2018-19 Kategoria Superiore Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Partizani

70 points · 16th Title

Last Title: 1992-93

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Kastrioti

10.02 points above expected

42 points · 31.98 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Kamza

15.33 points below expected

17 points · 32.33 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Partizani Champion	36	20	10	6	70	45	22	+23	61.67	+8.33
2	Kukesi	36	17	8	11	59	42	29	+13	62.44	-3.44
3	Teuta	36	15	12	9	57	43	36	+7	55.60	+1.40
4	Skenderbeu	36	17	4	15	55	45	30	+15	58.91	-3.91
5	Flamurtari	36	15	9	12	54	35	32	+3	50.59	+3.41
6	Laci	36	12	13	11	49	33	30	+3	53.17	-4.17
7	KF Tirana	36	12	11	13	47	44	35	+9	42.26	+4.74
8	Luftetari	36	13	8	15	47	37	39	-2	47.48	-0.48
9	Kastrioti	36	12	6	18	42	35	53	-18	31.98	+10.02
10	Kamza	36	4	5	27	17	13	66	-53	32.33	-15.33

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Kastrioti	42	31.98	+10.02
2	Partizani	70	61.67	+8.33
3	KF Tirana	47	42.26	+4.74
4	Flamurtari	54	50.59	+3.41
5	Teuta	57	55.60	+1.40

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Kamza	17	32.33	-15.33
2	Laci	49	53.17	-4.17
3	Skenderbeu	55	58.91	-3.91
4	Kukesi	59	62.44	-3.44
5	Luftetari	47	47.48	-0.48

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Partizani	5	Sep 21 – Oct 21	1 in 52
2	Skenderbeu	5	Oct 4 – Nov 3	1 in 43
3	Kastrioti	2	Jan 27 – Feb 2	1 in 36
4	Flamurtari	4	Mar 30 – Apr 14	1 in 32
5	Luftetari	3	Mar 9 – Apr 6	1 in 31

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Skenderbeu	6	Dec 1 – Feb 2	1 in 4,251
2	Kamza	12	Mar 9 – May 30	1 in 190
3	Luftetari	4	Aug 18 – Sep 16	1 in 182
4	Kastrioti	7	Sep 29 – Nov 7	1 in 51
5	Laci	3	May 18 – May 30	1 in 21

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Teuta	15	Oct 7 – Feb 15	1 in 188
2	KF Tirana	7	Dec 21 – Mar 1	1 in 51
3	Kastrioti	6	Apr 20 – May 26	1 in 45
4	Laci	8	Aug 19 – Oct 7	1 in 43
5	Partizani	8	Aug 25 – Oct 21	1 in 22

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Skenderbeu	7	Nov 24 – Feb 2	1 in 143
2	Teuta	4	Dec 22 – Feb 10	1 in 38
3	Kamza	18	Jan 27 – May 30	1 in 29
4	Kastrioti	11	Aug 26 – Nov 7	1 in 13
5	Luftetari	4	Aug 18 – Sep 16	1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Partizani	1438	70	+8	8	8.6	-0.6
Kukesi	1375	59	-37	7	8.5	-1.5
Teuta	1359	57	+48	10	6.9	+3.1
Skenderbeu	1402	55	+50	9	7.9	+1.1
Flamurtari	1290	54	-66	6	7.7	-1.7
Laci	1300	49	-54	4	8.6	-4.6
KF Tirana	1368	47	+55	10	6.8	+3.2
Luftetari	1332	47	+11	8	6.8	+1.2
Kastrioti	1257	42	+33	8	4.9	+3.1
Kamza	990	17	-48	0	2.3	-2.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	FLA	KT	KAM	KAS	KUK	LAC	LUF	PAR	SKE	TEU
Flamurtari	—	2-0-2 6.09	3-1-0 7.54	1-1-2 7.35	3-0-1 4.24	2-1-1 5.01	1-3-0 5.94	1-0-3 4.40	1-0-3 4.95	1-3-0 4.96
KF Tirana	2-0-2 4.92	—	2-1-1 6.30	2-1-1 6.78	1-1-2 3.82	1-1-2 4.68	1-2-1 5.06	0-1-3 3.73	2-2-0 3.99	1-2-1 4.26
Kamza	0-1-3 3.55	1-1-2 4.71	—	1-0-3 5.79	0-0-4 2.61	0-2-2 3.45	1-0-3 3.55	0-0-4 3.36	1-0-3 2.52	0-1-3 3.46
Kastrioti	2-1-1 3.69	1-1-2 4.23	3-0-1 5.24	—	1-0-3 2.80	0-3-1 3.46	3-0-1 3.53	0-1-3 2.66	1-0-3 3.25	1-0-3 3.21
Kukesi	1-0-3 6.77	2-1-1 7.22	4-0-0 8.51	3-0-1 8.30	—	2-2-0 6.39	3-0-1 7.06	0-3-1 5.18	1-0-3 6.33	1-2-1 6.10
Laci	1-1-2 5.99	2-1-1 6.32	2-2-0 7.65	1-3-0 7.60	0-2-2 4.62	—	2-0-2 6.00	1-2-1 4.53	2-1-1 4.67	1-1-2 5.05
Luftetari	0-3-1 5.07	1-2-1 5.95	3-0-1 7.50	1-0-3 7.53	1-0-3 3.97	2-0-2 5.01	—	1-2-1 3.77	2-0-2 4.49	2-1-1 4.56
Partizani	3-0-1 6.61	3-1-0 7.31	4-0-0 7.75	3-1-0 8.44	1-3-0 5.83	1-2-1 6.48	1-2-1 7.27	—	2-0-2 5.81	2-1-1 6.31
Skenderbeu	3-0-1 6.06	0-2-2 7.05	3-0-1 8.60	3-0-1 7.84	3-0-1 4.67	1-1-2 6.34	2-0-2 6.53	2-0-2 5.20	—	0-1-3 5.92
Teuta	0-3-1 6.05	1-2-1 6.76	3-1-0 7.60	3-0-1 7.86	1-2-1 4.91	2-1-1 5.97	1-1-2 6.45	1-1-2 4.70	3-1-0 5.10	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.79	+12.8
Allowed	0.86	-10.0
Differential	0.91	+6.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	14.72%	6.11%	5.83%	1.11%	0.28%	36.39%
1	14.72%	14.44%	5.56%	2.78%	0.28%	0.28%	38.06%
2	6.11%	5.56%	1.11%	1.11%	—	—	13.89%
3	5.83%	2.78%	1.11%	—	—	—	9.72%
4	1.11%	0.28%	—	—	—	—	1.39%
5+	0.28%	0.28%	—	—	—	—	0.56%
Total	36.39%	38.06%	13.89%	9.72%	1.39%	0.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.03	+0.00
SD	1.05	1.05	1.68
CV	1.02	1.02	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	38.89%
1	22.22%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	38.89%
2	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
3	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	44.44%	30.56%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	0.89	+0.08
SD	1.06	0.98	1.65
CV	1.09	1.10	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	16.67%	2.78%	—	—	—	30.56%
1	8.33%	19.44%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	44.44%
2	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
3	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	50.00%	19.44%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	0.97	+0.25
SD	1.22	0.77	1.48
CV	1.00	0.80	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	25.00%	5.56%	36.11%	—	—	72.22%
1	8.33%	5.56%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	19.44%
2	2.78%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	30.56%	8.33%	41.67%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.36	1.83	-1.47
SD	0.64	1.23	1.48
CV	1.77	0.67	—
Max	2	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	8.33%	13.89%	2.78%	11.11%	—	38.89%
1	13.89%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	38.89%
2	2.78%	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
3	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	25.00%	33.33%	22.22%	8.33%	11.11%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.47	-0.50
SD	1.11	1.28	2.01
CV	1.14	0.87	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	13.89%	—	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
1	19.44%	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	—	41.67%
2	8.33%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
3	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	44.44%	36.11%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.17	0.81	+0.36
SD	1.00	0.89	1.33
CV	0.86	1.10	—
Max	3	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	36.11%
1	16.67%	25.00%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	47.22%
2	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	36.11%	50.00%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.92	0.83	+0.08
SD	1.02	0.81	1.46
CV	1.12	0.97	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	22.22%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	38.89%
1	11.11%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	36.11%
2	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
3	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.56%	44.44%	16.67%	5.56%	—	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.08	-0.06
SD	1.08	1.08	1.58
CV	1.05	1.00	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
1	22.22%	19.44%	—	2.78%	—	—	44.44%
2	8.33%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	19.44%
3	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	50.00%	41.67%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	0.61	+0.64
SD	0.97	0.73	1.36
CV	0.77	1.19	—
Max	3	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	19.44%	11.11%	—	—	—	30.56%
1	13.89%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	30.56%
2	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
3	11.11%	—	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	44.44%	30.56%	22.22%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	0.83	+0.42
SD	1.11	0.88	1.71
CV	0.88	1.05	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	2.78%	27.78%
1	11.11%	16.67%	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	38.89%
2	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	44.44%	33.33%	5.56%	13.89%	—	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.19	1.00	+0.19
SD	1.04	1.24	1.83
CV	0.87	1.24	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Partizani	1438	70	61.67	+8.33	88.0%	35	48	57	61	68	73	76
Skenderbeu	1402	55	58.91	-3.91	38.0%	38	45	53	58	66	73	79
Kukesi	1375	59	62.44	-3.44	37.0%	43	49	57	62	67	76	83
KF Tirana	1368	47	42.26	+4.74	71.0%	25	30	36	43	48	53	58
Teuta	1359	57	55.60	+1.40	61.0%	28	44	50	56	61	67	73
Luftetari	1332	47	47.48	-0.48	51.0%	30	37	41	47	52	59	67
Laci	1300	49	53.17	-4.17	28.0%	29	42	48	53	57	65	77
Flamurtari	1290	54	50.59	+3.41	66.0%	31	38	44	51	56	63	69
Kastrioti	1257	42	31.98	+10.02	92.0%	14	20	27	32	36	43	48
Kamza	990	17	32.33	-15.33	3.0%	10	18	28	33	37	46	53

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 27% * Slight Edge: 27% to 33% * Clear Edge: 33% to 40% * Strong Edge: 40% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+20.56%

No Edge

48.33%23.89%27.78%

Elo Value

Home Edge

218 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

072.45600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.32 goals

Neutral

-2+0.33+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.04 * Tight Race: 0.04 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.9

Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

26%

Partizani, 2nd of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.31/gm

Runaway

00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.18 * Some Luck: 6.18 to 9.27 * Lucky: 9.27 to 12.36 * Wild Swing: 12.36 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.08 * Close: 1.08 to 1.62 * Off: 1.62 to 2.16 * Way Off: 2.16 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.97 points

Some Luck

07.7219

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

Pinpoint

01.353

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

92.00%

Kastrioti

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

3.00%

Kamza

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 77.5% * Wide Edge: 77.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 93% * Strong Edge: 93% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 72.5% * Very Frequent: 72.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 10.5% * Occasional: 10.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.14

Even

00.120.210.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 125.24

1.75

Moderate Separation

0.91.351.82.153

Interquartile Edge

61%

Even

50%63.5%72.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

93%

Clear Edge

50%91%100%

Close Games

Expected

67%

Frequent

0%63%100%

Blowouts

Expected

16%

Frequent

0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.56 * Notable Separation: 0.56 to 0.62 * Lopsided: 0.62 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14.5% * Upset-Prone: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 18.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 10.5% * As Expected: 10.5% to 12.5% * Shaky Favorites: 12.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.60

Predictable

00.602

Matchup Imbalance

0.37

Very Even

00.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.84

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.62

Strong Carryover

00.410.590.731

Upset Rate

Expected

28%

Very Upset-Prone

0%24%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

22%

Very Shaky

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.96

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.80

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.096

Well Within Noise

00.1230.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Partizani	26.00%	29.00%	19.00%	13.00%	5.00%	3.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	—
Kukesi	36.00%	21.00%	17.00%	12.00%	5.00%	4.00%	2.00%	3.00%	—	—
Teuta	9.00%	15.00%	16.00%	15.00%	21.00%	12.00%	8.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Skenderbeu	22.00%	16.00%	16.00%	17.00%	13.00%	7.00%	5.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—
Flamurtari	2.00%	8.00%	8.00%	18.00%	17.00%	14.00%	16.00%	12.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Laci	5.00%	8.00%	17.00%	14.00%	15.00%	24.00%	10.00%	6.00%	1.00%	—
KF Tirana	—	—	—	6.00%	6.00%	17.00%	20.00%	25.00%	21.00%	5.00%
Luftetari	—	3.00%	7.00%	5.00%	17.00%	17.00%	24.00%	19.00%	6.00%	2.00%
Kastrioti	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.00%	12.00%	33.00%	49.00%
Kamza	—	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	5.00%	17.00%	33.00%	42.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Kukesi	100%	—
Partizani	100%	—
Laci	99.00%	1.00%
Skenderbeu	99.00%	1.00%
Teuta	98.00%	2.00%
Flamurtari	95.00%	5.00%
Luftetari	92.00%	8.00%
KF Tirana	74.00%	26.00%
Kamza	25.00%	75.00%
Kastrioti	18.00%	82.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2018-08-17	Partizani	W 1-0	39.8	1349	1330	49.55%	24.85%	25.60%	+0.42	+9.5	3
2018-08-17	@ Skenderbeu	L 0-1	39.8	1330	1349	25.60%	24.85%	49.55%	-0.42	-9.5	0
2018-08-18	Kamza	L 0-1	44.3	1255	1280	43.90%	25.21%	30.89%	+0.22	-14.5	0
2018-08-18	@ KF Tirana	W 1-0	44.3	1280	1255	30.89%	25.21%	43.90%	-0.22	+14.5	3
2018-08-18	Kastrioti	L 0-1	49.6	1363	1213	63.39%	22.56%	14.05%	+1.02	-20.0	0
2018-08-18	@ Luftetari	W 1-0	49.6	1213	1363	14.05%	22.56%	63.39%	-1.02	+20.0	3
2018-08-19	Flamurtari	D 0-0	49.9	1317	1291	50.46%	24.77%	24.77%	+0.45	-2.0	1
2018-08-19	@ Teuta	D 0-0	49.9	1291	1317	24.77%	24.77%	50.46%	-0.45	+2.0	1
2018-08-19	Laci	D 1-1	57.6	1389	1322	55.26%	24.19%	20.55%	+0.64	-2.5	1
2018-08-19	@ Kukesi	D 1-1	57.6	1322	1389	20.55%	24.19%	55.26%	-0.64	+2.5	1
2018-08-24	Teuta	D 0-0	49.4	1240	1315	37.07%	25.35%	37.58%	-0.01	+0.0	1
2018-08-24	@ KF Tirana	D 0-0	49.4	1315	1240	37.58%	25.35%	37.07%	+0.01	-0.0	2
2018-08-25	Luftetari	W 2-1	48.6	1324	1343	44.74%	25.17%	30.09%	+0.24	+10.2	4
2018-08-25	@ Laci	L 1-2	48.6	1343	1324	30.09%	25.17%	44.74%	-0.24	-10.2	0
2018-08-25	Partizani	L 0-1	44.8	1295	1321	43.80%	25.22%	30.99%	+0.21	-14.4	3
2018-08-25	@ Kamza	W 1-0	44.8	1321	1295	30.99%	25.22%	43.80%	-0.21	+14.4	3
2018-08-26	Kukesi	W 1-0	44.4	1293	1387	34.32%	25.32%	40.37%	-0.10	+13.5	4
2018-08-26	@ Flamurtari	L 0-1	44.4	1387	1293	40.37%	25.32%	34.32%	+0.10	-13.5	1
2018-08-26	Skenderbeu	L 0-3	36.1	1233	1358	30.13%	25.18%	44.69%	-0.24	-29.6	3
2018-08-26	@ Kastrioti	W 3-0	36.1	1358	1233	44.69%	25.18%	30.13%	+0.24	+29.6	6
2018-08-31	Laci	D 1-1	57.7	1388	1334	53.71%	24.41%	21.88%	+0.58	-2.3	7
2018-08-31	@ Skenderbeu	D 1-1	57.7	1334	1388	21.88%	24.41%	53.71%	-0.58	+2.3	5
2018-09-01	Flamurtari	L 0-1	46.9	1333	1306	50.55%	24.76%	24.69%	+0.45	-16.3	0
2018-09-01	@ Luftetari	W 1-0	46.9	1306	1333	24.69%	24.76%	50.55%	-0.45	+16.3	7
2018-09-01	Kastrioti	W 1-0	35.1	1335	1203	61.75%	22.97%	15.28%	+0.94	+6.0	6
2018-09-01	@ Partizani	L 0-1	35.1	1203	1335	15.28%	22.97%	61.75%	-0.94	-6.0	3
2018-09-02	Kamza	W 1-0	38.5	1315	1280	51.47%	24.67%	23.86%	+0.49	+8.9	5
2018-09-02	@ Teuta	L 0-1	38.5	1280	1315	23.86%	24.67%	51.47%	-0.49	-8.9	3
2018-09-02	KF Tirana	W 3-1	39.2	1373	1241	61.80%	22.96%	15.24%	+0.94	+9.8	4
2018-09-02	@ Kukesi	L 1-3	39.2	1241	1373	15.24%	22.96%	61.80%	-0.94	-9.8	1
2018-09-15	Kastrioti	W 2-0	33.5	1271	1197	55.97%	24.09%	19.94%	+0.67	+14.5	6
2018-09-15	@ Kamza	L 0-2	33.5	1197	1271	19.94%	24.09%	55.97%	-0.67	-14.5	3
2018-09-15	Kukesi	L 0-1	44.4	1324	1383	39.20%	25.34%	35.46%	+0.06	-13.2	5
2018-09-15	@ Teuta	W 1-0	44.4	1383	1324	35.46%	25.34%	39.20%	-0.06	+13.2	7
2018-09-16	Luftetari	W 3-1	46.7	1231	1317	35.40%	25.33%	39.27%	-0.06	+21.6	4
2018-09-16	@ KF Tirana	L 1-3	46.7	1317	1231	39.27%	25.33%	35.40%	+0.06	-21.6	0
2018-09-16	Partizani	D 0-0	50.4	1337	1341	46.62%	25.07%	28.31%	+0.31	-1.4	6
2018-09-16	@ Laci	D 0-0	50.4	1341	1337	28.31%	25.07%	46.62%	-0.31	+1.4	7
2018-09-17	Skenderbeu	L 0-2	41.2	1323	1386	38.68%	25.34%	35.98%	+0.04	-24.7	7
2018-09-17	@ Flamurtari	W 2-0	41.2	1386	1323	35.98%	25.34%	38.68%	-0.04	+24.7	10
2018-09-21	Flamurtari	W 2-0	35.4	1343	1298	52.70%	24.53%	22.77%	+0.54	+16.2	10
2018-09-21	@ Partizani	L 0-2	35.4	1298	1343	22.77%	24.53%	52.70%	-0.54	-16.2	7
2018-09-22	KF Tirana	D 1-1	57.5	1410	1252	64.07%	22.38%	13.55%	+1.06	-3.8	11
2018-09-22	@ Skenderbeu	D 1-1	57.5	1252	1410	13.55%	22.38%	64.07%	-1.06	+3.8	5
2018-09-22	Teuta	W 3-1	44.1	1295	1310	45.25%	25.15%	29.60%	+0.26	+17.4	3
2018-09-22	@ Luftetari	L 1-3	44.1	1310	1295	29.60%	25.15%	45.25%	-0.26	-17.4	5
2018-09-23	Kamza	W 1-0	36.8	1396	1286	59.68%	23.42%	16.90%	+0.84	+6.6	10
2018-09-23	@ Kukesi	L 0-1	36.8	1286	1396	16.90%	23.42%	59.68%	-0.84	-6.6	6
2018-09-23	Laci	D 1-1	55.8	1183	1335	26.85%	24.96%	48.19%	-0.37	+1.5	4
2018-09-23	@ Kastrioti	D 1-1	55.8	1335	1183	48.19%	24.96%	26.85%	+0.37	-1.5	7
2018-09-28	Partizani	L 0-1	41.6	1256	1359	33.09%	25.29%	41.62%	-0.14	-11.6	5
2018-09-28	@ KF Tirana	W 1-0	41.6	1359	1256	41.62%	25.29%	33.09%	+0.14	+11.6	13
2018-09-29	Kastrioti	W 4-0	31.5	1282	1184	58.41%	23.67%	17.92%	+0.78	+24.9	10
2018-09-29	@ Flamurtari	L 0-4	31.5	1184	1282	17.92%	23.67%	58.41%	-0.78	-24.9	4
2018-09-29	Laci	L 0-1	43.6	1279	1334	39.89%	25.33%	34.78%	+0.08	-13.4	6
2018-09-29	@ Kamza	W 1-0	43.6	1334	1279	34.78%	25.33%	39.89%	-0.08	+13.4	10
2018-09-29	Luftetari	W 1-0	37.8	1403	1313	57.66%	23.81%	18.53%	+0.75	+7.2	13
2018-09-29	@ Kukesi	L 0-1	37.8	1313	1403	18.53%	23.81%	57.66%	-0.75	-7.2	3
2018-09-29	Skenderbeu	W 2-0	42.4	1293	1407	31.66%	25.24%	43.10%	-0.19	+26.9	8
2018-09-29	@ Teuta	L 0-2	42.4	1407	1293	43.10%	25.24%	31.66%	+0.19	-26.9	11
2018-10-03	Flamurtari	W 1-0	38.7	1347	1307	52.19%	24.59%	23.22%	+0.52	+8.8	13
2018-10-03	@ Laci	L 0-1	38.7	1307	1347	23.22%	24.59%	52.19%	-0.52	-8.7	10
2018-10-03	Kamza	W 1-0	38.2	1305	1266	52.08%	24.60%	23.32%	+0.51	+8.8	6
2018-10-03	@ Luftetari	L 0-1	38.2	1266	1305	23.32%	24.60%	52.08%	-0.51	-8.8	6
2018-10-03	KF Tirana	L 2-3	53.7	1159	1245	35.52%	25.34%	39.15%	-0.06	-11.0	4
2018-10-03	@ Kastrioti	W 3-2	53.7	1245	1159	39.15%	25.34%	35.52%	+0.06	+11.0	8
2018-10-03	Teuta	W 3-0	34.4	1371	1320	53.39%	24.45%	22.16%	+0.57	+23.0	16
2018-10-03	@ Partizani	L 0-3	34.4	1320	1371	22.16%	24.45%	53.39%	-0.57	-23.0	8
2018-10-04	Kukesi	W 1-0	43.5	1380	1410	43.24%	25.24%	31.52%	+0.19	+11.2	14
2018-10-04	@ Skenderbeu	L 0-1	43.5	1410	1380	31.52%	25.24%	43.24%	-0.19	-11.2	13
2018-10-07	Flamurtari	D 2-2	62.6	1257	1298	41.78%	25.29%	32.93%	+0.14	-0.4	7
2018-10-07	@ Kamza	D 2-2	62.6	1298	1257	32.93%	25.29%	41.78%	-0.14	+0.4	11
2018-10-07	Kastrioti	W 2-0	31.3	1297	1148	63.23%	22.60%	14.17%	+1.01	+10.5	11
2018-10-07	@ Teuta	L 0-2	31.3	1148	1297	14.17%	22.60%	63.23%	-1.01	-10.5	4
2018-10-07	Laci	L 0-1	41.7	1256	1356	33.43%	25.30%	41.27%	-0.13	-11.7	8
2018-10-07	@ KF Tirana	W 1-0	41.7	1356	1256	41.27%	25.30%	33.43%	+0.13	+11.7	16
2018-10-07	Skenderbeu	L 0-2	40.5	1314	1391	36.71%	25.34%	37.94%	-0.02	-23.8	6
2018-10-07	@ Luftetari	W 2-0	40.5	1391	1314	37.94%	25.34%	36.71%	+0.02	+23.8	17
2018-10-08	Partizani	L 0-1	48.4	1399	1394	47.88%	24.98%	27.13%	+0.36	-15.5	13
2018-10-08	@ Kukesi	W 1-0	48.4	1394	1399	27.13%	24.98%	47.88%	-0.36	+15.5	19
2018-10-20	Kukesi	L 1-2	43.5	1138	1383	17.68%	23.62%	58.70%	-0.79	-6.5	4
2018-10-20	@ Kastrioti	W 2-1	43.5	1383	1138	58.70%	23.62%	17.68%	+0.79	+6.5	16
2018-10-20	Teuta	L 0-3	43.9	1368	1307	54.45%	24.31%	21.24%	+0.61	-47.6	16
2018-10-20	@ Laci	W 3-0	43.9	1307	1368	21.24%	24.31%	54.45%	-0.61	+47.6	14
2018-10-21	Kamza	W 2-0	32.3	1415	1257	64.07%	22.38%	13.55%	+1.06	+10.1	20
2018-10-21	@ Skenderbeu	L 0-2	32.3	1257	1415	13.55%	22.38%	64.07%	-1.06	-10.1	7
2018-10-21	Luftetari	W 2-1	44.3	1409	1290	60.50%	23.25%	16.25%	+0.88	+6.0	22
2018-10-21	@ Partizani	L 1-2	44.3	1290	1409	16.25%	23.25%	60.50%	-0.88	-6.0	6
2018-10-22	KF Tirana	W 1-0	37.5	1298	1244	53.82%	24.39%	21.79%	+0.58	+8.3	14
2018-10-22	@ Flamurtari	L 0-1	37.5	1244	1298	21.79%	24.39%	53.82%	-0.58	-8.3	8
2018-10-27	KF Tirana	D 1-1	55.7	1247	1236	48.63%	24.93%	26.44%	+0.38	-1.5	8
2018-10-27	@ Kamza	D 1-1	55.7	1236	1247	26.44%	24.93%	48.63%	-0.38	+1.5	9
2018-10-27	Teuta	D 1-1	56.6	1307	1355	40.75%	25.31%	33.94%	+0.11	-0.5	15
2018-10-27	@ Flamurtari	D 1-1	56.6	1355	1307	33.94%	25.31%	40.75%	-0.11	+0.5	15
2018-10-28	Kukesi	L 0-1	44.0	1320	1390	37.72%	25.35%	36.94%	+0.01	-12.9	16
2018-10-28	@ Laci	W 1-0	44.0	1390	1320	36.94%	25.35%	37.72%	-0.01	+12.8	19
2018-10-28	Luftetari	L 0-2	35.7	1131	1284	26.78%	24.96%	48.27%	-0.37	-18.6	4
2018-10-28	@ Kastrioti	W 2-0	35.7	1284	1131	48.27%	24.96%	26.78%	+0.37	+18.6	9
2018-10-29	Skenderbeu	L 0-2	45.9	1415	1425	46.00%	25.11%	28.89%	+0.29	-28.4	22
2018-10-29	@ Partizani	W 2-0	45.9	1425	1415	28.89%	25.11%	46.00%	-0.29	+28.3	23
2018-11-02	Flamurtari	L 1-2	57.2	1403	1306	58.29%	23.69%	18.02%	+0.77	-17.4	19
2018-11-02	@ Kukesi	W 2-1	57.2	1306	1403	18.02%	23.69%	58.29%	-0.77	+17.4	18
2018-11-02	KF Tirana	W 2-1	43.3	1355	1237	60.46%	23.26%	16.28%	+0.88	+6.0	18
2018-11-02	@ Teuta	L 1-2	43.3	1237	1355	16.28%	23.26%	60.46%	-0.88	-6.0	9
2018-11-03	Kamza	W 1-0	35.4	1387	1245	62.64%	22.75%	14.60%	+0.98	+5.8	25
2018-11-03	@ Partizani	L 0-1	35.4	1245	1387	14.60%	22.75%	62.64%	-0.98	-5.8	8
2018-11-03	Kastrioti	W 1-0	30.7	1453	1113	76.90%	17.29%	5.81%	+1.89	+2.2	26
2018-11-03	@ Skenderbeu	L 0-1	30.7	1113	1453	5.81%	17.29%	76.90%	-1.89	-2.2	4
2018-11-03	Laci	L 0-1	45.6	1303	1307	46.70%	25.06%	28.23%	+0.31	-15.2	9
2018-11-03	@ Luftetari	W 1-0	45.6	1307	1303	28.23%	25.06%	46.70%	-0.31	+15.2	19
2018-11-06	Kukesi	D 0-0	49.9	1231	1385	26.66%	24.95%	48.39%	-0.37	+1.7	10
2018-11-06	@ KF Tirana	D 0-0	49.9	1385	1231	48.39%	24.95%	26.66%	+0.37	-1.7	20
2018-11-07	Luftetari	D 0-0	49.9	1324	1288	51.66%	24.65%	23.69%	+0.50	-2.2	19
2018-11-07	@ Flamurtari	D 0-0	49.9	1288	1324	23.69%	24.65%	51.66%	-0.50	+2.2	10
2018-11-07	Partizani	L 1-2	42.3	1111	1393	14.93%	22.86%	62.21%	-0.96	-5.5	4
2018-11-07	@ Kastrioti	W 2-1	42.3	1393	1111	62.21%	22.86%	14.93%	+0.96	+5.5	28
2018-11-07	Skenderbeu	W 2-0	44.4	1322	1455	29.20%	25.13%	45.68%	-0.28	+28.2	22
2018-11-07	@ Laci	L 0-2	44.4	1455	1322	45.68%	25.13%	29.20%	+0.28	-28.2	26
2018-11-07	Teuta	L 1-3	44.3	1239	1361	30.54%	25.20%	44.26%	-0.23	-17.9	8
2018-11-07	@ Kamza	W 3-1	44.3	1361	1239	44.26%	25.20%	30.54%	+0.23	+17.9	21
2018-11-11	Flamurtari	W 1-0	37.9	1427	1321	59.22%	23.52%	17.27%	+0.82	+6.7	29
2018-11-11	@ Skenderbeu	L 0-1	37.9	1321	1427	17.27%	23.52%	59.22%	-0.82	-6.7	19
2018-11-11	Kamza	W 3-0	39.4	1105	1221	31.31%	25.23%	43.46%	-0.20	+39.3	7
2018-11-11	@ Kastrioti	L 0-3	39.4	1221	1105	43.46%	25.23%	31.31%	+0.20	-39.3	8
2018-11-11	KF Tirana	W 2-1	44.8	1290	1233	54.11%	24.35%	21.53%	+0.59	+7.7	13
2018-11-11	@ Luftetari	L 1-2	44.8	1233	1290	21.53%	24.35%	54.11%	-0.59	-7.7	10
2018-11-11	Laci	W 1-0	39.7	1398	1351	53.03%	24.49%	22.48%	+0.55	+8.5	31
2018-11-11	@ Partizani	L 0-1	39.7	1351	1398	22.48%	24.49%	53.03%	-0.55	-8.5	22
2018-11-12	Teuta	D 1-1	58.2	1383	1379	47.76%	24.99%	27.25%	+0.35	-1.4	21
2018-11-12	@ Kukesi	D 1-1	58.2	1379	1383	27.25%	24.99%	47.76%	-0.35	+1.4	22
2018-11-23	Partizani	W 1-0	44.8	1315	1407	34.57%	25.32%	40.10%	-0.09	+13.5	22
2018-11-23	@ Flamurtari	L 0-1	44.8	1407	1315	40.10%	25.32%	34.57%	+0.09	-13.5	31
2018-11-24	Luftetari	W 1-0	37.6	1381	1298	56.92%	23.93%	19.15%	+0.71	+7.4	25
2018-11-24	@ Teuta	L 0-1	37.6	1298	1381	19.15%	23.93%	56.92%	-0.71	-7.4	13
2018-11-24	Skenderbeu	D 1-1	56.9	1225	1434	20.90%	24.25%	54.85%	-0.63	+2.5	11
2018-11-24	@ KF Tirana	D 1-1	56.9	1434	1225	54.85%	24.25%	20.90%	+0.63	-2.5	30
2018-11-25	Kastrioti	W 2-1	40.8	1342	1144	67.33%	21.39%	11.28%	+1.24	+4.2	25
2018-11-25	@ Laci	L 1-2	40.8	1144	1342	11.28%	21.39%	67.33%	-1.24	-4.2	7
2018-11-25	Kukesi	L 0-2	34.5	1182	1382	21.75%	24.39%	53.86%	-0.58	-15.6	8
2018-11-25	@ Kamza	W 2-0	34.5	1382	1182	53.86%	24.39%	21.75%	+0.58	+15.6	24
2018-11-30	KF Tirana	W 2-1	42.2	1393	1227	64.73%	22.19%	13.08%	+1.09	+4.9	34
2018-11-30	@ Partizani	L 1-2	42.2	1227	1393	13.08%	22.19%	64.73%	-1.09	-4.9	11
2018-12-01	Kukesi	L 0-1	42.1	1290	1398	32.50%	25.27%	42.23%	-0.16	-11.5	13
2018-12-01	@ Luftetari	W 1-0	42.1	1398	1290	42.23%	25.27%	32.50%	+0.16	+11.5	27
2018-12-01	Teuta	L 0-1	50.2	1431	1388	52.51%	24.55%	22.94%	+0.53	-16.8	30
2018-12-01	@ Skenderbeu	W 1-0	50.2	1388	1431	22.94%	24.55%	52.51%	-0.53	+16.8	28
2018-12-02	Flamurtari	W 1-0	46.5	1140	1328	22.95%	24.55%	52.50%	-0.53	+16.8	10
2018-12-02	@ Kastrioti	L 0-1	46.5	1328	1140	52.50%	24.55%	22.95%	+0.53	-16.8	22
2018-12-02	Kamza	D 0-0	50.2	1346	1166	65.89%	21.85%	12.26%	+1.16	-4.6	26
2018-12-02	@ Laci	D 0-0	50.2	1166	1346	12.26%	21.85%	65.89%	-1.16	+4.6	9
2018-12-07	Skenderbeu	W 1-0	43.3	1409	1414	46.53%	25.08%	28.39%	+0.31	+10.3	30
2018-12-07	@ Kukesi	L 0-1	43.3	1414	1409	28.39%	25.08%	46.53%	-0.31	-10.3	30
2018-12-08	Kastrioti	W 4-0	32.4	1223	1157	55.04%	24.22%	20.73%	+0.63	+28.4	14
2018-12-08	@ KF Tirana	L 0-4	32.4	1157	1223	20.73%	24.22%	55.04%	-0.63	-28.4	10
2018-12-08	Partizani	D 1-1	59.0	1405	1398	48.11%	24.97%	26.92%	+0.36	-1.5	29
2018-12-08	@ Teuta	D 1-1	59.0	1398	1405	26.92%	24.97%	48.11%	-0.36	+1.5	35
2018-12-09	Laci	W 1-0	41.4	1311	1342	43.23%	25.24%	31.53%	+0.19	+11.2	25
2018-12-09	@ Flamurtari	L 0-1	41.4	1342	1311	31.53%	25.24%	43.23%	-0.19	-11.2	26
2018-12-09	Luftetari	W 1-0	43.6	1171	1279	32.43%	25.27%	42.30%	-0.16	+14.0	12
2018-12-09	@ Kamza	L 0-1	43.6	1279	1171	42.30%	25.27%	32.43%	+0.16	-14.0	13
2018-12-14	Kukesi	D 0-0	52.8	1400	1419	44.64%	25.18%	30.18%	+0.24	-1.1	36
2018-12-14	@ Partizani	D 0-0	52.8	1419	1400	30.18%	25.18%	44.64%	-0.24	+1.1	31
2018-12-15	Kamza	W 1-0	34.8	1323	1185	62.24%	22.85%	14.91%	+0.96	+5.9	28
2018-12-15	@ Flamurtari	L 0-1	34.8	1185	1323	14.91%	22.85%	62.24%	-0.96	-5.9	12
2018-12-15	KF Tirana	W 2-1	44.4	1330	1251	56.53%	24.00%	19.47%	+0.70	+7.1	29
2018-12-15	@ Laci	L 1-2	44.4	1251	1330	19.47%	24.00%	56.53%	-0.70	-7.1	14
2018-12-16	Luftetari	L 2-3	62.3	1404	1265	62.42%	22.81%	14.77%	+0.97	-17.6	30
2018-12-16	@ Skenderbeu	W 3-2	62.3	1265	1404	14.77%	22.81%	62.42%	-0.97	+17.6	16
2018-12-16	Teuta	L 0-4	30.8	1129	1404	15.43%	23.01%	61.55%	-0.93	-21.7	10
2018-12-16	@ Kastrioti	W 4-0	30.8	1404	1129	61.55%	23.01%	15.43%	+0.93	+21.7	32
2018-12-21	Flamurtari	W 1-0	43.1	1244	1328	35.62%	25.34%	39.05%	-0.06	+13.2	17
2018-12-21	@ KF Tirana	L 0-1	43.1	1328	1244	39.05%	25.34%	35.62%	+0.06	-13.2	28
2018-12-21	Skenderbeu	W 1-0	47.4	1179	1387	21.03%	24.27%	54.69%	-0.62	+17.5	15
2018-12-21	@ Kamza	L 0-1	47.4	1387	1179	54.69%	24.27%	21.03%	+0.62	-17.5	30
2018-12-22	Laci	D 1-1	58.5	1425	1338	57.40%	23.85%	18.75%	+0.73	-2.8	33
2018-12-22	@ Teuta	D 1-1	58.5	1338	1425	18.75%	23.85%	57.40%	-0.73	+2.8	30
2018-12-23	Kastrioti	W 2-0	27.9	1420	1107	75.32%	18.09%	6.59%	+1.77	+4.7	34
2018-12-23	@ Kukesi	L 0-2	27.9	1107	1420	6.59%	18.09%	75.32%	-1.77	-4.7	10
2018-12-23	Partizani	D 1-1	56.9	1282	1398	31.34%	25.23%	43.43%	-0.20	+0.8	17
2018-12-23	@ Luftetari	D 1-1	56.9	1398	1282	43.43%	25.23%	31.34%	+0.20	-0.8	37
2019-01-25	Partizani	L 0-1	46.6	1369	1398	43.47%	25.23%	31.30%	+0.20	-14.4	30
2019-01-25	@ Skenderbeu	W 1-0	46.6	1398	1369	31.30%	25.23%	43.47%	-0.20	+14.4	40
2019-01-26	Laci	D 0-0	52.1	1425	1340	57.11%	23.90%	18.99%	+0.72	-3.1	35
2019-01-26	@ Kukesi	D 0-0	52.1	1340	1425	18.99%	23.90%	57.11%	-0.72	+3.1	31
2019-01-27	Flamurtari	D 1-1	58.2	1422	1315	59.37%	23.49%	17.15%	+0.82	-3.1	34
2019-01-27	@ Teuta	D 1-1	58.2	1315	1422	17.15%	23.49%	59.37%	-0.82	+3.1	29
2019-01-27	Kamza	W 4-1	37.3	1257	1197	54.47%	24.30%	21.22%	+0.61	+18.7	20
2019-01-27	@ KF Tirana	L 1-4	37.3	1197	1257	21.22%	24.30%	54.47%	-0.61	-18.7	15
2019-01-27	Kastrioti	L 1-5	47.9	1283	1102	66.00%	21.82%	12.19%	+1.16	-61.7	17
2019-01-27	@ Luftetari	W 5-1	47.9	1102	1283	12.19%	21.82%	66.00%	-1.16	+61.7	13
2019-02-01	Teuta	D 1-1	57.1	1276	1419	27.92%	25.04%	47.04%	-0.33	+1.3	21
2019-02-01	@ KF Tirana	D 1-1	57.1	1419	1276	47.04%	25.04%	27.92%	+0.33	-1.3	35
2019-02-02	Kukesi	L 1-2	50.5	1318	1422	32.97%	25.29%	41.74%	-0.14	-10.9	29
2019-02-02	@ Flamurtari	W 2-1	50.5	1422	1318	41.74%	25.29%	32.97%	+0.14	+10.9	38
2019-02-02	Skenderbeu	W 2-1	54.3	1164	1355	22.66%	24.51%	52.83%	-0.54	+16.0	16
2019-02-02	@ Kastrioti	L 1-2	54.3	1355	1164	52.83%	24.51%	22.66%	+0.54	-16.0	30
2019-02-03	Luftetari	L 0-2	45.9	1343	1222	60.80%	23.19%	16.02%	+0.89	-36.2	31
2019-02-03	@ Laci	W 2-0	45.9	1222	1343	16.02%	23.19%	60.80%	-0.89	+36.2	20
2019-02-03	Partizani	L 0-1	36.6	1178	1412	18.63%	23.83%	57.55%	-0.74	-7.2	15
2019-02-03	@ Kamza	W 1-0	36.6	1412	1178	57.55%	23.83%	18.63%	+0.74	+7.2	43
2019-02-09	Kastrioti	W 2-0	29.8	1419	1180	70.44%	20.26%	9.30%	+1.43	+6.8	46
2019-02-09	@ Partizani	L 0-2	29.8	1180	1419	9.30%	20.26%	70.44%	-1.43	-6.9	16
2019-02-10	Flamurtari	D 0-0	49.4	1258	1307	40.57%	25.31%	34.12%	+0.10	-0.5	21
2019-02-10	@ Luftetari	D 0-0	49.4	1307	1258	34.12%	25.31%	40.57%	-0.10	+0.5	30
2019-02-10	Kamza	D 0-0	51.2	1418	1171	70.99%	20.04%	8.97%	+1.47	-5.4	36
2019-02-10	@ Teuta	D 0-0	51.2	1171	1418	8.97%	20.04%	70.99%	-1.47	+5.3	16
2019-02-10	KF Tirana	L 0-1	50.9	1433	1277	63.88%	22.43%	13.69%	+1.05	-20.1	38
2019-02-10	@ Kukesi	W 1-0	50.9	1277	1433	13.69%	22.43%	63.88%	-1.05	+20.1	24
2019-02-11	Laci	W 2-1	46.5	1339	1307	51.14%	24.70%	24.16%	+0.48	+8.5	33
2019-02-11	@ Skenderbeu	L 1-2	46.5	1307	1339	24.16%	24.70%	51.14%	-0.48	-8.5	31
2019-02-15	Kukesi	W 2-1	50.6	1413	1413	47.19%	25.03%	27.78%	+0.33	+9.6	39
2019-02-15	@ Teuta	L 1-2	50.6	1413	1413	27.78%	25.03%	47.19%	-0.33	-9.6	38
2019-02-17	Kastrioti	L 0-1	45.0	1176	1173	47.63%	25.00%	27.37%	+0.35	-15.5	16
2019-02-17	@ Kamza	W 1-0	45.0	1173	1176	27.37%	25.00%	47.63%	-0.35	+15.5	19
2019-02-17	Luftetari	D 1-1	56.1	1297	1257	52.14%	24.59%	23.27%	+0.52	-2.1	25
2019-02-17	@ KF Tirana	D 1-1	56.1	1257	1297	23.27%	24.59%	52.14%	-0.52	+2.1	22
2019-02-17	Partizani	W 1-0	46.3	1299	1426	29.89%	25.16%	44.95%	-0.25	+14.8	34
2019-02-17	@ Laci	L 0-1	46.3	1426	1299	44.95%	25.16%	29.89%	+0.25	-14.7	46
2019-02-17	Skenderbeu	W 2-0	38.8	1308	1347	41.99%	25.28%	32.73%	+0.15	+21.8	33
2019-02-17	@ Flamurtari	L 0-2	38.8	1347	1308	32.73%	25.28%	41.99%	-0.15	-21.8	33
2019-02-22	KF Tirana	L 1-2	54.3	1326	1295	51.00%	24.72%	24.29%	+0.47	-15.5	33
2019-02-22	@ Skenderbeu	W 2-1	54.3	1295	1326	24.29%	24.72%	51.00%	-0.47	+15.5	28
2019-02-23	Flamurtari	W 3-1	42.1	1411	1330	56.77%	23.96%	19.27%	+0.71	+12.1	49
2019-02-23	@ Partizani	L 1-3	42.1	1330	1411	19.27%	23.96%	56.77%	-0.71	-12.1	33
2019-02-23	Teuta	W 1-0	47.0	1259	1422	25.66%	24.86%	49.48%	-0.41	+16.0	25
2019-02-23	@ Luftetari	L 0-1	47.0	1422	1259	49.48%	24.86%	25.66%	+0.41	-16.0	39
2019-02-24	Kamza	W 3-2	44.7	1403	1161	70.68%	20.16%	9.16%	+1.45	+3.2	41
2019-02-24	@ Kukesi	L 2-3	44.7	1161	1403	9.16%	20.16%	70.68%	-1.45	-3.2	16
2019-02-24	Laci	D 1-1	55.7	1189	1313	30.20%	25.18%	44.62%	-0.24	+1.0	20
2019-02-24	@ Kastrioti	D 1-1	55.7	1313	1189	44.62%	25.18%	30.20%	+0.24	-1.0	35
2019-03-01	Partizani	D 0-0	51.1	1311	1423	31.77%	25.25%	42.99%	-0.18	+0.8	29
2019-03-01	@ KF Tirana	D 0-0	51.1	1423	1311	42.99%	25.25%	31.77%	+0.18	-0.9	50
2019-03-02	Luftetari	W 3-0	31.8	1407	1275	61.67%	22.99%	15.34%	+0.93	+16.5	44
2019-03-02	@ Kukesi	L 0-3	31.8	1275	1407	15.34%	22.99%	61.67%	-0.93	-16.5	25
2019-03-02	Skenderbeu	D 2-2	64.5	1406	1310	58.26%	23.70%	18.04%	+0.77	-2.2	40
2019-03-02	@ Teuta	D 2-2	64.5	1310	1406	18.04%	23.70%	58.26%	-0.77	+2.2	34
2019-03-03	Kastrioti	D 1-1	56.3	1318	1190	61.37%	23.06%	15.57%	+0.92	-3.4	34
2019-03-03	@ Flamurtari	D 1-1	56.3	1190	1318	15.57%	23.06%	61.37%	-0.92	+3.4	21
2019-03-03	Laci	D 1-1	55.7	1157	1312	26.55%	24.94%	48.51%	-0.38	+1.5	17
2019-03-03	@ Kamza	D 1-1	55.7	1312	1157	48.51%	24.94%	26.55%	+0.38	-1.5	36
2019-03-09	Kamza	W 3-0	31.3	1259	1159	58.64%	23.63%	17.73%	+0.79	+18.9	28
2019-03-09	@ Luftetari	L 0-3	31.3	1159	1259	17.73%	23.63%	58.64%	-0.79	-18.9	17
2019-03-16	Kukesi	W 1-0	45.8	1312	1423	32.03%	25.26%	42.71%	-0.18	+14.2	37
2019-03-16	@ Skenderbeu	L 0-1	45.8	1423	1312	42.71%	25.26%	32.03%	+0.18	-14.1	44
2019-03-17	Flamurtari	D 0-0	49.9	1311	1314	46.83%	25.06%	28.12%	+0.32	-1.5	37
2019-03-17	@ Laci	D 0-0	49.9	1314	1311	28.12%	25.06%	46.83%	-0.32	+1.5	35
2019-03-17	KF Tirana	W 1-0	44.2	1193	1312	31.01%	25.22%	43.77%	-0.21	+14.4	24
2019-03-17	@ Kastrioti	L 0-1	44.2	1312	1193	43.77%	25.22%	31.01%	+0.21	-14.4	29
2019-03-17	Teuta	W 3-0	38.0	1423	1404	49.58%	24.85%	25.57%	+0.42	+26.0	53
2019-03-17	@ Partizani	L 0-3	38.0	1404	1423	25.57%	24.85%	49.58%	-0.42	-26.0	40
2019-03-29	Partizani	D 1-1	60.3	1409	1449	41.95%	25.28%	32.77%	+0.15	-0.6	45
2019-03-29	@ Kukesi	D 1-1	60.3	1449	1409	32.77%	25.28%	41.95%	-0.15	+0.6	54
2019-03-30	Flamurtari	L 0-3	33.7	1140	1316	24.27%	24.71%	51.02%	-0.47	-24.9	17
2019-03-30	@ Kamza	W 3-0	33.7	1316	1140	51.02%	24.71%	24.27%	+0.47	+24.9	38
2019-03-30	Kastrioti	W 1-0	34.3	1378	1207	65.14%	22.08%	12.79%	+1.11	+5.0	43
2019-03-30	@ Teuta	L 0-1	34.3	1207	1378	12.79%	22.08%	65.14%	-1.11	-5.0	24
2019-03-30	Laci	D 1-1	56.2	1297	1309	45.63%	25.13%	29.24%	+0.28	-1.1	30
2019-03-30	@ KF Tirana	D 1-1	56.2	1309	1297	29.24%	25.13%	45.63%	-0.28	+1.1	38
2019-03-30	Skenderbeu	W 1-0	41.8	1278	1326	40.70%	25.31%	33.99%	+0.11	+11.9	31
2019-03-30	@ Luftetari	L 0-1	41.8	1326	1278	33.99%	25.31%	40.70%	-0.11	-11.9	37
2019-04-06	Kamza	W 3-0	28.7	1315	1115	67.46%	21.34%	11.19%	+1.25	+12.1	40
2019-04-06	@ Skenderbeu	L 0-3	28.7	1115	1315	11.19%	21.34%	67.46%	-1.25	-12.1	17
2019-04-06	KF Tirana	W 1-0	38.4	1340	1296	52.66%	24.53%	22.81%	+0.54	+8.6	41
2019-04-06	@ Flamurtari	L 0-1	38.4	1296	1340	22.81%	24.53%	52.66%	-0.54	-8.6	30
2019-04-06	Kukesi	W 2-1	55.2	1202	1408	21.16%	24.29%	54.54%	-0.61	+16.4	27
2019-04-06	@ Kastrioti	L 1-2	55.2	1408	1202	54.54%	24.29%	21.16%	+0.61	-16.4	45
2019-04-06	Luftetari	L 1-3	55.1	1449	1290	64.20%	22.34%	13.46%	+1.06	-33.0	54
2019-04-06	@ Partizani	W 3-1	55.1	1290	1449	13.46%	22.34%	64.20%	-1.06	+33.0	34
2019-04-06	Teuta	W 5-0	39.8	1311	1383	37.33%	25.35%	37.32%	+0.00	+56.2	41
2019-04-06	@ Laci	L 0-5	39.8	1383	1311	37.32%	25.35%	37.33%	+0.00	-56.2	43
2019-04-10	KF Tirana	L 0-3	33.2	1103	1287	23.34%	24.60%	52.06%	-0.51	-24.1	17
2019-04-10	@ Kamza	W 3-0	33.2	1287	1103	52.06%	24.60%	23.34%	+0.51	+24.1	33
2019-04-10	Kukesi	L 0-1	46.6	1367	1392	43.94%	25.21%	30.85%	+0.22	-14.5	41
2019-04-10	@ Laci	W 1-0	46.6	1392	1367	30.85%	25.21%	43.94%	-0.22	+14.5	48
2019-04-10	Luftetari	W 1-0	43.7	1219	1323	32.96%	25.29%	41.76%	-0.14	+13.9	30
2019-04-10	@ Kastrioti	L 0-1	43.7	1323	1219	41.76%	25.29%	32.96%	+0.14	-13.9	34
2019-04-10	Skenderbeu	W 2-0	35.2	1416	1327	57.60%	23.82%	18.58%	+0.74	+13.6	57
2019-04-10	@ Partizani	L 0-2	35.2	1327	1416	18.58%	23.82%	57.60%	-0.74	-13.6	40
2019-04-10	Teuta	W 3-1	43.3	1349	1327	50.01%	24.81%	25.18%	+0.43	+15.3	44
2019-04-10	@ Flamurtari	L 1-3	43.3	1327	1349	25.18%	24.81%	50.01%	-0.43	-15.3	43
2019-04-13	Kamza	W 3-0	25.9	1430	1079	77.49%	16.97%	5.54%	+1.94	+5.6	60
2019-04-13	@ Partizani	L 0-3	25.9	1079	1430	5.54%	16.97%	77.49%	-1.94	-5.6	17
2019-04-14	Flamurtari	L 1-2	56.7	1406	1364	52.38%	24.57%	23.05%	+0.53	-15.8	48
2019-04-14	@ Kukesi	W 2-1	56.7	1364	1406	23.05%	24.57%	52.38%	-0.53	+15.8	47
2019-04-14	Kastrioti	W 4-0	32.3	1313	1233	56.64%	23.98%	19.38%	+0.70	+26.8	43
2019-04-14	@ Skenderbeu	L 0-4	32.3	1233	1313	19.38%	23.98%	56.64%	-0.70	-26.8	30
2019-04-14	KF Tirana	L 1-3	49.5	1312	1311	47.25%	25.03%	27.72%	+0.33	-25.1	43
2019-04-14	@ Teuta	W 3-1	49.5	1311	1312	27.72%	25.03%	47.25%	-0.33	+25.1	36
2019-04-14	Laci	W 1-0	42.0	1309	1352	41.40%	25.30%	33.30%	+0.13	+11.7	37
2019-04-14	@ Luftetari	L 0-1	42.0	1352	1309	33.30%	25.30%	41.40%	-0.13	-11.7	41
2019-04-20	Kukesi	L 0-2	41.8	1337	1390	39.96%	25.33%	34.72%	+0.08	-25.3	36
2019-04-20	@ KF Tirana	W 2-0	41.8	1390	1337	34.72%	25.33%	39.96%	-0.08	+25.3	51
2019-04-20	Luftetari	D 1-1	57.4	1380	1320	54.40%	24.31%	21.29%	+0.61	-2.4	48
2019-04-20	@ Flamurtari	D 1-1	57.4	1320	1380	21.29%	24.31%	54.40%	-0.61	+2.4	38
2019-04-20	Partizani	D 1-1	56.9	1206	1435	19.01%	23.91%	57.08%	-0.72	+2.8	31
2019-04-20	@ Kastrioti	D 1-1	56.9	1435	1206	57.08%	23.91%	19.01%	+0.72	-2.8	61
2019-04-20	Skenderbeu	W 1-0	40.5	1341	1340	47.34%	25.02%	27.64%	+0.34	+10.1	44
2019-04-20	@ Laci	L 0-1	40.5	1340	1341	27.64%	25.02%	47.34%	-0.34	-10.1	43
2019-04-20	Teuta	L 0-3	32.2	1073	1286	20.51%	24.19%	55.31%	-0.64	-21.5	17
2019-04-20	@ Kamza	W 3-0	32.2	1286	1073	55.31%	24.19%	20.51%	+0.64	+21.5	46
2019-04-27	Kamza	W 3-0	29.5	1209	1052	63.96%	22.41%	13.63%	+1.05	+14.7	34
2019-04-27	@ Kastrioti	L 0-3	29.5	1052	1209	13.63%	22.41%	63.96%	-1.05	-14.7	17
2019-04-27	Laci	D 1-1	58.9	1433	1351	56.80%	23.95%	19.25%	+0.71	-2.8	62
2019-04-27	@ Partizani	D 1-1	58.9	1351	1433	19.25%	23.95%	56.80%	-0.71	+2.8	45
2019-04-28	Flamurtari	W 2-0	39.7	1330	1378	40.79%	25.31%	33.90%	+0.11	+22.4	46
2019-04-28	@ Skenderbeu	L 0-2	39.7	1378	1330	33.90%	25.31%	40.79%	-0.11	-22.4	48
2019-04-28	KF Tirana	D 1-1	56.5	1323	1311	48.70%	24.92%	26.38%	+0.39	-1.6	39
2019-04-28	@ Luftetari	D 1-1	56.5	1311	1323	26.38%	24.92%	48.70%	-0.39	+1.6	37
2019-04-28	Teuta	D 0-0	51.5	1416	1308	59.44%	23.47%	17.09%	+0.83	-3.5	52
2019-04-28	@ Kukesi	D 0-0	51.5	1308	1416	17.09%	23.47%	59.44%	-0.83	+3.5	47
2019-05-04	Kastrioti	D 1-1	56.7	1353	1223	61.56%	23.01%	15.42%	+0.93	-3.5	46
2019-05-04	@ Laci	D 1-1	56.7	1223	1353	15.42%	23.01%	61.56%	-0.93	+3.4	35
2019-05-04	Kukesi	L 0-3	28.0	1037	1412	9.70%	20.51%	69.79%	-1.39	-10.4	17
2019-05-04	@ Kamza	W 3-0	28.0	1412	1037	69.79%	20.51%	9.70%	+1.39	+10.4	55
2019-05-04	Luftetari	D 0-0	50.0	1311	1321	45.97%	25.11%	28.92%	+0.29	-1.3	48
2019-05-04	@ Teuta	D 0-0	50.0	1321	1311	28.92%	25.11%	45.97%	-0.29	+1.3	40
2019-05-04	Partizani	L 0-3	40.7	1355	1430	37.03%	25.35%	37.62%	-0.01	-34.7	48
2019-05-04	@ Flamurtari	W 3-0	40.7	1430	1355	37.62%	25.35%	37.03%	+0.01	+34.7	65
2019-05-04	Skenderbeu	W 1-0	41.9	1313	1352	42.00%	25.28%	32.72%	+0.15	+11.5	40
2019-05-04	@ KF Tirana	L 0-1	41.9	1352	1313	32.72%	25.28%	42.00%	-0.15	-11.5	46
2019-05-12	Flamurtari	W 2-0	40.3	1227	1321	34.32%	25.32%	40.36%	-0.10	+25.5	38
2019-05-12	@ Kastrioti	L 0-2	40.3	1321	1227	40.36%	25.32%	34.32%	+0.10	-25.5	48
2019-05-12	Kamza	W 3-0	26.0	1350	1027	75.90%	17.80%	6.30%	+1.81	+6.5	49
2019-05-12	@ Laci	L 0-3	26.0	1027	1350	6.30%	17.80%	75.90%	-1.81	-6.5	17
2019-05-12	KF Tirana	W 2-1	45.2	1465	1324	62.50%	22.79%	14.71%	+0.98	+5.5	68
2019-05-12	@ Partizani	L 1-2	45.2	1324	1465	14.71%	22.79%	62.50%	-0.98	-5.5	40
2019-05-12	Kukesi	W 3-2	57.8	1323	1423	33.45%	25.30%	41.25%	-0.13	+12.3	43
2019-05-12	@ Luftetari	L 2-3	57.8	1423	1323	41.25%	25.30%	33.45%	+0.13	-12.3	55
2019-05-12	Teuta	L 1-2	54.6	1341	1310	51.00%	24.71%	24.28%	+0.47	-15.5	46
2019-05-12	@ Skenderbeu	W 2-1	54.6	1310	1341	24.28%	24.71%	51.00%	-0.47	+15.5	51
2019-05-18	Kastrioti	D 0-0	49.8	1319	1252	55.14%	24.21%	20.65%	+0.64	-2.8	41
2019-05-18	@ KF Tirana	D 0-0	49.8	1252	1319	20.65%	24.21%	55.14%	-0.64	+2.8	39
2019-05-18	Laci	W 1-0	42.7	1295	1357	38.91%	25.34%	35.75%	+0.05	+12.3	51
2019-05-18	@ Flamurtari	L 0-1	42.7	1357	1295	35.75%	25.34%	38.91%	-0.05	-12.3	49
2019-05-18	Luftetari	L 0-3	29.3	1020	1335	12.85%	22.10%	65.06%	-1.11	-13.9	17
2019-05-18	@ Kamza	W 3-0	29.3	1335	1020	65.06%	22.10%	12.85%	+1.11	+13.9	46
2019-05-18	Partizani	W 2-0	45.2	1326	1470	27.79%	25.03%	47.18%	-0.33	+29.0	54
2019-05-18	@ Teuta	L 0-2	45.2	1470	1326	47.18%	25.03%	27.79%	+0.33	-29.0	68
2019-05-18	Skenderbeu	L 0-3	45.4	1410	1325	57.16%	23.89%	18.95%	+0.72	-49.8	55
2019-05-18	@ Kukesi	W 3-0	45.4	1325	1410	18.95%	23.89%	57.16%	-0.72	+49.8	49
2019-05-25	Kamza	W 3-0	26.4	1308	1006	74.56%	18.46%	6.98%	+1.71	+7.3	54
2019-05-25	@ Flamurtari	L 0-3	26.4	1006	1308	6.98%	18.46%	74.56%	-1.71	-7.3	17
2019-05-26	KF Tirana	L 1-3	50.8	1344	1316	50.73%	24.74%	24.53%	+0.46	-26.7	49
2019-05-26	@ Laci	W 3-1	50.8	1316	1344	24.53%	24.74%	50.73%	-0.46	+26.7	44
2019-05-26	Kukesi	D 1-1	59.3	1441	1361	56.65%	23.98%	19.38%	+0.70	-2.7	69
2019-05-26	@ Partizani	D 1-1	59.3	1361	1441	19.38%	23.98%	56.65%	-0.70	+2.7	56
2019-05-26	Luftetari	W 2-0	37.0	1375	1349	50.49%	24.77%	24.75%	+0.45	+17.4	52
2019-05-26	@ Skenderbeu	L 0-2	37.0	1349	1375	24.75%	24.77%	50.49%	-0.45	-17.4	46
2019-05-26	Teuta	W 2-1	51.5	1255	1355	33.56%	25.30%	41.14%	-0.12	+12.9	42
2019-05-26	@ Kastrioti	L 1-2	51.5	1355	1255	41.14%	25.30%	33.56%	+0.12	-13.0	54
2019-05-30	Flamurtari	W 3-0	34.8	1343	1315	50.71%	24.74%	24.55%	+0.46	+25.1	47
2019-05-30	@ KF Tirana	L 0-3	34.8	1315	1343	24.55%	24.74%	50.71%	-0.46	-25.1	54
2019-05-30	Kastrioti	W 3-1	40.4	1363	1268	58.17%	23.71%	18.11%	+0.77	+11.5	59
2019-05-30	@ Kukesi	L 1-3	40.4	1268	1363	18.11%	23.71%	58.17%	-0.77	-11.5	42
2019-05-30	Laci	W 2-0	36.3	1342	1317	50.24%	24.79%	24.97%	+0.44	+17.5	57
2019-05-30	@ Teuta	L 0-2	36.3	1317	1342	24.97%	24.79%	50.24%	-0.44	-17.5	49
2019-05-30	Partizani	D 1-1	58.2	1331	1438	32.52%	25.27%	42.20%	-0.16	+0.7	47
2019-05-30	@ Luftetari	D 1-1	58.2	1438	1331	42.20%	25.27%	32.52%	+0.16	-0.6	70
2019-05-30	Skenderbeu	L 0-3	27.5	999	1392	8.93%	20.01%	71.07%	-1.47	-9.5	17
2019-05-30	@ Kamza	W 3-0	27.5	1392	999	71.07%	20.01%	8.93%	+1.47	+9.5	55

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2019-01-27	12.19%	Kastrioti	1102	5	@ Luftetari	1283	1
2	2019-04-06	13.46%	Luftetari	1290	3	@ Partizani	1449	1
3	2019-02-10	13.69%	KF Tirana	1277	1	@ Kukesi	1433	0
4	2018-08-18	14.05%	Kastrioti	1213	1	@ Luftetari	1363	0
5	2018-12-16	14.77%	Luftetari	1265	3	@ Skenderbeu	1404	2
6	2019-02-03	16.02%	Luftetari	1222	2	@ Laci	1343	0
7	2018-11-02	18.02%	Flamurtari	1306	2	@ Kukesi	1403	1
8	2019-05-18	18.95%	Skenderbeu	1325	3	@ Kukesi	1410	0
9	2018-12-21	21.03%	@ Kamza	1179	1	Skenderbeu	1387	0
10	2019-04-06	21.16%	@ Kastrioti	1202	2	Kukesi	1408	1
11	2018-10-20	21.24%	Teuta	1307	3	@ Laci	1368	0
12	2019-02-02	22.66%	@ Kastrioti	1164	2	Skenderbeu	1355	1
13	2018-12-01	22.94%	Teuta	1388	1	@ Skenderbeu	1431	0
14	2018-12-02	22.95%	@ Kastrioti	1140	1	Flamurtari	1328	0
15	2019-04-14	23.05%	Flamurtari	1364	2	@ Kukesi	1406	1
16	2019-05-12	24.28%	Teuta	1310	2	@ Skenderbeu	1341	1
17	2019-02-22	24.29%	KF Tirana	1295	2	@ Skenderbeu	1326	1
18	2019-05-26	24.53%	KF Tirana	1316	3	@ Laci	1344	1
19	2018-09-01	24.69%	Flamurtari	1306	1	@ Luftetari	1333	0
20	2019-02-23	25.66%	@ Luftetari	1259	1	Teuta	1422	0
21	2018-10-08	27.13%	Partizani	1394	1	@ Kukesi	1399	0
22	2019-02-17	27.37%	Kastrioti	1173	1	@ Kamza	1176	0
23	2019-04-14	27.72%	KF Tirana	1311	3	@ Teuta	1312	1
24	2019-05-18	27.79%	@ Teuta	1326	2	Partizani	1470	0
25	2018-11-03	28.23%	Laci	1307	1	@ Luftetari	1303	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2019-01-27	61.68	Kastrioti	5	1102	12.19%	@ Luftetari	1	1283	66.00%	21.82%
2	2019-04-06	56.22	@ Laci	5	1311	37.33%	Teuta	0	1383	37.32%	25.35%
3	2019-05-18	49.77	Skenderbeu	3	1325	18.95%	@ Kukesi	0	1410	57.16%	23.89%
4	2018-10-20	47.64	Teuta	3	1307	21.24%	@ Laci	0	1368	54.45%	24.31%
5	2018-11-11	39.30	@ Kastrioti	3	1105	31.31%	Kamza	0	1221	43.46%	25.23%
6	2019-02-03	36.24	Luftetari	2	1222	16.02%	@ Laci	0	1343	60.80%	23.19%
7	2019-05-04	34.71	Partizani	3	1430	37.62%	@ Flamurtari	0	1355	37.03%	25.35%
8	2019-04-06	32.97	Luftetari	3	1290	13.46%	@ Partizani	1	1449	64.20%	22.34%
9	2018-08-26	29.63	Skenderbeu	3	1358	44.69%	@ Kastrioti	0	1233	30.13%	25.18%
10	2019-05-18	28.96	@ Teuta	2	1326	27.79%	Partizani	0	1470	47.18%	25.03%
11	2018-12-08	28.39	@ KF Tirana	4	1223	55.04%	Kastrioti	0	1157	20.73%	24.22%
12	2018-10-29	28.35	Skenderbeu	2	1425	28.89%	@ Partizani	0	1415	46.00%	25.11%
13	2018-11-07	28.18	@ Laci	2	1322	29.20%	Skenderbeu	0	1455	45.68%	25.13%
14	2018-09-29	26.88	@ Teuta	2	1293	31.66%	Skenderbeu	0	1407	43.10%	25.24%
15	2019-04-14	26.75	@ Skenderbeu	4	1313	56.64%	Kastrioti	0	1233	19.38%	23.98%
16	2019-05-26	26.69	KF Tirana	3	1316	24.53%	@ Laci	1	1344	50.73%	24.74%
17	2019-03-17	25.97	@ Partizani	3	1423	49.58%	Teuta	0	1404	25.57%	24.85%
18	2019-05-12	25.52	@ Kastrioti	2	1227	34.32%	Flamurtari	0	1321	40.36%	25.32%
19	2019-04-20	25.32	Kukesi	2	1390	34.72%	@ KF Tirana	0	1337	39.96%	25.33%
20	2019-04-14	25.11	KF Tirana	3	1311	27.72%	@ Teuta	1	1312	47.25%	25.03%
21	2019-05-30	25.10	@ KF Tirana	3	1343	50.71%	Flamurtari	0	1315	24.55%	24.74%
22	2018-09-29	24.93	@ Flamurtari	4	1282	58.41%	Kastrioti	0	1184	17.92%	23.67%
23	2019-03-30	24.86	Flamurtari	3	1316	51.02%	@ Kamza	0	1140	24.27%	24.71%
24	2018-09-17	24.69	Skenderbeu	2	1386	35.98%	@ Flamurtari	0	1323	38.68%	25.34%
25	2019-04-10	24.06	KF Tirana	3	1287	52.06%	@ Kamza	0	1103	23.34%	24.60%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2019-03-02	64.5	@ Teuta	2	1406	58.26%	Skenderbeu	2	1310	18.04%	23.70%
2	2018-10-07	62.6	@ Kamza	2	1257	41.78%	Flamurtari	2	1298	32.93%	25.29%
3	2018-12-16	62.3	Luftetari	3	1265	14.77%	@ Skenderbeu	2	1404	62.42%	22.81%
4	2019-03-29	60.3	@ Kukesi	1	1409	41.95%	Partizani	1	1449	32.77%	25.28%
5	2019-05-26	59.3	@ Partizani	1	1441	56.65%	Kukesi	1	1361	19.38%	23.98%
6	2018-12-08	59.0	@ Teuta	1	1405	48.11%	Partizani	1	1398	26.92%	24.97%
7	2019-04-27	58.9	@ Partizani	1	1433	56.80%	Laci	1	1351	19.25%	23.95%
8	2018-12-22	58.5	@ Teuta	1	1425	57.40%	Laci	1	1338	18.75%	23.85%
9	2018-11-12	58.2	@ Kukesi	1	1383	47.76%	Teuta	1	1379	27.25%	24.99%
10	2019-01-27	58.2	@ Teuta	1	1422	59.37%	Flamurtari	1	1315	17.15%	23.49%
11	2019-05-30	58.2	@ Luftetari	1	1331	32.52%	Partizani	1	1438	42.20%	25.27%
12	2019-05-12	57.8	@ Luftetari	3	1323	33.45%	Kukesi	2	1423	41.25%	25.30%
13	2018-08-31	57.7	@ Skenderbeu	1	1388	53.71%	Laci	1	1334	21.88%	24.41%
14	2018-08-19	57.6	@ Kukesi	1	1389	55.26%	Laci	1	1322	20.55%	24.19%
15	2018-09-22	57.5	@ Skenderbeu	1	1410	64.07%	KF Tirana	1	1252	13.55%	22.38%
16	2019-04-20	57.4	@ Flamurtari	1	1380	54.40%	Luftetari	1	1320	21.29%	24.31%
17	2018-11-02	57.2	Flamurtari	2	1306	18.02%	@ Kukesi	1	1403	58.29%	23.69%
18	2019-02-01	57.1	@ KF Tirana	1	1276	27.92%	Teuta	1	1419	47.04%	25.04%
19	2018-11-24	56.9	@ KF Tirana	1	1225	20.90%	Skenderbeu	1	1434	54.85%	24.25%
20	2018-12-23	56.9	@ Luftetari	1	1282	31.34%	Partizani	1	1398	43.43%	25.23%
21	2019-04-20	56.9	@ Kastrioti	1	1206	19.01%	Partizani	1	1435	57.08%	23.91%
22	2019-04-14	56.7	Flamurtari	2	1364	23.05%	@ Kukesi	1	1406	52.38%	24.57%
23	2019-05-04	56.7	@ Laci	1	1353	61.56%	Kastrioti	1	1223	15.42%	23.01%
24	2018-10-27	56.6	@ Flamurtari	1	1307	40.75%	Teuta	1	1355	33.94%	25.31%
25	2019-04-28	56.5	@ Luftetari	1	1323	48.70%	KF Tirana	1	1311	26.38%	24.92%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2019-04-13	25.9	@ Partizani	3	1430	77.49%	Kamza	0	1079	5.54%	16.97%
2	2019-05-12	26.0	@ Laci	3	1350	75.90%	Kamza	0	1027	6.30%	17.80%
3	2019-05-25	26.4	@ Flamurtari	3	1308	74.56%	Kamza	0	1006	6.98%	18.46%
4	2019-05-30	27.5	Skenderbeu	3	1392	71.07%	@ Kamza	0	999	8.93%	20.01%
5	2018-12-23	27.9	@ Kukesi	2	1420	75.32%	Kastrioti	0	1107	6.59%	18.09%
6	2019-05-04	28.0	Kukesi	3	1412	69.79%	@ Kamza	0	1037	9.70%	20.51%
7	2019-04-06	28.7	@ Skenderbeu	3	1315	67.46%	Kamza	0	1115	11.19%	21.34%
8	2019-05-18	29.3	Luftetari	3	1335	65.06%	@ Kamza	0	1020	12.85%	22.10%
9	2019-04-27	29.5	@ Kastrioti	3	1209	63.96%	Kamza	0	1052	13.63%	22.41%
10	2019-02-09	29.8	@ Partizani	2	1419	70.44%	Kastrioti	0	1180	9.30%	20.26%
11	2018-11-03	30.7	@ Skenderbeu	1	1453	76.90%	Kastrioti	0	1113	5.81%	17.29%
12	2018-12-16	30.8	Teuta	4	1404	61.55%	@ Kastrioti	0	1129	15.43%	23.01%
13	2018-10-07	31.3	@ Teuta	2	1297	63.23%	Kastrioti	0	1148	14.17%	22.60%
14	2019-03-09	31.3	@ Luftetari	3	1259	58.64%	Kamza	0	1159	17.73%	23.63%
15	2018-09-29	31.5	@ Flamurtari	4	1282	58.41%	Kastrioti	0	1184	17.92%	23.67%
16	2019-03-02	31.8	@ Kukesi	3	1407	61.67%	Luftetari	0	1275	15.34%	22.99%
17	2019-04-20	32.2	Teuta	3	1286	55.31%	@ Kamza	0	1073	20.51%	24.19%
18	2018-10-21	32.3	@ Skenderbeu	2	1415	64.07%	Kamza	0	1257	13.55%	22.38%
19	2019-04-14	32.3	@ Skenderbeu	4	1313	56.64%	Kastrioti	0	1233	19.38%	23.98%
20	2018-12-08	32.4	@ KF Tirana	4	1223	55.04%	Kastrioti	0	1157	20.73%	24.22%
21	2019-04-10	33.2	KF Tirana	3	1287	52.06%	@ Kamza	0	1103	23.34%	24.60%
22	2018-09-15	33.5	@ Kamza	2	1271	55.97%	Kastrioti	0	1197	19.94%	24.09%
23	2019-03-30	33.7	Flamurtari	3	1316	51.02%	@ Kamza	0	1140	24.27%	24.71%
24	2019-03-30	34.3	@ Teuta	1	1378	65.14%	Kastrioti	0	1207	12.79%	22.08%
25	2018-10-03	34.4	@ Partizani	3	1371	53.39%	Teuta	0	1320	22.16%	24.45%