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2016-17 Kategoria Superiore Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Kukesi

75 points · 1st Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Luftetari

10.04 points above expected

44 points · 33.96 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

KF Tirana

11.74 points below expected

39 points · 50.74 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Kukesi Champion 36 20 15 1 75 51 18 +33 69.72 +5.28
2 Partizani 36 19 15 2 72 46 17 +29 68.48 +3.52
3 Skenderbeu 36 21 9 6 72 45 22 +23 66.75 +5.25
4 Luftetari 36 11 11 14 44 37 45 -8 33.96 +10.04
5 Flamurtari* 36 12 10 14 40 42 34 +8 38.28 +1.72
6 Vllaznia 36 8 16 12 40 29 35 -6 44.82 -4.82
7 Teuta 36 10 10 16 40 27 34 -7 45.41 -5.41
8 Laci 36 10 10 16 40 23 35 -12 36.73 +3.27
9 KF Tirana 36 8 15 13 39 29 32 -3 50.74 -11.74
10 Korabi 36 2 7 27 13 11 68 -57 24.57 -11.57

* Point deductions: Flamurtari (-6 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Luftetari 44 33.96 +10.04
2 Kukesi 75 69.72 +5.28
3 Skenderbeu 72 66.75 +5.25
4 Partizani 72 68.48 +3.52
5 Laci 40 36.73 +3.27

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 KF Tirana 39 50.74 -11.74
2 Korabi 13 24.57 -11.57
3 Teuta 40 45.41 -5.41
4 Vllaznia 40 44.82 -4.82
5 Flamurtari 40 38.28 +1.72

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Skenderbeu 7 Apr 10 – May 15 1 in 44
2 Luftetari 2 Dec 10 – Dec 14 1 in 26
3 Laci 2 Jan 28 – Feb 5 1 in 19
4 KF Tirana 3 Oct 2 – Oct 16 1 in 13
5 Partizani 5 Mar 5 – Apr 8 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KF Tirana 4 Jan 28 – Feb 20 1 in 57
2 Vllaznia 2 Dec 10 – Dec 14 1 in 32
3 Korabi 6 Oct 12 – Nov 20 1 in 26
4 Teuta 4 Nov 6 – Nov 30 1 in 25
5 Kukesi 1 May 27 – May 27 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kukesi 35 Sep 8 – May 20 1 in 1,150
2 Luftetari 7 Nov 5 – Dec 14 1 in 183
3 Partizani 17 Feb 5 – May 27 1 in 28
4 Laci 5 May 6 – May 27 1 in 27
5 Vllaznia 6 Mar 4 – Apr 16 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KF Tirana 15 Dec 22 – May 6 1 in 433
2 Vllaznia 9 Apr 9 – May 27 1 in 43
3 Partizani 3 Oct 30 – Nov 20 1 in 14
4 Teuta 6 Sep 7 – Oct 12 1 in 11
5 Kukesi 3 Feb 20 – Mar 5 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Kukesi 1537 75 +2 10 9.8 +0.2
Skenderbeu 1487 72 -4 10 8.9 +1.1
Partizani 1507 72 -10 7 9.6 -2.6
Flamurtari 1322 46 +27 8 7.5 +0.5
Luftetari 1234 44 -14 5 5.4 -0.4
Laci 1246 40 +94 11 5.2 +5.8
Teuta 1270 40 +13 7 7.1 -0.1
Vllaznia 1199 40 -67 2 5.9 -3.9
KF Tirana 1241 39 +12 7 6.3 +0.7
Korabi 895 13 -54 0 2.0 -2.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FLA KT KOR KUK LAC LUF PAR SKE TEU VLL
Flamurtari —
2-1-1
4.66
3-0-1
8.14
0-2-2
2.77
1-2-1
6.21
3-1-0
6.36
0-2-2
2.90
1-0-3
3.00
1-2-1
5.38
1-0-3
5.44
KF Tirana
1-1-2
6.03
 —
2-2-0
8.40
0-2-2
3.57
1-2-1
7.17
2-0-2
6.88
0-2-2
3.43
1-1-2
3.48
1-2-1
5.80
0-3-1
6.19
Korabi
1-0-3
2.68
0-2-2
2.49
 —
0-1-3
1.44
0-1-3
4.44
0-1-3
4.26
0-0-4
1.53
0-0-4
1.97
1-0-3
2.90
0-2-2
2.96
Kukesi
2-2-0
8.03
2-2-0
7.19
3-1-0
9.76
 —
2-2-0
8.66
2-1-1
8.90
1-3-0
5.39
2-2-0
5.54
4-0-0
7.50
2-2-0
7.66
Laci
1-2-1
4.48
1-2-1
3.55
3-1-0
6.26
0-2-2
2.29
 —
1-2-1
5.42
0-1-3
2.33
0-0-4
2.50
1-0-3
4.56
3-0-1
4.08
Luftetari
0-1-3
4.32
2-0-2
3.83
3-1-0
6.43
1-1-2
2.06
1-2-1
5.22
 —
1-1-2
2.16
0-1-3
2.40
2-1-1
4.35
1-3-0
4.07
Partizani
2-2-0
7.90
2-2-0
7.31
4-0-0
9.64
0-3-1
5.26
3-1-0
8.61
2-1-1
8.78
 —
2-2-0
5.67
3-1-0
7.55
1-3-0
7.84
Skenderbeu
3-0-1
7.77
2-1-1
7.29
4-0-0
9.06
0-2-2
5.12
4-0-0
8.36
3-1-0
8.51
0-2-2
4.97
 —
2-2-0
7.90
3-1-0
7.54
Teuta
1-2-1
5.25
1-2-1
4.86
3-0-1
7.91
0-0-4
3.24
3-0-1
6.11
1-1-2
6.35
0-1-3
3.24
0-2-2
2.89
 —
1-2-1
5.47
Vllaznia
3-0-1
5.20
1-3-0
4.47
2-2-0
7.87
0-2-2
3.12
1-0-3
6.59
0-3-1
6.62
0-3-1
2.94
0-1-3
3.23
1-2-1
5.18
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.82 +14.3
Allowed 0.82 -12.0
Differential 0.89 +7.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.33%13.33%7.22%2.50%1.11%0.56%43.06%
113.33%11.11%5.28%1.11%0.56%0.56%31.94%
27.22%5.28%3.33%1.11%——16.94%
32.50%1.11%1.11%—0.28%—5.00%
41.11%0.56%—0.28%——1.94%
5+0.56%0.56%————1.11%
Total43.06%31.94%16.94%5.00%1.94%1.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 0.94 +0.00
SD 1.09 1.09 1.58
CV 1.15 1.15 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%22.22%2.78%2.78%2.78%—41.67%
15.56%16.67%5.56%———27.78%
28.33%8.33%—2.78%——19.44%
32.78%—————2.78%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+5.56%—————5.56%
Total33.33%50.00%8.33%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 0.94 +0.22
SD 1.46 0.95 1.96
CV 1.25 1.01 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
030.56%11.11%5.56%———47.22%
15.56%5.56%16.67%—2.78%—30.56%
28.33%2.78%5.56%———16.67%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total47.22%22.22%27.78%—2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 0.89 -0.08
SD 0.92 1.01 1.25
CV 1.14 1.13 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%27.78%19.44%11.11%8.33%2.78%75.00%
12.78%13.89%—2.78%2.78%—22.22%
2———————
3——2.78%———2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total8.33%41.67%22.22%13.89%11.11%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.31 1.89 -1.58
SD 0.62 1.35 1.54
CV 2.04 0.71 —
Max 3 6 +1
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%2.78%————25.00%
116.67%13.89%————30.56%
213.89%8.33%5.56%———27.78%
32.78%5.56%2.78%———11.11%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+———————
Total58.33%33.33%8.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 0.50 +0.92
SD 1.16 0.65 1.11
CV 0.82 1.31 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.44%22.22%13.89%———55.56%
113.89%5.56%2.78%2.78%—2.78%27.78%
22.78%8.33%2.78%———13.89%
32.78%—————2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total38.89%36.11%19.44%2.78%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.64 0.97 -0.33
SD 0.83 1.08 1.37
CV 1.30 1.11 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%11.11%2.78%—2.78%33.33%
113.89%16.67%8.33%———38.89%
25.56%5.56%8.33%2.78%——22.22%
3——2.78%———2.78%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total27.78%33.33%30.56%5.56%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.25 -0.22
SD 0.97 1.11 1.59
CV 0.94 0.88 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%2.78%2.78%———27.78%
116.67%16.67%————33.33%
213.89%13.89%2.78%———30.56%
32.78%—————2.78%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total58.33%36.11%5.56%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 0.47 +0.81
SD 1.16 0.61 1.24
CV 0.91 1.29 —
Max 5 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%2.78%8.33%———25.00%
136.11%5.56%5.56%———47.22%
25.56%2.78%5.56%———13.89%
38.33%—————8.33%
4———2.78%——2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total63.89%13.89%19.44%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 0.61 +0.64
SD 1.18 0.90 1.38
CV 0.94 1.48 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%19.44%5.56%2.78%——50.00%
113.89%5.56%8.33%2.78%—2.78%33.33%
28.33%——2.78%——11.11%
3—2.78%————2.78%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total47.22%27.78%13.89%8.33%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.75 0.94 -0.19
SD 0.97 1.19 1.55
CV 1.29 1.26 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
030.56%11.11%2.78%5.56%——50.00%
18.33%11.11%5.56%2.78%——27.78%
25.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%——13.89%
32.78%—2.78%—2.78%—8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total47.22%25.00%13.89%11.11%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 0.97 -0.17
SD 0.98 1.16 1.25
CV 1.22 1.19 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Kukesi 1537 75 69.72 +5.28 77.0% 53 58 64 70 75 81 87
Partizani 1507 72 68.48 +3.52 69.0% 49 58 62 69 73 78 88
Skenderbeu 1487 72 66.75 +5.25 83.0% 50 57 62 67 71 77 80
Flamurtari 1322 40 38.28 +1.72 59.0% 24 27 33 38 42 51 56
Teuta 1270 40 45.41 -5.41 26.0% 18 35 40 46 50 58 62
Laci 1246 40 36.73 +3.27 73.0% 20 26 32 37 41 47 54
KF Tirana 1241 39 50.74 -11.74 5.0% 37 39 47 50 55 62 69
Luftetari 1234 44 33.96 +10.04 91.0% 15 20 29 34 38 45 50
Vllaznia 1199 40 44.82 -4.82 27.0% 24 32 39 46 49 55 61
Korabi 895 13 24.57 -11.57 2.0% 11 16 21 25 28 32 37

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 27% * Slight Edge: 27% to 33% * Clear Edge: 33% to 40% * Strong Edge: 40% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+25.00%
No Edge
46.11%32.78%21.11%
Elo Value
Home Edge
230 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
088.74600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.48 goals
Neutral
-2+0.39+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.04 * Tight Race: 0.04 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.8
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
41%
Kukesi, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.08/gm
Tight Race
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.34 * Some Luck: 5.34 to 8.01 * Lucky: 8.01 to 10.68 * Wild Swing: 10.68 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.74 * Close: 0.74 to 1.11 * Off: 1.11 to 1.48 * Way Off: 1.48 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.10 points
Some Luck
06.6817
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.40
Off
00.932
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
91.00%
Luftetari
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
2.00%
Korabi
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 77.5% * Wide Edge: 77.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 93% * Strong Edge: 93% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 72.5% * Very Frequent: 72.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 10.5% * Occasional: 10.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.120.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 188.59
2.61
Wide Separation
0.91.351.82.153
Interquartile Edge
77%
Clear Edge
50%63.5%72.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
73%
Very Frequent
0%66%100%
Blowouts
Expected
11%
Occasional
0%11%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.56 * Notable Separation: 0.56 to 0.62 * Lopsided: 0.62 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14.5% * Upset-Prone: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 18.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 10.5% * As Expected: 10.5% to 12.5% * Shaky Favorites: 12.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.54
Highly Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.51
Slight Separation
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.35
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.57
Some Carryover
00.410.590.731
Upset Rate
Expected
13%
As Expected
0%17%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
10%
Solid Favorites
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.10
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.18
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.107
Well Within Noise
00.1200.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Kukesi41.00%32.00%24.00%3.00%——————
Partizani37.00%33.00%23.00%6.00%1.00%—————
Skenderbeu22.00%30.00%44.00%4.00%——————
Luftetari————6.00%15.00%9.00%25.00%32.00%13.00%
Flamurtari——1.00%4.00%11.00%16.00%25.00%17.00%24.00%2.00%
Vllaznia——3.00%16.00%31.00%17.00%18.00%8.00%6.00%1.00%
Teuta——2.00%16.00%26.00%25.00%16.00%11.00%3.00%1.00%
Laci———4.00%4.00%9.00%28.00%33.00%14.00%8.00%
KF Tirana—5.00%3.00%47.00%21.00%18.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%—
Korabi———————5.00%20.00%75.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Kukesi 100% —
Partizani 100% —
Skenderbeu 100% —
KF Tirana 99.00% 1.00%
Teuta 96.00% 4.00%
Vllaznia 93.00% 7.00%
Laci 78.00% 22.00%
Flamurtari 74.00% 26.00%
Luftetari 55.00% 45.00%
Korabi 5.00% 95.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2016-09-07 Flamurtari W 2-141.9 1437 1244 63.72% 27.28% 9.00%+1.23 +5.6 3
2016-09-07 @ Skenderbeu L 1-241.9 1244 1437 9.00% 27.28% 63.72%-1.23 -5.6 0
2016-09-07 KF Tirana D 0-047.8 1345 1332 46.04% 33.63% 20.33%+0.44 -3.0 1
2016-09-07 @ Teuta D 0-047.8 1332 1345 20.33% 33.63% 46.04%-0.44 +3.0 1
2016-09-07 Laci D 0-046.1 1180 1224 38.82% 34.53% 26.65%+0.19 -1.3 1
2016-09-07 @ Korabi D 0-046.1 1224 1180 26.65% 34.53% 38.82%-0.19 +1.3 1
2016-09-07 Partizani L 0-136.6 1129 1416 12.90% 30.72% 56.38%-0.87 -8.7 0
2016-09-07 @ Luftetari W 1-036.6 1416 1129 56.38% 30.72% 12.90%+0.87 +8.7 3
2016-09-08 Kukesi D 0-047.1 1256 1377 28.24% 34.64% 37.12%-0.14 +0.9 1
2016-09-08 @ Vllaznia D 0-047.1 1377 1256 37.12% 34.64% 28.24%+0.14 -1.0 1
2016-09-11 KF Tirana D 0-046.6 1225 1335 29.62% 34.70% 35.68%-0.09 +0.6 2
2016-09-11 @ Laci D 0-046.6 1335 1225 35.68% 34.70% 29.62%+0.09 -0.6 2
2016-09-11 Luftetari W 5-031.7 1239 1120 57.21% 30.39% 12.40%+0.90 +36.9 3
2016-09-11 @ Flamurtari L 0-531.7 1120 1239 12.40% 30.39% 57.21%-0.90 -36.9 0
2016-09-11 Skenderbeu L 0-234.6 1178 1442 14.35% 31.55% 54.10%-0.76 -18.1 1
2016-09-11 @ Korabi W 2-034.6 1442 1178 54.10% 31.55% 14.35%+0.76 +18.1 6
2016-09-12 Teuta W 3-035.9 1376 1342 48.41% 33.15% 18.44%+0.53 +32.7 4
2016-09-12 @ Kukesi L 0-335.9 1342 1376 18.44% 33.15% 48.41%-0.53 -32.7 1
2016-09-12 Vllaznia D 0-049.4 1425 1257 61.63% 28.37% 10.00%+1.12 -6.5 4
2016-09-12 @ Partizani D 0-049.4 1257 1425 10.00% 28.37% 61.63%-1.12 +6.5 2
2016-09-17 Korabi W 1-042.6 1083 1160 34.28% 34.74% 30.98%+0.05 +17.4 3
2016-09-17 @ Luftetari L 0-142.6 1160 1083 30.98% 34.74% 34.28%-0.05 -17.4 1
2016-09-17 Kukesi D 2-260.1 1335 1408 34.79% 34.73% 30.48%+0.07 -0.3 3
2016-09-17 @ KF Tirana D 2-260.1 1408 1335 30.48% 34.73% 34.79%-0.07 +0.3 5
2016-09-17 Laci W 1-034.4 1460 1226 67.12% 25.33% 7.55%+1.41 +4.8 9
2016-09-17 @ Skenderbeu L 0-134.4 1226 1460 7.55% 25.33% 67.12%-1.41 -4.8 2
2016-09-18 Flamurtari W 2-037.4 1263 1276 42.99% 34.11% 22.90%+0.33 +26.6 5
2016-09-18 @ Vllaznia L 0-237.4 1276 1263 22.90% 34.11% 42.99%-0.33 -26.6 3
2016-09-18 Partizani L 0-241.4 1310 1418 29.87% 34.71% 35.43%-0.09 -32.0 1
2016-09-18 @ Teuta W 2-041.4 1418 1310 35.43% 34.71% 29.87%+0.09 +32.0 7
2016-09-24 Kukesi D 0-047.3 1221 1409 20.59% 33.69% 45.72%-0.43 +2.9 3
2016-09-24 @ Laci D 0-047.3 1409 1221 45.72% 33.69% 20.59%+0.43 -2.9 6
2016-09-24 Luftetari W 1-030.7 1465 1100 76.43% 19.17% 4.39%+1.98 +2.5 12
2016-09-24 @ Skenderbeu L 0-130.7 1100 1465 4.39% 19.17% 76.43%-1.98 -2.5 3
2016-09-24 Teuta D 0-046.5 1249 1278 40.87% 34.36% 24.77%+0.26 -1.8 4
2016-09-24 @ Flamurtari D 0-046.5 1278 1249 24.77% 34.36% 40.87%-0.26 +1.8 2
2016-09-24 Vllaznia D 0-046.2 1143 1290 24.94% 34.37% 40.68%-0.26 +1.7 2
2016-09-24 @ Korabi D 0-046.2 1290 1143 40.68% 34.37% 24.94%+0.26 -1.7 6
2016-09-25 KF Tirana D 0-050.4 1450 1334 56.92% 30.50% 12.57%+0.89 -5.5 8
2016-09-25 @ Partizani D 0-050.4 1334 1450 12.57% 30.50% 56.92%-0.89 +5.5 4
2016-10-01 Laci W 1-044.7 1098 1224 27.56% 34.60% 37.84%-0.16 +19.9 6
2016-10-01 @ Luftetari L 0-144.7 1224 1098 37.84% 34.60% 27.56%+0.16 -19.9 3
2016-10-01 Partizani W 1-045.9 1406 1445 39.53% 34.48% 26.00%+0.22 +15.4 9
2016-10-01 @ Kukesi L 0-145.9 1445 1406 26.00% 34.48% 39.53%-0.22 -15.5 8
2016-10-01 Vllaznia W 3-032.2 1468 1288 62.63% 27.86% 9.51%+1.17 +17.3 15
2016-10-01 @ Skenderbeu L 0-332.2 1288 1468 9.51% 27.86% 62.63%-1.17 -17.3 6
2016-10-02 Flamurtari W 3-032.7 1340 1247 54.70% 31.34% 13.95%+0.79 +25.7 7
2016-10-02 @ KF Tirana L 0-332.7 1247 1340 13.95% 31.34% 54.70%-0.79 -25.7 4
2016-10-02 Korabi L 2-360.3 1279 1144 58.72% 29.75% 11.54%+0.97 -25.2 2
2016-10-02 @ Teuta W 3-260.3 1144 1279 11.54% 29.75% 58.72%-0.97 +25.2 5
2016-10-12 KF Tirana L 0-139.4 1170 1366 19.79% 33.51% 46.70%-0.47 -12.6 5
2016-10-12 @ Korabi W 1-039.4 1366 1170 46.70% 33.51% 19.79%+0.47 +12.6 10
2016-10-12 Kukesi D 1-153.5 1221 1421 19.44% 33.42% 47.14%-0.48 +2.9 5
2016-10-12 @ Flamurtari D 1-153.5 1421 1221 47.14% 33.42% 19.44%+0.48 -2.9 10
2016-10-12 Teuta W 1-035.3 1485 1254 66.83% 25.50% 7.67%+1.39 +4.9 18
2016-10-12 @ Skenderbeu L 0-135.3 1254 1485 7.67% 25.50% 66.83%-1.39 -4.9 2
2016-10-12 Vllaznia D 1-152.2 1118 1271 24.27% 34.30% 41.43%-0.28 +1.7 7
2016-10-12 @ Luftetari D 1-152.2 1271 1118 41.43% 34.30% 24.27%+0.28 -1.7 7
2016-10-13 Partizani L 0-235.9 1204 1429 17.21% 32.76% 50.03%-0.60 -21.2 3
2016-10-13 @ Laci W 2-035.9 1429 1204 50.03% 32.76% 17.21%+0.60 +21.2 11
2016-10-16 Korabi W 2-029.8 1418 1157 69.16% 24.07% 6.77%+1.52 +8.0 13
2016-10-16 @ Kukesi L 0-229.8 1157 1418 6.77% 24.07% 69.16%-1.52 -8.0 5
2016-10-16 Skenderbeu W 2-155.9 1378 1490 29.41% 34.69% 35.90%-0.10 +18.1 13
2016-10-16 @ KF Tirana L 1-255.9 1490 1378 35.90% 34.69% 29.41%+0.10 -18.1 18
2016-10-17 Flamurtari W 4-029.9 1450 1224 66.44% 25.73% 7.83%+1.37 +18.1 14
2016-10-17 @ Partizani L 0-429.9 1224 1450 7.83% 25.73% 66.44%-1.37 -18.1 5
2016-10-17 Laci L 1-255.3 1269 1183 54.08% 31.56% 14.36%+0.76 -24.9 7
2016-10-17 @ Vllaznia W 2-155.3 1183 1269 14.36% 31.56% 54.08%-0.76 +24.9 6
2016-10-17 Luftetari W 2-032.4 1249 1119 58.23% 29.96% 11.81%+0.95 +15.0 5
2016-10-17 @ Teuta L 0-232.4 1119 1249 11.81% 29.96% 58.23%-0.95 -15.0 7
2016-10-22 Flamurtari D 1-152.3 1208 1206 44.65% 33.87% 21.48%+0.39 -2.3 7
2016-10-22 @ Laci D 1-152.3 1206 1208 21.48% 33.87% 44.65%-0.39 +2.4 6
2016-10-22 Kukesi D 0-052.8 1472 1426 49.80% 32.82% 17.38%+0.59 -3.8 19
2016-10-22 @ Skenderbeu D 0-052.8 1426 1472 17.38% 32.82% 49.80%-0.59 +3.8 14
2016-10-22 Partizani L 0-136.1 1149 1469 11.19% 29.46% 59.35%-1.01 -7.5 5
2016-10-22 @ Korabi W 1-036.1 1469 1149 59.35% 29.46% 11.19%+1.01 +7.5 17
2016-10-23 KF Tirana W 2-156.0 1104 1396 12.65% 30.56% 56.80%-0.88 +25.9 10
2016-10-23 @ Luftetari L 1-256.0 1396 1104 56.80% 30.56% 12.65%+0.88 -25.9 13
2016-10-23 Teuta W 1-040.7 1244 1264 42.00% 34.23% 23.77%+0.30 +14.5 10
2016-10-23 @ Vllaznia L 0-140.7 1264 1244 23.77% 34.23% 42.00%-0.30 -14.5 5
2016-10-29 Luftetari W 1-032.0 1430 1130 71.99% 22.23% 5.78%+1.69 +3.5 17
2016-10-29 @ Kukesi L 0-132.0 1130 1430 5.78% 22.23% 71.99%-1.69 -3.5 10
2016-10-30 Korabi W 4-137.0 1209 1141 52.09% 32.19% 15.71%+0.68 +24.1 9
2016-10-30 @ Flamurtari L 1-437.0 1141 1209 15.71% 32.19% 52.09%-0.68 -24.1 5
2016-10-30 Laci W 3-140.9 1250 1205 49.67% 32.85% 17.47%+0.58 +18.6 8
2016-10-30 @ Teuta L 1-340.9 1205 1250 17.47% 32.85% 49.67%-0.58 -18.6 7
2016-10-30 Skenderbeu D 0-054.1 1476 1468 45.46% 33.74% 20.81%+0.42 -2.8 18
2016-10-30 @ Partizani D 0-054.1 1468 1476 20.81% 33.74% 45.46%-0.42 +2.8 20
2016-10-30 Vllaznia D 0-048.2 1370 1259 56.54% 30.66% 12.81%+0.87 -5.4 14
2016-10-30 @ KF Tirana D 0-048.2 1259 1370 12.81% 30.66% 56.54%-0.87 +5.4 11
2016-11-05 Korabi W 1-037.3 1187 1117 52.30% 32.13% 15.57%+0.69 +10.3 10
2016-11-05 @ Laci L 0-137.3 1117 1187 15.57% 32.13% 52.30%-0.69 -10.4 5
2016-11-05 Luftetari D 1-157.2 1473 1127 75.21% 20.03% 4.76%+1.90 -7.9 19
2016-11-05 @ Partizani D 1-157.2 1127 1473 4.76% 20.03% 75.21%-1.90 +7.9 11
2016-11-05 Skenderbeu W 2-046.8 1233 1471 16.19% 32.39% 51.42%-0.65 +47.7 12
2016-11-05 @ Flamurtari L 0-246.8 1471 1233 51.42% 32.39% 16.19%+0.65 -47.7 20
2016-11-06 Teuta W 3-140.1 1365 1268 55.08% 31.21% 13.71%+0.81 +15.0 17
2016-11-06 @ KF Tirana L 1-340.1 1268 1365 13.71% 31.21% 55.08%-0.81 -15.1 8
2016-11-06 Vllaznia W 3-138.8 1434 1264 61.76% 28.30% 9.94%+1.12 +10.9 20
2016-11-06 @ Kukesi L 1-338.8 1264 1434 9.94% 28.30% 61.76%-1.12 -10.9 11
2016-11-20 Flamurtari D 1-152.2 1135 1280 25.14% 34.39% 40.47%-0.25 +1.5 12
2016-11-20 @ Luftetari D 1-152.2 1280 1135 40.47% 34.39% 25.14%+0.25 -1.5 13
2016-11-20 Korabi W 1-031.5 1423 1107 73.15% 21.45% 5.40%+1.76 +3.2 23
2016-11-20 @ Skenderbeu L 0-131.5 1107 1423 5.40% 21.45% 73.15%-1.76 -3.2 5
2016-11-20 Laci W 1-034.8 1380 1197 62.94% 27.70% 9.37%+1.18 +6.2 20
2016-11-20 @ KF Tirana L 0-134.8 1197 1380 9.37% 27.70% 62.94%-1.18 -6.2 10
2016-11-20 Partizani D 1-154.5 1253 1465 18.33% 33.12% 48.55%-0.54 +3.2 12
2016-11-20 @ Vllaznia D 1-154.5 1465 1253 48.55% 33.12% 18.33%+0.54 -3.2 20
2016-11-21 Kukesi L 1-247.4 1253 1444 20.26% 33.62% 46.13%-0.45 -12.1 8
2016-11-21 @ Teuta W 2-147.4 1444 1253 46.13% 33.62% 20.26%+0.45 +12.1 23
2016-11-25 Vllaznia L 0-147.6 1279 1256 47.16% 33.42% 19.42%+0.48 -23.6 13
2016-11-25 @ Flamurtari W 1-047.6 1256 1279 19.42% 33.42% 47.16%-0.48 +23.6 15
2016-11-26 KF Tirana D 0-051.3 1457 1386 52.42% 32.10% 15.49%+0.69 -4.5 24
2016-11-26 @ Kukesi D 0-051.3 1386 1457 15.49% 32.10% 52.42%-0.69 +4.5 21
2016-11-26 Luftetari D 1-152.0 1104 1136 40.39% 34.40% 25.21%+0.25 -1.5 6
2016-11-26 @ Korabi D 1-152.0 1136 1104 25.21% 34.40% 40.39%-0.25 +1.5 13
2016-11-26 Skenderbeu L 0-138.6 1191 1426 16.38% 32.46% 51.16%-0.64 -10.8 10
2016-11-26 @ Laci W 1-038.6 1426 1191 51.16% 32.46% 16.38%+0.64 +10.8 26
2016-11-26 Teuta W 1-035.0 1462 1241 66.03% 25.97% 8.00%+1.35 +5.2 23
2016-11-26 @ Partizani L 0-135.0 1241 1462 8.00% 25.97% 66.03%-1.35 -5.2 8
2016-11-30 Flamurtari L 1-252.6 1236 1255 42.09% 34.22% 23.69%+0.30 -20.3 8
2016-11-30 @ Teuta W 2-152.6 1255 1236 23.69% 34.22% 42.09%-0.30 +20.3 16
2016-11-30 Korabi W 3-029.7 1280 1102 62.47% 27.94% 9.59%+1.16 +17.5 18
2016-11-30 @ Vllaznia L 0-329.7 1102 1280 9.59% 27.94% 62.47%-1.16 -17.5 6
2016-11-30 Laci W 2-029.9 1452 1180 69.99% 23.54% 6.47%+1.57 +7.6 27
2016-11-30 @ Kukesi L 0-229.9 1180 1452 6.47% 23.54% 69.99%-1.57 -7.5 10
2016-11-30 Skenderbeu D 0-048.0 1138 1437 12.22% 30.26% 57.51%-0.92 +5.6 14
2016-11-30 @ Luftetari D 0-048.0 1437 1138 57.51% 30.26% 12.22%+0.92 -5.6 27
2016-12-02 Partizani D 0-051.0 1391 1467 34.35% 34.73% 30.92%+0.05 -0.4 22
2016-12-02 @ KF Tirana D 0-051.0 1467 1391 30.92% 34.73% 34.35%-0.05 +0.4 24
2016-12-04 Luftetari D 2-258.1 1172 1143 47.91% 33.26% 18.83%+0.51 -2.3 11
2016-12-04 @ Laci D 2-258.1 1143 1172 18.83% 33.26% 47.91%-0.51 +2.3 15
2016-12-04 Skenderbeu D 0-048.2 1298 1432 26.55% 34.52% 38.93%-0.20 +1.4 19
2016-12-04 @ Vllaznia D 0-048.2 1432 1298 38.93% 34.52% 26.55%+0.20 -1.3 28
2016-12-04 Teuta L 0-141.4 1085 1216 26.94% 34.56% 38.50%-0.18 -15.8 6
2016-12-04 @ Korabi W 1-041.4 1216 1085 38.50% 34.56% 26.94%+0.18 +15.8 11
2016-12-06 KF Tirana W 1-045.6 1276 1390 29.03% 34.68% 36.29%-0.11 +19.3 19
2016-12-06 @ Flamurtari L 0-145.6 1390 1276 36.29% 34.68% 29.03%+0.11 -19.3 22
2016-12-06 Kukesi D 0-053.5 1468 1460 45.48% 33.73% 20.79%+0.42 -2.8 25
2016-12-06 @ Partizani D 0-053.5 1460 1468 20.79% 33.73% 45.48%-0.42 +2.8 28
2016-12-09 Skenderbeu D 0-047.7 1232 1430 19.53% 33.45% 47.02%-0.48 +3.2 12
2016-12-09 @ Teuta D 0-047.7 1430 1232 47.02% 33.45% 19.53%+0.48 -3.2 29
2016-12-10 Flamurtari W 1-037.2 1462 1295 61.59% 28.39% 10.02%+1.12 +6.7 31
2016-12-10 @ Kukesi L 0-137.2 1295 1462 10.02% 28.39% 61.59%-1.12 -6.7 19
2016-12-10 Korabi D 1-155.9 1371 1069 72.15% 22.13% 5.72%+1.70 -7.5 23
2016-12-10 @ KF Tirana D 1-155.9 1069 1371 5.72% 22.13% 72.15%-1.70 +7.5 7
2016-12-10 Laci W 2-029.4 1465 1170 71.64% 22.46% 5.89%+1.67 +6.7 28
2016-12-10 @ Partizani L 0-229.4 1170 1465 5.89% 22.46% 71.64%-1.67 -6.7 11
2016-12-10 Luftetari L 2-360.7 1299 1146 60.35% 29.00% 10.65%+1.05 -25.8 19
2016-12-10 @ Vllaznia W 3-260.7 1146 1299 10.65% 29.00% 60.35%-1.05 +25.8 18
2016-12-14 KF Tirana W 2-037.6 1427 1364 51.72% 32.30% 15.98%+0.66 +20.0 32
2016-12-14 @ Skenderbeu L 0-237.6 1364 1427 15.98% 32.30% 51.72%-0.66 -20.0 23
2016-12-14 Kukesi D 1-155.0 1077 1469 8.19% 26.24% 65.56%-1.32 +6.5 8
2016-12-14 @ Korabi D 1-155.0 1469 1077 65.56% 26.24% 8.19%+1.32 -6.5 32
2016-12-14 Partizani D 1-155.0 1288 1472 21.02% 33.78% 45.20%-0.41 +2.5 20
2016-12-14 @ Flamurtari D 1-155.0 1472 1288 45.20% 33.78% 21.02%+0.41 -2.5 29
2016-12-14 Teuta W 1-042.2 1171 1235 36.22% 34.68% 29.10%+0.11 +16.7 21
2016-12-14 @ Luftetari L 0-142.2 1235 1171 29.10% 34.68% 36.22%-0.11 -16.7 12
2016-12-14 Vllaznia W 1-044.2 1163 1273 29.68% 34.70% 35.62%-0.09 +19.1 14
2016-12-14 @ Laci L 0-144.2 1273 1163 35.62% 34.70% 29.68%+0.09 -19.1 19
2016-12-18 Korabi W 1-030.2 1469 1083 77.77% 18.22% 4.02%+2.07 +2.2 32
2016-12-18 @ Partizani L 0-130.2 1083 1469 4.02% 18.22% 77.77%-2.07 -2.2 8
2016-12-18 Laci W 1-036.4 1291 1182 56.22% 30.78% 13.00%+0.86 +8.8 23
2016-12-18 @ Flamurtari L 0-136.4 1182 1291 13.00% 30.78% 56.22%-0.86 -8.8 14
2016-12-18 Luftetari W 2-032.1 1344 1188 60.54% 28.91% 10.55%+1.06 +13.4 26
2016-12-18 @ KF Tirana L 0-232.1 1188 1344 10.55% 28.91% 60.54%-1.06 -13.4 21
2016-12-18 Skenderbeu W 2-042.5 1463 1447 46.36% 33.57% 20.06%+0.45 +24.1 35
2016-12-18 @ Kukesi L 0-242.5 1447 1463 20.06% 33.57% 46.36%-0.45 -24.0 32
2016-12-18 Vllaznia D 0-046.3 1218 1254 39.92% 34.44% 25.63%+0.23 -1.6 13
2016-12-18 @ Teuta D 0-046.3 1254 1218 25.63% 34.44% 39.92%-0.23 +1.6 20
2016-12-22 Flamurtari W 1-047.7 1081 1300 17.76% 32.95% 49.29%-0.57 +24.4 11
2016-12-22 @ Korabi L 0-147.7 1300 1081 49.29% 32.95% 17.76%+0.57 -24.4 23
2016-12-22 KF Tirana D 0-046.9 1256 1357 30.85% 34.73% 34.42%-0.05 +0.4 21
2016-12-22 @ Vllaznia D 0-046.9 1357 1256 34.42% 34.73% 30.85%+0.05 -0.4 27
2016-12-22 Kukesi D 2-260.5 1175 1487 11.57% 29.77% 58.66%-0.97 +3.9 22
2016-12-22 @ Luftetari D 2-260.5 1487 1175 58.66% 29.77% 11.57%+0.97 -3.9 36
2016-12-22 Partizani L 1-257.4 1423 1471 38.26% 34.57% 27.16%+0.18 -18.9 32
2016-12-22 @ Skenderbeu W 2-157.4 1471 1423 27.16% 34.57% 38.26%-0.18 +18.9 35
2016-12-22 Teuta L 0-242.0 1174 1216 39.01% 34.52% 26.48%+0.20 -38.4 14
2016-12-22 @ Laci W 2-042.0 1216 1174 26.48% 34.52% 39.01%-0.20 +38.4 16
2017-01-27 Kukesi L 0-140.3 1256 1483 17.09% 32.72% 50.19%-0.60 -11.2 21
2017-01-27 @ Vllaznia W 1-040.3 1483 1256 50.19% 32.72% 17.09%+0.60 +11.2 39
2017-01-28 Flamurtari W 1-037.0 1404 1275 58.16% 29.99% 11.85%+0.95 +8.0 35
2017-01-28 @ Skenderbeu L 0-137.0 1275 1404 11.85% 29.99% 58.16%-0.95 -8.0 23
2017-01-28 KF Tirana W 1-044.6 1255 1357 30.80% 34.73% 34.46%-0.06 +18.7 19
2017-01-28 @ Teuta L 0-144.6 1357 1255 34.46% 34.73% 30.80%+0.06 -18.7 27
2017-01-28 Laci L 0-145.4 1105 1135 40.72% 34.37% 24.91%+0.26 -21.0 11
2017-01-28 @ Korabi W 1-045.4 1135 1105 24.91% 34.37% 40.72%-0.26 +21.0 17
2017-01-28 Partizani W 2-047.8 1179 1490 11.58% 29.78% 58.63%-0.97 +53.2 25
2017-01-28 @ Luftetari L 0-247.8 1490 1179 58.63% 29.78% 11.58%+0.97 -53.2 35
2017-02-05 KF Tirana W 1-046.9 1156 1338 21.19% 33.81% 45.00%-0.40 +22.7 20
2017-02-05 @ Laci L 0-146.9 1338 1156 45.00% 33.81% 21.19%+0.40 -22.7 27
2017-02-05 Teuta W 1-036.0 1494 1274 65.99% 26.00% 8.01%+1.35 +5.2 42
2017-02-05 @ Kukesi L 0-136.0 1274 1494 8.01% 26.00% 65.99%-1.35 -5.2 19
2017-02-05 Vllaznia W 2-141.9 1437 1245 63.71% 27.28% 9.01%+1.22 +5.6 38
2017-02-05 @ Partizani L 1-241.9 1245 1437 9.01% 27.28% 63.71%-1.22 -5.6 21
2017-02-06 Luftetari W 2-145.2 1267 1232 48.63% 33.10% 18.27%+0.54 +11.2 26
2017-02-06 @ Flamurtari L 1-245.2 1232 1267 18.27% 33.10% 48.63%-0.54 -11.2 25
2017-02-06 Skenderbeu L 0-135.3 1084 1412 10.79% 29.12% 60.09%-1.04 -7.3 11
2017-02-06 @ Korabi W 1-035.3 1412 1084 60.09% 29.12% 10.79%+1.04 +7.3 38
2017-02-10 Partizani D 0-048.1 1268 1443 21.93% 33.95% 44.11%-0.37 +2.5 20
2017-02-10 @ Teuta D 0-048.1 1443 1268 44.11% 33.95% 21.93%+0.37 -2.5 39
2017-02-11 Flamurtari W 3-252.2 1239 1278 39.51% 34.48% 26.01%+0.22 +13.8 24
2017-02-11 @ Vllaznia L 2-352.2 1278 1239 26.01% 34.48% 39.51%-0.22 -13.8 26
2017-02-11 Kukesi L 1-249.7 1315 1499 20.95% 33.77% 45.28%-0.41 -12.4 27
2017-02-11 @ KF Tirana W 2-149.7 1499 1315 45.28% 33.77% 20.95%+0.41 +12.4 45
2017-02-11 Laci W 1-033.5 1419 1179 67.56% 25.06% 7.38%+1.43 +4.7 41
2017-02-11 @ Skenderbeu L 0-133.5 1179 1419 7.38% 25.06% 67.56%-1.43 -4.7 20
2017-02-12 Korabi W 2-032.0 1221 1077 59.50% 29.40% 11.11%+1.01 +14.1 28
2017-02-12 @ Luftetari L 0-232.0 1077 1221 11.11% 29.40% 59.50%-1.01 -14.1 11
2017-02-19 Luftetari W 3-030.7 1424 1235 63.44% 27.43% 9.13%+1.21 +16.6 44
2017-02-19 @ Skenderbeu L 0-330.7 1235 1424 9.13% 27.43% 63.44%-1.21 -16.6 28
2017-02-19 Teuta L 0-146.7 1264 1271 43.70% 34.01% 22.29%+0.36 -22.2 26
2017-02-19 @ Flamurtari W 1-046.7 1271 1264 22.29% 34.01% 43.70%-0.36 +22.2 23
2017-02-19 Vllaznia L 0-236.0 1063 1253 20.36% 33.64% 46.00%-0.44 -24.3 11
2017-02-19 @ Korabi W 2-036.0 1253 1063 46.00% 33.64% 20.36%+0.44 +24.3 27
2017-02-20 KF Tirana W 2-144.2 1440 1303 58.94% 29.65% 11.41%+0.99 +7.3 42
2017-02-20 @ Partizani L 1-244.2 1303 1440 11.41% 29.65% 58.94%-0.99 -7.2 27
2017-02-20 Kukesi D 0-049.4 1174 1512 10.35% 28.72% 60.93%-1.08 +6.4 21
2017-02-20 @ Laci D 0-049.4 1512 1174 60.93% 28.72% 10.35%+1.08 -6.4 46
2017-02-25 Korabi W 1-032.4 1293 1039 68.65% 24.39% 6.96%+1.50 +4.4 26
2017-02-25 @ Teuta L 0-132.4 1039 1293 6.96% 24.39% 68.65%-1.50 -4.4 11
2017-02-25 Laci D 1-152.6 1218 1181 48.90% 33.04% 18.06%+0.55 -3.2 29
2017-02-25 @ Luftetari D 1-152.6 1181 1218 18.06% 33.04% 48.90%-0.55 +3.2 22
2017-02-25 Skenderbeu L 0-142.2 1277 1441 23.12% 34.14% 42.73%-0.32 -14.2 27
2017-02-25 @ Vllaznia W 1-042.2 1441 1277 42.73% 34.14% 23.12%+0.32 +14.2 47
2017-02-26 Flamurtari D 0-047.1 1295 1242 50.61% 32.61% 16.78%+0.62 -4.0 28
2017-02-26 @ KF Tirana D 0-047.1 1242 1295 16.78% 32.61% 50.61%-0.62 +4.0 27
2017-02-26 Partizani D 0-054.8 1505 1448 51.09% 32.48% 16.43%+0.64 -4.1 47
2017-02-26 @ Kukesi D 0-054.8 1448 1505 16.43% 32.48% 51.09%-0.64 +4.1 43
2017-03-04 KF Tirana D 1-152.8 1034 1291 14.82% 31.79% 53.39%-0.73 +4.2 12
2017-03-04 @ Korabi D 1-152.8 1291 1034 53.39% 31.79% 14.82%+0.73 -4.2 29
2017-03-04 Teuta D 1-156.3 1455 1297 60.71% 28.82% 10.47%+1.07 -5.7 48
2017-03-04 @ Skenderbeu D 1-156.3 1297 1455 10.47% 28.82% 60.71%-1.07 +5.7 27
2017-03-04 Vllaznia D 0-046.3 1215 1263 38.31% 34.57% 27.13%+0.18 -1.2 30
2017-03-04 @ Luftetari D 0-046.3 1263 1215 27.13% 34.57% 38.31%-0.18 +1.2 28
2017-03-05 Kukesi D 1-155.3 1246 1501 14.99% 31.87% 53.14%-0.72 +4.1 28
2017-03-05 @ Flamurtari D 1-155.3 1501 1246 53.14% 31.87% 14.99%+0.72 -4.1 48
2017-03-05 Partizani L 0-137.7 1184 1452 14.11% 31.43% 54.46%-0.78 -9.5 22
2017-03-05 @ Laci W 1-037.7 1452 1184 54.46% 31.43% 14.11%+0.78 +9.5 46
2017-03-10 Skenderbeu D 2-260.2 1287 1449 23.28% 34.17% 42.55%-0.32 +1.4 30
2017-03-10 @ KF Tirana D 2-260.2 1449 1287 42.55% 34.17% 23.28%+0.32 -1.4 49
2017-03-11 Flamurtari W 2-141.8 1461 1250 65.21% 26.45% 8.34%+1.30 +5.1 49
2017-03-11 @ Partizani L 1-241.8 1250 1461 8.34% 26.45% 65.21%-1.30 -5.1 28
2017-03-11 Korabi W 4-024.2 1497 1038 81.97% 15.12% 2.92%+2.38 +5.3 51
2017-03-11 @ Kukesi L 0-424.2 1038 1497 2.92% 15.12% 81.97%-2.38 -5.3 12
2017-03-12 Laci W 1-036.8 1264 1174 54.42% 31.44% 14.14%+0.78 +9.5 31
2017-03-12 @ Vllaznia L 0-136.8 1174 1264 14.14% 31.44% 54.42%-0.78 -9.5 22
2017-03-12 Luftetari L 0-149.1 1303 1214 54.36% 31.46% 14.18%+0.78 -26.5 27
2017-03-12 @ Teuta W 1-049.1 1214 1303 14.18% 31.46% 54.36%-0.78 +26.5 33
2017-03-17 Kukesi D 1-160.0 1448 1502 37.43% 34.62% 27.95%+0.15 -0.9 50
2017-03-17 @ Skenderbeu D 1-160.0 1502 1448 27.95% 34.62% 37.43%-0.15 +0.9 52
2017-03-18 Flamurtari W 1-042.9 1165 1245 33.82% 34.74% 31.43%+0.04 +17.6 25
2017-03-18 @ Laci L 0-142.9 1245 1165 31.43% 34.74% 33.82%-0.04 -17.6 28
2017-03-18 Partizani L 0-229.6 1033 1466 6.93% 24.34% 68.74%-1.50 -8.2 12
2017-03-18 @ Korabi W 2-029.6 1466 1033 68.74% 24.34% 6.93%+1.50 +8.2 52
2017-03-19 KF Tirana W 2-148.4 1240 1289 38.26% 34.57% 27.17%+0.18 +15.0 36
2017-03-19 @ Luftetari L 1-248.4 1289 1240 27.17% 34.57% 38.26%-0.18 -15.0 30
2017-03-19 Teuta D 0-046.7 1274 1277 44.15% 33.95% 21.91%+0.37 -2.5 32
2017-03-19 @ Vllaznia D 0-046.7 1277 1274 21.91% 33.95% 44.15%-0.37 +2.5 28
2017-03-31 Vllaznia L 1-253.5 1274 1271 44.79% 33.85% 21.36%+0.40 -21.3 30
2017-03-31 @ KF Tirana W 2-153.5 1271 1274 21.36% 33.85% 44.79%-0.40 +21.3 35
2017-04-01 Korabi W 6-029.9 1228 1025 64.56% 26.81% 8.62%+1.27 +29.7 31
2017-04-01 @ Flamurtari L 0-629.9 1025 1228 8.62% 26.81% 64.56%-1.27 -29.7 12
2017-04-01 Laci W 2-033.5 1279 1182 55.09% 31.21% 13.71%+0.81 +17.4 31
2017-04-01 @ Teuta L 0-233.5 1182 1279 13.71% 31.21% 55.09%-0.81 -17.4 25
2017-04-02 Luftetari W 3-245.9 1503 1255 68.14% 24.71% 7.15%+1.47 +4.1 55
2017-04-02 @ Kukesi L 2-345.9 1255 1503 7.15% 24.71% 68.14%-1.47 -4.0 36
2017-04-02 Skenderbeu W 1-045.6 1474 1447 47.77% 33.29% 18.93%+0.51 +12.2 55
2017-04-02 @ Partizani L 0-145.6 1447 1474 18.93% 33.29% 47.77%-0.51 -12.2 50
2017-04-08 Luftetari W 2-032.0 1487 1251 67.18% 25.29% 7.53%+1.41 +9.1 58
2017-04-08 @ Partizani L 0-232.0 1251 1487 7.53% 25.29% 67.18%-1.41 -9.1 36
2017-04-09 Korabi W 2-031.2 1165 995 61.80% 28.28% 9.91%+1.13 +12.5 28
2017-04-09 @ Laci L 0-231.2 995 1165 9.91% 28.28% 61.80%-1.13 -12.5 12
2017-04-09 Vllaznia D 0-052.0 1507 1293 65.52% 26.27% 8.21%+1.32 -7.3 56
2017-04-09 @ Kukesi D 0-052.0 1293 1507 8.21% 26.27% 65.52%-1.32 +7.3 36
2017-04-10 Skenderbeu L 0-141.3 1257 1435 21.64% 33.90% 44.46%-0.39 -13.5 31
2017-04-10 @ Flamurtari W 1-041.3 1435 1257 44.46% 33.90% 21.64%+0.39 +13.5 53
2017-04-10 Teuta D 0-046.6 1252 1297 38.83% 34.53% 26.64%+0.19 -1.3 31
2017-04-10 @ KF Tirana D 0-046.6 1297 1252 26.64% 34.53% 38.83%-0.19 +1.3 32
2017-04-15 Korabi W 3-023.8 1448 983 82.33% 14.84% 2.83%+2.41 +3.9 56
2017-04-15 @ Skenderbeu L 0-323.8 983 1448 2.83% 14.84% 82.33%-2.41 -3.9 12
2017-04-15 Kukesi L 0-239.1 1298 1500 19.22% 33.37% 47.41%-0.49 -23.3 32
2017-04-15 @ Teuta W 2-039.1 1500 1298 47.41% 33.37% 19.22%+0.49 +23.3 59
2017-04-15 Laci D 0-046.9 1251 1178 52.75% 31.99% 15.26%+0.71 -4.5 32
2017-04-15 @ KF Tirana D 0-046.9 1178 1251 15.26% 31.99% 52.75%-0.71 +4.5 29
2017-04-16 Flamurtari L 1-253.2 1242 1244 44.29% 33.93% 21.79%+0.38 -21.1 36
2017-04-16 @ Luftetari W 2-153.2 1244 1242 21.79% 33.93% 44.29%-0.38 +21.1 34
2017-04-16 Partizani D 1-155.8 1300 1496 19.80% 33.51% 46.69%-0.47 +2.8 37
2017-04-16 @ Vllaznia D 1-155.8 1496 1300 46.69% 33.51% 19.80%+0.47 -2.8 59
2017-04-22 Luftetari L 0-432.7 979 1221 15.89% 32.27% 51.84%-0.67 -37.7 12
2017-04-22 @ Korabi W 4-032.7 1221 979 51.84% 32.27% 15.89%+0.67 +37.7 39
2017-04-22 Vllaznia W 2-038.6 1265 1303 39.70% 34.46% 25.84%+0.22 +29.0 37
2017-04-22 @ Flamurtari L 0-238.6 1303 1265 25.84% 34.46% 39.70%-0.22 -29.0 37
2017-04-23 KF Tirana W 4-134.4 1523 1247 70.31% 23.34% 6.35%+1.59 +9.0 62
2017-04-23 @ Kukesi L 1-434.4 1247 1523 6.35% 23.34% 70.31%-1.59 -9.0 32
2017-04-23 Skenderbeu L 1-535.7 1182 1452 13.98% 31.36% 54.66%-0.79 -28.0 29
2017-04-23 @ Laci W 5-135.7 1452 1182 54.66% 31.36% 13.98%+0.79 +28.0 59
2017-04-23 Teuta W 5-134.2 1493 1275 65.83% 26.09% 8.08%+1.34 +15.7 62
2017-04-23 @ Partizani L 1-534.2 1275 1493 8.08% 26.09% 65.83%-1.34 -15.6 32
2017-04-28 Partizani L 1-245.5 1237 1509 13.89% 31.31% 54.79%-0.79 -8.8 32
2017-04-28 @ KF Tirana W 2-145.5 1509 1237 54.79% 31.31% 13.89%+0.79 +8.8 65
2017-04-29 Korabi D 1-156.1 1274 941 74.28% 20.68% 5.04%+1.84 -7.8 38
2017-04-29 @ Vllaznia D 1-156.1 941 1274 5.04% 20.68% 74.28%-1.84 +7.8 13
2017-04-29 Laci W 2-137.9 1532 1154 77.26% 18.58% 4.16%+2.03 +2.2 65
2017-04-29 @ Kukesi L 1-237.9 1154 1532 4.16% 18.58% 77.26%-2.03 -2.2 29
2017-04-30 Flamurtari D 0-046.6 1259 1294 40.04% 34.43% 25.52%+0.23 -1.6 33
2017-04-30 @ Teuta D 0-046.6 1294 1259 25.52% 34.43% 40.04%-0.23 +1.6 38
2017-04-30 Skenderbeu L 0-140.4 1259 1480 17.54% 32.88% 49.58%-0.58 -11.5 39
2017-04-30 @ Luftetari W 1-040.4 1480 1259 49.58% 32.88% 17.54%+0.58 +11.5 62
2017-05-05 Kukesi D 1-163.9 1517 1534 42.39% 34.19% 23.43%+0.31 -1.9 66
2017-05-05 @ Partizani D 1-163.9 1534 1517 23.43% 34.19% 42.39%-0.31 +1.9 66
2017-05-06 KF Tirana W 2-034.6 1296 1229 52.07% 32.20% 15.73%+0.68 +19.7 41
2017-05-06 @ Flamurtari L 0-234.6 1229 1296 15.73% 32.20% 52.07%-0.68 -19.7 32
2017-05-06 Luftetari W 2-150.0 1152 1247 31.70% 34.75% 33.56%-0.03 +17.3 32
2017-05-06 @ Laci L 1-250.0 1247 1152 33.56% 34.75% 31.70%+0.03 -17.3 39
2017-05-06 Teuta L 0-430.8 949 1257 11.75% 29.91% 58.34%-0.96 -28.4 13
2017-05-06 @ Korabi W 4-030.8 1257 949 58.34% 29.91% 11.75%+0.96 +28.4 36
2017-05-06 Vllaznia W 4-348.0 1491 1266 66.40% 25.76% 7.84%+1.37 +4.4 65
2017-05-06 @ Skenderbeu L 3-448.0 1266 1491 7.84% 25.76% 66.40%-1.37 -4.4 38
2017-05-10 Flamurtari W 1-038.0 1536 1315 66.03% 25.97% 7.99%+1.35 +5.2 69
2017-05-10 @ Kukesi L 0-138.0 1315 1536 7.99% 25.97% 66.03%-1.35 -5.2 41
2017-05-10 Korabi W 2-028.4 1209 921 71.17% 22.77% 6.05%+1.64 +7.0 35
2017-05-10 @ KF Tirana L 0-228.4 921 1209 6.05% 22.77% 71.17%-1.64 -7.0 13
2017-05-10 Luftetari D 2-258.5 1261 1230 48.21% 33.20% 18.59%+0.52 -2.3 39
2017-05-10 @ Vllaznia D 2-258.5 1230 1261 18.59% 33.20% 48.21%-0.52 +2.3 40
2017-05-10 Skenderbeu L 0-141.6 1286 1496 18.49% 33.17% 48.34%-0.53 -12.0 36
2017-05-10 @ Teuta W 1-041.6 1496 1286 48.34% 33.17% 18.49%+0.53 +12.0 68
2017-05-11 Laci D 0-052.0 1516 1169 75.20% 20.04% 4.76%+1.89 -8.8 67
2017-05-11 @ Partizani D 0-052.0 1169 1516 4.76% 20.04% 75.20%-1.89 +8.8 33
2017-05-15 KF Tirana W 1-033.6 1508 1216 71.43% 22.61% 5.97%+1.66 +3.6 71
2017-05-15 @ Skenderbeu L 0-133.6 1216 1508 5.97% 22.61% 71.43%-1.66 -3.6 35
2017-05-15 Kukesi L 1-331.3 914 1541 3.03% 15.45% 81.52%-2.35 -2.5 13
2017-05-15 @ Korabi W 3-131.3 1541 914 81.52% 15.45% 3.03%+2.35 +2.5 72
2017-05-15 Partizani D 1-156.3 1310 1507 19.72% 33.49% 46.78%-0.47 +2.8 42
2017-05-15 @ Flamurtari D 1-156.3 1507 1310 46.78% 33.49% 19.72%+0.47 -2.8 68
2017-05-15 Teuta D 1-152.4 1232 1274 39.19% 34.51% 26.31%+0.21 -1.2 41
2017-05-15 @ Luftetari D 1-152.4 1274 1232 26.31% 34.51% 39.19%-0.21 +1.3 37
2017-05-15 Vllaznia W 3-038.4 1178 1259 33.72% 34.74% 31.53%+0.03 +48.2 36
2017-05-15 @ Laci L 0-338.4 1259 1178 31.53% 34.74% 33.72%-0.03 -48.2 39
2017-05-20 Laci D 0-047.4 1313 1226 54.08% 31.56% 14.36%+0.76 -4.8 43
2017-05-20 @ Flamurtari D 0-047.4 1226 1313 14.36% 31.56% 54.08%-0.76 +4.8 37
2017-05-20 Luftetari W 2-037.4 1212 1231 42.16% 34.21% 23.62%+0.31 +27.2 38
2017-05-20 @ KF Tirana L 0-237.4 1231 1212 23.62% 34.21% 42.16%-0.31 -27.2 41
2017-05-20 Skenderbeu W 2-047.3 1544 1511 48.32% 33.17% 18.51%+0.53 +22.6 75
2017-05-20 @ Kukesi L 0-247.3 1511 1544 18.51% 33.17% 48.32%-0.53 -22.6 71
2017-05-20 Vllaznia W 1-037.7 1275 1211 51.77% 32.29% 15.94%+0.67 +10.6 40
2017-05-20 @ Teuta L 0-137.7 1211 1275 15.94% 32.29% 51.77%-0.67 -10.6 39
2017-05-21 Korabi W 3-022.1 1504 911 88.14% 10.31% 1.55%+2.97 +1.9 71
2017-05-21 @ Partizani L 0-322.1 911 1504 1.55% 10.31% 88.14%-2.97 -1.9 13
2017-05-27 Flamurtari L 0-328.5 909 1308 7.98% 25.95% 66.07%-1.35 -14.2 13
2017-05-27 @ Korabi W 3-028.5 1308 909 66.07% 25.95% 7.98%+1.35 +14.2 46
2017-05-27 KF Tirana D 0-046.2 1200 1240 39.51% 34.48% 26.01%+0.22 -1.5 40
2017-05-27 @ Vllaznia D 0-046.2 1240 1200 26.01% 34.48% 39.51%-0.22 +1.5 39
2017-05-27 Kukesi W 1-053.1 1204 1567 9.29% 27.61% 63.11%-1.19 +29.8 44
2017-05-27 @ Luftetari L 0-153.1 1567 1204 63.11% 27.61% 9.29%+1.19 -29.8 75
2017-05-27 Partizani D 2-267.5 1489 1506 42.38% 34.19% 23.43%+0.31 -1.4 72
2017-05-27 @ Skenderbeu D 2-267.5 1506 1489 23.43% 34.19% 42.38%-0.31 +1.4 72
2017-05-27 Teuta W 2-148.6 1231 1286 37.45% 34.62% 27.93%+0.15 +15.3 40
2017-05-27 @ Laci L 1-248.6 1286 1231 27.93% 34.62% 37.45%-0.15 -15.3 40

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2017-05-27 9.29% @ Luftetari 1204 1 Kukesi 1567 0
2 2016-12-10 10.65% Luftetari 1146 3 @ Vllaznia 1299 2
3 2016-10-02 11.54% Korabi 1144 3 @ Teuta 1279 2
4 2017-01-28 11.58% @ Luftetari 1179 2 Partizani 1490 0
5 2016-10-23 12.65% @ Luftetari 1104 2 KF Tirana 1396 1
6 2017-03-12 14.18% Luftetari 1214 1 @ Teuta 1303 0
7 2016-10-17 14.36% Laci 1183 2 @ Vllaznia 1269 1
8 2016-11-05 16.19% @ Flamurtari 1233 2 Skenderbeu 1471 0
9 2016-12-22 17.76% @ Korabi 1081 1 Flamurtari 1300 0
10 2016-11-25 19.42% Vllaznia 1256 1 @ Flamurtari 1279 0
11 2017-02-05 21.19% @ Laci 1156 1 KF Tirana 1338 0
12 2017-03-31 21.36% Vllaznia 1271 2 @ KF Tirana 1274 1
13 2017-04-16 21.79% Flamurtari 1244 2 @ Luftetari 1242 1
14 2017-02-19 22.29% Teuta 1271 1 @ Flamurtari 1264 0
15 2016-11-30 23.69% Flamurtari 1255 2 @ Teuta 1236 1
16 2017-01-28 24.91% Laci 1135 1 @ Korabi 1105 0
17 2016-12-22 26.48% Teuta 1216 2 @ Laci 1174 0
18 2016-12-22 27.16% Partizani 1471 2 @ Skenderbeu 1423 1
19 2016-10-01 27.56% @ Luftetari 1098 1 Laci 1224 0
20 2016-12-06 29.03% @ Flamurtari 1276 1 KF Tirana 1390 0
21 2016-10-16 29.41% @ KF Tirana 1378 2 Skenderbeu 1490 1
22 2016-12-14 29.68% @ Laci 1163 1 Vllaznia 1273 0
23 2017-01-28 30.80% @ Teuta 1255 1 KF Tirana 1357 0
24 2017-05-06 31.70% @ Laci 1152 2 Luftetari 1247 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-01-28 53.16 @ Luftetari 2 1179 11.58% Partizani 0 1490 58.63% 29.78%
2 2017-05-15 48.22 @ Laci 3 1178 33.72% Vllaznia 0 1259 31.53% 34.74%
3 2016-11-05 47.72 @ Flamurtari 2 1233 16.19% Skenderbeu 0 1471 51.42% 32.39%
4 2016-12-22 38.41 Teuta 2 1216 26.48% @ Laci 0 1174 39.01% 34.52%
5 2017-04-22 37.68 Luftetari 4 1221 51.84% @ Korabi 0 979 15.89% 32.27%
6 2016-09-11 36.91 @ Flamurtari 5 1239 57.21% Luftetari 0 1120 12.40% 30.39%
7 2016-09-12 32.67 @ Kukesi 3 1376 48.41% Teuta 0 1342 18.44% 33.15%
8 2016-09-18 32.02 Partizani 2 1418 35.43% @ Teuta 0 1310 29.87% 34.71%
9 2017-05-27 29.84 @ Luftetari 1 1204 9.29% Kukesi 0 1567 63.11% 27.61%
10 2017-04-01 29.67 @ Flamurtari 6 1228 64.56% Korabi 0 1025 8.62% 26.81%
11 2017-04-22 28.99 @ Flamurtari 2 1265 39.70% Vllaznia 0 1303 25.84% 34.46%
12 2017-05-06 28.37 Teuta 4 1257 58.34% @ Korabi 0 949 11.75% 29.91%
13 2017-04-23 27.99 Skenderbeu 5 1452 54.66% @ Laci 1 1182 13.98% 31.36%
14 2017-05-20 27.20 @ KF Tirana 2 1212 42.16% Luftetari 0 1231 23.62% 34.21%
15 2016-09-18 26.59 @ Vllaznia 2 1263 42.99% Flamurtari 0 1276 22.90% 34.11%
16 2017-03-12 26.51 Luftetari 1 1214 14.18% @ Teuta 0 1303 54.36% 31.46%
17 2016-10-23 25.90 @ Luftetari 2 1104 12.65% KF Tirana 1 1396 56.80% 30.56%
18 2016-12-10 25.80 Luftetari 3 1146 10.65% @ Vllaznia 2 1299 60.35% 29.00%
19 2016-10-02 25.66 @ KF Tirana 3 1340 54.70% Flamurtari 0 1247 13.95% 31.34%
20 2016-10-02 25.25 Korabi 3 1144 11.54% @ Teuta 2 1279 58.72% 29.75%
21 2016-10-17 24.88 Laci 2 1183 14.36% @ Vllaznia 1 1269 54.08% 31.56%
22 2016-12-22 24.44 @ Korabi 1 1081 17.76% Flamurtari 0 1300 49.29% 32.95%
23 2017-02-19 24.33 Vllaznia 2 1253 46.00% @ Korabi 0 1063 20.36% 33.64%
24 2016-10-30 24.08 @ Flamurtari 4 1209 52.09% Korabi 1 1141 15.71% 32.19%
25 2016-12-18 24.05 @ Kukesi 2 1463 46.36% Skenderbeu 0 1447 20.06% 33.57%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-05-27 67.5 @ Skenderbeu 2 1489 42.38% Partizani 2 1506 23.43% 34.19%
2 2017-05-05 63.9 @ Partizani 1 1517 42.39% Kukesi 1 1534 23.43% 34.19%
3 2016-12-10 60.7 Luftetari 3 1146 10.65% @ Vllaznia 2 1299 60.35% 29.00%
4 2016-12-22 60.5 @ Luftetari 2 1175 11.57% Kukesi 2 1487 58.66% 29.77%
5 2016-10-02 60.3 Korabi 3 1144 11.54% @ Teuta 2 1279 58.72% 29.75%
6 2017-03-10 60.2 @ KF Tirana 2 1287 23.28% Skenderbeu 2 1449 42.55% 34.17%
7 2016-09-17 60.1 @ KF Tirana 2 1335 34.79% Kukesi 2 1408 30.48% 34.73%
8 2017-03-17 60.0 @ Skenderbeu 1 1448 37.43% Kukesi 1 1502 27.95% 34.62%
9 2017-05-10 58.5 @ Vllaznia 2 1261 48.21% Luftetari 2 1230 18.59% 33.20%
10 2016-12-04 58.1 @ Laci 2 1172 47.91% Luftetari 2 1143 18.83% 33.26%
11 2016-12-22 57.4 Partizani 2 1471 27.16% @ Skenderbeu 1 1423 38.26% 34.57%
12 2016-11-05 57.2 @ Partizani 1 1473 75.21% Luftetari 1 1127 4.76% 20.03%
13 2017-03-04 56.3 @ Skenderbeu 1 1455 60.71% Teuta 1 1297 10.47% 28.82%
14 2017-05-15 56.3 @ Flamurtari 1 1310 19.72% Partizani 1 1507 46.78% 33.49%
15 2017-04-29 56.1 @ Vllaznia 1 1274 74.28% Korabi 1 941 5.04% 20.68%
16 2016-10-23 56.0 @ Luftetari 2 1104 12.65% KF Tirana 1 1396 56.80% 30.56%
17 2016-10-16 55.9 @ KF Tirana 2 1378 29.41% Skenderbeu 1 1490 35.90% 34.69%
18 2016-12-10 55.9 @ KF Tirana 1 1371 72.15% Korabi 1 1069 5.72% 22.13%
19 2017-04-16 55.8 @ Vllaznia 1 1300 19.80% Partizani 1 1496 46.69% 33.51%
20 2016-10-17 55.3 Laci 2 1183 14.36% @ Vllaznia 1 1269 54.08% 31.56%
21 2017-03-05 55.3 @ Flamurtari 1 1246 14.99% Kukesi 1 1501 53.14% 31.87%
22 2016-12-14 55.0 @ Korabi 1 1077 8.19% Kukesi 1 1469 65.56% 26.24%
23 2016-12-14 55.0 @ Flamurtari 1 1288 21.02% Partizani 1 1472 45.20% 33.78%
24 2017-02-26 54.8 @ Kukesi 0 1505 51.09% Partizani 0 1448 16.43% 32.48%
25 2016-11-20 54.5 @ Vllaznia 1 1253 18.33% Partizani 1 1465 48.55% 33.12%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-05-21 22.1 @ Partizani 3 1504 88.14% Korabi 0 911 1.55% 10.31%
2 2017-04-15 23.8 @ Skenderbeu 3 1448 82.33% Korabi 0 983 2.83% 14.84%
3 2017-03-11 24.2 @ Kukesi 4 1497 81.97% Korabi 0 1038 2.92% 15.12%
4 2017-05-10 28.4 @ KF Tirana 2 1209 71.17% Korabi 0 921 6.05% 22.77%
5 2017-05-27 28.5 Flamurtari 3 1308 66.07% @ Korabi 0 909 7.98% 25.95%
6 2016-12-10 29.4 @ Partizani 2 1465 71.64% Laci 0 1170 5.89% 22.46%
7 2017-03-18 29.6 Partizani 2 1466 68.74% @ Korabi 0 1033 6.93% 24.34%
8 2016-11-30 29.7 @ Vllaznia 3 1280 62.47% Korabi 0 1102 9.59% 27.94%
9 2016-10-16 29.8 @ Kukesi 2 1418 69.16% Korabi 0 1157 6.77% 24.07%
10 2016-10-17 29.9 @ Partizani 4 1450 66.44% Flamurtari 0 1224 7.83% 25.73%
11 2016-11-30 29.9 @ Kukesi 2 1452 69.99% Laci 0 1180 6.47% 23.54%
12 2017-04-01 29.9 @ Flamurtari 6 1228 64.56% Korabi 0 1025 8.62% 26.81%
13 2016-12-18 30.2 @ Partizani 1 1469 77.77% Korabi 0 1083 4.02% 18.22%
14 2016-09-24 30.7 @ Skenderbeu 1 1465 76.43% Luftetari 0 1100 4.39% 19.17%
15 2017-02-19 30.7 @ Skenderbeu 3 1424 63.44% Luftetari 0 1235 9.13% 27.43%
16 2017-05-06 30.8 Teuta 4 1257 58.34% @ Korabi 0 949 11.75% 29.91%
17 2017-04-09 31.2 @ Laci 2 1165 61.80% Korabi 0 995 9.91% 28.28%
18 2017-05-15 31.3 Kukesi 3 1541 81.52% @ Korabi 1 914 3.03% 15.45%
19 2016-11-20 31.5 @ Skenderbeu 1 1423 73.15% Korabi 0 1107 5.40% 21.45%
20 2016-09-11 31.7 @ Flamurtari 5 1239 57.21% Luftetari 0 1120 12.40% 30.39%
21 2016-10-29 32.0 @ Kukesi 1 1430 71.99% Luftetari 0 1130 5.78% 22.23%
22 2017-02-12 32.0 @ Luftetari 2 1221 59.50% Korabi 0 1077 11.11% 29.40%
23 2017-04-08 32.0 @ Partizani 2 1487 67.18% Luftetari 0 1251 7.53% 25.29%
24 2016-12-18 32.1 @ KF Tirana 2 1344 60.54% Luftetari 0 1188 10.55% 28.91%
25 2016-10-01 32.2 @ Skenderbeu 3 1468 62.63% Vllaznia 0 1288 9.51% 27.86%