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2013-14 Kategoria Superiore Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Skenderbeu

61 points · 5th Title

Last Title: 2012-13

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Laci

7.79 points above expected

54 points · 46.21 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Bylis

13.22 points below expected

24 points · 37.22 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Skenderbeu Champion 33 18 7 8 61 52 32 +20 62.46 -1.46
2 Kukesi 33 16 9 8 57 46 34 +12 52.07 +4.93
3 Laci 33 16 6 11 54 41 28 +13 46.21 +7.79
4 Teuta 33 14 12 7 54 46 35 +11 46.35 +7.65
5 Partizani 33 15 8 10 53 33 26 +7 49.39 +3.61
6 KF Tirana 33 14 8 11 50 36 31 +5 42.41 +7.59
7 Flamurtari* 33 14 9 10 48 45 40 +5 45.61 +2.39
8 Vllaznia 33 12 9 12 45 42 36 +6 46.24 -1.24
9 Besa* 33 11 9 13 39 34 32 +2 40.66 -1.66
10 Kastrioti 33 8 5 20 29 26 46 -20 34.85 -5.85
11 Lushnja 33 7 5 21 26 32 59 -27 36.01 -10.01
12 Bylis 33 5 9 19 24 20 54 -34 37.22 -13.22

* Point deductions: Besa (-3 pts), Flamurtari (-3 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Laci 54 46.21 +7.79
2 Teuta 54 46.35 +7.65
3 KF Tirana 50 42.41 +7.59
4 Kukesi 57 52.07 +4.93
5 Partizani 53 49.39 +3.61

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Bylis 24 37.22 -13.22
2 Lushnja 26 36.01 -10.01
3 Kastrioti 29 34.85 -5.85
4 Besa 39 40.66 -1.66
5 Skenderbeu 61 62.46 -1.46

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KF Tirana 6 Mar 29 – Apr 30 1 in 338
2 Vllaznia 5 Mar 23 – Apr 19 1 in 280
3 Kukesi 5 Mar 16 – Apr 13 1 in 69
4 Teuta 4 Apr 26 – May 10 1 in 45
5 Skenderbeu 4 Sep 22 – Oct 6 1 in 32

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bylis 12 Mar 8 – May 10 1 in 869
2 Skenderbeu 3 Mar 30 – Apr 13 1 in 123
3 Lushnja 7 Apr 6 – May 10 1 in 120
4 Laci 3 Mar 23 – Apr 5 1 in 84
5 Kastrioti 6 Apr 13 – May 10 1 in 39

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KF Tirana 9 Mar 22 – May 10 1 in 83
2 Teuta 9 Aug 31 – Oct 26 1 in 51
3 Partizani 9 Feb 15 – Apr 5 1 in 45
4 Laci 6 Apr 12 – May 10 1 in 28
5 Skenderbeu 14 Nov 23 – Mar 22 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bylis 18 Dec 22 – May 10 1 in 292
2 Vllaznia 9 Dec 22 – Mar 16 1 in 46
3 Flamurtari 6 Sep 18 – Oct 18 1 in 29
4 Teuta 7 Feb 8 – Mar 16 1 in 21
5 KF Tirana 9 Oct 27 – Feb 1 1 in 18

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Skenderbeu 1416 61 -18 7 9.1 -2.1
Kukesi 1394 57 +10 8 8.5 -0.5
Laci 1373 54 +85 13 7.0 +6.0
Teuta 1375 54 +68 12 7.1 +4.9
Partizani 1326 53 -2 9 8.0 +1.0
Flamurtari 1348 51 +29 10 8.1 +1.9
KF Tirana 1387 50 +74 13 8.1 +4.9
Vllaznia 1338 45 -13 7 7.4 -0.4
Besa 1300 42 +12 7 7.0 -0.0
Kastrioti 1126 29 -82 0 4.6 -4.6
Lushnja 1106 26 -78 0 4.6 -4.6
Bylis 1008 24 -84 0 3.2 -3.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BES BYL FLA KT KAS KUK LAC LUS PAR SKE TEU VLL
Besa —
2-0-1
4.29
3-0-0
3.73
1-0-2
3.77
1-1-1
5.30
1-1-1
4.13
0-2-1
4.15
1-1-1
5.08
0-0-3
3.23
0-1-2
2.18
1-1-1
3.37
1-2-0
4.06
Bylis
1-0-2
3.96
—
0-2-1
2.75
0-0-3
4.04
1-0-2
4.07
0-2-1
3.12
1-0-2
4.08
0-1-2
4.95
1-1-1
3.27
1-0-2
1.92
0-1-2
2.97
0-2-1
2.87
Flamurtari
0-0-3
4.53
1-2-0
5.56
—
1-2-0
4.73
1-1-1
5.42
1-0-2
3.49
1-1-1
3.67
3-0-0
4.68
1-2-0
4.52
2-0-1
3.56
1-1-1
4.93
2-0-1
3.78
KF Tirana
2-0-1
4.48
3-0-0
4.21
0-2-1
3.51
—
2-1-0
4.51
1-0-2
3.86
1-1-1
4.24
2-0-1
4.89
1-1-1
2.84
1-0-2
2.56
0-2-1
3.15
1-1-1
4.05
Kastrioti
1-1-1
2.98
2-0-1
4.20
1-1-1
2.85
0-1-2
3.74
—
0-0-3
2.60
0-0-3
2.91
2-1-0
4.37
0-0-3
2.91
0-0-3
1.78
1-1-1
2.66
1-0-2
3.38
Kukesi
1-1-1
4.13
1-2-0
5.16
2-0-1
4.76
2-0-1
4.40
3-0-0
5.70
—
2-1-0
4.84
2-0-1
5.68
0-1-2
4.07
1-2-0
2.86
1-1-1
4.98
1-1-1
4.96
Laci
1-2-0
4.10
2-0-1
4.16
1-1-1
4.58
1-1-1
4.02
3-0-0
5.39
0-1-2
3.41
—
2-0-1
5.10
2-0-1
4.27
1-1-1
2.51
2-0-1
4.34
1-0-2
4.63
Lushnja
1-1-1
3.21
2-1-0
3.30
0-0-3
3.57
1-0-2
3.39
0-1-2
3.88
1-0-2
2.62
1-0-2
3.17
—
1-0-2
3.19
0-0-3
2.37
0-1-2
3.45
0-1-2
3.76
Partizani
3-0-0
5.02
1-1-1
4.99
0-2-1
3.72
1-1-1
5.42
3-0-0
5.38
2-1-0
4.17
1-0-2
3.97
2-0-1
5.06
—
0-1-2
3.18
1-1-1
3.72
1-1-1
3.93
Skenderbeu
2-1-0
6.12
2-0-1
6.44
1-0-2
4.69
2-0-1
5.78
3-0-0
6.58
0-2-1
5.41
1-1-1
5.77
3-0-0
5.90
2-1-0
5.08
—
0-2-1
5.12
2-0-1
4.99
Teuta
1-1-1
4.88
2-1-0
5.35
1-1-1
3.32
1-2-0
5.10
1-1-1
5.63
1-1-1
3.27
1-0-2
3.92
2-1-0
4.79
1-1-1
4.52
1-2-0
3.13
—
2-1-0
3.67
Vllaznia
0-2-1
4.17
1-2-0
5.44
1-0-2
4.47
1-1-1
4.19
2-0-1
4.88
1-1-1
3.31
2-0-1
3.65
2-1-0
4.49
1-1-1
4.31
1-0-2
3.28
0-1-2
4.58
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.73 +11.6
Allowed 0.72 -10.5
Differential 0.93 +7.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.38%5.81%4.80%—0.25%33.33%
113.38%11.11%7.07%2.78%0.51%—34.85%
25.81%7.07%3.54%1.52%1.26%0.25%19.44%
34.80%2.78%1.52%0.51%0.25%—9.85%
4—0.51%1.26%0.25%——2.02%
5+0.25%—0.25%———0.51%
Total33.33%34.85%19.44%9.85%2.02%0.51%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.14 +0.00
SD 1.10 1.10 1.57
CV 0.96 0.96 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%24.24%—6.06%——39.39%
112.12%12.12%6.06%3.03%——33.33%
26.06%3.03%6.06%———15.15%
36.06%3.03%————9.09%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total33.33%45.45%12.12%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 0.97 +0.06
SD 1.10 0.92 1.54
CV 1.07 0.95 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%6.06%30.30%——54.55%
112.12%9.09%12.12%———33.33%
2——9.09%———9.09%
33.03%—————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total24.24%18.18%27.27%30.30%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.61 1.64 -1.03
SD 0.79 1.17 1.61
CV 1.30 0.71 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%9.09%6.06%———30.30%
112.12%6.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%—27.27%
26.06%6.06%6.06%3.03%3.03%—24.24%
33.03%6.06%3.03%———12.12%
4——3.03%3.03%——6.06%
5+———————
Total36.36%27.27%21.21%9.09%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.21 +0.15
SD 1.22 1.22 1.44
CV 0.89 1.01 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%12.12%———33.33%
118.18%12.12%9.09%———39.39%
23.03%6.06%3.03%———12.12%
36.06%3.03%6.06%———15.15%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.36%33.33%30.30%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 0.94 +0.15
SD 1.04 0.83 1.35
CV 0.95 0.88 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%30.30%9.09%——3.03%54.55%
13.03%3.03%6.06%6.06%——18.18%
23.03%12.12%—3.03%3.03%—21.21%
33.03%—3.03%———6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.21%45.45%18.18%9.09%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.79 1.39 -0.61
SD 0.99 1.30 1.58
CV 1.26 0.93 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%3.03%3.03%——24.24%
115.15%15.15%6.06%3.03%——39.39%
2—15.15%————15.15%
36.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%——15.15%
4—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
5+———————
Total30.30%45.45%15.15%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.03 +0.36
SD 1.20 0.92 1.41
CV 0.86 0.89 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%6.06%3.03%——27.27%
124.24%6.06%12.12%———42.42%
26.06%6.06%6.06%———18.18%
36.06%3.03%————9.09%
4———————
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total45.45%27.27%24.24%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 0.85 +0.39
SD 1.25 0.91 1.73
CV 1.01 1.07 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%15.15%18.18%3.03%——39.39%
19.09%12.12%3.03%3.03%3.03%—30.30%
26.06%3.03%—3.03%9.09%3.03%24.24%
33.03%———3.03%—6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.21%30.30%21.21%9.09%15.15%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.79 -0.82
SD 0.95 1.54 1.59
CV 0.98 0.86 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%15.15%6.06%3.03%——36.36%
124.24%9.09%3.03%3.03%——39.39%
29.09%3.03%3.03%———15.15%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+———————
Total48.48%30.30%15.15%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 0.79 +0.21
SD 1.03 0.93 1.41
CV 1.03 1.18 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%9.09%————12.12%
115.15%12.12%9.09%3.03%——39.39%
212.12%12.12%3.03%3.03%——30.30%
36.06%6.06%—3.03%——15.15%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+———————
Total36.36%39.39%15.15%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 0.97 +0.61
SD 1.00 0.95 1.30
CV 0.64 0.98 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.06%3.03%6.06%——27.27%
16.06%18.18%6.06%———30.30%
26.06%15.15%6.06%———27.27%
33.03%6.06%3.03%———12.12%
4———————
5+——3.03%———3.03%
Total27.27%45.45%21.21%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.06 +0.33
SD 1.30 0.86 1.49
CV 0.93 0.81 —
Max 6 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%—3.03%——21.21%
19.09%18.18%9.09%9.09%——45.45%
212.12%3.03%—6.06%——21.21%
39.09%—————9.09%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+———————
Total39.39%30.30%12.12%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.09 +0.18
SD 1.01 1.13 1.57
CV 0.79 1.03 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Skenderbeu 1416 61 62.46 -1.46 47.0% 48 52 58 62 66 73 78
Kukesi 1394 57 52.07 +4.93 79.0% 35 41 46 52 57 65 73
KF Tirana 1387 50 42.41 +7.59 92.0% 26 29 37 43 47 54 64
Teuta 1375 54 46.35 +7.65 87.0% 30 35 42 47 50 59 61
Laci 1373 54 46.21 +7.79 93.0% 28 35 42 46 51 56 61
Flamurtari 1348 48 45.61 +2.39 66.0% 31 34 41 45 50 57 59
Vllaznia 1338 45 46.24 -1.24 40.0% 28 34 40 47 51 56 64
Partizani 1326 53 49.39 +3.61 73.0% 36 39 45 48 54 60 66
Besa 1300 39 40.66 -1.66 43.0% 21 29 36 40 45 52 56
Kastrioti 1126 29 34.85 -5.85 19.0% 21 23 31 34 38 44 54
Lushnja 1106 26 36.01 -10.01 11.0% 20 24 31 37 41 46 53
Bylis 1008 24 37.22 -13.22 4.0% 19 25 32 37 43 49 59

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 27% * Slight Edge: 27% to 33% * Clear Edge: 33% to 40% * Strong Edge: 40% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+31.31%
Slight Edge
53.54%24.24%22.22%
Elo Value
Home Edge
210 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0112.57600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.47 goals
Neutral
-2+0.54+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.04 * Tight Race: 0.04 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.8
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
73%
Skenderbeu, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.12/gm
Comfortable
00.220.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.41 * Some Luck: 5.41 to 8.12 * Lucky: 8.12 to 10.82 * Wild Swing: 10.82 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.61 * Close: 1.61 to 2.41 * Off: 2.41 to 3.22 * Way Off: 3.22 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.68 points
Some Luck
06.7617
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
02.015
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
93.00%
Laci
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
4.00%
Bylis
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 77.5% * Wide Edge: 77.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 93% * Strong Edge: 93% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 72.5% * Very Frequent: 72.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 10.5% * Occasional: 10.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Even
00.120.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 134.03
1.66
Moderate Separation
0.91.351.82.153
Interquartile Edge
67%
Slight Edge
50%63.5%72.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
91%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
69%
Frequent
0%66%100%
Blowouts
Expected
12%
Occasional
0%11%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.56 * Notable Separation: 0.56 to 0.62 * Lopsided: 0.62 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14.5% * Upset-Prone: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 18.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 10.5% * As Expected: 10.5% to 12.5% * Shaky Favorites: 12.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.40
Very Even
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.93
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.72
Strong Carryover
00.410.590.731
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Very Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Very Shaky
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.51
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.06
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.072
Well Within Noise
00.1150.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Skenderbeu73.00%19.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%—1.00%—————
Kukesi15.00%23.00%11.00%13.00%12.00%6.00%10.00%3.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%—
Laci1.00%6.00%16.00%17.00%14.00%12.00%10.00%5.00%9.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%
Teuta2.00%12.00%10.00%16.00%9.00%14.00%6.00%13.00%5.00%7.00%4.00%2.00%
Partizani6.00%14.00%20.00%13.00%11.00%16.00%9.00%2.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%—
KF Tirana—6.00%6.00%4.00%13.00%12.00%13.00%11.00%8.00%10.00%9.00%8.00%
Flamurtari—6.00%15.00%5.00%17.00%14.00%11.00%13.00%6.00%8.00%4.00%1.00%
Vllaznia2.00%11.00%13.00%15.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%6.00%8.00%9.00%4.00%2.00%
Besa—3.00%4.00%7.00%6.00%6.00%10.00%10.00%24.00%11.00%11.00%8.00%
Kastrioti———3.00%1.00%6.00%2.00%10.00%8.00%15.00%27.00%28.00%
Lushnja———3.00%—3.00%11.00%8.00%16.00%17.00%16.00%26.00%
Bylis1.00%—1.00%3.00%5.00%1.00%7.00%19.00%7.00%14.00%19.00%23.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Skenderbeu 100% —
Kukesi 93.00% 7.00%
Partizani 91.00% 9.00%
Teuta 82.00% 18.00%
Flamurtari 81.00% 19.00%
Laci 81.00% 19.00%
Vllaznia 77.00% 23.00%
KF Tirana 65.00% 35.00%
Besa 46.00% 54.00%
Bylis 37.00% 63.00%
Lushnja 25.00% 75.00%
Kastrioti 22.00% 78.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2013-08-31 Bylis W 2-143.0 1300 1269 55.35% 24.60% 20.05%+0.68 +8.4 3
2013-08-31 @ Teuta L 1-243.0 1269 1300 20.05% 24.60% 55.35%-0.68 -8.4 0
2013-08-31 Flamurtari L 0-145.2 1284 1329 46.39% 25.46% 28.16%+0.32 -17.4 0
2013-08-31 @ Vllaznia W 1-045.2 1329 1284 28.16% 25.46% 46.39%-0.32 +17.4 3
2013-08-31 Partizani L 0-240.9 1231 1263 48.05% 25.35% 26.60%+0.38 -33.8 0
2013-08-31 @ Kastrioti W 2-040.9 1263 1231 26.60% 25.35% 48.05%-0.38 +33.8 3
2013-09-01 Besa W 1-034.0 1391 1244 66.05% 22.31% 11.64%+1.24 +5.3 3
2013-09-01 @ Skenderbeu L 0-134.0 1244 1391 11.64% 22.31% 66.05%-1.24 -5.3 0
2013-09-01 Laci D 0-050.4 1315 1270 56.81% 24.39% 18.81%+0.75 -3.6 1
2013-09-01 @ KF Tirana D 0-050.4 1270 1315 18.81% 24.39% 56.81%-0.75 +3.6 1
2013-09-04 Kukesi W 1-041.9 1250 1351 38.78% 25.70% 35.52%+0.05 +14.1 3
2013-09-04 @ Lushnja L 0-141.9 1351 1250 35.52% 25.70% 38.78%-0.05 -14.1 0
2013-09-14 Kastrioti W 1-035.3 1261 1197 58.73% 24.06% 17.21%+0.84 +7.8 3
2013-09-14 @ Bylis L 0-135.3 1197 1261 17.21% 24.06% 58.73%-0.84 -7.8 0
2013-09-14 Partizani W 1-038.6 1274 1297 49.15% 25.27% 25.58%+0.43 +10.9 4
2013-09-14 @ Laci L 0-138.6 1297 1274 25.58% 25.27% 49.15%-0.43 -10.9 3
2013-09-14 Vllaznia L 0-342.5 1337 1266 59.41% 23.93% 16.66%+0.87 -59.2 0
2013-09-14 @ Kukesi W 3-042.5 1266 1337 16.66% 23.93% 59.41%-0.87 +59.2 3
2013-09-15 Lushnja W 1-036.3 1311 1264 57.04% 24.35% 18.61%+0.76 +8.3 4
2013-09-15 @ KF Tirana L 0-136.3 1264 1311 18.61% 24.35% 57.04%-0.76 -8.3 3
2013-09-15 Skenderbeu W 2-147.6 1346 1397 45.71% 25.49% 28.80%+0.30 +11.3 6
2013-09-15 @ Flamurtari L 1-247.6 1397 1346 28.80% 25.49% 45.71%-0.30 -11.3 3
2013-09-15 Teuta D 2-261.1 1239 1308 43.18% 25.60% 31.21%+0.21 -0.7 1
2013-09-15 @ Besa D 2-261.1 1308 1239 31.21% 25.60% 43.18%-0.21 +0.7 4
2013-09-18 Besa W 2-145.3 1189 1238 45.91% 25.48% 28.61%+0.30 +11.2 3
2013-09-18 @ Kastrioti L 1-245.3 1238 1189 28.61% 25.48% 45.91%-0.30 -11.3 1
2013-09-18 Bylis D 2-261.4 1286 1269 53.88% 24.79% 21.32%+0.62 -2.0 4
2013-09-18 @ Partizani D 2-261.4 1269 1286 21.32% 24.79% 53.88%-0.62 +2.0 4
2013-09-18 Flamurtari W 2-146.6 1309 1358 45.93% 25.48% 28.59%+0.30 +11.2 7
2013-09-18 @ Teuta L 1-246.6 1358 1309 28.59% 25.48% 45.93%-0.30 -11.2 6
2013-09-18 KF Tirana W 2-033.9 1326 1319 52.65% 24.94% 22.41%+0.57 +18.4 6
2013-09-18 @ Vllaznia L 0-233.9 1319 1326 22.41% 24.94% 52.65%-0.57 -18.4 4
2013-09-18 Kukesi L 1-351.6 1385 1278 62.78% 23.20% 14.02%+1.05 -37.1 3
2013-09-18 @ Skenderbeu W 3-151.6 1278 1385 14.02% 23.20% 62.78%-1.05 +37.2 3
2013-09-18 Laci W 1-038.7 1256 1284 48.48% 25.32% 26.20%+0.40 +11.1 6
2013-09-18 @ Lushnja L 0-138.7 1284 1256 26.20% 25.32% 48.48%-0.40 -11.1 4
2013-09-21 Partizani L 0-144.2 1227 1284 44.86% 25.53% 29.60%+0.27 -16.9 1
2013-09-21 @ Besa W 1-044.2 1284 1227 29.60% 25.53% 44.86%-0.27 +16.9 7
2013-09-21 Vllaznia D 1-155.5 1267 1344 42.13% 25.64% 32.23%+0.17 -0.8 7
2013-09-21 @ Lushnja D 1-155.5 1344 1267 32.23% 25.64% 42.13%-0.17 +0.8 7
2013-09-22 Bylis W 1-037.6 1273 1271 52.24% 24.98% 22.77%+0.55 +9.9 7
2013-09-22 @ Laci L 0-137.6 1271 1273 22.77% 24.98% 52.24%-0.55 -9.9 4
2013-09-22 Kastrioti L 0-149.7 1346 1201 65.95% 22.34% 11.72%+1.23 -23.8 6
2013-09-22 @ Flamurtari W 1-049.7 1201 1346 11.72% 22.34% 65.95%-1.23 +23.8 6
2013-09-22 Skenderbeu L 0-241.2 1301 1348 46.10% 25.47% 28.42%+0.31 -32.6 4
2013-09-22 @ KF Tirana W 2-041.2 1348 1301 28.42% 25.47% 46.10%-0.31 +32.6 6
2013-09-22 Teuta D 0-050.5 1315 1320 51.31% 25.08% 23.61%+0.51 -2.5 4
2013-09-22 @ Kukesi D 0-050.5 1320 1315 23.61% 25.08% 51.31%-0.51 +2.5 8
2013-09-28 Besa W 3-029.7 1261 1210 57.42% 24.29% 18.29%+0.78 +22.4 7
2013-09-28 @ Bylis L 0-329.7 1210 1261 18.29% 24.29% 57.42%-0.78 -22.4 1
2013-09-28 Flamurtari D 0-050.4 1301 1323 49.31% 25.26% 25.44%+0.43 -2.2 8
2013-09-28 @ Partizani D 0-050.4 1323 1301 25.44% 25.26% 49.31%-0.43 +2.2 7
2013-09-28 Kukesi L 0-143.1 1224 1312 40.62% 25.67% 33.71%+0.12 -15.6 6
2013-09-28 @ Kastrioti W 1-043.1 1312 1224 33.71% 25.67% 40.62%-0.12 +15.6 7
2013-09-28 Laci W 3-030.1 1345 1283 58.53% 24.10% 17.38%+0.83 +21.4 10
2013-09-28 @ Vllaznia L 0-330.1 1283 1345 17.38% 24.10% 58.53%-0.83 -21.4 7
2013-09-29 KF Tirana W 2-031.9 1323 1268 57.81% 24.22% 17.96%+0.79 +15.2 11
2013-09-29 @ Teuta L 0-231.9 1268 1323 17.96% 24.22% 57.81%-0.79 -15.2 4
2013-09-29 Lushnja W 2-030.7 1381 1266 63.39% 23.05% 13.56%+1.08 +11.7 9
2013-09-29 @ Skenderbeu L 0-230.7 1266 1381 13.56% 23.05% 63.39%-1.08 -11.7 7
2013-10-02 Besa W 1-035.0 1262 1188 59.74% 23.87% 16.39%+0.89 +7.4 10
2013-10-02 @ Laci L 0-135.0 1188 1262 16.39% 23.87% 59.74%-0.89 -7.4 1
2013-10-02 Bylis D 2-261.8 1325 1283 56.51% 24.43% 19.06%+0.73 -2.3 8
2013-10-02 @ Flamurtari D 2-261.8 1283 1325 19.06% 24.43% 56.51%-0.73 +2.3 8
2013-10-02 Kastrioti W 1-035.9 1253 1209 56.78% 24.39% 18.83%+0.75 +8.4 7
2013-10-02 @ KF Tirana L 0-135.9 1209 1253 18.83% 24.39% 56.78%-0.75 -8.4 6
2013-10-02 Partizani L 0-147.7 1328 1299 55.22% 24.62% 20.16%+0.68 -20.2 7
2013-10-02 @ Kukesi W 1-047.7 1299 1328 20.16% 24.62% 55.22%-0.68 +20.2 11
2013-10-02 Teuta D 1-155.4 1254 1338 41.26% 25.66% 33.08%+0.14 -0.6 8
2013-10-02 @ Lushnja D 1-155.4 1338 1254 33.08% 25.66% 41.26%-0.14 +0.6 12
2013-10-03 Skenderbeu L 1-349.4 1366 1393 48.78% 25.30% 25.93%+0.41 -29.6 10
2013-10-03 @ Vllaznia W 3-149.4 1393 1366 25.93% 25.30% 48.78%-0.41 +29.6 12
2013-10-05 Flamurtari W 2-039.0 1180 1322 33.01% 25.66% 41.34%-0.14 +29.8 4
2013-10-05 @ Besa L 0-239.0 1322 1180 41.34% 25.66% 33.01%+0.14 -29.8 8
2013-10-05 Kukesi D 1-155.5 1285 1308 49.24% 25.26% 25.50%+0.43 -1.9 9
2013-10-05 @ Bylis D 1-155.5 1308 1285 25.50% 25.26% 49.24%-0.43 +1.9 8
2013-10-05 Lushnja W 2-035.1 1200 1254 45.30% 25.51% 29.18%+0.28 +22.9 9
2013-10-05 @ Kastrioti L 0-235.1 1254 1200 29.18% 25.51% 45.30%-0.28 -22.9 8
2013-10-06 Laci W 2-140.7 1422 1269 66.50% 22.17% 11.33%+1.26 +4.9 15
2013-10-06 @ Skenderbeu L 1-240.7 1269 1422 11.33% 22.17% 66.50%-1.26 -4.9 10
2013-10-06 Vllaznia W 3-249.6 1339 1337 52.14% 24.99% 22.87%+0.54 +8.9 15
2013-10-06 @ Teuta L 2-349.6 1337 1339 22.87% 24.99% 52.14%-0.54 -8.9 10
2013-10-12 KF Tirana W 1-036.0 1319 1261 58.10% 24.17% 17.73%+0.81 +8.0 14
2013-10-12 @ Partizani L 0-136.0 1261 1319 17.73% 24.17% 58.10%-0.81 -8.0 7
2013-10-18 Flamurtari W 1-038.8 1264 1293 48.52% 25.32% 26.16%+0.40 +11.1 13
2013-10-18 @ Laci L 0-138.8 1293 1264 26.16% 25.32% 48.52%-0.40 -11.1 8
2013-10-19 Partizani W 2-037.2 1231 1327 39.54% 25.69% 34.77%+0.08 +26.2 11
2013-10-19 @ Lushnja L 0-237.2 1327 1231 34.77% 25.69% 39.54%-0.08 -26.2 14
2013-10-19 Teuta D 1-158.2 1427 1347 60.25% 23.77% 15.98%+0.91 -3.8 16
2013-10-19 @ Skenderbeu D 1-158.2 1347 1427 15.98% 23.77% 60.25%-0.91 +3.8 16
2013-10-20 Besa D 1-155.7 1310 1210 62.10% 23.36% 14.54%+1.01 -4.1 9
2013-10-20 @ Kukesi D 1-155.7 1210 1310 14.54% 23.36% 62.10%-1.01 +4.1 5
2013-10-20 Bylis W 1-038.7 1254 1283 48.31% 25.33% 26.36%+0.39 +11.2 10
2013-10-20 @ KF Tirana L 0-138.7 1283 1254 26.36% 25.33% 48.31%-0.39 -11.2 9
2013-10-20 Kastrioti W 2-140.7 1328 1223 62.52% 23.26% 14.22%+1.03 +6.1 13
2013-10-20 @ Vllaznia L 1-240.7 1223 1328 14.22% 23.26% 62.52%-1.03 -6.1 9
2013-10-26 Laci W 2-142.0 1351 1275 59.90% 23.84% 16.26%+0.90 +7.0 19
2013-10-26 @ Teuta L 1-242.0 1275 1351 16.26% 23.84% 59.90%-0.90 -7.0 13
2013-10-26 Lushnja D 1-155.3 1272 1257 53.65% 24.82% 21.53%+0.61 -2.6 10
2013-10-26 @ Bylis D 1-155.3 1257 1272 21.53% 24.82% 53.65%-0.61 +2.6 12
2013-10-26 Vllaznia L 0-145.8 1301 1334 47.89% 25.36% 26.75%+0.38 -17.8 14
2013-10-26 @ Partizani W 1-045.8 1334 1301 26.75% 25.36% 47.89%-0.38 +17.8 16
2013-10-27 KF Tirana W 1-039.3 1214 1265 45.68% 25.49% 28.82%+0.30 +12.0 8
2013-10-27 @ Besa L 0-139.3 1265 1214 28.82% 25.49% 45.68%-0.30 -12.0 10
2013-10-27 Kukesi W 2-145.0 1281 1306 49.03% 25.28% 25.69%+0.42 +10.3 11
2013-10-27 @ Flamurtari L 1-245.0 1306 1281 25.69% 25.28% 49.03%-0.42 -10.3 9
2013-10-27 Skenderbeu L 0-139.0 1217 1423 25.11% 25.23% 49.66%-0.45 -10.8 9
2013-10-27 @ Kastrioti W 1-039.0 1423 1217 49.66% 25.23% 25.11%+0.45 +10.8 19
2013-11-01 Kastrioti L 1-256.1 1358 1206 66.42% 22.19% 11.39%+1.26 -22.6 19
2013-11-01 @ Teuta W 2-156.1 1206 1358 11.39% 22.19% 66.42%-1.26 +22.6 12
2013-11-02 Besa W 1-036.3 1260 1226 55.67% 24.56% 19.78%+0.70 +8.8 15
2013-11-02 @ Lushnja L 0-136.3 1226 1260 19.78% 24.56% 55.67%-0.70 -8.8 8
2013-11-02 Flamurtari L 0-240.8 1253 1292 47.16% 25.41% 27.43%+0.35 -33.2 10
2013-11-02 @ KF Tirana W 2-040.8 1292 1253 27.43% 25.41% 47.16%-0.35 +33.2 14
2013-11-02 Partizani W 3-028.7 1434 1283 66.37% 22.21% 11.42%+1.26 +14.3 22
2013-11-02 @ Skenderbeu L 0-328.7 1283 1434 11.42% 22.21% 66.37%-1.26 -14.4 14
2013-11-03 Bylis D 1-156.2 1352 1270 60.49% 23.72% 15.79%+0.93 -3.8 17
2013-11-03 @ Vllaznia D 1-156.2 1270 1352 15.79% 23.72% 60.49%-0.93 +3.8 11
2013-11-03 Kukesi L 1-251.7 1268 1295 48.70% 25.30% 26.00%+0.41 -17.1 13
2013-11-03 @ Laci W 2-151.7 1295 1268 26.00% 25.30% 48.70%-0.41 +17.1 12
2013-11-09 Laci L 0-241.1 1229 1251 49.24% 25.26% 25.50%+0.43 -34.5 12
2013-11-09 @ Kastrioti W 2-041.1 1251 1229 25.50% 25.26% 49.24%-0.43 +34.5 16
2013-11-09 Skenderbeu W 1-046.2 1273 1448 28.79% 25.49% 45.72%-0.30 +17.2 14
2013-11-09 @ Bylis L 0-146.2 1448 1273 45.72% 25.49% 28.79%+0.30 -17.2 22
2013-11-09 Teuta W 3-034.5 1268 1336 43.47% 25.59% 30.93%+0.22 +34.8 17
2013-11-09 @ Partizani L 0-334.5 1336 1268 30.93% 25.59% 43.47%-0.22 -34.8 19
2013-11-10 KF Tirana W 2-141.0 1312 1219 61.48% 23.50% 15.01%+0.98 +6.4 15
2013-11-10 @ Kukesi L 1-241.0 1219 1312 15.01% 23.50% 61.48%-0.98 -6.4 10
2013-11-10 Lushnja W 4-349.2 1325 1269 58.01% 24.19% 17.80%+0.80 +7.0 17
2013-11-10 @ Flamurtari L 3-449.2 1269 1325 17.80% 24.19% 58.01%-0.80 -7.0 15
2013-11-10 Vllaznia W 1-043.0 1217 1348 34.60% 25.69% 39.71%-0.09 +15.3 11
2013-11-10 @ Besa L 0-143.0 1348 1217 39.71% 25.69% 34.60%+0.09 -15.3 17
2013-11-23 Lushnja W 1-036.0 1319 1262 58.09% 24.17% 17.73%+0.81 +8.0 18
2013-11-23 @ Kukesi L 0-136.0 1262 1319 17.73% 24.17% 58.09%-0.81 -8.0 15
2013-11-23 Skenderbeu D 1-156.1 1233 1431 25.97% 25.30% 48.73%-0.41 +1.8 12
2013-11-23 @ Besa D 1-156.1 1431 1233 48.73% 25.30% 25.97%+0.41 -1.8 23
2013-11-23 Teuta D 2-261.5 1291 1301 50.72% 25.13% 24.15%+0.49 -1.6 15
2013-11-23 @ Bylis D 2-261.5 1301 1291 24.15% 25.13% 50.72%-0.49 +1.6 20
2013-11-24 Kastrioti W 1-034.2 1303 1194 62.88% 23.18% 13.95%+1.05 +6.4 20
2013-11-24 @ Partizani L 0-134.2 1194 1303 13.95% 23.18% 62.88%-1.05 -6.4 12
2013-11-24 KF Tirana W 1-035.2 1286 1213 59.62% 23.89% 16.49%+0.88 +7.5 19
2013-11-24 @ Laci L 0-135.2 1213 1286 16.49% 23.89% 59.62%-0.88 -7.5 10
2013-11-24 Vllaznia W 3-140.3 1332 1333 51.85% 25.02% 23.13%+0.53 +16.4 20
2013-11-24 @ Flamurtari L 1-340.3 1333 1332 23.13% 25.02% 51.85%-0.53 -16.4 17
2013-11-30 Besa L 0-148.2 1302 1234 59.15% 23.98% 16.87%+0.86 -21.5 20
2013-11-30 @ Teuta W 1-048.2 1234 1302 16.87% 23.98% 59.15%-0.86 +21.5 15
2013-11-30 Bylis W 2-147.6 1188 1289 38.80% 25.70% 35.50%+0.06 +13.3 15
2013-11-30 @ Kastrioti L 1-247.6 1289 1188 35.50% 25.70% 38.80%-0.06 -13.3 15
2013-11-30 KF Tirana W 2-142.0 1254 1206 57.17% 24.33% 18.51%+0.76 +7.8 18
2013-11-30 @ Lushnja L 1-242.0 1206 1254 18.51% 24.33% 57.17%-0.76 -7.8 10
2013-12-01 Flamurtari W 2-033.5 1429 1348 60.38% 23.74% 15.88%+0.92 +13.6 26
2013-12-01 @ Skenderbeu L 0-233.5 1348 1429 15.88% 23.74% 60.38%-0.92 -13.6 20
2013-12-01 Kukesi L 1-252.8 1316 1327 50.67% 25.14% 24.19%+0.49 -17.7 17
2013-12-01 @ Vllaznia W 2-152.8 1327 1316 24.19% 25.14% 50.67%-0.49 +17.7 21
2013-12-01 Laci W 2-143.7 1310 1293 53.76% 24.81% 21.43%+0.61 +8.9 23
2013-12-01 @ Partizani L 1-243.7 1293 1310 21.43% 24.81% 53.76%-0.61 -8.9 19
2013-12-07 Skenderbeu D 1-157.9 1344 1443 39.16% 25.69% 35.14%+0.07 -0.3 22
2013-12-07 @ Kukesi D 1-157.9 1443 1344 35.14% 25.69% 39.16%-0.07 +0.3 27
2013-12-07 Vllaznia D 1-154.9 1198 1299 38.83% 25.70% 35.47%+0.06 -0.3 11
2013-12-07 @ KF Tirana D 1-154.9 1299 1198 35.47% 25.70% 38.83%-0.06 +0.2 18
2013-12-08 Kastrioti W 1-035.6 1256 1201 57.84% 24.22% 17.95%+0.80 +8.1 18
2013-12-08 @ Besa L 0-135.6 1201 1256 17.95% 24.22% 57.84%-0.80 -8.1 15
2013-12-08 Lushnja W 3-138.6 1284 1261 54.52% 24.71% 20.77%+0.65 +15.0 22
2013-12-08 @ Laci L 1-338.6 1261 1284 20.77% 24.71% 54.52%-0.65 -15.0 18
2013-12-08 Partizani W 1-039.5 1276 1318 46.71% 25.44% 27.85%+0.33 +11.7 18
2013-12-08 @ Bylis L 0-139.5 1318 1276 27.85% 25.44% 46.71%-0.33 -11.7 23
2013-12-08 Teuta W 2-032.1 1335 1281 57.75% 24.23% 18.02%+0.79 +15.2 23
2013-12-08 @ Flamurtari L 0-232.1 1281 1335 18.02% 24.23% 57.75%-0.79 -15.2 20
2013-12-14 KF Tirana W 1-032.0 1443 1197 72.94% 19.73% 7.33%+1.70 +3.3 30
2013-12-14 @ Skenderbeu L 0-132.0 1197 1443 7.33% 19.73% 72.94%-1.70 -3.3 11
2013-12-14 Kukesi W 2-147.3 1266 1344 41.95% 25.64% 32.41%+0.16 +12.4 23
2013-12-14 @ Teuta L 1-247.3 1344 1266 32.41% 25.64% 41.95%-0.16 -12.4 22
2013-12-14 Laci W 1-038.3 1287 1299 50.51% 25.15% 24.34%+0.48 +10.5 21
2013-12-14 @ Bylis L 0-138.3 1299 1287 24.34% 25.15% 50.51%-0.48 -10.5 22
2013-12-15 Besa W 3-138.2 1307 1264 56.60% 24.42% 18.98%+0.74 +13.8 26
2013-12-15 @ Partizani L 1-338.2 1264 1307 18.98% 24.42% 56.60%-0.74 -13.8 18
2013-12-15 Flamurtari D 0-049.8 1193 1350 31.08% 25.60% 43.32%-0.21 +1.1 16
2013-12-15 @ Kastrioti D 0-049.8 1350 1193 43.32% 25.60% 31.08%+0.21 -1.1 24
2013-12-15 Lushnja W 2-031.8 1299 1246 57.60% 24.26% 18.14%+0.78 +15.4 21
2013-12-15 @ Vllaznia L 0-231.8 1246 1299 18.14% 24.26% 57.60%-0.78 -15.3 18
2013-12-21 Kastrioti W 1-033.6 1332 1194 65.28% 22.54% 12.19%+1.19 +5.6 25
2013-12-21 @ Kukesi L 0-133.6 1194 1332 12.19% 22.54% 65.28%-1.19 -5.6 16
2013-12-21 Skenderbeu L 0-139.0 1231 1447 24.09% 25.13% 50.78%-0.49 -10.4 18
2013-12-21 @ Lushnja W 1-039.0 1447 1231 50.78% 25.13% 24.09%+0.49 +10.4 33
2013-12-21 Teuta D 0-049.5 1194 1278 41.20% 25.66% 33.14%+0.14 -0.7 12
2013-12-21 @ KF Tirana D 0-049.5 1278 1194 33.14% 25.66% 41.20%-0.14 +0.7 24
2013-12-22 Bylis W 2-145.7 1250 1298 46.06% 25.47% 28.46%+0.31 +11.2 21
2013-12-22 @ Besa L 1-245.7 1298 1250 28.46% 25.47% 46.06%-0.31 -11.2 21
2013-12-22 Partizani W 1-037.6 1349 1321 55.11% 24.64% 20.26%+0.67 +9.0 27
2013-12-22 @ Flamurtari L 0-137.6 1321 1349 20.26% 24.64% 55.11%-0.67 -9.0 26
2013-12-22 Vllaznia W 3-032.8 1289 1314 48.91% 25.29% 25.81%+0.42 +30.1 25
2013-12-22 @ Laci L 0-332.8 1314 1289 25.81% 25.29% 48.91%-0.42 -30.1 21
2014-02-01 KF Tirana D 0-049.5 1189 1194 51.37% 25.07% 23.56%+0.51 -2.5 17
2014-02-01 @ Kastrioti D 0-049.5 1194 1189 23.56% 25.07% 51.37%-0.51 +2.5 13
2014-02-01 Kukesi D 0-050.6 1312 1337 48.83% 25.29% 25.88%+0.41 -2.1 27
2014-02-01 @ Partizani D 0-050.6 1337 1312 25.88% 25.29% 48.83%-0.41 +2.1 26
2014-02-01 Laci D 2-261.3 1261 1319 44.77% 25.54% 29.69%+0.26 -0.9 22
2014-02-01 @ Besa D 2-261.3 1319 1261 29.69% 25.54% 44.77%-0.26 +0.9 26
2014-02-02 Flamurtari D 0-050.4 1287 1358 42.94% 25.61% 31.45%+0.20 -1.0 22
2014-02-02 @ Bylis D 0-050.4 1358 1287 31.45% 25.61% 42.94%-0.20 +1.0 28
2014-02-02 Lushnja W 6-234.2 1279 1221 58.17% 24.16% 17.67%+0.81 +20.1 27
2014-02-02 @ Teuta L 2-634.2 1221 1279 17.67% 24.16% 58.17%-0.81 -20.1 18
2014-02-02 Vllaznia W 2-140.9 1457 1284 68.01% 21.68% 10.32%+1.36 +4.5 36
2014-02-02 @ Skenderbeu L 1-240.9 1284 1457 10.32% 21.68% 68.01%-1.36 -4.5 21
2014-02-07 Partizani W 1-042.0 1196 1310 37.02% 25.70% 37.28%+0.00 +14.6 16
2014-02-07 @ KF Tirana L 0-142.0 1310 1196 37.28% 25.70% 37.02%+0.00 -14.6 27
2014-02-08 Besa L 1-448.0 1359 1261 61.97% 23.39% 14.64%+1.00 -51.9 28
2014-02-08 @ Flamurtari W 4-148.0 1261 1359 14.64% 23.39% 61.97%-1.00 +51.9 25
2014-02-08 Teuta D 1-155.4 1280 1299 49.63% 25.23% 25.14%+0.44 -2.0 22
2014-02-08 @ Vllaznia D 1-155.4 1299 1280 25.14% 25.23% 49.63%-0.44 +2.0 28
2014-02-09 Bylis D 0-050.7 1339 1286 57.74% 24.23% 18.03%+0.79 -3.8 27
2014-02-09 @ Kukesi D 0-050.7 1286 1339 18.03% 24.23% 57.74%-0.79 +3.8 23
2014-02-09 Kastrioti D 0-049.6 1201 1186 53.56% 24.83% 21.61%+0.60 -2.9 19
2014-02-09 @ Lushnja D 0-049.6 1186 1201 21.61% 24.83% 53.56%-0.60 +3.0 18
2014-02-09 Skenderbeu D 2-263.7 1320 1461 33.11% 25.66% 41.23%-0.14 +0.5 27
2014-02-09 @ Laci D 2-263.7 1461 1320 41.23% 25.66% 33.11%+0.14 -0.5 37
2014-02-15 Lushnja W 2-030.3 1295 1198 61.87% 23.42% 14.72%+1.00 +12.6 30
2014-02-15 @ Partizani L 0-230.3 1198 1295 14.72% 23.42% 61.87%-1.00 -12.7 19
2014-02-15 Vllaznia W 3-251.8 1189 1278 40.57% 25.67% 33.75%+0.11 +12.1 21
2014-02-15 @ Kastrioti L 2-351.8 1278 1189 33.75% 25.67% 40.57%-0.11 -12.1 22
2014-02-16 KF Tirana L 0-148.3 1289 1211 60.18% 23.78% 16.04%+0.91 -21.9 23
2014-02-16 @ Bylis W 1-048.3 1211 1289 16.04% 23.78% 60.18%-0.91 +21.9 19
2014-02-16 Kukesi W 2-035.0 1313 1336 49.15% 25.27% 25.58%+0.43 +20.6 28
2014-02-16 @ Besa L 0-235.0 1336 1313 25.58% 25.27% 49.15%-0.43 -20.6 27
2014-02-16 Laci D 1-155.8 1307 1320 50.34% 25.17% 24.49%+0.47 -2.1 29
2014-02-16 @ Flamurtari D 1-155.8 1320 1307 24.49% 25.17% 50.34%-0.47 +2.1 28
2014-02-17 Skenderbeu D 1-157.4 1301 1461 30.66% 25.58% 43.76%-0.23 +1.0 29
2014-02-17 @ Teuta D 1-157.4 1461 1301 43.76% 25.58% 30.66%+0.23 -1.0 38
2014-02-22 Bylis W 2-036.3 1185 1268 41.39% 25.66% 32.96%+0.14 +25.1 22
2014-02-22 @ Lushnja L 0-236.3 1268 1185 32.96% 25.66% 41.39%-0.14 -25.1 23
2014-02-22 Flamurtari W 3-248.8 1315 1305 53.09% 24.89% 22.02%+0.58 +8.6 30
2014-02-22 @ Kukesi L 2-348.8 1305 1315 22.02% 24.89% 53.09%-0.58 -8.6 29
2014-02-22 Kastrioti W 2-027.7 1460 1201 73.73% 19.37% 6.90%+1.77 +5.8 41
2014-02-22 @ Skenderbeu L 0-227.7 1201 1460 6.90% 19.37% 73.73%-1.77 -5.8 21
2014-02-22 Teuta W 2-143.7 1322 1302 54.25% 24.75% 21.00%+0.63 +8.7 31
2014-02-22 @ Laci L 1-243.7 1302 1322 21.00% 24.75% 54.25%-0.63 -8.7 29
2014-02-23 Besa W 2-147.9 1233 1333 38.87% 25.70% 35.44%+0.06 +13.3 22
2014-02-23 @ KF Tirana L 1-247.9 1333 1233 35.44% 25.70% 38.87%-0.06 -13.3 28
2014-02-23 Partizani D 1-155.3 1265 1308 46.78% 25.43% 27.78%+0.34 -1.5 23
2014-02-23 @ Vllaznia D 1-155.3 1308 1265 27.78% 25.43% 46.78%-0.34 +1.5 31
2014-03-01 Lushnja D 1-155.8 1320 1210 62.96% 23.15% 13.88%+1.06 -4.2 29
2014-03-01 @ Besa D 1-155.8 1210 1320 13.88% 23.15% 62.96%-1.06 +4.3 23
2014-03-01 Teuta D 0-049.5 1196 1293 39.28% 25.69% 35.03%+0.07 -0.4 22
2014-03-01 @ Kastrioti D 0-049.5 1293 1196 35.03% 25.69% 39.28%-0.07 +0.4 30
2014-03-02 KF Tirana D 1-155.5 1296 1246 57.41% 24.29% 18.30%+0.78 -3.3 30
2014-03-02 @ Flamurtari D 1-155.5 1246 1296 18.30% 24.29% 57.41%-0.78 +3.3 23
2014-03-02 Laci W 1-038.7 1324 1331 51.05% 25.10% 23.85%+0.50 +10.3 33
2014-03-02 @ Kukesi L 0-138.7 1331 1324 23.85% 25.10% 51.05%-0.50 -10.3 31
2014-03-02 Skenderbeu D 0-052.3 1309 1466 31.10% 25.60% 43.31%-0.21 +1.1 32
2014-03-02 @ Partizani D 0-052.3 1466 1309 43.31% 25.60% 31.10%+0.21 -1.1 42
2014-03-02 Vllaznia D 0-049.7 1242 1264 49.36% 25.25% 25.39%+0.43 -2.2 24
2014-03-02 @ Bylis D 0-049.7 1264 1242 25.39% 25.25% 49.36%-0.43 +2.2 24
2014-03-08 Besa D 0-050.0 1266 1316 45.83% 25.49% 28.68%+0.30 -1.5 25
2014-03-08 @ Vllaznia D 0-050.0 1316 1266 28.68% 25.49% 45.83%-0.30 +1.5 30
2014-03-08 Bylis W 2-139.3 1465 1240 71.57% 20.32% 8.10%+1.60 +3.5 45
2014-03-08 @ Skenderbeu L 1-239.3 1240 1465 8.10% 20.32% 71.57%-1.60 -3.5 24
2014-03-08 Flamurtari L 2-448.4 1214 1293 41.93% 25.64% 32.43%+0.16 -23.4 23
2014-03-08 @ Lushnja W 4-248.4 1293 1214 32.43% 25.64% 41.93%-0.16 +23.4 33
2014-03-08 Kastrioti W 1-033.8 1321 1195 64.33% 22.80% 12.87%+1.13 +5.9 34
2014-03-08 @ Laci L 0-133.8 1195 1321 12.87% 22.80% 64.33%-1.13 -5.9 22
2014-03-08 Kukesi W 3-142.9 1249 1334 41.06% 25.66% 33.28%+0.13 +21.9 26
2014-03-08 @ KF Tirana L 1-342.9 1334 1249 33.28% 25.66% 41.06%-0.13 -21.9 33
2014-03-08 Partizani D 1-155.6 1294 1310 49.96% 25.20% 24.84%+0.46 -2.0 31
2014-03-08 @ Teuta D 1-155.6 1310 1294 24.84% 25.20% 49.96%-0.46 +2.0 33
2014-03-12 Bylis W 2-031.1 1312 1237 59.85% 23.85% 16.30%+0.89 +13.9 36
2014-03-12 @ Partizani L 0-231.1 1237 1312 16.30% 23.85% 59.85%-0.89 -13.9 24
2014-03-12 Kastrioti W 3-133.3 1468 1189 74.93% 18.80% 6.27%+1.86 +4.5 48
2014-03-12 @ Skenderbeu L 1-333.3 1189 1468 6.27% 18.80% 74.93%-1.86 -4.5 22
2014-03-12 Lushnja W 1-033.6 1327 1191 65.15% 22.57% 12.28%+1.18 +5.6 37
2014-03-12 @ Laci L 0-133.6 1191 1327 12.28% 22.57% 65.15%-1.18 -5.6 23
2014-03-12 Vllaznia D 1-155.7 1312 1265 57.11% 24.34% 18.55%+0.76 -3.2 34
2014-03-12 @ Kukesi D 1-155.7 1265 1312 18.55% 24.34% 57.11%-0.76 +3.2 26
2014-03-13 Flamurtari W 3-140.0 1317 1316 52.00% 25.01% 22.99%+0.54 +16.3 33
2014-03-13 @ Besa L 1-340.0 1316 1317 22.99% 25.01% 52.00%-0.54 -16.3 33
2014-03-13 KF Tirana D 1-155.5 1292 1271 54.24% 24.75% 21.01%+0.63 -2.8 32
2014-03-13 @ Teuta D 1-155.5 1271 1292 21.01% 24.75% 54.24%-0.63 +2.8 27
2014-03-15 Laci L 0-336.2 1223 1332 37.59% 25.70% 36.71%+0.01 -40.3 24
2014-03-15 @ Bylis W 3-036.2 1332 1223 36.71% 25.70% 37.59%-0.01 +40.3 40
2014-03-15 Skenderbeu L 2-441.5 1185 1473 17.34% 24.09% 58.57%-0.83 -11.4 23
2014-03-15 @ Lushnja W 4-241.5 1473 1185 58.57% 24.09% 17.34%+0.83 +11.4 51
2014-03-16 Kastrioti D 1-156.0 1333 1185 66.17% 22.27% 11.56%+1.24 -4.8 34
2014-03-16 @ Besa D 1-156.0 1185 1333 11.56% 22.27% 66.17%-1.24 +4.8 23
2014-03-16 Kukesi L 1-251.6 1274 1309 47.67% 25.38% 26.95%+0.37 -16.8 27
2014-03-16 @ KF Tirana W 2-151.6 1309 1274 26.95% 25.38% 47.67%-0.37 +16.8 37
2014-03-16 Partizani L 0-144.6 1268 1326 44.68% 25.54% 29.78%+0.26 -16.8 26
2014-03-16 @ Vllaznia W 1-044.6 1326 1268 29.78% 25.54% 44.68%-0.26 +16.8 39
2014-03-16 Teuta D 0-050.2 1300 1289 53.22% 24.87% 21.91%+0.59 -2.9 34
2014-03-16 @ Flamurtari D 0-050.2 1289 1300 21.91% 24.87% 53.22%-0.59 +2.9 33
2014-03-21 Besa W 1-039.5 1292 1329 47.43% 25.39% 27.18%+0.36 +11.4 36
2014-03-21 @ Teuta L 0-139.5 1329 1292 27.18% 25.39% 47.43%-0.36 -11.4 34
2014-03-22 Bylis W 3-025.2 1484 1183 76.21% 18.15% 5.64%+1.97 +6.8 54
2014-03-22 @ Skenderbeu L 0-325.2 1183 1484 5.64% 18.15% 76.21%-1.97 -6.8 24
2014-03-22 Flamurtari W 4-242.3 1326 1297 55.10% 24.64% 20.26%+0.67 +13.1 40
2014-03-22 @ Kukesi L 2-442.3 1297 1326 20.26% 24.64% 55.10%-0.67 -13.1 34
2014-03-22 KF Tirana D 1-156.0 1343 1257 60.84% 23.64% 15.52%+0.94 -3.9 40
2014-03-22 @ Partizani D 1-156.0 1257 1343 15.52% 23.64% 60.84%-0.94 +3.9 28
2014-03-23 Lushnja W 2-142.9 1190 1174 53.69% 24.82% 21.49%+0.61 +8.9 26
2014-03-23 @ Kastrioti L 1-242.9 1174 1190 21.49% 24.82% 53.69%-0.61 -8.9 23
2014-03-23 Vllaznia L 0-245.6 1373 1251 63.99% 22.89% 13.12%+1.11 -43.7 40
2014-03-23 @ Laci W 2-045.6 1251 1373 13.12% 22.89% 63.99%-1.11 +43.7 29
2014-03-29 Laci W 2-036.3 1261 1329 43.35% 25.60% 31.05%+0.21 +24.0 31
2014-03-29 @ KF Tirana L 0-236.3 1329 1261 31.05% 25.60% 43.35%-0.21 -24.0 40
2014-03-29 Lushnja L 0-340.1 1176 1165 53.16% 24.88% 21.96%+0.59 -53.5 24
2014-03-29 @ Bylis W 3-040.1 1165 1176 21.96% 24.88% 53.16%-0.59 +53.5 26
2014-03-30 Kastrioti W 1-034.3 1303 1198 62.53% 23.26% 14.21%+1.03 +6.5 39
2014-03-30 @ Teuta L 0-134.3 1198 1303 14.21% 23.26% 62.53%-1.03 -6.5 26
2014-03-30 Kukesi L 0-146.4 1317 1339 49.35% 25.25% 25.40%+0.43 -18.3 34
2014-03-30 @ Besa W 1-046.4 1339 1317 25.40% 25.25% 49.35%-0.43 +18.3 43
2014-03-30 Partizani D 0-050.3 1284 1339 45.11% 25.52% 29.36%+0.27 -1.4 35
2014-03-30 @ Flamurtari D 0-050.3 1339 1284 29.36% 25.52% 45.11%-0.27 +1.4 41
2014-03-30 Skenderbeu W 1-048.1 1295 1491 26.25% 25.32% 48.43%-0.40 +18.0 32
2014-03-30 @ Vllaznia L 0-148.1 1491 1295 48.43% 25.32% 26.25%+0.40 -18.0 54
2014-04-05 Besa W 1-036.9 1340 1299 56.50% 24.43% 19.07%+0.73 +8.5 44
2014-04-05 @ Partizani L 0-136.9 1299 1340 19.07% 24.43% 56.50%-0.73 -8.5 34
2014-04-05 Flamurtari L 0-147.2 1305 1283 54.44% 24.72% 20.83%+0.64 -20.0 40
2014-04-05 @ Laci W 1-047.2 1283 1305 20.83% 24.72% 54.44%-0.64 +20.0 38
2014-04-05 KF Tirana L 2-363.5 1473 1285 69.09% 21.29% 9.62%+1.43 -22.2 54
2014-04-05 @ Skenderbeu W 3-263.5 1285 1473 9.62% 21.29% 69.09%-1.43 +22.1 34
2014-04-05 Teuta W 3-030.9 1357 1310 57.10% 24.34% 18.56%+0.76 +22.7 46
2014-04-05 @ Kukesi L 0-330.9 1310 1357 18.56% 24.34% 57.10%-0.76 -22.7 39
2014-04-06 Bylis W 3-028.8 1192 1122 59.30% 23.95% 16.74%+0.87 +20.7 29
2014-04-06 @ Kastrioti L 0-328.8 1122 1192 16.74% 23.95% 59.30%-0.87 -20.7 24
2014-04-06 Vllaznia L 0-238.6 1219 1313 39.78% 25.69% 34.53%+0.09 -29.0 26
2014-04-06 @ Lushnja W 2-038.6 1313 1219 34.53% 25.69% 39.78%-0.09 +29.0 35
2014-04-12 Bylis W 3-025.1 1342 1102 72.58% 19.89% 7.53%+1.68 +9.3 38
2014-04-12 @ Vllaznia L 0-325.1 1102 1342 7.53% 19.89% 72.58%-1.68 -9.3 24
2014-04-12 Laci D 0-050.1 1290 1285 52.53% 24.95% 22.52%+0.56 -2.8 35
2014-04-12 @ Besa D 0-050.1 1285 1290 22.52% 24.95% 52.53%-0.56 +2.8 41
2014-04-12 Lushnja W 1-034.0 1307 1190 63.62% 22.99% 13.39%+1.09 +6.1 37
2014-04-12 @ KF Tirana L 0-134.0 1190 1307 13.39% 22.99% 63.62%-1.09 -6.1 26
2014-04-13 Kastrioti W 2-139.4 1380 1213 67.58% 21.82% 10.60%+1.33 +4.6 49
2014-04-13 @ Kukesi L 1-239.4 1213 1380 10.60% 21.82% 67.58%-1.33 -4.6 29
2014-04-13 Partizani W 3-142.3 1287 1349 44.17% 25.56% 30.27%+0.24 +20.4 42
2014-04-13 @ Teuta L 1-342.3 1349 1287 30.27% 25.56% 44.17%-0.24 -20.4 44
2014-04-13 Skenderbeu W 1-045.7 1303 1451 32.25% 25.64% 42.12%-0.17 +16.1 41
2014-04-13 @ Flamurtari L 0-145.7 1451 1303 42.12% 25.64% 32.25%+0.17 -16.1 54
2014-04-19 KF Tirana L 0-331.3 1092 1313 23.51% 25.07% 51.42%-0.52 -27.9 24
2014-04-19 @ Bylis W 3-031.3 1313 1092 51.42% 25.07% 23.51%+0.52 +27.9 40
2014-04-19 Vllaznia L 2-445.9 1208 1351 32.92% 25.65% 41.42%-0.14 -19.5 29
2014-04-19 @ Kastrioti W 4-245.9 1351 1208 41.42% 25.65% 32.92%+0.14 +19.4 41
2014-04-20 Besa W 1-035.0 1435 1288 66.04% 22.31% 11.65%+1.23 +5.3 57
2014-04-20 @ Skenderbeu L 0-135.0 1288 1435 11.65% 22.31% 66.04%-1.23 -5.3 35
2014-04-20 Flamurtari L 2-352.0 1184 1319 33.97% 25.68% 40.36%-0.11 -12.2 26
2014-04-20 @ Lushnja W 3-252.0 1319 1184 40.36% 25.68% 33.97%+0.11 +12.2 44
2014-04-20 Kukesi W 1-041.2 1329 1384 45.00% 25.53% 29.48%+0.27 +12.2 47
2014-04-20 @ Partizani L 0-141.2 1384 1329 29.48% 25.53% 45.00%-0.27 -12.2 49
2014-04-20 Teuta W 1-038.6 1288 1307 49.62% 25.23% 25.15%+0.44 +10.8 44
2014-04-20 @ Laci L 0-138.6 1307 1288 25.15% 25.23% 49.62%-0.44 -10.8 42
2014-04-26 Bylis W 3-024.5 1331 1064 74.20% 19.15% 6.65%+1.80 +8.1 47
2014-04-26 @ Flamurtari L 0-324.5 1064 1331 6.65% 19.15% 74.20%-1.80 -8.1 24
2014-04-26 Kastrioti W 1-033.2 1341 1189 66.44% 22.19% 11.37%+1.26 +5.2 50
2014-04-26 @ Partizani L 0-133.2 1189 1341 11.37% 22.19% 66.44%-1.26 -5.2 29
2014-04-26 Laci D 1-156.6 1372 1299 59.68% 23.88% 16.44%+0.89 -3.7 50
2014-04-26 @ Kukesi D 1-156.6 1299 1372 16.44% 23.88% 59.68%-0.89 +3.7 45
2014-04-26 Lushnja W 3-027.9 1282 1171 63.07% 23.13% 13.80%+1.06 +17.3 38
2014-04-26 @ Besa L 0-327.9 1171 1282 13.80% 23.13% 63.07%-1.06 -17.3 26
2014-04-26 Skenderbeu W 2-151.4 1296 1440 32.85% 25.65% 41.50%-0.15 +15.0 45
2014-04-26 @ Teuta L 1-251.4 1440 1296 41.50% 25.65% 32.85%+0.15 -15.0 57
2014-04-26 Vllaznia W 2-146.4 1341 1370 48.40% 25.33% 26.28%+0.40 +10.5 43
2014-04-26 @ KF Tirana L 1-246.4 1370 1341 26.28% 25.33% 48.40%-0.40 -10.5 41
2014-04-30 Besa L 0-330.5 1056 1300 21.25% 24.78% 53.96%-0.62 -25.6 24
2014-04-30 @ Bylis W 3-030.5 1300 1056 53.96% 24.78% 21.25%+0.62 +25.6 41
2014-04-30 Flamurtari W 1-038.2 1360 1339 54.27% 24.75% 20.98%+0.63 +9.2 44
2014-04-30 @ Vllaznia L 0-138.2 1339 1360 20.98% 24.75% 54.27%-0.63 -9.2 47
2014-04-30 KF Tirana L 2-350.7 1183 1352 29.62% 25.53% 44.84%-0.26 -11.0 29
2014-04-30 @ Kastrioti W 3-250.7 1352 1183 44.84% 25.53% 29.62%+0.26 +11.0 46
2014-04-30 Kukesi D 3-367.7 1425 1368 58.01% 24.19% 17.80%+0.80 -2.1 58
2014-04-30 @ Skenderbeu D 3-367.7 1368 1425 17.80% 24.19% 58.01%-0.80 +2.1 51
2014-04-30 Partizani W 2-035.8 1302 1346 46.58% 25.44% 27.98%+0.33 +22.1 48
2014-04-30 @ Laci L 0-235.8 1346 1302 27.98% 25.44% 46.58%-0.33 -22.1 50
2014-04-30 Teuta L 0-235.7 1154 1311 31.00% 25.59% 43.40%-0.21 -24.0 26
2014-04-30 @ Lushnja W 2-035.7 1311 1154 43.40% 25.59% 31.00%+0.21 +24.0 48
2014-05-03 Bylis W 3-023.8 1335 1031 76.39% 18.05% 5.56%+1.99 +6.6 51
2014-05-03 @ Teuta L 0-323.8 1031 1335 5.56% 18.05% 76.39%-1.99 -6.6 24
2014-05-04 Kastrioti W 6-029.1 1324 1172 66.43% 22.19% 11.38%+1.26 +27.3 51
2014-05-04 @ Laci L 0-629.1 1172 1324 11.38% 22.19% 66.43%-1.26 -27.3 29
2014-05-04 KF Tirana D 2-262.4 1330 1363 47.96% 25.36% 26.68%+0.38 -1.3 48
2014-05-04 @ Flamurtari D 2-262.4 1363 1330 26.68% 25.36% 47.96%-0.38 +1.3 47
2014-05-04 Lushnja W 4-130.0 1371 1130 72.61% 19.88% 7.51%+1.68 +7.8 54
2014-05-04 @ Kukesi L 1-430.0 1130 1371 7.51% 19.88% 72.61%-1.68 -7.8 26
2014-05-04 Skenderbeu L 1-250.9 1324 1423 39.09% 25.69% 35.21%+0.06 -14.3 50
2014-05-04 @ Partizani W 2-150.9 1423 1324 35.21% 25.69% 39.09%-0.06 +14.3 61
2014-05-04 Vllaznia D 0-051.0 1325 1369 46.54% 25.45% 28.02%+0.33 -1.6 42
2014-05-04 @ Besa D 0-051.0 1369 1325 28.02% 25.45% 46.54%-0.33 +1.6 45
2014-05-10 Besa W 3-031.4 1364 1323 56.37% 24.45% 19.18%+0.73 +23.4 50
2014-05-10 @ KF Tirana L 0-331.4 1323 1364 19.18% 24.45% 56.37%-0.73 -23.4 42
2014-05-10 Flamurtari L 1-340.7 1145 1329 27.74% 25.43% 46.83%-0.34 -19.0 29
2014-05-10 @ Kastrioti W 3-140.7 1329 1145 46.83% 25.43% 27.74%+0.34 +19.0 51
2014-05-10 Kukesi L 0-327.4 1024 1378 12.67% 22.73% 64.60%-1.15 -15.9 24
2014-05-10 @ Bylis W 3-027.4 1378 1024 64.60% 22.73% 12.67%+1.15 +15.9 57
2014-05-10 Laci L 1-257.6 1437 1352 60.79% 23.65% 15.56%+0.94 -20.8 61
2014-05-10 @ Skenderbeu W 2-157.6 1352 1437 15.56% 23.65% 60.79%-0.94 +20.8 54
2014-05-10 Partizani L 2-443.7 1122 1310 27.28% 25.40% 47.32%-0.36 -16.8 26
2014-05-10 @ Lushnja W 4-243.7 1310 1122 47.32% 25.40% 27.28%+0.36 +16.8 53
2014-05-10 Teuta L 1-350.4 1371 1342 55.13% 24.63% 20.24%+0.67 -33.0 45
2014-05-10 @ Vllaznia W 3-150.4 1342 1371 20.24% 24.63% 55.13%-0.67 +33.0 54

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2014-04-05 9.62% KF Tirana 1285 3 @ Skenderbeu 1473 2
2 2013-11-01 11.39% Kastrioti 1206 2 @ Teuta 1358 1
3 2013-09-22 11.72% Kastrioti 1201 1 @ Flamurtari 1346 0
4 2014-03-23 13.12% Vllaznia 1251 2 @ Laci 1373 0
5 2013-09-18 14.02% Kukesi 1278 3 @ Skenderbeu 1385 1
6 2014-02-08 14.64% Besa 1261 4 @ Flamurtari 1359 1
7 2014-05-10 15.56% Laci 1352 2 @ Skenderbeu 1437 1
8 2014-02-16 16.04% KF Tirana 1211 1 @ Bylis 1289 0
9 2013-09-14 16.66% Vllaznia 1266 3 @ Kukesi 1337 0
10 2013-11-30 16.87% Besa 1234 1 @ Teuta 1302 0
11 2013-10-02 20.16% Partizani 1299 1 @ Kukesi 1328 0
12 2014-05-10 20.24% Teuta 1342 3 @ Vllaznia 1371 1
13 2014-04-05 20.83% Flamurtari 1283 1 @ Laci 1305 0
14 2014-03-29 21.96% Lushnja 1165 3 @ Bylis 1176 0
15 2013-12-01 24.19% Kukesi 1327 2 @ Vllaznia 1316 1
16 2014-03-30 25.40% Kukesi 1339 1 @ Besa 1317 0
17 2013-11-09 25.50% Laci 1251 2 @ Kastrioti 1229 0
18 2013-10-03 25.93% Skenderbeu 1393 3 @ Vllaznia 1366 1
19 2013-11-03 26.00% Kukesi 1295 2 @ Laci 1268 1
20 2014-03-30 26.25% @ Vllaznia 1295 1 Skenderbeu 1491 0
21 2013-08-31 26.60% Partizani 1263 2 @ Kastrioti 1231 0
22 2013-10-26 26.75% Vllaznia 1334 1 @ Partizani 1301 0
23 2014-03-16 26.95% Kukesi 1309 2 @ KF Tirana 1274 1
24 2013-11-02 27.43% Flamurtari 1292 2 @ KF Tirana 1253 0
25 2013-08-31 28.16% Flamurtari 1329 1 @ Vllaznia 1284 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2013-09-14 59.23 Vllaznia 3 1266 16.66% @ Kukesi 0 1337 59.41% 23.93%
2 2014-03-29 53.54 Lushnja 3 1165 21.96% @ Bylis 0 1176 53.16% 24.88%
3 2014-02-08 51.92 Besa 4 1261 14.64% @ Flamurtari 1 1359 61.97% 23.39%
4 2014-03-23 43.66 Vllaznia 2 1251 13.12% @ Laci 0 1373 63.99% 22.89%
5 2014-03-15 40.28 Laci 3 1332 36.71% @ Bylis 0 1223 37.59% 25.70%
6 2013-09-18 37.15 Kukesi 3 1278 14.02% @ Skenderbeu 1 1385 62.78% 23.20%
7 2013-11-09 34.76 @ Partizani 3 1268 43.47% Teuta 0 1336 30.93% 25.59%
8 2013-11-09 34.47 Laci 2 1251 25.50% @ Kastrioti 0 1229 49.24% 25.26%
9 2013-08-31 33.75 Partizani 2 1263 26.60% @ Kastrioti 0 1231 48.05% 25.35%
10 2013-11-02 33.23 Flamurtari 2 1292 27.43% @ KF Tirana 0 1253 47.16% 25.41%
11 2014-05-10 32.99 Teuta 3 1342 20.24% @ Vllaznia 1 1371 55.13% 24.63%
12 2013-09-22 32.60 Skenderbeu 2 1348 28.42% @ KF Tirana 0 1301 46.10% 25.47%
13 2013-12-22 30.10 @ Laci 3 1289 48.91% Vllaznia 0 1314 25.81% 25.29%
14 2013-10-05 29.83 @ Besa 2 1180 33.01% Flamurtari 0 1322 41.34% 25.66%
15 2013-10-03 29.61 Skenderbeu 3 1393 25.93% @ Vllaznia 1 1366 48.78% 25.30%
16 2014-04-06 28.96 Vllaznia 2 1313 34.53% @ Lushnja 0 1219 39.78% 25.69%
17 2014-04-19 27.87 KF Tirana 3 1313 51.42% @ Bylis 0 1092 23.51% 25.07%
18 2014-05-04 27.35 @ Laci 6 1324 66.43% Kastrioti 0 1172 11.38% 22.19%
19 2013-10-19 26.17 @ Lushnja 2 1231 39.54% Partizani 0 1327 34.77% 25.69%
20 2014-04-30 25.59 Besa 3 1300 53.96% @ Bylis 0 1056 21.25% 24.78%
21 2014-02-22 25.12 @ Lushnja 2 1185 41.39% Bylis 0 1268 32.96% 25.66%
22 2014-03-29 24.00 @ KF Tirana 2 1261 43.35% Laci 0 1329 31.05% 25.60%
23 2014-04-30 23.97 Teuta 2 1311 43.40% @ Lushnja 0 1154 31.00% 25.59%
24 2013-09-22 23.79 Kastrioti 1 1201 11.72% @ Flamurtari 0 1346 65.95% 22.34%
25 2014-05-10 23.41 @ KF Tirana 3 1364 56.37% Besa 0 1323 19.18% 24.45%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-04-30 67.7 @ Skenderbeu 3 1425 58.01% Kukesi 3 1368 17.80% 24.19%
2 2014-02-09 63.7 @ Laci 2 1320 33.11% Skenderbeu 2 1461 41.23% 25.66%
3 2014-04-05 63.5 KF Tirana 3 1285 9.62% @ Skenderbeu 2 1473 69.09% 21.29%
4 2014-05-04 62.4 @ Flamurtari 2 1330 47.96% KF Tirana 2 1363 26.68% 25.36%
5 2013-10-02 61.8 @ Flamurtari 2 1325 56.51% Bylis 2 1283 19.06% 24.43%
6 2013-11-23 61.5 @ Bylis 2 1291 50.72% Teuta 2 1301 24.15% 25.13%
7 2013-09-18 61.4 @ Partizani 2 1286 53.88% Bylis 2 1269 21.32% 24.79%
8 2014-02-01 61.3 @ Besa 2 1261 44.77% Laci 2 1319 29.69% 25.54%
9 2013-09-15 61.1 @ Besa 2 1239 43.18% Teuta 2 1308 31.21% 25.60%
10 2013-10-19 58.2 @ Skenderbeu 1 1427 60.25% Teuta 1 1347 15.98% 23.77%
11 2013-12-07 57.9 @ Kukesi 1 1344 39.16% Skenderbeu 1 1443 35.14% 25.69%
12 2014-05-10 57.6 Laci 2 1352 15.56% @ Skenderbeu 1 1437 60.79% 23.65%
13 2014-02-17 57.4 @ Teuta 1 1301 30.66% Skenderbeu 1 1461 43.76% 25.58%
14 2014-04-26 56.6 @ Kukesi 1 1372 59.68% Laci 1 1299 16.44% 23.88%
15 2013-11-03 56.2 @ Vllaznia 1 1352 60.49% Bylis 1 1270 15.79% 23.72%
16 2013-11-01 56.1 Kastrioti 2 1206 11.39% @ Teuta 1 1358 66.42% 22.19%
17 2013-11-23 56.1 @ Besa 1 1233 25.97% Skenderbeu 1 1431 48.73% 25.30%
18 2014-03-16 56.0 @ Besa 1 1333 66.17% Kastrioti 1 1185 11.56% 22.27%
19 2014-03-22 56.0 @ Partizani 1 1343 60.84% KF Tirana 1 1257 15.52% 23.64%
20 2014-02-16 55.8 @ Flamurtari 1 1307 50.34% Laci 1 1320 24.49% 25.17%
21 2014-03-01 55.8 @ Besa 1 1320 62.96% Lushnja 1 1210 13.88% 23.15%
22 2013-10-20 55.7 @ Kukesi 1 1310 62.10% Besa 1 1210 14.54% 23.36%
23 2014-03-12 55.7 @ Kukesi 1 1312 57.11% Vllaznia 1 1265 18.55% 24.34%
24 2014-03-08 55.6 @ Teuta 1 1294 49.96% Partizani 1 1310 24.84% 25.20%
25 2013-09-21 55.5 @ Lushnja 1 1267 42.13% Vllaznia 1 1344 32.23% 25.64%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-05-03 23.8 @ Teuta 3 1335 76.39% Bylis 0 1031 5.56% 18.05%
2 2014-04-26 24.5 @ Flamurtari 3 1331 74.20% Bylis 0 1064 6.65% 19.15%
3 2014-04-12 25.1 @ Vllaznia 3 1342 72.58% Bylis 0 1102 7.53% 19.89%
4 2014-03-22 25.2 @ Skenderbeu 3 1484 76.21% Bylis 0 1183 5.64% 18.15%
5 2014-05-10 27.4 Kukesi 3 1378 64.60% @ Bylis 0 1024 12.67% 22.73%
6 2014-02-22 27.7 @ Skenderbeu 2 1460 73.73% Kastrioti 0 1201 6.90% 19.37%
7 2014-04-26 27.9 @ Besa 3 1282 63.07% Lushnja 0 1171 13.80% 23.13%
8 2013-11-02 28.7 @ Skenderbeu 3 1434 66.37% Partizani 0 1283 11.42% 22.21%
9 2014-04-06 28.8 @ Kastrioti 3 1192 59.30% Bylis 0 1122 16.74% 23.95%
10 2014-05-04 29.1 @ Laci 6 1324 66.43% Kastrioti 0 1172 11.38% 22.19%
11 2013-09-28 29.7 @ Bylis 3 1261 57.42% Besa 0 1210 18.29% 24.29%
12 2014-05-04 30.0 @ Kukesi 4 1371 72.61% Lushnja 1 1130 7.51% 19.88%
13 2013-09-28 30.1 @ Vllaznia 3 1345 58.53% Laci 0 1283 17.38% 24.10%
14 2014-02-15 30.3 @ Partizani 2 1295 61.87% Lushnja 0 1198 14.72% 23.42%
15 2014-04-30 30.5 Besa 3 1300 53.96% @ Bylis 0 1056 21.25% 24.78%
16 2013-09-29 30.7 @ Skenderbeu 2 1381 63.39% Lushnja 0 1266 13.56% 23.05%
17 2014-04-05 30.9 @ Kukesi 3 1357 57.10% Teuta 0 1310 18.56% 24.34%
18 2014-03-12 31.1 @ Partizani 2 1312 59.85% Bylis 0 1237 16.30% 23.85%
19 2014-04-19 31.3 KF Tirana 3 1313 51.42% @ Bylis 0 1092 23.51% 25.07%
20 2014-05-10 31.4 @ KF Tirana 3 1364 56.37% Besa 0 1323 19.18% 24.45%
21 2013-12-15 31.8 @ Vllaznia 2 1299 57.60% Lushnja 0 1246 18.14% 24.26%
22 2013-09-29 31.9 @ Teuta 2 1323 57.81% KF Tirana 0 1268 17.96% 24.22%
23 2013-12-14 32.0 @ Skenderbeu 1 1443 72.94% KF Tirana 0 1197 7.33% 19.73%
24 2013-12-08 32.1 @ Flamurtari 2 1335 57.75% Teuta 0 1281 18.02% 24.23%
25 2013-12-22 32.8 @ Laci 3 1289 48.91% Vllaznia 0 1314 25.81% 25.29%