%
113.89%8.33%11.11%—2.78%—36.11%
28.33%8.33%5.56%———22.22%
311.11%5.56%————16.67%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total36.11%38.89%19.44%2.78%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 0.97 +0.44
SD 1.11 0.97 1.66
CV 0.78 1.00 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%8.33%11.11%5.56%—2.78%41.67%
113.89%2.78%11.11%5.56%——33.33%
25.56%13.89%—2.78%——22.22%
3———————
4————2.78%—2.78%
5+———————
Total33.33%25.00%22.22%13.89%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 1.36 -0.47
SD 0.95 1.31 1.56
CV 1.07 0.96 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%11.11%8.33%2.78%—36.11%
116.67%11.11%13.89%5.56%——47.22%
22.78%8.33%————11.11%
32.78%—————2.78%
4———2.78%——2.78%
5+———————
Total27.78%27.78%25.00%16.67%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 1.39 -0.50
SD 0.92 1.15 1.59
CV 1.03 0.83 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%8.33%2.78%5.56%—38.89%
113.89%13.89%11.11%2.78%2.78%—44.44%
2—8.33%————8.33%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total27.78%38.89%19.44%5.56%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 1.28 -0.39
SD 0.98 1.19 1.68
CV 1.10 0.93 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%13.89%8.33%——41.67%
116.67%5.56%11.11%2.78%——36.11%
2—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
32.78%5.56%2.78%———11.11%
4———————
5+2.78%—2.78%———5.56%
Total30.56%25.00%33.33%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.25 -0.17
SD 1.36 1.02 1.83
CV 1.26 0.82 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
KF Elbasani 1429 73 67.63 +5.37 76.0% 49 55 62 67 73 80 90
KF Tirana 1411 62 70.67 -8.67 12.0% 54 58 66 71 75 81 85
Dinamo Tirana 1360 61 61.62 -0.62 49.0% 43 49 57 62 66 71 78
Partizani 1285 60 54.08 +5.92 80.0% 28 42 50 54 59 65 70
Teuta 1217 42 43.13 -1.13 50.0% 29 32 37 42 48 55 59
Vllaznia 1209 45 49.10 -4.10 29.0% 31 34 42 49 54 66 71
Shkumbini 1195 43 43.97 -0.97 43.0% 31 32 39 45 48 54 58
Besa 1157 46 43.80 +2.20 67.0% 30 33 39 43 48 54 59
Lushnja 1079 25 38.82 -13.82 1.0% 24 29 33 39 43 51 66
Skenderbeu 1079 42 28.71 +13.29 96.0% 14 18 24 29 33 41 48

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 27% * Slight Edge: 27% to 33% * Clear Edge: 33% to 40% * Strong Edge: 40% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+39.44%
Clear Edge
58.33%22.78%18.89%
Elo Value
Home Edge
262 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0144.90800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.70 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.55+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.04 * Tight Race: 0.04 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.6
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
37%
KF Elbasani, 2nd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.31/gm
Runaway
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.81 * Some Luck: 5.81 to 8.72 * Lucky: 8.72 to 11.63 * Wild Swing: 11.63 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.87 * Close: 0.87 to 1.31 * Off: 1.31 to 1.74 * Way Off: 1.74 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.28 points
Some Luck
07.2718
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Close
01.092.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
96.00%
Skenderbeu
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
1.00%
Lushnja
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 77.5% * Wide Edge: 77.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 93% * Strong Edge: 93% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 72.5% * Very Frequent: 72.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 10.5% * Occasional: 10.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Even
00.120.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 126.21
1.73
Moderate Separation
0.91.351.82.153
Interquartile Edge
73%
Clear Edge
50%63.5%72.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
88%
Clear Edge
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
67%
Frequent
0%62%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Frequent
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.56 * Notable Separation: 0.56 to 0.62 * Lopsided: 0.62 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14.5% * Upset-Prone: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 18.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 10.5% * As Expected: 10.5% to 12.5% * Shaky Favorites: 12.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.552
Matchup Imbalance
0.48
Very Even
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.00
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.62
Strong Carryover
00.410.590.731
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Very Upset-Prone
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Shaky Favorites
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.55
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.72
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.095
Well Within Noise
00.1140.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
KF Elbasani37.00%35.00%20.00%7.00%—1.00%————
KF Tirana49.00%34.00%13.00%4.00%——————
Dinamo Tirana12.00%19.00%40.00%18.00%7.00%2.00%2.00%———
Partizani1.00%8.00%18.00%30.00%22.00%9.00%7.00%2.00%3.00%—
Besa———10.00%13.00%19.00%27.00%18.00%13.00%—
Vllaznia1.00%3.00%6.00%17.00%29.00%15.00%7.00%13.00%7.00%2.00%
Shkumbini——2.00%6.00%10.00%25.00%22.00%16.00%16.00%3.00%
Skenderbeu—————4.00%2.00%7.00%11.00%76.00%
Teuta———6.00%15.00%21.00%18.00%19.00%20.00%1.00%
Lushnja—1.00%1.00%2.00%4.00%4.00%15.00%25.00%30.00%18.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Dinamo Tirana 100% —
KF Elbasani 100% —
KF Tirana 100% —
Partizani 97.00% 3.00%
Vllaznia 91.00% 9.00%
Besa 87.00% 13.00%
Shkumbini 81.00% 19.00%
Teuta 79.00% 21.00%
Lushnja 52.00% 48.00%
Skenderbeu 13.00% 87.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2005-08-27 Besa W 1-029.7 1369 1089 78.90% 15.36% 5.74%+1.62 +1.6 3
2005-08-27 @ KF Elbasani L 0-129.7 1089 1369 5.74% 15.36% 78.90%-1.62 -1.6 0
2005-08-27 Dinamo Tirana D 2-261.6 1230 1343 42.42% 24.10% 33.48%+0.12 -0.4 1
2005-08-27 @ Lushnja D 2-261.6 1343 1230 33.48% 24.10% 42.42%-0.12 +0.4 1
2005-08-27 KF Tirana L 1-250.8 1282 1396 42.30% 24.10% 33.60%+0.12 -10.5 0
2005-08-27 @ Vllaznia W 2-150.8 1396 1282 33.60% 24.10% 42.30%-0.12 +10.5 3
2005-08-27 Shkumbini W 1-036.9 1222 1238 54.83% 23.09% 22.08%+0.50 +6.6 3
2005-08-27 @ Partizani L 0-136.9 1238 1222 22.08% 23.09% 54.83%-0.50 -6.6 0
2005-08-27 Skenderbeu D 1-157.0 1243 1008 76.22% 16.72% 7.06%+1.45 -4.2 1
2005-08-27 @ Teuta D 1-157.0 1008 1243 7.06% 16.72% 76.22%-1.45 +4.2 1
2005-09-06 Lushnja D 1-154.9 1013 1230 28.32% 23.82% 47.86%-0.28 +1.1 2
2005-09-06 @ Skenderbeu D 1-154.9 1230 1013 47.86% 23.82% 28.32%+0.28 -1.1 2
2005-09-06 Vllaznia W 3-032.2 1239 1271 52.89% 23.34% 23.76%+0.43 +19.2 4
2005-09-06 @ Teuta L 0-332.2 1271 1239 23.76% 23.34% 52.89%-0.43 -19.2 0
2005-09-07 KF Elbasani D 0-051.7 1344 1370 53.52% 23.27% 23.21%+0.45 -1.9 2
2005-09-07 @ Dinamo Tirana D 0-051.7 1370 1344 23.21% 23.27% 53.52%-0.45 +1.9 4
2005-09-07 KF Tirana D 1-156.0 1231 1406 33.71% 24.10% 42.19%-0.12 +0.5 1
2005-09-07 @ Shkumbini D 1-156.0 1406 1231 42.19% 24.10% 33.71%+0.12 -0.5 4
2005-09-07 Partizani W 4-141.0 1088 1229 38.43% 24.16% 37.40%+0.01 +23.4 3
2005-09-07 @ Besa L 1-441.0 1229 1088 37.40% 24.16% 38.43%-0.01 -23.4 3
2005-09-10 Besa D 2-264.1 1406 1111 79.76% 14.90% 5.34%+1.68 -3.4 5
2005-09-10 @ KF Tirana D 2-264.1 1111 1406 5.34% 14.90% 79.76%-1.68 +3.4 4
2005-09-10 Dinamo Tirana W 2-148.2 1206 1342 39.15% 24.16% 36.69%+0.03 +9.4 6
2005-09-10 @ Partizani L 1-248.2 1342 1206 36.69% 24.16% 39.15%-0.03 -9.4 2
2005-09-10 Shkumbini W 5-030.9 1252 1231 58.71% 22.46% 18.83%+0.63 +25.1 3
2005-09-10 @ Vllaznia L 0-530.9 1231 1252 18.83% 22.46% 58.71%-0.63 -25.1 1
2005-09-10 Teuta D 0-050.0 1229 1258 53.17% 23.31% 23.52%+0.44 -1.9 3
2005-09-10 @ Lushnja D 0-050.0 1258 1229 23.52% 23.31% 53.17%-0.44 +1.9 5
2005-09-11 Skenderbeu W 3-022.8 1372 1014 83.06% 13.00% 3.94%+1.92 +2.9 7
2005-09-11 @ KF Elbasani L 0-322.8 1014 1372 3.94% 13.00% 83.06%-1.92 -2.9 2
2005-09-16 Shkumbini W 2-145.8 1114 1206 45.30% 23.98% 30.72%+0.20 +8.2 7
2005-09-16 @ Besa L 1-245.8 1206 1114 30.72% 23.98% 45.30%-0.20 -8.2 1
2005-09-17 KF Elbasani D 1-156.0 1260 1375 42.18% 24.10% 33.72%+0.12 -0.5 6
2005-09-17 @ Teuta D 1-156.0 1375 1260 33.72% 24.10% 42.18%-0.12 +0.5 8
2005-09-17 KF Tirana D 3-366.6 1332 1402 48.21% 23.80% 27.99%+0.29 -0.7 3
2005-09-17 @ Dinamo Tirana D 3-366.6 1402 1332 27.99% 23.80% 48.21%-0.29 +0.7 6
2005-09-17 Partizani W 2-150.4 1011 1215 29.94% 23.94% 46.13%-0.23 +11.3 5
2005-09-17 @ Skenderbeu L 1-250.4 1215 1011 46.13% 23.94% 29.94%+0.23 -11.3 6
2005-09-18 Vllaznia L 1-348.2 1227 1277 50.70% 23.58% 25.71%+0.36 -21.2 3
2005-09-18 @ Lushnja W 3-148.2 1277 1227 25.71% 23.58% 50.70%-0.36 +21.1 6
2005-09-24 Besa L 0-345.0 1298 1123 72.21% 18.51% 9.28%+1.22 -48.4 6
2005-09-24 @ Vllaznia W 3-045.0 1123 1298 9.28% 18.51% 72.21%-1.22 +48.4 10
2005-09-24 Dinamo Tirana L 0-239.1 1198 1332 39.53% 24.16% 36.31%+0.04 -19.9 1
2005-09-24 @ Shkumbini W 2-039.1 1332 1198 36.31% 24.16% 39.53%-0.04 +19.9 6
2005-09-24 Skenderbeu W 3-022.6 1403 1022 84.11% 12.35% 3.54%+2.01 +2.6 9
2005-09-24 @ KF Tirana L 0-322.6 1022 1403 3.54% 12.35% 84.11%-2.01 -2.6 5
2005-09-24 Teuta W 3-032.9 1204 1260 49.93% 23.66% 26.41%+0.34 +21.0 9
2005-09-24 @ Partizani L 0-332.9 1260 1204 26.41% 23.66% 49.93%-0.34 -21.0 6
2005-09-25 Lushnja W 4-026.7 1376 1206 71.78% 18.68% 9.54%+1.20 +10.3 11
2005-09-25 @ KF Elbasani L 0-426.7 1206 1376 9.54% 18.68% 71.78%-1.20 -10.3 3
2005-09-30 Vllaznia W 2-029.9 1386 1250 69.23% 19.65% 11.13%+1.07 +6.4 14
2005-09-30 @ KF Elbasani L 0-229.9 1250 1386 11.13% 19.65% 69.23%-1.07 -6.4 6
2005-10-01 Besa D 2-263.1 1352 1171 72.57% 18.36% 9.07%+1.24 -2.9 7
2005-10-01 @ Dinamo Tirana D 2-263.1 1171 1352 9.07% 18.36% 72.57%-1.24 +2.9 11
2005-10-01 KF Tirana W 1-043.8 1239 1405 34.86% 24.13% 41.01%-0.08 +10.9 9
2005-10-01 @ Teuta L 0-143.8 1405 1239 41.01% 24.13% 34.86%+0.08 -10.9 9
2005-10-01 Shkumbini W 3-036.8 1020 1178 35.96% 24.15% 39.89%-0.05 +29.1 8
2005-10-01 @ Skenderbeu L 0-336.8 1178 1020 39.89% 24.15% 35.96%+0.05 -29.1 1
2005-10-02 Partizani W 2-143.6 1196 1225 53.22% 23.31% 23.48%+0.44 +6.5 6
2005-10-02 @ Lushnja L 1-243.6 1225 1196 23.48% 23.31% 53.22%-0.44 -6.5 9
2005-10-14 Lushnja W 1-031.9 1395 1202 73.40% 18.01% 8.59%+1.29 +2.6 12
2005-10-14 @ KF Tirana L 0-131.9 1202 1395 8.59% 18.01% 73.40%-1.29 -2.6 6
2005-10-16 Dinamo Tirana D 1-155.7 1243 1349 43.48% 24.06% 32.46%+0.15 -0.6 7
2005-10-16 @ Vllaznia D 1-155.7 1349 1243 32.46% 24.06% 43.48%-0.15 +0.6 8
2005-10-16 KF Elbasani W 1-043.9 1218 1392 33.84% 24.11% 42.05%-0.11 +11.1 12
2005-10-16 @ Partizani L 0-143.9 1392 1218 42.05% 24.11% 33.84%+0.11 -11.1 14
2005-10-16 Skenderbeu W 4-027.0 1174 1049 68.35% 19.95% 11.70%+1.03 +12.8 14
2005-10-16 @ Besa L 0-427.0 1049 1174 11.70% 19.95% 68.35%-1.03 -12.8 8
2005-10-16 Teuta W 2-146.3 1149 1250 44.13% 24.04% 31.84%+0.17 +8.4 4
2005-10-16 @ Shkumbini L 1-246.3 1250 1149 31.84% 24.04% 44.13%-0.17 -8.4 9
2005-10-22 Dinamo Tirana L 0-135.5 1036 1349 18.56% 22.39% 59.05%-0.64 -5.6 8
2005-10-22 @ Skenderbeu W 1-035.5 1349 1036 59.05% 22.39% 18.56%+0.64 +5.6 11
2005-10-22 KF Tirana W 1-039.8 1381 1397 54.73% 23.11% 22.16%+0.49 +6.6 17
2005-10-22 @ KF Elbasani L 0-139.8 1397 1381 22.16% 23.11% 54.73%-0.49 -6.6 12
2005-10-22 Shkumbini W 3-246.0 1200 1158 60.91% 22.01% 17.08%+0.71 +4.7 9
2005-10-22 @ Lushnja L 2-346.0 1158 1200 17.08% 22.01% 60.91%-0.71 -4.7 4
2005-10-22 Vllaznia W 2-033.3 1229 1243 55.01% 23.07% 21.92%+0.50 +12.3 15
2005-10-22 @ Partizani L 0-233.3 1243 1229 21.92% 23.07% 55.01%-0.50 -12.3 7
2005-10-23 Besa L 0-244.8 1241 1187 62.15% 21.73% 16.12%+0.76 -29.3 9
2005-10-23 @ Teuta W 2-044.8 1187 1241 16.12% 21.73% 62.15%-0.76 +29.3 17
2005-10-29 KF Elbasani L 1-244.9 1153 1388 26.27% 23.64% 50.09%-0.34 -7.2 4
2005-10-29 @ Shkumbini W 2-144.9 1388 1153 50.09% 23.64% 26.27%+0.34 +7.2 20
2005-10-29 Lushnja D 0-050.0 1216 1204 57.78% 22.63% 19.59%+0.60 -2.5 18
2005-10-29 @ Besa D 0-050.0 1204 1216 19.59% 22.63% 57.78%-0.60 +2.5 10
2005-10-29 Partizani W 1-033.1 1391 1242 70.23% 19.28% 10.49%+1.12 +3.2 15
2005-10-29 @ KF Tirana L 0-133.1 1242 1391 10.49% 19.28% 70.23%-1.12 -3.2 15
2005-10-29 Skenderbeu W 2-137.2 1230 1030 73.93% 17.78% 8.29%+1.32 +2.3 10
2005-10-29 @ Vllaznia L 1-237.2 1030 1230 8.29% 17.78% 73.93%-1.32 -2.3 8
2005-10-30 Teuta W 4-027.3 1355 1212 69.76% 19.45% 10.78%+1.10 +11.7 14
2005-10-30 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-427.3 1212 1355 10.78% 19.45% 69.76%-1.10 -11.7 9
2005-11-05 KF Elbasani L 0-141.1 1213 1395 32.83% 24.08% 43.09%-0.14 -9.1 18
2005-11-05 @ Besa W 1-041.1 1395 1213 43.09% 24.08% 32.83%+0.14 +9.1 23
2005-11-05 Lushnja W 3-027.0 1367 1207 71.06% 18.97% 9.97%+1.17 +8.3 17
2005-11-05 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-327.0 1207 1367 9.97% 18.97% 71.06%-1.17 -8.2 10
2005-11-05 Partizani W 2-145.9 1146 1238 45.20% 23.99% 30.82%+0.20 +8.2 7
2005-11-05 @ Shkumbini L 1-245.9 1238 1146 30.82% 23.99% 45.20%-0.20 -8.2 15
2005-11-05 Teuta W 1-042.8 1028 1200 34.08% 24.11% 41.81%-0.10 +11.0 11
2005-11-05 @ Skenderbeu L 0-142.8 1200 1028 41.81% 24.11% 34.08%+0.10 -11.0 9
2005-11-05 Vllaznia W 2-029.2 1394 1233 71.13% 18.94% 9.93%+1.17 +5.7 18
2005-11-05 @ KF Tirana L 0-229.2 1233 1394 9.93% 18.94% 71.13%-1.17 -5.7 10
2005-11-11 Shkumbini D 4-468.3 1399 1154 76.88% 16.40% 6.72%+1.49 -2.3 19
2005-11-11 @ KF Tirana D 4-468.3 1154 1399 6.72% 16.40% 76.88%-1.49 +2.3 8
2005-11-12 Besa D 1-155.6 1230 1204 59.29% 22.35% 18.36%+0.65 -2.4 16
2005-11-12 @ Partizani D 1-155.6 1204 1230 18.36% 22.35% 59.29%-0.65 +2.4 19
2005-11-12 Dinamo Tirana W 3-032.8 1404 1375 59.62% 22.28% 18.10%+0.67 +15.0 26
2005-11-12 @ KF Elbasani L 0-332.8 1375 1404 18.10% 22.28% 59.62%-0.67 -15.0 17
2005-11-12 Skenderbeu W 2-138.1 1198 1039 71.02% 18.98% 10.00%+1.16 +2.8 13
2005-11-12 @ Lushnja L 1-238.1 1039 1198 10.00% 18.98% 71.02%-1.16 -2.9 11
2005-11-12 Teuta W 3-137.5 1227 1189 60.50% 22.10% 17.40%+0.70 +8.6 13
2005-11-12 @ Vllaznia L 1-337.5 1189 1227 17.40% 22.10% 60.50%-0.70 -8.7 9
2005-11-18 KF Elbasani W 1-049.3 1036 1419 13.53% 20.80% 65.67%-0.91 +16.3 14
2005-11-18 @ Skenderbeu L 0-149.3 1419 1036 65.67% 20.80% 13.53%+0.91 -16.3 26
2005-11-19 KF Tirana D 1-155.7 1207 1397 31.66% 24.03% 44.31%-0.17 +0.7 20
2005-11-19 @ Besa D 1-155.7 1397 1207 44.31% 24.03% 31.66%+0.17 -0.7 20
2005-11-19 Partizani L 1-256.8 1360 1228 68.91% 19.76% 11.33%+1.06 -16.0 17
2005-11-19 @ Dinamo Tirana W 2-156.8 1228 1360 11.33% 19.76% 68.91%-1.06 +16.0 19
2005-11-19 Vllaznia D 0-049.6 1156 1236 46.93% 23.89% 29.18%+0.25 -1.1 9
2005-11-19 @ Shkumbini D 0-049.6 1236 1156 29.18% 23.89% 46.93%-0.25 +1.1 14
2005-11-20 Lushnja W 1-036.9 1181 1201 54.20% 23.18% 22.62%+0.47 +6.7 12
2005-11-20 @ Teuta L 0-136.9 1201 1181 22.62% 23.18% 54.20%-0.47 -6.7 13
2005-11-25 Skenderbeu W 3-025.6 1244 1052 73.32% 18.04% 8.64%+1.29 +7.1 22
2005-11-25 @ Partizani L 0-325.6 1052 1244 8.64% 18.04% 73.32%-1.29 -7.1 14
2005-11-26 Besa W 1-038.0 1155 1207 50.43% 23.61% 25.96%+0.35 +7.6 12
2005-11-26 @ Shkumbini L 0-138.0 1207 1155 25.96% 23.61% 50.43%-0.35 -7.6 20
2005-11-26 Dinamo Tirana D 1-157.9 1396 1344 61.94% 21.78% 16.28%+0.75 -2.7 21
2005-11-26 @ KF Tirana D 1-157.9 1344 1396 16.28% 21.78% 61.94%-0.75 +2.7 18
2005-11-26 Lushnja W 3-029.5 1237 1195 60.94% 22.01% 17.06%+0.72 +14.2 17
2005-11-26 @ Vllaznia L 0-329.5 1195 1237 17.06% 22.01% 60.94%-0.72 -14.2 13
2005-11-26 Teuta W 2-137.7 1403 1187 74.96% 17.31% 7.73%+1.38 +2.2 29
2005-11-26 @ KF Elbasani L 1-237.7 1187 1403 7.73% 17.31% 74.96%-1.38 -2.1 12
2005-11-30 KF Elbasani L 0-235.6 1180 1405 27.45% 23.75% 48.80%-0.30 -14.9 13
2005-11-30 @ Lushnja W 2-035.6 1405 1180 48.80% 23.75% 27.45%+0.30 +14.9 32
2005-11-30 KF Tirana W 4-361.7 1045 1394 15.85% 21.64% 62.51%-0.78 +13.6 17
2005-11-30 @ Skenderbeu L 3-461.7 1394 1045 62.51% 21.64% 15.85%+0.78 -13.6 21
2005-11-30 Partizani L 1-251.3 1185 1251 48.73% 23.76% 27.51%+0.30 -11.8 12
2005-11-30 @ Teuta W 2-151.3 1251 1185 27.51% 23.76% 48.73%-0.30 +11.8 25
2005-11-30 Shkumbini W 3-134.1 1347 1163 72.80% 18.26% 8.94%+1.26 +4.4 21
2005-11-30 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-334.1 1163 1347 8.94% 18.26% 72.80%-1.26 -4.4 12
2005-11-30 Vllaznia L 0-145.6 1200 1251 50.53% 23.60% 25.87%+0.36 -12.9 20
2005-11-30 @ Besa W 1-045.6 1251 1200 25.87% 23.60% 50.53%-0.36 +12.9 20
2005-12-03 KF Elbasani D 0-051.0 1264 1420 36.35% 24.16% 39.49%-0.04 +0.2 21
2005-12-03 @ Vllaznia D 0-051.0 1420 1264 39.49% 24.16% 36.35%+0.04 -0.2 33
2005-12-03 Skenderbeu W 2-139.5 1158 1059 66.19% 20.64% 13.16%+0.93 +3.8 15
2005-12-03 @ Shkumbini L 1-239.5 1059 1158 13.16% 20.64% 66.19%-0.93 -3.8 17
2005-12-03 Teuta W 2-137.7 1380 1173 74.37% 17.58% 8.05%+1.34 +2.2 24
2005-12-03 @ KF Tirana L 1-237.7 1173 1380 8.05% 17.58% 74.37%-1.34 -2.2 12
2005-12-04 Dinamo Tirana W 3-037.6 1187 1351 35.20% 24.14% 40.66%-0.07 +29.6 23
2005-12-04 @ Besa L 0-337.6 1351 1187 40.66% 24.14% 35.20%+0.07 -29.6 21
2005-12-04 Lushnja W 2-029.9 1263 1165 66.02% 20.69% 13.29%+0.93 +7.7 28
2005-12-04 @ Partizani L 0-229.9 1165 1263 13.29% 20.69% 66.02%-0.93 -7.7 13
2005-12-10 KF Tirana L 0-139.0 1158 1382 27.46% 23.75% 48.79%-0.30 -7.9 13
2005-12-10 @ Lushnja W 1-039.0 1382 1158 48.79% 23.75% 27.46%+0.30 +7.9 27
2005-12-10 Partizani L 0-151.6 1420 1270 70.26% 19.27% 10.47%+1.12 -17.3 33
2005-12-10 @ KF Elbasani W 1-051.6 1270 1420 10.47% 19.27% 70.26%-1.12 +17.3 31
2005-12-10 Shkumbini W 2-142.2 1171 1162 57.51% 22.67% 19.82%+0.59 +5.6 15
2005-12-10 @ Teuta L 1-242.2 1162 1171 19.82% 22.67% 57.51%-0.59 -5.6 15
2005-12-10 Vllaznia W 3-029.7 1321 1264 62.38% 21.67% 15.94%+0.77 +13.3 24
2005-12-10 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-329.7 1264 1321 15.94% 21.67% 62.38%-0.77 -13.3 21
2005-12-11 Besa W 2-038.8 1055 1216 35.61% 24.15% 40.24%-0.06 +20.2 20
2005-12-11 @ Skenderbeu L 0-238.8 1216 1055 40.24% 24.15% 35.61%+0.06 -20.2 23
2005-12-16 KF Elbasani D 1-158.5 1390 1402 55.17% 23.05% 21.79%+0.51 -1.9 28
2005-12-16 @ KF Tirana D 1-158.5 1402 1390 21.79% 23.05% 55.17%-0.51 +1.9 34
2005-12-17 Lushnja W 1-035.9 1156 1150 57.25% 22.72% 20.03%+0.58 +6.0 18
2005-12-17 @ Shkumbini L 0-135.9 1150 1156 20.03% 22.72% 57.25%-0.58 -6.0 13
2005-12-17 Partizani W 1-037.9 1251 1288 52.31% 23.41% 24.28%+0.41 +7.1 24
2005-12-17 @ Vllaznia L 0-137.9 1288 1251 24.28% 23.41% 52.31%-0.41 -7.1 31
2005-12-17 Skenderbeu W 3-132.4 1335 1075 77.72% 15.97% 6.30%+1.54 +3.0 27
2005-12-17 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-332.4 1075 1335 6.30% 15.97% 77.72%-1.54 -3.0 20
2005-12-17 Teuta W 1-035.6 1196 1177 58.61% 22.48% 18.91%+0.63 +5.7 26
2005-12-17 @ Besa L 0-135.6 1177 1196 18.91% 22.48% 58.61%-0.63 -5.7 15
2005-12-22 Besa D 1-155.0 1144 1202 49.69% 23.68% 26.63%+0.33 -1.3 14
2005-12-22 @ Lushnja D 1-155.0 1202 1144 26.63% 23.68% 49.69%-0.33 +1.3 27
2005-12-22 Dinamo Tirana L 0-141.2 1171 1338 34.85% 24.13% 41.02%-0.08 -9.6 15
2005-12-22 @ Teuta W 1-041.2 1338 1171 41.02% 24.13% 34.85%+0.08 +9.6 30
2005-12-22 KF Tirana W 1-041.6 1280 1388 43.14% 24.07% 32.79%+0.14 +9.1 34
2005-12-22 @ Partizani L 0-141.6 1388 1280 32.79% 24.07% 43.14%-0.14 -9.1 28
2005-12-22 Shkumbini W 2-027.2 1404 1162 76.65% 16.51% 6.84%+1.48 +3.8 37
2005-12-22 @ KF Elbasani L 0-227.2 1162 1404 6.84% 16.51% 76.65%-1.48 -3.8 18
2005-12-22 Vllaznia W 1-043.4 1072 1258 32.31% 24.06% 43.64%-0.16 +11.4 23
2005-12-22 @ Skenderbeu L 0-143.4 1258 1072 43.64% 24.06% 32.31%+0.16 -11.4 24
2006-01-13 Dinamo Tirana L 1-438.9 1142 1347 29.85% 23.93% 46.22%-0.23 -19.6 14
2006-01-13 @ Lushnja W 4-138.9 1347 1142 46.22% 23.93% 29.85%+0.23 +19.6 33
2006-01-14 KF Tirana L 0-239.7 1247 1379 39.68% 24.15% 36.17%+0.05 -20.0 24
2006-01-14 @ Vllaznia W 2-039.7 1379 1247 36.17% 24.15% 39.68%-0.05 +20.0 31
2006-01-14 Shkumbini W 3-027.2 1290 1159 68.81% 19.79% 11.39%+1.05 +9.5 37
2006-01-14 @ Partizani L 0-327.2 1159 1290 11.39% 19.79% 68.81%-1.05 -9.5 18
2006-01-14 Skenderbeu D 1-155.7 1161 1084 64.28% 21.19% 14.53%+0.85 -3.0 16
2006-01-14 @ Teuta D 1-155.7 1084 1161 14.53% 21.19% 64.28%-0.85 +3.0 24
2006-01-15 Besa W 2-138.0 1408 1203 74.25% 17.63% 8.11%+1.34 +2.3 40
2006-01-15 @ KF Elbasani L 1-238.0 1203 1408 8.11% 17.63% 74.25%-1.34 -2.3 27
2006-01-20 Lushnja W 2-143.6 1087 1123 52.39% 23.40% 24.21%+0.42 +6.7 27
2006-01-20 @ Skenderbeu L 1-243.6 1123 1087 24.21% 23.40% 52.39%-0.42 -6.7 14
2006-01-21 KF Elbasani D 1-158.1 1367 1410 51.49% 23.50% 25.01%+0.39 -1.5 34
2006-01-21 @ Dinamo Tirana D 1-158.1 1410 1367 25.01% 23.50% 51.49%-0.39 +1.5 41
2006-01-21 KF Tirana L 0-138.1 1149 1399 24.61% 23.45% 51.94%-0.40 -7.2 18
2006-01-21 @ Shkumbini W 1-038.1 1399 1149 51.94% 23.45% 24.61%+0.40 +7.2 34
2006-01-21 Partizani W 2-146.4 1201 1299 44.46% 24.02% 31.52%+0.18 +8.4 30
2006-01-21 @ Besa L 1-246.4 1299 1201 31.52% 24.02% 44.46%-0.18 -8.3 37
2006-01-21 Vllaznia W 3-141.1 1158 1227 48.42% 23.78% 27.80%+0.29 +13.1 19
2006-01-21 @ Teuta L 1-341.1 1227 1158 27.80% 23.78% 48.42%-0.29 -13.1 24
2006-01-27 Besa D 0-052.3 1406 1209 73.72% 17.87% 8.41%+1.31 -4.5 35
2006-01-27 @ KF Tirana D 0-052.3 1209 1406 8.41% 17.87% 73.72%-1.31 +4.5 31
2006-01-28 Dinamo Tirana W 1-040.1 1291 1365 47.58% 23.84% 28.58%+0.27 +8.2 40
2006-01-28 @ Partizani L 0-140.1 1365 1291 28.58% 23.84% 47.58%-0.27 -8.2 34
2006-01-28 Shkumbini D 0-050.3 1214 1142 63.73% 21.34% 14.94%+0.83 -3.3 25
2006-01-28 @ Vllaznia D 0-050.3 1142 1214 14.94% 21.34% 63.73%-0.83 +3.3 19
2006-01-28 Skenderbeu W 2-135.5 1412 1094 81.05% 14.18% 4.77%+1.77 +1.2 44
2006-01-28 @ KF Elbasani L 1-235.5 1094 1412 4.77% 14.18% 81.05%-1.77 -1.2 27
2006-01-28 Teuta D 0-049.6 1116 1172 50.04% 23.65% 26.32%+0.34 -1.5 15
2006-01-28 @ Lushnja D 0-049.6 1172 1116 26.32% 23.65% 50.04%-0.34 +1.5 20
2006-02-15 KF Elbasani D 0-050.4 1173 1413 25.68% 23.58% 50.74%-0.36 +1.6 21
2006-02-15 @ Teuta D 0-050.4 1413 1173 50.74% 23.58% 25.68%+0.36 -1.6 45
2006-02-15 KF Tirana D 1-157.7 1357 1402 51.34% 23.52% 25.14%+0.38 -1.5 35
2006-02-15 @ Dinamo Tirana D 1-157.7 1402 1357 25.14% 23.52% 51.34%-0.38 +1.5 36
2006-02-15 Partizani D 0-049.6 1092 1299 29.62% 23.92% 46.47%-0.24 +1.0 28
2006-02-15 @ Skenderbeu D 0-049.6 1299 1092 46.47% 23.92% 29.62%+0.24 -1.0 41
2006-02-15 Shkumbini W 2-030.5 1214 1145 63.44% 21.41% 15.15%+0.82 +8.7 34
2006-02-15 @ Besa L 0-230.5 1145 1214 15.15% 21.41% 63.44%-0.82 -8.7 19
2006-02-15 Vllaznia L 0-143.8 1115 1210 44.81% 24.00% 31.18%+0.19 -11.7 15
2006-02-15 @ Lushnja W 1-043.8 1210 1115 31.18% 24.00% 44.81%-0.19 +11.7 28
2006-02-18 Besa W 5-237.8 1222 1222 56.47% 22.85% 20.68%+0.55 +12.4 31
2006-02-18 @ Vllaznia L 2-537.8 1222 1222 20.68% 22.85% 56.47%-0.55 -12.4 34
2006-02-18 Dinamo Tirana L 0-139.0 1137 1356 28.09% 23.81% 48.10%-0.28 -8.1 19
2006-02-18 @ Shkumbini W 1-039.0 1356 1137 48.10% 23.81% 28.09%+0.28 +8.1 38
2006-02-18 Skenderbeu W 2-025.7 1403 1093 80.61% 14.43% 4.97%+1.74 +2.6 39
2006-02-18 @ KF Tirana L 0-225.7 1093 1403 4.97% 14.43% 80.61%-1.74 -2.6 28
2006-02-18 Teuta W 4-132.3 1298 1175 68.20% 20.00% 11.80%+1.03 +8.3 44
2006-02-18 @ Partizani L 1-432.3 1175 1298 11.80% 20.00% 68.20%-1.03 -8.3 21
2006-02-19 Lushnja W 1-029.4 1412 1103 80.52% 14.48% 5.00%+1.73 +1.4 48
2006-02-19 @ KF Elbasani L 0-129.4 1103 1412 5.00% 14.48% 80.52%-1.73 -1.4 15
2006-02-24 KF Tirana L 0-433.0 1166 1406 25.73% 23.58% 50.69%-0.36 -26.8 21
2006-02-24 @ Teuta W 4-033.0 1406 1166 50.69% 23.58% 25.73%+0.36 +26.8 42
2006-02-25 Besa W 3-243.7 1364 1210 70.59% 19.15% 10.26%+1.14 +2.8 41
2006-02-25 @ Dinamo Tirana L 2-343.7 1210 1364 10.26% 19.15% 70.59%-1.14 -2.8 34
2006-02-25 Partizani D 1-155.0 1102 1306 29.88% 23.93% 46.19%-0.23 +0.9 16
2006-02-25 @ Lushnja D 1-155.0 1306 1102 46.19% 23.93% 29.88%+0.23 -0.9 45
2006-02-25 Shkumbini L 0-242.1 1091 1128 52.19% 23.43% 24.38%+0.41 -25.0 28
2006-02-25 @ Skenderbeu W 2-042.1 1128 1091 24.38% 23.43% 52.19%-0.41 +25.0 22
2006-02-26 Vllaznia W 1-032.6 1413 1234 72.42% 18.42% 9.16%+1.24 +2.8 51
2006-02-26 @ KF Elbasani L 0-132.6 1234 1413 9.16% 18.42% 72.42%-1.24 -2.8 31
2006-03-03 Lushnja W 1-029.1 1433 1103 81.67% 13.82% 4.51%+1.82 +1.2 45
2006-03-03 @ KF Tirana L 0-129.1 1103 1433 4.51% 13.82% 81.67%-1.82 -1.2 16
2006-03-04 Dinamo Tirana L 0-239.4 1232 1367 39.34% 24.16% 36.50%+0.04 -19.8 31
2006-03-04 @ Vllaznia W 2-039.4 1367 1232 36.50% 24.16% 39.34%-0.04 +19.8 44
2006-03-04 KF Elbasani W 2-038.8 1305 1416 42.79% 24.09% 33.13%+0.13 +17.4 48
2006-03-04 @ Partizani L 0-238.8 1416 1305 33.13% 24.09% 42.79%-0.13 -17.4 51
2006-03-04 Skenderbeu W 2-028.6 1207 1066 69.66% 19.49% 10.85%+1.10 +6.2 37
2006-03-04 @ Besa L 0-228.6 1066 1207 10.85% 19.49% 69.66%-1.10 -6.2 28
2006-03-04 Teuta L 1-253.6 1153 1139 58.04% 22.58% 19.38%+0.61 -13.8 22
2006-03-04 @ Shkumbini W 2-153.6 1139 1153 19.38% 22.58% 58.04%-0.61 +13.8 24
2006-03-10 Dinamo Tirana W 1-048.1 1059 1386 17.46% 22.12% 60.43%-0.70 +15.1 31
2006-03-10 @ Skenderbeu L 0-148.1 1386 1059 60.43% 22.12% 17.46%+0.70 -15.1 44
2006-03-10 Shkumbini L 0-145.7 1101 1140 52.11% 23.44% 24.46%+0.41 -13.3 16
2006-03-10 @ Lushnja W 1-045.7 1140 1101 24.46% 23.44% 52.11%-0.41 +13.3 25
2006-03-11 Besa W 2-144.6 1153 1213 49.42% 23.70% 26.88%+0.32 +7.3 27
2006-03-11 @ Teuta L 1-244.6 1213 1153 26.88% 23.70% 49.42%-0.32 -7.3 37
2006-03-11 KF Tirana W 1-041.7 1398 1434 52.43% 23.40% 24.17%+0.42 +7.1 54
2006-03-11 @ KF Elbasani L 0-141.7 1434 1398 24.17% 23.40% 52.43%-0.42 -7.1 45
2006-03-11 Vllaznia D 2-262.5 1323 1212 67.18% 20.34% 12.48%+0.98 -2.5 49
2006-03-11 @ Partizani D 2-262.5 1212 1323 12.48% 20.34% 67.18%-0.98 +2.5 32
2006-03-18 Lushnja W 6-028.6 1206 1088 67.78% 20.14% 12.08%+1.01 +19.3 40
2006-03-18 @ Besa L 0-628.6 1088 1206 12.08% 20.14% 67.78%-1.01 -19.3 16
2006-03-18 Skenderbeu W 1-032.3 1214 1075 69.51% 19.55% 10.95%+1.09 +3.3 35
2006-03-18 @ Vllaznia L 0-132.3 1075 1214 10.95% 19.55% 69.51%-1.09 -3.3 31
2006-03-18 Teuta W 2-027.6 1371 1161 74.64% 17.46% 7.90%+1.36 +4.4 47
2006-03-18 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-227.6 1161 1371 7.90% 17.46% 74.64%-1.36 -4.4 27
2006-03-19 KF Elbasani D 0-050.3 1153 1405 24.34% 23.42% 52.24%-0.41 +1.8 26
2006-03-19 @ Shkumbini D 0-050.3 1405 1153 52.24% 23.42% 24.34%+0.41 -1.8 55
2006-03-19 Partizani W 1-035.6 1427 1320 66.83% 20.45% 12.72%+0.96 +3.9 48
2006-03-19 @ KF Tirana L 0-135.6 1320 1427 12.72% 20.45% 66.83%-0.96 -3.9 49
2006-03-25 KF Elbasani L 0-237.8 1225 1404 33.28% 24.09% 42.62%-0.13 -17.4 40
2006-03-25 @ Besa W 2-037.8 1404 1225 42.62% 24.09% 33.28%+0.13 +17.4 58
2006-03-25 Lushnja L 0-151.8 1376 1069 80.44% 14.52% 5.04%+1.73 -19.0 47
2006-03-25 @ Dinamo Tirana W 1-051.8 1069 1376 5.04% 14.52% 80.44%-1.73 +19.0 19
2006-03-25 Partizani W 2-039.1 1155 1316 35.56% 24.15% 40.30%-0.06 +20.2 29
2006-03-25 @ Shkumbini L 0-239.1 1316 1155 40.30% 24.15% 35.56%+0.06 -20.2 49
2006-03-25 Teuta W 1-039.2 1071 1156 46.24% 23.93% 29.83%+0.23 +8.5 34
2006-03-25 @ Skenderbeu L 0-139.2 1156 1071 29.83% 23.93% 46.24%-0.23 -8.5 27
2006-03-25 Vllaznia W 2-138.2 1431 1218 74.82% 17.38% 7.80%+1.37 +2.2 51
2006-03-25 @ KF Tirana L 1-238.2 1218 1431 7.80% 17.38% 74.82%-1.37 -2.2 35
2006-04-01 Besa W 3-136.4 1296 1208 65.22% 20.93% 13.85%+0.89 +6.9 52
2006-04-01 @ Partizani L 1-336.4 1208 1296 13.85% 20.93% 65.22%-0.89 -6.9 40
2006-04-01 Dinamo Tirana D 1-158.7 1421 1357 63.07% 21.50% 15.42%+0.80 -2.8 59
2006-04-01 @ KF Elbasani D 1-158.7 1357 1421 15.42% 21.50% 63.07%-0.80 +2.8 48
2006-04-01 Shkumbini W 3-133.2 1433 1175 77.65% 16.01% 6.34%+1.54 +3.0 54
2006-04-01 @ KF Tirana L 1-333.2 1175 1433 6.34% 16.01% 77.65%-1.54 -3.0 29
2006-04-01 Skenderbeu D 1-155.2 1088 1080 57.40% 22.69% 19.91%+0.58 -2.2 20
2006-04-01 @ Lushnja D 1-155.2 1080 1088 19.91% 22.69% 57.40%-0.58 +2.2 35
2006-04-01 Teuta D 1-155.7 1215 1148 63.37% 21.43% 15.20%+0.81 -2.9 36
2006-04-01 @ Vllaznia D 1-155.7 1148 1215 15.20% 21.43% 63.37%-0.81 +2.9 28
2006-04-05 KF Elbasani D 0-050.5 1082 1418 16.73% 21.91% 61.36%-0.73 +3.0 36
2006-04-05 @ Skenderbeu D 0-050.5 1418 1082 61.36% 21.91% 16.73%+0.73 -3.0 60
2006-04-05 KF Tirana L 0-235.6 1201 1436 26.26% 23.64% 50.10%-0.34 -14.4 40
2006-04-05 @ Besa W 2-035.6 1436 1201 50.10% 23.64% 26.26%+0.34 +14.4 57
2006-04-05 Lushnja D 1-155.6 1151 1086 63.12% 21.49% 15.39%+0.80 -2.8 29
2006-04-05 @ Teuta D 1-155.6 1086 1151 15.39% 21.49% 63.12%-0.80 +2.9 21
2006-04-05 Partizani W 3-030.3 1359 1303 62.31% 21.69% 16.00%+0.77 +13.4 51
2006-04-05 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-330.3 1303 1359 16.00% 21.69% 62.31%-0.77 -13.4 52
2006-04-05 Vllaznia W 1-037.6 1172 1213 51.85% 23.46% 24.68%+0.40 +7.2 32
2006-04-05 @ Shkumbini L 0-137.6 1213 1172 24.68% 23.46% 51.85%-0.40 -7.2 36
2006-04-08 Besa W 1-036.5 1179 1187 55.70% 22.97% 21.34%+0.53 +6.4 35
2006-04-08 @ Shkumbini L 0-136.5 1187 1179 21.34% 22.97% 55.70%-0.53 -6.4 40
2006-04-08 Dinamo Tirana W 3-032.4 1450 1373 64.28% 21.19% 14.53%+0.85 +12.2 60
2006-04-08 @ KF Tirana L 0-332.4 1373 1450 14.53% 21.19% 64.28%-0.85 -12.2 51
2006-04-08 Lushnja W 1-032.8 1205 1088 67.67% 20.18% 12.15%+1.00 +3.7 39
2006-04-08 @ Vllaznia L 0-132.8 1088 1205 12.15% 20.18% 67.67%-1.00 -3.7 21
2006-04-08 Skenderbeu W 3-133.4 1290 1085 74.24% 17.64% 8.12%+1.34 +3.9 55
2006-04-08 @ Partizani L 1-333.4 1085 1290 8.12% 17.64% 74.24%-1.34 -3.9 36
2006-04-08 Teuta W 2-026.7 1415 1148 78.22% 15.72% 6.06%+1.58 +3.3 63
2006-04-08 @ KF Elbasani L 0-226.7 1148 1415 6.06% 15.72% 78.22%-1.58 -3.3 29
2006-04-15 KF Elbasani L 2-440.9 1085 1419 16.92% 21.97% 61.11%-0.72 -7.5 21
2006-04-15 @ Lushnja W 4-240.9 1419 1085 61.11% 21.97% 16.92%+0.72 +7.5 66
2006-04-15 KF Tirana W 1-049.6 1081 1463 13.62% 20.83% 65.55%-0.90 +16.3 39
2006-04-15 @ Skenderbeu L 0-149.6 1463 1081 65.55% 20.83% 13.62%+0.90 -16.3 60
2006-04-15 Partizani W 1-042.1 1144 1294 37.30% 24.16% 38.53%-0.02 +10.4 32
2006-04-15 @ Teuta L 0-142.1 1294 1144 38.53% 24.16% 37.30%+0.02 -10.4 55
2006-04-15 Shkumbini D 0-051.7 1361 1186 72.17% 18.53% 9.31%+1.22 -4.3 52
2006-04-15 @ Dinamo Tirana D 0-051.7 1186 1361 9.31% 18.53% 72.17%-1.22 +4.3 36
2006-04-15 Vllaznia W 1-037.2 1180 1209 53.27% 23.30% 23.43%+0.44 +6.9 43
2006-04-15 @ Besa L 0-137.2 1209 1180 23.43% 23.30% 53.27%-0.44 -6.9 39
2006-04-22 Dinamo Tirana L 0-141.2 1187 1356 34.52% 24.13% 41.36%-0.09 -9.5 43
2006-04-22 @ Besa W 1-041.2 1356 1187 41.36% 24.13% 34.52%+0.09 +9.5 55
2006-04-22 KF Elbasani W 3-257.0 1202 1426 27.52% 23.76% 48.73%-0.30 +11.2 42
2006-04-22 @ Vllaznia L 2-357.0 1426 1202 48.73% 23.76% 27.52%+0.30 -11.2 66
2006-04-22 Lushnja W 3-025.4 1283 1077 74.33% 17.60% 8.07%+1.34 +6.6 58
2006-04-22 @ Partizani L 0-325.4 1077 1283 8.07% 17.60% 74.33%-1.34 -6.6 21
2006-04-22 Skenderbeu W 2-139.7 1190 1097 65.62% 20.81% 13.57%+0.91 +3.9 39
2006-04-22 @ Shkumbini L 1-239.7 1097 1190 13.57% 20.81% 65.62%-0.91 -3.9 39
2006-04-22 Teuta L 0-152.3 1446 1155 79.59% 14.99% 5.42%+1.67 -18.9 60
2006-04-22 @ KF Tirana W 1-052.3 1155 1446 5.42% 14.99% 79.59%-1.67 +18.9 35
2006-04-29 Besa L 0-240.6 1093 1178 46.30% 23.93% 29.78%+0.23 -22.6 39
2006-04-29 @ Skenderbeu W 2-040.6 1178 1093 29.78% 23.93% 46.30%-0.23 +22.6 46
2006-04-29 KF Tirana D 0-050.6 1071 1427 15.25% 21.44% 63.31%-0.81 +3.2 22
2006-04-29 @ Lushnja D 0-050.6 1427 1071 63.31% 21.44% 15.25%+0.81 -3.2 61
2006-04-29 Partizani D 1-158.0 1415 1290 68.35% 19.95% 11.70%+1.03 -3.4 67
2006-04-29 @ KF Elbasani D 1-158.0 1290 1415 11.70% 19.95% 68.35%-1.03 +3.4 59
2006-04-29 Shkumbini D 0-049.8 1174 1194 54.26% 23.17% 22.57%+0.48 -2.0 36
2006-04-29 @ Teuta D 0-049.8 1194 1174 22.57% 23.17% 54.26%-0.48 +2.0 40
2006-04-29 Vllaznia W 2-139.0 1366 1213 70.51% 19.18% 10.31%+1.14 +2.9 58
2006-04-29 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-239.0 1213 1366 10.31% 19.18% 70.51%-1.14 -2.9 42
2006-05-07 KF Elbasani L 2-362.8 1424 1411 57.90% 22.61% 19.49%+0.60 -13.0 61
2006-05-07 @ KF Tirana W 3-262.8 1411 1424 19.49% 22.61% 57.90%-0.60 +13.0 70
2006-05-07 Lushnja W 2-138.9 1196 1074 68.10% 20.04% 11.87%+1.02 +3.4 43
2006-05-07 @ Shkumbini L 1-238.9 1074 1196 11.87% 20.04% 68.10%-1.02 -3.4 22
2006-05-07 Partizani W 1-039.5 1210 1293 46.49% 23.91% 29.59%+0.24 +8.4 45
2006-05-07 @ Vllaznia L 0-139.5 1293 1210 29.59% 23.91% 46.49%-0.24 -8.4 59
2006-05-07 Skenderbeu W 1-029.3 1369 1071 79.96% 14.79% 5.25%+1.69 +1.5 61
2006-05-07 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-129.3 1071 1369 5.25% 14.79% 79.96%-1.69 -1.5 39
2006-05-07 Teuta L 1-447.1 1200 1172 59.57% 22.29% 18.14%+0.66 -34.5 46
2006-05-07 @ Besa W 4-147.1 1172 1200 18.14% 22.29% 59.57%-0.66 +34.5 39
2006-05-13 Besa W 1-039.6 1070 1166 44.83% 24.00% 31.16%+0.19 +8.8 25
2006-05-13 @ Lushnja L 0-139.6 1166 1070 31.16% 24.00% 44.83%-0.19 -8.8 46
2006-05-13 Dinamo Tirana W 1-043.2 1206 1370 35.20% 24.14% 40.66%-0.07 +10.8 42
2006-05-13 @ Teuta L 0-143.2 1370 1206 40.66% 24.14% 35.20%+0.07 -10.8 61
2006-05-13 KF Tirana D 2-262.6 1285 1411 40.56% 24.14% 35.30%+0.07 -0.2 60
2006-05-13 @ Partizani D 2-262.6 1411 1285 35.30% 24.14% 40.56%-0.07 +0.2 62
2006-05-13 Shkumbini W 2-027.8 1425 1199 75.60% 17.02% 7.38%+1.41 +4.1 73
2006-05-13 @ KF Elbasani L 0-227.8 1199 1425 7.38% 17.02% 75.60%-1.41 -4.1 43
2006-05-13 Vllaznia W 2-148.2 1069 1219 37.26% 24.16% 38.58%-0.02 +9.8 42
2006-05-13 @ Skenderbeu L 1-248.2 1219 1069 38.58% 24.16% 37.26%+0.02 -9.8 45

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2006-03-25 5.04% Lushnja 1069 1 @ Dinamo Tirana 1376 0
2 2006-04-22 5.42% Teuta 1155 1 @ KF Tirana 1446 0
3 2005-09-24 9.28% Besa 1123 3 @ Vllaznia 1298 0
4 2005-12-10 10.47% Partizani 1270 1 @ KF Elbasani 1420 0
5 2005-11-19 11.33% Partizani 1228 2 @ Dinamo Tirana 1360 1
6 2005-11-18 13.53% @ Skenderbeu 1036 1 KF Elbasani 1419 0
7 2006-04-15 13.62% @ Skenderbeu 1081 1 KF Tirana 1463 0
8 2005-11-30 15.85% @ Skenderbeu 1045 4 KF Tirana 1394 3
9 2005-10-23 16.12% Besa 1187 2 @ Teuta 1241 0
10 2006-03-10 17.46% @ Skenderbeu 1059 1 Dinamo Tirana 1386 0
11 2006-05-07 18.14% Teuta 1172 4 @ Besa 1200 1
12 2006-03-04 19.38% Teuta 1139 2 @ Shkumbini 1153 1
13 2006-05-07 19.49% KF Elbasani 1411 3 @ KF Tirana 1424 2
14 2006-02-25 24.38% Shkumbini 1128 2 @ Skenderbeu 1091 0
15 2006-03-10 24.46% Shkumbini 1140 1 @ Lushnja 1101 0
16 2005-09-18 25.71% Vllaznia 1277 3 @ Lushnja 1227 1
17 2005-11-30 25.87% Vllaznia 1251 1 @ Besa 1200 0
18 2005-11-30 27.51% Partizani 1251 2 @ Teuta 1185 1
19 2006-04-22 27.52% @ Vllaznia 1202 3 KF Elbasani 1426 2
20 2006-04-29 29.78% Besa 1178 2 @ Skenderbeu 1093 0
21 2005-09-17 29.94% @ Skenderbeu 1011 2 Partizani 1215 1
22 2006-02-15 31.18% Vllaznia 1210 1 @ Lushnja 1115 0
23 2005-12-22 32.31% @ Skenderbeu 1072 1 Vllaznia 1258 0
24 2005-08-27 33.60% KF Tirana 1396 2 @ Vllaznia 1282 1
25 2005-10-16 33.84% @ Partizani 1218 1 KF Elbasani 1392 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-09-24 48.37 Besa 3 1123 9.28% @ Vllaznia 0 1298 72.21% 18.51%
2 2006-05-07 34.53 Teuta 4 1172 18.14% @ Besa 1 1200 59.57% 22.29%
3 2005-12-04 29.56 @ Besa 3 1187 35.20% Dinamo Tirana 0 1351 40.66% 24.14%
4 2005-10-23 29.29 Besa 2 1187 16.12% @ Teuta 0 1241 62.15% 21.73%
5 2005-10-01 29.12 @ Skenderbeu 3 1020 35.96% Shkumbini 0 1178 39.89% 24.15%
6 2006-02-24 26.85 KF Tirana 4 1406 50.69% @ Teuta 0 1166 25.73% 23.58%
7 2005-09-10 25.13 @ Vllaznia 5 1252 58.71% Shkumbini 0 1231 18.83% 22.46%
8 2006-02-25 25.04 Shkumbini 2 1128 24.38% @ Skenderbeu 0 1091 52.19% 23.43%
9 2005-09-07 23.37 @ Besa 4 1088 38.43% Partizani 1 1229 37.40% 24.16%
10 2006-04-29 22.60 Besa 2 1178 29.78% @ Skenderbeu 0 1093 46.30% 23.93%
11 2005-09-18 21.16 Vllaznia 3 1277 25.71% @ Lushnja 1 1227 50.70% 23.58%
12 2005-09-24 21.01 @ Partizani 3 1204 49.93% Teuta 0 1260 26.41% 23.66%
13 2006-03-25 20.21 @ Shkumbini 2 1155 35.56% Partizani 0 1316 40.30% 24.15%
14 2005-12-11 20.19 @ Skenderbeu 2 1055 35.61% Besa 0 1216 40.24% 24.15%
15 2006-01-14 19.96 KF Tirana 2 1379 36.17% @ Vllaznia 0 1247 39.68% 24.15%
16 2005-09-24 19.91 Dinamo Tirana 2 1332 36.31% @ Shkumbini 0 1198 39.53% 24.16%
17 2006-03-04 19.83 Dinamo Tirana 2 1367 36.50% @ Vllaznia 0 1232 39.34% 24.16%
18 2006-01-13 19.59 Dinamo Tirana 4 1347 46.22% @ Lushnja 1 1142 29.85% 23.93%
19 2006-03-18 19.32 @ Besa 6 1206 67.78% Lushnja 0 1088 12.08% 20.14%
20 2005-09-06 19.20 @ Teuta 3 1239 52.89% Vllaznia 0 1271 23.76% 23.34%
21 2006-03-25 19.04 Lushnja 1 1069 5.04% @ Dinamo Tirana 0 1376 80.44% 14.52%
22 2006-04-22 18.92 Teuta 1 1155 5.42% @ KF Tirana 0 1446 79.59% 14.99%
23 2006-03-25 17.44 KF Elbasani 2 1404 42.62% @ Besa 0 1225 33.28% 24.09%
24 2006-03-04 17.37 @ Partizani 2 1305 42.79% KF Elbasani 0 1416 33.13% 24.09%
25 2005-12-10 17.28 Partizani 1 1270 10.47% @ KF Elbasani 0 1420 70.26% 19.27%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-11-11 68.3 @ KF Tirana 4 1399 76.88% Shkumbini 4 1154 6.72% 16.40%
2 2005-09-17 66.6 @ Dinamo Tirana 3 1332 48.21% KF Tirana 3 1402 27.99% 23.80%
3 2005-09-10 64.1 @ KF Tirana 2 1406 79.76% Besa 2 1111 5.34% 14.90%
4 2005-10-01 63.1 @ Dinamo Tirana 2 1352 72.57% Besa 2 1171 9.07% 18.36%
5 2006-05-07 62.8 KF Elbasani 3 1411 19.49% @ KF Tirana 2 1424 57.90% 22.61%
6 2006-05-13 62.6 @ Partizani 2 1285 40.56% KF Tirana 2 1411 35.30% 24.14%
7 2006-03-11 62.5 @ Partizani 2 1323 67.18% Vllaznia 2 1212 12.48% 20.34%
8 2005-11-30 61.7 @ Skenderbeu 4 1045 15.85% KF Tirana 3 1394 62.51% 21.64%
9 2005-08-27 61.6 @ Lushnja 2 1230 42.42% Dinamo Tirana 2 1343 33.48% 24.10%
10 2006-04-01 58.7 @ KF Elbasani 1 1421 63.07% Dinamo Tirana 1 1357 15.42% 21.50%
11 2005-12-16 58.5 @ KF Tirana 1 1390 55.17% KF Elbasani 1 1402 21.79% 23.05%
12 2006-01-21 58.1 @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1367 51.49% KF Elbasani 1 1410 25.01% 23.50%
13 2006-04-29 58.0 @ KF Elbasani 1 1415 68.35% Partizani 1 1290 11.70% 19.95%
14 2005-11-26 57.9 @ KF Tirana 1 1396 61.94% Dinamo Tirana 1 1344 16.28% 21.78%
15 2006-02-15 57.7 @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1357 51.34% KF Tirana 1 1402 25.14% 23.52%
16 2005-08-27 57.0 @ Teuta 1 1243 76.22% Skenderbeu 1 1008 7.06% 16.72%
17 2006-04-22 57.0 @ Vllaznia 3 1202 27.52% KF Elbasani 2 1426 48.73% 23.76%
18 2005-11-19 56.8 Partizani 2 1228 11.33% @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1360 68.91% 19.76%
19 2005-09-07 56.0 @ Shkumbini 1 1231 33.71% KF Tirana 1 1406 42.19% 24.10%
20 2005-09-17 56.0 @ Teuta 1 1260 42.18% KF Elbasani 1 1375 33.72% 24.10%
21 2005-10-16 55.7 @ Vllaznia 1 1243 43.48% Dinamo Tirana 1 1349 32.46% 24.06%
22 2005-11-19 55.7 @ Besa 1 1207 31.66% KF Tirana 1 1397 44.31% 24.03%
23 2006-01-14 55.7 @ Teuta 1 1161 64.28% Skenderbeu 1 1084 14.53% 21.19%
24 2006-04-01 55.7 @ Vllaznia 1 1215 63.37% Teuta 1 1148 15.20% 21.43%
25 2005-11-12 55.6 @ Partizani 1 1230 59.29% Besa 1 1204 18.36% 22.35%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-09-24 22.6 @ KF Tirana 3 1403 84.11% Skenderbeu 0 1022 3.54% 12.35%
2 2005-09-11 22.8 @ KF Elbasani 3 1372 83.06% Skenderbeu 0 1014 3.94% 13.00%
3 2006-04-22 25.4 @ Partizani 3 1283 74.33% Lushnja 0 1077 8.07% 17.60%
4 2005-11-25 25.6 @ Partizani 3 1244 73.32% Skenderbeu 0 1052 8.64% 18.04%
5 2006-02-18 25.7 @ KF Tirana 2 1403 80.61% Skenderbeu 0 1093 4.97% 14.43%
6 2005-09-25 26.7 @ KF Elbasani 4 1376 71.78% Lushnja 0 1206 9.54% 18.68%
7 2006-04-08 26.7 @ KF Elbasani 2 1415 78.22% Teuta 0 1148 6.06% 15.72%
8 2005-10-16 27.0 @ Besa 4 1174 68.35% Skenderbeu 0 1049 11.70% 19.95%
9 2005-11-05 27.0 @ Dinamo Tirana 3 1367 71.06% Lushnja 0 1207 9.97% 18.97%
10 2005-12-22 27.2 @ KF Elbasani 2 1404 76.65% Shkumbini 0 1162 6.84% 16.51%
11 2006-01-14 27.2 @ Partizani 3 1290 68.81% Shkumbini 0 1159 11.39% 19.79%
12 2005-10-30 27.3 @ Dinamo Tirana 4 1355 69.76% Teuta 0 1212 10.78% 19.45%
13 2006-03-18 27.6 @ Dinamo Tirana 2 1371 74.64% Teuta 0 1161 7.90% 17.46%
14 2006-05-13 27.8 @ KF Elbasani 2 1425 75.60% Shkumbini 0 1199 7.38% 17.02%
15 2006-03-04 28.6 @ Besa 2 1207 69.66% Skenderbeu 0 1066 10.85% 19.49%
16 2006-03-18 28.6 @ Besa 6 1206 67.78% Lushnja 0 1088 12.08% 20.14%
17 2006-03-03 29.1 @ KF Tirana 1 1433 81.67% Lushnja 0 1103 4.51% 13.82%
18 2005-11-05 29.2 @ KF Tirana 2 1394 71.13% Vllaznia 0 1233 9.93% 18.94%
19 2006-05-07 29.3 @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1369 79.96% Skenderbeu 0 1071 5.25% 14.79%
20 2006-02-19 29.4 @ KF Elbasani 1 1412 80.52% Lushnja 0 1103 5.00% 14.48%
21 2005-11-26 29.5 @ Vllaznia 3 1237 60.94% Lushnja 0 1195 17.06% 22.01%
22 2005-08-27 29.7 @ KF Elbasani 1 1369 78.90% Besa 0 1089 5.74% 15.36%
23 2005-12-10 29.7 @ Dinamo Tirana 3 1321 62.38% Vllaznia 0 1264 15.94% 21.67%
24 2005-09-30 29.9 @ KF Elbasani 2 1386 69.23% Vllaznia 0 1250 11.13% 19.65%
25 2005-12-04 29.9 @ Partizani 2 1263 66.02% Lushnja 0 1165 13.29% 20.69%