‹ ›

2007-08 Kategoria Superiore Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Dinamo Tirana

70 points · 17th Title

Last Title: 2001-02

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Dinamo Tirana

11.04 points above expected

70 points · 58.96 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Skenderbeu

16.47 points below expected

11 points · 27.47 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Dinamo Tirana Champion 33 21 7 5 70 56 14 +42 58.96 +11.04
2 Partizani 33 18 11 4 65 47 22 +25 57.76 +7.24
3 Besa 33 17 5 11 56 45 36 +9 47.95 +8.05
4 KF Elbasani 33 13 13 7 52 40 24 +16 50.17 +1.83
5 Shkumbini 33 14 8 11 50 35 28 +7 46.11 +3.89
6 KF Tirana 33 14 7 12 49 46 36 +10 55.50 -6.50
7 Vllaznia 33 12 9 12 45 46 46 0 53.11 -8.11
8 Flamurtari 33 10 14 9 44 35 37 -2 43.99 +0.01
9 Teuta 33 9 8 16 35 32 45 -13 39.54 -4.54
10 Kastrioti 33 10 5 18 35 24 43 -19 36.26 -1.26
11 Beselidhja 33 9 7 17 34 31 52 -21 30.14 +3.86
12 Skenderbeu 33 3 2 28 11 26 80 -54 27.47 -16.47

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dinamo Tirana 70 58.96 +11.04
2 Besa 56 47.95 +8.05
3 Partizani 65 57.76 +7.24
4 Shkumbini 50 46.11 +3.89
5 Beselidhja 34 30.14 +3.86

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Skenderbeu 11 27.47 -16.47
2 Vllaznia 45 53.11 -8.11
3 KF Tirana 49 55.50 -6.50
4 Teuta 35 39.54 -4.54
5 Kastrioti 35 36.26 -1.26

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Partizani 5 Aug 26 – Sep 29 1 in 29
2 Beselidhja 2 Mar 22 – Mar 29 1 in 22
3 Besa 3 Aug 25 – Sep 15 1 in 21
4 KF Tirana 5 Nov 25 – Dec 22 1 in 21
5 Dinamo Tirana 5 Dec 8 – Feb 2 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KF Tirana 4 Apr 26 – May 14 1 in 199
2 Skenderbeu 11 Mar 9 – May 17 1 in 153
3 Kastrioti 6 Feb 9 – Mar 23 1 in 104
4 Teuta 4 Sep 2 – Sep 29 1 in 89
5 Besa 3 Nov 25 – Dec 8 1 in 62

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Partizani 15 Nov 10 – Mar 29 1 in 96
2 KF Tirana 11 Oct 6 – Dec 22 1 in 74
3 Kastrioti 5 Mar 29 – Apr 26 1 in 62
4 Shkumbini 8 Sep 29 – Nov 25 1 in 59
5 Vllaznia 11 Sep 22 – Dec 8 1 in 35

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Teuta 9 Sep 2 – Nov 7 1 in 93
2 KF Tirana 6 Sep 15 – Oct 31 1 in 47
3 Partizani 5 Oct 31 – Nov 25 1 in 18
4 Flamurtari 6 Dec 15 – Feb 17 1 in 12
5 KF Elbasani 5 Oct 6 – Nov 7 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Dinamo Tirana 1474 70 +75 15 9.3 +5.7
Partizani 1391 65 +31 12 8.8 +3.2
Besa 1286 56 +25 9 6.4 +2.6
KF Elbasani 1316 52 +10 8 8.1 -0.1
Shkumbini 1282 50 +52 12 9.1 +2.9
KF Tirana 1284 49 -57 3 8.0 -5.0
Vllaznia 1172 45 -78 3 7.1 -4.1
Flamurtari 1230 44 +16 8 7.5 +0.5
Kastrioti 1104 35 +15 6 5.0 +1.0
Teuta 1174 35 -26 5 5.9 -0.9
Beselidhja 1106 34 -5 6 4.5 +1.5
Skenderbeu 897 11 -56 0 3.0 -3.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BES BES DT FLA KE KT KAS PAR SHK SKE TEU VLL
Besa —
2-1-0
6.11
0-1-2
2.58
1-0-2
4.16
1-0-2
3.59
2-0-1
4.00
2-0-1
5.52
1-1-1
3.58
2-0-1
4.60
2-1-0
6.05
2-0-1
4.20
2-1-0
3.33
Beselidhja
0-1-2
2.19
—
1-0-2
2.09
0-3-0
2.28
1-0-2
2.05
2-0-1
2.08
0-1-2
4.01
0-0-3
1.75
1-0-2
3.11
3-0-0
3.89
0-1-2
2.77
1-1-1
2.80
Dinamo Tirana
2-1-0
5.70
2-0-1
6.20
—
2-0-1
5.82
1-2-0
5.37
1-1-1
4.50
2-0-1
5.75
2-0-1
4.78
1-2-0
5.09
3-0-0
6.65
3-0-0
5.79
2-1-0
4.48
Flamurtari
2-0-1
4.08
0-3-0
6.01
1-0-2
2.46
—
0-2-1
3.91
1-0-2
2.82
3-0-0
5.31
1-2-0
2.87
0-2-1
3.60
2-1-0
5.38
0-2-1
4.29
0-2-1
2.87
KF Elbasani
2-0-1
4.66
2-0-1
6.28
0-2-1
2.89
1-2-0
4.33
—
0-2-1
3.71
2-0-1
5.36
0-3-0
3.98
1-1-1
4.87
3-0-0
6.12
2-1-0
4.41
0-2-1
3.42
KF Tirana
1-0-2
4.26
1-0-2
6.22
1-1-1
3.75
2-0-1
5.44
1-2-0
4.54
—
2-1-0
5.24
0-1-2
3.61
2-0-1
4.58
2-0-1
6.47
1-1-1
6.03
1-1-1
4.80
Kastrioti
1-0-2
2.75
2-1-0
4.24
1-0-2
2.52
0-0-3
2.95
1-0-2
2.92
0-1-2
3.01
—
0-1-2
2.13
1-1-1
3.34
2-0-1
4.94
1-1-1
4.05
1-0-2
2.73
Partizani
1-1-1
4.67
3-0-0
6.62
1-0-2
3.46
0-2-1
5.39
0-3-0
4.28
2-1-0
4.64
2-1-0
6.23
—
2-1-0
5.36
3-0-0
6.93
2-1-0
5.56
2-1-0
4.95
Shkumbini
1-0-2
3.63
2-0-1
5.14
0-2-1
3.17
1-2-0
4.64
1-1-1
3.37
1-0-2
3.67
1-1-1
4.90
0-1-2
2.91
—
3-0-0
5.76
2-1-0
4.88
2-0-1
3.42
Skenderbeu
0-1-2
2.28
0-0-3
4.35
0-0-3
1.74
0-1-2
2.88
0-0-3
2.19
1-0-2
1.88
1-0-2
3.31
0-0-3
1.47
0-0-3
2.54
—
1-0-2
2.94
0-0-3
1.58
Teuta
1-0-2
4.08
2-1-0
5.48
0-0-3
2.54
1-2-0
3.96
0-1-2
3.82
1-1-1
2.25
1-1-1
4.19
0-1-2
2.69
0-1-2
3.39
2-0-1
5.32
—
1-0-2
2.74
Vllaznia
0-1-2
4.92
1-1-1
5.48
0-1-2
3.77
1-2-0
5.39
1-2-0
4.83
1-1-1
3.44
2-0-1
5.53
0-1-2
3.32
1-0-2
4.83
3-0-0
6.79
2-0-1
5.55
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.73 +13.9
Allowed 0.90 -8.7
Differential 0.97 +6.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.13%10.10%8.84%2.53%2.02%0.51%37.12%
110.10%6.57%7.32%3.03%0.76%0.25%28.03%
28.84%7.32%4.04%1.26%0.76%0.25%22.47%
32.53%3.03%1.26%0.51%—0.25%7.58%
42.02%0.76%0.76%———3.54%
5+0.51%0.25%0.25%0.25%——1.26%
Total37.12%28.03%22.47%7.58%3.54%1.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.17 +0.00
SD 1.21 1.21 1.79
CV 1.04 1.04 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%9.09%15.15%———27.27%
118.18%6.06%6.06%3.03%——33.33%
212.12%6.06%3.03%———21.21%
33.03%6.06%3.03%3.03%——15.15%
4———————
5+———3.03%——3.03%
Total36.36%27.27%27.27%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.09 +0.27
SD 1.22 1.01 1.51
CV 0.89 0.93 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%21.21%6.06%6.06%—45.45%
19.09%6.06%12.12%———27.27%
26.06%6.06%9.09%———21.21%
3———————
4——6.06%———6.06%
5+———————
Total21.21%18.18%48.48%6.06%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.58 -0.64
SD 1.12 1.09 1.69
CV 1.19 0.69 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.21%12.12%3.03%———36.36%
19.09%—————9.09%
212.12%18.18%————30.30%
36.06%6.06%————12.12%
46.06%—————6.06%
5+6.06%—————6.06%
Total60.61%36.36%3.03%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 0.42 +1.27
SD 1.78 0.56 1.96
CV 1.05 1.32 —
Max 7 2 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%9.09%9.09%——3.03%36.36%
118.18%12.12%3.03%———33.33%
2—3.03%15.15%3.03%——21.21%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total36.36%30.30%27.27%3.03%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.12 -0.06
SD 1.06 1.24 1.60
CV 1.00 1.11 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
024.24%6.06%3.03%———33.33%
118.18%6.06%9.09%3.03%——36.36%
26.06%—9.09%———15.15%
36.06%3.03%————9.09%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+——3.03%———3.03%
Total57.58%15.15%24.24%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 0.73 +0.48
SD 1.27 0.94 1.44
CV 1.05 1.30 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%12.12%————27.27%
13.03%3.03%12.12%3.03%6.06%—27.27%
218.18%9.09%3.03%—3.03%—33.33%
33.03%—3.03%———6.06%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total42.42%27.27%18.18%3.03%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.09 +0.30
SD 1.22 1.26 1.78
CV 0.88 1.15 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%21.21%9.09%6.06%3.03%—51.52%
112.12%3.03%6.06%6.06%——27.27%
26.06%9.09%———3.03%18.18%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.30%36.36%15.15%12.12%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.30 -0.58
SD 0.88 1.29 1.58
CV 1.20 0.99 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.21%—3.03%3.03%——27.27%
115.15%9.09%6.06%———30.30%
29.09%18.18%————27.27%
3———3.03%——3.03%
49.09%3.03%————12.12%
5+———————
Total54.55%30.30%9.09%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 0.67 +0.76
SD 1.28 0.89 1.54
CV 0.90 1.33 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%12.12%9.09%3.03%——42.42%
112.12%6.06%6.06%3.03%——27.27%
29.09%6.06%————15.15%
33.03%6.06%3.03%———12.12%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total45.45%30.30%18.18%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 0.85 +0.21
SD 1.17 0.94 1.60
CV 1.10 1.11 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%21.21%3.03%9.09%3.03%45.45%
1—6.06%12.12%15.15%3.03%—36.36%
26.06%——6.06%3.03%—15.15%
3———————
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+———————
Total6.06%15.15%36.36%24.24%15.15%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.79 2.42 -1.64
SD 0.93 1.37 1.76
CV 1.18 0.57 —
Max 4 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%15.15%9.09%6.06%3.03%—42.42%
13.03%12.12%12.12%———27.27%
212.12%6.06%3.03%———21.21%
3—3.03%3.03%——3.03%9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total24.24%36.36%27.27%6.06%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.36 -0.39
SD 1.02 1.19 1.56
CV 1.05 0.88 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%9.09%3.03%3.03%3.03%—30.30%
13.03%9.09%3.03%3.03%—3.03%21.21%
29.09%6.06%6.06%6.06%3.03%—30.30%
36.06%6.06%3.03%———15.15%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total30.30%33.33%15.15%12.12%6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.39 +0.00
SD 1.17 1.37 1.85
CV 0.84 0.98 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Dinamo Tirana 1474 70 58.96 +11.04 96.0% 47 50 54 58 64 70 75
Partizani 1391 65 57.76 +7.24 86.0% 43 45 52 58 62 70 71
KF Elbasani 1316 52 50.17 +1.83 60.0% 33 38 44 50 56 62 70
Besa 1286 56 47.95 +8.05 85.0% 31 36 43 47 52 61 66
KF Tirana 1284 49 55.50 -6.50 23.0% 44 45 50 55 60 66 71
Shkumbini 1282 50 46.11 +3.89 67.0% 27 33 41 45 51 58 63
Flamurtari 1230 44 43.99 +0.01 56.0% 32 34 39 44 48 56 62
Teuta 1174 35 39.54 -4.54 21.0% 21 29 36 39 44 48 53
Vllaznia 1172 45 53.11 -8.11 15.0% 33 41 47 54 58 63 67
Beselidhja 1106 34 30.14 +3.86 77.0% 15 18 26 30 34 42 51
Kastrioti 1104 35 36.26 -1.26 43.0% 20 25 32 36 40 48 51
Skenderbeu 897 11 27.47 -16.47 0.0% 14 15 23 27 32 38 44

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 27% * Slight Edge: 27% to 33% * Clear Edge: 33% to 40% * Strong Edge: 40% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+27.27%
Slight Edge
51.52%24.24%24.24%
Elo Value
Home Edge
186 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
097.22500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.60 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.52+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.04 * Tight Race: 0.04 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.7
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
32%
Dinamo Tirana, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.15/gm
Comfortable
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.5 * Some Luck: 5.5 to 8.25 * Lucky: 8.25 to 10.99 * Wild Swing: 10.99 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.21 * Close: 1.21 to 1.81 * Off: 1.81 to 2.42 * Way Off: 2.42 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.49 points
Some Luck
06.8717
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.514
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
96.00%
Dinamo Tirana
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
Skenderbeu
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 77.5% * Wide Edge: 77.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 93% * Strong Edge: 93% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 72.5% * Very Frequent: 72.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 10.5% * Occasional: 10.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Top-Heavy
00.120.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 150.76
2.07
Strong Separation
0.91.351.82.153
Interquartile Edge
69%
Slight Edge
50%63.5%72.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
97%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
62%
Some Drama
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
13%
Occasional
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.56 * Notable Separation: 0.56 to 0.62 * Lopsided: 0.62 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14.5% * Upset-Prone: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 18.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 10.5% * As Expected: 10.5% to 12.5% * Shaky Favorites: 12.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.41
Very Even
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.23
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.41
Some Carryover
00.410.590.731
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Very Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Shaky Favorites
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.70
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.00
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.079
Well Within Noise
00.1160.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Dinamo Tirana32.00%20.00%15.00%21.00%9.00%3.00%——————
Partizani26.00%24.00%18.00%14.00%11.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%———
Besa5.00%5.00%7.00%10.00%12.00%16.00%17.00%17.00%6.00%4.00%1.00%—
KF Elbasani7.00%4.00%20.00%8.00%14.00%20.00%11.00%8.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%—
Shkumbini2.00%7.00%6.00%10.00%12.00%13.00%9.00%21.00%12.00%6.00%2.00%—
KF Tirana15.00%22.00%13.00%18.00%16.00%5.00%9.00%2.00%————
Vllaznia11.00%15.00%18.00%13.00%9.00%18.00%8.00%5.00%—1.00%2.00%—
Flamurtari2.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%10.00%15.00%19.00%15.00%19.00%9.00%3.00%—
Teuta———2.00%3.00%6.00%18.00%16.00%24.00%21.00%8.00%2.00%
Kastrioti——1.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%5.00%11.00%21.00%25.00%22.00%10.00%
Beselidhja————2.00%1.00%—4.00%6.00%17.00%36.00%34.00%
Skenderbeu——————1.00%—6.00%14.00%25.00%54.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Dinamo Tirana 100% — —
KF Tirana 100% — —
Partizani 98.00% 2.00% —
Besa 89.00% 10.00% 1.00%
KF Elbasani 92.00% 7.00% 1.00%
Shkumbini 80.00% 18.00% 2.00%
Vllaznia 97.00% 1.00% 2.00%
Flamurtari 69.00% 28.00% 3.00%
Teuta 45.00% 45.00% 10.00%
Kastrioti 22.00% 46.00% 32.00%
Beselidhja 7.00% 23.00% 70.00%
Skenderbeu 1.00% 20.00% 79.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2007-08-25 Beselidhja W 4-028.1 1251 1096 65.34% 22.64% 12.01%+1.35 +20.9 3
2007-08-25 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-428.1 1096 1251 12.01% 22.64% 65.34%-1.35 -20.9 0
2007-08-25 Kastrioti W 3-140.4 1217 1205 51.62% 25.08% 23.30%+0.59 +17.4 3
2007-08-25 @ Besa L 1-340.4 1205 1217 23.30% 25.08% 51.62%-0.59 -17.4 0
2007-08-25 KF Tirana W 1-043.1 1199 1306 35.70% 25.70% 38.60%-0.05 +15.9 3
2007-08-25 @ Flamurtari L 0-143.1 1306 1199 38.60% 25.70% 35.70%+0.05 -15.9 0
2007-08-25 Teuta L 1-343.9 1172 1290 34.18% 25.68% 40.14%-0.11 -23.6 0
2007-08-25 @ Skenderbeu W 3-143.9 1290 1172 40.14% 25.68% 34.18%+0.11 +23.6 3
2007-08-25 Vllaznia D 0-049.5 1231 1285 43.18% 25.61% 31.21%+0.23 -1.1 1
2007-08-25 @ KF Elbasani D 0-049.5 1285 1231 31.21% 25.61% 43.18%-0.23 +1.1 1
2007-08-26 Shkumbini W 2-142.2 1269 1197 57.98% 24.26% 17.76%+0.91 +8.0 3
2007-08-26 @ Partizani L 1-242.2 1197 1269 17.76% 24.26% 57.98%-0.91 -8.0 0
2007-09-01 Dinamo Tirana L 0-147.1 1286 1272 51.75% 25.07% 23.18%+0.60 -20.2 1
2007-09-01 @ Vllaznia W 1-047.1 1272 1286 23.18% 25.07% 51.75%-0.60 +20.2 6
2007-09-01 KF Elbasani W 2-036.7 1187 1230 44.73% 25.55% 29.73%+0.29 +24.5 3
2007-09-01 @ Kastrioti L 0-236.7 1230 1187 29.73% 25.55% 44.73%-0.29 -24.5 1
2007-09-01 Partizani L 1-244.1 1075 1277 23.87% 25.14% 51.00%-0.56 -10.3 0
2007-09-01 @ Beselidhja W 2-144.1 1277 1075 51.00% 25.14% 23.87%+0.56 +10.3 6
2007-09-01 Shkumbini W 2-032.1 1290 1189 60.74% 23.76% 15.51%+1.06 +14.1 3
2007-09-01 @ KF Tirana L 0-232.1 1189 1290 15.51% 23.76% 60.74%-1.06 -14.1 0
2007-09-01 Skenderbeu W 3-138.6 1214 1148 57.43% 24.35% 18.22%+0.88 +14.1 6
2007-09-01 @ Flamurtari L 1-338.6 1148 1214 18.22% 24.35% 57.43%-0.88 -14.1 0
2007-09-02 Besa L 0-148.8 1314 1235 58.64% 24.15% 17.21%+0.94 -22.6 3
2007-09-02 @ Teuta W 1-048.8 1235 1314 17.21% 24.15% 58.64%-0.94 +22.6 6
2007-09-15 Beselidhja W 2-140.8 1175 1065 61.60% 23.57% 14.82%+1.12 +6.8 3
2007-09-15 @ Shkumbini L 1-240.8 1065 1175 14.82% 23.57% 61.60%-1.12 -6.8 0
2007-09-15 Flamurtari W 2-034.3 1258 1229 53.45% 24.89% 21.66%+0.68 +18.9 9
2007-09-15 @ Besa L 0-234.3 1229 1258 21.66% 24.89% 53.45%-0.68 -18.9 6
2007-09-15 Kastrioti W 4-030.4 1292 1212 58.80% 24.12% 17.07%+0.95 +29.2 9
2007-09-15 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-430.4 1212 1292 17.07% 24.12% 58.80%-0.95 -29.2 3
2007-09-15 KF Tirana W 4-251.1 1134 1304 27.47% 25.43% 47.10%-0.39 +27.2 3
2007-09-15 @ Skenderbeu L 2-451.1 1304 1134 47.10% 25.43% 27.47%+0.39 -27.2 3
2007-09-15 Teuta W 1-042.1 1205 1291 38.78% 25.70% 35.53%+0.06 +14.9 4
2007-09-15 @ KF Elbasani L 0-142.1 1291 1205 35.53% 25.70% 38.78%-0.06 -14.9 3
2007-09-15 Vllaznia W 1-038.2 1287 1266 52.63% 24.98% 22.39%+0.64 +10.3 9
2007-09-15 @ Partizani L 0-138.2 1266 1287 22.39% 24.98% 52.63%-0.64 -10.3 1
2007-09-21 Besa D 1-154.3 1161 1276 34.57% 25.69% 39.74%-0.10 +0.4 4
2007-09-21 @ Skenderbeu D 1-154.3 1276 1161 39.74% 25.69% 34.57%+0.10 -0.4 10
2007-09-21 KF Elbasani L 0-145.8 1210 1220 48.83% 25.31% 25.86%+0.47 -19.2 6
2007-09-21 @ Flamurtari W 1-045.8 1220 1210 25.86% 25.31% 48.83%-0.47 +19.2 7
2007-09-22 Beselidhja L 0-150.8 1277 1058 70.02% 21.11% 8.88%+1.70 -26.5 3
2007-09-22 @ KF Tirana W 1-050.8 1058 1277 8.88% 21.11% 70.02%-1.70 +26.5 3
2007-09-22 Dinamo Tirana L 0-145.2 1276 1321 44.38% 25.56% 30.06%+0.28 -17.7 3
2007-09-22 @ Teuta W 1-045.2 1321 1276 30.06% 25.56% 44.38%-0.28 +17.7 12
2007-09-22 Shkumbini W 3-138.5 1255 1182 58.13% 24.24% 17.64%+0.92 +13.7 4
2007-09-22 @ Vllaznia L 1-338.5 1182 1255 17.64% 24.24% 58.13%-0.92 -13.7 3
2007-09-23 Partizani L 0-141.8 1182 1298 34.60% 25.69% 39.71%-0.10 -14.6 3
2007-09-23 @ Kastrioti W 1-041.8 1298 1182 39.71% 25.69% 34.60%+0.10 +14.6 12
2007-09-28 Flamurtari L 0-150.2 1339 1190 64.82% 22.79% 12.39%+1.32 -24.8 12
2007-09-28 @ Dinamo Tirana W 1-050.2 1190 1339 12.39% 22.79% 64.82%-1.32 +24.8 9
2007-09-28 Vllaznia D 2-260.0 1085 1269 25.81% 25.31% 48.88%-0.47 +1.5 4
2007-09-28 @ Beselidhja D 2-260.0 1269 1085 48.88% 25.31% 25.81%+0.47 -1.5 5
2007-09-29 Kastrioti W 1-038.4 1168 1168 50.13% 25.21% 24.65%+0.52 +11.2 6
2007-09-29 @ Shkumbini L 0-138.4 1168 1168 24.65% 25.21% 50.13%-0.52 -11.2 3
2007-09-29 Skenderbeu W 3-030.6 1239 1161 58.55% 24.17% 17.28%+0.94 +22.6 10
2007-09-29 @ KF Elbasani L 0-330.6 1161 1239 17.28% 24.17% 58.55%-0.94 -22.6 4
2007-09-29 Teuta W 4-031.5 1312 1258 56.15% 24.54% 19.31%+0.81 +32.5 15
2007-09-29 @ Partizani L 0-431.5 1258 1312 19.31% 24.54% 56.15%-0.81 -32.5 3
2007-09-30 KF Tirana W 3-140.3 1276 1250 53.07% 24.93% 22.00%+0.66 +16.6 13
2007-09-30 @ Besa L 1-340.3 1250 1276 22.00% 24.93% 53.07%-0.66 -16.6 3
2007-10-05 Beselidhja W 2-141.9 1157 1086 57.85% 24.28% 17.86%+0.90 +8.0 6
2007-10-05 @ Kastrioti L 1-241.9 1086 1157 17.86% 24.28% 57.85%-0.90 -8.0 4
2007-10-05 Shkumbini D 1-154.6 1226 1179 55.35% 24.65% 20.00%+0.77 -3.1 4
2007-10-05 @ Teuta D 1-154.6 1179 1226 20.00% 24.65% 55.35%-0.77 +3.1 7
2007-10-06 Dinamo Tirana L 1-245.2 1139 1314 26.89% 25.39% 47.72%-0.42 -11.3 4
2007-10-06 @ Skenderbeu W 2-145.2 1314 1139 47.72% 25.39% 26.89%+0.42 +11.3 15
2007-10-06 KF Elbasani W 1-037.9 1293 1262 53.67% 24.86% 21.47%+0.69 +10.0 16
2007-10-06 @ Besa L 0-137.9 1262 1293 21.47% 24.86% 53.67%-0.69 -10.0 10
2007-10-06 Partizani D 0-049.6 1215 1345 32.64% 25.65% 41.71%-0.17 +0.8 10
2007-10-06 @ Flamurtari D 0-049.6 1345 1215 41.71% 25.65% 32.64%+0.17 -0.8 16
2007-10-06 Vllaznia D 0-049.4 1234 1268 45.87% 25.50% 28.63%+0.34 -1.6 4
2007-10-06 @ KF Tirana D 0-049.4 1268 1234 28.63% 25.50% 45.87%-0.34 +1.6 6
2007-10-20 Besa D 0-050.3 1325 1303 52.75% 24.97% 22.29%+0.64 -3.0 16
2007-10-20 @ Dinamo Tirana D 0-050.3 1303 1325 22.29% 24.97% 52.75%-0.64 +3.0 17
2007-10-21 Flamurtari D 0-049.2 1183 1216 45.90% 25.49% 28.61%+0.34 -1.6 8
2007-10-21 @ Shkumbini D 0-049.2 1216 1183 28.61% 25.49% 45.90%-0.34 +1.6 11
2007-10-21 Kastrioti W 3-137.6 1269 1165 61.07% 23.69% 15.24%+1.08 +12.0 9
2007-10-21 @ Vllaznia L 1-337.6 1165 1269 15.24% 23.69% 61.07%-1.08 -12.0 6
2007-10-21 KF Tirana D 1-154.7 1252 1232 52.38% 25.00% 22.61%+0.63 -2.6 11
2007-10-21 @ KF Elbasani D 1-154.7 1232 1252 22.61% 25.00% 52.38%-0.63 +2.6 5
2007-10-21 Skenderbeu W 4-027.0 1344 1128 69.85% 21.17% 8.98%+1.69 +15.6 19
2007-10-21 @ Partizani L 0-427.0 1128 1344 8.98% 21.17% 69.85%-1.69 -15.6 4
2007-10-21 Teuta D 0-049.1 1078 1223 30.65% 25.59% 43.76%-0.26 +1.2 5
2007-10-21 @ Beselidhja D 0-049.1 1223 1078 43.76% 25.59% 30.65%+0.26 -1.2 5
2007-10-31 Beselidhja D 1-154.9 1218 1079 64.01% 23.00% 12.99%+1.27 -4.7 12
2007-10-31 @ Flamurtari D 1-154.9 1079 1218 12.99% 23.00% 64.01%-1.27 +4.7 6
2007-10-31 Dinamo Tirana D 0-049.7 1249 1322 40.55% 25.67% 33.77%+0.13 -0.6 12
2007-10-31 @ KF Elbasani D 0-049.7 1322 1249 33.77% 25.67% 40.55%-0.13 +0.6 17
2007-10-31 Kastrioti D 0-049.6 1235 1153 58.98% 24.09% 16.93%+0.96 -4.2 6
2007-10-31 @ KF Tirana D 0-049.6 1153 1235 16.93% 24.09% 58.98%-0.96 +4.2 7
2007-10-31 Partizani W 2-147.8 1306 1360 43.19% 25.61% 31.20%+0.23 +12.7 20
2007-10-31 @ Besa L 1-247.8 1360 1306 31.20% 25.61% 43.19%-0.23 -12.7 19
2007-10-31 Shkumbini L 1-249.4 1112 1181 41.15% 25.66% 33.19%+0.15 -15.7 4
2007-10-31 @ Skenderbeu W 2-149.4 1181 1112 33.19% 25.66% 41.15%-0.15 +15.7 11
2007-10-31 Vllaznia L 0-338.8 1221 1281 42.41% 25.63% 31.96%+0.20 -46.7 5
2007-10-31 @ Teuta W 3-038.8 1281 1221 31.96% 25.63% 42.41%-0.20 +46.7 12
2007-11-03 Besa W 2-040.3 1197 1318 33.71% 25.67% 40.62%-0.13 +31.1 14
2007-11-03 @ Shkumbini L 0-240.3 1318 1197 40.62% 25.67% 33.71%+0.13 -31.1 20
2007-11-03 Flamurtari D 1-155.3 1328 1213 62.01% 23.48% 14.51%+1.14 -4.3 13
2007-11-03 @ Vllaznia D 1-155.3 1213 1328 14.51% 23.48% 62.01%-1.14 +4.3 13
2007-11-03 KF Elbasani D 0-050.4 1347 1249 60.50% 23.80% 15.70%+1.05 -4.5 20
2007-11-03 @ Partizani D 0-050.4 1249 1347 15.70% 23.80% 60.50%-1.05 +4.5 13
2007-11-03 KF Tirana L 0-245.7 1323 1231 59.96% 23.91% 16.13%+1.02 -43.5 17
2007-11-03 @ Dinamo Tirana W 2-045.7 1231 1323 16.13% 23.91% 59.96%-1.02 +43.5 9
2007-11-03 Skenderbeu W 4-244.5 1084 1096 48.58% 25.33% 26.09%+0.46 +17.1 9
2007-11-03 @ Beselidhja L 2-444.5 1096 1084 26.09% 25.33% 48.58%-0.46 -17.1 4
2007-11-03 Teuta W 1-039.1 1157 1175 47.90% 25.38% 26.72%+0.43 +11.9 10
2007-11-03 @ Kastrioti L 0-139.1 1175 1157 26.72% 25.38% 47.90%-0.43 -12.0 5
2007-11-07 Beselidhja W 2-029.8 1287 1101 67.72% 21.92% 10.36%+1.52 +9.5 23
2007-11-07 @ Besa L 0-229.8 1101 1287 10.36% 21.92% 67.72%-1.52 -9.5 9
2007-11-07 Kastrioti W 1-036.8 1217 1169 55.57% 24.63% 19.81%+0.78 +9.3 16
2007-11-07 @ Flamurtari L 0-136.8 1169 1217 19.81% 24.63% 55.57%-0.78 -9.3 10
2007-11-07 Partizani W 2-038.4 1280 1342 41.99% 25.64% 32.36%+0.19 +26.2 20
2007-11-07 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-238.4 1342 1280 32.36% 25.64% 41.99%-0.19 -26.2 20
2007-11-07 Shkumbini D 0-049.5 1253 1228 53.05% 24.93% 22.01%+0.66 -3.0 14
2007-11-07 @ KF Elbasani D 0-049.5 1228 1253 22.01% 24.93% 53.05%-0.66 +3.0 15
2007-11-07 Teuta W 2-141.0 1274 1163 61.68% 23.56% 14.76%+1.12 +6.7 12
2007-11-07 @ KF Tirana L 1-241.0 1163 1274 14.76% 23.56% 61.68%-1.12 -6.7 5
2007-11-07 Vllaznia L 2-347.4 1079 1324 19.67% 24.60% 55.73%-0.79 -8.3 4
2007-11-07 @ Skenderbeu W 3-247.4 1324 1079 55.73% 24.60% 19.67%+0.79 +8.3 16
2007-11-10 Besa D 1-155.5 1332 1297 54.13% 24.81% 21.06%+0.71 -2.9 17
2007-11-10 @ Vllaznia D 1-155.5 1297 1332 21.06% 24.81% 54.13%-0.71 +2.9 24
2007-11-10 Dinamo Tirana D 0-049.5 1231 1306 40.30% 25.68% 34.02%+0.12 -0.6 16
2007-11-10 @ Shkumbini D 0-049.5 1306 1231 34.02% 25.68% 40.30%-0.12 +0.6 21
2007-11-10 Flamurtari W 3-251.9 1156 1227 40.92% 25.67% 33.41%+0.14 +12.7 8
2007-11-10 @ Teuta L 2-351.9 1227 1156 33.41% 25.67% 40.92%-0.14 -12.7 16
2007-11-10 KF Elbasani L 0-139.8 1092 1250 28.89% 25.51% 45.60%-0.33 -12.7 9
2007-11-10 @ Beselidhja W 1-039.8 1250 1092 45.60% 25.51% 28.89%+0.33 +12.7 17
2007-11-10 KF Tirana D 0-050.1 1316 1281 54.15% 24.81% 21.04%+0.71 -3.2 21
2007-11-10 @ Partizani D 0-050.1 1281 1316 21.04% 24.81% 54.15%-0.71 +3.2 13
2007-11-10 Skenderbeu W 1-035.5 1160 1071 59.60% 23.98% 16.42%+1.00 +7.9 13
2007-11-10 @ Kastrioti L 0-135.5 1071 1160 16.42% 23.98% 59.60%-1.00 -7.9 4
2007-11-25 Besa W 2-149.9 1167 1300 32.29% 25.64% 42.07%-0.19 +16.0 16
2007-11-25 @ Kastrioti L 1-249.9 1300 1167 42.07% 25.64% 32.29%+0.19 -16.0 24
2007-11-25 Dinamo Tirana L 0-233.9 1079 1306 21.26% 24.84% 53.90%-0.70 -18.6 9
2007-11-25 @ Beselidhja W 2-033.9 1306 1079 53.90% 24.84% 21.26%+0.70 +18.7 24
2007-11-25 Flamurtari W 2-033.0 1284 1214 57.81% 24.29% 17.90%+0.90 +16.0 16
2007-11-25 @ KF Tirana L 0-233.0 1214 1284 17.90% 24.29% 57.81%-0.90 -16.0 16
2007-11-25 KF Elbasani W 2-142.9 1329 1263 57.40% 24.36% 18.24%+0.88 +8.2 20
2007-11-25 @ Vllaznia L 1-242.9 1263 1329 18.24% 24.36% 57.40%-0.88 -8.2 17
2007-11-25 Partizani D 1-154.7 1230 1313 39.21% 25.69% 35.09%+0.08 -0.3 17
2007-11-25 @ Shkumbini D 1-154.7 1313 1230 35.09% 25.69% 39.21%-0.08 +0.3 22
2007-11-25 Skenderbeu L 0-245.4 1169 1063 61.18% 23.66% 15.15%+1.09 -44.3 8
2007-11-25 @ Teuta W 2-045.4 1063 1169 15.15% 23.66% 61.18%-1.09 +44.3 7
2007-12-01 Beselidhja W 4-026.0 1313 1060 72.23% 20.22% 7.56%+1.88 +13.0 25
2007-12-01 @ Partizani L 0-426.0 1060 1313 7.56% 20.22% 72.23%-1.88 -13.0 9
2007-12-01 Flamurtari D 1-154.1 1107 1198 38.12% 25.70% 36.18%+0.04 -0.2 8
2007-12-01 @ Skenderbeu D 1-154.1 1198 1107 36.18% 25.70% 38.12%-0.04 +0.2 17
2007-12-01 Kastrioti W 2-032.8 1255 1183 57.91% 24.27% 17.81%+0.91 +16.0 20
2007-12-01 @ KF Elbasani L 0-232.8 1183 1255 17.81% 24.27% 57.91%-0.91 -16.0 16
2007-12-01 KF Tirana L 0-240.5 1230 1300 40.96% 25.67% 33.38%+0.14 -31.3 17
2007-12-01 @ Shkumbini W 2-040.5 1300 1230 33.38% 25.67% 40.96%-0.14 +31.3 19
2007-12-01 Teuta L 0-150.0 1284 1124 65.68% 22.55% 11.77%+1.38 -25.1 24
2007-12-01 @ Besa W 1-050.0 1124 1284 11.77% 22.55% 65.68%-1.38 +25.1 11
2007-12-01 Vllaznia D 0-050.5 1325 1337 48.60% 25.33% 26.07%+0.46 -2.1 25
2007-12-01 @ Dinamo Tirana D 0-050.5 1337 1325 26.07% 25.33% 48.60%-0.46 +2.1 21
2007-12-08 Besa W 1-041.0 1198 1259 42.29% 25.63% 32.07%+0.20 +13.8 20
2007-12-08 @ Flamurtari L 0-141.0 1259 1198 32.07% 25.63% 42.29%-0.20 -13.8 24
2007-12-08 Dinamo Tirana L 0-334.8 1167 1323 29.30% 25.53% 45.18%-0.31 -35.2 16
2007-12-08 @ Kastrioti W 3-034.8 1323 1167 45.18% 25.53% 29.30%+0.31 +35.2 28
2007-12-08 KF Elbasani L 0-141.4 1150 1271 33.79% 25.68% 40.53%-0.13 -14.3 11
2007-12-08 @ Teuta W 1-041.4 1271 1150 40.53% 25.68% 33.79%+0.13 +14.3 23
2007-12-08 Partizani D 1-155.7 1339 1326 51.64% 25.08% 23.28%+0.59 -2.5 22
2007-12-08 @ Vllaznia D 1-155.7 1326 1339 23.28% 25.08% 51.64%-0.59 +2.4 26
2007-12-08 Shkumbini W 2-150.3 1047 1199 29.80% 25.55% 44.64%-0.29 +16.8 12
2007-12-08 @ Beselidhja L 1-250.3 1199 1047 44.64% 25.55% 29.80%+0.29 -16.8 17
2007-12-08 Skenderbeu W 3-243.1 1331 1107 70.37% 20.97% 8.66%+1.73 +3.7 22
2007-12-08 @ KF Tirana L 2-343.1 1107 1331 8.66% 20.97% 70.37%-1.73 -3.7 8
2007-12-14 Kastrioti W 2-139.0 1329 1132 68.45% 21.67% 9.88%+1.58 +4.5 29
2007-12-14 @ Partizani L 1-239.0 1132 1329 9.88% 21.67% 68.45%-1.58 -4.5 16
2007-12-15 Flamurtari D 2-260.6 1285 1212 58.11% 24.24% 17.65%+0.92 -2.7 24
2007-12-15 @ KF Elbasani D 2-260.6 1212 1285 17.65% 24.24% 58.11%-0.92 +2.7 21
2007-12-15 KF Tirana L 0-232.6 1064 1335 17.36% 24.18% 58.45%-0.93 -15.6 12
2007-12-15 @ Beselidhja W 2-032.6 1335 1064 58.45% 24.18% 17.36%+0.93 +15.6 25
2007-12-15 Skenderbeu W 2-030.8 1245 1103 64.25% 22.94% 12.81%+1.28 +11.7 27
2007-12-15 @ Besa L 0-230.8 1103 1245 12.81% 22.94% 64.25%-1.28 -11.8 8
2007-12-15 Teuta W 2-138.6 1358 1135 70.27% 21.01% 8.72%+1.72 +4.0 31
2007-12-15 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-238.6 1135 1358 8.72% 21.01% 70.27%-1.72 -4.0 11
2007-12-16 Vllaznia W 4-039.3 1182 1337 29.33% 25.53% 45.14%-0.31 +64.2 20
2007-12-16 @ Shkumbini L 0-439.3 1337 1182 45.14% 25.53% 29.33%+0.31 -64.2 22
2007-12-21 Dinamo Tirana L 1-246.8 1214 1362 30.29% 25.57% 44.14%-0.27 -12.4 21
2007-12-21 @ Flamurtari W 2-146.8 1362 1214 44.14% 25.57% 30.29%+0.27 +12.4 34
2007-12-22 Besa W 2-032.9 1351 1257 60.13% 23.88% 16.00%+1.03 +14.5 28
2007-12-22 @ KF Tirana L 0-232.9 1257 1351 16.00% 23.88% 60.13%-1.03 -14.5 27
2007-12-22 Beselidhja W 3-026.9 1273 1048 70.37% 20.97% 8.66%+1.73 +11.5 25
2007-12-22 @ Vllaznia L 0-326.9 1048 1273 8.66% 20.97% 70.37%-1.73 -11.5 12
2007-12-22 Shkumbini D 0-049.1 1128 1246 34.18% 25.68% 40.14%-0.11 +0.5 17
2007-12-22 @ Kastrioti D 0-049.1 1246 1128 40.14% 25.68% 34.18%+0.11 -0.5 21
2007-12-23 KF Elbasani L 0-138.6 1092 1282 25.12% 25.25% 49.63%-0.50 -11.4 8
2007-12-23 @ Skenderbeu W 1-038.6 1282 1092 49.63% 25.25% 25.12%+0.50 +11.4 27
2007-12-23 Partizani D 1-154.6 1131 1333 23.88% 25.14% 50.98%-0.56 +2.3 12
2007-12-23 @ Teuta D 1-154.6 1333 1131 50.98% 25.14% 23.88%+0.56 -2.3 30
2007-12-28 KF Tirana W 4-142.1 1284 1365 39.43% 25.69% 34.88%+0.09 +33.9 28
2007-12-28 @ Vllaznia L 1-442.1 1365 1284 34.88% 25.69% 39.43%-0.09 -33.9 28
2007-12-28 Skenderbeu W 7-027.1 1374 1080 74.67% 19.10% 6.23%+2.10 +17.8 37
2007-12-28 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-727.1 1080 1374 6.23% 19.10% 74.67%-2.10 -17.8 8
2007-12-29 Besa W 2-033.7 1294 1242 55.91% 24.58% 19.52%+0.80 +17.3 30
2007-12-29 @ KF Elbasani L 0-233.7 1242 1294 19.52% 24.58% 55.91%-0.80 -17.3 27
2007-12-29 Flamurtari D 0-050.2 1331 1202 63.20% 23.21% 13.59%+1.21 -5.1 31
2007-12-29 @ Partizani D 0-050.2 1202 1331 13.59% 23.21% 63.20%-1.21 +5.1 22
2007-12-29 Kastrioti L 1-248.4 1037 1128 37.99% 25.70% 36.31%+0.03 -14.8 12
2007-12-29 @ Beselidhja W 2-148.4 1128 1037 36.31% 25.70% 37.99%-0.03 +14.8 20
2007-12-29 Teuta W 2-031.6 1245 1134 61.73% 23.54% 14.72%+1.12 +13.4 24
2007-12-29 @ Shkumbini L 0-231.6 1134 1245 14.72% 23.54% 61.73%-1.12 -13.4 12
2008-02-02 Beselidhja W 2-031.8 1120 1022 60.48% 23.81% 15.71%+1.05 +14.3 15
2008-02-02 @ Teuta L 0-231.8 1022 1120 15.71% 23.81% 60.48%-1.05 -14.2 12
2008-02-02 Dinamo Tirana L 0-237.0 1225 1392 27.81% 25.45% 46.74%-0.38 -23.3 27
2008-02-02 @ Besa W 2-037.0 1392 1225 46.74% 25.45% 27.81%+0.38 +23.2 40
2008-02-02 KF Elbasani D 2-261.3 1331 1311 52.47% 24.99% 22.53%+0.63 -1.9 29
2008-02-02 @ KF Tirana D 2-261.3 1311 1331 22.53% 24.99% 52.47%-0.63 +1.9 31
2008-02-02 Partizani L 1-242.1 1063 1326 18.03% 24.32% 57.66%-0.89 -8.1 8
2008-02-02 @ Skenderbeu W 2-142.1 1326 1063 57.66% 24.32% 18.03%+0.89 +8.1 34
2008-02-02 Shkumbini D 0-049.3 1207 1259 43.49% 25.60% 30.91%+0.24 -1.2 23
2008-02-02 @ Flamurtari D 0-049.3 1259 1207 30.91% 25.60% 43.49%-0.24 +1.2 25
2008-02-02 Vllaznia W 3-147.9 1143 1318 26.91% 25.39% 47.70%-0.42 +30.7 23
2008-02-02 @ Kastrioti L 1-347.9 1318 1143 47.70% 25.39% 26.91%+0.42 -30.7 28
2008-02-09 Besa D 3-364.5 1334 1201 63.50% 23.13% 13.37%+1.23 -2.9 35
2008-02-09 @ Partizani D 3-364.5 1201 1334 13.37% 23.13% 63.50%-1.23 +2.9 28
2008-02-09 Flamurtari D 2-260.0 1008 1206 24.29% 25.18% 50.53%-0.54 +1.7 13
2008-02-09 @ Beselidhja D 2-260.0 1206 1008 50.53% 25.18% 24.29%+0.54 -1.7 24
2008-02-09 KF Elbasani D 0-051.8 1415 1313 60.89% 23.72% 15.38%+1.07 -4.6 41
2008-02-09 @ Dinamo Tirana D 0-051.8 1313 1415 15.38% 23.72% 60.89%-1.07 +4.6 32
2008-02-09 KF Tirana L 0-334.8 1174 1329 29.26% 25.53% 45.21%-0.31 -35.2 23
2008-02-09 @ Kastrioti W 3-034.8 1329 1174 45.21% 25.53% 29.26%+0.31 +35.2 32
2008-02-09 Skenderbeu W 3-135.0 1260 1054 69.09% 21.45% 9.46%+1.63 +7.5 28
2008-02-09 @ Shkumbini L 1-335.0 1054 1260 9.46% 21.45% 69.09%-1.63 -7.5 8
2008-02-09 Teuta W 2-030.6 1287 1134 65.18% 22.69% 12.13%+1.34 +11.1 31
2008-02-09 @ Vllaznia L 0-230.6 1134 1287 12.13% 22.69% 65.18%-1.34 -11.1 15
2008-02-16 Dinamo Tirana D 0-052.1 1365 1411 44.22% 25.57% 30.21%+0.27 -1.3 33
2008-02-16 @ KF Tirana D 0-052.1 1411 1365 30.21% 25.57% 44.22%-0.27 +1.3 42
2008-02-16 Kastrioti W 2-035.5 1123 1139 48.22% 25.36% 26.42%+0.44 +22.3 18
2008-02-16 @ Teuta L 0-235.5 1139 1123 26.42% 25.36% 48.22%-0.44 -22.3 23
2008-02-16 Partizani D 0-050.4 1318 1331 48.45% 25.34% 26.21%+0.45 -2.1 33
2008-02-16 @ KF Elbasani D 0-050.4 1331 1318 26.21% 25.34% 48.45%-0.45 +2.1 36
2008-02-17 Shkumbini W 1-041.1 1204 1267 41.94% 25.64% 32.42%+0.18 +13.9 31
2008-02-17 @ Besa L 0-141.1 1267 1204 32.42% 25.64% 41.94%-0.18 -13.9 28
2008-02-17 Vllaznia D 2-260.2 1204 1298 37.59% 25.70% 36.71%+0.02 -0.1 25
2008-02-17 @ Flamurtari D 2-260.2 1298 1204 36.71% 25.70% 37.59%-0.02 +0.0 32
2008-02-20 Beselidhja L 0-243.7 1047 1010 54.39% 24.78% 20.83%+0.72 -39.8 8
2008-02-20 @ Skenderbeu W 2-043.7 1010 1047 20.83% 24.78% 54.39%-0.72 +39.8 16
2008-02-22 KF Elbasani W 1-041.4 1254 1315 42.12% 25.64% 32.24%+0.19 +13.8 31
2008-02-22 @ Shkumbini L 0-141.4 1315 1254 32.24% 25.64% 42.12%-0.19 -13.8 33
2008-02-22 KF Tirana D 0-049.6 1146 1363 22.24% 24.96% 52.80%-0.65 +3.0 19
2008-02-22 @ Teuta D 0-049.6 1363 1146 52.80% 24.96% 22.24%+0.65 -3.0 34
2008-02-23 Besa D 2-259.9 1049 1218 27.64% 25.44% 46.92%-0.39 +1.2 17
2008-02-23 @ Beselidhja D 2-259.9 1218 1049 46.92% 25.44% 27.64%+0.39 -1.2 32
2008-02-23 Dinamo Tirana W 1-044.0 1333 1412 39.73% 25.69% 34.58%+0.10 +14.6 39
2008-02-23 @ Partizani L 0-144.0 1412 1333 34.58% 25.69% 39.73%-0.10 -14.6 42
2008-02-23 Flamurtari L 0-142.7 1116 1204 38.47% 25.70% 35.83%+0.05 -15.8 23
2008-02-23 @ Kastrioti W 1-042.7 1204 1116 35.83% 25.70% 38.47%-0.05 +15.8 28
2008-02-23 Skenderbeu W 2-027.7 1298 1007 74.51% 19.18% 6.31%+2.09 +5.6 35
2008-02-23 @ Vllaznia L 0-227.7 1007 1298 6.31% 19.18% 74.51%-2.09 -5.6 8
2008-03-01 Beselidhja L 1-257.1 1302 1051 72.10% 20.27% 7.63%+1.87 -25.6 33
2008-03-01 @ KF Elbasani W 2-157.1 1051 1302 7.63% 20.27% 72.10%-1.87 +25.6 20
2008-03-01 Kastrioti W 2-038.9 1002 1100 36.92% 25.70% 37.37%-0.01 +29.2 11
2008-03-01 @ Skenderbeu L 0-238.9 1100 1002 37.37% 25.70% 36.92%+0.01 -29.2 23
2008-03-01 Partizani L 1-447.6 1360 1348 51.59% 25.08% 23.33%+0.59 -46.5 34
2008-03-01 @ KF Tirana W 4-147.6 1348 1360 23.33% 25.08% 51.59%-0.59 +46.5 42
2008-03-01 Shkumbini W 1-035.8 1398 1267 63.31% 23.18% 13.51%+1.22 +6.5 45
2008-03-01 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-135.8 1267 1398 13.51% 23.18% 63.31%-1.22 -6.5 31
2008-03-01 Teuta D 2-260.4 1220 1149 57.94% 24.27% 17.79%+0.91 -2.7 29
2008-03-01 @ Flamurtari D 2-260.4 1149 1220 17.79% 24.27% 57.94%-0.91 +2.7 20
2008-03-01 Vllaznia W 1-042.3 1217 1304 38.60% 25.70% 35.70%+0.05 +15.0 35
2008-03-01 @ Besa L 0-142.3 1304 1217 35.70% 25.70% 38.60%-0.05 -15.0 35
2008-03-08 Beselidhja W 1-030.9 1394 1076 76.01% 18.44% 5.56%+2.23 +2.6 45
2008-03-08 @ Partizani L 0-130.9 1076 1394 5.56% 18.44% 76.01%-2.23 -2.6 20
2008-03-08 Flamurtari W 1-035.8 1314 1217 60.33% 23.84% 15.83%+1.04 +7.6 37
2008-03-08 @ KF Tirana L 0-135.8 1217 1314 15.83% 23.84% 60.33%-1.04 -7.6 29
2008-03-08 Kastrioti W 1-033.7 1232 1071 65.80% 22.51% 11.69%+1.39 +5.7 38
2008-03-08 @ Besa L 0-133.7 1071 1232 11.69% 22.51% 65.80%-1.39 -5.7 23
2008-03-08 Shkumbini W 1-038.4 1276 1261 51.87% 25.06% 23.07%+0.60 +10.6 36
2008-03-08 @ KF Elbasani L 0-138.4 1261 1276 23.07% 25.06% 51.87%-0.60 -10.6 31
2008-03-08 Teuta L 1-255.6 1289 1151 63.97% 23.01% 13.02%+1.26 -23.1 35
2008-03-08 @ Vllaznia W 2-155.6 1151 1289 13.02% 23.01% 63.97%-1.26 +23.1 23
2008-03-09 Skenderbeu W 3-132.3 1404 1031 78.85% 16.88% 4.27%+2.53 +3.2 48
2008-03-09 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-332.3 1031 1404 4.27% 16.88% 78.85%-2.53 -3.1 11
2008-03-22 Dinamo Tirana W 1-049.8 1074 1407 12.94% 22.99% 64.07%-1.27 +24.5 23
2008-03-22 @ Beselidhja L 0-149.8 1407 1074 64.07% 22.99% 12.94%+1.27 -24.5 48
2008-03-23 Besa W 2-145.5 1210 1238 46.62% 25.46% 27.92%+0.37 +11.7 32
2008-03-23 @ Flamurtari L 1-245.5 1238 1210 27.92% 25.46% 46.62%-0.37 -11.7 38
2008-03-23 KF Tirana W 1-041.8 1250 1321 40.84% 25.67% 33.49%+0.14 +14.2 34
2008-03-23 @ Shkumbini L 0-141.8 1321 1250 33.49% 25.67% 40.84%-0.14 -14.3 37
2008-03-23 Partizani L 1-244.0 1174 1397 21.76% 24.90% 53.34%-0.67 -9.5 23
2008-03-23 @ Teuta W 2-144.0 1397 1174 53.34% 24.90% 21.76%+0.67 +9.5 48
2008-03-23 Skenderbeu W 4-025.9 1287 1028 72.59% 20.06% 7.35%+1.91 +12.6 39
2008-03-23 @ KF Elbasani L 0-425.9 1028 1287 7.35% 20.06% 72.59%-1.91 -12.6 11
2008-03-23 Vllaznia L 0-138.2 1066 1266 24.03% 25.15% 50.82%-0.56 -11.0 23
2008-03-23 @ Kastrioti W 1-038.2 1266 1066 50.82% 25.15% 24.03%+0.56 +11.0 38
2008-03-28 KF Elbasani W 2-144.9 1307 1299 51.05% 25.13% 23.82%+0.57 +10.3 40
2008-03-28 @ KF Tirana L 1-244.9 1299 1307 23.82% 25.13% 51.05%-0.57 -10.3 39
2008-03-29 Beselidhja L 0-239.4 1015 1098 39.18% 25.69% 35.13%+0.08 -30.2 11
2008-03-29 @ Skenderbeu W 2-039.4 1098 1015 35.13% 25.69% 39.18%-0.08 +30.2 26
2008-03-29 Flamurtari W 2-033.5 1277 1221 56.32% 24.52% 19.16%+0.82 +17.0 41
2008-03-29 @ Vllaznia L 0-233.5 1221 1277 19.16% 24.52% 56.32%-0.82 -17.0 32
2008-03-29 Kastrioti D 0-051.7 1406 1055 77.77% 17.49% 4.74%+2.41 -7.6 49
2008-03-29 @ Partizani D 0-051.7 1055 1406 4.74% 17.49% 77.77%-2.41 +7.7 24
2008-03-29 Shkumbini W 3-034.8 1226 1265 45.24% 25.53% 29.23%+0.32 +35.1 41
2008-03-29 @ Besa L 0-334.8 1265 1226 29.23% 25.53% 45.24%-0.32 -35.1 34
2008-03-30 Teuta W 2-138.9 1383 1165 69.94% 21.13% 8.92%+1.69 +4.1 51
2008-03-30 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-238.9 1165 1383 8.92% 21.13% 69.94%-1.69 -4.1 23
2008-04-05 Besa W 3-140.3 1289 1261 53.31% 24.90% 21.78%+0.67 +16.5 42
2008-04-05 @ KF Elbasani L 1-340.3 1261 1289 21.78% 24.90% 53.31%-0.67 -16.5 41
2008-04-05 Beselidhja W 2-033.9 1161 1128 53.83% 24.84% 21.32%+0.70 +18.7 26
2008-04-05 @ Teuta L 0-233.9 1128 1161 21.32% 24.84% 53.83%-0.70 -18.7 26
2008-04-05 Dinamo Tirana W 1-049.6 1062 1387 13.51% 23.18% 63.31%-1.22 +24.3 27
2008-04-05 @ Kastrioti L 0-149.6 1387 1062 63.31% 23.18% 13.51%+1.22 -24.2 51
2008-04-05 Partizani W 3-041.5 1204 1399 24.72% 25.22% 50.06%-0.52 +53.7 35
2008-04-05 @ Flamurtari L 0-341.5 1399 1204 50.06% 25.22% 24.72%+0.52 -53.7 49
2008-04-05 Skenderbeu W 4-024.6 1317 985 76.79% 18.03% 5.19%+2.31 +8.6 43
2008-04-05 @ KF Tirana L 0-424.6 985 1317 5.19% 18.03% 76.79%-2.31 -8.6 11
2008-04-05 Vllaznia W 3-252.0 1229 1294 41.74% 25.65% 32.61%+0.18 +12.5 37
2008-04-05 @ Shkumbini L 2-352.0 1294 1229 32.61% 25.65% 41.74%-0.18 -12.5 41
2008-04-12 Flamurtari W 6-031.4 1362 1258 61.07% 23.69% 15.25%+1.08 +38.5 54
2008-04-12 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-631.4 1258 1362 15.25% 23.69% 61.07%-1.08 -38.5 35
2008-04-12 Kastrioti D 1-154.3 1110 1086 52.79% 24.96% 22.24%+0.65 -2.7 27
2008-04-12 @ Beselidhja D 1-154.3 1086 1110 22.24% 24.96% 52.79%-0.65 +2.7 28
2008-04-12 KF Elbasani D 0-049.9 1282 1305 47.15% 25.42% 27.43%+0.39 -1.8 42
2008-04-12 @ Vllaznia D 0-049.9 1305 1282 27.43% 25.42% 47.15%-0.39 +1.9 43
2008-04-12 KF Tirana W 2-148.2 1245 1326 39.41% 25.69% 34.90%+0.09 +13.9 44
2008-04-12 @ Besa L 1-248.2 1326 1245 34.90% 25.69% 39.41%-0.09 -13.9 43
2008-04-12 Shkumbini W 2-032.5 1345 1242 60.93% 23.72% 15.35%+1.08 +13.9 52
2008-04-12 @ Partizani L 0-232.5 1242 1345 15.35% 23.72% 60.93%-1.08 -13.9 37
2008-04-12 Teuta L 0-234.6 976 1179 23.75% 25.13% 51.13%-0.57 -20.4 11
2008-04-12 @ Skenderbeu W 2-034.6 1179 976 51.13% 25.13% 23.75%+0.57 +20.5 29
2008-04-19 Beselidhja D 0-049.7 1220 1107 61.80% 23.53% 14.67%+1.13 -4.8 36
2008-04-19 @ Flamurtari D 0-049.7 1107 1220 14.67% 23.53% 61.80%-1.13 +4.8 28
2008-04-19 Dinamo Tirana D 0-050.2 1228 1401 27.14% 25.41% 47.45%-0.41 +1.9 38
2008-04-19 @ Shkumbini D 0-050.2 1401 1228 47.45% 25.41% 27.14%+0.41 -1.9 55
2008-04-19 Partizani D 0-050.5 1307 1359 43.51% 25.60% 30.90%+0.25 -1.2 44
2008-04-19 @ KF Elbasani D 0-050.5 1359 1307 30.90% 25.60% 43.51%-0.25 +1.2 53
2008-04-19 Skenderbeu W 1-030.8 1259 956 75.16% 18.86% 5.98%+2.15 +2.8 47
2008-04-19 @ Besa L 0-130.8 956 1259 5.98% 18.86% 75.16%-2.15 -2.8 11
2008-04-19 Teuta D 0-049.0 1089 1200 35.23% 25.70% 39.08%-0.07 +0.3 29
2008-04-19 @ Kastrioti D 0-049.0 1200 1089 39.08% 25.70% 35.23%+0.07 -0.4 30
2008-04-19 Vllaznia W 5-135.7 1312 1280 53.83% 24.84% 21.32%+0.70 +29.6 46
2008-04-19 @ KF Tirana L 1-535.7 1280 1312 21.32% 24.84% 53.83%-0.70 -29.5 42
2008-04-26 Besa L 2-356.7 1250 1261 48.73% 25.32% 25.95%+0.46 -17.1 42
2008-04-26 @ Vllaznia W 3-256.7 1261 1250 25.95% 25.32% 48.73%-0.46 +17.1 50
2008-04-26 Flamurtari D 1-154.4 1200 1215 48.23% 25.36% 26.42%+0.44 -1.8 31
2008-04-26 @ Teuta D 1-154.4 1215 1200 26.42% 25.36% 48.23%-0.44 +1.8 37
2008-04-26 Kastrioti L 0-237.1 953 1089 31.73% 25.62% 42.65%-0.21 -25.8 11
2008-04-26 @ Skenderbeu W 2-037.1 1089 953 42.65% 25.62% 31.73%+0.21 +25.8 32
2008-04-26 KF Elbasani W 3-139.6 1399 1306 60.01% 23.90% 16.09%+1.02 +12.6 58
2008-04-26 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-339.6 1306 1399 16.09% 23.90% 60.01%-1.02 -12.6 44
2008-04-26 KF Tirana W 2-145.5 1360 1342 52.25% 25.02% 22.74%+0.62 +9.9 56
2008-04-26 @ Partizani L 1-245.5 1342 1360 22.74% 25.02% 52.25%-0.62 -9.9 46
2008-04-26 Shkumbini L 0-238.0 1112 1230 34.21% 25.68% 40.11%-0.11 -27.3 28
2008-04-26 @ Beselidhja W 2-038.0 1230 1112 40.11% 25.68% 34.21%+0.11 +27.3 41
2008-05-03 Beselidhja W 3-027.3 1293 1084 69.33% 21.36% 9.31%+1.65 +12.4 47
2008-05-03 @ KF Elbasani L 0-327.3 1084 1293 9.31% 21.36% 69.33%-1.65 -12.4 28
2008-05-03 Dinamo Tirana L 1-251.4 1332 1412 39.62% 25.69% 34.69%+0.09 -15.2 46
2008-05-03 @ KF Tirana W 2-151.4 1412 1332 34.69% 25.69% 39.62%-0.09 +15.2 61
2008-05-03 Kastrioti W 1-035.2 1217 1115 60.78% 23.75% 15.47%+1.07 +7.5 40
2008-05-03 @ Flamurtari L 0-135.2 1115 1217 15.47% 23.75% 60.78%-1.07 -7.5 32
2008-05-03 Partizani L 0-143.8 1278 1370 37.98% 25.70% 36.32%+0.03 -15.7 50
2008-05-03 @ Besa W 1-043.8 1370 1278 36.32% 25.70% 37.98%-0.03 +15.7 59
2008-05-03 Skenderbeu W 2-136.6 1233 927 75.33% 18.78% 5.89%+2.17 +2.6 45
2008-05-03 @ Vllaznia L 1-236.6 927 1233 5.89% 18.78% 75.33%-2.17 -2.6 11
2008-05-03 Teuta W 3-031.2 1257 1198 56.72% 24.46% 18.82%+0.84 +24.4 44
2008-05-03 @ Shkumbini L 0-331.2 1198 1257 18.82% 24.46% 56.72%-0.84 -24.4 31
2008-05-10 Besa W 2-031.9 1427 1263 66.06% 22.43% 11.50%+1.40 +10.6 64
2008-05-10 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-231.9 1263 1427 11.50% 22.43% 66.06%-1.40 -10.6 50
2008-05-10 Flamurtari L 1-434.3 925 1224 15.21% 23.68% 61.12%-1.09 -16.9 11
2008-05-10 @ Skenderbeu W 4-134.3 1224 925 61.12% 23.68% 15.21%+1.09 +16.9 43
2008-05-10 KF Elbasani D 1-154.4 1173 1306 32.26% 25.64% 42.10%-0.19 +0.8 32
2008-05-10 @ Teuta D 1-154.4 1306 1173 42.10% 25.64% 32.26%+0.19 -0.8 48
2008-05-10 KF Tirana W 1-047.6 1072 1317 19.66% 24.60% 55.73%-0.79 +21.6 31
2008-05-10 @ Beselidhja L 0-147.6 1317 1072 55.73% 24.60% 19.66%+0.79 -21.6 46
2008-05-10 Shkumbini W 1-045.4 1108 1282 27.06% 25.40% 47.54%-0.41 +18.8 35
2008-05-10 @ Kastrioti L 0-145.4 1282 1108 47.54% 25.40% 27.06%+0.41 -18.8 44
2008-05-10 Vllaznia W 2-031.5 1386 1236 64.94% 22.75% 12.30%+1.33 +11.3 62
2008-05-10 @ Partizani L 0-231.5 1236 1386 12.30% 22.75% 64.94%-1.33 -11.3 45
2008-05-14 Beselidhja W 2-030.4 1252 1094 65.63% 22.56% 11.81%+1.37 +10.8 53
2008-05-14 @ Besa L 0-230.4 1094 1252 11.81% 22.56% 65.63%-1.37 -10.8 31
2008-05-14 Dinamo Tirana L 0-333.7 1224 1438 22.70% 25.01% 52.29%-0.62 -28.6 45
2008-05-14 @ Vllaznia W 3-033.7 1438 1224 52.29% 25.01% 22.70%+0.62 +28.6 67
2008-05-14 Flamurtari W 1-038.0 1263 1241 52.64% 24.98% 22.38%+0.64 +10.3 47
2008-05-14 @ Shkumbini L 0-138.0 1241 1263 22.38% 24.98% 52.64%-0.64 -10.3 43
2008-05-14 Kastrioti W 5-235.0 1305 1127 67.15% 22.10% 10.75%+1.48 +10.5 51
2008-05-14 @ KF Elbasani L 2-535.0 1127 1305 10.75% 22.10% 67.15%-1.48 -10.5 35
2008-05-14 Skenderbeu W 2-024.8 1397 908 83.89% 13.67% 2.43%+3.15 +1.9 65
2008-05-14 @ Partizani L 0-224.8 908 1397 2.43% 13.67% 83.89%-3.15 -1.9 11
2008-05-14 Teuta L 1-255.3 1295 1174 62.52% 23.37% 14.11%+1.17 -22.6 46
2008-05-14 @ KF Tirana W 2-155.3 1174 1295 14.11% 23.37% 62.52%-1.17 +22.6 35
2008-05-17 Besa L 3-550.8 1197 1263 41.51% 25.66% 32.84%+0.17 -23.2 35
2008-05-17 @ Teuta W 5-350.8 1263 1197 32.84% 25.66% 41.51%-0.17 +23.2 56
2008-05-17 KF Elbasani D 2-260.4 1231 1315 38.92% 25.70% 35.38%+0.07 -0.2 44
2008-05-17 @ Flamurtari D 2-260.4 1315 1231 35.38% 25.70% 38.92%-0.07 +0.2 52
2008-05-17 KF Tirana L 1-245.8 1116 1272 29.18% 25.52% 45.30%-0.32 -12.1 35
2008-05-17 @ Kastrioti W 2-145.8 1272 1116 45.30% 25.52% 29.18%+0.32 +12.1 49
2008-05-17 Partizani W 2-147.3 1466 1399 57.52% 24.34% 18.14%+0.88 +8.1 70
2008-05-17 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-247.3 1399 1466 18.14% 24.34% 57.52%-0.88 -8.1 65
2008-05-17 Shkumbini L 1-335.7 906 1273 11.04% 22.23% 66.73%-1.45 -8.8 11
2008-05-17 @ Skenderbeu W 3-135.7 1273 906 66.73% 22.23% 11.04%+1.45 +8.8 50
2008-05-17 Vllaznia W 4-248.6 1083 1196 34.93% 25.69% 39.38%-0.08 +23.5 34
2008-05-17 @ Beselidhja L 2-448.6 1196 1083 39.38% 25.69% 34.93%+0.08 -23.5 45

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2008-03-01 7.63% Beselidhja 1051 2 @ KF Elbasani 1302 1
2 2007-09-22 8.88% Beselidhja 1058 1 @ KF Tirana 1277 0
3 2007-12-01 11.77% Teuta 1124 1 @ Besa 1284 0
4 2007-09-28 12.39% Flamurtari 1190 1 @ Dinamo Tirana 1339 0
5 2008-03-22 12.94% @ Beselidhja 1074 1 Dinamo Tirana 1407 0
6 2008-03-08 13.02% Teuta 1151 2 @ Vllaznia 1289 1
7 2008-04-05 13.51% @ Kastrioti 1062 1 Dinamo Tirana 1387 0
8 2008-05-14 14.11% Teuta 1174 2 @ KF Tirana 1295 1
9 2007-11-25 15.15% Skenderbeu 1063 2 @ Teuta 1169 0
10 2007-11-03 16.13% KF Tirana 1231 2 @ Dinamo Tirana 1323 0
11 2007-09-02 17.21% Besa 1235 1 @ Teuta 1314 0
12 2008-05-10 19.66% @ Beselidhja 1072 1 KF Tirana 1317 0
13 2008-02-20 20.83% Beselidhja 1010 2 @ Skenderbeu 1047 0
14 2007-09-01 23.18% Dinamo Tirana 1272 1 @ Vllaznia 1286 0
15 2008-03-01 23.33% Partizani 1348 4 @ KF Tirana 1360 1
16 2008-04-05 24.72% @ Flamurtari 1204 3 Partizani 1399 0
17 2007-09-21 25.86% KF Elbasani 1220 1 @ Flamurtari 1210 0
18 2008-04-26 25.95% Besa 1261 3 @ Vllaznia 1250 2
19 2008-02-02 26.91% @ Kastrioti 1143 3 Vllaznia 1318 1
20 2008-05-10 27.06% @ Kastrioti 1108 1 Shkumbini 1282 0
21 2007-09-15 27.47% @ Skenderbeu 1134 4 KF Tirana 1304 2
22 2007-12-16 29.33% @ Shkumbini 1182 4 Vllaznia 1337 0
23 2007-12-08 29.80% @ Beselidhja 1047 2 Shkumbini 1199 1
24 2007-09-22 30.06% Dinamo Tirana 1321 1 @ Teuta 1276 0
25 2007-10-31 31.96% Vllaznia 1281 3 @ Teuta 1221 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-12-16 64.22 @ Shkumbini 4 1182 29.33% Vllaznia 0 1337 45.14% 25.53%
2 2008-04-05 53.68 @ Flamurtari 3 1204 24.72% Partizani 0 1399 50.06% 25.22%
3 2007-10-31 46.73 Vllaznia 3 1281 31.96% @ Teuta 0 1221 42.41% 25.63%
4 2008-03-01 46.47 Partizani 4 1348 23.33% @ KF Tirana 1 1360 51.59% 25.08%
5 2007-11-25 44.33 Skenderbeu 2 1063 15.15% @ Teuta 0 1169 61.18% 23.66%
6 2007-11-03 43.50 KF Tirana 2 1231 16.13% @ Dinamo Tirana 0 1323 59.96% 23.91%
7 2008-02-20 39.79 Beselidhja 2 1010 20.83% @ Skenderbeu 0 1047 54.39% 24.78%
8 2008-04-12 38.50 @ Dinamo Tirana 6 1362 61.07% Flamurtari 0 1258 15.25% 23.69%
9 2007-12-08 35.20 Dinamo Tirana 3 1323 45.18% @ Kastrioti 0 1167 29.30% 25.53%
10 2008-02-09 35.17 KF Tirana 3 1329 45.21% @ Kastrioti 0 1174 29.26% 25.53%
11 2008-03-29 35.14 @ Besa 3 1226 45.24% Shkumbini 0 1265 29.23% 25.53%
12 2007-12-28 33.94 @ Vllaznia 4 1284 39.43% KF Tirana 1 1365 34.88% 25.69%
13 2007-09-29 32.55 @ Partizani 4 1312 56.15% Teuta 0 1258 19.31% 24.54%
14 2007-12-01 31.30 KF Tirana 2 1300 33.38% @ Shkumbini 0 1230 40.96% 25.67%
15 2007-11-03 31.09 @ Shkumbini 2 1197 33.71% Besa 0 1318 40.62% 25.67%
16 2008-02-02 30.70 @ Kastrioti 3 1143 26.91% Vllaznia 1 1318 47.70% 25.39%
17 2008-03-29 30.25 Beselidhja 2 1098 35.13% @ Skenderbeu 0 1015 39.18% 25.69%
18 2008-04-19 29.55 @ KF Tirana 5 1312 53.83% Vllaznia 1 1280 21.32% 24.84%
19 2007-09-15 29.18 @ Dinamo Tirana 4 1292 58.80% Kastrioti 0 1212 17.07% 24.12%
20 2008-03-01 29.18 @ Skenderbeu 2 1002 36.92% Kastrioti 0 1100 37.37% 25.70%
21 2008-05-14 28.62 Dinamo Tirana 3 1438 52.29% @ Vllaznia 0 1224 22.70% 25.01%
22 2008-04-26 27.31 Shkumbini 2 1230 40.11% @ Beselidhja 0 1112 34.21% 25.68%
23 2007-09-15 27.17 @ Skenderbeu 4 1134 27.47% KF Tirana 2 1304 47.10% 25.43%
24 2007-09-22 26.52 Beselidhja 1 1058 8.88% @ KF Tirana 0 1277 70.02% 21.11%
25 2007-11-07 26.18 @ Dinamo Tirana 2 1280 41.99% Partizani 0 1342 32.36% 25.64%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-02-09 64.5 @ Partizani 3 1334 63.50% Besa 3 1201 13.37% 23.13%
2 2008-02-02 61.3 @ KF Tirana 2 1331 52.47% KF Elbasani 2 1311 22.53% 24.99%
3 2007-12-15 60.6 @ KF Elbasani 2 1285 58.11% Flamurtari 2 1212 17.65% 24.24%
4 2008-03-01 60.4 @ Flamurtari 2 1220 57.94% Teuta 2 1149 17.79% 24.27%
5 2008-05-17 60.4 @ Flamurtari 2 1231 38.92% KF Elbasani 2 1315 35.38% 25.70%
6 2008-02-17 60.2 @ Flamurtari 2 1204 37.59% Vllaznia 2 1298 36.71% 25.70%
7 2007-09-28 60.0 @ Beselidhja 2 1085 25.81% Vllaznia 2 1269 48.88% 25.31%
8 2008-02-09 60.0 @ Beselidhja 2 1008 24.29% Flamurtari 2 1206 50.53% 25.18%
9 2008-02-23 59.9 @ Beselidhja 2 1049 27.64% Besa 2 1218 46.92% 25.44%
10 2008-03-01 57.1 Beselidhja 2 1051 7.63% @ KF Elbasani 1 1302 72.10% 20.27%
11 2008-04-26 56.7 Besa 3 1261 25.95% @ Vllaznia 2 1250 48.73% 25.32%
12 2007-12-08 55.7 @ Vllaznia 1 1339 51.64% Partizani 1 1326 23.28% 25.08%
13 2008-03-08 55.6 Teuta 2 1151 13.02% @ Vllaznia 1 1289 63.97% 23.01%
14 2007-11-10 55.5 @ Vllaznia 1 1332 54.13% Besa 1 1297 21.06% 24.81%
15 2007-11-03 55.3 @ Vllaznia 1 1328 62.01% Flamurtari 1 1213 14.51% 23.48%
16 2008-05-14 55.3 Teuta 2 1174 14.11% @ KF Tirana 1 1295 62.52% 23.37%
17 2007-10-31 54.9 @ Flamurtari 1 1218 64.01% Beselidhja 1 1079 12.99% 23.00%
18 2007-10-21 54.7 @ KF Elbasani 1 1252 52.38% KF Tirana 1 1232 22.61% 25.00%
19 2007-11-25 54.7 @ Shkumbini 1 1230 39.21% Partizani 1 1313 35.09% 25.69%
20 2007-10-05 54.6 @ Teuta 1 1226 55.35% Shkumbini 1 1179 20.00% 24.65%
21 2007-12-23 54.6 @ Teuta 1 1131 23.88% Partizani 1 1333 50.98% 25.14%
22 2008-04-26 54.4 @ Teuta 1 1200 48.23% Flamurtari 1 1215 26.42% 25.36%
23 2008-05-10 54.4 @ Teuta 1 1173 32.26% KF Elbasani 1 1306 42.10% 25.64%
24 2007-09-21 54.3 @ Skenderbeu 1 1161 34.57% Besa 1 1276 39.74% 25.69%
25 2008-04-12 54.3 @ Beselidhja 1 1110 52.79% Kastrioti 1 1086 22.24% 24.96%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-04-05 24.6 @ KF Tirana 4 1317 76.79% Skenderbeu 0 985 5.19% 18.03%
2 2008-05-14 24.8 @ Partizani 2 1397 83.89% Skenderbeu 0 908 2.43% 13.67%
3 2008-03-23 25.9 @ KF Elbasani 4 1287 72.59% Skenderbeu 0 1028 7.35% 20.06%
4 2007-12-01 26.0 @ Partizani 4 1313 72.23% Beselidhja 0 1060 7.56% 20.22%
5 2007-12-22 26.9 @ Vllaznia 3 1273 70.37% Beselidhja 0 1048 8.66% 20.97%
6 2007-10-21 27.0 @ Partizani 4 1344 69.85% Skenderbeu 0 1128 8.98% 21.17%
7 2007-12-28 27.1 @ Dinamo Tirana 7 1374 74.67% Skenderbeu 0 1080 6.23% 19.10%
8 2008-05-03 27.3 @ KF Elbasani 3 1293 69.33% Beselidhja 0 1084 9.31% 21.36%
9 2008-02-23 27.7 @ Vllaznia 2 1298 74.51% Skenderbeu 0 1007 6.31% 19.18%
10 2007-08-25 28.1 @ Dinamo Tirana 4 1251 65.34% Beselidhja 0 1096 12.01% 22.64%
11 2007-11-07 29.8 @ Besa 2 1287 67.72% Beselidhja 0 1101 10.36% 21.92%
12 2007-09-15 30.4 @ Dinamo Tirana 4 1292 58.80% Kastrioti 0 1212 17.07% 24.12%
13 2008-05-14 30.4 @ Besa 2 1252 65.63% Beselidhja 0 1094 11.81% 22.56%
14 2007-09-29 30.6 @ KF Elbasani 3 1239 58.55% Skenderbeu 0 1161 17.28% 24.17%
15 2008-02-09 30.6 @ Vllaznia 2 1287 65.18% Teuta 0 1134 12.13% 22.69%
16 2007-12-15 30.8 @ Besa 2 1245 64.25% Skenderbeu 0 1103 12.81% 22.94%
17 2008-04-19 30.8 @ Besa 1 1259 75.16% Skenderbeu 0 956 5.98% 18.86%
18 2008-03-08 30.9 @ Partizani 1 1394 76.01% Beselidhja 0 1076 5.56% 18.44%
19 2008-05-03 31.2 @ Shkumbini 3 1257 56.72% Teuta 0 1198 18.82% 24.46%
20 2008-04-12 31.4 @ Dinamo Tirana 6 1362 61.07% Flamurtari 0 1258 15.25% 23.69%
21 2007-09-29 31.5 @ Partizani 4 1312 56.15% Teuta 0 1258 19.31% 24.54%
22 2008-05-10 31.5 @ Partizani 2 1386 64.94% Vllaznia 0 1236 12.30% 22.75%
23 2007-12-29 31.6 @ Shkumbini 2 1245 61.73% Teuta 0 1134 14.72% 23.54%
24 2008-02-02 31.8 @ Teuta 2 1120 60.48% Beselidhja 0 1022 15.71% 23.81%
25 2008-05-10 31.9 @ Dinamo Tirana 2 1427 66.06% Besa 0 1263 11.50% 22.43%