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2014-15 Kategoria Superiore Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Skenderbeu

79 points · 6th Title

Last Title: 2013-14

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Partizani

9.48 points above expected

73 points · 63.52 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Flamurtari

12.14 points below expected

38 points · 50.14 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Skenderbeu Champion 36 24 7 5 79 58 18 +40 70.07 +8.93
2 Kukesi 36 23 6 7 75 59 27 +32 66.83 +8.17
3 Partizani 36 22 7 7 73 42 24 +18 63.52 +9.48
4 KF Tirana 36 21 8 7 71 47 27 +20 64.60 +6.40
5 Laci 36 20 9 7 69 46 19 +27 63.08 +5.92
6 Flamurtari 36 10 8 18 38 29 37 -8 50.14 -12.14
7 Vllaznia* 36 11 5 20 35 27 41 -14 41.07 -6.07
8 Teuta 36 9 2 25 29 31 54 -23 39.76 -10.76
9 Apolonia 36 7 4 25 25 19 56 -37 25.37 -0.37
10 KF Elbasani 36 4 2 30 14 19 74 -55 22.35 -8.35

* Point deductions: Vllaznia (-3 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Partizani 73 63.52 +9.48
2 Skenderbeu 79 70.07 +8.93
3 Kukesi 75 66.83 +8.17
4 KF Tirana 71 64.60 +6.40
5 Laci 69 63.08 +5.92

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Flamurtari 38 50.14 -12.14
2 Teuta 29 39.76 -10.76
3 KF Elbasani 14 22.35 -8.35
4 Vllaznia 35 41.07 -6.07
5 Apolonia 25 25.37 -0.37

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vllaznia 5 Nov 22 – Dec 17 1 in 129
2 Laci 7 Feb 8 – Mar 16 1 in 39
3 Kukesi 5 Dec 12 – Jan 31 1 in 18
4 Skenderbeu 5 Oct 25 – Nov 23 1 in 15
5 Apolonia 2 Mar 5 – Mar 8 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Flamurtari 7 Mar 4 – Apr 12 1 in 201
2 Vllaznia 6 Oct 5 – Nov 8 1 in 41
3 KF Elbasani 8 Mar 5 – Apr 25 1 in 32
4 Apolonia 8 Dec 13 – Feb 22 1 in 27
5 Teuta 6 Feb 8 – Mar 8 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Partizani 9 Sep 11 – Nov 2 1 in 54
2 Laci 11 Dec 17 – Mar 16 1 in 42
3 KF Tirana 9 Sep 26 – Nov 30 1 in 26
4 Apolonia 3 Feb 28 – Mar 8 1 in 24
5 Skenderbeu 12 Dec 17 – Mar 21 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Flamurtari 8 Sep 27 – Nov 22 1 in 112
2 Vllaznia 7 Apr 12 – May 22 1 in 21
3 KF Elbasani 15 Feb 14 – May 22 1 in 12
4 Apolonia 16 Oct 26 – Feb 28 1 in 12
5 Laci 4 Aug 24 – Sep 14 1 in 7

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Skenderbeu 1564 79 +46 13 10.2 +2.8
Kukesi 1510 75 +27 12 10.7 +1.3
Partizani 1428 73 +39 13 10.7 +2.3
KF Tirana 1415 71 -11 8 7.6 +0.4
Laci 1504 69 +6 12 11.2 +0.8
Flamurtari 1133 38 -25 3 4.4 -1.4
Vllaznia 1115 38 -88 1 5.2 -4.2
Teuta 1076 29 -5 3 3.4 -0.4
Apolonia 1047 25 +48 6 5.0 +1.0
KF Elbasani 893 14 -38 1 2.5 -1.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team APO FLA KE KT KUK LAC PAR SKE TEU VLL
Apolonia —
1-1-2
2.62
2-0-2
6.21
0-0-4
1.82
0-2-2
1.78
0-0-4
1.55
1-0-3
1.90
0-1-3
1.56
2-0-2
3.87
1-0-3
2.94
Flamurtari
2-1-1
8.72
 —
4-0-0
9.03
0-1-3
3.86
0-0-4
3.48
0-2-2
4.08
1-1-2
3.78
0-1-3
3.86
2-0-2
6.96
1-2-1
6.09
KF Elbasani
2-0-2
5.12
0-0-4
2.31
 —
0-0-4
1.50
0-0-4
1.50
0-0-4
1.50
0-0-4
1.43
0-0-4
1.68
2-0-2
3.16
0-2-2
2.83
KF Tirana
4-0-0
9.54
3-1-0
7.46
4-0-0
9.88
 —
2-0-2
5.17
1-1-2
6.20
0-2-2
5.93
1-2-1
4.61
3-1-0
8.60
3-1-0
7.70
Kukesi
2-2-0
9.60
4-0-0
7.86
4-0-0
9.88
2-0-2
6.15
 —
1-2-1
6.69
1-1-2
6.49
1-1-2
5.00
4-0-0
8.55
4-0-0
7.40
Laci
4-0-0
9.83
2-2-0
7.26
4-0-0
9.89
2-1-1
5.12
1-2-1
4.63
 —
0-2-2
6.05
1-1-2
4.95
3-1-0
7.62
3-0-1
7.82
Partizani
3-0-1
9.47
2-1-1
7.54
4-0-0
9.95
2-2-0
5.39
2-1-1
4.83
2-2-0
5.27
 —
1-1-2
4.68
4-0-0
8.39
2-0-2
7.82
Skenderbeu
3-1-0
9.84
3-1-0
7.48
4-0-0
9.70
1-2-1
6.71
2-1-1
6.32
2-1-1
6.38
2-1-1
6.64
 —
3-0-1
8.89
4-0-0
8.41
Teuta
2-0-2
7.45
2-0-2
4.37
2-0-2
8.17
0-1-3
2.75
0-0-4
2.80
0-1-3
3.72
0-0-4
2.94
1-0-3
2.47
 —
2-0-2
4.93
Vllaznia
3-0-1
8.39
1-2-1
5.23
2-2-0
8.51
0-1-3
3.63
0-0-4
3.93
1-0-3
3.52
2-0-2
3.52
0-0-4
2.93
2-0-2
6.39
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.89 +15.8
Allowed 0.88 -12.6
Differential 0.96 +7.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%17.22%8.89%3.89%0.56%0.28%39.17%
117.22%6.67%5.56%1.39%1.67%0.56%33.06%
28.89%5.56%1.11%0.83%0.56%0.56%17.50%
33.89%1.39%0.83%———6.11%
40.56%1.67%0.56%———2.78%
5+0.28%0.56%0.56%———1.39%
Total39.17%33.06%17.50%6.11%2.78%1.39%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.05 +0.00
SD 1.14 1.14 1.73
CV 1.09 1.09 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%27.78%22.22%8.33%—2.78%66.67%
18.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%—19.44%
22.78%5.56%2.78%———11.11%
3———————
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total16.67%38.89%27.78%11.11%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.53 1.56 -1.03
SD 0.91 1.25 1.68
CV 1.72 0.81 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%25.00%8.33%—2.78%—44.44%
18.33%13.89%13.89%———36.11%
25.56%8.33%————13.89%
35.56%—————5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.78%47.22%22.22%—2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 1.03 -0.22
SD 0.89 0.88 1.44
CV 1.10 0.85 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—25.00%19.44%8.33%2.78%—55.56%
15.56%5.56%5.56%2.78%11.11%5.56%36.11%
25.56%——2.78%——8.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total11.11%30.56%25.00%13.89%13.89%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.53 2.06 -1.53
SD 0.65 1.41 1.52
CV 1.24 0.69 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%5.56%5.56%2.78%——30.56%
119.44%2.78%2.78%—2.78%—27.78%
213.89%8.33%2.78%———25.00%
35.56%5.56%2.78%———13.89%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total55.56%22.22%16.67%2.78%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 0.75 +0.56
SD 1.14 1.02 1.50
CV 0.87 1.37 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%8.33%———22.22%
119.44%5.56%2.78%2.78%——30.56%
25.56%13.89%2.78%———22.22%
311.11%—2.78%———13.89%
45.56%2.78%————8.33%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total50.00%27.78%19.44%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 0.75 +0.89
SD 1.36 0.87 1.67
CV 0.83 1.17 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%11.11%8.33%———33.33%
113.89%11.11%————25.00%
219.44%5.56%————25.00%
38.33%5.56%————13.89%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total55.56%36.11%8.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 0.53 +0.75
SD 1.16 0.65 1.46
CV 0.91 1.24 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%—5.56%——25.00%
133.33%8.33%————41.67%
213.89%8.33%2.78%——2.78%27.78%
32.78%—————2.78%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total58.33%30.56%2.78%5.56%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 0.67 +0.50
SD 0.94 1.10 1.46
CV 0.81 1.64 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%8.33%5.56%———27.78%
127.78%5.56%————33.33%
213.89%—————13.89%
35.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
4—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
5+2.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
Total63.89%22.22%13.89%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 0.50 +1.11
SD 1.63 0.74 1.63
CV 1.01 1.47 —
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%30.56%5.56%5.56%——47.22%
113.89%—11.11%2.78%——27.78%
22.78%5.56%—5.56%5.56%2.78%22.22%
3———————
4———————
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total22.22%38.89%16.67%13.89%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 1.50 -0.64
SD 1.07 1.30 1.48
CV 1.25 0.87 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%22.22%5.56%8.33%——38.89%
122.22%11.11%16.67%2.78%——52.78%
25.56%—————5.56%
3———————
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total30.56%36.11%22.22%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.75 1.14 -0.39
SD 0.81 0.99 1.44
CV 1.07 0.87 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Skenderbeu 1564 79 70.07 +8.93 93.0% 53 59 66 71 74 80 90
Kukesi 1510 75 66.83 +8.17 88.0% 46 56 61 67 72 79 86
Laci 1504 69 63.08 +5.92 77.0% 43 50 58 63 68 76 81
Partizani 1428 73 63.52 +9.48 91.0% 46 52 59 63 68 76 83
KF Tirana 1415 71 64.60 +6.40 81.0% 43 52 59 65 70 77 82
Flamurtari 1133 38 50.14 -12.14 9.0% 29 36 45 50 56 63 68
Vllaznia 1115 35 41.07 -6.07 19.0% 23 32 36 41 44 53 64
Teuta 1076 29 39.76 -10.76 5.0% 25 29 36 40 44 48 55
Apolonia 1047 25 25.37 -0.37 46.0% 10 13 20 26 30 36 38
KF Elbasani 893 14 22.35 -8.35 7.0% 11 13 18 22 26 32 41

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 27% * Slight Edge: 27% to 33% * Clear Edge: 33% to 40% * Strong Edge: 40% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+26.11%
No Edge
55.00%16.11%28.89%
Elo Value
Home Edge
233 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
092.87600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.47 goals
Neutral
-2+0.40+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.04 * Tight Race: 0.04 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.4
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
47%
Skenderbeu, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.11/gm
Tight Race
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.69 * Some Luck: 5.69 to 8.54 * Lucky: 8.54 to 11.39 * Wild Swing: 11.39 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.78 * Close: 0.78 to 1.16 * Off: 1.16 to 1.55 * Way Off: 1.55 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.26 points
Some Luck
07.1218
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.20
Pinpoint
00.972
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
93.00%
Skenderbeu
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
5.00%
Teuta
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 77.5% * Wide Edge: 77.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 93% * Strong Edge: 93% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 72.5% * Very Frequent: 72.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 10.5% * Occasional: 10.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.25
Lopsided
00.120.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 239.58
2.98
Wide Separation
0.91.351.82.153
Interquartile Edge
91%
Wide Edge
50%63.5%72.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
63%
Some Drama
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Frequent
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.56 * Notable Separation: 0.56 to 0.62 * Lopsided: 0.62 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14.5% * Upset-Prone: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 18.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 10.5% * As Expected: 10.5% to 12.5% * Shaky Favorites: 12.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.44
Highly Predictable
00.502
Matchup Imbalance
0.50
Slight Separation
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.42
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.78
Near-Lock
00.410.590.731
Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Upset-Prone
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
11%
As Expected
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.01
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.43
Very Underconfident
0.4437911.001.55621
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.104
Well Within Noise
00.1120.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Skenderbeu47.00%20.00%17.00%9.00%6.00%1.00%————
Kukesi18.00%29.00%18.00%21.00%11.00%2.00%1.00%———
Partizani9.00%17.00%17.00%29.00%20.00%8.00%————
KF Tirana16.00%17.00%25.00%16.00%21.00%3.00%2.00%———
Laci10.00%17.00%20.00%17.00%20.00%15.00%1.00%———
Flamurtari——3.00%7.00%20.00%47.00%17.00%6.00%——
Vllaznia———1.00%2.00%12.00%44.00%37.00%4.00%—
Teuta—————12.00%33.00%47.00%8.00%—
Apolonia——————1.00%8.00%55.00%36.00%
KF Elbasani——————1.00%2.00%33.00%64.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Flamurtari 100% —
KF Tirana 100% —
Kukesi 100% —
Laci 100% —
Partizani 100% —
Skenderbeu 100% —
Vllaznia 96.00% 4.00%
Teuta 92.00% 8.00%
Apolonia 9.00% 91.00%
KF Elbasani 3.00% 97.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2014-08-23 Skenderbeu L 0-135.7 1072 1340 20.12% 16.78% 63.10%-0.75 -12.6 0
2014-08-23 @ KF Elbasani W 1-035.7 1340 1072 63.10% 16.78% 20.12%+0.75 +12.6 3
2014-08-23 Teuta W 2-146.3 1301 1317 52.00% 17.03% 30.97%+0.33 +17.4 3
2014-08-23 @ Flamurtari L 1-246.3 1317 1301 30.97% 17.03% 52.00%-0.33 -17.4 0
2014-08-24 Apolonia W 3-026.3 1324 1103 73.68% 16.13% 10.19%+1.35 +18.2 3
2014-08-24 @ KF Tirana L 0-326.3 1103 1324 10.19% 16.13% 73.68%-1.35 -18.2 0
2014-08-24 Kukesi L 1-252.1 1296 1327 50.10% 17.05% 32.85%+0.27 -26.2 0
2014-08-24 @ Vllaznia W 2-152.1 1327 1296 32.85% 17.05% 50.10%-0.27 +26.2 3
2014-08-24 Partizani D 1-159.5 1317 1288 57.44% 16.94% 25.62%+0.52 -4.1 1
2014-08-24 @ Laci D 1-159.5 1288 1317 25.62% 16.94% 57.44%-0.52 +4.1 1
2014-08-30 Flamurtari W 1-038.7 1343 1318 56.88% 16.95% 26.17%+0.50 +15.9 6
2014-08-30 @ KF Tirana L 0-138.7 1318 1343 26.17% 16.95% 56.88%-0.50 -15.9 3
2014-08-30 Laci W 2-034.3 1353 1313 58.69% 16.91% 24.40%+0.57 +28.2 6
2014-08-30 @ Skenderbeu L 0-234.3 1313 1353 24.40% 16.91% 58.69%-0.57 -28.2 1
2014-08-30 Partizani W 1-046.6 1085 1292 26.56% 16.96% 56.48%-0.49 +31.0 3
2014-08-30 @ Apolonia L 0-146.6 1292 1085 56.48% 16.96% 26.56%+0.49 -31.0 1
2014-08-31 KF Elbasani W 3-025.2 1353 1059 77.34% 15.67% 6.99%+1.66 +12.6 6
2014-08-31 @ Kukesi L 0-325.2 1059 1353 6.99% 15.67% 77.34%-1.66 -12.6 0
2014-08-31 Vllaznia L 0-147.4 1299 1270 57.43% 16.94% 25.63%+0.52 -31.5 0
2014-08-31 @ Teuta W 1-047.4 1270 1299 25.63% 16.94% 57.43%-0.52 +31.5 3
2014-09-10 Apolonia W 3-026.9 1302 1116 71.52% 16.32% 12.15%+1.20 +21.5 6
2014-09-10 @ Flamurtari L 0-326.9 1116 1302 12.15% 16.32% 71.52%-1.20 -21.5 3
2014-09-10 Kukesi D 0-054.1 1284 1366 43.14% 17.08% 39.78%+0.05 -0.5 2
2014-09-10 @ Laci D 0-054.1 1366 1284 39.78% 17.08% 43.14%-0.05 +0.5 7
2014-09-10 Teuta L 1-533.5 1047 1268 24.93% 16.92% 58.15%-0.55 -45.4 0
2014-09-10 @ KF Elbasani W 5-133.5 1268 1047 58.15% 16.92% 24.93%+0.55 +45.4 3
2014-09-11 KF Tirana D 1-159.9 1302 1359 46.55% 17.07% 36.38%+0.15 -1.3 4
2014-09-11 @ Vllaznia D 1-159.9 1359 1302 36.38% 17.07% 46.55%-0.15 +1.3 7
2014-09-11 Skenderbeu W 1-044.4 1261 1381 37.56% 17.08% 45.36%-0.12 +25.4 4
2014-09-11 @ Partizani L 0-144.4 1381 1261 45.36% 17.08% 37.56%+0.12 -25.4 6
2014-09-14 KF Elbasani W 2-137.0 1360 1001 79.84% 15.19% 4.97%+1.94 +3.1 10
2014-09-14 @ KF Tirana L 1-237.0 1001 1360 4.97% 15.19% 79.84%-1.94 -3.1 0
2014-09-14 Laci D 0-053.7 1313 1284 57.45% 16.94% 25.61%+0.52 -4.6 4
2014-09-14 @ Teuta D 0-053.7 1284 1313 25.61% 16.94% 57.45%-0.52 +4.6 3
2014-09-14 Partizani L 0-149.6 1366 1286 62.83% 16.79% 20.38%+0.74 -34.4 7
2014-09-14 @ Kukesi W 1-049.6 1286 1366 20.38% 16.79% 62.83%-0.74 +34.4 7
2014-09-14 Skenderbeu D 0-053.1 1095 1356 20.81% 16.80% 62.38%-0.72 +6.1 4
2014-09-14 @ Apolonia D 0-053.1 1356 1095 62.38% 16.80% 20.81%+0.72 -6.1 7
2014-09-14 Vllaznia D 0-053.9 1324 1301 56.79% 16.95% 26.26%+0.50 -4.4 7
2014-09-14 @ Flamurtari D 0-053.9 1301 1324 26.26% 16.95% 56.79%-0.50 +4.4 5
2014-09-19 Kukesi W 2-035.2 1350 1332 56.13% 16.96% 26.90%+0.48 +30.7 10
2014-09-19 @ Skenderbeu L 0-235.2 1332 1350 26.90% 16.96% 56.13%-0.48 -30.7 7
2014-09-19 Teuta W 2-034.9 1321 1309 55.41% 16.98% 27.61%+0.45 +31.4 10
2014-09-19 @ Partizani L 0-234.9 1309 1321 27.61% 16.98% 55.41%-0.45 -31.4 4
2014-09-20 Apolonia W 2-028.8 1305 1101 72.67% 16.23% 11.10%+1.27 +13.6 8
2014-09-20 @ Vllaznia L 0-228.8 1101 1305 11.10% 16.23% 72.67%-1.27 -13.6 4
2014-09-20 Flamurtari L 0-230.2 998 1320 15.63% 16.57% 67.80%-0.98 -18.8 0
2014-09-20 @ KF Elbasani W 2-030.2 1320 998 67.80% 16.57% 15.63%+0.98 +18.8 10
2014-09-20 KF Tirana W 2-038.5 1289 1363 44.11% 17.08% 38.81%+0.08 +42.0 6
2014-09-20 @ Laci L 0-238.5 1363 1289 38.81% 17.08% 44.11%-0.08 -42.0 10
2014-09-26 Kukesi L 0-137.3 1087 1301 25.74% 16.94% 57.32%-0.52 -15.7 4
2014-09-26 @ Apolonia W 1-037.3 1301 1087 57.32% 16.94% 25.74%+0.52 +15.7 10
2014-09-26 Partizani D 0-054.3 1321 1352 50.01% 17.05% 32.95%+0.26 -2.4 11
2014-09-26 @ KF Tirana D 0-054.3 1352 1321 32.95% 17.05% 50.01%-0.26 +2.4 11
2014-09-27 KF Elbasani W 1-030.7 1319 979 79.16% 15.34% 5.51%+1.85 +3.6 11
2014-09-27 @ Vllaznia L 0-130.7 979 1319 5.51% 15.34% 79.16%-1.85 -3.6 0
2014-09-27 Laci D 1-160.0 1338 1331 54.92% 16.98% 28.09%+0.43 -3.4 11
2014-09-27 @ Flamurtari D 1-160.0 1331 1338 28.09% 16.98% 54.92%-0.43 +3.4 7
2014-09-27 Skenderbeu W 2-039.8 1277 1380 40.01% 17.08% 42.91%-0.04 +45.7 7
2014-09-27 @ Teuta L 0-239.8 1380 1277 42.91% 17.08% 40.01%+0.04 -45.7 10
2014-10-04 Flamurtari D 0-054.5 1354 1335 56.31% 16.96% 26.73%+0.48 -4.2 12
2014-10-04 @ Partizani D 0-054.5 1335 1354 26.73% 16.96% 56.31%-0.48 +4.2 12
2014-10-04 KF Tirana D 0-054.1 1335 1318 55.93% 16.97% 27.11%+0.47 -4.1 11
2014-10-04 @ Skenderbeu D 0-054.1 1318 1335 27.11% 16.97% 55.93%-0.47 +4.1 12
2014-10-05 Apolonia W 2-038.1 976 1071 41.07% 17.09% 41.85%-0.01 +44.8 3
2014-10-05 @ KF Elbasani L 0-238.1 1071 976 41.85% 17.09% 41.07%+0.01 -44.8 4
2014-10-05 Teuta W 1-039.6 1317 1323 53.18% 17.01% 29.81%+0.37 +17.8 13
2014-10-05 @ Kukesi L 0-139.6 1323 1317 29.81% 17.01% 53.18%-0.37 -17.8 7
2014-10-05 Vllaznia W 3-032.9 1334 1322 55.43% 16.98% 27.60%+0.45 +45.6 10
2014-10-05 @ Laci L 0-332.9 1322 1334 27.60% 16.98% 55.43%-0.45 -45.6 11
2014-10-17 Skenderbeu D 1-160.0 1339 1330 55.05% 16.98% 27.97%+0.44 -3.5 13
2014-10-17 @ Flamurtari D 1-160.0 1330 1339 27.97% 16.98% 55.05%-0.44 +3.5 12
2014-10-18 Kukesi W 3-142.0 1323 1334 52.50% 17.02% 30.48%+0.35 +29.7 15
2014-10-18 @ KF Tirana L 1-342.0 1334 1323 30.48% 17.02% 52.50%-0.35 -29.7 13
2014-10-18 Laci L 0-229.4 1021 1380 12.97% 16.39% 70.64%-1.14 -15.8 3
2014-10-18 @ KF Elbasani W 2-029.4 1380 1021 70.64% 16.39% 12.97%+1.14 +15.8 13
2014-10-19 Partizani L 0-143.9 1277 1350 44.21% 17.08% 38.71%+0.08 -24.9 11
2014-10-19 @ Vllaznia W 1-043.9 1350 1277 38.71% 17.08% 44.21%-0.08 +24.9 15
2014-10-19 Teuta W 1-048.7 1027 1305 19.19% 16.74% 64.07%-0.80 +35.1 7
2014-10-19 @ Apolonia L 0-148.7 1305 1027 64.07% 16.74% 19.19%+0.80 -35.1 7
2014-10-25 Flamurtari W 2-036.6 1305 1336 50.02% 17.05% 32.93%+0.27 +36.6 16
2014-10-25 @ Kukesi L 0-236.6 1336 1305 32.93% 17.05% 50.02%-0.27 -36.6 13
2014-10-25 Vllaznia W 3-030.1 1334 1252 63.06% 16.78% 20.16%+0.75 +34.5 15
2014-10-25 @ Skenderbeu L 0-330.1 1252 1334 20.16% 16.78% 63.06%-0.75 -34.5 11
2014-10-26 Apolonia W 3-133.0 1395 1062 78.96% 15.38% 5.66%+1.83 +6.1 16
2014-10-26 @ Laci L 1-333.0 1062 1395 5.66% 15.38% 78.96%-1.83 -6.1 7
2014-10-26 KF Elbasani W 1-030.5 1375 1005 80.23% 15.10% 4.67%+1.99 +3.1 18
2014-10-26 @ Partizani L 0-130.5 1005 1375 4.67% 15.10% 80.23%-1.99 -3.1 3
2014-10-26 KF Tirana L 0-143.5 1270 1352 43.00% 17.08% 39.92%+0.05 -24.3 7
2014-10-26 @ Teuta W 1-043.5 1352 1270 39.92% 17.08% 43.00%-0.05 +24.3 18
2014-10-29 Flamurtari W 1-040.9 1246 1299 47.02% 17.07% 35.91%+0.17 +20.9 10
2014-10-29 @ Teuta L 0-140.9 1299 1246 35.91% 17.07% 47.02%-0.17 -20.9 13
2014-10-29 KF Elbasani W 1-030.5 1368 1002 80.12% 15.13% 4.76%+1.97 +3.1 18
2014-10-29 @ Skenderbeu L 0-130.5 1002 1368 4.76% 15.13% 80.12%-1.97 -3.1 3
2014-10-29 KF Tirana L 0-328.1 1056 1377 15.67% 16.57% 67.76%-0.98 -27.4 7
2014-10-29 @ Apolonia W 3-028.1 1377 1056 67.76% 16.57% 15.67%+0.98 +27.4 21
2014-10-29 Laci W 2-038.3 1378 1402 51.00% 17.04% 31.96%+0.30 +35.7 21
2014-10-29 @ Partizani L 0-238.3 1402 1378 31.96% 17.04% 51.00%-0.30 -35.7 16
2014-10-29 Vllaznia W 2-141.4 1341 1217 66.86% 16.62% 16.52%+0.93 +9.9 19
2014-10-29 @ Kukesi L 1-241.4 1217 1341 16.52% 16.62% 66.86%-0.93 -9.9 11
2014-11-02 Apolonia W 1-030.4 1414 1028 80.72% 14.98% 4.30%+2.05 +2.8 24
2014-11-02 @ Partizani L 0-130.4 1028 1414 4.30% 14.98% 80.72%-2.05 -2.8 7
2014-11-02 KF Tirana D 0-054.4 1278 1404 36.84% 17.07% 46.08%-0.14 +1.3 14
2014-11-02 @ Flamurtari D 0-054.4 1404 1278 46.08% 17.07% 36.84%+0.14 -1.3 22
2014-11-02 Kukesi L 0-229.5 999 1351 13.40% 16.42% 70.18%-1.11 -16.3 3
2014-11-02 @ KF Elbasani W 2-029.5 1351 999 70.18% 16.42% 13.40%+1.11 +16.3 22
2014-11-02 Skenderbeu L 0-243.9 1366 1372 53.28% 17.01% 29.71%+0.37 -55.4 16
2014-11-02 @ Laci W 2-043.9 1372 1366 29.71% 17.01% 53.28%-0.37 +55.4 21
2014-11-02 Teuta L 1-250.1 1207 1267 46.18% 17.07% 36.75%+0.14 -24.3 11
2014-11-02 @ Vllaznia W 2-150.1 1267 1207 36.75% 17.07% 46.18%-0.14 +24.3 13
2014-11-08 KF Elbasani L 0-248.5 1291 982 77.98% 15.56% 6.46%+1.72 -80.8 13
2014-11-08 @ Teuta W 2-048.5 982 1291 6.46% 15.56% 77.98%-1.72 +80.8 6
2014-11-08 Partizani W 3-036.3 1427 1417 55.23% 16.98% 27.79%+0.44 +45.9 24
2014-11-08 @ Skenderbeu L 0-336.3 1417 1427 27.79% 16.98% 55.23%-0.44 -45.9 24
2014-11-08 Vllaznia W 1-033.1 1403 1183 73.60% 16.14% 10.26%+1.34 +6.7 25
2014-11-08 @ KF Tirana L 0-133.1 1183 1403 10.26% 16.14% 73.60%-1.34 -6.7 11
2014-11-09 Flamurtari D 1-158.6 1025 1280 21.50% 16.83% 61.68%-0.69 +5.3 8
2014-11-09 @ Apolonia D 1-158.6 1280 1025 61.68% 16.83% 21.50%+0.69 -5.3 15
2014-11-09 Laci W 1-037.8 1368 1311 60.50% 16.86% 22.64%+0.64 +14.0 25
2014-11-09 @ Kukesi L 0-137.8 1311 1368 22.64% 16.86% 60.50%-0.64 -14.0 16
2014-11-22 Flamurtari W 1-042.4 1176 1274 40.71% 17.09% 42.20%-0.02 +23.9 14
2014-11-22 @ Vllaznia L 0-142.4 1274 1176 42.20% 17.09% 40.71%+0.02 -23.9 15
2014-11-23 Apolonia W 6-024.7 1473 1031 82.32% 14.50% 3.18%+2.29 +10.8 27
2014-11-23 @ Skenderbeu L 0-624.7 1031 1473 3.18% 14.50% 82.32%-2.29 -10.9 8
2014-11-23 KF Tirana L 2-344.8 1063 1409 13.84% 16.46% 69.70%-1.09 -8.0 6
2014-11-23 @ KF Elbasani W 3-244.8 1409 1063 69.70% 16.46% 13.84%+1.09 +8.0 28
2014-11-23 Kukesi W 2-037.3 1371 1382 52.62% 17.02% 30.36%+0.35 +34.1 27
2014-11-23 @ Partizani L 0-237.3 1382 1371 30.36% 17.02% 52.62%-0.35 -34.1 25
2014-11-23 Teuta W 3-029.6 1297 1210 63.45% 16.77% 19.78%+0.77 +33.9 19
2014-11-23 @ Laci L 0-329.6 1210 1297 19.78% 16.77% 63.45%-0.77 -33.9 13
2014-11-29 Vllaznia L 0-138.4 1020 1200 29.69% 17.01% 53.30%-0.37 -17.8 8
2014-11-29 @ Apolonia W 1-038.4 1200 1020 53.30% 17.01% 29.69%+0.37 +17.8 17
2014-11-30 Laci D 0-055.4 1417 1330 63.49% 16.76% 19.74%+0.77 -6.5 29
2014-11-30 @ KF Tirana D 0-055.4 1330 1417 19.74% 16.76% 63.49%-0.77 +6.5 20
2014-11-30 Partizani L 0-137.5 1176 1405 24.14% 16.90% 58.96%-0.58 -14.8 13
2014-11-30 @ Teuta W 1-037.5 1405 1176 58.96% 16.90% 24.14%+0.58 +14.8 30
2014-11-30 Skenderbeu W 1-048.1 1347 1484 35.39% 17.07% 47.54%-0.19 +26.5 28
2014-11-30 @ Kukesi L 0-148.1 1484 1347 47.54% 17.07% 35.39%+0.19 -26.5 27
2014-12-01 KF Elbasani W 2-028.9 1250 1055 72.10% 16.28% 11.63%+1.24 +14.2 18
2014-12-01 @ Flamurtari L 0-228.9 1055 1250 11.63% 16.28% 72.10%-1.24 -14.2 6
2014-12-06 Apolonia D 0-053.5 1374 1002 80.29% 15.09% 4.63%+1.99 -11.8 29
2014-12-06 @ Kukesi D 0-053.5 1002 1374 4.63% 15.09% 80.29%-1.99 +11.8 9
2014-12-06 Teuta W 3-243.2 1457 1162 77.42% 15.65% 6.92%+1.67 +4.1 30
2014-12-06 @ Skenderbeu L 2-343.2 1162 1457 6.92% 15.65% 77.42%-1.67 -4.1 13
2014-12-07 Flamurtari D 1-159.5 1337 1265 62.08% 16.81% 21.11%+0.71 -5.4 21
2014-12-07 @ Laci D 1-159.5 1265 1337 21.11% 16.81% 62.08%-0.71 +5.4 19
2014-12-07 Vllaznia L 1-436.9 1041 1218 30.11% 17.01% 52.87%-0.36 -41.5 6
2014-12-07 @ KF Elbasani W 4-136.9 1218 1041 52.87% 17.01% 30.11%+0.36 +41.5 20
2014-12-08 KF Tirana W 2-038.2 1420 1411 55.05% 16.98% 27.97%+0.44 +31.8 33
2014-12-08 @ Partizani L 0-238.2 1411 1420 27.97% 16.98% 55.05%-0.44 -31.8 29
2014-12-12 Kukesi L 0-331.8 1157 1362 26.80% 16.96% 56.24%-0.48 -44.5 13
2014-12-12 @ Teuta W 3-031.8 1362 1157 56.24% 16.96% 26.80%+0.48 +44.5 32
2014-12-13 KF Elbasani L 0-146.2 1014 1000 55.73% 16.97% 27.30%+0.46 -30.6 9
2014-12-13 @ Apolonia W 1-046.2 1000 1014 27.30% 16.97% 55.73%-0.46 +30.6 9
2014-12-13 Laci W 1-041.9 1259 1332 44.41% 17.08% 38.51%+0.09 +22.2 23
2014-12-13 @ Vllaznia L 0-141.9 1332 1259 38.51% 17.08% 44.41%-0.09 -22.2 21
2014-12-13 Partizani W 1-047.7 1270 1451 29.56% 17.01% 53.43%-0.38 +29.4 22
2014-12-13 @ Flamurtari L 0-147.7 1451 1270 53.43% 17.01% 29.56%+0.38 -29.4 33
2014-12-13 Skenderbeu W 2-042.1 1379 1461 42.98% 17.08% 39.93%+0.05 +43.0 32
2014-12-13 @ KF Tirana L 0-242.1 1461 1379 39.93% 17.08% 42.98%-0.05 -43.1 30
2014-12-17 Apolonia W 1-034.2 1113 983 67.31% 16.60% 16.09%+0.95 +10.2 16
2014-12-17 @ Teuta L 0-134.2 983 1113 16.09% 16.60% 67.31%-0.95 -10.2 9
2014-12-17 Flamurtari W 1-036.6 1418 1299 66.39% 16.64% 16.96%+0.91 +10.8 33
2014-12-17 @ Skenderbeu L 0-136.6 1299 1418 16.96% 16.64% 66.39%-0.91 -10.8 22
2014-12-17 KF Elbasani W 1-031.5 1309 1030 76.69% 15.76% 7.54%+1.60 +4.9 24
2014-12-17 @ Laci L 0-131.5 1030 1309 7.54% 15.76% 76.69%-1.60 -5.0 9
2014-12-17 KF Tirana W 1-043.1 1406 1422 52.02% 17.03% 30.95%+0.33 +18.4 35
2014-12-17 @ Kukesi L 0-143.1 1422 1406 30.95% 17.03% 52.02%-0.33 -18.4 32
2014-12-17 Vllaznia L 0-151.7 1422 1282 68.18% 16.55% 15.27%+1.00 -37.4 33
2014-12-17 @ Partizani W 1-051.7 1282 1422 15.27% 16.55% 68.18%-1.00 +37.4 26
2014-12-20 Laci L 0-229.7 973 1314 14.18% 16.48% 69.34%-1.07 -17.2 9
2014-12-20 @ Apolonia W 2-029.7 1314 973 69.34% 16.48% 14.18%+1.07 +17.2 27
2014-12-20 Partizani L 0-133.4 1025 1385 12.96% 16.39% 70.65%-1.14 -8.4 9
2014-12-20 @ KF Elbasani W 1-033.4 1385 1025 70.65% 16.39% 12.96%+1.14 +8.4 36
2014-12-21 Kukesi L 0-142.2 1289 1425 35.39% 17.07% 47.54%-0.19 -20.6 22
2014-12-21 @ Flamurtari W 1-042.2 1425 1289 47.54% 17.07% 35.39%+0.19 +20.6 38
2014-12-21 Skenderbeu L 0-143.8 1319 1429 39.02% 17.08% 43.90%-0.07 -22.4 26
2014-12-21 @ Vllaznia W 1-043.8 1429 1319 43.90% 17.08% 39.02%+0.07 +22.4 36
2014-12-21 Teuta W 4-236.9 1404 1123 76.75% 15.76% 7.50%+1.60 +7.2 35
2014-12-21 @ KF Tirana L 2-436.9 1123 1404 7.50% 15.76% 76.75%-1.60 -7.2 16
2015-01-24 Apolonia W 2-025.8 1411 956 82.64% 14.39% 2.97%+2.35 +3.6 38
2015-01-24 @ KF Tirana L 0-225.8 956 1411 2.97% 14.39% 82.64%-2.35 -3.6 9
2015-01-24 Kukesi L 1-248.5 1297 1446 33.68% 17.05% 49.26%-0.24 -18.7 26
2015-01-24 @ Vllaznia W 2-148.5 1446 1297 49.26% 17.05% 33.68%+0.24 +18.7 41
2015-01-24 Teuta W 2-140.3 1268 1116 69.08% 16.50% 14.43%+1.05 +8.7 25
2015-01-24 @ Flamurtari L 1-240.3 1116 1268 14.43% 16.50% 69.08%-1.05 -8.7 16
2015-01-25 Partizani D 1-160.7 1332 1393 45.91% 17.08% 37.02%+0.13 -1.1 28
2015-01-25 @ Laci D 1-160.7 1393 1332 37.02% 17.08% 45.91%-0.13 +1.1 37
2015-01-25 Skenderbeu L 1-430.5 1017 1451 8.84% 15.96% 75.20%-1.47 -13.4 9
2015-01-25 @ KF Elbasani W 4-130.5 1451 1017 75.20% 15.96% 8.84%+1.47 +13.4 39
2015-01-30 Flamurtari W 1-035.7 1414 1277 67.97% 16.56% 15.47%+0.99 +9.9 41
2015-01-30 @ KF Tirana L 0-135.7 1277 1414 15.47% 16.56% 67.97%-0.99 -9.9 25
2015-01-31 KF Elbasani W 3-023.6 1464 1003 82.79% 14.34% 2.87%+2.37 +5.1 44
2015-01-31 @ Kukesi L 0-323.6 1003 1464 2.87% 14.34% 82.79%-2.37 -5.1 9
2015-01-31 Laci D 0-056.4 1465 1330 67.69% 16.58% 15.74%+0.97 -7.8 40
2015-01-31 @ Skenderbeu D 0-056.4 1330 1465 15.74% 16.58% 67.69%-0.97 +7.8 29
2015-01-31 Partizani L 0-227.9 952 1394 8.51% 15.92% 75.57%-1.50 -10.5 9
2015-01-31 @ Apolonia W 2-027.9 1394 952 75.57% 15.92% 8.51%+1.50 +10.5 40
2015-01-31 Vllaznia W 2-151.7 1107 1278 30.90% 17.02% 52.07%-0.33 +27.1 19
2015-01-31 @ Teuta L 1-251.7 1278 1107 52.07% 17.02% 30.90%+0.33 -27.1 26
2015-02-08 Apolonia W 1-030.8 1267 942 78.63% 15.44% 5.93%+1.79 +3.9 28
2015-02-08 @ Flamurtari L 0-130.8 942 1267 5.93% 15.44% 78.63%-1.79 -3.9 9
2015-02-08 KF Tirana L 0-140.2 1251 1424 30.52% 17.02% 52.46%-0.35 -18.2 26
2015-02-08 @ Vllaznia W 1-040.2 1424 1251 52.46% 17.02% 30.52%+0.35 +18.2 44
2015-02-08 Kukesi W 2-153.8 1338 1469 36.09% 17.07% 46.84%-0.16 +24.6 32
2015-02-08 @ Laci L 1-253.8 1469 1338 46.84% 17.07% 36.09%+0.16 -24.6 44
2015-02-08 Teuta W 1-043.8 998 1134 35.41% 17.07% 47.52%-0.19 +26.5 12
2015-02-08 @ KF Elbasani L 0-143.8 1134 998 47.52% 17.07% 35.41%+0.19 -26.5 19
2015-02-09 Skenderbeu D 0-057.9 1405 1457 47.16% 17.07% 35.77%+0.17 -1.6 41
2015-02-09 @ Partizani D 0-057.9 1457 1405 35.77% 17.07% 47.16%-0.17 +1.6 41
2015-02-14 KF Elbasani W 2-026.2 1443 1025 81.67% 14.71% 3.62%+2.19 +4.5 47
2015-02-14 @ KF Tirana L 0-226.2 1025 1443 3.62% 14.71% 81.67%-2.19 -4.5 12
2015-02-14 Laci L 1-338.2 1108 1363 21.42% 16.82% 61.76%-0.70 -21.7 19
2015-02-14 @ Teuta W 3-138.2 1363 1108 61.76% 16.82% 21.42%+0.70 +21.7 35
2015-02-14 Partizani W 3-035.3 1445 1403 58.85% 16.90% 24.25%+0.58 +40.7 47
2015-02-14 @ Kukesi L 0-335.3 1403 1445 24.25% 16.90% 58.85%-0.58 -40.7 41
2015-02-14 Skenderbeu L 0-130.9 938 1458 5.63% 15.37% 79.00%-1.83 -3.7 9
2015-02-14 @ Apolonia W 1-030.9 1458 938 79.00% 15.37% 5.63%+1.83 +3.7 44
2015-02-14 Vllaznia W 3-031.1 1271 1233 58.46% 16.91% 24.63%+0.56 +41.3 31
2015-02-14 @ Flamurtari L 0-331.1 1233 1271 24.63% 16.91% 58.46%-0.56 -41.3 26
2015-02-22 Apolonia W 2-027.7 1191 934 75.63% 15.91% 8.46%+1.50 +10.5 29
2015-02-22 @ Vllaznia L 0-227.7 934 1191 8.46% 15.91% 75.63%-1.50 -10.5 9
2015-02-22 Flamurtari L 0-134.9 1020 1312 18.03% 16.69% 65.27%-0.85 -11.4 12
2015-02-22 @ KF Elbasani W 1-034.9 1312 1020 65.27% 16.69% 18.03%+0.85 +11.4 34
2015-02-22 KF Tirana W 3-038.8 1385 1447 45.77% 17.08% 37.16%+0.13 +58.9 38
2015-02-22 @ Laci L 0-338.8 1447 1385 37.16% 17.08% 45.77%-0.13 -58.9 47
2015-02-22 Teuta W 2-138.1 1362 1086 76.54% 15.79% 7.67%+1.58 +4.8 44
2015-02-22 @ Partizani L 1-238.1 1086 1362 7.67% 15.79% 76.54%-1.58 -4.8 19
2015-02-23 Kukesi D 1-166.5 1462 1485 51.04% 17.04% 31.92%+0.30 -2.4 45
2015-02-23 @ Skenderbeu D 1-166.5 1485 1462 31.92% 17.04% 51.04%-0.30 +2.4 48
2015-02-28 KF Elbasani D 1-158.7 1202 1009 71.94% 16.29% 11.77%+1.23 -8.2 30
2015-02-28 @ Vllaznia D 1-158.7 1009 1202 11.77% 16.29% 71.94%-1.23 +8.2 13
2015-02-28 Kukesi D 2-265.2 924 1488 4.47% 15.03% 80.50%-2.02 +7.9 10
2015-02-28 @ Apolonia D 2-265.2 1488 924 80.50% 15.03% 4.47%+2.02 -7.9 49
2015-02-28 Skenderbeu L 0-133.4 1081 1460 11.78% 16.29% 71.92%-1.22 -7.6 19
2015-02-28 @ Teuta W 1-033.4 1460 1081 71.92% 16.29% 11.78%+1.22 +7.6 48
2015-03-04 Flamurtari W 2-144.9 1367 1323 59.05% 16.90% 24.05%+0.59 +13.9 47
2015-03-04 @ Partizani L 1-244.9 1323 1367 24.05% 16.90% 59.05%-0.59 -13.9 34
2015-03-04 KF Tirana W 1-040.6 1467 1388 62.76% 16.79% 20.45%+0.74 +12.8 51
2015-03-04 @ Skenderbeu L 0-140.6 1388 1467 20.45% 16.79% 62.76%-0.74 -12.8 47
2015-03-04 Teuta W 5-230.7 1480 1074 81.34% 14.81% 3.86%+2.14 +5.0 52
2015-03-04 @ Kukesi L 2-530.7 1074 1480 3.86% 14.81% 81.34%-2.14 -5.0 19
2015-03-04 Vllaznia W 1-033.0 1443 1194 75.26% 15.96% 8.78%+1.47 +5.8 41
2015-03-04 @ Laci L 0-133.0 1194 1443 8.78% 15.96% 75.26%-1.47 -5.8 30
2015-03-05 Apolonia L 0-148.4 1017 932 63.37% 16.77% 19.86%+0.77 -34.7 13
2015-03-05 @ KF Elbasani W 1-048.4 932 1017 19.86% 16.77% 63.37%-0.77 +34.7 13
2015-03-08 Kukesi W 2-043.8 1375 1485 39.09% 17.08% 43.83%-0.07 +46.6 50
2015-03-08 @ KF Tirana L 0-243.8 1485 1375 43.83% 17.08% 39.09%+0.07 -46.5 52
2015-03-08 Laci L 0-227.6 983 1449 7.48% 15.75% 76.77%-1.60 -9.3 13
2015-03-08 @ KF Elbasani W 2-027.6 1449 983 76.77% 15.75% 7.48%+1.60 +9.2 44
2015-03-08 Partizani W 1-046.7 1188 1381 28.14% 16.98% 54.88%-0.43 +30.2 33
2015-03-08 @ Vllaznia L 0-146.7 1381 1188 54.88% 16.98% 28.14%+0.43 -30.2 47
2015-03-08 Skenderbeu L 0-142.1 1310 1480 30.90% 17.02% 52.08%-0.33 -18.4 34
2015-03-08 @ Flamurtari W 1-042.1 1480 1310 52.08% 17.02% 30.90%+0.33 +18.4 54
2015-03-08 Teuta W 2-148.8 966 1069 40.09% 17.08% 42.82%-0.04 +22.8 16
2015-03-08 @ Apolonia L 1-248.8 1069 966 42.82% 17.08% 40.09%+0.04 -22.8 19
2015-03-12 Laci L 0-237.5 1291 1458 31.31% 17.03% 51.66%-0.32 -35.0 34
2015-03-12 @ Flamurtari W 2-037.5 1458 1291 51.66% 17.03% 31.31%+0.32 +35.0 47
2015-03-13 Partizani L 1-257.5 1422 1351 61.96% 16.82% 21.22%+0.70 -32.0 50
2015-03-13 @ KF Tirana W 2-157.5 1351 1422 21.22% 16.82% 61.96%-0.70 +32.0 50
2015-03-15 Vllaznia W 3-135.4 1498 1218 76.75% 15.76% 7.49%+1.60 +8.0 57
2015-03-15 @ Skenderbeu L 1-335.4 1218 1498 7.49% 15.76% 76.75%-1.60 -8.0 33
2015-03-16 Apolonia W 2-025.6 1494 989 83.78% 13.95% 2.27%+2.56 +2.8 50
2015-03-16 @ Laci L 0-225.6 989 1494 2.27% 13.95% 83.78%-2.56 -2.8 16
2015-03-16 Flamurtari W 4-028.3 1438 1256 71.24% 16.35% 12.41%+1.18 +28.7 55
2015-03-16 @ Kukesi L 0-428.3 1256 1438 12.41% 16.35% 71.24%-1.18 -28.7 34
2015-03-16 KF Elbasani W 4-128.4 1383 973 81.44% 14.78% 3.78%+2.16 +5.7 53
2015-03-16 @ Partizani L 1-428.4 973 1383 3.78% 14.78% 81.44%-2.16 -5.7 13
2015-03-16 KF Tirana D 0-053.2 1046 1390 13.99% 16.47% 69.55%-1.08 +8.4 20
2015-03-16 @ Teuta D 0-053.2 1390 1046 69.55% 16.47% 13.99%+1.08 -8.4 51
2015-03-21 Flamurtari W 1-045.3 1054 1227 30.59% 17.02% 52.38%-0.34 +28.9 23
2015-03-21 @ Teuta L 0-145.3 1227 1054 52.38% 17.02% 30.59%+0.34 -28.9 34
2015-03-21 KF Elbasani W 5-125.9 1507 968 84.49% 13.62% 1.88%+2.71 +3.6 60
2015-03-21 @ Skenderbeu L 1-525.9 968 1507 1.88% 13.62% 84.49%-2.71 -3.6 13
2015-03-21 Vllaznia W 1-033.3 1467 1210 75.63% 15.91% 8.46%+1.50 +5.5 58
2015-03-21 @ Kukesi L 0-133.3 1210 1467 8.46% 15.91% 75.63%-1.50 -5.5 33
2015-03-22 KF Tirana L 0-228.7 986 1382 10.82% 16.20% 72.98%-1.30 -13.3 16
2015-03-22 @ Apolonia W 2-028.7 1382 986 72.98% 16.20% 10.82%+1.30 +13.3 54
2015-03-22 Laci W 1-048.5 1388 1496 39.32% 17.08% 43.60%-0.06 +24.6 56
2015-03-22 @ Partizani L 0-148.5 1496 1388 43.60% 17.08% 39.32%+0.06 -24.6 50
2015-04-04 Apolonia W 1-029.9 1413 973 82.26% 14.52% 3.22%+2.29 +2.1 59
2015-04-04 @ Partizani L 0-129.9 973 1413 3.22% 14.52% 82.26%-2.29 -2.1 16
2015-04-04 KF Tirana L 1-245.1 1198 1395 27.76% 16.98% 55.26%-0.44 -15.8 34
2015-04-04 @ Flamurtari W 2-145.1 1395 1198 55.26% 16.98% 27.76%+0.44 +15.8 57
2015-04-04 Kukesi L 0-424.5 964 1473 6.00% 15.46% 78.54%-1.78 -14.1 13
2015-04-04 @ KF Elbasani W 4-024.5 1473 964 78.54% 15.46% 6.00%+1.78 +14.1 61
2015-04-04 Skenderbeu W 1-049.0 1472 1510 49.04% 17.06% 33.91%+0.23 +19.9 53
2015-04-04 @ Laci L 0-149.0 1510 1472 33.91% 17.06% 49.04%-0.23 -19.9 60
2015-04-04 Teuta W 1-034.5 1204 1083 66.60% 16.63% 16.77%+0.92 +10.6 36
2015-04-04 @ Vllaznia L 0-134.5 1083 1204 16.77% 16.63% 66.60%-0.92 -10.6 23
2015-04-12 Flamurtari W 2-153.0 971 1183 25.99% 16.94% 57.07%-0.51 +29.5 19
2015-04-12 @ Apolonia L 1-253.0 1183 971 57.07% 16.94% 25.99%+0.51 -29.5 34
2015-04-12 KF Elbasani W 1-034.3 1073 950 66.74% 16.63% 16.63%+0.93 +10.6 26
2015-04-12 @ Teuta L 0-134.3 950 1073 16.63% 16.63% 66.74%-0.93 -10.6 13
2015-04-12 Vllaznia W 2-140.3 1411 1215 72.12% 16.28% 11.60%+1.24 +7.1 60
2015-04-12 @ KF Tirana L 1-240.3 1215 1411 11.60% 16.28% 72.12%-1.24 -7.1 36
2015-04-13 Laci D 0-061.9 1487 1492 53.37% 17.01% 29.63%+0.38 -3.4 62
2015-04-13 @ Kukesi D 0-061.9 1492 1487 29.63% 17.01% 53.37%-0.38 +3.4 54
2015-04-13 Partizani W 5-242.3 1490 1415 62.36% 16.80% 20.84%+0.72 +26.0 63
2015-04-13 @ Skenderbeu L 2-542.3 1415 1490 20.84% 16.80% 62.36%-0.72 -26.0 59
2015-04-17 Teuta W 1-030.7 1495 1083 81.50% 14.76% 3.74%+2.17 +2.4 57
2015-04-17 @ Laci L 0-130.7 1083 1495 3.74% 14.76% 81.50%-2.17 -2.4 26
2015-04-18 Apolonia W 1-029.7 1516 1001 84.02% 13.84% 2.14%+2.61 +1.4 66
2015-04-18 @ Skenderbeu L 0-129.7 1001 1516 2.14% 13.84% 84.02%-2.61 -1.4 19
2015-04-18 Flamurtari D 1-158.7 1208 1153 60.26% 16.87% 22.87%+0.63 -4.9 37
2015-04-18 @ Vllaznia D 1-158.7 1153 1208 22.87% 16.87% 60.26%-0.63 +4.9 35
2015-04-18 KF Tirana L 1-333.3 939 1418 7.03% 15.67% 77.30%-1.65 -7.5 13
2015-04-18 @ KF Elbasani W 3-133.3 1418 939 77.30% 15.67% 7.03%+1.65 +7.5 63
2015-04-18 Kukesi D 1-164.0 1389 1483 41.27% 17.09% 41.64%-0.01 +0.0 60
2015-04-18 @ Partizani D 1-164.0 1483 1389 41.64% 17.09% 41.27%+0.01 -0.0 63
2015-04-25 KF Elbasani W 2-138.6 1158 932 73.98% 16.10% 9.92%+1.37 +6.1 38
2015-04-25 @ Flamurtari L 1-238.6 932 1158 9.92% 16.10% 73.98%-1.37 -6.1 13
2015-04-25 Partizani L 0-134.7 1081 1389 16.64% 16.63% 66.73%-0.92 -10.6 26
2015-04-25 @ Teuta W 1-034.7 1389 1081 66.73% 16.63% 16.64%+0.92 +10.6 63
2015-04-25 Vllaznia W 2-042.4 999 1203 26.88% 16.96% 56.16%-0.48 +58.1 22
2015-04-25 @ Apolonia L 0-242.4 1203 999 56.16% 16.96% 26.88%+0.48 -58.1 37
2015-04-26 Laci W 1-048.2 1425 1497 44.40% 17.08% 38.52%+0.09 +22.2 66
2015-04-26 @ KF Tirana L 0-148.2 1497 1425 38.52% 17.08% 44.40%-0.09 -22.2 57
2015-04-26 Skenderbeu L 0-154.4 1483 1518 49.59% 17.05% 33.36%+0.25 -27.5 63
2015-04-26 @ Kukesi W 1-054.4 1518 1483 33.36% 17.05% 49.59%-0.25 +27.5 69
2015-05-02 Apolonia W 2-137.0 1456 1057 81.11% 14.87% 4.01%+2.11 +2.5 66
2015-05-02 @ Kukesi L 1-237.0 1057 1456 4.01% 14.87% 81.11%-2.11 -2.5 22
2015-05-02 Flamurtari W 2-138.6 1475 1164 78.07% 15.54% 6.38%+1.73 +4.0 60
2015-05-02 @ Laci L 1-238.6 1164 1475 6.38% 15.54% 78.07%-1.73 -4.0 38
2015-05-02 Teuta W 4-235.5 1545 1070 83.12% 14.21% 2.66%+2.44 +2.5 72
2015-05-02 @ Skenderbeu L 2-435.5 1070 1545 2.66% 14.21% 83.12%-2.44 -2.5 26
2015-05-02 Vllaznia D 1-158.5 926 1145 25.14% 16.93% 57.94%-0.54 +4.2 14
2015-05-02 @ KF Elbasani D 1-158.5 1145 926 57.94% 16.93% 25.14%+0.54 -4.2 38
2015-05-04 KF Tirana D 2-269.2 1400 1447 47.80% 17.06% 35.13%+0.19 -1.2 64
2015-05-04 @ Partizani D 2-269.2 1447 1400 35.13% 17.06% 47.80%-0.19 +1.2 67
2015-05-09 KF Elbasani W 4-132.6 1055 930 66.93% 16.62% 16.46%+0.93 +24.1 25
2015-05-09 @ Apolonia L 1-432.6 930 1055 16.46% 16.62% 66.93%-0.93 -24.1 14
2015-05-09 Kukesi L 2-344.1 1068 1458 11.07% 16.22% 72.71%-1.28 -6.4 26
2015-05-09 @ Teuta W 3-244.1 1458 1068 72.71% 16.22% 11.07%+1.28 +6.4 69
2015-05-09 Laci L 0-134.7 1141 1479 14.37% 16.49% 69.14%-1.05 -9.2 38
2015-05-09 @ Vllaznia W 1-034.7 1479 1141 69.14% 16.49% 14.37%+1.05 +9.2 63
2015-05-09 Partizani L 0-137.0 1160 1399 23.09% 16.87% 60.04%-0.62 -14.2 38
2015-05-09 @ Flamurtari W 1-037.0 1399 1160 60.04% 16.87% 23.09%+0.62 +14.2 67
2015-05-09 Skenderbeu D 0-062.6 1449 1548 40.57% 17.08% 42.34%-0.03 +0.2 68
2015-05-09 @ KF Tirana D 0-062.6 1548 1449 42.34% 17.08% 40.57%+0.03 -0.2 73
2015-05-16 Flamurtari W 2-027.8 1547 1146 81.20% 14.85% 3.95%+2.12 +4.9 76
2015-05-16 @ Skenderbeu L 0-227.8 1146 1547 3.95% 14.85% 81.20%-2.12 -4.9 38
2015-05-17 Apolonia W 1-038.9 1061 1079 51.74% 17.03% 31.23%+0.32 +18.5 29
2015-05-17 @ Teuta L 0-138.9 1079 1061 31.23% 17.03% 51.74%-0.32 -18.5 25
2015-05-17 KF Elbasani W 2-025.0 1488 906 85.31% 13.21% 1.49%+2.90 +1.8 66
2015-05-17 @ Laci L 0-225.0 906 1488 1.49% 13.21% 85.31%-2.90 -1.8 14
2015-05-17 KF Tirana W 4-142.8 1465 1449 55.90% 16.97% 27.14%+0.47 +37.9 72
2015-05-17 @ Kukesi L 1-442.8 1449 1465 27.14% 16.97% 55.90%-0.47 -37.9 68
2015-05-17 Vllaznia W 1-031.9 1413 1131 76.79% 15.75% 7.46%+1.61 +4.9 70
2015-05-17 @ Partizani L 0-131.9 1131 1413 7.46% 15.75% 76.79%-1.61 -4.9 38
2015-05-22 Kukesi L 1-240.8 1141 1503 12.82% 16.38% 70.80%-1.15 -7.8 38
2015-05-22 @ Flamurtari W 2-140.8 1503 1141 70.80% 16.38% 12.82%+1.15 +7.8 75
2015-05-22 Laci L 1-430.9 1060 1490 9.06% 15.99% 74.95%-1.45 -13.7 25
2015-05-22 @ Apolonia W 4-130.9 1490 1060 74.95% 15.99% 9.06%+1.45 +13.7 69
2015-05-22 Partizani L 0-324.6 904 1418 5.84% 15.42% 78.74%-1.81 -10.5 14
2015-05-22 @ KF Elbasani W 3-024.6 1418 904 78.74% 15.42% 5.84%+1.81 +10.5 73
2015-05-22 Skenderbeu L 0-229.6 1127 1552 9.25% 16.02% 74.73%-1.43 -11.4 38
2015-05-22 @ Vllaznia W 2-029.6 1552 1127 74.73% 16.02% 9.25%+1.43 +11.4 79
2015-05-22 Teuta W 1-031.1 1411 1080 78.86% 15.40% 5.74%+1.82 +3.8 71
2015-05-22 @ KF Tirana L 0-131.1 1080 1411 5.74% 15.40% 78.86%-1.82 -3.8 29

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2014-11-08 6.46% KF Elbasani 982 2 @ Teuta 1291 0
2 2014-12-17 15.27% Vllaznia 1282 1 @ Partizani 1422 0
3 2014-10-19 19.19% @ Apolonia 1027 1 Teuta 1305 0
4 2015-03-05 19.86% Apolonia 932 1 @ KF Elbasani 1017 0
5 2014-09-14 20.38% Partizani 1286 1 @ Kukesi 1366 0
6 2015-03-13 21.22% Partizani 1351 2 @ KF Tirana 1422 1
7 2014-08-31 25.63% Vllaznia 1270 1 @ Teuta 1299 0
8 2015-04-12 25.99% @ Apolonia 971 2 Flamurtari 1183 1
9 2014-08-30 26.56% @ Apolonia 1085 1 Partizani 1292 0
10 2015-04-25 26.88% @ Apolonia 999 2 Vllaznia 1203 0
11 2014-12-13 27.30% KF Elbasani 1000 1 @ Apolonia 1014 0
12 2015-03-08 28.14% @ Vllaznia 1188 1 Partizani 1381 0
13 2014-12-13 29.56% @ Flamurtari 1270 1 Partizani 1451 0
14 2014-11-02 29.71% Skenderbeu 1372 2 @ Laci 1366 0
15 2015-03-21 30.59% @ Teuta 1054 1 Flamurtari 1227 0
16 2015-01-31 30.90% @ Teuta 1107 2 Vllaznia 1278 1
17 2014-08-24 32.85% Kukesi 1327 2 @ Vllaznia 1296 1
18 2015-04-26 33.36% Skenderbeu 1518 1 @ Kukesi 1483 0
19 2014-11-30 35.39% @ Kukesi 1347 1 Skenderbeu 1484 0
20 2015-02-08 35.41% @ KF Elbasani 998 1 Teuta 1134 0
21 2015-02-08 36.09% @ Laci 1338 2 Kukesi 1469 1
22 2014-11-02 36.75% Teuta 1267 2 @ Vllaznia 1207 1
23 2014-09-11 37.56% @ Partizani 1261 1 Skenderbeu 1381 0
24 2014-10-19 38.71% Partizani 1350 1 @ Vllaznia 1277 0
25 2015-03-08 39.09% @ KF Tirana 1375 2 Kukesi 1485 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-11-08 80.83 KF Elbasani 2 982 6.46% @ Teuta 0 1291 77.98% 15.56%
2 2015-02-22 58.88 @ Laci 3 1385 45.77% KF Tirana 0 1447 37.16% 17.08%
3 2015-04-25 58.15 @ Apolonia 2 999 26.88% Vllaznia 0 1203 56.16% 16.96%
4 2014-11-02 55.35 Skenderbeu 2 1372 29.71% @ Laci 0 1366 53.28% 17.01%
5 2015-03-08 46.55 @ KF Tirana 2 1375 39.09% Kukesi 0 1485 43.83% 17.08%
6 2014-11-08 45.90 @ Skenderbeu 3 1427 55.23% Partizani 0 1417 27.79% 16.98%
7 2014-09-27 45.72 @ Teuta 2 1277 40.01% Skenderbeu 0 1380 42.91% 17.08%
8 2014-10-05 45.62 @ Laci 3 1334 55.43% Vllaznia 0 1322 27.60% 16.98%
9 2014-09-10 45.43 Teuta 5 1268 58.15% @ KF Elbasani 1 1047 24.93% 16.92%
10 2014-10-05 44.77 @ KF Elbasani 2 976 41.07% Apolonia 0 1071 41.85% 17.09%
11 2014-12-12 44.46 Kukesi 3 1362 56.24% @ Teuta 0 1157 26.80% 16.96%
12 2014-12-13 43.06 @ KF Tirana 2 1379 42.98% Skenderbeu 0 1461 39.93% 17.08%
13 2014-09-20 42.04 @ Laci 2 1289 44.11% KF Tirana 0 1363 38.81% 17.08%
14 2014-12-07 41.51 Vllaznia 4 1218 52.87% @ KF Elbasani 1 1041 30.11% 17.01%
15 2015-02-14 41.27 @ Flamurtari 3 1271 58.46% Vllaznia 0 1233 24.63% 16.91%
16 2015-02-14 40.71 @ Kukesi 3 1445 58.85% Partizani 0 1403 24.25% 16.90%
17 2015-05-17 37.91 @ Kukesi 4 1465 55.90% KF Tirana 1 1449 27.14% 16.97%
18 2014-12-17 37.36 Vllaznia 1 1282 15.27% @ Partizani 0 1422 68.18% 16.55%
19 2014-10-25 36.60 @ Kukesi 2 1305 50.02% Flamurtari 0 1336 32.93% 17.05%
20 2014-10-29 35.67 @ Partizani 2 1378 51.00% Laci 0 1402 31.96% 17.04%
21 2014-10-19 35.07 @ Apolonia 1 1027 19.19% Teuta 0 1305 64.07% 16.74%
22 2015-03-12 35.04 Laci 2 1458 51.66% @ Flamurtari 0 1291 31.31% 17.03%
23 2015-03-05 34.69 Apolonia 1 932 19.86% @ KF Elbasani 0 1017 63.37% 16.77%
24 2014-10-25 34.50 @ Skenderbeu 3 1334 63.06% Vllaznia 0 1252 20.16% 16.78%
25 2014-09-14 34.39 Partizani 1 1286 20.38% @ Kukesi 0 1366 62.83% 16.79%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2015-05-04 69.2 @ Partizani 2 1400 47.80% KF Tirana 2 1447 35.13% 17.06%
2 2015-02-23 66.5 @ Skenderbeu 1 1462 51.04% Kukesi 1 1485 31.92% 17.04%
3 2015-02-28 65.2 @ Apolonia 2 924 4.47% Kukesi 2 1488 80.50% 15.03%
4 2015-04-18 64.0 @ Partizani 1 1389 41.27% Kukesi 1 1483 41.64% 17.09%
5 2015-05-09 62.6 @ KF Tirana 0 1449 40.57% Skenderbeu 0 1548 42.34% 17.08%
6 2015-04-13 61.9 @ Kukesi 0 1487 53.37% Laci 0 1492 29.63% 17.01%
7 2015-01-25 60.7 @ Laci 1 1332 45.91% Partizani 1 1393 37.02% 17.08%
8 2014-09-27 60.0 @ Flamurtari 1 1338 54.92% Laci 1 1331 28.09% 16.98%
9 2014-10-17 60.0 @ Flamurtari 1 1339 55.05% Skenderbeu 1 1330 27.97% 16.98%
10 2014-09-11 59.9 @ Vllaznia 1 1302 46.55% KF Tirana 1 1359 36.38% 17.07%
11 2014-08-24 59.5 @ Laci 1 1317 57.44% Partizani 1 1288 25.62% 16.94%
12 2014-12-07 59.5 @ Laci 1 1337 62.08% Flamurtari 1 1265 21.11% 16.81%
13 2015-02-28 58.7 @ Vllaznia 1 1202 71.94% KF Elbasani 1 1009 11.77% 16.29%
14 2015-04-18 58.7 @ Vllaznia 1 1208 60.26% Flamurtari 1 1153 22.87% 16.87%
15 2014-11-09 58.6 @ Apolonia 1 1025 21.50% Flamurtari 1 1280 61.68% 16.83%
16 2015-05-02 58.5 @ KF Elbasani 1 926 25.14% Vllaznia 1 1145 57.94% 16.93%
17 2015-02-09 57.9 @ Partizani 0 1405 47.16% Skenderbeu 0 1457 35.77% 17.07%
18 2015-03-13 57.5 Partizani 2 1351 21.22% @ KF Tirana 1 1422 61.96% 16.82%
19 2015-01-31 56.4 @ Skenderbeu 0 1465 67.69% Laci 0 1330 15.74% 16.58%
20 2014-11-30 55.4 @ KF Tirana 0 1417 63.49% Laci 0 1330 19.74% 16.76%
21 2014-10-04 54.5 @ Partizani 0 1354 56.31% Flamurtari 0 1335 26.73% 16.96%
22 2014-11-02 54.4 @ Flamurtari 0 1278 36.84% KF Tirana 0 1404 46.08% 17.07%
23 2015-04-26 54.4 Skenderbeu 1 1518 33.36% @ Kukesi 0 1483 49.59% 17.05%
24 2014-09-26 54.3 @ KF Tirana 0 1321 50.01% Partizani 0 1352 32.95% 17.05%
25 2014-09-10 54.1 @ Laci 0 1284 43.14% Kukesi 0 1366 39.78% 17.08%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2015-01-31 23.6 @ Kukesi 3 1464 82.79% KF Elbasani 0 1003 2.87% 14.34%
2 2015-04-04 24.5 Kukesi 4 1473 78.54% @ KF Elbasani 0 964 6.00% 15.46%
3 2015-05-22 24.6 Partizani 3 1418 78.74% @ KF Elbasani 0 904 5.84% 15.42%
4 2014-11-23 24.7 @ Skenderbeu 6 1473 82.32% Apolonia 0 1031 3.18% 14.50%
5 2015-05-17 25.0 @ Laci 2 1488 85.31% KF Elbasani 0 906 1.49% 13.21%
6 2014-08-31 25.2 @ Kukesi 3 1353 77.34% KF Elbasani 0 1059 6.99% 15.67%
7 2015-03-16 25.6 @ Laci 2 1494 83.78% Apolonia 0 989 2.27% 13.95%
8 2015-01-24 25.8 @ KF Tirana 2 1411 82.64% Apolonia 0 956 2.97% 14.39%
9 2015-03-21 25.9 @ Skenderbeu 5 1507 84.49% KF Elbasani 1 968 1.88% 13.62%
10 2015-02-14 26.2 @ KF Tirana 2 1443 81.67% KF Elbasani 0 1025 3.62% 14.71%
11 2014-08-24 26.3 @ KF Tirana 3 1324 73.68% Apolonia 0 1103 10.19% 16.13%
12 2014-09-10 26.9 @ Flamurtari 3 1302 71.52% Apolonia 0 1116 12.15% 16.32%
13 2015-03-08 27.6 Laci 2 1449 76.77% @ KF Elbasani 0 983 7.48% 15.75%
14 2015-02-22 27.7 @ Vllaznia 2 1191 75.63% Apolonia 0 934 8.46% 15.91%
15 2015-05-16 27.8 @ Skenderbeu 2 1547 81.20% Flamurtari 0 1146 3.95% 14.85%
16 2015-01-31 27.9 Partizani 2 1394 75.57% @ Apolonia 0 952 8.51% 15.92%
17 2014-10-29 28.1 KF Tirana 3 1377 67.76% @ Apolonia 0 1056 15.67% 16.57%
18 2015-03-16 28.3 @ Kukesi 4 1438 71.24% Flamurtari 0 1256 12.41% 16.35%
19 2015-03-16 28.4 @ Partizani 4 1383 81.44% KF Elbasani 1 973 3.78% 14.78%
20 2015-03-22 28.7 KF Tirana 2 1382 72.98% @ Apolonia 0 986 10.82% 16.20%
21 2014-09-20 28.8 @ Vllaznia 2 1305 72.67% Apolonia 0 1101 11.10% 16.23%
22 2014-12-01 28.9 @ Flamurtari 2 1250 72.10% KF Elbasani 0 1055 11.63% 16.28%
23 2014-10-18 29.4 Laci 2 1380 70.64% @ KF Elbasani 0 1021 12.97% 16.39%
24 2014-11-02 29.5 Kukesi 2 1351 70.18% @ KF Elbasani 0 999 13.40% 16.42%
25 2014-11-23 29.6 @ Laci 3 1297 63.45% Teuta 0 1210 19.78% 16.77%