‹ ›

2009-10 Kategoria Superiore Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Dinamo Tirana

61 points · 18th Title

Last Title: 2007-08

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Laci

11.63 points above expected

51 points · 39.37 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Gramozi

10.55 points below expected

26 points · 36.55 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Dinamo Tirana Champion 33 19 4 10 61 56 42 +14 59.64 +1.36
2 Besa 33 15 8 10 53 42 33 +9 53.17 -0.17
3 KF Tirana 33 15 7 11 52 38 32 +6 55.51 -3.51
4 Laci 33 14 9 10 51 35 28 +7 39.37 +11.63
5 Flamurtari 33 13 8 12 47 42 39 +3 42.55 +4.45
6 Vllaznia 33 13 7 13 46 34 39 -5 46.56 -0.56
7 Shkumbini 33 13 6 14 45 33 33 0 48.39 -3.39
8 Teuta 33 13 6 14 45 33 40 -7 40.56 +4.44
9 Skenderbeu 33 11 9 13 42 41 41 0 38.53 +3.47
10 Kastrioti* 33 13 6 14 42 33 35 -2 38.92 +3.08
11 Apolonia 33 10 8 15 38 36 43 -7 47.52 -9.52
12 Gramozi 33 6 8 19 26 25 43 -18 36.55 -10.55

* Point deductions: Kastrioti (-3 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Laci 51 39.37 +11.63
2 Flamurtari 47 42.55 +4.45
3 Teuta 45 40.56 +4.44
4 Skenderbeu 42 38.53 +3.47
5 Kastrioti 42 38.92 +3.08

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Gramozi 26 36.55 -10.55
2 Apolonia 38 47.52 -9.52
3 KF Tirana 52 55.51 -3.51
4 Shkumbini 45 48.39 -3.39
5 Vllaznia 46 46.56 -0.56

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Skenderbeu 6 Feb 25 – Apr 2 1 in 5,059
2 Flamurtari 5 Mar 21 – Apr 17 1 in 129
3 Vllaznia 4 Mar 21 – Apr 11 1 in 90
4 Laci 3 Jan 31 – Feb 12 1 in 24
5 Dinamo Tirana 7 Oct 31 – Dec 16 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dinamo Tirana 7 Apr 2 – May 14 1 in 3,255
2 Besa 4 Mar 7 – Apr 2 1 in 147
3 KF Tirana 3 Mar 6 – Mar 28 1 in 92
4 Flamurtari 4 Aug 29 – Sep 26 1 in 67
5 Gramozi 4 Mar 27 – Apr 17 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vllaznia 8 Feb 6 – Apr 11 1 in 167
2 Skenderbeu 6 Feb 25 – Apr 2 1 in 90
3 Kastrioti 7 Sep 26 – Nov 21 1 in 48
4 Laci 6 Dec 19 – Feb 12 1 in 37
5 Dinamo Tirana 15 Aug 23 – Dec 16 1 in 36

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dinamo Tirana 9 Mar 20 – May 14 1 in 326
2 Skenderbeu 16 Sep 26 – Feb 13 1 in 96
3 Besa 6 Feb 15 – Apr 2 1 in 39
4 Flamurtari 9 Oct 18 – Dec 16 1 in 27
5 Teuta 7 Feb 20 – Apr 11 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Dinamo Tirana 1205 61 -72 3 7.2 -4.2
Besa 1260 53 +46 10 7.9 +2.1
KF Tirana 1291 52 -6 8 8.2 -0.2
Laci 1287 51 +30 9 6.8 +2.2
Flamurtari 1312 47 -27 8 9.2 -1.2
Vllaznia 1205 46 -45 7 7.2 -0.2
Teuta 1215 45 +103 10 4.1 +5.9
Kastrioti 1238 45 +33 9 7.3 +1.7
Shkumbini 1249 45 -19 6 6.4 -0.4
Skenderbeu 1288 42 -4 6 8.4 -2.4
Apolonia 1127 38 -65 4 6.1 -2.1
Gramozi 1115 26 +27 4 4.5 -0.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team APO BES DT FLA GRA KT KAS LAC SHK SKE TEU VLL
Apolonia —
0-1-2
3.32
2-0-1
2.76
0-1-2
3.78
1-0-2
4.89
1-0-2
4.20
1-1-1
4.66
1-0-2
4.86
1-1-1
5.10
1-2-0
4.17
2-1-0
4.30
0-1-2
4.91
Besa
2-1-0
5.00
—
0-0-3
3.18
1-0-2
5.90
2-1-0
5.91
0-3-0
4.46
1-0-2
4.61
2-1-0
4.66
3-0-0
4.68
2-0-1
6.12
0-2-1
4.69
2-0-1
3.66
Dinamo Tirana
1-0-2
5.57
3-0-0
5.14
—
2-0-1
4.68
3-0-0
6.71
2-0-1
3.90
2-1-0
5.71
1-1-1
6.15
1-0-2
5.21
1-1-1
6.12
2-0-1
6.41
1-1-1
5.88
Flamurtari
2-1-0
4.58
2-0-1
2.43
1-0-2
3.68
—
1-1-1
4.34
2-0-1
3.58
2-1-0
4.66
0-1-2
4.03
1-1-1
4.09
1-1-1
4.12
0-0-3
4.37
1-2-0
3.49
Gramozi
2-0-1
3.43
0-1-2
2.45
0-0-3
1.68
1-1-1
3.98
—
0-1-2
2.65
0-1-2
4.04
0-1-2
4.05
0-2-1
3.14
1-0-2
4.74
2-0-1
3.01
0-1-2
3.74
KF Tirana
2-0-1
4.12
0-3-0
3.86
1-0-2
4.44
1-0-2
4.74
2-1-0
5.71
—
1-1-1
5.87
1-0-2
5.81
2-0-1
4.01
1-2-0
4.85
3-0-0
5.55
1-0-2
5.51
Kastrioti
1-1-1
3.67
2-0-1
3.71
0-1-2
2.65
0-1-2
3.67
2-1-0
4.28
1-1-1
2.47
—
1-1-1
4.79
1-0-2
3.43
2-0-1
4.84
1-0-2
4.83
2-0-1
4.05
Laci
2-0-1
3.47
0-1-2
3.68
1-1-1
2.20
2-1-0
4.29
2-1-0
4.29
2-0-1
2.52
1-1-1
3.53
—
1-1-1
3.73
1-1-1
4.43
0-2-1
3.79
2-0-1
3.12
Shkumbini
1-1-1
3.21
0-0-3
3.64
2-0-1
3.13
1-1-1
4.25
1-2-0
5.20
1-0-2
4.32
2-0-1
4.89
1-1-1
4.60
—
1-0-2
4.57
2-0-1
5.20
1-1-1
5.24
Skenderbeu
0-2-1
4.17
1-0-2
2.23
1-1-1
2.25
1-1-1
4.20
2-0-1
3.58
0-2-1
3.49
1-0-2
3.48
1-1-1
3.89
2-0-1
3.76
—
1-1-1
3.43
1-1-1
3.03
Teuta
0-1-2
4.01
1-2-0
3.63
1-0-2
1.95
3-0-0
3.96
1-0-2
5.31
0-0-3
2.79
2-0-1
3.51
1-2-0
4.54
1-0-2
3.13
1-1-1
4.89
—
2-0-1
3.56
Vllaznia
2-1-0
3.42
1-0-2
4.66
1-1-1
2.47
0-2-1
4.83
2-1-0
4.58
2-0-1
2.84
1-0-2
4.26
1-0-2
5.20
1-1-1
3.09
1-1-1
5.31
1-0-2
4.78
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.63 +9.1
Allowed 0.18 -7.4
Differential 0.88 +9.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.08%13.64%8.08%2.78%0.51%—33.08%
113.64%12.63%6.82%2.02%1.01%—36.11%
28.08%6.82%1.01%2.78%0.51%—19.19%
32.78%2.02%2.78%—0.76%—8.33%
40.51%1.01%0.51%0.76%—0.25%3.03%
5+————0.25%—0.25%
Total33.08%36.11%19.19%8.33%3.03%0.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 1.13 +0.00
SD 1.09 1.09 1.48
CV 0.96 0.96 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%12.12%6.06%——36.36%
13.03%18.18%3.03%—3.03%—27.27%
212.12%6.06%—9.09%——27.27%
36.06%—3.03%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%36.36%18.18%15.15%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.30 -0.21
SD 1.01 1.13 1.65
CV 0.93 0.87 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%9.09%3.03%3.03%——27.27%
118.18%12.12%6.06%———36.36%
218.18%3.03%—6.06%——27.27%
3——3.03%—3.03%—6.06%
4———————
5+————3.03%—3.03%
Total48.48%24.24%12.12%9.09%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.00 +0.27
SD 1.23 1.25 1.31
CV 0.97 1.25 —
Max 6 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%3.03%—3.03%3.03%—12.12%
121.21%9.09%12.12%———42.42%
23.03%9.09%—3.03%3.03%—18.18%
36.06%6.06%3.03%—3.03%—18.18%
43.03%—3.03%3.03%——9.09%
5+———————
Total36.36%27.27%18.18%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 1.27 +0.42
SD 1.19 1.31 1.70
CV 0.70 1.03 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%12.12%6.06%6.06%——27.27%
16.06%18.18%3.03%6.06%——33.33%
212.12%6.06%3.03%3.03%——24.24%
36.06%6.06%3.03%———15.15%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%42.42%15.15%15.15%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.18 +0.09
SD 1.04 1.01 1.65
CV 0.82 0.86 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%27.27%9.09%3.03%3.03%—51.52%
13.03%15.15%9.09%—3.03%—30.30%
212.12%—————12.12%
33.03%—————3.03%
4—————3.03%3.03%
5+———————
Total27.27%42.42%18.18%3.03%6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.76 1.30 -0.55
SD 1.00 1.36 1.56
CV 1.32 1.04 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%12.12%3.03%———18.18%
124.24%15.15%12.12%6.06%——57.58%
29.09%6.06%3.03%———18.18%
3——3.03%———3.03%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total36.36%36.36%21.21%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 0.97 +0.18
SD 0.87 0.92 1.26
CV 0.76 0.95 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%15.15%9.09%3.03%——33.33%
121.21%12.12%12.12%3.03%——48.48%
23.03%3.03%————6.06%
33.03%—6.06%———9.09%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%27.27%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.06 -0.06
SD 1.03 0.93 1.43
CV 1.03 0.88 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.21%21.21%3.03%———45.45%
115.15%6.06%3.03%———24.24%
23.03%9.09%————12.12%
3—6.06%6.06%—3.03%—15.15%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+———————
Total39.39%42.42%15.15%—3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 0.85 +0.21
SD 1.22 0.91 1.08
CV 1.15 1.07 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%15.15%12.12%———39.39%
118.18%6.06%6.06%3.03%3.03%—36.36%
23.03%9.09%—3.03%——15.15%
33.03%—————3.03%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+———————
Total39.39%33.33%18.18%6.06%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.00 +0.00
SD 1.12 1.06 1.62
CV 1.12 1.06 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%18.18%9.09%3.03%——36.36%
16.06%18.18%3.03%———27.27%
26.06%6.06%3.03%6.06%——21.21%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4—3.03%—6.06%——9.09%
5+———————
Total21.21%48.48%15.15%15.15%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.24 +0.00
SD 1.28 0.97 1.44
CV 1.03 0.78 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%15.15%6.06%——39.39%
19.09%9.09%6.06%3.03%3.03%—30.30%
29.09%12.12%————21.21%
33.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.30%33.33%24.24%9.09%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.21 -0.21
SD 1.00 1.08 1.65
CV 1.00 0.89 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%15.15%———30.30%
118.18%12.12%6.06%3.03%——39.39%
26.06%12.12%3.03%3.03%3.03%—27.27%
3——3.03%———3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.30%33.33%27.27%6.06%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.18 -0.15
SD 0.85 1.04 1.28
CV 0.82 0.88 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Flamurtari 1312 47 42.55 +4.45 77.0% 24 31 38 43 46 54 61
KF Tirana 1291 52 55.51 -3.51 31.0% 40 42 51 55 60 66 74
Skenderbeu 1288 42 38.53 +3.47 71.0% 19 25 34 38 43 52 56
Laci 1287 51 39.37 +11.63 96.0% 26 28 35 39 44 50 55
Besa 1260 53 53.17 -0.17 50.0% 30 38 48 53 58 66 68
Shkumbini 1249 45 48.39 -3.39 34.0% 31 33 43 49 54 60 68
Kastrioti 1238 42 38.92 +3.08 70.0% 19 27 33 39 44 50 57
Teuta 1215 45 40.56 +4.44 74.0% 24 29 36 41 46 50 54
Vllaznia 1205 46 46.56 -0.56 49.0% 25 35 42 47 51 59 62
Dinamo Tirana 1205 61 59.64 +1.36 63.0% 40 50 56 60 63 70 76
Apolonia 1127 38 47.52 -9.52 10.0% 28 35 43 48 53 56 60
Gramozi 1115 26 36.55 -10.55 6.0% 17 26 32 36 41 47 57

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 27% * Slight Edge: 27% to 33% * Clear Edge: 33% to 40% * Strong Edge: 40% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+31.82%
Slight Edge
55.05%21.72%23.23%
Elo Value
Home Edge
357 Elo
0.003 goals per Elo point
0114.521000
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.56 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.32+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.04 * Tight Race: 0.04 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.9
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
53%
Dinamo Tirana, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.24/gm
Runaway
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.68 * Some Luck: 5.68 to 8.51 * Lucky: 8.51 to 11.35 * Wild Swing: 11.35 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.62 * Close: 1.62 to 2.43 * Off: 2.43 to 3.24 * Way Off: 3.24 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.95 points
Some Luck
07.1018
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.67
Close
02.035
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
96.00%
Laci
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
6.00%
Gramozi
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 77.5% * Wide Edge: 77.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 93% * Strong Edge: 93% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 72.5% * Very Frequent: 72.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 10.5% * Occasional: 10.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.10
Balanced
00.120.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 62.96
1.13
Coin-Flip Parity
0.91.351.82.153
Interquartile Edge
62%
Even
50%63.5%72.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
76%
Even
50%78%100%
Close Games
Expected
70%
Frequent
0%69%100%
Blowouts
Expected
9%
Rare
0%9%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.56 * Notable Separation: 0.56 to 0.62 * Lopsided: 0.62 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14.5% * Upset-Prone: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 18.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 10.5% * As Expected: 10.5% to 12.5% * Shaky Favorites: 12.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.40
Very Even
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.77
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.32
Weak Carryover
00.410.590.731
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Very Shaky
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.62
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.43
Overconfident
0.2603061.001.73969
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.085
Well Within Noise
00.1080.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Dinamo Tirana53.00%27.00%11.00%5.00%2.00%———2.00%———
Besa16.00%15.00%25.00%16.00%7.00%5.00%5.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%
KF Tirana17.00%33.00%16.00%12.00%8.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%5.00%———
Laci—2.00%2.00%1.00%8.00%12.00%10.00%11.00%9.00%14.00%20.00%11.00%
Flamurtari—1.00%6.00%7.00%11.00%11.00%13.00%10.00%15.00%13.00%7.00%6.00%
Vllaznia6.00%3.00%8.00%10.00%15.00%12.00%14.00%13.00%7.00%8.00%2.00%2.00%
Shkumbini8.00%10.00%13.00%19.00%7.00%10.00%6.00%9.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%3.00%
Teuta——3.00%3.00%6.00%18.00%9.00%17.00%11.00%9.00%13.00%11.00%
Skenderbeu—1.00%1.00%5.00%4.00%7.00%11.00%8.00%18.00%11.00%14.00%20.00%
Kastrioti—1.00%1.00%9.00%4.00%5.00%11.00%9.00%15.00%16.00%9.00%20.00%
Apolonia—7.00%13.00%11.00%26.00%9.00%11.00%8.00%4.00%3.00%6.00%2.00%
Gramozi——1.00%2.00%2.00%6.00%7.00%10.00%6.00%19.00%24.00%23.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Dinamo Tirana 98.00% 2.00% —
KF Tirana 95.00% 5.00% —
Besa 93.00% 4.00% 3.00%
Vllaznia 81.00% 15.00% 4.00%
Shkumbini 82.00% 11.00% 7.00%
Apolonia 85.00% 7.00% 8.00%
Flamurtari 59.00% 28.00% 13.00%
Teuta 56.00% 20.00% 24.00%
Kastrioti 40.00% 31.00% 29.00%
Laci 46.00% 23.00% 31.00%
Skenderbeu 37.00% 29.00% 34.00%
Gramozi 28.00% 25.00% 47.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2009-08-23 Dinamo Tirana L 1-344.3 1213 1284 44.55% 22.98% 32.47%+0.12 -35.4 0
2009-08-23 @ Kastrioti W 3-144.3 1284 1213 32.47% 22.98% 44.55%-0.12 +35.4 3
2009-08-23 Flamurtari L 1-349.1 1323 1255 60.47% 22.06% 17.47%+0.51 -46.6 0
2009-08-23 @ KF Tirana W 3-149.1 1255 1323 17.47% 22.06% 60.47%-0.51 +46.7 3
2009-08-23 Laci W 4-347.9 1140 1088 59.01% 22.22% 18.78%+0.47 +9.3 3
2009-08-23 @ Skenderbeu L 3-447.9 1088 1140 18.78% 22.22% 59.01%-0.47 -9.3 0
2009-08-23 Shkumbini D 0-051.1 1233 1236 53.11% 22.66% 24.23%+0.31 -3.5 1
2009-08-23 @ Gramozi D 0-051.1 1236 1233 24.23% 22.66% 53.11%-0.31 +3.5 1
2009-08-23 Teuta W 2-032.0 1250 1246 53.87% 22.62% 23.51%+0.33 +24.4 3
2009-08-23 @ Apolonia L 0-232.0 1246 1250 23.51% 22.62% 53.87%-0.33 -24.5 0
2009-08-23 Vllaznia W 2-034.7 1228 1295 45.11% 22.97% 31.92%+0.13 +31.4 3
2009-08-23 @ Besa L 0-234.7 1295 1228 31.92% 22.97% 45.11%-0.13 -31.4 0
2009-08-29 Apolonia W 1-037.7 1263 1274 52.21% 22.71% 25.08%+0.29 +13.7 3
2009-08-29 @ Vllaznia L 0-137.7 1274 1263 25.08% 22.71% 52.21%-0.29 -13.7 3
2009-08-29 Besa L 1-251.4 1240 1259 51.11% 22.77% 26.12%+0.27 -23.0 1
2009-08-29 @ Shkumbini W 2-151.4 1259 1240 26.12% 22.77% 51.11%-0.27 +23.0 6
2009-08-29 Dinamo Tirana L 0-339.1 1302 1320 51.37% 22.75% 25.87%+0.27 -67.2 3
2009-08-29 @ Flamurtari W 3-039.1 1320 1302 25.87% 22.75% 51.37%-0.27 +67.2 6
2009-08-29 Gramozi D 1-156.1 1078 1230 33.33% 22.99% 43.68%-0.10 +1.1 1
2009-08-29 @ Laci D 1-156.1 1230 1078 43.68% 22.99% 33.33%+0.10 -1.1 2
2009-08-29 Kastrioti W 2-141.6 1221 1178 58.14% 22.30% 19.56%+0.44 +10.4 3
2009-08-29 @ Teuta L 1-241.6 1178 1221 19.56% 22.30% 58.14%-0.44 -10.4 0
2009-08-29 Skenderbeu W 1-033.3 1276 1149 65.53% 21.36% 13.11%+0.68 +7.7 3
2009-08-29 @ KF Tirana L 0-133.3 1149 1276 13.11% 21.36% 65.53%-0.68 -7.7 3
2009-09-13 Flamurtari W 1-040.5 1142 1235 41.51% 23.02% 35.47%+0.06 +18.1 6
2009-09-13 @ Skenderbeu L 0-140.5 1235 1142 35.47% 23.02% 41.51%-0.06 -18.1 3
2009-09-13 KF Tirana L 0-144.1 1229 1284 46.65% 22.93% 30.43%+0.17 -22.5 2
2009-09-13 @ Gramozi W 1-044.1 1284 1229 30.43% 22.93% 46.65%-0.17 +22.5 6
2009-09-13 Laci W 1-031.7 1282 1079 70.74% 20.25% 9.01%+0.89 +5.3 9
2009-09-13 @ Besa L 0-131.7 1079 1282 9.01% 20.25% 70.74%-0.89 -5.3 1
2009-09-13 Shkumbini W 1-035.7 1260 1217 58.15% 22.30% 19.55%+0.44 +11.1 6
2009-09-13 @ Apolonia L 0-135.7 1217 1260 19.55% 22.30% 58.15%-0.44 -11.1 1
2009-09-13 Teuta W 1-033.5 1387 1232 67.59% 20.98% 11.43%+0.75 +6.8 9
2009-09-13 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-133.5 1232 1387 11.43% 20.98% 67.59%-0.75 -6.8 3
2009-09-13 Vllaznia W 1-041.3 1167 1277 39.15% 23.03% 37.82%+0.01 +19.0 3
2009-09-13 @ Kastrioti L 0-141.3 1277 1167 37.82% 23.03% 39.15%-0.01 -19.0 3
2009-09-19 Apolonia W 3-255.4 1074 1271 27.49% 22.83% 49.68%-0.23 +21.3 4
2009-09-19 @ Laci L 2-355.4 1271 1074 49.68% 22.83% 27.49%+0.23 -21.3 6
2009-09-19 Besa D 0-051.7 1307 1288 55.54% 22.51% 21.95%+0.37 -4.1 7
2009-09-19 @ KF Tirana D 0-051.7 1288 1307 21.95% 22.51% 55.54%-0.37 +4.1 10
2009-09-19 Dinamo Tirana D 0-052.0 1258 1394 35.52% 23.02% 41.46%-0.06 +0.7 4
2009-09-19 @ Vllaznia D 0-052.0 1394 1258 41.46% 23.02% 35.52%+0.06 -0.7 10
2009-09-19 Gramozi W 4-136.3 1160 1206 47.79% 22.89% 29.31%+0.19 +35.9 9
2009-09-19 @ Skenderbeu L 1-436.3 1206 1160 29.31% 22.89% 47.79%-0.19 -35.9 2
2009-09-19 Kastrioti W 1-036.3 1206 1186 55.58% 22.50% 21.92%+0.37 +12.2 4
2009-09-19 @ Shkumbini L 0-136.3 1186 1206 21.92% 22.50% 55.58%-0.37 -12.2 3
2009-09-19 Teuta L 0-338.6 1217 1225 52.47% 22.70% 24.83%+0.30 -68.5 3
2009-09-19 @ Flamurtari W 3-038.6 1225 1217 24.83% 22.70% 52.47%-0.30 +68.5 6
2009-09-26 Flamurtari W 2-031.1 1170 1148 55.88% 22.48% 21.63%+0.38 +22.8 5
2009-09-26 @ Gramozi L 0-231.1 1148 1170 21.63% 22.48% 55.88%-0.38 -22.8 3
2009-09-26 KF Tirana W 2-034.3 1250 1303 47.03% 22.92% 30.05%+0.17 +29.9 9
2009-09-26 @ Apolonia L 0-234.3 1303 1250 30.05% 22.92% 47.03%-0.17 -29.9 7
2009-09-26 Laci D 0-051.1 1174 1095 61.50% 21.94% 16.56%+0.54 -5.6 4
2009-09-26 @ Kastrioti D 0-051.1 1095 1174 16.56% 21.94% 61.50%-0.54 +5.6 5
2009-09-26 Shkumbini W 2-139.1 1393 1218 68.97% 20.68% 10.35%+0.81 +5.8 13
2009-09-26 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-239.1 1218 1393 10.35% 20.68% 68.97%-0.81 -5.8 4
2009-09-26 Skenderbeu W 1-034.2 1292 1196 63.02% 21.75% 15.23%+0.59 +8.8 13
2009-09-26 @ Besa L 0-134.2 1196 1292 15.23% 21.75% 63.02%-0.59 -8.8 9
2009-09-26 Vllaznia W 1-036.2 1294 1259 57.23% 22.38% 20.39%+0.42 +11.5 9
2009-09-26 @ Teuta L 0-136.2 1259 1294 20.39% 22.38% 57.23%-0.42 -11.5 4
2009-10-02 Besa D 0-051.1 1193 1301 39.47% 23.03% 37.50%+0.02 -0.2 6
2009-10-02 @ Gramozi D 0-051.1 1301 1193 37.50% 23.03% 39.47%-0.02 +0.2 14
2009-10-03 Dinamo Tirana L 0-135.0 1101 1399 17.38% 22.05% 60.57%-0.51 -10.0 5
2009-10-03 @ Laci W 1-035.0 1399 1101 60.57% 22.05% 17.38%+0.51 +10.0 16
2009-10-03 Kastrioti D 1-156.7 1273 1169 63.69% 21.65% 14.66%+0.61 -5.6 8
2009-10-03 @ KF Tirana D 1-156.7 1169 1273 14.66% 21.65% 63.69%-0.61 +5.5 5
2009-10-03 Teuta W 4-138.5 1212 1305 41.53% 23.02% 35.45%+0.06 +41.8 7
2009-10-03 @ Shkumbini L 1-438.5 1305 1212 35.45% 23.02% 41.53%-0.06 -41.8 9
2009-10-04 Apolonia L 2-353.2 1187 1280 41.50% 23.02% 35.48%+0.06 -18.3 9
2009-10-04 @ Skenderbeu W 3-253.2 1280 1187 35.48% 23.02% 41.50%-0.06 +18.3 12
2009-10-04 Vllaznia W 2-036.7 1125 1247 37.43% 23.03% 39.54%-0.02 +37.1 6
2009-10-04 @ Flamurtari L 0-236.7 1247 1125 39.54% 23.03% 37.43%+0.02 -37.1 4
2009-10-18 Flamurtari W 1-033.2 1301 1163 66.38% 21.21% 12.41%+0.71 +7.3 17
2009-10-18 @ Besa L 0-133.2 1163 1301 12.41% 21.21% 66.38%-0.71 -7.3 6
2009-10-18 Gramozi W 3-027.0 1298 1193 63.81% 21.63% 14.56%+0.62 +23.2 15
2009-10-18 @ Apolonia L 0-327.0 1193 1298 14.56% 21.63% 63.81%-0.62 -23.2 6
2009-10-18 KF Tirana W 2-140.4 1409 1267 66.62% 21.17% 12.21%+0.72 +6.8 19
2009-10-18 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-240.4 1267 1409 12.21% 21.17% 66.62%-0.72 -6.8 8
2009-10-18 Laci W 2-138.3 1263 1091 68.78% 20.72% 10.50%+0.80 +5.8 12
2009-10-18 @ Teuta L 1-238.3 1091 1263 10.50% 20.72% 68.78%-0.80 -5.9 5
2009-10-18 Shkumbini W 2-033.6 1210 1254 48.16% 22.88% 28.95%+0.20 +29.0 7
2009-10-18 @ Vllaznia L 0-233.6 1254 1210 28.95% 22.88% 48.16%-0.20 -29.0 7
2009-10-18 Skenderbeu W 2-142.7 1174 1169 54.07% 22.61% 23.32%+0.34 +12.1 8
2009-10-18 @ Kastrioti L 1-242.7 1169 1174 23.32% 22.61% 54.07%-0.34 -12.1 9
2009-10-24 Kastrioti D 0-050.9 1170 1186 51.50% 22.75% 25.75%+0.27 -3.1 7
2009-10-24 @ Gramozi D 0-050.9 1186 1170 25.75% 22.75% 51.50%-0.27 +3.1 9
2009-10-24 Teuta W 2-032.6 1260 1269 52.42% 22.70% 24.88%+0.30 +25.6 11
2009-10-24 @ KF Tirana L 0-232.6 1269 1260 24.88% 22.70% 52.42%-0.30 -25.6 12
2009-10-24 Vllaznia W 3-143.8 1085 1239 32.98% 22.99% 44.04%-0.11 +35.1 8
2009-10-24 @ Laci L 1-343.8 1239 1085 44.04% 22.99% 32.98%+0.11 -35.1 7
2009-10-25 Dinamo Tirana D 1-156.9 1156 1415 20.85% 22.42% 56.74%-0.40 +3.9 10
2009-10-25 @ Skenderbeu D 1-156.9 1415 1156 56.74% 22.42% 20.85%+0.40 -3.9 20
2009-10-25 Shkumbini D 1-156.2 1155 1225 44.78% 22.97% 32.25%+0.13 -1.3 7
2009-10-25 @ Flamurtari D 1-156.2 1225 1155 32.25% 22.97% 44.78%-0.13 +1.3 8
2009-10-26 Apolonia D 0-051.9 1308 1322 51.88% 22.73% 25.39%+0.28 -3.2 18
2009-10-26 @ Besa D 0-051.9 1322 1308 25.39% 22.73% 51.88%-0.28 +3.1 16
2009-10-30 KF Tirana L 0-143.0 1204 1286 43.10% 23.00% 33.90%+0.09 -21.1 7
2009-10-30 @ Vllaznia W 1-043.0 1286 1204 33.90% 23.00% 43.10%-0.09 +21.1 14
2009-10-31 Flamurtari D 1-157.0 1325 1154 68.67% 20.75% 10.58%+0.80 -6.7 17
2009-10-31 @ Apolonia D 1-157.0 1154 1325 10.58% 20.75% 68.67%-0.80 +6.7 8
2009-10-31 Gramozi W 4-025.1 1412 1167 73.14% 19.54% 7.32%+1.01 +15.5 23
2009-10-31 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-425.1 1167 1412 7.32% 19.54% 73.14%-1.01 -15.5 7
2009-10-31 Laci W 1-033.7 1226 1120 63.83% 21.63% 14.54%+0.62 +8.5 11
2009-10-31 @ Shkumbini L 0-133.7 1120 1226 14.54% 21.63% 63.83%-0.62 -8.5 8
2009-11-01 Besa W 1-041.7 1189 1305 38.30% 23.03% 38.67%+0.00 +19.4 12
2009-11-01 @ Kastrioti L 0-141.7 1305 1189 38.67% 23.03% 38.30%+0.00 -19.4 18
2009-11-01 Skenderbeu W 2-029.4 1243 1160 61.89% 21.90% 16.22%+0.55 +17.7 15
2009-11-01 @ Teuta L 0-229.4 1160 1243 16.22% 21.90% 61.89%-0.55 -17.6 10
2009-11-07 Kastrioti L 2-359.8 1318 1209 64.13% 21.59% 14.29%+0.63 -27.1 17
2009-11-07 @ Apolonia W 3-259.8 1209 1318 14.29% 21.59% 64.13%-0.63 +27.1 15
2009-11-07 Shkumbini W 2-030.1 1307 1234 60.92% 22.01% 17.07%+0.52 +18.5 17
2009-11-07 @ KF Tirana L 0-230.1 1234 1307 17.07% 22.01% 60.92%-0.52 -18.5 11
2009-11-07 Teuta W 2-036.2 1151 1261 39.12% 23.03% 37.84%+0.01 +35.9 10
2009-11-07 @ Gramozi L 0-236.2 1261 1151 37.84% 23.03% 39.12%-0.01 -35.9 15
2009-11-08 Laci D 0-051.0 1161 1112 58.68% 22.25% 19.08%+0.46 -4.9 9
2009-11-08 @ Flamurtari D 0-051.0 1112 1161 19.08% 22.25% 58.68%-0.46 +4.9 9
2009-11-08 Vllaznia D 1-156.1 1143 1183 48.56% 22.87% 28.57%+0.21 -2.1 11
2009-11-08 @ Skenderbeu D 1-156.1 1183 1143 28.57% 22.87% 48.56%-0.21 +2.1 8
2009-11-09 Dinamo Tirana L 0-142.1 1286 1427 34.72% 23.01% 42.27%-0.07 -17.8 18
2009-11-09 @ Besa W 1-042.1 1427 1286 42.27% 23.01% 34.72%+0.07 +17.8 26
2009-11-21 Apolonia W 3-245.7 1445 1291 67.50% 21.00% 11.50%+0.75 +6.1 29
2009-11-21 @ Dinamo Tirana L 2-345.7 1291 1445 11.50% 21.00% 67.50%-0.75 -6.1 17
2009-11-21 Flamurtari D 1-156.5 1236 1156 61.58% 21.93% 16.48%+0.54 -5.1 16
2009-11-21 @ Kastrioti D 1-156.5 1156 1236 16.48% 21.93% 61.58%-0.54 +5.0 10
2009-11-21 Gramozi W 1-036.9 1185 1187 53.23% 22.66% 24.11%+0.32 +13.2 11
2009-11-21 @ Vllaznia L 0-136.9 1187 1185 24.11% 22.66% 53.23%-0.32 -13.2 10
2009-11-21 Skenderbeu W 1-034.5 1216 1141 61.19% 21.98% 16.83%+0.53 +9.7 14
2009-11-21 @ Shkumbini L 0-134.5 1141 1216 16.83% 21.98% 61.19%-0.53 -9.7 11
2009-11-22 Besa D 1-156.4 1225 1268 48.28% 22.88% 28.84%+0.20 -2.0 16
2009-11-22 @ Teuta D 1-156.4 1268 1225 28.84% 22.88% 48.28%-0.20 +2.0 19
2009-11-22 KF Tirana W 1-045.2 1117 1326 26.16% 22.77% 51.08%-0.26 +24.4 12
2009-11-22 @ Laci L 0-145.2 1326 1117 51.08% 22.77% 26.16%+0.26 -24.4 17
2009-11-28 Gramozi D 1-156.4 1226 1174 58.96% 22.22% 18.82%+0.47 -4.4 15
2009-11-28 @ Shkumbini D 1-156.4 1174 1226 18.82% 22.22% 58.96%-0.47 +4.4 11
2009-11-28 Kastrioti W 2-027.9 1451 1231 71.76% 19.96% 8.28%+0.94 +9.2 32
2009-11-28 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-227.9 1231 1451 8.28% 19.96% 71.76%-0.94 -9.2 16
2009-11-28 Skenderbeu D 0-050.9 1141 1131 54.58% 22.57% 22.84%+0.35 -3.8 13
2009-11-28 @ Laci D 0-050.9 1131 1141 22.84% 22.57% 54.58%-0.35 +3.8 12
2009-11-29 Apolonia L 0-238.8 1223 1285 45.80% 22.95% 31.25%+0.15 -41.9 16
2009-11-29 @ Teuta W 2-038.8 1285 1223 31.25% 22.95% 45.80%-0.15 +41.9 20
2009-11-29 Besa L 2-354.1 1198 1270 44.49% 22.98% 32.53%+0.12 -19.4 11
2009-11-29 @ Vllaznia W 3-254.1 1270 1198 32.53% 22.98% 44.49%-0.12 +19.4 22
2009-11-30 KF Tirana L 0-235.4 1161 1301 34.87% 23.01% 42.12%-0.07 -33.7 10
2009-11-30 @ Flamurtari W 2-035.4 1301 1161 42.12% 23.01% 34.87%+0.07 +33.7 20
2009-12-04 Teuta L 1-253.1 1221 1181 57.77% 22.33% 19.90%+0.43 -25.8 16
2009-12-04 @ Kastrioti W 2-153.1 1181 1221 19.90% 22.33% 57.77%-0.43 +25.8 19
2009-12-05 Flamurtari W 1-030.4 1460 1127 77.36% 17.92% 4.72%+1.25 +2.7 35
2009-12-05 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-130.4 1127 1460 4.72% 17.92% 77.36%-1.25 -2.7 10
2009-12-05 Laci L 1-253.0 1178 1137 57.87% 22.32% 19.81%+0.44 -25.8 11
2009-12-05 @ Gramozi W 2-153.0 1137 1178 19.81% 22.32% 57.87%-0.44 +25.8 16
2009-12-05 Vllaznia D 1-157.0 1327 1179 67.07% 21.08% 11.85%+0.73 -6.4 21
2009-12-05 @ Apolonia D 1-157.0 1179 1327 11.85% 21.08% 67.07%-0.73 +6.4 12
2009-12-06 KF Tirana D 1-156.4 1135 1335 27.18% 22.81% 50.00%-0.24 +2.4 13
2009-12-06 @ Skenderbeu D 1-156.4 1335 1135 50.00% 22.81% 27.18%+0.24 -2.4 21
2009-12-06 Shkumbini W 2-030.1 1289 1221 60.51% 22.06% 17.43%+0.51 +18.9 25
2009-12-06 @ Besa L 0-230.1 1221 1289 17.43% 22.06% 60.51%-0.51 -18.8 15
2009-12-12 Apolonia W 3-034.9 1202 1320 37.98% 23.03% 38.99%-0.01 +53.4 18
2009-12-12 @ Shkumbini L 0-334.9 1320 1202 38.99% 23.03% 37.98%+0.01 -53.4 21
2009-12-12 Dinamo Tirana L 1-338.2 1207 1463 21.17% 22.44% 56.38%-0.40 -19.4 19
2009-12-12 @ Teuta W 3-138.2 1463 1207 56.38% 22.44% 21.17%+0.40 +19.4 38
2009-12-12 Gramozi D 1-157.1 1332 1152 69.29% 20.61% 10.10%+0.82 -6.9 22
2009-12-12 @ KF Tirana D 1-157.1 1152 1332 10.10% 20.61% 69.29%-0.82 +6.9 12
2009-12-13 Besa D 0-051.0 1163 1308 34.19% 23.01% 42.81%-0.09 +1.0 17
2009-12-13 @ Laci D 0-051.0 1308 1163 42.81% 23.01% 34.19%+0.09 -1.0 26
2009-12-13 Kastrioti W 1-037.2 1185 1196 52.26% 22.71% 25.03%+0.29 +13.7 15
2009-12-13 @ Vllaznia L 0-137.2 1196 1185 25.03% 22.71% 52.26%-0.29 -13.7 16
2009-12-13 Skenderbeu D 1-156.1 1125 1137 51.98% 22.72% 25.30%+0.29 -2.8 11
2009-12-13 @ Flamurtari D 1-156.1 1137 1125 25.30% 22.72% 51.98%-0.29 +2.8 14
2009-12-16 Flamurtari W 1-034.8 1188 1122 60.32% 22.08% 17.60%+0.51 +10.1 22
2009-12-16 @ Teuta L 0-134.8 1122 1188 17.60% 22.08% 60.32%-0.51 -10.1 11
2009-12-16 Laci W 2-028.9 1267 1164 63.60% 21.67% 14.73%+0.61 +16.2 24
2009-12-16 @ Apolonia L 0-228.9 1164 1267 14.73% 21.67% 63.60%-0.61 -16.2 17
2009-12-16 Shkumbini W 4-137.5 1182 1256 44.18% 22.98% 32.84%+0.11 +39.4 19
2009-12-16 @ Kastrioti L 1-437.5 1256 1182 32.84% 22.98% 44.18%-0.11 -39.4 18
2009-12-16 Skenderbeu W 2-031.2 1159 1140 55.59% 22.50% 21.91%+0.37 +23.0 15
2009-12-16 @ Gramozi L 0-231.2 1140 1159 21.91% 22.50% 55.59%-0.37 -23.0 14
2009-12-16 Vllaznia W 4-236.0 1482 1199 75.09% 18.86% 6.05%+1.11 +5.2 41
2009-12-16 @ Dinamo Tirana L 2-436.0 1199 1482 6.05% 18.86% 75.09%-1.11 -5.2 15
2009-12-17 KF Tirana D 1-157.2 1307 1326 51.29% 22.76% 25.95%+0.27 -2.7 27
2009-12-17 @ Besa D 1-157.2 1326 1307 25.95% 22.76% 51.29%-0.27 +2.7 23
2009-12-19 Dinamo Tirana W 4-042.3 1216 1487 19.72% 22.31% 57.96%-0.44 +98.1 21
2009-12-19 @ Shkumbini L 0-442.3 1487 1216 57.96% 22.31% 19.72%+0.44 -98.2 41
2009-12-19 Gramozi W 2-034.5 1112 1182 44.61% 22.98% 32.41%+0.12 +31.8 14
2009-12-19 @ Flamurtari L 0-234.5 1182 1112 32.41% 22.98% 44.61%-0.12 -31.8 15
2009-12-19 Kastrioti W 1-039.6 1148 1221 44.23% 22.98% 32.79%+0.11 +17.0 20
2009-12-19 @ Laci L 0-139.6 1221 1148 32.79% 22.98% 44.23%-0.11 -17.0 19
2009-12-20 Apolonia W 4-134.0 1328 1283 58.27% 22.28% 19.45%+0.45 +25.4 26
2009-12-20 @ KF Tirana L 1-434.0 1283 1328 19.45% 22.28% 58.27%-0.45 -25.4 24
2009-12-20 Teuta W 2-143.1 1194 1198 52.98% 22.67% 24.35%+0.31 +12.6 18
2009-12-20 @ Vllaznia L 1-243.1 1198 1194 24.35% 22.67% 52.98%-0.31 -12.6 22
2009-12-23 Flamurtari D 2-262.2 1206 1143 60.03% 22.11% 17.86%+0.50 -3.5 19
2009-12-23 @ Vllaznia D 2-262.2 1143 1206 17.86% 22.11% 60.03%-0.50 +3.5 15
2009-12-23 KF Tirana L 0-140.4 1204 1354 33.62% 23.00% 43.39%-0.10 -17.4 19
2009-12-23 @ Kastrioti W 1-040.4 1354 1204 43.39% 23.00% 33.62%+0.10 +17.4 29
2009-12-23 Skenderbeu D 1-156.7 1258 1117 66.57% 21.18% 12.25%+0.71 -6.2 25
2009-12-23 @ Apolonia D 1-156.7 1117 1258 12.25% 21.18% 66.57%-0.71 +6.2 15
2009-12-24 Gramozi W 1-032.8 1304 1150 67.52% 20.99% 11.49%+0.75 +6.8 30
2009-12-24 @ Besa L 0-132.8 1150 1304 11.49% 20.99% 67.52%-0.75 -6.8 15
2009-12-24 Laci D 1-157.6 1389 1165 72.00% 19.90% 8.11%+0.95 -7.5 42
2009-12-24 @ Dinamo Tirana D 1-157.6 1165 1389 8.11% 19.90% 72.00%-0.95 +7.5 21
2009-12-24 Shkumbini W 1-042.3 1185 1315 36.38% 23.03% 40.59%-0.04 +20.1 25
2009-12-24 @ Teuta L 0-142.3 1315 1185 40.59% 23.03% 36.38%+0.04 -20.1 21
2010-01-23 Vllaznia W 2-140.5 1294 1203 62.61% 21.80% 15.58%+0.58 +8.5 24
2010-01-23 @ Shkumbini L 1-240.5 1203 1294 15.58% 21.80% 62.61%-0.58 -8.5 19
2010-01-24 Apolonia W 1-041.1 1144 1252 39.43% 23.03% 37.54%+0.02 +18.9 18
2010-01-24 @ Gramozi L 0-141.1 1252 1144 37.54% 23.03% 39.43%-0.02 -18.9 25
2010-01-24 Kastrioti L 0-143.4 1123 1187 45.54% 22.96% 31.51%+0.14 -22.1 15
2010-01-24 @ Skenderbeu W 1-043.4 1187 1123 31.51% 22.96% 45.54%-0.14 +22.1 22
2010-01-24 Teuta D 0-050.9 1172 1205 49.49% 22.84% 27.67%+0.23 -2.6 22
2010-01-24 @ Laci D 0-050.9 1205 1172 27.67% 22.84% 49.49%-0.23 +2.6 26
2010-01-25 Dinamo Tirana L 1-254.0 1371 1382 52.19% 22.71% 25.10%+0.29 -23.5 29
2010-01-25 @ KF Tirana W 2-154.0 1382 1371 25.10% 22.71% 52.19%-0.29 +23.5 45
2010-01-27 Besa L 0-232.6 1101 1311 26.01% 22.76% 51.23%-0.27 -26.6 15
2010-01-27 @ Skenderbeu W 2-032.6 1311 1101 51.23% 22.76% 26.01%+0.27 +26.6 33
2010-01-29 Flamurtari W 2-138.8 1303 1147 67.66% 20.96% 11.37%+0.76 +6.3 27
2010-01-29 @ Shkumbini L 1-238.8 1147 1303 11.37% 20.96% 67.66%-0.76 -6.3 15
2010-01-30 Gramozi W 1-035.4 1209 1163 58.41% 22.27% 19.32%+0.45 +10.9 25
2010-01-30 @ Kastrioti L 0-135.4 1163 1209 19.32% 22.27% 58.41%-0.45 -10.9 18
2010-01-30 KF Tirana L 0-140.8 1208 1348 34.95% 23.01% 42.04%-0.07 -17.9 26
2010-01-30 @ Teuta W 1-040.8 1348 1208 42.04% 23.01% 34.95%+0.07 +17.9 32
2010-01-30 Skenderbeu W 3-023.0 1405 1074 77.27% 17.96% 4.77%+1.25 +7.6 48
2010-01-30 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-323.0 1074 1405 4.77% 17.96% 77.27%-1.25 -7.6 15
2010-01-31 Besa L 0-237.4 1233 1338 39.82% 23.03% 37.15%+0.03 -37.4 25
2010-01-31 @ Apolonia W 2-037.4 1338 1233 37.15% 23.03% 39.82%-0.03 +37.4 36
2010-01-31 Laci L 1-252.6 1194 1170 56.17% 22.46% 21.37%+0.39 -25.1 19
2010-01-31 @ Vllaznia W 2-152.6 1170 1194 21.37% 22.46% 56.17%-0.39 +25.1 25
2010-02-03 Besa W 3-039.3 1141 1375 23.32% 22.60% 54.08%-0.34 +70.4 18
2010-02-03 @ Flamurtari L 0-339.3 1375 1141 54.08% 22.60% 23.32%+0.34 -70.4 36
2010-02-05 Dinamo Tirana L 0-136.4 1152 1413 20.65% 22.40% 56.95%-0.41 -11.6 18
2010-02-05 @ Gramozi W 1-036.4 1413 1152 56.95% 22.40% 20.65%+0.41 +11.6 51
2010-02-06 Shkumbini W 1-041.7 1195 1309 38.49% 23.03% 38.47%+0.00 +19.3 28
2010-02-06 @ Laci L 0-141.7 1309 1195 38.47% 23.03% 38.49%+0.00 -19.3 27
2010-02-06 Vllaznia L 0-150.5 1365 1169 70.31% 20.36% 9.33%+0.87 -33.0 32
2010-02-06 @ KF Tirana W 1-050.5 1169 1365 9.33% 20.36% 70.31%-0.87 +33.1 22
2010-02-07 Apolonia W 2-031.4 1211 1195 55.19% 22.53% 22.28%+0.36 +23.3 21
2010-02-07 @ Flamurtari L 0-231.4 1195 1211 22.28% 22.53% 55.19%-0.36 -23.3 25
2010-02-07 Kastrioti W 1-034.7 1305 1220 62.04% 21.88% 16.09%+0.56 +9.3 39
2010-02-07 @ Besa L 0-134.7 1220 1305 16.09% 21.88% 62.04%-0.56 -9.3 25
2010-02-12 Flamurtari W 3-248.5 1214 1234 51.07% 22.77% 26.16%+0.26 +12.7 31
2010-02-12 @ Laci L 2-348.5 1234 1214 26.16% 22.77% 51.07%-0.26 -12.7 21
2010-02-13 Apolonia D 1-156.4 1211 1172 57.63% 22.34% 20.03%+0.43 -4.1 26
2010-02-13 @ Kastrioti D 1-156.4 1172 1211 20.03% 22.34% 57.63%-0.43 +4.1 26
2010-02-13 Skenderbeu W 3-243.7 1202 1067 66.17% 21.25% 12.58%+0.70 +6.6 25
2010-02-13 @ Vllaznia L 2-343.7 1067 1202 12.58% 21.25% 66.17%-0.70 -6.6 15
2010-02-14 Gramozi W 2-030.2 1190 1140 58.77% 22.24% 18.99%+0.46 +20.3 29
2010-02-14 @ Teuta L 0-230.2 1140 1190 18.99% 22.24% 58.77%-0.46 -20.3 18
2010-02-14 KF Tirana W 1-039.4 1290 1332 48.32% 22.88% 28.81%+0.20 +15.3 30
2010-02-14 @ Shkumbini L 0-139.4 1332 1290 28.81% 22.88% 48.32%-0.20 -15.4 32
2010-02-15 Besa W 1-035.9 1424 1314 64.19% 21.58% 14.23%+0.63 +8.3 54
2010-02-15 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-135.9 1314 1424 14.23% 21.58% 64.19%-0.63 -8.3 39
2010-02-20 Laci W 1-034.6 1317 1227 62.50% 21.82% 15.68%+0.57 +9.1 35
2010-02-20 @ KF Tirana L 0-134.6 1227 1317 15.68% 21.82% 62.50%-0.57 -9.1 31
2010-02-20 Teuta D 1-156.9 1306 1210 62.95% 21.76% 15.29%+0.59 -5.4 40
2010-02-20 @ Besa D 1-156.9 1210 1306 15.29% 21.76% 62.95%-0.59 +5.4 30
2010-02-20 Vllaznia D 1-156.1 1120 1209 42.06% 23.01% 34.93%+0.07 -0.7 19
2010-02-20 @ Gramozi D 1-156.1 1209 1120 34.93% 23.01% 42.06%-0.07 +0.7 26
2010-02-21 Dinamo Tirana W 3-040.4 1176 1433 21.09% 22.44% 56.47%-0.40 +73.3 29
2010-02-21 @ Apolonia L 0-340.4 1433 1176 56.47% 22.44% 21.09%+0.40 -73.3 54
2010-02-21 Kastrioti W 2-031.5 1222 1207 55.13% 22.54% 22.33%+0.36 +23.4 24
2010-02-21 @ Flamurtari L 0-231.5 1207 1222 22.33% 22.54% 55.13%-0.36 -23.4 26
2010-02-25 Teuta W 3-036.0 1060 1216 32.80% 22.98% 44.21%-0.11 +59.0 18
2010-02-25 @ Skenderbeu L 0-336.0 1216 1060 44.21% 22.98% 32.80%+0.11 -59.0 30
2010-02-28 Shkumbini W 1-044.3 1119 1305 28.88% 22.88% 48.24%-0.20 +23.2 21
2010-02-28 @ Skenderbeu L 0-144.3 1305 1119 48.24% 22.88% 28.88%+0.20 -23.2 30
2010-03-06 Kastrioti L 0-149.6 1326 1183 66.73% 21.15% 12.13%+0.72 -31.4 35
2010-03-06 @ KF Tirana W 1-049.6 1183 1326 12.13% 21.15% 66.73%-0.72 +31.4 29
2010-03-07 Apolonia D 1-156.2 1157 1249 41.59% 23.02% 35.40%+0.06 -0.6 31
2010-03-07 @ Teuta D 1-156.2 1249 1157 35.40% 23.02% 41.59%-0.06 +0.6 30
2010-03-07 Flamurtari W 3-138.8 1218 1245 50.20% 22.81% 26.99%+0.24 +23.8 34
2010-03-07 @ Laci L 1-338.8 1245 1218 26.99% 22.81% 50.20%-0.24 -23.8 24
2010-03-07 Gramozi W 1-031.3 1359 1119 72.89% 19.62% 7.49%+0.99 +4.4 57
2010-03-07 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-131.3 1119 1359 7.49% 19.62% 72.89%-0.99 -4.4 19
2010-03-07 Skenderbeu L 1-255.7 1300 1143 67.79% 20.94% 11.27%+0.76 -30.1 40
2010-03-07 @ Besa W 2-155.7 1143 1300 11.27% 20.94% 67.79%-0.76 +30.1 24
2010-03-10 Vllaznia D 0-051.4 1282 1210 60.91% 22.01% 17.08%+0.52 -5.5 31
2010-03-10 @ Shkumbini D 0-051.4 1210 1282 17.08% 22.01% 60.91%-0.52 +5.5 27
2010-03-19 Besa W 3-249.9 1215 1270 46.59% 22.93% 30.48%+0.16 +14.4 32
2010-03-19 @ Kastrioti L 2-349.9 1270 1215 30.48% 22.93% 46.59%-0.16 -14.4 40
2010-03-20 Dinamo Tirana W 4-357.7 1173 1364 28.25% 22.86% 48.89%-0.21 +20.5 27
2010-03-20 @ Skenderbeu L 3-457.7 1364 1173 48.89% 22.86% 28.25%+0.21 -20.5 57
2010-03-20 Gramozi L 0-241.9 1156 1115 57.92% 22.32% 19.76%+0.44 -51.7 31
2010-03-20 @ Teuta W 2-041.9 1115 1156 19.76% 22.32% 57.92%-0.44 +51.7 22
2010-03-20 Shkumbini D 0-051.3 1250 1277 50.28% 22.80% 26.91%+0.25 -2.8 31
2010-03-20 @ Apolonia D 0-051.3 1277 1250 26.91% 22.80% 50.28%-0.25 +2.8 32
2010-03-21 KF Tirana W 3-140.8 1221 1295 44.24% 22.98% 32.78%+0.12 +27.8 27
2010-03-21 @ Flamurtari L 1-340.8 1295 1221 32.78% 22.98% 44.24%-0.12 -27.8 35
2010-03-21 Laci W 1-038.0 1215 1241 50.33% 22.80% 26.87%+0.25 +14.5 30
2010-03-21 @ Vllaznia L 0-138.0 1241 1215 26.87% 22.80% 50.33%-0.25 -14.5 34
2010-03-27 Kastrioti D 1-157.2 1343 1229 64.53% 21.53% 13.95%+0.64 -5.8 58
2010-03-27 @ Dinamo Tirana D 1-157.2 1229 1343 13.95% 21.53% 64.53%-0.64 +5.8 33
2010-03-27 Skenderbeu L 0-239.8 1166 1193 50.26% 22.80% 26.94%+0.25 -45.4 22
2010-03-27 @ Gramozi W 2-039.8 1193 1166 26.94% 22.80% 50.26%-0.25 +45.4 30
2010-03-28 Apolonia W 2-032.8 1227 1247 51.06% 22.77% 26.17%+0.26 +26.7 37
2010-03-28 @ Laci L 0-232.8 1247 1227 26.17% 22.77% 51.06%-0.26 -26.7 31
2010-03-28 Flamurtari L 1-252.3 1256 1249 54.22% 22.60% 23.18%+0.34 -24.3 40
2010-03-28 @ Besa W 2-152.3 1249 1256 23.18% 22.60% 54.22%-0.34 +24.3 30
2010-03-28 Teuta W 1-032.2 1279 1104 68.96% 20.68% 10.36%+0.81 +6.1 35
2010-03-28 @ Shkumbini L 0-132.2 1104 1279 10.36% 20.68% 68.96%-0.81 -6.1 31
2010-03-28 Vllaznia L 1-253.2 1267 1230 57.48% 22.35% 20.17%+0.42 -25.7 35
2010-03-28 @ KF Tirana W 2-153.2 1230 1267 20.17% 22.35% 57.48%-0.42 +25.7 33
2010-04-02 Besa W 2-031.3 1255 1232 56.06% 22.47% 21.47%+0.39 +22.6 36
2010-04-02 @ Vllaznia L 0-231.3 1232 1255 21.47% 22.47% 56.06%-0.39 -22.6 40
2010-04-02 Dinamo Tirana W 2-146.2 1273 1338 45.47% 22.96% 31.57%+0.14 +15.6 33
2010-04-02 @ Flamurtari L 1-246.2 1338 1273 31.57% 22.96% 45.47%-0.14 -15.6 58
2010-04-02 Gramozi W 2-138.6 1286 1121 68.26% 20.84% 10.90%+0.78 +6.1 38
2010-04-02 @ Shkumbini L 1-238.6 1121 1286 10.90% 20.84% 68.26%-0.78 -6.1 22
2010-04-02 KF Tirana L 1-251.3 1221 1241 51.00% 22.77% 26.22%+0.26 -23.0 31
2010-04-02 @ Apolonia W 2-151.3 1241 1221 26.22% 22.77% 51.00%-0.26 +23.0 38
2010-04-02 Laci D 0-050.8 1098 1254 32.80% 22.98% 44.22%-0.11 +1.3 32
2010-04-02 @ Teuta D 0-050.8 1254 1098 44.22% 22.98% 32.80%+0.11 -1.3 38
2010-04-02 Skenderbeu L 1-251.9 1235 1238 53.00% 22.67% 24.33%+0.31 -23.8 33
2010-04-02 @ Kastrioti W 2-151.9 1238 1235 24.33% 22.67% 53.00%-0.31 +23.8 33
2010-04-11 Apolonia W 2-031.5 1209 1198 54.74% 22.56% 22.70%+0.35 +23.7 43
2010-04-11 @ Besa L 0-231.5 1198 1209 22.70% 22.56% 54.74%-0.35 -23.7 31
2010-04-11 Flamurtari L 0-145.3 1262 1289 50.28% 22.80% 26.92%+0.25 -24.1 33
2010-04-11 @ Skenderbeu W 1-045.3 1289 1262 26.92% 22.80% 50.28%-0.25 +24.1 36
2010-04-11 Kastrioti L 0-142.1 1115 1211 41.11% 23.02% 35.87%+0.05 -20.3 22
2010-04-11 @ Gramozi W 1-042.1 1211 1115 35.87% 23.02% 41.11%-0.05 +20.3 36
2010-04-11 Shkumbini D 0-051.3 1252 1292 48.72% 22.86% 28.42%+0.21 -2.4 39
2010-04-11 @ Laci D 0-051.3 1292 1252 28.42% 22.86% 48.72%-0.21 +2.4 39
2010-04-11 Teuta W 2-138.5 1264 1100 68.26% 20.84% 10.90%+0.78 +6.1 41
2010-04-11 @ KF Tirana L 1-238.5 1100 1264 10.90% 20.84% 68.26%-0.78 -6.1 32
2010-04-11 Vllaznia L 1-253.9 1322 1278 58.17% 22.29% 19.53%+0.44 -26.0 58
2010-04-11 @ Dinamo Tirana W 2-153.9 1278 1322 19.53% 22.29% 58.17%-0.44 +26.0 39
2010-04-17 Besa W 3-253.1 1094 1233 34.99% 23.02% 41.99%-0.07 +18.5 35
2010-04-17 @ Teuta L 2-353.1 1233 1094 41.99% 23.02% 34.99%+0.07 -18.5 43
2010-04-17 Dinamo Tirana W 2-148.0 1174 1296 37.38% 23.03% 39.59%-0.02 +18.6 34
2010-04-17 @ Apolonia L 1-248.0 1296 1174 39.59% 23.03% 37.38%+0.02 -18.6 58
2010-04-17 Gramozi W 1-032.6 1250 1095 67.63% 20.97% 11.40%+0.76 +6.7 42
2010-04-17 @ Laci L 0-132.6 1095 1250 11.40% 20.97% 67.63%-0.76 -6.7 22
2010-04-17 Kastrioti W 3-027.8 1313 1231 61.76% 21.91% 16.33%+0.55 +25.8 39
2010-04-17 @ Flamurtari L 0-327.8 1231 1313 16.33% 21.91% 61.76%-0.55 -25.8 36
2010-04-17 KF Tirana L 0-147.0 1294 1270 56.07% 22.47% 21.47%+0.39 -26.6 39
2010-04-17 @ Shkumbini W 1-047.0 1270 1294 21.47% 22.47% 56.07%-0.39 +26.6 44
2010-04-17 Skenderbeu L 0-243.1 1304 1238 60.29% 22.08% 17.63%+0.50 -53.7 39
2010-04-17 @ Vllaznia W 2-043.1 1238 1304 17.63% 22.08% 60.29%-0.50 +53.7 36
2010-04-21 Apolonia D 1-156.8 1292 1192 63.30% 21.71% 14.99%+0.60 -5.5 37
2010-04-21 @ Skenderbeu D 1-156.8 1192 1292 14.99% 21.71% 63.30%-0.60 +5.5 35
2010-04-21 Flamurtari D 1-156.4 1088 1339 21.64% 22.48% 55.88%-0.38 +3.7 23
2010-04-21 @ Gramozi D 1-156.4 1339 1088 55.88% 22.48% 21.64%+0.38 -3.7 40
2010-04-21 Laci L 1-253.5 1297 1257 57.78% 22.33% 19.90%+0.43 -25.8 44
2010-04-21 @ KF Tirana W 2-153.5 1257 1297 19.90% 22.33% 57.78%-0.43 +25.8 45
2010-04-21 Shkumbini W 2-034.1 1214 1267 46.93% 22.92% 30.15%+0.17 +30.0 46
2010-04-21 @ Besa L 0-234.1 1267 1214 30.15% 22.92% 46.93%-0.17 -30.0 39
2010-04-21 Teuta L 1-255.8 1277 1112 68.31% 20.83% 10.86%+0.78 -30.3 58
2010-04-21 @ Dinamo Tirana W 2-155.8 1112 1277 10.86% 20.83% 68.31%-0.78 +30.3 38
2010-04-21 Vllaznia W 2-033.7 1205 1250 48.01% 22.89% 29.11%+0.20 +29.2 39
2010-04-21 @ Kastrioti L 0-233.7 1250 1205 29.11% 22.89% 48.01%-0.20 -29.2 39
2010-04-25 Besa L 0-147.3 1283 1244 57.59% 22.35% 20.07%+0.43 -27.3 45
2010-04-25 @ Laci W 1-047.3 1244 1283 20.07% 22.35% 57.59%-0.43 +27.3 49
2010-04-25 Dinamo Tirana W 1-037.5 1237 1247 52.31% 22.71% 24.98%+0.29 +13.6 42
2010-04-25 @ Shkumbini L 0-137.5 1247 1237 24.98% 22.71% 52.31%-0.29 -13.6 58
2010-04-25 Flamurtari D 1-156.7 1221 1335 38.55% 23.03% 38.41%+0.00 -0.0 40
2010-04-25 @ Vllaznia D 1-156.7 1335 1221 38.41% 23.03% 38.55%+0.00 +0.0 41
2010-04-25 Gramozi W 1-032.1 1271 1092 69.26% 20.61% 10.13%+0.82 +6.0 47
2010-04-25 @ KF Tirana L 0-132.1 1092 1271 10.13% 20.61% 69.26%-0.82 -6.0 23
2010-04-25 Kastrioti W 2-144.4 1198 1235 49.03% 22.85% 28.11%+0.22 +14.2 38
2010-04-25 @ Apolonia L 1-244.4 1235 1198 28.11% 22.85% 49.03%-0.22 -14.2 39
2010-04-25 Skenderbeu D 0-050.9 1142 1286 34.33% 23.01% 42.67%-0.08 +1.0 39
2010-04-25 @ Teuta D 0-050.9 1286 1142 42.67% 23.01% 34.33%+0.08 -1.0 38
2010-04-30 Apolonia W 1-033.8 1335 1212 65.21% 21.42% 13.37%+0.66 +7.8 44
2010-04-30 @ Flamurtari L 0-133.8 1212 1335 13.37% 21.42% 65.21%-0.66 -7.8 38
2010-04-30 KF Tirana D 1-156.7 1272 1277 52.81% 22.68% 24.51%+0.31 -3.0 50
2010-04-30 @ Besa D 1-156.7 1277 1272 24.51% 22.68% 52.81%-0.31 +3.0 48
2010-04-30 Laci L 2-449.4 1233 1255 50.87% 22.78% 26.35%+0.26 -35.5 58
2010-04-30 @ Dinamo Tirana W 4-249.4 1255 1233 26.35% 22.78% 50.87%-0.26 +35.5 48
2010-04-30 Shkumbini W 3-137.0 1286 1251 57.20% 22.38% 20.42%+0.42 +18.8 41
2010-04-30 @ Skenderbeu L 1-337.0 1251 1286 20.42% 22.38% 57.20%-0.42 -18.8 42
2010-04-30 Teuta W 3-027.5 1220 1143 61.34% 21.96% 16.70%+0.54 +26.3 42
2010-04-30 @ Kastrioti L 0-327.5 1143 1220 16.70% 21.96% 61.34%-0.54 -26.3 39
2010-04-30 Vllaznia L 1-246.5 1086 1221 35.51% 23.02% 41.47%-0.06 -17.1 23
2010-04-30 @ Gramozi W 2-146.5 1221 1086 41.47% 23.02% 35.51%+0.06 +17.1 43
2010-05-14 Dinamo Tirana W 3-245.4 1280 1198 61.79% 21.91% 16.30%+0.55 +8.4 51
2010-05-14 @ KF Tirana L 2-345.4 1198 1280 16.30% 21.91% 61.79%-0.55 -8.4 58
2010-05-14 Flamurtari W 3-146.6 1117 1343 24.25% 22.66% 53.09%-0.31 +41.3 42
2010-05-14 @ Teuta L 1-346.6 1343 1117 53.09% 22.66% 24.25%+0.31 -41.3 44
2010-05-14 Gramozi W 6-437.4 1269 1068 70.56% 20.29% 9.15%+0.88 +7.2 53
2010-05-14 @ Besa L 4-637.4 1068 1269 9.15% 20.29% 70.56%-0.88 -7.2 23
2010-05-14 Kastrioti W 2-032.6 1232 1247 51.76% 22.73% 25.51%+0.28 +26.2 45
2010-05-14 @ Shkumbini L 0-232.6 1247 1232 25.51% 22.73% 51.76%-0.28 -26.2 42
2010-05-14 Skenderbeu W 1-038.1 1291 1304 51.87% 22.73% 25.40%+0.28 +13.8 51
2010-05-14 @ Laci L 0-138.1 1304 1291 25.40% 22.73% 51.87%-0.28 -13.8 41
2010-05-14 Vllaznia L 0-144.7 1204 1238 49.38% 22.84% 27.78%+0.23 -23.7 38
2010-05-14 @ Apolonia W 1-044.7 1238 1204 27.78% 22.84% 49.38%-0.23 +23.7 46
2010-05-19 Apolonia W 3-034.5 1061 1181 37.79% 23.03% 39.17%-0.01 +53.6 26
2010-05-19 @ Gramozi L 0-334.5 1181 1061 39.17% 23.03% 37.79%+0.01 -53.5 38
2010-05-19 Besa W 4-353.2 1190 1276 42.48% 23.01% 34.51%+0.08 +15.5 61
2010-05-19 @ Dinamo Tirana L 3-453.2 1276 1190 34.51% 23.01% 42.48%-0.08 -15.5 53
2010-05-19 KF Tirana D 2-262.7 1290 1289 53.66% 22.63% 23.71%+0.33 -2.4 42
2010-05-19 @ Skenderbeu D 2-262.7 1289 1290 23.71% 22.63% 53.66%-0.33 +2.4 52
2010-05-19 Laci W 1-040.5 1221 1305 42.77% 23.01% 34.22%+0.09 +17.6 45
2010-05-19 @ Kastrioti L 0-140.5 1305 1221 34.22% 23.01% 42.77%-0.09 -17.6 51
2010-05-19 Shkumbini W 3-246.8 1302 1258 58.09% 22.30% 19.61%+0.44 +9.9 47
2010-05-19 @ Flamurtari L 2-346.8 1258 1302 19.61% 22.30% 58.09%-0.44 -9.9 45
2010-05-19 Teuta L 0-243.6 1262 1158 63.64% 21.66% 14.70%+0.61 -56.6 46
2010-05-19 @ Vllaznia W 2-043.6 1158 1262 14.70% 21.66% 63.64%-0.61 +56.6 45

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2010-02-06 9.33% Vllaznia 1169 1 @ KF Tirana 1365 0
2 2010-04-21 10.86% Teuta 1112 2 @ Dinamo Tirana 1277 1
3 2010-03-07 11.27% Skenderbeu 1143 2 @ Besa 1300 1
4 2010-03-06 12.13% Kastrioti 1183 1 @ KF Tirana 1326 0
5 2009-11-07 14.29% Kastrioti 1209 3 @ Apolonia 1318 2
6 2010-05-19 14.70% Teuta 1158 2 @ Vllaznia 1262 0
7 2009-08-23 17.47% Flamurtari 1255 3 @ KF Tirana 1323 1
8 2010-04-17 17.63% Skenderbeu 1238 2 @ Vllaznia 1304 0
9 2010-04-11 19.53% Vllaznia 1278 2 @ Dinamo Tirana 1322 1
10 2009-12-19 19.72% @ Shkumbini 1216 4 Dinamo Tirana 1487 0
11 2010-03-20 19.76% Gramozi 1115 2 @ Teuta 1156 0
12 2009-12-05 19.81% Laci 1137 2 @ Gramozi 1178 1
13 2009-12-04 19.90% Teuta 1181 2 @ Kastrioti 1221 1
14 2010-04-21 19.90% Laci 1257 2 @ KF Tirana 1297 1
15 2010-04-25 20.07% Besa 1244 1 @ Laci 1283 0
16 2010-03-28 20.17% Vllaznia 1230 2 @ KF Tirana 1267 1
17 2010-02-21 21.09% @ Apolonia 1176 3 Dinamo Tirana 1433 0
18 2010-01-31 21.37% Laci 1170 2 @ Vllaznia 1194 1
19 2010-04-17 21.47% KF Tirana 1270 1 @ Shkumbini 1294 0
20 2010-03-28 23.18% Flamurtari 1249 2 @ Besa 1256 1
21 2010-02-03 23.32% @ Flamurtari 1141 3 Besa 1375 0
22 2010-05-14 24.25% @ Teuta 1117 3 Flamurtari 1343 1
23 2010-04-02 24.33% Skenderbeu 1238 2 @ Kastrioti 1235 1
24 2009-09-19 24.83% Teuta 1225 3 @ Flamurtari 1217 0
25 2010-01-25 25.10% Dinamo Tirana 1382 2 @ KF Tirana 1371 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-12-19 98.15 @ Shkumbini 4 1216 19.72% Dinamo Tirana 0 1487 57.96% 22.31%
2 2010-02-21 73.30 @ Apolonia 3 1176 21.09% Dinamo Tirana 0 1433 56.47% 22.44%
3 2010-02-03 70.40 @ Flamurtari 3 1141 23.32% Besa 0 1375 54.08% 22.60%
4 2009-09-19 68.48 Teuta 3 1225 24.83% @ Flamurtari 0 1217 52.47% 22.70%
5 2009-08-29 67.18 Dinamo Tirana 3 1320 25.87% @ Flamurtari 0 1302 51.37% 22.75%
6 2010-02-25 59.02 @ Skenderbeu 3 1060 32.80% Teuta 0 1216 44.21% 22.98%
7 2010-05-19 56.61 Teuta 2 1158 14.70% @ Vllaznia 0 1262 63.64% 21.66%
8 2010-04-17 53.72 Skenderbeu 2 1238 17.63% @ Vllaznia 0 1304 60.29% 22.08%
9 2010-05-19 53.56 @ Gramozi 3 1061 37.79% Apolonia 0 1181 39.17% 23.03%
10 2009-12-12 53.37 @ Shkumbini 3 1202 37.98% Apolonia 0 1320 38.99% 23.03%
11 2010-03-20 51.70 Gramozi 2 1115 19.76% @ Teuta 0 1156 57.92% 22.32%
12 2009-08-23 46.65 Flamurtari 3 1255 17.47% @ KF Tirana 1 1323 60.47% 22.06%
13 2010-03-27 45.36 Skenderbeu 2 1193 26.94% @ Gramozi 0 1166 50.26% 22.80%
14 2009-11-29 41.86 Apolonia 2 1285 31.25% @ Teuta 0 1223 45.80% 22.95%
15 2009-10-03 41.80 @ Shkumbini 4 1212 41.53% Teuta 1 1305 35.45% 23.02%
16 2010-05-14 41.28 @ Teuta 3 1117 24.25% Flamurtari 1 1343 53.09% 22.66%
17 2009-12-16 39.36 @ Kastrioti 4 1182 44.18% Shkumbini 1 1256 32.84% 22.98%
18 2010-01-31 37.35 Besa 2 1338 37.15% @ Apolonia 0 1233 39.82% 23.03%
19 2009-10-04 37.14 @ Flamurtari 2 1125 37.43% Vllaznia 0 1247 39.54% 23.03%
20 2009-09-19 35.94 @ Skenderbeu 4 1160 47.79% Gramozi 1 1206 29.31% 22.89%
21 2009-11-07 35.91 @ Gramozi 2 1151 39.12% Teuta 0 1261 37.84% 23.03%
22 2010-04-30 35.52 Laci 4 1255 26.35% @ Dinamo Tirana 2 1233 50.87% 22.78%
23 2009-08-23 35.42 Dinamo Tirana 3 1284 32.47% @ Kastrioti 1 1213 44.55% 22.98%
24 2009-10-24 35.08 @ Laci 3 1085 32.98% Vllaznia 1 1239 44.04% 22.99%
25 2009-11-30 33.69 KF Tirana 2 1301 42.12% @ Flamurtari 0 1161 34.87% 23.01%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-05-19 62.7 @ Skenderbeu 2 1290 53.66% KF Tirana 2 1289 23.71% 22.63%
2 2009-12-23 62.2 @ Vllaznia 2 1206 60.03% Flamurtari 2 1143 17.86% 22.11%
3 2009-11-07 59.8 Kastrioti 3 1209 14.29% @ Apolonia 2 1318 64.13% 21.59%
4 2010-03-20 57.7 @ Skenderbeu 4 1173 28.25% Dinamo Tirana 3 1364 48.89% 22.86%
5 2009-12-24 57.6 @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1389 72.00% Laci 1 1165 8.11% 19.90%
6 2009-12-17 57.2 @ Besa 1 1307 51.29% KF Tirana 1 1326 25.95% 22.76%
7 2010-03-27 57.2 @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1343 64.53% Kastrioti 1 1229 13.95% 21.53%
8 2009-12-12 57.1 @ KF Tirana 1 1332 69.29% Gramozi 1 1152 10.10% 20.61%
9 2009-10-31 57.0 @ Apolonia 1 1325 68.67% Flamurtari 1 1154 10.58% 20.75%
10 2009-12-05 57.0 @ Apolonia 1 1327 67.07% Vllaznia 1 1179 11.85% 21.08%
11 2009-10-25 56.9 @ Skenderbeu 1 1156 20.85% Dinamo Tirana 1 1415 56.74% 22.42%
12 2010-02-20 56.9 @ Besa 1 1306 62.95% Teuta 1 1210 15.29% 21.76%
13 2010-04-21 56.8 @ Skenderbeu 1 1292 63.30% Apolonia 1 1192 14.99% 21.71%
14 2009-10-03 56.7 @ KF Tirana 1 1273 63.69% Kastrioti 1 1169 14.66% 21.65%
15 2009-12-23 56.7 @ Apolonia 1 1258 66.57% Skenderbeu 1 1117 12.25% 21.18%
16 2010-04-25 56.7 @ Vllaznia 1 1221 38.55% Flamurtari 1 1335 38.41% 23.03%
17 2010-04-30 56.7 @ Besa 1 1272 52.81% KF Tirana 1 1277 24.51% 22.68%
18 2009-11-21 56.5 @ Kastrioti 1 1236 61.58% Flamurtari 1 1156 16.48% 21.93%
19 2009-11-22 56.4 @ Teuta 1 1225 48.28% Besa 1 1268 28.84% 22.88%
20 2009-11-28 56.4 @ Shkumbini 1 1226 58.96% Gramozi 1 1174 18.82% 22.22%
21 2009-12-06 56.4 @ Skenderbeu 1 1135 27.18% KF Tirana 1 1335 50.00% 22.81%
22 2010-02-13 56.4 @ Kastrioti 1 1211 57.63% Apolonia 1 1172 20.03% 22.34%
23 2010-04-21 56.4 @ Gramozi 1 1088 21.64% Flamurtari 1 1339 55.88% 22.48%
24 2009-10-25 56.2 @ Flamurtari 1 1155 44.78% Shkumbini 1 1225 32.25% 22.97%
25 2010-03-07 56.2 @ Teuta 1 1157 41.59% Apolonia 1 1249 35.40% 23.02%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-01-30 23.0 @ Dinamo Tirana 3 1405 77.27% Skenderbeu 0 1074 4.77% 17.96%
2 2009-10-31 25.1 @ Dinamo Tirana 4 1412 73.14% Gramozi 0 1167 7.32% 19.54%
3 2009-10-18 27.0 @ Apolonia 3 1298 63.81% Gramozi 0 1193 14.56% 21.63%
4 2010-04-30 27.5 @ Kastrioti 3 1220 61.34% Teuta 0 1143 16.70% 21.96%
5 2010-04-17 27.8 @ Flamurtari 3 1313 61.76% Kastrioti 0 1231 16.33% 21.91%
6 2009-11-28 27.9 @ Dinamo Tirana 2 1451 71.76% Kastrioti 0 1231 8.28% 19.96%
7 2009-12-16 28.9 @ Apolonia 2 1267 63.60% Laci 0 1164 14.73% 21.67%
8 2009-11-01 29.4 @ Teuta 2 1243 61.89% Skenderbeu 0 1160 16.22% 21.90%
9 2009-11-07 30.1 @ KF Tirana 2 1307 60.92% Shkumbini 0 1234 17.07% 22.01%
10 2009-12-06 30.1 @ Besa 2 1289 60.51% Shkumbini 0 1221 17.43% 22.06%
11 2010-02-14 30.2 @ Teuta 2 1190 58.77% Gramozi 0 1140 18.99% 22.24%
12 2009-12-05 30.4 @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1460 77.36% Flamurtari 0 1127 4.72% 17.92%
13 2009-09-26 31.1 @ Gramozi 2 1170 55.88% Flamurtari 0 1148 21.63% 22.48%
14 2009-12-16 31.2 @ Gramozi 2 1159 55.59% Skenderbeu 0 1140 21.91% 22.50%
15 2010-03-07 31.3 @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1359 72.89% Gramozi 0 1119 7.49% 19.62%
16 2010-04-02 31.3 @ Vllaznia 2 1255 56.06% Besa 0 1232 21.47% 22.47%
17 2010-02-07 31.4 @ Flamurtari 2 1211 55.19% Apolonia 0 1195 22.28% 22.53%
18 2010-02-21 31.5 @ Flamurtari 2 1222 55.13% Kastrioti 0 1207 22.33% 22.54%
19 2010-04-11 31.5 @ Besa 2 1209 54.74% Apolonia 0 1198 22.70% 22.56%
20 2009-09-13 31.7 @ Besa 1 1282 70.74% Laci 0 1079 9.01% 20.25%
21 2009-08-23 32.0 @ Apolonia 2 1250 53.87% Teuta 0 1246 23.51% 22.62%
22 2010-04-25 32.1 @ KF Tirana 1 1271 69.26% Gramozi 0 1092 10.13% 20.61%
23 2010-03-28 32.2 @ Shkumbini 1 1279 68.96% Teuta 0 1104 10.36% 20.68%
24 2009-10-24 32.6 @ KF Tirana 2 1260 52.42% Teuta 0 1269 24.88% 22.70%
25 2010-01-27 32.6 Besa 2 1311 51.23% @ Skenderbeu 0 1101 26.01% 22.76%