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2008-09 Kategoria Superiore Season

198 games

Final

Champion

KF Tirana

68 points · 24th Title

Last Title: 2006-07

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Vllaznia

12.87 points above expected

64 points · 51.13 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

KF Elbasani

9.64 points below expected

35 points · 44.64 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 KF Tirana Champion 33 19 11 3 68 58 27 +31 55.33 +12.67
2 Vllaznia 33 19 7 7 64 49 29 +20 51.13 +12.87
3 Dinamo Tirana 33 14 10 9 52 48 34 +14 57.12 -5.12
4 Teuta 33 12 8 13 44 32 34 -2 45.94 -1.94
5 Shkumbini 33 12 8 13 44 32 38 -6 46.50 -2.50
6 Flamurtari 33 10 12 11 42 33 33 0 42.73 -0.73
7 Besa 33 10 10 13 40 31 41 -10 45.53 -5.53
8 Apolonia 33 11 5 17 38 36 43 -7 39.34 -1.34
9 Bylis 33 9 10 14 37 28 38 -10 31.47 +5.53
10 Partizani 33 9 9 15 36 27 36 -9 43.75 -7.75
11 Lushnja 33 8 12 13 36 25 35 -10 34.12 +1.88
12 KF Elbasani 33 7 14 12 35 28 39 -11 44.64 -9.64

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vllaznia 64 51.13 +12.87
2 KF Tirana 68 55.33 +12.67
3 Bylis 37 31.47 +5.53
4 Lushnja 36 34.12 +1.88
5 Flamurtari 42 42.73 -0.73

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 KF Elbasani 35 44.64 -9.64
2 Partizani 36 43.75 -7.75
3 Besa 40 45.53 -5.53
4 Dinamo Tirana 52 57.12 -5.12
5 Shkumbini 44 46.50 -2.50

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bylis 3 May 9 – May 23 1 in 82
2 Apolonia 4 Dec 20 – Feb 4 1 in 81
3 KF Tirana 4 Aug 30 – Sep 27 1 in 52
4 Partizani 3 Dec 27 – Feb 4 1 in 26
5 Teuta 3 Oct 3 – Oct 25 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shkumbini 5 Apr 25 – May 23 1 in 117
2 Teuta 3 Dec 20 – Jan 31 1 in 68
3 Apolonia 6 Feb 15 – Mar 21 1 in 67
4 Dinamo Tirana 3 May 9 – May 23 1 in 33
5 Bylis 4 Dec 21 – Feb 4 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KF Tirana 17 Dec 27 – May 23 1 in 99
2 Flamurtari 7 Apr 11 – May 23 1 in 26
3 Lushnja 5 Apr 25 – May 23 1 in 23
4 Teuta 7 Sep 21 – Nov 8 1 in 20
5 Bylis 4 Oct 4 – Nov 1 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Partizani 15 Aug 31 – Dec 20 1 in 1,811
2 Teuta 7 Dec 13 – Feb 22 1 in 43
3 Besa 8 Apr 5 – May 23 1 in 34
4 KF Elbasani 9 Feb 4 – Apr 11 1 in 27
5 Flamurtari 7 Dec 27 – Mar 7 1 in 21

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
KF Tirana 1396 68 +36 13 8.8 +4.2
Vllaznia 1328 64 +15 10 8.0 +2.0
Dinamo Tirana 1294 52 -47 4 8.6 -4.6
Teuta 1196 44 -50 3 7.1 -4.1
Shkumbini 1172 44 -78 0 5.7 -5.7
Flamurtari 1222 42 +52 11 6.3 +4.7
Besa 1149 40 -83 1 6.1 -5.1
Apolonia 1206 38 +72 12 6.4 +5.6
Bylis 1196 37 +98 12 5.0 +7.0
Lushnja 1169 36 +14 7 6.1 +0.9
Partizani 1200 36 -17 6 7.4 -1.4
KF Elbasani 1161 35 -12 5 6.1 -1.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team APO BES BYL DT FLA KE KT LUS PAR SHK TEU VLL
Apolonia —
2-0-1
2.94
1-1-1
5.14
0-0-3
2.32
1-2-0
3.14
1-2-0
3.81
0-0-3
2.60
1-0-2
3.81
2-0-1
3.00
1-0-2
3.97
2-0-1
3.68
0-0-3
3.46
Besa
1-0-2
5.18
—
2-0-1
4.83
0-2-1
3.51
0-0-3
3.70
2-1-0
4.41
0-2-1
3.49
1-2-0
5.41
0-2-1
3.92
1-0-2
3.54
2-1-0
4.54
1-0-2
3.42
Bylis
1-1-1
3.00
1-0-2
3.28
—
2-0-1
2.45
0-3-0
3.49
0-1-2
2.57
0-2-1
2.44
1-1-1
3.25
1-1-1
3.33
2-0-1
2.49
1-0-2
2.54
0-1-2
2.25
Dinamo Tirana
3-0-0
5.89
1-2-0
4.60
1-0-2
5.75
—
1-1-1
5.11
1-2-0
5.27
0-0-3
4.60
2-1-0
6.14
2-0-1
4.75
2-1-0
5.09
0-2-1
5.50
1-1-1
4.07
Flamurtari
0-2-1
5.00
3-0-0
4.42
0-3-0
4.63
1-1-1
3.02
—
0-2-1
3.60
1-0-2
3.46
1-1-1
4.23
2-0-1
4.53
0-2-1
2.98
1-1-1
3.51
1-0-2
3.21
KF Elbasani
0-2-1
4.30
0-1-2
3.69
2-1-0
5.61
0-2-1
2.89
1-2-0
4.51
—
1-1-1
2.71
1-1-1
4.36
0-1-2
3.73
0-2-1
4.40
2-0-1
4.44
0-1-2
3.98
KF Tirana
3-0-0
5.63
1-2-0
4.61
1-2-0
5.74
3-0-0
3.51
2-0-1
4.65
1-1-1
5.50
—
2-1-0
6.28
1-2-0
4.50
2-1-0
5.28
2-0-1
5.12
1-2-0
4.82
Lushnja
2-0-1
4.30
0-2-1
2.78
1-1-1
4.86
0-1-2
2.12
1-1-1
3.90
1-1-1
3.76
0-1-2
1.98
—
1-1-1
3.72
1-1-1
2.65
1-2-0
2.80
0-1-2
2.44
Partizani
1-0-2
5.14
1-2-0
4.21
1-1-1
4.81
1-0-2
3.36
1-0-2
3.56
2-1-0
4.38
0-2-1
3.59
1-1-1
4.39
—
1-0-2
3.39
0-2-1
3.62
0-0-3
3.42
Shkumbini
2-0-1
4.17
2-0-1
4.57
1-0-2
5.69
0-1-2
3.06
1-2-0
5.18
1-2-0
3.70
0-1-2
2.89
1-1-1
5.51
2-0-1
4.73
—
1-0-2
3.98
1-1-1
3.97
Teuta
1-0-2
4.41
0-1-2
3.58
2-0-1
5.64
1-2-0
2.68
1-1-1
4.61
1-0-2
3.68
1-0-2
3.05
0-2-1
5.36
1-2-0
4.47
2-0-1
4.13
—
2-0-1
3.57
Vllaznia
3-0-0
4.63
2-0-1
4.73
2-1-0
5.96
1-1-1
4.06
2-0-1
4.94
2-1-0
4.09
0-2-1
3.30
2-1-0
5.79
3-0-0
4.77
1-1-1
4.11
1-0-2
4.53
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.90 +10.1
Allowed 0.66 -19.3
Differential 0.95 +7.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.13%12.37%6.82%1.26%0.51%—34.09%
112.37%12.12%7.32%3.03%1.26%0.25%36.36%
26.82%7.32%4.04%1.77%0.51%0.25%20.71%
31.26%3.03%1.77%———6.06%
40.51%1.26%0.51%———2.27%
5+—0.25%0.25%———0.51%
Total34.09%36.36%20.71%6.06%2.27%0.51%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.08 +0.00
SD 1.05 1.05 1.43
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%12.12%3.03%——33.33%
19.09%3.03%15.15%9.09%——36.36%
212.12%—3.03%3.03%——18.18%
3—12.12%————12.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.30%24.24%30.30%15.15%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.30 -0.21
SD 1.01 1.07 1.58
CV 0.93 0.82 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%12.12%9.09%—3.03%—36.36%
115.15%15.15%—6.06%3.03%—39.39%
26.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%—18.18%
33.03%—3.03%———6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.36%30.30%15.15%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.24 -0.30
SD 0.90 1.30 1.53
CV 0.96 1.05 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%21.21%—3.03%——39.39%
112.12%15.15%6.06%—3.03%3.03%39.39%
29.09%3.03%—3.03%—3.03%18.18%
33.03%—————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total39.39%39.39%6.06%6.06%3.03%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.15 -0.30
SD 0.83 1.50 1.61
CV 0.98 1.30 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%9.09%—3.03%——27.27%
16.06%12.12%9.09%———27.27%
212.12%6.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%—27.27%
33.03%6.06%3.03%———12.12%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total36.36%36.36%18.18%6.06%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.03 +0.42
SD 1.28 1.05 1.50
CV 0.88 1.01 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%9.09%9.09%———30.30%
19.09%24.24%9.09%6.06%——48.48%
29.09%6.06%————15.15%
3——3.03%———3.03%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total33.33%39.39%21.21%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.00 +0.00
SD 0.94 0.90 1.37
CV 0.94 0.90 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%15.15%6.06%3.03%——42.42%
19.09%12.12%6.06%3.03%3.03%—33.33%
23.03%6.06%12.12%———21.21%
3——3.03%———3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.30%33.33%27.27%6.06%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.18 -0.33
SD 0.87 1.04 1.16
CV 1.03 0.88 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%3.03%3.03%———24.24%
16.06%9.09%3.03%———18.18%
29.09%15.15%6.06%———30.30%
36.06%9.09%3.03%———18.18%
4—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
5+——3.03%———3.03%
Total39.39%39.39%21.21%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 0.82 +0.94
SD 1.44 0.77 1.32
CV 0.82 0.94 —
Max 6 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%18.18%12.12%———42.42%
112.12%21.21%6.06%—3.03%—42.42%
2—9.09%3.03%———12.12%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total24.24%51.52%21.21%—3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.76 1.06 -0.30
SD 0.79 0.86 1.13
CV 1.05 0.81 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%15.15%9.09%———39.39%
118.18%3.03%15.15%3.03%——39.39%
23.03%6.06%9.09%3.03%——21.21%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total36.36%24.24%33.33%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 1.09 -0.27
SD 0.77 0.98 1.07
CV 0.94 0.90 —
Max 2 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.06%12.12%3.03%——30.30%
121.21%9.09%9.09%9.09%——48.48%
26.06%6.06%6.06%———18.18%
3———————
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total36.36%24.24%27.27%12.12%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.15 -0.18
SD 0.88 1.06 1.45
CV 0.91 0.92 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%15.15%9.09%———36.36%
118.18%12.12%6.06%—3.03%—39.39%
23.03%9.09%—6.06%——18.18%
3——3.03%———3.03%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total36.36%36.36%18.18%6.06%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.03 -0.06
SD 0.98 1.05 1.37
CV 1.01 1.01 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%15.15%——3.03%—27.27%
112.12%9.09%3.03%———24.24%
29.09%18.18%3.03%———30.30%
3—6.06%3.03%———9.09%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+———————
Total30.30%57.58%9.09%—3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 0.88 +0.61
SD 1.25 0.82 1.46
CV 0.84 0.93 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
KF Tirana 1396 68 55.33 +12.67 96.0% 34 41 50 56 60 67 71
Vllaznia 1328 64 51.13 +12.87 96.0% 33 41 47 50 56 62 66
Dinamo Tirana 1294 52 57.12 -5.12 30.0% 33 46 51 57 62 70 79
Flamurtari 1222 42 42.73 -0.73 46.0% 25 30 37 43 48 54 58
Apolonia 1206 38 39.34 -1.34 42.0% 19 27 34 40 45 50 57
Partizani 1200 36 43.75 -7.75 17.0% 30 33 39 43 48 57 63
Teuta 1196 44 45.94 -1.94 43.0% 31 34 41 46 51 57 67
Bylis 1196 37 31.47 +5.53 79.0% 18 20 27 30 36 43 48
Shkumbini 1172 44 46.50 -2.50 38.0% 31 36 42 46 51 57 63
Lushnja 1169 36 34.12 +1.88 61.0% 20 24 30 33 39 44 48
KF Elbasani 1161 35 44.64 -9.64 9.0% 27 33 41 44 49 55 63
Besa 1149 40 45.53 -5.53 21.0% 26 33 41 46 50 57 66

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 27% * Slight Edge: 27% to 33% * Clear Edge: 33% to 40% * Strong Edge: 40% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+29.29%
Slight Edge
50.00%29.29%20.71%
Elo Value
Home Edge
238 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0104.84600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.53 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.44+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.04 * Tight Race: 0.04 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.3
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
35%
KF Tirana, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.12/gm
Comfortable
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.6 * Some Luck: 5.6 to 8.41 * Lucky: 8.41 to 11.21 * Wild Swing: 11.21 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.6 * Close: 1.6 to 2.4 * Off: 2.4 to 3.2 * Way Off: 3.2 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.97 points
Some Luck
07.0118
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.83
Close
02.004
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
96.00%
KF Tirana
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
9.00%
KF Elbasani
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 77.5% * Wide Edge: 77.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 93% * Strong Edge: 93% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 72.5% * Very Frequent: 72.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 10.5% * Occasional: 10.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.12
Even
00.120.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 75.80
1.50
Moderate Separation
0.91.351.82.153
Interquartile Edge
60%
Even
50%63.5%72.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
81%
Even
50%82%100%
Close Games
Expected
72%
Frequent
0%70%100%
Blowouts
Expected 8%
7%
Rare
0%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.56 * Notable Separation: 0.56 to 0.62 * Lopsided: 0.62 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14.5% * Upset-Prone: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 18.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 10.5% * As Expected: 10.5% to 12.5% * Shaky Favorites: 12.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.39
Very Even
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.96
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.15
Weak Carryover
00.410.590.731
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Very Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Very Shaky
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.87
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.73
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.075
Well Within Noise
00.1130.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
KF Tirana35.00%21.00%11.00%11.00%7.00%6.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%—
Vllaznia12.00%18.00%16.00%19.00%12.00%7.00%4.00%7.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%—
Dinamo Tirana40.00%26.00%15.00%4.00%9.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%——
Teuta1.00%10.00%16.00%6.00%9.00%10.00%18.00%8.00%8.00%7.00%7.00%—
Shkumbini4.00%6.00%11.00%14.00%12.00%15.00%9.00%12.00%10.00%3.00%4.00%—
Flamurtari2.00%2.00%5.00%13.00%12.00%11.00%8.00%11.00%12.00%13.00%5.00%6.00%
Besa3.00%3.00%9.00%10.00%13.00%18.00%16.00%6.00%5.00%8.00%7.00%2.00%
Apolonia—2.00%4.00%1.00%7.00%7.00%14.00%13.00%13.00%7.00%20.00%12.00%
Bylis———2.00%1.00%—1.00%4.00%6.00%20.00%18.00%48.00%
Partizani1.00%8.00%5.00%10.00%6.00%14.00%8.00%12.00%15.00%12.00%7.00%2.00%
Lushnja————1.00%2.00%5.00%6.00%15.00%18.00%24.00%29.00%
KF Elbasani2.00%4.00%8.00%10.00%11.00%9.00%10.00%19.00%13.00%7.00%6.00%1.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Dinamo Tirana 98.00% 2.00% —
KF Tirana 97.00% 2.00% 1.00%
Vllaznia 95.00% 4.00% 1.00%
Shkumbini 83.00% 13.00% 4.00%
KF Elbasani 73.00% 20.00% 7.00%
Teuta 78.00% 15.00% 7.00%
Besa 78.00% 13.00% 9.00%
Partizani 64.00% 27.00% 9.00%
Flamurtari 64.00% 25.00% 11.00%
Apolonia 48.00% 20.00% 32.00%
Lushnja 14.00% 33.00% 53.00%
Bylis 8.00% 26.00% 66.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2008-08-24 Apolonia D 0-048.7 1254 1189 56.17% 27.63% 16.20%+0.71 -3.0 1
2008-08-24 @ KF Elbasani D 0-048.7 1189 1254 16.20% 27.63% 56.17%-0.71 +3.0 1
2008-08-24 Bylis W 4-132.1 1241 1115 62.46% 25.10% 12.44%+0.97 +10.8 3
2008-08-24 @ Shkumbini L 1-432.1 1115 1241 12.44% 25.10% 62.46%-0.97 -10.8 0
2008-08-24 Flamurtari L 0-146.3 1240 1225 50.68% 29.24% 20.08%+0.51 -15.2 0
2008-08-24 @ Besa W 1-046.3 1225 1240 20.08% 29.24% 50.68%-0.51 +15.2 3
2008-08-24 KF Tirana D 0-047.9 1209 1242 44.64% 30.39% 24.97%+0.30 -1.4 1
2008-08-24 @ Vllaznia D 0-047.9 1242 1209 24.97% 30.39% 44.64%-0.30 +1.4 1
2008-08-24 Partizani L 0-142.8 1186 1273 37.34% 31.02% 31.64%+0.07 -12.0 0
2008-08-24 @ Lushnja W 1-042.8 1273 1186 31.64% 31.02% 37.34%-0.07 +12.0 3
2008-08-24 Teuta D 0-049.3 1306 1210 59.48% 26.39% 14.13%+0.84 -3.4 1
2008-08-24 @ Dinamo Tirana D 0-049.3 1210 1306 14.13% 26.39% 59.48%-0.84 +3.4 1
2008-08-30 Besa L 2-352.1 1104 1225 32.48% 31.05% 36.47%-0.07 -9.7 0
2008-08-30 @ Bylis W 3-252.1 1225 1104 36.47% 31.05% 32.48%+0.07 +9.7 3
2008-08-30 KF Tirana L 0-144.9 1213 1244 45.02% 30.33% 24.65%+0.31 -13.8 1
2008-08-30 @ Teuta W 1-044.9 1244 1213 24.65% 30.33% 45.02%-0.31 +13.8 4
2008-08-30 Shkumbini W 3-137.8 1303 1252 54.69% 28.12% 17.19%+0.65 +10.6 4
2008-08-30 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-337.8 1252 1303 17.19% 28.12% 54.69%-0.65 -10.6 3
2008-08-31 KF Elbasani L 0-145.6 1240 1251 47.49% 29.92% 22.59%+0.39 -14.4 3
2008-08-31 @ Flamurtari W 1-045.6 1251 1240 22.59% 29.92% 47.49%-0.39 +14.4 4
2008-08-31 Lushnja W 2-032.5 1192 1174 51.05% 29.15% 19.80%+0.52 +13.9 4
2008-08-31 @ Apolonia L 0-232.5 1174 1192 19.80% 29.15% 51.05%-0.52 -13.9 0
2008-08-31 Vllaznia L 1-254.1 1285 1208 57.51% 27.16% 15.34%+0.76 -15.8 3
2008-08-31 @ Partizani W 2-154.1 1208 1285 15.34% 27.16% 57.51%-0.76 +15.8 4
2008-09-14 Apolonia W 3-138.6 1224 1206 50.88% 29.19% 19.93%+0.51 +12.1 7
2008-09-14 @ Vllaznia L 1-338.6 1206 1224 19.93% 29.19% 50.88%-0.51 -12.1 4
2008-09-14 Bylis W 1-032.2 1265 1094 66.62% 23.05% 10.34%+1.16 +3.8 7
2008-09-14 @ KF Elbasani L 0-132.2 1094 1265 10.34% 23.05% 66.62%-1.16 -3.8 0
2008-09-14 Dinamo Tirana D 0-048.1 1235 1313 38.60% 30.96% 30.44%+0.11 -0.5 4
2008-09-14 @ Besa D 0-048.1 1313 1235 30.44% 30.96% 38.60%-0.11 +0.5 5
2008-09-14 Flamurtari W 2-146.4 1160 1226 40.28% 30.86% 28.86%+0.16 +9.4 3
2008-09-14 @ Lushnja L 1-246.4 1226 1160 28.86% 30.86% 40.28%-0.16 -9.4 3
2008-09-14 Partizani W 2-144.6 1257 1269 47.41% 29.94% 22.65%+0.39 +7.8 7
2008-09-14 @ KF Tirana L 1-244.6 1269 1257 22.65% 29.94% 47.41%-0.39 -7.8 3
2008-09-14 Teuta W 1-036.2 1241 1200 53.67% 28.43% 17.89%+0.61 +6.7 6
2008-09-14 @ Shkumbini L 0-136.2 1200 1241 17.89% 28.43% 53.67%-0.61 -6.7 1
2008-09-20 Besa W 1-037.3 1248 1234 50.43% 29.30% 20.27%+0.50 +7.5 9
2008-09-20 @ Shkumbini L 0-137.3 1234 1248 20.27% 29.30% 50.43%-0.50 -7.5 4
2008-09-20 KF Tirana L 0-239.1 1194 1265 39.58% 30.91% 29.51%+0.14 -23.5 4
2008-09-20 @ Apolonia W 2-039.1 1265 1194 29.51% 30.91% 39.58%-0.14 +23.5 10
2008-09-20 Vllaznia W 1-038.4 1216 1236 46.41% 30.12% 23.48%+0.36 +8.5 6
2008-09-20 @ Flamurtari L 0-138.4 1236 1216 23.48% 30.12% 46.41%-0.36 -8.5 7
2008-09-21 KF Elbasani D 0-049.0 1314 1269 54.03% 28.33% 17.64%+0.63 -2.7 6
2008-09-21 @ Dinamo Tirana D 0-049.0 1269 1314 17.64% 28.33% 54.03%-0.63 +2.7 8
2008-09-21 Lushnja W 1-040.5 1090 1169 38.53% 30.97% 30.50%+0.11 +10.4 3
2008-09-21 @ Bylis L 0-140.5 1169 1090 30.50% 30.97% 38.53%-0.11 -10.4 3
2008-09-21 Partizani D 0-047.8 1193 1261 39.98% 30.88% 29.15%+0.15 -0.7 2
2008-09-21 @ Teuta D 0-047.8 1261 1193 29.15% 30.88% 39.98%-0.15 +0.7 4
2008-09-26 Bylis W 1-033.4 1227 1101 62.47% 25.09% 12.44%+0.97 +4.7 10
2008-09-26 @ Vllaznia L 0-133.4 1101 1227 12.44% 25.09% 62.47%-0.97 -4.7 3
2008-09-27 Dinamo Tirana L 1-246.4 1159 1311 28.40% 30.82% 40.78%-0.20 -9.3 3
2008-09-27 @ Lushnja W 2-146.4 1311 1159 40.78% 30.82% 28.40%+0.20 +9.3 9
2008-09-27 Flamurtari W 3-137.2 1289 1225 56.13% 27.65% 16.22%+0.71 +10.0 13
2008-09-27 @ KF Tirana L 1-337.2 1225 1289 16.22% 27.65% 56.13%-0.71 -10.0 6
2008-09-27 Teuta D 1-153.9 1227 1192 52.91% 28.66% 18.43%+0.59 -2.3 5
2008-09-27 @ Besa D 1-153.9 1192 1227 18.43% 28.66% 52.91%-0.59 +2.3 3
2008-09-28 Apolonia L 0-147.9 1262 1171 58.98% 26.59% 14.43%+0.82 -17.2 4
2008-09-28 @ Partizani W 1-047.9 1171 1262 14.43% 26.59% 58.98%-0.82 +17.2 7
2008-09-28 Shkumbini D 1-154.1 1272 1255 50.75% 29.23% 20.03%+0.51 -2.0 9
2008-09-28 @ KF Elbasani D 1-154.1 1255 1272 20.03% 29.23% 50.75%-0.51 +2.0 10
2008-10-03 Apolonia W 2-143.6 1194 1188 49.61% 29.49% 20.90%+0.47 +7.3 6
2008-10-03 @ Teuta L 1-243.6 1188 1194 20.90% 29.49% 49.61%-0.47 -7.3 7
2008-10-04 KF Elbasani W 1-039.5 1225 1270 43.11% 30.59% 26.31%+0.25 +9.3 8
2008-10-04 @ Besa L 0-139.5 1270 1225 26.31% 30.59% 43.11%-0.25 -9.3 9
2008-10-04 KF Tirana D 0-047.9 1096 1299 22.71% 29.95% 47.33%-0.41 +1.7 4
2008-10-04 @ Bylis D 0-047.9 1299 1096 47.33% 29.95% 22.71%+0.41 -1.8 14
2008-10-04 Lushnja L 1-254.5 1257 1149 60.68% 25.89% 13.43%+0.89 -16.5 10
2008-10-04 @ Shkumbini W 2-154.5 1149 1257 13.43% 25.89% 60.68%-0.89 +16.5 6
2008-10-04 Partizani W 1-038.8 1215 1245 45.07% 30.33% 24.60%+0.31 +8.8 9
2008-10-04 @ Flamurtari L 0-138.8 1245 1215 24.60% 30.33% 45.07%-0.31 -8.8 4
2008-10-04 Vllaznia D 1-154.9 1320 1232 58.71% 26.70% 14.59%+0.81 -3.0 10
2008-10-04 @ Dinamo Tirana D 1-154.9 1232 1320 14.59% 26.70% 58.71%-0.81 +3.0 11
2008-10-19 Besa L 0-143.5 1166 1234 40.00% 30.88% 29.13%+0.15 -12.6 6
2008-10-19 @ Lushnja W 1-043.5 1234 1166 29.13% 30.88% 40.00%-0.15 +12.6 11
2008-10-19 Bylis D 1-155.0 1236 1098 63.57% 24.57% 11.85%+1.02 -3.5 5
2008-10-19 @ Partizani D 1-155.0 1098 1236 11.85% 24.57% 63.57%-1.02 +3.6 5
2008-10-19 Dinamo Tirana W 2-145.5 1297 1317 46.29% 30.14% 23.57%+0.35 +8.0 17
2008-10-19 @ KF Tirana L 1-245.5 1317 1297 23.57% 30.14% 46.29%-0.35 -8.0 10
2008-10-19 Flamurtari D 1-153.3 1180 1224 43.36% 30.56% 26.09%+0.26 -1.1 8
2008-10-19 @ Apolonia D 1-153.3 1224 1180 26.09% 30.56% 43.36%-0.26 +1.1 10
2008-10-19 Shkumbini D 2-259.6 1235 1241 48.06% 29.81% 22.12%+0.41 -1.2 12
2008-10-19 @ Vllaznia D 2-259.6 1241 1235 22.12% 29.81% 48.06%-0.41 +1.2 11
2008-10-19 Teuta L 0-147.4 1260 1202 55.56% 27.84% 16.60%+0.69 -16.3 9
2008-10-19 @ KF Elbasani W 1-047.4 1202 1260 16.60% 27.84% 55.56%-0.69 +16.3 9
2008-10-25 Flamurtari W 1-037.9 1218 1225 48.00% 29.83% 22.17%+0.41 +8.1 12
2008-10-25 @ Teuta L 0-137.9 1225 1218 22.17% 29.83% 48.00%-0.41 -8.1 10
2008-10-25 KF Tirana D 0-048.1 1242 1305 40.69% 30.82% 28.48%+0.18 -0.8 12
2008-10-25 @ Shkumbini D 0-048.1 1305 1242 28.48% 30.82% 40.69%-0.18 +0.8 18
2008-10-25 Lushnja W 2-030.2 1244 1153 58.92% 26.61% 14.46%+0.82 +10.3 12
2008-10-25 @ KF Elbasani L 0-230.2 1153 1244 14.46% 26.61% 58.92%-0.82 -10.3 6
2008-10-25 Partizani W 2-031.0 1309 1232 57.52% 27.15% 15.33%+0.76 +11.0 13
2008-10-25 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-231.0 1232 1309 15.33% 27.15% 57.52%-0.76 -11.0 5
2008-10-26 Apolonia W 1-040.5 1101 1179 38.63% 30.96% 30.41%+0.11 +10.3 8
2008-10-26 @ Bylis L 0-140.5 1179 1101 30.41% 30.96% 38.63%-0.11 -10.4 8
2008-10-26 Vllaznia W 1-037.3 1247 1234 50.37% 29.31% 20.31%+0.49 +7.5 14
2008-10-26 @ Besa L 0-137.3 1234 1247 20.31% 29.31% 50.37%-0.49 -7.5 12
2008-11-01 Bylis D 0-049.0 1216 1112 60.35% 26.03% 13.62%+0.88 -3.5 11
2008-11-01 @ Flamurtari D 0-049.0 1112 1216 13.62% 26.03% 60.35%-0.88 +3.6 9
2008-11-01 Dinamo Tirana L 0-235.9 1169 1320 28.54% 30.83% 40.63%-0.19 -18.7 8
2008-11-01 @ Apolonia W 2-035.9 1320 1169 40.63% 30.83% 28.54%+0.19 +18.7 16
2008-11-01 KF Elbasani W 2-034.5 1226 1254 45.27% 30.30% 24.43%+0.32 +16.6 15
2008-11-01 @ Vllaznia L 0-234.5 1254 1226 24.43% 30.30% 45.27%-0.32 -16.6 12
2008-11-01 Shkumbini L 0-240.9 1221 1241 46.33% 30.13% 23.54%+0.36 -26.6 5
2008-11-01 @ Partizani W 2-040.9 1241 1221 23.54% 30.13% 46.33%-0.36 +26.6 15
2008-11-02 Besa D 1-154.5 1306 1254 54.80% 28.09% 17.11%+0.66 -2.5 19
2008-11-02 @ KF Tirana D 1-154.5 1254 1306 17.11% 28.09% 54.80%-0.66 +2.5 15
2008-11-02 Teuta D 1-153.1 1143 1226 37.91% 31.00% 31.09%+0.09 -0.4 7
2008-11-02 @ Lushnja D 1-153.1 1226 1143 31.09% 31.00% 37.91%-0.09 +0.4 13
2008-11-07 Partizani D 0-048.7 1257 1195 55.91% 27.72% 16.37%+0.70 -2.9 16
2008-11-07 @ Besa D 0-048.7 1195 1257 16.37% 27.72% 55.91%-0.70 +2.9 6
2008-11-08 Apolonia W 2-029.4 1268 1150 61.61% 25.48% 12.91%+0.93 +9.2 18
2008-11-08 @ Shkumbini L 0-229.4 1150 1268 12.91% 25.48% 61.61%-0.93 -9.2 8
2008-11-08 Bylis W 1-033.8 1226 1115 60.99% 25.75% 13.26%+0.91 +5.0 16
2008-11-08 @ Teuta L 0-133.8 1115 1226 13.26% 25.75% 60.99%-0.91 -5.0 9
2008-11-08 Vllaznia L 1-440.9 1143 1243 35.52% 31.06% 33.42%+0.02 -26.7 7
2008-11-08 @ Lushnja W 4-140.9 1243 1143 33.42% 31.06% 35.52%-0.02 +26.7 18
2008-11-09 Flamurtari D 1-155.4 1339 1213 62.44% 25.11% 12.46%+0.97 -3.4 17
2008-11-09 @ Dinamo Tirana D 1-155.4 1213 1339 12.46% 25.11% 62.44%-0.97 +3.4 12
2008-11-09 KF Tirana W 1-040.5 1238 1303 40.33% 30.85% 28.82%+0.16 +10.0 15
2008-11-09 @ KF Elbasani L 0-140.5 1303 1238 28.82% 30.85% 40.33%-0.16 -10.0 19
2008-11-15 Besa W 3-143.6 1141 1254 33.74% 31.07% 35.20%-0.03 +18.7 11
2008-11-15 @ Apolonia L 1-343.6 1254 1141 35.20% 31.07% 33.74%+0.03 -18.7 16
2008-11-15 Dinamo Tirana W 1-046.1 1110 1335 20.54% 29.38% 50.08%-0.51 +15.0 12
2008-11-15 @ Bylis L 0-146.1 1335 1110 50.08% 29.38% 20.54%+0.51 -15.0 17
2008-11-15 KF Elbasani D 2-259.3 1198 1248 42.42% 30.66% 26.92%+0.23 -0.7 7
2008-11-15 @ Partizani D 2-259.3 1248 1198 26.92% 30.66% 42.42%-0.23 +0.7 16
2008-11-15 Lushnja W 1-032.1 1293 1116 67.20% 22.73% 10.06%+1.19 +3.7 22
2008-11-15 @ KF Tirana L 0-132.1 1116 1293 10.06% 22.73% 67.20%-1.19 -3.7 7
2008-11-15 Shkumbini D 0-047.9 1216 1277 41.00% 30.80% 28.21%+0.19 -0.9 13
2008-11-15 @ Flamurtari D 0-047.9 1277 1216 28.21% 30.80% 41.00%-0.19 +0.9 19
2008-11-15 Teuta W 2-142.8 1269 1231 53.24% 28.56% 18.20%+0.60 +6.5 21
2008-11-15 @ Vllaznia L 1-242.8 1231 1269 18.20% 28.56% 53.24%-0.60 -6.5 16
2008-11-23 Besa W 2-034.0 1215 1235 46.40% 30.12% 23.48%+0.36 +16.0 16
2008-11-23 @ Flamurtari L 0-234.0 1235 1215 23.48% 30.12% 46.40%-0.36 -16.0 16
2008-11-23 Dinamo Tirana D 0-048.0 1225 1320 36.17% 31.05% 32.78%+0.04 -0.2 17
2008-11-23 @ Teuta D 0-048.0 1320 1225 32.78% 31.05% 36.17%-0.04 +0.2 18
2008-11-23 KF Elbasani D 2-259.1 1160 1248 37.15% 31.03% 31.82%+0.07 -0.2 12
2008-11-23 @ Apolonia D 2-259.1 1248 1160 31.82% 31.03% 37.15%-0.07 +0.2 17
2008-11-23 Lushnja D 0-048.8 1197 1112 58.31% 26.85% 14.84%+0.80 -3.3 8
2008-11-23 @ Partizani D 0-048.8 1112 1197 14.84% 26.85% 58.31%-0.80 +3.3 8
2008-11-23 Shkumbini W 2-150.0 1125 1278 28.37% 30.81% 40.81%-0.20 +12.0 15
2008-11-23 @ Bylis L 1-250.0 1278 1125 40.81% 30.81% 28.37%+0.20 -12.0 19
2008-11-23 Vllaznia D 1-154.3 1297 1276 51.36% 29.07% 19.56%+0.53 -2.1 23
2008-11-23 @ KF Tirana D 1-154.3 1276 1297 19.56% 29.07% 51.36%-0.53 +2.1 22
2008-11-29 Apolonia W 3-140.7 1116 1160 43.21% 30.57% 26.22%+0.25 +15.2 11
2008-11-29 @ Lushnja L 1-340.7 1160 1116 26.22% 30.57% 43.21%-0.25 -15.2 12
2008-11-29 Flamurtari D 0-048.3 1249 1231 50.87% 29.20% 19.94%+0.51 -2.2 18
2008-11-29 @ KF Elbasani D 0-048.3 1231 1249 19.94% 29.20% 50.87%-0.51 +2.2 17
2008-11-29 Partizani W 2-141.2 1278 1194 58.25% 26.87% 14.87%+0.79 +5.3 25
2008-11-29 @ Vllaznia L 1-241.2 1194 1278 14.87% 26.87% 58.25%-0.79 -5.3 8
2008-11-29 Teuta L 1-254.1 1295 1225 56.79% 27.41% 15.79%+0.73 -15.7 23
2008-11-29 @ KF Tirana W 2-154.1 1225 1295 15.79% 27.41% 56.79%-0.73 +15.7 20
2008-11-30 Bylis W 3-028.9 1219 1137 57.98% 26.98% 15.04%+0.78 +15.6 19
2008-11-30 @ Besa L 0-328.9 1137 1219 15.04% 26.98% 57.98%-0.78 -15.6 15
2008-11-30 Dinamo Tirana D 0-048.3 1266 1321 41.79% 30.73% 27.48%+0.21 -1.0 20
2008-11-30 @ Shkumbini D 0-048.3 1321 1266 27.48% 30.73% 41.79%-0.21 +1.0 19
2008-12-06 Besa W 4-239.8 1322 1234 58.57% 26.75% 14.68%+0.81 +8.1 22
2008-12-06 @ Dinamo Tirana L 2-439.8 1234 1322 14.68% 26.75% 58.57%-0.81 -8.1 19
2008-12-06 KF Elbasani D 1-153.1 1122 1246 32.03% 31.03% 36.94%-0.08 +0.3 16
2008-12-06 @ Bylis D 1-153.1 1246 1122 36.94% 31.03% 32.03%+0.08 -0.3 19
2008-12-06 Lushnja W 2-029.8 1234 1131 60.18% 26.10% 13.72%+0.87 +9.8 20
2008-12-06 @ Flamurtari L 0-229.8 1131 1234 13.72% 26.10% 60.18%-0.87 -9.8 11
2008-12-06 Shkumbini W 2-034.4 1240 1265 45.78% 30.22% 24.00%+0.34 +16.3 23
2008-12-06 @ Teuta L 0-234.4 1265 1240 24.00% 30.22% 45.78%-0.34 -16.3 20
2008-12-06 Vllaznia L 1-246.9 1145 1283 30.17% 30.95% 38.88%-0.14 -9.7 12
2008-12-06 @ Apolonia W 2-146.9 1283 1145 38.88% 30.95% 30.17%+0.14 +9.7 28
2008-12-07 KF Tirana D 2-259.2 1188 1279 36.79% 31.04% 32.17%+0.06 -0.2 9
2008-12-07 @ Partizani D 2-259.2 1279 1188 32.17% 31.04% 36.79%-0.06 +0.2 24
2008-12-13 Apolonia W 3-027.1 1280 1135 64.21% 24.26% 11.52%+1.05 +11.8 27
2008-12-13 @ KF Tirana L 0-327.1 1135 1280 11.52% 24.26% 64.21%-1.05 -11.8 12
2008-12-13 Bylis D 1-153.4 1121 1122 48.67% 29.69% 21.64%+0.44 -1.7 12
2008-12-13 @ Lushnja D 1-153.4 1122 1121 21.64% 29.69% 48.67%-0.44 +1.7 17
2008-12-13 Dinamo Tirana D 2-259.7 1246 1330 37.83% 31.00% 31.17%+0.09 -0.3 20
2008-12-13 @ KF Elbasani D 2-259.7 1330 1246 31.17% 31.00% 37.83%-0.09 +0.3 23
2008-12-13 Flamurtari W 1-036.2 1293 1244 54.52% 28.18% 17.30%+0.65 +6.5 31
2008-12-13 @ Vllaznia L 0-136.2 1244 1293 17.30% 28.18% 54.52%-0.65 -6.5 20
2008-12-13 Shkumbini W 2-034.2 1226 1249 46.05% 30.18% 23.77%+0.35 +16.2 22
2008-12-13 @ Besa L 0-234.2 1249 1226 23.77% 30.18% 46.05%-0.35 -16.2 20
2008-12-13 Teuta D 0-047.7 1188 1257 39.90% 30.88% 29.21%+0.15 -0.7 10
2008-12-13 @ Partizani D 0-047.7 1257 1188 29.21% 30.88% 39.90%-0.15 +0.7 24
2008-12-20 Besa L 0-146.4 1258 1243 50.61% 29.26% 20.13%+0.50 -15.1 24
2008-12-20 @ Teuta W 1-046.4 1243 1258 20.13% 29.26% 50.61%-0.50 +15.1 25
2008-12-20 Partizani W 3-141.5 1123 1187 40.51% 30.84% 28.65%+0.17 +16.2 15
2008-12-20 @ Apolonia L 1-341.5 1187 1123 28.65% 30.84% 40.51%-0.17 -16.2 10
2008-12-21 KF Elbasani W 2-144.5 1232 1246 47.15% 29.99% 22.86%+0.38 +7.9 23
2008-12-21 @ Shkumbini L 1-244.5 1246 1232 22.86% 29.99% 47.15%-0.38 -7.8 20
2008-12-21 KF Tirana W 2-035.6 1237 1291 41.86% 30.72% 27.42%+0.21 +18.1 23
2008-12-21 @ Flamurtari L 0-235.6 1291 1237 27.42% 30.72% 41.86%-0.21 -18.1 27
2008-12-21 Lushnja W 1-031.3 1330 1119 70.10% 21.13% 8.77%+1.33 +3.1 26
2008-12-21 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-131.3 1119 1330 8.77% 21.13% 70.10%-1.33 -3.1 12
2008-12-21 Vllaznia L 1-245.4 1124 1299 25.63% 30.49% 43.87%-0.30 -8.6 17
2008-12-21 @ Bylis W 2-145.4 1299 1124 43.87% 30.49% 25.63%+0.30 +8.6 34
2008-12-26 Shkumbini D 1-153.1 1116 1240 32.10% 31.03% 36.87%-0.08 +0.3 13
2008-12-26 @ Lushnja D 1-153.1 1240 1116 36.87% 31.03% 32.10%+0.08 -0.3 24
2008-12-27 Besa L 0-145.4 1238 1258 46.37% 30.12% 23.51%+0.36 -14.1 20
2008-12-27 @ KF Elbasani W 1-045.4 1258 1238 23.51% 30.12% 46.37%-0.36 +14.1 28
2008-12-27 Bylis W 6-231.4 1273 1115 65.45% 23.65% 10.90%+1.10 +10.2 30
2008-12-27 @ KF Tirana L 2-631.4 1115 1273 10.90% 23.65% 65.45%-1.10 -10.2 17
2008-12-27 Dinamo Tirana L 0-146.0 1308 1333 45.66% 30.24% 24.10%+0.33 -13.9 34
2008-12-27 @ Vllaznia W 1-046.0 1333 1308 24.10% 30.24% 45.66%-0.33 +13.9 29
2008-12-27 Flamurtari W 2-036.6 1171 1255 37.80% 31.00% 31.20%+0.09 +19.9 13
2008-12-27 @ Partizani L 0-236.6 1255 1171 31.20% 31.00% 37.80%-0.09 -19.9 23
2008-12-27 Teuta W 1-041.7 1139 1242 35.07% 31.07% 33.86%+0.01 +11.2 18
2008-12-27 @ Apolonia L 0-141.7 1242 1139 33.86% 31.07% 35.07%-0.01 -11.2 24
2009-01-31 Apolonia L 0-243.4 1235 1150 58.32% 26.85% 14.83%+0.80 -32.0 23
2009-01-31 @ Flamurtari W 2-043.4 1150 1235 14.83% 26.85% 58.32%-0.80 +32.0 21
2009-01-31 KF Elbasani L 1-252.4 1231 1224 49.70% 29.47% 20.83%+0.47 -14.1 24
2009-01-31 @ Teuta W 2-152.4 1224 1231 20.83% 29.47% 49.70%-0.47 +14.1 23
2009-01-31 KF Tirana L 2-453.0 1347 1283 56.10% 27.66% 16.24%+0.71 -24.1 29
2009-01-31 @ Dinamo Tirana W 4-253.0 1283 1347 16.24% 27.66% 56.10%-0.71 +24.1 33
2009-01-31 Lushnja D 0-049.8 1272 1116 65.21% 23.77% 11.02%+1.09 -4.2 29
2009-01-31 @ Besa D 0-049.8 1116 1272 11.02% 23.77% 65.21%-1.09 +4.2 14
2009-01-31 Partizani L 0-142.6 1105 1191 37.49% 31.01% 31.50%+0.08 -12.0 17
2009-01-31 @ Bylis W 1-042.6 1191 1105 31.50% 31.01% 37.49%-0.08 +12.0 16
2009-01-31 Vllaznia W 1-040.0 1240 1294 41.90% 30.72% 27.39%+0.21 +9.6 27
2009-01-31 @ Shkumbini L 0-140.0 1294 1240 27.39% 30.72% 41.90%-0.21 -9.6 34
2009-02-04 Besa W 4-136.1 1284 1268 50.82% 29.21% 19.97%+0.51 +17.2 37
2009-02-04 @ Vllaznia L 1-436.1 1268 1284 19.97% 29.21% 50.82%-0.51 -17.2 29
2009-02-04 Bylis W 1-034.4 1182 1093 58.81% 26.66% 14.53%+0.82 +5.5 24
2009-02-04 @ Apolonia L 0-134.4 1093 1182 14.53% 26.66% 58.81%-0.82 -5.5 17
2009-02-04 Dinamo Tirana W 1-042.7 1203 1323 32.67% 31.05% 36.28%-0.06 +11.7 19
2009-02-04 @ Partizani L 0-142.7 1323 1203 36.28% 31.05% 32.67%+0.06 -11.7 29
2009-02-04 KF Elbasani W 1-042.2 1120 1238 33.03% 31.06% 35.91%-0.05 +11.6 17
2009-02-04 @ Lushnja L 0-142.2 1238 1120 35.91% 31.06% 33.03%+0.05 -11.6 23
2009-02-04 Teuta D 1-153.5 1203 1217 47.08% 30.00% 22.92%+0.38 -1.5 24
2009-02-04 @ Flamurtari D 1-153.5 1217 1203 22.92% 30.00% 47.08%-0.38 +1.5 25
2009-02-05 Shkumbini W 2-031.7 1307 1250 55.48% 27.87% 16.66%+0.68 +11.9 36
2009-02-05 @ KF Tirana L 0-231.7 1250 1307 16.66% 27.87% 55.48%-0.68 -11.9 27
2009-02-15 Apolonia W 3-244.7 1311 1188 62.18% 25.22% 12.59%+0.96 +4.2 32
2009-02-15 @ Dinamo Tirana L 2-344.7 1188 1311 12.59% 25.22% 62.18%-0.96 -4.2 24
2009-02-15 Flamurtari D 1-153.0 1087 1202 33.49% 31.06% 35.45%-0.04 +0.1 18
2009-02-15 @ Bylis D 1-153.0 1202 1087 35.45% 31.06% 33.49%+0.04 -0.1 25
2009-02-15 KF Tirana L 1-345.5 1250 1319 39.88% 30.88% 29.24%+0.15 -20.5 29
2009-02-15 @ Besa W 3-145.5 1319 1250 29.24% 30.88% 39.88%-0.15 +20.5 39
2009-02-15 Lushnja D 1-154.4 1219 1132 58.51% 26.78% 14.72%+0.80 -3.0 26
2009-02-15 @ Teuta D 1-154.4 1132 1219 14.72% 26.78% 58.51%-0.80 +3.0 18
2009-02-15 Partizani W 1-036.9 1238 1215 51.53% 29.03% 19.44%+0.54 +7.3 30
2009-02-15 @ Shkumbini L 0-136.9 1215 1238 19.44% 29.03% 51.53%-0.54 -7.3 19
2009-02-15 Vllaznia D 0-048.0 1226 1302 39.00% 30.94% 30.06%+0.12 -0.6 24
2009-02-15 @ KF Elbasani D 0-048.0 1302 1226 30.06% 30.94% 39.00%-0.12 +0.6 38
2009-02-21 Besa W 1-038.5 1208 1230 46.03% 30.18% 23.79%+0.35 +8.6 22
2009-02-21 @ Partizani L 0-138.5 1230 1208 23.79% 30.18% 46.03%-0.35 -8.6 29
2009-02-21 KF Elbasani D 0-049.7 1340 1226 61.28% 25.63% 13.09%+0.92 -3.7 40
2009-02-21 @ KF Tirana D 0-049.7 1226 1340 13.09% 25.63% 61.28%-0.92 +3.7 25
2009-02-22 Dinamo Tirana L 0-237.5 1202 1316 33.50% 31.06% 35.44%-0.04 -20.9 25
2009-02-22 @ Flamurtari W 2-037.5 1316 1202 35.44% 31.06% 33.50%+0.04 +20.9 35
2009-02-22 Lushnja W 2-028.0 1302 1135 66.27% 23.23% 10.50%+1.14 +7.3 41
2009-02-22 @ Vllaznia L 0-228.0 1135 1302 10.50% 23.23% 66.27%-1.14 -7.3 18
2009-02-22 Shkumbini L 0-143.8 1184 1245 40.94% 30.80% 28.26%+0.18 -12.8 24
2009-02-22 @ Apolonia W 1-043.8 1245 1184 28.26% 30.80% 40.94%-0.18 +12.8 33
2009-02-22 Teuta W 2-038.3 1088 1216 31.55% 31.02% 37.43%-0.10 +22.6 21
2009-02-22 @ Bylis L 0-238.3 1216 1088 37.43% 31.02% 31.55%+0.10 -22.6 26
2009-03-01 Apolonia W 2-142.1 1221 1171 54.65% 28.14% 17.22%+0.65 +6.1 32
2009-03-01 @ Besa L 1-242.1 1171 1221 17.22% 28.14% 54.65%-0.65 -6.1 24
2009-03-01 Bylis W 5-128.7 1337 1110 71.38% 20.39% 8.23%+1.39 +8.6 38
2009-03-01 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-528.7 1110 1337 8.23% 20.39% 71.38%-1.39 -8.6 21
2009-03-01 Flamurtari W 2-141.3 1258 1181 57.52% 27.15% 15.33%+0.76 +5.5 36
2009-03-01 @ Shkumbini L 1-241.3 1181 1258 15.33% 27.15% 57.52%-0.76 -5.5 25
2009-03-01 KF Tirana D 0-048.1 1128 1336 22.14% 29.82% 48.04%-0.43 +1.9 19
2009-03-01 @ Lushnja D 0-048.1 1336 1128 48.04% 29.82% 22.14%+0.43 -1.8 41
2009-03-01 Partizani L 0-146.2 1229 1216 50.40% 29.31% 20.29%+0.50 -15.1 25
2009-03-01 @ KF Elbasani W 1-046.2 1216 1229 20.29% 29.31% 50.40%-0.50 +15.1 25
2009-03-01 Vllaznia W 4-037.2 1193 1309 33.19% 31.06% 35.75%-0.05 +41.5 29
2009-03-01 @ Teuta L 0-437.2 1309 1193 35.75% 31.06% 33.19%+0.05 -41.5 41
2009-03-07 Apolonia W 3-133.8 1345 1165 67.45% 22.60% 9.95%+1.20 +5.9 41
2009-03-07 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-333.8 1165 1345 9.95% 22.60% 67.45%-1.20 -5.9 24
2009-03-07 Bylis D 0-049.9 1268 1102 66.21% 23.26% 10.53%+1.14 -4.3 42
2009-03-07 @ Vllaznia D 0-049.9 1102 1268 10.53% 23.26% 66.21%-1.14 +4.3 22
2009-03-07 Flamurtari D 1-154.5 1263 1175 58.66% 26.72% 14.62%+0.81 -3.0 37
2009-03-07 @ Shkumbini D 1-154.5 1175 1263 14.62% 26.72% 58.66%-0.81 +3.0 26
2009-03-07 KF Elbasani D 1-153.8 1227 1214 50.40% 29.31% 20.30%+0.50 -2.0 33
2009-03-07 @ Besa D 1-153.8 1214 1227 20.30% 29.31% 50.40%-0.50 +1.9 26
2009-03-07 Lushnja W 2-137.8 1334 1130 69.57% 21.43% 9.00%+1.30 +3.0 44
2009-03-07 @ KF Tirana L 1-237.8 1130 1334 9.00% 21.43% 69.57%-1.30 -3.0 19
2009-03-07 Partizani W 3-248.5 1235 1231 49.23% 29.57% 21.20%+0.45 +7.0 32
2009-03-07 @ Teuta L 2-348.5 1231 1235 21.20% 29.57% 49.23%-0.45 -7.0 25
2009-03-15 Besa D 0-048.1 1224 1226 48.65% 29.70% 21.65%+0.43 -1.9 26
2009-03-15 @ Partizani D 0-048.1 1226 1224 21.65% 29.70% 48.65%-0.43 +1.9 34
2009-03-15 Dinamo Tirana W 2-151.1 1178 1351 25.93% 30.53% 43.54%-0.29 +12.7 29
2009-03-15 @ Flamurtari L 1-251.1 1351 1178 43.54% 30.53% 25.93%+0.29 -12.6 41
2009-03-15 KF Tirana D 0-048.2 1106 1337 19.97% 29.21% 50.83%-0.53 +2.2 23
2009-03-15 @ Bylis D 0-048.2 1337 1106 50.83% 29.21% 19.97%+0.53 -2.2 45
2009-03-15 Lushnja L 0-148.3 1242 1127 61.37% 25.59% 13.04%+0.92 -17.7 32
2009-03-15 @ Teuta W 1-048.3 1127 1242 13.04% 25.59% 61.37%-0.92 +17.7 22
2009-03-15 Shkumbini D 2-259.4 1216 1260 43.24% 30.57% 26.19%+0.26 -0.8 27
2009-03-15 @ KF Elbasani D 2-259.4 1260 1216 26.19% 30.57% 43.24%-0.26 +0.8 38
2009-03-15 Vllaznia L 0-142.0 1159 1264 34.84% 31.07% 34.09%+0.00 -11.4 24
2009-03-15 @ Apolonia W 1-042.0 1264 1159 34.09% 31.07% 34.84%+0.00 +11.4 45
2009-03-21 Apolonia W 2-027.6 1335 1148 68.09% 22.25% 9.65%+1.23 +6.6 48
2009-03-21 @ KF Tirana L 0-227.6 1148 1335 9.65% 22.25% 68.09%-1.23 -6.6 24
2009-03-21 Bylis W 1-036.1 1144 1108 53.06% 28.61% 18.32%+0.59 +6.9 25
2009-03-21 @ Lushnja L 0-136.1 1108 1144 18.32% 28.61% 53.06%-0.59 -6.9 23
2009-03-21 Flamurtari W 3-136.4 1275 1191 58.27% 26.87% 14.86%+0.79 +9.2 48
2009-03-21 @ Vllaznia L 1-336.4 1191 1275 14.86% 26.87% 58.27%-0.79 -9.2 29
2009-03-21 KF Elbasani W 2-029.7 1338 1215 62.14% 25.24% 12.62%+0.96 +8.9 44
2009-03-21 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-229.7 1215 1338 12.62% 25.24% 62.14%-0.96 -9.0 27
2009-03-21 Partizani L 0-147.0 1261 1222 53.34% 28.53% 18.12%+0.60 -15.8 38
2009-03-21 @ Shkumbini W 1-047.0 1222 1261 18.12% 28.53% 53.34%-0.60 +15.8 29
2009-03-21 Teuta W 2-033.2 1227 1224 49.24% 29.57% 21.19%+0.45 +14.7 37
2009-03-21 @ Besa L 0-233.2 1224 1227 21.19% 29.57% 49.24%-0.45 -14.8 32
2009-04-05 Bylis D 0-048.2 1141 1101 53.46% 28.50% 18.04%+0.61 -2.6 25
2009-04-05 @ Apolonia D 0-048.2 1101 1141 18.04% 28.50% 53.46%-0.61 +2.6 24
2009-04-05 Dinamo Tirana L 1-248.7 1238 1347 34.19% 31.07% 34.74%-0.02 -10.6 29
2009-04-05 @ Partizani W 2-148.7 1347 1238 34.74% 31.07% 34.19%+0.02 +10.6 47
2009-04-05 KF Tirana L 1-246.3 1182 1342 27.44% 30.72% 41.84%-0.23 -9.0 29
2009-04-05 @ Flamurtari W 2-146.3 1342 1182 41.84% 30.72% 27.44%+0.23 +9.1 51
2009-04-05 Lushnja D 2-260.4 1242 1151 58.96% 26.60% 14.44%+0.82 -2.2 38
2009-04-05 @ Besa D 2-260.4 1151 1242 14.44% 26.60% 58.96%-0.82 +2.2 26
2009-04-05 Shkumbini W 1-039.0 1209 1245 44.28% 30.44% 25.28%+0.29 +9.0 35
2009-04-05 @ Teuta L 0-139.0 1245 1209 25.28% 30.44% 44.28%-0.29 -9.0 38
2009-04-05 Vllaznia L 1-442.0 1206 1284 38.66% 30.96% 30.38%+0.11 -28.3 27
2009-04-05 @ KF Elbasani W 4-142.0 1284 1206 30.38% 30.96% 38.66%-0.11 +28.3 51
2009-04-11 Apolonia W 2-143.2 1153 1138 50.63% 29.25% 20.12%+0.50 +7.0 29
2009-04-11 @ Lushnja L 1-243.2 1138 1153 20.12% 29.25% 50.63%-0.50 -7.1 25
2009-04-11 Besa W 1-037.9 1236 1240 48.35% 29.76% 21.89%+0.42 +8.0 41
2009-04-11 @ Shkumbini L 0-137.9 1240 1236 21.89% 29.76% 48.35%-0.42 -8.0 38
2009-04-11 Flamurtari D 1-153.1 1104 1172 39.91% 30.88% 29.21%+0.15 -0.6 25
2009-04-11 @ Bylis D 1-153.1 1172 1104 29.21% 30.88% 39.91%-0.15 +0.6 30
2009-04-11 KF Elbasani W 3-026.6 1351 1178 66.77% 22.97% 10.27%+1.16 +10.3 54
2009-04-11 @ KF Tirana L 0-326.6 1178 1351 10.27% 22.97% 66.77%-1.16 -10.3 27
2009-04-11 Partizani W 2-030.7 1313 1227 58.35% 26.84% 14.81%+0.80 +10.6 54
2009-04-11 @ Vllaznia L 0-230.7 1227 1313 14.81% 26.84% 58.35%-0.80 -10.6 29
2009-04-11 Teuta L 1-255.6 1358 1218 63.75% 24.49% 11.76%+1.03 -17.2 47
2009-04-11 @ Dinamo Tirana W 2-155.6 1218 1358 11.76% 24.49% 63.75%-1.03 +17.2 38
2009-04-18 Apolonia D 0-048.3 1173 1131 53.70% 28.43% 17.87%+0.62 -2.6 31
2009-04-18 @ Flamurtari D 0-048.3 1131 1173 17.87% 28.43% 53.70%-0.62 +2.7 26
2009-04-18 Bylis W 2-141.5 1168 1103 56.20% 27.62% 16.18%+0.71 +5.8 30
2009-04-18 @ KF Elbasani L 1-241.5 1103 1168 16.18% 27.62% 56.20%-0.71 -5.8 25
2009-04-18 Dinamo Tirana D 1-153.7 1232 1341 34.25% 31.07% 34.68%-0.02 +0.0 39
2009-04-18 @ Besa D 1-153.7 1341 1232 34.68% 31.07% 34.25%+0.02 -0.0 48
2009-04-18 KF Tirana D 2-259.7 1217 1361 29.44% 30.90% 39.66%-0.17 +0.5 30
2009-04-18 @ Partizani D 2-259.7 1361 1217 39.66% 30.90% 29.44%+0.17 -0.5 55
2009-04-18 Lushnja W 1-034.8 1244 1160 58.21% 26.89% 14.90%+0.79 +5.6 44
2009-04-18 @ Shkumbini L 0-134.8 1160 1244 14.90% 26.89% 58.21%-0.79 -5.7 29
2009-04-18 Vllaznia W 1-041.5 1235 1323 37.25% 31.02% 31.72%+0.07 +10.7 41
2009-04-18 @ Teuta L 0-141.5 1323 1235 31.72% 31.02% 37.25%-0.07 -10.7 54
2009-04-25 Besa W 3-246.2 1312 1232 57.88% 27.02% 15.10%+0.78 +5.1 57
2009-04-25 @ Vllaznia L 2-346.2 1232 1312 15.10% 27.02% 57.88%-0.78 -5.1 39
2009-04-25 Flamurtari D 1-153.4 1155 1170 46.88% 30.03% 23.09%+0.37 -1.5 30
2009-04-25 @ Lushnja D 1-153.4 1170 1155 23.09% 30.03% 46.88%-0.37 +1.5 32
2009-04-25 KF Elbasani W 3-140.5 1134 1174 43.79% 30.50% 25.70%+0.27 +14.9 29
2009-04-25 @ Apolonia L 1-340.5 1174 1134 25.70% 30.50% 43.79%-0.27 -14.9 30
2009-04-25 Partizani W 1-042.3 1097 1217 32.68% 31.05% 36.27%-0.06 +11.7 28
2009-04-25 @ Bylis L 0-142.3 1217 1097 36.27% 31.05% 32.68%+0.06 -11.7 30
2009-04-25 Shkumbini W 3-029.3 1341 1250 58.95% 26.60% 14.45%+0.82 +15.0 51
2009-04-25 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-329.3 1250 1341 14.45% 26.60% 58.95%-0.82 -15.0 44
2009-04-25 Teuta W 4-133.3 1361 1246 61.32% 25.61% 13.07%+0.92 +11.4 58
2009-04-25 @ KF Tirana L 1-433.3 1246 1361 13.07% 25.61% 61.32%-0.92 -11.4 41
2009-05-02 Apolonia W 2-141.8 1206 1149 55.35% 27.91% 16.74%+0.68 +6.0 33
2009-05-02 @ Partizani L 1-241.8 1149 1206 16.74% 27.91% 55.35%-0.68 -6.0 29
2009-05-02 Bylis W 1-033.4 1235 1109 62.40% 25.13% 12.48%+0.97 +4.7 44
2009-05-02 @ Teuta L 0-133.4 1109 1235 12.48% 25.13% 62.40%-0.97 -4.7 28
2009-05-02 Flamurtari D 1-153.4 1159 1172 47.18% 29.98% 22.84%+0.38 -1.5 31
2009-05-02 @ KF Elbasani D 1-153.4 1172 1159 22.84% 29.98% 47.18%-0.38 +1.5 33
2009-05-02 KF Tirana D 1-153.9 1227 1372 29.31% 30.89% 39.80%-0.17 +0.6 40
2009-05-02 @ Besa D 1-153.9 1372 1227 39.80% 30.89% 29.31%+0.17 -0.6 59
2009-05-02 Lushnja D 1-156.3 1356 1153 69.37% 21.54% 9.08%+1.29 -4.2 52
2009-05-02 @ Dinamo Tirana D 1-156.3 1153 1356 9.08% 21.54% 69.37%-1.29 +4.2 31
2009-05-02 Vllaznia L 1-249.7 1235 1318 37.96% 30.99% 31.05%+0.09 -11.4 44
2009-05-02 @ Shkumbini W 2-149.7 1318 1235 31.05% 30.99% 37.96%-0.09 +11.4 60
2009-05-09 Besa W 2-038.1 1104 1227 32.25% 31.04% 36.71%-0.08 +22.3 31
2009-05-09 @ Bylis L 0-238.1 1227 1104 36.71% 31.04% 32.25%+0.08 -22.3 40
2009-05-09 Dinamo Tirana W 1-039.9 1329 1352 46.01% 30.18% 23.81%+0.35 +8.6 63
2009-05-09 @ Vllaznia L 0-139.9 1352 1329 23.81% 30.18% 46.01%-0.35 -8.6 52
2009-05-09 KF Elbasani D 0-047.9 1157 1157 48.85% 29.65% 21.49%+0.44 -2.0 32
2009-05-09 @ Lushnja D 0-047.9 1157 1157 21.49% 29.65% 48.85%-0.44 +2.0 32
2009-05-09 Partizani W 2-145.3 1174 1212 44.01% 30.47% 25.51%+0.28 +8.6 36
2009-05-09 @ Flamurtari L 1-245.3 1212 1174 25.51% 30.47% 44.01%-0.28 -8.6 33
2009-05-09 Shkumbini W 3-135.1 1371 1223 64.52% 24.12% 11.37%+1.06 +6.9 62
2009-05-09 @ KF Tirana L 1-335.1 1223 1371 11.37% 24.12% 64.52%-1.06 -6.9 44
2009-05-09 Teuta W 2-037.0 1143 1239 36.01% 31.06% 32.93%+0.03 +20.7 32
2009-05-09 @ Apolonia L 0-237.0 1239 1143 32.93% 31.06% 36.01%-0.03 -20.7 44
2009-05-16 Apolonia L 0-242.4 1205 1164 53.68% 28.43% 17.89%+0.62 -30.0 40
2009-05-16 @ Besa W 2-042.4 1164 1205 17.89% 28.43% 53.68%-0.62 +30.0 35
2009-05-16 Bylis L 0-243.4 1217 1127 58.84% 26.65% 14.51%+0.82 -32.3 44
2009-05-16 @ Shkumbini W 2-043.4 1127 1217 14.51% 26.65% 58.84%-0.82 +32.3 34
2009-05-16 Flamurtari L 2-357.6 1219 1182 53.11% 28.60% 18.29%+0.59 -14.1 44
2009-05-16 @ Teuta W 3-257.6 1182 1219 18.29% 28.60% 53.11%-0.59 +14.1 39
2009-05-16 KF Elbasani W 2-142.3 1203 1159 53.93% 28.36% 17.71%+0.62 +6.3 36
2009-05-16 @ Partizani L 1-242.3 1159 1203 17.71% 28.36% 53.93%-0.62 -6.3 32
2009-05-16 KF Tirana L 2-357.6 1343 1378 44.37% 30.43% 25.20%+0.29 -12.2 52
2009-05-16 @ Dinamo Tirana W 3-257.6 1378 1343 25.20% 30.43% 44.37%-0.29 +12.2 65
2009-05-16 Lushnja D 1-155.9 1338 1156 67.61% 22.52% 9.87%+1.20 -4.0 64
2009-05-16 @ Vllaznia D 1-155.9 1156 1338 9.87% 22.52% 67.61%-1.20 +4.0 33
2009-05-23 Besa W 4-031.4 1196 1175 51.31% 29.09% 19.60%+0.53 +26.2 42
2009-05-23 @ Flamurtari L 0-431.4 1175 1196 19.60% 29.09% 51.31%-0.53 -26.2 40
2009-05-23 Dinamo Tirana W 3-038.7 1159 1331 26.06% 30.55% 43.38%-0.28 +36.7 37
2009-05-23 @ Bylis L 0-338.7 1331 1159 43.38% 30.55% 26.06%+0.28 -36.7 52
2009-05-23 Partizani W 1-039.4 1160 1209 42.46% 30.66% 26.88%+0.23 +9.5 36
2009-05-23 @ Lushnja L 0-139.4 1209 1160 26.88% 30.66% 42.46%-0.23 -9.4 36
2009-05-23 Shkumbini W 3-138.8 1193 1184 49.92% 29.42% 20.66%+0.48 +12.5 38
2009-05-23 @ Apolonia L 1-338.8 1184 1193 20.66% 29.42% 49.92%-0.48 -12.5 44
2009-05-23 Teuta W 3-250.4 1153 1205 42.20% 30.68% 27.12%+0.22 +8.5 35
2009-05-23 @ KF Elbasani L 2-350.4 1205 1153 27.12% 30.68% 42.20%-0.22 -8.5 44
2009-05-23 Vllaznia W 2-143.9 1390 1334 55.35% 27.91% 16.74%+0.68 +6.0 68
2009-05-23 @ KF Tirana L 1-243.9 1334 1390 16.74% 27.91% 55.35%-0.68 -6.0 64

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2009-04-11 11.76% Teuta 1218 2 @ Dinamo Tirana 1358 1
2 2009-03-15 13.04% Lushnja 1127 1 @ Teuta 1242 0
3 2008-10-04 13.43% Lushnja 1149 2 @ Shkumbini 1257 1
4 2008-09-28 14.43% Apolonia 1171 1 @ Partizani 1262 0
5 2009-05-16 14.51% Bylis 1127 2 @ Shkumbini 1217 0
6 2009-01-31 14.83% Apolonia 1150 2 @ Flamurtari 1235 0
7 2008-08-31 15.34% Vllaznia 1208 2 @ Partizani 1285 1
8 2008-11-29 15.79% Teuta 1225 2 @ KF Tirana 1295 1
9 2009-01-31 16.24% KF Tirana 1283 4 @ Dinamo Tirana 1347 2
10 2008-10-19 16.60% Teuta 1202 1 @ KF Elbasani 1260 0
11 2009-05-16 17.89% Apolonia 1164 2 @ Besa 1205 0
12 2009-03-21 18.12% Partizani 1222 1 @ Shkumbini 1261 0
13 2009-05-16 18.29% Flamurtari 1182 3 @ Teuta 1219 2
14 2008-08-24 20.08% Flamurtari 1225 1 @ Besa 1240 0
15 2008-12-20 20.13% Besa 1243 1 @ Teuta 1258 0
16 2009-03-01 20.29% Partizani 1216 1 @ KF Elbasani 1229 0
17 2008-11-15 20.54% @ Bylis 1110 1 Dinamo Tirana 1335 0
18 2009-01-31 20.83% KF Elbasani 1224 2 @ Teuta 1231 1
19 2008-08-31 22.59% KF Elbasani 1251 1 @ Flamurtari 1240 0
20 2008-12-27 23.51% Besa 1258 1 @ KF Elbasani 1238 0
21 2008-11-01 23.54% Shkumbini 1241 2 @ Partizani 1221 0
22 2008-12-27 24.10% Dinamo Tirana 1333 1 @ Vllaznia 1308 0
23 2008-08-30 24.65% KF Tirana 1244 1 @ Teuta 1213 0
24 2009-05-16 25.20% KF Tirana 1378 3 @ Dinamo Tirana 1343 2
25 2009-03-15 25.93% @ Flamurtari 1178 2 Dinamo Tirana 1351 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-03-01 41.51 @ Teuta 4 1193 33.19% Vllaznia 0 1309 35.75% 31.06%
2 2009-05-23 36.66 @ Bylis 3 1159 26.06% Dinamo Tirana 0 1331 43.38% 30.55%
3 2009-05-16 32.28 Bylis 2 1127 14.51% @ Shkumbini 0 1217 58.84% 26.65%
4 2009-01-31 32.05 Apolonia 2 1150 14.83% @ Flamurtari 0 1235 58.32% 26.85%
5 2009-05-16 29.96 Apolonia 2 1164 17.89% @ Besa 0 1205 53.68% 28.43%
6 2009-04-05 28.34 Vllaznia 4 1284 30.38% @ KF Elbasani 1 1206 38.66% 30.96%
7 2008-11-08 26.68 Vllaznia 4 1243 33.42% @ Lushnja 1 1143 35.52% 31.06%
8 2008-11-01 26.58 Shkumbini 2 1241 23.54% @ Partizani 0 1221 46.33% 30.13%
9 2009-05-23 26.16 @ Flamurtari 4 1196 51.31% Besa 0 1175 19.60% 29.09%
10 2009-01-31 24.06 KF Tirana 4 1283 16.24% @ Dinamo Tirana 2 1347 56.10% 27.66%
11 2008-09-20 23.55 KF Tirana 2 1265 29.51% @ Apolonia 0 1194 39.58% 30.91%
12 2009-02-22 22.61 @ Bylis 2 1088 31.55% Teuta 0 1216 37.43% 31.02%
13 2009-05-09 22.29 @ Bylis 2 1104 32.25% Besa 0 1227 36.71% 31.04%
14 2009-02-22 20.91 Dinamo Tirana 2 1316 35.44% @ Flamurtari 0 1202 33.50% 31.06%
15 2009-05-09 20.66 @ Apolonia 2 1143 36.01% Teuta 0 1239 32.93% 31.06%
16 2009-02-15 20.51 KF Tirana 3 1319 29.24% @ Besa 1 1250 39.88% 30.88%
17 2008-12-27 19.89 @ Partizani 2 1171 37.80% Flamurtari 0 1255 31.20% 31.00%
18 2008-11-15 18.74 @ Apolonia 3 1141 33.74% Besa 1 1254 35.20% 31.07%
19 2008-11-01 18.65 Dinamo Tirana 2 1320 40.63% @ Apolonia 0 1169 28.54% 30.83%
20 2008-12-21 18.10 @ Flamurtari 2 1237 41.86% KF Tirana 0 1291 27.42% 30.72%
21 2009-03-15 17.70 Lushnja 1 1127 13.04% @ Teuta 0 1242 61.37% 25.59%
22 2009-04-11 17.19 Teuta 2 1218 11.76% @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1358 63.75% 24.49%
23 2009-02-04 17.17 @ Vllaznia 4 1284 50.82% Besa 1 1268 19.97% 29.21%
24 2008-09-28 17.15 Apolonia 1 1171 14.43% @ Partizani 0 1262 58.98% 26.59%
25 2008-11-01 16.56 @ Vllaznia 2 1226 45.27% KF Elbasani 0 1254 24.43% 30.30%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-04-05 60.4 @ Besa 2 1242 58.96% Lushnja 2 1151 14.44% 26.60%
2 2008-12-13 59.7 @ KF Elbasani 2 1246 37.83% Dinamo Tirana 2 1330 31.17% 31.00%
3 2009-04-18 59.7 @ Partizani 2 1217 29.44% KF Tirana 2 1361 39.66% 30.90%
4 2008-10-19 59.6 @ Vllaznia 2 1235 48.06% Shkumbini 2 1241 22.12% 29.81%
5 2009-03-15 59.4 @ KF Elbasani 2 1216 43.24% Shkumbini 2 1260 26.19% 30.57%
6 2008-11-15 59.3 @ Partizani 2 1198 42.42% KF Elbasani 2 1248 26.92% 30.66%
7 2008-12-07 59.2 @ Partizani 2 1188 36.79% KF Tirana 2 1279 32.17% 31.04%
8 2008-11-23 59.1 @ Apolonia 2 1160 37.15% KF Elbasani 2 1248 31.82% 31.03%
9 2009-05-16 57.6 Flamurtari 3 1182 18.29% @ Teuta 2 1219 53.11% 28.60%
10 2009-05-16 57.6 KF Tirana 3 1378 25.20% @ Dinamo Tirana 2 1343 44.37% 30.43%
11 2009-05-02 56.3 @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1356 69.37% Lushnja 1 1153 9.08% 21.54%
12 2009-05-16 55.9 @ Vllaznia 1 1338 67.61% Lushnja 1 1156 9.87% 22.52%
13 2009-04-11 55.6 Teuta 2 1218 11.76% @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1358 63.75% 24.49%
14 2008-11-09 55.4 @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1339 62.44% Flamurtari 1 1213 12.46% 25.11%
15 2008-10-19 55.0 @ Partizani 1 1236 63.57% Bylis 1 1098 11.85% 24.57%
16 2008-10-04 54.9 @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1320 58.71% Vllaznia 1 1232 14.59% 26.70%
17 2008-10-04 54.5 Lushnja 2 1149 13.43% @ Shkumbini 1 1257 60.68% 25.89%
18 2008-11-02 54.5 @ KF Tirana 1 1306 54.80% Besa 1 1254 17.11% 28.09%
19 2009-03-07 54.5 @ Shkumbini 1 1263 58.66% Flamurtari 1 1175 14.62% 26.72%
20 2009-02-15 54.4 @ Teuta 1 1219 58.51% Lushnja 1 1132 14.72% 26.78%
21 2008-11-23 54.3 @ KF Tirana 1 1297 51.36% Vllaznia 1 1276 19.56% 29.07%
22 2008-08-31 54.1 Vllaznia 2 1208 15.34% @ Partizani 1 1285 57.51% 27.16%
23 2008-09-28 54.1 @ KF Elbasani 1 1272 50.75% Shkumbini 1 1255 20.03% 29.23%
24 2008-11-29 54.1 Teuta 2 1225 15.79% @ KF Tirana 1 1295 56.79% 27.41%
25 2008-09-27 53.9 @ Besa 1 1227 52.91% Teuta 1 1192 18.43% 28.66%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-04-11 26.6 @ KF Tirana 3 1351 66.77% KF Elbasani 0 1178 10.27% 22.97%
2 2008-12-13 27.1 @ KF Tirana 3 1280 64.21% Apolonia 0 1135 11.52% 24.26%
3 2009-03-21 27.6 @ KF Tirana 2 1335 68.09% Apolonia 0 1148 9.65% 22.25%
4 2009-02-22 28.0 @ Vllaznia 2 1302 66.27% Lushnja 0 1135 10.50% 23.23%
5 2009-03-01 28.7 @ Dinamo Tirana 5 1337 71.38% Bylis 1 1110 8.23% 20.39%
6 2008-11-30 28.9 @ Besa 3 1219 57.98% Bylis 0 1137 15.04% 26.98%
7 2009-04-25 29.3 @ Dinamo Tirana 3 1341 58.95% Shkumbini 0 1250 14.45% 26.60%
8 2008-11-08 29.4 @ Shkumbini 2 1268 61.61% Apolonia 0 1150 12.91% 25.48%
9 2009-03-21 29.7 @ Dinamo Tirana 2 1338 62.14% KF Elbasani 0 1215 12.62% 25.24%
10 2008-12-06 29.8 @ Flamurtari 2 1234 60.18% Lushnja 0 1131 13.72% 26.10%
11 2008-10-25 30.2 @ KF Elbasani 2 1244 58.92% Lushnja 0 1153 14.46% 26.61%
12 2009-04-11 30.7 @ Vllaznia 2 1313 58.35% Partizani 0 1227 14.81% 26.84%
13 2008-10-25 31.0 @ Dinamo Tirana 2 1309 57.52% Partizani 0 1232 15.33% 27.15%
14 2008-12-21 31.3 @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1330 70.10% Lushnja 0 1119 8.77% 21.13%
15 2008-12-27 31.4 @ KF Tirana 6 1273 65.45% Bylis 2 1115 10.90% 23.65%
16 2009-05-23 31.4 @ Flamurtari 4 1196 51.31% Besa 0 1175 19.60% 29.09%
17 2009-02-05 31.7 @ KF Tirana 2 1307 55.48% Shkumbini 0 1250 16.66% 27.87%
18 2008-08-24 32.1 @ Shkumbini 4 1241 62.46% Bylis 1 1115 12.44% 25.10%
19 2008-11-15 32.1 @ KF Tirana 1 1293 67.20% Lushnja 0 1116 10.06% 22.73%
20 2008-09-14 32.2 @ KF Elbasani 1 1265 66.62% Bylis 0 1094 10.34% 23.05%
21 2008-08-31 32.5 @ Apolonia 2 1192 51.05% Lushnja 0 1174 19.80% 29.15%
22 2009-03-21 33.2 @ Besa 2 1227 49.24% Teuta 0 1224 21.19% 29.57%
23 2009-04-25 33.3 @ KF Tirana 4 1361 61.32% Teuta 1 1246 13.07% 25.61%
24 2008-09-26 33.4 @ Vllaznia 1 1227 62.47% Bylis 0 1101 12.44% 25.09%
25 2009-05-02 33.4 @ Teuta 1 1235 62.40% Bylis 0 1109 12.48% 25.13%