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2006-07 Kategoria Superiore Season

198 games

Final

Champion

KF Tirana

72 points · 23rd Title

Last Title: 2004-05

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Teuta

14.02 points above expected

67 points · 52.98 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

KF Elbasani

10.73 points below expected

40 points · 50.73 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 KF Tirana Champion 33 22 6 5 72 65 33 +32 63.20 +8.80
2 Teuta 33 19 10 4 67 44 26 +18 52.98 +14.02
3 Vllaznia 33 18 9 6 63 46 28 +18 50.97 +12.03
4 Partizani 33 17 6 10 57 43 25 +18 53.06 +3.94
5 Dinamo Tirana 33 14 5 14 47 42 39 +3 47.04 -0.04
6 Besa 33 11 8 14 41 35 38 -3 45.07 -4.07
7 KF Elbasani 33 10 10 13 40 34 39 -5 50.73 -10.73
8 Kastrioti 33 9 10 14 37 32 48 -16 38.35 -1.35
9 Flamurtari 33 9 7 17 34 34 41 -7 37.30 -3.30
10 Shkumbini 33 10 4 19 34 36 53 -17 38.97 -4.97
11 Luftetari 33 9 6 18 33 28 42 -14 37.78 -4.78
12 Apolonia 33 7 5 21 26 32 59 -27 34.50 -8.50

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Teuta 67 52.98 +14.02
2 Vllaznia 63 50.97 +12.03
3 KF Tirana 72 63.20 +8.80
4 Partizani 57 53.06 +3.94
5 Dinamo Tirana 47 47.04 -0.04

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 KF Elbasani 40 50.73 -10.73
2 Apolonia 26 34.50 -8.50
3 Shkumbini 34 38.97 -4.97
4 Luftetari 33 37.78 -4.78
5 Besa 41 45.07 -4.07

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Besa 4 Feb 3 – Feb 24 1 in 52
2 Kastrioti 3 Nov 25 – Dec 9 1 in 43
3 Luftetari 2 May 12 – May 19 1 in 41
4 Flamurtari 2 Nov 5 – Nov 11 1 in 40
5 Partizani 6 Mar 11 – Apr 21 1 in 35

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shkumbini 6 Oct 1 – Nov 4 1 in 564
2 KF Elbasani 4 Dec 9 – Feb 3 1 in 119
3 Besa 4 May 5 – May 19 1 in 90
4 Luftetari 7 Mar 4 – Apr 21 1 in 78
5 Dinamo Tirana 5 Mar 31 – Apr 28 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Teuta 12 Aug 26 – Nov 18 1 in 159
2 KF Tirana 9 Aug 27 – Oct 28 1 in 31
3 Kastrioti 4 Nov 18 – Dec 9 1 in 18
4 Flamurtari 4 Nov 5 – Nov 25 1 in 17
5 Vllaznia 9 Mar 17 – May 12 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shkumbini 15 Oct 1 – Feb 10 1 in 529
2 KF Elbasani 9 Mar 31 – May 19 1 in 138
3 Luftetari 12 Dec 23 – Apr 21 1 in 53
4 Partizani 5 Oct 18 – Nov 11 1 in 38
5 Besa 7 Apr 14 – May 19 1 in 25

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
KF Tirana 1449 72 +8 12 9.3 +2.7
Teuta 1404 67 +49 13 8.3 +4.7
Vllaznia 1384 63 +2 8 8.3 -0.3
Partizani 1334 57 -65 3 8.0 -5.0
Dinamo Tirana 1295 47 +84 12 7.3 +4.7
Besa 1209 41 -55 1 6.5 -5.5
KF Elbasani 1245 40 -23 4 8.3 -4.3
Kastrioti 1177 37 +8 8 6.1 +1.9
Shkumbini 1154 34 -25 6 5.2 +0.8
Flamurtari 1151 34 -44 2 6.4 -4.4
Luftetari 1161 33 +72 10 4.7 +5.3
Apolonia 1102 26 -10 4 5.1 -1.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team APO BES DT FLA KE KT KAS LUF PAR SHK TEU VLL
Apolonia —
0-0-3
2.94
1-0-2
2.53
1-0-2
4.47
0-2-1
3.00
0-0-3
1.49
0-1-2
4.07
1-1-1
4.38
0-0-3
2.72
3-0-0
3.73
0-1-2
2.31
1-0-2
1.94
Besa
3-0-0
5.43
—
1-1-1
4.33
3-0-0
4.89
0-1-2
3.50
1-0-2
2.73
0-2-1
4.22
1-0-2
5.16
0-1-2
2.92
2-0-1
4.52
0-1-2
3.81
0-2-1
3.17
Dinamo Tirana
2-0-1
5.84
1-1-1
4.00
—
2-0-1
4.86
1-1-1
4.36
0-0-3
2.52
3-0-0
5.31
2-0-1
4.82
0-1-2
3.80
3-0-0
4.89
0-1-2
3.36
0-1-2
3.95
Flamurtari
2-0-1
3.84
0-0-3
3.43
1-0-2
3.47
—
0-1-2
2.81
1-1-1
1.69
1-1-1
4.34
1-1-1
4.05
2-0-1
3.30
1-1-1
4.25
0-0-3
2.64
0-2-1
3.37
KF Elbasani
1-2-0
5.34
2-1-0
4.82
1-1-1
3.97
2-1-0
5.54
—
0-1-2
3.81
1-1-1
4.78
1-2-0
5.68
1-0-2
3.49
1-0-2
4.68
0-1-2
4.41
0-0-3
3.90
KF Tirana
3-0-0
6.95
2-0-1
5.62
3-0-0
5.85
1-1-1
6.72
2-1-0
4.52
—
1-1-1
5.96
3-0-0
6.73
3-0-0
5.23
1-1-1
6.43
1-1-1
4.70
2-1-0
5.31
Kastrioti
2-1-0
4.26
1-2-0
4.11
0-0-3
3.04
1-1-1
3.98
1-1-1
3.56
1-1-1
2.39
—
2-0-1
4.87
0-1-2
2.53
1-1-1
3.32
0-1-2
3.22
0-1-2
2.79
Luftetari
1-1-1
3.94
2-0-1
3.19
1-0-2
3.50
1-1-1
4.26
0-2-1
2.68
0-0-3
1.69
1-0-2
3.46
—
1-1-1
2.86
1-0-2
4.54
1-1-1
2.51
0-0-3
3.46
Partizani
3-0-0
5.66
2-1-0
5.42
2-1-0
4.52
1-0-2
5.04
2-0-1
4.85
0-0-3
3.12
2-1-0
5.83
1-1-1
5.48
—
3-0-0
5.51
1-1-1
3.70
0-1-2
4.75
Shkumbini
0-0-3
4.59
1-0-2
3.82
0-0-3
3.43
1-1-1
4.09
2-0-1
3.65
1-1-1
1.94
1-1-1
5.00
2-0-1
3.77
0-0-3
2.87
—
0-1-2
3.08
2-0-1
2.94
Teuta
2-1-0
6.09
2-1-0
4.52
2-1-0
5.00
3-0-0
5.71
2-1-0
3.91
1-1-1
3.63
2-1-0
5.11
1-1-1
5.85
1-1-1
4.62
2-1-0
5.27
—
1-1-1
3.72
Vllaznia
2-0-1
6.46
1-2-0
5.18
2-1-0
4.37
1-2-0
4.96
3-0-0
4.44
0-1-2
3.03
2-1-0
5.57
3-0-0
4.87
2-1-0
3.57
1-0-2
5.45
1-1-1
4.62
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.77 +13.5
Allowed 0.71 -12.2
Differential 0.95 +8.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.08%10.86%9.60%2.02%0.25%0.76%31.57%
110.86%9.09%9.34%2.78%1.01%—33.08%
29.60%9.34%4.04%1.77%0.51%—25.25%
32.02%2.78%1.77%——0.25%6.82%
40.25%1.01%0.51%—0.51%—2.27%
5+0.76%——0.25%——1.01%
Total31.57%33.08%25.25%6.82%2.27%1.01%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.19 +0.00
SD 1.12 1.12 1.61
CV 0.94 0.94 —
Max 8 8 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%9.09%18.18%—3.03%—33.33%
19.09%6.06%18.18%3.03%6.06%—42.42%
2—6.06%6.06%6.06%——18.18%
3—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total12.12%24.24%45.45%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.79 -0.82
SD 0.88 1.08 1.38
CV 0.91 0.61 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%18.18%3.03%3.03%——33.33%
16.06%9.09%12.12%6.06%——33.33%
26.06%15.15%6.06%———27.27%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total24.24%45.45%21.21%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.15 -0.09
SD 0.93 0.91 1.35
CV 0.88 0.79 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.06%12.12%3.03%——33.33%
16.06%3.03%15.15%6.06%——30.30%
26.06%15.15%————21.21%
33.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total30.30%30.30%30.30%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.18 +0.09
SD 1.28 0.98 1.79
CV 1.01 0.83 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%18.18%3.03%——36.36%
16.06%12.12%18.18%———36.36%
212.12%—3.03%3.03%——18.18%
33.03%—3.03%———6.06%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total30.30%21.21%42.42%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.24 -0.21
SD 1.05 0.97 1.63
CV 1.01 0.78 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%15.15%12.12%3.03%——36.36%
115.15%12.12%6.06%———33.33%
29.09%3.03%9.09%—3.03%—24.24%
33.03%—————3.03%
4————3.03%—3.03%
5+———————
Total33.33%30.30%27.27%3.03%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.18 -0.15
SD 1.02 1.13 1.39
CV 0.99 0.96 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.03%———3.03%
115.15%12.12%9.09%———36.36%
218.18%18.18%6.06%3.03%——45.45%
3—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+3.03%——3.03%——6.06%
Total36.36%33.33%24.24%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 1.00 +0.97
SD 1.45 0.94 1.49
CV 0.73 0.94 —
Max 8 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%12.12%3.03%——33.33%
112.12%15.15%12.12%—3.03%—42.42%
23.03%9.09%6.06%———18.18%
3——3.03%——3.03%6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total24.24%33.33%33.33%3.03%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.45 -0.48
SD 0.88 1.52 1.48
CV 0.91 1.05 —
Max 3 8 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%24.24%9.09%3.03%——48.48%
19.09%3.03%3.03%9.09%3.03%—27.27%
29.09%6.06%—3.03%——18.18%
33.03%—————3.03%
4————3.03%—3.03%
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%12.12%15.15%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.27 -0.42
SD 1.03 1.26 1.50
CV 1.22 0.99 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%18.18%3.03%6.06%——42.42%
16.06%—————6.06%
227.27%6.06%3.03%3.03%——39.39%
3—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total51.52%30.30%9.09%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 0.76 +0.55
SD 1.33 0.97 1.75
CV 1.02 1.28 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%15.15%18.18%——6.06%42.42%
13.03%6.06%12.12%3.03%——24.24%
23.03%9.09%3.03%3.03%——18.18%
33.03%9.09%————12.12%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+———————
Total12.12%39.39%36.36%6.06%—6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.61 -0.52
SD 1.18 1.17 1.87
CV 1.08 0.73 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%—3.03%——3.03%18.18%
124.24%15.15%3.03%3.03%——45.45%
29.09%12.12%3.03%———24.24%
33.03%6.06%————9.09%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total48.48%36.36%9.09%3.03%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 0.79 +0.55
SD 0.99 1.08 1.52
CV 0.74 1.37 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.06%3.03%———18.18%
118.18%15.15%3.03%3.03%——39.39%
212.12%12.12%3.03%—3.03%—30.30%
33.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total42.42%39.39%12.12%3.03%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 0.85 +0.55
SD 1.00 0.97 1.30
CV 0.72 1.15 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
KF Tirana 1449 72 63.20 +8.80 97.0% 45 52 59 64 67 72 82
Teuta 1404 67 52.98 +14.02 97.0% 30 41 48 53 59 63 70
Vllaznia 1384 63 50.97 +12.03 94.0% 28 39 45 51 56 64 70
Partizani 1334 57 53.06 +3.94 78.0% 37 42 48 52 57 67 74
Dinamo Tirana 1295 47 47.04 -0.04 58.0% 33 36 43 47 51 59 65
KF Elbasani 1245 40 50.73 -10.73 10.0% 28 37 45 52 57 61 65
Besa 1209 41 45.07 -4.07 32.0% 29 32 40 45 50 58 63
Kastrioti 1177 37 38.35 -1.35 50.0% 21 27 33 37 43 50 57
Luftetari 1161 33 37.78 -4.78 27.0% 25 27 33 37 42 47 54
Shkumbini 1154 34 38.97 -4.97 19.0% 19 27 35 39 43 49 55
Flamurtari 1151 34 37.30 -3.30 37.0% 23 27 32 38 42 50 56
Apolonia 1102 26 34.50 -8.50 14.0% 17 24 30 34 40 45 52

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 27% * Slight Edge: 27% to 33% * Clear Edge: 33% to 40% * Strong Edge: 40% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+29.80%
Slight Edge
54.04%21.72%24.24%
Elo Value
Home Edge
230 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0106.77600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.55 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.47+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.04 * Tight Race: 0.04 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.0
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
70%
KF Tirana, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.15/gm
Comfortable
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.64 * Some Luck: 5.64 to 8.46 * Lucky: 8.46 to 11.28 * Wild Swing: 11.28 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.48 * Close: 1.48 to 2.22 * Off: 2.22 to 2.95 * Way Off: 2.95 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.63 points
Some Luck
07.0518
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
01.854
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
97.00%
KF Tirana
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
10.00%
KF Elbasani
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 77.5% * Wide Edge: 77.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 93% * Strong Edge: 93% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 72.5% * Very Frequent: 72.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 10.5% * Occasional: 10.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Top-Heavy
00.120.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 115.27
1.96
Strong Separation
0.91.351.82.153
Interquartile Edge
75%
Clear Edge
50%63.5%72.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
88%
Clear Edge
50%91%100%
Close Games
Expected
66%
Some Drama
0%65%100%
Blowouts
Expected
9%
Rare
0%12%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.56 * Notable Separation: 0.56 to 0.62 * Lopsided: 0.62 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14.5% * Upset-Prone: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 18.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 10.5% * As Expected: 10.5% to 12.5% * Shaky Favorites: 12.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Highly Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.39
Very Even
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.14
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.69
Strong Carryover
00.410.590.731
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Very Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Very Shaky
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.56
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.12
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.090
Well Within Noise
00.1110.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
KF Tirana70.00%16.00%6.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%——————
Teuta6.00%18.00%23.00%13.00%17.00%13.00%2.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%—1.00%
Vllaznia8.00%12.00%12.00%16.00%17.00%9.00%17.00%4.00%—3.00%1.00%1.00%
Partizani10.00%18.00%17.00%22.00%11.00%15.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%——
Dinamo Tirana1.00%7.00%8.00%12.00%15.00%14.00%17.00%12.00%8.00%4.00%2.00%—
Besa2.00%5.00%8.00%9.00%13.00%10.00%17.00%9.00%10.00%10.00%6.00%1.00%
KF Elbasani3.00%21.00%20.00%13.00%9.00%10.00%6.00%6.00%7.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%
Kastrioti—1.00%1.00%2.00%7.00%6.00%9.00%5.00%23.00%17.00%18.00%11.00%
Flamurtari—1.00%1.00%2.00%6.00%5.00%5.00%16.00%9.00%16.00%20.00%19.00%
Shkumbini—1.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%6.00%13.00%15.00%14.00%16.00%18.00%12.00%
Luftetari——1.00%4.00%—9.00%5.00%16.00%15.00%16.00%17.00%17.00%
Apolonia——1.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%6.00%10.00%12.00%14.00%17.00%36.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
KF Tirana 100% —
Partizani 100% —
Teuta 99.00% 1.00%
Dinamo Tirana 98.00% 2.00%
Vllaznia 98.00% 2.00%
KF Elbasani 97.00% 3.00%
Besa 93.00% 7.00%
Kastrioti 71.00% 29.00%
Shkumbini 70.00% 30.00%
Luftetari 66.00% 34.00%
Flamurtari 61.00% 39.00%
Apolonia 47.00% 53.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2006-08-26 Besa D 2-261.6 1208 1245 48.34% 22.80% 28.86%+0.30 -1.0 1
2006-08-26 @ Kastrioti D 2-261.6 1245 1208 28.86% 22.80% 48.34%-0.30 +1.0 1
2006-08-26 Flamurtari W 2-139.6 1254 1137 64.80% 20.82% 14.38%+0.97 +5.1 3
2006-08-26 @ Shkumbini L 1-239.6 1137 1254 14.38% 20.82% 64.80%-0.97 -5.0 0
2006-08-26 Luftetari W 1-034.7 1260 1183 61.14% 21.50% 17.36%+0.80 +6.4 3
2006-08-26 @ Vllaznia L 0-134.7 1183 1260 17.36% 21.50% 61.14%-0.80 -6.4 0
2006-08-26 Teuta L 1-349.5 1314 1262 58.71% 21.87% 19.43%+0.69 -29.3 0
2006-08-26 @ Dinamo Tirana W 3-149.5 1262 1314 19.43% 21.87% 58.71%-0.69 +29.3 3
2006-08-27 Apolonia W 3-247.0 1286 1242 57.89% 21.97% 20.14%+0.66 +6.6 3
2006-08-27 @ Partizani L 2-347.0 1242 1286 20.14% 21.97% 57.89%-0.66 -6.6 0
2006-08-27 KF Tirana D 2-262.9 1339 1334 53.47% 22.44% 24.09%+0.48 -1.5 1
2006-08-27 @ KF Elbasani D 2-262.9 1334 1339 24.09% 22.44% 53.47%-0.48 +1.5 1
2006-09-09 Apolonia W 4-035.0 1132 1235 39.32% 23.03% 37.65%+0.01 +44.1 3
2006-09-09 @ Flamurtari L 0-435.0 1235 1132 37.65% 23.03% 39.32%-0.01 -44.1 0
2006-09-09 Dinamo Tirana W 2-037.3 1177 1285 38.66% 23.03% 38.31%-0.01 +23.5 3
2006-09-09 @ Luftetari L 0-237.3 1285 1177 38.31% 23.03% 38.66%+0.01 -23.5 0
2006-09-09 Kastrioti W 8-331.5 1336 1207 65.79% 20.60% 13.61%+1.03 +14.0 4
2006-09-09 @ KF Tirana L 3-831.5 1207 1336 13.61% 20.60% 65.79%-1.03 -14.0 1
2006-09-09 Vllaznia D 1-155.8 1246 1266 50.55% 22.67% 26.79%+0.38 -1.6 2
2006-09-09 @ Besa D 1-155.8 1266 1246 26.79% 22.67% 50.55%-0.38 +1.6 4
2006-09-10 KF Elbasani W 3-034.6 1259 1337 42.86% 22.99% 34.15%+0.12 +31.3 6
2006-09-10 @ Shkumbini L 0-334.6 1337 1259 34.15% 22.99% 42.86%-0.12 -31.3 1
2006-09-10 Partizani D 0-051.0 1291 1293 52.78% 22.50% 24.72%+0.46 -2.2 4
2006-09-10 @ Teuta D 0-051.0 1293 1291 24.72% 22.50% 52.78%-0.46 +2.2 4
2006-09-15 Besa W 3-138.5 1261 1245 54.86% 22.32% 22.83%+0.54 +13.4 3
2006-09-15 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-338.5 1245 1261 22.83% 22.32% 54.86%-0.54 -13.4 2
2006-09-15 KF Tirana D 1-156.3 1268 1350 42.36% 23.00% 34.64%+0.11 -0.5 5
2006-09-15 @ Vllaznia D 1-156.3 1350 1268 34.64% 23.00% 42.36%-0.11 +0.5 5
2006-09-16 Flamurtari W 2-139.5 1306 1176 65.90% 20.57% 13.53%+1.03 +4.8 4
2006-09-16 @ KF Elbasani L 1-239.5 1176 1306 13.53% 20.57% 65.90%-1.03 -4.8 3
2006-09-16 Luftetari W 3-136.1 1295 1200 62.83% 21.21% 15.96%+0.88 +9.7 7
2006-09-16 @ Partizani L 1-336.1 1200 1295 15.96% 21.21% 62.83%-0.88 -9.7 3
2006-09-16 Shkumbini D 0-050.4 1193 1290 40.23% 23.03% 36.74%+0.04 -0.2 2
2006-09-16 @ Kastrioti D 0-050.4 1290 1193 36.74% 23.03% 40.23%-0.04 +0.2 7
2006-09-16 Teuta D 2-261.6 1191 1289 40.11% 23.03% 36.87%+0.04 -0.2 1
2006-09-16 @ Apolonia D 2-261.6 1289 1191 36.87% 23.03% 40.11%-0.04 +0.2 5
2006-09-23 Apolonia W 1-037.1 1191 1191 52.89% 22.49% 24.62%+0.46 +8.7 6
2006-09-23 @ Luftetari L 0-137.1 1191 1191 24.62% 22.49% 52.89%-0.46 -8.7 1
2006-09-23 Dinamo Tirana W 2-141.7 1350 1275 61.04% 21.52% 17.44%+0.79 +6.1 8
2006-09-23 @ KF Tirana L 1-241.7 1275 1350 17.44% 21.52% 61.04%-0.79 -6.1 3
2006-09-23 Kastrioti W 1-033.7 1311 1193 64.88% 20.80% 14.32%+0.98 +5.3 7
2006-09-23 @ KF Elbasani L 0-133.7 1193 1311 14.32% 20.80% 64.88%-0.98 -5.3 2
2006-09-23 Vllaznia W 3-138.5 1290 1267 55.59% 22.24% 22.17%+0.57 +13.0 10
2006-09-23 @ Shkumbini L 1-338.5 1267 1290 22.17% 22.24% 55.59%-0.57 -13.0 5
2006-09-24 Partizani L 0-239.1 1231 1305 43.56% 22.97% 33.47%+0.15 -26.1 2
2006-09-24 @ Besa W 2-039.1 1305 1231 33.47% 22.97% 43.56%-0.15 +26.1 10
2006-09-24 Teuta L 1-247.3 1171 1289 37.22% 23.03% 39.75%-0.05 -11.5 3
2006-09-24 @ Flamurtari W 2-147.3 1289 1171 39.75% 23.03% 37.22%+0.05 +11.5 8
2006-09-30 Besa L 0-144.8 1182 1205 50.16% 22.69% 27.15%+0.37 -15.6 1
2006-09-30 @ Apolonia W 1-044.8 1205 1182 27.15% 22.69% 50.16%-0.37 +15.6 5
2006-09-30 Flamurtari W 1-036.1 1187 1160 56.11% 22.18% 21.71%+0.59 +7.8 5
2006-09-30 @ Kastrioti L 0-136.1 1160 1187 21.71% 22.18% 56.11%-0.59 -7.8 3
2006-09-30 KF Tirana L 0-242.0 1331 1356 49.82% 22.71% 27.47%+0.35 -29.2 10
2006-09-30 @ Partizani W 2-042.0 1356 1331 27.47% 22.71% 49.82%-0.35 +29.2 11
2006-09-30 Luftetari D 1-156.2 1301 1199 63.45% 21.09% 15.46%+0.91 -3.5 9
2006-09-30 @ Teuta D 1-156.2 1199 1301 15.46% 21.09% 63.45%-0.91 +3.5 7
2006-10-01 KF Elbasani W 2-035.7 1254 1316 45.12% 22.93% 31.95%+0.20 +20.4 8
2006-10-01 @ Vllaznia L 0-235.7 1316 1254 31.95% 22.93% 45.12%-0.20 -20.4 7
2006-10-01 Shkumbini W 2-145.1 1269 1303 48.66% 22.78% 28.56%+0.31 +9.3 6
2006-10-01 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-245.1 1303 1269 28.56% 22.78% 48.66%-0.31 -9.3 10
2006-10-14 Apolonia W 3-133.4 1385 1167 72.44% 18.69% 8.87%+1.42 +5.4 14
2006-10-14 @ KF Tirana L 1-333.4 1167 1385 8.87% 18.69% 72.44%-1.42 -5.4 1
2006-10-14 Dinamo Tirana W 1-037.0 1295 1278 54.98% 22.30% 22.72%+0.54 +8.2 10
2006-10-14 @ KF Elbasani L 0-137.0 1278 1295 22.72% 22.30% 54.98%-0.54 -8.1 6
2006-10-14 Luftetari W 1-038.9 1152 1203 46.55% 22.88% 30.57%+0.24 +10.5 6
2006-10-14 @ Flamurtari L 0-138.9 1203 1152 30.57% 22.88% 46.55%-0.24 -10.5 7
2006-10-14 Partizani L 0-241.8 1294 1301 52.06% 22.56% 25.38%+0.43 -30.4 10
2006-10-14 @ Shkumbini W 2-041.8 1301 1294 25.38% 22.56% 52.06%-0.43 +30.4 13
2006-10-14 Teuta D 1-155.7 1221 1297 43.11% 22.98% 33.90%+0.13 -0.6 6
2006-10-14 @ Besa D 1-155.7 1297 1221 33.90% 22.98% 43.11%-0.13 +0.6 10
2006-10-14 Vllaznia D 1-155.6 1195 1275 42.71% 22.99% 34.30%+0.12 -0.5 6
2006-10-14 @ Kastrioti D 1-155.6 1275 1195 34.30% 22.99% 42.71%-0.12 +0.6 9
2006-10-18 Besa W 1-038.1 1192 1220 49.55% 22.73% 27.73%+0.34 +9.7 10
2006-10-18 @ Luftetari L 0-138.1 1220 1192 27.73% 22.73% 49.55%-0.34 -9.6 6
2006-10-18 Flamurtari D 2-262.1 1275 1162 64.46% 20.89% 14.65%+0.96 -2.7 10
2006-10-18 @ Vllaznia D 2-262.1 1162 1275 14.65% 20.89% 64.46%-0.96 +2.7 7
2006-10-18 Kastrioti W 2-030.6 1270 1195 60.98% 21.53% 17.49%+0.79 +12.2 9
2006-10-18 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-230.6 1195 1270 17.49% 21.53% 60.98%-0.79 -12.2 6
2006-10-18 KF Elbasani L 0-147.5 1332 1304 56.14% 22.18% 21.67%+0.59 -17.2 13
2006-10-18 @ Partizani W 1-047.5 1304 1332 21.67% 22.18% 56.14%-0.59 +17.2 13
2006-10-18 KF Tirana D 1-156.9 1298 1391 40.81% 23.02% 36.17%+0.06 -0.3 11
2006-10-18 @ Teuta D 1-156.9 1391 1298 36.17% 23.02% 40.81%-0.06 +0.3 15
2006-10-18 Shkumbini W 3-252.2 1161 1264 39.48% 23.03% 37.49%+0.02 +11.0 4
2006-10-18 @ Apolonia L 2-352.2 1264 1161 37.49% 23.03% 39.48%-0.02 -11.0 10
2006-10-21 Apolonia W 2-028.7 1321 1172 67.40% 20.21% 12.39%+1.11 +8.7 16
2006-10-21 @ KF Elbasani L 0-228.7 1172 1321 12.39% 20.21% 67.40%-1.11 -8.7 4
2006-10-21 Besa L 1-250.1 1165 1211 47.27% 22.85% 29.89%+0.27 -14.0 7
2006-10-21 @ Flamurtari W 2-150.1 1211 1165 29.89% 22.85% 47.27%-0.27 +14.0 9
2006-10-21 Luftetari W 1-032.5 1391 1202 70.42% 19.36% 10.22%+1.29 +3.8 18
2006-10-21 @ KF Tirana L 0-132.5 1202 1391 10.22% 19.36% 70.42%-1.29 -3.8 10
2006-10-21 Partizani D 2-261.6 1182 1314 35.28% 23.01% 41.71%-0.11 +0.3 7
2006-10-21 @ Kastrioti D 2-261.6 1314 1182 41.71% 23.01% 35.28%+0.11 -0.3 14
2006-10-22 Dinamo Tirana W 3-031.6 1272 1282 51.82% 22.58% 25.60%+0.42 +24.7 13
2006-10-22 @ Vllaznia L 0-331.6 1282 1272 25.60% 22.58% 51.82%-0.42 -24.7 9
2006-10-22 Teuta L 0-240.2 1253 1298 47.35% 22.84% 29.81%+0.27 -28.0 10
2006-10-22 @ Shkumbini W 2-040.2 1298 1253 29.81% 22.84% 47.35%-0.27 +28.0 14
2006-10-28 Flamurtari W 2-139.9 1257 1151 63.86% 21.01% 15.13%+0.93 +5.3 12
2006-10-28 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-239.9 1151 1257 15.13% 21.01% 63.86%-0.93 -5.3 7
2006-10-28 KF Elbasani W 1-038.4 1326 1330 52.46% 22.53% 25.01%+0.45 +8.9 17
2006-10-28 @ Teuta L 0-138.4 1330 1326 25.01% 22.53% 52.46%-0.45 -8.8 16
2006-10-28 KF Tirana L 1-245.9 1224 1395 30.20% 22.86% 46.94%-0.28 -9.8 9
2006-10-28 @ Besa W 2-145.9 1395 1224 46.94% 22.86% 30.20%+0.28 +9.8 21
2006-10-28 Shkumbini W 1-038.1 1198 1225 49.71% 22.72% 27.57%+0.35 +9.6 13
2006-10-28 @ Luftetari L 0-138.1 1225 1198 27.57% 22.72% 49.71%-0.35 -9.6 10
2006-10-28 Vllaznia D 0-051.2 1314 1297 54.91% 22.31% 22.78%+0.54 -2.5 15
2006-10-28 @ Partizani D 0-051.2 1297 1314 22.78% 22.31% 54.91%-0.54 +2.5 14
2006-10-29 Kastrioti L 2-355.9 1164 1183 50.61% 22.66% 26.72%+0.38 -14.0 4
2006-10-29 @ Apolonia W 3-255.9 1183 1164 26.72% 22.66% 50.61%-0.38 +14.0 10
2006-11-04 Apolonia L 1-255.5 1300 1150 67.53% 20.18% 12.29%+1.12 -19.3 14
2006-11-04 @ Vllaznia W 2-155.5 1150 1300 12.29% 20.18% 67.53%-1.12 +19.3 7
2006-11-04 Besa L 0-145.7 1215 1215 52.98% 22.49% 24.53%+0.47 -16.4 10
2006-11-04 @ Shkumbini W 1-045.7 1215 1215 24.53% 22.49% 52.98%-0.47 +16.4 12
2006-11-04 Partizani D 0-050.8 1262 1312 46.79% 22.87% 30.35%+0.25 -1.2 13
2006-11-04 @ Dinamo Tirana D 0-050.8 1312 1262 30.35% 22.87% 46.79%-0.25 +1.2 16
2006-11-04 Teuta D 1-155.8 1197 1334 34.52% 23.00% 42.48%-0.13 +0.5 11
2006-11-04 @ Kastrioti D 1-155.8 1334 1197 42.48% 23.00% 34.52%+0.13 -0.5 18
2006-11-05 KF Tirana W 3-258.3 1146 1405 20.49% 22.03% 57.48%-0.66 +15.8 10
2006-11-05 @ Flamurtari L 2-358.3 1405 1146 57.48% 22.03% 20.49%+0.66 -15.8 21
2006-11-05 Luftetari W 1-034.0 1321 1208 64.46% 20.89% 14.65%+0.96 +5.5 19
2006-11-05 @ KF Elbasani L 0-134.0 1208 1321 14.65% 20.89% 64.46%-0.96 -5.5 13
2006-11-10 Dinamo Tirana W 1-040.7 1169 1261 40.89% 23.02% 36.09%+0.06 +11.9 10
2006-11-10 @ Apolonia L 0-140.7 1261 1169 36.09% 23.02% 40.89%-0.06 -11.9 13
2006-11-10 Kastrioti W 2-032.7 1202 1197 53.52% 22.44% 24.04%+0.49 +16.1 16
2006-11-10 @ Luftetari L 0-232.7 1197 1202 24.04% 22.44% 53.52%-0.49 -16.1 11
2006-11-11 Flamurtari L 0-343.2 1313 1161 67.63% 20.15% 12.22%+1.12 -56.2 16
2006-11-11 @ Partizani W 3-043.2 1161 1313 12.22% 20.15% 67.63%-1.12 +56.1 13
2006-11-11 KF Elbasani D 2-261.9 1231 1326 40.50% 23.02% 36.47%+0.05 -0.2 13
2006-11-11 @ Besa D 2-261.9 1326 1231 36.47% 23.02% 40.50%-0.05 +0.2 20
2006-11-11 Shkumbini D 2-263.2 1389 1199 70.50% 19.33% 10.17%+1.29 -3.4 22
2006-11-11 @ KF Tirana D 2-263.2 1199 1389 10.17% 19.33% 70.50%-1.29 +3.4 11
2006-11-11 Vllaznia W 1-036.1 1334 1280 58.84% 21.85% 19.31%+0.70 +7.1 21
2006-11-11 @ Teuta L 0-136.1 1280 1334 19.31% 21.85% 58.84%-0.70 -7.0 14
2006-11-18 Dinamo Tirana D 0-051.4 1341 1249 62.55% 21.26% 16.19%+0.86 -3.8 22
2006-11-18 @ Teuta D 0-051.4 1249 1341 16.19% 21.26% 62.55%-0.86 +3.8 14
2006-11-18 Kastrioti D 0-050.5 1231 1181 58.44% 21.90% 19.66%+0.68 -3.1 14
2006-11-18 @ Besa D 0-050.5 1181 1231 19.66% 21.90% 58.44%-0.68 +3.1 12
2006-11-18 KF Elbasani W 2-032.8 1386 1326 59.42% 21.77% 18.82%+0.72 +13.0 25
2006-11-18 @ KF Tirana L 0-232.8 1326 1386 18.82% 21.77% 59.42%-0.72 -13.0 20
2006-11-18 Partizani L 0-238.6 1181 1257 43.17% 22.98% 33.84%+0.13 -25.9 10
2006-11-18 @ Apolonia W 2-038.6 1257 1181 33.84% 22.98% 43.17%-0.13 +25.9 19
2006-11-18 Shkumbini D 1-155.6 1218 1202 54.74% 22.33% 22.94%+0.53 -2.2 14
2006-11-18 @ Flamurtari D 1-155.6 1202 1218 22.94% 22.33% 54.74%-0.53 +2.2 12
2006-11-18 Vllaznia L 2-354.9 1218 1273 46.04% 22.90% 31.06%+0.23 -13.0 16
2006-11-18 @ Luftetari W 3-254.9 1273 1218 31.06% 22.90% 46.04%-0.23 +13.0 17
2006-11-25 Besa W 1-035.4 1286 1228 59.35% 21.78% 18.88%+0.72 +6.9 20
2006-11-25 @ Vllaznia L 0-135.4 1228 1286 18.88% 21.78% 59.35%-0.72 -6.9 14
2006-11-25 Flamurtari L 0-239.1 1155 1215 45.29% 22.92% 31.79%+0.20 -26.9 10
2006-11-25 @ Apolonia W 2-039.1 1215 1155 31.79% 22.92% 45.29%-0.20 +26.9 17
2006-11-25 KF Tirana W 2-152.2 1184 1399 25.04% 22.53% 52.42%-0.47 +15.3 15
2006-11-25 @ Kastrioti L 1-252.2 1399 1184 52.42% 22.53% 25.04%+0.47 -15.3 25
2006-11-25 Luftetari W 4-134.3 1253 1206 58.22% 21.93% 19.85%+0.67 +16.7 17
2006-11-25 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-434.3 1206 1253 19.85% 21.93% 58.22%-0.67 -16.7 16
2006-11-26 Shkumbini W 2-029.8 1313 1204 64.12% 20.96% 14.92%+0.94 +10.5 23
2006-11-26 @ KF Elbasani L 0-229.8 1204 1313 14.92% 20.96% 64.12%-0.94 -10.5 12
2006-11-26 Teuta W 2-035.8 1283 1337 46.09% 22.90% 31.01%+0.23 +19.9 22
2006-11-26 @ Partizani L 0-235.8 1337 1283 31.01% 22.90% 46.09%-0.23 -19.9 22
2006-12-01 Dinamo Tirana D 0-050.4 1221 1270 46.84% 22.87% 30.29%+0.25 -1.2 15
2006-12-01 @ Besa D 0-050.4 1270 1221 30.29% 22.87% 46.84%-0.25 +1.2 18
2006-12-02 Kastrioti L 0-241.2 1194 1200 52.25% 22.54% 25.21%+0.44 -30.5 12
2006-12-02 @ Shkumbini W 2-041.2 1200 1194 25.21% 22.54% 52.25%-0.44 +30.5 18
2006-12-02 KF Elbasani L 0-238.9 1242 1324 42.40% 23.00% 34.60%+0.11 -25.5 17
2006-12-02 @ Flamurtari W 2-038.9 1324 1242 34.60% 23.00% 42.40%-0.11 +25.5 26
2006-12-02 Partizani D 0-050.4 1189 1303 37.84% 23.03% 39.13%-0.03 +0.1 17
2006-12-02 @ Luftetari D 0-050.4 1303 1189 39.13% 23.03% 37.84%+0.03 -0.1 23
2006-12-02 Vllaznia W 1-035.6 1383 1293 62.41% 21.29% 16.30%+0.86 +6.0 28
2006-12-02 @ KF Tirana L 0-135.6 1293 1383 16.30% 21.29% 62.41%-0.86 -6.0 20
2006-12-08 Besa D 0-051.0 1302 1220 61.73% 21.40% 16.86%+0.83 -3.6 24
2006-12-08 @ Partizani D 0-051.0 1220 1302 16.86% 21.40% 61.73%-0.83 +3.6 16
2006-12-08 Flamurtari W 1-034.3 1317 1217 63.35% 21.11% 15.54%+0.90 +5.8 25
2006-12-08 @ Teuta L 0-134.3 1217 1317 15.54% 21.11% 63.35%-0.90 -5.8 17
2006-12-09 KF Elbasani W 1-042.4 1230 1349 37.06% 23.03% 39.92%-0.05 +12.9 21
2006-12-09 @ Kastrioti L 0-142.4 1349 1230 39.92% 23.03% 37.06%+0.05 -12.9 26
2006-12-09 KF Tirana L 1-248.4 1271 1389 37.19% 23.03% 39.78%-0.05 -11.5 18
2006-12-09 @ Dinamo Tirana W 2-148.4 1389 1271 39.78% 23.03% 37.19%+0.05 +11.5 31
2006-12-09 Luftetari D 0-050.1 1128 1189 45.22% 22.93% 31.85%+0.20 -1.0 11
2006-12-09 @ Apolonia D 0-050.1 1189 1128 31.85% 22.93% 45.22%-0.20 +1.0 18
2006-12-09 Shkumbini W 2-139.6 1287 1163 65.39% 20.69% 13.92%+1.00 +4.9 23
2006-12-09 @ Vllaznia L 1-239.6 1163 1287 13.92% 20.69% 65.39%-1.00 -4.9 12
2006-12-13 Apolonia W 2-027.6 1323 1127 70.91% 19.20% 9.89%+1.32 +7.0 28
2006-12-13 @ Teuta L 0-227.6 1127 1323 9.89% 19.20% 70.91%-1.32 -7.0 11
2006-12-16 Dinamo Tirana L 0-141.8 1158 1259 39.67% 23.03% 37.30%+0.03 -12.8 12
2006-12-16 @ Shkumbini W 1-041.8 1259 1158 37.30% 23.03% 39.67%-0.03 +12.8 21
2006-12-16 Vllaznia L 0-147.9 1337 1292 57.90% 21.97% 20.12%+0.66 -17.7 26
2006-12-16 @ KF Elbasani W 1-047.9 1292 1337 20.12% 21.97% 57.90%-0.66 +17.8 26
2006-12-17 Apolonia W 2-139.9 1223 1120 63.61% 21.06% 15.33%+0.92 +5.4 19
2006-12-17 @ Besa L 1-239.9 1120 1223 15.33% 21.06% 63.61%-0.92 -5.4 11
2006-12-17 Kastrioti W 2-034.1 1211 1243 49.02% 22.76% 28.22%+0.33 +18.5 20
2006-12-17 @ Flamurtari L 0-234.1 1243 1211 28.22% 22.76% 49.02%-0.33 -18.5 21
2006-12-17 Partizani W 3-246.6 1401 1299 63.49% 21.08% 15.42%+0.91 +5.1 34
2006-12-17 @ KF Tirana L 2-346.6 1299 1401 15.42% 21.08% 63.49%-0.91 -5.1 24
2006-12-17 Teuta W 2-149.2 1190 1330 34.18% 22.99% 42.83%-0.14 +12.9 21
2006-12-17 @ Luftetari L 1-249.2 1330 1190 42.83% 22.99% 34.18%+0.14 -12.9 28
2006-12-23 Flamurtari D 0-050.3 1203 1229 49.69% 22.72% 27.59%+0.35 -1.7 22
2006-12-23 @ Luftetari D 0-050.3 1229 1203 27.59% 22.72% 49.69%-0.35 +1.7 21
2006-12-23 Kastrioti W 2-140.9 1310 1225 61.96% 21.37% 16.68%+0.84 +5.8 29
2006-12-23 @ Vllaznia L 1-240.9 1225 1310 16.68% 21.37% 61.96%-0.84 -5.8 21
2006-12-23 KF Elbasani W 2-145.6 1272 1319 47.15% 22.85% 30.00%+0.26 +9.7 24
2006-12-23 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-245.6 1319 1272 30.00% 22.85% 47.15%-0.26 -9.7 26
2006-12-23 KF Tirana L 0-230.8 1115 1406 17.67% 21.56% 60.77%-0.80 -12.3 11
2006-12-23 @ Apolonia W 2-030.8 1406 1115 60.77% 21.56% 17.67%+0.80 +12.3 37
2006-12-23 Shkumbini W 2-028.6 1294 1146 67.37% 20.22% 12.42%+1.11 +8.8 27
2006-12-23 @ Partizani L 0-228.6 1146 1294 12.42% 20.22% 67.37%-1.11 -8.8 12
2006-12-24 Besa W 1-034.7 1317 1229 62.25% 21.31% 16.43%+0.85 +6.1 31
2006-12-24 @ Teuta L 0-134.7 1229 1317 16.43% 21.31% 62.25%-0.85 -6.1 19
2007-02-02 Apolonia L 0-146.5 1137 1102 56.85% 22.10% 21.05%+0.62 -17.4 12
2007-02-02 @ Shkumbini W 1-046.5 1102 1137 21.05% 22.10% 56.85%-0.62 +17.4 14
2007-02-02 Vllaznia D 1-155.8 1231 1316 42.01% 23.01% 34.99%+0.10 -0.5 22
2007-02-02 @ Flamurtari D 1-155.8 1316 1231 34.99% 23.01% 42.01%-0.10 +0.5 30
2007-02-03 Dinamo Tirana L 0-143.6 1219 1282 44.92% 22.94% 32.15%+0.19 -14.2 21
2007-02-03 @ Kastrioti W 1-043.6 1282 1219 32.15% 22.94% 44.92%-0.19 +14.2 27
2007-02-03 Luftetari W 3-138.1 1223 1201 55.41% 22.26% 22.33%+0.56 +13.1 22
2007-02-03 @ Besa L 1-338.1 1201 1223 22.33% 22.26% 55.41%-0.56 -13.1 22
2007-02-03 Partizani L 0-242.4 1309 1302 53.71% 22.42% 23.87%+0.49 -31.2 26
2007-02-03 @ KF Elbasani W 2-042.4 1302 1309 23.87% 22.42% 53.71%-0.49 +31.2 30
2007-02-03 Teuta W 5-031.2 1418 1323 62.87% 21.20% 15.93%+0.88 +26.1 40
2007-02-03 @ KF Tirana L 0-531.2 1323 1418 15.93% 21.20% 62.87%-0.88 -26.1 31
2007-02-10 Flamurtari W 3-030.8 1236 1231 53.53% 22.44% 24.03%+0.49 +23.4 25
2007-02-10 @ Besa L 0-330.8 1231 1236 24.03% 22.44% 53.53%-0.49 -23.4 22
2007-02-10 Kastrioti W 1-033.6 1334 1205 65.84% 20.59% 13.58%+1.03 +5.1 33
2007-02-10 @ Partizani L 0-133.6 1205 1334 13.58% 20.59% 65.84%-1.03 -5.1 21
2007-02-10 KF Elbasani D 2-261.4 1120 1278 31.79% 22.92% 45.29%-0.22 +0.7 15
2007-02-10 @ Apolonia D 2-261.4 1278 1120 45.29% 22.92% 31.79%+0.22 -0.7 27
2007-02-10 KF Tirana L 0-232.5 1188 1444 20.75% 22.06% 57.19%-0.65 -14.2 22
2007-02-10 @ Luftetari W 2-032.5 1444 1188 57.19% 22.06% 20.75%+0.65 +14.2 43
2007-02-10 Shkumbini D 1-156.5 1297 1119 69.60% 19.60% 10.79%+1.24 -4.4 32
2007-02-10 @ Teuta D 1-156.5 1119 1297 10.79% 19.60% 69.60%-1.24 +4.4 13
2007-02-10 Vllaznia D 0-051.1 1296 1316 50.54% 22.67% 26.79%+0.38 -1.8 28
2007-02-10 @ Dinamo Tirana D 0-051.1 1316 1296 26.79% 22.67% 50.54%-0.38 +1.8 31
2007-02-21 Apolonia D 1-155.8 1199 1120 61.37% 21.47% 17.16%+0.81 -3.2 22
2007-02-21 @ Kastrioti D 1-155.8 1120 1199 17.16% 21.47% 61.37%-0.81 +3.2 16
2007-02-21 Besa L 1-258.1 1458 1259 71.14% 19.13% 9.73%+1.33 -20.2 43
2007-02-21 @ KF Tirana W 2-158.1 1259 1458 9.73% 19.13% 71.14%-1.33 +20.2 28
2007-02-21 Dinamo Tirana W 2-036.5 1207 1294 41.64% 23.01% 35.35%+0.09 +22.1 25
2007-02-21 @ Flamurtari L 0-236.5 1294 1207 35.35% 23.01% 41.64%-0.09 -22.1 28
2007-02-21 Luftetari W 1-038.8 1124 1174 46.69% 22.87% 30.44%+0.25 +10.4 16
2007-02-21 @ Shkumbini L 0-138.8 1174 1124 30.44% 22.87% 46.69%-0.25 -10.4 22
2007-02-21 Partizani W 1-039.0 1318 1339 50.41% 22.68% 26.91%+0.37 +9.4 34
2007-02-21 @ Vllaznia L 0-139.0 1339 1318 26.91% 22.68% 50.41%-0.37 -9.4 33
2007-02-21 Teuta L 0-145.6 1277 1293 51.07% 22.63% 26.30%+0.40 -15.8 27
2007-02-21 @ KF Elbasani W 1-045.6 1293 1277 26.30% 22.63% 51.07%-0.40 +15.8 35
2007-02-24 Dinamo Tirana W 2-142.1 1329 1272 59.21% 21.80% 18.99%+0.71 +6.6 36
2007-02-24 @ Partizani L 1-242.1 1272 1329 18.99% 21.80% 59.21%-0.71 -6.5 28
2007-02-24 Flamurtari W 2-028.5 1438 1229 71.78% 18.92% 9.30%+1.37 +6.5 46
2007-02-24 @ KF Tirana L 0-228.5 1229 1438 9.30% 18.92% 71.78%-1.37 -6.5 25
2007-02-24 Kastrioti W 2-140.0 1309 1196 64.40% 20.90% 14.70%+0.95 +5.2 38
2007-02-24 @ Teuta L 1-240.0 1196 1309 14.70% 20.90% 64.40%-0.95 -5.2 22
2007-02-24 KF Elbasani D 0-050.2 1163 1261 40.10% 23.03% 36.87%+0.04 -0.2 23
2007-02-24 @ Luftetari D 0-050.2 1261 1163 36.87% 23.03% 40.10%-0.04 +0.2 28
2007-02-24 Shkumbini W 2-139.0 1279 1134 67.13% 20.28% 12.59%+1.10 +4.4 31
2007-02-24 @ Besa L 1-239.0 1134 1279 12.59% 20.28% 67.13%-1.10 -4.4 16
2007-02-24 Vllaznia L 1-436.4 1124 1327 26.22% 22.63% 51.15%-0.42 -21.3 16
2007-02-24 @ Apolonia W 4-136.4 1327 1124 51.15% 22.63% 26.22%+0.42 +21.3 37
2007-03-03 Besa W 1-038.3 1262 1284 50.25% 22.69% 27.06%+0.37 +9.5 31
2007-03-03 @ KF Elbasani L 0-138.3 1284 1262 27.06% 22.69% 50.25%-0.37 -9.5 31
2007-03-03 KF Tirana L 1-240.8 1130 1445 15.83% 21.18% 62.99%-0.91 -5.5 16
2007-03-03 @ Shkumbini W 2-140.8 1445 1130 62.99% 21.18% 15.83%+0.91 +5.5 49
2007-03-03 Partizani W 1-042.1 1223 1336 37.94% 23.03% 39.03%-0.03 +12.7 28
2007-03-03 @ Flamurtari L 0-142.1 1336 1223 39.03% 23.03% 37.94%+0.03 -12.7 36
2007-03-03 Teuta W 3-138.9 1349 1314 56.88% 22.10% 21.02%+0.62 +12.4 40
2007-03-03 @ Vllaznia L 1-338.9 1314 1349 21.02% 22.10% 56.88%-0.62 -12.4 38
2007-03-04 Apolonia W 2-138.5 1266 1102 68.54% 19.91% 11.55%+1.18 +4.1 31
2007-03-04 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-238.5 1102 1266 11.55% 19.91% 68.54%-1.18 -4.1 16
2007-03-04 Luftetari W 1-036.1 1191 1163 56.13% 22.18% 21.69%+0.59 +7.8 25
2007-03-04 @ Kastrioti L 0-136.1 1163 1191 21.69% 22.18% 56.13%-0.59 -7.8 23
2007-03-10 Apolonia W 1-029.4 1450 1098 79.90% 15.43% 4.67%+2.00 +1.7 52
2007-03-10 @ KF Tirana L 0-129.4 1098 1450 4.67% 15.43% 79.90%-2.00 -1.6 16
2007-03-10 Flamurtari W 2-031.8 1274 1236 57.30% 22.05% 20.65%+0.63 +14.1 34
2007-03-10 @ Besa L 0-231.8 1236 1274 20.65% 22.05% 57.30%-0.63 -14.1 28
2007-03-10 KF Elbasani D 1-156.0 1270 1271 52.79% 22.50% 24.70%+0.46 -2.0 32
2007-03-10 @ Dinamo Tirana D 1-156.0 1271 1270 24.70% 22.50% 52.79%-0.46 +2.0 32
2007-03-10 Luftetari W 3-026.7 1301 1155 67.20% 20.26% 12.54%+1.10 +12.8 41
2007-03-10 @ Teuta L 0-326.7 1155 1301 12.54% 20.26% 67.20%-1.10 -12.8 23
2007-03-10 Shkumbini L 0-246.5 1361 1124 73.59% 18.27% 8.14%+1.50 -41.6 40
2007-03-10 @ Vllaznia W 2-046.5 1124 1361 8.14% 18.27% 73.59%-1.50 +41.6 19
2007-03-11 Kastrioti W 4-132.3 1323 1199 65.43% 20.68% 13.89%+1.01 +12.0 39
2007-03-11 @ Partizani L 1-432.3 1199 1323 13.89% 20.68% 65.43%-1.01 -12.0 25
2007-03-17 Apolonia W 2-138.3 1268 1097 69.13% 19.74% 11.13%+1.21 +3.9 35
2007-03-17 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-238.3 1097 1268 11.13% 19.74% 69.13%-1.21 -3.9 16
2007-03-17 Besa W 3-031.9 1273 1288 51.08% 22.63% 26.29%+0.40 +25.3 35
2007-03-17 @ KF Elbasani L 0-331.9 1288 1273 26.29% 22.63% 51.08%-0.40 -25.3 34
2007-03-17 KF Tirana W 2-154.5 1166 1452 18.10% 21.64% 60.25%-0.78 +17.4 22
2007-03-17 @ Shkumbini L 1-254.5 1452 1166 60.25% 21.64% 18.10%+0.78 -17.4 52
2007-03-17 Partizani L 0-237.5 1221 1335 37.83% 23.03% 39.14%-0.03 -23.3 28
2007-03-17 @ Flamurtari W 2-037.5 1335 1221 39.14% 23.03% 37.83%+0.03 +23.3 42
2007-03-17 Teuta L 1-247.0 1187 1314 35.95% 23.02% 41.03%-0.09 -11.2 25
2007-03-17 @ Kastrioti W 2-147.0 1314 1187 41.03% 23.02% 35.95%+0.09 +11.2 44
2007-03-17 Vllaznia L 0-138.8 1142 1319 29.39% 22.82% 47.78%-0.31 -10.1 23
2007-03-17 @ Luftetari W 1-038.8 1319 1142 47.78% 22.82% 29.39%+0.31 +10.1 43
2007-03-31 Dinamo Tirana W 2-033.5 1263 1272 51.92% 22.57% 25.51%+0.43 +17.0 37
2007-03-31 @ Besa L 0-233.5 1272 1263 25.51% 22.57% 51.92%-0.43 -17.0 35
2007-03-31 Flamurtari W 2-139.7 1325 1198 65.68% 20.63% 13.70%+1.02 +4.8 47
2007-03-31 @ Teuta L 1-239.7 1198 1325 13.70% 20.63% 65.68%-1.02 -4.8 28
2007-03-31 Kastrioti W 2-028.6 1330 1176 67.81% 20.10% 12.09%+1.13 +8.5 46
2007-03-31 @ Vllaznia L 0-228.6 1176 1330 12.09% 20.10% 67.81%-1.13 -8.5 25
2007-03-31 KF Elbasani W 1-036.3 1359 1298 59.53% 21.75% 18.71%+0.73 +6.9 45
2007-03-31 @ Partizani L 0-136.3 1298 1359 18.71% 21.75% 59.53%-0.73 -6.9 35
2007-03-31 Luftetari W 2-026.0 1435 1132 77.38% 16.68% 5.95%+1.78 +4.0 55
2007-03-31 @ KF Tirana L 0-226.0 1132 1435 5.95% 16.68% 77.38%-1.78 -4.0 23
2007-03-31 Shkumbini W 3-142.2 1093 1183 41.16% 23.02% 35.82%+0.07 +19.4 19
2007-03-31 @ Apolonia L 1-342.2 1183 1093 35.82% 23.02% 41.16%-0.07 -19.4 22
2007-04-07 Apolonia W 2-138.4 1280 1112 68.89% 19.81% 11.30%+1.20 +4.0 40
2007-04-07 @ Besa L 1-238.4 1112 1280 11.30% 19.81% 68.89%-1.20 -4.0 19
2007-04-07 KF Tirana D 1-156.5 1167 1439 19.37% 21.86% 58.77%-0.72 +2.8 26
2007-04-07 @ Kastrioti D 1-156.5 1439 1167 58.77% 21.86% 19.37%+0.72 -2.8 56
2007-04-07 Partizani L 0-238.0 1255 1365 38.29% 23.03% 38.68%-0.02 -23.5 35
2007-04-07 @ Dinamo Tirana W 2-038.0 1365 1255 38.68% 23.03% 38.29%+0.02 +23.5 48
2007-04-07 Shkumbini L 1-346.0 1128 1164 48.56% 22.78% 28.65%+0.31 -24.8 23
2007-04-07 @ Luftetari W 3-146.0 1164 1128 28.65% 22.78% 48.56%-0.31 +24.8 25
2007-04-07 Teuta D 0-051.1 1291 1330 48.15% 22.80% 29.04%+0.30 -1.5 36
2007-04-07 @ KF Elbasani D 0-051.1 1330 1291 29.04% 22.80% 48.15%-0.30 +1.4 48
2007-04-07 Vllaznia L 0-236.0 1193 1338 33.54% 22.98% 43.49%-0.17 -21.2 28
2007-04-07 @ Flamurtari W 2-036.0 1338 1193 43.49% 22.98% 33.54%+0.17 +21.2 49
2007-04-14 Besa W 2-141.3 1389 1284 63.75% 21.03% 15.22%+0.92 +5.3 51
2007-04-14 @ Partizani L 1-241.3 1284 1389 15.22% 21.03% 63.75%-0.92 -5.3 40
2007-04-14 Dinamo Tirana W 3-136.2 1332 1231 63.35% 21.11% 15.54%+0.90 +9.4 51
2007-04-14 @ Teuta L 1-336.2 1231 1332 15.54% 21.11% 63.35%-0.90 -9.4 35
2007-04-14 Flamurtari D 1-157.8 1436 1172 75.22% 17.62% 7.15%+1.61 -5.1 57
2007-04-14 @ KF Tirana D 1-157.8 1172 1436 7.15% 17.62% 75.22%-1.61 +5.1 29
2007-04-14 Kastrioti W 2-142.5 1189 1170 55.08% 22.29% 22.63%+0.55 +7.7 28
2007-04-14 @ Shkumbini L 1-242.5 1170 1189 22.63% 22.29% 55.08%-0.55 -7.7 26
2007-04-14 KF Elbasani W 2-031.7 1359 1290 60.43% 21.62% 17.95%+0.77 +12.5 52
2007-04-14 @ Vllaznia L 0-231.7 1290 1359 17.95% 21.62% 60.43%-0.77 -12.5 36
2007-04-14 Luftetari W 2-142.9 1108 1104 53.48% 22.44% 24.08%+0.48 +8.1 22
2007-04-14 @ Apolonia L 1-242.9 1104 1108 24.08% 22.44% 53.48%-0.48 -8.1 23
2007-04-21 Apolonia W 2-026.2 1394 1116 76.05% 17.27% 6.68%+1.68 +4.6 54
2007-04-21 @ Partizani L 0-226.2 1116 1394 6.68% 17.27% 76.05%-1.68 -4.6 22
2007-04-21 KF Tirana L 1-247.5 1277 1431 32.42% 22.94% 44.64%-0.20 -10.3 36
2007-04-21 @ KF Elbasani W 2-147.5 1431 1277 44.64% 22.94% 32.42%+0.20 +10.3 60
2007-04-21 Luftetari W 1-034.8 1162 1095 60.19% 21.65% 18.15%+0.76 +6.7 29
2007-04-21 @ Kastrioti L 0-134.8 1095 1162 18.15% 21.65% 60.19%-0.76 -6.7 23
2007-04-21 Shkumbini W 2-033.5 1177 1196 50.63% 22.66% 26.71%+0.38 +17.6 32
2007-04-21 @ Flamurtari L 0-233.5 1196 1177 26.71% 22.66% 50.63%-0.38 -17.6 28
2007-04-21 Teuta L 0-144.2 1279 1341 45.06% 22.93% 32.01%+0.19 -14.2 40
2007-04-21 @ Besa W 1-044.2 1341 1279 32.01% 22.93% 45.06%-0.19 +14.2 54
2007-04-21 Vllaznia L 1-246.5 1222 1372 32.85% 22.96% 44.19%-0.19 -10.4 35
2007-04-21 @ Dinamo Tirana W 2-146.5 1372 1222 44.19% 22.96% 32.85%+0.19 +10.4 55
2007-04-28 Besa D 1-157.2 1382 1265 64.86% 20.80% 14.33%+0.98 -3.7 56
2007-04-28 @ Vllaznia D 1-157.2 1265 1382 14.33% 20.80% 64.86%-0.98 +3.7 41
2007-04-28 Dinamo Tirana W 2-138.3 1441 1211 73.14% 18.44% 8.42%+1.47 +2.9 63
2007-04-28 @ KF Tirana L 1-238.3 1211 1441 8.42% 18.44% 73.14%-1.47 -2.9 35
2007-04-28 Flamurtari W 2-036.9 1089 1195 38.96% 23.03% 38.01%+0.00 +23.4 26
2007-04-28 @ Luftetari L 0-236.9 1195 1089 38.01% 23.03% 38.96%+0.00 -23.4 32
2007-04-28 Kastrioti L 1-249.5 1112 1169 45.69% 22.91% 31.40%+0.21 -13.6 22
2007-04-28 @ Apolonia W 2-149.5 1169 1112 31.40% 22.91% 45.69%-0.21 +13.6 32
2007-04-28 KF Elbasani W 4-245.8 1179 1267 41.44% 23.01% 35.55%+0.08 +17.2 31
2007-04-28 @ Shkumbini L 2-445.8 1267 1179 35.55% 23.01% 41.44%-0.08 -17.2 36
2007-04-28 Partizani W 1-041.2 1355 1399 47.52% 22.84% 29.64%+0.27 +10.2 57
2007-04-28 @ Teuta L 0-141.2 1399 1355 29.64% 22.84% 47.52%-0.27 -10.2 54
2007-05-05 Apolonia W 4-129.1 1365 1098 75.43% 17.54% 7.03%+1.63 +5.9 60
2007-05-05 @ Teuta L 1-429.1 1098 1365 7.03% 17.54% 75.43%-1.63 -5.9 22
2007-05-05 Kastrioti D 0-050.2 1171 1183 51.59% 22.59% 25.81%+0.42 -2.0 33
2007-05-05 @ Flamurtari D 0-050.2 1183 1171 25.81% 22.59% 51.59%-0.42 +2.0 33
2007-05-05 KF Tirana L 0-140.5 1268 1444 29.55% 22.83% 47.62%-0.30 -10.2 41
2007-05-05 @ Besa W 1-040.5 1444 1268 47.62% 22.83% 29.55%+0.30 +10.2 66
2007-05-05 Luftetari D 4-466.8 1250 1112 66.54% 20.42% 13.04%+1.06 -2.2 37
2007-05-05 @ KF Elbasani D 4-466.8 1112 1250 13.04% 20.42% 66.54%-1.06 +2.1 27
2007-05-05 Shkumbini W 5-031.5 1208 1196 54.40% 22.36% 23.24%+0.52 +36.6 38
2007-05-05 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-531.5 1196 1208 23.24% 22.36% 54.40%-0.52 -36.6 31
2007-05-05 Vllaznia L 0-148.7 1389 1378 54.13% 22.38% 23.48%+0.51 -16.7 54
2007-05-05 @ Partizani W 1-048.7 1378 1389 23.48% 22.38% 54.13%-0.51 +16.7 59
2007-05-09 Besa W 3-142.8 1159 1258 39.97% 23.03% 37.00%+0.03 +19.9 34
2007-05-09 @ Shkumbini L 1-342.8 1258 1159 37.00% 23.03% 39.97%-0.03 -19.9 41
2007-05-09 Dinamo Tirana L 0-236.2 1114 1245 35.46% 23.01% 41.53%-0.10 -22.2 27
2007-05-09 @ Luftetari W 2-036.2 1245 1114 41.53% 23.01% 35.46%+0.10 +22.2 41
2007-05-09 Flamurtari W 1-039.9 1092 1169 43.00% 22.99% 34.01%+0.13 +11.4 25
2007-05-09 @ Apolonia L 0-139.9 1169 1092 34.01% 22.99% 43.00%-0.13 -11.4 33
2007-05-09 KF Elbasani D 1-155.5 1185 1248 44.93% 22.94% 32.13%+0.19 -0.9 34
2007-05-09 @ Kastrioti D 1-155.5 1248 1185 32.13% 22.94% 44.93%-0.19 +0.9 38
2007-05-09 Partizani W 1-038.5 1454 1372 61.67% 21.42% 16.92%+0.82 +6.2 69
2007-05-09 @ KF Tirana L 0-138.5 1372 1454 16.92% 21.42% 61.67%-0.82 -6.2 54
2007-05-09 Teuta D 0-053.1 1395 1371 55.66% 22.23% 22.10%+0.57 -2.6 60
2007-05-09 @ Vllaznia D 0-053.1 1371 1395 22.10% 22.23% 55.66%-0.57 +2.6 61
2007-05-12 Apolonia W 2-136.3 1393 1103 76.66% 17.01% 6.34%+1.72 +2.2 63
2007-05-12 @ Vllaznia L 1-236.3 1103 1393 6.34% 17.01% 76.66%-1.72 -2.2 25
2007-05-12 Flamurtari D 1-155.9 1249 1158 62.46% 21.28% 16.26%+0.86 -3.4 39
2007-05-12 @ KF Elbasani D 1-155.9 1158 1249 16.26% 21.28% 62.46%-0.86 +3.4 34
2007-05-12 Kastrioti W 3-028.3 1267 1184 61.79% 21.40% 16.82%+0.83 +17.0 44
2007-05-12 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-328.3 1184 1267 16.82% 21.40% 61.79%-0.83 -17.0 34
2007-05-12 KF Tirana W 2-040.5 1374 1460 41.74% 23.01% 35.25%+0.09 +22.1 64
2007-05-12 @ Teuta L 0-240.5 1460 1374 35.25% 23.01% 41.74%-0.09 -22.1 69
2007-05-12 Luftetari L 1-255.2 1238 1092 67.21% 20.26% 12.54%+1.10 -19.2 41
2007-05-12 @ Besa W 2-155.2 1092 1238 12.54% 20.26% 67.21%-1.10 +19.2 30
2007-05-12 Shkumbini W 5-027.2 1366 1179 70.25% 19.41% 10.34%+1.28 +17.0 57
2007-05-12 @ Partizani L 0-527.2 1179 1366 10.34% 19.41% 70.25%-1.28 -17.0 34
2007-05-19 Besa W 2-145.2 1167 1219 46.39% 22.88% 30.73%+0.24 +9.9 37
2007-05-19 @ Kastrioti L 1-245.2 1219 1167 30.73% 22.88% 46.39%-0.24 -9.9 41
2007-05-19 Dinamo Tirana L 2-352.0 1161 1284 36.55% 23.03% 40.43%-0.07 -10.8 34
2007-05-19 @ Flamurtari W 3-252.0 1284 1161 40.43% 23.03% 36.55%+0.07 +10.8 47
2007-05-19 KF Elbasani D 1-155.3 1101 1245 33.65% 22.98% 43.37%-0.16 +0.7 26
2007-05-19 @ Apolonia D 1-155.3 1245 1101 43.37% 22.98% 33.65%+0.16 -0.6 40
2007-05-19 Partizani W 3-041.1 1111 1383 19.37% 21.86% 58.77%-0.72 +49.3 33
2007-05-19 @ Luftetari L 0-341.1 1383 1111 58.77% 21.86% 19.37%+0.72 -49.3 57
2007-05-19 Teuta L 0-137.0 1162 1396 22.94% 22.33% 54.74%-0.55 -8.2 34
2007-05-19 @ Shkumbini W 1-037.0 1396 1162 54.74% 22.33% 22.94%+0.55 +8.2 67
2007-05-19 Vllaznia W 4-245.0 1438 1395 57.82% 21.98% 20.20%+0.66 +10.7 72
2007-05-19 @ KF Tirana L 2-445.0 1395 1438 20.20% 21.98% 57.82%-0.66 -10.7 63

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2007-03-10 8.14% Shkumbini 1124 2 @ Vllaznia 1361 0
2 2007-02-21 9.73% Besa 1259 2 @ KF Tirana 1458 1
3 2006-11-11 12.22% Flamurtari 1161 3 @ Partizani 1313 0
4 2006-11-04 12.29% Apolonia 1150 2 @ Vllaznia 1300 1
5 2007-05-12 12.54% Luftetari 1092 2 @ Besa 1238 1
6 2007-03-17 18.10% @ Shkumbini 1166 2 KF Tirana 1452 1
7 2007-05-19 19.37% @ Luftetari 1111 3 Partizani 1383 0
8 2006-08-26 19.43% Teuta 1262 3 @ Dinamo Tirana 1314 1
9 2006-12-16 20.12% Vllaznia 1292 1 @ KF Elbasani 1337 0
10 2006-11-05 20.49% @ Flamurtari 1146 3 KF Tirana 1405 2
11 2007-02-02 21.05% Apolonia 1102 1 @ Shkumbini 1137 0
12 2006-10-18 21.67% KF Elbasani 1304 1 @ Partizani 1332 0
13 2007-05-05 23.48% Vllaznia 1378 1 @ Partizani 1389 0
14 2007-02-03 23.87% Partizani 1302 2 @ KF Elbasani 1309 0
15 2006-11-04 24.53% Besa 1215 1 @ Shkumbini 1215 0
16 2006-11-25 25.04% @ Kastrioti 1184 2 KF Tirana 1399 1
17 2006-12-02 25.21% Kastrioti 1200 2 @ Shkumbini 1194 0
18 2006-10-14 25.38% Partizani 1301 2 @ Shkumbini 1294 0
19 2007-02-21 26.30% Teuta 1293 1 @ KF Elbasani 1277 0
20 2006-10-29 26.72% Kastrioti 1183 3 @ Apolonia 1164 2
21 2006-09-30 27.15% Besa 1205 1 @ Apolonia 1182 0
22 2006-09-30 27.47% KF Tirana 1356 2 @ Partizani 1331 0
23 2007-04-07 28.65% Shkumbini 1164 3 @ Luftetari 1128 1
24 2006-10-22 29.81% Teuta 1298 2 @ Shkumbini 1253 0
25 2006-10-21 29.89% Besa 1211 2 @ Flamurtari 1165 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-11-11 56.15 Flamurtari 3 1161 12.22% @ Partizani 0 1313 67.63% 20.15%
2 2007-05-19 49.28 @ Luftetari 3 1111 19.37% Partizani 0 1383 58.77% 21.86%
3 2006-09-09 44.10 @ Flamurtari 4 1132 39.32% Apolonia 0 1235 37.65% 23.03%
4 2007-03-10 41.60 Shkumbini 2 1124 8.14% @ Vllaznia 0 1361 73.59% 18.27%
5 2007-05-05 36.64 @ Dinamo Tirana 5 1208 54.40% Shkumbini 0 1196 23.24% 22.36%
6 2006-09-10 31.28 @ Shkumbini 3 1259 42.86% KF Elbasani 0 1337 34.15% 22.99%
7 2007-02-03 31.24 Partizani 2 1302 23.87% @ KF Elbasani 0 1309 53.71% 22.42%
8 2006-12-02 30.48 Kastrioti 2 1200 25.21% @ Shkumbini 0 1194 52.25% 22.54%
9 2006-10-14 30.38 Partizani 2 1301 25.38% @ Shkumbini 0 1294 52.06% 22.56%
10 2006-08-26 29.35 Teuta 3 1262 19.43% @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1314 58.71% 21.87%
11 2006-09-30 29.22 KF Tirana 2 1356 27.47% @ Partizani 0 1331 49.82% 22.71%
12 2006-10-22 27.97 Teuta 2 1298 29.81% @ Shkumbini 0 1253 47.35% 22.84%
13 2006-11-25 26.93 Flamurtari 2 1215 31.79% @ Apolonia 0 1155 45.29% 22.92%
14 2006-09-24 26.08 Partizani 2 1305 33.47% @ Besa 0 1231 43.56% 22.97%
15 2007-02-03 26.06 @ KF Tirana 5 1418 62.87% Teuta 0 1323 15.93% 21.20%
16 2006-11-18 25.89 Partizani 2 1257 33.84% @ Apolonia 0 1181 43.17% 22.98%
17 2006-12-02 25.52 KF Elbasani 2 1324 34.60% @ Flamurtari 0 1242 42.40% 23.00%
18 2007-03-17 25.28 @ KF Elbasani 3 1273 51.08% Besa 0 1288 26.29% 22.63%
19 2007-04-07 24.75 Shkumbini 3 1164 28.65% @ Luftetari 1 1128 48.56% 22.78%
20 2006-10-22 24.73 @ Vllaznia 3 1272 51.82% Dinamo Tirana 0 1282 25.60% 22.58%
21 2006-09-09 23.55 @ Luftetari 2 1177 38.66% Dinamo Tirana 0 1285 38.31% 23.03%
22 2007-04-07 23.54 Partizani 2 1365 38.68% @ Dinamo Tirana 0 1255 38.29% 23.03%
23 2007-02-10 23.43 @ Besa 3 1236 53.53% Flamurtari 0 1231 24.03% 22.44%
24 2007-04-28 23.42 @ Luftetari 2 1089 38.96% Flamurtari 0 1195 38.01% 23.03%
25 2007-03-17 23.33 Partizani 2 1335 39.14% @ Flamurtari 0 1221 37.83% 23.03%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-05-05 66.8 @ KF Elbasani 4 1250 66.54% Luftetari 4 1112 13.04% 20.42%
2 2006-11-11 63.2 @ KF Tirana 2 1389 70.50% Shkumbini 2 1199 10.17% 19.33%
3 2006-08-27 62.9 @ KF Elbasani 2 1339 53.47% KF Tirana 2 1334 24.09% 22.44%
4 2006-10-18 62.1 @ Vllaznia 2 1275 64.46% Flamurtari 2 1162 14.65% 20.89%
5 2006-11-11 61.9 @ Besa 2 1231 40.50% KF Elbasani 2 1326 36.47% 23.02%
6 2006-08-26 61.6 @ Kastrioti 2 1208 48.34% Besa 2 1245 28.86% 22.80%
7 2006-09-16 61.6 @ Apolonia 2 1191 40.11% Teuta 2 1289 36.87% 23.03%
8 2006-10-21 61.6 @ Kastrioti 2 1182 35.28% Partizani 2 1314 41.71% 23.01%
9 2007-02-10 61.4 @ Apolonia 2 1120 31.79% KF Elbasani 2 1278 45.29% 22.92%
10 2006-11-05 58.3 @ Flamurtari 3 1146 20.49% KF Tirana 2 1405 57.48% 22.03%
11 2007-02-21 58.1 Besa 2 1259 9.73% @ KF Tirana 1 1458 71.14% 19.13%
12 2007-04-14 57.8 @ KF Tirana 1 1436 75.22% Flamurtari 1 1172 7.15% 17.62%
13 2007-04-28 57.2 @ Vllaznia 1 1382 64.86% Besa 1 1265 14.33% 20.80%
14 2006-10-18 56.9 @ Teuta 1 1298 40.81% KF Tirana 1 1391 36.17% 23.02%
15 2007-02-10 56.5 @ Teuta 1 1297 69.60% Shkumbini 1 1119 10.79% 19.60%
16 2007-04-07 56.5 @ Kastrioti 1 1167 19.37% KF Tirana 1 1439 58.77% 21.86%
17 2006-09-15 56.3 @ Vllaznia 1 1268 42.36% KF Tirana 1 1350 34.64% 23.00%
18 2006-09-30 56.2 @ Teuta 1 1301 63.45% Luftetari 1 1199 15.46% 21.09%
19 2007-03-10 56.0 @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1270 52.79% KF Elbasani 1 1271 24.70% 22.50%
20 2006-10-29 55.9 Kastrioti 3 1183 26.72% @ Apolonia 2 1164 50.61% 22.66%
21 2007-05-12 55.9 @ KF Elbasani 1 1249 62.46% Flamurtari 1 1158 16.26% 21.28%
22 2006-09-09 55.8 @ Besa 1 1246 50.55% Vllaznia 1 1266 26.79% 22.67%
23 2006-11-04 55.8 @ Kastrioti 1 1197 34.52% Teuta 1 1334 42.48% 23.00%
24 2007-02-02 55.8 @ Flamurtari 1 1231 42.01% Vllaznia 1 1316 34.99% 23.01%
25 2007-02-21 55.8 @ Kastrioti 1 1199 61.37% Apolonia 1 1120 17.16% 21.47%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-03-31 26.0 @ KF Tirana 2 1435 77.38% Luftetari 0 1132 5.95% 16.68%
2 2007-04-21 26.2 @ Partizani 2 1394 76.05% Apolonia 0 1116 6.68% 17.27%
3 2007-03-10 26.7 @ Teuta 3 1301 67.20% Luftetari 0 1155 12.54% 20.26%
4 2007-05-12 27.2 @ Partizani 5 1366 70.25% Shkumbini 0 1179 10.34% 19.41%
5 2006-12-13 27.6 @ Teuta 2 1323 70.91% Apolonia 0 1127 9.89% 19.20%
6 2007-05-12 28.3 @ Dinamo Tirana 3 1267 61.79% Kastrioti 0 1184 16.82% 21.40%
7 2007-02-24 28.5 @ KF Tirana 2 1438 71.78% Flamurtari 0 1229 9.30% 18.92%
8 2006-12-23 28.6 @ Partizani 2 1294 67.37% Shkumbini 0 1146 12.42% 20.22%
9 2007-03-31 28.6 @ Vllaznia 2 1330 67.81% Kastrioti 0 1176 12.09% 20.10%
10 2006-10-21 28.7 @ KF Elbasani 2 1321 67.40% Apolonia 0 1172 12.39% 20.21%
11 2007-05-05 29.1 @ Teuta 4 1365 75.43% Apolonia 1 1098 7.03% 17.54%
12 2007-03-10 29.4 @ KF Tirana 1 1450 79.90% Apolonia 0 1098 4.67% 15.43%
13 2006-11-26 29.8 @ KF Elbasani 2 1313 64.12% Shkumbini 0 1204 14.92% 20.96%
14 2006-10-18 30.6 @ Dinamo Tirana 2 1270 60.98% Kastrioti 0 1195 17.49% 21.53%
15 2006-12-23 30.8 KF Tirana 2 1406 60.77% @ Apolonia 0 1115 17.67% 21.56%
16 2007-02-10 30.8 @ Besa 3 1236 53.53% Flamurtari 0 1231 24.03% 22.44%
17 2007-02-03 31.2 @ KF Tirana 5 1418 62.87% Teuta 0 1323 15.93% 21.20%
18 2006-09-09 31.5 @ KF Tirana 8 1336 65.79% Kastrioti 3 1207 13.61% 20.60%
19 2007-05-05 31.5 @ Dinamo Tirana 5 1208 54.40% Shkumbini 0 1196 23.24% 22.36%
20 2006-10-22 31.6 @ Vllaznia 3 1272 51.82% Dinamo Tirana 0 1282 25.60% 22.58%
21 2007-04-14 31.7 @ Vllaznia 2 1359 60.43% KF Elbasani 0 1290 17.95% 21.62%
22 2007-03-10 31.8 @ Besa 2 1274 57.30% Flamurtari 0 1236 20.65% 22.05%
23 2007-03-17 31.9 @ KF Elbasani 3 1273 51.08% Besa 0 1288 26.29% 22.63%
24 2007-03-11 32.3 @ Partizani 4 1323 65.43% Kastrioti 1 1199 13.89% 20.68%
25 2006-10-21 32.5 @ KF Tirana 1 1391 70.42% Luftetari 0 1202 10.22% 19.36%