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2010-11 Kategoria Superiore Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Skenderbeu

73 points · 2nd Title

Last Title: 1933

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Skenderbeu

16.53 points above expected

73 points · 56.47 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

KF Elbasani

18.77 points below expected

12 points · 30.77 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Skenderbeu Champion 33 23 4 6 73 52 23 +29 56.47 +16.53
2 Flamurtari* 33 22 3 8 66 62 27 +35 57.25 +8.75
3 Vllaznia 33 17 8 8 59 41 27 +14 50.47 +8.53
4 Laci 33 14 5 14 47 44 44 0 46.29 +0.71
5 KF Tirana 33 11 11 11 44 42 31 +11 50.82 -6.82
6 Bylis 33 13 4 16 43 44 48 -4 41.19 +1.81
7 Teuta 33 11 9 13 42 38 40 -2 41.42 +0.58
8 Kastrioti 33 11 9 13 42 40 47 -7 42.39 -0.39
9 Shkumbini 33 12 6 15 42 43 54 -11 41.24 +0.76
10 Dinamo Tirana 33 10 9 14 39 46 50 -4 50.19 -11.19
11 Besa 33 10 9 14 39 35 47 -12 39.36 -0.36
12 KF Elbasani* 33 4 3 26 12 30 79 -49 30.77 -18.77

* Point deductions: Flamurtari (-3 pts), KF Elbasani (-3 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Skenderbeu 73 56.47 +16.53
2 Flamurtari 66 57.25 +8.75
3 Vllaznia 59 50.47 +8.53
4 Bylis 43 41.19 +1.81
5 Shkumbini 42 41.24 +0.76

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 KF Elbasani 12 30.77 -18.77
2 Dinamo Tirana 39 50.19 -11.19
3 KF Tirana 44 50.82 -6.82
4 Kastrioti 42 42.39 -0.39
5 Besa 39 39.36 -0.36

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dinamo Tirana 5 Aug 28 – Oct 1 1 in 96
2 Skenderbeu 8 Mar 20 – May 4 1 in 71
3 Laci 5 Feb 25 – Apr 1 1 in 48
4 Flamurtari 5 Oct 24 – Nov 21 1 in 30
5 Bylis 3 Apr 29 – May 16 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KF Elbasani 14 Feb 11 – May 16 1 in 675
2 KF Tirana 5 Apr 20 – May 16 1 in 82
3 Bylis 4 Aug 22 – Sep 19 1 in 20
4 Shkumbini 3 Nov 6 – Nov 22 1 in 17
5 Laci 3 Oct 15 – Oct 30 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vllaznia 10 Nov 7 – Feb 5 1 in 267
2 Skenderbeu 17 Dec 23 – May 4 1 in 184
3 KF Tirana 11 Nov 20 – Feb 26 1 in 119
4 Dinamo Tirana 9 Aug 28 – Nov 6 1 in 43
5 Bylis 5 Apr 20 – May 16 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KF Tirana 7 Feb 3 – Mar 12 1 in 304
2 Teuta 8 Dec 18 – Feb 27 1 in 76
3 Dinamo Tirana 9 Mar 20 – May 16 1 in 50
4 Besa 7 Aug 23 – Oct 16 1 in 49
5 KF Elbasani 14 Feb 11 – May 16 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Skenderbeu 1452 73 +33 12 9.7 +2.3
Flamurtari 1379 69 +1 10 8.5 +1.5
Vllaznia 1367 59 -11 9 8.6 +0.4
Laci 1210 47 -20 4 5.7 -1.7
KF Tirana 1220 44 -92 0 5.9 -5.9
Bylis 1298 43 +110 13 6.9 +6.1
Teuta 1192 42 +35 10 7.1 +2.9
Kastrioti 1197 42 +14 9 7.7 +1.3
Shkumbini 1166 42 -12 7 7.1 -0.1
Besa 1179 39 +27 10 7.0 +3.0
Dinamo Tirana 1171 39 -38 2 6.1 -4.1
KF Elbasani 911 15 -47 0 3.6 -3.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BES BYL DT FLA KE KT KAS LAC SHK SKE TEU VLL
Besa —
2-0-1
4.65
1-1-1
3.89
0-1-2
2.37
2-1-0
4.29
2-1-0
3.87
1-1-1
4.62
0-0-3
3.23
1-2-0
3.31
0-1-2
3.54
1-1-1
3.36
0-0-3
3.06
Bylis
1-0-2
3.73
—
1-1-1
2.69
2-0-1
2.64
1-0-2
4.25
1-1-1
2.84
1-0-2
3.42
1-0-2
4.36
2-0-1
4.39
0-1-2
2.43
2-0-1
4.77
1-1-1
4.06
Dinamo Tirana
1-1-1
4.47
1-1-1
5.69
—
0-0-3
3.10
3-0-0
6.10
0-2-1
4.92
1-1-1
4.33
0-2-1
3.92
2-0-1
5.09
0-0-3
3.97
1-1-1
4.97
1-1-1
3.46
Flamurtari
2-1-0
6.06
1-0-2
5.74
3-0-0
5.30
—
3-0-0
6.73
2-0-1
5.52
3-0-0
5.93
2-1-0
4.81
1-0-2
5.20
2-0-1
4.64
1-1-1
5.16
2-0-1
4.31
KF Elbasani
0-1-2
4.10
2-0-1
4.12
0-0-3
2.31
0-0-3
1.75
—
0-1-2
2.71
0-1-2
3.61
0-0-3
2.80
0-0-3
3.53
1-0-2
2.31
1-0-2
3.60
0-0-3
2.33
KF Tirana
0-1-2
4.51
1-1-1
5.54
1-2-0
3.45
1-0-2
2.86
2-1-0
5.72
—
1-1-1
4.17
2-1-0
4.88
2-1-0
5.30
0-1-2
4.34
1-1-1
5.82
0-1-2
3.63
Kastrioti
1-1-1
3.75
2-0-1
4.95
1-1-1
4.05
0-0-3
2.48
2-1-0
4.77
1-1-1
4.20
—
1-0-2
3.16
1-1-1
3.78
0-1-2
3.46
2-1-0
4.69
0-2-1
3.28
Laci
3-0-0
5.15
2-0-1
4.01
1-2-0
4.48
0-1-2
3.56
3-0-0
5.62
0-1-2
3.49
2-0-1
5.22
—
2-0-1
3.96
0-0-3
2.73
1-1-1
3.75
0-0-3
4.53
Shkumbini
0-2-1
5.07
1-0-2
3.99
1-0-2
3.28
2-0-1
3.18
3-0-0
4.85
0-1-2
3.10
1-1-1
4.59
1-0-2
4.41
—
1-0-2
2.63
0-1-2
3.53
2-1-0
3.80
Skenderbeu
2-1-0
4.85
2-1-0
5.99
3-0-0
4.39
1-0-2
3.72
2-0-1
6.17
2-1-0
4.04
2-1-0
4.92
3-0-0
5.68
2-0-1
5.78
—
2-0-1
5.74
2-0-1
5.17
Teuta
1-1-1
5.03
1-0-2
3.61
1-1-1
3.41
1-1-1
3.21
2-0-1
4.76
1-1-1
2.57
0-1-2
3.68
1-1-1
4.62
2-1-0
4.84
1-0-2
2.67
—
0-2-1
3.97
Vllaznia
3-0-0
5.36
1-1-1
4.30
1-1-1
4.93
1-0-2
4.06
3-0-0
6.11
2-1-0
4.78
1-2-0
5.11
3-0-0
3.84
0-1-2
4.59
1-0-2
3.21
1-2-0
4.39
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.65 +15.3
Allowed 0.86 -9.3
Differential 0.92 +6.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%9.34%5.81%1.77%1.77%0.51%30.30%
19.34%7.07%9.60%5.81%0.25%0.51%32.58%
25.81%9.60%1.52%2.78%1.01%0.51%21.21%
31.77%5.81%2.78%0.51%0.25%—11.11%
41.77%0.25%1.01%0.25%——3.28%
5+0.51%0.51%0.51%———1.52%
Total30.30%32.58%21.21%11.11%3.28%1.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.31 +0.00
SD 1.25 1.25 1.80
CV 0.96 0.96 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%9.09%6.06%3.03%3.03%—36.36%
16.06%6.06%12.12%3.03%——27.27%
23.03%15.15%6.06%3.03%3.03%—30.30%
3——6.06%———6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total24.24%30.30%30.30%9.09%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.42 -0.36
SD 0.97 1.15 1.34
CV 0.91 0.80 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%3.03%3.03%——3.03%12.12%
115.15%9.09%24.24%6.06%——54.55%
212.12%——6.06%3.03%—21.21%
33.03%6.06%3.03%———12.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%18.18%30.30%12.12%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.45 -0.12
SD 0.85 1.42 1.78
CV 0.64 0.97 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%12.12%————27.27%
13.03%9.09%6.06%12.12%——30.30%
2—15.15%—6.06%—3.03%24.24%
3—6.06%—3.03%3.03%—12.12%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+———————
Total21.21%45.45%6.06%21.21%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.52 -0.12
SD 1.20 1.39 1.58
CV 0.86 0.92 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%9.09%—3.03%——15.15%
124.24%6.06%9.09%3.03%——42.42%
23.03%12.12%————15.15%
36.06%6.06%————12.12%
46.06%—3.03%———9.09%
5+3.03%—3.03%———6.06%
Total45.45%33.33%15.15%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 0.82 +1.06
SD 1.78 0.92 2.09
CV 0.95 1.12 —
Max 8 3 +8
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—12.12%6.06%3.03%6.06%3.03%30.30%
13.03%9.09%18.18%18.18%—3.03%51.52%
23.03%3.03%—6.06%3.03%—15.15%
3——3.03%———3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total6.06%24.24%27.27%27.27%9.09%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 2.39 -1.48
SD 0.77 1.62 1.87
CV 0.84 0.68 —
Max 3 8 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.21%6.06%9.09%———36.36%
13.03%12.12%15.15%———30.30%
26.06%9.09%—3.03%——18.18%
3—6.06%————6.06%
46.06%—————6.06%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total36.36%36.36%24.24%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 0.94 +0.33
SD 1.44 0.86 1.71
CV 1.13 0.92 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%9.09%6.06%3.03%3.03%—36.36%
1—9.09%9.09%3.03%—3.03%24.24%
26.06%12.12%3.03%3.03%——24.24%
3—12.12%————12.12%
4———3.03%——3.03%
5+———————
Total21.21%42.42%18.18%12.12%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.42 -0.21
SD 1.17 1.23 1.65
CV 0.96 0.86 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%15.15%6.06%—3.03%—30.30%
112.12%6.06%9.09%6.06%——33.33%
26.06%6.06%—3.03%——15.15%
3—9.09%6.06%3.03%——18.18%
4———————
5+——3.03%———3.03%
Total24.24%36.36%24.24%12.12%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.33 +0.00
SD 1.27 1.08 1.56
CV 0.95 0.81 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%12.12%———30.30%
19.09%3.03%3.03%6.06%3.03%—24.24%
2—15.15%9.09%3.03%3.03%3.03%33.33%
3—6.06%3.03%———9.09%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+———————
Total15.15%36.36%30.30%9.09%6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.64 -0.33
SD 1.10 1.22 1.47
CV 0.85 0.75 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.06%3.03%—3.03%—21.21%
121.21%3.03%3.03%3.03%——30.30%
221.21%6.06%————27.27%
33.03%6.06%6.06%———15.15%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total57.58%24.24%12.12%3.03%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 0.70 +0.88
SD 1.25 1.02 1.67
CV 0.79 1.46 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%12.12%9.09%6.06%——45.45%
13.03%9.09%6.06%6.06%——24.24%
23.03%12.12%————15.15%
3—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
4——6.06%———6.06%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total27.27%36.36%24.24%12.12%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.21 -0.06
SD 1.48 0.99 1.78
CV 1.29 0.82 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.21%6.06%9.09%3.03%3.03%—42.42%
112.12%3.03%—3.03%——18.18%
26.06%9.09%————15.15%
39.09%9.09%3.03%———21.21%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total51.52%27.27%12.12%6.06%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 0.82 +0.42
SD 1.30 1.07 1.84
CV 1.05 1.31 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Skenderbeu 1452 73 56.47 +16.53 100.0% 39 46 52 57 60 67 70
Flamurtari 1379 66 57.25 +8.75 93.0% 43 47 53 57 62 67 74
Vllaznia 1367 59 50.47 +8.53 90.0% 35 37 45 50 56 62 74
Bylis 1298 43 41.19 +1.81 58.0% 23 28 37 41 45 51 57
KF Tirana 1220 44 50.82 -6.82 21.0% 36 39 45 51 56 61 66
Laci 1210 47 46.29 +0.71 56.0% 28 35 40 46 51 57 62
Kastrioti 1197 42 42.39 -0.39 55.0% 22 31 38 42 46 55 59
Teuta 1192 42 41.42 +0.58 57.0% 21 30 35 41 46 54 59
Besa 1179 39 39.36 -0.36 46.0% 18 27 35 40 43 49 54
Dinamo Tirana 1171 39 50.19 -11.19 5.0% 33 39 46 50 54 61 67
Shkumbini 1166 42 41.24 +0.76 54.0% 22 28 37 42 47 52 56
KF Elbasani 911 12 30.77 -18.77 0.0% 17 20 27 31 35 41 46

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 27% * Slight Edge: 27% to 33% * Clear Edge: 33% to 40% * Strong Edge: 40% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+41.41%
Strong Edge
60.61%20.20%19.19%
Elo Value
Home Edge
199 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0153.08500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.76 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.77+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.04 * Tight Race: 0.04 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.9
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
31%
Skenderbeu, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.21/gm
Comfortable
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.43 * Some Luck: 5.43 to 8.15 * Lucky: 8.15 to 10.86 * Wild Swing: 10.86 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.56 * Close: 1.56 to 2.35 * Off: 2.35 to 3.13 * Way Off: 3.13 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.90 points
Lucky
06.7917
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Pinpoint
01.954
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Skenderbeu
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
KF Elbasani
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 77.5% * Wide Edge: 77.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 93% * Strong Edge: 93% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 72.5% * Very Frequent: 72.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 10.5% * Occasional: 10.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Even
00.120.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 138.03
1.98
Strong Separation
0.91.351.82.153
Interquartile Edge
69%
Slight Edge
50%63.5%72.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
96%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Some Drama
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
11%
Occasional
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.56 * Notable Separation: 0.56 to 0.62 * Lopsided: 0.62 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14.5% * Upset-Prone: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 18.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 10.5% * As Expected: 10.5% to 12.5% * Shaky Favorites: 12.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.52
Highly Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.46
Very Even
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.92
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.64
Strong Carryover
00.410.590.731
Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Upset-Prone
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Shaky Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.2 * Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.
Probability calibration
0.38
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.26
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.067
Well Within Noise
00.0990.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Skenderbeu31.00%26.00%15.00%12.00%8.00%6.00%1.00%——1.00%——
Flamurtari36.00%21.00%18.00%10.00%7.00%5.00%3.00%—————
Vllaznia12.00%9.00%18.00%10.00%13.00%11.00%11.00%8.00%2.00%2.00%4.00%—
Laci3.00%6.00%8.00%10.00%14.00%15.00%10.00%7.00%13.00%9.00%4.00%1.00%
KF Tirana9.00%18.00%12.00%20.00%7.00%9.00%7.00%6.00%7.00%3.00%2.00%—
Bylis——3.00%3.00%12.00%8.00%12.00%15.00%17.00%11.00%13.00%6.00%
Teuta1.00%3.00%3.00%5.00%6.00%7.00%13.00%13.00%11.00%15.00%15.00%8.00%
Kastrioti1.00%5.00%3.00%5.00%5.00%7.00%14.00%13.00%20.00%14.00%10.00%3.00%
Shkumbini—2.00%3.00%8.00%6.00%10.00%11.00%11.00%14.00%9.00%15.00%11.00%
Dinamo Tirana7.00%10.00%16.00%13.00%17.00%15.00%5.00%7.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%
Besa——1.00%4.00%4.00%7.00%12.00%17.00%9.00%21.00%15.00%10.00%
KF Elbasani————1.00%—1.00%3.00%3.00%11.00%21.00%60.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Flamurtari 100% — —
Skenderbeu 99.00% 1.00% —
Dinamo Tirana 90.00% 8.00% 2.00%
KF Tirana 88.00% 10.00% 2.00%
Vllaznia 92.00% 4.00% 4.00%
Laci 73.00% 22.00% 5.00%
Kastrioti 53.00% 34.00% 13.00%
Bylis 53.00% 28.00% 19.00%
Teuta 51.00% 26.00% 23.00%
Besa 45.00% 30.00% 25.00%
Shkumbini 51.00% 23.00% 26.00%
KF Elbasani 5.00% 14.00% 81.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2010-08-21 Flamurtari L 0-146.3 1219 1246 55.58% 20.99% 23.43%+0.63 -22.6 0
2010-08-21 @ Dinamo Tirana W 1-046.3 1246 1219 23.43% 20.99% 55.58%-0.63 +22.6 3
2010-08-21 Laci D 0-050.5 1221 1240 56.51% 20.93% 22.55%+0.67 -3.6 1
2010-08-21 @ Teuta D 0-050.5 1240 1221 22.55% 20.93% 56.51%-0.67 +3.6 1
2010-08-22 Bylis W 3-245.9 1219 1217 58.73% 20.77% 20.50%+0.78 +8.7 3
2010-08-22 @ Vllaznia L 2-345.9 1217 1219 20.50% 20.77% 58.73%-0.78 -8.7 0
2010-08-22 Kastrioti D 2-260.8 1230 1227 58.80% 20.76% 20.43%+0.78 -2.7 1
2010-08-22 @ Shkumbini D 2-260.8 1227 1230 20.43% 20.76% 58.80%-0.78 +2.7 1
2010-08-22 KF Tirana D 1-155.1 1209 1240 55.11% 21.02% 23.87%+0.61 -2.9 1
2010-08-22 @ KF Elbasani D 1-155.1 1240 1209 23.87% 21.02% 55.11%-0.61 +2.9 1
2010-08-23 Skenderbeu L 0-243.2 1233 1241 57.70% 20.85% 21.45%+0.73 -44.1 0
2010-08-23 @ Besa W 2-043.2 1241 1233 21.45% 20.85% 57.70%-0.73 +44.1 3
2010-08-27 KF Tirana W 2-140.6 1269 1243 61.07% 20.56% 18.36%+0.90 +8.3 6
2010-08-27 @ Flamurtari L 1-240.6 1243 1269 18.36% 20.56% 61.07%-0.90 -8.3 1
2010-08-28 Besa W 2-140.8 1196 1189 59.29% 20.72% 19.98%+0.81 +9.0 3
2010-08-28 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-240.8 1189 1196 19.98% 20.72% 59.29%-0.81 -9.0 0
2010-08-28 KF Elbasani L 1-252.5 1208 1206 58.77% 20.77% 20.46%+0.78 -22.5 0
2010-08-28 @ Bylis W 2-152.5 1206 1208 20.46% 20.77% 58.77%-0.78 +22.5 4
2010-08-28 Vllaznia D 0-050.6 1230 1228 58.77% 20.77% 20.46%+0.78 -4.1 2
2010-08-28 @ Kastrioti D 0-050.6 1228 1230 20.46% 20.77% 58.77%-0.78 +4.1 4
2010-08-29 Teuta W 2-030.3 1285 1218 64.82% 20.13% 15.05%+1.11 +13.9 6
2010-08-29 @ Skenderbeu L 0-230.3 1218 1285 15.05% 20.13% 64.82%-1.11 -13.9 1
2010-08-30 Shkumbini W 2-031.6 1244 1227 60.22% 20.64% 19.14%+0.85 +17.3 4
2010-08-30 @ Laci L 0-231.6 1227 1244 19.14% 20.64% 60.22%-0.85 -17.3 1
2010-09-11 Flamurtari D 0-050.4 1180 1277 47.01% 21.34% 31.65%+0.28 -1.5 1
2010-09-11 @ Besa D 0-050.4 1277 1180 31.65% 21.34% 47.01%-0.28 +1.5 7
2010-09-11 Kastrioti D 1-155.2 1228 1226 58.79% 20.77% 20.45%+0.78 -3.6 5
2010-09-11 @ KF Elbasani D 1-155.2 1226 1228 20.45% 20.77% 58.79%-0.78 +3.6 3
2010-09-12 Bylis W 2-139.7 1235 1186 63.26% 20.33% 16.42%+1.02 +7.5 4
2010-09-12 @ KF Tirana L 1-239.7 1186 1235 16.42% 20.33% 63.26%-1.02 -7.5 0
2010-09-12 Laci W 2-142.2 1232 1261 55.35% 21.01% 23.64%+0.62 +10.4 7
2010-09-12 @ Vllaznia L 1-242.2 1261 1232 23.64% 21.01% 55.35%-0.62 -10.4 4
2010-09-12 Skenderbeu W 3-140.9 1210 1299 48.10% 21.31% 30.59%+0.32 +22.4 4
2010-09-12 @ Shkumbini L 1-340.9 1299 1210 30.59% 21.31% 48.10%-0.32 -22.4 6
2010-09-13 Dinamo Tirana L 1-252.4 1204 1205 58.39% 20.80% 20.82%+0.76 -22.3 1
2010-09-13 @ Teuta W 2-152.4 1205 1204 20.82% 20.80% 58.39%-0.76 +22.3 6
2010-09-18 KF Elbasani W 1-035.0 1251 1225 61.12% 20.56% 18.33%+0.90 +8.8 7
2010-09-18 @ Laci L 0-135.0 1225 1251 18.33% 20.56% 61.12%-0.90 -8.8 5
2010-09-18 Shkumbini W 1-035.9 1228 1232 58.04% 20.82% 21.13%+0.75 +10.0 9
2010-09-18 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-135.9 1232 1228 21.13% 20.82% 58.04%-0.75 -10.0 4
2010-09-19 Bylis W 1-033.0 1279 1178 67.45% 19.73% 12.82%+1.27 +6.3 10
2010-09-19 @ Flamurtari L 0-133.0 1178 1279 12.82% 19.73% 67.45%-1.27 -6.3 0
2010-09-19 Teuta D 0-050.4 1178 1182 58.19% 20.81% 20.99%+0.75 -3.9 2
2010-09-19 @ Besa D 0-050.4 1182 1178 20.99% 20.81% 58.19%-0.75 +3.9 2
2010-09-19 Vllaznia W 2-031.2 1277 1242 61.91% 20.48% 17.61%+0.94 +16.0 9
2010-09-19 @ Skenderbeu L 0-231.2 1242 1277 17.61% 20.48% 61.91%-0.94 -16.0 7
2010-09-20 KF Tirana D 0-050.6 1230 1243 57.16% 20.89% 21.95%+0.70 -3.7 4
2010-09-20 @ Kastrioti D 0-050.6 1243 1230 21.95% 20.89% 57.16%-0.70 +3.7 5
2010-09-25 Dinamo Tirana L 0-440.5 1226 1238 57.32% 20.88% 21.81%+0.71 -83.2 7
2010-09-25 @ Vllaznia W 4-040.5 1238 1226 21.81% 20.88% 57.32%-0.71 +83.2 12
2010-09-25 Flamurtari W 2-144.7 1185 1285 46.72% 21.35% 31.94%+0.27 +13.4 5
2010-09-25 @ Teuta L 1-244.7 1285 1185 31.94% 21.35% 46.72%-0.27 -13.4 10
2010-09-25 Kastrioti W 1-037.4 1172 1226 52.51% 21.15% 26.34%+0.50 +12.1 3
2010-09-25 @ Bylis L 0-137.4 1226 1172 26.34% 21.15% 52.51%-0.50 -12.1 4
2010-09-26 Laci W 2-032.6 1246 1260 57.13% 20.89% 21.98%+0.70 +19.6 8
2010-09-26 @ KF Tirana L 0-232.6 1260 1246 21.98% 20.89% 57.13%-0.70 -19.5 7
2010-09-26 Skenderbeu W 1-038.5 1216 1293 49.70% 21.26% 29.04%+0.38 +13.1 8
2010-09-26 @ KF Elbasani L 0-138.5 1293 1216 29.04% 21.26% 49.70%-0.38 -13.1 9
2010-09-27 Besa D 2-260.8 1222 1174 63.14% 20.34% 16.52%+1.01 -3.4 5
2010-09-27 @ Shkumbini D 2-260.8 1174 1222 16.52% 20.34% 63.14%-1.01 +3.4 3
2010-09-30 Bylis W 3-135.9 1240 1184 63.85% 20.25% 15.90%+1.05 +12.7 10
2010-09-30 @ Laci L 1-335.9 1184 1240 15.90% 20.25% 63.85%-1.05 -12.6 3
2010-10-01 Kastrioti W 3-028.3 1272 1214 64.02% 20.23% 15.74%+1.06 +21.0 13
2010-10-01 @ Flamurtari L 0-328.3 1214 1272 15.74% 20.23% 64.02%-1.06 -21.0 4
2010-10-01 KF Elbasani W 2-139.0 1321 1229 66.79% 19.84% 13.37%+1.23 +6.2 15
2010-10-01 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-239.0 1229 1321 13.37% 19.84% 66.79%-1.23 -6.2 8
2010-10-02 Shkumbini W 1-036.3 1199 1219 56.40% 20.94% 22.66%+0.67 +10.6 8
2010-10-02 @ Teuta L 0-136.3 1219 1199 22.66% 20.94% 56.40%-0.67 -10.6 5
2010-10-02 Vllaznia L 0-147.8 1178 1143 61.96% 20.47% 17.57%+0.94 -25.1 3
2010-10-02 @ Besa W 1-047.8 1143 1178 17.57% 20.47% 61.96%-0.94 +25.1 10
2010-10-03 KF Tirana W 2-141.1 1279 1266 59.91% 20.67% 19.42%+0.84 +8.8 12
2010-10-03 @ Skenderbeu L 1-241.1 1266 1279 19.42% 20.67% 59.91%-0.84 -8.8 8
2010-10-15 Laci W 3-139.6 1193 1253 51.77% 21.19% 27.04%+0.47 +20.2 7
2010-10-15 @ Kastrioti L 1-339.6 1253 1193 27.04% 21.19% 51.77%-0.47 -20.2 10
2010-10-15 Teuta D 0-050.3 1168 1210 53.96% 21.08% 24.96%+0.56 -3.0 11
2010-10-15 @ Vllaznia D 0-050.3 1210 1168 24.96% 21.08% 53.96%-0.56 +3.0 9
2010-10-16 Besa D 1-155.2 1223 1153 65.06% 20.10% 14.84%+1.12 -4.9 9
2010-10-16 @ KF Elbasani D 1-155.2 1153 1223 14.84% 20.10% 65.06%-1.12 +4.9 4
2010-10-16 Skenderbeu D 1-155.0 1171 1288 44.40% 21.39% 34.22%+0.18 -0.9 4
2010-10-16 @ Bylis D 1-155.0 1288 1171 34.22% 21.39% 44.40%-0.18 +0.9 13
2010-10-17 Flamurtari W 3-140.7 1208 1293 48.69% 21.29% 30.01%+0.34 +22.0 8
2010-10-17 @ Shkumbini L 1-340.7 1293 1208 30.01% 21.29% 48.69%-0.34 -22.1 13
2010-10-18 Dinamo Tirana D 1-155.6 1257 1327 50.53% 21.23% 28.23%+0.42 -2.0 9
2010-10-18 @ KF Tirana D 1-155.6 1327 1257 28.23% 21.23% 50.53%-0.42 +2.0 16
2010-10-23 KF Elbasani W 2-141.3 1213 1218 57.97% 20.83% 21.20%+0.74 +9.5 12
2010-10-23 @ Teuta L 1-241.3 1218 1213 21.20% 20.83% 57.97%-0.74 -9.5 9
2010-10-23 Vllaznia W 1-033.8 1230 1165 64.66% 20.15% 15.19%+1.10 +7.4 11
2010-10-23 @ Shkumbini L 0-133.8 1165 1230 15.19% 20.15% 64.66%-1.10 -7.4 11
2010-10-24 Bylis W 2-137.4 1329 1170 71.44% 18.93% 9.63%+1.56 +4.5 19
2010-10-24 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-237.4 1170 1329 9.63% 18.93% 71.44%-1.56 -4.5 4
2010-10-24 Kastrioti W 5-131.2 1289 1213 65.55% 20.03% 14.42%+1.15 +21.1 16
2010-10-24 @ Skenderbeu L 1-531.2 1213 1289 14.42% 20.03% 65.55%-1.15 -21.1 7
2010-10-24 Laci W 1-034.7 1271 1232 62.27% 20.44% 17.30%+0.96 +8.4 16
2010-10-24 @ Flamurtari L 0-134.7 1232 1271 17.30% 20.44% 62.27%-0.96 -8.4 10
2010-10-25 KF Tirana W 2-144.5 1158 1255 47.00% 21.34% 31.66%+0.28 +13.3 7
2010-10-25 @ Besa L 1-244.5 1255 1158 31.66% 21.34% 47.00%-0.28 -13.3 9
2010-10-30 Besa W 3-137.5 1166 1171 58.02% 20.83% 21.15%+0.74 +16.4 7
2010-10-30 @ Bylis L 1-337.5 1171 1166 21.15% 20.83% 58.02%-0.74 -16.4 7
2010-10-30 Flamurtari L 1-344.6 1157 1279 43.74% 21.40% 34.86%+0.16 -29.9 11
2010-10-30 @ Vllaznia W 3-144.6 1279 1157 34.86% 21.40% 43.74%-0.16 +29.9 19
2010-10-30 Skenderbeu L 0-144.5 1224 1310 48.48% 21.30% 30.22%+0.34 -20.0 10
2010-10-30 @ Laci W 1-044.5 1310 1224 30.22% 21.30% 48.48%-0.34 +20.0 19
2010-10-31 Shkumbini L 1-251.6 1208 1238 55.37% 21.00% 23.62%+0.62 -21.2 9
2010-10-31 @ KF Elbasani W 2-151.6 1238 1208 23.62% 21.00% 55.37%-0.62 +21.2 14
2010-10-31 Teuta W 2-031.4 1242 1222 60.51% 20.62% 18.88%+0.87 +17.1 12
2010-10-31 @ KF Tirana L 0-231.4 1222 1242 18.88% 20.62% 60.51%-0.87 -17.1 12
2010-11-01 Dinamo Tirana L 1-247.6 1192 1334 40.91% 21.42% 37.67%+0.06 -16.3 7
2010-11-01 @ Kastrioti W 2-147.6 1334 1192 37.67% 21.42% 40.91%-0.06 +16.3 22
2010-11-06 Kastrioti D 0-050.3 1154 1175 56.29% 20.95% 22.76%+0.66 -3.5 8
2010-11-06 @ Besa D 0-050.3 1175 1154 22.76% 20.95% 56.29%-0.66 +3.5 8
2010-11-06 KF Tirana L 1-349.1 1259 1259 58.55% 20.78% 20.67%+0.77 -38.8 14
2010-11-06 @ Shkumbini W 3-149.1 1259 1259 20.67% 20.78% 58.55%-0.77 +38.8 15
2010-11-06 Laci D 3-365.3 1350 1204 70.63% 19.12% 10.26%+1.50 -3.8 23
2010-11-06 @ Dinamo Tirana D 3-365.3 1204 1350 10.26% 19.12% 70.63%-1.50 +3.7 11
2010-11-07 KF Elbasani W 3-031.6 1128 1187 51.81% 21.18% 27.01%+0.47 +33.9 14
2010-11-07 @ Vllaznia L 0-331.6 1187 1128 27.01% 21.18% 51.81%-0.47 -33.9 9
2010-11-07 Skenderbeu W 4-031.0 1309 1330 56.26% 20.95% 22.79%+0.66 +38.3 22
2010-11-07 @ Flamurtari L 0-431.0 1330 1309 22.79% 20.95% 56.26%-0.66 -38.3 19
2010-11-08 Bylis W 6-030.0 1205 1182 60.79% 20.59% 18.62%+0.88 +46.9 15
2010-11-08 @ Teuta L 0-630.0 1182 1205 18.62% 20.59% 60.79%-0.88 -46.9 7
2010-11-12 Besa W 1-033.9 1208 1151 63.93% 20.24% 15.83%+1.05 +7.7 14
2010-11-12 @ Laci L 0-133.9 1151 1208 15.83% 20.24% 63.93%-1.05 -7.7 8
2010-11-13 Dinamo Tirana W 3-248.8 1292 1346 52.46% 21.16% 26.39%+0.50 +10.9 22
2010-11-13 @ Skenderbeu L 2-348.8 1346 1292 26.39% 21.16% 52.46%-0.50 -10.9 23
2010-11-13 Shkumbini W 3-248.8 1135 1220 48.66% 21.30% 30.04%+0.34 +12.1 10
2010-11-13 @ Bylis L 2-348.8 1220 1135 30.04% 21.30% 48.66%-0.34 -12.1 14
2010-11-14 Flamurtari L 1-245.4 1153 1347 33.62% 21.38% 45.00%-0.20 -14.0 9
2010-11-14 @ KF Elbasani W 2-145.4 1347 1153 45.00% 21.38% 33.62%+0.20 +14.0 25
2010-11-14 Vllaznia L 0-246.4 1298 1161 69.98% 19.26% 10.76%+1.45 -53.2 15
2010-11-14 @ KF Tirana W 2-046.4 1161 1298 10.76% 19.26% 69.98%-1.45 +53.2 17
2010-11-15 Teuta W 3-140.0 1179 1252 50.18% 21.25% 28.57%+0.40 +21.2 11
2010-11-15 @ Kastrioti L 1-340.0 1252 1179 28.57% 21.25% 50.18%-0.40 -21.2 15
2010-11-19 Vllaznia D 0-050.3 1148 1215 50.89% 21.22% 27.89%+0.43 -2.3 11
2010-11-19 @ Bylis D 0-050.3 1215 1148 27.89% 21.22% 50.89%-0.43 +2.3 18
2010-11-20 Besa W 4-025.5 1303 1143 71.49% 18.92% 9.59%+1.57 +17.0 25
2010-11-20 @ Skenderbeu L 0-425.5 1143 1303 9.59% 18.92% 71.49%-1.57 -17.0 8
2010-11-20 KF Elbasani W 3-134.7 1244 1139 67.79% 19.67% 12.54%+1.30 +10.1 18
2010-11-20 @ KF Tirana L 1-334.7 1139 1244 12.54% 19.67% 67.79%-1.30 -10.1 9
2010-11-21 Dinamo Tirana W 3-138.3 1361 1335 61.10% 20.56% 18.34%+0.90 +14.4 28
2010-11-21 @ Flamurtari L 1-338.3 1335 1361 18.34% 20.56% 61.10%-0.90 -14.4 23
2010-11-21 Teuta W 1-036.2 1216 1231 56.93% 20.90% 22.16%+0.69 +10.5 17
2010-11-21 @ Laci L 0-136.2 1231 1216 22.16% 20.90% 56.93%-0.69 -10.5 15
2010-11-22 Shkumbini W 2-032.2 1200 1208 57.70% 20.85% 21.45%+0.73 +19.1 14
2010-11-22 @ Kastrioti L 0-232.2 1208 1200 21.45% 20.85% 57.70%-0.73 -19.1 14
2010-11-27 Bylis W 3-246.3 1129 1145 56.84% 20.91% 22.25%+0.69 +9.4 12
2010-11-27 @ KF Elbasani L 2-346.3 1145 1129 22.25% 20.91% 56.84%-0.69 -9.4 11
2010-11-27 Flamurtari W 2-146.4 1254 1376 43.80% 21.40% 34.81%+0.16 +14.4 21
2010-11-27 @ KF Tirana L 1-246.4 1376 1254 34.81% 21.40% 43.80%-0.16 -14.4 28
2010-11-28 Kastrioti W 1-035.7 1217 1219 58.29% 20.80% 20.90%+0.76 +9.9 21
2010-11-28 @ Vllaznia L 0-135.7 1219 1217 20.90% 20.80% 58.29%-0.76 -9.9 14
2010-11-28 Laci W 2-142.3 1189 1226 54.49% 21.05% 24.46%+0.58 +10.7 17
2010-11-28 @ Shkumbini L 1-242.3 1226 1189 24.46% 21.05% 54.49%-0.58 -10.7 17
2010-11-29 Skenderbeu W 2-035.8 1220 1320 46.72% 21.35% 31.94%+0.27 +26.8 18
2010-11-29 @ Teuta L 0-235.8 1320 1220 31.94% 21.35% 46.72%-0.27 -26.8 25
2010-11-30 Dinamo Tirana D 1-155.0 1126 1321 33.51% 21.38% 45.12%-0.21 +1.0 9
2010-11-30 @ Besa D 1-155.0 1321 1126 45.12% 21.38% 33.51%+0.21 -1.0 24
2010-12-11 KF Elbasani W 3-135.4 1209 1139 65.11% 20.09% 14.80%+1.12 +11.8 17
2010-12-11 @ Kastrioti L 1-335.4 1139 1209 14.80% 20.09% 65.11%-1.12 -11.8 12
2010-12-11 KF Tirana D 1-154.9 1136 1269 42.15% 21.41% 36.44%+0.10 -0.5 12
2010-12-11 @ Bylis D 1-154.9 1269 1136 36.44% 21.41% 42.15%-0.10 +0.5 22
2010-12-11 Vllaznia L 0-146.7 1215 1227 57.30% 20.88% 21.82%+0.71 -23.2 17
2010-12-11 @ Laci W 1-046.7 1227 1215 21.82% 20.88% 57.30%-0.71 +23.3 24
2010-12-12 Shkumbini W 1-033.3 1293 1200 66.91% 19.82% 13.27%+1.24 +6.5 28
2010-12-12 @ Skenderbeu L 0-133.3 1200 1293 13.27% 19.82% 66.91%-1.24 -6.5 17
2010-12-12 Teuta L 1-254.7 1320 1247 65.28% 20.06% 14.65%+1.13 -24.9 24
2010-12-12 @ Dinamo Tirana W 2-154.7 1247 1320 14.65% 20.06% 65.28%-1.13 +24.9 21
2010-12-13 Besa W 1-030.7 1361 1127 75.65% 17.74% 6.61%+1.94 +3.3 31
2010-12-13 @ Flamurtari L 0-130.7 1127 1361 6.61% 17.74% 75.65%-1.94 -3.3 9
2010-12-17 Kastrioti W 4-028.1 1269 1221 63.16% 20.34% 16.51%+1.01 +28.7 25
2010-12-17 @ KF Tirana L 0-428.1 1221 1269 16.51% 20.34% 63.16%-1.01 -28.7 17
2010-12-18 Besa L 1-255.6 1272 1124 70.76% 19.09% 10.15%+1.51 -26.9 21
2010-12-18 @ Teuta W 2-155.6 1124 1272 10.15% 19.09% 70.76%-1.51 +26.9 12
2010-12-18 Flamurtari W 1-044.7 1135 1364 29.09% 21.27% 49.65%-0.38 +20.4 15
2010-12-18 @ Bylis L 0-144.7 1364 1135 49.65% 21.27% 29.09%+0.38 -20.4 31
2010-12-19 Laci L 2-355.1 1127 1192 51.13% 21.21% 27.66%+0.44 -18.7 12
2010-12-19 @ KF Elbasani W 3-255.1 1192 1127 27.66% 21.21% 51.13%-0.44 +18.7 20
2010-12-19 Skenderbeu W 2-143.1 1250 1300 53.05% 21.13% 25.82%+0.52 +11.2 27
2010-12-19 @ Vllaznia L 1-243.1 1300 1250 25.82% 21.13% 53.05%-0.52 -11.2 28
2010-12-20 Dinamo Tirana W 1-039.4 1193 1295 46.41% 21.35% 32.23%+0.26 +14.3 20
2010-12-20 @ Shkumbini L 0-139.4 1295 1193 32.23% 21.35% 46.41%-0.26 -14.3 24
2010-12-23 KF Elbasani W 1-031.3 1288 1108 72.74% 18.61% 8.65%+1.67 +4.3 31
2010-12-23 @ Skenderbeu L 0-131.3 1108 1288 8.65% 18.61% 72.74%-1.67 -4.3 12
2010-12-23 Teuta W 1-033.6 1344 1245 67.35% 19.75% 12.90%+1.27 +6.4 34
2010-12-23 @ Flamurtari L 0-133.6 1245 1344 12.90% 19.75% 67.35%-1.27 -6.4 21
2010-12-23 Vllaznia D 0-050.9 1281 1261 60.47% 20.62% 18.91%+0.87 -4.4 25
2010-12-23 @ Dinamo Tirana D 0-050.9 1261 1281 18.91% 20.62% 60.47%-0.87 +4.5 28
2010-12-24 Bylis W 2-139.9 1193 1156 62.13% 20.45% 17.41%+0.95 +7.9 20
2010-12-24 @ Kastrioti L 1-239.9 1156 1193 17.41% 20.45% 62.13%-0.95 -7.9 15
2010-12-24 KF Tirana D 1-155.2 1211 1298 48.33% 21.31% 30.36%+0.33 -1.6 21
2010-12-24 @ Laci D 1-155.2 1298 1211 30.36% 21.31% 48.33%-0.33 +1.6 26
2010-12-24 Shkumbini W 2-142.9 1151 1207 52.18% 21.17% 26.65%+0.48 +11.5 15
2010-12-24 @ Besa L 1-242.9 1207 1151 26.65% 21.17% 52.18%-0.48 -11.5 20
2011-01-21 Flamurtari L 1-247.4 1200 1350 39.74% 21.43% 38.84%+0.02 -16.0 20
2011-01-21 @ Kastrioti W 2-147.4 1350 1200 38.84% 21.43% 39.74%-0.02 +16.0 37
2011-01-22 Besa W 2-138.4 1266 1162 67.68% 19.69% 12.63%+1.29 +5.9 31
2011-01-22 @ Vllaznia L 1-238.4 1162 1266 12.63% 19.69% 67.68%-1.29 -5.9 15
2011-01-22 Laci L 1-250.4 1148 1209 51.61% 21.19% 27.20%+0.46 -19.9 15
2011-01-22 @ Bylis W 2-150.4 1209 1148 27.20% 21.19% 51.61%-0.46 +19.9 24
2011-01-26 Dinamo Tirana L 1-342.4 1104 1276 36.54% 21.42% 42.04%-0.10 -25.9 12
2011-01-26 @ KF Elbasani W 3-142.4 1276 1104 42.04% 21.42% 36.54%+0.10 +25.9 28
2011-01-26 Teuta D 1-155.1 1196 1239 53.83% 21.09% 25.08%+0.55 -2.7 21
2011-01-26 @ Shkumbini D 1-155.1 1239 1196 25.08% 21.09% 53.83%-0.55 +2.7 22
2011-01-28 Kastrioti W 2-030.6 1229 1185 62.84% 20.37% 16.79%+0.99 +15.4 27
2011-01-28 @ Laci L 0-230.6 1185 1229 16.79% 20.37% 62.84%-0.99 -15.4 20
2011-01-29 Bylis W 2-028.0 1293 1128 71.82% 18.84% 9.34%+1.60 +8.8 34
2011-01-29 @ Skenderbeu L 0-228.0 1128 1293 9.34% 18.84% 71.82%-1.60 -8.8 15
2011-01-30 KF Elbasani W 2-029.6 1157 1078 65.75% 20.00% 14.25%+1.16 +13.2 18
2011-01-30 @ Besa L 0-229.6 1078 1157 14.25% 20.00% 65.75%-1.16 -13.2 12
2011-01-30 Shkumbini W 4-237.5 1366 1193 72.33% 18.72% 8.96%+1.64 +6.5 40
2011-01-30 @ Flamurtari L 2-437.5 1193 1366 8.96% 18.72% 72.33%-1.64 -6.5 21
2011-01-30 Vllaznia L 0-340.4 1241 1272 55.23% 21.01% 23.76%+0.62 -61.5 22
2011-01-30 @ Teuta W 3-040.4 1272 1241 23.76% 21.01% 55.23%-0.62 +61.5 34
2011-01-31 KF Tirana L 1-253.2 1302 1300 58.79% 20.77% 20.45%+0.78 -22.5 28
2011-01-31 @ Dinamo Tirana W 2-153.2 1300 1302 20.45% 20.77% 58.79%-0.78 +22.5 29
2011-02-03 Skenderbeu D 0-051.4 1322 1301 60.62% 20.61% 18.78%+0.87 -4.5 30
2011-02-03 @ KF Tirana D 0-051.4 1301 1322 18.78% 20.61% 60.62%-0.87 +4.5 35
2011-02-04 Flamurtari L 0-143.3 1244 1373 42.77% 21.41% 35.82%+0.12 -18.0 27
2011-02-04 @ Laci W 1-043.3 1373 1244 35.82% 21.41% 42.77%-0.12 +18.0 43
2011-02-05 Dinamo Tirana W 3-143.5 1119 1280 38.23% 21.42% 40.35%-0.04 +28.0 18
2011-02-05 @ Bylis L 1-343.5 1280 1119 40.35% 21.42% 38.23%+0.04 -28.0 28
2011-02-05 Shkumbini D 0-051.3 1333 1187 70.67% 19.11% 10.22%+1.50 -6.8 35
2011-02-05 @ Vllaznia D 0-051.3 1187 1333 10.22% 19.11% 70.67%-1.50 +6.8 22
2011-02-06 Besa D 0-051.2 1318 1170 70.76% 19.09% 10.15%+1.51 -6.8 31
2011-02-06 @ KF Tirana D 0-051.2 1170 1318 10.15% 19.09% 70.76%-1.51 +6.8 19
2011-02-06 Skenderbeu D 0-050.4 1169 1306 41.63% 21.42% 36.95%+0.08 -0.5 21
2011-02-06 @ Kastrioti D 0-050.4 1306 1169 36.95% 21.42% 41.63%-0.08 +0.5 36
2011-02-06 Teuta W 2-035.9 1065 1180 44.63% 21.39% 33.98%+0.19 +28.2 15
2011-02-06 @ KF Elbasani L 0-235.9 1180 1065 33.98% 21.39% 44.63%-0.19 -28.2 22
2011-02-11 KF Elbasani W 3-243.1 1194 1093 67.46% 19.73% 12.81%+1.27 +5.7 25
2011-02-11 @ Shkumbini L 2-343.1 1093 1194 12.81% 19.73% 67.46%-1.27 -5.7 15
2011-02-12 Bylis W 2-140.1 1176 1147 61.44% 20.52% 18.04%+0.92 +8.2 22
2011-02-12 @ Besa L 1-240.1 1147 1176 18.04% 20.52% 61.44%-0.92 -8.2 18
2011-02-12 Kastrioti D 0-050.7 1252 1169 66.10% 19.95% 13.96%+1.19 -5.7 29
2011-02-12 @ Dinamo Tirana D 0-050.7 1169 1252 13.96% 19.95% 66.10%-1.19 +5.7 22
2011-02-12 Laci W 2-139.2 1306 1226 65.85% 19.98% 14.17%+1.17 +6.6 39
2011-02-12 @ Skenderbeu L 1-239.2 1226 1306 14.17% 19.98% 65.85%-1.17 -6.6 27
2011-02-13 KF Tirana D 0-050.4 1152 1311 38.40% 21.42% 40.18%-0.03 +0.2 23
2011-02-13 @ Teuta D 0-050.4 1311 1152 40.18% 21.42% 38.40%+0.03 -0.2 32
2011-02-13 Vllaznia W 2-032.0 1391 1327 64.57% 20.16% 15.27%+1.09 +14.1 46
2011-02-13 @ Flamurtari L 0-232.0 1327 1391 15.27% 20.16% 64.57%-1.09 -14.1 35
2011-02-19 Besa W 2-141.3 1174 1185 57.45% 20.87% 21.68%+0.72 +9.7 25
2011-02-19 @ Kastrioti L 1-241.3 1185 1174 21.68% 20.87% 57.45%-0.72 -9.7 22
2011-02-19 Dinamo Tirana D 0-050.5 1220 1246 55.73% 20.98% 23.29%+0.64 -3.4 28
2011-02-19 @ Laci D 0-050.5 1246 1220 23.29% 20.98% 55.73%-0.64 +3.4 30
2011-02-20 Shkumbini D 0-051.1 1311 1199 68.27% 19.59% 12.14%+1.33 -6.2 33
2011-02-20 @ KF Tirana D 0-051.1 1199 1311 12.14% 19.59% 68.27%-1.33 +6.2 26
2011-02-20 Vllaznia L 0-432.1 1087 1312 29.57% 21.28% 49.15%-0.36 -47.7 15
2011-02-20 @ KF Elbasani W 4-032.1 1312 1087 49.15% 21.28% 29.57%+0.36 +47.8 38
2011-02-21 Flamurtari W 1-040.8 1313 1405 47.70% 21.32% 30.98%+0.31 +13.9 42
2011-02-21 @ Skenderbeu L 0-140.8 1405 1313 30.98% 21.32% 47.70%-0.31 -13.9 46
2011-02-21 Teuta W 3-030.0 1139 1152 57.18% 20.89% 21.93%+0.70 +28.3 21
2011-02-21 @ Bylis L 0-330.0 1152 1139 21.93% 20.89% 57.18%-0.70 -28.3 23
2011-02-25 Laci L 1-251.1 1175 1216 53.98% 21.08% 24.94%+0.56 -20.7 22
2011-02-25 @ Besa W 2-151.1 1216 1175 24.94% 21.08% 53.98%-0.56 +20.7 31
2011-02-25 Skenderbeu L 1-346.9 1249 1327 49.60% 21.27% 29.13%+0.38 -33.3 30
2011-02-25 @ Dinamo Tirana W 3-146.9 1327 1249 29.13% 21.27% 49.60%-0.38 +33.3 45
2011-02-26 Bylis W 4-240.0 1205 1167 62.26% 20.44% 17.31%+0.96 +12.2 29
2011-02-26 @ Shkumbini L 2-440.0 1167 1205 17.31% 20.44% 62.26%-0.96 -12.2 21
2011-02-26 KF Tirana D 0-051.9 1360 1304 63.83% 20.26% 15.91%+1.05 -5.2 39
2011-02-26 @ Vllaznia D 0-051.9 1304 1360 15.91% 20.26% 63.83%-1.05 +5.2 34
2011-02-27 Kastrioti D 1-154.8 1123 1184 51.68% 21.19% 27.13%+0.46 -2.2 24
2011-02-27 @ Teuta D 1-154.8 1184 1123 27.13% 21.19% 51.68%-0.46 +2.2 26
2011-02-27 KF Elbasani W 4-022.7 1391 1040 80.70% 15.65% 3.65%+2.53 +6.2 49
2011-02-27 @ Flamurtari L 0-422.7 1040 1391 3.65% 15.65% 80.70%-2.53 -6.2 15
2011-03-05 KF Elbasani W 8-025.2 1397 1033 81.16% 15.42% 3.43%+2.60 +11.2 52
2011-03-05 @ Flamurtari L 0-825.2 1033 1397 3.43% 15.42% 81.16%-2.60 -11.2 15
2011-03-06 Besa W 2-027.6 1355 1154 73.90% 18.29% 7.81%+1.78 +7.3 42
2011-03-06 @ Vllaznia L 0-227.6 1154 1355 7.81% 18.29% 73.90%-1.78 -7.3 22
2011-03-06 Kastrioti W 3-136.0 1237 1186 63.40% 20.31% 16.29%+1.02 +12.9 34
2011-03-06 @ Laci L 1-336.0 1186 1237 16.29% 20.31% 63.40%-1.02 -12.9 26
2011-03-06 Shkumbini W 4-134.7 1216 1218 58.37% 20.80% 20.83%+0.76 +22.9 33
2011-03-06 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-434.7 1218 1216 20.83% 20.80% 58.37%-0.76 -22.8 29
2011-03-07 Bylis W 3-133.1 1360 1155 74.14% 18.22% 7.65%+1.80 +6.2 48
2011-03-07 @ Skenderbeu L 1-333.1 1155 1360 7.65% 18.22% 74.14%-1.80 -6.2 21
2011-03-07 Teuta L 1-256.2 1310 1121 73.22% 18.48% 8.30%+1.72 -27.8 34
2011-03-07 @ KF Tirana W 2-156.2 1121 1310 8.30% 18.48% 73.22%-1.72 +27.8 27
2011-03-11 Laci L 2-546.8 1195 1250 52.33% 21.16% 26.51%+0.49 -42.8 29
2011-03-11 @ Shkumbini W 5-246.8 1250 1195 26.51% 21.16% 52.33%-0.49 +42.8 37
2011-03-12 KF Elbasani W 3-132.4 1239 1022 74.77% 18.03% 7.20%+1.86 +5.8 36
2011-03-12 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-332.4 1022 1239 7.20% 18.03% 74.77%-1.86 -5.8 15
2011-03-12 KF Tirana W 2-035.9 1173 1282 45.52% 21.37% 33.11%+0.22 +27.6 29
2011-03-12 @ Kastrioti L 0-235.9 1282 1173 33.11% 21.37% 45.52%-0.22 -27.6 34
2011-03-12 Skenderbeu D 0-050.6 1147 1366 30.33% 21.30% 48.37%-0.33 +1.8 23
2011-03-12 @ Besa D 0-050.6 1366 1147 48.37% 21.30% 30.33%+0.33 -1.8 49
2011-03-12 Vllaznia D 0-050.6 1149 1362 31.06% 21.32% 47.62%-0.30 +1.7 28
2011-03-12 @ Teuta D 0-050.6 1362 1149 47.62% 21.32% 31.06%+0.30 -1.7 43
2011-03-13 Flamurtari W 1-046.0 1149 1409 25.50% 21.11% 53.38%-0.54 +21.8 24
2011-03-13 @ Bylis L 0-146.0 1409 1149 53.38% 21.11% 25.50%+0.54 -21.8 52
2011-03-19 Bylis L 0-237.5 1016 1171 39.10% 21.43% 39.47%-0.01 -31.5 15
2011-03-19 @ KF Elbasani W 2-037.5 1171 1016 39.47% 21.43% 39.10%+0.01 +31.5 27
2011-03-20 Besa W 3-024.9 1387 1149 75.84% 17.67% 6.48%+1.96 +8.8 55
2011-03-20 @ Flamurtari L 0-324.9 1149 1387 6.48% 17.67% 75.84%-1.96 -8.8 23
2011-03-20 Dinamo Tirana W 1-034.6 1293 1245 63.17% 20.34% 16.50%+1.01 +8.0 40
2011-03-20 @ Laci L 0-134.6 1245 1293 16.50% 20.34% 63.17%-1.01 -8.0 36
2011-03-20 Kastrioti D 1-156.1 1361 1201 71.50% 18.92% 9.58%+1.57 -6.2 44
2011-03-20 @ Vllaznia D 1-156.1 1201 1361 9.58% 18.92% 71.50%-1.57 +6.2 30
2011-03-20 Shkumbini W 1-032.9 1254 1152 67.59% 19.71% 12.70%+1.28 +6.3 37
2011-03-20 @ KF Tirana L 0-132.9 1152 1254 12.70% 19.71% 67.59%-1.28 -6.3 29
2011-03-20 Teuta W 1-031.1 1364 1151 74.61% 18.08% 7.31%+1.84 +3.6 52
2011-03-20 @ Skenderbeu L 0-131.1 1151 1364 7.31% 18.08% 74.61%-1.84 -3.6 28
2011-04-01 Bylis W 2-143.1 1140 1202 51.51% 21.20% 27.29%+0.46 +11.8 26
2011-04-01 @ Besa L 1-243.1 1202 1140 27.29% 21.20% 51.51%-0.46 -11.8 27
2011-04-01 KF Elbasani W 3-131.1 1301 985 79.33% 16.30% 4.37%+2.36 +3.4 43
2011-04-01 @ Laci L 1-331.1 985 1301 4.37% 16.30% 79.33%-2.36 -3.5 15
2011-04-01 KF Tirana D 0-050.6 1237 1261 55.97% 20.97% 23.06%+0.65 -3.4 37
2011-04-01 @ Dinamo Tirana D 0-050.6 1261 1237 23.06% 20.97% 55.97%-0.65 +3.4 38
2011-04-01 Vllaznia W 1-043.9 1146 1354 31.67% 21.34% 46.99%-0.28 +19.4 32
2011-04-01 @ Shkumbini L 0-143.9 1354 1146 46.99% 21.34% 31.67%+0.28 -19.4 44
2011-04-02 Flamurtari D 1-155.4 1147 1396 26.77% 21.17% 52.06%-0.48 +2.3 29
2011-04-02 @ Teuta D 1-155.4 1396 1147 52.06% 21.17% 26.77%+0.48 -2.3 56
2011-04-02 Skenderbeu L 0-237.9 1207 1368 38.19% 21.42% 40.39%-0.04 -30.9 30
2011-04-02 @ Kastrioti W 2-037.9 1368 1207 40.39% 21.42% 38.19%+0.04 +30.9 55
2011-04-09 Kastrioti W 1-031.3 1393 1176 74.78% 18.02% 7.20%+1.86 +3.6 59
2011-04-09 @ Flamurtari L 0-131.3 1176 1393 7.20% 18.02% 74.78%-1.86 -3.6 30
2011-04-09 Shkumbini W 2-027.3 1399 1165 75.63% 17.75% 6.62%+1.94 +6.2 58
2011-04-09 @ Skenderbeu L 0-227.3 1165 1399 6.62% 17.75% 75.63%-1.94 -6.2 32
2011-04-10 Besa L 0-140.4 981 1152 36.81% 21.42% 41.78%-0.09 -15.9 15
2011-04-10 @ KF Elbasani W 1-040.4 1152 981 41.78% 21.42% 36.81%+0.09 +15.9 29
2011-04-10 Teuta W 1-034.3 1190 1149 62.53% 20.41% 17.06%+0.97 +8.3 30
2011-04-10 @ Bylis L 0-134.3 1149 1190 17.06% 20.41% 62.53%-0.97 -8.3 29
2011-04-11 Dinamo Tirana W 3-135.3 1335 1233 67.55% 19.71% 12.74%+1.28 +10.3 47
2011-04-11 @ Vllaznia L 1-335.3 1233 1335 12.74% 19.71% 67.55%-1.28 -10.3 37
2011-04-11 Laci W 4-031.2 1264 1304 54.11% 21.08% 24.82%+0.57 +41.2 41
2011-04-11 @ KF Tirana L 0-431.2 1304 1264 24.82% 21.08% 54.11%-0.57 -41.2 43
2011-04-15 Flamurtari W 2-150.7 1159 1397 28.05% 21.23% 50.73%-0.42 +19.6 35
2011-04-15 @ Shkumbini L 1-250.7 1397 1159 50.73% 21.23% 28.05%+0.42 -19.6 59
2011-04-15 KF Elbasani W 6-125.8 1305 965 80.26% 15.86% 3.87%+2.47 +6.8 44
2011-04-15 @ KF Tirana L 1-625.8 965 1305 3.87% 15.86% 80.26%-2.47 -6.8 15
2011-04-15 Skenderbeu L 2-351.4 1223 1405 35.21% 21.40% 43.39%-0.15 -13.8 37
2011-04-15 @ Dinamo Tirana W 3-251.4 1405 1223 43.39% 21.40% 35.21%+0.15 +13.8 61
2011-04-16 Besa W 4-241.9 1141 1168 55.65% 20.99% 23.36%+0.63 +16.0 32
2011-04-16 @ Teuta L 2-441.9 1168 1141 23.36% 20.99% 55.65%-0.63 -16.0 29
2011-04-16 Bylis W 2-141.9 1173 1199 55.74% 20.98% 23.28%+0.64 +10.3 33
2011-04-16 @ Kastrioti L 1-241.9 1199 1173 23.28% 20.98% 55.74%-0.64 -10.3 30
2011-04-16 Vllaznia L 1-346.9 1263 1345 49.00% 21.29% 29.71%+0.36 -32.9 43
2011-04-16 @ Laci W 3-146.9 1345 1263 29.71% 21.29% 49.00%-0.36 +32.9 50
2011-04-20 Dinamo Tirana W 6-231.2 1377 1209 72.01% 18.79% 9.19%+1.61 +11.6 62
2011-04-20 @ Flamurtari L 2-631.2 1209 1377 9.19% 18.79% 72.01%-1.61 -11.6 37
2011-04-20 Kastrioti W 3-246.8 1152 1183 55.15% 21.02% 23.83%+0.61 +10.0 32
2011-04-20 @ Besa L 2-346.8 1183 1152 23.83% 21.02% 55.15%-0.61 -10.0 33
2011-04-20 KF Tirana W 1-035.3 1378 1312 64.72% 20.14% 15.14%+1.10 +7.4 53
2011-04-20 @ Vllaznia L 0-135.3 1312 1378 15.14% 20.14% 64.72%-1.10 -7.4 44
2011-04-20 Laci W 2-028.6 1419 1230 73.23% 18.48% 8.29%+1.72 +7.8 64
2011-04-20 @ Skenderbeu L 0-228.6 1230 1419 8.29% 18.48% 73.23%-1.72 -7.8 43
2011-04-20 Shkumbini W 2-031.6 1188 1179 59.52% 20.70% 19.77%+0.82 +17.8 33
2011-04-20 @ Bylis L 0-231.6 1179 1188 19.77% 20.70% 59.52%-0.82 -17.8 35
2011-04-20 Teuta L 2-444.9 959 1157 33.01% 21.37% 45.62%-0.23 -21.3 15
2011-04-20 @ KF Elbasani W 4-244.9 1157 959 45.62% 21.37% 33.01%+0.23 +21.3 35
2011-04-24 Besa D 2-260.5 1161 1162 58.44% 20.79% 20.77%+0.76 -2.7 36
2011-04-24 @ Shkumbini D 2-260.5 1162 1161 20.77% 20.79% 58.44%-0.76 +2.7 33
2011-04-24 Bylis D 1-155.1 1198 1206 57.64% 20.85% 21.51%+0.73 -3.4 38
2011-04-24 @ Dinamo Tirana D 1-155.1 1206 1198 21.51% 20.85% 57.64%-0.73 +3.4 34
2011-04-25 Flamurtari D 1-155.7 1222 1389 37.41% 21.42% 41.17%-0.07 +0.3 44
2011-04-25 @ Laci D 1-155.7 1389 1222 41.17% 21.42% 37.41%+0.07 -0.3 63
2011-04-25 KF Elbasani W 3-129.7 1386 937 83.94% 13.84% 2.23%+3.02 +1.7 56
2011-04-25 @ Vllaznia L 1-329.7 937 1386 2.23% 13.84% 83.94%-3.02 -1.7 15
2011-04-25 Skenderbeu L 0-144.8 1305 1427 43.68% 21.40% 34.92%+0.16 -18.3 44
2011-04-25 @ KF Tirana W 1-044.8 1427 1305 34.92% 21.40% 43.68%-0.16 +18.3 67
2011-04-25 Teuta W 3-137.6 1173 1178 57.98% 20.83% 21.19%+0.74 +16.4 36
2011-04-25 @ Kastrioti L 1-337.6 1178 1173 21.19% 20.83% 57.98%-0.74 -16.4 35
2011-04-29 Kastrioti L 1-242.6 936 1189 26.16% 21.15% 52.70%-0.51 -11.3 15
2011-04-29 @ KF Elbasani W 2-142.6 1189 936 52.70% 21.15% 26.16%+0.51 +11.4 39
2011-04-29 Laci W 1-036.1 1210 1223 57.14% 20.89% 21.97%+0.70 +10.4 37
2011-04-29 @ Bylis L 0-136.1 1223 1210 21.97% 20.89% 57.14%-0.70 -10.4 44
2011-04-30 Dinamo Tirana W 1-036.5 1164 1194 55.30% 21.01% 23.69%+0.62 +11.1 36
2011-04-30 @ Besa L 0-136.5 1194 1164 23.69% 21.01% 55.30%-0.62 -11.1 38
2011-04-30 KF Tirana W 2-139.7 1388 1286 67.57% 19.71% 12.72%+1.28 +5.9 66
2011-04-30 @ Flamurtari L 1-239.7 1286 1388 12.72% 19.71% 67.57%-1.28 -5.9 44
2011-04-30 Shkumbini W 3-137.2 1162 1158 58.92% 20.76% 20.33%+0.79 +15.8 38
2011-04-30 @ Teuta L 1-337.2 1158 1162 20.33% 20.76% 58.92%-0.79 -15.8 36
2011-04-30 Vllaznia W 3-032.3 1445 1387 64.00% 20.24% 15.77%+1.06 +21.1 70
2011-04-30 @ Skenderbeu L 0-332.3 1387 1445 15.77% 20.24% 64.00%-1.06 -21.1 56
2011-05-04 Besa W 3-244.8 1212 1175 62.15% 20.45% 17.40%+0.95 +7.5 47
2011-05-04 @ Laci L 2-344.8 1175 1212 17.40% 20.45% 62.15%-0.95 -7.5 36
2011-05-04 Bylis L 0-245.0 1280 1220 64.24% 20.20% 15.56%+1.07 -49.0 44
2011-05-04 @ KF Tirana W 2-045.0 1220 1280 15.56% 20.20% 64.24%-1.07 +49.0 40
2011-05-04 Flamurtari W 3-033.2 1366 1394 55.50% 21.00% 23.50%+0.63 +30.1 59
2011-05-04 @ Vllaznia L 0-333.2 1394 1366 23.50% 21.00% 55.50%-0.63 -30.1 66
2011-05-04 Kastrioti W 2-143.0 1142 1201 51.96% 21.18% 26.87%+0.48 +11.6 39
2011-05-04 @ Shkumbini L 1-243.0 1201 1142 26.87% 21.18% 51.96%-0.48 -11.6 39
2011-05-04 KF Elbasani W 1-027.2 1466 924 86.52% 12.10% 1.37%+3.49 +0.6 73
2011-05-04 @ Skenderbeu L 0-127.2 924 1466 1.37% 12.10% 86.52%-3.49 -0.6 15
2011-05-04 Teuta D 0-050.4 1183 1178 59.10% 20.74% 20.16%+0.80 -4.1 39
2011-05-04 @ Dinamo Tirana D 0-050.4 1178 1183 20.16% 20.74% 59.10%-0.80 +4.1 39
2011-05-16 Dinamo Tirana W 4-348.1 1189 1179 59.56% 20.70% 19.74%+0.82 +8.2 42
2011-05-16 @ Kastrioti L 3-448.1 1179 1189 19.74% 20.70% 59.56%-0.82 -8.2 39
2011-05-16 KF Tirana W 3-248.1 1168 1231 51.34% 21.20% 27.46%+0.45 +11.2 39
2011-05-16 @ Besa L 2-348.1 1231 1168 27.46% 21.20% 51.34%-0.45 -11.2 44
2011-05-16 Laci W 3-247.2 1182 1220 54.36% 21.06% 24.58%+0.58 +10.2 42
2011-05-16 @ Teuta L 2-347.2 1220 1182 24.58% 21.06% 54.36%-0.58 -10.2 47
2011-05-16 Shkumbini L 1-243.5 924 1154 28.94% 21.26% 49.80%-0.39 -12.4 15
2011-05-16 @ KF Elbasani W 2-143.5 1154 924 49.80% 21.26% 28.94%+0.39 +12.4 42
2011-05-16 Skenderbeu W 1-043.4 1364 1467 46.35% 21.35% 32.30%+0.25 +14.3 69
2011-05-16 @ Flamurtari L 0-143.4 1467 1364 32.30% 21.35% 46.35%-0.25 -14.3 73
2011-05-16 Vllaznia W 2-037.9 1269 1396 42.93% 21.41% 35.66%+0.13 +29.3 43
2011-05-16 @ Bylis L 0-237.9 1396 1269 35.66% 21.41% 42.93%-0.13 -29.3 59

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2011-03-07 8.30% Teuta 1121 2 @ KF Tirana 1310 1
2 2010-12-18 10.15% Besa 1124 2 @ Teuta 1272 1
3 2010-11-14 10.76% Vllaznia 1161 2 @ KF Tirana 1298 0
4 2010-12-12 14.65% Teuta 1247 2 @ Dinamo Tirana 1320 1
5 2011-05-04 15.56% Bylis 1220 2 @ KF Tirana 1280 0
6 2010-10-02 17.57% Vllaznia 1143 1 @ Besa 1178 0
7 2011-01-31 20.45% KF Tirana 1300 2 @ Dinamo Tirana 1302 1
8 2010-08-28 20.46% KF Elbasani 1206 2 @ Bylis 1208 1
9 2010-11-06 20.67% KF Tirana 1259 3 @ Shkumbini 1259 1
10 2010-09-13 20.82% Dinamo Tirana 1205 2 @ Teuta 1204 1
11 2010-08-23 21.45% Skenderbeu 1241 2 @ Besa 1233 0
12 2010-09-25 21.81% Dinamo Tirana 1238 4 @ Vllaznia 1226 0
13 2010-12-11 21.82% Vllaznia 1227 1 @ Laci 1215 0
14 2010-08-21 23.43% Flamurtari 1246 1 @ Dinamo Tirana 1219 0
15 2010-10-31 23.62% Shkumbini 1238 2 @ KF Elbasani 1208 1
16 2011-01-30 23.76% Vllaznia 1272 3 @ Teuta 1241 0
17 2011-02-25 24.94% Laci 1216 2 @ Besa 1175 1
18 2011-03-13 25.50% @ Bylis 1149 1 Flamurtari 1409 0
19 2011-03-11 26.51% Laci 1250 5 @ Shkumbini 1195 2
20 2011-01-22 27.20% Laci 1209 2 @ Bylis 1148 1
21 2010-12-19 27.66% Laci 1192 3 @ KF Elbasani 1127 2
22 2011-04-15 28.05% @ Shkumbini 1159 2 Flamurtari 1397 1
23 2010-12-18 29.09% @ Bylis 1135 1 Flamurtari 1364 0
24 2011-02-25 29.13% Skenderbeu 1327 3 @ Dinamo Tirana 1249 1
25 2011-04-16 29.71% Vllaznia 1345 3 @ Laci 1263 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-09-25 83.22 Dinamo Tirana 4 1238 21.81% @ Vllaznia 0 1226 57.32% 20.88%
2 2011-01-30 61.53 Vllaznia 3 1272 23.76% @ Teuta 0 1241 55.23% 21.01%
3 2010-11-14 53.20 Vllaznia 2 1161 10.76% @ KF Tirana 0 1298 69.98% 19.26%
4 2011-05-04 48.96 Bylis 2 1220 15.56% @ KF Tirana 0 1280 64.24% 20.20%
5 2011-02-20 47.75 Vllaznia 4 1312 49.15% @ KF Elbasani 0 1087 29.57% 21.28%
6 2010-11-08 46.89 @ Teuta 6 1205 60.79% Bylis 0 1182 18.62% 20.59%
7 2010-08-23 44.14 Skenderbeu 2 1241 21.45% @ Besa 0 1233 57.70% 20.85%
8 2011-03-11 42.76 Laci 5 1250 26.51% @ Shkumbini 2 1195 52.33% 21.16%
9 2011-04-11 41.21 @ KF Tirana 4 1264 54.11% Laci 0 1304 24.82% 21.08%
10 2010-11-06 38.76 KF Tirana 3 1259 20.67% @ Shkumbini 1 1259 58.55% 20.78%
11 2010-11-07 38.29 @ Flamurtari 4 1309 56.26% Skenderbeu 0 1330 22.79% 20.95%
12 2010-11-07 33.89 @ Vllaznia 3 1128 51.81% KF Elbasani 0 1187 27.01% 21.18%
13 2011-02-25 33.28 Skenderbeu 3 1327 29.13% @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1249 49.60% 21.27%
14 2011-04-16 32.92 Vllaznia 3 1345 29.71% @ Laci 1 1263 49.00% 21.29%
15 2011-03-19 31.52 Bylis 2 1171 39.47% @ KF Elbasani 0 1016 39.10% 21.43%
16 2011-04-02 30.94 Skenderbeu 2 1368 40.39% @ Kastrioti 0 1207 38.19% 21.42%
17 2011-05-04 30.10 @ Vllaznia 3 1366 55.50% Flamurtari 0 1394 23.50% 21.00%
18 2010-10-30 29.88 Flamurtari 3 1279 34.86% @ Vllaznia 1 1157 43.74% 21.40%
19 2011-05-16 29.30 @ Bylis 2 1269 42.93% Vllaznia 0 1396 35.66% 21.41%
20 2010-12-17 28.70 @ KF Tirana 4 1269 63.16% Kastrioti 0 1221 16.51% 20.34%
21 2011-02-21 28.35 @ Bylis 3 1139 57.18% Teuta 0 1152 21.93% 20.89%
22 2011-02-06 28.18 @ KF Elbasani 2 1065 44.63% Teuta 0 1180 33.98% 21.39%
23 2011-02-05 27.99 @ Bylis 3 1119 38.23% Dinamo Tirana 1 1280 40.35% 21.42%
24 2011-03-07 27.76 Teuta 2 1121 8.30% @ KF Tirana 1 1310 73.22% 18.48%
25 2011-03-12 27.61 @ Kastrioti 2 1173 45.52% KF Tirana 0 1282 33.11% 21.37%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-11-06 65.3 @ Dinamo Tirana 3 1350 70.63% Laci 3 1204 10.26% 19.12%
2 2010-08-22 60.8 @ Shkumbini 2 1230 58.80% Kastrioti 2 1227 20.43% 20.76%
3 2010-09-27 60.8 @ Shkumbini 2 1222 63.14% Besa 2 1174 16.52% 20.34%
4 2011-04-24 60.5 @ Shkumbini 2 1161 58.44% Besa 2 1162 20.77% 20.79%
5 2011-03-07 56.2 Teuta 2 1121 8.30% @ KF Tirana 1 1310 73.22% 18.48%
6 2011-03-20 56.1 @ Vllaznia 1 1361 71.50% Kastrioti 1 1201 9.58% 18.92%
7 2011-04-25 55.7 @ Laci 1 1222 37.41% Flamurtari 1 1389 41.17% 21.42%
8 2010-10-18 55.6 @ KF Tirana 1 1257 50.53% Dinamo Tirana 1 1327 28.23% 21.23%
9 2010-12-18 55.6 Besa 2 1124 10.15% @ Teuta 1 1272 70.76% 19.09%
10 2011-04-02 55.4 @ Teuta 1 1147 26.77% Flamurtari 1 1396 52.06% 21.17%
11 2010-09-11 55.2 @ KF Elbasani 1 1228 58.79% Kastrioti 1 1226 20.45% 20.77%
12 2010-10-16 55.2 @ KF Elbasani 1 1223 65.06% Besa 1 1153 14.84% 20.10%
13 2010-12-24 55.2 @ Laci 1 1211 48.33% KF Tirana 1 1298 30.36% 21.31%
14 2010-08-22 55.1 @ KF Elbasani 1 1209 55.11% KF Tirana 1 1240 23.87% 21.02%
15 2010-12-19 55.1 Laci 3 1192 27.66% @ KF Elbasani 2 1127 51.13% 21.21%
16 2011-01-26 55.1 @ Shkumbini 1 1196 53.83% Teuta 1 1239 25.08% 21.09%
17 2011-04-24 55.1 @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1198 57.64% Bylis 1 1206 21.51% 20.85%
18 2010-10-16 55.0 @ Bylis 1 1171 44.40% Skenderbeu 1 1288 34.22% 21.39%
19 2010-11-30 55.0 @ Besa 1 1126 33.51% Dinamo Tirana 1 1321 45.12% 21.38%
20 2010-12-11 54.9 @ Bylis 1 1136 42.15% KF Tirana 1 1269 36.44% 21.41%
21 2011-02-27 54.8 @ Teuta 1 1123 51.68% Kastrioti 1 1184 27.13% 21.19%
22 2010-12-12 54.7 Teuta 2 1247 14.65% @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1320 65.28% 20.06%
23 2011-01-31 53.2 KF Tirana 2 1300 20.45% @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1302 58.79% 20.77%
24 2010-08-28 52.5 KF Elbasani 2 1206 20.46% @ Bylis 1 1208 58.77% 20.77%
25 2010-09-13 52.4 Dinamo Tirana 2 1205 20.82% @ Teuta 1 1204 58.39% 20.80%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-02-27 22.7 @ Flamurtari 4 1391 80.70% KF Elbasani 0 1040 3.65% 15.65%
2 2011-03-20 24.9 @ Flamurtari 3 1387 75.84% Besa 0 1149 6.48% 17.67%
3 2011-03-05 25.2 @ Flamurtari 8 1397 81.16% KF Elbasani 0 1033 3.43% 15.42%
4 2010-11-20 25.5 @ Skenderbeu 4 1303 71.49% Besa 0 1143 9.59% 18.92%
5 2011-04-15 25.8 @ KF Tirana 6 1305 80.26% KF Elbasani 1 965 3.87% 15.86%
6 2011-05-04 27.2 @ Skenderbeu 1 1466 86.52% KF Elbasani 0 924 1.37% 12.10%
7 2011-04-09 27.3 @ Skenderbeu 2 1399 75.63% Shkumbini 0 1165 6.62% 17.75%
8 2011-03-06 27.6 @ Vllaznia 2 1355 73.90% Besa 0 1154 7.81% 18.29%
9 2011-01-29 28.0 @ Skenderbeu 2 1293 71.82% Bylis 0 1128 9.34% 18.84%
10 2010-12-17 28.1 @ KF Tirana 4 1269 63.16% Kastrioti 0 1221 16.51% 20.34%
11 2010-10-01 28.3 @ Flamurtari 3 1272 64.02% Kastrioti 0 1214 15.74% 20.23%
12 2011-04-20 28.6 @ Skenderbeu 2 1419 73.23% Laci 0 1230 8.29% 18.48%
13 2011-01-30 29.6 @ Besa 2 1157 65.75% KF Elbasani 0 1078 14.25% 20.00%
14 2011-04-25 29.7 @ Vllaznia 3 1386 83.94% KF Elbasani 1 937 2.23% 13.84%
15 2010-11-08 30.0 @ Teuta 6 1205 60.79% Bylis 0 1182 18.62% 20.59%
16 2011-02-21 30.0 @ Bylis 3 1139 57.18% Teuta 0 1152 21.93% 20.89%
17 2010-08-29 30.3 @ Skenderbeu 2 1285 64.82% Teuta 0 1218 15.05% 20.13%
18 2011-01-28 30.6 @ Laci 2 1229 62.84% Kastrioti 0 1185 16.79% 20.37%
19 2010-12-13 30.7 @ Flamurtari 1 1361 75.65% Besa 0 1127 6.61% 17.74%
20 2010-11-07 31.0 @ Flamurtari 4 1309 56.26% Skenderbeu 0 1330 22.79% 20.95%
21 2011-03-20 31.1 @ Skenderbeu 1 1364 74.61% Teuta 0 1151 7.31% 18.08%
22 2011-04-01 31.1 @ Laci 3 1301 79.33% KF Elbasani 1 985 4.37% 16.30%
23 2010-09-19 31.2 @ Skenderbeu 2 1277 61.91% Vllaznia 0 1242 17.61% 20.48%
24 2010-10-24 31.2 @ Skenderbeu 5 1289 65.55% Kastrioti 1 1213 14.42% 20.03%
25 2011-04-11 31.2 @ KF Tirana 4 1264 54.11% Laci 0 1304 24.82% 21.08%