‹ ›

2012-13 Kategoria Superiore Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Skenderbeu

58 points · 4th Title

Last Title: 2011-12

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Kukesi

15.19 points above expected

52 points · 36.81 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Luftetari

10.21 points below expected

19 points · 29.21 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Skenderbeu Champion 26 18 4 4 58 43 14 +29 53.96 +4.04
2 Kukesi 26 15 7 4 52 48 25 +23 36.81 +15.19
3 Teuta 26 14 6 6 48 32 24 +8 41.45 +6.55
4 Flamurtari 26 13 7 6 46 48 33 +15 47.15 -1.15
5 KF Tirana 26 12 7 7 43 30 22 +8 41.25 +1.75
6 Vllaznia 26 11 5 10 38 30 26 +4 39.20 -1.20
7 Laci 26 11 5 10 38 32 31 +1 36.55 +1.45
8 Kastrioti 26 10 4 12 34 25 34 -9 33.11 +0.89
9 Bylis 26 9 6 11 33 32 29 +3 37.71 -4.71
10 Besa 26 8 8 10 32 23 26 -3 32.93 -0.93
11 Shkumbini 26 7 8 11 29 18 33 -15 27.50 +1.50
12 Tomori 26 4 7 15 19 30 50 -20 24.00 -5.00
13 Luftetari 26 5 4 17 19 24 44 -20 29.21 -10.21
14 Apolonia 26 1 10 15 13 16 40 -24 21.39 -8.39

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Kukesi 52 36.81 +15.19
2 Teuta 48 41.45 +6.55
3 Skenderbeu 58 53.96 +4.04
4 KF Tirana 43 41.25 +1.75
5 Shkumbini 29 27.50 +1.50

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Luftetari 19 29.21 -10.21
2 Apolonia 13 21.39 -8.39
3 Tomori 19 24.00 -5.00
4 Bylis 33 37.71 -4.71
5 Vllaznia 38 39.20 -1.20

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kukesi 5 Apr 13 – May 11 1 in 87
2 Laci 2 Aug 31 – Sep 17 1 in 16
3 Flamurtari 5 Dec 2 – Mar 2 1 in 15
4 Besa 2 Oct 7 – Oct 20 1 in 11
5 Bylis 3 Oct 6 – Oct 28 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Besa 4 Nov 25 – Feb 16 1 in 90
2 Luftetari 4 Oct 7 – Nov 3 1 in 36
3 Vllaznia 3 Apr 20 – May 4 1 in 22
4 Laci 4 Feb 17 – Mar 10 1 in 20
5 Apolonia 7 Dec 2 – Mar 17 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kukesi 10 Aug 26 – Nov 14 1 in 129
2 Teuta 9 Dec 1 – Apr 7 1 in 34
3 Apolonia 3 Apr 27 – May 11 1 in 22
4 KF Tirana 7 Aug 25 – Oct 21 1 in 16
5 Skenderbeu 13 Aug 24 – Dec 1 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Besa 10 Oct 28 – Mar 2 1 in 98
2 Tomori 14 Aug 25 – Feb 10 1 in 50
3 KF Tirana 5 Sep 29 – Nov 4 1 in 32
4 Shkumbini 9 Sep 22 – Nov 24 1 in 31
5 Flamurtari 4 Sep 22 – Oct 20 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Skenderbeu 1445 58 -12 9 10.1 -1.1
Kukesi 1374 52 +118 15 7.5 +7.5
Teuta 1277 48 -39 9 8.8 +0.2
Flamurtari 1332 46 -70 7 8.7 -1.7
KF Tirana 1304 43 +1 8 8.3 -0.3
Laci 1216 38 +3 7 7.5 -0.5
Vllaznia 1242 38 -5 6 7.3 -1.3
Kastrioti 1146 34 +3 6 5.5 +0.5
Bylis 1208 33 -27 4 8.1 -4.1
Besa 1161 32 -11 5 5.5 -0.5
Shkumbini 1122 29 +29 10 6.3 +3.7
Tomori 1092 19 +58 7 4.0 +3.0
Luftetari 1038 19 -57 1 5.7 -4.7
Apolonia 998 13 +10 4 3.7 +0.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team APO BES BYL FLA KT KAS KUK LAC LUF SHK SKE TEU TOM VLL
Apolonia —
1-1-0
1.71
0-0-2
1.79
0-1-1
1.01
0-1-1
1.11
0-1-1
2.04
0-1-1
2.08
0-1-1
1.56
0-0-2
2.25
0-2-0
2.13
0-0-2
0.86
0-0-2
1.34
0-1-1
2.56
0-1-1
1.52
Besa
0-1-1
3.83
—
0-1-1
2.41
1-1-0
1.92
1-1-0
1.86
1-0-1
2.91
0-0-2
2.45
0-1-1
2.43
2-0-0
2.79
0-1-1
3.02
0-1-1
1.35
1-0-1
2.06
1-0-1
3.21
1-1-0
2.30
Bylis
2-0-0
3.77
1-1-0
3.10
—
0-1-1
2.09
1-0-1
2.29
0-1-1
2.96
1-0-1
2.89
1-0-1
2.89
1-1-0
3.40
1-0-1
3.65
0-1-1
1.54
0-0-2
2.45
1-1-0
3.88
0-0-2
2.57
Flamurtari
1-1-0
4.59
0-1-1
3.64
1-1-0
3.42
—
1-1-0
3.25
1-0-1
4.02
1-0-1
3.30
1-0-1
3.55
2-0-0
3.95
1-1-0
4.16
1-0-1
2.07
0-1-1
3.27
2-0-0
4.21
1-1-0
3.31
KF Tirana
1-1-0
4.47
0-1-1
3.66
1-0-1
3.22
0-1-1
2.25
—
1-1-0
3.23
0-0-2
3.21
1-1-0
3.23
2-0-0
3.60
1-0-1
3.84
1-0-1
1.71
0-2-0
2.77
2-0-0
3.81
2-0-0
2.88
Kastrioti
1-1-0
3.48
1-0-1
2.59
1-1-0
2.55
1-0-1
1.51
0-1-1
2.29
—
0-0-2
2.06
1-0-1
2.60
1-0-1
3.33
1-1-0
3.25
0-0-2
1.24
0-0-2
2.28
2-0-0
3.53
1-0-1
2.24
Kukesi
1-1-0
3.47
2-0-0
3.04
1-0-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.22
2-0-0
2.31
2-0-0
3.44
—
1-1-0
2.63
1-1-0
3.05
1-1-0
3.32
1-0-1
1.92
0-2-0
2.33
2-0-0
3.66
0-1-1
2.48
Laci
1-1-0
3.98
1-1-0
3.07
1-0-1
2.61
1-0-1
1.98
0-1-1
2.27
1-0-1
2.90
0-1-1
2.89
—
2-0-0
3.33
1-1-0
3.44
0-0-2
1.46
1-0-1
2.25
1-0-1
3.97
1-0-1
2.36
Luftetari
2-0-0
3.27
0-0-2
2.72
0-1-1
2.10
0-0-2
1.62
0-0-2
1.93
1-0-1
2.19
0-1-1
2.45
0-0-2
2.17
—
0-0-2
2.65
0-0-2
0.98
1-0-1
1.87
0-2-0
3.02
1-0-1
2.04
Shkumbini
0-2-0
3.38
1-1-0
2.48
1-0-1
1.87
0-1-1
1.40
1-0-1
1.69
0-1-1
2.27
0-1-1
2.21
0-1-1
2.07
2-0-0
2.84
—
0-0-2
0.96
0-0-2
1.86
1-1-0
3.02
1-0-1
1.70
Skenderbeu
2-0-0
4.76
1-1-0
4.23
1-1-0
4.01
1-0-1
3.45
1-0-1
3.82
2-0-0
4.33
1-0-1
3.64
2-0-0
4.08
2-0-0
4.64
2-0-0
4.64
—
1-1-0
3.69
1-1-0
4.72
1-0-1
3.79
Teuta
2-0-0
4.24
1-0-1
3.48
2-0-0
3.06
1-1-0
2.24
0-2-0
2.73
2-0-0
3.24
0-2-0
3.18
1-0-1
3.27
1-0-1
3.67
2-0-0
3.67
0-1-1
1.84
—
1-0-1
4.26
1-0-1
2.94
Tomori
1-1-0
2.95
1-0-1
2.30
0-1-1
1.66
0-0-2
1.37
0-0-2
1.75
0-0-2
1.99
0-0-2
1.86
1-0-1
1.56
0-2-0
2.48
0-1-1
2.49
0-1-1
0.91
1-0-1
1.30
—
0-1-1
1.52
Vllaznia
1-1-0
4.02
0-1-1
3.23
2-0-0
2.94
0-1-1
2.21
0-0-2
2.63
1-0-1
3.27
1-1-0
3.02
1-0-1
3.14
1-0-1
3.46
1-0-1
3.83
1-0-1
1.76
1-0-1
2.56
1-1-0
4.04
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.62 +10.4
Allowed 0.72 -11.9
Differential 0.94 +7.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.24%11.54%6.32%5.77%0.27%—32.14%
111.54%13.74%7.14%2.75%1.10%0.55%36.81%
26.32%7.14%1.65%0.82%0.27%0.55%16.76%
35.77%2.75%0.82%0.55%0.55%0.27%10.71%
40.27%1.10%0.27%0.55%——2.20%
5+—0.55%0.55%0.27%——1.37%
Total32.14%36.81%16.76%10.71%2.20%1.37%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.18 +0.00
SD 1.15 1.15 1.68
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%19.23%7.69%7.69%——50.00%
1—19.23%7.69%7.69%3.85%—38.46%
2—3.85%3.85%3.85%——11.54%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%42.31%19.23%19.23%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.62 1.54 -0.92
SD 0.70 1.10 1.09
CV 1.13 0.72 —
Max 2 4 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%11.54%3.85%——34.62%
111.54%23.08%7.69%3.85%——46.15%
211.54%3.85%————15.38%
33.85%—————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total34.62%38.46%19.23%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.00 -0.12
SD 0.82 0.94 1.48
CV 0.92 0.94 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%—11.54%——30.77%
17.69%15.38%15.38%3.85%——42.31%
27.69%—————7.69%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+———————
Total34.62%34.62%15.38%15.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.12 +0.12
SD 1.24 1.07 1.95
CV 1.01 0.96 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%—3.85%——19.23%
13.85%15.38%3.85%3.85%—3.85%30.77%
27.69%3.85%————11.54%
315.38%7.69%3.85%3.85%——30.77%
4———————
5+——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
Total34.62%34.62%11.54%15.38%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 1.27 +0.58
SD 1.46 1.43 2.00
CV 0.79 1.13 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%3.85%———23.08%
123.08%15.38%11.54%———50.00%
23.85%11.54%————15.38%
37.69%————3.85%11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total46.15%34.62%15.38%——3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 0.85 +0.31
SD 0.92 1.12 1.29
CV 0.80 1.32 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%15.38%15.38%——46.15%
111.54%7.69%7.69%———26.92%
23.85%11.54%————15.38%
33.85%—3.85%———7.69%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total26.92%30.77%26.92%15.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.31 -0.35
SD 1.15 1.05 1.81
CV 1.19 0.80 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%7.69%3.85%——26.92%
17.69%15.38%————23.08%
23.85%15.38%————19.23%
37.69%7.69%————15.38%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
Total30.77%50.00%11.54%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 0.96 +0.88
SD 1.74 0.87 1.84
CV 0.94 0.91 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%—26.92%
115.38%15.38%15.38%———46.15%
2—7.69%————7.69%
311.54%3.85%————15.38%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+———————
Total30.77%34.62%23.08%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.19 +0.04
SD 1.14 1.10 1.75
CV 0.93 0.92 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%15.38%15.38%——50.00%
1—7.69%11.54%3.85%——23.08%
23.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
33.85%—3.85%———7.69%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total11.54%30.77%34.62%23.08%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 1.69 -0.77
SD 1.16 0.97 1.70
CV 1.26 0.57 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%19.23%7.69%11.54%——46.15%
111.54%23.08%———3.85%38.46%
2—15.38%————15.38%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total19.23%57.69%7.69%11.54%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.69 1.27 -0.58
SD 0.74 1.15 1.47
CV 1.06 0.91 —
Max 2 5 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%————19.23%
115.38%7.69%————23.08%
230.77%3.85%————34.62%
37.69%7.69%——3.85%—19.23%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total61.54%30.77%3.85%—3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 0.54 +1.12
SD 1.13 0.90 1.24
CV 0.68 1.68 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%7.69%———19.23%
123.08%19.23%——7.69%—50.00%
23.85%15.38%————19.23%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total38.46%46.15%7.69%—7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 0.92 +0.31
SD 0.91 1.09 1.57
CV 0.74 1.18 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%3.85%3.85%——30.77%
17.69%3.85%11.54%7.69%3.85%—34.62%
23.85%—11.54%—3.85%7.69%26.92%
3————3.85%—3.85%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total23.08%19.23%26.92%11.54%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.92 -0.77
SD 1.05 1.57 1.53
CV 0.91 0.82 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%19.23%————26.92%
123.08%3.85%7.69%7.69%——42.31%
27.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
33.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total42.31%30.77%11.54%15.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.00 +0.15
SD 0.97 1.10 1.32
CV 0.84 1.10 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Skenderbeu 1445 58 53.96 +4.04 80.0% 40 44 50 54 58 62 70
Kukesi 1374 52 36.81 +15.19 100.0% 19 27 32 36 41 48 52
Flamurtari 1332 46 47.15 -1.15 45.0% 30 37 43 47 51 58 61
KF Tirana 1304 43 41.25 +1.75 65.0% 21 32 37 41 45 52 62
Teuta 1277 48 41.45 +6.55 84.0% 26 32 36 41 46 52 57
Vllaznia 1242 38 39.20 -1.20 48.0% 24 27 35 39 43 49 54
Laci 1216 38 36.55 +1.45 60.0% 24 27 32 37 41 45 48
Bylis 1208 33 37.71 -4.71 24.0% 12 26 34 38 42 47 52
Besa 1161 32 32.93 -0.93 48.0% 19 21 28 33 38 43 48
Kastrioti 1146 34 33.11 +0.89 61.0% 21 23 29 33 37 43 47
Shkumbini 1122 29 27.50 +1.50 64.0% 12 19 23 27 31 37 43
Tomori 1092 19 24.00 -5.00 20.0% 12 16 21 23 28 32 35
Luftetari 1038 19 29.21 -10.21 6.0% 11 18 25 29 32 42 44
Apolonia 998 13 21.39 -8.39 7.0% 8 13 17 22 25 30 35

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 27% * Slight Edge: 27% to 33% * Clear Edge: 33% to 40% * Strong Edge: 40% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+34.07%
Clear Edge
54.95%24.18%20.88%
Elo Value
Home Edge
213 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0123.28600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.64 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.58+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.04 * Tight Race: 0.04 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.8
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
72%
Skenderbeu, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Runaway
00.240.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.92 * Some Luck: 4.92 to 7.38 * Lucky: 7.38 to 9.84 * Wild Swing: 9.84 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.52 * Close: 1.52 to 2.28 * Off: 2.28 to 3.04 * Way Off: 3.04 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.12 points
Some Luck
06.1515
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.29
Pinpoint
01.904
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
100.00%
Kukesi
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
6.00%
Luftetari
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 77.5% * Wide Edge: 77.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 93% * Strong Edge: 93% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 72.5% * Very Frequent: 72.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 10.5% * Occasional: 10.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.120.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 128.38
1.94
Strong Separation
0.91.351.82.153
Interquartile Edge
73%
Clear Edge
50%63.5%72.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 93%
93%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Some Drama
0%63%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Frequent
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.56 * Notable Separation: 0.56 to 0.62 * Lopsided: 0.62 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14.5% * Upset-Prone: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 18.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 10.5% * As Expected: 10.5% to 12.5% * Shaky Favorites: 12.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.53
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.44
Very Even
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.94
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.76
Near-Lock
00.410.590.731
Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Upset-Prone
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Shaky Favorites
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.41
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.34
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.093
Well Within Noise
00.1190.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Skenderbeu72.00%18.00%6.00%3.00%—1.00%————————
Kukesi2.00%2.00%12.00%12.00%6.00%12.00%14.00%8.00%12.00%11.00%6.00%—1.00%2.00%
Teuta3.00%13.00%17.00%10.00%13.00%15.00%14.00%7.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%——
Flamurtari19.00%32.00%18.00%10.00%11.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%—————
KF Tirana2.00%14.00%13.00%15.00%13.00%14.00%12.00%11.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%—1.00%—
Vllaznia—11.00%8.00%13.00%12.00%10.00%13.00%12.00%11.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%—
Laci—4.00%8.00%12.00%11.00%8.00%13.00%13.00%10.00%10.00%8.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%
Kastrioti—1.00%2.00%3.00%7.00%10.00%9.00%14.00%14.00%14.00%11.00%8.00%5.00%2.00%
Bylis2.00%4.00%8.00%16.00%16.00%8.00%7.00%9.00%9.00%10.00%3.00%6.00%1.00%1.00%
Besa—1.00%6.00%2.00%6.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%9.00%15.00%13.00%10.00%7.00%1.00%
Shkumbini———1.00%1.00%5.00%2.00%6.00%9.00%11.00%15.00%26.00%15.00%9.00%
Tomori—————1.00%—1.00%5.00%8.00%12.00%19.00%23.00%31.00%
Luftetari——2.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%3.00%7.00%10.00%11.00%21.00%15.00%16.00%6.00%
Apolonia—————1.00%——4.00%2.00%5.00%12.00%29.00%47.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Flamurtari 100% —
Skenderbeu 100% —
KF Tirana 98.00% 2.00%
Teuta 98.00% 2.00%
Vllaznia 93.00% 7.00%
Kukesi 91.00% 9.00%
Bylis 89.00% 11.00%
Laci 89.00% 11.00%
Kastrioti 74.00% 26.00%
Besa 69.00% 31.00%
Luftetari 42.00% 58.00%
Shkumbini 35.00% 65.00%
Tomori 15.00% 85.00%
Apolonia 7.00% 93.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2012-08-24 Skenderbeu L 1-344.6 1241 1371 36.24% 25.64% 38.12%-0.03 -20.3 0
2012-08-24 @ Vllaznia W 3-144.6 1371 1241 38.12% 25.64% 36.24%+0.03 +20.3 3
2012-08-25 Besa D 1-155.0 1200 1167 56.87% 24.15% 18.98%+0.73 -2.8 1
2012-08-25 @ Laci D 1-155.0 1167 1200 18.98% 24.15% 56.87%-0.73 +2.8 1
2012-08-25 Kastrioti D 1-154.5 1099 1204 39.81% 25.62% 34.57%+0.09 -0.3 1
2012-08-25 @ Apolonia D 1-154.5 1204 1099 34.57% 25.62% 39.81%-0.09 +0.4 1
2012-08-25 KF Tirana L 0-141.6 1129 1264 35.44% 25.63% 38.93%-0.06 -12.2 0
2012-08-25 @ Tomori W 1-041.6 1264 1129 38.93% 25.63% 35.44%+0.06 +12.2 3
2012-08-26 Flamurtari D 1-155.0 1209 1331 37.33% 25.64% 37.03%+0.01 -0.0 1
2012-08-26 @ Bylis D 1-155.0 1331 1209 37.03% 25.64% 37.33%-0.01 +0.0 1
2012-08-26 Luftetari D 0-049.6 1161 1163 52.99% 24.73% 22.27%+0.57 -2.4 1
2012-08-26 @ Kukesi D 0-049.6 1163 1161 22.27% 24.73% 52.99%-0.57 +2.4 1
2012-08-26 Teuta L 0-141.8 1143 1274 36.00% 25.63% 38.37%-0.04 -12.4 0
2012-08-26 @ Shkumbini W 1-041.8 1274 1143 38.37% 25.63% 36.00%+0.04 +12.3 3
2012-08-31 Apolonia W 2-026.4 1391 1098 77.08% 17.19% 5.73%+1.95 +4.0 6
2012-08-31 @ Skenderbeu L 0-226.4 1098 1391 5.73% 17.19% 77.08%-1.95 -4.0 1
2012-08-31 Laci L 0-150.0 1332 1197 66.25% 21.85% 11.90%+1.21 -20.6 1
2012-08-31 @ Flamurtari W 1-050.0 1197 1332 11.90% 21.85% 66.25%-1.21 +20.6 4
2012-09-01 Bylis W 2-143.6 1204 1209 52.64% 24.78% 22.59%+0.55 +8.0 4
2012-09-01 @ Kastrioti L 1-243.6 1209 1204 22.59% 24.78% 52.64%-0.55 -8.0 1
2012-09-01 Vllaznia D 0-049.4 1158 1221 45.58% 25.41% 29.01%+0.29 -1.3 2
2012-09-01 @ Kukesi D 0-049.4 1221 1158 29.01% 25.41% 45.58%-0.29 +1.3 1
2012-09-02 Shkumbini W 3-027.1 1276 1131 67.15% 21.55% 11.30%+1.26 +12.1 6
2012-09-02 @ KF Tirana L 0-327.1 1131 1276 11.30% 21.55% 67.15%-1.26 -12.1 0
2012-09-02 Teuta W 4-141.0 1165 1287 37.43% 25.64% 36.93%+0.01 +29.1 4
2012-09-02 @ Luftetari L 1-441.0 1287 1165 36.93% 25.64% 37.43%-0.01 -29.1 3
2012-09-03 Tomori W 3-029.4 1169 1116 58.92% 23.77% 17.32%+0.83 +18.4 4
2012-09-03 @ Besa L 0-329.4 1116 1169 17.32% 23.77% 58.92%-0.83 -18.4 0
2012-09-14 KF Tirana D 1-155.2 1258 1288 49.62% 25.10% 25.28%+0.43 -1.7 4
2012-09-14 @ Teuta D 1-155.2 1288 1258 25.28% 25.10% 49.62%-0.43 +1.7 7
2012-09-15 Kukesi D 0-049.3 1094 1157 45.58% 25.41% 29.01%+0.29 -1.3 2
2012-09-15 @ Apolonia D 0-049.3 1157 1094 29.01% 25.41% 45.58%-0.29 +1.3 3
2012-09-15 Skenderbeu D 1-155.4 1201 1395 27.84% 25.33% 46.84%-0.33 +1.3 2
2012-09-15 @ Bylis D 1-155.4 1395 1201 46.84% 25.33% 27.84%+0.33 -1.3 7
2012-09-16 Besa W 1-039.7 1118 1188 44.66% 25.46% 29.89%+0.25 +10.7 3
2012-09-16 @ Shkumbini L 0-139.7 1188 1118 29.89% 25.46% 44.66%-0.25 -10.7 4
2012-09-16 Flamurtari L 0-234.5 1098 1311 25.61% 25.14% 49.26%-0.42 -17.8 0
2012-09-16 @ Tomori W 2-034.5 1311 1098 49.26% 25.14% 25.61%+0.42 +17.8 4
2012-09-16 Luftetari W 3-030.4 1222 1194 56.28% 24.25% 19.47%+0.71 +20.5 4
2012-09-16 @ Vllaznia L 0-330.4 1194 1222 19.47% 24.25% 56.28%-0.71 -20.5 4
2012-09-17 Kastrioti W 3-031.1 1218 1212 53.89% 24.62% 21.49%+0.60 +22.4 7
2012-09-17 @ Laci L 0-331.1 1212 1218 21.49% 24.62% 53.89%-0.60 -22.3 4
2012-09-21 Teuta W 1-040.3 1177 1256 43.39% 25.51% 31.10%+0.21 +11.0 7
2012-09-21 @ Besa L 0-140.3 1256 1177 31.10% 25.51% 43.39%-0.21 -11.0 4
2012-09-22 KF Tirana L 0-142.5 1174 1290 38.19% 25.64% 36.18%+0.03 -12.9 4
2012-09-22 @ Luftetari W 1-042.5 1290 1174 36.18% 25.64% 38.19%-0.03 +12.9 10
2012-09-22 Shkumbini D 1-156.4 1329 1129 71.16% 20.03% 8.81%+1.51 -4.8 5
2012-09-22 @ Flamurtari D 1-156.4 1129 1329 8.81% 20.03% 71.16%-1.51 +4.8 4
2012-09-23 Apolonia D 1-155.7 1242 1093 67.42% 21.46% 11.12%+1.28 -4.3 5
2012-09-23 @ Vllaznia D 1-155.7 1093 1242 11.12% 21.46% 67.42%-1.28 +4.3 3
2012-09-23 Bylis W 1-038.8 1158 1203 47.91% 25.25% 26.84%+0.37 +9.8 6
2012-09-23 @ Kukesi L 0-138.8 1203 1158 26.84% 25.25% 47.91%-0.37 -9.8 2
2012-09-23 Tomori W 1-033.9 1190 1080 64.15% 22.49% 13.35%+1.09 +5.2 7
2012-09-23 @ Kastrioti L 0-133.9 1080 1190 13.35% 22.49% 64.15%-1.09 -5.2 0
2012-09-24 Laci W 3-027.9 1394 1240 67.78% 21.34% 10.89%+1.30 +11.7 10
2012-09-24 @ Skenderbeu L 0-327.9 1240 1394 10.89% 21.34% 67.78%-1.30 -11.7 7
2012-09-29 Besa D 1-155.8 1303 1188 64.61% 22.36% 13.03%+1.12 -3.9 11
2012-09-29 @ KF Tirana D 1-155.8 1188 1303 13.03% 22.36% 64.61%-1.12 +3.9 8
2012-09-29 Luftetari L 0-338.3 1097 1161 45.44% 25.41% 29.15%+0.28 -40.5 3
2012-09-29 @ Apolonia W 3-038.3 1161 1097 29.15% 25.41% 45.44%-0.28 +40.5 7
2012-09-29 Vllaznia L 0-145.2 1193 1238 47.78% 25.26% 26.96%+0.37 -15.4 2
2012-09-29 @ Bylis W 1-045.2 1238 1193 26.96% 25.26% 47.78%-0.37 +15.4 8
2012-09-30 Flamurtari W 2-146.8 1245 1324 43.39% 25.51% 31.10%+0.21 +10.4 7
2012-09-30 @ Teuta L 1-246.8 1324 1245 31.10% 25.51% 43.39%-0.21 -10.4 5
2012-09-30 Kastrioti D 1-154.6 1134 1195 45.78% 25.39% 28.83%+0.29 -1.2 5
2012-09-30 @ Shkumbini D 1-154.6 1195 1134 28.83% 25.39% 45.78%-0.29 +1.2 8
2012-09-30 Kukesi D 1-155.2 1228 1168 59.63% 23.62% 16.75%+0.86 -3.2 8
2012-09-30 @ Laci D 1-155.2 1168 1228 16.75% 23.62% 59.63%-0.86 +3.2 7
2012-09-30 Skenderbeu D 0-050.3 1075 1405 15.02% 23.10% 61.88%-0.97 +3.9 1
2012-09-30 @ Tomori D 0-050.3 1405 1075 61.88% 23.10% 15.02%+0.97 -3.9 11
2012-10-06 Bylis L 0-142.1 1057 1177 37.60% 25.64% 36.76%+0.01 -12.8 3
2012-10-06 @ Apolonia W 1-042.1 1177 1057 36.76% 25.64% 37.60%-0.01 +12.8 5
2012-10-06 KF Tirana D 1-155.7 1314 1299 54.86% 24.48% 20.67%+0.65 -2.5 6
2012-10-06 @ Flamurtari D 1-155.7 1299 1314 20.67% 24.48% 54.86%-0.65 +2.5 12
2012-10-06 Shkumbini W 2-027.0 1401 1133 75.67% 17.93% 6.40%+1.84 +4.5 14
2012-10-06 @ Skenderbeu L 0-227.0 1133 1401 6.40% 17.93% 75.67%-1.84 -4.5 5
2012-10-06 Tomori W 3-136.3 1171 1079 62.65% 22.91% 14.45%+1.01 +9.3 10
2012-10-06 @ Kukesi L 1-336.3 1079 1171 14.45% 22.91% 62.65%-1.01 -9.3 1
2012-10-07 Besa L 0-242.9 1202 1192 54.31% 24.56% 21.13%+0.62 -32.5 7
2012-10-07 @ Luftetari W 2-042.9 1192 1202 21.13% 24.56% 54.31%-0.62 +32.6 11
2012-10-07 Laci W 1-036.5 1254 1225 56.38% 24.24% 19.38%+0.71 +7.5 11
2012-10-07 @ Vllaznia L 0-136.5 1225 1254 19.38% 24.24% 56.38%-0.71 -7.5 8
2012-10-07 Teuta L 0-144.8 1196 1255 45.98% 25.38% 28.64%+0.30 -15.0 8
2012-10-07 @ Kastrioti W 1-044.8 1255 1196 28.64% 25.38% 45.98%-0.30 +14.9 10
2012-10-20 Flamurtari W 1-040.9 1225 1311 42.36% 25.55% 32.08%+0.17 +11.3 14
2012-10-20 @ Besa L 0-140.9 1311 1225 32.08% 25.55% 42.36%-0.17 -11.3 6
2012-10-20 Kukesi D 1-154.6 1128 1180 46.91% 25.32% 27.77%+0.33 -1.3 6
2012-10-20 @ Shkumbini D 1-154.6 1180 1128 27.77% 25.32% 46.91%-0.33 +1.3 11
2012-10-20 Luftetari W 2-032.6 1190 1169 55.59% 24.36% 20.05%+0.68 +14.5 8
2012-10-20 @ Bylis L 0-232.6 1169 1190 20.05% 24.36% 55.59%-0.68 -14.5 7
2012-10-21 Apolonia W 1-032.3 1218 1044 69.28% 20.78% 9.94%+1.39 +3.9 11
2012-10-21 @ Laci L 0-132.3 1044 1218 9.94% 20.78% 69.28%-1.39 -3.9 3
2012-10-21 Kastrioti D 0-050.6 1302 1181 65.10% 22.22% 12.69%+1.14 -4.4 13
2012-10-21 @ KF Tirana D 0-050.6 1181 1302 12.69% 22.22% 65.10%-1.14 +4.4 9
2012-10-21 Skenderbeu L 0-239.0 1270 1406 35.43% 25.63% 38.94%-0.06 -23.0 10
2012-10-21 @ Teuta W 2-039.0 1406 1270 38.94% 25.63% 35.43%+0.06 +23.0 17
2012-10-21 Vllaznia D 2-260.5 1069 1261 28.11% 25.35% 46.54%-0.32 +1.0 2
2012-10-21 @ Tomori D 2-260.5 1261 1069 46.54% 25.35% 28.11%+0.32 -1.0 12
2012-10-27 Flamurtari L 2-352.2 1154 1300 34.09% 25.61% 40.30%-0.10 -10.6 7
2012-10-27 @ Luftetari W 3-252.2 1300 1154 40.30% 25.61% 34.09%+0.10 +10.6 9
2012-10-27 KF Tirana W 2-031.5 1429 1297 66.03% 21.93% 12.05%+1.20 +8.9 20
2012-10-27 @ Skenderbeu L 0-231.5 1297 1429 12.05% 21.93% 66.03%-1.20 -8.9 13
2012-10-27 Tomori D 2-260.5 1040 1070 49.68% 25.10% 25.22%+0.44 -1.3 4
2012-10-27 @ Apolonia D 2-260.5 1070 1040 25.22% 25.10% 49.68%-0.44 +1.3 3
2012-10-28 Besa W 2-035.2 1185 1236 47.13% 25.31% 27.56%+0.34 +18.9 12
2012-10-28 @ Kastrioti L 0-235.2 1236 1185 27.56% 25.31% 47.13%-0.34 -18.9 14
2012-10-28 Laci W 4-031.8 1204 1222 51.27% 24.94% 23.80%+0.50 +31.8 11
2012-10-28 @ Bylis L 0-431.8 1222 1204 23.80% 24.94% 51.27%-0.50 -31.8 11
2012-10-28 Shkumbini W 1-033.4 1260 1127 66.14% 21.89% 11.97%+1.20 +4.7 15
2012-10-28 @ Vllaznia L 0-133.4 1127 1260 11.97% 21.89% 66.14%-1.20 -4.7 6
2012-10-28 Teuta D 1-154.7 1182 1247 45.16% 25.43% 29.41%+0.27 -1.1 12
2012-10-28 @ Kukesi D 1-154.7 1247 1182 29.41% 25.43% 45.16%-0.27 +1.1 11
2012-11-03 Apolonia D 0-050.0 1122 1039 61.80% 23.12% 15.08%+0.97 -3.9 7
2012-11-03 @ Shkumbini D 0-050.0 1039 1122 15.08% 23.12% 61.80%-0.97 +3.9 5
2012-11-03 Kastrioti W 3-028.4 1310 1204 63.85% 22.58% 13.57%+1.07 +14.6 12
2012-11-03 @ Flamurtari L 0-328.4 1204 1310 13.57% 22.58% 63.85%-1.07 -14.6 12
2012-11-03 Luftetari W 3-029.7 1190 1144 58.18% 23.91% 17.90%+0.79 +19.0 14
2012-11-03 @ Laci L 0-329.7 1144 1190 17.90% 23.91% 58.18%-0.79 -19.0 7
2012-11-03 Skenderbeu D 1-155.9 1217 1438 24.73% 25.05% 50.23%-0.46 +1.8 15
2012-11-03 @ Besa D 1-155.9 1438 1217 50.23% 25.05% 24.73%+0.46 -1.8 21
2012-11-04 Bylis D 0-049.3 1072 1236 31.49% 25.53% 42.98%-0.19 +0.9 4
2012-11-04 @ Tomori D 0-049.3 1236 1072 42.98% 25.53% 31.49%+0.19 -0.9 12
2012-11-04 Kukesi L 1-255.4 1288 1181 63.99% 22.54% 13.47%+1.08 -18.9 13
2012-11-04 @ KF Tirana W 2-155.4 1181 1288 13.47% 22.54% 63.99%-1.08 +18.9 15
2012-11-04 Vllaznia W 1-038.1 1248 1265 51.35% 24.93% 23.72%+0.50 +8.9 14
2012-11-04 @ Teuta L 0-138.1 1265 1248 23.72% 24.93% 51.35%-0.50 -8.9 15
2012-11-10 Kastrioti W 2-035.6 1125 1190 45.26% 25.42% 29.32%+0.27 +19.9 10
2012-11-10 @ Luftetari L 0-235.6 1190 1125 29.32% 25.42% 45.26%-0.27 -19.9 12
2012-11-10 KF Tirana L 0-146.6 1256 1269 51.68% 24.89% 23.43%+0.51 -16.5 15
2012-11-10 @ Vllaznia W 1-046.6 1269 1256 23.43% 24.89% 51.68%-0.51 +16.5 16
2012-11-10 Shkumbini W 2-029.8 1235 1118 64.81% 22.30% 12.89%+1.13 +9.5 15
2012-11-10 @ Bylis L 0-229.8 1118 1235 12.89% 22.30% 64.81%-1.13 -9.6 7
2012-11-10 Teuta L 1-244.4 1043 1257 25.44% 25.12% 49.44%-0.43 -8.9 5
2012-11-10 @ Apolonia W 2-144.4 1257 1043 49.44% 25.12% 25.44%+0.43 +8.9 17
2012-11-14 Besa W 3-032.0 1200 1219 51.00% 24.97% 24.04%+0.49 +24.6 18
2012-11-14 @ Kukesi L 0-332.0 1219 1200 24.04% 24.97% 51.00%-0.49 -24.6 15
2012-11-14 Tomori W 4-346.3 1209 1073 66.38% 21.81% 11.81%+1.22 +4.0 17
2012-11-14 @ Laci L 3-446.3 1073 1209 11.81% 21.81% 66.38%-1.22 -4.0 4
2012-11-17 Bylis W 3-030.8 1266 1245 55.60% 24.36% 20.04%+0.68 +21.0 20
2012-11-17 @ Teuta L 0-330.8 1245 1266 20.04% 24.36% 55.60%-0.68 -21.0 15
2012-11-17 Kukesi W 2-030.7 1325 1224 63.40% 22.71% 13.90%+1.05 +10.3 15
2012-11-17 @ Flamurtari L 0-230.7 1224 1325 13.90% 22.71% 63.40%-1.05 -10.3 18
2012-11-17 Luftetari D 1-154.5 1069 1145 43.74% 25.50% 30.76%+0.22 -0.9 5
2012-11-17 @ Tomori D 1-154.5 1145 1069 30.76% 25.50% 43.74%-0.22 +0.9 11
2012-11-18 Apolonia W 2-026.8 1286 1034 74.63% 18.45% 6.92%+1.76 +4.9 19
2012-11-18 @ KF Tirana L 0-226.8 1034 1286 6.92% 18.45% 74.63%-1.76 -4.9 5
2012-11-18 Laci D 1-154.5 1109 1213 39.92% 25.62% 34.46%+0.09 -0.4 8
2012-11-18 @ Shkumbini D 1-154.5 1213 1109 34.46% 25.62% 39.92%-0.09 +0.4 18
2012-11-18 Skenderbeu L 1-243.5 1170 1436 20.17% 24.39% 55.44%-0.67 -7.3 12
2012-11-18 @ Kastrioti W 2-143.5 1436 1170 55.44% 24.39% 20.17%+0.67 +7.3 24
2012-11-18 Vllaznia D 0-049.6 1194 1239 47.82% 25.26% 26.93%+0.37 -1.6 16
2012-11-18 @ Besa D 0-049.6 1239 1194 26.93% 25.26% 47.82%-0.37 +1.6 16
2012-11-21 Flamurtari W 3-139.0 1443 1335 64.04% 22.53% 13.44%+1.08 +8.6 27
2012-11-21 @ Skenderbeu L 1-339.0 1335 1443 13.44% 22.53% 64.04%-1.08 -8.6 15
2012-11-24 Flamurtari D 3-364.5 1241 1327 42.47% 25.55% 31.98%+0.18 -0.4 17
2012-11-24 @ Vllaznia D 3-364.5 1327 1241 31.98% 25.55% 42.47%-0.18 +0.4 16
2012-11-24 Kastrioti W 2-141.7 1214 1163 58.73% 23.81% 17.47%+0.82 +6.4 21
2012-11-24 @ Kukesi L 1-241.7 1163 1214 17.47% 23.81% 58.73%-0.82 -6.4 12
2012-11-24 KF Tirana W 1-040.1 1224 1291 45.00% 25.44% 29.56%+0.26 +10.6 18
2012-11-24 @ Bylis L 0-140.1 1291 1224 29.56% 25.44% 45.00%-0.26 -10.6 19
2012-11-24 Shkumbini D 0-049.3 1068 1108 48.37% 25.21% 26.42%+0.39 -1.7 6
2012-11-24 @ Tomori D 0-049.3 1108 1068 26.42% 25.21% 48.37%-0.39 +1.7 9
2012-11-25 Besa W 2-149.7 1029 1193 31.63% 25.54% 42.83%-0.19 +13.3 8
2012-11-25 @ Apolonia L 1-249.7 1193 1029 42.83% 25.54% 31.63%+0.19 -13.3 16
2012-11-25 Skenderbeu L 0-136.1 1146 1452 16.79% 23.63% 59.58%-0.86 -6.5 11
2012-11-25 @ Luftetari W 1-036.1 1452 1146 59.58% 23.63% 16.79%+0.86 +6.5 30
2012-11-25 Teuta W 1-040.3 1213 1287 44.03% 25.49% 30.48%+0.23 +10.9 21
2012-11-25 @ Laci L 0-140.3 1287 1213 30.48% 25.49% 44.03%-0.23 -10.9 20
2012-12-01 Kukesi W 2-028.6 1459 1220 73.77% 18.86% 7.37%+1.70 +5.3 33
2012-12-01 @ Skenderbeu L 0-228.6 1220 1459 7.37% 18.86% 73.77%-1.70 -5.3 21
2012-12-01 Luftetari W 2-144.2 1110 1139 49.82% 25.09% 25.10%+0.44 +8.8 12
2012-12-01 @ Shkumbini L 1-244.2 1139 1110 25.10% 25.09% 49.82%-0.44 -8.8 11
2012-12-01 Tomori W 3-133.6 1276 1066 71.91% 19.71% 8.38%+1.56 +5.3 23
2012-12-01 @ Teuta L 1-333.6 1066 1276 8.38% 19.71% 71.91%-1.56 -5.3 6
2012-12-01 Vllaznia W 3-251.4 1156 1241 42.66% 25.54% 31.80%+0.18 +10.0 15
2012-12-01 @ Kastrioti L 2-351.4 1241 1156 31.80% 25.54% 42.66%-0.18 -10.1 17
2012-12-02 Apolonia W 3-132.2 1327 1042 76.62% 17.44% 5.94%+1.91 +3.6 19
2012-12-02 @ Flamurtari L 1-332.2 1042 1327 5.94% 17.44% 76.62%-1.91 -3.6 8
2012-12-02 Bylis L 1-346.8 1179 1235 46.51% 25.35% 28.14%+0.32 -24.6 16
2012-12-02 @ Besa W 3-146.8 1235 1179 28.14% 25.35% 46.51%-0.32 +24.7 21
2012-12-02 Laci W 2-141.8 1280 1224 59.23% 23.70% 17.06%+0.84 +6.3 22
2012-12-02 @ KF Tirana L 1-241.8 1224 1280 17.06% 23.70% 59.23%-0.84 -6.3 21
2013-02-08 Vllaznia L 0-152.6 1464 1230 73.44% 19.02% 7.54%+1.67 -22.4 33
2013-02-08 @ Skenderbeu W 1-052.6 1230 1464 7.54% 19.02% 73.44%-1.67 +22.4 20
2013-02-09 Laci L 1-250.6 1155 1218 45.50% 25.41% 29.09%+0.28 -14.0 16
2013-02-09 @ Besa W 2-150.6 1218 1155 29.09% 25.41% 45.50%-0.28 +14.0 24
2013-02-10 Apolonia W 4-132.2 1166 1039 65.67% 22.04% 12.29%+1.18 +11.2 18
2013-02-10 @ Kastrioti L 1-432.2 1039 1166 12.29% 22.04% 65.67%-1.18 -11.2 8
2013-02-10 Kukesi L 1-345.6 1130 1215 42.62% 25.54% 31.84%+0.18 -22.9 11
2013-02-10 @ Luftetari W 3-145.6 1215 1130 31.84% 25.54% 42.62%-0.18 +22.9 24
2013-02-10 Shkumbini W 3-026.7 1282 1119 68.47% 21.09% 10.44%+1.34 +11.2 26
2013-02-10 @ Teuta L 0-326.7 1119 1282 10.44% 21.09% 68.47%-1.34 -11.2 12
2013-02-10 Tomori W 1-031.3 1287 1061 72.95% 19.24% 7.81%+1.64 +3.0 25
2013-02-10 @ KF Tirana L 0-131.3 1061 1287 7.81% 19.24% 72.95%-1.64 -3.0 6
2013-02-13 Bylis W 3-029.7 1331 1259 60.70% 23.38% 15.92%+0.91 +17.0 22
2013-02-13 @ Flamurtari L 0-329.7 1259 1331 15.92% 23.38% 60.70%-0.91 -17.0 21
2013-02-16 Besa W 1-040.2 1058 1141 42.83% 25.54% 31.64%+0.19 +11.2 9
2013-02-16 @ Tomori L 0-140.2 1141 1058 31.64% 25.54% 42.83%-0.19 -11.2 16
2013-02-16 Kukesi W 1-037.0 1253 1238 54.93% 24.47% 20.60%+0.65 +7.9 23
2013-02-16 @ Vllaznia L 0-137.0 1238 1253 20.60% 24.47% 54.93%-0.65 -7.9 24
2013-02-16 Luftetari W 2-028.2 1293 1107 70.15% 20.44% 9.41%+1.45 +6.9 29
2013-02-16 @ Teuta L 0-228.2 1107 1293 9.41% 20.44% 70.15%-1.45 -6.9 11
2013-02-17 Flamurtari L 1-249.1 1232 1348 38.22% 25.64% 36.14%+0.03 -12.2 24
2013-02-17 @ Laci W 2-149.1 1348 1232 36.14% 25.64% 38.22%-0.03 +12.2 25
2013-02-17 Kastrioti D 0-050.0 1242 1177 60.07% 23.52% 16.41%+0.88 -3.6 22
2013-02-17 @ Bylis D 0-050.0 1177 1242 16.41% 23.52% 60.07%-0.88 +3.6 19
2013-02-17 KF Tirana W 1-044.5 1108 1290 29.29% 25.42% 45.28%-0.27 +14.8 15
2013-02-17 @ Shkumbini L 0-144.5 1290 1108 45.28% 25.42% 29.29%+0.27 -14.8 25
2013-02-17 Skenderbeu L 0-132.8 1028 1441 10.23% 20.96% 68.81%-1.36 -4.0 8
2013-02-17 @ Apolonia W 1-032.8 1441 1028 68.81% 20.96% 10.23%+1.36 +4.0 36
2013-02-23 Apolonia W 1-031.6 1230 1024 71.63% 19.83% 8.54%+1.55 +3.3 27
2013-02-23 @ Kukesi L 0-131.6 1024 1230 8.54% 19.83% 71.63%-1.55 -3.3 8
2013-02-23 Laci W 2-144.7 1181 1220 48.65% 25.19% 26.16%+0.40 +9.1 22
2013-02-23 @ Kastrioti L 1-244.7 1220 1181 26.16% 25.19% 48.65%-0.40 -9.1 24
2013-02-23 Teuta D 1-155.3 1275 1300 50.31% 25.04% 24.65%+0.46 -1.8 26
2013-02-23 @ KF Tirana D 1-155.3 1300 1275 24.65% 25.04% 50.31%-0.46 +1.8 30
2013-02-23 Tomori W 5-231.2 1360 1069 76.99% 17.24% 5.77%+1.94 +4.3 28
2013-02-23 @ Flamurtari L 2-531.2 1069 1360 5.77% 17.24% 76.99%-1.94 -4.3 9
2013-02-23 Vllaznia W 2-149.6 1100 1261 32.06% 25.55% 42.38%-0.17 +13.2 14
2013-02-23 @ Luftetari L 1-249.6 1261 1100 42.38% 25.55% 32.06%+0.17 -13.2 23
2013-02-24 Bylis W 3-027.2 1445 1239 71.66% 19.81% 8.52%+1.55 +9.0 39
2013-02-24 @ Skenderbeu L 0-327.2 1239 1445 8.52% 19.81% 71.66%-1.55 -9.0 22
2013-02-24 Shkumbini D 1-154.7 1129 1122 54.05% 24.59% 21.36%+0.61 -2.3 17
2013-02-24 @ Besa D 1-154.7 1122 1129 21.36% 24.59% 54.05%-0.61 +2.3 16
2013-03-01 Skenderbeu L 0-234.7 1210 1454 22.30% 24.74% 52.96%-0.57 -15.9 24
2013-03-01 @ Laci W 2-034.7 1454 1210 52.96% 24.74% 22.30%+0.57 +15.9 42
2013-03-02 Besa W 1-032.5 1302 1127 69.34% 20.76% 9.90%+1.40 +3.9 33
2013-03-02 @ Teuta L 0-132.5 1127 1302 9.90% 20.76% 69.34%-1.40 -3.9 17
2013-03-02 Flamurtari L 0-331.7 1125 1364 22.77% 24.80% 52.43%-0.54 -23.5 16
2013-03-02 @ Shkumbini W 3-031.7 1364 1125 52.43% 24.80% 22.77%+0.54 +23.5 31
2013-03-02 Kukesi W 3-031.5 1230 1233 52.83% 24.75% 22.42%+0.56 +23.2 25
2013-03-02 @ Bylis L 0-331.5 1233 1230 22.42% 24.75% 52.83%-0.56 -23.2 27
2013-03-02 Luftetari W 2-138.8 1273 1114 68.20% 21.18% 10.61%+1.32 +3.9 29
2013-03-02 @ KF Tirana L 1-238.8 1114 1273 10.61% 21.18% 68.20%-1.32 -3.9 14
2013-03-03 Kastrioti L 1-247.9 1065 1190 36.86% 25.64% 37.50%-0.01 -11.8 9
2013-03-03 @ Tomori W 2-147.9 1190 1065 37.50% 25.64% 36.86%+0.01 +11.9 25
2013-03-03 Vllaznia L 1-339.8 1020 1248 24.04% 24.97% 50.99%-0.49 -14.7 8
2013-03-03 @ Apolonia W 3-139.8 1248 1020 50.99% 24.97% 24.04%+0.49 +14.7 26
2013-03-09 Apolonia W 3-244.9 1110 1006 63.68% 22.63% 13.69%+1.07 +4.8 17
2013-03-09 @ Luftetari L 2-344.9 1006 1110 13.69% 22.63% 63.68%-1.07 -4.8 8
2013-03-09 Shkumbini W 1-034.1 1202 1101 63.38% 22.71% 13.91%+1.05 +5.5 28
2013-03-09 @ Kastrioti L 0-134.1 1101 1202 13.91% 22.71% 63.38%-1.05 -5.5 16
2013-03-09 Tomori W 4-233.9 1470 1053 83.44% 13.40% 3.16%+2.54 +1.6 45
2013-03-09 @ Skenderbeu L 2-433.9 1053 1470 3.16% 13.40% 83.44%-2.54 -1.6 9
2013-03-10 Bylis W 1-037.3 1262 1253 54.31% 24.56% 21.13%+0.62 +8.0 29
2013-03-10 @ Vllaznia L 0-137.3 1253 1262 21.13% 24.56% 54.31%-0.62 -8.0 25
2013-03-10 KF Tirana W 2-149.4 1123 1277 32.96% 25.58% 41.46%-0.14 +13.0 20
2013-03-10 @ Besa L 1-249.4 1277 1123 41.46% 25.58% 32.96%+0.14 -13.0 29
2013-03-10 Laci W 2-142.8 1210 1195 54.99% 24.46% 20.55%+0.65 +7.4 30
2013-03-10 @ Kukesi L 1-242.8 1195 1210 20.55% 24.46% 54.99%-0.65 -7.4 24
2013-03-10 Teuta D 1-156.9 1388 1305 61.72% 23.14% 15.14%+0.96 -3.5 32
2013-03-10 @ Flamurtari D 1-156.9 1305 1388 15.14% 23.14% 61.72%-0.96 +3.5 34
2013-03-16 Flamurtari L 3-550.0 1264 1384 37.61% 25.64% 36.75%+0.01 -17.6 29
2013-03-16 @ KF Tirana W 5-350.0 1384 1264 36.75% 25.64% 37.61%-0.01 +17.6 35
2013-03-16 Kastrioti W 1-034.5 1309 1207 63.45% 22.69% 13.86%+1.05 +5.5 37
2013-03-16 @ Teuta L 0-134.5 1207 1309 13.86% 22.69% 63.45%-1.05 -5.5 28
2013-03-17 Apolonia W 3-024.8 1245 1001 74.12% 18.70% 7.18%+1.72 +7.5 28
2013-03-17 @ Bylis L 0-324.8 1001 1245 7.18% 18.70% 74.12%-1.72 -7.5 8
2013-03-17 Kukesi L 2-541.1 1051 1218 31.26% 25.52% 43.21%-0.20 -22.2 9
2013-03-17 @ Tomori W 5-241.1 1218 1051 43.21% 25.52% 31.26%+0.20 +22.2 33
2013-03-17 Luftetari W 2-032.4 1136 1115 55.66% 24.35% 19.99%+0.68 +14.4 23
2013-03-17 @ Besa L 0-232.4 1115 1136 19.99% 24.35% 55.66%-0.68 -14.4 17
2013-03-17 Skenderbeu L 0-134.0 1096 1472 12.17% 21.98% 65.84%-1.19 -4.8 16
2013-03-17 @ Shkumbini W 1-034.0 1472 1096 65.84% 21.98% 12.17%+1.19 +4.8 48
2013-03-17 Vllaznia W 2-146.6 1187 1270 42.82% 25.54% 31.65%+0.19 +10.6 27
2013-03-17 @ Laci L 1-246.6 1270 1187 31.65% 25.54% 42.82%-0.19 -10.6 29
2013-03-30 Besa D 0-052.0 1402 1151 74.58% 18.48% 6.95%+1.75 -5.8 36
2013-03-30 @ Flamurtari D 0-052.0 1151 1402 6.95% 18.48% 74.58%-1.75 +5.8 24
2013-03-30 Bylis D 1-154.5 1100 1252 33.16% 25.59% 41.25%-0.13 +0.5 18
2013-03-30 @ Luftetari D 1-154.5 1252 1100 41.25% 25.59% 33.16%+0.13 -0.5 29
2013-03-30 Laci D 1-154.5 993 1198 26.59% 25.23% 48.18%-0.38 +1.5 9
2013-03-30 @ Apolonia D 1-154.5 1198 993 48.18% 25.23% 26.59%+0.38 -1.5 28
2013-03-30 Shkumbini W 5-130.3 1240 1091 67.38% 21.47% 11.14%+1.27 +13.0 36
2013-03-30 @ Kukesi L 1-530.3 1091 1240 11.14% 21.47% 67.38%-1.27 -13.0 16
2013-03-30 Teuta D 0-054.0 1477 1314 68.44% 21.10% 10.46%+1.34 -4.9 49
2013-03-30 @ Skenderbeu D 0-054.0 1314 1477 10.46% 21.10% 68.44%-1.34 +4.9 38
2013-03-31 KF Tirana L 0-339.3 1202 1246 47.92% 25.25% 26.83%+0.37 -42.4 28
2013-03-31 @ Kastrioti W 3-039.3 1246 1202 26.83% 25.25% 47.92%-0.37 +42.4 32
2013-03-31 Tomori W 2-137.2 1260 1029 73.27% 19.10% 7.63%+1.66 +2.8 32
2013-03-31 @ Vllaznia L 1-237.2 1029 1260 7.63% 19.10% 73.27%-1.66 -2.8 9
2013-04-06 Kastrioti W 2-033.3 1156 1160 52.89% 24.75% 22.36%+0.56 +15.9 27
2013-04-06 @ Besa L 0-233.3 1160 1156 22.36% 24.75% 52.89%-0.56 -15.9 28
2013-04-07 Apolonia W 1-036.0 1026 995 56.69% 24.18% 19.13%+0.72 +7.4 12
2013-04-07 @ Tomori L 0-136.0 995 1026 19.13% 24.18% 56.69%-0.72 -7.4 9
2013-04-07 Bylis W 3-141.4 1196 1252 46.49% 25.35% 28.16%+0.32 +16.7 31
2013-04-07 @ Laci L 1-341.4 1252 1196 28.16% 25.35% 46.49%-0.32 -16.7 29
2013-04-07 Kukesi D 1-155.8 1319 1253 60.23% 23.49% 16.28%+0.89 -3.2 39
2013-04-07 @ Teuta D 1-155.8 1253 1319 16.28% 23.49% 60.23%-0.89 +3.2 37
2013-04-07 Luftetari W 3-024.3 1396 1101 77.24% 17.11% 5.66%+1.96 +5.7 39
2013-04-07 @ Flamurtari L 0-324.3 1101 1396 5.66% 17.11% 77.24%-1.96 -5.7 18
2013-04-07 Skenderbeu W 1-047.1 1289 1472 29.14% 25.41% 45.45%-0.28 +14.8 35
2013-04-07 @ KF Tirana L 0-147.1 1472 1289 45.45% 25.41% 29.14%+0.28 -14.8 49
2013-04-07 Vllaznia W 1-044.5 1078 1262 28.97% 25.40% 45.63%-0.29 +14.9 19
2013-04-07 @ Shkumbini L 0-144.5 1262 1078 45.63% 25.40% 28.97%+0.29 -14.9 32
2013-04-12 Laci L 0-336.2 1095 1213 37.95% 25.64% 36.41%+0.03 -35.2 18
2013-04-12 @ Luftetari W 3-036.2 1213 1095 36.41% 25.64% 37.95%-0.03 +35.2 34
2013-04-12 Tomori W 4-130.6 1235 1034 71.29% 19.98% 8.74%+1.52 +7.8 32
2013-04-12 @ Bylis L 1-430.6 1034 1235 8.74% 19.98% 71.29%-1.52 -7.8 12
2013-04-13 Besa W 2-027.3 1457 1172 76.61% 17.44% 5.95%+1.91 +4.2 52
2013-04-13 @ Skenderbeu L 0-227.3 1172 1457 5.95% 17.44% 76.61%-1.91 -4.2 27
2013-04-13 Flamurtari W 3-041.4 1144 1402 20.94% 24.52% 54.54%-0.63 +47.4 31
2013-04-13 @ Kastrioti L 0-341.4 1402 1144 54.54% 24.52% 20.94%+0.63 -47.5 39
2013-04-13 KF Tirana W 2-145.6 1256 1303 47.52% 25.28% 27.20%+0.36 +9.4 40
2013-04-13 @ Kukesi L 1-245.6 1303 1256 27.20% 25.28% 47.52%-0.36 -9.4 35
2013-04-13 Shkumbini D 1-154.4 988 1093 39.74% 25.62% 34.64%+0.08 -0.3 10
2013-04-13 @ Apolonia D 1-154.4 1093 988 34.64% 25.62% 39.74%-0.08 +0.3 20
2013-04-14 Teuta W 2-036.4 1248 1316 44.80% 25.45% 29.75%+0.26 +20.1 35
2013-04-14 @ Vllaznia L 0-236.4 1316 1248 29.75% 25.45% 44.80%-0.26 -20.1 39
2013-04-20 Bylis W 2-149.2 1093 1243 33.49% 25.60% 40.91%-0.12 +12.8 23
2013-04-20 @ Shkumbini L 1-249.2 1243 1093 40.91% 25.60% 33.49%+0.12 -12.8 32
2013-04-20 Laci W 2-041.8 1026 1248 24.57% 25.03% 50.40%-0.46 +30.5 15
2013-04-20 @ Tomori L 0-241.8 1248 1026 50.40% 25.03% 24.57%+0.46 -30.5 34
2013-04-20 Vllaznia W 1-036.9 1294 1268 56.16% 24.27% 19.57%+0.70 +7.5 38
2013-04-20 @ KF Tirana L 0-136.9 1268 1294 19.57% 24.27% 56.16%-0.70 -7.5 35
2013-04-21 Apolonia W 2-135.8 1296 987 77.99% 16.70% 5.31%+2.02 +1.8 42
2013-04-21 @ Teuta L 1-235.8 987 1296 5.31% 16.70% 77.99%-2.02 -1.8 10
2013-04-21 Kukesi L 0-239.3 1168 1265 40.89% 25.60% 33.52%+0.12 -25.7 27
2013-04-21 @ Besa W 2-039.3 1265 1168 33.52% 25.60% 40.89%-0.12 +25.7 43
2013-04-21 Luftetari W 1-033.3 1191 1060 65.99% 21.94% 12.07%+1.19 +4.8 34
2013-04-21 @ Kastrioti L 0-133.3 1060 1191 12.07% 21.94% 65.99%-1.19 -4.7 18
2013-04-21 Skenderbeu W 1-045.2 1354 1461 39.52% 25.62% 34.86%+0.08 +12.1 42
2013-04-21 @ Flamurtari L 0-145.2 1461 1354 34.86% 25.62% 39.52%-0.08 -12.1 52
2013-04-26 Kastrioti W 2-028.0 1449 1196 74.71% 18.41% 6.88%+1.76 +4.9 55
2013-04-26 @ Skenderbeu L 0-228.0 1196 1449 6.88% 18.41% 74.71%-1.76 -4.9 34
2013-04-27 Besa L 0-149.4 1260 1143 64.85% 22.29% 12.86%+1.13 -20.2 35
2013-04-27 @ Vllaznia W 1-049.4 1143 1260 12.86% 22.29% 64.85%-1.13 +20.2 30
2013-04-27 Flamurtari W 6-138.1 1291 1366 43.88% 25.49% 30.63%+0.22 +39.9 46
2013-04-27 @ Kukesi L 1-638.1 1366 1291 30.63% 25.49% 43.88%-0.22 -39.9 42
2013-04-27 KF Tirana D 0-049.9 985 1302 16.04% 23.42% 60.54%-0.90 +3.7 11
2013-04-27 @ Apolonia D 0-049.9 1302 985 60.54% 23.42% 16.04%+0.90 -3.7 39
2013-04-27 Shkumbini W 1-033.9 1218 1106 64.33% 22.44% 13.22%+1.10 +5.2 37
2013-04-27 @ Laci L 0-133.9 1106 1218 13.22% 22.44% 64.33%-1.10 -5.2 23
2013-04-27 Teuta L 1-250.8 1230 1298 44.89% 25.44% 29.67%+0.26 -13.8 32
2013-04-27 @ Bylis W 2-150.8 1298 1230 29.67% 25.44% 44.89%-0.26 +13.8 45
2013-04-27 Tomori D 2-260.6 1055 1056 53.11% 24.72% 22.17%+0.57 -1.6 19
2013-04-27 @ Luftetari D 2-260.6 1056 1055 22.17% 24.72% 53.11%-0.57 +1.6 16
2013-05-03 Laci W 1-034.9 1312 1223 62.31% 22.99% 14.70%+0.99 +5.8 48
2013-05-03 @ Teuta L 0-134.9 1223 1312 14.70% 22.99% 62.31%-0.99 -5.8 37
2013-05-04 Apolonia D 1-155.8 1163 989 69.30% 20.78% 9.93%+1.39 -4.5 31
2013-05-04 @ Besa D 1-155.8 989 1163 9.93% 20.78% 69.30%-1.39 +4.5 12
2013-05-04 Bylis W 2-141.1 1298 1216 61.67% 23.15% 15.17%+0.96 +5.6 42
2013-05-04 @ KF Tirana L 1-241.1 1216 1298 15.17% 23.15% 61.67%-0.96 -5.6 32
2013-05-04 Kukesi L 0-335.7 1191 1331 34.83% 25.62% 39.55%-0.08 -33.0 34
2013-05-04 @ Kastrioti W 3-035.7 1331 1191 39.55% 25.62% 34.83%+0.08 +33.0 49
2013-05-04 Luftetari W 1-028.7 1454 1053 82.67% 13.90% 3.43%+2.46 +1.2 58
2013-05-04 @ Skenderbeu L 0-128.7 1053 1454 3.43% 13.90% 82.67%-2.46 -1.2 19
2013-05-04 Tomori W 2-141.8 1101 1058 57.89% 23.97% 18.14%+0.78 +6.6 26
2013-05-04 @ Shkumbini L 1-241.8 1058 1101 18.14% 23.97% 57.89%-0.78 -6.6 16
2013-05-04 Vllaznia W 3-137.1 1326 1240 62.11% 23.04% 14.85%+0.98 +9.5 45
2013-05-04 @ Flamurtari L 1-337.1 1240 1326 14.85% 23.04% 62.11%-0.98 -9.5 35
2013-05-09 Teuta W 4-146.0 1051 1317 20.19% 24.39% 55.41%-0.67 +40.6 19
2013-05-09 @ Tomori L 1-446.0 1317 1051 55.41% 24.39% 20.19%+0.67 -40.6 48
2013-05-10 KF Tirana D 0-049.7 1217 1304 42.35% 25.55% 32.09%+0.17 -0.8 38
2013-05-10 @ Laci D 0-049.7 1304 1217 32.09% 25.55% 42.35%-0.17 +0.8 43
2013-05-11 Besa D 1-155.1 1211 1158 58.83% 23.78% 17.38%+0.82 -3.0 33
2013-05-11 @ Bylis D 1-155.1 1158 1211 17.38% 23.78% 58.83%-0.82 +3.0 32
2013-05-11 Flamurtari D 0-050.1 994 1336 14.22% 22.83% 62.95%-1.03 +4.1 13
2013-05-11 @ Apolonia D 0-050.1 1336 994 62.95% 22.83% 14.22%+1.03 -4.1 46
2013-05-11 Kastrioti W 2-031.0 1230 1158 60.80% 23.36% 15.84%+0.92 +11.7 38
2013-05-11 @ Vllaznia L 0-231.0 1158 1230 15.84% 23.36% 60.80%-0.92 -11.7 34
2013-05-11 Shkumbini L 1-250.7 1052 1107 46.52% 25.35% 28.13%+0.32 -14.2 19
2013-05-11 @ Luftetari W 2-150.7 1107 1052 28.13% 25.35% 46.52%-0.32 +14.2 29
2013-05-11 Skenderbeu W 4-357.7 1364 1455 41.70% 25.57% 32.73%+0.15 +10.0 52
2013-05-11 @ Kukesi L 3-457.7 1455 1364 32.73% 25.57% 41.70%-0.15 -10.0 58

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2013-02-08 7.54% Vllaznia 1230 1 @ Skenderbeu 1464 0
2 2012-08-31 11.90% Laci 1197 1 @ Flamurtari 1332 0
3 2013-04-27 12.86% Besa 1143 1 @ Vllaznia 1260 0
4 2012-11-04 13.47% Kukesi 1181 2 @ KF Tirana 1288 1
5 2013-05-09 20.19% @ Tomori 1051 4 Teuta 1317 1
6 2013-04-13 20.94% @ Kastrioti 1144 3 Flamurtari 1402 0
7 2012-10-07 21.13% Besa 1192 2 @ Luftetari 1202 0
8 2012-11-10 23.43% KF Tirana 1269 1 @ Vllaznia 1256 0
9 2013-04-20 24.57% @ Tomori 1026 2 Laci 1248 0
10 2013-03-31 26.83% KF Tirana 1246 3 @ Kastrioti 1202 0
11 2012-09-29 26.96% Vllaznia 1238 1 @ Bylis 1193 0
12 2013-05-11 28.13% Shkumbini 1107 2 @ Luftetari 1052 1
13 2012-12-02 28.14% Bylis 1235 3 @ Besa 1179 1
14 2012-10-07 28.64% Teuta 1255 1 @ Kastrioti 1196 0
15 2013-04-07 28.97% @ Shkumbini 1078 1 Vllaznia 1262 0
16 2013-02-09 29.09% Laci 1218 2 @ Besa 1155 1
17 2013-04-07 29.14% @ KF Tirana 1289 1 Skenderbeu 1472 0
18 2012-09-29 29.15% Luftetari 1161 3 @ Apolonia 1097 0
19 2013-02-17 29.29% @ Shkumbini 1108 1 KF Tirana 1290 0
20 2013-04-27 29.67% Teuta 1298 2 @ Bylis 1230 1
21 2012-11-25 31.63% @ Apolonia 1029 2 Besa 1193 1
22 2013-02-10 31.84% Kukesi 1215 3 @ Luftetari 1130 1
23 2013-02-23 32.06% @ Luftetari 1100 2 Vllaznia 1261 1
24 2013-03-10 32.96% @ Besa 1123 2 KF Tirana 1277 1
25 2013-04-20 33.49% @ Shkumbini 1093 2 Bylis 1243 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2013-04-13 47.45 @ Kastrioti 3 1144 20.94% Flamurtari 0 1402 54.54% 24.52%
2 2013-03-31 42.40 KF Tirana 3 1246 26.83% @ Kastrioti 0 1202 47.92% 25.25%
3 2013-05-09 40.59 @ Tomori 4 1051 20.19% Teuta 1 1317 55.41% 24.39%
4 2012-09-29 40.55 Luftetari 3 1161 29.15% @ Apolonia 0 1097 45.44% 25.41%
5 2013-04-27 39.86 @ Kukesi 6 1291 43.88% Flamurtari 1 1366 30.63% 25.49%
6 2013-04-12 35.19 Laci 3 1213 36.41% @ Luftetari 0 1095 37.95% 25.64%
7 2013-05-04 32.99 Kukesi 3 1331 39.55% @ Kastrioti 0 1191 34.83% 25.62%
8 2012-10-07 32.55 Besa 2 1192 21.13% @ Luftetari 0 1202 54.31% 24.56%
9 2012-10-28 31.84 @ Bylis 4 1204 51.27% Laci 0 1222 23.80% 24.94%
10 2013-04-20 30.48 @ Tomori 2 1026 24.57% Laci 0 1248 50.40% 25.03%
11 2012-09-02 29.07 @ Luftetari 4 1165 37.43% Teuta 1 1287 36.93% 25.64%
12 2013-04-21 25.65 Kukesi 2 1265 33.52% @ Besa 0 1168 40.89% 25.60%
13 2012-12-02 24.65 Bylis 3 1235 28.14% @ Besa 1 1179 46.51% 25.35%
14 2012-11-14 24.58 @ Kukesi 3 1200 51.00% Besa 0 1219 24.04% 24.97%
15 2013-03-02 23.48 Flamurtari 3 1364 52.43% @ Shkumbini 0 1125 22.77% 24.80%
16 2013-03-02 23.18 @ Bylis 3 1230 52.83% Kukesi 0 1233 22.42% 24.75%
17 2012-10-21 23.01 Skenderbeu 2 1406 38.94% @ Teuta 0 1270 35.43% 25.63%
18 2013-02-10 22.95 Kukesi 3 1215 31.84% @ Luftetari 1 1130 42.62% 25.54%
19 2013-02-08 22.43 Vllaznia 1 1230 7.54% @ Skenderbeu 0 1464 73.44% 19.02%
20 2012-09-17 22.35 @ Laci 3 1218 53.89% Kastrioti 0 1212 21.49% 24.62%
21 2013-03-17 22.19 Kukesi 5 1218 43.21% @ Tomori 2 1051 31.26% 25.52%
22 2012-11-17 21.02 @ Teuta 3 1266 55.60% Bylis 0 1245 20.04% 24.36%
23 2012-08-31 20.63 Laci 1 1197 11.90% @ Flamurtari 0 1332 66.25% 21.85%
24 2012-09-16 20.49 @ Vllaznia 3 1222 56.28% Luftetari 0 1194 19.47% 24.25%
25 2012-08-24 20.27 Skenderbeu 3 1371 38.12% @ Vllaznia 1 1241 36.24% 25.64%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-11-24 64.5 @ Vllaznia 3 1241 42.47% Flamurtari 3 1327 31.98% 25.55%
2 2013-04-27 60.6 @ Luftetari 2 1055 53.11% Tomori 2 1056 22.17% 24.72%
3 2012-10-21 60.5 @ Tomori 2 1069 28.11% Vllaznia 2 1261 46.54% 25.35%
4 2012-10-27 60.5 @ Apolonia 2 1040 49.68% Tomori 2 1070 25.22% 25.10%
5 2013-05-11 57.7 @ Kukesi 4 1364 41.70% Skenderbeu 3 1455 32.73% 25.57%
6 2013-03-10 56.9 @ Flamurtari 1 1388 61.72% Teuta 1 1305 15.14% 23.14%
7 2012-09-22 56.4 @ Flamurtari 1 1329 71.16% Shkumbini 1 1129 8.81% 20.03%
8 2012-11-03 55.9 @ Besa 1 1217 24.73% Skenderbeu 1 1438 50.23% 25.05%
9 2012-09-29 55.8 @ KF Tirana 1 1303 64.61% Besa 1 1188 13.03% 22.36%
10 2013-04-07 55.8 @ Teuta 1 1319 60.23% Kukesi 1 1253 16.28% 23.49%
11 2013-05-04 55.8 @ Besa 1 1163 69.30% Apolonia 1 989 9.93% 20.78%
12 2012-09-23 55.7 @ Vllaznia 1 1242 67.42% Apolonia 1 1093 11.12% 21.46%
13 2012-10-06 55.7 @ Flamurtari 1 1314 54.86% KF Tirana 1 1299 20.67% 24.48%
14 2012-09-15 55.4 @ Bylis 1 1201 27.84% Skenderbeu 1 1395 46.84% 25.33%
15 2012-11-04 55.4 Kukesi 2 1181 13.47% @ KF Tirana 1 1288 63.99% 22.54%
16 2013-02-23 55.3 @ KF Tirana 1 1275 50.31% Teuta 1 1300 24.65% 25.04%
17 2012-09-14 55.2 @ Teuta 1 1258 49.62% KF Tirana 1 1288 25.28% 25.10%
18 2012-09-30 55.2 @ Laci 1 1228 59.63% Kukesi 1 1168 16.75% 23.62%
19 2013-05-11 55.1 @ Bylis 1 1211 58.83% Besa 1 1158 17.38% 23.78%
20 2012-08-25 55.0 @ Laci 1 1200 56.87% Besa 1 1167 18.98% 24.15%
21 2012-08-26 55.0 @ Bylis 1 1209 37.33% Flamurtari 1 1331 37.03% 25.64%
22 2012-10-28 54.7 @ Kukesi 1 1182 45.16% Teuta 1 1247 29.41% 25.43%
23 2013-02-24 54.7 @ Besa 1 1129 54.05% Shkumbini 1 1122 21.36% 24.59%
24 2012-09-30 54.6 @ Shkumbini 1 1134 45.78% Kastrioti 1 1195 28.83% 25.39%
25 2012-10-20 54.6 @ Shkumbini 1 1128 46.91% Kukesi 1 1180 27.77% 25.32%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2013-04-07 24.3 @ Flamurtari 3 1396 77.24% Luftetari 0 1101 5.66% 17.11%
2 2013-03-17 24.8 @ Bylis 3 1245 74.12% Apolonia 0 1001 7.18% 18.70%
3 2012-08-31 26.4 @ Skenderbeu 2 1391 77.08% Apolonia 0 1098 5.73% 17.19%
4 2013-02-10 26.7 @ Teuta 3 1282 68.47% Shkumbini 0 1119 10.44% 21.09%
5 2012-11-18 26.8 @ KF Tirana 2 1286 74.63% Apolonia 0 1034 6.92% 18.45%
6 2012-10-06 27.0 @ Skenderbeu 2 1401 75.67% Shkumbini 0 1133 6.40% 17.93%
7 2012-09-02 27.1 @ KF Tirana 3 1276 67.15% Shkumbini 0 1131 11.30% 21.55%
8 2013-02-24 27.2 @ Skenderbeu 3 1445 71.66% Bylis 0 1239 8.52% 19.81%
9 2013-04-13 27.3 @ Skenderbeu 2 1457 76.61% Besa 0 1172 5.95% 17.44%
10 2012-09-24 27.9 @ Skenderbeu 3 1394 67.78% Laci 0 1240 10.89% 21.34%
11 2013-04-26 28.0 @ Skenderbeu 2 1449 74.71% Kastrioti 0 1196 6.88% 18.41%
12 2013-02-16 28.2 @ Teuta 2 1293 70.15% Luftetari 0 1107 9.41% 20.44%
13 2012-11-03 28.4 @ Flamurtari 3 1310 63.85% Kastrioti 0 1204 13.57% 22.58%
14 2012-12-01 28.6 @ Skenderbeu 2 1459 73.77% Kukesi 0 1220 7.37% 18.86%
15 2013-05-04 28.7 @ Skenderbeu 1 1454 82.67% Luftetari 0 1053 3.43% 13.90%
16 2012-09-03 29.4 @ Besa 3 1169 58.92% Tomori 0 1116 17.32% 23.77%
17 2012-11-03 29.7 @ Laci 3 1190 58.18% Luftetari 0 1144 17.90% 23.91%
18 2013-02-13 29.7 @ Flamurtari 3 1331 60.70% Bylis 0 1259 15.92% 23.38%
19 2012-11-10 29.8 @ Bylis 2 1235 64.81% Shkumbini 0 1118 12.89% 22.30%
20 2013-03-30 30.3 @ Kukesi 5 1240 67.38% Shkumbini 1 1091 11.14% 21.47%
21 2012-09-16 30.4 @ Vllaznia 3 1222 56.28% Luftetari 0 1194 19.47% 24.25%
22 2013-04-12 30.6 @ Bylis 4 1235 71.29% Tomori 1 1034 8.74% 19.98%
23 2012-11-17 30.7 @ Flamurtari 2 1325 63.40% Kukesi 0 1224 13.90% 22.71%
24 2012-11-17 30.8 @ Teuta 3 1266 55.60% Bylis 0 1245 20.04% 24.36%
25 2013-05-11 31.0 @ Vllaznia 2 1230 60.80% Kastrioti 0 1158 15.84% 23.36%