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2015-16 Kategoria Superiore Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Skenderbeu

79 points · 7th Title

Last Title: 2014-15

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Teuta

16.59 points above expected

63 points · 46.41 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Laci

16.94 points below expected

36 points · 52.94 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Skenderbeu Champion 36 25 4 7 79 73 27 +46 74.60 +4.40
2 Partizani 36 21 11 4 74 51 21 +30 67.56 +6.44
3 Kukesi 36 18 9 9 63 41 25 +16 63.97 -0.97
4 Teuta 36 18 9 9 63 43 28 +15 46.41 +16.59
5 KF Tirana 36 13 14 9 53 37 25 +12 58.75 -5.75
6 Vllaznia 36 11 6 19 39 36 42 -6 37.90 +1.10
7 Laci 36 8 12 16 36 30 48 -18 52.94 -16.94
8 Flamurtari* 36 9 11 16 35 34 44 -10 35.51 -0.51
9 Bylis 36 8 8 20 32 27 53 -26 29.23 +2.77
10 Terbuni 36 4 6 26 18 22 81 -59 26.39 -8.39

* Point deductions: Flamurtari (-3 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Teuta 63 46.41 +16.59
2 Partizani 74 67.56 +6.44
3 Skenderbeu 79 74.60 +4.40
4 Bylis 32 29.23 +2.77
5 Vllaznia 39 37.90 +1.10

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Laci 36 52.94 -16.94
2 Terbuni 18 26.39 -8.39
3 KF Tirana 53 58.75 -5.75
4 Kukesi 63 63.97 -0.97
5 Flamurtari 35 35.51 -0.51

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Partizani 9 Aug 28 – Nov 8 1 in 636
2 Flamurtari 3 Dec 19 – Jan 31 1 in 127
3 Skenderbeu 6 Aug 29 – Oct 5 1 in 40
4 Teuta 4 Nov 7 – Nov 28 1 in 40
5 Vllaznia 3 Mar 9 – Mar 20 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Skenderbeu 2 Dec 23 – Jan 30 1 in 110
2 Terbuni 6 Sep 12 – Oct 25 1 in 80
3 Flamurtari 5 Nov 23 – Dec 13 1 in 64
4 Vllaznia 5 Aug 29 – Sep 27 1 in 23
5 Teuta 3 Dec 7 – Dec 18 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Partizani 16 Aug 21 – Dec 12 1 in 69
2 Teuta 9 Apr 2 – May 18 1 in 59
3 Flamurtari 4 Dec 19 – Feb 6 1 in 33
4 Bylis 3 Oct 25 – Nov 8 1 in 14
5 KF Tirana 8 Dec 3 – Feb 13 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Laci 10 Feb 21 – Apr 25 1 in 151
2 KF Tirana 6 Feb 22 – Mar 20 1 in 49
3 Flamurtari 10 Oct 17 – Dec 13 1 in 45
4 Partizani 4 Dec 7 – Dec 23 1 in 27
5 Kukesi 3 Dec 12 – Dec 23 1 in 8

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Skenderbeu 1560 79 +9 10 10.6 -0.6
Partizani 1523 74 -25 7 10.0 -3.0
Teuta 1415 63 +53 11 6.8 +4.2
Kukesi 1461 63 +12 11 10.3 +0.7
KF Tirana 1389 53 -17 5 7.1 -2.1
Vllaznia 1275 39 +2 7 6.8 +0.2
Flamurtari 1255 38 +12 7 5.8 +1.2
Laci 1223 36 -23 5 5.7 -0.7
Bylis 1185 32 +0 4 3.8 +0.2
Terbuni 999 18 -23 1 2.4 -1.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BYL FLA KT KUK LAC PAR SKE TER TEU VLL
Bylis —
0-3-1
4.33
0-2-2
2.26
0-1-3
2.29
3-0-1
2.95
1-1-2
1.79
0-1-3
1.62
2-0-2
5.98
1-0-3
3.27
1-0-3
4.03
Flamurtari
1-3-0
6.66
 —
1-2-1
3.23
0-0-4
3.09
1-1-2
3.88
0-3-1
2.60
1-0-3
1.99
2-1-1
7.28
1-1-2
5.05
2-0-2
5.88
KF Tirana
2-2-0
8.85
1-2-1
7.78
 —
2-1-1
4.94
2-2-0
6.12
0-2-2
4.24
0-0-4
3.87
4-0-0
8.68
1-3-0
6.83
1-2-1
7.78
Kukesi
3-1-0
8.81
4-0-0
7.93
1-1-2
6.01
 —
2-2-0
6.96
0-0-4
4.78
2-0-2
3.93
3-1-0
9.57
1-2-1
7.31
2-2-0
8.26
Laci
1-0-3
8.10
2-1-1
7.09
0-2-2
4.85
0-2-2
4.02
 —
0-2-2
4.14
0-0-4
3.11
1-3-0
8.77
1-1-2
5.60
3-1-0
7.10
Partizani
2-1-1
9.40
1-3-0
8.46
2-2-0
6.72
4-0-0
6.18
2-2-0
6.84
 —
2-1-1
4.41
3-1-0
9.46
2-0-2
7.97
3-1-0
8.53
Skenderbeu
3-1-0
9.60
3-0-1
9.16
4-0-0
7.10
2-0-2
7.04
4-0-0
7.95
1-1-2
6.55
 —
3-0-1
9.62
2-2-0
8.60
3-0-1
9.05
Terbuni
2-0-2
4.97
1-1-2
3.71
0-0-4
2.45
0-1-3
1.65
0-3-1
2.32
0-1-3
1.79
1-0-3
1.66
 —
0-0-4
3.12
0-0-4
3.79
Teuta
3-0-1
7.73
2-1-1
5.91
0-3-1
4.16
1-2-1
3.67
2-1-1
5.38
2-0-2
3.05
0-2-2
2.48
4-0-0
7.92
 —
4-0-0
6.08
Vllaznia
3-0-1
6.93
2-0-2
5.06
1-2-1
3.23
0-2-2
2.78
0-1-3
3.89
0-1-3
2.55
1-0-3
2.09
4-0-0
7.22
0-0-4
4.87
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.80 +12.5
Allowed 0.79 -9.7
Differential 0.94 +6.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%13.06%6.39%3.06%2.78%0.28%36.67%
113.06%11.67%6.39%2.78%0.56%0.56%35.00%
26.39%6.39%2.22%1.39%0.28%—16.67%
33.06%2.78%1.39%———7.22%
42.78%0.56%0.28%———3.61%
5+0.28%0.56%————0.83%
Total36.67%35.00%16.67%7.22%3.61%0.83%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.09 +0.00
SD 1.16 1.16 1.79
CV 1.06 1.06 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%13.89%13.89%8.33%2.78%—52.78%
111.11%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%—27.78%
2—5.56%—5.56%2.78%—13.89%
3—2.78%————2.78%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total27.78%30.56%16.67%16.67%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.75 1.47 -0.72
SD 1.00 1.30 1.65
CV 1.33 0.88 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%16.67%8.33%—5.56%—47.22%
12.78%13.89%8.33%2.78%—2.78%30.56%
28.33%5.56%————13.89%
3—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
4———————
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total30.56%38.89%19.44%2.78%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.22 -0.28
SD 1.37 1.24 1.99
CV 1.45 1.02 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
025.00%8.33%2.78%———36.11%
111.11%11.11%11.11%2.78%——36.11%
28.33%5.56%2.78%———16.67%
38.33%2.78%————11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total52.78%27.78%16.67%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 0.69 +0.33
SD 1.00 0.86 1.31
CV 0.97 1.23 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%2.78%———25.00%
125.00%16.67%2.78%2.78%——47.22%
25.56%11.11%2.78%———19.44%
35.56%—————5.56%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total44.44%44.44%8.33%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 0.69 +0.44
SD 0.96 0.75 1.34
CV 0.84 1.08 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%16.67%5.56%8.33%2.78%—47.22%
18.33%16.67%5.56%——2.78%33.33%
22.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
3—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total27.78%38.89%16.67%11.11%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.33 -0.50
SD 1.03 1.33 1.73
CV 1.23 1.00 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%————16.67%
119.44%16.67%5.56%———41.67%
213.89%13.89%2.78%———30.56%
32.78%—2.78%———5.56%
45.56%—————5.56%
5+———————
Total52.78%36.11%11.11%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 0.58 +0.83
SD 1.02 0.69 1.23
CV 0.72 1.19 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.33%————8.33%
119.44%8.33%5.56%2.78%——36.11%
211.11%8.33%2.78%2.78%——25.00%
35.56%8.33%————13.89%
48.33%2.78%————11.11%
5+—5.56%————5.56%
Total44.44%41.67%8.33%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.03 0.75 +1.28
SD 1.42 0.84 1.73
CV 0.70 1.12 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%11.11%8.33%16.67%2.78%55.56%
12.78%11.11%11.11%8.33%2.78%—36.11%
22.78%—————2.78%
3——2.78%———2.78%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total11.11%22.22%27.78%16.67%19.44%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.61 2.25 -1.64
SD 0.90 1.52 1.93
CV 1.48 0.68 —
Max 4 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%13.89%5.56%2.78%——33.33%
122.22%5.56%2.78%———30.56%
25.56%8.33%8.33%———22.22%
35.56%5.56%————11.11%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total44.44%36.11%16.67%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 0.78 +0.42
SD 1.12 0.83 1.42
CV 0.93 1.07 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%19.44%13.89%2.78%——44.44%
18.33%8.33%8.33%5.56%——30.56%
25.56%2.78%—2.78%——11.11%
32.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
45.56%—————5.56%
5+———————
Total30.56%33.33%25.00%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.17 -0.17
SD 1.20 1.00 1.73
CV 1.20 0.86 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Skenderbeu 1560 79 74.60 +4.40 77.0% 59 64 70 74 79 85 92
Partizani 1523 74 67.56 +6.44 84.0% 47 52 62 68 73 77 82
Kukesi 1461 63 63.97 -0.97 45.0% 47 50 59 64 68 76 85
Teuta 1415 63 46.41 +16.59 100.0% 29 34 41 46 52 57 61
KF Tirana 1389 53 58.75 -5.75 25.0% 39 45 53 59 65 71 75
Vllaznia 1275 39 37.90 +1.10 61.0% 20 28 33 38 43 47 51
Flamurtari 1255 35 35.51 -0.51 52.0% 18 25 31 35 39 45 52
Laci 1223 36 52.94 -16.94 1.0% 35 43 47 53 57 62 66
Bylis 1185 32 29.23 +2.77 68.0% 16 20 24 29 34 39 44
Terbuni 999 18 26.39 -8.39 7.0% 13 17 23 26 29 36 42

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 27% * Slight Edge: 27% to 33% * Clear Edge: 33% to 40% * Strong Edge: 40% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.00%
No Edge
45.00%25.00%30.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 52.51 Elo pts.
221 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.44 goals
Neutral
-2+0.24+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.04 * Tight Race: 0.04 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.0
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
67%
Skenderbeu, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Comfortable
00.200.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.39 * Some Luck: 5.39 to 8.08 * Lucky: 8.08 to 10.77 * Wild Swing: 10.77 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.61 * Close: 0.61 to 0.91 * Off: 0.91 to 1.21 * Way Off: 1.21 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.58 points
Lucky
06.7317
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.60
Pinpoint
00.762
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
100.00%
Teuta
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
1.00%
Laci
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 77.5% * Wide Edge: 77.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 93% * Strong Edge: 93% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 72.5% * Very Frequent: 72.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 10.5% * Occasional: 10.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Lopsided
00.120.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 172.92
2.55
Wide Separation
0.91.351.82.153
Interquartile Edge
78%
Wide Edge
50%63.5%72.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
96%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
67%
Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Frequent
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.56 * Notable Separation: 0.56 to 0.62 * Lopsided: 0.62 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14.5% * Upset-Prone: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 18.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 10.5% * As Expected: 10.5% to 12.5% * Shaky Favorites: 12.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.48
Very Even
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.68
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.50
Some Carryover
00.410.590.731
Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Upset-Prone
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
12%
As Expected
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.19
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.04
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.083
Well Within Noise
00.1230.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Skenderbeu67.00%20.00%12.00%1.00%——————
Partizani23.00%45.00%13.00%13.00%5.00%1.00%————
Kukesi8.00%21.00%43.00%15.00%10.00%3.00%————
Teuta——2.00%8.00%28.00%35.00%21.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%
KF Tirana2.00%12.00%24.00%41.00%10.00%10.00%1.00%———
Vllaznia————4.00%19.00%36.00%28.00%8.00%5.00%
Laci—2.00%6.00%22.00%42.00%23.00%4.00%—1.00%—
Flamurtari————1.00%7.00%24.00%42.00%17.00%9.00%
Bylis—————2.00%9.00%15.00%43.00%31.00%
Terbuni——————5.00%11.00%30.00%54.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
KF Tirana 100% —
Kukesi 100% —
Partizani 100% —
Skenderbeu 100% —
Laci 99.00% 1.00%
Teuta 98.00% 2.00%
Vllaznia 87.00% 13.00%
Flamurtari 74.00% 26.00%
Bylis 26.00% 74.00%
Terbuni 16.00% 84.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2015-08-21 Laci D 1-158.3 1391 1439 37.73% 26.50% 35.76%+0.02 -0.1 1
2015-08-21 @ Partizani D 1-158.3 1439 1391 35.76% 26.50% 37.73%-0.02 +0.2 1
2015-08-22 Teuta L 0-145.7 1250 1222 47.82% 26.10% 26.08%+0.36 -17.6 0
2015-08-22 @ Flamurtari W 1-045.7 1222 1250 26.08% 26.10% 47.82%-0.36 +17.6 3
2015-08-23 Bylis W 2-030.6 1435 1185 69.21% 21.48% 9.31%+1.37 +7.9 3
2015-08-23 @ Kukesi L 0-230.6 1185 1435 9.31% 21.48% 69.21%-1.37 -7.9 0
2015-08-23 KF Tirana L 1-247.5 1270 1385 28.65% 26.28% 45.07%-0.28 -11.2 0
2015-08-23 @ Terbuni W 2-147.5 1385 1270 45.07% 26.28% 28.65%+0.28 +11.2 3
2015-08-28 Flamurtari W 2-142.2 1391 1232 61.88% 23.87% 14.25%+0.96 +6.1 4
2015-08-28 @ Partizani L 1-242.2 1232 1391 14.25% 23.87% 61.88%-0.96 -6.1 0
2015-08-29 KF Tirana D 1-158.6 1439 1396 49.77% 25.92% 24.31%+0.43 -2.0 2
2015-08-29 @ Laci D 1-158.6 1396 1439 24.31% 25.92% 49.77%-0.43 +2.0 4
2015-08-29 Kukesi W 1-045.7 1468 1443 47.56% 26.12% 26.32%+0.35 +11.1 3
2015-08-29 @ Skenderbeu L 0-145.7 1443 1468 26.32% 26.12% 47.56%-0.35 -11.1 3
2015-08-29 Vllaznia W 2-037.3 1240 1239 44.50% 26.31% 29.19%+0.24 +22.6 6
2015-08-29 @ Teuta L 0-237.3 1239 1240 29.19% 26.31% 44.50%-0.24 -22.6 0
2015-08-30 Terbuni L 0-238.4 1177 1259 32.95% 26.46% 40.58%-0.13 -24.8 0
2015-08-30 @ Bylis W 2-038.4 1259 1177 40.58% 26.46% 32.95%+0.13 +24.8 3
2015-09-09 Skenderbeu L 0-136.6 1216 1479 14.62% 23.99% 61.39%-0.95 -6.6 0
2015-09-09 @ Vllaznia W 1-036.6 1479 1216 61.39% 23.99% 14.62%+0.95 +6.6 6
2015-09-12 Bylis D 0-050.4 1398 1152 68.89% 21.60% 9.51%+1.35 -5.8 5
2015-09-12 @ KF Tirana D 0-050.4 1152 1398 9.51% 21.60% 68.89%-1.35 +5.8 1
2015-09-12 Skenderbeu L 0-236.7 1284 1486 19.37% 25.20% 55.42%-0.68 -16.1 3
2015-09-12 @ Terbuni W 2-036.7 1486 1284 55.42% 25.20% 19.37%+0.68 +16.1 9
2015-09-12 Teuta W 3-031.7 1432 1263 62.81% 23.62% 13.57%+1.01 +16.9 6
2015-09-12 @ Kukesi L 0-331.7 1263 1432 13.57% 23.62% 62.81%-1.01 -16.9 6
2015-09-13 Laci D 0-050.2 1226 1437 18.60% 25.05% 56.36%-0.72 +3.5 1
2015-09-13 @ Flamurtari D 0-050.2 1437 1226 56.36% 25.05% 18.60%+0.72 -3.5 3
2015-09-13 Partizani L 1-244.5 1210 1397 20.75% 25.45% 53.80%-0.61 -8.6 0
2015-09-13 @ Vllaznia W 2-144.5 1397 1210 53.80% 25.45% 20.75%+0.61 +8.6 7
2015-09-19 Kukesi W 2-043.8 1406 1449 38.35% 26.50% 35.15%+0.04 +26.1 10
2015-09-19 @ Partizani L 0-243.8 1449 1406 35.15% 26.50% 38.35%-0.04 -26.1 6
2015-09-19 Terbuni W 3-144.4 1246 1268 41.42% 26.44% 32.14%+0.14 +21.1 9
2015-09-19 @ Teuta L 1-344.4 1268 1246 32.14% 26.44% 41.42%-0.14 -21.1 3
2015-09-20 Bylis W 3-136.0 1434 1158 70.97% 20.74% 8.29%+1.49 +6.0 6
2015-09-20 @ Laci L 1-336.0 1158 1434 8.29% 20.74% 70.97%-1.49 -6.0 1
2015-09-20 Vllaznia W 2-036.1 1229 1201 47.98% 26.08% 25.94%+0.37 +20.6 4
2015-09-20 @ Flamurtari L 0-236.1 1201 1229 25.94% 26.08% 47.98%-0.37 -20.6 0
2015-09-21 KF Tirana W 2-148.7 1502 1393 57.18% 24.90% 17.92%+0.73 +7.5 12
2015-09-21 @ Skenderbeu L 1-248.7 1393 1502 17.92% 24.90% 57.18%-0.73 -7.5 5
2015-09-26 Partizani L 1-245.2 1246 1432 20.95% 25.48% 53.57%-0.60 -8.6 3
2015-09-26 @ Terbuni W 2-145.2 1432 1246 53.57% 25.48% 20.95%+0.60 +8.6 13
2015-09-26 Skenderbeu L 1-434.1 1152 1510 9.41% 21.54% 69.05%-1.38 -9.8 1
2015-09-26 @ Bylis W 4-134.1 1510 1152 69.05% 21.54% 9.41%+1.38 +9.8 15
2015-09-26 Teuta W 2-034.2 1385 1267 58.02% 24.74% 17.24%+0.77 +14.5 8
2015-09-26 @ KF Tirana L 0-234.2 1267 1385 17.24% 24.74% 58.02%-0.77 -14.5 9
2015-09-27 Flamurtari W 1-035.8 1423 1250 63.12% 23.53% 13.35%+1.02 +6.1 9
2015-09-27 @ Kukesi L 0-135.8 1250 1423 13.35% 23.53% 63.12%-1.02 -6.1 4
2015-09-27 Laci L 0-136.0 1180 1440 14.88% 24.08% 61.04%-0.94 -6.7 0
2015-09-27 @ Vllaznia W 1-036.0 1440 1180 61.04% 24.08% 14.88%+0.94 +6.7 9
2015-10-03 KF Tirana W 1-043.0 1440 1400 49.51% 25.95% 24.54%+0.42 +10.5 16
2015-10-03 @ Partizani L 0-143.0 1400 1440 24.54% 25.95% 49.51%-0.42 -10.5 8
2015-10-03 Kukesi D 1-155.6 1174 1429 15.15% 24.16% 60.69%-0.92 +3.8 1
2015-10-03 @ Vllaznia D 1-155.6 1429 1174 60.69% 24.16% 15.15%+0.92 -3.8 10
2015-10-04 Bylis W 3-031.7 1252 1142 57.26% 24.89% 17.86%+0.74 +21.8 12
2015-10-04 @ Teuta L 0-331.7 1142 1252 17.86% 24.89% 57.26%-0.74 -21.8 1
2015-10-04 Terbuni W 7-036.4 1244 1238 45.15% 26.28% 28.57%+0.27 +71.6 7
2015-10-04 @ Flamurtari L 0-736.4 1238 1244 28.57% 26.28% 45.15%-0.27 -71.6 3
2015-10-05 Skenderbeu L 0-345.6 1446 1520 34.17% 26.49% 39.34%-0.09 -37.1 9
2015-10-05 @ Laci W 3-045.6 1520 1446 39.34% 26.49% 34.17%+0.09 +37.1 18
2015-10-16 Teuta D 2-266.1 1557 1274 71.41% 20.55% 8.04%+1.52 -4.1 19
2015-10-16 @ Skenderbeu D 2-266.1 1274 1557 8.04% 20.55% 71.41%-1.52 +4.1 13
2015-10-17 Flamurtari D 1-156.1 1389 1316 53.33% 25.51% 21.16%+0.57 -2.6 9
2015-10-17 @ KF Tirana D 1-156.1 1316 1389 21.16% 25.51% 53.33%-0.57 +2.6 8
2015-10-17 Laci W 1-043.7 1425 1409 46.41% 26.20% 27.39%+0.31 +11.4 13
2015-10-17 @ Kukesi L 0-143.7 1409 1425 27.39% 26.20% 46.41%-0.31 -11.4 9
2015-10-17 Partizani L 1-240.3 1120 1451 10.68% 22.30% 67.02%-1.26 -4.6 1
2015-10-17 @ Bylis W 2-140.3 1451 1120 67.02% 22.30% 10.68%+1.26 +4.6 19
2015-10-17 Vllaznia L 0-339.6 1166 1178 42.82% 26.39% 30.79%+0.19 -44.0 3
2015-10-17 @ Terbuni W 3-039.6 1178 1166 30.79% 26.39% 42.82%-0.19 +44.0 4
2015-10-25 Bylis D 0-049.6 1318 1116 65.56% 22.80% 11.64%+1.15 -5.2 9
2015-10-25 @ Flamurtari D 0-049.6 1116 1318 11.64% 22.80% 65.56%-1.15 +5.2 2
2015-10-25 KF Tirana D 1-155.1 1222 1386 22.99% 25.77% 51.24%-0.51 +2.3 5
2015-10-25 @ Vllaznia D 1-155.1 1386 1222 51.24% 25.77% 22.99%+0.51 -2.3 10
2015-10-25 Skenderbeu W 2-160.7 1455 1552 30.94% 26.40% 42.67%-0.20 +15.1 22
2015-10-25 @ Partizani L 1-260.7 1552 1455 42.67% 26.40% 30.94%+0.20 -15.1 19
2015-10-25 Terbuni W 1-031.8 1437 1122 73.49% 19.58% 6.93%+1.66 +3.0 16
2015-10-25 @ Kukesi L 0-131.8 1122 1437 6.93% 19.58% 73.49%-1.66 -3.0 3
2015-10-25 Teuta D 2-262.1 1398 1278 58.18% 24.71% 17.11%+0.78 -2.5 10
2015-10-25 @ Laci D 2-262.1 1278 1398 17.11% 24.71% 58.18%-0.78 +2.6 14
2015-10-31 Flamurtari W 2-035.0 1537 1313 67.28% 22.21% 10.52%+1.25 +9.0 22
2015-10-31 @ Skenderbeu L 0-235.0 1313 1537 10.52% 22.21% 67.28%-1.25 -9.0 9
2015-10-31 Laci D 1-155.2 1119 1395 13.75% 23.69% 62.56%-1.01 +4.2 4
2015-10-31 @ Terbuni D 1-155.2 1395 1119 62.56% 23.69% 13.75%+1.01 -4.2 11
2015-10-31 Vllaznia W 3-147.4 1121 1224 30.17% 26.36% 43.47%-0.23 +26.5 5
2015-10-31 @ Bylis L 1-347.4 1224 1121 43.47% 26.36% 30.17%+0.23 -26.5 5
2015-11-01 Kukesi W 2-152.9 1384 1440 36.63% 26.51% 36.86%-0.01 +13.5 13
2015-11-01 @ KF Tirana L 1-252.9 1440 1384 36.86% 26.51% 36.63%+0.01 -13.5 16
2015-11-01 Partizani L 0-139.6 1281 1470 20.55% 25.41% 54.04%-0.62 -9.0 14
2015-11-01 @ Teuta W 1-039.6 1470 1281 54.04% 25.41% 20.55%+0.62 +9.0 25
2015-11-07 Flamurtari W 3-145.2 1272 1304 39.98% 26.48% 33.55%+0.09 +21.8 17
2015-11-07 @ Teuta L 1-345.2 1304 1272 33.55% 26.48% 39.98%-0.09 -21.8 9
2015-11-07 Terbuni W 3-027.9 1398 1123 70.87% 20.79% 8.35%+1.48 +10.2 16
2015-11-07 @ KF Tirana L 0-327.9 1123 1398 8.35% 20.79% 70.87%-1.48 -10.2 4
2015-11-08 Kukesi D 1-155.5 1147 1426 13.58% 23.62% 62.80%-1.02 +4.2 6
2015-11-08 @ Bylis D 1-155.5 1426 1147 62.80% 23.62% 13.58%+1.02 -4.2 17
2015-11-08 Partizani L 2-357.4 1391 1479 32.11% 26.44% 41.45%-0.16 -11.5 11
2015-11-08 @ Laci W 3-257.4 1479 1391 41.45% 26.44% 32.11%+0.16 +11.6 28
2015-11-08 Vllaznia W 3-136.2 1546 1197 75.59% 18.51% 5.90%+1.82 +4.2 25
2015-11-08 @ Skenderbeu L 1-336.2 1197 1546 5.90% 18.51% 75.59%-1.82 -4.2 5
2015-11-18 Bylis W 4-247.8 1113 1152 39.08% 26.49% 34.43%+0.06 +19.9 7
2015-11-18 @ Terbuni L 2-447.8 1152 1113 34.43% 26.49% 39.08%-0.06 -19.9 6
2015-11-18 Partizani D 0-051.7 1282 1491 18.80% 25.09% 56.11%-0.71 +3.4 10
2015-11-18 @ Flamurtari D 0-051.7 1491 1282 56.11% 25.09% 18.80%+0.71 -3.4 29
2015-11-18 Teuta L 0-140.7 1193 1294 30.49% 26.38% 43.13%-0.22 -12.4 5
2015-11-18 @ Vllaznia W 1-040.7 1294 1193 43.13% 26.38% 30.49%+0.22 +12.4 20
2015-11-19 Laci D 0-051.7 1408 1380 47.96% 26.09% 25.95%+0.37 -1.9 17
2015-11-19 @ KF Tirana D 0-051.7 1380 1408 25.95% 26.09% 47.96%-0.37 +1.9 12
2015-11-19 Skenderbeu W 2-160.5 1422 1551 27.04% 26.17% 46.78%-0.34 +16.3 20
2015-11-19 @ Kukesi L 1-260.5 1551 1422 46.78% 26.17% 27.04%+0.34 -16.3 25
2015-11-22 Terbuni W 4-026.4 1534 1133 78.49% 16.88% 4.63%+2.05 +6.9 28
2015-11-22 @ Skenderbeu L 0-426.4 1133 1534 4.63% 16.88% 78.49%-2.05 -6.9 7
2015-11-23 Flamurtari W 2-144.4 1382 1286 55.77% 25.15% 19.08%+0.67 +8.0 15
2015-11-23 @ Laci L 1-244.4 1286 1382 19.08% 25.15% 55.77%-0.67 -8.0 10
2015-11-23 KF Tirana L 0-135.1 1132 1406 13.88% 23.73% 62.39%-1.00 -6.3 6
2015-11-23 @ Bylis W 1-035.1 1406 1132 62.39% 23.73% 13.88%+1.00 +6.3 20
2015-11-23 Kukesi W 1-047.8 1306 1438 26.59% 26.14% 47.27%-0.36 +17.4 23
2015-11-23 @ Teuta L 0-147.8 1438 1306 47.27% 26.14% 26.59%+0.36 -17.4 20
2015-11-23 Vllaznia W 1-032.8 1488 1181 73.01% 19.81% 7.18%+1.63 +3.2 32
2015-11-23 @ Partizani L 0-132.8 1181 1488 7.18% 19.81% 73.01%-1.63 -3.2 5
2015-11-28 Flamurtari W 4-039.6 1178 1278 30.55% 26.38% 43.06%-0.22 +57.7 8
2015-11-28 @ Vllaznia L 0-439.6 1278 1178 43.06% 26.38% 30.55%+0.22 -57.7 10
2015-11-28 Laci W 1-049.3 1125 1390 14.54% 23.97% 61.49%-0.96 +22.0 9
2015-11-28 @ Bylis L 0-149.3 1390 1125 61.49% 23.97% 14.54%+0.96 -22.0 15
2015-11-28 Partizani L 0-148.3 1421 1491 34.62% 26.49% 38.88%-0.08 -13.7 20
2015-11-28 @ Kukesi W 1-048.3 1491 1421 38.88% 26.49% 34.62%+0.08 +13.7 35
2015-11-28 Teuta L 0-137.0 1126 1324 19.82% 25.29% 54.89%-0.66 -8.7 7
2015-11-28 @ Terbuni W 1-037.0 1324 1126 54.89% 25.29% 19.82%+0.66 +8.7 26
2015-11-30 Skenderbeu L 1-253.9 1412 1541 26.99% 26.17% 46.84%-0.35 -10.6 20
2015-11-30 @ KF Tirana W 2-153.9 1541 1412 46.84% 26.17% 26.99%+0.35 +10.6 31
2015-12-02 Kukesi L 0-138.2 1220 1407 20.75% 25.45% 53.80%-0.61 -9.1 10
2015-12-02 @ Flamurtari W 1-038.2 1407 1220 53.80% 25.45% 20.75%+0.61 +9.1 23
2015-12-02 Terbuni W 4-026.2 1504 1117 77.73% 17.33% 4.94%+1.99 +7.5 38
2015-12-02 @ Partizani L 0-426.2 1117 1504 4.94% 17.33% 77.73%-1.99 -7.4 7
2015-12-02 Vllaznia W 2-033.4 1368 1235 59.42% 24.45% 16.13%+0.84 +13.7 18
2015-12-02 @ Laci L 0-233.4 1235 1368 16.13% 24.45% 59.42%-0.84 -13.7 8
2015-12-03 Bylis W 4-026.7 1552 1147 78.66% 16.78% 4.56%+2.07 +6.8 34
2015-12-03 @ Skenderbeu L 0-426.7 1147 1552 4.56% 16.78% 78.66%-2.07 -6.8 9
2015-12-03 KF Tirana D 0-050.6 1332 1402 34.68% 26.49% 38.83%-0.08 +0.3 27
2015-12-03 @ Teuta D 0-050.6 1402 1332 38.83% 26.49% 34.68%+0.08 -0.4 21
2015-12-06 Flamurtari W 1-044.2 1110 1211 30.45% 26.38% 43.18%-0.22 +16.2 10
2015-12-06 @ Terbuni L 0-144.2 1211 1110 43.18% 26.38% 30.45%+0.22 -16.2 10
2015-12-06 Laci W 4-037.1 1559 1381 63.47% 23.43% 13.09%+1.04 +21.3 37
2015-12-06 @ Skenderbeu L 0-437.1 1381 1559 13.09% 23.43% 63.47%-1.04 -21.3 18
2015-12-06 Vllaznia W 1-034.9 1416 1222 64.94% 23.00% 12.07%+1.12 +5.5 26
2015-12-06 @ Kukesi L 0-134.9 1222 1416 12.07% 23.00% 64.94%-1.12 -5.5 8
2015-12-07 Partizani D 0-055.1 1401 1512 29.22% 26.32% 44.47%-0.26 +1.3 22
2015-12-07 @ KF Tirana D 0-055.1 1512 1401 44.47% 26.32% 29.22%+0.26 -1.3 39
2015-12-07 Teuta W 2-153.9 1141 1333 20.32% 25.37% 54.31%-0.63 +18.5 12
2015-12-07 @ Bylis L 1-253.9 1333 1141 54.31% 25.37% 20.32%+0.63 -18.5 27
2015-12-12 Bylis D 1-157.9 1511 1159 75.73% 18.44% 5.84%+1.83 -6.1 40
2015-12-12 @ Partizani D 1-157.9 1159 1511 5.84% 18.44% 75.73%-1.83 +6.1 13
2015-12-12 Kukesi D 1-157.1 1360 1422 35.74% 26.50% 37.75%-0.04 +0.2 19
2015-12-12 @ Laci D 1-157.1 1422 1360 37.75% 26.50% 35.74%+0.04 -0.2 27
2015-12-12 Terbuni W 2-033.9 1216 1126 55.13% 25.25% 19.62%+0.64 +16.3 11
2015-12-12 @ Vllaznia L 0-233.9 1126 1216 19.62% 25.25% 55.13%-0.64 -16.3 10
2015-12-13 KF Tirana L 0-234.4 1195 1403 18.88% 25.11% 56.01%-0.70 -15.8 10
2015-12-13 @ Flamurtari W 2-034.4 1403 1195 56.01% 25.11% 18.88%+0.70 +15.8 25
2015-12-13 Skenderbeu L 0-140.9 1314 1580 14.44% 23.93% 61.63%-0.97 -6.5 27
2015-12-13 @ Teuta W 1-040.9 1580 1314 61.63% 23.93% 14.44%+0.97 +6.5 40
2015-12-18 Laci L 0-143.8 1308 1360 37.05% 26.51% 36.44%+0.00 -14.4 27
2015-12-18 @ Teuta W 1-043.8 1360 1308 36.44% 26.51% 37.05%+0.00 +14.4 22
2015-12-19 Flamurtari L 2-355.2 1165 1179 42.50% 26.40% 31.09%+0.18 -14.3 13
2015-12-19 @ Bylis W 3-255.2 1179 1165 31.09% 26.40% 42.50%-0.18 +14.3 13
2015-12-19 Kukesi D 1-155.6 1110 1422 11.65% 22.80% 65.55%-1.17 +4.6 11
2015-12-19 @ Terbuni D 1-155.6 1422 1110 65.55% 22.80% 11.65%+1.17 -4.6 28
2015-12-19 Partizani W 1-050.2 1586 1504 54.25% 25.38% 20.37%+0.61 +8.9 43
2015-12-19 @ Skenderbeu L 0-150.2 1504 1586 20.37% 25.38% 54.25%-0.61 -8.9 40
2015-12-19 Vllaznia D 0-050.6 1418 1232 64.21% 23.22% 12.57%+1.08 -5.0 26
2015-12-19 @ KF Tirana D 0-050.6 1232 1418 12.57% 23.22% 64.21%-1.08 +4.9 12
2015-12-23 Bylis W 3-248.2 1237 1151 54.75% 25.31% 19.94%+0.63 +7.9 15
2015-12-23 @ Vllaznia L 2-348.2 1151 1237 19.94% 25.31% 54.75%-0.63 -7.8 13
2015-12-23 KF Tirana L 0-148.9 1417 1413 44.82% 26.30% 28.88%+0.25 -16.7 28
2015-12-23 @ Kukesi W 1-048.9 1413 1417 28.88% 26.30% 44.82%-0.25 +16.7 29
2015-12-23 Skenderbeu W 3-157.4 1193 1595 7.67% 20.24% 72.09%-1.58 +41.1 16
2015-12-23 @ Flamurtari L 1-357.4 1595 1193 72.09% 20.24% 7.67%+1.58 -41.1 43
2015-12-23 Terbuni W 4-027.9 1375 1114 69.89% 21.20% 8.91%+1.41 +14.3 25
2015-12-23 @ Laci L 0-427.9 1114 1375 8.91% 21.20% 69.89%-1.41 -14.3 11
2015-12-23 Teuta L 0-153.1 1496 1293 65.55% 22.80% 11.65%+1.15 -23.3 40
2015-12-23 @ Partizani W 1-053.1 1293 1496 11.65% 22.80% 65.55%-1.15 +23.3 30
2016-01-30 KF Tirana L 1-336.8 1100 1430 10.71% 22.32% 66.97%-1.26 -7.9 11
2016-01-30 @ Terbuni W 3-136.8 1430 1100 66.97% 22.32% 10.71%+1.26 +7.9 32
2016-01-30 Laci W 2-039.2 1472 1389 54.41% 25.36% 20.23%+0.61 +16.8 43
2016-01-30 @ Partizani L 0-239.2 1389 1472 20.23% 25.36% 54.41%-0.61 -16.8 25
2016-01-30 Skenderbeu W 1-053.3 1245 1554 11.81% 22.88% 65.31%-1.16 +23.2 18
2016-01-30 @ Vllaznia L 0-153.3 1554 1245 65.31% 22.88% 11.81%+1.16 -23.2 43
2016-01-31 Bylis W 3-028.4 1400 1143 69.69% 21.28% 9.03%+1.40 +11.1 31
2016-01-31 @ Kukesi L 0-328.4 1143 1400 9.03% 21.28% 69.69%-1.40 -11.1 13
2016-01-31 Teuta W 1-044.0 1234 1316 32.91% 26.46% 40.62%-0.13 +15.4 19
2016-01-31 @ Flamurtari L 0-144.0 1316 1234 40.62% 26.46% 32.91%+0.13 -15.4 30
2016-02-06 Flamurtari D 1-157.8 1489 1250 68.39% 21.80% 9.81%+1.32 -5.1 44
2016-02-06 @ Partizani D 1-157.8 1250 1489 9.81% 21.80% 68.39%-1.32 +5.1 20
2016-02-06 Terbuni W 4-033.6 1132 1092 49.39% 25.96% 24.65%+0.42 +37.5 16
2016-02-06 @ Bylis L 0-433.6 1092 1132 24.65% 25.96% 49.39%-0.42 -37.5 11
2016-02-07 KF Tirana L 0-341.0 1372 1438 35.17% 26.50% 38.33%-0.06 -37.9 25
2016-02-07 @ Laci W 3-041.0 1438 1372 38.33% 26.50% 35.17%+0.06 +37.9 35
2016-02-07 Kukesi W 3-146.8 1531 1412 58.16% 24.71% 17.13%+0.78 +12.5 46
2016-02-07 @ Skenderbeu L 1-346.8 1412 1531 17.13% 24.71% 58.16%-0.78 -12.5 31
2016-02-07 Vllaznia W 1-039.4 1301 1268 48.51% 26.04% 25.45%+0.39 +10.8 33
2016-02-07 @ Teuta L 0-139.4 1268 1301 25.45% 26.04% 48.51%-0.39 -10.8 18
2016-02-13 Bylis W 2-029.7 1476 1169 72.99% 19.82% 7.19%+1.62 +6.0 38
2016-02-13 @ KF Tirana L 0-229.7 1169 1476 7.19% 19.82% 72.99%-1.62 -6.0 16
2016-02-13 Laci L 0-142.0 1255 1334 33.27% 26.47% 40.26%-0.12 -13.3 20
2016-02-13 @ Flamurtari W 1-042.0 1334 1255 40.26% 26.47% 33.27%+0.12 +13.3 28
2016-02-13 Partizani D 1-156.9 1258 1484 17.35% 24.77% 57.88%-0.79 +3.4 19
2016-02-13 @ Vllaznia D 1-156.9 1484 1258 57.88% 24.77% 17.35%+0.79 -3.4 45
2016-02-13 Skenderbeu L 1-334.1 1055 1544 5.13% 17.57% 77.31%-1.97 -3.5 11
2016-02-13 @ Terbuni W 3-134.1 1544 1055 77.31% 17.57% 5.13%+1.97 +3.5 49
2016-02-13 Teuta D 2-262.4 1399 1312 54.83% 25.30% 19.88%+0.63 -2.1 32
2016-02-13 @ Kukesi D 2-262.4 1312 1399 19.88% 25.30% 54.83%-0.63 +2.1 34
2016-02-21 Bylis L 0-149.9 1348 1163 64.05% 23.27% 12.68%+1.07 -22.8 28
2016-02-21 @ Laci W 1-049.9 1163 1348 12.68% 23.27% 64.05%-1.07 +22.8 19
2016-02-21 Terbuni W 2-138.8 1314 1051 70.07% 21.12% 8.80%+1.43 +3.7 37
2016-02-21 @ Teuta L 1-238.8 1051 1314 8.80% 21.12% 70.07%-1.43 -3.7 11
2016-02-21 Vllaznia W 2-038.2 1241 1261 41.70% 26.43% 31.87%+0.15 +24.2 23
2016-02-21 @ Flamurtari L 0-238.2 1261 1241 31.87% 26.43% 41.70%-0.15 -24.2 19
2016-02-22 KF Tirana W 1-048.5 1547 1482 52.38% 25.64% 21.98%+0.53 +9.5 52
2016-02-22 @ Skenderbeu L 0-148.5 1482 1547 21.98% 25.64% 52.38%-0.53 -9.5 38
2016-02-22 Kukesi W 1-042.6 1481 1397 54.44% 25.35% 20.20%+0.62 +8.9 48
2016-02-22 @ Partizani L 0-142.6 1397 1481 20.20% 25.35% 54.44%-0.62 -8.9 32
2016-02-27 Flamurtari W 4-032.3 1388 1266 58.44% 24.66% 16.90%+0.79 +27.1 35
2016-02-27 @ Kukesi L 0-432.3 1266 1388 16.90% 24.66% 58.44%-0.79 -27.1 23
2016-02-27 Laci D 0-049.0 1237 1325 32.15% 26.44% 41.41%-0.16 +0.8 20
2016-02-27 @ Vllaznia D 0-049.0 1325 1237 41.41% 26.44% 32.15%+0.16 -0.8 29
2016-02-27 Partizani D 0-051.1 1047 1489 6.38% 19.02% 74.60%-1.76 +6.7 12
2016-02-27 @ Terbuni D 0-051.1 1489 1047 74.60% 19.02% 6.38%+1.76 -6.6 49
2016-02-27 Teuta D 0-052.4 1472 1318 61.50% 23.96% 14.54%+0.94 -4.5 39
2016-02-27 @ KF Tirana D 0-052.4 1318 1472 14.54% 23.96% 61.50%-0.94 +4.4 38
2016-02-28 Skenderbeu D 1-158.0 1186 1557 8.89% 21.18% 69.93%-1.44 +5.3 20
2016-02-28 @ Bylis D 1-158.0 1557 1186 69.93% 21.18% 8.89%+1.44 -5.3 53
2016-03-04 KF Tirana W 2-044.6 1483 1468 46.28% 26.21% 27.51%+0.30 +21.6 52
2016-03-04 @ Partizani L 0-244.6 1468 1483 27.51% 26.21% 46.28%-0.30 -21.6 39
2016-03-05 Bylis W 1-035.9 1322 1192 59.24% 24.49% 16.27%+0.83 +7.3 41
2016-03-05 @ Teuta L 0-135.9 1192 1322 16.27% 24.49% 59.24%-0.83 -7.3 20
2016-03-05 Kukesi L 1-245.2 1238 1415 21.71% 25.60% 52.69%-0.57 -8.9 20
2016-03-05 @ Vllaznia W 2-145.2 1415 1238 52.69% 25.60% 21.71%+0.57 +8.9 38
2016-03-05 Skenderbeu L 0-238.5 1324 1551 17.26% 24.75% 57.99%-0.79 -14.6 29
2016-03-05 @ Laci W 2-038.5 1551 1324 57.99% 24.75% 17.26%+0.79 +14.6 56
2016-03-05 Terbuni D 1-155.0 1239 1054 64.09% 23.25% 12.65%+1.07 -4.4 24
2016-03-05 @ Flamurtari D 1-155.0 1054 1239 12.65% 23.25% 64.09%-1.07 +4.4 13
2016-03-09 Flamurtari D 0-051.1 1446 1234 66.33% 22.54% 11.13%+1.20 -5.3 40
2016-03-09 @ KF Tirana D 0-051.1 1234 1446 11.13% 22.54% 66.33%-1.20 +5.3 25
2016-03-09 Laci W 1-038.3 1424 1309 57.68% 24.81% 17.52%+0.76 +7.8 41
2016-03-09 @ Kukesi L 0-138.3 1309 1424 17.52% 24.81% 57.68%-0.76 -7.8 29
2016-03-09 Partizani L 0-232.2 1184 1504 11.22% 22.58% 66.20%-1.21 -9.6 20
2016-03-09 @ Bylis W 2-032.2 1504 1184 66.20% 22.58% 11.22%+1.21 +9.6 55
2016-03-09 Teuta W 1-039.0 1566 1329 68.18% 21.88% 9.95%+1.31 +4.5 59
2016-03-09 @ Skenderbeu L 0-139.0 1329 1566 9.95% 21.88% 68.18%-1.31 -4.5 41
2016-03-09 Vllaznia L 0-432.9 1058 1229 22.43% 25.70% 51.87%-0.53 -34.7 13
2016-03-09 @ Terbuni W 4-032.9 1229 1058 51.87% 25.70% 22.43%+0.53 +34.7 23
2016-03-13 Bylis D 0-048.7 1239 1175 52.34% 25.64% 22.02%+0.53 -2.7 26
2016-03-13 @ Flamurtari D 0-048.7 1175 1239 22.02% 25.64% 52.34%-0.53 +2.7 21
2016-03-13 KF Tirana W 3-151.8 1263 1441 21.71% 25.60% 52.70%-0.57 +31.2 26
2016-03-13 @ Vllaznia L 1-351.8 1441 1263 52.70% 25.60% 21.71%+0.57 -31.2 40
2016-03-13 Terbuni W 1-029.9 1432 1024 78.85% 16.67% 4.48%+2.08 +1.9 44
2016-03-13 @ Kukesi L 0-129.9 1024 1432 4.48% 16.67% 78.85%-2.08 -1.9 13
2016-03-13 Teuta L 1-251.1 1302 1325 41.18% 26.45% 32.37%+0.13 -14.7 29
2016-03-13 @ Laci W 2-151.1 1325 1302 32.37% 26.45% 41.18%-0.13 +14.7 44
2016-03-14 Skenderbeu D 1-166.9 1514 1570 36.52% 26.51% 36.97%-0.02 +0.0 56
2016-03-14 @ Partizani D 1-166.9 1570 1514 36.97% 26.51% 36.52%+0.02 -0.0 60
2016-03-19 Laci D 1-154.8 1022 1287 14.49% 23.95% 61.56%-0.96 +4.0 14
2016-03-19 @ Terbuni D 1-154.8 1287 1022 61.56% 23.95% 14.49%+0.96 -4.0 30
2016-03-20 Flamurtari W 5-132.9 1570 1237 74.67% 18.99% 6.34%+1.75 +8.2 63
2016-03-20 @ Skenderbeu L 1-532.9 1237 1570 6.34% 18.99% 74.67%-1.75 -8.2 26
2016-03-20 Kukesi D 1-158.6 1410 1434 41.10% 26.45% 32.45%+0.13 -0.7 41
2016-03-20 @ KF Tirana D 1-158.6 1434 1410 32.45% 26.45% 41.10%-0.13 +0.7 45
2016-03-20 Partizani L 0-239.6 1340 1514 22.02% 25.64% 52.34%-0.55 -18.0 44
2016-03-20 @ Teuta W 2-039.6 1514 1340 52.34% 25.64% 22.02%+0.55 +18.0 59
2016-03-20 Vllaznia L 0-139.9 1177 1295 28.39% 26.27% 45.35%-0.29 -11.8 21
2016-03-20 @ Bylis W 1-039.9 1295 1177 45.35% 26.27% 28.39%+0.29 +11.7 29
2016-04-02 Flamurtari D 1-154.9 1322 1229 55.45% 25.20% 19.35%+0.66 -3.0 45
2016-04-02 @ Teuta D 1-154.9 1229 1322 19.35% 25.20% 55.45%-0.66 +3.0 27
2016-04-02 Kukesi L 0-232.6 1166 1434 14.25% 23.86% 61.89%-0.98 -12.2 21
2016-04-02 @ Bylis W 2-032.6 1434 1166 61.89% 23.86% 14.25%+0.98 +12.2 48
2016-04-02 Partizani D 0-052.9 1283 1532 15.60% 24.30% 60.10%-0.89 +4.2 31
2016-04-02 @ Laci D 0-052.9 1532 1283 60.10% 24.30% 15.60%+0.89 -4.2 60
2016-04-02 Vllaznia W 2-144.4 1579 1306 70.72% 20.85% 8.43%+1.47 +3.6 66
2016-04-02 @ Skenderbeu L 1-244.4 1306 1579 8.43% 20.85% 70.72%-1.47 -3.6 29
2016-04-03 Terbuni W 3-025.7 1409 1026 77.52% 17.44% 5.03%+1.97 +5.8 44
2016-04-03 @ KF Tirana L 0-325.7 1026 1409 5.03% 17.44% 77.52%-1.97 -5.8 14
2016-04-09 Bylis L 0-139.0 1020 1153 26.45% 26.13% 47.42%-0.37 -11.1 14
2016-04-09 @ Terbuni W 1-039.0 1153 1020 47.42% 26.13% 26.45%+0.37 +11.1 24
2016-04-09 Teuta L 0-242.0 1303 1319 42.22% 26.41% 31.37%+0.17 -29.9 29
2016-04-09 @ Vllaznia W 2-042.0 1319 1303 31.37% 26.41% 42.22%-0.17 +30.0 48
2016-04-10 Laci W 1-037.4 1415 1287 58.98% 24.55% 16.48%+0.82 +7.4 47
2016-04-10 @ KF Tirana L 0-137.4 1287 1415 16.48% 24.55% 58.98%-0.82 -7.4 31
2016-04-10 Partizani D 1-157.7 1231 1528 12.53% 23.20% 64.28%-1.10 +4.4 28
2016-04-10 @ Flamurtari D 1-157.7 1528 1231 64.28% 23.20% 12.53%+1.10 -4.4 61
2016-04-10 Skenderbeu W 1-056.4 1447 1582 26.20% 26.11% 47.69%-0.38 +17.5 51
2016-04-10 @ Kukesi L 0-156.4 1582 1447 47.69% 26.11% 26.20%+0.38 -17.6 66
2016-04-16 Flamurtari L 1-252.9 1280 1236 49.87% 25.92% 24.22%+0.44 -17.2 31
2016-04-16 @ Laci W 2-152.9 1236 1280 24.22% 25.92% 49.87%-0.44 +17.2 31
2016-04-16 Kukesi D 0-052.2 1349 1464 28.60% 26.28% 45.12%-0.29 +1.4 49
2016-04-16 @ Teuta D 0-052.2 1464 1349 45.12% 26.28% 28.60%+0.29 -1.4 52
2016-04-16 Terbuni L 2-364.5 1565 1009 85.50% 12.30% 2.20%+2.75 -24.8 66
2016-04-16 @ Skenderbeu W 3-264.5 1009 1565 2.20% 12.30% 85.50%-2.75 +24.8 17
2016-04-17 KF Tirana D 0-049.8 1165 1422 14.99% 24.11% 60.90%-0.93 +4.3 25
2016-04-17 @ Bylis D 0-049.8 1422 1165 60.90% 24.11% 14.99%+0.93 -4.3 48
2016-04-17 Vllaznia W 3-031.5 1523 1273 69.20% 21.48% 9.32%+1.37 +11.5 64
2016-04-17 @ Partizani L 0-331.5 1273 1523 9.32% 21.48% 69.20%-1.37 -11.5 29
2016-04-25 Flamurtari W 2-146.5 1261 1253 45.42% 26.26% 28.31%+0.27 +11.0 32
2016-04-25 @ Vllaznia L 1-246.5 1253 1261 28.31% 26.26% 45.42%-0.27 -11.1 31
2016-04-25 Laci W 1-044.0 1169 1262 31.40% 26.41% 42.19%-0.19 +15.9 28
2016-04-25 @ Bylis L 0-144.0 1262 1169 42.19% 26.41% 31.40%+0.19 -15.9 31
2016-04-25 Partizani L 0-151.3 1463 1535 34.27% 26.49% 39.24%-0.09 -13.6 52
2016-04-25 @ Kukesi W 1-051.3 1535 1463 39.24% 26.49% 34.27%+0.09 +13.6 67
2016-04-25 Skenderbeu L 0-147.8 1418 1540 27.84% 26.23% 45.93%-0.31 -11.6 48
2016-04-25 @ KF Tirana W 1-047.8 1540 1418 45.93% 26.23% 27.84%+0.31 +11.6 69
2016-04-25 Teuta L 1-433.8 1034 1350 11.42% 22.69% 65.90%-1.19 -12.0 17
2016-04-25 @ Terbuni W 4-133.8 1350 1034 65.90% 22.69% 11.42%+1.19 +12.0 52
2016-04-29 KF Tirana D 0-051.2 1362 1406 38.23% 26.50% 35.27%+0.04 -0.2 53
2016-04-29 @ Teuta D 0-051.2 1406 1362 35.27% 26.50% 38.23%-0.04 +0.2 49
2016-04-29 Kukesi L 0-138.2 1242 1449 18.97% 25.12% 55.91%-0.70 -8.4 31
2016-04-29 @ Flamurtari W 1-038.2 1449 1242 55.91% 25.12% 18.97%+0.70 +8.4 55
2016-04-30 Bylis W 3-028.1 1551 1185 76.59% 17.97% 5.44%+1.90 +6.4 72
2016-04-30 @ Skenderbeu L 0-328.1 1185 1551 5.44% 17.97% 76.59%-1.90 -6.4 28
2016-04-30 Terbuni W 4-023.9 1549 1022 84.35% 13.11% 2.54%+2.62 +3.5 70
2016-04-30 @ Partizani L 0-423.9 1022 1549 2.54% 13.11% 84.35%-2.62 -3.5 17
2016-04-30 Vllaznia W 3-252.7 1247 1272 40.84% 26.46% 32.70%+0.12 +11.7 34
2016-04-30 @ Laci L 2-352.7 1272 1247 32.70% 26.46% 40.84%-0.12 -11.7 32
2016-05-04 Flamurtari L 0-233.3 1018 1234 18.24% 24.97% 56.78%-0.74 -15.3 17
2016-05-04 @ Terbuni W 2-033.3 1234 1018 56.78% 24.97% 18.24%+0.74 +15.3 34
2016-05-04 Laci W 6-132.9 1558 1258 72.53% 20.04% 7.43%+1.59 +12.0 75
2016-05-04 @ Skenderbeu L 1-632.9 1258 1558 7.43% 20.04% 72.53%-1.59 -12.0 34
2016-05-04 Partizani D 2-268.6 1407 1552 25.10% 26.01% 48.89%-0.42 +1.4 50
2016-05-04 @ KF Tirana D 2-268.6 1552 1407 48.89% 26.01% 25.10%+0.42 -1.4 71
2016-05-04 Teuta L 0-137.8 1178 1362 21.15% 25.51% 53.34%-0.59 -9.2 28
2016-05-04 @ Bylis W 1-037.8 1362 1178 53.34% 25.51% 21.15%+0.59 +9.2 56
2016-05-04 Vllaznia D 0-051.5 1457 1261 65.10% 22.94% 11.96%+1.13 -5.1 56
2016-05-04 @ Kukesi D 0-051.5 1261 1457 11.96% 22.94% 65.10%-1.13 +5.1 33
2016-05-08 Bylis L 1-260.3 1551 1169 77.42% 17.50% 5.08%+1.96 -24.9 71
2016-05-08 @ Partizani W 2-160.3 1169 1551 5.08% 17.50% 77.42%-1.96 +24.9 31
2016-05-08 KF Tirana W 2-154.0 1249 1408 23.60% 25.85% 50.55%-0.48 +17.4 37
2016-05-08 @ Flamurtari L 1-254.0 1408 1249 50.55% 25.85% 23.60%+0.48 -17.4 50
2016-05-08 Kukesi D 1-156.2 1246 1452 19.05% 25.14% 55.81%-0.69 +3.0 35
2016-05-08 @ Laci D 1-156.2 1452 1246 55.81% 25.14% 19.05%+0.69 -3.0 57
2016-05-08 Skenderbeu D 1-162.1 1371 1570 19.70% 25.26% 55.03%-0.66 +2.9 57
2016-05-08 @ Teuta D 1-162.1 1570 1371 55.03% 25.26% 19.70%+0.66 -2.9 76
2016-05-08 Terbuni W 2-029.3 1266 1003 70.08% 21.12% 8.80%+1.43 +7.5 36
2016-05-08 @ Vllaznia L 0-229.3 1003 1266 8.80% 21.12% 70.08%-1.43 -7.5 17
2016-05-13 Partizani L 0-159.2 1567 1526 49.55% 25.95% 24.50%+0.42 -18.1 76
2016-05-13 @ Skenderbeu W 1-059.2 1526 1567 24.50% 25.95% 49.55%-0.42 +18.1 74
2016-05-14 Flamurtari D 0-048.6 1194 1266 34.28% 26.49% 39.23%-0.09 +0.4 32
2016-05-14 @ Bylis D 0-048.6 1266 1194 39.23% 26.49% 34.28%+0.09 -0.4 38
2016-05-14 Kukesi L 1-237.4 995 1449 6.04% 18.66% 75.30%-1.82 -2.5 17
2016-05-14 @ Terbuni W 2-137.4 1449 995 75.30% 18.66% 6.04%+1.82 +2.5 60
2016-05-14 Laci W 3-032.2 1374 1249 58.66% 24.61% 16.73%+0.80 +20.6 60
2016-05-14 @ Teuta L 0-332.2 1249 1374 16.73% 24.61% 58.66%-0.80 -20.5 35
2016-05-14 Vllaznia W 1-037.3 1391 1273 57.95% 24.75% 17.30%+0.77 +7.7 53
2016-05-14 @ KF Tirana L 0-137.3 1273 1391 17.30% 24.75% 57.95%-0.77 -7.7 36
2016-05-18 Bylis W 1-037.6 1266 1195 53.04% 25.55% 21.41%+0.56 +9.3 39
2016-05-18 @ Vllaznia L 0-137.6 1195 1266 21.41% 25.55% 53.04%-0.56 -9.3 32
2016-05-18 KF Tirana W 2-149.3 1452 1398 51.02% 25.80% 23.19%+0.48 +9.4 63
2016-05-18 @ Kukesi L 1-249.3 1398 1452 23.19% 25.80% 51.02%-0.48 -9.4 53
2016-05-18 Skenderbeu L 0-235.3 1266 1549 13.35% 23.53% 63.12%-1.04 -11.4 38
2016-05-18 @ Flamurtari W 2-035.3 1549 1266 63.12% 23.53% 13.35%+1.04 +11.4 79
2016-05-18 Terbuni D 0-049.7 1229 993 68.12% 21.90% 9.98%+1.30 -5.6 36
2016-05-18 @ Laci D 0-049.7 993 1229 9.98% 21.90% 68.12%-1.30 +5.6 18
2016-05-18 Teuta L 1-262.9 1544 1394 61.01% 24.08% 14.91%+0.91 -20.6 74
2016-05-18 @ Partizani W 2-162.9 1394 1544 14.91% 24.08% 61.01%-0.91 +20.6 63

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2016-04-16 2.20% Terbuni 1009 3 @ Skenderbeu 1565 2
2 2016-05-08 5.08% Bylis 1169 2 @ Partizani 1551 1
3 2015-12-23 7.67% @ Flamurtari 1193 3 Skenderbeu 1595 1
4 2015-12-23 11.65% Teuta 1293 1 @ Partizani 1496 0
5 2016-01-30 11.81% @ Vllaznia 1245 1 Skenderbeu 1554 0
6 2016-02-21 12.68% Bylis 1163 1 @ Laci 1348 0
7 2015-11-28 14.54% @ Bylis 1125 1 Laci 1390 0
8 2016-05-18 14.91% Teuta 1394 2 @ Partizani 1544 1
9 2015-12-07 20.32% @ Bylis 1141 2 Teuta 1333 1
10 2016-03-13 21.71% @ Vllaznia 1263 3 KF Tirana 1441 1
11 2016-05-08 23.60% @ Flamurtari 1249 2 KF Tirana 1408 1
12 2016-04-16 24.22% Flamurtari 1236 2 @ Laci 1280 1
13 2016-05-13 24.50% Partizani 1526 1 @ Skenderbeu 1567 0
14 2015-08-22 26.08% Teuta 1222 1 @ Flamurtari 1250 0
15 2016-04-10 26.20% @ Kukesi 1447 1 Skenderbeu 1582 0
16 2015-11-23 26.59% @ Teuta 1306 1 Kukesi 1438 0
17 2015-11-19 27.04% @ Kukesi 1422 2 Skenderbeu 1551 1
18 2015-12-23 28.88% KF Tirana 1413 1 @ Kukesi 1417 0
19 2015-10-31 30.17% @ Bylis 1121 3 Vllaznia 1224 1
20 2015-12-06 30.45% @ Terbuni 1110 1 Flamurtari 1211 0
21 2015-11-28 30.55% @ Vllaznia 1178 4 Flamurtari 1278 0
22 2015-10-17 30.79% Vllaznia 1178 3 @ Terbuni 1166 0
23 2015-10-25 30.94% @ Partizani 1455 2 Skenderbeu 1552 1
24 2015-12-19 31.09% Flamurtari 1179 3 @ Bylis 1165 2
25 2016-04-09 31.37% Teuta 1319 2 @ Vllaznia 1303 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2015-10-04 71.56 @ Flamurtari 7 1244 45.15% Terbuni 0 1238 28.57% 26.28%
2 2015-11-28 57.73 @ Vllaznia 4 1178 30.55% Flamurtari 0 1278 43.06% 26.38%
3 2015-10-17 43.99 Vllaznia 3 1178 30.79% @ Terbuni 0 1166 42.82% 26.39%
4 2015-12-23 41.10 @ Flamurtari 3 1193 7.67% Skenderbeu 1 1595 72.09% 20.24%
5 2016-02-07 37.88 KF Tirana 3 1438 38.33% @ Laci 0 1372 35.17% 26.50%
6 2016-02-06 37.53 @ Bylis 4 1132 49.39% Terbuni 0 1092 24.65% 25.96%
7 2015-10-05 37.08 Skenderbeu 3 1520 39.34% @ Laci 0 1446 34.17% 26.49%
8 2016-03-09 34.72 Vllaznia 4 1229 51.87% @ Terbuni 0 1058 22.43% 25.70%
9 2016-03-13 31.25 @ Vllaznia 3 1263 21.71% KF Tirana 1 1441 52.70% 25.60%
10 2016-04-09 29.95 Teuta 2 1319 31.37% @ Vllaznia 0 1303 42.22% 26.41%
11 2016-02-27 27.10 @ Kukesi 4 1388 58.44% Flamurtari 0 1266 16.90% 24.66%
12 2015-10-31 26.55 @ Bylis 3 1121 30.17% Vllaznia 1 1224 43.47% 26.36%
13 2015-09-19 26.07 @ Partizani 2 1406 38.35% Kukesi 0 1449 35.15% 26.50%
14 2016-05-08 24.92 Bylis 2 1169 5.08% @ Partizani 1 1551 77.42% 17.50%
15 2015-08-30 24.84 Terbuni 2 1259 40.58% @ Bylis 0 1177 32.95% 26.46%
16 2016-04-16 24.81 Terbuni 3 1009 2.20% @ Skenderbeu 2 1565 85.50% 12.30%
17 2016-02-21 24.22 @ Flamurtari 2 1241 41.70% Vllaznia 0 1261 31.87% 26.43%
18 2015-12-23 23.28 Teuta 1 1293 11.65% @ Partizani 0 1496 65.55% 22.80%
19 2016-01-30 23.20 @ Vllaznia 1 1245 11.81% Skenderbeu 0 1554 65.31% 22.88%
20 2016-02-21 22.80 Bylis 1 1163 12.68% @ Laci 0 1348 64.05% 23.27%
21 2015-08-29 22.64 @ Teuta 2 1240 44.50% Vllaznia 0 1239 29.19% 26.31%
22 2015-11-28 21.99 @ Bylis 1 1125 14.54% Laci 0 1390 61.49% 23.97%
23 2015-11-07 21.81 @ Teuta 3 1272 39.98% Flamurtari 1 1304 33.55% 26.48%
24 2015-10-04 21.80 @ Teuta 3 1252 57.26% Bylis 0 1142 17.86% 24.89%
25 2016-03-04 21.61 @ Partizani 2 1483 46.28% KF Tirana 0 1468 27.51% 26.21%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2016-05-04 68.6 @ KF Tirana 2 1407 25.10% Partizani 2 1552 48.89% 26.01%
2 2016-03-14 66.9 @ Partizani 1 1514 36.52% Skenderbeu 1 1570 36.97% 26.51%
3 2015-10-16 66.1 @ Skenderbeu 2 1557 71.41% Teuta 2 1274 8.04% 20.55%
4 2016-04-16 64.5 Terbuni 3 1009 2.20% @ Skenderbeu 2 1565 85.50% 12.30%
5 2016-05-18 62.9 Teuta 2 1394 14.91% @ Partizani 1 1544 61.01% 24.08%
6 2016-02-13 62.4 @ Kukesi 2 1399 54.83% Teuta 2 1312 19.88% 25.30%
7 2015-10-25 62.1 @ Laci 2 1398 58.18% Teuta 2 1278 17.11% 24.71%
8 2016-05-08 62.1 @ Teuta 1 1371 19.70% Skenderbeu 1 1570 55.03% 25.26%
9 2015-10-25 60.7 @ Partizani 2 1455 30.94% Skenderbeu 1 1552 42.67% 26.40%
10 2015-11-19 60.5 @ Kukesi 2 1422 27.04% Skenderbeu 1 1551 46.78% 26.17%
11 2016-05-08 60.3 Bylis 2 1169 5.08% @ Partizani 1 1551 77.42% 17.50%
12 2016-05-13 59.2 Partizani 1 1526 24.50% @ Skenderbeu 0 1567 49.55% 25.95%
13 2015-08-29 58.6 @ Laci 1 1439 49.77% KF Tirana 1 1396 24.31% 25.92%
14 2016-03-20 58.6 @ KF Tirana 1 1410 41.10% Kukesi 1 1434 32.45% 26.45%
15 2015-08-21 58.3 @ Partizani 1 1391 37.73% Laci 1 1439 35.76% 26.50%
16 2016-02-28 58.0 @ Bylis 1 1186 8.89% Skenderbeu 1 1557 69.93% 21.18%
17 2015-12-12 57.9 @ Partizani 1 1511 75.73% Bylis 1 1159 5.84% 18.44%
18 2016-02-06 57.8 @ Partizani 1 1489 68.39% Flamurtari 1 1250 9.81% 21.80%
19 2016-04-10 57.7 @ Flamurtari 1 1231 12.53% Partizani 1 1528 64.28% 23.20%
20 2015-11-08 57.4 Partizani 3 1479 41.45% @ Laci 2 1391 32.11% 26.44%
21 2015-12-23 57.4 @ Flamurtari 3 1193 7.67% Skenderbeu 1 1595 72.09% 20.24%
22 2015-12-12 57.1 @ Laci 1 1360 35.74% Kukesi 1 1422 37.75% 26.50%
23 2016-02-13 56.9 @ Vllaznia 1 1258 17.35% Partizani 1 1484 57.88% 24.77%
24 2016-04-10 56.4 @ Kukesi 1 1447 26.20% Skenderbeu 0 1582 47.69% 26.11%
25 2016-05-08 56.2 @ Laci 1 1246 19.05% Kukesi 1 1452 55.81% 25.14%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2016-04-30 23.9 @ Partizani 4 1549 84.35% Terbuni 0 1022 2.54% 13.11%
2 2016-04-03 25.7 @ KF Tirana 3 1409 77.52% Terbuni 0 1026 5.03% 17.44%
3 2015-12-02 26.2 @ Partizani 4 1504 77.73% Terbuni 0 1117 4.94% 17.33%
4 2015-11-22 26.4 @ Skenderbeu 4 1534 78.49% Terbuni 0 1133 4.63% 16.88%
5 2015-12-03 26.7 @ Skenderbeu 4 1552 78.66% Bylis 0 1147 4.56% 16.78%
6 2015-11-07 27.9 @ KF Tirana 3 1398 70.87% Terbuni 0 1123 8.35% 20.79%
7 2015-12-23 27.9 @ Laci 4 1375 69.89% Terbuni 0 1114 8.91% 21.20%
8 2016-04-30 28.1 @ Skenderbeu 3 1551 76.59% Bylis 0 1185 5.44% 17.97%
9 2016-01-31 28.4 @ Kukesi 3 1400 69.69% Bylis 0 1143 9.03% 21.28%
10 2016-05-08 29.3 @ Vllaznia 2 1266 70.08% Terbuni 0 1003 8.80% 21.12%
11 2016-02-13 29.7 @ KF Tirana 2 1476 72.99% Bylis 0 1169 7.19% 19.82%
12 2016-03-13 29.9 @ Kukesi 1 1432 78.85% Terbuni 0 1024 4.48% 16.67%
13 2015-08-23 30.6 @ Kukesi 2 1435 69.21% Bylis 0 1185 9.31% 21.48%
14 2016-04-17 31.5 @ Partizani 3 1523 69.20% Vllaznia 0 1273 9.32% 21.48%
15 2015-09-12 31.7 @ Kukesi 3 1432 62.81% Teuta 0 1263 13.57% 23.62%
16 2015-10-04 31.7 @ Teuta 3 1252 57.26% Bylis 0 1142 17.86% 24.89%
17 2015-10-25 31.8 @ Kukesi 1 1437 73.49% Terbuni 0 1122 6.93% 19.58%
18 2016-03-09 32.2 Partizani 2 1504 66.20% @ Bylis 0 1184 11.22% 22.58%
19 2016-05-14 32.2 @ Teuta 3 1374 58.66% Laci 0 1249 16.73% 24.61%
20 2016-02-27 32.3 @ Kukesi 4 1388 58.44% Flamurtari 0 1266 16.90% 24.66%
21 2016-04-02 32.6 Kukesi 2 1434 61.89% @ Bylis 0 1166 14.25% 23.86%
22 2015-11-23 32.8 @ Partizani 1 1488 73.01% Vllaznia 0 1181 7.18% 19.81%
23 2016-03-09 32.9 Vllaznia 4 1229 51.87% @ Terbuni 0 1058 22.43% 25.70%
24 2016-03-20 32.9 @ Skenderbeu 5 1570 74.67% Flamurtari 1 1237 6.34% 18.99%
25 2016-05-04 32.9 @ Skenderbeu 6 1558 72.53% Laci 1 1258 7.43% 20.04%