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2011-12 Kategoria Superiore Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Skenderbeu

57 points · 3rd Title

Last Title: 2010-11

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Teuta

14.47 points above expected

56 points · 41.53 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Dinamo Tirana

9.91 points below expected

13 points · 22.91 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Skenderbeu Champion 26 17 6 3 57 45 16 +29 50.55 +6.45
2 Teuta 26 17 5 4 56 33 18 +15 41.53 +14.47
3 KF Tirana 26 16 5 5 53 33 21 +12 42.85 +10.15
4 Flamurtari 26 13 7 6 46 42 20 +22 48.29 -2.29
5 Kastrioti 26 11 5 10 38 37 30 +7 39.29 -1.29
6 Vllaznia 26 10 5 11 35 39 33 +6 42.72 -7.72
7 Bylis 26 9 8 9 35 40 37 +3 38.93 -3.93
8 Laci* 26 11 7 8 34 26 28 -2 31.37 +2.63
9 Shkumbini 26 8 7 11 31 37 45 -8 32.26 -1.26
10 Tomori 26 8 4 14 28 36 47 -11 24.42 +3.58
11 Kamza 26 7 6 13 27 22 32 -10 31.43 -4.43
12 Apolonia 26 5 6 15 21 27 46 -19 25.87 -4.87
13 Pogradeci* 26 6 4 16 19 25 47 -22 24.00 -5.00
14 Dinamo Tirana* 26 3 7 16 13 19 41 -22 22.91 -9.91

* Point deductions: Dinamo Tirana (-3 pts), Laci (-6 pts), Pogradeci (-3 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Teuta 56 41.53 +14.47
2 KF Tirana 53 42.85 +10.15
3 Skenderbeu 57 50.55 +6.45
4 Tomori 28 24.42 +3.58
5 Laci 34 31.37 +2.63

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dinamo Tirana 13 22.91 -9.91
2 Vllaznia 35 42.72 -7.72
3 Pogradeci 19 24.00 -5.00
4 Apolonia 21 25.87 -4.87
5 Kamza 27 31.43 -4.43

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Skenderbeu 10 Nov 19 – Mar 26 1 in 169
2 Teuta 6 Oct 30 – Dec 17 1 in 90
3 KF Tirana 4 Feb 10 – Mar 18 1 in 88
4 Kastrioti 3 Oct 2 – Oct 23 1 in 24
5 Shkumbini 2 Nov 27 – Dec 5 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bylis 4 Oct 3 – Oct 31 1 in 72
2 Apolonia 5 Nov 19 – Dec 23 1 in 40
3 Kastrioti 3 Mar 30 – Apr 14 1 in 34
4 Tomori 6 Oct 1 – Nov 20 1 in 30
5 Pogradeci 5 Mar 5 – Apr 2 1 in 29

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KF Tirana 9 Sep 17 – Nov 26 1 in 45
2 Teuta 10 Oct 3 – Dec 23 1 in 38
3 Skenderbeu 14 Oct 15 – Mar 26 1 in 30
4 Laci 6 Sep 16 – Oct 30 1 in 18
5 Tomori 3 Apr 25 – May 5 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dinamo Tirana 15 Sep 11 – Mar 4 1 in 150
2 Apolonia 14 Oct 16 – Mar 24 1 in 79
3 Flamurtari 4 Nov 6 – Dec 5 1 in 44
4 Teuta 5 Dec 23 – Mar 18 1 in 25
5 Pogradeci 8 Dec 17 – Apr 2 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Skenderbeu 1472 57 -2 10 10.3 -0.3
Teuta 1344 56 +3 10 9.7 +0.3
KF Tirana 1329 53 +3 10 9.9 +0.1
Flamurtari 1406 46 +33 10 9.9 +0.1
Laci 1231 40 +2 7 5.5 +1.5
Kastrioti 1235 38 -15 7 8.3 -1.3
Vllaznia 1286 35 +28 8 8.8 -0.8
Bylis 1243 35 -8 6 7.9 -1.9
Shkumbini 1144 31 -45 2 4.3 -2.3
Tomori 1121 28 +9 5 4.5 +0.5
Kamza 1140 27 +34 8 5.8 +2.2
Pogradeci 1061 22 -22 2 4.8 -2.8
Apolonia 1074 21 +25 7 4.2 +2.8
Dinamo Tirana 1050 16 -45 3 3.6 -0.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team APO BYL DT FLA KT KAM KAS LAC POG SHK SKE TEU TOM VLL
Apolonia —
1-0-1
1.66
1-1-0
2.58
0-1-1
1.21
0-0-2
1.76
1-1-0
2.24
1-0-1
1.58
0-1-1
2.27
0-1-1
2.53
0-1-1
2.23
0-0-2
0.98
0-0-2
2.04
1-0-1
2.62
0-0-2
1.69
Bylis
1-0-1
3.89
—
1-1-0
3.85
0-0-2
2.24
1-0-1
2.32
1-0-1
3.49
0-0-2
2.83
1-1-0
3.12
1-1-0
3.62
1-1-0
3.15
0-1-1
1.48
0-1-1
2.84
1-1-0
3.62
1-1-0
2.44
Dinamo Tirana
0-1-1
2.95
0-1-1
1.71
—
0-1-1
1.28
1-0-1
1.37
0-1-1
2.55
0-0-2
1.74
0-1-1
2.12
1-0-1
2.79
0-1-1
2.40
0-1-1
1.38
0-0-2
1.48
1-0-1
3.07
0-0-2
1.70
Flamurtari
1-1-0
4.37
2-0-0
3.30
1-1-0
4.30
—
0-0-2
3.22
2-0-0
3.80
1-1-0
3.45
0-2-0
3.78
2-0-0
4.09
2-0-0
3.89
1-0-1
2.36
0-1-1
3.33
0-1-1
4.47
1-0-1
3.10
KF Tirana
2-0-0
3.81
1-0-1
3.20
1-0-1
4.20
2-0-0
2.32
—
1-1-0
3.63
2-0-0
2.81
2-0-0
3.20
2-0-0
3.75
0-1-1
3.51
0-1-1
2.20
1-0-1
2.70
2-0-0
4.26
0-2-0
2.87
Kamza
0-1-1
3.29
1-0-1
2.05
1-1-0
2.99
0-0-2
1.75
0-1-1
1.92
—
0-1-1
2.19
1-0-1
2.32
1-0-1
3.16
1-0-1
2.65
0-1-1
1.24
0-1-1
1.92
1-0-1
3.41
1-0-1
1.98
Kastrioti
1-0-1
3.96
2-0-0
2.71
2-0-0
3.81
0-1-1
2.09
0-0-2
2.74
1-1-0
3.35
—
0-1-1
3.02
1-1-0
3.26
1-0-1
3.29
0-0-2
1.85
0-1-1
2.25
1-0-1
3.96
2-0-0
2.19
Laci
1-1-0
3.28
0-1-1
2.41
1-1-0
3.42
0-2-0
1.77
0-0-2
2.34
1-0-1
3.21
1-1-0
2.52
—
1-0-1
3.52
1-1-0
2.97
1-0-1
1.60
1-0-1
2.00
2-0-0
3.66
1-0-1
2.31
Pogradeci
1-1-0
3.00
0-1-1
1.91
1-0-1
2.74
0-0-2
1.47
0-0-2
1.79
1-0-1
2.38
0-1-1
2.27
1-0-1
2.02
—
0-1-1
2.27
0-0-2
0.93
0-0-2
1.66
1-0-1
3.32
1-0-1
1.56
Shkumbini
1-1-0
3.29
0-1-1
2.39
1-1-0
3.14
0-0-2
1.65
1-1-0
2.04
1-0-1
2.89
1-0-1
2.25
0-1-1
2.56
1-1-0
3.27
—
0-0-2
1.43
0-0-2
2.03
1-0-1
3.50
1-1-0
2.05
Skenderbeu
2-0-0
4.64
1-1-0
4.07
1-1-0
4.22
1-0-1
3.17
1-1-0
3.35
1-1-0
4.33
2-0-0
3.69
1-0-1
3.97
2-0-0
4.67
2-0-0
4.13
—
0-1-1
3.53
1-1-0
4.66
2-0-0
3.36
Teuta
2-0-0
3.53
1-1-0
2.68
2-0-0
4.08
1-1-0
2.21
1-0-1
2.84
1-1-0
3.64
1-1-0
3.29
1-0-1
3.54
2-0-0
3.92
2-0-0
3.52
1-1-0
2.03
—
2-0-0
4.09
0-0-2
2.69
Tomori
1-0-1
2.91
0-1-1
1.94
1-0-1
2.46
1-1-0
1.12
0-0-2
1.32
1-0-1
2.13
1-0-1
1.60
0-0-2
1.88
1-0-1
2.21
1-0-1
2.04
0-1-1
0.95
0-0-2
1.48
—
1-1-0
1.42
Vllaznia
2-0-0
3.87
0-1-1
3.10
2-0-0
3.86
1-0-1
2.42
0-2-0
2.68
1-0-1
3.56
0-0-2
3.34
1-0-1
3.23
1-0-1
4.00
0-1-1
3.50
0-0-2
2.20
2-0-0
2.86
0-1-1
4.14
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.46 +11.7
Allowed 0.78 -10.8
Differential 0.89 +8.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.79%14.01%4.67%1.37%0.55%0.55%29.95%
114.01%9.89%7.69%3.57%1.10%0.27%36.54%
24.67%7.69%2.20%2.47%1.37%0.55%18.96%
31.37%3.57%2.47%1.10%—0.27%8.79%
40.55%1.10%1.37%—0.55%—3.57%
5+0.55%0.27%0.55%0.27%—0.55%2.20%
Total29.95%36.54%18.96%8.79%3.57%2.20%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.27 +0.00
SD 1.22 1.22 1.55
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%15.38%———34.62%
17.69%15.38%11.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%46.15%
23.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
3———3.85%——3.85%
4———————
5+—————3.85%3.85%
Total15.38%34.62%26.92%11.54%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.77 -0.73
SD 1.28 1.39 1.37
CV 1.23 0.79 —
Max 6 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%3.85%———23.08%
111.54%11.54%3.85%3.85%——30.77%
2—7.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%—26.92%
33.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total23.08%34.62%23.08%15.38%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 1.42 +0.12
SD 1.30 1.14 1.40
CV 0.85 0.80 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%26.92%15.38%3.85%—3.85%57.69%
13.85%11.54%7.69%3.85%——26.92%
2——3.85%———3.85%
3——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total11.54%42.31%30.77%11.54%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.58 -0.85
SD 1.12 1.10 1.49
CV 1.53 0.70 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%3.85%———19.23%
111.54%19.23%7.69%———38.46%
211.54%3.85%—3.85%——19.23%
33.85%11.54%————15.38%
4———————
5+7.69%—————7.69%
Total42.31%42.31%11.54%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 0.77 +0.85
SD 1.39 0.82 1.76
CV 0.86 1.06 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%3.85%———23.08%
134.62%3.85%————38.46%
23.85%11.54%3.85%7.69%——26.92%
3—3.85%7.69%———11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total50.00%26.92%15.38%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 0.81 +0.46
SD 0.96 0.98 0.99
CV 0.76 1.21 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%19.23%——3.85%—38.46%
111.54%7.69%15.38%3.85%3.85%—42.31%
23.85%7.69%—3.85%——15.38%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.77%38.46%15.38%7.69%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.23 -0.38
SD 0.83 1.21 1.39
CV 0.99 0.98 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—19.23%————19.23%
115.38%19.23%11.54%3.85%——50.00%
23.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
3—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
43.85%—7.69%———11.54%
5+———————
Total23.08%46.15%23.08%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.15 +0.27
SD 1.24 0.88 1.40
CV 0.87 0.76 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%—7.69%——26.92%
126.92%11.54%—11.54%——50.00%
27.69%3.85%7.69%———19.23%
3——3.85%———3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total42.31%26.92%11.54%19.23%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.08 -0.08
SD 0.80 1.16 1.41
CV 0.80 1.08 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%11.54%3.85%3.85%—34.62%
17.69%11.54%15.38%7.69%3.85%—46.15%
2—7.69%————7.69%
3—3.85%3.85%——3.85%11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.54%34.62%30.77%11.54%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.81 -0.85
SD 0.96 1.27 1.49
CV 1.00 0.70 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%—3.85%—3.85%26.92%
17.69%15.38%7.69%3.85%——34.62%
23.85%7.69%—3.85%3.85%3.85%23.08%
3—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
4————3.85%—3.85%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total19.23%38.46%15.38%11.54%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.73 -0.31
SD 1.42 1.51 1.83
CV 1.00 0.87 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.08%7.69%————30.77%
17.69%—3.85%———11.54%
215.38%11.54%————26.92%
37.69%7.69%3.85%———19.23%
4——7.69%———7.69%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total53.85%30.77%15.38%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 0.62 +1.12
SD 1.48 0.75 1.31
CV 0.86 1.22 —
Max 5 2 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%————19.23%
130.77%7.69%3.85%3.85%——46.15%
27.69%23.08%————30.77%
3———————
4———————
5+———3.85%——3.85%
Total50.00%38.46%3.85%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 0.69 +0.58
SD 1.04 0.88 0.99
CV 0.82 1.28 —
Max 5 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%19.23%7.69%———34.62%
17.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%—23.08%
23.85%7.69%3.85%—7.69%3.85%26.92%
3——3.85%———3.85%
4—7.69%————7.69%
5+—————3.85%3.85%
Total19.23%38.46%19.23%3.85%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.81 -0.42
SD 1.42 1.72 1.72
CV 1.02 0.95 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%19.23%3.85%———30.77%
111.54%—15.38%———26.92%
2—7.69%3.85%—3.85%—15.38%
33.85%7.69%—3.85%——15.38%
43.85%3.85%——3.85%—11.54%
5+———————
Total26.92%38.46%23.08%3.85%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.27 +0.23
SD 1.39 1.15 1.58
CV 0.93 0.91 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Skenderbeu 1472 57 50.55 +6.45 90.0% 39 41 46 51 54 59 62
Flamurtari 1406 46 48.29 -2.29 38.0% 35 39 44 49 53 57 59
Teuta 1344 56 41.53 +14.47 99.0% 29 31 37 41 46 52 59
KF Tirana 1329 53 42.85 +10.15 96.0% 21 33 39 43 47 53 58
Vllaznia 1286 35 42.72 -7.72 10.0% 29 32 38 43 48 52 56
Bylis 1243 35 38.93 -3.93 28.0% 22 27 35 38 43 51 55
Kastrioti 1235 38 39.29 -1.29 50.0% 25 29 35 38 43 50 57
Laci 1231 34 31.37 +2.63 85.0% 15 20 27 31 35 41 47
Shkumbini 1144 31 32.26 -1.26 49.0% 15 22 29 32 36 43 45
Kamza 1140 27 31.43 -4.43 21.0% 14 19 28 31 36 39 47
Tomori 1121 28 24.42 +3.58 75.0% 11 16 20 24 28 35 40
Apolonia 1074 21 25.87 -4.87 24.0% 16 18 22 25 29 35 48
Pogradeci 1061 19 24.00 -5.00 26.0% 13 16 19 24 29 33 37
Dinamo Tirana 1050 13 22.91 -9.91 7.0% 9 13 18 23 27 33 45

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 27% * Slight Edge: 27% to 33% * Clear Edge: 33% to 40% * Strong Edge: 40% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+32.42%
Slight Edge
54.95%22.53%22.53%
Elo Value
Home Edge
220 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0116.84600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.53 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.53+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.04 * Tight Race: 0.04 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.1
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
47%
Skenderbeu, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.04/gm
Photo Finish
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.83 * Some Luck: 4.83 to 7.24 * Lucky: 7.24 to 9.66 * Wild Swing: 9.66 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.43 * Close: 1.43 to 2.14 * Off: 2.14 to 2.85 * Way Off: 2.85 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.81 points
Some Luck
06.0415
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.14
Pinpoint
01.784
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
99.00%
Teuta
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
7.00%
Dinamo Tirana
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 77.5% * Wide Edge: 77.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 93% * Strong Edge: 93% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 72.5% * Very Frequent: 72.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 10.5% * Occasional: 10.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Lopsided
00.120.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 132.33
2.01
Strong Separation
0.91.351.82.153
Interquartile Edge
75%
Clear Edge
50%63.5%72.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
92%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
71%
Frequent
0%66%100%
Blowouts
Expected
9%
Rare
0%11%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.56 * Notable Separation: 0.56 to 0.62 * Lopsided: 0.62 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14.5% * Upset-Prone: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 18.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 10.5% * As Expected: 10.5% to 12.5% * Shaky Favorites: 12.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.43
Very Even
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.22
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.74
Near-Lock
00.410.590.731
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Very Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Very Shaky
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.52
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.13
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.072
Well Within Noise
00.1190.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Skenderbeu47.00%27.00%12.00%8.00%4.00%2.00%————————
Teuta6.00%8.00%19.00%10.00%16.00%14.00%8.00%9.00%7.00%3.00%————
KF Tirana7.00%8.00%20.00%19.00%18.00%14.00%6.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%——
Flamurtari31.00%30.00%10.00%11.00%13.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%——————
Kastrioti3.00%5.00%9.00%17.00%12.00%11.00%14.00%16.00%6.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%——
Vllaznia3.00%14.00%18.00%19.00%11.00%12.00%12.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%———
Bylis2.00%8.00%6.00%9.00%12.00%17.00%25.00%6.00%4.00%6.00%4.00%—1.00%—
Laci——2.00%—4.00%7.00%8.00%17.00%24.00%13.00%7.00%9.00%6.00%3.00%
Shkumbini——2.00%7.00%4.00%8.00%6.00%15.00%20.00%17.00%8.00%7.00%5.00%1.00%
Tomori————2.00%—2.00%6.00%5.00%11.00%13.00%20.00%19.00%22.00%
Kamza——1.00%—3.00%13.00%11.00%11.00%15.00%18.00%13.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%
Apolonia1.00%———1.00%—4.00%4.00%5.00%11.00%18.00%23.00%23.00%10.00%
Pogradeci——————1.00%6.00%4.00%9.00%15.00%20.00%15.00%30.00%
Dinamo Tirana——1.00%———1.00%2.00%6.00%4.00%17.00%14.00%25.00%30.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Flamurtari 100% — —
KF Tirana 96.00% 4.00% —
Kastrioti 93.00% 7.00% —
Skenderbeu 100% — —
Teuta 97.00% 3.00% —
Vllaznia 96.00% 4.00% —
Bylis 89.00% 10.00% 1.00%
Shkumbini 62.00% 32.00% 6.00%
Laci 62.00% 29.00% 9.00%
Kamza 54.00% 36.00% 10.00%
Apolonia 15.00% 52.00% 33.00%
Tomori 15.00% 44.00% 41.00%
Pogradeci 11.00% 44.00% 45.00%
Dinamo Tirana 10.00% 35.00% 55.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2011-09-10 Laci W 3-134.5 1317 1216 63.37% 21.97% 14.66%+0.99 +11.0 3
2011-09-10 @ Vllaznia L 1-334.5 1216 1317 14.66% 21.97% 63.37%-0.99 -10.9 0
2011-09-10 Shkumbini W 5-234.2 1273 1189 61.91% 22.24% 15.86%+0.91 +14.4 3
2011-09-10 @ Bylis L 2-534.2 1189 1273 15.86% 22.24% 61.91%-0.91 -14.4 0
2011-09-10 Tomori D 0-052.1 1367 1083 75.84% 18.11% 6.05%+1.82 -7.1 1
2011-09-10 @ Skenderbeu D 0-052.1 1083 1367 6.05% 18.11% 75.84%-1.82 +7.1 1
2011-09-11 Dinamo Tirana W 2-032.9 1167 1194 50.20% 23.54% 26.26%+0.41 +21.2 3
2011-09-11 @ Apolonia L 0-232.9 1194 1167 26.26% 23.54% 50.20%-0.41 -21.2 0
2011-09-11 Kamza W 2-138.3 1327 1191 66.28% 21.34% 12.38%+1.15 +5.4 3
2011-09-11 @ Flamurtari L 1-238.3 1191 1327 12.38% 21.34% 66.28%-1.15 -5.4 0
2011-09-12 Pogradeci W 4-028.5 1209 1177 56.80% 22.97% 20.24%+0.67 +32.2 3
2011-09-12 @ Kastrioti L 0-428.5 1177 1209 20.24% 22.97% 56.80%-0.67 -32.2 0
2011-09-12 Teuta L 0-146.4 1223 1206 55.23% 23.14% 21.64%+0.61 -20.6 0
2011-09-12 @ KF Tirana W 1-046.4 1206 1223 21.64% 23.14% 55.23%-0.61 +20.6 3
2011-09-16 Bylis D 2-260.1 1205 1287 42.96% 23.84% 33.20%+0.16 -0.6 1
2011-09-16 @ Laci D 2-260.1 1287 1205 33.20% 23.84% 42.96%-0.16 +0.6 4
2011-09-16 Vllaznia W 1-042.7 1186 1327 34.57% 23.86% 41.57%-0.11 +16.1 3
2011-09-16 @ Kamza L 0-142.7 1327 1186 41.57% 23.86% 34.57%+0.11 -16.1 3
2011-09-17 Apolonia W 2-032.5 1175 1189 51.69% 23.44% 24.87%+0.47 +20.2 3
2011-09-17 @ Shkumbini L 0-232.5 1189 1175 24.87% 23.44% 51.69%-0.47 -20.2 3
2011-09-17 Flamurtari W 1-041.4 1226 1332 39.61% 23.88% 36.50%+0.05 +14.6 6
2011-09-17 @ Teuta L 0-141.4 1332 1226 36.50% 23.88% 39.61%-0.05 -14.6 3
2011-09-17 KF Tirana L 2-356.6 1241 1202 57.53% 22.88% 19.59%+0.71 -19.1 3
2011-09-17 @ Kastrioti W 3-256.6 1202 1241 19.59% 22.88% 57.53%-0.71 +19.1 3
2011-09-17 Tomori W 1-034.9 1145 1090 59.20% 22.66% 18.14%+0.78 +8.2 3
2011-09-17 @ Pogradeci L 0-134.9 1090 1145 18.14% 22.66% 59.20%-0.78 -8.2 1
2011-09-18 Skenderbeu D 0-050.7 1173 1360 28.61% 23.68% 47.71%-0.32 +1.7 1
2011-09-18 @ Dinamo Tirana D 0-050.7 1360 1173 47.71% 23.68% 28.61%+0.32 -1.8 2
2011-09-24 Laci D 1-154.8 1168 1205 48.97% 23.61% 27.42%+0.37 -1.8 4
2011-09-24 @ Apolonia D 1-154.8 1205 1168 27.42% 23.61% 48.97%-0.37 +1.8 2
2011-09-24 Shkumbini W 3-133.1 1358 1195 68.36% 20.80% 10.84%+1.27 +8.2 5
2011-09-24 @ Skenderbeu L 1-333.1 1195 1358 10.84% 20.80% 68.36%-1.27 -8.2 3
2011-09-25 Dinamo Tirana W 2-145.3 1082 1174 41.47% 23.86% 34.67%+0.11 +13.2 4
2011-09-25 @ Tomori L 1-245.3 1174 1082 34.67% 23.86% 41.47%-0.11 -13.2 1
2011-09-25 Kamza W 2-139.5 1288 1202 62.09% 22.21% 15.71%+0.92 +6.8 7
2011-09-25 @ Bylis L 1-239.5 1202 1288 15.71% 22.21% 62.09%-0.92 -6.8 3
2011-09-25 Kastrioti W 3-134.6 1318 1222 63.01% 22.04% 14.95%+0.97 +11.2 6
2011-09-25 @ Flamurtari L 1-334.6 1222 1318 14.95% 22.04% 63.01%-0.97 -11.2 3
2011-09-25 Pogradeci W 3-134.9 1221 1153 60.47% 22.47% 17.05%+0.84 +12.6 6
2011-09-25 @ KF Tirana L 1-334.9 1153 1221 17.05% 22.47% 60.47%-0.84 -12.6 3
2011-09-25 Teuta W 3-135.4 1311 1241 60.66% 22.44% 16.89%+0.85 +12.5 6
2011-09-25 @ Vllaznia L 1-335.4 1241 1311 16.89% 22.44% 60.66%-0.85 -12.5 6
2011-10-01 Apolonia L 0-146.6 1195 1167 56.50% 23.00% 20.50%+0.66 -21.0 3
2011-10-01 @ Kamza W 1-046.6 1167 1195 20.50% 23.00% 56.50%-0.66 +21.0 7
2011-10-01 Dinamo Tirana W 1-037.4 1140 1161 50.89% 23.50% 25.61%+0.44 +11.0 6
2011-10-01 @ Pogradeci L 0-137.4 1161 1140 25.61% 23.50% 50.89%-0.44 -11.0 1
2011-10-01 Tomori W 6-231.9 1187 1095 62.62% 22.11% 15.27%+0.95 +17.6 6
2011-10-01 @ Shkumbini L 2-631.9 1095 1187 15.27% 22.11% 62.62%-0.95 -17.6 4
2011-10-02 Flamurtari W 2-036.2 1234 1329 41.16% 23.87% 34.98%+0.10 +26.6 9
2011-10-02 @ KF Tirana L 0-236.2 1329 1234 34.98% 23.87% 41.16%-0.10 -26.6 6
2011-10-02 Skenderbeu W 2-148.8 1206 1366 32.08% 23.81% 44.11%-0.20 +15.9 5
2011-10-02 @ Laci L 1-248.8 1366 1206 44.11% 23.81% 32.08%+0.20 -16.0 5
2011-10-02 Vllaznia W 2-146.7 1210 1324 38.56% 23.89% 37.56%+0.02 +14.1 6
2011-10-02 @ Kastrioti L 1-246.7 1324 1210 37.56% 23.89% 38.56%-0.02 -14.0 6
2011-10-03 Bylis W 1-039.6 1229 1295 45.13% 23.78% 31.09%+0.23 +12.9 9
2011-10-03 @ Teuta L 0-139.6 1295 1229 31.09% 23.78% 45.13%-0.23 -12.9 7
2011-10-14 Kastrioti L 0-147.7 1282 1225 59.39% 22.63% 17.97%+0.79 -22.0 7
2011-10-14 @ Bylis W 1-047.7 1225 1282 17.97% 22.63% 59.39%-0.79 +22.0 9
2011-10-14 Laci L 0-140.1 1077 1222 34.08% 23.85% 42.06%-0.13 -13.8 4
2011-10-14 @ Tomori W 1-040.1 1222 1077 42.06% 23.85% 34.08%+0.13 +13.8 8
2011-10-15 Kamza D 0-051.6 1351 1174 69.26% 20.54% 10.20%+1.33 -6.0 6
2011-10-15 @ Skenderbeu D 0-051.6 1174 1351 10.20% 20.54% 69.26%-1.33 +6.0 4
2011-10-15 KF Tirana D 2-260.7 1310 1261 58.61% 22.74% 18.65%+0.75 -2.6 7
2011-10-15 @ Vllaznia D 2-260.7 1261 1310 18.65% 22.74% 58.61%-0.75 +2.6 10
2011-10-15 Pogradeci W 2-027.9 1302 1151 67.43% 21.05% 11.52%+1.22 +10.0 9
2011-10-15 @ Flamurtari L 0-227.9 1151 1302 11.52% 21.05% 67.43%-1.22 -10.0 6
2011-10-16 Shkumbini D 0-050.3 1150 1204 46.69% 23.72% 29.58%+0.29 -1.6 2
2011-10-16 @ Dinamo Tirana D 0-050.3 1204 1150 29.58% 23.72% 46.69%-0.29 +1.6 7
2011-10-16 Teuta L 0-144.0 1188 1241 46.73% 23.72% 29.56%+0.29 -17.8 7
2011-10-16 @ Apolonia W 1-044.0 1241 1188 29.56% 23.72% 46.73%-0.29 +17.8 12
2011-10-22 Shkumbini D 0-050.2 1141 1206 45.34% 23.77% 30.88%+0.24 -1.3 7
2011-10-22 @ Pogradeci D 0-050.2 1206 1141 30.88% 23.77% 45.34%-0.24 +1.3 8
2011-10-22 Tomori W 2-138.3 1180 1063 64.76% 21.69% 13.55%+1.06 +5.9 7
2011-10-22 @ Kamza L 1-238.3 1063 1180 13.55% 21.69% 64.76%-1.06 -5.9 4
2011-10-22 Vllaznia W 1-037.5 1312 1307 53.91% 23.26% 22.83%+0.55 +10.0 12
2011-10-22 @ Flamurtari L 0-137.5 1307 1312 22.83% 23.26% 53.91%-0.55 -10.0 7
2011-10-23 Apolonia W 2-029.7 1247 1170 61.26% 22.35% 16.39%+0.88 +14.0 12
2011-10-23 @ Kastrioti L 0-229.7 1170 1247 16.39% 22.35% 61.26%-0.88 -14.0 7
2011-10-23 Bylis W 3-246.6 1263 1260 53.73% 23.28% 22.99%+0.55 +9.0 13
2011-10-23 @ KF Tirana L 2-346.6 1260 1263 22.99% 23.28% 53.73%-0.55 -9.0 7
2011-10-23 Dinamo Tirana W 1-034.1 1236 1149 62.25% 22.18% 15.57%+0.93 +7.1 11
2011-10-23 @ Laci L 0-134.1 1149 1236 15.57% 22.18% 62.25%-0.93 -7.1 2
2011-10-23 Skenderbeu D 0-051.0 1259 1345 42.49% 23.85% 33.66%+0.14 -0.8 13
2011-10-23 @ Teuta D 0-051.0 1345 1259 33.66% 23.85% 42.49%-0.14 +0.8 7
2011-10-29 Pogradeci W 1-032.5 1297 1140 67.89% 20.93% 11.18%+1.25 +5.2 10
2011-10-29 @ Vllaznia L 0-132.5 1140 1297 11.18% 20.93% 67.89%-1.25 -5.1 7
2011-10-30 Kamza L 0-239.4 1141 1186 47.92% 23.67% 28.41%+0.33 -34.2 2
2011-10-30 @ Dinamo Tirana W 2-039.4 1186 1141 28.41% 23.67% 47.92%-0.33 +34.2 10
2011-10-30 KF Tirana L 1-246.6 1156 1272 38.13% 23.89% 37.99%+0.00 -14.2 7
2011-10-30 @ Apolonia W 2-146.6 1272 1156 37.99% 23.89% 38.13%+0.00 +14.2 16
2011-10-30 Laci D 1-154.9 1207 1243 48.98% 23.61% 27.41%+0.37 -1.8 9
2011-10-30 @ Shkumbini D 1-154.9 1243 1207 27.41% 23.61% 48.98%-0.37 +1.8 12
2011-10-30 Teuta L 0-233.1 1057 1258 27.00% 23.59% 49.41%-0.38 -21.7 4
2011-10-30 @ Tomori W 2-033.1 1258 1057 49.41% 23.59% 27.00%+0.38 +21.6 16
2011-10-31 Flamurtari L 1-344.1 1251 1322 44.36% 23.80% 31.84%+0.21 -27.8 7
2011-10-31 @ Bylis W 3-144.1 1322 1251 31.84% 23.80% 44.36%-0.21 +27.8 15
2011-10-31 Kastrioti W 1-035.0 1345 1261 61.99% 22.22% 15.78%+0.92 +7.2 10
2011-10-31 @ Skenderbeu L 0-135.0 1261 1345 15.78% 22.22% 61.99%-0.92 -7.2 12
2011-11-04 Laci W 3-141.4 1135 1245 39.02% 23.89% 37.09%+0.03 +24.1 10
2011-11-04 @ Pogradeci L 1-341.4 1245 1135 37.09% 23.89% 39.02%-0.03 -24.1 12
2011-11-05 Bylis D 3-364.2 1302 1223 61.52% 22.30% 16.18%+0.89 -2.5 11
2011-11-05 @ Vllaznia D 3-364.2 1223 1302 16.18% 22.30% 61.52%-0.89 +2.5 8
2011-11-05 Shkumbini W 1-036.4 1220 1205 55.01% 23.16% 21.83%+0.60 +9.6 13
2011-11-05 @ Kamza L 0-136.4 1205 1220 21.83% 23.16% 55.01%-0.60 -9.6 9
2011-11-06 Apolonia D 1-156.2 1350 1142 71.41% 19.86% 8.73%+1.48 -5.7 16
2011-11-06 @ Flamurtari D 1-156.2 1142 1350 8.73% 19.86% 71.41%-1.48 +5.7 8
2011-11-06 Dinamo Tirana W 2-027.3 1280 1107 69.01% 20.62% 10.37%+1.32 +9.0 19
2011-11-06 @ Teuta L 0-227.3 1107 1280 10.37% 20.62% 69.01%-1.32 -9.0 2
2011-11-06 Skenderbeu D 0-051.3 1286 1353 45.10% 23.78% 31.12%+0.23 -1.3 17
2011-11-06 @ KF Tirana D 0-051.3 1353 1286 31.12% 23.78% 45.10%-0.23 +1.3 11
2011-11-06 Tomori W 3-131.4 1253 1036 71.98% 19.66% 8.36%+1.52 +6.3 15
2011-11-06 @ Kastrioti L 1-331.4 1036 1253 8.36% 19.66% 71.98%-1.52 -6.3 4
2011-11-18 Kamza W 1-037.2 1221 1230 52.29% 23.39% 24.31%+0.49 +10.5 15
2011-11-18 @ Laci L 0-137.2 1230 1221 24.31% 23.39% 52.29%-0.49 -10.5 13
2011-11-18 Kastrioti L 0-139.5 1098 1260 31.91% 23.80% 44.29%-0.20 -13.1 2
2011-11-18 @ Dinamo Tirana W 1-039.5 1260 1098 44.29% 23.80% 31.91%+0.20 +13.1 18
2011-11-19 Flamurtari W 2-143.2 1354 1344 54.39% 23.22% 22.39%+0.57 +9.3 14
2011-11-19 @ Skenderbeu L 1-243.2 1344 1354 22.39% 23.22% 54.39%-0.57 -9.2 16
2011-11-19 Pogradeci W 1-034.7 1225 1159 60.28% 22.50% 17.22%+0.83 +7.8 11
2011-11-19 @ Bylis L 0-134.7 1159 1225 17.22% 22.50% 60.28%-0.83 -7.8 10
2011-11-19 Vllaznia L 1-437.3 1147 1300 33.07% 23.83% 43.10%-0.16 -31.2 8
2011-11-19 @ Apolonia W 4-137.3 1300 1147 43.10% 23.83% 33.07%+0.16 +31.2 14
2011-11-20 KF Tirana L 0-136.0 1030 1285 21.16% 23.08% 55.76%-0.63 -9.3 4
2011-11-20 @ Tomori W 1-036.0 1285 1030 55.76% 23.08% 21.16%+0.63 +9.3 20
2011-11-20 Teuta L 1-247.7 1196 1289 41.39% 23.87% 34.75%+0.11 -15.2 9
2011-11-20 @ Shkumbini W 2-147.7 1289 1196 34.75% 23.87% 41.39%-0.11 +15.2 22
2011-11-26 Apolonia W 2-138.4 1233 1116 64.78% 21.68% 13.54%+1.06 +5.9 14
2011-11-26 @ Bylis L 1-238.4 1116 1233 13.54% 21.68% 64.78%-1.06 -5.9 8
2011-11-26 Dinamo Tirana W 1-031.4 1294 1085 71.46% 19.84% 8.70%+1.48 +4.0 23
2011-11-26 @ KF Tirana L 0-131.4 1085 1294 8.70% 19.84% 71.46%-1.48 -4.0 2
2011-11-26 Skenderbeu L 0-241.6 1331 1363 49.52% 23.58% 26.90%+0.39 -35.2 14
2011-11-26 @ Vllaznia W 2-041.6 1363 1331 26.90% 23.58% 49.52%-0.39 +35.2 17
2011-11-27 Kamza W 2-144.4 1151 1219 44.85% 23.79% 31.36%+0.22 +12.2 13
2011-11-27 @ Pogradeci L 1-244.4 1219 1151 31.36% 23.79% 44.85%-0.22 -12.2 13
2011-11-27 Laci W 1-034.9 1304 1231 60.89% 22.41% 16.70%+0.86 +7.6 25
2011-11-27 @ Teuta L 0-134.9 1231 1304 16.70% 22.41% 60.89%-0.86 -7.6 15
2011-11-27 Shkumbini L 0-148.4 1273 1181 62.66% 22.10% 15.23%+0.95 -23.2 18
2011-11-27 @ Kastrioti W 1-048.4 1181 1273 15.23% 22.10% 62.66%-0.95 +23.2 12
2011-11-27 Tomori D 1-156.6 1335 1020 77.40% 17.37% 5.22%+1.96 -6.6 17
2011-11-27 @ Flamurtari D 1-156.6 1020 1335 5.22% 17.37% 77.40%-1.96 +6.6 5
2011-12-04 Kastrioti D 1-155.0 1224 1250 50.28% 23.54% 26.19%+0.41 -2.0 16
2011-12-04 @ Laci D 1-155.0 1250 1224 26.19% 23.54% 50.28%-0.41 +2.0 19
2011-12-04 Pogradeci L 2-353.4 1110 1164 46.80% 23.72% 29.49%+0.29 -15.9 8
2011-12-04 @ Apolonia W 3-253.4 1164 1110 29.49% 23.72% 46.80%-0.29 +15.9 16
2011-12-04 Teuta L 1-247.3 1207 1312 39.80% 23.88% 36.32%+0.06 -14.7 13
2011-12-04 @ Kamza W 2-147.3 1312 1207 36.32% 23.88% 39.80%-0.06 +14.7 28
2011-12-05 Bylis W 3-243.0 1398 1239 68.04% 20.89% 11.07%+1.25 +4.6 20
2011-12-05 @ Skenderbeu L 2-343.0 1239 1398 11.07% 20.89% 68.04%-1.25 -4.6 14
2011-12-05 Flamurtari D 1-155.0 1081 1329 21.95% 23.17% 54.88%-0.59 +2.8 3
2011-12-05 @ Dinamo Tirana D 1-155.0 1329 1081 54.88% 23.17% 21.95%+0.59 -2.8 18
2011-12-05 KF Tirana W 3-250.3 1204 1298 41.20% 23.87% 34.94%+0.10 +12.6 15
2011-12-05 @ Shkumbini L 2-350.3 1298 1204 34.94% 23.87% 41.20%-0.10 -12.6 23
2011-12-05 Vllaznia W 1-046.8 1027 1296 19.87% 22.92% 57.21%-0.69 +21.3 8
2011-12-05 @ Tomori L 0-146.8 1296 1027 57.21% 22.92% 19.87%+0.69 -21.3 14
2011-12-16 Kamza W 3-244.6 1252 1192 59.60% 22.60% 17.80%+0.80 +7.2 22
2011-12-16 @ Kastrioti L 2-344.6 1192 1252 17.80% 22.60% 59.60%-0.80 -7.2 13
2011-12-17 Dinamo Tirana W 2-136.8 1275 1084 70.24% 20.24% 9.51%+1.40 +4.1 17
2011-12-17 @ Vllaznia L 1-236.8 1084 1275 9.51% 20.24% 70.24%-1.40 -4.1 3
2011-12-17 Laci W 1-035.1 1286 1222 60.05% 22.54% 17.41%+0.82 +7.9 26
2011-12-17 @ KF Tirana L 0-135.1 1222 1286 17.41% 22.54% 60.05%-0.82 -7.9 16
2011-12-17 Shkumbini W 5-027.7 1326 1216 64.15% 21.82% 14.04%+1.03 +28.4 21
2011-12-17 @ Flamurtari L 0-527.7 1216 1326 14.04% 21.82% 64.15%-1.03 -28.4 15
2011-12-17 Skenderbeu L 1-531.0 1094 1403 16.54% 22.38% 61.08%-0.87 -22.4 8
2011-12-17 @ Apolonia W 5-131.0 1403 1094 61.08% 22.38% 16.54%+0.87 +22.4 23
2011-12-17 Teuta L 1-245.5 1179 1326 33.83% 23.85% 42.32%-0.14 -13.0 16
2011-12-17 @ Pogradeci W 2-145.5 1326 1179 42.32% 23.85% 33.83%+0.14 +13.0 31
2011-12-17 Tomori W 4-235.6 1234 1048 69.95% 20.33% 9.72%+1.38 +6.5 17
2011-12-17 @ Bylis L 2-435.6 1048 1234 9.72% 20.33% 69.95%-1.38 -6.5 8
2011-12-23 Apolonia W 2-032.9 1042 1072 49.70% 23.57% 26.73%+0.39 +21.5 11
2011-12-23 @ Tomori L 0-232.9 1072 1042 26.73% 23.57% 49.70%-0.39 -21.5 8
2011-12-23 Bylis D 1-154.7 1080 1241 31.94% 23.80% 44.25%-0.20 +1.0 4
2011-12-23 @ Dinamo Tirana D 1-154.7 1241 1080 44.25% 23.80% 31.94%+0.20 -1.0 18
2011-12-23 Flamurtari D 0-050.8 1214 1354 34.78% 23.87% 41.36%-0.11 +0.6 17
2011-12-23 @ Laci D 0-050.8 1354 1214 41.36% 23.87% 34.78%+0.11 -0.6 22
2011-12-23 Kastrioti D 1-155.9 1339 1259 61.62% 22.29% 16.09%+0.90 -4.0 32
2011-12-23 @ Teuta D 1-155.9 1259 1339 16.09% 22.29% 61.62%-0.90 +4.0 23
2011-12-23 KF Tirana D 0-050.5 1185 1294 39.26% 23.89% 36.85%+0.04 -0.2 14
2011-12-23 @ Kamza D 0-050.5 1294 1185 36.85% 23.89% 39.26%-0.04 +0.2 27
2011-12-23 Vllaznia W 2-145.5 1188 1279 41.74% 23.86% 34.40%+0.12 +13.1 18
2011-12-23 @ Shkumbini L 1-245.5 1279 1188 34.40% 23.86% 41.74%-0.12 -13.1 17
2012-02-08 Pogradeci W 3-024.0 1425 1166 74.42% 18.72% 6.86%+1.71 +8.5 26
2012-02-08 @ Skenderbeu L 0-324.0 1166 1425 6.86% 18.72% 74.42%-1.71 -8.5 16
2012-02-10 KF Tirana L 1-253.1 1335 1294 57.84% 22.84% 19.32%+0.72 -20.3 32
2012-02-10 @ Teuta W 2-153.1 1294 1335 19.32% 22.84% 57.84%-0.72 +20.3 30
2012-02-10 Vllaznia W 1-038.9 1215 1266 47.09% 23.70% 29.20%+0.30 +12.2 20
2012-02-10 @ Laci L 0-138.9 1266 1215 29.20% 23.70% 47.09%-0.30 -12.2 17
2012-02-11 Bylis D 1-154.9 1201 1240 48.64% 23.63% 27.73%+0.35 -1.7 19
2012-02-11 @ Shkumbini D 1-154.9 1240 1201 27.73% 23.63% 48.64%-0.35 +1.7 19
2012-02-11 Flamurtari L 0-139.6 1185 1354 30.99% 23.77% 45.24%-0.23 -12.8 14
2012-02-11 @ Kamza W 1-039.6 1354 1185 45.24% 23.77% 30.99%+0.23 +12.8 25
2012-02-12 Kastrioti D 1-154.8 1158 1263 39.77% 23.88% 36.35%+0.05 -0.3 17
2012-02-12 @ Pogradeci D 1-154.8 1263 1158 36.35% 23.88% 39.77%-0.05 +0.3 24
2012-02-12 Skenderbeu L 2-437.0 1063 1434 12.31% 21.32% 66.37%-1.15 -8.3 11
2012-02-12 @ Tomori W 4-237.0 1434 1063 66.37% 21.32% 12.31%+1.15 +8.3 29
2012-02-13 Apolonia D 3-363.5 1081 1050 56.67% 22.98% 20.35%+0.67 -1.9 5
2012-02-13 @ Dinamo Tirana D 3-363.5 1050 1081 20.35% 22.98% 56.67%-0.67 +1.9 9
2012-03-03 Laci W 3-029.3 1242 1227 54.99% 23.16% 21.85%+0.60 +26.3 22
2012-03-03 @ Bylis L 0-329.3 1227 1242 21.85% 23.16% 54.99%-0.60 -26.3 20
2012-03-03 Shkumbini D 1-154.6 1052 1199 33.84% 23.85% 42.31%-0.14 +0.7 10
2012-03-03 @ Apolonia D 1-154.6 1199 1052 42.31% 23.85% 33.84%+0.14 -0.7 20
2012-03-04 Dinamo Tirana W 2-024.4 1442 1079 79.68% 16.19% 4.13%+2.18 +3.4 32
2012-03-04 @ Skenderbeu L 0-224.4 1079 1442 4.13% 16.19% 79.68%-2.18 -3.4 5
2012-03-04 Kamza W 4-027.1 1253 1172 61.67% 22.28% 16.05%+0.90 +26.1 20
2012-03-04 @ Vllaznia L 0-427.1 1172 1253 16.05% 22.28% 61.67%-0.90 -26.1 14
2012-03-04 Kastrioti W 1-035.8 1314 1263 58.80% 22.72% 18.49%+0.76 +8.3 33
2012-03-04 @ KF Tirana L 0-135.8 1263 1314 18.49% 22.72% 58.80%-0.76 -8.3 24
2012-03-04 Teuta D 1-156.5 1366 1315 58.81% 22.71% 18.47%+0.76 -3.5 26
2012-03-04 @ Flamurtari D 1-156.5 1315 1366 18.47% 22.71% 58.81%-0.76 +3.5 33
2012-03-05 Pogradeci W 4-137.9 1055 1158 40.04% 23.88% 36.08%+0.06 +33.4 14
2012-03-05 @ Tomori L 1-437.9 1158 1055 36.08% 23.88% 40.04%-0.06 -33.4 17
2012-03-10 Flamurtari D 1-155.6 1255 1363 39.30% 23.89% 36.81%+0.04 -0.2 25
2012-03-10 @ Kastrioti D 1-155.6 1363 1255 36.81% 23.89% 39.30%-0.04 +0.2 27
2012-03-10 Skenderbeu L 2-441.3 1199 1445 22.03% 23.18% 54.79%-0.59 -14.1 20
2012-03-10 @ Shkumbini W 4-241.3 1445 1199 54.79% 23.18% 22.03%+0.59 +14.1 35
2012-03-10 Vllaznia L 0-147.7 1319 1280 57.59% 22.87% 19.54%+0.71 -21.4 33
2012-03-10 @ Teuta W 1-047.7 1280 1319 19.54% 22.87% 57.59%-0.71 +21.4 23
2012-03-11 Apolonia W 1-032.5 1201 1053 67.17% 21.12% 11.71%+1.20 +5.4 23
2012-03-11 @ Laci L 0-132.5 1053 1201 11.71% 21.12% 67.17%-1.20 -5.4 10
2012-03-11 Bylis W 1-041.6 1146 1268 37.33% 23.89% 38.78%-0.02 +15.3 17
2012-03-11 @ Kamza L 0-141.6 1268 1146 38.78% 23.89% 37.33%+0.02 -15.3 22
2012-03-11 KF Tirana L 1-243.3 1124 1322 27.33% 23.61% 49.07%-0.37 -10.9 17
2012-03-11 @ Pogradeci W 2-143.3 1322 1124 49.07% 23.61% 27.33%+0.37 +10.9 36
2012-03-11 Tomori W 4-134.4 1075 1088 51.86% 23.43% 24.72%+0.47 +24.6 8
2012-03-11 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-434.4 1088 1075 24.72% 23.43% 51.86%-0.47 -24.6 14
2012-03-17 Kamza D 0-050.1 1048 1161 38.50% 23.89% 37.61%+0.01 -0.1 11
2012-03-17 @ Apolonia D 0-050.1 1161 1048 37.61% 23.89% 38.50%-0.01 +0.1 18
2012-03-17 Kastrioti L 2-451.5 1301 1255 58.32% 22.78% 18.90%+0.74 -31.6 23
2012-03-17 @ Vllaznia W 4-251.5 1255 1301 18.90% 22.78% 58.32%-0.74 +31.6 28
2012-03-17 Shkumbini W 1-041.4 1063 1185 37.44% 23.89% 38.67%-0.02 +15.2 17
2012-03-17 @ Tomori L 0-141.4 1185 1063 38.67% 23.89% 37.44%+0.02 -15.2 20
2012-03-18 KF Tirana L 0-148.3 1363 1333 56.61% 22.99% 20.41%+0.67 -21.1 27
2012-03-18 @ Flamurtari W 1-048.3 1333 1363 20.41% 22.99% 56.61%-0.67 +21.1 39
2012-03-18 Laci W 3-024.7 1459 1206 74.13% 18.84% 7.03%+1.68 +8.8 38
2012-03-18 @ Skenderbeu L 0-324.7 1206 1459 7.03% 18.84% 74.13%-1.68 -8.7 23
2012-03-18 Pogradeci W 1-037.1 1100 1113 51.78% 23.43% 24.78%+0.47 +10.7 11
2012-03-18 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-137.1 1113 1100 24.78% 23.43% 51.78%-0.47 -10.7 17
2012-03-18 Teuta D 0-050.8 1253 1297 47.92% 23.67% 28.41%+0.33 -1.8 23
2012-03-18 @ Bylis D 0-050.8 1297 1253 28.41% 23.67% 47.92%-0.33 +1.8 34
2012-03-24 Apolonia W 2-135.6 1299 1048 74.01% 18.89% 7.10%+1.67 +3.0 37
2012-03-24 @ Teuta L 1-235.6 1048 1299 7.10% 18.89% 74.01%-1.67 -3.0 11
2012-03-24 Dinamo Tirana W 1-034.8 1169 1111 59.53% 22.61% 17.86%+0.80 +8.0 23
2012-03-24 @ Shkumbini L 0-134.8 1111 1169 17.86% 22.61% 59.53%-0.80 -8.0 11
2012-03-25 Flamurtari L 0-231.9 1103 1342 22.77% 23.25% 53.98%-0.56 -18.8 17
2012-03-25 @ Pogradeci W 2-031.9 1342 1103 53.98% 23.25% 22.77%+0.56 +18.8 30
2012-03-25 Tomori W 2-028.4 1197 1079 64.90% 21.66% 13.45%+1.07 +11.6 26
2012-03-25 @ Laci L 0-228.4 1079 1197 13.45% 21.66% 64.90%-1.07 -11.6 17
2012-03-26 Bylis W 4-239.9 1286 1251 57.19% 22.92% 19.89%+0.69 +12.9 31
2012-03-26 @ Kastrioti L 2-439.9 1251 1286 19.89% 22.92% 57.19%-0.69 -12.9 23
2012-03-26 Skenderbeu L 0-135.5 1161 1468 16.68% 22.40% 60.92%-0.86 -7.6 18
2012-03-26 @ Kamza W 1-035.5 1468 1161 60.92% 22.40% 16.68%+0.86 +7.5 41
2012-03-26 Vllaznia D 0-051.7 1354 1269 62.03% 22.22% 15.76%+0.92 -4.5 40
2012-03-26 @ KF Tirana D 0-051.7 1269 1354 15.76% 22.22% 62.03%-0.92 +4.5 24
2012-03-30 Kastrioti W 1-046.4 1045 1299 21.25% 23.09% 55.66%-0.63 +20.7 14
2012-03-30 @ Apolonia L 0-146.4 1299 1045 55.66% 23.09% 21.25%+0.63 -20.7 31
2012-03-30 Teuta L 0-152.7 1476 1302 69.07% 20.60% 10.33%+1.32 -25.3 41
2012-03-30 @ Skenderbeu W 1-052.7 1302 1476 10.33% 20.60% 69.07%-1.32 +25.4 40
2012-03-31 Flamurtari W 2-146.2 1274 1361 42.27% 23.85% 33.88%+0.14 +13.0 27
2012-03-31 @ Vllaznia L 1-246.2 1361 1274 33.88% 23.85% 42.27%-0.14 -13.0 30
2012-03-31 KF Tirana W 1-041.8 1238 1350 38.77% 23.89% 37.34%+0.02 +14.8 26
2012-03-31 @ Bylis L 0-141.8 1350 1238 37.34% 23.89% 38.77%-0.02 -14.9 40
2012-04-01 Kamza W 4-137.3 1067 1154 42.29% 23.85% 33.86%+0.14 +31.8 20
2012-04-01 @ Tomori L 1-437.3 1154 1067 33.86% 23.85% 42.29%-0.14 -31.8 18
2012-04-01 Laci D 2-259.7 1103 1209 39.59% 23.88% 36.52%+0.05 -0.2 12
2012-04-01 @ Dinamo Tirana D 2-259.7 1209 1103 36.52% 23.88% 39.59%-0.05 +0.2 27
2012-04-02 Pogradeci W 2-138.9 1177 1084 62.77% 22.08% 15.15%+0.96 +6.5 26
2012-04-02 @ Shkumbini L 1-238.9 1084 1177 15.15% 22.08% 62.77%-0.96 -6.5 17
2012-04-06 Vllaznia W 2-150.0 1077 1287 26.01% 23.52% 50.46%-0.42 +17.9 20
2012-04-06 @ Pogradeci L 1-250.0 1287 1077 50.46% 23.52% 26.01%+0.42 -17.9 27
2012-04-07 Tomori W 1-031.1 1327 1099 72.66% 19.41% 7.93%+1.57 +3.6 43
2012-04-07 @ Teuta L 0-131.1 1099 1327 7.93% 19.41% 72.66%-1.57 -3.6 20
2012-04-08 Apolonia W 1-030.3 1335 1065 75.04% 18.46% 6.50%+1.76 +2.9 43
2012-04-08 @ KF Tirana L 0-130.3 1065 1335 6.50% 18.46% 75.04%-1.76 -2.9 14
2012-04-08 Bylis W 2-029.9 1348 1253 62.90% 22.06% 15.04%+0.96 +13.0 33
2012-04-08 @ Flamurtari L 0-229.9 1253 1348 15.04% 22.06% 62.90%-0.96 -12.9 26
2012-04-08 Skenderbeu L 1-246.3 1278 1450 30.54% 23.76% 45.70%-0.25 -12.0 31
2012-04-08 @ Kastrioti W 2-146.3 1450 1278 45.70% 23.76% 30.54%+0.25 +12.0 44
2012-04-09 Dinamo Tirana D 1-154.8 1122 1103 55.51% 23.11% 21.38%+0.62 -2.9 19
2012-04-09 @ Kamza D 1-154.8 1103 1122 21.38% 23.11% 55.51%-0.62 +2.9 13
2012-04-09 Shkumbini W 3-245.6 1209 1184 56.12% 23.04% 20.84%+0.65 +8.2 30
2012-04-09 @ Laci L 2-345.6 1184 1209 20.84% 23.04% 56.12%-0.65 -8.2 26
2012-04-14 Flamurtari L 1-335.1 1062 1361 17.34% 22.52% 60.14%-0.83 -12.8 14
2012-04-14 @ Apolonia W 3-135.1 1361 1062 60.14% 22.52% 17.34%+0.83 +12.8 36
2012-04-14 Kamza W 3-135.2 1176 1119 59.32% 22.64% 18.03%+0.79 +13.2 29
2012-04-14 @ Shkumbini L 1-335.2 1119 1176 18.03% 22.64% 59.32%-0.79 -13.2 19
2012-04-14 Kastrioti W 2-148.7 1095 1266 30.64% 23.76% 45.60%-0.25 +16.4 23
2012-04-14 @ Tomori L 1-248.7 1266 1095 45.60% 23.76% 30.64%+0.25 -16.4 31
2012-04-14 KF Tirana W 2-031.8 1462 1338 65.37% 21.55% 13.07%+1.10 +11.3 47
2012-04-14 @ Skenderbeu L 0-231.8 1338 1462 13.07% 21.55% 65.37%-1.10 -11.3 43
2012-04-14 Pogradeci W 2-028.4 1217 1095 65.18% 21.59% 13.22%+1.09 +11.5 33
2012-04-14 @ Laci L 0-228.4 1095 1217 13.22% 21.59% 65.18%-1.09 -11.5 20
2012-04-14 Teuta L 0-137.2 1105 1331 24.22% 23.39% 52.39%-0.49 -10.5 13
2012-04-14 @ Dinamo Tirana W 1-037.2 1331 1105 52.39% 23.39% 24.22%+0.49 +10.5 46
2012-04-14 Vllaznia W 1-038.1 1240 1269 49.87% 23.56% 26.57%+0.40 +11.3 29
2012-04-14 @ Bylis L 0-138.1 1269 1240 26.57% 23.56% 49.87%-0.40 -11.3 27
2012-04-21 Apolonia W 1-031.3 1258 1050 71.38% 19.87% 8.75%+1.48 +4.0 30
2012-04-21 @ Vllaznia L 0-131.3 1050 1258 8.75% 19.87% 71.38%-1.48 -4.0 14
2012-04-21 Dinamo Tirana W 1-032.4 1250 1095 67.74% 20.97% 11.29%+1.24 +5.2 34
2012-04-21 @ Kastrioti L 0-132.4 1095 1250 11.29% 20.97% 67.74%-1.24 -5.2 13
2012-04-22 Bylis D 1-154.7 1084 1251 31.13% 23.78% 45.09%-0.23 +1.1 21
2012-04-22 @ Pogradeci D 1-154.7 1251 1084 45.09% 23.78% 31.13%+0.23 -1.1 30
2012-04-22 Laci W 3-141.9 1106 1229 37.21% 23.89% 38.91%-0.03 +25.0 22
2012-04-22 @ Kamza L 1-341.9 1229 1106 38.91% 23.89% 37.21%+0.03 -25.0 33
2012-04-22 Shkumbini W 2-138.0 1342 1189 67.56% 21.02% 11.42%+1.23 +5.0 49
2012-04-22 @ Teuta L 1-238.0 1189 1342 11.42% 21.02% 67.56%-1.23 -5.0 29
2012-04-22 Skenderbeu W 1-045.3 1374 1474 40.44% 23.88% 35.69%+0.08 +14.3 39
2012-04-22 @ Flamurtari L 0-145.3 1474 1374 35.69% 23.88% 40.44%-0.08 -14.3 47
2012-04-22 Tomori W 1-031.3 1327 1112 71.82% 19.71% 8.46%+1.51 +3.9 46
2012-04-22 @ KF Tirana L 0-131.3 1112 1327 8.46% 19.71% 71.82%-1.51 -3.9 23
2012-04-25 Bylis W 2-149.8 1046 1250 26.57% 23.56% 49.86%-0.40 +17.7 17
2012-04-25 @ Apolonia L 1-249.8 1250 1046 49.86% 23.56% 26.57%+0.40 -17.7 30
2012-04-25 Flamurtari W 3-257.0 1108 1388 18.88% 22.78% 58.34%-0.74 +19.4 26
2012-04-25 @ Tomori L 2-357.0 1388 1108 58.34% 22.78% 18.88%+0.74 -19.4 39
2012-04-25 Kastrioti L 0-143.4 1184 1255 44.41% 23.80% 31.79%+0.21 -17.0 29
2012-04-25 @ Shkumbini W 1-043.4 1255 1184 31.79% 23.80% 44.41%-0.21 +17.0 37
2012-04-25 KF Tirana W 3-255.7 1090 1331 22.63% 23.24% 54.13%-0.56 +18.1 16
2012-04-25 @ Dinamo Tirana L 2-355.7 1331 1090 54.13% 23.24% 22.63%+0.56 -18.1 46
2012-04-25 Pogradeci W 2-140.3 1131 1085 58.29% 22.78% 18.92%+0.74 +8.0 25
2012-04-25 @ Kamza L 1-240.3 1085 1131 18.92% 22.78% 58.29%-0.74 -8.0 21
2012-04-25 Teuta W 1-042.9 1204 1347 34.40% 23.86% 41.74%-0.12 +16.2 36
2012-04-25 @ Laci L 0-142.9 1347 1204 41.74% 23.86% 34.40%+0.12 -16.2 49
2012-04-25 Vllaznia W 2-138.7 1459 1262 70.71% 20.09% 9.20%+1.43 +4.0 50
2012-04-25 @ Skenderbeu L 1-238.7 1262 1459 9.20% 20.09% 70.71%-1.43 -4.0 30
2012-04-29 Apolonia D 1-154.8 1077 1063 54.87% 23.17% 21.96%+0.59 -2.8 22
2012-04-29 @ Pogradeci D 1-154.8 1063 1077 21.96% 23.17% 54.87%-0.59 +2.8 18
2012-04-29 Dinamo Tirana W 5-024.4 1369 1108 74.53% 18.67% 6.79%+1.72 +13.6 42
2012-04-29 @ Flamurtari L 0-524.4 1108 1369 6.79% 18.67% 74.53%-1.72 -13.6 16
2012-04-29 Kamza D 0-051.5 1330 1139 70.29% 20.23% 9.48%+1.40 -6.2 50
2012-04-29 @ Teuta D 0-051.5 1139 1330 9.48% 20.23% 70.29%-1.40 +6.2 26
2012-04-29 Laci L 0-147.5 1272 1220 58.93% 22.70% 18.38%+0.77 -21.9 37
2012-04-29 @ Kastrioti W 1-047.5 1220 1272 18.38% 22.70% 58.93%-0.77 +21.9 39
2012-04-29 Shkumbini D 1-155.7 1312 1167 67.03% 21.16% 11.82%+1.19 -5.0 47
2012-04-29 @ KF Tirana D 1-155.7 1167 1312 11.82% 21.16% 67.03%-1.19 +5.0 30
2012-04-29 Skenderbeu D 0-052.1 1232 1463 23.65% 23.34% 53.02%-0.52 +2.8 31
2012-04-29 @ Bylis D 0-052.1 1463 1232 53.02% 23.34% 23.65%+0.52 -2.8 51
2012-04-29 Tomori D 0-051.0 1258 1127 65.86% 21.44% 12.70%+1.12 -5.3 31
2012-04-29 @ Vllaznia D 0-051.0 1127 1258 12.70% 21.44% 65.86%-1.12 +5.3 27
2012-05-05 Apolonia W 2-024.0 1461 1066 81.05% 15.42% 3.54%+2.32 +2.8 54
2012-05-05 @ Skenderbeu L 0-224.0 1066 1461 3.54% 15.42% 81.05%-2.32 -2.8 18
2012-05-05 Bylis D 2-259.8 1132 1235 40.07% 23.88% 36.05%+0.06 -0.2 28
2012-05-05 @ Tomori D 2-259.8 1235 1132 36.05% 23.88% 40.07%-0.06 +0.2 32
2012-05-05 Flamurtari L 0-330.9 1172 1382 25.92% 23.52% 50.56%-0.42 -30.4 30
2012-05-05 @ Shkumbini W 3-030.9 1382 1172 50.56% 23.52% 25.92%+0.42 +30.4 45
2012-05-05 Kastrioti D 1-154.7 1145 1250 39.71% 23.88% 36.41%+0.05 -0.3 27
2012-05-05 @ Kamza D 1-154.7 1250 1145 36.41% 23.88% 39.71%-0.05 +0.3 38
2012-05-05 KF Tirana L 0-143.9 1242 1307 45.16% 23.78% 31.06%+0.23 -17.3 39
2012-05-05 @ Laci W 1-043.9 1307 1242 31.06% 23.78% 45.16%-0.23 +17.2 50
2012-05-05 Pogradeci W 5-336.2 1324 1074 73.93% 18.92% 7.15%+1.67 +4.5 53
2012-05-05 @ Teuta L 3-536.2 1074 1324 7.15% 18.92% 73.93%-1.67 -4.5 22
2012-05-05 Vllaznia L 0-332.4 1094 1252 32.36% 23.82% 43.82%-0.19 -36.4 16
2012-05-05 @ Dinamo Tirana W 3-032.4 1252 1094 43.82% 23.82% 32.36%+0.19 +36.4 34
2012-05-11 Dinamo Tirana W 3-132.2 1235 1058 69.34% 20.52% 10.14%+1.34 +7.6 35
2012-05-11 @ Bylis L 1-332.2 1058 1235 10.14% 20.52% 69.34%-1.34 -7.6 16
2012-05-12 Kamza W 1-032.1 1325 1145 69.50% 20.47% 10.03%+1.35 +4.6 53
2012-05-12 @ KF Tirana L 0-132.1 1145 1325 10.03% 20.47% 69.50%-1.35 -4.6 27
2012-05-12 Laci D 0-052.4 1413 1225 70.06% 20.30% 9.64%+1.39 -6.1 46
2012-05-12 @ Flamurtari D 0-052.4 1225 1413 9.64% 20.30% 70.06%-1.39 +6.1 40
2012-05-12 Shkumbini D 4-466.0 1289 1141 67.15% 21.12% 11.72%+1.20 -2.7 35
2012-05-12 @ Vllaznia D 4-466.0 1141 1289 11.72% 21.12% 67.15%-1.20 +2.7 31
2012-05-12 Skenderbeu L 1-333.0 1070 1463 11.02% 20.87% 68.11%-1.26 -8.3 22
2012-05-12 @ Pogradeci W 3-133.0 1463 1070 68.11% 20.87% 11.02%+1.26 +8.3 57
2012-05-12 Teuta L 1-248.7 1251 1329 43.51% 23.82% 32.67%+0.18 -15.8 38
2012-05-12 @ Kastrioti W 2-148.7 1329 1251 32.67% 23.82% 43.51%-0.18 +15.8 56
2012-05-12 Tomori W 6-552.9 1063 1132 44.72% 23.79% 31.49%+0.22 +11.1 21
2012-05-12 @ Apolonia L 5-652.9 1132 1063 31.49% 23.79% 44.72%-0.22 -11.1 28

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2012-03-30 10.33% Teuta 1302 1 @ Skenderbeu 1476 0
2 2011-11-27 15.23% Shkumbini 1181 1 @ Kastrioti 1273 0
3 2011-10-14 17.97% Kastrioti 1225 1 @ Bylis 1282 0
4 2012-04-29 18.38% Laci 1220 1 @ Kastrioti 1272 0
5 2012-04-25 18.88% @ Tomori 1108 3 Flamurtari 1388 2
6 2012-03-17 18.90% Kastrioti 1255 4 @ Vllaznia 1301 2
7 2012-02-10 19.32% KF Tirana 1294 2 @ Teuta 1335 1
8 2012-03-10 19.54% Vllaznia 1280 1 @ Teuta 1319 0
9 2011-09-17 19.59% KF Tirana 1202 3 @ Kastrioti 1241 2
10 2011-12-05 19.87% @ Tomori 1027 1 Vllaznia 1296 0
11 2012-03-18 20.41% KF Tirana 1333 1 @ Flamurtari 1363 0
12 2011-10-01 20.50% Apolonia 1167 1 @ Kamza 1195 0
13 2012-03-30 21.25% @ Apolonia 1045 1 Kastrioti 1299 0
14 2011-09-12 21.64% Teuta 1206 1 @ KF Tirana 1223 0
15 2012-04-25 22.63% @ Dinamo Tirana 1090 3 KF Tirana 1331 2
16 2012-04-06 26.01% @ Pogradeci 1077 2 Vllaznia 1287 1
17 2012-04-25 26.57% @ Apolonia 1046 2 Bylis 1250 1
18 2011-11-26 26.90% Skenderbeu 1363 2 @ Vllaznia 1331 0
19 2011-10-30 28.41% Kamza 1186 2 @ Dinamo Tirana 1141 0
20 2011-12-04 29.49% Pogradeci 1164 3 @ Apolonia 1110 2
21 2011-10-16 29.56% Teuta 1241 1 @ Apolonia 1188 0
22 2012-04-14 30.64% @ Tomori 1095 2 Kastrioti 1266 1
23 2012-05-05 31.06% KF Tirana 1307 1 @ Laci 1242 0
24 2012-04-25 31.79% Kastrioti 1255 1 @ Shkumbini 1184 0
25 2011-10-31 31.84% Flamurtari 1322 3 @ Bylis 1251 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-05-05 36.37 Vllaznia 3 1252 43.82% @ Dinamo Tirana 0 1094 32.36% 23.82%
2 2011-11-26 35.20 Skenderbeu 2 1363 26.90% @ Vllaznia 0 1331 49.52% 23.58%
3 2011-10-30 34.21 Kamza 2 1186 28.41% @ Dinamo Tirana 0 1141 47.92% 23.67%
4 2012-03-05 33.39 @ Tomori 4 1055 40.04% Pogradeci 1 1158 36.08% 23.88%
5 2011-09-12 32.17 @ Kastrioti 4 1209 56.80% Pogradeci 0 1177 20.24% 22.97%
6 2012-04-01 31.78 @ Tomori 4 1067 42.29% Kamza 1 1154 33.86% 23.85%
7 2012-03-17 31.63 Kastrioti 4 1255 18.90% @ Vllaznia 2 1301 58.32% 22.78%
8 2011-11-19 31.20 Vllaznia 4 1300 43.10% @ Apolonia 1 1147 33.07% 23.83%
9 2012-05-05 30.41 Flamurtari 3 1382 50.56% @ Shkumbini 0 1172 25.92% 23.52%
10 2011-12-17 28.38 @ Flamurtari 5 1326 64.15% Shkumbini 0 1216 14.04% 21.82%
11 2011-10-31 27.77 Flamurtari 3 1322 31.84% @ Bylis 1 1251 44.36% 23.80%
12 2011-10-02 26.61 @ KF Tirana 2 1234 41.16% Flamurtari 0 1329 34.98% 23.87%
13 2012-03-03 26.31 @ Bylis 3 1242 54.99% Laci 0 1227 21.85% 23.16%
14 2012-03-04 26.11 @ Vllaznia 4 1253 61.67% Kamza 0 1172 16.05% 22.28%
15 2012-03-30 25.36 Teuta 1 1302 10.33% @ Skenderbeu 0 1476 69.07% 20.60%
16 2012-04-22 25.01 @ Kamza 3 1106 37.21% Laci 1 1229 38.91% 23.89%
17 2012-03-11 24.65 @ Dinamo Tirana 4 1075 51.86% Tomori 1 1088 24.72% 23.43%
18 2011-11-04 24.11 @ Pogradeci 3 1135 39.02% Laci 1 1245 37.09% 23.89%
19 2011-11-27 23.16 Shkumbini 1 1181 15.23% @ Kastrioti 0 1273 62.66% 22.10%
20 2011-12-17 22.37 Skenderbeu 5 1403 61.08% @ Apolonia 1 1094 16.54% 22.38%
21 2011-10-14 22.02 Kastrioti 1 1225 17.97% @ Bylis 0 1282 59.39% 22.63%
22 2012-04-29 21.87 Laci 1 1220 18.38% @ Kastrioti 0 1272 58.93% 22.70%
23 2011-10-30 21.65 Teuta 2 1258 49.41% @ Tomori 0 1057 27.00% 23.59%
24 2011-12-23 21.47 @ Tomori 2 1042 49.70% Apolonia 0 1072 26.73% 23.57%
25 2012-03-10 21.40 Vllaznia 1 1280 19.54% @ Teuta 0 1319 57.59% 22.87%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-05-12 66.0 @ Vllaznia 4 1289 67.15% Shkumbini 4 1141 11.72% 21.12%
2 2011-11-05 64.2 @ Vllaznia 3 1302 61.52% Bylis 3 1223 16.18% 22.30%
3 2012-02-13 63.5 @ Dinamo Tirana 3 1081 56.67% Apolonia 3 1050 20.35% 22.98%
4 2011-10-15 60.7 @ Vllaznia 2 1310 58.61% KF Tirana 2 1261 18.65% 22.74%
5 2011-09-16 60.1 @ Laci 2 1205 42.96% Bylis 2 1287 33.20% 23.84%
6 2012-05-05 59.8 @ Tomori 2 1132 40.07% Bylis 2 1235 36.05% 23.88%
7 2012-04-01 59.7 @ Dinamo Tirana 2 1103 39.59% Laci 2 1209 36.52% 23.88%
8 2012-04-25 57.0 @ Tomori 3 1108 18.88% Flamurtari 2 1388 58.34% 22.78%
9 2011-09-17 56.6 KF Tirana 3 1202 19.59% @ Kastrioti 2 1241 57.53% 22.88%
10 2011-11-27 56.6 @ Flamurtari 1 1335 77.40% Tomori 1 1020 5.22% 17.37%
11 2012-03-04 56.5 @ Flamurtari 1 1366 58.81% Teuta 1 1315 18.47% 22.71%
12 2011-11-06 56.2 @ Flamurtari 1 1350 71.41% Apolonia 1 1142 8.73% 19.86%
13 2011-12-23 55.9 @ Teuta 1 1339 61.62% Kastrioti 1 1259 16.09% 22.29%
14 2012-04-25 55.7 @ Dinamo Tirana 3 1090 22.63% KF Tirana 2 1331 54.13% 23.24%
15 2012-04-29 55.7 @ KF Tirana 1 1312 67.03% Shkumbini 1 1167 11.82% 21.16%
16 2012-03-10 55.6 @ Kastrioti 1 1255 39.30% Flamurtari 1 1363 36.81% 23.89%
17 2011-12-04 55.0 @ Laci 1 1224 50.28% Kastrioti 1 1250 26.19% 23.54%
18 2011-12-05 55.0 @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1081 21.95% Flamurtari 1 1329 54.88% 23.17%
19 2011-10-30 54.9 @ Shkumbini 1 1207 48.98% Laci 1 1243 27.41% 23.61%
20 2012-02-11 54.9 @ Shkumbini 1 1201 48.64% Bylis 1 1240 27.73% 23.63%
21 2011-09-24 54.8 @ Apolonia 1 1168 48.97% Laci 1 1205 27.42% 23.61%
22 2012-02-12 54.8 @ Pogradeci 1 1158 39.77% Kastrioti 1 1263 36.35% 23.88%
23 2012-04-09 54.8 @ Kamza 1 1122 55.51% Dinamo Tirana 1 1103 21.38% 23.11%
24 2012-04-29 54.8 @ Pogradeci 1 1077 54.87% Apolonia 1 1063 21.96% 23.17%
25 2011-12-23 54.7 @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1080 31.94% Bylis 1 1241 44.25% 23.80%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-02-08 24.0 @ Skenderbeu 3 1425 74.42% Pogradeci 0 1166 6.86% 18.72%
2 2012-05-05 24.0 @ Skenderbeu 2 1461 81.05% Apolonia 0 1066 3.54% 15.42%
3 2012-03-04 24.4 @ Skenderbeu 2 1442 79.68% Dinamo Tirana 0 1079 4.13% 16.19%
4 2012-04-29 24.4 @ Flamurtari 5 1369 74.53% Dinamo Tirana 0 1108 6.79% 18.67%
5 2012-03-18 24.7 @ Skenderbeu 3 1459 74.13% Laci 0 1206 7.03% 18.84%
6 2012-03-04 27.1 @ Vllaznia 4 1253 61.67% Kamza 0 1172 16.05% 22.28%
7 2011-11-06 27.3 @ Teuta 2 1280 69.01% Dinamo Tirana 0 1107 10.37% 20.62%
8 2011-12-17 27.7 @ Flamurtari 5 1326 64.15% Shkumbini 0 1216 14.04% 21.82%
9 2011-10-15 27.9 @ Flamurtari 2 1302 67.43% Pogradeci 0 1151 11.52% 21.05%
10 2012-03-25 28.4 @ Laci 2 1197 64.90% Tomori 0 1079 13.45% 21.66%
11 2012-04-14 28.4 @ Laci 2 1217 65.18% Pogradeci 0 1095 13.22% 21.59%
12 2011-09-12 28.5 @ Kastrioti 4 1209 56.80% Pogradeci 0 1177 20.24% 22.97%
13 2012-03-03 29.3 @ Bylis 3 1242 54.99% Laci 0 1227 21.85% 23.16%
14 2011-10-23 29.7 @ Kastrioti 2 1247 61.26% Apolonia 0 1170 16.39% 22.35%
15 2012-04-08 29.9 @ Flamurtari 2 1348 62.90% Bylis 0 1253 15.04% 22.06%
16 2012-04-08 30.3 @ KF Tirana 1 1335 75.04% Apolonia 0 1065 6.50% 18.46%
17 2012-05-05 30.9 Flamurtari 3 1382 50.56% @ Shkumbini 0 1172 25.92% 23.52%
18 2011-12-17 31.0 Skenderbeu 5 1403 61.08% @ Apolonia 1 1094 16.54% 22.38%
19 2012-04-07 31.1 @ Teuta 1 1327 72.66% Tomori 0 1099 7.93% 19.41%
20 2012-04-21 31.3 @ Vllaznia 1 1258 71.38% Apolonia 0 1050 8.75% 19.87%
21 2012-04-22 31.3 @ KF Tirana 1 1327 71.82% Tomori 0 1112 8.46% 19.71%
22 2011-11-06 31.4 @ Kastrioti 3 1253 71.98% Tomori 1 1036 8.36% 19.66%
23 2011-11-26 31.4 @ KF Tirana 1 1294 71.46% Dinamo Tirana 0 1085 8.70% 19.84%
24 2012-04-14 31.8 @ Skenderbeu 2 1462 65.37% KF Tirana 0 1338 13.07% 21.55%
25 2011-10-01 31.9 @ Shkumbini 6 1187 62.62% Tomori 2 1095 15.27% 22.11%